Prop Queen · 2-1 on settled picks
“I could still get the Seahawks at plus 165 to win the Super Bowl. If I want to come off the Rams a little bit, then I could get the plus 165. So I'm sitting on a Seahawks money line at plus 165.”
SEA 29-NE 13 — Seahawks won Super Bowl LX outright, 29-13 over New England; the Seattle moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“So I like his over. Five total tackles. Byron Murphy's gone over this in six of the last nine games. Nice. He's averaging five total tackles on the road, five total tackles in prime time. Certain defensive players just show up in prime time, and Byron Murphy's one of them. Three and a half's too low.”
Byron Murphy II recorded 2 total tackles in Super Bowl LX; under the 3.5 line (ESPN box score). (Byron Murphy II: 2 total tackles)
“Sam Darnold over his longest rush also stood out. We don't want to go over rushing yards for quarterbacks anymore because we don't need kneel downs to have a negative impact on our play. Which famously happened in the first Chiefs Niners Super Bowl with Patrick Mahomes. Correct. So I would go over his longest rush, Darnold, because on the road he's averaging 11 rushing yards a game. His rushing yards prop is only 6.5, and the longest rush is 5.5 with a 2.5 rush attempt prop.”
Sam Darnold carried twice for 5 yards with a longest rush of 11 yards in Super Bowl LX; over 5.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Sam Darnold longest rush: 11 yards)