When the market moves toward a pick after it airs, the money agreed with it. The 25 biggest spread and total moves in each direction across 5,600 captured point-market picks, and the 25 biggest moneyline moves across 744 captured prices — the calls the market chased, and the ones it ran from.
“Over five and a half series is minus 135. We're going to put 1.35 units down on that for this series to go to six or seven. Doesn't matter who wins, but four, two or four, three, either T-Wolves or for the Thunder.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I like Western Michigan plus 24 for 1.1 units.”
14-28 — Wisconsin beat Western Michigan 28-14, so Western Michigan +24 covered (ESPN box score).
“I think they going to fight their tails off and Belichick have a really good game plan So to me I going to jump in here with the Patriots team total over 22 and a half points Need 23 points for the Patriots to get over on this It's minus 105, 1.05 units on that.”
24-17 — ESPN records Miami defeating New England 24-17; the Patriots team-total Over was lost. (New England Patriots scored 17 points)
“Team total Baltimore Ravens over twenty three and a half is minus one thirty five. I'm going to lay the juice minus one thirty five team total Baltimore Ravens against these Cincinnati Bengals. I like you can lay the, you know, minus three and a half if you want on the Ravens. But I think this is a better way to go officially. 1.35 units down. Ravens team total over 23 and a half for Thursday night football here tonight.”
34-20 — Baltimore beat Cincinnati 34-20, so over 23.5 won (ESPN scoreboard).
“If you're Alabama, give me Auburn plus the points. Auburn plus 11 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take the three points here. Give me UMass Lowell plus three on the road up against Maine. I'm not going to be surprised at all if UMass Lowell wins this game here outright and wins in the America East Tournament in advances here. I think you must little plus three on the road at Maine here today in the America East tournament.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“both overs both chasing steam both bets both times both moves over 155 and a half in the first game in Dayton over 132 and a half in the second game in Dayton”
60-59 — Pittsburgh beat Mississippi State 60-59 for 119 total points, so the over lost (ESPN box score). (Total points 119)
“Let's take Miami of Ohio plus 11 and a half up against Tennessee for 1.1 units.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to lay it. I'll lay the six points. Arizona minus six up against Purdue here.”
64-79 — Arizona beat Purdue 79-64, covering -6 (ESPN box score).
“Carolina Panthers, minus two.”
25-17 — Atlanta beat Carolina 25-17, so Carolina -2 did not cover (ESPN game page).
“last but not least I mean I'm rocking the jersey I'm going to the game. Give me the Philadelphia Eagles. We're taking over the city of Arizona, Tempe, Scottsdale, Glendale. It's like got five different city names. The only city name that'll matter come today is Philadelphia. Give me the Eagles minus five. Get that over on win bet.”
20-17 — Philadelphia won 20-17, so it did not cover -5 (ESPN schedule).
“All right, for my third and final pick of the week and the fifth pick of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Washington football team, plus seven and a half at BetMGM at home against the Los Angeles Rams.”
WSH 10, LAR 30 — Verified against an ESPN box score: WSH 10, LAR 30; the recorded outcome matches.
“that has me betting under 57”
ISU 14, UL 31 — Verified against an ESPN box score: ISU 14, UL 31; the recorded outcome matches.
“I'm already on Georgia State plus 17. So let's hope Quad Brown can get it done.”
GAST 31, UL 34 — Verified against an ESPN box score: GAST 31, UL 34; the recorded outcome matches.
“it's another division under cowboys eagles give me the under 45 and a half”
PHI 41, DAL 7 — ESPN's 2024 Week 17 scoreboard lists PHI 41, DAL 7; the stored lost grade is correct.
“as far as the game itself, I'm going to put two units on the chargers minus four and a half.”
19-16 — Los Angeles won 19-16, so it did not cover -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“Love the over, though. [29:29] If that's true and there's not going to be snow and not going to be crazy shit happening during the game, [29:33] take that value and take the over. [29:35] I already grabbed it at 41.5, 41. [29:38] It's up to 42.5 in a bunch of books. [29:40] Key number, I'd still grab it there.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Bills beat Browns 31-23, combined 54 points, over 42.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“the start of the 2023 season one of our picks we're running back we went with the browns game under last week let's start with the browns game under this week 49ers at browns under 42 and a half.”
Independent ESPN result check agrees with the stored won outcome.
“that's where I'm going with my total. [52:22] under 40 and a half in Cleveland.”
CLE 3, MIA 20 — ESPN's 2024 Week 17 scoreboard lists CLE 3, MIA 20; the stored won grade is correct.
“Arizona to the Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles Rams are seven-point favorites right now at Hard Rock Bet. This is going to be Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock Bet. Are you sure you want to do this? Are you willing to make a choice? What choice? we can't run from where we are sharp dudes can just see it you know what i mean when asked if the rams would play their starters in week 18 sean mcveigh said oh they're playing we need to play better so to me this is a normal handicap not a week 18 handicap and let me give you some stats about the cardinals they remember in the beginning of the year where like the Carls are playing close, they're playing hard. They started September, October with losses of 1.3 points, 1.4 points, and four points. Their November, December losses have been 22 points, 19 points, 3-3, 32, 20, 7, and 23. Three of those blowouts, losses came in the division i'm taking the rams in a get right spot against a team that has no answers defensively and very few answers offensively as we've seen again and again and again no matter who they're playing”
LAR 37, ARI 20 — Rams beat Cardinals 37-20; Los Angeles won by 17, covering the -7 spread (ESPN box score).
“You can get Minnesota minus five and a half right now. Why would we not take that? Like they're playing for real.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Vikings beat Packers 16-3; Minnesota won by 13, covering the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I took the Ravens under against the Steelers for this coming week. [40:30] I took that on the look ahead at 42.”
Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 16-13, so Under 42 won as stored (NFL).
“I'm going to go ahead and take the Grizzlies, plus four. The Phoenix Suns are 7-0 against the spread and 7-0 here in this bubble. If the Mavericks play, and they have their seed already locked up, if the Dallas Mavericks play in the second half, Luka Doncic and Christoph Przingis, I'm going to pull my hair out. There's no need, there's no reason. They should not be playing, not at all. It's five and a half. I'm laying the five and a half here with the Phoenix Suns to go 8-0 and 8-0 against the spread here in the bubble. Dallas has nothing to play for. There's no reason for them to play hard here. Suns minus five and a half. Then we're going Spurs and the Jazz. The Spurs are laying seven and I know the numbers start to go up. You got plus numbers with the Grizzlies at plus four. The Suns are laying five and a half. The Spurs are now laying seven against the Utah Jazz because Utah clinched the 16. They're playing the Nuggets. I mean, they know they're playing the Nuggets. So this game means nothing. It means nothing. So we know that Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley are not playing. They were ruled out. How many other players are going to get ruled out? I don't know, but they're punting on this game. It doesn't matter. Utah wants to stay healthy. They're giving the game to the Spurs. It's just a matter of how many points will the Spurs wind up winning by. So we're going to lay the seven with the San Antonio Spurs. These are all at minus 110. We're laying the minus seven here. So plus four with the Grizzlies, minus five and a half with the Suns, minus seven with the Spurs, and the Portland Trailblazers are the biggest favorite of the day, ending the day against the Brooklyn Nets. And I'll be honest, I'm a little concerned about what may happen if Portland doesn't need this game, but I think they're going to play hard. I think you'll see Dame go off for another big night, and I'm going to lay the nine points.”
119-106 — Memphis defeated Milwaukee 119-106 (ESPN).
“i bet some vikings minus six which was like scary knowing that you could be betting max prosner minus six”
16-3 — Vikings beat Packers 16-3, a 13-point margin that covers -6 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings minus six at home against the Green Bay Packers.”
Independent verification agrees: Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“Minus one and a half North Carolina minus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
19-17 — North Carolina beat Minnesota 19-17, covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I don't think Maryland scores many points at all against Michigan's defense. I'm going to leave the 19 points, Michigan minus 19 for 1.1 units.”
31-24 — Michigan beat Maryland 31-24, so Michigan -19 lost (ESPN scoreboard).
“So we're going to play the under on the Lakers and the Raptors under 216 at minus 110.”
107-92 — The Toronto Raptors defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 107-92, for 199 total points (ESPN). (199 total points)
“I think the best play in the game, bet the over, over 163 for UMass in Miami of Ohio.”
Verified push result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm taking the Giants plus 2.5 at home against the Cardinals.”
26-7 — Arizona beat the New York Giants 26-7, so the Giants did not cover (ESPN game page).
“I like the Giants plus two and a half.”
ARI 26-7 NYG — Cardinals beat Giants 26-7 (margin -19), well short of New York Giants +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Alabama plus one and a half. If you want to take the money line, go ahead. But I'll take the one and a half just to be safe.”
Oklahoma 66-61 Alabama — Oklahoma beat Alabama 66-61, so Alabama +1.5 lost (ESPN game page).
“That's an official play for a half a unit. [16:45] Tennessee minus two and a half.”
Tennessee 80-61 Kansas — Tennessee beat Kansas 80-61, covering -2.5 (Tennessee Athletics).
“I probably should bet money line here with Baylor, but I'm going to lay one and a half instead. It's minus 125.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'll go over first bet over 157 for Gonzaga and Grand Canyon.”
82-70 — Gonzaga beat Grand Canyon 82-70 for 152 total points, so the over lost (ESPN tournament report). (Total points 152)
“So to recap our three plays on Saturday, Michigan pick them just to win the game at home against Penn State over Iron Bowl, Auburn and Alabama at 62.”
Alabama 42-Auburn 13 — Alabama beat Auburn 42-13, keeping the game under the stated total (ESPN box score).
“I am going with the Denver Broncos plus six at MGM at home against the New Orleans Saints.”
NO 31, DEN 3 — New Orleans beat Denver 31-3, so Broncos +6 lost.
“South Carolina, North Carolina, over 63. And I think Drake Mays got a big start to his season. I think he throws for a ton of yards here. I think they pick up a they score a ton of points. I think Carolina is going to win the game. I leaned towards the Tar Heels. Everyone's on South Carolina. I lean towards North Carolina to get a W. I really do think this, but Shane Beamer is a good coach. Mack Brown's a good coach. I'm not going to pick a side. I just going to throw it over on the on the over here we going over.”
17-31 — ESPN records North Carolina defeating South Carolina 31-17; the Over was lost.
“it's too good not to bet it plus one 30 one unit indiana plus two and a half games in this series for one unit plus one 30 for the pacers plus two and a half games meaning again four two boston wins we cash four three boston wins we cash the only two only two scenarios we don't win is 4-0 and 4-1”
Verified lost result (authoritative scoreboard).
“So we got Patriots minus three and a half one unit at even money We got the Raiders minus three against the Giants minus one ten And we got the Rams minus three Sorry minus seven at home against the Titans for one unit at minus one ten”
Tennessee 28, Los Angeles Rams 16 — Tennessee beat the Los Angeles Rams 28-16; the Rams lost outright and did not cover -7. (Los Angeles Rams lost by 12)
“Bills minus 5.5, plus 225.”
Broncos 33-30 Bills — Official Bills recap confirms Buffalo did not cover minus five-and-a-half.
“UC San Diego, this is a big number. I'm not going to lie. 12 and a half. It's a big number. I'm going to lay it. UC San Diego on the road. They're 14-2 this year, ATS. 9-1 over their last 10. And they're 16-3, ATS, in conference play. UC Davis is 10-8-1 in conference play. Need to send a message here. On the road, get a big W. Send a message and do exactly what Irvine just did to UC Davis. They beat them by 29. Similar type of game here for San Diego. Lay the 12 and a half. UC San Diego minus 12 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I love a same-game teaser here in this game, guys. I love a same-game teaser. I love taking the Chargers up to 10 and then taking the total from 43 up to 49 and going under. I will 100% do that. But since I already have one teaser going, I don't like doing more than one teaser officially here. So I'm going to play the under. And the reason is Justin Herbert has been an under machine, like just an under machine in his career. And I don't entirely know why, but the charges are eight and four to the under in full game totals this season. They're 29 to the under since the start of last year. Justin Herbert is now 18 and seven to the under since the start of last season, including an 18 and five record to the under in his last 23 starts. And Sunday night football has been a dead under game this season. Historically dead under under 43 for one point one units for the Chiefs and the Chargers.”
Verified won result (ESPN scoreboard).
“Like I've already bet the minus 13 and a half on the Hoosiers.”
27-21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 to win the CFP National Championship; Indiana's 6-point margin fell short of covering -13.5 (ESPN box score).
“but also play a Seattle minus nine and a half, plus 215.”
Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.
“The Chargers laying 2.5 at home against Denver.”
23-20 — Chargers beat Broncos 23-20; the 3-point margin covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm also gonna bet the Eagles minus 13 and a half because I could easily see them just blow this Cowboys team out.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Eagles beat Cowboys 34-6; Philadelphia -13.5 covers, winning by 28 (ESPN box score).
“Detroit at Green Bay, Green Bay three and a half. This was Simon Says. I will say this is the game I've bet the most on this week. I've enjoyed getting the money down at three and a half.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Lions beat Packers 24-14; Green Bay -3.5 busts, losing outright (ESPN box score).
“Detroit at Green Bay, Green Bay three and a half. This was Simon Says. I will say this is the game I've bet the most on this week. I've enjoyed getting the money down at three and a half. It's been getting closer and closer to three.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Lions beat Packers 24-14; Green Bay -3.5 busts, losing outright (ESPN box score).
“We love the Vikings here. Big balls, bet of the week. Big balls, bet of the week. So much pushback from our followers. Oh my God. I get it. People hate betting Kirk in primetime. We know we have to take this number. It's so inflated. Can I just say one thing? I think those prime time, there are systems that matter, that have data sets that are huge. There are gimmicks. This feels like a fucking gimmick. It is glaring though. I got to look it up because people keep posting it. But I think it was like two and nine against the spread in prime time games. Something crazy like that. But it's too big of a number in a matchup. And especially with Green Bay is the public darling. We knew – I'm on some chalk this week. I'm not going to lie. I actually flipped from the Cardinals to the Cowboys. I'm on the Cowboys now. The more tape I've watched, the more numbers I've looked into. This one I haven't changed. If anything, I feel even better about my position on the Vikings. The fact that Dalvin Cook is now back for this Vikings team, his run style is perfect for a matchup against this Green Bay run defense. They hate running backs with speed and power that go up the middle. That's one of the worst things they're defending Green Bay this year. That exactly what Dalvin Cook does He is a man with speed and power So looking at this across the board Chad just talked about it It moves up to seven Grab that seven if you can I worried about by the time you hear this we be back down to six and a half which still is fine I still happy taking a six and a half Just a pro versus shows game Like Chad talked about it. It's a primetime game. Everyone, all their money line parlays, all their teasers, everything is going to end Sunday night tied to this game. We're getting two, three points of value just because of that. The bookmakers, they had to pump this lineup just to, you know, factor in all that money coming in on those money line parlays and teasers so as long as you're getting six and a half i still love this number why did you flip on the cardinals and the cowboys”
GB 37, MIN 10 — Green Bay beat Minnesota 37-10, so the Vikings' 27-point loss busts the +6.5 (ESPN box score).
“We got Spurs and the Thunder tonight, and that game is gonna be on ESPN, so that's gonna be awesome. Spurs, Thunder, we're gonna go with the Spurs on the money line. It's plus one zero five, so it's a $100 to make a $105. That is the play of the day. Let's go.”
SA 116, OKC 106 — San Antonio beat Oklahoma City 116-106 on Feb 4, 2026, cashing the Spurs moneyline (ESPN).
“Seahawks to score first and win. You can bet that outcome to combine bet at most major books, plus 125.”
Independent verification agrees: Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“Knicks on the Moneyline. They win Game 3 at home, Electric Atmosphere, Madison Square Garden. Knicks on the Moneyline. It's $100 to make $176. That is the play of the day.”
SA 115, NY 111 — Spurs beat Knicks 115-111 in NBA Finals Game 3 behind Wembanyama's 32 points; Knicks moneyline lost (ESPN).
“I took Wisconsin at the very beginning of the week on the money line when it was priced around like minus 115.”
WIS 49, MICH 11 — Wisconsin beat Michigan 49-11, so the Wisconsin moneyline won.
“we're going to go with the Carolina Hurricanes tonight in the Stanley Cup Finals on the money line. They down 2 in the series to the Vegas Golden Knights So we going to go with the Canes Rob Brendamore friend of the show he the coach for the Hurricanes We have to back the Hurricanes So we're going to place a bet on the money line for the Hurricanes. It's $100 with a payout of $187. That is the play of the day.”
CAR 5, VGK 3 — Hurricanes beat Golden Knights 5-3 in Stanley Cup Final Game 4 to tie the series 2-2; Hurricanes moneyline cashed (ESPN).
“So give me the Chiefs. Give me Patrick Mahomes. Give me the [23:18] Chiefs to win from behind plus 175.”
40-22 — The NFL gamebook records the Chiefs never led in Philadelphia's 40-22 win, so the comeback bet lost.
“Vegas in regulation minus 104, 1.04 units.”
3-9 — Vegas beat Florida 9-3 in regulation, so Vegas's regulation moneyline pick won (ESPN box score).
“But give me the Detroit Lions plus 115 plus 120 at Carolina”
CAR 20, DET 0 — Carolina beat Detroit 20-0, so the Lions moneyline lost.
“So my Lakers, double digit dogs playing the Knicks in the garden, is absolutely crazy to me. I know it's gonna be a crazy environment, but I'm going with my Lakers. I mean, it's plus $3.75, so it's a $100 to make some change, to make $375. That is the play of the”
NY 112, LAL 100 — The Knicks beat the Lakers 112-100 at Madison Square Garden on Feb 1, 2026, busting the Los Angeles Lakers moneyline (ESPN).
“The Minnesota links on the road against the Atlanta dream. We're gonna roll with the links on the money line. It's a $100 to make a 100. That is the play of the day.”
ATL 92, MIN 96 — Minnesota Lynx beat Atlanta Dream 96-92 in overtime; Lynx moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“So we're gonna take the Chicago White Sox on the money line tonight against the Oakland a's,”
CHW 5, OAK 1 — White Sox beat Athletics 5-1; moneyline cashes (ESPN scoreboard).
“But I'm just going to lay the Jews at minus 190. Not sweat the points. Just Phoenix Suns win the game, period.”
Phoenix 128-101 Oklahoma City — Phoenix beat Oklahoma City 128-101, so the Suns moneyline won (ESPN game result).
“Steelers four and a half and I'll take the Moneyline two plus 180.”
13-10 — Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 13-10, so Steelers moneyline lost (ESPN Week 11 scoreboard).
“Don't understand how they're plus money. I'm going to jump on it. Plus 105 for the Arcongo Moneyline. Expect Joan Vista to get back on the score sheet. Had a couple of chances in their last match. Couldn't get one in. But yeah, I got to back Congo here. Uzbekistan has not shown that they have any quality as far as at this level. DR Congo went through a very rigorous process and qualifying process to get here and I expect him to go out with a bang on the group stage and look for that win to be able to advance so plus 105 for DR Congo money line.”
Congo DR beat Uzbekistan 3-1; Congo DR ML won.
“So, yeah, give me the Jets at plus 120.”
Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.
“I'm going to go with the Carolina Panthers against the Jacksonville Jaguars. What do I want with these? Just quarterback uncertainty. The Jags are a mess right now. We know their defense is poor. Panthers' offense has showed signs of life of late. playing a little better. But the Jags, Lawrence might not play, and if he does, he might not be able to go full strength or he might not last. Didn't practice today. He might be down to C.J. Beathard. You already have Christian Kirk on IR. Zay Jones might not play. The offensive line is a mess. They can't run the ball. All the pressure's on Jacksonville here, and everything's falling apart internally. I could, you know, with the quarterback uncertainty, let's take a shot with the Panthers. Well, that's 2.30 for Carolina. at bet MGM. I like it. I was thinking about that one as well. You know, more fun than betting the spread with Carolina because you still never know what you're going to get. Although I thought it was promising what they did against Green Bay last week, but you know, not every team has Joe Barry on the other side. I'll go with the Atlanta Falcons plus 130 at the Chicago Bears. And it's Just as simple as I still think this Bear team is still a little green in terms of, you know, knowing how to win games. You've seen them blow some weeds. Seems like most of their games end up close in the fourth quarter. And Justin Fields has really struggled as a, you know, when it's a favorite or he's not getting more than a field goal on the spread. So I think the Bears, you know, this is still kind of a toss up game. You've talked about it. I think with Tyler Heineke, the turnover risk, they're more productive turnovers. He's probably going to be taking a risk if he turns it over, whereas Ritter, as we talked about, sometimes just gives the ball away in situations that there's no benefit or upside if he accomplished what he was trying to. So like the Falcons here, I can easily see them defeating the Bears. Just hope Arthur Smith comes with one of his better game plans because he's all over the place this season. So if you parlay the Panthers plus 230 at Jacksonville and the Falcons plus 130 at the Bears You get parlay odds of plus 659”
26-0 — Jacksonville beat Carolina 26-0, so Panthers moneyline lost (ESPN Week 17 scoreboard).
“I'm going to take it with the Dodgers here. Dodgers money line minus 142. We might need it against the bullpens here. You might need Otani and company to get hot and hit some bombs or so off this bullpen. I don't think it's going to be a blowout, but I could see it being a three to two or a four to three type of win here for the Dodgers. I'll take the Dodgers in the money line for minus 142 for 1.42 units.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“We're going with My Lakers on the money line tonight against the Houston Rockets. It's the first of two games that they'll play against the Rockets over the next three days. Huge, huge game for both teams. Lakers trying to hang on to that three seed in in in the Western Conference. The Rockets obviously wanna get to that slot. So big time game tonight. I'm rolling with my Lakers on the money line on the road. It's a $100 to make one twenty. It's a $100 to make one twenty. That is the play of the day.”
HOU 92, LAL 100 — Lakers beat Rockets 100-92; Lakers moneyline covers (ESPN scoreboard).
“we're gonna roll with the Mets, and we're gonna go on the money line. Now it's plus $1.20, so a $100 to make a 120. That is the play of the day. The Mets in game four of the NLCS.”
LAD 10, NYM 2 — Dodgers beat the Mets 10-2 in NLCS Game 4; New York moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I love the Jags on the money line at plus 140. I think they have probably a better shot at winning this game than the Bengals.”
CIN 33, JAX 25 — Verified against an ESPN box score: CIN 33, JAX 25; the recorded outcome matches.
“I think Baltimore is the right play. [7:38] I hit the money line as soon as I could at like one 55.”
ESPN records Kansas City as the AFC Championship winner, so the Ravens moneyline lost as stored.
“is the atlanta falcons my falcons just give me the money line home against the packers it's minus 110”
25-24 — Atlanta won 25-24, so the Falcons moneyline won as stored (ESPN Week 2 scoreboard).
“for my first pick of the week eight sunday six-pack i'm going with the houston texans we'll call it money line minus 115 out there draft kings against that if you have to take a one one and a half that's fine too against the san francisco 49ers”
Independent check against the authoritative NFL weekly results confirms the stored verdict.
“I'm grabbing it right away. [34:39] Give me the 49ers minus 115 on the money line. [34:43] They are the better team.”
42-19 — San Francisco won 42-19, so the 49ers moneyline won as stored (ESPN Week 13 scoreboard).
“I bet it at minus 135, Miami Heat on the money line”
103-94 — Miami beat Milwaukee 103-94; the Miami moneyline bet won (ESPN schedule).
“Again, it's juicy, but Dodgers money line minus 158 for 1.58 units.”
Verified won result (ESPN scoreboard).
“So there's just a lot of reasons to bet the Dodgers here today up against the Phillies and the price is too good to pass up. Dodgers minus 120. Sorry, minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
Verified lost result (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going with the Cubbies on the money line in Wrigley Field. I know it seems weird, but we've got to get a win, Smalls. We've got to get a win. I'll take it any way I can get it. So I'm going with the Cubs on the money line against my Yankees. It's $100 with a total payout of $163. That is the play of the day.”
CHC 0-2 NYY — Yankees beat the Cubs 2-0 behind Will Warren; Cubs moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Now for me I betting Arkansas State money line I got it at plus 270 earlier today on the money line You can look at that number at bet MGM”
ARST 35, KSU 31 — Verified against an ESPN box score: ARST 35, KSU 31; the recorded outcome matches.
“I'm just going to go for the draw at the biggest price in the 1x2 market and that's at plus 210.”
KOR 2, CZE 1 — KOR 2, CZE 1; draw misses.
“We're not going to mess with Team USA. USA men's national team is taking on Belgium. We're going to go in the other match, and we're going to roll with Nuno's team, Portugal, against Spain. Portugal's going to be the underdog. So we're going to take them on the money line in a can't-he-can't-lose bet. It's plus 186, so it's $100 with a total payout of $270. That is the play of the day”
POR 0-1 ESP — Spain beat Portugal 1-0 at AT&T Stadium; Portugal moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“But that's why I want to take a smaller shot with the Ravens as a Moneyline dog piece. I mean, you could also see Jair Alexander and Bakhtiari play for Green Bay, and then no one plays for the Ravens. But I trust Harbaugh on the spot to come up with something and rally the troops in front of a raucous home crowd. Plus 200 at BetMGM on the Moneyline. It's Baltimore, gentlemen.”
NFL official results confirm the stored outcome.
“and roll with Pat Costello's Phils out at Chavez Ravine taking on the dodgers. Now they won last night. They beat the dodgers last night, first of a three game set. I'm rolling with the Phils on the money line tonight to beat the Dodgers again. Can I change your mind on this? Go ahead. Because I don't think that's smart because the Phillies clinched the NLEs last night. We're partying. They're hungover. I don't think that a lot of those guys are gonna be starting tonight. It's minus one thirty five, so it's a $100 to make 74.”
PHI 9-6 — Phillies beat Dodgers 9-6 at Chavez Ravine; Phillies moneyline wins (ESPN).
“game in group b is another tuesday at 3 p.m kickoff porto ac milan these teams are basically it's like a it's a pick them basically between the two of them porto plus 170 underdogs at home right now at BetMGM and AC Milan plus 155, the draw at plus 240. Bookmakers having a tough time picking these teams apart. Anthony, are you? I'm not actually. There's a bit of an injury issue crisis going on here for AC Milan that are starting to pile up. They did have an excellent comeback 3-2 win against Verona at the weekend that included a penalty and an own goal. A little bit lucky there. They lost the expected goals battle marginally. And given the fact they were down most of the match, pretty concerning that they didn't really create a ton of clear chances in that one. Milan's been really impressive in Serie A. They've won almost every single match they've played. They have the second best expected goal difference in the league behind Napoli. It's been an impressive start for Milan, but they've looked a lot shakier in the Champions League. And they were outplaying Atletico Madrid in that last match, but they looked a little bit out of their depth against Liverpool, and they struggled to cope once they went down a man and really gave that game away. So this is a desperation spot for both teams. Both teams need to win. The Most interesting thing here for Milan is the injury situation. Mike Mannion, the goalie for Milan, is out. He had a long injury. Teo Hernandez and Brahim Diaz tested positive for COVID. They may not play. Zlatan Ibrahimovic coming back from injury. Did feature a little bit over the weekend, but not expected to start. May come off the bench. Look at Porto's terrible loss to Liverpool. It's not the first time Porto's had trouble with Liverpool in Europe. Liverpool have kind of had their number over the recent years, pretty much blowing them out every single time. Don't know what it is about that matchup, but it's not been good for Porto. There were multiple goalie errors that led to goals. It was a lot of fluke goals that kind of came about for Liverpool. They weren't quite as bad. Porto wasn't, as the numbers suggest. They also get Pepe back in the middle of their defense. Chancel Mbembe may not play. He's questionable. But the Porto improved defense. they'll be able to sit deep and absorb pressure, hit Milan on the counter. And I really don't think Milan is built to go get a result here away from home. So I like Porto. I think they're a little undervalued and I think they were unlucky to not take any points from their first group match. So give me Porto on the draw no bet line minus 115. Yeah, I'm actually going to bet Milan here. I'm just hoping the AC Milan that we've seen in Serie A shows up in Champions League.”
UEFA's results record AC Milan losing to Porto.
“We got the wolves on the road against the sixers. Second night of a back to back for the wolves. Disappointing l that they took in Detroit where, let's just say Jalen Doran went off to say the least. I I don't think it'll be that again tonight for the wolves. So I'm taking the wolves on the money line. It's plus $1.15, so a $100 to make a $115. That is the play of the day.”
PHI 115, MIN 103 — Philadelphia beat Minnesota 115-103; Timberwolves moneyline loses (ESPN).
“We're gonna roll with Louisville over Arkansas tonight. Louisville playing on the road against Arkansas. That's actually on our air on ESPN. 07:30 seven fifth 07:15 tonight. Just wanna make sure I get the time right. It's a $100 to make 57. That is the play of the day. Louisville on the money line.”
ARK 89, LOU 80 — Arkansas beat Louisville 89-80 in the ACC/SEC Challenge; Louisville ML loses (ESPN).
“So we're gonna roll with the Atlanta Hawks on the money line. It's a $100 to make 87.”
DET 120, ATL 112 — Pistons beat Hawks 120-112, extending Detroit's win streak to 11; Atlanta moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going with the Oregon money line.”
23-0 — Oregon shut out Texas Tech 23-0 in the CFP quarterfinal (Orange Bowl); Oregon ML wins (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Cowboys on the money line at plus 240.”
PHI 24-20 DAL — Eagles beat Cowboys 24-20; Dallas moneyline at +240 busts (ESPN box score).
“You can't get it in the action app yet, but I bet both, the cowboys plus seven and the cowboys on the money line at plus two forty.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Eagles beat Cowboys 24-20 in the Week 1 2025 opener; Dallas lost outright, so the Cowboys moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“The, money line number is plus two forty for the Cowboys.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Eagles beat Cowboys 24-20 in the Week 1 2025 opener; Dallas lost outright, so the Cowboys moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“So y'all know what we did last night. We faded the Chicago white sox after it got a win on Yankees on Monday night, and the Yankees came through in fine fashion. Juan So to with three home runs accounted for all the Yankee scores. So tonight, what are we gonna do? We're fade the White Sox again. We're fading the Chicago White Sox once again. I know it is minus two forty, but it's a sure bet as you go have out there in sports. And I'm trying to make y'all money, not lose y'all money. Fade the Chicago White Sox public service announcement.”
NYY 10, CHW 2 — Yankees beat White Sox 10-2; moneyline cashes (ESPN scoreboard).
“Knicks underdogs early on in the season. But I'm rolling with the Knicks. The Cavs aren't healthy, and I don't trust them defensively anyway. So I'm rolling with the Knicks plus one zero five on the money line. So it's a $100 to make a $105. That is the play of the day, and Evan Cohen does not like it.”
NY 119, CLE 111 — The Knicks beat the Cavaliers 119-111 at Madison Square Garden, so the Knicks moneyline bet wins.
“but what you want with a money line dog ideally um is uncertainty and we have that here i don't [1:06:55] who who knows what the patriots are going to look like um they're they're and they're just a mess [1:07:00] they're they're a mess belichick has lost it uh the team has lost it um the giants are still [1:07:07] fighting at least uh and yeah give me the new york giants with all the uncertainty [1:07:13] Yeah that that even that plus three was looking pretty tempting I mean the Patriots shouldn be favored on the road versus anyone by that by that margin But at the same time the Giants got so lucky with six turnovers I mean this is just just a shit show so yeah i i think this is kind of the perfect time to to take a money line dog i go [1:07:35] with the buffalo bills here simply because uh i think they can win but i also you know the eagles [1:07:42] when they do win they sim they don't it doesn't ever seem to come down to a field goal anyway it's [1:07:47] always like you know with that gavis by five and the chiefs by four it's like it's one of those [1:07:54] teams that I don't mind just taking the money line here with Buffalo. You already broke it down, [1:08:00] so I'm not going to belabor the point, but Buffalo is plus 145 on the money line and the G-men are [1:08:09] plus 140.”
10-7 — New York won 10-7, so the Giants moneyline won as stored (ESPN Week 12 scoreboard).
“but we certainly rather have him than the other options here. So that's the other angle that I have here is that Mac Jones... injury if you know you got to get ahead of that because maybe he ends up missing maybe he doesn't but plays through and we've seen quarterbacks like that a back injury you're much less mobile the offensive line is moving pieces around the Steelers have a good pass rush although must be noted TJ Watt may also miss it sounds like he has a possibly a torn pectoral and again it's TJ Watt he might just play through that too for all that we know but all the Mike Tomlin underdog numbers Steelers are plus 105. I think even if you just want to get ahead of it, the Steelers are going”
NE 17, PIT 14 — ESPN's Week 2 schedule records NE 17, PIT 14, confirming Steelers ML settled lost as recorded.
“Sean Payton and the Saints plus 105 in Philly are going to be my money line dog.”
29-40 — NFL official results confirm the stored outcome.
“So I'm going pacers on the money line [42:27] that pays out at plus one forty. That is the play of the day.”
CLE 126, IND 104 — Cavaliers beat Pacers 126-104 in Game 3 of the East semifinals; Indiana lost outright, so the Pacers moneyline lost (ESPN scoreboard).
“going to take the 10 seed from this region, the Colorado Buffaloes. And I am going to take them Moneyline versus Boise State and then again try to roll them up on the Moneyline in their future games.”
NCAA's official bracket records Colorado eliminated by Marquette before the Sweet 16, confirming the rollover lost.
“Colts money line plus 115 or better. Okay. I bet it at plus 115 tonight, plus 115, half a unit on the money line.”
22-16 — Indianapolis lost to Arizona 22-16, so the Colts moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“If you parlay those two together, Jacksonville plus 140, Bears plus 145, you get plus 488 odds. So pretty juicy. But at this point, make sure you bet them individually because Stuck, you've been hitting these a lot more.”
ESPN records Baltimore as the winner, so the Jaguars moneyline lost as stored.
Spread & total CLV in points vs the closing line, verified during the data audit. Moneylines are ranked by implied-probability movement between the aired (or morning) price and the close — cent differences mislead at longshot odds — and every listed mover was cross-checked against the raw snapshot archive. How we measure this.