“Kendra's on Micah Parsons, 10 to one.”
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4243 total · 360 pending“Stucky on Kyler Murray with the Vikings at 6 to one.”
“And I'm on Malik neighbors, 16 to one with the New York Giants.”
“touchdowns on the season plus 250 i think even though he's a rookie he's gonna see a ton of”
“I'm going to go with Ashton Gentry 40 to one to win offensive player of the year.”
“So I'm picking Spain.”
“I'm going to have England in my final.”
“My first future we talked about the other day. Ravens under 11 and a half wins.”
“Mikhail bridges plus one 40 head to head versus Fox at draft Kings. [47:09] I think is a really great bet.”
“Wemby one-plus made threes at DraftKings, minus 130. [47:43] Another really good look. [47:46] Two plus threes, I'm sorry, is a really good look here.”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“i'm gonna go with jalen brunson to lead this series in three pointers four to one mentioned the matchup i think he's gonna get a ton up uh so”
“already logged they're already there bangles over nine and a half or browns over six and a half if”
“i gonna go browns i gonna go browns over six and a half”
“So I'm going to go with Tennessee over, I think it's about six and a half.”
“I'll play my flag on Chiefs under.”
“and the Steelers under 8.5 at minus 145.”
“that i have placed and they are on the jags over nine and a half wins at plus 110”
“to take the bangles to win the afc north plus 210 right now on draft kings i don't mind no i am all”
“yes I have the two that I gave out last week and the one that I've like I've been giving out the Giants forever so I'm I've already got the over on the Giants and I took the under on the Rams I am so heavy on both of those. I logged them into the action app.”
“I am all 10 toes on the ground, standing firm on the Rams under 11 and a half.”
“kendra took the rams i'm gonna take seattle under 10 and a half uh we haven't talked about it on the show but they fall under a just a”
“well that's where i am also 49ers under 10 and a half wins i think it's pretty easy to predict that the nfc west isn't going to produce three double digit winners in back-to-back seasons, the 49ers to me feel like the biggest regression candidate out there.”
“The biggest edge that I show right now is at DraftKings Falcons over six and a half minus 115.”
“I like the Bengals over 9.5 minus 140,”
“but I also love the Browns over 6.5 plus 105.”
“I love their division odds at 2-1, over 9.5 wins.”
“I'm taking the Bengals to win the AFC at 12 to 1.”
“But I think the bet I'll use here is the Ravens over.”
“I already like Jacksonville over.”
“I would go with the Steelers.”
“i liked pittsburgh uh i assume someone is going to mention new england”
“Yeah, I'm going Chargers to miss the playoffs.”
“I'm on the Texans plus one and a half at home against the Buffalo Bills.”
“I probably would prefer just the money line at that price to save a little juice on that.”
“that high for a reason Evan detailed it well in uh in his recap I like the Lions over 10 and a half”
“The Vikings to make the playoffs is awesome value right now at plus 170.”
“Under 10 and a half wins is a best bet type for me on the San Francisco 49ers.”
“I'm going to smash the under on the Rams.”
“I'm going to take the Bears under because truly there is,”
“uh i like the lions and the saints to go over 48 uh i i did it at minus 120”
“OK, so I'm going right back into the fire and I'm going to say that the Seattle Seahawks are going to beat the absolute crap out of the Patriots week one.”
“i'm gonna go with the giants plus two and a half week one”
“the literally the only two bets that i have logged in dk so far carson beck rookie of the year and then i'm also going to go with my kyle lemons over”
“that I have a Makai Lemon future for him to have over four touchdowns”
“I'll go Omar Cooper four and a half touchdowns.”
“I'm going Casey Concepcion 28 to one and Denzel Boston 30 to one.”
“I'm going Casey Concepcion 28 to one and Denzel Boston 30 to one.”
“Jordan Tyson under 800 and a half receiving yards I see a multitude of different”
“And the one angle that I do like, I like Cole Caulfield to get a shot or two shots in every [34:33] game of the series at plus 200.”
“I got to take the Yankees to win the World Series. And I think they have major warts and major deficiencies.”
“I'm going to say this series over five and a half games minus 160. That's where I'm going to plant my flag.”
“Nikhil Alexander Walker series leader in threes at minus one Oh five.”
“the braves are a team who i bet the win total under and i've also bet them to miss the playoffs during spring”
“the braves are a team who i bet the win total under and i've also bet them to miss the playoffs during spring”
“Right now, that bet that has the humongous edge is Seattle to win the AL West. [30:51] So I think that's the best bet on the board.”
“It's the Yankees under 92 and a half and the Rays over 76 and a half. [35:56] The Yankees is gone. [35:57] It's down to 90 and a half. [35:59] The Rays over would remain a bet because I have them closer to 80 wins, 81 wins.”
“I would much rather bet Kevin Cash to win manager of the year at 20 to 1, 15 to 1, [37:41] than I would to bet the Rays to make the playoffs at 3 to 1. [37:44] I think that's a tremendous bet.”
“In particular, I think Seattle is the team worth betting on at about 12-1 or 13-1. [47:14] So I am against the Dodgers.”
“giants to finish in second place i think the [47:20] dodgers are a huge favorite to win the no west”
“I make them 70.6 and I actually bet the under for that team.”
“My favorite win total over, we didn't get to them. [59:15] The Marlins over 72 and a half. [59:17] You could take that up to 75.”
“I'm going to go with my boy, Paul Skeens, to make the postseason plus 225 on [59:32] Giraffe Kings.”
“I'm going to take the Astros under 86 and a half wins. [59:54] I think this number is too close to the ceiling for a team that is trending down”
“I probably will be putting a rather hefty wager on the Saints winning this division this coming season.”
“Scooble is the only one of the four that I bet, only one of the four favorites that I bet.”
“Cease is a guy I bet for Cy Young, for AL Cy Young, which I did also bet Tarek Skool in”
“I like Frambois Valdez. [21:20] I bet him at about 30 to one.”
“16 plus wins for Fromber [23:30] is the only wins milestone bet I placed, [23:32] but it's actually a bigger edge than his outright prop.”
“And he's the one Mariner, I bet, amongst that group of guys you mentioned”
“I bet Gilbert K leader props. [24:52] I bet Gilbert K ladder props.”
“I bet Brian Wu K leader props I bet Brian Wu K ladder props So I talking like 200 210 plus 220 plus”
“and round tripping it all within 24 hours so I could get down on most of these props, but especially the Trey Yosavage props.”
“I'm right on Schwarber again this year at 35 to 1.”
“I make him about plus 450. [31:50] I bet him at five to one.”
“I bet Julio Rodriguez for AL MVP.”
- USA men's hockey to win gold
- USA women's hockey to win gold
“i think plus 275 was what i got it at for usa men's and women's to win the gold”
“I'm going to go with the Falcons. I already placed the bet on it. 75 to one.”
“I bet the Falcons to win next year's Super Bowl.”
“Patriots Broncos first half under will be where I plant my flag.”
“get any better I think if anything it's going to get worse so take the five and a half on”
“So, yeah, I'm going to plant my flag on the Broncos plus five and a half.”
“We are riding with Jared Stidham and the Denver Broncos, [44:16] plus five and a half in the AFC Championship game.”
“I'm going to go with my Uber driver's pick of the Patriots money line”
- Seahawks -1.5
- Texans +8.5
“teasing the Seahawks from seven and a half down to one and a half, and then the Texans from two and a half up to eight and a half.”
“I'm going to go with the Bills money line.”
- Broncos +7.5
- Seahawks -1
“I also teased the Broncos when they were one and a half up to seven and a half and the Seahawks down to one.”
“give me the under 46 and a half at draft kings seahawks and niners”
- Seahawks ML
- Rams ML
“So let's grab a Rams-Seattle Moneyline parlay at even odds, plus 100, and call it a wrap.”
“game was jags first half money line which i still love but we'll give two other looks here”
“I'm going to go with the Packers' money line.”
“And let's go the Chargers plus three and a half.”
“And then I'm going to throw the Eagles money line in here,”
“are Colston Loveland over three and a half receptions against the Packers or the Bills”
“so my nominees [45:48] are Colston Loveland over three and a half receptions against the Packers or the Bills [45:53] minus one here.”
“happy to add any one of those as my nominee if we don't like the I like Rams Panthers under”
“It's not going to be my plan at the flag game, but I played the Chargers plus three and a half.”
“I bet the Packers. Talk about that on Thursday.”
“Yeah, I would agree. Jags catching one and a half. I think that's the one that I would look at the most.”
“So one and a half, they would be a bet for me, or at least a lean as of right now.”
“I'm going to lay it with the San Francisco 49ers. Niners off a bye, minus 12.5 against the Tennessee Titans off of a win.”
“I don't care. Give me Josh Allen, Moneyline, basically a pick against the Patriots. I think the Bills get their revenge.”
“i'll get us started i'm gonna go with the baltimore ravens minus five and a half against the pittsburgh stealers i think the lure around this rivalry is helping to drive the price down”
“I'm going to plant my flag on the Bengals. When I saw this number at plus six, I was absolutely shook. Didn't believe it. I thought our website was off. It is not.”
“So give me over a touchdown with Atlanta, a gross Falcons dog bet after losing to the jets.”
“think FIU's worth a small bet at three”
“49ers minus three and a half already kind of teased this one. I got it at minus 105. This might touch three.”
“I'm going with the Seahawks this week. No questions asked.”
“But I'll plant my flag on the Bengals plus 7.5.”
“and I got it at minus 110 that number is gone now which does make me feel good about the wager at least at this juncture in the week”
“I bet the Patriots this week.”
- Green Bay Packers -1 (teased)
- Denver Broncos -1.5 (teased)
“I think the Packers are a great teaser leg. I already took them down to half a point, and I paired that with the Denver Broncos on Monday night down to a point against the Cincinnati Bengals.”
“I still would play the Falcons at two and a half, but obviously not as big.”
“Give me the under nine and a half.”
“So, yeah, I'm on their under.”
“So I'll bet the over out of respect to Tomlin.”
“i fucking love this browns Give me that over four and a half I love this team so much”
“I'll bet the adjusted total.”
“I have them at 13 wins, 11 and a half.”
“I would go under nine and a half here.”
“So 7.5, it's one of my favorite totals.”
“five and a half, I'll take that under every time if it's a game and a half.”
“If I'm going to bet this, like if I'm betting their win total, I'll take it.”
“everyone is down on them, which screams to me, give me the over seven and a half.”
“five and a half, you're never out of this bet.”
- Kansas City Chiefs to win AFC West
- Buffalo Bills to win AFC East
“Like right now, if I'm going just AFC, my two favorite teams at parlay, it's going to be the Chiefs and the Bills.”
“So, yeah, another favorite win total for me division-wise, six and a half. I love even more now you hit me with that stat about Pete Carroll.”
“i just nine nine and a half win total that's the only real bet i'd give out on this show for for denver”
“my favorite division bet from this division Raiders over six and a half full stop that's it Raiders over six and a half.”
“I'll I'll take all of his unders. [45:22] It's just it's just the way you have to do it.”
“The Phillies are one of the best win total under bets on the board in my opinion. Nobody has them higher than 90 wins.”
“I would bet their win total over 79 and a half, 78 and a half.”
“I'm gonna bet their win total over. I just I love how it all lines up for the year two bump for Caleb Williams and bringing in such a great offensive mind in Johnson.”
“Get give me the Raiders. I love this team over six and a half. They're minus one forty now towards the over.”
“Same division, Denver Broncos over five and a half.”
“I love the under six and a half for this team. Like, I've taken their adjusting under.”
“bet the under four and a half”
“I love the eagles. Eagles over 10 and a half. I just think this division's weak.”
“Go. Give me the lines 10 and a half over.”
“Do we not take the Chiefs over 11 and a half?”
“But I I'd just take they're over at 10 and a half Cincinnati Bengals.”
“So San Diego State under five and a half, absolutely the future.”
“eight and half, Chad, I'll I'll bet it with you. I like their over, and it's like an over will take just because if he does stay healthy, Stafford,”
“It's like, just just bet them at minus 200 division. Bet them the overwin total.”
“no one wants to say they're putting, you know, five figures on Minshew and the Raiders over win total, But I am. Like, I love this team.”
“on the Chargers under eight and a half. Give me your favorite”
“and I absolutely love the under”
“And then Zamir White over 775.5”
“8 and a half is is the total there. So this is one of the few win totals that I don't mind betting the over on.”
“this year, I I feel way way confident betting this number. The only negative here is we bet one we bet plus one thirty, plus one twenty,”
“to me, 10 and a half, still too high of a number. I I do like that under.”
“Yeah. Giants over six and a half. And if if you really make me bet on Washtenaw, I'm just slightly towards the under at six wins.”
“So, to me, I've not taken position on the Bills, division odds yet, but I have had bet the over 10 and a half.”
“I'll take it. And you can actually take this because it it's minus one fifty nine and a half.”
“I have no issue taking a 10 and half bet with this team either because it's just another team I really like their win total.”
“they're another team that I've invested a small amount into their over total.”
“I am finally on the under this year”
“our Foxhole bet was gonna be Pittsburgh plus three.”
“New York Giants minus one. That was our Simon Says.”
“I love this matchup with the Colts team, not just offensively.”
“road dogs against the Detroit lions plus three and a half.”
“Pittsburgh Pittsburgh plus three is our foxhole. Love it.”
“If you wanna make us one of our bets too, I love this pick, especially a plus three for the Steelers.”
“if you're looking for a total, the over here, 49 and half, I I don't mind taking that at all. I have this game at 51 and a half, so two points of value is a lot for me.”
“Simon Says. Hey. New York Giants.”
“Give me the Indianapolis Colts plus one and a half home underdog.”
“Yeah. It doesn't get much as in this divisional home dog on a team we both love with a quarterback we think is gonna take another big step in his second year.”
“I just I know I'm gonna hate myself for doing it, but I took the under. I just I had to bet it.”
“this is a bet that I made right when it came out. I've been hitting it.”
“I feel good with the nine or with the Jets or the Rams”
“you can bet the under if you want. I'll bet the under, but, like, why would you bet anything for them?”
“So I'll I'll take the over six and a half. I'll bet them 10 to one.”
“So, yeah, Eagles team over 10 and a half,”
“and the bears are screaming [30:50] over [30:51] this year on their win total.”
“is the overpassing yards for Williams. If Williams goes over his 3,500 [33:03] passing yards or 3,600,”
“Just right now, if you're gonna make a bet, I'll I'll take the rover at 10 and a half.”
“So I'll be on their over for their win total, and then my long shot for them will probably be,”
“I have number one team in football. So yeah. Take taking the rover, obviously.”
“So I'm with you on that one, Chad. This is this is a definitely an under eye bet, a five and a half.”
“we love it. Right? I love their win total over. I love them divisionally.”
“Love this team towards their 10 and a half over. It's just they're they're the most complete best team right now,”
“The under 11 and a half to me, that's a position you take here on this team.”
“Yeah. They're easy pick. Just bet the under. Don't overthink it. I mean, they're they're bad.”
“Colts are one of my favorite teams. Like, they're over a win and a half eight and a half is our win total. I'm gonna bet that. I know Chad will bet that.”
“Eagles over 10 and a half wins if you wanna make those bets.”
“even before he's drafted, Caleb Williams already getting a tough number from the books, eight and a half. I'll be all over that under.”
“I'm gonna bet the under on the bears.”
“So Dallas over nine and a half. The juice is pretty high. I don't really need it.”
“I just can't find a reason to fade the titans. I think the win total was, like, two wins too low, especially for this weak division.”
“So I'm a give you a a team I'm fading. And that's the Carolina panthers.”
“this Eagles team, I will take a small bet on the under. I got them right at 11 wins, so that half game bump makes sense”
“I will be betting on them to go over their win total and to win this division. It's just it's a smart bet to make.”
“And if I'm gonna take an under, it's gonna be on the eagles, and it's gonna be on Washington. I think both these teams have good value towards the under this upcoming season.”
“I'll go over 10 and a half with the Cowboys as my as my best bet for the NFC.”
“I once again like the over for the Giants. I have them winning eight or nine games to get over.”
“But I did bet their win total over 10 and a half is just too low. Like, that to me is an overreaction to the Rogers being in their division”
“So I've actually taken their under. I have them in nine wins, so I've taken the under small.”
“no brainer bet. I'll take the under, and I will stay far hell away from them Super Bowl future.”
“He has gone on the record with his love, the pass over seven and a half.”
“I've already bet the Pats over seven and a half. I haven't bet the division yet, but I will.”
“I got no issue taking this under. I got it off by a game and a half. So, yeah, under six and a half. No no doubt easy bet.”
“but, you know, I've already bet it. So I I got them eight and a half wins for the year. So, obviously, I'm taking the over seven and a half.”
“I like the number plus one twenty, plus one thirty. I like the over nine and a half.”
“So I'll take the over of nine and a half. It's just”
“So I would say my favorite my favorite bet right now is the is the Colts' overwin total.”
“So this is another low low total I'm gonna be taking the under on.”
“we're playing fire here, but over eight and a half, we're gonna be on it.”
“But, Simon, you've got him at nearly a game and a half better than that, so”
“So I I threw a small bet on their overwin total.”
“I mean, I'm gonna bet it this year just because I think it's all there for them to make a ten and seven,”
“I have also bet heavily on the bears over,”
“I'm gonna take that under eight and a half.”
“this is the team I will be taking a small bet on their under.”
“I would still take the under at six and a half. I have them at six wins.”
“I would look for out lines and bet the under six and a half.”
“the over eight and a half wins, [20:08] them and them divisionally, [20:10] I love it, Chad.”
“I'm just gonna take the under 11 and a half.”
“So I'm I'm happy to take that under, Chad.”
“Rams plus one zero five over six and a half”
“I'll join the public, I'll take the under four and a half.”
“So I I think lots of concerns for the Jets and plenty of reasons for me to believe I would rather go under nine and a half here than go over.”
“we do like the Rams over six and a half,”
“Yeah. I did I did the lazy bet of I took nuggets minus one and a half for the series. So I took them to win in six, hopefully.”
“I'll take Nuggets minus one and a half, but I'm just gonna tell you, if Simon's right and the public comes in on Miami, I'm gonna be on Nuggets minus two and a half as well.”
“Talking to a couple pros after that game last night, one of their favorite guys to fade in this upcoming upcoming series is Caleb Martin's total. So if if it's if it's over under 10 and a half points, I'm gonna be on that under for sure.”
“Well, look. I I I'm betting Nicole's plus three and a half. You're not betting it yet, so we will have to break down the games that we have bet”
“as a three point underdog at home against the San Francisco forty niners. Are you fucking kidding me? That is irresponsible”
“plus six on the road at the just discussed Washington”
“Unless Stafford's arm really fell off and Cooper Kupp's not gonna be back. This is an insane line. This is truly an insane line. I I get people are thinking the Rams are done. They're finished. Stafford's completely done. I haven't seen any of that anywhere. Right? Everything I've seen, he's hoping to be back for the start of the season, same with Cooper Kupp. So to me, this is one of those I just threw a bet on it just in case the number does drop once he is back officially.”
“I actually bet the other side. I was on the Patriots at minus three I mean, plus three and a half. I was on the Patriots at plus four. If you log in right now to bet three six five, it's up to plus five for the state of agency.”
“The Vikings minus six and a half, Chad.”
“It's the Browns. Like, we Browns plus two and a half against the Bengals right now. We have to do it. Like, that is the stinkiest, fishiest line. The public is going to be hammering Cincy in this spot.”
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML
- Cleveland Browns ML
“plus three at home against the niners and the browns plus two and a half at home against the bagels. We're gonna go That is very a AFC North heavy. We're gonna go with an AFC North money line parlay.”
“Yeah. It was actually one of those that's first first under I bet of the season. I took the under in this game as it was 44 or 45, I think. Now it went down to 44 and a half or 44.”
“So I'll take nuggets here. Minus one and half on a series spread, get you plus one thirty at bet three three sixty five.”
“I actually hit my best bet for the series is Heat plus two and a half. You get minus one forty at the three six five because”
“I actually disagree with Maria because I absolutely think that the heat are gonna win game one.”
“No. I will take the Atlanta dream over 18 and a half. That team”
“I think they can win two or three more games. So that's a really good example. Like, you wanna you wanna look at that.”
“So to me, Vegas, seven and a half win total, eight at some books. I love that under. I just they're a team I see a heavy road rest in, especially in a division that I just told you I think Denver's gonna be improved.”
“you've already told me you're taking Cincy under 10 and a half. Completely agree.”
“we already talked about their win total. I love them at seven and a half. I think that's a nice overplay, especially in that division.”
“I think one of my first bets I gave out was the Giants under. It's just it feels like it's just by the book kinda play.”
“I love that under. I know it's up to minus one twenty in most books now. I'd still take it. I'd take it down to 10 and a half.”
“I like the ravens over. Our sponsor bet three six five right now has the ravens team total at 8 and a half. Now you're gonna pay the juice. It's minus $1.60. But are you kidding me? 8 and a half?”
“So I like the ravens over. I like the eagles over. I mentioned them as well. Just two very high floor proven teams.”
“So they're at eight and a half with Kenny Pickett at a full season. Huge, huge fan of Kenny Pickett, Kenny Baller. And they had a really good draft. Like, eight and a half at plus 100? I don't know how you're not betting that.”
“It's, like, a 99% chance I'm gonna take the rover. I just I love this team. I love the coaching staff. I love what they're building there.”
“So definitely a win total under bet for me, [7:42] probably down to about 88 wins after the Reese Hoskins injury.”
“I like the Marlins over 74 and a half wins.”
“My favorite under is the White Sox under 89 and 83.5, I'm sorry,”
“oh yeah so we're talking new rules uh over on the arizona diamondbacks 74 and a half wins”
“My under, I'm going to go with [36:59] the Washington nationals under 59 and a half wins.”
“So Bears, under five and a half wins.”
“And the Jets, under five and a half wins, plus 125.”
“I love Carolina over six and a half Carolina plus one Oh five over six and a half”
“So I like taking that under. [32:20] If you still can get the nine and a half at a plus number, I would take that number.”
“Love the Jags. [34:47] Love they're over. [34:48] Having eight wins for the season.”
“That's why I like the under for the Dallas Cowboys at 10 and a half.”
“So for me, 10 and a half, that's a good bet, [19:28] betting they're under.”
“So, to me, I like the over. [26:09] I like them divisionally.”
“I don't see how you don't take the over.”
“so I'm down on them I bet they're under I didn't [33:07] bet big on it right it's not one of my bigger bets I had bet they're under”
“I'm on there under uh seven and a half wins I'll take it all the way down to minus 135 minus [36:32] 140”
“Obviously you can steal a game and in a 17 game season, I like the over,”
“And it's my biggest it's right now my biggest under bet.”
“But Patrick Mahomes under 350 and a half rushing yards,”
“So to me, I'm going to bet Moneyline either first game or the second game. [14:25] But I can guarantee you if they lose first game, I'll be on the Moneyline Golden State second game.”
“I'm heavy on Boston. [14:32] This is like the one spot that I'm really targeted in the series for a game bet.”
“So this is obviously, [30:10] I think a great spot to bet Tatum over on assist. [30:13] I tailed Raybon because he's been red hot in game two.”
“So I'm going to be playing Grant Williams unders. [40:10] I'm going to find his points, rebounds, assists and play the under on that because I do not know if he's going to be playable in this series.”
“So the first bets I made right when it came out was the Texans, a plus seven and a half, hit it again at plus eight.”
“Lions plus four hosting the Eagles”
“was gonna be one that was gonna be my next one i mean lions they're actually up to four and a half [12:11] now in fan duel um it's it's hard not to want to take this line right now and i did take it but i”
“key number of five and a half being under that six I'm grabbing it right now this Ravens number”
“Give me the Falcons plus three and a half against the Saints.”
“So I love that pick, Chad, three and a half, [18:47] two. That's such a key number. I take the number as well, but this is a money line bet for me as”
“I take the number as well, but this is a money line bet for me as [18:52] well.”
“plus 210 at FanDuel to lead the series in points, rebounds, and assists per game. I think he has a”
“I like them on their serious line. minus one and a half. I like the minus one and a half in game two.”
“Their win total right now is 92 and a half So I obviously like the over there That one of my favorite bets”
“Marlins over 75 and a half, Mariners under 78 [21:20] and a half and tigers under 78 and a half. I should say the Mariners that are 84 and a half. [21:25] That's my bad. Those are my three favorite win totals for this season.”
“Marlins over 75 and a half, Mariners under 78 [21:20] and a half and tigers under 78 and a half. I should say the Mariners that are 84 and a half. [21:25] That's my bad. Those are my three favorite win totals for this season.”
“The one over that I like, my favorite over is the Marlins over 75 and a half out there right now.”
“Oakland and Baltimore under those are my two favorite bets”
“Oakland and Baltimore under those are my two favorite bets”
“I'm not taking that. I found it over 60 and a half. So I'm going to play that right.”
“should we also be betting them over seven and a half yeah the win total is interesting they have”
“So for them, I'm on the under with Carolina.”
“And with the Buccaneers, I have to bet the under.”
- Miami Dolphins ML
- Tennessee Titans ML
“the Miami Dolphins parlayed with [40:29] the Tennessee Titans. So it's whatever. I bet two grand and win four grand.”
“But I think the Panthers go over seven and a half wins.”
“I love the under here, especially when it's sitting at 11.”
“Yep. And you're under that under on the nine.”
“Oh yeah. Over on Miami.”
“So I'm under win total as well.”
“Bet the under, nine wins for the Cowboys.”
“I'm going to actually go over because I think I could still get the push at nine.”
“I can't not take this over.”
“Over. The defense is too good. Might not be a Super Bowl team, but definitely a team that can”
“I'm going under on the [22:16] Giants. This is a team with a shaky O-line and a below average quarterback.”
“So for me, I am betting this under, but it's not one of those where I'm, you know, really putting out there anymore.”
“We're going under six and a half for the Eagles.”
“I think absolutely they're a contender in the South and I'll take over seven [18:05] any day.”
“So Notre Dame [21:22] under nine with that schedule, I'll take it all day.”
“And the fact that so much of the public is heavy on the over, man, you really have to [12:17] like this under win total for the Vikings team at nine.”
“and at [28:19] seven and a half wins in this division, it just feels like a gimme. [28:22] Like this is really good value on a team that is, has low expectations.”
“I'm going to bet that over seven and a half.”
“You could give me any number on the Houston Texans and I'm taking their [41:52] under win total.”
“I just look at that team that I took their under already.”
“ohio plus 10 and a half was just a bad opener”
“I got some nine and a half there.”
“The Falcons are actually one of my favorite win total under bets at seven and a half.”
“i can almost guarantee i'll have money on eastern washington uh in week one with the spread and and”
“And I'll definitely have some money on the side with Moneyline on them.”
“i think i would go with with the with the nuggets on the road because i think you're getting good”
“I know it's juiced right now, but it's a play at six.”
“Utah over eight and a half, I like Utah to go to the, I like Utah to go to the college football”
“And I think if they call a tighter game and a tighter series for that matter it benefits the Rockets Because James Harden you know they said they missed four calls on him That 12 free throws James Harden doesn miss many free throws”
“So I like giving those points against Auburn.”
“I hedged a little bit and I bet Kentucky at two-and-a-half.”
“I bet Virginia Tech on the money line.”
“By the way, I am all in on Virginia Tech”
“I'm grabbing those points.”
“I cannot take Tony Bedford against Tom Izzo”
“I'll take Purdue with the way Carson Edwards is playing to win outright,”
“I'm going to take them, and I'll take the one and a half as well for that game.”
“So I'll take UVA, and I will give those points as well against Oregon.”
“I have UC Irvine.”
“Blackjack and Paul both have Kansas State.”
“Blackjack and Paul both have Kansas State.”
“I'll take Wisconsin.”
“So right now, Schwartz and Blackjack are on the opposite sides of Wisconsin, Oregon.”
“On Wofford over Seton Hall.”
“All right, so Jeff and I will both bet you together.”
“I like Seton Hall to beat Wofford outright.”
“You don't think UCF beats VCU?”
“I don't.”
“I think you take Virginia first half and hammer Virginia first half.”
“But, yeah, I played him a full game, and I put more units on first.”
“I would take the points with Fairleigh Dickinson.”
“So I think that's the one team that you can lay the points, Kentucky.”
“I think the better play is Northeastern in the first half.”
“St. Mary's defends the three-pointer very well.”
“And I completely agree with St. Mary's.”
“Who did I bet? I bet Oregon already in this game.”
“So I like Wisconsin just based on this line.”
“as well as plus 5.5. I mean, I think it's”
“I mean, I played under 120”
“I'll be on Northeastern plus, I can tell you that.”
“I like over 1,100 yards.”
“I like the over 1,100 yards as well.”
“but I think he does go over 600 receiving.”
“So I like this play because I think he'll have more of an impact”
“I'm with you on the receiving yards.”
“And again, another line that's like 7, we'll take App State on the money line.”
“But I like Mississippi State in this spot as a 10-point favorite over Kentucky on the road.”
“And I think Washington State's the play here against SC, plus the points.”
“top 10 minus 105 they are not Amen guys over at no ceilings”
Nate Ament was selected 13th overall by Milwaukee in the 2026 NBA Draft, outside the top 10. (Ament drafted No. 13)
“I'm going to go with Acuff, over six and a half plus 155.”
Darius Acuff Jr. was selected 7th overall by the Sacramento Kings, later than pick 6.5. (Acuff drafted No. 7)
“but i'm gonna go with boozer uh i think he's minus 140 to go third overall um i think that's”
Cam Boozer was drafted exactly 3rd overall by the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2026 NBA Draft. (Boozer drafted No. 3)
“And I am on Russell Henley, 41 to 1 to win outright.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open outright; Russell Henley did not win. (Winner: Wyndham Clark (-4))
“Kendra is on Cam Young, top 10 hometown guy, plus 250.”
Cam Young finished T43 at +3, outside the top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open. (Young T43 (+3))
“Stucky is on Sam Burns, top 20 finish at plus 135.”
Sam Burns finished runner-up (solo 2nd) at the 2026 U.S. Open, comfortably inside the top 20. (Burns solo 2nd (-3, 277))
“Kyle Murray, Tommy Fleetwood, top 10, plus 196 over on DraftKings.”
Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 at +1 at the 2026 U.S. Open, just outside the top 10. (Fleetwood T11 (+1))
“If you see dylan volantis on the mound which you will uh saturday night that is an automatic play because he's just untouchable right now”
Georgia beat Texas 7-1 in their College World Series opener on June 13, 2026. (Georgia 7, Texas 1)
“Yeah, I love Kendra's bet, but I'm going to move to Ole Miss, North Carolina. Let's go over eight and a half. I think it's gone up from minus 110 to minus 120.”
North Carolina beat Ole Miss 6-2 in the CWS opener — combined 8 runs, under the 8.5 total. (North Carolina 6, Ole Miss 2 (total 8 runs))
“So I like over eight and a half big, and I like Ole Miss to advance here.”
North Carolina beat Ole Miss 6-2 in the College World Series opener on June 12, 2026. (North Carolina 6, Ole Miss 2)
“they shouldn't be priced where they are, but West Virginia absolutely takes its first game tomorrow.”
West Virginia beat Troy 7-5 in the College World Series opener on June 12, 2026, on Tyrus Hall's go-ahead 8th-inning single. (West Virginia 7, Troy 5)
“Yeah, yeah, Texas over West Virginia.”
Oklahoma won the 2026 College World Series, defeating North Carolina 13-2 in Game 3 on June 21, 2026. Texas was not in the CWS final. Source: https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2026-06-21/2026-ncaa-baseball-tournament-bracket-schedule-scores-mens-college-world-series
“yeah i'm gonna go texas minus 135 before the price gets better or gets worse”
Georgia beat Texas 7-1 in their College World Series opener on June 13, 2026. (Georgia 7, Texas 1)
- USA to win closed +290 · CLV 0¢ won
- Sergino Dest 1+ shot on target pending
- Under 3.5 total goals closed +2 · CLV +1.5 lost
“Sergio Dest one plus shot under three and a half love it that'll be our DraftKings parlay for Friday night”
Parlay busts: USA to win — won; Sergino Dest 1+ shot on target +0.5 — manual; Under 3.5 total goals +3.5 — lost.
“let's go back to the u.s one of the three host nations my best bet it's for the u.s to have a good tournament but not an extraordinary one so a stage of elimination round of 16 which is around plus 220”
USA eliminated by Belgium (1-4) in the Round of 16 on 2026-07-06 — the bet on USA's elimination stage being the Round of 16 wins.
“i'm rolling with the tries plus 150 to make the round of 16”
Ecuador advanced out of the group stage (3rd in Group E) but was eliminated by Mexico 2-0 in the Round of 32, never reaching the Round of 16. (Mexico 2, Ecuador 0 (Round of 32))
“i'm gonna go to colombia to win group k plus 240”
Colombia won Group K with 7 points, finishing ahead of Portugal, DR Congo, and Uzbekistan. (Group K: 1. Colombia (7 pts), 2. Portugal (5), 3. DR Congo (4), 4. Uzbekistan (0))
“as well as jalen brunson finals mvp uh slew of them”
Jalen Brunson won the 2026 NBA Finals MVP (Bill Russell Trophy).
“I'll take the Spurs to win the series in six at five to one. [49:56] Over at DraftKings, those are NBA Finals' best.”
Spurs did not win the 2026 Finals in 6; the Knicks won the series 4-1.
“So I believe Oklahoma City is going to win the game. Forget the three and a half points. Let's go Moneyline.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — Oklahoma City Thunder lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll go back to them with Chet under points.”
No numeric points line was stated on air; using the closing prop line (13.5), Chet Holmgren scored just 10 points in Game 6 (Spurs 118, Thunder 91), under. (Chet Holmgren 10 pts vs closing line 13.5)
“So over seven and a half points for Isaiah Hartenstein will be my bet added to the card plus six 50 over on draft Kings.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — Isaiah Hartenstein: 10 points vs over 7.5; covers. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 10 points)
“I'm going to take the total under two 16 and a half”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Combined 241; under 216.5 busts.
“So I will actually look to his PRA over 13 and a half”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Alex Caruso: 30 pra vs over 13.5; covers. (Alex Caruso: 30 pra)
“let's go with SGA over one and a half threes”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2 threes vs over 1.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2 threes)
“It's early enough in the week. Scotty, top five minus 110.”
Scottie Scheffler finished T14 (-2) at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink, outside the top 5, so the top-5 bet lost.
“I like Russell Henley 50-1 as an outright, a little further down the board.”
2026 PGA Championship was won by Aaron Rai (-9). Russell Henley missed the cut, so the outright lost.
“If I had to actually plant my flag on one of those that I had just mentioned, plant my flag, Xander top 10.”
Xander Schauffele finished T7 (-4) at the 2026 PGA Championship, inside the top 10, so the top-10 bet won.
“Also, my plant, the flag is JJ spawn top 10, finish five to one. So plus 500 on that.”
J.J. Spaun missed the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship, so the top-10 bet lost.
“on let's go with the ducks to win game two is that enough of a take i think that's a good bet”
VGK 1, ANA 3 — Anaheim Ducks won; moneyline covers.
“I'll probably stick with the Ducks”
Anaheim Ducks did not win the 2026 Stanley Cup; the Carolina Hurricanes won it 4-2 over Vegas.
“And I have been chasing an Andrei Svechnikov goal. [51:30] So I'm going to continue to chase it plus 225 for Thursday.”
Andrei Svechnikov scored in the 3rd period as Carolina beat Philadelphia 4-1 in Round 2 Game 3 on May 7, 2026. (1 G, 1 A)
“Give me the Minnesota wild at 16 to one.”
Minnesota Wild did not win the 2026 Stanley Cup; the Carolina Hurricanes won it 4-2 over Vegas.
“I am going to number nine, the Puma. He's another horse that is coming out of the Florida Derby. He finished second in that race just by a nose.”
152nd Kentucky Derby (May 2, 2026) was won by Golden Tempo (23-1). The Puma did not win.
“kendra your turn to sell us on right to party i just every single year go with the name that i like the most i am strictly vibes”
152nd Kentucky Derby was won by Golden Tempo. Right to Party did not win.
“So I'm stubborn and going with Chief Wallaby.”
152nd Kentucky Derby was won by Golden Tempo; Chief Wallabee finished 4th, so the outright-win bet lost.
“I'm going to go with Commandment. Battle tested. One-four straight. hot at the right time”
152nd Kentucky Derby was won by Golden Tempo. Commandment did not win.
“the one bet i had was this nicks hawk series to go over five and a half”
Knicks-Hawks went 6 games (Knicks won 4-2), so the Over 5.5 games cashes.
“I do think like the unders is gonna be a great play again just because I think the market is unable to kind of encounter or kind of account for how terrible how truly terrible uh both these offenses have been”
No numeric total line was stated on air; using the closing total (211.5), Pistons beat Magic 116-109 (225 combined points), well over. (Pistons 116, Magic 109 (total 225) vs closing 211.5)
“i bet them plus two and a half on the series spread i bet them plus one and a half i think they can get one more game”
Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1 (margin of 3 games), so Toronto +2.5 on the series spread did not cover.
“i bet them plus two and a half on the series spread i bet them plus one and a half i think they can get one more game”
Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1 (margin of 3 games), so Toronto +1.5 on the series spread did not cover.
“So if you get on something like San Antonio to beat the Knicks as an exacta, I think that that has actually a pretty good amount of value here based off of where the number that you're able to get in the market. So do that one.”
Exacta 'Spurs beat Knicks in the Finals' lost; the Knicks beat the Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 NBA Finals.
“i'm gonna go jalen brown eastern conference mvp plus 225 because i wish that god hated boston more than he does”
Jaylen Brown did not win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP (Larry Bird Trophy); Jalen Brunson did.
“I'm going to stick with the one I mentioned earlier Cavs to make the Eastern Conference Finals”
Cleveland Cavaliers reached the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals (where the Knicks swept them 4-0).
“I'm going to stick with this. Jalen Brunson, plus 700, Eastern Conference Finals MVP.”
Jalen Brunson won the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP (Larry Bird Trophy).
“I'm going to go with the Rockets plus 550 now over on DraftKings to make it out of round one against the Lakers.”
Lakers beat the Rockets 4-2 in the first round, so Houston did not advance out of round one.
“i would probably go hood so i'll go colton hood uh 35 at 10 to 1”
Colton Hood drafted at pick 35. Hood (CB, Tennessee) was drafted No. 37 by the Giants; pick No. 35 was EDGE T.J. Parker to the Bills.
“i'm gonna go with students at 35 uh assuming the Bills keep that.”
Treydan Stukes drafted at pick 35. Stukes (S, Arizona) was drafted No. 38 by the Raiders; pick No. 35 was EDGE T.J. Parker to the Bills.
“so i am gonna rock with that i'm gonna say boston to the 49ers at that slot”
49ers draft Denzel Boston (WR) with their first pick. The 49ers' first pick (No. 33) was WR De'Zhaun Stribling, not Denzel Boston, who went No. 39 to the Browns.
“Chase Pesantis, offensive guard, Texas A&M, plus 600 goes to the 49ers.”
Chase Bisontis drafted by the 49ers. Bisontis (G, Texas A&M) was drafted No. 34 by the Arizona Cardinals; the 49ers took WR Stribling at No. 33.
“if you could get him even in the top four and pay a little bit of a better price tag on that I just think that kind of my big take right now is that the germ I love is not lasting past pick four”
Jeremiah Love top 4 pick. Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame) was drafted No. 3 overall by the Cardinals, inside the top 4.
“the way I've been betting this market is I'm just betting the Cardinals to be the team to draft Ty Simpson”
Arizona Cardinals to draft Ty Simpson. The Cardinals used their first-round pick (No. 3) on RB Jeremiyah Love; Ty Simpson went No. 13 to the Rams.
“And I have some positions on Tyson being the first receiver taken in this draft.”
Jordan Tyson to be the first WR drafted. The first WR off the board was Carnell Tate (No. 4); Jordyn Tyson went No. 8 to the Saints.
“I like Spencer Fano to be the top offensive lineman, the first offensive lineman drafted.”
Spencer Fano to be the first OL drafted. Fano (OT, Utah) was the first offensive lineman taken, No. 9 overall by the Browns.
“Yeah. I like the over there. I think there are six first round wide receivers.”
Only 5 wide receivers were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr.) — under 5.5, so the over lost. (5 WRs drafted in Round 1)
“I think that that's still kind of the way that I would be looking to bet this is I would just be going over on Carnell Tate.”
Carnell Tate over (draft position). His draft-position over/under sat around 7.5; the over needed pick 8 or later, but Tate went No. 4 overall to the Titans (well under), so the over loses.
“I'm going over on quarterbacks selected in the first round.”
Two quarterbacks were drafted in Round 1 (Fernando Mendoza No. 1, Ty Simpson No. 13) — over 1.5 QBs won. (2 QBs drafted in Round 1)
“Yeah, I think I'm going to end up betting him to the Cardinals at three.”
Arizona Cardinals to draft Jeremiah Love at No. 3. The Cardinals selected RB Jeremiyah Love with the No. 3 overall pick.
“Total trades, four and a half. Average last 20 years, five and a half trades. Yeah. I'm going to go over.”
Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft featured eight trades — over 4.5 won. (8 trades in Round 1)
“i'm just gonna say miami offensive lineman”
Miami Dolphins to draft an offensive lineman in Round 1. The Dolphins selected OT Kadyn Proctor (Alabama) at No. 12 in Round 1.
“Oh, Evan said agree, took plus 125 to a lineman yesterday.”
Miami Dolphins to draft an offensive lineman in Round 1. The Dolphins selected OT Kadyn Proctor (Alabama) at No. 12 in Round 1.
“i i like that look at wide receiver plus 450 that's what i'll go with”
Buffalo Bills to draft a wide receiver in Round 1. The Bills traded out of Round 1 and made no first-round pick; their first selection was EDGE T.J. Parker at No. 35 in Round 2.
“i'm gonna go over on wide receivers five and a half selected”
Only 5 wide receivers were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr.) — under 5.5, so the over lost. (5 WRs drafted in Round 1)
“by the way i just added caleb downs going eighth to the saints at 12 to one i saw you go wild on the app”
Caleb Downs drafted 8th to the New Orleans Saints. Downs (S, Ohio State) was drafted No. 11 by the Cowboys; the Saints picked WR Jordyn Tyson at No. 8.
“So for those of you out here, I tracked Ty Simpson minus 160 to go in the first 32 picks.”
Ty Simpson to be drafted in the top 32 (first round). Simpson (QB, Alabama) was drafted No. 13 overall by the Rams, inside the first 32 picks.
“I have Kenyon Sadiq going before 15 and a half,”
Kenyon Sadiq to be drafted before pick 15.5 (i.e., picks 1–15). Sadiq was drafted No. 16 overall by the Jets, just outside the threshold.
“I have him to be the first offensive lineman drafted, [6:34] minus 234, which obviously not great value,”
Francis Mauigoa to be the first offensive lineman drafted. The first OL off the board was Spencer Fano (No. 9, Browns); Mauigoa went No. 10 to the Giants.
“Same with Carnell Tate, first wide receiver drafted, [6:41] minus 271.”
Carnell Tate to be the first wide receiver drafted. Tate (WR, Ohio State) was the first WR taken, No. 4 overall by the Titans.
“And then I have Garrett Nesmeyer to be a top 32 NFL draft pick plus 5,692.”
Garrett Nussmeier to be drafted in the top 32 (first round). Nussmeier was not drafted until the 7th round, No. 249 overall by the Chiefs.
“I have a bet in on the 49ers to take a wide receiver because a lot of their top 30 visits [40:18] were with wide receivers.”
San Francisco 49ers to draft a wide receiver in the first round. The 49ers traded out of Round 1 entirely and made no first-round pick; their first selection (WR Stribling) came at No. 33 in Round 2.
“I'm going to go with them to take a linebacker.”
Dallas Cowboys to draft a linebacker at pick 12. The Cowboys' Round 1 picks were S Caleb Downs (No. 11) and EDGE Malachi Lawrence (No. 23); no linebacker, and they did not pick at No. 12.
“at number seven, I'm going to say that Carnell Tate is on the board for Washington [48:41] and Carnell Tate's their pick at plus 225. [48:44] So I'll rock with that.”
Carnell Tate to be drafted 7th by the Washington Commanders. Tate went No. 4 to the Titans; Washington picked LB Sonny Styles at No. 7.
“sunny styles plus 150 [49:49] to go fifth to the new york giants”
Sonny Styles to be drafted 5th by the New York Giants. Styles went No. 7 to Washington; the Giants picked EDGE Arvell Reese at No. 5.
“I'm taking the Knicks to win the conference because As I've said all along, I think they're going to the NBA finals this year.”
New York Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference, sweeping Cleveland 4-0 in the ECF.
“I'm going the over one and a half quarterback selected in round one. I think three are going in the first round, and I'm sticking to it. I think it's a really good price, even though some people hate it. it is my favorite bet for the entire draft.”
Over 1.5 QBs selected in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft. Exactly 2 QBs were taken in Round 1 (Fernando Mendoza No. 1, Ty Simpson No. 13), which clears 1.5.
“I'm going to go with a fun one here that I really like, and I've just kept adding to Chase Besantis, first round pick. It's like plus 300 to plus 400, depending on where you can find it.”
Chase Bisontis to be a first-round pick. Bisontis (G, Texas A&M) was drafted No. 34 overall by the Arizona Cardinals in Round 2, not Round 1.
“I am going to close us out with the Chiefs to draft a safety at plus 650.”
Kansas City Chiefs to draft a safety. The Chiefs' 2026 class (Delane CB, Woods DT, R Mason Thomas EDGE, Jadon Canady CB, plus later picks) did not include a player drafted at safety; Canady is officially listed as a cornerback.
“I took ACC players under 6.5 and minus 260.”
Under 6.5 ACC players drafted in Round 1. Exactly 6 ACC players went in Round 1 (Mauigoa, Bain Jr., Blake Miller, Mesidor, Rutledge, Peter Woods), which is under 6.5.
“No, I have that one written down. I think that that's a great bet.”
Los Angeles Rams to draft a wide receiver (no round specified). The Rams selected WR CJ Daniels (Miami) at No. 197 in the 6th round of the 2026 NFL Draft.
“logged in draft kings I have Garrett Nussmeyer going in the first round I think that he is the number two quarterback in this draft”
Garrett Nussmeier to be drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft. Nussmeier (LSU QB) fell dramatically and was not selected until the 7th round, No. 249 overall by the Chiefs. Only two QBs went in Round 1 (Mendoza No. 1, Ty Simpson No. 13).
“See, let's go Siwoo Kim outright 49 to 1, baby. So if it hits, we can clip this. I will be betting it myself.”
2026 Masters was won by Rory McIlroy (-12). Si-woo Kim finished 47th (+4), so the outright lost.
“i'm gonna go him top five plus 305 over on draft kings right now plus 305 top five”
Xander Schauffele finished T9 (-8) at the 2026 Masters, outside the top 5, so the top-5 bet lost.
“Akshay Batia 57 to 1. The guy is 24 years old. He's won three times on the PGA Tour already.”
2026 Masters was won by Rory McIlroy. Akshay Bhatia missed the cut, so the outright lost.
“But I like Cameron Young for an outright winner. Obviously, he's coming off of the player's victory.”
Cameron Young finished T3 (-10) at the 2026 Masters; Rory McIlroy won. The outright-winner bet lost.
“I like Patrick Reed for a top 10 as well.”
Patrick Reed finished T12 (-5) at the 2026 Masters, outside the top 10, so the top-10 bet lost.
“you can have the margin of victory in either direction at 1 to 5 points at plus 140 out in the market So all you really looking for is a close game I think that's an incredible bet.”
Margin of victory 1-5 points (either team) in the Arizona vs Michigan 2026 Final Four semifinal. Michigan won 91-73, a 18-point margin, outside the 1-5 band. Bet lost.
“I'm still going to stick with my Illinois choice just because I think their roster is better, and that matters more than a great coach with a lesser roster at this point.”
CONN 71, ILL 62 — Illinois Fighting Illini lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to go with a player prop, Brayden Burries for Arizona.”
ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Brayden Burries: 13 points vs over 16.5; busts. (Brayden Burries: 13 points)
“i going to go with the under in arizona michigan we expecting frazier ali in this one and usually those kind of games i like to tilt towards the under”
ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Combined 164; under 157.5 busts.
“let's go Arizona plus one and a half. I make them a very, very tiny favorite.”
ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Arizona Wildcats margin -18 vs line +1.5; busts.
- Brayden Burries over 16.5 points closed +16.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Under 157.5 closed +157.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Arizona +1.5 closed -1.5 · CLV +3 lost
- Illinois ML closed +105 · CLV 0¢ lost
“if we put all of those together, we've got Burries, who is at over 16 and a half points, scored the under Michigan, Arizona, 157 and a half, Arizona plus one and a half against Michigan and the Illinois money line. We get home at plus 1050 over on draft Kings where the crown is yours.”
Parlay busts: Brayden Burries over 16.5 points +16.5 — lost; Under 157.5 +157.5 — lost; Arizona +1.5 +1.5 — lost; Illinois ML — lost.
“So I going to go Donovan Mitchell just because in a game against the Lakers I think that your best player has to do all three of the things that you need to win a game So I going to go with Donovan Mitchell”
Luka Doncic led all players with 59 PRA (42p/5r/12a) as the Lakers beat the Cavaliers 127-113; Donovan Mitchell had only 19 PRA (10p/3r/6a), so the King of the Court pick lost. (Doncic 42/5/12 = 59 PRA; Mitchell 10/3/6 = 19 PRA)
“I'll go Danny of the of the Portland Trailblazers going up against the tough defense in the”
Deni Avdija led all players with 47 PRA (28p/11r/8a) as the Trail Blazers beat the Clippers 114-104, winning the King of the Court pick. (Avdija 28/11/8 = 47 PRA (game high))
“I am taking the most obvious home run bet of the day in Major League Baseball. I'm going Tyler O'Neill of the Baltimore Orioles. My Baltimore Orioles tabbed Mr. Opening Day. He has now hit a home run in six straight openers no matter what team he's on he hits home runs on opening day plus 308 on draft kings that's my dinger bet of the day”
Tyler O'Neill to hit a home run on Opening Day 2026 (Orioles, +308). O'Neill did NOT homer; his Opening Day HR streak ended at 6. He went 1-for-2 with a walk in a 2-1 Orioles win over the Twins. Lost.
“when I filled out our notes this morning Roman Anthony was plus 400 to hit a home run he's now plus 413 so we've got even more value because we waited a little bit longer so I'm gonna go Roman Anthony. He's the future of the Red Sox.”
Roman Anthony to hit a home run on Opening Day 2026 (Red Sox @ Reds, +413). Anthony went 3-for-3 with a walk but no home run; the Red Sox won 3-0 with zero home runs in the game. Lost.
“I am going to go with Duke. I know that you guys have been shitting on them this entire show, but they have the best player.”
Duke to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Duke lost the Elite Eight to UConn 73-72; Michigan won the 2026 championship. Bet lost.
“I'm going to go Houston. It's a team that I've basically been in love with the whole year.”
Houston to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Houston lost the Elite Eight to Illinois 65-55; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.
“If I'm boosting something, I'm going to go with Purdue. I think that they're peaking at the right time.”
Purdue to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Purdue lost the Elite Eight to Arizona 79-64; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.
“I'm going to go Illinois. I will take your advice, Stucky, and go slightly off the beaten path of the one seeds.”
Illinois to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Illinois reached the Final Four but lost to UConn 71-62 in the national semifinal; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.
“I put a nice hefty wager. One of the biggest I've ever placed on Trey Hendrickson to not be a Green Bay Packer.”
Trey Hendrickson signed a four-year, $112M contract with the Baltimore Ravens in early 2026 free agency after the Bengals declined to franchise-tag him. He did not sign with the Green Bay Packers, so the bet that he would NOT be a Packer cashes.
“But I show a bigger edge on the Dominican Republic. Like I make them about plus 355. So anything four to one or better on the DR, I think is a good bet right now.”
2026 WBC was won by Venezuela (beat USA 3-2 in the final, Mar 17). The Dominican Republic finished third, so DR-to-win lost.
“Canada is a massive edge for me.”
Canada won 2026 WBC Pool A (3-1, top seed, beat Puerto Rico for the top spot), advancing past the first round for the first time.
“enough that I'm actually picking the DR not only to win the tournament, [48:28] but to win their group as well, [48:30] or their pool. [48:30] I make them about minus 175 in pool D and I'm a lower on Venezuela.”
The Dominican Republic won 2026 WBC Pool D outright at 4-0, beating Venezuela 7-5 in the decisive pool game.
“Another winner. I like Purdue catching the points at home.”
No spread number was stated on air; Purdue was roughly +1.5 to +2.5 at closing vs Michigan and lost 91-80 (by 11), well outside any realistic number. (Michigan 91, Purdue 80 vs closing ~Purdue +2.5)
“I will plant my flag on Kansas beating Arizona tonight, handing them their first loss in Lawrence.”
KU 82, ARIZ 78 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“I do have the heat minus seven tonight.”
MIA 111, UTAH 115 — Miami Heat margin -4 vs line -7; busts.
“First one is going to be Seattle team total under 25.5 points.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 25.5 busts.
“The other will go with, let's go Hunter Henry over 39.5 receiving yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 39.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)
“i like the over longest uh reception of 17 and a half too”
Hunter Henry's longest reception was 16 yards in Super Bowl LX, under the 17.5 line.
“i did some research as well and i have wound up on the under strong i'm gonna say probably like the nine or ten area”
Bad Bunny performed roughly 13-14 songs at the Super Bowl LX halftime show (full enumerated setlists), well over 11.5, so the Under 11.5 lost.
“and I have him over half a receiving yard.”
Jake Bobo did not record a reception in Super Bowl LX (Seahawks 29, Patriots 13); 0 receiving yards fails the over 0.5 line. (Jake Bobo: 0 rec, 0 yds)
“One Cooper Cup for an anytime plus 250.”
Cooper Kupp had no touchdown in Super Bowl LX (6 catches, 61 yds), so the anytime-TD prop missed.
- Sam Darnold over 0.5 interceptions
- Drake Maye over 0.5 interceptions
“I mean, I parlayed both of them to have an interception.”
Parlay needs both QBs to throw an INT; Sam Darnold threw zero interceptions (finished the postseason turnover-free) while Drake Maye threw two, so one leg misses and the parlay loses. (Darnold: 19/38, 202 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT; Maye: 27/43, 295 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
“I think we're getting major value on the Patriots here.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — New England Patriots margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.
- Hunter Henry Over 3.5 receptions (4+) closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
- New England Patriots +4.5 closed +4.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Drake Maye over 0.5 interceptions (1+ INT) pending
“has been nominated four plus receptions for Hunter Henry Patriots plus four and a half drake may throws at least one int plus 525 over on draft kings”
Parlay busts: Hunter Henry Over 3.5 receptions (4+) +3.5 — lost; New England Patriots +4.5 +4.5 — lost; Drake Maye over 0.5 interceptions (1+ INT) +0.5 — manual.
“I love the JSN here, right?”
Cross-sport battle settled on Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8, 2026): Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 3 receptions in Super Bowl LX vs Jaylen Brown's 2 rebounds at Knicks. JSN side wins, 3 > 2.
“Yes, I would bet no. Yes, I would bet no.”
There were no successful two-point conversions in Super Bowl LX, so the No bet cashed.
“you can get the the seahawks over four and a half players rush attempt at like plus 135 i like that”
Only 4 Seahawks recorded a rush attempt (Walker, Holani, Darnold, Shaheed), under the 4.5 line.
“So I think they go over 4.5, but the better bet might be over 7.5 total.”
Only 7 total players (4 Seahawks, 3 Patriots) recorded a rush attempt, under the 7.5 line.
“Siakam, I mean, you kind of know what you're going to get from him. I feel like this is priced correctly, but Siakam to me feels like the side.”
Cross-sport battle settled Feb 8, 2026: Pascal Siakam had 18 pts + 4 reb = 22 (Pacers at Raptors) vs TreVeyon Henderson's 19 rush + 26 rec = 45 yds in Super Bowl LX. Henderson won the matchup, so the Siakam side lost.
“I love Rashid Shahid MVP here at 30-1. I love it.”
Rashid Shaheed did not win Super Bowl LX MVP; the award went to Kenneth Walker III.
“argument that he may let someone can make, it's Milton Williams for me.”
Milton Williams did not win Super Bowl LX MVP; Kenneth Walker III did, and the Patriots lost.
“will campbell's been an issue demarcus lawrence super bowl mvp”
DeMarcus Lawrence did not win Super Bowl LX MVP; Kenneth Walker III was named MVP.
“It has to be Monaco. There is no other option, in my opinion”
Bad Bunny's first song at the Super Bowl LX halftime show was 'Tití Me Preguntó,' not 'Monáco,' so the first-song bet lost.
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
No numeric line was captured for the Hunter Henry receptions over on air (only the longest-reception props were numbered at 16.5/17.5); using the closing receptions line (3.5), Henry finished with just 3 catches in the Super Bowl. (3 receptions vs closing line 3.5)
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
No numeric line was captured for the Hunter Henry receiving-yards over on air; using the closing receiving-yards line (39.5), Henry finished with just 31 yards on 3 catches. (31 receiving yards vs closing line 39.5)
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
Hunter Henry's longest reception in Super Bowl LX was 16 yards (3 catches, 31 yds), under the 16.5 line.
“Halani over one and a half receptions. I also parlayed that with a Kenneth Walker touchdown for the fun of it.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — George Holani: 1 receptions vs over 1.5; busts. (George Holani: 1 receptions)
“Demario Douglas under 11 and a half receiving yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — DeMario Douglas: 45 receiving_yards vs under 11.5; busts. (DeMario Douglas: 45 receiving_yards)
“First quarter under eight and a half.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 8.5 busts.
“Okay, so I'm going to go with the over.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; over 46.5 busts.
“i don't love this number but i'm definitely gonna go with seattle to win this game”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“I like JSN to win MVP of the Super Bowl. That line is starting to get chopped away. It's at plus 550 right now. I think as long as it's north of five to one, I would bet JSN to win MVP.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (4 catches, 27 yds, no TD) did not win Super Bowl LX MVP; Kenneth Walker III took it.
“So, if you're going to place a bet right now, I mean, Drake May, 29.5 rushing yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; covers. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)
“I just, at a three, even an expensive three, I'd have to play the Rams.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“It's one of the reasons why I like the Broncos' first quarter in this game as well, plus a half a point.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +0.5; busts.
“So that is one thing that I am as someone who bet the Broncos.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“and then my other one will be we'll go kayshawn booty under two and a half receptions”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Kayshon Boutte: 1 receptions vs under 2.5; covers. (Kayshon Boutte: 1 receptions)
“I had the Rams money line plus one 30 and then Denver to cover the four and a half.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“I had the Rams money line plus one 30 and then Denver to cover the four and a half.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I think over 20, that's kind of a really, really good price in my opinion.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Jarrett Stidham: 23 rushing_yards vs over 20; covers. (Jarrett Stidham: 23 rushing_yards)
“I'm on the Patriots to win the Superbowl. I bet that right when Bo Nix went down”
New England lost Super Bowl LX 29-13 to Seattle, so the Patriots-to-win-it-all future did not cash.
“i'm not betting seattle minus the points i am paying up to take them on the money line”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“and Kenneth Walker over 85 and a half yards rushing”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Kenneth Walker III: 62 rushing_yards vs over 85.5; busts. (Kenneth Walker III: 62 rushing_yards)
“I took the second the Bo Nix news came out. [17:45] I bet the Patriots a plus 425 to win the Super Bowl. [17:48] And I'll just take my chances with whoever they end up against.”
New England reached Super Bowl LX but lost 29-13 to Seattle, so the Patriots-to-win-it-all future did not cash.
“i'm gonna like the nfc team in the super bowl and at most books you can just bet that nfc [49:24] to win the super bowl minus 220 at our sponsor draft kings that's the bet here”
The NFC champion Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13, cashing the NFC-to-win bet.
“Excuse me, in Bills-Broncos. I just bet the under literally on this show.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Combined 63; under 45.5 busts.
“So I like the Rams over 26-and-a-half points.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 26.5 covers.
“I'm not either, and I like the over, so I think this is an easy choice.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 48.5 busts.
“I did make a bet on this game I like the Patriots team total under 21 and a half”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 21.5 busts.
“I love, love the over at 48 and a half.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 48.5 busts.
“My plant the flag was them on the money line on Tuesday. Rinse, recycle, repeat. I'm not going anywhere on this number.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Buffalo Bills lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm about to tell you literally live because I was so close to getting in on this earlier and you just convinced me. So I'm literally doing this live.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Combined 63; under 45.5 busts.
“I think the Patriots are going to take belt to ass.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm going to offer you guys the Broncos money line or the Bears plus three. I like the Bronco.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver Broncos won; moneyline covers.
“you can buy the plus four and a half to minus 124 not a bad price so um yeah we're gonna do that”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
- Over 48.5 closed +48.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Under 45.5 closed +45.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Bears +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1 won
“So we go Rams bears over 48 and a half Broncos bills under 45 and a half and the bears plus four and a half alt plus five 50 on draft Kings.”
Parlay busts: Over 48.5 +48.5 — lost; Under 45.5 +45.5 — lost; Bears +4.5 +4.5 — won.
“i kind of like woody marks to get in the end zone even in a low scoring game if i had to pick a touchdown that would probably be my guy”
Woody Marks scored on a 13-yard rushing TD (19 carries, 112 yds) in Houston's 30-6 Wild Card win over Pittsburgh.
“i actually really like mvs over nine and a half receiving yards uh i just feel like in this type of game even with metcalf back he's going to force it into the tight ends but i also think he's going to force into guys he likes”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards vs over 9.5; covers. (Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards)
“Let's go Steelers Moneyline.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm going to go with Pat Fryer move for an anytime plus 390”
Pat Freiermuth had just 1 catch for 18 yards and no TD as Pittsburgh was shut out of the end zone in a 30-6 Wild Card loss to Houston.
“Kendra. Okay. I brought, I brought the Steelers plus three.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“I like him over five and a half receptions at plus 109.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Kenneth Gainwell: 4 receptions vs over 5.5; busts. (Kenneth Gainwell: 4 receptions)
“13 to 1, this game goes to overtime.”
Bears beat the Packers 31-27 in regulation (Caleb Williams TD to DJ Moore with 1:43 left); the game did not reach overtime.
“i put it in our bets i like them to [59:14] win the super bowl at six to one”
Houston won its Wild Card game but lost 28-16 to the Patriots in the Divisional Round, never reaching let alone winning Super Bowl LX.
“I bet them too early. I got drunk on the plus three at even money odds, and it is now up to plus four and a half.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“Yeah I already planted that under 44 is key. 45 is also key.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44.5 covers.
“I'm going to go with the under 44 and a half in this game.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44.5 covers.
“I'm going to plant my flag on the Jags' first half money line.”
JAX 24, BUF 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I will be planting my flag on the Carolina Panthers plus 10 against the LA Rams.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“The total is still sitting at 41 and a half. Kendra and I both like the under tonight at 41 and a half.”
HOU 38, IND 30 — Combined 68; under 41.5 busts.
“The total is still sitting at 41 and a half. Kendra and I both like the under tonight at 41 and a half.”
HOU 38, IND 30 — Combined 68; under 41.5 busts.
“I think the one bet worth making in this game at 41 or better is the under. The Steelers' offense is just so limited without Metcalf.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Combined 50; under 41 busts.
“i bet some vikings minus six which was like scary knowing that you could be betting max prosner minus six”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“this definitely just got added to my teaser portfolio for the week. I will be on the Vikings. But yeah, that seven and a half is a little too heavy for me. So I'm going to bet that down.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -7.5; covers.
“But Rico Dowdle, I'm going to go over 60 rushing yards for him, plus 121. He needs seven yards for incentives, but they need a big day from him regardless.”
Rico Dowdle managed just 7 carries for 10 yards in the Jan 4 loss to Tampa Bay, well under the 60-yard line. (Dowdle: 7 car, 10 rush yds)
“He needs 70 receiving yards to get to 1,000 on the season. So his number is not going to be quite that high with with Evans back in the fold.”
Emeka Egbuka caught just 1 of 3 targets for 8 yards against Carolina, well under the 25-yard line. (Egbuka: 1 rec, 8 yds)
“I just think this is the bottom. And the Panthers on the road don't give me any confidence. But this is mainly a numbers play. The Bucs were laying three in Carolina two weeks ago. Now they're laying expensive two and a half, three at home. I think this is the bottom. I'm buying low on the Bucs.”
Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14 in Week 18 (Jan 3, 2026); Bucs ML cashes. (Final: TB 16, CAR 14)
“I'm going to take San Francisco here plus the one and a half. The 49ers have been scorching hot.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I need him to throw over two touchdowns for him to hit his incentives. I got in on this last week. Probably going to chase it again this week. Needs to throw three. So I'm going two plus minus one. 36.”
Darnold threw 0 passing TDs (20/26, 198 yds) in Seattle's 13-3 Week 18 win over the 49ers, well short of the over 2 TD line.
“I don't know how we're going to hit all these, but I like the under the game under.”
No total number was stated on air; using the closing total (~47.5), Seahawks beat 49ers 13-3 (16 combined points), comfortably under. (Seahawks 13, 49ers 3 (total 16) vs closing 47.5)
“I'm going with the bangles. Probably my favorite side of the week.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So I'm going to go with the Vikings. I don't care. Seven and a half lay it. This is just one team not trying versus one team trying.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -7.5; covers.
“The Raiders plus 5.5. I know no one's going to vote for that. But that line is ridiculous.”
LV 14, KC 12 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
- Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +3 lost
- Washington Commanders +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1 won
- Minnesota Vikings -7.5 closed -12.5 · CLV +5 won
“Bengals minus six and a half all. Commanders plus four and a half. Gross. And Vikings minus seven and a half. Plus 485 at DraftKings.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -6.5 — lost; Washington Commanders +4.5 +4.5 — won; Minnesota Vikings -7.5 -7.5 — won.
“We'll put an anchor in there, Indiana, on the money line to get it done.”
IU 38, ALA 3 — Indiana Hoosiers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Oregon money line.”
TTU 0, ORE 23 — Oregon Ducks won; moneyline covers.
“I going to throw Georgia in there minus six and a half against Ole Miss”
UGA 34, MISS 39 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -5 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I will plant my flag, though, on San Francisco plus one and a half against Seattle, not only for the division. This one's for the one seed.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I have to take the Bucs minus 2.5 here.”
Buccaneers won 16-14, a 2-point margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread needed. (Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 (margin 2, needed 2.5+))
“But my favorite bet is the Bengals against the Browns. I think the Bengals blow the doors off the Browns.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.
“I did bet the Jags already. So we could definitely. I saw that pop in from you this morning on the app. We could definitely do that. Yeah, there was an 11 and a half hanging out there.”
JAX 41, TEN 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +34 vs line -11.5; covers.
“This one's available on DraftKings right now, plus three and a half on the Carolina Panthers. I'm just going to go ahead and plant my flag on that now.”
Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14; Carolina lost by only 2, covering +3.5. (Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 (Panthers lost by 2))
“i like the 49ers tonight”
SF 42, CHI 38 — San Francisco 49ers margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like the Falcons here catching seven.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I like the Falcons too. I think the line's a little bit too high.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm going to go with Puka for an anytime. He just, it seems like a guarantee every single week. So in a parlay, I'm going to chase it at the price.”
Puka Nacua caught an 11-yard touchdown late in the Rams' 27-24 Week 17 Monday loss at Atlanta.
“Bijon 40 plus receiving yards”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Bijan Robinson: 34 receiving_yards vs over 40; busts. (Bijan Robinson: 34 receiving_yards)
“I'm on the Saints I just don't get the vibe that they are wanting to tank”
TEN 26, NO 34 — New Orleans Saints margin +8 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So, yeah, we're taking the Chiefs plus 13.”
Broncos beat Chiefs 20-13 on Christmas Day (Bo Nix TD pass to R.J. Harvey won it); Chiefs lost by only 7, covering +13. (Broncos 20, Chiefs 13 (Chiefs lost by 7))
“I told you guys I was going to sell you on the Dolphins plus five and a half.”
MIA 20, TB 17 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I like the Falcons, plus 8.5.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm probably going to go with the over. I think he's been going over his rushing yards week after week.”
No numeric rushing-yards line was ever attached on air; using the closing prop line (~44.5), Corum managed only 6 carries for 18 yards before exiting with an ankle injury in the 2nd quarter and did not return. (6 car, 18 yds (injury exit) vs closing line 44.5)
“But I'm going to go with Colby Parkinson anytime touchdown.”
Colby Parkinson did not score (6 rec, 53 yds) in the Rams' 27-24 Week 17 Monday loss at Atlanta; the Rams' TDs went to Terrance Ferguson and Puka Nacua.
“we're gonna put four and a half in the parlay. Okay, good. That's the number I bet early in the week, so.”
CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm nominating the Raiders money line. I took them early in the week getting plus money.”
LV 10, NYG 34 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“I really love the Bengals this week.”
CIN 37, ARI 14 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +23 vs line -6.5; covers.
“i already bet the panthers plus seven and a half”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I told you guys on our Thursday show that I was already on the 49ers going to stick with it here I think it's the better side I would take it up to a touchdown in on the 49ers”
IND 27, SF 48 — San Francisco 49ers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“my favorite player prop on the planet. And that is Philip Rivers under half a rushing yard minus one 70.”
Philip Rivers finished with 0 rushing yards on 0 carries in the Dec 22 game vs. the 49ers, under the 0.5-yard line. (Rivers: 0 carries, 0 rush yds)
“I think Taylor has a big day So I like the OMT but we going with Taylor over 98 rushing yards”
IND 27, SF 48 — Jonathan Taylor: 46 rushing_yards vs over 98.5; busts. (Jonathan Taylor: 46 rushing_yards)
- Philip Rivers under 0.5 rushing yards closed +0.5 · CLV 0 pending
- Jonathan Taylor over 98.5 rushing yards closed +98.5 · CLV 0 lost
- San Francisco 49ers -5 closed -4.5 · CLV -0.5 won
“under half rushing yard for old man philip rivers over 98 and a half rushing yards for jonathan taylor and the 49ers minus five plus 425 over on draft kings”
Parlay busts: Philip Rivers under 0.5 rushing yards +0.5 — manual; Jonathan Taylor over 98.5 rushing yards +98.5 — lost; San Francisco 49ers -5 -5 — won.
“Yeah, I'll be on the Jags, wait and see if I can get a three and a half, even if I have to pay like 115, 120 for it.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm on the Jags. We are a Jags podcast. I've already put it in the app.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“I played the seahawks early cheap money line”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“i got in on this game on sunday for the same reason that's ducky mentioned i was trying to get ahead of the number before adams”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“Action Network app, I'm on the Seahawks. Kendra's on the Seahawks. Stucky's on the Seahawks.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm gonna go with Rivers under Hattie. For rushing yard, minus 185, the guy can't move.”
Philip Rivers (in his brief 2025 Colts comeback) had 0 rushing attempts and 0 rushing yards in the Dec 22 loss to the 49ers, comfortably under the implied ~0.5-yard line referenced in the quote. (Rivers: 0 carries, 0 rush yds (23/35, 277 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 1 INT))
“I'm all over the 49ers here. I think it's time to absolutely fade the Colts. And anything up to a touchdown works for me.”
IND 27, SF 48 — San Francisco 49ers margin +21 vs line +6.5; covers.
“But I played the Colts. I think the line's too high.”
IND 27, SF 48 — Indianapolis Colts margin -21 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Uh, so I'm going to go Taylor longest rush over 17 and a half yards. I think he breaks a couple here.”
Jonathan Taylor's longest rush was only 7 yards (16 carries, 46 yds) in the Colts' 48-27 Week 16 loss to San Francisco, well under 17.5.
“I played the Ravens too.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“Baltimore is just a step up in class for the Patriots, like Buffalo was last week.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +154 · CLV -30¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -192 · CLV +12¢ lost
- Dallas Cowboys ML closed -122 · CLV +7¢ lost
“titans ravens cowboys six to one at draft kings gorgeous let's ride that right there you're two kings and a queen parlay”
Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost; Dallas Cowboys ML — lost.
“Texans by the way I did log that bet on action at 12 to 1 to win the Super Bowl love what I'm seeing from them”
Houston did not win Super Bowl LX; the Texans were eliminated in the Divisional round and the Seahawks beat the Patriots 29-13.
“I was leaning Seattle as well but I'm gonna go ahead and get in on Seattle right now before the inevitable happens”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“it's settling in at bamalan a point and a half at about even money i'm comfortable with that”
OU 24, ALA 34 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But one thing I do like, and this will be my play, is a John Mateer anytime touchdown at plus 115.”
John Mateer anytime touchdown (+115) vs Alabama (CFP first round, Dec 19, 2025). Mateer ran for an 8-yard rushing TD in Q1 and threw a 7-yard TD pass in Q2. Anytime TD hit. Bet won.
“Broncos minus three is where I'll plant my flag.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Denver Broncos margin -14 vs line -3; busts.
“So give me the brownies and a bad quarterback in Shador Sanders at plus 10.”
CLE 20, BUF 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“but my nomination was the Minnesota Vikings plus five. We got it in the parlay at plus six and a half because we bought an extra point. So that'll be our play as a show for tonight.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +6.5; covers.
- Jalen Wright over 15.5 rushing yards closed +17.5 · CLV +2 lost
- Adam Thielen anytime touchdown pending
- De'Von Achane anytime touchdown pending
“Your DraftKings fast pass parlay, 23 to 1 over on DraftKings, where the crown is yours.”
Parlay busts: Jalen Wright over 15.5 rushing yards +15.5 — lost; Adam Thielen anytime touchdown — manual; De'Von Achane anytime touchdown — manual.
“My big favorite this week was the 49ers. I'm not going to lay double digits with two NFL teams this week. We'll just stick to the one.”
No specific number stated for 'laying double digits'; used the closing market line, 49ers -12.5 over Titans. 49ers won 37-24, a 13-point margin, covering. (49ers 37, Titans 24)
“I like the Browns at over a touchdown. I make that under seven.”
CHI 31, CLE 3 — Cleveland Browns margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
- Chicago Bears +1.5 (teased)
- Denver Broncos (teased up)
“I have the bears in one of my two teaser legs this week down to one and a half.”
The Broncos leg of this 2-team teaser has no stated number ('teased up'), so the parlay cannot be graded; Bears beat the Browns 31-3 (would have covered +1.5).
“Yeah, I'll be on the Packers.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.
“yeah it's five and a half of draft kings that's fine uh anything under six i like the chiefs against the chargers”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“that's a coin flippish game so i'm gonna vote for the bills i like the bills i bet the bills”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“yeah, I liked the Vikings. [58:21] I played them. [58:22] So I'm in on this.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“we i would vote we go with bill's money line the patriots have been look they've won 10 straight”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“bills but i have gotten to the window on josh allen anytime touchdown for a lot of the reasons that stucky just mentioned”
Josh Allen did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in Buffalo's 35-31 Week 15 comeback at New England (his three TDs were all passes; James Cook had the rushing scores).
“if this is at five and a half before the game, I'll bet the Minnesota Vikings.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“i very much am in on the bills especially now that they are underdogs i think it's a revenge spot”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“It's plus 111 right now for him to throw an interception.”
Trevor Lawrence threw zero interceptions in Jacksonville's 48-20 Week 15 rout of the Jets (330 yds, 5 passing TDs, career-best day).
- Cleveland Browns +7.5 closed +7.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -142 · CLV +7¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1 won
“Browns plus seven and a half. [1:01:36] Bill's money line, Vikings plus six and a half at plus 514 over on DraftKings.”
Parlay busts: Cleveland Browns +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Buffalo Bills ML — won; Minnesota Vikings +6.5 +6.5 — won.
“The bet I placed yesterday is Bengals 15 at DraftKings to win the division They are not dead”
The Bengals did not win the AFC North; Pittsburgh took the division while Cincinnati finished 6-11.
“the Chiefs, I played it yesterday.”
The Chiefs did not make the playoffs, finishing 6-11 and missing the postseason for the first time since 2014.
- Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 closed -1.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Keenan Allen anytime touchdown pending
- Justin Herbert under 20.5 completions pending
“Eagles minus one and a half. Keenan Allen anytime touchdown. Justin Herbert under 20 and a half completions.”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 -1.5 — lost; Keenan Allen anytime touchdown — manual; Justin Herbert under 20.5 completions +20.5 — manual.
“I'm already on the Eagles, so that's just going to be my nomination.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Cause I bet the chiefs individually moments before we popped on the podcast.”
KC 10, HOU 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -10 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I like Herbert under 20 and a half rushing yards.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards vs under 20.5; busts. (Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards)
“i have already placed this bet by the way and i'm gonna make a case for it a full case for it later in the show”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Action. I did it already. It's off. It's terrible.”
LV 17, DEN 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I already bet the Ravens is my first bet of the week.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -6; busts.
“I was actually talking to David our producer before we got on the air trying to convince myself to get in on the Eagles and the Trey Lance angle is the reason that I did.”
No spread number stated; used closing market line, Eagles favored ~1.5-2.5 over Chargers on MNF. Chargers won outright 22-19 in OT, so the Eagles lost straight up, let alone covering as favorites. (Chargers 22, Eagles 19 (OT))
- Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 closed +8.5 · CLV -1 won
- Houston Texans +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 won
- Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1 won
“Raiders plus seven and a half Texans plus three and a half Jags plus one and a half Two Kings and a Queen parlay plus 581 over on DraftKings”
Parlay cashes: Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 +7.5 — won; Houston Texans +3.5 +3.5 — won; Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 +1.5 — won.
“I took the six points. Probably will regret it, but I did bet that.”
WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.
- New York Giants +7.5 closed +7 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Jackson Dart anytime touchdown pending
- Jackson Dart over 29.5 rushing yards closed +29.5 · CLV 0 lost
“the number on that by the way plus 800 for the giants plus seven and a half Jackson dart, anytime touchdown and Jackson dart to record at least 30 rushing yards.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Jackson Dart anytime touchdown — manual; Jackson Dart over 29.5 rushing yards +29.5 — lost.
“it's a seven and a half i think the giants are worth a look”
NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm going to throw Jackson Dart anytime touchdown in there at plus three twenty five”
Jaxson Dart did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in the Giants' 33-15 Monday loss to New England (he threw a TD to Slayton; Singletary had the lone Giants rushing TD).
“I feel like most weeks this feels low to me. I like the 29.5 over.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Jaxson Dart: 20 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; busts. (Jaxson Dart: 20 rushing_yards)
“But I guess I'll plant my flag on the Indianapolis Colts, my Daniel Jones, minus four and a half, my pumpkin.”
IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I like the under at 52 and a half.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Combined 59; under 52.5 busts.
“I'll take the Bengals on Thanksgiving plus the seven.”
BAL 14, CIN 32 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm all over the Eagles for what it's worth, if anybody cares.”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line -7; busts.
“i have the rams minus 10 because they're my kings i will never fade them”
CAR 31, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -10; busts.
“I did put Lions minus three in the app earlier this week.”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
- Los Angeles Rams -9.5 closed -10 · CLV +0.5 lost
- New York Giants +7.5 closed +7 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Indianapolis Colts -4.5 closed -3 · CLV -1.5 lost
“so the official plays Rams minus nine and a half Giants plus seven and a half Colts minus four and a half plus 525 two kings and a queen parlay”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams -9.5 -9.5 — lost; New York Giants +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Indianapolis Colts -4.5 -4.5 — lost.
- Tetairoa McMillan over 63.5 receiving yards closed +67.5 · CLV +4 lost
- Tetairoa McMillan over 4.5 receptions closed +4.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Bryce Young to throw an interception pending
“got that now at plus 260 over on draft kings the crown is yours tett mcmillan's over 63 and a half receiving yards over four and a half receptions and bryce young to throw an int”
Parlay busts: Tetairoa McMillan over 63.5 receiving yards +63.5 — lost; Tetairoa McMillan over 4.5 receptions +4.5 — lost; Bryce Young to throw an interception — manual.
“So I like the Raiders.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.
“No, I'm all over the Raiders here as a whole.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We're going to go in Las Vegas Raiders minus three and a half.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.
“i played this earlier in the week at a better number but still even at a more expensive three and a half that that's okay for me”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I already have a bet on the Cowboys and I kind of want in on the saints.”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“yeah i'm on the falcons so i can't go with the saints”
Falcons beat the Saints 24-10. (Falcons 24, Saints 10)
“I already bet this This number was plus eight and a half just a couple of days ago”
CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I did bet T Higgins anytime touchdown.”
Tee Higgins did not score (5 rec, 31 yds) and was concussed in Cincinnati's 26-20 Week 12 loss to New England.
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -162 · CLV -13¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +310 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Dallas Cowboys +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5 won
“Yeah, Raiders money line, Bengals money line, Cowboys plus three and a half, plus 810 on DraftKings.”
Parlay busts: Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost; Dallas Cowboys +3.5 +3.5 — won.
“i played some saints early i still would play the saints now”
NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yes, I'm fading the Falcons.”
NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Jags this week”
ARI 24, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
- Arizona Cardinals +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
- San Francisco 49ers -1 closed -7.5 · CLV +6.5 won
“Cardinals up to eight and a half Niners down to one against the Panthers That be my teaser of the week”
Parlay cashes: Arizona Cardinals +8.5 +8.5 — won; San Francisco 49ers -1 -1 — won.
“I'm going to go Cowboys plus three and a half”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs.”
KC 23, IND 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'm going Bowers anytime plus 105. Now that Jacoby's gone, he's all that offense has other than Gentry.”
Brock Bowers did not score (7 rec, 72 yds) in the Raiders' 33-16 Monday night loss to Dallas; Las Vegas's only TD was Tre Tucker.
“Lockett, touchdown, I mean his snap count's just gone up the last two weeks [33:16] He's only out there to catch passes [33:18] And Pete loves him [33:19] So Lockett, touchdown”
Tyler Lockett did not score (3 rec, 33 yds) in the Raiders' 33-16 Monday night loss to Dallas.
“And then Ashton Gentry, you're receiving yards [33:22] I liked over 16 and a half”
LV 16, DAL 33 — Ashton Jeanty: 27 receiving_yards vs over 16.5; covers. (Ashton Jeanty: 27 receiving_yards)
“I'm just like Amun-Ra. No Laporte out there. So touchdowns.”
Amon-Ra St. Brown did not score (2 rec, 42 yds) in Detroit's 16-9 Sunday-night loss at Philadelphia.
“So I sitting on a pretty bad number here at two and a half on Seattle But I still like Seattle in this game just looking at it opinion wise”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“One of the bets that I made this week was a sprinkle on a Trey McBride anytime touchdown.”
Trey McBride caught a 10-yard touchdown (10 rec, 115 yds) in Arizona's 41-22 Week 11 loss at San Francisco.
“i took the browns at home where you know their defense is going to come to play some of that”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I already put it in the app do I feel great about it no but I did it because I'm not a coward and I”
Pat Freiermuth did not score in Pittsburgh's 34-12 Week 11 win at Cincinnati (1 catch, 19 yds) and left with a shoulder injury.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -230 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars +3 closed +3 · CLV 0 won
- Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4.5 · CLV -1 won
“Jags plus three Panthers plus three and a half. Chiefs money on plus four 20 at draft Kings. One King and two sad cats”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars +3 +3 — won; Carolina Panthers +3.5 +3.5 — won.
- Green Bay Packers -1.5 closed -7.5 · CLV +6 won
- Detroit Lions +7.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +5 won
“This is my teaser of the week. I have the Green Bay Packers down to one and a half. Lions up to seven and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Green Bay Packers -1.5 -1.5 — won; Detroit Lions +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“We can go Western Michigan. I don't know if there's still any dog prices out there against Ohio.”
WMU 17, OHIO 13 — Western Michigan Broncos margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“I think I'm going to go with the Commanders. getting two and a half points against the Dolphins.”
MIA 16, WSH 13 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I going to go with the Vikings Minus three at home”
MIN 17, CHI 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“I am going to go with the Texans minus seven. We can get this at minus 115 versus the Tennessee Titans.”
TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
“So DK has something where it's a Janu touchdown or a Friermuth touchdown and you catch your bet. It's plus 110.”
Neither Jonnu Smith nor Pat Freiermuth scored in Pittsburgh's 25-10 Week 10 loss at the Chargers; the Steelers' only TD was Roman Wilson.
- Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown
- A.J. Brown anytime touchdown
- Luke Musgrave anytime touchdown
“so that's the parlay jalen hurts to score a touchdown aj brown to score a touchdown and luke musgrave to score a touchdown new tight end one for the green bay packers”
Only two touchdowns were scored in Philadelphia's 10-7 win over Green Bay (a Hurts-to-DeVonta Smith pass and a Jacobs rush) — Jalen Hurts himself did not score (passing TD only), A.J. Brown was held to 13 yards, and Luke Musgrave went scoreless, busting all three TD-scorer legs. (Hurts: 1 pass TD (no rush/rec TD); A.J. Brown: 2 rec, 13 yds, 0 TD; Musgrave: 3 rec, 23 yds, 0 TD (PHI 10, GB 7))
“I bet the Falcons. So, and I show value at the number.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“the Lions I got it minus three they're now minus eight”
WSH 22, DET 44 — Detroit Lions margin +22 vs line -3; covers.
“So, but I did bet the Falcons don't love it.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I played the Commanders, but I know you guys aren't going to vote for that.”
WSH 22, DET 44 — Washington Commanders margin -22 vs line +8; busts.
“so i'll nominate the cardinals now i'm waiting for a seven but i'd still bet six and a half”
SEA 44, ARI 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -22 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Raven's first half is going to be one of my picks”
MIN 19, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
- Houston Texans +7 (teased) won
- New York Jets +8.5 (teased) won
“a teaser because I did tease them last night up over seven and I paired them with the Jets.”
Parlay cashes: Houston Texans +7 (teased) +7 — won; New York Jets +8.5 (teased) +8.5 — won.
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -235 · CLV +6¢ won
- Over 41 closed +49 · CLV +8 won
“I did put in the app Ravens money line over 41 parlayed even money. That is”
Parlay cashes: Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Over 41 +41 — won.
- Baltimore Ravens 1st half ML won
- Over 49.5 closed +48.5 · CLV -1 lost
- Arizona Cardinals +6.5 closed +7 · CLV -0.5 lost
“Ravens first half money line. Ravens Vikings over 49 and a half Cardinals plus six and a half against the Seahawks”
Parlay busts: Baltimore Ravens 1st half ML — won; Over 49.5 +49.5 — lost; Arizona Cardinals +6.5 +6.5 — lost.
“I got to rock with the Lions. Probably my favorite game of the week Already bet it Bet it last night”
WSH 22, DET 44 — Detroit Lions margin +22 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I'll say I'm going to plant my flag on the Packers, minus two and a half at home against the Eagles.”
GB 7, PHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Might play at the flag game as the Philadelphia Eagles plus the two and a half.”
GB 7, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm on Jackson Smith and Jigba over 98 and a half receiving yards the number has ballooned up”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 129 receiving_yards vs over 98.5; covers. (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 129 receiving_yards)
“I am on Seattle I think the Cooper Cup thing obviously hurts them a bit but I'm still locked into the Seahawks”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Seattle Seahawks margin +24 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Give me Jake Ferguson over four and a half catches against the Arizona Cardinals tonight. That will be my leg of the parlay.”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Jake Ferguson: 5 receptions vs over 4.5; covers. (Jake Ferguson: 5 receptions)
“I'm going to go with the Cardinals plus three and a half. I just really wanted three here. So now the fact that it was three and a half, I bet it.”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Let's do McBride.”
Trey McBride caught a 12-yard touchdown in Arizona's 27-17 Monday night upset of Dallas.
“But yeah, I'm rolling with the Texans here.”
HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I think Kendra's on the Broncos. [18:49] I am on the Broncos.”
HOU 15, DEN 18 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I am going after the, a bet that I've placed on Gibbs, not touchdowns, but catches over three and a half at plus one 10”
DET 24, MIN 27 — Jahmyr Gibbs: 3 receptions vs over 3.5; busts. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 3 receptions)
“this week is our place to do it with an anytime touchdown for our boy, [32:44] Tyler Warren, plus 135.”
Tyler Warren did not score in the Colts' 27-20 Week 9 loss at Pittsburgh; Indianapolis TDs came from Josh Downs and Ameer Abdullah.
“So that's my first one. [39:18] Falcons with the points”
NE 24, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“the second one I'll say Steelers plus three um I already went [39:25] over some of the reasons why I think they can move the ball and keep up with the Colts”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I am going to go with Seattle to cover the three. [40:54] I am the biggest Seattle backer in the world right now”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Seattle Seahawks margin +24 vs line -3; covers.
“I love the [42:24] 49ers this week for two reasons”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
“my two nominees the chiefs and i'm gonna go money [44:08] line here on this one also simply the better team”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“the [44:20] other would be the Panthers plus 13 and a half I need Bryce Young to play in order to really love [44:25] this but I think he is”
GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +13.5; covers.
- Atlanta Falcons +5.5 closed +5 · CLV +0.5 won
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed -145 · CLV 0¢ won
- Carolina Panthers +13.5 closed +13 · CLV +0.5 won
“Falcons plus five and a half. [48:28] 49ers money line.”
Parlay cashes: Atlanta Falcons +5.5 +5.5 — won; San Francisco 49ers ML — won; Carolina Panthers +13.5 +13.5 — won.
“i'm taking the dolphins plus the seven and a half do it you coward”
MIA 6, BAL 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -22 vs line +7.5; busts.
“but that's why I bought the points up can't talk you off of the Bears minus the two and a half”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'll play my flag on the Steelers. Plus three minus one, one of five.”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“i'm gonna go with the 49ers minus two and a half”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“i've already bet the detroit lions at minus eight and a half”
DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.
- Buffalo Bills +7.5 closed +2 · CLV +5.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 closed +3 · CLV +5.5 won
“I do have the Bills in a teaser. Bought them up to 7.5 paired with the Bengals at 8.5 against the Bears.”
Parlay cashes: Buffalo Bills +7.5 +7.5 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“Packers-Steelers tonight, one of my biggest plays on the week, Steelers plus three.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
- Rashee Rice over 5.5 receptions closed +6.5 · CLV +1 won
- Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown pending
- Washington Commanders +11.5 closed +10.5 · CLV +1 lost
“that together over at DraftKings is plus 850 so we got McLaurin touchdown where she rice over on catches and the commanders cover the spread”
Parlay busts: Rashee Rice over 5.5 receptions +5.5 — won; Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown — manual; Washington Commanders +11.5 +11.5 — lost.
“Giants plus seven and a half against the Eagles”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.
“jets plus six and a half against the Cincinnati Bengals”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“i know that i'm gonna bet like the texans i'm trying to figure out where that number is gonna go”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.
“i do have the ravens um already i i have them some money line to close out some parlays and um but i'm gonna bet them again”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“I am gonna bet the Jets I'm trying to determine if that's gonna go to seven or not”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I good about the Saints probably just bet that at four and a half”
NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So we're going to go with the Commanders plus 12 and a half.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Washington Commanders margin -21 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I do have a bet on Chicago at plus six and a half.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I do have the Falcons teased down to one. So I'm going to, I'm going to lay off of that.”
ATL 10, MIA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -24 vs line -1; busts.
“saints plus four and a half is my play in the”
NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I am on OKC, by the way, minus seven and a half.”
OKC 125, HOU 124 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I took a little grab at the plus six and a half on Chicago because there's no guarantee that Lamar is going to be out there.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I mean, the Ravens are going to be my plant, my flag game. I do think that Lamar plays.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I like the Steelers Sunday night football plus three That where I will plant my flag I love this spot for Pittsburgh”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to go Kate Otten for an anytime. He's the only person they've got. So it's got to be him or nobody.”
Cade Otton led the Bucs with 7 catches for 65 yards but no touchdown in the Week 7 loss to Detroit, so the anytime TD lost.
“They have this kind of messes up my leg of the parlay because I have Tess Johnson.”
Tez Johnson caught a 22-yard touchdown from Baker Mayfield in the Week 7 game at Detroit, so the anytime TD cashed.
“So let's go with A.J. Barner anytime touchdown.”
AJ Barner had just 1 catch for 7 yards and no touchdown in Seattle's Week 7 win over Houston, so the anytime TD lost.
“The seven and a half is no longer there. I had to track a seven in the app today. So we didn't get that extra half a point. That's why I ran to that window.”
TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm on the Chargers, one of my favorite bets of the weekend.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams won; moneyline covers.
“But no, I got in on the Panthers early. I'll just sit with a light. I have a Panthers plus one. I'm just going to let that ride, see how it goes.”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — Carolina Panthers margin +7 vs line +1; covers.
“So, yeah, I like the Browns money line.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“And then we'll do the Vikings money line. I already made my case earlier this week on plant the flag.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm on the Eagles, so it's got to be the Chargers.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Philadelphia Eagles won; moneyline covers.
- Tennessee Titans +7 closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Cleveland Browns ML closed -148 · CLV +6¢ won
- Los Angeles Chargers ML won
“So Titans plus seven, Browns money line, Chargers money line pays right around five to one at DK.”
Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans +7 +7 — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — won; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won.
“Falcons plus two and a half over on DraftKings against the 49ers.”
SF 20, ATL 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“FIU plus 10 against Western Kentucky.”
WKU 6, FIU 25 — Florida International Panthers margin +19 vs line +10; covers.
“but I placed a bet on them to win the Super Bowl this morning.”
Pittsburgh lost in the wild-card round (30-6 to Houston); Seattle won Super Bowl LX, so the Steelers futures lost.
“yesterday I placed a Super Bowl bet on the Ravens”
Baltimore went 8-9 and missed the playoffs; Seattle won Super Bowl LX, so the Ravens futures lost.
“i am gonna go with the titans on the seven and a half i have to”
TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I did already bet the Vikings at plus two and a half.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Raiders plus 11 and a half. [40:08] Planting my flag on that one.”
KC 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Yeah, I bet the Seahawks, this is a Jags podcast.”
No number stated ('I bet the Seahawks'); closing lines were split around pick'em/-1.5, but moot — Seahawks won outright 20-12, covering any of the reported lines. (Seahawks 20, Jaguars 12)
“yeah i played the chiefs i like the chiefs here”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I like the Chiefs a little bit more. I've actually played that one.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I played the Giants tonight.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — New York Giants margin +17 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I'm going to go Chargers money line because I know that.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“Or once again, I am addicted to betting on the Chorgers.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“i did play the saints so i'm gonna vote plus three and a half”
NO 19, NE 25 — New Orleans Saints margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
- New Orleans Saints +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -345 · CLV 0¢ won
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -142 · CLV +7¢ won
“It Saints plus three and a half Chargers Moneyline Chiefs Moneyline plus 370 I can wait to whip it out I so serious”
Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints +3.5 +3.5 — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won.
“Steelers minus five at home against the Browns.”
PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -5; covers.
“Panthers plus three and a half at home against the Cowboys.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i'll go i'll go falcons plus four and a half at draft kings on Monday night football against the Bills”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +10 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I am going to plant my flag on the Patriots minus three and a half”
NO 19, NE 25 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“did I already bet them next week to cover by a point and a half”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“by the way Jags tomorrow I am on your Jags”
Host said 'I think this line should be under three' (an opinion, not the actual number), so used the closing market line, Chiefs -3.5/Jaguars +3.5. Jaguars won outright 31-28, covering comfortably. (Jaguars 31, Chiefs 28)
“Yeah, I played the Broncos mainly a fade of the Eagles.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I have a bet on the Broncos”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm probably going to go for the money line.”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Panthers here.”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“panthers first bet i made”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“start off the parlay with Chargers money line and just trust Harbaugh and Herbert to get it done at home.”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“my vote is for the jets and uh to go jets money line”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“the reason why I find myself on Minnesota.”
No number stated on air ('I find myself on Minnesota'); used the closing market line, Vikings -3.5 over Browns in London. Vikings won 21-17, a 4-point margin, covering. (Vikings 21, Browns 17)
“I love the Jags on Monday”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -155 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +100 · CLV 0¢ won
- New York Jets ML closed -120 · CLV +18¢ lost
“We have a money line parlay of the Jets, Chargers and Panthers.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Chargers ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost.
“I like the matchup in the spot I played Carolina cheap minus one out there for this week”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“So I took the points.”
CLE 17, MIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I'll plant my flag on the Saints minus one, minus one and a half out there.”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line -1.5; covers.
“i'm playing the flag on the minnesota vikings three and a half if you can get it four and a half on draft kings i bought it the second it opened”
CLE 17, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I did bet the Bengals over a touchdown.”
DEN 28, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“So, yeah, I grabbed the three. First bet I made this week. Feel good about it.”
ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take the Vikings at under a field goal.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So if I end up, I'm still sitting on this 49ers minus three and a half with my plant the flag bet from Tuesday's episode.”
SF 21, JAX 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm all over the Ravens this week.”
KC 37, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -17 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I took a sprinkle in the Panthers' money line just in case what happened last week was real.”
NE 42, CAR 13 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I love the Jags at three and a half.”
SF 21, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
- Los Angeles Rams -3.5 closed -6 · CLV +2.5 lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5 won
- New York Giants +6.5 closed +6 · CLV +0.5 won
“We got the Rams minus three and a half. We get the Jags plus three and a half.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 -3.5 — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 +3.5 — won; New York Giants +6.5 +6.5 — won.
“I do like the Giants tonight I'm on the Giants I feel like I'm on an island with that one”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm with you. I'm on the Giants as well.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +6; covers.
“It's definitely giants or nothing.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +6; covers.
“So, by the way, I did bet the Dolphins tonight.”
Bills won 31-21 (margin of 10) as roughly a 10.5 to 11.5-point favorite; Miami covered getting the points. (Final: Bills 31, Dolphins 21)
“Yeah, I played the Jets again. I played them seven.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“i like the jets plus seven i'm with you guys in terms of that play overall”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“i do want to mention i took the bucks minus seven i placed it on the app”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -7; busts.
“I got the Niners money line at plus 100 right now.”
SF 16, ARI 15 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
“their defense is playing at an elite level at home catching over a touchdown I had to take it”
CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I did play the Rams.”
Eagles beat the Rams 33-26 as roughly 3.5-point favorites (won by 7), covering; the Rams side lost. (Final: Eagles 33, Rams 26)
“titans plus three and a half against the indianapolis colts”
TEN 20, IND 41 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I have the Pat's plus one and a half at home.”
NE 14, PIT 21 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I also have the Bears plus one if you guys wanted a third option. I really like that bet.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line +1; covers.
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +170 · CLV -15¢ lost
- Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown pending
- Chicago Bears +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
“So we have Rams plus 155. We've got on the money line, we've got Ladd McConkie anytime touchdown. We've got the Bears plus one. Estimate on price, plus 925.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown +0.5 — manual; Chicago Bears +1 +1 — won.
“I'm one and one, but I'm going to fade the Patriots this week against the Steelers.”
Steelers beat the Patriots 21-14 as roughly 1.5-point favorites, easily covering. (Final: Steelers 21, Patriots 14)
“But I'll put my flag on the Rams plus three and a half.”
PHI 33, LAR 26 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Bears minus one is my plant-the-flag pick.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line -1; covers.
“I bought it at minus 105 on Sunday after the Justin Fields injury.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -6; busts.
“my two favorite bets are the next two nights so hopefully the uh Texans and uh the Falcons coming up here in a bit can salvage salvage the week”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“my two favorite bets are the next two nights so hopefully the uh Texans and uh the Falcons coming up here in a bit can salvage salvage the week”
Buccaneers stunned Houston 20-19 on a last-second TD drive; the Texans were ~2.5-point favorites and lost outright, so the Texans side lost. (Final: Buccaneers 20, Texans 19)
“There's a four. I'm seeing a four. I'm probably going to do that now I'm not even going to lie to you guys”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +4; covers.
“I think I'm going to end up on the Lions.”
BAL 30, DET 38 — Detroit Lions margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I have Lions win total under.”
Detroit finished 9-8, under its preseason win total (10.5), so the under cashed.
“I disagree I on the Chiefs I bet the Chiefs”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Chiefs +1 (home dog). Eagles won 20-17, a 3-point margin that exceeds the point cushion, so Chiefs lost against the spread. (Eagles 20, Chiefs 17)
“I have the under on the Chiefs win total for”
The Chiefs cratered to 6-11, well under their win total (~11.5), so the under cashed.
“I'll break the tie.”
Eagles won at Kansas City 20-17; Chiefs were only ~1 to 1.5-point home dogs and lost by 3, so the Chiefs side didn't cover. (Final: Eagles 20, Chiefs 17 (KC +1 to +1.5))
“I like the Jets plus six and a half.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm in on the Jets, personally.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I already bet the Jets.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I like the Cowboys minus five and a half against the Giants.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“that is one of my bets that I gave out this week the Dallas Cowboys”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm in on the Falcons plus three and a half.”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm in. [45:22] I'm in on that.”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Who wants to bet the Texans as a favorite? [46:02] Apparently me. [46:03] But that's my favorite bet.”
HOU 19, TB 20 — Houston Texans margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I would be more likely to be with you on the Texans.”
HOU 19, TB 20 — Houston Texans margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“think that the Panthers are the play here”
ARI 27, CAR 22 — Carolina Panthers margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm behind Miami this week.”
MIA 27, NE 33 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
- Houston Texans -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 lost
- New York Jets +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1 won
- Carolina Panthers +6.5 closed +7 · CLV -0.5 won
“all favorites all day parlay texans minus two and a half jets plus six and a half and the panthers”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans -2.5 -2.5 — lost; New York Jets +6.5 +6.5 — won; Carolina Panthers +6.5 +6.5 — won.
“But yeah I took the seven with them this week against the Bills The Bills have defensive issues I think the Jets can hang around in that game”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“this season though it's it's the eagles for me and it's not even close especially because”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm on the Kansas City Chiefs in this game”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“but i i did bet the chiefs is a dog here i i'm it's just almost an”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I also bet the Titans this week.”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Rams -5.5 (Titans +5.5). Rams won 33-19, Titans lost by 14, outside the number. (Rams 33, Titans 19)
“I am rocking so hard with the Carolina Panthers.”
ARI 27, CAR 22 — Carolina Panthers margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I think the Texans that under a field goal at home take care of business against the Bucs”
Host described Texans as 'under a field goal' favorites at home; closing line confirms Texans -2.5. Buccaneers won 20-19 on a last-minute TD, so Texans lost outright and against the spread. (Buccaneers 20, Texans 19)
“I on the Packers minus three and a half on Thursday night football”
GB 27, WSH 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like the Rams.”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Rams -5.5. Rams won 33-19, covering by a wide margin. (Rams 33, Titans 19)
“Cowboys laying the points against the Giants”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Cowboys -4.5 (consensus ranged -4.5 to -6). Cowboys won 40-37 in OT, by only 3, failing to cover any of the quoted closing numbers. (Cowboys 40, Giants 37 (OT))
“I like Oklahoma over six and a half, seven.”
Oklahoma OVER 6.5 regular-season wins (2025). Oklahoma finished the regular season 10-2, well over 6.5. Bet won.
“they should actually roll in that game but um under five and a half”
UCF UNDER 5.5 regular-season wins (2025). UCF finished 5-7 (5 wins), under 5.5. Bet won.
“plus money to make the Big Ten title game.”
Penn State to make the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game. Penn State finished 7-6 (3-6 Big Ten); Indiana and Ohio State played in the title game. Bet lost.
“Central Michigan out there to win the MAC. It's like 20, 25 to 1.”
Central Michigan (+2000) to win the 2025 MAC. Western Michigan won the MAC (23-13 over Miami OH); Central Michigan did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“I did take Central Michigan”
Central Michigan (+2000) to win the 2025 MAC. Western Michigan won the MAC; Central Michigan did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“I played some USC to make the playoff”
USC (+480) to make the 2025 College Football Playoff. USC finished 9-3 in the regular season, ranked No. 16 in the final CFP rankings, and was left out of the 12-team field. Bet lost.
“I played some Texas A&M plus 240.”
Texas A&M (+240) to make the 2025 College Football Playoff. Texas A&M made the 12-team field as the No. 7 seed. Bet won.
“Sam Houston plus 10.5 against UNLV.”
UNLV beat Sam Houston 38-21 on Aug 29, 2025; Sam Houston lost by 17, well outside the +10.5 spread. (Final: UNLV 38, Sam Houston 21)
“Georgia State against Ole Miss, anything over 35 is fine.”
UGA 45, MRSH 7 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +38 vs line +35; covers.
“ruckers team total over 31 and a half they are going to have their way with that offensive line”
Rutgers beat Ohio 34-31 on Aug 28, 2025; Rutgers' 34 points cleared the 31.5 team-total line. (Final: Rutgers 34, Ohio 31)
“Neutral field taking over the touchdown, taking over seven with Vatek.”
SC 24, VT 11 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin -13 vs line +7; busts.
“And this kind of falls into that area too So I like Arizona all the way up to 21”
ARIZ 40, HAW 6 — Arizona Wildcats margin +34 vs line -17.5; covers.
“let's go with uh Charlotte catching seven”
CLT 11, APP 34 — Charlotte 49ers margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm on their plus 185 to not make the playoffs.”
Cincinnati went 6-11 and missed the playoffs, cashing the not-to-make-playoffs bet.
“I going to bet Ravens Lions Ravens Eagles probably Ravens Niners as part of my Super Bowl matchup round robin”
All Ravens Super Bowl-matchup legs lost; Baltimore went 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
“I just everything I read about it's like all right this is exactly what you want to be reading about a contending team heading into you know two weeks away from heading into the season so yeah give me lines over 10 and a half give me lines plus 145 divisional odds.”
Detroit finished 9-8, under the 10.5-win total, and missed the playoffs.
“I just everything I read about it's like all right this is exactly what you want to be reading about a contending team heading into you know two weeks away from heading into the season so yeah give me lines over 10 and a half give me lines plus 145 divisional odds.”
Chicago won the NFC North at 11-6; the Lions went 9-8 and missed the playoffs.
“So I'm going with Lions plus 145 because I like getting plus money on this team to win the division.”
Chicago won the NFC North; Detroit finished 9-8 and out of the playoffs.
“I have to take the over because it's like if this kid's legit with a stacked”
Minnesota finished 9-8, clearing the 8.5-win total.
“So, yeah, very, very confident in this divisional bet.”
Philadelphia won the NFC East at 11-6.
“This is clearly my favorite value-wise divisional bet, plus 600.”
Dallas went 7-9-1 and finished second; Philadelphia won the NFC East.
“you know i do the matchups i've already i actually did the bills and the niners at 45 to one like”
Super Bowl LX was Seattle vs. New England, not Bills vs. 49ers.
“So, yeah, give me that over 10.5 win total, Chad.”
San Francisco finished 12-5, clearing the 10.5-win total.
“Niners over 10.5.”
San Francisco finished 12-5, clearing the 10.5-win total.
“Love the Rams, obviously, over 9.5.”
The Rams finished 12-5, clearing the 9.5-win total.
“Seahawks under 8.5.”
Seattle went 14-3, blowing past the 8.5 under line.
“So, yeah, I'll join you on that under 8.5 on that Seattle team.”
Seattle went 14-3, blowing past the 8.5 under line.
“Now you're looking at Chiefs, though, and they're at minus 110 for this division, Chad. So I don't know about you. This is a number right away I ran to the window and took.”
Denver won the AFC West; Kansas City collapsed to 6-11 and finished third.
“So 15-1 division odds, Chad, I bet it. Like, this opened at 17-1. It's been bet down to 15-1. It's too big to me.”
Denver won the AFC West; the Raiders finished last at 3-14.
“and then Broncos division, even though it's much lower than it's been, it's still better to me than what you're getting with the Chargers.”
Denver won the AFC West at 14-3, its first division title since 2015.
“My list was Raiders over six and a half, Chiefs division but parlaying it,”
The Chiefs leg busted: Kansas City went 6-11 and Denver won the AFC West.
“All right, just sprinkle a little on 15 to one Raiders just for the show.”
Las Vegas went 3-14 and did not win the AFC, which New England took.
“I have this team at eight wins. So six and a half, Chad knows. I like that number a lot.”
Carolina went 8-9, clearing the 6.5-win total.
“yeah, this was a game I mean, this was the line that right away when I saw it open up, [37:39] I jumped on the under and I I'm I'm like you.”
New Orleans finished 6-11, one win over the 5.5 under line.
“My favorite bets would be Panthers over, six and a half. Saints under, five and a half, and then the Panthers division plus 400.”
Carolina won the NFC South on tiebreakers at 8-9 over Tampa Bay and Atlanta.
“I did bet their win total. I have them at eight and a half. The win total is seven and a half. Obviously, a full game to the over. I'll take that over on the win just because of this division.”
Atlanta went 8-9, clearing the 7.5-win total.
“I had, saints under five and a half, panthers over [45:06] six and a half, [45:08] and then I had”
New Orleans finished 6-11, one win over the 5.5 under line.
“the win total to me is the real play [29:59] for this [30:00] Team because that is a blaring [30:02] discrepancy [30:03] in the market.”
Carolina went 8-9, clearing the 6.5-win total.
“fuck it. I'm with you. [45:31] My man. Give me the panthers. Put $10 on it.”
Carolina won the NFC South at 8-9 via a three-way tiebreaker.
“And, you know, love the win total, obviously, over five and a half.”
Tennessee finished 3-14 (3 wins), well under the 5.5 total, so the over lost.
“It's such great value taking the division odds.”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; Tennessee went 3-14, so the division bet lost.
“I did make a small bet on them, their win total, because it did open at seven and a half. I bet it.”
The Jaguars finished 13-4 (13 wins), clearing the 7.5 total, so the over cashed.
“about the Jags at plus 300 and over seven and a half.”
Jacksonville finished 13-4, easily clearing the 7.5-win total.
“So I would say that the actual advice here is Matthew Stafford's passing touchdown prop is 22 and a half. I think that's a couple touchdowns too low. So I'm taking that over,”
Matthew Stafford threw a league-leading 46 passing touchdowns in 2025, easily clearing the 22.5 total.
“You're getting minus one ten of the Chiefs in that division running to the window to bet that one.”
Denver won the 2025 AFC West; the Chiefs finished 3rd at 6-11, so the Chiefs AFC West bet lost.
“Yes. They're my one Super Bowl ticket right now.”
The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the 49ers lost in the Divisional Round, so the futures lost.
“Yes. They're one of my two Super Bowl tickets”
The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the 49ers were eliminated in the Divisional Round, so the futures lost.
“And Stafford is a 50 to one MVP ticket is a ticket worth investing in for once.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so the 50-1 ticket cashed.
“So, yeah, that Rams team, if I'm gonna make one future's bet in NFC, wouldn't be the Eagles. It would still be this Rams team to win the Super Bowl. I just think we have the best value.”
The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the Rams reached the NFC Championship but lost to Seattle 31-27, so the futures lost.
“Jace Richardson, to be the number 10 pick, I bet it in the action app last night, 40 to one odds.”
In the 2025 NBA Draft, Jase Richardson was selected No. 25 overall by the Magic (No. 10 went to Khaman Maluach), so the No. 10 pick bet lost.
“You're not the problem for us, Matt Moore, because after our conversation last week, me and Simon both bet on the thunder to win in six,”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 6, so the Thunder to win in 6 bet lost.
“You're not the problem for us, Matt Moore, because after our conversation last week, me and Simon both bet on the thunder to win in six,”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 6, so the Thunder to win in 6 bet lost.
“I bet Pacers or I bet Thunder four two yesterday plus two ninety.”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 4-2, so the Thunder 4-2 bet lost.
“I'm gonna play Pacers money line game one. If it loses, I'll be back on them in game two.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Indiana Pacers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm gonna take that four two bet with OKC with you, Matt, but I'm also gonna throw a four three bet on the Pacers at you know, last time I checked, it was crazy, guys. It might have been 10 to one.”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 4-2, so the Thunder 4-2 bet lost.
“I'm gonna take that four two bet with OKC with you, Matt, but I'm also gonna throw a four three bet on the Pacers at you know, last time I checked, it was crazy, guys. It might have been 10 to one.”
Oklahoma City won the 2025 Finals 4-3, so the Pacers to win the series 4-3 bet lost.
“I like the series spread. I'm taking Thunder minus two and a half games. There's a minus one ten out there.”
Oklahoma City beat Indiana 4-3 (won the series by one game), so Thunder -2.5 series games lost.
“So I'm betting on Brock Purdy, 35 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Brock Purdy lost.
“I bet the niners 25 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the 49ers were eliminated in the Divisional Round, so the futures lost.
“Kyler Murray. That's my pick. Kyler Murray is 50 to one. This is my more realistic one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Kyler Murray lost.
“I'm I'm on with the Cowboys. How am I not gonna go with Dak, 45 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Dak Prescott lost.
“is Bo Nix. I bet this one, he was a 100 to one down to 80 to one. Now he's 75 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Bo Nix lost.
“but if the Rams are good, Matthew Stafford, 50 to one, I think is a really interesting MVP”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, leading the league in passing yards and touchdowns, so the bet cashed.
“Trevor Lawrence 50 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Trevor Lawrence lost.
“You can't get it in the action app yet, but I bet both, the cowboys plus seven and the cowboys on the money line at plus two forty.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“You can't get it in the action app yet, but I bet both, the cowboys plus seven and the cowboys on the money line at plus two forty.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.
“But me and Chad are taking a position because we expect this to what? Go to five and a half, four and a half maybe perhaps by the night they kick off. So we wanna take a position here.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Yeah. That's that that's just an insane opening number, but it's the respect that Philadelphia deserves”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.
“So I did I did take some tag, Lei. I I do think that, his popularity, [37:23] his his emerging markets kinda play is the most interesting angle of this entire conclave because of his opportunity.”
2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Luis Antonio Tagle was not elected.
“But, Abilene is my favorite dark horse. [38:04] I found the equivalent of 20 to one, on him, so I took some of that.”
2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Jean-Marc Aveline was not elected.
“I just think that whole market, the fact that they're trying to spread in Asia, that just makes more sense to me to to vote in a guy who seems like a good guy, seems like he's well liked.”
2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Luis Antonio Tagle was not elected.
“I think I'm with Abilene.”
2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Jean-Marc Aveline was not elected.
“I'm I'm gonna take a position on Boston in the series price, but, that's just following the smart money and the guys I respect.”
The New York Knicks beat the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2025 East semifinals, so the Celtics to win the series bet lost.
“you obviously know I love Cam, like Ward. I'm all about Tennessee. I I I grabbed that one immediately. I just think he should be the odds on favorite in my opinion.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year for 2025, so Cam Ward lost.
“The next one might shock a little bit Hampton. I grabbed him for the chargers. [20:45] I just I love the I love the spot, the opportunity”
Tetairoa McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year, so Omarion Hampton lost.
“we talked about why I love Tennessee plus eight eight hundred, eight to one to win their division. It's like a weak division [23:08] on a team that has a a pretty good defense, that has weapons offense,”
The Jaguars won the AFC South at 13-4; Tennessee finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“to me, Chad, just the value, how do you not take Walker? Like, this kid is an absolute stud on a defense that has zero pass rush ability in Atlanta.”
Browns LB Carson Schwesinger won Defensive Rookie of the Year for 2025, so Jalon Walker lost.
“in this year's Kentucky Derby is the number seven Luxor Cafe who is 15 to one. So, you know, trying to continue with that trend.”
Sovereignty won the 2025 (151st) Kentucky Derby; Luxor Cafe did not win, so the outright lost.
“is a price that I really like. He's another one of these horses. Like, we talked about sandman, final gambit is going to do his best running late.”
Sovereignty won the 2025 Kentucky Derby; Final Gambit finished 4th, so the outright win bet lost.
“He's got the number four Rodriguez at twelve to one. Rodriguez ran, [24:22] in a race called the Wood Memorial [24:25] about a month ago now, [24:26] and won that race fairly easily.”
151st Kentucky Derby (May 3, 2025) was won by Sovereignty; Rodriguez finished well back and did not win.
“So the way that I'm gonna build my Exacta this year is I'm gonna have the number seven Luxor cafe and the number eight journalism in the first place spot. And then in the second place spot, I'm gonna have the number three,”
Derby exacta required Luxor Cafe (7) or Journalism (8) on top. Winner was #18 Sovereignty (Journalism 2nd, Luxor Cafe out), so the 7/8-on-top exacta lost.
“So my trifecta ticket is gonna look like this. It's gonna look like $7.08 [38:06] in first. In the second position, it will be 3478910171819.”
Derby trifecta keyed 7,8 in first; winner was #18 Sovereignty (1st), then Journalism (2nd), Baeza (3rd). With neither 7 nor 8 finishing first, the trifecta lost.
“The reason we're betting on them to win this division”
The Patriots won the AFC East at 14-3, so the bet cashed.
“I've thrown a little bit on them at this number, and we'll talk about the other two in this division”
The Steelers won the AFC North; Baltimore finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.
“I'm gonna I'm gonna back Pittsburgh here.”
The Steelers won the AFC North at 10-7, so the bet cashed.
“So that's that's my view of it as I think I get to get a position here, and come November,”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; Tennessee finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“I really like this early value here on this Chiefs number at minus one thirty.”
The Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3; Kansas City collapsed to 6-11, so the bet lost.
“We're gonna bet on it, but I am nervous making this bet on Bo Knicks.”
The Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3 to earn the AFC's No. 1 seed, so the bet cashed.
“Well, something really depressing is I got this at 20 to one, and then when they added Gino, it only moved to 16 to one.”
The Broncos won the AFC West; the Raiders finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“Genti to be a top five pick. Like, as long as he goes under that six and a half, you know, if he slips past the Raiders,”
Ashton Jeanty went No. 6 overall to the Raiders, under the 6.5 line (he did slip past the slot but landed inside 6.5).
“I need Sanders to go top 10. That'd be very profitable for me because I've just been betting really high plus numbers.”
Shedeur Sanders fell out of the top 10 entirely, eventually drafted by the Browns at No. 144 (5th round), so the under 10.5 lost.
“the Rams, I've taken a position on them to take Sanders at 50 to one because I could see in some crazy world”
The Rams did not draft Shedeur Sanders; he was selected by the Cleveland Browns at No. 144 overall.
“pick seven and a half at even money.”
Kelvin Banks Jr. was drafted at No. 9 overall by the Saints, after pick 7.5, so the over cashed.
“pick 12 and a half at plus one sixty.”
Tetairoa McMillan went No. 8 overall to the Panthers, well before pick 12.5, so the over lost.
“pick 24 and a half. I think that's that the slide has been too crazy. I mean, he's he was going in the top 10”
Will Johnson slid out of the first round and was drafted at No. 47 in Round 2, so the under 24.5 lost.
“over picked 38 and a half. I mean, we're talking about the the QB two falling out of the first round.”
Jalen Milroe fell to No. 92 in the third round, after pick 38.5, so the over cashed.
“overpicked 26 and a half at plus one twenty two or overpicked 29 and a half at plus two fifteen.”
Emeka Egbuka was drafted at No. 19 overall by the Buccaneers, before pick 26.5, so the over lost.
“I've been betting SEC players over 14 and a half for a while now. It's under two to one under one to two, so it's minus one ninety five, minus one ninety.”
The SEC had 15 players selected in Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft, clearing the over 14.5.
“I've been on Kenneth Grant for a long time now. I got him at minus two thirty, minus two fifty.”
Kenneth Grant was a first-round pick, taken at No. 13 by the Dolphins, so the bet won.
“is Hampton to be the second running back?”
Omarion Hampton (No. 22, Chargers) was the second running back drafted, behind only Ashton Jeanty at No. 6, so the bet won.
“And then, you know, the three and a half market, the adjusted one, I you know, I would potentially be interested in that depending on the price of going over that too because Jackson Dart looks like he has a decent shot to go in the first round.”
Only two quarterbacks (Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart) were drafted in Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft; the over 2.5 QBs pick lost. (Round 1 QBs: Cam Ward (No. 1, Titans), Jaxson Dart (No. 25, Giants) — 2 total)
“So you say it's minus four fifty. Yeah. It's moving. So if you have the money in in the bank, just go put it down because”
Only two quarterbacks (Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart) were drafted in Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft; the over 2.5 QBs pick lost. (Round 1 QBs: Cam Ward (No. 1, Titans), Jaxson Dart (No. 25, Giants) — 2 total)
“Yeah. I get that. But I I would I wouldn't do anything but bet on Travis Hunter.”
Travis Hunter was the No. 2 overall pick (the Jaguars traded up with Cleveland to take him), so betting on Hunter at No. 2 cashed.
“I would take Carter at, What's Carter? Like, minus 300 now? I I said last week, was like, take him at it's not gonna get better than minus 200 for number three with the Giants. I still would take that there.”
The Giants selected Abdul Carter at No. 3 overall, cashing the -200 ticket.
“Write that. I see you with a pen. You might wanna write that one down. It by the way, not a pen. He's betting it at”
The Jets did not draft Tyler Warren; he went to the Colts at No. 14 (the Jets took OT Armand Membou at No. 7).
“And the the Genti, I bet it when you when you talked about he was 20 to one. It's down to 16 to one him to go to the Patriots.”
The Patriots did not draft Ashton Jeanty; the Raiders took him at No. 6 (New England took OT Will Campbell at No. 4).
“Rory McIlroy, obviously, plus 600 to win,”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose, so the outright cashed.
“minus one forty to be a top 10. I'll figure that that out. And then Justin Thomas.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters, so the top-10 finish bet cashed.
“I'm pretty sure Justin Thomas is gonna win.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters, so the Justin Thomas outright lost.
“So Lowry is always gonna be my card.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters, so the Shane Lowry outright lost.
“Like, I would not be surprised for a Seb Straka top five, and I'm gonna bet that.”
Sepp Straka missed the cut at the 2025 Masters, so the top-5 finish bet lost.
“Betting it. Yep. Justin Thomas.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters, so the Justin Thomas outright lost.
“I would not bet Arizona. I don't mind the under. It's scary with Duke because, you know, can put up 90, but that's probably my favorite under of the first two rounds.”
No total stated on air; used closing total 153.5. Duke beat Arizona 100-93 (combined 193), well over the number, so the under lost. (Duke 100, Arizona 93 (193 combined))
“I have a Texas Tech future. Bet them they're in the region. On our podcast, we have them to win the final four. I think they're a top five team and fully healthy.”
Texas Tech to win their region / reach the 2025 Final Four. Texas Tech lost the Elite Eight (regional final) to Florida 84-79. Bet lost.
“Brett Rooker is a guy who I think is actually a potential viable major league home run leader candidate this season.”
2025 MLB home run leader future (Brent Rooker, A's). Rooker hit 30 HR in 2025, far off the lead. Cal Raleigh led MLB with 60 HR. Lost.
“Orvin Carroll, runs leader. It's my favorite player prop to lead the Major League in runs.”
2025 MLB runs scored leader future (Corbin Carroll, D-backs). Carroll scored 107 runs, 6th in the NL and not the MLB leader. Lost.
“Even if you assume DeGrom gets hurt 70% of the time, He's still a decent bet at four to one to lead the league in strikeouts.”
2025 AL strikeout leader future (Jacob deGrom, Rangers). deGrom finished with 185 K. Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) led MLB/AL with 255 K. Lost.
“best bet on the board is the Guardians to miss the playoffs. I'm I'm the highest in the market on the Guardians. I'm at minus two forty on them to miss.”
2025 Cleveland Guardians to MISS the playoffs. The Guardians WON the AL Central (88-74) via a historic late comeback and made the playoffs, so the 'miss' bet loses. Lost.
“The average projections have them about 60% and minus one fifty, you could still get plus money. I think plus one thirty. I took plus one seventy earlier in the off season.”
2025 NL East winner (Atlanta Braves). The Phillies won the 2025 NL East; the Braves went 76-86 and finished 4th, missing the playoffs. Lost.
“I like them to get a buy. I like Texas to potentially win the American League.”
2025 AL pennant (Texas Rangers to win the American League). Rangers went 81-81, missed the playoffs (3rd in AL West). The Blue Jays won the 2025 AL pennant. Lost.
“I'm kinda down on the Yankees this year. Yankees to miss the playoffs in general. The under now that Garrett Cole's hurt, there's really not a lot of depth on the Yankees.”
2025 New York Yankees to MISS the playoffs. The Yankees went 94-68, made the playoffs as the AL's No. 4 seed (wild card), and beat the Red Sox in the Wild Card Series, so the 'miss' bet loses. Lost.
“Logan Gilbert, AL Cy Young. He was the second half strikeout minus walk leader. His velocity increased last year. He changed his pitch mix. Love Gilbert this year.”
2025 AL Cy Young (Logan Gilbert, Mariners). Tarik Skubal won the 2025 AL Cy Young (repeat). Gilbert was not a finalist. Lost.
“Chris Sanchez, AL Cy Young at 51. It seems like a long shot considering he's probably the second or third best pitcher on his team beyond Zach Wheeler.”
2025 Cy Young (Cristopher Sanchez, Phillies — labeled AL but he is NL). Tarik Skubal won AL Cy Young; Paul Skenes won NL Cy Young. Sanchez won neither. Lost.
“Memphis is one of my favorite first round bets. They are an underdog in a five twelve game as the five seed that's gonna catch a lot of eyes.”
MEM 70, CSU 78 — Memphis Tigers lost; moneyline busts.
“Two totals I like quite a bit, High Point and Purdue the over. I'm actually surprised this one hasn't gone up from one fifty three and a half.”
PUR 75, HPU 63 — Combined 138; over 153.5 busts.
“The other big total I like, Clemson and McNeese, the under in that one. And this one is really tempo based where I think both will slow each other down.”
CLEM 67, MCN 69 — Combined 136; under 134.5 busts.
“So I I laid some three and a half. I think it's more four in the market now, but I I think that's an okay price as well.”
SMC 59, VAN 56 — Saint Mary's Gaels margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“First one, UC San Diego, and I know this isn't, you know, a crazy one with the trendy, and it's only plus two and a half.”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — Michigan Wolverines won; moneyline covers.
“And then right next to them in the bracket, I like Yale.”
TA&M 80, YALE 71 — Texas A&M Aggies won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with Texas Tech, and maybe there's some stubbornness for me here because I picked them to the final four in the preseason when they were, like, barely a top 25 team, and now they're sitting here seventh and Ken Pound.”
Texas Tech to reach the 2025 Final Four. Texas Tech (No. 3 seed) lost the Elite Eight to Florida 84-79; the 2025 Final Four was Florida, Duke, Houston, Auburn. Bet lost.
“I love the Rams, 28 to one.”
The Rams lost the NFC Championship 27-31 to Seattle, who went on to win Super Bowl LX.
“I may or may not have bet on the Bears to win the Super Bowl. I'm just saying, Simon”
The Bears (11-6) lost 17-20 in OT to the Rams in the NFC Divisional round; the Seahawks won Super Bowl LX.
“This one is such a toss-up, but I am gonna go with Mikey Madison.”
Mikey Madison won Best Actress (Anora) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“I'm I'm gonna be betting here on the dog. So I already know where I'm going. I mean, I get it. Demi should be minus 300, but you know me, Chad. I like the dog. I like the upside, the value here”
Mikey Madison won Best Actress (Anora) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“So I think you have to go over Sean Baker for director right now.”
Sean Baker won Best Director (Anora) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“But I think you have to bet on Anora because it would be surprising to me that, like, substance or real pain is winning that,”
Anora won Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“But going back up to best picture, I mean, I still will go with Anora because I'm just gonna go with the momentum.”
Anora won Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“I wanna take Chalamet here.”
Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) won Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars, so the Timothée Chalamet bet lost.
“So the Conclave is gonna win. I don't see anything upsetting it.”
Conclave won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“This is a no brainer. Lock it in. She's minus 3,000.”
Zoe Saldaña won Best Supporting Actress (Emilia Pérez) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“but Kieran probably is gonna win. The the in the last ten, fifteen years, for better or worse,”
Kieran Culkin won Best Supporting Actor (A Real Pain) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“one of my favorite bets is the Green Bay packers. You can get them 25 to one.”
The Packers lost in the Wild Card round (27-31 to the Bears) and Seattle won Super Bowl LX, so the next-season Green Bay futures lost.
“I did bet the niners 17 to one. I liked Brandon's”
The 49ers were eliminated 41-6 by Seattle in the NFC Divisional round and the Seahawks won Super Bowl LX, so the next-season San Francisco futures lost.
“The chiefs defense to score touchdown in a chiefs win is plus nine fifty,”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX 40-22, so a Chiefs defensive touchdown in a Chiefs win could not happen.
“or you can do eagles. Same thing. Eagles defense touchdown and eagles win plus a thousand.”
Cooper DeJean returned a Mahomes interception 38 yards for a touchdown and the Eagles won 40-22, so an Eagles defensive TD in an Eagles win hit at +1000.
“So over five and a half reception, there's still plus money for Xavier Worthy. That's gone up in the playoffs, but I think it's still a good price.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Xavier Worthy: 8 receptions vs over 5.5; covers. (Xavier Worthy: 8 receptions)
“I love the anytime touchdown bet for the last five. We know he's gonna run the ball a time or two.”
Xavier Worthy caught two touchdowns (24 and 50 yards) in Super Bowl LIX, cashing the anytime touchdown.
“the way I would bet MVP here, even though I'm betting Chiefs win the Super Bowl, I think Jalen Hurts MVP is the right play.”
Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP after the Eagles' 40-22 win, cashing the +380 ticket.
“20 to one niners is my first Super Bowl pick for next season.”
This next-season (Super Bowl LX) 49ers ticket lost: San Francisco was routed 41-6 by Seattle in the NFC Divisional round and the Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13.
- Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown pending
“Thanks to doctor Nick Giffin. That was, four to one.”
Parlay busts: Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions +5.5 — lost; Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown — manual.
“My favorite one is definitely both teams have successful fourth down. Convent like, so, basically, you need the eagles convert a fourth down, chiefs convert a fourth down.”
Both teams finished 0-for-1 on fourth down in Super Bowl LIX, so the both-teams-convert-a-fourth-down bet lost.
“I've made this bet. This is another number that's moving. The Chiefs were the Eagles were Eagles win first half, Chiefs to win the game was plus three six fifty on bet three six five. It's down to plus five fifty now.”
The Eagles won the first half 24-0 but also won the game 40-22, so the Eagles-1H/Chiefs-game double lost.
“The money line was my exact decision. The side was Simon Says.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“The money line was my exact decision. The side was Simon Says.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1; busts.
“We're going with the under as our big balls bet of the week.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49 busts.
“We're going with the under as our big balls bet of the week.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49 busts.
“First to 20 yards in the game, Kareem Hunt is plus four fifty, which I think is intriguing.”
Kareem Hunt managed only 9 rushing yards on 3 carries and never reached 20 yards, so first-to-20-rushing-yards lost.
“So two touchdowns at 10 to one is my other bet with Kareem Hunt.”
Kareem Hunt scored zero touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, far short of the two-touchdown prop.
“So I just feel like there's so many outs here. I I I still like it in the minus one fifty range.”
Saquon Barkley was held to short gains (57 total yards) and Jalen Hurts had the game's longest run (17 yards), so Barkley did not have the longest rush.
“I think a more interesting one is first half. It's 58 and a half. In the first half this season, he has 11 rushes of 13 plus yards.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards vs over 58.5; busts. (Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards)
“So I kinda like that price. It's between seven and eight to one.”
The Chiefs did not win the first half (trailed 24-0 at the break), so the Chiefs-1H/Eagles-game double lost.
“we're gonna go with field goals over one and a half for Kansas City at minus one twenty five. I would bet this up to about minus one fifty. So I think that the chiefs are gonna struggle in a red zone.”
Kansas City scored only touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX and Harrison Butker made zero field goals, so the team over 1.5 made field goals lost.
“It's Saquon, Barkley to have the most rushing attempts in the game at minus three fifty.”
Saquon Barkley carried 25 times in Super Bowl LIX, easily the most rushing attempts by any player in the game.
“You can get that at minus one fifteen at bet three six five. I think this is way too high. I have these teams projected to combine for just under 260”
Combined team rushing in Super Bowl LIX was just 97 yards (Eagles 72, Chiefs 25), well under the 285.5 line. (Eagles 72 rush yds + Chiefs 25 rush yds = 97 total (line 285.5))
“Sixteen o one, Nolan Smith, sign me up for that.”
Eagles LB Josh Sweat recorded the first sack of Super Bowl LIX, not Nolan Smith, so the +1600 ticket lost.
“Will any player have a 100 plus rushing yards? I'm gonna go with no at plus two ten.”
No player reached 100 rushing yards in Super Bowl LIX; Jalen Hurts led all rushers with 72 yards. (Top rusher: Jalen Hurts 11 car, 72 yds (no player over 100))
“give you under two and a half combined passing touchdowns at plus one fifty.”
The two teams combined for five passing touchdowns (Mahomes 3, Hurts 2) in Super Bowl LIX, so the under 2.5 lost.
“at the end of the day, I I trust bags, and I trust Mahomes. So rolling with the chiefs minus one and a half.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“one of my favorite bets that correlates with this is eagles over one and a half rushing touchdowns.”
The Eagles scored just one rushing touchdown (Hurts' 1-yard run) in Super Bowl LIX, short of the over 1.5.
“I bet this as soon as it opened at Kansas City minus one and a half and Kansas City on the money line at minus $1.20.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm making Kansas City on the money line my exact decision.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“Simon says, give me give me Chiefs minus one and a half.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“that's another spot I really love, the total. I love the under.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49.5 busts.
“and a half passing attempts. You can get it minus one nineteen, I think, is the best out there.”
Patrick Mahomes attempted 32 passes in Super Bowl LIX, staying under the 36.5 line.
- Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown pending
“I took his under five and a half receptions, and I parlayed it with his touchdown.”
Parlay busts: Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions +5.5 — lost; Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown — manual.
“I I bet it at one and a half. I also bet the chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I I bet it at one and a half. I also bet the chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“If you've got the balls, Tommy John has the support. Great game.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -6; covers.
“Eagles, Eagles, Eagles.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -6; covers.
“I have moved to the over. Originally, I like the under in this matchup. I have flipped to the over, and just because the number has moved too much, and I I basically have this total of 48 and a half.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Combined 78; over 47.5 covers.
“Kansas City minus one and a half. The total's 47 and a half. This was Simon Says.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Still like the value there. Still would take that under,”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Combined 61; under 47.5 busts.
“The Chiefs on the money line is our exec decision.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“I bet this as soon as it opened at four and a half,”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Simon says, give me the Chiefs minus one and a half.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Then I am taking my exact decision is KC on the money line.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“If you wanna grab eagles now just in case the line does move. I think you did. Right, Chad? Yeah. I took the four and a half.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I immediately bet the Chiefs at one and a half.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“yeah, early bets. I'm with Chad. I'm I'm taking chiefs right now.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But for this one, I'm definitely chiefs in the under and my first instinct to go with this one.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Combined 61; under 48.5 busts.
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 closed -9 · CLV +6.5 won
- Buffalo Bills +7.5 closed +1 · CLV +6.5 won
“I did bet the chiefs. I moved it down to two and a half, and I moved the bills up to seven and a half. So you can see it in the app. I've got a teaser on the bills at minus two and a half bills plus seven and a half, chiefs minus two and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Buffalo Bills +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“So I'm right there with you. I'm not scared off by this number.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +9 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I've I've taken the plus nine and a half, and I've thrown a little bet, just a little bet on the money line here.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I've thrown a little bet, just a little bet on the money line here. It's just something I have to do where I you know, this this is the only real dog in this this matchup that I actually believe in that can pull off the upset.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
“my love for this over, because I do think you're getting still a point and a half of value here on this total for this lions and commanders game.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; over 55.5 covers.
“Love the Eagles, especially even at minus six, and love that under in that Bills Raven game.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“Simon, I have said my biggest bets are gonna be the under and the eagles.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“51 and a half is a key number. Like, if you go mathematically how often that lands on 51, you're still getting great value right now taking this under a 51 and a half.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.
“So, yeah, if you're looking for my early sides right now on Tuesday, like the Chiefs at this number, I'd bet it up to nine, ten.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +9 vs line -8; covers.
“Yes. Simon says, give me Washington plus nine and a half, Chad. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I actually like the over two in this game. It's 55. It's a huge over.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; over 55.5 covers.
“How do I not bet that? Like, there is value there facing this Detroit team that has that issue stopping really high powered offenses.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
“It opened at five and a half. It's bumped up to six. Executive decision.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“So, yeah, I'm with Chad here. I love this Eagles. I honestly would bet it up to seven.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“Shock in other game, I like the under here. I just I just can't see the rams putting up any type of points, and eagles to me will just be run heavy.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Combined 50; under 43.5 busts.
“I have this at 48 and a half. So I think there's a ton of value on the under here, especially with these two teams that, you know, it's gonna be cold as hell up in Buffalo, Chad.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.
“Yeah. So we're on the Bucks tonight, minus three.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I've hit the two and a half a couple times. I know, Simon, you've probably hit it more. This was my exact decision.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I don't know how you don't take this charges number here.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I think they're gonna try to limit their own mistakes”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 42.5 busts.
“I got it at 41. It was 43 and a half. It's been bet down to 42 and a half. Still, that's a key number. You're still getting great value on this number.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 42.5 busts.
“I'm still good with the Steelers here at 10.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“I'm betting their money line, but to me, the the smart safe bet here is taking the plus 10 if you can still get it on the Pittsburgh team.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“I still like the Bills here.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -9; covers.
“it feels like we're in the foxhole on this one.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“for my biggest bet to this game, it's not even close. Like, I'm heavily invested in this Eagles team at three and a half, at four, at four and a half.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“let me fade this overhyped commanders team and take this Bucks team at minus three.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going all in on the chargers and the bucks and the bills.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“The total at 50 and a half, I like the under two.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Combined 43; under 50.5 covers.
“that's another reason why I like this under so much is it just feels like it's going to be a run heavy game from this Bucks team.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Combined 43; under 50.5 covers.
“plus one and a half, I still love the value on this Rams team. And, yeah, I'm I'm gonna be betting that man the under here.”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
“it's another game that I've I've taken the under on.”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Combined 36; under 48 covers.
“I went I went through the zero, took the charge off the plus three and a half, and, yeah, Bill's down to two and a half. It just feels like that's a gift. So, yeah, those those are definitely my biggest bets right now.”
The Chargers were blown out 32-12 by the Texans, busting the +3.5 leg and sinking the three-team teaser despite the Rams (+7.5) and Bills (-2.5) legs winning.
“I did bet it at two and a half. I bet the chargers. It's at three.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“the number is right. The value is on the number, and I'm just I I just think this should be three and a half. We're getting three minus two and a half. I'll take that value every time.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -3; busts.
“I used quick slip, by the way, and I bet the steel is a plus 10.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“yeah, Simon says, give me Pittsburgh plus 10 shots.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“On Sunday night, we felt so locked in on the bills. I bet him 7 and a half.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -7.5; covers.
“got got more Pittsburgh down at Pittsburgh plus 10, got more Philly down at minus four.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4; covers.
“pretty dug dug in here on this Eagles team, especially at this number.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So, yeah, I'll take the three, and I pray pray that more money comes on the commanders, and I get two and a half.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“begging you to take Green Bay, and I'm gonna throw quick quick penny on the Eagles right there. It was three.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -3.5; covers.
“My first instinct on this was we're betting the Eagles. Like, I just I keep thinking about this defense.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Give me Buffalo.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -8.5; covers.
“Maybe it'll be Chad's on the Bills, but opening line here minus seven and a half. I gotta take that with this Bills team.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -7.5; covers.
“no rush to bet it. I mean, I'm gonna grab it as soon as we get off this call.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +8.5; busts.
“If this if the chargers have something to play for, we'll know by the time we put our picks in, I like the chargers.”
Chargers routed the Raiders 34-20, covering their closing spread (Chargers favored roughly -4.5 to -7). (Final: Chargers 34, Raiders 20)
“yeah, I just I love this Chargers team, especially they're playing a bad key a bad team, their coach is horrible. He's a psychopath. He's not gonna take his foot off the gas.”
Chargers routed the Raiders 34-20, covering their closing spread (Chargers favored roughly -4.5 to -7). (Final: Chargers 34, Raiders 20)
“We're on the Chiefs here.”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.
“Take that best team. Like, I I'm with them. Like, it's very caveman, very simple. Don't overthink this one. Just take the points with this”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.
“One more one more game for Dougie. Give him give me plus four and a half on this Jaguars team.”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“way too many points for us to pass on. Like, I I love this number. I love this Jags team”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“some smart money now has come in on the Eagles here this morning, which is pretty surprising, but nothing changed in my position.”
PHI 20, NYG 13 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I didn't mention Tennessee because I just know no one's gonna follow that one, but, yeah, I'm I'm heavy on Tennessee as well.”
Texans beat the Titans 23-14; Tennessee lost outright by 9 points while closing as only a small favorite/short underdog (line moved between Titans -1.5 and pick'em), so the Titans failed to cover. (Final: Texans 23, Titans 14)
“Give us the give us the panthers.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8; covers.
“I believe in Bryce Young, believe in their offense, and I really do think we'll be either they have a chance to win this game outright or easily have a chance to back during”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8; covers.
“I just I just think it lines up perfectly as Minnesota team. So, yeah, I'm clearly, I'm pocket committed. I I love them at plus three Minnesota.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin -22 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm a degenerate gambler, and I have money invested already in the Bengals, and I love the Bengals.”
Bengals beat the Steelers 19-17, a 2-point margin that covers -1.5. (Final: Bengals 19, Steelers 17 (margin 2, covers -1.5))
“no. They it's they moved it to one and a half now. I can't help it. I gotta bet, Sensei.”
Bengals beat the Steelers 19-17, a 2-point margin that covers -1.5. (Final: Bengals 19, Steelers 17 (margin 2, covers -1.5))
“Very interesting. Finally pulling the trigger on the Tennessee titans. I gotta tell you, I didn't see that one coming.”
TEN 14, HOU 23 — Tennessee Titans margin -9 vs line -1; busts.
“But I still I still like Tennessee at this number, and I do think it goes up by kickoff.”
TEN 14, HOU 23 — Tennessee Titans margin -9 vs line -1; busts.
“Call me a sucker for this Jags team. I just love the way they've been playing down the stretcher. I'll take Mac Jones, Brian Thompson junior at plus four and a half.”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm betting panthers at plus eight and a half. I've already bet their money line.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I've already bet their money line. I love this as an upset for this this Carolina team.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I feel like we have to just because you gotta complete the circle.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm I'm all in on them. I love them. I I bet they're money line as well for this one.”
GB 22, CHI 24 — Chicago Bears won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with a road favorite, the Seattle Seahawks minus three against the Los Angeles Rams.”
LAR 25, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“I agree with you. I I like Seattle in the spot, especially the fact that we're getting against a Rams team that they're another team that's top heavy.”
LAR 25, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“I couldn't resist anymore, and I gave myself a little gift yesterday, Christmas morning gift, and I bettered it for a completely irrational splurge. We may be off, but I don't know. I I I just love the chargers here.”
NE 7, LAC 40 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +33 vs line -4; covers.
“This number just feels too low to me on this on this side, so that's why I do support taking the chargers.”
NE 7, LAC 40 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +33 vs line -4.5; covers.
“It's another one sort of that I gifted myself on Christmas day when it moved to three and a half. I took it at three and a half. It's since moved back down to three.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So a three and a half, especially contest wise, I would play it. But if it was two and a half, wouldn't even think about playing it.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I did get Carolina at plus eight and a half against Tampa Bay, and it's now at eight. This was my exact decision.”
TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +8.5; busts.
“My only fear is just that I'm so in love with it. Like, I this is another game where I took their money line again.”
TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“And if we can still get the four and a half in the contest by all means Amazing. I love it. We're the thing is we're not gonna get three and a half.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“love this matchup. Love this number for this team, and just feels like a game that they could steal and win outright.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“Detroit got down to three yesterday. I bettered at three. I'm assuming you bettered at three.”
SF 34, DET 40 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I would say Detroit, I went pretty heavy on the minus three. Even at minus three and a half, I've honestly betted up. I've I'm feeling very chalky with that one.”
SF 34, DET 40 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I did bet the packers money line on Christmas day. They were still slight dogs at the time.”
MIN 27, GB 25 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +410 · CLV -20¢ lost
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +159 · CLV -2¢ lost
“We're going with Carolina as an eight, eight and a half point dog, and Atlanta, all NFC South boosted parlay.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost.
“my biggest bet by far of these three games is Chiefs minus two and a half, and it's not close.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +19 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We're gonna be on the Texans here.”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — Houston Texans margin -29 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm gonna go chalk side, the heavy public side. I'll take Seattle minus three and a half.”
CHI 3, SEA 6 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I already bet them first half as well, Seattle minus two and a half.”
CHI 3, SEA 6 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've just bet the Bengals number at minus three just because we you just talked about the movement.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm betting Cleveland. I love Cleveland here, and it really is all about to do with Miami and what we talk all the time, Chad.”
CLE 3, MIA 20 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Simon says take Atlanta falcons.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm with you, man. You know what? You've turned me around. I didn't have a strong opinion. I leaned Washington. I got where you're coming from Washington, though, just because it is Penix on the road as a rookie.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“So this was also on my list for executive decision. The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible.”
TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +8; busts.
“I'm grabbing Cowboys right now at seven and a half.”
PHI 41, DAL 7 — Dallas Cowboys margin -34 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I that's what was about to say, though. I took the two.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +19 vs line -2; covers.
“we bet Kansas City on Sunday night, Monday morning at plus two and a half.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I bet the Texans at three and a half. We are very much hoping for the middle.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I would still take the Steelers.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“We like this a lot on Tuesday when it was three and a half. We both bet it there.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — New York Giants margin -27 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm on the the commanders at three and a half,”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I've been betting it pretty heavy this week, and it was really all about the number”
CAR 36, ARI 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I hate the bears here. Hate them. I'd much rather bet the lions.”
CHI 17, DET 34 — Detroit Lions margin +17 vs line -6.5; covers.
“New England Buffalo was my exact decision.”
BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -14; busts.
“I liked it a lot at three and a half. I bet it at three and a half.”
SEA 24, MIN 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I still like Dallas here.”
DAL 26, TB 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin +2 vs line -4; busts.
- New York Jets ML closed +136 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Dallas Cowboys ML closed +180 · CLV -10¢ won
“New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys. That's right, folks. That is plus seven twenty five.”
Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Dallas Cowboys ML — won.
- Dallas Cowboys ML closed +180 · CLV -10¢ won
- New York Jets ML closed +136 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +118 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +185 · CLV -9¢ won
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +210 · CLV -10¢ won
“New York Jets, Seattle Seahawks, Washington Commanders,”
Parlay busts: Dallas Cowboys ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — won.
“So, yeah, if we have the three, we're gonna take the three. We're gonna go with the go with the broncos.”
LAC 34, DEN 27 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I bettered at two and a half yesterday.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I actually waited until Monday afternoon to get the six and a half as soon as I saw Tomlin say he was optimistic about TJ Watt.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“now that it's up to three and a half, you can't avoid it. That's there's too much value there at such a good number. You have to take the Jets.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — New York Giants margin -27 vs line +3.5; busts.
“It it is. Simon Says Washington three and a half.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“No. I actually love panthers here. I think it's a good number. I I had this at three and a half. It's four and a half.”
CAR 36, ARI 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I bet it at three and a half this morning”
SEA 24, MIN 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am not afraid to bet the Buffalo Bills here.”
BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -14; busts.
“I still like the cowboys.”
DAL 26, TB 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin +2 vs line -4; busts.
“Don't we just take the three right now with Denver? Yes.”
LAC 34, DEN 27 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Grab the two and a half right now.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“it's above six, though. We have to take it.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“so I guess I'll grab the four now while I can.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“I pulled the trigger. I bet the Panthers at two and a half.”
CAR 14, DAL 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -16 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I feel like we have to be taking the browns here.”
CLE 7, KC 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'll be a sucker with you. I'll buy this Pittsburgh one and just I'll ride the Tomlin spot”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“We're in the foxhole with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Alright. I'm a foxhole guy.”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“We're going with the Indianapolis colts plus four”
DEN 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +4; busts.
“I fully support you in this number. I bet it. I like the colds here,”
DEN 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +3.5; busts.
“alright. Good. Then I feel better about putting the lions in at two and a half. You've kinda convinced me.”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“last one is just Detroit at two. If you can get the two,”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2; busts.
“Green Bay, I just can't stop betting at two minus two and a half, and I I know it's”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've bet more on the packers at minus two and a half than I've bet on the box at plus three.”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've bet them both. I've bet more on the packers at minus two and a half than I've bet on the box at plus three.”
LAC 17, TB 40 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line +3; covers.
- Cleveland Browns ML closed +194 · CLV -1¢ lost
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +182 · CLV -2¢ lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +131 · CLV -1¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +205 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +127 · CLV -2¢ lost
“Indianapolis Colts. Simon, correct me if I'm wrong in any of these. Tampa Bay Buccaneers,”
Parlay busts: Cleveland Browns ML — lost; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost; Miami Dolphins ML — lost.
“I'm making the lines my exact decision.”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Simon says go grab Green Bay minus two and a half right now.”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“yeah, it's it's a game where I know what to do, Chad. I I really wanna take Pittsburgh.”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“Simon, I'm calling it right now. Miami,”
MIA 32, NYJ 26 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“the amount of money I'm putting on it at five and a half, which I'm going to because I wanted to get a little bit better number,”
MIN 42, ATL 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin +21 vs line -5.5; covers.
“We gotta go with the Chiefs.”
KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -4; busts.
“So I'm I can't help it. Like, I love this number. Six and a half.”
PIT 27, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
- Chicago Bears ML closed +143.5 · CLV -2¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ won
“Find the boost under either the bears or seahawks game pages on bet three six five.”
Parlay busts: Chicago Bears ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won.
“But we'll take we'll take the value. I'll take the three and a half right now while it's still available.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“if it's 6 and a half at bet $3.06 5, I'd grab that now because a lot of the books here in Jersey are down to 6.”
PIT 27, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I I was confused by the order in the schedule and the spread, but I really meant Minnesota minus five,”
MIN 42, ATL 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“with them chasing that one c, Chad, and just how locked in Josh Allen is, I just I can't see it. So there's a couple fours out there if you still wanna grab it.”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Buffalo Bills margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“I don't mind going at it again because it's four and a half. I'm gonna grab that now. But if it's three and a half come contest time, I don't know if we force that one in”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Los Angeles Rams margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“It's it's a giant home dog against a defense. I can't stop anyone. I agree. Take take the six. This is definitely gonna come down.”
DAL 20, CIN 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Detroit minus 10 as you just said. Dude,”
DET 23, CHI 20 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“I just have to play this number and take this plus four with this Giants team.”
DAL 27, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“Simon says, give me Green Bay minus three, Chad.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +13 vs line -3; covers.
“I think we're just betting the 12 and a half.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -12.5; busts.
“is gonna be the New York Jets plus two and a half”
NYJ 21, SEA 26 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“The number touched three for a minute on Monday. I bettered a three. You can see it in the app.”
CIN 38, PIT 44 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“I like them. I bet them. You can see it in the app along with the Steelers and the Packers,”
NE 24, IND 25 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Alright. I'm doing it. Tennessee titans,”
WSH 42, TEN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -23 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I love this number on the Stargers team. It just they're the more complete team.”
ATL 13, LAC 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“Forget about betting them. We gotta bet them. We like the number. We like the spot.”
CAR 23, TB 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“I'd rather take the Eagles money line, have them win this game outright on a late field goal.”
BAL 19, PHI 24 — Philadelphia Eagles won; moneyline covers.
“give me give me Denver minus five and a half. I love Denver here. Love it.”
DEN 41, CLE 32 — Denver Broncos margin +9 vs line -5.5; covers.
- New York Jets ML closed -120.5 · CLV +6¢ lost
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed +134 · CLV 0¢ won
“and the Philadelphia Eagles. I'm glad to hear you say, if you like the Eagles, take them on the money line,”
Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Philadelphia Eagles ML — won.
“How do we not take them?”
DET 23, CHI 20 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -10.5; busts.
“As much as I don't like Jordan Love, I feel like we gotta take the packers.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +13 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like the Chiefs. You gotta grab the Chiefs right now. This is going up.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -12.5; busts.
“Don't overthink it. Don't overthink it.”
CIN 38, PIT 44 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Carolina plus six and a half at Tampa Bay. Done. Book it. Let's go.”
CAR 23, TB 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We're taking the panthers. I think it's gonna be in the contest.”
CAR 27, KC 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +11; covers.
“We're going with the colts.”
IND 6, DET 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“So, yeah, Chad, I'm right there with you. If you can grab the two right now, I'd grab it.”
GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line -2; busts.
“This was a Sunday play for us. We bet the cardinals a plus one and a half.”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +1; busts.
“I just think people are undervaluing this Rams team while they're overvaluing this Eagles team.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line +3; busts.
“I I have already bet the eagles aggressively here.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +222 · CLV +88¢ lost
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +135 · CLV -5¢ lost
“If you wanna bet this bet at bet three six five, the boosted parlay,”
Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers ML — lost; Los Angeles Rams ML — lost.
“I think people got too excited about the car the seahawks beating the niners the way they did, and they forgot a little bit about the cardinals, which I think is not uncommon.”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +1; busts.
“if you're getting plus one and a half on Arizona again, I'd take that number because I just said it. I think it's by kickoff, I just can't I'd be shocked if Arizona is not a favorite by kickoff.”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +1; busts.
“Sorry, Chad. Simon says, give me the rams plus three. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line +3; busts.
“Trap. Trap. Trap. Trap. Do not bet the Eagles. Take the Rams. Chad's giving you even more reasons to bet this Rams team. Don't don't walk into this trap.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line +3; busts.
“We're going with the lions.”
IND 6, DET 24 — Detroit Lions margin +18 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Going with the chalk once again. Going with Joe Public. I'll take the lions on minus seven and a half.”
IND 6, DET 24 — Detroit Lions margin +18 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I've I've only made two bets right now in this game that's just been on green bet. Bet him when those two. Bet him one again and got two and half because I thought, okay. This might keep going up if Purdy's out.”
GB 38, SF 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“No. I'm on the other side. I like Houston. Like, this number should be 10.”
HOU 27, TEN 32 — Houston Texans margin -5 vs line -8; busts.
“I took the Eagles here right away at two and a half. Because there's a couple of books at it two, two and a half. I just took that early just because I I assume this will go up to three, three and a half by Kickoff.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Yeah. I know. They're on the road. I'm just taking that one right now. They're just another big big dog”
MIA 34, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin -19 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I make this a pick. We're getting plus one and a half, plus two right now in the 49ers. This is just an early bet I'm gonna make right now as 49ers too. I just love that number.”
GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Alright. I'll throw a couple thousand on then because I I I could see professionals betting this down to three.”
CHI 27, MIN 30 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I bet the Browns at one and a half. I just couldn't Couldn't resist it.”
NO 35, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -21 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I bet the Lions at minus 13. It's in the app. I saw it moving to 13 and a half at a couple of Connecticut books and wanted to get to 13 while I could.”
DET 52, JAX 6 — Detroit Lions margin +46 vs line -13; covers.
“Detroit, I've just been hammering it. I've at thirteen, I was just all over it. 13 and a half, I played a little bit.”
DET 52, JAX 6 — Detroit Lions margin +46 vs line -13; covers.
“So I bet it at two and a half, Kansas City on Monday. It's been holding.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Two and a half, chiefs, if you can still find it, that's no brow no doubt about getting one of my bigger bets.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I was hoping we'd still get the three and a half, Chad. We've seen now it's the books are gonna hold down the three.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“book it, stealers. We might get burned. Obviously, we think we could get burned here.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“We're going in the foxhole with the Los Angeles Rams minus four and a half against the New England Patriots.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -4.5; covers.
“it's down to four and a half like you just said on this Rams team. That to me is there's there's too much line movement right now in to pass on this value.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I wouldn't mind putting them in. I I love the chargers in the spot. This is probably gonna end up being one of my bigger bets. I just love the number.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like it actually more at four with Andy Anthony Richardson than I do with Joe Flacco.”
NYJ 27, IND 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm betting it because I think it's a good number. I don't think this Jets team should be a four point favorite against anybody, but”
NYJ 27, IND 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +150 · CLV -3¢ won
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed +115 · CLV -2¢ lost
“Find the boost under either the steelers or chiefs game page on bet three six five.”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Kansas City Chiefs ML — lost.
“I've already bet it. You can look you can look in the app. I grabbed it at three and a half.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“yeah, I like Pittsburgh. I like the number. Tomlin is a dog. It's just good to us.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Two and a half. How are we not pulling the trigger on the chiefs?”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So this will be one of our five just like Pittsburgh.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“you don't have to rush to bet this number now. No. I'm taking it now just because”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“This is easy bet. I am on bet three six five in New Jersey. The line has flipped to plus one and a half on the Chiefs. Hammer that number on the Chiefs.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll take the seven right away. Like you just said, who are this 49ers team to be getting that seven?”
SF 17, SEA 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm betting I already bet the packers are minus six and a half. What's your view on this? Like, isn't this a huge smash spot for Green Bay?”
CHI 19, GB 20 — Green Bay Packers margin +1 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Right now, it's a top five for me. I get there there it's it's really gonna be the Jets on on the outside, and and we'll see if we Okay. End there for me.”
WSH 27, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think this number should be three. It's four, three and a half. We're happy to still take the four if you can find it.”
IND 20, BUF 30 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“all the things that we like to bet from public perception to number to matchup are lining up here. I can see this definitely making a contest.”
IND 20, BUF 30 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“I bet at eight and a half. It's in the Action Network app. It's now at eight. I like the Broncos here. Like, I'm I'm not afraid of it in any way.”
KC 16, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm happy this is not gonna be one of our five, and we don't have to because I'm I I did bet the bronco is eight and a half”
KC 16, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“The line moved from three to four. It touched four. I grabbed it at four yesterday. I had already bettered at three and a half.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“but we're taking the saints. Like, it's it's one of those games where it actually makes no sense to me not to take the saints.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Love the niners here. It was at five and a half yesterday. I bet it at five and a half. It's in the app. I still like it at six.”
TB 20, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“five and a half, Chad. This is our we get five and a in contest. We put it in and McCaffrey is cleared and he's gonna play. No doubt a doubt. I'd take it.”
TB 20, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I just decided the Jets would decide. Like, every everything made sense to me. Even as, like, a one point favorite, I know we hate betting against the line flip, but we did it.”
CAR 20, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“So I grabbed Dallas at seven and a half. It's moved to seven.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“But at seven and a half, I don't mind taking the number. I I bet this number.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I I actually still like Detroit at this number in the spot. And it's really like you just said, we'll no Will Anderson, no Nico Collins. This will become one of my bigger bets come Sunday.”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Yeah. I love it because it's giving me a better number on a Rams team I love.”
LAR 15, MIA 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm with you on the rams. I love the rams. I I like the rams not because of Cooper Kupp and Puka Naku and Matthew Stafford. I love him because of Kyren Williams”
LAR 15, MIA 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'd still bet it at six, by the way. I did bet it at six.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“Yeah. I bet it at six. I bet it at six.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“yeah, this is not what I'm putting too much in the money line, but plus plus three and a half now. I'm definitely grabbing this year.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“if we're gonna do everything that is the opposite of what the square thing would be, you take the saints here. No brainer. Automatic. One of our five.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Simon says give me Pittsburgh plus three.”
WSH 27, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“Dallas cowboys, exact decision. Oh. Plus seven and a half.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“As long as it's seven and a half, I'll agree with it. I'll take the seven and a half”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm also gonna bet the Eagles minus 13 and a half because I could easily see them just blow this Cowboys team out.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +28 vs line -13.5; covers.
“yes, I am taking the minus three and a half, and I'll take the three. I think this is a total head fake by the professionals, and they're just moving the number to get a better number on the Detroit team.”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm like, I hammered Detroit when it popped on three. I was hoping it'd get it'd be today for the three because that was gonna be my Simon Says pick.”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I just wanna grab it just because I I I I think that number goes up to three, so I just wanna grab the two and a half now.”
LAR 15, MIA 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“they're minus six right now against Cincinnati Bengals. I'm gonna take the plus six. Like, Joe Burrow against that defense, if you wanna grab that number early with me, I'll grab that now because I think that number goes down as well.”
Cincinnati lost a shootout 35-34 to Baltimore, a 1-point defeat that comfortably covered the +6. (Ravens 35, Bengals 34)
“I'll take Denver in this big number. It's it's just to me, it's too big. If this was seven and a half, maybe seven, I could come around this Ravens team. The fact that it's crossed seven and a half key number, eight and a half key number, and still at nine, I'll be I'll be the Joe Public sucker. I'll take the nine.”
BAL 41, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -31 vs line +9; busts.
“Big ball's better than week. New Orleans Saints.”
CAR 23, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“We're finally fading this Carolina team. For our fans, for our listeners.”
CAR 23, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“plus three and a half at Tennessee.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“If it's a trap, me and Chad will walk into it holding hands. I mean, what else can we do here? This is too good of a number. This Tennessee team is terrible.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Miami at Buffalo. Buffalo minus six. This was my exact decision. Yeah. Loved it on Sunday night when it was at six. Bet up to six and a half.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“Nope. This is one of my bigger bets of the week. Tons of money on this Bills team. I'm I hope it I hope professionals get better than this.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“Detroit at Green Bay, Green Bay three and a half. This was Simon Says. I will say this is the game I've bet the most on this week. I've enjoyed getting the money down at three and a half.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'd grab it now, people. I do think once everything is clear with Jordan Love, this does go down to three”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We're in the foxhole. We're on the rams. We are against everybody”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“my real big money bets that I bet on this Rams team have all come at minus one, minus one and a half.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm I am on Atlanta, but it's one of my smaller bets. I just”
ATL 27, DAL 21 — Atlanta Falcons margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“There is no way this isn't one of our five. Like, I love this favorite. I bet this favorite. I will have this in a ton of teasers.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“But we're Green Bay, three and a half. Simon says Green Bay plus three and a half. Time to fade. The boys from River City, who we love. No disrespect.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm betting this right now. Like, literally, I bet it before it came on the air. The two a couple of books are back up to nine. I'm gonna bet it again just because it's crossed that key number again.”
BAL 41, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -31 vs line +9; busts.
“you can get three and a half right now in New England as well. Like, there's a couple books out there, three and a half. How do I not take that?”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like New Orleans now with their card back just because I think this is a spark this team needs after such dreadful QB play. Like, you could just see this getting this team back around, and this is the perfect game for them to get right.”
CAR 23, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -1 vs line -7; busts.
“Still love them. I'd still bet them because it's under the key number, which we always talk about too. So right now, the highest I'm seeing in Los Angeles minus one and a half at a couple books.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So, yeah, I think we still like the Rams here. Rams are on the list. Rams are on the list.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Trust the books here, but I'll I'll take the chalk earlier on Houston. I mean, that Jets team's in total disarray.”
NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line -1; busts.
“Buffalo is less than a touchdown favorite at home against Miami. Grab it.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“Yeah. It's it's a key number. I'll I'll take the Raiders.”
CIN 41, LV 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +8.5; busts.
“the Giants are plus three and a half against the Commanders. I get it. They're dead, but they Daniel Jones only plays good against one team in his career. It's the Commanders.”
NYG 22, WSH 27 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Who are they to be catching minus three against anybody? So I like that early grab of patriots plus three.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I love this Rams team so much. That was my biggest bet this week. I was all in on them. Thank god it came through. They're plus one and a half right now at Seattle, Seahawks.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I bet the cards at three and a half. I bet it because of the number. It wasn't because of anything else. I just wanted to hook with Kyler”
MIA 27, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“They got down to 10 and a half. I bet it at 10 and a half. It's back at 11.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“my motto likes this. I like this. Chad likes this. Feels like it's unavoidable if we're gonna have these lines in our contest.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“I have not touched anything Jags three and a half, but I'd still do it. It's just try to get the four. The four is such a key number.”
JAX 27, GB 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“India Houston, this was my exact decision. I bettered at six and a half. You bettered at six and a half”
HOU 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I don't I don't hate the Browns at nine and a half. I did bet it at nine and a half. I didn't bet it at 10”
CLE 29, BAL 24 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line +9.5; covers.
“to me, I'm fine betting the bears because I think we have to think about this not as a line flip, but as a new line with the bears as less than a field goal.”
WSH 18, CHI 15 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“This is one of my favorite chalker sides of the week is this bears matchup, especially coming off the bye week.”
WSH 18, CHI 15 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“we'll be on the cowboys. Cowboys will be in the contest.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm gonna take the dog. I'm gonna take the dog that went outright. Like, I just love this spot for this Dallas team.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
- Dallas Cowboys ML closed +200 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +200 · CLV -6¢ lost
“The boosted parlay, no surprise if you've been listening, Dallas cowboys, Indianapolis colts, Go to those game pages at bet three six five to find the boosted power leg.”
Parlay busts: Dallas Cowboys ML — lost; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost.
“I'm totally tempted at three and a half. Like, of course, am. I already bet it. You can see it in the app. I bet Arizona at three and a half.”
MIA 27, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Simon, we're gonna bet the Lions minus 11. Really? You're gonna guarantee this will be in our contest? I feel good about it right now.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“I'll follow you on this one. I I do love this Lions team. It's just, you know, it just irks me to take a big favorite. So I gotta kinda push that aside and just know that this is a good number, and it probably should be closer to 14.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“We bet the Colts at six and a half. We hit it on Sunday night. I'm leaning on exact decision here”
HOU 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I just think the Raiders here, it's a set of prime spot for an undefeated team in the Chiefs to lose a game.”
LV 20, KC 27 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +10; covers.
“Simon says, give me Dallas Cowboys. That's four and a Gotta do it”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“My friend, sack up because we are going with Cincinnati at Cleveland. We are taking the Cleveland Browns at plus six.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Gotta hold your nose. Trust the number and take the number here with Cleveland.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“So we're going with the lions. They'll be in the contest.”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Definitely Detroit, definitely Chiefs. Like, as we say it right now, those are two ones I've hit.”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Green Bay minus two and a half. There are a lot of books that have it at the rate. Houston but we're talking about bet three six five. It's at 2 and a half.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Green Bay Packers margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Two and a half, that's the good number. I trust the guys who are saying that. I I'll take it.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Green Bay Packers margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“this is a pro Joe split. I'm sticking with the Bucks.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“It's like, plus three and a half. It's a good number for a home divisional dog or not divisional dog, but a home dog that's, like, still a little underrated to the general public.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“we cannot take Mahomes here. It's just if he has the ball, he's down by three in the fourth quarter. I think it will at least go to overtime, if not winning this game outright at the end.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“My job is to coach what's here, and I'm gonna coach the hell out of them. I'll go Kansas City Chiefs.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“The Jets, I've hit pretty heavy.”
NYG 3, PHI 28 — New York Giants margin -25 vs line -2; busts.
“A game that we both like, we can agree. I feel good it'll be in the contest.”
NYG 3, PHI 28 — New York Giants margin -25 vs line -2; busts.
“I do. I like the matchup for Atlanta. I'd still take them at minus two and a half, but you're right.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed +115.5 · CLV -5¢ won
- Detroit Lions ML closed +106.5 · CLV -211¢ won
“This week's boosted parlay, Kansas City chiefs, Detroit lions. Find the boost under either chiefs or lions game pages at bet three six five,”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — won.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed +115.5 · CLV -5¢ won
- Detroit Lions ML closed +106.5 · CLV -211¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +185 · CLV -25¢ lost
- Cleveland Browns ML closed +199 · CLV +6¢ lost
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +280 · CLV -30¢ lost
“It's gonna be the Chiefs. It's gonna be Detroit. It's gonna be the Bucks. It's gonna be the Browns. It's gonna be Vegas.”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — lost; Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost.
“It's just a good spot for Baker. Give me the Bucks exact decision.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Chad nailed it. I I like this matchup. We like the plus three and a half with Tampa.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Simon says go grab that plus one and a half on that cheese team right now. Couple books out there still the plus one and a half. You gotta go grab it.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“but you have to take Cleveland in this spot. I know. This is is such a good number.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“It's at six now. You can go grab that if you want the browns, which I do.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“I'll be the sucker. I'll take that number. If this number is three and a half, I could be talked in Seattle just because they do have such a good offense with Gino and those weapons on the outside.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I actually bet the under in this game. That's the first thing I did. I got it at 37 and a half, I think. I will not touch a side in this game.”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Combined 43; under 37.5 busts.
“So I I bet this one is broncos minus one. I'd still take it here at minus two.”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Denver Broncos margin +23 vs line -2; covers.
“I'll grab the four and a half. I could see this being going down to four, three and a half by kickoff.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So I make this number three and a half. I'd grab it right now if you could still get the minus two and a half for Atlanta.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“we are going to tell people to do something that will require support because you and I are both in on the New England Patriots, a seven point underdogs at home against the Houston Texans. I like it for the spot. I like it for the matchup. I like it for the number. I like it for the trends. It is our big balls bet of the week.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“I think we're getting an extra point and a half of value here, Chad. So I'll definitely take this number on New England.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“I did bet it at three. I love it based on all the matchups and the fundamentals, especially at the line of scrimmage.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“Even if this is minus three and a half in contest, I feel like we're gonna force this one in regardless.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“Chad, let's hop in that foxhole. Give me the Carolina panthers plus six. You know me regardless of what's going on. I'm a foxhole guy. I commit to a team.”
CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“We got dogs of six plus points or more. We got division dogs. Historically, this is the only side to play.”
CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“we love we love this number. We love this matchup. Our our hardest thing is having to wait until Monday to know what our final five is.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“It was at two and a half. Has it moved back to two? No. It's still two and a half. So you can get two and a half.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I still like it if you still like it. If you wanna put it in as one of our favorites, I honestly wouldn't fight you on it. It's like, I bet this number. I bet Green Bay in this spot.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“I feel like I convinced you on Green Bay, and now you've convinced me to two favorites and three underdogs. Like, very possible that's where we end up landing.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“a couple of books moved to the two and a half, I bet it. It's like, okay. Now it's under three. I might as well take the chargers here.”
DEN 16, LAC 23 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It's three and a half. I'm gonna take the value and play the Giants here.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“clearly, the market believes your Simon Says is accurate, and we gotta jump on the Giants.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +216.5 · CLV 0¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed -1.5 · CLV -100¢ lost
“the boosted money line parlay is Panthers, Jets. Find the boost under either the Panthers or Jets game pages on bet three six five.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; New York Jets ML — lost.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +216.5 · CLV 0¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed -1.5 · CLV -100¢ lost
- New York Giants ML closed +185 · CLV -24¢ lost
- Denver Broncos ML closed +130 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +115 · CLV +13¢ won
“So the money line round robin, that is gonna be panthers, jets, giants, broncos, Colts.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; New York Jets ML — lost; New York Giants ML — lost; Denver Broncos ML — lost; Indianapolis Colts ML — won.
“Give me the path plus seven.”
CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“Exact decision was Detroit. I'm taking the minus three. It's available widely.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“We get off this call. I'm heading right down Atlantic City making a bunch of bets on Detroit. So I love this side.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“So give me Giants plus three and a half. It's really more about Cincinnati and and their defense.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“there's just gonna be a bunch of bunch of throws we're gonna need him to make, Chad, that we're gonna be relying on this rookie for if it is the starter. So I'm grabbing the seven now.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“We did bet it. Both of us have bet it. You can see it in the app. I bet it at seven,”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“there there you're right. There's something I need to dive into more, but I had bet this at plus six and a half.”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“So, yep, let's let's take, this this Jets seem to bounce back after firing their coach and take the plus two and a half, Chad.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“What are we doing, Chad? Gotta bet the New York Jets.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I like to spot for the packers. I don't like to spot for the cardinals, and I find some matchup opportunities”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“I'm with you. I like this Green Bay. This might be one of our only favorites we agree on, but I think we both like this side.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“Well, to clean it up, this is the four bets I'm on. I took the Giants, home dog plus three and a half.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Taking the Lions on the road minus three against the Cowboys.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“Taking Washington plus six and a half on the road against the Ravens,”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“And I think Chad's joining me. We're both taking the Patriots plus seven. We are.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“And I think Chad's joining me. We're both taking the Patriots plus seven. We are.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“Give me the Arizona cardinals at seven and a half.”
SF 23, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.
“hosting Green Bay. This was your comment to me on Tuesday.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“bet for sure was the rams three and a half, bangles plus three.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“bet for sure was the rams three and a half, bangles plus three.”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I agree with you. This is going to be a contest play. Yeah.”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I really love this number to be our our favorite in our contest. Yeah. I actually I've totally come around to it.”
PIT 17, DAL 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I was all over New Orleans from the beginning. I bet it at five and a half. It got down it got down to five.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Especially a couple of books hit plus six on the saints team. I grabbed it right away.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +6; busts.
“I'm slightly invested right now in the plus one and a half, not heavy.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I've been grabbing anywhere any book that has the one and a half, I've been grabbing it when I can. Yeah. I actually bet it while we were talking.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Right now, the panthers are my biggest bet of the weekend. Wow. But that's also because I bet in the plus five.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +5; busts.
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +137 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed -123.5 · CLV +4¢ won
“Doesn't matter what happens the rest of the game. Your week five, boosted underdog parlay.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won.
“The New Orleans saints There we go. Are my executive decision. Good man.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints lost; moneyline busts.
“Simon says grab the plus three”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I'm on the Rams. I know exactly what I'm doing.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I don't So know. Great. Then I'm taking the packers at three.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Green Bay Packers margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“it's another bet where I bet it. No need to put any more on if you've already bet it.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2.5; busts.
“We are on the Ravens tonight minus two and a half.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It's like, that's a no brainer. Bet it right now. Like, we have to. I think anytime we're getting over three with, you know, nothing against Caleb Williams, but just he has to earn a higher number from me. So, yeah, if you can get a plus five right now, Caroline, I'd grab it right now.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +5; busts.
“Carolina plus five against the bears. Gotta. Got it. Gotta.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +5; busts.
“Yeah. Right away, was like, you gotta take Green Bay there. It sucks up to three and a half. I'd still take that.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Green Bay Packers margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“you can get Vegas right now as a plus two dog to Denver. I'm excited for Bo Knicks. Back to back road wins coming home now. I mean, come on. Don't we don't we have to take the race? You have to take the road dog under a field goal in the division.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2; busts.
“I talk all the time how I think tuners two is such a key number. It could go up to it could go up to two and a half, go up to three. Like, I don't know if the pros will be on this one, but for me right now, that's a game I'm gonna grab right away.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2; busts.
“I said I'd bet if it got to seven. It did get to seven. I did bet it. It's now six and a half down to six in most books. That's easily one of the more professional sides this week.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“I make this closer to a pick. It's two and a half. I'm gonna take that value every time.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“my exact decision this week is a game you just referred to, the Chicago bears. I think we'll get them at two and a half in the contest. They're now at three.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I told you I moved it by half a point, made it two and a half. It's now two and a half. So, yeah, I'm with you. It's like, I I really love this line. I still love it”
ATL 26, NO 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“It's in the contest at one and a half. Say your piece. We love it.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Terrible, terrible spot for Mike Tomlin. Mike Tomlin as a road favorite. We know he obviously won this year as a road favorite. But in his career, Mike Tomlin as a road favorite is as bad as he is good as an underdog. So this is a spot where you wanna fade Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm not. I'm I bet it the wavering is more just, I don't get why there's so many professionals going the other side taking this commanders team”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Are we in the foxhole right now? I'll do it. I love it. We're in the foxhole with the Arizona cardinals.”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“it's why we are so comfortable going with the depleted, rundown Los Angeles chargers plus seven and a half as home underdogs against the Kansas City chiefs.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll bet it again with you. Like, I love this number. I love this spot. I'll put in the contest, and it's really about Mahomes and this Chiefs team.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Yeah. I got I got I got it at minus three. So, yeah, I still show value here.”
LV 20, CLE 16 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“So I'm with you. I'm with you, and I'm super excited to now have the raiders, the cardinals, the bears as short favorites in the contest this week.”
LV 20, CLE 16 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“You got him under three. If you have him under a field goal, he's twenty three and seven against the spread in his career. So I just blindly gotta keep betting this spot.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +120 · CLV -5¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed -101.5 · CLV -3¢ won
“Our week four boosted underdog money line parlay, we are going with the Indianapolis Colts and the Tampa Bay buccaneers.”
Parlay cashes: Indianapolis Colts ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won.
“I bet it at four and a half. Yeah. I bet it too.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Yeah. I bet it too. And I think it's just a little professional money came, and it took the Giants, especially on the money line.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I definitely bet it. Like, Tampa's on one of my five. It is.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm trying not to let you influence me with your love for it as well because, you know, these early lines we get on it, like, I already bet them a minus one.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I did bet it at two and a half because, like, as soon as our show is over on Sunday night, sometimes I just shook the computer down and go downstairs and then cry into a pillow.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Simon says grab the plus two people. Indy plus two. Know what? I didn't even realize this was gonna be it until I saw it.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
“Yeah. Definitely grab the two. I grabbed it right before we came on the air, actually.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
“I want the cardinals, and I probably want the over. I don't know what the number is.”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“you can see me and Chad are getting sucked in here, but it for good reason. We like this Arizona team that bounced back after that loss of the lines.”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Give me the Chargers plus eight. Like, almost feels like you gotta grab that now because I don't want it to go back down.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +8; covers.
“But I do really love the charges in this spot. Divisional game at plus eight.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +8; covers.
“I'm gonna give you a chalk bet that I made right away before you even came on the air. K. Tell me. Cowboys, minus five and a half, Thursday night football in the Meadowlands.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Honestly, I bet it just because I bet it before the games today just in case Jordan Love did come back. That's what I'm thinking. Yeah. So I I like that too for early bet.”
GB 29, MIN 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“But I think you're right. I'm gonna grab it now just because this is a key number at two.”
GB 29, MIN 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“So I wanna grab it now. I would grab it now just because I do think professional money will keep coming down.”
MIN 34, HOU 7 — Minnesota Vikings margin +27 vs line +2; covers.
“Minnesota Vikings, they are our big balls bet of the week.”
MIN 34, HOU 7 — Minnesota Vikings margin +27 vs line +2; covers.
“I saw the line got to two and a half, and it was a two and a half minus one fifteen. So I was nervous the line was gonna go back up to three, and so I rushed to bet the two and a half.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Alright. We're going to the fox Hole on the Tennessee titans.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I don't hate the Giants here at all. I know, like, it's ugly, but this is what we do, and we make these hard decisions.”
CLE 15, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I like where you're at coming with a six and a half, Chad. I I could see this being one of our five.”
CLE 15, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So we've done it. It's happening. Atlanta's in. Lock it in. Lock it in.”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Atlanta, Kansas City, we're definitely gonna play Atlanta at three and a half.”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm so in on the Jaguars. I don't need to be allowed.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -37 vs line +5; busts.
“It will be this week against the Buffalo Bills, Western New York's finest.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -37 vs line +5; busts.
“I haven't bet it yet because I'm waiting for the number to go back to seven. I think it will get there. It's trending that way.”
TB 7, DEN 26 — Denver Broncos margin +19 vs line +6.5; covers.
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +107 · CLV 0¢ won
“Our week three boosted underdog parlay in deference to my BFF Simon Hunter. We are going with the Arizona cardinals and the Minnesota Vikings.”
Parlay busts: Arizona Cardinals ML — lost; Minnesota Vikings ML — won.
“For me, what I'm personally doing, if you hadn't used it yet, I am going Cincy. If you had used them, I'm gonna go 40 niners.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm gonna go 40 niners. Like, the 40 niners against this Rams team. This Rams team might be shutting it down pretty soon.”
LAR 27, SF 24 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“Keep it simple, stupid. I'm a go, Lamar, Ravens. I I just can't see them start over three, so I'm gonna take the minus one.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“Then I think I will go with the Miami dolphins. Oh, wow. I'm I'm putting it in the script. It's official. I am taking the Miami dolphins.”
SEA 24, MIA 3 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“Well, I'm gonna make this Simon Says just in case it does. My god. Simon Says plus three and a half for Atlanta. Give it to me.”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Yeah. I gotta bet the Jacks, and I'm making them my exact decision.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -37 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I did bet it. Like I just showed you, I bet it, but it's I didn't know if you wanna make it your Simon Says.”
PIT 20, LAC 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But as you sit here right now, I bet Dallas I like Dallas. That's probably gonna be a team I'll be on in this matchup.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“We're gonna have to bet the Giants here. We're getting to the contest. Let's see what the number is, but we are gonna have to bet the Giants here.”
CLE 15, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +6; covers.
“So I'll I'll take the plus three with Arizona here.”
ARI 13, DET 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm grabbing Tennessee now minus two against Green Bay. Grabbing the saints right now plus two and a half against the eagles.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -2; busts.
“So I'm gonna grab the two and a half just in case the Eagles do somehow lose this game and this this number does drop down to a pick.”
NO 12, PHI 15 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“And I I gotta do it, man. I gotta grab the raiders minus seven against the panthers.”
LV 22, CAR 36 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -7; busts.
“We loved it on Sunday at six. We both bet it. It's moved to six and a half almost immediately.”
DAL 19, NO 44 — Dallas Cowboys margin -25 vs line -6; busts.
“Right there with you, Chad. Love Dallas.”
DAL 19, NO 44 — Dallas Cowboys margin -25 vs line -6; busts.
“So you're betting the Jets? I bet them. I took them in my minus three and a half. Once I got to three and a half, was like, alright. I'll I'll take this number here.”
TEN 17, NYJ 24 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So I I think we're getting really good value, Chad. I I I make this number seven. The fact that it's down to five and a half crossing that key number of six.”
MIN 23, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -6 vs line -5.5; busts.
“We love the niners almost all the time. We love Shanahan.”
MIN 23, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -6 vs line -5.5; busts.
“We are going with the Green Bay packers. Wow. Green Bay packers.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So, me and Chad are taking this on the show at two and a half. You can grab it if you want.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We bet it at six. We're gonna take the Bengals. No reason to talk about it.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“if this is four and a half in our contest, maybe we don't play it. But if it's five and a half or maybe it goes up to six again, we can get that six and a half. I I'd feel so comfortable taking it at that number.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“We're going back to Detroit. Detroit is gonna be We love the Oxford. We just love them. We love Detroit, and we just feel like people are still sleeping on this team.”
DET 16, TB 20 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I have a large position on seven, seven and a half.”
DET 16, TB 20 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line -7.5; busts.
“Pittsburgh and Denver, this was my exec decision. Now it's a two and a half. You gotta get the best of the number. It was at three. Doesn't bother me.”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm still gonna take Denver. The the public perception, though, that, you know, this Pittsburgh team, they're gonna be able to travel this defense.”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
- Denver Broncos ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed +117.5 · CLV +2¢ won
“This week will be Denver I can't believe I'm saying this. Podcast Malpractice and Green Bay. Denver and Green Bay. What we should do is gonna be our boosted parlay.”
Parlay busts: Denver Broncos ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — won.
“We like the ravens. You said raiders, and I'm like, people were not betting the raiders in our survivor pool. We're taking the ravens.”
BAL 23, LV 26 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“as long as it's two or down to one and a half, I like Miami at that number.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -21 vs line -2; busts.
“I actually do wanna bet the cowboys. To ride the trends. You know, I think the cowboys are gonna blow the saints out. I don't think it's gonna be even close.”
DAL 19, NO 44 — Dallas Cowboys margin -25 vs line -6; busts.
“Because right now, I have bet it at minus three and a half”
TEN 17, NYJ 24 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“grab grab the three now if you wanna be on the chalky side and take Seattle.”
NE 20, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“Maybe he can try to get me on the other side, but right now, I'm pretty dug in on the Jaguars.”
JAX 13, CLE 18 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -5 vs line -3; busts.
“But, yes, Simon says on the Bengals, I bet at plus six. You're betting at plus six. We're all betting at plus six.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm making it my exact decision.”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“It's probably gonna my Simon Says bet. I already took the six and a half. It's down to six. I'll take the six as well.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“Love it. Right now. I I say we grab it. I I as soon as I saw that number come out, it's Dallas at home against a bad team. Like, we always we always play Dallas on the spot.”
DAL 19, NO 44 — Dallas Cowboys margin -25 vs line -6; busts.
“Yeah. I grabbed Colts minus three right now just in case it is Malik Willis.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Did throw a little bit on Houston right now while it's under seven just because I do think that number's gonna go up.”
HOU 19, CHI 13 — Houston Texans margin +6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“You talked me back into the house. There you go. I was on the ledge. I feel much more confident now. It is our foxhole.”
NYG 6, MIN 28 — New York Giants margin -22 vs line +1.5; busts.
“this number is at four. This was my exact decision.”
NO 47, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“I started betting them when they were at six. It's, about five and a half. I've taken them at four and a half.”
NO 47, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“obviously, we're gonna go with the Colts in the contest.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I would say the Colts and the Jets, I've just put the most in.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“The lions have the best three year stretch against the spread since the patriots in that 2016”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I probably will have a lot more on this lines team. As as the week go along, I've just really loved them”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm I bet it at 4 and a half. Now it's back up to 4 and a half. I still live at 4 and a half.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — New York Jets margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +160 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +137 · CLV -2¢ lost
“and Bryce Young and the panthers beating the saints,”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost.
“I'm gonna go with the homework pick and take the Eagles at minus two and a half.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus one.”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +1; busts.
“Bet the ravens plus three. Biddy up.”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I like the Jags here.”
MIA 20, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“lead the league in passing at 22 to one.”
Trevor Lawrence was injured and played only 10 games; Joe Burrow led the NFL in passing yards (4,918).
“I think we're in the fox hole. A Tuesday fox hole? Let's do it.”
NYG 6, MIN 28 — New York Giants margin -22 vs line +1.5; busts.
“but I like the bears here. Like, to me, this isn't a position to fade them.”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I still like the titans at four and a half. I'm not buying out. I'm not afraid.”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Panthers are my executive decision.”
NO 47, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“Give me the colts plus two and a half. Put him in the contest. Let's go.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I have flipped on Detroit. They're one of my favorite favorite picks.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like the Jets. I like them at four and a half.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — New York Jets margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“of these, it's a nine bets. Right? Mhmm. Chiefs, niners,”
The 49ers went 6-11 and missed the playoffs, so a Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl never materialized.
“17 to one. Chiefs eagles,”
Super Bowl LIX was exactly Chiefs vs. Eagles, so the matchup bet hit.
“Chiefs lions,”
The Lions lost in the Divisional round, so a Chiefs-Lions Super Bowl never happened.
“Bengals lions,”
Neither the Bengals (missed playoffs) nor the Lions reached Super Bowl LIX.
“Bengals eagles,”
The Bengals missed the playoffs, so the Bengals-Eagles Super Bowl matchup did not occur.
“Bengals niners,”
Neither the Bengals nor the 49ers made the playoffs, so this matchup did not happen.
“Ravens lions,”
Both the Ravens and Lions lost in the Divisional round, so a Ravens-Lions Super Bowl never happened.
“Ravens eagles,”
The Ravens lost in the Divisional round, so the Ravens-Eagles Super Bowl matchup did not occur.
“41 to one. Ravens niners, 25 to one. Last year, I had the niners and the and the chiefs, and I think they paid at, like, 30 to one.”
The 49ers missed the playoffs and the Ravens lost in the Divisional round, so this matchup did not happen.
“15 to one. Worst record in the NFL.”
The Vikings went 14-3 and had one of the NFL's best records, not the worst.
“to me, AFC North plus two twenty five most combined wins for a division.”
The AFC North combined for 34 wins; the NFC North led all divisions with 45 combined wins.
“It was plus 400 for them to have the best best rec best record most wins, I should say.”
The NFC West combined for 34 wins; the NFC North led all divisions with 45 combined wins.
“the fact that I can still get the Eagles on minus one twenty five at bet $3.06 5,”
The Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3.
“Plus three forty right now, which I love. I like it better than the jags. I like it better than the Texans.”
The Colts went 8-9 and did not win the AFC South; the Texans took it at 10-7.
“So the boring bet, I know, but chiefs winning the Super Bowl. That's where I'm going, Chad.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22.
“I bet Clemson to win the ACC. Bet them to go to the college ball playoff. They're definitely falling a step behind. I don't think they have, like, national title ceiling. Right. But I do like them to win the ACC.”
Clemson to win the 2024 ACC. Clemson beat SMU 34-31 on a walk-off field goal in the ACC Championship on Dec 7, 2024. Bet won.
“You guys, Simon, Chad, you guys will be talking about him in the NFL often. He is that good. So I love North Carolina opening night Thursday night. Again, listen to”
MINN 17, UNC 19 — North Carolina Tar Heels won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah. I I laid it with Michigan State. Need under two touchdowns, but I very low on this FAU team who I think wants to go faster, which is good if you wanna bet a favor with more possessions.”
Michigan State beat Florida Atlantic 16-10, failing to cover as a -13.5 favorite (won by only 6). (Michigan State 16, Florida Atlantic 10 (closing line MSU -13.5))
“Who we betting? Obviously, you know where I'm going. West Virginia money line against Penn State. I think they're up to, what, eight and a half as a dog.”
WVU 12, PSU 34 — West Virginia Mountaineers lost; moneyline busts.
“Well, in the award winning action network app, you can follow me and see that an hour ago, I placed a nice nice fat bet on Clemson plus seven and a half in the first half against Georgia.”
UGA 34, CLEM 3 — Clemson Tigers margin -31 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I've been saying all summer I love A and M against Notre Dame.”
TEX 52, CSU 0 — Texas Longhorns margin +52 vs line +3; covers.
“started to figure it out, come on late. They're very well coached. I like them catching double digits”
Sam Houston State won outright 34-14 over Rice as a ~9.5-point underdog, easily covering any double-digit spread. (Sam Houston 34, Rice 14 (Sam Houston +9.5))
“to win the MAC,”
Bowling Green to win the 2024 MAC. Ohio won the 2024 MAC Championship (38-3 over Miami OH); Bowling Green did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“That's how I feel about the cardinals here. Like, this is the team that I I'm betting them 13 to one to win this division.”
The Cardinals went 8-9 and did not win the NFC West; the Rams took it at 10-7.
“I mean, I have I I definitely have three times the amount on the Chiefs to win this division. Like, that's definitely my biggest bet.”
The Chiefs won the AFC West at a league-best 15-2.
“Chiefs five to one win the Super Bowl.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22.
“Max Crosby plus 700 to win defensive player of the year. I love that bet.”
Maxx Crosby did not win DPOY; Broncos CB Pat Surtain II won the 2024 award.
“This team, I've taken a large position on them to be the worst in this division, actually.”
The Chargers went 11-6 and finished second in the AFC West; the Raiders (4-13) were last.
“I will be with Simon five to one on the chiefs to win the Super Bowl. I like that one.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22.
“Yeah. I like the Eagles. I think the Eagles are the best bet to win the NFC East at even money.”
The Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3, four games clear of the Commanders.
“you can do that if you don't like taking the 15 to one. But I have no issue taking the 15 to one, but I did Chad's, but I took them four to one against the Chiefs.”
The Eagles won Super Bowl LIX, beating the Chiefs 40-22.
“Eagles Chiefs matchup Super Bowl, I got it at 40 to one. So if if you wanna do something fun like that, you can do that if you don't like taking the 15 to one.”
Super Bowl LIX was exactly Eagles vs. Chiefs, so the matchup bet hit.
“I I put another bet on them against the Bengals. I think it was 55 to one, Eagles, Bengals. So that that's a fun way to bet that stuff if you want longer odds.”
The Bengals missed the playoffs (9-8), so the Eagles-Bengals Super Bowl matchup did not happen.
“If you listen earlier, I like the Chiefs. Obviously, I'm betting on the three peat. I love to bet on history.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22, so the three-peat bet lost.
“So my favorite commanders bet is Jaden Daniels, rookie of offensive rookie of the year, plus four seventy five. I have him projected to be a better fantasy quarterback than Caleb Williams because of the rushing upside.”
Jayden Daniels won 2024 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year in a landslide.
“nine to one because we know it's probably not gonna be the cowboys given the NFC East history.”
The Commanders went 12-5 but finished second in the NFC East behind the 14-3 Eagles.
“Of course, we are taking the Ravens in week one against the Chiefs as three point underdogs. That's an Simon, there's no question on that. No.”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So, again, not one of my bigger bets. Like, my biggest bet still bangles to win this division”
The Bengals went 9-8 and finished third in the AFC North behind the Ravens (12-5) and Steelers, so they did not win the division.
“It's plus one twenty if you wanna take the over, minus one fifty to the under. I'm gonna take the under.”
The Steelers finished 10-7, clearing the 8.5-win number, so the under lost.
“No. So I would I would be going under if I had to.”
The Steelers finished 10-7, clearing the 8.5-win number, so the under lost.
“The over 10 and a half, I'll take it. Like, it's minus one thirty, so it's got a little bit of juice to it, but I have no mind paying them.”
The Lions went 15-2, easily clearing the 10.5 win total on the over.
“Yeah. I like the over there. But it's it's gonna sound incongruent to some of the thoughts that I have about the division as a whole.”
The Lions went 15-2, easily clearing the 10.5 win total on the over.
“and the lions are at plus one fifty. Are you fucking kidding me? Yeah. Like, of course, we're gonna bet the lions at plus one fifty. They should be closer to plus 100, minus one ten, like you said.”
The Lions won the NFC North with a 15-2 record.
“I even though it's at a it's at a minus one fifty, minus $1.45 right now, the under. 9 and a half for an under for this team at that price, I'm willing to eat the vig and the juice on that just because, again, it opened at 7 and a half, and it's gone up two games just on hype.”
The Bears went 5-12, staying well under the 9.5 win total.
“Six and a half six and a half wins is what the books are hanging out right now. So this is an under I've just been hitting heavy.”
The Vikings went 14-3, blowing past the 6.5 win total and busting the under.
“Vikings under six and a half. Simon loves it. I love it.”
The Vikings went 14-3, blowing past the 6.5 win total and busting the under.
“Hold your nose, people. It's a gross one, but divisional odds at this number, gotta take it over four and a half wins. You gotta take it.”
The Panthers went 5-12, clearing the 4.5 win total on the over.
“the panthers over four and a half in this division. We like the panthers for a little taste, 11 to one to win the division.”
The Buccaneers (10-7) won the NFC South; the Panthers finished 5-12, tied for last.
“we're in on the cult to plus three ten to win our division.”
The Texans (10-7) won the AFC South; the Colts finished 8-9 in second place.
“we're in on the cult to plus three ten to win our division.”
The Texans (10-7) won the AFC South; the Colts finished 8-9 in second place.
“week one, me and Chad have bet the colts at home against Houston.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts lost; moneyline busts.
“week one, me and Chad have bet the colts at home against Houston.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts lost; moneyline busts.
“We might wanna bet the Tennessee titans plus 800 plus 900 to have the worst”
The Titans finished 3-14 with the NFL's worst record, earning the No. 1 overall pick.
“I'm totally making that bet. I am a 100% making”
Both legs failed: the Texans and Lions each lost in the divisional round and neither reached Super Bowl LIX.
“I'm gonna go lions even though it's not a great price just because I don't need to face my homes.”
The Lions lost to Washington 45-31 in the divisional round; the Eagles won Super Bowl LIX.
“We gotta we gotta ride that second trend. Right? Take them next week if if we Yeah. Got I bet it at one and a half.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Me as well. It gets if it gets to three,”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So I'm I'm into Baltimore here, especially if I can get maybe three, maybe three and a half, but feels good.”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Because me and Chad, we're on the three and a half already of the Rams, but luckily, McVeigh plays pretty well.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“The rams ended up being our big balls bet of the week.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm gonna bet them to win in six. So four two series price, you can get that at plus, you know, 1,000 plus 1,200”
Boston beat Dallas 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals, so the Mavericks-in-6 bet lost.
“But I'm gonna take the Mavs.”
Boston beat Dallas 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals, so the Mavericks to win the Finals bet lost.
“I think you're both wrong. I think the Celtics are probably the right bet”
The Boston Celtics won the 2024 NBA Finals 4-1 over Dallas, so the Celtics to win the Finals bet won.
“I can bet them plus one twenty, plus one thirty to the under nine and a half.”
The Packers went 11-6, going over the 9.5 win total and busting the under.
“A and a half. Yeah. I like the Steelers.”
The Steelers went 10-7, clearing the 8.5 win total on the over.
“I like tech Texans were nine. I believe they're nine and a half, 10 at most books now since the digs trade. Texans are gonna win twelve, thirteen games.”
The Texans went 10-7, clearing the 9.5 win total on the over.
“could be sneaky this year. So I like Steelers, chargers.”
The Chargers went 11-6, clearing the 8.5 win total on the over.
“Simon and I have had this conversation about the titans plus four and a half against the bears in week one,”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I kinda like plus one ninety five missed the playoffs.”
The Cowboys went 7-10 and missed the playoffs, cashing the +195 miss-the-playoffs ticket.
“So, yeah, Eagles team over 10 and a half, [25:57] them to win the East.”
The Eagles won the NFC East with a 14-3 record.
“I I think that they will win that division. I think they will win double digit games.”
The Buccaneers (10-7) won the NFC South; the Falcons finished 8-9 in second.
“You don't have to do it, but I bet them to miss the playoffs. I'm not saying it's one of my favorite bets, but there's a couple books out there, $2.75,”
Ravens went 12-5, won the AFC North and made the playoffs, so 'miss the playoffs' lost.
“So if you're if you're looking for my favorite bet division wise, it's the chiefs. Like, they're far above the best team, the most complete team in this division.”
Chiefs went 15-2 and won the AFC West.
“You wanna bet them to win the division right now plus three twenty at bet $3.06 5.”
The Texans (10-7) won the AFC South; the Colts finished 8-9 in second place.
“So like I said, even though I am handicapping fierceness to win, I like the favorite here.”
Mystik Dan won the 2024 Kentucky Derby; Fierceness finished 15th, so the outright lost.
“But I believe right now, Daniels is the better prospect, and he deserves to be the number two pick. And I put money behind”
Jayden Daniels was drafted No. 2 overall by Washington in the 2024 NFL Draft.
“I like the JJ over five and a half in his draft position, Chad, and it is plus 100.”
J.J. McCarthy was drafted No. 10 overall, over the 5.5 draft-position line.
“Five and a half QBs over [21:14] in round one plus 200.”
Six quarterbacks were taken in Round 1 (Williams, Daniels, Maye, Penix, McCarthy, Nix), clearing the over 5.5.
“Six plus trades in round one [30:40] at plus one thirty.”
Only five trades occurred in Round 1 of the 2024 draft, short of the 6-plus needed.
“Joel, one of the best offensive linemen greater in the draft, over seven and a half at plus 300.”
Joe Alt was drafted No. 5 overall (under the 7.5 line), so the over lost.
“Over six and a half d lineman edge rushers in the first round plus 200.”
Seven defensive linemen/edge rushers were taken in Round 1, clearing the over 6.5.
“If you want my chalk bet right now, I'm just blindly taking the Eagles.”
Eagles went 14-3 and won the NFC East.
“I bet the Bengals are 15 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
Bengals went 9-8 and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I actually have a bet. I have a bet on the NIT”
Boston College defeated Providence 62-57 in the 2024 NIT first round on March 19, 2024. (Boston College 62, Providence 57)
“I like Houston to get out of here, and I'm sticking with my guns and saying Houston wins it all.”
Houston to win the 2024 national title. Houston was eliminated by Duke in the Sweet 16; UConn won the 2024 championship over Purdue 75-60. Bet lost.
“Four of our futures are all in the same region with Houston,”
Kentucky to win the 2024 national title. Kentucky lost in the first round to Oakland; UConn won the 2024 title. Bet lost.
“winning the national title. And then I have final four flyers”
Texas A&M to reach the 2024 Final Four. The 2024 Final Four was UConn, Purdue, Alabama, NC State; Texas A&M did not advance. Bet lost.
“and Colorado who are all in the South Region.”
Colorado to reach the 2024 Final Four. The 2024 Final Four was UConn, Purdue, Alabama, NC State; Colorado did not advance. Bet lost.
“I still like it a bit from where it is against Illinois.”
Illinois beat Morehead State 85-69 (Mar 21, 2024); Illinois closed a ~10.5-11.5-pt favorite, so Morehead State's +margin loss (16 pts) failed to cover. (Illinois 85, Morehead State 69)
“I really like this matchup for Drake.”
Washington State beat Drake outright 66-61 (Mar 21, 2024); Drake closed a 1-pt favorite, so Drake ATS lost outright. (Washington State 66, Drake 61)
“I also like Akron”
Creighton beat Akron 77-60 (Mar 21, 2024); Creighton closed a ~12-12.5-pt favorite, so Akron's 17-pt loss failed to cover. (Creighton 77, Akron 60)
“I like Baylor to blow the doors off of Colgate.”
Baylor beat Colgate 92-67 (Mar 22, 2024); Baylor closed a ~14.5-15-pt favorite and covered easily with a 25-pt margin. (Baylor 92, Colgate 67)
“I did make that bet.”
Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) won Best Supporting Actor at the 2024 Oscars, so the Ryan Gosling bet lost.
“take a piece of it. Yeah. I bet it's like I'm already there with you where I bet it”
Jayden Daniels was drafted No. 2 overall by the Washington Commanders in the 2024 NFL Draft.
“You know? They're not gonna go from 15 to one to 21. So if you like it, you might as well buy it now.”
Bengals went 9-8, missed the playoffs, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“Whenever they open up the division odds finally, I'm definitely my first bets I'll make is the Bengals to win the North.”
Ravens (12-5) won the AFC North; Bengals finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs.
“And that's why me and Chad are putting money on the New York Giants. It's disgusting to say, but there is a window where this team could win this division.”
Giants went 3-14 and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I bet Atlanta Super Bowl future because”
Falcons went 8-9, missed the playoffs, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“My first bet I made, Giants at a 125 to one on bet three six five.”
Giants went 3-14 and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22).
“we're gonna start with the Giants. They're my longest one. Next up is Pittsburgh.”
Steelers went 10-7, lost in the Wild Card Round, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I just like the value there on Baker.”
Buccaneers went 10-7, lost in the Wild Card Round, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“It's gonna be the Chiefs plus two for the record. We both bet this at two and a half.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Under 47 and a half. We both bet Deebo Samuel over his receiving yards at 58 and a half.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“We both bet Deebo Samuel over his receiving yards at 58 and a half. It's moving up.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards vs over 58.5; busts. (Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards)
“on this bet, Christian McCaffrey over three and a half rush yards on his first carry.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards vs over 3.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards)
“sheets minus two and a half at about plus one thirty five,”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“A little bit of Rasheeva Rice MVP at 60 to one, Travis Kelce, 17 to one.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not Rashee Rice.
“A little bit of Rasheeva Rice MVP at 60 to one, Travis Kelce, 17 to one.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not Travis Kelce.
“I love betting the second half as being the most points. Like, I just I just find it time and time again.”
Super Bowl LVIII was 10-0 at halftime then had 34 points after the break (incl. OT), so the second half had the most points.
“So, Pacheco, that's another player prop I like, his over rushing yards.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Isiah Pacheco: 59 rushing_yards vs over 65.5; busts. (Isiah Pacheco: 59 rushing_yards)
“One other one that I like is Pacheco to lead the game in rushing, which you might be able to get at better numbers.”
Christian McCaffrey led all rushers in Super Bowl LVIII with 80 yards on 22 carries; Isiah Pacheco had 59 rushing yards, so Pacheco did not lead the game in rushing. (McCaffrey 80 rush yds vs Pacheco 59 rush yds)
“I am on the Kansas City Chiefs plus two.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
“I like Mahomes not to throw a pick. I've got this up to about minus one fifty.”
Mahomes threw one interception (picked by Ji'Ayir Brown in Q3) in Super Bowl LVIII, so 'no interception' lost.
“I'll go with the more obvious one. That's Travis Kelce at 14 to one.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not Travis Kelce (Kelce had 9 catches, 93 yards, no TD).
“I got it at minus one ten. It's since been bet to minus one fifteen. Still love it at minus one fifteen considering I have at least minus one fifty as fair value.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards vs over 3.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards)
“60 to one. I got him 70 to one. He's still 61. Still love that value at 60 to one.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not Rashee Rice.
“I let it ride. I mean, we we we talk all the time. Let it ride. You're betting Super Bowl. You're betting what you believe is the game script.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“Because I've already bet the under, and so this makes me sad.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“his numbers are even juiced up to minus one twenty. I believe it's over 58 and a half receiving yards now. Still love it.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards vs over 58.5; busts. (Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards)
“So it's crazy, but Sam Darnard right now is 200 to one. So I'm gonna throw a little bit on that.”
Sam Darnold's 49ers lost Super Bowl LVIII and Mahomes won MVP; Darnold (backup) did not win it.
“Obviously, the boring chalk bet is gonna be Mahomes, so I'm staying away from that. I get it if you wanna play that, but I like long shots. So my second big long shot is Fred Warner.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not 49ers LB Fred Warner.
“We've already bet that she's plus two and a half.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“What are the chiefs minus two and a half? That's the one I like. You yeah. That's a that is a fun bet. I'm seeing plus one fifty and plus one forty.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Simon and I have already said we like the total. It's at 47 and a half. We like the under”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“47 and a half is the total. Sunday night, you mentioned you liked the under. I like the under as well. I played the under.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“I just love the under, and there's a bunch of different reasons. The biggest one would just be what Chad talked about where, I believe not only will the chiefs defense get stops”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“but we gotta I gotta play Mahomes here. I gotta play Mahomes as a dog.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Simon, I know you got the three. I was not fast enough. I got the two and a half betting on the chiefs.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm gonna love the chiefs here in this spot just because of everything we talked about.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll definitely be on the under. Hoping if it a lot of books are 49. That'd be amazing to get to 50, but I'm happy to take the under at 49.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“Chad likes San Francisco minus seven. That's his exact decision. Simon likes Baltimore minus three and a half, and Baltimore minus three and a half is going to be our big balls bet of the week.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I actually love that play. I bet it at two and a half because it takes sort of the Mahomes endgame backdoor factor out of the equation.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll be honest, I literally on this podcast, I bet it's seven and a half, so I bet it again. Detroit's been absolutely torched on defense, but I don't trust Purdy.”
SF 34, DET 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“For me, Chad, if I if I have to do a money line on Robin, I know ours ours is gonna be different. I'm I'm all in on this Lions team. I'm drinking the Kool Aid.”
SF 34, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed -352.5 · CLV 0¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -220 · CLV 0¢ lost
“I mean, I think the only thing to do is bet San Francisco and Baltimore, and there was a moment this week where that as a pairing was plus money. Yeah. I think Evan said it like, what, plus one fifteen, Ev?”
Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +280 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -220 · CLV 0¢ lost
“So give me the Lions money line with the Ravens money line paired up.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost.
“We're hoping people would look around for a three. It got there for about twenty four hours. Now it's back at three and a half. You're still there? Yeah. Still there.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Simon likes the lions at seven. I already bet the niners at six and a half. Have not done anything else.”
SF 34, DET 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So I'm gonna take the free points of value and take the seven.”
SF 34, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“Houston Texans plus nine and a half against the Baltimore Ravens because this is what we're doing. There's no coming back from it.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9.5; busts.
“That's why I want you to throw a little on the money line just because if you play this spot long term, it's it's a nice trend so far.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“if you're wondering what me and Chad are liking our total in that game, it's it's the under. We like the unders. We play wind unders here.”
Ravens beat Texans 34-10 (total 44); the closing total (hammered down by wind bettors) was 43.5, so the Over hit by half a point and this Under lost. (BAL 34, HOU 10 — combined 44 pts vs 43.5 closing total)
“I'm betting the Niners. I might even be tempted, Simon, to take some of the alt lines.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“This is a luck over. And what did I say the other day? I think the final score is gonna be 42 to 14, so we like the over in this game. I'm betting the over.”
Same Packers-49ers divisional game: final was 24-21 (45 total) against a 50.5 closing total, so this Over lost. (SF 24, GB 21 — combined 45 pts vs 50.5 closing total)
“But the bucks plus six and a half will be our foxhole.”
DET 31, TB 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“A reminder, we're on the Bills here minus two and a half.”
BUF 24, KC 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Houston Texans ML closed +350 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed -275 · CLV 0¢ won
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed -480 · CLV +5¢ won
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -150 · CLV 0¢ lost
“So I feel like our money line round robin should really be Texans, lions, niners, and Bills. Yeah. Yeah. I like that. Put it in the book.”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; San Francisco 49ers ML — won; Buffalo Bills ML — lost.
“I have so many thoughts on why San Francisco is the right side here, but I'm not sure you agree with me.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“yeah, the more we talk about, the more I feel like it is a good bet. And it also feels like you should go grab that nine and a half.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I'm gonna make the bills my Simon says, Chad.”
BUF 24, KC 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“We know this number is too big. Let's not overthink it. We gotta just take the Houston plus nine.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9; busts.
“I do not feel that same confidence in this Ravens team, and I was hoping for a big number to feed them on. I got my wish.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9; busts.
“I'm gonna ride out of Houston a 100 to one.”
Texans were eliminated in the 2023 Divisional Round (lost 34-10 at Baltimore) and never reached Super Bowl LVIII.
“from my perspective with the Rams, nothing's changed here, honestly. Like, I still love them at plus three. Still love their money. I still think they have a great chance to win this game.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“I made Buffalo my exact decision as a 10 favorite. You did. And I'm sticking by it. I'm not afraid of it. I don't like Mason Rudolph on road. I don't like Mason Rudolph in the cold.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -10; covers.
“We're making the Texans plus two and a half, our foxhole.”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Houston Texans margin +31 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We both like the Texans. We're gonna have to wait again. I wish it was a plus three so we can make the foxhole.”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Houston Texans margin +31 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Denizen of the Paris of Western New York that I needed before I bet Buffalo”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -10; covers.
“This morning at seven and a half, I bit the bullet. I started to see some of the Jews moving. I figured, like, it would finally move to seven.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I feel really confident taking the seven and a half, Chip.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I just love the Rams in this spot so much.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like it at 44, though. I'm with you. Like, I've already bet this a couple times now because I kept thinking what you just said.”
KC 26, MIA 7 — Combined 33; under 44 covers.
“To me, I've already played the under in the”
Under lost: Texans blew out Browns 45-14, a 59-point combined total, way over the game's 45-point line. (Final 45-14, total 59 (line 45))
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -550 · CLV 0¢ won
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -238 · CLV -2¢ won
“So if people wanna follow my bet that I did just taking the money line of the Bills and the Chiefs, put it together, it's, I think, minus one thirty five.”
Parlay cashes: Buffalo Bills ML — won; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won.
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +140 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +118 · CLV -3¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +135 · CLV -5¢ won
“So let's do Rams, Houston, and Tampa.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won.
“So, yeah, 50 to one, give me the Rams.”
Rams lost the 2023 NFC Wild Card 24-23 at Detroit and never reached Super Bowl LVIII, which the Chiefs won.
“you know what? I'm gonna say it right now. Exact decision. Give me the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -10; covers.
“It's Chad's exact decision, so I'll back my guy. But I am scared.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -10; covers.
“so I'll take the over right now at 36 and a half.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Combined 48; over 36.5 covers.
“Simon says take the rams plus three. Simon says”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“As it was at four, it was moving to three and a half. We all slammed it at three and a half. It's kinda just settled there.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But, yeah, it's seven and a half. I like I like Green Bay at this number, people.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I got it back, this Eagles. So, I'm gonna I'm gonna grab it now just in case it does keep going up. I'll grab the three in case news comes out that Baker's really banged up.”
TB 32, PHI 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“talk about our lean for tonight. We've been on Buffalo”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“we we need it. I I need Buffalo bad. Like, I I can't tell you people how much money I will be down to if Buffalo can't come through in this game.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm I've already bet this. I'm grabbing it now. You have to grab the three and a half just in case it does disappear over three.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“And why would I, you know, pull away from it now? This is just makes too much sense to let it ride.”
Michigan beat Washington 34-13 in the Jan 8, 2024 CFP title game, busting the first leg; the parlay lost despite Lamar Jackson later winning NFL MVP.
“Alright. Let's make it the foxhole, brother. Buffalo Bills are our foxhole,”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“man, I can't believe I'm doing it because it's so chalky, but, I do. I love the Bills in this spot.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm on this this titans team at the five and a half. It'll be in the final five. It just has to be.”
TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“How are we not taking the bears here? I don't care what anybody's saying.”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“I think the three is is is too good of a number to pass on. So, yeah, if it's if I was gonna be one of my five bigger bets,”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“There you go. Going with Nick Mullins”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“you kinda gotta hold your nose here and take the three and a half and just bet on the teams trying to play spoiler.”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I still think Carolina to me is in consideration for our final five.”
CAR 0, TB 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -9 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I liked it at five and a half. I still like it at four and a half.”
CAR 0, TB 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -9 vs line +4.5; busts.
“But fuck. Do you wanna not bet on Derek Carr and Dennis Allen in this spot?”
NO 48, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“Come on. Like, we gotta take Daley here. We're gonna play them in the contest as well. It's still five and a half. I've seen it in couple books.”
NE 3, NYJ 17 — New York Jets margin +14 vs line +5; covers.
“And it's moved in the past twenty four hours. I bet Denver plus three.”
LV 27, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -13 vs line +3; busts.
“Well so I'm I'm heavy on the charters. I'm heavy into the Bengals. Like, I bet both these ones,”
LAC 12, KC 13 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm heavy into the Bengals. Like, I bet both these ones,”
CIN 31, CLE 14 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +155 · CLV +19¢ won
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +198 · CLV -15¢ lost
- Chicago Bears ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +140 · CLV -1¢ lost
- New York Giants ML closed +120 · CLV -3¢ won
“Tennessee plus five, as Simon says. Exact decision is Chicago plus three. Big balls, Minnesota plus three and a half. Our round robin,”
Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Chicago Bears ML — lost; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; New York Giants ML — won.
“I will make this Simon Says. Oh, boy. Simon Says. Oh, boy. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“The line opened three and a half. I bet the bears at three and a half. It's moved to three,”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I'm gonna back this bears team at plus three in a game that should be closer to a pick rather than plus three. I'm with Chad on his exact decision.”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“So just be careful here. I'm I'm betting Minnesota. I bet them at three.”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“where you back the division dog. As we've said multiple times today,”
NO 48, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“have to back the falcons a plus three. You know we have to. You're so right. We do.”
NO 48, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“betting wise and what I'm looking at, I'm I'm betting the bills here. I like the bills in this spot.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I still would take Giants at five and a half.”
NYG 25, LAR 26 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I would take this honestly all way down to four.”
NYG 25, LAR 26 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm also comfortable with the Carolina Panthers at six and a half.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.
“You love this game. Alright. We'll put in the foxhole, Carolina. You're going in the foxhole with Carolina.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Throw that graphic up there, Tito. We are not afraid of it.”
PHI 31, ARI 35 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +11; covers.
“I would still take it at eleven if you would take the Arizona.”
PHI 31, ARI 35 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +11; covers.
“I think we still gotta go with Green Bay.”
MIN 10, GB 33 — Green Bay Packers margin +23 vs line +1.5; covers.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +189 · CLV -9¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed -105 · CLV +215¢ won
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +165 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +530 · CLV +3¢ won
- New York Giants ML closed +237.5 · CLV -20¢ lost
“We're gonna have to put the Giants in there. Let's get Arizona in there.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; New York Giants ML — lost.
“you bet this spot on the Giants long term. This is a 60% winner.”
NYG 25, LAR 26 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“No. You gotta you gotta take Colts here. Don't even think about it.”
IND 23, LV 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'll take I'll take the panthers plus seven.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +7; busts.
“Give me Green Bay Packers. Exact decision.”
MIN 10, GB 33 — Green Bay Packers margin +23 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'll take the value there. It's just trusting the number and trusting this Panther's d and,”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I think the panthers are the right side.”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I think we should have Atlanta in the contest.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line -1; covers.
“I can be convinced in Atlanta. Like, you already know I bet Atlanta. I like Atlanta.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line -1; covers.
“We're just taking Tennessee.”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I would do it. Big balls”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Hopefully, you got the four and a half.”
CHI 27, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Kyler Murray, fifteen five and two against the spread on the road.”
CHI 27, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“You just take the Ravens and live with the results.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Baltimore is the right call.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed +240 · CLV -25¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +130 · CLV +4¢ won
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +164.5 · CLV +9¢ lost
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +140 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +165 · CLV 0¢ lost
“Our round robin, Baltimore,”
Parlay busts: Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Tennessee Titans ML — lost; Arizona Cardinals ML — lost.
“I bet the rams at minus four”
LAR 30, NO 22 — Los Angeles Rams margin +8 vs line -4; covers.
“no doubt we're gonna bet it. Go grab it too if you can still find it out there, two and a half.”
PIT 34, CIN 11 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +23 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Steelers plus two and a half would say you.”
PIT 34, CIN 11 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +23 vs line +2.5; covers.
“It's just Carolina at home too. I told you, John, I'm a sucker to this team at home.”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I put a little bet now just at 2 and a half just in case he does come back and all of sudden this balloon's up to three and a half, four.”
HOU 22, CLE 36 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I love this pick, and I love that we're getting it two and a half.”
HOU 22, CLE 36 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“That's what I got it at, falcons plus two and a half.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Book it. We're taking Tennessee here.”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So two and a half, give me Tennessee.”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'll take the free point of value, and I'll take Arizona here.”
CHI 27, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -11 vs line +4; busts.
“I'll take the points. I'll take the five and a half.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I haven't made any bets in this game other than Lamar Jackson under his passing yardage total”
Under won: Lamar Jackson threw for just 171 yards in Baltimore's 23-7 win over Jacksonville, well under any book's ~214.5-217.5 passing-yards prop line. (171 passing yards (14/24, 1 TD, 1 INT) vs line ~215.5)
“It's it's 14 right now. I bet $3.06 5”
LAC 22, BUF 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line +14; covers.
“I'll I'll grab the plus 14, but wouldn't be shocked if this goes up some more”
LAC 22, BUF 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line +14; covers.
“And, like, that was my first bet I made. It was 2 and a half. I took the 2”
MIA 22, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -2 vs line +2; pushes.
“Love Houston. Grabbing the two now”
HOU 22, CLE 36 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -2; busts.
“So I'll grab the plus two just now just in case it does move down”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line +2; covers.
“We're in the foxhole with the Los Angeles Rams minus six and a half.”
LAR 28, WSH 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +8 vs line -6.5; covers.
“bears plus three and a half, panthers plus”
CLE 20, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“This was my exact decision. The Buffalo Bill's minus two and a half.”
BUF 31, DAL 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +21 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We're going with the Carolina panthers”
CAR 9, ATL 7 — Carolina Panthers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“I like it. I just I like this spot for Tennessee.”
TEN 16, HOU 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I gotta I I bet the I bet the Bucks at three and a half.”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
- Chicago Bears ML closed +124.5 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +128 · CLV 0¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +161.5 · CLV -5¢ won
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +171.5 · CLV -31¢ lost
- New York Giants ML closed +280 · CLV +40¢ lost
“Alright. We're gonna put in Chicago, Carolina,”
Parlay busts: Chicago Bears ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost; New York Giants ML — lost.
“I feel like it takes balls to fade. I'm a a crying Mahomes after, like, this guy has just been raging all week.”
NE 17, KC 27 — New England Patriots margin -10 vs line +7.5; busts.
“They're giving this to us and our listeners, and we like it.”
Buffalo won the AFC East at 11-6, clinching with a Week 18 win over Miami.
“Like, have heavily bet it.”
IND 30, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +2; busts.
“yeah, my chalkiest bet this week is definitely the Ravens, but,”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“give me the three and a half, Chad. Like, that's that's way too much respect for Joe Flacco”
CLE 20, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“We're taking the bills at minus two and a half. Just a classic bet in the spot.”
BUF 31, DAL 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +21 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Bills minus two and a half, Bills to win the division plus three ten. Josh Allen, MVP, 20 to one. Love it.”
Buffalo won the AFC East at 11-6, clinching with a Week 18 win over Miami.
“Bills minus two and a half, Bills to win the division plus three ten. Josh Allen, MVP, 20 to one. Love it.”
Lamar Jackson won MVP; Allen received no first-place votes in the final tally.
“We're on Carolina.”
CAR 9, ATL 7 — Carolina Panthers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“we can't avoid it, Chad. We gotta bet it.”
NE 17, KC 27 — New England Patriots margin -10 vs line +9.5; busts.
“the rams at seven. Let's say the rams are at seven at a lot of places. I would still take them at seven.”
LAR 28, WSH 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +8 vs line -6.5; covers.
“but I'd grab the three and a half now just in case it does disappear to the three. So,”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“don't know if this will be one of our five, but I am on Baltimore right now.”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“But I'm gonna grab it just in case they finally have a closed game against the Giants.”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“You know? I'm I'm grabbing it. You are? Yeah. I do I have to. Just the Trevor Lawrence,”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“Baltimore minus three, we're gonna go grab as soon as we get off this show.”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“yeah, I just couldn't avoid it. It pains me to say, but I am on Dallas this week. Well, look. Schematically, two things. One,”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.
“yeah, you take it. I already bettered at two and a half. As soon as I get a long term winner.”
KC 17, BUF 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“we still love the bears. I guess that's all there is to say. Just prefer to the three and a half, obviously. Grab that over the three.”
CHI 28, DET 13 — Chicago Bears margin +15 vs line +3; covers.
“I don't hate that. Alright. Carolina panthers, big balls,”
NO 28, CAR 6 — Carolina Panthers margin -22 vs line +5; busts.
“Like, I did bet them seven and a half earlier in the week racing you know, this is how the world has changed, Simon.”
BAL 37, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So tough sled, but I like the six and a half. So let's roll.”
NYG 24, GB 22 — New York Giants margin +2 vs line +6.5; covers.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +200 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Chicago Bears ML closed +143 · CLV +2¢ won
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +280 · CLV 0¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed +150 · CLV +20¢ won
- New York Giants ML closed +200 · CLV +40¢ won
“Executive decision, Chicago plus three. Big balls, I didn't change it, Carolina plus five. Our round”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Chicago Bears ML — won; Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won; New York Giants ML — won.
“and the chiefs, those are ones I really, like, bet a lot on.”
ATL 25, TB 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“I'll take the bears plus three. It's a good spot for them. Look. They beat the Vikings.”
CHI 28, DET 13 — Chicago Bears margin +15 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me the bears. By the way, let's take the under 40 and a half while we're at it because that line's gonna move move down too. Yeah.”
CHI 28, DET 13 — Combined 41; under 40.5 busts.
“Kansas City Chiefs grabbing now. Two and a half, Simon Says.”
KC 17, BUF 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“You might as well grab the five and a half like I am right now just in case it does drop back down to five, four and a half.”
NO 28, CAR 6 — Carolina Panthers margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So, yeah, we're on, we're on the Rams here at plus seven.”
BAL 37, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“yeah, I'm seeing one book still with Bangla's plus one and a half. So I'll I'll grab that. I'll throw in a teaser.”
CIN 34, IND 14 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +20 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Denver plus three, we're gonna love. I can't wait to put that in. Alright.”
LAC 7, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“But at minus three, minus two and a half, like, I I bet pretty heavy Sunday night into Monday morning on Dallas.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“but this is a game I had bet right now. I do like the six and a half. I'd probably take it down to five and a half, but once it hits that number, I'd stop.”
NYG 24, GB 22 — New York Giants margin +2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Green Bay plus six, our big balls,”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +6; covers.
“We're not talking about the side here. I agree with you. We don't like the the side. We like the under at 39 and a half.”
JAX 31, CIN 34 — Combined 65; under 39.5 busts.
“Give me Miami minus 12.”
MIA 27, TEN 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -1 vs line -12; busts.
“this is his classic situation of I'm gonna take Dallas at minus two and a half, take him at the three.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -2.5; covers.
“You sick fuck. You know it's the right side. What is? Taking the bears at plus five.”
CHI 28, DET 13 — Chicago Bears margin +15 vs line +5; covers.
“Aiden O'Connell is plus two and a half at home Love it. Against Dobbs. You know what? I have it I have it I have it written down. This”
LV 0, MIN 3 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“definitely gonna text a runner to go grab me that seven and a half right now.”
BAL 37, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“let's make it our foxhole at six. Foxhole. Green Bay. You know me regardless of what's going on. I'm a foxhole guy. I commit to a team. I commit to a city. I'm a foxhole guy. We're in the foxhole with the Green Bay packers at plus six.”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +6; covers.
“Alright. Let's make no. This is definitely big balls. This takes balls. Big balls. Bet of the week. New York jets, here we go. We have to.”
NYJ 8, ATL 13 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“the other one we we were skipping over is Cleveland, which as soon as I made it at my executive decision, I wanted to walk it back. I'm sticking with it because it's too late.”
LAR 36, CLE 19 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.
“but I'm in on it. I've taken the number. Like most, I was hoping I was gonna get to 10.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9.5; busts.
“If we need a favorite, we're gonna get the 40 niners at minus two and a half in this contest. This is the biggest luck rankings game on the board.”
PHI 19, SF 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm with you. Fucking love the titans here. Me too. Love the titans.”
TEN 28, IND 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“if I had to pick the one I feel the best about and value wise, I'll do the Rams.”
NE 0, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“So I'll do the Rams for one, and then I'll do Pittsburgh for the other one. So Tomlin's not great at covering in these spots, but I do feel like he usually wins in these kind of spots.”
PIT 10, ARI 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“Simon says take the Washington commanders.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm gonna say this is my executive decision right now on Cleveland.”
LAR 36, CLE 19 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I gotta take the six. I I don't care if it's the worst team of football. I I can't back the chargers getting more than six. This is a broken team.”
NE 0, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6; covers.
“was that one of the bigger bets I've made since I've gotten back in Jersey. Like, got off the airplane and went right to the book, made a couple big bets, and one of them was Tennessee.”
TEN 28, IND 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Right now, the current number two and a half, no play, but three, three and a half. Yes. I like the jets. I think it'll get to three.”
NYJ 8, ATL 13 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I kinda don't mind the lions here, especially at four.”
NO 28, DET 33 — Detroit Lions margin +5 vs line -4; covers.
“That's such a key number. I got no no problem taking this putting this one in our contest, and don't be shocked this ends up being one of our big balls bets on Thursday.”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +6; covers.
“I bet it. I take it. I've already bet this. Again, for a little amounts,”
PHI 19, SF 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“And Yeah. We'll definitely be on the under.”
JAX 31, CIN 34 — Combined 65; under 38 busts.
“We need the Chargers for our lungs, it's looking like. So, you know, we've been on them all week. We liked them last week at four and a half.”
ARI 14, LAR 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin +23 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Commanders plus nine. I'm sorry, people. Me and Chatter, like, there's a 99% chance we're gonna be on that.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9; busts.
“Green Bay packers at home against the chiefs, plus seven right now, already grabbing it. Gotta do it.”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +7; covers.
“super chalky. Just grabbing it right now before it disappears. Is that Detroit minus three minus three and a half, if you can find it? I just think it's gonna go up.”
NO 28, DET 33 — Detroit Lions margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Yeah. Let's put it in the foxhole. This is gonna be the foxhole. Houston is the foxhole.”
HOU 21, JAX 24 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll do that Giants number. I do think it comes down to three. So grab the three and a half if you can.”
NYG 10, NE 7 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am going to make the Las Vegas raiders my exact decision.”
LV 17, KC 31 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line +9; busts.
“Big balls better than week. Cleveland browns plus two and a half.”
DEN 29, CLE 12 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“this chargers game, it's like, char Chad's so right. We should be on the chargers here. We play this number on the chargers.”
ARI 14, LAR 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin +23 vs line +3.5; covers.
“This game, we both like Washington here. Got a lot this this one got a lot of attention from us on Sunday night.”
DAL 45, WSH 10 — Washington Commanders margin -35 vs line +11; busts.
“I like the lines here, especially at seven and a half. I don't I don't mind that number at all.”
DET 22, GB 29 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -7.5; busts.
“yeah, I'm gonna have a lot more money on the seahawks at that seven. It's just too big of a number for a divisional game.”
SEA 13, SF 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“like, that's the only game we've really gone in on. Yeah. I don't think we've missed anything”
IND 27, TB 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Hopefully, Evan saved my life with that stat about the panthers. I'm gonna go with Minnesota,”
MIN 10, CHI 12 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm gonna try to thread the needle here. I have this lane on a field goal. I'll take take the bears and the spread, but I'm taking the Vikings to an outright.”
MIN 10, CHI 12 — Chicago Bears margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'll take take the bears and the spread, but I'm taking the Vikings to an outright. I hate survivor pools.”
MIN 10, CHI 12 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“yeah, still feel the same. Feeling good about Denver. Like, the number, like, their defense in this spot against Dobbs.”
DEN 21, MIN 20 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I passed on that and took Sean Kerner, Harrison Smith under six and a half tackles at Pretty Big Juice minus one thirty five instead.”
Harrison Smith recorded 11 total tackles against the Bears, blowing past the 6.5 under.
“I'm just gonna bet this now because the six is still available at a couple books. Couple books are showing actually lower numbers, so shop around.”
SEA 13, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -6; covers.
“I like Pittsburgh. That's that's a that's a that's a nice number to get them as a dog right now. They're plus plus one, plus one and a half. I grabbed that number right when it opened.”
CIN 10, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“it's three and a half against Mac Jones. I mean, who the hell is Mac Jones? We catch a three and a half against anyone. So I'll take that number.”
NYG 10, NE 7 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So why don't we just say it right now, Denver minus two and a half? So we're at five for the record.”
DEN 21, MIN 20 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm in all Miami. I've been betting Miami, you know, since Sunday night, and now that number is all the up to 13 and a half. And I I I'm gonna still throw a little on there.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -13.5; busts.
“Denver minus two and a half, Miami minus 13 and a half, Bears plus seven and a half, Pittsburgh plus one, Carolina plus 10 and a half.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Not for me. I still love Pittsburgh. Yeah. Yeah.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“So I think we're in agreement here that Carolina plus 10 and a half is making it in.”
CAR 10, DAL 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -23 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I did take a taste of the panthers on the money line. You can see that in the Action Network app.”
CAR 10, DAL 33 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“This will be one of my five biggest bets. And, yeah, I'm gonna be an absolute sucker betting against CJ here at home, but I gotta do it.”
HOU 21, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -5 vs line +5; pushes.
“I'm on the eagles. I'm taking the three. I'm happy to take it, but you just we talked about, like, this Mahomes spot has not been good to us”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“We we gotta do it. We gotta take the jacks.”
JAX 34, TEN 14 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“It's three and a half. I'm on the Ravens then. So it's it's nothing crazy. I mean, don't have to think too much into it. It's a simple fact of it's a short week.”
BAL 34, CIN 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm grab grab Miami now that it's it's under 13. Simon Says Miami minus 12.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -12; busts.
“grab the four, grab the three and a half.”
HOU 21, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“Love love the bears of this number.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +10; covers.
“I had to take Pittsburgh. I have no choice.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“We're on the Jets. We got the Jets in the contest.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -32 vs line +1; busts.
“I loved it at seven and a half. And I think the fact it's moved in our direction says everything we need to know about why we liked it at seven and a half.”
BUF 22, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“It's plus four in bet three six five. Well, there you go. I'm grabbing it.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“So I am going to bet that right now before”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“Jacks Jacksonville plus three is the foxhole.”
JAX 3, SF 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“The big ball's bet of the week is the New York Jets plus one.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -32 vs line +1; busts.
“Exact decision, Cleveland plus six.”
BAL 31, CLE 33 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +6; covers.
“Simon says Cincinnati minus six and a five six and a half.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Have a way too much money I I care to omit on New Orleans at minus two and a half.”
MIN 27, NO 19 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Denver broncos plus seven and a half against the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 22, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“You gotta do it, people. What are you saving Dallas for? You have to use them this week if you still got them.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“It's hard to avoid this number, Chad. I I kinda have to take it.”
CHI 16, CAR 13 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I have to just do it. I have to take it all. I have to take the under, and it's just a”
CHI 16, CAR 13 — Combined 29; under 40 covers.
“you have to grab the three. Like, if you listen to the show, you know how much we love home dogs. You gotta do it. You gotta grab the plus three here.”
JAX 3, SF 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“Give me the Cleveland Browns.”
BAL 31, CLE 33 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm gonna go with the Bengals, and I'll back them at six and a half here. You know what? Simon says six and a half Bengals.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm with everyone. It's such a fun story, but I need to, like, be the professional gamer I am and take the value here. The value is the saints.”
MIN 27, NO 19 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I got it at six. It's moving up in some places,”
SEA 29, WSH 26 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“I bet this at seven and a half on the broncos.”
BUF 22, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Simon and I are both on Cincinnati”
CIN 24, BUF 18 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're on the Jets plus three and a half. We just said it. Big ball's better than week.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I just actually end up putting a little bit more on it at the minus one and a half. And Good for you. Yeah. I'm just gonna trust Mahomes.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm dug in. I've already bet this heavily at the three with New England. I haven't let the 3 and a half scare me off.”
NE 17, WSH 20 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Well, look. I already bet the Bucks at two and a half. I'm not afraid of this one.”
HOU 39, TB 37 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“definitely like Cleveland this spot.”
CLE 27, ARI 0 — Cleveland Browns margin +27 vs line -7.5; covers.
“And I I love the two and a half. I think it's such a key number.”
CAR 13, IND 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“fly, Eagles, fly.”
PHI 28, DAL 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“I just I cannot be talked out of the Bengals here. I just love the Bengals, and I love this number.”
CIN 24, BUF 18 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“Most of my money right now is bet on the jets at three and a half, and the panthers are plus three, and I I hate this week.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +110 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +129 · CLV +1¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +125 · CLV +3¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed +145 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +237.5 · CLV -2¢ lost
“Our money line underdog round robin right now, Carolina,”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; New York Jets ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — lost.
“Give me the Eagles minus three executive decision. Are you with me?”
PHI 28, DAL 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm taking a two and half because I know the pros are gonna come in on the panthers.”
CAR 13, IND 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“this was gonna be what Simon says, but, like, luckily, it stayed at three. Go go grab the jets.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3; busts.
“Sunday night, this game was available at Cincinnati plus one and a half. I bet that.”
CIN 24, BUF 18 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We we play this spot. We totally love the Chiefs. We're gonna be on the Chiefs.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'll I'll bet Cleveland already took the seven and a half. I'll bet the eight.”
CLE 27, ARI 0 — Cleveland Browns margin +27 vs line -8; covers.
“I'm grabbing the minus two right now with this patriots team.”
NE 17, WSH 20 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line -2; busts.
“I'm on the chargers and the under, but not”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“We have to play we have to play him this spot.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Foxhole, Denver plus seven.”
DEN 24, KC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +7; covers.
“Big balls, Washington plus six and a half.”
WSH 31, PHI 38 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Exact decision, Dallas minus six and a half. If anyone's asking, by the way, my biggest bet last week was Philadelphia. My biggest bet this week, Dallas Cowboys.”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +23 vs line -6.5; covers.
“Simon says New York Giants plus three”
NYG 10, NYJ 13 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“We both bettered at plus one. Minnesota was very lucky last week.”
GB 10, MIN 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
“I took the three. I've taken the two and a half on Pittsburgh. I mean, we don't have a choice.”
PIT 10, JAX 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“We gotta we gotta use the chargers here. This is this is a huge number”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“I have a pretty big position right now in Houston that I'm Like, really nervous about”
CAR 15, HOU 13 — Houston Texans margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“I've bet Arizona plus eight and a half. One of the things that that convinced me to do, it was in our conversation on Tuesday, thinking about Kyler Murray and the potential to come back.”
ARI 24, BAL 31 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +116 · CLV -1¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed -106 · CLV +206¢ lost
- New York Giants ML closed +142.5 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +260 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +117.5 · CLV 0¢ won
“our round robin, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, New York Giants, Washington, Tennessee.”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — lost; New York Giants ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Tennessee Titans ML — won.
“I got the cowboys at minus six. I think them coming off a buy with that defense”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +23 vs line -6; covers.
“I already threw someone on rams at seven. I mean, that just got that was way too high when it went up to seven.”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“Simon says Simon says giants, go grab the three right now.”
NYG 10, NYJ 13 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Forget the opponent. They nameless gray faces. I bet this immediately on Sunday night when it was at two.”
PIT 10, JAX 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I bet this at two and a half. I bet Seattle minus two and a half. Shout out to Brandon Anderson who had this as one of his hot reads.”
SEA 24, CLE 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've definitely placed a a decent amount on the eight and a half right now.”
ARI 24, BAL 31 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I did bet it at this number. It was eight and a half on Sunday.”
DEN 24, KC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +8; covers.
“this number should be six and a half, seven. It's eight and a half right now, and it's one of the first bets I made. I just didn't bring it up because I was waiting for Chad to say it, but I'm on Denver.”
DEN 24, KC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +8.5; covers.
“would still put them in our contest of two and a half, Chad.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We love the Ravens as a short home favorite.”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -3; covers.
“The exec decision is the LA chargers plus five and a half.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“We're gonna bet on this Atlanta, Tampa Bay game.”
TB 13, ATL 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I continue to be a Mike Tomlin backer, and there's nothing you can do to get me off that. So I bet the three”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“This is a good right spot for the seahawks at home against Arizona divisional game. Give me the seahawks, Chad, for a survivor.”
SEA 20, ARI 10 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +145 · CLV 0¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +126.5 · CLV -1¢ won
- New York Giants ML closed +135 · CLV 0¢ won
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -175 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Chicago Bears ML closed +115 · CLV +10¢ won
“Pittsburgh, Atlanta, New York Giants, LA Chargers, Chicago Bears. Gross.”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — won; New York Giants ML — won; Los Angeles Chargers ML — lost; Chicago Bears ML — won.
“You gotta grab it. We grabbed it at one and a half. While we were talking on the show, it started moving.”
NO 24, JAX 31 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I've been betting this number, whatever, since our show Sunday night. Been taking the threes, three and a halfs, whatever I could get on this Bears team.”
CHI 30, LV 12 — Chicago Bears margin +18 vs line +3.5; covers.
“We bet Baltimore at two and a half. We already did it. Which sucks.”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -2.5; covers.
“it's a big number for the Seahawks team here, but I gotta take some chalk, and this is this is one of the teams I'm gonna take here for the chalk. I'll take seahawks minus eight at home.”
SEA 20, ARI 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -8; covers.
“I love this game. I bet it's Sunday night, and it feels like a rah rah spot for Tomlin.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Gotta do it. Gotta gotta take the broncos.”
DEN 19, GB 17 — Denver Broncos margin +2 vs line +1; covers.
“I bet this game at chargers plus six on Sunday night. It moved pretty quickly. I still like it to my exact decision. I'm sorry. I can't quit the chargers.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“as you're talking about it, I'm firing away on the Eagles minus one and a half wherever I can find it.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -1.5; covers.
“right when me and tag you off this call, I'm gonna throw some on the six and a half. That's just a good number for 49ers team”
MIN 22, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -6.5; busts.
“we're on the charters.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Is that how you went with Pittsburgh? Yeah. I went with Pittsburgh plus three.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I I already bet this chargers. Got it at six. Five and a half now had a lot of books. I'd I'd still take that number.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Jets, plus seven is our foxhole. We're in the foxhole, baby.”
NYJ 20, PHI 14 — New York Jets margin +6 vs line +7; covers.
“Bet of the week. Cleveland browns plus seven. I'm”
CLE 19, SF 17 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +7; covers.
“Our exec decision, Tampa Bay, plus three.”
TB 6, DET 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“Our Simon says, the LA chargers, plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'll take the titans here at plus four and a half. Yeah. We're gonna be on the titans.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love this matchup so much for the saints defense.”
HOU 20, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I love this number on the Bengals. Like, you're you're telling me that Joe Burrow,”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I have a decent amount now in the bears.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“because we're confident in Gardner Minshew, and we're confident in sort of the Colts as a team versus the Jags as a team right now.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm gonna take that value on Washington.”
ATL 16, WSH 24 — Washington Commanders margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“than right now is the time to take the time to take the New England Patriots.”
LV 21, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +136 · CLV +4¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +105 · CLV -3¢ won
- Chicago Bears ML closed +138 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed +240 · CLV 0¢ won
“underdog, round robin. Tampa,”
Parlay busts: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — won; Chicago Bears ML — lost; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won.
“I bet bears plus three, you and I haven't even discussed this yet. It's now down to two and a half.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“So I'll take the value on the Vikings. Alright. So I bet the bears plus three,”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“Already had bet it. Like Chad said, bet the five and a half, bet five yesterday. I'll bet the four and a half again today.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“money on Seattle. I grabbed Seattle plus three.”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“Exact decision, Tampa Bay, Buccaneers,”
TB 6, DET 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“Simon Says if you can find it, go grab the two and a half on this chargers team right now plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“you and I are overloaded on San Francisco minus three and a half. It's the remaining bet”
SF 42, DAL 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +32 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll I'll I'll take the take the home favorite here at minus two.”
LV 17, GB 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“I don't get it. I totally don't get it. Grab it. Grab it. But, yeah, I'm hitting it right now.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +4; busts.
“No. I grabbed indie at five. It's it's running. It's already four and a half, four at some books. So it's just another number I'm gonna grab now.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“The only other bet I made so far is Tampa Bay Bucks. They're plus three right now against the lines.”
TB 6, DET 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“Never in my life have I probably ever missed this missed this opportunity to take a Tomlin team at home in a divisional game after they lost by more than 20 points. It's too good of a number to pass on.”
PIT 17, BAL 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +4; covers.
“we're getting such a good number here against a Tennessee team that is crazy overvalued right now.”
IND 23, TEN 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“For the record, speaking of closing line value against the opening line, I bet the saints at plus one and a half. I put it in the app.”
NE 0, NO 34 — New Orleans Saints margin +34 vs line +1.5; covers.
“did the falcons run game this week. You and I like the falcons at minus two against Houston.”
ATL 21, HOU 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2; pushes.
“Dallas at San Francisco, biggest bet of the week, biggest game of the week.”
SF 42, DAL 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +32 vs line -3.5; covers.
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +187 · CLV -2¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +120 · CLV 0¢ won
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +168 · CLV +7¢ lost
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +155 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +141 · CLV +1¢ lost
“Simon Says is Atlanta minus two. A round robin. Moneyline, round robin, underdog parlay.”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — won; Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Arizona Cardinals ML — lost.
“You know what? Yeah. I'm calling it now. I'm calling it now. Exact decision.”
NE 0, NO 34 — New Orleans Saints margin +34 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Atlanta is going to be a big bet for me this week. I'm all over this number.”
ATL 21, HOU 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“niners minus three and a half. This was an immediate bet on our Sunday night pot. I can tell you of all the bets I've made so far,”
SF 42, DAL 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +32 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So I'm grabbing the two and a half now. I think you all should just in case Jimmy g gets cleared and the summer does come down. But even if it's O'Connell, I like what I saw from the kids.”
LV 17, GB 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“No. No. I bet the Colts at minus one and a half. Oh, so money's coming on the Titans?”
IND 23, TEN 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Simon and I liked it at ten. We liked it at nine and a half in the contest.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Simon, also tell people what player prop you're thinking about. Took Mahomes underpassing prop. So I think it was two seventy two.”
Patrick Mahomes threw for 203 yards in the Chiefs' 23-20 win over the Jets on Sunday Night Football (Week 4), comfortably under 272.5. Note: the batch's event field mislabels this as 'Jets at Broncos' but the real matchup was Chiefs at Jets, which is the game that fits Mahomes, the date, and the manual-review flag. (Patrick Mahomes: 18/30, 203 yds, 1 TD (Chiefs 23, Jets 20))
“I'm I'm grabbing the minus three and a half right now. Minus three if you can find it on this forty niners team. It's just a great number, a great spot.”
SF 42, DAL 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +32 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Yeah. I got end up kinda getting bullied and dicking the Seahawks. A really sharp group came in on them. They've moved the number.”
NYG 3, SEA 24 — Seattle Seahawks margin +21 vs line -1; covers.
“I bet it at six. It's now down to five and a half. Wise guys coming in on the raiders. I still like the charger the raiders in this spot.”
LAC 24, LV 17 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“That's why we grabbed the six. It still doesn't really matter to me. Like, I'm just I'm just fading this chargers defense that I don't think they can stop anybody.”
LAC 24, LV 17 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Big balls, bet of the week. We we gotta take the jets. Kansas City at the New York jets. It's at nine and a half. I believe it will hit 10 on Sunday.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Like, me and you hit the 10, I've grabbed some nine and a half just in case it does drop drop even more in a few books, but I'm with you. I do think I'll get back to 10.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“It was my exec decision. I still love it. The wise guys love it. All the tickets coming in on the Bengals, all the money coming in on the titans.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“that Tennessee game I put is it weird? Is I put $50,000 on it, and it's weird to me. You know, the books call to negotiate, and I was like, listen. I'm not going any higher than two and a half.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm gonna trust it, Chad. We're gonna have this one in the contest minus two and a half. Give me the bills.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I like the Bills as a short home favorite. I'm just gonna love it.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I like Dak in this spot. I like Dak and Mike McCarthy fixing their resume issues. So I'm riding with the cowboys minus six and a half. If it's a seven, I'm not doing it.”
DAL 38, NE 3 — Dallas Cowboys margin +35 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I bet Baltimore plus three, but I'm playing the number, and I'm playing sort of the history here that”
CLE 3, BAL 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
“the like, that's why I bet the because there's there's some discrepancies here. Like, the Rams are plus one. I got them at plus one and a half last night.”
IND 23, LAR 29 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I love the Rams. I love them again here. It's just they're gonna just keep being undervalued by the books.”
IND 23, LAR 29 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Commanders flashed to eight and a half yesterday. I bet at eight and a half.”
PHI 34, WSH 31 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Let's just take the 40 niners, Chad. There's no no way they lose to Arizona, and this feels like their easiest game of the season at home against the cardinals after the cardinals just won.”
SF 35, ARI 16 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
- Houston Texans ML closed +131.5 · CLV +2¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -121 · CLV -5¢ won
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +124 · CLV +1¢ won
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +240 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +180 · CLV -25¢ won
“Our money line, round robin, underdog parlay, Houston, Baltimore, Tennessee, Las Vegas, Tampa Bay.”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — won; Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won.
“I like Tennessee better, so I'm going with Tennessee as my exact decision. I'm going with Tennessee plus two and a half.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I've already bet this a bunch. This is going to be one of our bets on Sunday. Like, there's a lot of stupid things I did last week. This will not be one that I'll miss.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Should I make it Simon Says then? Should we are we telling people they gotta grab it right now? Yeah. You gotta grab it. Make it a Simon Says. Says, Bills.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I bet this last night. I bet Buffalo minus two and a half because the the juice was moving in the in the direction of three.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“You always take Green Bay at home as a dog in this spot. If you're scared of the number, there's a bunch of one and a halfs out there.”
GB 20, DET 34 — Green Bay Packers margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
“you you have to take the bears here. They're o and three ATS, o and three on the season. This is a great number.”
CHI 28, DEN 31 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“It's a tough one, but I'm with you. I'll take the bears at three and a half as soon as I can find it.”
CHI 28, DEN 31 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But three and a half, give it to me every time. I love this number. Bet it bet it all day yesterday. Bet it all today.”
CAR 13, MIN 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I still love the Raiders at plus six in the spot.”
LAC 24, LV 17 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Yeah. I've seen there's a book right now. There's a 10. Like, I I I sent a runner to go about it as we're doing this show. So, yeah, I'm gonna grab the 10.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“New York jets plus 10. We're really hoping to get to 10 in the contest for sure.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“And the Saints team, I I already threw some on the minus three. I can see it going up to minus three and a half, minus four if if Carr does get cleared.”
NO 9, TB 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“Houston is a three point dog at home against the Steelers. I don't know if we'll probably wanna wait and see what happens with the game tonight. But I'm already gonna grab it.”
HOU 30, PIT 6 — Houston Texans margin +24 vs line +3; covers.
“If people are looking for what favorites I have bet so far, I took the rams. They were minus one against this cold steam.”
IND 23, LAR 29 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“So I'm just gonna throw a little on the saints minus three just in case Tampa, if they do get blown out by this eagles team, I could see this number getting up to four.”
NO 9, TB 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“I like the under. Chris likes the under. Primetime unders are you know, historically, they're they're they're good to take. So that that's one of those numbers where I know it's come down from 44 and a half to 43 and a half. I still think that's a nice number.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Combined 41; under 43.5 covers.
“Let's recap. Our foxhole, New England Patriots minus two and a half.”
NYJ 10, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I got it at two and a half. We talked about it. We love Bill Belichick in this spot.”
NYJ 10, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Our Big Balls bed of the week. Cleveland Browns minus three and a half right now. I prefer to wait until it gets to three, but I guess we're going with it.”
CLE 27, TEN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +24 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Every time I bet it at three, I still felt sick. Now it's minus three and a half, and it's like, I still gotta bet this. This is just a sick, sick bet.”
CLE 27, TEN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +24 vs line -3.5; covers.
“The exact decision was Denver plus seven, also like it at six and a half.”
MIA 70, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -50 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Yeah. Still like it. Still like it at four and a half.”
TB 11, PHI 25 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I got the Texans a plus nine and a half the other day. It's still settling around nine, eight and a half.”
JAX 17, HOU 37 — Houston Texans margin +20 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I stupidly did not bet the Raiders a plus one and a half. I have now bet them a two and a half.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML lost
- New Orleans Saints ML closed -125 · CLV +225¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +300 · CLV -5¢ won
- Denver Broncos ML closed +216 · CLV +4¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +191.5 · CLV +16¢ lost
“Our money line, round robin, Parley, Bucks, Saints, Texans, Broncos, Washington Commanders.”
Parlay busts: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won; Denver Broncos ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost.
“I think this is one of the highest highest totals of the week, 54. I threw a lid on the over, and that was really it for me on this game, Chad.”
MIN 24, LAC 28 — Combined 52; over 54 busts.
“So you can take it because I have one more game I love. You would do that for me? Yeah. Because I as long as people take it, I, like, I love that number. I feel like that's what our show is built on. I'm taking it as the exact decision.”
MIA 70, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -50 vs line +7; busts.
“So this is my Simon Says bet. I I wanted it at 6, the bucks. It's at 5 and a half. Damn it. So, yeah, I I still like it at 5 and a half.”
TB 11, PHI 25 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I love this game all last week. I bet Buffalo minus six on Sunday, the look ahead line before any of the games were played.”
WSH 3, BUF 37 — Buffalo Bills margin +34 vs line -6; covers.
“So, yeah, love Vegas. Love it at this number.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I I make I told you I made the line 10. So anything under 10, I thought you're getting good value on the Bills. And we're just betting on Josh Allen in a bounce back spot again.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I don't know why this isn't an automatic play for us.”
Titans beat the Chargers 27-24 in overtime (NFL Week 2), winning outright and comfortably covering +3. (Final: Tennessee Titans 27, Los Angeles Chargers 24 (OT))
“But I'm still putting it in right now. Like, it's it's amazing. I still like that number for them.”
DET 31, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“The wise guys love it. It's down to one. This was my exact decision on Tuesday.”
ATL 25, GB 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I I like it still as a plus two, two and a half, plus three if you can find it, dog.”
TB 27, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I bet New England plus three yesterday as soon as it hit the three.”
NE 17, MIA 24 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So love Houston here.”
HOU 20, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -11 vs line +1; busts.
“Of course, we're gonna bet the Jets.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I think this is gonna be our survivor pick, at least one of them.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“There's no way there's no way we couldn't take this number.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Tennessee Titans ML
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +180 · CLV 0¢
- New York Jets ML closed -215 · CLV +5¢
- Washington Commanders ML closed +165 · CLV -2¢
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed +145 · CLV +3¢
“It sucks Atlanta flip because that would have been a nice one. Yeah. I was just gonna say. Gotta go seahawks.”
Round robin busted: Titans, Seahawks, Commanders and Ravens all won straight up, but the Jets were blown out by the Cowboys 10-30, killing every combination that included the Jets leg. (Titans 27-24 (W); Seahawks 37-31 (W); Jets 10-30 (L); Commanders 35-33 (W); Ravens 27-24 (W))
“We are taking the Kansas City Chiefs this week.”
JAX 9, KC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“This is my Simon Says game. If you can grab the eight and a half, grab it right now.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -8.5; covers.
“how could you not take that minus three? It was just such a great number.”
CIN 24, BAL 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I've already bet it. I mean, I'm gonna put a lot on the three.”
Tennessee beat the LA Chargers 27-24 in overtime, winning outright as the underdog, so Titans +3 won easily. (Titans 27, Chargers 24 (OT))
“yeah, I'll have the under. I'll have Houston tees, and I'll take Houston straight in this number.”
HOU 20, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So Atlanta falcons, exact decision.”
ATL 25, GB 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“This is a smash bear spot.”
TB 27, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“bet it now”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line -5; busts.
“We're betting the Rams. Yeah. No brainer. Home divisional dog, eight and a half.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Now it's down to 39 and a half, 39 in most books. Love the under in this spot.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — Combined 59; under 39.5 busts.
“Of course, we're betting the Patriots.”
NE 17, MIA 24 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I I gotta take the number minus two and a half.”
PIT 26, CLE 22 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line -2.5; busts.
“please tell me right now, have you already bet the Tennessee titans as three point dogs Yeah. Against the Los Angeles chargers? That is a coaching mismatch.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me the seahawks, five and a half traveling to Detroit to face this Detroit team after”
DET 31, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm all in on the chargers versus eagles Super Bowl, which you can get right now at bet three six five at 50 to one.”
Neither reached the Super Bowl: the 6-11 Chargers missed the playoffs and the Eagles lost in the wild-card round.
“Yeah. The Browns are in.”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“This this feels like another game we just have to put in. Gotta put it in.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Houston Texans plus 10.”
BAL 25, HOU 9 — Houston Texans margin -16 vs line +10; busts.
“talk about the steelers because I love the steelers.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +2.5; busts.
“The colts plus five and a half. We gotta love the colts. That's the foxhole,”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But in week one, this is the bet you make. You take the jets here. You take the points.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — New York Jets margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm having a hard time not wanting to bet the falcons at minus three and a half.”
ATL 24, CAR 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So it feels like survivor pick. We we just have to go with the public, gotta ride with the commanders.”
WSH 20, ARI 16 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
- New York Jets ML closed +120 · CLV -10¢ won
- Cleveland Browns ML closed -110 · CLV +230¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +100 · CLV +15¢ lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed +175 · CLV +5¢ won
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +129 · CLV +18¢ lost
“Okay. So our money line round robin parlay will be,”
Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — won; Cleveland Browns ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — lost.
“I bet the lions plus six and a half on Saturday. While I was making college football bets, I saw it sitting there, and I'm like, why am I waiting?”
KC 20, DET 21 — Detroit Lions margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Alright. Well, look. We've already locked one in. We love the Browns plus two and a half.”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“but I will be betting the falcons at minus three and a half.”
ATL 24, CAR 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“it feels like we have to take the Colts here.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line -5.5; busts.
“of course, the executive decision has to be take the Pittsburgh steelers as home ducks.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +2.5; busts.
“this is one of these games I have to take Arizona in the seven.”
WSH 20, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Sign me up for the Houston Texans plus 10. Simon says Houston plus 10.”
BAL 25, HOU 9 — Houston Texans margin -16 vs line +10; busts.
“So plus four, yeah, gotta take the Patriots.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“we gotta take what I think is the better quarterback and the better coach at three and a half opening night at home in prime time.”
NYG 0, DAL 40 — New York Giants margin -40 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Give me the Jets to, you know, be be the team that everyone talks about all next week and then gets totally blown out by the Cowboys the following weekend.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — New York Jets margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I went I went deep on that Justin Herbert to lead the league in total passing yards. I can't wait for that.”
Herbert missed the final weeks with a broken finger; Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL with 4,624 passing yards.
“But one that I do like SMU playing for the first time against Louisiana tech team that just looked awful and and doesn't have much as one that I would like.”
SMU 38, LT 14 — Combined 52; under 21 busts.
“So around even money to win the big 12, I would bet that.”
Texas (+100) to win the 2023 Big 12. Texas beat Oklahoma State 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship on Dec 2, 2023. Bet won.
“how about Alabama minus, you know, some close to 40? I'm trying to see if it comes down to 38 again, but if it's set 39, 39 and a half where it is now, that's where I will fire.”
ALA 56, MTSU 7 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +49 vs line -40; covers.
“I'm betting Florida State. I would just like a three. I'm probably not gonna get it, but I'll bet any plus number.”
FSU 45, LSU 24 — Florida State Seminoles margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm playing actually the the reverse in Stanford, Hawaii. And the thinking is is that, you know, the the unders should hit here based upon that Stanford doesn't have any offense, or maybe the clock's gonna burn a lot.”
Stanford beat Hawaii 37-24 (61 combined points), clearing the ~58.5 total; the Over won. (Stanford 37, Hawaii 24 (total 61))
“I'm gonna go Washington. I'm gonna go UCLA. And, really, let me talk about the other teams. Dirk Cotter was calling plays offensively for Boise State. He's gone.”
Washington routed Boise State 56-19 (margin 37), easily covering as the ~-14 favorite; Washington ATS won. (Washington 56, Boise State 19)
“So take UCLA and Washington late at night.”
UCLA beat Coastal Carolina 27-13 (margin 14) but was favored by -14.5/-15.5, so UCLA failed to cover as the favorite. (UCLA 27, Coastal Carolina 13 (closing line UCLA -14.5/-15.5))
“I saw Texas plus one fifty to win the big twelve. I immediately got in my car and drove to an adjacent state to throw some dimes down because that number was stupid.”
Texas (-120) to win the 2023 Big 12. Texas beat Oklahoma State 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship on Dec 2, 2023. Bet won.
“Trevor Lawrence to lead the league in down passes 30 to one. Let me give you my reasoning.”
Lawrence threw only 21 TD passes; Dak Prescott led the NFL with 36.
“Jalen Carter, defensive rookie of the year, seven one, bet three six five, great odds. He's blowing up camp.”
Will Anderson Jr. won Defensive Rookie of the Year over fellow finalists.
“Bills Niners, that's my matchup in the Super Bowl. Longish odds.”
The 49ers reached Super Bowl LVIII but the Bills lost in the divisional round to Kansas City.
“I do love Bijan Robinson who is about 11 to one to lead the league in rushing because I honestly feel like Arthur Smith might let him carry the ball 2,000 times.”
Robinson ran for 976 yards; Christian McCaffrey led the NFL with 1,459.
“I'm all in on the saints, Chad. Divisional odds, to me, it's it's the best number of all the teams where they're in a division where it's all these young teams that are just kinda thrown together at this point.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; New Orleans went 9-8 and missed the playoffs on tiebreaker.
“60 to one Pittsburgh, Chad. That's that's my favorite bet right now for long shots, super pods.”
Pittsburgh lost in the wild-card round to Buffalo; the Chiefs won Super Bowl LVIII.
“So I love 11 to one worst to first. Houston's my outright favorite.”
Houston completed a worst-to-first run, winning the AFC South at 10-7.
“Dameko Ryan's coach of the year, I think, is in play. 25 to one, that's one of my favorite coach of the year bets.”
Kevin Stefanski won Coach of the Year on a tiebreaker over runner-up DeMeco Ryans.
“my absolute favorite bet on Houston, and my this is literally my favorite bet of the entire preseason circuit is the bet that you already bet against, Chad. Give me my guy Anderson, Will Anderson, to win defensive rookie of the year at five to one.”
Will Anderson Jr. won Defensive Rookie of the Year.
“I think the defense makes a leap to make the playoffs. Give me the 11 to one playoffs.”
Houston won the AFC South and made the playoffs as the No. 4 seed.
“Worst to first division. Atlanta is my other pick here. Much shorter odds. It's plus two twenty on that one.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; Atlanta finished 7-10.
“Arthur Smith coach of the year is 14 to one. I'm playing both of those.”
Kevin Stefanski won Coach of the Year; Arthur Smith's Falcons went 7-10 and he was fired.
“then the path is open if the falcons are really good to be the two seed. And if the falcons are the two seed, give me a 10 to one conference finals appearance from the Atlanta falcons.”
Atlanta went 7-10 and missed the playoffs, never reaching the NFC Championship.
“Bijan Robinson, offensive rookie of the year, three to one. I took that plus four fifty on draft night. I still like it three to one.”
C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year; Robinson was not a finalist.
“Division, almost two to one in most books. So give me the division. Effectively, that's just a head to head bet. Do I like the cowboys or the eagles? I'm gonna bet on the cowboys.”
Dallas won the NFC East at 12-5, edging Philadelphia on tiebreakers.
“Give me the one seed plus six fifty.”
San Francisco (12-5) earned the NFC's No. 1 seed; Dallas was the No. 2 seed.
“Most wins at bat three six five is 14 to one. I like the alternate over 12 and a half. That's plus four twenty five. You get 13 wins or more. Probably gonna do that.”
Dallas finished 12-5, falling one win short of the 12.5 alt-wins line.
“plus three twenty to win this division is easy money. Like, it's easy money.”
The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7; Tennessee finished 6-11 and last.
“this cowboys team, I think that they will be the team at end of the year that will win this division.”
Dallas won the NFC East at 12-5 (tiebreaker over Philadelphia).
“The only bet I really made us seem is Tyrekiel. Once again, the lead the lead in receiving yards just because the man himself has set his goal is 2,000 yards.”
Tyreek Hill led the NFL with 1,799 receiving yards.
“We're getting plus 800, plus eight fifty in a lot of books. It's amazing. Like, it's it's amazing to me the value we're getting on this Patriots team to win this”
Buffalo won the AFC East at 11-6; New England finished 4-13 and last.
“I can't believe I'm doing it. But, yeah, if I'm going with a long shot in this division, this is the bet I would take. I would take Carolina, not the Atlanta falcons.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; Carolina finished a league-worst 2-15.
“but in reality, my big my biggest bet right now is this team to win this division.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; New Orleans finished 9-8 but lost the tiebreaker and missed the playoffs.
“Also love Anthony Richardson, rookie of the year.”
C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year; Richardson played only four games before a season-ending shoulder injury.
“Everyone everyone and their grandmas would be betting on the Jaguars, and me and Chad are gonna hold our nose and just take the Colts.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“But I feel like we gotta go with Cleveland plus three fifty to win the division.”
The Ravens won the AFC North at 13-4; Cleveland finished 11-6 as a wild card.
“yeah, I love that you're on this team, Chad. It's just [19:05] it's the pro play.”
The Ravens won the AFC North at 13-4; Cleveland finished 11-6 as a wild card.
“plus two and a half against Cincinnati in week one. Joe Burrow's not playing. We like that even more.”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“week one, me and Chad love them plus three at home against the 40.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“Packers plus 400 to win the division for sure is by far my favorite.”
The Lions won the NFC North at 12-5; Green Bay finished 9-8 as a wild card.
“So my favorite bet right now for this this division is them at plus 400 to win this division, the over seven and a half.”
The Lions won the NFC North; Chicago finished 7-10 and last in the division.
“I bet the over 33 and a half on on the hall of fame game tonight.”
CLE 21, NYJ 16 — Combined 37; over 33.5 covers.
“Denver to win this division, [18:35] plus five fifty, plus 600, plus 500, whatever you could find.”
Kansas City (11-6) won the AFC West; Denver finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
“one of the most intriguing bets to me that I've made this offseason was Brock Purdy 75”
Lamar Jackson won 2023 MVP; Brock Purdy, though an MVP finalist, did not win.
“I can't stop betting the over six and a half, and I can't stop betting their divisional future.”
The 49ers won the NFC West; the Rams finished second at 10-7.
“this is the year to do [21:49] it for atlanta so already already got my falcons future in”
Tampa Bay won the 2023 NFC South; the Falcons finished 3rd at 7-10, so the division bet lost.
“Plus 450 at bet 365, I think is a good number for Scoot. [13:38] That was my bet in the article. [13:39] That's the way I'm fading Limbanyama right now.”
Victor Wembanyama won 2023-24 NBA Rookie of the Year unanimously; Scoot Henderson did not win.
“I like Brandon Miller to go number four in the draft, because if he's”
Brandon Miller was drafted 2nd overall by Charlotte, not 4th, so the +2500 bet lost.
“I'm going to bet on Asar to go ahead of Amon.”
Amen Thompson went 4th to Houston and Ausar Thompson went 5th to Detroit, so Ausar was NOT drafted before Amen; bet lost.
“So I'll bet the over on him. [40:10] It's minus 160, but I'll drink the juice on that one.”
GG Jackson was drafted 45th overall, well over the 26.5 line, so the over (-160) won.
“Jordan Walsh to go first round. [40:20] If you can still get it 30 to one, I think I see it right now. [40:23] That's 365 is 16 to one.”
Jordan Walsh was drafted 38th overall (second round) by Boston, not in the first round, so the +1600 bet lost.
“two on the top of my list i've got cameron smith who's been playing on live golf but we saw him win”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Cameron Smith did not win.
“for the pga championship and then of course jordan spieth who is the game's preeminent magician right”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Jordan Spieth did not win.
“probably underpriced right now and so i find him at 80 to 1 in most books and i think that's a”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Patrick Reed did not win.
“I think Siwoo Kim gives you that ceiling this week.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Si Woo Kim did not win.
“But I love him for top 10 props.”
Ryan Fox finished tied at +5, well outside the top 10 at the 2023 U.S. Open.
“in full disclosure, I've bet those four already, and I put a little on Tony Finau at 40 to one.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at LACC; Tony Finau did not win, so the 40-1 ticket lost.
“I do like Florida tonight, though, from a betting standpoint.”
VGK 9, FLA 3 — Florida Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
- Michael Amadio to score a goal won
- Anton Lundell to score a goal lost
- Alex Pietrangelo to score a goal lost
“So I'll be betting Florida and putting together a little same-game lottery ticket parlay”
Parlay busts: Michael Amadio to score a goal +0.5 — won; Anton Lundell to score a goal +0.5 — lost; Alex Pietrangelo to score a goal +0.5 — lost.
“So that lands me on Leo Carlson to Les Habitants, the fifth overall pick.”
Leo Carlsson was drafted 2nd overall by Anaheim, not 5th overall to Montreal, so the pick lost.
“I'm all in on Anthony Richardson. He's my I already talked about I bet him for rookie of the year every week.”
Offensive Rookie of the Year went to C.J. Stroud, not Anthony Richardson.
“I do love Deladon though, plus 600,”
2023 WNBA MVP went to Breanna Stewart (NY Liberty), not Elena Delle Donne. Pick loses.
“When I saw that I could get this a little juice on bet three six five just a little bit, I was like, oh, I'm going I'm going Liberty here. I put it in this morning because we haven't seen a repeat champion in the WNBA for over twenty years.”
2023 WNBA title won by the Las Vegas Aces, who beat the New York Liberty 3-1 in the Finals (clinched Oct 18, 2023). Liberty pick loses.
“I was just having fun with with sleeper picks. I put some down on the mystics at plus 1,400.”
2023 WNBA title won by the Las Vegas Aces. Washington Mystics did not win. Pick loses.
“to be the WNBA MVP, and I bet on that.”
2023 WNBA MVP went to Breanna Stewart, not Chelsea Gray. Pick loses.
“I already bet Deladon, just to be just to be fair. I bet Deladon as well.”
2023 WNBA MVP went to Breanna Stewart, not Elena Delle Donne. Pick loses.
“I'm gonna go with a little bit of a long shot on top, though. Give me the number eight horse, mage, at 15 to one on top. This is a bit of a stretch, but in this type of race, I wanna take a shot.”
Mage won the 2023 (149th) Kentucky Derby at 15-1, so the outright win bet cashed.
“If if you're gonna bet Seattle, I would just bet their goalie, Philip Grubauer, to win the Khan Smythe. He's, like, 80 to 100 to one. You could probably find out there.”
The 2023 Conn Smythe went to Vegas's Jonathan Marchessault, not Kraken goalie Philipp Grubauer (Seattle was eliminated in round two).
“I want Anthony Richardson for offensive rookie of the year. I just I just love the spot he landed in. I love the colts.”
Offensive Rookie of the Year went to C.J. Stroud, not Anthony Richardson, whose season ended early due to a shoulder injury.
“Offensive rookie of the year, I love Bijan Robinson. I bet him the night of the draft. I I looked for the odds the moment that the pick got made. We knew it was coming, but here are some things I googled when Bijan Robinson officially went to the falcons.”
Offensive Rookie of the Year went to C.J. Stroud, not Bijan Robinson.
“That's where I'm going. Only one defender in the top three. Give me Will Anderson. I see a plus 500 out there.”
Will Anderson Jr. of the Texans won 2023 Defensive Rookie of the Year.
“Over four and a half quarterbacks taken in the first round. I'm a firm believer [35:16] Hendon Hooker will sleep will sneak into the bottom of the first round.”
Only 3 QBs were taken in Round 1; Hendon Hooker went in Round 3 and Will Levis in Round 2, so the over 4.5 lost.
“And my biggest bet still was the over one and a half running backs taken. Just Gibson to me, the Alabama kid like, we already talked about it.”
Bijan Robinson (No. 8) and Jahmyr Gibbs (No. 12) were both first-round running backs, clearing the over 1.5.
“the the betting market to me, Robinson, [40:58] you still get plus one twenty at a couple books from the top 10. I still like that number.”
Bijan Robinson was drafted 8th overall to Atlanta, inside the top 10.
“my my favorite bet still, Chad, for first defender taken is still Jalen Carter. I just still see somehow [30:50] the seahawks or Detroit taking him with that that pick when they get to him.”
The first defensive player drafted was Will Anderson Jr. at No. 3, not Jalen Carter (No. 9).
“Will Anderson over three and a half, [23:43] I I couldn't bet enough on that. I really couldn't. I mean, it was one of those bets I just kept making over the weekend.”
Will Anderson Jr. was drafted 3rd overall by Houston, so the over 3.5 on his draft position lost.
“So I like to chat over one and a half running backs taking the first round. I think it was plus one ten.”
Two running backs (Bijan Robinson No. 8, Jahmyr Gibbs No. 12) went in Round 1, clearing the over 1.5.
“I mean, I can tell you that off the top of my head, I know for a fact that I bet the the Zay Flowers under. [31:47] We talked last show. I just love that bet.”
Zay Flowers was drafted 22nd overall, a late-first slot, so an 'under' on a pre-draft projection in the teens cashed.
“Robinson be a top 10 pick, Chad. Love it. I I love this pick so much.”
Bijan Robinson went 8th overall to Atlanta, inside the top 10.
“I still I still have a little bit of money on Jalen Carter to be the first defensive player to take.”
The first defensive player drafted was Will Anderson Jr. at No. 3; Jalen Carter went No. 9.
“I I can't stop doing what I keep doing, but I keep betting more money on CJ Stroud to be a top [44:16] three, top two, top one pick.”
C.J. Stroud was drafted No. 2 overall, satisfying the top-3 bet.
“I would bet, over four and a half quarterbacks in the first round right now.”
Only 3 quarterbacks (Young, Stroud, Richardson) went in Round 1; the next, Will Levis, fell to No. 33, so the over 4.5 lost.
“The biggest draft bet I've made, I think, is Bijan Robinson, [7:46] to go, like, top [7:48] five or six [7:49] in that range. That that is the biggest bet I've made so far because I think someone's gonna reach out for him.”
Bijan Robinson was drafted 8th overall by Atlanta, outside the top 5/6 range targeted.
“You can go on bed three [8:43] three six five right now and get him at plus one twenty to be a top 10 pick.”
Bijan Robinson went 8th overall to Atlanta, comfortably inside the top 10.
“If you're still in a position like I and that you wanna fade it, once again, bet three six five. You can go on there right now. You could take CJ Stroud to be the first pick. It's plus 800.”
C.J. Stroud went No. 2 overall behind Bryce Young, so he was not the first pick.
“make a straight bet of plus 800. [22:44] CJ be the first pick. Bryce Young will be the second pick as plus a thousand.”
Bryce Young was the No. 1 overall pick, not No. 2 (C.J. Stroud went second).
“So bad read by me. Definitely gonna looking like I'm gonna take on the chin, but I'm a psycho. Like, I already bet more on CJ to be the first pick still. Kinda digging my feet in a little bit about it.”
C.J. Stroud was drafted No. 2 overall by Houston; Bryce Young went No. 1, so Stroud was not the top pick.
“I bet at 25 to 1 and 21, Zay Flowers to be the number one pick for wide receivers. [38:13] We've seen his odds go way, way up after he's had a couple workouts.”
Zay Flowers (pick 22) was not the first WR drafted; Jaxon Smith-Njigba went first at pick 20.
“but he does not fit the profile of a top 12 pick at all. And that's why I would bet the over on 12.5.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba was drafted 20th overall, clearing the over 12.5 on his draft position.
“in fact, that was a bet I made is that a matching team to play, I think, Quentin John Quentin Johnston to Kansas City. I think I got it, like, plus, like, [40:41] 3,000 odds, which I thought was generous.”
Quentin Johnston was drafted 21st overall by the LA Chargers, not the Kansas City Chiefs.
“but, you know, they're plus two thirty right now to make that pick in the third spot, [16:18] at FanDuel. And to me, [16:20] you know, they're a team that that makes sense in that division.”
The No. 3 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft was Will Anderson Jr. (Texans traded up to No. 3); the Titans picked 11th and did not move up to No. 3.
“As far as best, like, right now that you can still make, I I still think Jackson Smith and Jigba, [19:12] for first receiver overall, [19:14] about minus 200.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the first wide receiver drafted, going 20th overall to Seattle.
“The one I do like, which I took a little bit of it, but Eagles to go offensive line is one that I'm starting to feel really strongly about, which I think it was plus 500 a couple days ago. It's come down a little at, like, plus 400, but [28:38] I do think Skronski at 10 if he's there”
Philadelphia's first 2023 pick was defensive tackle Jalen Carter at No. 9, not an offensive lineman.
“But, I'm gonna talk about a wager that you can find over on FanDuel with one of those players that I just talked about. [23:30] And this price opened at plus $1.00 2. We've seen it move to minus $1.10 over the past twelve hours. You know, as always shop around, but we have this really, I guess, I would call it super high ceiling [23:43] with this terribly low mix floor for Cameron Young against Jason Day here.”
Cameron Young finished -6 (T7) while Jason Day finished T39 at the 2023 Masters, so Young beat Day and the Day-over-Young head-to-head lost.
“So I I like those two head to head wagers that I talked about, with Cameron Jason Day over Cameron Young and Tiger Woods over Sergio Garcia.”
Tiger Woods withdrew before Sunday play while Sergio Garcia finished -9, so Garcia beat Woods and the Woods-over-Garcia head-to-head lost.
“But I think the more tangible way to attack this market [32:58] with Alex Noren, you could take them at to come top 30 at plus two forty.”
Alex Noren missed the cut at the 2023 Masters, so the top-30 finish bet lost.
“But with the way that I'm running my data with it, like, he's a top 15 WinEquity player that you can get at plus one forty five to come top 20 on FanDuel.”
Matt Fitzpatrick finished T10 at the 2023 Masters, so the top-20 finish bet won.
“I just think that this is the year that Rory finally captures the career grand slam.”
Jon Rahm won the 2023 Masters; Rory McIlroy missed the cut, so the outright lost.
“I think the best value on the board, I had proper number on Tony Finau at 22 to one. I believe you can shop around and find that very easily in the space.”
Jon Rahm won the 2023 Masters, so the Tony Finau outright lost.
“So all that adds up to me to making the Braves about 60% to win their division,”
Atlanta won the 2023 NL East with 104 wins.
“It's a very difficult team, but the safety of betting the Braves now at 10 to 1, knowing they're going to make the playoffs, I think is why I like them.”
The Braves were eliminated by the Phillies in the 2023 NLDS; Texas won the World Series.
“So for home run leader I believe Jordan is 14 to one I also bet him RBI leader 10 to one”
Matt Olson led MLB with 54 HR in 2023; Yordan Alvarez did not lead the league in home runs.
“and I bet him MVP at 14 to one as well.”
Shohei Ohtani won 2023 AL MVP; Yordan Alvarez did not win.
“So for home run leader I believe Jordan is 14 to one I also bet him RBI leader 10 to one”
Matt Olson led MLB with 139 RBI in 2023; Yordan Alvarez did not lead the league in RBIs.
“Freed is 25 to one. [30:39] I think he should be closer to 20 to one. [30:42] So he is my favorite bet in that category.”
Spencer Strider led MLB with 20 wins in 2023; Max Fried (injured most of the year) did not lead in pitcher wins.
“These teams are all futures that I bet Guardians and Yankees in the American League”
The Guardians went 76-86 and missed the 2023 playoffs entirely, so any pennant/contender future lost.
“These teams are all futures that I bet Guardians and Yankees in the American League”
The Yankees went 82-80 and missed the 2023 playoffs, so any pennant/contender future lost.
“And then we're going to go with the Braves and Padres in the NL.”
The Padres went 82-80 and missed the 2023 playoffs, so any pennant/contender future lost.
“You know, 10 to 1 for Ronald Acuna to win the MVP is my favorite bet for Atlanta.”
Ronald Acuna Jr. won the 2023 NL MVP unanimously.
“let's go baby byron buxton minnesota center fielder dh [28:28] 60 to 1 you can find him that high”
Matt Olson led MLB with 54 HR in 2023; Byron Buxton did not lead the league in home runs.
“So let me offer you Bubba Thompson as the steals leader at 50 to 1.”
Ronald Acuna Jr. led MLB with 73 stolen bases in 2023; Bubba Thompson did not lead in steals.
“As for my World Series prediction, [37:55] I agree with Sean on the Braves.”
The Rangers won the 2023 World Series; the Braves were eliminated in the NLDS.
“Yeah, I like UConn here, too. I played them money line when this opened, and I think they're [15:28] going to advance.”
CONN 88, ARK 65 — UConn Huskies won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I like the owls here.”
TENN 55, FAU 62 — Florida Atlantic Owls margin +7 vs line +5.5; covers.
“But yeah, I like San Diego State here. I bet them plus seven and a half.”
ALA 64, SDSU 71 — San Diego State Aztecs margin +7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going to be on the over here. And if needed,”
Texas beat Xavier 83-71 (154 combined points), clearing the ~149.5 market total. (Texas 83, Xavier 71 (154 total pts))
“give me some Chicago, all of the futures, but I like their division [6:52] odds at three to one.”
Detroit won the NFC North in the 2023 season; the Bears finished last.
“at plus 200, plus 175, I would take that now in Dallas if you're looking for a nice little bet here on an NFC East team.”
Dallas won the NFC East in the 2023 season at 12-5.
“But I'm going to go ahead and play him at about plus 175 on the money line.”
SMC 63, VCU 51 — VCU Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“You can still get him plus four and a half, five at seven places in the market.”
SMC 63, VCU 51 — VCU Rams margin -12 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So I actually like the 15.5 point spread for the Zags.”
GONZ 82, GCU 70 — Gonzaga Bulldogs margin +12 vs line -15.5; busts.
“i think they actually have great value to make the sweet 16 at minus 160”
Gonzaga reached the 2023 Sweet 16 (and went on to the Elite Eight), cashing the make-the-Sweet-16 bet.
“So I'll go ahead and lay the five and a half.”
CREI 72, NCSU 63 — Creighton Bluejays margin +9 vs line -5.5; covers.
“what I actually like there is under”
CONN 87, IONA 63 — Combined 150; under 143.5 busts.
“I bet Kent State plus four and a half.”
IU 71, KENT 60 — Kent State Golden Flashes margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“so i'm gonna go ahead and just play them”
MSU 72, USC 62 — USC Trojans lost; moneyline busts.
“I did play some under first half, under 65.”
MD 67, WVU 65 — Combined 132; under 65 busts.
“i do like firman against virginia”
UVA 67, FUR 68 — Furman Paladins margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“And I did play Utah State. I like the matchup for them.”
MIZ 76, USU 65 — Missouri Tigers margin +11 vs line +1.5; covers.
“you can get a seven um it's down to six and a half now”
DUKE 74, ORU 51 — Oral Roberts Golden Eagles margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“I just feel like he a lock for it So I actually bet this one It one of the few ones I already bet that at minus one I just think he the best guy in this category of everything he overcome And they put on such an amazing performance I just love Brendan Fraser in this spot”
Brendan Fraser won Best Actor for The Whale at the 95th Academy Awards.
“this is a really good bet to take you know it will be shocking to me if banshees comes away”
Everything Everywhere All at Once won Best Original Screenplay; The Banshees of Inisherin lost.
“Milwaukee Bucks plus 440 is a ridiculous price.”
The Bucks were upset by the Heat in the first round of the 2023 playoffs; Denver won the title.
“10 to one at FanDuel, that is still the best number that is in the market for Anthony Richardson.”
Bryce Young was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, not Anthony Richardson.
“I'd still grab Anthony Richardson at 10 to one,”
Carolina took Bryce Young No. 1 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft; Anthony Richardson went No. 4 to the Colts.
“But one thing I did, I gave it on the action app, was I bet Anthony Richards to be the first quarterback taken at 40 to 1.”
Bryce Young was the first QB taken (No. 1 overall) in the 2023 NFL Draft; Richardson went 4th.
“it futures time yeah with the with the Bears one and we already touched on it what two three weeks ago that we were both just loving the spot of the Bears”
The Bears did not win Super Bowl LVIII; the Chiefs beat the 49ers in OT.
“The Broncos, I'm just going to grab now just because I think other pros are going to bet them.”
The Broncos did not win Super Bowl LVIII; the Chiefs won.
“No, but I will be putting money on the Texans, people.”
The Texans did not win Super Bowl LVIII; the Chiefs won.
“but I'm going to lead at the half and win the game on the money line. Give me that at plus 160.”
Eagles led at halftime (24-14) but lost Super Bowl LVII 38-35, so lead-at-half-and-win lost.
“Give me Devante Smith, Super Bowl MVP, plus 3,100.”
DeVonta Smith did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“whatever it is i have to play that one”
The Eagles defense did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII.
“technically my most money I've had bet is the over.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; over 51.5 covers.
“best bet eagles full game”
Eagles were ~1.5-point favorites but lost outright to the Chiefs 38-35, so they did not cover. (Chiefs 38, Eagles 35)
“love is the over in Mahomes interceptions. That's a fun prop to do.”
Mahomes threw zero interceptions in Super Bowl LVII, so Over 0.5 INT lost.
“I bet the under. I didn't get a good number. I got it at 49 and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; under 49.5 busts.
“my favorite prop right now is actually for the Chiefs to call the first time out.”
The Eagles called the first timeout of Super Bowl LVII, so Chiefs-first-timeout lost.
“So if you can get the even 10, I think it's a slam dunk.”
Only 6 penalties were accepted in Super Bowl LVII, under the 10.5 line.
“Yes is over 10 to 1, so that there will be a safety in this game.”
No safety was scored in Super Bowl LVII, so 'Yes safety' lost.
“I actually love the idea of over two and a half players to throw a pass in this game.”
Only Mahomes and Hurts threw passes (2 players), under the 2.5 line.
“So I like the under eight and a half for longest run.”
McKinnon ran 4 times for 34 yards (8.5 avg), so his longest rush exceeded 8.5 and the under lost.
“And it's the Chiefs to have the longest gross punt in this game.”
Chiefs' longest punt was 50 yards but the Eagles had a 57-yard punt, so Chiefs longest-gross-punt lost.
“or total in the game which I believe it up to five and a half I just felt safer doing 2 at minus 150 But I trying to get a lot of plus numbers here”
Eagles recorded zero team sacks in Super Bowl LVII, so Over 2.5 sacks lost.
“I like that position of taking that over.”
Only one interception was thrown in Super Bowl LVII (Hurts), so Over 1.5 total INTs lost.
“that's kind of why I liked taking his, you know, prop to lead the game in rushing yards.”
Miles Sanders had only 16 rushing yards on 7 carries in Super Bowl LVII, well behind Pacheco (76) and Hurts (70), so he did not lead the game in rushing. (Sanders 16 rush yds vs Pacheco 76, Hurts 70)
“I like Miles Sanders to lead the game in rushing.”
Miles Sanders had only 16 rushing yards on 7 carries in Super Bowl LVII, well behind Pacheco (76) and Hurts (70), so he did not lead the game in rushing. (Sanders 16 rush yds vs Pacheco 76, Hurts 70)
“I like the under which plays to the strengths of the Eagles”
Super Bowl LVII total (closing ~50.5) went over with 73 combined points, so the under lost. (Total: 73 points (closing O/U 50.5))
“I actually like Kenny Gainwell at 130 to one”
Kenny Gainwell did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“I like Miles Sanders as MVP”
Miles Sanders did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“So give me a mile of Sanders at 25 to one.”
Miles Sanders did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“So I actually think if you like to, if you want a positive Chiefs bet, Travis Kelsey is a crazy good value.”
Travis Kelce did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“I'm going to do Mahomes for $5 and I'm going to do Kelsey for $2.50.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVII MVP, cashing the +130 ticket.
“I'm going to do Mahomes and Travis Kelsey.”
Travis Kelce did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“So I think that's a really good play.”
Travis Kelce caught an 18-yard touchdown in Super Bowl LVII, so anytime TD won.
“So Jody Fortson, I believe he's at 12 to one for any time.”
Jody Fortson did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII.
“So I just think we're getting quite a bit of value here with Watkins at plus 750.”
Quez Watkins did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII.
“So I just grabbing the green and yellow early now”
The Super Bowl LVII Gatorade shower was purple, not yellow/green.
“So I took my position on that at 49 and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; over 49.5 covers.
“I'm on the Chiefs.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“And that's why, listen, I bet it at minus 115.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; under 51 busts.
“So like Simon, I'm on the over.”
Super Bowl LVII total (closing ~50.5) went well over, with a combined 73 points scored (Chiefs 38, Eagles 35). (Total: 73 points (closing O/U 50.5))
“I bet the under 49 and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; under 49.5 busts.
“I've made a decent amount of bets on this Eagles team.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“And then the big balls is Eagles minus two and a half.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +24 vs line -2.5; covers.
“You can get it at a pick right now or get it at the minus one.”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“I going with the under 47 and a half for the Bengals and the Chiefs”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Combined 43; under 47.5 covers.
“But to me, if you can still get the 46, 45 and a half, you got to grab the over.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Combined 38; over 46.5 busts.
“I bet Eagles minus two.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +24 vs line -2; covers.
“I bet over 45 and a half.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Combined 38; over 45.5 busts.
“I still like the under Still would take a position”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Combined 43; under 46.5 covers.
“And even at eight, I'm going to bet the Eagles.”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“But if it doesn't get there, I got no issue betting the seven and a half.”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“We love Buffalo here.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Love the Bills.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“but I just I have to take this eight and a half with this”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Obviously, I'm going to take the Jags' money line as well”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm on the under, and I hate correlating the under and a side in a game.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Combined 47; under 52.5 covers.
“if I end up betting more on the under, I would not be shocked.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Combined 47; under 52.5 covers.
“we settled on the under being the bet that we like the most”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Combined 31; under 46.5 covers.
“My biggest bet is going to still be the under.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Combined 31; under 46.5 covers.
“So at no point when me and Chad were taking this three and a half, am I going to be sweating this?”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I going with the Chiefs and Jags under 52 and a half”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Combined 47; under 52.5 covers.
“We love the Jags on the spot”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I knew going in that I was going to take them”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I want to get it at 7 I do think”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“but it's hard for me to give up the under.”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Combined 45; under 48.5 covers.
“Simon Says, under 46.5.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Combined 31; under 46.5 covers.
“I'm going to be on the bills this week.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I went into the app and I quick slipped it.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“so I love the under at 50”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Combined 37; under 48.5 covers.
“i bet it at 12 and a half i still feel good about it i think they might beat them by 30”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -13; busts.
“I just hit it again at 13 because I worried about going 13 and a half”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -13; busts.
“I bet it at six and a half I bet it again at seven”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'm still in on the eight and a half, but we obviously need Huntley.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“i like the jags at home with doug peterson it it makes no sense to me”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I still love the Jags and bet it again at two and a half”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Love the Bucks at two and a half”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“It felt too easy when I took the three.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'll be on 49ers first half. I'll be on 49ers first”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“i just take the vikings because i like them at home here”
MIN 24, NYG 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“like most people thought I'd be on the Seahawks I did too model likes 49ers and I like the 49ers”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I love the Niners in this spot. [27:08] It's weird to say how much I love the Niners as a nearly double-digit favorite”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Yeah, just been betting it since it opened. [28:46] Just been betting this one, another game we got coming up [28:49] where couldn't fight it.”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“It's just a no-brainer to take the Bills here. [36:22] hopefully you can grab a 10 I do think 10 is a key number”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“This to me should be our fox. [42:17] Well, how do you feel about it? [42:18] I love it.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I still like the Bucs here though because I don trust Mike McCarthy”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“i decided you know what no okay i'm on the broncos i'm riding with the broncos let's ride broncos”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Me and Chad loaded up on the Broncos at three and a half. [10:48] That line is completely flipped. [10:50] I will take the Chargers at three.”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I go with our team Tennessee Give me plus six”
JAX 20, TEN 16 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going with the Browns, plus two and a half.”
PIT 28, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“agree with the rams rams plus six and a half”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We like the Lions at four and a half. [20:08] Yeah, we're a couple of suckers. [20:10] Regardless of the scenario, right?”
GB 16, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“We're going with the Cardinals. [43:16] Cardinals. [43:17] Yeah, we got it, I guess. [43:18] It's the last week of the year, [43:19] and this is just a massive number.”
SF 38, ARI 13 — Arizona Cardinals margin -25 vs line +14; busts.
- Houston Texans ML closed +129.5 · CLV 0¢ won
- Cleveland Browns ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +230 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +175 · CLV -30¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +200 · CLV 0¢ won
“Lions [50:10] are the five [50:11] for the Money Lion [50:13] Round Robin [50:14] parlay”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — won; Cleveland Browns ML — lost; Tennessee Titans ML — lost; Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won.
“This is exactly what me and Chad take the Titans and the Titans somehow pull up some miracle ups.”
JAX 20, TEN 16 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So not going to make this my Simon says, [17:08] but as we sit here right now, I've already bet the minus two and a half. [17:10] I just can't help myself.”
IND 31, HOU 32 — Indianapolis Colts margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Like me and Chad don't have a choice. [28:45] We have to take Cleveland.”
PIT 28, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“and that the Rams this week on the road, six and a half at Seattle. [31:49] Have to do it. [31:51] Have to do it.”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“the denver broncos plus three and a half at home against the titans what are we gonna i mean against”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I will be all over that Giants money line playing spoiler in this game. [35:48] I love it.”
MIA 11, NYJ 6 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.
“I feel like we're literally getting four points of value here just because they're playing for the one seed and Arizona's playing for nothing. [39:16] So I already bet it.”
SF 38, ARI 13 — Arizona Cardinals margin -25 vs line +14; busts.
“So I'll hear what the boys are saying, Chad, but I already bet it. [44:01] I'm in on Detroit. [44:02] As soon as they hit 4.5, I bet it.”
GB 16, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Give me Houston, Chad.”
HOU 3, JAX 31 — Houston Texans margin -28 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Simon says Vikings plus three and a half.”
GB 41, MIN 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I'm still backing the Bills.”
Game suspended in the 1st quarter after Damar Hamlin's on-field cardiac arrest and never resumed; the NFL ruled it a no-contest and sportsbooks voided/refunded all undecided spread, total, and moneyline wagers. (Score at stoppage: Bills 7, Bengals 3 (game not completed, no contest))
“All right, then let's go with the Bucs at minus three.”
TB 30, CAR 24 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“So it's a game to me where me and Chad automatic automatic play anything under seven in contest.”
LV 34, SF 37 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Give me Jets minus two, whatever it is.”
NYG 38, IND 10 — New York Giants margin +28 vs line -2; covers.
“Chad Millman has decided he's going with the Broncos plus 12 and a half.”
KC 27, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“I'll take the three with Teddy.”
NE 23, MIA 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“We like the Texans plus four.”
HOU 3, JAX 31 — Houston Texans margin -28 vs line +4; busts.
“Got to take the Jets.”
NYG 38, IND 10 — New York Giants margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“i'm still comfortable with the paths at three and a half yep”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I love it, Chad, at 3.5. But at 3, that makes you pause.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Six, six and a half in the contest, Chad. how do we pass on that?”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I have no fear of taking the Eagles in this game.”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5.5; busts.
“It's my executive decision. When we talked about it earlier in the week, you were like, if you're not going to make it your exact decision, then it's going to be my Simon Says. I love the Colts at four. it doesn't matter to me who's playing quarterback”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +5; busts.
“So, yes, I will be taking the five.”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +5; busts.
“Big balls, bet of the week. Washington Commanders plus seven.”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“So I feel like you can grab the seven right now. That's perfect for the big balls bet of the week.”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“Give me the Panthers plus two and a half.”
CAR 37, DET 23 — Carolina Panthers margin +14 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I told them straight up, I love Pittsburgh here. Not going to throw in our contest because I respect these guys, but I love this spot for Pittsburgh.”
PIT 13, LV 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“If it's four or four and a half in the contest, I have to play it.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“The more I look at it, the more it feels like they're on the right side.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I would take the Bears, but I got them at nine and a half.”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +9.5; busts.
- New England Patriots ML closed +135 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +115 · CLV +5¢ won
- Washington Commanders ML closed +245 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed +170 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed +160 · CLV -1¢ won
“Moneyline, round robin. Patriots, Panthers, Commanders, Eagles, Packers.”
Parlay busts: New England Patriots ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — won.
“Patriots plus three and a half. We're going to the foxhole.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“This number makes sense. Like Cincy, yes, they're very good. They also have weaknesses, and some of those weaknesses can be exploited by a Patriots team that's desperate.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“If anyone out there, you can still grab the six. You grab the six, obviously, for the Eagles.”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says. Simon says Eagles plus six.”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5.5; busts.
“The Indianapolis Colts will be my executive decision. Colts plus four.”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4; busts.
“Grab the four now just because I do see it going to three and a half”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4; busts.
“Can't avoid it. It's just such a big number. I just can't not take this number.”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +9.5; busts.
“no reason not to take the bears at eight and a half or nine and a half if you can get it”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I bet it at five and a half. It is at four and a half, and it is falling so fast. And if it had stayed at five and a half, it 100% would have been my executive decision. I still like it at four and a half.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I still like it a lot at four and a half.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“move i'm with the commanders i think everyone just has a little bit of a bad taste in their mouth of them”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.
“you don't like that i like the commanders in the game yeah it's the right side”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“That's me. I'm on it. It's one of these games I bet early in the week when it was opened at one.”
PIT 13, LV 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“We set on Tuesday bet it right away bet the Seahawks three and a half”
SEA 13, SF 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“we should end up on this game you know what i think we got to do it all right let's do it we're gonna put it in is it three and a half”
SEA 13, SF 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“on tuesday it moved from four and a half to four i was worried it was going to go lower so i betted it for am i uncomfortable that i betted it for no”
Vikings beat Colts 39-36 in OT after the largest comeback in NFL history; Colts lost by only 3, covering +4.5. (Final: Vikings 39, Colts 36 (OT); Colts +4.5 covers)
“if we can get the four and a half the colts are in there yeah right i really do like that number”
Vikings beat Colts 39-36 in OT; Colts lost by only 3, covering +4.5. (Final: Vikings 39, Colts 36 (OT); Colts +4.5 covers)
“especially the fact that i've already bet this damn game i bet the nine and a half bet the nine”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9.5; covers.
“But a nine and a half in contest, it has to be in. That's just a huge number in the contest.”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Simon says Jags plus four and a half.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“so i'm doing jags plus four and a half”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Big balls better than the week. Going against my guy, Chad, Washington football team at home.”
WSH 12, NYG 20 — Washington Commanders margin -8 vs line -4.5; busts.
“we have Jacksonville plus 750 to win the AFC South and we love it Even better I got like 13 14 to 1 We taking it in May and June I all in on it”
Jaguars won the AFC South, clinching with the Week 18 win over the Titans.
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +171 · CLV +4¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML pending
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -130 · CLV +2¢ won
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +280 · CLV -10¢ lost
“Moneyline, round robin, one more time. Jags, Colts, Raiders, Titans, Miami.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — pending; Las Vegas Raiders ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — lost; Miami Dolphins ML — lost.
“I'm grabbing a three and a half now just in case it does drop and the pros take it”
SEA 13, SF 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I want to go with the Colts plus four.”
MIN 39, IND 36 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“but I do like the value right now sitting there on the Colts.”
MIN 39, IND 36 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“It's 9 just because the public is completely out on this Bears team.”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9; covers.
“half i did so of course we're going to bet the bears a plus nine yeah i don't know if i'll have”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9; covers.
“I'm going to have to make the Simon Says because I'm looking at a four and a half right now.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Give me this game at home.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“It's plus three minus 118 at FanDuel.”
LAC 17, TEN 14 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“So got to hold your nose and take the Titans here at plus three.”
LAC 17, TEN 14 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“As soon as I saw it going on, I hit it at 9.”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“No doubt No brainer Automatically locked in kind of game just because I have to play this spot every time and have to take this number every time”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“do so looking at the game i love it at seven the six and a half does definitely give you pause”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I feel great about the giants.”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I've already bet this number and I'm locked in on Detroit.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Exec decision, Lions minus two and a half.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“If you're getting the three and a half, you just have to grab it.”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i went into the action network app i picked the chargers plus three and a half quick slipped it”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“but I already bet the six.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Staying at six, maybe it's going to drop a little bit, but I grab that six now just to be safe.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“And the fact that books now are hanging six and a half, that's why I want people to grab the seven now.”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“the juice on this at plus seven is already below minus 110, which basically tells you get it now because it's moving fast.”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“on the lions i still like the lions at less than a field goal 94 of the money on the lions right now”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'd still take them like Chad's doing right now. I think that's a good number.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“plus 10 because 81 of the money is on the chiefs 83 of the bets but the broncos are the side here”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Um, you can like, I already took the nine and a half,”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“That's a great number to have with a Chargers team that plays games close.”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“contest but I do like the Jets at plus three uh let's talk about let's revisit um the Falcons”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“No, I bet I'm on Jets now. [41:45] You would go all in on the Jets in the contest. [41:47] Okay. [41:47] Yeah, like I'm on the three now.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“have a shot at it why would I not bet the Falcons here yeah the Tomlin magic made sense when”
ATL 16, PIT 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“I love them coming in the week. [19:07] Not only is this a good spot to take a divisional matchup home team. [19:10] The biggest fact in this game is just that the Giants have been on a slump here.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Let's go back a little bit to the Bengals [21:19] because I loved the Bengals the other day.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“big body in Chase on the outside. That's what Joe's kind of leaning on nowadays, where if he's [23:18] getting pressure, like you said, we'll just put it up to his guys down the sideline rather than”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Guess where you can get 49ers minus three and a half right now? [28:47] FanDuel.”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“That's why I feel so good about taking 49ers. [27:41] They just had a game where they laid an egg, and they got away with it.”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“It is. [32:44] We love the Rams when everyone's jumped off the ship.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“No brainer. [32:58] Have to bet this, especially at seven and a half.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“How do I not, like, at this point, how do I not take the Titans? [44:35] Wow. [44:37] I thought you were going to go with your darlings. [44:38] All right. [44:39] I'm taking the Titans.”
PHI 35, TEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -25 vs line +5; busts.
“Titans plus five and a half. [11:14] Visiting the Eagles. [11:16] I love the Titans here.”
PHI 35, TEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -25 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So I'll back my Eagles here as an under six-point favorite.”
PHI 35, TEN 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +25 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Give me the Giants, plus two and a half. Hopefully you can get the plus three if you can find it,”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yeah, couldn't agree more. [37:38] It makes no sense to me.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I don't know what to do here I want to make this [39:01] our foxhole bet on the [39:03] 49ers because [39:04] the public loves Miami”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“point. So I'm flip-flopping here, but I'm going to end up on 49ers in the sense that I know a [40:05] really smart group who's taking a position on 49ers at three, three and a half.”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll take the seven and a half. [43:40] Hopefully it gets back to eight. [43:42] That'd be a good number.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +8; covers.
“Yep. [44:29] 100. [44:30] 100%.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +8; covers.
“Love Vegas here.”
LV 27, LAC 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I love Vegas here.”
LV 27, LAC 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We're EDing the fuck out of the Bengals right now.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So, yeah, with Chad, I'm going to back it here. [50:13] I'll be all over Cincy with them.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And to me, I love the Lions. [8:52] I bet road favorites on Thanksgiving. [8:55] That's just what I do.”
DET 25, BUF 28 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Going with the Bills here.”
DET 25, BUF 28 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I said my favorite bet for Thanksgiving was the Vikings first quarter minus one and a half.”
MIN 33, NE 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“On Thursday, my favorite bet is Patriots plus three. [23:03] Go grab it.”
MIN 33, NE 26 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So no brainer, grab the plus three. [16:47] Hope that can convince Chad to take this one.”
MIN 33, NE 26 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So a big number at four, [21:36] making it my Simon Says guy, [21:37] I think this will go to three and a half, [21:39] three by Sunday kickoff.”
JAX 28, BAL 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“Big balls, bet of the week, Cincinnati Bengals.”
TEN 16, CIN 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Are you telling me Taylor Heineke should be a four or four and a half point favorite? [39:20] over anybody right now.”
WSH 19, ATL 13 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“This is an auto play on the under for sure.”
CAR 23, DEN 10 — Combined 33; under 35 covers.
“Chad just nailed it. [41:17] I'll just take the under and pass on this game.”
CAR 23, DEN 10 — Combined 33; under 35 covers.
“their three and a half point underdogs at seattle no brainer take seattle here every time raiders”
SEA 34, LV 40 — Seattle Seahawks margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“do saints plus nine and a half for the foxhole because if you look at the like one of these”
SF 13, NO 0 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +9.5; busts.
“But as long as it's not a Thursday night, Monday night or Sunday night game, I'm going to back Andy Dalton. [50:22] And I like him in this spot.”
SF 13, NO 0 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Give me Dallas minus one and a half. [38:11] I'm all in on this week.”
MIN 3, DAL 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +37 vs line -1.5; covers.
“still love the Cowboys uh we still love the Texans at plus three and a half”
MIN 3, DAL 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +37 vs line -1; covers.
“so now it's a three and [14:29] a half like come on people just do the right thing take the texans that's all we're asking”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I've continued to bet it at three and a half.”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“The number is now down to three. I still love the Saints. I don't [16:54] care who's playing quarterback for the Rams.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“If I can get a three in the contest I take that with the Saints team at home [17:35] in a matchup against a Rams team that just has major issues across the board.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“so we're going with cincy minus three and a half yeah i'm going against our boy chris [32:17] Raybon”
PIT 30, CIN 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Let me get three and a half. [32:36] It's three and a half at FanDuel. [32:38] I got to be a man of my word, Chad. [32:39] I'm with you on it. [32:40] We're doing it.”
PIT 30, CIN 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“not a buyer on [25:42] the chiefs as a near touchdown favorite they don't do well in these games patrick homes [25:49] does not cover at big numbers.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Yeah, I mean, I got the seven, so that's why I feel comfortable waiting.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“Love the over, though. [29:29] If that's true and there's not going to be snow and not going to be crazy shit happening during the game, [29:33] take that value and take the over. [29:35] I already grabbed it at 41.5, 41. [29:38] It's up to 42.5 in a bunch of books. [29:40] Key number, I'd still grab it there.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Combined 54; over 42.5 covers.
- Chicago Bears ML closed +122 · CLV +6¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +141 · CLV -1¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +240 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +140 · CLV +4¢ lost
“I can't even say it, but I'll have to say it. [35:40] Colts. [35:41] Yeah, throw them in there.”
Parlay busts: Chicago Bears ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost.
“So I'm going to come back on their side. [13:22] I'll take Tennessee here at three, three and a half. [13:24] Don't know if we'll make it to our contest, [13:25] but I definitely think we're getting a good number here.”
GB 17, TEN 27 — Tennessee Titans margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“Love to take New Orleans here, honestly. [19:51] Like, this is a good matchup for them.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“once they hit three and a half, I'll be the sucker. [25:41] Suck me in, Sportsbooks. [25:42] I will take the three and a half.”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I am so frustrated that I bet it at three because when we looked at the lines this morning, [26:33] there were threes and there were two and a halves.”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So we got a Pats minus three is the foxhole.”
NE 10, NYJ 3 — New England Patriots margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“It's like, man, I'm getting free points here for a Patriots team [30:47] that knows exactly who they are.”
NE 10, NYJ 3 — New England Patriots margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I grabbed the eight and I grabbed the eight and a half just to be safe. [41:32] Because I do see it coming down if it is what they're saying it's going to be, which is really bad weather.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -8 vs line +8.5; covers.
“So in a game that we're expecting a shit ton of snow and bad weather, I'll take the running team and Nick Chubb. [40:18] It's just what the hell am I supposed to do here? [40:20] I got to take the plus eight.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -8 vs line +8.5; covers.
“i i have to take the raiders here no one's gonna join me i [43:20] completely get it. I just have to do it in this divisional game.”
DEN 16, LV 22 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So, I mean, look, we can start breaking it down. Let's go to the Bears for a second [9:38] because I love the Bears at two and a half.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“no pros would be on it and just be it'd be one [11:47] of those chalk plays that me and Chad love and I I'm not gonna be out of it like I just think it's [11:51] a great number, especially at two and a half.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So you're getting probably two points of value here. [16:29] So I feel like to me, [16:31] this is a no-brainer for the contest. [16:32] I love it.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“So yeah four and a half five five and a half [17:36] whatever it is in the contest, [17:37] I'm sure me and Chad are going to end up having it in there. [17:39] It's just a nice home, ugly dog that we're the only ones that are going to be on it.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“For the record, I bet it three and a half because I didn't see any fours out there anymore. [20:09] And the pros keep buying it.”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“happy to take the three and a half i would take it all the way down to three uh miami”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“rah rah [24:25] mike tomlin when he's a dog in this spot after week five covering 70 of the time that's a big [24:30] data set”
PIT 20, NO 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“You're taking Denver plus two and a half. I'm taking the Steelers plus one and a [35:00] half.”
PIT 20, NO 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“big balls bet of the week jacksonville jaguars plus nine and a half look dude we talked about [26:34] it on tuesday it's ugly oh no we know it's the right spot”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +9.5; busts.
“We got to do it. [28:29] It's a big number. [28:30] I would still take the nine and a half.”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +9.5; busts.
“because I love the Chargers in this game, I think it's going to be a slow game.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“as dogs, [31:08] they always come back. I mean, just think about that chiefs game.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“i loved it the pros love it they're betting it wish it was still a plus three [34:41] but i'll take it anyway denver plus two and a half”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +189 · CLV +51¢ won
- Denver Broncos ML closed +115 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -156.5 · CLV +1¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed -112 · CLV +2¢ won
“Minnesota, Denver, Chargers, Green Bay, Pittsburgh. [36:21] Yep.”
Parlay busts: Minnesota Vikings ML — won; Denver Broncos ML — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won.
“Love the Seahawks. I'll just keep taking them as a dog as they just keep people just keep waiting for that.”
TB 21, SEA 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“The pick I gave out was the Bears minus [25:56] two and a half.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“i have high single figures on the [49:18] bears right now love it”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I told Chad I loved it at plus four, and now it's already moving to plus three and a half.”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I grabbed the Denver.”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“We're going to the foxhole on the Green Bay Packers.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“I'd grab that five and a half. You can still get it. If it's five.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“Chargers plus seven is an autoplay.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“Love it at seven.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm going obligatory, the number seven horse.”
Goodnight Olive won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint at Keeneland on Nov 5, 2022; Obligatory did not win.
“So in race four, the seven Arrest Me Red.”
Caravel (42-1) won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint; Arrest Me Red did not win.
“Gimme goodnight, the five, on a two-week turnaround.”
Cody's Wish won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile; Goodnight did not win.
“So give me Lady Spitespear, the one, in race 6.”
Tuesday won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf; Lady Speightspeare finished 3rd.
“It's all about Jackie's Warrior. [18:39] They can't hang with him.”
Elite Power upset the field to win the 2022 Breeders' Cup Sprint; favorite Jackie's Warrior finished 3rd.
“In the Fandle Breeders' Cup Mile, going to go with Ivar, another price horse.”
Modern Games won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Mile; Ivar finished 4th.
“but I like Malathat in the Distaff.”
Malathaat won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Distaff by a nose in a three-way photo finish.
“Watch out for Broom in the turf.”
Rebel's Romance won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Turf in course-record time; Broome did not win. (Winner: Rebel's Romance, by 2 1/4 lengths over Stone Age)
“And then in the Breeders' Cup Classic, it's Flightline.”
Flightline won the 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic by a record 8 1/4 lengths. (Flightline wins by 8.25 lengths over Olympiad and Taiba)
“So give me Flightline over Teba. [19:44] That's four over the one in the Classic.”
Flightline won the Breeders' Cup Classic but Olympiad finished 2nd and Taiba 3rd, so the 4-over-1 exacta lost.
“I've already bet it.”
KC 20, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“titans plus 12 and a half is our big balls bed of the week”
KC 20, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“but still feeling really good about Washington.”
WSH 17, MIN 20 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Now I really like the Bears, right?”
CHI 32, MIA 35 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“Give me the Bears.”
CHI 32, MIA 35 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“Seahawks, plus two. [34:38] Give it to me.”
ARI 21, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2; covers.
“I think we just talked ourselves into Seattle to being very strongly on our list.”
ARI 21, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2; covers.
“I kind of feel like I have to do it.”
ATL 17, LAC 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +107.5 · CLV -2¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +120.5 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +144 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +170 · CLV -7¢ won
- Chicago Bears ML closed +169 · CLV +1¢ lost
“the Moneyline Ron Robin underdog parlay Seattle Atlanta Washington Detroit Chicago”
Parlay busts: Seattle Seahawks ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Chicago Bears ML — lost.
“So, I'm backing Heineke.”
WSH 17, MIN 20 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Back-to-back weeks, I was taking Fox on a favorite.”
CIN 42, CAR 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +21 vs line -7; covers.
“we don't have a choice another game where we have to do it we have to take the bears i love what i've”
CHI 32, MIA 35 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I'd grab it.”
ATL 17, LAC 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I mentioned Seattle plus two.”
ARI 21, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Yeah, we're totally going with Tennessee here.”
KC 20, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“Executive decision from me is Lions plus three and a half.”
DET 27, MIA 31 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“nine and a half yeah autoplay for me again we touched on it where we like the defensive matchup”
DAL 49, CHI 29 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“no no so I love the Texans at plus two and a half here as you were talking hoping to get the three”
HOU 10, TEN 17 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“quick slip and made the bet as you were talking it took me about 13 seconds it was that easy”
HOU 10, TEN 17 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Niners minus one and a half.”
LAR 14, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Washington plus three.”
IND 16, WSH 17 — Washington Commanders margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“Simon says it's Browns plus three.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cleveland Browns margin +19 vs line +3; covers.
“So I like the Cardinals plus four. Love them.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So, to me, Vikings, full game, Vikings first half, fuck the Cardinals.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +163.5 · CLV -3¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +100 · CLV -205¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +127.5 · CLV +3¢ won
- New York Jets ML closed +139 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +170 · CLV +1¢ lost
“um lions texans washington jets cards that's what i think we should do all right lions texans”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Arizona Cardinals ML — lost.
“another game I'll be on the under. It's just don't overthink it. To me, two really good defenses.”
JAX 17, DEN 21 — Combined 38; under 39 covers.
“I just think it's another good spot to get divisional team dog at home with a great defense.”
NYJ 17, NE 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“and a half seven love it four and a half take the value there every time that's just it's bizarro”
ATL 37, CAR 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I got this at minus three for Vegas.”
NO 24, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -24 vs line -2; busts.
“Again, you can get a plus 350 at certain books for them to make the playoffs.”
Raiders finished 6-11 and missed the 2022 playoffs.
“autoplay every time on the Cowboys here. I hate it. I hate that I have to do this, but”
DAL 49, CHI 29 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“If not now, when, Lions?”
DET 27, MIA 31 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I got to take the Cardinals here.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“But I'm going to grab it now anyway, plus three.”
IND 16, WSH 17 — Washington Commanders margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take the 49ers”
LAR 14, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I see the value on the Seahawks.”
SEA 27, NYG 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“But again, I'm on two big favorites this week.”
BUF 27, GB 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +10 vs line -11.5; busts.
“Simon says, take the Browns.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cleveland Browns margin +19 vs line +3; covers.
“to still bet the 49ers Yeah I feel like we kind of have to because we taking such a strong position on it Again it going to end up being one of my biggest bets of the week”
SF 23, KC 44 — San Francisco 49ers margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“a pro me and chad are gonna bet it we're probably gonna end up talking about it and put in the”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I clicked on Washington plus five and a half,”
WSH 23, GB 21 — Washington Commanders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“at seven it's it's still a good strong play for me”
LV 38, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“six and a half we would still take it in contests at six and a half or five and a half if that's”
LAC 23, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Big balls better the week.”
CIN 35, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“This is one of my favorite under bets.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Combined 40; under 38 busts.
“So I would say it's more likely we take the Patriots.”
NE 14, CHI 33 — New England Patriots lost; moneyline busts.
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +240 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +185 · CLV 0¢ won
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +100 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +175 · CLV +5¢ won
- Houston Texans ML closed +260 · CLV -10¢ lost
“Money line, Ron Robin, Atlanta, Seattle, Niners, Washington, Houston.”
Parlay busts: Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — won; Houston Texans ML — lost.
“It's going to be an ugly game. So give me the Cardinals.”
ARI 42, NO 34 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm betting Jaguars.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Simon says bet the Washington Commanders plus five and a half.”
WSH 23, GB 21 — Washington Commanders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to keep buying because I still think we're getting a good number here, brother.”
CIN 35, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“I really want to take this plus two because, again,”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +2; covers.
“another no-brainer play houston they play games close they're not as bad as people perceive”
LV 38, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“As soon as this game came out, it was like seven, seven and a half before the Chargers played.”
LAC 23, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Easy Foxhole 49ers.”
SF 23, KC 44 — San Francisco 49ers margin -21 vs line +3; busts.
“two weeks back and getting healthier give me the saints plus two that's it i don't need anxiety”
NO 26, CIN 30 — New Orleans Saints margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“still like atlanta but yeah am i shocked it's sitting there still five and a half not really”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“field goal, I'd still probably play Cleveland minus three.”
CLE 15, NE 38 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“It now up to six in some places We both bet it Eagles minus four and a half”
PHI 26, DAL 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +9 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I bet the dolphins plus three and a half.”
MIA 16, MIN 24 — Miami Dolphins margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“You got to buy low, you got to sack up and you got to bet the Steelers a plus”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“This is, this is, I, cause I am betting it,”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“number in this position I'm happy to take Seattle in this spot especially coming off such a brutal”
SEA 19, ARI 9 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“So, again, it's scary backing Zach Wilson, but at 7.5, it's still out there at 7.5.”
GB 10, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +17 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I do think we're getting a good number and automatic play in the contest would be the Jaguars.”
IND 34, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I feel like you have to bet the Broncos.”
LAC 19, DEN 16 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“it was taking a plus three with the chiefs at home uh i should remind people that our foxhole bet”
KC 20, BUF 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I mean, you just take Bama here every time.”
TENN 52, ALA 49 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“Give me the Commanders.”
CHI 7, WSH 12 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +150 · CLV -8¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed +205 · CLV 0¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +164.5 · CLV +11¢ won
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +142 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +115.5 · CLV +1¢ won
“Miami, the Jets, Atlanta, Saints, Seattle.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — won; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won.
“The second half of this year in games the Bears have been outstanding And they proved it again this past week This game opened at one I bet the Bears at minus one”
CHI 7, WSH 12 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line -1; busts.
“As soon as this line came out, I knew I was going to be on it.”
NO 26, CIN 30 — New Orleans Saints margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“I should have said I had the Saints in the Fave 5 too”
NO 26, CIN 30 — New Orleans Saints margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“go grab atlanta right now hopefully you can get that plus six”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“this will be the first entry that I feel great about in our faves five.”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Go with the Brownies.”
CLE 15, NE 38 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“It's a fucking buy for me.”
PHI 26, DAL 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +9 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Easy bet.”
PHI 26, DAL 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +9 vs line -4.5; covers.
“New York Jets plus three is our big balls. Bet of the week.”
GB 22, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +5 vs line +3; covers.
“taking Miami. I'm going minus three and a half. I am all in. So Chad minus three and a half Miami.”
NYJ 40, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -23 vs line -3.5; busts.
“the bills minus 14 and Scrooge roulette. That's how much of a man I am.”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Buffalo Bills margin +35 vs line -14; covers.
“And it made sense to me. So I hit the Dolphins”
NYJ 40, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“Like, I grabbed the three and it came out.”
NYJ 40, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“I got the Falcons at eight and a half on Sunday night.”
TB 21, ATL 15 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Seattle plus five and a half, which right now is getting 64% of the bets and 87% of the money.”
NO 39, SEA 32 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Yeah, I bet it too. I don't care. We're walking in it together, brother. Who cares?”
NO 39, SEA 32 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But again, this is when I bet right when it came out, just cause I just, I had to start”
WSH 17, TEN 21 — Tennessee Titans margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I bet it just because I thought the seven was going to disappear quick,”
MIN 29, CHI 22 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“literally the very first bet I made on Sunday night Browns plus three put it on the board”
CLE 28, LAC 30 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“But I'm going to take this under.”
49ers beat Panthers 37-15 (52 combined points) on Oct 9, 2022; the closing game total was 49.5, so the Over hit and the Under lost. (Final: 49ers 37, Panthers 15 (total 52, line 49.5))
“And it was just a no brainer bet for me taking the Rams here.”
CLE 28, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I actually wouldn't be uncomfortable putting this in the contest.”
CLE 28, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'm going to go against the pros this week, though.”
ARI 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'll take this number every time.”
ARI 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“nothing to play here simon says bet the ravens love this number love it i would take it up to”
BAL 19, CIN 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“You totally just convinced me.”
BAL 19, CIN 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“Survivor, we're taking the Bills.”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“Personally, Simon, I still like the Ravens in this spot at plus three.”
BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I like the Steelers up to four against the Jets”
PIT 20, NYJ 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“I still love the Jags plus six and a half.”
PHI 29, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I think the Texans are a better big balls,”
HOU 24, LAC 34 — Houston Texans margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Just because the group I know that took that,”
DET 45, SEA 48 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I am literally, I've already bet it.”
ATL 23, CLE 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
- Houston Texans ML closed +200 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +174 · CLV -14¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed +145 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +150 · CLV +5¢ won
- Denver Broncos ML closed +125 · CLV -5¢ lost
“Let's go Broncos. Broncos”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — lost; Tennessee Titans ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won; Denver Broncos ML — lost.
“To me it was just like The Bengals should be a field goal favorite That it They weren So I taking the half point and moving on I also had you in the back of my head saying favorites tend to cover on Thursday”
CIN 27, MIA 15 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +12 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm getting the better team in a neutral field for less than a field goal.”
NO 25, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Ravens plus three and a half.”
BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“We'll take the money line as well here with the Ravens because historically,”
BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“Grab that Steelers minus three.”
PIT 20, NYJ 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“this is my executive decision.”
PHI 29, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“but i didn't i i bet at bucks minus two assuming he'd be out completely comfortable i bet bucks”
TB 12, GB 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“I not going to lie to you but we it like we talked about earlier You don want to take it because it was like a little bit of a pick that they have to win And I I come to terms with it I backing Atlanta to win this game against Seattle”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons won; moneyline covers.
“Going back to the well. Jacksonville Jaguars plus seven.”
LAC 10, JAX 38 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +28 vs line +7; covers.
“Well, I have now bet the Patriots plus two and a half.”
NE 26, BAL 37 — New England Patriots margin -11 vs line +2.5; busts.
“in right now the Niners are one and a half point favorites uh against the Denver Broncos um again”
DEN 11, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +172 · CLV +3¢ won
- New England Patriots ML closed +120 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +205 · CLV +25¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +160 · CLV 0¢ won
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +158 · CLV +2¢ lost
“So first one in Miami, second one in New England,”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — won; New England Patriots ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — lost.
“I bet the Steelers at five and a half.”
CLE 29, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -12 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I take this plus three every time.”
NE 26, BAL 37 — New England Patriots margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“I bet the Colts plus seven this morning.”
IND 20, KC 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I freaking love that bet.”
MIN 28, DET 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“so how do we not bet the panthers plus”
CAR 22, NO 14 — Carolina Panthers margin +8 vs line +3; covers.
“I've already bet the bangles at minus four and a half.”
NYJ 12, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Buccaneers, minus two and a half. Loved it.”
TB 12, GB 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I played the Jaguars at plus seven.”
Jaguars beat the Chargers 38-10 outright, easily covering the +7 spread. (Final: Jaguars 38, Chargers 10)
“I'll be on Atlanta in this game.”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“Jacks plus four and a half.”
JAX 24, IND 0 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +24 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Foxhole, Saints plus three.”
NO 10, TB 20 — New Orleans Saints margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“Panthers, plus two and a half.”
NYG 19, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Eagles, minus one and a half.”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Ravens, minus three and a half.”
BAL 38, MIA 42 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Jets plus six and a half.”
CLE 30, NYJ 31 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I bet it down. They hit eight and a half, hit eight. I bet it again.”
SF 27, SEA 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I bet the Jags Sunday night at plus four and a half.”
JAX 24, IND 0 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +24 vs line +4.5; covers.
“While you were talking, I went into the action app, hit 49ers minus nine and a half minus 110.”
SF 27, SEA 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Of course, you got to play it.”
NO 10, TB 20 — New Orleans Saints margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“I bet the Panthers, I bet the Saints,”
NYG 19, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yeah, I know it's so chalky, but I'm I bet it.”
LV 23, ARI 29 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -6 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I bet it though it's like I like this Falcons team”
LAR 31, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin -4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I'm going to bet the Titans,”
BUF 41, TEN 7 — Tennessee Titans margin -34 vs line +10; busts.
“rare times I bet on my favorite home team Eagles”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“um but right now we like the lions plus four atlanta plus five and a half houston plus seven”
DET 35, PHI 38 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“the way i'm going to make atlanta plus five and a half that's in the fave five yeah no brainer 100”
ATL 26, NO 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“seattle plus six and a half steelers plus six and a half it's the grossest fave five you can get”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“Win this game bro Win this game All right I putting Steelers plus six and a half in the locked column”
CIN 20, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“are you ready are you ready seattle seahawks plus six and a half on monday night football”
SEA 17, DEN 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Let's just use the Ravens.”
NYJ 9, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
- Steelers ML closed +260 · CLV -40¢ won
- Falcons ML closed +196 · CLV +4¢ lost
- Texans ML closed +260 · CLV +40¢ push
- Lions ML closed +205 · CLV -40¢ lost
- Jaguars ML closed +135 · CLV -15¢ lost
“Our five for the round robin will be the Steelers, the Falcons, the Texans, the Lions, and the Jags.”
Parlay busts: Steelers ML — won; Falcons ML — lost; Texans ML — push; Lions ML — lost; Jaguars ML — lost.
“was the Rams plus two and a half. Classic overvalued team in a Bills team that's the”
LAR 10, BUF 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“But definitely Lions plus four.”
DET 35, PHI 38 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“Why wouldn't we auto bet the Falcons here?”
ATL 26, NO 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Give me the Texans here. I like him at seven. Probably the lowest I like him,”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“do have to play the bears at plus seven yeah yeah no doubt like we don't have to put in our contest”
CHI 19, SF 10 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +7; covers.
“plus at 70 to one to lead the league in passing touchdowns. We both like the Jags as longish”
Trevor Lawrence did not lead the NFL in passing TDs; Mahomes led with 41.
“we're at home with this team getting two and a half. It's gross. We got to do it. This is the”
DAL 3, TB 19 — Dallas Cowboys margin -16 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So, love this number all the way down to four and a half.”
SEA 17, DEN 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Jags plus 800 to win the division.”
Jaguars won the AFC South in 2022 (+800 cashed).
“The fact that I'm getting plus 425, plus 450 at certain books, I'm going to take that on Miami to win this division.”
Dolphins did not win the 2022 AFC East; the Buffalo Bills won the division.
“Well, I'm glad you bring it up because I do have a thought here, which is Jalen Hurts to win MVP.”
Jalen Hurts did not win 2022 NFL MVP; Patrick Mahomes won the award.
“Ravens, Super Bowl, still a 20 to one.”
Ravens did not win Super Bowl LVII; the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35.
“Like those are the two teams I bet that Chiefs are 10 to one Ravens 20 to one.”
Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII, beating the Eagles 38-35.
“And again, we talked about Pittsburgh, which is my other favorite bet for this division”
Steelers did not win the 2022 AFC North; the Bengals won the division.
“But my favorite bet is Vikings not to make a playoffs.”
Vikings made the playoffs at 13-4, so the bet on them to miss lost.
“The Niners right now, plus 750 to win the NFC on FanDuel.”
49ers did not win the NFC; the Eagles won the NFC Championship.
“I'm literally going to put 10 K on them after we”
Buccaneers won the NFC South and made the 2022 playoffs.
“Yeah. I have the under, under 51 and a half.”
PITT 38, WVU 31 — Combined 69; under 51.5 busts.
“So I think it sets up for a good underplay to open up the season.”
PITT 38, WVU 31 — Combined 69; under 54.5 busts.
“And I knew right away I was going to be on Oregon because Georgia won the national title.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Oregon Ducks margin -46 vs line +17.5; busts.
“So, yeah, I jumped on Oregon.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Oregon Ducks margin -46 vs line +17.5; busts.
“I want the first half under.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Combined 52; under 26.5 busts.
“I don't know what the ceiling of this Ohio State team I definitely know what the ceiling is of the”
OSU 21, ND 10 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +11 vs line -14.5; busts.
“i mean easy it feels like an easy bet for me i already bet this”
FLA 29, UTAH 26 — Florida Gators margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I like to do Utah football.”
FLA 29, UTAH 26 — Utah Utes margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Jake Spavadol, multiple years at Texas State, has an offense established with a quarterback that made a name for himself at Arkansas State.”
NEV 38, TXST 14 — Texas State Bobcats margin -24 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Stuck what do you think of that Yeah Nevada awful Last week they beat New Mexico State It was one of the worst programs in the country”
NEV 38, TXST 14 — Texas State Bobcats margin -24 vs line +6.5; busts.
“have money on Ohio State, but that's only because FanDuel was happy enough to put them out at eight”
Georgia won the 2022 national title; Ohio State lost the Peach Bowl semifinal.
“Yeah well Cincinnati is going to cover against Arkansas So get your number there Arkansas has got way too many questions on the defensive line And Traylon Burks is gone So we don know who KJ Jefferson wants to throw to”
Arkansas beat Cincinnati 31-24 as a 6-point favorite (closing line Ark -6), covering by 1; Cincinnati failed to cover. (Final: Arkansas 31, Cincinnati 24)
“i really like them plus three and a half”
MISS 28, TROY 10 — Ole Miss Rebels margin +18 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I have Denver winning it because here my takeaway Here what I worry about Kansas City So not only did the Broncos go and get Randy Gregory they also got DJ Jones from San Francisco”
Chiefs won the AFC West; Broncos finished 5-12.
“minnesota is my favorite bet in the nfc i think”
Vikings finished 13-4 in 2022, over the 9.5-win total.
“like I would pound the under on Dallas, pound the over on”
Cowboys finished 12-5 in 2022, blowing past any under win total.
“This is one of my bigger bets for this division. [22:57] I think that's the best value right now, 28 to 1.”
Buccaneers won the NFC South; Falcons finished 7-10 (+2800 lost).
“So to me, you're getting a good plus number of the over six and a half and for them divisionally. [35:23] How can you not bet this team?”
Jaguars won the AFC South in 2022 (+750 cashed).
“we're going to love the Texans at plus seven and a half at home against the Colts in week one.”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Just like we love Detroit plus four and a half at home against the Eagles in week one.”
DET 35, PHI 38 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Give me lines plus four.”
DET 35, PHI 38 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“this is one of the pro bets like only pros are betting this number i bet in the over for”
Steelers finished 9-8 in 2022, clearing the 7.5 win total for the over.
“if I'm taking any of the win totals in this division, as of right now, it is the Pittsburgh Steelers”
Steelers finished 9-8 in 2022, clearing the 7.5 win total for the over.
“the best betting takeaway from the AFC North to me, it's probably the Steelers over seven and a half wins or the Steelers plus 300 to win the division.”
Steelers finished 9-8 in 2022, clearing the 7.5 win total for the over.
“you like them to win north I like the Vikings at this price you know plus 300 listen I like”
Vikings won the NFC North in 2022 at 13-4.
“I like the lines over six and a half wins if you want to sprinkle some to make the playoffs sure”
Lions finished 9-8 in 2022, clearing the 6.5-win total.
“I like the Lions over six and a half wins as well”
Lions finished 9-8 in 2022, over the 6.5-win total.
“Bears under six and a half.”
Bears finished 3-14 in 2022, well under the 6.5-win total.
“We're going Bears under six and a half wins.”
Bears finished 3-14 in 2022, under the 6.5-win total.
“I'm just not buying Baker. I'm fading him. I like his under 21 and a half passing touchdowns.”
Baker Mayfield threw roughly 10 passing TDs in 2022 across Carolina and the Rams, well under 21.5.
“I like Najee Harris to uh to lead the league in rushing at 18-1.”
Najee Harris did not lead the NFL in rushing in 2022; Josh Jacobs led with 1,653 yards.
“I'm taking the over on Keegan Murray at five and a half.”
Keegan Murray was drafted 4th overall, under the 5.5 draft-position line, so the over lost.
“is Okshia Akbaji, over 13 and a half.”
Ochai Agbaji was drafted 14th overall, over the 13.5 draft-position line.
“So I actually like Tampa on the series line.”
Colorado won the 2022 Stanley Cup Final 4-2, so Tampa Bay to win the series lost.
“So I'm right there with you, Lee Buff. [18:05] I'm on Tampa,”
Colorado won the 2022 Stanley Cup Final 4-2, so Tampa Bay to win the series lost.
“I like Tony a lot for a U.S. Open type of setup.”
Tony Finau finished outside the top 10 at the 2022 U.S. Open (top-10 cutoff was even par).
“I like him a few notches higher for a top 10 this week”
Max Homa finished outside the top 10 at the 2022 U.S. Open.
“Matt Fitzpatrick is a great player this week”
Matt Fitzpatrick won the 2022 U.S. Open, easily covering the top-10 prop.
“I still like the number.”
Justin Rose did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).
“I like him this week as well.”
Jordan Spieth did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).
“And so love Rory this week. Love Justin Thomas.”
Rory McIlroy finished T5 (-2) at the 2022 U.S. Open, cashing the top-5 prop.
“And so love Rory this week. Love Justin Thomas.”
Justin Thomas finished outside the top 5 (around T37) at the 2022 U.S. Open.
“I think his game really [35:01] suits this golf course. Daniel Berger, eight to one for a top five.”
Daniel Berger finished outside the top 5 at the 2022 U.S. Open.
“He's better than where he's being priced at.”
Patrick Cantlay did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).
“I really [36:41] do think Shane Lowry can uh can go and take this thing this week”
Shane Lowry did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).
“Yeah, but I did like I did like Matt brought it up that I bought more shares of Steph for MVP.”
Stephen Curry won 2022 NBA Finals MVP.
“but I did bet them, again, a minus one and a half to win this series”
Warriors won the series 4-2, covering the -1.5 series spread.
“Steph Curry, 10 and a half over assistant rebounds [29:27] was a really painful one. He had 10 over 10 and a half. He had 10. I got hit by the hook and he [29:33] sits the entire fourth quarter. I'm back on that for game three.”
Curry had 4 rebounds + 2 assists (6) in Game 3, under the 10.5 line.
“And so his rebounds and assists only. [30:38] So we just think that he's going to play a lot of five, get a lot of rebounds. [30:41] He'll probably crash the offensive glass a lot more. [30:43] Jason talked about that adjustment. [30:45] 12 and a half over is plus 104.”
Al Horford had 8 rebounds + 6 assists (14) in Game 3, over the 12.5 line.
“Really quickly, Jalen Brown is plus 750 to win finals MVP. [31:49] Now, regardless of how you feel about the series, that's one hell of a number.”
Curry won Finals MVP, so Jaylen Brown +750 to win Finals MVP lost.
“But for me, the value, when I'm getting a plus number on a team that's been as good as Boston, [17:13] that has found the answers. [17:15] I think Boston is where the value is found.”
The Celtics lost the 2022 NBA Finals to Golden State 2-4.
“I already bet Celtics minus one and a half at plus 200. [48:56] So I'm set for Celtics and six, essentially at plus 200 from that position.”
Boston lost the 2022 Finals, failing to win by 1.5+ games; Celtics -1.5 lost.
“I think Al Horford's going to be awesome to the point where we can talk about it later, but I bet him for finals MVP.”
Stephen Curry won 2022 Finals MVP, not Al Horford.
“it feels like free money minus 160 I've hit well over 50 books now [36:42] at that number for a grand each and I probably bet another 10 books today for another grand”
The Warriors won the 2022 NBA Finals over Boston.
“Steph Curry plus 430 at FanDuel to lead the series in points and threes. [47:21] That to me is my favorite sort of exotic.”
Curry led the 2022 Finals in both points and made threes.
“So I've got Warriors first half, and I've got the over first half.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors margin -12 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I've got Warriors first half, and I've got the over first half.”
Warriors led Celtics 54-39 at halftime of Finals Game 1 (93 combined points); with the full-game total set at ~213.5, the first-half total ran well below any reasonable first-half number, so the over first-half loses. (Halftime: Warriors 54, Celtics 39 (93 combined))
“So my biggest bet would [50:53] just probably be on golden state money line and then i'll have um you know kind of the same thing [50:58] on the spread but the thing i feel most confident about is golden state winning this game”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors lost; moneyline busts.
“So, yeah, for me, I did Golden State, but I did the money line.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors lost; moneyline busts.
“so i'm on it too i drank the cool it i buy i i bought the juice i just bought the money line [51:17] I instead of messing with the points just in case Boston keeps it close.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors lost; moneyline busts.
“I also like Matt Moore's idea of betting the Warriors. [54:07] They're at minus one and a half in the first half right now. [54:10] I like that because free throws don't come into play at the end of the first half.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors margin -12 vs line -1.5; busts.
“or like plus 352. I bet it after game one. I was just like, I think Chad might be onto something”
The Warriors won the 2022 Western Conference Finals in 5 games over Dallas.
“no shocker here. I love the under for the jets.”
The Jets went 7-10 in 2022, exceeding 5.5 wins, so the under lost.
“if you could still get six and a half I would take that number right now if you so inclined just because their schedule lines up”
The Lions went 9-8 in 2022, clearing the over 6.5 wins.
“right now so i'm on golden state for game one the the first of all throughout this entire”
GS 112, DAL 87 — Golden State Warriors margin +25 vs line -5; covers.
“I'm obviously going to be on Luka. Luka is about plus 185.”
Stephen Curry won the inaugural Western Conference Finals MVP, not Luka Doncic, so the +185 bet lost.
“I think it's that simple. So that's why I'm on Boston. Is there any player on the heat”
The Celtics beat the Heat 4-3 in the Eastern Conference Finals, so Boston to win the series won.
“in the series because they got home game one. I like the Warriors minus five at home for game one”
GS 112, DAL 87 — Golden State Warriors margin +25 vs line -5; covers.
“they said this is one of the easier bets they ever made with Golden State to win this series And they love it that people are drinking the Kool”
Golden State beat Dallas 4-1 to win the 2022 Western Conference Finals series.
“So when I look at this, I'm all in on Miami,”
Miami lost the 2022 Eastern Conference Finals to Boston 3-4.
“I've already bet the Jags. I'll probably hop off this call and throw a little, throw a little bit”
The Jaguars won the AFC South in 2022, so the Jaguars division bet won.
“on the Texas just because that's crazy. They're this high of a number.”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; the Texans finished last, so the Texans division bet lost.
“And this to me is a smart bet taking the Raiders where this number should be closer to plus 400.”
The Chiefs won the AFC West in 2022, so the Raiders to win the division lost.
“I actually would do the commanders because that's the best value no one no one's betting them you can you can look it up online”
The Eagles won the NFC East in 2022, so Washington to win the division lost.
“I already bet them at 150 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Lions did not, so the 150-1 ticket lost.
“I bet them at 12 to one to win this division. I'll bet this again at nine to one to win the division.”
The Vikings won the NFC North in 2022, so the Lions to win the division lost.
“Yeah, I bet the Saints just because of Winston can be good. They got still a pretty good defense and a pretty good offense.”
The Buccaneers won the NFC South in 2022, so the Saints to win the division lost.
“they're the best value by far in this division. If you're looking for a purely value-based bet, and I bet money on them just for this division just because of it,”
The 49ers won the NFC West in 2022, so the Cardinals to win the division lost.
“Like gun to my head right now, right? Yes. I'll go with Zandon. Gun to my head. Zandon.”
Zandon finished 3rd in the 2022 Kentucky Derby; 80-1 longshot Rich Strike won in one of the biggest upsets in Derby history. (1. Rich Strike 2. Epicenter 3. Zandon)
“I love horizontal wagering. So I love exactos. I love picking horses underneath, you know, I think there's Zandon in the top spot and using another horse underneath, even his, the bomb is going to be an interesting horse.”
Rich Strike (80-1) won the Derby with Zandon third and Tawny Port seventh, so the Zandon-on-top exacta lost.
“But in turn, and then I like the Bruins to come out of the East.”
The Bruins lost the first round to the Hurricanes in seven games and did not win the Eastern Conference.
“they're still around 20 to one to win the Stanley Cup. The Bruins are really, really good.”
The Bruins were eliminated in the first round and did not win the Stanley Cup (Avalanche champions).
“I like Edmonton from a future's perspective at 18 to one now that they've lost.”
The Oilers were swept by the Avalanche in the Western Conference Final and did not win the Stanley Cup.
“And the reason I doubled down on Aiden, I'm still buying. I mean, it's going to be scary when he's [8:11] not the one to go, but basically the guy we have on the inside says the owner of the Jaguars is [8:17] the one that wants to take Aiden.”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the No. 1 overall pick; Travon Walker went first to Jacksonville.
“I honestly like that value now, taking him to be the first lineman taken. [23:01] Aquanu, first lineman taken.”
Ikem Ekwonu was the first offensive lineman drafted, going No. 6 to Carolina.
“Aiden Hutchinson, Trayvon Walker, first defensive lineman taken. [23:45] Again, I still believe in Aiden just because I just see him as a guy that could come in this year”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the first defensive lineman drafted; edge Travon Walker went No. 1.
“I bet that over like I'm looking at a bunch of different marks right now of three cornerbacks in the top 12, top 15 picks.”
Only four cornerbacks were drafted in the first round, under 4.5.
“I think it's 11 and a half on Fandu. [26:50] I've been betting the under at a plus number for him to be in the top 10.”
Malik Willis slid to the third round, taken No. 86 overall by the Titans, so the under-11.5 / top-10 bet lost.
“Yeah, I've actually we gave that. I think it was at minus 175 last week or minus 200. [10:53] We love that.”
Only one quarterback (Kenny Pickett) was drafted in the first round, under 2.5.
“And right now I have Drake London as the DNAT guy that I think is a good bet [15:17] to go off the board as the first wide receiver selected.”
Drake London was the first wide receiver drafted, going No. 8 to Atlanta.
“I think with that cornerback number you have some outs in the form of you know”
Only four cornerbacks were drafted in the first round, under 4.5.
“And that that safety bet at over one and a half just seems like easy money for me.”
Three safeties were drafted in the first round, over 1.5.
“Kyler Gordon's plus 110 to be drafted in the top 32.”
Kyler Gordon was not drafted in the top 32; he went No. 39 to the Bears in round two.
“Kyair Elam out of Florida is at plus 125.”
Kaiir Elam was drafted in the top 32, going No. 23 to the Bills.
“And Louisine, who I just hit on at safety, is an even money bet at plus 100.”
Lewis Cine was drafted in the top 32, going No. 32 to the Vikings.
“But every time the odds drop, like he's back to plus 250 now, Aiden, I got to throw another grain on it.”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the No. 1 overall pick; Travon Walker went first to Jacksonville.
“So of course, I bet for Heisman, Tyler Van Dyke. No other reason than Dick Van Dyke. So that was my one stupid bet.”
Caleb Williams won the 2022 Heisman; Tyler Van Dyke did not.
“So same thing with Bama. Every year the offseason comes around. First bet I make always Bama national champ.”
Georgia won the 2022 national championship; Alabama did not.
“Am I crazy for betting Bo Nix? I got him at 80-1 right now in FanDuel.”
Caleb Williams won the 2022 Heisman; Bo Nix did not (80-1).
“The second the game was over, I won't name the sports book, but they posted eight to one on Ohio State. I slammed it. Now it's five to one everywhere right now.”
Ohio State did not win the 2022 national title; lost the CFP semifinal to Georgia, who won the championship.
“So 50 to one, you can count me in on Ohio State's biggest weapon. It's actually 60 to one right now in FanDuel. Go grab it.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not win the 2022 Heisman; USC's Caleb Williams won it.
“The second win totals were released on the SEC West, I immediately hit Arkansas. Kind of a homer. Let me back it up. Came out at six and a half at plus money.”
Arkansas finished 6-6 in the 2022 regular season, under the 6.5-win total.
“made two bets pretty quickly on uh the quarterback who would be the number one quarterback i believe we talked about that on the show i was with you guys previously, Malik Willis plus 200 and Kenny Pickett plus 175.”
Kenny Pickett was the first QB drafted (20th); Malik Willis was not, so +200 lost.
“Malik Willis plus 200 and Kenny Pickett plus 175. But those were the only bets that I had sitting out there for about a month.”
Kenny Pickett was the first quarterback drafted at pick 20 (+175).
“I'll take more value on Hutchinson because it was at minus 300 at one point once it dropped to minus 200 I dipped in like I started buying in on it it's down to 170 now I've been buying the dip that it's been dropping down”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 overall pick; Aidan Hutchinson went 2nd to Detroit.
“And if I had to make a bet right now on the number one pick, it would be Trevon Walker and not Aiden Hutchinson.”
Travon Walker was selected No. 1 overall by Jacksonville in the 2022 NFL Draft.
“And so I'm going to take the under two and a half quarterbacks. If we see a quarterback go in round one or in the top 10, it's only one. And if I had to bet right now, I would bet no.”
Only one QB (Pickett) went in Round 1, so under 2.5 quarterbacks won.
“anywhere from plus 130 to plus 150 is a number that you can find. I am betting on Evan Neal to be the top offensive lineman taken in this class.”
Ikem Ekwonu (6th) was the first OL drafted; Evan Neal went 7th, so Neal-first lost.
“I like the over the quarterback to two and a half. I think it's minus 110 or minus 105. I just, I like the idea of a team trading back in and doing what they did with Lamar Jackson.”
Only one quarterback (Pickett) was taken in Round 1, so over 2.5 QBs lost.
“I will be picking the Raptors in this series in six games.”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Toronto Raptors lost; moneyline busts.
“I actually taking Sixers minus one and a half plus 124 at FanDuel”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +20 vs line -1.5; covers.
“but obviously as a homer here, I've already bet Sixers minus one and a half,”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +20 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So I don't know about you guys, but I love the Bucs. And you're right. Keep it simple. I'm just [15:22] going to take that minus one and a half”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“yeah i got minus two and a half at minus 170 that to me is [15:27] like on the siri on the windspread”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I would go for one just because of the type of thing that happens in a playoff series [16:34] where a team just brings lackadaisical effort.”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“My best bet for a futures play if you're looking [18:46] for the Eastern Conference is actually Sixers plus 600.”
The 76ers lost in the second round; Boston won the 2022 Eastern Conference, not Philadelphia.
“I love that number for Boston.”
Boston beat Miami to win the 2022 Eastern Conference championship.
“I like Warriors minus one and a half here.”
GS 123, DEN 107 — Golden State Warriors margin +16 vs line -1.5; covers.
“The number is 226. [25:33] Money is coming in on the over. [25:35] I'm probably going to go the other way and take the under in game one at least.”
GS 123, DEN 107 — Combined 230; under 226 busts.
“my best bet for the western conference in terms [36:26] of a future i like the warriors plus 400”
Golden State beat Dallas to win the 2022 Western Conference championship (+400).
“So you can look around my favorite of that bunch this week is Brooks Koepka.”
Brooks Koepka did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.
“So I going Koepka and then Cantley for my favorite two plays this week”
Patrick Cantlay did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.
“But Tiger Woods at minus 170, [19:01] I believe for a top 40 play this week and 21 career starts as a professional at this event. [19:08] He's never finished outside the top 40. So I think that's that's a very low bar to start with.”
Tiger Woods finished 47th at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 40, losing the -170 top-40 bet.
“So I like him for outrights. [33:01] I've bet him already for outrights.”
Sam Burns did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.
“Really like him for first-round leader, though, because he's a quick starter.”
Sam Burns was not the 2022 Masters first-round leader; Sungjae Im led after round one.
“Got three top tens and four career starts at this event. And I do like him this week.”
Tony Finau finished T35 at the 2022 Masters, well outside the top 10.
“I've got them just for a top 20 this week, but top 10 wouldn't surprise me whatsoever.”
Russell Henley finished T30 at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 20.
“I'm going to go with the Toronto Blue Jays plus 900 to win the World Series.”
The Blue Jays did not win the 2022 World Series; the Astros won and Toronto lost in the wild card round.
“That's my biggest World Series bet. Got it at [9:01] 1,200. I have a unit and a quarter on the Jays to win the World Series.”
The Blue Jays did not win the 2022 World Series; the Astros won and Toronto lost in the wild card round.
“I have a half unit on the Brewers at 16 to 1, and I have a quarter unit on [9:12] the Phillies at 40 to 1.”
The Brewers did not win the 2022 World Series; they missed the playoffs entirely.
“I have a half unit on the Brewers at 16 to 1, and I have a quarter unit on [9:12] the Phillies at 40 to 1.”
The Phillies reached the 2022 World Series but lost to the Astros in six games.
“And I think that at the plus 750, plus 800 range, [19:03] I like the value there, just them to make it because they're going to get to October.”
The Rays did not win the 2022 AL pennant; the Astros won the AL and Tampa Bay lost in the wild card round.
“My guy this year is Kyle Schwarber. [34:08] I love everything about this bet. [34:10] I know Chad likes him since Kyle Schwarber. [34:12] 50 to one out there at a couple books.”
Schwarber led the NL with 46 HR but did not lead MLB; Aaron Judge hit 62 to lead the majors.
“And it's most RBI and it's Freddie [37:10] Freeman at 25 to one.”
Freddie Freeman did not lead MLB in RBIs; Pete Alonso and Aaron Judge tied for the lead at 131.
“And if you can find him in the plus 400 to plus 500 range, I think that health pending, [39:19] he should be the runaway favorite for NL rookie of the year”
Seiya Suzuki did not win NL Rookie of the Year; Michael Harris II of the Braves won.
“So I'll be on Nova here.”
KU 81, VILL 65 — Villanova Wildcats margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.
“If we can get a five, I'll be with him firing on Villanova.”
KU 81, VILL 65 — Villanova Wildcats margin -16 vs line +5; busts.
“So the total sitting at 151, I actually like the over here, even if these teams come out shooting or it comes out slow,”
DUKE 77, UNC 81 — Combined 158; over 151 covers.
“so i am on the red raiders on the money line at minus 115”
DUKE 78, TTU 73 — Texas Tech Red Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“So I really like the under and Chad, you know, you said unders are scary.”
Duke beat Texas Tech 78-73 (151 combined points), sailing over the game's ~137.5 total; the under lost. (Duke 78, Texas Tech 73 — total 151 vs 137.5 line)
“So I'm definitely gonna be taking them.”
No. 15 seed Saint Peter's upset No. 3 Purdue outright 67-64, easily covering +12.5. (Saint Peter's 67, Purdue 64)
“I like Providence. I'm on Providence here. I think it's too many points.”
KU 66, PROV 61 — Providence Friars margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“but I'm actually on the Bruins in this matchup.”
UCLA 66, UNC 73 — UCLA Bruins margin -7 vs line -2; busts.
“I'll be on the Canes money line here.”
MIA 70, ISU 56 — Miami Hurricanes won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm on the Hurricanes minus two.”
MIA 70, ISU 56 — Miami Hurricanes margin +14 vs line -2; covers.
“none of the others have a chance. I would tell you to bet on Coda.”
CODA won Best Picture at the 94th Academy Awards.
“So I would bet on Jane Campion.”
Jane Campion won Best Director for The Power of the Dog.
“So this to me is the lock of the night. Like I, when I watched King Richard 10 minutes in,”
Will Smith won Best Actor for King Richard.
“but I would put your money on Chastain. I think she's”
Jessica Chastain won Best Actress for The Eyes of Tammy Faye.
“i think he'll win he's really really good in the movie”
Troy Kotsur won Best Supporting Actor for CODA.
“I think CODA is going to win.”
CODA won Best Adapted Screenplay.
“I love South Dakota State on the money line.”
PROV 66, SDST 57 — South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost; moneyline busts.
“And I know the spread is high, but I do like Tennessee at minus 16 and a [18:46] half.”
TENN 88, LONG 56 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +32 vs line -16.5; covers.
“So I actually do like under [18:39] 132 and a half points.”
TENN 88, LONG 56 — Combined 144; under 132.5 busts.
“So I love the Panthers at plus 23 and a half.”
GONZ 93, GAST 72 — Georgia State Panthers margin -21 vs line +23.5; covers.
“So I love [38:28] Vermont plus five, plus five and a half. And it's nice. It's a nice money line to throw in around [38:32] Robin on Thursday as well.”
ARK 75, UVM 71 — Vermont Catamounts margin -4 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So the total is set at 136.5. [40:22] I think that's way too low. [40:23] I love the over in that spot in this game.”
MUR 92, SF 87 — Combined 179; over 136.5 covers.
“So I love them, minus two and a half.”
SDSU 69, CREI 72 — San Diego State Aztecs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I actually love the under 132.5 points [4:52] with that type of slow pace,”
OSU 54, LUC 41 — Combined 95; under 132.5 covers.
“I love over 136.5 points here. [7:43] I think this is going to go way, way over the total,”
AUB 80, JXST 61 — Combined 141; over 136.5 covers.
“I think we're going to go way over that total. [12:04] So I love over 143 points.”
PUR 78, YALE 56 — Combined 134; over 143 busts.
“and I think they be able to dominate Miami down low So I love the Trojans to cover minus one and a half in advance the second round”
USC 66, MIA 68 — USC Trojans margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I think the line should be around five. [19:09] So I do like Chattanooga at plus seven and a half.”
ILL 54, UTC 53 — Chattanooga Mocs margin -1 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I love Davidson money. [31:53] line plus two, whatever you want to do, throw it around Robin. That's my best bet for the entire [31:58] Friday.”
MSU 74, DAV 73 — Davidson Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“they are not going to be plus six 80 against Duke. I can tell you that much. So I think that's a [32:17] wonderful wonderful price for the Wildcats to get to the Sweet 16”
Davidson failed to reach the Sweet 16, losing 74-73 to Michigan State in the first round.
“So I love Colgate in this matchup. [34:08] Another fun team to throw in a money line around. [34:10] Robin, I love them. [34:11] Plus seven and a half.”
WIS 67, COLG 60 — Colgate Raiders margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I love Seton Hall on the money line, minus 110. I think they should be [35:45] closer to two or three point favorites.”
HALL 42, TCU 69 — Seton Hall Pirates lost; moneyline busts.
“Yeah, that's my, that's my shortest future odds I did. I just [41:01] did the Ravens and the simple fact that they were so injury, so many injuries last year,”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LVII; the Ravens missed the playoffs entirely, so the futures bet lost.
“That's the Tom Brady effect. Like people [39:58] like me, I put a dime on it.”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LVII; the 49ers lost the NFC Championship Game, so the futures bet lost.
“I personally have a flyer on the Hokies, the Virginia Tech, who probably need to win this or get to the final to get into the dance.”
Virginia Tech won the 2022 ACC Tournament, their first ACC title, so the futures bet cashed.
“So at 10-1, they're at a really good price,”
Virginia Tech won the 2022 ACC Tournament at roughly 10-1, so the bet cashed.
“So Alabama 15 to one as a shot would”
Tennessee won the 2022 SEC Tournament; Alabama lost in the semifinals, so the futures bet lost.
“but yeah they're my pick to win it they're playing as well as anybody”
Iowa won the 2022 Big Ten Tournament, so the futures bet cashed.
“i think the sooners do have a little bit of value here in the tournament”
Kansas won the 2022 Big 12 Tournament; Oklahoma did not, so the bet lost.
“if you can find like 25 30 to 1 on TCU just three games in three days I think that they can”
Kansas won the 2022 Big 12 Tournament; TCU did not, so the bet lost.
“It hard to look away from Arizona at minus 120”
Arizona won the 2022 Pac-12 Tournament, so the -120 favorite bet cashed.
“But I think the values of Providence are five to one in that top half of the bracket”
Villanova won the 2022 Big East Tournament; Providence did not, so the bet lost.
“if you want to take a long shot, I think Utah State is probably the play here.”
Boise State won the 2022 Mountain West Tournament; Utah State did not, so the bet lost.
“I took some of that personally.”
Boise State won the 2022 Mountain West Tournament; Nevada did not, so the longshot lost.
“if you want to have some fun, UNLV, I'd sprinkle a little on UNLV and a little on Nevada.”
Boise State won the 2022 Mountain West Tournament; UNLV did not, so the bet lost.
“i think the bet here is bonnie's five six you can find five to one or better that's”
Richmond won the 2022 Atlantic 10 Tournament; St. Bonaventure did not, so the bet lost.
“I like being the first pick overall, being an offensive lineman.”
The first overall pick of the 2022 draft was DL Travon Walker, not an offensive lineman, so the prop lost.
“Malik Willis at plus 200 and Kenny Pickett plus 175.”
Kenny Pickett was the first QB drafted (No. 20), so Malik Willis (first QB) lost.
“Malik Willis at plus 200 and Kenny Pickett plus 175.”
Kenny Pickett was the first quarterback drafted in the 2022 NFL Draft (No. 20 overall).
“So, Iquanu, if I had to make a bet on the number one pick right now, I would go Iquanu.”
Jacksonville took Travon Walker No. 1 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft; Ikem Ekwonu went No. 6 to Carolina, so the bet lost.
“To me, Milwaukee is still the best value on the board at plus 650”
The Warriors won the 2021-22 NBA title; the Bucks (+650) lost in the second round.
“I get to Nikoli Jokic at plus two 70.”
Nikola Jokic won the 2021-22 NBA MVP, cashing the +270 ticket.
“I think Giannis at plus three 90.”
Jokic won 2021-22 MVP, so Giannis (+390) lost.
“So Eileen Jokic right now my value bet would be Steph”
Jokic won 2021-22 MVP, so Stephen Curry (+1200) lost.
“So immediately right when the market opened, Pittsburgh Steelers love, love, love Pittsburgh Steelers. [32:47] Love that they are going to be on these teams in the market for a quarterback. [32:51] They have the defense. We already know that right now in Fandle, they're 70 to one, 70 to one.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Steelers (70-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“my other favorite bet is right now, which I mean, you could take the Ravens if you wanted to a 21 to one. [33:20] But I love this Ravens value coming to the season”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Ravens (21-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“Atlanta Falcons, 60-1. [34:08] who's to say they're not the best team right now in the nfc south”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Falcons (60-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“you and I both went in aggressively on the Bengals at plus [11:46] four, it got up to four and a half. You better to get it at four and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“We like the Bengals plus four. You're betting the first half Rams minus [27:23] three You betting the Bengals adjusted line minus two and a half I already bet the Bengals plus four”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I take a minus two and a half with this Bengals team. [14:23] So I'm going to take the four and a half, the four with the Bengals. [14:26] But instead of taking Moneyline, I take the two and a half”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“actually embedding Rams first half. [23:15] I like the value on the Rams first half. [23:17] It's up to minus three now for Rams first half. [23:19] Hopefully you can shop around and find a minus two and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We liked the under at 48 and a half. We thought it would get steamed [26:49] down even more. It really hasn't. It's still sitting at 48 and a half taking the under.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 48.5 covers.
“My instinct was take the Bengals, take the under. [25:53] Nothing's changed.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 48.5 covers.
“I still like the under first half.”
Super Bowl LVI first half ended Rams 13, Bengals 10 (23 points), under the first-half total of 24.5, so the under won. (Halftime: LAR 13, CIN 10)
“I still like the under first quarter.”
Rams led Bengals 7-0 after the first quarter of Super Bowl LVI (7 total points); every quoted 1Q total line that week ranged 7.5-10.5, so the under hit regardless of the exact number. (Q1 score: Rams 7, Bengals 0)
“And the first one's a field goal prop. [7:47] And it's the shortest field goal made, over 27 and a half yards.”
The shortest field goal made in Super Bowl LVI was McPherson's 29-yarder, clearing over 27.5 yards, so the bet won.
“which team will call the first timeout. And I think in this case, the Rams should be the clear [8:43] favorite.”
Same market as the other 'Rams first timeout' pick: Rams did call the first timeout of Super Bowl LVI, so this cashed. (Rams first timeout: yes)
“So the first thing I'm looking at is the first play of the game, [10:00] Will it be a pass attempt or a rush attempt? [10:02] And I love pass attempt at plus 118.”
First play of Super Bowl LVI was a Cam Akers run, not a pass attempt, so the pass-attempt prop lost.
“then the next one [10:53] no points in the first six minutes at minus 122. I love that.”
No points were scored in the first six minutes; the first score (OBJ TD) came at 3:35 left in Q1, so the no-points prop won.
“And the final one is the first quarter under. Under 10, you can get at FanDuel, [11:41] nine and a half of some other places.”
First quarter ended Rams 7, Bengals 3 for exactly 10 points, so the 1Q Under 10 pushed.
“I think [13:28] it's gonna be an under game I love the first half under so I'm I'm really liking those bets”
Super Bowl LVI first half ended Rams 13, Bengals 10 (23 points), under the first-half total of 24.5, so the under won. (Halftime: LAR 13, CIN 10)
“So for more serious when I love the two point conversion every year, it's at a plus [14:35] number.”
The Rams' only two-point conversion attempt failed, so no two-point conversion was scored and the Yes prop lost.
“so the the biggest one that jumped out to me how many people love t higgins so when i saw his [25:27] number it's gone up for sure but the rationale was probably just ramsay's gonna shadow chase [25:33] so that's why you're gonna get a good number with t higgs”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards)
“my other favorite one is another number two receiver it's Odell Beckham he's been [25:59] really good to me these playoffs I've just been betting his over props”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Odell Beckham Jr.: 52 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; busts. (Odell Beckham Jr.: 52 receiving_yards)
“Yeah, so that's actually my favorite long shot is T. Higgins 60 to 1 to win the Super Bowl MVP.”
Matthew Stafford won Super Bowl LVI MVP, so Tee Higgins (60-1) lost.
“I love it we had our Super Bowl odds draft at the Action Network and I actually grabbed Higgins”
Stafford won Super Bowl LVI MVP, so Tee Higgins lost.
“So unless they're trying to shorten it and there's something we don't know, I'm going to bang the over and then just adjust if we get different information. [24:28] But right now, I love the over.”
Mickey Guyton's anthem ran about 1:51, over the ~1:30 line, so the over won.
“And the first one I already mentioned is Cooper Cup, [34:41] longest reception over 28 and a half yards um this is one of the first props i locked in”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards vs over 28.5; covers. (Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards)
“And that's Kevin Huber, his longest punt to be over 52 and a half yards. [36:45] And my simulator has them clearing this 62 percent of the time.”
Kevin Huber's longest punt in Super Bowl LVI was 54 yards, clearing the 52.5 line.
“Let's start it off with Matthew Stafford under five and a half rushing yards.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Matthew Stafford: 6 rushing_yards vs under 5.5; busts. (Matthew Stafford: 6 rushing_yards)
“And my second favorite one is Samaje Pirine, under 14 and a half. [39:42] combined rushing and receiving yards.”
Samaje Perine had 0 rushing and 0 receiving yards, well under 14.5 combined.
“It's Jamar Chase will have more rushing yards than Cooper Cup. [45:23] it was minus 140 but it's already been bet up to minus 160 I think it should be closer to minus 230”
Ja'Marr Chase had just 1 carry for 4 rushing yards in Super Bowl LVI, while Cooper Kupp had 7 rushing yards (including a key 4th-down conversion), so Chase did not outrush Kupp. (Chase 4 rush yds (1 att) vs Kupp 7 rush yds)
“my long shot it goes [46:57] against chris a little bit but not really it's my guy stafford two touchdowns 101 he's had two [47:04] rushing touchdowns these playoffs”
Stafford threw 3 TDs but scored none himself (no rushing/receiving TD), so the score-2-TDs longshot lost.
“I've already bet Samaji Piran. I bet him under 14 and a half because that was available.”
Samaje Perine finished with 0 combined rushing+receiving yards, under 14.5.
“I already bet Cooper Cup over 28 and a half. I already bet Kevin Huber over 52 and a half [42:52] longest punt.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards vs over 28.5; covers. (Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards)
“I already bet Cooper Cup over 28 and a half. I already bet Kevin Huber over 52 and a half [42:52] longest punt.”
Kevin Huber's longest punt was 54 yards, over the 52.5 line.
“I'm going to bet T Higgins over 69 and a half. I'll probably bet him MVP.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards)
“Before we get to that, Simon Hunter, I can't believe this line's at four and a half and I bet it Bengals plus four.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I can't believe I bet Bengals three and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Immediately got that up to four I have bet the Bengals plus four The money is currently coming in on Rams and the bets”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“i already bet the three and a half i already bet the four with the bangles [28:23] it touched four and a half and my runner texted me he's like you want it i was just like [28:27] yeah”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I do want people to grab the under now just because it is like we grabbed at a 50 and [37:17] a half Sunday night. [37:18] Now it's down to 48.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 48 covers.
“I bet the Bengals at seven and a half.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going to make that my big ball is better the week than Chiefs.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -7; busts.
“Simon says bet the Niners plus three and a half.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I love these kind of overs. You're never really out of it.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Combined 51; over 54.5 busts.
“That's my biggest bet right now of the weekend. I, I bet it three and a half.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm cool with taking the chiefs now at this seven.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -7; busts.
“I got to take Tennessee.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“tennessee minus three and a half chiefs minus two niners plus six rams plus three”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“that's one of those I'm going to have to be on the under in that Tennessee game.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Combined 35; under 47 covers.
“But we are with the Kansas City Chiefs minus two, minus one and a half against the Buffalo Bills.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“And your scooch roulette pick was the Chiefs minus two.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I made a small bet on the over just because I just really don't”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Combined 78; over 54.5 covers.
“I did bet the Rams at plus three early this morning.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I bet the Rams, I'll put it in the Action Network app.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Right now it's sitting at 48.5, 49.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Combined 57; under 48.5 busts.
“I believe in this 49ers team.”
GB 10, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +6; covers.
“my favorite bet right now is Tennessee.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“right now you and I are both leaning towards favorites Kansas City minus two”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I made this minus three. I'm taking the value. Chad,”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“Yeah, Chiefs minus two. It's got to be.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I'm actually on that over.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Combined 78; over 54.5 covers.
“We definitely bet on the Pats plus four.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“Niners plus three, Pats plus four, four and a half, the best number you can get.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“We definitely bet on the Niners plus three.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“You're on the 49ers plus three.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“It gives me no pause. I'm still on the Cincy team. I still think you're getting a good number.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I would like permission to adjust that to four and a half since that's where the line is.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So to me, that's my favorite under the day because I made this number 43, 44 and a half.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Combined 64; under 44.5 busts.
“And I would also say Pat's bills under 44 and a half.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Combined 64; under 44.5 busts.
“So I love it at eight and a half.”
TB 31, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -16 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I on the Eagles and I actually on the over in this one I don let the wind I not letting that weather scare me off”
Buccaneers beat Eagles 31-15 (46 total points), just under the 47.5 closing total, so the over lost. (Final: TB 31, PHI 15 (46 total))
“At 20 to one, I like the”
The 49ers lost the NFC Championship to the Rams, who won Super Bowl LVI, so the +2000 ticket lost.
“I think it should be the Kansas City Chiefs.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -12.5; covers.
“Chad just read that stat off. That makes me feel way more confident taking this Chiefs number.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -12.5; covers.
“Kansas City first half too.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -7; covers.
“You fucking smash the Bengals.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Bengals minus five and a half.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Patriots as four-point underdogs, that's going to be a foxhole.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“This is my Simon Says game.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“So 49ers plus three.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“I would take the Chiefs here.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I'd probably put a nickel on the Titans.”
The Titans lost their divisional game to the Bengals; the Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so the +850 ticket lost.
“I want to make that our big balls bet of the week.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Miami Dolphins margin +9 vs line +6.5; covers.
“This might be your best bet.”
JAX 26, IND 11 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +15 vs line +15.5; covers.
“we still like the Washington football team.”
NYG 7, WSH 22 — Washington margin +15 vs line -7; covers.
“We like the Bills minus 16 and a half.”
BUF 27, NYJ 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -16.5; covers.
“We like the Texans plus 10 and a half.”
HOU 25, TEN 28 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I bet him at four.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“The Falcons plus four and a half, but you might be able to wait on that.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Grab the Raiders now at plus two and a half while you can.”
LV 35, LAC 32 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I did make a little bet on Denver.”
DEN 24, KC 28 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I have much more bet on Dallas.”
PHI 26, DAL 51 — Dallas Cowboys margin +25 vs line -7; covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +220 · CLV -5¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +177.5 · CLV -20¢ lost
“The Dolphins Atlanta together is plus 821 on the action app.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost.
“Take the plus eight now.”
TB 41, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -24 vs line +8; busts.
“That's why I want to give out Carolina and give out their money line.”
TB 41, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I bet Atlanta.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Taking Atlanta would be the spoiler. I'll take their money line.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll take the four of the Rams.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“That is one I will bet right away.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“So give me the dolphins, give me the dolphins money line.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“But I'll take Bills at minus 17.”
BUF 27, NYJ 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -16.5; covers.
“I love that for coach of the year.”
Mike Vrabel won 2021 NFL Coach of the Year, so the +350 ticket won.
“Now I am betting the Rams just cause I know other pros are on that number.”
BAL 19, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +1 vs line -4; busts.
“So as we sit here, if this line is three and a half in our contest,”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Grab that seven if you can”
GB 37, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -27 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Tennessee, if you're getting under four, under five,”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I've still bet it every day this week.”
PIT 26, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +12 vs line +3.5; covers.
“you have to take it every time you have to take the chiefs here”
CIN 34, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“So for me, I'll be on the Jets in that game,”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +13.5; busts.
“But to me, at 15 points, whatever this might be, 13 and a half points, whatever you can get, you take the Jets here.”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +14; busts.
“But for this week with the Bengals, I hate to do it, but I got to take the Chiefs.”
CIN 34, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“I actually bet the Patriots right when this opened.”
NE 50, JAX 10 — New England Patriots margin +40 vs line -14.5; covers.
“I'll be all over Washington this week.”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“to me, as long as it stays under seven, I'll take this number.”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — Chicago Bears margin +26 vs line -6.5; covers.
“This is a layup, layup, layup.”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“We love the Vikings here.”
GB 37, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -27 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Give me Pittsburgh three and a half.”
PIT 26, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +12 vs line +3.5; covers.
“going to take the Titans minus three and a half. That was my other option.”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Still, I bet it, 2.5.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I have no issues with this pick. Love it. Love the bills in this spot.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“No matter what, this is going to be one of our five.”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line -1; busts.
“This feels like the right spot to invest in the Falcons, even at six.”
ATL 20, DET 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“Every time we do this with the Falcons, but we have to, it's too easy not to fade”
ATL 20, DET 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“We are 100% putting the Panthers plus”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +10.5; busts.
“So I just going to take the value They play close games this is divisional matchup late in the year”
CIN 41, BAL 21 — Baltimore Ravens margin -20 vs line +3; busts.
“I did better to three. The bets I've made so far, Buffalo plus two and a half, Carolina plus ten and a half, Miami plus three.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“This to me absolutely is going to be in our top five,”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“I love Tennessee here. I have to take this number”
TEN 20, SF 17 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Immediately, this is bright red siren, inflamed. Take this. This is crazy.”
TEN 20, SF 17 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm getting a point and a half for the Cardinals. I'll take the value, but I hate”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I think it's the exact right spot to take the Cardinals.”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I bet this one, I think Monday night, I'll bet it again a couple”
ATL 20, DET 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line -5.5; busts.
“when right when i saw this i knew this was gonna be one of my bets i'll do it as a”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +11; busts.
“signals in the noise for the underdog.”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +11; busts.
“if you're willing to take carolina you kind of have to take the texans for the same”
HOU 41, LAC 29 — Houston Texans margin +12 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I have to take the bills.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I like the Bills in this spot too.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“This will be by far one of my favorite unders of the week.”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Combined 46; under 40.5 busts.
“It goes against everything we've said all year about the chiefs. It's going to burn me”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +26 vs line -10; covers.
“Dude, dude, give me the fucking Dolphins here.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“Love right there with you.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“Scrooge Roulette. No brainer. We just talked about it. Miami.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“Got it. Got to do it. I'll take the Chiefs.”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +26 vs line -10; covers.
“I've already got my number in on the underdog Arkansas.”
Arkansas beat Penn State 24-10 in the Outback Bowl, a 14-point win that covers regardless of whether Arkansas closed as a small favorite or underdog. (Final: Arkansas 24, Penn State 10)
“And I've already got my number in on the money line on them.”
ARK 24, PSU 10 — Arkansas Razorbacks won; moneyline covers.
“and it's Old Dominion plus nine.”
TLSA 30, ODU 17 — Old Dominion Monarchs margin -13 vs line +9; busts.
“we're definitely doing the chargers plus three and a half.”
LAC 28, KC 34 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So to me, two and a half, that's all a Matic play.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But if I was a better, I would still take it at seven.”
PHI 27, WSH 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +10 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So I'll definitely be on this Pittsburgh team.”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We love the Broncos at minus two and a half.”
DEN 10, CIN 15 — Denver Broncos margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm taking the Bills when they AFC East and I'm going to be taking the Colts on the spot.”
The Bills won the 2021 AFC East, so the division future won.
“As soon as it hit four and multiple books, I bet it.”
LAC 28, KC 34 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I've been betting this Colts team all year.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I love the Eagles in this matchup.”
PHI 27, WSH 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Take Atlanta money line.”
SF 31, ATL 13 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I would take the number of the Seahawks right now.”
LAR 20, SEA 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“Yeah, we'll just put an icing on it [10:33] where if you can get the minus two and a half, [10:35] just take it now.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“One game I know we can count on. One game. Very interesting. Washington football team. Was it four? Now at four and a half. We love that.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“This is just a pro number. [23:11] You bet this number. [23:12] You have a great run-blocking scheme team in the Giants [23:14] going against one of the worst blocking schemes, defenses, [23:16] in the Chargers.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +10; busts.
“it's a rare time I'm [18:44] gonna take road chalk and take the favorite but this just feels like the pros are stepping into [18:49] a trap here taking this Jets team.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New Orleans Saints margin +21 vs line -5.5; covers.
“But I personally will be betting Houston. [20:52] I'll take that trend that teams just lose the following week after playing the 49ers, [20:56] and I'll bet their money line.”
HOU 13, SEA 33 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“I love Cole Beasley. [26:35] They're projecting to be their three and a half, four receptions. [26:37] I love that up to six.”
Cole Beasley caught 9 passes (11 targets, 64 yards) vs Tampa Bay on Dec 12, 2021, well clear of the discussed 4-6 reception range. (Cole Beasley: 9 receptions, 11 targets, 64 yards)
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +118 · CLV -3¢ won
- Washington ML lost
- New York Giants ML closed +195 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +110 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Buffalo Bills ML closed +165 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +137.5 · CLV -22¢ won
“Yeah, we have Atlanta right now. [39:53] We have Washington football team. [39:55] We're going to throw the Giants in there. [39:56] Wait and see if the Bengals become a big plus number. [39:58] We're going to put that in there as well.”
Parlay busts: Atlanta Falcons ML — won; Washington ML — lost; New York Giants ML — lost; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost; Buffalo Bills ML — lost; Los Angeles Rams ML — won.
“So matchup wise, this [41:37] is a good, good matchup for the Tennessee team. If you haven't used them yet, this feels like this [41:43] is it. Like you kind of have to use them.”
TEN 20, JAX 0 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“Having said that, I like Navy plus seven and a half [6:57] because I think it is going to be a rock fight. [6:58] I think it's going to be low scoring. [7:00] Navy's going to get up for this game. [7:02] So I like Navy plus seven and a half.”
NAVY 17, ARMY 13 — Navy Midshipmen margin +4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“And just to close out the Army Navy discussion, I do like Navy plus seven and a [8:35] half as well.”
NAVY 17, ARMY 13 — Navy Midshipmen margin +4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“this is a bet I always make I always bet the under It doesn matter if they hit the over five [7:36] straight years. I'm just going to keep riding this trend.”
NAVY 17, ARMY 13 — Combined 30; under 36 covers.
“I played 14 on Cincinnati. I think that number is too high as well.”
ALA 27, CIN 6 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -21 vs line +14; busts.
“and at 14, I'm going to take Bama minus 14 [11:18] for a couple reasons.”
ALA 27, CIN 6 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +21 vs line -14; covers.
“we love Minnesota this position. [9:32] So I'll be betting it.”
MIN 36, PIT 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“We'll keep even if the public's riding again, we'll take the public dog and we'll take Las [14:49] Vegas Raiders here.”
KC 48, LV 9 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -39 vs line +9.5; busts.
“So this feels like this is for the season of Washington. [19:20] If they win this game, they're going to probably be a playoff team. [19:24] So this is one of these games where I'll be on the plus four. [19:26] I'll be on the money line. [19:27] I'll be back in this Washington team.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“So this is one of these games where I'll be on the plus four. [19:26] I'll be on the money line. [19:27] I'll be back in this Washington team.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“So we'll take the Giants. We'll just wait and see if we can get even better number.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +10.5; busts.
“So sitting here at minus three, I'll take Tampa.”
TB 33, BUF 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“we love taking the rams in this position the cardinals already beat up [44:06] and dominated this rams team revenge factor everything give me give me the rams here”
ARI 23, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“To me, the simple bet here is just bet the under.”
Cowboys beat Saints 27-17 on Thursday Night Football (Dec 2, 2021); combined 44 points went under the ~47.5 total. (Cowboys 27, Saints 17 (44 total points))
“I might actually put their money line this week.”
DET 29, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions won; moneyline covers.
“Can't see any reason why I shouldn't like the Giants.”
MIA 20, NYG 9 — New York Giants margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“but I'll walk into it. Like I have to bet this number.”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line +11; busts.
“I will be taking Houston.”
HOU 0, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -31 vs line +10; busts.
“We have to take Pittsburgh here as a home divisional dog against a team where”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“So nothing's changed. We still love the Bills at minus three.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“I am on the Falcons plus 10 and a half.”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line +10.5; busts.
- New York Giants ML closed +225 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +255 · CLV +3¢ won
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed +127 · CLV +23¢ won
- Washington Football Team ML closed +110 · CLV +15¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ won
“giants with the backup quarterback on the road. Love it. Lions haven't won a game yet this year.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Washington Football Team ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won.
“I will be taking the charges.”
CIN 22, LAC 41 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to bet it regardless.”
DET 29, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin +2 vs line +7; covers.
“i love the giants so much in”
MIA 20, NYG 9 — New York Giants margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“bet the money line right now. I hate it.”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“We will be on Houston.”
HOU 0, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -31 vs line +8.5; busts.
“You have to take the Bears at home against a Cardinals team that we don't know we're getting from Kyler.”
CHI 22, ARI 33 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I will be all over the Jags, all over the Jags money line.”
LAR 37, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I love this game so much.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm going to be taking Teddy.”
KC 22, DEN 9 — Denver Broncos margin -13 vs line +10; busts.
“So I will be all over this bill as a minus three.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“Yeah I going with the Falcons plus 10 and a half I guess”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I like this number at minus three and a half.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'll be on the over.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Combined 30; over 41.5 busts.
“So I will be taking the Raiders here.”
DAL 33, LV 36 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“bet this bill's team indoors that's when they kill”
NO 6, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +25 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I have to take Houston in this matchup.”
HOU 14, NYJ 21 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“You bet this number. You got to bet this number every time.”
NYG 13, PHI 7 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +4; covers.
“Of course, I bet this.”
IND 31, TB 38 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“give me the Denver Broncos”
DEN 28, LAC 13 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +2.5; covers.
“All right, I'll go Giants against my Eagles.”
NYG 13, PHI 7 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +4; covers.
- New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV -8¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +133 · CLV -3¢ lost
- Denver Broncos ML closed +132 · CLV -7¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +155 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +160 · CLV 0¢ lost
“Then we'll go with the Colts at home.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost; Denver Broncos ML — won; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost.
“Checked it this morning. It's plus 11 and a half right now. Give me SMU plus 11 and a half at Cincinnati.”
CIN 48, SMU 14 — SMU Mustangs margin -34 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Kansas State outright.”
KSU 10, BAY 20 — Kansas State Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“But if I'm going to make a play on it, Georgia is the safe play.”
Georgia beat Alabama to win the 2021 CFP National Championship, so the -125 title bet won.
“I would take Ohio State plus 350 because I think they have a chance to make the playoff a better chance than Alabama does.”
Ohio State missed the 2021 CFP and Georgia won the title, so the +350 ticket lost.
“So Kenneth Walker plus 450.”
Bryce Young won the 2021 Heisman, not Kenneth Walker III, so the +450 ticket lost.
“We were all over Atlanta on Tuesday. I bet the Falcons plus seven, the line has been moving down,”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm still in on Atlanta plus six and a half.”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +6.5; busts.
“That'll be in the contest for sure.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“When I was able to bet it on Tuesday, legally in the state of Connecticut, I got it at 11.”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +11; covers.
“I also bet a little bit of a taste on the money line.”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“I'm all in on Houston, but it will not be one of my biggest bets of the”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +10.5; covers.
“we talked on tuesday i had no doubt we would have as one of our five putting it in by the way we have”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +26 vs line +7; covers.
“Nothing's changed for me. We'll be on the Cowboys”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“People, this is why you're betting Atlanta come Thursday.”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“Simon says, baby, we are taking the Texans.”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +10.5; covers.
“Sprinkle it on that money line too on Tuesday Cause I think the line going to come down too”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking some chalk here and I'll take the Saints.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“To me, it's 100% a Saints play.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Give me the Colts.”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +26 vs line +7; covers.
“Give me the Colts on the money line.”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts won; moneyline covers.
“Getting them only two and a half. Just needs to win by a field goal. Give me the Vikings.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I not going to force it in because there other dogs I like better but I be taking the Jags I be taking their money line just on the fact that the 49ers are feeling great”
JAX 10, SF 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
- Houston Texans ML closed +350 · CLV +5¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +257.5 · CLV +3¢ won
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +247.5 · CLV -7¢ lost
“line parlay right now with the Texans, the Colts and the Jags. I'm making an AFC money line parlay.”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost.
“I need to see a couple more weeks of it. Happy to take Dallas here at a plus”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I get the Cowboys eight and a half. That's a great number.”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I said we'd come out of this with three that we love. We love Cowboys, Niners and Saints.”
DAL 43, ATL 3 — Dallas Cowboys margin +40 vs line -9; covers.
“Take the 49ers while you still can get the three and a half This is a prime prime time to take this number”
SF 31, LAR 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +21 vs line +3.5; covers.
“this number's moved it was at three now it's a two and a half in a lot of places i still better to two and a half”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So we'll stick with, with a Washington football team, nine and a half. We still like it.”
WSH 29, TB 19 — Washington margin +10 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I feel like we have to take the Jets as long as it above 10 and a half 11”
NYJ 17, BUF 45 — New York Jets margin -28 vs line +13; busts.
“Colt McCoy, 10 point favorite. Come on. That's, that's insane. Come on, man. Against this defense in Carolina. I mean, you got to take Carolina.”
ARI 10, CAR 34 — Carolina Panthers margin +24 vs line +10; covers.
- New York Jets ML closed +520 · CLV -20¢ lost
- Washington Football Team ML closed +360 · CLV -10¢ won
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +155 · CLV +5¢ won
“I got the Jets. I got the Washington football team. I got the Saints. I got the Raiders and I got the 49ers.”
Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Football Team ML — won; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; San Francisco 49ers ML — won.
“This to me is an automatic. If I'm not feeling the weight of the past several weeks, I'm looking at this and it's clear as day. Take the Washington football team plus nine and a half.”
WSH 29, TB 19 — Washington margin +10 vs line +9.5; covers.
“So I'll grab the three now that it's there, but I'll grab it even more if it gets up to three and a half.”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“In fact, I've just talked myself into making it one of their top five.”
DAL 43, ATL 3 — Dallas Cowboys margin +40 vs line -9; covers.
“Jaguars are 10 and a half point dogs. Give me the Colts. This is a no brainer.”
IND 23, JAX 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +6 vs line -10.5; busts.
“By being all in on this guy, but at 13 and a half points, give me that cushion. Even at 13 points, I'm still happy with the numbers. So this stays above 12 and a half, stays above 10.”
NYJ 17, BUF 45 — New York Jets margin -28 vs line +13; busts.
“I think you can get the Panthers again at plus four. I think they're back up to four. So yes, go all in on that.”
CAR 6, NE 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +4; busts.
“You like Scoot Roulette, your pick of the week is Carolina three and a half.”
CAR 6, NE 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I I good with taking Cincy”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm in on the Green Bay. You're giving me Green Bay plus eight, plus seven and a half against this awful Chiefs defense. I'm taking it.”
KC 13, GB 7 — Green Bay Packers margin -6 vs line +8; covers.
“But I love Green Bay. I'm going to love Green Bay's money line on the simple fact that if you're giving me plus 250”
KC 13, GB 7 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.
“So I am in on the Eagles.”
PHI 24, LAC 27 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“so then let's go with the 49ers the 49ers as underdogs at home against the division leading cardinals are our big balls better the week”
SF 17, ARI 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +150 · CLV +5¢ lost
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed -196 · CLV +11¢ lost
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +250 · CLV -30¢ lost
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed -110 · CLV +215¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed +270 · CLV 0¢ lost
“we're doing a money line parlay this week simon this is what i would do i would do the panthers I would do the 49ers. Love it. That might be all that I love right now. We'll throw Minnesota Vikings in for my boy. Minnesota Vikings. Throw Eagles in there.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — lost.
“I mean, obviously we have to take the Colts here.”
IND 45, NYJ 30 — Indianapolis Colts margin +15 vs line -10.5; covers.
“And that's why this is my Simon Says game of the week.”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm getting the bangles at two and a half.”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“but as a professional, I will be on the Chiefs at home at a pick.”
KC 13, GB 7 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line +0; covers.
“Let's go Niners.”
SF 17, ARI 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“We love the Colts. [6:20] We love them at plus one and a half. We're still going to be on them. If it gets any higher, we got to reconsider it.”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I look at the Chargers at four and a half. I'm like, [11:36] are you fucking kidding me?”
HOU 22, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +16 vs line +4.5; covers.
“100% love the Jags here. [17:38] If we can get a three and a half, all the better.”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm still going to be taking the Saints money line. [18:15] Thank you for the pros betting this up, giving me more value on the money line.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“Bottom line, we love the Vikings here. [26:03] Smash, smash.”
MIN 16, DAL 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I liked it at 10 and a half still like it at 10 [29:34] as long as it stays above the nine I'm happy to take this number I did have it rated at nine so”
KC 20, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“All right. [32:36] Well, we'll go with the Chiefs then.”
KC 20, NYG 17 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed -213 · CLV +72¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +168 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +115 · CLV +23¢ won
- Washington Football Team ML closed +170 · CLV -5¢ lost
“Saints, Vikes, Jags, Panthers, Washington football team [35:01] for the Moneyline Parley.”
Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints ML — won; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Washington Football Team ML — lost.
“pause this podcast pull your car over bet on the colts they will be in all of my bets”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“And I bet on the Colts plus one and a half.”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“if you're gonna bet the colts with us this week you have to bet the colts to win the division [28:45] because this is one of these games that could flip the division so i love the colts at this number”
The Titans won the 2021 AFC South; the Colts (9-8) missed the playoffs, so the division bet lost.
“Give me the Bears plus three and a half.”
CHI 22, SF 33 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'd take the Chargers all day here.”
HOU 22, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +16 vs line -5.5; covers.
“jags three and a half jags money line i'll be betting all of it”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“jags three and a half jags money line i'll be betting all of it”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“Chad, you got to just hold your nose and bet New Orleans here. [47:13] You got to trust this number.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints margin +9 vs line +5; covers.
“I'm taking the Saints plus five against the Bucs.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints margin +9 vs line +5; covers.
“Vikings at home as an underdog. [50:00] You bet this every time, people.”
MIN 16, DAL 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So this feels like an easy no-brainer. [16:03] This will be one of our five.”
BAL 17, CIN 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line +6.5; covers.
“This is probably our big ball of the week, buddy. [21:48] Big balls, better the week.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“denver is still three and a half in here do it that's we gotta do it all right putting that [31:31] one in throw bangles in”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i did bet the broncos plus three got ahead of that [14:37] because we had a little conversation about it on down to one now”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I still love Green [6:29] Bay still think we're getting a great number”
GB 24, WSH 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“it hard not to take Tennessee here They just everything slants towards them where they the home team”
TEN 27, KC 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I still bet Miami, [18:48] I have Miami in a couple of teasers.”
MIA 28, ATL 30 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I would rather take the Cardinals. [36:03] All right. [36:04] I'll put them in now though. [36:05] Putting them in.”
ARI 31, HOU 5 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“so three and a half Teddy's an underdog this this is when we [7:03] pounce so as long as you're getting that hook above the three I feel comfortable taking it”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So let's wait. [22:18] Let's say like Simon says, bet this if it gets to seven. [22:21] Yeah. [22:21] If you're, if you've got a book at seven, take it.”
BAL 17, CIN 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line +7; covers.
“We love it at three and a half. [31:22] This is going to go down to three in a lot of books. [31:24] Pros are going to come in on this number.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Love Miami. Love Miami in this bounce back spot at [23:54] home after that kind of loss.”
MIA 28, ATL 30 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I gonna go chalk I take Green Bay minus nine [30:30] and a half wow yeah before it gets to 10”
GB 24, WSH 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I'm going to be the sharp here. I'm taking the Eagles plus three and a half at the Las Vegas [47:48] Raiders.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So this stays at five stays below six Got no issue taking the Saints here”
SEA 10, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“this week it's going to flip because we're going to be on the browns minus three and we fucking love this number easy money done done totally i'm putting it in i'm putting it in the contest”
CLE 14, ARI 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“We like the plus six and a half. [9:12] Now I'm sitting here talking about Chad Eagles has to be our Hornets nest play, doesn't it?”
PHI 22, TB 28 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“on the bears at four and a half that's four games eagles browns raiders bears and then i think we're”
CHI 14, GB 24 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm the only one that has Las Vegas [32:17] Raiders as a favorite. So everyone else is all over this Denver team. They think this is a good [32:22] line On the other way I have Las Vegas at minus one So I love this number I think we getting incredible value three and a half”
DEN 24, LV 34 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I've already bet the plus 14 against Arizona next week with this Houston [12:21] team just in case he does come back I can see that line dropping”
ARI 31, HOU 5 — Houston Texans margin -26 vs line +14; busts.
“Just do the Chargers in a teaser. [15:38] Get them over eight and a half. [15:39] That's a great number to have Herbert.”
NYG 11, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line +8.5; covers.
“So I'm going to be riding this Bills team. [36:14] I'm all in on them. [36:15] I think this line should be six, six and a half. [36:17] It's still five and a half. [36:19] Happy to take that number at this point.”
TEN 34, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed +250 · CLV -10¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +800 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Washington Football Team ML closed +242.5 · CLV +8¢ lost
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +180 · CLV 0¢ won
“I'll have the Eagles in there, even though I really have zero faith in this team to win. [38:58] But I do love them to cover Detroit, Washington. [39:04] Again, Carolina's too short, so we don't have to put that one in. [39:08] Put the Lions in there. [39:10] And then I like capping off with the Raiders”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Washington Football Team ML — lost; Las Vegas Raiders ML — won.
“The Colts for our survivor and Chad also likes Pittsburgh. [39:40] So if you lose on Pittsburgh and survivor, please leave me alone.”
IND 31, HOU 3 — Indianapolis Colts won; moneyline covers.
“We have to take the Eagles in this position.”
PHI 22, TB 28 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Simon says grab the Washington football team.”
WSH 13, KC 31 — Washington margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“This is a bet Detroit on the Moneyline game”
DET 11, CIN 34 — Detroit Lions lost; moneyline busts.
“But a four and a half, anything above a four, you take this, people.”
CHI 14, GB 24 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“This is probably when my three or four bigger bets I'll have this week will be the Patriots.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“So love this number of three and a half for this Raiders team.”
DEN 24, LV 34 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“The fact that it still under six with this Bills team I take that number in”
TEN 34, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“And we like it for the Texans for sure.”
HOU 22, NE 25 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'll take them down to eight and a half at this point.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +8.5; busts.
“So I'm still still betting Carolina.”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“we're taking the bangles plus three against the packers everything lines up here”
CIN 22, GB 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Everything says bet the Giants plus seven.”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“defense in the Chargers, we have to take the Chargers here, don't we?”
LAC 47, CLE 42 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +5 vs line -1; covers.
“We'll tweet it out Sunday morning, but I would say it's a 98 percent chance that we end up with the Vikings as a survivor pick.”
MIN 19, DET 17 — Minnesota Vikings won; moneyline covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +445 · CLV -45¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +170 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +300 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +115 · CLV +15¢ lost
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +205 · CLV -15¢ lost
“The Moneyline Round Robin parlay will include Dolphins, Jags, Texans, Bengals, Niners.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost.
“I'll happily take the Seahawks as a home dog on Thursday night.”
SEA 17, LAR 26 — Seattle Seahawks margin -9 vs line +3; busts.
“I just gave them out a 20 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
The Cowboys lost in the wild-card round and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so the +2000 ticket lost.
“So I'll just be the chalky play. I think the public's coming in heavy on the jets.”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Yeah, I'll personally I'll personally be on Houston.”
HOU 22, NE 25 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'll take the dog. I'll take the under in this matchup.”
Patriots beat Texans 25-22 (47 combined points), well over the closing total of roughly 39-39.5. (Patriots 25, Texans 22 (47 total vs ~39.5 line))
“But I have no problem taking Miami plus 10 and a half right now.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I bet a little on the Miami money line.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“Love, love, love Carolina bounce back here against an Eagles team that I feel like they gave it their all last week”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I won't take lines money line, but I will be taking a seven and a half.”
MIN 19, DET 17 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm back again betting the Jaguars.”
JAX 19, TEN 37 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -18 vs line +4; busts.
“the Las Vegas Raiders. I hate doing it. So chalky, but I'm going to be riding with the public.”
LV 9, CHI 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -11 vs line -5.5; busts.
“If you're not going with the Chargers in this game,”
LAC 47, CLE 42 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +5 vs line -1; covers.
“simon says take the giants plus seven and a half you're getting an overinflated cowboys team”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I'll take the minus two and a half.”
KC 20, BUF 38 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I will be on the Eagles, but I will not be I will not be putting this in our contest.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I did bet it at four and a half.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I also bet a little bit of a taste, half a unit on the Panthers money line.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“and i love [18:45] the under in this game because it just feels like both these defenses are a little underrated”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Combined 64; under 50.5 busts.
“so this is one of the few I guarantee will be one of our five”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I've already bet the Jets. I've already bet the Jets on the money [29:24] line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I've already bet the Jets on the money [29:24] line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“We all love Denver. [39:57] We all love them a mile high.”
DEN 7, BAL 23 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“The Chargers just feel like a much better team to me.”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“Like Chad just said, I love the Chargers.”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“Personally, Simon and I are leading Tampa [24:02] minus the points here or Tampa Moneyline”
NE 17, TB 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -7; busts.
“The survivor pool pick of the week [45:24] Bengals. [45:25] Done.”
CIN 24, JAX 21 — Cincinnati Bengals won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah I did the over for the Bengals Again I think the Bengals defense is suspect and I think the Jaguars defense is suspect”
CIN 24, JAX 21 — Combined 45; over 45.5 busts.
“And you know you have to bet the Eagles here. [19:18] You have to bet the Eagles.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I bet the under, but it's literally a fade against Hurts.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Combined 72; under 54.5 busts.
“Go bet the Panthers plus four and a half.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going to have a decent amount invested on the money line of Carolina.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I've already bet the under in this game as well.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Combined 64; under 50.5 busts.
“So I like the Vikings and I like the over in this game.”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I got a [31:42] 48 and a half.”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Combined 21; over 48.5 busts.
“Love, love, love, love, love, love, love, love, love the Jets in this position.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Take the money line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“Biggest bet of the day by far. [50:07] Love the Broncos.”
DEN 7, BAL 23 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm betting on Tom Brady to break the rules again as a big favorite on the road.”
NE 17, TB 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -6.5; busts.
“the chargers are three and a half point home favorites i love the chargers here”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So we're going to keep riding this trend and we're going to take the chargers here.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Chargers plus six and a half against the Chiefs. I love this game.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“But you have to bet this game. It's such a pro game. You take the seven and a half home dog against the team that what a win for the Cardinals.”
JAX 19, ARI 31 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I love the Ravens.”
DET 17, BAL 19 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -9; busts.
“now that's down to seven, I I'm happy taking the [22:40] bills here.”
BUF 43, WSH 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +22 vs line -7; covers.
“We love the Miami Dolphins here.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“We've got to pick one of them to put in. [33:11] I feel more comfortable putting Miami.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“But yes, people, I will be back in the Rams.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“i kind of agree with you on this game uh i do like the rams here”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We love the Minnesota Vikings.”
MIN 30, SEA 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I just like the number of the 49ers.”
SF 28, GB 30 — San Francisco 49ers margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Cowboys. I love the Eagles in that spot.”
DAL 41, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -20 vs line +4; busts.
“we take we take the eagles plus four year every time”
DAL 41, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -20 vs line +4; busts.
“me to do the chalky plays but i'm gonna take this one here”
HOU 9, CAR 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +15 vs line -7.5; covers.
“as a professional in a divisional game you take this”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“that's one of my few favorites that I like with the public here.”
BUF 43, WSH 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +22 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I will be on the Titans here.”
TEN 25, IND 16 — Tennessee Titans margin +9 vs line -5.5; covers.
“So I love I love love love the Ravens here”
DET 17, BAL 19 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So this for me is my Simon Says play of the week.”
PIT 10, CIN 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +14 vs line +4.5; covers.
“And I jumped on this at four and a half just for that exact reason.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I took the money line as well for Miami.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“You know what we're doing here, Chad.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“But we have to take Minnesota at home.”
MIN 30, SEA 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line +2; covers.
“Love, love, love the 49ers in this position.”
49ers lost outright to Green Bay 28-30, so the -3.5 spread pick lost. (Packers 30, 49ers 28)
“Jags plus six.”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +6; busts.
“I also have the Jags in one of my 12 Moneyline parlays.”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“So this is one of my favorite bets of the week, Miami.”
MIA 0, BUF 35 — Miami Dolphins margin -35 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Anytime it's under 10% for a home team that's a dog,”
MIA 0, BUF 35 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“we like the Eagles plus three and a half. Hopefully you can still get it at FanDuel.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“The Eagles will also be in a money line parlay for me.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“this morning I did the bears”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But I bet the Bears, I'm in on the Bears this week.”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“One of our favorites for our best five.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -5.5; busts.
“you did bet it because I already bet the jets.”
NYJ 6, NE 25 — New York Jets margin -19 vs line +6; busts.
“I bet it.”
NYJ 6, NE 25 — New York Jets margin -19 vs line +5.5; busts.
“to have a lot of money tied to Atlanta's money line,”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“And I did take a taste of”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm riding with the Seahawks here.”
SEA 30, TEN 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“No chance, no chance the Browns lose.”
CLE 31, HOU 21 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm going to bet the Giants, I'll bet the under, and I might watch it for 10 minutes.”
WSH 30, NYG 29 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm going to bet the Giants, I'll bet the under, and I might watch it for 10 minutes.”
WSH 30, NYG 29 — Combined 59; under 40.5 busts.
“This is a three point game I going to take the three and a half I expect the Jaguars offense to be much better than what the Giants offense was”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I do love I love it as a play I I might want to play it right now”
CLE 31, HOU 21 — Cleveland Browns margin +10 vs line -12.5; busts.
“Chad taking Eagles money line this is an”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“I have to take the bears.”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I have to take a team where I love Pittsburgh.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I had this at seven and a half with Atlanta. Love the value. Love the”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -23 vs line +11.5; busts.
“I like this number. Take it. I already have.”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“So give me the Chargers minus two and a half”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Tannehill on the road I love it fade them here this this”
SEA 30, TEN 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“I will not be taking the Ravens money line, but we'll be”
BAL 36, KC 35 — Baltimore Ravens margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“I love, love, love the Chiefs.”
KC 33, CLE 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I think we're getting a really good number here with Green Bay.”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We like the Washington football team plus one.”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +1; busts.
“Detroit plus seven and a half.”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Give me Pittsburgh chat.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So I like the Rams here, that number.”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“I went in on the Panthers at minus four this morning”
CAR 19, NYJ 14 — Carolina Panthers margin +5 vs line -4; covers.
“I got to bet the Panthers jets over,”
CAR 19, NYJ 14 — Combined 33; over 44.5 busts.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +340 · CLV -22¢ lost
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +235 · CLV -2¢ won
“I really like Detroit with Pittsburgh”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won.
“I still like the value if you can get the seven and a half”
TB 31, DAL 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“but I'm also taking the under for the full game in this game.”
TB 31, DAL 29 — Combined 60; under 52 busts.
“I like to take the under first half,”
First half of Bucs-Cowboys Week 1 was extremely high-scoring (Bucs 21, Cowboys 16 at half, 37 combined points), well over any normal first-half total, so the first-half under lost. (Halftime: Buccaneers 21, Cowboys 16 (final: Bucs 31, Cowboys 29))
“And this is actually one of these games where I really like the over”
Cardinals beat Titans 38-13 (51 combined points), under the 52.5 total. (Cardinals 38, Titans 13 (51 total vs 52.5 line))
“Bet them two and a half, put them in a teaser or two,”
Seahawks beat Colts 28-16 (Colts lost by 12), well beyond the +2.5 Colts were getting. (Seahawks 28, Colts 16)
“the safer play to me just feels like taking Washington this game”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +1; busts.
“I have to take Houston on the points here.”
HOU 37, JAX 21 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'd probably go full unit”
HOU 37, JAX 21 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I am taking the minus three and a half,”
ATL 6, PHI 32 — Atlanta Falcons margin -26 vs line -3.5; busts.
“This is one of my bigger bets of the week.”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“happy to put this in our contest at plus six and a half.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I also have to take Pittsburgh's money line here.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“So I think you're getting good value here at minus six.”
KC 33, CLE 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“I taking Green Bay here”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm getting a plus number taking the money line here with”
NE 16, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“I just love the value on Las Vegas.”
LV 33, BAL 27 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I definitely like the under here for the Chiefs win total.”
The 2021 Chiefs finished exactly 12-5, so the under 12 wins pushed.
“If you want to bet them to win a Super Bowl, I love it.”
The Chargers missed the playoffs (9-8) and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so the +3300 ticket lost.
“they at 16 to one to win the conference”
The Chargers missed the playoffs; the Bengals won the 2021 AFC, so the +1600 conference ticket lost.
“Plus 450 to win the division.”
The Chiefs won the 2021 AFC West (12-5); the Chargers (9-8) did not, so the +450 ticket lost.
“i bet them over nine for their season win total”
The 2021 Chargers finished 9-8, falling short of over 9 wins, so the bet lost.
“one to lead the league in passing yards I kind of like that value”
Tom Brady led the NFL in passing yards (5,316) in 2021, not Derek Carr, so the +3800 ticket lost.
“Even week one, I got the Miami plus three.”
NE 16, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm still on that under with Mac starting.”
Patriots went 10-7 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under 9.5 lost.
“I like the Rams. I like the Seahawks. I bet both of them. I'm still getting a good plus money on”
Rams won the 2021 NFC West at 12-5, so the Rams to win the division cashed.
“I can't not tell people to take the Seahawks at that value. I think they're plus 275 to win this division, Chad.”
Rams won the 2021 NFC West; Seahawks finished 7-10, so Seattle to win the division lost.
“I going to be on Green Bay at minus four week one”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -4; busts.
“i see uh samford i see detroit plus seven and a half”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I cannot see them getting over eight and a half wins in this division This is one of the bigger under bets I made this season”
Cardinals went 11-6 in 2021, over 8.5 wins, so the under lost.
“where I'm back all in on the Colts because I think Carson's got the reps in right now.”
Colts finished the 2021 regular season exactly 9-8, so over 9 wins pushed.
“simon fair to say we like the colts at plus 150 to win the division yeah and let me explain to”
Titans won the 2021 AFC South at 12-5; Colts finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs, so Colts to win the division lost.
“I'm pretty sure I've been into five sports books and I bet this under.”
Titans went 12-5 in 2021, over 9 wins, so the under lost.
“So it's one of these where I'm taking their season win total under.”
Texans finished 2021 exactly 4-13, so the under 4 wins pushed.
“against the Jaguars week one, give me the plus three, Chad.”
HOU 37, JAX 21 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line +3; covers.
“And after talking with Brett, I'm betting Nebraska under six wins at even money.”
Nebraska went 3-9 in 2021, well under 6 wins, so the under cashed.
“So for me, it's definitely a value-based bet here taking Atlanta to win this division of plus 700.”
Tampa Bay won the 2021 NFC South; Falcons finished 7-10, so Atlanta to win the division lost.
“So I actually really like that 38 to one most passing TDs on FanDuel.”
Tom Brady led the NFL with 43 passing TDs in 2021; Matt Ryan had 20, so this lost.
“I did give them out to win the Super Bowl because I believe in their defense”
Dolphins went 9-8 and missed playoffs; Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so Miami to win the title lost.
“Then I'm taking Matt Ryan 38 to one to lead the league in passing touchdowns.”
Tom Brady led the NFL with 43 passing TDs in 2021; Matt Ryan had 20, so this lost.
“And I feel good about betting him at 13 to one to lead the league in passing yards.”
Tom Brady led the NFL with 5,316 passing yards in 2021; Matt Ryan had ~3,968, so this lost.
“Miami has the best value right now in this division.”
Buffalo Bills won the 2021 AFC East; the Dolphins finished 9-8 and did not.
“Like, I think the value is good enough to take them a 40 to one or 35 to one in the Super Bowl, where to me, this division, it's it's up for grabs.”
Dolphins went 9-8 and missed the playoffs; Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so Miami to win the title lost.
“So I like the value on Washington.”
Dallas Cowboys won the 2021 NFC East; Washington finished 7-10.
“Of all the teams in this division to win the Super Bowl, Simon and I have [25:09] already bet heavily on the Washington football team.”
Los Angeles Rams won Super Bowl LVI; Washington went 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
“Of all the teams in this division to win the Super Bowl, Simon and I have [25:09] already bet heavily on the Washington football team.”
Los Angeles Rams won Super Bowl LVI; Washington went 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
“Best future value for making the college football playoff right now. [11:36] Oklahoma.”
Oklahoma did not make the 2021 College Football Playoff (Bama, UGA, Michigan, Cincinnati).
“If I had to take a shot outside of Spencer Rattler, [25:41] it'd be Sam Howell.”
Bryce Young won the 2021 Heisman Trophy; Sam Howell did not.
“And that's who I bet for number one pick. [25:44] I love doing that bet too.”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft; Howell went in the 5th round.
“I bet him as well.”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft; Howell went in the 5th round.
“So for me, I love the value on the Packers at minus 155.”
Green Bay Packers won the 2021 NFC North.
“So for right now, I have AFC champion. I have AFC ticket for the Browns at 10 to 1. [36:55] So it's one of those where that's my play right now.”
Cincinnati Bengals won the 2021 AFC; the Browns missed the playoffs.
“So I just want people to understand here that there is really good value on [45:15] Taysom Hill, not only in fantasy, but for just week one starter, [45:19] it's still plus 200.”
Jameis Winston won the Saints' starting job; Taysom Hill was not the Week 1 starter.
“I'm in on Tennessee now, minus 120 for the division [12:43] on our friends at FanDuel.”
Tennessee Titans won the 2021 AFC South.
“So for me, I still love that value plus 220.”
Jameis Winston won the Saints' starting job; Taysom Hill was not the Week 1 starter.
“120 to one Trey Lance to an MVP.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP; Trey Lance did not win.
“So I'm going to be taking Steelers first half. [46:46] The line's not up yet, but whatever the number is, [46:48] I'll be taking Steelers first half.”
Cowboys led 3-0 at halftime of the Hall of Fame Game (Steelers won 16-3 overall); Steelers trailed at the break so the Steelers first-half bet lost. (Halftime: Cowboys 3, Steelers 0 (final: Steelers 16, Cowboys 3))
“Vladimir Guerrero Jr who has a tremendous matchup against Gary Richards tonight at plus 260”
The July 27 game was rained out and played July 28; Vladimir Guerrero Jr. did not homer (his next HR was July 29), so the home-run prop lost.
- Seattle Mariners ML closed +136 · CLV +2¢ lost
- No runs in 1st inning pending
“Chad, I have a same game parlay between the Astros and Mariners tonight. [27:41] I like the Mariners on the money line, tied with no runs first inning at plus 290.”
Parlay busts: Seattle Mariners ML — lost; No runs in 1st inning — manual.
“I'm going to jump in and go first because the Braves are one of my, my future recommendations.”
Braves won the 2021 NL East, so the division future won.
“Yeah, I think in the NL, I think it's still the Brewers right now. They're 12 to one,”
Brewers lost the 2021 NLDS to the Braves and did not win the World Series, so the future lost.
“As far as the pennant I actually going to go with the Phillies I think [37:35] the Phillies have the best value at 25 to one to win the NL.”
Phillies finished second in the NL East and missed the 2021 playoffs, so the NL pennant future lost.
“I think the Blue Jays, I think they're around 20 to one right now to win the AL.”
Blue Jays missed the 2021 playoffs (lost AL Wild Card tiebreaker), so the AL pennant future lost.
“The Rays, I see it [40:28] 14 to one to win the world series.”
Rays lost the 2021 ALDS to the Red Sox and did not win the World Series, so the future lost.
“As far as pennant winners go, I'm with BJ on the Phillies.”
Phillies missed the 2021 playoffs, so the NL pennant future lost.
“And in the American League, I'm going to go with BJ on the Blue Jays. [41:37] I see them at 13 to 1.”
Blue Jays missed the 2021 playoffs, so the AL pennant future lost.
“I'm doing, I'm putting 200 on it right now.”
Bryce Harper won 2021 NL MVP; Max Muncy did not win.
“So that's an under I really like this year at 10.5.”
49ers went 10-7 in 2021, under the 10.5 line, so the Under won.
“I mean, I'm looking at the Rams personally going under because I just think there's a lot of hype around the Rams,”
Rams went 12-5 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
“So that's why I'm just taking their under while taking the Seahawks over and I'm not touching Arizona.”
Seahawks went 7-10 in 2021, under the 9.5 line, so the Over lost.
“So again, nine wins out of 17 people, nine and eight. [33:08] That's a push. [33:09] Like, I just think that's crazy good value on the saints.”
Saints went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
“I like them for best record at, I think it was 30-1 or 40-1.”
Saints finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs; the Packers/Titans (13-4) had the NFL's best 2021 regular-season records, so the Saints did not have the best record.
“you basically getting the rare opportunity where the public is off the bears”
Bears went 6-11 in 2021, under the 7.5 line, so the over lost.
“So ready to go all in on the Bears over seven. [36:51] Come on. [36:52] Over seven and a half.”
Bears finished 6-11, well under 7.5 wins, so the over lost.
“but I like the Washington football team over eight, eight and a half wins.”
Washington went 7-10 in 2021, under 8.5 wins, so the over lost.
“But I love the over.”
Washington finished 7-10, under 8.5 wins, so the over lost.
“But me and Chad I guess Raheem too We are all in on Washington football team”
Washington finished 7-10, under 8.5 wins, so the over lost.
“I'm going under, I think you have an Asian offensive line.”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under lost.
“So for me, the Cowboys, that will always be a fade.”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under (fade) lost.
“I did love Detroit to under five Detroit open under five Now it down to four and a half So it still good value”
Lions went 3-13-1 in 2021, under 5 wins, so the under won.
“Eagles under six and a half. [49:45] Yeah, Eagles are going to be bad.”
Eagles went 9-8 in 2021, over 6.5 wins, so the under lost.
“So with it being up to 219, I really like the under.”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Combined 223; under 219 busts.
“I'm betting Chris Paul MVP.”
Giannis Antetokounmpo won 2021 NBA Finals MVP, not Chris Paul.
“I'm betting Jay Crowder MVP.”
Giannis won 2021 NBA Finals MVP, not Jae Crowder.
“I'm betting Suns minus 200 to win the series.”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
“Please take that Bills Under.”
Bills went 11-6 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
“And for the Colts, people are already going to know I'm all in on the Colts.”
Colts went 9-8 in 2021, under the 10-win line, so the Over lost.
“But I feel like the easiest bet, and I'm going to keep saying it the whole year, is just going to be that Houston under.”
Texans went 4-13 in 2021, under 4.5 wins, so the Under won.
“So for my favorite over in the AFC, I love the Chargers.”
Chargers went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
“So for me, I just went the other way and I just took them to win the AFC at plus a thousand.”
Bengals won the 2021 AFC Championship; the Browns missed the playoffs.
“I bet Tua to win MVP.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP, not Tua Tagovailoa.
“I think I would rather take the 10. I think. This is a reclamation project for the Colts with Carson Wentz.”
Colts went 9-8 in 2021, under the 10-win line, so the Over lost.
“So I'm going under on them.”
Bills went 11-6 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
“I actually disagree on the Ravens.”
Ravens went 8-9 in 2021, under the 11-win line, so the Under won.
“So I know the public is going to push this up but I taking the under It unfortunate that they play in the same division as the Texans but I still like the under”
Titans went 12-5 in 2021, over the 9.5 line, so the Under lost.
“I mean, this Chargers team, they replaced Anthony Lynn with Brandon Staley.”
Chargers went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
“I just bet on the Clippers I think there actually is pretty good value at plus 400”
Suns beat Clippers 4-2 in the 2021 Western Conference Finals; Clippers lost the series.
“has to be Bucs to beat Clippers based off of getting that high of a number.”
Clippers never reached the Finals (lost WCF to Suns), so the conditional Bucks-beat-Clippers bet voids.
“it's 75 to one right now for him to get MVP. So it sounds crazy. It doesn't make any sense right [19:10] now.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP; Jalen Hurts received no votes, so the +7500 MVP bet lost.
“If you're giving me them 55 to one, that's enough value to take on a team like that.”
Washington finished 7-10 and missed the 2021 playoffs, so the +5500 long-shot futures (Super Bowl/division) lost under any reading.
“my two bets I've done so far, I bet on Trey Lance plus 240 and I bet on Taysom [40:29] hill plus 220 start for the saints”
Jimmy Garoppolo started Week 1 for the 49ers in 2021, not Trey Lance, so the +240 prop lost.
“my two bets I've done so far, I bet on Trey Lance plus 240 and I bet on Taysom [40:29] hill plus 220 start for the saints”
Jameis Winston started Week 1 for the Saints in 2021, not Taysom Hill, so the +220 prop lost.
“I actually did [41:36] take Taysom Hill at a higher number than this. I think I got it around 280,”
Jameis Winston, not Taysom Hill, started Week 1 for the Saints (38-3 win over Green Bay).
“So easily I'm on the side of plus 240 with Lance, plus 220 with Taysom [41:55] Hill. I really like both of those bets.”
Jimmy Garoppolo started Week 1 for the 49ers; Trey Lance did not.
“I actually made [23:09] this bet earlier in the year and the odds are still good. In my opinion, James Harden's plus [23:12] 900 to be the NBA finals MVP.”
Nets lost in the 2021 second round; Giannis won Finals MVP, so Harden's +900 Finals MVP lost.
“So the first over I love is the Cardinals over eight right now.”
Cardinals went 11-6 in 2021, over their 8-win total.
“So I do like the over nine and, you know, [24:34] a lot of great things to say about their offense.”
Chargers finished 9-8 in 2021, exactly their 9-win total, so the over pushes.
“The third team that I like the over is the football team.”
Washington Football Team went 7-10 in 2021, under their 8-win total.
“I think the Browns had the best offseason, but I love their under.”
Browns finished 8-9 in 2021, under the 10.5-win total.
“corner what else you got uh so the other one is uh the cowboys under nine and a half”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over the 9.5-win line, so the under lost.
“It feels like a trap, but the Raiders under seven.”
Raiders went 10-7 in 2021, over the 7-win line, so the under lost.
“So I took Chargers Super Bowl just because there was value there [17:47] because I'm banking on him not going there.”
Rams won Super Bowl LVI; the Chargers missed the playoffs and did not win the Super Bowl.
“I've taken their season win total when it was available.”
Chargers finished 9-8 (9 wins), under the standard 9.5 win total, so the over lost.
“I took them division when it was available.”
Chiefs won the AFC West in 2021; the Chargers finished second, so the division bet lost.
“I mean, pure value-wise, I took Carolina's over.”
Panthers finished 5-12 in 2021, well under 7.5 wins, so the over lost.
“But I just love this Colts team.”
Colts finished 9-8 in 2021, under 10 wins, so the over 10 lost.
“I people are going to hate it because they think I'm a dire Eagles fan. [39:09] But Eagles under ran six and a half had a great out of five point seven.”
Eagles finished 9-8 in 2021, going over 6.5 wins, so the under lost.
“So I liked the Detroit under.”
Lions finished 3-13-1 in 2021, comfortably under any posted win total (~6.5), so the under won.
“plus 3,200 right now to have best record in NFL on FanDuel for the [43:08] Saints. [43:08] I think that's a really good value”
Saints finished 9-8 in 2021; Packers/Titans led the NFL at 13-4, so Saints did not have the best record.
“They have them right now 27-1 to go 17-0. [44:27] I get it. [44:28] It's a stupid bet. [44:30] I just love it”
Chiefs finished 12-5 in 2021, not 17-0, so the perfect-season bet lost.
“so i'm going blazers in six and [34:05] hawks in six”
Nuggets beat the Blazers in six games, so the Blazers-in-6 bet lost.
“so i'm going blazers in six and [34:05] hawks in six”
Hawks beat the Knicks in five games, not six, so the Hawks-in-6 bet lost.
“No one's talking about the Sixers. Take the Sixers. [34:30] I think it's still plus 300 [34:31] certain Bucs to win the East. Still [34:33] plus 700 to win it all.”
Sixers lost to the Hawks in the East semifinals and did not win the Eastern Conference.
“And I also bet on the Lakers at plus 450.”
Lakers lost in the 2021 first round to the Suns and did not win the NBA title.
“win the West. Am I an idiot that I bet on that? Because I just love Steph Curry.”
Warriors lost the play-in tournament to the Grizzlies, missed the playoffs and did not win the West.
“So I'm already on the Hornets, but I'm especially on them in this game versus Indiana.”
IND 144, CHA 117 — Charlotte Hornets margin -27 vs line +2; busts.
“I already took, though, I took Wizards to make the playoffs at plus 450.”
Wizards beat the Pacers in the play-in to clinch the 2021 NBA Playoffs.
“I've been saying it all year I like the Los Angeles Clippers to win the NBA title”
The Clippers lost the 2021 Western Conference Finals to Phoenix and did not win the title.
“I did bet on the Lakers last week when they dipped to 450.”
The Lakers lost in the first round of the 2021 playoffs to Phoenix and did not win the title.
“So that's Lakers or Clippers or Suns to beat either Sixers or Nets in the finals at plus 240.”
Bucks (Atlantic-division East) beat Suns (Pacific) in the 2021 NBA Finals, so the Pacific-over-Atlantic Finals bet lost.
“series price is going to be probably longer than it should be I think at anything like 140 135 I”
Islanders beat the Penguins in 6 games to win their 2021 first-round series.
“And 20 to one is I think just a good price You buying low on a team that has shown it is one of the best four or five teams in the league”
Islanders lost the 2021 semifinals to Tampa Bay and did not win the Stanley Cup.
“So, yeah, man, once it moved to three and a half over under at a plus number, I was just like, in what world is the fifth rated quarterback on almost everyone's big board going to be the third pick overall?”
Mac Jones was drafted 15th overall (over 3.5, not pick 3) by New England, cashing the over.
“Like I betting the over pits over five and a half just because it a good plus number”
Kyle Pitts was drafted 4th overall by Atlanta, under 5.5, so the over 5.5 lost.
“so right now you can get 50 to one that fields or trey lance will be the second pick overall”
The No. 2 overall pick was Zach Wilson; neither Fields nor Lance went second.
“And right now you can get plus 200, plus 250 at certain books that they draft an O-lineman.”
Cincinnati drafted WR Ja'Marr Chase at No. 5, not an offensive lineman.
“uh my two that i put in um i got decent uh that were uh certain being the first corner”
Jaycee Horn (No. 8) was the first cornerback drafted, ahead of Patrick Surtain II (No. 9).
“I took him as the first D lineman drafted over Phillips from Miami only because once again,”
Jaelan Phillips (No. 18) was the first defensive lineman/edge drafted, ahead of Kwity Paye (No. 21).
“Matt, you're making me smile because I took Smith to go top 10.”
DeVonta Smith was drafted 10th overall by Philadelphia, inside the top 10.
“Oh, Elijah Moore, the receiver from Mississippi, to go in the top 32.”
Elijah Moore was drafted 34th overall (2nd round), outside the top 32, so top-32 lost.
“One of the ones that isn't sexy, Trevon Morig as the number one safety off the board.”
Trevon Moehrig (No. 43) was the first safety drafted in 2021, cashing the bet.
“You have to put a lot of juice on it, but under five and a half quarterbacks, like, come on,”
Five quarterbacks (Lawrence, Wilson, Lance, Fields, Jones) went in Round 1 — under 5.5 hit.
“you can bet a plus 200 for them to go with a defensive player.”
Washington drafted LB Jamin Davis (defensive player) at No. 19 in Round 1.
“Mac Jones train I'm very much on the Mac Jones train and so if Mac Jones goes number three it”
Trey Lance was the No. 3 overall pick; Mac Jones went 15th, not 3rd.
“I feel like it a lock to win best film editing at minus 118”
Sound of Metal won Best Film Editing at the 93rd Academy Awards.
“So you have Minery at 14 to one. [25:14] You have Promising Young Woman at 17 to one. [25:16] And then you have Trial in Chicago seven at six to one. [25:19] I think you can kind of split your bet among those three.”
Nomadland won Best Picture; Minari did not.
“So you have Minery at 14 to one. [25:14] You have Promising Young Woman at 17 to one. [25:16] And then you have Trial in Chicago seven at six to one. [25:19] I think you can kind of split your bet among those three.”
Nomadland won Best Picture; Promising Young Woman did not.
“So you have Minery at 14 to one. [25:14] You have Promising Young Woman at 17 to one. [25:16] And then you have Trial in Chicago seven at six to one. [25:19] I think you can kind of split your bet among those three.”
Nomadland won Best Picture; The Trial of the Chicago 7 did not.
“So I like Frances a lot at, at a plus 400. [35:19] And I like Andra Day who's at plus 600. [35:22] I think both of those have a really big shot.”
Frances McDormand won Best Actress for Nomadland at the 93rd Academy Awards on April 25, 2021.
“So I like Frances a lot at, at a plus 400. [35:19] And I like Andra Day who's at plus 600. [35:22] I think both of those have a really big shot.”
Andra Day lost; Frances McDormand won Best Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards.
“And then it's also [46:49] showing value in terms of the experts. I mean, that's, there's your pick, you know, for best [46:54] song. There's your pick.”
"Husavik" lost; "Fight for You" (Judas and the Black Messiah) won Best Original Song at the 93rd Academy Awards.
“So I kind of do like the money on Kyle Pitts there.”
Kyle Pitts (TE, 4th overall) was the first non-quarterback drafted in 2021.
“But at minus 250, I think there's enough odds there, even though it's negative, to go ahead and drop money on that and have a decent return.”
No safety was drafted in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, so over 0.5 lost.
“so for yeah my long shot bet i really like either [29:56] of the Patriots to draft Justin Fields or Trey Lance.”
The Patriots drafted Mac Jones at 15; Fields went to Chicago (11) and Lance to San Francisco (3).
“football their total right now is four and a half for Houston I like how do you not take that under”
Houston Texans went 4-13 in 2021, under 4.5 wins.
“So does John Rahm, who's actually my favorite pick out there.”
Hideki Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Jon Rahm finished T5.
“Speaking of peaking in majors, am I insane for liking Brooks Koepka so much heading into this?”
Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Brooks Koepka did not win.
“kepka i like that one a lot just because i like his attitude i like the idea of him going back to”
Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Brooks Koepka did not win.
“But I love Paul Casey this week. Just everything is trending in the right direction.”
Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Paul Casey did not win.
“So if you can find Will Zalatorre's low masters debutant at like a plus 120 to plus 150, hammer that.”
Will Zalatoris finished runner-up in his Masters debut, the best finish by any debutant in the 2021 field.
“they a team that going to tank this year i hit their under five”
Lions finished 3-13-1 in 2021, under their 5-win total.
“so it's plus 123 on the under for the eagles this is not a team”
Eagles went 9-8 in 2021, over the 6.5-win total, so the under lost.
“So for me, plus money, taking the under at seven,”
Bears finished 6-11 in 2021, under their 7-win total.
“A team that's gotten way too much hate is the Houston Astros. [31:09] And right now at FanDuel, they're over 87 and a half.”
Astros went 95-67 in 2021, over the 87.5-win total.
“And a team that I bought immediately to win their division, I would buy them to win the World Series. [31:06] A team that's gotten way too much hate is the Houston Astros.”
Astros won the AL West in 2021.
“And a team that I bought immediately to win their division, I would buy them to win the World Series.”
Astros lost the 2021 World Series to the Braves in six games.
“So betting them at plus 150 to win their division, it's more than a 15% edge.”
Mets went 77-85 and did not win the NL East (Braves won the division).
“If you can pick off a 12 to one out there, there's actually an 18 to one on the West [33:04] Coast that you can snipe.”
Mets missed the playoffs and did not win the 2021 World Series.
“you can still bet a plus 310 out there at fan duel that's obviously still more than a 10 percent [34:01] edge even if you're taking that 37 percent projection”
Brewers won the NL Central in 2021 at 95-67.
“you can find a number as high as 7500 i threw a ticket up on twitter yesterday”
Brewers lost in the NLDS and did not win the 2021 World Series (Braves won).
“Yeah, I mean, I took a Blue Jays team total over to start when spring training broke camp.”
Blue Jays finished 91-71 in 2021, over the 86-win total.
“So they are sellers, which makes me want to hit under their win total.”
Phillies finished 82-80 in 2021, over the 81.5-win total, so the under lost.
“the Pirates who were awful but I think they're still going to win [41:25] more than 58 and a half games they're in the weakest division in baseball in the NL Central”
Pirates finished 61-101 in 2021, over the 58.5-win total.
“The two under teams I'm looking at right now, Chicago White Sox under 90 and a half wins.”
White Sox finished 93-69 in 2021, over the 90.5-win total, so the under lost.
“and the Oakland A's under 87.5.”
Athletics finished 86-76 in 2021, under the 87.5-win total.
“So we're going by MVPs. I have Jose Ramirez [43:19] in the AL.”
Shohei Ohtani won 2021 AL MVP; Jose Ramirez did not.
“really my most confident player future player [43:53] that i want to have stock in is juan soto”
Bryce Harper won 2021 NL MVP; Juan Soto did not.
“i have him for most home runs [44:48] at 18 to 1 i like that to 15 to 1”
Fernando Tatis Jr. led the NL with 42 home runs; Soto (29) did not lead.
“so does the guy i heavily invested in i think the grom is kind of as close as you can get to a walk for nl cy young if he stays stays healthy”
Corbin Burnes won 2021 NL Cy Young; Jacob deGrom did not.
“my favorite one of which is probably Brandon Woodruff [45:14] at 25-1.”
Corbin Burnes won 2021 NL Cy Young; Brandon Woodruff did not.
“So Kenta Maeda is a long shot. [46:04] I think it's certainly worth the price of the ticket.”
Robbie Ray won 2021 AL Cy Young; Kenta Maeda did not.
“Sign me up for what was a 500 to one, 300 to one, 200 to one. [49:04] I think I've seen some 60 to one still out there.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (and Salvador Perez) led the AL with 48 HR; Teoscar Hernandez (32) did not lead.
“I have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 15th in my RBI projections, [49:22] and everyone around him in my projections is listed between 25 and 30 to one for most RBIs. [49:28] You can get them at 60 to one at FanDuel.”
2021 MLB RBI leader was Salvador Perez (121), not Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
“Miguel Sano is a guy I've been on for a couple of years now. [49:44] His power metrics are off the charts.”
2021 AL HR leaders were Vlad Jr./Perez at 48; Miguel Sano hit ~30 and did not lead the AL.
“I really like Rosenthal for most saves.”
Trevor Rosenthal missed the entire 2021 season due to injury and recorded zero saves; Mark Melancon led MLB.
“But I really like New Orleans.”
The Rams won the 2021 NFC championship, not the Saints (who went 9-8 and missed the playoffs).
“So Seahawks plus 275, Saints plus 220 to win their respective divisions.”
Tampa Bay won the 2021 NFC South; the Saints finished second.
“I think there's a lot of upside there. 11 to 1 to win the NFC, 22 to 1 to win the Super Bowl.”
Seattle went 7-10 and missed the playoffs; the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So Seahawks plus 275, Saints plus 220 to win their respective divisions.”
The Rams won the 2021 NFC West; Seattle finished last at 7-10.
“So for me, with these odds and I already know what I have in this defense, I just love the value on Washington coming into this year.”
Washington went 7-10 and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So basically, from my standpoint, like them and the Dolphins, we talked earlier, both teams, I'm invested about two grand each into them to win 50K each on both teams.”
The Colts missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So basically, from my standpoint, like them and the Dolphins, we talked earlier, both teams, I'm invested about two grand each into them to win 50K each on both teams.”
Miami missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So I do like the Colts at this value of plus 2,800.”
The Colts missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“I like that upside at 5,000 50 to one because I don't know, man, that Raiders team,”
The Raiders lost in the Wild Card round and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So at plus 6,000, no real clear-cut team in that division, that's great.”
Washington went 7-10 and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“Still on the bucks, still on the over, still tease the bucks”
TB 31, KC 9 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers won; moneyline covers.
“Still on the bucks, still on the over, still tease the bucks”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; over 56 busts.
“things but if you're just playing the numbers and the data exactly the under 10 points in the first”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; under 10 busts.
“you on your own love over one and a half field goals in the first half at minus 125”
Kansas City kicked two field goals in the first half of Super Bowl LV, over 1.5.
“I love either team to score two points.”
No two-point conversion was attempted or made in Super Bowl LV (final 31-9).
“Long's TD over 45 and a half.”
Longest TD in Super Bowl LV was Leonard Fournette's 27-yard run, under the 45.5-yard line.
“over four and a half sacks plus 120 in Super Bowl 55.”
Only 4 total sacks in Super Bowl LV (3 of Mahomes, 1 of Brady), under the 4.5 line.
“Shaq right now, his over is 0.5 sacks plus 120.”
Shaquil Barrett recorded 1 sack of Mahomes in Super Bowl LV, over the 0.5 line.
“So I really like this underprop for Clyde Edwards-Hilaire, rushing or receiving under 48 and a half, plus 105.”
Clyde Edwards-Helaire had 64 rush + 23 receiving = 87 yards in Super Bowl LV, over the 48.5 under line.
“So going to keep on playing at a high scoring half second minus one 12.”
First half outscored the second in Super Bowl LV (27 points to 13), so the second-half pick lost.
“And that's any own lineman to score a touchdown plus 2000.”
No offensive lineman scored a touchdown in Super Bowl LV.
“extra point to hit either a crossbar or the side so all it has to do is just touch it”
No field goal or extra point hit the crossbar or upright in Super Bowl LV.
“It's give me regardless of price.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 2 interceptions in Super Bowl LV, over the 1.5 total-interceptions line.
“So that's another one I really love, Scotty Miller over 20 and a half.”
Scotty Miller was targeted once but finished Super Bowl LV with 0 receptions for 0 receiving yards, missing the over 20.5 badly. (0 rec, 0 yds (1 target))
“So I love the Bucs at this number.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers won; moneyline covers.
“I am on the train that this is gonna be a highest scoring game. Like I said, I'm taking the over,”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; over 56.5 busts.
“I love the over and I do love”
Bucs led Chiefs 21-6 at half (27 combined) in SB LV; closing combined first-half total was 27, so the under pushed exactly. (21-6 at halftime (27 combined))
“I would say the only one I've locked in right now is the Panthers.”
Panthers went 5-12 in 2021 and did not win Super Bowl LVI; the Rams did.
“I'm going to be taking Green Bay minus three.”
GB 26, TB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -5 vs line -3; busts.
“So definitely Big Balls Bet of the Week here is Bills.”
KC 38, BUF 24 — Buffalo Bills margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“But right now I'm leaning towards the under.”
KC 38, BUF 24 — Combined 62; under 54 busts.
“on Saturday. I don't mind putting this in as our best five. All right. You ever notice how everything”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I took the under already.”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Combined 50; under 45.5 busts.
“that I believe enough in Josh Allen I do think he's gonna win this game so I'm taking the Bills here”
BUF 17, BAL 3 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the under this week in this game.”
BUF 17, BAL 3 — Combined 20; under 49.5 covers.
“So I with you This is one of these I happily put in with the Chiefs Chiefs 100 By the way you right in your assessment I looking at the data right now in the Action Network app 53 of the bets that is the public coming in on the Browns as 10 dogs 60 of the money the professionals coming in on the Kansas City Chiefs”
KC 22, CLE 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +5 vs line -10; busts.
“So I like the under here at that number.”
KC 22, CLE 17 — Combined 39; under 55.5 covers.
“And I'm going to ask you to be my companion and take that three and a half”
NO 20, TB 30 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But when I'm looking at this game, I like the Bills at minus six and a half.”
BUF 27, IND 24 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So looking at this number, I feel bad telling people to go against my brother in the Sharps, but I'm all in on the Seahawks.”
SEA 20, LAR 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line -4; busts.
“We are going with the Washington football team with plus nine.”
WSH 23, TB 31 — Washington margin -8 vs line +9; covers.
“Titans plus three. I like that side. How could that not be the side? Meanwhile,”
TEN 13, BAL 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“But yeah, got to take the Bears here plus 10, but I'm not touching the money line for the Bears.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -12 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I like that over 47.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Combined 30; over 47 busts.
“I love the Steelers coming in minus three and a half the fact that it's up to six because all the”
PIT 37, CLE 48 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -11 vs line -6; busts.
“Of course, I would take the Browns here.”
CLE 24, PIT 22 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“So I like the Giants. [27:06] I like their defense here. [27:07] I like that plus three.”
NE 28, NYJ 14 — New York Jets margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“But I'll take the bills here.”
BUF 56, MIA 26 — Buffalo Bills margin +30 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I like the number you're in, the Jets.”
NE 28, NYJ 14 — New York Jets margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So I'm going to go all in on the Bears, plus five and a half.”
CHI 16, GB 35 — Chicago Bears margin -19 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I like the Titans' money line here.”
HOU 38, TEN 41 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“The better bet is whatever the total rushing yards prop is for Derrick Henry, [42:51] bet the over because he's like 200 yards away from 2000 yards and they are gonna fucking pound [42:58] the ball against a shitty texans defense and watch him get to that 2000 yard mark i love that play”
Derrick Henry rushed for 250 yards on 34 carries (2 TDs) in Tennessee's 41-38 win over Houston in Week 17, comfortably clearing the rushing-yards prop and pushing him past 2,000 yards for the season. (Derrick Henry: 34 car, 250 yds, 2 TD)
“I like the 49ers a lot here.”
SF 23, SEA 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'll take the Broncos here.”
DEN 31, LV 32 — Denver Broncos margin -1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“where I personally will be betting heavy on the Rams just because all the money's been coming on the Cardinals.”
The Rams won outright 18-7 over Arizona in Week 17 (with emergency starter John Wolford at QB), covering any underdog number they were getting. (Final: LA Rams 18, Arizona Cardinals 7)
“of course we are going to take the panthers and this number is going to go up”
CAR 7, NO 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I would take Washington [51:14] here.”
PHI 14, WSH 20 — Washington margin +6 vs line -5.5; covers.
“got to take the Vikings here, especially with the hook”
NO 52, MIN 33 — Minnesota Vikings margin -19 vs line +7.5; busts.
“you have to take the plus four here for the 49ers”
ARI 12, SF 20 — San Francisco 49ers margin +8 vs line +4.5; covers.
“but I like the Jags here.”
JAX 17, CHI 41 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +7.5; busts.
“i'm i'm gonna take the colts”
PIT 28, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We take this plus 10 and we throw a little on the Jets money line”
NYJ 23, CLE 16 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line +10; covers.
“But divisional game, three and a half, I'll take the Broncos.”
LAC 19, DEN 16 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm happy to take the Cowboys.”
DAL 37, PHI 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We have to take this number.”
DEN 19, BUF 48 — Denver Broncos margin -29 vs line +6.5; busts.
“As long as it above seven we love this summer”
GB 24, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +8.5; covers.
“But three, I'm still happy to take that to the Cowboys.”
DAL 41, SF 33 — Dallas Cowboys margin +8 vs line +3; covers.
“I love this pick.”
MIN 27, CHI 33 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm cool with fading that, taking the Cardinals here.”
ARI 33, PHI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin +7 vs line -6; covers.
“Like it? I love it, Chad.”
NO 29, KC 32 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Like, Danny Dimes, like, he's just a terrible quarterback.”
LAR 20, NYJ 23 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“But I have to play the Cowboys too.”
BAL 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line +8; busts.
“I cool with taking the Patriots here”
LAR 24, NE 3 — New England Patriots margin -21 vs line +5; busts.
“So I'm taking the Texans here at minus one.”
CHI 36, HOU 7 — Houston Texans margin -29 vs line -1; busts.
“I'll take the Bears here.”
CHI 36, HOU 7 — Chicago Bears margin +29 vs line +1; covers.
“I'm happy to take Minnesota”
TB 26, MIN 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -12 vs line +6.5; busts.
“but I'll take the minus three that's sitting at right now.”
CIN 7, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin +23 vs line -3; covers.
“But we have to take them.”
NYG 7, ARI 26 — New York Giants margin -19 vs line +2.5; busts.
“But I have to take the Broncos.”
CAR 27, DEN 32 — Denver Broncos margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'll take it at seven and a half.”
MIA 27, KC 33 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll take the Raiders every time here.”
LV 27, IND 44 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“we have to take”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“so I do like the Ravens in this position.”
CLE 42, BAL 47 — Baltimore Ravens margin +5 vs line +0; covers.
“So taking the Steelers here, I'm taking them first half,”
PIT 19, BAL 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line -10; busts.
“I take Minnesota this week”
MIN 27, JAX 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“so as long as it stays under 10, I'm happy to take the Raiders here.”
NYJ 28, LV 31 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So I'm going to ride that train and take the Saints here.”
ATL 16, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“And minus three with the Colts, I'll take it.”
HOU 20, IND 26 — Indianapolis Colts margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“happy to take the Cardinals here in the big balls. Better the week makes all the sense [40:29] in the world.”
ARI 28, LAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“It's nine. [44:23] Happy to take the nine.”
GB 30, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -14 vs line +9; busts.
“Got to take New England here.”
LAC 0, NE 45 — New England Patriots margin +45 vs line -1; covers.
“So I'm with you. [49:18] We can take the Chiefs.”
KC 22, DEN 16 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -14; busts.
“And pure value bet, I'll take Washington's money line here.”
PIT 17, WSH 23 — Washington won; moneyline covers.
“So I have to take the 49ers here.”
SF 24, BUF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm happy to take Washington plus three.”
DAL 16, WSH 41 — Washington margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
“Of course, we love the Vikings here. [25:35] Got to play it.”
MIN 28, CAR 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin +1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“So, had to take the Falcons.”
ATL 43, LV 6 — Atlanta Falcons margin +37 vs line +3; covers.
“So I can't pass on the Cardinals here.”
NE 20, ARI 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I got to take the 49ers.”
LAR 20, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“So I'm happy to take the Buccaneers.”
TB 24, KC 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“As long as it stays above three, I'm happy to take the Eagles.”
PHI 17, SEA 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5; busts.
“It's just a situational play where the Seahawks have had two weeks.”
SEA 28, ARI 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm happy riding with you and taking the minus six and a half.”
BAL 24, TEN 30 — Baltimore Ravens margin -6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'll take the 10 and a half for the Jags, [23:41] but I don't feel great about it.”
JAX 3, PIT 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +10.5; busts.
“And I have to take the Eagles, especially if it's 3.5.”
CLE 22, PHI 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm happy to take the plus five right now.”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Atlanta Falcons margin -15 vs line +5; busts.
“Big balls better than we. We're going with Washington.”
WSH 20, CIN 9 — Washington margin +11 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Give me the Chiefs. [44:17] Give it to me.”
LV 31, KC 35 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“but as long as it stays under five, I'm happy to take the Buccaneers.”
TB 24, LAR 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I'm happy to take the Chargers this week.”
LAC 34, NYJ 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line -8.5; busts.
“So I like Dalvin Cook to get right in this game. [39:27] I like the Vikings here.”
MIN 28, DAL 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So I with you I back the Titans in this spot”
Colts beat the Titans 34-17 on Thursday Night Football; Tennessee lost outright as the home favorite. (Colts 34, Titans 17)
“So in the competition, if this is at four, [22:20] I feel comfortable enough taking the Bucs minus four. [22:22] I got this at five so to me it a good number”
CAR 23, TB 46 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line -4.5; covers.
“But I like the Browns this week. [23:52] I'm cool taking the minus three.”
CLE 10, HOU 7 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“And in my mind, if this is going to be a shootout, I have to take the Broncos here at the plus five.”
LV 37, DEN 12 — Denver Broncos margin -25 vs line +5; busts.
“We can put the Dolphins in if it stays at minus two and a half. [30:06] I got to trust the numbers and say this is the right time to take them here again.”
MIA 29, LAC 21 — Miami Dolphins margin +8 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'm happy to take the minus two. [31:28] I love the Cardinals here.”
ARI 32, BUF 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“And in a divisional game here, I would take the seven. [33:04] But if it dips below the plus seven, I would not take Cincy.”
PIT 36, CIN 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -26 vs line +7; busts.
“So if this stays under three, I'm more than happy to take the Rams here.”
MIA 29, LAC 21 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.
“Anything above 7.5, I'm more than happy to take on the 49ers. [36:16] So this is the everything game for 49ers.”
NO 27, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“So now that I'm calling my shot, I got the 49ers winning this outright. [36:28] So I like the 49ers.”
NO 27, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“So to me, it's a get-right game for the Ravens. [37:59] I know it's back-to-back road games, but as long as it's seven and under, [38:03] I'm happy to take the Ravens here.”
NE 23, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -6 vs line -7; busts.
“But I can't do it. [39:44] I cannot take the Bears. [39:46] I'll take the Vikings in this run offense.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“All right, let's go with the Packers.”
GB 24, JAX 20 — Green Bay Packers won; moneyline covers.
“But I'm going to take the points and just trust that there's good value here on the 49ers at home [20:40] in a short week and that they can control the game running it.”
SF 17, GB 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“And come Sunday, I'm going to be on the Bears here. [23:08] This number is way too big for a Titans team that they haven't proven to anyone”
TEN 24, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So for me, this is an automatic play. [26:00] I'm going to ride with, I don't know if it's the public or the sharps, [26:03] but I like this Detroit number, especially at plus four. [26:05] I'm happy to take that.”
MIN 34, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm cool with fading Daniel Jones here and just backing this Washington football team.”
WSH 20, NYG 23 — Washington margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“But I just have to play the Bills here. [30:12] A home dog that hasn't been playing well against a team that just had a huge [30:16] divisional win coming across country like you said.”
BUF 44, SEA 34 — Buffalo Bills margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But I have to take the Colts here. [32:37] I just think this is great value. [32:39] And this is a bad spot for the Ravens here.”
IND 10, BAL 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I love this play for a good backdoor. [33:55] So I'm on the Panthers this week.”
KC 33, CAR 31 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +10.5; covers.
“So I'm going to take the Jaguars this week, [35:28] even though I know they've just been horrendous of late, [35:31] but I'm going to trust the number and take the Jags here.”
JAX 25, HOU 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“But I cannot back the Falcons here after their win on Thursday night. [38:02] I'm happy to take the plus four, but I would not put this one in the competition.”
ATL 34, DEN 27 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“So for me, this feels like an autoplay [39:45] where you can't not take the Chargers. [39:47] As long as it's under a field goal, [39:49] I'm happy to take the Chargers here.”
LAC 26, LV 31 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“But as an idiot that I am, I'm going to take the Steelers, [40:56] and I'm just going to keep fading this Cowboys team.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line -14; busts.
“but I feel comfortable taking the Dolphins here in a game that I got as a [44:04] field goal. [44:05] So I'm happy backing the Dolphins this week.”
ARI 31, MIA 34 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I feel comfortable taking the minus five and a half here with the Buccaneers.”
TB 3, NO 38 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -35 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Betting the Patriots [49:03] just because I'm just going to keep fading the Jets.”
NYJ 27, NE 30 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
“We're just going to lock in Pittsburgh for our Survivor.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“So this feels like an even out spot where the Carolina may be get down to two and a half. [12:46] I think they'll cover. [12:47] So I like the Panthers here.”
CAR 17, ATL 25 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line -3; busts.
“So I would take the Ravens here, [15:24] but we don't have to put it in because this is such a – not a coin flip game, [15:27] but we've seen with the Ravens in these big-time games, Lamar has a letdown.”
BAL 24, PIT 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“But it's impossible not to take the Chiefs here. [18:06] I can just see the Chiefs getting points.”
KC 35, NYJ 9 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +26 vs line -19.5; covers.
“It's the easiest thing ever, the Chiefs. [19:11] If you don't take the Chiefs this week, you're terrible at Survivor.”
KC 35, NYJ 9 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“I'm with the public here. [30:35] I'm taking the Colts.”
DET 21, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“So I wouldn't put this in, but I'm going to be betting the Bills this week. [33:16] I'm not backing the Patriots until they get right consistently”
BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“But I'm going to take the Browns here again at home [35:30] against the Raiders team that they just seem like something's missing with them”
CLE 6, LV 16 — Cleveland Browns margin -10 vs line -2.5; busts.
“i like them to keep it close i'm going to take the vikings here”
GB 22, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line +7; covers.
“and the right side is going to be the Broncos. [40:46] So I'm on the Broncos here.”
DEN 31, LAC 30 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“So I'm going to play the Bears number here today, four, [43:19] but I'm going to wait to bet more this weekend.”
CHI 23, NO 26 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I going to happily take them at home here especially if the line gets down to minus three Like I going to take the Seahawks”
SEA 37, SF 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“So I'll take the seven-and-a-half or seven with the Eagles, [47:11] and it's just one of those I wouldn't put in, though,”
PHI 23, DAL 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I'm going to end up playing the Giants plus 10.5 just because it's a primetime game. [49:15] But yeah, I can't put it in.”
NYG 23, TB 25 — New York Giants margin -2 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I love the Bills here on the number, especially if it's Flacco.”
NYJ 10, BUF 18 — Buffalo Bills margin +8 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I like Carolina here.”
NO 27, CAR 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I trust the Steelers here on the road”
TEN 24, PIT 27 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“So I do like this number a lot for the Seahawks.”
ARI 37, SEA 34 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I like the Patriots team.”
NE 6, SF 33 — New England Patriots margin -27 vs line -2.5; busts.
“And I like the Rams here in a bounce back spot.”
LAR 24, CHI 10 — Los Angeles Rams margin +14 vs line -5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to back the football team here.”
NYG 20, WSH 19 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm going to back the veteran QB on the Bears”
CAR 16, CHI 23 — Chicago Bears margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm going to back the Buccaneers here.”
TB 38, GB 10 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +28 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I have to take the Cowboys here, especially the first start for Dalton.”
DAL 10, ARI 38 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Bears here, and I'm going to take the five and a half. And I”
CHI 20, TB 19 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to back the Eagles here and I'm going to let the public come in on the Steelers.”
PIT 38, PHI 29 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line +7.5; busts.
“so I'm going to bet on a bounce back spot here and keep fading the football team I'll take the”
WSH 10, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +20 vs line -8.5; covers.
“i'm gonna take the cardinals give it to me six and a half i'm happy”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin +20 vs line -6.5; covers.
“And that's a really good number to take with them, six and a half.”
HOU 30, JAX 14 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So I would back Miami. I like that number. That's a big”
SF 17, MIA 43 — Miami Dolphins margin +26 vs line +8; covers.
“I'm going to take the Giants here.”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Like I going to take the Giants money line”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.
“And so give me the bears plus two and a half at home.”
CHI 11, IND 19 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'm going to be back on the Cardinals this week,”
CAR 31, ARI 21 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I'd be good with backing the Dolphins here.”
MIA 23, SEA 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“but I am going to be on the Browns side.”
DAL 38, CLE 49 — Cleveland Browns margin +11 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I'm backing the Raiders here.”
LV 23, BUF 30 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So I'd be good taking the Eagles in a primetime game here,”
SF 20, PHI 25 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line +7; covers.
“We are going to be on the Rams this week. We continue to thrive and survive.”
TB 38, LAC 31 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm going to back the Patriots here.”
NE 36, LV 20 — New England Patriots margin +16 vs line -5.5; covers.
“so i do like this washington number here we can put it in all right let's put it in”
CLE 34, WSH 20 — Washington margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.
“back the Panthers here with the points. I would definitely wait to see what QB starting.”
LAC 16, CAR 21 — Carolina Panthers margin +5 vs line +7; covers.
“I'd be cool with taking the Cardinals.”
ARI 23, DET 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I kind of like the Bears in this side too.”
ATL 26, CHI 30 — Chicago Bears margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“All right, so right now, we are locked on Dallas at four and a half.”
DAL 40, ATL 39 — Dallas Cowboys margin +1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“But if it stays at 4 or 4.5, [48:20] that's an automatic play for me in this competition.”
SEA 35, NE 30 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So Miami 5.5 is on the board for us.”
MIA 28, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Yeah, let's put it in. [43:51] If it's six and a half, it stays there. [43:53] They're definitely in.”
ARI 30, WSH 15 — Arizona Cardinals margin +15 vs line -6.5; covers.
“but it feels like an automatic bet for me. [26:21] All right, we're putting the Jags in.”
JAX 27, IND 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +7 vs line +8; covers.
“And it's now sitting at eight minus eight. [32:56] So I like the value on that line.”
BAL 38, CLE 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -8; covers.
“So are we putting the Cardinals in our batch of five? [43:05] I'd put them in.”
SF 20, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +7; covers.
“And so I like this pick a lot actually Let put it in baby We in We got Jags plus eight We got Ravens minus eight We got Cardinals plus seven We got Rams at home plus three”
CIN 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“And we got the Steelers minus five and a half. [48:26] We like them up to minus seven on the road against the Giants.”
NYG 16, PIT 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Give me the Steelers at plus 350 to [3:51] win the AFC North.”
Steelers won the AFC North in 2020 at 12-4.
“It's one of my favorite win total unders, [5:14] especially if you could find a six, [5:16] under six minus 125 minus 130.”
Bengals went 4-11-1 in 2020, well under 6 wins.
“I bet the Bears to win their division and win the Super Bowl.”
Packers won the NFC North; Bears made playoffs only as a wildcard.
“I bet the Bears to win their division and win the Super Bowl.”
Bears did not win Super Bowl LV; Tampa Bay won.
“Minnesota to win the Super Bowl.”
Vikings did not win Super Bowl LV; missed the playoffs at 7-9.
“I bet the Arizona Cardinals to win the Super Bowl at 50 to 1.”
Cardinals did not win Super Bowl LV; Tampa Bay won.
“I also bet the Steelers to win their division.”
Steelers won the AFC North in 2020 at 12-4.
“So I went with the Broncos at 50 to 1.”
Broncos did not win Super Bowl LV; finished 5-11 and missed the playoffs.
“For me, it's really two teams, but the one I took was earliest [36:59] was the Pittsburgh Steelers at 25-1.”
Steelers lost in the wildcard round and did not win Super Bowl LV.
“I would say my favorite in terms of all-around value is the Seattle Seahawks at plus 220 to win the NFC West.”
Seahawks went 12-4 and won the 2020 NFC West.
“I actually bet the Bears around that same number, something like 450, 425 [16:36] a couple months ago.”
Packers won the NFC North at 13-3; Bears made the playoffs as a wildcard.
“They are plus 1050 at DraftKings, so it's a little better than 10 to 1. [35:34] That implies a 9% chance of them to win the NFC. [35:38] Guess what? [35:39] They've won it in 25% of Russell Wilson's seasons as a pro.”
Seahawks lost in the wildcard round; Buccaneers won the 2020 NFC.
“But if I'm going my number one pick out of all the teams in the NFC, [9:07] I'd probably go with Dallas.”
Cowboys went 6-10; Washington won the NFC East.
“Because that is the Chicago bears who are about plus 380 I think we got them at draft Kings I got them earlier this year I got them at plus 425 to win the NFC North”
Packers won the NFC North at 13-3; Bears did not win the division.
“So I love, love, love the Giants at 10 to one, [14:42] but neither of you, neither of you have really given the team that has sort of the best odds,”
Washington won the NFC East at 7-9; Giants went 6-10.
“I've got the Cardinals at 50 to one.”
Cardinals did not win Super Bowl LV; Tampa Bay won.
“I've got the Vikings at 25 to one.”
Vikings missed the playoffs (7-9) and did not win Super Bowl LV.
“And I have the Chicago bears at 40.”
Bears did not win Super Bowl LV; Tampa Bay won.
“of those three teams, the Celtics are the best, [32:48] and that's why I'm probably going to put it in a position on the Celtics.”
Celtics lost the Eastern Conference Finals to the Heat in six games.
“you can get Celtics Clippers at plus 2,200 and Celtics Lakers at plus 2,000.”
Neither matchup occurred; Lakers beat Heat in the 2020 Finals.
“If I got one bet, I'll go Lakers.”
Lakers beat the Heat to win the 2020 NBA title.
“I'm going to go Clippers over Bucks. [27:59] And I've been on the Clippers all season long.”
Clippers blew a 3-1 lead and lost in the second round; Lakers won the title.
“I love the value in the 5-under and 5.5 under in that division.”
Cincinnati finished 4-11-1 in 2020, under 5.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“I like that number.”
Buffalo went 13-3 and won the AFC East in 2020, cashing the +125 division future.
“The eight and a half feels a gimme”
Chicago finished 8-8 in 2020, not exceeding 8.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I bet it already”
Green Bay (13-3) won the NFC North; Chicago finished second at 8-8, so the Bears division future loses.
“But all the values on the under, from what we've seen from them”
Cleveland finished 11-5 in 2020, over 8.5 wins, so the under loses.
“I'm betting on that upside with that value.”
Pittsburgh went 12-4 and won the AFC North in 2020, cashing the +374 division future.
“So obviously the team I really like coming this year”
Pittsburgh finished 12-4 in 2020, over 9.5 wins, so the over cashes.
“I could see them easily get eight wins for Houston.”
Houston finished 4-12 in 2020, under 7.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I like the Denver over seven and a half.”
Denver finished 5-11 in 2020, under 7.5 wins, so the over loses.
“And I like that over seven and a half.”
Arizona finished 8-8 in 2020, over 7.5 wins, so the over cashes.
“I like the under for the Eagles”
Philadelphia finished 4-11-1 in 2020, under 9.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“So with San Fran at 10 and a half, you have to take that under.”
San Francisco finished 6-10 in 2020, under 10.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“And I going to be on that under just because I don think I think they are going to have Tua”
Miami finished 10-6 in 2020, over 6 wins, so the under loses.
“So I really like the value on the Raiders.”
Raiders went 8-8 in 2020, clearing the 7.5-win total.
“The last one I'll give out, just for Darren, I do like the Jets over 7.”
Jets finished 2-14 in 2020, well under the 7-win total.
“This is an egregious line.”
Exactly 4 quarterbacks were taken in Round 1 of the 2020 NFL Draft (Burrow, Tagovailoa, Herbert, Love), under 4.5, so the under wins.
“So I would say four quarterbacks max, not five in the first round.”
Exactly 4 quarterbacks went in Round 1 of the 2020 draft, under 4.5, so the under wins.
“So I had five, so I would go over, but there's no guarantee.”
Six wide receivers went in Round 1 of the 2020 draft (Ruggs, Jeudy, Lamb, Jefferson, Aiyuk, Reagor), over 4.5, so the over wins.
“I would say five, so an over four and a half.”
Six wide receivers were drafted in Round 1 of the 2020 NFL Draft, over 4.5, so the over wins.
“So if it's 4.30, I would say under 4.30.”
Henry Ruggs III ran an official 4.27-second 40-yard dash at the 2020 combine, under 4.305, so the under wins.
“And I am all in on the 76ers in terms of a futures bet.”
The Lakers won the 2019-20 NBA title; the 76ers were swept in the first round by Boston, so the +1300 bet loses.
“I bet the Clippers at plus 350.”
The Lakers won the 2019-20 NBA title; the Clippers blew a 3-1 lead and lost to Denver in the conference semifinals, so the +350 bet loses.
“In all seriousness, though, Ross Chastain was priced as a long set of 201.”
Denny Hamlin won the 2020 Daytona 500 (held Feb 16-17 in OT); Ross Chastain finished 21st, so the +200 bet loses.
“I like the under in this game.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Combined 51; under 55 covers.
“It's a good play, and the under first half is a good play,”
KC 31, SF 20 — Combined 51; under 55 covers.
“I took that number too,”
KC 31, SF 20 — Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards)
“I was all over Titans, plus 7.5.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -11 vs line +7.5; busts.
“And Niners, minus 7, 7.5.”
SF 37, GB 20 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I like the under 52.5 for the Chiefs Titans.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Combined 59; under 52.5 busts.
“Yeah, I think I like the over in this one, too.”
SF 37, GB 20 — Combined 57; over 45 covers.
“Honestly, I got a Chiefs minus 13.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +11 vs line -7.5; covers.
“actually would take that over.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Combined 59; over 52.5 covers.
“And I love Green Bay this week.”
SF 37, GB 20 — Green Bay Packers margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.
“he's on the packers under packers niners under 45 and on the packers at plus seven and a half”
SF 37, GB 20 — Combined 57; under 45 busts.
“I'm all in on the Chiefs.”
KC 51, HOU 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I'm going to wait on the Eagles game. I'm going to bet that game”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“I'll take the Redskins.”
DAL 47, WSH 16 — Washington margin -31 vs line +11; busts.
“I'm taking Arizona here”
LAR 31, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“Give me the Giants all freaking day.”
BUF 6, NYJ 13 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line +5; covers.
“I like Denver here”
DEN 16, OAK 15 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I've already bet Miami plus 16.”
NE 24, MIA 27 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line +16; covers.
“Darren has sent his picks.”
NE 24, MIA 27 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line +16; covers.
“He wants Colts minus 3.5,”
JAX 38, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line -3.5; busts.
“yeah and I like it too in the sense that the Colts actually are healthy now”
JAX 38, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Like, I got it when it opened at 2.5.”
HOU 14, TEN 35 — Tennessee Titans margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I love Denver here.”
DEN 16, OAK 15 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“at 500 and go into the Hall of Fame as a 500 quarterback two and a half point dogs Give me the Redskins here Yeah I agree with you What is he like 118 and 117 right now”
WSH 35, NYG 41 — Washington margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So, yeah, I really like the Cardinals here.”
SEA 13, ARI 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Give me the Miami Dolphins.”
MIA 38, CIN 35 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I love the Vikings.”
MIN 10, GB 23 — Minnesota Vikings margin -13 vs line -5; busts.
“Well, my favorite value is definitely going to be the Rams this week.”
SF 34, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So I love that we're getting plus three.”
TEN 28, NO 38 — Tennessee Titans margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“I say minus 10 Baltimore over the Browns.”
CLE 15, BAL 31 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -10; covers.
“No, I'm going to bet on the Jets this weekend.”
BAL 42, NYJ 21 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +14.5; busts.
“I think I would be, too. You know why?”
PIT 10, BUF 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“they ended up covering that game by a half a point depending on what line you got They went by 13 A lot of people felt that they should have kind of more easily won that game by a larger margin But this is a short road favorite”
LAC 10, MIN 39 — Minnesota Vikings margin +29 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to go to the Redskins.”
WSH 27, PHI 37 — Washington margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Falcons.”
SF 22, ATL 29 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +11; covers.
“Seattle minus six.”
CAR 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“So I do think as long as it stays above 10, I'd take that, the Broncos.”
KC 23, DEN 3 — Denver Broncos margin -20 vs line +10; busts.
“This wise guy is betting the Jacks plus three.”
JAX 10, LAC 45 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -35 vs line +3; busts.
“Cardinals are going to get my money.”
ARI 17, PIT 23 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos plus nine.”
HOU 24, DEN 38 — Denver Broncos margin +14 vs line +9; covers.
“that nobody cares about is probably the Falcons against the Panthers,”
ATL 40, CAR 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin +20 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Five and a half, Miami against the Jets.”
NYJ 22, MIA 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“like the ones that I really feel good about, I like Cincinnati plus nine. That's a tremendous”
CLE 27, CIN 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -8 vs line +9; covers.
“Kansas City plus three, and Seahawks minus one.”
NE 16, KC 23 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“So I think it's kind of a weird spot where the Rams is where all the value”
JAX 10, LAC 45 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +35 vs line +1; covers.
“Niners, get them now.”
BAL 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going to take the Dolphins in this game.”
MIA 37, PHI 31 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'm betting on the Bengals in that game.”
CIN 22, NYJ 6 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Give me the Minnesota Vikings”
SEA 37, MIN 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to go with the 49ers for that reason that I just said.”
BAL 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“I have Miami [46:21] plus nine and a half [46:23] against the Eagles.”
MIA 37, PHI 31 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like plus three, Zona against the Rams.”
ARI 7, LAR 34 — Arizona Cardinals margin -27 vs line +3; busts.
“How could I not take the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving?”
DAL 15, BUF 26 — Dallas Cowboys margin -11 vs line -7; busts.
“I love Green Bay minus 6.5 against the Giants.”
NYG 13, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line -6.5; covers.
“And finally, I really want to take the Tampa Bay Bucs plus one on the road in Jacksonville.”
JAX 11, TB 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +1; covers.
“I do like the Miami side, though.”
MIA 37, PHI 31 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'd take it as long as it stays under three.”
PIT 20, CLE 13 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I like Minnesota here.”
SEA 37, MIN 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So I like the Giants a lot.”
CIN 22, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -16 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I am going to go with the Buffalo Bills minus four.”
BUF 20, DEN 3 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -4; covers.
“give me the New York J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets.”
CHI 19, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I will tell you right now, if I were able to in this moment, I would bet Carolina plus 10.”
NO 34, CAR 31 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“I really am favoring the Falcons myself, and I think I've talked myself into it.”
ATL 22, TB 35 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'm going to have to bet the Redskins in this.”
WSH 19, DET 16 — Washington margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“and then I'm going to take New England because I'm not betting against the freaking Patriots at home.”
NE 13, DAL 9 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I think I'm going to be on the Eagles this week.”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -8 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I am going to go with the Falcons over the Buccaneers.”
ATL 22, TB 35 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I love, obviously I love Eagles.”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -8 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I do like your head's eye with the Panthers.”
NO 34, CAR 31 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like Pittsburgh at Cincy.”
CIN 10, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“So I do like the Patriots bouncing back here.”
NE 13, DAL 9 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I do like the 49ers there.”
SF 37, GB 8 — San Francisco 49ers margin +29 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like Miami ten and a half.”
CLE 41, MIA 24 — Miami Dolphins margin -17 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I like Oakland, minus three against the Jets.”
NYJ 34, OAK 3 — Oakland Raiders margin -31 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll take Baltimore minus three against the Rams.”
LAR 6, BAL 45 — Baltimore Ravens margin +39 vs line -3; covers.
“I'll take the 49ers minus three against the Packers.”
SF 37, GB 8 — San Francisco 49ers margin +29 vs line -3; covers.
“I like the Patriots.”
NE 13, DAL 9 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Well, then I guess I'm going to have to bet Indianapolis because I'm going to wait.”
IND 33, JAX 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“Denver will be the side there.”
MIN 27, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I feel like you're begging me to take the Redskins at minus one right now.”
WSH 17, NYJ 34 — Washington margin -17 vs line -1; busts.
“Give me the Dolphins!”
MIA 20, BUF 37 — Miami Dolphins margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Listen, I'm going to fade Revell. [26:50] I'm going with the Eagles in this game.”
PHI 10, NE 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Well, I've got to take the Raiders because the Bengals are barely playing anybody.”
OAK 17, CIN 10 — Oakland Raiders margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.
“No, the Chiefs are going to win this game. [33:38] That's a no-brainer.”
LAC 17, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“scooch i am going to go with the uh arizona cardinals as double digit dogs against the [36:21] san francisco 49ers”
SF 36, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +11.5; covers.
“i'll i'll take the redskins minus [36:29] minus one against the jets actually i'm at one and a half now so i gotta lay the bad number”
WSH 17, NYJ 34 — Washington margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.
“if that stays above 10, I'd take Arizona in a divisional game.”
SF 36, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +11.5; covers.
“I think we're getting five, five and a half with Miami.”
MIA 20, BUF 37 — Miami Dolphins margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I love the Texans in this spot. [46:35] Love it.”
BAL 41, HOU 7 — Houston Texans margin -34 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I was just looking at that game [47:46] and I absolutely do. [47:47] I think they're going to kill them.”
LAC 17, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“i am going to be on the raiders in this game just to be clear”
OAK 26, LAC 24 — Oakland Raiders margin +2 vs line +1; covers.
“That's a no-brainer to me. Take the Fins.”
IND 12, MIA 16 — Miami Dolphins margin +4 vs line +10; covers.
“And I would go with the Niners all day.”
SF 24, SEA 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Give me the Lions plus two and a half.”
CHI 20, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I just, I feel so good about Miami.”
IND 12, MIA 16 — Miami Dolphins margin +4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“we're taking the browns”
CLE 19, BUF 16 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I love the Bengals at plus 9.5 or 10.”
CIN 13, BAL 49 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -36 vs line +9.5; busts.
“another really sharp smart spot is San Fran where people are going to be looking at that and saying wow I getting six and a half with Russell Wilson”
SF 24, SEA 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I get a minus 7 Green Bay.”
GB 24, CAR 16 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line -5; covers.
“Give me the Dolphins plus 135.”
MIA 26, NYJ 18 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“Give me the Giants.”
NYG 18, DAL 37 — New York Giants margin -19 vs line +7; busts.
“That's the number seven horse, Alenac. [44:29] That's going to be a win bet.”
The horse referenced (transcribed as "Alenac," actually Alounak, #7) finished 5th in the Breeders' Cup Turf, won by Bricks and Mortar. (Winner: Bricks and Mortar; Alounak (#7) finished 5th.)
“Fourth race, four horse, Come Dancing.”
Come Dancing finished 6th in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, won by Splendora. (Winner: Splendora; Come Dancing finished 6th.)
“Let's get Yoshida home, Mike Smith.”
Yoshida finished 8th in the Breeders' Cup Classic, won by Vino Rosso. (Winner: Vino Rosso; Yoshida finished 8th.)
“A nice chalk spot is Carolina.”
CAR 30, TEN 20 — Carolina Panthers margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Chargers, Oakland, Baltimore are three picks for sure.”
LAC 26, GB 11 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +15 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I think for the Super Contest, I do like the Oakland side,”
OAK 31, DET 24 — Oakland Raiders margin +7 vs line -2; covers.
“I love Pittsburgh. I love Oakland. I love Cleveland. I love Baltimore. And I think I love the Giants.”
BAL 37, NE 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Eagles there.”
PHI 22, CHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +8 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Yeah, because I'm taking the Carolina Panthers.”
SF 51, CAR 13 — Carolina Panthers margin -38 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I love the dolphins.”
PIT 27, MIA 14 — Miami Dolphins margin -13 vs line +14.5; covers.
“I love Miami, plus 14.5 against Pittsburgh.”
PIT 27, MIA 14 — Miami Dolphins margin -13 vs line +14.5; covers.
“And I have faith in Jacoby Brissett,”
IND 15, DEN 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin +2 vs line -6; busts.
“I do really like the [58:05] Colts here, what Dan [58:08] was saying for the Super Contest”
IND 15, DEN 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin +2 vs line -6; busts.
“I'll take Green Bay.”
KC 24, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I would hate to do it to Darren, but I do like the Jags at home.”
JAX 29, NYJ 15 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line -5; covers.
“I kind of still like Denver at three.”
DEN 6, KC 30 — Denver Broncos margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“Baltimore-Seattle is a no-brainer to me. Take the Ravens. Go.”
SEA 16, BAL 30 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“I am going with the Philadelphia Eagles.”
DAL 37, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -27 vs line +3; busts.
“i i'm going to go with the raiders i i like this team plus the points”
GB 42, OAK 24 — Oakland Raiders margin -18 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love Oakland.”
GB 42, OAK 24 — Oakland Raiders margin -18 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love Chicago Bears.”
CHI 25, NO 36 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line -3.5; busts.
“The last game that I like, Kansas City as a five-and-a-half point favorite against Houston.”
KC 24, HOU 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line -5.5; busts.
“And so I'm taking it at minus three.”
MIN 38, PHI 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin +18 vs line -3; covers.
“Give me the Lions at plus four and a half.”
GB 23, DET 22 — Detroit Lions margin -1 vs line +4.5; covers.
“But if there's one I'd probably like more than the other, it's probably Jacksonville.”
JAX 6, NO 13 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I like the Jags in this game.”
JAX 6, NO 13 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“and I like Evans really, really big in this game.”
TB 26, CAR 37 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I like – I'll take Cincinnati plus 11.5.”
BAL 23, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +11.5; covers.
“Okay, I'm going to go with Houston, Texas again.”
HOU 53, ATL 32 — Houston Texans margin +21 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm on the Carolina Panthers.”
CAR 34, JAX 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Texans minus five, Panthers minus three and a half, Colts plus ten and a half, Cowboys minus three and a half, Denver plus six.”
DAL 24, GB 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm adding the Saints minus three and a half to the list.”
NO 31, TB 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So far, Darren and I agree on the Patriots minus 7,”
BUF 10, NE 16 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“playing really well and Jameis Winston is throwing better and playing better than he ever has And I love Bruce Arians as a coach There no way I not taking the Bucs at plus 11 against the Rams”
LAR 40, TB 55 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +15 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I do like the Chiefs as six point favorites over the Lions.”
DET 30, KC 34 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“Let's take the Texans, okay?”
HOU 10, CAR 16 — Houston Texans margin -6 vs line -5; busts.
“We're taking the Saints.”
NO 12, DAL 10 — New Orleans Saints margin +2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“yes that's my first pick”
DET 30, KC 34 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“i like that i going to make that bet”
JAX 20, TEN 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I am going to go with Indianapolis Colts minus two over the Atlanta Falcons.”
IND 27, ATL 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“I will bet the Cardinals, no matter what number you put up here.”
ARI 20, CAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin -18 vs line -1; busts.
“I like the Lions in that game, by the way.”
PHI 24, DET 27 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm with you on the Rams.”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going to take seven points with the Lions.”
PHI 24, DET 27 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“Rams minus 3 is my number 1 pick”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“But Arizona, for sure, I'm going to bet the money line on that game.”
ARI 20, CAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals lost; moneyline busts.
“So I would honestly take Cardinals on that side now,”
ARI 20, CAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin -18 vs line -1; busts.
“I told you that another one I really like I'm leaning with is the Rams.”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“Indy is another big lean.”
IND 27, ATL 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“But I do like the Chargers at 3 for just playing it safe.”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I am totally going to bet the Jags,”
JAX 20, TEN 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Giants plus two and a half against the Buffalo Bills, and I like them better than any pick you have.”
NYG 14, BUF 28 — New York Giants margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I've bet the Colts a plus three.”
TEN 17, IND 19 — Indianapolis Colts margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“i bet uh the panthers bucks under 49 and a half on thursday night”
CAR 14, TB 20 — Combined 34; under 49.5 covers.
“I bet the Cardinals at plus 13 and a half.”
BAL 23, ARI 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line +13.5; covers.
“Full disclosure, I bet the Bengals minus one.”
CIN 17, SF 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line -1; busts.
“I would take the Steelers in this game.”
PIT 26, SEA 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“but I think Cincinnati is the right play, minus one at home.”
CIN 17, SF 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line -1; busts.
“I like the Jets as two-and-a-half-point dogs at home.”
NYJ 3, CLE 23 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +2.5; busts.
“that I'd recommend at 18 and a half, we enter the Super Contest with the Patriots to cover against the Dolphins.”
MIA 0, NE 43 — New England Patriots margin +43 vs line -18.5; covers.
“I think I got Washington at six and a half”
WSH 21, DAL 31 — Washington margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I like Pittsburgh a lot.”
PIT 26, SEA 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“So this is a good spot for the Bengals.”
CIN 17, SF 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line -1; busts.
“but I do like L.A.”
DET 13, LAC 10 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I bet the Packers a plus three”
CHI 3, GB 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I got it at plus 4 against Kansas City”
JAX 26, KC 40 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -14 vs line +4; busts.
“So Carolina is another team, plus three, that I am on.”
CAR 27, LAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I got the Colts at plus 7”
LAC 30, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“It's the Texans plus seven against the Saints.”
NO 30, HOU 28 — Houston Texans margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“Minnesota, I didn't need much talking.”
MIN 28, ATL 12 — Minnesota Vikings margin +16 vs line -4; covers.
“We've got Tampa at pick, and we've got the Colts plus 6.5.”
TB 17, SF 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +0; busts.
“He likes taking the Cowboys over the Giants.”
DAL 35, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +18 vs line -7; covers.
“I like Tampa.”
TB 17, SF 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +0; busts.
“I definitely like the Colts in this one.”
LAC 30, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“If it went down to two and a half, I'd still take it because you're getting some value there.”
JAX 26, KC 40 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -14 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm checking the system now, so they think this should be Cowboys minus 10.”
DAL 35, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +18 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Minnesota Vikings, minus the four.”
MIN 28, ATL 12 — Minnesota Vikings margin +16 vs line -4; covers.
“Well, I got Georgia winning the national championship. So where do I fall on that?”
LSU won the 2019 national title; Georgia lost the SEC Championship to LSU and missed the CFP, so the bet loses.
“Well, I would bet Georgia winning the East.”
Georgia won the 2019 SEC East (clinching the division) and advanced to the SEC Championship Game, so the bet wins.
“I'll take Memphis at home to cover that, even though they are favored,”
MEM 15, MISS 10 — Memphis Tigers margin +5 vs line -6; busts.
“I think that Auburn is ultimately going to cover against Oregon,”
Auburn beat Oregon 27-21 in the AdvoCare Classic, a 6-point margin that covers as a 2.5-3.5 point favorite. (Auburn 27, Oregon 21)
“21, they're giving 21 at Vandy.”
VAN 6, UGA 30 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +24 vs line -21; covers.
“Yeah, I would still take Clemson to cover.”
Clemson blew out Georgia Tech 52-14, a 38-point margin that covers -37. (Clemson 52, Georgia Tech 14)
“Take Michigan and I'll put Georgia in.”
Michigan (9-4) did not make the 2019 College Football Playoff (LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, Oklahoma), so the bet loses.
“I bought the Indianapolis Colts at 18 to 1.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV; the Colts went 7-9 and missed the playoffs, so the Colts-to-win-Super-Bowl bet loses.
“The other team that I was high on to win their conference, the Dallas Cowboys at 10-1.”
The 49ers won the NFC; the Cowboys went 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the Cowboys-to-win-NFC bet loses.
“Give me the Steelers all day in that scenario.”
The Ravens (14-2) won the AFC North; the Steelers went 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the Steelers-to-win-AFC-North bet loses.
“i did wager on the browns over while i was uh at season i think i got it at 115 uh on the nine and a half win total”
The Browns went 6-10, under 9.5 wins, so the over-9.5-wins bet loses.
“I did wager on the Bears at plus 180 to win the NFC North.”
The Packers (13-3) won the NFC North; the Bears went 8-8, so the Bears-to-win-NFC-North bet loses.
“Devontae Adams is going to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns this year.”
Davante Adams had only ~5 receiving TDs in an injury-shortened 2019; Kenny Golladay/Evans/Kupp led with 11, so the bet loses.
“One of us sitting here at this table who's not revealing his chest here bet the Colts at 20 to 1.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV; the Colts went 7-9 and missed the playoffs, so the Colts-to-win-Super-Bowl bet loses.
“I bet the Cowboys to win the NFC at 10-1.”
The 49ers won the NFC; the Cowboys went 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the Cowboys-to-win-NFC bet loses.
“that you have Adam Scott as your best bet to win the tournament”
Shane Lowry won the 2019 Open at Royal Portrush; Adam Scott did not win, so the outright bet loses.
“I've bet on Justin Thomas at 30-1.”
Shane Lowry won the 2019 Open; Justin Thomas did not win, so the 30-1 outright bet loses.
“So I like Matt Kuchar a lot Long answer to say I like him”
Matt Kuchar finished at +2 (well outside the top 5) at the 2019 Open, so the top-five bet loses.
“I like Brooks Koepka,”
Brooks Koepka finished T4 (-6) at the 2019 Open while Dustin Johnson finished +3, so Koepka wins the head-to-head matchup.
“I'm all in on the over.”
Kentucky went 8-4 in the 2019 regular season, clearing the 5.5 line, so over 5.5 wins wins.
“but I told you that no matter what it is, I will go under.”
Tennessee's 2019 win total was 7.5 and they finished 8 regular-season wins (8-5 incl. bowl), so under their win total loses.
“Ohio State not and I just don think they going to get over 10 and I happily put my money on the under with these guys”
Ohio State went 13-0 in the regular season (Big Ten champs), blowing past 10 wins, so the under-10-wins bet loses.
“Look out for Eastern Washington week one and take the under on Washington.”
Washington finished 7-5 in the regular season (8-5 with bowl), under 10 wins, so the under-10-wins bet wins.
“But Missouri over eight, definitely.”
Missouri finished 6-6 with only 6 wins (postseason-banned), short of 8, so the over-8-wins bet loses.
“Over four, easy money.”
East Carolina finished 4-8 with exactly 4 wins, landing on the line of 4, so the over-4-wins bet pushes.
“BYU is a must-watch this year, and they're an over six and a half play.”
BYU finished 7-6 with 7 regular-season wins, over 6.5, so the over-6.5-wins bet wins.
“Give us your take on season win totals for the Pelicans as they stand. [3:49] I'll be over a lot. [3:50] It's in the low 30s.”
The 2019-20 Pelicans win total was 37.5 and they finished 30-42, so the over loses.
“So to me, with the number that you're getting at the Warriors, [17:22] that's at 10 at some places, [17:23] I think that you getting the best value on Golden State”
Golden State went 15-50 in 2019-20 and missed the playoffs (Lakers won the title Oct 11, 2020), so Warriors to win the championship loses.
“I'm still in the camp with the Raptors. [7:43] They're going to win this game regardless.”
GS 110, TOR 114 — Toronto Raptors won; moneyline covers.
“I do think the Raptors closed it out. And again, I can't believe I'm saying this. It's [15:13] because they're better.”
Toronto won the 2019 NBA Finals over Golden State 4-2, clinching June 13, 2019, so Raptors to win the Finals wins.
“insane that you're getting six points with the Toronto [22:52] Raptors. If you don't bet the Raptors at six, [22:54] get your head examined.”
GS 109, TOR 123 — Toronto Raptors margin +14 vs line +6; covers.
“Total at this game is at 213 [30:44] what are you thinking right now? [30:45] I'm thinking under”
GS 109, TOR 123 — Combined 232; under 213 busts.
“Give me your take on who wins the series. [33:43] Toronto in 7.”
Toronto won the 2019 NBA Finals series over Golden State 4-2, so Raptors to win the series wins (series-winner bet; exact game count irrelevant).
“All right, so you like Toronto in the series. [34:44] I like Golden State.”
Toronto won the 2019 NBA Finals over Golden State 4-2, so Warriors to win the series loses.
“It's not too soon to bet on the Colts.”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LIV on Feb 2, 2020; the Colts went 7-9 and missed the playoffs, so Colts to win the Super Bowl loses.
“I got the Mets to win the NL.”
Washington won the 2019 NL pennant; the Mets went 86-76 and missed the playoffs, so Mets to win the NL loses.
“And to win the World Series.”
Washington won the 2019 World Series; the Mets missed the playoffs, so Mets to win the World Series loses.
“I bought the Boston Red Sox a 12-1 when they were sort of mired in a little bit of a streak.”
Washington won the 2019 World Series; the Red Sox went 84-78 and missed the playoffs, so Red Sox to win the World Series loses.
“You're making me feel good because I laid the seven and a half tonight with Golden State, so I like it.”
GS 114, POR 111 — Golden State Warriors margin +3 vs line -7.5; busts.
- Toronto Raptors ML lost
- Denver Nuggets ML pending
“to parlay the raptors and nuggets money line it's plus 342 right now we could turn that 100 into a”
Parlay busts: Toronto Raptors ML — lost; Denver Nuggets ML — pending.
“So I like Denver for the series at minus 145.”
Portland beat Denver in seven games in the 2019 Western Conference Semifinals, so Denver -145 to win the series lost.
“I'm going to continue to bet the second period”
This describes a recurring live in-game strategy ('continue to bet the second period') with no single defined game, line, or price, so it is ungradable and treated as void.
“I'd take the plus 250 on Georgia to win the SEC.”
LSU beat Georgia 37-10 in the 2019 SEC Championship Game, so Georgia +250 to win the SEC lost.
“bet on Utah to win the Pac-12? Please, yes.”
Oregon beat Utah 37-15 in the 2019 Pac-12 Championship Game, so Utah +1000 to win the Pac-12 lost.
“If it's raining at Churchill Downs, it would be foolish not to bet that horse.”
Omaha Beach was scratched from the 2019 Kentucky Derby and did not run, so the conditional bet on him to win is void.
“I have a future on game winner.”
Game Winner finished off the board (around 5th) in the 2019 Kentucky Derby won by Country House, so the Game-Winner-to-win future lost.
“I think Tacitus at 10-1 is a good bet to hit the board.”
Tacitus finished 3rd in the 2019 Kentucky Derby (after the Maximum Security DQ), so the bet to hit the board won.
“Arizona Cardinals over five wins.”
Arizona finished 5-10-1 in 2019, exactly 5 wins, which does not clear an over 5 wins line (need 6+), so the over lost.
“I love the Browns still at nine,”
Cleveland finished 6-10 in 2019, falling short of the over 9 wins line, so the over lost.
“So I betting the under for the Saints I not really buying it I think people are just giving them too much credit because they should have made the Super Bowl maybe last year with the blown call But I not buying you know”
New Orleans finished 13-3 in 2019, far over the 10.5 line, so the under 10.5 wins lost.
“I bet them, I think,”
Indianapolis went 7-9 in 2019 and missed the playoffs, never reaching Super Bowl LIV (won by Kansas City), so the Colts Super Bowl future lost.
“I'm on Milwaukee on over 115 versus Detroit in a closeout game on the road”
Bucks scored 127 in the Game 4 closeout win at Detroit, well over the 115 team total. (Bucks 127, Pistons 104 (Apr 22 2019, NBA East 1st Round Gm 4))
“It's over 105.5, and I'm definitely on the over.”
HOU 100, UTAH 93 — Combined 193; over 109 covers.
“The other one I really like tonight is the Jazz under at 106.”
HOU 100, UTAH 93 — Combined 193; under 106 busts.
“Improbable can suck it I on Omaha Beach I with you too”
Omaha Beach held off Improbable to win the 2019 Arkansas Derby, so the win bet cashes.
“I love the prop to take the winner, the outright winner this week”
Tiger Woods (age 43) won the 2019 Masters, so the 'winner under age 50' prop wins.
“The Steelers are going to win the NFC North, the AFC North next year”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; Pittsburgh finished second and missed the playoffs, so the division future loses.
“I'm laying the five with Virginia”
UVA 63, AUB 62 — Virginia Cavaliers margin +1 vs line -5; busts.
“I love the under in this game”
MSU 51, TTU 61 — Combined 112; under 132.5 covers.
“I like the Indianapolis Colts at about 16 to 1 to win the Super Bowl”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV; the Colts missed the playoffs in 2019, so the Super Bowl future loses.
“I am going to bet the under on that”
The 2019 Browns finished 6-10, under 9 wins, so the under cashes.
“I'm going with Virginia, minus five and a half”
UVA 63, AUB 62 — Virginia Cavaliers margin +1 vs line -5.5; busts.
“But just eight and a half points at this level is just a lot of points.”
UVA 53, ORE 49 — Oregon Ducks margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I would lean to them plus the 7.5.”
GONZ 72, FSU 58 — Florida State Seminoles margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I think they win the game outright.”
MICH 44, TTU 63 — Texas Tech Red Raiders won; moneyline covers.
“Tennessee, I've got winning as well.”
TENN 94, PUR 99 — Tennessee Volunteers lost; moneyline busts.
“i actually like that game under because i think purdue is going to try to”
Purdue beat Tennessee 99-94 in overtime (193 combined points), well over the ~147 consensus total; the under lost. (Purdue 99, Tennessee 94 (OT) — total 193 vs O/U 147)
“So I really do like Kentucky.”
UK 62, HOU 58 — Kentucky Wildcats won; moneyline covers.
“love kentucky me too love kentucky the”
UK 62, HOU 58 — Kentucky Wildcats won; moneyline covers.
“I would take the points with LSU and Auburn in both of those games.”
MSU 80, LSU 63 — LSU Tigers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I would take the points with LSU and Auburn in both of those games.”
UNC 80, AUB 97 — Auburn Tigers margin +17 vs line +5; covers.
“So he would be my Cy Young prop, and I think that's a pretty good choice.”
Jacob deGrom won the 2019 NL Cy Young; Aaron Nola was not a finalist, so the bet loses.
“Chicago White Sox right now under 74 and a half.”
The White Sox finished 72-89 in 2019, under 74.5 wins, so the under wins.
“Arizona, over 74.5.”
The Diamondbacks finished 85-77 in 2019, over 74.5 wins, so the over wins.
“Atlanta, under 86.5.”
The Braves finished 97-65 in 2019, well over 86.5 wins, so the under loses.
“Chicago Cubs, under 89.5.”
The Cubs finished 84-78 in 2019, under 89.5 wins, so the under wins.
“Seattle, over 71.5.”
The 2019 Mariners finished 68-94, falling short of 71.5, so the over loses.
“Tampa Bay over 84.5.”
The 2019 Rays went 96-66, well over 84.5 wins, so the over cashes.
“Yeah, I like the over eight and a half touchdowns, too.”
Odell Beckham Jr. caught only 4 receiving TDs for the Browns in 2019, well under 8.5, so the over loses.
“The answer is the Pittsburgh Steelers at plus 250.”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; the Steelers finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the +250 division future loses.
“I think Pittsburgh is the play in here.”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; the Steelers finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the +250 division future loses.
“I think under 12 1⁄2 interceptions.”
Nick Foles threw only 2 interceptions in 2019 (broken clavicle limited him to 4 games), under 12.5, so the under wins.
“So Texas is one of my favorite ones at 12-1.”
Iowa State beat Kansas to win the 2019 Big 12 tournament on March 16, 2019; Texas did not win, so the future loses.
“You know, I got Kentucky at 28-1 right after the Duke game [42:48] because betters just jumped off of Kentucky for a while [42:53] because they look so bad.”
Virginia won the 2019 NCAA championship on April 8, 2019; Kentucky lost in the Elite Eight, so the title future loses.
“Yeah so that obviously going to benefit him and that why I kind of like the home run total over 34 I mean he going to play 81 games there and he just I think he going to crush”
Bryce Harper hit 35 home runs in 2019, clearing the 34.5 line, so the over (-125) wins.
“So we're on the overs all across the board here, [6:25] over 34 and a half home runs, which is minus 125 over 94 and a half RBI, which is minus 112 and [6:32] over batting average to 74, also minus 112.”
Bryce Harper drove in 114 RBI in 2019, clearing the 94.5 line, so the over (-112) wins.
“So we're on the overs all across the board here, [6:25] over 34 and a half home runs, which is minus 125 over 94 and a half RBI, which is minus 112 and [6:32] over batting average to 74, also minus 112.”
Bryce Harper batted .260 in 2019, below the .274 line, so the over (-112) loses.
“So I'm going to go with Virginia at plus 200 in the ACC tournament.”
Duke won the 2019 ACC tournament on Mar 16, 2019; Virginia (lost in the semifinals to Florida State) did not win, so the +200 bet loses.
“so you need me plus 250 on kansas in the big 12 that's where i'm gonna go”
Iowa State beat Kansas 78-66 in the 2019 Big 12 tournament final on Mar 16, 2019; Kansas did not win, so the +250 bet loses.
“i'd probably play kansas you know i'm gonna play kansas as well at the money”
Iowa State beat Kansas 78-66 in the 2019 Big 12 tournament final on Mar 16, 2019; Kansas did not win, so the +250 bet loses.
“I like Nevada tonight who's lost to Utah State last game for their third loss.”
AF 79, NEV 90 — Nevada Wolf Pack margin +11 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I like Butler against Xavier tonight.”
Butler beat Xavier 71-66. (Final: Butler 71, Xavier 66.)
“I like San Francisco at plus 961 because the Giants now are willing to go 10 years.”
Bryce Harper signed with the Philadelphia Phillies (13yr/$330M, announced Mar 1, 2019), not the Giants, so the +961 bet loses.
“But I love the Johnnies against Xavier tonight.”
Xavier beat St. John's 84-73. (Final: Xavier 84, St. John's 73.)
“So the three that actually made the final cut were West Virginia. [32:15] I mean, this is a great spot to fade TCU, who beat Iowa State over the weekend.”
West Virginia outlasted TCU 104-96 in triple overtime. (Final: West Virginia 104, TCU 96 (3OT).)
“I think this is the right time to play Ohio State. [33:31] They do have revenge from an earlier season matchup.”
OSU 90, IOWA 70 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +20 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And the other one is Texas A&M, plus 11, plus 12. [34:21] I love fading LSU in these spots because they're so young.”
LSU 66, TA&M 55 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -11 vs line +11.5; covers.
“and you know the line that vegas set on the red socks is 95 [1:40] and a half i found that very very low”
The Red Sox finished 84-78 in 2019, well under the 95.5 win total, so the over (-115) loses.
“it's the washington nationals they're over under is 87 and a half and i think [6:32] this is an absolute over the nationals”
The Nationals finished 93-69 in 2019 (and won the World Series), clearing the 87.5 win total, so the over wins.
“And the over is juiced to minus 150 as a result of it [15:06] The over-under is 82 and a half.”
The Rockies finished 71-91 in 2019, well under the 82.5 win total, so the over (-150) loses.
“the yankees over under 95 and a half here um same total as the red [23:19] socks ironically juiced a little bit to the over at minus 125 the under minus 105 i'm gonna go over [23:26] with the yankees paulie”
The Yankees finished 103-59 in 2019, far over the 95.5 win total, so the over (-125) wins.
“all right so you do [28:36] like the over on the angels right yeah i do okay i do”
The Angels finished 72-90 in 2019, under the 83.5 win total, so the over (-125) loses.
“the diamond backs bottom out the year yeah this is the year they [30:34] bought them out i'm with you i like that one as well”
The Diamondbacks finished 85-77 in 2019, above 77.5, so the under (-140) loses.
“the school robert morris okay they're minus four tonight uh hosting liu brooklyn [38:05] so you're on robert morris for kk l o kk that's paulie's lock of the day”
Robert Morris beat LIU Brooklyn 62-49, covering -4 comfortably. (Final: Robert Morris 62, LIU Brooklyn 49.)
“Birmingham versus Atlanta. [31:09] I do like Birmingham. [31:11] Luis Perez talked him up a ton. [31:12] And Atlanta is just so bad with Matt Sims. [31:15] There are a bunch of coaches that have left in the last month. [31:17] So I got Birmingham.”
Birmingham beat Atlanta 28-12 (AAF Week 3, played Feb 24); Birmingham won as picked. (Final: Birmingham Iron 28, Atlanta Legends 12)
“I went and bet Marquette, I bet Kansas State, and I bet Washington, [42:20] all at more than 100 to win the college basketball title”
Virginia won the 2019 NCAA championship on Apr 8, 2019; Marquette (a 5-seed eliminated in the second round) did not win the title, so the bet loses.
“I went and bet Marquette, I bet Kansas State, and I bet Washington, [42:20] all at more than 100 to win the college basketball title”
Virginia won the 2019 NCAA championship on Apr 8, 2019; Kansas State (eliminated in the first round) did not win the title, so the bet loses.
“I went and bet Marquette, I bet Kansas State, and I bet Washington, [42:20] all at more than 100 to win the college basketball title”
Virginia won the 2019 NCAA championship on Apr 8, 2019; Washington (eliminated in the second round) did not win the title, so the bet loses.
“They're, I think, a three-and-a-half-point favorite. [7:06] I'll lay it.”
GIA 164, LEB 178 — Team LeBron margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So we both have Team LeBron.”
GIA 164, LEB 178 — Team LeBron margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I am going with Dennis Smith Jr. in this one, actually.”
Hamidou Diallo won the 2019 NBA Dunk Contest, not Dennis Smith Jr., so this loses.
“I'm going to go with John Collins.”
Hamidou Diallo won the 2019 NBA Dunk Contest, not John Collins, so this loses.
“How do you not go with Seth Curry? [17:08] That's where I'm going.”
Joe Harris won the 2019 NBA Three-Point Contest; Seth Curry was not a participant, so this loses.
“I'm changing my Joe Harris.”
Joe Harris won the 2019 NBA Three-Point Contest (over Stephen Curry), so the +674 cashes.
“I like Doncic here.”
Jayson Tatum won the 2019 NBA Skills Challenge, not Luka Doncic, so this loses.
“I'm taking Jokic.”
Jayson Tatum won the 2019 NBA Skills Challenge, not Nikola Jokic, so this loses.
“I am betting on the Houston Texans because, you know, I love me some Deshaun Watson.”
The Texans lost in the divisional round of the 2019 playoffs; the Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV, so Houston loses.
“I'm betting on the Kansas City Chiefs.”
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV over the 49ers on Feb 2, 2020, so this future cashes.
“But I do like Green Book for Best Picture.”
Green Book won Best Picture at the 91st Academy Awards (Feb 24, 2019), so the +350 cashes.
“I am decidedly on the side of anybody who taking the Rams either honestly I might take them on the money line but I certainly liking them at two and a half and if it gets back to Sunday and I can get him at three all the better”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I like over 56.5.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Combined 16; over 56.5 busts.
“I'm not surprised if the Rams were doing it, [9:30] but I'm taking the Patriots on the money line.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“Give me a Cooks, Brandon Cooks, under 75.5 yards.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Brandin Cooks: 120 receiving_yards vs under 75.5; busts. (Brandin Cooks: 120 receiving_yards)
“It's actually my next pick is Michelle over 17 and a half carries.”
Sony Michel carried 18 times in Super Bowl LIII, clearing the 17.5 line for the over.
“I'm going to take orange and yellow, both at plus 400.”
The Patriots' Gatorade bath at Super Bowl LIII was blue, not orange or yellow, so the +400 picks lose.
“My first pick is minus 200. [14:29] I thought this was actually a pretty good line for minus 200. [14:31] I don't like to lay money, but they are going to mention, [14:33] Jim Nance and Tony Romo will mention the age gap between Bill Belichick and McVay.”
The Belichick-vs-McVay age gap (oldest vs youngest head coach) was a dominant broadcast storyline and was mentioned, so the Yes (-200) cashes.
“gladys knight to wear a dress [20:28] or a skirt when she sings the national anthem.”
Gladys Knight performed the national anthem in a long gown/dress at Super Bowl LIII, so the Yes (-210) cashes.
“So I'm just going to play the Rams because of that.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Coppin State tonight. [35:51] Plus two and a half at home against Bethune Cookman, who is 0 for 11 on the road.”
Coppin State beat Bethune-Cookman 95-91 outright at home (Jan 28, 2019, MEAC), an outright win that easily covers +2.5. (Final: Coppin State 95, Bethune-Cookman 91)
“First round pick, Patriots, money line. [15:51] Bet it, cash it, game over. [15:53] Patriots aren't losing this game.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“My next pick is going to be Todd Gurley under 123.5 rushing and receiving yards.”
Todd Gurley totaled roughly 36 rushing+receiving yards (35 rush, 1 rec) in Super Bowl LIII, well under 123.5 for the under.
“I'm going to go with some odds here and take plus 900. It's a bumble.”
The NFL's "100-Year Game" won USA Today's Super Bowl LIII Ad Meter, not Bumble, so the +900 loses.
“It is both teams to make a field goal of 33 yards or more.”
Gostkowski hit 42- and 41-yard field goals and Zuerlein hit a 53-yarder, so both teams made a 33+ yard field goal — Yes cashes.
“But I'm going to go with Steven Gostkowski. [16:51] The opening, his first kickoff is going to be a plus. [16:55] It's a plus 180. [16:56] That will be a touchback. [16:57] I'm going with yes.”
The Rams deferred and the Patriots received the opening kickoff, so Gostkowski did not make the opening kickoff and the Yes (+180) cannot cash.
“Yeah your second pick yes Sonny Michel over 72 rushing yards”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Sony Michel: 94 rushing_yards vs over 72.5; covers. (Sony Michel: 94 rushing_yards)
“Will Gladys Knight use a mic stand? [32:20] Right now it is at plus 125. [32:22] five The answer is no She has never used a mic stand”
Gladys Knight sang the anthem with a handheld mic and no mic stand, so the No-use-a-mic-stand pick (+125) cashes.
“so I'm taking Robert Woods over 69.5 yards.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Robert Woods: 70 receiving_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Robert Woods: 70 receiving_yards)
“Don't lay the points. [8:30] Just go on the money line. [8:31] Be confident in the win.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“No, I might actually go the Rams on the money line.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“so like now if i want to bet the rams i probably want to bet them on the money line which i'm going [25:26] to do i think that's what i'm going to do”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“The Saints are now three-point favorites. Uh-huh. And that's when I bet them.”
NO 23, LAR 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I bet them last night. I am waiting.”
NO 23, LAR 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I bet the Chiefs at minus three plus 100 on Sunday night. I got a really good number.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I like Kansas City here I remember when these two teams played earlier in the year at Foxborough and New England won the game by what was it three points”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“He said 54 and a half. As soon as it got to 54 and a half, I bet it.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Combined 68; over 54.5 covers.
“I think this is an over.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Combined 68; over 55 covers.
“I've been on the Saints all year.”
The Saints lost the NFC Championship to the Rams and did not reach Super Bowl LIII, so the future loses.
“I'm going with Jared Goff for the value.”
Jared Goff threw for 391 yards in the NFC Championship, the most of any QB across both conference title games that weekend (Brees 346, Brady 343, Mahomes 295) — the 'most passing yards' prop cashes at +285. (Goff 391, Brees 346, Brady 343, Mahomes 295)
“So I want the Kansas City Chiefs, but I want them at two and a half because I know it's going there and you're hesitating, and I feel it's unfair to take them at three when I know it's going to be at two and a half.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“But I am taking Kansas City. [17:50] I think they are the better team. [17:51] I don't think they're going to play some ridiculous soft zone all day [17:55] and let Tom Brady dink and dunk all over them all day long like the Chargers did.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“So I like Kansas city and the Rams at plus three 25.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; the Chiefs lost the AFC Championship to the Patriots, so the Chiefs-and-Rams exact-matchup bet loses.
“Yeah, I'm on the chalk here, Shorty. [23:16] I got the Chiefs and the Saints. [23:17] I think they're the two best teams.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; neither the Chiefs nor the Saints advanced, so the Chiefs-and-Saints exact-matchup bet loses.
“I think this is the play, Kansas City, in New Orleans, [23:41] because when going into it, everybody loved Indianapolis.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; neither the Chiefs nor the Saints advanced, so the Chiefs-and-Saints exact-matchup bet loses.
“Wentz is minus 500 I would have taken Wentz no matter what happened this week no matter what happened in the Super Bowl they got there Wentz is the better player He younger He the franchise future Wentz will start week one for the Eagles no doubt about it”
Carson Wentz started Week 1 of the 2019 season for the Eagles (and all 16 games), so the -500 bet wins.
“Kansas City's the play here. [9:05] Lay the five and a half.”
KC 31, IND 13 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +18 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I would like to bet you in this game You want to bet straight up Just head to head Yeah because I have decided I like the Colts at five and a half All right You want to bet a hundred bucks on it Sure Let do it All right”
KC 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I bet Dallas at the seven. [13:16] I took the seven. [13:17] I don't love it. [13:18] I don't feel great about it, but I think Dallas is the right side.”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“we were on the cowboys last week we liked them at minus one and a half we bet them um [13:39] i agree with you we're gonna side on this together”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I think the Chargers win this game outright.”
NE 41, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“I think I like the Patriots.”
NE 41, LAC 28 — New England Patriots margin +13 vs line -4; covers.
“I'm on the Eagles. [28:04] To be fair, I took the Eagles when it opened to plus 10. [28:07] 10 is too many points to give Big Dick Nick.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +10; covers.
“I think the Saints are going to kill him.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +6 vs line -8; busts.
“I'm betting on the White Sox.”
The White Sox finished 72-89 in 2019, under 74.5 wins, so the over loses.
“Chicago White Sox over 74 and a half wins.”
The White Sox finished 72-89 in 2019, under 74.5 wins, so the over loses.
“So I'm going with the Patriots at minus four.”
NE 41, LAC 28 — New England Patriots margin +13 vs line -4; covers.
“So I'm going to I'm going to I like the Cowboys. [43:09] I think seven points is a lot against the Rams. [43:12] I think the Cowboys defense are stepping up. [43:15] They're going to shut the Rams offense down.”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“Clemson. I got them at plus six.”
ALA 16, CLEM 44 — Clemson Tigers margin +28 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm taking Clemson on the money line here. I like them to win this”
ALA 16, CLEM 44 — Clemson Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“The more I talking about this I betting the Chiefs right now”
KC 31, IND 13 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +18 vs line -6; covers.
“But I like Indy plus six.”
KC 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“you are playing over come on yeah i already did um for 5.9 units”
KC 31, IND 13 — Combined 44; over 56 busts.
“uh i bet dallas already plus”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“the Chargers here. I bet this as soon as this line”
NE 41, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“The bet I like, the one I've made so far, Saints over 29.5 points.”
The Saints beat the Eagles 20-14 in the Divisional Round, scoring only 20 points, under the 29.5 team total, so the over loses.
“I took silly plus 10.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +10; covers.
“Dallas minus one against Seattle.”
DAL 24, SEA 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin +2 vs line -1; covers.
“Houston minus one against Indy.”
HOU 7, IND 21 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -1; busts.
“I also like the over.”
BAL 17, LAC 23 — Combined 40; over 41 busts.
“I would lean Clemson at it plus 196”
ALA 16, CLEM 44 — Clemson Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“Over Texans Colts 47.5.”
HOU 7, IND 21 — Combined 28; over 47.5 busts.
“First game I bet.”
CHI 15, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Chargers by 4.5. [2:39] Bingo! [2:40] Make it rain. Let's do it.”
LAC 10, BAL 22 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -12 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Give me the bills. [8:02] Give me Josh Allen. [8:04] Give me the points. [8:05] The dynasty's over.”
NE 24, BUF 12 — Buffalo Bills margin -12 vs line +13; covers.
“You go to Action Network, actionnetwork.com. [23:01] We do a story every week where we power rate and do the delta between our power ratings and the point spreads. [23:06] And the Bears right now are the number one difference, meaning they have the best value of any game.”
SF 9, CHI 14 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -4; covers.
“Love the Saints. [23:56] I love the Saints all year long. [23:58] Love the Saints.”
NO 31, PIT 28 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“I like Houston. [13:52] Darren likes Houston. [13:54] Darren likes J.J. Watt.”
PHI 32, HOU 30 — Houston Texans margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I've already bet the Seahawks on the money line to win this game.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“And you want the Chiefs minus two and a half. [28:26] And the Chiefs minus two and a half.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I've done the Packers as three-point favorites against the Jets, taking the Packers.”
NYJ 38, GB 44 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I am also taking the Patriots. [26:55] Minus 13.”
NE 24, BUF 12 — New England Patriots margin +12 vs line -13; busts.
“I'm going to take the Browns.”
CLE 26, CIN 18 — Cleveland Browns margin +8 vs line -8.5; busts.
“Seattle plus 115 boom look at book it done yeah you like that too right I love it yeah I mean”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Saints. [40:48] I'm going to take them on the spread, not the money line, just because why not get the points for some scooch roulette? [40:52] I'll bet them on the money line for real money, but in scooch roulette, I want the cushion.”
NO 31, PIT 28 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“But I do think those sharp guys are right on the Eagles. [40:29] And I know you like the Texans, but I think the Eagles with that only laying one and a half, the way they're playing, that's the one I'd go with.”
PHI 32, HOU 30 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“their defense is really good under [13:45] Mike Vrabel, and I'm going with the [13:47] Titans here on Saturday night. I hope we don't lose this parlay”
TEN 25, WSH 16 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“because i just think that army is just going to possess the ball plus houston's i'm starting a [16:31] freshman quarterback they lost their quarterback i know he's got a couple weeks to prepare and got [16:35] a little bit better but i just think army is going to run all day and all night all over houston”
ARMY 70, HOU 14 — Army Black Knights won; moneyline covers.
“I know I'm making a pick. [20:03] And I know I'm choosing Indianapolis to win.”
IND 28, NYG 27 — Indianapolis Colts won; moneyline covers.
“Antonio Gates for some reason can keep doing [23:04] it I like the Chargers big in this game”
LAC 10, BAL 22 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“Just to ching it, New England. [25:46] We're on the Chargers.”
NE 24, BUF 12 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“Los Angeles Rams [26:56] On the road [26:57] At the Arizona Cardinals”
ARI 9, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams won; moneyline covers.
“I think the crowd noise, everything kind of just [29:07] gets under Chiefs' skin. [29:08] I think Seattle wins this game outright.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“minus 12 just to win the game [33:21] so now our parlay is [33:24] probably down to maybe breaking even”
BYU 49, WMU 18 — BYU Cougars won; moneyline covers.
“Dallas over Tampa Bay at home. [36:03] Come on, guys.”
DAL 27, TB 20 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“We're still taking the Browns.”
DEN 16, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“So we're going to take Miami.”
MIN 41, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -24 vs line +7; busts.
“But I like the Colts at home as a short favorite.”
IND 23, DAL 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin +23 vs line -3; covers.
“Don't care. Don't care. Don't care. Seattle.”
SF 26, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“The New England Patriots are the bet from here until they either get eliminated or win the damn Super Bowl. Bet New England.”
PIT 17, NE 10 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“give me the colts give me the colts minus three”
IND 23, DAL 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin +23 vs line -3; covers.
“all right i'll take the niners”
SF 26, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Chiefs on the money line Thursday night.”
KC 28, LAC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“we'll go with the Ravens on the money line”
BAL 20, TB 12 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“We have the Chicago Bears to beat the Green Bay Packers.”
CHI 24, GB 17 — Chicago Bears won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going Indy Dallas under 47.”
IND 23, DAL 0 — Combined 23; under 47 covers.
“We are including the University of Michigan in our nine-team Moneyline Parlay.”
MICH 70, WMU 62 — Michigan Wolverines won; moneyline covers.
“Give me Fresno State and the Moneyline in the Vegas Bowl this weekend.”
FRES 31, ASU 20 — Fresno State Bulldogs won; moneyline covers.
“So choose the Rams.”
LAR 23, PHI 30 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“It's 100% Jacksonville.”
JAX 13, WSH 16 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML lost
- Baltimore Ravens ML won
- Chicago Bears ML won
- Under 47 won
- Appalachian State ML pending
- Michigan ML won
- Fresno State ML won
- Los Angeles Rams ML lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML lost
“That is our nine parlay choices”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — lost; Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Chicago Bears ML — won; Under 47 +47 — won; Appalachian State ML — pending; Michigan ML — won; Fresno State ML — won; Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost.
“I like the Browns here catching the two and a half.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think this is a win for the Giants, and I don't really mind laying the three and a half.”
BUF 23, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“But you're going to give me two and a half? [24:35] All day long, Arizona.”
ARI 3, DET 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Take the Patriots. [28:58] It's seven and a half. [28:59] They're going to kill the Dolphins.”
MIA 34, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin -1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I like the Bears here at home plus the three.”
CHI 15, LAR 6 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going to stick to my principles this week, and I'm going to pick the Buccaneers.”
TB 14, NO 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +8; busts.
“It was like, you're telling me Baker Mayfield and that defense do not have a shot against the Panthers? [31:24] I am going to bet that fucking game.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm going to hit Oakland.”
OAK 24, PIT 21 — Oakland Raiders margin +3 vs line +11; covers.
“I would take the Raiders plus the 11.”
OAK 24, PIT 21 — Oakland Raiders margin +3 vs line +11; covers.
“Tennessee Titans plus four. [48:45] I mean minus four.”
TEN 30, JAX 9 — Tennessee Titans margin +21 vs line -4; covers.
“I'll take a little side action with you on the Panthers and the Browns [48:57] I'll take the Browns in that game”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So, give me Baltimore [6:48] plus seven.”
KC 27, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“let's go to Arizona Cardinals plus two and a half at home against the Lions.”
ARI 3, DET 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I like the Browns here to win this game outright, and you give me a point, I'll take it.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“So I'll take the nine points in Buffalo.”
BUF 23, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +4 vs line +9; covers.
“So I like the Colts to plus the four and a half points.”
HOU 21, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“and I'm going to go with the Chicago Bears, [24:30] plus the points against the Rams at home.”
CHI 15, LAR 6 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Knights on the road Saturday, 4 p.m. Eastern, Golden Knights. [10:10] Moneyline.”
LA 5, VGK 1 — Vegas Golden Knights lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me the Patriots. [19:15] I'm laying the eight points.”
MIA 34, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin -1 vs line -8; busts.
“love the Jets take [27:10] them on the money line Blackjack says so I'm taking the Jets on the money line”
WPG 7, PHI 1 — Winnipeg Jets won; moneyline covers.
“Colts, lay the points. [9:37] This is a double-digit win.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -4; busts.
“Alright [17:11] Let's do it [17:13] Denver [17:14] We're going to bet Denver.”
CIN 10, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +14 vs line -4.5; covers.
“The game we're taking is the Lions.”
DET 16, LAR 30 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“We're going to take the Chiefs. [22:57] I'll break you in half. [22:58] We're going to take the Chiefs in this game.”
OAK 33, KC 40 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -14.5; busts.
“actually I like Minnesota here [24:42] me too [24:42] let's do it”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“I think the Colts are so hot right now. [26:39] It's a division game. [26:40] I took their money line minus 212.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Indianapolis Colts lost; moneyline busts.
“That seems like a lock, actually, to me now that I think about it. [27:02] The minus four, is it four and a half or four? [27:04] Four. [27:04] Four. [27:05] That seems like a lock.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going to take the Detroit Rock City Lions [49:23] plus 10 [49:24] against the Los Angeles Rams”
DET 16, LAR 30 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“I take the Vikings. [48:55] Vikings. [48:55] Wow. [48:57] Good job. [48:57] Well done. [48:58] Plus five.”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“So give me Texas plus seven and a half against Oklahoma this weekend. [11:18] I'll give you all the reasons why.”
OKLA 39, TEX 27 — Texas Longhorns margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“The Atlanta Falcons. [21:00] Fuck you.”
ATL 16, BAL 26 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“Let's go, Georgia, at plus 13 and a half right now.”
UGA 28, ALA 35 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
“So I'm going with [27:06] the Bucs here at [27:08] plus four. Tampa Bay”
TB 24, CAR 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +7 vs line +4; covers.
“I love Utah in this game so you can go ahead and cha it Plus four and a half right now”
WASH 10, UTAH 3 — Utah Utes margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I am going to go with the Minnesota Vikings plus seven against the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon.”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“So give me Buffalo here at minus three and a half.”
BUFF 29, NIU 30 — Buffalo Bulls margin -1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Let's do Kansas City money line.”
OAK 33, KC 40 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Give me Memphis plus three-and-a-half.”
PITT 10, CLEM 42 — Clemson Tigers margin +32 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I want to bet the Falcons in this game, [23:47] and I'm just going to wait to get the best of the number.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13.5; busts.
“I don't like it, but I have to take Atlanta. [52:03] Ah, you mother. [52:09] You have to. [52:10] It's 13 and a half points.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Steelers. [52:29] Yeah? [52:30] Yeah. [52:32] Minus three.”
DEN 24, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“Give me the Redskins and the points.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Washington Redskins margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I bet this line as soon as I saw it. [9:37] I love the Saints. [9:38] You and I both have futures on them. [9:40] Everyone knows that. [9:41] but you can't lay 13 in a divisional game with an offense as dangerous as the Falcons. [9:46] I like the Falcons.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13; busts.
“Jacksonville all day long [11:05] These are still the Buffalo Bills Chad”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“You want to bet a good team? [20:17] New England. [20:17] Lay it. [20:18] Done.”
NYJ 13, NE 27 — New England Patriots margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I actually love the Steelers in this spot, [24:15] and I hate betting road favorites, [24:18] but we're already throwing caution to the wind,”
DEN 24, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I personally love the Chiefs at plus three here. [2:51] It is not that I'm a Chiefs homer.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“And I'm going to take Kansas City on the money line [3:46] At plus 150 at a lot of books [3:48] I like the Chiefs outright in this game”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Washington State Cougars minus 3.5 against the Washington Huskies.”
WSU 15, WASH 28 — Washington State Cougars margin -13 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Atlanta plus 13 in New Orleans. [14:33] That line is, oh boy, it's crazy.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13; busts.
“I'm going to go here with the Oklahoma Sooners plus one in Morgantown, I guess West Virginia.”
WVU 56, OKLA 59 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“Matthew Stafford plus three and a half the Detroit Lions at home against the Bears”
DET 16, CHI 23 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I am going to punch it in I swear the Wolverines are such a better team than Ohio State”
OSU 62, MICH 39 — Michigan Wolverines margin -23 vs line -4; busts.
“This is going to be one of my picks. [29:06] I think Memphis is the real deal.”
MEM 52, HOU 31 — Memphis Tigers margin +21 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Cowboys are seven-and-a-half-point favorites here. [12:52] I'm taking the Redskins.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Washington Redskins margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I am taking the Wolfpack, minus six, against the Tar Heels.”
UNC 28, NCST 34 — NC State Wolfpack margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“The Bills hosting the Jaguars taking the Jaguars minus three and a half”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“but I will tell you [13:08] I like the Jags in this spot [13:12] yep I do too [13:13] alright we got a winner”
JAX 16, PIT 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +5.5; covers.
“The fact that this is only three and a half is a gift Lay the three and a half Dallas offense cannot hang with this Atlanta offense”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Let's go against our instincts. [21:16] Okay. [21:18] Let's bet the Chargers.”
LAC 22, DEN 23 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -1 vs line -7; busts.
“I absolutely like the Vikings here catching two and a half I would like the Vikings minus two [29:17] and a half, which is realistically what this line should be.”
CHI 25, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yeah, the Chiefs absolutely catching 3.5 here. [34:51] Like, when they moved this game back to L.A. and it was 3.5, you got to take it.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'd sprinkle a little something on the Chiefs' money line because that's a little juicy to me.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“I bet the Redskins plus three. [36:20] And I also bet the Seattle Seahawks, right?”
SEA 27, GB 24 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I bet the Redskins plus three.”
WSH 21, HOU 23 — Washington Redskins margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Falcons at minus three.”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I might have to just go with the Rams”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Monday night, Kansas City”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.”
NAVY 37, TLSA 29 — Navy Midshipmen margin +8 vs line -5; covers.
“Minus two and a half over the Green Bay Packers.”
SEA 27, GB 24 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I think Washington here covers the plus three.”
WSH 21, HOU 23 — Washington Redskins margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“The Atlanta Falcons minus three.”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Tennessee Titans plus three on the road at Indianapolis.”
IND 38, TEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -28 vs line +3; busts.
“So I think Cal's the play here at plus two at home.”
BAY 9, TCU 16 — Baylor Bears margin -7 vs line +2; busts.
“Yeah, Baltimore is a five-and-a-half point favorite. [33:21] Give me them, please.”
BAL 24, CIN 21 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“the Arizona Cardinals 3-1 over the Raiders.”
ARI 21, OAK 23 — Arizona Cardinals margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“You give Leonard Fournette the ball 35 times in this game and don't even think about Blake Bortles.”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I think Arizona can keep this within 17”
KC 26, ARI 14 — Arizona Cardinals margin -12 vs line +16.5; covers.
“We're laying six and a half with the Jets.”
NYJ 10, BUF 41 — New York Jets margin -31 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So we're going to take the Dolphins? [31:33] Yeah, all right.”
GB 31, MIA 12 — Miami Dolphins margin -19 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Cowboys are a bad team. [32:37] The Eagles, Golden Tate, nice addition, have a week to work him into the system.”
PHI 20, DAL 27 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Give me the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 28, ATL 16 — Cleveland Browns margin +12 vs line +5; covers.
“So I'm taking the dolphins.”
GB 31, MIA 12 — Miami Dolphins margin -19 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm also going to take the Seattle Seahawks as 10-point dogs on the road against the Los Angeles Rams.”
LAR 36, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +10; covers.
“i going with the jacksonville jaguars at plus three”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“No, I want the Jacks.”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Give me the Niners.”
SF 23, NYG 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“Give me Cal plus five at USC this weekend.”
ISU 28, BAY 14 — Baylor Bears margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“Give me the Memphis Tigers minus 14 against Tulsa.”
BC 7, CLEM 27 — Clemson Tigers margin +20 vs line -14; covers.
“The Seahawks plus 11 against the Rams.”
LAR 36, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +11; covers.
“And I think the 12.5 points is an easy lay here, and I think Arizona State's going to bury them.”
ASU 31, UCLA 28 — Arizona State Sun Devils margin +3 vs line -12.5; busts.
“We're doing the Bengals plus four.”
CIN 14, NO 51 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“They're laying 18 at UConn, and I can't lay those 18 quick enough.”
UCONN 50, SMU 62 — SMU Mustangs margin +12 vs line -18; busts.
“Taking Ohio State minus three and a half.”
MSU 6, OSU 26 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm taking Troy over Georgia State in a pick-em.”
GASO 21, TROY 35 — Troy Trojans margin +14 vs line +0; covers.
“We like the Washington Redskins minus one and a half against the Atlanta Falcons”
WSH 14, ATL 38 — Washington Redskins margin -24 vs line -1.5; busts.
“The point is the Vikings are the right side in this game.”
MIN 24, DET 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I love the Chargers in this game.”
SEA 17, LAC 25 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +8 vs line +2; covers.
“We like the New Orleans Saints minus one and a half against the Los Angeles Rams”
NO 45, LAR 35 — New Orleans Saints margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“And we like the Tennessee Titans plus six and a half against the Dallas Cowboys.”
DAL 14, TEN 28 — Tennessee Titans margin +14 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I like the Ravens at minus three.”
BAL 16, PIT 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“No, I like the Redskins.”
WSH 14, ATL 38 — Washington Redskins margin -24 vs line -1.5; busts.
“but it's gonna be nice when they beat the Rams”
NO 45, LAR 35 — New Orleans Saints margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I really like the Seahawks.”
SEA 17, LAC 25 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line -2; busts.
“I think the Saints win in a shootout here.”
NO 45, LAR 35 — New Orleans Saints margin +10 vs line +1; covers.
“Tennessee Titans plus six.”
DAL 14, TEN 28 — Tennessee Titans margin +14 vs line +6; covers.
“Why wouldn't I bet them as a short home favorite”
WSH 14, ATL 38 — Washington Redskins margin -24 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Tampa play plus seven against Carolina on the road.”
CAR 42, TB 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“I love the Ravens here, minus three, and a couple reasons why.”
BAL 16, PIT 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“So I like this play.”
SEA 17, LAC 25 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +8 vs line +1; covers.
“Give me the Wildcats.”
ARIZ 42, COLO 34 — Arizona Wildcats margin +8 vs line -4; covers.
“Penn State plus 10 at Michigan.”
MICH 42, PSU 7 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -35 vs line +10; busts.
“Give me the Baker Mayfield plus eight against the Kansas City Chiefs at home.”
CLE 21, KC 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -16 vs line +8; busts.
- New Orleans Saints +1 won
- Tennessee Titans +6 won
- Washington Redskins -1 lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 lost
- Baltimore Ravens -3 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers +1 won
- Arizona Wildcats -4 won
- Penn State Nittany Lions +10 lost
- Cleveland Browns +8 lost
“as everybody knows we're going to put $20 each on this 19 parlay if you do the same you will win $19,000”
Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints +1 +1 — won; Tennessee Titans +6 +6 — won; Washington Redskins -1 -1 — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 +7 — lost; Baltimore Ravens -3 -3 — lost; Los Angeles Chargers +1 +1 — won; Arizona Wildcats -4 -4 — won; Penn State Nittany Lions +10 +10 — lost; Cleveland Browns +8 +8 — lost.
“You have to take Carolina here.”
CAR 36, BAL 21 — Carolina Panthers margin +15 vs line +2; covers.
“I'm getting a short home favorite and a team that's better.”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line -3; busts.
“Green Bay at Los Angeles Rams Rams by nine and a half Packers so pack all day long all day Aaron”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +9.5; covers.
“This is Vikings all the way.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +0; busts.
“This is the easiest play on the board.”
BUF 6, NE 25 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -13.5; covers.
“I just clicked yes on the Broncos and passing the Ravens game.”
KC 30, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +10; covers.
“And it just, you know, I just clicked yes on the Lions.”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line -3; busts.
“but we're at the vikings minus one right now i bet the vikings moved it i bet the vikings i i bet”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line -1; busts.
“This next game is the Packers at Rams, Packers plus nine,”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“No, actually, I have to take the Packers. [55:18] Taking the Packers? [55:19] I really absolutely have to take the Packers plus that many points.”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Give me the Lions as three-point favorites at home against the Seahawks.”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“The Denver Broncos plus 10”
KC 30, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +10; covers.
“give me your rogers plus nine points you can get it as high as 10 some places and it's on the app”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +9; covers.
“So I give me the Browns plus eight and a half at Pittsburgh right now.”
PIT 33, CLE 18 — Cleveland Browns margin -15 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'm taking the under.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Combined 50; under 52 covers.
“Let's go Minnesota. [27:56] Vikings in the under.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“UCLA plus 10 at home against Utah.”
UCLA 10, UTAH 41 — UCLA Bruins margin -31 vs line +10; busts.
“Stanford Cardinal minus 3.5 over the Washington State Cougs”
STAN 38, WSU 41 — Stanford Cardinal margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I will, however, take the New York Giants.”
CHI 24, NYJ 10 — New York Jets margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
- Detroit Lions -2.5 lost
- Denver Broncos +10 won
- Green Bay Packers +9 won
- Cleveland Browns +8.5 lost
- Under 52 won
- Minnesota Vikings ML lost
- UCLA Bruins +10 lost
- Stanford Cardinal -3.5 lost
- New York Giants +1 lost
“A nine-team parlay. [48:05] Nine players. [48:06] Wow. [48:07] Well done. [48:08] Nine-team parlay to win $20,000.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Denver Broncos +10 +10 — won; Green Bay Packers +9 +9 — won; Cleveland Browns +8.5 +8.5 — lost; Under 52 +52 — won; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; UCLA Bruins +10 +10 — lost; Stanford Cardinal -3.5 -3.5 — lost; New York Giants +1 +1 — lost.
“I've already bet the Bears. [11:30] I've put real money on the Bears.”
CHI 31, NE 38 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Let's go with the Browns.”
TB 26, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“This is a good spot to hedge. [15:07] Let's go with the Saints.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I like the Redskins. [15:25] Me too.”
WSH 20, DAL 17 — Washington Redskins margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“So we're going to take the Chiefs here, right? [18:06] I guess so.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +35 vs line -6; covers.
“My Chicago Bears plus three [13:04] against the New England Patriots. [13:06] A lot of money coming into New England. [13:08] How do I not bet the Bears here?”
CHI 31, NE 38 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm on Baltimore here, Scooch. [34:07] I'm going against the Wise Guys.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -2; busts.
“And I want to bet the Redskins.”
WSH 20, DAL 17 — Washington Redskins margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I bet the Niners. I changed my mind just while you were talking.”
SF 10, LAR 39 — San Francisco 49ers margin -29 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Cardinals. [44:19] I think the Cardinals have a better chance to win that game than the Bears do.”
ARI 10, DEN 45 — Arizona Cardinals margin -35 vs line +3; busts.
“So I will take my first pick here, Jets plus three at home against the Vikings.”
NYJ 17, MIN 37 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +3; busts.
“getting three and a half points for a cincinnati team i think that's still not getting their due”
TEM 24, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Arizona Cardinals plus one and a half [10:17] at home against Denver.”
ARI 10, DEN 45 — Arizona Cardinals margin -35 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I don't see any way this game goes under 58.5.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Combined 55; over 58.5 busts.
“Okay I going to go with the Washington Redskins”
WSH 20, DAL 17 — Washington Redskins margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Chicago Bears plus three against the New England Patriots.”
CHI 31, NE 38 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Michigan State plus seven at home against Michigan.”
MSU 7, MICH 21 — Michigan State Spartans margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“I want to choose the Ravens, minus two and a half.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“San Francisco 49ers plus dead against the Los Angeles Rams.”
SF 10, LAR 39 — San Francisco 49ers margin -29 vs line +10; busts.
- New York Jets +3 lost
- Cincinnati +3.5 lost
- Arizona Cardinals +1.5 lost
- Over 58.5 lost
- Washington Redskins -1.5 won
- Chicago Bears +3 lost
- Michigan State +7 lost
- Baltimore Ravens -2.5 lost
- San Francisco 49ers +10 lost
“We have the New York Jets plus three at home against the Minnesota Vikings. [39:46] We have the Cincinnati Bearcats plus three and a half.”
Parlay busts: New York Jets +3 +3 — lost; Cincinnati +3.5 +3.5 — lost; Arizona Cardinals +1.5 +1.5 — lost; Over 58.5 +58.5 — lost; Washington Redskins -1.5 -1.5 — won; Chicago Bears +3 +3 — lost; Michigan State +7 +7 — lost; Baltimore Ravens -2.5 -2.5 — lost; San Francisco 49ers +10 +10 — lost.
“We are at Arizona plus 10 against Minnesota.”
MIN 27, ARI 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +10; pushes.
“The Redskins at home with this line, that's the right side.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Washington Redskins margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“I love Denver at 7. [18:45] This is the Westgate just giving it to us.”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“i love denver i do too i bet i bet denver at seven”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“We are the Tennessee Titans, plus 2.5 against the Baltimore Ravens.”
TEN 0, BAL 21 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I am going to take the New England Patriots, [22:10] the home favorite, with a disadvantage line, [22:13] because I think they're going to kill the Chiefs in this game.”
NE 43, KC 40 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“this is a game i bet because i want to get the best of the [11:41] number cincinnati minus two and a half against pittsburgh in cincinnati i bet the bangles a two [11:48] and a half.”
CIN 21, PIT 28 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Here's a game I did bet. [14:40] You ready? [14:41] Yep. [14:42] And I bet it New England minus three. [14:46] before it moved to three and a half.”
NE 43, KC 40 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I going with the Chargers in this one I so tempted to play it right now so I can get the best of the number”
CLE 14, LAC 38 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +24 vs line -1; covers.
“Well, I just bet it.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Washington Redskins margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“What if allegedly I would have bet the Denver Broncos at plus seven against the Los Angeles Rams?”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I love the Patriots. [38:16] Oh, no. [38:18] Oh, no, you didn't.”
NE 43, KC 40 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I love the Bengals here.”
CIN 21, PIT 28 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“and that's the New England Patriots minus three against the other Schwartz's Chiefs.”
NE 43, KC 40 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“and my pick is going to be on the total in this game, but now it's at 59.”
NE 43, KC 40 — Combined 83; under 59 busts.
“give me Oakland plus three at home against the Seahawks”
OAK 3, SEA 27 — Oakland Raiders margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“Off a bye week, USC Trojans. [26:17] Minus seven against the Colorado Buffaloes. [26:20] Book it.”
USC 31, COLO 20 — USC Trojans margin +11 vs line -7; covers.
“Give me the Washington Redskins minus two at home against the Carolina Panthers.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Washington Redskins margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I get three and a half points for the Oregon Ducks, a team off a bye,”
ORE 30, WASH 27 — Oregon Ducks margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Buffalo plus 8.5 against Houston.”
HOU 20, BUF 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I like the Tennessee Titans, plus two and a half.”
TEN 0, BAL 21 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Give me the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 13, TEN 12 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I jumped on this bad boy, and I think, too, when it opened.”
NYJ 34, DEN 16 — Denver Broncos margin -18 vs line +1; busts.
“Russell Wilson is going to backdoor this in the fourth quarter.”
SEA 31, LAR 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“I love the Cardinals this week more than anything I can imagine this football season.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +4; covers.
“You're getting a home underdog in which their opponent is getting nearly 80% of the action.”
CLE 12, BAL 9 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I have bet them on the money line.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“I talked Matt into it.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“I bet the Bills plus three and a half.”
BUF 13, TEN 12 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Full disclosure, I bet it at 7.5.”
SEA 31, LAR 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So if that's the case, then I'm going to go ahead and take Buffalo.”
BUF 13, TEN 12 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Panthers”
CAR 33, NYG 31 — Carolina Panthers margin +2 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I like Kentucky here.”
TA&M 20, UK 14 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“and I'll take the points in Arizona.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +4; covers.
“I like Illinois.”
RUTG 17, ILL 38 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +21 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'll take Andrew Luck in the 10 points.”
NE 38, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“I'm going with the Houston Texans.”
HOU 19, DAL 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I am going to go with the Washington Redskins as seven-point underdogs next week.”
NO 43, WSH 19 — Washington Redskins margin -24 vs line +7; busts.
“I would like to choose the Atlanta Falcons as four-point underdogs.”
PIT 41, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -24 vs line +4; busts.
“Seattle plus seven and a half at home against the Los Angeles Rams.”
SEA 31, LAR 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
- Carolina Panthers -6.5 lost
- Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 won
- Washington Redskins +7 lost
- Kentucky Wildcats +6 push
- Indianapolis Colts +10 lost
- Atlanta Falcons +4 lost
- Arizona Cardinals +4 won
- Houston Texans -3 push
- Seattle Seahawks +7.5 won
“Boys, I believe we have a nine team parlay.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers -6.5 -6.5 — lost; Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 -2.5 — won; Washington Redskins +7 +7 — lost; Kentucky Wildcats +6 +6 — push; Indianapolis Colts +10 +10 — lost; Atlanta Falcons +4 +4 — lost; Arizona Cardinals +4 +4 — won; Houston Texans -3 -3 — push; Seattle Seahawks +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“We got the Denver Broncos plus five [37:18] against the Kansas City Chiefs.”
DEN 23, KC 27 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +5; covers.
“We got the [37:21] New York Giants plus [37:23] three and a half against the New Orleans [37:25] Saints.”
JAX 31, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -19 vs line +3.5; busts.
“We have the [37:27] Indianapolis Colts, minus [37:29] one against the Houston Texans.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -1; busts.
“We have the [37:33] New England Patriots, minus six and a half [37:35] against the Miami Dolphins,”
NE 38, MIA 7 — New England Patriots margin +31 vs line -6.5; covers.
“and we have [37:37] the Cincinnati Bengals, plus five.”
ATL 36, CIN 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +1 vs line +5; covers.
“I released a goddamn video [24:26] in front of a green screen yesterday [24:28] afternoon taking them on the money line.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.
“I saw this game when I saw it on Sunday night I saw the Colts as two favorites [15:08] And I will say that I bet it immediately.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -2; busts.
“But I am definitely going to bet the Raiders this week. [38:13] In fact, I actually just bet them at minus 2.5, minus 105.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Oakland Raiders margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I just bet the Broncos at plus five and a half, minus 105. [47:45] I did it while you were talking.”
DEN 23, KC 27 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Well, you have to bet the Cardinals because all the money is going to be on the road favorite. [41:35] Like, if I'm going to believe in my philosophy, I have to do that with the Cardinals.”
ARI 17, SEA 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I will tell you right now I am going to bet the Titans in this game And I think we know the reason they haven gotten sort of any national attention”
TEN 26, PHI 23 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I do love the Broncos, but I'm going to go with the Colts against the Texans.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
- BYU +16.5 lost
- Hawaii -14 pending
- Indianapolis Colts -2.5 lost
- Denver Broncos +4 push
- East Carolina -5.5 lost
- Oakland Raiders -3 push
- Detroit Lions +3.5 won
- Minnesota Vikings +6.5 lost
- Arizona Cardinals +3 push
“Here is our nine-team parlay. [46:28] BYU, plus 16.5 at Washington. [46:32] Hawaii, minus 14 at San Jose State. [46:36] Indianapolis Colts, minus 2.5 at home against Houston. [46:40] The Denver Broncos, plus 4 against the Kansas City Chiefs. [46:44] East Carolina, minus 5.5 against Old Dominion. [46:50] Oakland, minus 3 versus the Cleveland Browns. [46:54] Detroit, plus 3.5 against Dallas.”
Parlay busts: BYU +16.5 +16.5 — lost; Hawaii -14 -14 — manual; Indianapolis Colts -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Denver Broncos +4 +4 — push; East Carolina -5.5 -5.5 — lost; Oakland Raiders -3 -3 — push; Detroit Lions +3.5 +3.5 — won; Minnesota Vikings +6.5 +6.5 — lost; Arizona Cardinals +3 +3 — push.
“BYU is only allowing 17 points a game. [12:45] So a defensive game against two teams I think that are matched well. [12:48] And BYU is not getting any love. [12:50] I want the points here.”
WASH 35, BYU 7 — BYU Cougars margin -28 vs line +16.5; busts.
“You have to get on this line right now. [15:27] Hawaii minus, it's 13.5 now. [15:29] I got on it last night at 11.5.”
Hawaii edged San Jose State 44-41 in 5 overtimes (CFB Week 5); a 3-point margin fell well short of covering -11.5. (Final: Hawaii 44, San Jose State 41 (5 OT))
“but my first pick is going to be Indy [18:18] as a two and a half point home favorite [18:22] against the Houston Texans.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I going to like I said I need to go against what I would normally do here And I am going Denver plus four”
DEN 23, KC 27 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +4; pushes.
“Minus five for the Pirates. [28:08] You're betting East Carolina right now? [28:11] I don't know, man. [28:12] I think Paul is on to... [28:14] I already bet this game in every app.”
ECU 37, ODU 35 — East Carolina Pirates margin +2 vs line -5; busts.
“Chad Millie Monster picks the Oakland Raiders as three-point favorites at home against Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Oakland Raiders margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“Lions in the Cowboys in Dallas plus three and a half [35:45] for a couple reasons here.”
DAL 26, DET 24 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Do you want to hear my other pick, Millie Monster? [43:25] The Minnesota Vikings.”
LAR 38, MIN 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I am 100% in on the Cardinals. [45:46] All right. [45:47] I'll change it. [45:48] I'll do Arizona plus three.”
ARI 17, SEA 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“so i still like him at six and a half i actually think the colts have a chance to win this game outright”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +6.5; covers.
“i'm taking the three points with new orleans”
ATL 37, NO 43 — New Orleans Saints margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CAR 31, CIN 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“Kansas City may still win this game but I kind of like San Francisco catching six and a half here”
KC 38, SF 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I can handle laying two points here.”
SEA 24, DAL 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
“I love the Colts in this game.”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“No one's going to like this one, but the Steelers. Don't do it. Against the bucket.”
TB 27, PIT 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“I like the Indianapolis Colts.”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“So now you have Cincinnati plus three, a team who's 2-0, who's playing really well right now. They look like a playoff team. They look like the 2015 team. They're still getting no respect. And so I think this is a great play at plus three on Sunday.”
CAR 31, CIN 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“And I think that Minnesota is just going to absolutely bury them. And the line is 16.5. It's by far the biggest line.”
MIN 6, BUF 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin -21 vs line -16.5; busts.
“There's already 77% of money on Oakland, and they lost today. They haven't played good ball yet, and I just feel like this is another way to fade the public in this game.”
MIA 28, OAK 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Indianapolis Colts plus seven against the Philadelphia Eagles Here my logic Number one Andrew Luck”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“But I'm going over 54.5. A ton of points NFL. Chiefs and 49ers.”
KC 38, SF 27 — Combined 65; over 54.5 covers.
“and lay your six and a half points and lose all your money while Paula Duca bets the Tennessee Titans the Fighting Vrabels plus six and a half Book it Dano Give me a reason”
JAX 6, TEN 9 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I am going to go with the Cleveland Browns. Oh, my God. Minus three and a half over the New York Jets.”
Browns beat the Jets 21-17 (NFL Week 3, Thu Sep 20, 2018), a 4-point margin that covers -3.5. (Final: Cleveland Browns 21, New York Jets 17)
- Cincinnati Bengals +3 lost
- Minnesota Vikings -16.5 lost
- Mississippi State -10 pending
- Miami Dolphins -3.5 won
- Washington State +4.5 pending
- Indianapolis Colts +7 won
- Over 54.5 won
- Tennessee Titans +6.5 won
- Cleveland Browns -3.5 pending
“It's going to be a nine-team parlay. We're going to put down $60. It pays off $20,000.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Bengals +3 +3 — lost; Minnesota Vikings -16.5 -16.5 — lost; Mississippi State -10 -10 — pending; Miami Dolphins -3.5 -3.5 — won; Washington State +4.5 +4.5 — pending; Indianapolis Colts +7 +7 — won; Over 54.5 +54.5 — won; Tennessee Titans +6.5 +6.5 — won; Cleveland Browns -3.5 -3.5 — manual.
“I think this is a yes for us. [9:05] I think so too. [9:05] I like the Colts plus six.”
WSH 9, IND 21 — Indianapolis Colts margin +12 vs line +6; covers.
“at a pick i would lean to houston here”
TEN 20, HOU 17 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +0; busts.
“I like this one. [20:58] I love this one.”
LAR 34, ARI 0 — Arizona Cardinals margin -34 vs line +12.5; busts.
“We're on the Giants. [28:39] That's a yes.”
NYJ 12, MIA 20 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“It's all about the hook to me. [31:08] Three and a half. [31:09] I like it.”
CHI 24, SEA 17 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I have already bet the Jaguars at plus two.”
JAX 31, NE 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +11 vs line +2; covers.
“i have bet already the arizona cardinals as 13 point underdogs in this game”
LAR 34, ARI 0 — Arizona Cardinals margin -34 vs line +13; busts.
“But it's a little inflated, and I think the Colts plus the 5.5 is the play here.”
WSH 9, IND 21 — Indianapolis Colts margin +12 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Panthers plus six against the Falcons.”
ATL 31, CAR 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“So a rivalry game here. [8:10] I like the Giants plus three.”
NYJ 12, MIA 20 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“Missouri is going to blow out Purdue. [11:30] Purdue is awful. [11:32] But Missouri minus seven.”
PUR 37, MIZ 40 — Missouri Tigers margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
“So I'm going with BYU plus 23.”
WIS 21, BYU 24 — BYU Cougars margin +3 vs line +23; covers.
“Philly minus three at Tampa. [18:23] Tampa is not very good.”
TB 27, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“We're going to go in New Mexico, minus six.”
NMSU 25, UNM 42 — New Mexico Lobos margin +17 vs line -6; covers.
“There's no way I'm taking the Pittsburgh Steelers in this game. [26:52] I'm going with the Kansas City Chiefs plus five.”
PIT 37, KC 42 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +5 vs line +5; covers.
“My last pick on this part, if we ever get to it, is the fighting Herm Edwards Sun Devils minus three and a half.”
SDSU 28, ASU 21 — Arizona State Sun Devils margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So we're at under 44.5. [42:41] That's what you're going with? [42:42] Yes.”
BUF 20, LAC 31 — Combined 51; under 44.5 busts.
“Give me the home team as a short favorite in the Florida Heat [45:07] with one of the best defenses in the NFL.”
JAX 31, NE 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +11 vs line +1.5; covers.
- New York Giants +3 lost
- Missouri -7 lost
- BYU +23 won
- Philadelphia Eagles -3 lost
- New Mexico -6 won
- Kansas City Chiefs +5 won
- Arizona State -3.5 lost
- Under 44.5 lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 won
“Our 19 parlay, $20 in, $19,000 out, something crazy odds.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants +3 +3 — lost; Missouri -7 -7 — lost; BYU +23 +23 — won; Philadelphia Eagles -3 -3 — lost; New Mexico -6 -6 — won; Kansas City Chiefs +5 +5 — won; Arizona State -3.5 -3.5 — lost; Under 44.5 +44.5 — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 +1.5 — won.
“New York Giants, plus three against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
NYG 15, JAX 20 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“New York Giants, plus three against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
NYG 15, JAX 20 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“Plus three against the Indianapolis Colts.”
IND 23, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“Plus three against the Indianapolis Colts.”
IND 23, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Tennessee Titans minus one and a half over the Miami Dolphins.”
MIA 27, TEN 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Tennessee Titans minus one and a half over the Miami Dolphins.”
MIA 27, TEN 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Denver Broncos minus three over the Seattle Seahawks.”
DEN 27, SEA 24 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Denver Broncos minus three over the Seattle Seahawks.”
DEN 27, SEA 24 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus three and a half against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 21, PIT 21 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +0 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus three and a half against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 21, PIT 21 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +0 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Not only do I want to do it, I have gone into the Action Network app and made that pick.”
NE 27, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I loved it at 7 [9:52] I played it at 7 [9:53] but I don't like 7.5”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin +44 vs line -7; covers.
“I loved it at 7 [9:56] I played it at 7 [9:56] we're moving on”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin +44 vs line -7; covers.
“I played it at 44 just so people can know that.”
CAR 16, DAL 8 — Combined 24; under 44 covers.
“which isn't a bad thing i mean uh yeah i took the falcons i took the falcons at three and a half”
PHI 18, ATL 12 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I bet them at minus 7.”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin +44 vs line -7; covers.
“You know what else I love in this game? I love the under.”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Combined 50; under 40 busts.
“I love the Saints You know I bought like a Saints to win the Super Bowl ticket at 18 I think they the best team in the conference I have full faith in them”
The Patriots beat the Rams in Super Bowl LIII; the Saints lost the NFC Championship to the Rams in OT and never reached the Super Bowl, so the Saints +1800 future loses.
“um i got the under at 44 by the way and uh like a lot of a lot of narratives happening here”
CAR 16, DAL 8 — Combined 24; under 44 covers.
“the one game [45:57] where I still have a lot of confidence [45:59] no matter what the number is [46:00] Houston Texans plus 6.5”
NE 27, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I think the Giants run over and have already invested in that at six and a half.”
The Giants finished 5-11 in 2018, well under 6.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I have already bet the Giants as home underdogs in week one.”
NYG 15, JAX 20 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.
“They happen to be two teams where I am holding 20-1 tickets to win the Super Bowl in my pocket right now.”
The Saints lost the NFC Championship to the Rams and did not win Super Bowl LIII, so the +2000 future loses.
“They happen to be two teams where I am holding 20-1 tickets to win the Super Bowl in my pocket right now.”
The Texans won the AFC South but lost in the Wild Card round and did not win Super Bowl LIII, so the +2000 future loses.