“About a month ago, our friends at BetMGM, I fired off on the Rams to have the most wins in the entire National Football League. Got that at plus 850.”
Brad Evans
Guest · 256-320-1 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 3-7 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 250 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | prop | spread | total | moneyline | futures | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBB | 9-17-31% | 67-59+2% | 22-14+17% | 11-19-27% | 7-15+52% | 2-8-53% | 0-2 | 118-134-2% |
| NFL | 71-89-11% | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-9-81% | 1-3 | — | 76-105-16% |
| MLB | 28-43-18% | 2-4-34% | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | — | 36-51-14% |
| NBA | 10-15-18% | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-1 | — | 13-18-12% |
| WNBA | 5-6-8% | 1-1 | — | — | — | 0-1 | — | 6-8-14% |
| CFB | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | — | 6-4+18% |
Picks
580 total · 2 pending“I think it's like 5-1 odds, which is also the same odds the Rams have of winning the Super Bowl. And I grabbed that at plus 750 about a month ago.”
“[19:26] Nico Horner over one and a half. [19:29] HRR also known as I'm out. [19:34] Oh, Brad Evans, who is a Cubbies fan, giving us a baseball bet for tonight.”
Nico Hoerner cleared the combined hits, runs, and runs-batted-in line. (Nico Hoerner: 4 H, 0 R, 2 RBI; H+R+RBI 6)
“[23:32] Junior Camonero over one and a half total bags.”
Junior Caminero cleared the total-bases line with a home run. (Junior Caminero: 1 H, 1 HR, 4 total bases)
“Muchas gracias, Moises Ballesteros, over! One and a half HRR, I'm out!”
Moises Ballesteros went 2-for-4 with a double, 1 run, and 0 RBI (2 hits + 1 run + 0 RBI = 3) against the Dodgers on April 24, 2026, clearing the 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs line (ESPN box score). (Ballesteros: 2 hits, 1 run, 0 RBI)
“I think St. John's has an excellent shot of springing the upsets. So being the CEO of team, give me the Johnnies, baby. I ain't betting against Rick Pitino.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's 80-75 in the Sweet 16, so the St. John's moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, the biggest key, I think, for Michigan State is spring the upset, and I think they will. I took them on the money line yesterday at plus 110 there at Ben GM.”
67-63 — UConn beat Michigan State 67-63 in the Sweet 16, so the Michigan State moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Still, I like the Cyclones. I think there's exceptional value right now on the line, going from 4.5 to 3.5. So I'm going to lay the chickity chalk chalk.”
62-76 — Tennessee beat Iowa State 76-62, so Iowa State's -3.5 spread busts by 14 (ESPN box score).
“Santa Clara, Kentucky. I know the West Coast Conference, St. Mary's was awful yesterday. Gonzaga and look at all that great game against Kennesaw State. But I like the Broncos. Steve Nash, you, I took him straight up on the money line against a Kentucky team that is wildly erratic. I love the guard play of Santa Clara, and they got bigs that are functional. Bucky Oboye at 7'1", has really improved his game in touch around the rim, a very good rim protector overall. I like the matchup against him and Malachi Moreno in the paddle of the bigs in this contest. But Alan Graves, I think, is going to be a difference maker. Christian Hammond, who's shooting for 40% from distance, will be a difference maker. Give me Santa Clara straight up on the money line against Kentucky.”
Kentucky 89, Santa Clara 84 — Kentucky beat Santa Clara 89-84 in overtime in the NCAA Tournament first round; Santa Clara's moneyline bet busted (ESPN).
“And I may be a little crazy with the cheese ways, Kostos, but I think Miami, Ohio is going to win another game. They really impressed the pants off of me in that first four matchup. And granted, it is a step up in weight class going from SMU to Tennessee, but Tennessee has had some massive offensive droughts. They are highly contingent on the offensive glass, and that will make the Volunteers ultra competitive in this game. But the cutting action, the passing, the shot making from beyond the arc is elite of Miami, Ohio. I did sprinkle a little action on them to win this game straight up there at BetMGM. So give me the Red Hawks.”
Tennessee 78, Miami (Ohio) 56 — Tennessee routed Miami (Ohio) 78-56 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Miami (Ohio)'s moneyline bet busted (ESPN).
“Oh, I can't wait, amigo. Missouri on the money line. Plus one ten against the other Miami of Florida. I'm out.”
Miami (Florida) 80, Missouri 66 — Miami (Florida) beat Missouri 80-66 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Missouri's moneyline bet busted (ESPN).
“or the Michigan Wolverines, which I also have a ticket at plus 450. They show no weaknesses as well.”
69-63 — Michigan defeated UConn 69-63 to win the 2026 NCAA men's basketball championship (ESPN box score).
“Look, I still have tickets out on the Houston Cougars to win the national title. Gratom at 9-1 to achieve that.”
69-63 — Michigan won the 2026 NCAA championship, defeating UConn 69-63; Houston did not win the title (ESPN box score).
“I think my I-L-L-Illinois-Fanagalana are still in that conversation as well. Advanced Metrics Darlings. I made the drive over to Indiana earlier this season. And Gratom at BetMGM at 20-1 for them to cut down the nets.”
69-63 — Michigan won the 2026 NCAA championship, defeating UConn 69-63; Illinois did not win the title (ESPN box score).
“And a team I still feel is undervalued right now, the Florida Gators. I grabbed a ticket on them at BetMGM a few weeks back at 13-1 to win back-to-back national titles.”
69-63 — Michigan defeated UConn 69-63 to win the 2026 NCAA championship; Florida did not win the title (ESPN box score).
“I think Blake Corham is going to splash six. Give me him in the anytime touchdown market. I grab it at a plus at 135.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Blake Corum left the Falcons-Rams game early with an ankle injury after 6 carries for 18 yards and did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score).
“bjohn robinson 50 plus receiving hours at plus 125 i'm out”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Bijan Robinson caught 5 passes for 34 receiving yards against the Rams, short of the 50-yard line (ESPN box score). (Bijan Robinson: 34 receiving yards)
“I love Olamide Zaccheaus on the over three and a half receptions, and I grabbed that at plus 115.”
22-16 — Zaccheaus caught 2 of 5 targets in the Bears' 22-16 OT win over Green Bay; the over 3.5 receptions bet lost (ESPN). (Olamide Zaccheaus: 2 receptions)
“Nico Collins, anytime touchdown. I'm out.”
23-21 — Texans beat Raiders 23-21; Nico Collins had 4 catches for 59 yards but did not score a touchdown, so the anytime TD prop lost (ESPN). (Nico Collins: 4 receptions, 59 yards, 0 TD)
“oh i know what it is vanderbilt minus nine and a half there you go”
VAN 77, MEM 70 — Vanderbilt beat Memphis 77-70, a 7-point margin that falls short of -9.5 (ESPN box score).
“I already took Colby Parkinson any time, touchdown at plus 240.”
Colby Parkinson finished with 2 catches for 21 yards and no touchdown as Seattle beat the Rams 38-37 in OT, so the anytime-touchdown prop loses (ESPN box score). (Colby Parkinson 2 rec, 21 yds, 0 TD)
“I took Tennessee last night on the money line and uh I was at plus 100”
TENN 83, LOU 62 — Tennessee beat Louisville 83-62, so the Tennessee moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“give me the balls I will lay the three and a half against the Louisville Cardinals”
TENN 83, LOU 62 — Tennessee beat Louisville 83-62, a 21-point margin that covers -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“Jalen Wright, all I need is the over on 17 and a half rush yards. And we cash at a minus 115 there at BetMGM.”
Steelers 28-15 Dolphins — The Steelers beat the Dolphins 28-15; Miami's ground game was limited and Jalen Wright did not clear 17.5 rushing yards.
“Greg Dolchich over 16 and a half receiving yards. I'm out.”
28-15 — Greg Dulcich caught 2 passes for 46 receiving yards in Steelers 28, Dolphins 15; clears the 16.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Greg Dulcich: 46 receiving yards (2 rec))
“Arizona minus one half against Alabama I'm out”
ARIZ 96, ALA 75 — Arizona beat Alabama 96-75; Arizona's margin of +21 covers -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“So Rachaad White, over 16 and a half rush yards is my favorite bet.”
29-28 — Falcons beat Buccaneers 29-28; Rachaad White rushed for 20 yards, over 16.5 covers. (ESPN box score) (Rachaad White: 20 rushing yards)
“Yeah, I took the under in Iowa, Iowa State. I grabbed at 142 and a half.”
66-62 — Iowa State beat Iowa 66-62 (128 combined); under 142.5 covers. (ESPN box score)
“So give me the Iowa Hawkeyes, if anything, plus the 11.5”
66-62 — Iowa State beat Iowa 66-62; Iowa covers +11.5 (lost by only 4). (ESPN box score)
“although I do like Syracuse, minus 13 and a half against St. Joe's”
71-63 — Syracuse beat Saint Joseph's 71-63; Orange's -13.5 spread busts (won by only 8). (ESPN box score)
“Baker Mayfield over 18 and a half rush yards. I'm out!”
29-28 — Falcons beat Buccaneers 29-28; Baker Mayfield rushed for just 1 yard, under 18.5. (ESPN box score) (Baker Mayfield: 1 rushing yard)
“The actual number is 73 and a half. So what's the call here? Over, under. Over.”
HOU 40, ARI 20 — Nico Collins caught 3 passes for 85 receiving yards in the Texans' 40-20 win over the Cardinals; over 73.5 covers (ESPN). (Nico Collins 85 receiving yards)
“Nebraska. I got them last night at plus money on the money line.”
NEB 90, WIS 60 — Nebraska beat Wisconsin 90-60; Nebraska moneyline covers (ESPN).
“I'd still lay right now the one and a half against Wisconsin.”
NEB 90, WIS 60 — Nebraska beat Wisconsin 90-60; Nebraska -1.5 covers by 28.5 (ESPN).
“I took about plus four and a half, taking on the UConn Huskies.”
UCONN 77, FLA 73 — UConn beat Florida 77-73; Florida +4.5 covers, losing by 4 (ESPN).
“I L L minus two and a half against Ohio state. I'm out.”
ILL 88, OSU 80 — Illinois beat Ohio State 88-80; Illinois -2.5 covers by 5.5 (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the over on 10.5 receiving yards. Grabbed it earlier today there at BetMGM.”
22-19 — Omarion Hampton caught 2 passes for 11 receiving yards in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over Philadelphia, clearing the 10.5 line (ESPN box score). (Omarion Hampton: 11 receiving yards)
“indeed i've taken the under on saquon markley 70 and a half rush yards at a minus 115”
22-19 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 122 yards on 20 carries in the Eagles' OT loss to the Chargers, well over the 70.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 122 rushing yards)
“I'm going to take the over on 12 and a half rush attempts against the Buffalo Bills.”
39-34 — Chase Brown carried the ball 12 times for 23 yards in Buffalo's 39-34 win over Cincinnati, falling under the 12.5 rushing-attempts line (ESPN box score). (Chase Brown: 12 rushing attempts, 23 rushing yards)
- Drake Bulldogs moneyline
- Gonzaga Bulldogs moneyline
“Two-leg parlay in college hoops tonight. Drake, I love the Drake, on the money line. And Gonzaga on the money line. Plus 140.”
Drake lost to UAB 74-69 despite Gonzaga beating Kentucky 94-59; a parlay needs every leg to win, and the Drake leg busts (ESPN). (UAB 74, Drake 69; Gonzaga 94, Kentucky 59)
“I think first is 65 wins in this game because there's not going to be a whole lot of possession. So I took the under. I had open a 136.5. It's down to 133.5. I'd still play it.”
MSU 71, IOWA 52 — Michigan State beat Iowa 71-52 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); the combined 123 points clears the under 136.5.
“And I'm going to lay it with UConn. I grabbed it at 1.5. It's now jumped at 2.5.”
CONN 61, KU 56 — UConn beat Kansas 61-56 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Huskies' +5 margin covers -1.5.
“over 17.5 yards, the longest reception, and a minus 115.”
Mack Hollins' longest reception against the Giants was 11 yards on 3 catches for 23 total yards, per the ESPN box score; his longest catch does not clear the 17.5-yard line. (Mack Hollins: 3 rec, 23 yds, long of 11)
“Middle Tennessee State Moneyline. Yeah, I'm betting on it.”
MTSU 76, UAB 61 — Middle Tennessee beat UAB 76-61 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Blue Raiders' moneyline cashes.
“That's going to be Mark Andrews. The only might-likeest play is going to be Isaiah Likely, who, by the way, can get north at 2-1 odds to do exactly that at BetMGM for Andrews. It's at a plus 115”
CIN 32, BAL 14 — Mark Andrews finished with 4 catches for 47 yards and 0 touchdowns as Cincinnati beat Baltimore 32-14; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Mark Andrews: 4 rec, 47 yds, 0 TD)
“Gonzaga, minus one and a half. And a monster matchup tonight. I'm out.”
MICH 101, GONZ 61 — Michigan routed Gonzaga 101-61; Gonzaga's -40 margin busts laying -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I did a live dive actually in the Cincinnati Houston game. I grabbed it on the live total under 147 and a half.”
TENN 76, HOU 73 — Tennessee beat Houston 76-73 in the Players Era Championship; the combined 149 points busts the live under 147.5 (ESPN).
“Auburn plus five and a half against Michigan. I'm out!”
MICH 102, AUB 72 — Michigan routed Auburn 102-72; the 30-point margin busts Auburn +5.5 (ESPN).
“I think Oregon is prime for the upset in this one. Hell, I'll just take him straight up on the money line against them Tigers.”
Auburn 84, Oregon 73 — Auburn beat Oregon 84-73 (ESPN); Oregon moneyline busts.
“Tetairoa McMillan 75 plus receiving yards a little baby cities manages there at a plus 105”
Tetairoa McMillan caught 2 passes for 35 receiving yards (ESPN box score), short of the 75+ line. (Tetairoa McMillan: 35 receiving yards)
“Rico Dowdle over 16.5 receiving yards.”
San Francisco 20, Carolina 9 — Rico Dowdle caught passes for 36 receiving yards (ESPN box score), covering the over 16.5. (Rico Dowdle: 36 receiving yards)
“I took Texas Tech yesterday a plus four and a half immediately when that line opened Purdue has been very unimpressive to me”
Purdue 86, Texas Tech 56 — Purdue beat Texas Tech 86-56 (ESPN); Texas Tech lost by 30, busting the +4.5 spread.
“And give me Andre Yoshivas. I'll take the over on 32 and a half receiving yards. Way too low of a number.”
New England 26, Cincinnati 20 — Andrei Iosivas caught 4 passes for 61 receiving yards (ESPN box score), covering the over 32.5. (Andrei Iosivas: 61 receiving yards)
“Xavier Hutchinson over 13 and a half receiving yards. I'm out.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — Xavier Hutchinson caught 1 pass for 9 receiving yards in Houston's 23-19 win over Buffalo, under the 13.5 line (ESPN box score). (Xavier Hutchinson: 9 receiving yards)
“So give me Arizona plus a four and a half. And I got a better number yesterday at six and a half. So good on me.”
Arizona 71, UConn 67 — Arizona beat UConn 71-67 outright, easily covering +6.5 (ESPN box score).
“So trying to bury the bias, but looking objectively, I-L-L! I'll easily lay the two and a half of the United center.”
Alabama 90, Illinois 86 — Alabama beat Illinois 90-86; Illinois lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm riding a sweat right now with Michigan State. I know we're on opposite sides of the ledger. I bet them at plus five and a half.”
66-83 — Michigan State beat Kentucky 83-66; Michigan State's +5.5 margin of +17 covers.
“Look, I will lay it with the Dukies, baby. And the biggest reason why is simple. Darren Peterson's not going to play. He is an all-world freshman for Kansas, a scoring machine. I think they're just kind of a very average team without him on the floor being a shot producer and a scoring provider. And you look at Duke, they've got a bunch of wagons. Cam Boozer's kids there are just amazing. The better of the Boozer brothers is going to probably go on and drop like 20 and 12 tonight. He's already a frontrunner for the K-POY Offensive Player of the Year. That's Ken Palm's Player of the Year award. So I know the line has jumped from 7.5 to 10.5, but it is warranted. Duke is far and away the better team. Again, knowing that Kansas got issues on the class. Again, knowing that Kansas are going to be without their best player in Darren Peterson. Go with the Dukies, baby!”
78-66 — Duke beat Kansas 78-66; Duke's -10.5 margin of +12 covers.
“Gentlemen, Santa Clara minus 15 and a half. I'm out.”
64-55 — Santa Clara beat Idaho State 64-55 on Nov. 18, 2025 (Santa Clara's only game that date), a margin of +9 that misses the -15.5 line.
“I have about a dozen tickets open tonight because I need something to keep me entertained in Raiders and Cowboys Give us your one favorite bet the one bet to rule them all in Raiders and Cowboys Oh it going to be on the Dak attack but it not going to be with his coveted arm It going to be on the ground with hopefully those wildly spinning legs. I'm taking the over on three and a half rush attempts, gentlemen, at a plus 125.”
DAL 33, LV 16 — Dak Prescott had 4 rushing attempts, covering the over 3.5 (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 4 rushing attempts)
“UCSB, the Gauchos! Minus three and a half tonight against Loyola Marymount. I'm out!”
LMU 78, UCSB 74 (OT) — UC Santa Barbara lost outright 78-74 in overtime to Loyola Marymount, failing to cover -3.5 (ESPN).
“That took Pat Fryer anytime touchdown at plus 240”
PIT 34, CIN 12 — Pat Freiermuth had 1 catch for 19 yards and did not score; Kenny Gainwell and Tee Higgins scored the Steelers/Bengals touchdowns (ESPN box score).
“We'll give it right now. Arizona minus one and a half. I'm out.”
ARIZ 69, UCLA 65 — Arizona beat UCLA 69-65, a 4-point margin that covers -1.5 (ESPN).
“I'm going to go with the Oakland Golden Grizz on the over. Team total against Houston? Yeah, believe it or not, that's just being 53.5 points. This is a team I think is going to be flirting with 60 points. Houston does lock you down defensively, but this total is way too low. And a team that hung top with Purdue in their last game, scored over 60 in that one. I don't think they'll get to the 60 mark, but I think they will get over the 53 and a half and we cash in. I booked out a minus 105 early day at BetMGM.”
78-45 — Houston beat Oakland 78-45; Oakland scored 45 points, under its 53.5 team total (ESPN game summary). (Oakland 45 points)
“Franz Wagner over one and a half main threes.”
124-107 — Franz Wagner went 2-for-7 on three-pointers as the Magic beat the Knicks 124-107; over 1.5 made threes won (ESPN box score). (Franz Wagner: 2 made threes (2-7 3PT))
“I do like Kentucky plus the points. I mean, the line has really climbed throughout the entire day. They're in a battle of the Bluegrass they've taken on Louisville. It opened at four and a half at BetMGM, and last I saw was at six and a half, and I'll take Big Blue Nation to score the cover, if not the outright upset.”
LOU 96, UK 88 — Louisville beat Kentucky 96-88; Kentucky's margin (-8) fell short of the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Illinois minus four and a half. Hells to the S. I'm out.”
ILL 81, TTU 77 — Illinois beat Texas Tech 81-77; margin of victory (+4) fell short of the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me A.J. Brown over 56 and a half receiving yards of the primetime lights tonight.”
A.J. Brown caught 2 passes for 13 receiving yards as the Eagles beat the Packers 10-7, well under the 56.5 line (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown 2 rec, 13 yards)
“Yeah, it's an eye, guys. I took it on the money line.”
UNC 87, KU 74 — North Carolina beat Kansas 87-74 outright, covering the moneyline (ESPN).
“They were North Carolina minus three and a half. I think the size of Visser, the transfer from Arizona, along with Caleb Wilson at six foot ten, Visser runs at seven foot. You look at Kansas. They don't have that kind of size to match. They're like 6'3 to 6'8 overall on that roster. So give me the Tar Heels of fighting Michael Jordans, baby. Hebert Davis might get those fiery bones off the hot seat. I think they're going to cover tonight and bludgeon KU inside. I'll lay the three and a half.”
UNC 87, KU 74 — North Carolina beat Kansas 87-74; North Carolina won by 13, covering the -3.5 spread (ESPN).
“Kyle Monungay, anytime touchdown, I'm out.”
Kyle Monangai scored an 8-yard rushing touchdown in the 1st quarter as the Bears beat the Giants 24-20 (ESPN play-by-play). (Monangai 8-yard rushing TD; CHI 24, NYG 20)
“I'm taking the over on four and a half catches for Tre Tucker at a plus 120 there at BetMGM.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Tre Tucker caught 2 passes for 28 yards in the Raiders' 7-10 loss to the Broncos, well under the 4.5-reception line (ESPN box score). (Tre Tucker: 2 receptions, 28 yards)
“rj harvey anytime touchdown plus 210 i'm out”
DEN 10, LV 7 — RJ Harvey did not score a touchdown in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders; Denver's only touchdown was a Troy Franklin reception (ESPN recap).
“LMU minus seven and a half. That's Loyola Marymount, you jackwagons. I'm out.”
70-62 — Loyola Marymount beat Eastern Washington 70-62; the 8-point margin covers the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Texas Longhorns, the number's gotten way too damn high. It is now 10 and a half. I will take the points all day today”
75-60 — Duke beat Texas 75-60; the Longhorns lose by 15, busting the +10.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Gentlemen, I'm taking the under Hawaii, Oregon, 146.5. I'm out.”
60-59 — Oregon beat Hawaii 60-59; combined 119 points is under 146.5 (ESPN box score).
“I think Arizona is a live dog in this game. I would sprinkle a little action on them taking this bad boy straight up at a plus 135.”
Arizona 93, Florida 87 — Arizona beat Florida 93-87 (ESPN); Wildcats moneyline wins.
“I grabbed it at 164.5. I would play it to 162.5, still slam that under.”
Arizona 93, Florida 87 — Arizona beat Florida 93-87 (ESPN); combined 180 points busts the under 164.5.
“Bam Knight anytime touchdown plus 130. I'm out.”
Bam Knight had 2 catches for 20 yards and no touchdown in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); anytime TD scorer loses. (Bam Knight 0 touchdowns (2 receptions, 20 yards))
“Hunter Henry under 34 and a half receiving yards, my top play of NFL week nine.”
Hunter Henry caught 4 passes for 51 receiving yards in the Patriots' 24-23 win over Atlanta (ESPN box score); the under 34.5 loses. (Hunter Henry 4 receptions, 51 receiving yards)
“Jaxson Dart anytime touchdown plus 200.”
Jaxson Dart rushed for a touchdown in San Francisco's 34-24 win over the Giants (ESPN box score); the anytime TD scorer bet wins. (Jaxson Dart 1 rushing touchdown)
“I got to open at one-and-a-half. It's up to two-and-a-half. I'd still play that over.”
Tagovailoa rushed once for 1 yard, under 1.5 rushing yards; busts. (Tua Tagovailoa 1 rushing yard)
“DeAndre Hopkins over one and a half receptions at plus 125.”
Hopkins finished with 0 receptions on 1 target, under 1.5 receptions; busts. (DeAndre Hopkins 0 receptions)
“Gentlemen, I'll take the over one-a-half in the HRR. Hits plus runs plus RBI, also known as HRR. I grabbed it at minus 105 earlier today. They're at BetMGM.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a home run, 1 run, and 1 RBI (3 combined hits+runs+RBI) in World Series Game 5, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1 hit, 1 run, 1 RBI)
“Anthony Davis 13 plus rebounds at plus 115 against the Pacers I'm out”
Anthony Davis played only 7 minutes and had 4 rebounds as the Mavericks beat the Pacers 107-105, under the 13-rebound line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Davis: 4 rebounds)
“100-plus rush yards.”
Derrick Henry rushed for 119 yards as the Ravens beat the Dolphins 28-6, clearing the 100+ line (ESPN). (Derrick Henry: 119 rushing yards)
“shane bieber under two and a half walks at a minus 120 i'm out”
Shane Bieber walked 3 batters in World Series Game 4, over the 2.5 line, so the under lost (ESPN box score). (Shane Bieber: 3 walks allowed)
“I got to go with my guy Burchard Smith I going to go the alt market I see he gets three or more receptions at plus 155”
Brashard Smith recorded 0 receptions (3 carries, 8 rushing yards, no catches) in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over Washington (Oct 27, 2025); the 3+ receptions prop busts (ESPN box score). (Brashard Smith: 0 receptions)
“xavier worthy over four and a half rush yards i'm out”
Xavier Worthy had 0 rushing yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over Washington (Oct 27, 2025); the over 4.5 rushing yards prop busts (ESPN box score). (Xavier Worthy: 0 rushing yards)
“I took the over on 15 and a half receiving errors. I play this. Maybe the alt market at 25 plus. That's significant plus money, but sticking with the standard line at a minus 120 juice.”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — Jalen Nailor had 0 receiving yards on 0 catches as the Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10, missing over 15.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Nailor: 0 receiving yards)
“Quentin Johnston, anytime touchdown at plus 160. I'm out.”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — Quentin Johnston did not score a touchdown as the Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10; the TDs went to Ladd McConkey, Oronde Gadsden, Tre' Harris, Jordan Addison, and Kimani Vidal (ESPN box score).
“Bobby Portis over. Six and a half rebounds against the Wiz. I'm out!”
MIL 133, WSH 120 — Bobby Portis had 6 rebounds as the Bucks beat the Wizards 133-120 on Oct 22, 2025; 6 falls short of the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (Bobby Portis: 6 rebounds)
“I'm going to take the over on three and a half dames in the upper night for the Dubs taking on the L.A. Lakers. They're in the battle of the Golden State. You look at the Lakers last season. I really spoke out a lot of areas defensively, especially trying to stop the basketball. They allow the eighth most opponent assists per game. hopefully it's going to carry over the new year no lebron with that nerve issue obviously uh also the lakers uh gave up the 13th most points per possession on defensive basis hey look at pods he went six seven and five times in three of the four matchups against the la lakers averaging 3.4 assists per game so just under that is what he averaged i think he's going to be north of that average in the opener. Minimum, minimum, folks, five assists. And all we need is four to cash in at a plus 105.”
GS 119, LAL 109 — Brandin Podziemski had 2 assists, under the 3.5 line (ESPN box score). (Brandin Podziemski: 2 assists)
“Austin Reaves over 22 and a half points”
GS 119, LAL 109 — Austin Reaves scored 26 points, clearing the 22.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Austin Reaves: 26 points)
“I'm going to do a little barnstorming for A.J. Barner. Give me the over on 25 and a half receiving yards here against H-Town. I know Houston's number three in dropback EBAD, entering the week, and only one tight end has gone over this number against them this season. They're giving up 35 yards per game to the position specifically, but it's because they run a ton of zone. They have the third highest zone scheme rate of any team in the National Football League. Entering week seven, running that scheme on 80.1% of the snaps played. Barner has cashed over on 25.5 receiving yards in three straight games. He's top 12 in yards per route run, though he's only averaging 3.2 targets per game. I don't think it's going to be quite the OCC. Yeah, you know me, but I think you'll get a couple of grabs and exceed 25.5 receiving yards and a minus 115 juice at BetMGM.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — AJ Barner had 7 receiving yards on 1 catch, well under the 25.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (AJ Barner: 7 receiving yards)
“Cade Otton, 50 plus receiving yards at plus 165. I'm out.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Cade Otton had 65 receiving yards, clearing the 50+ line (ESPN box score). (Cade Otton: 65 receiving yards)
“Luke McCaffrey giving it over on 22 and a half for you. CV Guards, that's it, folks. It just posted live on BetMGM, and I grabbed it immediately.”
Luke McCaffrey had 0 receptions on 2 targets for 0 yards in the Cowboys' 44-22 win over Washington, well under the 22.5-yard line (ESPN recap). (Luke McCaffrey: 0 receptions, 0 yards)
“I take the over as well On longest grab at 15 and a half”
Luke McCaffrey recorded 0 receptions in the Cowboys' 44-22 win over Washington, so he had no reception to clear the 15.5-yard longest-reception line (ESPN recap). (Luke McCaffrey: 0 receptions)
“George Kittle under 53 and a half yards this weekend. I'm out.”
SF 20, ATL 10 — George Kittle was held without a catch (0 receiving yards) in the 49ers' 20-10 win over Atlanta, covering the under 53.5 (ESPN recap). (George Kittle: 0 receptions, 0 receiving yards)
“Hey, Ron, Aaron Rodgers, give me the over on one and a half passing touchdowns.”
Aaron Rodgers threw 4 touchdown passes as the Bengals beat the Steelers 33-31 on Oct 16, 2025; over 1.5 passing TDs won (ESPN box score). (Aaron Rodgers threw 4 passing touchdowns)
“George Kirby over 15 and a half outs at an even Steven plus 100 odds. I'm out!”
George Kirby was pulled after 4.0 innings (12 outs) in ALCS Game 3 on Oct. 15, 2025, allowing 8 earned runs as the Blue Jays routed the Mariners 13-4; 12 outs is under the 15.5-out line, so the over lost. (George Kirby: 4.0 IP (12 outs), 8 ER, 8 H, 4 K, 2 BB)
“Brewers money line. I got it at plus 110 yesterday. I'm out.”
LAD 5, MIL 1 — Dodgers beat Brewers 5-1 in NLCS Game 2 on Oct 14, 2025; Milwaukee's moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“give me room and dunce to have the most receiving yards in the match of tonight against the commanders plus 140 right now at bet GM.”
Rome Odunze had 32 receiving yards on 2 catches; running back D'Andre Swift led the game with 67 receiving yards, so Odunze did not lead the game (ESPN box score). (Rome Odunze: 32 receiving yards; D'Andre Swift led with 67)
“Rico Donald, gentlemen. I took him to the Anytime Touchdown Market. I grabbed it immediately at BetMG. I'm going to line open a couple of days ago at plus 100.”
Rico Dowdle caught a 36-yard touchdown pass in the Cowboys-Panthers game; anytime TD hits (ESPN box score). (Rico Dowdle: 30 rush, 183 yds, 0 rush TD; 4 rec, 56 yds, 1 rec TD)
“USC minus two and a half. I'm out.”
USC 31, MICH 13 — USC beat Michigan 31-13; margin +18 covers -2.5 (ESPN).
“Jahan Dotson i'm taking the over on eight and a half receiving yards i grabbed it earlier today at a minus 110 juice”
Jahan Dotson had 17 receiving yards against the Giants, clearing the over 8.5 (ESPN). (Jahan Dotson: 17 receiving yards)
“A.J. Brown to lead the game in receiving yards at plus 145. I'm out!”
A.J. Brown had 80 receiving yards against the Giants, but Dallas Goedert led the game with 110 receiving yards, so Brown's bet to lead the game lost (ESPN). (A.J. Brown 80 yards; Dallas Goedert led with 110 yards)
“show hey oh tani show me the money i'm gonna take them over a half an rbi at plus 120”
Shohei Ohtani finished NLDS Game 3 with 0 RBI (Phillies 8, Dodgers 2); the over 0.5 RBI prop loses (ESPN box score). (Shohei Ohtani: 0 RBI)
“Yoshi Yamamoto over 7.5 Ks at plus 100. I'm out.”
PHI 8, LAD 2 — Yoshinobu Yamamoto struck out 2 in NLDS Game 3 (Phillies 8, Dodgers 2); the over 7.5 strikeouts prop loses (ESPN box score). (Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2 strikeouts)
“But all together, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on the over one-and-a-half total bases at plus 125.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. recorded 1 total base on a first-inning single; the over 1.5 total bases bet lost. (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1 total base)
“Also like him to knock in a run at plus 185 at BetMGM.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. drove in a run with a first-inning single; the RBI bet won. (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1 RBI)
“Jaxson Dart over 38 and a half rush yards thursday night football i'm out”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Jaxson Dart rushed for 58 yards as the Giants beat the Eagles 34-17; the over bet covers. (Jaxson Dart: 58 rushing yards)
“The only book that has it, folks, and it's plus money on the over 11 and a half receiving yards for kind of the third wheel in that backfield for KC.”
Brashard Smith had 32 receiving yards; the over bet won. (Brashard Smith: 32 receiving yards)
“Juju Smith Schuster over at 2.5 receptions.”
JuJu Smith-Schuster had 2 receptions; the over bet lost. (JuJu Smith-Schuster: 2 receptions)
“Amari Di Mercado, gentlemen. I'm going to take the over on nine and a half receiving yards.”
TEN 22, ARI 21 — Emari Demercado had 3 carries for 81 rushing yards and 0 receiving yards in Titans 22, Cardinals 21; the over 9.5 receiving yards prop loses (ESPN box score). (Emari Demercado 0 receiving yards)
“Maryland plus six and a half against Washington.”
WASH 24, MD 20 — Washington beat Maryland 24-20, a 4-point margin; Maryland +6.5 covers (ESPN).
“giving it over on Kyren Williams, 16 and a half rush attempts. I grabbed it at minus 110”
Kyren Williams had 14 rushing attempts in the 49ers-Rams game, under 16.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyren Williams: 14 rushing attempts)
“Kyle Juszczyk over one and a half catches at plus odds.”
SF 26, LAR 23 — Kyle Juszczyk had 3 receptions in the 49ers' 26-23 OT win over the Rams, over 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyle Juszczyk: 3 receptions)
“Yoshi Yamamoto to get the W tonight. Plus 112.”
Yoshinobu Yamamoto earned the win (6.2 IP, 0 ER, 9 K) as the Dodgers beat the Reds 8-4 in NL Wild Card Game 2 on Oct 1, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Yamamoto: W, 6.2 IP, 0 ER, 9 K)
“Max Muncy over 1.5 total bases at plus 120.”
Max Muncy went 1-for-3 with 1 total base in the Dodgers' 8-4 win over the Reds on Oct 1, 2025, missing the over 1.5 total bases (ESPN box score). (Max Muncy: 1 total base)
“Miguel Andujar, what are your favorite categories in Major League Baseball? Give me the over on one and a half. H.R.R., also known as his plus runs plus RBI, also known as. and I like him quite a bit the plus 120 number”
Miguel Andujar went 0-for-4 with 1 run and 0 RBI (1 combined H+R+RBI) as the Dodgers beat the Reds 10-5 in NL Wild Card Game 1; the Over 1.5 lost (ESPN box score). (Miguel Andujar: 0 H, 1 R, 0 RBI (1 combined H+R+RBI))
“blake snow under 15 and a half outs”
Blake Snell threw 7.0 innings (21 outs) allowing the fewest damage as the Dodgers beat the Reds 10-5; 21 outs is over 15.5, so Under 15.5 pitching outs lost (ESPN box score). (Blake Snell: 7.0 IP (21 outs))
“I took the over on four and a half rush yards at a minus 115.”
Malik Washington rushed twice for 8 yards, clearing the over 4.5 rushing yards line (ESPN box score). (Malik Washington 8 rushing yards)
“courtland sudden anytime touchdown plus 130 i'm out”
Courtland Sutton caught a 20-yard touchdown pass from Bo Nix in the 2nd quarter, scoring an anytime touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (Courtland Sutton 1 receiving touchdown)
“Chris Olave guys i'm going to go to the alt market in reception seven or more at plus 130”
Chris Olave caught 3 passes for 20 yards as the Bills beat the Saints 31-19; the 7+ receptions prop missed. (3 receptions, 20 yards)
“baker baker the touchdown maker over one half passing touchdowns at plus 120 i'm out”
Baker Mayfield threw 2 touchdown passes as the Eagles beat the Buccaneers 31-25; the over 1.5 passing TDs prop cashed. (2 passing touchdowns)
“I took the over immediately on Tory Horton receiving yards. I grabbed a 21.5.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Tory Horton had 10 receiving yards as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; over 21.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Tory Horton: 10 receiving yards)
“Kyler Murray, the dachshund of the desert, over 28 and a half rush yards.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Kyler Murray rushed 5 times for 41 yards as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; over 28.5 rushing yards covers (ESPN box score). (Kyler Murray: 41 rushing yards)
“comes minus one half of the run line why the hell not i'm out”
CHC 10, NYM 3 — Cubs beat Mets 10-3, an 7-run margin; Cubs -1.5 run line covers (ESPN box score).
“I think he gets 40-plus receiving yards tonight. I grabbed that at plus 120.”
Rashod Bateman had 5 receptions for 63 receiving yards, clearing the 40+ line (ESPN box score). (Rashod Bateman: 63 receiving yards)
“Mandatory Montgomery over three and a half catches. You jackals at plus 140.”
David Montgomery caught 1 pass, well under the 3.5 receptions line (ESPN box score). (David Montgomery: 1 reception)
“I would still play the under on it on Josh Jacobs. I grabbed it at 78.5 on Rush Yards.”
CLE 13, GB 10 — Josh Jacobs rushed for 30 yards as Cleveland beat Green Bay 13-10; under 78.5 rushing yards covers (ESPN box score). (Josh Jacobs: 30 rushing yards)
“Jackson Smith and Jig better lead the game in receiving yards, plus 115.”
SEA 44, NO 13 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 5 passes for 96 yards, leading all receivers as Seattle beat New Orleans 44-13 (ESPN box score). (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 96 receiving yards)
“Malik Washington, everybody's been antsy for Malik Washington props, but I'm taking the over on one and a half rush yards.”
BUF 31, MIA 21 — Malik Washington rushed 2 times for 20 yards as Bills beat Dolphins 31-21; over 1.5 rushing yards covers (ESPN box score). (Malik Washington: 20 rushing yards)
“devon h and most receiving yards in the game at 9-1. I love that.”
De'Von Achane had 29 receiving yards, but Bills TE Dalton Kincaid led the game with 66 receiving yards; Achane did not have the most receiving yards (ESPN box score). (Game leader: Dalton Kincaid 66 receiving yards; Achane 29 receiving yards)
“i like ryan weathers tonight in the world of major league baseball i'm taking the over four and a half strikeouts against those colorado pebbles why uh you got a bunch of free swingers on that colorado team they don't give a crap right now they're uh thinking about my ties on a caribbean island here this upcoming offseason weather is only at six starts this season but he's hit the over on four and a half k's and three of those six games a decent 28 a half call plus wing strike rate at 13.1 swinging strike rate uh which is uh applaudable for sure when you look at colorado last couple of weeks numero dos and all of major league baseball and strikeout percentage at 31.2 percent so at plus 120 they hit the over on four and a half case”
COL 4, MIA 8 — Ryan Weathers went 4 IP with 2 strikeouts as Marlins beat Rockies 8-4; over 4.5 K busts (ESPN box score). (Ryan Weathers: 2 strikeouts)
“Roma do say any time touchdown against the boys, plus 195. I'm out.”
Rome Odunze caught a 35-yard touchdown pass from Caleb Williams (3 catches, 62 yards, 1 TD) as Bears beat Cowboys 31-14; anytime TD scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Rome Odunze: 1 receiving TD)
“I'm taking the over on Devon H. And five and a half receptions at plus 115 there at BetMGM.”
BUF 31, MIA 21 — De'Von Achane caught 7 receptions in the Bills' 31-21 win over the Dolphins; over 5.5 receptions covers (ESPN box score). (De'Von Achane: 7 receptions)
“Zebby Matthews over five and a half K's. I'm out.”
NYY 10, MIN 9 — Zebby Matthews recorded 2 strikeouts in the Yankees' 10-9 win over the Twins; over 5.5 strikeouts does not cover (ESPN box score). (Zebby Matthews: 2 strikeouts)
“I love Nico Collins tonight to lead his game in receiving yards. No matter of player, I got it at plus 150. I'm in on that.”
Mike Evans led the game with 56 receiving yards; Nico Collins had 52, so Collins did not lead the game (ESPN box score). (Mike Evans 56 receiving yards; Nico Collins 52 receiving yards)
“Justin Herbert over 14 and a half rush yards. I'm out!”
20-9 — Justin Herbert rushed 9 times for 31 yards in the Chargers' 20-9 win, clearing the 14.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Justin Herbert 31 rushing yards)
“Jordan Mason, anytime touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons at plus 110 is my play in this game.”
ATL 22, MIN 6 — Jordan Mason rushed 9 times for 30 yards with no touchdown as Atlanta beat Minnesota 22-6 (ESPN box score); the anytime TD prop busts. (Jordan Mason: 0 TD (9 car, 30 yds))
“CeeDee Lamb over a half a rush yard plus 100. I'm out!”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — CeeDee Lamb had no rushing attempts (9 receptions, 112 receiving yards instead) as Dallas beat the Giants 40-37 in OT (ESPN box score); 0 rushing yards misses the over 0.5. (CeeDee Lamb: 0 rushing yards)
“Ja'Marr Chase, 100 plus receiving yards, plus 125.”
CIN 31, JAX 27 — Ja'Marr Chase caught 14 passes for 165 yards and a TD as Cincinnati beat Jacksonville 31-27 (ESPN box score), clearing the over 99.5 receiving yards prop. (Ja'Marr Chase: 165 receiving yards)
“have been on Deebo Samuel at plus 325 to lead the game in receiving yards.”
Tucker Kraft led all receivers in the game with 124 receiving yards; Deebo Samuel had 44 receiving yards. (Kraft 124 receiving yards; Samuel 44 receiving yards)
“Jane Daniels, 10 plus rush yards in the first quarter. Even money. I'm out!”
Jayden Daniels had no rushing attempts in the first quarter (his only carries came later in the game), well short of the 9.5-yard line. (Jayden Daniels 1st-quarter rushing: 0 yards)
“So, TJ Hawkinson, 50 or more yards in that all-market. A cool plus 120 at roll the shoulders and get seduced by the juice there at BetMGM.”
MIN 27, CHI 24 — T.J. Hockenson caught 3 passes for 15 yards in the Vikings' 27-24 win over Chicago, missing over 50 receiving yards. (T.J. Hockenson: 15 receiving yards)
“I'm taking it for 50-plus ground yards, and I got a plus 110 yesterday.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Omarion Hampton rushed for 48 yards on 15 carries in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City; falls short of over 50 rushing yards. (Omarion Hampton: 48 rushing yards)
“He's going to score a touchdown at plus 120.”
Omarion Hampton did not score a touchdown in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City. (Omarion Hampton: 0 TD)
“I grabbed it this morning at 11.5 at BetMGM.”
Omarion Hampton had 15 carries in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City, clearing over 11.5 attempts. (Omarion Hampton: 15 carries)
“Xavier Worthy over three and a half rush yards.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Xavier Worthy left with a shoulder injury after 3 snaps and finished with 0 rushing yards (1 carry) in the Chargers' 27-21 win, missing over 3.5. (Xavier Worthy: 0 rushing yards)
“Dak Prescott, I took it for 38-plus pass attempts at a plus-110 juice.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Dak Prescott attempted 34 passes in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Cowboys, short of his 38+ line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 34 pass attempts)
“CeeDee Lamb, seven plus catches plus one 10.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — CeeDee Lamb had exactly 7 receptions in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Cowboys, pushing on the 7-reception line (ESPN box score). (CeeDee Lamb: 7 receptions)
“Cubs minus one-half on the run line, plus money against the Braves.”
ATL 5, CHC 1 — Braves beat Cubs 5-1, a 4-run Chicago loss that fell short of the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“I love the total in Carolina-Jacksonville and taking the over at 46.5.”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jaguars beat Panthers 26-10 (combined 36); the over 46.5 total lost (ESPN box score).
“I love Tank Bigsby for any time. Touchdown at plus 145 right now at BetMGM.”
Tank Bigsby had 5 carries for 12 yards and no touchdown in Jacksonville's 26-10 win over Carolina; the anytime-TD prop lost (ESPN box score). (Tank Bigsby: 0 TD (5 car, 12 yds))
“I bet on his prop on the over. It's just 18 and a half receiving yards in game one.”
Ja'Tavion Sanders caught 2 passes for 27 receiving yards vs the over 18.5 line, which won (ESPN box score). (Ja'Tavion Sanders: 27 receiving yards)
“The Valkyries plus six against the Liberty tonight.”
GS 66, NY 58 — Golden State Valkyries beat New York Liberty 66-58 outright, easily covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“Matthew Boyd, I think he's going to record the dub tonight on the road by the Bay against the San Francisco Giants. It is at plus 145 for him to secure the victory”
SF 5, CHC 2 — Giants beat Cubs 5-2; Matthew Boyd took the loss over 5 1/3 innings, recording no pitcher win (ESPN box score). (Matthew Boyd: loss, 5.1 IP, 0 wins)
“Dearica Hamby over. 7-1⁄2 rebounds against the Mercury at plus 110.”
PHX 92, LA 84 — Dearica Hamby recorded 8 rebounds as the Mercury beat the Sparks 92-84; her over 7.5 rebounds covers (ESPN box score). (Dearica Hamby: 8 rebounds)
“it's just five and a half yards for his receiving yards prop that is it folks all right is one sticky catch available there at BetMGM at a minus 115 juice on the over”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Eagles beat Cowboys 24-20 in the season opener; Jahan Dotson caught 3 passes for 59 receiving yards, clearing over 5.5 (ESPN box score). (Jahan Dotson: 59 receiving yards (3 receptions))
“Shane Smith over one and a half locks minus 120 against the Royals”
White Sox beat Royals 7-0; Shane Smith allowed just 1 walk in 7 innings, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shane Smith: 1 BB allowed (7.0 IP))
“Yeah, I'm going to take the Tennessee Titans on the first half line. I'm going to lay the two and a half is what I got it at against the Minnesota Vikings”
Titans led Vikings 14-3 at halftime of the preseason game; Tennessee first-half -2.5 covers by 8.5 (ESPN). (Halftime: Titans 14, Vikings 3)
“Yeah, I'm taking the under and the always there's the Hawaii game, right? And it's going to be played in absurdly early hour. But a total at 50 and a half against the Stanford Cardinal.”
HAW 23, STAN 20 — Hawaii beat Stanford 23-20 on a last-second field goal; the 43 combined points clear under 50.5 (ESPN).
“Brewers, minus one and a half on the red line against the Giants.”
MIL 5, SF 4 — Brewers beat Giants 5-4 on a walk-off homer; Milwaukee -1.5 run line busts, winning by only 1 (ESPN).
“I'm going to lay a three and a half of the first half. Grabbed it earlier this morning at minus 108,”
Giants led Patriots 14-10 at halftime, a +4 margin that covers first-half -3.5 (ESPN box score halftime line). (Halftime: Giants 14, Patriots 10)
“Paul Goldschmidt under a half a hit at plus 140.”
Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-3 with an RBI against the Red Sox, busting the under 0.5 hits (ESPN box score). (Paul Goldschmidt: 2 hits (3 AB, 1 BB))
“They bid on him 1,000-plus receiving yards this season, plus 135 right now on the Tennessee Titans.”
Calvin Ridley finished the 2025 season with 303 receiving yards, well under the 1,000-yard line (ESPN game log). (Calvin Ridley: 303 receiving yards)
“Otani over 5.5Ks against the Colorado Pebbles.”
Shohei Ohtani struck out 3 batters in 4.0 innings as the Rockies beat the Dodgers 8-3; the over 5.5 strikeouts loses (ESPN box score). (Shohei Ohtani: 3 strikeouts)
“I'm going to go with Ramon Lariano on the over one and a half hits, plus runs, plus RBI, also known as HRR, but also most affectionately known as Herr at a minus 110.”
Ramón Laureano went 0-for-4 with no runs or RBIs as the Giants beat the Padres 4-3; his over 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs prop lost. (Ramón Laureano: 0 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 0)
“Oh, gentlemen, let's go with Corey Seager. I'm going to take the over one-a-half total bags tonight against Arizona Diamondbacks. Not plus money and a minus 115, but I ain't scared of that minus juice.”
2-3 — Corey Seager went 0-for-4 with 0 total bases as the Diamondbacks beat the Rangers 3-2 on 8/12/25; over 1.5 total bases lost (ESPN box score). (Corey Seager: 0-for-4, 0 TB)
“Cameron Brink, five plus rebounds, plus 100 against the Liberty.”
97-105 — Cameron Brink grabbed 3 rebounds (1 off, 2 def) in 5 minutes as the Liberty beat the Sparks 105-97 on 8/12/25; 5+ rebounds lost (ESPN box score). (Cameron Brink: 3 rebounds)
“Nathan Eovaldi over 18 and a half outs tonight. Take it out of Arizona. Down the backs at a plus 150.”
7-6 — Nathan Eovaldi pitched 5.0 innings (15 outs) for the Rangers in their 7-6, 10-inning win over the Diamondbacks on 8/11/25; over 18.5 outs recorded lost (ESPN box score). (Nathan Eovaldi: 5.0 IP (15 outs))
“bet number one i took the indianapolis colts uh over a half uh a point in the first quarter”
1Q: Ravens 14, Colts 6 (Final: Ravens 24, Colts 16) — Ravens led Colts 14-6 after the first quarter of their August 7, 2025 preseason game; Colts +0.5 did not cover.
“I grabbed them also at a minus a half at minus 102 in their preseason matchup this evening.”
1Q: Bengals 14, Eagles 7 (Final: Eagles 34, Bengals 27) — Bengals led Eagles 14-7 after the first quarter of their August 7, 2025 preseason game; Bengals -0.5 covered.
“Yeah, Alicia Gray over three and a half assists at the Chicago Sky. She's gone 5-4 in five assists in her three prior matchups against the fighting Angel Reese's. And of course, Angel Reese is going to be out of action in this game. Gray's been over this prop in three of her last six. She's averaging 3.9 assists per game. That's why this number is set at 3.5. And if you look at the sky, they've allowed the second most assists of any team in the W over the last 10 games. So Alicia Gray could be dropping some dimes, hopefully a four-pack of them. And I'm cashing in at minus 125.”
ATL 86, CHI 65 — Allisha Gray recorded 2 assists (25 pts, 4 reb) as Atlanta beat Chicago 86-65 on August 7, 2025; over 3.5 assists busted. (Allisha Gray: 25 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast)
“i say strider hits the under six and a half strikeouts at plus 105”
Brewers 5, Braves 4 — Spencer Strider struck out 6 over 4.2 innings as the Brewers beat the Braves 5-4 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score); the under 6.5 strikeouts covered. (Spencer Strider: 6 strikeouts (4.2 IP))
“Jackie Young over 15 and a half points at plus 100.”
Aces 78, Valkyries 72 — Jackie Young scored 14 points as the Aces beat the Valkyries 78-72 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score); the over 15.5 points lost. (Jackie Young: 14 points)
“Because I think the modern-day Joe Cool is going to throw for at least 650 times. And I've already bet on him to again lead the NFL in passing yards this season.”
Matthew Stafford led the NFL in passing yards for the 2025 season with 4,707 yards; Joe Burrow finished 30th with 2,479 yards and did not lead. (Passing leader: Matthew Stafford, 4,707 yards)
“So my top bet, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to knock an eye run at plus 100 against those Colorado Pebbles.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with 0 RBI against the Rockies; the RBI prop lost. (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0 RBI)
“Tyler Glass now to record the win against the Redbirds. Plus 155. I'm out.”
Tyler Glasnow threw 7.0 innings and allowed 1 earned run against the Cardinals but received a no-decision; the bet on him to record the win lost. (Tyler Glasnow: 7.0 IP, 1 ER, no decision)
“I'm going to take him over one and a half total bases tonight against the Miami Marlins. is why he's facing Cal Quantrill, who has been god-awful, to say the least, for the Marlins this year. 5.76 road ERA on the season. And a guy, too, that's giving up a .349 batting average to right-handed hitters. That's what Willson Contreras is. He's gone over this prop in five of his last nine games. On top of that as well, he has a single-a-bat against Cal Quantrill. I know sample size, sample size happens, but he does have a hit. and he's batting 310 in his last 15 days. So Willson Contreras of the Redbirds, I collect a couple of bags and I collect some winnings at plus 115 at BetMGM.”
MIA 2, STL 0 — Willson Contreras went 0-for-4 with 0 total bases as Miami beat St. Louis 2-0; the over 1.5 total bases prop lost (ESPN box score). (Willson Contreras: 0-for-4, 0 TB)
“I like it for the Anytime Touchdown Market week one, as a matter of fact. I think he's got a cannonball splash, contribute double-digit fantasy production. Right out of the gate, taking on the Carolina Panthers. I saw Price a plus 180 for him to splash six in that opener.”
CAR 10, JAX 26 — Tank Bigsby had 5 carries for 12 yards and 0 touchdowns as Jacksonville beat Carolina 26-10; the anytime-TD prop lost (ESPN box score). (Tank Bigsby: 5 car, 12 yds, 0 TD)
“Mr. Benz, not Corbin Burns, but Chase Burns. Seven-plus strikeouts against the Dodgers tonight, a plus 125.”
CIN 2, LAD 5 — Chase Burns struck out 10 in the Dodgers' 5-2 win over the Reds, well over the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (Chase Burns: 10 strikeouts)
“Aari McDonald over three and a half assists in the W tonight.”
NY 98, IND 77 — Aari McDonald recorded 5 assists (10 points) in the Fever's 98-77 loss to the Liberty on July 16, 2025, clearing the 3.5 assist line. (Aari McDonald: 5 assists)
“I like Scooble, Scooble, Doo. Where are you? Hopefully in the box score, racking up Ks. I'm going to take the over a one-and-a-half strikeouts at plus 115.”
Tarik Skubal struck out two batters in his one inning starting the 2025 MLB All-Star Game, clearing the 1.5 strikeout line. (Skubal: 1.0 IP, 2 SO)
- American League +1.5
- All-Star Game under 8.5
“i'm going to take the al on the old run line plus one and a half and i'm going to take the total up from seven to eight and a half and windmill slam dunk the under on that simple two-legger. It's plus 112.”
NL 7, AL 6 — The 2025 MLB All-Star Game finished NL 7, AL 6 (regulation tied 6-6 before a home run swing-off); regulation runs totaled 12, over the 8.5 total, so the under leg lost and the parlay lost.
“Marcus Stroman, the former Cub, give me the lend down under on three and a half strikeouts. Taking on the Seattle Mariners at plus 105.”
6-5 — Marcus Stroman struck out 3 batters in 5.0 innings (ESPN box score) as the Yankees beat the Mariners 6-5; 3 is under the 3.5 strikeout line. (Marcus Stroman 3 strikeouts)
“Jackie Young over four and a half rebounds at plus 125.”
70-68 — Jackie Young grabbed 7 rebounds (ESPN box score) as the Mystics beat the Aces 70-68 on 7/10/25; 7 clears the 4.5 rebounds line. (Jackie Young 7 rebounds)
“I grabbed it at 16 to one for B. John Robinson to walk away with offensive player of the year honors.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks) won the 2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors 2026; Bijan Robinson did not win.
“I'm going to live in a land down under on strikeouts, number four and a half on the road, taking on the Astros, who got clobbered by Cleveland last night, with Hunter Brown on the mound, who had a 1.01 ERA at home, entering the night, not any longer, but like it's Sazoni, and this is a plus money, plus 105 there at BetMGM.”
Slade Cecconi struck out 9 over 7 innings as Cleveland beat Houston 4-2 on July 9, 2025, well over the 4.5 strikeout line (ESPN box score). (9 strikeouts (7 IP))
“angel reese under 14 and a half rebounds”
Angel Reese had 15 points and 11 rebounds as the Chicago Sky beat the Dallas Wings 87-76 on July 9, 2025, under the 14.5 rebounds line (ESPN box score). (11 rebounds (15 pts))
“So Fernando Tatis Jr., are you kidding me it's plus money plus 105 on the over one half total bags i'm in”
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a single (1 total base) as the Padres beat the Diamondbacks 1-0 on July 8, 2025, under the 1.5 total bases line (ESPN box score). (1 total base (1-for-3, single))
“Brad have a great show tonight my friends I appreciate it amigo Aaron Judge over one total basis plus 100 Yes It entirely treacle Bet MGM right now.”
Aaron Judge went 2-for-5 with a solo home run (5 total bases) in the Yankees' 10-3 win over the Mariners on July 8, 2025, clearing the over 1 total base line (ESPN box score). (5 total bases (2-for-5, 1 HR))
“Let's go with Romy Gonzalez of the Boston Red Sox. I'm going to take the over one and a half total hits at a plus 165.”
BOS 9, COL 3 — Romy Gonzalez went 2-for-5 with 2 hits (a triple and a home run) as Boston beat Colorado 9-3 on 7/7/25, covering his over 1.5 hits prop. (Romy Gonzalez: 2 hits)
“Alyssa Thomas, under 26 and a half, points plus assists.”
PHX 102, DAL 72 — Alyssa Thomas recorded a triple-double of 15 points, 15 assists, and 10 rebounds in Phoenix's 102-72 win over Dallas on 7/7/25, so her points+assists total of 30 went over the 26.5 line, and the under lost. (Alyssa Thomas: 15 pts, 15 ast (30 combined))
“give me the over on nine and a half rebounds uh take it on uh the mystics is she it's at plus 105”
WSH 94, LV 83 — A'ja Wilson had 5 rebounds as Washington beat Las Vegas 94-83 on June 26, 2025, well under her 9.5 rebound line (ESPN box score). (A'ja Wilson: 5 rebounds)
“Braves money line against the Mets.”
NYM 4, ATL 0 — The Mets beat the Braves 4-0 on June 26, 2025; Atlanta's moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“a number 10 overall, a 10-1 odds for him to go to the Phoenix Suns makes a ton of sense.”
Kasparas Jakucionis was selected 20th overall by the Miami Heat in the 2025 NBA Draft, not 10th (SI Draft coverage).
“I'm going to live in the land down under on 14 and a half outs. Now, early in a bit, MGM, I grab it at plus 120.”
LAD 8, COL 1 — Chase Dollander pitched 5 2/3 innings (17 outs) for the Rockies against the Dodgers on 6/25/25, going over the 14.5-outs under line (CBS Sports box score). (Chase Dollander: 5.2 IP (17 outs))
“Asia Wilson under nine and a half rebounds.”
LV 85, CON 59 — A'ja Wilson had 8 rebounds as the Aces beat the Sun 85-59 on 6/25/25, under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (A'ja Wilson: 8 rebounds)
“the Henley going here trying to switch up the juju what's going on man what do you like tonight in the world of sports well whatever recommendation that i give to the masses just automatically fade the noise because your brother right now is living in siberia it's ice cold rather chilly tea chattering conditions to say the least i can't win a stupid bet in the world of major league baseball so let's try to win a stupid bet in the world of major league baseball my favorite bet tonight Freddy Peralta the milwaukee brewers to record the win taking on the buckos that being the pittsburgh pirates uh being played in milwaukee it's plus 125 so some handsome juice”
9-3 — Milwaukee beat Pittsburgh 9-3 on 6/24/25 and Freddy Peralta (8-4) was the winning pitcher after striking out eight over six innings, so the win-credit prop cashes (ESPN box score).
- Caitlin Clark 3+ three-pointers
- Angel Reese 10+ rebounds
“Have a great show. Once again, 7 to 11. BetMGM tonight here on the BetMGM Network. We'll talk to you tomorrow. Two-leg parlay the WNBA. Caitlin Clark, three or more threes. Angel Reese, 10 or more rebounds, plus 103. I'm out.”
Caitlin Clark went 0-for-6 on three-pointers as the Fever beat the Storm 94-86, missing the 3+ threes leg; Angel Reese had 17 rebounds as the Sky beat the Sparks 97-86, clearing her leg, but one losing leg sinks the whole parlay (ESPN box scores). (Clark 0-6 3PT (Fever 94, Storm 86); Reese 17 REB (Sky 97, Sparks 86))
“and it makes me laugh every single time it's funny every time uh what is the best bet me amigo tonight in the world of sports oh let's go to your favorite team on the diamond uh that is the New York Yankees and then there's gold in endare hills and that's what paul gulchman gave me the over on one and a half total bases in kowtow taking on kansas city at a plus 110 jews storied history for paul goldschmidt against seth lugo is going to be on the mound for kc he is just”
NYY 1, KC 0 — Paul Goldschmidt went 1-for-2 with a single (1 total base) and a walk against Kansas City, well under the 1.5 total-bases line (ESPN box score). (Paul Goldschmidt: 1 total base (1B))
“BetMGM tonight, 7 to 11 p.m. Eastern on the BetMGM Network. My friend, have a great show tonight. Good luck with the bets and enjoy that on YeHo after the show or during, perhaps. Oh, that'd be awesome. It was during Aces minus nine and a half. The WNBA gets a Dallas Wings. I'm out.”
LV 88, DAL 84 — Las Vegas beat Dallas 88-84, a 4-point margin that fell well short of the Aces' -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Thomas Bryant, guys, I'm going to take the over on two and a half points. Yes, on the pride of Indiana, Thomas Bryant over two and a half points at a plus 105 juice.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Thomas Bryant scored 0 points for the Pacers in NBA Finals Game 3, well under the 2.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Thomas Bryant: 0 points)
“Aaron Judge over one and a half total bags. He's facing a lefty. I gotta do it.”
KC 3, NYY 6 — Aaron Judge homered against Kansas City in the Yankees' 6-3 win, a solo shot worth 4 total bases that cleared the 1.5-base line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 4 total bases (solo HR))
“Brad, what do you like tonight? Because we got some Major League Baseball, a full slate. What are we betting and why? All right. Let's go to the Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies matchup. And I don't think it's going to be a Colin Ray kind of day. I'm going to say he issues at least a pair of walks at a plus one of 42. Yeah, roll the shoulders because I got. Yeah. Ah, the juice, and the reason being is very simple. You look at Philadelphia. They have a number nine highest based on ball percentage over the last couple of weeks. I earned that free pass a 9% of their plate appearances. Conray has done this, guys, in seven of his last eight starts, averaging 2.65 based on balls per nine. He's got a lowly 26% call plus swinging straight swing rate this year. And on top of that, he's already done this again, Sue. Oh, what a quinky dink. The Philadelphia Phillies back in a start on April 25th. He issued exactly two walks. So just replicate that output. And we're cashing in, baby. But locking in now. They're trying on the field. Plus 140 there at BetMGM. Absolutely love it.”
Colin Rea allowed 0 walks over 4.1 innings against Philadelphia, well under the 1.5-walk line (ESPN box score). (0 walks allowed (4.1 IP))
“Brad, have a great show. Good luck with the bets. We'll talk to you tomorrow. Angel Reese under 11 and a half points. I have to take it. I'm out.”
NY 85, CHI 66 — Angel Reese scored 17 points for the Sky against the Liberty, clearing the 11.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Angel Reese: 17 points)
“i like rogers over 23 and a half passing touchdowns out of minus 110”
Aaron Rodgers threw 24 passing touchdowns for the Steelers in the 2025 regular season, clearing the 23.5 line (ESPN player stats). (24 passing TDs)
“The pride of Arizona, TJ McConnell, give me the over two and a half boards at plus 110.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — T.J. McConnell had 1 rebound in the Pacers' 111-110 win over the Thunder in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025, under the over 2.5 rebounds (ESPN box score). (1 rebound)
“Aaron Judge should not get any run. In other words, get RBI plus 115.”
Yankees 4, Guardians 0 — Aaron Judge had 2 runs, 2 walks and 0 RBI as the Yankees shut out the Guardians 4-0 on June 5, 2025, so the RBI prop loses (ESPN box score). (0 RBI)
“Give me the over on Machado. One and a half total bags at a plus 115 at BetMGM.”
Giants 6, Padres 5 — Manny Machado went 1-for-4 with a single (1 total base) as the Giants beat the Padres 6-5 on June 4, 2025, so the over 1.5 total bases loses (ESPN box score). (1 total base (1-for-4, single))
“Merrill Kelly over five and a half K's against the Bravos at plus 120.”
Diamondbacks 2, Braves 1 — Merrill Kelly struck out 8 over 7 scoreless innings in Arizona's 2-1 win over Atlanta on June 4, 2025, clearing the over 5.5 strikeouts (ESPN box score). (8 strikeouts)
“Yeah, I do like Arizona to take that bad boy straight up”
Diamondbacks 2, Braves 1 — Arizona Diamondbacks beat the Atlanta Braves 2-1 on June 4, 2025, so the moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the over on one and a half total bags. I take it on the New York Mets, and it's a plus 115 right now.”
Dodgers 6, Mets 5 — Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with two doubles (4 total bases) in the Dodgers' 6-5, 10-inning win over the Mets on June 3, 2025, clearing the over 1.5 total bases (ESPN box score). (4 total bases (2 2B))
“Lawrence Butler over one and a half on the HRR also known as hair at a minus 125 I'm out”
Twins 10, Athletics 3 — Lawrence Butler went 2-for-5 with 1 run and 0 RBI (2 hits + 1 run + 0 RBI = 3) as the Athletics lost to the Twins 10-3 on June 3, 2025, clearing the 1.5 HRR line (ESPN box score). (2 hits + 1 run + 0 RBI = 3 HRR)
“Oh, let's go to the hits, a prop market. Luis Arraez. Gentlemen, I'll take the over one and a half slaps in the outfield and a plus 160.”
Luis Arraez went 1-for-4 with a double against the Giants, under the 1.5 hits line. (Arraez: 1 hit (double) in 4 at-bats.)
“I also have the Marlins minus one-and-a-half on the run line. The Rockies bullpen blows. They will find a glorious way to melt late. So continue to monitor that game. And again, I would take the live line, the run line. Miami minus one half, get it a better number. I got a plus one ten earlier today.”
6-4 — Rockies beat Marlins 6-4; Miami lost outright, so Marlins -1.5 runs lost.
“Jonathan Cannon over four and a half Ks. Plus 105 against the Tigers.”
Jonathan Cannon struck out 5 batters over 3 innings against the Tigers, over the 4.5 strikeout line. (Cannon: 3.0 IP, 5 K (final Tigers 13, White Sox 1).)
“[2:49:15] All right. [2:49:15] Let's make some buckaroos. [2:49:17] It's your boy, Jalen Brunson. [2:49:19] I'm going to take the over on two and a half made threes. [2:49:21] And I grabbed earlier today at PetMGM at plus 100 little babies seduced by the juice, if you will.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — Jalen Brunson made 1 three-pointer in Game 1, below 2.5. (Jalen Brunson: 1 made three)
“[2:51:43] Great. What the hell are we doing in the segment next week? [2:51:45] Appreciate you, buddy. [2:51:47] Luis Soraya's over one and a half hits at plus 170.”
Blue Jays 14, Padres 0 — Luis Arraez recorded 2 hits as Toronto blanked San Diego 14-0, clearing 1.5. (Luis Arraez: 2 hits)
“[2:48:57] best bet for tonight in the world of sports oh let's go to my doppelganger is gonna be playing [2:49:01] tonight in the Western Conference Finals. Alex Caruso giving the overall one and a half made [2:49:07] threes at a plus 100, gentlemen, in game one. He gets the T-Wolves. I think he's going to get this. [2:49:13] Probably going to be sweating this sucker out, but I think it's going to happen at some point. [2:49:17] He's done this six times in the NBA postseason. He's averaging 4.4 jacks from distance in the [2:49:24] NBA playoffs, averaging 1.8 makes per game, so slightly above what I need at 41.7 percent [2:49:30] from way downtown. [2:49:32] You look at Minnesota in the NBA playoffs. [2:49:34] They've got up the seventh most opponent made threes per game at 12.4, [2:49:39] along with 34.7% overall. [2:49:42] And he saw him that once but twice at Caruso in the regular season [2:49:47] and went over both times. [2:49:49] So Alex Caruso, not once but twice, a bang from three. [2:49:54] If that happens, it cashes in at a plus 100 at BetMGM. [2:49:58] Brad settle a conversation we were having earlier in the show”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Alex Caruso made 3 three-pointers in Game 1, clearing the 1.5 line, as Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 114-88. (Alex Caruso: 3 made threes)
“[2:50:28] Antonio Zenzetella give me the over on six and a half hits allowed at plus 105. [2:50:36] I'm out.”
Phillies 7, Rockies 4 — Antonio Senzatela allowed 10 hits over six innings as the Rockies lost 7-4 to Philadelphia, clearing 6.5. (Antonio Senzatela: 10 hits allowed)
“[2:48:40] Oh, let's go to the land of costume sausages. Give me Bryce Terrang on the over one and a half. [2:48:46] Oh, you love it. You want it. You need it. That's it. Plus runs, plus RBI at a minus 120.”
Bryce Turang went 2-for-4 with 2 runs and 2 RBI (2+2+2=6), well over the 1.5 hits+runs+RBI line (ESPN box score). (Turang: 2 H + 2 R + 2 RBI = 6)
“[2:50:09] Brad, have a great show tonight with Ryan on BetMGM Tonight. [2:50:11] We'll catch up with you tomorrow, my friend. [2:50:14] Paige Bueckers, five or more rebounds, plus 100.”
Paige Bueckers recorded 6 rebounds for Dallas, clearing the 5-rebound line (ESPN box score). (Bueckers: 6 rebounds)
“[2:51:35] that history card give me Marcus Simeon on the over one and a half her also known as HR also [2:51:43] known as it's plus run plus RBI and bonus type bonus type gentlemen I think Simeon gets at least [2:51:48] a single as well plus 115”
Rangers beat Astros 1-0 on 5/15/25; Marcus Semien went 0-for-3 with 0 runs and 0 RBI, under the 1.5 hits+runs+RBI line (ESPN box score). (0 hits, 0 runs, 0 RBI)
“Nuggets Moneyline plus 165.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — Denver beat Oklahoma City 119-107 in Game 6, so the Nuggets moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“[2:46:26] And I'm going to go to the New York Mets matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates. [2:46:30] Give me Brandon Nimmo on the over one-and-a-half total bags.”
PIT 4, NYM 0 — Pirates beat Mets 4-0 on May 14, 2025; Brandon Nimmo went 1-for-4 with a single (1 total base), under the 1.5 total-bases line (ESPN box score). (Brandon Nimmo: 1 total base (1-for-4, single))
“[2:49:12] I'm going to back a sir, and I'm going to go with Myles Turner on the over. [2:49:17] Points plus rebounds. [2:49:19] That number's in that 22.5 and a minus 118 juice. [2:49:22] I think he's going to crush that over. [2:49:24] because he has done so in three of four matchups in this series. [2:49:27] Now, the four regular season contests against the Cavs, [2:49:31] he only went over one time. [2:49:32] But you look at what he's averaging in this series, 17.8 points per game, [2:49:36] 7.3 rebounds per game. [2:49:39] I'm no math major, gentlemen, but you put those hands together, [2:49:43] that is over the 22.5, which is the necessary number needed. [2:49:48] So I think Turner is going to do some damage. [2:49:50] I know Cleveland is numero uno and fewest opponent rebounds per game of this NBA postseason. [2:49:56] They have allowed the eighth most appointed points per game. [2:49:59] Myles Turner can beat you in various ways. [2:50:01] Probably get around six, seven rebounds, but he'll do a hell of five damage, I believe, as a point score. [2:50:08] So again, give me the over. [2:50:10] Make me some money, Myles. [2:50:13] On the over points plus rebounds at 22.5 and a minus 118 juice at Betting GM.”
IND 114, CLE 105 — Myles Turner posted 10 points and 7 rebounds (17 combined) in the Pacers' 114-105 Game 5 series-clinching win over the Cavaliers, well under the 22.5 points+rebounds line (ESPN box score). (Myles Turner: 10 pts + 7 reb = 17)
“[34:12] Give me the under, gentlemen, on six-and-a-half strikeouts. [34:17] I'm going to take that all day long. [34:19] I grabbed that at minus 125 early day.”
NYM 4, PIT 3 — Paul Skenes struck out 6 over 6 innings in the Mets' 4-3 win over the Pirates, under the 6.5 strikeout line (ESPN). (Paul Skenes: 6 strikeouts in 6 IP)
“[2:51:17] I like the under on Julius Randle rebounds. [2:51:20] That number was six and a half. [2:51:21] Why do I like the under? [2:51:22] Well, A, it's a plus money and plus 110 at BetMGM.”
MIN 117, GS 93 — Julius Randle had 7 rebounds in the Timberwolves' 117-93 Game 2 win over the Warriors on May 8, 2025 (ESPN box score); the under 6.5 rebounds prop lost. (Julius Randle: 7 rebounds)
“Masta Kila, Nick Lodolo over 17 and a half outs.”
ATL 5, CIN 4 — Nick Lodolo pitched 6.0 innings (18 outs) with 7 strikeouts for the Reds in an 11-inning, 5-4 loss to the Braves on May 8, 2025 (ESPN box score); the over 17.5 outs prop won. (Nick Lodolo: 18 outs recorded (6.0 IP))
“[2:50:29] Slam the gavel with Aaron Judge. [2:50:30] I'm going to take the over on a half an RBI at a plus 115 juice.”
NYY 4, SD 3 — Aaron Judge went 0-for-4 with 0 RBI in the Yankees' 4-3, 10-inning win over the Padres on May 7, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Judge over 0.5 RBI prop lost. (Aaron Judge: 0 RBI (0-for-4))
“Jayson Tatum over 15 and a half rebounds plus assists.”
NY 91, BOS 90 — Jayson Tatum had 14 rebounds and 5 assists (19 combined) in the Knicks' 91-90 Game 2 win over the Celtics on May 7, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Tatum over 15.5 rebounds+assists prop won. (Jayson Tatum: 19 (14 rebounds + 5 assists))
“[2:40:18] for two or more block shots, gentlemen, at plus 210. [2:40:22] Of course, taking on the Denver Nuggets.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 33 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists, and only 1 block in Oklahoma City's 121-119 Game 1 loss to Denver on May 5, 2025, missing the 2+ blocks line (ESPN box score, gameId 401769820). (1 block)
“Pete Alonso over one-and-a-half total bags.”
Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 with a home run in the Mets' 5-4 win over Arizona on May 5, 2025, for 5 total bases, over the 1.5 line (ESPN game recap, gameId 401695431). (5 total bases (2-for-4 with a HR))
“[2:50:38] Francisco Giants Justin Berlander yeah the venerable veteran I think it records his first [2:50:43] win of the season against those Colorado Pebbles I grab that at a plus 130 juice yeah I know he's”
COL 4, SF 3 — Rockies beat Giants 4-3 on May 1, 2025 (ESPN); Verlander allowed 2 runs over 6 IP but got a no-decision as Colorado rallied late, denying him the win. (Verlander: 6 IP, 2 ER, no decision)
“K.E. Cunningham, triple, double, six to one.”
In the Knicks' 116-113 Game 6 series-clinching win over the Pistons on May 1, 2025, Cade Cunningham finished with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists (ESPN box score) -- not a triple-double. (23 pts / 7 reb / 8 ast)
“[2:52:07] And give me Pete Alonso on the over 1.5 HRR, also affectionately known as HRR, [2:52:14] at a minus 120 juice.”
Pete Alonso went 0-for-1 with 3 walks (0 R, 0 RBI) in Arizona's 4-3 win over the Mets on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN box score), totaling 0 combined H+R+RBI, under the 1.5 line. (0 hits + 0 runs + 0 RBI = 0)
“[2:53:22] Alper and Shingun. [2:53:23] Give me the over. [2:53:24] One and a half steals at plus 155.”
HOU 131, GS 116 — Rockets beat Warriors 131-116 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN box score); Alperen Sengun's 2 steals cover the 1.5 line. (Alperen Sengun: 2 steals)
“Miles Mikolas, I'm going to take the over on one and a half walks in his matchup on the road in the Great American Band Box.”
STL 6, CIN 0 — The rained-out Cardinals-Reds game was made up as Game 1 of an Apr 30 doubleheader; Mikolas threw 5.1 IP with 0 walks (3 H, 4 K) in the Cardinals' 6-0 win (ESPN box score), well under 1.5. (0 walks allowed in 5.1 IP)
“Franz Wagner over four and a half assists at plus 115 against Beantown.”
BOS 120, ORL 89 — Celtics beat Magic 120-89 on Apr 29, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); Franz Wagner's 4 assists fall under the 4.5 line. (Franz Wagner: 4 assists)
“[2:48:49] Give me the over on a three and a half. [2:48:51] Steals plus blocks. [2:48:53] You can get that right now on plus 110.”
Draymond Green recorded 0 steals and 0 blocks in Warriors' 109-106 win over Rockets on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN box score); over 3.5 steals+blocks loses. (0 steals, 0 blocks (0 combined))
“Dustin May to record the win at plus 100.”
Dustin May pitched 5.1 innings, allowed 5 runs, and got a no-decision as the Dodgers won 7-6 in 10 innings over the Marlins on Apr 28, 2025; the win went to reliever Kirby Yates (ESPN box score). (5.1 IP, 5 R, no decision; W: Kirby Yates)
“[2:50:22] Give me Aaron Judge to knock in a run for an RBI. [2:50:25] It's even money. [2:50:26] Actually, it's a little bit better than that right now at BetMGM [2:50:29] at a plus 105, taking on Jose Berrios and the Toronto Blue Jays.”
TOR 4, NYY 2 — Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 with 0 RBI as Toronto beat New York 4-2 on April 25, 2025. (1-for-4, 0 RBI)
“Julius Randall 20 or more points at plus 115”
MIN 116, LAL 104 — Julius Randle scored 22 points as the Timberwolves beat the Lakers 116-104 on April 25, 2025, clearing the 20-point line. (22 points)
“I'll lay three and a half, sure.”
MIN 116, LAL 104 — Minnesota beat Los Angeles 116-104, a 12-point win that covers -3.5.
“[35:03] made with the Jacksonville Jaguars made with New England so I bet the Bears last night to take [35:07] Gente at plus 300 I woke up this morning and I saw it's a minus 170 that's what you call”
Ashton Jeanty was selected 6th overall by the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2025 NFL Draft; the Chicago Bears did not draft him.
“Give me the over on Brent Rooker one and a half total bases at plus 100”
ATH 5, TEX 2 — Brent Rooker went 0-for-4 with zero total bases in the Athletics' 5-2 win over the Rangers, under the 1.5 total-bases line. (0-for-4, 0 total bases)
“Zach Eady, under eight and a half points at plus 100”
OKC 118, MEM 99 — Zach Edey scored 4 points for the Grizzlies in the Thunder's 118-99 Game 2 win (ESPN box score), clearing the under 8.5. (Zach Edey: 4 points)
“Nicola Jokic's triple-double plus 130.”
DEN 102, LAC 105 — Nikola Jokic recorded a triple-double (27 pts, 12 reb, 10 ast) in the Nuggets' 105-102 Game 2 win over the Clippers on Apr 21, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 27 pts / 12 reb / 10 ast (triple-double))
“give me Logan Webb to go over 18 and a half outs in this one at a plus 115.”
LAA 2, SF 0 — Logan Webb went exactly 6 innings (18 outs) with 12 strikeouts in the Giants' 2-0 loss to the Angels (ESPN box score), one out short of the 18.5-out over line. (Logan Webb: 6.0 IP (18 outs), 12 K)
“going to take the over on one and a half total base”
TEX 5, LAA 3 — Corey Seager went 2-for-3 with a home run for 5 total bases (ESPN box score, Rangers 5, Angels 3), clearing the over 1.5 total bases. (Corey Seager: 2-for-3, 1 HR, 5 total bases)
“I'm going to lay the run line minus one and a half. I grabbed it earlier today and bet him, Jim, at a plus 105.”
3-1 — Athletics beat Chicago White Sox 3-1 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score), a 2-run margin that clears the -1.5 spread.
“Kevin Pillar over a half a single.”
0-4 — Kevin Pillar (Texas Rangers) went 2-for-4 with 2 singles in Texas's 4-0 win over the Angels on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score), clearing the 0.5 singles over. (Kevin Pillar: 2 singles)
“Antonio Zinzitella on the over five and a half hits allowed.”
3-5 — Antonio Senzatela allowed 9 hits over 4.1 innings for Colorado in the Rockies' 5-3 loss to the Dodgers on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score), clearing the 5.5 over. (Antonio Senzatela: 9 hits allowed)
“I'll lay with the Dodgers on the run line as well, minus 2.5.”
3-5 — Los Angeles Dodgers beat Colorado 5-3 on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score), a 2-run margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread.
- Easton Lucas 4+ strikeouts
- Easton Lucas 1+ walk allowed
“Four more strikeouts and one more walks as well. Minus 120 on that spicy SGP.”
Easton Lucas actually pitched for Toronto (not Miami) on 4/14/25, allowing 8 ER on 6 hits and 4 walks with 3 strikeouts over 5.0 IP against Atlanta (ESPN box score): the 1+ walk leg wins but the 4+ strikeout leg misses (only 3 K), so the parlay loses. (Easton Lucas: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 8 ER, 4 BB, 3 K)
“Reese Hoskins on the over one-and-a-half total bases tonight”
Milwaukee 17, Colorado 2 — Rhys Hoskins went 0-for-4 with a sacrifice-fly RBI (0 total bases) in Brewers 17, Rockies 2, under his 1.5 total-bases line (ESPN box score). (Hoskins: 0-for-4, 1 sac-fly RBI, 0 total bases)
“Give me a Roldo Perdomo over one and a half on the HRF”
Arizona 4, Baltimore 3 — Geraldo Perdomo went 0-for-2 with 0 runs and 0 RBI in Arizona's 4-3 win over Baltimore, so hits+runs+RBI totaled 0, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Perdomo: 0-for-2, 0 R, 0 RBI)
“I would still lay it down at the minus one-and-a-half and a minus 102 juice.”
Florida 65, Houston 63 — Florida beat Houston 65-63 (margin +2), covering the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me the over on the alt line for three-pointers made. That being a three and a half on the over, he's got to hit four or more, and it's a plus 130.”
Walter Clayton Jr. went 1-for-7 on three-pointers in Florida's 65-63 championship win over Houston, under the 3.5-make alt line (ESPN). (1-for-7 on three-pointers (1 made))
“I'm taking the under in the game at 140 and a half.”
Florida 65, Houston 63 — Florida beat Houston 65-63, combined 128 points, under the 140.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I like the under in the game. I bet it at 160.5. Now that's down to 159.5.”
FLA 79, AUB 73 — Florida beat Auburn 79-73 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25 for a combined 152 points; under 160.5 covers (ESPN).
“I like the under on 136.5. And I like Houston plus 5.5. But again, I believe the Blue Devils march on to the title game on Monday night.”
HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25 for a combined 137 points; under 136.5 busts (ESPN).
“Yeah, look, I'm on the chalk here. I actually bet it when this prop became available after the round of 32, because BetMGM and really all the books, nobody issued this prop before the NCAA tournament began, because they wanted to see the status of Cooper Flagg coming off that gruesome ankle roll that he suffered there in the ACC tournament. But he's a chalk for all the right reasons. Guys averaging over 19 points per game this NCAA tournament, over seven rebounds per game, over five assists per game. And on top of that, he has seven total blocks. He is the complete package. He is the reason why Duke is as far as they are. He is going to be the number one overall NBA pick. He is the face on the billboard. And I think he is going to eventually win this award hoisted high as Duke more than likely is going to win the national title. So, again, I got an extreme value of 3-1, and I would still play to plus money”
Championship: FLA 65, HOU 63 — Duke lost to Houston in the 4/5/25 Final Four, eliminating Cooper Flagg; Florida's Walter Clayton Jr. was named the 2025 NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after Florida beat Houston 65-63 in the championship (Wikipedia/ESPN).
- Marcus Stroman over 1.5 walks allowed won
- Mitchell Parker over 1.5 walks allowed won
“I'm actually building this parlay as we speak, and I just fired off on it. I love the walks props, so I'm going to do a little two-legged. Give me Marcus Stroman on the over one-and-a-half free passes, taking on the Buccos of Pittsburgh, a team of number 11 and based on balls percentage so far this young year. They were way up there in that category last season. Stroh gets a little bit uncontrolled at times. I think he's going to have a pair of walks. I'm going to slap that with Mitchell Parker of the Washington Nationals over on the same prop. One and a half walks. They get on the Arizona Diamondbacks who have definitely been patient at the dish. They are number four in base on balls percentage so far this baseball season. Again, Strohman over one and a half walks. Mitchell Parker over one and a half walks. to put those hands together. Oh, cool! Plus 155 at BetMGM.”
Marcus Stroman walked 3 batters against the Yankees and Mitchell Parker walked 4 against the Diamondbacks on April 5, 2025, both clearing the 1.5-walk line so both parlay legs won (ESPN box scores). (Stroman: 3 BB; Parker: 4 BB)
- UConn Huskies moneyline pending
- Duke Blue Devils moneyline lost
- Florida Gators +10.5 alternate spread won
“so again i'm gonna go with a huskies to mush huskies mush a two-way title on the money line i also had duke there on the money line and the third leg with a twist because i want to achieve plus money give me florida on all line plus 10 and a half so uno dos trace me amigos you bet those hands together that's plus 115 so i already have that on the always free always transparent spreadsheet of the Gaming Juice. I'm locked in.”
82-59; 67-70; 79-73 — UConn beat South Carolina 82-59 and Florida beat Auburn 79-73 (covering Florida +10.5), but Duke lost to Houston 67-70, busting the 3-leg parlay (NCAA.com; ESPN).
- Florida Gators moneyline won
- Auburn Tigers +10.5 alternate spread won
“This is how I'm playing this game on the spread. A little same game parlay action at BetMGM. Give me Florida the money line And I'm going to go with the old spread market and take Auburn up from two and a half to plus ten and a half. What does that mean? Well, Florida's got to win between one and ten points. If you put that answer together, it's plus 174 on that action.”
79-73 — Florida beat Auburn 79-73, winning outright on the moneyline while Auburn's +10.5 alternate spread also cashed since the margin was only 6 (ESPN).
“Thomas Hawk is a guy I'm going to take the over on 11 and a half points a little lighter juice on that one a minus 105 at BetMGM”
79-73 — Thomas Haugh scored 12 points for Florida in the Final Four win over Auburn, covering the over 11.5 (ESPN box score). (Thomas Haugh: 12 points)
“Janiah Broom, give me the over. I do love on rebounds, especially on assists. That number only two and a half at a minus 105.”
79-73 — Johni Broome had 2 assists for Auburn in the Final Four loss to Florida, under his 2.5-assist prop line (ESPN box score). (Johni Broome: 2 assists)
“Only available at BetMGM. Go to game props and go ahead and go down the list and you'll see this. Auburn, under two and a half team dunks. Yes, it's real. And it is spectacular at a minus 118 juice.”
Auburn's Dylan Cardwell made 4 dunks in the Final Four loss to Florida, well over the 2.5 team-dunks under line (ESPN play-by-play). (Auburn: 4 team dunks (Dylan Cardwell))
“Duke one to five points I think this is gonna be an Ipantuck affair I think it's gonna come down to a final possession so that margin of victory plus 340 let's freaking go I think Duke wins that within that range of one to five points”
67-70 — Duke lost outright to Houston 67-70 in the Final Four, so the 'Duke to win by 1-5 points' bet failed since Duke did not win at all (ESPN).
“Give me the under on J'Wan Roberts Nine and a half points on a minus 120 juice.”
67-70 — J'Wan Roberts scored 11 points for Houston in the Final Four win over Duke, over his 9.5-point under line (ESPN box score). (J'Wan Roberts: 11 points)
“Cooper Flagg, give me the over on one and a half made threes at plus 115.”
67-70 — Cooper Flagg made 3 three-pointers for Duke in the Final Four loss to Houston, covering the over 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Cooper Flagg: 3 made threes)
“Houston raced at 10. Will he be the first team to score 10 points in the game? It's plus 110. Why the heck not? I only got a couple of games left to bet on, so I'm firing away on that.”
Duke reached 10 points first on a Tyrese Proctor basket at the 14:04 mark of the first half (Duke 10, Houston 6), so Houston's 'race to 10' bet lost (CBS Sports play-by-play). (Duke reached 10 points first, 14:04 in 1st half)
“Give me the Philadelphia Phillies straight up, baby, on the money line at plus 110.”
PHI 3, LAD 2 — The Phillies beat the Dodgers 3-2 on 4/4/25; Phillies moneyline covers (ESPN).
“I grab it at a 19.5 and a minus 110.”
LAC 114, NO 98 — Norman Powell scored 11 points as the Clippers beat the Pelicans 114-98 on 4/2/25; over 19.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Norman Powell: 11 points)
“Gentlemen, before I go, Steven Kwan, two or more hits,”
Steven Kwan went 0-for-4 for Cleveland in the Guardians' 7-2 loss to the Padres on 3/31/25, well under the 1.5-hit line for 2+ hits (ESPN box score, gameId 401694972). (0 hits (0-for-4))
“I'm going to take the Florida Gators. I'm going to lay the 6.5.”
FLA 84, TTU 79 — Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 (a 5-point margin) in the Elite Eight on 3/29/25, falling short of the -6.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I like the under as well at 157.5 in this game.”
FLA 84, TTU 79 — Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 for a combined 163 points in the Elite Eight on 3/29/25, exceeding the 157.5 total, so the under busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me Cooper Flagg over five and a half times more plus money at plus 120.”
DUKE 85, ALA 65 — Cooper Flagg had 3 assists in Duke's 85-65 Elite Eight win over Alabama on 3/29/25, short of the 5.5 line (ESPN box score). (Cooper Flagg: 3 assists)
“I'm going to go with Malawatch over 8.5 points in this contest.”
DUKE 85, ALA 65 — Khaman Maluach scored 14 points in Duke's 85-65 Elite Eight win over Alabama on 3/29/25, clearing the 8.5 line (ESPN box score). (Khaman Maluach: 14 points)
- Duke Blue Devils by 1-15
- Over 161.5
“Does Duke win between 1 and 15? I say yes. And I'm going to take the total down to 161.5 and windmill slam dunk that over and he would g plus 104 there at that mgm”
DUKE 85, ALA 65 — Duke beat Alabama 85-65 in the Elite Eight on 3/29/25 — the margin was well outside the 1-15 range and the combined score fell under the 161.5 total, so both same-game parlay legs busted (ESPN box score).
“I think they're going to score the cover at plus five and a half.”
AUB 70, MSU 64 — Auburn beat Michigan State 70-64 in the Elite Eight on 3/30/25, a 6-point margin that exceeds the +5.5 line, so the Michigan State spread busts (ESPN box score).
“I haven't seen a line yet on this player prop. I don't think it's surface yet, but whatever it is on Jase Richardson, three pointers made. I'm going to take the over, baby. I've got it. I've got it, Brad. I've got it at Ben MGM. Over one and a half. And, Brad, it is at plus money. Plus 100. Oh, my God. Oh, my God. I'm already not wearing pants. if I was wearing pants, I would be unbuckling the belt right now. I can't believe that's plus money. If you are, you know, content and believe in that Michigan say, oh, they can't shoot the three. Again, look at the recent data. Over 35% from way downtown in their last 10 games. Why? Because of Richardson. You're going to give me plus money on an over, and all I need is one and two threes to cash. I'm in.”
AUB 70, MSU 64 — Jase Richardson went 0-for-2 on three-pointers in Michigan State's 70-64 Elite Eight loss to Auburn on 3/30/25, missing the 1.5 over (ESPN box score). (Jase Richardson: 0 three-pointers made (0-2))
“Yeah, first and foremost, I'm going to live in a land down under on five and a half team dunks. You can bet on it. Click game props there on your BetMGM app. You can find this on Alabama. Again, under five and a half dunks and a plus 130.”
Alabama made only 2 dunks (both by Grant Nelson) in its 3/29/25 Elite Eight loss to Duke, well under the 5.5 line (ESPN play-by-play). (Alabama: 2 team dunks (Grant Nelson x2))
“I am going to roll with Alabama on the race to 15 in this game at plus 120.”
In the 3/29/25 Elite Eight game, Duke reached 15 points before Alabama did, per the ESPN play-by-play, so the Alabama race-to-15 prop busts. (Duke reached 15 points before Alabama)
“Yeah, it's Ruben Chinnulu, and I'm going to take the over on rebounds. That number's in at 6.5 right now, and again, plus odds.”
FLA 84, TTU 79 — Rueben Chinyelu grabbed 5 rebounds in Texas Tech's 84-79 Elite Eight loss to Florida on 3/29/25, short of the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (Rueben Chinyelu: 5 rebounds)
“I also like Clayton on the over threes, two and a half, a little bit lighter juice, like minus 115.”
FLA 84, TTU 79 — Walter Clayton Jr. made 3 three-pointers (30 points overall) in Florida's 84-79 Elite Eight win over Texas Tech on 3/29/25, clearing the 2.5 line (ESPN box score). (Walter Clayton Jr.: 3 three-pointers made)
“I bet on the money line on Tennessee Volunteers at plus 145.”
HOU 69, TENN 50 — Houston beat Tennessee 69-50 in the Elite Eight on 3/30/25; the Tennessee moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I do like the over at the 148 and a half”
AUB 70, MSU 64 — Auburn beat Michigan State 70-64 (combined 134) in the Elite Eight on 3/30/25; the over 148.5 total busts (ESPN box score).
“Michigan State plus the points and a little sprinkle on the money line at plus 195.”
AUB 70, MSU 64 — Michigan State lost to Auburn 64-70 in the Elite Eight on 3/30/25; the moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I actually grabbed it earlier in the week at plus nine and a half”
AUB 78, MICH 65 — Auburn beat Michigan 78-65, a 13-point margin, in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25 -- more than the +9.5 line -- so Michigan's spread lost (ESPN box score).
“Golden over seven and a half rebounds.”
AUB 78, MICH 65 — Vladislav Goldin grabbed 9 rebounds as Michigan lost to Auburn 78-65 in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25, over the 7.5 line (ESPN box score). (Vladislav Goldin: 9 rebounds)
“Give me the under on Caleb Love, 17.5 points, guys.”
DUKE 100, ARIZ 93 — Caleb Love scored 35 points for Arizona in a 100-93 Sweet 16 loss to Duke on 3/27/25, well over the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Caleb Love: 35 points)
“I love BYU, guys, plus five and a half.”
113-88 — Alabama beat BYU 113-88, a 25-point margin that busts BYU's +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“kind of like Richie Saunders over at 2.5 May 3s.”
113-88 — Richie Saunders made just 1 of 2 three-point attempts (25 points overall) in Alabama's 113-88 win over BYU, missing the over 2.5 threes (ESPN box score). (Richie Saunders: 1 three-pointer made (1-2))
“Purdue plus eight and a half.”
HOU 62, PUR 60 — Houston beat Purdue 62-60 in the Sweet 16; Purdue's -2 margin covers +8.5 (ESPN).
“love the under and uh that grab that at 132 and a half and love even more boiler up at plus eight”
HOU 62, PUR 60 — Houston beat Purdue 62-60 in the Sweet 16 (combined 122), under 132.5 covers (ESPN).
“I'll take the over. The over in Oregon, Arizona is 162.5 and going up. Over.”
ARIZ 87, ORE 83 — Arizona beat Oregon 87-83 in the NCAA Tournament second round, a combined 170 points; the over 162.5 total covers (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to go with McNeese. I'll take him plus six and a half.”
PUR 76, MCN 62 — Purdue beat McNeese 76-62; McNeese's +6.5 spread lost by a 14-point margin (ESPN box score).
“Three and a half. I'll take Michigan all day.”
MICH 91, TA&M 79 — Michigan beat Texas A&M 91-79 in the NCAA Tournament second round; Michigan's +3.5 spread covers with the outright win (ESPN box score).
“I think Drake will score the cover Give me them plus seven and a half”
TTU 77, DRKE 64 — Texas Tech beat Drake 77-64 in the NCAA Tournament second round; Drake's +7.5 spread lost by a 13-point margin (ESPN box score).
“That total is incredibly low at one 26 and a half I'd still take the under.”
TTU 77, DRKE 64 — Texas Tech beat Drake 77-64, a combined 141 points; the under 126.5 total lost (ESPN box score).
“my favorite bet is the under, living that land down under at 130.5.”
TENN 67, UCLA 58 — Tennessee beat UCLA 67-58 (combined 125), under 130.5 covers (ESPN).
- St. John's Red Storm lost
- Over 142.5 lost
“I'm going to build a same-game parlay in this one. Give me the Johnnies. I get the money line victory, and then the second leg. I'm going to take the total down of 142.5 and slam dunk the over.”
ARK 75, SJU 66 — Arkansas beat St. John's 75-66: the St. John's moneyline leg lost, and the combined 141 fell under 142.5 so the over leg also lost; parlay busts (ESPN).
“I like the under, by the way, on his player pop at 19 and a half points.”
AUB 82, CREI 70 — Auburn beat Creighton 82-70; Ryan Kalkbrenner scored 18 points, under 19.5 covers (ESPN). (Ryan Kalkbrenner: 18 points)
“I like Wisconsin here quite a bit. I laid the one and a half here at the Lions. We're at a minus 102”
BYU 91, WIS 89 — BYU beat Wisconsin 91-89; Wisconsin lost outright, missing -1.5 (ESPN).
“give me the under 148”
ALA 80, SMC 66 — Alabama beat Saint Mary's 80-66 (combined 146), under 148 covers (ESPN).
“I'm going to lay the seven-and-a-half, and I also love the over as well.”
MD 72, CSU 71 — Maryland beat Colorado State 72-71 on a buzzer-beater; the +1 margin misses Maryland -7.5 (ESPN).
“Seven and a half for Nolan Winter. Over. Over.”
BYU 91, WIS 89 — BYU beat Wisconsin 91-89; Wisconsin's Nolan Winter scored 6 points, under 7.5 (ESPN). (Nolan Winter: 6 points)
“Duke, 11 and a half point favorite against VJ Edgecombe and Baylor, 143 and a half the total on Sunday. Duke by a billion next.”
DUKE 89, BAY 66 — Duke beat Baylor 89-66, a 23-point margin that covers Duke -11.5 (ESPN).
“Yeah, I actually laid the chalk with St. Mary's. I got it four and a half.”
SMC 59, VAN 56 — Saint Mary's beat Vanderbilt 59-56 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Saint Mary's -4.5 spread lost, winning by only 3 (ESPN box score).
“Look, I like Illinois minus a 3.5 objectively speaking.”
ILL 86, XAV 73 — Illinois beat Xavier 86-73 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Illinois's -3.5 spread covered by a 13-point margin (ESPN box score).
“But I think the over is the best bet in that game. I loved it when it opened at 159.5. It moved to 160.5. I think it might here be at 161.5. I've seen a couple of those around. 161.5 at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas.”
ILL 86, XAV 73 — Illinois beat Xavier 86-73, a combined 159 points; the over 161.5 total lost (ESPN box score).
“North Carolina. Yeah, we love them, too. Yeah, like the 1.5.”
MISS 71, UNC 64 — Ole Miss beat North Carolina 71-64 in the NCAA Tournament first round; North Carolina lost outright, busting the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I like Bryant a lot, plus 17 and a half. Now, I'm not cray-cray like you embedding the money line. I will take the points all day long.”
MSU 87, BRY 62 — Michigan State beat Bryant 87-62; Bryant's +17.5 spread lost by a 25-point margin (ESPN box score).
“I laid it with Oregon. I don’t feel great about it, but I still lay it. Is it still seven and a half? Seven across the board.”
ORE 81, LIB 52 — Oregon beat Liberty 81-52 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Oregon's -7 spread covered by a 29-point margin (ESPN box score).
“I took the 9.5 with Creighton immediately.”
AUB 82, CREI 70 — Auburn beat Creighton 82-70 in the NCAA Tournament second round; Creighton's +9.5 spread lost by a 12-point margin (ESPN box score).
“You got to take the over on points? What is it? I don't give a damn. I'll take the under. You tell me. Okay, two and a half. It's probably going to be. I mean, you said you don't give a damn. I kind of don't give a damn. I'm going to guess right now that number's probably like 17 and a half. Broome is 19 and a half. Oh, my God. Juiced over. Yeah, go to hell. Well, I mean, you're telling BetMGM to go to hell. Yeah. Juiced over. So what's the under? Plus money? Still minus money. Look, under all day.”
AUB 82, CREI 70 — Johni Broome scored 8 points for Auburn against Creighton; his total finished under the 19.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Johni Broome: 8 points)
“I have Colorado State minus two and a half.”
CSU 78, MEM 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Colorado State's -2.5 spread covered by an 8-point margin (ESPN box score).
“I laid it. I laid it all day. 29.5? I mean, I think they’re going to blitz them.”
FLA 95, NORF 69 — Florida beat Norfolk State 95-69, a 26-point margin that falls short of the -29.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I like Troy. I took Troy plus the 11.5.”
UK 76, TROY 57 — Kentucky beat Troy 76-57, a 19-point margin that busts Troy's +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet I'm 10-1 as a Dark Horse Final Four team out of that region”
Duke 85, Alabama 65 — 1-seed Duke won the East Region, beating Alabama 85-65 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-29 (ESPN); Wisconsin, eliminated in the second round, did not win the East Region.
“I already bet the over on 7.5 rebounds in that game.”
Vladislav Goldin grabbed 8 rebounds for Michigan against UC San Diego (ESPN box score), clearing the 7.5 line. (Vladislav Goldin: 8 rebounds)
“Arkansas plus 5.5.”
Kansas 72, Arkansas 79 — Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 (ESPN box score); Arkansas's +7 margin covers +5.5.
“I took the Arkansas Razorbacks immediately, plus a four and a half.”
Kansas 72, Arkansas 79 — Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 (ESPN box score); Arkansas's +7 margin covers +4.5.
“gentlemen before i go a live dive under 143 and a half about st mary's and american”
American 72, Mount St. Mary's 83 — Mount St. Mary's beat American 83-72 (ESPN box score); the 155-point combined final total ran well over the 143.5 live under.
“So I took the over at 142.5”
UNC 95, SDSU 68 — North Carolina beat San Diego State 95-68 on 3/18/25, a combined 163 points that clears the over 142.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me Nick Boyd over 15 and a half points.”
UNC 95, SDSU 68 — Nick Boyd scored 12 points for San Diego State in the 95-68 loss to North Carolina on 3/18/25, falling short of the 15.5-point over (ESPN box score). (Nick Boyd 12 points)
“and I bet the under, and I saw it close at 135.5, and I granted it open at 141.5.”
ALST 70, SFPA 68 — Alabama State beat Saint Francis (PA) 70-68 on 3/18/25, a combined 138 points that stays under the 141.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I took the money line on UC San Diego”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — Michigan beat UC San Diego 68-65 on 3/20/25, so the UC San Diego moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“I could see Yale definitely staying within that 7.5 number. I will ride with you, Mimigo.”
Texas A&M 80, Yale 71 — Texas A&M beat Yale 80-71 in the first round on 2025-03-20; Yale lost by 9, failing to cover +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“Michigan State is about plus 420. Oh, hell to the yes. Hell to the yes.”
Michigan State lost the South Regional final (Elite Eight) to Auburn 70-64 on 2025-03-30, so it did not win the South Region (ESPN).
“Oregon minus five and a half against Liberty 139 and a half the total. Yeah, I'll lay the chalk with the Ducks.”
Oregon 81, Liberty 52 — Oregon beat Liberty 81-52 in the first round on 2025-03-21; Oregon won by 29, covering -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Automatic wager on any overtide Alabama. 165.5, who cares? 185.5, I'd still take it.”
Alabama 90, Robert Morris 81 — Alabama beat Robert Morris 90-81 in the first round on 2025-03-21; combined 171 points, over 165.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I'm going to lay with Florida in the 27.5.”
Florida 95, Norfolk State 69 — Florida beat Norfolk State 95-69 in the first round on 2025-03-21; Florida won by 26, failing to cover -27.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take him straight up on the money line against Memphis.”
Colorado State 78, Memphis 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 in the first round on 2025-03-21; Colorado State won outright, covering the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“whatever the total is in Maryland Grand Canyon, I'm going to take the under. I think you told me during the break, it's at 149.5.”
Maryland 81, Grand Canyon 49 — Maryland beat Grand Canyon 81-49 in the first round on 2025-03-21; combined 130 points, under 149.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“but i will uh you know obviously take the points and i'm going to take them on the money line”
Arkansas 79, Kansas 72 — Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 in the first round on 2025-03-20; Arkansas won outright, covering the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I'll take the under of the Houston SIUE game. SIUE is actually a pretty decent defensive team. How would you pronounce that, SIUE? like SIUE? Yeah, SIUE? I don't know. I mean, it's SIUE. Look, the only reason I'm familiar with the school is my kid was thinking about getting into pharmacies and college here locally, and they have a really good pharmaceutical school. So I call them, playfully, the fighting pharmaceuticals of SIUE. They did play Illinois, my line-eye, earlier this season. I watched the game thoroughly. I try to scout all these teams at least two to three times every year. And they also played Indiana. They're playing in a fairly tough for about a 30-minute phase of that game because they play excellent defense. They're inside the top 75 nationally in the AMGD. So the over-under in that game, I see it right now, 126.5. And I ain't scared of such a low number. I think it's going to be in the low 50s in the end. And ultimately, Houston may win that thing like maybe 70-45. So I like the under quite a bit.”
Houston 78, SIU Edwardsville 40 — Houston beat SIU Edwardsville 78-40 in the first round on 2025-03-20; combined 118 points, under 126.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“And then Purdue High Point, I'm with you, man. Give me the over. That total is set at 154.5.”
Purdue 75, High Point 63 — Purdue beat High Point 75-63 in the first round on 2025-03-20; combined 138 points, over 154.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“So the fact that Troy's getting plus 10.5, I'm in.”
Kentucky 76, Troy 57 — Kentucky beat Troy 76-57 in the first round on 2025-03-21; Kentucky won by 19, so Troy failed to cover +10.5 (ESPN box score).
“So I'm going to lay, I believe, the four and a half with a fight in Bill Walton's.”
UCLA 72, Utah State 47 — UCLA beat Utah State 72-47 in the first round on 2025-03-20; UCLA won by 25, covering -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“but st john's at six to one take my money take it betting jam”
Florida won the West Region, beating Texas Tech 84-79 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-29; St. John's had already been upset in the Round of 32, so it did not win the region (ESPN).
“I got Tennessee I feel very reluctant about that to be honest with you”
Houston won the Midwest Region, beating Tennessee 69-50 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-30, so Tennessee did not win the region (ESPN).
“Texas Tech minus two and a half against Arizona.”
80-86 — Arizona beat Texas Tech 86-80 in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; a 6-point Texas Tech loss fails to cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“Give me Colorado State. I laid at five and a half against the Nevada Wolf Pack.”
67-59 — Colorado State beat Nevada 67-59 in the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; an 8-point win covers Colorado State -5.5 (ESPN).
“So in the ACC, give me Syracuse plus a nine and a half, and I'll sprinkle a little action as well on the money line against the Mustangs.”
73-53 — SMU beat Syracuse 73-53 in the ACC tournament second round on March 12, 2025, a 20-point Syracuse loss, failing to cover +9.5 (ESPN box score).
“So in the ACC, give me Syracuse plus a nine and a half, and I'll sprinkle a little action as well on the money line against the Mustangs.”
73-53 — SMU beat Syracuse 73-53 in the ACC tournament on March 12, 2025, so the Syracuse moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Xavier on the money line at plus 110 against Marquette. I'm out.”
MARQ 89, XAV 87 — Marquette beat Xavier 89-87 in the Big East tournament quarterfinal on March 13, 2025, so the Xavier moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Gentlemen, Syracuse plus three and a half. Why? I don't know. I'm out.”
66-62 — Syracuse beat Florida State 66-62 outright in the ACC tournament first round on March 11, 2025 (J.J. Starling 27 points), so Syracuse +3.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Clemson Tigers, the plus 550.”
73-62 — Duke, not Clemson, won the 2025 ACC tournament, beating Louisville 73-62 on 2025-03-15, so Clemson's futures bet loses (Duke Athletics recap).
“I think Florida's a team to beat a plus 250. I will gladly invest in that ticket there at BetMGM.”
86-77 — Florida won the 2025 SEC tournament, beating Tennessee 86-77 on 2025-03-16 (Florida Athletics recap).
“Honestly, my top pick at the juice, though, is guns up in the Red Raiders of Texas Tech at plus 350.”
72-64 — Houston, not Texas Tech, won the 2025 Big 12 tournament, beating Arizona 72-64 on 2025-03-15, so Texas Tech's futures bet loses (Big 12 Conference official recap).
“I got them. I already invested a ticket at plus 250.”
59-53 — Michigan, not Michigan State, won the 2025 Big Ten tournament, beating Wisconsin 59-53 on 2025-03-16, so Michigan State's futures bet loses (Michigan Athletics recap).
“So a plus 155, I am in.”
82-66 — St. John's won the 2025 Big East tournament, beating Creighton 82-66 on 2025-03-15 for its first Big East title in 25 years (St. John's Athletics recap).
“Colorado State. Remember thy name. Nick Clifford is going to put on a show in Vegas. They are plus 425 is what I grabbed them at.”
69-56 — Colorado State won the 2025 Mountain West tournament, beating Boise State 69-56 in the final on 2025-03-15, with Nique Clifford named tournament MVP (Colorado State Athletics recap).
“All right, Numeroon, I'm going to play the under 136.5. And that waves in St. Mary's game.”
74-59 — Saint Mary's beat Pepperdine 74-59 in the WCC tournament semifinal on 2025-03-10, a combined 133 points that stays under 136.5 (ESPN box score).
- Gonzaga Bulldogs -9.5
- San Francisco Dons +25.5
“I'm going to take Gonzaga minus 9.5 and San Francisco at plus 25.5 on the same game parlay. Got that at minus 105 juice earlier today.”
85-76 — Gonzaga beat San Francisco 85-76 in the WCC tournament semifinal on 2025-03-10 — a 9-point win that falls half a point short of Gonzaga -9.5, so that leg loses even though San Francisco +25.5 wins, sinking the same-game parlay (ESPN box score).
“The Terriers of Wofford. I grabbed them at plus two and a half.”
92-85 — Wofford beat Furman 92-85 in the SoCon championship on 2025-03-10, winning outright and covering Wofford +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'd still play him at plus one and a half with a little sprinkle as well on the money line.”
92-85 — Wofford beat Furman 92-85 outright in the SoCon championship on 2025-03-10, so the Wofford moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I like this team a ton, so much so that I bet on about two and a half weeks ago to make the Final Four good old San Antonio where they know what salsa tastes like.”
75-66 — No. 10 seed Arkansas beat No. 2 seed St. John's 75-66 in the NCAA tournament second round on 2025-03-22, eliminating St. John's before the Final Four (ESPN box score).
- Illinois Fighting Illini moneyline won
- Purdue–Illinois over 152.5 won
“Same game, parlayed this game. I'm going to take Illinois on the money line as objectively as humanly possible. Gentlemen, I know I went to Illinois. I know I'm a diehard fan. I go to many games when I'm not on air, but I think Illinois is right on the ship. They won back-to-back games, most convincing fashion in Ann Arbor by 20 over the Michigan Wolverines over the weekend. And Purdue is now playing a single ounce of defense. How bad have they been over last month? Number 314 in the country in EMGD. They're giving up 63.7% from two. So if Illinois attacks downhill, a lot of, you know, the fancy handoffs and passes to Tomaslav Ivesich, the big seven-footer there in the post, he'll be able to finish with ease. So a lot of kisses off the glass, if you will, and a whole lot of lingerie on the deck. So I love Illinois on the money line. And I took the total down to 152.5, dunked on the over as well. There's not going to be defense played, really, on both ends. Illinois is like 276 in the EFGD over the last 30 days. So put those hands together. The game should be in the 80s, and I think the ILL prevails. On that simple two-lager, it's even money. Plus 100 built there in BetMGM.”
88-80 — Illinois beat Purdue 88-80 on 2025-03-07: Illinois wins the moneyline leg, and the combined 168 points clears the over 152.5 leg, so the same-game parlay cashes (ESPN box score).
“Fantastic wager. We're about immediately plus eight and a half.”
93-91 — Alabama beat Auburn 93-91 in overtime on 2025-03-08, a 2-point win that covers Alabama +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“UNLV, New Mexico under 146.5. I'm out.”
81-67 — New Mexico beat UNLV 81-67 on 2025-03-07, a combined 148 points that clears the under 146.5 total, so the under loses (ESPN box score).
“Gentlemen, before I go, Florida Atlantic plus 5.5.”
89-80 — UAB beat Florida Atlantic 89-80 on March 6, 2025, a 9-point Florida Atlantic loss that busts +5.5 (ESPN final).
“So, again, I'm going to lay the 22-and-a-half with supreme confidence.”
70-63 — UC San Diego beat Long Beach State 70-63 on March 6, 2025, only a 7-point margin that busts -22.5 (ESPN final).
“Well, I'm chopping down on the Florida Gators. I took a plus three and a half. Immediately it opened on BetMGM actually last night.”
99-94 — Florida beat Alabama 99-94 on March 5, 2025, a +5 margin that covers Florida +3.5 (ESPN final).
“Before I go, gentlemen, I'm going to lay with the Red Raiders. Guns up. Mine is 17 and a half.”
85-57 — Texas Tech and Arizona State did not play on March 5; their regular-season finale was March 8, 2025, which Texas Tech won 85-57, a +28 margin that comfortably covers -17.5 (ESPN final).
“I think they stubbed their toe, give me TCU plus a 3.5.”
61-58 — Baylor beat TCU 61-58 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); TCU lost by only 3, covering the +3.5 spread.
“So give me BYU, the fighting jibber for that, plus a nine and a half.”
88-85 — BYU beat Iowa State 88-85 in double overtime on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); BYU's outright win covers the +9.5 spread.
“I'm going to lay the nine and a half with the Cougs, and I kind of like the under as well in the game at 132 and a half.”
65-59 — Houston beat Kansas 65-59 on March 3, 2025 (ESPN); Houston's 6-point margin fell short of the -9.5 spread, so the bet busts.
“Eastern Washington, Montana, over 145.5.”
83-72 — Montana beat Eastern Washington 83-72 on March 3, 2025 (ESPN); combined 155 points is over the 145.5 total.
“I'm going to take the over in UCLA and Purdue. It's down at 138.5 after an open at 140.5”
76-66 — Purdue beat UCLA 76-66 on February 28, 2025, a combined 142 points that clears the 138.5 total (ESPN box score).
“i also took the over on ucla team total of just 67 and a half points”
76-66 — UCLA scored 66 points in Purdue's 76-66 win on February 28, 2025 (ESPN box score), under the 67.5 UCLA team-total line. (UCLA 66 points)
“Gentlemen before I go Penn and Cornell over 159 and a half I out”
90-62 — Cornell beat Penn 90-62 on February 28, 2025 (ESPN box score), a combined 152 points, under the 159.5 total line.
“And at a lighter juice, plus one and a half and a minus one on five at BetMGM. and I am in on that.”
UNT 71, FAU 61 — North Texas beat Florida Atlantic 71-61 outright, easily covering the +1.5 spread (ESPN).
“saint thomas the tommy's rat-a-tat-tat minus 10 and a half i'm out”
STT 86, UND 71 — St. Thomas beat North Dakota 86-71, a 15-point margin that covers the -10.5 spread (ESPN).
“Give me the Kentucky Wildcats. I gripped a minus one and a half last night.”
UK 83, OU 82 — Kentucky won at Oklahoma 83-82; the 1-point margin falls short of the -1.5 spread (ESPN).
“Auburn no not Auburn Arkansas minus three and a half I'm out”
ARK 86, TEX 81 — Arkansas beat Texas 86-81 in overtime, a 5-point margin that covers the -3.5 spread (ESPN).
“My favorite bet tonight in college, I was all of Santa Clara guys. I took a plus of six and a half against Gonzaga.”
GONZ 95, SCU 76 — Gonzaga beat Santa Clara 95-76 (ESPN); Broncos +6.5 lost outright by 19, failing to cover.
“But I'm going to go with Houston in that battle of Lone Star State to cover the one and a half.”
HOU 69, TTU 61 — Houston beat Texas Tech 69-61 (ESPN), covering the -1.5 spread by 6.5 points.
“Gentlemen, before I go, Kansas, I'm going to lay the 6.5 against Colorado.”
KU 71, COLO 64 — Kansas beat Colorado 71-64 (ESPN), covering the -6.5 spread by 0.5 points.
“[2:49:26] Like, they've been awesome. [2:49:27] And if they continue to ascend, maybe they're going to be a team that's heard from [2:49:29] next month with the NCAA tournament. [2:49:31] Real quick, any early thoughts for tomorrow's slate in college hoops? [2:49:35] Yeah, I immediately grabbed SMU on the money line, guys. [2:49:37] They're at home against Clemson. [2:49:39] Clemson's kind of been a bit of a group of straw men. [2:49:43] And if you look at the advanced analytics, [2:49:45] a team that's outside the top 50, [2:49:47] EFG offense, well outside the top 100 right now [2:49:50] in the EFG defense over the last 30 days. [2:49:52] SMU firmly on the bubble right now. [2:49:55] They are desperate, desperate for a quarter one opportunity. [2:50:00] I think Clemson comes up very close to that conversation. [2:50:03] Nina Markey running the resume. [2:50:05] They're at home. [2:50:06] And again, they're underdogs. [2:50:07] I'll take him straight out plus 105. [2:50:10] Awesome stuff there. [2:50:11] Check out Brad Evans and Ryan Horvat after us here on the BetMGM Network,”
Clemson 79, SMU 69 — Clemson beat SMU 79-69 on Feb 22, 2025, so SMU moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Gentlemen, Bryant minus one and a half. It's the Catamounts of Vermont. I'm out.”
Vermont 59, Bryant 55 — Vermont beat Bryant outright 59-55 on Feb 20, 2025, so Bryant -1.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“I think it's way too many points now at 7.5 and a minus 110 juice. Here is the reason why. You look at San Jose State, they've been covering machines this year. Number uno record against the spread of any team in college basketball. generally like to play a slower grind cue the key sweat there in the background number 213 adjusted tempo Nevada even slower and number 322 adjusted tempo and games played over last month but San Jose State 114 of Bart Torvik the last 30 days Nevada significantly lower overall in Torvik at 141 why well you look at the wool pack they're not exactly howling at the moon defensively number 303 Jared and EMGD over the last 30 days they're giving up 51.7 percent for two and 39.7 percent from three and make sure your circle and highlight that 39.7 percent they've allowed from three because that's a calling card to San Jose State is nailing outside shots over 45 percent of their jacks come from distance and over the last 30 days they're burning the next tune at 37.8 percent from three. So put all together plus seven and a half. It feels like a gift from the gambling guys with the home team. I'm going to San Jose state plus the seven and a half against the Nevada Wolfpack.”
Nevada 73, San Jose State 58 — Nevada beat San Jose State 73-58 on 2025-02-14 (ESPN), a 15-point margin, so San Jose State +7.5 failed to cover.
- Yale Bulldogs -13.5 lost
- Penn–Yale under 156.5 won
“Give me out the Smarty Pants League and Yale minus 13 and a half against Penn. And I'm going to take the total up to 156 and a half and dunk on the under. Plus 107 on that same game parlay built there at BetMGM.”
Yale 72, Penn 71 — Yale beat Penn 72-71 on 2025-02-14 (ESPN): Yale -13.5 lost (won by only 1), while Penn-Yale under 156.5 won (combined 143); with one leg losing, the parlay busts.
“I'm going to lay the road chalk with the Bruins at a minus one and a half, at a minus 115, just a little bit higher there at bed and gym.”
UCLA 72, Indiana 68 — UCLA beat Indiana 72-68 on 2025-02-14 (ESPN), a 4-point margin that covers UCLA -1.5.
“Give me Northern Kentucky minus six and a half on the road against Wisconsin Green Bay.”
Northern Kentucky 73, Green Bay 60 — Northern Kentucky beat Green Bay 73-60 on 2025-02-14 (ESPN), a 13-point margin that covers Northern Kentucky -6.5.
“Going away, so I'm going to just make a little action on Zona on the money line”
Houston 62, Arizona 58 — Houston beat Arizona 62-58 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Arizona lost outright, so the moneyline busts.
“And this year for me, it's Buddy Heald at plus 500.”
Tyler Herro won the 2025 NBA Three-Point Contest with a final-round score of 24 to Buddy Hield's 23 (NBA.com); Hield finished 2nd, so the futures bet on Hield to win lost. (Herro 24, Hield 23)
“I will take the chalk all day. Give me Mizzou plus a one-and-a-half.”
Missouri 87, Georgia 74 — Missouri beat Georgia 87-74 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); winning outright as a +1.5 underdog covers Missouri +1.5.
“So I'm going to side with a better team. I will lay the home chalk with the Rebels minus four and a half.”
Mississippi State 81, Ole Miss 71 — Mississippi State beat Ole Miss 81-71 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Ole Miss lost by 10, so Ole Miss -4.5 busts.
“So Boise State plus a two and a half.”
San Diego State 64, Boise State 47 — San Diego State beat Boise State 64-47 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); a 17-point Boise State loss exceeds the +2.5 spread, so the bet lost.
“I'll take them even on the money line at a plus 115 right now there at BetMGM.”
San Diego State 64, Boise State 47 — San Diego State beat Boise State 64-47 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Boise State lost outright, so the moneyline busts.
“I love the other one, 138.5.”
Texas A&M 69, Arkansas 61 — Texas A&M beat Arkansas 69-61 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); combined 130 points stays under the 138.5 total.
“but Kansas State's catching five and a half points. That's way too many.”
BYU 80, Kansas State 65 — BYU beat Kansas State 80-65 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); a 15-point Kansas State loss exceeds the +5.5 spread, so the bet lost.
“I actually took them on the money line, too. A little sprinkle on that at plus 198”
BYU 80, Kansas State 65 — BYU beat Kansas State 80-65 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Kansas State lost outright, so the moneyline busts.
“I don't give a damn what the line is. I saw it was like 5.5 and maybe up to 6.5. I would still bet it up to 9.5. Yes, I'm drunk and I don't care. I'm playing Illinois.”
Michigan State 79, Illinois 65 — Michigan State beat Illinois 79-65 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Illinois lost by 14, so Illinois -5.5 busts.
“I love what you were selling because I've already wagered on Roll Tide. I laid the one and a half.”
Auburn 94, Alabama 85 — Auburn beat Alabama 94-85 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); Alabama lost by 9, so Alabama -1.5 busts.
“I say Arkansas makes the NCAA tournament. Plus 105 for them to get that at-large berth.”
Arkansas received a No. 10 seed at-large bid in the West Region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament (Wikipedia bracket record), so the futures bet on Arkansas making the tournament won.
- Maryland Terrapins +5.5 won
- Maryland–Nebraska under 154.5 lost
“So to recap, to recap, my top play of the night, SGP, give me the Terps and that turtle power, plus five and a half. And I'm going to take the game total up to 154.5 and hit that under, plus 102 when built at BetMGM.”
MD 83-75 NEB — Maryland beat Nebraska 83-75 on Feb 13, 2025 (Maryland +5.5 wins), but the combined 158 points went over the 154.5 total, so the under leg busts and the parlay loses (ESPN).
“a team i tail uh but i think the spread's too high that's why i'm on omaha plus nine and a half Omaha this season, 17-7. ATS is a record. They've been covering machines. A team that's only number 117 to Bartolica last month, but they're number 13 in the country in EFG offense. They're burning the nets. South Dakota State, decent defensively, number 54 in EFGD. I just think 9.5, a wee bit too high. I think South Dakota State wins this in the 6-8 range, and hopefully we get the cover as a result on Omaha, All plus 9.5 and a minus 110 juice.”
SDSU 98-85 OMA — South Dakota State beat Omaha 98-85 on Feb 13, 2025, a 13-point margin; Omaha +9.5 fails to cover (ESPN).
“the under UNKC South Dakota hits at 157.5 at a minus 110 juice.”
SD 79-72 KC — South Dakota beat Kansas City 79-72 on Feb 13, 2025, a combined 151 points, under the 157.5 total (ESPN).
“I'm dropping the hammer on North Dakota State. I'm going to lay the chalk of 13 and a half. They're taking on Oral Roberts. I remember they were a center back in the day. They're out of Oklahoma, but I think they're going to get their asses kicked tonight. I'm going to lay that 13-and-a-half chalk with supreme confidence. That's why I'm wielding the sledgehammer. North Dakota State only 177 in Bart Torvick over the last 30 days. We look at Oral Roberts, 271 according to Torvick over that same span. North Dakota State can absolutely fill up the cup. Number 29 in college basketball the last 30 days. In the EFG offense setting, 59.3% from two and 36.8% from three. Meanwhile, Oral Roberts only 203 in EFGD over that stretch. They're going to own them on the glass. Oral Roberts, not exactly a great rebounding team. And on top of that as well, Oral Roberts number 307 in two-point percentage D. So don't be surprised. North Dakota State hangs like a 90 spot on Oral Roberts. I'm laying the chalk here, a little heavier chalk, minus 13.5 with the bison out of North Dakota State at a minus 110 juice.”
NDSU 94-88 ORU — North Dakota State beat Oral Roberts 94-88 in overtime on Feb 13, 2025, winning by only 6, failing to cover -13.5 (ESPN).
“So give me UT Arlington on that money line at a plus 105 juice.”
UTA 82-79 CBU — UT Arlington beat California Baptist 82-79 in overtime on Feb 13, 2025, so the Mavericks moneyline cashes (ESPN).
“Gonzaga's taking on San Francisco. And believe it or not, the Dons are catching 14.5 points on the road there inside the Kennel in Spokane. I think it's too large of a spread. So I'm going to ride with San Francisco and those 14.5 points.”
GONZ 88-77 SF — Gonzaga beat San Francisco 88-77 on Feb 13, 2025, an 11-point margin; San Francisco Dons +14.5 covers (ESPN).
“i legitimately fired off a ticket i bet mgm on this and i was a little bit late to the party should have recorded this like uh two to three weeks ago would have got a hell lot better number still decent buy right now and that's the florida gators to win the national title i grabbed it at 12 to 1”
Florida beat Houston 65-63 on April 7, 2025, to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball national championship, so the Gators futures ticket cashes (ESPN).
- Sacramento Kings -5.5
- Domantas Sabonis 13+ rebounds
“So, again, Kings minus 5.5, some bonus 13 or more boards. Somehow, someway, that shakes out the plus 105 built there at BetMGM.”
NOP 140-133 SAC — Sacramento lost outright to New Orleans 140-133 in OT on Feb 13, 2025, so the Kings -5.5 leg fails and the parlay loses even though Domantas Sabonis's 28 rebounds cleared the 12.5-rebound leg (ESPN box score). (Domantas Sabonis: 28 rebounds)
- Los Angeles Clippers moneyline won
- James Harden 7+ assists won
“I'm going to take the LA Clippers on the money line, and I'm going to courtly synergize and bring that all together. If they're going to win, that means James Harden, the beard, is going to have a game. Seven or more dimes is all I need, and that's it. That's a plus 100 juice.”
LAC 120-116 UTA — LA Clippers beat Utah 120-116 in OT on Feb 13, 2025, and James Harden recorded 7 assists, so both the moneyline and 7+ assists legs hit (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 7 assists)
“i'm going over a half a block i need one just one swat that is it jimmy b and it's plus 110 if you achieve that feed against houston rockets”
GS 105-98 HOU — Jimmy Butler recorded 0 blocks in Golden State's 105-98 win over Houston on Feb 13, 2025, missing the over 0.5 blocks line (ESPN box score). (Jimmy Butler: 0 blocks)
“Give me the other Alabama, the Northern version, North Alabama, over 87 and a half points in team total against North Florida.”
UNA 83-70 UNF — North Alabama scored 83 points in its 83-70 win over North Florida on Feb 13, 2025, under the 87.5 team-total line (ESPN box score). (North Alabama: 83 points)
“I fired off again on a future market for them to win the national title. It's plus 900 right now at BetMGM.”
Florida beat Houston 65-63 on April 7, 2025, to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball championship; Alabama did not win (ESPN).
“guys i'm on the under an Ole Miss in south carolina i grabbed that number 138 and a half”
MISS 72-68 SC — Ole Miss beat South Carolina 72-68 on Feb 12, 2025, a combined 140 points, over the 138.5 total (ESPN).
“And before I go, George Washington plus nine-half against VCU, I'm out.”
VCU 80-72 GW — VCU beat George Washington 80-72 on Feb 12, 2025, an 8-point margin; George Washington +9.5 covers (ESPN).
“Before I go gentlemen Kansas State Plus three and a half against Zona I'm out”
KSU 73, ARIZ 70 — Kansas State beat Arizona 73-70 on Feb 11, 2025; Kansas State won outright, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the over on team total, and that number is sitting at ultra soft, I believe, 87.5 and a minus 110 juice. They're going against Bellarmine”
North Florida 95, Bellarmine 88 — North Florida beat Bellarmine 95-88 on Feb 6, 2025; North Florida's team total of 95 points is over the 87.5 line (ESPN).
“I'm taking the over on 11 and a half yards. What a grad at this morning and really impossibly on the longest rush in the game for him at a minus 115 juice.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Jalen Hurts' longest rush in Super Bowl LIX was 17 yards (11 carries, 72 total yards, 1 TD), over the 11.5-yard longest-rush line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 17-yard longest rush)
“Go, Omaha, lay in the five. I'm out.”
Omaha 80, North Dakota 77 — Omaha beat North Dakota 80-77 on Feb 6, 2025, a 3-point margin, failing to cover the -5 spread (ESPN).
“I grabbed the line immediately, went open at plus three. I think it's down at two and a half right now at BetMGM. You never know what you're going to get with Kansas. I know Iowa State coming off an embarrassing home loss, and they never lose at Hilton, but they got trounced by Kansas State over the weekend. They want to right their ship. I know they're a little bit short-handed. Mavisilevich likely not going to be in uniform once again and ideally with his hand injury, the recovery there. But they have the guard play, and if they get Hunter Dickinson in foul trouble, game, set, match. I think Iowa State is very much a live dog, but I'll take it plus a three.”
Kansas 69, Iowa State 52 — Kansas beat Iowa State 69-52; Iowa State lost by 17, failing to cover +3.
“Gentlemen, before I go, North Texas plus two and a half.”
UAB 64, North Texas 61 — UAB beat North Texas 64-61; North Texas lost by 3, failing to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“i'm all the tennessee volunteers guys i lay the nine and a half it's up to ten and a half right now at bed and gm i still play it”
Kentucky 78, Tennessee 73 — Kentucky beat Tennessee 78-73 on the road; Tennessee -9.5 busts (ESPN final).
“And before I go, Arizona State plus three and a half. I'm out.”
Arizona State 70, Colorado 68 — Arizona State beat Colorado 70-68 outright, easily covering +3.5 (ESPN final).
“this one just popped up on BetMGM today, and I could not believe my eyes had a rub not once but twice and stared at the screen. Travis Kelsey, most receiving yards in the game against the Bills, at a very juicy plus 150.”
32-29 — Travis Kelce finished with 19 receiving yards while Xavier Worthy led all players with 85 receiving yards in the AFC Championship, so Kelce did not have the most receiving yards in the game (ESPN box score). (Kelce 19 yards; game leader Xavier Worthy 85 yards)
“already bet the over on 68 and a half on the standard receiving yards line”
32-29 — Travis Kelce had 19 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, below the over 68.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 19 receiving yards)
“got it for any time touchdown again at plus 130 are you kidding me more plus money anytime score let's go”
32-29 — Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown (2 catches, 19 yards) as the Chiefs beat the Bills 32-29 in the AFC Championship (ESPN box score and scoring summary). (0 touchdowns (2 receptions, 19 yards))
“ucla minus four and a half washington sucks i'm out”
65-60 — UCLA beat Washington 65-60, a 5-point margin that covers the -4.5 spread (ESPN final).
“Give me the over in the Battle of Dakotas. North Dakota taking on South Dakota. Sky high number. I grabbed it earlier today at 175.”
SD 102, ND 93 — South Dakota beat North Dakota 102-93 (combined 195 points), clearing the Over 175 total (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Stanford. I laid the 10 and a half this morning”
STAN 88, MIA 51 — Stanford beat Miami 88-51 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN), a 37-point margin that easily covers Stanford -10.5.
“gentlemen before i go oakland plus one and a half at home against fort wayne i'm out”
OAK 76, PFW 72 — Oakland beat Purdue Fort Wayne 76-72 outright on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN), so Oakland +1.5 covers.
“Gentlemen, I'm going to lay it with Alabama. I grabbed at 11.5.”
ALA 103, VAN 87 — Alabama beat Vanderbilt 103-87 on Jan 21, 2025, a 16-point margin that covers Alabama's -11.5 spread (ESPN).
“Wisconsin on the late night tip at UCLA, plus a three and a half. I'm out.”
UCLA 85, WIS 83 — UCLA beat Wisconsin 85-83 on Jan 21, 2025; Wisconsin lost by 2, which covers its +3.5 spread (ESPN).
“I got a deep car, guys, but I love the under in this game. I grabbed it and opened it at 46.5.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship; combined 57 points busts the under 46.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to back the Buffalo Bills straight up on the money line, guys. That a plus 105 is on a grind up this morning there at BetMGM.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City beat Buffalo 32-29 in the AFC Championship; the Bills moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
“Will Howard, INT, minus 129, I'm out.”
Ohio State's Will Howard went 17-of-21 for 231 yards, 2 TD, 0 interceptions in the CFP National Championship (ESPN box score), so the interception prop loses. (17-21, 231 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“Give me Xavier Worthy, and I'm going to take the over on four and a half rush yards.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Chiefs beat Texans 23-14 in the AFC Divisional Round; Xavier Worthy had 1 carry for -8 rushing yards (ESPN box score), well under the 4.5-yard line. (Worthy -8 rushing yards (1 carry))
“And then on Sunday, give me Derrick Henry See a hole smash. Oh, the football Frankenstein. taking the over on 19 and a half rush attempts”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Bills beat Ravens 27-25 in the AFC Divisional Round; Derrick Henry had 16 carries for 84 yards (ESPN), under the 19.5-attempt line. (Henry 16 rushing attempts)
“i got bultimore win this game straight up yes i laid the umpinto uh earlier this week”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Bills beat Ravens 27-25 in the AFC Divisional Round (ESPN); the Ravens moneyline busts.
“Ole Miss plus four and a half.”
84-81 — No. 15 Mississippi State beat No. 21 Ole Miss 84-81 in overtime on Jan 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Ole Miss lost by only 3, covering the +4.5 spread.
“Fresno minus three and a half. A double play of college basketball. I'm out.”
FRES 74, AF 65 — Fresno State beat Air Force 74-65 on Jan 17, 2025 (ESPN), covering the -3.5 spread by 9 points.
“absolutely i'm taking that over 100 percent uh as i always say when i call for the sledgehammer daddy what daddy daddy gotta have it hell yes i'm sledgehammer the over on 68 and a half”
Terry McLaurin had 4 catches for 87 yards and a TD in Washington's 45-31 divisional-round win over Detroit on Jan 18, 2025, clearing the 68.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (McLaurin 87 receiving yards)
“I'm actually going to take the under on it, quite frankly. Look, you've got to go back at that first game. I know Tankdale was the guy and unfortunately got injured in that first matchup back in Week 16, but he had several sessions for 60 yards. I've got a feeling this is going to be more of a Dalton Schultz game or a tertiary weapons game. Maybe like Xavier Hutchinson or Mechie or someone else. Nico Collins will still get his, but I don't think he gets over 81.5.”
Nico Collins had 5 catches for 81 receiving yards in the Texans' 23-14 AFC Divisional loss at Kansas City on Jan 18, 2025, staying under the 81.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Nico Collins 5 catches, 81 receiving yards)
“I think the best man on the board is Illinois and I guess I'll lay the six”
94-69 — Illinois beat Indiana 94-69, a 25-point margin that covers Illinois -6 (ESPN).
“Chomping down, baby, with the Florida Gators. I laid the 10.5. I got an even Steve-a-plus winner juice earlier today.”
83-82 — Missouri upset Florida 83-82, a 1-point Florida loss that fails to cover Florida -10.5 (ESPN).
“But top of the list for me is Jalen Nailor I'm going to take the over on 18.5 receiving yards. Those are like the over 1.5 receptions as well. Standard minus 115 juice on that front there at BetMGM.”
Jalen Nailor had 3 receptions for 33 receiving yards in the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, over the 18.5-yard line, per ESPN box score. (3 receptions, 33 receiving yards)
“But top of the list for me is Jalen Nailor I'm going to take the over on 18.5 receiving yards. Those are like the over 1.5 receptions as well. Standard minus 115 juice on that front there at BetMGM.”
Jalen Nailor had 3 receptions in the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, over the 1.5-reception line, per ESPN box score. (3 receptions)
“Furman minus. I grabbed it at five and a half. I'd still play it at seven and a half.”
62-81 — Furman lost 81-62 to Wofford on Jan 13, 2025, a 19-point loss that fails to cover Furman -5.5, per ESPN.
“uh it's josh allen i'm taking the over on rush yards i grabbed a 39 and a half best line of business right now of course at bet mgm on that it's like three to four yards higher in every other book utterly amazing a little bit heavier juice here at a minus 120”
31-7 — Bills beat Broncos 31-7 (Jan 12, 2025 AFC Wild Card); Josh Allen rushed 8 times for 46 yards, over the 39.5 line (ESPN box score). (46 rushing yards)
- Riley Leonard to throw a passing touchdown won
- Orange Bowl under 54.5 won
“I'm going to take Riley Leonard. All I need is one passing touchdown out of him. He's done this in the last 11 games. And I'm going to jack the total up in the alt market to 54.5 and slam dunk the under on that. Simple little two-legged. Put those hands together. Plus 110 there at BetMGM.”
27-24 — Riley Leonard threw 1 passing TD (to Jaden Greathouse) and Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 (combined 51 points) in the Jan 9, 2025 Orange Bowl; both parlay legs win (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take them now at plus three and a half”
73-68 — Saint Louis beat St. Bonaventure 73-68 on Jan 8, 2025, a 5-point margin, so the Bonnies failed to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I think Vanderbilt takes the cake and wins that bad boy straight up. Plus 105 is what I grabbed at there at BetMGM.”
76-64 — Mississippi State beat Vanderbilt 76-64 on Jan 7, 2025; Vanderbilt moneyline busts (ESPN).
“well I grabbed the side last side what is a one and a half”
73-43 — Florida beat Tennessee 73-43 on Jan 7, 2025; Florida margin +30 covers -1.5 (ESPN).
“the under in Loyola, Marymount, and St. Mary's, 135 and a half.”
81-56 — Saint Mary's beat Loyola Marymount 81-56 on Jan 7, 2025 (combined 137); under 135.5 busts (ESPN).
“I'm going to give you a player prop because it's already available. Mark Andrews, anytime touchdown. Let's freaking go. I mean, he has cashed this sucker multiple times. In fact, he's done it in six straight games against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Last time he faced the representatives there from P-Town, what did he find? Oh, that's right. The end zone. And you look at Pittsburgh in the regular season and look at the fantasy football data. They allowed the 10th most fantasy points to the tight end position, giving up seven touchdowns to plus size targets. So Mark Andrews, I think he end zone spikes it yet again. I grabbed it at plus 140 immediately today.”
Mark Andrews caught 2 passes for 27 yards with 0 touchdowns in Baltimore's 28-14 AFC Wild Card win over Pittsburgh on Jan 11, 2025; Ravens touchdowns went to Derrick Henry (2), Rashod Bateman, and Justice Hill (ESPN box score). (2 receptions, 27 yards, 0 touchdowns)
“I'm going to go to the alt market and get him for 100 or more receiving errors on a plus 105 juice.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); Justin Jefferson finished with 3 catches for 54 receiving yards on 9 targets, well under the 99.5-yard alt line, so the Justin Jefferson 100+ receiving yards pick lost. (Justin Jefferson: 54 receiving yards)
“Friday night hoops. The Ohio State laying a point and a half. I'm out.”
89-88 — Ohio State and Minnesota met only once in this stretch, on Jan 6, 2025 (not Jan 3), with Ohio State winning 89-88 in double overtime (ESPN) — a 1-point win that fails to cover Ohio State -1.5.
“So under Amon Ra, Ra, Ra, Ra, Ra, St. Brown, 21.5 yards along his catch at a minus 115 there at BetMGM.”
Per the ESPN box score, Amon-Ra St. Brown's longest reception in the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game was 14 yards (8 catches, 60 yards, 1 TD), under the 21.5 line. (Amon-Ra St. Brown longest reception: 14 yards)
“I love Breece Hall I going to take the over receiving yards at 21 and a half”
BUF 40, NYJ 14 — Breece Hall caught just 1 pass for 8 receiving yards as the Bills beat the Jets 40-14; misses the 21.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Breece Hall: 8 receiving yards)
“Gentlemen, before I go, UCLA plus four and a half tomorrow in hoops.”
UCLA 65, GONZ 62 — UCLA beat Gonzaga 65-62, a 3-point margin that covers the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the over on receiving yards, and that number is down from an open at 38.5 to 36.5. I grabbed a lighter juice, minus 105 at BetMGM.”
Romeo Doubs had 2 catches for 20 receiving yards in Green Bay's 34-0 win over New Orleans, under the 36.5 line (ESPN box score). (20 receiving yards)
“Xavier Worthy over a half a rushing yard. It's a minus 130 juice”
Xavier Worthy rushed twice for 10 yards in Kansas City's 29-10 win over Pittsburgh, over the 0.5 line (ESPN box score). (10 rushing yards on 2 carries)
“Jordan Love, under 29 and a half pass attempts. I'm out”
Jordan Love went 16-of-28 passing (28 attempts) in Green Bay's 34-0 win over New Orleans, under the 29.5 line (ESPN box score). (28 pass attempts)
“So give me the Vols plus 7.5.”
OSU 42, TENN 17 — Ohio State routed Tennessee 42-17 in the CFP first round, a 25-point margin that busts Tennessee +7.5 (ESPN final score).
“And I really do like that under at 46.5.”
OSU 42, TENN 17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17 in the CFP first round, a combined 59 points that busts the under 46.5 (ESPN final score).
“JSN, Jackson Smith and Jigba of the Ohio State. As a matter of fact, over 61 and a half yards.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 8 receptions for 95 yards, clearing the 61.5-yard line, in Minnesota's 27-24 win over Seattle (ESPN box score). (95 receiving yards)
“Jackson State, UTEP over 139.5. I'm out.”
UTEP 67, Jackson State 61 — UTEP beat Jackson State 67-61, a combined 128 points that stays under the 139.5 total (ESPN final score).
“I played up to 14.5.”
In the Chargers' 34-27 win over the Broncos on Dec 19, 2024, Kimani Vidal had 5 carries for 24 rushing yards and did not record a single reception or receiving yard, under the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (0 receiving yards (0 receptions))
“UC Irvine, minus two and a half at Belmont. I'm out.”
UCI 92, BEL 84 — UC Irvine beat Belmont 92-84 on Dec 19, 2024; the Anteaters' 8-point margin covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Sanford plus 19 and a half against Zona I out”
Arizona 96, Samford 64 — Arizona routed Samford 96-64 on Dec 18, 2024, a 32-point margin that fails to cover Samford's +19.5 (ESPN box score).
“i grind a minus two and a half at open”
90-84 — No. 7 Florida beat North Carolina 90-84, a 6-point margin that covered Florida -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“Ray Ray McLeod over a half a rushing yard plus 125”
Ray-Ray McCloud had zero rushing attempts (0 yards) in the Falcons' 15-9 win over the Raiders, under the 0.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (0 rushing attempts, 0 rushing yards)
“I love Illinois on the money line. I grabbed it earlier today at plus 126”
66-64 — Tennessee beat Illinois 66-64 (ESPN) on Jordan Gainey's game-winning layup at the buzzer — Illinois moneyline lost.
“I also love the Zags. I'm going to lay the chalk on that one. It's come down for 4.5. Even better value now at BetMGM and mine is 2.5.”
UConn 77, Gonzaga 71 — UConn beat Gonzaga 77-71 at Madison Square Garden on Dec 14, 2024 (ESPN) — Gonzaga lost outright, so Gonzaga -2.5 did not cover.
“i think i got it like two and a half if i recall correctly”
68-85 — Nebraska beat Indiana 85-68 (ESPN), a 17-point margin that clears Nebraska's -2.5 — Nebraska covered.
“Give me the over on Blake Quorum 19 and a half rush yards. It's already gotten juiced up at bed and gym at minus 125, but I ain't scared of that juice.”
LAR 12, SF 6 — Blake Corum rushed for 5 yards on 3 carries in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, well under the 19.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Blake Corum: 5 rushing yards)
“I like Demarcus Robinson over on 13 and a half yards, the longest catch, a little bit lighter juice there at a minus 110”
LAR 12, SF 6 — Demarcus Robinson finished with zero catches for zero yards in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, so his longest reception fell under 13.5 (ESPN box score). (Demarcus Robinson: 0 receptions, 0 yards)
“Arkansas plus five is what I grinded last night”
ARK 89, MICH 87 — Arkansas beat Michigan 89-87 in the Jimmy V Classic on 12/10/2024; Arkansas +5 covers by 2 points (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the over. I grab it at 19 and a half receiving yards”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; Andrei Iosivas caught 4 passes for 41 receiving yards, clearing the 19.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Andrei Iosivas: 41 receiving yards)
“Marquez Valdez-Scantling, over 19 and a half yards, the longest reception at minus 120 right now at BetMGM”
Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 4 receptions for 51 yards with a long of 22 vs the Giants on 12/8/2024 (ESPN box score), clearing the 19.5-yard longest-reception line. (4 rec, 51 yds, long 22)
“Alvin Kamara, 100 rushing yards this weekend, plus 155”
Alvin Kamara rushed for 44 yards on 17 carries vs the Giants on 12/8/2024 (ESPN box score), well under the 100-yard line. (17 car, 44 yds)
“[33:40] Brad, what is the best bet coming up for tonight, Thursday night football, [33:44] with the Packers and the Lions? [33:46] Oh, my favorite player is going to be in action tonight, [33:48] so naturally, hashtag mandatory Montgomery Jackals. [33:53] I'm going to take the over on a mark you may not be thinking about. [33:56] Two and a half receptions at a plus 145 juice right now.”
DET 34, GB 31 — David Montgomery had 5 receptions in Detroit's 34-31 win over Green Bay; over 2.5 covers (ESPN box score). (David Montgomery: 5 receptions)
“Iowa State I'm laying the chalk grabbing at five and a half”
ISU 81, MARQ 70 — Iowa State beat Marquette 81-70 on Dec 4, 2024; Iowa State's margin of 11 covers the -5.5 line (ESPN).
“i am taking the over in duke and auburn 146 and a half”
DUKE 84, AUB 78 — Duke beat Auburn 84-78 on Dec 4, 2024; combined 162 points covers the over 146.5 (ESPN).
“I'm gonna ride the Clemson Tigers I grab one with an open at plus two and a half”
CLEM 70, UK 66 — Clemson beat Kentucky 70-66 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Clemson won outright, covering +2.5.
“i would uh sprinkle a little action on the money line plus 105 right now”
CLEM 70, UK 66 — Clemson beat Kentucky 70-66 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Clemson moneyline cashes.
“It's up to 17.5 and I would still play the over on that right now at BetMGM at a minus 110”
Devaughn Vele had 1 catch for a 16-yard long against the Broncos on Dec 2, 2024, under the 17.5-yard longest-reception line (ESPN box score). (16-yard long reception)
“before I go wazoo plus 11 and a half against Nevada College Basketball”
WSU 68, NEV 57 — Washington State beat Nevada 68-57; Cougars' +11 margin covered the +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Notre Dame on the money line, plus 100.”
85-84 — Rutgers beat Notre Dame 85-84 in OT at the Players Era Festival on Nov 26, 2024, so Notre Dame lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN).
“I grabbed it a couple of days ago, 21 and a half.”
Quentin Johnston was targeted 5 times but caught none of them against the Ravens on Nov 25, 2024 (ESPN box score), so his longest reception was 0 yards, under 21.5. (0 catches (0 yards) on 5 targets)
“Bucky Irving on the over 50 and a half rush hour is what I grab”
Bucky Irving rushed for 88 yards on 12 carries in Tampa Bay's 30-7 win over the Giants (ESPN box score), clearing the 50.5-yard line. (88 rushing yards)
“Yeah, roll tide. I would lay the eight and a half.”
100-87 — Alabama beat Illinois 100-87, a 13-point margin, covering Alabama -8.5 (ESPN final score).
“Northern Colorado plus five. I'm out.”
79-68 — Northern Colorado beat California Baptist 79-68 outright on 2024-11-20, an 11-point margin, covering +5 (ESPN final score).
“I grab it at plus four and a half Purdue”
76-58 — Marquette beat Purdue 76-58 on 2024-11-19, an 18-point margin, so Purdue +4.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
- Joe Mixon anytime touchdown scorer won
- Joe Mixon 75+ rushing yards won
“mix in 75 for more rush yards and mix in anytime touchdown and that SGP plus 115 at bed MGM.”
HOU 34, DAL 10 — Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards (over the 75-yard leg) and scored 3 rushing touchdowns (hitting the anytime-TD leg) in Houston's 34-10 win over Dallas; both same-game parlay legs win (ESPN box score). (Joe Mixon: 109 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs)
“I'm going to leave it at 22-and-a-half. That's what I got it at.”
66-54 — Illinois beat Oakland 66-54, a 12-point margin that falls short of the -22.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Kentucky plus the points, guys. I locked it in at plus six.”
77-72 — Kentucky beat Duke 77-72 outright on 2024-11-12, so Kentucky +6 covered easily (ESPN box score).
“Kyren Williams gets the over on 20.5 rush attempts. Lighter juice, a minus 105 there at BetMGM.”
Kyren Williams had 15 rushing attempts as the Dolphins beat the Rams 23-15, well under the 20.5 rush-attempts line (ESPN box score). (15 rushing attempts)
“Hawaii, minus three and a half.”
76-66 — Hawaii beat Pacific 76-66 (margin of 10) at the Rainbow Classic on Nov 11, 2024, covering -3.5 (ESPN).
“Rashod Bateman over 16 and a half yards the longest catch minus 115 is what I grabbed it at there at BetMGM.”
34-35 — Rashod Bateman's longest catch vs the Ravens (playing for Baltimore) was 15 yards on 6 receptions for 54 yards, under the 16.5 longest-reception line (ESPN box score). (15 yard longest reception)
“I going to take the Oakland team total I grabbed this morning at 89”
88-50 — BYU scored 88 points in its 88-50 win over Central Arkansas on Nov 5, 2024, one point short of the over-89 team-total bet (ESPN box score).
- Gonzaga Bulldogs moneyline
- Baylor Bears +15.5
- Gonzaga Bulldogs over 71.5 points
“bulldogs money line baylor bears plus 15 and a half gonzaga over 71 and a half point score in the game plus 105 at bed mgm”
101-63 — Gonzaga beat Baylor 101-63 (ESPN): Gonzaga moneyline and Gonzaga team total over 71.5 both hit, but Baylor +15.5 failed by 22.5 points, so the parlay lost.
“I think he's going to throw two or more passing touchdowns. And you can grab that bad boy at plus 200.”
Bo Nix threw for 223 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception in the 41-10 loss to Baltimore (ESPN box score, gameId 401671623); falls short of 2+ passing TDs. (0 passing TDs)
“I love him to go for three or more passing touchdowns, which is 10 to one.”
Bo Nix threw 0 passing touchdowns against Baltimore (ESPN box score, gameId 401671623); falls well short of 3+ passing TDs. (0 passing TDs)
“Donte DiVincenzo over two and a half assists tonight against the Nuggets.”
Donte DiVincenzo recorded 6 assists in Minnesota's 119-116 win over Denver (ESPN box score, gameId 401704705), clearing the 2.5 line. (6 assists)
“Tank Dell fires all blanks, baby, nothing but small gains, under 22 and a half yards on the longest catch at minus 115.”
Tank Dell's longest reception vs. the Jets on 10/31/2024 was 50 yards (6 rec, 126 yds), well over the 22.5-yard under line (ESPN box score). (6 REC, 126 YDS, long 50)
“Breeze all over four and a half receptions plus 125.”
Breece Hall caught 2 passes for 11 yards vs. the Texans on 10/31/2024 (ESPN box score), under the 4.5-reception over line. (2 REC, 11 YDS)
“Dodgers over three and a half runs, guys.”
7-6 — Dodgers scored 7 runs in their 7-6 World Series Game 5 win over the Yankees on 10/30/24, over the 3.5 team-total (ESPN box score).
“I love the minus a bonus on the over a half of May 3. Just give me one corner triple from way downtown there and cashing in at a minus 105.”
Domantas Sabonis went 1-for-2 on three-pointers (28 points, 11 rebounds) in Kings' 113-96 win over the Jazz on Oct 29, 2024, clearing the over 0.5 threes line (ESPN box score). (1-for-2 three-pointers made)
“By the way Dodgers over three and a half runs I out”
11-4 — The Dodgers scored 4 runs in World Series Game 4 (lost 11-4 to the Yankees) on Oct 29, 2024, clearing the over 3.5 team total (ESPN box score). (Dodgers 4 runs)
“Over the longest catch for him, which is at 23.5 yards right now at BetMGM at a standard minus 115 juice.”
26-18 — George Pickens' longest catch went for 43 yards (a 4th-quarter deep pass from Russell Wilson), clearing the 23.5-yard line, in the Steelers' 26-18 win over the Giants (ESPN play-by-play). (43-yard longest reception)
“Najee Harris, over 15 and a half rush attempts.”
26-18 — Najee Harris carried the ball 19 times, over the 15.5 line (ESPN box score). (19 rushing attempts)
“I like the standard line on the over 75.5 receiving yards.”
37-17 — AJ Brown caught 5 passes for 84 receiving yards in Philadelphia's 37-17 win at Cincinnati, clearing the 75.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (84 receiving yards (5 catches))
“I bet at 80-plus.”
37-17 — A.J. Brown had 84 receiving yards vs. Cincinnati, clearing the 79.5-yard (80+) line (ESPN box score). (84 receiving yards (5 catches))
“I like the standard line on the over 75.5 receiving yards. I bet at 80-plus. I'd make a little action, 100-plus and ladder that bad boy. Taking on the Bengals, number 21 to pass EPA defense.”
37-17 — A.J. Brown had 84 receiving yards vs. Cincinnati, short of the 99.5-yard (100+) line (ESPN box score). (84 receiving yards (5 catches))
“Cade Otton, 50 or more receiving yards at the alt market, plus 105.”
31-26 — Cade Otton caught 9 passes for 81 receiving yards in Atlanta's 31-26 win over Tampa Bay, clearing the 49.5 alt line (ESPN box score). (9 catches, 81 receiving yards)
“Brad, ahead of Thursday Night Football with Puka Nakua and Cooper Cup both going to play for the LA Rams. What is your one best prop on the board? yeah a lot of unknowns uh currently uh with the action tonight but i still love tutu at will over baby on 31 and a half receiving yards uh this summer has come tumbling down the mountainside”
Tutu Atwell had 1 reception for 18 receiving yards vs. the Vikings, under the 31.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (18 receiving yards (1 reception))
“receptions at a minus 120 juice. Boys, I'm out. The great Brad Evans joining us on the show, Brad and Ryan Horvath coming up seven o'clock Eastern here on the Beck QL Network following us. Okay, we'll get to some social submissions here from you, the hashtag real ones, your best bets for the Rams and the Vikings on Thursday night football and to do that on YouTube and”
Cooper Kupp finished with 5 receptions vs. the Vikings, under the 6.5-reception line (ESPN box score). (5 receptions)
“Before I get out of here, Tyrese Haliburton over 9 1⁄2 assists.”
Tyrese Haliburton finished with 15 points and 4 assists in the Pacers' 115-109 win over the Pistons, under the 9.5 assist line (ESPN box score). (4 assists)
“[2:39:08] Give me the over! [2:39:09] And I locked it in at 27.5 receiving yards for the tight end”
BAL 41, TB 31 — Mark Andrews had 4 catches for 41 receiving yards as Baltimore beat Tampa Bay 41-31 on Oct 21, 2024, clearing over 27.5 (ESPN box score). (Mark Andrews: 41 receiving yards)
“[2:40:28] Baker Mayfield over. [2:40:29] past yards. I grabbed a 255.5.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — Baker Mayfield passed for 370 yards (31-of-45) in Tampa Bay's 41-31 loss to Baltimore on Oct 21, 2024, clearing over 255.5 (ESPN box score). (Baker Mayfield: 370 passing yards)
“[2:48:08] So Pop Douglas, pop off on the over four and a half receptions at plus 105.”
JAX 32, NE 16 — DeMario Douglas had 2 receptions as Jacksonville beat New England 32-16 on Oct 20, 2024, missing over 4.5 receptions (ESPN box score). (DeMario Douglas: 2 receptions)
“[2:48:45] Yeah, Illinois Moneyline, I'm out.”
ILL 21, MICH 7 — Illinois beat Michigan 21-7 on Oct 19, 2024; Illinois's moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“[31:22] great career for tony bennett including a national championship at virginia brad uh what is your favorite prop in 30 seconds here for Broncos Saints coming up tonight Yeah my favorite prop tonight guys is Cedrick Wilson I grabbed the over immediately this morning at 17 and a half yards on receiving yards”
Cedrick Wilson Jr. caught 6 passes for 57 receiving yards in Denver's 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024, clearing the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (6 receptions, 57 receiving yards)
“[2:47:36] He's going to barrel his way to at least 40 rush yards. [2:47:40] So loving that over 40 rush yards at an even Steven plus 100 juice.”
ATL 38, CAR 20 — Tyler Allgeier rushed for 105 yards in Atlanta's 38-20 win over Carolina, clearing the over 40 line (ESPN box score). (Tyler Allgeier: 105 rushing yards)
“[33:37] I'm going to take the over on rush attempts. [33:39] The number right now at BetMGM is just three and a half at a standard minus 115 Jews.”
Brock Purdy carried 4 times for 19 yards as the 49ers beat Seattle 36-24 on Oct 10, 2024, clearing the 3.5-attempt line (ESPN). (Brock Purdy: 4 rushing attempts, 19 rushing yards)
“[34:39] there, but plus 105 for over one and a half total bags. [34:43] Take my money, BetMGM.”
Shohei Ohtani went 1-for-3 with a single (1 total base) in Dodgers' 8-0 win over Padres in NLDS Game 4 on Oct 9, 2024, under the 1.5 total bases line (ESPN box score). (Ohtani 1-for-3, 1 total base)
“[33:19] But mainly called my eye was Kenneth Walker III, [33:22] the gentleman in the old rush yards market. [33:26] I took it at 60 or more yards and I got it at a plus 110 juice”
36-24 — Kenneth Walker III rushed for 32 yards on 14 carries as the 49ers beat the Seahawks 36-24, missing the over 60 line (ESPN box score). (Kenneth Walker III: 32 rushing yards)
“[2:47:38] Brad, what's your favorite bet? [2:47:40] Yeah, you know what? [2:47:40] Let's not. [2:47:42] What's your favorite bet for tonight with the Chiefs and the Saints? [2:47:45] All right, let's go to tackle football instead. [2:47:48] You know, I can't believe this line was available at BetMGM earlier today, [2:47:52] but I'm going to stick with it. [2:47:53] Xavier Worthy, and we've seen some movement on rush yards. [2:47:56] It's an actual reel, and it's a very spectacular prop that is out there. [2:48:00] We opened at 2.5 in the book earlier today. [2:48:03] It's now up to 3.5, but still an affordable juice on the over at minus 110. [2:48:07] I played this sucker up to probably like 5.5, 6.5. [2:48:10] We need just one carry from Xavier Worthy to cash on this sucker.”
Xavier Worthy had exactly 1 carry for 3 rushing yards (a 3-yard TD run) in Chiefs' 26-13 win over Saints (ESPN box score), under the 3.5 line. (Xavier Worthy 3 rushing yards on 1 carry (TD))
“[34:24] I like the over on the standard receiving yards prop, which is right now at 50 and a half.”
JAX 37, IND 34 — Brian Thomas Jr. caught 5 passes for 122 receiving yards (including an 85-yard TD) as the Jaguars beat the Colts 37-34, clearing the 50.5-yard line (ESPN box score, gameId 401671633). (Brian Thomas Jr.: 5 receptions, 122 receiving yards)
“[34:32] And I'll even take it up to 75 plus receiving yards at a plus 175.”
JAX 37, IND 34 — Brian Thomas Jr. recorded 122 receiving yards as the Jaguars beat the Colts 37-34, clearing the 75+ yards line (ESPN box score, gameId 401671633). (Brian Thomas Jr.: 122 receiving yards)
“[34:38] I say he goes over 100 yards and get that close to three to one odds currently at BetMGM.”
JAX 37, IND 34 — Brian Thomas Jr. recorded 122 receiving yards as the Jaguars beat the Colts 37-34, clearing the 100+ yards line (ESPN box score, gameId 401671633). (Brian Thomas Jr.: 122 receiving yards)
“[2:47:19] Believe it or not, it's on Baker Baker, the sprint taker. [2:47:22] I'm going to take the over on 10 and a half rush yards for Baker Mayfield. [2:47:26] A guy who's actually out distanced Patrick Mahomes, Trevor Lawrence, CJ Stroud on the ground so far this season. [2:47:33] He's got a six plus yards of the contact per attempt. [2:47:35] He's forced three missed tackles of the open field. [2:47:37] Is it the over on this prop in two of four games? [2:47:41] I know the ATL is bottom five and pocket pressure rate, but whether on opportunities, [2:47:46] scrambles or design runs, I think he's got to call his own number three to four times [2:47:51] and hit the over baby on 10 and a half rush yards for Baker Mayfield.”
Baker Mayfield rushed 6 times for 42 yards in Tampa Bay's 36-30 overtime loss to Atlanta, clearing the over 10.5 line (ESPN box score). (42 rushing yards on 6 carries)
“[2:46:40] In the last segment, Brad, we all gave out how we think the bracket's going to play out [2:46:44] in Major League Baseball, who's going to win the World Series, [2:46:46] what the exact matchup's going to be. [2:46:48] Who do you have right now winning the World Series? [2:46:50] And if you have an exact matchup for us, that would be great too. [2:46:53] Yeah, I don't have an exact matchup right now. [2:46:55] I mean, honestly, I would love to see one of the New York teams [2:46:59] in the World Series when it's all said and done. [2:47:02] I'm really utterly disappointed Arizona didn't make it [2:47:04] because I was going to select them, come out of the wildcard spot, [2:47:07] represent the National League. [2:47:08] But, of course, that is off the table. [2:47:11] The Yankees, man, if they could just put it together, [2:47:13] They have all the goods in the world to clash with the L.A. Dodgers [2:47:17] and the series everybody expected really before the season began [2:47:20] and the first pitch was thrown in late March. [2:47:23] So, I mean, that would probably be where I sack my greenbacks right now. [2:47:27] I think the Dodgers just seem rather unstoppable [2:47:29] when they're firing on all cylinders with the Yankees, of course. [2:47:32] When they're playing their best baseball, [2:47:34] a team that can definitely hold their own [2:47:36] and one that can beat virtually anybody any given day [2:47:40] here on the planet Earth in baseball. [2:47:42] So maybe Yankees, maybe Dodgers in the World Series, [2:47:46] but I'm taking L.A. to win the whole shebang.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the New York Yankees 4-1 to win the 2024 World Series; the Dodgers futures pick won (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
“[2:47:45] And Stefon Diggs, over five and a half receptions, guys. [2:47:48] Grabbed this morning at plus 105 at BetMGM.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Stefon Diggs caught 5 passes for Houston against Jacksonville, short of the 5.5-reception line (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 5 receptions)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights +3.5 won
- Washington Huskies +10.5 won
“[2:46:45] Yeah, let's stay in the Big Ten conversation on the college gridiron, guys. [2:46:48] I'm going to play a bratty in the middle here on Rutgers in Washington. [2:46:52] I built this SGP, a little simple two-legged there at BetMGM. [2:46:56] I'm not really confident I'm being within a few goal either side of the ledger. [2:47:00] So as a result, I got Rutgers plus three and a half on the outline in Washington at plus ten and a half. [2:47:06] You put those hands together there at BetMGM. [2:47:08] Oh, cool. [2:47:09] Plus 105. [2:47:11] I think these teams are evenly matched. [2:47:13] I think it's going to come down the bitter end. [2:47:15] I think it's going to be a field goal boot off one of the kickers, whether a Husky or a Scarlet Knight. [2:47:20] And we'll be cashing in there at plus money.”
RUTG 21, WASH 18 — Both same-game parlay legs won: Rutgers beat Washington 21-18 (Rutgers' +3 margin covered +3.5), and Washington's -3 margin covered its own +10.5 leg (ESPN box score).
“[2:46:54] Yeah, I'm going to go Major League Baseball, and I think it's Paul Goldschmidt taking on Austin Gomber,”
Paul Goldschmidt went 0-for-3 with no home runs against Colorado (ESPN box score). (Paul Goldschmidt: 0 HR)
“[2:46:42] I'll look at the action tomorrow night. [2:46:44] And one bet that immediately caught my eye is your boy, Braelon Allen [2:46:47] I cannot believe the line has come down at BetMGM. [2:46:51] but what a 22 and a half rush yards at a minus 115 juice. [2:46:54] It shaved a couple of yards off that mark to 20 and a half right now. [2:46:59] And I'm, [2:46:59] uh, [2:47:00] you know, [2:47:00] bringing out the sledgehammer and taking the over on it. [2:47:02] I bring Lenato is here to stay to get eight,”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Braelon Allen rushed for 55 yards on 11 carries as the Jets beat the Patriots 24-3 (ESPN box score), clearing the 20.5 line. (Braelon Allen: 55 rushing yards)
“[2:47:06] Brad, before we get to what's happening on BetMGM Tonight, [2:47:09] what is your one favorite prop bet, my friend, [2:47:12] for the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins? [2:47:15] Guys, under everything on Tyreek Hill, I'll give you two. [2:47:18] So early bonus time, if you will. [2:47:20] I'll take the under on yards. [2:47:22] That number has come down. [2:47:23] It was at 99.5 just a couple hours ago at BetMGM. [2:47:26] It is now at 94.5, and I would still play the under on that. [2:47:31] Receiving yards prop there to minus 120, [2:47:33] and let's correlate, synergize, and bring it all together.”
Bills 31, Dolphins 10 — Tyreek Hill caught 3 passes for 24 receiving yards against Buffalo, staying under 94.5 (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill: 24 receiving yards)
“[2:47:31] Receiving yards prop there to minus 120, [2:47:33] and let's correlate, synergize, and bring it all together. [2:47:36] I'm going to take the under as well on longest catch for Tyreek. [2:47:40] I grabbed it yesterday at BetMGM on the under 29.5. [2:47:44] It's down a tick to 28.5, but it's all about the history against the Buffalo Bills, [2:47:48] only averaging 52.8 yards per game, and his longest catch ever recorded [2:47:53] against the representatives from Western New York, 23 yards. [2:47:58] So I don't think Tyreek is going to burn rubber, but my body is ready to get burned. [2:48:03] All right, so that's Brad's best bet coming up for Thursday Night Football.”
Tyreek Hill's longest reception against Buffalo was 10 yards, staying under 28.5 (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill longest reception: 10 yards)
“[2:48:08] Oh, thanks for having me on, guys. [2:48:10] Seahole smash-hole. [2:48:12] Let's back to football Frankenstein. [2:48:14] Derrick Henry, not in rush yards, not for an anytime touchdown, which is an irresponsible minus money. [2:48:20] But I love the over on 15 and a half rush attempts. [2:48:24] I cannot believe this number is that low. [2:48:26] He's got to be a point emphasis in the game plan tonight. [2:48:28] as a member of the Tennessee Titans last year only sold 64.6% of the opportunity share. [2:48:33] I think it's going to get up around 80-85% of that opportunity share this evening. [2:48:39] He is going to be front and center the way the Baltimore Ravens is going to play this game. [2:48:44] I feel it's going to be a lower scoring affair than some believe. [2:48:48] Minimum of 18 rush attempts and all I need is 16 to cash. [2:48:52] Let's go, baby. [2:48:53] And make some dollars with Derrick Henry.”
Derrick Henry had 13 rushing attempts against Kansas City, under the 15.5 line (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 13 rushing attempts)
“[13:31] faith five podcast i love matthew staffer to reach the 4 000 yard mark and you if you uh believe that [13:37] is going to be the case it's plus money plus 110 as a result uh you know look it's uh all about”
Matthew Stafford threw for 3,762 yards in the 2024 regular season, below the 3,999.5-yard line (ESPN game log). (Matthew Stafford: 3,762 passing yards)
“[14:14] And I did get a little sprinkle, guys, on B. John Robinson [14:17] to be the offensive player of the year at 20-1 odds.”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, not Bijan Robinson (NFL.com). (2024 AP OPOY: Saquon Barkley)
“[15:07] Oh, wait! I got a quick baseball bet, Colin! [15:09] Ray over four and a half Ks against the ATL at plus 120.”
MIL 10, ATL 0 — Colin Rea struck out 9 batters over 7 scoreless innings as the Brewers beat the Braves 10-0 on Aug 6, 2024, clearing the 4.5-strikeout line (ESPN box score). (Colin Rea: 9 strikeouts)
“Eight and a half points is way too many.”
UConn 77, Illinois 52 — UConn beat Illinois 77-52 in the Elite Eight; Illinois lost by 25, well short of covering +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“I swickled some money on the money line with the Clemson Tigers in this game.”
Alabama 89, Clemson 82 — Alabama beat Clemson 89-82 in the Elite Eight, so Clemson's moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“Terrence Shannon Jr. over 21 and a half points.”
UConn 77, Illinois 52 — Terrence Shannon Jr. scored 8 points (2-of-12 shooting) in Illinois' Elite Eight loss to UConn, well under the 21.5-point line (ESPN recap). (Terrence Shannon Jr.: 8 points)
“They're plus 155 at BetMGM as we speak to cut down the nets in Arch Madness and St. Louis. I think they're going to get it.”
Drake won the 2024 Missouri Valley Conference men's basketball tournament (Arch Madness), not Indiana State, so the futures bet lost (Wikipedia: 2024 Missouri Valley Conference men's basketball tournament).
“I like the UIC flames catching five and a half against SIU because the flames like their nickname. They are tortured. And that's from outside shooting 40% from way downtown last 30 days.”
84-82 — UIC beat Southern Illinois 84-82 in double overtime on March 7, 2024, winning outright, so UIC +5.5 covered easily (ESPN box score).
“They were laying a point, excuse me, last night, taking on Oregon on the road and Eugene, and now they are two-and-a-half-point dogs. I'm going to bet on the Buffs.”
79-75 — Colorado beat Oregon 79-75 on March 7, 2024, winning outright, so Colorado +2.5 covered (ESPN box score).
“So I think ultimately an inside night arena, Colorado's going to score the victory. I would sprinkle a little action on the money line”
79-75 — Colorado beat Oregon 79-75 on March 7, 2024, so the Colorado moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“and I like them to make the So it's like minus 185 for them to do so.”
Colorado made the 2024 NCAA Tournament as a No. 10 seed, opening in the First Four vs Boise State on March 20, 2024 (ESPN/CBS Sports coverage).
“I love Utah. And I'm going to lay the chalk with them. I grabbed a minus 6.5 at Benajima earlier today.”
92-85 — Oregon State beat Utah 92-85 on March 7, 2024; Utah lost outright, so Utah -6.5 failed to cover (ESPN box score).
“And I also like Utah, if they get the win tonight to make the NCAA tournament, you get that right now north of two-to-one odds for that to happen.”
Utah finished 22-15 and was not selected for the 2024 NCAA Tournament, instead playing in the NIT (reaching the semifinals), so the futures bet lost (Wikipedia: 2023-24 Utah Utes men's basketball team; Deseret News).
“if you want to slap them together that number I believe is it's 79 and a half on rushing plus receiving I'll take the over on that”
BUF 48-20 MIA — James Cook rushed for 29 yards and caught for 48 yards (77 combined), under the 79.5 line, in Buffalo's 48-20 win over Miami (ESPN box score). (77 rushing+receiving yards (29 rush, 48 rec))
“give me any time TD as well”
BUF 48-20 MIA — James Cook scored a rushing touchdown in Buffalo's 48-20 win over Miami (ESPN box score). (1 rushing TD)
“I love Jerry Jeudy in this game. I think Jerry Jeudy's number right now sitting at 53.5 at BetMGM. Way too soft of a line.”
DEN 31-28 CHI — Jerry Jeudy finished with 52 receiving yards, under the 53.5 line, in Denver's 31-28 win over Chicago (ESPN box score). (52 receiving yards)
- Roschon Johnson 30+ rushing yards
- Khalil Herbert 5+ receiving yards
“So to recap, Rochon, 30-plus rush yards. Khalil Herbert, five receiving yards. And again, plus 110 on the SGP at BetMGM.”
DEN 31-28 CHI — Roschon Johnson rushed for only 13 yards, under the 30+ leg, so the SGP lost even though Khalil Herbert had 19 receiving yards and covered his leg, in Denver's 31-28 win over Chicago (ESPN box score). (Roschon Johnson 13 rush yds (leg lost); Khalil Herbert 19 rec yds (leg won))
“I grabbed the number at 72.5 receiving yards”
TB 26-9 NO — Chris Olave was targeted once and had 0 receptions for 0 receiving yards, far under the 72.5 line, in Tampa Bay's 26-9 win over New Orleans (ESPN box score). (0 receiving yards)
“So I'm taking the under on my cousin in receiving yards, 59 and a half.”
TB 26-9 NO — Mike Evans had 40 receiving yards, under the 59.5 line, in Tampa Bay's 26-9 win over New Orleans (ESPN box score). (40 receiving yards)
“revenge game adam feeling i'll take the over receiving yards i grabbed the number when it opened at 49 and a half”
MIN 21-13 CAR — Adam Thielen caught 7 passes for 76 receiving yards against his former team, well over the 49.5 line, in Minnesota's 21-13 win over Carolina (ESPN box score). (76 receiving yards)
“Mac Jones over rushing yards. Yes, rushing yards for Mac Jones. And that number's sitting at 8.5.”
DAL 38-3 NE — Mac Jones rushed for 7 yards on 3 carries, under the 8.5 line, in Dallas's 38-3 win over New England (ESPN box score). (7 rushing yards)
“the number right now, last I saw, Ben MGM sitting at just 54.5. So lovely over. Nico Collins receiving yards.”
Nico Collins caught 2 passes for 34 receiving yards in the Texans' 37-17 win over the Jaguars on 9/24/2023, under the 54.5 line (ESPN box score). (2 receptions, 34 receiving yards)
- Seattle Seahawks moneyline
- Hayden Hurst over 25 receiving yards
“And the SGP market, as a matter of fact, that took Seattle on the straight up money line And then on a two SGP I parlayed with Hayden Hurst on the over on his receiving yards prop which I took down at 25 so 25 or more in Seattle to win”
Seattle 37, Carolina 27 — Seattle beat Carolina 37-27 outright (ML leg hit), but Hayden Hurst caught only 1 pass for 11 receiving yards, well under the 25+ yards needed, busting the parlay (ESPN box score).
“Properly jumped on his prop, immediately went open at bed and jam, took the over at 62.5.”
Kenneth Walker III rushed for 97 yards on 18 carries (2 TD) in Seattle's 37-27 win over Carolina on 9/24/2023, over the 62.5 line (ESPN box score). (18 carries, 97 rushing yards, 2 TD)
“I grabbed immediately when it started at 51.5 on rush yards.”
James Cook rushed for 98 yards on 15 carries in Buffalo's 37-3 win over Washington on 9/24/2023, over the 51.5 line (ESPN box score). (15 carries, 98 rushing yards)
“One of my favorite props in that game is the over on Jordan Addison receiving yards. I grabbed it at 51.5 earlier today.”
Los Angeles Chargers 28, Minnesota Vikings 24 — Jordan Addison caught 6 passes for 52 receiving yards in the Vikings' 28-24 loss to the Chargers on 9/24/2023, just over the 51.5 line (ESPN box score). (6 receptions, 52 receiving yards)
- Gus Edwards anytime touchdown
- Baltimore Ravens moneyline
“Give me Gus the bus, honk honk. Edwards for an anytime touchdown. I'll parlay that with Baltimore to score the victory. You put those two together at BetMGM, plus 118”
Indianapolis Colts 22, Baltimore Ravens 19 — Gus Edwards rushed 11 times for 51 yards with no touchdown, and Baltimore lost to Indianapolis 22-19 in overtime on 9/24/2023, busting both parlay legs (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the over again on the receiving yards prop. That number sitting last I saw at 74.5 at Ben MGM, and I slammed the over when that did open actually at 73.5”
BUF 38-LV 10 — Stefon Diggs caught 7 passes for 66 receiving yards in Bills' 38-10 win over Raiders, falling short of the 73.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 66 receiving yards)
“I took the overall Calvin Ridley yards immediately. I think I grabbed it at 68-and-a-half, and I played that up to like 74-and-a-half.”
KC 17-JAX 9 — Calvin Ridley had 2 receptions for 32 receiving yards in Jaguars' 17-9 loss to Chiefs, well under the 68.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Calvin Ridley: 32 receiving yards)
“on 45.5 receiving yards, That's it for the player prop on Zay Jones. I will slam the over and clack of the clack and roll the dice.”
KC 17-JAX 9 — Zay Jones was held to 0 receptions and 0 receiving yards in Jaguars' 17-9 loss to Chiefs, missing the 45.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Zay Jones: 0 receiving yards)
“And I also have a rushing yards prop on Isiah Pacheco, which opened at 40-and-a-half on BetMGM. And I grabbed that immediately.”
KC 17-JAX 9 — Isiah Pacheco rushed 12 times for 70 yards in Chiefs' 17-9 win over Jaguars, clearing the 40.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Isiah Pacheco: 70 rushing yards)
“Minimal expectations. That's why I threw the under on Cam Akers. It seems like a very low threshold for him to achieve, but I was so unimpressed with his performance last week. He was a blind bat in most cases, trying to find the holes. The vision certainly wasn't there. And even when he did, I didn't really see the scoot. I didn't see the wiggle. I didn't see the burst that we had seen down the homestretch last season. 1.68 yards out of contact per attempt. Utterly disgusting there. 22 carries through 29 yards. Yeah, did have a touchdown, which saved some fantasy rosters that are out there, but only two routes running the game. So, you know, put it all together, I like the under on 42.5 rush plus receiving yards available there at Ben and Jam at minus 115.”
Cam Akers was a healthy scratch (coach's decision, not injury) for the Rams' Week 2 game vs. the 49ers, so his rushing+receiving-yards prop had no action (ESPN). (DNP (healthy scratch))
“I'm going to stick with C.J. Stroud in this one. I kind of like him on the rush here. And that number opened at 12.5 at that MGM, and I grabbed it.”
IND 31-HOU 20 — C.J. Stroud rushed 3 times for 1 yard in Texans' 31-20 loss to Colts, missing the 12.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 1 rushing yard)
“Tamir Gibbs, everything, anytime touchdown, rushing yards, rushing plus receiving yards.”
SEA 37-DET 31 — Jahmyr Gibbs did not score a touchdown in the Lions' 37-31 OT loss to the Seahawks (7 rush for 17 yds, 7 rec for 39 yds, 0 TD); Detroit's TDs came from D. Montgomery (rush) and Goff-to-Reynolds/Raymond/Lockett (pass) per ESPN's play-by-play. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 0 TD (7 car/17 yds, 7 rec/39 yds))
“i did wager on the browns over while i was uh at season i think i got it at 115 uh on the nine and a half win total Again I just keep going back to the third easiest projected NFL strength to schedule and that based on biggest projected win total So, you know, obviously there's an argument to me made, you know, there's a lack of consistency year to year in the NFL, and, you know, it's very unpredictable in terms of productivity across the board. But, again, at plus 115, I think there is value there. That is the only value wager tied to the Cleveland Browns organization this year.”
The Browns finished the 2019 regular season 6-10, under the 9.5 win total, so the over-9.5-wins bet loses.
“I did wager on the Bears at plus 180 to win the NFC North.”
The Packers won the NFC North at 13-3 while the Bears finished 8-8, so the Bears-to-win-NFC-North bet loses.
“You're giving me your Kyler Murray take. I know you have another player on the Packers that you've already bet on. Do you want to name that player and tell us why you did it? Is it Aaron Jones? I was thinking Davante Adams. Oh, I did. You're talking about the receiving touchdowns. We do our research at the Favorites podcast, courtesy Matt Mitchell, producer extraordinaire. Bravo to you. I totally forgot I made that wager. Here's the note from Matt Mitchell. Last week, Matt Mitchell is a genius. If you don't follow Matt Mitchell, he's unbelievable. Last week, it appeared Brad bet on Green Bay's Davante Adams at 10-1 to finish the NFL season with the most TV receptions. Does he view this as easy money? Yeah, that's the lowest hanging fruit, I think, on the board. 10-1 is a gift.”
Kenny Golladay led the NFL with 11 receiving touchdowns in 2019; Davante Adams, limited by injury, did not finish among the league's receiving-touchdown leaders, so the bet loses.