Mike Somich

“Because I don't think any of these horses are that good, I'm going to take a shot and go with a big-time price. Give me the number five talking here, who is 20-1 on the morning line to win this year's Preakness. It's going to be third off the layoff for trainer Danny Gargan. That's generally a spot where he improves. This is a horse that he thought really highly of last year when it ran second in the grade one champagne. Came back, has not run up to that same level yet this year, but now third off the layoff and gets the services of Irad Ortiz Jr., the best jockey in the country, to step aboard here. I think he's got a huge shot to win this race, and the price is right at 20 to 1. So I'm going to bet Talking to win.”

Napoleon Solo won the 2026 Preakness Stakes; Talking did not win, so the futures bet lost (CBS Sports).

“I going to play exact as we talking So first and second with the number one horse Taj Mahal who is 5 to one for Brittany Russell and her husband Sheldon Russell A horse has been awesome at Laurel This is kind of your local horse Should be able to sit off the pace despite having a lot of speed. And I'll also use the number 11, I'm sorry, the number 12, Incredibolt, who is five to one for Riley Mott, ran sixth in the Derby, had a little bit of a rough trip. One of the only two horses that are coming back here from the Derby. So five to win for me, and then a 1-5-12 exact box”

Napoleon Solo won and Iron Honor finished second in the 2026 Preakness; neither Taj Mahal, Talking, nor Incredibolt hit the top two, so the 1-5-12 exacta box lost (CBS Sports).

“So five to win for me, and then a 1-5-12 exact box, and then I'm going to play a trifecta, 1-5 with 1-5-12-13 with 1-5-12-13.”

Napoleon Solo, Iron Honor, and Chip Honcho finished 1-2-3 in the 2026 Preakness; none of the ticketed horses (Taj Mahal, Talking, Incredibolt, or the others) matched that order, so the trifecta lost (CBS Sports).

“I think that Nathan MacKinnon is wildly mispriced right now from a MVP perspective. He's only 2-1, but Colorado is plus 130. Nathan MacKinnon is leading the playoffs in points right now. He's got seven goals, six assists for 13 points. The goaltender for Colorado has gone in and out. He's not going to be a factor. Makar is injured and only has five points through two series. McKinnon at plus 200 is a wild overlay. He should be maybe five cents more than the Avalanche, maybe 135. But I like him at 200 there.”

Jordan Staal won the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as Stanley Cup Playoffs MVP; Nathan MacKinnon did not win, so the futures bet lost (NHL.com).

“I also like the Avs to beat the Canadians at 10 to 1 in the exact final for Stanley Cup final matchup.”

The 2026 Stanley Cup Final was Carolina Hurricanes vs. Vegas Golden Knights, not Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadiens, so the exact-matchup futures bet lost (NHL.com).

“Number 11, Schwarzenegger, going to go gate to wire, six to one right now on the live line.”

Cy Fair won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Wikipedia); Schwarzenegger did not win.

“You can get him over 36 and a half receiving yards in the market. I took his ladder all the way up to 80 plus at plus 600.”

Christian Watson caught 2 passes for 58 receiving yards in Carolina's 16-13 win over Green Bay (ESPN box score); 80+ receiving yards loses. (Christian Watson 2 receptions, 58 receiving yards)

“I think it's in the eighth race today, the number 6, Switch in Love, 20-1 on the morning line.”

Balantina won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (Wikipedia); Switch in Love did not win.

“Let's go to the outside. Let's take a price here. 10 to 1 on the morning line. The number 10, Antiquarian.”

Forever Young won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Classic (Wikipedia); Antiquarian did not win.

“That's race number five, the number four horse Kadeem at 10 to one.”

Shisospicy won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Wikipedia); Khaadem did not win.

“the number nine cinderella's dream nine to two on the morning line race number 12 the philly and mare turf on saturday”

Gezora won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Wikipedia); Cinderella's Dream did not win.

“I think she fits very well against this field. So the number eight, Minnie Hauk, in race number eight on Saturday.”

Ethical Diamond won the 2025 Breeders' Cup Turf (Wikipedia); Minnie Hauk did not win.

“I actually bet my blues to win the cup because the price has gotten so far out after they have really struggled to start out the year.”

The Carolina Hurricanes won the 2025-26 Stanley Cup, defeating Vegas 4-2 in the Final (Wikipedia); the St. Louis Blues did not win the Cup.

“I like Florida in game two I'll lay the goal in a half so I'll go the reverse puck line in game two of Florida here you can get up to plus 250 right now if you lay the goal in a half with Florida”

Panthers 5, Oilers 4 — Florida beat Edmonton 5-4 in double overtime in Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 6, 2025 -- a 1-goal margin that doesn't cover Panthers -1.5 (ESPN box score).

“steelers are going to sign aaron Rodgers win total eight and a half here's a hundred bucks bet over or under what are you taking and why 20 seconds I'm gonna take the under”

The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2025 regular season 10-7, over the 8.5 win total (Wikipedia: 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers season).

“[2:03:04] Give me the over in the Panthers-Jaguars game. [2:03:07] 45 and a half right now is 45 at open. [2:03:09] Played it last night.”

JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jaguars beat Panthers 26-10 (combined 36), under the 45.5 total (ESPN recap).

“[2:11:35] I have bets in both games tonight, Nick. [2:11:37] I'm going back to the well here. [2:11:38] First period under, Caps and Canes, under a goal and a half.”

Carolina and Washington each scored once in the 1st period (Staal 9:38 CAR, Beauvillier 13:41 WSH) for 2 first-period goals, over the 1.5 line; Hurricanes won 3-1 (ESPN game summary). (1st period: 2 goals (Staal CAR 9:38, Beauvillier WSH 13:41))

“[2:08:34] some cash. So we're going to play a $5 superfecta. So we're pressing the denomination. Hopefully that [2:08:39] helps it pay more. So we're going to play the two horse journalism with the four horse heart of [2:08:46] honor with the six horse river Thames with the eight horse clever again. So two with four, six, [2:08:53] eight with four six eight with four six eight that way the two has to win the race journalism [2:09:00] and then the four six or eight have to run second third or fourth for a five dollar superfecta that [2:09:06] will cost you 30 bucks”

2025 Preakness Stakes finished Journalism 1st, Gosger 2nd, Sandman 3rd, Goal Oriented 4th -- not Heart of Honor/River Thames/Clever Again in 2nd-4th, so the $5 superfecta box lost (Wikipedia results table).

“[2:09:57] So I'll be playing a very big two with six cold exactus. [2:10:01] So two has to win. [2:10:02] The six River Thames has to run second.”

2025 Preakness Stakes: Journalism won but 2nd place was Gosger, not River Thames (which finished off the board), so the Journalism/River Thames exacta lost (Wikipedia results table).

“[2:10:02] The six River Thames has to run second. [2:10:04] And then I'm going to play a trifecta two with six with just the four horse who's coming in from overseas, [2:10:10] who I think is the closer that is going to be a price and really juice it up.”

2025 Preakness Stakes: Journalism won 1st but 2nd was Gosger (not River Thames) and 3rd was Sandman (not Heart of Honor), so the trifecta lost (Wikipedia results table).

“[2:10:18] And I do like a Black Eyed Susan Preakness daily double, too. [2:10:21] Since I like the favorite in the Preakness, I want to try to find some value in the Black Eyed Susan. [2:10:26] I think both favorites are incredibly vulnerable. [2:10:29] You've got a Brad Cox horse who's 3-1 on the morning line. [2:10:31] He was only faced with Louisiana bred horses and now running in an open company graded stakes race. [2:10:36] That's a big ask. [2:10:37] I like the 7-horse Reply who's 8-1 on the morning line to step up in class. [2:10:42] But this horse should love the added distance. [2:10:44] If it does rain, the horse will love the softer or the muddy track as well. [2:10:49] And then I like the eight, a math, two, four to one on the morning line. [2:10:52] So I'll play seven, eight with two in the Black Eyed Susan daily double.”

The 2025 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes was won by Margie's Intention, not Reply or A Math, so this Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness daily double lost regardless of Journalism winning the Preakness leg (Wikipedia).

“[1:26:57] it's the seven furlong Churchill Downs Stakes [1:27:00] Give me extra Anejo, the six horse. [1:27:03] It's the six horse at 12 to one in that spot.”

Mindframe won the 2025 Churchill Downs Stakes (G1) on May 3, 2025 (Wikipedia), not Extra Anejo, so the win bet loses.

“Give me the three horse, new century at three to one.”

Zulu Kingdom won the 2025 American Turf Stakes (G1) on May 3, 2025 (Wikipedia), not New Century, so the win bet loses.

“Wild plus 140.”

VGK 3, MIN 2 — Golden Knights beat Wild 3-2 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN) to clinch the series; Minnesota's moneyline busts.

“[1:27:50] I think the Kings, who are the better team in that series, [1:27:52] just need to play a full 60 minutes.”

EDM 6, LA 4 — Oilers beat Kings 6-4 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN) to close out the series 4-2; Los Angeles's moneyline busts.

“[1:25:51] Any other bets you like? [1:25:52] If the answer is no, it's fine. [1:25:53] We can get on to other stuff. [1:25:54] But any other derby bets that you like? [1:25:57] Specifically derby bets? [1:25:58] I am going to play an exacta with the 10, 14, and 18 box. [1:26:03] So Grande, Tiztastic, and Sovereignty boxed up. [1:26:08] The three of them are all 10 plus to one. [1:26:10] If two of those three run in, you're going to get a very nice payout because of their prices.”

In the 2025 Kentucky Derby (May 3, 2025), Sovereignty won and Journalism was 2nd; Grande was scratched pre-race and Tiztastic finished 10th (Wikipedia), so the Grande/Tiztastic/Sovereignty exacta box (needing two of the three in the top two) loses.

“[1:26:14] Anything for the Kentucky Oaks? [1:26:17] I love Good Cheer, and she's 6 to 5. [1:26:20] So it's hard to go out and say you should just go to the window and hammer because the price is so short. [1:26:24] I do think if it rains, the six-horse, Ballerina DeOro, has a good shot. [1:26:29] And the nine-horse, Tenma, a Bob Baffert trainee that's coming from California, I think, improves second off the layoff. [1:26:34] So give me an 11 with 6-9 with 6-9 trifecta in that race.”

In the 2025 Kentucky Oaks (5/2/25) Good Cheer won, Drexel Hill finished 2nd, and Bless the Broken finished 3rd; neither Ballerina d'Oro nor Tenma hit the board, so the Good Cheer/Ballerina d'Oro/Tenma trifecta lost. (1st Good Cheer, 2nd Drexel Hill, 3rd Bless the Broken)

“So we're putting Forever Young on top, 6-1 on the morning line. Right now, 5-1 in the future books. Put a win bet on him.”

Sierra Leone won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic; Forever Young did not win (Wikipedia summary of official Breeders' Cup results).

“The ticket is 1 with 3-6-7, with 3-6-7-11, with 2-3-6-7-11 for a dollar. That costs you $36.”

The superfecta was keyed on Forever Young finishing 1st, but Sierra Leone won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic, so the ticket could not hit regardless of the other legs (Wikipedia summary of official results).

“Give me the eight-horse Post Time at 12 to 1 in the mile.”

Full Serrano won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile; Post Time did not win (Wikipedia summary of official results).

“I like Luxembourg, the four horse who is a price at 12 to one underneath. So I'll play an 11-4 exacta there as well.”

Rebel's Romance won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Turf with Rousham Park 2nd, not Luxembourg, so the Rebel's Romance/Luxembourg exacta did not hit (Wikipedia, sourced to official results).

“I think he gets beat by the 12 horse bird sale That a seven to two shot.”

Starlust won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint; Bradsell did not win (Wikipedia summary of official results).

“The five-horse, Jonathan's Way, great price at 5-2.”

Citizen Bull won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Juvenile; Jonathan's Way did not win (Wikipedia summary of official results).

“Last race on Friday, 20-1, the one-horse Satono Carnival”

Henri Matisse won the 2024 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; Satono Carnival did not win (Wikipedia summary of official results).

“I bet the Browns had open at plus two and a half.”

LAC 27, CLE 10 — Chargers beat Browns 27-10 on 11/3/2024 (ESPN final); Cleveland lost by 17, failing to cover +2.5.

“I bet a money line. I think they take care of business this weekend.”

LAC 27, CLE 10 — Browns lost outright to the Chargers 10-27 on 11/3/2024 (ESPN final), so the Cleveland moneyline lost.

• Cleveland Browns +7.5
• Philadelphia Eagles -1.5

“And then give me the Eagles as the other leg of that teaser.”

Six-point teaser needs both legs: Browns lost 10-27 to the Chargers, failing to cover the teased +7.5 (leg lost), even though Eagles beat the Jaguars 28-23 to cover -1.5 (leg won); one losing leg sinks the teaser (ESPN finals).

“So we're going to play a superfecta. We're going to go with the two resilience and the and the nine horse Sierra Leone in first. We're going to go with the two eight nine. So adding in on a Marie there in the second spot. And then the third spot, we're going to go to eight nine ten. and then the fourth spot we're going to go to uh two four eight nine ten so adding one more price there in the fourth spot that's the wine steward a horse i've liked for a while don't think can win but i think can make uh run up and hit the super so two nine with two eight nine with two eight nine ten with two four eight nine ten i think everybody got it if you didn't get it hey we got a podcast Go 15 back. Listen to it again. You'll be at this time. Mike, with the with the Preakness, I didn't give you enough time at the end of that.”

Dornoch (post 6) won the 2024 Belmont, followed by Mindframe (10), Sierra Leone (9) and Honor Marie (8); the superfecta ticket's win selections (2,9) missed the actual winner (Wikipedia). (Finish (post positions): 6-10-9-8)

“I actually think it sets up really well for Idiomatic to get cooked up front. So someone's able to come from off the pace and win. Give me the three horse, pretty mischievous, six to one on the morning line. I bet you get every bit of that price. I think the race sets up extremely well for her.”

Randomized won the 2024 Ogden Phipps Stakes in 1:49.58; Pretty Mischievous did not win (Wikipedia). (Winner: Randomized, 1:49.58)

“In the 11th race, the grade one Manhattan on Saturday. Let's go to a horse that we bet on Kentucky Derby Day. program trading the five horse here i think this is the next great chad brown turf horse it's a two horse race in my mind between the five program trading and the nine measured time but i think the five program trading is the good so i'm going to be playing that horse to win five to two on the morning line and then the 13th race from saturday's cart on saratoga as a maiden special weight it's”

Measured Time won the 2024 Manhattan Stakes in 1:51.94; Program Trading did not win (Wikipedia). (Winner: Measured Time, 1:51.94)

“morning line and then the 13th race from saturday's cart on saratoga as a maiden special weight it's kind of the the afterthought here horses that have never won a race before really like the four horse in all my dreams seven to two on the morning line gonna be the second start second time trying turf i think this horse takes a huge step forward and gets her done there in the 13th on saturday the great mike som is joining us here on you better you bet check him out he's the best”

In All My Dreams finished 4th in Saratoga race 13 (maiden special weight) on June 8, 2024; Downtown Channel won at 14/1 (Sporting Life race result). (Downtown Channel 1st; In All My Dreams 4th)

“I don want to pick Forte but I going to go ahead and pick Forte here I just don think he done anything wrong”

Arcangelo won the 2023 Belmont Stakes and Forte finished second, so Forte-to-win lost as stored (Belmont Stakes results).

“[24:36] I will have a superfected ticket, which is single to forte on top with Archangelo hit show and Angel of Empire in the second, third and four spots for five bucks. [24:45] That'll cost me thirty dollars. [24:46] So I have that superfecta ticket for sure I will probably have a superfecta ticket with Arcangelo and Forte as the two on top because I do think if you can get Arcangelo in there that going to juice out the payouts I really like this pick four sequence You get Cody Wish in the first race who I think is a reasonable single The second race you have up to the mark and two Europeans for Appleby both coming in I think those are really the only three contenders there [25:08] I like Arcangelo and Forte here.”

Arcangelo won the Belmont Stakes ahead of Forte, so the Forte-on-top superfecta lost as stored (Belmont Stakes results).

“So the two horse red run six to one on the morning line in the grade two Brooklyn, the sixth race on Saturday, I think is awfully live.”

Next won the Grade 2 Brooklyn Stakes, so Red Run did not win as stored (Belmont Park results).

“I'm going to play a cold 3-1 exacta, mage over national treasure.”

National Treasure won while Mage finished third, so the Mage-over-National-Treasure exacta lost as stored (Preakness official results).

“but my topic is gonna be the four merlaza six to one i love it”

Taxed won the 2023 Black-Eyed Susan, so Merlazza to win lost as stored (Preakness official recap).

“[34:36] trainer. He does not press horses. He does not overly place horses. Really interesting what he [34:42] did with Evan Harlan. Evan Harlan wins a maiden special weight at Aqueduct, goes right into the [34:47] grade one Hollywood Derby. That is a huge step up in class last year, drops down to a non-winners [34:53] of one allowance ends up running third there then goes right back into a grade three race Graham Motion thinks a lot of this horse First time out as a four went a mile and a half at Keeneland ended up running [35:05] fifth in that race. Now we're getting second off a layoff, second out as a four-year-old with [35:09] controlling speed at a seven to two price. I'm going to put a win bet in here on the five horse [35:13] Evan Harlan in the first race on Friday. 1130 AM post time. So as Mike said, get those bets in early”

Juulstone won Pimlico Race 1 and Evan Harlan finished third (official Equibase chart).

“So I'll take Gunning the number six horse in the ninth race at six to one.”

Cheetara won the 2023 Skipat Stakes, so Gunning to win lost as stored (Pimlico program and result).