“I like that Saints odds at plus 200.”
Simon Hunter
Host · 845-1016-38 on settled picks
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Last 10: 2-8 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 442 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | moneyline | total | prop | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 657-649-4% | 58-165-2% | 42-46+4% | 44-46-7% | 21-48-42% | 1-28-94% | 1-3 | 824-985-6% |
| NBA | 2-2 | 6-10-14% | 0-1 | — | 1-0 | — | — | 9-13+4% |
| CFB | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | — | — | 3-8-47% |
| Other | — | 6-4+63% | — | — | — | — | — | 6-4+63% |
Picks
2065 total · 166 pending“The Rams just jumped out. It's plus 350 to not make the playoffs.”
“So I did bet at 12 to one. I've been at 11 to one.”
“eagles to beat the chiefs 101 super bowl”
“Since I had Bengals to beat the Rams, 100-1.”
“So I couldn't believe this was over a touchdown. It's like, my God, in week one, we're getting over a touchdown.”
“So, yeah, the Bucs right now with the hook, that's my favorite bet on the board for sure. I just love Baker as a dog on the road.”
“But if I have to pick a side, yeah, I'm going to take Panthers as a dog here.”
“this is not a game i'm betting heavy and hard rock i've literally had my guys in florida who are on vacation going to the books for me because it's like there's not too many six and a halfs out there”
“this is easy easy bet houston plus one and a half you have to pick this every time”
“but I've already basically put aside five figures to in-season bet the Chargers win total. You can literally let them win week one, week two against a Cardinals and the Raiders opponents, and that's going to be a huge advantage to take.”
“I do think there is value here on Beck at 15-1.”
“It's one of my favorite unders. So I already hit it at seven and a half.”
“Arizona, four and a half. [12:38] Under. [12:39] Agree.”
“Miami, four and a half. [12:46] Under. [12:48] Agree.”
“But I'm still taking the under. [13:01] Yeah, it's not there.”
“I'm taking the under. [25:28] I get why you're taking the over, though. [25:29] But to me, I think it's priced right. [25:30] I'm just taking the under”
“so to me like this and the giants [36:19] since you're two unders, I've been betting pretty heavily.”
“This is like one of my favorite under bets. [23:10] And I know some pros that have been hammering this over.”
“So bad, bad win total. [45:57] Like you just said, that's priced so inflated by just all the past.”
“this is one of [50:29] my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason, [50:32] I'm taking their over.”
“So I've hit this quite a little bit, Chad.”
“this is my second biggest bet I've made in this offseason.”
“This will be easily 10.5 come September.”
“i did put a single bet on the chiefs because i book did hang them at 15 to 1”
- Denver Broncos +4.5 closed +4 · CLV +0.5
- Troy Franklin anytime touchdown
“like a Denver plus four and a half anytime touchdown with Franklin.”
“I'd want to do Patriots minus three and a half.”
“money line, I really invested heavily in England's money line.”
“But right now, for me, my biggest position is obviously the 7,”
“But yeah, for right now, I like both our position.”
“And we'll take out the Packers under and we'll put in Packers minus 1.5.”
“the value in the side is gone whereas we still both like the under 44 and a half san francisco”
“I like the total and the over.”
“But right now I very very confident on taking this Jaguars team especially as a home dog in the spot”
“we said we can't [53:53] wait to fade the patriots in the playoffs easiest bet grab it now say it plus three and a half [53:59] charge three and a half right you gotta grab it”
“Give me the 49ers plus one and a half.”
“But this is like one of the first lines I hit when it opened.”
“i mean are we supposed to go back and take the jets again at plus 30 yes i mean that's insane”
“to be on the chiefs they're at home in prime time right now they're at minus four minus four and a”
“see it moving colts they're minus one and a half i'm worried it might flip because i just don't know”
“tonight up to six and a half i like your early read i'll grab that plus one and a half now it”
“Colts, super public line, I'll take it.”
“I was just hammering the Colts five and a half and six”
“So, yeah, I'm on their under.”
“So I'll bet the over out of respect to Tomlin.”
“i fucking love this browns Give me that over four and a half I love this team so much”
“I'll bet the adjusted total.”
“I have them at 13 wins, 11 and a half.”
“So 7.5, it's one of my favorite totals.”
“five and a half, I'll take that under every time if it's a game and a half.”
“If I'm going to bet this, like if I'm betting their win total, I'll take it.”
“five and a half, you're never out of this bet.”
- Kansas City Chiefs to win AFC West
- Buffalo Bills to win AFC East
“Like right now, if I'm going just AFC, my two favorite teams at parlay, it's going to be the Chiefs and the Bills.”
“So, yeah, another favorite win total for me division-wise, six and a half. I love even more now you hit me with that stat about Pete Carroll.”
“i just nine nine and a half win total that's the only real bet i'd give out on this show for for denver”
“I'll I'll take all of his unders. [45:22] It's just it's just the way you have to do it.”
“I'm gonna bet their win total over. I just I love how it all lines up for the year two bump for Caleb Williams and bringing in such a great offensive mind in Johnson.”
“Get give me the Raiders. I love this team over six and a half. They're minus one forty now towards the over.”
“Same division, Denver Broncos over five and a half.”
“I love the under six and a half for this team. Like, I've taken their adjusting under.”
“I love the eagles. Eagles over 10 and a half. I just think this division's weak.”
“Go. Give me the lines 10 and a half over.”
“Do we not take the Chiefs over 11 and a half?”
“But I I'd just take they're over at 10 and a half Cincinnati Bengals.”
“eight and half, Chad, I'll I'll bet it with you. I like their over, and it's like an over will take just because if he does stay healthy, Stafford,”
“It's like, just just bet them at minus 200 division. Bet them the overwin total.”
“no one wants to say they're putting, you know, five figures on Minshew and the Raiders over win total, But I am. Like, I love this team.”
“on the Chargers under eight and a half. Give me your favorite”
“this year, I I feel way way confident betting this number. The only negative here is we bet one we bet plus one thirty, plus one twenty,”
“to me, 10 and a half, still too high of a number. I I do like that under.”
“Yeah. Giants over six and a half. And if if you really make me bet on Washtenaw, I'm just slightly towards the under at six wins.”
“So, to me, I've not taken position on the Bills, division odds yet, but I have had bet the over 10 and a half.”
“I'll take it. And you can actually take this because it it's minus one fifty nine and a half.”
“I have no issue taking a 10 and half bet with this team either because it's just another team I really like their win total.”
“they're another team that I've invested a small amount into their over total.”
“I am finally on the under this year”
“our Foxhole bet was gonna be Pittsburgh plus three.”
“New York Giants minus one. That was our Simon Says.”
“road dogs against the Detroit lions plus three and a half.”
“If you wanna make us one of our bets too, I love this pick, especially a plus three for the Steelers.”
“if you're looking for a total, the over here, 49 and half, I I don't mind taking that at all. I have this game at 51 and a half, so two points of value is a lot for me.”
“Simon Says. Hey. New York Giants.”
“Yeah. It doesn't get much as in this divisional home dog on a team we both love with a quarterback we think is gonna take another big step in his second year.”
“I just I know I'm gonna hate myself for doing it, but I took the under. I just I had to bet it.”
“this is a bet that I made right when it came out. I've been hitting it.”
“you can bet the under if you want. I'll bet the under, but, like, why would you bet anything for them?”
“So I'll I'll take the over six and a half. I'll bet them 10 to one.”
“So, yeah, Eagles team over 10 and a half,”
“is the overpassing yards for Williams. If Williams goes over his 3,500 [33:03] passing yards or 3,600,”
“Just right now, if you're gonna make a bet, I'll I'll take the rover at 10 and a half.”
“So I'll be on their over for their win total, and then my long shot for them will probably be,”
“I have number one team in football. So yeah. Take taking the rover, obviously.”
“So I'm with you on that one, Chad. This is this is a definitely an under eye bet, a five and a half.”
“we love it. Right? I love their win total over. I love them divisionally.”
“Love this team towards their 10 and a half over. It's just they're they're the most complete best team right now,”
“The under 11 and a half to me, that's a position you take here on this team.”
“Yeah. They're easy pick. Just bet the under. Don't overthink it. I mean, they're they're bad.”
“Colts are one of my favorite teams. Like, they're over a win and a half eight and a half is our win total. I'm gonna bet that. I know Chad will bet that.”
“Eagles over 10 and a half wins if you wanna make those bets.”
“even before he's drafted, Caleb Williams already getting a tough number from the books, eight and a half. I'll be all over that under.”
“this Eagles team, I will take a small bet on the under. I got them right at 11 wins, so that half game bump makes sense”
“I will be betting on them to go over their win total and to win this division. It's just it's a smart bet to make.”
“And if I'm gonna take an under, it's gonna be on the eagles, and it's gonna be on Washington. I think both these teams have good value towards the under this upcoming season.”
“But I did bet their win total over 10 and a half is just too low. Like, that to me is an overreaction to the Rogers being in their division”
“So I've actually taken their under. I have them in nine wins, so I've taken the under small.”
“no brainer bet. I'll take the under, and I will stay far hell away from them Super Bowl future.”
“He has gone on the record with his love, the pass over seven and a half.”
“I got no issue taking this under. I got it off by a game and a half. So, yeah, under six and a half. No no doubt easy bet.”
“but, you know, I've already bet it. So I I got them eight and a half wins for the year. So, obviously, I'm taking the over seven and a half.”
“I like the number plus one twenty, plus one thirty. I like the over nine and a half.”
“So I'll take the over of nine and a half. It's just”
“So I would say my favorite my favorite bet right now is the is the Colts' overwin total.”
“So this is another low low total I'm gonna be taking the under on.”
“we're playing fire here, but over eight and a half, we're gonna be on it.”
“So I I threw a small bet on their overwin total.”
“I mean, I'm gonna bet it this year just because I think it's all there for them to make a ten and seven,”
“I'm gonna take that under eight and a half.”
“this is the team I will be taking a small bet on their under.”
“I would still take the under at six and a half. I have them at six wins.”
“the over eight and a half wins, [20:08] them and them divisionally, [20:10] I love it, Chad.”
“I'm just gonna take the under 11 and a half.”
“So I'm I'm happy to take that under, Chad.”
“Rams plus one zero five over six and a half”
“I'll join the public, I'll take the under four and a half.”
“Yeah. I did I did the lazy bet of I took nuggets minus one and a half for the series. So I took them to win in six, hopefully.”
“Talking to a couple pros after that game last night, one of their favorite guys to fade in this upcoming upcoming series is Caleb Martin's total. So if if it's if it's over under 10 and a half points, I'm gonna be on that under for sure.”
“Unless Stafford's arm really fell off and Cooper Kupp's not gonna be back. This is an insane line. This is truly an insane line. I I get people are thinking the Rams are done. They're finished. Stafford's completely done. I haven't seen any of that anywhere. Right? Everything I've seen, he's hoping to be back for the start of the season, same with Cooper Kupp. So to me, this is one of those I just threw a bet on it just in case the number does drop once he is back officially.”
“I actually bet the other side. I was on the Patriots at minus three I mean, plus three and a half. I was on the Patriots at plus four. If you log in right now to bet three six five, it's up to plus five for the state of agency.”
“The Vikings minus six and a half, Chad.”
“It's the Browns. Like, we Browns plus two and a half against the Bengals right now. We have to do it. Like, that is the stinkiest, fishiest line. The public is going to be hammering Cincy in this spot.”
“Yeah. It was actually one of those that's first first under I bet of the season. I took the under in this game as it was 44 or 45, I think. Now it went down to 44 and a half or 44.”
“So to me, Vegas, seven and a half win total, eight at some books. I love that under. I just they're a team I see a heavy road rest in, especially in a division that I just told you I think Denver's gonna be improved.”
“you've already told me you're taking Cincy under 10 and a half. Completely agree.”
“we already talked about their win total. I love them at seven and a half. I think that's a nice overplay, especially in that division.”
“I think one of my first bets I gave out was the Giants under. It's just it feels like it's just by the book kinda play.”
“I love that under. I know it's up to minus one twenty in most books now. I'd still take it. I'd take it down to 10 and a half.”
“It's, like, a 99% chance I'm gonna take the rover. I just I love this team. I love the coaching staff. I love what they're building there.”
“So Bears, under five and a half wins.”
“And the Jets, under five and a half wins, plus 125.”
“So I like taking that under. [32:20] If you still can get the nine and a half at a plus number, I would take that number.”
“Love the Jags. [34:47] Love they're over. [34:48] Having eight wins for the season.”
“So for me, 10 and a half, that's a good bet, [19:28] betting they're under.”
“So, to me, I like the over. [26:09] I like them divisionally.”
“so I'm down on them I bet they're under I didn't [33:07] bet big on it right it's not one of my bigger bets I had bet they're under”
“I'm on there under uh seven and a half wins I'll take it all the way down to minus 135 minus [36:32] 140”
“And it's my biggest it's right now my biggest under bet.”
“So to me, I'm going to bet Moneyline either first game or the second game. [14:25] But I can guarantee you if they lose first game, I'll be on the Moneyline Golden State second game.”
“So the first bets I made right when it came out was the Texans, a plus seven and a half, hit it again at plus eight.”
“was gonna be one that was gonna be my next one i mean lions they're actually up to four and a half [12:11] now in fan duel um it's it's hard not to want to take this line right now and i did take it but i”
“key number of five and a half being under that six I'm grabbing it right now this Ravens number”
“So I love that pick, Chad, three and a half, [18:47] two. That's such a key number. I take the number as well, but this is a money line bet for me as”
“I take the number as well, but this is a money line bet for me as [18:52] well.”
“should we also be betting them over seven and a half yeah the win total is interesting they have”
“So for them, I'm on the under with Carolina.”
“And with the Buccaneers, I have to bet the under.”
- Miami Dolphins ML
- Tennessee Titans ML
“the Miami Dolphins parlayed with [40:29] the Tennessee Titans. So it's whatever. I bet two grand and win four grand.”
“I love the under here, especially when it's sitting at 11.”
“Yep. And you're under that under on the nine.”
“Oh yeah. Over on Miami.”
“So I'm under win total as well.”
“Bet the under, nine wins for the Cowboys.”
“I can't not take this over.”
“So for me, I am betting this under, but it's not one of those where I'm, you know, really putting out there anymore.”
“And the fact that so much of the public is heavy on the over, man, you really have to [12:17] like this under win total for the Vikings team at nine.”
“and at [28:19] seven and a half wins in this division, it just feels like a gimme. [28:22] Like this is really good value on a team that is, has low expectations.”
“I just look at that team that I took their under already.”
“morocco plays brazil right away they are right now plus 450 on hard rock to win that game against brazil i love that”
Brazil 1-1 Morocco (Group C, 2026-06-13); Morocco did not win (draw), so the moneyline loses. (Brazil 1-1 Morocco)
“if you want to just play half a goal they're minus they're plus one plus 130 so if you want to take plus point half you know you're already up half a goal to start the game so if they tie you win on morocco”
Brazil 1-1 Morocco (Group C, 2026-06-13); Morocco +0.5 covers on the draw. (Brazil 1-1 Morocco)
“if you want to bet group c morocco i have no issue with that”
Brazil won Group C on goal difference; Morocco finished runner-up (both advanced, but Morocco did not win the group). (Group C final: Brazil 1st, Morocco 2nd, Scotland 3rd, Haiti 4th)
“the value to me is in the tie and again Americans don't like betting this stuff but it's plus 240 at Hard Rock that's good value”
USA 4, PAR 1 — USA 4, PAR 1; draw misses.
“I think Spurs in seven feels like that's fun value for me to bet right now. So I'm going to take a little on that.”
San Antonio Spurs lost the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1; did not win in 7.
“i think that calf position especially a hard rock 12 to 1 that's crazy good value like to me he should be closer to 7 to 1 8 to 1 so i'm gonna take that free free money”
Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.
“i'm gonna get my car go make some bets here because it's like san antonio feels like good value especially at some books i'm looking right now they're minus 105 minus 110”
Spurs beat Thunder 4-3 in the 2026 West Conf Finals (won Game 7, May 30) to reach the NBA Finals. (San Antonio won Game 7 111-103 on the road.)
“I put a small bet on the adjusted line. I took OKC like minus 13 and a half points.”
OKC 122, SA 113 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +9 vs line -13.5; busts.
“So right now at Hard Rock, you can get over four and a half on him at plus 120.”
Jeremiyah Love went No. 3 to the Cardinals; over 4.5 draft position loses (drafted higher than 4.5). (Jeremiyah Love: pick No. 3 overall.)
“And at Hard Rock right now, it's minus 110, the under 9.5.”
Caleb Downs went No. 11 to the Cowboys; under 9.5 draft position loses. (Caleb Downs: pick No. 11 overall.)
“You can do that, but I'm just going to take the minus 150 or minus 160.”
2 QBs drafted in Round 1 (Fernando Mendoza #1 to Raiders, Ty Simpson #13 to Rams); over 1.5 wins. (Round 1 QBs: Fernando Mendoza (Pick 1, LV Raiders), Ty Simpson (Pick 13, LA Rams) — 2 total.)
“And I'll probably just do the over one and a half, which at this point, minus 130. I got to do it. I've been waiting. I've been on the sideline, but I just think it's too tempting.”
Two quarterbacks went in round 1 (Mendoza, Simpson), clearing the over 1.5. (QBs: Fernando Mendoza (1), Ty Simpson (13).)
“This year, I already have a plus 180 bet on over five and a half receivers.”
Only 5 wide receivers went in round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft; under 5.5, so the over loses. (Round-1 WRs: Tate (4), Tyson (8), Lemon (20), Concepcion (24), Cooper Jr. (30).)
“like over one and a half quarterbacks.”
Exactly 2 QBs were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Fernando Mendoza #1 to Raiders, Ty Simpson #13 to Rams); 2 > 1.5, so Over 1.5 wins. (Round 1 QBs: Fernando Mendoza (Pick 1, Raiders), Ty Simpson (Pick 13, Rams) — 2 total.)
“wide receiver but that's when i jumped out to me right away it did open at five four and a half”
Only 5 WRs drafted in Round 1 (Tate, Tyson, Lemon, Concepcion, Cooper Jr.) — under the 5.5 line; Over bet loses. (5 WRs in Round 1: Carnell Tate (No. 4), Jordyn Tyson (No. 8), Makai Lemon (No. 20), KC Concepcion (No. 24), Omar Cooper Jr. (No. 30).)
“Give me Iowa plus 110 at Hard Rock.”
NEB 71, IOWA 77 — Iowa Hawkeyes won; moneyline covers.
“I'm definitely betting Wisconsin minus 10, minus 10.5 at Hard Rock.”
WIS 82, HPU 83 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -1 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I bet this in parlays.”
One Battle After Another won Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards (Mar 15, 2026). (Took 6 of 13 nominations including Best Picture and Best Director.)
“and I did invest in Michael B. Jordan at, like, 201”
Michael B. Jordan won Best Actor (for Sinners) at the 98th Academy Awards. (Beat Chalamet, Hawke, and DiCaprio; first Oscar win.)
“of money that that's going to be one of my bigger positions.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 7.5 busts.
“wherever it's going to be i'm going to be making that bet”
First score of Super Bowl LX was a Seattle field goal, not a safety. (Opening score: 33-yard Jason Myers field goal.)
“I'm over his 31 and a half passing attempts.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Jarrett Stidham: 31 passing_attempts vs over 31.5; busts. (Jarrett Stidham: 31 passing_attempts)
“I think I did an alt over his 260 passing yards.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Jarrett Stidham: 133 passing_yards vs over 260; busts. (Jarrett Stidham: 133 passing_yards)
“I'm taking Denver plus four and a half.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“You have to bet a Franklin touchdown anytime prop.”
Troy Franklin was ruled inactive for the AFC Championship (hamstring), did not play, and scored no TD. Patriots won 10-7. (Franklin inactive (hamstring); Broncos lost 10-7 to Patriots; 0 Franklin touches/TDs.)
“I did give out the Super Bowl future just because that's where the value is.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)
“Simon says, give me the Denver Broncos.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“take the Broncos at 13 to 1 for the Super Bowl.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts (Patriots were AFC rep). (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)
“And for the last one, if I had to stick it in, I guess I would go Rams over Denver here”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“first half. It's minus two and a half”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It really was two or three really smart groups came in on Denver with me,”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“our Brass Balls Bet of the Week presented by Hard Rock Bet We going under 41 You know what it takes It takes brass balls”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.
“Patriots minus three.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — New England Patriots margin +12 vs line -3; covers.
“it's been cold but this is a different beast so yeah i'm i i i'm betting the rams i can't believe”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“gonna take the under as well and uh for betting right now i'm with chad i i've taken the ramps”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 49 covers.
“first half i've taken the ramps first half under i think it was 24 and a half if you can still get”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 24.5 busts.
- San Francisco 49ers +7.5 closed +6.5 · CLV +1 pending
- Buffalo Bills +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost
“I don hate that either It up to you locally Let do Niners and Bills If those and Bills Do you like the Bills for Niners better for underdog parlay”
Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 +7.5 — pending; Buffalo Bills +1 +1 — lost.
- New England Patriots -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
- Los Angeles Rams -4 closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost
“And for the favorites, I mean, you know I love Patriots.”
Parlay busts: New England Patriots -3 -3 — won; Los Angeles Rams -4 -4 — lost.
“Yeah, Jack, give me a Denver Broncos, Simon Says, plus one, brother.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“For me, though, I definitely feel more confident about taking the 49ers”
SEA 41, SF 6 — San Francisco 49ers margin -35 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I've already bet the plus three, and I bet the under right away.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“I've already bet the plus three, and I bet the under right away.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.
“Like I've already bet the minus 13 and a half on the Hoosiers.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I'm definitely throwing a bet on the hurricanes money line.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Miami Hurricanes lost; moneyline busts.
“Pittsburgh plus three and a half tonight”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So you can still get the 105s, the minus 110s, the minus 3.5.”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So, um, interesting if it gets to four and a half at any point, maybe then I would take Oregon, but my three and a half, I'm happy taking the Hoosiers here.”
IU 56, ORE 22 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +34 vs line -3.5; covers.
“is better the week chad but i i'm with you it's uh minus 10 at hard rock that's too good of a”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“I'd still grab it now minus one and a half.”
CHI 31, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Yeah, I love the under as well.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.
“chad i'm going to i'm going to draw draw a line here i'm going to take the jags i'll take them”
JAX 24, BUF 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Eagles, minus four and a half.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.
“This was my favorite total Unfortunately it has come down I did open 46 and now it been hit down to 44 but I just don know how the 49ers are going to move the ball especially the fact that Trent Williams has not practiced yet again”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44 covers.
“Chargers plus three and a half.”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I got this at 42 and a half.”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Combined 19; under 42.5 covers.
“by far my biggest bet”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“going to be running the tape of these last couple months where Houston as great as they've been”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Combined 36; under 39.5 covers.
“Take the under 46.5.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 46.5 busts.
“so you can get the plus one and a half on green Bay I grab it now”
CHI 31, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Obviously I have invested in the under the under leave.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.
“like the total is 51 and a half. And I'm going to take that over.”
JAX 24, BUF 27 — Combined 51; over 51.5 busts.
“just invested in the Jacks first half. This is a Bill's team we've been talking a year about.”
Jaguars trailed at halftime of the Wild Card game; Bills led 10-7. (Bills beat Jaguars 27-24; halftime Bills 10, Jaguars 7.)
“And I'm going to grab it now.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4; busts.
“Hammer that under.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 45 covers.
“47 chads right down to 46 and a half so i keep betting that one this feels like a”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Combined 19; under 46.5 covers.
“Biggest bet by far this week has been Pittsburgh on the three and a half.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I think this has the best value of 55 to one.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Steelers future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)
“I'm going to take the Eagles at longer odds than those two teams.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Eagles future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)
“So give me the three and the hook with this Lions team.”
CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Give me the Steelers plus three and a half, Chad.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So it's just another line I'm betting.”
PHI 17, WSH 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line -4; busts.
“i'm gonna take the three on the cowboys now because i think that's”
NYG 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“So, yeah, no problem. Grab the four and a half. [36:27] I'm not going to keep giving out the stats. [36:29] It's just you bet the dog here. It's what we do.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +169 · CLV -7¢ won
- Carolina Panthers ML pending
- San Francisco 49ers ML pending
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +170 · CLV -16¢ lost
“I got Pittsburgh Carolina San Francisco New Orleans”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — pending; San Francisco 49ers ML — pending; New Orleans Saints ML — lost.
“i i am with chad though i would take the money”
TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“And plus one and a half on the 49ers, that feels like a steal.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So I'm taking a pretty big position here on the Bengals money line,”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Chad like I bet Dallas now especially at minus three and a half”
NYG 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -3.5; busts.
“But I would still take this long. It's under seven on Minnesota.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I'm definitely grabbing the 12 and a half while they're out there,”
DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line +12.5; busts.
“So I'm simply just playing the number here.”
CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“yeah i'm right there with you i i like the rams obviously um they they let me down last night in”
DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7; busts.
“we are dug in here on pittsburgh and”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“For this Carolina game, I'm like you. Immediately, I'm going to grab that three.”
TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“I know it's a sucker bet right now, but I have to grab that number.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“You can get Minnesota minus five and a half right now. Why would we not take that? Like they're playing for real.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Yeah, they're minus 7, minus 115, minus 110 in a couple books. I'm going to take it just in case it goes up.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.
“Houston, I'm probably going to take on my larger positions on just because it's tomorrow.”
LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I love Seattle in this spot,”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
“The three and a half, the threes, I bet pretty heavy into it.”
CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm back in Tampa, and I'm taking the 5.5. [35:47] I've seen actually some pro money. [35:48] That's why I didn't want to talk much about it coming on the Bucs. [35:50] This did go from 5 to 5.5, [35:52] and now I'm seeing a couple books move to six.”
MIA 20, TB 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“And I just have a feeling come Sunday, this Bears side at the plus three, it's going to be one of my bigger bets.”
SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I grabbed the Cowboys numbers.”
WSH 23, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin +7 vs line -6.5; covers.
“simon says give me the seattle seahawks minus seven i want to play a game simon says”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm all over that number.”
BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I just love McVay here in this Rams team.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -8; busts.
“Just early line, I'll grab that.”
IND 17, JAX 23 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“I going to take the plus three I been doing it all season with this Bears team”
SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to grab it just in case it”
TEN 26, NO 34 — New Orleans Saints margin +8 vs line -2; covers.
“I'm getting the Rams as a dog now.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“but even this gets the seven i'm still gonna back this”
WSH 18, PHI 29 — Washington Commanders margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'm actually on the Bears side now where I wanted to get there.”
CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -5.5; covers.
“So I'm back in the Giants here.”
NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“I bet it, as soon as I saw those numbers, it's like,”
CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“So I am confident in the Jaguars team.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I can't believe I'm agreeing with you, but I bet the Raiders,”
HOU 23, LV 21 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -2 vs line +14.5; covers.
“but we're betting on a Mike Vrabel bounce back here.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“I've come to the other side of this Cowboys team.”
DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I bet the 6 on the Lions team number should be four four and a half”
DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6; busts.
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +145 · CLV -22¢ won
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ won
- New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
- New England Patriots ML closed +156 · CLV -6¢ won
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +155 · CLV 0¢ won
“Moneyline underdog parlay.”
Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; New York Giants ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.
“Simon says Presented by Hard Rock Bet We are on the New York football giants plus three against the Minnesota Vikings”
NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“You had to be listening to understand that Simon loved this game on Tuesday at five and a half.”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'll, I'll stand with the books here. I'll back the saints, but I get why you chose Minnesota”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“it feels like this is the exact spot we have to take the Chiefs.”
CHI 31, CLE 3 — Chicago Bears margin +28 vs line -5; covers.
“We are going to bet on Josh Allen.”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Like, it's minus six, which I'm still betting the six.”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“So I love this one”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Yeah, we both love the Packers.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.
“This is a game I early bet”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +6; covers.
“you want to go strict money line, which is what I want to do here.”
PIT 28, MIA 15 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“So I'll take an early position here, especially now at the four at Hard Rock.”
TB 28, ATL 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -1 vs line -4; busts.
“And at that number, I got no issue, no issue taking this Cardinals team.”
HOU 40, ARI 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -20 vs line +10; busts.
“I am going to unload on the Rams.”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5; busts.
“So I want to get the Saints now at two and a half just in case the pros do come in and hit this down”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“so we got to go with the Packers”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.
“i've i'm still on it i've dead into it i'm not walking away from it let's just commit to it”
CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“yeah and i love it too because it's back in this saints team we're either going to be”
TB 20, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm gonna have to take that number even if it is Mariota”
MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So definitely grab the Jags if you can right now.”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But I love the plus three, and you do as well, so it's going to be hard to avoid it.”
NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“So I really do like this Browns game.”
CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I got to take the Seahawks.”
ATL 9, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +28 vs line -7; covers.
“So go get the five and a half.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going to take down this Rams team.”
ARI 17, LAR 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the minus three and pray the pros keep coming on Texas.”
GB 28, CHI 21 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“give me the saints plus eight and a half”
TB 20, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +121 · CLV -11¢ won
- New York Jets ML closed +120 · CLV +4¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed -116 · CLV -4¢ lost
“jaguars yeah jets jets and then let's do uh for the third one let's do washington”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost.
“It's going to be the Washington Commanders at plus one.”
MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1; busts.
“I still like the Jets, still bet them.”
NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I still like [13:42] Tennessee, still like the number.”
TEN 3, JAX 25 — Tennessee Titans margin -22 vs line +6; busts.
“I'm going to trust the pros here [20:21] and back that number of three with the Steelers team.”
PIT 7, BUF 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -19 vs line +3; busts.
“we put a little on the Giants money line because this is the exact type of game that could get stolen from this Patriots team”
NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“I took a large position on the two and a half on Tampa, [31:04] hoping it was going to be Baker. [31:05] It is Baker now, and now they're minus three and a half.”
TB 20, ARI 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Pittsburgh plus three, Giants seven and a half, Commanders plus six and a half. [31:29] Like I've really I've loaded up on all these late primetime games today.”
WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“because I'm on the Cowboys”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Yeah this is my Simon Says but give me the Eagles minus six and a half at Hard Rock”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.
“i definitely like this number on this colts team”
IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -4; busts.
“for this game Chad nailed it like I I love this”
CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.
“like honestly I'm betting this this Carolina team”
CAR 31, LAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +10; covers.
“So, yeah, we both love this one coming into it.”
NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But yeah, I love the Giants as well.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Yeah, it's been my favorite all week, big favorite.”
DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I just really love the number and the side”
KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i took the lions they're minus three right now against green”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“threw a little on dallas third plus three and a half against the chiefs at home”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i threw a little on the bangles plus eight and a half on thursday night against uh”
BAL 14, CIN 32 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line +8.5; covers.
“So I'm going to take that early number just in case CJ is out again.”
IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm definitely going to be on Houston at plus six.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +6; covers.
“But like you said, I'm in on Seahawks at 13.”
TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13; busts.
“We'll take the Lions.”
DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10; busts.
“But two and a half, I'll still be on Pittsburgh.”
CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“At this point, I'm going to bet it again just in case it keeps dropping.”
CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“playing the number strictly three and a half that's where i got to be with this colts team”
KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm I'm I'm more so like I've said, I'm heavy on the money line for this Raiders team.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“We're taking the Cardinals at a good number at plus three.”
ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Atlanta, how do you not love the Saints here?”
NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I've taken a position on the Cowboys money line here.”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“We're on the Rams.”
LAR 34, TB 7 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I just said I will blindly bet Seattle as a road team”
TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13; busts.
“yeah i just think plus three and the Steelers is right”
CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“It's shockingly going to be my Simon Says check.”
DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I got to give out the seven and a half on the Bengals.”
CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm gonna take the Colts no matter what I wanted to get back”
KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I like the Cardinals here.”
ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“so i'll go with the pros or i'll bet with the rams but i hate it i hate going against baker”
LAR 34, TB 7 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I am too.”
SF 20, CAR 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“To me I am 100 betting against the Steelers defense and betting on T Higgins Jamar Chase being able to find ways to get downfield against a really really really bad Steelers defensive backfield right now Cincinnati Bengals plus”
PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Like I'm betting Houston, taking a position on Houston, just a little nervous that there's something here I'm missing because clearly the books and professionals have taken a stand on this Tennessee team here.”
TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“We love them at three.”
JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.
“We're suckers for anything over 7.5, especially with the hook.”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Yeah, and this should be a get-right spot for this Eagles offense.”
PHI 16, DET 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“were the Raiders I could take that stand I guess even though I hate”
LV 16, DAL 33 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going to bet the Bengals, but I have not made this one of my bigger bets this week.”
PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Yeah, I'm on it as well.”
TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I got tons on 2.5, a ton on minus 3.”
JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.
“I really took a heavy position on Cleveland”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm with you on the Cardinals.”
ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I like the Panthers here, and it definitely was a miss on my part.”
ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm still on the Packers, but I get it.”
NYG 20, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -7; pushes.
“I've taken a pretty large position on it at this point.”
DEN 22, KC 19 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
- Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5 won
- Arizona Cardinals +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost
“So three-team parlay, Carolina, Arizona, and Cincinnati.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers +3.5 +3.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +3 +3 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 +5.5 — lost.
“I bet Cincinnati at plus five and a half.”
PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Simon says, give me Las Vegas Raiders plus three and a half.”
LV 16, DAL 33 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.
“i am all over green bay here especially if this”
NYG 20, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So plus three, I'll take on this Jags team. But my God, do I hate it?”
JAX 35, LAC 6 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +29 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm leaving it up to you with Miami plus nine and a half.”
MIA 30, BUF 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +9.5; covers.
“We're telling people to take them five and a half and get to six.”
SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +6; busts.
“people know, love Denver tonight. I'm going to have a lot of money tied to them.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“But, yeah, I'm much more comfortable putting their money line in it.”
CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I will take position on the Jets.”
CHI 24, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to grab that on Houston.”
HOU 36, JAX 29 — Houston Texans margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I've bet heavily into the books. I love the books.”
TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So me and Chad loves the plus six and a half people.”
CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.
“And a four, I won't take it, but a four and a half, I'm taking 49ers there.”
SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Give me Miami plus nine and a half home dog.”
MIA 30, BUF 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Broncos minus eight and a half. Simon says Broncos minus eight and a half presented by Hard Rock Bet.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“Chad, I think we have one and a half in the contest. Like you said, it's minus two at Hard Rock. Shop around. See if you can still find the one and a half.”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going to grab it just now. [1:01:36] Cause I do think it will move up.”
WSH 22, DET 44 — Detroit Lions margin +22 vs line -3; covers.
“If you can get a minus three right now,”
MIN 19, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“So I'm going to grab that early here.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We and Chad are on two huge chalk favorites, one in the Lions, one in the Chargers. I shockingly love them both.”
TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.
“But to me, it's just like the Chargers, under that key number of 10 and 11. I'm going to take it here.”
DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“So we're still on Houston minus one and a half.”
HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“the pros are split down the middle here and like me I've taken a large position on this Chiefs team I really like it”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2; covers.
“I bet the Panthers, but it's not one of my bigger bets. I'm simply I mean, sounds stupid. We are simply playing the number here.”
GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +13.5; covers.
“I took some on the over just in case there is no Max Crosby the total is 44 and a half like okay I bite on that”
LV 29, JAX 30 — Combined 59; over 44.5 covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -134 · CLV +2¢ won
- Houston Texans ML closed -130 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -590 · CLV 0¢ won
- Detroit Lions ML closed -525 · CLV +25¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed -140 · CLV -10¢ won
“money line round robin favorites Kansas City Houston Chargers Detroit Jacksonville”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Houston Texans ML — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.
“So I'll grab the nine and a half while I still can. And I think this gets back up to ten, ten and a half.”
TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -9.5; busts.
“right now it's like i love this team at minus three it just feels like they're still being”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“This is my Simon Says, but give me the Chiefs minus one-and-a-half.”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But yeah, at plus three, the value to me is all on Arizona.”
GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I really like that low total.”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Combined 41; under 41.5 covers.
“Give me that under 40.5.”
NE 32, CLE 13 — Combined 45; under 40.5 busts.
“My favorite Moneyline of any team is the Bills this week”
CAR 9, BUF 40 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -650 · CLV -100¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed -350 · CLV -50¢ lost
- New England Patriots ML closed -360 · CLV -5¢ won
“I did a three-team Moneyline parlay of Kansas City, Atlanta,”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won.
“We have the Pittsburgh Steelers tonight plus three and a half to round out our final five.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Baltimore Ravens, minus six at Hard Rock Bet right now. [37:42] Unfortunately, I bet them at six and a half, but we are on them. [37:45] We are on the Ravens. [37:45] That is our Brass Balls Bet of the Week, sponsored by Hard Rock Bet.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6; covers.
“But it just feels like it's a number you have to play in a spot we have to bet.”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.
“But yes, I will be on the Jets. [50:09] We will put them in our money line, Ron Robin.”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I will be shocked come Sunday morning Like I going to probably bet in the Patriots minus seven I just I can get over how different this Browns”
NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -7; covers.
“I will still back this Broncos team, especially at minus three. [1:06:43] I think that's a great number. [1:06:45] It makes me nervous. [1:06:46] I'm not going to lie, but I'm in. [1:06:48] I'm totally in.”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“Can't avoid it. [1:10:28] Going to hammer this one. [1:10:29] It'll probably be one of my bigger bets this week.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“It's actually a great spot for Josh Allen to win outright.”
CAR 9, BUF 40 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“So I think we're still getting value on this line. I'm going to take it.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So, yeah, number-wise, like I said, my model is at six. I'm still going to take the Patriots. I probably would still take them if it was minus seven and a half.”
NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -7; covers.
“So I guess I'll trust the model here, try to take my human aspect out, and I'll give out the Eagles still, and I'll bet the Eagles. But I felt way better at 6.5, like you said. Now it's getting closer to 7.5. So I'll take the 7 now before it moves to that number.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +18 vs line -7; covers.
“give me Houston minus one I want to play a game Simon Says Simon Says presented by Hard Rock Better Houston Texans minus one give it to me”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.
“Yeah, we're supposed to be in Tennessee, but I don't care. I'll take the Colts.”
IND 38, TEN 14 — Indianapolis Colts margin +24 vs line -13.5; covers.
“yeah we fought over this one we both love it i i was happy to hear that you were making this your choice it's it's just a great great spot great number”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“The pros might be right on Green Bay, but I can't avoid it, especially at plus three and a half. Couldn't avoid it. Plus three. Still love it.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“[11:54] I like fading a very public dog. [11:57] So right now the Chargers are in.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.
“and the Lions minus 4.5 tomorrow night.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Saints, they're plus six and a half at home against the Bucs.”
NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +6.5; busts.
“So very interesting to open that plus three because I know right away we're going to grab that.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“on this one i'm betting the raiders and like i said i was hoping i was going to get the 13”
KC 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +12.5; busts.
“But, yeah, I still think this is just a great, great matchup for Cleveland.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've taken a pretty large position here on this Houston game, Detroit game, Chargers, Vikings, Tennessee.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I don't know if this has to be one of them, but I'm definitely on the Jets.”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“the Tennessee Titans plus seven. You know what it takes? It takes brass balls.”
TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“We're getting one and a half almost every book right now.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I took a position Sunday night on Giants 7.5, and that's honestly, that's it.”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“keep betting it I'll be patient I'll grab Washington I I just like this matchup especially”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Washington Commanders margin -22 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I've taken a pretty large position here on this Houston game, Detroit game, Chargers, Vikings, Tennessee.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.
“As you sit here right now my biggest position is if you can get the Houston three and a half join me”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I'm going to take the Jags who are used to it.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -28 vs line +3; busts.
“I'll take it I'm on it with you”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So, Simon says, give me the plus two and a half on this Vikings team.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“and surprisingly only real bet i made is the under in this game”
DET 24, TB 9 — Combined 33; under 53 covers.
“Give me Houston plus three and a half.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“a three and a half in the contest. [7:03] I got to take it, brother.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I've even bet it still this morning. [11:32] It's five and a half. [11:32] I bet it again because I'm like Chad.”
PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4.5; covers.
“like this is one of the first bets i put in for us no brainer can't avoid it we are all in on these”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Six and a half, no brainer. [24:00] Got to put it in the contest. [24:01] It's a number play.”
IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“But, yeah, I just locked it in, brother. [29:49] We got Chiefs, Raiders, Panthers, Pittsburgh, Colts.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.
“We both bet it at three and a half.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“so I'm still on it I still like this spot”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4; busts.
“took positions on pittsburgh”
PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -5.5; covers.
“But yeah, I'm still in the Saints.”
NO 19, NE 25 — New Orleans Saints margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Still in Raiders and the professionals are coming on Tennessee.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Like, I'm all in on this three.”
TB 30, SF 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“this is why I wanted to be on the Colts early”
IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -7; busts.
“So I'm still on Green Bay”
GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14.5; busts.
“I'm on the Chiefs with Chad.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2; covers.
“I bet the 4.5.”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Yeah, give me Panthers plus three and a half.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“again chalky bet but I'll take that Steelers minus four yeah it became more clear in the light of day”
PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4; covers.
“Simon Says, presented by Hard Rock Bet,”
NO 19, NE 25 — New Orleans Saints margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“keep rolling with it the number can't get big enough but the books are pushing it like this”
GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.
“plus four and a half i think you got to grab the four and a half i'll do it like i'm with you on”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +10 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Four and a half feels good on an undervalued Bears team and an overrated –”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.
“this was a move that you predicted on tuesday as simon says do we still put it in the contest yep locking in that's a quick one three and a half got to take for Houston”
BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i think in the contest the jets are at plus two and a half i love it but it's the same exact thing as the saints every pro i've talked to is right there with us”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Cause again, I bet it now I'm, I'm all, I'm on it with you”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“two and a half and three out there right now Yeah yeah For people that are betting I grab the three”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“I have zero twos, but I do have a ton of one and a halves on the Saints team.”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line +1.5; covers.
“give me this commander's team plus”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Give me the Jets plus two and a half”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“I did bet to Denver, but I've been patient on that one.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Still going to be on the Panthers especially at plus one and a half”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going to grab that three and a half.”
BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.
“we been burned by this number flipping on these sides here but I can help but really like the Saints here that they going to be super desperate as an 0 team going against a Giants team that just is not that good coming off a huge win now on the road”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line -1.5; covers.
“side i should be on but i'll take the line side here and i'll i'll take the minus nine and a half”
CIN 24, DET 37 — Detroit Lions margin +13 vs line -9.5; covers.
“if you like the denver side which i do i grab the four and a half but if you like the ego side you”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“five and a half I am on board with you even at six I bet the Chargers so I'm invested like I'm”
NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6; busts.
“But I just love the number.”
TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“This is probably one of my bigger bets is this Lions side in this spot.”
DET 34, CLE 10 — Detroit Lions margin +24 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Yeah still love them but same as you where I have other games I bet a lot on as well and I like them just as much And if we do pick the Rams out I be okay with it”
NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So, yeah, give me the Raiders plus one and a half, Chad.”
LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I just, I really, really love this Chiefs side and this number.”
KC 37, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I bet 7 on the Cowboys.”
DAL 40, GB 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“Chad loves the Chargers. I got it at six”
NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So that's what I've been betting all week.”
NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm betting the number I'm betting my homes in the spot but I'm not”
KC 37, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And I really, really, really trust Dak when he's a big dog in the spot.”
DAL 40, GB 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“I love Raiders here,”
LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So I'm going to grab the three and a half just in case the professionals do come in and hit this back down to three,”
TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“heavily in the Chiefs just winning outright”
NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“I bet the 5.5.”
NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I obviously wish we had the one and a half, but I'll take the half.”
JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +0.5; busts.
“I love the two and a half.”
LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I saw 7.5 on the Jets”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So you're going to bet it. You'll be sick to your stomach if it loses like we're both going to be. But long-term, bet this spot, bet these type of numbers.”
CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm so mad this number's moving because two and a half was a real number from this Texans team last night and this morning. And I kept betting it”
JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“People want to know what side I'm on. I'm betting the Patriots. I'm on the Patriots. I like the number.”
NE 14, PIT 21 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'd still take Eagles at three and a half, honestly, minus three and a half.”
PHI 33, LAR 26 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I have bet the Broncos. I think I got them a three for a hot second the other day.”
LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Hard Rock is plus one. Go get the one and a half. Get the hook”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I bet the five and a half on the Chiefs but the sharp side, the professional side, they're going to be on the Giants at 6.5”
NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“But Panthers, I got to do it at five and a half, six if you can find it. It's just too much. And for me, I've just been betting too much on it where I can't stop betting the Panthers.”
CAR 30, ATL 0 — Carolina Panthers margin +30 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm on the Cardinals. The Cardinals are up to like plus three at a couple books. You know, Hard Rock here in Jersey has got plus two and a half, plus two, and it keeps bouncing around.”
CAR 30, ATL 0 — Carolina Panthers margin +30 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Love, love, love, love, love Denver in this spot.”
LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yeah, Bears, you have to bet this one.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“i got it at four it five and a half i love cam ward i love this matchup for this tennessee”
TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm just so happy we have the 6.5 because we need every point here against Josh Allen.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm confident in it.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“so I make the line two and a half it's one crazy good value on this eagle side”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I have it in there at two and a half.”
IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm taking that three and a half right now.”
PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“we were decidedly square in our love for the Cowboys and are hoping that the number continues to drop.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5; busts.
“I'm going to take the 6.5, and it really is just about the injuries to this Bills team and their secondary.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We both just love the Seahawks and the number. So two and a half, three. I love them both.”
PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“but um you know the pros they've kept it under six we'll take the five five and a half and uh we talk all the time this this rams team”
TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“i'm i'm gonna maybe force this one in on us and i'll own it because i know chad's hesitant about it but i just love the way this lines up for the seagulls team”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“and it's just playing the number minus three i got to take it at this value”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Minnesota Vikings margin -16 vs line -3; busts.
“i do like this i do like this cold side and like i am bet into it but like chad said i'm bet i'm bet at a better number than this so i'm not going to stamp my feet here”
IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But now when I really dive into it, it's like three and a half. That's the right number for this game. So I am on the Jaguars side.”
CIN 31, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“says, give me the Vikings, minus four... and a half.”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Minnesota Vikings margin -16 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I loved it. ... Bet it again yesterday. ... I'm playing the number here. ... two, if you're hearing this right now, go grab it.”
IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2; covers.
“i immediately hit the... patriots side again same as you though just dipping my toes in”
MIA 27, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But in the contest lines we play, it's a plus one and a half. We're locking it in.”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Yeah, and people listen to this show, I'd bet up to minus two. So if you're out there and you can still get the minus one and a half, I'd still take this on the Ravens, a lot of betting”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.
“now we're in a spot here that me and Chad might be actually taking the Jaguars in our contest because the line value is just too good to pass up... Jags minus two and a half It been bet up to four and a half in a lot of books”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +16 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'm going to grab the Eagles now, and I'll maybe take a big position and buy back later on on the Chiefs”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“I grabbed it just thinking the public most likely wouldn't be on the Lions.”
DET 52, CHI 21 — Detroit Lions margin +31 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Just know this is a position I'm already taking that, you know, just like the Jets, I can see the public liking Pittsburgh in this spot.”
PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So just early bet, I've already bet at Hard Rock here, plus six and a half, Give me the Panthers.”
ARI 27, CAR 22 — Carolina Panthers margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Even though I am on the Raiders plus three because our week two line that going to get like you just said the media hype”
NE 13, LV 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“kept hitting at five and a half... I'm still betting at five.”
CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5; covers.
“This week our brass balls bet of the week Tennessee Titans plus eight against the Denver Broncos. And we're putting this in the freaking contest, brother.”
DEN 20, TEN 12 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.
“no I'm going Ravens I love the Ravens and it's such a it's still a good number there's still plus one and a half out there but I'll take the hard rock I'll take the minus one”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.
“Two and a half in our contest plus two... We love it.”
GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“i've been betting this for months months and months and months... unfortunately it's probably going to be dallas like i just i know i was”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm just betting it at eight and a half.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.
“this is obviously one of my favorite bets on the board”
CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'll take that two and a half with the signs.”
GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm on their plus 185 to not make the playoffs.”
Cincinnati went 6-11 and missed the playoffs, cashing the not-to-make-playoffs bet.
“I just everything I read about it's like all right this is exactly what you want to be reading about a contending team heading into you know two weeks away from heading into the season so yeah give me lines over 10 and a half give me lines plus 145 divisional odds.”
Detroit finished 9-8, under the 10.5-win total, and missed the playoffs.
“I just everything I read about it's like all right this is exactly what you want to be reading about a contending team heading into you know two weeks away from heading into the season so yeah give me lines over 10 and a half give me lines plus 145 divisional odds.”
Chicago won the NFC North at 11-6; the Lions went 9-8 and missed the playoffs.
“I have to take the over because it's like if this kid's legit with a stacked”
Minnesota finished 9-8, clearing the 8.5-win total.
“So, yeah, very, very confident in this divisional bet.”
Philadelphia won the NFC East at 11-6.
“This is clearly my favorite value-wise divisional bet, plus 600.”
Dallas went 7-9-1 and finished second; Philadelphia won the NFC East.
“you know i do the matchups i've already i actually did the bills and the niners at 45 to one like”
Super Bowl LX was Seattle vs. New England, not Bills vs. 49ers.
“So, yeah, give me that over 10.5 win total, Chad.”
San Francisco finished 12-5, clearing the 10.5-win total.
“Love the Rams, obviously, over 9.5.”
The Rams finished 12-5, clearing the 9.5-win total.
“So, yeah, I'll join you on that under 8.5 on that Seattle team.”
Seattle went 14-3, blowing past the 8.5 under line.
“Now you're looking at Chiefs, though, and they're at minus 110 for this division, Chad. So I don't know about you. This is a number right away I ran to the window and took.”
Denver won the AFC West; Kansas City collapsed to 6-11 and finished third.
“So 15-1 division odds, Chad, I bet it. Like, this opened at 17-1. It's been bet down to 15-1. It's too big to me.”
Denver won the AFC West; the Raiders finished last at 3-14.
“I have this team at eight wins. So six and a half, Chad knows. I like that number a lot.”
Carolina went 8-9, clearing the 6.5-win total.
“yeah, this was a game I mean, this was the line that right away when I saw it open up, [37:39] I jumped on the under and I I'm I'm like you.”
New Orleans finished 6-11, one win over the 5.5 under line.
“My favorite bets would be Panthers over, six and a half. Saints under, five and a half, and then the Panthers division plus 400.”
Carolina won the NFC South on tiebreakers at 8-9 over Tampa Bay and Atlanta.
“I did bet their win total. I have them at eight and a half. The win total is seven and a half. Obviously, a full game to the over. I'll take that over on the win just because of this division.”
Atlanta went 8-9, clearing the 7.5-win total.
“And, you know, love the win total, obviously, over five and a half.”
Tennessee finished 3-14 (3 wins), well under the 5.5 total, so the over lost.
“It's such great value taking the division odds.”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; Tennessee went 3-14, so the division bet lost.
“I did make a small bet on them, their win total, because it did open at seven and a half. I bet it.”
The Jaguars finished 13-4 (13 wins), clearing the 7.5 total, so the over cashed.
“You're getting minus one ten of the Chiefs in that division running to the window to bet that one.”
Denver won the 2025 AFC West; the Chiefs finished 3rd at 6-11, so the Chiefs AFC West bet lost.
“So, yeah, that Rams team, if I'm gonna make one future's bet in NFC, wouldn't be the Eagles. It would still be this Rams team to win the Super Bowl. I just think we have the best value.”
The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the Rams reached the NFC Championship but lost to Seattle 31-27, so the futures lost.
“You're not the problem for us, Matt Moore, because after our conversation last week, me and Simon both bet on the thunder to win in six,”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 6, so the Thunder to win in 6 bet lost.
“I'm gonna take that four two bet with OKC with you, Matt, but I'm also gonna throw a four three bet on the Pacers at you know, last time I checked, it was crazy, guys. It might have been 10 to one.”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 4-2, so the Thunder 4-2 bet lost.
“I'm gonna take that four two bet with OKC with you, Matt, but I'm also gonna throw a four three bet on the Pacers at you know, last time I checked, it was crazy, guys. It might have been 10 to one.”
Oklahoma City won the 2025 Finals 4-3, so the Pacers to win the series 4-3 bet lost.
“I'm I'm on with the Cowboys. How am I not gonna go with Dak, 45 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Dak Prescott lost.
“is Bo Nix. I bet this one, he was a 100 to one down to 80 to one. Now he's 75 to one.”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Bo Nix lost.
“But me and Chad are taking a position because we expect this to what? Go to five and a half, four and a half maybe perhaps by the night they kick off. So we wanna take a position here.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Yeah. That's that that's just an insane opening number, but it's the respect that Philadelphia deserves”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.
“I just think that whole market, the fact that they're trying to spread in Asia, that just makes more sense to me to to vote in a guy who seems like a good guy, seems like he's well liked.”
2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Luis Antonio Tagle was not elected.
“I'm I'm gonna take a position on Boston in the series price, but, that's just following the smart money and the guys I respect.”
The New York Knicks beat the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2025 East semifinals, so the Celtics to win the series bet lost.
“you obviously know I love Cam, like Ward. I'm all about Tennessee. I I I grabbed that one immediately. I just think he should be the odds on favorite in my opinion.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year for 2025, so Cam Ward lost.
“The next one might shock a little bit Hampton. I grabbed him for the chargers. [20:45] I just I love the I love the spot, the opportunity”
Tetairoa McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year, so Omarion Hampton lost.
“we talked about why I love Tennessee plus eight eight hundred, eight to one to win their division. It's like a weak division [23:08] on a team that has a a pretty good defense, that has weapons offense,”
The Jaguars won the AFC South at 13-4; Tennessee finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“to me, Chad, just the value, how do you not take Walker? Like, this kid is an absolute stud on a defense that has zero pass rush ability in Atlanta.”
Browns LB Carson Schwesinger won Defensive Rookie of the Year for 2025, so Jalon Walker lost.
“The reason we're betting on them to win this division”
The Patriots won the AFC East at 14-3, so the bet cashed.
“I've thrown a little bit on them at this number, and we'll talk about the other two in this division”
The Steelers won the AFC North; Baltimore finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.
“I'm gonna I'm gonna back Pittsburgh here.”
The Steelers won the AFC North at 10-7, so the bet cashed.
“So that's that's my view of it as I think I get to get a position here, and come November,”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; Tennessee finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“I really like this early value here on this Chiefs number at minus one thirty.”
The Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3; Kansas City collapsed to 6-11, so the bet lost.
“We're gonna bet on it, but I am nervous making this bet on Bo Knicks.”
The Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3 to earn the AFC's No. 1 seed, so the bet cashed.
“Well, something really depressing is I got this at 20 to one, and then when they added Gino, it only moved to 16 to one.”
The Broncos won the AFC West; the Raiders finished 3-14, so the bet lost.
“Genti to be a top five pick. Like, as long as he goes under that six and a half, you know, if he slips past the Raiders,”
Ashton Jeanty went No. 6 overall to the Raiders, under the 6.5 line (he did slip past the slot but landed inside 6.5).
“I need Sanders to go top 10. That'd be very profitable for me because I've just been betting really high plus numbers.”
Shedeur Sanders fell out of the top 10 entirely, eventually drafted by the Browns at No. 144 (5th round), so the under 10.5 lost.
“the Rams, I've taken a position on them to take Sanders at 50 to one because I could see in some crazy world”
The Rams did not draft Shedeur Sanders; he was selected by the Cleveland Browns at No. 144 overall.
“And the the Genti, I bet it when you when you talked about he was 20 to one. It's down to 16 to one him to go to the Patriots.”
The Patriots did not draft Ashton Jeanty; the Raiders took him at No. 6 (New England took OT Will Campbell at No. 4).
“Betting it. Yep. Justin Thomas.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters, so the Justin Thomas outright lost.
“I love the Rams, 28 to one.”
The Rams lost the NFC Championship 27-31 to Seattle, who went on to win Super Bowl LX.
“I'm I'm gonna be betting here on the dog. So I already know where I'm going. I mean, I get it. Demi should be minus 300, but you know me, Chad. I like the dog. I like the upside, the value here”
Mikey Madison won Best Actress (Anora) at the 2025 Oscars, so the bet cashed.
“one of my favorite bets is the Green Bay packers. You can get them 25 to one.”
The Packers lost in the Wild Card round (27-31 to the Bears) and Seattle won Super Bowl LX, so the next-season Green Bay futures lost.
“I did bet the niners 17 to one. I liked Brandon's”
The 49ers were eliminated 41-6 by Seattle in the NFC Divisional round and the Seahawks won Super Bowl LX, so the next-season San Francisco futures lost.
“My favorite one is definitely both teams have successful fourth down. Convent like, so, basically, you need the eagles convert a fourth down, chiefs convert a fourth down.”
Both teams finished 0-for-1 on fourth down in Super Bowl LIX, so the both-teams-convert-a-fourth-down bet lost.
“I've made this bet. This is another number that's moving. The Chiefs were the Eagles were Eagles win first half, Chiefs to win the game was plus three six fifty on bet three six five. It's down to plus five fifty now.”
The Eagles won the first half 24-0 but also won the game 40-22, so the Eagles-1H/Chiefs-game double lost.
“The money line was my exact decision. The side was Simon Says.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1; busts.
“We're going with the under as our big balls bet of the week.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49 busts.
“one of my favorite bets that correlates with this is eagles over one and a half rushing touchdowns.”
The Eagles scored just one rushing touchdown (Hurts' 1-yard run) in Super Bowl LIX, short of the over 1.5.
“Simon says, give me give me Chiefs minus one and a half.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“that's another spot I really love, the total. I love the under.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49.5 busts.
“Eagles, Eagles, Eagles.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -6; covers.
“I have moved to the over. Originally, I like the under in this matchup. I have flipped to the over, and just because the number has moved too much, and I I basically have this total of 48 and a half.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Combined 78; over 47.5 covers.
“Kansas City minus one and a half. The total's 47 and a half. This was Simon Says.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Still like the value there. Still would take that under,”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Combined 61; under 47.5 busts.
“I bet this as soon as it opened at four and a half,”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Simon says, give me the Chiefs minus one and a half.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“yeah, early bets. I'm with Chad. I'm I'm taking chiefs right now.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But for this one, I'm definitely chiefs in the under and my first instinct to go with this one.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Combined 61; under 48.5 busts.
“So I'm right there with you. I'm not scared off by this number.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +9 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I've I've taken the plus nine and a half, and I've thrown a little bet, just a little bet on the money line here.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I've thrown a little bet, just a little bet on the money line here. It's just something I have to do where I you know, this this is the only real dog in this this matchup that I actually believe in that can pull off the upset.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
“my love for this over, because I do think you're getting still a point and a half of value here on this total for this lions and commanders game.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; over 55.5 covers.
“Love the Eagles, especially even at minus six, and love that under in that Bills Raven game.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“51 and a half is a key number. Like, if you go mathematically how often that lands on 51, you're still getting great value right now taking this under a 51 and a half.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.
“So, yeah, if you're looking for my early sides right now on Tuesday, like the Chiefs at this number, I'd bet it up to nine, ten.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +9 vs line -8; covers.
“Yes. Simon says, give me Washington plus nine and a half, Chad. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I actually like the over two in this game. It's 55. It's a huge over.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; over 55.5 covers.
“How do I not bet that? Like, there is value there facing this Detroit team that has that issue stopping really high powered offenses.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
“So, yeah, I'm with Chad here. I love this Eagles. I honestly would bet it up to seven.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“Shock in other game, I like the under here. I just I just can't see the rams putting up any type of points, and eagles to me will just be run heavy.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Combined 50; under 43.5 busts.
“I have this at 48 and a half. So I think there's a ton of value on the under here, especially with these two teams that, you know, it's gonna be cold as hell up in Buffalo, Chad.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.
“Yeah. So we're on the Bucks tonight, minus three.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I don't know how you don't take this charges number here.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I got it at 41. It was 43 and a half. It's been bet down to 42 and a half. Still, that's a key number. You're still getting great value on this number.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 42.5 busts.
“I'm betting their money line, but to me, the the smart safe bet here is taking the plus 10 if you can still get it on the Pittsburgh team.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“for my biggest bet to this game, it's not even close. Like, I'm heavily invested in this Eagles team at three and a half, at four, at four and a half.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“let me fade this overhyped commanders team and take this Bucks team at minus three.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“that's another reason why I like this under so much is it just feels like it's going to be a run heavy game from this Bucks team.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Combined 43; under 50.5 covers.
“plus one and a half, I still love the value on this Rams team. And, yeah, I'm I'm gonna be betting that man the under here.”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
“it's another game that I've I've taken the under on.”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Combined 36; under 48 covers.
“I went I went through the zero, took the charge off the plus three and a half, and, yeah, Bill's down to two and a half. It just feels like that's a gift. So, yeah, those those are definitely my biggest bets right now.”
The Chargers were blown out 32-12 by the Texans, busting the +3.5 leg and sinking the three-team teaser despite the Rams (+7.5) and Bills (-2.5) legs winning.
“the number is right. The value is on the number, and I'm just I I just think this should be three and a half. We're getting three minus two and a half. I'll take that value every time.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -3; busts.
“yeah, Simon says, give me Pittsburgh plus 10 shots.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“pretty dug dug in here on this Eagles team, especially at this number.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So, yeah, I'll take the three, and I pray pray that more money comes on the commanders, and I get two and a half.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“begging you to take Green Bay, and I'm gonna throw quick quick penny on the Eagles right there. It was three.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Maybe it'll be Chad's on the Bills, but opening line here minus seven and a half. I gotta take that with this Bills team.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -7.5; covers.
“no rush to bet it. I mean, I'm gonna grab it as soon as we get off this call.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +8.5; busts.
“yeah, I just I love this Chargers team, especially they're playing a bad key a bad team, their coach is horrible. He's a psychopath. He's not gonna take his foot off the gas.”
Chargers routed the Raiders 34-20, covering their closing spread (Chargers favored roughly -4.5 to -7). (Final: Chargers 34, Raiders 20)
“Take that best team. Like, I I'm with them. Like, it's very caveman, very simple. Don't overthink this one. Just take the points with this”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.
“way too many points for us to pass on. Like, I I love this number. I love this Jags team”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“some smart money now has come in on the Eagles here this morning, which is pretty surprising, but nothing changed in my position.”
PHI 20, NYG 13 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I didn't mention Tennessee because I just know no one's gonna follow that one, but, yeah, I'm I'm heavy on Tennessee as well.”
Texans beat the Titans 23-14; Tennessee lost outright by 9 points while closing as only a small favorite/short underdog (line moved between Titans -1.5 and pick'em), so the Titans failed to cover. (Final: Texans 23, Titans 14)
“I believe in Bryce Young, believe in their offense, and I really do think we'll be either they have a chance to win this game outright or easily have a chance to back during”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8; covers.
“I just I just think it lines up perfectly as Minnesota team. So, yeah, I'm clearly, I'm pocket committed. I I love them at plus three Minnesota.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin -22 vs line +3; busts.
“no. They it's they moved it to one and a half now. I can't help it. I gotta bet, Sensei.”
Bengals beat the Steelers 19-17, a 2-point margin that covers -1.5. (Final: Bengals 19, Steelers 17 (margin 2, covers -1.5))
“But I still I still like Tennessee at this number, and I do think it goes up by kickoff.”
TEN 14, HOU 23 — Tennessee Titans margin -9 vs line -1; busts.
“Call me a sucker for this Jags team. I just love the way they've been playing down the stretcher. I'll take Mac Jones, Brian Thompson junior at plus four and a half.”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm betting panthers at plus eight and a half. I've already bet their money line.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I've already bet their money line. I love this as an upset for this this Carolina team.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm I'm all in on them. I love them. I I bet they're money line as well for this one.”
GB 22, CHI 24 — Chicago Bears won; moneyline covers.
“I agree with you. I I like Seattle in the spot, especially the fact that we're getting against a Rams team that they're another team that's top heavy.”
LAR 25, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“This number just feels too low to me on this on this side, so that's why I do support taking the chargers.”
NE 7, LAC 40 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +33 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So a three and a half, especially contest wise, I would play it. But if it was two and a half, wouldn't even think about playing it.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“My only fear is just that I'm so in love with it. Like, I this is another game where I took their money line again.”
TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“love this matchup. Love this number for this team, and just feels like a game that they could steal and win outright.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I would say Detroit, I went pretty heavy on the minus three. Even at minus three and a half, I've honestly betted up. I've I'm feeling very chalky with that one.”
SF 34, DET 40 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“my biggest bet by far of these three games is Chiefs minus two and a half, and it's not close.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +19 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm gonna go chalk side, the heavy public side. I'll take Seattle minus three and a half.”
CHI 3, SEA 6 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I already bet them first half as well, Seattle minus two and a half.”
CHI 3, SEA 6 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've just bet the Bengals number at minus three just because we you just talked about the movement.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm betting Cleveland. I love Cleveland here, and it really is all about to do with Miami and what we talk all the time, Chad.”
CLE 3, MIA 20 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Simon says take Atlanta falcons.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I that's what was about to say, though. I took the two.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +19 vs line -2; covers.
“I've been betting it pretty heavy this week, and it was really all about the number”
CAR 36, ARI 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“now that it's up to three and a half, you can't avoid it. That's there's too much value there at such a good number. You have to take the Jets.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — New York Giants margin -27 vs line +3.5; busts.
“It it is. Simon Says Washington three and a half.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“No. I actually love panthers here. I think it's a good number. I I had this at three and a half. It's four and a half.”
CAR 36, ARI 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“it's above six, though. We have to take it.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“so I guess I'll grab the four now while I can.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“I'll be a sucker with you. I'll buy this Pittsburgh one and just I'll ride the Tomlin spot”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I fully support you in this number. I bet it. I like the colds here,”
DEN 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +3.5; busts.
“last one is just Detroit at two. If you can get the two,”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2; busts.
“Green Bay, I just can't stop betting at two minus two and a half, and I I know it's”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I've bet them both. I've bet more on the packers at minus two and a half than I've bet on the box at plus three.”
LAC 17, TB 40 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line +3; covers.
“Simon says go grab Green Bay minus two and a half right now.”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“yeah, it's it's a game where I know what to do, Chad. I I really wanna take Pittsburgh.”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“So I'm I can't help it. Like, I love this number. Six and a half.”
PIT 27, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“if it's 6 and a half at bet $3.06 5, I'd grab that now because a lot of the books here in Jersey are down to 6.”
PIT 27, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“with them chasing that one c, Chad, and just how locked in Josh Allen is, I just I can't see it. So there's a couple fours out there if you still wanna grab it.”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Buffalo Bills margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“I don't mind going at it again because it's four and a half. I'm gonna grab that now. But if it's three and a half come contest time, I don't know if we force that one in”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Los Angeles Rams margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I just have to play this number and take this plus four with this Giants team.”
DAL 27, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“Simon says, give me Green Bay minus three, Chad.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +13 vs line -3; covers.
“I love this number on the Stargers team. It just they're the more complete team.”
ATL 13, LAC 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“How do we not take them?”
DET 23, CHI 20 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I like the Chiefs. You gotta grab the Chiefs right now. This is going up.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -12.5; busts.
“So, yeah, Chad, I'm right there with you. If you can grab the two right now, I'd grab it.”
GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line -2; busts.
“I just think people are undervaluing this Rams team while they're overvaluing this Eagles team.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line +3; busts.
“if you're getting plus one and a half on Arizona again, I'd take that number because I just said it. I think it's by kickoff, I just can't I'd be shocked if Arizona is not a favorite by kickoff.”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +1; busts.
“Sorry, Chad. Simon says, give me the rams plus three. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line +3; busts.
“Going with the chalk once again. Going with Joe Public. I'll take the lions on minus seven and a half.”
IND 6, DET 24 — Detroit Lions margin +18 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I've I've only made two bets right now in this game that's just been on green bet. Bet him when those two. Bet him one again and got two and half because I thought, okay. This might keep going up if Purdy's out.”
GB 38, SF 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“No. I'm on the other side. I like Houston. Like, this number should be 10.”
HOU 27, TEN 32 — Houston Texans margin -5 vs line -8; busts.
“I took the Eagles here right away at two and a half. Because there's a couple of books at it two, two and a half. I just took that early just because I I assume this will go up to three, three and a half by Kickoff.”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Yeah. I know. They're on the road. I'm just taking that one right now. They're just another big big dog”
MIA 34, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin -19 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I make this a pick. We're getting plus one and a half, plus two right now in the 49ers. This is just an early bet I'm gonna make right now as 49ers too. I just love that number.”
GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Alright. I'll throw a couple thousand on then because I I I could see professionals betting this down to three.”
CHI 27, MIN 30 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Detroit, I've just been hammering it. I've at thirteen, I was just all over it. 13 and a half, I played a little bit.”
DET 52, JAX 6 — Detroit Lions margin +46 vs line -13; covers.
“Two and a half, chiefs, if you can still find it, that's no brow no doubt about getting one of my bigger bets.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I was hoping we'd still get the three and a half, Chad. We've seen now it's the books are gonna hold down the three.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“it's down to four and a half like you just said on this Rams team. That to me is there's there's too much line movement right now in to pass on this value.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I wouldn't mind putting them in. I I love the chargers in the spot. This is probably gonna end up being one of my bigger bets. I just love the number.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm betting it because I think it's a good number. I don't think this Jets team should be a four point favorite against anybody, but”
NYJ 27, IND 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“yeah, I like Pittsburgh. I like the number. Tomlin is a dog. It's just good to us.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So this will be one of our five just like Pittsburgh.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“you don't have to rush to bet this number now. No. I'm taking it now just because”
NE 22, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“This is easy bet. I am on bet three six five in New Jersey. The line has flipped to plus one and a half on the Chiefs. Hammer that number on the Chiefs.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll take the seven right away. Like you just said, who are this 49ers team to be getting that seven?”
SF 17, SEA 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm betting I already bet the packers are minus six and a half. What's your view on this? Like, isn't this a huge smash spot for Green Bay?”
CHI 19, GB 20 — Green Bay Packers margin +1 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Right now, it's a top five for me. I get there there it's it's really gonna be the Jets on on the outside, and and we'll see if we Okay. End there for me.”
WSH 27, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think this number should be three. It's four, three and a half. We're happy to still take the four if you can find it.”
IND 20, BUF 30 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm happy this is not gonna be one of our five, and we don't have to because I'm I I did bet the bronco is eight and a half”
KC 16, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“The line moved from three to four. It touched four. I grabbed it at four yesterday. I had already bettered at three and a half.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“five and a half, Chad. This is our we get five and a in contest. We put it in and McCaffrey is cleared and he's gonna play. No doubt a doubt. I'd take it.”
TB 20, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“But at seven and a half, I don't mind taking the number. I I bet this number.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I I actually still like Detroit at this number in the spot. And it's really like you just said, we'll no Will Anderson, no Nico Collins. This will become one of my bigger bets come Sunday.”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Yeah. I love it because it's giving me a better number on a Rams team I love.”
LAR 15, MIA 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'd still bet it at six, by the way. I did bet it at six.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“yeah, this is not what I'm putting too much in the money line, but plus plus three and a half now. I'm definitely grabbing this year.”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Simon says give me Pittsburgh plus three.”
WSH 27, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“As long as it's seven and a half, I'll agree with it. I'll take the seven and a half”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm also gonna bet the Eagles minus 13 and a half because I could easily see them just blow this Cowboys team out.”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +28 vs line -13.5; covers.
“yes, I am taking the minus three and a half, and I'll take the three. I think this is a total head fake by the professionals, and they're just moving the number to get a better number on the Detroit team.”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“they're minus six right now against Cincinnati Bengals. I'm gonna take the plus six. Like, Joe Burrow against that defense, if you wanna grab that number early with me, I'll grab that now because I think that number goes down as well.”
Cincinnati lost a shootout 35-34 to Baltimore, a 1-point defeat that comfortably covered the +6. (Ravens 35, Bengals 34)
“We're finally fading this Carolina team. For our fans, for our listeners.”
CAR 23, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“If it's a trap, me and Chad will walk into it holding hands. I mean, what else can we do here? This is too good of a number. This Tennessee team is terrible.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Nope. This is one of my bigger bets of the week. Tons of money on this Bills team. I'm I hope it I hope professionals get better than this.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“I'd grab it now, people. I do think once everything is clear with Jordan Love, this does go down to three”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“my real big money bets that I bet on this Rams team have all come at minus one, minus one and a half.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm I am on Atlanta, but it's one of my smaller bets. I just”
ATL 27, DAL 21 — Atlanta Falcons margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But we're Green Bay, three and a half. Simon says Green Bay plus three and a half. Time to fade. The boys from River City, who we love. No disrespect.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm betting this right now. Like, literally, I bet it before it came on the air. The two a couple of books are back up to nine. I'm gonna bet it again just because it's crossed that key number again.”
BAL 41, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -31 vs line +9; busts.
“you can get three and a half right now in New England as well. Like, there's a couple books out there, three and a half. How do I not take that?”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like New Orleans now with their card back just because I think this is a spark this team needs after such dreadful QB play. Like, you could just see this getting this team back around, and this is the perfect game for them to get right.”
CAR 23, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -1 vs line -7; busts.
“Still love them. I'd still bet them because it's under the key number, which we always talk about too. So right now, the highest I'm seeing in Los Angeles minus one and a half at a couple books.”
CLE 10, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Trust the books here, but I'll I'll take the chalk earlier on Houston. I mean, that Jets team's in total disarray.”
NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line -1; busts.
“Buffalo is less than a touchdown favorite at home against Miami. Grab it.”
BUF 30, MIA 27 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“Yeah. It's it's a key number. I'll I'll take the Raiders.”
CIN 41, LV 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +8.5; busts.
“the Giants are plus three and a half against the Commanders. I get it. They're dead, but they Daniel Jones only plays good against one team in his career. It's the Commanders.”
NYG 22, WSH 27 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Who are they to be catching minus three against anybody? So I like that early grab of patriots plus three.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I bet the cards at three and a half. I bet it because of the number. It wasn't because of anything else. I just wanted to hook with Kyler”
MIA 27, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“my motto likes this. I like this. Chad likes this. Feels like it's unavoidable if we're gonna have these lines in our contest.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“I have not touched anything Jags three and a half, but I'd still do it. It's just try to get the four. The four is such a key number.”
JAX 27, GB 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“This is one of my favorite chalker sides of the week is this bears matchup, especially coming off the bye week.”
WSH 18, CHI 15 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm gonna take the dog. I'm gonna take the dog that went outright. Like, I just love this spot for this Dallas team.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm totally tempted at three and a half. Like, of course, am. I already bet it. You can see it in the app. I bet Arizona at three and a half.”
MIA 27, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'll follow you on this one. I I do love this Lions team. It's just, you know, it just irks me to take a big favorite. So I gotta kinda push that aside and just know that this is a good number, and it probably should be closer to 14.”
DET 52, TEN 14 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -11; covers.
“I just think the Raiders here, it's a set of prime spot for an undefeated team in the Chiefs to lose a game.”
LV 20, KC 27 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +10; covers.
“Simon says, give me Dallas Cowboys. That's four and a Gotta do it”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Gotta hold your nose. Trust the number and take the number here with Cleveland.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Definitely Detroit, definitely Chiefs. Like, as we say it right now, those are two ones I've hit.”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Two and a half, that's the good number. I trust the guys who are saying that. I I'll take it.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Green Bay Packers margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“It's like, plus three and a half. It's a good number for a home divisional dog or not divisional dog, but a home dog that's, like, still a little underrated to the general public.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“we cannot take Mahomes here. It's just if he has the ball, he's down by three in the fourth quarter. I think it will at least go to overtime, if not winning this game outright at the end.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“The Jets, I've hit pretty heavy.”
NYG 3, PHI 28 — New York Giants margin -25 vs line -2; busts.
“I do. I like the matchup for Atlanta. I'd still take them at minus two and a half, but you're right.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“It's Fred Warner. I still love the value of him. There's a couple books right now. He's 15 to 1, 16 to 1. I'd still make that bet.”
Pat Surtain II won 2024 AP Defensive Player of the Year, not Fred Warner. (Surtain 26 first-place votes, 330 points)
“Chad nailed it. I I like this matchup. We like the plus three and a half with Tampa.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Simon says go grab that plus one and a half on that cheese team right now. Couple books out there still the plus one and a half. You gotta go grab it.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“but you have to take Cleveland in this spot. I know. This is is such a good number.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“I'll be the sucker. I'll take that number. If this number is three and a half, I could be talked in Seattle just because they do have such a good offense with Gino and those weapons on the outside.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I I bet this one is broncos minus one. I'd still take it here at minus two.”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Denver Broncos margin +23 vs line -2; covers.
“I'll grab the four and a half. I could see this being going down to four, three and a half by kickoff.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So I make this number three and a half. I'd grab it right now if you could still get the minus two and a half for Atlanta.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I think we're getting an extra point and a half of value here, Chad. So I'll definitely take this number on New England.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“Even if this is minus three and a half in contest, I feel like we're gonna force this one in regardless.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“Chad, let's hop in that foxhole. Give me the Carolina panthers plus six. You know me regardless of what's going on. I'm a foxhole guy. I commit to a team.”
CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“we love we love this number. We love this matchup. Our our hardest thing is having to wait until Monday to know what our final five is.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I still like it if you still like it. If you wanna put it in as one of our favorites, I honestly wouldn't fight you on it. It's like, I bet this number. I bet Green Bay in this spot.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“a couple of books moved to the two and a half, I bet it. It's like, okay. Now it's under three. I might as well take the chargers here.”
DEN 16, LAC 23 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It's three and a half. I'm gonna take the value and play the Giants here.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“We get off this call. I'm heading right down Atlantic City making a bunch of bets on Detroit. So I love this side.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“So give me Giants plus three and a half. It's really more about Cincinnati and and their defense.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“there's just gonna be a bunch of bunch of throws we're gonna need him to make, Chad, that we're gonna be relying on this rookie for if it is the starter. So I'm grabbing the seven now.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“there there you're right. There's something I need to dive into more, but I had bet this at plus six and a half.”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“So, yep, let's let's take, this this Jets seem to bounce back after firing their coach and take the plus two and a half, Chad.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm with you. I like this Green Bay. This might be one of our only favorites we agree on, but I think we both like this side.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Green Bay Packers margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“Well, to clean it up, this is the four bets I'm on. I took the Giants, home dog plus three and a half.”
NYG 7, CIN 17 — New York Giants margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Taking the Lions on the road minus three against the Cowboys.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Detroit Lions margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“Taking Washington plus six and a half on the road against the Ravens,”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“And I think Chad's joining me. We're both taking the Patriots plus seven. We are.”
NE 21, HOU 41 — New England Patriots margin -20 vs line +7; busts.
“bet for sure was the rams three and a half, bangles plus three.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“bet for sure was the rams three and a half, bangles plus three.”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Especially a couple of books hit plus six on the saints team. I grabbed it right away.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +6; busts.
“I'm slightly invested right now in the plus one and a half, not heavy.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Right now, the panthers are my biggest bet of the weekend. Wow. But that's also because I bet in the plus five.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +5; busts.
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +137 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed -123.5 · CLV +4¢ won
“Doesn't matter what happens the rest of the game. Your week five, boosted underdog parlay.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Rams ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won.
“So I'm going to be taking the Saints on the number and taking a little bit on the money line.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So I'm going to be taking the Saints on the number and taking a little bit on the money line.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints lost; moneyline busts.
“So the fact that the Raiders are up to two and a half I had to take it I just I a sucker for this team”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Got to go with my man Brock Bowers. He's just been unlucky.”
Brock Bowers caught a 57-yard TD vs Broncos in Week 5; anytime TD cashes. (Bowers: 8 rec, 97 yards, 1 TD)
“I took a position on Joe Burrow just because I like the Bengals this week to pull the upset off against the Ravens.”
Josh Allen won 2024 NFL MVP; Joe Burrow finished 4th, did not win. (Burrow: 82 points, 4th in MVP voting)
“Simon says grab the plus three”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I'm on the Rams. I know exactly what I'm doing.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“it's another bet where I bet it. No need to put any more on if you've already bet it.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2.5; busts.
“It's like, that's a no brainer. Bet it right now. Like, we have to. I think anytime we're getting over three with, you know, nothing against Caleb Williams, but just he has to earn a higher number from me. So, yeah, if you can get a plus five right now, Caroline, I'd grab it right now.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +5; busts.
“Yeah. Right away, was like, you gotta take Green Bay there. It sucks up to three and a half. I'd still take that.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Green Bay Packers margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I talk all the time how I think tuners two is such a key number. It could go up to it could go up to two and a half, go up to three. Like, I don't know if the pros will be on this one, but for me right now, that's a game I'm gonna grab right away.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +2; busts.
“I said I'd bet if it got to seven. It did get to seven. I did bet it. It's now six and a half down to six in most books. That's easily one of the more professional sides this week.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“I make this closer to a pick. It's two and a half. I'm gonna take that value every time.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I told you I moved it by half a point, made it two and a half. It's now two and a half. So, yeah, I'm with you. It's like, I I really love this line. I still love it”
ATL 26, NO 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“It's in the contest at one and a half. Say your piece. We love it.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm not. I'm I bet it the wavering is more just, I don't get why there's so many professionals going the other side taking this commanders team”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'll bet it again with you. Like, I love this number. I love this spot. I'll put in the contest, and it's really about Mahomes and this Chiefs team.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Yeah. I got I got I got it at minus three. So, yeah, I still show value here.”
LV 20, CLE 16 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“You got him under three. If you have him under a field goal, he's twenty three and seven against the spread in his career. So I just blindly gotta keep betting this spot.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Yeah. I bet it too. And I think it's just a little professional money came, and it took the Giants, especially on the money line.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I definitely bet it. Like, Tampa's on one of my five. It is.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm trying not to let you influence me with your love for it as well because, you know, these early lines we get on it, like, I already bet them a minus one.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Simon says grab the plus two people. Indy plus two. Know what? I didn't even realize this was gonna be it until I saw it.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
“you can see me and Chad are getting sucked in here, but it for good reason. We like this Arizona team that bounced back after that loss of the lines.”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Arizona Cardinals margin -28 vs line -3.5; busts.
“But I do really love the charges in this spot. Divisional game at plus eight.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +8; covers.
“Honestly, I bet it just because I bet it before the games today just in case Jordan Love did come back. That's what I'm thinking. Yeah. So I I like that too for early bet.”
GB 29, MIN 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“So I wanna grab it now. I would grab it now just because I do think professional money will keep coming down.”
MIN 34, HOU 7 — Minnesota Vikings margin +27 vs line +2; covers.
“I saw the line got to two and a half, and it was a two and a half minus one fifteen. So I was nervous the line was gonna go back up to three, and so I rushed to bet the two and a half.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I like where you're at coming with a six and a half, Chad. I I could see this being one of our five.”
CLE 15, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So we've done it. It's happening. Atlanta's in. Lock it in. Lock it in.”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm so in on the Jaguars. I don't need to be allowed.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -37 vs line +5; busts.
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +107 · CLV 0¢ won
“Our week three boosted underdog parlay in deference to my BFF Simon Hunter. We are going with the Arizona cardinals and the Minnesota Vikings.”
Parlay busts: Arizona Cardinals ML — lost; Minnesota Vikings ML — won.
“For me, what I'm personally doing, if you hadn't used it yet, I am going Cincy. If you had used them, I'm gonna go 40 niners.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm gonna go 40 niners. Like, the 40 niners against this Rams team. This Rams team might be shutting it down pretty soon.”
LAR 27, SF 24 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“Keep it simple, stupid. I'm a go, Lamar, Ravens. I I just can't see them start over three, so I'm gonna take the minus one.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“Well, I'm gonna make this Simon Says just in case it does. My god. Simon Says plus three and a half for Atlanta. Give it to me.”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Yeah. I gotta bet the Jacks, and I'm making them my exact decision.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -37 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I did bet it. Like I just showed you, I bet it, but it's I didn't know if you wanna make it your Simon Says.”
PIT 20, LAC 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But as you sit here right now, I bet Dallas I like Dallas. That's probably gonna be a team I'll be on in this matchup.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“So I'll I'll take the plus three with Arizona here.”
ARI 13, DET 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm grabbing Tennessee now minus two against Green Bay. Grabbing the saints right now plus two and a half against the eagles.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -2; busts.
“So I'm gonna grab the two and a half just in case the Eagles do somehow lose this game and this this number does drop down to a pick.”
NO 12, PHI 15 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“And I I gotta do it, man. I gotta grab the raiders minus seven against the panthers.”
LV 22, CAR 36 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -7; busts.
“Right there with you, Chad. Love Dallas.”
DAL 19, NO 44 — Dallas Cowboys margin -25 vs line -6; busts.
“So you're betting the Jets? I bet them. I took them in my minus three and a half. Once I got to three and a half, was like, alright. I'll I'll take this number here.”
TEN 17, NYJ 24 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So I I think we're getting really good value, Chad. I I I make this number seven. The fact that it's down to five and a half crossing that key number of six.”
MIN 23, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -6 vs line -5.5; busts.
“So, me and Chad are taking this on the show at two and a half. You can grab it if you want.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“if this is four and a half in our contest, maybe we don't play it. But if it's five and a half or maybe it goes up to six again, we can get that six and a half. I I'd feel so comfortable taking it at that number.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“I have a large position on seven, seven and a half.”
DET 16, TB 20 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I'm still gonna take Denver. The the public perception, though, that, you know, this Pittsburgh team, they're gonna be able to travel this defense.”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“but I'm going to give them out my money line around Rob,”
CAR 3, LAC 26 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“So it's just like, OK, I'll take Penix then 80 to one and I'll take their under.”
Jayden Daniels won 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year; Michael Penix Jr. did not. (Daniels took 49 of 50 first-place votes.)
“as long as it's two or down to one and a half, I like Miami at that number.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -21 vs line -2; busts.
“Because right now, I have bet it at minus three and a half”
TEN 17, NYJ 24 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“grab grab the three now if you wanna be on the chalky side and take Seattle.”
NE 20, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“Maybe he can try to get me on the other side, but right now, I'm pretty dug in on the Jaguars.”
JAX 13, CLE 18 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -5 vs line -3; busts.
“But, yes, Simon says on the Bengals, I bet at plus six. You're betting at plus six. We're all betting at plus six.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“It's probably gonna my Simon Says bet. I already took the six and a half. It's down to six. I'll take the six as well.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“Yeah. I grabbed Colts minus three right now just in case it is Malik Willis.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Did throw a little bit on Houston right now while it's under seven just because I do think that number's gonna go up.”
HOU 19, CHI 13 — Houston Texans margin +6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I started betting them when they were at six. It's, about five and a half. I've taken them at four and a half.”
NO 47, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“I would say the Colts and the Jets, I've just put the most in.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I probably will have a lot more on this lines team. As as the week go along, I've just really loved them”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm I bet it at 4 and a half. Now it's back up to 4 and a half. I still live at 4 and a half.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — New York Jets margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm gonna go with the homework pick and take the Eagles at minus two and a half.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“but I like the bears here. Like, to me, this isn't a position to fade them.”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I have flipped on Detroit. They're one of my favorite favorite picks.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like the Jets. I like them at four and a half.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — New York Jets margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“It was plus 400 for them to have the best best rec best record most wins, I should say.”
The NFC West combined for 34 wins; the NFC North led all divisions with 45 combined wins.
“the fact that I can still get the Eagles on minus one twenty five at bet $3.06 5,”
The Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3.
“So the boring bet, I know, but chiefs winning the Super Bowl. That's where I'm going, Chad.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22.
“Who we betting? Obviously, you know where I'm going. West Virginia money line against Penn State. I think they're up to, what, eight and a half as a dog.”
WVU 12, PSU 34 — West Virginia Mountaineers lost; moneyline busts.
“That's how I feel about the cardinals here. Like, this is the team that I I'm betting them 13 to one to win this division.”
The Cardinals went 8-9 and did not win the NFC West; the Rams took it at 10-7.
“I mean, I have I I definitely have three times the amount on the Chiefs to win this division. Like, that's definitely my biggest bet.”
The Chiefs won the AFC West at a league-best 15-2.
“Chiefs five to one win the Super Bowl.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22.
“Max Crosby plus 700 to win defensive player of the year. I love that bet.”
Maxx Crosby did not win DPOY; Broncos CB Pat Surtain II won the 2024 award.
“This team, I've taken a large position on them to be the worst in this division, actually.”
The Chargers went 11-6 and finished second in the AFC West; the Raiders (4-13) were last.
“you can do that if you don't like taking the 15 to one. But I have no issue taking the 15 to one, but I did Chad's, but I took them four to one against the Chiefs.”
The Eagles won Super Bowl LIX, beating the Chiefs 40-22.
“Eagles Chiefs matchup Super Bowl, I got it at 40 to one. So if if you wanna do something fun like that, you can do that if you don't like taking the 15 to one.”
Super Bowl LIX was exactly Eagles vs. Chiefs, so the matchup bet hit.
“I I put another bet on them against the Bengals. I think it was 55 to one, Eagles, Bengals. So that that's a fun way to bet that stuff if you want longer odds.”
The Bengals missed the playoffs (9-8), so the Eagles-Bengals Super Bowl matchup did not happen.
“If you listen earlier, I like the Chiefs. Obviously, I'm betting on the three peat. I love to bet on history.”
The Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 40-22, so the three-peat bet lost.
“So, again, not one of my bigger bets. Like, my biggest bet still bangles to win this division”
The Bengals went 9-8 and finished third in the AFC North behind the Ravens (12-5) and Steelers, so they did not win the division.
“It's plus one twenty if you wanna take the over, minus one fifty to the under. I'm gonna take the under.”
The Steelers finished 10-7, clearing the 8.5-win number, so the under lost.
“The over 10 and a half, I'll take it. Like, it's minus one thirty, so it's got a little bit of juice to it, but I have no mind paying them.”
The Lions went 15-2, easily clearing the 10.5 win total on the over.
“I even though it's at a it's at a minus one fifty, minus $1.45 right now, the under. 9 and a half for an under for this team at that price, I'm willing to eat the vig and the juice on that just because, again, it opened at 7 and a half, and it's gone up two games just on hype.”
The Bears went 5-12, staying well under the 9.5 win total.
“Six and a half six and a half wins is what the books are hanging out right now. So this is an under I've just been hitting heavy.”
The Vikings went 14-3, blowing past the 6.5 win total and busting the under.
“Hold your nose, people. It's a gross one, but divisional odds at this number, gotta take it over four and a half wins. You gotta take it.”
The Panthers went 5-12, clearing the 4.5 win total on the over.
“we're in on the cult to plus three ten to win our division.”
The Texans (10-7) won the AFC South; the Colts finished 8-9 in second place.
“week one, me and Chad have bet the colts at home against Houston.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts lost; moneyline busts.
“We might wanna bet the Tennessee titans plus 800 plus 900 to have the worst”
The Titans finished 3-14 with the NFL's worst record, earning the No. 1 overall pick.
“I'm gonna go lions even though it's not a great price just because I don't need to face my homes.”
The Lions lost to Washington 45-31 in the divisional round; the Eagles won Super Bowl LIX.
“We gotta we gotta ride that second trend. Right? Take them next week if if we Yeah. Got I bet it at one and a half.”
IND 27, HOU 29 — Indianapolis Colts margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So I'm I'm into Baltimore here, especially if I can get maybe three, maybe three and a half, but feels good.”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Because me and Chad, we're on the three and a half already of the Rams, but luckily, McVeigh plays pretty well.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm gonna bet them to win in six. So four two series price, you can get that at plus, you know, 1,000 plus 1,200”
Boston beat Dallas 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals, so the Mavericks-in-6 bet lost.
“I can bet them plus one twenty, plus one thirty to the under nine and a half.”
The Packers went 11-6, going over the 9.5 win total and busting the under.
“So, yeah, Eagles team over 10 and a half, [25:57] them to win the East.”
The Eagles won the NFC East with a 14-3 record.
“You don't have to do it, but I bet them to miss the playoffs. I'm not saying it's one of my favorite bets, but there's a couple books out there, $2.75,”
Ravens went 12-5, won the AFC North and made the playoffs, so 'miss the playoffs' lost.
“So if you're if you're looking for my favorite bet division wise, it's the chiefs. Like, they're far above the best team, the most complete team in this division.”
Chiefs went 15-2 and won the AFC West.
“You wanna bet them to win the division right now plus three twenty at bet $3.06 5.”
The Texans (10-7) won the AFC South; the Colts finished 8-9 in second place.
“But I believe right now, Daniels is the better prospect, and he deserves to be the number two pick. And I put money behind”
Jayden Daniels was drafted No. 2 overall by Washington in the 2024 NFL Draft.
“I like the JJ over five and a half in his draft position, Chad, and it is plus 100.”
J.J. McCarthy was drafted No. 10 overall, over the 5.5 draft-position line.
“Five and a half QBs over [21:14] in round one plus 200.”
Six quarterbacks were taken in Round 1 (Williams, Daniels, Maye, Penix, McCarthy, Nix), clearing the over 5.5.
“Six plus trades in round one [30:40] at plus one thirty.”
Only five trades occurred in Round 1 of the 2024 draft, short of the 6-plus needed.
“Joel, one of the best offensive linemen greater in the draft, over seven and a half at plus 300.”
Joe Alt was drafted No. 5 overall (under the 7.5 line), so the over lost.
“If you want my chalk bet right now, I'm just blindly taking the Eagles.”
Eagles went 14-3 and won the NFC East.
“I did make that bet.”
Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) won Best Supporting Actor at the 2024 Oscars, so the Ryan Gosling bet lost.
“take a piece of it. Yeah. I bet it's like I'm already there with you where I bet it”
Jayden Daniels was drafted No. 2 overall by the Washington Commanders in the 2024 NFL Draft.
“Whenever they open up the division odds finally, I'm definitely my first bets I'll make is the Bengals to win the North.”
Ravens (12-5) won the AFC North; Bengals finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs.
“And that's why me and Chad are putting money on the New York Giants. It's disgusting to say, but there is a window where this team could win this division.”
Giants went 3-14 and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I bet Atlanta Super Bowl future because”
Falcons went 8-9, missed the playoffs, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“My first bet I made, Giants at a 125 to one on bet three six five.”
Giants went 3-14 and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22).
“we're gonna start with the Giants. They're my longest one. Next up is Pittsburgh.”
Steelers went 10-7, lost in the Wild Card Round, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I just like the value there on Baker.”
Buccaneers went 10-7, lost in the Wild Card Round, and did not win Super Bowl LIX (Eagles did).
“I love betting the second half as being the most points. Like, I just I just find it time and time again.”
Super Bowl LVIII was 10-0 at halftime then had 34 points after the break (incl. OT), so the second half had the most points.
“So, Pacheco, that's another player prop I like, his over rushing yards.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Isiah Pacheco: 59 rushing_yards vs over 65.5; busts. (Isiah Pacheco: 59 rushing_yards)
“One other one that I like is Pacheco to lead the game in rushing, which you might be able to get at better numbers.”
Christian McCaffrey led all rushers in Super Bowl LVIII with 80 yards on 22 carries; Isiah Pacheco had 59 rushing yards, so Pacheco did not lead the game in rushing. (McCaffrey 80 rush yds vs Pacheco 59 rush yds)
“I let it ride. I mean, we we we talk all the time. Let it ride. You're betting Super Bowl. You're betting what you believe is the game script.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“his numbers are even juiced up to minus one twenty. I believe it's over 58 and a half receiving yards now. Still love it.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards vs over 58.5; busts. (Deebo Samuel: 33 receiving_yards)
“So it's crazy, but Sam Darnard right now is 200 to one. So I'm gonna throw a little bit on that.”
Sam Darnold's 49ers lost Super Bowl LVIII and Mahomes won MVP; Darnold (backup) did not win it.
“Obviously, the boring chalk bet is gonna be Mahomes, so I'm staying away from that. I get it if you wanna play that, but I like long shots. So my second big long shot is Fred Warner.”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVIII MVP, not 49ers LB Fred Warner.
“What are the chiefs minus two and a half? That's the one I like. You yeah. That's a that is a fun bet. I'm seeing plus one fifty and plus one forty.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I just love the under, and there's a bunch of different reasons. The biggest one would just be what Chad talked about where, I believe not only will the chiefs defense get stops”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“but we gotta I gotta play Mahomes here. I gotta play Mahomes as a dog.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm gonna love the chiefs here in this spot just because of everything we talked about.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll definitely be on the under. Hoping if it a lot of books are 49. That'd be amazing to get to 50, but I'm happy to take the under at 49.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“Chad likes San Francisco minus seven. That's his exact decision. Simon likes Baltimore minus three and a half, and Baltimore minus three and a half is going to be our big balls bet of the week.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“For me, Chad, if I if I have to do a money line on Robin, I know ours ours is gonna be different. I'm I'm all in on this Lions team. I'm drinking the Kool Aid.”
SF 34, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +280 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -220 · CLV 0¢ lost
“So give me the Lions money line with the Ravens money line paired up.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost.
“We're hoping people would look around for a three. It got there for about twenty four hours. Now it's back at three and a half. You're still there? Yeah. Still there.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I'm gonna take the free points of value and take the seven.”
SF 34, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“That's why I want you to throw a little on the money line just because if you play this spot long term, it's it's a nice trend so far.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“if you're wondering what me and Chad are liking our total in that game, it's it's the under. We like the unders. We play wind unders here.”
Ravens beat Texans 34-10 (total 44); the closing total (hammered down by wind bettors) was 43.5, so the Over hit by half a point and this Under lost. (BAL 34, HOU 10 — combined 44 pts vs 43.5 closing total)
“But the bucks plus six and a half will be our foxhole.”
DET 31, TB 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“yeah, the more we talk about, the more I feel like it is a good bet. And it also feels like you should go grab that nine and a half.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I'm gonna make the bills my Simon says, Chad.”
BUF 24, KC 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“We know this number is too big. Let's not overthink it. We gotta just take the Houston plus nine.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9; busts.
“I'm gonna ride out of Houston a 100 to one.”
Texans were eliminated in the 2023 Divisional Round (lost 34-10 at Baltimore) and never reached Super Bowl LVIII.
“from my perspective with the Rams, nothing's changed here, honestly. Like, I still love them at plus three. Still love their money. I still think they have a great chance to win this game.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“We both like the Texans. We're gonna have to wait again. I wish it was a plus three so we can make the foxhole.”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Houston Texans margin +31 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I feel really confident taking the seven and a half, Chip.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I just love the Rams in this spot so much.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like it at 44, though. I'm with you. Like, I've already bet this a couple times now because I kept thinking what you just said.”
KC 26, MIA 7 — Combined 33; under 44 covers.
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -550 · CLV 0¢ won
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -238 · CLV -2¢ won
“So if people wanna follow my bet that I did just taking the money line of the Bills and the Chiefs, put it together, it's, I think, minus one thirty five.”
Parlay cashes: Buffalo Bills ML — won; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won.
“So, yeah, 50 to one, give me the Rams.”
Rams lost the 2023 NFC Wild Card 24-23 at Detroit and never reached Super Bowl LVIII, which the Chiefs won.
“It's Chad's exact decision, so I'll back my guy. But I am scared.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -10; covers.
“so I'll take the over right now at 36 and a half.”
BUF 31, PIT 17 — Combined 48; over 36.5 covers.
“Simon says take the rams plus three. Simon says”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But, yeah, it's seven and a half. I like I like Green Bay at this number, people.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I got it back, this Eagles. So, I'm gonna I'm gonna grab it now just in case it does keep going up. I'll grab the three in case news comes out that Baker's really banged up.”
TB 32, PHI 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“we we need it. I I need Buffalo bad. Like, I I can't tell you people how much money I will be down to if Buffalo can't come through in this game.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“man, I can't believe I'm doing it because it's so chalky, but, I do. I love the Bills in this spot.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm on this this titans team at the five and a half. It'll be in the final five. It just has to be.”
TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I think the three is is is too good of a number to pass on. So, yeah, if it's if I was gonna be one of my five bigger bets,”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“you kinda gotta hold your nose here and take the three and a half and just bet on the teams trying to play spoiler.”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I liked it at five and a half. I still like it at four and a half.”
CAR 0, TB 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -9 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Come on. Like, we gotta take Daley here. We're gonna play them in the contest as well. It's still five and a half. I've seen it in couple books.”
NE 3, NYJ 17 — New York Jets margin +14 vs line +5; covers.
“Well so I'm I'm heavy on the charters. I'm heavy into the Bengals. Like, I bet both these ones,”
LAC 12, KC 13 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm heavy into the Bengals. Like, I bet both these ones,”
CIN 31, CLE 14 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
“I will make this Simon Says. Oh, boy. Simon Says. Oh, boy. When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says.”
TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So I'm gonna back this bears team at plus three in a game that should be closer to a pick rather than plus three. I'm with Chad on his exact decision.”
GB 17, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“So just be careful here. I'm I'm betting Minnesota. I bet them at three.”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“have to back the falcons a plus three. You know we have to. You're so right. We do.”
NO 48, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“betting wise and what I'm looking at, I'm I'm betting the bills here. I like the bills in this spot.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I still would take Giants at five and a half.”
NYG 25, LAR 26 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“You love this game. Alright. We'll put in the foxhole, Carolina. You're going in the foxhole with Carolina.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I would still take it at eleven if you would take the Arizona.”
PHI 31, ARI 35 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +11; covers.
“you bet this spot on the Giants long term. This is a 60% winner.”
NYG 25, LAR 26 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +6; covers.
“No. You gotta you gotta take Colts here. Don't even think about it.”
IND 23, LV 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'll take I'll take the panthers plus seven.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +7; busts.
“I'll take the value there. It's just trusting the number and trusting this Panther's d and,”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I can be convinced in Atlanta. Like, you already know I bet Atlanta. I like Atlanta.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line -1; covers.
“I would do it. Big balls”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Kyler Murray, fifteen five and two against the spread on the road.”
CHI 27, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“You just take the Ravens and live with the results.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“no doubt we're gonna bet it. Go grab it too if you can still find it out there, two and a half.”
PIT 34, CIN 11 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +23 vs line +2.5; covers.
“It's just Carolina at home too. I told you, John, I'm a sucker to this team at home.”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“I put a little bet now just at 2 and a half just in case he does come back and all of sudden this balloon's up to three and a half, four.”
HOU 22, CLE 36 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“That's what I got it at, falcons plus two and a half.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So two and a half, give me Tennessee.”
TEN 17, SEA 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'll take the free point of value, and I'll take Arizona here.”
CHI 27, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -11 vs line +4; busts.
“I'll take the points. I'll take the five and a half.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'll I'll grab the plus 14, but wouldn't be shocked if this goes up some more”
LAC 22, BUF 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line +14; covers.
“And, like, that was my first bet I made. It was 2 and a half. I took the 2”
MIA 22, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -2 vs line +2; pushes.
“Love Houston. Grabbing the two now”
HOU 22, CLE 36 — Houston Texans margin -14 vs line -2; busts.
“So I'll grab the plus two just now just in case it does move down”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line +2; covers.
“I like it. I just I like this spot for Tennessee.”
TEN 16, HOU 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I gotta I I bet the I bet the Bucks at three and a half.”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I feel like it takes balls to fade. I'm a a crying Mahomes after, like, this guy has just been raging all week.”
NE 17, KC 27 — New England Patriots margin -10 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Like, have heavily bet it.”
IND 30, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +2; busts.
“yeah, my chalkiest bet this week is definitely the Ravens, but,”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“Bills minus two and a half, Bills to win the division plus three ten. Josh Allen, MVP, 20 to one. Love it.”
Buffalo won the AFC East at 11-6, clinching with a Week 18 win over Miami.
“Bills minus two and a half, Bills to win the division plus three ten. Josh Allen, MVP, 20 to one. Love it.”
Lamar Jackson won MVP; Allen received no first-place votes in the final tally.
“but I'd grab the three and a half now just in case it does disappear to the three. So,”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“don't know if this will be one of our five, but I am on Baltimore right now.”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“But I'm gonna grab it just in case they finally have a closed game against the Giants.”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“You know? I'm I'm grabbing it. You are? Yeah. I do I have to. Just the Trevor Lawrence,”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line -3; covers.
“yeah, I just couldn't avoid it. It pains me to say, but I am on Dallas this week. Well, look. Schematically, two things. One,”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.
“and the chiefs, those are ones I really, like, bet a lot on.”
ATL 25, TB 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“You might as well grab the five and a half like I am right now just in case it does drop back down to five, four and a half.”
NO 28, CAR 6 — Carolina Panthers margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.
“yeah, I'm seeing one book still with Bangla's plus one and a half. So I'll I'll grab that. I'll throw in a teaser.”
CIN 34, IND 14 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +20 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But at minus three, minus two and a half, like, I I bet pretty heavy Sunday night into Monday morning on Dallas.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“but this is a game I had bet right now. I do like the six and a half. I'd probably take it down to five and a half, but once it hits that number, I'd stop.”
NYG 24, GB 22 — New York Giants margin +2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“this is his classic situation of I'm gonna take Dallas at minus two and a half, take him at the three.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line -2.5; covers.
“definitely gonna text a runner to go grab me that seven and a half right now.”
BAL 37, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“but I'm in on it. I've taken the number. Like most, I was hoping I was gonna get to 10.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm with you. Fucking love the titans here. Me too. Love the titans.”
TEN 28, IND 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“if I had to pick the one I feel the best about and value wise, I'll do the Rams.”
NE 0, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“So I'll do the Rams for one, and then I'll do Pittsburgh for the other one. So Tomlin's not great at covering in these spots, but I do feel like he usually wins in these kind of spots.”
PIT 10, ARI 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“Simon says take the Washington commanders.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I gotta take the six. I I don't care if it's the worst team of football. I I can't back the chargers getting more than six. This is a broken team.”
NE 0, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6; covers.
“was that one of the bigger bets I've made since I've gotten back in Jersey. Like, got off the airplane and went right to the book, made a couple big bets, and one of them was Tennessee.”
TEN 28, IND 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I bet it. I take it. I've already bet this. Again, for a little amounts,”
PHI 19, SF 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“Commanders plus nine. I'm sorry, people. Me and Chatter, like, there's a 99% chance we're gonna be on that.”
WSH 15, MIA 45 — Washington Commanders margin -30 vs line +9; busts.
“Green Bay packers at home against the chiefs, plus seven right now, already grabbing it. Gotta do it.”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +7; covers.
“super chalky. Just grabbing it right now before it disappears. Is that Detroit minus three minus three and a half, if you can find it? I just think it's gonna go up.”
NO 28, DET 33 — Detroit Lions margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll do that Giants number. I do think it comes down to three. So grab the three and a half if you can.”
NYG 10, NE 7 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the lines here, especially at seven and a half. I don't I don't mind that number at all.”
DET 22, GB 29 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -7.5; busts.
“yeah, I'm gonna have a lot more money on the seahawks at that seven. It's just too big of a number for a divisional game.”
SEA 13, SF 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“like, that's the only game we've really gone in on. Yeah. I don't think we've missed anything”
IND 27, TB 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Hopefully, Evan saved my life with that stat about the panthers. I'm gonna go with Minnesota,”
MIN 10, CHI 12 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“yeah, still feel the same. Feeling good about Denver. Like, the number, like, their defense in this spot against Dobbs.”
DEN 21, MIN 20 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm just gonna bet this now because the six is still available at a couple books. Couple books are showing actually lower numbers, so shop around.”
SEA 13, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -6; covers.
“I like Pittsburgh. That's that's a that's a that's a nice number to get them as a dog right now. They're plus plus one, plus one and a half. I grabbed that number right when it opened.”
CIN 10, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“it's three and a half against Mac Jones. I mean, who the hell is Mac Jones? We catch a three and a half against anyone. So I'll take that number.”
NYG 10, NE 7 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm in all Miami. I've been betting Miami, you know, since Sunday night, and now that number is all the up to 13 and a half. And I I I'm gonna still throw a little on there.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -13.5; busts.
“Not for me. I still love Pittsburgh. Yeah. Yeah.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“This will be one of my five biggest bets. And, yeah, I'm gonna be an absolute sucker betting against CJ here at home, but I gotta do it.”
HOU 21, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -5 vs line +5; pushes.
“I'm on the eagles. I'm taking the three. I'm happy to take it, but you just we talked about, like, this Mahomes spot has not been good to us”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“We we gotta do it. We gotta take the jacks.”
JAX 34, TEN 14 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“It's three and a half. I'm on the Ravens then. So it's it's nothing crazy. I mean, don't have to think too much into it. It's a simple fact of it's a short week.”
BAL 34, CIN 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm grab grab Miami now that it's it's under 13. Simon Says Miami minus 12.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -12; busts.
“grab the four, grab the three and a half.”
HOU 21, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“It's plus four in bet three six five. Well, there you go. I'm grabbing it.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“Jacks Jacksonville plus three is the foxhole.”
JAX 3, SF 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“The big ball's bet of the week is the New York Jets plus one.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -32 vs line +1; busts.
“Simon says Cincinnati minus six and a five six and a half.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Have a way too much money I I care to omit on New Orleans at minus two and a half.”
MIN 27, NO 19 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“You gotta do it, people. What are you saving Dallas for? You have to use them this week if you still got them.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“I have to just do it. I have to take it all. I have to take the under, and it's just a”
CHI 16, CAR 13 — Combined 29; under 40 covers.
“you have to grab the three. Like, if you listen to the show, you know how much we love home dogs. You gotta do it. You gotta grab the plus three here.”
JAX 3, SF 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm gonna go with the Bengals, and I'll back them at six and a half here. You know what? Simon says six and a half Bengals.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm with everyone. It's such a fun story, but I need to, like, be the professional gamer I am and take the value here. The value is the saints.”
MIN 27, NO 19 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Simon and I are both on Cincinnati”
CIN 24, BUF 18 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're on the Jets plus three and a half. We just said it. Big ball's better than week.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I just actually end up putting a little bit more on it at the minus one and a half. And Good for you. Yeah. I'm just gonna trust Mahomes.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm dug in. I've already bet this heavily at the three with New England. I haven't let the 3 and a half scare me off.”
NE 17, WSH 20 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Well, look. I already bet the Bucks at two and a half. I'm not afraid of this one.”
HOU 39, TB 37 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“definitely like Cleveland this spot.”
CLE 27, ARI 0 — Cleveland Browns margin +27 vs line -7.5; covers.
“And I I love the two and a half. I think it's such a key number.”
CAR 13, IND 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I just I cannot be talked out of the Bengals here. I just love the Bengals, and I love this number.”
CIN 24, BUF 18 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“Most of my money right now is bet on the jets at three and a half, and the panthers are plus three, and I I hate this week.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm taking a two and half because I know the pros are gonna come in on the panthers.”
CAR 13, IND 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“this was gonna be what Simon says, but, like, luckily, it stayed at three. Go go grab the jets.”
NYJ 6, LAC 27 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +3; busts.
“We we play this spot. We totally love the Chiefs. We're gonna be on the Chiefs.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'll I'll bet Cleveland already took the seven and a half. I'll bet the eight.”
CLE 27, ARI 0 — Cleveland Browns margin +27 vs line -8; covers.
“I'm on the chargers and the under, but not”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“We have to play we have to play him this spot.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Big balls, Washington plus six and a half.”
WSH 31, PHI 38 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Simon says New York Giants plus three”
NYG 10, NYJ 13 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I took the three. I've taken the two and a half on Pittsburgh. I mean, we don't have a choice.”
PIT 10, JAX 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“We gotta we gotta use the chargers here. This is this is a huge number”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“I have a pretty big position right now in Houston that I'm Like, really nervous about”
CAR 15, HOU 13 — Houston Texans margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“I already threw someone on rams at seven. I mean, that just got that was way too high when it went up to seven.”
DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“Simon says Simon says giants, go grab the three right now.”
NYG 10, NYJ 13 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I've definitely placed a a decent amount on the eight and a half right now.”
ARI 24, BAL 31 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“this number should be six and a half, seven. It's eight and a half right now, and it's one of the first bets I made. I just didn't bring it up because I was waiting for Chad to say it, but I'm on Denver.”
DEN 24, KC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +8.5; covers.
“would still put them in our contest of two and a half, Chad.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We're gonna bet on this Atlanta, Tampa Bay game.”
TB 13, ATL 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“This is a good right spot for the seahawks at home against Arizona divisional game. Give me the seahawks, Chad, for a survivor.”
SEA 20, ARI 10 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“You gotta grab it. We grabbed it at one and a half. While we were talking on the show, it started moving.”
NO 24, JAX 31 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I've been betting this number, whatever, since our show Sunday night. Been taking the threes, three and a halfs, whatever I could get on this Bears team.”
CHI 30, LV 12 — Chicago Bears margin +18 vs line +3.5; covers.
“it's a big number for the Seahawks team here, but I gotta take some chalk, and this is this is one of the teams I'm gonna take here for the chalk. I'll take seahawks minus eight at home.”
SEA 20, ARI 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -8; covers.
“Gotta do it. Gotta gotta take the broncos.”
DEN 19, GB 17 — Denver Broncos margin +2 vs line +1; covers.
“as you're talking about it, I'm firing away on the Eagles minus one and a half wherever I can find it.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -1.5; covers.
“right when me and tag you off this call, I'm gonna throw some on the six and a half. That's just a good number for 49ers team”
MIN 22, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Our Simon says, the LA chargers, plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'll take the titans here at plus four and a half. Yeah. We're gonna be on the titans.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love this matchup so much for the saints defense.”
HOU 20, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I love this number on the Bengals. Like, you're you're telling me that Joe Burrow,”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I have a decent amount now in the bears.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“because we're confident in Gardner Minshew, and we're confident in sort of the Colts as a team versus the Jags as a team right now.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm gonna take that value on Washington.”
ATL 16, WSH 24 — Washington Commanders margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I'll take the value on the Vikings. Alright. So I bet the bears plus three,”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“Already had bet it. Like Chad said, bet the five and a half, bet five yesterday. I'll bet the four and a half again today.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Simon Says if you can find it, go grab the two and a half on this chargers team right now plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'll I'll I'll take the take the home favorite here at minus two.”
LV 17, GB 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“I don't get it. I totally don't get it. Grab it. Grab it. But, yeah, I'm hitting it right now.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +4; busts.
“No. I grabbed indie at five. It's it's running. It's already four and a half, four at some books. So it's just another number I'm gonna grab now.”
JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“The only other bet I made so far is Tampa Bay Bucks. They're plus three right now against the lines.”
TB 6, DET 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“we're getting such a good number here against a Tennessee team that is crazy overvalued right now.”
IND 23, TEN 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“did the falcons run game this week. You and I like the falcons at minus two against Houston.”
ATL 21, HOU 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2; pushes.
“Atlanta is going to be a big bet for me this week. I'm all over this number.”
ATL 21, HOU 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So I'm grabbing the two and a half now. I think you all should just in case Jimmy g gets cleared and the summer does come down. But even if it's O'Connell, I like what I saw from the kids.”
LV 17, GB 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Simon and I liked it at ten. We liked it at nine and a half in the contest.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Simon, also tell people what player prop you're thinking about. Took Mahomes underpassing prop. So I think it was two seventy two.”
Patrick Mahomes threw for 203 yards in the Chiefs' 23-20 win over the Jets on Sunday Night Football (Week 4), comfortably under 272.5. Note: the batch's event field mislabels this as 'Jets at Broncos' but the real matchup was Chiefs at Jets, which is the game that fits Mahomes, the date, and the manual-review flag. (Patrick Mahomes: 18/30, 203 yds, 1 TD (Chiefs 23, Jets 20))
“I'm I'm grabbing the minus three and a half right now. Minus three if you can find it on this forty niners team. It's just a great number, a great spot.”
SF 42, DAL 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +32 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Yeah. I got end up kinda getting bullied and dicking the Seahawks. A really sharp group came in on them. They've moved the number.”
NYG 3, SEA 24 — Seattle Seahawks margin +21 vs line -1; covers.
“That's why we grabbed the six. It still doesn't really matter to me. Like, I'm just I'm just fading this chargers defense that I don't think they can stop anybody.”
LAC 24, LV 17 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Like, me and you hit the 10, I've grabbed some nine and a half just in case it does drop drop even more in a few books, but I'm with you. I do think I'll get back to 10.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“that Tennessee game I put is it weird? Is I put $50,000 on it, and it's weird to me. You know, the books call to negotiate, and I was like, listen. I'm not going any higher than two and a half.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm gonna trust it, Chad. We're gonna have this one in the contest minus two and a half. Give me the bills.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I love the Rams. I love them again here. It's just they're gonna just keep being undervalued by the books.”
IND 23, LAR 29 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Let's just take the 40 niners, Chad. There's no no way they lose to Arizona, and this feels like their easiest game of the season at home against the cardinals after the cardinals just won.”
SF 35, ARI 16 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
“I've already bet this a bunch. This is going to be one of our bets on Sunday. Like, there's a lot of stupid things I did last week. This will not be one that I'll miss.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Should I make it Simon Says then? Should we are we telling people they gotta grab it right now? Yeah. You gotta grab it. Make it a Simon Says. Says, Bills.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“You always take Green Bay at home as a dog in this spot. If you're scared of the number, there's a bunch of one and a halfs out there.”
GB 20, DET 34 — Green Bay Packers margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
“you you have to take the bears here. They're o and three ATS, o and three on the season. This is a great number.”
CHI 28, DEN 31 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But three and a half, give it to me every time. I love this number. Bet it bet it all day yesterday. Bet it all today.”
CAR 13, MIN 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I still love the Raiders at plus six in the spot.”
LAC 24, LV 17 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“Yeah. I've seen there's a book right now. There's a 10. Like, I I I sent a runner to go about it as we're doing this show. So, yeah, I'm gonna grab the 10.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“And the Saints team, I I already threw some on the minus three. I can see it going up to minus three and a half, minus four if if Carr does get cleared.”
NO 9, TB 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“If people are looking for what favorites I have bet so far, I took the rams. They were minus one against this cold steam.”
IND 23, LAR 29 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“So I'm just gonna throw a little on the saints minus three just in case Tampa, if they do get blown out by this eagles team, I could see this number getting up to four.”
NO 9, TB 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“I like the under. Chris likes the under. Primetime unders are you know, historically, they're they're they're good to take. So that that's one of those numbers where I know it's come down from 44 and a half to 43 and a half. I still think that's a nice number.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Combined 41; under 43.5 covers.
“I got it at two and a half. We talked about it. We love Bill Belichick in this spot.”
NYJ 10, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Every time I bet it at three, I still felt sick. Now it's minus three and a half, and it's like, I still gotta bet this. This is just a sick, sick bet.”
CLE 27, TEN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +24 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Yeah. Still like it. Still like it at four and a half.”
TB 11, PHI 25 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I think this is one of the highest highest totals of the week, 54. I threw a lid on the over, and that was really it for me on this game, Chad.”
MIN 24, LAC 28 — Combined 52; over 54 busts.
“So this is my Simon Says bet. I I wanted it at 6, the bucks. It's at 5 and a half. Damn it. So, yeah, I I still like it at 5 and a half.”
TB 11, PHI 25 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So, yeah, love Vegas. Love it at this number.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I I make I told you I made the line 10. So anything under 10, I thought you're getting good value on the Bills. And we're just betting on Josh Allen in a bounce back spot again.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -9.5; covers.
“I don't know why this isn't an automatic play for us.”
Titans beat the Chargers 27-24 in overtime (NFL Week 2), winning outright and comfortably covering +3. (Final: Tennessee Titans 27, Los Angeles Chargers 24 (OT))
“So love Houston here.”
HOU 20, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -11 vs line +1; busts.
“Of course, we're gonna bet the Jets.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I think this is gonna be our survivor pick, at least one of them.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“There's no way there's no way we couldn't take this number.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Tennessee Titans ML
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +180 · CLV 0¢
- New York Jets ML closed -215 · CLV +5¢
- Washington Commanders ML closed +165 · CLV -2¢
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed +145 · CLV +3¢
“It sucks Atlanta flip because that would have been a nice one. Yeah. I was just gonna say. Gotta go seahawks.”
Round robin busted: Titans, Seahawks, Commanders and Ravens all won straight up, but the Jets were blown out by the Cowboys 10-30, killing every combination that included the Jets leg. (Titans 27-24 (W); Seahawks 37-31 (W); Jets 10-30 (L); Commanders 35-33 (W); Ravens 27-24 (W))
“We are taking the Kansas City Chiefs this week.”
JAX 9, KC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“This is my Simon Says game. If you can grab the eight and a half, grab it right now.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -8.5; covers.
“how could you not take that minus three? It was just such a great number.”
CIN 24, BAL 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I've already bet it. I mean, I'm gonna put a lot on the three.”
Tennessee beat the LA Chargers 27-24 in overtime, winning outright as the underdog, so Titans +3 won easily. (Titans 27, Chargers 24 (OT))
“yeah, I'll have the under. I'll have Houston tees, and I'll take Houston straight in this number.”
HOU 20, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“We're betting the Rams. Yeah. No brainer. Home divisional dog, eight and a half.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Now it's down to 39 and a half, 39 in most books. Love the under in this spot.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — Combined 59; under 39.5 busts.
“So I I gotta take the number minus two and a half.”
PIT 26, CLE 22 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line -2.5; busts.
“please tell me right now, have you already bet the Tennessee titans as three point dogs Yeah. Against the Los Angeles chargers? That is a coaching mismatch.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me the seahawks, five and a half traveling to Detroit to face this Detroit team after”
DET 31, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm all in on the chargers versus eagles Super Bowl, which you can get right now at bet three six five at 50 to one.”
Neither reached the Super Bowl: the 6-11 Chargers missed the playoffs and the Eagles lost in the wild-card round.
“This this feels like another game we just have to put in. Gotta put it in.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Houston Texans plus 10.”
BAL 25, HOU 9 — Houston Texans margin -16 vs line +10; busts.
“The colts plus five and a half. We gotta love the colts. That's the foxhole,”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But in week one, this is the bet you make. You take the jets here. You take the points.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — New York Jets margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm having a hard time not wanting to bet the falcons at minus three and a half.”
ATL 24, CAR 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I bet the lions plus six and a half on Saturday. While I was making college football bets, I saw it sitting there, and I'm like, why am I waiting?”
KC 20, DET 21 — Detroit Lions margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“it feels like we have to take the Colts here.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line -5.5; busts.
“this is one of these games I have to take Arizona in the seven.”
WSH 20, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Sign me up for the Houston Texans plus 10. Simon says Houston plus 10.”
BAL 25, HOU 9 — Houston Texans margin -16 vs line +10; busts.
“So plus four, yeah, gotta take the Patriots.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“we gotta take what I think is the better quarterback and the better coach at three and a half opening night at home in prime time.”
NYG 0, DAL 40 — New York Giants margin -40 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Give me the Jets to, you know, be be the team that everyone talks about all next week and then gets totally blown out by the Cowboys the following weekend.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — New York Jets margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I went I went deep on that Justin Herbert to lead the league in total passing yards. I can't wait for that.”
Herbert missed the final weeks with a broken finger; Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL with 4,624 passing yards.
“I'm all in on the saints, Chad. Divisional odds, to me, it's it's the best number of all the teams where they're in a division where it's all these young teams that are just kinda thrown together at this point.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; New Orleans went 9-8 and missed the playoffs on tiebreaker.
“60 to one Pittsburgh, Chad. That's that's my favorite bet right now for long shots, super pods.”
Pittsburgh lost in the wild-card round to Buffalo; the Chiefs won Super Bowl LVIII.
“this cowboys team, I think that they will be the team at end of the year that will win this division.”
Dallas won the NFC East at 12-5 (tiebreaker over Philadelphia).
“The only bet I really made us seem is Tyrekiel. Once again, the lead the lead in receiving yards just because the man himself has set his goal is 2,000 yards.”
Tyreek Hill led the NFL with 1,799 receiving yards.
“We're getting plus 800, plus eight fifty in a lot of books. It's amazing. Like, it's it's amazing to me the value we're getting on this Patriots team to win this”
Buffalo won the AFC East at 11-6; New England finished 4-13 and last.
“I can't believe I'm doing it. But, yeah, if I'm going with a long shot in this division, this is the bet I would take. I would take Carolina, not the Atlanta falcons.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; Carolina finished a league-worst 2-15.
“but in reality, my big my biggest bet right now is this team to win this division.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South at 9-8; New Orleans finished 9-8 but lost the tiebreaker and missed the playoffs.
“Also love Anthony Richardson, rookie of the year.”
C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year; Richardson played only four games before a season-ending shoulder injury.
“Everyone everyone and their grandmas would be betting on the Jaguars, and me and Chad are gonna hold our nose and just take the Colts.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“yeah, I love that you're on this team, Chad. It's just [19:05] it's the pro play.”
The Ravens won the AFC North at 13-4; Cleveland finished 11-6 as a wild card.
“week one, me and Chad love them plus three at home against the 40.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“So my favorite bet right now for this this division is them at plus 400 to win this division, the over seven and a half.”
The Lions won the NFC North; Chicago finished 7-10 and last in the division.
“Denver to win this division, [18:35] plus five fifty, plus 600, plus 500, whatever you could find.”
Kansas City (11-6) won the AFC West; Denver finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
“I can't stop betting the over six and a half, and I can't stop betting their divisional future.”
The 49ers won the NFC West; the Rams finished second at 10-7.
“What a gift. One more time we get to fade Zach Wilson. So definitely going to be on the Browns. Talk to a good friend of mine who's a bookmaker in Vegas. He says right now it's all Jets money.”
CLE 21, NYJ 16 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“this is the year to do [21:49] it for atlanta so already already got my falcons future in”
Tampa Bay won the 2023 NFC South; the Falcons finished 3rd at 7-10, so the division bet lost.
“I'm all in on Anthony Richardson. He's my I already talked about I bet him for rookie of the year every week.”
Offensive Rookie of the Year went to C.J. Stroud, not Anthony Richardson.
“I want Anthony Richardson for offensive rookie of the year. I just I just love the spot he landed in. I love the colts.”
Offensive Rookie of the Year went to C.J. Stroud, not Anthony Richardson, whose season ended early due to a shoulder injury.
“And my biggest bet still was the over one and a half running backs taken. Just Gibson to me, the Alabama kid like, we already talked about it.”
Bijan Robinson (No. 8) and Jahmyr Gibbs (No. 12) were both first-round running backs, clearing the over 1.5.
“the the betting market to me, Robinson, [40:58] you still get plus one twenty at a couple books from the top 10. I still like that number.”
Bijan Robinson was drafted 8th overall to Atlanta, inside the top 10.
“my my favorite bet still, Chad, for first defender taken is still Jalen Carter. I just still see somehow [30:50] the seahawks or Detroit taking him with that that pick when they get to him.”
The first defensive player drafted was Will Anderson Jr. at No. 3, not Jalen Carter (No. 9).
“Will Anderson over three and a half, [23:43] I I couldn't bet enough on that. I really couldn't. I mean, it was one of those bets I just kept making over the weekend.”
Will Anderson Jr. was drafted 3rd overall by Houston, so the over 3.5 on his draft position lost.
“So I like to chat over one and a half running backs taking the first round. I think it was plus one ten.”
Two running backs (Bijan Robinson No. 8, Jahmyr Gibbs No. 12) went in Round 1, clearing the over 1.5.
“I mean, I can tell you that off the top of my head, I know for a fact that I bet the the Zay Flowers under. [31:47] We talked last show. I just love that bet.”
Zay Flowers was drafted 22nd overall, a late-first slot, so an 'under' on a pre-draft projection in the teens cashed.
“Robinson be a top 10 pick, Chad. Love it. I I love this pick so much.”
Bijan Robinson went 8th overall to Atlanta, inside the top 10.
“I still I still have a little bit of money on Jalen Carter to be the first defensive player to take.”
The first defensive player drafted was Will Anderson Jr. at No. 3; Jalen Carter went No. 9.
“I I can't stop doing what I keep doing, but I keep betting more money on CJ Stroud to be a top [44:16] three, top two, top one pick.”
C.J. Stroud was drafted No. 2 overall, satisfying the top-3 bet.
“You can go on bed three [8:43] three six five right now and get him at plus one twenty to be a top 10 pick.”
Bijan Robinson went 8th overall to Atlanta, comfortably inside the top 10.
“If you're still in a position like I and that you wanna fade it, once again, bet three six five. You can go on there right now. You could take CJ Stroud to be the first pick. It's plus 800.”
C.J. Stroud went No. 2 overall behind Bryce Young, so he was not the first pick.
“make a straight bet of plus 800. [22:44] CJ be the first pick. Bryce Young will be the second pick as plus a thousand.”
Bryce Young was the No. 1 overall pick, not No. 2 (C.J. Stroud went second).
“So bad read by me. Definitely gonna looking like I'm gonna take on the chin, but I'm a psycho. Like, I already bet more on CJ to be the first pick still. Kinda digging my feet in a little bit about it.”
C.J. Stroud was drafted No. 2 overall by Houston; Bryce Young went No. 1, so Stroud was not the top pick.
“I bet at 25 to 1 and 21, Zay Flowers to be the number one pick for wide receivers. [38:13] We've seen his odds go way, way up after he's had a couple workouts.”
Zay Flowers (pick 22) was not the first WR drafted; Jaxon Smith-Njigba went first at pick 20.
“but, you know, they're plus two thirty right now to make that pick in the third spot, [16:18] at FanDuel. And to me, [16:20] you know, they're a team that that makes sense in that division.”
The No. 3 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft was Will Anderson Jr. (Texans traded up to No. 3); the Titans picked 11th and did not move up to No. 3.
“at plus 200, plus 175, I would take that now in Dallas if you're looking for a nice little bet here on an NFC East team.”
Dallas won the NFC East in the 2023 season at 12-5.
“I bet Kent State plus four and a half.”
IU 71, KENT 60 — Kent State Golden Flashes margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I just feel like he a lock for it So I actually bet this one It one of the few ones I already bet that at minus one I just think he the best guy in this category of everything he overcome And they put on such an amazing performance I just love Brendan Fraser in this spot”
Brendan Fraser won Best Actor for The Whale at the 95th Academy Awards.
“I'd still grab Anthony Richardson at 10 to one,”
Carolina took Bryce Young No. 1 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft; Anthony Richardson went No. 4 to the Colts.
“But one thing I did, I gave it on the action app, was I bet Anthony Richards to be the first quarterback taken at 40 to 1.”
Bryce Young was the first QB taken (No. 1 overall) in the 2023 NFL Draft; Richardson went 4th.
“it futures time yeah with the with the Bears one and we already touched on it what two three weeks ago that we were both just loving the spot of the Bears”
The Bears did not win Super Bowl LVIII; the Chiefs beat the 49ers in OT.
“No, but I will be putting money on the Texans, people.”
The Texans did not win Super Bowl LVIII; the Chiefs won.
“technically my most money I've had bet is the over.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; over 51.5 covers.
“best bet eagles full game”
Eagles were ~1.5-point favorites but lost outright to the Chiefs 38-35, so they did not cover. (Chiefs 38, Eagles 35)
“love is the over in Mahomes interceptions. That's a fun prop to do.”
Mahomes threw zero interceptions in Super Bowl LVII, so Over 0.5 INT lost.
“Yes is over 10 to 1, so that there will be a safety in this game.”
No safety was scored in Super Bowl LVII, so 'Yes safety' lost.
“or total in the game which I believe it up to five and a half I just felt safer doing 2 at minus 150 But I trying to get a lot of plus numbers here”
Eagles recorded zero team sacks in Super Bowl LVII, so Over 2.5 sacks lost.
“I like that position of taking that over.”
Only one interception was thrown in Super Bowl LVII (Hurts), so Over 1.5 total INTs lost.
“So I just grabbing the green and yellow early now”
The Super Bowl LVII Gatorade shower was purple, not yellow/green.
“So I took my position on that at 49 and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; over 49.5 covers.
“I've made a decent amount of bets on this Eagles team.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“You can get it at a pick right now or get it at the minus one.”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“But to me, if you can still get the 46, 45 and a half, you got to grab the over.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Combined 38; over 46.5 busts.
“I still like the under Still would take a position”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Combined 43; under 46.5 covers.
“But if it doesn't get there, I got no issue betting the seven and a half.”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Love the Bills.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“but I just I have to take this eight and a half with this”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Obviously, I'm going to take the Jags' money line as well”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“if I end up betting more on the under, I would not be shocked.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Combined 47; under 52.5 covers.
“My biggest bet is going to still be the under.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Combined 31; under 46.5 covers.
“So at no point when me and Chad were taking this three and a half, am I going to be sweating this?”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“We love the Jags on the spot”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I knew going in that I was going to take them”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +31 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Simon Says, under 46.5.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Combined 31; under 46.5 covers.
“I'm going to be on the bills this week.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -4.5; busts.
“so I love the under at 50”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Combined 37; under 48.5 covers.
“I just hit it again at 13 because I worried about going 13 and a half”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -13; busts.
“I'm still in on the eight and a half, but we obviously need Huntley.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I still love the Jags and bet it again at two and a half”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“It felt too easy when I took the three.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'll be on 49ers first half. I'll be on 49ers first”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“i just take the vikings because i like them at home here”
MIN 24, NYG 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“like most people thought I'd be on the Seahawks I did too model likes 49ers and I like the 49ers”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Yeah, just been betting it since it opened. [28:46] Just been betting this one, another game we got coming up [28:49] where couldn't fight it.”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“It's just a no-brainer to take the Bills here. [36:22] hopefully you can grab a 10 I do think 10 is a key number”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“Me and Chad loaded up on the Broncos at three and a half. [10:48] That line is completely flipped. [10:50] I will take the Chargers at three.”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I go with our team Tennessee Give me plus six”
JAX 20, TEN 16 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going with the Browns, plus two and a half.”
PIT 28, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“We like the Lions at four and a half. [20:08] Yeah, we're a couple of suckers. [20:10] Regardless of the scenario, right?”
GB 16, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“This is exactly what me and Chad take the Titans and the Titans somehow pull up some miracle ups.”
JAX 20, TEN 16 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So not going to make this my Simon says, [17:08] but as we sit here right now, I've already bet the minus two and a half. [17:10] I just can't help myself.”
IND 31, HOU 32 — Indianapolis Colts margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Like me and Chad don't have a choice. [28:45] We have to take Cleveland.”
PIT 28, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I will be all over that Giants money line playing spoiler in this game. [35:48] I love it.”
MIA 11, NYJ 6 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.
“I feel like we're literally getting four points of value here just because they're playing for the one seed and Arizona's playing for nothing. [39:16] So I already bet it.”
SF 38, ARI 13 — Arizona Cardinals margin -25 vs line +14; busts.
“So I'll hear what the boys are saying, Chad, but I already bet it. [44:01] I'm in on Detroit. [44:02] As soon as they hit 4.5, I bet it.”
GB 16, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Give me Houston, Chad.”
HOU 3, JAX 31 — Houston Texans margin -28 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Simon says Vikings plus three and a half.”
GB 41, MIN 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“All right, then let's go with the Bucs at minus three.”
TB 30, CAR 24 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“So it's a game to me where me and Chad automatic automatic play anything under seven in contest.”
LV 34, SF 37 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Give me Jets minus two, whatever it is.”
NYG 38, IND 10 — New York Giants margin +28 vs line -2; covers.
“I'll take the three with Teddy.”
NE 23, MIA 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“We like the Texans plus four.”
HOU 3, JAX 31 — Houston Texans margin -28 vs line +4; busts.
“Got to take the Jets.”
NYG 38, IND 10 — New York Giants margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I love it, Chad, at 3.5. But at 3, that makes you pause.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Six, six and a half in the contest, Chad. how do we pass on that?”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So, yes, I will be taking the five.”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +5; busts.
“So I feel like you can grab the seven right now. That's perfect for the big balls bet of the week.”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“Give me the Panthers plus two and a half.”
CAR 37, DET 23 — Carolina Panthers margin +14 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I told them straight up, I love Pittsburgh here. Not going to throw in our contest because I respect these guys, but I love this spot for Pittsburgh.”
PIT 13, LV 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“If it's four or four and a half in the contest, I have to play it.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
- New England Patriots ML closed +135 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +115 · CLV +5¢ won
- Washington Commanders ML closed +245 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed +170 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Green Bay Packers ML closed +160 · CLV -1¢ won
“Moneyline, round robin. Patriots, Panthers, Commanders, Eagles, Packers.”
Parlay busts: New England Patriots ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Green Bay Packers ML — won.
“Patriots plus three and a half. We're going to the foxhole.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“If anyone out there, you can still grab the six. You grab the six, obviously, for the Eagles.”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“Grab the four now just because I do see it going to three and a half”
IND 3, LAC 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4; busts.
“Can't avoid it. It's just such a big number. I just can't not take this number.”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I still like it a lot at four and a half.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“move i'm with the commanders i think everyone just has a little bit of a bad taste in their mouth of them”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.
“That's me. I'm on it. It's one of these games I bet early in the week when it was opened at one.”
PIT 13, LV 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“We set on Tuesday bet it right away bet the Seahawks three and a half”
SEA 13, SF 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“on tuesday it moved from four and a half to four i was worried it was going to go lower so i betted it for am i uncomfortable that i betted it for no”
Vikings beat Colts 39-36 in OT after the largest comeback in NFL history; Colts lost by only 3, covering +4.5. (Final: Vikings 39, Colts 36 (OT); Colts +4.5 covers)
“especially the fact that i've already bet this damn game i bet the nine and a half bet the nine”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Simon says Jags plus four and a half.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Big balls better than the week. Going against my guy, Chad, Washington football team at home.”
WSH 12, NYG 20 — Washington Commanders margin -8 vs line -4.5; busts.
“we have Jacksonville plus 750 to win the AFC South and we love it Even better I got like 13 14 to 1 We taking it in May and June I all in on it”
Jaguars won the AFC South, clinching with the Week 18 win over the Titans.
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +171 · CLV +4¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML pending
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -130 · CLV +2¢ won
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +280 · CLV -10¢ lost
“Moneyline, round robin, one more time. Jags, Colts, Raiders, Titans, Miami.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — pending; Las Vegas Raiders ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — lost; Miami Dolphins ML — lost.
“I'm grabbing a three and a half now just in case it does drop and the pros take it”
SEA 13, SF 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“but I do like the value right now sitting there on the Colts.”
MIN 39, IND 36 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“It's 9 just because the public is completely out on this Bears team.”
CHI 20, PHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9; covers.
“I'm going to have to make the Simon Says because I'm looking at a four and a half right now.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So got to hold your nose and take the Titans here at plus three.”
LAC 17, TEN 14 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“No doubt No brainer Automatically locked in kind of game just because I have to play this spot every time and have to take this number every time”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“do so looking at the game i love it at seven the six and a half does definitely give you pause”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I've already bet this number and I'm locked in on Detroit.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“If you're getting the three and a half, you just have to grab it.”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“but I already bet the six.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Staying at six, maybe it's going to drop a little bit, but I grab that six now just to be safe.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“And the fact that books now are hanging six and a half, that's why I want people to grab the seven now.”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I'd still take them like Chad's doing right now. I think that's a good number.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Um, you can like, I already took the nine and a half,”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“That's a great number to have with a Chargers team that plays games close.”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“No, I bet I'm on Jets now. [41:45] You would go all in on the Jets in the contest. [41:47] Okay. [41:47] Yeah, like I'm on the three now.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I love them coming in the week. [19:07] Not only is this a good spot to take a divisional matchup home team. [19:10] The biggest fact in this game is just that the Giants have been on a slump here.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“big body in Chase on the outside. That's what Joe's kind of leaning on nowadays, where if he's [23:18] getting pressure, like you said, we'll just put it up to his guys down the sideline rather than”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“That's why I feel so good about taking 49ers. [27:41] They just had a game where they laid an egg, and they got away with it.”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“No brainer. [32:58] Have to bet this, especially at seven and a half.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I'll back my Eagles here as an under six-point favorite.”
PHI 35, TEN 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +25 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Give me the Giants, plus two and a half. Hopefully you can get the plus three if you can find it,”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“point. So I'm flip-flopping here, but I'm going to end up on 49ers in the sense that I know a [40:05] really smart group who's taking a position on 49ers at three, three and a half.”
SF 33, MIA 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll take the seven and a half. [43:40] Hopefully it gets back to eight. [43:42] That'd be a good number.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +8; covers.
“Love Vegas here.”
LV 27, LAC 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So, yeah, with Chad, I'm going to back it here. [50:13] I'll be all over Cincy with them.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Going with the Bills here.”
DET 25, BUF 28 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“So no brainer, grab the plus three. [16:47] Hope that can convince Chad to take this one.”
MIN 33, NE 26 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So a big number at four, [21:36] making it my Simon Says guy, [21:37] I think this will go to three and a half, [21:39] three by Sunday kickoff.”
JAX 28, BAL 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“Big balls, bet of the week, Cincinnati Bengals.”
TEN 16, CIN 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Chad just nailed it. [41:17] I'll just take the under and pass on this game.”
CAR 23, DEN 10 — Combined 33; under 35 covers.
“their three and a half point underdogs at seattle no brainer take seattle here every time raiders”
SEA 34, LV 40 — Seattle Seahawks margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“But as long as it's not a Thursday night, Monday night or Sunday night game, I'm going to back Andy Dalton. [50:22] And I like him in this spot.”
SF 13, NO 0 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Give me Dallas minus one and a half. [38:11] I'm all in on this week.”
MIN 3, DAL 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +37 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I've continued to bet it at three and a half.”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“If I can get a three in the contest I take that with the Saints team at home [17:35] in a matchup against a Rams team that just has major issues across the board.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“Let me get three and a half. [32:36] It's three and a half at FanDuel. [32:38] I got to be a man of my word, Chad. [32:39] I'm with you on it. [32:40] We're doing it.”
PIT 30, CIN 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Yeah, I mean, I got the seven, so that's why I feel comfortable waiting.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“Love the over, though. [29:29] If that's true and there's not going to be snow and not going to be crazy shit happening during the game, [29:33] take that value and take the over. [29:35] I already grabbed it at 41.5, 41. [29:38] It's up to 42.5 in a bunch of books. [29:40] Key number, I'd still grab it there.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Combined 54; over 42.5 covers.
“So I'm going to come back on their side. [13:22] I'll take Tennessee here at three, three and a half. [13:24] Don't know if we'll make it to our contest, [13:25] but I definitely think we're getting a good number here.”
GB 17, TEN 27 — Tennessee Titans margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“Love to take New Orleans here, honestly. [19:51] Like, this is a good matchup for them.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“once they hit three and a half, I'll be the sucker. [25:41] Suck me in, Sportsbooks. [25:42] I will take the three and a half.”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“It's like, man, I'm getting free points here for a Patriots team [30:47] that knows exactly who they are.”
NE 10, NYJ 3 — New England Patriots margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I grabbed the eight and I grabbed the eight and a half just to be safe. [41:32] Because I do see it coming down if it is what they're saying it's going to be, which is really bad weather.”
BUF 31, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -8 vs line +8.5; covers.
“i i have to take the raiders here no one's gonna join me i [43:20] completely get it. I just have to do it in this divisional game.”
DEN 16, LV 22 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“no pros would be on it and just be it'd be one [11:47] of those chalk plays that me and Chad love and I I'm not gonna be out of it like I just think it's [11:51] a great number, especially at two and a half.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So yeah four and a half five five and a half [17:36] whatever it is in the contest, [17:37] I'm sure me and Chad are going to end up having it in there. [17:39] It's just a nice home, ugly dog that we're the only ones that are going to be on it.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“happy to take the three and a half i would take it all the way down to three uh miami”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“You're taking Denver plus two and a half. I'm taking the Steelers plus one and a [35:00] half.”
PIT 20, NO 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We got to do it. [28:29] It's a big number. [28:30] I would still take the nine and a half.”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +9.5; busts.
“as dogs, [31:08] they always come back. I mean, just think about that chiefs game.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“i loved it the pros love it they're betting it wish it was still a plus three [34:41] but i'll take it anyway denver plus two and a half”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Love the Seahawks. I'll just keep taking them as a dog as they just keep people just keep waiting for that.”
TB 21, SEA 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“i have high single figures on the [49:18] bears right now love it”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I told Chad I loved it at plus four, and now it's already moving to plus three and a half.”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I grabbed the Denver.”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I'd grab that five and a half. You can still get it. If it's five.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“Love it at seven.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“I've already bet it.”
KC 20, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“but still feeling really good about Washington.”
WSH 17, MIN 20 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Now I really like the Bears, right?”
CHI 32, MIA 35 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“Seahawks, plus two. [34:38] Give it to me.”
ARI 21, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2; covers.
“I kind of feel like I have to do it.”
ATL 17, LAC 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“So, I'm backing Heineke.”
WSH 17, MIN 20 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Back-to-back weeks, I was taking Fox on a favorite.”
CIN 42, CAR 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +21 vs line -7; covers.
“I'd grab it.”
ATL 17, LAC 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“no no so I love the Texans at plus two and a half here as you were talking hoping to get the three”
HOU 10, TEN 17 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Niners minus one and a half.”
LAR 14, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Simon says it's Browns plus three.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cleveland Browns margin +19 vs line +3; covers.
“So, to me, Vikings, full game, Vikings first half, fuck the Cardinals.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
“another game I'll be on the under. It's just don't overthink it. To me, two really good defenses.”
JAX 17, DEN 21 — Combined 38; under 39 covers.
“I just think it's another good spot to get divisional team dog at home with a great defense.”
NYJ 17, NE 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I got this at minus three for Vegas.”
NO 24, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -24 vs line -2; busts.
“Again, you can get a plus 350 at certain books for them to make the playoffs.”
Raiders finished 6-11 and missed the 2022 playoffs.
“I got to take the Cardinals here.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'll take the 49ers”
LAR 14, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I see the value on the Seahawks.”
SEA 27, NYG 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“But again, I'm on two big favorites this week.”
BUF 27, GB 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +10 vs line -11.5; busts.
“Simon says, take the Browns.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cleveland Browns margin +19 vs line +3; covers.
“to still bet the 49ers Yeah I feel like we kind of have to because we taking such a strong position on it Again it going to end up being one of my biggest bets of the week”
SF 23, KC 44 — San Francisco 49ers margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“a pro me and chad are gonna bet it we're probably gonna end up talking about it and put in the”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“at seven it's it's still a good strong play for me”
LV 38, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“six and a half we would still take it in contests at six and a half or five and a half if that's”
LAC 23, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Big balls better the week.”
CIN 35, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“This is one of my favorite under bets.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Combined 40; under 38 busts.
“So I would say it's more likely we take the Patriots.”
NE 14, CHI 33 — New England Patriots lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm betting Jaguars.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Simon says bet the Washington Commanders plus five and a half.”
WSH 23, GB 21 — Washington Commanders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to keep buying because I still think we're getting a good number here, brother.”
CIN 35, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“I really want to take this plus two because, again,”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +2; covers.
“another no-brainer play houston they play games close they're not as bad as people perceive”
LV 38, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“As soon as this game came out, it was like seven, seven and a half before the Chargers played.”
LAC 23, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Easy Foxhole 49ers.”
SF 23, KC 44 — San Francisco 49ers margin -21 vs line +3; busts.
“still like atlanta but yeah am i shocked it's sitting there still five and a half not really”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“This is, this is, I, cause I am betting it,”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“number in this position I'm happy to take Seattle in this spot especially coming off such a brutal”
SEA 19, ARI 9 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“So, again, it's scary backing Zach Wilson, but at 7.5, it's still out there at 7.5.”
GB 10, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +17 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I do think we're getting a good number and automatic play in the contest would be the Jaguars.”
IND 34, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I mean, you just take Bama here every time.”
TENN 52, ALA 49 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“Give me the Commanders.”
CHI 7, WSH 12 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +150 · CLV -8¢ lost
- New York Jets ML closed +205 · CLV 0¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +164.5 · CLV +11¢ won
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +142 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +115.5 · CLV +1¢ won
“Miami, the Jets, Atlanta, Saints, Seattle.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — won; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won.
“As soon as this line came out, I knew I was going to be on it.”
NO 26, CIN 30 — New Orleans Saints margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“go grab atlanta right now hopefully you can get that plus six”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Easy bet.”
PHI 26, DAL 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +9 vs line -4.5; covers.
“New York Jets plus three is our big balls. Bet of the week.”
GB 22, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +5 vs line +3; covers.
“the bills minus 14 and Scrooge roulette. That's how much of a man I am.”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Buffalo Bills margin +35 vs line -14; covers.
“Like, I grabbed the three and it came out.”
NYJ 40, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“Yeah, I bet it too. I don't care. We're walking in it together, brother. Who cares?”
NO 39, SEA 32 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But again, this is when I bet right when it came out, just cause I just, I had to start”
WSH 17, TEN 21 — Tennessee Titans margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I bet it just because I thought the seven was going to disappear quick,”
MIN 29, CHI 22 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“But I'm going to take this under.”
49ers beat Panthers 37-15 (52 combined points) on Oct 9, 2022; the closing game total was 49.5, so the Over hit and the Under lost. (Final: 49ers 37, Panthers 15 (total 52, line 49.5))
“And it was just a no brainer bet for me taking the Rams here.”
CLE 28, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'll take this number every time.”
ARI 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“nothing to play here simon says bet the ravens love this number love it i would take it up to”
BAL 19, CIN 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“I like the Steelers up to four against the Jets”
PIT 20, NYJ 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“Just because the group I know that took that,”
DET 45, SEA 48 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I am literally, I've already bet it.”
ATL 23, CLE 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +2; covers.
- Houston Texans ML closed +200 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +174 · CLV -14¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed +145 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Seattle Seahawks ML closed +150 · CLV +5¢ won
- Denver Broncos ML closed +125 · CLV -5¢ lost
“Let's go Broncos. Broncos”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — lost; Tennessee Titans ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — lost; Seattle Seahawks ML — won; Denver Broncos ML — lost.
“We'll take the money line as well here with the Ravens because historically,”
BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“Grab that Steelers minus three.”
PIT 20, NYJ 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“but i didn't i i bet at bucks minus two assuming he'd be out completely comfortable i bet bucks”
TB 12, GB 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“I not going to lie to you but we it like we talked about earlier You don want to take it because it was like a little bit of a pick that they have to win And I I come to terms with it I backing Atlanta to win this game against Seattle”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons won; moneyline covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +172 · CLV +3¢ won
- New England Patriots ML closed +120 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Washington Commanders ML closed +205 · CLV +25¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +160 · CLV 0¢ won
- Arizona Cardinals ML closed +158 · CLV +2¢ lost
“So first one in Miami, second one in New England,”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — won; New England Patriots ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — lost.
“so how do we not bet the panthers plus”
CAR 22, NO 14 — Carolina Panthers margin +8 vs line +3; covers.
“Buccaneers, minus two and a half. Loved it.”
TB 12, GB 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll be on Atlanta in this game.”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“Eagles, minus one and a half.”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Ravens, minus three and a half.”
BAL 38, MIA 42 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Jets plus six and a half.”
CLE 30, NYJ 31 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I bet it down. They hit eight and a half, hit eight. I bet it again.”
SF 27, SEA 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“While you were talking, I went into the action app, hit 49ers minus nine and a half minus 110.”
SF 27, SEA 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +20 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Yeah, I know it's so chalky, but I'm I bet it.”
LV 23, ARI 29 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -6 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I bet it though it's like I like this Falcons team”
LAR 31, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin -4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I'm going to bet the Titans,”
BUF 41, TEN 7 — Tennessee Titans margin -34 vs line +10; busts.
“rare times I bet on my favorite home team Eagles”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“seattle plus six and a half steelers plus six and a half it's the grossest fave five you can get”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“are you ready are you ready seattle seahawks plus six and a half on monday night football”
SEA 17, DEN 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Let's just use the Ravens.”
NYJ 9, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
- Steelers ML closed +260 · CLV -40¢ won
- Falcons ML closed +196 · CLV +4¢ lost
- Texans ML closed +260 · CLV +40¢ push
- Lions ML closed +205 · CLV -40¢ lost
- Jaguars ML closed +135 · CLV -15¢ lost
“Our five for the round robin will be the Steelers, the Falcons, the Texans, the Lions, and the Jags.”
Parlay busts: Steelers ML — won; Falcons ML — lost; Texans ML — push; Lions ML — lost; Jaguars ML — lost.
“was the Rams plus two and a half. Classic overvalued team in a Bills team that's the”
LAR 10, BUF 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“do have to play the bears at plus seven yeah yeah no doubt like we don't have to put in our contest”
CHI 19, SF 10 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +7; covers.
“we're at home with this team getting two and a half. It's gross. We got to do it. This is the”
DAL 3, TB 19 — Dallas Cowboys margin -16 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So, love this number all the way down to four and a half.”
SEA 17, DEN 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“The fact that I'm getting plus 425, plus 450 at certain books, I'm going to take that on Miami to win this division.”
Dolphins did not win the 2022 AFC East; the Buffalo Bills won the division.
“Ravens, Super Bowl, still a 20 to one.”
Ravens did not win Super Bowl LVII; the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35.
“Like those are the two teams I bet that Chiefs are 10 to one Ravens 20 to one.”
Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII, beating the Eagles 38-35.
“And again, we talked about Pittsburgh, which is my other favorite bet for this division”
Steelers did not win the 2022 AFC North; the Bengals won the division.
“But my favorite bet is Vikings not to make a playoffs.”
Vikings made the playoffs at 13-4, so the bet on them to miss lost.
“And I knew right away I was going to be on Oregon because Georgia won the national title.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Oregon Ducks margin -46 vs line +17.5; busts.
“i mean easy it feels like an easy bet for me i already bet this”
FLA 29, UTAH 26 — Florida Gators margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“This is one of my bigger bets for this division. [22:57] I think that's the best value right now, 28 to 1.”
Buccaneers won the NFC South; Falcons finished 7-10 (+2800 lost).
“So to me, you're getting a good plus number of the over six and a half and for them divisionally. [35:23] How can you not bet this team?”
Jaguars won the AFC South in 2022 (+750 cashed).
“this is one of the pro bets like only pros are betting this number i bet in the over for”
Steelers finished 9-8 in 2022, clearing the 7.5 win total for the over.
“I like the Lions over six and a half wins as well”
Lions finished 9-8 in 2022, over the 6.5-win total.
“Bears under six and a half.”
Bears finished 3-14 in 2022, well under the 6.5-win total.
“So I'm right there with you, Lee Buff. [18:05] I'm on Tampa,”
Colorado won the 2022 Stanley Cup Final 4-2, so Tampa Bay to win the series lost.
“Yeah, but I did like I did like Matt brought it up that I bought more shares of Steph for MVP.”
Stephen Curry won 2022 NBA Finals MVP.
“but I did bet them, again, a minus one and a half to win this series”
Warriors won the series 4-2, covering the -1.5 series spread.
“it feels like free money minus 160 I've hit well over 50 books now [36:42] at that number for a grand each and I probably bet another 10 books today for another grand”
The Warriors won the 2022 NBA Finals over Boston.
“Steph Curry plus 430 at FanDuel to lead the series in points and threes. [47:21] That to me is my favorite sort of exotic.”
Curry led the 2022 Finals in both points and made threes.
“So, yeah, for me, I did Golden State, but I did the money line.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors lost; moneyline busts.
“I also like Matt Moore's idea of betting the Warriors. [54:07] They're at minus one and a half in the first half right now. [54:10] I like that because free throws don't come into play at the end of the first half.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors margin -12 vs line -1.5; busts.
“or like plus 352. I bet it after game one. I was just like, I think Chad might be onto something”
The Warriors won the 2022 Western Conference Finals in 5 games over Dallas.
“no shocker here. I love the under for the jets.”
The Jets went 7-10 in 2022, exceeding 5.5 wins, so the under lost.
“if you could still get six and a half I would take that number right now if you so inclined just because their schedule lines up”
The Lions went 9-8 in 2022, clearing the over 6.5 wins.
“they said this is one of the easier bets they ever made with Golden State to win this series And they love it that people are drinking the Kool”
Golden State beat Dallas 4-1 to win the 2022 Western Conference Finals series.
“So when I look at this, I'm all in on Miami,”
Miami lost the 2022 Eastern Conference Finals to Boston 3-4.
“I've already bet the Jags. I'll probably hop off this call and throw a little, throw a little bit”
The Jaguars won the AFC South in 2022, so the Jaguars division bet won.
“on the Texas just because that's crazy. They're this high of a number.”
The Jaguars won the AFC South; the Texans finished last, so the Texans division bet lost.
“And this to me is a smart bet taking the Raiders where this number should be closer to plus 400.”
The Chiefs won the AFC West in 2022, so the Raiders to win the division lost.
“I actually would do the commanders because that's the best value no one no one's betting them you can you can look it up online”
The Eagles won the NFC East in 2022, so Washington to win the division lost.
“I already bet them at 150 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Lions did not, so the 150-1 ticket lost.
“I bet them at 12 to one to win this division. I'll bet this again at nine to one to win the division.”
The Vikings won the NFC North in 2022, so the Lions to win the division lost.
“Yeah, I bet the Saints just because of Winston can be good. They got still a pretty good defense and a pretty good offense.”
The Buccaneers won the NFC South in 2022, so the Saints to win the division lost.
“they're the best value by far in this division. If you're looking for a purely value-based bet, and I bet money on them just for this division just because of it,”
The 49ers won the NFC West in 2022, so the Cardinals to win the division lost.
“And the reason I doubled down on Aiden, I'm still buying. I mean, it's going to be scary when he's [8:11] not the one to go, but basically the guy we have on the inside says the owner of the Jaguars is [8:17] the one that wants to take Aiden.”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the No. 1 overall pick; Travon Walker went first to Jacksonville.
“I honestly like that value now, taking him to be the first lineman taken. [23:01] Aquanu, first lineman taken.”
Ikem Ekwonu was the first offensive lineman drafted, going No. 6 to Carolina.
“Aiden Hutchinson, Trayvon Walker, first defensive lineman taken. [23:45] Again, I still believe in Aiden just because I just see him as a guy that could come in this year”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the first defensive lineman drafted; edge Travon Walker went No. 1.
“I bet that over like I'm looking at a bunch of different marks right now of three cornerbacks in the top 12, top 15 picks.”
Only four cornerbacks were drafted in the first round, under 4.5.
“I think it's 11 and a half on Fandu. [26:50] I've been betting the under at a plus number for him to be in the top 10.”
Malik Willis slid to the third round, taken No. 86 overall by the Titans, so the under-11.5 / top-10 bet lost.
“Yeah, I've actually we gave that. I think it was at minus 175 last week or minus 200. [10:53] We love that.”
Only one quarterback (Kenny Pickett) was drafted in the first round, under 2.5.
“But every time the odds drop, like he's back to plus 250 now, Aiden, I got to throw another grain on it.”
Aidan Hutchinson was not the No. 1 overall pick; Travon Walker went first to Jacksonville.
“So of course, I bet for Heisman, Tyler Van Dyke. No other reason than Dick Van Dyke. So that was my one stupid bet.”
Caleb Williams won the 2022 Heisman; Tyler Van Dyke did not.
“So same thing with Bama. Every year the offseason comes around. First bet I make always Bama national champ.”
Georgia won the 2022 national championship; Alabama did not.
“Am I crazy for betting Bo Nix? I got him at 80-1 right now in FanDuel.”
Caleb Williams won the 2022 Heisman; Bo Nix did not (80-1).
“I'll take more value on Hutchinson because it was at minus 300 at one point once it dropped to minus 200 I dipped in like I started buying in on it it's down to 170 now I've been buying the dip that it's been dropping down”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 overall pick; Aidan Hutchinson went 2nd to Detroit.
“I like the over the quarterback to two and a half. I think it's minus 110 or minus 105. I just, I like the idea of a team trading back in and doing what they did with Lamar Jackson.”
Only one quarterback (Pickett) was taken in Round 1, so over 2.5 QBs lost.
“but obviously as a homer here, I've already bet Sixers minus one and a half,”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +20 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So I don't know about you guys, but I love the Bucs. And you're right. Keep it simple. I'm just [15:22] going to take that minus one and a half”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So I'm definitely gonna be taking them.”
No. 15 seed Saint Peter's upset No. 3 Purdue outright 67-64, easily covering +12.5. (Saint Peter's 67, Purdue 64)
“Yeah, that's my, that's my shortest future odds I did. I just [41:01] did the Ravens and the simple fact that they were so injury, so many injuries last year,”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LVII; the Ravens missed the playoffs entirely, so the futures bet lost.
“That's the Tom Brady effect. Like people [39:58] like me, I put a dime on it.”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LVII; the 49ers lost the NFC Championship Game, so the futures bet lost.
“I like being the first pick overall, being an offensive lineman.”
The first overall pick of the 2022 draft was DL Travon Walker, not an offensive lineman, so the prop lost.
“So immediately right when the market opened, Pittsburgh Steelers love, love, love Pittsburgh Steelers. [32:47] Love that they are going to be on these teams in the market for a quarterback. [32:51] They have the defense. We already know that right now in Fandle, they're 70 to one, 70 to one.”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Steelers (70-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“my other favorite bet is right now, which I mean, you could take the Ravens if you wanted to a 21 to one. [33:20] But I love this Ravens value coming to the season”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Ravens (21-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“Atlanta Falcons, 60-1. [34:08] who's to say they're not the best team right now in the nfc south”
The Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII; the Falcons (60-1) did not, so the bet lost.
“you and I both went in aggressively on the Bengals at plus [11:46] four, it got up to four and a half. You better to get it at four and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I take a minus two and a half with this Bengals team. [14:23] So I'm going to take the four and a half, the four with the Bengals. [14:26] But instead of taking Moneyline, I take the two and a half”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“actually embedding Rams first half. [23:15] I like the value on the Rams first half. [23:17] It's up to minus three now for Rams first half. [23:19] Hopefully you can shop around and find a minus two and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We liked the under at 48 and a half. We thought it would get steamed [26:49] down even more. It really hasn't. It's still sitting at 48 and a half taking the under.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 48.5 covers.
“I still like the under first half.”
Super Bowl LVI first half ended Rams 13, Bengals 10 (23 points), under the first-half total of 24.5, so the under won. (Halftime: LAR 13, CIN 10)
“I still like the under first quarter.”
Rams led Bengals 7-0 after the first quarter of Super Bowl LVI (7 total points); every quoted 1Q total line that week ranged 7.5-10.5, so the under hit regardless of the exact number. (Q1 score: Rams 7, Bengals 0)
“I think [13:28] it's gonna be an under game I love the first half under so I'm I'm really liking those bets”
Super Bowl LVI first half ended Rams 13, Bengals 10 (23 points), under the first-half total of 24.5, so the under won. (Halftime: LAR 13, CIN 10)
“So for more serious when I love the two point conversion every year, it's at a plus [14:35] number.”
The Rams' only two-point conversion attempt failed, so no two-point conversion was scored and the Yes prop lost.
“so the the biggest one that jumped out to me how many people love t higgins so when i saw his [25:27] number it's gone up for sure but the rationale was probably just ramsay's gonna shadow chase [25:33] so that's why you're gonna get a good number with t higgs”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards)
“my other favorite one is another number two receiver it's Odell Beckham he's been [25:59] really good to me these playoffs I've just been betting his over props”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Odell Beckham Jr.: 52 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; busts. (Odell Beckham Jr.: 52 receiving_yards)
“my long shot it goes [46:57] against chris a little bit but not really it's my guy stafford two touchdowns 101 he's had two [47:04] rushing touchdowns these playoffs”
Stafford threw 3 TDs but scored none himself (no rushing/receiving TD), so the score-2-TDs longshot lost.
“I can't believe I bet Bengals three and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i already bet the three and a half i already bet the four with the bangles [28:23] it touched four and a half and my runner texted me he's like you want it i was just like [28:27] yeah”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I do want people to grab the under now just because it is like we grabbed at a 50 and [37:17] a half Sunday night. [37:18] Now it's down to 48.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 48 covers.
“I bet the Bengals at seven and a half.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Simon says bet the Niners plus three and a half.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I love these kind of overs. You're never really out of it.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Combined 51; over 54.5 busts.
“That's my biggest bet right now of the weekend. I, I bet it three and a half.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I got to take Tennessee.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“that's one of those I'm going to have to be on the under in that Tennessee game.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Combined 35; under 47 covers.
“But we are with the Kansas City Chiefs minus two, minus one and a half against the Buffalo Bills.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I made a small bet on the over just because I just really don't”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Combined 78; over 54.5 covers.
“I did bet the Rams at plus three early this morning.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Right now it's sitting at 48.5, 49.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Combined 57; under 48.5 busts.
“I believe in this 49ers team.”
GB 10, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +6; covers.
“my favorite bet right now is Tennessee.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I made this minus three. I'm taking the value. Chad,”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I'm actually on that over.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Combined 78; over 54.5 covers.
“We definitely bet on the Pats plus four.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“We definitely bet on the Niners plus three.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“It gives me no pause. I'm still on the Cincy team. I still think you're getting a good number.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So to me, that's my favorite under the day because I made this number 43, 44 and a half.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Combined 64; under 44.5 busts.
“So I love it at eight and a half.”
TB 31, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -16 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I on the Eagles and I actually on the over in this one I don let the wind I not letting that weather scare me off”
Buccaneers beat Eagles 31-15 (46 total points), just under the 47.5 closing total, so the over lost. (Final: TB 31, PHI 15 (46 total))
“At 20 to one, I like the”
The 49ers lost the NFC Championship to the Rams, who won Super Bowl LVI, so the +2000 ticket lost.
“Chad just read that stat off. That makes me feel way more confident taking this Chiefs number.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Bengals minus five and a half.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Patriots as four-point underdogs, that's going to be a foxhole.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“This is my Simon Says game.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“I would take the Chiefs here.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +21 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I want to make that our big balls bet of the week.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Miami Dolphins margin +9 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We like the Bills minus 16 and a half.”
BUF 27, NYJ 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -16.5; covers.
“We like the Texans plus 10 and a half.”
HOU 25, TEN 28 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I bet him at four.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“The Falcons plus four and a half, but you might be able to wait on that.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Grab the Raiders now at plus two and a half while you can.”
LV 35, LAC 32 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +220 · CLV -5¢ won
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +177.5 · CLV -20¢ lost
“The Dolphins Atlanta together is plus 821 on the action app.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost.
“Take the plus eight now.”
TB 41, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -24 vs line +8; busts.
“That's why I want to give out Carolina and give out their money line.”
TB 41, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I bet Atlanta.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'll take the four of the Rams.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“So give me the dolphins, give me the dolphins money line.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“But I'll take Bills at minus 17.”
BUF 27, NYJ 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -16.5; covers.
“Now I am betting the Rams just cause I know other pros are on that number.”
BAL 19, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +1 vs line -4; busts.
“So as we sit here, if this line is three and a half in our contest,”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Grab that seven if you can”
GB 37, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -27 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Tennessee, if you're getting under four, under five,”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I've still bet it every day this week.”
PIT 26, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +12 vs line +3.5; covers.
“you have to take it every time you have to take the chiefs here”
CIN 34, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“So for me, I'll be on the Jets in that game,”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +13.5; busts.
“But to me, at 15 points, whatever this might be, 13 and a half points, whatever you can get, you take the Jets here.”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +14; busts.
“But for this week with the Bengals, I hate to do it, but I got to take the Chiefs.”
CIN 34, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“I actually bet the Patriots right when this opened.”
NE 50, JAX 10 — New England Patriots margin +40 vs line -14.5; covers.
“I'll be all over Washington this week.”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“to me, as long as it stays under seven, I'll take this number.”
CHI 29, NYG 3 — Chicago Bears margin +26 vs line -6.5; covers.
“This is a layup, layup, layup.”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“We love the Vikings here.”
GB 37, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -27 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Give me Pittsburgh three and a half.”
PIT 26, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +12 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Still, I bet it, 2.5.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“No matter what, this is going to be one of our five.”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line -1; busts.
“Every time we do this with the Falcons, but we have to, it's too easy not to fade”
ATL 20, DET 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“We are 100% putting the Panthers plus”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +10.5; busts.
“So I just going to take the value They play close games this is divisional matchup late in the year”
CIN 41, BAL 21 — Baltimore Ravens margin -20 vs line +3; busts.
“I did better to three. The bets I've made so far, Buffalo plus two and a half, Carolina plus ten and a half, Miami plus three.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“I love Tennessee here. I have to take this number”
TEN 20, SF 17 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm getting a point and a half for the Cardinals. I'll take the value, but I hate”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I bet this one, I think Monday night, I'll bet it again a couple”
ATL 20, DET 16 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line -5.5; busts.
“when right when i saw this i knew this was gonna be one of my bets i'll do it as a”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +11; busts.
“I have to take the bills.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line +2.5; covers.
“This will be by far one of my favorite unders of the week.”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Combined 46; under 40.5 busts.
“It goes against everything we've said all year about the chiefs. It's going to burn me”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +26 vs line -10; covers.
“Dude, dude, give me the fucking Dolphins here.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“Scrooge Roulette. No brainer. We just talked about it. Miami.”
NO 3, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“we're definitely doing the chargers plus three and a half.”
LAC 28, KC 34 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So to me, two and a half, that's all a Matic play.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But if I was a better, I would still take it at seven.”
PHI 27, WSH 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +10 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So I'll definitely be on this Pittsburgh team.”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We love the Broncos at minus two and a half.”
DEN 10, CIN 15 — Denver Broncos margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm taking the Bills when they AFC East and I'm going to be taking the Colts on the spot.”
The Bills won the 2021 AFC East, so the division future won.
“As soon as it hit four and multiple books, I bet it.”
LAC 28, KC 34 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“I've been betting this Colts team all year.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I love the Eagles in this matchup.”
PHI 27, WSH 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Take Atlanta money line.”
SF 31, ATL 13 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I would take the number of the Seahawks right now.”
LAR 20, SEA 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“Yeah, we'll just put an icing on it [10:33] where if you can get the minus two and a half, [10:35] just take it now.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“One game I know we can count on. One game. Very interesting. Washington football team. Was it four? Now at four and a half. We love that.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“This is just a pro number. [23:11] You bet this number. [23:12] You have a great run-blocking scheme team in the Giants [23:14] going against one of the worst blocking schemes, defenses, [23:16] in the Chargers.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +10; busts.
“it's a rare time I'm [18:44] gonna take road chalk and take the favorite but this just feels like the pros are stepping into [18:49] a trap here taking this Jets team.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New Orleans Saints margin +21 vs line -5.5; covers.
“But I personally will be betting Houston. [20:52] I'll take that trend that teams just lose the following week after playing the 49ers, [20:56] and I'll bet their money line.”
HOU 13, SEA 33 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“I love Cole Beasley. [26:35] They're projecting to be their three and a half, four receptions. [26:37] I love that up to six.”
Cole Beasley caught 9 passes (11 targets, 64 yards) vs Tampa Bay on Dec 12, 2021, well clear of the discussed 4-6 reception range. (Cole Beasley: 9 receptions, 11 targets, 64 yards)
- Atlanta Falcons ML closed +118 · CLV -3¢ won
- Washington ML lost
- New York Giants ML closed +195 · CLV +3¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +110 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Buffalo Bills ML closed +165 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +137.5 · CLV -22¢ won
“Yeah, we have Atlanta right now. [39:53] We have Washington football team. [39:55] We're going to throw the Giants in there. [39:56] Wait and see if the Bengals become a big plus number. [39:58] We're going to put that in there as well.”
Parlay busts: Atlanta Falcons ML — won; Washington ML — lost; New York Giants ML — lost; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost; Buffalo Bills ML — lost; Los Angeles Rams ML — won.
“So matchup wise, this [41:37] is a good, good matchup for the Tennessee team. If you haven't used them yet, this feels like this [41:43] is it. Like you kind of have to use them.”
TEN 20, JAX 0 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“this is a bet I always make I always bet the under It doesn matter if they hit the over five [7:36] straight years. I'm just going to keep riding this trend.”
NAVY 17, ARMY 13 — Combined 30; under 36 covers.
“we love Minnesota this position. [9:32] So I'll be betting it.”
MIN 36, PIT 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“We'll keep even if the public's riding again, we'll take the public dog and we'll take Las [14:49] Vegas Raiders here.”
KC 48, LV 9 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -39 vs line +9.5; busts.
“So this feels like this is for the season of Washington. [19:20] If they win this game, they're going to probably be a playoff team. [19:24] So this is one of these games where I'll be on the plus four. [19:26] I'll be on the money line. [19:27] I'll be back in this Washington team.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“So this is one of these games where I'll be on the plus four. [19:26] I'll be on the money line. [19:27] I'll be back in this Washington team.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“So we'll take the Giants. We'll just wait and see if we can get even better number.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — New York Jets margin -21 vs line +10.5; busts.
“So sitting here at minus three, I'll take Tampa.”
TB 33, BUF 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“we love taking the rams in this position the cardinals already beat up [44:06] and dominated this rams team revenge factor everything give me give me the rams here”
ARI 23, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“To me, the simple bet here is just bet the under.”
Cowboys beat Saints 27-17 on Thursday Night Football (Dec 2, 2021); combined 44 points went under the ~47.5 total. (Cowboys 27, Saints 17 (44 total points))
“I might actually put their money line this week.”
DET 29, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions won; moneyline covers.
“Can't see any reason why I shouldn't like the Giants.”
MIA 20, NYG 9 — New York Giants margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“but I'll walk into it. Like I have to bet this number.”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -13 vs line +11; busts.
“I will be taking Houston.”
HOU 0, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -31 vs line +10; busts.
“We have to take Pittsburgh here as a home divisional dog against a team where”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“So nothing's changed. We still love the Bills at minus three.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
- New York Giants ML closed +225 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +255 · CLV +3¢ won
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed +127 · CLV +23¢ won
- Washington Football Team ML closed +110 · CLV +15¢ won
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ won
“giants with the backup quarterback on the road. Love it. Lions haven't won a game yet this year.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Washington Football Team ML — won; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won.
“I will be taking the charges.”
CIN 22, LAC 41 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to bet it regardless.”
DET 29, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin +2 vs line +7; covers.
“i love the giants so much in”
MIA 20, NYG 9 — New York Giants margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“bet the money line right now. I hate it.”
ATL 17, TB 30 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“We will be on Houston.”
HOU 0, IND 31 — Houston Texans margin -31 vs line +8.5; busts.
“You have to take the Bears at home against a Cardinals team that we don't know we're getting from Kyler.”
CHI 22, ARI 33 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I will be all over the Jags, all over the Jags money line.”
LAR 37, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I love this game so much.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm going to be taking Teddy.”
KC 22, DEN 9 — Denver Broncos margin -13 vs line +10; busts.
“So I will be all over this bill as a minus three.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“I like this number at minus three and a half.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'll be on the over.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Combined 30; over 41.5 busts.
“So I will be taking the Raiders here.”
DAL 33, LV 36 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“bet this bill's team indoors that's when they kill”
NO 6, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +25 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I have to take Houston in this matchup.”
HOU 14, NYJ 21 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“You bet this number. You got to bet this number every time.”
NYG 13, PHI 7 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +4; covers.
“Of course, I bet this.”
IND 31, TB 38 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“give me the Denver Broncos”
DEN 28, LAC 13 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +2.5; covers.
- New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV -8¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +133 · CLV -3¢ lost
- Denver Broncos ML closed +132 · CLV -7¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed +155 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +160 · CLV 0¢ lost
“Then we'll go with the Colts at home.”
Parlay busts: New York Giants ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — lost; Denver Broncos ML — won; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost.
“I'm still in on Atlanta plus six and a half.”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +6.5; busts.
“That'll be in the contest for sure.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm all in on Houston, but it will not be one of my biggest bets of the”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +10.5; covers.
“we talked on tuesday i had no doubt we would have as one of our five putting it in by the way we have”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +26 vs line +7; covers.
“People, this is why you're betting Atlanta come Thursday.”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“Simon says, baby, we are taking the Texans.”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +10.5; covers.
“Sprinkle it on that money line too on Tuesday Cause I think the line going to come down too”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking some chalk here and I'll take the Saints.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Give me the Colts.”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +26 vs line +7; covers.
“Give me the Colts on the money line.”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts won; moneyline covers.
“Getting them only two and a half. Just needs to win by a field goal. Give me the Vikings.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I not going to force it in because there other dogs I like better but I be taking the Jags I be taking their money line just on the fact that the 49ers are feeling great”
JAX 10, SF 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
- Houston Texans ML closed +350 · CLV +5¢ won
- Indianapolis Colts ML closed +257.5 · CLV +3¢ won
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +247.5 · CLV -7¢ lost
“line parlay right now with the Texans, the Colts and the Jags. I'm making an AFC money line parlay.”
Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — won; Indianapolis Colts ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost.
“I get the Cowboys eight and a half. That's a great number.”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Take the 49ers while you still can get the three and a half This is a prime prime time to take this number”
SF 31, LAR 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin +21 vs line +3.5; covers.
“this number's moved it was at three now it's a two and a half in a lot of places i still better to two and a half”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Colt McCoy, 10 point favorite. Come on. That's, that's insane. Come on, man. Against this defense in Carolina. I mean, you got to take Carolina.”
ARI 10, CAR 34 — Carolina Panthers margin +24 vs line +10; covers.
- New York Jets ML closed +520 · CLV -20¢ lost
- Washington Football Team ML closed +360 · CLV -10¢ won
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +155 · CLV +5¢ won
“I got the Jets. I got the Washington football team. I got the Saints. I got the Raiders and I got the 49ers.”
Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Football Team ML — won; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; San Francisco 49ers ML — won.
“So I'll grab the three now that it's there, but I'll grab it even more if it gets up to three and a half.”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“By being all in on this guy, but at 13 and a half points, give me that cushion. Even at 13 points, I'm still happy with the numbers. So this stays above 12 and a half, stays above 10.”
NYJ 17, BUF 45 — New York Jets margin -28 vs line +13; busts.
“You like Scoot Roulette, your pick of the week is Carolina three and a half.”
CAR 6, NE 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I I good with taking Cincy”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm in on the Green Bay. You're giving me Green Bay plus eight, plus seven and a half against this awful Chiefs defense. I'm taking it.”
KC 13, GB 7 — Green Bay Packers margin -6 vs line +8; covers.
“But I love Green Bay. I'm going to love Green Bay's money line on the simple fact that if you're giving me plus 250”
KC 13, GB 7 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.
“So I am in on the Eagles.”
PHI 24, LAC 27 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I mean, obviously we have to take the Colts here.”
IND 45, NYJ 30 — Indianapolis Colts margin +15 vs line -10.5; covers.
“And that's why this is my Simon Says game of the week.”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“but as a professional, I will be on the Chiefs at home at a pick.”
KC 13, GB 7 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line +0; covers.
“Let's go Niners.”
SF 17, ARI 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I look at the Chargers at four and a half. I'm like, [11:36] are you fucking kidding me?”
HOU 22, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +16 vs line +4.5; covers.
“100% love the Jags here. [17:38] If we can get a three and a half, all the better.”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm still going to be taking the Saints money line. [18:15] Thank you for the pros betting this up, giving me more value on the money line.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“Bottom line, we love the Vikings here. [26:03] Smash, smash.”
MIN 16, DAL 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I liked it at 10 and a half still like it at 10 [29:34] as long as it stays above the nine I'm happy to take this number I did have it rated at nine so”
KC 20, NYG 17 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
- New Orleans Saints ML closed +170 · CLV 0¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings ML closed -213 · CLV +72¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +168 · CLV +2¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +115 · CLV +23¢ won
- Washington Football Team ML closed +170 · CLV -5¢ lost
“Saints, Vikes, Jags, Panthers, Washington football team [35:01] for the Moneyline Parley.”
Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints ML — won; Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Washington Football Team ML — lost.
“pause this podcast pull your car over bet on the colts they will be in all of my bets”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“if you're gonna bet the colts with us this week you have to bet the colts to win the division [28:45] because this is one of these games that could flip the division so i love the colts at this number”
The Titans won the 2021 AFC South; the Colts (9-8) missed the playoffs, so the division bet lost.
“Give me the Bears plus three and a half.”
CHI 22, SF 33 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'd take the Chargers all day here.”
HOU 22, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +16 vs line -5.5; covers.
“jags three and a half jags money line i'll be betting all of it”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“jags three and a half jags money line i'll be betting all of it”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“Chad, you got to just hold your nose and bet New Orleans here. [47:13] You got to trust this number.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints margin +9 vs line +5; covers.
“Vikings at home as an underdog. [50:00] You bet this every time, people.”
MIN 16, DAL 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So this feels like an easy no-brainer. [16:03] This will be one of our five.”
BAL 17, CIN 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line +6.5; covers.
“This is probably our big ball of the week, buddy. [21:48] Big balls, better the week.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“denver is still three and a half in here do it that's we gotta do it all right putting that [31:31] one in throw bangles in”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i did bet the broncos plus three got ahead of that [14:37] because we had a little conversation about it on down to one now”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I still love Green [6:29] Bay still think we're getting a great number”
GB 24, WSH 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“it hard not to take Tennessee here They just everything slants towards them where they the home team”
TEN 27, KC 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +24 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I still bet Miami, [18:48] I have Miami in a couple of teasers.”
MIA 28, ATL 30 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“so three and a half Teddy's an underdog this this is when we [7:03] pounce so as long as you're getting that hook above the three I feel comfortable taking it”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So let's wait. [22:18] Let's say like Simon says, bet this if it gets to seven. [22:21] Yeah. [22:21] If you're, if you've got a book at seven, take it.”
BAL 17, CIN 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line +7; covers.
“We love it at three and a half. [31:22] This is going to go down to three in a lot of books. [31:24] Pros are going to come in on this number.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Love Miami. Love Miami in this bounce back spot at [23:54] home after that kind of loss.”
MIA 28, ATL 30 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I gonna go chalk I take Green Bay minus nine [30:30] and a half wow yeah before it gets to 10”
GB 24, WSH 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“So this stays at five stays below six Got no issue taking the Saints here”
SEA 10, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“this week it's going to flip because we're going to be on the browns minus three and we fucking love this number easy money done done totally i'm putting it in i'm putting it in the contest”
CLE 14, ARI 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
“We like the plus six and a half. [9:12] Now I'm sitting here talking about Chad Eagles has to be our Hornets nest play, doesn't it?”
PHI 22, TB 28 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“on the bears at four and a half that's four games eagles browns raiders bears and then i think we're”
CHI 14, GB 24 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm the only one that has Las Vegas [32:17] Raiders as a favorite. So everyone else is all over this Denver team. They think this is a good [32:22] line On the other way I have Las Vegas at minus one So I love this number I think we getting incredible value three and a half”
DEN 24, LV 34 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I've already bet the plus 14 against Arizona next week with this Houston [12:21] team just in case he does come back I can see that line dropping”
ARI 31, HOU 5 — Houston Texans margin -26 vs line +14; busts.
“Just do the Chargers in a teaser. [15:38] Get them over eight and a half. [15:39] That's a great number to have Herbert.”
NYG 11, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line +8.5; covers.
“So I'm going to be riding this Bills team. [36:14] I'm all in on them. [36:15] I think this line should be six, six and a half. [36:17] It's still five and a half. [36:19] Happy to take that number at this point.”
TEN 34, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
- Philadelphia Eagles ML closed +250 · CLV -10¢ lost
- Detroit Lions ML closed +800 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Washington Football Team ML closed +242.5 · CLV +8¢ lost
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed +180 · CLV 0¢ won
“I'll have the Eagles in there, even though I really have zero faith in this team to win. [38:58] But I do love them to cover Detroit, Washington. [39:04] Again, Carolina's too short, so we don't have to put that one in. [39:08] Put the Lions in there. [39:10] And then I like capping off with the Raiders”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Washington Football Team ML — lost; Las Vegas Raiders ML — won.
“We have to take the Eagles in this position.”
PHI 22, TB 28 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Simon says grab the Washington football team.”
WSH 13, KC 31 — Washington margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“This is a bet Detroit on the Moneyline game”
DET 11, CIN 34 — Detroit Lions lost; moneyline busts.
“But a four and a half, anything above a four, you take this, people.”
CHI 14, GB 24 — Chicago Bears margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“This is probably when my three or four bigger bets I'll have this week will be the Patriots.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +4; busts.
“So love this number of three and a half for this Raiders team.”
DEN 24, LV 34 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“The fact that it still under six with this Bills team I take that number in”
TEN 34, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“And we like it for the Texans for sure.”
HOU 22, NE 25 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'll take them down to eight and a half at this point.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +8.5; busts.
“So I'm still still betting Carolina.”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“we're taking the bangles plus three against the packers everything lines up here”
CIN 22, GB 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Everything says bet the Giants plus seven.”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“defense in the Chargers, we have to take the Chargers here, don't we?”
LAC 47, CLE 42 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +5 vs line -1; covers.
“We'll tweet it out Sunday morning, but I would say it's a 98 percent chance that we end up with the Vikings as a survivor pick.”
MIN 19, DET 17 — Minnesota Vikings won; moneyline covers.
- Miami Dolphins ML closed +445 · CLV -45¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +170 · CLV +5¢ lost
- Houston Texans ML closed +300 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +115 · CLV +15¢ lost
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed +205 · CLV -15¢ lost
“The Moneyline Round Robin parlay will include Dolphins, Jags, Texans, Bengals, Niners.”
Parlay busts: Miami Dolphins ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost.
“I'll happily take the Seahawks as a home dog on Thursday night.”
SEA 17, LAR 26 — Seattle Seahawks margin -9 vs line +3; busts.
“I just gave them out a 20 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
The Cowboys lost in the wild-card round and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so the +2000 ticket lost.
“So I'll just be the chalky play. I think the public's coming in heavy on the jets.”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Yeah, I'll personally I'll personally be on Houston.”
HOU 22, NE 25 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'll take the dog. I'll take the under in this matchup.”
Patriots beat Texans 25-22 (47 combined points), well over the closing total of roughly 39-39.5. (Patriots 25, Texans 22 (47 total vs ~39.5 line))
“But I have no problem taking Miami plus 10 and a half right now.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I bet a little on the Miami money line.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“Love, love, love Carolina bounce back here against an Eagles team that I feel like they gave it their all last week”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I won't take lines money line, but I will be taking a seven and a half.”
MIN 19, DET 17 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm back again betting the Jaguars.”
JAX 19, TEN 37 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -18 vs line +4; busts.
“the Las Vegas Raiders. I hate doing it. So chalky, but I'm going to be riding with the public.”
LV 9, CHI 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -11 vs line -5.5; busts.
“simon says take the giants plus seven and a half you're getting an overinflated cowboys team”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I'll take the minus two and a half.”
KC 20, BUF 38 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I will be on the Eagles, but I will not be I will not be putting this in our contest.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I did bet it at four and a half.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I also bet a little bit of a taste, half a unit on the Panthers money line.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“and i love [18:45] the under in this game because it just feels like both these defenses are a little underrated”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Combined 64; under 50.5 busts.
“so this is one of the few I guarantee will be one of our five”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I've already bet the Jets. I've already bet the Jets on the money [29:24] line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I've already bet the Jets on the money [29:24] line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“We all love Denver. [39:57] We all love them a mile high.”
DEN 7, BAL 23 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“Like Chad just said, I love the Chargers.”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“The survivor pool pick of the week [45:24] Bengals. [45:25] Done.”
CIN 24, JAX 21 — Cincinnati Bengals won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah I did the over for the Bengals Again I think the Bengals defense is suspect and I think the Jaguars defense is suspect”
CIN 24, JAX 21 — Combined 45; over 45.5 busts.
“And you know you have to bet the Eagles here. [19:18] You have to bet the Eagles.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I bet the under, but it's literally a fade against Hurts.”
PHI 30, KC 42 — Combined 72; under 54.5 busts.
“Go bet the Panthers plus four and a half.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going to have a decent amount invested on the money line of Carolina.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I've already bet the under in this game as well.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Combined 64; under 50.5 busts.
“So I like the Vikings and I like the over in this game.”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I got a [31:42] 48 and a half.”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Combined 21; over 48.5 busts.
“Love, love, love, love, love, love, love, love, love the Jets in this position.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Take the money line.”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“Biggest bet of the day by far. [50:07] Love the Broncos.”
DEN 7, BAL 23 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“So we're going to keep riding this trend and we're going to take the chargers here.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“But you have to bet this game. It's such a pro game. You take the seven and a half home dog against the team that what a win for the Cardinals.”
JAX 19, ARI 31 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I love the Ravens.”
DET 17, BAL 19 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -9; busts.
“now that's down to seven, I I'm happy taking the [22:40] bills here.”
BUF 43, WSH 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +22 vs line -7; covers.
“We love the Miami Dolphins here.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“But yes, people, I will be back in the Rams.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We love the Minnesota Vikings.”
MIN 30, SEA 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I just like the number of the 49ers.”
SF 28, GB 30 — San Francisco 49ers margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“we take we take the eagles plus four year every time”
DAL 41, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -20 vs line +4; busts.
“me to do the chalky plays but i'm gonna take this one here”
HOU 9, CAR 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +15 vs line -7.5; covers.
“as a professional in a divisional game you take this”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“that's one of my few favorites that I like with the public here.”
BUF 43, WSH 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +22 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I will be on the Titans here.”
TEN 25, IND 16 — Tennessee Titans margin +9 vs line -5.5; covers.
“So I love I love love love the Ravens here”
DET 17, BAL 19 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So this for me is my Simon Says play of the week.”
PIT 10, CIN 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +14 vs line +4.5; covers.
“And I jumped on this at four and a half just for that exact reason.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I took the money line as well for Miami.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“You know what we're doing here, Chad.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“But we have to take Minnesota at home.”
MIN 30, SEA 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line +2; covers.
“Love, love, love the 49ers in this position.”
49ers lost outright to Green Bay 28-30, so the -3.5 spread pick lost. (Packers 30, 49ers 28)
“So this is one of my favorite bets of the week, Miami.”
MIA 0, BUF 35 — Miami Dolphins margin -35 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Anytime it's under 10% for a home team that's a dog,”
MIA 0, BUF 35 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“we like the Eagles plus three and a half. Hopefully you can still get it at FanDuel.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“The Eagles will also be in a money line parlay for me.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“But I bet the Bears, I'm in on the Bears this week.”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“One of our favorites for our best five.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I bet it.”
NYJ 6, NE 25 — New York Jets margin -19 vs line +5.5; busts.
“to have a lot of money tied to Atlanta's money line,”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm riding with the Seahawks here.”
SEA 30, TEN 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“No chance, no chance the Browns lose.”
CLE 31, HOU 21 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm going to bet the Giants, I'll bet the under, and I might watch it for 10 minutes.”
WSH 30, NYG 29 — New York Giants margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I'm going to bet the Giants, I'll bet the under, and I might watch it for 10 minutes.”
WSH 30, NYG 29 — Combined 59; under 40.5 busts.
“This is a three point game I going to take the three and a half I expect the Jaguars offense to be much better than what the Giants offense was”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Chad taking Eagles money line this is an”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“I have to take the bears.”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I have to take a team where I love Pittsburgh.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I had this at seven and a half with Atlanta. Love the value. Love the”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -23 vs line +11.5; busts.
“I like this number. Take it. I already have.”
TB 48, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“So give me the Chargers minus two and a half”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Tannehill on the road I love it fade them here this this”
SEA 30, TEN 33 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“I will not be taking the Ravens money line, but we'll be”
BAL 36, KC 35 — Baltimore Ravens margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“I love, love, love the Chiefs.”
KC 33, CLE 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I think we're getting a really good number here with Green Bay.”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We like the Washington football team plus one.”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +1; busts.
“Detroit plus seven and a half.”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Give me Pittsburgh chat.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So I like the Rams here, that number.”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
- Detroit Lions ML closed +340 · CLV -22¢ lost
- Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +235 · CLV -2¢ won
“I really like Detroit with Pittsburgh”
Parlay busts: Detroit Lions ML — lost; Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won.
“I still like the value if you can get the seven and a half”
TB 31, DAL 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“but I'm also taking the under for the full game in this game.”
TB 31, DAL 29 — Combined 60; under 52 busts.
“I like to take the under first half,”
First half of Bucs-Cowboys Week 1 was extremely high-scoring (Bucs 21, Cowboys 16 at half, 37 combined points), well over any normal first-half total, so the first-half under lost. (Halftime: Buccaneers 21, Cowboys 16 (final: Bucs 31, Cowboys 29))
“And this is actually one of these games where I really like the over”
Cardinals beat Titans 38-13 (51 combined points), under the 52.5 total. (Cardinals 38, Titans 13 (51 total vs 52.5 line))
“Bet them two and a half, put them in a teaser or two,”
Seahawks beat Colts 28-16 (Colts lost by 12), well beyond the +2.5 Colts were getting. (Seahawks 28, Colts 16)
“the safer play to me just feels like taking Washington this game”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +1; busts.
“I have to take Houston on the points here.”
HOU 37, JAX 21 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I am taking the minus three and a half,”
ATL 6, PHI 32 — Atlanta Falcons margin -26 vs line -3.5; busts.
“This is one of my bigger bets of the week.”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“happy to put this in our contest at plus six and a half.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I also have to take Pittsburgh's money line here.”
BUF 16, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“So I think you're getting good value here at minus six.”
KC 33, CLE 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“I taking Green Bay here”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm getting a plus number taking the money line here with”
NE 16, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“I just love the value on Las Vegas.”
LV 33, BAL 27 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I definitely like the under here for the Chiefs win total.”
The 2021 Chiefs finished exactly 12-5, so the under 12 wins pushed.
“If you want to bet them to win a Super Bowl, I love it.”
The Chargers missed the playoffs (9-8) and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so the +3300 ticket lost.
“they at 16 to one to win the conference”
The Chargers missed the playoffs; the Bengals won the 2021 AFC, so the +1600 conference ticket lost.
“Plus 450 to win the division.”
The Chiefs won the 2021 AFC West (12-5); the Chargers (9-8) did not, so the +450 ticket lost.
“i bet them over nine for their season win total”
The 2021 Chargers finished 9-8, falling short of over 9 wins, so the bet lost.
“one to lead the league in passing yards I kind of like that value”
Tom Brady led the NFL in passing yards (5,316) in 2021, not Derek Carr, so the +3800 ticket lost.
“Even week one, I got the Miami plus three.”
NE 16, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm still on that under with Mac starting.”
Patriots went 10-7 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under 9.5 lost.
“I like the Rams. I like the Seahawks. I bet both of them. I'm still getting a good plus money on”
Rams won the 2021 NFC West at 12-5, so the Rams to win the division cashed.
“I can't not tell people to take the Seahawks at that value. I think they're plus 275 to win this division, Chad.”
Rams won the 2021 NFC West; Seahawks finished 7-10, so Seattle to win the division lost.
“I going to be on Green Bay at minus four week one”
NO 38, GB 3 — Green Bay Packers margin -35 vs line -4; busts.
“i see uh samford i see detroit plus seven and a half”
DET 33, SF 41 — Detroit Lions margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I cannot see them getting over eight and a half wins in this division This is one of the bigger under bets I made this season”
Cardinals went 11-6 in 2021, over 8.5 wins, so the under lost.
“where I'm back all in on the Colts because I think Carson's got the reps in right now.”
Colts finished the 2021 regular season exactly 9-8, so over 9 wins pushed.
“simon fair to say we like the colts at plus 150 to win the division yeah and let me explain to”
Titans won the 2021 AFC South at 12-5; Colts finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs, so Colts to win the division lost.
“I'm pretty sure I've been into five sports books and I bet this under.”
Titans went 12-5 in 2021, over 9 wins, so the under lost.
“So it's one of these where I'm taking their season win total under.”
Texans finished 2021 exactly 4-13, so the under 4 wins pushed.
“against the Jaguars week one, give me the plus three, Chad.”
HOU 37, JAX 21 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line +3; covers.
“And after talking with Brett, I'm betting Nebraska under six wins at even money.”
Nebraska went 3-9 in 2021, well under 6 wins, so the under cashed.
“So for me, it's definitely a value-based bet here taking Atlanta to win this division of plus 700.”
Tampa Bay won the 2021 NFC South; Falcons finished 7-10, so Atlanta to win the division lost.
“So I actually really like that 38 to one most passing TDs on FanDuel.”
Tom Brady led the NFL with 43 passing TDs in 2021; Matt Ryan had 20, so this lost.
“I did give them out to win the Super Bowl because I believe in their defense”
Dolphins went 9-8 and missed playoffs; Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so Miami to win the title lost.
“Miami has the best value right now in this division.”
Buffalo Bills won the 2021 AFC East; the Dolphins finished 9-8 and did not.
“Like, I think the value is good enough to take them a 40 to one or 35 to one in the Super Bowl, where to me, this division, it's it's up for grabs.”
Dolphins went 9-8 and missed the playoffs; Rams won Super Bowl LVI, so Miami to win the title lost.
“Of all the teams in this division to win the Super Bowl, Simon and I have [25:09] already bet heavily on the Washington football team.”
Los Angeles Rams won Super Bowl LVI; Washington went 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
“I bet him as well.”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft; Howell went in the 5th round.
“So for me, I love the value on the Packers at minus 155.”
Green Bay Packers won the 2021 NFC North.
“So for right now, I have AFC champion. I have AFC ticket for the Browns at 10 to 1. [36:55] So it's one of those where that's my play right now.”
Cincinnati Bengals won the 2021 AFC; the Browns missed the playoffs.
“So I just want people to understand here that there is really good value on [45:15] Taysom Hill, not only in fantasy, but for just week one starter, [45:19] it's still plus 200.”
Jameis Winston won the Saints' starting job; Taysom Hill was not the Week 1 starter.
“I'm in on Tennessee now, minus 120 for the division [12:43] on our friends at FanDuel.”
Tennessee Titans won the 2021 AFC South.
“So for me, I still love that value plus 220.”
Jameis Winston won the Saints' starting job; Taysom Hill was not the Week 1 starter.
“120 to one Trey Lance to an MVP.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP; Trey Lance did not win.
“So I'm going to be taking Steelers first half. [46:46] The line's not up yet, but whatever the number is, [46:48] I'll be taking Steelers first half.”
Cowboys led 3-0 at halftime of the Hall of Fame Game (Steelers won 16-3 overall); Steelers trailed at the break so the Steelers first-half bet lost. (Halftime: Cowboys 3, Steelers 0 (final: Steelers 16, Cowboys 3))
“So that's an under I really like this year at 10.5.”
49ers went 10-7 in 2021, under the 10.5 line, so the Under won.
“So that's why I'm just taking their under while taking the Seahawks over and I'm not touching Arizona.”
Seahawks went 7-10 in 2021, under the 9.5 line, so the Over lost.
“So again, nine wins out of 17 people, nine and eight. [33:08] That's a push. [33:09] Like, I just think that's crazy good value on the saints.”
Saints went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
“I like them for best record at, I think it was 30-1 or 40-1.”
Saints finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs; the Packers/Titans (13-4) had the NFL's best 2021 regular-season records, so the Saints did not have the best record.
“you basically getting the rare opportunity where the public is off the bears”
Bears went 6-11 in 2021, under the 7.5 line, so the over lost.
“But me and Chad I guess Raheem too We are all in on Washington football team”
Washington finished 7-10, under 8.5 wins, so the over lost.
“So for me, the Cowboys, that will always be a fade.”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under (fade) lost.
“I did love Detroit to under five Detroit open under five Now it down to four and a half So it still good value”
Lions went 3-13-1 in 2021, under 5 wins, so the under won.
“Eagles under six and a half. [49:45] Yeah, Eagles are going to be bad.”
Eagles went 9-8 in 2021, over 6.5 wins, so the under lost.
“Please take that Bills Under.”
Bills went 11-6 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
“And for the Colts, people are already going to know I'm all in on the Colts.”
Colts went 9-8 in 2021, under the 10-win line, so the Over lost.
“But I feel like the easiest bet, and I'm going to keep saying it the whole year, is just going to be that Houston under.”
Texans went 4-13 in 2021, under 4.5 wins, so the Under won.
“So for my favorite over in the AFC, I love the Chargers.”
Chargers went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
“So for me, I just went the other way and I just took them to win the AFC at plus a thousand.”
Bengals won the 2021 AFC Championship; the Browns missed the playoffs.
“I bet Tua to win MVP.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP, not Tua Tagovailoa.
“it's 75 to one right now for him to get MVP. So it sounds crazy. It doesn't make any sense right [19:10] now.”
Aaron Rodgers won 2021 NFL MVP; Jalen Hurts received no votes, so the +7500 MVP bet lost.
“If you're giving me them 55 to one, that's enough value to take on a team like that.”
Washington finished 7-10 and missed the 2021 playoffs, so the +5500 long-shot futures (Super Bowl/division) lost under any reading.
“my two bets I've done so far, I bet on Trey Lance plus 240 and I bet on Taysom [40:29] hill plus 220 start for the saints”
Jimmy Garoppolo started Week 1 for the 49ers in 2021, not Trey Lance, so the +240 prop lost.
“my two bets I've done so far, I bet on Trey Lance plus 240 and I bet on Taysom [40:29] hill plus 220 start for the saints”
Jameis Winston started Week 1 for the Saints in 2021, not Taysom Hill, so the +220 prop lost.
“I actually made [23:09] this bet earlier in the year and the odds are still good. In my opinion, James Harden's plus [23:12] 900 to be the NBA finals MVP.”
Nets lost in the 2021 second round; Giannis won Finals MVP, so Harden's +900 Finals MVP lost.
“So I took Chargers Super Bowl just because there was value there [17:47] because I'm banking on him not going there.”
Rams won Super Bowl LVI; the Chargers missed the playoffs and did not win the Super Bowl.
“I've taken their season win total when it was available.”
Chargers finished 9-8 (9 wins), under the standard 9.5 win total, so the over lost.
“I took them division when it was available.”
Chiefs won the AFC West in 2021; the Chargers finished second, so the division bet lost.
“I mean, pure value-wise, I took Carolina's over.”
Panthers finished 5-12 in 2021, well under 7.5 wins, so the over lost.
“But I just love this Colts team.”
Colts finished 9-8 in 2021, under 10 wins, so the over 10 lost.
“I people are going to hate it because they think I'm a dire Eagles fan. [39:09] But Eagles under ran six and a half had a great out of five point seven.”
Eagles finished 9-8 in 2021, going over 6.5 wins, so the under lost.
“So I liked the Detroit under.”
Lions finished 3-13-1 in 2021, comfortably under any posted win total (~6.5), so the under won.
“plus 3,200 right now to have best record in NFL on FanDuel for the [43:08] Saints. [43:08] I think that's a really good value”
Saints finished 9-8 in 2021; Packers/Titans led the NFL at 13-4, so Saints did not have the best record.
“They have them right now 27-1 to go 17-0. [44:27] I get it. [44:28] It's a stupid bet. [44:30] I just love it”
Chiefs finished 12-5 in 2021, not 17-0, so the perfect-season bet lost.
“win the West. Am I an idiot that I bet on that? Because I just love Steph Curry.”
Warriors lost the play-in tournament to the Grizzlies, missed the playoffs and did not win the West.
“So, yeah, man, once it moved to three and a half over under at a plus number, I was just like, in what world is the fifth rated quarterback on almost everyone's big board going to be the third pick overall?”
Mac Jones was drafted 15th overall (over 3.5, not pick 3) by New England, cashing the over.
“Like I betting the over pits over five and a half just because it a good plus number”
Kyle Pitts was drafted 4th overall by Atlanta, under 5.5, so the over 5.5 lost.
“so right now you can get 50 to one that fields or trey lance will be the second pick overall”
The No. 2 overall pick was Zach Wilson; neither Fields nor Lance went second.
“And right now you can get plus 200, plus 250 at certain books that they draft an O-lineman.”
Cincinnati drafted WR Ja'Marr Chase at No. 5, not an offensive lineman.
“I feel like it a lock to win best film editing at minus 118”
Sound of Metal won Best Film Editing at the 93rd Academy Awards.
“So I like Frances a lot at, at a plus 400. [35:19] And I like Andra Day who's at plus 600. [35:22] I think both of those have a really big shot.”
Frances McDormand won Best Actress for Nomadland at the 93rd Academy Awards on April 25, 2021.
“So I like Frances a lot at, at a plus 400. [35:19] And I like Andra Day who's at plus 600. [35:22] I think both of those have a really big shot.”
Andra Day lost; Frances McDormand won Best Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards.
“football their total right now is four and a half for Houston I like how do you not take that under”
Houston Texans went 4-13 in 2021, under 4.5 wins.
“they a team that going to tank this year i hit their under five”
Lions finished 3-13-1 in 2021, under their 5-win total.
“so it's plus 123 on the under for the eagles this is not a team”
Eagles went 9-8 in 2021, over the 6.5-win total, so the under lost.
“So for me, plus money, taking the under at seven,”
Bears finished 6-11 in 2021, under their 7-win total.
“So for me, with these odds and I already know what I have in this defense, I just love the value on Washington coming into this year.”
Washington went 7-10 and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So basically, from my standpoint, like them and the Dolphins, we talked earlier, both teams, I'm invested about two grand each into them to win 50K each on both teams.”
The Colts missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So basically, from my standpoint, like them and the Dolphins, we talked earlier, both teams, I'm invested about two grand each into them to win 50K each on both teams.”
Miami missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So I do like the Colts at this value of plus 2,800.”
The Colts missed the playoffs and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“I like that upside at 5,000 50 to one because I don't know, man, that Raiders team,”
The Raiders lost in the Wild Card round and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“So at plus 6,000, no real clear-cut team in that division, that's great.”
Washington went 7-10 and the Rams won Super Bowl LVI.
“Still on the bucks, still on the over, still tease the bucks”
TB 31, KC 9 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers won; moneyline covers.
“Still on the bucks, still on the over, still tease the bucks”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; over 56 busts.
“things but if you're just playing the numbers and the data exactly the under 10 points in the first”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; under 10 busts.
“you on your own love over one and a half field goals in the first half at minus 125”
Kansas City kicked two field goals in the first half of Super Bowl LV, over 1.5.
“I love either team to score two points.”
No two-point conversion was attempted or made in Super Bowl LV (final 31-9).
“Long's TD over 45 and a half.”
Longest TD in Super Bowl LV was Leonard Fournette's 27-yard run, under the 45.5-yard line.
“over four and a half sacks plus 120 in Super Bowl 55.”
Only 4 total sacks in Super Bowl LV (3 of Mahomes, 1 of Brady), under the 4.5 line.
“Shaq right now, his over is 0.5 sacks plus 120.”
Shaquil Barrett recorded 1 sack of Mahomes in Super Bowl LV, over the 0.5 line.
“So I really like this underprop for Clyde Edwards-Hilaire, rushing or receiving under 48 and a half, plus 105.”
Clyde Edwards-Helaire had 64 rush + 23 receiving = 87 yards in Super Bowl LV, over the 48.5 under line.
“So going to keep on playing at a high scoring half second minus one 12.”
First half outscored the second in Super Bowl LV (27 points to 13), so the second-half pick lost.
“And that's any own lineman to score a touchdown plus 2000.”
No offensive lineman scored a touchdown in Super Bowl LV.
“extra point to hit either a crossbar or the side so all it has to do is just touch it”
No field goal or extra point hit the crossbar or upright in Super Bowl LV.
“It's give me regardless of price.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 2 interceptions in Super Bowl LV, over the 1.5 total-interceptions line.
“So that's another one I really love, Scotty Miller over 20 and a half.”
Scotty Miller was targeted once but finished Super Bowl LV with 0 receptions for 0 receiving yards, missing the over 20.5 badly. (0 rec, 0 yds (1 target))
“So I love the Bucs at this number.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers won; moneyline covers.
“I am on the train that this is gonna be a highest scoring game. Like I said, I'm taking the over,”
TB 31, KC 9 — Combined 40; over 56.5 busts.
“I love the over and I do love”
Bucs led Chiefs 21-6 at half (27 combined) in SB LV; closing combined first-half total was 27, so the under pushed exactly. (21-6 at halftime (27 combined))
“I would say the only one I've locked in right now is the Panthers.”
Panthers went 5-12 in 2021 and did not win Super Bowl LVI; the Rams did.
“I'm going to be taking Green Bay minus three.”
GB 26, TB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -5 vs line -3; busts.
“So definitely Big Balls Bet of the Week here is Bills.”
KC 38, BUF 24 — Buffalo Bills margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“But right now I'm leaning towards the under.”
KC 38, BUF 24 — Combined 62; under 54 busts.
“on Saturday. I don't mind putting this in as our best five. All right. You ever notice how everything”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I took the under already.”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Combined 50; under 45.5 busts.
“that I believe enough in Josh Allen I do think he's gonna win this game so I'm taking the Bills here”
BUF 17, BAL 3 — Buffalo Bills margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the under this week in this game.”
BUF 17, BAL 3 — Combined 20; under 49.5 covers.
“So I with you This is one of these I happily put in with the Chiefs Chiefs 100 By the way you right in your assessment I looking at the data right now in the Action Network app 53 of the bets that is the public coming in on the Browns as 10 dogs 60 of the money the professionals coming in on the Kansas City Chiefs”
KC 22, CLE 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +5 vs line -10; busts.
“So I like the under here at that number.”
KC 22, CLE 17 — Combined 39; under 55.5 covers.
“And I'm going to ask you to be my companion and take that three and a half”
NO 20, TB 30 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But when I'm looking at this game, I like the Bills at minus six and a half.”
BUF 27, IND 24 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So looking at this number, I feel bad telling people to go against my brother in the Sharps, but I'm all in on the Seahawks.”
SEA 20, LAR 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line -4; busts.
“We are going with the Washington football team with plus nine.”
WSH 23, TB 31 — Washington margin -8 vs line +9; covers.
“Titans plus three. I like that side. How could that not be the side? Meanwhile,”
TEN 13, BAL 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“But yeah, got to take the Bears here plus 10, but I'm not touching the money line for the Bears.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -12 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I like that over 47.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Combined 30; over 47 busts.
“I love the Steelers coming in minus three and a half the fact that it's up to six because all the”
PIT 37, CLE 48 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -11 vs line -6; busts.
“Of course, I would take the Browns here.”
CLE 24, PIT 22 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“So I like the Giants. [27:06] I like their defense here. [27:07] I like that plus three.”
NE 28, NYJ 14 — New York Jets margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“But I'll take the bills here.”
BUF 56, MIA 26 — Buffalo Bills margin +30 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I like the number you're in, the Jets.”
NE 28, NYJ 14 — New York Jets margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I like the Titans' money line here.”
HOU 38, TEN 41 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“The better bet is whatever the total rushing yards prop is for Derrick Henry, [42:51] bet the over because he's like 200 yards away from 2000 yards and they are gonna fucking pound [42:58] the ball against a shitty texans defense and watch him get to that 2000 yard mark i love that play”
Derrick Henry rushed for 250 yards on 34 carries (2 TDs) in Tennessee's 41-38 win over Houston in Week 17, comfortably clearing the rushing-yards prop and pushing him past 2,000 yards for the season. (Derrick Henry: 34 car, 250 yds, 2 TD)
“I like the 49ers a lot here.”
SF 23, SEA 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'll take the Broncos here.”
DEN 31, LV 32 — Denver Broncos margin -1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“where I personally will be betting heavy on the Rams just because all the money's been coming on the Cardinals.”
The Rams won outright 18-7 over Arizona in Week 17 (with emergency starter John Wolford at QB), covering any underdog number they were getting. (Final: LA Rams 18, Arizona Cardinals 7)
“of course we are going to take the panthers and this number is going to go up”
CAR 7, NO 33 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.
“got to take the Vikings here, especially with the hook”
NO 52, MIN 33 — Minnesota Vikings margin -19 vs line +7.5; busts.
“you have to take the plus four here for the 49ers”
ARI 12, SF 20 — San Francisco 49ers margin +8 vs line +4.5; covers.
“but I like the Jags here.”
JAX 17, CHI 41 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +7.5; busts.
“i'm i'm gonna take the colts”
PIT 28, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We take this plus 10 and we throw a little on the Jets money line”
NYJ 23, CLE 16 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line +10; covers.
“But divisional game, three and a half, I'll take the Broncos.”
LAC 19, DEN 16 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm happy to take the Cowboys.”
DAL 37, PHI 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +20 vs line +2.5; covers.
“We have to take this number.”
DEN 19, BUF 48 — Denver Broncos margin -29 vs line +6.5; busts.
“As long as it above seven we love this summer”
GB 24, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line +8.5; covers.
“But three, I'm still happy to take that to the Cowboys.”
DAL 41, SF 33 — Dallas Cowboys margin +8 vs line +3; covers.
“I love this pick.”
MIN 27, CHI 33 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm cool with fading that, taking the Cardinals here.”
ARI 33, PHI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin +7 vs line -6; covers.
“Like it? I love it, Chad.”
NO 29, KC 32 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Like, Danny Dimes, like, he's just a terrible quarterback.”
LAR 20, NYJ 23 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“But I have to play the Cowboys too.”
BAL 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line +8; busts.
“I cool with taking the Patriots here”
LAR 24, NE 3 — New England Patriots margin -21 vs line +5; busts.
“I'll take the Bears here.”
CHI 36, HOU 7 — Chicago Bears margin +29 vs line +1; covers.
“I'm happy to take Minnesota”
TB 26, MIN 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -12 vs line +6.5; busts.
“but I'll take the minus three that's sitting at right now.”
CIN 7, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin +23 vs line -3; covers.
“But we have to take them.”
NYG 7, ARI 26 — New York Giants margin -19 vs line +2.5; busts.
“But I have to take the Broncos.”
CAR 27, DEN 32 — Denver Broncos margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'll take it at seven and a half.”
MIA 27, KC 33 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll take the Raiders every time here.”
LV 27, IND 44 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“we have to take”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“so I do like the Ravens in this position.”
CLE 42, BAL 47 — Baltimore Ravens margin +5 vs line +0; covers.
“So taking the Steelers here, I'm taking them first half,”
PIT 19, BAL 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line -10; busts.
“I take Minnesota this week”
MIN 27, JAX 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“so as long as it stays under 10, I'm happy to take the Raiders here.”
NYJ 28, LV 31 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So I'm going to ride that train and take the Saints here.”
ATL 16, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin +5 vs line -3; covers.
“And minus three with the Colts, I'll take it.”
HOU 20, IND 26 — Indianapolis Colts margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“happy to take the Cardinals here in the big balls. Better the week makes all the sense [40:29] in the world.”
ARI 28, LAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“It's nine. [44:23] Happy to take the nine.”
GB 30, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -14 vs line +9; busts.
“Got to take New England here.”
LAC 0, NE 45 — New England Patriots margin +45 vs line -1; covers.
“So I'm with you. [49:18] We can take the Chiefs.”
KC 22, DEN 16 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -14; busts.
“And pure value bet, I'll take Washington's money line here.”
PIT 17, WSH 23 — Washington won; moneyline covers.
“So I have to take the 49ers here.”
SF 24, BUF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm happy to take Washington plus three.”
DAL 16, WSH 41 — Washington margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
“Of course, we love the Vikings here. [25:35] Got to play it.”
MIN 28, CAR 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin +1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“So, had to take the Falcons.”
ATL 43, LV 6 — Atlanta Falcons margin +37 vs line +3; covers.
“So I can't pass on the Cardinals here.”
NE 20, ARI 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I got to take the 49ers.”
LAR 20, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“So I'm happy to take the Buccaneers.”
TB 24, KC 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“As long as it stays above three, I'm happy to take the Eagles.”
PHI 17, SEA 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5; busts.
“It's just a situational play where the Seahawks have had two weeks.”
SEA 28, ARI 21 — Seattle Seahawks margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm happy riding with you and taking the minus six and a half.”
BAL 24, TEN 30 — Baltimore Ravens margin -6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'll take the 10 and a half for the Jags, [23:41] but I don't feel great about it.”
JAX 3, PIT 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +10.5; busts.
“And I have to take the Eagles, especially if it's 3.5.”
CLE 22, PHI 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm happy to take the plus five right now.”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Atlanta Falcons margin -15 vs line +5; busts.
“Give me the Chiefs. [44:17] Give it to me.”
LV 31, KC 35 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“but as long as it stays under five, I'm happy to take the Buccaneers.”
TB 24, LAR 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I'm happy to take the Chargers this week.”
LAC 34, NYJ 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line -8.5; busts.
“So I like Dalvin Cook to get right in this game. [39:27] I like the Vikings here.”
MIN 28, DAL 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“So I with you I back the Titans in this spot”
Colts beat the Titans 34-17 on Thursday Night Football; Tennessee lost outright as the home favorite. (Colts 34, Titans 17)
“So in the competition, if this is at four, [22:20] I feel comfortable enough taking the Bucs minus four. [22:22] I got this at five so to me it a good number”
CAR 23, TB 46 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line -4.5; covers.
“But I like the Browns this week. [23:52] I'm cool taking the minus three.”
CLE 10, HOU 7 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“And in my mind, if this is going to be a shootout, I have to take the Broncos here at the plus five.”
LV 37, DEN 12 — Denver Broncos margin -25 vs line +5; busts.
“We can put the Dolphins in if it stays at minus two and a half. [30:06] I got to trust the numbers and say this is the right time to take them here again.”
MIA 29, LAC 21 — Miami Dolphins margin +8 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'm happy to take the minus two. [31:28] I love the Cardinals here.”
ARI 32, BUF 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“And in a divisional game here, I would take the seven. [33:04] But if it dips below the plus seven, I would not take Cincy.”
PIT 36, CIN 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -26 vs line +7; busts.
“So if this stays under three, I'm more than happy to take the Rams here.”
MIA 29, LAC 21 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.
“Anything above 7.5, I'm more than happy to take on the 49ers. [36:16] So this is the everything game for 49ers.”
NO 27, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“So now that I'm calling my shot, I got the 49ers winning this outright. [36:28] So I like the 49ers.”
NO 27, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“So to me, it's a get-right game for the Ravens. [37:59] I know it's back-to-back road games, but as long as it's seven and under, [38:03] I'm happy to take the Ravens here.”
NE 23, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -6 vs line -7; busts.
“But I can't do it. [39:44] I cannot take the Bears. [39:46] I'll take the Vikings in this run offense.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“All right, let's go with the Packers.”
GB 24, JAX 20 — Green Bay Packers won; moneyline covers.
“But I'm going to take the points and just trust that there's good value here on the 49ers at home [20:40] in a short week and that they can control the game running it.”
SF 17, GB 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“And come Sunday, I'm going to be on the Bears here. [23:08] This number is way too big for a Titans team that they haven't proven to anyone”
TEN 24, CHI 17 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So for me, this is an automatic play. [26:00] I'm going to ride with, I don't know if it's the public or the sharps, [26:03] but I like this Detroit number, especially at plus four. [26:05] I'm happy to take that.”
MIN 34, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm cool with fading Daniel Jones here and just backing this Washington football team.”
WSH 20, NYG 23 — Washington margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“But I just have to play the Bills here. [30:12] A home dog that hasn't been playing well against a team that just had a huge [30:16] divisional win coming across country like you said.”
BUF 44, SEA 34 — Buffalo Bills margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But I have to take the Colts here. [32:37] I just think this is great value. [32:39] And this is a bad spot for the Ravens here.”
IND 10, BAL 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I love this play for a good backdoor. [33:55] So I'm on the Panthers this week.”
KC 33, CAR 31 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +10.5; covers.
“So I'm going to take the Jaguars this week, [35:28] even though I know they've just been horrendous of late, [35:31] but I'm going to trust the number and take the Jags here.”
JAX 25, HOU 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“But I cannot back the Falcons here after their win on Thursday night. [38:02] I'm happy to take the plus four, but I would not put this one in the competition.”
ATL 34, DEN 27 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“So for me, this feels like an autoplay [39:45] where you can't not take the Chargers. [39:47] As long as it's under a field goal, [39:49] I'm happy to take the Chargers here.”
LAC 26, LV 31 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“But as an idiot that I am, I'm going to take the Steelers, [40:56] and I'm just going to keep fading this Cowboys team.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line -14; busts.
“but I feel comfortable taking the Dolphins here in a game that I got as a [44:04] field goal. [44:05] So I'm happy backing the Dolphins this week.”
ARI 31, MIA 34 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I feel comfortable taking the minus five and a half here with the Buccaneers.”
TB 3, NO 38 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -35 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Betting the Patriots [49:03] just because I'm just going to keep fading the Jets.”
NYJ 27, NE 30 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
“We're just going to lock in Pittsburgh for our Survivor.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“So this feels like an even out spot where the Carolina may be get down to two and a half. [12:46] I think they'll cover. [12:47] So I like the Panthers here.”
CAR 17, ATL 25 — Carolina Panthers margin -8 vs line -3; busts.
“So I would take the Ravens here, [15:24] but we don't have to put it in because this is such a – not a coin flip game, [15:27] but we've seen with the Ravens in these big-time games, Lamar has a letdown.”
BAL 24, PIT 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“But it's impossible not to take the Chiefs here. [18:06] I can just see the Chiefs getting points.”
KC 35, NYJ 9 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +26 vs line -19.5; covers.
“It's the easiest thing ever, the Chiefs. [19:11] If you don't take the Chiefs this week, you're terrible at Survivor.”
KC 35, NYJ 9 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“I'm with the public here. [30:35] I'm taking the Colts.”
DET 21, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“So I wouldn't put this in, but I'm going to be betting the Bills this week. [33:16] I'm not backing the Patriots until they get right consistently”
BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“But I'm going to take the Browns here again at home [35:30] against the Raiders team that they just seem like something's missing with them”
CLE 6, LV 16 — Cleveland Browns margin -10 vs line -2.5; busts.
“i like them to keep it close i'm going to take the vikings here”
GB 22, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line +7; covers.
“and the right side is going to be the Broncos. [40:46] So I'm on the Broncos here.”
DEN 31, LAC 30 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“So I'm going to play the Bears number here today, four, [43:19] but I'm going to wait to bet more this weekend.”
CHI 23, NO 26 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I going to happily take them at home here especially if the line gets down to minus three Like I going to take the Seahawks”
SEA 37, SF 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“So I'll take the seven-and-a-half or seven with the Eagles, [47:11] and it's just one of those I wouldn't put in, though,”
PHI 23, DAL 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I'm going to end up playing the Giants plus 10.5 just because it's a primetime game. [49:15] But yeah, I can't put it in.”
NYG 23, TB 25 — New York Giants margin -2 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I love the Bills here on the number, especially if it's Flacco.”
NYJ 10, BUF 18 — Buffalo Bills margin +8 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I like Carolina here.”
NO 27, CAR 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I trust the Steelers here on the road”
TEN 24, PIT 27 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“So I do like this number a lot for the Seahawks.”
ARI 37, SEA 34 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I like the Patriots team.”
NE 6, SF 33 — New England Patriots margin -27 vs line -2.5; busts.
“And I like the Rams here in a bounce back spot.”
LAR 24, CHI 10 — Los Angeles Rams margin +14 vs line -5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to back the football team here.”
NYG 20, WSH 19 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm going to back the veteran QB on the Bears”
CAR 16, CHI 23 — Chicago Bears margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm going to back the Buccaneers here.”
TB 38, GB 10 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +28 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I have to take the Cowboys here, especially the first start for Dalton.”
DAL 10, ARI 38 — Dallas Cowboys margin -28 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Bears here, and I'm going to take the five and a half. And I”
CHI 20, TB 19 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So I'm going to back the Eagles here and I'm going to let the public come in on the Steelers.”
PIT 38, PHI 29 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line +7.5; busts.
“so I'm going to bet on a bounce back spot here and keep fading the football team I'll take the”
WSH 10, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +20 vs line -8.5; covers.
“i'm gonna take the cardinals give it to me six and a half i'm happy”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin +20 vs line -6.5; covers.
“And that's a really good number to take with them, six and a half.”
HOU 30, JAX 14 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So I would back Miami. I like that number. That's a big”
SF 17, MIA 43 — Miami Dolphins margin +26 vs line +8; covers.
“I'm going to take the Giants here.”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Like I going to take the Giants money line”
NYJ 10, ARI 30 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.
“And so give me the bears plus two and a half at home.”
CHI 11, IND 19 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'm going to be back on the Cardinals this week,”
CAR 31, ARI 21 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So I'd be good with backing the Dolphins here.”
MIA 23, SEA 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“but I am going to be on the Browns side.”
DAL 38, CLE 49 — Cleveland Browns margin +11 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I'm backing the Raiders here.”
LV 23, BUF 30 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So I'd be good taking the Eagles in a primetime game here,”
SF 20, PHI 25 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +5 vs line +7; covers.
“We are going to be on the Rams this week. We continue to thrive and survive.”
TB 38, LAC 31 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm going to back the Patriots here.”
NE 36, LV 20 — New England Patriots margin +16 vs line -5.5; covers.
“so i do like this washington number here we can put it in all right let's put it in”
CLE 34, WSH 20 — Washington margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.
“back the Panthers here with the points. I would definitely wait to see what QB starting.”
LAC 16, CAR 21 — Carolina Panthers margin +5 vs line +7; covers.
“I'd be cool with taking the Cardinals.”
ARI 23, DET 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“All right, so right now, we are locked on Dallas at four and a half.”
DAL 40, ATL 39 — Dallas Cowboys margin +1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“But if it stays at 4 or 4.5, [48:20] that's an automatic play for me in this competition.”
SEA 35, NE 30 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So Miami 5.5 is on the board for us.”
MIA 28, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Yeah, let's put it in. [43:51] If it's six and a half, it stays there. [43:53] They're definitely in.”
ARI 30, WSH 15 — Arizona Cardinals margin +15 vs line -6.5; covers.
“but it feels like an automatic bet for me. [26:21] All right, we're putting the Jags in.”
JAX 27, IND 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +7 vs line +8; covers.
“And it's now sitting at eight minus eight. [32:56] So I like the value on that line.”
BAL 38, CLE 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -8; covers.
“So are we putting the Cardinals in our batch of five? [43:05] I'd put them in.”
SF 20, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +7; covers.
“And so I like this pick a lot actually Let put it in baby We in We got Jags plus eight We got Ravens minus eight We got Cardinals plus seven We got Rams at home plus three”
CIN 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“And we got the Steelers minus five and a half. [48:26] We like them up to minus seven on the road against the Giants.”
NYG 16, PIT 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I love the value in the 5-under and 5.5 under in that division.”
Cincinnati finished 4-11-1 in 2020, under 5.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“I like that number.”
Buffalo went 13-3 and won the AFC East in 2020, cashing the +125 division future.
“The eight and a half feels a gimme”
Chicago finished 8-8 in 2020, not exceeding 8.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I bet it already”
Green Bay (13-3) won the NFC North; Chicago finished second at 8-8, so the Bears division future loses.
“But all the values on the under, from what we've seen from them”
Cleveland finished 11-5 in 2020, over 8.5 wins, so the under loses.
“I'm betting on that upside with that value.”
Pittsburgh went 12-4 and won the AFC North in 2020, cashing the +374 division future.
“So obviously the team I really like coming this year”
Pittsburgh finished 12-4 in 2020, over 9.5 wins, so the over cashes.
“I could see them easily get eight wins for Houston.”
Houston finished 4-12 in 2020, under 7.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I like the Denver over seven and a half.”
Denver finished 5-11 in 2020, under 7.5 wins, so the over loses.
“And I like that over seven and a half.”
Arizona finished 8-8 in 2020, over 7.5 wins, so the over cashes.
“I like the under for the Eagles”
Philadelphia finished 4-11-1 in 2020, under 9.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“So with San Fran at 10 and a half, you have to take that under.”
San Francisco finished 6-10 in 2020, under 10.5 wins, so the under cashes.
“And I going to be on that under just because I don think I think they are going to have Tua”
Miami finished 10-6 in 2020, over 6 wins, so the under loses.
“So I really like the value on the Raiders.”
Raiders went 8-8 in 2020, clearing the 7.5-win total.
“The last one I'll give out, just for Darren, I do like the Jets over 7.”
Jets finished 2-14 in 2020, well under the 7-win total.
“It's a good play, and the under first half is a good play,”
KC 31, SF 20 — Combined 51; under 55 covers.
“I took that number too,”
KC 31, SF 20 — Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards)
“Honestly, I got a Chiefs minus 13.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +11 vs line -7.5; covers.
“actually would take that over.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Combined 59; over 52.5 covers.
“And I love Green Bay this week.”
SF 37, GB 20 — Green Bay Packers margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.
“he's on the packers under packers niners under 45 and on the packers at plus seven and a half”
SF 37, GB 20 — Combined 57; under 45 busts.
“yeah and I like it too in the sense that the Colts actually are healthy now”
JAX 38, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Like, I got it when it opened at 2.5.”
HOU 14, TEN 35 — Tennessee Titans margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So I love Denver here.”
DEN 16, OAK 15 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Well, my favorite value is definitely going to be the Rams this week.”
SF 34, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So I love that we're getting plus three.”
TEN 28, NO 38 — Tennessee Titans margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“So I do think as long as it stays above 10, I'd take that, the Broncos.”
KC 23, DEN 3 — Denver Broncos margin -20 vs line +10; busts.
“So I think it's kind of a weird spot where the Rams is where all the value”
JAX 10, LAC 45 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +35 vs line +1; covers.
“I do like the Miami side, though.”
MIA 37, PHI 31 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'd take it as long as it stays under three.”
PIT 20, CLE 13 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I like Minnesota here.”
SEA 37, MIN 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“So I like the Giants a lot.”
CIN 22, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -16 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I love, obviously I love Eagles.”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -8 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I do like your head's eye with the Panthers.”
NO 34, CAR 31 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like Pittsburgh at Cincy.”
CIN 10, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“So I do like the Patriots bouncing back here.”
NE 13, DAL 9 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I do like the 49ers there.”
SF 37, GB 8 — San Francisco 49ers margin +29 vs line -3.5; covers.
“if that stays above 10, I'd take Arizona in a divisional game.”
SF 36, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line +11.5; covers.
“I think we're getting five, five and a half with Miami.”
MIA 20, BUF 37 — Miami Dolphins margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I love the Texans in this spot. [46:35] Love it.”
BAL 41, HOU 7 — Houston Texans margin -34 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I was just looking at that game [47:46] and I absolutely do. [47:47] I think they're going to kill them.”
LAC 17, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I love the Bengals at plus 9.5 or 10.”
CIN 13, BAL 49 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -36 vs line +9.5; busts.
“another really sharp smart spot is San Fran where people are going to be looking at that and saying wow I getting six and a half with Russell Wilson”
SF 24, SEA 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I get a minus 7 Green Bay.”
GB 24, CAR 16 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line -5; covers.
“A nice chalk spot is Carolina.”
CAR 30, TEN 20 — Carolina Panthers margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Chargers, Oakland, Baltimore are three picks for sure.”
LAC 26, GB 11 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +15 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I think for the Super Contest, I do like the Oakland side,”
OAK 31, DET 24 — Oakland Raiders margin +7 vs line -2; covers.
“I love Pittsburgh. I love Oakland. I love Cleveland. I love Baltimore. And I think I love the Giants.”
BAL 37, NE 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Eagles there.”
PHI 22, CHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +8 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I do really like the [58:05] Colts here, what Dan [58:08] was saying for the Super Contest”
IND 15, DEN 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin +2 vs line -6; busts.
“I'll take Green Bay.”
KC 24, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I would hate to do it to Darren, but I do like the Jags at home.”
JAX 29, NYJ 15 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line -5; covers.
“I love Oakland.”
GB 42, OAK 24 — Oakland Raiders margin -18 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love Chicago Bears.”
CHI 25, NO 36 — Chicago Bears margin -11 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I like the Jags in this game.”
JAX 6, NO 13 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“and I like Evans really, really big in this game.”
TB 26, CAR 37 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“yes that's my first pick”
DET 30, KC 34 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So I would honestly take Cardinals on that side now,”
ARI 20, CAR 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin -18 vs line -1; busts.
“I told you that another one I really like I'm leaning with is the Rams.”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“Indy is another big lean.”
IND 27, ATL 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“But I do like the Chargers at 3 for just playing it safe.”
LAC 20, HOU 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I am totally going to bet the Jags,”
JAX 20, TEN 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I think I got Washington at six and a half”
WSH 21, DAL 31 — Washington margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I like Pittsburgh a lot.”
PIT 26, SEA 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“So this is a good spot for the Bengals.”
CIN 17, SF 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line -1; busts.
“but I do like L.A.”
DET 13, LAC 10 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I like Tampa.”
TB 17, SF 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +0; busts.
“I definitely like the Colts in this one.”
LAC 30, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“If it went down to two and a half, I'd still take it because you're getting some value there.”
JAX 26, KC 40 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -14 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm checking the system now, so they think this should be Cowboys minus 10.”
DAL 35, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +18 vs line -7; covers.