Sharp or Square

iHeartPodcasts and The Volume · tracking: Full Episode

Picks tracked
841
Record
364-382-8
Cash %
48.8%
Net units
-38.75u
Beat the close
68.7%
the line moved with the pick in 303 of 441 moves (186 flat excluded)
Avg CLV
+0.48 pts
vs the closing line · spreads, totals & props (595)
At closing prices
+17.7u
vs +16.0u at the quoted numbers · 417 re-gradeable picks

Bankroll

Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 87 settled days
-250+25+50Nov '252026Mar '26May '26Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-10%-38.75u
0+50Nov '252026Mar '26May '26Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-10%-39u

Picks

841 total · 85 pending
Status
Sport
Market
Personality
Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Chicago Bears to miss the playoffs · Hard Rock Bet
Chicago Bears 2026 NFL regular season — to make the playoffs · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“I would be betting against the Bears to make the playoffs. I am not high on the Bears.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs (+200) · Hard Rock Bet
New Orleans Saints 2026 NFL regular season — to make the playoffs · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“I like that Saints odds at plus 200.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Los Angeles Rams to miss the playoffs (+350) · Hard Rock Bet
Los Angeles Rams 2026 NFL regular season — to make the playoffs · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“The Rams just jumped out. It's plus 350 to not make the playoffs.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Cincinnati Bengals to be the AFC's #1 seed (+1200) · Hard Rock Bet
Cincinnati Bengals 2026 NFL season — to be the AFC's #1 seed · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“So I did bet at 12 to one. I've been at 11 to one.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl (+10000) · Hard Rock Bet
Super Bowl LXI exact matchup — Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“eagles to beat the chiefs 101 super bowl”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl (+10000) · Hard Rock Bet
Super Bowl LXI exact matchup — Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“Since I had Bengals to beat the Rams, 100-1.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs (+200) · Hard Rock Bet
New Orleans Saints 2026 NFL regular season — to make the playoffs · Sharp or Square, 2026-07-07 ·

“So my Chad's choice is going to be the New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs at plus 200.”

Michael Leboff NHL prop
pending
William Carrier to score the first goal · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — Stanley Cup Final Game 1 · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-02 ·

“If you want like a first goal scorer bet, I think William Carrier on Carolina would be an interesting one.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“we like the value we're seeing in the half point, the hook on Cleveland at plus seven and a half”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“So I couldn't believe this was over a touchdown. It's like, my God, in week one, we're getting over a touchdown.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“So, yeah, the Bucs right now with the hook, that's my favorite bet on the board for sure. I just love Baker as a dog on the road.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“Simon says, give me the Bucs plus three and a half.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Carolina Panthers +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“But I know the right side is Carolina. We are going to be fading the Bears all season long.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Carolina Panthers +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“But if I have to pick a side, yeah, I'm going to take Panthers as a dog here.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Detroit Lions -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“If we had our contest lines, the Jags would be in, the Bucs would be in, and this game on Detroit lines would be a lock to be”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Detroit Lions -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“this is not a game i'm betting heavy and hard rock i've literally had my guys in florida who are on vacation going to the books for me because it's like there's not too many six and a halfs out there”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Houston Texans +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“this is easy easy bet houston plus one and a half you have to pick this every time”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 1, 2026 season · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-28 ·

“Give me the Baltimore Ravens three-and-a-half-point road favorites against the Indianapolis Colts.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Los Angeles Chargers Under 10.5 regular season wins · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Chargers 2026 regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-26 ·

“but I've already basically put aside five figures to in-season bet the Chargers win total. You can literally let them win week one, week two against a Cardinals and the Raiders opponents, and that's going to be a huge advantage to take.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
New York Giants under 7.5 regular season wins · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Giants 2026 regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-14 ·

“joe shine out before next year's draft this team goes very much under the seven and a half”

James Weaver NFL futures
pending
Jacob Rodriguez to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+4000) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-07 ·

“I kind of like Jacob Rodriguez there on the defensive rookie of the year campaign early on. This kind of has that feel to it where it's a guy who's going to kind of be a plug and play day one starter for them. ... seeing some 40 to 1 out there that I liked on him for defensive rookie of the year”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Carson Beck to win NFL Rookie of the Year (+1500) · Hard Rock Bet*
Arizona Cardinals — 2026 NFL season (Carson Beck NFL Rookie of the Year award) · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-05 ·

“I do think there is value here on Beck at 15-1.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
New York Giants Under 7.5 regular season wins · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Giants — 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-05 ·

“It's one of my favorite unders. So I already hit it at seven and a half.”

Jason Timpf NBA moneyline
pending
Minnesota Timberwolves to win series (+260) · Hard Rock Bet*
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference First Round (3 vs 6) · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-14 ·

“denver which means minnesota is a great little a great little betting opportunity there”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
Kyle Schwarber to lead MLB in RBI (+3500) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 MLB RBI leader (full season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“It was 50 to one last year. So I'm fine betting it at 35 to one still.”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
Logan Webb to lead MLB in pitcher wins (+2000) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 MLB pitcher wins leader (full season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“So Webb 20 to one Valdez 30 to one Kirby 50 to one That might be”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
Framber Valdez to lead MLB in pitcher wins (+3000) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 MLB pitcher wins leader (full season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“So Webb 20 to one Valdez 30 to one Kirby 50 to one That might be”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
George Kirby to lead MLB in pitcher wins (+5000) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 MLB pitcher wins leader (full season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“So Webb 20 to one Valdez 30 to one Kirby 50 to one That might be”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
Kevin McGonigal to win AL Rookie of the Year (+600) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 AL Rookie of the Year award · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“But McGonagall right now, A.L. rookie of the year, I would lock that in.”

Sean Zerillo MLB futures
pending
Minnesota Twins under 72.5 regular-season wins · Hard Rock Bet*
Minnesota Twins 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“I bet their win total under.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Arizona Cardinals Under 4.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Arizona Cardinals 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Arizona, four and a half. [12:38] Under.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Arizona Cardinals Under 4.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Arizona Cardinals 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Arizona, four and a half. [12:38] Under. [12:39] Agree.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Miami Dolphins Under 4.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Miami Dolphins 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Miami, four and a half. [12:46] Under.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Miami Dolphins Under 4.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Miami Dolphins 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Miami, four and a half. [12:46] Under. [12:48] Agree.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Las Vegas Raiders Under 5.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Las Vegas Raiders 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Las Vegas, five and a half. [12:55] Fernando. [12:59] But I'm still taking the under.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Las Vegas Raiders Under 5.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Las Vegas Raiders 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“But I'm still taking the under. [13:01] Yeah, it's not there.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Atlanta Falcons Over 7.5 wins (+105) · Hard Rock Bet
Atlanta Falcons 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Atlanta, [20:13] seven and a half. [20:14] I'm going to go with the, [20:16] I'm going with the over.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Washington Commanders Over 7.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Washington Commanders 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Washington, seven and a half. [25:15] I'd go with the over there. [25:16] I'd go with the over because I think they're going to get an easier schedule.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Washington Commanders Under 7.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Washington Commanders 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“I'm taking the under. [25:28] I get why you're taking the over, though. [25:29] But to me, I think it's priced right. [25:30] I'm just taking the under”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Dallas Cowboys Over 8.5 wins (-135) · Hard Rock Bet
Dallas Cowboys 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Dallas Cowboys, eight and a half. I'll bite. I'm a sucker. I'll take the over.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Indianapolis Colts Under 8.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Indianapolis Colts 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Indy, eight and a half. [35:42] I'm going under here.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Indianapolis Colts Under 8.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Indianapolis Colts 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“so to me like this and the giants [36:19] since you're two unders, I've been betting pretty heavily.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
New York Giants Under 7.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
New York Giants 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“This is like one of my favorite under bets. [23:10] And I know some pros that have been hammering this over.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
New York Giants Under 7.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
New York Giants 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Giants under, for sure.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Pittsburgh Steelers Under 8.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Pittsburgh Steelers 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Taking the under on Pittsburgh I don know who the quarterback going to be I feel like they revamping their culture”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Cincinnati Bengals Under 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Cincinnati Bengals 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“and uh cincinnati under for sure anyone i'm missing”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Cincinnati Bengals Under 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Cincinnati Bengals 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“So bad, bad win total. [45:57] Like you just said, that's priced so inflated by just all the past.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Denver Broncos Over 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Denver Broncos 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“Denver, nine and a half. I'll take the over.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Denver Broncos Over 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Denver Broncos 2026 NFL regular season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-19 ·

“this is one of [50:29] my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason, [50:32] I'm taking their over.”

Chad Millman CBB moneyline
pending
TCU ML +120 (+120) · Hard Rock Bet
TCU vs Ohio State — NCAA Tournament first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“TCU plus 120 in the first round against Ohio State.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Buffalo Bills over 10.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Buffalo Bills 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-03 ·

“So I've hit this quite a little bit, Chad.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Detroit Lions under 10.5 wins (+120) · Hard Rock Bet
Detroit Lions 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-03 ·

“this is my second biggest bet I've made in this offseason.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Denver Broncos over 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Denver Broncos 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-03 ·

“This will be easily 10.5 come September.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Denver Broncos over 9.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Denver Broncos 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-03 ·

“So to me, that is a bad, bad number by the sportsbooks.”

Chad Millman NFL futures
pending
Carolina Panthers over 6.5 wins · Hard Rock Bet
Carolina Panthers 2026 regular-season win total · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-03 ·

“the Carolina Panthers over six and a half.”

Simon Hunter NFL futures
pending
Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl LXI (+1500) · Hard Rock Bet*
Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl LXI — 2026 NFL season futures · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-12 ·

“i did put a single bet on the chiefs because i book did hang them at 15 to 1”

Brandon Anderson NFL parlay
pending
Seattle defense/special teams TD + Seattle Seahawks ML (+833) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·
  • Seattle defense or special teams touchdown
  • Seattle Seahawks ML closed -239 · CLV -1¢

“special teams, touchdown with the Seattle money line, plus eight 33”

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
pending
Denver Broncos +4.5 + Troy Franklin anytime touchdown · Hard Rock Bet
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·
  • Denver Broncos +4.5 closed +4 · CLV +0.5
  • Troy Franklin anytime touchdown

“like a Denver plus four and a half anytime touchdown with Franklin.”

Chad Millman NFL total
pending
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“on the field this game feels like it should go under to me so i'm still on the under i want you”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“but I think we can both say that we will be on the Niners in this game at plus seven and a half”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
New England Patriots -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“I'd want to do Patriots minus three and a half.”

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
pending
New England Patriots ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“money line, I really invested heavily in England's money line.”

Chad Millman NFL total
pending
Under 40.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“also at 40 and a half below the key number i took it at 40 and a half this was our brass balls”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +1
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“But right now, for me, my biggest position is obviously the 7,”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +1
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“Well, look, the 7.5, I played it as well with you.”

Chad Millman NFL total
pending
Under 45 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44.25 · CLV +0.8
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“I like the under.”

Simon Hunter NFL total
pending
Under 45 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44.25 · CLV +0.8
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“But yeah, for right now, I like both our position.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Los Angeles Rams -10.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“Well, I'm taking the Rams at minus ten and a half.”

Chad Millman NFL total
pending
Under 44.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“is something that we have agreed on. We both played the under 44 and a half.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Green Bay Packers -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“And we'll take out the Packers under and we'll put in Packers minus 1.5.”

Simon Hunter NFL total
pending
Under 44.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“the value in the side is gone whereas we still both like the under 44 and a half san francisco”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“We both loved it at 3.5.”

Simon Hunter NFL total
pending
Over · Hard Rock Bet*
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills — AFC Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“I like the total and the over.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“But right now I very very confident on taking this Jaguars team especially as a home dog in the spot”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“we said we can't [53:53] wait to fade the patriots in the playoffs easiest bet grab it now say it plus three and a half [53:59] charge three and a half right you gotta grab it”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
San Francisco 49ers +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV -1
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“Give me the 49ers plus one and a half.”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Las Vegas Raiders +14.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“We're going to be watching it. At least I am because I did bet the Raiders 14 and a half at Houston.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“But this is like one of the first lines I hit when it opened.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
New York Jets +3 (-118) · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Jets — NFL Week 14 (outdoor cold-weather game) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“i mean are we supposed to go back and take the jets again at plus 30 yes i mean that's insane”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Kansas City Chiefs -4 · Hard Rock Bet*
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 14 (Chiefs at home, prime time) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“to be on the chiefs they're at home in prime time right now they're at minus four minus four and a”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Indianapolis Colts -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 14 (Colts road favorite) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“see it moving colts they're minus one and a half i'm worried it might flip because i just don't know”

Chad Millman NFL spread
pending
Washington Commanders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“underdogs right now i bet it but i i'm i feel bad because i'm super biased”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Washington Commanders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“tonight up to six and a half i like your early read i'll grab that plus one and a half now it”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Indianapolis Colts -5 · Hard Rock Bet
Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“Colts, super public line, I'll take it.”

Simon Hunter NFL spread
pending
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I was just hammering the Colts five and a half and six”

Spencer Aguiar Other other
lost
Siwoo Kim over Justin Rose (head-to-head matchup) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 U.S. Open golf tournament at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club — Siwoo Kim vs Justin Rose matchup · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-16 ·

“But I took Siwoo Kim over Justin Rose.”

Si Woo Kim missed the cut (146, +6) while Justin Rose made the cut and finished +1 (281); Kim loses the head-to-head matchup. (Kim MC (+6) vs Rose +1 (281))

Spencer Aguiar Other futures
won
Andrew Putnam to make the cut (+105) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 U.S. Open golf tournament at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-16 ·

“Andrew Putnam to make the cut at plus 105.”

Andrew Putnam made the 36-hole cut at +4 (finished T65 at 14-over for the week) at the 2026 U.S. Open.

Spencer Aguiar Other futures
lost
Scottie Scheffler to win the U.S. Open · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 U.S. Open golf tournament at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-16 ·

“And like I said, it's not something that I normally do, but I am playing the chalk here with Scottie.”

Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open (276, -4); Scheffler finished T4 at even par, not a win. (Scheffler T4 (E))

Simon Hunter World Cup moneyline
lost
Morocco to beat Brazil (+450) · Hard Rock Bet
Morocco vs Brazil — FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C opener · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“morocco plays brazil right away they are right now plus 450 on hard rock to win that game against brazil i love that”

Brazil 1-1 Morocco (Group C, 2026-06-13); Morocco did not win (draw), so the moneyline loses. (Brazil 1-1 Morocco)

Simon Hunter World Cup spread
won
Morocco +0.5 vs Brazil (+130) · Hard Rock Bet
Morocco vs Brazil — FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C opener · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“if you want to just play half a goal they're minus they're plus one plus 130 so if you want to take plus point half you know you're already up half a goal to start the game so if they tie you win on morocco”

Brazil 1-1 Morocco (Group C, 2026-06-13); Morocco +0.5 covers on the draw. (Brazil 1-1 Morocco)

Simon Hunter World Cup futures
lost
Morocco to win Group C · Hard Rock Bet
FIFA World Cup 2026 — Group C winner · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“if you want to bet group c morocco i have no issue with that”

Brazil won Group C on goal difference; Morocco finished runner-up (both advanced, but Morocco did not win the group). (Group C final: Brazil 1st, Morocco 2nd, Scotland 3rd, Haiti 4th)

Simon Hunter World Cup moneyline
lost
Draw — United States vs Paraguay (+240) · Hard Rock Bet closed +290 · CLV -50¢
United States vs Paraguay — FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“the value to me is in the tie and again Americans don't like betting this stuff but it's plus 240 at Hard Rock that's good value”

USA 4, PAR 1 — USA 4, PAR 1; draw misses.

Anthony Dabbundo World Cup futures
won
United States to make the Round of 16 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet*
FIFA World Cup 2026 — United States to reach the Round of 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“the best way to bet America is not the group, but actually so you can bet to make the round of 16, and there's a there's a minus 110 out there i think that's the best way to bet the u.s”

The United States won Group D and then beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32 to reach the Round of 16. (USA def. Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 (Round of 32))

Anthony Dabbundo World Cup futures
won
Colombia to win their group (+250) · Hard Rock Bet*
FIFA World Cup 2026 — Colombia's group (over Portugal) · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“I also like Colombia to win their group over Portugal. They're like plus 250.”

Colombia topped Group K (2 wins, 1 draw vs Portugal) to win the group over Portugal, who finished runner-up. (Group K final: Colombia 1st (7 pts), Portugal 2nd (4 pts))

Anthony Dabbundo World Cup futures
lost
Ecuador to make the Round of 16 (+175) · Hard Rock Bet*
FIFA World Cup 2026 — Ecuador to reach the Round of 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-11 ·

“they are 5-1 to make the quarter 6-1 and like plus 175 to make the round of 16”

Ecuador advanced from the group stage but lost 2-0 to Mexico in the Round of 32, failing to reach the Round of 16. (Mexico def. Ecuador 2-0 (Round of 32))

Jason Timpf NBA spread
lost
New York Knicks -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 ·

“So I do think that I like the Knicks side of this line.”

NY 107, SA 106 — New York Knicks margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NBA futures
lost
San Antonio Spurs in 7 (+550) · Hard Rock Bet*
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals series · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 ·

“I think Spurs in seven feels like that's fun value for me to bet right now. So I'm going to take a little on that.”

San Antonio Spurs lost the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1; did not win in 7.

Chad Millman NBA futures
lost
Karl-Anthony Towns to win NBA Finals MVP (+800) · Hard Rock Bet*
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 ·

“i still like that eight to one line there for cat”

Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.

Jason Timpf NBA futures
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (+210) · Hard Rock Bet*
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals series · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 ·

“I'm going to go Knicks in six.”

Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 games (4-1), not 6.

Jason Timpf NBA futures
lost
Carl Anthony Towns to win Finals MVP (+1200) · Hard Rock Bet
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-04 ·

“It's the value. 12 to 1 is such a ridiculous number to get a guy in Kat at who like I think, frankly, was their best player last night.”

Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson (Knicks) did.

Jason Timpf NBA futures
won
New York Knicks to win the series (-140) · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-04 ·

“so to get him at minus 140 that's a pretty a pretty decent value in my opinion right now”

New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals series 4-1 over the San Antonio Spurs.

Jason Timpf NBA futures
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (exact series result) (+300) · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-04 ·

“so i'm gonna go i'm gonna go knicks in six”

Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 games (4-1), not 6.

Simon Hunter NBA futures
lost
Carl Anthony Towns to win Finals MVP (+1200) · Hard Rock Bet
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-04 ·

“i think that calf position especially a hard rock 12 to 1 that's crazy good value like to me he should be closer to 7 to 1 8 to 1 so i'm gonna take that free free money”

Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.

Michael Leboff NHL total
lost
First period 0-0 (Under 0.5 goals in 1st period) · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — Stanley Cup Final Game 1 · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-02 ·

“I would, like I said, I like the first period to be zero, zero.”

CAR 4, VGK 5 — Combined 9; under 0.5 busts.

Michael Leboff NHL futures
lost
Vegas Golden Knights to win the series (+125) · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — Stanley Cup Final (series) · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-02 ·

“So, yeah, I'd much rather bet Vegas.”

Vegas Golden Knights lost the 2026 Stanley Cup Final 4-2 to the Carolina Hurricanes.

Michael Leboff NHL futures
lost
Tomas Hertl most goals in the series (+3500) · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — Stanley Cup Final (series) · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-02 ·

“He's 35 to one most goals in the series. I think that's a really good bet.”

Jordan Staal led the Cup Final with 6 goals; Hertl was not the series' top goal scorer. (Hurricanes beat Golden Knights 4-2; Staal 6 goals)

Michael Leboff NHL futures
lost
Mitch Marner to win the Conn Smythe (+170) · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights — Stanley Cup Final (series) · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-02 ·

“so you could just bet mitch marner to win this the con smith if you like vegas and you'll get plus 170 which is a better price than the series price obviously”

Mitch Marner did not win the 2026 Conn Smythe; Carolina captain Jordan Staal did.

Simon Hunter NBA futures
won
San Antonio Spurs to win the series (-105) · Hard Rock Bet
San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Western Conference Finals (series) · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-19 ·

“i'm gonna get my car go make some bets here because it's like san antonio feels like good value especially at some books i'm looking right now they're minus 105 minus 110”

Spurs beat Thunder 4-3 in the 2026 West Conf Finals (won Game 7, May 30) to reach the NBA Finals. (San Antonio won Game 7 111-103 on the road.)

Simon Hunter NBA spread
lost
Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 2 · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-19 ·

“I put a small bet on the adjusted line. I took OKC like minus 13 and a half points.”

OKC 122, SA 113 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +9 vs line -13.5; busts.

Jason Timpf NBA spread
lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks — NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 1 · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-19 ·

“I actually think I like the Cavs side of that for two reasons”

NY 115, CLE 104 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.

Jason Timpf NBA futures
won
New York Knicks to reach the NBA Finals (+475) · Hard Rock Bet
New York Knicks to reach the NBA Finals — Eastern Conference futures · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-19 ·

“I think the best value by far is on the Knicks.”

Knicks reached the 2026 NBA Finals, sweeping the Cavaliers 4-0 in the East Conf Finals. (Sweep completed May 25, 2026; first Finals trip since 1999.)

Mike Conti Other futures
void
The Puma (#9) to win the Kentucky Derby (+1000) · Hard Rock Bet*
Kentucky Derby (152nd running) at Churchill Downs — 20-horse field of three-year-olds · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-29 ·

“And I kept coming back to the Puma.”

The Puma (#9) was scratched before the 2026 Kentucky Derby (leg injury); win bet refunds. (The Puma scratched; Golden Tempo (23-1) won the Derby.)

Mike Conti Other futures
lost
Chief Wallaby (#12) to win the Kentucky Derby (+800) · Hard Rock Bet*
Kentucky Derby (152nd running) at Churchill Downs — 20-horse field of three-year-olds · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-29 ·

“wouldn't put it past him another horse at decent odds of eight to one that I'm”

Chief Wallaby (#12) finished 4th in the 2026 Kentucky Derby; win bet loses. (Golden Tempo won; Chief Wallaby finished 4th.)

Mike Conti Other other
void
Exacta key box keying #9 The Puma over #6 Commandment, #8 So Happy, #12 Chief Wallaby, #15 Emerging Market, #18 Further Adieu · Hard Rock Bet*
Kentucky Derby (152nd running) at Churchill Downs — 20-horse field of three-year-olds · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-29 ·

“be an exact a key box keying the nine with the six the eight the 12 the 15 and the 18”

Exacta keyed The Puma (#9) on top, but The Puma was scratched; exacta refunds. (The Puma scratched. Exacta finish: Golden Tempo over Renegade.)

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Jeremiah Love over 4.5 (draft position) (+120) · Hard Rock Bet
2026 NFL Draft (Round 1) — Jeremiah Love draft position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-23 ·

“So right now at Hard Rock, you can get over four and a half on him at plus 120.”

Jeremiyah Love went No. 3 to the Cardinals; over 4.5 draft position loses (drafted higher than 4.5). (Jeremiyah Love: pick No. 3 overall.)

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Caleb Downs under 9.5 (draft position) (-110) · Hard Rock Bet
2026 NFL Draft (Round 1) — Caleb Downs draft position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-23 ·

“And at Hard Rock right now, it's minus 110, the under 9.5.”

Caleb Downs went No. 11 to the Cowboys; under 9.5 draft position loses. (Caleb Downs: pick No. 11 overall.)

Derek Brown NFL futures
won
Carnell Tate under 7.5 (draft position) (+105) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft (Round 1) — Carnell Tate draft position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-23 ·

“The three that I have for everybody today is Carnell Tate under seven and a half.”

Carnell Tate drafted No. 4 by the Titans; under 7.5 draft position cashes. (Carnell Tate: pick No. 4 overall.)

Derek Brown NFL futures
lost
Houston Texans to draft a linebacker with their first pick (+1500) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Houston Texans first pick position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-23 ·

“Houston to draft a linebacker with their first pick.”

Texans' first pick (No. 26) was guard Keylan Rutledge, not a linebacker. (Houston first selection: Keylan Rutledge, G, Georgia Tech (No. 26).)

Derek Brown NFL futures
won
Minnesota Vikings to draft a defensive lineman or edge with their first pick (+250) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Minnesota Vikings first pick position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-23 ·

“But this all goes down to they could take a defensive lineman or an edge with their first pick.”

Vikings' first pick (No. 18) was DT Caleb Banks, a defensive lineman; bet cashes. (Minnesota first selection: Caleb Banks, DT, Florida (No. 18).)

Derek Brown NFL prop
won
Mesidor under 25.5 draft position (+110) · Hard Rock Bet
2026 NFL Draft — first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-21 ·

“Mesidor under 25 and a half.”

Mesidor drafted No. 22 overall by the Chargers — under 25.5 wins. (Akheem Mesidor, pick #22 (LAC), 2026 NFL Draft Round 1)

Derek Brown NFL prop
won
Spencer Fano to be first offensive lineman selected (+200) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-21 ·

“I'm willing to put a unit down on that as him being the first offensive lineman selected.”

Spencer Fano was the first offensive lineman selected in the 2026 NFL Draft, taken 9th overall by the Cleveland Browns on April 23, 2026. (Fano drafted No. 9 overall by Cleveland Browns; confirmed first OL off the board in 2026 draft.)

Derek Brown NFL prop
lost
Seattle Seahawks first position drafted to be defensive lineman or edge (+400) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — first round, Seattle Seahawks first pick · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-21 ·

“Seattle, first position drafted, a defensive lineman or an edge at plus 400.”

Seahawks' first pick was RB Jadarian Price (Notre Dame) at No. 32 overall — not a DL or edge rusher. (Pick No. 32: Jadarian Price, RB, Notre Dame (Round 1, 2026 NFL Draft))

Simon Hunter NFL prop
won
Over 1.5 quarterbacks drafted in the first round (-150) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-21 ·

“You can do that, but I'm just going to take the minus 150 or minus 160.”

2 QBs drafted in Round 1 (Fernando Mendoza #1 to Raiders, Ty Simpson #13 to Rams); over 1.5 wins. (Round 1 QBs: Fernando Mendoza (Pick 1, LV Raiders), Ty Simpson (Pick 13, LA Rams) — 2 total.)

Chad Millman NFL futures
lost
Reuben Bain to be drafted top 5 (+350) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Reuben Bain draft position · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-16 ·

“I would take the plus 350. Okay. Yeah. You know, why not? Take a fire. I don't mind it. Go against the grain a little bit.”

Rueben Bain Jr. was not drafted top 5; he went 15th overall to Tampa Bay. (Bain Jr., DE, pick 15 (Buccaneers).)

Simon Hunter NFL other
won
Over 1.5 quarterbacks drafted in the first round (-130) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — quarterbacks taken in the first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-16 ·

“And I'll probably just do the over one and a half, which at this point, minus 130. I got to do it. I've been waiting. I've been on the sideline, but I just think it's too tempting.”

Two quarterbacks went in round 1 (Mendoza, Simpson), clearing the over 1.5. (QBs: Fernando Mendoza (1), Ty Simpson (13).)

Jason Timpf NBA moneyline
lost
Miami Heat ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +199 · CLV -6¢
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets — NBA Eastern Conference Play-In · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-14 ·

“betting games to look at is miami over charlotte”

CHA 127, MIA 126 — Miami Heat lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Over 5.5 wide receivers drafted in the first round (+180) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft (Pittsburgh) — first round · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-07 ·

“This year, I already have a plus 180 bet on over five and a half receivers.”

Only 5 wide receivers went in round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft; under 5.5, so the over loses. (Round-1 WRs: Tate (4), Tyson (8), Lemon (20), Concepcion (24), Cooper Jr. (30).)

Joshua Nunn CBB prop
won
Tarris Reed Jr. over 15.5 points · Hard Rock Bet* closed +14.5 · CLV -1
Illinois vs UConn — NCAA Men's Final Four (Final Four semifinal) · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-02 ·

“I like over 15 and a half points for Terrace Reed.”

CONN 71, ILL 62 — Tarris Reed Jr.: 17 points vs over 15.5; covers. (Tarris Reed Jr.: 17 points)

Chad Millman CBB moneyline
won
UConn Huskies ML (outright as +2 underdog) · Hard Rock Bet closed +110 · CLV 0¢
Illinois vs UConn — NCAA Men's Final Four (Final Four semifinal) · Sharp or Square, 2026-04-02 ·

“but we got to take UConn's money line. I mean, what show would this be if we don't take UConn's”

CONN 71, ILL 62 — UConn Huskies won; moneyline covers.

Derek Brown NFL prop
lost
Over 5.5 wide receivers drafted in Round 1 (+185) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Round 1 (number of wide receivers drafted) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-31 ·

“I mean, right now you can get over five and a half wide receivers at plus 185 plus money at some books.”

Only 5 WRs were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Tate #4, Tyson #8, Lemon #20, Concepcion #24, Cooper #30), falling short of the 5.5 line. (Round 1 WRs: Carnell Tate (4), Jordyn Tyson (8), Makai Lemon (20), KC Concepcion (24), Omar Cooper Jr. (30) — 5 total, under 5.5.)

Derek Brown NFL prop
won
Over 7.5 offensive linemen drafted in Round 1 (+100) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Round 1 (number of offensive linemen drafted) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-31 ·

“Yeah, both of those give me the overs because history is showing in a lot of”

9 offensive linemen were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft — over the 7.5 line. Bet wins. (OL drafted in Round 1: 9 (Spencer Fano, Francis Mauigoa, Kadyn Proctor, Vega Ioane, Keylan Rutledge, and 4 others). Line: 7.5.)

Derek Brown NFL prop
lost
Reuben Bain to be drafted 2nd overall (+1000) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Reuben Bain draft position · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-31 ·

“And if you want to talk about just stacking up production, if I'm going to get plus 1,000, plus 1,400 in some spots on Reuben Bain to go second overall, yes, please.”

Reuben Bain Jr. was NOT drafted 2nd overall; he went 15th overall to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The #2 pick was David Bailey (EDGE, Texas Tech) to the NY Jets. (Reuben Bain Jr. drafted 15th overall by Tampa Bay Buccaneers on April 23, 2026.)

Simon Hunter NFL prop
won
Over 1.5 quarterbacks drafted in Round 1 (-250) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Round 1 (number of quarterbacks drafted) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-31 ·

“like over one and a half quarterbacks.”

Exactly 2 QBs were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Fernando Mendoza #1 to Raiders, Ty Simpson #13 to Rams); 2 > 1.5, so Over 1.5 wins. (Round 1 QBs: Fernando Mendoza (Pick 1, Raiders), Ty Simpson (Pick 13, Rams) — 2 total.)

Simon Hunter NFL prop
lost
Over 5.5 wide receivers drafted in Round 1 (+185) · Hard Rock Bet*
2026 NFL Draft — Round 1 (number of wide receivers drafted) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-31 ·

“wide receiver but that's when i jumped out to me right away it did open at five four and a half”

Only 5 WRs drafted in Round 1 (Tate, Tyson, Lemon, Concepcion, Cooper Jr.) — under the 5.5 line; Over bet loses. (5 WRs in Round 1: Carnell Tate (No. 4), Jordyn Tyson (No. 8), Makai Lemon (No. 20), KC Concepcion (No. 24), Omar Cooper Jr. (No. 30).)

Joshua Nunn CBB spread
lost
Purdue -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV +1
Texas vs Purdue — NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“I mean, I really like Purdue laying the six and a half.”

PUR 79, TEX 77 — Purdue Boilermakers margin +2 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter CBB moneyline
won
Iowa ML (+110) · Hard Rock Bet closed +110 · CLV 0¢
Iowa vs Nebraska — NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“Give me Iowa plus 110 at Hard Rock.”

NEB 71, IOWA 77 — Iowa Hawkeyes won; moneyline covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
lost
Under 142.5 · Hard Rock Bet
St. John's vs Duke — NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“my best bet here is under 142.5 between St. John's and Duke.”

DUKE 80, SJU 75 — Combined 155; under 142.5 busts.

Chad Millman CBB moneyline
won
Tennessee ML (+155) · Hard Rock Bet closed +149 · CLV +6¢
Tennessee vs Iowa State — NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“the Tennessee Volunteers plus 155 versus Iowa State”

ISU 62, TENN 76 — Tennessee Volunteers won; moneyline covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB other
won
Over 2.5 (3 or more seed-line upsets in the Sweet 16) (+113) · Hard Rock Bet*
NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 — exotic on number of seed-line upsets across all eight games · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“So I do have an exotic here.”

Exactly 3 seed-line upsets in the 2026 Sweet 16, clearing the over 2.5. (Upsets: 5 Iowa over 4 Nebraska, 3 Illinois over 2 Houston, 6 Tennessee over 2 Iowa State.)

Chad Millman CBB futures
lost
UConn to win the NCAA Tournament (+2500) · Hard Rock Bet*
NCAA Tournament — national championship futures · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-26 ·

“That's my pick to win it all.”

UConn lost the 2026 national championship game to Michigan 63-69; future busts. (Michigan 69, UConn 63 (April 6, Lucas Oil Stadium).)

Sean Zerillo MLB moneyline
lost
Minnesota Twins ML (+130) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +118 · CLV +12¢
Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles — MLB Opening Day · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-24 ·

“certainly on opening day. It was my biggest projected edge when I first opened up the numbers.”

BAL 2, MIN 1 — Minnesota Twins lost; moneyline busts.

Joshua Nunn CBB spread
lost
SMU -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet
SMU at Miami (OH) — NCAA Tournament First Four play-in · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“well the one I like here Hard Rock actually has the best price out there So if you like this play go to Hard Rock and bet it SMU minus six and a half is what I like here in the first four”

SMU 79, M-OH 89 — SMU Mustangs margin -10 vs line -6.5; busts.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
won
Wisconsin team total Over 87.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
High Point vs Wisconsin — NCAA Tournament first round (Thursday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“so I like Wisconsin's team total over 87”

WIS 82, HPU 83 — Combined 165; over 87.5 covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
won
Under 136.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +136.5 · CLV 0
Siena vs Duke — NCAA Tournament first round (Thursday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“So I like the under at 136.5. I've got this one about 78 to 52 type of game.”

DUKE 71, SIE 65 — Combined 136; under 136.5 covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
won
Under 136.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +138 · CLV -1.5
Idaho vs Houston — NCAA Tournament first round (Thursday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“We're going to go Idaho Houston under 136 and a half. Kelvin Sampson is a great under coach”

HOU 78, IDHO 47 — Combined 125; under 136.5 covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
won
Under 152 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +157.5 · CLV -5.5
Long Island (LIU) vs Arizona — NCAA Tournament first round (Friday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“So Long Island and Arizona, this is a dead nut under 152.”

ARIZ 92, LIU 58 — Combined 150; under 152 covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
lost
Wright State team total Under 63.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Wright State vs Virginia — NCAA Tournament first round (Friday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“So I taking their team total under 63 and a half”

UVA 82, WRST 73 — Combined 155; under 63.5 busts.

Joshua Nunn CBB total
won
Under 138 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +141.5 · CLV -3.5
Cal Baptist vs Kansas — NCAA Tournament first round (Friday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“I also think it's an under game, 138.”

KU 68, CBU 60 — Combined 128; under 138 covers.

Joshua Nunn CBB futures
won
Sum of Final Four seeds Under 9.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
NCAA Tournament 2026 — sum of seeds of the four Final Four teams · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“If you look at the total sum of the seeds to make the final four, you can find a book out there that has over under nine and a half.”

Final Four was Michigan (1), Arizona (1), UConn (2), Illinois (3); seed sum = 7, under 9.5. (1+1+2+3 = 7.)

Joshua Nunn CBB futures
lost
WCC total tournament wins Over 3.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
NCAA Tournament 2026 — total tournament wins by WCC participants (Gonzaga, Saint Mary's, Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“Total number of wins accumulated by participants from the WCC. So you got the Zags”

WCC teams totaled just 1 tournament win; under the 3.5 needed. (Gonzaga 1 win (lost R2 to Texas); Saint Mary's 0 (lost R1 to Texas A&M); Santa Clara 0 (lost R1 OT to Kentucky).)

Simon Hunter CBB spread
lost
Wisconsin -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -13.5 · CLV +4
High Point vs Wisconsin — NCAA Tournament first round (Thursday) · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-17 ·

“I'm definitely betting Wisconsin minus 10, minus 10.5 at Hard Rock.”

WIS 82, HPU 83 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -1 vs line -9.5; busts.

Simon Hunter Other futures
won
One Battle After Another to win Best Picture · Hard Rock Bet*
98th Academy Awards (Oscars) — Best Picture · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-12 ·

“I bet this in parlays.”

One Battle After Another won Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards (Mar 15, 2026). (Took 6 of 13 nominations including Best Picture and Best Director.)

Simon Hunter Other futures
won
Michael B. Jordan to win Best Actor (+201) · Hard Rock Bet*
98th Academy Awards (Oscars) — Best Actor · Sharp or Square, 2026-03-12 ·

“and I did invest in Michael B. Jordan at, like, 201”

Michael B. Jordan won Best Actor (for Sinners) at the 98th Academy Awards. (Beat Chalamet, Hawke, and DiCaprio; first Oscar win.)

Jason Timpf NBA futures
lost
Cade Cunningham to win NBA MVP (+1400) · Hard Rock Bet
2025-26 NBA Most Valuable Player award futures · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-17 ·

“Cade's the one guy that I'm like, man, plus 1,400 right now in hard rock bet.”

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won 2025-26 NBA MVP (announced May 17, 2026); Cade Cunningham did not win. (MVP finalists: Gilgeous-Alexander, Wembanyama, Jokic; Cade not a finalist.)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -6.5 (+115) · Hard Rock Bet closed -4.5 · CLV -2
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock Bet is one of those Seattle alts, Seattle minus six and a half plus 115 at Hard Rock Bet.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL other
won
New England Patriots first drive to punt (-113) · Hard Rock Bet
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“New England Patriots first drive punt minus one third teen.”

Patriots punted on their first possession of Super Bowl LX (three-and-out, derailed by a Derick Hall sack); bet on first drive to punt cashes. (8 of Patriots' first 9 possessions ended in a punt; Seahawks won 29-13.)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV +1
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“I bet the Seahawks at minus three and a half”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“I bet the Seahawks again at four and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Seattle Seahawks -25.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“at minus 25 and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -25.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Kenneth Walker III over 20 receiving yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +22.5 · CLV +2.5
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“I said last week I liked Kenneth Walker over his receiving yardage total”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards vs over 20; covers. (Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards)

Brandon Anderson NFL total
lost
New England Patriots team total Under 20.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“Patriots team total under 20 and a half. That's the first bet I'm going to give out here.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 20.5 busts.

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
won
Either team defense or special teams touchdown (+265) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“either team, defense or special teams touchdown, plus 265.”

Seahawks' Uchenna Nwosu returned a 45-yard interception for a pick-six (defensive TD) in Super Bowl LX; bet wins at +265. (SEA 29, NE 13 — Nwosu 45-yd pick-six; Seahawks forced 3 turnovers, sacked Maye 6 times.)

Brandon Anderson NFL parlay
lost
Patriots defense/special teams TD + New England Patriots ML (+2700) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·
  • New England Patriots defense or special teams touchdown pending
  • New England Patriots ML closed +195 · CLV +4¢ lost

“Patriots defense special team touchdown with their money line plus 2700. You have both together.”

Parlay busts: New England Patriots defense or special teams touchdown — manual; New England Patriots ML — lost.

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Any defensive player to win Super Bowl MVP (+1500) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“Defensive MVP you can get just at 15 to one.”

Super Bowl LX MVP was Kenneth Walker III (RB, Seahawks), an offensive player — defensive MVP prop loses. (Walker: 135 rushing yards, 26 receiving yards (161 total); Seahawks won 29-13.)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Rashid Shaheed over 2.5 rushing yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +2
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“for the deadline and we're going to run it back rashid shaheed rushing yards over two and a half”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards vs over 2.5; busts. (Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Rashid Shaheed to have the longest rush of the game (+3000) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“what player will have the longest rush in the game rashid shaheed 30 to 1 if we don't think”

Shaheed rushed once for -5 yards in Super Bowl LX; Kenneth Walker III had the game's longest rush (~30 yards) en route to 135-yard MVP performance. Seahawks won 29-13. (Shaheed: 1 carry, -5 yds. Kenneth Walker III: 27 carries, 135 yds, long of ~30 yds (Super Bowl LX MVP).)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Kenneth Walker III over 2.5 receptions · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“Over two and a half receptions.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 2 receptions vs over 2.5; busts. (Kenneth Walker III: 2 receptions)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Kenneth Walker III over 30 receiving yards (+160) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“And I'm going to play my escalator on yardage here, 30 yards plus 160.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards vs over 30; busts. (Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Hunter Henry over 39.5 receiving yards (+105) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +39.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“So I like over 39 and a half Hunter Henry yards.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 39.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)

Brandon Anderson NFL prop
lost
Hunter Henry over 50 receiving yards (+155) · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“So over 39 and a half, but 50 yards plus 155.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 50; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“our five official Super Bowl contest picks. Are you ready? Seattle minus four and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New England Patriots first half +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“First half, New England plus three and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — New England Patriots margin -16 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL total
won
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +45.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“Over, under, we're going with the total under 45 and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 45.5 covers.

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Drake Maye over 19.5 completions · Hard Rock Bet*
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“completions over 19 and a half.”

Drake Maye completed 27 of 43 passes in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026), clearing the 19.5 completion line easily. (Maye: 27/43, 295 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT — 27 completions vs. 19.5 line)

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Rhamondre Stevenson under 53.5 rushing yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +48.5 · CLV +5
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Super Bowl · Sharp or Square, 2026-02-05 ·

“And we're going with Remondre Stevenson, total rush yards,”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 rushing_yards vs under 53.5; covers. (Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 rushing_yards)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV +1
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I took a position on the Patriots at 3.5. Seahawks. I mean on the Seahawks at 3.5.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I bet the Seahawks again at four and a half just because the juice was still at minus 110 at one book and it was moving at minus 112, minus 15 at other books.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
1st Quarter Under 7.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I gave him one of my favorite bets first quarter under seven and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 7.5 busts.

Evan Abrams NFL prop
won
Drake Maye over 29 rushing yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +35.5 · CLV +6.5
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“My first bet I made which turns out to get some great CLV and you love to see that I took Drake May over 29 rushing yards It is now at like 38 I see in the market somewhere So that bet long gone”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 29; covers. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)

Evan Abrams NFL prop
lost
Stefon Diggs under 18.5 longest reception · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I took Stefan Diggs under 18.5 longest reception. I believe that's only down to 17.5 on the market.”

Diggs had a 26-yard reception in Super Bowl LX (3 catches, 37 yards); longest reception of 26 yards cleared the 18.5 line, so under loses. (Diggs: 3 rec, 37 yds, longest = 26 yds (vs. 18.5 line))

Evan Abrams NFL other
won
Seattle Seahawks to win 1st half and full game (+130) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I'll take Seattle first half and full game. You're getting like plus 130, plus 140 range, depending on the book, which is a lot different than that minus 230 on the money line.”

Seahawks led at halftime and won Super Bowl LX (1st half + full game). (Seattle led 9-0 at half and won 29-13.)

Evan Abrams NFL total
lost
1st Quarter Under 9.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-29 ·

“I took under nine and a half. I'm asking you to shop out there. I took first quarter under nine and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 9.5 busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV +1
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“I bet the Seahawks minus three and a half immediately.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL futures
lost
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“I bet Darnold at some plus number that's come down to win MVP.”

Kenneth Walker won Super Bowl LX MVP; Sam Darnold did not. (Walker rushed for 135 yards in Seattle's 29-13 win.)

Chad Millman NFL futures
lost
Rashid Shaheed to win Super Bowl MVP · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“I bet Rashid Shahid to win MVP.”

Kenneth Walker won Super Bowl LX MVP; Rashid Shaheed did not. (Walker rushed for 135 yards in Seattle's 29-13 win.)

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Kenneth Walker over 20.5 receiving yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +22.5 · CLV +2
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“And then I also bet Kenneth Walker over 20 and a half receiving yards because we've seen like week after week he's getting more and more involved in their pass game”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards vs over 20.5; covers. (Kenneth Walker III: 26 receiving_yards)

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
First quarter Under 7.5 (-115) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“of money that that's going to be one of my bigger positions.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 7.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL other
lost
Safety to be first score (approx +8000 to +10000) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Super Bowl LX (Santa Clara) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-27 ·

“wherever it's going to be i'm going to be making that bet”

First score of Super Bowl LX was a Seattle field goal, not a safety. (Opening score: 33-yard Jason Myers field goal.)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4 · CLV -0.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“We still like them at three and a half.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
Over 42.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +43 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“We're also on this game over 42 and a half in the contest.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Combined 17; over 42.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL prop
lost
Jared Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“I'm over his 31 and a half passing attempts.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Jarrett Stidham: 31 passing_attempts vs over 31.5; busts. (Jarrett Stidham: 31 passing_attempts)

Simon Hunter NFL prop
lost
Jared Stidham over 260 passing yards (alt) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“I think I did an alt over his 260 passing yards.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Jarrett Stidham: 133 passing_yards vs over 260; busts. (Jarrett Stidham: 133 passing_yards)

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Drake May over 40 rushing yards · Hard Rock Bet* closed +30.5 · CLV -9.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“I took Drake May over 40 rushing yards.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Drake Maye: 65 rushing_yards vs over 40; covers. (Drake Maye: 65 rushing_yards)

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
SGP: Stidham over 260 passing yards + Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts + Drake Maye over 40 rushing yards · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·
  • Jared Stidham over 260 passing yards lost
  • Jared Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts lost
  • Drake Maye over 40 rushing yards closed +30.5 · CLV -9.5 won

“the SGP I did was Stidham over 260 passing yards, [9:08] Stidham over 30, it's 32 plus passing attempts, [9:12] and Drake May 40 plus rushing yards.”

Parlay busts: Jared Stidham over 260 passing yards +260 — lost; Jared Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts +31.5 — lost; Drake Maye over 40 rushing yards +40 — won.

Chad Millman NFL prop
won
Jared Stidham over 0.5 interceptions (to throw an INT) (-140) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“we like Stidham over the half and interception”

Stidham threw 1 INT (over 0.5), bet wins. Patriots defeated Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship. (Stidham threw 1 INT (intercepted by Christian Gonzalez in Q4); Patriots won 10-7.)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — NFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“We are on the Seahawks. That's our brass balls.”

SEA 31, LAR 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL prop
lost
Jaxon Smith-Njigba no touchdown (under 0.5 TD) (-110) · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — NFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-25 ·

“We decided to go with Jackson Smith and Jigba under half a touchdown, basically no touchdown.”

JSN caught a 14-yard TD pass from Darnold in the NFC Championship; under 0.5 TD loses. (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 10 rec, 153 yds, 1 TD — Seahawks 31, Rams 27)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4 · CLV +1.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“as soon as we got off the show I bet it”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“I'm taking Denver plus four and a half.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL prop
lost
Jarrett Stidham over 31.5 pass attempts · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“Let's go Jarrett Stidham over pass attempts.”

Stidham finished 17-of-31 (31 attempts) vs. Patriots in the AFC Championship — under the 31.5 line; bet loses. (Jarrett Stidham: 17/31, 133 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT — Broncos lost 10-7)

Simon Hunter NFL prop
lost
Troy Franklin anytime touchdown · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — AFC Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“You have to bet a Franklin touchdown anytime prop.”

Troy Franklin was ruled inactive for the AFC Championship (hamstring), did not play, and scored no TD. Patriots won 10-7. (Franklin inactive (hamstring); Broncos lost 10-7 to Patriots; 0 Franklin touches/TDs.)

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl · Hard Rock Bet*
Denver Broncos to win Super Bowl LX (2025 NFL season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“I did give out the Super Bowl future just because that's where the value is.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

Chad Millman NFL futures
lost
Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl · Hard Rock Bet*
Denver Broncos to win Super Bowl LX (2025 NFL season) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-22 ·

“I don't think we're betting money line on the Broncos here. I did take a taste of”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4 · CLV +1.5
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — NFL AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-20 ·

“Simon says, give me the Denver Broncos.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Denver Broncos to win Super Bowl (+1300) · Hard Rock Bet*
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — NFL AFC Conference Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-20 ·

“take the Broncos at 13 to 1 for the Super Bowl.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts (Patriots were AFC rep). (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

Chad Millman CFB spread
lost
Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -7.5 · CLV 0
Indiana Hoosiers vs Miami Hurricanes — College Football Playoff National Championship at Hard Rock Stadium · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-18 ·

“I bet the Hoosiers at minus 7.5 while I'm here in Florida”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV -1
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“And for the last one, if I had to stick it in, I guess I would go Rams over Denver here”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams first half -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“first half. It's minus two and a half”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
First half Under 23.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-17 ·

“the Rams and Chicago the first half under we liked it at 25 and a half on Tuesday It a 23 and a half We still recommending you take the under at 23 and a half Let get a quick word from our”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 23.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV +2.5
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“It really was two or three really smart groups came in on Denver with me,”

DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
Under 41 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +41 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“our Brass Balls Bet of the Week presented by Hard Rock Bet We going under 41 You know what it takes It takes brass balls”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 41 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +41 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“our Brass Balls Bet of the Week presented by Hard Rock Bet We going under 41 You know what it takes It takes brass balls”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“I'll go Patriots minus three.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — New England Patriots margin +12 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“Patriots minus three.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — New England Patriots margin +12 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -4 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“it's been cold but this is a different beast so yeah i'm i i i'm betting the rams i can't believe”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 49 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +48.5 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“gonna take the under as well and uh for betting right now i'm with chad i i've taken the ramps”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 49 covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
First half Under 24.5 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round, first half · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“first half i've taken the ramps first half under i think it was 24 and a half if you can still get”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 24.5 busts.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
First half Under 24 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Divisional Round, first half · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“Bears first half under.”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 24 busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Parlay: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 and Buffalo Bills +1 · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog parlay — Bills @ Broncos and 49ers @ Seahawks, NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·
  • San Francisco 49ers +7.5 closed +6.5 · CLV +1 pending
  • Buffalo Bills +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost

“I don hate that either It up to you locally Let do Niners and Bills If those and Bills Do you like the Bills for Niners better for underdog parlay”

Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 +7.5 — pending; Buffalo Bills +1 +1 — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
Parlay: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 and Buffalo Bills +1 · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog parlay — Bills @ Broncos and 49ers @ Seahawks, NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·
  • San Francisco 49ers +7.5 closed +6.5 · CLV +1 pending
  • Buffalo Bills +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost

“I don hate that either It up to you locally Let do Niners and Bills If those and Bills Do you like the Bills for Niners better for underdog parlay”

Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 +7.5 — pending; Buffalo Bills +1 +1 — lost.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Parlay: New England Patriots -3 and Los Angeles Rams -4 · Hard Rock Bet*
Favorites parlay — Texans @ Patriots and Rams @ Bears, NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·
  • New England Patriots -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
  • Los Angeles Rams -4 closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost

“Pats and ramps. Let's do it. Let's do it.”

Parlay busts: New England Patriots -3 -3 — won; Los Angeles Rams -4 -4 — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
Parlay: New England Patriots -3 and Los Angeles Rams -4 · Hard Rock Bet*
Favorites parlay — Texans @ Patriots and Rams @ Bears, NFL Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·
  • New England Patriots -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
  • Los Angeles Rams -4 closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost

“And for the favorites, I mean, you know I love Patriots.”

Parlay busts: New England Patriots -3 -3 — won; Los Angeles Rams -4 -4 — lost.

Joshua Nunn CFB spread
lost
Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV -1
Indiana Hoosiers vs Miami Hurricanes — College Football National Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“I laid the eight and a half with Indiana.”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -8.5; busts.

Joshua Nunn CFB prop
won
Charlie Becker over 2.5 receptions · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Indiana Hoosiers vs Miami Hurricanes — College Football National Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-15 ·

“Charlie Becker, the receiver for Indiana, number 80, over two and a half receptions.”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Charlie Becker: 4 receptions vs over 2.5; covers. (Charlie Becker: 4 receptions)

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV +2
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“Yeah, Jack, give me a Denver Broncos, Simon Says, plus one, brother.”

DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +1; covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +44.25 · CLV +1.3
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“is going to be the under 45 and a half Are you sure you want to do this Are you willing to make a choice What choice”

SEA 41, SF 6 — Combined 47; under 45.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +1
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“For me, though, I definitely feel more confident about taking the 49ers”

SEA 41, SF 6 — San Francisco 49ers margin -35 vs line +7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“I've already bet the plus three, and I bet the under right away.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin -12 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 41 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +41 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“I've already bet the plus three, and I bet the under right away.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.

Chad Millman NFL total
won
Under 50.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +48.5 · CLV +2
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears — NFL Playoffs Divisional Round · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“to 50 and a half i would grab that under”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 50.5 covers.

Simon Hunter CFB spread
lost
Indiana Hoosiers -13.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV -6
Indiana Hoosiers vs Miami Hurricanes — College Football Playoff National Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“Like I've already bet the minus 13 and a half on the Hoosiers.”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -13.5; busts.

Simon Hunter CFB moneyline
lost
Miami Hurricanes ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +250 · CLV +10¢
Indiana Hoosiers vs Miami Hurricanes — College Football Playoff National Championship · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-13 ·

“I'm definitely throwing a bet on the hurricanes money line.”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Miami Hurricanes lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card Round (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-12 ·

“Pittsburgh plus three and a half tonight”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“So I still love the Chargers here.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card Weekend · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-10 ·

“So you can still get the 105s, the minus 110s, the minus 3.5.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter CFB spread
won
Indiana Hoosiers -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV -0.5
Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers — College Football Playoff semifinal · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“So, um, interesting if it gets to four and a half at any point, maybe then I would take Oregon, but my three and a half, I'm happy taking the Hoosiers here.”

IU 56, ORE 22 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +34 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -10 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Los Angeles Rams at the Carolina Panthers.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -10 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“is better the week chad but i i'm with you it's uh minus 10 at hard rock that's too good of a”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“I'd still grab it now minus one and a half.”

CHI 31, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL total
lost
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +46.5 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“So I'll take Bears, Packers under 45 and a half.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +46.5 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Yeah, I love the under as well.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +3
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“chad i'm going to i'm going to draw draw a line here i'm going to take the jags i'll take them”

JAX 24, BUF 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“I like the side and I like the total.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Eagles, minus four and a half.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL total
won
Under 44.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44.5 · CLV 0
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Love the total.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44.5 covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 44 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44.5 · CLV -0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“This was my favorite total Unfortunately it has come down I did open 46 and now it been hit down to 44 but I just don know how the 49ers are going to move the ball especially the fact that Trent Williams has not practiced yet again”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44 covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Simon, this is going to be our Brass Balls Bet of the Week.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“Chargers plus three and a half.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 42.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +45.5 · CLV -3
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“So I got this at 42 and a half.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Combined 19; under 42.5 covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-118) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“by far my biggest bet”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-118) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“at all I still like Pittsburgh up plus three that this changed honestly nothing for me obviously we”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 39.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +38 · CLV +1.5
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“going to be running the tape of these last couple months where Houston as great as they've been”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Combined 36; under 39.5 covers.

Chad Millman NFL total
won
Under 39.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +38 · CLV +1.5
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-08 ·

“once again other game me and Chad both love the under I think both teams have problems moving the ball offensively but eventually to me Rodgers will get you that why I just have faith in Rodgers he been there before it eventually he going to get you defensively and they”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Combined 36; under 39.5 covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -10 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock Bet. [13:40] Los Angeles Rams minus 10.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 46.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +45.25 · CLV +1.3
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“Take the under 46.5.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 46.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +3.5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“so you can get the plus one and a half on green Bay I grab it now”

CHI 31, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 45.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +46.5 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“Obviously I have invested in the under the under leave.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Over 51.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +51.5 · CLV 0
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“like the total is 51 and a half. And I'm going to take that over.”

JAX 24, BUF 27 — Combined 51; over 51.5 busts.

Simon Hunter NFL other
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars first half · Hard Rock Bet*
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“just invested in the Jacks first half. This is a Bill's team we've been talking a year about.”

Jaguars trailed at halftime of the Wild Card game; Bills led 10-7. (Bills beat Jaguars 27-24; halftime Bills 10, Jaguars 7.)

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Philadelphia Eagles -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV +2
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“And I'm going to grab it now.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 45 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44.5 · CLV +0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“Hammer that under.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 45 covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“on Sunday night at three and a half. It's one of the few numbers that kind of hasn't moved.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 46.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +45.5 · CLV +1
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“47 chads right down to 46 and a half so i keep betting that one this feels like a”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Combined 19; under 46.5 covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Wild Card · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“Biggest bet by far this week has been Pittsburgh on the three and a half.”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers to win the Super Bowl (55-1) (+5500) · Hard Rock Bet*
Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl LX — 2025 NFL season · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“I think this has the best value of 55 to one.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Steelers future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

Simon Hunter NFL futures
lost
Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl (~10-1) (+1000) · Hard Rock Bet*
Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LX — 2025 NFL season · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-06 ·

“I'm going to take the Eagles at longer odds than those two teams.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Eagles future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV -0.5
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“So, yeah, we're taking it.”

ATL 19, NO 17 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -9.5 · CLV +2
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“We're going with the Bengals.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Cincinnati Bengals ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -460 · CLV +60¢
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“I'm on the Bengals at the seven, I think. I'm also big on the Bengals”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Los Angeles Rams ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1300 · CLV +50¢
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“and the Rams money line today.”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4.5 · CLV -1
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“So give me the three and the hook with this Lions team.”

CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -14 · CLV +6.5
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“we have locked it in at seven and a half in the contest”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“Give me the Steelers plus three and a half, Chad.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Philadelphia Eagles -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“So it's just another line I'm betting.”

PHI 17, WSH 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“i'm gonna take the three on the cowboys now because i think that's”

NYG 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV +1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 18 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-04 ·

“So, yeah, no problem. Grab the four and a half. [36:27] I'm not going to keep giving out the stats. [36:29] It's just you bet the dog here. It's what we do.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“with the Carolina Panthers, plus two and a half.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Rico Dowdle over 25 rushing yards + Rico Dowdle anytime TD (+130) · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·
  • Rico Dowdle over 25 rushing yards lost
  • Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown pending

“I just want to point out I did bet Rico Dowdle”

Parlay busts: Rico Dowdle over 25 rushing yards +25 — lost; Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown — pending.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV -0.5
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“But the fact that it's three and a half, never going to avoid it. [29:21] Love this number for the Saints team.”

ATL 19, NO 17 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +2
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“Give me the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven and a half.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“So grab the three.”

CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -14 · CLV +6.5
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“Still good with it. Still like it. Still want to put it in the contest.”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·

“Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
ML parlay: Steelers + Panthers + 49ers + Saints (all underdogs to win SU) · Hard Rock Bet*
Week 18 moneyline underdog parlay: Steelers, Panthers, 49ers, Saints · Sharp or Square, 2026-01-01 ·
  • Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +169 · CLV -7¢ won
  • Carolina Panthers ML pending
  • San Francisco 49ers ML pending
  • New Orleans Saints ML closed +170 · CLV -16¢ lost

“I got Pittsburgh Carolina San Francisco New Orleans”

Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — pending; San Francisco 49ers ML — pending; New Orleans Saints ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Carolina Panthers ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +130 · CLV -2¢
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“but the three and a half and I bet the money line.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
lost
Carolina Panthers ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +130 · CLV -2¢
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“i i am with chad though i would take the money”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Panthers ML + Rico Dowdle anytime TD parlay · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·
  • Carolina Panthers ML closed +130 · CLV -2¢ lost
  • Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown pending

“And now I'm going to bet Rico Dowdle parlays.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown — manual.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV -1
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“And plus one and a half on the 49ers, that feels like a steal.”

SF 3, SEA 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +2.5
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“We bet the Bengals minus seven.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
lost
Cincinnati Bengals ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -460 · CLV +60¢
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“So I'm taking a pretty big position here on the Bengals money line,”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV -0.5
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“I like Chad like I bet Dallas now especially at minus three and a half”

NYG 34, DAL 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV +6
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“But I would still take this long. It's under seven on Minnesota.”

MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV +6
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“um we're sticking with minnesota and the brian flores defense here”

MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers +12.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“I'm definitely grabbing the 12 and a half while they're out there,”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line +12.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“So I'm simply just playing the number here.”

CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“So good That it We take the Lions”

CHI 16, DET 19 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -7 · Hard Rock Bet closed -14 · CLV +7
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“i'm taking the rams in a get right spot against a team that has no answers defensively and”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -7 · Hard Rock Bet closed -14 · CLV +7
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“yeah i'm right there with you i i like the rams obviously um they they let me down last night in”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 (Sunday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“we are dug in here on pittsburgh and”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 (Sunday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-30 ·

“three and a half, to be honest, because I still like the Steelers a lot. Simon says, give me”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“I think we leaning into it We taking a shot Lots of tickets on the Panthers So I like fading the public here”

CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“We currently have Tennessee plus two and a half in the contest. [6:54] I still love it. [6:55] This is the side of the wise guys, Tennessee.”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“We're betting Cleveland at home with a great defense that we hope returns to being a great defense. [9:33] And we're fading the Steelers in a road favorite anti-Mike Tomlin rah-rah spot.”

CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -2 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV +1
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“The Buffalo Bills, Simon, are going to be our rock in a hard place, hard rock, bet of the week.”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -2; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Chicago Bears +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 17 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“for the last game we've leaned into before we get to some that we're still considering [14:20] the chicago bears plus three and a half at the san francisco 49ers the sunday night”

SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-115) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“Number one, Carolina opened as a three-and-a-half-point road underdog against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I bet the three-and-a-half.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Carolina Panthers ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“I also bet the money line on the Carolina Panthers.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“For this Carolina game, I'm like you. Immediately, I'm going to grab that three.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“The other game, Pittsburgh hosting the Baltimore Ravens. They opened as three point underdogs. I also bet the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“I know it's a sucker bet right now, but I have to grab that number.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV +7
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“You can get Minnesota minus five and a half right now. Why would we not take that? Like they're playing for real.”

MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +2.5
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 18 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-28 ·

“Yeah, they're minus 7, minus 115, minus 110 in a couple books. I'm going to take it just in case it goes up.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“with all of our listeners because we both love the Texans here. I bet the Texans at two and a half.”

LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
won
Houston Texans ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +100 · CLV +2¢
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“I bet them on the money line. D'Amico Ryan, 16% ROI as an outright underdog as a head coach.”

LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV +1
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“two and a half at hard rock it opened at three and a half we've been betting it or at least i have”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Tennessee Titans ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +100 · CLV 0¢
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“um i also bet tennessee on the money line so look you've said it the wise guys are on it”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +2
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“indianapolis colts plus six and a half yeah and that's that's why i like the the denver's part”

IND 17, JAX 23 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -1 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV +2
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“Unfortunately, I bet into the Bills at two and a half. I bet him at one. I bet him on the money line. So I'm overexposed on the Bills”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Buffalo Bills ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -164 · CLV +29¢
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“Unfortunately, I bet into the Bills at two and a half. I bet him at one. I bet him on the money line. So I'm overexposed on the Bills”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“It's like I might really load up on Shador and the Browns, but it's a great number.”

CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“Houston, I'm probably going to take on my larger positions on just because it's tomorrow.”

LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“I love Seattle in this spot,”

CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“The three and a half, the threes, I bet pretty heavy into it.”

CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“I'm back in Tampa, and I'm taking the 5.5. [35:47] I've seen actually some pro money. [35:48] That's why I didn't want to talk much about it coming on the Bucs. [35:50] This did go from 5 to 5.5, [35:52] and now I'm seeing a couple books move to six.”

MIA 20, TB 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Chicago Bears +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·

“And I just have a feeling come Sunday, this Bears side at the plus three, it's going to be one of my bigger bets.”

SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Underdog parlay: Texans +2.5, Bears +3, Titans +2.5, Browns +3, Raiders +1 · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 17 underdog parlay (Texans, Bears, Titans, Browns, Raiders) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·
  • Houston Texans +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 won
  • Chicago Bears +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost
  • Tennessee Titans +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 lost
  • Cleveland Browns +3 closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5 won
  • Las Vegas Raiders +1 closed +3 · CLV -2 pending

“underdog parlay we're doing uh who did we say we did houston the bears”

Parlay busts: Houston Texans +2.5 +2.5 — won; Chicago Bears +3 +3 — lost; Tennessee Titans +2.5 +2.5 — lost; Cleveland Browns +3 +3 — won; Las Vegas Raiders +1 +1 — manual.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Favorites parlay: Seahawks -7, Packers -2.5, Buccaneers -5.5, Rams -2.5, Bills -1 · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 17 favorites parlay (Seahawks, Packers, Buccaneers, Rams, Bills) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-26 ·
  • Seattle Seahawks -7 closed -7 · CLV 0 won
  • Green Bay Packers -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 lost
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 lost
  • Los Angeles Rams -2.5 closed -7 · CLV +4.5 lost
  • Buffalo Bills -1 closed -3 · CLV +2 lost

“favorites parlay we're doing seattle green bay [1:00:43] tampa bay the rams and the bills”

Parlay busts: Seattle Seahawks -7 -7 — won; Green Bay Packers -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 -5.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Buffalo Bills -1 -1 — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +3
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 17 (Christmas) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I grabbed the Cowboys numbers.”

WSH 23, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin +7 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 17 (Saturday) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I bet the Texans at two and a half.”

LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
won
Houston Texans ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +100 · CLV +2¢
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 17 (Saturday) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I took a little piece of the money line. Money line, money line, Noman. That's what they call me.”

LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -7 · Hard Rock Bet closed -7 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 17 (Saturday) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“simon says give me the seattle seahawks minus seven i want to play a game simon says”

CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV +1.5
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“Your New Orleans Saints are visiting the Tennessee Titans The number was three I bet the Titans at plus three It is now two and a half at hard rock bet”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV +0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I bet the two and a half.”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV +1.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I'm all over that number.”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -8 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV -1
Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 17 (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-23 ·

“I just love McVay here in this Rams team.”

ATL 27, LAR 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -8; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“So then our final five is going to be Tampa Bay at Carolina. We're going with Carolina plus three and a half.”

CAR 23, TB 20 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -10.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10.5 · CLV 0
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“Buffalo at Cleveland. We're going with Buffalo minus 10 and a half.”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“Jacksonville at Denver. We're going with Jacksonville three and a half.”

DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV +1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“Pittsburgh at Detroit. We're going with Detroit. It's seven and a half now, but we got it at six and a half in the contest.”

DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“New England plus three and a half in the contest at Baltimore. That is it.”

BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +2.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“Just early line, I'll grab that.”

IND 17, JAX 23 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line +7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Chicago Bears +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“I going to take the plus three I been doing it all season with this Bears team”

SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV -0.5
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 17 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“I'm going to grab it just in case it”

TEN 26, NO 34 — New Orleans Saints margin +8 vs line -2; covers.

Chad Millman NFL futures
lost
Trevor Lawrence to win NFL MVP (+4000) · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL regular season — MVP futures · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-21 ·

“I'm going to throw a little bit on it. Just as I know it's not going to happen,”

Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP; Lawrence did not win. (Stafford won the closest MVP vote since 2003.)

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I'm getting the Rams as a dog now.”

SEA 38, LAR 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“We want to fade the team that just blew somebody out”

WSH 18, PHI 29 — Washington Commanders margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“but even this gets the seven i'm still gonna back this”

WSH 18, PHI 29 — Washington Commanders margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -4.5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I'm actually on the Bears side now where I wanted to get there.”

CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -4.5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I'm not the Packers, the Bears.”

CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Tennessee Titans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I wish I was just going to say I'm taking Tennessee and taking the Titans.”

TEN 26, KC 9 — Tennessee Titans margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“Betting the Giants plus three, what Simon says.”

NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“So I'm back in the Giants here.”

NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -10 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10.5 · CLV +0.5
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I bet it, as soon as I saw those numbers, it's like,”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -10 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10.5 · CLV +0.5
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“Give me the Bills minus 10.”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“So I am confident in the Jaguars team.”

DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“So I would I'd like that in now.”

DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +14.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +14 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I can't believe I'm agreeing with you, but I bet the Raiders,”

HOU 23, LV 21 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -2 vs line +14.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +14.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +14 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“Go Raiders plus 14 and a half.”

HOU 23, LV 21 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -2 vs line +14.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“The money is moving it in the direction of the Patriots.”

BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New England Patriots +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“but we're betting on a Mike Vrabel bounce back here.”

BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“All right, well, I'll put it on the list.”

DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I've come to the other side of this Cowboys team.”

DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -6 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV +1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“I bet the 6 on the Lions team number should be four four and a half”

DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -6 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV +1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·

“We've added it to the list.”

DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
5-team underdog ML parlay: Titans ML / Cardinals ML / Giants ML / Patriots ML / Jaguars ML · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 16 underdog moneyline parlay (Titans/Cardinals/Giants/Patriots/Jaguars) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·
  • Tennessee Titans ML closed +145 · CLV -22¢ won
  • Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ won
  • New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • New England Patriots ML closed +156 · CLV -6¢ won
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +155 · CLV 0¢ won

“Moneyline underdog parlay.”

Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; New York Giants ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
5-team underdog ML parlay: Titans ML / Cardinals ML / Giants ML / Patriots ML / Jaguars ML · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 16 underdog moneyline parlay (Titans/Cardinals/Giants/Patriots/Jaguars) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-18 ·
  • Tennessee Titans ML closed +145 · CLV -22¢ won
  • Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ won
  • New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • New England Patriots ML closed +156 · CLV -6¢ won
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +155 · CLV 0¢ won

“Moneyline underdog parlay.”

Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; New York Giants ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants — NFL Week 16 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-16 ·

“Simon says Presented by Hard Rock Bet We are on the New York football giants plus three against the Minnesota Vikings”

NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 16 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-16 ·

“I'm jumping on the New England Patriots bounce back bandwagon.”

BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“We got Kansas City minus four and a half.”

CHI 31, CLE 3 — Chicago Bears margin +28 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Buffalo Bills -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“One of the many reasons why we have continued to bet on the [7:06] Buffalo Bills at minus one, minus one and a half,”

NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“You had to be listening to understand that Simon loved this game on Tuesday at five and a half.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1.5
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“green bay at denver another chalky one for us this was chad's choice”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“This is the dog you chose, Chad.”

DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-14 ·

“I'll, I'll stand with the books here. I'll back the saints, but I get why you chose Minnesota”

NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“i bet him i bet him i get the line i got was four and a half”

CHI 31, CLE 3 — Chicago Bears margin +28 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“it feels like this is the exact spot we have to take the Chiefs.”

CHI 31, CLE 3 — Chicago Bears margin +28 vs line -5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Buffalo Bills -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“Yeah I going to bet on Josh Allen”

NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Buffalo Bills -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“We are going to bet on Josh Allen.”

NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“We both bet into the Rams.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -6 · Hard Rock Bet
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“Like, it's minus six, which I'm still betting the six.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“we're both on the saints here”

NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“So I love this one”

NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“Give me the Green Bay Packers.”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“Yeah, we both love the Packers.”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings +6 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“So I'm buying the Minnesota”

DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +6; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Minnesota Vikings +6 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“This is a game I early bet”

DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +6; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
won
Pittsburgh Steelers ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -180 · CLV +4¢
Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 15 (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“you want to go strict money line, which is what I want to do here.”

PIT 28, MIA 15 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Las Vegas Raiders ML (+490) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +586 · CLV -96¢
Las Vegas Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-11 ·

“So just at that number, I have to bet it.”

PHI 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -5.5 · CLV +1.5
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 15 (Thursday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“So I'll take an early position here, especially now at the four at Hard Rock.”

TB 28, ATL 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -1 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +10 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +10 · CLV 0
Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“And at that number, I got no issue, no issue taking this Cardinals team.”

HOU 40, ARI 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -20 vs line +10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -5 · Hard Rock Bet
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“I am going to unload on the Rams.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“Simon says, give me the Saints plus two and a half.”

NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“So I want to get the Saints now at two and a half just in case the pros do come in and hit this down”

NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“so we got to go with the Packers”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 15 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-09 ·

“yeah I'm with you love the Packers here love the match for them”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
won
Jacksonville Jaguars ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +121 · CLV -11¢
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“Jacksonville on the money line. I didn't even bother with the spread. There might be massive”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“We're at Jacksonville plus two and a half.”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“We both bet Cleveland here.”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“i've i'm still on it i've dead into it i'm not walking away from it let's just commit to it”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“I still love it. I bet the Jets, I bet the Jets at three. I bet the Jets at three on Wednesday.”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
New York Jets ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +120 · CLV +4¢
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“I bet the Jets at three I think again on Thursday I bet the Jets money line I all in on the Jets here And maybe I making a mistake Maybe I sort of over enthusiastic But I just don see”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“I bet the Saints at plus eight and a half.”

TB 20, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“yeah and i love it too because it's back in this saints team we're either going to be”

TB 20, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 14 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“I grabbed Houston at four and a half.”

KC 10, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +10 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-07 ·

“I'm heavily invested in the Rams.”

ARI 17, LAR 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -9.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV +2.5
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I favor Washington here”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV +2.5
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I'm gonna have to take that number even if it is Mariota”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV -1
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“we're going to be on the jacks because I don't think”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV -1
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“So definitely grab the Jags if you can right now.”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“i bet it at three i bet”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“But I love the plus three, and you do as well, so it's going to be hard to avoid it.”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I've taken a pretty large position on the minus three and a half.”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“So I really do like this Browns game.”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I got to take the Seahawks.”

ATL 9, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +28 vs line -7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Baltimore Ravens -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV 0
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“We've made the very hard decision to back the Baltimore Ravens at minus five and a half.”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Baltimore Ravens -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV 0
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“So go get the five and a half.”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +2
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I'm okay back in the Rams here”

ARI 17, LAR 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +2
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I'm going to take down this Rams team.”

ARI 17, LAR 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Kansas City Chiefs -3 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet closed -4 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I have to take that number.”

GB 28, CHI 21 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Kansas City Chiefs -3 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet closed -4 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“I'm going to take the minus three and pray the pros keep coming on Texas.”

GB 28, CHI 21 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·

“give me the saints plus eight and a half”

TB 20, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
3-team underdog ML parlay: Jaguars ML / Jets ML / Commanders ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog 3-team moneyline parlay — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +121 · CLV -11¢ won
  • New York Jets ML closed +120 · CLV +4¢ lost
  • Washington Commanders ML closed -116 · CLV -4¢ lost

“jaguars yeah jets jets and then let's do uh for the third one let's do washington”

Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
3-team underdog ML parlay: Jaguars ML / Jets ML / Commanders ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog 3-team moneyline parlay — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-04 ·
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +121 · CLV -11¢ won
  • New York Jets ML closed +120 · CLV +4¢ lost
  • Washington Commanders ML closed -116 · CLV -4¢ lost

“jaguars yeah jets jets and then let's do uh for the third one let's do washington”

Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV +2
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-02 ·

“It's going to be the Washington Commanders at plus one.”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — NFL Week 14 · Sharp or Square, 2025-12-02 ·

“I'll still bet them at two and a half just because I think they're the right side here.”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I did take a piece of the Texans at plus three just because why not?”

IND 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I have bet into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Cleveland Browns ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +207 · CLV +3¢
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I have bet into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Jets +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I've betted a two and a half. I've betted a three. I've bet the Jets money line”

NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
won
New York Jets ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +140 · CLV +5¢
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I've betted a two and a half. I've betted a three. I've bet the Jets money line”

NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets won; moneyline covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I still like the Jets, still bet them.”

NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +6 · Hard Rock Bet closed +6 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I still like [13:42] Tennessee, still like the number.”

TEN 3, JAX 25 — Tennessee Titans margin -22 vs line +6; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I'm going to trust the pros here [20:21] and back that number of three with the Steelers team.”

PIT 7, BUF 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -19 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7 · CLV +0.5
New York Giants at New England Patriots — NFL Week 13 (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“i did bet it at seven [20:55] and a half.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
lost
New York Giants ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +290 · CLV +5¢
New York Giants at New England Patriots — NFL Week 13 (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“we put a little on the Giants money line because this is the exact type of game that could get stolen from this Patriots team”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“I took a large position on the two and a half on Tampa, [31:04] hoping it was going to be Baker. [31:05] It is Baker now, and now they're minus three and a half.”

TB 20, ARI 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV +0.5
Washington Commanders game — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“Pittsburgh plus three, Giants seven and a half, Commanders plus six and a half. [31:29] Like I've really I've loaded up on all these late primetime games today.”

WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Underdog ML round robin: Steelers, Browns, Jets, Texans, Titans · Hard Rock Bet*
Moneyline underdog round-robin parlay — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·
  • Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +144 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • Cleveland Browns ML closed +207 · CLV +3¢ lost
  • New York Jets ML closed +140 · CLV +5¢ won
  • Houston Texans ML closed +140 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Tennessee Titans ML closed +225 · CLV -5¢ lost

“Well speaking of dogs I made a list of the Moneyline Underdog Parlay and I was finding more games where I feel I can see victory for the dogs than I can for the favorites On my list I have Pittsburgh I have Cleveland I have the jets”

Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won; Houston Texans ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV +0.5
Washington Commanders — NFL Week 13 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“heavy into the commanders tonight um you know i put them another contest them in uh it was one of”

WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7 · CLV +0.5
New York Giants — NFL Week 13 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-30 ·

“my five favorite bets and um these last two games i'm really big on them tonight commanders and the”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 13 (Thanksgiving) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“give me the bangles plus seven”

BAL 14, CIN 32 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line +7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 13 (Thanksgiving) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“because I'm on the Cowboys”

DAL 31, KC 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -7 · CLV +0.5
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“Yeah this is my Simon Says but give me the Eagles minus six and a half at Hard Rock”

PHI 15, CHI 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“i definitely like this number on this colts team”

IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -4; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“That's when I bet it, but I'm still betting into it at five and a half.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“for this game Chad nailed it like I I love this”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +10 · Hard Rock Bet closed +10 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“like honestly I'm betting this this Carolina team”

CAR 31, LAR 28 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +10; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“And the New York Jets will be our brass balls.”

NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“So, yeah, we both love this one coming into it.”

NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV +0.5
New York Giants at New England Patriots — NFL Week 13 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“Giants, Giants, Giants, Giants.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV +0.5
New York Giants at New England Patriots — NFL Week 13 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-25 ·

“But yeah, I love the Giants as well.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -10.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -13.5 · CLV +3
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“Yeah, it's been my favorite all week, big favorite.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“The Cincinnati Bengals with Joe Flacco starting are going to be our rock and hard plays, hard rock, bet of the week.”

CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +8.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“So I love the Cardinals here, Simon.”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“we're good on the Cowboys at plus three.”

DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“I just really love the number and the side”

KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV 0
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 13 (Thanksgiving) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“i took the lions they're minus three right now against green”

DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 13 (Thanksgiving) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“threw a little on dallas third plus three and a half against the chiefs at home”

DAL 31, KC 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 13 (Thursday/Thanksgiving slate) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“i threw a little on the bangles plus eight and a half on thursday night against uh”

BAL 14, CIN 32 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line +8.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV -0.5
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans — NFL Week 13 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-23 ·

“So I'm going to take that early number just in case CJ is out again.”

IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +6 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5 · CLV +1
Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 12 (Thursday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“I'm definitely going to be on Houston at plus six.”

HOU 23, BUF 19 — Houston Texans margin +4 vs line +6; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Seattle Seahawks -12.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“So I'm still going to like the number of 12.5.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -12.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Seattle Seahawks -13 · Hard Rock Bet closed -12.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“But like you said, I'm in on Seahawks at 13.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -10 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -13.5 · CLV +3.5
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“So I'm with you. I like the Lions here. I'm not afraid of it.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -10 · Hard Rock Bet closed -13.5 · CLV +3.5
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“We'll take the Lions.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -5.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“But two and a half, I'll still be on Pittsburgh.”

CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV -1
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“At this point, I'm going to bet it again just in case it keeps dropping.”

CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“playing the number strictly three and a half that's where i got to be with this colts team”

KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“I love it love love the Raiders here the other game that I love Jacksonville at Arizona”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
lost
Las Vegas Raiders ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -185 · CLV 0¢
Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“I'm I'm I'm more so like I've said, I'm heavy on the money line for this Raiders team.”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
push
Arizona Cardinals +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“Give me the cards. Plus three.”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
push
Arizona Cardinals +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“We're taking the Cardinals at a good number at plus three.”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New Orleans Saints -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1.5 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“It's going to be the New Orleans Saints, minus one and a half.”

NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New Orleans Saints -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“Atlanta, how do you not love the Saints here?”

NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“I've taken a position on the Cowboys money line here.”

DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV +0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·

“We're on the Rams.”

LAR 34, TB 7 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Favorites parlay: Raiders ML + Saints ML + Chiefs ML + Seahawks -5 + Packers ML · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 12 favorites moneyline parlay — Raiders, Saints, Chiefs, Seahawks (adjusted -5), Packers · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-20 ·
  • Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -185 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • New Orleans Saints ML closed -127 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -200 · CLV +10¢ won
  • Seattle Seahawks -5 (adjusted) won
  • Green Bay Packers ML closed -290 · CLV +5¢ won

“city you know i think i think them being five and six is very real raiders saints kansas city”

Parlay busts: Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Seattle Seahawks -5 (adjusted) -5 — won; Green Bay Packers ML — won.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Seattle Seahawks -12.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I know I bet Seattle on Sunday at 12 and a half. I'm assuming you did as well.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -12.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Seattle Seahawks -13 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -12.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I just said I will blindly bet Seattle as a road team”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
push
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“meaning it doesn't matter we're taking the steelers still taking the steelers”

CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
push
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“yeah i just think plus three and the Steelers is right”

CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -10.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -13.5 · CLV +3
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“It's shockingly going to be my Simon Says check.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -10.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -13.5 · CLV +3
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I'm with you 100% minus 10.5.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I got to give out the seven and a half on the Bengals.”

CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“if that seven and a half is out there i would not be uncomfortable playing it like the confidence i”

CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
push
Indianapolis Colts +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I'm gonna take the Colts no matter what I wanted to get back”

KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Chad Millman NFL spread
push
Indianapolis Colts +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“if it was three and a half still hard rock I I really love the Colts”

KC 23, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I'm on the Raiders at minus three.”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I am going with the Arizona Cardinals”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 12 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I like the Cardinals here.”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Rams -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV +0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 12 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“so i'll go with the pros or i'll bet with the rams but i hate it i hate going against baker”

LAR 34, TB 7 — Los Angeles Rams margin +27 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Carolina Panthers +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 12 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I'm going to have to be on the Panthers at plus seven.”

SF 20, CAR 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -11 vs line +7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Carolina Panthers +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 12 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-18 ·

“I am too.”

SF 20, CAR 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -11 vs line +7; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“I bet into it at five and a half.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“To me I am 100 betting against the Steelers defense and betting on T Higgins Jamar Chase being able to find ways to get downfield against a really really really bad Steelers defensive backfield right now Cincinnati Bengals plus”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“i bet houston minus six and a half”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“Like I'm betting Houston, taking a position on Houston, just a little nervous that there's something here I'm missing because clearly the books and professionals have taken a stand on this Tennessee team here.”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“We're both on the Rams here.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“We love them at three.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“So, you know, I'm still, for better or for worse, I'm still all in on the Cleveland Browns.”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“We're suckers for anything over 7.5, especially with the hook.”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“So we're on the Eagles.”

PHI 16, DET 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“Yeah, and this should be a get-right spot for this Eagles offense.”

PHI 16, DET 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 11 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“were the Raiders I could take that stand I guess even though I hate”

LV 16, DAL 33 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“I got to tell you, I like the Panthers more than I like the Raiders.”

ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 11 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-16 ·

“So we're on the Eagles 2.5 tonight.”

PHI 16, DET 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“Obviously, I bet into it at five and a half.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I'm going to bet the Bengals, but I have not made this one of my bigger bets this week.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -6.5 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I did bet the Texans at minus six and a half”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -6.5 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5.5 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“Yeah, I'm on it as well.”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“Los Angeles Rams, brass balls, bet of the week, presented by Hard Rock Bet.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I got tons on 2.5, a ton on minus 3.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“choice when it was eight and a half.”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I really took a heavy position on Cleveland”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Arizona Cardinals +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I bet it at three.”

ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Arizona Cardinals +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I'm with you on the Cardinals.”

ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“Give me Panthers plus three and a half.”

ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I like the Panthers here, and it definitely was a miss on my part.”

ATL 27, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
push
Green Bay Packers -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I'm still on the Packers, but I get it.”

NYG 20, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -7; pushes.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I bet the Eagles at two and a half.”

PHI 16, DET 9 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +4 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4.5 · CLV -0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·

“I've taken a pretty large position on it at this point.”

DEN 22, KC 19 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line +4; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
3-team underdog parlay: Panthers +3.5 / Cardinals +3 / Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog 3-team parlay — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·
  • Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5 won
  • Arizona Cardinals +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 won
  • Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost

“So three-team parlay, Carolina, Arizona, and Cincinnati.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers +3.5 +3.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +3 +3 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 +5.5 — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
3-team underdog parlay: Panthers +3.5 / Cardinals +3 / Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog 3-team parlay — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-13 ·
  • Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5 won
  • Arizona Cardinals +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 won
  • Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost

“So three-team parlay, Carolina, Arizona, and Cincinnati.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers +3.5 +3.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +3 +3 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 +5.5 — lost.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-11 ·

“I bet Cincinnati at plus five and a half.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +8 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV +0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-11 ·

“I'm telling you right now, the Cleveland Browns plus eight are going to be Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock Bet.”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +8; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 11 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-11 ·

“Simon says, give me Las Vegas Raiders plus three and a half.”

LV 16, DAL 33 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -7.5 · CLV 0
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-11 ·

“i am all over green bay here especially if this”

NYG 20, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +7 vs line -7.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 11 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-11 ·

“So plus three, I'll take on this Jags team. But my God, do I hate it?”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +29 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“So we know we like Baltimore minus three and a half.”

MIN 19, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“We know we like the Bucs minus two and a half.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“We like the Cardinals plus six and a half in this spot at Seattle.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Miami Dolphins +9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +8 · CLV +1.5
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“I'm leaving it up to you with Miami plus nine and a half.”

MIA 30, BUF 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +9.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed 0 · CLV +2.5
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 10 (Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“All right, let's do the Eagles.”

GB 7, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers +6 · Hard Rock Bet closed +6 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“We're telling people to take them five and a half and get to six.”

SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed 0 · CLV +2.5
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 10 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-09 ·

“We have the Eagles plus two and a half against the Packers on Monday night football”

GB 7, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9 · CLV -0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 10 (Thursday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“First half Denver, full game, Denver, I'm all over it.”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9 · CLV -0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 10 (Thursday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“people know, love Denver tonight. I'm going to have a lot of money tied to them.”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Carolina Panthers ML (-245) · Hard Rock Bet closed -250 · CLV +5¢
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“I'll probably end up just taking a large position with Carolina on the money line”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
lost
Carolina Panthers ML (-245) · Hard Rock Bet closed -250 · CLV +5¢
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“But, yeah, I'm much more comfortable putting their money line in it.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -2
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“But as you said here right now, I'm betting into the two and a half”

CHI 24, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV -2
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“I will take position on the Jets.”

CHI 24, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -0.5 · CLV +3
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“I'm going to grab that on Houston.”

HOU 36, JAX 29 — Houston Texans margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -0.5 · CLV +3
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“if you can get houston two and a half get houston two and a half i don't know that it'll go to three”

HOU 36, JAX 29 — Houston Texans margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“I like fading the Patriots when they're finally playing a competitive team on the road, a more challenging team.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“I've bet heavily into the books. I love the books.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“So me and Chad loves the plus six and a half people.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Arizona Cardinals +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“If I'm not going to get the six and a half, if I'm not going to get a seven, I'll bet the six and a half.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV -1.5
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“Niners are the side.”

SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV -1.5
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“And a four, I won't take it, but a four and a half, I'm taking 49ers there.”

SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Miami Dolphins +9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +8 · CLV +1.5
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·

“Give me Miami plus nine and a half home dog.”

MIA 30, BUF 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +17 vs line +9.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Underdog moneyline round robin: Jets ML, Texans ML, 49ers ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Underdog moneyline round-robin — Jets, Texans, 49ers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·
  • New York Jets ML closed +185 · CLV -75¢ lost
  • Houston Texans ML closed -111 · CLV +1¢ won
  • San Francisco 49ers ML closed +215 · CLV -6¢ lost

“Jets, Houston, Niners.”

Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Favorites moneyline parlay: Panthers, Lions, Ravens, Buccaneers, Bears · Hard Rock Bet*
Favorites moneyline parlay — Panthers, Lions, Ravens, Bucs, Bears — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-06 ·
  • Carolina Panthers ML closed -250 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • Detroit Lions ML closed -450 · CLV -10¢ won
  • Baltimore Ravens ML closed -235 · CLV +6¢ won
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed -150 · CLV +10¢ lost
  • Chicago Bears ML closed -225 · CLV +15¢ won

“Panthers, Lions, Ravens.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; Chicago Bears ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -9 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 10 (Thursday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-04 ·

“Broncos minus eight and a half. Simon says Broncos minus eight and a half presented by Hard Rock Bet.”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -8.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-04 ·

“Buccaneers minus two and a half against the high flying Drake May MVPing New England Patriots.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“Los Angeles Chargers minus nine at Tennessee.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -9.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“Detroit is a nine-point favorite. This was Chad's choice.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV -0.5
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“so i like the matchup here i like the opportunity i like the texans defense uh i have no fear of betting this at two we've been betting at minus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“Chad, I think we have one and a half in the contest. Like you said, it's minus two at Hard Rock. Shop around. See if you can still find the one and a half.”

CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +13.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +13 · CLV +0.5
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“Simon, Carolina is going to be our rock and a hard place, hard rock, bet of the week.”

GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +13.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Atlanta Falcons +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5 · CLV +0.5
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“I know we're going to put – I'm committing us to putting Atlanta into the contest.”

NE 24, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -3 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -8 · CLV +5
Detroit Lions at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“I'm going to grab it just now. [1:01:36] Cause I do think it will move up.”

WSH 22, DET 44 — Detroit Lions margin +22 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -3 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet closed -4.5 · CLV +1.5
Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“If you can get a minus three right now,”

MIN 19, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin +8 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Atlanta Falcons +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +4
Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 10 (Germany) · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“So I'm going to grab that early here.”

IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -1.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 10 · Sharp or Square, 2025-11-02 ·

“And I'm going to grab the Green Bay just in case it does go up to three.”

GB 7, PHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +1.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“I bet the Chargers at eight and a half.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +1.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“We and Chad are on two huge chalk favorites, one in the Lions, one in the Chargers. I shockingly love them both.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -9.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“So I'm getting the Lions, Jared Goff, Dan Campbell, in a great rush offense against a bad rush defense at home”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“But to me, it's just like the Chargers, under that key number of 10 and 11. I'm going to take it here.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“I know we both bet it at plus one and a half. We even said on Tuesday we still liked it at Texans minus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“So we're still on Houston minus one and a half.”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“the pros are split down the middle here and like me I've taken a large position on this Chiefs team I really like it”

CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“I'm going to like backing Mahomes as a short favorite in just about any scenario. I like backing the unit offensively that I think is more complete against a depleted defense.”

CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV -0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“Oh, no, I already bet the Jags a minus three.”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +13.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +13 · CLV +0.5
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“I bet the Panthers, but it's not one of my bigger bets. I'm simply I mean, sounds stupid. We are simply playing the number here.”

GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +13.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Over 44.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +44 · CLV -0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·

“I took some on the over just in case there is no Max Crosby the total is 44 and a half like okay I bite on that”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Combined 59; over 44.5 covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Money-line round robin: Chiefs, Texans, Chargers, Lions, Jaguars · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 9 money-line favorites round robin · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·
  • Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -134 · CLV +2¢ won
  • Houston Texans ML closed -130 · CLV -5¢ lost
  • Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -590 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Detroit Lions ML closed -525 · CLV +25¢ lost
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed -140 · CLV -10¢ won

“money line round robin favorites Kansas City Houston Chargers Detroit Jacksonville”

Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Houston Texans ML — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
Money-line round robin: Chiefs, Texans, Chargers, Lions, Jaguars · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 9 money-line favorites round robin · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-30 ·
  • Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -134 · CLV +2¢ won
  • Houston Texans ML closed -130 · CLV -5¢ lost
  • Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -590 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Detroit Lions ML closed -525 · CLV +25¢ lost
  • Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed -140 · CLV -10¢ won

“money line round robin favorites Kansas City Houston Chargers Detroit Jacksonville”

Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Houston Texans ML — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Miami Dolphins +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 9 (Thursday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“So I just I'm on Miami. I'm just I can't get over as someone that's taking a position out on the Ravens.”

MIA 6, BAL 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -22 vs line +7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV +0.5
Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“the bears under three to me i just love i love”

CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“So I'll grab the nine and a half while I still can. And I think this gets back up to ten, ten and a half.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -9.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions -8.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -9.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“And I don't care because Chad's choice presented by Hard Rock Bet is going to be the Detroit Lions.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV 0
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“right now it's like i love this team at minus three it just feels like they're still being”

PIT 27, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +3.5
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“I think that this is a big big difference and I'm just glad I got the plus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV -0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“I still bet the Jags”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“This is my Simon Says, but give me the Chiefs minus one-and-a-half.”

CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3 · CLV +0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“I actually, I like the Cowboys here.”

DAL 17, ARI 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
won
Arizona Cardinals ML (+130) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +145.5 · CLV -15¢
Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 9 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-28 ·

“But yeah, at plus three, the value to me is all on Arizona.”

GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV +4
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“we're still on this game as Texans as short favorites. The Niners are missing some key”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line +1; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“I have no problem betting the hook with this Denver team.”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +1
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 (Sunday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“We're going to be on the Steelers here in the contest.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“Simon, whether the number is seven or six and a half, we're going to be on New England here.”

NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV +2
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“I've come a long way on this giant, so I start to really like this number.”

CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 41.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +41 · CLV +0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“I really like that low total.”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Combined 41; under 41.5 covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
lost
Under 40.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +40.5 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“Give me that under 40.5.”

NE 32, CLE 13 — Combined 45; under 40.5 busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts -13.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -15 · CLV +1.5
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“wanted to mention I am on the Colts do like the Colts even if they're you know minus 14 and a half”

IND 38, TEN 14 — Indianapolis Colts margin +24 vs line -13.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
won
Buffalo Bills ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -400 · CLV -20¢
Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“My favorite Moneyline of any team is the Bills this week”

CAR 9, BUF 40 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.

Simon Hunter NFL parlay
lost
3-team ML parlay: Chiefs ML + Falcons ML + Patriots ML · Hard Rock Bet*
Three-team NFL moneyline parlay (Week 8): Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, New England Patriots · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·
  • Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -650 · CLV -100¢ won
  • Atlanta Falcons ML closed -350 · CLV -50¢ lost
  • New England Patriots ML closed -360 · CLV -5¢ won

“I did a three-team Moneyline parlay of Kansas City, Atlanta,”

Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +1
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 8 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-26 ·

“We have the Pittsburgh Steelers tonight plus three and a half to round out our final five.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -6 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV -3.5
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“Baltimore Ravens, minus six at Hard Rock Bet right now. [37:42] Unfortunately, I bet them at six and a half, but we are on them. [37:45] We are on the Ravens. [37:45] That is our Brass Balls Bet of the Week, sponsored by Hard Rock Bet.”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -6 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV -3.5
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“Baltimore Ravens, minus six at Hard Rock Bet right now. [37:42] Unfortunately, I bet them at six and a half, but we are on them. [37:45] We are on the Ravens. [37:45] That is our Brass Balls Bet of the Week, sponsored by Hard Rock Bet.”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV +2
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“I have the New York Giants plus seven and a half at Philly.”

CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV +2
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“So I'm feeling more and more comfortable, even though we've got a flipped line here [45:22] just for a moment on the Texans and as you mentioned it in sharp calls.”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV +2
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“But it just feels like it's a number you have to play in a spot we have to bet.”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV +1
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“But yes, I will be on the Jets. [50:09] We will put them in our money line, Ron Robin.”

CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“I will be shocked come Sunday morning Like I going to probably bet in the Patriots minus seven I just I can get over how different this Browns”

NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“And so nothing really moving me off of this pick other than nightmares of Bo Nix throwing [1:03:17] into empty spots in the middle of a zone,”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“I will still back this Broncos team, especially at minus three. [1:06:43] I think that's a great number. [1:06:45] It makes me nervous. [1:06:46] I'm not going to lie, but I'm in. [1:06:48] I'm totally in.”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“It's Pittsburgh plus three. [1:06:55] Purely a play on the Steelers as dogs at home.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“Can't avoid it. [1:10:28] Going to hammer this one. [1:10:29] It'll probably be one of my bigger bets this week.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
won
Buffalo Bills ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -400 · CLV -20¢
Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-23 ·

“It's actually a great spot for Josh Allen to win outright.”

CAR 9, BUF 40 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV -4
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“So I think we're still getting value on this line. I'm going to take it.”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV -4
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“That's why I like Baltimore. Yeah, I just, I think we're both on the same page. It's really just about this Ravens in a get right spot. Baltimore Ravens minus six and a half.”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“So, yeah, number-wise, like I said, my model is at six. I'm still going to take the Patriots. I probably would still take them if it was minus seven and a half.”

NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“and I don't want to bet on hoping the Browns can create some kind of havoc because I don't know that Dylan Gabriel can take advantage of it. That's why, Simon.”

NE 32, CLE 13 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV 0
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“So I guess I'll trust the model here, try to take my human aspect out, and I'll give out the Eagles still, and I'll bet the Eagles. But I felt way better at 6.5, like you said. Now it's getting closer to 7.5. So I'll take the 7 now before it moves to that number.”

PHI 38, NYG 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +18 vs line -7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV +2
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“give me Houston minus one I want to play a game Simon Says Simon Says presented by Hard Rock Better Houston Texans minus one give it to me”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts -13.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -15 · CLV +1.5
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“Yeah, we're supposed to be in Tennessee, but I don't care. I'll take the Colts.”

IND 38, TEN 14 — Indianapolis Colts margin +24 vs line -13.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts -13.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -15 · CLV +1.5
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“I think they so freaking psyched with the way they playing and they coached so well right now I don see them taking even a second of this game lightly against the Titans”

IND 38, TEN 14 — Indianapolis Colts margin +24 vs line -13.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“The Denver Broncos minus three will be Chad's choice.”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“yeah we fought over this one we both love it i i was happy to hear that you were making this your choice it's it's just a great great spot great number”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver Broncos margin +20 vs line -3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“I hope people were listening because I bet it at three and a half. I know you did too. How do we feel at three? Still on Pittsburgh”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-21 ·

“The pros might be right on Green Bay, but I can't avoid it, especially at plus three and a half. Couldn't avoid it. Plus three. Still love it.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“[30:27] I just feel so much better betting a good defense against a terrible Miami team and a two-eighth quarterback who doesn't travel. [30:35] We're going with Cleveland.”

CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“[11:54] I like fading a very public dog. [11:57] So right now the Chargers are in.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +1
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“[26:19] Tennessee, 7.5. [26:21] Got to be in one of our five.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“[31:01] We got Detroit. [31:02] In the contest we play, they're at minus 4.5.”

DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“[31:07] And we're playing Houston. [31:08] We get them at 3.5.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 Monday Night · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“Reminder that we have the Texans plus 3.5”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 Monday Night · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“and the Lions minus 4.5 tomorrow night.”

DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New Orleans Saints +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV +3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“Saints, they're plus six and a half at home against the Bucs.”

NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 8 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-19 ·

“So very interesting to open that plus three because I know right away we're going to grab that.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders +12.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +13 · CLV -0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“on this one i'm betting the raiders and like i said i was hoping i was going to get the 13”

KC 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +12.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I'm still on the Browns.”

CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“But, yeah, I still think this is just a great, great matchup for Cleveland.”

CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Minnesota Vikings +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I've taken a pretty large position here on this Houston game, Detroit game, Chargers, Vikings, Tennessee.”

MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV +2.5
Carolina Panthers at New York Jets — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I don't know if there's anything more to say about it other than we're taking the Jets.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV +2.5
Carolina Panthers at New York Jets — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I don't know if this has to be one of them, but I'm definitely on the Jets.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“the Tennessee Titans plus seven. You know what it takes? It takes brass balls.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“Tennessee Titans plus seven. [39:33] That is our brass balls bet of the week.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 (-115) · Hard Rock Bet*
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“We're getting one and a half almost every book right now.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“love with the Chargers and they seem to do this to us every single week.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos -7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -8 · CLV +1
New York Giants at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I bet it at seven.”

DEN 33, NYG 32 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Giants +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
New York Giants at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I took a position Sunday night on Giants 7.5, and that's honestly, that's it.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Washington Commanders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV 0
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“keep betting it I'll be patient I'll grab Washington I I just like this matchup especially”

DAL 44, WSH 22 — Washington Commanders margin -22 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“We both bet into it at four and a half.”

DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“I've taken a pretty large position here on this Houston game, Detroit game, Chargers, Vikings, Tennessee.”

DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“It's already bet for me at 3.5.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·

“As you sit here right now my biggest position is if you can get the Houston three and a half join me”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Underdog ML round-robin: Vikings, Cowboys, Jets, Falcons, Texans · Hard Rock Bet*
Week 7 underdog moneyline round-robin parlay (Vikings, Cowboys, Jets, Falcons, Texans) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·
  • Minnesota Vikings ML closed +122 · CLV -11¢ lost
  • Dallas Cowboys ML closed -127 · CLV -2¢ won
  • New York Jets ML closed -111.5 · CLV +6¢ lost
  • Atlanta Falcons ML closed -110 · CLV +8¢ lost
  • Houston Texans ML closed +146.5 · CLV +2¢ lost

“So the underdog parlay, Vikings, Cowboys, Jets, Falcons, Texans, the favorite parlay.”

Parlay busts: Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Dallas Cowboys ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
won
Favorite ML parlay: Packers, Bears, Broncos, Chargers, Patriots, Lions · Hard Rock Bet*
Week 7 favorite moneyline parlay (Packers, Bears, Broncos, Chargers, Patriots, Lions) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-16 ·
  • Green Bay Packers ML closed -375 · CLV +30¢ won
  • Chicago Bears ML closed -210 · CLV -15¢ won
  • Denver Broncos ML closed -430 · CLV +70¢ won
  • Los Angeles Chargers ML won
  • New England Patriots ML closed -290 · CLV -55¢ won
  • Detroit Lions ML closed -275 · CLV +25¢ won

“Otherwise, the Packers, the Bears, the Broncos, the Chargers, the Patriots, the Lions.”

Parlay cashes: Green Bay Packers ML — won; Chicago Bears ML — won; Denver Broncos ML — won; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; New England Patriots ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — won.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 7 Thursday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“I just think the Bengals are the right side at five and a half.”

CIN 33, PIT 31 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams vs Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 7 in London · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“But yeah, it's a Jags bet.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -28 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Rams vs Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 7 in London · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“So I'm going to take the Jags who are used to it.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -28 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“The Cleveland Browns minus two and a half are Chad's choice.”

CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-120) · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“I'll take it I'm on it with you”

CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Minnesota Vikings +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“So, Simon says, give me the plus two and a half on this Vikings team.”

MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 7 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“I'm going to grab that because I know the pros will bet it up to two.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“You got to back the Lions here.”

DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +15 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL total
won
Under 53 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +53 · CLV 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“and surprisingly only real bet i made is the under in this game”

DET 24, TB 9 — Combined 33; under 53 covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“I bet the Texans at plus three and a half, the first bet that I actually made.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-14 ·

“Give me Houston plus three and a half.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“I still like the Panthers at plus three and a half”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“a three and a half in the contest. [7:03] I got to take it, brother.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6.5 · CLV +2
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“Still like him in the contest for sure.”

PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6.5 · CLV +2
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“I've even bet it still this morning. [11:32] It's five and a half. [11:32] I bet it again because I'm like Chad.”

PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“You and I have both been betting the Chiefs. [12:39] We've been betting the Chiefs [12:39] since it was at one and a half, two, two and a half.”

KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“like this is one of the first bets i put in for us no brainer can't avoid it we are all in on these”

KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9 · CLV +2.5
Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“We've liked the Colts all week at a good number. [22:16] Now it's exploded. [22:18] How do we not play this?”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -9 · CLV +2.5
Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“Six and a half, no brainer. [24:00] Got to put it in the contest. [24:01] It's a number play.”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV -1
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“We got Chiefs, Raiders, Panthers, Pittsburgh, Colts. [29:55] Our final picks are Carolina plus 3.5. [29:58] Steelers minus 4.5. [30:00] Colts minus six and a half. [30:03] Chiefs minus one and a half. [30:06] Raiders minus four and a half.”

LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV -1
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“But, yeah, I just locked it in, brother. [29:49] We got Chiefs, Raiders, Panthers, Pittsburgh, Colts.”

LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 Sunday Night Football · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-12 ·

“We got the Chiefs minus one and a half later tonight.”

KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“And I personally have only bet this three and a half.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“We both bet it at three and a half.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -7 · CLV +3
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“half to four. That's where I actually bet it.”

MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -4 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV +3
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“so I'm still on it I still like this spot”

MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6.5 · CLV +1
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“took positions on pittsburgh”

PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New Orleans Saints +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“But yeah, I'm still in the Saints.”

NO 19, NE 25 — New Orleans Saints margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“So I'm still in the Raiders.”

LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“Still in Raiders and the professionals are coming on Tennessee.”

LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“Like, I'm all in on this three.”

TB 30, SF 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +11 vs line -3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -7 (-115) · Hard Rock Bet closed -9 · CLV +2
Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“i bet into the colts when that number was lower”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -7; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Indianapolis Colts -7 (-115) · Hard Rock Bet closed -9 · CLV +2
Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“this is why I wanted to be on the Colts early”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -7; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -14 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -14 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“So I bet the Packers at 14 for a little”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -14.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -14 · CLV -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“So I'm still on Green Bay”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -2 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“I bet the Chiefs at minus two.”

KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -2 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5
Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“I'm on the Chiefs with Chad.”

KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV -1
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“I bet the Bears at four and a half.”

WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV -1
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-09 ·

“I bet the 4.5.”

WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“Yeah, give me Panthers plus three and a half.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6.5 · CLV +2.5
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“again chalky bet but I'll take that Steelers minus four yeah it became more clear in the light of day”

PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Pittsburgh Steelers -4 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6.5 · CLV +2.5
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“that the Steelers felt like the right side I'm glad we're getting a little bit”

PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -4; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New Orleans Saints +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“Simon Says, presented by Hard Rock Bet,”

NO 19, NE 25 — New Orleans Saints margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New England Patriots -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“it give us a pick here i like the patriots good it's a good spot hopefully sharper squares by the”

NO 19, NE 25 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV -1
Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“I'm getting the Raiders at home where they're going to be more comfortable.”

LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -14 · Hard Rock Bet closed -14 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“By the way, to be clear, I'm on the Packers here.”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Green Bay Packers -14 · Hard Rock Bet closed -14 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 6 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“keep rolling with it the number can't get big enough but the books are pushing it like this”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Atlanta Falcons +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 6 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“plus four and a half i think you got to grab the four and a half i'll do it like i'm with you on”

ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +10 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +4 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV -1.5
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 6 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“And so give me the Bears plus four.”

WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV -1
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 6 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-07 ·

“Four and a half feels good on an undervalued Bears team and an overrated –”

WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +6
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“obviously we're going to take houston at plus three and a half given the way the lines have moved uh over the course of the week with lamar jackson and this was a move that you predicted on tuesday as simon says do we still put it in the contest yep locking in that's a quick one three and a half got to take for Houston”

BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +6
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“this was a move that you predicted on tuesday as simon says do we still put it in the contest yep locking in that's a quick one three and a half got to take for Houston”

BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +4
Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“plus two and a half. We're doing the Jags at plus three and a half on Monday night.”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +4
Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“i think in the contest the jets are at plus two and a half i love it but it's the same exact thing as the saints every pro i've talked to is right there with us”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“I really want to take the Jags.”

JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“Cause again, I bet it now I'm, I'm all, I'm on it with you”

JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“two and a half and three out there right now Yeah yeah For people that are betting I grab the three”

LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“We're doing the Commanders at plus two and a half, but you can get a three with the Commanders out there. So go and get it.”

LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 5 Monday night · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-05 ·

“And so who's ever felt bad betting the Jags at plus 3.5 at home?”

JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints -1.5 +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +4
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“I have zero twos, but I do have a ton of one and a halves on the Saints team.”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints -1.5 +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +4
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“Just going all in on the Saints.”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“give me this commander's team plus”

LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New York Jets +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +4.5
Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“Give me the Jets plus two and a half”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 5 (Monday Night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“I definitely bet the Jags.”

JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“I did bet the Broncos at four and a half.”

PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“I did bet to Denver, but I've been patient on that one.”

PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-10-02 ·

“Still going to be on the Panthers especially at plus one and a half”

CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV +6
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“of game simon says grab the three and a half right now because i'm gonna trust that movement even if”

BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Houston Texans +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -2.5 · CLV +6
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“I'm going to grab that three and a half.”

BAL 10, HOU 44 — Houston Texans margin +34 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -7 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“I like the Colts, minus 6.5.”

IND 40, LV 6 — Indianapolis Colts margin +34 vs line -6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New Orleans Saints -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“we been burned by this number flipping on these sides here but I can help but really like the Saints here that they going to be super desperate as an 0 team going against a Giants team that just is not that good coming off a huge win now on the road”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“side i should be on but i'll take the line side here and i'll i'll take the minus nine and a half”

CIN 24, DET 37 — Detroit Lions margin +13 vs line -9.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Washington Commanders +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3 · CLV 0
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“I'm definitely going to take Washington at three.”

LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Denver Broncos +4.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 5 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“if you like the denver side which i do i grab the four and a half but if you like the ego side you”

PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 5 (Monday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-30 ·

“simon simon chad loves the jacksonville jaguars”

JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV -0.5
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I've bet him at 6.5”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -6 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“five and a half I am on board with you even at six I bet the Chargers so I'm invested like I'm”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I like the three and a half.”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“But I just love the number.”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“This is probably one of my bigger bets is this Lions side in this spot.”

DET 34, CLE 10 — Detroit Lions margin +24 vs line -9.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -9.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“it's my biggest bet of the week, too.”

DET 34, CLE 10 — Detroit Lions margin +24 vs line -9.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV +2.5
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“Yeah still love them but same as you where I have other games I bet a lot on as well and I like them just as much And if we do pick the Rams out I be okay with it”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +3
Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“So, yeah, give me the Raiders plus one and a half, Chad.”

LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +3
Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I'm glad you're on board with this one.”

LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I just, I really, really love this Chiefs side and this number.”

KC 37, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 4 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-28 ·

“I bet 7 on the Cowboys.”

DAL 40, GB 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +0 vs line +7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV -0.5
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“Chad loves the Chargers. I got it at six”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“I bet it at three.”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -9 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -10 · CLV +1
Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“They're going to be our brass balls bet of the week.”

DET 34, CLE 10 — Detroit Lions margin +24 vs line -9; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Buffalo Bills -16 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -14.5 · CLV -1.5
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“I bet the bills.”

BUF 31, NO 19 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line -16; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +2.5
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“So that's what I've been betting all week.”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
San Francisco 49ers -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“at three because i feel really good about the bet right now yeah even three and a half again”

SF 21, JAX 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“I'm betting the number I'm betting my homes in the spot but I'm not”

KC 37, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“And I really, really, really trust Dak when he's a big dog in the spot.”

DAL 40, GB 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +0 vs line +7; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +3
Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“I love Raiders here,”

LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
won
Houston Texans ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -400 · CLV 0¢
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·

“let's take the texans go texans i like it yeah i like it too because it's like the perfect”

HOU 26, TEN 0 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Favorites parlay: Bills, Lions, Chargers, Rams, Broncos · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 4 favorites parlay — Bills, Lions, Chargers, Rams, Broncos · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-25 ·
  • Buffalo Bills -16 closed -14.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
  • Detroit Lions -9 closed -10 · CLV +1 won
  • Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 closed -6 · CLV -0.5 lost
  • Los Angeles Rams -3.5 closed -6 · CLV +2.5 lost
  • Denver Broncos ML won

“take that plus 185 with Panthers for uh the favorites parlay Bills Lions Chargers Rams”

Parlay busts: Buffalo Bills -16 -16 — lost; Detroit Lions -9 -9 — won; Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 -6.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams -3.5 -3.5 — lost; Denver Broncos ML — won.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-23 ·

“were saying it was the week to fade the eagles i bet the bucks a plus three um why why is this line”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-23 ·

“So I'm going to grab the three and a half just in case the professionals do come in and hit this back down to three,”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Atlanta Falcons +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +5.5
Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-23 ·

“I took the Falcons plus three.”

ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Los Angeles Chargers -6 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-23 ·

“chad loves the los angeles chargers minus six couldn't get away from it”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Atlanta Falcons +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +5.5
Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 4 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-22 ·

“I already bet the Falcons at plus three.”

ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL moneyline
won
Kansas City Chiefs ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed -320 · CLV 0¢
Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants — NFL Week 3 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-22 ·

“heavily in the Chiefs just winning outright”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants — NFL Week 3 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-22 ·

“I am on the Chiefs minus 5.5.”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants — NFL Week 3 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-22 ·

“I bet the 5.5.”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +7.5 · CLV +1
Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“it's eight and a half in the contest feels like we want to lock in on”

CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +8.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +0.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV -1
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“I obviously wish we had the one and a half, but I'll take the half.”

JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +0.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“I'm going to have to bite the bullet and take the three and a half.”

PHI 33, LAR 26 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“I love the two and a half.”

LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6.5 · CLV +1
New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“I saw 7.5 on the Jets”

TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-21 ·

“I have bet the bears at plus one and a half. I'm pretty sure you have too.”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“Everything says bet the Browns We are betting the Browns”

CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +7.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7.5 · CLV 0
Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“So you're going to bet it. You'll be sick to your stomach if it loses like we're both going to be. But long-term, bet this spot, bet these type of numbers.”

CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I'm so mad this number's moving because two and a half was a real number from this Texans team last night and this morning. And I kept betting it”

JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Houston Texans +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV 0
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“It's a bet against Jacksonville and a bet on the spot as it is the Texans. No brainer. Easy bet. If you love this show, you got to take this.”

JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
New England Patriots +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“People want to know what side I'm on. I'm betting the Patriots. I'm on the Patriots. I like the number.”

NE 14, PIT 21 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“if this is the best i'm going to get for minus three i'm taking the eagles minus three”

PHI 33, LAR 26 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I'd still take Eagles at three and a half, honestly, minus three and a half.”

PHI 33, LAR 26 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I have bet the Broncos. I think I got them a three for a hot second the other day.”

LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I'm kind of riding with you on this. It's like I'm riding the trend and I'm riding you.”

LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“It's the number moved too far. Give me the team that's the dog on the move across zero.”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“Hard Rock is plus one. Go get the one and a half. Get the hook”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I bet the Chiefs minus five and a half after say the Packers and maybe the Colts it could be the chalkiest play of the week”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I bet the five and a half on the Chiefs but the sharp side, the professional side, they're going to be on the Giants at 6.5”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +1
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“But Panthers, I got to do it at five and a half, six if you can find it. It's just too much. And for me, I've just been betting too much on it where I can't stop betting the Panthers.”

CAR 30, ATL 0 — Carolina Panthers margin +30 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·

“I'm on the Cardinals. The Cardinals are up to like plus three at a couple books. You know, Hard Rock here in Jersey has got plus two and a half, plus two, and it keeps bouncing around.”

CAR 30, ATL 0 — Carolina Panthers margin +30 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Underdog ML round robin: Texans, Broncos, Bears, Panthers, Bengals · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 3 underdog moneyline round robin · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·
  • Houston Texans ML closed +100 · CLV +5¢ lost
  • Denver Broncos ML closed +125 · CLV +1¢ pending
  • Chicago Bears ML closed +103.5 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Carolina Panthers ML closed +190 · CLV +10¢ won
  • Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +145 · CLV -9¢ lost

“we've got to do our round robin underdog money line runner round robin underdog parlay uh texans um denver Chicago.”

Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — lost; Denver Broncos ML — manual; Chicago Bears ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
won
Favorite ML round robin: Colts, Chiefs, Eagles, Buccaneers, Seahawks · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 3 favorite moneyline round robin · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-18 ·
  • Indianapolis Colts ML closed -265 · CLV +25¢ won
  • Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -320 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Philadelphia Eagles ML closed -205 · CLV +10¢ won
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed -320 · CLV -40¢ won
  • Seattle Seahawks ML closed -400 · CLV 0¢ won

“What about our Moneyline Round Robin? The moneymaker. The favorite. Yes. So let's get chalky. Let's go Colts.”

Parlay cashes: Indianapolis Colts ML — won; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Philadelphia Eagles ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — won; Seattle Seahawks ML — won.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Denver Broncos +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-16 ·

“Love, love, love, love, love Denver in this spot.”

LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Chicago Bears -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV -2.5
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 3 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-16 ·

“Yeah, Bears, you have to bet this one.”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -6 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants — NFL Week 3 (Sunday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-16 ·

“I'm taking the five and a half Chad loves love.”

NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“Look, I bet it at five and a half.”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“i got it at four it five and a half i love cam ward i love this matchup for this tennessee”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Jets +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“So I bet the six and a half.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +5.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I'm just so happy we have the 6.5 because we need every point here against Josh Allen.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5 · CLV -0.5
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I'm going to bet on Dak at home in a dead number that is lower than six.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -5 · CLV -0.5
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I'm confident in it.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“so I make the line two and a half it's one crazy good value on this eagle side”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1 · CLV -0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“Because I'll be honest, on Thursday, you 100% convinced me that the Eagles were the right side.”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +1.5
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I'm going to take the Colts in our contest.”

IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +1.5
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I have it in there at two and a half.”

IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-14 ·

“I'm taking that three and a half right now.”

PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -5 · CLV -0.5
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“comfortable with the with the cowboys here i bet him at five and a half and i'm bummed because if i had known about the bland injury and you know could have gotten more half point of value but i don't uh i don't mind the cowboys here”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Dallas Cowboys -5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -5 · CLV 0
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“we were decidedly square in our love for the Cowboys and are hoping that the number continues to drop.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
New York Jets +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“I coming around to your side Simon this is our Rock in a hard place hard rock bet of the week New York jets.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New York Jets +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV +1
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“I'm going to take the 6.5, and it really is just about the injuries to this Bills team and their secondary.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks +3 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“can take advantage and equalize some of that karma, so to speak, and the value is in the Seahawks at plus three.”

PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks +3 (-110) · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“We both just love the Seahawks and the number. So two and a half, three. I love them both.”

PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“Tennessee Titans plus five and a half. For the second week in a row, this team is our Brass Balls Bet of the Week.”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Tennessee Titans +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“but um you know the pros they've kept it under six we'll take the five five and a half and uh we talk all the time this this rams team”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV -0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“This is going to be our rock in a hard place, hard rock, bet of the week. We're taking the eagles minus one and a half it's going to be one of our favorite five boom lock it done”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV -0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“i'm i'm gonna maybe force this one in on us and i'll own it because i know chad's hesitant about it but i just love the way this lines up for the seagulls team”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Minnesota Vikings -3 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“and it's just playing the number minus three i got to take it at this value”

MIN 6, ATL 22 — Minnesota Vikings margin -16 vs line -3; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“i do like this i do like this cold side and like i am bet into it but like chad said i'm bet i'm bet at a better number than this so i'm not going to stamp my feet here”

IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·

“But now when I really dive into it, it's like three and a half. That's the right number for this game. So I am on the Jaguars side.”

CIN 31, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
won
Favorites ML parlay: Cowboys + Cardinals + Rams + Lions + Bills · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 2 favorites parlay (Cowboys, Cardinals, Rams, Lions, Bills moneyline) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-11 ·
  • Dallas Cowboys ML closed -245 · CLV -5¢ won
  • Arizona Cardinals ML closed -335 · CLV +10¢ won
  • Los Angeles Rams ML closed -250 · CLV 0¢ won
  • Detroit Lions ML closed -285 · CLV -20¢ won
  • Buffalo Bills ML closed -275 · CLV -3¢ won

“Do you want to do a favorites parlay at this point? Yeah, let's get super chalky with it. Start out with our guys, Dallas Cardinals. We like them.”

Parlay cashes: Dallas Cowboys ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; Los Angeles Rams ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — won; Buffalo Bills ML — won.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks +3 · Hard Rock Bet closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-09 ·

“he loves the seattle seahawks plus three... i like this number two i have no fear that it's up to three”

PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Minnesota Vikings -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -3 · CLV -1.5
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 2 (Sunday Night Football) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-09 ·

“says, give me the Vikings, minus four... and a half.”

MIN 6, ATL 22 — Minnesota Vikings margin -16 vs line -4.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Indianapolis Colts +2 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1 · CLV +1
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-09 ·

“I loved it. ... Bet it again yesterday. ... I'm playing the number here. ... two, if you're hearing this right now, go grab it.”

IND 29, DEN 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +2; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
New England Patriots +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 2 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-09 ·

“i immediately hit the... patriots side again same as you though just dipping my toes in”

MIA 27, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet*
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“So we had chargers three and a half... So the final, remember we had the Chargers, so we're already 1-0.”

LAR 14, HOU 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +1
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“The contest line is five and a half. Book it. Locked in. So, like, again, one of the five plays I put in on Tuesday, Cleveland plus five and a half.”

CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Baltimore Ravens +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -1.5 · CLV +3
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“But in the contest lines we play, it's a plus one and a half. We're locking it in.”

BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Baltimore Ravens -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1.5 · CLV +0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“Yeah, and people listen to this show, I'd bet up to minus two. So if you're out there and you can still get the minus one and a half, I'd still take this on the Ravens, a lot of betting”

BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Miami Dolphins +1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“I love it I want it I I I'm so glad you're listing it I actually had it on the list... The Dolphins plus one and a half.”

IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -4.5 · CLV +2
Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“now we're in a spot here that me and Chad might be actually taking the Jaguars in our contest because the line value is just too good to pass up... Jags minus two and a half It been bet up to four and a half in a lot of books”

JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +16 vs line -2.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Miami Dolphins -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2.5 · CLV +1
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (Week 2) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“I've already bet Miami minus one and a half against the Patriots at home. I love it.”

MIA 27, NE 33 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line -1.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Philadelphia Eagles -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs (Week 2) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“So I'm going to grab the Eagles now, and I'll maybe take a big position and buy back later on on the Chiefs”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line -1; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders (Week 2, Monday night) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“I feel like the Chargers are overvalued right now because of beating the Chiefs, who we just discussed, I think are a little bit diminished in terms of quality and health.”

LV 9, LAC 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Detroit Lions -4.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed -6.5 · CLV +2
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (Week 2) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“I grabbed it just thinking the public most likely wouldn't be on the Lions.”

DET 52, CHI 21 — Detroit Lions margin +31 vs line -4.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Seattle Seahawks +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +3.5 · CLV -1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (Week 2) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“Just know this is a position I'm already taking that, you know, just like the Jets, I can see the public liking Pittsburgh in this spot.”

PIT 17, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +2.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Carolina Panthers +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +7 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (Week 2) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-07 ·

“So just early bet, I've already bet at Hard Rock here, plus six and a half, Give me the Panthers.”

ARI 27, CAR 22 — Carolina Panthers margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“I grabbed it at plus three. The only two bets I've really made so far, Browns and Raiders, because I'm still nervous about the rest of them.”

NE 13, LV 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Las Vegas Raiders +3 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“Even though I am on the Raiders plus three because our week two line that going to get like you just said the media hype”

NE 13, LV 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +5 · Hard Rock Bet closed +4.5 · CLV +0.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“The only two bets I've really made so far, Browns and Raiders, because I'm still nervous about the rest of them.”

CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +0.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“kept hitting at five and a half... I'm still betting at five.”

CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
push
Tennessee Titans +8 · Hard Rock Bet closed +9 · CLV -1
Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“This week our brass balls bet of the week Tennessee Titans plus eight against the Denver Broncos. And we're putting this in the freaking contest, brother.”

DEN 20, TEN 12 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Baltimore Ravens -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1.5 · CLV +0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“which means the Baltimore Ravens are our rock and a hard place... Bet of the week presented by Hard Rock.”

BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Baltimore Ravens -1 · Hard Rock Bet closed -1.5 · CLV +0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“no I'm going Ravens I love the Ravens and it's such a it's still a good number there's still plus one and a half out there but I'll take the hard rock I'll take the minus one”

BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“the chad loves love bet was detroit plus two and a half and that number is now at hard rock bet down to two”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“Two and a half in our contest plus two... We love it.”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +8 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“i've been betting this for months months and months and months... unfortunately it's probably going to be dallas like i just i know i was”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL parlay
lost
Week 1 ML underdog round robin: Saints ML, Panthers ML, Jets ML, Lions ML, Browns ML · Hard Rock Bet*
NFL Week 1 moneyline round-robin underdog parlay (Saints, Panthers, Jets, Lions, Browns) · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·
  • New Orleans Saints ML closed +222 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • Carolina Panthers ML closed +185 · CLV -9¢ lost
  • New York Jets ML closed +138 · CLV 0¢ lost
  • Detroit Lions ML closed +105 · CLV +3¢ lost
  • Cleveland Browns ML closed +192 · CLV -6¢ lost

“round robin underdog parlay here's what i think saints panthers lions raiders cleveland... i'll um i'll switch out the raiders for uh the jets”

Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — lost; New York Jets ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — lost.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Miami Dolphins +1 · Hard Rock Bet closed +1 · CLV 0
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-04 ·

“So I'm doing Miami. I think I got one and a half or one. What's Hard Rock say right now about Miami? I'm almost positive they moved to, let me pull it up. They”

IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1; busts.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +7 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +8 · CLV -1
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“I bet the Cowboys a plus seven.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +7; covers.

Chad Millman NFL moneyline
lost
Dallas Cowboys ML (+240) · Hard Rock Bet* closed +338 · CLV -98¢
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“I bet the Cowboys on the money line at plus 240.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Dallas Cowboys +8.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +8 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“I'm just betting it at eight and a half.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +1
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“this is obviously one of my favorite bets on the board”

CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
won
Cleveland Browns +5.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +4.5 · CLV +1
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“Give me the Browns plus five and a half.”

CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.

Chad Millman NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“Chad loves the Detroit Lions at plus two and a half.”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

Simon Hunter NFL spread
lost
Detroit Lions +2.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +1.5 · CLV +1
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 1 · Sharp or Square, 2025-09-03 ·

“I'll take that two and a half with the signs.”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

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