Chad Millman

“i still like that eight to one line there for cat”

Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.

“I would take the plus 350. Okay. Yeah. You know, why not? Take a fire. I don't mind it. Go against the grain a little bit.”

Rueben Bain Jr. was not drafted top 5; he went 15th overall to Tampa Bay. (Bain Jr., DE, pick 15 (Buccaneers).)

“That's my pick to win it all.”

UConn lost the 2026 national championship game to Michigan 63-69; future busts. (Michigan 69, UConn 63 (April 6, Lucas Oil Stadium).)

“at minus 25 and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -25.5; busts.

“First half, New England plus three and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — New England Patriots margin -16 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I gave him one of my favorite bets first quarter under seven and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 7.5 busts.

“I bet Darnold at some plus number that's come down to win MVP.”

Kenneth Walker won Super Bowl LX MVP; Sam Darnold did not. (Walker rushed for 135 yards in Seattle's 29-13 win.)

“I bet Rashid Shahid to win MVP.”

Kenneth Walker won Super Bowl LX MVP; Rashid Shaheed did not. (Walker rushed for 135 yards in Seattle's 29-13 win.)

“We're also on this game over 42 and a half in the contest.”

DEN 7, NE 10 — Combined 17; over 42.5 busts.

• Jared Stidham over 260 passing yards lost
• Jared Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts lost
• Drake Maye over 40 rushing yards closed +30.5 · CLV -9.5 won

“the SGP I did was Stidham over 260 passing yards, [9:08] Stidham over 30, it's 32 plus passing attempts, [9:12] and Drake May 40 plus rushing yards.”

Parlay busts: Jared Stidham over 260 passing yards +260 — lost; Jared Stidham over 31.5 passing attempts +31.5 — lost; Drake Maye over 40 rushing yards +40 — won.

“We decided to go with Jackson Smith and Jigba under half a touchdown, basically no touchdown.”

JSN caught a 14-yard TD pass from Darnold in the NFC Championship; under 0.5 TD loses. (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 10 rec, 153 yds, 1 TD — Seahawks 31, Rams 27)

“Let's go Jarrett Stidham over pass attempts.”

Stidham finished 17-of-31 (31 attempts) vs. Patriots in the AFC Championship — under the 31.5 line; bet loses. (Jarrett Stidham: 17/31, 133 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT — Broncos lost 10-7)

“I don't think we're betting money line on the Broncos here. I did take a taste of”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Broncos future busts. (Seattle beat New England 29-13 on Feb 8, 2026.)

“I bet the Hoosiers at minus 7.5 while I'm here in Florida”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -7.5; busts.

“the Rams and Chicago the first half under we liked it at 25 and a half on Tuesday It a 23 and a half We still recommending you take the under at 23 and a half Let get a quick word from our”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 23.5 busts.

“our Brass Balls Bet of the Week presented by Hard Rock Bet We going under 41 You know what it takes It takes brass balls”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 41 busts.

“Bears first half under.”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; under 24 busts.

• San Francisco 49ers +7.5 closed +6.5 · CLV +1 pending
• Buffalo Bills +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost

“I don hate that either It up to you locally Let do Niners and Bills If those and Bills Do you like the Bills for Niners better for underdog parlay”

Parlay busts: San Francisco 49ers +7.5 +7.5 — pending; Buffalo Bills +1 +1 — lost.

• New England Patriots -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
• Los Angeles Rams -4 closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost

“Pats and ramps. Let's do it. Let's do it.”

Parlay busts: New England Patriots -3 -3 — won; Los Angeles Rams -4 -4 — lost.

“is going to be the under 45 and a half Are you sure you want to do this Are you willing to make a choice What choice”

SEA 41, SF 6 — Combined 47; under 45.5 busts.

“So I still love the Chargers here.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

“Los Angeles Rams at the Carolina Panthers.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

“So I'll take Bears, Packers under 45 and a half.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 45.5 busts.

“I like the side and I like the total.”

PHI 19, SF 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.

“Simon, this is going to be our Brass Balls Bet of the Week.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

“at all I still like Pittsburgh up plus three that this changed honestly nothing for me obviously we”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

“Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock Bet. [13:40] Los Angeles Rams minus 10.”

CAR 31, LAR 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

“on Sunday night at three and a half. It's one of the few numbers that kind of hasn't moved.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

“We're going with the Bengals.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7.5; busts.

“I'm on the Bengals at the seven, I think. I'm also big on the Bengals”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.

“and the Rams money line today.”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.

“we have locked it in at seven and a half in the contest”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.

• Rico Dowdle over 25 rushing yards lost
• Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown pending

“I just want to point out I did bet Rico Dowdle”

Parlay busts: Rico Dowdle over 25 rushing yards +25 — lost; Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown — pending.

“Give me the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven and a half.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7.5; busts.

“Still good with it. Still like it. Still want to put it in the contest.”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.

“but the three and a half and I bet the money line.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

• Carolina Panthers ML closed +130 · CLV -2¢ lost
• Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown pending

“And now I'm going to bet Rico Dowdle parlays.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown — manual.

“We bet the Bengals minus seven.”

CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.

“i'm taking the rams in a get right spot against a team that has no answers defensively and”

DEN 19, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -16 vs line -7; busts.

“We currently have Tennessee plus two and a half in the contest. [6:54] I still love it. [6:55] This is the side of the wise guys, Tennessee.”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.

“The Buffalo Bills, Simon, are going to be our rock in a hard place, hard rock, bet of the week.”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -2; busts.

“for the last game we've leaned into before we get to some that we're still considering [14:20] the chicago bears plus three and a half at the san francisco 49ers the sunday night”

SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I also bet the money line on the Carolina Panthers.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

“two and a half at hard rock it opened at three and a half we've been betting it or at least i have”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.

“um i also bet tennessee on the money line so look you've said it the wise guys are on it”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans lost; moneyline busts.

“Unfortunately, I bet into the Bills at two and a half. I bet him at one. I bet him on the money line. So I'm overexposed on the Bills”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

“Unfortunately, I bet into the Bills at two and a half. I bet him at one. I bet him on the money line. So I'm overexposed on the Bills”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills lost; moneyline busts.

• Houston Texans +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 won
• Chicago Bears +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 lost
• Tennessee Titans +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 lost
• Cleveland Browns +3 closed +4.5 · CLV -1.5 won
• Las Vegas Raiders +1 closed +3 · CLV -2 pending

“underdog parlay we're doing uh who did we say we did houston the bears”

Parlay busts: Houston Texans +2.5 +2.5 — won; Chicago Bears +3 +3 — lost; Tennessee Titans +2.5 +2.5 — lost; Cleveland Browns +3 +3 — won; Las Vegas Raiders +1 +1 — manual.

• Seattle Seahawks -7 closed -7 · CLV 0 won
• Green Bay Packers -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 lost
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 lost
• Los Angeles Rams -2.5 closed -7 · CLV +4.5 lost
• Buffalo Bills -1 closed -3 · CLV +2 lost

“favorites parlay we're doing seattle green bay [1:00:43] tampa bay the rams and the bills”

Parlay busts: Seattle Seahawks -7 -7 — won; Green Bay Packers -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 -5.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Buffalo Bills -1 -1 — lost.

“Your New Orleans Saints are visiting the Tennessee Titans The number was three I bet the Titans at plus three It is now two and a half at hard rock bet”

TEN 26, NO 34 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +3; busts.

“I bet the two and a half.”

BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.

“Buffalo at Cleveland. We're going with Buffalo minus 10 and a half.”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10.5; busts.

“Pittsburgh at Detroit. We're going with Detroit. It's seven and a half now, but we got it at six and a half in the contest.”

DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6.5; busts.

“I'm going to throw a little bit on it. Just as I know it's not going to happen,”

Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP; Lawrence did not win. (Stafford won the closest MVP vote since 2003.)

“We want to fade the team that just blew somebody out”

WSH 18, PHI 29 — Washington Commanders margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.

“Betting the Giants plus three, what Simon says.”

NO 29, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -23 vs line +3; busts.

“Give me the Bills minus 10.”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -10; busts.

“All right, well, I'll put it on the list.”

DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.

“We've added it to the list.”

DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -6; busts.

• Tennessee Titans ML closed +145 · CLV -22¢ won
• Arizona Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV 0¢ won
• New York Giants ML closed +125 · CLV 0¢ lost
• New England Patriots ML closed +156 · CLV -6¢ won
• Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +155 · CLV 0¢ won

“Moneyline underdog parlay.”

Parlay busts: Tennessee Titans ML — won; Arizona Cardinals ML — won; New York Giants ML — lost; New England Patriots ML — won; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

“green bay at denver another chalky one for us this was chad's choice”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.

“We both bet into the Rams.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

“Give me the Green Bay Packers.”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

“So just at that number, I have to bet it.”

PHI 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.

“yeah I'm with you love the Packers here love the match for them”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

“We both bet Cleveland here.”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

“I still love it. I bet the Jets, I bet the Jets at three. I bet the Jets at three on Wednesday.”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I bet the Jets at three I think again on Thursday I bet the Jets money line I all in on the Jets here And maybe I making a mistake Maybe I sort of over enthusiastic But I just don see”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.

“I favor Washington here”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +1.5; busts.

“i bet it at three i bet”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

“I've taken a pretty large position on the minus three and a half.”

CLE 29, TEN 31 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

“We've made the very hard decision to back the Baltimore Ravens at minus five and a half.”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.

“I have to take that number.”

GB 28, CHI 21 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

• Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed +121 · CLV -11¢ won
• New York Jets ML closed +120 · CLV +4¢ lost
• Washington Commanders ML closed -116 · CLV -4¢ lost

“jaguars yeah jets jets and then let's do uh for the third one let's do washington”

Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Washington Commanders ML — lost.

“I'll still bet them at two and a half just because I think they're the right side here.”

NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I have bet into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I have bet into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.

“i did bet it at seven [20:55] and a half.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

• Pittsburgh Steelers ML closed +144 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Cleveland Browns ML closed +207 · CLV +3¢ lost
• New York Jets ML closed +140 · CLV +5¢ won
• Houston Texans ML closed +140 · CLV 0¢ won
• Tennessee Titans ML closed +225 · CLV -5¢ lost

“Well speaking of dogs I made a list of the Moneyline Underdog Parlay and I was finding more games where I feel I can see victory for the dogs than I can for the favorites On my list I have Pittsburgh I have Cleveland I have the jets”

Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers ML — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — lost; New York Jets ML — won; Houston Texans ML — won; Tennessee Titans ML — lost.

“my five favorite bets and um these last two games i'm really big on them tonight commanders and the”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

“That's when I bet it, but I'm still betting into it at five and a half.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.

“Giants, Giants, Giants, Giants.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

“So I love the Cardinals here, Simon.”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

“So I'm still going to like the number of 12.5.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -12.5; busts.

“So I'm with you. I like the Lions here. I'm not afraid of it.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10; busts.

“I love it love love the Raiders here the other game that I love Jacksonville at Arizona”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.

“It's going to be the New Orleans Saints, minus one and a half.”

NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

• Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -185 · CLV 0¢ lost
• New Orleans Saints ML closed -127 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -200 · CLV +10¢ won
• Seattle Seahawks -5 (adjusted) won
• Green Bay Packers ML closed -290 · CLV +5¢ won

“city you know i think i think them being five and six is very real raiders saints kansas city”

Parlay busts: Las Vegas Raiders ML — lost; New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Seattle Seahawks -5 (adjusted) -5 — won; Green Bay Packers ML — won.

“I know I bet Seattle on Sunday at 12 and a half. I'm assuming you did as well.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -12.5; busts.

“I'm with you 100% minus 10.5.”

DET 34, NYG 27 — Detroit Lions margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.

“I'm on the Raiders at minus three.”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3; busts.

“I am going with the Arizona Cardinals”

ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I'm going to have to be on the Panthers at plus seven.”

SF 20, CAR 9 — Carolina Panthers margin -11 vs line +7; busts.

“I bet into it at five and a half.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

“i bet houston minus six and a half”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

“We're both on the Rams here.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

“Obviously, I bet into it at five and a half.”

PIT 34, CIN 12 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -22 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I did bet the Texans at minus six and a half”

TEN 13, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.

“Los Angeles Rams, brass balls, bet of the week, presented by Hard Rock Bet.”

JAX 35, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -29 vs line -3; busts.

• Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5 won
• Arizona Cardinals +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5 won
• Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost

“So three-team parlay, Carolina, Arizona, and Cincinnati.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers +3.5 +3.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +3 +3 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 +5.5 — lost.

“We know we like the Bucs minus two and a half.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

“We like the Cardinals plus six and a half in this spot at Seattle.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.

“First half Denver, full game, Denver, I'm all over it.”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

“I'll probably end up just taking a large position with Carolina on the money line”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.

“But as you said here right now, I'm betting into the two and a half”

CHI 24, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I like fading the Patriots when they're finally playing a competitive team on the road, a more challenging team.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

“If I'm not going to get the six and a half, if I'm not going to get a seven, I'll bet the six and a half.”

CAR 7, NO 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.

“Niners are the side.”

SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.

• New York Jets ML closed +185 · CLV -75¢ lost
• Houston Texans ML closed -111 · CLV +1¢ won
• San Francisco 49ers ML closed +215 · CLV -6¢ lost

“Jets, Houston, Niners.”

Parlay busts: New York Jets ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — won; San Francisco 49ers ML — lost.

• Carolina Panthers ML closed -250 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Detroit Lions ML closed -450 · CLV -10¢ won
• Baltimore Ravens ML closed -235 · CLV +6¢ won
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML closed -150 · CLV +10¢ lost
• Chicago Bears ML closed -225 · CLV +15¢ won

“Panthers, Lions, Ravens.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — won; Baltimore Ravens ML — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML — lost; Chicago Bears ML — won.

“Buccaneers minus two and a half against the high flying Drake May MVPing New England Patriots.”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

“Los Angeles Chargers minus nine at Tennessee.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -9.5; busts.

“Detroit is a nine-point favorite. This was Chad's choice.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

“so i like the matchup here i like the opportunity i like the texans defense uh i have no fear of betting this at two we've been betting at minus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“And I'm going to grab the Green Bay just in case it does go up to three.”

GB 7, PHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I bet the Chargers at eight and a half.”

TEN 20, LAC 27 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.

“So I'm getting the Lions, Jared Goff, Dan Campbell, in a great rush offense against a bad rush defense at home”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

“I know we both bet it at plus one and a half. We even said on Tuesday we still liked it at Texans minus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.

“Oh, no, I already bet the Jags a minus three.”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line -3; busts.

• Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -134 · CLV +2¢ won
• Houston Texans ML closed -130 · CLV -5¢ lost
• Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -590 · CLV 0¢ won
• Detroit Lions ML closed -525 · CLV +25¢ lost
• Jacksonville Jaguars ML closed -140 · CLV -10¢ won

“money line round robin favorites Kansas City Houston Chargers Detroit Jacksonville”

Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs ML — won; Houston Texans ML — lost; Los Angeles Chargers ML — won; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won.

“So I just I'm on Miami. I'm just I can't get over as someone that's taking a position out on the Ravens.”

MIA 6, BAL 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -22 vs line +7.5; busts.

“And I don't care because Chad's choice presented by Hard Rock Bet is going to be the Detroit Lions.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

“I think that this is a big big difference and I'm just glad I got the plus one and a half”

HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I still bet the Jags”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line -3; busts.

“I actually, I like the Cowboys here.”

DAL 17, ARI 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -2.5; busts.

“We're going to be on the Steelers here in the contest.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.

“It's Pittsburgh plus three. [1:06:55] Purely a play on the Steelers as dogs at home.”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

“I hope people were listening because I bet it at three and a half. I know you did too. How do we feel at three? Still on Pittsburgh”

PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

“[26:19] Tennessee, 7.5. [26:21] Got to be in one of our five.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

“[31:07] And we're playing Houston. [31:08] We get them at 3.5.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

“Reminder that we have the Texans plus 3.5”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I don't know if there's anything more to say about it other than we're taking the Jets.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

“Tennessee Titans plus seven. [39:33] That is our brass balls bet of the week.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.

“I bet it at seven.”

DEN 33, NYG 32 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line -7; busts.

“It's already bet for me at 3.5.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

• Minnesota Vikings ML closed +122 · CLV -11¢ lost
• Dallas Cowboys ML closed -127 · CLV -2¢ won
• New York Jets ML closed -111.5 · CLV +6¢ lost
• Atlanta Falcons ML closed -110 · CLV +8¢ lost
• Houston Texans ML closed +146.5 · CLV +2¢ lost

“So the underdog parlay, Vikings, Cowboys, Jets, Falcons, Texans, the favorite parlay.”

Parlay busts: Minnesota Vikings ML — lost; Dallas Cowboys ML — won; New York Jets ML — lost; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost; Houston Texans ML — lost.

“But yeah, it's a Jags bet.”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -28 vs line +3; busts.

“I bet the Texans at plus three and a half, the first bet that I actually made.”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

“We've liked the Colts all week at a good number. [22:16] Now it's exploded. [22:18] How do we not play this?”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.

“half to four. That's where I actually bet it.”

MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -4; busts.

“i bet into the colts when that number was lower”

IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin +4 vs line -7; busts.

“So I bet the Packers at 14 for a little”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.

“By the way, to be clear, I'm on the Packers here.”

GB 27, CIN 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -14; busts.

“plus two and a half. We're doing the Jags at plus three and a half on Monday night.”

NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I've bet him at 6.5”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6.5; busts.

“I like the three and a half.”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I bet it at three.”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3; busts.

“I bet the bills.”

BUF 31, NO 19 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line -16; busts.

“at three because i feel really good about the bet right now yeah even three and a half again”

SF 21, JAX 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -3; busts.

• Buffalo Bills -16 closed -14.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
• Detroit Lions -9 closed -10 · CLV +1 won
• Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 closed -6 · CLV -0.5 lost
• Los Angeles Rams -3.5 closed -6 · CLV +2.5 lost
• Denver Broncos ML won

“take that plus 185 with Panthers for uh the favorites parlay Bills Lions Chargers Rams”

Parlay busts: Buffalo Bills -16 -16 — lost; Detroit Lions -9 -9 — won; Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 -6.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams -3.5 -3.5 — lost; Denver Broncos ML — won.

“were saying it was the week to fade the eagles i bet the bucks a plus three um why why is this line”

TB 25, PHI 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +3; busts.

“chad loves the los angeles chargers minus six couldn't get away from it”

NYG 21, LAC 18 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -6; busts.

“It's a bet against Jacksonville and a bet on the spot as it is the Texans. No brainer. Easy bet. If you love this show, you got to take this.”

JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I'm kind of riding with you on this. It's like I'm riding the trend and I'm riding you.”

LAC 23, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

• Houston Texans ML closed +100 · CLV +5¢ lost
• Denver Broncos ML closed +125 · CLV +1¢ pending
• Chicago Bears ML closed +103.5 · CLV 0¢ won
• Carolina Panthers ML closed +190 · CLV +10¢ won
• Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +145 · CLV -9¢ lost

“we've got to do our round robin underdog money line runner round robin underdog parlay uh texans um denver Chicago.”

Parlay busts: Houston Texans ML — lost; Denver Broncos ML — manual; Chicago Bears ML — won; Carolina Panthers ML — won; Cincinnati Bengals ML — lost.

“Look, I bet it at five and a half.”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I'm going to bet on Dak at home in a dead number that is lower than six.”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

“comfortable with the with the cowboys here i bet him at five and a half and i'm bummed because if i had known about the bland injury and you know could have gotten more half point of value but i don't uh i don't mind the cowboys here”

DAL 40, NYG 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.

“Tennessee Titans plus five and a half. For the second week in a row, this team is our Brass Balls Bet of the Week.”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I love it I want it I I I'm so glad you're listing it I actually had it on the list... The Dolphins plus one and a half.”

IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I've already bet Miami minus one and a half against the Patriots at home. I love it.”

MIA 27, NE 33 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line -1.5; busts.

“I feel like the Chargers are overvalued right now because of beating the Chiefs, who we just discussed, I think are a little bit diminished in terms of quality and health.”

LV 9, LAC 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.

“which means the Baltimore Ravens are our rock and a hard place... Bet of the week presented by Hard Rock.”

BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

“the chad loves love bet was detroit plus two and a half and that number is now at hard rock bet down to two”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

• New Orleans Saints ML closed +222 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Carolina Panthers ML closed +185 · CLV -9¢ lost
• New York Jets ML closed +138 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Detroit Lions ML closed +105 · CLV +3¢ lost
• Cleveland Browns ML closed +192 · CLV -6¢ lost

“round robin underdog parlay here's what i think saints panthers lions raiders cleveland... i'll um i'll switch out the raiders for uh the jets”

Parlay busts: New Orleans Saints ML — lost; Carolina Panthers ML — lost; New York Jets ML — lost; Detroit Lions ML — lost; Cleveland Browns ML — lost.

“So I'm doing Miami. I think I got one and a half or one. What's Hard Rock say right now about Miami? I'm almost positive they moved to, let me pull it up. They”

IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1; busts.

“I bet the Cowboys on the money line at plus 240.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.

“Chad loves the Detroit Lions at plus two and a half.”

GB 27, DET 13 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I going to bet Ravens Lions Ravens Eagles probably Ravens Niners as part of my Super Bowl matchup round robin”

All Ravens Super Bowl-matchup legs lost; Baltimore went 8-9 and missed the playoffs.

“So I'm going with Lions plus 145 because I like getting plus money on this team to win the division.”

Chicago won the NFC North; Detroit finished 9-8 and out of the playoffs.

“Seahawks under 8.5.”

Seattle went 14-3, blowing past the 8.5 under line.

“My list was Raiders over six and a half, Chiefs division but parlaying it,”

The Chiefs leg busted: Kansas City went 6-11 and Denver won the AFC West.

“All right, just sprinkle a little on 15 to one Raiders just for the show.”

Las Vegas went 3-14 and did not win the AFC, which New England took.

“I had, saints under five and a half, panthers over [45:06] six and a half, [45:08] and then I had”

New Orleans finished 6-11, one win over the 5.5 under line.

“Yes. They're one of my two Super Bowl tickets”

The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the 49ers were eliminated in the Divisional Round, so the futures lost.

“You're not the problem for us, Matt Moore, because after our conversation last week, me and Simon both bet on the thunder to win in six,”

The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 6, so the Thunder to win in 6 bet lost.

“So I'm betting on Brock Purdy, 35 to one.”

Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Brock Purdy lost.

“I bet the niners 25 to one to win the Super Bowl.”

The Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; the 49ers were eliminated in the Divisional Round, so the futures lost.

“Kyler Murray. That's my pick. Kyler Murray is 50 to one. This is my more realistic one.”

Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP, so Kyler Murray lost.

“You can't get it in the action app yet, but I bet both, the cowboys plus seven and the cowboys on the money line at plus two forty.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys lost; moneyline busts.

“I think I'm with Abilene.”

2025 conclave elected Robert Prevost (Pope Leo XIV) on May 8, 2025. Jean-Marc Aveline was not elected.

“So you say it's minus four fifty. Yeah. It's moving. So if you have the money in in the bank, just go put it down because”

Only two quarterbacks (Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart) were drafted in Round 1 of the 2025 NFL Draft; the over 2.5 QBs pick lost. (Round 1 QBs: Cam Ward (No. 1, Titans), Jaxson Dart (No. 25, Giants) — 2 total)

“I may or may not have bet on the Bears to win the Super Bowl. I'm just saying, Simon”

The Bears (11-6) lost 17-20 in OT to the Rams in the NFC Divisional round; the Seahawks won Super Bowl LX.

“I wanna take Chalamet here.”

Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) won Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars, so the Timothée Chalamet bet lost.

• Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions closed +5.5 · CLV 0 lost
• Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown pending

“Thanks to doctor Nick Giffin. That was, four to one.”

Parlay busts: Xavier Worthy under 5.5 receptions +5.5 — lost; Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown — manual.

“The money line was my exact decision. The side was Simon Says.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

“We're going with the under as our big balls bet of the week.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 49 busts.

“I bet this as soon as it opened at Kansas City minus one and a half and Kansas City on the money line at minus $1.20.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.

“I'm making Kansas City on the money line my exact decision.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

“I I bet it at one and a half. I also bet the chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.

“I I bet it at one and a half. I also bet the chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

“I've hit the two and a half a couple times. I know, Simon, you've probably hit it more. This was my exact decision.”

HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I think they're gonna try to limit their own mistakes”

HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 42.5 busts.

“I'm still good with the Steelers here at 10.”

BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.

“I'm going all in on the chargers and the bucks and the bills.”

TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

“I did bet it at two and a half. I bet the chargers. It's at three.”

HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I used quick slip, by the way, and I bet the steel is a plus 10.”

BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +10; busts.

“We're on the Chiefs here.”

DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.

“Very interesting. Finally pulling the trigger on the Tennessee titans. I gotta tell you, I didn't see that one coming.”

TEN 14, HOU 23 — Tennessee Titans margin -9 vs line -1; busts.

“It's another one sort of that I gifted myself on Christmas day when it moved to three and a half. I took it at three and a half. It's since moved back down to three.”

CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I did get Carolina at plus eight and a half against Tampa Bay, and it's now at eight. This was my exact decision.”

TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +8.5; busts.

“And if we can still get the four and a half in the contest by all means Amazing. I love it. We're the thing is we're not gonna get three and a half.”

WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.

“I did bet the packers money line on Christmas day. They were still slight dogs at the time.”

MIN 27, GB 25 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.

• Carolina Panthers ML closed +410 · CLV -20¢ lost
• Atlanta Falcons ML closed +159 · CLV -2¢ lost

“We're going with Carolina as an eight, eight and a half point dog, and Atlanta, all NFC South boosted parlay.”

Parlay busts: Carolina Panthers ML — lost; Atlanta Falcons ML — lost.

“We're gonna be on the Texans here.”

HOU 2, BAL 31 — Houston Texans margin -29 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I'm with you, man. You know what? You've turned me around. I didn't have a strong opinion. I leaned Washington. I got where you're coming from Washington, though, just because it is Penix on the road as a rookie.”

WSH 30, ATL 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +4; busts.

“So this was also on my list for executive decision. The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible.”

TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +8; busts.

“I'm grabbing Cowboys right now at seven and a half.”

PHI 41, DAL 7 — Dallas Cowboys margin -34 vs line +7.5; busts.

“I bet the Texans at three and a half. We are very much hoping for the middle.”

KC 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I would still take the Steelers.”

BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.

“We like this a lot on Tuesday when it was three and a half. We both bet it there.”

ATL 34, NYG 7 — New York Giants margin -27 vs line +3.5; busts.

“New England Buffalo was my exact decision.”

BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -14; busts.