Jason Timpf

Guest · 4-5 on settled picks

Record
4-5
Cash %
44.4%
Net units
-1.40u
ROI
-15.6%

Bankroll

Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 6 settled days
0+22023202420252026-1.40u
0+22023202420252026-1u

Picks

9 total
Status
Market
NBA futures
lost
Karl-Anthony Towns to win NBA Finals MVP (+800)
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 · ·

“touches in the fourth quarter mvp odds for cat down to eight to one jason i still like it i think i think the uh i think people are understanding what's happening with brunson i i think it's become officially a storyline now that it's like oh the knicks are the better team but is brunson going to shoot them out of the series that's become like a legitimate storyline now so like i i i still like the value on cat there eight to one plus like let's just put it this way if cat has a monster game four to put them up three one then that's the storyline is cat has dominated the nba finals and they're up 31 so i i still like that eight to one line there for cat”

Jalen Brunson, not Karl-Anthony Towns, won 2026 NBA Finals MVP after averaging 32.6 ppg and scoring 45 points in the series-clinching Game 5 (Wikipedia, 2026 NBA Finals).

NBA futures
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (+210)
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — NBA Finals series · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-09 · ·

“this point nixon five plus 350 nixon six plus 210 nixon seven plus 550 spurs and six plus 700 Spurs in seven plus 550 Simon if you're making a serious bet exact winner and games what are you betting on right now this is just as a fan I think most professionals I know are still dug in pretty much on the Knicks I just I think Wemby's having a moment here I really do I think every game you team gaining confidence. Are we going to get that Wemby 40-point game tomorrow night? I don't know, but I just love the way it's spaced out where they have this game Wednesday and then it's another three-day break. If they play Saturday, it's another three-day break Tuesday. I don't know why. I think these things benefit this Spurs team. I look at this game and I just think, Wemby, this whole team, this whole Spurs team has taken us personality of that. People are saying they're playing dirty. This, to me, is playoff basketball. It's mental. It's physical. And that's what I want to see. Like, people are bitching about the refs. That was like – that's my dream scenario. That way the refs ref that game, where it's like we're letting them play. Like, we're letting these grown men play this game. Right? No eye gouges. Nothing dirty like that I mean the one Brunson play was dirty right It kind of hit the back of his head on the hardwood floor That stuff does freak me out a little bit But overall it like that the game right That why most guys aren six feet tall in this league right Steph Curry at 6'3", looks small for a reason. It's just these grown men, these big bodies flying around. So I'm flipping here to the Spurs. I think Spurs in seven feels like that's fun value for me to bet right now. So I'm going to take a little on that. But I'll be up front. I did lose my sweep bet on the Knicks, which it was a fun ride. I'm not going to lie. I was feeling pretty good. And I still have my cat MVP bet. So I do think they're going to make an adjustment where cat will get more touches. Just look at the efficiency numbers. When the offense runs through cat, the Knicks are so good in this series. They have those numbers. We're not, we're not breaking news here, right? They have nerds in the building. They're going to give them that data. So we'll see if Mike Brown makes the adjustments and they get cat more touches. They may have been zero points that Jason gave us that stat about him in the fourth quarter. is alarming because to me we've talked about he's been to me their best player not just running the offensive but defensively what he's done to wemby so um really interesting they just have not gotten touches in the fourth quarter mvp odds for cat down to eight to one jason i still like it i think i think the uh i think people are understanding what's happening with brunson i i think it's become officially a storyline now that it's like oh the knicks are the better team but is brunson going to shoot them out of the series that's become like a legitimate storyline now so like i i i still like the value on cat there eight to one plus like let's just put it this way if cat has a monster game four to put them up three one then that's the storyline is cat has dominated the nba finals and they're up 31 so i i still like that eight to one line there for cat uh how quickly the storylines change from everybody is better than jalen brunson until it's time to be better than Jalen Brunson to Jalen Brunson is killing the Knicks chances to win an NBA title. It is a fickle, fickle business. Jason, give us the last word here. Knicks in five, Knicks in six, Knicks in seven. I'm going to go Knicks in six.”

94-90 — Knicks beat the Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 NBA Finals, clinching Game 5 94-90 on June 13, not in 6 games as picked (ESPN box score).

NBA futures
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (exact series result) (+300)
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — NBA Finals · Sharp or Square, 2026-06-04 · ·

“boss of the volume podcast network colin covered you said you like the knicks i assume it's knicks six knicks seven knicks plus 700 in seven knicks plus 300 in six where do you like the the series exact number of games exact series score to land so i'm gonna go i'm gonna go knicks in six i think what'll end up happening is the Spurs will win game two and then the Knicks will win the two games in MSG. The Spurs will save their season at home in game five and then the Knicks will close them out in six. That's what I think is going to happen.”

94-90 — Knicks beat the Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 NBA Finals (clinched Game 5, 94-90, on June 13), not in 6 games as picked (ESPN box score).

NBA spread
lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 closed +6 · CLV +0.5
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks — NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 1 · Sharp or Square, 2026-05-19 · ·

“Cleveland. Two questions to close us out here, Jason. Knicks minus six and a half game one. Do you like the Cavs? Do you like the Knicks? The total, hold on, the total is 217 and a half. Do you like that instead? First question. I actually think I like the Cavs side of that for two reasons one they've been playing basketball and the knicks have not um so there's a little bit of a rust factor which i think will benefit them two it's a little bit of like a breath of fresh air going from that big physical detroit team to like a less physical knicks team i think the knicks are also big and physical just not to the same extent that uh uh that detroit is the last thing that i would say is like that adjustment period thing i talked about like how like it took a minute for the Thunder to kind of be like, oh, this is different. I think that's going to similarly be what happens when the Knicks face layered rim protection with Jared Allen and Evan Mobley. Like, I think it'll take them just a little bit to be like, okay, our shots are coming from different spots on the floor than they were in the last couple of rounds. So I just expect it to be a close game. And if it's going to be a close game, then give me the team that's getting six and a half points.”

115-104 — New York beat Cleveland 115-104 in overtime in Game 1 of the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals on May 19 after Cleveland blew a 22-point fourth-quarter lead; an 11-point loss doesn't cover Cavaliers +6.5 (ESPN team schedule/box score).

NBA futures
lost
Jayson Tatum ECF series MVP (-180)
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat — 2023 NBA Eastern Conference Finals · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-05-15 · ·

“my best bet would be Jason Tatum minus 180 for series MVP”

Jimmy Butler won 2023 Eastern Conference Finals MVP, so the Tatum future lost as stored (NBA).

NBA prop
won
LeBron James over 5.8 assists per game (series) (-115)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets — 2023 NBA Western Conference Finals · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-05-15 · ·

“I actually put this down as one of my best bets for LeBron to average [37:16] more than 5.8 assists per game you can get that at minus 115 right now”

The NBA's Western Conference Finals series results confirm the stored LeBron series-assists win.

NBA spread
won
Golden State Warriors -5 · FanDuel closed -5.5 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 1 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-05-18 · ·

“so looking at this matchup i'll start with you jason any picture this golden state dallas game one wednesday night we got golden state minus five and or it's up to some books at minus five and a half but fando it's minus five right now over under uh 214.5 you got to play for this game right now so i'm on golden state for game one the the first of all throughout this entire playoff run, we've kind of noticed that Golden State's been better early in series and they've kind of faded late, which I think is directly related to their lack of overall size.”

112-87 — Golden State beat Dallas 112-87 in Game 1 of the 2022 Western Conference Finals on May 18, 2022; the Warriors' 25-point margin covered -5 (ESPN box score).

NBA futures
won
Celtics to win the series
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics — NBA Eastern Conference Finals series · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-05-18 · ·

“Miami being super prepared and ready to go. I think Miami's best chance to jump up on the series is in game one. So I would think that that would be the smartest bet. But I view this as a defensive slugfest between probably the two best defenses in this field, except for Boston has significantly more offensive talent in terms of guys that can dribble, shoot and pass. And so I expect this to be a defensive slugfest. I would hammer the under in every single game. Both teams will go in extensive stretches where they can't score, but Boston will score more. And so from there, I think it's that simple. So that's why I'm on Boston. Is there any player on the heat in an open draft of the talent on both of these teams that you would take over Jalen Brown or”

Celtics 4, Heat 3 — Boston beat Miami 4-3 in the 2022 Eastern Conference Finals, clinching in Game 7 100-96 on May 29, 2022, so the Celtics-to-win-the-series pick won (ESPN schedule/results).

NBA futures
won
Boston Celtics to win Eastern Conference
Eastern Conference Champion 2022 — NBA Playoffs · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-04-12 · ·

“the Sixers. Jason, what do you like in the Eastern Conference? I love that number for Boston. I was thinking about that. I was doing my play-in preview for the show, and I was looking at that 2-7 matchup with Brooklyn. And I really like Brooklyn. But every time I've watched Boston and taken that dive into what they do, they have a system that I think is built to succeed in playoff basketball, especially now that Jason Tatum is so good at accepting the double team and weaponizing it to get open shots for his teammates. Obviously the Robert Williams thing concerns me. And then you run into that issue with when teams double Jason Tatum, you get a lot of like Marcus Smart taking the three, you know, or, or like Derek. taking a three who's been a really bad shooter this year so you can see that there is some weaknesses forming there but at that number I think Boston is every bit as capable of winning the East as any other team there so I love that that number”

Boston Celtics won the 2022 Eastern Conference, beating the Miami Heat 4-3 in the conference finals.

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