pending
Minnesota Timberwolves to win series (+260) · Hard Rock Bet*
“denver which means minnesota is a great little a great little betting opportunity there”
Jason Timpf
Guest · 7-14 on settled picks
Record
7-14
Cash %
33.3%
Net units
+0.10u
ROI
+0.5%
Bankroll
Last 10: 2-8 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 10 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | futures | spread | moneyline | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 4-9+18% | 3-2+15% | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-14+0% |
Picks
23 total · 2 pending pending
LeBron James over 5.8 assists per game (series) (-115)
“I actually put this down as one of my best bets for LeBron to average [37:16] more than 5.8 assists per game you can get that at minus 115 right now”
lost
New York Knicks -1.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed -2 · CLV +0.5
“So I do think that I like the Knicks side of this line.”
NY 107, SA 106 — New York Knicks margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (+210) · Hard Rock Bet*
“I'm going to go Knicks in six.”
Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 games (4-1), not 6.
lost
Carl Anthony Towns to win Finals MVP (+1200) · Hard Rock Bet
“It's the value. 12 to 1 is such a ridiculous number to get a guy in Kat at who like I think, frankly, was their best player last night.”
Karl-Anthony Towns did not win 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson (Knicks) did.
won
New York Knicks to win the series (-140) · Hard Rock Bet*
“so to get him at minus 140 that's a pretty a pretty decent value in my opinion right now”
New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals series 4-1 over the San Antonio Spurs.
lost
New York Knicks in 6 (exact series result) (+300) · Hard Rock Bet*
“so i'm gonna go i'm gonna go knicks in six”
Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 games (4-1), not 6.
lost
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 · Hard Rock Bet* closed +6 · CLV +0.5
“I actually think I like the Cavs side of that for two reasons”
NY 115, CLE 104 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.
won
New York Knicks to reach the NBA Finals (+475) · Hard Rock Bet
“I think the best value by far is on the Knicks.”
Knicks reached the 2026 NBA Finals, sweeping the Cavaliers 4-0 in the East Conf Finals. (Sweep completed May 25, 2026; first Finals trip since 1999.)
lost
Miami Heat ML · Hard Rock Bet* closed +199 · CLV -6¢
“betting games to look at is miami over charlotte”
CHA 127, MIA 126 — Miami Heat lost; moneyline busts.
lost
Cade Cunningham to win NBA MVP (+1400) · Hard Rock Bet
“Cade's the one guy that I'm like, man, plus 1,400 right now in hard rock bet.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won 2025-26 NBA MVP (announced May 17, 2026); Cade Cunningham did not win. (MVP finalists: Gilgeous-Alexander, Wembanyama, Jokic; Cade not a finalist.)
lost
Jayson Tatum ECF series MVP (-180)
“my best bet would be Jason Tatum minus 180 for series MVP”
Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat won the 2023 Eastern Conference Finals MVP award after the Heat defeated the Celtics in 7 games; Jayson Tatum did not win ECF MVP (Bleacher Report).
lost
Lakers to win series 4-2 (+400)
“I would bet Lakers four, two at plus 400.”
The Denver Nuggets swept the Los Angeles Lakers 4-0 in the 2023 Western Conference Finals; the Lakers did not win 4-2 (Basketball-Reference).
lost
Nuggets to win series in 5 (+410)
“nuggets to win the series in five at plus 410”
The Denver Nuggets swept the Los Angeles Lakers 4-0 in the 2023 Western Conference Finals; the Nuggets did not win in 5 games (Basketball-Reference).
won
Golden State Warriors -5 · FanDuel closed -5.5 · CLV +0.5
“right now so i'm on golden state for game one the the first of all throughout this entire”
GS 112, DAL 87 — Golden State Warriors margin +25 vs line -5; covers.
lost
Luka Doncic Western Conference Finals MVP (+185)
“I'm obviously going to be on Luka. Luka is about plus 185.”
Stephen Curry won the inaugural Western Conference Finals MVP, not Luka Doncic, so the +185 bet lost.
won
Celtics to win the series
“I think it's that simple. So that's why I'm on Boston. Is there any player on the heat”
The Celtics beat the Heat 4-3 in the Eastern Conference Finals, so Boston to win the series won.
won
Grizzlies +2.5 closed +4 · CLV -1.5
“To me, that's an interesting opportunity to a betting value to bet a desperate team on their home floor.”
MEM 134, GS 95 — Memphis Grizzlies margin +39 vs line +2.5; covers.
lost
Toronto Raptors to win series (+150) closed +160 · CLV -10¢
“I will be picking the Raptors in this series in six games.”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Toronto Raptors lost; moneyline busts.
won
Bucks series spread -1.5
“I would go for one just because of the type of thing that happens in a playoff series [16:34] where a team just brings lackadaisical effort.”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
won
Boston Celtics to win Eastern Conference (+500)
“I love that number for Boston.”
Boston beat Miami to win the 2022 Eastern Conference championship.
lost
Under 226 — Warriors vs Nuggets Game 1 closed +223.5 · CLV +2.5
“The number is 226. [25:33] Money is coming in on the over. [25:35] I'm probably going to go the other way and take the under in game one at least.”
GS 123, DEN 107 — Combined 230; under 226 busts.
lost
Stephen Curry to win NBA MVP (+1200)
“So Eileen Jokic right now my value bet would be Steph”
Jokic won 2021-22 MVP, so Stephen Curry (+1200) lost.