Evan Abrams

“So I believe Oklahoma City is going to win the game. Forget the three and a half points. Let's go Moneyline.”

SA 118, OKC 91 — Spurs beat Thunder 118-91 in West Finals Game 6 on May 28, 2026; Oklahoma City did not win, so the moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

“Evan, let's kick it over to you. Plant the flag. Two options I was looking through were the Ducks to win it all. I see it 35 to one. So I was going to take a larger position than Nick. I like the Ducks as well. So game two is fine. But if you want to go crazy, 35 to one at the cup. And then the other thing I was looking at, I'll probably stick with the Ducks, but Carolina not to win the East is plus 140. I see in some places just like an option on who they're going to play next since I don't want to choose between Montreal and Buffalo. I just kind of want to ride whoever comes out of that series. But those are the two things I was looking at. All right. So we're going to go officially for the content purposes of it. Ducks, 35 to one to win it all. Good with that? Good with that.”

The Carolina Hurricanes won the 2026 Stanley Cup, beating the Vegas Golden Knights 4 games to 2 in the Final; the Ducks lost in Round 2 to Vegas and did not win the Cup.

“i would probably go hood so i'll go colton hood uh 35 at 10 to 1”

Pick 35 in the 2026 NFL Draft (Buffalo Bills) was DE T.J. Parker; CB Colton Hood was selected No. 37 by the Giants, so the pick 35 selection did not hit.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba first touchdown scorer lost
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl MVP lost

“Your first bet, JSN, first touchdown combined with MVP for $100, 25 to 1. Yeah. I mean, I'm taking two MVP bets. This is the first one.”

Independent verification agrees: Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored no touchdown and Super Bowl LX MVP went to Kenneth Walker III, so both parlay legs miss.

• Drake Maye anytime touchdown lost
• Drake Maye Super Bowl MVP lost

“Your other MVP bet was May to score a touchdown and him to win MVP 10-1. Yeah, I mean I just feel like if New England is going to win this game, which was my prediction when we've had to do all that stuff for Action Network on the article, it's a Seattle defense versus mobile quarterbacks. They've allowed the second most QB scramble yards, 5.3 yards per carry, 8.1 in the playoffs and to me it's also about the scrambling part of this like in the four games versus top 10 pressure eight teams 10.4 dropbacks resulted in a sack which would be uh sixth most of 27 quarterbacks and in those games against those high pressure teams 13 scrambles 114 yards and a touchdown so to me if he were to win mvp a lot of people like him for a touchdown so I will go a little bit higher 150 on 10 to 1 for him to do both in this game”

Independent verification agrees: Drake Maye did not score a touchdown himself and Super Bowl LX MVP went to Kenneth Walker III, not Maye, so both parlay legs miss.

“and then you have two players to be the first to get to 20 plus receiving yards you have Shahid at 13 to 1 and Hollins at 11 to 1 anything yeah I mean obviously only one can hit but I am taking two dart shots at this”

Independent verification agrees: Cooper Kupp was the first player in the game to reach 20+ receiving yards, not Rashid Shaheed.

“and then you have two players to be the first to get to 20 plus receiving yards you have Shahid at 13 to 1 and Hollins at 11 to 1 anything yeah I mean obviously only one can hit but I am taking two dart shots at this”

Independent verification agrees: Cooper Kupp was the first player in the game to reach 20+ receiving yards, not Mack Hollins (Hollins' big plays came later, including a 4th-quarter TD).

• A.J. Barner anytime touchdown won
• A.J. Barner 1+ rushing yard lost

“You combining Barner touchdown with one plus rush yard plus 450 Yeah so Barner is plus 185 around the market basically to score a touchdown If you add him to get a one plus rush yard it is plus 450 So I tossing 400 on this”

Independent verification agrees: A.J. Barner did score a touchdown (Darnold's only TD pass) but recorded no rushing attempts/yards, so the 1+ rushing yard leg misses and the parlay loses.

“I took Stefon Diggs under 18.5 longest reception. I believe that's only down to 17.5 on the market.”

SEA 29-NE 13 — Stefon Diggs' longest reception in Super Bowl LX went for 26 yards (3 rec, 37 yds), clearing the 18.5-yard line so the under loses (Wikipedia box score). (Stefon Diggs: 3 rec, 37 yds, longest 26 yds)

“i put it in our bets i like them to [59:14] win the super bowl at six to one”

Houston won its Wild Card game but lost 28-16 to New England in the AFC Divisional Round on Jan 18, 2026, eliminating any path to winning Super Bowl LX (ESPN).

“My two angles on this game is I like Algier to score a touchdown.”

Independent verification agrees: Tyler Allgeier did not score; Atlanta's only offensive TDs were Bijan Robinson's rushing and receiving scores in the 27-24 win.

“Like, I feel like one of those guys is going to score a touchdown. Wright's sitting at 9-1 range. Gordon's sitting at like 7-1 range. Just bet them both. I think they're fine. The bet I will take, I like Thielen to score a touchdown. He's getting more work with Rodgers. He's like 8-1 range. So to me, this is a bit of a long shot game. Like I don't have a lot of angles I love. So I'll go with Thielen.”

Independent verification agrees: Adam Thielen did not score; both Dolphins TDs went to Darren Waller in the 28-15 MNF Week 15 loss to Pittsburgh.

“I took Herbert under 20 and a half rushing yards”

Independent verification agrees: Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards vs under 20.5; busts.

• Dallas Goedert anytime TD
• Keenan Allen anytime TD

“and then for the fun parlay i i'm with you on goddard all the stuff about the charges versus tight ends plus he's got the tush push aj barner thing going on where lots of different ways for god to get in the end zone and then just because i like to have fun i'm mixing him with keenan out so the parlay is goddard and keenan it's uh 17 to 1 with the two of them together”

Independent verification agrees: Same Goedert + Keenan Allen anytime-TD parlay for the Eagles-Chargers MNF game; Goedert had no TD, so the parlay lost.

• Jaxson Dart anytime TD pending
• Jaxson Dart 25+ rushing yards lost
• Jaxson Dart to throw a TD pending

“our action pro projections even have him at like 6.3. So I like that. And then I'll toss one parlay out there. I think the big question in this game is just Jaxson Dart and rushing off the concussion, off the worry like they're going to tell him not to run his instinct with a pass rush coming from Vrabel is going to be a run so the question is is what does he do I would bank on some running and I'll bank on that just happening based off instinct so I had looked at him to score a touchdown and him 25 plus and him to throw a touchdown so one run one pass 25 rush it's plus 650 plus 640 something of that nature and I'm not even asking the Giants you know they could lose it from there but I think you're going to see a bunch of dart in this game”

Independent verification agrees: Parlay busts: Jaxson Dart anytime TD — manual; Jaxson Dart 25+ rushing yards — lost; Jaxson Dart to throw a TD — manual.

“all teams to score a rushing touchdown at eight [49:23] to one. I'll always bet that”

Independent ESPN result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“Henry, 10 plus rushing yards in each quarter is plus 300.”

Independent ESPN result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“Lockett, touchdown, I mean his snap count's just gone up the last two weeks [33:16] He's only out there to catch passes [33:18] And Pete loves him [33:19] So Lockett, touchdown”

Tyler Lockett finished with 3 receptions for 33 yards and 0 touchdowns in the Raiders' 33-16 Monday-night loss to Dallas (ESPN box score). (Lockett 3 rec, 33 yds, 0 TD)

“Evan, are you on anything tonight? I'm just like Amun-Ra. No Laporte out there. So touchdowns.”

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished with 2 receptions for 42 yards and 0 touchdowns; Jameson Williams scored Detroit's only TD in the Lions' 16-9 loss at Philadelphia (ESPN box score). (St. Brown 2 rec, 42 yds, 0 TD)

“Yeah, let's try Woody Marks. Let's give the rookie a shot. And it's we're playing the Titans. So you already know the bet just give me anytime touchdown for a running back facing the titans i really wanted houston here and we'll see maybe it'll make its way into the app i think their defense against as bad as tennessee that's probably enough even though the titans out of the pie but lots of texans injuries low scoring this matchup last seven games, 35 points a game. And then, of course, it seems like Davis Mills is playing here, and we don't really know for sure yet. I do think, despite all that, I think the Texans will score some points. Titans are 25th by DVOA on defense, and they're a lot worse than that, honestly. They've had some injuries. They're just kind of done on that side. And Houston, as much as we get on their case, 15.5 points a game and four games against the top half of the league defensively. 28 and a half against the bottom half. Just fine. And the Titans are definitely the bottom half. Houston, 26-0 when they played them earlier this year. So if I kind of like Houston and I kind of think they're going to score, who's going to score? Well, the running back against the Titans. That's it. That's the case. Woody Marks is clearly the guy now well ahead of Chubb. He's got two touchdowns rushing. He's had two receiving. So we get that out as well. we get it at minus 105 you're giving me a running back bell cow as the favorite at even odds basically against the titans i'm just going to keep hitting it every week and two touchdowns plus 550 a little”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Woody Marks anytime TD” settled lost.

“And from the article, the Pick 6 article this week, my extra point, McBride, reception touchdown leader on the season, 80-1. He's got six right now. He's only behind three dudes. Devontae Adams has nine. That's the leader. That would be my pick if I just got to not have odds on it. But he does have an oblique injury and we'll see how that adds up. Otherwise, Goddard and Aminra are the only guys ahead of McBride. And look at the pace he's been on recently, and we don't really know when Kyler will play again. Maybe not if Brissette keeps playing this well. So I think that's a good sprinkle as well.”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Trey McBride to lead NFL in receiving TDs” settled lost.

“but we do have Jerry Jeudy. Let's go to him. So I'm going to take some props on him. He had five catches, 66 yards, and a score just at halftime in that game. And the Ravens are beatable by receivers. They allow the fourth most receiving points to fantasy, second most receptions per game, almost 14 to opposing receivers. and even as quiet as Judy's been five of nine games over half he's still at 43 yards we're getting 39 and a half that's the line we just need 40 yards from Jerry Jeudy it's so low and I'm not”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Jerry Jeudy over 39.5 receiving yards” settled lost.

“give me the longest catch prop for Terrance Ferguson our tight end four. It's over 12 and a half.”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Terrance Ferguson longest reception over 12.5 yards” settled lost.

“But the bet I have here is Musgrave I think it offers value at DraftKings at plus 360 Again I think they going to narrative it and try to give him the ball to make him feel comfortable in the offense I was trying to get myself to put a bet in on John Fitzpatrick He going to get some routes in the game but I just don think I honestly you know 10 to one 11 to one I just don think it's enough. I think Musgrave's the guy here. So I think a touchdown at that price is worth it.”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Luke Musgrave anytime TD” settled lost.

• Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown
• A.J. Brown anytime touchdown
• Luke Musgrave anytime touchdown

“so that's the parlay jalen hurts to score a touchdown aj brown to score a touchdown and luke musgrave to score a touchdown new tight end one for the green bay packers”

Eagles beat Packers 10-7 on a 39-yard Elliott field goal and a 36-yard Hurts-to-DeVonta Smith TD pass, plus a Josh Jacobs rushing TD for Green Bay (ESPN play-by-play); Hurts never scored himself, and A.J. Brown (2 rec, 13 yds) and Luke Musgrave (3 rec, 23 yds) were both held scoreless, so all three anytime-TD legs lose.

“like usual, I'm going to take the favorite here. Colts minus six and a half.”

Authoritative ESPN result confirms “Colts -6.5” settled lost.

“the bet I like itself in this game is Tampa Bay second half team total over 11 and a half.”

Independent check against the authoritative NFL weekly results confirms the stored verdict.

“this one was Xavier Hutchinson I like over 18 and a half receiving yards no Christian Kirk”

Independent check against the authoritative NFL weekly results confirms the stored verdict.

“I haven't looked at the odds, but Reischardt over 1.5 field goals from Minnesota feels like free money at this point with the tackles, and they're going to get down there, and they're going to get stifled by the other side defense and Cleveland side.”

Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.

“But my only quote unquote Evan bet to add to your list here based off of your methodology would be what about I see this at last time I looked plus money at DraftKings, but Baltimore to punt on their first drive. Like if it's not that it feels like they're going to move the ball, but at least off the bat, I don't expect them to move the ball much downfield. So I thought that was relatively interesting.”

Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.

“I like Stefon Diggs under 19 and a half longest reception so [44:32] Buffalo this year only allowed five completions of 20 plus yards,”

Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.

“I have Bengals tracked in the app actually at seven and a half. I like that number.”

Independent check against the ESPN game record confirms the stored verdict.

“i like the sam laporta look [1:08:47] uh fan and a joku went nine of 88 against baltimore kincaid and knox go six of 68 laporta [1:08:56] four receptions 40 plus receiving yards is minus 110 on draft kings i think that is a decent look”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“So I'm going to bet the 49ers week four. [50:22] 49ers minus three home against the Jaguars. [50:25] It's minus one ten at FanDuel.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“I take a chance on the Chargers to punt on the first drive at plus 125”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“I like the Jets. I mean, I already bet the Jets. I put in the app myself, but I had it at seven.”

Buffalo 30, New York Jets 10 — Bills beat Jets 30-10 on Sep 14, 2025; the Jets lost by 20, outside covering +7 (ESPN box score).

“I took Washington to have exactly two wins through five games which would put them at two and three just quickly at their schedule Home against the Giants I assume that would be one At Green Bay is a loss At home against the Raiders would be two. Then at Atlanta and at the Chargers. So anything goes astray there, there's a way to get there. But two wins, four to one, I think that's a good bet.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“the value I see I like Houston I think the 40 45 to 1 range for this bet given the division I think is a big plus the defense will keep them almost in every single game and I think there's value”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“Green Bay 25 to one probably shows a decent value at the number.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“rankings for the Saints 26th in coaching staff 30th in defense 31st in offense 25th of the O and 23rd for skilled position players That to me just reeks of the worst team in the NFL So that is what I am picking for the worst record. Evan, do you agree with me? Do you think the Saints are going to finish with the worst record in 2025? Yeah, I didn't really know another direction to head because I think the other team everyone would look at as a Giants, and I just think there's a higher floor. I think between the defense and whatever you think a quarterback Malik neighbors like a decent line I just think that you know their basements too high so I think the Saints are probably the easiest pick with the”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“they're 30 I've seen 35 to 1 some places in the market to me it's about”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“Yeah. So I think, you know, saints Browns, I think there's some easy ones that you could probably pluck in this scenario, but I think the jets are intriguing at 10 to one, 11 to one in the market.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“Yeah, I went one minus odds and three plus odds. The one minus odds I like, I'm anti-Pittsburgh.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“but I'm also going to say San Francisco. [51:30] It's about two to one.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“So AFC given the quarterbacks at the top almost always chalk So the first one I do like and again I like Baltimore I like Green Bay so Baltimore Green Bay is 40 to 1 nice I think to me it just makes the most sense with both teams”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“I'm going to say Denver and Philly in a Super Bowl at about 50-55-1.”

Independent authoritative-result check agrees with the stored lost outcome.

“[41:32] with tackle and, and Ariante, I think it's air theory, but I'm not, [41:38] I'm not, I'm not the pronouncer of names. [41:40] If you think I'm going to try that again, you, you have another thing. [41:44] But yeah, the point is he's 75 to one. [41:46] That is something I'm betting right now.”

Independent check against the authoritative event record confirms the stored verdict.

“Well, I definitely like one of those since I bet it myself and it was going to be one of my long shots, which was Gen Z to the Broncos at 17 to 1. Best price.”

Independent check against the authoritative event record confirms the stored verdict.

• Chiefs 1st half lost
• Eagles full game closed -101 · CLV -1¢ won

“so much about the 58 minute line you just said in terms of the money line. But I'll take another angle at this and and i'll be honest i did sprinkle on the other side but come from behind angle is good so i took casey first half philly full game it's about eight to one”

40-22 — The NFL gamebook records Philadelphia leading 24-0 at halftime and winning 40-22, so the first-half Chiefs leg lost.

“Jane Daniels twice. So I don't necessarily need the whole thing. But Mahomes, when he's played Fangio, last five games has started to run a little bit more. He has eight double-digit yard runs in the last five games against Fangio. And in playoff games, he has eight straight playoff games with at least an 11-yard run, including, against the Eagles, a 14 and a 26. One of those really important late in the game, if you remember. So we don't get by with 10 or 11. It's over 11. and a half. It's 12, 13 and a half at some books.”

The NFL gamebook records Patrick Mahomes' longest rush as 8 yards, so over 11.5 lost. (Patrick Mahomes: 8-yard longest rush)

“be wrong. So Chiefs to score defensive special teams touchdown in a win. I'll just tell you can play it at DraftKings because that's a good spot to get the special teams in there as well. Plus 950. And if you want the Eagles side, Eagles touchdown, defensive special teams”

40-22 — The NFL gamebook records Philadelphia's 40-22 win and no Chiefs defensive or special-teams touchdown.

“So you can bet any defender, any defensive player to win MVP. Don't pick the right one. [50:57] just bet any of them 15 to 1”

The NFL gamebook records Jalen Hurts as the Super Bowl LIX MVP, so a defensive player did not win.

“and you know, I want to get crazy on the MVP, you look at the list. Okay. Who's going to win MVP. If it's a defender, Chris Jones, is it Jalen Carter? I don't think those are the right names. Those are the lesser odd names. They have 12 and a half sacks combined on the season. I don't think that's who wins. It's not just, Oh, you were the best player defender. Like Aaron Donald just retired from a Super Bowl, made the game-winning play, and still didn't win the MVP. That's not who we give it to. We give it to guys that make the big touchdown splash play, right? Three of the last four defenders that won MVP were linebackers. I think you want the guy in the middle of everything. So, Nick Bolton, run it back, baby. 400 to one. He probably almost won it last time.”

The NFL gamebook records Jalen Hurts as the Super Bowl LIX MVP, so Nick Bolton did not win.

“With Worthy at least maybe he gets a run maybe a special teams or a trick play that sort of thing I get there a little bit easier To me we said this before even before we got the super bowl matchup if you want a long shot non mvp you like the eagles because hertz is a little less likely certainly a lot less likely than the homes to be the quarterback winner i like davante smith 66 to one i'm kind of running it back this”

The NFL gamebook records Jalen Hurts as the Super Bowl LIX MVP, so DeVonta Smith did not win.

“and we've seen him do that because DeVonta Smith three games against spagnolo has 99 yards or more all three of the games six catches or more all three of the games you bet 100 yards that's seven to one i don't mind that just as a shorter way he could do that and still not be mvp he nearly did”

The NFL gamebook records DeVonta Smith with 69 receiving yards, so over 100 lost. (DeVonta Smith: 69 receiving yards)

“Minus 600 on this. What am I doing? Eagles successful fourth down conversion. Come on. We all know the Eagles are going to convert a fourth down. They did it in 17 of 20 games this year. 85% hit rate. The only three they didn't was against Jacksonville, Washington on a Thursday night game they dominated in Carolina so and the games where they just didn't need to they didn't have a fourth down otherwise every single game we got a tush push basically fourth down so minus 600 not a bet I'm going to give out often but I like it”

The NFL gamebook records Philadelphia going 0-for-1 on fourth down, so no successful conversion occurred. (Eagles: 0-for-1 fourth down)

• Chiefs 1st quarter lost
• Eagles at halftime closed +100 · CLV 0¢ won
• Chiefs moneyline closed -120 · CLV 0¢ lost

“like narrative i'm just in on what's going to happen here 24 to 1 chiefs first quarter eagles halftime chiefs full-time that's it that's the last bet for me for the super bowl all right i love that i'm gonna bet that as soon as i get off here”

40-22 — The NFL gamebook records Philadelphia leading 24-0 at halftime and winning 40-22, so the Chiefs parlay failed.

“First to 20 yards in the game, Kareem Hunt is plus four fifty, which I think is intriguing.”

Kareem Hunt gained only 9 rushing yards on 3 carries in Super Bowl LIX and never reached 20, so first-to-20-rushing-yards lost (ESPN box score). (Kareem Hunt: 3 carries, 9 rushing yards)

“So two touchdowns at 10 to one is my other bet with Kareem Hunt.”

Kareem Hunt scored zero touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, far short of the two-touchdown prop (ESPN box score). (Kareem Hunt: 0 touchdowns (line 2))

“like, about two days ago. It's now up to minus one fifty for him to have the longest rush attempt in the game. So even if Kansas City bottles him up and has, eight man boxes where he can struggle, the options for him to stay atop this market, I just think are aplenty. I'll just regular season, he was eleven and five for just Philly in terms of having the longest rush in their games and ten and six in the game itself. Two and one in the playoffs are having the longest rush. And then if you just look at Philly's part of the field because Kansas City really struggles in that second level yards and open field yards. Like, they get small chunks, which I think helps play to this. If you look at Philly had 90 plays at 10 plus yards on the ground this year. 36, everyone else but Saquon, 54 for Saquon. So I just feel like there's so many outs here. I I I still like it in the minus one fifty range.”

Jalen Hurts had the game's longest run at 17 yards, topping Saquon Barkley's longest carry of 10 yards, so Barkley did not have the longest rush (ESPN box score). (Longest rush: Jalen Hurts 17 yds vs Saquon Barkley 10 yds)

“really helped Casey get back in the game last time. So I feel like Casey has had nine first quarter drives in the Super Bowl, five punts, two touchdowns, one field goal, and a missed field goal. And the thing that I think is actually interesting, Philly trailing this year actually happened less plays than Kansas City. When they run no huddle, second highest rate in the NFL behind the commanders, and they still run it at the highest rate in the NFL they're behind. So I I kind of feel like Casey wins the first half. Philly wins the full game is seven or eight to one depending on the book. While that same bet, if you flip it, is six to one, even five fifty for Kansas City. So I know everyone likes Kansas City to win the game, but I do feel like a strong Kansas City start, which has been different than we've seen before, and Philly figuring it out in the second half because think about this. Eagles have a rock bottom 40% pass rate when leading by at least a score. It jumps to 58 when trailing. So I do feel like they're gonna run the ball when they're trailing and even pass it even more and get back in the game. So I kinda like that price. It's between seven and eight to one.”

PHI 40-22 KC — The Chiefs trailed 0-24 at halftime and never won the first half, so the Chiefs-1H/Eagles-game double lost (ESPN game page).

“The other prop I like, uh, Minnesota's kicker, [1:13:12] Reichard over one and a half field goals.”

Independently confirmed: Reichard made only his lone 34-yard FG in Vikings' 27-9 loss; under 1.5, bet on over loses. (Will Reichard 1/1 FG (34 yds))

“So I'm taking the Puka escalator, not super all the way to the top, but I grabbed the over 88 and a half.”

LAR 27, MIN 9 — Independently confirmed: Puka Nacua: 44 receiving_yards vs over 100; busts. (Puka Nacua: 44 receiving_yards)

“So I think those are the two that are most intriguing to me The other one in just the FanDuel section before we move on to the next category I at least going to put a few dollars on every team to score one plus rushing touchdown in the wildcard games this weekend. It's an outlier. It's almost never going to happen. It's also 200 to one.”

Independently confirmed: Not every Wild Card team scored a rushing TD; the Chargers' only TD was an 86-yard receiving score by McConkey. (Texans 32-12 Chargers; Chargers had no rushing TD)

“[19:19] All right, so my prop that I like, I'm going to look at Swift over 15.5 receiving yards, [19:24] and you're right with that weather. [19:26] So it's looking like 15-mile-an-hour winds, and it's going to be pretty steady throughout the game. [19:31] So it probably impacts Keenan, impacts Rome, but I don't know how much it will impact Swift, [19:37] if not make it more likely that you get some dump-offs and some easy yards there. [19:42] So over 15.5, he's over the mark in six of the last seven games.”

The official NFL gamebook records D'Andre Swift with 6 receiving yards, under 15.5. (D'Andre Swift: 6 receiving yards)

“so i will go [31:37] with herbert”

The Week 10 Pro-Football-Reference box score confirms the stored grade.

“[33:30] So I had two parlays here. [33:33] So from Sunday night, I like Schultz.”

The Week 10 Pro-Football-Reference box score confirms the stored grade.

“[51:09] Under two and a half receptions.”

PIT 26, NYG 18 — ESPN's 2024 Week 8 game record lists Van Jefferson: 4 receptions; the stored lost grade is correct. (Van Jefferson: 4 receptions)

“[51:11] Also under 12 and a half longest reception.”

ESPN's 2024 Week 8 game record lists Van Jefferson 3 rec, 57 yds, long 36 (Steelers 26-18 Giants, Week 8 MNF); the stored lost grade is correct. (Van Jefferson 3 rec, 57 yds, long 36 (Steelers 26-18 Giants, Week 8 MNF))

“[57:05] I like James Conner to get in the end zone. [57:07] He's actually scored in all six night games with Arizona.”

ESPN's 2024 Week 7 game record lists Conner 101 rush yds, 0 TD; the stored lost grade is correct. (Conner 101 rush yds, 0 TD)

“I wrote down Chargers win the first half, Cardinals win the full game.”

ESPN's 2024 Week 7 game record lists Cardinals led 7-6 at half, won 17-15; the stored lost grade is correct. (Cardinals led 7-6 at half, won 17-15)

“[48:19] and I want New Orleans at six. [48:22] I did it earlier in the week.”

26-13 — Kansas City beat New Orleans 26-13, so Saints +6 lost.

“[31:41] Jackson Smith Njigba, Brock Bowers, George Pickens, Tyler Lockett, [31:46] Michael Pittman, Jalen Waddell, Travis Kelsey, Brandon Ayuk, and Sam Laporta. [31:52] Evan, which one of those is going to get into the end zone? [31:55] I picked Kelsey Monday Night Football. They have no targets left. They're facing a Saints defense [32:01] that isn't exactly fantastic in certain points in the secondary. I think that there's just no”

26-13 — Kansas City beat New Orleans 26-13 and Travis Kelce scored 0 touchdowns. (Travis Kelce 0 touchdowns)

“I'll take an ETN touchdown on this Jacksonville game. [42:18] He's got 10 touchdowns in his last 12 road games.”

ESPN records Travis Etienne 0 touchdowns for Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 3 Monday Night Football. (Travis Etienne 0 touchdowns)

“So we'll go with two interceptions for cousins as well.”

ESPN's 2024 Week 2 game record lists Cousins 0 INT vs Eagles.; the stored lost grade is correct. (Cousins 0 INT vs Eagles.)

“I like that Johan Dotson plus 350 with AJ Brown out and hurts.”

ESPN's 2024 Week 2 game record lists Dotson 1 catch, 6 yds, 0 TD.; the stored lost grade is correct. (Dotson 1 catch, 6 yds, 0 TD.)

“I have more on Arizona.”

NFL.com's 2024 standings confirm the stored lost grade. (Rams 10-7 won division on tiebreaker over Seahawks; Cardinals 8-9.)

“over the last few years. So I'm taking under 10 and a half gold and 10 and a half is important [5:53] because Germany is just not dominant”

The official Paris results list Germany above the stated gold threshold, so the under lost as stored.

“Last one I'm going to like on the under is Japan. [6:25] So this is a real shopping situation because I took 15 and a half and now I only see 13 [6:31] and a half and some 14s in the market”

The official Paris results list Japan above the stated gold threshold, so the under lost as stored.

“But I'm going to split my bet half unit on Germany and a half unit on Argentina, which are both countries near the top, near Netherlands.”

The official Paris results name the Netherlands as women's field-hockey champion, so Germany lost as stored.

“So they're a real long shot. But my picks are Germany and Argentina to try to knock off the Dutch.”

The official Paris results name the Netherlands as women's field-hockey champion, so Argentina lost as stored.

“i'm gonna go with the favorite the person everyone's probably gonna be betting on anyway which [16:17] Gretchen Walsh, 100 meter butterfly, gold medal.”

The official Paris results name Torri Huske the women's butterfly champion, so Walsh lost as stored.

“I'm splitting my full unit on a half unit on van der Poel, who's the favorite.”

The official Paris results name Remco Evenepoel road-race champion, so van der Poel lost as stored.

“And the other half unit on Wout van Aert of Belgium.”

The official Paris results name Remco Evenepoel road-race champion, so van Aert lost as stored.

“I've seen him at plus 120 in a few books and that's the price I'm really looking for because my half unit on Tarling is from Great Britain.”

The official Paris results name Remco Evenepoel time-trial champion, so Tarling lost as stored.

• Chop Robinson first round
• Tyler Guyton first round
• Kool-Aid McKinstry first round

“So last night I actually did a little bit of a parlay which you can do at a few different books I had Chop Guyton, and Kool-Aid to go into the first round at minus 120. That is now up to minus 160, it looks like. I would still take it at that price.”

NFL's draft record places Kool-Aid McKinstry outside round one, confirming the three-player first-round parlay lost.

“I agreed with Latham. I have over 14.5.”

NFL's draft record lists J.C. Latham seventh, confirming over 14.5 lost. (Latham pick 7)

“I took Kool-Aid under 29.5.”

NFL's draft record places Kool-Aid McKinstry outside the first round, confirming under 29.5 lost.

“So I took Kingsley under 32 and a half as well.”

NFL's draft record places Kingsley Suamataia outside the first round, confirming under 32.5 lost.

“I actually bit at 17, 18 to one myself.”

NFL's draft record lists J.J. McCarthy tenth, confirming the second-pick prop lost. (McCarthy pick 10)

“So Dallas Turner top 10 I see it minus 175s minus 150s There a plus 100 in the market right now So I took that bet”

NFL's draft record lists Dallas Turner seventeenth, confirming the top-ten pick prop lost. (Turner pick 17)

“So I'm going to bite on Caleb Drake and Jaden at 360, it looks like.”

NFL's draft record begins Williams, Daniels, Maye, confirming the stated Williams-Maye-Daniels exacta lost. (Williams 1, Daniels 2, Maye 3)

“And Caleb Drake and JJ at 650.”

NFL's draft record begins Williams, Daniels, Maye, confirming the stated Williams-Maye-McCarthy exacta lost. (Williams 1, Daniels 2, Maye 3)

“And on the other way, Caleb Jalen JJ, which 8-1 now plus 750.”

NFL's draft record lists Drake Maye third rather than J.J. McCarthy, confirming the stored lost grade. (Maye pick 3)

“I took a shot on, and I'm going to screw up his name, so it's cool with me. but Fashanu to be the first alignment taken basically over a alt. He was a, I got it like 11 or 12 to one.”

NFL's draft record lists Joe Alt as the first offensive lineman selected, confirming the Fashanu future lost. (Alt pick 5)

“I think Baltimore is the right play. [7:38] I hit the money line as soon as I could at like one 55.”

ESPN records Kansas City as the AFC Championship winner, so the Ravens moneyline lost as stored.

“just not a great spot for him uh in terms of like an actual bet on this one I'm gonna go with one of my uh first touchdown anytime touchdown guys Colby Parkinson distance questionable Seattle okay yeah So Disley's questionable. Fant's a little banged up. Parkinson leads Seattle actually in snaps for tight ends, even ahead of Fant. So I think, you know, even equal red zone targets. So I think he has some good value.”

Seattle's Week 4 scoring contained no Colby Parkinson touchdown, so the anytime-TD prop lost as stored (ESPN Week 4 scoreboard).

“just not a great spot for him uh in terms of like an actual bet on this one I'm gonna go with one of my uh first touchdown anytime touchdown guys Colby Parkinson distance questionable Seattle okay yeah So Disley's questionable. Fant's a little banged up. Parkinson leads Seattle actually in snaps for tight ends, even ahead of Fant. So I think, you know, even equal red zone targets. So I think he has some good value.”

DK Metcalf scored the first touchdown in Seattle's 24-3 win, so Colby Parkinson was not first scorer as stored (ESPN Week 4 scoreboard).

“I went back to the well with my 180 challenge which is you know about an 18 to one or one or longer uh touchdown score I I thought about Jawan Johnson uh but I went with Hayden Hurst so 18 to one”

Carolina's Week 2 scoring contained no Hayden Hurst touchdown, so the anytime-TD prop lost as stored (ESPN Week 2 scoreboard).

“Are you going to be doing anything for 180 Challenge for this? What kind of pick would you see for this game? Yeah, so I think just overall the betters are looking at the under here. 74% of tickets on the under. The under has dropped five points, it looks like, 43-38 from the look ahead in the opener. I mean, if I was going to pick a 180 for this one, I think the right one would be Njoku. I was looking at Njoku, Elijah Moore, and Jalen Warren, who were around like that 17-1 to 18-1 range. Listen, I think Njoku's always been the red zone target for Watson. And even last year, 19-8 against Harrison Bryant in terms of red zone targets. So I'll give it a shot. I think it's probably a little undervalued at about the 18-1, 19-1 range.”

Cleveland's Week 2 scoring contained no David Njoku touchdown, so the anytime-TD prop lost as stored (ESPN Week 2 scoreboard).

“I'm going to roll the dice with the Falcons.”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms Atlanta Falcons best record; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“So I kind of like the Raiders. And the only other one I was looking at is Tampa Bay. That's near the top. Plus 850, a little intriguing. Fifth worst schedule for six weeks. Have also a first place schedule this year, which I think is important with some of these. Like their games are going to be hard against good teams. So those are the two I looked at. But I like the Raiders in this slot. All right. Raiders 13 to 1 for worst record.”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms Las Vegas Raiders worst record; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“So I did land on Miami. They're about minus 110 range to miss the playoffs.”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms Dolphins to miss the playoffs; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“So plus 136, plus 140 to miss the playoffs. [25:14] Their schedule's brutal.”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms Lions to miss the playoffs; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“number one's [50:54] new england is it just new england again like 25 to one”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms New England Patriots last winless team; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“my number two on the list is the Raiders at 18 to 1.”

Official NFL 2023 result confirms Las Vegas Raiders last winless team; the stored lost outcome is correct.

“The biggest draft bet I've made, I think, is Bijan Robinson, [7:46] to go, like, top [7:48] five or six [7:49] in that range. That that is the biggest bet I've made so far because I think someone's gonna reach out for him.”

Bijan Robinson was drafted No. 8 overall by Atlanta, outside the top 5/6 (ESPN 2023 draft round 1 results).