Evan Abrams

“So I believe Oklahoma City is going to win the game. Forget the three and a half points. Let's go Moneyline.”

SA 118, OKC 91 — Oklahoma City Thunder lost; moneyline busts.

“I'll probably stick with the Ducks”

Anaheim Ducks did not win the 2026 Stanley Cup; the Carolina Hurricanes won it 4-2 over Vegas.

“So I'll go Colton Hood, 35 at 10 to 1 I see in some books.”

The Bills selected edge TJ Parker at pick 35, not Colton Hood.

“i would probably go hood so i'll go colton hood uh 35 at 10 to 1”

Colton Hood drafted at pick 35. Hood (CB, Tennessee) was drafted No. 37 by the Giants; pick No. 35 was EDGE T.J. Parker to the Bills.

“So I like Lawrence on the other side.”

DeMarcus Lawrence recorded 0 sacks (2 tackles, 1 QB hit) in SB LX.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba first touchdown scorer
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl MVP

“Your first bet, JSN, first touchdown combined with MVP for $100, 25 to 1.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored no touchdown and Super Bowl LX MVP went to Kenneth Walker III, so both parlay legs miss. (JSN: 4 rec, 27 yds, 0 TD; MVP: Kenneth Walker III (135 rush yds, 2 rec 26 yds))

• Drake Maye anytime touchdown
• Drake Maye Super Bowl MVP

“Your other MVP bet was May to score a touchdown and him to win MVP 10-1. [55:29] Yeah”

Drake Maye did not score a touchdown himself and Super Bowl LX MVP went to Kenneth Walker III, not Maye, so both parlay legs miss. (Maye: 27/43, 295 yds, 2 passing TD (none rushing/scored by Maye); MVP: Kenneth Walker III)

“you have Shahid at 13 to 1 and Hollins [56:20] at 11 to 1”

Cooper Kupp was the first player in the game to reach 20+ receiving yards, not Rashid Shaheed. (Kupp reached 20+ yards on a 1st-quarter 23-yard catch; Shaheed finished 2 rec, 27 yds)

“you have Shahid at 13 to 1 and Hollins [56:20] at 11 to 1 anything yeah I mean obviously only one can hit but I am taking two dart shots at this”

Cooper Kupp was the first player in the game to reach 20+ receiving yards, not Mack Hollins (Hollins' big plays came later, including a 4th-quarter TD). (Kupp reached 20+ yards on a 1st-quarter 23-yard catch; Hollins finished 4 rec, 78 yds, 1 TD)

• A.J. Barner anytime touchdown
• A.J. Barner 1+ rushing yard closed +0.5 · CLV -0.5

“You combining Barner touchdown with one plus rush yard plus 450 Yeah so Barner is plus 185 around the market basically to score a touchdown If you add him to get a one plus rush yard it is plus 450 So I tossing 400 on this”

A.J. Barner did score a touchdown (Darnold's only TD pass) but recorded no rushing attempts/yards, so the 1+ rushing yard leg misses and the parlay loses. (Barner: 4 rec, 54 yds, 1 TD; 0 rushing yards)

“I took Stefan Diggs under 18.5 longest reception. I believe that's only down to 17.5 on the market.”

Diggs had a 26-yard reception in Super Bowl LX (3 catches, 37 yards); longest reception of 26 yards cleared the 18.5 line, so under loses. (Diggs: 3 rec, 37 yds, longest = 26 yds (vs. 18.5 line))

“I took under nine and a half. I'm asking you to shop out there. I took first quarter under nine and a half.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 9.5 busts.

“Kenneth Walker, that was the first bet I locked in, got his rushing yardage.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 135 rushing_yards vs under 84.5; busts. (Kenneth Walker III: 135 rushing_yards)

“i put it in our bets i like them to [59:14] win the super bowl at six to one”

Houston won its Wild Card game but lost 28-16 to the Patriots in the Divisional Round, never reaching let alone winning Super Bowl LX.

“My two angles on this game is I like Algier to score a touchdown.”

Tyler Allgeier did not score; Atlanta's only offensive TDs were Bijan Robinson's rushing and receiving scores in the 27-24 win.

“The bet I will take, I like Thielen to score a touchdown.”

Adam Thielen did not score; both Dolphins TDs went to Darren Waller in the 28-15 MNF Week 15 loss to Pittsburgh.

“I took Herbert under 20 and a half rushing yards”

LAC 22, PHI 19 — Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards vs under 20.5; busts. (Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards)

• Dallas Goedert anytime TD
• Keenan Allen anytime TD

“so the parlay is goddard and keenan it's uh 17 to 1 with the two of them together”

Same Goedert + Keenan Allen anytime-TD parlay for the Eagles-Chargers MNF game; Goedert had no TD, so the parlay lost. (Goedert: 0 TD)

“I like Herbert under 20 and a half rushing yards.”

LAC 22, PHI 19 — Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards vs under 20.5; busts. (Justin Herbert: 66 rushing_yards)

“i like him over five and a half kick points”

Younghoe Koo had only 1 kicking point (one XP; FG botched) as the Giants scored 15, under 5.5.

• Jaxson Dart anytime TD pending
• Jaxson Dart over 25 rushing yards closed +29 · CLV +4 lost
• Jaxson Dart to throw a TD pending

“so one run one pass 25 rush it's plus [1:11:42] 650 plus 640 something of that nature”

Parlay busts: Jaxson Dart anytime TD — manual; Jaxson Dart over 25 rushing yards +25 — lost; Jaxson Dart to throw a TD — manual.

• Patrick Mahomes most passing yards
• Amon-Ra St. Brown most receiving yards
• Derrick Henry most rushing yards

“35 to 1 would be Pat, Amon Ra, and Henry.”

Same issue as the other Triple Crown parlay - Dak Prescott, not Mahomes, led all Thanksgiving passers. (Prescott ~320-329 yds vs. Mahomes 261 yds)

“all teams to score a rushing touchdown at eight [49:23] to one. I'll always bet that”

The all-teams-rushing-TD parlay failed; the Chiefs scored no rushing TD (all 4 TDs were Mahomes passes).

“Henry, 10 plus rushing yards in each quarter is plus 300.”

Henry's big rushing burst (30+ yards and a TD) came entirely on Baltimore's first drive; he managed only 7 carries for 27 combined yards over the rest of the game, making 10+ rushing yards in every quarter mathematically impossible. (Henry 30+ yds/TD on first drive, then 7 car/27 yds combined the rest of the game)

“Lockett, touchdown, I mean his snap count's just gone up the last two weeks [33:16] He's only out there to catch passes [33:18] And Pete loves him [33:19] So Lockett, touchdown”

Tyler Lockett did not score (3 rec, 33 yds) in the Raiders' 33-16 Monday night loss to Dallas.

“I'm just like Amun-Ra. No Laporte out there. So touchdowns.”

Amon-Ra St. Brown did not score (2 rec, 42 yds) in Detroit's 16-9 Sunday-night loss at Philadelphia.

“Woody Marks is clearly the guy now well [40:45] ahead of Chubb.”

Woody Marks did not score (18 carries, 44 yds) in the Texans' 16-13 Week 11 win over the Titans.

“McBride, reception touchdown leader on the season, [43:34] 80-1.”

Trey McBride (11 receiving TDs) did not lead the NFL in 2025 receiving TDs; Davante Adams led with 14.

“we're [46:49] getting 39 and a half that's the line we just need 40 yards from Jerry Judy”

CLE 16, BAL 23 — Jerry Jeudy: 21 receiving_yards vs over 39.5; busts. (Jerry Jeudy: 21 receiving_yards)

“give me the longest catch prop for terrence ferguson our [1:00:56] tight end four. It's over 12 and a half.”

Terrance Ferguson recorded 0 receptions in the Rams' 21-19 Week 11 win over Seattle, so his longest catch did not exceed 12.5 yards.

• Jalen Hurts anytime TD
• Saquon Barkley anytime TD

“I took Hurts and Saquon to both score touchdowns. [1:36:44] Like, how many weeks do you get both guys at plus money to score touchdowns in this game?”

Neither Jalen Hurts nor Saquon Barkley scored a touchdown in Philadelphia's 10-7 win over Green Bay — the game's only Eagles TD was a Hurts-to-DeVonta Smith pass — busting both anytime-TD legs. (Hurts: 0 rush/rec TD; Barkley: 22 car, 60 yds, 0 TD (PHI 10, GB 7))

“the bet I have here is Musgrave I think it offers value at DraftKings at plus 360”

Luke Musgrave did not score in the Packers' 10-7 loss to the Eagles (Green Bay's only TD was a Josh Jacobs run).

“So DK has something where it's a Janu touchdown or a Friermuth touchdown and you catch your bet. It's plus 110.”

Neither Jonnu Smith nor Pat Freiermuth scored in Pittsburgh's 25-10 Week 10 loss at the Chargers; the Steelers' only TD was Roman Wilson.

• Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown
• A.J. Brown anytime touchdown
• Luke Musgrave anytime touchdown

“so that's the parlay jalen hurts to score a touchdown aj brown to score a touchdown and luke musgrave to score a touchdown new tight end one for the green bay packers”

Only two touchdowns were scored in Philadelphia's 10-7 win over Green Bay (a Hurts-to-DeVonta Smith pass and a Jacobs rush) — Jalen Hurts himself did not score (passing TD only), A.J. Brown was held to 13 yards, and Luke Musgrave went scoreless, busting all three TD-scorer legs. (Hurts: 1 pass TD (no rush/rec TD); A.J. Brown: 2 rec, 13 yds, 0 TD; Musgrave: 3 rec, 23 yds, 0 TD (PHI 10, GB 7))

“like usual, I'm going to take the favorite here. Colts minus six and a half.”

IND 31, ATL 25 — Indianapolis Colts margin +6 vs line -6.5; busts.

“six for 60 is basically minus 110 at a few books so i think that's completely doable”

DAL 17, ARI 27 — Trey McBride: 5 receptions vs over 5.5; busts. (Trey McBride: 5 receptions)

“i like is minus 130 to have a catch on their first drive”

Arizona's opening drive ended in a 48-yard field goal; Trey McBride was targeted twice on that drive but did not record a reception, so the first-drive catch prop missed. (McBride: 0-for-2 targets on ARI's opening drive (Cardinals 27, Cowboys 17))

“this one was Xavier Hutchinson I like over 18 and a half receiving yards no Christian Kirk”

SEA 27, HOU 19 — Xavier Hutchinson: 13 receiving_yards vs over 18.5; busts. (Xavier Hutchinson: 13 receiving_yards)

“I see this at last time I looked plus money at DraftKings, but Baltimore to punt on their first drive.”

Baltimore did not punt on its first drive — the Ravens' opening possession ended in a field goal in their 44-10 Week 5 loss to Houston.

“I like Stefan Diggs under 19 and a half longest reception so [44:32] Buffalo this year only allowed five completions of 20 plus yards,”

Stefon Diggs' longest reception was 32 yards, over the 19.5 line, in the Patriots' 23-20 SNF win at Buffalo.

“I like Garrett Wilson. [1:15:30] He's minus 110, and I like Brees Hall plus 225 to get a catch on the first Jets drive.”

On the Jets' first offensive drive (which ended in a Braelon Allen fumble at the Miami 1-yard line), Breece Hall caught a pass but Garrett Wilson was not targeted/did not catch a pass — leg lost. (Jets' first drive: B.Hall 5-yd catch; no Wilson target/catch; drive ended on fumble at MIA 1.)

“I have Bengals tracked in the app actually at seven and a half. [1:19:22] I like that number.”

DEN 28, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line +7.5; busts.

“but he likes Tanner Hudson. [1:19:38] Score a touchdown as a long, long shot in this one. [1:19:40] No Noah Fant on Cincinnati's side.”

Tanner Hudson did not score in Cincinnati's 28-3 loss at Denver.

“i like the sam laporta look [1:08:47] uh fan and a joku went nine of 88 against baltimore kincaid and knox go six of 68 laporta [1:08:56] four receptions 40 plus receiving yards is minus 110 on draft kings i think that is a decent look”

Sam LaPorta had exactly 4 receptions (hit that threshold) but only 33 receiving yards in Detroit's 38-30 win over Baltimore — missed the 40+ yard requirement, so the combined prop lost. (LaPorta: 4 rec, 33 yds.)

“So I'm going to bet the 49ers week four. [50:22] 49ers minus three home against the Jaguars. [50:25] It's minus one ten at FanDuel.”

SF 21, JAX 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -3; busts.

“I take a chance on the Chargers to punt on the first drive at plus 125”

The Chargers' opening drive (after a first-play INT by Henley) ended in a Herbert-to-Keenan-Allen TD, not a punt, in their 20-9 MNF win.

“I took Washington to have exactly two wins through five games which would put them at two and three just quickly at their schedule Home against the Giants I assume that would be one At Green Bay is a loss”

Washington went 3-2 through five games (wins over Giants, Raiders, Chargers), not exactly two wins.

“really good season so I like the Houston one”

Texans finished 12-5; best record was 14-3. (Texans 12-5, AFC South runner-up to Jaguars 13-4.)

“Green Bay 25 to one probably shows a decent value at the number.”

Packers finished 9-7-1; best record was 14-3. (Green Bay 9-7-1.)

“so I think the Saints are probably the easiest pick with the”

Saints finished 6-11; worst record was 3-14. (Saints 6-11, not the league's worst record.)

“they're 30 I've seen 35 to 1 some places in the market to me it's about”

Rams led NFL in scoring (518 pts); Cowboys did not lead points scored. (Cowboys finished 7-9-1.)

“but I think the jets are intriguing at 10 to one, 11 to one in the market.”

Raiders scored the fewest points in 2025 (241); Jets scored 300 (4th-fewest), so the Jets least-points future loses. (Jets 300 points; Raiders led with 241)

“I'm anti-Pittsburgh.”

Steelers made the 2025-26 playoffs as the AFC No. 4 seed, so the miss-playoffs bet loses. (AFC No. 4 seed)

“but I'm also going to say San Francisco. [51:30] It's about two to one.”

49ers made the 2025-26 playoffs as the NFC No. 6 seed, so the miss-playoffs bet loses. (NFC No. 6 seed)

“so Baltimore Green Bay is 40 to 1 nice”

Super Bowl LX was Seahawks vs Patriots, not Ravens vs Packers; exact-matchup future busts. (Seahawks def. Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX)

“I'm going to say Denver and Philly”

Super Bowl LX was Seahawks vs Patriots, not Broncos vs Eagles; exact-matchup future busts. (Seahawks def. Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX)

“That is something I'm betting right now.”

Pick No. 33 (Browns) was LB Carson Schwesinger, not Aireontae Ersery. (Browns took Schwesinger at 33)

“I'm gonna throw sprinkle a little bit uh on that because I think”

2025 Offensive ROY went to Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan; Jeanty did not win. (McMillan won OROY)

“Yeah, at least from my point of view, [8:56] I had that on my list.”

Ashton Jeanty was drafted 6th overall, not 4th. (Pick 6: Ashton Jeanty (Raiders))

“which was [44:20] Gen Z to the Broncos at 17 [44:22] to 1. Best price.”

Ashton Jeanty went to the Raiders at No. 6, not the Broncos. (Jeanty to Las Vegas, pick 6)

“I think Graham at like 16, 18 to one at four just feels like incredible value”

Mason Graham was drafted 5th overall (by Browns), not 4th. (Pick 4: Will Campbell; Graham went 5th)

• Chiefs 1st half lost
• Eagles full game closed -1 · CLV -101¢ won

“so i took casey first half philly full game it's about eight to one”

Parlay busts: Chiefs 1st half — lost; Eagles full game — won.

“So I'm going to play over longest rush for both Mahomes and Hurts.”

Mahomes' longest rush was 8 yards, under 11.5. (Mahomes long rush 8)

“So Chiefs to score defensive special teams touchdown in a win.”

Chiefs lost 22-40 and scored no defensive/special-teams TD. (Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“So you can bet any defender, any defensive player to win MVP. Don't pick the right one. [50:57] just bet any of them 15 to 1”

QB Jalen Hurts won SB LIX MVP; no defensive player won. (MVP: Jalen Hurts)

“So, Nick Bolton, run it back, baby. 400 to one.”

Jalen Hurts won SB LIX MVP, not Nick Bolton. (MVP: Jalen Hurts)

“i like davante smith 66 to one i'm kind of running it back this”

Jalen Hurts won SB LIX MVP, not DeVonta Smith. (MVP: Jalen Hurts)

“you bet 100 yards that's seven [1:03:12] to one i don't mind that just as a shorter way”

PHI 40, KC 22 — DeVonta Smith: 69 receiving_yards vs over 100; busts. (DeVonta Smith: 69 receiving_yards)

“And then Kareem Hunt, I like him to go one and two.”

Kareem Hunt did not score a TD. (Hunt 3 car, 9 yds, 1 rec, 5 yds, 0 TD)

“I like one sack bet. KC on the three-way to have [1:12:59] the most sacks in the game.”

Eagles recorded the most sacks; Chiefs had fewer (1). (Eagles sacked Mahomes multiple times; Chiefs 1 sack)

• Chiefs 1st quarter lost
• Eagles at halftime closed +100 · CLV 0¢ won
• Chiefs moneyline closed -120 · CLV 0¢ lost

“Chiefs first quarter, [1:16:21] Eagles halftime, Chiefs money line.”

Parlay busts: Chiefs 1st quarter — lost; Eagles at halftime — won; Chiefs moneyline — lost.

“First to 20 yards in the game, Kareem Hunt is plus four fifty, which I think is intriguing.”

Kareem Hunt managed only 9 rushing yards on 3 carries and never reached 20 yards, so first-to-20-rushing-yards lost.

“So two touchdowns at 10 to one is my other bet with Kareem Hunt.”

Kareem Hunt scored zero touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, far short of the two-touchdown prop.

“So I just feel like there's so many outs here. I I I still like it in the minus one fifty range.”

Saquon Barkley was held to short gains (57 total yards) and Jalen Hurts had the game's longest run (17 yards), so Barkley did not have the longest rush.

“I think a more interesting one is first half. It's 58 and a half. In the first half this season, he has 11 rushes of 13 plus yards.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards vs over 58.5; busts. (Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards)

“So I kinda like that price. It's between seven and eight to one.”

The Chiefs did not win the first half (trailed 24-0 at the break), so the Chiefs-1H/Eagles-game double lost.

“yeah the chief super bowl price to me is the one that stands out the most because of”

Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX; Chiefs future busts. (Final: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“[1:13:12] Reichard over one and a half field goals. Opponents are just 28 and 56 in the red zone”

Reichard made only his lone 34-yard FG in Vikings' 27-9 loss; under 1.5, bet on over loses. (Will Reichard 1/1 FG (34 yds))

“[5:58] Chiefs in the AFC championship game and the Lions to win the Super Bowl is 30 to one. And I kind of”

Ravens lost to Buffalo in the divisional round and never played the Chiefs; combo busts. (Bills 27, Ravens 25 (Divisional))

“[7:23] So I think those are the two that are most intriguing to me The other one in just the FanDuel section before we move on to the next category I at least going to put a few dollars on every team to score one plus rushing touchdown”

Not every Wild Card team scored a rushing TD; the Chargers' only TD was an 86-yard receiving score by McConkey. (Texans 32-12 Chargers; Chargers had no rushing TD)

“I like Jalen Ramsey under four and a half tackle and assist”

Jalen Ramsey had 6 combined tackles (4 solo), over 4.5; under loses. (Ramsey 6 combined tackles (Dolphins 23-15 Rams, MNF))

“the Denver Broncos, [10:10] I'm actually eyeing the under on their win total at 7.5. [10:13] It's around plus 125.”

Broncos finished 10-7 and made the playoffs; under 7.5 loses. (Broncos 10-7)

“So over 15.5, he's over the mark in six of the last seven games.”

CHI 3, NE 19 — D'Andre Swift: 6 receiving_yards vs over 15.5; busts. (D'Andre Swift: 6 receiving_yards)

“so i will go [31:37] with herbert”

Justin Herbert threw 0 interceptions vs Tennessee (7th straight game without a pick). (Herbert 0 INTs (Chargers beat Titans, Week 10))

“So from Sunday night, I like Schultz.”

Dalton Schultz did not score; Texans TDs were Mixon (rush) and Metchie (rec). (Schultz no TD (Lions 26-23 Texans, SNF))

“And I like Van Jefferson unders. [51:09] Under two and a half receptions.”

PIT 26, NYG 18 — Van Jefferson: 4 receptions vs under 2.5; busts. (Van Jefferson: 4 receptions)

“Also under 12 and a half longest reception. [51:14] So those are the two bets.”

Van Jefferson's longest reception was 36 yards vs the Giants (3 rec, 57 yds), over the 12.5 line; under loses. (Van Jefferson 3 rec, 57 yds, long 36 (Steelers 26-18 Giants, Week 8 MNF))

“I like James Conner to get in the end zone. [54:07] He's actually scored in all six night games with Arizona.”

James Conner did not score a touchdown in the Cardinals' 17-15 MNF win over the Chargers. (Conner 101 rush yds, 0 TD)

“I wrote down Chargers win the first half, Cardinals win the full game.”

Chargers trailed 7-6 at halftime vs Arizona; did not win the first half. (Cardinals led 7-6 at half, won 17-15)

“I kind of like Kamara to score a touchdown, scored both road games, scored in three or four this year.”

Alvin Kamara did not score a TD vs Chiefs on MNF Week 5; anytime TD misses. (Kamara: 11 carries, 26 rush yards, 0 TD)

“and I want New Orleans at six. I did it earlier in the week.”

KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +6; busts.

“So Carolina was the one I went for. I need over four, but I just feel like the difference between Dalton and Young and what he's brought to the offense”

CHI 36, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +4; busts.

“I picked Kelsey Monday Night Football. They have no targets left. They're facing a Saints defense that isn't exactly fantastic in certain points in the secondary.”

Travis Kelce did not score a TD vs Saints on MNF Week 5; anytime TD misses. (Kelce: 9 rec, 70 yards, 0 TD)

“I'll take an ETN touchdown on this Jacksonville game. [42:18] He's got 10 touchdowns in his last 12 road games.”

Travis Etienne did not score in Jacksonville's 47-10 MNF loss at Buffalo. (Jaguars' only points: Cam Little FG and Brenton Strange TD catch.)

“And Tennessee under three to me is probably the pick, as weird as that sounds, having to [25:38] lay points with Will Levis.”

TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -3; busts.

“So we'll go with two interceptions for cousins as well.”

Kirk Cousins threw zero interceptions, well short of 2+. (Cousins 0 INT vs Eagles.)

“I like that Johan Dotson plus 350 with AJ Brown out and hurts.”

Jahan Dotson did not score in the Eagles' loss to Atlanta. (Dotson 1 catch, 6 yds, 0 TD.)

“I have more on Arizona.”

Rams won the 2024 NFC West; Cardinals did not. (Rams 10-7 won division on tiebreaker over Seahawks; Cardinals 8-9.)

“So I'm taking under 10 and a half gold and 10 and a half is important because Germany is just not dominant in all the events that they have been in the past.”

Germany finished with 12 gold medals, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost. (Germany: 12 gold / 33 total medals)

“Last one I'm going to like on the under is Japan. So this is a real shopping situation because I took 15 and a half and now I only see 13 and a half and some 14s in the market”

Japan finished with 20 gold medals (its best-ever overseas Games showing), well over the 15.5 line, so the Under lost. (Japan: 20 gold / 45 total medals)

“But I'm going to split my bet half unit on Germany and a half unit on Argentina, which are both countries near the top, near Netherlands.”

Netherlands won women's field hockey gold over China; Germany did not win. (Netherlands def. China (SO))

“So they're a real long shot. But my picks are Germany and Argentina to try to knock off the Dutch.”

Netherlands won women's field hockey gold at Paris 2024 (beat China in shootout); Argentina did not win. (Argentina took bronze)

“i'm gonna go with the favorite the person everyone's probably gonna be betting on anyway which Gretchen Walsh, 100 meter butterfly, gold medal.”

Torri Huske won the women's 100m butterfly gold; Gretchen Walsh took silver. (Walsh 55.63, lost by 0.04s)

“I'm splitting my full unit on a half unit on van der Poel, who's the favorite.”

Remco Evenepoel (BEL) won the men's road race; Mathieu van der Poel did not win. (Evenepoel attacked on Montmartre descent)

“And the other half unit on Wout van Aert of Belgium.”

Remco Evenepoel (BEL) won the men's road race; Wout van Aert did not win. (Evenepoel solo victory)

“I've seen him at plus 120 in a few books and that's the price I'm really looking for because my half unit on Tarling is from Great Britain.”

Remco Evenepoel (BEL) won the men's time trial; Joshua Tarling finished 4th after a puncture. (Tarling 4th, 2.16s off the podium)

• Chop Robinson first round
• Tyler Guyton first round
• Kool-Aid McKinstry first round

“I had Chop [7:39] Guyton, and Kool-Aid to go into the first round at minus 120. That is now up to minus 160, [7:47] it looks like. I would still take it at that price.”

Chop Robinson (Dolphins, pick 21) and Tyler Guyton (Cowboys, pick 29) both went in Round 1, but Kool-Aid McKinstry fell to the Saints in Round 2 (pick 41), so the 3-leg parlay loses. (Robinson: R1 Pick 21; Guyton: R1 Pick 29; McKinstry: R2 Pick 41 (leg loss))

“I have over 14.5.”

JC Latham over 14.5 draft position: drafted #7 by Titans, under the line. (Latham #7.)

“I took Kool-Aid under 29.5.”

Kool-Aid McKinstry under 29.5 draft position: drafted #42 by Saints, over the line. (McKinstry #42.)

“So I took Kingsley under 32 and a half as well.”

Kingsley Suamataia under 32.5 draft position: drafted #63 by Chiefs (round 2), over the line. (Suamataia #63.)

“I actually bit at 17, 18 to one myself.”

J.J. McCarthy was drafted #10 overall by the Vikings, not #2. (Commanders took Jayden Daniels at #2; McCarthy went 10th.)

“So Dallas Turner top 10 I see it minus 175s minus 150s There a plus 100 in the market right now So I took that bet”

Dallas Turner top 10 pick: drafted #18 overall by Vikings, outside top 10. (Turner #18.)

“So I actually done what was just suggested by Jacob which is I taking a piece of the May at two now so I can do a little bit of buyback”

Drake Maye to be #2 overall: #2 was Jayden Daniels (Commanders); Maye went #3 to Patriots. (Maye #3.)

“So I'm going to bite on Caleb Drake and Jaden at 360, it looks like.”

Exacta Williams 1 / Maye 2 / Daniels 3: actual order was Williams 1, Daniels 2, Maye 3. (Maye and Daniels reversed vs bet.)

“And Caleb Drake and JJ at 650.”

Exacta Williams 1 / Maye 2 / McCarthy 3: actual was Williams 1, Daniels 2, Maye 3; McCarthy went #10. (Order missed.)

“And on the other way, Caleb Jalen JJ, which 8-1 now plus 750.”

Drake Maye went 3rd, not J.J. McCarthy (who went 10th). (Maye pick 3, McCarthy pick 10)

“I took a shot on, and I'm going to screw up his name, so it's cool with me. but Fashanu to be the first alignment taken basically over a alt. He was a, I got it like 11 or 12 to one.”

Joe Alt (No. 5) was first OL drafted; Fashanu went No. 11. (Alt OT1 pick 5, Fashanu pick 11)

“but I feel like that's something that probably should be shorter.”

Marvin Harrison Jr. went No. 4 overall to the Cardinals, not No. 5. (MHJ drafted No. 4 overall by Arizona)

“I think that's a good bet that both that and the Harrison bets would be”

Ravens drafted CB Nate Wiggins at No. 30, not a wide receiver. (Ravens 1st pick: CB Nate Wiggins (Clemson))

“I think Baltimore is the right play. [7:38] I hit the money line as soon as I could at like one 55.”

BAL 10, KC 17 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.

“But right now, looking at this game, I really love the Texans here at 8.5.”

BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +8.5; busts.

“And then the touchdown bet I think is fun. [9:10] Kenneth Gainwell. [9:12] Any time is 5, 6 to 1.”

Kenneth Gainwell had 1 rec for 4 yards, 0 TDs in Eagles' 21-17 MNF win over Chiefs. (Gainwell 1 rec, 4 yds, 0 TD)

“I do like Gabe Davis I am [7:35] seeing him out there right now. His prices are all over the place. I've seen plus 130. I've seen [7:39] plus 230, but leads the team in ADOT”

Gabe Davis caught 2 passes for 56 yards with 0 TDs in Bills' 24-22 loss to Broncos (only a 2-pt conversion). (Gabe Davis 2 rec, 56 yds, 0 TD)

“I think Gerald Everett is probably a guy we want to look for around plus 330.”

Gerald Everett did not score a TD in Chargers' 27-6 win over Jets; TDs were Davis (punt return) and Ekeler x2. (Chargers 27, Jets 6)

“another one is Justin Herbert, interception around plus 125.”

Justin Herbert threw 0 interceptions vs the Jets (16/30, 136 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT). (Herbert 0 INT)

“in terms of like an actual bet on this one I'm gonna go with one of my uh first touchdown anytime touchdown guys Colby Parkinson”

Seahawks won 24-3; only TD scorers were Metcalf, Walker, and Witherspoon (pick-six). Parkinson no TD. (Colby Parkinson no TD)

“I went back to the well with my 180 challenge which is you know about an 18 to one or one or longer uh touchdown score I I thought about Jawan Johnson uh but I went with Hayden Hurst so 18 to one”

Hayden Hurst scored 0 TDs in Panthers' Week 2 MNF game vs Saints. (No Hurst TD)

“I mean, if I was going to pick a 180 for this one, I think the right one would be Njoku.”

Njoku did not score; Steelers beat Browns 26-22 with TDs from Ford, Pickens, Highsmith, Strong, T.J. Watt. (David Njoku no TD)

“the Jets side, I'd be looking at Alan Lazard. He's around plus 250 to plus 270. And, you know,”

Allen Lazard did not score in Jets' 22-16 OT win over Bills on Week 1 MNF. (No Lazard TD)

“I'm going to roll the dice with the Falcons.”

The Baltimore Ravens had the best regular-season record in the 2023 NFL season at 13-4; the Atlanta Falcons finished 7-10, well short of the best record (Pro-Football-Reference). (Falcons: 7-10 final record)

“So I kind of like the Raiders.”

The Carolina Panthers finished the 2023 season with the NFL's worst record at 2-15; the Las Vegas Raiders went 8-9, far from the worst (StatMuse, Pro-Football-Reference). (Raiders: 8-9; Panthers: 2-15 (worst))

“So I did land on Miami. They're about minus 110 range to miss the playoffs.”

The Dolphins finished 11-6 and made the 2023 playoffs as the AFC's 6th seed, losing to the Chiefs 26-7 in the Wild Card round (Wikipedia / The Phinsider). (11-6 record, made playoffs)

“So plus 136, plus 140 to miss the playoffs. [25:14] Their schedule's brutal.”

The Lions made the playoffs with a 12-5 record, won two postseason games, and advanced to the NFC Championship Game before losing to the 49ers (ESPN). (12-5 record, NFC Championship)

“I'm going to look at the Browns.”

The Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North with a 13-4 record; the Browns finished with a winning record but did not win the division (NFL.com). (Ravens 13-4, AFC North champions)

“number one's [50:54] new england is it just new england again like 25 to one”

The Carolina Panthers were the last team to record a win in 2023 (Week 8, Oct 29), not the Patriots; the Patriots won earlier than Week 8 (ESPN / NBC Sports Boston). (Panthers last to win (Week 8, Oct 29))

“my number [51:28] two on the list is the Raiders at 18 to 1.”

The Carolina Panthers were the last team to record a win in 2023 (Week 8, Oct 29), not the Raiders; the Raiders won before Week 8 (ESPN / QC News). (Panthers last to win (Week 8, Oct 29))

“The biggest draft bet I've made, I think, is Bijan Robinson, [7:46] to go, like, top [7:48] five or six [7:49] in that range. That that is the biggest bet I've made so far because I think someone's gonna reach out for him.”

Bijan Robinson was drafted 8th overall by Atlanta, outside the top 5/6 range targeted.