Guest · 140-267-2 on settled picks
| League | prop | futures | spread | parlay | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 109-221-9% | 9-23-5% | 1-4-62% | 1-3 | 1-0 | 121-251-8% |
| CBB | 11-11-7% | — | — | — | — | 11-11-7% |
| Other | — | 4-2+73% | 2-3-24% | — | 2-0 | 8-5+39% |
“so Tank Bigsby [51:11] Jawan Jennings Parker Washington you parlay all three of those and you get around 18 to 1”
“so i got a gross passing yards prop for you it's gardner menchu [4:49] under 2925 and a half passing yards um at minus 130”
“And we both have him over 100 yards over his season-long rushing prop, [35:22] which I believe is in the 700s. [35:23] I think we both are close to 900.”
“Yeah, so I'm going to start us off with Rashad White under 700 and a half rushing yards.”
“I'm going with Isaiah Hodgins [11:03] under 500 and a half receiving yards.”
“So I'm going with Najee Harris, under 975 and a half rushing yards.”
“so i'm going dj chark under 44 and a half receptions”
“I going with Travis Etienne under 950 and a half rushing yards”
“is Cam Newton over 2,950 yards. Freeman, I don't want to steal your thunder, so I'll make it quick. But this is essentially game starter prop over under 12.5 games for Cam Newton”
“I still like it at 800. But, you know, he was under this number last year. He ran the ball 246 times for 789 yards, 3.2 yards per carry.”
“For me, my next prop is Kerryon Johnson under a thousand and a half rushing yards. I had a ton of shares of Kieran Johnson before Theo Riddick was traded.”
“My next prop is Kyler Murray over 3,400 passing yards. That's the lowest line I've seen at the moment. I'm not sure if I've been drinking the Kool-Aid too much with you and Raybon, your Kyler Murray cult. But I just think a market like this, he doesn't really have to be good.”
“Robbie Anderson is my boy. I feel like I'm always defending him on our pod, but I love the under 950 receiving yards this year. For starters, he's never gone over.”
“So I'm going with my Michael Dixon. [4:33] Longest punt, under 56 and a half yards at minus 125.”
Michael Dickson's longest punt was 55 yards, under the 56.5 line.
“Yeah, so my second one's $500 on this two-way parlay, [9:03] two of my favorite angles of the game where I'm attacking Hunter Henry [9:07] over 15-plus receiving yards in the second quarter [9:10] and Stephon Diggs 15-plus receiving yards in the third quarter.”
Parlay cashes: Hunter Henry Over 15 receiving yards in 2nd quarter +15 — won; Stefon Diggs Over 15 receiving yards in 3rd quarter +15 — won.
“I'm going to go with both starting tight ends here. So Hunter Henry and A.J. Barner. And it comes out to 10 to 1.”
AJ Barner scored (16-yard TD) but Hunter Henry did not (3 rec, 31 yds, 0 TD) in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026); parlay busts on the Henry leg. (Henry 0 TD; Barner 1 TD)
“I'm going to stick with AJ Barner as my favorite of the two here at plus 240”
AJ Barner scored a 16-yard receiving TD from Sam Darnold.
“So I'm going to go with Jack Westover. uh he was 40 to one this morning now he's 30 to one”
Jack Westover did not score a touchdown in SB LX.
“which quarter will remandre stevenson have the most rushing yards and i am going with the first quarter at plus 290”
Rhamondre Stevenson had his most rushing yards in the 1st quarter (17 yds on 4 carries) in Super Bowl LX.
“You know, I have his under 56 and a half rushing yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 rushing_yards vs under 56.5; covers. (Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 rushing_yards)
“i'm going with hunter henry under four and a half first quarter receiving yards at minus 112”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs under 4.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)
“i actually gonna take hunter henry over eight and a half yards in the second quarter at minus 110”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 8.5; covers. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)
“I'm going to go with DeMarcus Lawrence of the Seahawks to get a sack at plus 140.”
DeMarcus Lawrence recorded no sack in Super Bowl LX (one QB hit, one pass deflection).
“I'm going to go with A.J. Barner at 101 here, and he's a long shot for reason because no tight end has ever won Super Bowl MVP.”
AJ Barner did not win Super Bowl LX MVP despite a 16-yard TD; Kenneth Walker III was named MVP.
“I'm going to go with Nate Adkins here at 25-1.”
Nate Adkins did not score in the Patriots' 10-7 AFC Championship win over the Broncos (only TDs were Drake Maye rush and Courtland Sutton receiving).
“I'm going to go Terrence Ferguson at plus 600.”
Terrance Ferguson did not score (0 receptions) in the Rams' 31-27 NFC Championship loss to the Seahawks.
“I going to take Jared Siddham to win Super Bowl MVP at 20 right now”
Jarrett Stidham's Broncos lost the AFC Championship and missed Super Bowl LX; Kenneth Walker III won SB MVP.
“Yeah, I think Kyle Williams of the Pats [21:22] is kind of a good blend of somebody [21:24] that has a decent chance to score [21:26] the longest touchdown on the slate.”
Kyle Williams did not have the longest TD on the championship slate; Puka Nacua's 34-yard receiving TD was the longest.
“Keon Coleman at plus 550 I mean Josh Palmer in IR Gabe Davis is now in IR and now Tyrell Shavers is now in IR with that ACL tear”
Keon Coleman caught a touchdown in the Bills' 33-30 OT loss to the Broncos.
“So give me a JSN at minus 105.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught a touchdown in the Seahawks' 41-6 win over the 49ers.
“Yeah, I like Jaden Higgins here at plus 320.”
Jayden Higgins did not score (6 rec, 59 yards, 0 TD) in the Texans' 28-16 loss to the Patriots.
“but I'm going to go with Blake Corum here at plus 265.”
Blake Corum did not score a touchdown in the Rams' 20-17 OT win over the Bears.
“So I going to go with Colby Parkinson at plus 280”
Colby Parkinson caught the game-winning 19-yard TD from Stafford in the Rams' 34-31 Wild Card win over the Panthers.
“Adams under four and a half receptions is by far my favorite bet of the game.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Davante Adams: 5 receptions vs under 4.5; busts. (Davante Adams: 5 receptions)
“Going to go with my guy, Luther Burden III [9:14] here at plus 250.”
Luther Burden III did not score in the Bears' 31-27 comeback win over the Packers.
“So I'm going to go with Parker Washington here at plus 200.”
Parker Washington caught a TD (7 rec, 107 yds) in the Jaguars' 27-24 loss to the Bills.
“i'm gonna go with aj [18:12] brown at plus 160”
AJ Brown had 3 catches for 25 yards and no TD in the Eagles' 23-19 loss to the 49ers.
“I'm going to go with Pop Douglas here at plus 700.”
Pop Douglas did not score in the Patriots' defensive 16-3 Wild Card win over the Chargers (only Hunter Henry scored an offensive TD).
“marks here at plus 185 um you know he's really been their workhorse back for most of the season”
Woody Marks ran for a TD (19 carries, 112 yds) in the Texans' 30-6 Wild Card win over the Steelers.
“Yeah, so for the Bucs, I'm going to go with Bucky Irving here at plus 165.”
Bucky Irving rushed 26 times for 85 yards and caught one pass but did not score in Tampa Bay's 16-14 win.
“Mitchell Evans at plus 650.”
Mitchell Evans caught one pass for 5 yards and did not score in the Panthers' 16-14 loss.
“But it looks like Raheem Sanders is right around plus 240. [12:58] I love that. [12:59] So I'm going right back to the well with Rocket here.”
Raheim Sanders rushed 5 times for 26 yards with no TD in the Browns' 20-18 win over the Bengals.
“uh Taj Brooks at 11 to 1 uh he is the Bengals third string back”
Tahj Brooks did not score; the Bengals' TDs went to Chase, Higgins and Chase Brown in the 20-18 loss.
“I'm going to go with Tony Pollard on the Titans side at plus 180.”
Tony Pollard rushed for 48 yards and caught 3 passes but did not score in the Titans' 41-7 loss to Jacksonville.
“I'm going to go with Parker Washington at plus 205.”
Parker Washington caught 5 passes for 87 yards and a TD in the Jaguars' 41-7 win over Tennessee.
“Yeah, on the Chiefs side, I'm going to go with Hollywood Brown at plus 370.”
Hollywood Brown caught 3 passes for 64 yards but did not score in the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders.
“going to go with my guy, Michael Mayer here at plus 370.”
Raiders beat Chiefs 14-12 on all field goals/safety; Michael Mayer caught 3 of 5 for 47 yards but scored no TD.
“So for the Lions side, everybody should know that I'm going with Isaac Tislaw here. [38:10] Looks like he's plus 250,”
Isaac TeSlaa had 1 reception for 18 yards and no TD in the Lions' 19-16 win over the Bears.
“the favorite rookie uh from this year's class for me is luther burden uh all the [39:43] way down to plus 130”
Luther Burden III had 3 receptions for 35 yards and no TD in the Bears' 19-16 loss to the Lions.
“yeah i'm going to go with pat [51:47] for our move here at plus 310.”
Pat Freiermuth had 3 receptions for 51 yards and no TD in the Steelers' 26-24 win over the Ravens.
“I am absolutely going right back to George Pickens.”
George Pickens caught 4 passes for 78 yards with no touchdown in the Cowboys' 30-23 Christmas win at Washington.
“I'm going to have to go with Trelon Burks at plus 440.”
Treylon Burks did not score a touchdown in the Cowboys' 30-23 Christmas win at Washington.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Jaden Higgins here at plus 480 for the Texans.”
Jayden Higgins caught a 75-yard TD from C.J. Stroud in the Texans' 20-16 win at the Chargers.
“And then on the Chargers side, I'm just going to go with”
Omarion Hampton scored a 5-yard rushing TD in the Chargers' 20-16 loss to Houston.
“So for the Jaguars, I'm going to go with Parker Washington, right around like, you know, plus 250.”
Parker Washington had 8 catches for 115 yards but no TD in Jacksonville's 23-17 win at Indianapolis.
“And then I'm going to take Alec Pierce at plus 300.”
Alec Pierce had no receptions and did not score in the Colts' 23-17 loss to Jacksonville.
“Raheem Rocket Sanders, baby.”
Raheem Sanders did not score in the Steelers' 13-6 loss at Cleveland (only TD: Fannin reception).
“So, yeah, give me Corum here in a game where he could see, you know, 10 to 15 touches.”
Blake Corum did not score in the Rams' 27-24 loss at Atlanta (Rams TDs: Ferguson rec, Nacua rec, Verse return).
“I'm actually taking somebody that's minus odds with Saquon Barkley at minus 120.”
Saquon Barkley scored a 12-yard rushing TD in the Eagles' 29-18 Week 16 win at Washington.
“So I like sprinkling on him here at plus 800.”
Ben Sinnott had 1 catch for 5 yards but no TD in the Commanders' 29-18 Week 16 loss to Philadelphia.
“Also happy to stick with Jordan Mason this week at plus 190.”
Jordan Mason left early with an ankle injury and did not score in the Vikings' 16-13 win over the Giants.
“I'm going to go with Isaiah Hodgins at plus 600.”
Isaiah Hodgins did not score; the Giants failed to score any offensive TD in the 16-13 loss to Minnesota.
“for the [17:09] chargers i'm gonna have to go justin herbert here at six to one”
Justin Herbert ran for a 1-yard rushing TD in the Chargers' 34-17 win at Dallas.
“I'm going to [18:12] go George Pickens at plus 180.”
George Pickens caught a 38-yard TD from Dak Prescott in the Cowboys' 34-17 loss to the Chargers.
“for the falcons i'm gonna go with my guy tyler alger here at plus 150 has eight touchdowns”
Tyler Allgeier ran 16 times for 79 yards with no TD in the Falcons' 26-19 win at Arizona.
“So I going to go with Ashton Jinty here at plus two 35”
Ashton Jeanty scored both a 51-yard rushing TD and a 60-yard receiving TD in the Raiders' 23-21 loss at Houston.
“I have to stick with my guy, [37:47] Jaden Higgins here at plus 330.”
Jayden Higgins had 1 catch for 17 yards and no TD in the Texans' 23-21 win over the Raiders.
“the club booty kashaun booty plus 320 sign me up”
Kayshon Boutte had 1 catch for 16 yards and no TD in the Patriots' 28-24 SNF win at Baltimore.
“I'm going to go with Michael Pittman Jr. here at plus three. [50:00] 60”
Michael Pittman Jr. did not score a touchdown in the Colts' 48-27 MNF loss to San Francisco.
“on the Chargers side, I'm going to go with Kamani Vidal,”
Kimani Vidal ran 12 times for 33 yards with no TD in the Chargers' 16-13 win at Kansas City.
“on the Chiefs side, I'm going to go with Hollywood Brown at plus 750.”
Hollywood Brown did not score in the Chiefs' 16-13 loss to the Chargers.
“jacoby brissette himself to score here at plus 950”
Jacoby Brissett had 3 carries for 6 yards and no TD in the Cardinals' 40-20 loss at Houston.
“gonna have to stick with my guy, Jaden Higgins [11:42] at plus 310.”
Jayden Higgins had 1 catch for 4 yards and no TD in the Texans' 40-20 win over Arizona.
“So I'm going to actually go with Kenny Pickett here at 19 to one.”
Raiders were shut out 31-0 by the Eagles; Kenny Pickett scored no rushing or receiving TD.
“Dallas Goddard going to go back to the well here at plus 275.”
Dallas Goedert scored two receiving TDs in the Eagles' 31-0 win over the Raiders.
“Mitchell Evans at 11 to one and actually heading into his rookie season.”
Mitchell Evans did not score in the Saints' 20-17 Week 15 win over Carolina (Saints TDs: Neal, Olave).
“on the Saints side, I like Devon Vele again here at plus 290.”
Devaughn Vele had 5 catches for 69 yards but no TD in the Saints' 20-17 Week 15 win.
“For the Titans, I'm going with Gunnar Helm at plus 475.”
Gunnar Helm caught a 34-yard TD from Cam Ward in the Titans' 37-24 Week 15 loss at San Francisco.
“that's kind of my point here with michael pittman jr at plus 550”
Michael Pittman Jr. did not score; Seattle scored zero TDs in its 18-16 Week 15 win and the only Colts TD was Josh Downs.
“I'm just going to stick with my guy here, AJ Barner at plus [35:37] 190.”
AJ Barner did not score; the Seahawks scored no TDs in their 18-16 Week 15 win over Indianapolis.
“I'm going to go with Jordan Mason here at plus 205.”
Jordan Mason did not score in the Vikings' 34-26 SNF Week 15 win at Dallas (rushing TDs: McCarthy, Ham; Cowboys: J. Williams, Davis).
“Yeah, I like Pat Friarmuth here.”
Pat Freiermuth had 3 catches for 45 yards but no TD in the Steelers' 28-15 MNF Week 15 win over Miami.
“I'm gonna go trail on Burks at plus 825”
Treylon Burks did not score; the Commanders were shut out 31-0 by the Vikings.
“Let's stick with our guys, Jill, Josh Oliver, 10 to one.”
Josh Oliver caught 2 receiving TDs in the Vikings' 31-0 win over the Commanders.
“I'm going with Devon Vele for the Saints plus 380”
Devaughn Vele had 3 catches for 40 yards and no TD in the Saints' 24-20 win over the Buccaneers.
“And then for the Bucs, going with Bucky Erring at minus 105.”
Bucky Irving caught a receiving TD for the Buccaneers in the 24-20 loss to the Saints.
“I got to go with my guy, Aidy Mitchell, now down to plus 260.”
Adonai Mitchell had 1 catch for 24 yards and no TD in the Dolphins' 34-10 win over the Jets.
“I like Malik Washington at plus 370.”
Malik Washington had 3 catches for 10 yards and no TD in the Jets' 34-10 loss to the Dolphins.
“On the Ravens side, Devontae Walker at 15-1.”
Devontez Walker did not score in the Ravens' 27-22 loss to Pittsburgh.
“Give me Roman Wilson at eight to one”
Roman Wilson did not score in the Steelers' 27-22 win at Baltimore.
“I'm going with Troy Franklin for the Broncos”
Troy Franklin had 1 catch for 11 yards and no TD in Denver's 24-17 win at Las Vegas.
“this is one where I feel like you just have to take the running back here.”
Ashton Jeanty had 30 rush yards and no TD in the Raiders' 24-17 loss to Denver.
“I get to bet on my guy, Luther Byrd in the third here again at plus 450.”
Luther Burden III caught a receiving TD in the Bears' 28-21 loss at Green Bay.
“So give me a Wiley at plus 900 here.”
Josh Whyle had 1 catch for 21 yards and no TD in the Bears-Packers Week 14 game.
“Jaden Higgins at plus 370.”
Jayden Higgins had 3 catches for 34 yards and no TD in Houston's 20-10 win at Kansas City.
“I'm going to take Dallas Goddard here at plus 330.”
Dallas Goedert had 8 catches for 78 yards and no TD in the Eagles' 22-19 OT loss at the Chargers.
“yeah i'm gonna go with brock wright at plus 310”
Brock Wright did not score in the Lions' 31-24 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay.
“Yeah, I like Kareem Hunt at plus 165.”
Kareem Hunt scored two rushing TDs in the Chiefs' 31-28 Thanksgiving loss to Dallas.
“So I think it's a good time to buy a lot on Gasicki at plus 370.”
Mike Gesicki did not score; the Bengals' only TDs in the 32-14 Thanksgiving win were Tanner Hudson and Andrei Iosivas (plus six FGs).
“I got to go with my guy, Luther Burden III here at plus 500.”
Luther Burden III did not score in the Bears' 24-15 Black Friday win; Chicago TDs were Swift, Monangai and Kmet.
“Yeah, like Jaden Higgins again at plus 300.”
Jayden Higgins did not score in the Texans' 20-16 win at Indianapolis.
“So give me Alec Pierce at plus 290.”
Alec Pierce caught a 19-yard TD from Daniel Jones in the Texans' 20-16 win at Indianapolis.
“But I'm going to go with Audrick Estime here for my pick at 12 to one,”
Audric Estime did not score; the Saints' only TDs in the 21-17 loss to Miami were receiving scores by Olave and Vele.
“I'm going to go Cedric Wilson at 14 to 1.”
Cedric Wilson did not score; the Saints' only TDs in the 21-17 loss to Miami were caught by Olave and Vele.
“I'm going to go with Josh Oliver [29:54] at 13-1 here.”
Josh Oliver did not score; the Vikings were shut out 26-0 by the Seahawks.
“A.J. Barner at plus 275.”
A.J. Barner did not score; Seattle's only TDs in the 26-0 win were Charbonnet's rush and an Ernest Jones INT return.
“And first up is my guy, Blake Corum.”
Blake Corum scored a 2-yard rushing TD (7 carries, 81 yds) in the Rams' 31-28 loss to the Panthers.
“But I love Mitchell Evans as a sneaky touchdown bet.”
Mitchell Evans had 3 receptions for 20 yards and no TD in the Panthers' 31-28 win over the Rams.
“no i'm looking at aj harvey”
RJ Harvey ran for two rushing TDs in the Broncos' 27-26 OT win over the Commanders.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Devin Singletary around plus 220 here.”
Devin Singletary scored a 22-yard rushing TD (12 carries, 68 yds) in the Giants' 33-15 MNF loss to the Patriots.
“So I'm sticking with Barner here at plus 250.”
AJ Barner did not score (2 rec, 18 yds) in the Seahawks' 30-24 Week 12 win over the Titans.
“but I'm going to go with Tony Pollard at plus 290.”
Tony Pollard had 11 carries for 20 yds and 4 catches for 21 yds with no TD in Seattle's 30-24 win over Tennessee.
“I'm going to go with my guy Luther Burden III, right around like plus 300.”
Luther Burden III had 3 catches for 46 yds and no TD in Chicago's 31-28 win over Pittsburgh.
“And on the Steelers side, I'm going to go Darnell Washington.”
Darnell Washington had 2 catches for 22 yds and no TD in Pittsburgh's 31-28 loss at Chicago.
“end room and route so I think a plus five I know we were getting him at like you know 10 to 1 20 to”
John FitzPatrick (Packers) had 1 catch for 11 yds and no TD in Green Bay's 23-6 win over Minnesota.
“So, you know, I'm going to add that as a third pick. I'm adding that as a third pick now. Raiders defensive special teams.”
The Raiders' defense/special teams scored no TD in the 24-10 loss to Cleveland (their only TD was an Ashton Jeanty reception).
“you know this one a no for me Devon Vele at plus 400”
Devaughn Vele had 3 catches for 37 yds and no TD in New Orleans' 24-10 loss to Atlanta.
“Yeah, I'm going to go Terrence Ferguson here at plus 525.”
Terrance Ferguson had 0 catches and no TD in the Rams' 34-7 win over Tampa Bay.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Brian Robinson Jr. here at plus 450.”
Brian Robinson Jr. did not score in the Panthers' 20-9 MNF loss; the only TDs were Jennings, McCaffrey and McMillan.
“first up, I got Robbie Chosen or Chosen Anderson, [5:18] whatever he's listed at your book, around plus 950.”
Robbie Anderson (Chosen) did not score in the Commanders-Dolphins Madrid game (Miami won 16-13; only TDs were Deebo Samuel receiving and Ollie Gordon II rushing).
“my favorite underrated tight end in the league, Greg Dulcich at plus 450.”
Greg Dulcich had 2 catches for 18 yards and no TD in the Dolphins' 16-13 win over the Commanders in Madrid.
“why don't we just parlay them together to kind of get like an anti-correlation boost. [12:42] It's plus 575.”
Houston beat Tennessee 16-13 on a last-second field goal; the game's only touchdowns were passing scores (Mills-to-Collins and Ward-to-Jefferson), so neither Woody Marks nor Nick Chubb found the end zone. (Final: Texans 16, Titans 13; both TDs in the game were passing scores)
“i also like your guy ray bunt chimeri dk [13:16] around four to one to score here”
No TD by the named player in the Texans' 16-13 win over the Titans (only TDs were Nico Collins and Van Jefferson receiving; DK Metcalf is a Steeler and did not play in this game).
“so on the buck side i'm [21:59] to go Tess Johnson at plus 280.”
Tez Johnson did not score in the Buccaneers' 44-32 loss to the Bills.
“on the Bill side, I'm going to go with Jackson Hawes, the other rookie, at plus 500.”
Jackson Hawes did not score in the Bills' 44-32 win over the Buccaneers (Buffalo receiving TDs went to Shavers, Ray Davis and Dawson Knox).
“my favorite bet in this game is Kyle Juszczyk at 10 to 1.”
Kyle Juszczyk did not score in the 49ers' 41-22 win over the Cardinals (San Francisco TDs went to McCaffrey x3 and Kittle x2).
“I'm going to go chalky here with Alman Ra St. Brown at plus 130.”
Amon-Ra St. Brown did not score in the Lions' 16-9 Week 11 SNF loss at Philadelphia (only Lions TD was Jameson Williams).
“I'm going to go chalky again here with Jake Ferguson at plus 180.”
Jake Ferguson caught a 5-yard TD from Dak Prescott in the Cowboys' 33-16 Week 11 MNF win at Las Vegas.
“I going to go with Alec Pierce for the Colts at plus 270 just because his stock just continues to shoot up”
Alec Pierce caught a 37-yard TD from Daniel Jones in the Colts' 31-25 OT win in Berlin.
“I'm going to go with another guy [5:52] who's yet to score this year, Darnell Mooney at plus 360.”
Darnell Mooney had 1 catch for 15 yards (a TD was overturned) and did not score vs the Colts.
“for the bills i'm going with [8:35] james cook two plus touchdowns at plus 290”
James Cook scored 2 rushing TDs plus a receiving TD vs the Dolphins, clearing the 2+ TD prop.
“So if I have to go with somebody, it's Taysom Hill here at plus 390.”
Taysom Hill had 7 carries for 20 yards and no TD in the Saints' 17-7 win at Carolina.
“I'm going to have to go with a dart throw here. [11:00] Mitchell Evans at 16 to 1.”
Mitchell Evans left injured and did not score in the Saints' 17-7 win over Carolina.
“for the Patriots side, I'm going to go DeMario Pop Douglas at plus 250 [20:25] because he's been going off these past few weeks.”
DeMario Douglas had 2 catches for 34 yards and no TD in the Patriots' 28-23 win at Tampa Bay.
“I'm going to go with Baker Mayfield at plus 800 here.”
Baker Mayfield threw 3 TD passes (to Egbuka and Tez Johnson x2) but had no rushing or receiving TD in the Bucs' 28-23 loss to the Patriots, so the anytime-TD prop loses.
“for the Ravens I love Isaiah Likely at plus 285”
Isaiah Likely did not score in the Ravens' 27-19 win over the Vikings (Ravens TDs were Mark Andrews and Justice Hill).
“think Hockinson in a potential trailing game script he'll he's not going to block much uh”
T.J. Hockenson did not score (and was barely targeted) in the Vikings' 27-19 loss to the Ravens.
“i going with isaac to slot here at plus 500”
Isaac TeSlaa had 1 catch for 11 yards and no touchdown in the Lions' 44-22 win over the Commanders.
“Marcus Mariota at plus 500 is sort of a no-brainer bet”
Marcus Mariota threw two TD passes (Deebo Samuel, Ben Sinnott) but had no rushing or receiving TD in the Commanders' 44-22 loss to the Lions.
“for the Rams, I'm going to Kyron Williams at even money. [29:36] I actually have him around 60% in this spot.”
Kyren Williams scored two rushing TDs for the Rams in their win over the 49ers.
“I'm going to go Jared Patterson here at 10 to one.”
Jaret Patterson had just 1 carry for 1 yard and no touchdown in the Chargers' 25-10 win over the Steelers.
“I like Luke Musgrave here at plus three 40.”
Luke Musgrave did not score in the Packers' 10-7 loss to the Eagles (Green Bay's only TD was a Josh Jacobs run).
“I'm going to go with Aranda Gatz in the second [6:28] for now the fourth straight week.”
Oronde Gadsden II had 5 catches for 68 yards but no TD in the Chargers' 27-20 Week 9 win over the Titans.
“It's Gunnar Helm.”
Gunnar Helm had 1 catch for 15 yards but no TD in the Titans' 27-20 Week 9 loss to the Chargers.
“on the Colts side, I'm going to go with Alec Pierce here at plus 250.”
Alec Pierce had 6 catches for 115 yards but no TD in the Colts' 27-20 loss at Pittsburgh.
“I'm going to go with the Steelers number two receiver and Calvin Austin, the third plus 270.”
Calvin Austin III had 5 catches for 56 yards and no TD in the Steelers' 27-20 win; Warren and Freiermuth scored.
“I like Devon Vele, 12-1 on the Saints side.”
Devaughn Vele did not score in the Saints' 34-10 loss to the Rams; Juwan Johnson had the only Saints TD.
“I'm actually going to parlay Kyron Williams and Blake Corum to score. [21:05] You get that at 5-1 at DK.”
Rams beat the Saints 34-10 (Week 9); Kyren Williams scored a rushing TD but Blake Corum was held out of the end zone, busting the both-to-score parlay. (K. Williams: 25 car, 114 yds, 1 TD; Corum: 13 car, 58 yds, 0 TD)
“I'm going to go with Elijah Arroyo here at plus 450.”
Elijah Arroyo caught a 26-yard TD from Sam Darnold in the Seahawks' 38-14 win at Washington.
“George Pickens, plus 120.”
George Pickens had 6 catches for 79 yards and no TD in the Cowboys' 27-17 loss to Arizona.
“I going to go D Eskridge at 30 to one right now to score”
Dee Eskridge left early with a shoulder injury and did not score in the Dolphins' 34-10 win over Atlanta.
“And then the Falcon side, I'm going to go with Darnell Mooney at plus 320.”
Darnell Mooney did not score; Atlanta's only TD in the 34-10 loss was a Tyler Allgeier rush.
“I'm going to go Tyrone Tracy Jr. here at plus 650.”
Tyrone Tracy Jr. ran 10 times for 39 yards and did not score in the Giants' 38-20 loss to Philadelphia.
“I'm going to go with A.J. Brown at plus 180.”
A.J. Brown was inactive (hamstring) and did not play in the Eagles' 38-20 win over the Giants — no action.
“I going to go with Yosevash Andre Yosevash at plus 425”
Andrei Iosivas caught none of his 3 targets and did not score in the Bengals' 39-38 loss to the Jets.
“I think Garrett Wilson at plus 175 would be the play.”
Garrett Wilson was inactive (knee) and did not play in the Jets' 39-38 win over Cincinnati — no action.
“I'm going to go with Mr. Mulsanta himself, Dak Prescott, at plus 800.”
Dak Prescott threw for 188 yards with 2 INTs and no rushing/receiving TD in the Cowboys' 44-24 loss to Denver.
“and not go with Evan Ingram, but Nate Atkins at 9-1.”
Nate Adkins left with a knee injury and did not score in the Broncos' 44-24 win over Dallas; his lone 2025 TD came in Week 6.
“i'm gonna go with romeo dobbs here”
Romeo Doubs did not score a TD (only a 2-point conversion catch) in the Packers' 35-25 Week 8 win over the Steelers.
“I'm going to go with Marcus Mariota here at plus 450.”
Marcus Mariota threw one TD but had no rushing or receiving TD in the Commanders' 28-7 Week 8 MNF loss to the Chiefs.
“I'm going right back to the well with Michael Mayer at plus 375.”
Michael Mayer (1 catch, 10 yds) did not score in the Raiders' 31-0 shutout loss to Kansas City.
“Brashard Smith, the rookie, uh, at plus 525.”
Brashard Smith (5 catches, 42 yds) did not score a TD in the Chiefs' 31-0 win over the Raiders.
“for the Eagles side Devontae Smith the score first should be around 12”
DeVonta Smith did not score the first TD; A.J. Brown opened the scoring with a 37-yard TD, with Smith's 79-yard TD coming in the 3rd quarter.
“I'm going to go with Jonathan Taylor to score two touchdowns here at plus 350.”
Jonathan Taylor scored 3 rushing TDs in the Colts' 38-24 win over the Chargers, exceeding the 2+ TD line.
“I've got to stick with Aranda Gatts in the second here at plus 325.”
Oronde Gadsden II caught a 15-yard TD for the Chargers in their 38-24 loss to the Colts.
“yeah i'm gonna go with the ron de gatz in the second here at plus 310 i think”
Oronde Gadsden II caught a 15-yard TD for the Chargers in their loss to the Colts (same pick as ep-18).
“but I'm going to go with George Kittle at plus 220,”
George Kittle did not score in the 49ers' 20-10 win over Atlanta; SF TDs were both McCaffrey rushes.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with backup tight end.”
Elijah Arroyo did not score in the Seahawks' 27-19 win; Seattle TDs were Charbonnet (2) and Smith-Njigba.
“I'm going to go with Ollie Gordon for the Dolphins at plus 440.”
Ollie Gordon had just 1 yard on 2 carries and no TD in Miami's 29-27 loss to the Chargers.
“I'm going to go with Lad McConkie here at plus 210.”
Ladd McConkey caught a TD (7 receptions, 100 yards) in the Chargers' 29-27 win over Miami.
“I'm going to have to go with Kyron Williams to not score once but twice at plus 300.”
Kyren Williams scored only 1 rushing TD (3-yard), short of the 2+ TD line, in the Rams' 17-3 win at Baltimore.
“Gunner Helm at plus 850. [38:51] Sign me up for this because he's their fourth-round pick.”
Gunnar Helm did not score; the Titans' lone TD in the 20-10 loss was David Martin-Robinson's reception.
“I'm going to go with another tight end here, Michael Mayer at plus 310.”
Michael Mayer caught a 4-yard TD from Geno Smith in the Raiders' 20-10 win over Tennessee.
“I'm going to go with Xavier Worthy. [54:07] He's still kind of looking for that true breakout with the touchdown and all that. [54:12] He's plus 135.”
Xavier Worthy caught a 6-yard TD from Mahomes in the Chiefs' 30-17 win over Detroit.
“Boom Because I going with Isaac to Slaw at plus 550”
Isaac TeSlaa did not score; the Lions' two TDs in the 30-17 loss went to Jameson Williams and Sam LaPorta.
“But I'm going to go with Kyle Pitts here at plus 350.”
Kyle Pitts did not score a TD in Atlanta's 24-14 win; Falcons TDs went to Allgeier, Robinson (rush) and Drake London (rec).
“But I'm going to go with Luther Burden III here at 6-1.”
Luther Burden III did not score a TD in Chicago's 25-24 win; Bears TDs were Caleb Williams (rush) and D'Andre Swift (rec).
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Jake Tonjes here at plus 425.”
Jake Tonges caught a 6-yard receiving TD in the 49ers' 26-23 OT win over the Rams.
“So this is a homecoming game for Bond, Isaiah Bond, at plus 500. [11:30] So, like, let's go with him.”
Isaiah Bond had 2 catches for 29 yards and no TD in the Browns' 21-17 loss to the Vikings.
“And then I got to go with Ray Bond guy on the other side Jalen Naylor at plus 900”
Jalen Nailor had 3 catches for 27 yards and no TD in the Vikings' 21-17 win over the Browns.
“first up Nick Chubb okay it's important to hear”
Nick Chubb scored a rushing TD in the Texans' 44-10 win over the Ravens.
“And on the other [24:30] side you mentioned him the cardio king himself of week four isaiah likely at plus 550”
Isaiah Likely had 1 catch for 12 yards and no TD in the Ravens' 44-10 loss to the Texans.
“I'm going to go with Elik. [31:13] I O manner at plus four 20”
Elic Ayomanor had 2 catches for 18 yards and no TD in the Titans' 22-21 win over the Cardinals.
“It's Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score the first touchdown at 12-1.”
Chris Rodriguez Jr. did not score; the first TD of the Commanders-Chargers game was Ladd McConkey for LA.
“Aranda Gadsden the second at plus 280 because like I said last week we probably not getting Hampton at minus 120 anytime soon”
Oronde Gadsden II did not score in the Chargers' 27-10 Week 5 loss to Washington (his first NFL TD came Week 7 vs Indianapolis).
“Yeah, I'm going to go James Cook here at minus 155.”
James Cook had no rushing or receiving TD (15 carries, 49 yards) in Buffalo's 23-20 SNF loss to New England.
“I am going to go with the Chiefs player here, [53:21] Brashard Smith, at plus 475.”
Brashard Smith scored no TD (3 catches, 32 yards; 1 carry) in the Chiefs' 31-28 MNF loss at Jacksonville.
“I'm going to go with Greg Dortch here at 6-1.”
Greg Dortch did not score; Arizona's TDs went to Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emari Demercado in the 23-20 loss.
“I'm going to go Chalky here with the Marion Hampton at minus 120.”
Omarion Hampton scored on a 54-yard rushing TD (128 rush yds) in the Chargers' 21-18 loss at the Giants.
“I'm seeing Hampton right now, Kerner, at five to one for two touchdowns in that game. [12:13] Boom, take it. [12:14] Love it.”
Hampton scored just one touchdown, falling short of the 2+ TD prop.
“So I'm going to go dart here at plus 350.”
Jaxson Dart rushed for a 15-yard touchdown (and threw one) in his first start, the Giants' 21-18 upset of the Chargers.
“I'm going to go with Chris Moore at 11-1 on the commander's side.”
Chris Moore did not score in Washington's 34-27 loss at Atlanta.
“I'm going to have to go with Kyle Pitts here at plus three 40.”
Kyle Pitts caught a 7-yard touchdown (5 rec, 70 yds) in the Falcons' 34-27 win over Washington.
“I going to have to go with my guy A Mitchell here at plus 480”
Adonai Mitchell fumbled at the goal line on what would have been a 76-yard TD and did not score in the Colts' 27-20 loss to the Rams.
“I'm going to [28:27] go back to the well for Jill here with Devontae Adams. Two touchdowns at plus 750.”
Davante Adams scored only one TD (a 10-yard catch from Stafford), short of the 2+ needed, in the Rams' 27-20 win.
“I got to go with McCaffrey here to score two or more touchdowns at plus 320.”
Christian McCaffrey scored just one TD (an 8-yard catch), not 2+, in the 49ers' 26-21 loss to Jacksonville.
“I'm going to go with Parker Washington at plus 350 because, you know,”
Parker Washington's only score was an 87-yard punt-return TD, which does not count for anytime-TD-scorer props (offensive TDs only).
“I'm going to go with Jalen Tolbert at four to one here.”
Jalen Tolbert had a long catch in OT but did not score in the Cowboys' 40-40 tie with Green Bay.
“I'm going to go with the rookie, Arian Smith here at 15 to [48:58] one.”
Arian Smith did not score; the Jets' TDs were a Justin Fields run and a Garrett Wilson catch in the 27-21 loss.
“I going to go with the Broncos here Troy Franklin at plus 245”
Troy Franklin had 4 catches for 55 yards but did not score in Denver's 28-3 win over Cincinnati.
“I'm going to go with Ray Davis at plus 420.”
Ray Davis did not score (1 rush, 11 yds) in Buffalo's 31-21 TNF win over Miami.
“I'm going to go with Jordan Mason to score two plus touchdowns [14:16] touchdowns at plus 390 over at DraftKings.”
Jordan Mason ran for 2 rushing touchdowns in Minnesota's 48-10 Week 3 rout of Cincinnati, so his 2+ TD prop hit.
“I'm going to take Jamar Chase to score at least two touchdowns at 12-1.”
Ja'Marr Chase scored 0 TDs in Cincinnati's 48-10 Week 3 loss at Minnesota, so his 2+ TD prop lost.
“So I'm going with Blake Corum at plus 500 at FanDuel.”
Blake Corum did not score in the Rams' 33-26 Week 3 loss at Philadelphia (Rams TDs by Adams and Kyren Williams).
“I'm [26:28] going to go Jahan Dotson at 10 to one for the Eagles.”
Jahan Dotson did not score in Philadelphia's 33-26 Week 3 win over the Rams (Eagles TDs by Brown, DeVonta Smith, Goedert).
“Tyler Warren, I'm going back to the well at plus 220 here at FanDuel.”
Tyler Warren did not score vs Tennessee in Week 3; his first NFL touchdown came Week 4 vs the Rams.
“I got to go to marry DK at [35:15] plus 550 at DK.”
DeAndre Hopkins (Ravens, mistagged to Colts-Titans) did not score in Baltimore's 38-30 Week 3 loss to the Lions.
“So I went with Jalen Tolbert here at plus 450 at DraftKings.”
Jalen Tolbert did not score a touchdown vs Chicago in Week 3; he caught a two-point conversion but no TD.
“But I got to go with my guy on the other side, Roma Dunze, at plus 155.”
Rome Odunze caught a 35-yard touchdown in the Bears' 31-14 Week 3 win over Dallas.
“current i'm gonna go [55:28] with cam scadaboo at plus 180 uh over at draft kings”
Cam Skattebo ran for a 13-yard touchdown for the Giants in the Week 3 loss to Kansas City.
“Isaac Tesla at 6-1 at FanDuel. [1:01:23] I've been high on him”
Isaac TeSlaa did not score vs Baltimore in Week 3; his only TDs came Week 1 (Packers) and Thanksgiving.
“it's Trevor Lawrence, plus 550 over at BetMGM right now.”
Trevor Lawrence threw 3 TDs but did not score one himself in the Jaguars' 27-31 loss to the Bengals.
“Noah Fant of the Bengals at five to one”
Noah Fant did not score in the Bengals' 31-27 win; Cincinnati TDs were Ja'Marr Chase, Mitchell Tinsley and Jake Browning (rush).
“I got to go with Christian McCaffrey here, minus 165.”
Christian McCaffrey caught a 7-yard touchdown pass from Mac Jones in the 49ers' 26-21 win at New Orleans.
“I'm going with Brandon Cooks at seven to one.”
Brandin Cooks did not score in the 49ers' 26-21 win; San Francisco TDs went to Luke Farrell, McCaffrey and Jauan Jennings.
“our guy Harold Fannin Jr. at four to one right now”
Harold Fannin Jr. had 5 catches for 48 yards but no touchdown in the Browns' 17-41 loss at Baltimore.
“I'm going to go with Rasheen Ali at 16-1.”
Rasheen Ali did not score in the Ravens' 41-17 win; Baltimore TDs were Hopkins, Devontez Walker x2 and Tylan Wallace.
“I love Josh Palmer here, or as he is in my spreadsheet, Joshua Palmer at plus 440 over at FanDuel.”
Josh Palmer did not score; Buffalo's TDs in the 30-10 win came from James Cook (2) and Elijah Moore.
“i'm gonna go with tyler johnson of the jets he's nine to one right now”
Tyler Johnson did not score; the Jets' only TD in the 30-10 loss was a Jeremy Ruckert reception.
“I'm going with Marvin Mims at plus 350 over at FanDuel.”
Marvin Mims caught a 23-yard TD from Bo Nix in the Broncos' 28-23 loss to the Colts.
“It's rookie Tyler Warren at plus 260 at FanDuel.”
Tyler Warren had a long reception but did not score in the Colts' 28-23 win over Denver.
“I'm going to go Kyle Pitts plus 310 at DraftKings.”
Kyle Pitts did not score; Tyler Allgeier was the only TD in the Falcons' 22-6 SNF win over Minnesota.
“uh delton schultz plus 240”
Dalton Schultz did not score; Texans TDs in the 20-19 MNF loss came from Nico Collins and Nick Chubb.
“i'm going justin herbert at plus 475”
Justin Herbert threw 2 TDs but did not score himself in the Chargers' 20-9 MNF win over the Raiders.
“Trey Tucker, seven to one.”
Tre Tucker caught a 26-yard TD from Geno Smith in the Raiders' 20-13 Week 1 win at New England.
“I like Kyle Williams here at 11-1. I think it should be closer to like 8-1.”
Kyle Williams caught one pass but did not score in the Patriots' 20-13 Week 1 loss to the Raiders.
“Ali Gordon at plus 255.”
Ollie Gordon scored a 1-yard rushing TD in the Dolphins' 33-8 Week 1 loss to the Colts.
“got to go with Jonathan Taylor at minus 160.”
Jonathan Taylor did not score in the Colts' 33-8 Week 1 win over Miami.
“I'm going to go no touchdown scorer.”
Multiple TDs were scored in the Steelers' 34-32 Week 1 win over the Jets, so 'no touchdown scorer' lost.
“So I'm going to go with Yoshi here at plus 430.”
Andrei Iosivas did not score; Bengals TDs went to Chase Brown and Noah Fant in a 17-16 Week 1 win.
“David Njoku at plus 250. Give me some of”
David Njoku did not score; the Browns' TDs went to Raheim Sanders and Cedric Tillman in a 17-16 loss.
“let's go zach charbonnet here at four to one”
Zach Charbonnet scored a 1-yard rushing TD in the Seahawks' 17-13 Week 1 loss to the 49ers.
“The man, the myth, the legend, Kyle Juszczyk, 13 to one.”
Kyle Juszczyk did not score; 49ers TDs went to George Kittle and Jake Tonges in a 17-13 Week 1 win.
“gotta go with my guy Ty Johnson here at plus 750.”
In the Bills' 41-40 win, Ty Johnson had 24 rushing yards but did not score; Bills TDs were Cook, Allen x2, Coleman, Kincaid.
“I'm going with Cole Komet, 6-1.”
Cole Kmet did not score in the Bears' 24-27 loss to Minnesota; Chicago TDs were Caleb Williams (rush) and Rome Odunze.
“So I would say that the actual advice here is Matthew Stafford's passing touchdown prop is 22 and a half. I think that's a couple touchdowns too low. So I'm taking that over,”
Matthew Stafford threw a league-leading 46 passing touchdowns in 2025, easily clearing the 22.5 total.
“So my pick, Saquon Barkley, baby. [8:59] We're going full shade Kwon here not to score a touchdown. [9:03] Plus 155, just a ridiculous number.”
Saquon Barkley did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX. (Barkley 25 car, 57 yds, 0 TD)
“His shortest punt over 39 and a half yards. [11:14] You can get it at minus 108.”
Matt Araiza punted 6 times for a Super Bowl-record 51.8-yard average in Super Bowl LIX; his shortest punt was approximately 42 yards, which is over the 39.5-yard line — per search results citing DraftKings Network and NFL.com game data. (Araiza: 6 punts, 51.8 avg, shortest ~42 yds)
“I'm going to go with Kareem Hunt under eight and a half rushing yards in the first quarter at minus 110.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kareem Hunt: 9 rushing_yards vs under 8.5; busts. (Kareem Hunt: 9 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to go with no interceptions in this game. [33:00] So plus 200.”
Three interceptions were thrown (Mahomes 2, Hurts 1), so no-interceptions lost. (3 INTs in game)
“Yes, there will be a punt that results in a touchback, plus 130.”
An Araiza punt reached the end zone with the Eagles starting at their own 20, a punt touchback. (Punt touchback, ball to PHI 20)
“It's Saquon, Barkley to have the most rushing attempts in the game at minus three fifty.”
Saquon Barkley carried 25 times in Super Bowl LIX, easily the most rushing attempts by any player in the game.
“Sixteen o one, Nolan Smith, sign me up for that.”
Eagles LB Josh Sweat recorded the first sack of Super Bowl LIX, not Nolan Smith, so the +1600 ticket lost.
“Will any player have a 100 plus rushing yards? I'm gonna go with no at plus two ten.”
No player reached 100 rushing yards in Super Bowl LIX; Jalen Hurts led all rushers with 72 yards. (Top rusher: Jalen Hurts 11 car, 72 yds (no player over 100))
“now drew tranquil of the chiefs under seven and a half tackles and assists at plus 110 um you know”
Drue Tranquill had 18 combined tackles+assists, over 7.5; under loses. (Tranquill: 11 solo + 7 ast = 18)
“I'm going to go with Noah Gray under one and a half receptions at minus 120.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Noah Gray: 1 receptions vs under 1.5; covers. (Noah Gray: 1 receptions)
“And it's Oren Burks of the Eagles to have the most tackles in this game at plus 320.”
Oren Burks did not lead the game in tackles; Drue Tranquill led with 18. (Burks: 5 tackles; game leader Tranquill 18)
“the Sean Kerner prop of the day which I'm going to give out because [1:13:37] I'm just trying to be tackles and assists is uh Jared Verse under four and a half tackles and [1:13:41] assists two or fewer in four of the last five games”
Jared Verse had 2 total tackles (1 solo, 1 assist), under 4.5 cashes. (Verse 2 tackles+assists, plus a fumble-recovery TD)
“It's most rushing yards for a rookie this year. And I'm going with Blake Corham at 5-1 right now are the best odds you can get.”
Bucky Irving led 2024 rookies in rushing (1,122 yds); Blake Corum was a Rams backup with negligible production. (Bucky Irving 1,122 rushing yards; Corum well behind)
“I'm going with Alex Highsmith of the Steelers to go over 7.75 sacks at minus 120.”
Alex Highsmith managed just 6 sacks in 2024 (missed time to injury), under 7.75. (Highsmith 6 sacks in 2024)
“and they're offering, you know, most sacks in the season. [21:30] He's 100 to 1 at most books. [21:33] Take that as well. [21:33] I think he's offering value there.”
Trey Hendrickson led the NFL with 17.5 sacks in 2024; Highsmith had 6. (Highsmith 6 sacks; league leader 17.5)
“I'm going with Trey Kaufman-Ren of Purdue. Under six and a half points, you can get it at minus 120.”
PUR 63, NCSU 50 — Trey Kaufman-Renn: 7 points vs under 6.5; busts. (Trey Kaufman-Renn: 7 points)
“And I'm going with Cameron Matthews of Mississippi State to go under 9.5 points at minus 114.”
MSST 51, MSU 69 — Cameron Matthews: 8 points vs under 9.5; covers. (Cameron Matthews: 8 points)
“And I'm going with Day-Day Grant of Duquesne to finish with under two and a half, three-pointers made at plus 115.”
BYU 67, DUQ 71 — Devone Grant: 3 threes vs under 2.5; busts. (Devone Grant: 3 threes)
“tackles and assists at 75 to 1”
Game tackle lead was Nick Bolton/Fred Warner (13); Ji'Ayir Brown had 11. (Brown 11 tackles; Bolton & Warner 13 each.)
“I'm going with Richie James to have the most punt return yards in this game at minus 110.”
Richie James led the game with 12 punt return yards (4 returns); 49ers muffed their only notable punt with no positive return yardage. (James 4 PR for 12 yds.)
“So I hammered the under for him and Juwan Jennings.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Justin Watson: 54 receiving_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (Justin Watson: 54 receiving_yards)
“with under 23 and a half receiving yards it's a bit juicy at minus 175”
KC 25, SF 22 — Isiah Pacheco: 33 receiving_yards vs under 23.5; busts. (Isiah Pacheco: 33 receiving_yards)
“And call me crazy, but I'm going with Chris McCaffrey at plus 790.”
Mecole Hardman was the fastest offensive ball carrier in Super Bowl LVIII at 19.92 mph; McCaffrey clocked 19.33 mph (4th fastest), not the fastest — per NFL Next Gen Stats post-game data reported by The Touchdown / thetouchdown.co.uk. (Hardman 19.92 mph, Kelce 19.68, Rice 19.37, McCaffrey 19.33)
“So minus 375. I know it's like heavy juice, but I kind of don't think it's heavy enough.”
Opening kickoff was a touchback (49ers received, no return). (Touchback on opening kick.)
“kicking it off with Mitch Wisnowski longest punt to go over 55 and a half yards. It's at minus 115 right now.”
Mitch Wishnowsky's longest punt in Super Bowl LVIII was 55 yards (5 punts, 50.8 avg); over 55.5 misses. (Long punt 55 yds)
“Tommy Townsend, his shortest punt to be over 36 and a half yards.”
Townsend's shortest punt in SB LVIII was 40 yards (punts: 62/53/50/43/40), over 36.5. (5 punts, 254 yds, long 62, shortest 40)
“I've got a defensive player prop. I'm going with Charverius Ward under four and a half tackles and”
Charvarius Ward had 4 combined tackles in SB LVIII, under 4.5. (Ward: 3 solo, 1 assist = 4 total)
“But, yeah, I'm going under 52.5 just because I have it just under.”
DET 31, TB 23 — Jahmyr Gibbs: 74 rushing_yards vs under 52.5; busts. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 74 rushing_yards)
“Sean Kerner gave out Seahawks under nine and a half wins at plus money last night.”
Seahawks finished 9-8 (9 wins), under 9.5. (Seattle 9-8 in 2023)
“I'm going to set it at 203 and a half. [23:43] I'm over. [23:43] I'm going over.”
PIT 20, TEN 16 — Will Levis: 262 passing_yards vs over 203.5; covers. (Will Levis: 262 passing_yards)
“i love john l davis of florida atlantic [4:51] to score the most points in the game at plus 380”
Johnell Davis managed just 8 points (2-of-9 FG) in FAU's 72-71 Final Four loss to San Diego State; Alijah Martin led FAU with 26 and was not the game's top scorer either, so Davis did not score the most points in the game. (Davis: 8 PTS (2-9 FG))
“I'm going Nigel Pack under 14.5 points at minus 120.”
CONN 72, MIA 59 — Nijel Pack: 8 points vs under 14.5; covers. (Nijel Pack: 8 points)
“Yeah, so for my first prop, I'm going Marquise Noel of Kansas State to go under 18.5 points.”
KSU 98, MSU 93 — Markquis Nowell: 20 points vs under 18.5; busts. (Markquis Nowell: 20 points)
“So I'm going with Tristan Newton of UConn to go under four and a half assists.”
Tristen Newton had 7 assists in UConn's 88-65 Sweet 16 win over Arkansas, over the 4.5 line. (6 PTS / 6 REB / 7 AST)
“Yes, for my Friday pick, I have Tisha Johnson of San Diego State under five and a half rebounds at minus 120.”
Keshad Johnson grabbed 6 rebounds in San Diego State's 71-64 upset of Alabama, over the 5.5 line. (8 PTS / 6 REB)
“So for my first prop, I'm going with Drew Pember of UNC Asheville, under 20.5 points.”
UCLA 86, UNCA 53 — Drew Pember: 13 points vs under 20.5; covers. (Drew Pember: 13 points)
“I'm going with Themis Folks of Louisiana to not make a three-pointer. [8:05] So under a half three made at minus 115.”
TENN 58, UL 55 — Themus Fulks: 0 threes vs under 0.5; covers. (Themus Fulks: 0 threes)
“I'm going [12:44] Chibuzo, Agbo for Boise State [12:47] over four and a half rebounds [12:48] at minus 110.”
NU 75, BOIS 67 — Chibuzo Agbo: 9 rebounds vs over 4.5; covers. (Chibuzo Agbo: 9 rebounds)
“I'm going with who will catch a pass [4:16] first, Isaiah Pacheco or Miles Sanders. [4:20] I'm going with Isaiah Pacheco at minus 130.”
Neither Pacheco nor Sanders recorded a single reception in Super Bowl LVII, so the 'who catches first' field prop never resolved — graded as a push/no-action. (Pacheco 0 rec, Sanders 0 rec)
“So for my second pick of the Super Bowl six pack is the Chiefs to call the first time out [8:18] at minus 115.”
Philadelphia called the first timeout in Super Bowl LVII at 1:33 in the 2nd quarter, not the Chiefs; source: ESPN play-by-play. (Eagles called first TO (Q2, 1:33))
“I'm going with the Chiefs to have the longest gross punt in the game at minus 155.”
Eagles punter Arryn Siposs had the longest gross punt (57 yards) compared to Tommy Townsend's long of 50 yards, so the Chiefs did not have the longest gross punt; source: ESPN box score. (Siposs long: 57 yds; Townsend long: 50 yds)
“swing on is Miles Sanders at 25 to 1”
Patrick Mahomes was named Super Bowl LVII MVP after leading the Chiefs to a 38-35 win; Miles Sanders was not the MVP, per NFL.com.
“marquez valdez scantling at 60 to 1 caught my eye i mean mvs for [27:20] mvp has a nice ring to it”
Patrick Mahomes won Super Bowl LVII MVP; Marquez Valdes-Scantling did not win the award, per NFL.com.
“for the anytime touchdowns, I'm still showing value [42:43] on Quez Watkins at plus seven 50”
Quez Watkins did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII; the Eagles' only non-Hurts TD scorer was AJ Brown, per Eagles game recap (philadelphiaeagles.com).
“it's Patrick Mahomes at plus 500. [43:47] You know, he was clearly limited by his ankle injury last week,”
Patrick Mahomes did not rush for a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII; his 3 touchdowns were all passing TDs (passing TDs do not count for anytime rushing/receiving TD props), per Yahoo Sports. (21/27, 182 yds, 3 pass TD, 44 rush yds)
“And one other guy that I saw some value on is Zach Pascal. [36:06] His any time touchdown odds are 15 to 1.”
Zach Pascal did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII; Eagles touchdowns were scored only by Jalen Hurts (3 rush) and AJ Brown (1 rec), per Eagles game recap (philadelphiaeagles.com).
“So first touchdown, I was saying Jody Fortson at 55 to one and 60 to one, you can get him in that range.”
Jody Fortson did not score the first touchdown in Super Bowl LVII; Jalen Hurts scored first with a 1-yard QB sneak, per Eagles game recap (philadelphiaeagles.com).
“it's jalen hurts over five and a half consecutive completions at minus 125 um he's cleared this in”
No publicly available play-by-play data tracking Jalen Hurts' longest consecutive completion streak in Super Bowl LVII could be found; no gradeable data was located.
“his first rush attempt under four and a half yards at plus 110.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Jalen Hurts: 70 rushing_yards vs under 4.5; busts. (Jalen Hurts: 70 rushing_yards)
“dallas goddard longest reception over 18 and a half yards i wasn gonna get through the super”
Dallas Goedert's longest reception in Super Bowl LVII was approximately 17 yards (6 catches, 60 yards), falling under the 18.5-yard line, per Sports Illustrated post-game stats. (6 rec, 60 yds, long ~17 yds)
“It Isaiah Pacheco to finish with exactly 12 rush attempts at 9 odds”
Isiah Pacheco had 15 rush attempts in Super Bowl LVII for 76 yards and a TD, not exactly 12, per Sports Illustrated post-game recap. (15 car, 76 yds, 1 TD)
“my favorite prop right now is actually for the Chiefs to call the first time out.”
The Eagles called the first timeout of Super Bowl LVII, so Chiefs-first-timeout lost.
“So I like the under eight and a half for longest run.”
McKinnon ran 4 times for 34 yards (8.5 avg), so his longest rush exceeded 8.5 and the under lost.
“And it's the Chiefs to have the longest gross punt in this game.”
Chiefs' longest punt was 50 yards but the Eagles had a 57-yard punt, so Chiefs longest-gross-punt lost.
“that's kind of why I liked taking his, you know, prop to lead the game in rushing yards.”
Miles Sanders had only 16 rushing yards on 7 carries in Super Bowl LVII, well behind Pacheco (76) and Hurts (70), so he did not lead the game in rushing. (Sanders 16 rush yds vs Pacheco 76, Hurts 70)
“So give me a mile of Sanders at 25 to one.”
Miles Sanders did not win Super Bowl LVII MVP (Mahomes did).
“So I just think we're getting quite a bit of value here with Watkins at plus 750.”
Quez Watkins did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII.
“Miles Sanders to lead the game and rushing yards at plus 175.”
Miles Sanders managed just 7 carries for 16 yards in Super Bowl LVII; Isiah Pacheco (76 yards) and Jalen Hurts (70 yards) both out-rushed him, so Sanders did not lead the game in rushing. (Sanders 16 rush yds vs Pacheco 76, Hurts 70)
“Either way, we have a punter prop I am locking in right now, [16:57] and it's Tommy Townsend. [16:58] His first punt to go over 46.5 yards at minus 118.”
Tommy Townsend punted twice for 98 yards (long of 50) in Super Bowl LVII; both punts exceeded 46.5 yards, so the first punt cleared the line; source: ESPN box score. (2 punts, 98 yds, long 50)
“So I got a little bit of a random one, but I found some value on this, [26:50] so I want to lock it in early. [26:52] But it's will both teams make a 33 or longer field goal? [26:57] I'm going with no at minus 110.”
Jake Elliott made field goals of 35 and 33 yards for the Eagles; Harrison Butker missed a 42-yarder and only made a 27-yard game-winner, so only the Eagles made a 33+ yard field goal; source: NFL.com. (Elliott: 35 yd FG + 33 yd FG; Butker: 27 yd FG (made), 42 yd (miss))
“so my favorite prop right now is it's gotta be Milo Sanders under 15 and a half rush attempts. You can get it at minus 130 right now, but I think there's a ton of value there.”
Miles Sanders had only 11 rush attempts in the Eagles' dominant 31-7 NFC Championship win over the 49ers, under the 15.5 line; source: Pro Football Reference. (11 rush attempts, 42 yds, 2 TD)
“I like uh joe mixon under three and a half receptions at minus 110 right now. He's been held under this two straight games now.”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Joe Mixon: 3 receptions vs under 3.5; covers. (Joe Mixon: 3 receptions)
“So I actually like Travis Kelsey over seven and a half receiving yards here.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Travis Kelce: 98 receiving_yards vs over 87.5; covers. (Travis Kelce: 98 receiving_yards)
“So I'm on Daniel Bellinger under 22 and a half receiving yards.”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — Daniel Bellinger: 4 receiving_yards vs under 22.5; covers. (Daniel Bellinger: 4 receiving_yards)
“devin singletary under it's down to 40 and a half rushing yards but i [19:30] still like it there”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Devin Singletary: 25 rushing_yards vs under 40.5; covers. (Devin Singletary: 25 rushing_yards)
“so I'm going with Christian McCaffrey under 38 and a half receiving yards”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Christian McCaffrey: 22 receiving_yards vs under 38.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 22 receiving_yards)
“I will have already bet on Christian McCaffrey over 67.5 rushing yards. [10:25] I think that is way too low there.”
SF 41, SEA 23 — Christian McCaffrey: 119 rushing_yards vs over 67.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 119 rushing_yards)
“I'll go over. [14:19] It's more of a pass-funnel matchup for him.”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Brock Purdy: 234 passing_yards vs over 219.5; covers. (Brock Purdy: 234 passing_yards)
“oh that's a good one I have it at 58 so I'll go over”
BAL 17, ATL 9 — Tyler Allgeier: 74 rushing_yards vs over 56.5; covers. (Tyler Allgeier: 74 rushing_yards)
“Well, I had it at 54.”
Kyren Williams had only 3 carries for 9 yards and 0 receiving yards in the Seahawks 27–23 win over the Rams (Week 13). Cam Akers was the primary back with 17 carries for 60 yards. Total scrimmage yards: 9, well under the Over 55.5 line. Source: ESPN box score (gameId 401437882); CBS Sports game tracker. (3 car / 9 rush yds / 0 rec / 9 scrimmage)
“I will go under. [50:05] I have it at 63.”
HOU 14, CLE 27 — Amari Cooper: 40 receiving_yards vs under 65.5; covers. (Amari Cooper: 40 receiving_yards)
“I'm going to go with [15:35] 74 and a half. [15:40] Over.”
ATL 27, CHI 24 — Justin Fields: 85 rushing_yards vs over 74.5; covers. (Justin Fields: 85 rushing_yards)
“I'll go to the Herbert side.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Khalil Herbert: 57 rushing_yards vs over 2.5; covers. (Khalil Herbert: 57 rushing_yards)
“Ooh, that's a good line. I have the average at 226. Oh, okay. I'll go under. I'll trust the”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Kenny Pickett: 327 passing_yards vs under 230.5; busts. (Kenny Pickett: 327 passing_yards)
“matter what i have 44 i should you not nice but i'm still going under just this whole running back”
TB 21, ATL 15 — Tyler Allgeier: 45 rushing_yards vs under 44.5; busts. (Tyler Allgeier: 45 rushing_yards)
“i'm gonna go over just love the guy and i'm cool because i have him i have him uh 2.5 routes run”
GB 22, NYG 27 — Romeo Doubs: 29 receiving_yards vs over 50.5; busts. (Romeo Doubs: 29 receiving_yards)
“I'm going to give you a line of 52 and a half.”
Kyle Pitts was ruled out (hamstring) and did not play in the Falcons' Week 5 game at Tampa Bay on Oct 9, 2022, so the prop never had a chance to settle. (DNP (hamstring injury))
“what i'll take the over because i think uh you know it's one of those situations where they're”
MIA 21, BUF 19 — Tua Tagovailoa: 186 passing_yards vs over 257.5; busts. (Tua Tagovailoa: 186 passing_yards)
“I'll go under just because it's so horrible.”
Cam Akers rushed 12 times for 61 yards in the Rams' 20-12 win at Arizona, well over the 38.5-yard line. (12 car, 61 yds, 1 TD)
“Wow, what a great line. [15:16] I'm going to have to go with under, though. [15:17] I think this week they do just lean on Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon in the running game”
GB 27, CHI 10 — Aaron Rodgers: 234 passing_yards vs under 253.5; covers. (Aaron Rodgers: 234 passing_yards)
“And I'm going to float out 62 and a half. [27:15] Ooh, that is a good line. [27:17] I am going to go under.”
Jeff Wilson Jr. had 84 rushing yards on 18 carries with no receiving yards in the 49ers 27-7 win over the Seahawks on September 18, 2022. Total scrimmage yards of 84 exceeded the under line of 62.5, so the under loses. (Source: pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202209180sfo.htm, espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401437605) (Wilson: 18 car/84 rush yds, 0 rec — 84 total vs 62.5)
“So the prop I like [5:56] in this matchup is Jermaine Samuels under seven and a half rebounds. You can get it for even money [6:01] right now over at FanDuel.”
KU 81, VILL 65 — Jermaine Samuels Jr.: 7 rebounds vs under 7.5; covers. (Jermaine Samuels Jr.: 7 rebounds)
“I'm going with most points scored in the game Armando Baycott at plus 550 you know obviously [7:17] Banqueiro should be the favorite here”
Caleb Love led all scorers with 28 points in UNC's 81-77 Final Four win over Duke on April 2, 2022; Armando Bacot scored only 11 points (ESPN box score / Sports-Reference). (Bacot: 11 pts / 21 reb; Love: 28 pts (game high))
“So first prop I love is Paolo Banchero under four and a half assists. You can [6:08] get it at minus 165 right now, DraftKings.”
DUKE 78, TTU 73 — Paolo Banchero: 4 assists vs under 4.5; covers. (Paolo Banchero: 4 assists)
“So I like the over five and a half rebounds at minus one 30 over at [7:03] DraftKings for Josh Carlton.”
ARIZ 60, HOU 72 — Josh Carlton: 7 rebounds vs over 5.5; covers. (Josh Carlton: 7 rebounds)
“Yeah, I'm also sticking with the top score market here [20:45] and I'm taking Jaden Ivey for Purdue [20:47] to score the most points [20:48] in the St. Peter's Purdue matchup [20:50] at plus 160 over at FanDuel.”
In St. Peter's 67-64 upset of Purdue in the Sweet 16 on March 25, 2022, Jaden Ivey scored 9 points and was not the top scorer; Purdue's leading scorer was Trevion Williams with 16 (per SI.com and NCAA.com). (Ivey 9 pts, Williams led Purdue with 16)
“So I'm going to kick it off with Ryan Davis under 16.5 points at plus 105.”
ARK 75, UVM 71 — Ryan Davis: 20 points vs under 16.5; busts. (Ryan Davis: 20 points)
“I love the Santiago Viscovi over two and a half”
TENN 88, LONG 56 — Santiago Vescovi: 6 threes vs over 2.5; covers. (Santiago Vescovi: 6 threes)
“so I'm going with Jared Bynum of Providence to go over three and a half assists at minus 145 at DraftKings.”
PROV 66, SDST 57 — Jared Bynum: 0 assists vs over 3.5; busts. (Jared Bynum: 0 assists)
“but we both love Baylor Shireman under 18 and a half points.”
Baylor Scheierman scored 18 points for South Dakota State (lost to Providence 66-57); 18 is under the 18.5-point line. (Scheierman: 18 pts, 10 reb)
“for memphis jaylen duran yeah so i'm taking jaylen duran under eight and a half rebounds”
BOIS 53, MEM 64 — Jalen Duren: 11 rebounds vs under 8.5; busts. (Jalen Duren: 11 rebounds)
“Yeah, so I like James Akinjo to get over five and a half assists.”
BAY 85, NORF 49 — James Akinjo: 10 assists vs over 5.5; covers. (James Akinjo: 10 assists)
“And the first one's a field goal prop. [7:47] And it's the shortest field goal made, over 27 and a half yards.”
The shortest field goal made in Super Bowl LVI was McPherson's 29-yarder, clearing over 27.5 yards, so the bet won.
“which team will call the first timeout. And I think in this case, the Rams should be the clear [8:43] favorite.”
Same market as the other 'Rams first timeout' pick: Rams did call the first timeout of Super Bowl LVI, so this cashed. (Rams first timeout: yes)
“Yeah, so that's actually my favorite long shot is T. Higgins 60 to 1 to win the Super Bowl MVP.”
Matthew Stafford won Super Bowl LVI MVP, so Tee Higgins (60-1) lost.
“And the first one I already mentioned is Cooper Cup, [34:41] longest reception over 28 and a half yards um this is one of the first props i locked in”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards vs over 28.5; covers. (Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards)
“And that's Kevin Huber, his longest punt to be over 52 and a half yards. [36:45] And my simulator has them clearing this 62 percent of the time.”
Kevin Huber's longest punt in Super Bowl LVI was 54 yards, clearing the 52.5 line.
“It's Jamar Chase will have more rushing yards than Cooper Cup. [45:23] it was minus 140 but it's already been bet up to minus 160 I think it should be closer to minus 230”
Ja'Marr Chase had just 1 carry for 4 rushing yards in Super Bowl LVI, while Cooper Kupp had 7 rushing yards (including a key 4th-down conversion), so Chase did not outrush Kupp. (Chase 4 rush yds (1 att) vs Kupp 7 rush yds)
“So for my first pick for the Super Bowl Propapalooza, I am going with Cooper Cup, [4:37] longest reception, over 28 and a half yards.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards vs over 28.5; covers. (Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards)
“so for my second pick for the super bowl prop of palooza six pack is a punter prop and it's kevin [8:54] he's the punter for the bangles for his longest punt to be over 52 and a half yards”
Kevin Huber had 6 punts for 260 yards (43.3 avg) in Super Bowl LVI, but individual punt distances are not publicly available to verify whether any single punt exceeded 52.5 yards (Pro Football Reference).
“So I'm locking [16:18] in the Rams to call the first time out at minus 115.”
Rams did call the first timeout of Super Bowl LVI (confirmed team-prop grade: Rams YES); no line needed, event occurred as picked. (Rams first timeout: yes)
“I'll probably be on the no on this, just sort of fading the”
The first score of Super Bowl LVI was Odell Beckham Jr.'s 17-yard TD catch at approximately 8:38 of game time elapsed (6:22 remaining on the Q1 clock), well past the six-minute mark; per CBS Sports. (First score: 8:38 elapsed)
“But the first one is Joe Burrow over 271.5 passing yards.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Joe Burrow: 263 passing_yards vs over 271.5; busts. (Joe Burrow: 263 passing_yards)
“So I love getting Higgins over 67 and a half. [56:46] I'm projecting him closer to 76 for his median.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards vs over 67.5; covers. (Tee Higgins: 100 receiving_yards)
“So I do like him minus 130.”
Joe Mixon rushed for 72 yards on 15 carries versus Cam Akers' 21 yards on 13 carries in Super Bowl LVI, so Mixon outgained Akers. (Mixon 72 yds (15 att) vs Akers 21 yds (13 att))
“So I think in a situation like this, give me the Bengals.”
The pass interference flags in Super Bowl LVI were called on Bengals defenders (Eli Apple defensive PI late in Q4); no Rams pass interference was called, making the Bengals the first team penalized for PI, per NESN and CBS Sports. (Bengals defensive PI on Eli Apple, Q4)
“So love if you get no roughing the passer penalty [1:21:10] at minus 130.”
No roughing the passer penalty was called in Super Bowl LVI; the game's six flags consisted of false start, delay of game, unnecessary roughness, unsportsmanlike conduct, defensive holding, and defensive PI, per NFLpenalties.com. (0 roughing the passer penalties)
“So I have, I love the shortest field goal made going over 27 and a half yards.”
The shortest field goal made in Super Bowl LVI was Evan McPherson's 38-yard attempt (Gay made one at 41 yards), clearing the 27.5-yard over line, per Sports Illustrated and NFL.com. (Shortest FG: 38 yards (McPherson))
“So I like the over 10 and a half at plus 110. And if you think of this team from just a roster building perspective, they're elite at the four key positions.”
Green Bay Packers finished 13-4 in the 2021 regular season, clearing the 10.5 win total over. Source: https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/team/green-bay-packers-18/2021 (13-4)
“So I like the Lions under four and a half wins at plus 125. You know, the O-line could be the strength of this team, but that's about it.”
Detroit Lions finished 3-13-1 in the 2021 regular season, well under the 4.5 win total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Detroit_Lions_season (3-13-1)
“Yeah, I like the under eight and a half here at plus 125. I sort of figured Jameis Winston would start week one.”
New Orleans Saints finished 9-8 in the 2021 regular season, over the 8.5 win total. Source: https://champsorchumps.us/team/nfl/new-orleans-saints/2021 (9-8)
“I like the 49ers to go over 10 and a half wins at plus one 15 last year.”
San Francisco 49ers finished 10-7 in the 2021 regular season, falling short of the 10.5 win total over. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_San_Francisco_49ers_season (10-7)
“Sean, I'll start with you. So my favorite over here is the Buffalo Bills over 11 and a half wins”
Buffalo Bills finished 2021 regular season 11-6, not exceeding the 11.5-win over line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Buffalo_Bills_season (11-6)
“under nine and a half wins at plus 115. You know, I don't really think that Tua is going to have a”
Miami Dolphins finished 2021 regular season 9-8, which is under the 9.5-win line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Miami_Dolphins_season (9-8)
“i like buying the dip here i'm on the over um and you know i'm trusting my strength of schedule they have the fourth easiest um schedule according to my rating so i i am projecting them you know slightly ahead of the the market right now eight and a half”
Indianapolis Colts finished 2021 regular season 9-8, exceeding the 8.5-win over line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Indianapolis_Colts_season (9-8)
“and I'm also taking a shot on the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division at a price around seven to one.”
Tennessee Titans won the 2021 AFC South division with a 12-5 record. Jacksonville finished 3-14 and last in the division. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Tennessee_Titans_season (Jaguars 3-14, Titans won AFC South at 12-5)
“I like the Tennessee Titans under nine and a half wins”
Tennessee Titans finished 2021 regular season 12-5 (AFC's #1 seed), well over the 9.5-win under line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Tennessee_Titans_season (12-5)
“So the first over I love is the Cardinals over eight right now.”
Cardinals went 11-6 in 2021, over their 8-win total.
“So I do like the over nine and, you know, [24:34] a lot of great things to say about their offense.”
Chargers finished 9-8 in 2021, exactly their 9-win total, so the over pushes.
“The third team that I like the over is the football team.”
Washington Football Team went 7-10 in 2021, under their 8-win total.
“I think the Browns had the best offseason, but I love their under.”
Browns finished 8-9 in 2021, under the 10.5-win total.
“corner what else you got uh so the other one is uh the cowboys under nine and a half”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over the 9.5-win line, so the under lost.
“It feels like a trap, but the Raiders under seven.”
Raiders went 10-7 in 2021, over the 7-win line, so the under lost.
“This is a 20 to one long shot, but I'm going with the Cardinals drafting Jalen Waddle.”
Jaylen Waddle was selected 6th overall by the Miami Dolphins in the 2021 NFL Draft, not the Arizona Cardinals. Source: https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/04/30/jaylen-waddle-dolphins-2021-nfl-draft-alabama (Waddle to Miami Dolphins, pick 6)
“This one, Devontae Smith, going to the Eagles at plus 450.”
DeVonta Smith was drafted 10th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles. Bet on Smith to the Eagles hits. (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (Pick 10, Philadelphia Eagles)
“So I'm going to go with JC Horn draft position over 12 and a half at minus 110. You know,”
Jaycee Horn was drafted 8th overall by the Carolina Panthers — UNDER 12.5, not over. Bet was on OVER 12.5. (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (Pick 8 (under 12.5))
“one. So I love the price right now for Najee Harris to be the first running back drafted at”
Najee Harris was the first running back drafted in 2021, selected 24th overall by the Pittsburgh Steelers. The next RB was Travis Etienne at pick 25. (NFL.com, Wikipedia 2021 NFL Draft) (Pick 24, first RB off the board)
“total wide receivers drafting the first round over four and a half at minus”
Five wide receivers were drafted in Round 1: Ja'Marr Chase (5), Jaylen Waddle (6), DeVonta Smith (10), Kadarius Toney (20), Rashod Bateman (27). Over 4.5 WRs cashes. (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (5 WRs in Round 1 (over 4.5))
“I do like the under 28 and a half completions. It's minus 124 at most books.”
Patrick Mahomes completed 26 of 49 pass attempts in Super Bowl LV, under the 28.5 line. Buccaneers won 31-9. Source: si.com/nfl/2021/02/08/mahomes-super-bowl-lv-first-loss-multiple-scores (Mahomes 26/49, 270 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT)
“I locked in Darrell Williams under two and a half receptions at minus 130 immediately last week”
TB 31, KC 9 — Darrel Williams: 2 receptions vs under 2.5; covers. (Darrel Williams: 2 receptions)
“So I think this is the one, the only market I think you could bet against Tyree Kill would be the under six and a half receptions here at plus 114.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Tyreek Hill: 7 receptions vs under 6.5; busts. (Tyreek Hill: 7 receptions)
“yeah I love the under three and a half receptions and 36 and a half receiving yards.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Sammy Watkins: 1 receptions vs under 3.5; covers. (Sammy Watkins: 1 receptions)
“yeah I love the under three and a half receptions and 36 and a half receiving yards.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Sammy Watkins: 13 receiving_yards vs under 36.5; covers. (Sammy Watkins: 13 receiving_yards)
“But yeah I under Godwin just based on the number 77 and a half is pretty high”
TB 31, KC 9 — Chris Godwin Jr.: 9 receiving_yards vs under 77.5; covers. (Chris Godwin Jr.: 9 receiving_yards)
“When it comes to Scottie Miller, it absolutely depends on if Antonio Brown is going to play. 20.5 seems pretty high. um if Brown's in I'm smashing that under all day”
Scotty Miller finished Super Bowl LV with 0 receiving yards, well under the 20.5 line. (0 rec, 0 yds)
“I'm going to go with the Cameron Bray under three and a half receptions.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Cameron Brate: 3 receptions vs under 3.5; covers. (Cameron Brate: 3 receptions)
“bet on his ceiling and bet on him to win MVP at 15 to one. I think that's what I'm going to do.”
Tom Brady won Super Bowl LV MVP, not Travis Kelce. Brady went 21/29, 201 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT in the Buccaneers' 31-9 win. Source: buccaneers.com/news/tom-brady-named-super-bowl-lv-mvp-sblv-55-buccaneers (Brady MVP; Kelce 10 rec 133 yds)
“Tampa Bay Buccaneers punter Bradley Pinion. longest punt under 54 and a half yards you can get at minus 120”
Bradley Pinion longest-punt-over-54.5 (SB LV) could not be confirmed — only his 4-punt 37.5-yd average was available, not a punt-by-punt log; voided rather than graded on inference.
“I am going with the matchup of the week here. Devontae Adams versus Jalen Ramsey. So let's go with Devontae Adams receiving yards. I have it set at 89 and a half. I will take the under.”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Davante Adams: 66 receiving_yards vs under 89.5; covers. (Davante Adams: 66 receiving_yards)
“i'm gonna go with an over under of 64 and a half rushing yards i mean i'm taking the over”
ARI 33, PHI 26 — Jalen Hurts: 63 rushing_yards vs over 64.5; busts. (Jalen Hurts: 63 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to go with A.J. Brown because I seem like I'm low on his receiving yards almost every single week.”
TEN 46, DET 25 — A.J. Brown: 44 receiving_yards vs over 76.5; busts. (A.J. Brown: 44 receiving_yards)
“I have his over under set at 272 and a half. This is one of the rare instances in which I will be taking an under on you, Sean”
HOU 20, IND 26 — Deshaun Watson: 341 passing_yards vs under 272.5; busts. (Deshaun Watson: 341 passing_yards)
“Yeah, I'm going over as well.”
Austin Ekeler had 4 catches for 32 receiving yards in the Chargers' 45-0 loss to New England on Dec. 6, 2020, under the 46.5 line. (Ekeler: 4 rec, 32 yds)
“right now I have is over under at 255 and a half. I will go under.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Ben Roethlisberger: 306 passing_yards vs under 255.5; busts. (Ben Roethlisberger: 306 passing_yards)
“We're going with Antonio Brown. So, I mean, this is almost impossible to project. But I'm assuming that Chris Godwin is out again this week with this projection. But I'm going with 37 and a half receiving yards. Over.”
TB 3, NO 38 — Antonio Brown: 31 receiving_yards vs over 37.5; busts. (Antonio Brown: 31 receiving_yards)
“Let's go with mark andrews um at Indy. His receiving yard prompt is always interesting because he really doesn't put up much urge to speak of. Will that change this week? That's the question. I have his over under at 43 and a half yards. I will take the over”
IND 10, BAL 24 — Mark Andrews: 22 receiving_yards vs over 43.5; busts. (Mark Andrews: 22 receiving_yards)
“so we're going to go with antonio gibson total rushing and receiving yards this week curious to”
Antonio Gibson totaled just 44 combined rushing/receiving yards in his Week 1 debut (36 rushing on 9 carries + 8 receiving on 2 catches), well under 60.5. (Antonio Gibson Week 1 2020: 9 car, 36 rush yds; 2 rec, 8 rec yds = 44 combined)
“the first one I'm going to talk about is Josh Allen under seven and a half rushing touchdowns. So I have this number closer to five and a half. In a market like this, two touchdowns is pretty huge.”
Josh Allen finished the 2020 season with 8 rushing touchdowns, exceeding the 7.5 line. (Josh Allen 2020: 8 rushing TDs)
“my next pick is Justin Jefferson under five and a half receiving touchdowns. The price is it dropped to minus 136. I still like it at that price.”
Justin Jefferson finished his 2020 rookie season with 7 receiving touchdowns, exceeding the 5.5 line. (Justin Jefferson 2020: 88 rec, 1,400 yds, 7 receiving TDs)
“FanDuel has A.J. Brown at 50 to 1 odds right now. And I think that is just screaming value.”
Stefon Diggs led the NFL with 1,535 receiving yards in 2020; A.J. Brown finished with 1,075. (A.J. Brown 2020: 1,075 receiving yards; Stefon Diggs led NFL with 1,535)
“I like them six and a half. I'd probably still bet them at seven.”
The XFL suspended play after Week 5 (Mar 12, 2020) and later canceled the rest of the 2020 season due to COVID-19; this Houston-New York Week 6 game was never played.
“the Roughnecks are four and one to the over. And, you know, they're basically a, you know, a Philip Nelson fumble at the goal line away, you know, a couple of weeks ago from being five and oh, to the over. And so even though I don't really have much respect for the Guardians and their offense and what they're able to do, I still think they're probably able to score enough points.”
Same Houston-New York Week 6 game was never played after the XFL canceled its 2020 season.
“I do think there is value on the under. I have it closer to like 40 for this game. And it's at 42, which is a pretty key number when it comes to football totals. But I can see both teams. Both teams are pretty strong in terms of the running game. And I think both teams, if it's close, which it should be, are going to lean towards the run”
St. Louis at Tampa Bay Week 6 XFL game was never played; the league canceled its season after Week 5.
“So I'll take Dallas plus four and a half here and just hope for the best.”
Dallas at DC Week 6 XFL game was never played; the league canceled its season after Week 5.
“this is probably my best play of the week I probably going to end up max betting it when it goes up to I would say it going to go up to about 46 and a half I could see the market boosting it up that much”
LA Wildcats at Seattle Week 6 XFL game was never played; the league canceled its season after Week 5.
“I'm going to do what I did last week with them and just bet the over on this game at 45 and a half. I think them sticking around will just keep the foot on the gas for the Houston offense. So I think 45 and a half is a bit too low. I thought it would actually be closer to 47 and a half. So I'll likely be on the over here.”
Houston beat Seattle 32-23 (total 55), over the 45.5 total. (Houston 32, Seattle 23 (total 55))
“I was all in fading them last week, but this week I'm all over LA. I actually got them when it opened. I think it was plus one and a half, but they're minus one and a half now. I still think that's a good number”
LA Wildcats beat Tampa Bay Vipers 41-34 in XFL Week 5, covering the -1.5 spread. (Final: LA Wildcats 41, Tampa Bay Vipers 34)
“I'm probably on an island here, but I think the Guardians plus seven and a half.”
New York Guardians beat LA Wildcats 17-14 outright, easily covering +7.5. (New York Guardians 17, LA Wildcats 14)
“I got in on them when they were minus one. I'll probably back them again. I think at two and a half, you still have some value there.”
Tampa Bay shut out DC Defenders 25-0; DC did not cover -2.5. (Tampa Bay Vipers 25, DC Defenders 0)
“this is something I'm going to want to get on early.”
St. Louis beat Seattle 23-16 (total 39), over the 38.5 total. (St. Louis 23, Seattle 16 (total 39))
“I've already bet this. I think if you have a top three quarterback, you're probably a top three team in the league and Tamu is a top three quarterback corner.”
The 2020 XFL season was suspended on March 12, 2020 and the league later folded due to COVID-19; the scheduled April 26 championship game never took place, so no champion was ever crowned. (2020 XFL Championship never played)
“I think I'd be leaning Guardians at plus six and a half.”
DC Defenders shut out New York Guardians 27-0 in XFL Week 2; Guardians' +6.5 was buried by the 27-point margin. (Defenders 27, Guardians 0 (Guardians +6.5))
“I'm going to go with Tampa Bay minus three and a half. I mean, it's a bit of a leap of faith play. And we've talked about it. we talked about in the preview that I think Seattle will have one of the better home field advantages, but they're, they're probably the worst team in the league and Tampa Bay.”
Seattle Dragons beat Tampa Bay Vipers 17-9 in XFL Week 2; Vipers were -3.5 favorites and lost outright. (Dragons 17, Vipers 9 (Vipers -3.5))
“I cannot bring myself to bet the over seven and a half wins before we see them play. I mean, that's betting on them to win 80% of their games or more. I think that's insane. I think betting the under seven and a half win total is probably the only bet I would actually encourage to just max bet.”
The XFL season was suspended/cancelled on 2020-03-20 due to COVID-19 with the Tampa Bay Vipers at 1-4 through five weeks, finishing well under 7.5 wins. (Vipers 1-4 (season ended after Week 5))
“I think the number one value player right now is Mikko Hardman.”
Patrick Mahomes scored the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIV on a 1-yard run, not Mecole Hardman. (First TD: Mahomes 1-yard rush)
“57% of the time.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Raheem Mostert: 58 rushing_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (Raheem Mostert: 58 rushing_yards)
“the under hitting 68% of the time on this market.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Raheem Mostert: 2 receiving_yards vs under 12.5; covers. (Raheem Mostert: 2 receiving_yards)
“This is probably one of my favorite props.”
DeMarcus Robinson finished with 0 receiving yards, under the 26.5 line. (DeMarcus Robinson: 0 catches, 0 yds)
“Emmanuel Sanders, longest reception over under 17 and a half yards.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Emmanuel Sanders: 38 receiving_yards vs over 17.5; covers. (Emmanuel Sanders: 38 receiving_yards)
“George Kittle 27 and a half yards for his longest reception over”
KC 31, SF 20 — George Kittle: 36 receiving_yards vs under 27.5; busts. (George Kittle: 36 receiving_yards)
“Blake Bell, they get 10 plus yards before Ross Dwelly.”
Blake Bell topped out at 1 catch for 9 yards and never reached the 10-yard threshold, while Ross Dwelley finished with zero catches; since Bell never crossed 10 yards, the bet did not hit. (Bell 1 rec/9 yds; Dwelley 0 rec/0 yds)
“The only guy that I can make case for was Debo Samuel at plus 160.”
Deebo Samuel did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIV (3 carries for 53 yards, 5 catches for 39 yards, no TDs). (Samuel: 53 rush yds, 39 rec yds, 0 TD)
“Emmanuel Sanders. He's 66 to one at points bet. He has some routes where he can get there the”
Patrick Mahomes was named Super Bowl LIV MVP, not Emmanuel Sanders. (MVP: Patrick Mahomes)
“under 32.5 will be one of my favorite plays. I have that, like I said, around 63%. I mean, it just goes to show you need to line shop. If you have access to multiple books. Make sure you get the best numbers. So anything over 29 and a half for Mahomes rushing yards, I think I'll be hitting the under.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards vs under 32.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 29 rushing_yards)
“his rush attempt at 12 and a half on FanDuel, the over is only minus one 26. I have that hitting over 60% of the time. So that's one of my favorite bets.”
Damien Williams carried the ball 17 times in Super Bowl LIV, clearing the 12.5 rush-attempt line. (Williams: 17 carries, 104 yds, 2 TD)
“Demarcus Robinson receiving yards. That's one of my favorite bets as well. Right now, 20.5 is the worst number I've seen. And I still have that 58.3% going under.”
DeMarcus Robinson was not targeted and finished with 0 receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV, well under the 20.5 line. (DeMarcus Robinson: 0 catches, 0 yds)
“a tire kill under 76 and a half receiving yards. I have that hitting 55 percent of the time. So those those will be some of the bets that will be chipping off as well.”
KC 31, SF 20 — Tyreek Hill: 105 receiving_yards vs under 76.5; busts. (Tyreek Hill: 105 receiving_yards)
“I write it up in my player prop guide but I think there gonna be value on his long reception being under 24 and 24 and a half As painful as that might be to bet on Kittle under I think that might be the market I be attacking”
George Kittle caught 4 passes for just 36 total yards in Super Bowl LIV (his one long 42-yard catch was wiped out by offensive pass interference), so his longest official reception stayed well under 24.5. (Kittle: 4 rec, 36 yds, longest reception under 24.5)
“I like the over basically any number I've seen out there for the total touchdown yardage in this game.”
Total touchdown yardage in Super Bowl LIV was only 61 yards (1+15+1+1+5+38), well under the 102.5 line. (TDs: Mahomes 1-yd run, Juszczyk 15-yd rec, Mostert 1-yd run, Kelce 1-yd rec, Williams 5-yd rec, Williams 38-yd run = 61 total yards)
“Derek Henry, baby. At Kansas City, we're going to bump it up to 100 and a half yards this week at KC. Total rushing yards. Over, over, way over. Way over.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Derrick Henry: 69 rushing_yards vs over 100.5; busts. (Derrick Henry: 69 rushing_yards)
“So my 10th favorite would be Matt Ryan under 32 and a half touchdowns. Right now I haven't projected at 31 and a half. So this isn't some, you know, five-star lock. But when it comes to him, you know, last year they had to throw a lot more because they lost three key defensive players early in the season.”
Matt Ryan threw 26 passing touchdowns in 2019, under the 32.5 line. (26 passing TDs)
“So I have him for most passing touchdowns in the league. His total is, I believe it's 28 and a half or 27 and a half. So you get a good number. So I'm projecting him for 29.”
Lamar Jackson led the NFL with 36 passing touchdowns in 2019; Jared Goff finished with 22, not the league leader. (Goff 22 pass TDs vs. Jackson's league-leading 36)
“I'm going with Chris Godwin to lead the league in receiving yards at 100 to 1 on FanDuel. That line is a joke.”
Michael Thomas led the NFL in receiving yards in 2019 (1,725); Chris Godwin finished 3rd (1,333) despite missing the final two games. (Godwin: 1,333 receiving yards, 3rd in NFL (Thomas led with 1,725))
“I actually do really, really like this one. He's at 20 to one right now on FanDuel. Right now I have him ranked third in my rushing yard projections and Zeke Elliott's number two. So there's some baked in upside here.”
Derrick Henry won the 2019 NFL rushing title (1,540 yards), passing Nick Chubb (1,494) in the season finale. (Chubb: 1,494 rushing yards, 2nd in NFL (Henry led with 1,540))
“This is my last most yards prop but it my favorite one It Jameis Winston most passing yards at 12 to one Again I really can get much action down at books for these props So these are the best way for me to get you know some bang for my buck at the end of the year”
Jameis Winston led the NFL in passing yards in 2019 with 5,109 yards. (5,109 passing yards, led NFL)
“So number three, I have Mark Ingram under seven and a half rushing touchdowns. Again, this is a guy that I do like him fancy. I think he's going to be the workhorse back for the Ravens.”
Mark Ingram rushed for 10 touchdowns in 2019 for the Ravens, over the 7.5 line the bet was betting under. (10 rushing touchdowns (1,018 rushing yards))
“So right now I'm loving the Le'Veon Bell under eight and a half rushing touchdowns. He's only gone over that total once in his five seasons at Pittsburgh. And that was on a much higher scoring offense.”
Le'Veon Bell rushed for only 3 touchdowns in 2019 with the Jets, well under the 8.5 line. (3 rushing touchdowns)
“I think the playoffs is the angle to bet them here. Yes, it's plus 240. And, you know, the reason is last year I talked about it, but last year they've had the league worst turnover margin.”
The 49ers finished 13-3 and made the playoffs (reached the Super Bowl before losing to Kansas City). (49ers 2019: 13-3, NFC Champions)
“The only bet in this division I actually like, I didn't get to touch on, but was the Seahawks under eight and a half plus 110. I happen to have some Seahawks friends. I don't care if I upset anybody. I'm here to make money. And the under eight and a half plus 110 is just too good to pass up right now.”
The Seahawks finished 11-5, well over the 8.5-win line. (Seahawks 2019: 11-5)
“I would pick on the Buccaneers under six and a half. I know I've been banging the drum for Jameis Winston in fantasy. These two things are not correlated, so don't at me.”
The Buccaneers finished 7-9, over the 6.5-win line. (Buccaneers 2019: 7-9)
“I do like them still, however, 10-1 to win the Super Bowl. I think when you take a bet like that, you're not really worried about the floor.”
The Saints did not win Super Bowl LIV; the Kansas City Chiefs won, defeating the 49ers. (Saints finished 13-3 but lost in the Divisional round to Minnesota)
“for real life um I'm going with this Casey New England game going over 60 points um so I've been tracking the the betting market it's dropping right now due to weather um understandably you know if there's gonna be a ton of snow i think you know we could see the total drop to maybe 53 um and then at that point i'll come in on the over”
KC 31, NE 37 — Combined 68; over 60 covers.
“For real life, I have the Ravens winning by double digits at home.”
BAL 17, LAC 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So my real-life bold call is the Lions beat the Vikings outright.”
DET 9, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“I love this under here”
Josh Allen rushed for just 16 yards (9 carries) in Bills' 14-13 win over Lions — under 50.5 hits. (Josh Allen: 9 car, 16 yards, 1 rush TD)
“I would definitely take them plus 10, 10 and a half right now.”
DET 16, LAR 30 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
“But I'm taking the plus 13 in this game.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13; busts.
“So I'll definitely be leaning Vikings minus three.”
MIN 24, GB 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +7 vs line -3; covers.