Chris Raybon

“best actor i'm going timothy chalamet uh all the way here”

Michael B. Jordan won Best Actor; Timothee Chalamet did not.

“plus 376 on dk predictions plus 400 on dk sports i think he's the clear choice and that and then”

Sean Penn won Best Supporting Actor; Stellan Skarsgard did not.

“you go to dk predictions you could also bet sean penn no at plus 257 which i think is great because”

Sean Penn won Best Supporting Actor, so the 'Sean Penn NO' bet lost.

“Best production design.”

Frankenstein won Best Production Design; Sinners did not.

“If you like that, best makeup and hairstyling, sinners, plus 800.”

Frankenstein won Best Makeup and Hairstyling; Sinners did not.

“so best animated short butterfly is even money gold derby has it at 74 uh implied minus 291”

The Girl Who Cried Pearls won Best Animated Short; Butterfly did not.

“Derby picks a friend of Dorothy. You know what its price is on draftings? Plus 400.”

Best Live Action Short ended in a tie between The Singers and Two People Exchanging Saliva; A Friend of Dorothy did not win.

“All 1,000, JSN MVP.”

Seahawks beat Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX but Kenneth Walker III won MVP, not Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ touchdowns
• Drake May anytime touchdown

“So I'm going to go JSN two touchdowns.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 0 TDs (not 2+) and Drake Maye scored no rushing/receiving TD in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026). (JSN 0 TD; Maye 0 rush/rec TD)

“Yeah, and I'm going with JSN here. Let's get the anchor going.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 4 catches for 27 yards and no touchdown.

• AJ Barner anytime touchdown
• Drake May anytime touchdown
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown

“So it's going to be JSN minus 110. Barner at plus 240. Drake May at plus 270. JSN at minus 110. You can parlay those at DraftKings, and you get 20 to one odd.”

AJ Barner scored a TD, but Drake Maye and Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not, in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026); parlay busts on two of three legs. (Barner 1 TD; Maye 0 TD; JSN 0 TD)

“I'm going to go Elijah Arroyo here at uh at 10 to 1”

Elijah Arroyo did not score a touchdown in SB LX.

“I'm going Kenneth Walker under 73.5 rushing yards.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 135 rushing_yards vs under 73.5; busts. (Kenneth Walker III: 135 rushing_yards)

“but for my official play jackson smith and jigba minus 110”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 4 catches for 27 yards and no touchdown.

• AJ Barner anytime touchdown
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown

“But for the official parlay, we're going Barner”

AJ Barner caught a 16-yard TD from Sam Darnold, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not score, in Seattle's 29-13 Super Bowl LX win (Feb 8, 2026); parlay busts on the JSN leg. (Barner 1 TD; JSN 0 TD)

“i think jsn is the clear clear clear clear value like by far”

Kenneth Walker III won SB LX MVP, not Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

“i'm gonna go with drake may to have the most rushing yards in this game”

Kenneth Walker III (135 rush yds, Super Bowl MVP) led all rushers in Seattle's 29-13 Super Bowl LX win (Feb 8, 2026); Drake Maye had just 37 rushing yards. (Maye 37 rush yds vs Walker 135 rush yds)

“i'm gonna go with drake may uh let's go with his median rushing over 37 and a half as well”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 37.5; busts. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)

“I'm going to go with Travion Henderson, 50 plus rushing yards at plus seven 80 for my third.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 19 rushing_yards vs over 50; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 19 rushing_yards)

“I'm going to go with Jackson Smith and Jigba at plus 550. I think he's the best value on the board by far”

Kenneth Walker III won SB LX MVP; Jaxon Smith-Njigba had just 4 catches for 27 yards.

“I'm going to go with Adam Troutman. [7:52] So hopefully, Kerner, between you and I, one of these guys score. [7:55] But Troutman's 12-1.”

Adam Trautman did not score in the Broncos' 10-7 AFC Championship loss to the Patriots (only TDs were Maye rush and Sutton receiving).

“Let's go with Jordan Whittington of the Rams [19:40] at 11 to one.”

Jordan Whittington did not score a touchdown in the Rams' 31-27 NFC Championship loss to the Seahawks.

“So I'm going to go with Marvin Mims because I need [23:11] to compete with Shahid here.”

Marvin Mims did not have the longest TD on the slate; Puka Nacua's 34-yard receiving TD was the longest.

“over 31 and a half passes I have it projected at 34 and a half I was pretty surprised to see the”

Jarrett Stidham attempted 31 passes (17-of-31) in the AFC Championship, under the 31.5 line.

“I'm going to go with Sam Darnold longest rush under six and a half yards.”

SEA 31, LAR 27 — Sam Darnold: 9 rushing_yards vs under 6.5; busts. (Sam Darnold: 9 rushing_yards)

“I'm actually going to go with Adam Troutman here.”

Adam Trautman did not score a touchdown in the Patriots' 10-7 AFC Championship win over the Broncos.

• Adam Trautman anytime touchdown
• Davante Adams anytime touchdown

“But our parlay here, Troutman-Adams is 26-1.”

Adam Trautman recorded no catches/TD in Denver's 10-7 AFC title loss (Jan 25, 2026), busting the parlay even though Davante Adams scored for the Rams in the NFC title game. (Trautman 0 TD; Adams 1 TD)

“going with him at even money”

Josh Allen scored no rushing or receiving TD (12 carries, 66 yards, 0 rush TD; passing TDs do not count) in the Bills' 33-30 OT loss to the Broncos.

“I'm going to go with Zach Charbonnet at minus 105.”

Zach Charbonnet did not score (5 carries, 20 yards, 0 TD) in the Seahawks' 41-6 win over the 49ers.

“But I'm going to go with a hundred Henry at plus two 10.”

Hunter Henry did not score (1 rec, 5 yards, 0 TD) in the Patriots' 28-16 win over the Texans.

“So I love him to get in the end zone for the Bears.”

Colston Loveland did not score (4 rec, 56 yards, 0 TD) in the Bears' 20-17 OT loss to the Rams.

• Blake Corum anytime TD
• Courtland Sutton anytime TD
• Colston Loveland anytime TD

“But yeah, if you parlay anytime touchdowns [23:22] for Blake Corum, Cortland Sutton, [23:26] and Colston Loveland, 32 to one at draft games.”

Both Blake Corum and Colston Loveland failed to score in the Rams' 20-17 OT win over Chicago (Jan 18, 2026), busting the parlay regardless of the Sutton leg. (Corum 0 TD; Loveland 0 TD)

“Under, full game, 46-and-a-half.”

Broncos beat Bills 33-30 in overtime in the Divisional round (63 combined points), well over the 46.5 total. (Final: DEN 33, BUF 30 (OT))

“I like his over receptions at five and a half six and a half is a little dicier but yeah I expect McCaffrey to get double digit targets”

McCaffrey caught only 5 passes (39 yards) in the 49ers' 41-6 divisional-round loss to Seattle (Jan 17, 2026); over 5.5 misses. (5 REC, 39 YDS)

“that's colston [1:07:48] lovewin but the chicago bears”

Colston Loveland did not score (4 rec, 56 yards, 0 TD) in the Bears' 20-17 OT loss to the Rams.

• Colston Loveland anytime TD
• Blake Corum anytime TD

“Blake Corum, final game of the weekend”

Neither leg hit: Colston Loveland (4 rec, 56 yds, left with a concussion) had no TD, and Blake Corum (6 car, 19 yds) did not score, in the Rams' 20-17 OT win over Chicago (Jan 18, 2026). (Loveland 0 TD; Corum 0 TD)

“I'm gonna go with Saquon Barkley”

Saquon Barkley ran for 106 yards but did not score in the Eagles' 23-19 loss to the 49ers.

“I'm a role with Stefan Diggs at plus 175.”

Stefon Diggs did not score in the Patriots' 16-3 win over the Chargers (Hunter Henry had the only offensive TD).

“the guy I'm looking at is [34:06] Pat Fryer moved that four to one”

Pat Freiermuth had 1 catch for 18 yards and no TD in the Steelers' 30-6 loss to the Texans.

• Woody Marks anytime TD
• Nico Collins anytime TD
• Pat Freiermuth anytime TD

“Marks, Collins, Friermuth, same game parlay, [35:37] 34-1 over at DraftKings.”

Texans beat Steelers 30-6; Woody Marks scored a 20-yard rushing TD but Nico Collins (3 rec, 21 yds) and Pat Freiermuth (1 rec, 18 yds) did not score, so the SGP fails. (Marks: rush TD; Collins: 0 TD; Freiermuth: 0 TD)

• Luther Burden III anytime TD
• Nico Collins anytime TD
• Pat Freiermuth anytime TD

“You parlay Luther Burden, anytime touchdown, Nico Collins,”

None of the three legs hit: Luther Burden III (3 rec, 42 yds, 0 TD) vs Packers, plus Nico Collins and Pat Freiermuth also scoreless vs Steelers. (Burden: 0 TD; Collins: 0 TD; Freiermuth: 0 TD)

“So give me the Jags plus one and a half.”

Bills beat Jaguars 27-24 in the Wild Card round; Jacksonville lost by 3, failing to cover +1.5. (Final: BUF 27, JAX 24)

“I'm going with the Los Angeles Chargers plus three and a half at the New England Patriots.”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

“this week I'm going to go with Trevor Lawrence, plus 180, to score a touchdown.”

Trevor Lawrence threw 3 TD passes but had no rushing/receiving TD (passing TDs don't count) in the Jaguars' 27-24 Wild Card loss to Buffalo.

• Trevor Lawrence anytime TD
• Dalton Kincaid anytime TD

“you get nine to one odds, Trevor Lawrence, Dalton, Kincaid.”

SGP fails: Trevor Lawrence did not score a touchdown himself (3 passing TDs only, no rush/rec TD) even though Dalton Kincaid caught a TD; both legs were required. (Kincaid: 1 rec TD; Lawrence: 0 rush/rec TD)

“So give me Tampa Bay.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.

“For my third pick and the sixth overall of the Week 18 six-pack, I am going with the Miami Dolphins plus 10.5 at the New England Patriots.”

NE 38, MIA 10 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +10.5; busts.

“I'm going Raven Steelers under 41 and a half.”

PIT 26, BAL 24 — Combined 50; under 41.5 busts.

“Isaiah Pacheco at plus 440”

Isaiah Pacheco did not score a touchdown in the Chiefs' 20-13 Christmas loss to Denver.

“It's Jackson Smith, Najigba, this week, every week.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 9 passes for 72 yards with no touchdown in the Seahawks' 27-10 win at Carolina.

“And for the Panthers, Jalen Coker at plus 360.”

Jalen Coker caught both targets for 16 yards and did not score in the Panthers' 27-10 loss to Seattle.

“for the bengals uh wrong with t higgins here i mean this guy just scores every”

Tee Higgins did not score in the Bengals' 37-14 win over Arizona (Cincy TDs: Chase x2 rec, Brown x2 rush, Perine rush).

“So on the right track but for the Dolphins we going to go with Jalen Waddle for now plus 190”

Jaylen Waddle (rib injury) did not score in the Dolphins' 20-17 win over Tampa Bay.

“with the carolina panthers plus seven and a half at home against the seattle seahawks now i just”

CAR 10, SEA 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -17 vs line +7.5; busts.

“But I going to go with the Bucs Dolphins over 45 Dolphins defense kind of played the way I thought they would finally I mean I think they been just getting lucky with the opponents”

MIA 20, TB 17 — Combined 37; over 45 busts.

“I'm going to go with Jeremy Rucker the backup tight end who will [15:30] get the start here at plus 530”

Jeremy Ruckert did not score; the Jets managed only field goals in their 29-6 loss at New Orleans.

“Got to go with Greg Dosich at six to one for Miami”

Greg Dulcich did not score; Miami's TDs went to De'Von Achane and Malik Washington in the 45-21 loss to Cincinnati.

“And for Cincinnati, Tanner Hudson, 7-1.”

Tanner Hudson did not score; Bengals TDs went to Tee Higgins, Samaje Perine and Chase Brown in the 45-21 win at Miami.

“I'm going with DK Metcalf at plus 180. [34:36] The Lions just give up a ton of touchdowns to wide receivers.”

DK Metcalf had 4 catches for 42 yards and no TD in the Steelers' 29-24 win at Detroit.

“and then for the Detroit Lions gotta go with Shane Zylstra here”

Shane Zylstra had 3 catches for 20 yards and no TD in the Lions' 29-24 loss to Pittsburgh.

“i'm gonna go with mark andrews uh coming off a dud against the bangles”

Mark Andrews caught 2 passes for 21 yards with no touchdown in the Ravens' 28-24 loss to New England.

• George Pickens anytime TD
• Mike Evans anytime TD
• DK Metcalf anytime TD

“So like him at plus 180, your parlay pickings, Evans, Metcalf. [43:01] Those are some good touchdown scoring wide receivers there. [43:05] 18 to 1 at DraftKings.”

George Pickens (TD vs Chargers) and Mike Evans (TD vs Panthers) both scored, but DK Metcalf had no TD (4 catches, 42 yds) vs the Lions — parlay lost on Metcalf. (Pickens: 7 rec, 130 yds, 1 TD; Evans: 5 rec, 31 yds, 1 TD; Metcalf: 4 rec, 42 yds, 0 TD)

• Kayshon Boutte anytime TD
• Lamar Jackson anytime TD
• Mark Andrews anytime TD

“you parlay kayshaun booty lamar jackson”

Patriots beat Ravens 28-24; none of the three legs hit — Kayshon Boutte (1 rec, 16 yds, 0 TD), Lamar Jackson (left with a back injury before halftime, 0 TD), and Mark Andrews (2 rec, 21 yds, 0 TD) all failed to score, so the anytime-TD parlay lost. (Boutte 1/16/0 TD; Jackson 0 TD (exited injured); Andrews 2/21/0 TD)

• Michael Pittman Jr. anytime TD
• Tyler Warren anytime TD
• Jauan Jennings anytime TD

“just those three guys, Pittman, Warren, Jennings. [54:29] You get 41 to 1 odds at DraftKings.”

49ers beat Colts 48-27 on MNF. Jauan Jennings scored a receiving TD, but Michael Pittman Jr. (4-5 rec, 32 yds, 0 TD) and Tyler Warren (3 rec, 30 yds, 0 TD) did not score, so the 3-leg anytime-TD parlay lost. (Pittman 0 TD; Warren 0 TD; Jennings 1 TD (3-yd catch from Purdy))

“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens minus three at home”

BAL 24, NE 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3; busts.

“I'm going to go with the Bills-Browns under 42-and-a-half.”

CLE 20, BUF 23 — Combined 43; under 42.5 busts.

“I'm going to roll with Gabe Davis at plus 275.”

Gabe Davis did not appear in the receiving stats and scored no TD in the Bills' 35-31 win at New England.

“We're taking Mitchell Tinsley here at 4-1.”

Mitchell Tinsley had 1 catch for 16 yards and no TD in the Bengals' 24-0 shutout loss to Baltimore.

“i'm gonna go colston loveland for”

Colston Loveland caught passes but scored no TD in the Bears' 31-3 win over Cleveland.

“So I'm going to roll with Jerry Judy here against probably to the chagrin of like Steve Smith Sr.”

Jerry Jeudy caught 2 passes for 22 yards and no TD in the Browns' 31-3 loss at Chicago.

“so let's start with the rams davante adams i'm gonna bet him for two plus [22:11] here at plus 360”

Davante Adams had 4 catches for 71 yards and 0 TDs in the Rams' 41-34 win over the Lions, so 2+ TD lost.

“I'm actually going to go with a wide receiver [45:17] on the dolphins though.”

Jaylen Waddle did not score; both Dolphins TDs went to Darren Waller in the 28-15 MNF Week 15 loss.

“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers minus two at the Denver Broncos.”

DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2; busts.

“I am going with the Kansas City Chiefs minus four and a half at home against the Los Angeles Chargers.”

KC 13, LAC 16 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns plus seven and a half at the Chicago Bears.”

CHI 31, CLE 3 — Cleveland Browns margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.

“I'm gonna go with Isaiah Likely.”

Isaiah Likely did not score in the Ravens' 24-0 win at Cincinnati (only Ravens rec TDs were Flowers and Rasheen Ali).

• Adonai Mitchell anytime TD
• Tee Higgins anytime TD
• Michael Wilson anytime TD

“You parlay Wilson along with A.D. Mitchell and T. Higgins. [30:21] And you get parlay odds at DraftKings of just over 28 to 1.”

Adonai Mitchell had no TD vs the Dolphins (1 catch, 24 yds); Higgins (2 TD) and Wilson (2 TD) hit, but the parlay lost on the Mitchell leg. (Mitchell: 1 rec, 24 yds, 0 TD; Higgins: 2 TD; Wilson: 2 TD)

“So like Gray, around 10-1.”

Noah Gray had 1 catch for 14 yards and no TD in the Chiefs' 20-10 loss to Houston.

“I'm going to go with Kamani Vidal here at plus 310.”

Kimani Vidal had no TD (56 rush yards, 60 receiving) in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over Philadelphia.

“I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus seven and a half”

ATL 9, SEA 37 — Atlanta Falcons margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.

“i'm going to go with the raven [59:22] steelers uh under that's still 43 and a half”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Combined 49; under 43.5 busts.

• Titans ML closed +165 · CLV +11¢ won
• Bengals ML closed +230 · CLV -5¢ lost

“So you got the Bengals at plus 225. [1:02:15] So give me Cincinnati there. And then Titans plus 176. [1:02:20] You pay our parlay those together and you get about eight to one odds on”

Parlay busts: Titans ML — won; Bengals ML — lost.

• Josh Whyle anytime TD
• Michael Wilson anytime TD

“So you parlay Wiley and Wilson together and you get 38 to one odds.”

Josh Whyle had no TD vs the Packers (1 catch, no score) while Michael Wilson caught 2 TDs vs the Rams; parlay needs both legs so it lost on Whyle. (Whyle: 1 rec, 0 TD; Wilson: 11 rec, 142 yds, 2 TD)

“I am going with the Minnesota Vikings plus 10.5 [33:11] at the Seattle Seahawks.”

SEA 26, MIN 0 — Minnesota Vikings margin -26 vs line +10.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus six and a half at home against the Jaguars.”

TEN 3, JAX 25 — Tennessee Titans margin -22 vs line +6.5; busts.

“Give me the Saints.”

MIA 21, NO 17 — New Orleans Saints lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm going to go with Colby Parkinson. [1:02:53] keeps scoring and he keeps being undervalued by the market”

Colby Parkinson did not score in the Rams' 31-28 loss at Carolina; Rams TDs were Adams (x2), Corum and Kyren Williams.

“Ross St. Brown, a monstrous game last week, him and Gibbs.”

Amon-Ra St. Brown was injured early and did not score in the Lions' 31-24 Thanksgiving loss.

“So I think Tinsley is still underpriced yet again at plus 460.”

Mitchell Tinsley did not score in the Bengals' 32-14 Thanksgiving win; their only TDs were Hudson and Iosivas.

“And then for the Titans, got to go with Cam Ward at 10 to 1.”

Cam Ward went 24-of-38 for 141 yards with 0 TD and no rushing TD in the Titans' 25-3 loss to the Jaguars.

“I'm going to go Kenny Gainwell at plus 215.”

Kenny Gainwell did not score; the Steelers' only TD in the 26-7 loss was Jaylen Warren's 1-yard rush.

“i'm gonna go with pat bryant at uh plus a little over plus 400”

Pat Bryant did not score; Denver's only TDs in the 27-26 OT win were Harvey's two rushes and Nix's TD pass to Courtland Sutton.

“Isaiah Hodgins for me. [42:14] Five to one.”

Isaiah Hodgins did not score a TD in the Patriots' 33-15 win over the Giants.

“I'm going to go with Lamar Jackson at plus 200.”

Lamar Jackson had no rushing or receiving TD in Baltimore's 23-10 win over the Jets (both Ravens TDs were Derrick Henry rushes).

“and for the jets going right back to Isaiah Williams, still 10 to one,”

Isaiah Williams handled returns only and scored no TD; the Jets' lone TD was a John Metchie reception in the 23-10 loss at Baltimore.

“also showing a ton of value on Josh Downs at plus 350.”

Josh Downs had no TD in the Colts' 23-20 OT loss at Kansas City.

“And then on the Chiefs side Xavier Worthy at plus 250”

Xavier Worthy had 4 catches for 59 yds and no TD in the Chiefs' 23-20 OT win over Indianapolis.

• AJ Barner anytime TD
• DeVonta Smith anytime TD
• Mitchell Tinsley anytime TD

“You parlay Tinsley, Smith, Barner together on DraftKings, and you get 46-1 odds.”

Tinsley scored, but Barner (2 rec, 18 yds) and DeVonta Smith (89 yds) both went scoreless - all three legs were needed. (Tinsley TD; Barner 2 rec/18 yds no TD; Smith 89 yds no TD)

“And then I'm going to go with Davis Allen officially plus 370.”

Davis Allen did not score; Stafford's three TD passes went to Davante Adams (x2) and Colby Parkinson in the Rams' 34-7 win.

“I'm going with the New Orleans Saints minus one and a half against the Atlanta Falcons.”

NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

“I going with the Tampa Bay buccaneers plus seven plus six and a half don matter for the contest”

LAR 34, TB 7 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -27 vs line +7; busts.

“But let's get a little crazy and go to the Bengals.”

CIN 20, NE 26 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.

“let's go with devon vele for the”

Devaughn Vele did not score (3 rec, 37 yds) in the Saints' 24-10 Week 12 loss to Atlanta.

“I'm going to go with Jalen Warren at minus 160.”

Jaylen Warren did not score a rushing or receiving TD in the Steelers' 34-12 win over the Bengals.

“I'm going with their running back as well, Chase Brown at [11:05] plus 135.”

Chase Brown ran 18 times for 99 yards but did not score a TD in the Bengals' 34-12 loss to the Steelers.

“I'm going to roll with Josh Jacobs, [16:07] two or more touchdowns at plus 230.”

Josh Jacobs scored 0 TDs (7 carries, 40 yards) in the Packers' 27-20 win over the Giants, missing the 2+ TD prop.

“let's go with Cooper Cup at four to one.”

Cooper Kupp did not score a TD in the Seahawks' 21-19 loss to the Rams (Seattle's TD was Kenneth Walker III rushing).

“I'm going to go with their running back, RJ Harvey, at plus 121.”

RJ Harvey did not score a rushing or receiving TD in the Broncos' 22-19 Week 11 win over the Chiefs (11 carries, 30 yards).

“Brock Bowers right now at even odds at DraftKings. [47:05] I'm going to add him at this point.”

Brock Bowers did not score in the Raiders' 33-16 Week 11 MNF loss to Dallas (only Raiders TD was Tre Tucker).

“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus five and a half at the Buffalo Bills.”

BUF 44, TB 32 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -12 vs line +5.5; busts.

“give me Washington laying three against Miami”

MIA 16, WSH 13 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

“I'm going with the Cardinals plus 136.”

ARI 22, SF 41 — Arizona Cardinals lost; moneyline busts.

“I want some Wilson in this spot at plus 240.”

Garrett Wilson left with a knee injury in Q3 and did not score vs the Browns.

“I'm gonna go with DK Metcalf on DK always love to [38:11] roll with him”

DK Metcalf did not score in the Steelers' 25-10 loss to the Chargers (Pittsburgh's only TD was Roman Wilson).

“I'm going with the Washington Commanders plus eight and a half at home against the Detroit Lions.”

WSH 22, DET 44 — Washington Commanders margin -22 vs line +8.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Arizona Cardinals plus six and a half at the Seattle Seahawks.”

SEA 44, ARI 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -22 vs line +6.5; busts.

“I am rolling with San Francisco 49ers plus four and a half at home against the Rams.”

SF 26, LAR 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.

“I'm going to roll with the Pittsburgh Steelers here at plus 140.”

LAC 25, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.

“But Matt Collins ran seven red zone routes in the last game.”

Mack Hollins had 2 catches for 9 yards and no TD in the Patriots' 24-23 win over Atlanta.

“and then on the Atlanta Falcons, rolling with Kyle Pitts”

Kyle Pitts had 4 catches for 38 yards and no TD vs the Patriots; Drake London scored all 3 Falcons receiving TDs.

“got to roll with my guy, John Fitzpatrick, 13-1.”

John FitzPatrick did not score in the Panthers' 16-13 win at Green Bay; only Rico Dowdle (2) and Josh Jacobs scored TDs.

“And then on the Panther side, Tett McMillan, plus 220.”

Tetairoa McMillan had 4 catches for 46 yards and no TD in the Panthers' 16-13 win at Green Bay.

“for the Broncos rolling with Pat Bryant, [22:41] the rookie at plus 450.”

Pat Bryant had 2 catches for 20 yards and no TD in the Broncos' 18-15 win at Houston; Harvey and Sutton scored.

“for the Texans, I'm going to go with Nico Collins at plus 155.”

Nico Collins had 7 catches for 75 yards and no TD in the Texans' 18-15 loss to Denver.

“I'm going to go with Chris Moore, who just always seems to be a thorn in the side of whoever else is on the commanders in terms of playing time.”

Chris Moore did not record a TD in the Commanders' 38-14 loss to Seattle.

“go with bam knight at plus 145 now he has taken over as the lead back”

Bam Knight had 27 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards with no TD in the Cardinals' 27-17 win at Dallas.

“i'm going raiders jaguars under 45 and a half”

LV 29, JAX 30 — Combined 59; under 45.5 busts.

“I'm going to go with Tucker Craft, plus 122.”

Tucker Kraft was carted off injured and did not score in the Packers' 16-13 Week 9 loss to the Panthers (Green Bay's only TD was Josh Jacobs).

“we'll kind of go a little bit off the board here with Jamari Thrash at 15 to 1.”

Jamari Thrash had a 31-yard reverse but did not score in the Browns' 32-13 loss to New England.

“I'm going to go with Dawson Knox at plus 350.”

Dawson Knox had a 15-yard catch but did not score in the Bills' 40-9 win over Carolina.

“got to go with Xavier Leggett at plus 450.”

Xavier Legette did not score in the Panthers' 40-9 loss to Buffalo; Carolina's only TD was a Chuba Hubbard rush.

“Shimray DK, I like him to get back in the end zone.”

Chimere Dike had 7 catches for 93 yards plus a 67-yard punt-return TD (return TDs do not count) — no rushing/receiving TD — in the Titans' 38-14 loss to Indianapolis.

“I'm going to go with Brashard Smith here.”

Brashard Smith did not score in the Chiefs' 28-7 Week 8 MNF win over the Commanders (TDs went to Hunt x2, Kelce, Rice).

“I'm going to roll with Niners-Texans over 41.5.”

HOU 26, SF 15 — Combined 41; over 41.5 busts.

“I'm going to go with the Giants here.”

PHI 38, NYG 20 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.

“I going with Shimre DK plus 475”

Chimere Dike had 7 catches for 93 yards plus a 67-yard punt-return TD (return TDs do not count) — no rushing/receiving TD — in the Titans' 38-14 loss to Indianapolis.

“For the Jacksonville Jaguars, I got to roll with Hunter Long, plus 450.”

Hunter Long did not score a TD in Jacksonville's 35-7 loss to the Rams at Wembley; the Jaguars' only TD was Travis Hunter.

“And for the Rams, Jordan Whittington plus 325.”

Jordan Whittington had 2 catches for 9 yards and no TD in the Rams' 35-7 win; Rams receiving TDs went to Adams (3), Ferguson and Davis Allen.

“Chicago, I got to go back to Roma Dunze here, plus 112.”

Rome Odunze had 2 catches for 31 yards and no TD in the Bears' 26-14 win over New Orleans.

“and for the Saints, Rashid Shahid at plus 275.”

Rashid Shaheed had 4 catches for 40 yards and no TD in the Saints' 26-14 loss; Saints TDs were both Chris Olave.

“I'm just going to go with Iwik Iwemenoor for the Titans at plus 250.”

Elic Ayomanor had 2 catches for 29 yards and no TD in Tennessee's 31-13 loss to New England; Titans' only TD was Chimere Dike.

“I'm going to go with George Pickens here. I think, you know, standalone, if everyone's”

George Pickens had 4 catches for 82 yards but no TD in the Cowboys' 44-22 win over the Commanders.

“mason taylor joe you mentioned him earlier of the jets i think he's a top target for them”

Mason Taylor had 3 catches for 31 yards but no TD in the Jets' 13-6 loss to the Panthers.

“as well and uh so Kerner is going with the tight end too I'm gonna go with Barner here at plus 400”

AJ Barner did not score in the Seahawks' 27-19 win; Seattle TDs were Charbonnet (2 rush) and Smith-Njigba.

“Give me the Vikings plus one and a half at home”

MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I'm going to roll with the New Orleans Saints plus five and a half still out there against the Chicago Bears,”

CHI 26, NO 14 — New Orleans Saints margin -12 vs line +5.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Los Angeles Chargers minus one and a half at home against the Indianapolis Colts.”

LAC 24, IND 38 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

“I like the spot for the Jaguars going money line plus 136”

JAX 7, LAR 35 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.

“And that's Mason Taylor.”

Mason Taylor had 3 catches for 31 yards and no TD in the Jets' 13-6 loss to Carolina.

“so like Flannoy on the [11:43] Cowboys side.”

Ryan Flournoy scored no TD (3 catches, 30 yards; 1 carry) in the Cowboys' 30-27 Week 6 loss at Carolina.

“Leighhorn at 8-1 and Flannoy at 3-1.”

Jimmy Horn Jr. had 2 catches for 36 yards but no TD in the Panthers' 30-27 win over Dallas.

“So I'm going to go with Darnell Washington here at nine to one. [19:11] And I have to, we all have to, you know why?”

Darnell Washington did not score; Steelers TDs in the 23-9 win went to Connor Heyward and DK Metcalf.

“I'm going back to him at plus 750.”

Austin Hooper did not score; Patriots TDs in the 25-19 win went to DeMario Douglas and Kayshon Boutte (x2).

“So 17-1 for Vele, 7.5-1 for Hooper.”

Devaughn Vele did not score in the Saints' 25-19 loss; New Orleans' only TD was Taysom Hill's 1-yard run.

“We just taking him at plus one 35 and we moving on All right [42:37] Because he's essentially taken over the Mike Evans role”

Emeka Egbuka did not score in the Bucs' 30-19 win; TB TDs went to White, Tucker, Kam Johnson and Tez Johnson.

“to take so Demarcus Robinson at plus 425 and we're going to keep it nice and safe Emeka Abuka at plus”

Demarcus Robinson had a 31-yard catch but no TD in the Bucs' 30-19 win over San Francisco.

“so going with Allen uh minus 125”

Josh Allen threw two TD passes but did not score a rushing or receiving TD in the 24-14 loss to Atlanta (passing TDs do not count).

“So let me go with Krosky Merritt here because, you know, he's even money.”

Jacory Croskey-Merritt did not score a TD in the Bears-Commanders game (Chicago won 25-24); Washington TDs were all Daniels passing scores.

“I going with the Baltimore Ravens Up Plus seven and a half at home against the Rams”

BAL 3, LAR 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.

“give you the Chargers-Dolphins under 44-and-a-half at DraftKings.”

MIA 27, LAC 29 — Combined 56; under 44.5 busts.

• Saints ML closed +152 · CLV +8¢ lost
• 49ers ML (+136) closed +154 · CLV -18¢ lost

“for this one five to one saints and niners by the way before we get to our anytime touchdown”

Parlay busts: Saints ML — lost; 49ers ML (+136) — lost.

“It's Jordan Whittington at plus 550.”

Jordan Whittington had 2 catches for 33 yards and no TD in the Rams' 26-23 OT loss to the 49ers.

“got to go with Trey Tucker [22:21] on the Raiders side.”

Tre Tucker scored no TD as the Raiders failed to reach the end zone in their 40-6 loss to the Colts.

“amanra's doubled him up in first reads in in against single high and uh you know caught all the [38:50] touchdowns”

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 8 catches for 100 yards but no TD in the Lions' 37-24 win over the Bengals.

“I'm going Travis Hunter at plus two 75.”

Travis Hunter had 3 catches for 64 yards but scored no TD in Jacksonville's 31-28 MNF win over Kansas City.

“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus ten and a half. [14:53] This is as ugly as it gets This is your buy low sell high spot of the week in my opinion”

CIN 24, DET 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -13 vs line +10.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders plus seven at the Indianapolis Colts.”

IND 40, LV 6 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -34 vs line +7; busts.

“it should be two and a half yeah plus two and a half”

NYJ 22, DAL 37 — New York Jets margin -15 vs line +2.5; busts.

“so I'm gonna take this under 36 and a half”

CLE 17, MIN 21 — Combined 38; under 36.5 busts.

“So, yeah, give me the Jets at plus 120.”

NYJ 22, DAL 37 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.

“So give me Judkins at plus 155. [1:03:41] Parlay those together at DraftKings.”

Quinshon Judkins ran for 110 yards but scored no TD in the Browns' 21-17 loss to the Vikings in London.

“I going to go with Torrey Horton another rookie in this one He 4”

Tory Horton did not score in Seattle's 23-20 TNF win; the Seahawks' TDs went to Zach Charbonnet (rush) and A.J. Barner (rec).

“Vikings, I like Justin Jefferson to score here at plus 16.”

Justin Jefferson had 10 catches for 126 yards but no touchdown in Minnesota's 24-21 loss to Pittsburgh in Dublin.

“going with Jonu Smith at plus 375.”

Steelers TDs in the 24-21 Dublin win went to Kenneth Gainwell (x2) and DK Metcalf; Jonnu Smith did not score.

“And on the other side, A.J. Brown at plus 190.”

A.J. Brown did not score; the Eagles' TDs in the 31-25 win went to Dallas Goedert (x2) and Sydney Brown (blocked-punt return).

“Texans Titans I'm going with Shimmery DK at 7-1 I think Kerner was on this last week should have”

Chimere Dike could not score as Tennessee was shut out 26-0 by Houston.

“i gotta go with nico collins uh because we hear sneed chirping”

Nico Collins had 4 catches for 79 yards but no touchdown in Houston's 26-0 win over Tennessee in Week 4.

“I'm going to go with Luther Bird in here at plus 550.”

Luther Burden III did not score; Chicago's TDs were Rome Odunze (27-yd catch) and D'Andre Swift (2-yd run) in the 25-24 win.

“I'll go with Matthew Golden here, the rookie at plus 230.”

Matthew Golden had a 46-yard catch but no touchdown in the Packers' 40-40 tie at Dallas.

“I want to go with T. Higgins for the Bengals.”

Tee Higgins had 3 catches for 32 yards and no TD in Cincinnati's 28-3 loss at Denver.

“Raiders minus one at home against”

LV 24, CHI 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line -1; busts.

• Jaguars ML closed +150 · CLV +5¢ won
• Buccaneers ML closed +154 · CLV +6¢ lost

“Jags plus 155 at DK and the Bucs at plus 160 So you got these two South Florida teams Parlayed you get plus 560”

Parlay busts: Jaguars ML — won; Buccaneers ML — lost.

• KaVontae Turpin anytime TD
• Matthew Golden anytime TD

“officially we'll go with a interpret at plus three 60 golden plus two 10. [1:07:20] And that already gives you a plus 13 25.”

Packers-Cowboys ended 40-40 in OT. Neither KaVontae Turpin (3 catches, 30 yds, 0 TD) nor Matthew Golden (5 catches, 58 yds, 0 TD) scored a touchdown — both anytime-TD legs missed. (Turpin: 3 rec, 30 yds, 0 TD. Golden: 5 rec, 58 yds, 0 TD.)

“Number one for the Dolphins, I like Tanner Connor.”

Tanner Conner did not score (1 rec, 13 yds) in Miami's 31-21 TNF loss at Buffalo.

“I'm going with Travis Hunter to start off at plus 250.”

Travis Hunter (1 rec, 21 yds) did not score in Jacksonville's 17-10 Week 3 win over Houston (TDs by Etienne and Tuten).

“So give me Woody Marks at plus 550 on a fan.”

Woody Marks (6 rush, 27 yds) did not score in Houston's 17-10 Week 3 loss at Jacksonville (Houston's only TD was Nico Collins).

“so i want to go austin hooper and the reason [23:57] is he's just kind of forgotten about”

Austin Hooper (2 rec, 28 yds) did not score in New England's 21-14 Week 3 loss to Pittsburgh.

“So got to go Bucky here.”

Bucky Irving did not score in Tampa Bay's 29-27 Week 3 win over the Jets; Mike Evans had the Bucs' only offensive TD.

“i'm gonna go with patrick mahomes at plus 360 because”

Patrick Mahomes threw a TD to Tyquan Thornton but did not rush/receive a TD in the 22-9 Week 3 win over the Giants.

“in the first overall i'm gonna roll [8:12] the youth to texans here uh at the jaguars there's a two and a half available uh at fan duel”

JAX 17, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I'm going to roll with the Tennessee Titans [15:39] plus four-and-a-half home dogs against the Indianapolis Colts.”

TEN 20, IND 41 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +4.5; busts.

“I like the Cincinnati Bengals with Browning on the road. [29:35] Who would know against the Vikings?”

MIN 48, CIN 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -38 vs line +3; busts.

“Give me the Rams plus three and a half.”

PHI 33, LAR 26 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.

“I'm going to go with the Rams. [49:18] I already talked about it. [49:19] I think this is a very well put together, high-quality football team.”

PHI 33, LAR 26 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.

• Bears ML closed +103.5 · CLV -211¢ won
• Rams ML closed +170 · CLV -8¢ lost

“And that gives you a plus 405.”

Parlay busts: Bears ML — won; Rams ML — lost.

“give me some gunner helm rookie tight end for the titans going up against the coach i expect”

Gunnar Helm did not score in Tennessee's 41-20 Week 3 loss to the Colts (his first career TD came in Week 8).

“I'm going to go with Lameday Zaccheaus at 4-1.”

Olamide Zaccheaus did not score a TD in the Lions' 52-21 win over the Bears.

“Isaac Teslaw for the Detroit Lions at plus 495.”

Isaac TeSlaa did not score a TD in the Lions' 52-21 win over the Bears.

“So I love me some Gunnar Helm at 13-1.”

Gunnar Helm did not score in the Titans' 33-19 loss to the Rams.

“A.J. Brown, squeaky wheel, plus 180.”

A.J. Brown did not score; Eagles TDs in the 20-17 win came from Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts.

“So, yeah, Kareem Hunt, I think, is undervalued for an anytime touchdown at plus 270.”

Kareem Hunt did not score; Chiefs TDs in the 20-17 loss came from Tyquan Thornton and Patrick Mahomes.

“Naylor at plus 425, you get a plus 10,000.”

Jalen Nailor did not score in the Vikings' 22-6 SNF loss to Atlanta (only TD was Allgeier).

“give me higgins at plus 360”

Jaden Higgins did not score in the Texans' 20-19 MNF loss to Tampa Bay.

“I got to go to Ashton. [40:44] Gentry, minus 120.”

Ashton Jeanty did not score; the Raiders managed only field goals in the 20-9 MNF loss to the Chargers.

“So, yeah, give me the Titans plus 5.5.”

TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

“So give me the New York Jets.”

NYJ 10, BUF 30 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +6.5; busts.

“So yeah, Chiefs is a dog here.”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.

“So like Travis Hunter here, plus 225.”

Travis Hunter did not score in the Jaguars' 27-31 loss to Cincinnati; Jacksonville TDs went to Dyami Brown, Bhayshul Tuten and Travis Etienne.

“And so Juju five to one Darius Davis, 17 to one.”

Derius Davis did not score in the Chargers' 27-21 Week 1 win over the Chiefs in Brazil.

“dude is you know playing in the slot but Dave Canales loves him some David Moore so plus 750”

David Moore did not score in the Jaguars' 26-10 Week 1 win over Carolina.

“I got to go with Troy Franklin for the Broncos at plus 550.”

Troy Franklin did not score; Broncos TDs went to Courtland Sutton and J.K. Dobbins in a 20-12 win.

“Ayumanar, the rookie at wide receiver, 6-1.”

Elic Ayomanor did not score; the Titans scored no TDs (four Joey Slye FGs) in a 20-12 loss at Denver.

“But Jaden Higgins, plus 450.”

Rams beat Texans 14-9; only TDs were Kyren Williams and Davis Allen, Jayden Higgins did not score.

“And then on the Rams side, Tutu Atwell, plus 450 for him.”

Rams' only TDs were Kyren Williams and Davis Allen in the 14-9 win; Tutu Atwell did not score.

• Dawson Knox anytime touchdown
• Ty Johnson anytime touchdown
• Mark Andrews anytime touchdown

“This is plus 146.90.”

None of the three scored a TD in Bills' 41-40 win over Ravens: Dawson Knox (2 rec, 20 yds, 0 TD), Ty Johnson (1 rec, -1 yd, 0 TD), Mark Andrews (1 rec, 5 yds, 0 TD). (Knox 0 TD; Ty Johnson 0 TD; Andrews 0 TD)

“That Mark Andrews baby He got to He got to get in the end zone”

Mark Andrews managed just 1 catch for 5 yards in the Ravens' 40-41 loss to Buffalo and did not score.

• Rome Odunze anytime touchdown
• Cole Kmet anytime touchdown
• Jordan Mason anytime touchdown

“Get back $5,570 if you win.”

Rome Odunze scored a 1-yard TD catch, but Cole Kmet (1 rec, 31 yds, 0 TD) and Jordan Mason (0 TD) did not score, in Vikings' 27-24 comeback win over Bears. (Odunze 1 TD; Kmet 0 TD; Mason 0 TD)

“Minnesota Viking running back Jordan Mason at plus 170”

Jordan Mason did not score in the Vikings' 27-24 win; Minnesota TDs were McCarthy (rush), Aaron Jones and Justin Jefferson.

“I'm going with the New York Giants plus six”

WSH 21, NYG 6 — New York Giants margin -15 vs line +6; busts.

“the Atlanta Falcons plus two and a half at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers number one”

ATL 20, TB 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I'm on the Broncos win total under, Titans win total over.”

The Titans finished 3-14, far under their ~5.5-win total.

“I'm on the Broncos win total under, Titans win total over.”

The Broncos finished 14-3, way over their 9.5-win total, so the under lost.

“And I am going to go with – and Andrews, by the way, is plus – you can get a plus 210 out there.”

Mark Andrews had 1 catch for 5 yards and no touchdown in Week 1 at Buffalo.

• Mark Andrews anytime touchdown
• Trevor Lawrence anytime touchdown

“Trevor Lawrence plus 450.”

Both legs missed: Mark Andrews had 1 catch for 5 yards, no TD, as Bills beat Ravens 41-40; Trevor Lawrence's only TD in Jaguars 26-10 win over Panthers was a passing TD, not a rush/reception, so no anytime-TD hit. (Andrews 1 rec/5 yds/0 TD; Lawrence 0 rush/rec TD (1 pass TD))

“Super Bowl 20-1, I'll take that because, like you said,”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; 49ers did not. (San Francisco did not win the Super Bowl.)

“I still like the Rams for high upside Super Bowl as well, because if everything”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Rams did not. (LA Rams did not win the Super Bowl.)

“they're that one team that I like that as well they're that one team outside of you know”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX; Packers did not. (Green Bay did not win the Super Bowl.)

“So I like Green Bay, 22-1 for the Super Bowl. San Francisco 16 Rams 20”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; 49ers future busts.

“So I like Green Bay, 22-1 for the Super Bowl. San Francisco 16 Rams 20”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Rams future busts.

“So I like Green Bay, 22-1 for the Super Bowl.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Packers future busts.

“and then uh the cardinals at plus 425 division”

Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West; Cardinals missed the playoffs, so +425 future busts. (Seattle won NFC West and the No. 1 NFC seed; Arizona eliminated.)

“it is Super Bowl wise, Bills 7-1, Ravens 7-1, Chiefs 8-1, with the most on the Bills.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Bills future busts.

“it is Super Bowl wise, Bills 7-1, Ravens 7-1, Chiefs 8-1, with the most on the Bills.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Ravens future busts.

“it is Super Bowl wise, Bills 7-1, Ravens 7-1, Chiefs 8-1, with the most on the Bills.”

Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Chiefs future busts.

“but I think Jenty is the bet to make right now.”

2025 Offensive ROY went to Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan; Jeanty did not win. (McMillan won OROY)

“I think Mason Graham's probably a decent bet.”

2025 Defensive ROY went to Browns LB Carson Schwesinger; Mason Graham did not win. (Schwesinger won DROY)

“I would look at Campbell at 20-1, Starks at 23-1, Barron 27-1. Those would be the guys that really”

2025 Defensive ROY went to Browns LB Carson Schwesinger; Jihaad Campbell did not win. (Schwesinger won DROY)

“I would look at Campbell at 20-1, Starks at 23-1, Barron 27-1. Those would be the guys that really”

2025 Defensive ROY went to Browns LB Carson Schwesinger; Malaki Starks did not win. (Schwesinger won DROY)

“I would look at Campbell at 20-1, Starks at 23-1, Barron 27-1. Those would be the guys that really”

2025 Defensive ROY went to Browns LB Carson Schwesinger; Jahdae Barron did not win. (Schwesinger won DROY)

“pick 12 and a half at plus one sixty.”

Tetairoa McMillan went No. 8 overall to the Panthers, well before pick 12.5, so the over lost.

“pick 24 and a half. I think that's that the slide has been too crazy. I mean, he's he was going in the top 10”

Will Johnson slid out of the first round and was drafted at No. 47 in Round 2, so the under 24.5 lost.

“overpicked 26 and a half at plus one twenty two or overpicked 29 and a half at plus two fifteen.”

Emeka Egbuka was drafted at No. 19 overall by the Buccaneers, before pick 26.5, so the over lost.

“so i do think that exact four uh is a nice it's probably the second most [9:43] likely option for him at this point because he just keeps flying up the board”

Ashton Jeanty was drafted 6th overall, not 4th. (Pick 6: Ashton Jeanty (Raiders))

“So you could get Warren at about three to one. So still some pretty decent [10:33] value.”

Tyler Warren was drafted 14th overall (Colts), not 7th. (Pick 7: Armand Membou; Warren went 14th)

“And then Barron 10 to one at seven, as well as sprinkle some on Tyra Warren.”

Jahdae Barron was drafted 20th overall (Broncos), not 7th. (Pick 7: Armand Membou; Barron went 20th)

“So I like him to go exact pick number six. [11:30] You could get that about plus 650. [11:33] So Bram at six plus 650.”

Mason Graham was drafted 5th overall (Browns), not 6th. (Pick 6: Ashton Jeanty; Graham went 5th)

“I think Warren is still chalked to be the first tight end taken.”

Tyler Warren (Colts, pick 14) was the second TE drafted; Loveland went first at No. 10. (Warren 2nd TE off the board)

• Omarion Hampton 2nd RB drafted
• Tyler Warren 1st TE drafted
• Shedeur Sanders 2nd QB drafted
• Matthew Golden 1st WR drafted

“you got Hampton is the second running back after the first running back after Jenty. [18:23] You got, uh, [18:25] I were Warren is the first tight end. [18:27] And then you have Shador Sanders as the second quarterback or the first [18:31] quarterback after Ward. [18:32] But then instead of going with McMillan as the first wide receiver, [18:36] you go Matthew golden. [18:38] And, uh, you can get some, you can get about plus, uh, [18:41] about five to one on that.”

2025 NFL Draft Round 1: Hampton was correctly the 2nd RB off the board (#22, behind Jeanty #6), but Colston Loveland (not Warren) was the 1st TE (#10; Warren went #14), Jaxson Dart (not Shedeur Sanders) was the 2nd QB (#25; Sanders fell to round 5, pick 144), and Tetairoa McMillan (not Golden) was the 1st WR (#8; Egbuka #19, Golden 3rd among WRs at #23) — parlay lost on 3 of 4 legs. (RB: Jeanty #6, Hampton #22 | TE: Loveland #10, Warren #14 | QB: Ward #1, Dart #25, Sanders #144 | WR: McMillan #8, Egbuka #19, Golden #23)

“So over four and a half at plus 260, a bet 365. I think Hunter, we talked about Barron, [32:07] Will Johnson, those are the three locks.”

Only ~3 CBs went in round 1 (Hunter, Barron, Hairston); Will Johnson fell to round 2. Under 4.5. (3 cornerbacks in R1, under 4.5)

“so i'm going under two and a half wide outs as well and that's a plus 235”

3 WRs drafted in round 1 (McMillan 8, Egbuka 19, Golden 23); over 2.5, so under lost. (3 WRs in R1)

“And so they're 17 to one to take Ashton Gentry. [41:24] I think that's a great bet.”

Ashton Jeanty went to the Raiders at No. 6, not the Broncos. (Jeanty to Las Vegas, pick 6)

“You can get the Giants to draft Shador Sanders at plus 350.”

Giants drafted Jaxson Dart at No. 25, not Shedeur Sanders, who fell to round 5 (Browns). (Sanders ultimately pick 144, Browns)

“and then uh Jackson Dart uh plus 250 to the Saints I think is uh actually [44:07] more likely than that”

Jaxson Dart went to the Giants at No. 25, not the Saints. (Dart to NY Giants, pick 25)

“yeah i think abu carter is the play at plus 205”

Abdul Carter went 3rd overall to the Giants, not 2nd. (Carter #3 (Giants))

“I made Emmett plus 495 to win by knockouts. [4:29] The one bet I show value on, [4:31] it's the one bet we are kind of aligned on [4:33] in this fight as being the value bet. [4:35] Emmett by KO at five to one.”

Lerone Murphy beat Josh Emmett by unanimous decision; no Emmett KO. (Murphy def. Emmett UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46), UFC Vegas 105)

“I don't think you can be super wrong playing Mearshart at plus 185 on the money line [13:57] and goes to decision at about minus 150 and having the potential to cash Mearshart decision [14:03] or essentially breaking even on a Brad Tavares decision.”

Brad Tavares defeated Gerald Meerschaert by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy; Meerschaert's ML lost. (Tavares def. Meerschaert, unanimous decision (29-28 x3))

“So interested in Franza inside the distance like his money line [35:09] at about minus 150 against the guy who does not defend strikes.”

Rhys McKee defeated Daniel Frunza by TKO (doctor stoppage) at 5:00 of Round 1 at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy; Frunza's ML/inside-the-distance pick lost. (McKee def. Frunza, TKO (doctor stoppage), R1 5:00)

“the jets to draft the quarterback first at 17 to 1 on drafting i think that worth uh more than a sprinkle”

Jets' first pick was OT Armand Membou, not a QB. (Jets picked Armand Membou (T, Missouri) at No. 7)

“jaylon walker under eight and a half at minus 150 i really think he's unlikely just [57:57] carolina's at eight i i don't think he's likely to slide past carolina”

Jalon Walker went 15th overall, not under 8.5. (Walker drafted No. 15 by Atlanta)

“Talking about Shador already, but I would go under three and a half at plus 140.”

Shedeur Sanders went 144th, far over 3.5. (Sanders drafted No. 144 (Round 5) by Cleveland)

“kept McMillan over 18 and a half plus 150. I'll take that all day.”

Tetairoa McMillan went 8th overall, under 18.5; over bet loses. (McMillan drafted No. 8 by Carolina)

“Will Johnson, the corner under 11 and a half at plus 130.”

Will Johnson went 47th (Round 2), over 11.5; under bet loses. (Johnson drafted No. 47 by Arizona)

“So I'm going to go with Conclave at plus 240.”

Conclave lost Best Picture to Anora. (Anora won Best Picture)

“us off here because I like Timothy Chalamet at plus 150.”

Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) won Best Actor at the 97th Academy Awards; Chalamet lost. (Best Actor: Adrien Brody)

“this is my favorite bet like i think this is the biggest delta between what's most likely to happen”

Dune: Part Two won Best Sound at the 97th Academy Awards; Wicked lost. (Best Sound: Dune: Part Two)

“more field goals combined by both teams made in this game than passing touchdowns are thrown at [21:59] plus 130”

4 combined field goals (all Elliott) vs 5 passing TDs (Mahomes 3, Hurts 2); FGs were not more than passing TDs. (4 FG < 5 passing TD)

“you're looking at a guy that's already bet under two and a [24:01] half combined passing touchdowns at uh some plus money”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Combined 62; under 2.5 busts.

“So I am rolling with Kansas city on the money line.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

“but I took the Chiefs to have more first downs [58:28] for that same reason.”

Eagles had more first downs (21 to 12), so Chiefs-more-first-downs lost. (Chiefs 12, Eagles 21)

“we're gonna go with field goals over one and a half for Kansas City at minus one twenty five. I would bet this up to about minus one fifty. So I think that the chiefs are gonna struggle in a red zone.”

Kansas City scored only touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX and Harrison Butker made zero field goals, so the team over 1.5 made field goals lost.

“give you under two and a half combined passing touchdowns at plus one fifty.”

The two teams combined for five passing touchdowns (Mahomes 3, Hurts 2) in Super Bowl LIX, so the under 2.5 lost.

“at the end of the day, I I trust bags, and I trust Mahomes. So rolling with the chiefs minus one and a half.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.

“And it the Kansas City Chiefs to have under eight and a half players to catch a pass at minus 165 at DraftKings”

Nine distinct Chiefs caught a pass, over 8.5; under loses. (Chiefs pass-catchers: Worthy, Kelce, Hopkins, Smith-Schuster, Brown, Hunt, Pacheco, Gray, Perine (9))

“I'm going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs”

Eagles had more first downs (21) than Chiefs (12). (First downs: Eagles 21, Chiefs 12)

“I'm going with the commanders plus six and a half at the Eagles.”

PHI 55, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -32 vs line +6.5; busts.

“my my final pick of the Sunday six packs gonna be Noah Gray over 13 and a half receiving yards I also like over one and a half catches I split them up I'll go with receiving yards for this”

Noah Gray did not register a catch or receiving yard in the box score of the Jan 26, 2025 AFC Championship (Chiefs 32, Bills 29); the over on 13.5 receiving yards lost. (Noah Gray: no receiving stats recorded (Kelce 2-19, JuJu Smith-Schuster 2-60 led KC TEs/WRs))

“going with the Eagles, Rams, first half under 22 and a half.”

PHI 28, LAR 22 — Combined 50; under 22.5 busts.

“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens first half money line minus 110.”

BUF 27, BAL 25 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm going with the Ravens-Bills. under 51 and a half”

BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.

“[15:38] I'm going with the Texans Chargers under 43.”

HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 43 busts.

“six-pack going with the Tampa Bay Bucs minus three against the Washington Commanders. [49:05] And I love this matchup for the Bucs.”

TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

“I'm going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs plus 10 at the Denver Broncos here.”

DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10; busts.

• Steelers ML closed +117 · CLV +19¢ pending
• Raiders ML closed +260 · CLV -45¢ lost

“If the Steelers win then we going to have a really good position on a Chargers excuse me a Raiders Steelers money line parlay All right And that a so plus 136 for Pitt and Raiders at plus 215 [42:40] So that's a plus 643 parlay.”

Parlay busts: Steelers ML — pending; Raiders ML — lost.

“going with the carolina panthers plus eight at tampa bay”

TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +8; busts.

“going with the [34:18] Denver Broncos plus three and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals”

CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“alone with the green [44:52] bay packers plus one and a half at the minnesota vikings”

MIN 27, GB 25 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I'm going to go with the Pittsburgh Steelers here.”

PIT 10, KC 29 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.

“the Buffalo Bills minus 14 against the New England Patriots.”

BUF 24, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -14; busts.

“going with the San Francisco 49ers plus one and a half at the Miami Dolphins.”

MIA 29, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -12 vs line +1.5; busts.

“i'm going with the tennessee titans plus [29:24] three and a half at the indianapolis colts”

IND 38, TEN 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

• Seahawks ML closed +118 · CLV +22¢ lost
• Texans ML closed +160 · CLV -20¢ lost

“if you parlay they're both one plus 140 so uh seattle plus 140 houston plus [1:04:45] 140 Harley plus 476.”

Parlay busts: Seahawks ML — lost; Texans ML — lost.

“give me the give me the seahawks this is just on the uncertainty around gino”

SEA 24, MIN 27 — Seattle Seahawks lost; moneyline busts.

“give me the Steelers plus five and a half here.”

PHI 27, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.

“the Cleveland Browns, plus four and a half, at home against the Kansas City Chiefs.”

CLE 7, KC 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Seahawks, [44:20] plus three minus 120.”

SEA 13, GB 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -17 vs line +3; busts.

• Dolphins ML closed +127 · CLV +8¢ lost
• Colts ML closed +182 · CLV -12¢ lost

“plus five 35 is the parlay for our money line dogs, [1:10:19] Colts, dolphins.”

Parlay busts: Dolphins ML — lost; Colts ML — lost.

“the dolphins are going to be my [1:04:08] money line dog this week”

HOU 20, MIA 12 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns plus six and a half at the [10:44] Pittsburgh Steelers”

PIT 27, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.

“going with the Las Vegas Raiders, plus six and a half at Tampa Bay.”

TB 28, LV 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -15 vs line +6.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Chicago bears plus four at the San Francisco [34:47] 49ers.”

SF 38, CHI 13 — Chicago Bears margin -25 vs line +4; busts.

“I'm going with the Falcons Vikings under 46 and a half, [53:57] 45 and a half.”

MIN 42, ATL 21 — Combined 63; under 45.5 busts.

“I'll take the Jets on the money line”

MIA 32, NYJ 26 — New York Jets lost; moneyline busts.

“i am going with the tennessee titans plus five and a half at the washington commanders”

WSH 42, TEN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -23 vs line +5.5; busts.

“going with Ravens Eagles first half under 25 and a half.”

BAL 19, PHI 24 — Combined 43; under 25.5 busts.

“Let's go with the San Francisco 49ers plus 2.5 at the Green Bay Packers.”

GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts plus seven and a half against the Detroit Lions.”

IND 6, DET 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.

“I'm going with Tommy Cutlets and the New York Giants plus six at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”

NYG 7, TB 30 — New York Giants margin -23 vs line +6; busts.

“Eagles, Rams, first half under 24 and a half is out there. 23 and a half if you can't get that, but we'll go with 24 and a half for the show.”

LAR 20, PHI 37 — Combined 57; under 24.5 busts.

“My money line dog is going to be the Chicago Bears. Hungry Bears are violent bears.”

CHI 27, MIN 30 — Chicago Bears lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus one and a half at the Los [16:55] Angeles Chargers”

LAC 34, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.