“I'll take Wisconsin.”
Geoff Schwartz
Guest · 23-34-3 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 20 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | moneyline | prop | futures | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 8-15-34% | 4-2+18% | 2-3-24% | 1-3 | 2-2 | 17-25-26% |
| CFB | 5-9-32% | 1-0 | — | — | — | 6-9-24% |
Picks
65 total · 5 pending“All right, so Jeff and I will both bet you together.”
“I think you take Virginia first half and hammer Virginia first half.”
“I like over 1,100 yards.”
“So I like this play because I think he'll have more of an impact”
“The Steelers are going to win the NFC North, the AFC North next year”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; Pittsburgh finished second and missed the playoffs, so the division future loses.
“The answer is the Pittsburgh Steelers at plus 250.”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; the Steelers finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the +250 division future loses.
“I think under 12 1⁄2 interceptions.”
Nick Foles threw only 2 interceptions in 2019 (broken clavicle limited him to 4 games), under 12.5, so the under wins.
“I like over 56.5.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Combined 16; over 56.5 busts.
“I'm not surprised if the Rams were doing it, [9:30] but I'm taking the Patriots on the money line.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“Give me a Cooks, Brandon Cooks, under 75.5 yards.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Brandin Cooks: 120 receiving_yards vs under 75.5; busts. (Brandin Cooks: 120 receiving_yards)
“It's actually my next pick is Michelle over 17 and a half carries.”
Sony Michel carried 18 times in Super Bowl LIII, clearing the 17.5 line for the over.
“I'm going to take orange and yellow, both at plus 400.”
The Patriots' Gatorade bath at Super Bowl LIII was blue, not orange or yellow, so the +400 picks lose.
“So I like Kansas city and the Rams at plus three 25.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; the Chiefs lost the AFC Championship to the Patriots, so the Chiefs-and-Rams exact-matchup bet loses.
“Wentz is minus 500 I would have taken Wentz no matter what happened this week no matter what happened in the Super Bowl they got there Wentz is the better player He younger He the franchise future Wentz will start week one for the Eagles no doubt about it”
Carson Wentz started Week 1 of the 2019 season for the Eagles (and all 16 games), so the -500 bet wins.
“Clemson. I got them at plus six.”
ALA 16, CLEM 44 — Clemson Tigers margin +28 vs line +6; covers.
“But I like Indy plus six.”
KC 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“The bet I like, the one I've made so far, Saints over 29.5 points.”
The Saints beat the Eagles 20-14 in the Divisional Round, scoring only 20 points, under the 29.5 team total, so the over loses.
“their defense is really good under [13:45] Mike Vrabel, and I'm going with the [13:47] Titans here on Saturday night. I hope we don't lose this parlay”
TEN 25, WSH 16 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“Antonio Gates for some reason can keep doing [23:04] it I like the Chargers big in this game”
LAC 10, BAL 22 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the crowd noise, everything kind of just [29:07] gets under Chiefs' skin. [29:08] I think Seattle wins this game outright.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“Dallas over Tampa Bay at home. [36:03] Come on, guys.”
DAL 27, TB 20 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking the Chiefs on the money line Thursday night.”
KC 28, LAC 29 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going Indy Dallas under 47.”
IND 23, DAL 0 — Combined 23; under 47 covers.
“Give me Fresno State and the Moneyline in the Vegas Bowl this weekend.”
FRES 31, ASU 20 — Fresno State Bulldogs won; moneyline covers.
“So, give me Baltimore [6:48] plus seven.”
KC 27, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“let's go to Arizona Cardinals plus two and a half at home against the Lions.”
ARI 3, DET 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I like the Browns here to win this game outright, and you give me a point, I'll take it.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“So give me Texas plus seven and a half against Oklahoma this weekend. [11:18] I'll give you all the reasons why.”
OKLA 39, TEX 27 — Texas Longhorns margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“So I'm going with [27:06] the Bucs here at [27:08] plus four. Tampa Bay”
TB 24, CAR 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +7 vs line +4; covers.
“So give me Buffalo here at minus three and a half.”
BUFF 29, NIU 30 — Buffalo Bulls margin -1 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I personally love the Chiefs at plus three here. [2:51] It is not that I'm a Chiefs homer.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I'm going with the Washington State Cougars minus 3.5 against the Washington Huskies.”
WSU 15, WASH 28 — Washington State Cougars margin -13 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Atlanta plus 13 in New Orleans. [14:33] That line is, oh boy, it's crazy.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13; busts.
“I'm going to go here with the Oklahoma Sooners plus one in Morgantown, I guess West Virginia.”
WVU 56, OKLA 59 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“Monday night, Kansas City”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I think Washington here covers the plus three.”
WSH 21, HOU 23 — Washington Redskins margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“Tennessee Titans plus three on the road at Indianapolis.”
IND 38, TEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -28 vs line +3; busts.
“So I think Cal's the play here at plus two at home.”
BAY 9, TCU 16 — Baylor Bears margin -7 vs line +2; busts.
“Give me the Niners.”
SF 23, NYG 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“Give me Cal plus five at USC this weekend.”
ISU 28, BAY 14 — Baylor Bears margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“Give me the Memphis Tigers minus 14 against Tulsa.”
BC 7, CLEM 27 — Clemson Tigers margin +20 vs line -14; covers.
“I think the Saints win in a shootout here.”
NO 45, LAR 35 — New Orleans Saints margin +10 vs line +1; covers.
“Tampa play plus seven against Carolina on the road.”
CAR 42, TB 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“Give me the Wildcats.”
ARIZ 42, COLO 34 — Arizona Wildcats margin +8 vs line -4; covers.
“Give me the Lions as three-point favorites at home against the Seahawks.”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Detroit Lions margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I give me the Browns plus eight and a half at Pittsburgh right now.”
PIT 33, CLE 18 — Cleveland Browns margin -15 vs line +8.5; busts.
“UCLA plus 10 at home against Utah.”
UCLA 10, UTAH 41 — UCLA Bruins margin -31 vs line +10; busts.
“So I will take my first pick here, Jets plus three at home against the Vikings.”
NYJ 17, MIN 37 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +3; busts.
“I don't see any way this game goes under 58.5.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Combined 55; over 58.5 busts.
“Michigan State plus seven at home against Michigan.”
MSU 7, MICH 21 — Michigan State Spartans margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“give me Oakland plus three at home against the Seahawks”
OAK 3, SEA 27 — Oakland Raiders margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“I get three and a half points for the Oregon Ducks, a team off a bye,”
ORE 30, WASH 27 — Oregon Ducks margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Panthers”
CAR 33, NYG 31 — Carolina Panthers margin +2 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I like Kentucky here.”
TA&M 20, UK 14 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“and I'll take the points in Arizona.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +4; covers.
“BYU is only allowing 17 points a game. [12:45] So a defensive game against two teams I think that are matched well. [12:48] And BYU is not getting any love. [12:50] I want the points here.”
WASH 35, BYU 7 — BYU Cougars margin -28 vs line +16.5; busts.
“So I going to like I said I need to go against what I would normally do here And I am going Denver plus four”
DEN 23, KC 27 — Denver Broncos margin -4 vs line +4; pushes.
“Lions in the Cowboys in Dallas plus three and a half [35:45] for a couple reasons here.”
DAL 26, DET 24 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So now you have Cincinnati plus three, a team who's 2-0, who's playing really well right now. They look like a playoff team. They look like the 2015 team. They're still getting no respect. And so I think this is a great play at plus three on Sunday.”
CAR 31, CIN 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“There's already 77% of money on Oakland, and they lost today. They haven't played good ball yet, and I just feel like this is another way to fade the public in this game.”
MIA 28, OAK 20 — Miami Dolphins margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
“But I'm going over 54.5. A ton of points NFL. Chiefs and 49ers.”
KC 38, SF 27 — Combined 65; over 54.5 covers.
“So a rivalry game here. [8:10] I like the Giants plus three.”
NYJ 12, MIA 20 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“Philly minus three at Tampa. [18:23] Tampa is not very good.”
TB 27, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“My last pick on this part, if we ever get to it, is the fighting Herm Edwards Sun Devils minus three and a half.”
SDSU 28, ASU 21 — Arizona State Sun Devils margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.