Guest · 24-31-3 on settled picks
| League | spread | moneyline | total | futures | prop | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 8-14-31% | 4-2+18% | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 16-22-23% |
| CFB | 6-8-18% | 1-0 | — | — | — | 7-8-11% |
“Blackjack and I have bet you see your vine. Schwartz, you wind in on this? Anyone want to take some Wisconsin action? I'll take Wisconsin. Who are they playing? Oregon. Oregon.”
72-54 — Oregon beat Wisconsin 72-54 in the first round on Mar 22, 2019, so Wisconsin ML lost.
“I like Wofford at minus three, sure.”
84-68 — Duplicate Wofford -3 pick on the same game; Wofford won 84-68 on Mar 21, 2019, covering -3.
“The AFC North division futures. The Cleveland Browns are favored at plus 125. The Steelers are plus 250. The Ravens at plus 275. And the Bengals at plus 800. Where are you putting your money on the AFC North teams to start this season? This is absolutely wild. The answer is the Pittsburgh Steelers at plus 250.”
The Baltimore Ravens won the 2019 AFC North with a 14-2 record; the Pittsburgh Steelers finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the +250 Steelers division future loses.
“I like over 56.5.”
NE 13, LAR 3 — Super Bowl LIII finished Patriots 13, Rams 3 (combined 16 points), well under the 56.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I'm not surprised if the Rams were doing it, [9:30] but I'm taking the Patriots on the money line.”
NE 13, LAR 3 — Patriots beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII; the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Give me a Cooks, Brandin Cooks, under 75.5 yards.”
Brandin Cooks had 8 catches for 120 receiving yards in Super Bowl LIII, well over the 75.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Brandin Cooks: 8 rec, 120 receiving yards)
“It's actually my next pick is Michelle over 17 and a half carries.”
Sony Michel carried the ball 18 times in Super Bowl LIII, clearing the 17.5-carry line (ESPN box score). (Sony Michel: 18 carries)
“show let get a couple uh a couple other things looking at kind of just some other props around around football and one baseball one We get to a second All right Exact matchup for the Superbowl There's obviously four matchups. The one I like the best guys, and I can read them off. New Orleans, Kansas city plus one 65, new England, new Orleans, two 60 LA, Kansas city plus three 25 and new England and Los Angeles. Plus four. So I like Kansas city and the Rams at plus three 25.”
Super Bowl LIII was Patriots vs Rams (Patriots won 13-3); the Chiefs were eliminated by the Patriots in the AFC Championship, so the Chiefs+Rams exact-matchup future loses (ESPN box scores).
“Wentz is minus 500 I would have taken Wentz no matter what happened this week no matter what happened in the Super Bowl they got there Wentz is the better player He younger He the franchise future Wentz will start week one for the Eagles no doubt about it”
Carson Wentz started at quarterback in the Eagles' 2019 Week 1 win over Washington, 32-27, so the -500 bet on him starting Week 1 wins (ESPN box score).
“Clemson. I got them at plus six.”
CLEM 44-16 — Clemson beat Alabama 44-16 in the CFP National Championship, a margin of +28, covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“The bet I like, the one I've made so far, Saints over 29.5 points.”
New Orleans Saints beat Philadelphia Eagles 20-14 in the NFC Divisional Round; the Saints scored 20 points, under the 29.5 team total (ESPN box score). (Saints 20 points)
“lots of games this week there's lots of games that look great but i'll tell you the one well no no they don't play this week it's the Panthers and Falcons interesting all right let's go to Saturday night this is going to be a big game but I think the Titans are going to win this game as 10 point favorites against Washington look Washington was a great story last week all right they go to Jacksonville Jacksonville is a not a good football team right now in in in uh with Cody Kessler leading them they're just not a good team they've given up already Washington goes in there. Teams, we often see this. They get like a little boost at times with a backup quarterback playing his first game, right? The defense doesn't have film on him, especially a mobile quarterback in Josh Johnson. There's no chance that they go in to Tennessee this week with the way the Titans are playing defensively and win this game. Even if the Titans play ugly on offense, which they do at times, their defense is really good under Mike Vrabel, and I'm going with the Titans here on Saturday night. I hope we don't lose this parlay by Saturday night.”
TEN 25, WSH 16 — Titans beat Washington 25-16; Tennessee moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“Baltimore's going to go in there, and they're going to play that defense, the Chargers' defense, and they're going to get stuffed the entire game. They don't have any chance, in my opinion. The Chargers have the ninth defense, DVOA, heading into, you know, coming out of last week, I should say. they're not going to put up enough points in my opinion and the Chargers with Gordon back they're reported he'll be back this week Keenan Allen's fine Mike Williams Antonio Gates for some reason can keep doing it I like the Chargers big in this game I just don't buy the Ravens at all with that offense going on the road across country first great defense they played don't buy it at all I think Phillip Rivers”
BAL 22, LAC 10 — Ravens beat Chargers 22-10; Los Angeles moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I think the crowd noise, everything kind of just [29:07] gets under Chiefs' skin. [29:08] I think Seattle wins this game outright.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seahawks beat Chiefs 38-31; Seattle moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“My chance. I'm going to end this on a winner. Are you ready? Are you ready? Yeah, yes. You're supposed to say, yes, I'm ready. I don't have a high falsetto voice, sorry. Come on, you can be, what are you, front dominant? I am, yes. Oh, yeah, we should share that on air. Last week you mocked me for saying that I'm front dominant, like quad dominant, and then you went to the trainer yesterday and he said the exact same thing about you. So maybe it's the same conversation I have with my wife all the time. She thinks I'm stupid and then someone else tells her the same exact thing I told her and then she still thinks I'm stupid but gives me a little bit of credit. I like your wife. You like her. She puts me in my place quite often. Get her on the podcast. I mean, those 30 lunges you did made your trainer. My legs are a little sore. Oh, I'm sorry. Dallas over Tampa Bay at home. Come on, guys. Come on, boys. I looked at this. You're right on this one. It just worries me because I just don't buy Dallas, but Tampa's not very good. No. Also, it's like they're minus 300, so we get a little bit of value here.”
DAL 27, TB 20 — Cowboys beat Buccaneers 27-20; Dallas moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, so we're going money. I'm taking the Chiefs on the money line Thursday night. They are, this will be the 10th win in a row against the Chargers. Thursday night football, home team is 10-2 so far this year. The Chiefs just own the Chargers. It's not like, and here's the thing about the ownage deal. It's not that they're lucky they're winning these. They are blowing out the Chargers when they play them. Every time the Chargers come to Kansas City, even last year, ooh, the Chargers have won seven in a row, come to Kansas City, Chiefs are struggling, the Chargers are going to win the AFC West now, and they lose by 17 points. The Chargers are nuts. I'm not going to win this football game. I know the Chiefs are a little beat up, which worries me a tiny bit. Spencer Ware might be out, Tyreek Hill, who knows. But you went to Pat Mahomes yesterday. That was the toughest game the Chiefs have had all year, and they still found a way to win that game. That's a game, by the way, they lose the first five years Andy Reid is there. I've watched enough Chiefs football to know that game. They lost to the Titans two years ago. We lost to the Colts in 2013 in that type of game, and the Chiefs won that game. So I think it's minus 165 right now. I'll take the Chiefs on the money line Thursday night.”
LAC 29, KC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers beat Kansas City Chiefs 29-28 on Thursday Night Football; Chiefs moneyline busted (ESPN box score).
“I'm going Indy Dallas under 47.”
IND 23, DAL 0 — Indianapolis Colts beat Dallas Cowboys 23-0; combined 23 points, under 47 won (ESPN box score).
“Give me Fresno State and the Moneyline in the Vegas Bowl this weekend.”
Fresno State 31, Arizona State 20 — Fresno State beat Arizona State 31-20 in the 2018 Las Vegas Bowl on Dec 15, 2018; Fresno State moneyline won (Wikipedia summary of the game).
“So, give me Baltimore [6:48] plus seven.”
KC 27, BAL 24 — Chiefs beat Ravens 27-24 in overtime; Baltimore lost by only 3, covering the +7 line.
“let's go to Arizona Cardinals plus two and a half at home against the Lions.”
DET 17, ARI 3 — Lions beat Cardinals 17-3; Arizona lost by 14, outside the +2.5 line, so Cardinals +2.5 busts.
“I like the Browns here to win this game outright, and you give me a point, I'll take it.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Browns beat Panthers 26-20 outright, covering the +1 line easily.
“So give me Texas plus seven and a half against Oklahoma this weekend. [11:18] I'll give you all the reasons why.”
OKLA 39, TEX 27 — Oklahoma beat Texas 39-27 in the Big 12 Championship; Texas margin -12 fails the +7.5 line (ESPN final).
“So I'm going with [27:06] the Bucs here at [27:08] plus four. Tampa Bay”
TB 24, CAR 17 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 24-17; Tampa Bay margin +7 covers the +4 line (ESPN final).
“So give me Buffalo here at minus three and a half.”
NIU 30, BUFF 29 — Northern Illinois beat Buffalo 30-29 in the MAC Championship; Buffalo margin -1 fails the -3.5 line (ESPN final).
“getting ready for the game tonight in the Coliseum, Chiefs and Rams. I personally love the Chiefs at plus three here. It is not that I'm a Chiefs homer. My brother plays for the Chiefs. I'll throw that out there. I think the Rams' defense is not very good. Well, I know they're not very good. They're allowing 27 points a game over their last seven games. But really, the stat that is important to us on this show, Gambling Show, we know this. Good teams win, great teams cover. The Rams are a great team. They're 1-5-1 against the spread their last seven games. I get the Chiefs tonight with all these points. He's going to be scoring this game and plus the three. I love this play”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Rams beat Chiefs 54-51; Chiefs margin -3 exactly matches the +3 line, a push (ESPN box score).
“I'm going with the Washington State Cougars minus 3.5 against the Washington Huskies.”
WASH 28, WSU 15 — Washington beat Washington State 28-15 in the Apple Cup; WSU margin -13 fails the -3.5 line (ESPN final).
“Atlanta plus 13 in New Orleans. [14:33] That line is, oh boy, it's crazy.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Saints beat Falcons 31-17 on Thanksgiving; Atlanta margin -14 fails the +13 line (ESPN final).
“I'm going to go here with the Oklahoma Sooners plus one in Morgantown, I guess West Virginia.”
OKLA 59, WVU 56 — Oklahoma beat West Virginia 59-56; Sooners margin +3 covers the +1 line (ESPN final).
“Monday night, Kansas City plus two and a half. Here's why. Obviously, I'm a little bit of a Chiefs homer. That's not going to be the reason why I take this. The reason why I take this is more the Rams defensive suspect. They've allowed 31, 45, and 27 the last three weeks. And the 27 could have been more, if you remember, if Ty Montgomery doesn't fumble on that kickoff to start that two-minute drive. Their defense has not been what we thought. Look, Aaron Donald has been fantastic. He's the winning defensive player of the year. But Dominick Hinsu has not been what we thought. They traded for Dexter Fowler for pass rusher. That has not helped so far. And now Dexter Fowler goes against the best right tackle NFL in my brother. So he's not going to get very much on Monday night. The secondary has been suspect. They've been injured. Marcus Peters has not been a number one now. He's playing the Chiefs now, so maybe he thinks it's a revenge game. But I trust Andy Reid to design a game plan to get after Marcus Peters. He knows him inside and out. He drafted him. He's the one who got rid of him. And I think the Chiefs are going to score so many points in this game. The over might not hit It 63 or 63 and a half I not quite sure But I fairly certain the Chiefs are going to score a lot of points this game On the flip side the Chiefs defense continuing to get better Will they contain the Rams' offense? I don't know. I think they'll do it enough. So I like the 2.5 here.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — LA Rams beat Kansas City 54-51 in the Monday-night shootout; Chiefs lost by 3, busting the +2.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I think Washington here covers the plus three.”
WSH 21, HOU 23 — Houston beat Washington 23-21; Redskins lost by 2, covering the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“Tennessee Titans plus three on the road at Indianapolis.”
IND 38, TEN 10 — Indianapolis beat Tennessee 38-10; Titans lost by 28, well beyond the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“So I think Cal's the play here at plus two at home.”
STAN 23, CAL 13 — Stanford beat California 23-13 in the Big Game; Cal lost by 10, busting the +2 line (ESPN box score).
“So how about this? Niners favored by three points over the Giants. The Giants are awful. They're awful. The Niners, we saw them against the Raiders. And this is not an overreaction for the Raiders because I think that the Niners offensively are just so far advanced than like 25 teams around the NFL that they can do a lot with a little. And their offensive line is really good. They're running the ball well. Even if Bethard or Mullins plays, I think that their offense will be able to move the ball against the Giants who trade away Harrison. The Giants are just a complete and absolute wreck. The Niners front seven is really good They can get after the quarterback The Giants offensive line is out of 31 points I know it a game that a a long way Mind that football is sweet to wait until the end of the week to win this parlay But I just can see the Giants even come close to this game Traveling across the country like this too, mind that football. Give me the Niners.”
NYG 27, SF 23 — Giants beat 49ers 27-23; 49ers -3 needed to win, so this pick busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me Cal plus five at USC this weekend.”
CAL 15, USC 14 — California beat USC 15-14 outright, covering Cal +5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Memphis Tigers minus 14 against Tulsa.”
MEM 47, TULSA 21 — Memphis beat Tulsa 47-21, a 26-point margin that covers Memphis -14 (ESPN box score).
“alright I'm up alright how about this there's a weird board by the way on a Monday morning let's look at this thing let's go with New Orleans plus one home against the Rams”
NO 45, LAR 35 — Saints beat Rams 45-35; New Orleans' +10 margin covers the +1 line (ESPN box score).
“Tampa play plus seven against Carolina on the road.”
CAR 42, TB 28 — Panthers beat Buccaneers 42-28; Tampa Bay's -14 margin misses the +7 line (ESPN box score).
“Friday night, Friday night, packed home after dark. Arizona's four-point favorites over Colorado at home. Give me the Wildcats.”
ARIZ 42, COLO 34 — Arizona beat Colorado 42-34; Arizona's +8 margin covers the -4 line (ESPN box score).
“I love this idea I take you one better Detroit is now minus two and a half in some places Oh where that at So what that means is I think it at the Westgate That what I synced up to right now Well, that's what matters. So give me two and a half, even better. Give it to me right now.”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Seahawks beat Lions 28-14; Detroit's -14 margin misses the -2.5 line (ESPN box score).
“So I give me the Browns plus eight and a half at Pittsburgh right now.”
PIT 33, CLE 18 — Steelers beat Browns 33-18; Cleveland's -15 margin misses the +8.5 line (ESPN box score).
“UCLA plus 10 at home against Utah.”
UCLA 10, UTAH 41 — Utah beat UCLA 41-10; UCLA's -31 margin misses the +10 line (ESPN box score).
“So I will take my first pick here, Jets plus three at home against the Vikings.”
MIN 37, NYJ 17 — Vikings beat Jets 37-17; New York Jets +3 loses by 20, busts (ESPN box score).
“All right I don know how you don keep riding Chiefs overs They play the Bengals this weekend it 15 and a half I know it a lot of points again but I don know how we ever bet the under the Chiefs are back at home now It another Sunday football game It just less almost about the Chiefs The Chiefs defense is horrific. They are so bad. They're averaging They're averaging allowing 5.7 yards to carry heading into the game last night. It continues that the Patriots ran all over him What do the Bengals do? They run the football. They have play-action passes I don't see any way this game goes under 58.5. It's a ton of points. I know it is, but I don't know how we don't play Chiefs overs until proven otherwise.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Chiefs beat Bengals 45-10, a combined 55 points; Over 58.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Michigan State plus seven at home against Michigan.”
MICH 21, MSU 7 — Michigan beat Michigan State 21-7; Michigan State +7 loses by 14, busts (ESPN box score).
“give me Oakland plus three at home against the Seahawks”
OAK 3, SEA 27 — Seahawks beat Raiders 27-3 in London; Oakland margin -24 vs +3 line busts (ESPN box score).
“I get three and a half points for the Oregon Ducks, a team off a bye,”
ORE 30, WASH 27 — Oregon beat Washington 30-27 in overtime; Oregon margin +3 vs +3.5 line covers (won outright) (ESPN box score).
“I think the Panthers win this game fairly easily they're at six and a half right now I like the Panthers”
33-31 — Panthers beat the Giants 33-31 on a 63-yard field goal (ESPN); the 2-point margin falls short of covering -6.5.
“Kentucky, on the road at A&M, it opened at 6.5, and now at plus 6. Kentucky's 5-0, folks. Like, they're playing really good football, and they're playing really good defense. They beat South Carolina, who's, you know, whatever. Mississippi State, who we thought was going to be really good. They gave it to Florida earlier in the year. I think that this team can play some ball, and defense, remember, travels very well. So Kentucky right now defensively is 14th in yards per play They playing an A team that sloppy under Jimbo Fisher first head coach there Their yards per play on defense is 112th so Kentucky will be able to move the ball on them and I think they'll be able to stop them. I get almost a touchdown here with a 5-0 football team on the road against a new program in Jimbo Fisher. I like Kentucky here.”
20-14 — Texas A&M beat Kentucky 20-14 in overtime (ESPN); the exact 6-point margin pushes against +6.
“So the two options for this play, and I can make statements, either one, for this. Arizona, where did it go? Arizona at San Francisco, they opened up at plus five. It's now down to plus four and a half. Weird number there. Or Jacksonville plus three at Kansas City. Now, we know that line could move after Kansas City plays tonight. And that game is at Kansas City. Which one of those two do you feel more comfortable about? Because I kind of like both equally. Pauly? Well, I think a lot of people are going to be on Arizona just because of the Phil Dawson Blues, like I said. Well, I think they're – And C.J. Beathard sort of imploded in the second half of that. Well, he's not very good. He had a good start. Yeah, he had a good start, and then they put the clamps on him in the second half. Cardinals usually play they kind of win a game I guess they don't have to win this game for us to win the bet though if you play Jacksonville now I mean Kansas City plays tonight what is the Jacksonville line? 3? plus 3 yeah this is a no brainer it's Jacksonville plus 3 right? no it's Arizona well I bet Arizona already so I feel better now that we agreed on that”
28-18 — Cardinals beat the 49ers 28-18 (ESPN); the 10-point road win covers +4.5.
“Jeff Schwartz, as is our custom, you're up first. Let's start in college football. You talk about lines you bet right away. BYU is plus 16 and a half now. I got them last night at plus 17 at Washington. And this game, the under is not posted yet, and I would be very inclined to take the under eventually when I see it get posted. So Washington this year has an interesting year. They did not cover week one against Auburn. and they lost 21-16. They believe they might have covered against Utah, but they only won 21-7. And this weekend, they beat Washington, excuse me, Arizona State, 20-27-20 as huge favorites in that game as well. They're just not playing on offense quite like people expected with a fifth-year quarterback. It's not surprising. Jake Browning didn't play terribly well last year. And then on the flip side, their defense is just as good as it was last year. They were fourth in points allowed last year. They're right now at only allowing 12 points a game. But BYU as well, they went into a ranked Cal, and Cal's now ranked, and lost by three. Kept that game very close Went to a ranked Wisconsin and beat them 24 And they played McNeese State this week a throwaway game They won that game And then also week one went to Arizona and won by five I think it's way too many points to give the Cougars in a game that's going to be a defensive game. BYU is only allowing 17 points a game. So a defensive game against two teams I think that are matched well. And BYU is not getting any love. I want the points here.”
35-7 — BYU lost at Washington 35-7 (ESPN box score); a 28-point road loss busts the BYU +16.5 spread.
“So I going to like I said I need to go against what I would normally do here And I am going Denver plus four”
27-23 — Chiefs beat the Broncos 27-23 on Monday Night Football (ESPN); Denver's 4-point loss lands exactly on the +4 line, a push.
“Lions in the Cowboys in Dallas plus three and a half [35:45] for a couple reasons here.”
26-24 — Cowboys beat the Lions 26-24 on a last-second field goal (ESPN); Detroit's 2-point road loss covers the +3.5 spread.
“So now you have Cincinnati plus three, a team who's 2-0, who's playing really well right now. They look like a playoff team. They look like the 2015 team. They're still getting no respect. And so I think this is a great play at plus three on Sunday.”
21-31 — Panthers beat Bengals 31-21; Bengals +3 loses by 10, busts (ESPN box score).
“All right. I think I'm going to stay in the NFL here, and kind of my feeling about teams not getting a lot of respect. And, again, I know the Raiders covered today, but I'm kind of on this fade the Raiders thing all season, because I think that they're, even though the game they won today, I don't think they played terribly well in the second half, and they still have a lot of holes. They have to travel now after a really tough loss in Denver all the way to Miami. They're going to play a Miami team that's 2-0. They beat the Jets this week. They actually pounded the Jets, really, in New York after everyone thought the Jets were going to win 11-12 games. They beat Tennessee already this year. They're only laying three points. And I think it's another underrated team who's playing really good ball. I know, Chad, you talk about it often. and the Southern teams that no one really cares about, they kind of fall in that category. I forget your exact terms on that, but it feels like this is another game where no one's respecting the Dolphins. There's already 77% of money on Oakland, and they lost today. They haven't played good ball yet, and I just feel like this is another way to fade the public in this game.”
20-28 — Dolphins beat Raiders 28-20; Miami -3.5 wins outright and covers (ESPN box score).
“But I'm going over 54.5. A ton of points NFL. Chiefs and 49ers.”
27-38 — Chiefs beat 49ers 38-27, combined 65 points; Over 54.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“So a rivalry game here. [8:10] I like the Giants plus three.”
DAL 20, NYG 13 — Cowboys beat Giants 20-13; Giants lost by 7, failing to cover +3 (ESPN box score).
“Philly minus three at Tampa. [18:23] Tampa is not very good.”
TB 27, PHI 21 — Buccaneers beat Eagles 27-21; Eagles lost by 6, failing to cover -3 (ESPN box score).
“My last pick on this part, if we ever get to it, is the fighting Herm Edwards Sun Devils minus three and a half.”
SDSU 28, ASU 21 — San Diego State beat Arizona State 28-21 outright, so Arizona State fails to cover -3.5 (ESPN game page).