Brooks Koepka to win the PGA Championship
“Anybody before the tournament starts if you're waiting to bet Cam Young until, obviously, once we're underway. Yeah, I've taken a chance on a few players in the mid-tier. I like Brooks Koepka.”
Aaron Rai won the 2026 PGA Championship; Brooks Koepka did not win, so the futures bet on Koepka lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Sepp Straka first-round leader
“I put him in my preview piece this week for a first-round leader play. When he does play well, and as you mentioned, he hasn't played well at the major championships, but when he does play well, he often starts well. So I'm looking at him to get off to a good start.”
Sepp Straka shot a first-round 72 at the 2025 Open Championship, far off the lead of 67; he did not lead after round 1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Straka Round 1: 72 (T52 overall))
Viktor Hovland to win The Open Championship
“That said, my favorite play in the outright market is Viktor Hovland”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship at 17-under; Viktor Hovland finished T63 at +4 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Scheffler -17 (winner); Hovland +4 (T63))
Matthew Fitzpatrick to win The Open Championship
“I'll also bet Matt Fitzpatrick, who's really trending in the right direction in the outright market.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship at 17-under; Matthew Fitzpatrick tied for 4th at -11 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Scheffler -17 (winner); Fitzpatrick -11 (T4))
Jason Day to win The Open Championship (+9000)
“and I'll take a little play on Jason Day. I know that he missed the cut in his last start at the John Deere Classic, but if you go back and look at Jason Day in his four top ten finishes so far this year, he hasn't finished better than 27th in the previous event in any of those. So it doesn't seem like he's a momentum type of guy that he needs to play well one week in order to play well the next week. So I think Jason Day at 90-1 makes for a really nice play in the outright market because he has that potential upside.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship; Jason Day missed the cut with a 36-hole total of 144 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Scheffler -17 (winner); Day missed cut at 144 (73-71))
Viktor Hovland to win Scottish Open
“The one name that strikes me a good number and a guy that I like this week is the last name on the screen right there. That's Viktor Hovland”
Chris Gotterup won the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open at 15-under, two shots clear of Rory McIlroy and Marco Penge (ESPN final leaderboard); Viktor Hovland did not win.
Aaron Rai to win Scottish Open
“Aaron Rye. And here's before I get to players. My theme this week is players with roots on the DP World Tour who grew up maybe playing some more links golf for the American players. And that play on the PGA Tour now but get, you know, sort of a bump in the comfortability and familiarity factors going back over there this week. So Aaron Rye is a guy who won this golf tournament five years ago. It wasn't a PGA Tour sanctioned event at the time, but that was a big stepping stone in his career. I like him a lot.”
Chris Gotterup won the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open; Aaron Rai did not win (ESPN final leaderboard).
Harry Hall to win Scottish Open
“Harry Hall has six straight top 25 finishes on the PGA Tour. He's another guy from England, just qualified for the Open Championship. So, like, everything's going really well for him. And if you believe in this stuff, he won a year ago this week at the ISCO Championship, the alternate event. So, not playing there, not defending his title, but I don't know. Maybe there's something about this week in July that suits him well. So I like Harry Hall a lot.”
Chris Gotterup won the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open; Harry Hall did not win (ESPN final leaderboard).
Matt Wallace to win Scottish Open (+10000)
“Matt Wallace is a guy that I've always thought could win a quote-unquote bigger event, maybe not a major championship, but something with some of the bigger names in it. And I think he's worth a little punt at 100-1 this week.”
Chris Gotterup won the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open; Matt Wallace did not win (ESPN final leaderboard).
Thorbjorn Olesen to win (+5000)
“I like him at 50 to one.”
Ryan Fox won the 2025 RBC Canadian Open in a playoff over Sam Burns; Thorbjørn Olesen finished T36 at -9, not the winner (ESPN leaderboard).
Kurt Kitayama to win (+5500)
“Kurt Kitayama's 55 to one.”
Ryan Fox won the 2025 RBC Canadian Open; Kurt Kitayama missed the cut at 1-over 139, not the winner (ESPN leaderboard).
Chris Gotterup to win
“And then Chris Goddara very quietly is playing some really nice golf, five straight top 30s. Those are the three places that I'll start in the outright market”
Ryan Fox won the 2025 RBC Canadian Open; Chris Gotterup missed the cut at 138, not the winner (ESPN leaderboard).
Johnny Keefer top 40
“I'm going Johnny Keefer Ladder this week. He's one of the best players on the Corn Fairy Tour. The number's a little shorter than I thought, but I'm going top 40, top 20, top 10, maybe even top 5.”
Johnny Keefer missed the cut (140) at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, so he did not finish top 40 (ESPN leaderboard).
Johnny Keefer top 20
“I'm going Johnny Keefer Ladder this week. He's one of the best players on the Corn Fairy Tour. The number's a little shorter than I thought, but I'm going top 40, top 20, top 10, maybe even top 5.”
Johnny Keefer missed the cut (140) at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, so he did not finish top 20 (ESPN leaderboard).
Johnny Keefer top 10
“I'm going Johnny Keefer Ladder this week. He's one of the best players on the Corn Fairy Tour. The number's a little shorter than I thought, but I'm going top 40, top 20, top 10, maybe even top 5.”
Johnny Keefer missed the cut (140) at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, so he did not finish top 10 (ESPN leaderboard).
Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run
“[2:00:42] At Jason Sobelgolf on Twitter.
[2:00:43] My friend, enjoy the tournament.
[2:00:44] We'll talk soon.
[2:00:45] Tyler Soderstrom, home run parlay.
[2:00:48] Oh, I love that.
[2:00:49] A home run bet from Jason for tonight”
Angels 10, Athletics 5 — Tyler Soderstrom went 3-for-4 with no home runs as the Angels beat the Athletics 10-5. (Tyler Soderstrom: 0 HR)
Nikko Remigio first touchdown scorer (+15000)
“150 to 1 for first touchdown, 30 to 1 for any time touchdown. That was my first click of the week, Nick. What do you think of that one?”
Philadelphia 40, Kansas City 22 — Nikko Remigio did not score a touchdown; Philadelphia beat Kansas City 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX (ESPN box score).
Justin Rose to win AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (+15000)
“Look, I don't know that Justin Rose can win here again. He did it two years ago, but that was before it was a signature event. We had all the big names out there. That said, he was 11th last year. His number is just way too high, 150 to 1 for Justin Rose. He's tied for 70th on the odds board of 80 players. Again, do I think he's going to win? No. Am I going to sprinkle a little bit? As you guys know, not every bet is I think he's going to win and I'm going to bet him. It's I think there's a ton of value there. I'm going to take a chance.”
Rory McIlroy won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at 21-under; Justin Rose tied for 3rd, so his outright futures bet lost (PGA Tour final leaderboard).
Ben Griffin to win the Wyndham Championship (+8000)
“[2:25:43] And I'm trying to fire some darts.
[2:25:45] I'm looking at guys like Ben Griffin, who's 80-1, has a couple of top fives in his last five starts.”
Aaron Rai won the 2024 Wyndham Championship at 18-under; Ben Griffin did not win (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (2024 Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262))
Max Greyserman to win the Wyndham Championship
“[2:25:51] I'm looking at Max Breizerman, who has gotten better in each of his last five,
[2:25:55] finished runner-up at the 3M Open just a few weeks ago.”
Aaron Rai won the 2024 Wyndham Championship at 18-under; Max Greyserman finished runner-up at 16-under (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (2024 Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262); Greyserman 2nd (16-under))
Mackenzie Hughes to win the Wyndham Championship
“[2:25:59] Mackenzie Hughes, yeah.
[2:26:01] Look, the ball striking isn't quite what we'd like it to be,
[2:26:04] but that putter has been red hot.
[2:26:07] He can make enough birdies to win on this one.”
Aaron Rai won the 2024 Wyndham Championship at 18-under; Mackenzie Hughes did not win (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (2024 Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262))
Matthew NeSmith to win the Wyndham Championship
“[2:26:09] Matthew NeSmith is somewhere in the 150 to 175 to 1 range.
[2:26:13] He's got a couple of top 10s in his last three starts.”
Aaron Rai won the 2024 Wyndham Championship at 18-under; Matthew NeSmith did not win (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (2024 Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262))
Andrew Novak to win the Wyndham Championship (+8000)
“[2:26:16] Andrew Novak at 80 to 1 is a guy that's 21st on the PGA Tour
[2:26:22] in strokes game total,”
Aaron Rai won the 2024 Wyndham Championship at 18-under; Andrew Novak did not win (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (2024 Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262))
Ben Griffin / Ernie Els / Lydia Ko tournament-winner parlay
- Ben Griffin to win
- Ernie Els to win
- Lydia Ko to win
“[2:29:17] a lot of time. Alright, Ben Griffin
[2:29:19] of the PGA Tour, Ernie Els on
[2:29:21] PGA Tour Champions, and give me
[2:29:23] Lydia Ko
[2:29:25] LPGA, which is the Olympics this week.”
The multi-tour parlay lost because Ben Griffin did not win the 2024 Wyndham Championship; Aaron Rai won it at 18-under (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (Wyndham champion: Aaron Rai (18-under 262))
Collin Morikawa to win Olympic men's golf (+1100) · BetMGM
“[2:20:49] As for my favorite player on the board, though,
[2:20:51] it's a short number this week 11 to 1 at that MGM but I think Collin Morikawa is just absolutely
[2:20:57] due for a great week”
Scottie Scheffler won Olympic men's golf gold at 265 (-19); Collin Morikawa tied for 24th at 278 (-6). (Gold: Scottie Scheffler (265, -19); Morikawa: T24 (278, -6))
Rory McIlroy to win the Open Championship
“So my card, I'm starting it with Rory McIlroy. I've got Rory this week.”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Rory McIlroy missed the cut at +11 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); McIlroy missed cut (+11))
Jason Day to win the Open Championship (+10000)
“Other than that, it's a couple of long shots, Jason Day and Nikolai Hoigard, both at triple digits 100 to 1 this week other than that i'm basically playing finishing position”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Jason Day finished T13 at +1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Day T13 (+1))
Nicolai Hojgaard to win the Open Championship (+10000)
“Other than that, it's a couple of long shots, Jason Day and Nikolai Hoigard, both at triple digits 100 to 1 this week other than that i'm basically playing finishing position”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Nicolai Hojgaard finished T66 at +12 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Hojgaard T66 (+12))
Ludvig Aberg top debutant
“In fact, my two favorite bets on the board right now involve two of those three players. Ludvig Aberg, depending on the book you're at, you can get him at plus money. It might be plus 125, it might be plus 180. But you can get Ludwig as the top debutant. And debutant is always a weird word. It sounds like he's wearing a gown to the Open Championship. but top first-time competitor at the Open. He's plus money, and the other names on the list right behind him, guys like Davis Thompson, Akshay Batia, Tom McKibbin, good players, but, I mean, Ludwig's far and away the best name in that group, and so I love him at plus money to be the top first-timer playing the Open.”
Ludvig Aberg missed the cut at +9 in the 2024 Open; Dan Brown, playing his major-championship debut, led after round one and finished T10, the top debutant (ESPN leaderboard; Wikipedia). (Aberg: missed cut (+9); top debutant: Dan Brown, T10 (E))
Tyrrell Hatton low LIV golfer (+450)
“and so I love him at plus money to be the top first-timer playing the Open. Then Tyrrell Hatton, he's right around plus 450 for the low-lived player this week, and you've got to deal with Bryson and Jon Rahm and Brooks Koepka and Cam Smith. We've got some good players up there who are in the mix this week. But Terrell Haddon was top five the last time they played the Open at Troon, and he's been playing some really good golf. So those are the kind of bets that I'm looking at this week.”
Tyrrell Hatton missed the cut at +8 in the 2024 Open; Jon Rahm, a LIV Golf player since December 2023, was the top-finishing LIV golfer at T7 (-1) (ESPN leaderboard; Wikipedia). (Low LIV golfer: Jon Rahm, T7 (-1); Hatton missed cut (+8))
Tom McKibbin to finish top 20
“Give me a couple of top 20s on some guys that play the DP World Tour on a regular basis. Tom McKibbin is a name that you probably haven't heard before. He's 21 years old, grew up in Hollywood, Northern Ireland, if that sounds familiar. It's the same hometown as Rory McIlroy. This kid's got a ton of games. He's been racking up top 20s on that tour throughout the entire year. I like him. And then Matteo Manassero is probably a guy that you haven't heard much from”
Tom McKibbin finished T66 at +12 in the 2024 Open, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Tom McKibbin: T66 (+12))
Matteo Manassero to finish top 20
“I like him. And then Matteo Manassero is probably a guy that you haven't heard much from in a long time. This is a guy who won four times by the time he's 20 years old on the DP World Tour. Recently, he's found his game. It's taken him over a decade. It's taken him about 11 years to find it, but he's found his game. He's won over there. He's got a couple other top 10 finishes, playing some really good golf. He was 15th last week at the Scottish Open, which, oh, by the way, huge correlation between Scottish Open results and Open Championship results over the last couple of years. And so Matteo Manassero for a top 20 is really nice plus money.”
Matteo Manassero finished T31 at +6 in the 2024 Open, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Matteo Manassero: T31 (+6))
Min Woo Lee to win Rocket Mortgage Classic
“Yeah. So I'm going to start the outright card with Min Woo Lee right there. It didn't really take place last year, but Detroit Golf Club, over the first five years of this golf tournament, has essentially played into the hands of the big hitters. Give me long, give me straight off the tee. Guys who use driver as a weapon are going to have the most success on this golf course at this golf tournament. Three of the winners, Bryson, Tony Finau, Cam Davis, are all guys who are known for being very, very good drivers of the golf ball. And so didn't play out that way last year with Ricky Fowler beating Colin Morikawa and Adam Hadwin in a playoff. But Ricky's still a very good driver of the golf ball. So I'm looking at guys who are very good off the tee. First on that list is Minwoo Lee. If you look at Minwoo Lee over his last five starts, you go, eh, not so good. Nothing inside the top 20. Or you look at his last five starts and you go, ah, pretty good. Everything inside the top 30. It's a statistical anomaly of the fact that Minwoo Lee has finished between 21st and 26th. In each of his last five starts, that's just kind of weird. I don't know, but he's playing good enough golf to go out and win, especially against a field like this. All of those results have been against really good fields. This one is not a really good field, as you mentioned. And so Minwoo Lee is a good place to start the card. Looking for that first career PGA Tour victory, and I would not be surprised whatsoever if it comes this week. Jason, anything else on the Rock and Marge? I kind of want to ask you about the Open Championship, too, just because that might be the next time we see Scheffler. rory kind of already said he's taken a couple weeks off going to play like the irish open i think he plays that every year so one of those tournaments to get set up for the open but anything else on the rocket mortgage i know you said minwoo lee uh that'll make tyler happy i think a part of our crew like he bets minwoo lee on like basically every tournament anything else interesting about this tournament then maybe we'll do the open for a couple months yeah give me i'll give you three more names here uh the second name is keith mitchell who's a guy i'm the leader of the keith mitchell fan club i've been saying for years now that he's going to be a top 20 top 25 He's currently 84th, he's never been better than 44th. That just blows my mind. Every time I watch him play, I'm like, this guy's really, really good and just hasn quite clicked for him over the last couple of years but he played well He just hasn played well enough I think he can win this one Davis Thompson a young kid out of the University of Georgia who finished in the top 10 at the U Open just a couple of weeks ago Watch out for this kid. He was number one in the world amateur golf rankings just a few years ago. This kid's coming, and he's coming in a hurry. He's going to be really good, and it's starting to all come together for him right now. And then a name that, if you're looking for value, I know his form isn't great. Last six starts, nothing better than a 35th place finish. But Nikolai Hoigard, we saw him play last year in the Ryder Cup for Europe. This guy's got a ton of offensive firepower. I was shocked when I saw his number. Currently at BetMGM, 66 to 1. I would have thought he'd be about half of that in this field. I think that's a great number to jump on early in the week.”
Cam Davis won the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic at 18-under 270, one shot clear of Akshay Bhatia, so Min Woo Lee's outright bet lost. (Winner: Cam Davis (18-under 270))
Keith Mitchell to win Rocket Mortgage Classic
“Yeah. So I'm going to start the outright card with Min Woo Lee right there. It didn't really take place last year, but Detroit Golf Club, over the first five years of this golf tournament, has essentially played into the hands of the big hitters. Give me long, give me straight off the tee. Guys who use driver as a weapon are going to have the most success on this golf course at this golf tournament. Three of the winners, Bryson, Tony Finau, Cam Davis, are all guys who are known for being very, very good drivers of the golf ball. And so didn't play out that way last year with Ricky Fowler beating Colin Morikawa and Adam Hadwin in a playoff. But Ricky's still a very good driver of the golf ball. So I'm looking at guys who are very good off the tee. First on that list is Minwoo Lee. If you look at Minwoo Lee over his last five starts, you go, eh, not so good. Nothing inside the top 20. Or you look at his last five starts and you go, ah, pretty good. Everything inside the top 30. It's a statistical anomaly of the fact that Minwoo Lee has finished between 21st and 26th. In each of his last five starts, that's just kind of weird. I don't know, but he's playing good enough golf to go out and win, especially against a field like this. All of those results have been against really good fields. This one is not a really good field, as you mentioned. And so Minwoo Lee is a good place to start the card. Looking for that first career PGA Tour victory, and I would not be surprised whatsoever if it comes this week. Jason, anything else on the Rock and Marge? I kind of want to ask you about the Open Championship, too, just because that might be the next time we see Scheffler. rory kind of already said he's taken a couple weeks off going to play like the irish open i think he plays that every year so one of those tournaments to get set up for the open but anything else on the rocket mortgage i know you said minwoo lee uh that'll make tyler happy i think a part of our crew like he bets minwoo lee on like basically every tournament anything else interesting about this tournament then maybe we'll do the open for a couple months yeah give me i'll give you three more names here uh the second name is keith mitchell who's a guy i'm the leader of the keith mitchell fan club i've been saying for years now that he's going to be a top 20 top 25 He's currently 84th, he's never been better than 44th. That just blows my mind. Every time I watch him play, I'm like, this guy's really, really good and just hasn quite clicked for him over the last couple of years but he played well He just hasn played well enough I think he can win this one Davis Thompson a young kid out of the University of Georgia who finished in the top 10 at the U Open just a couple of weeks ago Watch out for this kid. He was number one in the world amateur golf rankings just a few years ago. This kid's coming, and he's coming in a hurry. He's going to be really good, and it's starting to all come together for him right now. And then a name that, if you're looking for value, I know his form isn't great. Last six starts, nothing better than a 35th place finish. But Nikolai Hoigard, we saw him play last year in the Ryder Cup for Europe. This guy's got a ton of offensive firepower. I was shocked when I saw his number. Currently at BetMGM, 66 to 1. I would have thought he'd be about half of that in this field. I think that's a great number to jump on early in the week.”
Cam Davis won the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic at 18-under 270, so Keith Mitchell's outright bet lost. (Winner: Cam Davis (18-under 270))
Davis Thompson to win Rocket Mortgage Classic
“Yeah. So I'm going to start the outright card with Min Woo Lee right there. It didn't really take place last year, but Detroit Golf Club, over the first five years of this golf tournament, has essentially played into the hands of the big hitters. Give me long, give me straight off the tee. Guys who use driver as a weapon are going to have the most success on this golf course at this golf tournament. Three of the winners, Bryson, Tony Finau, Cam Davis, are all guys who are known for being very, very good drivers of the golf ball. And so didn't play out that way last year with Ricky Fowler beating Colin Morikawa and Adam Hadwin in a playoff. But Ricky's still a very good driver of the golf ball. So I'm looking at guys who are very good off the tee. First on that list is Minwoo Lee. If you look at Minwoo Lee over his last five starts, you go, eh, not so good. Nothing inside the top 20. Or you look at his last five starts and you go, ah, pretty good. Everything inside the top 30. It's a statistical anomaly of the fact that Minwoo Lee has finished between 21st and 26th. In each of his last five starts, that's just kind of weird. I don't know, but he's playing good enough golf to go out and win, especially against a field like this. All of those results have been against really good fields. This one is not a really good field, as you mentioned. And so Minwoo Lee is a good place to start the card. Looking for that first career PGA Tour victory, and I would not be surprised whatsoever if it comes this week. Jason, anything else on the Rock and Marge? I kind of want to ask you about the Open Championship, too, just because that might be the next time we see Scheffler. rory kind of already said he's taken a couple weeks off going to play like the irish open i think he plays that every year so one of those tournaments to get set up for the open but anything else on the rocket mortgage i know you said minwoo lee uh that'll make tyler happy i think a part of our crew like he bets minwoo lee on like basically every tournament anything else interesting about this tournament then maybe we'll do the open for a couple months yeah give me i'll give you three more names here uh the second name is keith mitchell who's a guy i'm the leader of the keith mitchell fan club i've been saying for years now that he's going to be a top 20 top 25 He's currently 84th, he's never been better than 44th. That just blows my mind. Every time I watch him play, I'm like, this guy's really, really good and just hasn quite clicked for him over the last couple of years but he played well He just hasn played well enough I think he can win this one Davis Thompson a young kid out of the University of Georgia who finished in the top 10 at the U Open just a couple of weeks ago Watch out for this kid. He was number one in the world amateur golf rankings just a few years ago. This kid's coming, and he's coming in a hurry. He's going to be really good, and it's starting to all come together for him right now. And then a name that, if you're looking for value, I know his form isn't great. Last six starts, nothing better than a 35th place finish. But Nikolai Hoigard, we saw him play last year in the Ryder Cup for Europe. This guy's got a ton of offensive firepower. I was shocked when I saw his number. Currently at BetMGM, 66 to 1. I would have thought he'd be about half of that in this field. I think that's a great number to jump on early in the week.”
Cam Davis won the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic at 18-under 270; Davis Thompson tied for 2nd, not the win, so his outright bet lost. (Winner: Cam Davis (18-under 270))
Nicolai Hojgaard to win Rocket Mortgage Classic (+6600)
“Currently at BetMGM, 66 to 1.”
Cam Davis won the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic at 18-under 270, so Nicolai Hojgaard's outright bet lost. (Winner: Cam Davis (18-under 270))
Viktor Hovland to win The Open Championship (+1600)
“that I do like and I will have some investment in, one is Viktor Hovland because he doesn't have to chip the ball on those tight lies at a links golf course. He is 16 to one.”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at Royal Troon at -9, two shots clear of Justin Rose and Billy Horschel, so Viktor Hovland's outright bet lost. (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9))
Jon Rahm to win The Open Championship
“We've all forgotten about Jon Rahm. Jon Rahm didn't play great at the Masters, missed the cut of the BGA, had to withdraw from the U.S.”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at Royal Troon at -9, so Jon Rahm's outright bet lost. (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9))
Scottie Scheffler to win U.S. Open
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Bryson DeChambeau won the 2024 U.S. Open at -6; Scottie Scheffler finished T41 at +8, so the outright bet lost (ESPN leaderboard). (Scottie Scheffler: +8 (T41))
Jordan Spieth to win U.S. Open (+6600)
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Bryson DeChambeau won the 2024 U.S. Open at -6; Jordan Spieth finished T41 at +8, so the outright bet lost (ESPN leaderboard). (Jordan Spieth: +8 (T41))
Sepp Straka top 10 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Sepp Straka finished T56 at +12 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Sepp Straka: +12 (T56))
JT Poston top 10 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
JT Poston finished T32 at +7 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (JT Poston: +7 (T32))
Cameron Smith top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Cameron Smith finished T32 at +7 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Cameron Smith: +7 (T32))
Corey Conners top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Corey Conners finished T9 at even par at the 2024 U.S. Open, inside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Corey Conners: E (T9))
Christiaan Bezuidenhout top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished T32 at +7 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Christiaan Bezuidenhout: +7 (T32))
Alex Noren top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Alex Noren missed the cut at +8 (148) at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Alex Noren: +8 (missed cut))
Billy Horschel top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Billy Horschel finished T41 at +8 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Billy Horschel: +8 (T41))
Ryan Fox top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Ryan Fox finished T56 at +12 at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Ryan Fox: +12 (T56))
Akshay Bhatia top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Akshay Bhatia finished T16 at +3 at the 2024 U.S. Open, inside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Akshay Bhatia: +3 (T16))
Nick Dunlap top 20 finish
“So for me personally, I'm going to have Scotty this week, and I haven't had much Scotty this year at all. And I'm feeling a little FOMO, and I feel like I need to get on it, and maybe I'll be the jinx that everybody else needs, and Scotty will go miss the cut this week because I jumped on him. But I'm getting on Scottie. If I wasn't playing Scottie this week, I guess the top of my card would be some combination of guys just below him, which includes Xander Shoffley coming off a win of the PGA Championship, Colin Morikawa, who really played well. He won the without Scottie Scheffler market at Muirfield Village this past weekend, finishing runner-up to Scottie, playing really well. And from all reports, he was very pumped up afterwards. A lot of times a guy finishes in second, and he's pessimistic. I think he's a little down on himself. Colin was very excited about getting here this week. And then Max Homo, who's playing some better golf at the major championships over the past year. If you want to go a little bit deeper, I think it would be a name that for the casual golf fans, you'd go, wait, why is the number so big on him? For those who are paying attention, they understand. Jordan Spieth has not been playing very well this year. He's got a little bit of a wrist injury. I'm not sure how much that's affecting him on a weekly basis. but he only has one top 10 so far this year. That said, I will take Jordan Spieth at 66-1 and add him to the card just because he's a three-time major champion. I think what we have to remember, if you're putting someone on your outright card, second place doesn't matter. You're looking for the upside. You're looking for a guy that's got that massive ceiling. Jordan Spieth's the same number as a few guys, a Minwoo Lee, a Cameron Young, guys who haven't even won on the PGA Tour yet. at least give me a guy who's been there and done that and so jordan speed is indeed that guy look do i think he's gonna win no uh am i breaking the bank open for jordan speed this week absolutely not but do i see a number with a lot of value there i really do jason i think one of the good thing about your outright card is right like you you've kind of already done the work you you know the course you know the golfers in their recent form and so you kind of put all that together and and you give us who you like if people for this tournament just because there's so much more interest obviously in the majors than the other tournaments if people want to kind of do their own work here and be like all right like what are some things that i should be thinking about like all right that's jason's card i want to do my own card like what are some attributes that i should be looking for like you're there already i'm guessing you know the course really well it's a course that you know has had tournaments hosting before it's a famous place what are some things about the course that we should be looking for off the tee uh types of like shot arcs uh you know do they have long par threes is there water like what about this course is interesting what should people consider if they're doing their own outright card? I'm about to give you the worst answer ever, and hopefully you just laugh at it. But the course is playing over 7,500 yards this week, so you've got to be able to hit it long. What we've seen over the last decade is the major that used to go to the little guy, the Corey Pavins, the Lee Jansons, the Jim Furyks, is now the domain of the big hitter. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Bryce DeChambeau, Wyndham Clark, all big guys, big hitters who are strong enough to get it out of the rough. Now, this is a different kind of golf course. It doesn't really have the same rough that we've seen at previous ones. Ball striking always matters. Look, if you can hit not just good iron shots but high iron shots, these greens are going to be so firm, so fast. You want to launch it up in the air, be able to keep something on the greens this week. That's going to be important. You're going to miss greens, so you've got to have a great short game. You need to be creative. Martin Keimer won this tournament by eight shots a decade ago here at Pinehurst, number two. He didn't even use wedges around the greens. He was putting everything from around the greens. So you got to be creative. You got to think your way around this golf course. Of course, at any U.S. Open, you got to make some putts. You got to be able to make those mid-range 10, 12-foot putts to save par sometimes just to keep that round from turning the wrong direction. So that's it for you. Drive it really well. Hit great iron shots. be creative around the greens and make some butts. That's essentially golf right there. So like I said, this is going to be a terrible answer, but that's what it is. You're going to have to be really good in all aspects of the game. Of course, this is, again, what leads me back to Scottie Scheffler because no one does all of those things as well as he does altogether. You better hear with Nick and Ken on a Monday, talk in the U.S. Open with our friend Jason Sobel from BetMGM and SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio Joining us live from Pinehurst Jason on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf Jason give us a couple other bets you like coming up for the U.S. Open Could be outright markets long shots head whatever Yeah, I've got a whole bunch of top 10s, top 20s for you. I'll start with a couple of top 10s, and if you like them more for top 20s, a little more conservative, I'm okay with that as well. Sepp Stracca, playing some great golf. We saw him finish in a share of fifth place this past week at the Memorial Tournament. Really like him once again. His caddy, Dwayne Bach, actually won the North and South Amateur here at Pinehurst many, many years ago. That should help him a little bit, some familiarity with this golf course. JT Poston, look, there's one thing about going with the home favorite guy, the guy from North Carolina. He's playing some really good golf as well. I'm looking at guys who are a little undervalued, who've played good golf throughout the entire season so far. And then I'll just give you a whole bunch of other guys on the list. These are top 20. Cameron Smith was absolutely terrible yesterday in Houston at the live event, shot 80, made four doubles and a triple. I have absolutely no idea what that was about, but I'm going to bank on that being an outlier round and hope that that just raises the price a little bit. Corey Conners, ball striker supreme, been waiting for him to step up and win something bigger than a Valero Texas open. Not sure he can win this week, but he's such a good ball striker. Christian Bezadenhout has a great short game like him as well. The Irons have been better this year. Alex Noren has been fantastic. Billy Horschel has a win, and ever since that win, has been playing really good golf. Ryan Fox on a fast, firm golf course is a guy that I always target. Akshay Batia grew up not too far away in Raleigh. He's a guy that could do some damage. And Nick Dunlap, I mentioned the North and South Amateur. He won the U.S. Amateur last year, but he also won the North and South, played right here at Pioneer. So on a golf course where many of these players, I mean, like Rory McIlroy, I believe, has never played this golf tournament, this golf course in competition. Tiger Woods missed the one in 14, so he hasn't played here in 19 years. I mean, there's been a lot of guys who just don't have much experience. You look at experience, you almost look at some of the younger guys who played some of those amateur events here at Pinehurst, number two. Nick Dunlap's a guy who finished in 12th last week at the Memorial. that he's a guy that knows this golf course as well give us 10 more guys that you like i'm just kidding that was like that was a really pretty comprehensive list of uh of who you like there i think everybody's heard of most of those golfers because it's a really really uh because it's a because it's a major you're gonna know everybody in the field like 30 seconds jason for this 45 seconds just because we haven't talked about him yet and the story of literally the last major that we watched yeah scotty's been awesome this whole time like zander won one like it it happened like it happened and we haven't talked about him and he's still great um what about zander shawfly in this tournament in about 30 seconds how would you play him if you had asked me two months ago to name the best major championship for xander shuffley i would have said the u.s open i think he's finished 14th or better every single time he's played that's seven or eight career starts at this tournament plays great here he's got the monkey off his back all good vibes i like him this week if there's nobody named Scottie Scheffler in this golf tournament xander shuffley might be my guy, but there is a Scottie Scheffler. So maybe in those without Scottie Scheffler markets,”
Nick Dunlap missed the cut at +6 (146) at the 2024 U.S. Open, missing the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Nick Dunlap: +6 (missed cut))
Collin Morikawa to win Memorial Tournament
“Look, I like Rory here. He's played some good golf over the years. Look, he's played some really good golf over the years at Muirfield Village. Just based on Rory's baseline, I don't think I'm going to chase him here. He's never won in, I believe, 12 tries at this golf course. So to think that it's going to happen this week, could it? Sure. Am I paying up to find out? No, probably not. Same thing for Xander Shoffley. Xander Shoffley essentially plays well pretty much everywhere he goes, but doesn't play great at this one. And so I'm actually looking right below the two of those guys to Collin Morikawa, who's played some really good golf. Look, if you look at Morikawa's record at this one, you won't see that he won in 2020 because he won something called the Workday Charity Open. That was during COVID when they didn't really know exactly where to hold tournaments, when to hold tournaments. They said, you know what? We're just going to go to Muirfield Village for two weeks. And so they played the week before the memorial. He won that one in a playoff over Justin Thomas. You also, if you just do a little soft research, won't find that Collin Morikawa played really well here last year. Why? Because he withdrew prior to the final round. He He was only two back going into Sunday, started warming up on Sunday for his final round, had back spasms, withdrew from the golf tournament. So again, you don't know if you're not kind of remembering and you're not diving deeper into that research, but Morikawa's got a great record here. He finished top five in each of his last two starts at Valhalla and Colonial I think everything pointing in his direction for another big week You better you better here with Nick and Ken on a Monday getting bets for the Memorial We ask about the U Open in a little bit with our friend Jason Sobel from SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio and our friends at BetMGM. Jason is on Twitter at Jason Sobel Golf, because our man loves and knows golf. Jason, who's on the, you like Morikawa, who else is on the outright card coming up this week a memorial? Yeah, so it's actually it was pretty clear for me. There are a lot of weeks. Last”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament at -8; Collin Morikawa finished 2nd at -7 (ESPN leaderboard). (Morikawa: 2nd, -7 (281))
Sahith Theegala to win Memorial Tournament
“Sahith Thigala is a guy that I've liked at this golf course the last few years.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament; Sahith Theegala finished T12th at even par (ESPN leaderboard). (Theegala: T12th, E (288))
Keegan Bradley to win Memorial Tournament
“Keegan Bradley does not have a great record at this golf tournament, but boy, Keegan Bradley is playing some great golf right now.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament; Keegan Bradley finished T43rd at +9 (ESPN leaderboard). (Bradley: T43rd, +9 (297))
Byeong Hun An to win Memorial Tournament
“a memorial? Yeah, so it's actually it was pretty clear for me. There are a lot of weeks. Last week's a great example. RBC Canadian Open. I went up and down the board. I'm like, there's like 18 guys that I kind of like. No one that I love. No one that I hate. So I thought that was a really tough one. This one, more clear cut for me. It starts with Morikawa. Then I've got a bunch of guys in this mid-tier. Sahith Thigala is a guy that I've liked at this golf course the last few years. He was fifth place two years ago. Really disappointing last year. But if you look at the numbers across the board, playing some great golf right now. I know he ran out of steam at the PGA Championship, but he'd been dealing with an illness all week, missed the cut last week. That's okay, playing some really good golf. Keegan Bradley does not have a great record at this golf tournament, but boy, Keegan Bradley is playing some great golf right now. It's a little strange, a little curious that he doesn't have a better record because he's one of the longer straight drivers or one of the straighter long drivers, however you want to put it, on the PGA Tour. and this is a place where you can absolutely eat it up if you're driving it well, and he usually does. Ben Onn is another guy who's probably priced a little too short for me in the outright marketplace because he doesn't win golf tournaments, but he should finish in the top 10. He's got top fives in each of his or two of his last three starts. And the last guy, and again, this one's just number hunting a little, but he's starting to play some better golf. Tony Finau is not a name that we've looked at too often this year, but that number is creeping up to 50 to one at bed MGM. That's a big number for me. I will chase Tony Finau at that number. Yeah, it was funny.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament; Byeong Hun An finished T22nd at +4 (ESPN leaderboard). (Byeong Hun An: T22nd, +4 (292))
Tony Finau to win Memorial Tournament (+5000)
“Tony Finau is not a name that we've looked at too often this year, but that number is creeping up to 50 to one at bed MGM. That's a big number for me. I will chase Tony Finau at that number.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament; Tony Finau finished T8th at -1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Finau: T8th, -1 (287))
Sepp Straka top-20 finish
“No, I would stay with those guys. Those five are sort of my core five. Sepp Strzaka makes a nice play. He's starting to play well. His career record at the Memorial, not great until last year he finished in 16th place so he's a guy that I like for a top 20 type of play maybe even top 10 this week Harris English is another guy Corey Connors like these good solid ball strikers that don't get themselves into too much trouble they might not win a birdie fest for a tournament that gets to 22 under but this one usually the scoring is not too low now over”
Sepp Straka finished T5th at -2 (286) at the 2024 Memorial Tournament, inside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Straka: T5th, -2 (286))
Scottie Scheffler top-5 finish
“I love him for a top five this week”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters outright at -11 (277), clearing the top-5 finish line (ESPN final leaderboard). (1st place, -11 (277))
Hideki Matsuyama to win
“for me to say that I like Hideki means that I really like Hideki this week”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at -11; Hideki Matsuyama finished T38 at +7 (295), not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T38, +7 (295))
Ludvig Aberg to win
“I do like Oberk”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at -11; Ludvig Aberg finished runner-up (2nd) at -7 (281), not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (2nd place, -7 (281))
Will Zalatoris to win
“Will Zalatoris has played this event twice. He's been runner-up and finished in the share of sixth place. That's good enough for me”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at -11; Will Zalatoris finished T9 at even par (288), not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T9, E (288))
Shane Lowry to win
“Lowry's a guy on my card as well”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at -11; Shane Lowry finished T43 at +8 (296), not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T43, +8 (296))
Sam Burns to win (+5000)
“I think I've also got uh Sam Burns throwing in there just a little bit at 50 to 1 as well”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at -11; Sam Burns missed the cut (153 through 36 holes) and did not win (ESPN final leaderboard). (missed cut (153))
Tiger Woods to make cut
“So I like Tiger to make the cut”
Tiger Woods made the cut at the 2024 Masters and finished 60th at +16 (304 total) (ESPN final leaderboard). (made cut, T60, +16 (304))
Jordan Spieth top-10 finish
“Jordan Spieth for a top 10”
Jordan Spieth missed the cut at the 2024 Masters (153 through 36 holes), so he could not finish top-10 (ESPN final leaderboard). (missed cut (153))
Matt Fitzpatrick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational
“Matt Fitzpatrick is a guy that I always have thought was going to win at API at some point.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational; Matt Fitzpatrick did not win the tournament (ESPN).
Cameron Young to win Arnold Palmer Invitational
“Other players in that range, Cameron Young coming off another top five finish, very quietly playing some good golf right now.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational; Cameron Young did not win the tournament (ESPN).
Jason Day to win Arnold Palmer Invitational (+3500)
“Jason Day is a former champion here. He's right around 35 to one. So those are some of the names where I'm starting my card.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational; Jason Day did not win the tournament (ESPN).
Corey Conners to win Arnold Palmer Invitational
“And I'm probably going down to a Corey Conners at 70, 75 to one.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational; Corey Conners did not win the tournament (ESPN).
Christiaan Bezuidenhout to win Arnold Palmer Invitational
“I'm going to go back to Bazadenhut this week.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational; Christiaan Bezuidenhout did not win the tournament (ESPN).
Max Homa top United States rookie (+150)
“And Max Homa, he's the favorite in this market, but a plus 150 against only three other players. I think he makes a whole lot of sense.”
Max Homa went 3-1-1 for 3.5 points across all five sessions, 1.5 points clear of any other American and the top rookie/top US scorer at the 2023 Ryder Cup (CBS Sports recap). (Homa 3.5 points (3-1-1))
Europe wins 15-13 (+1200)
“I've got Europe at 15 to 13. And so I've got a two-point differential. That's 12 to 1 in most books.”
16.5-11.5 — The 2023 Ryder Cup finished Europe 16.5, United States 11.5 (ESPN), not the backed 15-13 exact score.
Europe wins 14.5-13.5
“But you can get 14.5, 13.5, and 15.5, 12.5, and essentially cover your bases.”
16.5-11.5 — The 2023 Ryder Cup finished Europe 16.5, United States 11.5 (ESPN), not the backed 14.5-13.5 exact score.
Europe wins 15.5-12.5
“But you can get 14.5, 13.5, and 15.5, 12.5, and essentially cover your bases.”
16.5-11.5 — The 2023 Ryder Cup finished Europe 16.5, United States 11.5 (ESPN), not the backed 15.5-12.5 exact score.
Collin Morikawa to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship (+2200) · BetMGM
“Collin Morikawa is a guy who's played some really good golf this year, gaining strokes with his irons in 16 of his last 18 starts, and quite frankly fits the same profile as Will Zalatorre, who won this event last year. Essentially a world-class iron player who can see a little spike week with his putter. He actually putted a little bit better than Zalatorre and finishing in fifth place last year. So I think Morikawa makes a lot of sense. Tommy Fleetwood, I know the win equity isn't quite there. He's never won on U.S. soil. It's going to happen at some point. If you've been betting Tommy Fleetwood for years now, probably not that we could jump off. I do like Tommy Fleetwood. And then my favorite play on the board started at 40-1. I think he's around 30-1 in most books now, so a lot of people on him. But Sam Burns, two years ago, lost here at a playoff. Last week, finished 14th of the Wyndham Championship, so playing better golf. He's putting on Bermuda Greens, which are his preferred service. He puts much better on Bermuda Greens. And he has 12th in the Ryder Cup standings. He needs a big week to show off for Captain Zach Johnson, And if he wants to be on that U.S. team, a lot of things going in Sam Burns' favor this week. I really like him as well. So Collin Morikawa, 22-1 at BetMGM.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship in a playoff at -15; Collin Morikawa finished T13th at -10 and did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Collin Morikawa T13th (-10))
Tommy Fleetwood to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship (+2800) · BetMGM
“Tommy Fleetwood, I know the win equity isn't quite there. He's never won on U.S. soil. It's going to happen at some point. If you've been betting Tommy Fleetwood for years now, probably not that we could jump off. I do like Tommy Fleetwood. And then my favorite play on the board started at 40-1. I think he's around 30-1 in most books now, so a lot of people on him. But Sam Burns, two years ago, lost here at a playoff. Last week, finished 14th of the Wyndham Championship, so playing better golf. He's putting on Bermuda Greens, which are his preferred service. He puts much better on Bermuda Greens. And he has 12th in the Ryder Cup standings. He needs a big week to show off for Captain Zach Johnson, And if he wants to be on that U.S. team, a lot of things going in Sam Burns' favor this week. I really like him as well. So Collin Morikawa, 22-1 at BetMGM. Tommy Fleetwood, 28-1.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship in a playoff at -15; Tommy Fleetwood finished T3rd at -14 and did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Tommy Fleetwood T3rd (-14))
Sam Burns to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship (+3300) · BetMGM
“And then my favorite play on the board started at 40-1. I think he's around 30-1 in most books now, so a lot of people on him. But Sam Burns, two years ago, lost here at a playoff. Last week, finished 14th of the Wyndham Championship, so playing better golf. He's putting on Bermuda Greens, which are his preferred service. He puts much better on Bermuda Greens. And he has 12th in the Ryder Cup standings. He needs a big week to show off for Captain Zach Johnson, And if he wants to be on that U.S. team, a lot of things going in Sam Burns' favor this week. I really like him as well. So Collin Morikawa, 22-1 at BetMGM. Tommy Fleetwood, 28-1. Sam Burns, 33-1.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship in a playoff at -15; Sam Burns finished T52nd at -2 and did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Sam Burns T52nd (-2))
Denny McCarthy to win the Wyndham Championship
“And I start my outright card with a guy who his number has sunk like a stone. I hope he got on Denny McCarthy about 36 hours ago”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Denny McCarthy missed the cut at -1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Lucas Glover (-20); Denny McCarthy missed cut (-1))
Russell Henley to win the Wyndham Championship
“But in any case he was in fifth place last year at this event And I do like Russell Henley Once again, he's the straightest driver on the PGA tour, which is going to come in handy very much at this golf course.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Russell Henley finished T2 at -18 (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Russell Henley T2 (-18))
Alex Smalley to win the Wyndham Championship
“but alex small he still makes for a nice investment this week”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Alex Smalley missed the cut at -1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Lucas Glover (-20); Alex Smalley missed cut (-1))
Adam Hadwin to win the Wyndham Championship
“adam hadwin is another guy uh that i really like”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Adam Hadwin missed the cut at +2 (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Lucas Glover (-20); Adam Hadwin missed cut (+2))
Eric Cole to win the Wyndham Championship
“eric cole i can get behind this week”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Eric Cole finished T14 at -10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Eric Cole T14 (-10))
Billy Horschel to win the Wyndham Championship
“billy horschel i will throw out there as well. Billy Horschel is the one that last week, usually we're kind of kicking ourselves on a Sunday afternoon going, man, I should have taken Lee Hodges. I was kicking myself on Thursday morning about 9 a.m. when Billy Horschel birdied two of his first three holes. I go, man, I should have got on Billy Horschel this week. I knew there was some good stuff coming. We saw him two months ago at the Memorial Tournament crying after the first round. Shot in 84. Talk about how hard golf is and how he just wasn't playing his best stuff. He's a guy that over the years, when he starts finding it, He finds it in a hurry, and he keeps it going for a while. He steps on the gas pedal. He's got some win equity, 27th or better at this event in the last four years. Billy Horschel at 61 is a nice number as well.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Billy Horschel finished 4th at -16 (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Billy Horschel 4th (-16))
Doc Redman to win the Wyndham Championship
“Doc Redman is a guy that I really liked a few years ago.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Doc Redman missed the cut at even par (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Lucas Glover (-20); Doc Redman missed cut (E))
Carson Young to win the Wyndham Championship
“Carson Young. Carson Young, a rookie on the PGA Tour, sort of under the radar, but five finishes of 21st or better in his last dozen starts.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Carson Young finished T67 at +1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Carson Young T67 (+1))
Zac Blair to win the Wyndham Championship
“And then Zac Blair. Zac Blair played well enough at the 3M Open last week to clinch his PGA Tour card for the 23-24 season.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Zac Blair missed the cut at +3 (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Lucas Glover (-20); Zac Blair missed cut (+3))
Cameron Smith to win the 2023 U.S. Open
“two on the top of my list i've got cameron smith who's been playing on live golf but we saw him win”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at -10; Cameron Smith finished T4th at -6, so the futures bet lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Jordan Spieth to win the 2023 U.S. Open
“for the pga championship and then of course jordan spieth who is the game's preeminent magician right”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at -10; Jordan Spieth missed the cut (143 total), so the futures bet lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Patrick Reed to win the 2023 U.S. Open
“We might like Patrick Reed as a long shot.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at -10; Patrick Reed missed the cut (+8, 288 total), so the futures bet lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Si Woo Kim to win the 2023 U.S. Open
“And maybe even 85, 90 to one is Siwoo Kim.
Siwoo Kim is a guy we've always known has a very high ceiling, but one that doesn't always rear its head because he'll win and then he'll go away for a year or so where he can that it's a bottomless floor.
And so when he's not winning, he's shooting 79s and missing the cut.
That has changed over the past year.
He's now made 18 of 21 cuts this season.
He's been top seven in three of his last six starts.
We know the ceiling is still there.
The floor has been elevated.
What I always say about outright long shot plays is, look,
if they finish second or they finish 156th, you lose the same amount of money.
I want a guy who has that high ceiling as a long shot and can win.
I think Siwoo Kim gives you that ceiling this week.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at -10; Si Woo Kim missed the cut (+4, 284 total), so the futures bet lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Tony Finau to win the 2023 U.S. Open (+4000)
“The one other player that I have bet,
in full disclosure, I've bet those four already, and I put a little on Tony Finau at 40 to one.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at -10; Tony Finau finished T32nd at +3 (283 total), so the 40-1 futures bet lost (ESPN leaderboard).
Sahith Theegala top 10 (+300)
“without mentioning this name yet, but I love Sanjay M this week. I feel like he's been building up to something really good. And over the last three years, he's got a runner up finish and an eighth place finish. I've said for a while, Nick, that I don't think, first of all, the markets are reflecting how good Sanjay is. I don't think the public understands how good he is. I put him on the same level as, quite frankly, a Xander Shoffley and close to a Colin Morikawa. Certainly there with a Victor Hovland, maybe Will Zalatoris. I get it. Those are all bigger names. They've all, other than Zalatoris, won more often than Sanjay M. But I'm telling you, he's going to win a few more tournaments over the next year, and he's going to be priced like some of those other guys. I'm taking him for a top 10 this week. Plus 300 is a really good number, I think.”
Official Masters results confirm that Sahith Theegala top 10 settled won as recorded.
Shane Lowry top 20 (+180)
“I going with Shane Lowry for a top 20 at plus 180”
Official Masters results confirm that Shane Lowry top 20 settled won as recorded.
Gordon Sargent top amateur (+210)
“[32:41] minus 105 there in the top 40 market but yeah um if this iron plays for real i'm gonna ride it and
[32:46] i know his short game can keep him around inside the top 20 at augusta yeah i like that idea a lot
[32:52] there. All right, my last one. One of my favorite names in all of golf and an emerging superstar.
[32:57] I'm telling you, if you don't know this name yet, remember it, get to know it. Gordon Sargent
[33:02] is the number one ranked amateur in the world He didn even qualify for this event He won the NCAA championship title as a freshman last year at Vanderbilt was given a special exemption in luck I pretty sure the folks here at Augusta are
[33:17] going to start giving an exemption to the NCAA champion every year. Well, they sort of started
[33:23] this year. He is on the board for top amateur at plus 210. I would hammer that number. He is”
Official Masters results confirm that Gordon Sargent top amateur settled lost as recorded.
Tony Finau top 10 (+320)
“All right, so I want to go backwards.
I don't want to start with the outright.
I don't want to start with the long shot.
Let's start with top tens, who you're seeing best odds, best value for top ten right now.
Okay.
I mentioned Tony Finau's name a minute ago.
Tony Finau won the Northern Trust last year, back in August,
went 16 starts without a top five afterwards.
Looked like it was, hey, now he's got momentum.
We've been waiting for Tony to become a superstar.
Didn't happen afterwards, but in his last five starts,
he's got three top five finishes, including a runner to Rory McIlroy this past weekend.
I like Tony a lot for a U.S. Open type of setup.
He's got the right attitude. Like I was just saying, I think he's a good play. Max Homa is a guy who hasn't played majors well in the past, but he's he's literally getting better every single week.
And you can tell the confidence on his face like this is a guy that's improving right before our eyes.
He won the Wells Fargo championship about a month ago. And I think there's a nice little correlation.
That was a tough Northeast golf course.
I think you can look at that one and say,
I think some players from that leaderboard will show up on this one.
Max Oma is a guy who was 13th of the PGA championship last month.
That his best career major finish I like him a few notches higher for a top 10 this week And then Matt Fitzpatrick is a great player this week Matt Fitzpatrick won the 2013 U Amateur right here at the Country Club in
Brookline, Massachusetts. Plays his best golf on tougher golf courses when the winning score
is closer in relation to part. Oh, by the way, he's number two. He was number one for most of
the season in total strokes gained on the PGA Tour. Rory McIlroy just went past him this past
weekend, but he's a close second. Essentially that measures who's playing the best golf. I know
Fitzpatrick hasn't won anything this season, but he's been very, very good. Uh, just to,
to give people some context, uh, Matt Fitzpatrick, 25 to one outright about plus two 10, two to one
for top 10. Tony Finau, 35 to 1 plus 320 for top 10. Max Homa, 45 to 1 plus 420 for top 10.”
Tony Finau missed the cut at the 2022 U.S. Open, shooting 73-72=145 (+5), well outside the top 10.
Max Homa top 10 (+420)
“All right, so I want to go backwards.
I don't want to start with the outright.
I don't want to start with the long shot.
Let's start with top tens, who you're seeing best odds, best value for top ten right now.
Okay.
I mentioned Tony Finau's name a minute ago.
Tony Finau won the Northern Trust last year, back in August,
went 16 starts without a top five afterwards.
Looked like it was, hey, now he's got momentum.
We've been waiting for Tony to become a superstar.
Didn't happen afterwards, but in his last five starts,
he's got three top five finishes, including a runner to Rory McIlroy this past weekend.
I like Tony a lot for a U.S. Open type of setup.
He's got the right attitude. Like I was just saying, I think he's a good play. Max Homa is a guy who hasn't played majors well in the past, but he's he's literally getting better every single week.
And you can tell the confidence on his face like this is a guy that's improving right before our eyes.
He won the Wells Fargo championship about a month ago. And I think there's a nice little correlation.
That was a tough Northeast golf course.
I think you can look at that one and say,
I think some players from that leaderboard will show up on this one.
Max Oma is a guy who was 13th of the PGA championship last month.
That his best career major finish I like him a few notches higher for a top 10 this week And then Matt Fitzpatrick is a great player this week Matt Fitzpatrick won the 2013 U Amateur right here at the Country Club in
Brookline, Massachusetts. Plays his best golf on tougher golf courses when the winning score
is closer in relation to part. Oh, by the way, he's number two. He was number one for most of
the season in total strokes gained on the PGA Tour. Rory McIlroy just went past him this past
weekend, but he's a close second. Essentially that measures who's playing the best golf. I know
Fitzpatrick hasn't won anything this season, but he's been very, very good. Uh, just to,
to give people some context, uh, Matt Fitzpatrick, 25 to one outright about plus two 10, two to one
for top 10. Tony Finau, 35 to 1 plus 320 for top 10. Max Homa, 45 to 1 plus 420 for top 10.”
Max Homa finished T47 at 289 (+9) at the 2022 U.S. Open, missing the top 10.
Matt Fitzpatrick top 10 (+210)
“All right, so I want to go backwards.
I don't want to start with the outright.
I don't want to start with the long shot.
Let's start with top tens, who you're seeing best odds, best value for top ten right now.
Okay.
I mentioned Tony Finau's name a minute ago.
Tony Finau won the Northern Trust last year, back in August,
went 16 starts without a top five afterwards.
Looked like it was, hey, now he's got momentum.
We've been waiting for Tony to become a superstar.
Didn't happen afterwards, but in his last five starts,
he's got three top five finishes, including a runner to Rory McIlroy this past weekend.
I like Tony a lot for a U.S. Open type of setup.
He's got the right attitude. Like I was just saying, I think he's a good play. Max Homa is a guy who hasn't played majors well in the past, but he's he's literally getting better every single week.
And you can tell the confidence on his face like this is a guy that's improving right before our eyes.
He won the Wells Fargo championship about a month ago. And I think there's a nice little correlation.
That was a tough Northeast golf course.
I think you can look at that one and say,
I think some players from that leaderboard will show up on this one.
Max Oma is a guy who was 13th of the PGA championship last month.
That his best career major finish I like him a few notches higher for a top 10 this week And then Matt Fitzpatrick is a great player this week Matt Fitzpatrick won the 2013 U Amateur right here at the Country Club in
Brookline, Massachusetts. Plays his best golf on tougher golf courses when the winning score
is closer in relation to part. Oh, by the way, he's number two. He was number one for most of
the season in total strokes gained on the PGA Tour. Rory McIlroy just went past him this past
weekend, but he's a close second. Essentially that measures who's playing the best golf. I know
Fitzpatrick hasn't won anything this season, but he's been very, very good. Uh, just to,
to give people some context, uh, Matt Fitzpatrick, 25 to one outright about plus two 10, two to one
for top 10. Tony Finau, 35 to 1 plus 320 for top 10. Max Homa, 45 to 1 plus 420 for top 10.”
Matt Fitzpatrick won the 2022 U.S. Open outright at 274 (-6), cashing the top-10 prop.
Justin Rose to win (+6500)
“All right, so what kind of long shots do you want? Are we talking like super random dudes for top
40s, or you're talking like, hey, a guy with a big number that has a chance of winning?
big number chance of winning always okay i'm gonna start off with i i told you guys i took a
little spin around this golf course yesterday i'm trying to find like a great comparison golf course
excuse me to to what this looks like and the best i can come up with is marion marion golf club a
famous course ben hogan's one iron we all know the story last held the u.s opened in 2013 the guy who won that week just happened to shoot the
a couple days ago, probably should have shot a 50-70, made three bogeys and shot 60 in Canada.
That's Justin Rose. The number has moved. I think you could have gotten him before that 60
at right around 80 or maybe even 100 to 1 in some books. I think Rose is down to 65 to 1
in a lot of places right now. I still like the number. I still think there's some win equity
there. He's playing some very good golf. Yeah, he's not the same player in his prime as he was
at Marion back nine years ago, but I do think he can go out and still win this golf tournament.”
Justin Rose did not win the 2022 U.S. Open; he finished T37 at 287 (+7) while Matt Fitzpatrick won at 274 (-6).
Rory McIlroy top 5 (+225)
“All right.
We did top 10.
We're going to do top five.
And then Simon is going to ask you for your outrights.
after I give everybody the right context for who's got the shortest odds right now.
Give me your top five.
Okay.
So guys, the top five that I like now giving up my favorite outright play.
Look, a couple of them are very chalky.
I've got Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy.
They're both right at the top of the leaderboard this past weekend.
Rory wound up winning.
Good for golf.
Good for the PGA Tour.
Everyone celebrates.
Look, Rory's playing some of the best golf that we've seen him play in an awful long time.
We talk about confidence. We talk about let's look beyond the analytical models and let's look at a guy and understand what we're seeing from him.
Rory is absolutely brimming with confidence right now, both on and off the golf course.
He is a must watch golfer on the course. He's a must watch interview off the golf course.
He's just he's fire on all cylinders and all facets of what his job is right now.
And so love Rory this week. Love Justin Thomas.
I was coming to the course today with a couple of PGA tour pros who,
who are working on the radio side,
us open championship radio with me this week.
And they were talking about Justin Thomas who has every shot in the bag.
They said no other player in the world right now can flight the ball.
However they want like Justin Thomas he wants to hit a low cut He it a low cut He wants to hit to hit a high draw He can do it from 60 yards He can do it from 230 yards He got this variety of shots
that's going to work really well for him. So again, those aren't names from off the board
that you haven't heard. Daniel Berger isn't getting enough love in the marketplace yet this
week. Daniel Berger is a guy who often comes up to New England in the summer. He's sort of this
de facto New Englander.
His old pro Matt Doyle is at the
Musquamacut Club in Rhode Island.
He goes up there and practices.
He's played ball at the Travelers Championship
just a couple hours
down the road in Connecticut.
I think it's going to be a good week for
Berger. I might not have said that
a few weeks ago because he was
dealing with some injuries, some inconsistencies,
but he finished the share
of fifth place at the Memorial
Tournament. That's a really tough one.
This is going to be tough as well. I think his game really
suits this golf course. Daniel Berger, eight to one for a top five. Rory, plus 225. Justin Thomas,
plus 275. The Travelers, mere minutes from West Hartford. I'll be there in a few days.”
Rory McIlroy finished T5 at 278 (-2) at the 2022 U.S. Open, cashing the top-5 prop.
Justin Thomas top 5 (+275)
“All right.
We did top 10.
We're going to do top five.
And then Simon is going to ask you for your outrights.
after I give everybody the right context for who's got the shortest odds right now.
Give me your top five.
Okay.
So guys, the top five that I like now giving up my favorite outright play.
Look, a couple of them are very chalky.
I've got Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy.
They're both right at the top of the leaderboard this past weekend.
Rory wound up winning.
Good for golf.
Good for the PGA Tour.
Everyone celebrates.
Look, Rory's playing some of the best golf that we've seen him play in an awful long time.
We talk about confidence. We talk about let's look beyond the analytical models and let's look at a guy and understand what we're seeing from him.
Rory is absolutely brimming with confidence right now, both on and off the golf course.
He is a must watch golfer on the course. He's a must watch interview off the golf course.
He's just he's fire on all cylinders and all facets of what his job is right now.
And so love Rory this week. Love Justin Thomas.
I was coming to the course today with a couple of PGA tour pros who,
who are working on the radio side,
us open championship radio with me this week.
And they were talking about Justin Thomas who has every shot in the bag.
They said no other player in the world right now can flight the ball.
However they want like Justin Thomas he wants to hit a low cut He it a low cut He wants to hit to hit a high draw He can do it from 60 yards He can do it from 230 yards He got this variety of shots
that's going to work really well for him. So again, those aren't names from off the board
that you haven't heard. Daniel Berger isn't getting enough love in the marketplace yet this
week. Daniel Berger is a guy who often comes up to New England in the summer. He's sort of this
de facto New Englander.
His old pro Matt Doyle is at the
Musquamacut Club in Rhode Island.
He goes up there and practices.
He's played ball at the Travelers Championship
just a couple hours
down the road in Connecticut.
I think it's going to be a good week for
Berger. I might not have said that
a few weeks ago because he was
dealing with some injuries, some inconsistencies,
but he finished the share
of fifth place at the Memorial
Tournament. That's a really tough one.
This is going to be tough as well. I think his game really
suits this golf course. Daniel Berger, eight to one for a top five. Rory, plus 225. Justin Thomas,
plus 275. The Travelers, mere minutes from West Hartford. I'll be there in a few days.”
Justin Thomas finished T37 at 287 (+7) at the 2022 U.S. Open, well outside the top 5.
Daniel Berger top 5 (+800)
“I think his game really
[35:01] suits this golf course. Daniel Berger, eight to one for a top five.”
Daniel Berger missed the cut at the 2022 U.S. Open, shooting 70-75=145 (+5), well outside the top 5.
Shane Lowry to win (+3000)
“I know. I'm looking forward to it. All right. Outright winners right now. Rory's a 10 to one
and dropping. Justin Thomas, 11-1. John Rahm, defending, 14-1. Scotty Scheffler, 14-1. Cam
Smith, 20-1. Xander Shoffley, 20-1. Then Patrick Cantlay, 22-1. Simon, ask your question.
Who's your favorite bet? All right. So first of all, those names mentioned,
Xander Shoffley and Patrick Cantlay, those numbers are very, very intriguing. I think it's
going to be a good week for both of them.
Cantlay has played some of his worst golf in the majors over the last year or so.
I think people are going to be scared off.
I think that's kept his number from being too short.
I think it's a really good number for him.
He's better than where he's being priced at.
That said you didn mention my guy who a little bit lower down the board Shane Lowry is playing some of the best golf of his life so far this year 12 starts in 2022 nothing worse than 35th And really it his all around game He
driving it well. The irons are solid, soft hands around the greens. He makes some putts. He's got
the right attitude for US Open. He was runner up to Dustin Johnson at Oakmont back in 2016.
and so I like an Irishman in Boston who would think that that could ever go well but I really
do think Shane Lowry can uh can go and take this thing this week even though he won the Open
Championship a few years ago at Royal Portrush I've always thought he's probably got a better
chance of winning a U.S. Open I think he's a better U.S. Open player than even the Open
Championship where he's from and quite frankly guys maybe I'm just rooting for it not only for
my own personal benefit, but that celebration for Shane Lowry here in Boston Sunday night,
that could be a pretty damn good party. Shane Lowry currently 30 to one to win the U.S. Open.”
Shane Lowry missed the cut at the 2022 U.S. Open, shooting 72-72=144 (E); Matt Fitzpatrick won at 274 (-6).
Brooks Koepka to win The Masters
“All right, so I should set the odds,
set the table before I ask you right off the top
who your pick is going to be.
I don't want to, you know,
I don't want to delay.
Jon Rahm right now,
leader, leading the field at 11 to 1.
Justin Thomas, 12 to 1.
Cameron Smith, 14.
Dustin Johnson, 16.
Scotty Scheffler, 16.
Jordan Spieth, 18.
Rory, 18.
Victor Hovland, also 18.
Before I give you my pick, I want to go through these odds just a little bit.
You mentioned all those.
Instead of having one dominant player,
instead of we for so long would come to Augusta every year,
and Tiger Woods, the prohibitive favorite,
and anyone else who's out there, you can get a pretty good price on them
because Tiger was such a favorite.
He was so dominant at this golf course.
Now, we've essentially got, I think there are 12 players right now.
I believe a dozen players, depending on the book you look at,
shop around, of course, but I believe 12 players who are 20 to 1 or shorter
this week, which makes it, first of all, really tough.
There's a lot of parity out there.
But secondly, it gives you a lot of decent options, I think.
So you can look around my favorite of that bunch this week is Brooks Koepka.”
Brooks Koepka missed the cut at the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won at -10 (278).
Patrick Cantlay to win The Masters
“So you can look around my favorite of that bunch this week is Brooks Koepka.
I was not a believer, Chad, after his first major championship,
that he could just go out and play his best golf at a major.
That was back in 2017, almost five full years ago.
I just thought, okay, well, he had a good week.
He won a major.
Then he did it twice in 2018.
And finally after the third one, I said, you know what?
This guy's got a lot of ego, a lot of hubris, a lot of confidence,
maybe even cockiness and maybe he can just show up at majors kind of flip the switch and say
all right I'm ready to go play some some great golf right now and he does it and so I you know
he he is essentially the epitome of what Tiger Woods has said for years which is I want my game
to peak four times per year and I've spent the last 10-15 years asking world-class players about
how do you get your game to peak my favorite answer was Jason Day was I don't know he's kind
shrugged at me because you know it's not like if I'm playing really well in my last event before the
masters that I try to play worse so that I can play better two weeks later it doesn't really
work that way so Brooks Koepka has figured out a way to get his game to peak for major championships
I look at a week that we're going to have where it's going to be warm then it's going to be wet
then it's going to be windy then it's going to be cold mother nature bringing in all different kinds
of elements. He deals with those elements really, really well, just sort of shrugs them off.
I like Kepka If you asked me a few weeks ago a lot of people did Patrick Cantlay was a top by list Recent form is not quite where I want it to be That said I only lowered him to number two in my ranking So I going Koepka and then Cantley for my favorite two plays this week
So why does form not matter for Koepka, but it does matter for Cantley?”
Patrick Cantlay finished T39 (+7) at the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won at -10.
Sam Burns to win The Masters (+5000)
“He is 50 to 1, I saw this morning.”
Sam Burns missed the cut at the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won at -10.
Sam Burns first-round leader at The Masters
“The
start before that at the Players, he was right there in contention, played in the final group or
second to last group on that Monday afternoon before shooting the final round 76 The kid is really really talented 25 years old The only thing I can find in that why he is why his odds are as long as they are is the fact that he hasn played this
event before in past.
So we all know no masters rookie has won this event since fuzzy Zeller back in
1979. It's been an awfully long time. It doesn't mean they can't do it though.
I mentioned Will Zalatoris earlier.
I mentioned Jordan Spieth who took to this event very quickly.
I can see Sam Burns jumping out there, playing really well on Thursday
and then playing well throughout the weekend.
So I like him for outrights.
I've bet him already for outrights.
Really like him for first-round leader, though, because he's a quick starter.
Finished 16th on the PGA Tour last season in round one scoring average.
He's 12th already this season.
Plays well on Thursdays.
Plays well usually on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays as well.
So he's a guy that I like for full tournament, but especially first-round leader bets.”
Sungjae Im led after round one at 67 (-5) at the 2022 Masters; Sam Burns was not the first-round leader.
Tony Finau top 10 at The Masters
“And so those of us who do, we're almost at a disadvantage for this one because we'll look
at Tony Finau this year and go, well, his best finish is a share of 19th place. That was three
months ago at a shortened field and the ball striking numbers are okay, but they're not great.
And he really hasn't done much since that win in the FedEx cup playoffs last year. And it's been
a while now. And those who sort of helicopter in and only pay attention to the majors, we'll look
at a big number next to Tony Finau's name and go, ah, he's good.”
Tony Finau finished T35 (+6) at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 10.
Russell Henley top 20 at The Masters
“Then for a top 20, if I was to tell you guys the best ball striker, the best iron player on the PGA Tour.
so far this season is not Colin Morikawa.
It's not Justin Thomas, not Will Zalatorris.
It's Russell Henley.
And Russell Henley is a guy who's due for what a lot of people call the positive regression,
sort of the oxymoronic term that always comes out in the analytics world,
which is essentially I look at him like a major league baseball pitcher who's 7-12 with a 270 ERA.
And you say at some point, look, the numbers are there.
He's pitching well.
He's just not getting the help.
He's not getting the luck.
I mean, Henley's a guy who last year at the Wyndham Championship
led for three and a half rounds, wound up missing a putt
to get into a playoff and finished in T7.
That's never happened before in the last 20 years.
The fact that you could lose by one and not cash a top five ticket.
Henley's had a whole lot of bad luck like that over the last couple of years.
I think that he's due for some good luck.
I've got them just for a top 20 this week, but top 10 wouldn't surprise me whatsoever.”
Russell Henley finished T30 (+5) at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 20.
Lee Westwood to win
“all of which leads to my favorite play on the board this week Lee John Westwood who of course is I believe set to tie or break the all record for most major appearances without a victory”
The PGA TOUR leaderboard names Collin Morikawa the Open Championship winner, not Lee Westwood.
Justin Rose to win U.S. Open (+4000)
“40 to one for Justin Rhodes.
You can probably find some good action on him to have a top 10 finish,
maybe even top five.
I think you can get some good numbers there.
I've already taken him outright.
I love Justin Rhodes this week.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 U.S. Open leaderboard records Jon Rahm as champion, not Justin Rose.
Tony Finau top 10
“maybe the best bet on the board is a Tony Finau top 10 this week.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 U.S. Open leaderboard records Tony Finau missing the cut, so he did not make the top ten.
Paul Casey to win U.S. Open (+5000)
“but at some point you're putting together a list of, hey, here's one to 156 and somebody's
got to be number one. And I still don't feel great. I, I,
I'd rather take one through six and have them all like T1.
But you can't do that.
You got to go out and make a pick.
And my favorite play on the board is a guy with big, strong forearms
that hits the ball really high in the air, that can get it out of the rough,
and has been playing major championships much better as of late.
Paul Casey at 50-1.
One of the best players on the PGA Tour on approach shots outside 200 yards,
which is what you're going to see more often than not.
You're going to see a lot more of those than normal.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 U.S. Open leaderboard records Jon Rahm as champion, not Paul Casey.
Victor Hovland to win · BetMGM
“night. So a lot of them guessing at. And so I put down my favorite outright play, which I thought
would have a pretty good number next to it. And I had a whole reason. And the reason is, you know,
there's, there's a nice little narrative going at Muirfield Village where young players who
certainly aren't surprises over the last few years, but have used this, guys we know are
going to be stars, have used this event or at least this venue as a stepping stone to
bigger and better things.
Bryson in 18, Patrick Cantley in 19.
Last year, I don't know that you put Jon Rahm on that list.
He doesn't really fit.
Kind of.
I mean, you know, maybe if he wins the U.S. Open this year, we'd say, hey, Memorial's like
the big one before that.
Yes.
Give you another one.
Hideki Matsuyama.
Yeah, he one of his first wins in his career was at the Memorial Tournament as well.
There you go. And I was going to throw in Colin Morikawa, who, of course, won the work day last year, but still at the same venue.
And, you know, of course, won a PGA Championship not long after that.
And so looking for an up and coming young stud who we all know is going to be a star and is playing well.
Victor Hovland is my guy.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Memorial leaderboard records Patrick Cantlay as winner, not Viktor Hovland.
Will Zalatoris to win (+2500)
“my favorite play on the board, my favorite outright this week, the kid is going to win at some point, Amanda. He's got three top 10s in three career major championships now. Will Zalatoris is really, really good. We've talked for six months now about, oh, man, he doesn't have PGA Tour status and he won't get into the playoffs. And how stupid is this? At some point, he's going to win. And we all going to go OK well we can forget that conversation because now we gain status And so 25 to one I think is a great number on him”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard records Jason Kokrak as winner, not Will Zalatoris.
Sergio Garcia first round leader
“By the way, my first round leader bet this week is, I don't think I like it. What is it? It's like one of these, like something's got to give. So in his last five starts, Sergio Garcia has four scores on Thursdays that are 65, 65, 67, 68.”
PGA TOUR results show Corey Conners led the opening round of the 2021 PGA Championship, so Sergio Garcia was not first-round leader.
Viktor Hovland to win
“[6:07] I've already made a couple of plays for next week.
[6:09] Perhaps my favorite play for the PGA,
[6:12] and I don't know if you've started looking at it or not, Jay Ray.
[6:14] I know I'm putting you on the spot a little bit here,
[6:16] So I'll give you mine and you can weigh in and see if you like any of them or have any of your own already.
[6:22] But I'm going beneath the favorites.
[6:25] The shortest guy that I've bet so far is Viktor Hovland, who I think has some obvious, really good momentum right now.
[6:33] I wish I had hopped on a month ago before a couple of third place finishes the last few weeks.
[6:38] But really like Viktor Hovland, obviously hard not to like him.”
PGA TOUR reporting identifies Phil Mickelson as the 2021 PGA Championship winner, not Viktor Hovland.
Mark Leishman to win
“I've already made a couple of plays for next week.
Perhaps my favorite play for the PGA,
and I don't know if you've started looking at it or not, Jay Ray.
I know I'm putting you on the spot a little bit here,
So I'll give you mine and you can weigh in and see if you like any of them or have any of your own already.
But I'm going beneath the favorites.
The shortest guy that I've bet so far is Viktor Hovland, who I think has some obvious, really good momentum right now.
I wish I had hopped on a month ago before a couple of third place finishes the last few weeks.
But really like Viktor Hovland, obviously hard not to like him.
And then dipping down to Abraham Anser, who's going to win very soon.
that should be a good golf course for him. Matthew Fitzpatrick,
I think could fit that golf course really well.
And maybe my favorite play right now, Mark Leishman.”
PGA TOUR reporting identifies Phil Mickelson as the 2021 PGA Championship winner, not Mark Leishman.
Gary Woodland to win
“There's value everywhere.
Like Adam Scott is 66 to one.
Mark Leishman is 66 to one.
Gary Woodland nearly won a quail hollow last week.
He's 80 to one right now.
I think there's, you got to do your research for, for, for, for,
for Kewa.
Woodland's another one that I bet.
My mind's a little fried.
I apologize.”
PGA TOUR reporting identifies Phil Mickelson as the 2021 PGA Championship winner, not Gary Woodland.
Harold Varner III to win · BetMGM
“My favorite overall play this week is in this range.
It's interesting.
you know we tell you to shop around for a good number on bet MGM Harold Varner III is 66 to 1 I've
seen some longer odds in some other books but still 66 to 1 not a bad number I just feel like
he's the guy that's playing some of the best golf his career T2 at RBC Heritage a few weeks ago he's
a member at Quail Hollow I've got reports from Quail Hollow members who have played with him a lot
recently and said he's playing better he's striping the ball better than he ever has before
he's my pick to win this week I don't usually go and dip this far into the odds board for a guy
to to be my overall favorite play to win but I really like Harold Varner III taking a chance on”
PGA TOUR's Wells Fargo leaderboard records Rory McIlroy as winner, not Harold Varner III.
Justin Thomas to win
“But I'm not moving away from my favorite pick from the top of the board.
It's look, there was one player at the best ball striking stats.
We just talked about him last week at Ennisbrook.
He's also a player who's won a major championship on this golf course.
It just feels like everything's falling into place for Justin Thomas.
Might not win this week, but I can't see him being very far down the leaderboard.”
PGA TOUR's Wells Fargo leaderboard records Rory McIlroy as winner, not Justin Thomas.
Brian Harman to win (+3300) · BetMGM
“Yeah, it's just he's been playing well.
It's a golf course that I've always thought should suit him really well.
I think he's one of the best chippers from around the greens.
And you're going to miss greens at Harbortown.
Really small green complexes, and you're going to miss with your irons.
Everybody is.
And so I will take Brian Harman from off the greens more so than just about anybody else.
And so 33-1 at MGM this week.
I like that play.”
PGA TOUR's RBC Heritage leaderboard records Stewart Cink as winner, not Brian Harman.
Jon Rahm to win the Masters
“I don't know what I dreamed about that night. I'm not sure if it was a dream, a nightmare, what was going on. I woke up at seven o'clock in the morning and like eyes wide awake go nope it's Jon Rahm it's not Xander anymore it's Jon Rahm I I don't know why I don't know how maybe it's sort of the Jon Rahm baby thing got in my mind if you haven't heard Jon Rahm's wife was pregnant with her first child he'd said a few weeks ago if the baby does not come by master's week I'm out you know if it looks like the baby's going to come that week, then I'm just going to pack up and leave if she goes into labor. Well, they had the baby on Sunday. He was able to be with them for a day or two and then come here to Augusta and should be fine. And in fact, that's the exact same scenario that Danny Willett had five years ago. Looked like he was going to miss this event. Boy was born early and he made it and he made history. So I do like those parallels for Jon Rahm this week. And so, yeah, I, within a four and a half hour span where I wasn't even awake, my first pick changed.”
Hideki Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters at 10-under; Jon Rahm tied for fifth at 6-under.
Brooks Koepka to win the Masters
“a little more value then you want to go with paul casey uh and then to me i also i am on brooks
kepka i like that one a lot just because i like his attitude i like the idea of him going back to
augusta coming off of neurosurgery knee surgery three days later and just saying fuck you i'm
still the best major player in the world. And this is what I can do. And look, if you can get”
Hideki Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters at 10-under; Brooks Koepka missed the cut at 149 (+5).
Shane Lowry to win (+3500)
“i i am going to start off sort of this mid-tier with uh my favorite play this week who i like in
part because he plays really well in strong winds and he plays well in strong winds because he's
from Ireland, Northern Ireland, a place where they have a lot of strong wins. Shane Lowry at 35 to
one, a lot of things going his way right now. Eighth place at TPC Sawgrass this past weekend.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Honda Classic leaderboard records Matt Jones as champion, not Shane Lowry.
Matthew Fitzpatrick to win · BetMGM
“My play is out of that one. First of all, Matthew Fitzpatrick has everything going for him this week.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational results record Bryson DeChambeau as champion, not Matthew Fitzpatrick.
Branden Grace to win
“Branden Grace at right around 22 to 1 in most books is my play this week in Puerto Rico.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Puerto Rico Open results record Branden Grace as champion.
Victor Hovland to win
“victor hovland he's my pick to win this week as far as you know a favorite outright i don't feel very confident in that”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 Genesis Invitational results record Max Homa as champion, not Viktor Hovland.
Jason Day to win
“but I'm going to bypass him as well.
And so I'm going to my favorite outright play this week is a guy that I think
and I hope has a lot of the same qualities as Brooks Koepka did last week.
Like Koepka, Jason Day is a former world number one.
Like Koepka, he's working with a new swing coach,
or at least just left his old swing coach.
Like Koepka, he is coming off two missed cuts to start his year.
What else?
Like Koepka, he's got a whole bag full of new clubs.
Like Koepka, he's going to a place, you know, Koepka was there last week in Scottsdale,
but a place where Day hasn't won, but he's at least played really well with top five finishes”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am results record Daniel Berger as champion, not Jason Day.
Cameron Tringale first round leader
“My my first round leader guy this week is Cameron Tringale.”
The PGA TOUR's 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am results do not list Cameron Tringale as the first-round leader.
Hideki Matsuyama outright win
“Hideki Matsuyama, there's my favorite outright pick.”
PGA TOUR records Patrick Reed as the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open winner, not Hideki Matsuyama.
Patrick Rodgers outright win
“My favorite pick, I think, farther down is Patrick Rodgers, who I think has a great course fit here. He's kind of in that 200-to-1 range.”
PGA TOUR records Patrick Reed as the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open winner, not Patrick Rodgers.
Aaron Wise to win (+9000)
“Aaron Wise, who opened it 90 to one. He was my favorite player for an outright”
PGA TOUR records Si Woo Kim as the 2021 American Express winner, not Aaron Wise.
Doc Redman at $7,500 in joint DraftKings DFS lineup · DraftKings
“And I might as well take it if you're going to throw it out there.
And Doc Redman's sitting there at 7,500.
I will say that I don't necessarily like Doc Redman as much as I usually do.
But that's only because I usually really, really like him.
and I only really like him this week.
So still, I think a very strong play.”
A joint DFS lineup has no independently verifiable settled outcome in public tournament results.
Sepp Straka to win
“myself and my buddy Jim got on the phone together
and we started making our OAD picks for the first segment.
And the guy that we've got this week is indeed Sepp Straka.
So you mentioned Straka.
I like him a lot.
I've already got him outright.
I listed him as a top 10 play in my column this week.
And so I think that's a really strong play by you.”
PGA TOUR's American Express leaderboard lists Sepp Straka as cut, so he did not win.
Sepp Straka top 10
“myself and my buddy Jim got on the phone together
and we started making our OAD picks for the first segment.
And the guy that we've got this week is indeed Sepp Straka.
So you mentioned Straka.
I like him a lot.
I've already got him outright.
I listed him as a top 10 play in my column this week.
And so I think that's a really strong play by you.”
PGA TOUR's American Express leaderboard lists Sepp Straka as cut, so he did not finish top 10.
Abraham Ancer to win
“And Abraham Anser, my pick to win this week, my favorite outright this week,”
PGA TOUR's Sony Open leaderboard records Kevin Na as winner, not Abraham Ancer.
Brian Harman to win (+5000) · BetMGM
“There's a bunch of guys that I like in here, starting with Brian Harman.
Brian Harman is my favorite play on the board.
You can get him at 50-1.
He's finished top 30 in his last four starts.
He's got, I believe, three career top 10 finishes at Sea Island where he lives.
I mean, it's just like all set up for Harmon to have a really good week.
Like I said, he's my favorite outright play based on the price.”
Robert Streb won the 2020 RSM Classic, while Brian Harman finished tied for 14th.
Scott Stallings to win at a quoted 70-to-1 (+7000)
“But if you go on YouTube and type in Scott Stallings stinger Oh I have seen that I like that He can rip it he keeps it a yard above ground yeah and just absolutely rips it the point where i believe tiger at some point like commented on one
of his videos like dude that was awesome and tiger is sort of the purveyor of the stinger so
uh scott stallings let the wind blow he's my guy in the wind i will tell you that
um i think he's 40 45 to 50 to 1 i found him somewhere at 70 to 1 which i absolutely smashed
already so you know i love that line shopping baby and that's a really sharp point the the”
Verified against the PGA TOUR final leaderboard: Brian Gay won the Bermuda Championship and Scott Stallings did not win; the recorded outcome matches.
Doc Redman to win
“He is probably my favorite outright. I've got one in the mid-tier that at his number could be maybe even more of a favorite, but I really like Doc Redman. If you're giving me just sort of one guy to take at any number, Doc's my guy this week.”
Verified against the PGA TOUR final leaderboard: Brian Gay won the Bermuda Championship and Doc Redman did not win; the recorded outcome matches.
Tony Finau to win
“Maybe a little bit shorter prices than Ricky, but love Tony Finau.
It's like a poker hand, Pete.
I'm all in.
I'm playing blind.
I don't know whether I have the nuts or whether I'm bluffing,
but I'm pushing all my chips in on Tony Finau, and I have no idea what's going to happen.
Dude, you have to bet on Tony Finau for the rest of your life,
because if he wins and you don't have him, you will hate yourself forever.”
Verified against the PGA TOUR final leaderboard: Bryson DeChambeau won the 2020 U.S. Open and Tony Finau did not win; the recorded outcome matches.
Jordan Spieth to miss cut (+120)
“my new favorite bet of the week is Jordan Spieth at plus 120 to miss the cut this week.”
Verified against the PGA TOUR final leaderboard: Jordan Spieth missed the 2020 U.S. Open cut at 14-over; the recorded outcome matches. (Jordan Spieth 73-81 (+14) through 36 holes, missed cut)
Phil Mickelson first-round leader
“So if I have to go on the record with another first-round leader bet again, give me my guy Phil with the Aviators on, drinking lots of coffee, and getting after it in Boston.”
The PGA TOUR's round-one report names English, Streelman, Davis, and Henley as the Northern Trust co-leaders; the stored outcome matches. (Phil Mickelson was not among the 7-under co-leaders)
Eric Van Royen to win (+4500)
“A couple other names on here that I really like, and I'm kind of moving just a little bit down the list, but Eric Van Royen.
I'll say it right now. My favorite outright play this week at 45 to 1.
went to school in Minnesota, married a girl from Minnesota,”
The PGA TOUR's official 3M Open leaderboard names Michael Thompson the winner, so Erik van Rooyen to win lost.
Cameron Champ to win
“And then my favorite outright bet, just because, you know, I wanted to jump on a bigger number this week, and I think he's trending in the right direction. That's Cameron Champ, who I mentioned off the top.”
The PGA TOUR reports Collin Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open, so Cameron Champ to win lost.
Bryson DeChambeau to win
“picking outright to win this week, which is Bryson DeChambeau.”
The PGA TOUR's official Travelers Championship leaderboard names Dustin Johnson the winner, so Bryson DeChambeau to win lost.
Rickie Fowler & Matthew Wolff ML (line unstated)
“And I'm taking the plus money in both matches, I think.
I'm doing the exact same thing.
It's just these things are a toss-up, quite frankly.
And when they're playing for someone else's money, which is great,
and I love the charitable aspect of it, but they're not playing for their own money.
They're playing for a cause.
And, you know, I just don't see A-games from Rory and DJ just yet.
Ricky, like I said earlier, a three-time pro member champion at Seminole.
That pro member, by the way, has a better field than half the PGA Tour events that are out there every single year.
So Ricky has played some good golf on this golf course before.
If the wind blows, he's a great wind player.
And the fact that there's so much variance with skins.
I mean the skins are going to carry over The last two holes are worth 35 of the entire money from the whole match anyway So you can be sort of even and then play well make a couple of birdies on 17 and 18 and win this whole thing pretty easily
So I am with you.
I'm going Ricky and Wolf.”
PGA TOUR final results show McIlroy and Johnson won 11 skins to Fowler and Wolff's 7, so Fowler/Wolff moneyline lost. (McIlroy/Johnson 11 skins, Fowler/Wolff 7 skins)
Daniel Berger over Victor Hovland (-105)
“matchup bet, I've got Daniel Berger minus 105 over Viktor Hovland already locked in.”
The PGA TOUR Honda Classic leaderboard places Daniel Berger ahead of Viktor Hovland; the recorded outcome matches.
Byeong Hun An (+100)
“my favorite bet sounds like I'm saying two different things here, but hear me out. you can find this at even money. It's starting to move closer to a, you know, pick them where you're going to play do some both sides. But I originally found this at even money. I think there's still a couple of books that might have this, but I'm taking young hunt on over Viktor Hovland at even money.”
The PGA TOUR Honda Classic leaderboard places Byeong Hun An ahead of Viktor Hovland; the recorded outcome matches.
Scott Brown to win
“Any players that you're targeting and betting,
or do you have any thoughts about this tournament?
I've actually bet about five guys on this one already.
I've bet one guy for Mexico.
I've bet five guys for Puerto Rico already,
so that tells you where I'm looking right now.
At the top of my list, and I spoke with him after his round on Sunday,
he finished in his share of second place at Riviera.
Scott Brown has a great record at Puerto Rico.
One in 2013 has a few other top ten finishes.
this guy and i said like i kind of looked at him and we're talking about how he played at riviera
and i looked at him i said forgive me if i'm getting this wrong but like you have a really
good record in puerto rico right he kind of nods his head and smiles a little bit he said yeah i
play well there and i said so you excited about this coming week is it oh yeah i can't wait to
get out there it's my kind of tournament so uh scott brown this week at 9400 i i'm i'm in on him
betting.”
The PGA TOUR Puerto Rico Open leaderboard shows Viktor Hovland as winner rather than Scott Brown; the recorded outcome matches.
Dylan Frittelli top 20 (entry price unstated)
“And obviously he says his favorite course I love that My favorite bet on the week right now I found Abraham answer at plus 1300 for a top five That is hands down my top bet I happy that you on Abraham answers as well Jason What is your favorite bet out there right now I think I go with Fratelli top 20 which last I saw I think it was plus 700 plus 750 right about there”
The PGA TOUR Genesis Invitational leaderboard shows Dylan Frittelli missed the cut; the recorded outcome matches.
Rory McIlroy to win
“from a betting perspective, I'm all in on Rory. And obviously I got to be in on my guy, Tiger Woods too, this week. But right now I'm looking at Rory as easily the favorite.”
The PGA TOUR Genesis Invitational leaderboard shows Adam Scott won rather than Rory McIlroy; the recorded outcome matches.
Daniel Berger to win
“Berger's my guy this week. Berger's the guy that I have picked to win this tournament. So if you're asking me if I like Berger over Spieth in a tournament matchup. And you get him at plus money in some spots, potentially.”
Nick Taylor won the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am while Daniel Berger finished T5 (PGA TOUR leaderboard).
Patrick Rodgers top 20
“my favorite bet this week is Patrick Rogers for a top 20. He's had top 20 finishes in each of his last two starts. He was TA'd at this event two years ago.”
Patrick Rodgers was CUT at the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and therefore did not finish top 20 (PGA TOUR leaderboard).
Bryson DeChambeau to win
“But I would love to hear who you have as your winner right now.
I need to check it out.
I think you've teased it on the Action Network.
um but let's hear on the podcast who your winner is i have got four reasons that i am picking
bryson de chambeau as my champion this week oh the weightlifting the he's yoked he's he's hitting
bombs the big hitters tend to play really well here no one hitting it longer than bryson right now we seen brooks kepka gary woodland phil mickelson play really well here in recent years and win this golf tournament DeChambeau is absolutely crushing it You can make fun of”
Webb Simpson won the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open and Bryson DeChambeau finished T52 (PGA TOUR leaderboard).
Cameron Champ -105 vs Lanto Griffin (-105)
“And this guy is a really good young player hits it a long way So I like Cameron Champ a lot this week If you look especially matchups if you look at matchups I was going through it I got to pick up my favorite matchup for our staff picks that we do on the Action Network and in the app every single
week. And I was looking for a matchup. I found Cameron Champ at minus 105 against Lanto Griffin.
Look, I love the Lanto Griffin story. One Houston, sort of a rags to riches tale. Really cool. I
I think he's got a good future on the PGA Tour, but he is no Cameron Champ.
And for Cameron Champ to be the dog in that matchup, I think there's a tremendous value on him.”
Cameron Champ finished T16 while Lanto Griffin was CUT at the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open, so Champ won the matchup (CBS Sports leaderboard).
Scottie Scheffler to win
“it's the guy that I mentioned right off the top. I'm going with Scottie Scheffler as my winner.”
Andrew Landry won The American Express while Scottie Scheffler finished third (PGA TOUR leaderboard).
Collin Morikawa over Hideki Matsuyama (-110)
“I've made one bet this week on matchups, and it's moved a lot. And we'll see what happens. I bet Morikawa over Matsuyama. I got him from even money to minus 110.”
Matsuyama finished at -6 while Morikawa finished at -3 in THE NORTHERN TRUST, so the Morikawa matchup pick lost (PGA TOUR leaderboard). (Matsuyama -6; Morikawa -3)
Joaquin Niemann -105 vs Charles Howell III (matchup) (-105)
“I mentioned my favorite matchup, at least the ones I looking at right now Joaquin Neiman minus 105 against Charles Howell III I like that one a lot”
Joaquin Niemann finished T13 at -15 while Charles Howell III finished T22 at -13, so Niemann won the matchup (PGA TOUR leaderboard). (Niemann -15 T13; Howell III -13 T22)
Shanshan Feng to win Women's British Open (+1600)
“16-1, Shan Shan Fen this week at the Women's British Open. Bank it.”
Hinako Shibuno won the 2019 AIG Women's British Open, so the Shanshan Feng futures pick lost (AIG). (2019 winner: Hinako Shibuno)
Justin Thomas to win the Open Championship (+3000)
“I've bet on Justin Thomas at 30-1.”
Shane Lowry won the 2019 Open Championship at -15; Justin Thomas tied for 11th at -3 (ESPN leaderboard), so the 30-1 outright bet loses.
Matt Kuchar to finish top five
“Give me – I want to run through some bets here.
explain to me why
you like Matt Kuchar
to finish in the top five
I feel like he's having a renaissance
he is having
the strangest year of his entire
career and that's not
all bad I mean he's gone through all these
controversies you know first of the
caddy payment and he you know basically
underpaid his caddy and it went viral
and people heard about it
and he had to make amends for it and he wound up paying
him and you know people
People think Matt Kuchar is an awful person because of this story that got out.
I've known Matt Kuchar for a long time.
He's very far from an awful person.
Might not have handled that situation perfectly, but he is not a bad guy whatsoever.
Then he had a situation where he didn't give a putt to Sergio Garcia.
The match play was like two inches away, and Sergio went and kind of raked it and didn't make it.
And then Kuchar, again, not his fault, but didn't really play it the right way.
He had a drop situation at the Memorial where he asked for a drop that no other player would ask for.
He asked for a ruling, didn't get it, but still on TV for 15 minutes talking about the situation,
and he didn't look good.
That said, that's all the bad stuff.
All the good stuff is he's probably having the best year of his career.
He's got a couple wins already this season.
He's, I believe, number one on the FedExCup points list right now.
So he's playing really, really good golf.
He's played really well at the Open the last couple of years.
I remember he was second to Jordan Stee two years ago at Birkdale.
He came in ninth last year at Carnoustie,
so he understands how to play these types of golf courses So I like Matt Kuchar a lot Long answer to say I like him”
Matt Kuchar tied for 41st at +2 in the 2019 Open Championship (ESPN leaderboard), well outside the top five, so the bet loses.
Brooks Koepka over Dustin Johnson (head-to-head matchup)
“I like Brooks Koepka,”
Brooks Koepka tied for 4th at -6 while Dustin Johnson tied for 51st at +3 at the 2019 Open Championship (ESPN leaderboard), so Koepka wins the head-to-head matchup.
Kyle Stanley over Zach Johnson (matchup)
“I really like him a lot this week. And Kyle Stanley, as an underdog in that matchup, that my favorite one going on the board right now”
Kyle Stanley finished at -13 while Zach Johnson finished at -10, so Stanley won the John Deere matchup (PGA TOUR leaderboard). (Kyle Stanley -13; Zach Johnson -10)