Jason Sobel

“two on the top of my list i've got cameron smith who's been playing on live golf but we saw him win”

Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Cameron Smith did not win.

“for the pga championship and then of course jordan spieth who is the game's preeminent magician right”

Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Jordan Spieth did not win.

“probably underpriced right now and so i find him at 80 to 1 in most books and i think that's a”

Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Patrick Reed did not win.

“I think Siwoo Kim gives you that ceiling this week.”

Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open; Si Woo Kim did not win.

“But I love him for top 10 props.”

Ryan Fox finished tied at +5, well outside the top 10 at the 2023 U.S. Open.

“in full disclosure, I've bet those four already, and I put a little on Tony Finau at 40 to one.”

Wyndham Clark won the 2023 U.S. Open at LACC; Tony Finau did not win, so the 40-1 ticket lost.

“He is on the board for top amateur at plus 210. I would hammer that number.”

Sam Bennett of Texas A&M won the low amateur honor at the 2023 Masters, finishing T16; Gordon Sargent missed the cut and was not the top amateur (Golf Digest).

“I like Tony a lot for a U.S. Open type of setup.”

Tony Finau finished outside the top 10 at the 2022 U.S. Open (top-10 cutoff was even par).

“I like him a few notches higher for a top 10 this week”

Max Homa finished outside the top 10 at the 2022 U.S. Open.

“I still like the number.”

Justin Rose did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).

“I like him this week as well.”

Jordan Spieth did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).

“And so love Rory this week. Love Justin Thomas.”

Justin Thomas finished outside the top 5 (around T37) at the 2022 U.S. Open.

“I think his game really [35:01] suits this golf course. Daniel Berger, eight to one for a top five.”

Daniel Berger finished outside the top 5 at the 2022 U.S. Open.

“He's better than where he's being priced at.”

Patrick Cantlay did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).

“I really [36:41] do think Shane Lowry can uh can go and take this thing this week”

Shane Lowry did not win the 2022 U.S. Open (Fitzpatrick won).

“So you can look around my favorite of that bunch this week is Brooks Koepka.”

Brooks Koepka did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.

“So I going Koepka and then Cantley for my favorite two plays this week”

Patrick Cantlay did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.

“But Tiger Woods at minus 170, [19:01] I believe for a top 40 play this week and 21 career starts as a professional at this event. [19:08] He's never finished outside the top 40. So I think that's that's a very low bar to start with.”

Tiger Woods finished 47th at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 40, losing the -170 top-40 bet.

“So I like him for outrights. [33:01] I've bet him already for outrights.”

Sam Burns did not win the 2022 Masters; Scottie Scheffler won.

“Really like him for first-round leader, though, because he's a quick starter.”

Sam Burns was not the 2022 Masters first-round leader; Sungjae Im led after round one.

“Got three top tens and four career starts at this event. And I do like him this week.”

Tony Finau finished T35 at the 2022 Masters, well outside the top 10.

“I've got them just for a top 20 this week, but top 10 wouldn't surprise me whatsoever.”

Russell Henley finished T30 at the 2022 Masters, outside the top 20.

“18 to 1, I think, is a really nice number on DJ.”

Dustin Johnson did not win the 2021 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Abraham Ancer won in a three-man sudden-death playoff over Sam Burns and Hideki Matsuyama. (localmemphis.com; golfnewsnet.com: 2021 WGC-FedEx St. Jude final results) (Ancer won; DJ did not finish top)

“And I really like Scotty Scheffler this week as well.”

Scottie Scheffler did not win the 2021 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Abraham Ancer won in a playoff over Sam Burns and Hideki Matsuyama. (localmemphis.com; CBSSports: 2021 WGC-St. Jude leaderboard) (Ancer won; Scheffler did not win)

“all of which leads to my favorite play on the board this week Lee John Westwood who of course is I believe set to tie or break the all record for most major appearances without a victory”

Collin Morikawa won the 149th Open Championship at Royal St George's with 265 (-15). Lee Westwood finished T59. (PGATour.com, theopen.com)

“you know I think I might have a ticket on him to top 10”

Ryan Palmer missed the cut at the 2021 Open Championship at Royal St George's. (firstcoastnews.com report on Palmer missing cut)

“next to his name and I think that's a bad number and I'd like to jump on that I'll tell you the”

Min Woo Lee won the 2021 abrdn Scottish Open. Victor Perez did not win; he led after R1 but did not finish first. (GolfDigest, thegolfnewsnet.com)

“I still like Casey again.”

Paul Casey did not win the 2021 Travelers Championship. Harris English won after an 8-hole playoff over Kramer Hickok. Casey finished tied for 58th after 54 holes. (PGA Tour) (English won; Casey T58)

“I've already taken him outright.”

Justin Rose missed the cut at the 2021 US Open at Torrey Pines. Jon Rahm won the tournament at -6. Rose did not finish the tournament. (CBS Sports, ESPN) (Rose: MC at 2021 US Open)

“And my favorite play on the board is a guy with big, strong forearms that hits the ball really high in the air, that can get it out of the rough, and has been playing major championships much better as of late. Paul Casey at 50-1.”

Paul Casey did not win the 2021 US Open at Torrey Pines. Jon Rahm won the championship at -6. Casey did not finish in the top 3. (Wikipedia 2021 US Open golf) (Rahm won; Casey did not contend)

“Victor Hovland is my guy. Didn't play great at the Memorial last year.”

Patrick Cantlay won the 2021 Memorial Tournament in a playoff over Collin Morikawa. Victor Hovland did not win. Source: PGA Tour / thegolfnewsnet.com. (Cantlay won; Hovland did not win)

“my favorite play on the board, my favorite outright this week, the kid is going to win at some point, Amanda. He's got three top 10s in three career major championships now. Will Zalatoris is really, really good. We've talked for six months now about, oh, man, he doesn't have PGA Tour status and he won't get into the playoffs. And how stupid is this? At some point, he's going to win. And we all going to go OK well we can forget that conversation because now we gain status And so 25 to one I think is a great number on him”

Jason Kokrak won the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club. Will Zalatoris did not win. (Charles Schwab press release confirming Kokrak as champion; golf.com winner's bag article) (Kokrak won; Zalatoris did not win)

“By the way, my first round leader bet this week is, I don't think I like it. What is it? It's like one of these, like something's got to give. So in his last five starts, Sergio Garcia has four scores on Thursdays that are 65, 65, 67, 68.”

Corey Conners led the 2021 PGA Championship first round at -5 (67) at Kiawah Island. Sergio Garcia missed the cut (shot 73 in Round 2), and was not the first-round leader. (CBSSports: 2021 PGA Championship Round 1 leaderboard) (Conners led at -5; Garcia did not lead R1)

“The shortest guy that I've bet so far is Victor Hovland, who I think has some obvious, really good momentum right now. I wish I had hopped on a month ago before a couple of third place finishes the last few weeks. But really like Victor Hovland, obviously hard not to like him.”

Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island (-6 / 282) by two shots over Brooks Koepka and Louis Oosthuizen. Viktor Hovland did not win. Source: PGA Tour / CBS Sports. (Mickelson won at -6; Hovland did not win)

“And then dipping down to Abraham Anser, who's going to win very soon. that should be a good golf course for him.”

Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship. Abraham Ancer finished T8 at -1 and did not win. Source: CBS Sports PGA Championship leaderboard. (Mickelson won; Ancer T8 at -1)

“Matthew Fitzpatrick, I think could fit that golf course really well.”

Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship. Matthew Fitzpatrick did not win. Source: PGA Tour / CBS Sports. (Mickelson won; Fitzpatrick did not win)

“And maybe my favorite play right now, Mark Leishman.”

Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship. Mark Leishman did not win. Source: PGA Tour / CBS Sports. (Mickelson won; Leishman did not win)

“Woodland's another one that I bet.”

Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship. Gary Woodland finished approximately T38 and did not win. Source: CBS Sports / thegolfnewsnet.com. (Mickelson won; Woodland approx. T38)

“my favorite outright play from the top tier is Scotty Scheffler uh mentioned him earlier as Scott Alexander Scheffler he has matured into Scotty he's a very good player”

K.H. Lee won the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch at -25, defeating the field by 3 shots. Scottie Scheffler did not win; his first PGA Tour victory came in February 2022. Source: CBS Sports / PGA Tour. (K.H. Lee won at -25; Scheffler did not win)

“he's my pick to win this week I don't usually go and dip this far into the odds board for a guy to to be my overall favorite play to win but I really like Harold Varner III taking a chance on a guy with a lot of potential and upside this week”

Rory McIlroy won the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club with -10 (274). Harold Varner III finished at +3, well outside the top 10. Source: PGA Tour / goandplay.eu. (Varner III +3 (did not contend))

“I'm not moving away from my favorite pick from the top of the board. It's look, there was one player at the best ball striking stats. We just talked about him last week at Ennisbrook. He's also a player who's won a major championship on this golf course. It just feels like everything's falling into place for Justin Thomas.”

Rory McIlroy won the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship at -10. Justin Thomas did not win. Source: PGA Tour / goandplay.eu. (McIlroy won at -10; Thomas did not win)

“Cameron Davis is my favorite long shot around there at a hundred to one.”

Rory McIlroy won the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship at -10. Cameron Davis did not win. Source: PGA Tour / goandplay.eu. (McIlroy won; Davis did not contend)

“I'm going to have a couple of different bets on Schwartzel this week. Probably the outright kind of a little bit of a flyer. I don't really expect that to happen, but if I've got him to outright at that number, I mean, why not?”

Charles Schwartzel did not win the 2021 Valspar Championship. Sam Burns won at -17. Schwartzel was not in the top 10. (CBS Sports, The Golf News Net — 2021 Valspar Championship final results) (Schwartzel: outside top 10; Winner: Sam Burns -17)

“And then some top 10, top 20 action on him as well.”

Charles Schwartzel did not finish top 10 at the 2021 Valspar Championship. Sam Burns won. Top 10 finishers included Burns, Keegan Bradley, Viktor Hovland, Cameron Tringale, Abraham Ancer, and others — Schwartzel was not among them. (CBS Sports, The Golf News Net — 2021 Valspar Championship final results)

“kisner and scott brown i think are a steal at 66 to 1”

The 2021 Zurich Classic was won by Marc Leishman and Cameron Smith (defeating Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel in a playoff at 20-under). Kevin Kisner/Scott Brown did not win. (Bleacher Report; Zurich Classic official site)

“A guy I really like this week, probably my favorite outright play.”

Stewart Cink won the 2021 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links by four shots. Brian Harman did not win. Source: progolfnow.com/2021/04/18/2021-rbc-heritage-winners-losers-harbour-town/ (Winner: Stewart Cink (-4 win margin))

“But he is my favorite play for this week.”

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters Tournament at -10, one shot ahead of Will Zalatoris. Jon Rahm did not win. Source: masters.com/en_US/news/articles/2021-04-11/2021-04-11_final_results_for_the_2021_masters.html (Winner: Matsuyama -10; Rahm did not win)

“So does John Rahm, who's actually my favorite pick out there.”

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Jon Rahm finished T5.

“Speaking of peaking in majors, am I insane for liking Brooks Koepka so much heading into this?”

Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Brooks Koepka did not win.

“But I love Paul Casey this week. Just everything is trending in the right direction.”

Matsuyama won the 2021 Masters; Paul Casey did not win.

“And I've got Jon Rahm winning the whole thing.”

Billy Horschel defeated Scottie Scheffler 2&1 to win the 2021 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. Jon Rahm did not win the tournament. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_WGC-Dell_Technologies_Match_Play (Winner: Billy Horschel def. Scheffler 2&1)

“i i am going to start off sort of this mid-tier with uh my favorite play this week who i like in”

Matt Jones won the 2021 Honda Classic by five shots at -12. Shane Lowry finished in a tie for 18th at -3, seven shots behind the leader after a third-round 74. (Irish Times; pgatour.com)

“My play is out of that one. First of all, Matthew Fitzpatrick has everything going for him this week.”

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill (Mar 4-7, 2021) at 11-under, defeating Lee Westwood by 1 shot. Matthew Fitzpatrick finished T10 at 3-under 285. Source: The Golf News Net final results (https://thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2021/03/07/2021-arnold-palmer-invitational-final-results-prize-money-payout-leaderboard-and-how-much-each-golfer-won-122125/). (Fitzpatrick T10, 3-under 285; DeChambeau won at 11-under)

“Fleetwood, I think, is a tremendous value play at 45 to one.”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T10 at the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational (3-under 285). The quote frames this as an outright win pick at 45-to-1 odds; Bryson DeChambeau won the tournament. Source: The Golf News Net final leaderboard (https://thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2021/03/07/2021-arnold-palmer-invitational-final-results-prize-money-payout-leaderboard-and-how-much-each-golfer-won-122125/). (Fleetwood T10, 3-under 285; DeChambeau won)

“I love him for a top 10.”

Sebastian Munoz finished T49 at the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational at 4-over 292, well outside the top 10. Bryson DeChambeau won the event. Source: The Golf News Net final leaderboard (https://thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2021/03/07/2021-arnold-palmer-invitational-final-results-prize-money-payout-leaderboard-and-how-much-each-golfer-won-122125/). (Munoz T49, 4-over 292)

“And so I'm going Tony Finau and I'm riding that horse throughout the entire week.”

Collin Morikawa won the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession GC (Feb 25-28, 2021) at 18-under, 3 shots clear of the field. Tony Finau did not win. Source: PGA Tour official results (https://www.pgatour.com/tournaments/2021/workday-championship-at-the-concession/R2021006).

“victor hovland he's my pick to win this week as far as you know a favorite outright i don't feel very confident in that”

Victor Hovland did not win the 2021 Genesis Invitational. Max Homa won in a playoff over Tony Finau. Hovland finished T5 at -7. Source: CBS Sports 2021 Genesis Invitational leaderboard; Fried Egg Golf recap. (Hovland T5 (-7); winner Max Homa (-12))

“I'm going to my favorite outright play this week is a guy that I think and I hope has a lot of the same qualities as Brooks Koepka did last week.”

Jason Day did not win the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Daniel Berger won with a final-round 65 to finish 18-under, defeating the field by two shots. Source: thegolfnewsnet.com 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am final results. (Winner: Daniel Berger (-18))

“My my first round leader guy this week is Cameron Tringali.”

Cameron Tringale was not the first round leader at the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Patrick Cantlay led after Round 1 with a 10-under 62. Source: Bleacher Report 'Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2021: Patrick Cantlay Leads After Record-Tying 62'; CBS Sports R1 recap. (R1 leader: Cantlay -10/62)

“Hideki Matsuyama, there's my favorite outright pick.”

Patrick Reed won the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines with a five-shot victory. Hideki Matsuyama did not win. Source: cbssports.com/golf/news/2021-farmers-insurance-open-leaderboard-breakdown-grades-patrick-reed-pulls-away-for-win-at-torrey-pines/ (Patrick Reed winner at -14; Matsuyama did not win)

“My favorite pick, I think, farther down is Patrick Rodgers, who I think has a great course fit here. He's kind of in that 200-to-1 range.”

Patrick Reed won the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open. Patrick Rodgers did not win. Source: cbssports.com/golf/news/2021-farmers-insurance-open-leaderboard-breakdown-grades-patrick-reed-pulls-away-for-win-at-torrey-pines/ (Patrick Reed winner; Rodgers did not win)

“Aaron Wise, who opened it 90 to one. He was my favorite player for an outright”

Si Woo Kim won the 2021 American Express at 23-under, defeating Patrick Cantlay by one shot. Aaron Wise did not win. Source: cbssports.com/golf/leaderboard/pga-tour/26496770/the-american-express/recap/ (Si Woo Kim winner at -23; Wise did not win)

“He's 28 to one for a top five this week. He's been top five in three of his last eight starts. I mean, it's not like, well, if he has a really good week, maybe he can do it. It like no he peeling off 37 percent in his last eight starts in the top five So I really like a play like that”

Doc Redman finished 70th at +2 at the 2021 American Express, nowhere near a top-5 finish. Tony Finau was the top US player at solo 4th. Source: cbssports.com/golf/leaderboard/pga-tour/26496770/the-american-express/ (Redman T70 (+2); top 5 were Kim, Cantlay, Davis, Finau, others)

“I've got Abraham answer as my favorite play this week,”

Kevin Na won the 2021 Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club. Abraham Ancer did not win the tournament. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2021-sony-open-scores-grades-kevin-na-holds-off-terrific-runner-up-stories-for-fifth-pga-tour-win/ (Kevin Na won; Ancer did not finish in top positions)

“if you're playing a couple of those uh triple digit numbers on thursday for the first round leader bets you might as well just cover yourself and take harris there as well”

The 2021 Sony Open Round 1 leader(s) on Thursday were Joaquin Niemann, Jason Kokrak, and Peter Malnati, all at 8-under 62. Harris English shot an even-par 70 in Round 1 and did not co-lead after round 1. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2021-sony-open-scores-takeaways-joaquin-niemann-stays-hot-with-thrilling-opening-round-in-hawaii/ (Round 1 leaders: Niemann/Kokrak/Malnati (-8); English shot 70 (E))

“And so I was writing my preview, and I wrote him up as my favorite outright for this week.”

2020 Mayakoba Golf Classic (El Camaleon GC) was won by Viktor Hovland at -20 (264) with a final-hole birdie, one clear of Aaron Wise (-19). Patton Kizzire did not win or contend; he is not among the confirmed top finishers. Source: PGA Tour official recap (pgatour.com/article/news/daily-wrapup/2020/12/06/viktor-hovland-birdies-last-hole-to-win-mayakoba-golf-classic); GolfNewsNet final results. (Hovland won; Kizzire not in top 4)

“Brian Harmon is my favorite play on the board. You can get him at 50-1.”

2020 RSM Classic (Sea Island Resort) was won by Robert Streb at -19 (263) in a two-hole playoff over Kevin Kisner; Cameron Tringale finished third. Brian Harman did not win or finish in the top 3. Source: PGA Tour official recap (pgatour.com/article/news/latest/2020/11/22/six-years-later-robert-streb-wins-again-at-the-rsm-classic); CBS Sports. (Harman not in top 3; Streb won playoff)

“I've got JT as number one on my list. He is my favorite play this week. My favorite outright. He's basically the best iron player and wedge player in the world.”

2020 Masters Tournament (Augusta National, Nov 12-15) was won by Dustin Johnson at -20 (268), five shots clear of Cameron Smith and Sungjae Im. Justin Thomas contended through 36 holes but faded to approximately T4-5 at -10. Source: Wikipedia 2020 Masters Tournament; CBS Sports (cbssports.com/golf/news/2020-masters-leaderboard-winner-dustin-johnson-takes-green-jacket). (Thomas ~T4-5 (-10))

“I said the best bet on him this week is an outright bet because I think there's a ton of value to get him about 80 to 1 right now, which I think is a great number on a guy who is seriously contended and maybe should have won back in 2017.”

2020 Masters was won by Dustin Johnson at -20. Justin Rose led after Round 1 (65) but faded over the weekend and finished outside the top 10, approximately -7 to -8. Source: Wikipedia 2020 Masters Tournament; Bleacher Report Masters 2020 final leaderboard. (Rose led R1, faded to outside T10)

“i think he's 40 45 to 50 to 1 i found him somewhere at 70 to 1 which i absolutely smashed already so you know i love that line shopping baby”

2020 Bermuda Championship (Port Royal GC) was won by Brian Gay at -15 (269) in a sudden-death playoff over Wyndham Clark. Scott Stallings finished T26 at -6 (278). Source: GolfNewsNet final results (thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2020/11/01/2020-bermuda-championship-final-results-prize-money-payout-and-leaderboard-121118). (Stallings T26 (-6))

“He is probably my favorite outright. I've got one in the mid-tier that at his number could be maybe even more of a favorite, but I really like Doc Redman. If you're giving me just sort of one guy to take at any number, Doc's my guy this week.”

2020 Bermuda Championship was won by Brian Gay in a sudden-death playoff over Wyndham Clark. Doc Redman contended but finished T4 at -12 (272), three shots back. Source: GolfNewsNet final results (thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2020/11/01/2020-bermuda-championship-final-results-prize-money-payout-and-leaderboard-121118). (Redman T4 (-12))

“Joaquin Neiman at 66 to one is my favorite play in the field, criminally underpriced.”

2020 Shriners Open was won by Martin Laird in a playoff. Joaquin Niemann made the cut and finished T13 at -17 (267), well off the pace. Source: CBS Sports leaderboard; GolfNewsNet final results (thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2020/10/11/2020-shriners-hospitals-for-children-open-final-results-prize-money-payout-and-leaderboard-120654). (Niemann T13 (-17))

“Maverick McNeely, if Joaquin Neiman is 1A, my favorite play this week, then Matt McNeely is 1B. my favorite play at his number.”

2020 Shriners Open was won by Martin Laird in a playoff over Wolff and Cook. Maverick McNealy made the cut but did not contend, finishing outside the top 25. Source: GolfNewsNet final results (thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2020/10/11/2020-shriners-hospitals-for-children-open-final-results-prize-money-payout-and-leaderboard-120654). (McNealy no top-10 finish)

“I going to spend some money and put it on Matt Fitzpatrick who is trending in the right direction”

2020 BMW PGA Championship (Wentworth) was won by Tyrrell Hatton at -19 (269), four clear of Victor Perez. Matthew Fitzpatrick shared the 36-hole lead but shot a third-round 76 and finished T7 at -11 (277). Source: Wikipedia 2020 BMW PGA Championship; GolfNewsNet final results (thegolfnewsnet.com/ryan_ballengee/2020/10/11/2020-bmw-pga-championship-final-results-prize-money-payout-and-leaderboard-120645). (Fitzpatrick T7 (-11))

“Brooke Henderson, fire. I believe she's about 10 to one this week though.”

2020 KPMG Women's PGA Championship (Aronimink GC) was won wire-to-wire by Sei Young Kim at -14 (266), five strokes clear of Inbee Park. Brooke Henderson was T2 entering Sunday but shot a final-round 72 and fell to approximately 6th place. Source: Wikipedia 2020 Women's PGA Championship; Golf.com recap. (Henderson ~T6 (final-round 72))

“I'm all in. I'm playing blind. I don't know whether I have the nuts or whether I'm bluffing, but I'm pushing all my chips in on Tony Finau, and I have no idea what's going to happen.”

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2020 U.S. Open; Tony Finau finished T8 and did not win. (Finau 69-73-73-71=286 (+6), T8)

“Really like Fitzpatrick this week”

Matthew Fitzpatrick missed the cut at +7, so he did not finish top 10 at the 2020 U.S. Open. (Fitzpatrick +7, missed cut)

“But in any case, I'm looking at Joel Damon at 9,500 this week.”

Stewart Cink won the 2020 Safeway Open; Joel Dahmen did not win. (Winner: Stewart Cink)

“I like Webb Simpson this week. I like him from four shots back.”

Dustin Johnson won the 2020 Tour Championship at -21; Webb Simpson did not win. (Winner: Dustin Johnson (-21))

“My play is going to be Jason Day. That's where I'm going. I'm going to be talking a lot of Jason Day on this podcast, who has four straight finishes of seventh or better.”

Dustin Johnson won the 2020 Northern Trust by 11 shots; Jason Day did not win. (Dustin Johnson -30, won by 11 strokes)

“So if I have to go on the record with another first-round leader bet again, give me my guy Phil with the Aviators on, drinking lots of coffee, and getting after it in Boston.”

First-round co-leaders at the 2020 Northern Trust were Kevin Streelman, Harris English, Cameron Davis, and Russell Henley at -7; Phil Mickelson was not among them. (R1 co-leaders at -7: Streelman, English, Davis, Henley)

“I'll say it right now. My favorite outright play this week at 45 to 1.”

Michael Thompson won the 2020 3M Open; Erik van Rooyen did not win. (Thompson -19 (265) to win by 2)

“And then my favorite outright bet, just because, you know, I wanted to jump on a bigger number this week, and I think he's trending in the right direction. That's Cameron Champ, who I mentioned off the top.”

Collin Morikawa won the 2020 Workday Charity Open in a playoff over Justin Thomas; Cameron Champ did not win. (Morikawa -19 def. Thomas -19 in playoff)

“So I think Sungjae is a guy that if I have to bet somebody who's at least in that upper tier, he's probably my guy.”

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic by 3 over Matthew Wolff; Sungjae Im did not win. (DeChambeau -23 to win by 3)

“Snedeker might be the closest we seen to a Donald Ross specialist”

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic; Brandt Snedeker did not win. (DeChambeau -23 to win by 3)

“picking outright to win this week, which is Bryson DeChambeau.”

Dustin Johnson won the 2020 Travelers Championship; Bryson DeChambeau did not win. (Dustin Johnson -8 to win by 1)

“I'll probably have a little Finau.”

Dustin Johnson won the 2020 Travelers Championship; Tony Finau did not win. (Dustin Johnson -8 to win by 1)

“So those are probably three of the guys I'm betting.”

Dustin Johnson won the 2020 Travelers Championship; Patrick Reed did not win. (Dustin Johnson -8 to win by 1)

“The guy that I like the most this week ranks third in strokes gain T to green so far this season.”

Webb Simpson won the 2020 RBC Heritage at 22-under, one shot ahead of Abraham Ancer; Hideki Matsuyama did not win. (Winner: Webb Simpson (-22))

“two to one I'm taking Phil and Phil and Brady yeah I love that so I've done some analysis on uh”

Tiger Woods & Peyton Manning beat Phil Mickelson & Tom Brady 1-up at The Match: Champions for Charity. (Woods/Manning def. Mickelson/Brady, 1 up)

“I'm doing the exact same thing. It's just these things are a toss-up, quite frankly. And when they're playing for someone else's money, which is great, and I love the charitable aspect of it, but they're not playing for their own money”

Rory McIlroy & Dustin Johnson beat Rickie Fowler & Matthew Wolff 11-7 in skins at the TaylorMade Driving Relief charity match. (McIlroy/Johnson def. Fowler/Wolff, 11-7 skins)

“I mentioned earlier that I've got Berger over Hovland. That's probably not my favorite”

Sungjae Im won the 2020 Honda Classic at 6-under; Daniel Berger finished T4 at 3-under and did not win. (Winner: Sungjae Im (-6); Berger finished T4 (-3))

“Emiliano Grillo, who we've talked about, basically at even money over Ian Poulter. Not that I hate Poulter here, but I really like Rio.”

At the 2020 Honda Classic, Emiliano Grillo missed the cut while Ian Poulter made the cut and finished at +2, so Poulter beat Grillo in the matchup bet. (Grillo (missed cut) vs Poulter +2 (made cut))

“I've actually bet about five guys on this one already. I've bet one guy for Mexico. I've bet five guys for Puerto Rico already, so that tells you where I'm looking right now. At the top of my list”

Viktor Hovland won the 2020 Puerto Rico Open at 20-under, one stroke ahead of Josh Teater; Scott Brown did not win. (Winner: Viktor Hovland, -20 (268), by 1 over Josh Teater)

“i very very rarely first of all pick tiger to win golf tournaments and secondly find value in tiger that even more rare but um i doing each of those this week tiger in some books is as high as 20 to one anywhere from 16 to one to 20 to one as we speak right now And I think 20 to one is a good number for him.”

Adam Scott won the 2020 Genesis Invitational at 11-under; Tiger Woods finished T-68 at 5-over after a third-round 76. (Woods: 68th, +5 (rounds 70-70-76-77))

“I think I go with Fratelli top 20 which last I saw I think it was plus 700 plus 750 right about there”

Dylan Frittelli missed the cut at the 2020 Genesis Invitational (144 through two rounds), finishing outside the top 20. (Frittelli: CUT (144))

“from a betting perspective, I'm all in on Rory. And obviously I got to be in on my guy, Tiger Woods too, this week. But right now I'm looking at Rory as easily the favorite.”

Adam Scott won the 2020 Genesis Invitational; Rory McIlroy did not win. (Winner: Adam Scott, -11)

“Berger's my guy this week. Berger's the guy that I have picked to win this tournament. So if you're asking me if I like Berger over Spieth in a tournament matchup. And you get him at plus money in some spots, potentially.”

Nick Taylor won the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am wire-to-wire; Daniel Berger finished T5. (Winner: Nick Taylor (-19); Berger T5)

“my favorite bet this week is Patrick Rogers for a top 20. He's had top 20 finishes in each of his last two starts. He was TA'd at this event two years ago.”

Patrick Rodgers missed the cut at the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, so he did not finish top 20. (Rodgers: 215 (76-68-71), missed cut)

“i have got four reasons that i am picking”

Bryson DeChambeau finished T-52 at the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open; Webb Simpson won in a playoff over Tony Finau. (DeChambeau: -2 (282), T-52)

“if you can search for a good price in Gary Woodland, he's kind of my favorite near the top end play”

Gary Woodland missed the cut at the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open (Marc Leishman won). (Woodland: 145 (+1), missed cut)

“That's Tony Finau. Oh, I love it.”

Tony Finau finished T6 at the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open; Marc Leishman won. (Finau: -10 (278), T6)

“it's the guy that I mentioned right off the top. I'm going with Scotty Scheffler as my winner.”

Andrew Landry won the 2020 American Express; Scottie Scheffler did not win. (Winner: Andrew Landry (-26))

“One guy who stands out to me, and this is at the top, but I'm taking one guy this week relative to the rest of the field in terms of value. I think Justin Rose and the markets moved heavily in his favor is starting to play elite level golf. And I wouldn't be surprised to see him win another FedEx cup.”

Justin Thomas won the 2019 BMW Championship at Medinah CC; Justin Rose did not win. (Justin Thomas -25, def. Patrick Cantlay by 3)

“my favorite pick of the entire week that Peter already stole my thunder is Joaquin Neiman. Fire Joaquin this week. I love him on this golf course.”

Justin Thomas won the 2019 BMW Championship at Medinah CC; Joaquin Niemann did not win. (Justin Thomas -25, def. Patrick Cantlay by 3)

“I've made one bet this week on matchups, and it's moved a lot. And we'll see what happens. I bet Morikawa over Matsuyama. I got him from even money to minus 110.”

Matsuyama (-6, T30) finished ahead of Morikawa (-3, T52). (Northern Trust — Matsuyama -6 (T30) beat Morikawa -3 (T52))

“16-1, Shan Shan Fen this week at the Women's British Open. Bank it.”

Hinako Shibuno won the 2019 Women's British Open at -18; Shanshan Feng did not win. (Winner: Hinako Shibuno (-18), 1 stroke ahead of Lizette Salas)

“that you have Adam Scott as your best bet to win the tournament”

Shane Lowry won the 2019 Open at Royal Portrush; Adam Scott did not win, so the outright bet loses.

“I've bet on Justin Thomas at 30-1.”

Shane Lowry won the 2019 Open; Justin Thomas did not win, so the 30-1 outright bet loses.

“So I like Matt Kuchar a lot Long answer to say I like him”

Matt Kuchar finished at +2 (well outside the top 5) at the 2019 Open, so the top-five bet loses.