Scott Smith

“what do you like yeah this is something that's kind of changed here but i think when we start looking at those top 10 teams and i land specifically on atlanta there at eight is being the primary spot for the first wide receiver come off the board garrett wilson was the early favorite and when you look at the odds he's still the favorite there at 110 the person that i'm actually Lincoln there is going to be Drake London, who you can get a little bit better odds. I think he's sitting around plus 250 right now. I just think with that coaching staff, Arthur Smith in particular, he likes bigger wide receivers. That that position group is probably the worst position group there for Atlanta in the entire NFL You start looking at what their other options might be and I would kind of lean towards edge They were pretty horrible at putting pressure on the passer as well But I just don't think that that position group there at wide receiver is one where they can sit there and go into the second round without being able to take one of these premium wide receivers. And right now I have Drake London as the DNAT guy that I think is a good bet to go off the board as the first wide receiver selected. He's got the third shortest odds on DraftKings for first receiver selected, like you said, plus 250.”

Drake London was the first wide receiver drafted in the 2022 NFL Draft, going No. 8 to Atlanta (Wikipedia).

“Yeah, you know, I think when we start looking at some of these and this isn't a number that's going to give you huge odds, but I think it's a very safe bet. And I think when you start looking at the over and under on safeties, you definitely have Kyle Hamilton. But that number right there is that one and a half. So Lewis seen Daxton Hill out of Michigan, you know, at minus 285. You're not going to make a huge profit here. But I think you're safe to go ahead and look, go ahead and settle with a 20 percent, you know, bump on your on your bankroll and stuff like that. I think you have those two outs. Daxton Hill is very highly regarded. He's got an expected draft position bouncing around somewhere around pick 25. Lewis seems another guy that the scouts seem to love. I think he's a great fit for Detroit there at at pick 32. I think Tampa Bay is another out that you could possibly see. Also Cincinnati. I think there's plenty of options at the back end right there to for another one of these safeties to go. And that that safety bet at over one and a half just seems like easy money for me. Like I said, you're not going to make a huge profit, but I think it's safe to go ahead and take the guaranteed money, which is what I would consider that bet.”

Round 1 of the 2022 NFL Draft had three safeties selected (Kyle Hamilton No. 14, Daxton Hill No. 31, Lewis Cine No. 32), over the 1.5 total (Wikipedia).

“Kaiir Elam out of Florida is at plus 125.”

Kaiir Elam was drafted in the top 32, going No. 23 to the Buffalo Bills in the 2022 NFL Draft (Wikipedia).

“And Louisine, who I just hit on at safety, is an even money bet at plus 100.”

Lewis Cine was drafted in the top 32, going No. 32 to the Minnesota Vikings in the 2022 NFL Draft (Wikipedia).

“[14:50] were going and imploding down here at [14:52] LSU. I've been saying [14:54] for weeks you could go back and kind of check my Twitter I put out a couple of mentions but look Stingley was always going to test well So he just had his pro day a 4 [15:06] When we're talking about doing this, the actual number was over and under 12 and a half. [15:11] So since his pro day two days ago, that number's already dropped to 10 and a half. [15:16] So I think we talked about Washington a little bit. [15:19] Washington is in a position where if they don't trade back,”

Official NFL draft results list Stingley as the third overall selection, below 12.5.

“[18:43] Because I know when you initially sent me these, it was indeed plus 1,200, and now it's four to one. [18:50] So you may have moved the market there, sir. Let's get into Kenny Pickett, small hands, Kenny. [18:58] You know, what do you think? Is he going to be the first quarterback taken right now? [19:01] He is a slight underdog, plus 140 to Willis, who's around minus 170. [19:10] You know, my last mock draft, I put out about four mock drafts and I do basically three before I submit my final one that gets graded. [19:18] And, you know, within that process, I like to move players around and kind of get some feedback because the fans will let you know if they don't like the pick. [19:26] And look, a lot of these fans know what their teams want. So in my most recent mock draft, I actually projected Malik Willis to six to Carolina.”

Official NFL draft results show Pickett was the first quarterback selected.

“So I think that kind of six to 10 range [15:58] is really where we're looking if it's not, you know, Washington or 11 or Minnesota at 12.”

Official NFL draft results show more than five wide receivers were selected in round one.

“[15:52] at minus 120 at DraftKings, 20 to one to be in the top five.”

Official NFL draft results show more than four defensive backs were selected in round one.

“Look, my fifth favorite prop is one that I think is pretty easy to go ahead and digest, and it's going to be over 0.5 running backs taken in round one. You're looking at the odds at minus 225.”

NFL's draft tracker lists Najee Harris at No. 24 as the first running back, so over 0.5 first-round RBs won.

“Look, whenever you're playing poker and you have your hand, you're looking for a bunch of outs and this, this next prop is kind of going to give you that. And what we're talking about is minus one 65 for over five and a half Alabama players drafted in the first round. Um, I think when we look at it, you can really lock down four guys.”

NFL reports Najee Harris gave Alabama six first-round selections, so over 5.5 won.

“another of your favorite bets for the 2021 NFL draft. And before the show, we were talking, I believe that you think out of the ones that you like, that this is the safest bet Yeah I think when we start looking at it Ja'Marr Chase to the Bengals is plus 175 I think when you look at the Bengals there only two players So you basically deciding that this is a 50-50 proposition.”

NFL's draft tracker lists Ja'Marr Chase at No. 5 to Cincinnati.