Guest · 12-8 on settled picks
| League | prop | futures | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 7-3+54% | 2-3-4% | 9-6+35% |
| Other | — | 3-2+16% | 3-2+16% |
“And right now I have Drake London as the DNAT guy that I think is a good bet [15:17] to go off the board as the first wide receiver selected.”
Drake London was the first wide receiver drafted, going No. 8 to Atlanta.
“I think with that cornerback number you have some outs in the form of you know”
Only four cornerbacks were drafted in the first round, under 4.5.
“And that that safety bet at over one and a half just seems like easy money for me.”
Three safeties were drafted in the first round, over 1.5.
“Kyler Gordon's plus 110 to be drafted in the top 32.”
Kyler Gordon was not drafted in the top 32; he went No. 39 to the Bears in round two.
“Kyair Elam out of Florida is at plus 125.”
Kaiir Elam was drafted in the top 32, going No. 23 to the Bills.
“And Louisine, who I just hit on at safety, is an even money bet at plus 100.”
Lewis Cine was drafted in the top 32, going No. 32 to the Vikings.
“But I still like I like Stingley a lot at that under 12 and a half.”
Derek Stingley Jr. was selected 3rd overall by the Houston Texans in the 2022 NFL Draft. Pick 3 is under 12.5, so the bet won. (NFL.com; CBS Sports 2022 NFL Draft grades) (Stingley picked 3rd overall)
“Kayvon Thibodeau over the over pick five and a half”
Kayvon Thibodeaux was selected 5th overall by the New York Giants in the 2022 NFL Draft. Pick 5 is under 5.5 (not over), so the over 5.5 bet lost. (NFL.com; CBS Sports 2022 NFL Draft grades) (Thibodeaux picked 5th overall)
“I put money on that and it since has gone down to plus 400 to be the number two overall pick”
Kayvon Thibodeaux was selected 5th overall by the New York Giants, not 2nd overall, in the 2022 NFL Draft. (NFL.com; CBS Sports) (Thibodeaux picked 5th overall; #2 pick was Aidan Hutchinson (Lions))
“going to go ahead and spread some money on. Kenny Pickett to be the first selection.”
Kenny Pickett was selected 20th overall by the Pittsburgh Steelers, becoming the first quarterback taken in the 2022 NFL Draft. He was the only QB drafted in round 1. (NFL.com; CBS Sports; SI.com) (Pickett 20th overall, first QB off board)
“but you actually like over five and a half wide receivers. So essentially six or more [22:02] wide receivers to go in round one at plus 120.”
Six wide receivers were selected in round 1 of the 2022 NFL Draft: Drake London (8, ATL), Garrett Wilson (10, NYJ), Jameson Williams (12, DET), Chris Olave (11, NO), Jahan Dotson (16, WSH), Treylon Burks (18, TEN). Six is over 5.5, so the bet won. (Fox6 News; profootballnetwork.com) (6 WRs drafted in round 1)
“You like over four and a half defensive backs in round one at plus 120.”
Five defensive backs were selected in round 1 of the 2022 NFL Draft: Derek Stingley Jr. CB (3, HOU), Ahmad Gardner CB (4, NYJ), Kyle Hamilton S (14, BAL), Trent McDuffie CB (21, KC), Kaiir Elam CB (23, BUF). Five is over 4.5, so the bet won. (profootballnetwork.com; CBS Sports 2022 NFL Draft) (5 DBs drafted in round 1)
“and it's going to be over 0.5 running backs taken in round one. You're looking at the odds at minus”
Najee Harris (RB, Alabama) was selected 24th overall by the Pittsburgh Steelers in Round 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft (April 29, 2021), the only RB drafted in Round 1. Over 0.5 RBs in Round 1 settles as a win. Source: https://www.steelers.com/news/steelers-select-najee-harris-in-first-round (1 RB drafted in Round 1 (Najee Harris, pick 24))
“Initially, it was that plus 105. Now it's up to plus 120, but it's the over six and a half on Trey Lance.”
Trey Lance was drafted 3rd overall by the San Francisco 49ers — well UNDER 6.5, not over. Bet was on OVER 6.5. (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (Pick 3 (under 6.5))
“minus one 65 for over five and a half Alabama players drafted in the first round. Um, I think”
Six Alabama players were drafted in Round 1 — tying the all-time NFL Draft record. The six: Jaylen Waddle (6), Patrick Surtain II (9), DeVonta Smith (10), Mac Jones (15), Alex Leatherwood (17), Najee Harris (24). Over 5.5 cashes. (WHNT News, Wikipedia 2021 NFL Draft) (6 Alabama Round 1 picks (over 5.5))
“that this is the safest bet Yeah I think when we start looking at it Jamar chase to the Bengals is plus 175 I think when you look at the Bengals there only two players So you basically”
Ja'Marr Chase was drafted 5th overall by the Cincinnati Bengals. Bet on Chase to the Bengals hits. (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (Pick 5, Cincinnati Bengals)
“and that's going to be Patrick Sertain to Carolina,”
Patrick Surtain II was drafted 9th overall by the Denver Broncos, not the Carolina Panthers. Carolina used pick 8 on Jaycee Horn (CB, South Carolina). (Wikipedia, 2021 NFL Draft) (Surtain II pick 9, Denver Broncos)
“So I kind of do like the money on Kyle Pitts there.”
Kyle Pitts (TE, 4th overall) was the first non-quarterback drafted in 2021.
“But at minus 250, I think there's enough odds there, even though it's negative, to go ahead and drop money on that and have a decent return.”
No safety was drafted in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, so over 0.5 lost.
“so for yeah my long shot bet i really like either [29:56] of the Patriots to draft Justin Fields or Trey Lance.”
The Patriots drafted Mac Jones at 15; Fields went to Chicago (11) and Lance to San Francisco (3).