“I like the over 9.5 for the Chargers.”
Colin Cowherd
Guest · 173-159-3 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 93 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | moneyline | parlay | total | futures | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 155-138+1% | 4-2+27% | 3-7-43% | 5-3+19% | 2-4-36% | 169-154-0% |
| NBA | 0-1 | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 | 2-3-24% |
Picks
343 total · 8 pending“I like the Chiefs under 10 and a half.”
“Browns over five and a half,”
“take the under 11 and a half on the Ravens how hard it is to win 12 games in this division they've got a new head coach the Ravens have a new offensive coordinator they have a new defensive coordinator and you and I all watched Lamar Jackson last year he regressed his rushing numbers went down to under 30 yards rushing a game. Again, this is the highest win total in the NFL. And I don't know, Aaron Rodgers, Burrow, a talented Cleveland team, they were eight and nine last year. And again, I think their schedule early is workable, but in the middle of it, I see a lot of Jags, Burrow, Bills, Chargers, Texans, Baker Mayfield. I think it's tough in the middle. I like the under on the Ravens.”
“it would be Giants over seven and a half.”
“I gonna go Packers under nine and a half I like them but I think the division really good Folks Jordan Love never won more than nine games in any of his last three years and the division never been better. Ben Johnson and Caleb year two, Kyler Murray upgraded quarterback for Minnesota, Detroit major upgrade at left tackle and offensive coordinator. So Micah Parsons is not going to be ready for the start of the season. The Packers were 0-4 when Micah didn't play. They also lost Rashawn Gary, and Jeff Halfley was an excellent defensive coordinator. And by the way, Jordan Love's been dinged up. Oh, funny, now they don't have a backup in Malik Willis. This is an easy one for me. I can like a team. 9-8 feels about where they land. I like the under. Don't hate the Packers. I just don't love them. Under on Green Bay.”
“Saints feel pretty confident about this, over seven and a half, all barring a major injury at quarterback.”
“Finally, the Jets under 5.5.”
“I also, full disclosure, have, you know, very, very smart, sharp, long-term futures on Brazil. So I'm invested in them winning this thing, but I think they can't.”
Brazil was eliminated from the 2026 World Cup, losing 2-1 to Norway in the Round of 16. (Norway def. Brazil 2-1 (Round of 16))
“I will be betting us to beat Belgium as well.”
USA lost 1-4 to Belgium in the Round of 16 (2026-07-06); moneyline loses. (USA 1-4 Belgium)
“And I think against Australia, similarly, will be very aggressive. Yeah, Australia plays like a heavy defense, similar to like a Japan, kind of similar to Paraguay. But Pochettino adjusted against Paraguay. I think he'll make adjustments here. There are some interesting advanced stats that say bet the under as the U.S. Like nobody expected us to score four goals. Nobody had Australia scoring two goals. So I bet the under, under two and a half goals.”
USA 2, AUS 0 — Combined 2; under 2.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the Spurs money line to win the game outright.”
OKC 115, SA 122 — San Antonio Spurs won; moneyline covers.
“of a volume and a speed and an athleticism to both sides of the ball in seattle that feels different than new england and that's why they're four and a half point favorites and a lot of money has come in overwhelmingly on seattle i think it's low scoring i'm going to take the points i'll give”
Seahawks routed Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl 60; Patriots lost by 16, well outside the +4.5. (Final: Seahawks 29, Patriots 13)
“Texans hit Chargers. I like the Texans plus two and a half.”
Texans beat Chargers 20-16 outright, easily covering +2.5. (Texans 20, Chargers 16)
“Seahawks at Panthers. [5:41] I wish it was seven and a half, [5:43] but I'll take it at seven. [5:44] Panthers at home, fighting to win the NFC South. [5:48] One game lead over Tampa. [5:50] I'm taking the points.”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“Eagles hit Bills. I'm in the minority. I like Philly plus two and a half.”
BUF 12, PHI 13 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Bears at 49ers. I like Chicago with extra rest plus three.”
SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“Cardinals hit Bengals. I like the over 53-and-a-half.”
CIN 37, ARI 14 — Combined 51; over 53.5 busts.
“Backers at Bears. I like the Bears at home, minus one and a half.”
CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Bengals and Dolphins. Maybe my favorite pick of the week, I'll take Cincinnati minus 4.5.”
MIA 21, CIN 45 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Patriots and Ravens. I don't get this line. I'm going to take the Patriots and the field goal.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots beat Baltimore 28-24 and covered +3.
“49ers hit Colts. Maybe you haven't listened to J-Mac, but I like the Niners here, minus 5.5.”
49ers beat the Colts 48-27, a 21-point margin that comfortably covers -5.5. (49ers 48, Colts 27 (margin 21))
“Lions hit Rams. Rams minus 5.5 is the play. My favorite bet.”
LAR 41, DET 34 — Los Angeles Rams margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Panthers at Saints. I like the Panthers. Minus two and a half is a road favorite.”
NO 20, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Packers and Broncos. I like Green Bay minus two and a half.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Colts at Seahawks. Take the under 42-and-a-half.”
SEA 18, IND 16 — Combined 34; under 42.5 covers.
“Buccaneers and Bills. I like Buffalo at home minus five and a half.”
BUF 44, TB 32 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Seahawks and Rams. Wise guys may not agree with me. I'll take Seattle plus three.”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“49ers and Cardinals. Ah, Brock Purdy's playing. I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
ARI 22, SF 41 — San Francisco 49ers margin +19 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Ravens and Browns. I like the Browns plus 8.5.”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“49ers at Giants. I like the Niners minus two and a half at the Giants without Scadaboo.”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“win and cover the spread 28 23 bears and bengals i think it a good matchup for chicago i take the road favorite minus two and a half since week four Well the Bears are four and one of the Bengals are one and five So there's that. Bears didn't get turnover advantages last week, but they generally do. And their offense does lead the NFL in big plays. And the Bengals defense this year is awful. They're last in everything but third down defense and they're next to last with that they're one and five without burrow they don't run the ball particularly well and joe flacco's banged up the bears are not a great team but they can be very good when they get a good matchup like the dallas defense or the bangles defense i think chicago wins and covers the spread final score 33 27 she said builds i like”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“bangles defense i think chicago wins and covers the spread final score 33 27 she said builds i like the over 52 and a half points the over weather's going to be fine third ranked offensive line buffalo and the fourth ranked offensive line kansas city so both quarterbacks will have time to throw five straight games for kansas city scoring 28 or more and their receiving tight end core is stacked number one total offense in the last month the bills averaging six yards a play Second best in the NFL. Josh Allen, when he plays the Chiefs, he'll run it a bit more. But if you look at the games between Mahomes and Josh Allen, the defenses struggle to make stops. I think it's a classic Buffalo-Kansas City matchup. I think Kansas City's going to win. Take the over 52.5 points.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Combined 49; over 52.5 busts.
“I'm going to take the Commanders plus 3.5 at home.”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Washington Commanders margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“going to take Dallas minus half”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -0.5; busts.
“I like Cleveland at home, minus 2-1.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Commanders and Cowboys. Take the over 54-and-a-half.”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Combined 66; over 54.5 covers.
“I think Green Bay wins. I'm taking the seven. It's moved up to seven. Arizona, it doesn't matter if Jacoby Brissett or Kyler Murray play. Kyler Murray, foot injury may play. Last week, Kobe Brissett had nine big plays against the Colts. Okay, and Green Bay has yet to win a road game. They're very young. They're a little banged up on offense. Listen, Arizona, all six of their games this year, most in the NFL have been one score game. They've let in the fourth quarter of five of their six games. And they always feisty at home And Green Bay is not taking the ball away this year The Arizona offense Green Bay is going to have to prepare for Kyler Murray and Jacoby Brissett I think that a disadvantage. I'm going to take Green Bay to win. Close. Seven points is too many. 28-24. Feisty Arizona with either quarterback at home keeps it close.”
ARI 23, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +4 vs line -7; busts.
“Seattle plus one and a half. Go Moneyline. They're going to win this puppy outright.”
JAX 12, SEA 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +8 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Take the under Patriots Saints under 45 and a half points.”
NO 19, NE 25 — Combined 44; under 45.5 covers.
“Justin Herbert, three straight games with at least one interception. So I get a team traveling cross country on backups to backups, a Miami coach fighting for his career, and they're getting four and a half at home. I think I'm going to take the Dolphins. Chargers probably win this game 24-23. I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I like the Raiders minus three and a half.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“My favorite bet of the week is the Commanders minus 4.5.”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“It's Collins, Blazing Five, Raiders and Colts. I like the Colts at home to win and cover. First of all, they lead the NFL in yards per play. That's a big stat for the wise guy is 6.5.”
IND 40, LV 6 — Indianapolis Colts margin +34 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I like the Jets when the numbers plus three”
DAL 37, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -15 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm taking the hook. Denver plus three and a half is the side I'm on.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Seahawks minus the three to win and cover 28 to 23.”
SEA 35, TB 38 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Titans and Cardinals. I like the over 41 and a half”
ARI 21, TEN 22 — Combined 43; over 41.5 covers.
“My favorite game of the weekend is Titans at home plus five and a half against the Rams. That's my favorite pick of the week.”
TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But, like, I picked Seattle to win their division.”
Seahawks won the NFC West at 14-3, their first division title since 2020, and went on to win Super Bowl LX. (Seahawks 2025: 14-3, NFC West champs, No. 1 seed)
“I like the number better when it was minus four, but I'll take the Lions minus four and a half.”
NO 28, DET 33 — Detroit Lions margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm taking Tim Boyle and the Jets plus one and a half.”
NYJ 8, ATL 13 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
PHI 19, SF 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Rams minus three and a half, meaning, you know, Cleveland's the side.”
LAR 36, CLE 19 — Los Angeles Rams margin +17 vs line -3.5; covers.
“That what the last eight games the Bengals have had no Joe Burrow They averaged 15 points It at Jacksonville I got to swallow 8 Their defense isn good now I mean that right It a mailed season for Cincinnati Their defense is last in many categories. I'm going to take the team playing for more with a star quarterback against a backup, a water pistol offense. 32-20 Jacksonville wins.”
JAX 31, CIN 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -8; busts.
- Detroit Lions -4 closed -4 · CLV 0
- Los Angeles Chargers -6 closed -4.5 · CLV -1.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars
“Here's my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take the Lions minus four at the Saints. I'm out on Dennis Allen. I think he's one of the worst coaches in the league. Lions got embarrassed by Green Bay. They bounce back and win. Chargers minus six at the Patriots. A desperate team coach in a hot seat in New England. I'm not sure they want to win games. I'll take the Chargers to win by more than a touchdown. And I'll take the Jaguars hosting the Bengals.”
Parlay lost: Lions -4 covered (won 33-28) and Chargers -6 pushed (won 6-0 exactly), but Jaguars lost outright to Bengals 31-34 in OT, sinking the parlay. (Lions 33-28 Saints (won); Chargers 6-0 Patriots (push at -6); Bengals 34-31 Jaguars OT (lost))
- Cincinnati Bengals +1 closed +2 · CLV -1 lost
- Indianapolis Colts -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1 closed +3 · CLV -2 lost
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. Jake Browning is good enough to run the offense. I'll take the Bengals at home plus one over the Steelers. Offense for Pittsburgh can't move the chains. I'll take the Colts, offensive coach, off a bye, Gardner Minshew, minus two and a half, hosting the Bucs. I think the Colts are a scrappy team, and off a bye, they'll win. And the Cardinals, plus one at home to beat the Rams. Rams were severely outplayed by Seattle, but pulled it out late because Seattle went to a backup quarterback. I'll take the Bengals, Colts, and Cards.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Bengals +1 +1 — lost; Indianapolis Colts -2.5 -2.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +1 +1 — lost.
“I loved it when it was at 10, but I'll take the Bears plus 7.5.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll take the Dolphins minus 12.5 in a blowout.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -12.5; busts.
“Seahawks and Rams. I've shifted in the last 12 hours. I'm gonna take the Rams plus one.”
LAR 17, SEA 16 — Los Angeles Rams margin +1 vs line +1; covers.
“I like this game. Bills minus 7. I'm going to take it.”
BUF 32, NYJ 6 — Buffalo Bills margin +26 vs line -7; covers.
“Eagles at Chiefs. Wise guys like Kansas City. I like Philly plus 2.5.”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 closed -6.5 · CLV 0 won
- Seattle Seahawks -1 closed +1.5 · CLV -2.5 lost
- Denver Broncos -2 closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I always take good teams that have been humiliated the week before. Jags got hammered by the Niners. I'll take a minus six and a half to cover at home against the Titans. No way the Rams beat the Seahawks twice. Seattle's minus one. A better, younger, healthier team. I'll take Seattle. Broncos at home minus two. I know it's a short week off the Monday night football win, but I think the Josh Dobbs story has limitations. Go Denver.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 -6.5 — won; Seattle Seahawks -1 -1 — lost; Denver Broncos -2 -2 — lost.
- Detroit Lions -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1 won
- Dallas Cowboys -16 closed -17.5 · CLV +1.5 won
“Now for my parlay picks of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take Lions minus two and a half at the Chargers. You know the Chargers don't have much of a home field advantage, and I think the Lions' excellent offensive line can hold off the Chargers' pass rush. I'll take the Cardinals at home, plus one and a half against Atlanta. Kyler Murray returns. He wouldn't return unless he was ready to play. I take the Cowboys minus 16 I know weird right I hate big favorites The Giants offense though currently with this quarterback is the worst I seen in the NFL in years”
Parlay cashes: Detroit Lions -2.5 -2.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +1.5 +1.5 — won; Dallas Cowboys -16 -16 — won.
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 won
- Baltimore Ravens -6 closed -6.5 · CLV +0.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 closed -2 · CLV -0.5 won
“New users please use the code HERD H when you download the app Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook Dolphins at the Chiefs Kansas City overseas minus two and a half Andy Reid off a loss Mahomes off a loss. Kansas City has a much better O-line in defense. They rebound and I will swallow the two and a half points. Seahawks at the Ravens minus six. Better quarterback at home, better defense. I like the Ravens here. Ugly win over Arizona. They're a tough, tough home favorite. I like them here to beat Seattle and cover. Bengals minus two and a half. I like them hosting the Bills to cover. I think Cincinnati's defense is more consistent. Burrow situationally at home's better than Josh Allen on the road. Three favorites, Chiefs, Ravens, Bengals. I'll take all of them.”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Baltimore Ravens -6 -6 — won; Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“I'm going to take the Ravens minus three at home.”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -3; covers.
“I'll take the Giants plus three.”
NYG 14, WSH 7 — New York Giants margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“Chargers at Chiefs Upset of the week Chargers plus five and a half to win straight out”
KC 31, LAC 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Dolphins and Eagles. I'll take Philly minus two and a half to win in cover at home.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“49ers minus 7 I'll take it”
MIN 22, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -7; busts.
- Buffalo Bills -9 closed -7.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 lost
- Philadelphia Eagles -2 closed -3 · CLV +1 won
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take Bills minus nine. and they played terribly against the New York Giants at New England. Swallow the points. Bills have a better roster, more to play for, as Miami and the Jets now are charging fast. Chargers at the Chiefs all take the Chargers plus five and a half. Why? Chiefs are not a big favorite, still struggling offensively. Connectability between Mahomes and that young receiving group. And I'll take the Eagles minus two hosting the Dolphins. When you punch back at Miami, they can fold. Not a physical team. I think they'll struggle to slow down the Eagles offense. I like the Bills minus nine. Chargers plus five and a half. Eagles minus two.”
Parlay busts: Buffalo Bills -9 -9 — lost; Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 +5.5 — lost; Philadelphia Eagles -2 -2 — won.
“I love the Ravens minus four. You know I love favorites when the number's four.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin +8 vs line -4; covers.
“I love this one. I'm taking the Bengals minus two and a half.”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Vikings at Bears. Bears plus three.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Saints at Texas. I don't get this line. I'm taking the Saints minus one and a half.”
HOU 20, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Cowboys at Chargers. I'll take the Chargers plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
- Washington Commanders +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 won
“my parlay. I'll take the Jags at home minus four to win and cover against the Colts who are going with a backup quarterback. Colts outplayed them in week one. Jags will not overlook Indy. Jags minus four. Seahawks at the Bengals. Cincinnati found their groove. This game is urgent. They're in a very tough division. Every game matters now after a rocky start. I'll take the Bengals minus three to cover. And the Commanders with extra prep off a blowout loss, humiliated, get points, two and a half at Atlanta. Atlanta beat Houston. I don't think they're better than Houston. They just beat them. I'm going to take the Commanders plus two and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Jacksonville Jaguars -4 -4 — won; Cincinnati Bengals -3 -3 — won; Washington Commanders +2.5 +2.5 — won.
- Philadelphia Eagles -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- New York Jets +2 won
- Dallas Cowboys +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
“I'm going to take the Eagles minus four at the Rams. The crowd will be 60-40 Eagles anyway, a semi-home game. They're undefeated for a reason. I don't know how the Rams' offensive front matches up with the Eagles' defensive front. I'll take the Eagles' minus four. I'll take the Jets' plus two at Denver. The Broncos last week had some offensive success because they played the Bears' step-up in class, best defense they've faced. Zach Wilson righted the ship a little even though they lost. I'll take the Jets' plus two. Cowboys' plus three and a half at the Niners. I'll take Dallas.”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles -4 -4 — won; New York Jets +2 +2 — won; Dallas Cowboys +3.5 +3.5 — lost.
- Washington Commanders +8 closed +9.5 · CLV -1.5 pending
- Cleveland Browns -2.5 closed +2 · CLV -4.5 lost
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed -1 · CLV +2 won
“All right, here's my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. Commanders plus eight at the Eagles. Philly on a short week due to Monday Night Football. Commanders, division game. They run the ball, humiliated by Buffalo. Teams humiliated, play better the next week. Eagles may win I'll take the eight Browns at home minus two and a half against the injury riddled Ravens Browns the best team in the league nobody's watching or cares about I don't know how Baltimore moves the ball consistently I'll take the Browns minus two and a half I'll take the Rams plus one against the Colts Gardner Minshew feels good what a story Rams played very poorly they'll get the details and the run game back they're a better team than the Colts Rams plus one”
Parlay busts: Washington Commanders +8 +8 — pending; Cleveland Browns -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams +1 +1 — won.
- Los Angeles Chargers +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
- Pittsburgh Steelers +3 closed +3 · CLV 0 won
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost
“All right, I'm going to go with a three-dog parlay pick via DraftKings Sportsbook. All right, Chargers plus one of the Vikings. They have a better team. They're desperate, better roster. And I think this is the moment for the Chargers this season. Line in the sand. Lose, they're thinking about a new coach. I think they win. They've had moments in both their losses. Chargers win by a touchdown. Steelers plus three at the Raiders. Why? I think Pittsburgh's a better roster overall after an ugly win and an epically bad performance by the O-line, they'll hear about it from Tomlin and play inspired. Take the Steelers by a touchdown. And Rams plus one at the Bengals, Joe Burrow may not play, and the Rams are the shock of the league. If you want to take the herd parlay, check out DraftKings Sportsbook. New users use the code H-E-R-D, herd, when you download the app. Chargers, Steelers, Rams. Like it, I love it.”
Parlay busts: Los Angeles Chargers +1 wins outright 28-24 over the Vikings (covers); Pittsburgh Steelers +3 wins outright 23-18 over the Raiders (covers); Los Angeles Rams +1 loses 16-19 to the Bengals and does not cover +1. One leg busts, so the parlay loses.
“I like the New York Giants minus 5.5 at Arizona.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“That's why I got four dogs. If you're not on the Browns, it's not too late either. I'll take a money line as well.”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland defeated Cincinnati 24-3 in Week 1, so the Browns moneyline won.
“I'll give out a number. I could save it for the final hour. Divisional home dogs since 2010 in week one, which is what the Browns are. 21 and 5 against the spread. Divisional home dogs. I know. familiarity. That's why I got four dogs. If you're not on the Browns, it's not too late either. I'll take a money line as well. Anyways, next up, Sean Payton now in Denver. And people, he's kind of”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going Texas Moneyline in that one.”
ALA 24, TEX 34 — Texas Longhorns won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking the Rams plus 5.5.”
Los Angeles Rams 30, Seattle Seahawks 13 — Los Angeles Rams win outright 30-13 at Seattle; easily covers +5.5.
“Oh, Colts plus three and a half at home.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“New England plus four. Again, no Shane Steichen.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“Cowboys. What are the New York Giants getting? The much better team. And why am I not finding Cowboys? Oh, Cowboys. Minus three and a half on the road. So I get the Giants at home three and a half.”
NYG 0, DAL 40 — New York Giants margin -40 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'll take Seattle plus 9.5 to cover.”
SF 41, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin -18 vs line +9.5; busts.
“chargers and jaguars i changed my pick uh within the last hour i will now take the jaguars plus two and a half”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I hate big favorites, but I'm going to roll the Bills minus 13 and a half.”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I have to take the Ravens plus 9.5.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like the Cowboys. Minus two and a half.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Dallas Cowboys margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Cowboys minus five at Jacksonville as one of my blazing five.”
Cowboys lost outright to the Jaguars 34-40 in OT in Week 15 2022, failing to cover -5. (Jaguars 40, Cowboys 34 (OT))
“I'm going to take Detroit at home minus two.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
“Pittsburgh minus two is the side.”
PIT 14, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“I like Cleveland plus 5.5.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Panthers plus four and a half.”
SEA 24, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'll take Arizona Monday night football at home plus two.”
ARI 13, NE 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2; busts.
“Pittsburgh plus two and a half. Matt Ryan against TJ Watt. I'll take Pittsburgh.”
IND 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'll take the points with the Broncos plus three.”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I like the Bears minus 2”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2; busts.
“Jaguars at Chiefs. Jags plus nine is the play here. Again, you want to talk about Trevor Lawrence. Three of the last four games, he didn't have a turnover. he's playing actually very well. He's made mistakes. He's a kid. But all six losses for the Jags are by one possession. It's their eighth ranked offense in the league, and Trevor Lawrence lead the NFL. He leads it with three games with 80-plus completion percentage. When the kid gets hot, he's hot. The Chiefs' defense, first of all, they're bad against the spread this year, and their defense, let's be honest about it. You can push it around. You can score. I think the Chiefs win, but I think it's close, and I'm going to take the nine points.”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +9; busts.
“Colin, one of the matchups is Packers at Lions. I'm leaning toward Detroit getting three and a half. So am I. I take Detroit and the points.”
DET 15, GB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'll take Arizona plus three and a half.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I like the Saints here, plus one and a half.”
NO 24, LV 0 — New Orleans Saints margin +24 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Love the Lions plus three and a half.”
DET 27, MIA 31 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the favored Patriots minus two and a half.”
NYJ 17, NE 22 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Browns plus three and a half.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cleveland Browns margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“My one favorite I like is Baltimore minus six and a half.”
BAL 23, CLE 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Packers at Commanders. You know, Green Bay may win, but I'm going to take the four and a half points. Taylor Heineke had a great game the last time he faced the Packers, and he's completed 75% of his throws in three of his last four home starts. He's a gamer. He can play. The Packers have their fewest points scored in any six-game span in Aaron Rodgers history. And in second halves the last couple of weeks, they're a mess. David Bakhtiari's all banged up. Randall Cobb out. Christian Watson's got a hamstring issue. They have no second gear, and their defense is not pressuring the quarterback. They're the only team allowing opposing quarterbacks in the league to complete at least 70% of their passes. I think Washington, I'm going to take the points.”
WSH 23, GB 21 — Washington Commanders margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Jets, I'll take the Jets plus one.”
DEN 9, NYJ 16 — New York Jets margin +7 vs line +1; covers.
“I love Baltimore in this spot, minus six.”
NYG 24, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -6; busts.
“Jets and Packers. Jets are off back-to-back wins, 2-0 on the road. I like them here, plus 7. Robert Sala's defense is playing hard and with passion, but it's the rookies, these last two drafts, last year's draft, the rookies for the Jets are all contributing. Brees Hall, Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson. They've got four different receivers, only team in the league with 200-plus receiving yards. There's guys open on every pass for the Jets. Guys are wide open. What happened to the Packers' defense, by the way? What happened to it? I loved it coming into the season. They've disappointed everywhere. I think the Jets go in. They're real. They've got firepower. And they upset Green Bay. This number may go to 7.5. You could bet it up. I'm going to take the Jets with the upset, 28-27.”
GB 10, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +17 vs line +7; covers.
“Falcons plus 5.5 is my play.”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Steelers plus 8.5.”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Seahawks plus two and a half, I'll take it all day.”
SEA 19, ARI 9 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Patriots minus three and a half.”
NE 29, DET 0 — New England Patriots margin +29 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm taking Cleveland at home plus two and a half to win outright.”
CLE 28, LAC 30 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Steelers plus 14 is the side.”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -35 vs line +14; busts.
“[10:17] Rams minus 5.5 went back and forth. [10:20] I'm taking L.A.”
LAR 10, DAL 22 — The Los Angeles Rams lost 22-10 to the Dallas Cowboys. The Rams' -12 margin failed to cover -5.5.
“Jaguars and Eagles. I'm going to take the Jaguars. Plus six and a half. They've won back-to-back games by 20 points. Let's be honest. This season, they're top 10 in scoring offense, top five in most categories. They've only given it away once. They're getting good protection. And the Eagles offense, as good as it is, has been shut out in the second half of their last two games. So it just seems like the number's too big. I don't think the market's figured out quite yet that Jacksonville spent $300 million and went and got a bunch of good players, upgraded severely at head coach. I think it's too many points. I think it's going to go down to the end. I'll have the Eagles winning 27-26. I got to take six and a half points here. It just makes too much sense to me.”
PHI 29, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Absolutely taking the Texans at home plus five and a half.”
HOU 24, LAC 34 — Houston Texans margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm taking Denver plus two and a half.”
LV 32, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Patriots plus 9.5.”
GB 27, NE 24 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Eagles at Commanders. Listen, I like Philly, but not giving the Commanders six and a half at home in a division rivalry. I'm taking Washington here.”
WSH 8, PHI 24 — Washington Commanders margin -16 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Jaguars plus seven.”
LAC 10, JAX 38 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +28 vs line +7; covers.
“Falcons at Seahawks. One of my favorite bets of the week. Like it, I love it. Falcons plus one.”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“Packers at Buccaneers. Keep your eye on this line. I'm going to take the Bucs. It's currently minus one and a half. You know, I'm going to take Tampa here.”
TB 12, GB 14 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“49ers at broncos all right jimmy g came in last week for trey lance he looked good passer rating over 100 two tds no picks i know you don't like him but he distributes the ball to their playmakers On Sunday Night Football, he's played six times. He's won four of them, and his passer rating is 105. Their offense in San Francisco outrushing their opponents by 230 yards this year, and their defense has been absolutely fantastic. And the Broncos can't score in the red zone because Russell Wilson doesn't run around anymore. They're 0-6 in red scoring opportunities, and they're the only team in the league with 100-plus penalty yards per game and their burning timeouts and situationally they're a mess. And I think San Francisco has the second best roster in the league to Buffalo. Pains me to say it, but I can't wait to watch it. I think San Francisco, swallowing a point and a half, I'll take it.”
49ers -1.5 at Denver on Sunday Night Football; Denver won 11-10, so San Francisco did not cover.
“I like Detroit here at home minus one and a half.”
DET 36, WSH 27 — Detroit Lions margin +9 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Patriots minus two and a half, a slight favorite at Pittsburgh.”
PIT 14, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Bears and Packers. I hate big favorites, but I think Green Bay minus 9.5 is the big favorite I most love this weekend. Listen, they're 9-0 after a loss under LeFleur. Rogers has owned the Bears”
GB 27, CHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Vikings at Eagles Love the Vikings, but not Kirk Cousins on Monday night I'm taking the Eagles here I'm sorry, Andy Dalton, Kirk Cousins in a big Monday night game I'm running for the hills The Eagles scored 38 points They had no giveaways It's a productive offense They had the most big plays in the NFL last season Do you realize that? 128 It's a big play offense, they're just contrarian and different Against the Lions, week one, they did it again Passing, running, RPOs. This is a handful. It's hard to duplicate at practice. And Kirk Cousins is 2-9 in his career on Monday night. And the Vikings are coming off a massive primetime TV divisional win. They pull back, go on the road. The Eagles are going to ball control you to death. So Justin Jefferson is going to watch more of this game that he's going to play. I like the Eagles to win a wildly entertaining game, though. 28-24 on Monday night football.”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — The Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Minnesota Vikings 24-7 in Week 2, so the Eagles moneyline pick won.
“It's Collins blazing five. Browns at Panthers. Carolina at home minus half a point. I like Baker Mayfield here at home. against his ex-teammates. First of all, the Panthers had the most blown leads in the NFL last year, 10. They were in a lot of games. Sam Darnold made too many mistakes. Their defense is excellent. It was all year. Third fewest yards per play all year. That's against Jacoby Brissett, missing his starting center, who has a career passer rating in the low 80s and struggles to complete 60% of his throws. Carolina, back-to-back, has had drafts I like. Cleveland's using a career average backup. Baker has a history of being inspired for individual games. I'm going to take the Panthers and Baker 27-23. Eagles and Lions.”
CAR 24, CLE 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line -0.5; busts.
“Eagles and Lions. Detroit plus four. You may be able to get four and a half today. Lions are three and three their final six games. And once Jared Goff got comfortable at the end of the year, He completed 69% of his throws, 11 TDs, two picks. So he was very good in his final five starts. They have two of the best tackles in football. I love their tackle tandem. And the Eagles could not get to the quarterback last year, second fewest sacks. Detroit, an inspired football team. Not a great one, but they're at home as a dog. Dan Campbell, if nothing else, is a great motivator. I'm going to take the Lions to win one of the more entertaining games of the weekend. Again, take the points. 27-26.”
DET 35, PHI 38 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm going to take the Texans plus seven.”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7; covers.
“jaguars plus two and a half i think they're going to win”
WSH 28, JAX 22 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Vikings plus one and a half.”
MIN 23, GB 7 — Minnesota Vikings margin +16 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I have Denver winning it because here my takeaway Here what I worry about Kansas City So not only did the Broncos go and get Randy Gregory they also got DJ Jones from San Francisco”
Chiefs won the AFC West; Broncos finished 5-12.
“What did you, J-Mac, what did you have the Cowboys win total at? I had him around eight or nine wins I don have them in the playoffs I think right now it the Eagles or Giants winning the NFC East Who you got Well I had them I said on this show I think last week, pound the under. Yes. They opened up at 10 and a half. I thought it was the best, the best under bet on the board. You can't find that anymore. Yeah. So to me, they feel like this morning an eight win team.”
Cowboys under 10.5 season wins (opened at 10.5). Cowboys finished the 2022 regular season 12-5, 12 wins > 10.5, so the under lost.
“i think the niners are one of the better but minnesota is my favorite bet in the nfc i think nine and a half is just incredibly, like I would pound the under on Dallas, pound the over on Minnesota.”
Vikings finished 13-4 in 2022, over the 9.5-win total.
“The Giants. That's a bad football team. The Falcons are tanking. and the Seahawks, if they stay with their current quarterback room, are awful. The Lions, probably a six-win team. I looked at their schedule last night. I'd bet the under on six and a half. They have some nice offensive pieces, but they're in that division. They're probably a third or fourth-place team. Those are not viable teams.”
Lions under 6.5 season wins. Lions finished the 2022 regular season 9-8, 9 wins > 6.5, so the under lost.
“Let's just go Dallas on the money line, my friend”
GS 112, DAL 87 — Dallas Mavericks lost; moneyline busts.
“This would be my weakest pick, but I'll take the Packers minus 5.5.”
GB 10, SF 13 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I would take Kansas City minus one and a half.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“going to take Cincinnati in the points. I don't know if they win, but if it's three and a half, I'm taking the Bengals. I'm taking the hook.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Bengals minus five and a half.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Patriots at Bills. Well, I'm going to take the points here with New England. Belichick gets Josh Allen for a third time. New England has 24 rushing touchdowns, second most in the league. It's zero degrees. I don't think there's going to be a ton of points, and I like four with New England. The Bills, by the way, are 0-5 in games decided by one possession.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -30 vs line +4; busts.
“I like the Eagles plus 8.5.”
TB 31, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -16 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'll take the Rams minus four.”
LAR 34, ARI 11 — Los Angeles Rams margin +23 vs line -4; covers.
“So I'm going to take the Cowboys minus four and a half.”
PHI 26, DAL 51 — Dallas Cowboys margin +25 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'll take the Falcons plus three and a half.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Garoppolo's got an injury, so I'm going to take the Rams minus 4.5.”
LAR 24, SF 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'm taking Miami plus six.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Miami Dolphins margin +9 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going to take the Colts minus seven.”
IND 20, LV 23 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -7; busts.
“One of my favorite games of the week, I'm going to take the Titans minus three and a half.”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Colts minus two and a half.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Texans at Jaguars. Haven't taken the Jaguars all year. Here we go. I'm going to take a minus 5. Why? Interim coaches always get a great effort the first several weeks. In Jacksonville's defense, they got a pass rush. They can get after you. In fact, they've allowed under 200 yards passing five of their last seven games, and Davis Mills has never won a start in the NFL. Jacksonville has the better defensive front. They're at home, and they got the better quarterback. And the Texans have scored 14 or fewer points in eight games this year. most in the NFL So they just can move They last in everything And I got an inspired team a focused team that wants to prove they fine It was the ex that was a problem I haven taken the Jags this year I going to take them 27 here”
JAX 16, HOU 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -14 vs line -5; busts.
“Titans at Steelers. Here's an interesting stat. I'm going to take the Pittsburgh, and the line's moved around. It's now minus half a point. I'm going to take the Steelers.”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line -0.5; covers.
“It's my least favorite bet, but I'm going to take the Broncos minus three.”
DEN 10, CIN 15 — Denver Broncos margin -5 vs line -3; busts.
“Seahawks plus four, and here's why.”
LAR 20, SEA 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“[5:48] All right. [5:48] All of our odds provided by Fox Bet Sportsbook off a winning week. [5:52] Been picking better of late. [5:54] Here we go. [5:55] That's a hot one. [5:56] Let's blaze it up. [5:57] Fire it up. [5:58] It's Collins blazing fire. [6:00] Ravens and Browns. [6:02] Browns minus three. [6:03] I got it at two and a half. [6:05] The line is not as good as it was a few days ago, but I still like Cleveland.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Giants at Chargers. Love the Giants. Love them. Plus 9.5. Mike Glennon's going to play. Listen, I don't care if they win or lose. That's not what we're talking about here. The Giants in their last six games are 4-2 against the spread because nobody thinks they can play. They can keep games close. They've held their opponents to 20 or fewer points in five of their last six games. If you look at their defense, they take the ball away. Multiple takeaways in five of their last eight games since week seven to top five defense. and the Chargers are dealing with COVID issues. Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Chris Harris, and five of the seven wins this year by the Chargers are by six or fewer Last week a prime example They almost let Cincinnati back into this thing I don like the Chargers rush defense or their situational third down defense. I think the Giants keep it close. I'll take the nine and a half. Chargers win. I don't think I've lost a Charger game this year. Chargers win, but it's going to be competitive. 49ers at Bengals. Now the 49ers are favored now. I loved them as underdogs. I like them here.”
LAC 37, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin -16 vs line +9.5; busts.
“49ers at Bengals. Now the 49ers are favored now. I loved them as underdogs. I like them here. It's my weakest pick, but I like them here. Here's why. They've outgained their last four opponents. Okay, they're starting to get healthy. They're running the football. And their offense is the best red zone offense in the league. This is amazing. They've scored a touchdown on 76% of their red zone drives. That means they can finish on third down. They can push you back. The defense is starting to play well. Multiple takeaways in the last month. But here's the key. Cincinnati's getting sloppy. Joe Burrow is hurt. They've had multiple games offensively with a turnover or more for Cincinnati. Joe Burrow leads the NFL, and I like Joe. He's got 14 picks, 16 giveaways. That's more than anybody in the league right now. And now he is hurt. I think the Niners, I like them more as underdogs. I'll swallow the two here. I'll take the 49ers to win 28-23, a more physical football team that won't make the big mistake in a very close game.”
CIN 23, SF 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -2; covers.
“Bills and Buccaneers. I love Buffalo plus three. In fact, I got them at three and a half. If you wait, I think it could go up to three and a half or four. You're all selling your Bills stock. Give it all to me. I'm buying it. I think they go on a heater. They're 4-0 after a loss this year. Folks, their defense is still exceptional. Number one total defense. Number two scoring defense. Every analytic, every points per game. yards per game, opposer passer rating, their first up and down the board. Josh Allen, 4-0 with multiple touchdown passes after every loss. And by the way, Brady, we love him. Five straight games, one or more turnovers. They're getting a little sloppy. This game, you have a proud, good football team that was mocked, made fun of, laughed at, ripped by their own media. So was their coach. The Bills are going to play their best game of the year. and I think they're going to whack Tommy and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-23. Rams at Cardinals. You know, Vegas guys are back and forth on this.”
TB 33, BUF 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Rams at Cardinals. You know, Vegas guys are back and forth on this. It's a numbers game. I get Arizona minus... two and a half at home, I'm going to take him with that number. I like it. They're one of two teams, Bills the other, top five scoring, top five defense. Kyler Murray this year, the kid's incredible. His completion percentage is 73%. You can't stop him off strip. I think he's incredible. I don't know what you do to defend this kid when he's healthy. I mean, I like Russell Wilson. There's things he does that Russell can't do. The Rams are a little overinflated in my opinion. Six of their eight wins have come with teams with losing records. In fact, they haven't beaten a team with a winning record since week three. They don't have Robert Woods. So now they're a little, they're asking Van Jefferson to be Robert Woods. He's young. He's not. I just think they're overvalued. I think this line should be much bigger, like Arizona minus four. And the Rams, by the way, to show you they're overvalued since week seven, the Rams are one and five against the spread. They're overvalued by the public. I like them. I just don't love them. And Arizona at home, I'm going to take them to win by 10.”
ARI 23, LAR 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I love Philadelphia minus six and a half.”
NYJ 18, PHI 33 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +15 vs line -6.5; covers.
“Pittsburgh plus four. I'm going with them.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“But right now it's Buffalo Minus two and a half at home in a snowstorm I'm going to take Buffalo In that instance Now earlier in the week it was a bigger number But at two and a half I'll take Buffalo”
BUF 10, NE 14 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll take the Cowboys minus seven and a half.”
DAL 33, LV 36 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I like the Texans minus two and a half.”
HOU 14, NYJ 21 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Buccaneers and Colts. I like the Colts at home getting a field goal.”
IND 31, TB 38 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“Broncos plus 2.5.”
DEN 28, LAC 13 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I like the Colts getting seven points even though I think Buffalo should win”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +26 vs line +7; covers.
“I'll take Minnesota plus one with the upset.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“I'll take the Saints to win plus the two points.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +2; busts.
“Cardinals versus Seahawks. Seattle season on the line. I'm going to take Seattle to beat Arizona. The line's only one and a half, so it's going to be close. It's a divisional game. Seahawks got shut out. and Russell Wilson is 35-11 off losses. He's the best off-a-loss quarterback in the league. Kyler Murray's ankle isn't right, so he's not practicing all the time and he's not completely healthy. My guess is they get down, they may pull him because Arizona has a bye next week and because the Rams lost, this is not as urgent a performance for Arizona. Season on the line, Russell Wilson a little healthier, They got humiliated. My rule is good quarterbacks get humiliated. Watch them the next week. I take Seattle to beat Arizona outright as a dog, 27-23.”
SEA 13, ARI 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Steelers win 24-21 as a six-point dog.”
LAC 41, PIT 37 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“Lions versus Steelers. Upset, baby. I'm taking the Lions to beat the Steelers. They're getting eight points. You're going to give this Pittsburgh offense, you're going to give eight points to anybody? So the Lions are off a bye. Half of their losses this year have come by nine or fewer. They had Baltimore beat The Steelers haven beaten an opponent not one by more than eight all year Their offense is a mess You know it I know it and they have good weapons Roethlisberger averaging six and a half yards per attempt It's the lowest in the league by a quarterback with a winning record. Let's just be honest here. Pittsburgh may win the game. I'm going to have fun and call it an upset. You cannot give Detroit eight points against Pittsburgh.”
PIT 16, DET 16 — Detroit Lions margin +0 vs line +8; covers.
“I like the Ravens minus six to win and win big.”
BAL 34, MIN 31 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“I like the Cowboys minus nine and a half.”
DAL 16, DEN 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin -14 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Falcons plus 6.5.”
NO 25, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I like the Giants plus three.”
NYG 23, LV 16 — New York Giants margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take the Colts minus two and a half.”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I like the Patriots plus four and a half.”
LAC 24, NE 27 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Jaguars at Seahawks. I like the Jags plus three and a half. They're off a bye. The Seahawks are on a short week. So you've got six days of prep. And Trevor Lawrence is starting to really hum. 90 plus passer rating in three straight games.”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Tampa wins, but I'm going to take the Saints plus four and a half.”
NO 36, TB 27 — New Orleans Saints margin +9 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Bengals and Ravens. Bengals get six and a half. I'm going to take Cincinnati.”
BAL 17, CIN 41 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Carolina minus two and a half.”
NYG 25, CAR 3 — Carolina Panthers margin -22 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I love the Eagles plus three”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“I'll take Tampa minus 12.5”
TB 38, CHI 3 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +35 vs line -12.5; covers.
“Colts at 49ers. Like it. I love it. I'm going to take the 49ers. The line now has moved in our favor. It's now San Francisco minus four.”
SF 18, IND 30 — San Francisco 49ers margin -12 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going to take the Ravens minus two and a half, one of my stronger plays of the week.”
BAL 34, LAC 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Lions to win straight out.”
DET 11, CIN 34 — Detroit Lions lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll take Cleveland minus three and a half.”
CLE 14, ARI 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Cowboys and Patriots. I like New England. do at home plus three and a half. You may wait on this. There'll be more cowboy money coming in. It may move to four. That's an even better number. But here's why I like New England.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going to take Pittsburgh minus five and a half.”
PIT 23, SEA 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I like Carolina here, and I like the number a lot, minus three.”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going to take the Bengals plus three.”
CIN 22, GB 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Packers and Bengals. Upset alert. I'm going to take the Bengals plus three. I'm betting the money line.”
CIN 22, GB 25 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to take the Dolphins plus 10.”
TB 45, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +10; busts.
“The bet is the Browns here plus two and a half.”
LAC 47, CLE 42 — Cleveland Browns margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Vegas pays attention to. I like Buffalo here, and I think they could win it by more than this. I'll take the three points. Buffalo, 36-28. All odds provided by Fox Bet.”
KC 20, BUF 38 — Buffalo Bills margin +18 vs line +3; covers.
“I like Dallas minus four and a half.”
DAL 36, CAR 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +8 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I like Miami minus two.”
MIA 17, IND 27 — Miami Dolphins margin -10 vs line -2; busts.
“Browns at Vikings. The Vikings should be 3-0. They beat the Seahawks. They should have beat the Cardinals, and they went to overtime with the Bengals. They an underdog at home getting two and a half against Cleveland This is not an indictment on Cleveland but they injured Their left tackle playing on one leg Greg Newsom, the rookie corner's a good one. He's hurt, bad calf. Jarvis Landry's still not there, and their defense isn't right yet. Here's the other thing. When you look at the Vikings, I know everybody likes to roll their eyes at Kirk Cousins. When's the last bad game Kirk Cousins has had? He's had 17 consecutive games with a 90-plus passer rating. They're at home where he's always better. In the NFL this year, he's fourth in completion percentage, number one in touchdown interception ratio, fourth in passer rating. Folks, I'm not sure they should be the dog here. They're at home. They beat Seattle. They had Arizona beat. They had Cincinnati beat. I'm not sure the line is right. And until I'm sure Cleveland has their defense right against a legitimate offense, I think the Vikings will take the points. They win 27-26.”
MIN 7, CLE 14 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I love the Chargers on Monday night, minus three and a half.”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll take Carolina plus three and a half second straight home game.”
CAR 26, NO 7 — Carolina Panthers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Colts plus three and a half.”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Eagles plus three with an upset.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Take the Steelers minus 6.5 against the Raiders.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Chargers minus three and a half.”
DAL 20, LAC 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“On Saturday, we have the highly anticipated matchup of the Bucs and Nets. Brooklyn is favored by four in game one, according to Fox Bet. They're also minus 213 in the series. Going to bet Milwaukee, game one, and series.”
BKN 115, MIL 107 — Milwaukee Bucks lost; moneyline busts.
“Brooklyn is favored by four in game one, according to Fox Bet. They're also minus 213 in the series. Going to bet Milwaukee, game one, and series.”
Bucks beat the Nets 4-3 (Game 7, June 19, 2021) in the East semis — series won. (Bucks def. Nets 4-3)
“Obviously, I'm very excited for this series. I'm taking the heat in the series. I know everyone's going to be shocked at that. I have the Bucs winning the whole thing, which is really a terrible pick. In the world of my picks, it's one of my worst picks. So they have to beat Miami. So Miami's got the better coach, and they've got the better star.”
Bucks swept the Heat 4-0 in the first round (clinched May 29, 2021); Heat lost the series. (Bucks def. Heat 4-0)
“Cleveland got a bad break. They got the worst break in the league. Cleveland's a good football team. I think they're the best over bet. Nine and a half wins. I think they're a 10-11 win team. They got a terrible break.”
Browns finished the 2021 season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line. (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“So I'm not going to do a blazing five, but I will bet some games today. Uncle Colin does not waste opportunities to make some lettuce. If I did a blazing five today, because the lines often never get better on Fox Bet, here's the best lines. Seattle plus three at Indianapolis. Seattle tends to be, again, same coach, same quarterback, many of the same weapons. Indianapolis has a new quarterback. And their best young receiver, Michael Pittman, has never worked with Carson Wentz. I think the Colts are going to be really good. I don't know how good they're going to be in week one. Last year they lost to the Jags in week one. So I would take Seattle in the points in week one. Atlanta minus one and a half.”
Seahawks beat the Colts outright 28-16 in Week 1 2021, easily covering +3. (Seahawks 28, Colts 16)
“I would take Atlanta minus one and a half against Philadelphia.”
Falcons were blown out by the Eagles 6-32 in Week 1 2021, nowhere close to covering -1.5. (Eagles 32, Falcons 6)
“I would actually take the Cowboys plus four and a half against Tampa”
Cowboys lost the season opener to Tampa Bay 29-31, a margin within +4.5. (Buccaneers 31, Cowboys 29)
“So I would take Kansas City minus four and a half.”
Chiefs beat the Browns 33-29, winning by only 4, short of the -4.5 line. (Chiefs 33, Browns 29)
“I cannot get over this, Joy. The Fox bet NFL win totals. I can't get over it. It's a 17-game schedule. And they've got the Browns lumped in with the Cowboys, the Chargers, the Saints, and the Titans at nine and a half wins. I don't know. That's an indictment on Baker Mayfield. How can you have them lumped in with the Cowboys If you go look at Cleveland roster right now They had a great offseason Great offseason And they're going to add Jadavian Clowney tomorrow. In a 16-game schedule, I'd take the over on Cleveland 9.5. On a 16-game schedule. And it's scheduled. They get Detroit at home. They get Houston at home. They get Chicago at home. They get the Raiders at home. They get Denver at home. They get Arizona at home. They'll be favored in all those games by more than a field goal. I just can't. I'm betting the over on Cleveland. And it's always a sucker bet. Future bets are sucker bets because fans always bet the over. And the Browns at 9.5, I would bet the over.”
Browns finished the 2021 season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line. (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“Dolphins over eight and a half they won 10 last year”
Dolphins finished the 2021 season 9-8, over the 8.5-win line. (Miami Dolphins 2021: 9-8)
“I'm going to take Buffalo minus six and a half here.”
BUF 27, IND 24 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Rams at Seahawks. Like it, I love it. I bet this game got a better number than the number now. But L.A. plus three and a half, I'll take them.”
SEA 20, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I would take Washington plus eight.”
WSH 23, TB 31 — Washington margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.
“Bears at Saints. Wouldn't touch this if you paid me, but I'll just take the Bears side because now it's up to nine and a half, ten points. And that's, you know, here's how I feel. Saints have the best roster in the league and are going to win this game.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -12 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Pittsburgh minus six.”
PIT 37, CLE 48 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -11 vs line -6; busts.
“I going to take Denver plus six”
DEN 19, BUF 48 — Denver Broncos margin -29 vs line +6; busts.
“I'm going to take Miami minus one and a half.”
MIA 22, NE 12 — Miami Dolphins margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'll take Washington plus five and a half.”
WSH 15, SEA 20 — Washington margin -5 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Arizona minus 6.5 at home against Philadelphia.”
ARI 33, PHI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin +7 vs line -6.5; covers.
“But I got Saints plus three and a half, and I love the pick.”
NO 29, KC 32 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Titans and Jaguars. I'm going to take the Titans minus seven and a half.”
JAX 10, TEN 31 — Tennessee Titans margin +21 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Finns, Miami plus seven.”
MIA 27, KC 33 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“I like the Giants plus two and a half.”
NYG 7, ARI 26 — New York Giants margin -19 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'll take Buffalo and swallow two points. Bills minus two.”
BUF 26, PIT 15 — Buffalo Bills margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
“Ravens at Browns. Like it. I love it. I'll take Cleveland. Teams are different. Some get hurt. Some get healthy. Some don't have an identity. Some do. Cleveland has found their identity. This is the two best running offenses in the NFL, but the Browns have only allowed six sacks since week seven. This is the best offensive line in the league, and the coaches have figured it out. If you go to week seven, the Ravens since then have a minus six sack differential. Browns plus ten. Turnover differential. Ravens minus three. Browns plus three. The Ravens have lost four of six games. I struggle with their offensive identity. Do they want Lamar to run? Do they not? Let's not get him hurt, but we need him. Cleveland is at home. They're getting points. They are the better football team. I said last week they matched up. very well with Tennessee. I didn't know if they had the oomph, the gravitas in them to win. They did. I do worry a little bit about their maturity of winning back-to-back games, Monday Night Football, Baker Spotlight. Will he go a little cray and think he's... I worry about that. Cleveland's the better football team. They've been the better football team since Week 7. They have the better identity. They have the better offensive line. I'm going to take Cleveland.”
CLE 42, BAL 47 — Cleveland lost 47-42; the five-point margin did not cover Cowherd’s stated +3.
“I'm going to take Cleveland plus five and a half here.”
TEN 35, CLE 41 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Rams minus three against the Cardinals.”
ARI 28, LAR 38 — Los Angeles Rams margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going to take New England minus one to go on the road and beat the Chargers.”
LAC 0, NE 45 — New England Patriots margin +45 vs line -1; covers.
“I'll take Philadelphia plus 8.5.”
GB 30, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -14 vs line +8.5; busts.
“Bills at 49ers. I'm going to take the 49ers. The number has moved some. I'm taking the 49ers side. I'll say Fox Bet. All of our odds, by the way, provided by Fox Bet. I'll say Niners plus One and a half here.”
SF 24, BUF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin -10 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Steelers Washington football team is featured in this week's free-to-play Super 6 contest. Download the Fox Super 6 app and make your picks before kickoff Sunday for your chance to win Terry Bradshaw's $100,000. All you have to do is correctly predict the outcome of six NFL games. And for top stories, scores, and more, go to the Fox Sports app. Colin, give us your winner and final score for Steelers versus Washington football team. 26-23 Steelers. I take Washington plus 7.5 to cover. I think Washington's a good bet this week. I didn't put it in my blazing five. It was the close one. It was the one I almost did. But Washington's a good cover.”
PIT 17, WSH 23 — Washington margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“All of our odds provided by Fox Bet. That's a hot one. Let's blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins blazing fire. Falcons, it's Saints. Okay, the number's changing rapidly. When we did this segment, you know, this morning, it was four and a half Atlanta. I would take the Falcons here. First of all, now I think the Saints with Taysom Hill are kind of experimenting at quarterback. I do not like that. Remember, the Falcons are coming off a bye with extra time. And Raheem Morris is not only three and one, but he's trying to win the head coaching job. And in this division, he thinks he can get to a wild card spot. He may be wrong. We know Atlanta since week six. They can move the ball. We don't question that, but they've allowed fewer than 30 points in five straight games. Again, this is a coaching staff coaching for million-dollar contracts here. Raheem Morris wants his second-head coaching job, and I feel like the Saints are kind of experimenting more than I would be comfortable with. We have an upset or two every week in the league. I'm going to take the Falcons with the upset win, 28-27 here.”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Atlanta Falcons margin -15 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Philadelphia is absolutely the play here, plus three and a half.”
CLE 22, PHI 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'll take the Colts minus 2.5.”
IND 34, GB 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Kansas City minus 8.5.”
LV 31, KC 35 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -8.5; busts.
“I'm going to take Tampa Bay minus 4.5.”
TB 24, LAR 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'll take the Dolphins plus four in what I think is going to be kind of an ugly football game.”
MIA 28, LAR 17 — Miami Dolphins margin +11 vs line +4; covers.
“Titans and Bengals. I'll take Tennessee minus 6.5.”
CIN 31, TEN 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -11 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I like the Colts here, minus three.”
DET 21, IND 41 — Indianapolis Colts margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm actually going to take Denver plus three and a half here.”
DEN 31, LAC 30 — Denver Broncos margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Colts at Chiefs. Chiefs minus five and a half. Off a bye at home with Andy Reid. I'm going to take Kansas City to win the game. Listen to the first team to average 35 points per game for a season since Denver did it with Peyton Manning. Now the Colts are hotter, but Kansas City's offense is first in virtually everything. And the Colts defense, although it's a great story, has not faced a top ten scoring offense since week five when the Patriots lit them up. I think a lot of this Colts defensive story has been situational. They haven't faced great offenses. Darius Leonard's outstanding, but they still have lots of needs on the defensive side. I think luck may outplay Holmes. It is cold. It is snowy. I do not like dome teams on the road in cold, snowy games. I'm going to take Kansas City here, 31-24, to win and cover the spread.”
Chiefs beat Colts 31-13 (Jan 12, 2019 Divisional Round); margin of 18 covers Chiefs -5.5. (KC 31, IND 13)
“Cowboys plus seven and a half. They got [4:21] the better defense.”
Rams beat Cowboys 30-22; Cowboys +7.5 lost by 8, missing the cover by half a point.
“I love New England at minus four.”
Patriots beat Chargers 41-28; Patriots -4 covered easily (won by 13).
“Eagles at Saints. All right. Listen, everybody loves the Saints. And my guess is the Saints drop a 30-burger. But I think Philadelphia's offense is potent. They're 5-1 straight up as an underdog. They've been great situationally. I get 8.5 points. I'm taking that all day.”
Saints beat Eagles 20-14; Eagles +8.5 covered, losing by only 6.
“podcast, my Blazing Five plus two bonus picks. Going to give you two. It's our final Blazing Five in the regular season because I'm out next Friday skiing in Utah. Yeah, that'll be fun. But if Gottlieb goes 5-0, then I take credit for those. All right, first, here's my Blazing Five. That's a hot one. Let's blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins, Blazing Five. Ravens at Chargers. Saturday night game, Chargers minus four and a half. It's going to be a good game low scoring for a while ravens play real defense but the chargers who we fell in love with about week eight lead the nfl in big plays with 118 that a running play over 10 yards a passing play over 20 Meanwhile Lamar Jackson is yet to throw for 200 yards in a game Baltimore will hang around in this football game and they'll keep it close, but in the end they're running a wing tee against the most explosive offense in the National Football League. Chargers win it and cover 27 to 20.”
LAC 10, BAL 22 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -12 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Packers minus three [5:23] Like it? I love the Packers”
Packers beat Jets 44-38 in OT (Dec 23, 2018); margin of 6 covers Packers -3. (GB 44, NYJ 38 (OT))
“and I like them to be super competitive here, getting four points against Chicago. By the way, Mitch Trubisky, young quarterback, very good at home. Incredibly mediocre away from home. That happens with young quarterbacks. I mean, it just does. Young quarterbacks are good in spots, but you get a roller coaster home and away. By the way, the best statistical rookie quarterback in the league is not Baker Mayfield. It's Nick Mullins. Look it up. Niners cover. I think the Bears win last second field goal, but I'll take the points on the Niners 24-23.”
Bears beat 49ers 14-9 (Dec 23, 2018); 49ers lost by 5, outside +4. (CHI 14, SF 9)
“I get the Giants plus 9.5.”
Colts beat Giants 28-27 (Dec 23, 2018) on a late TD; Giants lost by 1, well within +9.5. (IND 28, NYG 27)
“pressures on Kansas City, 28-26 Seahawks win. I will take the two and a half points.”
Seahawks beat Chiefs 38-31 (Dec 23, 2018); outright win covers Seahawks +2.5. (SEA 38, KC 31)
“I would take the Lions plus six hosting Minnesota.”
Vikings beat Lions 27-9 (Dec 23, 2018); Lions lost by 18, well outside +6. (MIN 27, DET 9)
“I would also take the Eagles minus one and a half against the Texans.”
Eagles beat Texans 32-30 (Dec 23, 2018) on a walk-off field goal; margin of 2 covers Eagles -1.5. (PHI 32, HOU 30)
“I love Cleveland plus three at Denver.”
Browns beat Broncos 17-16 (Dec 15, 2018); outright win covers Browns +3. (CLE 17, DEN 16)
“I going to take what I think right now is the better more optimistic locker room Browns plus three win 24 Raiders and Bengals Listen I been critical of John Gruden but they great in this spot The Raiders plus three I take them”
Bengals beat Raiders 30-16 (Dec 16, 2018); Raiders lost by 14, well outside +3. (CIN 30, OAK 16)
“I'll take the Colts at home. [5:44] Minus 2.5.”
Colts shut out Cowboys 23-0 (Dec 16, 2018); margin of 23 covers Colts -2.5. (IND 23, DAL 0)
“Titans plus two and a half against the Giants team that will not have Odell Beckham.”
Titans shut out Giants 17-0 (Dec 16, 2018); outright win covers Titans +2.5. (TEN 17, NYG 0)
“This was minus nine. Now it's Rams minus 11 because Carson Wentz is out. Rams are going to roll and win this thing by a ton.”
Eagles beat Rams 30-23 (Dec 16, 2018); Rams lost outright, well outside -11. (PHI 30, LAR 23)
“Dolphins plus seven and a half. [3:27] I really like this number.”
Dolphins beat Patriots 34-33 on the 'Miami Miracle' lateral TD; Dolphins +7.5 won outright, easily covering.
“Like Green Bay minus 4.5, like it, I love it.”
Packers beat Falcons 34-20; Packers -4.5 covered, winning by 14.
“bottom line if San Francisco limits turnovers I'm going to take the five points with the Niners”
49ers beat Broncos 20-14 outright; 49ers +5 covered easily.
“Philadelphia plus three and a half, I'm going to take the Eagles here.”
Cowboys beat Eagles 29-23 in OT; Eagles +3.5 lost by 6, missed cover by 2.5.
“Bears plus three at home. [6:21] Cold and slightly windy Chicago. [6:23] I'm going to take it.”
Bears beat Rams 15-6 outright; Bears +3 covered easily.
“Bonus pick time, R.J. Bell, pregame.com, the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press. He's got his one-hour show daily on Fox Sports Radio, 3 to 4 Pacific, 6 to 7 Eastern. Bonus pick, I would have taken the Chiefs minus 6.5, hosting the Ravens, who I think are a little overvalued right now. Although Lamar Jackson has surprised me, what would the wise guys say?”
Chiefs beat Ravens 27-24 in OT, only by 3; Chiefs -6.5 failed to cover.
“Browns at Texans Texans minus six so they only have to win by a touchdown I'll take it here they have one of the top five run offenses and the Browns have one of the worst rush defenses here's also something about Cleveland Baker Mayfield's been very good because he's been very comfortable in recent weeks The Texans defensive front, J.J. Wattis has a sack in each of the last four games. The Browns also give up more big plays than any team in the NFL. 94, that's a run over 10 or a pass over 20. Deshaun Watson's a big play quarterback. I'll take the Texans winning by 10. I think it's a very close competitive game, but they pull away late with a big play from Deshaun, 27-17.”
Texans beat Browns 29-13 (Dec 2, 2018); margin of 16 covers Texans -6. (HOU 29, CLE 13)
“There's the Giants. Chicago's probably going to go with Chase Daniels. I'm going to take the Giants plus four and a half here. Listen, New York is a very healthy football team. The quarterback for the Bears is out, and I've said before, Chicago's good, but there are a lot of smoke and mirrors offensively It a lot of David Copperfield It a lot of tricks Guess what Post their offenses come back down to earth People are figuring out some of the sleight of hand Chase Daniels probably gets the start Why risk Trubisky You lead your division Right now you get a home game. I think the Giants-Bears is 21-20 either way. For fun, I'll pick the upset, but I'm definitely taking the Giants and four and a half points.”
Giants beat Bears 30-27 in OT (Dec 2, 2018); outright win easily covers Giants +4.5. (NYG 30, CHI 27 (OT))
“Colts and Jaguars. [5:20] Colts minus four. Like it. I love it.”
Jaguars shut out Colts 6-0 (Dec 2, 2018); Colts -4 lost outright. (JAX 6, IND 0)
“It's Atlanta minus one, Falcons. [6:11] I'm going to take Atlanta here.”
Ravens beat Falcons 26-16 (Dec 2, 2018); Falcons -1 lost by 10. (BAL 26, ATL 16)
“Vikings at Patriots. New England, unlike the rest of the league is not passing more, they're running more New England's offense is averaging 28 a game, down from 28 and a half a game, meaning New England's now become kind of a conservative, run first offense, they're averaging 28 a game, I get the Vikings plus 5, do I think the Vikings can score 22, 23, 24, yes I do, I think the Patriots are the better football team and it's in Foxborough I'm not going to pick against them but if you look at that Minnesota defense this season, they keep games close. Red zone touchdown percentage allowed first in the league meaning Patriots may move the ball They going to settle for some threes here instead of touchdowns I take New England to win close 30 but I absolutely take the Vikings plus the points”
Patriots beat Vikings 24-10 (Dec 2, 2018); Vikings lost by 14, well outside +5. (NE 24, MIN 10)
“But when I look at the Panthers minus three and a half, I like them here.”
Seahawks beat Panthers 30-27 on a last-second FG; Panthers -3.5 lost outright, no cover.
“Browns at Bengals. Like it, I love it. I love Cleveland here. I know. Browns are off a bye. I believe even though they're not a great team, they play with a purpose. Everybody in that building is the Pied Piper as Baker Mayfield. Actually in the last month, strung some nice games together. Cincinnati's just overrated. They've been blown out several times. When the Browns lose, the Browns lose close. This Bengal defense is on pace to be the worst in NFL history Baker 19 picks in his last four starts Browns forget the points I think they went out right 27”
Browns beat Bengals 35-20; Browns ML won outright.
“I'll swallow the six points and take Philly here.”
Eagles beat Giants 25-22, only by 3; Eagles -6 failed to cover.
“I'm going to take Green Bay plus three and a half.”
Vikings beat Packers 24-17; Packers +3.5 lost by 7, missed cover by 3.5.
“Blazing Five. That game's over. So let's go to the bonus pick. My bonus pick is usually the pick I would have put in the Blazing Five, but it just missed the cut. And I just think, you know, I'd give it to the audience. I think I'd take the Niners plus three and a half at Tampa for one reason. I still think everybody's trying to look good on tape for Kyle Shanahan. I think they feel”
Buccaneers beat 49ers 27-9; 49ers +3.5 lost by 18, well off the cover.
“I got to [3:41] take Tennessee plus two here.”
Colts routed Titans 38-10; Titans +2 lost badly, off by 26 points.
“I like the number here. [4:22] I get Denver plus seven.”
Broncos beat Chargers 23-22 outright; Broncos +7 covered easily.
“watch, but I like the number. Raiders plus five and a half at Arizona. My gut feeling is Arizona may win this thing, but let's be honest about them. They've beaten the Niners and nobody else, and the Raiders are losing games, but I see life. I see offensively playmakers. I think Raiders have much better offensive personnel, veteran quarterback. I'm going to take the Raiders plus five and a half.”
Raiders beat Cardinals 23-21 outright; Raiders +5.5 covered easily.
“My favorite bet of the week, Minnesota plus three at Chicago.”
Bears beat Vikings 25-20; Vikings +3 lost by 5, missed the cover by 2.
“My second favorite bet of the week. [6:36] I'm taking Kansas City plus three and a half points.”
Rams beat Chiefs 54-51 (MNF shootout); Chiefs +3.5 covered by half a point.
“I'm going to take the Bengals and Andy Dalton over the Red Hot Saints at five and a half,”
CIN 14, NO 51 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -37 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'll take the Patriots minus six and a half.”
TEN 34, NE 10 — New England Patriots margin -24 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Indy minus three and a half.”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Seahawks plus 10 against the Rams.”
LAR 36, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +10; covers.
“I'm going to take Philly minus six and a half.”
PHI 20, DAL 27 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I would take the Browns here, plus five and a half against the Falcons.”
CLE 28, ATL 16 — Cleveland Browns margin +12 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Patriots minus 5.”
NE 31, GB 17 — New England Patriots margin +14 vs line -5; covers.
“I get the Chargers plus 1 at Seattle.”
SEA 17, LAC 25 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +8 vs line +1; covers.
“I'll take Minnesota, lay the five.”
MIN 24, DET 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin +15 vs line -5; covers.
“I'm going Rams minus one.”
LAR 35, NO 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line -1; does not cover.
“Titans plus five and a half at the Cowboys.”
DAL 14, TEN 28 — Tennessee Titans margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Bears minus seven,”
CHI 24, NYJ 10 — Chicago Bears margin +14 vs line -7; covers.
“Seahawks and Lions. Seattle the better team and they get a field goal Like it I love it”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“I like the Bengals at home minus four and a half.”
CIN 37, TB 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'll take the Niners in the pick-em.”
ARI 18, SF 15 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +0; busts.
“Aaron Rodgers off a bye gets nine and a half. and you'll give the numbers. I don't have them. But Mike McCarthy and Aaron Rodgers off a bye. Again, this is not a weather situation. Warm weather going to cold. It's a cold weather team going to perfect conditions. It'll be 75 degrees. I can't believe the number. I'm going to take Green Bay. I don't know if they win, but nine and a half is just too big of a number.”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Panthers plus four and a half.”
PHI 17, CAR 21 — Carolina Panthers margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I don't do this very often but a one in five Colts teams minus seven and a half at home against Buffalo and I'm gonna I'm gonna lay it here I'm gonna take the Colts minus seven and a half.”
IND 37, BUF 5 — Indianapolis Colts margin +32 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I'll take the Ravens minus two and a half.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“against Carolina. It took a 60 yard field goal to beat them. I'm getting five and a half with the Giants as they're getting beat up by the press at Atlanta. Atlanta is a disaster right now defensively. Again, maybe Atlanta wins at home, but I think the Giants have shown when the matchup works up front, they move the ball in the Texans. They moved the ball in Carolina. I'll take the Giants plus the points. Five and a half.”
NYG 20, ATL 23 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I would take the Bears plus three against the Patriots.”
CHI 31, NE 38 — Chicago Bears margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I like the Browns plus one against the Chargers.”
CLE 14, LAC 38 — Cleveland Browns margin -24 vs line +1; busts.
“I'm going to take the superior quarterback, the motivated team, Colts plus 2.5.”
NYJ 42, IND 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
“All right, Steelers plus two and a half of the Bengals.”
CIN 21, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'll take Denver plus seven.”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“So I'm going to take Jacksonville minus 3 at Dallas.”
DAL 40, JAX 7 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -33 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going to roll the dice, take the Redskins, who looked awful against the Saints, minus one.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Washington Redskins margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“I'm going to take the Jets minus 1.5.”
NYJ 34, DEN 16 — New York Jets margin +18 vs line -1.5; covers.
“All right, Raiders plus 5.5 at the L.A. Chargers.”
LAC 26, OAK 10 — Oakland Raiders margin -16 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Minnesota plus three.”
PHI 21, MIN 23 — Minnesota Vikings margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“I get Arizona plus 5.5.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Redskins plus six and a half.”
NO 43, WSH 19 — Washington Redskins margin -24 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'll take the Raiders minus two and a half to win by more than a field goal.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Oakland Raiders margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Colts at home, minus one.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -1; busts.
“Seattle and Arizona. Arizona's plus three. Listen, these are bad offensive lines. I'll take the one at home. These are, you know, this is my risky bet, but I kind of feel like this. Is that Josh Rosen, it's his team going forward. I think everybody knew it was his team. Everybody. Coaches, Sam Bradford. And I feel like there's a, okay, let's go. They've been all kind of waiting. Now, I don't think they're going to be special, but I'm going to take the three at home.”
ARI 17, SEA 20 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I'm going to take the three and a half of the Giants.”
NO 33, NYG 18 — New York Giants margin -15 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I love, I think Baltimore right now is a better team than Pittsburgh. And I get three points. And frankly, I don't know if Pittsburgh defensively matches up with their tight ends or their receivers. I'm going to take the Ravens in the field goal in a good rivalry game.”
PIT 14, BAL 26 — Baltimore Ravens margin +12 vs line +3; covers.
“So let's start here. Colts getting six against the Eagles. The Colts are playing very solid defense. They're turning third downs into first downs. And it's Carson Wentz's first game back. I think the Eagles may win. I'm going to take the six points. What do the wise guys think?”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“Okay, I'm going to take the Giants plus six.”
HOU 22, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +5 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going to take the Bengals plus three against Carolina.”
CAR 31, CIN 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“I going to take the Redskins plus three at home against the Packers”
WSH 31, GB 17 — Washington Redskins margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take Seattle minus one and a half.”
SEA 24, DAL 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +11 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'll take Denver plus five in my bonus pick at Baltimore.”
BAL 27, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -13 vs line +5; busts.
“I'm going to swallow five and a half and take Atlanta here.”
ATL 31, CAR 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I'll take Indianapolis plus six.”
WSH 9, IND 21 — Indianapolis Colts margin +12 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going to take the Steelers minus five here.”
PIT 37, KC 42 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -5 vs line -5; busts.
“I'll take the Jags plus one and a half.”
JAX 31, NE 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +11 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Seahawks plus three and a half.”
CHI 24, SEA 17 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'll take the Texans plus six and a half”
NE 27, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I think the Giants win. I'm going to take them plus three.”
NYG 15, JAX 20 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to take Ravens minus seven.”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin +44 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm going to take the Vikings minus six.”
MIN 24, SF 16 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -6; covers.
“I'm going to take Jets plus six and a half at the Lions.”
DET 17, NYJ 48 — New York Jets margin +31 vs line +6.5; covers.