“[36:13] That's why I don't get why the odds for Super Bowl are so low for Seattle. [36:18] I'd argue I think they're necking. [36:20] I mean, Miles Garrett could be a difference maker, [36:23] but I still think either Seattle wins it or is the second best team in the league. [36:28] I think that's a very fair argument. [36:30] Wait, wins what? The Super Bowl again? [36:32] Absolutely. [36:32] Oh, stop it. Come on. [36:34] Lost their offensive coordinator? [36:37] Quarterback led the league in turnovers last year in the regular season? [36:40] Huh? [36:41] Wins the Super Bowl again? [36:43] Yeah. [36:43] I mean, we can make it a jet ski or two if you want. [36:46] I know you're a gambling man. [36:47] I feel very strongly about it.”
The Herd with Colin Cowherd
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Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 97 settled daysPicks
372 total · 24 pending“[36:30] Wait, wins what? The Super Bowl again? [36:32] Absolutely. [36:32] Oh, stop it. Come on. [36:34] Lost their offensive coordinator? [36:37] Quarterback led the league in turnovers last year in the regular season? [36:40] Huh? [36:41] Wins the Super Bowl again? [36:43] Yeah. [36:43] I mean, we can make it a jet ski or two if you want. [36:46] I know you're a gambling man. [36:47] I feel very strongly about it. [36:48] Okay. [36:49] That's a deal. [36:50] We shook on it.”
“[4:44] In the AFC West, this is risky because of the net differential in scheduling and rest days. [4:51] I'm going Chargers. [4:53] Justin Herbert and Mike McDaniel, I think, like the world on fire. [4:56] I will have a Justin Herbert MVP ticket just for fun. [5:00] I like the Chargers a lot.”
“[11:18] just a freak at QB and Herbert. I think this Chargers team is going to be awesome. I bet them [11:23] to win the Super Bowl quite heavily. [11:25] And I might be down in Hermosa Beach if they win, [11:28] living pretty comfortably comes February.”
“[16:12] I don't know why there's not more positivity about the Packers. [16:14] Their win totals come down a full win. [16:17] There's so many people have been betting the under. [16:18] I don't agree with that. [16:19] I'm with you. [16:20] I think the Packers have some upside. [16:22] And so I bet over nine and a half wins.”
“[22:19] So when you say regression, what does that mean? [22:22] Like, hey, they're not going to get back to the Super Bowl or they're not winning the division or I don't know that they're a wildcard team. [22:28] Well, they're not getting back to the Super Bowl. [22:29] I don't think they win the division. [22:31] I think they go under 10 and a half wins. [22:34] Wildcard team certainly in play. [22:35] That's how I would look at it. [22:36] But the bet would be under 10 and a half wins.”
“[3:37] All right, let's go to some over-under picks [3:39] for the upcoming NFL season. [3:41] We're going to start with a guy who lives near me. [3:44] You know, I see him. [3:44] Not quite a neighbor, but he's in the neighborhood. [3:47] Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions over 10.5 wins.”
“[4:41] And the first under is the New England Patriots under 10 and a half wins. Okay. We know they had [4:49] one of the best schedules last year in this century in the NFL.”
“[6:24] The real question is Sean Mannion's play calling. [6:27] And the more you start to read about what he wants to do, [6:29] it's starting to sound like not going to be a tush push kind of year for the Eagles. [6:34] That being said, I still like them over 10 and a half wins. [6:38] I have them winning the NFC East.”
“[7:31] And again, the Davis Webb, Sean Payton stuff that we just talked to James Palmer about [7:35] is very interesting. [7:37] That is probably the most interesting head coach, offensive coordinator subplot to watch. [7:42] So I'm going under 9.5 wins on the Denver Broncos.”
“[8:30] And I do believe we're just going to see him hopefully only play one side of the ball [8:34] where he can specialize. [8:36] I like Trevor Lawrence. [8:37] Over eight and a half wins for Jacksonville for me.”
“[8:37] Over eight and a half wins for Jacksonville for me. [8:39] And finally, we're going to the New Orleans Saints, and I'm going to go under seven and a half. This is mostly a fade the public. Why? Everybody likes New Orleans. Everybody likes Tyler Shuck. Now, if you look at some of the data, what we're hearing for the last two decades is there is zero correlation between late season surge and the next season, which kind of hurts Jacksonville, but I digress.”
“I like the over 9.5 for the Chargers.”
“I like the Chiefs under 10 and a half.”
“Browns over five and a half,”
“take the under 11 and a half on the Ravens how hard it is to win 12 games in this division they've got a new head coach the Ravens have a new offensive coordinator they have a new defensive coordinator and you and I all watched Lamar Jackson last year he regressed his rushing numbers went down to under 30 yards rushing a game. Again, this is the highest win total in the NFL. And I don't know, Aaron Rodgers, Burrow, a talented Cleveland team, they were eight and nine last year. And again, I think their schedule early is workable, but in the middle of it, I see a lot of Jags, Burrow, Bills, Chargers, Texans, Baker Mayfield. I think it's tough in the middle. I like the under on the Ravens.”
“it would be Giants over seven and a half.”
“I gonna go Packers under nine and a half I like them but I think the division really good Folks Jordan Love never won more than nine games in any of his last three years and the division never been better. Ben Johnson and Caleb year two, Kyler Murray upgraded quarterback for Minnesota, Detroit major upgrade at left tackle and offensive coordinator. So Micah Parsons is not going to be ready for the start of the season. The Packers were 0-4 when Micah didn't play. They also lost Rashawn Gary, and Jeff Halfley was an excellent defensive coordinator. And by the way, Jordan Love's been dinged up. Oh, funny, now they don't have a backup in Malik Willis. This is an easy one for me. I can like a team. 9-8 feels about where they land. I like the under. Don't hate the Packers. I just don't love them. Under on Green Bay.”
“Saints feel pretty confident about this, over seven and a half, all barring a major injury at quarterback.”
“Finally, the Jets under 5.5.”
“I kind of like the Colts to go under this season. I just don't know how good they are. Look at their roster. Look at the way last year ended. I don't trust Daniel Jones. I think that division is getting better, right? Jacksonville should be better again. Yes. I think Tennessee is getting better. Houston is going to be good again. Houston's defense is probably the best in the NFL right now. The Colts to me feel like if they go one and five in division, you're going under seven and a half.”
“Colin, I don't see it for the Colts. If you start 0-5, just forget about it. Write the season off. The problem is the Jets have their pick. So I am doubly invested. The under 7.5 for the Colts. Oh, yeah. Okay? I feel like I don't see the path to five wins for them, and the Jets get their pick.”
“i love the over nine and a half yes for the chargers here”
“Oh I look forward to this Your boy Brock Purdy Headline for the Niners This is a tough one because I got a lot of friends who are niners fans they like how i joined the bandwagon and i a purdy guy and i give you a little some some jabs every time you come at purdy this season is gonna be a tough one the headline for the 49ers this season will be the fourth and niners sf can forget about 10 wins colin you see the weather report there under 10 and a half seems like a lock yeah so this is the most travel it looks like in NFL history 38,000 miles that's a little crazy now some of the numbers here Colin I didn't realize so McCaffrey turns 30 this summer okay he just had the most touches in his NFL career oh 413 wow so allegedly the magic number used to be 370 if you hit that many touches next season was gonna be rough he destroyed that with 413 that's not great and then I looked up Trent Williams he's starting 38 this summer he is kind of a single point of failure for this offense he is if anything happens to him he's out for a couple weeks they're kind of cooked now I like you know Mike Evans new addition yeah we'll see Kirk good player yeah Ray Greenlaw very good linebacker but like you said they're old they kind of need that opener against the Rams they do because then you can start three you know they'll beat the Dolphins and Cardinals those will be those will be wins um I the first half of the season is manageable second half is tough and for an old team late in the season to have Rams, Chargers, Chiefs, Eagles. I mean, that's a December gauntlet you do not want to make. So we'll see a couple trips to the East Coast. I don't know, man. I'm sorry, under 10 and a half.”
“I also, full disclosure, have, you know, very, very smart, sharp, long-term futures on Brazil. So I'm invested in them winning this thing, but I think they can't.”
1-2 — Brazil was eliminated from the World Cup, losing 1-2 to Norway in the knockout round on 2026-07-05 (ESPN); Brazil-to-win futures loses.
“I will be betting us to beat Belgium as well.”
1-4 — Belgium beat the USA 4-1 in the World Cup Round of 16 on 2026-07-06 (ESPN); USA moneyline loses.
“And I think against Australia, similarly, will be very aggressive. Yeah, Australia plays like a heavy defense, similar to like a Japan, kind of similar to Paraguay. But Pochettino adjusted against Paraguay. I think he'll make adjustments here. There are some interesting advanced stats that say bet the under as the U.S. Like nobody expected us to score four goals. Nobody had Australia scoring two goals. So I bet the under, under two and a half goals.”
USA 2, AUS 0 — USA beat Australia 2-0 in World Cup group play (goals by an Australia own goal and A. Freeman); combined 2 goals is under the 2.5 total (ESPN).
“The Knicks, two and a half point favorites tonight versus the Cavaliers. New York, of course, has won 10 straight playoff games. Really, since the fourth quarter of game one, they've dominated this series. So who wins game four tonight? Knicks 109, Cavs 97. So I'll go Knicks win and cover.”
CLE 93, NY 130 — Knicks routed the Cavaliers 130-93 to complete a sweep and reach the NBA Finals; New York's -2.5 spread covers by a 37-point margin (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Spurs money line to win the game outright.”
OKC 115, SA 122 — Spurs beat the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime in Western Conference Finals Game 1; Spurs ML wins outright (ESPN).
“of a volume and a speed and an athleticism to both sides of the ball in seattle that feels different than new england and that's why they're four and a half point favorites and a lot of money has come in overwhelmingly on seattle i think it's low scoring i'm going to take the points i'll give”
SEA 29-NE 13 — Seahawks beat Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; Patriots lost by 16, well outside +4.5.
“Texans hit Chargers. I like the Texans plus two and a half.”
HOU 20-LAC 16 — Texans beat Chargers 20-16 outright, covering +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Seahawks at Panthers. [5:41] I wish it was seven and a half, [5:43] but I'll take it at seven. [5:44] Panthers at home, fighting to win the NFC South. [5:48] One game lead over Tampa. [5:50] I'm taking the points.”
SEA 27-CAR 10 — Seahawks beat Panthers 27-10; Panthers margin -17 busts +7 (ESPN box score).
“Eagles hit Bills. I'm in the minority. I like Philly plus two and a half.”
PHI 13-BUF 12 — Eagles beat Bills 13-12; Eagles won outright, covering +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Bears at 49ers. I like Chicago with extra rest plus three.”
SF 42-CHI 38 — 49ers beat Bears 42-38; Bears margin -4 busts +3 (ESPN box score).
“Cardinals hit Bengals. I like the over 53-and-a-half.”
CIN 37-ARI 14 — Bengals beat Cardinals 37-14; combined 51 points busts the over 53.5 (ESPN box score).
“Backers at Bears. I like the Bears at home, minus one and a half.”
CHI 22-GB 16 (OT) — Bears beat Packers 22-16 in OT; Bears margin +6 covers -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Bengals and Dolphins. Maybe my favorite pick of the week, I'll take Cincinnati minus 4.5.”
CIN 45-MIA 21 — Bengals beat Dolphins 45-21; Bengals margin +24 covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“Patriots and Ravens. I don't get this line. I'm going to take the Patriots and the field goal.”
NE 28-BAL 24 — Patriots beat Ravens 28-24 outright, covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“49ers hit Colts. Maybe you haven't listened to J-Mac, but I like the Niners here, minus 5.5.”
SF 48-IND 27 — 49ers beat Colts 48-27; 49ers margin +21 covers -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Lions hit Rams. Rams minus 5.5 is the play. My favorite bet.”
LAR 41-DET 34 — Rams beat Lions 41-34; Rams margin +7 covers -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Panthers at Saints. I like the Panthers. Minus two and a half is a road favorite.”
NO 20-CAR 17 — Saints beat Panthers 20-17; Panthers lost outright, busting -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Packers and Broncos. I like Green Bay minus two and a half.”
DEN 34-GB 26 — Broncos beat Packers 34-26; Packers margin -8 busts -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Colts at Seahawks. Take the under 42-and-a-half.”
SEA 18-IND 16 — Seahawks beat Colts 18-16; combined 34 points covers the under 42.5 (ESPN box score).
“Buccaneers and Bills. I like Buffalo at home minus five and a half.”
TB 32, BUF 44 — Bills beat Buccaneers 44-32, covering -5.5 by a 12-point margin (ESPN box score).
“Seahawks and Rams. Wise guys may not agree with me. I'll take Seattle plus three.”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Rams beat Seahawks 21-19; Seattle lost by only 2, covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“49ers and Cardinals. Ah, Brock Purdy's playing. I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
ARI 22, SF 41 — 49ers beat Cardinals 41-22, covering -2.5 by a 19-point margin (ESPN box score).
“Ravens and Browns. I like the Browns plus 8.5.”
BAL 23, CLE 16 — Ravens beat Browns 23-16; Cleveland lost by 7, covering +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“49ers at Giants. I like the Niners minus two and a half at the Giants without Scadaboo.”
NYG 24, SF 34 — 49ers beat Giants 34-24, covering -2.5 by a 10-point margin (ESPN box score).
“win and cover the spread 28 23 bears and bengals i think it a good matchup for chicago i take the road favorite minus two and a half since week four Well the Bears are four and one of the Bengals are one and five So there's that. Bears didn't get turnover advantages last week, but they generally do. And their offense does lead the NFL in big plays. And the Bengals defense this year is awful. They're last in everything but third down defense and they're next to last with that they're one and five without burrow they don't run the ball particularly well and joe flacco's banged up the bears are not a great team but they can be very good when they get a good matchup like the dallas defense or the bangles defense i think chicago wins and covers the spread final score 33 27 she said builds i like”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Bears beat Bengals 47-42, covering -2.5 by a 5-point margin (ESPN box score).
“bangles defense i think chicago wins and covers the spread final score 33 27 she said builds i like the over 52 and a half points the over weather's going to be fine third ranked offensive line buffalo and the fourth ranked offensive line kansas city so both quarterbacks will have time to throw five straight games for kansas city scoring 28 or more and their receiving tight end core is stacked number one total offense in the last month the bills averaging six yards a play Second best in the NFL. Josh Allen, when he plays the Chiefs, he'll run it a bit more. But if you look at the games between Mahomes and Josh Allen, the defenses struggle to make stops. I think it's a classic Buffalo-Kansas City matchup. I think Kansas City's going to win. Take the over 52.5 points.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Bills beat Chiefs 28-21, combined 49 points, falling short of the 52.5 over (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Commanders plus 3.5 at home.”
SEA 38, WSH 14 — Seahawks beat Commanders 38-14; Washington lost by 24, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“going to take Dallas minus half”
ARI 27, DAL 17 — Cardinals beat Cowboys 27-17; Dallas lost outright, failing to cover -0.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like Cleveland at home, minus 2-1.”
MIA 6, CLE 31 — Browns beat Dolphins 31-6, covering -2.5 by a 25-point margin (ESPN box score).
“Commanders and Cowboys. Take the over 54-and-a-half.”
WSH 22, DAL 44 — Cowboys beat Commanders 44-22, combined 66 points, over 54.5 wins (ESPN box score).
“I think Green Bay wins. I'm taking the seven. It's moved up to seven. Arizona, it doesn't matter if Jacoby Brissett or Kyler Murray play. Kyler Murray, foot injury may play. Last week, Kobe Brissett had nine big plays against the Colts. Okay, and Green Bay has yet to win a road game. They're very young. They're a little banged up on offense. Listen, Arizona, all six of their games this year, most in the NFL have been one score game. They've let in the fourth quarter of five of their six games. And they always feisty at home And Green Bay is not taking the ball away this year The Arizona offense Green Bay is going to have to prepare for Kyler Murray and Jacoby Brissett I think that a disadvantage. I'm going to take Green Bay to win. Close. Seven points is too many. 28-24. Feisty Arizona with either quarterback at home keeps it close.”
ARI 23, GB 27 — Packers beat Cardinals 27-23; Arizona lost by only 4, covering the pick's stated +7 (ESPN box score).
“Seattle plus one and a half. Go Moneyline. They're going to win this puppy outright.”
JAX 12, SEA 20 — Seahawks beat the Jaguars 20-12 outright, covering +1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Take the under Patriots Saints under 45 and a half points.”
NO 19, NE 25 — Patriots beat Saints 25-19, combined 44 points, under 45.5 wins (ESPN box score).
“Justin Herbert, three straight games with at least one interception. So I get a team traveling cross country on backups to backups, a Miami coach fighting for his career, and they're getting four and a half at home. I think I'm going to take the Dolphins. Chargers probably win this game 24-23. I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Chargers beat Dolphins 29-27; Miami lost by 2, covering +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like the Raiders minus three and a half.”
TEN 10, LV 20 — Raiders beat Titans 20-10, covering -3.5 by a 10-point margin (ESPN box score).
“My favorite bet of the week is the Commanders minus 4.5.”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Bears beat Commanders 25-24; Washington won by only 1, failing to cover -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“It's Collins, Blazing Five, Raiders and Colts. I like the Colts at home to win and cover. First of all, they lead the NFL in yards per play. That's a big stat for the wise guy is 6.5.”
LV 6-40 IND — Colts won 40-6, margin +34 covers the -6.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I like the Jets when the numbers plus three”
DAL 37-22 NYJ — Cowboys won 37-22, Jets margin -15 fails the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking the hook. Denver plus three and a half is the side I'm on.”
DEN 21-17 PHI — Broncos won 21-17, margin +4 covers the +3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Seahawks minus the three to win and cover 28 to 23.”
TB 38-35 SEA — Buccaneers won 38-35, Seahawks margin -3 fails the -3 line needed to cover (ESPN box score).
“Titans and Cardinals. I like the over 41 and a half”
TEN 22-21 ARI — Titans beat Cardinals 22-21, combined 43 clears the over 41.5 (ESPN box score).
“My favorite game of the weekend is Titans at home plus five and a half against the Rams. That's my favorite pick of the week.”
LAR 33-19 TEN — Rams won 33-19, Titans margin -14 fails the +5.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I like the number better when it was minus four, but I'll take the Lions minus four and a half.”
NO 28-33 DET — Lions won 33-28, margin +5 covers the -4.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking Tim Boyle and the Jets plus one and a half.”
ATL 13-8 NYJ — Falcons won 13-8, Jets margin -5 fails the +1.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
SF 42-19 PHI — 49ers won 42-19, margin +23 covers the -2.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Rams minus three and a half, meaning, you know, Cleveland's the side.”
CLE 19-36 LAR — Rams won 36-19, margin +17 covers the -3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“That what the last eight games the Bengals have had no Joe Burrow They averaged 15 points It at Jacksonville I got to swallow 8 Their defense isn good now I mean that right It a mailed season for Cincinnati Their defense is last in many categories. I'm going to take the team playing for more with a star quarterback against a backup, a water pistol offense. 32-20 Jacksonville wins.”
CIN 34-31 JAX (OT) — Bengals beat Jaguars 34-31 in OT; Jaguars margin -3 fails the -8 line needed to cover (ESPN box score).
- Detroit Lions -4 closed -4 · CLV 0
- Los Angeles Chargers -6 closed -4.5 · CLV -1.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars
“Here's my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take the Lions minus four at the Saints. I'm out on Dennis Allen. I think he's one of the worst coaches in the league. Lions got embarrassed by Green Bay. They bounce back and win. Chargers minus six at the Patriots. A desperate team coach in a hot seat in New England. I'm not sure they want to win games. I'll take the Chargers to win by more than a touchdown. And I'll take the Jaguars hosting the Bengals.”
DET 33-28 NO; LAC 6-0 NE; CIN 34-31 JAX (OT) — Parlay lost: Lions -4 covered (Lions 33, Saints 28); Chargers -6 pushed exactly (Chargers 6, Patriots 0); Jaguars lost outright to Bengals 34-31 in OT, sinking the parlay.
- Cincinnati Bengals +1 closed +2 · CLV -1 lost
- Indianapolis Colts -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1 closed +3 · CLV -2 lost
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. Jake Browning is good enough to run the offense. I'll take the Bengals at home plus one over the Steelers. Offense for Pittsburgh can't move the chains. I'll take the Colts, offensive coach, off a bye, Gardner Minshew, minus two and a half, hosting the Bucs. I think the Colts are a scrappy team, and off a bye, they'll win. And the Cardinals, plus one at home to beat the Rams. Rams were severely outplayed by Seattle, but pulled it out late because Seattle went to a backup quarterback. I'll take the Bengals, Colts, and Cards.”
PIT 16-10 CIN; TB 20-27 IND; LAR 37-14 ARI — Parlay lost: Bengals +1 lost (Steelers 16, Bengals 10); Colts -2.5 covered (Colts 27, Buccaneers 20); Cardinals +1 lost (Rams 37, Cardinals 14) — one leg down sinks the parlay.
“I loved it when it was at 10, but I'll take the Bears plus 7.5.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Lions beat Bears 31-26 (ESPN); Bears as +7.5 underdogs covered, losing by only 5.
“I'll take the Dolphins minus 12.5 in a blowout.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Dolphins beat Raiders 20-13 (ESPN); Dolphins won by only 7, short of the -12.5 cushion, so the bet busts.
“Seahawks and Rams. I've shifted in the last 12 hours. I'm gonna take the Rams plus one.”
LAR 17, SEA 16 — Rams beat Seahawks 17-16 (ESPN); Rams as +1 underdogs won outright, covering the spread.
“I like this game. Bills minus 7. I'm going to take it.”
BUF 32, NYJ 6 — Bills beat Jets 32-6 (ESPN), covering -7 by a 26-point margin.
“Eagles at Chiefs. Wise guys like Kansas City. I like Philly plus 2.5.”
PHI 21, KC 17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 21-17 on Monday Night Football (ESPN); Eagles as +2.5 underdogs won outright, covering.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 closed -6.5 · CLV 0 won
- Seattle Seahawks -1 closed +1.5 · CLV -2.5 lost
- Denver Broncos -2 closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I always take good teams that have been humiliated the week before. Jags got hammered by the Niners. I'll take a minus six and a half to cover at home against the Titans. No way the Rams beat the Seahawks twice. Seattle's minus one. A better, younger, healthier team. I'll take Seattle. Broncos at home minus two. I know it's a short week off the Monday night football win, but I think the Josh Dobbs story has limitations. Go Denver.”
Parlay busts: Jaguars beat Titans 34-14 (Jaguars -6.5 covers by 20); Rams beat Seahawks 17-16 (Seahawks -1 loses outright); Broncos beat Vikings 21-20 (Broncos -2 loses by 1, missing the number) — two legs lost, parlay busts (ESPN).
- Detroit Lions -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1 won
- Dallas Cowboys -16 closed -17.5 · CLV +1.5 won
“Now for my parlay picks of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take Lions minus two and a half at the Chargers. You know the Chargers don't have much of a home field advantage, and I think the Lions' excellent offensive line can hold off the Chargers' pass rush. I'll take the Cardinals at home, plus one and a half against Atlanta. Kyler Murray returns. He wouldn't return unless he was ready to play. I take the Cowboys minus 16 I know weird right I hate big favorites The Giants offense though currently with this quarterback is the worst I seen in the NFL in years”
Parlay cashes: Lions beat Chargers 41-38 (Lions -2.5 covers by 3); Cardinals beat Falcons 25-23 (Cardinals +1.5 covers by winning outright); Cowboys beat Giants 49-17 (Cowboys -16 covers by 32) — all three legs win (ESPN).
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 won
- Baltimore Ravens -6 closed -6.5 · CLV +0.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 closed -2 · CLV -0.5 won
“New users please use the code HERD H when you download the app Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook Dolphins at the Chiefs Kansas City overseas minus two and a half Andy Reid off a loss Mahomes off a loss. Kansas City has a much better O-line in defense. They rebound and I will swallow the two and a half points. Seahawks at the Ravens minus six. Better quarterback at home, better defense. I like the Ravens here. Ugly win over Arizona. They're a tough, tough home favorite. I like them here to beat Seattle and cover. Bengals minus two and a half. I like them hosting the Bills to cover. I think Cincinnati's defense is more consistent. Burrow situationally at home's better than Josh Allen on the road. Three favorites, Chiefs, Ravens, Bengals. I'll take all of them.”
Parlay cashes: Chiefs beat Dolphins 21-14 in Frankfurt (Chiefs -2.5 covers by 7); Ravens beat Seahawks 37-3 (Ravens -6 covers by 34); Bengals beat Bills 24-18 (Bengals -2.5 covers by 6) — all three legs win (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Ravens minus three at home.”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Ravens beat Lions 38-6 (ESPN); as -3 favorites, Ravens covered by a 32-point margin.
“I'll take the Giants plus three.”
NYG 14, WSH 7 — Giants beat Commanders 14-7 (ESPN); as +3 underdogs, Giants covered by winning outright.
“Chargers at Chiefs Upset of the week Chargers plus five and a half to win straight out”
KC 31, LAC 17 — Chiefs beat Chargers 31-17 (ESPN); Chargers lost by 14, more than the +5.5 cushion, so the bet busts.
“Dolphins and Eagles. I'll take Philly minus two and a half to win in cover at home.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Eagles beat Dolphins 31-17 (ESPN), covering -2.5 by a 14-point margin.
“49ers minus 7 I'll take it”
MIN 22, SF 17 — Vikings upset the 49ers 22-17 on Monday Night Football (ESPN); 49ers as -7 favorites lost outright, busting the bet.
- Buffalo Bills -9 closed -7.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 lost
- Philadelphia Eagles -2 closed -3 · CLV +1 won
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. I'll take Bills minus nine. and they played terribly against the New York Giants at New England. Swallow the points. Bills have a better roster, more to play for, as Miami and the Jets now are charging fast. Chargers at the Chiefs all take the Chargers plus five and a half. Why? Chiefs are not a big favorite, still struggling offensively. Connectability between Mahomes and that young receiving group. And I'll take the Eagles minus two hosting the Dolphins. When you punch back at Miami, they can fold. Not a physical team. I think they'll struggle to slow down the Eagles offense. I like the Bills minus nine. Chargers plus five and a half. Eagles minus two.”
Parlay busts: Patriots beat Bills 29-25 (Bills -9 loses outright); Chiefs beat Chargers 31-17 (Chargers +5.5 loses by 14); Eagles beat Dolphins 31-17 (Eagles -2 covers by 14) — two legs lost, parlay busts (ESPN).
“I love the Ravens minus four. You know I love favorites when the number's four.”
24-16 — Ravens beat the Titans 24-16 in London; Baltimore's 8-point margin covers -4 (ESPN).
“I love this one. I'm taking the Bengals minus two and a half.”
17-13 — Bengals beat the Seahawks 17-13; Cincinnati's 4-point margin covers -2.5 (ESPN).
“Vikings at Bears. Bears plus three.”
13-19 — Vikings beat the Bears 19-13; Chicago lost by 6, failing to cover +3 (ESPN).
“Saints at Texas. I don't get this line. I'm taking the Saints minus one and a half.”
13-20 — Texans beat the Saints 20-13; New Orleans lost outright, failing to cover -1.5 (ESPN).
“Cowboys at Chargers. I'll take the Chargers plus two and a half.”
17-20 — Cowboys beat the Chargers 20-17 on Monday Night Football; Los Angeles lost by 3, failing to cover +2.5 (ESPN).
- Jacksonville Jaguars -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
- Washington Commanders +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 won
“my parlay. I'll take the Jags at home minus four to win and cover against the Colts who are going with a backup quarterback. Colts outplayed them in week one. Jags will not overlook Indy. Jags minus four. Seahawks at the Bengals. Cincinnati found their groove. This game is urgent. They're in a very tough division. Every game matters now after a rocky start. I'll take the Bengals minus three to cover. And the Commanders with extra prep off a blowout loss, humiliated, get points, two and a half at Atlanta. Atlanta beat Houston. I don't think they're better than Houston. They just beat them. I'm going to take the Commanders plus two and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Jaguars -4 won 37-20 over the Colts and covers; Bengals -3 won 17-13 over the Seahawks and covers; Commanders +2.5 won outright 24-16 over the Falcons and covers (ESPN).
- Philadelphia Eagles -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- New York Jets +2 won
- Dallas Cowboys +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
“I'm going to take the Eagles minus four at the Rams. The crowd will be 60-40 Eagles anyway, a semi-home game. They're undefeated for a reason. I don't know how the Rams' offensive front matches up with the Eagles' defensive front. I'll take the Eagles' minus four. I'll take the Jets' plus two at Denver. The Broncos last week had some offensive success because they played the Bears' step-up in class, best defense they've faced. Zach Wilson righted the ship a little even though they lost. I'll take the Jets' plus two. Cowboys' plus three and a half at the Niners. I'll take Dallas.”
Parlay busts: Eagles -4 won 23-14 over the Rams and covers; Jets +2 won outright 31-21 over the Broncos and covers; Cowboys +3.5 lost 10-42 to the 49ers and does not cover (ESPN).
- Washington Commanders +8 closed +9.5 · CLV -1.5 pending
- Cleveland Browns -2.5 closed +2 · CLV -4.5 lost
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed -1 · CLV +2 won
“All right, here's my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook. Commanders plus eight at the Eagles. Philly on a short week due to Monday Night Football. Commanders, division game. They run the ball, humiliated by Buffalo. Teams humiliated, play better the next week. Eagles may win I'll take the eight Browns at home minus two and a half against the injury riddled Ravens Browns the best team in the league nobody's watching or cares about I don't know how Baltimore moves the ball consistently I'll take the Browns minus two and a half I'll take the Rams plus one against the Colts Gardner Minshew feels good what a story Rams played very poorly they'll get the details and the run game back they're a better team than the Colts Rams plus one”
Parlay busts: Commanders +8 covered, losing 31-34 in OT to the Eagles (margin 3, within 8); Browns -2.5 lost outright 3-28 to the Ravens and does not cover; Rams +1 won outright 29-23 in OT over the Colts and covers (ESPN).
- Los Angeles Chargers +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
- Pittsburgh Steelers +3 closed +3 · CLV 0 won
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 lost
“All right, I'm going to go with a three-dog parlay pick via DraftKings Sportsbook. All right, Chargers plus one of the Vikings. They have a better team. They're desperate, better roster. And I think this is the moment for the Chargers this season. Line in the sand. Lose, they're thinking about a new coach. I think they win. They've had moments in both their losses. Chargers win by a touchdown. Steelers plus three at the Raiders. Why? I think Pittsburgh's a better roster overall after an ugly win and an epically bad performance by the O-line, they'll hear about it from Tomlin and play inspired. Take the Steelers by a touchdown. And Rams plus one at the Bengals, Joe Burrow may not play, and the Rams are the shock of the league. If you want to take the herd parlay, check out DraftKings Sportsbook. New users use the code H-E-R-D, herd, when you download the app. Chargers, Steelers, Rams. Like it, I love it.”
Parlay busts: Chargers +1 won outright 28-24 over the Vikings (covers); Steelers +3 won outright 23-18 over the Raiders (covers); Rams +1 lost 16-19 to the Bengals and does not cover +1 (ESPN).
“I like the New York Giants minus 5.5 at Arizona.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — Giants beat Cardinals 31-28, winning by only 3, short of the -5.5 line (ESPN box score).
“So Bills minus eight and a half There has been Raiders money coming in in this game Colin this is so far my biggest bet of the weekend I like the Bills significantly in this game”
LV 10, BUF 38 — Bills beat Raiders 38-10, winning by 28, comfortably covering the -8.5 line (ESPN box score).
“That's why I got four dogs. If you're not on the Browns, it's not too late either. I'll take a money line as well.”
CIN 3, CLE 24 — Browns beat Bengals 24-3 in Week 1, so the Cleveland moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I'll give out a number. I could save it for the final hour. Divisional home dogs since 2010 in week one, which is what the Browns are. 21 and 5 against the spread. Divisional home dogs. I know. familiarity. That's why I got four dogs. If you're not on the Browns, it's not too late either. I'll take a money line as well. Anyways, next up, Sean Payton now in Denver. And people, he's kind of”
CIN 3, CLE 24 — Browns beat Bengals 24-3 in Week 1, so the Cleveland moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“So, you know, there's some of these groups in gambling who are, you know, big money. They went heavy on the Denver Broncos this morning. I did piggyback them. The line's now five. Denver's now up to five. And then this happened. Well, this just happened in the last 20 minutes. The bet was earlier. I don't know. Denver minus four.”
DEN 16, LV 17 — Raiders beat Broncos 17-16 in Week 1; Denver's -1 margin busts the -4 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going Texas Moneyline in that one.”
TEX 34, ALA 24 — Texas beat Alabama 34-24 at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Sept 9, 2023; Texas moneyline wins outright (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking the Rams plus 5.5.”
Los Angeles Rams 30, Seattle Seahawks 13 — Rams beat Seahawks 30-13 in Week 1; Los Angeles won outright and covered +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Oh, Colts plus three and a half at home.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Jaguars beat Colts 31-21 in Week 1; Indianapolis' -10 margin busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“New England plus four. Again, no Shane Steichen.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — Eagles beat Patriots 25-20 in Week 1; New England's -5 margin busts the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
“Cowboys. What are the New York Giants getting? The much better team. And why am I not finding Cowboys? Oh, Cowboys. Minus three and a half on the road. So I get the Giants at home three and a half.”
NYG 0, DAL 40 — Cowboys beat Giants 40-0 in Week 1; New York's -40 margin busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I did put a couple bucks on Jamal Murray to win the MVP, just a couple, you know, a long shot bet.”
Nikola Jokic was unanimously named 2023 NBA Finals MVP, not Jamal Murray (Wikipedia, 2023 NBA Finals). (Jokic unanimous Finals MVP)
“I bet, I guess I got a bad number. I took the Nuggets favor by nine. I think that was like the third thing I did when I got off the plane.”
DEN 104, MIA 93 — Nuggets beat Heat 104-93 in NBA Finals Game 1; Denver's margin of +11 covers the -9 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Seattle plus 9.5 to cover.”
SF 41, SEA 23 — 49ers beat Seahawks 41-23 in the NFC Wild Card round; Seattle's +9.5 spread fails on an 18-point loss margin (ESPN).
“chargers and jaguars i changed my pick uh within the last hour i will now take the jaguars plus two and a half”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jaguars beat Chargers 31-30 in the AFC Wild Card round, completing a comeback from a 27-point deficit; Jacksonville's +2.5 spread covers by 1 (ESPN).
“I hate big favorites, but I'm going to roll the Bills minus 13 and a half.”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Bills beat Dolphins 34-31 in the AFC Wild Card round; Buffalo's -13.5 spread fails on a 3-point margin (ESPN).
“I have to take the Ravens plus 9.5.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Bengals beat Ravens 24-17 in the AFC Wild Card round, aided by a 98-yard fumble return; Baltimore's +9.5 spread covers on a 7-point loss margin (ESPN).
“I like the Cowboys. Minus two and a half.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Cowboys beat Buccaneers 31-14 in the NFC Wild Card round; Dallas's -2.5 spread covers by a 17-point margin (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Cowboys minus five at Jacksonville as one of my blazing five.”
JAX 40, DAL 34 (OT) — Jaguars beat Cowboys 40-34 in overtime in Week 15; Dallas's -5 spread fails since the Cowboys lost outright (ESPN).
“I'm going to take Detroit at home minus two.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Lions beat Vikings 34-23 in Week 14; Detroit's -2 spread covers by an 11-point margin (ESPN).
“Pittsburgh minus two is the side.”
BAL 16, PIT 14 — Ravens beat Steelers 16-14 in Week 14; Pittsburgh's -2 spread fails since the Steelers lost outright (ESPN).
“I like Cleveland plus 5.5.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Bengals beat Browns 23-10 in Week 14; Cleveland's +5.5 spread fails on a 13-point loss margin (ESPN).
“Panthers plus four and a half.”
SEA 24, CAR 30 — Panthers beat Seahawks 30-24 in Week 14; Carolina's +4.5 spread covers, winning outright by 6 (ESPN).
“I'll take Arizona Monday night football at home plus two.”
NE 27, ARI 13 — Patriots beat Cardinals 27-13 in Week 14 Monday Night Football; Arizona's +2 spread fails on a 14-point loss margin (ESPN).
“Pittsburgh plus two and a half. Matt Ryan against TJ Watt. I'll take Pittsburgh.”
PIT 24, IND 17 — Steelers beat Colts 24-17 in Week 12 Monday Night Football; Pittsburgh's +2.5 underdog spread covers by a 7-point margin (ESPN).
“It sounds like you've got Notre Dame beating USC. I think Notre Dame wins. Woo! I think Notre Dame wins. I will tell you this. Football is a game of matchups, and this is a bad matchup for USC. And I love listen I love Caleb Williams and I love what USC is doing That not a great matchup No If UCLA would have stuck to the run game late in each half when they had timeouts and had the ability to stick to the run game they probably don't throw those picks. They'd probably win the game. So guess what Notre Dame is going to do? Stick to the run game. And that's a problem for USC, so I'm going to go with the Irish. The best bet on the board in college football is Notre Dame plus six, six and a half. It's the side.”
USC 38, ND 27 — USC beat Notre Dame 38-27; Notre Dame +6.5 loses by 11, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the points with the Broncos plus three.”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Titans beat Broncos 17-10; Denver +3 loses by 7, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“I like the Bears minus 2”
DET 31, CHI 30 — Lions beat Bears 31-30; Chicago -2 loses outright, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“Jaguars at Chiefs. Jags plus nine is the play here. Again, you want to talk about Trevor Lawrence. Three of the last four games, he didn't have a turnover. he's playing actually very well. He's made mistakes. He's a kid. But all six losses for the Jags are by one possession. It's their eighth ranked offense in the league, and Trevor Lawrence lead the NFL. He leads it with three games with 80-plus completion percentage. When the kid gets hot, he's hot. The Chiefs' defense, first of all, they're bad against the spread this year, and their defense, let's be honest about it. You can push it around. You can score. I think the Chiefs win, but I think it's close, and I'm going to take the nine points.”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Chiefs beat Jaguars 27-17; Jacksonville +9 loses by 10, busts the cover by half a point (ESPN box score).
“Colin, one of the matchups is Packers at Lions. I'm leaning toward Detroit getting three and a half. So am I. I take Detroit in the points.”
DET 15, GB 9 — Lions beat Packers 15-9; Detroit +3.5 wins outright, covers (ESPN box score).
“Well, I mean, I watched that. We watched that game. All right, here we go. The headline will be, Br-ro-ro, Bengals win too close for comfort. So I'm going with a close Bengals win. Bottom line, I bet the Panthers in this one. Getting seven and a half.”
CIN 42, CAR 21 — Bengals beat Panthers 42-21; Carolina +7.5 loses by 21, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Arizona plus three and a half.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Vikings beat Cardinals 34-26; Arizona +3.5 loses by 8, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“I like the Saints here, plus one and a half.”
NO 24, LV 0 — Saints shut out Raiders 24-0; New Orleans +1.5 wins outright, covers easily (ESPN box score).
“Love the Lions plus three and a half.”
MIA 31, DET 27 — Dolphins beat Lions 31-27; Detroit +3.5 loses by 4, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the favored Patriots minus two and a half.”
NYJ 17, NE 22 — Patriots beat Jets 22-17; New England -2.5 wins by 5, covers (ESPN box score).
“Browns plus three and a half.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Browns beat Bengals 32-13 on Monday Night Football; Cleveland +3.5 wins outright, covers (ESPN box score).
“My one favorite I like is Baltimore minus six and a half.”
BAL 23, CLE 20 — Ravens beat Browns 23-20; Baltimore won by 3, missing the -6.5 cover (ESPN).
“Packers at Commanders. You know, Green Bay may win, but I'm going to take the four and a half points. Taylor Heineke had a great game the last time he faced the Packers, and he's completed 75% of his throws in three of his last four home starts. He's a gamer. He can play. The Packers have their fewest points scored in any six-game span in Aaron Rodgers history. And in second halves the last couple of weeks, they're a mess. David Bakhtiari's all banged up. Randall Cobb out. Christian Watson's got a hamstring issue. They have no second gear, and their defense is not pressuring the quarterback. They're the only team allowing opposing quarterbacks in the league to complete at least 70% of their passes. I think Washington, I'm going to take the points.”
WSH 23, GB 21 — Commanders beat Packers 23-21 at home; Washington won outright, covering the +4.5 line (ESPN).
“Jets, I'll take the Jets plus one.”
NYJ 16, DEN 9 — Jets beat Broncos 16-9 on the road; New York won outright, covering the +1 line (ESPN).
“I love Baltimore in this spot, minus six.”
NYG 24, BAL 20 — Giants beat Ravens 24-20; Baltimore lost by 4, missing the -6 cover (ESPN).
“Jets and Packers. Jets are off back-to-back wins, 2-0 on the road. I like them here, plus 7. Robert Sala's defense is playing hard and with passion, but it's the rookies, these last two drafts, last year's draft, the rookies for the Jets are all contributing. Brees Hall, Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson. They've got four different receivers, only team in the league with 200-plus receiving yards. There's guys open on every pass for the Jets. Guys are wide open. What happened to the Packers' defense, by the way? What happened to it? I loved it coming into the season. They've disappointed everywhere. I think the Jets go in. They're real. They've got firepower. And they upset Green Bay. This number may go to 7.5. You could bet it up. I'm going to take the Jets with the upset, 28-27.”
NYJ 27, GB 10 — Jets beat Packers 27-10 on the road; New York won outright, covering the +7 line (ESPN).
“Falcons plus 5.5 is my play.”
ATL 28, SF 14 — Falcons beat 49ers 28-14 at home; Atlanta won outright, covering the +5.5 line (ESPN).
“I'm taking the Steelers plus 8.5.”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Steelers beat Buccaneers 20-18 at home; Pittsburgh won outright, covering the +8.5 line (ESPN).
“Seahawks plus two and a half, I'll take it all day.”
SEA 19, ARI 9 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 19-9 at home; Seattle won outright, covering the +2.5 line (ESPN).
“Patriots minus three and a half.”
NE 29, DET 0 — Patriots shut out Lions 29-0; New England won by 29, covering the -3.5 line (ESPN).
“I'm taking Cleveland at home plus two and a half to win outright.”
LAC 30, CLE 28 — Chargers beat Browns 30-28; Cleveland lost by 2, covering the +2.5 line (ESPN).
“Steelers plus 14 is the side.”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Bills beat Steelers 38-3; Pittsburgh lost by 35, missing the +14 cover (ESPN).
“[10:17] Rams minus 5.5 went back and forth. [10:20] I'm taking L.A.”
DAL 22, LAR 10 — Cowboys beat Rams 22-10 on the road; Los Angeles lost outright, missing the -5.5 cover (ESPN).
“Jaguars and Eagles. I'm going to take the Jaguars. Plus six and a half. They've won back-to-back games by 20 points. Let's be honest. This season, they're top 10 in scoring offense, top five in most categories. They've only given it away once. They're getting good protection. And the Eagles offense, as good as it is, has been shut out in the second half of their last two games. So it just seems like the number's too big. I don't think the market's figured out quite yet that Jacksonville spent $300 million and went and got a bunch of good players, upgraded severely at head coach. I think it's too many points. I think it's going to go down to the end. I'll have the Eagles winning 27-26. I got to take six and a half points here. It just makes too much sense to me.”
PHI 29, JAX 21 — Eagles beat Jaguars 29-21; Jacksonville lost by 8, missing the +6.5 cover (ESPN).
“Absolutely taking the Texans at home plus five and a half.”
LAC 34, HOU 24 — Chargers beat Texans 34-24; Houston lost by 10, missing the +5.5 cover (ESPN).
“I'm taking Denver plus two and a half.”
LV 32, DEN 23 — Raiders beat Broncos 32-23; Denver lost by 9, missing the +2.5 cover (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Patriots plus 9.5.”
GB 27, NE 24 — Packers beat Patriots 27-24 in overtime; New England lost by 3, covering the +9.5 line (ESPN).
“Eagles at Commanders. Listen, I like Philly, but not giving the Commanders six and a half at home in a division rivalry. I'm taking Washington here.”
PHI 24, WSH 8 — Eagles beat Commanders 24-8; Washington lost by 16, missing the +6.5 spread.
“I'm going to take the Jaguars plus seven.”
JAX 38, LAC 10 — Jaguars beat Chargers 38-10 outright, covering +7 with room to spare.
“Falcons at Seahawks. One of my favorite bets of the week. Like it, I love it. Falcons plus one.”
ATL 27, SEA 23 — Falcons beat Seahawks 27-23 outright, covering +1.
“Packers at Buccaneers. Keep your eye on this line. I'm going to take the Bucs. It's currently minus one and a half. You know, I'm going to take Tampa here.”
GB 14, TB 12 — Packers beat Buccaneers 14-12; Tampa Bay lost outright, missing the -1.5 spread.
“49ers at broncos all right jimmy g came in last week for trey lance he looked good passer rating over 100 two tds no picks i know you don't like him but he distributes the ball to their playmakers On Sunday Night Football, he's played six times. He's won four of them, and his passer rating is 105. Their offense in San Francisco outrushing their opponents by 230 yards this year, and their defense has been absolutely fantastic. And the Broncos can't score in the red zone because Russell Wilson doesn't run around anymore. They're 0-6 in red scoring opportunities, and they're the only team in the league with 100-plus penalty yards per game and their burning timeouts and situationally they're a mess. And I think San Francisco has the second best roster in the league to Buffalo. Pains me to say it, but I can't wait to watch it. I think San Francisco, swallowing a point and a half, I'll take it.”
DEN 11, SF 10 — Broncos beat 49ers 11-10; San Francisco lost outright, missing the -1.5 spread.
“I like Detroit here at home minus one and a half.”
WSH 27, DET 36 — Lions beat Commanders 36-27, a 9-point win that covers -1.5.
“I'm going to take the Patriots minus two and a half, a slight favorite at Pittsburgh.”
NE 17, PIT 14 — Patriots beat Steelers 17-14, a 3-point win that covers -2.5.
“Bears and Packers. I hate big favorites, but I think Green Bay minus 9.5 is the big favorite I most love this weekend. Listen, they're 9-0 after a loss under LeFleur. Rogers has owned the Bears”
CHI 10, GB 27 — Packers beat Bears 27-10, a 17-point win that covers -9.5.
“Vikings at Eagles Love the Vikings, but not Kirk Cousins on Monday night I'm taking the Eagles here I'm sorry, Andy Dalton, Kirk Cousins in a big Monday night game I'm running for the hills The Eagles scored 38 points They had no giveaways It's a productive offense They had the most big plays in the NFL last season Do you realize that? 128 It's a big play offense, they're just contrarian and different Against the Lions, week one, they did it again Passing, running, RPOs. This is a handful. It's hard to duplicate at practice. And Kirk Cousins is 2-9 in his career on Monday night. And the Vikings are coming off a massive primetime TV divisional win. They pull back, go on the road. The Eagles are going to ball control you to death. So Justin Jefferson is going to watch more of this game that he's going to play. I like the Eagles to win a wildly entertaining game, though. 28-24 on Monday night football.”
MIN 7, PHI 24 — Eagles beat Vikings 24-7 on Monday Night Football, winning outright on the moneyline.
“It's Collins blazing five. Browns at Panthers. Carolina at home minus half a point. I like Baker Mayfield here at home. against his ex-teammates. First of all, the Panthers had the most blown leads in the NFL last year, 10. They were in a lot of games. Sam Darnold made too many mistakes. Their defense is excellent. It was all year. Third fewest yards per play all year. That's against Jacoby Brissett, missing his starting center, who has a career passer rating in the low 80s and struggles to complete 60% of his throws. Carolina, back-to-back, has had drafts I like. Cleveland's using a career average backup. Baker has a history of being inspired for individual games. I'm going to take the Panthers and Baker 27-23. Eagles and Lions.”
CLE 26, CAR 24 — Browns beat Panthers 26-24 on a last-second field goal; Carolina lost outright, so Panthers -0.5 busts.
“Eagles and Lions. Detroit plus four. You may be able to get four and a half today. Lions are three and three their final six games. And once Jared Goff got comfortable at the end of the year, He completed 69% of his throws, 11 TDs, two picks. So he was very good in his final five starts. They have two of the best tackles in football. I love their tackle tandem. And the Eagles could not get to the quarterback last year, second fewest sacks. Detroit, an inspired football team. Not a great one, but they're at home as a dog. Dan Campbell, if nothing else, is a great motivator. I'm going to take the Lions to win one of the more entertaining games of the weekend. Again, take the points. 27-26.”
PHI 38, DET 35 — Eagles beat Lions 38-35; Detroit lost by 3, covering the +4 spread.
“I'm going to take the Texans plus seven.”
IND 20, HOU 20 — Colts and Texans tied 20-20 in overtime; Houston's 0-point margin easily covers +7.
“jaguars plus two and a half i think they're going to win”
WSH 28, JAX 22 — Commanders beat Jaguars 28-22; Jacksonville lost by 6, missing the +2.5 spread.
“Vikings plus one and a half.”
GB 7, MIN 23 — Vikings beat Packers 23-7 outright, covering +1.5 with room to spare.
“one you talking about I actually did bet a little bit right when that injury right when a couple of these injuries came out I did bet a little bit on the Eagles to win their division Now it hard I do a lot of searching for lines. I do a lot of searching. So I've seen some places have the Eagles to win a division at plus 120, and I found some low-hanging fruit at plus 190. So since you hit on that one, absolutely.”
Eagles finished the 2022 regular season 14-3 and won the NFC East outright (ESPN final division standings).
“What did you, J-Mac, what did you have the Cowboys win total at? I had him around eight or nine wins I don have them in the playoffs I think right now it the Eagles or Giants winning the NFC East Who you got Well I had them I said on this show I think last week, pound the under. Yes. They opened up at 10 and a half. I thought it was the best, the best under bet on the board. You can't find that anymore. Yeah. So to me, they feel like this morning an eight win team.”
The Cowboys finished the 2022 regular season 12-5, so the under 10.5 season win total bet lost.
“Jason McIntyre is joining me today. Very interesting time for your New York Jets. Not just because of your quarterback's dating life. There's a lot of hope there. How do you feel this morning about your Jets? Optimism, baby. Give me the over on the Jets win total, Colin. Let's pound it. What is it? I think it's six and a half. They're a seven or eight win team. That's a very good offense.”
The Jets finished the 2022 regular season 7-10, so the over 6.5 season win total bet won.
“The Giants. That's a bad football team. The Falcons are tanking. and the Seahawks, if they stay with their current quarterback room, are awful. The Lions, probably a six-win team. I looked at their schedule last night. I'd bet the under on six and a half. They have some nice offensive pieces, but they're in that division. They're probably a third or fourth-place team. Those are not viable teams.”
The Lions finished the 2022 regular season 9-8, so the under 6.5 season win total bet lost.
- Dallas Mavericks +5 or +5.5 lost
- Steph Curry Under 27.5 Points won
“my FanDuel bet today was Dallas plus five or five and a half and Steph Curry under 27 and a half”
GSW 112-87 DAL — Warriors beat Mavericks 112-87 in WCF Game 1 (May 18, 2022); Dallas lost by 25 so the +5/+5.5 spread leg lost, while Steph Curry's 21 points beat the under 27.5 leg, but the parlay needs both legs to win, so it lost. (Curry 21 pts)
“Let's just go Dallas on the money line, my friend”
GSW 112-87 DAL — Warriors beat Mavericks 112-87 in WCF Game 1 (May 18, 2022), so the Dallas Mavericks moneyline bet lost.
“I will say, I wrote for FoxSports.com a year ago when they signed Matt Stafford. The Rams are going to be the favorite to win the NFC. Bet on them plus 1,300 to win the Super Bowl. So I'm sitting on a nice little payday if the Rams can deliver.”
LAR 23-20 CIN — Rams beat the Bengals 23-20 in Super Bowl LVI on Feb 13, 2022, so McIntyre's +1300 futures bet on the Rams to win the Super Bowl cashed.
“Rams outright. I had them on the money line. I took the points.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Rams beat the Buccaneers 30-27 on a Matt Gay field goal as time expired in the NFC Divisional Round; Los Angeles won outright, so the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Tomorrow's headlines today. Bills at the Chiefs. Man, Jeannie likes Buffalo. Yeah. A lot of guys like Buffalo, Colin. The headline will be Bills get a taste of some Mahomes cooking. I like Pat Mahomes here. I know it's kind of a weird pick because everybody, like you said, Mangini likes Buffalo. A lot of professional gamblers are on Buffalo. This was two and a half, and it's now down to two and one and a half. And I just look at the Kansas City Chiefs, and I say, wait a minute. In the earlier meeting, Chris Jones did not play. Josh Allen had a monster game. It was played in a monsoon. There's not going to be any weather here. There's just going to be straight up Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes dealing against a Buffalo defense that's finally going to missed that star cornerback, Tredavious White. Remember, they have faced one quarterback, Colin, since White went out that was dangerous. It was Tom Brady. He had 360 yards passing and some touchdowns, and they win in overtime. And Tampa dominated that game. I think this Buffalo defense a little bit overrated. And I hear this. They're built to stop Kansas City. And Colin, they can handle Kelsey. They've got Milano, the linebacker, and two all-pro safeties. Colin, Travis Kelsey had 12 for like a buck 20 and two touchdowns last year in the AFC championship team. Like this is the Kansas City offense that we expected to see all year. Give me the Chiefs winning. I went fairly significant on the bet here, and I'll eat my words if Buffalo comes up, but I like Kansas City.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Chiefs beat the Bills 42-36 in overtime in the AFC Divisional Round; Kansas City won outright, so the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“This would be my weakest pick, but I'll take the Packers minus 5.5.”
GB 10, SF 13 — 49ers beat the Packers 13-10 on a walk-off field goal in the NFC Divisional Round; Green Bay lost outright, busting the -5.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I would take Kansas City minus one and a half.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Chiefs beat the Bills 42-36 in overtime in the AFC Divisional Round; margin of +6 covers Kansas City -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“going to take Cincinnati in the points. I don't know if they win, but if it's three and a half, I'm taking the Bengals. I'm taking the hook.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Bengals beat the Titans 19-16 on a walk-off 52-yard field goal in the AFC Divisional Round; Cincinnati won outright, easily covering +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Bengals minus five and a half.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Bengals beat the Raiders 26-19 in the AFC Wild Card game; margin of +7 covers Cincinnati -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Patriots at Bills. Well, I'm going to take the points here with New England. Belichick gets Josh Allen for a third time. New England has 24 rushing touchdowns, second most in the league. It's zero degrees. I don't think there's going to be a ton of points, and I like four with New England. The Bills, by the way, are 0-5 in games decided by one possession.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Bills routed the Patriots 47-17 in the AFC Wild Card game; New England lost by 30, busting the +4 line (ESPN box score).
“I like the Eagles plus 8.5.”
TB 31, PHI 15 — Buccaneers beat the Eagles 31-15 in the NFC Wild Card game; Philadelphia lost by 16, busting the +8.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Rams minus four.”
LAR 34, ARI 11 — Rams beat the Cardinals 34-11 in the NFC Wild Card game; margin of +23 covers Los Angeles -4 (ESPN box score).
“So I'm going to take the Cowboys minus four and a half.”
DAL 51, PHI 26 — Cowboys beat Eagles 51-26; Dallas's 25-point margin covered the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Falcons plus three and a half.”
NO 30, ATL 20 — Saints beat Falcons 30-20; Atlanta lost by 10, missing the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Garoppolo's got an injury, so I'm going to take the Rams minus 4.5.”
SF 27, LAR 24 — 49ers beat Rams 27-24 in overtime; Los Angeles lost outright by 3, missing the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking Miami plus six.”
MIA 33, NE 24 — Dolphins beat Patriots 33-24; Miami won outright by 9, covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Colts minus seven.”
LV 23, IND 20 — Raiders beat Colts 23-20; Indianapolis lost outright, missing the -7 spread (ESPN box score).
“One of my favorite games of the week, I'm going to take the Titans minus three and a half.”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Titans beat Dolphins 34-3; Tennessee's 31-point margin covered the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Colts minus two and a half.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Colts beat Patriots 27-17; Indianapolis's 10-point margin covered the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Texans at Jaguars. Haven't taken the Jaguars all year. Here we go. I'm going to take a minus 5. Why? Interim coaches always get a great effort the first several weeks. In Jacksonville's defense, they got a pass rush. They can get after you. In fact, they've allowed under 200 yards passing five of their last seven games, and Davis Mills has never won a start in the NFL. Jacksonville has the better defensive front. They're at home, and they got the better quarterback. And the Texans have scored 14 or fewer points in eight games this year. most in the NFL So they just can move They last in everything And I got an inspired team a focused team that wants to prove they fine It was the ex that was a problem I haven taken the Jags this year I going to take them 27 here”
HOU 30, JAX 16 — Texans beat Jaguars 30-16; Jacksonville lost outright by 14, missing the -5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Titans at Steelers. Here's an interesting stat. I'm going to take the Pittsburgh, and the line's moved around. It's now minus half a point. I'm going to take the Steelers.”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Steelers beat Titans 19-13; Pittsburgh's 6-point margin covered the -0.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“It's my least favorite bet, but I'm going to take the Broncos minus three.”
DEN 10, CIN 15 — Bengals beat Broncos 15-10; Denver lost outright by 5, missing the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“Seahawks plus four, and here's why.”
LAR 20, SEA 10 — Rams beat Seahawks 20-10 (game rescheduled to Dec 21 due to COVID postponements); Seattle lost by 10, missing the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
“[5:48] All right. [5:48] All of our odds provided by Fox Bet Sportsbook off a winning week. [5:52] Been picking better of late. [5:54] Here we go. [5:55] That's a hot one. [5:56] Let's blaze it up. [5:57] Fire it up. [5:58] It's Collins blazing fire. [6:00] Ravens and Browns. [6:02] Browns minus three. [6:03] I got it at two and a half. [6:05] The line is not as good as it was a few days ago, but I still like Cleveland.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Browns beat Ravens 24-22; Cleveland's margin of victory (2) fell short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Giants at Chargers. Love the Giants. Love them. Plus 9.5. Mike Glennon's going to play. Listen, I don't care if they win or lose. That's not what we're talking about here. The Giants in their last six games are 4-2 against the spread because nobody thinks they can play. They can keep games close. They've held their opponents to 20 or fewer points in five of their last six games. If you look at their defense, they take the ball away. Multiple takeaways in five of their last eight games since week seven to top five defense. and the Chargers are dealing with COVID issues. Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Chris Harris, and five of the seven wins this year by the Chargers are by six or fewer Last week a prime example They almost let Cincinnati back into this thing I don like the Chargers rush defense or their situational third down defense. I think the Giants keep it close. I'll take the nine and a half. Chargers win. I don't think I've lost a Charger game this year. Chargers win, but it's going to be competitive. 49ers at Bengals. Now the 49ers are favored now. I loved them as underdogs. I like them here.”
LAC 37, NYG 21 — Chargers beat Giants 37-21; New York lost by 16, well outside the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“49ers at Bengals. Now the 49ers are favored now. I loved them as underdogs. I like them here. It's my weakest pick, but I like them here. Here's why. They've outgained their last four opponents. Okay, they're starting to get healthy. They're running the football. And their offense is the best red zone offense in the league. This is amazing. They've scored a touchdown on 76% of their red zone drives. That means they can finish on third down. They can push you back. The defense is starting to play well. Multiple takeaways in the last month. But here's the key. Cincinnati's getting sloppy. Joe Burrow is hurt. They've had multiple games offensively with a turnover or more for Cincinnati. Joe Burrow leads the NFL, and I like Joe. He's got 14 picks, 16 giveaways. That's more than anybody in the league right now. And now he is hurt. I think the Niners, I like them more as underdogs. I'll swallow the two here. I'll take the 49ers to win 28-23, a more physical football team that won't make the big mistake in a very close game.”
SF 26, CIN 23 — 49ers beat Bengals 26-23 in overtime; San Francisco's 3-point margin covered the -2 spread (ESPN box score).
“Bills and Buccaneers. I love Buffalo plus three. In fact, I got them at three and a half. If you wait, I think it could go up to three and a half or four. You're all selling your Bills stock. Give it all to me. I'm buying it. I think they go on a heater. They're 4-0 after a loss this year. Folks, their defense is still exceptional. Number one total defense. Number two scoring defense. Every analytic, every points per game. yards per game, opposer passer rating, their first up and down the board. Josh Allen, 4-0 with multiple touchdown passes after every loss. And by the way, Brady, we love him. Five straight games, one or more turnovers. They're getting a little sloppy. This game, you have a proud, good football team that was mocked, made fun of, laughed at, ripped by their own media. So was their coach. The Bills are going to play their best game of the year. and I think they're going to whack Tommy and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-23. Rams at Cardinals. You know, Vegas guys are back and forth on this.”
TB 33, BUF 27 — Buccaneers beat Bills 33-27 in overtime; Buffalo lost by 6, missing the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Rams at Cardinals. You know, Vegas guys are back and forth on this. It's a numbers game. I get Arizona minus... two and a half at home, I'm going to take him with that number. I like it. They're one of two teams, Bills the other, top five scoring, top five defense. Kyler Murray this year, the kid's incredible. His completion percentage is 73%. You can't stop him off strip. I think he's incredible. I don't know what you do to defend this kid when he's healthy. I mean, I like Russell Wilson. There's things he does that Russell can't do. The Rams are a little overinflated in my opinion. Six of their eight wins have come with teams with losing records. In fact, they haven't beaten a team with a winning record since week three. They don't have Robert Woods. So now they're a little, they're asking Van Jefferson to be Robert Woods. He's young. He's not. I just think they're overvalued. I think this line should be much bigger, like Arizona minus four. And the Rams, by the way, to show you they're overvalued since week seven, the Rams are one and five against the spread. They're overvalued by the public. I like them. I just don't love them. And Arizona at home, I'm going to take them to win by 10.”
LAR 30, ARI 23 — Rams beat Cardinals 30-23; Arizona lost outright by 7, missing the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I love Philadelphia minus six and a half.”
PHI 33, NYJ 18 — Eagles beat the Jets 33-18; Philadelphia's +15 outright win covers Eagles -6.5 (ESPN final score).
“Pittsburgh plus four. I'm going with them.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Steelers beat the Ravens 20-19; Pittsburgh's +1 outright win covers Steelers +4 (ESPN final score).
“But right now it's Buffalo Minus two and a half at home in a snowstorm I'm going to take Buffalo In that instance Now earlier in the week it was a bigger number But at two and a half I'll take Buffalo”
NE 14, BUF 10 — Patriots beat the Bills 14-10 in a snowstorm on Monday Night Football; Buffalo's -4 margin busts Bills -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“I'll take the Cowboys minus seven and a half.”
LV 36, DAL 33 — Raiders beat the Cowboys 36-33 in overtime on Thanksgiving; Dallas's -3 margin busts Cowboys -7.5 (ESPN final score).
“I like the Texans minus two and a half.”
NYJ 21, HOU 14 — Jets beat the Texans 21-14; Houston's -7 margin busts Texans -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“Buccaneers and Colts. I like the Colts at home getting a field goal.”
TB 38, IND 31 — Buccaneers beat the Colts 38-31 on a late go-ahead touchdown run; Indianapolis's -7 margin busts Colts +3 (ESPN final score).
“Broncos plus 2.5.”
DEN 28, LAC 13 — Broncos beat the Chargers 28-13; Denver's outright +15 win covers Broncos +2.5 (ESPN final score).
“I like the Colts getting seven points even though I think Buffalo should win”
IND 41, BUF 15 — Colts routed the Bills 41-15 on Sunday Night Football, a +26 margin that easily covers Indianapolis +7 (ESPN final score).
“I'll take Minnesota plus one with the upset.”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Vikings beat the Packers 34-31 on a walk-off field goal, a +3 outright win that covers Minnesota +1 (ESPN final score).
“I'll take the Saints to win plus the two points.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — Eagles beat the Saints 40-29; New Orleans lost by 11, which busts Saints +2 (ESPN final score).
“Cardinals versus Seahawks. Seattle season on the line. I'm going to take Seattle to beat Arizona. The line's only one and a half, so it's going to be close. It's a divisional game. Seahawks got shut out. and Russell Wilson is 35-11 off losses. He's the best off-a-loss quarterback in the league. Kyler Murray's ankle isn't right, so he's not practicing all the time and he's not completely healthy. My guess is they get down, they may pull him because Arizona has a bye next week and because the Rams lost, this is not as urgent a performance for Arizona. Season on the line, Russell Wilson a little healthier, They got humiliated. My rule is good quarterbacks get humiliated. Watch them the next week. I take Seattle to beat Arizona outright as a dog, 27-23.”
ARI 23, SEA 13 — Cardinals beat the Seahawks 23-13; Seattle lost by 10, which busts Seahawks +1.5 (ESPN final score).
“Steelers win 24-21 as a six-point dog.”
LAC 41, PIT 37 — Chargers beat the Steelers 41-37 on Justin Herbert's late TD pass; Pittsburgh's -4 margin still covers Steelers +6 (ESPN final score).
“Lions versus Steelers. Upset, baby. I'm taking the Lions to beat the Steelers. They're getting eight points. You're going to give this Pittsburgh offense, you're going to give eight points to anybody? So the Lions are off a bye. Half of their losses this year have come by nine or fewer. They had Baltimore beat The Steelers haven beaten an opponent not one by more than eight all year Their offense is a mess You know it I know it and they have good weapons Roethlisberger averaging six and a half yards per attempt It's the lowest in the league by a quarterback with a winning record. Let's just be honest here. Pittsburgh may win the game. I'm going to have fun and call it an upset. You cannot give Detroit eight points against Pittsburgh.”
DET 16, PIT 16 — Lions and Steelers played to a 16-16 overtime tie; Detroit's 0-point margin beats the +8 line, so Lions +8 covers (ESPN final score).
“I like the Ravens minus six to win and win big.”
BAL 34, MIN 31 — Ravens beat Vikings 34-31 in overtime, a 3-point margin that falls short of Baltimore -6 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I like the Cowboys minus nine and a half.”
DEN 30, DAL 16 — Broncos beat Cowboys 30-16, so Dallas -9.5 lost outright and busts the spread (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take the Falcons plus 6.5.”
ATL 27, NO 25 — Falcons beat the Saints 27-25 outright, which covers Atlanta +6.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I like the Giants plus three.”
NYG 23, LV 16 — Giants beat the Raiders 23-16 outright, which covers New York +3 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'll take the Colts minus two and a half.”
TEN 34, IND 31 — Titans beat Colts 34-31 in overtime, a 3-point Indianapolis loss that fails to cover Colts -2.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I like the Patriots plus four and a half.”
NE 27, LAC 24 — Patriots beat the Chargers 27-24 outright, which covers New England +4.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“Jaguars at Seahawks. I like the Jags plus three and a half. They're off a bye. The Seahawks are on a short week. So you've got six days of prep. And Trevor Lawrence is starting to really hum. 90 plus passer rating in three straight games.”
SEA 31, JAX 7 — Seahawks beat Jaguars 31-7, a 24-point Jacksonville loss that fails to cover Jaguars +3.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“Tampa wins, but I'm going to take the Saints plus four and a half.”
NO 36, TB 27 — Saints beat the Buccaneers 36-27 outright, which covers New Orleans +4.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“Bengals and Ravens. Bengals get six and a half. I'm going to take Cincinnati.”
CIN 41, BAL 17 — Bengals routed the Ravens 41-17, a 24-point margin that easily covers Cincinnati +6.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take Carolina minus two and a half.”
NYG 25, CAR 3 — Giants beat Panthers 25-3, so Carolina -2.5 lost outright and busts the spread (ESPN scoreboard).
“I love the Eagles plus three”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Raiders beat Eagles 33-22, an 11-point Philadelphia loss that fails to cover Eagles +3 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'll take Tampa minus 12.5”
TB 38, CHI 3 — Buccaneers routed the Bears 38-3, a 35-point margin that easily covers Tampa Bay -12.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“Colts at 49ers. Like it. I love it. I'm going to take the 49ers. The line now has moved in our favor. It's now San Francisco minus four.”
IND 30, SF 18 — Colts beat the 49ers 30-18, so San Francisco -4 lost outright and busts the spread (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take the Ravens minus two and a half, one of my stronger plays of the week.”
BAL 34, LAC 6 — Ravens beat Chargers 34-6, a 28-point margin that easily covers Baltimore -2.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take the Lions to win straight out.”
CIN 34, DET 11 — Bengals beat Lions 34-11, so the Lions moneyline pick lost outright (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'll take Cleveland minus three and a half.”
ARI 37, CLE 14 — Cardinals beat Browns 37-14, so Cleveland -3.5 lost outright and busts the spread (ESPN scoreboard).
“Cowboys and Patriots. I like New England. do at home plus three and a half. You may wait on this. There'll be more cowboy money coming in. It may move to four. That's an even better number. But here's why I like New England.”
DAL 35, NE 29 — Cowboys beat Patriots 35-29 in overtime, a 6-point Patriots loss that fails to cover New England +3.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I'm going to take Pittsburgh minus five and a half.”
PIT 23, SEA 20 — Steelers beat Seahawks 23-20 in overtime, a 3-point margin that falls short of Pittsburgh -5.5 (ESPN scoreboard).
“I like Carolina here, and I like the number a lot, minus three.”
21-18 — Philadelphia beat Carolina 21-18 in Week 5; the Panthers lost outright, busting the -3 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Bengals plus three.”
25-22 — Green Bay beat Cincinnati 25-22 in overtime in Week 5; the Bengals lost by exactly 3, pushing the +3 spread (ESPN).
“Packers and Bengals. Upset alert. I'm going to take the Bengals plus three. I'm betting the money line.”
25-22 — Green Bay beat Cincinnati 25-22 in overtime in Week 5; the Bengals lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Dolphins plus 10.”
45-17 — Tampa Bay routed Miami 45-17 in Week 5; the Dolphins lost by 28, busting the +10 spread (ESPN).
“The bet is the Browns here plus two and a half.”
47-42 — The Chargers beat Cleveland 47-42 in Week 5; the Browns lost by 5, busting the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“Vegas pays attention to. I like Buffalo here, and I think they could win it by more than this. I'll take the three points. Buffalo, 36-28. All odds provided by Fox Bet.”
38-20 — Buffalo beat Kansas City 38-20 in Week 5, an +18 margin that covers the +3 spread (ESPN).
“I like Dallas minus four and a half.”
36-28 — Dallas beat Carolina 36-28 in Week 4, an +8 margin that covers the -4.5 spread (ESPN).
“I like Miami minus two.”
27-17 — Indianapolis beat Miami 27-17 in Week 4; the Dolphins lost by 10, busting the -2 spread (ESPN).
“Browns at Vikings. The Vikings should be 3-0. They beat the Seahawks. They should have beat the Cardinals, and they went to overtime with the Bengals. They an underdog at home getting two and a half against Cleveland This is not an indictment on Cleveland but they injured Their left tackle playing on one leg Greg Newsom, the rookie corner's a good one. He's hurt, bad calf. Jarvis Landry's still not there, and their defense isn't right yet. Here's the other thing. When you look at the Vikings, I know everybody likes to roll their eyes at Kirk Cousins. When's the last bad game Kirk Cousins has had? He's had 17 consecutive games with a 90-plus passer rating. They're at home where he's always better. In the NFL this year, he's fourth in completion percentage, number one in touchdown interception ratio, fourth in passer rating. Folks, I'm not sure they should be the dog here. They're at home. They beat Seattle. They had Arizona beat. They had Cincinnati beat. I'm not sure the line is right. And until I'm sure Cleveland has their defense right against a legitimate offense, I think the Vikings will take the points. They win 27-26.”
14-7 — Cleveland beat Minnesota 14-7 in Week 4; the Vikings lost outright, busting the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“I love the Chargers on Monday night, minus three and a half.”
28-14 — The Chargers beat Las Vegas 28-14 on Monday Night Football in Week 4, a +14 margin that covers -3.5 (ESPN).
“I'll take Carolina plus three and a half second straight home game.”
26-7 — Carolina beat New Orleans 26-7 in Week 2, a +19 margin that easily covers +3.5 (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Colts plus three and a half.”
27-24 — The Rams beat the Colts 27-24 in Week 2; Indianapolis lost by 3, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
“Eagles plus three with an upset.”
17-11 — San Francisco beat Philadelphia 17-11 in Week 2; the Eagles lost by 6, busting the +3 spread (ESPN).
“Take the Steelers minus 6.5 against the Raiders.”
26-17 — The Raiders upset Pittsburgh 26-17 in Week 2; the Steelers lost outright, busting the -6.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Chargers minus three and a half.”
20-17 — Dallas beat the Chargers 20-17 in Week 2 on a walk-off field goal; Los Angeles lost by 3, busting the -3.5 spread (ESPN).
“According to Fox Bet, I'll take Fresno at 27.5, UCLA at 18,”
45-0 — Fresno State routed UConn 45-0 in the Week 0 opener, easily covering as a -27.5 favorite (ESPN).
“Again, according to Fox Bet, Nebraska is a seven-point favorite. I'll take Nebraska, I'll take the under.”
30-22 — Illinois beat Nebraska 30-22 in the Week 0 opener; Nebraska lost outright, busting the -7 spread (ESPN).
“Nebraska with Adrian Martinez. They're going to – it's a beautiful 90-degree, sunny day in Shambana. I think Nebraska goes in and gets a win. I also think this one's an under. Over-under is 54. I'm going to go take the under. So there's two picks in this. Nebraska and the under.”
30-22 — Illinois beat Nebraska 30-22, a combined 52 points, going under the 54 total (ESPN).
“UCLA, they're taking on, everybody's saying Chip Kelly under pressure. Not sure I see it. If you look at his contract, how much they have to pay to buy him out, but they take on Hawaii. Obviously a tough trip for the Bows. anytime you got to leave Oahu behind and their new on-campus stadium behind. But I like the under in this one. 67 and a half. I like the under in UCLA and Hawaii. I do think UCLA... wins. I don't think it's terribly close. If you made me double up on the picks, I'd take UCLA in the under, but the official pick is the under. So,”
44-10 — UCLA beat Hawai'i 44-10, a combined 54 points, going under the 67.5 total (ESPN).
“And if I was going to throw in a bonus pick, I would take New Mexico State in the I-10 rivalry with UTEP. I'd take them to cover, not to win. They're a 10-point dog playing at home in Las Cruces. And those are the picks.”
30-3 — UTEP beat New Mexico State 30-3 in the I-10 rivalry game, a 27-point margin that blew well past the +10 cushion (ESPN).
“Brooklyn is favored by four in game one, according to Fox Bet.”
107-115 — Nets beat the Bucks 115-107 in Game 1 on June 5, 2021; Milwaukee lost outright and failed to cover +4 (ESPN box score).
“They're also minus 213 in the series.”
Bucks beat the Nets 115-111 in overtime in Game 7 on June 19, 2021 to win the East semifinal series 4-3 (ESPN box score). (Bucks def. Nets 4-3)
“Obviously, I'm very excited for this series. I'm taking the heat in the series. I know everyone's going to be shocked at that. I have the Bucs winning the whole thing, which is really a terrible pick. In the world of my picks, it's one of my worst picks. So they have to beat Miami. So Miami's got the better coach, and they've got the better star.”
Bucks swept the Heat 4-0 in the 2021 East first round, clinching Game 4 120-103 on May 29; Heat lost the series (ESPN box score). (Bucks def. Heat 4-0)
“Cleveland got a bad break. They got the worst break in the league. Cleveland's a good football team. I think they're the best over bet. Nine and a half wins. I think they're a 10-11 win team. They got a terrible break.”
Browns finished the 2021 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5-win over line (ESPN schedule/results). (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“So I'm not going to do a blazing five, but I will bet some games today. Uncle Colin does not waste opportunities to make some lettuce. If I did a blazing five today, because the lines often never get better on Fox Bet, here's the best lines. Seattle plus three at Indianapolis. Seattle tends to be, again, same coach, same quarterback, many of the same weapons. Indianapolis has a new quarterback. And their best young receiver, Michael Pittman, has never worked with Carson Wentz. I think the Colts are going to be really good. I don't know how good they're going to be in week one. Last year they lost to the Jags in week one. So I would take Seattle in the points in week one.”
28-16 — Seahawks beat the Colts 28-16 in Week 1 2021, winning outright and easily covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“I would take Atlanta minus one and a half against Philadelphia.”
32-6 — Falcons were routed by the Eagles 32-6 in Week 1 2021, losing outright and failing to cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I would actually take the Cowboys plus four and a half against Tampa”
29-31 — Cowboys lost the Week 1 2021 opener to Tampa Bay 31-29, a 2-point margin that stayed within the +4.5 line (ESPN box score).
“So I would take Kansas City minus four and a half.”
29-33 — Chiefs beat the Browns 33-29 in Week 1 2021, winning by only 4 points, short of the -4.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I cannot get over this, Joy. The Fox bet NFL win totals. I can't get over it. It's a 17-game schedule. And they've got the Browns lumped in with the Cowboys, the Chargers, the Saints, and the Titans at nine and a half wins. I don't know. That's an indictment on Baker Mayfield. How can you have them lumped in with the Cowboys If you go look at Cleveland roster right now They had a great offseason Great offseason And they're going to add Jadavian Clowney tomorrow. In a 16-game schedule, I'd take the over on Cleveland 9.5. On a 16-game schedule. And it's scheduled. They get Detroit at home. They get Houston at home. They get Chicago at home. They get the Raiders at home. They get Denver at home. They get Arizona at home. They'll be favored in all those games by more than a field goal. I just can't. I'm betting the over on Cleveland. And it's always a sucker bet. Future bets are sucker bets because fans always bet the over. And the Browns at 9.5, I would bet the over.”
Browns finished the 2021 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5-win over/under (nfl.com official standings). (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“I'm going to take Buffalo minus six and a half here.”
BUF 27-24 IND — Bills beat Colts 27-24 in the AFC Wild Card (margin +3), short of Buffalo -6.5 (ESPN box score).
“Rams at Seahawks. Like it, I love it. I bet this game got a better number than the number now. But L.A. plus three and a half, I'll take them.”
LAR 30-20 SEA — Rams beat Seahawks 30-20 in the NFC Wild Card (margin +10), covering LA Rams +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I would take Washington plus eight.”
TB 31-23 WSH — Buccaneers beat Washington 31-23 in the NFC Wild Card (Washington lost by exactly 8), pushing Washington +8 (ESPN box score).
“Pittsburgh minus six.”
CLE 48-37 PIT — Browns beat Steelers 48-37 in the AFC Wild Card (Pittsburgh lost by 11), missing Steelers -6 (ESPN box score).
“I going to take Denver plus six”
BUF 48-19 DEN — Bills routed Broncos 48-19 (Denver lost by 29), well outside Broncos +6 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Miami minus one and a half.”
MIA 22-12 NE — Dolphins beat Patriots 22-12 (margin +10), covering Miami -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Washington plus five and a half.”
SEA 20-15 WSH — Seahawks beat Washington 20-15 (Washington lost by 5), covering Washington +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Arizona minus 6.5 at home against Philadelphia.”
ARI 33-26 PHI — Cardinals beat Eagles 33-26 (margin +7), covering Arizona -6.5 (ESPN box score).
“But I got Saints plus three and a half, and I love the pick.”
KC 32-29 NO — Chiefs beat Saints 32-29 (New Orleans lost by 3), covering Saints +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“Titans and Jaguars. I'm going to take the Titans minus seven and a half.”
TEN 31-10 JAX — Titans beat Jaguars 31-10 (margin +21), covering Tennessee -7.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Finns, Miami plus seven.”
KC 33-27 MIA — Chiefs beat Dolphins 33-27; Miami lost by 6, covering Dolphins +7 (ESPN box score).
“I like the Giants plus two and a half.”
ARI 26-7 NYG — Cardinals beat Giants 26-7 (margin -19), well short of New York Giants +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Buffalo and swallow two points. Bills minus two.”
BUF 26-15 PIT — Bills beat Steelers 26-15 (margin +11), covering Buffalo -2 (ESPN box score).
“Ravens at Browns. Like it. I love it. I'll take Cleveland. Teams are different. Some get hurt. Some get healthy. Some don't have an identity. Some do. Cleveland has found their identity. This is the two best running offenses in the NFL, but the Browns have only allowed six sacks since week seven. This is the best offensive line in the league, and the coaches have figured it out. If you go to week seven, the Ravens since then have a minus six sack differential. Browns plus ten. Turnover differential. Ravens minus three. Browns plus three. The Ravens have lost four of six games. I struggle with their offensive identity. Do they want Lamar to run? Do they not? Let's not get him hurt, but we need him. Cleveland is at home. They're getting points. They are the better football team. I said last week they matched up. very well with Tennessee. I didn't know if they had the oomph, the gravitas in them to win. They did. I do worry a little bit about their maturity of winning back-to-back games, Monday Night Football, Baker Spotlight. Will he go a little cray and think he's... I worry about that. Cleveland's the better football team. They've been the better football team since Week 7. They have the better identity. They have the better offensive line. I'm going to take Cleveland.”
BAL 47-42 CLE — Ravens beat Browns 47-42 (Cleveland lost by 5), missing the Browns +3 cover (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Cleveland plus five and a half here.”
CLE 41, TEN 35 — Browns beat Titans 41-35 on Dec 6, 2020 (ESPN box score); Browns +5.5 covered by winning outright.
“I'm going to take the Rams minus three against the Cardinals.”
LAR 38, ARI 28 — Rams beat Cardinals 38-28 on Dec 6, 2020 (ESPN box score); Rams -3 covered by winning by 10.
“I'm going to take New England minus one to go on the road and beat the Chargers.”
NE 45, LAC 0 — Patriots beat Chargers 45-0 on Dec 6, 2020 (ESPN box score); Patriots -1 covered easily.
“I'll take Philadelphia plus 8.5.”
GB 30, PHI 16 — Packers beat Eagles 30-16 on Dec 6, 2020 (ESPN box score); Eagles +8.5 lost by 14, missing the cover.
“Bills at 49ers. I'm going to take the 49ers. The number has moved some. I'm taking the 49ers side. I'll say Fox Bet. All of our odds, by the way, provided by Fox Bet. I'll say Niners plus One and a half here.”
BUF 34, SF 24 — Bills beat 49ers 34-24 on Dec 7, 2020 (ESPN box score); 49ers +1.5 lost by 10, missing the cover.
“Steelers Washington football team is featured in this week's free-to-play Super 6 contest. Download the Fox Super 6 app and make your picks before kickoff Sunday for your chance to win Terry Bradshaw's $100,000. All you have to do is correctly predict the outcome of six NFL games. And for top stories, scores, and more, go to the Fox Sports app. Colin, give us your winner and final score for Steelers versus Washington football team. 26-23 Steelers. I take Washington plus 7.5 to cover. I think Washington's a good bet this week. I didn't put it in my blazing five. It was the close one. It was the one I almost did. But Washington's a good cover.”
WSH 23, PIT 17 — Washington beat Steelers 23-17 on Dec 7, 2020 (ESPN box score); Washington +7.5 covered by winning outright.
“All of our odds provided by Fox Bet. That's a hot one. Let's blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins blazing fire. Falcons, it's Saints. Okay, the number's changing rapidly. When we did this segment, you know, this morning, it was four and a half Atlanta. I would take the Falcons here. First of all, now I think the Saints with Taysom Hill are kind of experimenting at quarterback. I do not like that. Remember, the Falcons are coming off a bye with extra time. And Raheem Morris is not only three and one, but he's trying to win the head coaching job. And in this division, he thinks he can get to a wild card spot. He may be wrong. We know Atlanta since week six. They can move the ball. We don't question that, but they've allowed fewer than 30 points in five straight games. Again, this is a coaching staff coaching for million-dollar contracts here. Raheem Morris wants his second-head coaching job, and I feel like the Saints are kind of experimenting more than I would be comfortable with. We have an upset or two every week in the league. I'm going to take the Falcons with the upset win, 28-27 here.”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Saints beat Falcons 24-9 on Nov 22, 2020 (ESPN box score); Falcons +4.5 lost by 15, missing the cover.
“Philadelphia is absolutely the play here, plus three and a half.”
CLE 22, PHI 17 — Browns beat Eagles 22-17 on Nov 22, 2020 (ESPN box score); Eagles +3.5 lost by 5, missing the cover.
“I'll take the Colts minus 2.5.”
IND 34, GB 31 — Colts beat Packers 34-31 on Nov 22, 2020 (ESPN box score); Colts -2.5 covered by winning by 3.
“I'm going to take Kansas City minus 8.5.”
KC 35, LV 31 — Chiefs beat Raiders 35-31 on Nov 22, 2020 (ESPN box score); Chiefs -8.5 won by only 4, missing the cover.
“I'm going to take Tampa Bay minus 4.5.”
LAR 27, TB 24 — Rams beat Buccaneers 27-24 on Nov 23, 2020 (ESPN box score); Buccaneers -4.5 lost outright, missing the cover.
“I'll take the Dolphins plus four in what I think is going to be kind of an ugly football game.”
MIA 28, LAR 17 — Dolphins beat Rams 28-17 on Nov 1, 2020 (ESPN box score); Dolphins +4 covered by winning outright.
“Titans and Bengals. I'll take Tennessee minus 6.5.”
CIN 31, TEN 20 — Bengals beat Titans 31-20 on Nov 1, 2020 (ESPN box score); Titans -6.5 lost outright, missing the cover.
“I like the Colts here, minus three.”
IND 41, DET 21 — Colts beat Lions 41-21 on Nov 1, 2020 (ESPN box score); Colts -3 covered by winning by 20.
“I'm actually going to take Denver plus three and a half here.”
DEN 31, LAC 30 — Broncos beat Chargers 31-30 on Nov 1, 2020 (ESPN box score); Broncos +3.5 covered by winning outright.
“Colts at Chiefs. Chiefs minus five and a half. Off a bye at home with Andy Reid. I'm going to take Kansas City to win the game. Listen to the first team to average 35 points per game for a season since Denver did it with Peyton Manning. Now the Colts are hotter, but Kansas City's offense is first in virtually everything. And the Colts defense, although it's a great story, has not faced a top ten scoring offense since week five when the Patriots lit them up. I think a lot of this Colts defensive story has been situational. They haven't faced great offenses. Darius Leonard's outstanding, but they still have lots of needs on the defensive side. I think luck may outplay Holmes. It is cold. It is snowy. I do not like dome teams on the road in cold, snowy games. I'm going to take Kansas City here, 31-24, to win and cover the spread.”
KC 31, IND 13 — Chiefs beat Colts 31-13 in the AFC Divisional Round (ESPN box score); Chiefs -5.5 covered by 12.5 points.
“Cowboys plus seven and a half. They got [4:18] the better defense.”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Rams beat Cowboys 30-22 in the NFC Divisional Round (ESPN box score); Cowboys +7.5 lost outright by 8, missing the cover by half a point.
“I love New England at minus four.”
NE 41, LAC 28 — Patriots beat Chargers 41-28 in the AFC Divisional Round (ESPN box score); Patriots -4 covered by winning by 13.
“Eagles at Saints. All right. Listen, everybody loves the Saints. And my guess is the Saints drop a 30-burger. But I think Philadelphia's offense is potent. They're 5-1 straight up as an underdog. They've been great situationally. I get 8.5 points. I'm taking that all day.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — Saints beat Eagles 20-14 in the NFC Divisional Round (ESPN box score); Eagles +8.5 covered, losing by only 6.
“podcast, my Blazing Five plus two bonus picks. Going to give you two. It's our final Blazing Five in the regular season because I'm out next Friday skiing in Utah. Yeah, that'll be fun. But if Gottlieb goes 5-0, then I take credit for those. All right, first, here's my Blazing Five. That's a hot one. Let's blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins, Blazing Five. Ravens at Chargers. Saturday night game, Chargers minus four and a half. It's going to be a good game low scoring for a while ravens play real defense but the chargers who we fell in love with about week eight lead the nfl in big plays with 118 that a running play over 10 yards a passing play over 20 Meanwhile Lamar Jackson is yet to throw for 200 yards in a game Baltimore will hang around in this football game and they'll keep it close, but in the end they're running a wing tee against the most explosive offense in the National Football League. Chargers win it and cover 27 to 20.”
22-10 — Ravens beat Chargers 22-10 (Dec 22, 2018); Chargers -4.5 lost outright (ESPN box score).
“Packers minus three [5:23] Like it? I love the Packers”
44-38 — Packers beat Jets 44-38 in overtime (Dec 23, 2018); margin of 6 covers Packers -3 (ESPN box score).
“and I like them to be super competitive here, getting four points against Chicago. By the way, Mitch Trubisky, young quarterback, very good at home. Incredibly mediocre away from home. That happens with young quarterbacks. I mean, it just does. Young quarterbacks are good in spots, but you get a roller coaster home and away. By the way, the best statistical rookie quarterback in the league is not Baker Mayfield. It's Nick Mullins. Look it up. Niners cover. I think the Bears win last second field goal, but I'll take the points on the Niners 24-23.”
14-9 — Bears beat 49ers 14-9 (Dec 23, 2018); 49ers lost by 5, outside the +4 line (ESPN box score).
“I get the Giants plus 9.5.”
27-28 — Colts beat Giants 28-27 (Dec 23, 2018) on a late touchdown; Giants lost by 1, well within +9.5 (ESPN box score).
“pressures on Kansas City, 28-26 Seahawks win. I will take the two and a half points.”
31-38 — Seahawks beat Chiefs 38-31 (Dec 23, 2018); outright win covers Seahawks +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I would take the Lions plus six hosting Minnesota.”
9-27 — Vikings beat Lions 27-9 (Dec 23, 2018); Lions lost by 18, well outside the +6 line (ESPN box score).
“I would also take the Eagles minus one and a half against the Texans.”
30-32 — Eagles beat Texans 32-30 (Dec 23, 2018) on a walk-off field goal; margin of 2 covers Eagles -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I love Cleveland plus three at Denver.”
17-16 — Browns beat Broncos 17-16 (Dec 15, 2018); outright win covers Browns +3 (ESPN box score).
“I going to take what I think right now is the better more optimistic locker room Browns plus three win 24 Raiders and Bengals Listen I been critical of John Gruden but they great in this spot The Raiders plus three I take them”
16-30 — Bengals beat Raiders 30-16 (Dec 16, 2018); Raiders lost by 14, outside the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Colts at home. [5:44] Minus 2.5.”
0-23 — Colts shut out Cowboys 23-0 (Dec 16, 2018); margin of 23 covers Colts -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Titans plus two and a half against the Giants team that will not have Odell Beckham.”
17-0 — Titans shut out Giants 17-0 (Dec 16, 2018); outright win covers Titans +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“This was minus nine. Now it's Rams minus 11 because Carson Wentz is out. Rams are going to roll and win this thing by a ton.”
30-23 — Eagles beat Rams 30-23 (Dec 16, 2018); Rams lost outright, well outside the -11 line (ESPN box score).
“Dolphins plus seven and a half. [3:26] I really like this number.”
33-34 — Dolphins beat Patriots 34-33 on the Miami Miracle lateral touchdown (Dec 9, 2018); Dolphins +7.5 won outright, easily covering (ESPN box score).
“Like Green Bay minus 4.5, like it, I love it.”
20-34 — Packers beat Falcons 34-20 (Dec 9, 2018); Packers -4.5 covered, winning by 14 (ESPN box score).
“bottom line if San Francisco limits turnovers I'm going to take the five points with the Niners”
14-20 — 49ers beat Broncos 20-14 (Dec 9, 2018); 49ers +5 won outright, easily covering (ESPN box score).
“Philadelphia plus three and a half, I'm going to take the Eagles here.”
23-29 — Cowboys beat Eagles 29-23 in overtime (Dec 9, 2018); Eagles +3.5 lost by 6, missing the number by 2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Bears plus three at home. [6:21] Cold and slightly windy Chicago. [6:23] I'm going to take it.”
6-15 — Bears beat Rams 15-6 (Dec 9, 2018); Bears +3 won outright, easily covering (ESPN box score).
“Bonus pick time, R.J. Bell, pregame.com, the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press. He's got his one-hour show daily on Fox Sports Radio, 3 to 4 Pacific, 6 to 7 Eastern. Bonus pick, I would have taken the Chiefs minus 6.5, hosting the Ravens, who I think are a little overvalued right now. Although Lamar Jackson has surprised me, what would the wise guys say?”
24-27 — Chiefs beat Ravens 27-24 in overtime (Dec 9, 2018); Chiefs -6.5 won by only 3, failing to cover (ESPN box score).
“Browns at Texans Texans minus six so they only have to win by a touchdown I'll take it here they have one of the top five run offenses and the Browns have one of the worst rush defenses here's also something about Cleveland Baker Mayfield's been very good because he's been very comfortable in recent weeks The Texans defensive front, J.J. Wattis has a sack in each of the last four games. The Browns also give up more big plays than any team in the NFL. 94, that's a run over 10 or a pass over 20. Deshaun Watson's a big play quarterback. I'll take the Texans winning by 10. I think it's a very close competitive game, but they pull away late with a big play from Deshaun, 27-17.”
29-13 — Texans beat Browns 29-13 (Dec 2, 2018); margin of 16 covers Texans -6 (ESPN box score).
“There's the Giants. Chicago's probably going to go with Chase Daniels. I'm going to take the Giants plus four and a half here. Listen, New York is a very healthy football team. The quarterback for the Bears is out, and I've said before, Chicago's good, but there are a lot of smoke and mirrors offensively It a lot of David Copperfield It a lot of tricks Guess what Post their offenses come back down to earth People are figuring out some of the sleight of hand Chase Daniels probably gets the start Why risk Trubisky You lead your division Right now you get a home game. I think the Giants-Bears is 21-20 either way. For fun, I'll pick the upset, but I'm definitely taking the Giants and four and a half points.”
30-27 — Giants beat Bears 30-27 in overtime (Dec 2, 2018); outright win covers Giants +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“Colts and Jaguars. [5:20] Colts minus four. Like it. I love it.”
0-6 — Jaguars shut out Colts 6-0 (Dec 2, 2018); Colts -4 lost outright (ESPN box score).
“It's Atlanta minus one, Falcons. [6:11] I'm going to take Atlanta here.”
16-26 — Ravens beat Falcons 26-16 (Dec 2, 2018); Falcons -1 lost outright, missing the number by 11 (ESPN box score).
“Vikings at Patriots. New England, unlike the rest of the league is not passing more, they're running more New England's offense is averaging 28 a game, down from 28 and a half a game, meaning New England's now become kind of a conservative, run first offense, they're averaging 28 a game, I get the Vikings plus 5, do I think the Vikings can score 22, 23, 24, yes I do, I think the Patriots are the better football team and it's in Foxborough I'm not going to pick against them but if you look at that Minnesota defense this season, they keep games close. Red zone touchdown percentage allowed first in the league meaning Patriots may move the ball They going to settle for some threes here instead of touchdowns I take New England to win close 30 but I absolutely take the Vikings plus the points”
10-24 — Patriots beat Vikings 24-10 (Dec 2, 2018); Vikings lost by 14, outside the +5 line (ESPN box score).
“But when I look at the Panthers minus three and a half, I like them here.”
SEA 30-27 CAR — Seahawks beat Panthers 30-27 on a last-second field goal; Panthers -3.5 lost outright, did not cover (ESPN).
“Browns at Bengals. Like it, I love it. I love Cleveland here. I know. Browns are off a bye. I believe even though they're not a great team, they play with a purpose. Everybody in that building is the Pied Piper as Baker Mayfield. Actually in the last month, strung some nice games together. Cincinnati's just overrated. They've been blown out several times. When the Browns lose, the Browns lose close. This Bengal defense is on pace to be the worst in NFL history Baker 19 picks in his last four starts Browns forget the points I think they went out right 27”
CLE 35-20 CIN — Browns beat Bengals 35-20; Browns moneyline won outright (ESPN).
“I'll swallow the six points and take Philly here.”
PHI 25-22 NYG — Eagles beat Giants 25-22; Eagles -6 won by only 3 points, missed the cover (ESPN).
“I'm going to take Green Bay plus three and a half.”
MIN 24-17 GB — Vikings beat Packers 24-17; Packers +3.5 lost by 7 points, missed the cover (ESPN).
“Blazing Five. That game's over. So let's go to the bonus pick. My bonus pick is usually the pick I would have put in the Blazing Five, but it just missed the cut. And I just think, you know, I'd give it to the audience. I think I'd take the Niners plus three and a half at Tampa for one reason. I still think everybody's trying to look good on tape for Kyle Shanahan. I think they feel”
TB 27-9 SF — Buccaneers beat 49ers 27-9; 49ers +3.5 lost by 18 points, did not cover (ESPN).
“I got to [3:41] take Tennessee plus two here.”
IND 38-10 TEN — Colts beat Titans 38-10; Titans +2 lost outright by 28 points, did not cover (ESPN).
“I like the number here. [4:22] I get Denver plus seven.”
DEN 23-22 LAC — Broncos beat Chargers 23-22 outright; Broncos +7 covered easily (ESPN).
“watch, but I like the number. Raiders plus five and a half at Arizona. My gut feeling is Arizona may win this thing, but let's be honest about them. They've beaten the Niners and nobody else, and the Raiders are losing games, but I see life. I see offensively playmakers. I think Raiders have much better offensive personnel, veteran quarterback. I'm going to take the Raiders plus five and a half.”
OAK 23-21 ARI — Raiders beat Cardinals 23-21 outright; Raiders +5.5 covered easily (ESPN).
“My favorite bet of the week, Minnesota plus three at Chicago.”
CHI 25-20 MIN — Bears beat Vikings 25-20; Vikings +3 lost by 5 points, missed the cover (ESPN).
“My second favorite bet of the week. [6:36] I'm taking Kansas City plus three and a half points.”
LAR 54-51 KC — Rams beat Chiefs 54-51 on Monday Night Football; Chiefs +3.5 covered, losing by only 3 points (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Bengals and Andy Dalton over the Red Hot Saints at five and a half,”
NO 51-14 CIN — Saints beat Bengals 51-14; Bengals +5.5 lost outright by 37 points, did not cover (ESPN).
“I'll take the Patriots minus six and a half.”
TEN 34-10 NE — Titans beat Patriots 34-10; Patriots -6.5 lost outright, did not cover (ESPN).
“Indy minus three and a half.”
IND 29-26 JAX — Colts beat Jaguars 29-26; Colts -3.5 won by only 3 points, missed the cover (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Seahawks plus 10 against the Rams.”
LAR 36-31 SEA — Rams beat Seahawks 36-31; Seahawks +10 covered, losing by only 5 points (ESPN).
“I'm going to take Philly minus six and a half.”
DAL 27-20 PHI — Cowboys beat Eagles 27-20; Eagles -6.5 lost outright, did not cover (ESPN).
“I would take the Browns here, plus five and a half against the Falcons.”
CLE 28-16 ATL — Browns beat Falcons 28-16; Browns +5.5 covered by 12 points (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Patriots minus 5.”
NE 31-17 GB — Patriots beat Packers 31-17; Patriots -5 covered by 14 points (ESPN).
“I get the Chargers plus 1 at Seattle.”
LAC 25-17 SEA — Chargers beat Seahawks 25-17; Chargers +1 covered by 8 points (ESPN).
“I'll take Minnesota, lay the five.”
MIN 24-9 DET — Vikings beat Lions 24-9; Vikings -5 covered by 15 points (ESPN).
“I'm going Rams minus one.”
NO 45-35 LAR — Saints beat Rams 45-35; Rams -1 lost outright, did not cover (ESPN).
“Titans plus five and a half at the Cowboys.”
TEN 28-14 DAL — Titans beat Cowboys 28-14 on Monday Night Football; Titans +5.5 covered by 14 points (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the Bears minus seven,”
CHI 24, NYJ 10 — Bears beat Jets 24-10, Chicago Bears -7 covers.
“Seahawks and Lions. Seattle the better team and they get a field goal Like it I love it”
DET 14, SEA 28 — Seahawks beat Lions 28-14, Seattle Seahawks +3 covers (win outright).
“I like the Bengals at home minus four and a half.”
CIN 37, TB 34 — Bengals beat Buccaneers 37-34, Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 busts (won by 3).
“I'll take the Niners in the pick-em.”
ARI 18, SF 15 — Cardinals beat 49ers 18-15, San Francisco 49ers pick'em busts (lost by 3).
“Aaron Rodgers off a bye gets nine and a half. and you'll give the numbers. I don't have them. But Mike McCarthy and Aaron Rodgers off a bye. Again, this is not a weather situation. Warm weather going to cold. It's a cold weather team going to perfect conditions. It'll be 75 degrees. I can't believe the number. I'm going to take Green Bay. I don't know if they win, but nine and a half is just too big of a number.”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Rams beat Packers 29-27, Green Bay Packers +9.5 covers (lost by 2).
“I'm going to take the Panthers plus four and a half.”
PHI 17, CAR 21 — Panthers beat Eagles 21-17, Carolina Panthers +4.5 covers (win outright).
“I don't do this very often but a one in five Colts teams minus seven and a half at home against Buffalo and I'm gonna I'm gonna lay it here I'm gonna take the Colts minus seven and a half.”
IND 37, BUF 5 — Colts beat Bills 37-5, Indianapolis Colts -7.5 covers.
“I'll take the Ravens minus two and a half.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — Saints beat Ravens 24-23, Baltimore Ravens -2.5 busts.
“against Carolina. It took a 60 yard field goal to beat them. I'm getting five and a half with the Giants as they're getting beat up by the press at Atlanta. Atlanta is a disaster right now defensively. Again, maybe Atlanta wins at home, but I think the Giants have shown when the matchup works up front, they move the ball in the Texans. They moved the ball in Carolina. I'll take the Giants plus the points. Five and a half.”
NYG 20, ATL 23 — Falcons beat Giants 23-20, New York Giants +5.5 covers (lost by 3).
“I would take the Bears plus three against the Patriots.”
CHI 31, NE 38 — Patriots beat Bears 38-31, Chicago Bears +3 busts.
“I like the Browns plus one against the Chargers.”
CLE 14, LAC 38 — Chargers beat Browns 38-14, Cleveland Browns +1 busts.
“I'm going to take the superior quarterback, the motivated team, Colts plus 2.5.”
NYJ 42, IND 34 — Jets beat Colts 42-34, Indianapolis Colts +2.5 busts.
“All right, Steelers plus two and a half of the Bengals.”
CIN 21, PIT 28 — Steelers beat Bengals 28-21, Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 covers (win outright).
“I'll take Denver plus seven.”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Rams beat Broncos 23-20, Denver Broncos +7 covers (lost by 3).
“So I'm going to take Jacksonville minus 3 at Dallas.”
DAL 40, JAX 7 — Cowboys beat Jaguars 40-7, Jacksonville Jaguars -3 busts.
“I'm going to roll the dice, take the Redskins, who looked awful against the Saints, minus one.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Redskins beat Panthers 23-17, Washington Redskins -1 covers (win outright).
“I'm going to take the Jets minus 1.5.”
NYJ 34, DEN 16 — Jets beat Broncos 34-16, New York Jets -1.5 covers.
“All right, Raiders plus 5.5 at the L.A. Chargers.”
LAC 26, OAK 10 — Chargers beat Raiders 26-10, Oakland Raiders +5.5 busts.
“Minnesota plus three.”
PHI 21, MIN 23 — Vikings beat Eagles 23-21, Minnesota Vikings +3 covers (win outright).
“I get Arizona plus 5.5.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Cardinals beat 49ers 28-18, Arizona Cardinals +5.5 covers (win outright).
“I'm going to take Redskins plus six and a half.”
NO 43, WSH 19 — Saints beat Redskins 43-19, Washington Redskins +6.5 busts.
“I'll take the Raiders minus two and a half to win by more than a field goal.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Raiders beat Browns 45-42 in overtime, a 3-point margin that covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Colts at home, minus one.”
IND 34, HOU 37 — Texans beat Colts 37-34 in overtime; Indianapolis lost outright, so the -1 line busts (ESPN box score).
“Seattle and Arizona. Arizona's plus three. Listen, these are bad offensive lines. I'll take the one at home. These are, you know, this is my risky bet, but I kind of feel like this. Is that Josh Rosen, it's his team going forward. I think everybody knew it was his team. Everybody. Coaches, Sam Bradford. And I feel like there's a, okay, let's go. They've been all kind of waiting. Now, I don't think they're going to be special, but I'm going to take the three at home.”
ARI 17, SEA 20 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 20-17 on a last-second field goal; Arizona lost by exactly 3, matching the +3 line for a push (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the three and a half of the Giants.”
NO 33, NYG 18 — Saints beat Giants 33-18; New York lost by 15, more than the +3.5 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I love, I think Baltimore right now is a better team than Pittsburgh. And I get three points. And frankly, I don't know if Pittsburgh defensively matches up with their tight ends or their receivers. I'm going to take the Ravens in the field goal in a good rivalry game.”
PIT 14, BAL 26 — Ravens beat Steelers 26-14 on Sunday Night Football, winning outright by 12 which covers the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“So let's start here. Colts getting six against the Eagles. The Colts are playing very solid defense. They're turning third downs into first downs. And it's Carson Wentz's first game back. I think the Eagles may win. I'm going to take the six points. What do the wise guys think?”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Eagles beat Colts 20-16; Indianapolis lost by only 4, less than the +6 line, so the bet covers (ESPN box score).
“Okay, I'm going to take the Giants plus six.”
HOU 22, NYG 27 — Giants beat Texans 27-22 in Houston, winning outright by 5 which covers the +6 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Bengals plus three against Carolina.”
CAR 31, CIN 21 — Panthers beat Bengals 31-21; Cincinnati lost by 10, more than the +3 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I going to take the Redskins plus three at home against the Packers”
WSH 31, GB 17 — Redskins beat Packers 31-17 at home, a 14-point margin that covers the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Seattle minus one and a half.”
SEA 24, DAL 13 — Seahawks beat Cowboys 24-13, an 11-point margin that covers the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Denver plus five in my bonus pick at Baltimore.”
BAL 27, DEN 14 — Ravens beat Broncos 27-14; Denver lost by 13, more than the +5 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to swallow five and a half and take Atlanta here.”
ATL 31, CAR 24 — Falcons beat Panthers 31-24, a 7-point margin that covers the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Indianapolis plus six.”
WSH 9, IND 21 — Colts beat Redskins 21-9, winning outright by 12 which covers the +6 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Steelers minus five here.”
PIT 37, KC 42 — Chiefs beat Steelers 42-37 in Pittsburgh; the Steelers lost outright, so -5 busts (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Jags plus one and a half.”
JAX 31, NE 20 — Jaguars beat Patriots 31-20 in Jacksonville, an 11-point margin that covers the +1.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking the Seahawks plus three and a half.”
CHI 24, SEA 17 — Bears beat Seahawks 24-17 on Monday Night Football; Seattle lost by 7, more than the +3.5 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Texans plus six and a half”
NE 27, HOU 20 — Patriots beat Texans 27-20; Houston lost by 7, more than the +6.5 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I think the Giants win. I'm going to take them plus three.”
JAX 20, NYG 15 — Jaguars beat Giants 20-15; New York lost by 5, more than the +3 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Ravens minus seven.”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Ravens routed Bills 47-3, a 44-point margin that easily covers the -7 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Vikings minus six.”
MIN 24, SF 16 — Vikings beat 49ers 24-16, an 8-point margin that covers the -6 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Jets plus six and a half at the Lions.”
DET 17, NYJ 48 — Jets blew out Lions 48-17 on Monday Night Football, a 31-point margin that easily covers the +6.5 line (ESPN box score).