“I like the over 9.5 for the Chargers.”
The Herd with Colin Cowherd
iHeartPodcasts and The Volume · tracking: Full Episode
Bankroll
Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 53 settled daysPicks
187 total · 19 pending“I like the Chiefs under 10 and a half.”
“Browns over five and a half,”
“I like the under on the Ravens.”
“it would be Giants over seven and a half.”
“Under on Green Bay.”
“I like the over 7-1 on the Saints.”
“Finally, the Jets under 5.5.”
“Rams are 11 and a half. I would take the over.”
“I actually see value in betting a team at like plus 225, like the Denver Broncos in this division.”
“I kind of like the Colts to go under this season.”
“The under 7.5 for the Colts.”
“i love the over nine and a half yes for the chargers here”
“I'm sorry, under 10 and a half.”
“that's why they're four and a half point favorites and a lot of money has come in overwhelmingly on seattle i think it's low scoring i'm going to take the points”
“But if he and Aaron Rodgers next year together, I'll take the over on wins at 9 or 10. I really will.”
“Right today, I would take the Patriots and the points. I think four and a half, five points for this.”
“Their over-under is only going to be about ten... One of the best bets on the board is take Detroit's over.”
“I talked about this all week, that I like the Pittsburgh side. And the staff knows in my Blazing Five, this was my last one I pulled out. This was my second favorite bet. Three and a half, I thought it was great.”
“I also, full disclosure, have, you know, very, very smart, sharp, long-term futures on Brazil.”
Brazil was eliminated from the 2026 World Cup, losing 2-1 to Norway in the Round of 16. (Norway def. Brazil 2-1 (Round of 16))
“I will be betting us to beat Belgium as well.”
USA lost 1-4 to Belgium in the Round of 16 (2026-07-06); moneyline loses. (USA 1-4 Belgium)
“So I bet the under, under two and a half goals.”
USA 2, AUS 0 — Combined 2; under 2.5 covers.
“So I'll go Knicks win and cover.”
CLE 93, NY 130 — New York Knicks margin +37 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Spurs money line to win the game outright.”
OKC 115, SA 122 — San Antonio Spurs won; moneyline covers.
“Okay, I would take the Pistons to keep it close.”
CLE 94, DET 115 — Detroit Pistons margin +21 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I think I would take the Spurs.”
MIN 109, SA 139 — San Antonio Spurs won; moneyline covers.
“I'll take the Rockets by four.”
HOU 78, LAL 98 — Houston Rockets margin -20 vs line -4; busts.
“Texans hit Chargers. I like the Texans plus two and a half.”
Texans beat Chargers 20-16 outright, easily covering +2.5. (Texans 20, Chargers 16)
“Seahawks at Panthers. [5:41] I wish it was seven and a half, [5:43] but I'll take it at seven. [5:44] Panthers at home, fighting to win the NFC South. [5:48] One game lead over Tampa. [5:50] I'm taking the points.”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“Eagles hit Bills. I'm in the minority. I like Philly plus two and a half.”
BUF 12, PHI 13 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Bears at 49ers. I like Chicago with extra rest plus three.”
SF 42, CHI 38 — Chicago Bears margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“Cardinals hit Bengals. I like the over 53-and-a-half.”
CIN 37, ARI 14 — Combined 51; over 53.5 busts.
“Backers at Bears. I like the Bears at home, minus one and a half.”
CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Vikings and Giants. Upset. I like New York here.”
Cowherd's outright upset pick on the Giants failed — Minnesota beat New York 16-13 on a late field goal. (Vikings 16, Giants 13)
“Bengals and Dolphins. Maybe my favorite pick of the week, I'll take Cincinnati minus 4.5.”
MIA 21, CIN 45 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +24 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Patriots and Ravens. I don't get this line. I'm going to take the Patriots and the field goal.”
Patriots beat Ravens outright 28-24, easily covering +field goal (+3). (Patriots 28, Ravens 24)
“49ers hit Colts. Maybe you haven't listened to J-Mac, but I like the Niners here, minus 5.5.”
49ers beat the Colts 48-27, a 21-point margin that comfortably covers -5.5. (49ers 48, Colts 27 (margin 21))
“I think the Bengals at home as a dog is a sharp bet.”
No spread number was ever stated, but the Bengals were shut out 24-0 at home by the Ravens — no realistic home-dog number survives a 24-point shutout loss. (Ravens 24, Bengals 0)
“Lions hit Rams. Rams minus 5.5 is the play. My favorite bet.”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Panthers at Saints. I like the Panthers. Minus two and a half is a road favorite.”
NO 20, CAR 17 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Packers and Broncos. I like Green Bay minus two and a half.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Colts at Seahawks. Take the under 42-and-a-half.”
SEA 18, IND 16 — Combined 34; under 42.5 covers.
“Buccaneers and Bills. I like Buffalo at home minus five and a half.”
BUF 44, TB 32 — Buffalo Bills margin +12 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Seahawks and Rams. Wise guys may not agree with me. I'll take Seattle plus three.”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“49ers and Cardinals. Ah, Brock Purdy's playing. I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
ARI 22, SF 41 — San Francisco 49ers margin +19 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Ravens and Browns. I like the Browns plus 8.5.”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I think they're going to win this game and cover 28-24.”
Eagles beat the Lions 16-9 on Sunday Night Football, covering easily as -2.5 home favorites. (Eagles 16, Lions 9)
“49ers at Giants. I like the Niners minus two and a half at the Giants without Scadaboo.”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I take the road favorite minus two and a half since week four.”
CIN 42, CHI 47 — Chicago Bears margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I like the over 52 and a half points.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Combined 49; over 52.5 busts.
“I'm going to take the Commanders plus 3.5 at home.”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Washington Commanders margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“going to take Dallas minus half”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -0.5; busts.
“I like Cleveland at home, minus 2-1.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Denver to win 28-20, cover the spread.”
Cowherd's '28-20' was his own score prediction, not the bet line; used the closing market line, Broncos -7 (some books -8.5) over Giants. Broncos survived 33-32 on a walk-off FG, winning outright by only 1 point — nowhere near covering as a touchdown-plus favorite. (Broncos 33, Giants 32)
“Take the over 54-and-a-half.”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Combined 66; over 54.5 covers.
“I think Green Bay wins. I'm taking the seven. It's moved up to seven.”
ARI 23, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin +4 vs line -7; busts.
“One of my favorite bets of the weekend. I like the Lions to win in cover.”
Cowherd's '28-21' was his own score prediction, not the bet line; used the closing market line, Lions -6 (some books -6.5) over Bucs. Lions won 24-9, a 15-point margin, covering easily. (Lions 24, Buccaneers 9)
“Seattle plus one and a half. Go Moneyline. They're going to win this puppy outright.”
JAX 12, SEA 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +8 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Take the under Patriots Saints under 45 and a half points.”
NO 19, NE 25 — Combined 44; under 45.5 covers.
“I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I like the Raiders minus three and a half.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“My favorite bet of the week is the Commanders minus 4.5.”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I like the Colts at home to win and cover.”
IND 40, LV 6 — Indianapolis Colts margin +34 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I like the Jets when the numbers plus three”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm taking the hook. Denver plus three and a half is the side I'm on.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Seahawks minus the three to win and cover 28 to 23.”
SEA 35, TB 38 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I like the over 41 and a half”
ARI 21, TEN 22 — Combined 43; over 41.5 covers.
“My favorite game of the weekend is Titans at home plus five and a half against the Rams. That's my favorite pick of the week.”
TEN 19, LAR 33 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But, like, I picked Seattle to win their division.”
Seahawks won the NFC West at 14-3, their first division title since 2020, and went on to win Super Bowl LX. (Seahawks 2025: 14-3, NFC West champs, No. 1 seed)
“I like the number better when it was minus four, but I'll take the Lions minus four and a half.”
NO 28, DET 33 — Detroit Lions margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm taking Tim Boyle and the Jets plus one and a half.”
NYJ 8, ATL 13 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I like the Niners minus two and a half.”
PHI 19, SF 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Rams minus three and a half, meaning, you know, Cleveland's the side.”
NE 0, LAC 6 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the team playing for more with a star quarterback against a backup, a water pistol offense.”
JAX 31, CIN 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -8; busts.
- Detroit Lions -4 closed -4 · CLV 0
- Los Angeles Chargers -6 closed -4.5 · CLV -1.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars
“And I'll take the Jaguars hosting the Bengals.”
Parlay lost: Lions -4 covered (won 33-28) and Chargers -6 pushed (won 6-0 exactly), but Jaguars lost outright to Bengals 31-34 in OT, sinking the parlay. (Lions 33-28 Saints (won); Chargers 6-0 Patriots (push at -6); Bengals 34-31 Jaguars OT (lost))
- Cincinnati Bengals +1 closed +2 · CLV -1 pending
- Indianapolis Colts -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1 closed +3 · CLV -2 lost
“I'll take the Colts, offensive coach, off a bye, Gardner Minshew, minus two and a half, hosting the Bucs.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Bengals +1 +1 — pending; Indianapolis Colts -2.5 -2.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +1 +1 — lost.
“I loved it when it was at 10, but I'll take the Bears plus 7.5.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll take the Dolphins minus 12.5 in a blowout.”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +7 vs line -12.5; busts.
“Seahawks and Rams. I've shifted in the last 12 hours. I'm gonna take the Rams plus one.”
GB 23, LAC 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“I like this game. Bills minus 7. I'm going to take it.”
BUF 32, NYJ 6 — Buffalo Bills margin +26 vs line -7; covers.
“Eagles at Chiefs. Wise guys like Kansas City. I like Philly plus 2.5.”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 closed -6.5 · CLV 0 won
- Seattle Seahawks -1 closed +1.5 · CLV -2.5 lost
- Denver Broncos -2 closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
“I'll take a minus six and a half to cover at home against the Titans.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 -6.5 — won; Seattle Seahawks -1 -1 — lost; Denver Broncos -2 -2 — lost.
- Detroit Lions -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
- Arizona Cardinals +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1 won
- Dallas Cowboys -16 closed -17.5 · CLV +1.5 won
“I'll take the Cardinals at home, plus one and a half against Atlanta.”
Parlay cashes: Detroit Lions -2.5 -2.5 — won; Arizona Cardinals +1.5 +1.5 — won; Dallas Cowboys -16 -16 — won.
“I am officially taking the Cowboys-Eagles game.”
Eagles beat the Cowboys 28-23 as roughly 3-point favorites, covering the spread. (Final: Philadelphia Eagles 28, Dallas Cowboys 23)
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 closed -7.5 · CLV +5 won
- Baltimore Ravens -6 closed -6.5 · CLV +0.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 closed -2 · CLV -0.5 won
“Now for my parlay pick of the week via DraftKings Sportsbook Dolphins at the Chiefs Kansas City overseas minus two and a half”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Baltimore Ravens -6 -6 — won; Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“I'm going to take the Ravens minus three at home.”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -3; covers.
“I'll take the Giants plus three.”
NYG 14, WSH 7 — New York Giants margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“Chargers at Chiefs Upset of the week Chargers plus five and a half to win straight out”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'll take Philly minus two and a half to win in cover at home.”
PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“49ers minus 7 I'll take it”
MIN 22, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -7; busts.
- Buffalo Bills -9 closed -7.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 lost
- Philadelphia Eagles -2 closed -3 · CLV +1 won
“Chargers at the Chiefs all take the Chargers plus five and a half.”
Parlay busts: Buffalo Bills -9 -9 — lost; Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 +5.5 — lost; Philadelphia Eagles -2 -2 — won.
“I love the Ravens minus four. You know I love favorites when the number's four.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin +8 vs line -4; covers.
“I love this one. I'm taking the Bengals minus two and a half.”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Vikings at Bears. Bears plus three.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Saints at Texas. I don't get this line. I'm taking the Saints minus one and a half.”
HOU 20, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Cowboys at Chargers. I'll take the Chargers plus two and a half.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- Cincinnati Bengals -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 won
- Washington Commanders +2.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +1 won
“I'm going to take the Commanders plus two and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Jacksonville Jaguars -4 -4 — won; Cincinnati Bengals -3 -3 — won; Washington Commanders +2.5 +2.5 — won.
“I am buying the Lions probably at the top of the market here. Favored on the road”
Lions went into Tampa Bay as road favorites and won 20-6, covering any realistic short-favorite number. (Final: Detroit Lions 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6)
- Philadelphia Eagles -4 closed -4 · CLV 0 won
- New York Jets +2 lost
- Dallas Cowboys +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
“If you want to take the Herd Parlay, check out DraftKings Sportsbook.”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles -4 -4 — won; New York Jets +2 +2 — lost; Dallas Cowboys +3.5 +3.5 — lost.
- Washington Commanders +8 closed +9.5 · CLV -1.5 pending
- Cleveland Browns -2.5 closed +2 · CLV -4.5 lost
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed -1 · CLV +2 won
“If you want to take the herd parlay, check out DraftKings Sportsbook.”
Parlay busts: Washington Commanders +8 +8 — pending; Cleveland Browns -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Los Angeles Rams +1 +1 — won.
- Los Angeles Chargers +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
- Pittsburgh Steelers +3 closed +3 · CLV 0 won
- Los Angeles Rams +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
“If you want to take the herd parlay, check out DraftKings Sportsbook.”
Parlay cashes: Los Angeles Chargers +1 +1 — won; Pittsburgh Steelers +3 +3 — won; Los Angeles Rams +1 +1 — won.
“I like the New York Giants minus 5.5 at Arizona.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“this is so far my biggest bet of the weekend. I like the Bills significantly in this game.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -8.5; covers.
“That's why I got four dogs. If you're not on the Browns, it's not too late either. I'll take a money line as well.”
Cleveland beat Cincinnati 24-3 outright as a small home underdog (~+1.5/+2), so the Browns spread pick won. (Browns 24, Bengals 3)
“I'll take a money line as well.”
CLE 24, CIN 3 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“I have the under in this game”
Cowboys beat Giants 40-0 (40 combined points) against a 44.5 total, so the Under won. (Cowboys 40, Giants 0 (total 40))
“I did piggyback them. The line's now five. Denver's now up to five.”
DEN 16, LV 17 — Denver Broncos margin -1 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going Texas Moneyline in that one.”
ALA 24, TEX 34 — Texas Longhorns won; moneyline covers.
“I do think Buccaneers under 6.5 is a very savvy bet because I think their early schedule is bad.”
Buccaneers finished 2023 with 9 wins, over the 6.5 under line. (9-8)
“I'm going to go, you know, I'm going to put a mortgage payment on the under, right? That seems like the move.”
Patriots finished the 2023 season 4-13, well under 7.5 wins. (4-13)
“I'm taking the Rams plus 5.5.”
LAC 34, MIA 36 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Oh, Colts plus three and a half at home.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“New England plus four. Again, no Shane Steichen.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm currently seeing 49ers minus two and a half.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — San Francisco 49ers margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I get the Giants at home three and a half.”
NYG 0, DAL 40 — New York Giants margin -40 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I mean, I'm betting it when I get to Vegas here in a couple weeks.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 NFL MVP award, not Joe Burrow. (Lamar Jackson, 49 of 50 first-place votes)
“I did put a couple bucks on Jamal Murray to win the MVP, just a couple, you know, a long shot bet.”
Nikola Jokic won 2023 NBA Finals MVP, not Jamal Murray. (Jokic unanimous Finals MVP)
“I'm betting the over.”
Texans finished the 2023 regular season 10-7, over 6.5 wins. (10-7)
“I bet the Nuggets tonight, yeah.”
DEN 104, MIA 93 — Denver Nuggets margin +11 vs line -9; covers.
“Probably the under.”
Patriots finished the 2023 season 4-13, well under 7.5 wins. (4-13)
“The Cleveland Browns have a win total of 9.5 in Vegas. I don't buy it. I'm a seller on it.”
Browns finished the 2023 season 11-6, well over the 9.5 win total (McIntyre bet the under). (Cleveland Browns 2023: 11-6)
“I would bet the over.”
Saints finished the 2023 season 9-8, under the 9.5 win total. (New Orleans Saints 2023: 9-8)
“I'll take Seattle plus 9.5 to cover.”
SF 41, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin -18 vs line +9.5; busts.
“i will now take the jaguars plus two and a half”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I hate big favorites, but I'm going to roll the Bills minus 13 and a half.”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I have to take the Ravens plus 9.5.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like the Cowboys. Minus two and a half.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Dallas Cowboys margin +17 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Cowboys minus five at Jacksonville as one of my blazing five.”
Cowboys lost outright to the Jaguars 34-40 in OT in Week 15 2022, failing to cover -5. (Jaguars 40, Cowboys 34 (OT))
“I got Arizona plus points tonight at home.”
Cardinals lost 13-27 to the Patriots on MNF, a 14-point margin well beyond the ~1.5-point line they were getting. (Patriots 27, Cardinals 13)
“I'm going to take Detroit at home minus two.”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
“Pittsburgh minus two is the side.”
PIT 14, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line -2; busts.
“I like Cleveland plus 5.5.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Panthers plus four and a half.”
SEA 24, CAR 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'll take Arizona Monday night football at home plus two.”
ARI 13, NE 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2; busts.
“I'll take Carolina plus three and a half second straight home game.”
CAR 26, NO 7 — Carolina Panthers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the Colts plus three and a half.”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Eagles plus three with an upset.”
PHI 11, SF 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Take the Steelers minus 6.5 against the Raiders.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the Chargers minus three and a half.”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Trevor Lawrence under 4,175 passing yards.”
Trevor Lawrence threw for 3,641 yards in his 2021 rookie season, well under 4,175.5. (Trevor Lawrence 2021: 3,641 pass yds)
“Bet the over Fox bet on those passing yards.”
Zach Wilson threw for only 2,334 yards in his injury-shortened 2021 rookie season, well under 3,850.5. (Zach Wilson 2021: 2,334 pass yds)
“It'll be close, but I would bet the under on 4,075 yards.”
Mac Jones threw for 3,801 yards in his 2021 rookie season, under 4,075.5. (Mac Jones 2021: 3,801 pass yds)
“You would bet the over on that”
Trevor Lawrence threw only 12 TD passes in 2021, well under 24.5. (Trevor Lawrence 2021: 12 pass TD)
“Over 21.5 touchdown passes for Zach Wilson.”
Zach Wilson threw only 9 TD passes in 2021, well under 21.5. (Zach Wilson 2021: 9 pass TD)
“way better defense and way better running game you would bet the under on that”
Mac Jones threw 22 TD passes in 2021, under 25.5. (Mac Jones 2021: 22 pass TD)
“Trevor Lawrence over 13 and a half picks.”
Trevor Lawrence threw an NFL-leading 17 interceptions in 2021, over 13.5. (Trevor Lawrence 2021: 17 INT)
“Zach Wilson over under 13 and a half interceptions this season That an over bet”
Zach Wilson threw 11 interceptions in his injury-shortened 2021 season, under 13.5. (Zach Wilson 2021: 11 INT)
“I'm going to go under on this, and here's the reason why.”
Mac Jones threw 13 interceptions in 2021, under 14.5. (Mac Jones 2021: 13 INT)
“The Fresno State Bulldogs and the points.”
Fresno State routed UConn 45-0 in Week 0 2021, covering any reasonable interpretation of the spread (Fresno State was actually a -27.5 favorite and won by 45). (Fresno State 45, UConn 0)
“Give me San Jose State and the points.”
San Jose State beat Southern Utah 45-14 in Week 0 2021, comfortably covering. (San Jose State 45, Southern Utah 14)
“I'm going to take Nebraska in this one.”
Nebraska lost outright to Illinois 22-30 in Week 0 2021, failing to cover -7. (Illinois 30, Nebraska 22)
“I'm going to go take the under.”
Illinois beat Nebraska 30-22, a combined 52 points, under the 54 total. (Combined score: 52 (Illinois 30, Nebraska 22))
“I like the under in UCLA and Hawaii.”
UCLA beat Hawaii 44-10, a combined 54 points, under the 67.5 total. (Combined score: 54 (UCLA 44, Hawaii 10))
“I'd take them to cover, not to win. They're a 10-point dog playing at home in Las Cruces.”
New Mexico State lost to UTEP 3-30, a 27-point margin that blew past the +10 cushion. (UTEP 30, New Mexico State 3)
“I'm going to go Suns in seven.”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
“I've been betting on games in the playoffs for Fox, picking every game. I think this one's a layup. The Bucs win.”
Bucks beat the Hawks 118-107 in Game 6 (July 3, 2021) to close out the East finals 4-2 — moneyline won. (Bucks 118, Hawks 107)
“Going to bet Milwaukee, game one, and series.”
BKN 115, MIL 107 — Milwaukee Bucks lost; moneyline busts.
“Going to bet Milwaukee, game one, and series.”
Bucks beat the Nets 4-3 (Game 7, June 19, 2021) in the East semis — series won. (Bucks def. Nets 4-3)
“i got brooklyn in the long in a seven game series”
Bucks beat the Nets 4-3 in 7 games (June 19, 2021); Nets lost the series — the 7-game call was right but the pick was on the wrong team. (Bucks def. Nets 4-3)
“Milwaukee Bucs in seven.”
Bucks beat the Nets 4-3 in exactly 7 games (June 19, 2021) — both the series winner and the game count called correctly. (Bucks def. Nets 4-3)
“I like the Hawks in an upset.”
Hawks upset the 76ers 4-3 (Game 7, June 20, 2021) — series won as picked. (Hawks def. 76ers 4-3)
“I like the suns in five, Colin.”
Suns swept the Nuggets 4-0 (clinched June 13, 2021) — the series winner was correct as picked; the sweep took 4 games rather than the 5 called, but the quote reads as a series-length lean, not an exact-games wager, so the series call is graded won. (Suns def. Nuggets 4-0)
“I actually like Dallas by double digits tonight.”
Clippers beat the Mavericks 104-97 on June 4, 2021; Dallas lost outright (exact double-digit number never stated on air), so the spread pick lost regardless of the number used. (Clippers 104, Mavericks 97)
“I'll take the Wizards.”
WSH 142, IND 115 — Washington Wizards won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking the heat in the series.”
Bucks swept the Heat 4-0 in the first round (clinched May 29, 2021); Heat lost the series. (Bucks def. Heat 4-0)
“I think they're the best over bet.”
Browns finished the 2021 season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line. (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“So I would take Seattle in the points in week one.”
Seahawks beat the Colts outright 28-16 in Week 1 2021, easily covering +3. (Seahawks 28, Colts 16)
“I would take Atlanta minus one and a half against Philadelphia.”
Falcons were blown out by the Eagles 6-32 in Week 1 2021, nowhere close to covering -1.5. (Eagles 32, Falcons 6)
“I would actually take the Cowboys plus four and a half against Tampa”
Cowboys lost the season opener to Tampa Bay 29-31, a margin within +4.5. (Buccaneers 31, Cowboys 29)
“I'd probably take the Washington football team.”
Washington lost outright to the Chargers 16-20 in Week 1 2021, so the pick-em bet lost. (Chargers 20, Washington 16)
“So I would take Kansas City minus four and a half.”
Chiefs beat the Browns 33-29, winning by only 4, short of the -4.5 line. (Chiefs 33, Browns 29)
“I'd bet the over on the Chargers.”
No number was stated on air; using the market's preseason closing win total of 8.5, the Chargers finished 9-8 in 2021 — over won.
“And the Browns at 9.5, I would bet the over.”
Browns finished the 2021 season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line. (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“I have Cleveland over nine and a half”
Browns finished the 2021 season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line. (Cleveland Browns 2021: 8-9)
“Dolphins over eight and a half they won 10 last year”
Dolphins finished the 2021 season 9-8, over the 8.5-win line. (Miami Dolphins 2021: 9-8)
“So it was like a six-point spread. I took Colorado.”
Colorado routed Georgetown 96-73 (margin of 23), easily covering the -6 spread. (Colorado 96, Georgetown 73)
“I'm going to take Buffalo minus six and a half here.”
BUF 27, IND 24 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“But L.A. plus three and a half, I'll take them.”
SEA 20, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I would take Washington plus eight.”
WSH 23, TB 31 — Washington margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.
“28-23, Saints win, but I take the Bears side.”
NO 21, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -12 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Pittsburgh minus six.”
PIT 37, CLE 48 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -11 vs line -6; busts.
“I'll take Clemson by like a point or two, but I think Ohio State's the side.”
Ohio State won outright 49-28 over Clemson in the Sugar Bowl; Clemson closed a -7.5 favorite (no exact number stated on air, recovered from the market closing line) — Ohio State +points won easily.
“I would take the Falcons here.”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Atlanta Falcons margin -15 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Philadelphia is absolutely the play here, plus three and a half.”
CLE 22, PHI 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'll take the Colts minus 2.5.”
IND 34, GB 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take Kansas City minus 8.5.”
LV 31, KC 35 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +4 vs line -8.5; busts.
“I'm going to take Tampa Bay minus 4.5.”
TB 24, LAR 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.