“[36:30] Wait, wins what? The Super Bowl again? [36:32] Absolutely. [36:32] Oh, stop it. Come on. [36:34] Lost their offensive coordinator? [36:37] Quarterback led the league in turnovers last year in the regular season? [36:40] Huh? [36:41] Wins the Super Bowl again? [36:43] Yeah. [36:43] I mean, we can make it a jet ski or two if you want. [36:46] I know you're a gambling man. [36:47] I feel very strongly about it. [36:48] Okay. [36:49] That's a deal. [36:50] We shook on it.”
Jason McIntyre
Analyst · 6-3 on settled picks
Bankroll
Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 8 settled daysPicks
20 total · 11 pending“[4:44] In the AFC West, this is risky because of the net differential in scheduling and rest days. [4:51] I'm going Chargers. [4:53] Justin Herbert and Mike McDaniel, I think, like the world on fire. [4:56] I will have a Justin Herbert MVP ticket just for fun. [5:00] I like the Chargers a lot.”
“[3:37] All right, let's go to some over-under picks [3:39] for the upcoming NFL season. [3:41] We're going to start with a guy who lives near me. [3:44] You know, I see him. [3:44] Not quite a neighbor, but he's in the neighborhood. [3:47] Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions over 10.5 wins.”
“[4:41] And the first under is the New England Patriots under 10 and a half wins. Okay. We know they had [4:49] one of the best schedules last year in this century in the NFL.”
“[6:24] The real question is Sean Mannion's play calling. [6:27] And the more you start to read about what he wants to do, [6:29] it's starting to sound like not going to be a tush push kind of year for the Eagles. [6:34] That being said, I still like them over 10 and a half wins. [6:38] I have them winning the NFC East.”
“[7:31] And again, the Davis Webb, Sean Payton stuff that we just talked to James Palmer about [7:35] is very interesting. [7:37] That is probably the most interesting head coach, offensive coordinator subplot to watch. [7:42] So I'm going under 9.5 wins on the Denver Broncos.”
“[8:30] And I do believe we're just going to see him hopefully only play one side of the ball [8:34] where he can specialize. [8:36] I like Trevor Lawrence. [8:37] Over eight and a half wins for Jacksonville for me.”
“[8:37] Over eight and a half wins for Jacksonville for me. [8:39] And finally, we're going to the New Orleans Saints, and I'm going to go under seven and a half. This is mostly a fade the public. Why? Everybody likes New Orleans. Everybody likes Tyler Shuck. Now, if you look at some of the data, what we're hearing for the last two decades is there is zero correlation between late season surge and the next season, which kind of hurts Jacksonville, but I digress.”
“Colin, I don't see it for the Colts. If you start 0-5, just forget about it. Write the season off. The problem is the Jets have their pick. So I am doubly invested. The under 7.5 for the Colts. Oh, yeah. Okay? I feel like I don't see the path to five wins for them, and the Jets get their pick.”
“i love the over nine and a half yes for the chargers here”
“Oh I look forward to this Your boy Brock Purdy Headline for the Niners This is a tough one because I got a lot of friends who are niners fans they like how i joined the bandwagon and i a purdy guy and i give you a little some some jabs every time you come at purdy this season is gonna be a tough one the headline for the 49ers this season will be the fourth and niners sf can forget about 10 wins colin you see the weather report there under 10 and a half seems like a lock yeah so this is the most travel it looks like in NFL history 38,000 miles that's a little crazy now some of the numbers here Colin I didn't realize so McCaffrey turns 30 this summer okay he just had the most touches in his NFL career oh 413 wow so allegedly the magic number used to be 370 if you hit that many touches next season was gonna be rough he destroyed that with 413 that's not great and then I looked up Trent Williams he's starting 38 this summer he is kind of a single point of failure for this offense he is if anything happens to him he's out for a couple weeks they're kind of cooked now I like you know Mike Evans new addition yeah we'll see Kirk good player yeah Ray Greenlaw very good linebacker but like you said they're old they kind of need that opener against the Rams they do because then you can start three you know they'll beat the Dolphins and Cardinals those will be those will be wins um I the first half of the season is manageable second half is tough and for an old team late in the season to have Rams, Chargers, Chiefs, Eagles. I mean, that's a December gauntlet you do not want to make. So we'll see a couple trips to the East Coast. I don't know, man. I'm sorry, under 10 and a half.”
“The Knicks, two and a half point favorites tonight versus the Cavaliers. New York, of course, has won 10 straight playoff games. Really, since the fourth quarter of game one, they've dominated this series. So who wins game four tonight? Knicks 109, Cavs 97. So I'll go Knicks win and cover.”
CLE 93, NY 130 — Knicks routed the Cavaliers 130-93 to complete a sweep and reach the NBA Finals; New York's -2.5 spread covers by a 37-point margin (ESPN).
“So Bills minus eight and a half There has been Raiders money coming in in this game Colin this is so far my biggest bet of the weekend I like the Bills significantly in this game”
LV 10, BUF 38 — Bills beat Raiders 38-10, winning by 28, comfortably covering the -8.5 line (ESPN box score).
“So, you know, there's some of these groups in gambling who are, you know, big money. They went heavy on the Denver Broncos this morning. I did piggyback them. The line's now five. Denver's now up to five. And then this happened. Well, this just happened in the last 20 minutes. The bet was earlier. I don't know. Denver minus four.”
DEN 16, LV 17 — Raiders beat Broncos 17-16 in Week 1; Denver's -1 margin busts the -4 spread (ESPN box score).
“I did put a couple bucks on Jamal Murray to win the MVP, just a couple, you know, a long shot bet.”
Nikola Jokic was unanimously named 2023 NBA Finals MVP, not Jamal Murray (Wikipedia, 2023 NBA Finals). (Jokic unanimous Finals MVP)
“Well, I mean, I watched that. We watched that game. All right, here we go. The headline will be, Br-ro-ro, Bengals win too close for comfort. So I'm going with a close Bengals win. Bottom line, I bet the Panthers in this one. Getting seven and a half.”
CIN 42, CAR 21 — Bengals beat Panthers 42-21; Carolina +7.5 loses by 21, busts the cover (ESPN box score).
“Jason McIntyre is joining me today. Very interesting time for your New York Jets. Not just because of your quarterback's dating life. There's a lot of hope there. How do you feel this morning about your Jets? Optimism, baby. Give me the over on the Jets win total, Colin. Let's pound it. What is it? I think it's six and a half. They're a seven or eight win team. That's a very good offense.”
The Jets finished the 2022 regular season 7-10, so the over 6.5 season win total bet won.
“I will say, I wrote for FoxSports.com a year ago when they signed Matt Stafford. The Rams are going to be the favorite to win the NFC. Bet on them plus 1,300 to win the Super Bowl. So I'm sitting on a nice little payday if the Rams can deliver.”
LAR 23-20 CIN — Rams beat the Bengals 23-20 in Super Bowl LVI on Feb 13, 2022, so McIntyre's +1300 futures bet on the Rams to win the Super Bowl cashed.
“Rams outright. I had them on the money line. I took the points.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Rams beat the Buccaneers 30-27 on a Matt Gay field goal as time expired in the NFC Divisional Round; Los Angeles won outright, so the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Tomorrow's headlines today. Bills at the Chiefs. Man, Jeannie likes Buffalo. Yeah. A lot of guys like Buffalo, Colin. The headline will be Bills get a taste of some Mahomes cooking. I like Pat Mahomes here. I know it's kind of a weird pick because everybody, like you said, Mangini likes Buffalo. A lot of professional gamblers are on Buffalo. This was two and a half, and it's now down to two and one and a half. And I just look at the Kansas City Chiefs, and I say, wait a minute. In the earlier meeting, Chris Jones did not play. Josh Allen had a monster game. It was played in a monsoon. There's not going to be any weather here. There's just going to be straight up Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes dealing against a Buffalo defense that's finally going to missed that star cornerback, Tredavious White. Remember, they have faced one quarterback, Colin, since White went out that was dangerous. It was Tom Brady. He had 360 yards passing and some touchdowns, and they win in overtime. And Tampa dominated that game. I think this Buffalo defense a little bit overrated. And I hear this. They're built to stop Kansas City. And Colin, they can handle Kelsey. They've got Milano, the linebacker, and two all-pro safeties. Colin, Travis Kelsey had 12 for like a buck 20 and two touchdowns last year in the AFC championship team. Like this is the Kansas City offense that we expected to see all year. Give me the Chiefs winning. I went fairly significant on the bet here, and I'll eat my words if Buffalo comes up, but I like Kansas City.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Chiefs beat the Bills 42-36 in overtime in the AFC Divisional Round; Kansas City won outright, so the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).