Nick Wright

“week, you said the smart money was on France to win it all at plus five twenty five, and Norway was a fun long shot at plus 2,500. What other bets have you had your eye on? I mean, we got go ahead. Sorry. Yeah. Go ahead. No. You go. We we got Brazil at plus 800. Norway at plus 2,500. So Norway was the so here's I I'm just gonna tell you the bets I have made. I am rooting for Brazil. I am picking Brazil. Yes. France might be the smart money. I I like Brazil's manager. Once you know, one time in my life, I've played cards with Neymar, so I like him. Wow. When did that happen? The Where were you at? Were you in Brazil? In Vegas. He's a big no. He's a he's a huge poker player. That'd be okay. The and, you know, you know who he plays cards with all the time with some buddies of mine, but not me. This game's a little big for me. Jimmy Butler. Neymar and Jimmy Butler play play poker together all the time. Hell yeah. So I am my pick and my bet is on Brazil, but I did have I do have a little sprinkle on Norway.”

Brazil eliminated in the Round of 16 (lost 2-1 to Norway); cannot win the World Cup.

“week, you said the smart money was on France to win it all at plus five twenty five, and Norway was a fun long shot at plus 2,500. What other bets have you had your eye on? I mean, we got go ahead. Sorry. Yeah. Go ahead. No. You go. We we got Brazil at plus 800. Norway at plus 2,500. So Norway was the so here's I I'm just gonna tell you the bets I have made. I am rooting for Brazil. I am picking Brazil. Yes. France might be the smart money. I I like Brazil's manager. Once you know, one time in my life, I've played cards with Neymar, so I like him. Wow. When did that happen? The Where were you at? Were you in Brazil? In Vegas. He's a big no. He's a he's a huge poker player. That'd be okay. The and, you know, you know who he plays cards with all the time with some buddies of mine, but not me. This game's a little big for me. Jimmy Butler. Neymar and Jimmy Butler play play poker together all the time. Hell yeah. So I am my pick and my bet is on Brazil, but I did have I do have a little sprinkle on Norway. Norway has not made the World Cup in Erling Haaland's lifetime. But the the reason to pick and I'm not gonna act like I know a ton about the Norwegian team. Here's what I know about their team. They might have the best player in the world, and maybe he just goes on a magical run. So at 25 to one, I don't mind it.”

Norway was eliminated 2-1 after extra time by England in the World Cup quarterfinal and did not win the tournament; the future loses. (England 2, Norway 1 (AET).)

“I said I'm picking Brazil. Brazil's seven to one on Hardrock Bet.”

Brazil eliminated in the Round of 16 (lost 2-1 to Norway); cannot win the World Cup.

“My picks for this evening are [1:15:17] Denver wins,”

MIN 110, DEN 98 — Denver Nuggets lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm looking right now. That is not enough. Okay, I'm batting the Magic. It's Magic minus 255. That is not enough. The Pistons are not winning three straight games.”

Despite Orlando's 3-1 lead, Detroit won three straight to take the series in 7 games, winning Game 7 116-94 on May 3, 2026. (Pistons won series 4-3 (Game 7: 116-94))

“I will take Denver over Minnesota in six.”

Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 4-2 in the first round, so Denver did not win in 6.

“Boston over Philly in six.”

76ers beat the Celtics 4-3 in the first round, so Boston did not win in 6.

“I take the Knicks over the Hawks in seven”

Knicks beat the Hawks 4-2, winning the series but in 6 games, not the predicted 7.

“I will take the Cavs over the Raptors in six.”

Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1, winning the series but in 5 games, not the predicted 6.

“The one non-awesome round two series is the Thunder playing the Rockets. This, I think, could be a very quick series for OKC. OKC over Houston in a gentleman's sweep”

Houston lost in the first round (Lakers won 4-2), so the predicted Thunder-over-Rockets second-round sweep never occurred; OKC swept the Lakers in the West semis instead.

“Denver over the Spurs in six games”

Denver lost in the first round (Timberwolves won 4-2), so the predicted Nuggets-over-Spurs second-round series never occurred; Spurs beat the Timberwolves 4-2 in the West semis.

“Detroit over Cleveland in six.”

Cavaliers beat the Pistons 4-3 in the East semifinals, so Detroit did not win in 6 (or at all).

“Eastern Conference Finals, not quite as much of an epic. Boston beats Detroit in six. To set up a Boston-Denver NBA Finals”

Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 Eastern Conference; the New York Knicks did.

“Jason Tatum, Jalen Brown, and the Boston Celtics win the NBA championship.”

Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 NBA championship; the New York Knicks did (4-1 over the Spurs).

“Finals MVP, in a true storybook, I'm going Jason Tatum.”

Jayson Tatum did not win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.

“that Boston could be pretty well positioned. And I understand, listen, Vegas disagrees with me. Vegas has, our friends at Hard Rock Bet has Boston at plus 550 and OKC at damn near even money. Hard Rock Bet is almost putting OKC versus the field. They're plus 120, so they only have the field as tiny favorites over OKC. I think Boston at plus 550 is a bet.”

Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 NBA championship; the New York Knicks did (4-1 over the Spurs).

“Yeah, Rom, I don't remember that one. No, but Jon Rom, it was, I think you were there. Maybe I'm wrong, but I mean, I know I was watching with family. I had bet on Jon Rahm Sunday of the Masters, and he ended up finishing it off. Now, since then, he hasn't come close. But he's who I'm rooting for, and he's who I bet on, and he's my pick.”

2026 Masters was won by Rory McIlroy. Jon Rahm finished T38 (+1), so the outright lost.

“But I would be rolling with both underdogs on this one, and they're both tiny underdogs. Arizona plus one-and-a-half and UConn plus one-and-a-half would be my two picks.”

ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Arizona Wildcats margin -18 vs line +1.5; busts.

“so I'm gonna pile on more on Houston Houston to win the South at plus 110”

Houston (+110) to win the South region. Houston lost the South region final (Elite Eight) to Illinois 65-55. Bet lost.

“Houston to win the whole thing at 9-1.”

Houston (+900) to win the 2026 NCAA championship. Houston lost the Elite Eight to Illinois 65-55; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.

“travion henderson under three and a half receiving yards minus 120.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards)

“So I think Kenneth Walker's going to score, and the minus 200 price says... Vegas obviously agrees with me on it.”

Despite 135 rushing yards and Super Bowl MVP honors, Kenneth Walker III did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX.

“[10:17] And you also like Cooper Cup at plus 260? [10:21] Yes. [10:21] So I think Kenneth Walker's going to score, [10:25] and the minus 200 price says... [10:27] Vegas obviously agrees with me on it. [10:30] I also think in the red zone that all the attention that is going to be demanded by Njigba [10:38] could open things up for Cooper Cup. [10:42] And because of that, I like Cooper Cup at plus 260.”

Cooper Kupp had no touchdown in Super Bowl LX (6 catches, 61 yds), so the anytime-TD prop missed.

“I like Drake plus 275 to score a touchdown.”

Drake Maye threw two TD passes but did not score himself in Super Bowl LX, so the anytime-TD prop missed.

“Now quarterback props first one You got the over on Sam Darnold pass yards It over 232 at minus 115 Yeah so let me just say something about Super Bowl prop markets guys If you can, lean into two-way markets. and by two-way markets, I mean where you can bet yes and no or over and under. The problem with one-way markets is when you can only bet one side of it, you don't ever really know what the fair number is. But when they set Sam Darnold or any of these other ones we're about to give you over the next 10 minutes or so, when you can bet the over or under, and it's the same number, you're just paying the 15-cent juice, you know that is the fair number. Now, you might not like the 15-cent juice, but at least you know that's the real number. And so that's going to inform a lot of my picks here. And I think Darnold's going to have a good game. I think the Pats run defense is stiff enough that they will be able to slow down Kenneth Walker, and Seattle's going to have to succeed through the air. And because of that, I like Darnold to have at least 245 passing yards, so I will go over 232.5.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards vs over 232.5; busts. (Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards)

“in the touchdown market Demonte what is it uh Drake May under one and a half passing touchdowns at minus 160 so again this is a two market but the juice is obviously heavy on the under and you get plus 120 on the over If I think the Patriots are going to score less than 21 points and I think Drake May can run in a touchdown, we don't have enough room for more touchdowns there. So it's a little correlated, but I think that the Patriots are more likely to score on the ground than in the air against this Seattle defense. Hell, we saw how much trouble Stafford had in the red zone on their biggest drive of the season, trying to convert that third and four and then fourth and four to go ahead there. So I'll take under Drake May there.”

Drake Maye threw 2 passing touchdowns (to Hollins and Stevenson), over the 1.5 line, so the under lost.

“Sam Darnold over 19.5 completions at minus 135. Yeah, so I think it's going to be a lot of Darnold passes. Not necessarily deep passes, but a lot of Darnold passes. Something like a 24 of 33 game from him. So I think he's going to get plenty of opportunities, so I will take the over there.”

Sam Darnold completed 19 of 38 passes in Super Bowl LX, falling one short of the over 19.5 line.

“I have Rashid Shahid over 4.5 at minus 115.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards vs over 4.5; busts. (Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards)

“I also have Jackson Smith and Jigba over a half at plus 275.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba recorded no rushing attempts in Super Bowl LX, so 0 rushing yards fails the over 0.5 line. (JSN: 0 carries, 0 rushing yards (4 rec, 27 receiving yds))

“You like Drake May over 37.5 at minus 120. Yeah, I just think he's going to have to be running a lot in this game. And I think Seattle's susceptible to it. That is a huge number for a quarterback. Yeah, and then minus 120. Yeah, a little juice, minus 110 on the under, so a little juice on the over. But I like Drake May to have 45, 50 rushing yards, and I'm not worried about him taking these at the end. So I'll lay that big number.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 37.5; busts. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)

“So you like the under 27 and a half at minus 115, Matt Collins, sorry, for the receiving yards. And, and the, so, and say the over. Demario Douglas, Demario Douglas over 10 and a half at minus 115 as well. So I just think Douglas is going to be a bigger part of the game plan than Matt Collins. Douglas who caught the big fourth down touchdown catch and run against Houston was it that might have been I don't know if that was Houston or if that was the Chargers regardless um Matt Collins had been out injured Matt Collins came back last week caught the flea flicker I don't think Matt Collins is going to be a huge part of this game and I think Pop Douglas will make at least one catch so Pop Douglas over 10 and a half Matt Collins under 27 seven and a half those are oddly a little correlated in my brain at least so that's where i land on”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Mack Hollins: 78 receiving_yards vs under 27.5; busts. (Mack Hollins: 78 receiving_yards)

“I'll first let the, I I'm just going to go down with the Travion Henderson's not going to be involved in the passing game ship. I'll take under a half reception for him at plus one 40.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 3 receptions vs under 0.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 3 receptions)

“I just don't think he's going to catch a pass. And then what's the one over I have? You got Stefan Diggs over four and a half at minus one 25. So I did not note notably, Diggs' receiving yards is only 45.5, and I'm not betting that. I am betting him over receptions, and we have seen some games like this this year for Diggs”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Stefon Diggs: 3 receptions vs over 4.5; busts. (Stefon Diggs: 3 receptions)

“A couple guys I think are going to get a sack. Yeah, on the Seahawks side, you've got Demarcus Lawrence over a half sack at plus 115, and then you've got Leonard Williams over a half sack at plus 150. Yeah, listen, I think Demarcus Lawrence is going to put Will Campbell in hell. And then eventually they're going to have to cheat over and help him, and that'll open things up for Leonard Williams. Drake Mays taking five sacks in each of the three playoff games. Those are the two guys most likely to get sacks for the Seahawks. I'll take DeMarcus Lawrence and Leonard Williams.”

DeMarcus Lawrence recorded no sacks in Super Bowl LX, missing the over 0.5 line.

“A couple guys I think are going to get a sack. Yeah, on the Seahawks side, you've got Demarcus Lawrence over a half sack at plus 115, and then you've got Leonard Williams over a half sack at plus 150. Yeah, listen, I think Demarcus Lawrence is going to put Will Campbell in hell. And then eventually they're going to have to cheat over and help him, and that'll open things up for Leonard Williams. Drake Mays taking five sacks in each of the three playoff games. Those are the two guys most likely to get sacks for the Seahawks. I'll take DeMarcus Lawrence and Leonard Williams.”

Leonard Williams recorded no sacks in Super Bowl LX, missing the over 0.5 line.

“Most passing yards, Prop Demonse, it's basically a coin flip bet. Drake Mays minus 115, Sam Darnold's minus 120. As you guys can tell from how I think it's going to go, I like Darnold in that spot.”

Sam Darnold threw for fewer yards than Drake Maye in Super Bowl LX (202 vs. 295). (Darnold 202 passing yds vs. Maye 295 passing yds)

“going to go, I like Darnold in that spot. And then one long shot flyer to Monze, longest reception. Player to record the longest reception, Rashid Shahid at plus 700. Listen, that's what he was brought in to do. He's done it already throughout his brief Seattle career. I think 7-1 is a good bet. Jackson Smith and Jigma could blow this up on me. Keyshawn Booty could blow this up on me, but I'll take Rashid Shahid at plus 700.”

Rashid Shaheed did not record the game's longest reception; Mack Hollins had it at 35 yards.

“longest successful field goal over under a 49.5. I'll go over. Good conditions.”

The longest successful field goal in Super Bowl LX was Jason Myers' 41-yarder, under the 49.5 line.

“and it's crazy that this is now a plus like this is only plus 125 and i say that because it's shown how much the nfl's evolved and changed over the last decade where it's not it's they're basically saying it's damn near a coin flip whether or not both teams will convert a fourth down but i think they both will so i'll do that”

Neither team converted (or even attempted) a fourth down in Super Bowl LX (both 0/0), so the each-team prop missed.

“Total number of players to throw a pass over two and a half at plus 160.”

Only 2 players threw a pass in Super Bowl LX (Darnold and Maye), under the 2.5 line.

“but travion henderson under three and a half receiving yards at minus 120 is my early super bowl prop of the week”

NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards)

“Today's show is brought to you by representing sponsor Hard Rock Bet, Florida's sportsbook. Big game matchup is set. I cannot wait to see. Pats, Seahawks. Hard Rock Bet has all the different ways you can get in on the action on next Sunday's game. I told you guys I'm liking the JSN Anytime Touchdown. It's right around even money at minus 115.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX (4 catches, 27 yds), so the anytime-TD prop missed.

“I think the Rams win, so I'll take the Rams plus two and a half.”

SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.

“The Rams are my pick to win the Super Bowl.”

The Rams lost the NFC Championship to Seattle and did not win Super Bowl LX.

“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver.”

Bills lost to Broncos 30-33 in OT (margin -3), missed +1. (Broncos 33, Bills 30 (OT))

“And then lastly, you have the Rams, minus four at Chicago. Yeah, I just don't trust that the Bears' defense is going to be able to slow down the Rams at all.”

Rams won 20-17 in OT (margin +3) but did not cover -4. (Rams 20, Bears 17 (OT))

“Miami and Indiana. And the line is set at Indiana minus eight and a half. And it's also at hard rock stadium. Who are you taking? I'll take Miami plus the points. And I'll take Miami on the money line plus two 60. Oh, juice it up a little bit.”

Miami lost the CFP National Championship 21-27 to Indiana. (Indiana 27, Miami 21)

• Josh Allen anytime touchdown lost
• Davante Adams anytime touchdown lost
• Puka Nacua anytime touchdown lost

“Touchdown genie this week. I would like to do – I never do this. I would like to do a three-player touchdown genie parlay. Oh, wow. The money in the pockets. Josh Allen, Devontae Adams, Puka Nakua. A three-player touchdown genie parlay. That's got to be better than 6-1. Yeah, I was just going to say plus 700 or something like that. Plus 704. Allen, Puka, Devontae. Allen's going to have to run one in. Pukin, Devontae, I think the Rams are going to score almost at will. I'm doing that as touchdown genie this week.”

None of the three scored a touchdown: Josh Allen threw 3 TD passes but had none rushing/receiving; Bills-Broncos TDs went to Kincaid, Hardman, Samuel (BUF) and Mims, Humphrey, Crum (DEN); Rams' only TDs were two Kyren Williams rushing scores (Davante Adams and Puka Nacua did not score). (Allen: 0 TD scored; Adams: 0 TD; Nacua: 0 TD)

• Under 45
• Over 49

“under 45 in Niner Seahawks, over 49 in Rams-Bears, plus 265. I'll take that.”

Both legs missed: 49ers-Seahawks total was 47 (over 45), and Rams-Bears total was 37 (under 49). (49ers 41-6 Seahawks (total 47); Rams 20-17 Bears OT (total 37))

“I will swallow this huge number and lay the 10.5 with the Rams.”

Rams beat Panthers 34-31 in the NFC Wild Card game (Jan 10, 2026); Rams won by only 3, well short of covering -10.5. (Rams 34, Panthers 31)

“I will take jacksonville plus one and to be clear”

Bills beat Jaguars 27-24 in the AFC Wild Card game (Jan 11, 2026); Jaguars lost by 3, failing to cover +1. (Bills 27, Jaguars 24)

“I'll take the four points with the chargers taking the four”

Patriots beat Chargers 16-3 in the AFC Wild Card game (Jan 11, 2026); Chargers lost by 13, failing to cover +4. (Patriots 16, Chargers 3)

“So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.”

PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.

“Trevor Lawrence plus 170. [1:07:08] Anytime touchdown is my touchdown genie this week.”

Trevor Lawrence threw 3 TD passes but did not score himself (6 carries, 31 rush yds, no rushing TD) in the 27-24 Wild Card loss, so the anytime-TD prop missed.

“I'll lay the two and a half with Tampa.”

Buccaneers won 16-14, only a 2-point margin, which does not cover -2.5. (Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 (margin 2, needed 2.5+))

“I'm getting 12 points. I'll take Miami plus 12.”

NE 38, MIA 10 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +12; busts.

“Mike Evans. Anytime touchdown. Mike Evans plus 165 anytime touchdown”

Mike Evans did not score (13-yard catch) in Tampa Bay's 16-14 Week 18 win over Carolina; the Bucs' only touchdown was Cade Otton.

“you got Jacksonville minus 6.5 at Indy”

Jaguars beat the Colts 23-17 in Week 17 (Dec 28, 2025), winning by only 6 points — short of covering -6.5. (Jaguars 23, Colts 17)

“you got Pittsburgh minus four at Cleveland This was originally at four and a half It just dropped to four”

Browns beat the Steelers 13-6 in Week 17 (Dec 28, 2025); Steelers lost outright, missing -4. (Browns 13, Steelers 6)

“buffalo minus two and a half versus philly i think buffalo is a lot better than philly they're at home i'm only i'm laying less than a field goal and listen philly getting jalen carter and lane johnson back this week i think is something philly also though they locked up the division they're not going to be the one seed i so it's not that i think they're not going to care, but they just, they have no chance of being the one seed. They have no chance of not winning the division. So they have a slight chance at the two seed, but they can't be the four. Philly right now cannot be the one, four, five, six, or seven. They're either, no matter what happens the rest of the way, they're the two or the three seed, and they are probably the three seed so i just think buffalo's better buffalo needs the game buffalo's at home i'll take buffalo”

Eagles edged the Bills 13-12 in Week 17 (Dec 28, 2025); Bills lost outright, missing -2.5. (Eagles 13, Bills 12)

“our one underdog we're taking chicago plus three at san francisco”

49ers beat the Bears 42-38 in a Week 17 shootout (Dec 28, 2025); Bears lost by 4, missing +3. (49ers 42, Bears 38)

• Dallas Cowboys -0.5 won
• Detroit Lions pick'em (0) lost
• Denver Broncos -7 closed -13.5 · CLV +6.5 push

“We're going to tease Dallas to minus a half point, Detroit to a pick-em, and Denver down to minus seven. It's a six-point Christmas Day teaser at plus 140.”

Parlay busts: Dallas Cowboys -0.5 -0.5 — won; Detroit Lions pick'em (0) 0 — lost; Denver Broncos -7 -7 — push.

• Sam Darnold 200+ passing yards
• Sam Darnold 2+ passing touchdowns

“Darnold gets a half a million for 4,000 yards and a half a million for 28 touchdowns. He's at 3,700 yards and 24 touchdowns. The offer is 200-plus yards for Darnold and two-plus touchdowns for plus 140. Do you want that? Against Carolina? Yeah. I'm going to take it. And Hard Rock Bet's going to post it as a Nick Wright exclusive. So Sam Darnold, 200-plus passing yards and two touchdowns. A little Jackson.”

Sam Darnold went 18/27 for 147 yards and 1 TD vs Carolina (Dec 28, 2025) — missed both the 200+ passing yards and 2+ passing TD legs. (Darnold: 147 pass yds, 1 pass TD)

“So Sam Darnold, 200-plus passing yards and two touchdowns. A little Jackson. And you know what? I take it back. For touchdown genie, throw JSN on there at even money or minus 105. We'll do that as well. We're going to hit these. I feel good about it. So I will take the offer this week because I didn't follow you guys last week. I feel like a dope because of it.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not score (113 yds) in Seattle's 27-10 Week 17 win at Carolina; the Seahawks' TDs were Zach Charbonnet and AJ Barner.

“So all that, I'll lay the three points with Tampa.”

CAR 23, TB 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

“So my three picks this week are the Chiefs getting, I'm sorry, the Titans getting three and a half against the Chiefs. The Bucs laying three at Carolina. Dallas laying two at the Chargers. Jacksonville getting three at Denver. And New England getting three at Baltimore.”

DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -2; busts.

“Seattle minus 13.5 versus Indy.”

SEA 18, IND 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +2 vs line -13.5; busts.

“I'll take my 11.5 points with the Raiders.”

PHI 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +11.5; busts.

“I'm getting 2.5 points at home in a divisional game with Burrow playing. I'll take it.”

CIN 0, BAL 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.

“do I have a touchdown genie this week you guys want to know yep Kelsey ooh what are the odds on that one He's down on himself. He's sad. Mahomes wants to, you know, he doesn't have potentially that many home games left. Kelsey, plus 225.”

Travis Kelce did not score in the Chiefs' 16-13 Week 15 loss to the Chargers; a late pass to him was intercepted by Derwin James.

• Kansas City Chiefs closed -280 · CLV -5¢ lost
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA Cup MVP pending

“so this week we have a cross sport parlay we're going to tie up Chiefs Moneyline plus SGA to win the cup MVP for plus 114 love it I taking that offer Chiefs Moneyline Shea to win the cup MVP for plus 114 Love it I taking that offer Chiefs money line Shea to win the NBA cup MVP Oh my goodness. I feel like that's free money.”

Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs — lost; Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA Cup MVP — pending.

“they're plus 375 to win the afc yeah i the which is makes them like co-favorites they're my they're my pick right now”

Buffalo did not win the AFC; the Bills lost in the Divisional round 33-30 at Denver, and New England represented the AFC in Super Bowl LX.

“Washington i think is well coached and showed real fight [26:02] against denver i'll take washington plus two”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +2; busts.

“Philly minus three at the Chargers. Listen, I think this is essentially going to be a Philly home game plus travel. The Chargers will be in a silent count. I also trust the Philly D-line. I also don't know what Herbert's status is. With that said, Philly is the least trustworthy offense on any team that's not awful that I've seen in years. So I don't love laying points. However, I think the overall roster talent, plus health of the quarterbacks, plus quality of D-line versus O-line, so favors the Eagles. And I'm going to be totally honest, there were only four picks I loved, and I'm rooting so hard for Philly, I might as well make it one of my picks too, double down on it. So not great analysis there, I'll be honest, but that's what I'm rolling with. So my five picks are, in order of confidence, I'm going to read them to you. Seattle, minus seven at Atlanta. Jacksonville, it says plus one and a half. It's actually plus two against Indy. Washington plus two at Minnesota Pittsburgh plus six at Baltimore And Philly minus three at the Chargers Those are my five picks If we go five and oh we profitable for the year If we go four and”

Eagles lost outright to the Chargers 19-22 in OT, so they did not cover -3. (Final: Chargers 22, Eagles 19 (OT))

“This week, thanks to our friends at Hard Rock Bet, because this is our 400th episode. they have multiple markets they made for us One is will any quarterback this weekend throw for 400 yards That available at plus 400 So you don need to pick the quarterback just any quarterback will somebody throw for 400 yards and get that at plus 400. And then the one I love, a special market against that beleaguered Colts secondary, Trevor to throw for 400 at 60-1. The Prince takes control of the division, 60-1. We've seen him go over 370 before. It has to be the combo of you expect a high-scoring game, a back-and-forth game, and you expect a bunch of yards and a bad defense involved. I'm doing it. So Trevor, 60-1 to throw for 400 yards.”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Trevor Lawrence: 244 passing_yards vs over 400; busts. (Trevor Lawrence: 244 passing_yards)

“I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas.”

DAL 31, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

“I think for the second straight week, my favorite bet of the week is Cleveland. Cleveland getting six in the snow against the Niners. That defense against Brock Purdy, fresh off those interceptions, in the snow. I think this is a low scoring, low possession, run the ball game. and Cleveland's defense is so great that at home in inclement weather, maybe our first snow game of the year, I'll take the six points and I'll take them happily.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +6; busts.

“Patrick Mahomes, anytime touchdown at 4-1.”

Patrick Mahomes did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in the Chiefs' 31-28 Thanksgiving loss at Dallas (he threw four TD passes, which do not count for an anytime-scorer bet).

• Kareem Hunt under 33.5 rushing yards closed +34.5 · CLV -1 lost
• Rashee Rice over 72.5 receiving yards closed +76.5 · CLV +4 won

“I will take that offer, but it's going to be under 33 and a half rushing yards for Kareem Hunt, [28:00] over 72 and a half receiving yards for Ashir Rice. [28:03] That'll still be plus 225.”

Parlay busts: Kareem Hunt under 33.5 rushing yards +33.5 — lost; Rashee Rice over 72.5 receiving yards +72.5 — won.

“Tennessee's the worst team in the NFL, I will take Seattle laying the 13 and a half.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13.5; busts.

“In place of touchdown, Jeannie, just go ahead and bet Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. Ride with that one. They're going to have a lead. They're not going to want to turn the ball over. Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. That one sounds like a better bet. Minus 110.”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Shedeur Sanders: 209 passing_yards vs under 160.5; busts. (Shedeur Sanders: 209 passing_yards)

“Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo. I just don't know that right now Buffalo deserves to be laying more than three and a half against any really good team. And I think Tampa's a really good team. They're also, this will be the first game maybe all year where Tampa is the healthier team. They might have Bucky Irving back. They might have Chris Godwin back. Buffalo, meanwhile, is super banged up. I don't need Tampa to win outright, even though I think they could. I just need them to keep it manageable, and they're healthier. And Buffalo, I think, has some soul-searching to do. Tampa plus 5.5.”

BUF 44, TB 32 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -12 vs line +5.5; busts.

“the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. If you got this right when it opened at three, good for you. I may have gotten it right when it opened. It opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half.”

DEN 22, KC 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.

• Josh Jacobs to score a touchdown lost
• Christian McCaffrey to score a touchdown won

“Touchdown Genie Parlay. Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey. Parlayed together, minus 122.”

Jacobs left early with a knee injury and never scored; McCaffrey had 3 TDs for SF, but both legs must hit for the parlay to cash. (Jacobs 7 car/40 yds, no TD (injury exit); McCaffrey 2 rush TD + 1 rec TD)

“I think Tampa wins this game and I think tampa wins this game by at least a field goal so i got tampa minus two and a half”

TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

“That's all I need at minus one, so I'll take Jacksonville next.”

HOU 36, JAX 29 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -1; busts.

“Steelers defense, and I'm getting three points with Tomlin.”

LAC 25, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -15 vs line +3; busts.

• Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown scorer
• Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown scorer

“going in the same game barley Jonathan Taylor and B. John Robinson to both score a touchdown at plus 135. I'll take it”

Jonathan Taylor scored 3 rushing touchdowns (including the OT winner) in Indy's 31-25 win over Atlanta, but Bijan Robinson was held scoreless, busting the same-game parlay. (Taylor: 3 rush TD; B. Robinson: 17 car, 84 yds, 0 TD)

“I love the Lions in this spot. One of my, maybe my favorite play of the week. It's the first one, Detroit minus eight and a half.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.

“I think the Chiefs win by at least a field goal I lay the point and a half”

BUF 28, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.

“all lay the seven and a half with atlanta”

ATL 10, MIA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -24 vs line -7.5; busts.

“so i'll take chicago plus the six and a half”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.

“i am here to tell you aubrey could hit the longest field goal in nfl history this weekend it's on the board i'll take dallas plus three and a half”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -20 vs line +3.5; busts.

“just going to do the same thing. So this week we're going to roll with Bijan Robinson. He's going up against the dolphins. They suck. Bijan over one 25 and a half rushing plus reception yards at minus one 15. Does that interest you? Yes. There we go. Cause that's a big part of my”

Bijan Robinson managed just 25 rushing and 23 receiving yards (48 combined) in Atlanta's 34-10 Week 8 loss to Miami, far under the 125.5 line.

“You gotta hope he can be back for the postseason. This is my Super Bowl pick.”

Tampa Bay went 8-9 and missed the playoffs; Seattle reached and won Super Bowl LX, so the Bucs Super Bowl pick lost.

“And it's just too many points. I love seven and a half. I'll take seven in a game. Sneaky upset alert for the Patriots. But I think the Titans keep it close-ish.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.

“So I am taking the Jets plus one and a half.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus two.”

SF 20, ATL 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +2; busts.

“I'm making my own market here. Bijan over 129.5 rushing and receiving yards. They have at least 130 rushing and receiving yards. that's plus 105 it feels right that's the offer this week”

Bijan Robinson managed only 40 rushing and 52 receiving yards (92 total) in the Week 7 loss at San Francisco, under the 129.5 line, so the over lost.

“Dallas minus three.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

• Micah Parsons over 0.5 sacks
• Rashan Gary over 0.5 sacks

“So we got Micah plus Rashawn Gary both for over a half sack at plus 210. Love it. You're loving that one. I'm doing it. That Packers defense with something to prove against a Bengals O-line and old man Joe Flacco, I will take that offer. That offer is locked in.”

Parlay loses: Rashan Gary was held without a sack against Cincinnati, even though Micah Parsons recorded 1 sack (clearing his 0.5 leg); both legs were required to hit. (Parsons 1.0 sack (win); Gary 0.0 sacks (loss))

“Even if he doesn't play, I think Baltimore plus 1.5 is the right side.”

BAL 10, HOU 44 — Baltimore Ravens margin -34 vs line +1.5; busts.

“So I'll take Philly, despite all the noise around them, minus the 3.5.”

PHI 17, DEN 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.

“i'll take the raiders plus six and a half at indy”

IND 40, LV 6 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -34 vs line +6.5; busts.

“I'm betting the Vikings defense minus two and a half against Pittsburgh.”

PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“i'll take cleveland plus 10”

DET 34, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -24 vs line +10; busts.

“like I just I'm getting more than a touchdown Cincinnati plus seven and a half in a game I think they could win outright so yeah I don't overthink this one Cincinnati plus seven and a half they can win outright and Pat Sertan's not playing great Denver's offense is shaky at best Yes, give me the 7.5.”

DEN 28, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line +7.5; busts.

“And I also like Georgia laying two and a half at home against Alabama”

UGA 21, ALA 24 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“A bigger favorite here. Green Bay minus 7.5 at Cleveland. Yeah, so I think Green Bay is going to annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road.”

CLE 13, GB 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.

“I think Tennessee, I'll go out and say first win of the year, an outright winner, and I'm getting 3.5, Tennessee plus 3.5.”

TEN 20, IND 41 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.

“So I will lay the five points with Atlanta.”

CAR 30, ATL 0 — Atlanta Falcons margin -30 vs line -5; busts.

“CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown, minus 115.”

CeeDee Lamb left early with an ankle injury and finished with no catches or touchdowns in the Week 3 loss to Chicago, so the anytime TD lost.

“with Jacksonville, but getting points, I will do it. I think Jacksonville wins this game 27-21. I will take the Jags getting three points.”

CIN 31, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +3; busts.

“I will lay the six and a half with Arizona.”

ARI 27, CAR 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin +5 vs line -6.5; busts.

“And so the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win outright.”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1; busts.

“The Chiefs, minus three against the Chargers, is my first bet of the year.”

LAC 27, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.

“I'll take Miami plus one at Indy.”

IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1; busts.

“Tampa over 9.5 is probably my favorite bet of all of these. I think the Bucs have a real shot to be the one seed in the NFC. And I think that they are going to win at least 11 games, maybe 12 or 13. That's minus 120.”

The Buccaneers finished 8-9, under 9.5 wins.

“The Raiders over 6.5 at minus 145.”

The Raiders went 3-14, well under the over 6.5 wins.

“The Colts under 7.5 at minus 130. This is my favorite of the unders.”

The Colts went 8-9, finishing above the under 7.5 wins line.

“up with the number one pick of the draft. I think that is absolutely on the board. The Broncos under nine and a half at plus 110. I think the Broncos are going to get out to a decent start. People are”

The Broncos went 14-3, easily clearing the 9.5 win total, so the under lost.

“So I will take under 10.5 for the Niners.”

San Francisco went 12-5, exceeding 10.5 wins, so the under lost.

“Chiefs minus 380. Raiders plus 340 for a half unit. Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

The Chiefs collapsed to 6-11 and missed the playoffs entirely, so the make-playoffs bet lost.

“All right, make-miss playoffs. Do it quickly. Jags plus 180. Chiefs minus 380. Raiders plus 340 for a half unit. Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

The Raiders finished 3-14 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.

“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

The Giants finished 4-13 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.

“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

Tampa Bay finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs (Carolina took the NFC South), so the make-playoffs bet lost.

“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”

Pittsburgh went 10-7 and won the AFC North, making the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet lost.

“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”

Denver went 14-3 and won the AFC West as the No. 1 seed, so the miss-the-playoffs bet lost.

“to win the west of the afc west sorry at minus 115”

The Broncos (14-3) won the AFC West; the 6-11 Chiefs did not, so the division bet lost.

“the bucks to win the nfc south at minus 115 like the saints and panthers to me are no shot”

Carolina won the NFC South via tiebreaker at 8-9; Tampa Bay (8-9) did not, so the division bet lost.

• Ravens to win the AFC North
• Bills to win the AFC East

“And then I found, I found a plus money parlay here to Monze. Only two teams. So we got a division winner. We got Baltimore plus Buffalo at plus 106.”

Neither team won its division: Pittsburgh (10-7) won the AFC North over Baltimore (8-9), and New England (14-3) won the AFC East over Buffalo (12-5, wild card). Both legs lost. (Ravens 8-9, Steelers 10-7 won AFC North; Bills 12-5 wild card, Patriots 14-3 won AFC East)

“this year the super bowl exacta at 55 to 1 is drum roll please demanze we got kansas city versus tampa bay and the super bowl exacta plus 5500 how about the and then obviously spoiler super bowl”

Super Bowl LX was Seahawks vs. Patriots, not Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, so the matchup exacta lost.

“exactly with the winner right kansas city to defeat tampa bay at plus 11 000 um indeed”

Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX; neither the Chiefs nor Buccaneers reached it, so the bet lost.

“I do love this bet. The Bucs over 9.5 minus 120, I think Tampa, Demonse, is going to win a bunch of games.”

The Buccaneers finished 8-9, falling under 9.5 wins and missing the playoffs.

“the Niners under 10.5 at minus 130”

The 49ers went 12-5, busting the under 10.5 wins.

“Yeah, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus 380. Was that money laying on the ground? Why didn't I pick it up? You can say you're going to lay. Yeah, I am. I'm going to lay minus 380.”

The Chiefs went 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time in a decade.

“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340. Yeah, I mean, I've talked a ton about the Raiders in a bunch of spots. I just like the value at plus 340.”

The Raiders went 3-14 and missed the playoffs.

“Giants at plus 500 to make the playoffs.”

The Giants went 4-13 and missed the playoffs.

“least, and you're going to see this team all over my gambling card this year. You got the Bucs at minus 170 to make the playoffs. Yeah.”

The Buccaneers finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs as Carolina won the NFC South.

“You got the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus 140. The Steelers, two years ago, the Jags ruined me. Last year, the Steelers ruined me. So I don't have, if you remember, the Steelers are not one of my win total bets. Because maybe Tomlin's going to somehow create enough magic to get to nine wins. I don't think they're going to make the playoffs. I'll take them under 140.”

The Steelers went 10-7, won the AFC North, and made the playoffs as the No. 4 seed.

“You've got the Broncos to miss at plus 130. Yeah, I just like that it's plus money.”

The Broncos went 14-3 and earned the AFC's No. 1 seed, so they did not miss the playoffs.

“The next team listed is the Indianapolis Colts. Their number is seven and a half. It is the same slight juice, minus 130 on the under. And this is a bet, and this is a bet that I love, and I am taking the under on the Colts I am so dismayed by how they continue to”

The Colts went 8-9, finishing above the under 7.5 wins line.

“The Denver Broncos. Nine and a half. Never has a team that last year beat two quarterbacks all year that are currently starters in the league. Went 0-7 in its games against playoff teams, unless you include beating the Chiefs backups as a playoff team. gotten this much preseason smoke under nine and a half gets me plus 110 i think it is more than on the board that this team goes seven and ten they are more let me put it like this they are more likely to go 7-10 than 10-7. I will take the Broncos and fading Bo Nix, who again was good”

The Broncos went 14-3 and won the AFC West, busting the under 9.5 wins.

“that year by winning the Super Bowl. The Chiefs win total, getting even money over 11.5 wins, that's an easy one. I will take over 11.5 every day with Kansas City. 12-5 would disappoint me.”

The Chiefs cratered to 6-11, falling far short of over 11.5 wins.

“Now to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders' total is 6.5. It is minus 145 on the over I like Geno I love Pete Carroll I believe in the Raiders I am going over with the Las Vegas Raiders”

The Raiders finished 3-14, nowhere near the over 6.5 wins.

“So I'm pot committed on the Royals on the money line tonight, plus 200.”

BOS 6, KC 2 — Kansas City Royals lost; moneyline busts.

“the raiders plus 330 to make the playoffs that is my early first nfl season long bet”

Raiders missed the playoffs, finishing 3-14 (4th straight non-playoff season). (Raiders 2025: 3-14)

“OKC minus one and a half games at minus 275.”

Oklahoma City beat Indiana 4-3, a one-game series margin; Thunder -1.5 series games lost. (Thunder won series 4-3.)

“But I've got a series bet I like a lot, which is Minnesota to win game one and the series. That's almost even money, minus 115.”

Golden State beat Minnesota 99-88 in Game 1 on May 6, 2025 (Curry exited early with a hamstring strain), so the compound 'win Game 1 and the series' bet lost even though the Timberwolves went on to win the series 4-1. (GSW 99, MIN 88 in Game 1; MIN won the series 4-1)

“the Niners. They're over under set at 10.5 and you're going on there. Yeah I like the under yeah I think that them being the favorites to win that division and having the highest win total in that division is disrespectful to the Rams”

49ers finished the 2025 season 12-5, over 10.5 wins. (12-5)

“I will tell you guys my favorite round one bet. Shout out to my friends at DraftKings. By the way, can DraftKings start getting some boosts or something? if there's something I really like I don't know this is plus 120 maybe they can throw my face on it and make it plus 125 for what's right listeners but the Lakers minus a game and a half in the series meaning is plus 120”

Timberwolves eliminated the Lakers 4-1 in the first round; Lakers did not win the series. (MIN wins series 4-1)

“I love the under for the New England Patriots. I will take under eight and a half, and that's a bet we can put on my season long.”

Patriots finished the 2025 season 14-3, well over 8.5 wins. (14-3)

“Jets over 5.5.”

Jets finished the 2025 season 3-14, under 5.5 wins. (3-14)

“Steelers under 8.5.”

Steelers finished the 2025 season 10-7, over 8.5 wins. (10-7)

“Chiefs over 11.5.”

Chiefs finished the 2025 season 6-11, their first losing season since 2012, well under 11.5 wins. (6-11)

“I like the Raiders over 6.5.”

Raiders finished the 2025 season 3-14, under 6.5 wins. (3-14)

“I personally like Duke minus five and a half tonight at even money. Not tonight, this weekend. I also personally like Duke to win the championship at even money. So Duke minus five and a half in their game on Saturday at even money. Duke plus 100 to win the whole thing at even money Better late than never It what I going with now that Tennessee gone”

DUKE 67, HOU 70 — Duke Blue Devils margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.

“I also personally like Duke to win the championship at even money. So Duke minus five and a half in their game on Saturday at even money. Duke plus 100 to win the whole thing at even money Better late than never It what I going with now that Tennessee gone”

Duke lost to Houston 70-67 in the Final Four and did not win the championship; Florida beat Houston 65-63 for the 2025 title. (Houston 70, Duke 67 (Final Four))

“right I on Tennessee Tennessee is now plus 215 to win the Midwest and they minus four and a half against Kentucky on Friday Those lines and odds are of course subject to change”

Tennessee lost the Midwest Region final (Elite Eight) to Houston, 69-50. (Houston 69, Tennessee 50 (Elite Eight, Midwest Region))

• Houston won
• Alabama closed -205 · CLV -13¢ won
• Tennessee closed -205 · CLV 0¢ won
• Michigan State closed +350 · CLV -10¢ lost

“I like Houston, Bama, Tennessee, and Michigan State all just straight up to win not against the spread, just straight up to win”

Parlay busts: Houston — won; Alabama — won; Tennessee — won; Michigan State — lost.

“and Tennessee at plus 215 to win their region, the Midwest. That is something that I like as well.”

Tennessee lost the Midwest Region final (Elite Eight) to Houston, 69-50. (Houston 69, Tennessee 50 (Elite Eight, Midwest Region))

“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”

TENN 77, WOF 62 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +15 vs line -18.5; busts.

“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”

Tennessee lost to Houston 69-50 in the Elite Eight (Midwest Region) and did not reach the championship; Florida won the 2025 title. (Tennessee eliminated in Elite Eight, lost to Houston 69-50)

“We're going Zion to keep this hot streak alive over 23 and a half.”

NO 127, LAC 120 — Zion Williamson: 22 points vs over 23.5; busts. (Zion Williamson: 22 points)

“Kawhi under 23.5, lines and odds subject to change.”

NO 127, LAC 120 — Kawhi Leonard: 29 points vs under 23.5; busts. (Kawhi Leonard: 29 points)

“Kevin Durant over 26 and a half points is where the line is right now. It is sun spurs again lines and odds subject to change my thought process on that. This is twofold. One is Durant probably feeling good with that Olympics documentary coming out where he's looks like a star. Durant also fought to stay with the Suns. They need to get in the play-in. And Wimby, all of a sudden, doubtful with an illness. So for all those reasons, I think Durant gets to 30. I'll take over 26.5 points.”

SA 120, PHX 109 — Kevin Durant: 22 points vs over 26.5; busts. (Kevin Durant: 22 points)

“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”

LAL 97, CHA 100 — Luka Doncic: 14 points vs over 24.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 14 points)

“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”

LAL 97, CHA 100 — LeBron James: 26 points vs under 23.5; busts. (LeBron James: 26 points)

“Walker Kessler over 10 and a half against the Clippers, with the theory being, yes, both teams are on a back-to-back, but the Clipper, James Harden is an all-star. The Clippers, I feel like, are more likely to be looking forward to this time off. Walker Kessler coming off a nice game. I think he can get to at least 11 points”

UTAH 116, LAC 120 — Walker Kessler: 0 points vs over 10.5; busts. (Walker Kessler: 0 points)

“official pick i mean you've got chiefs minus one and a half 34 24 kansas city kansas city minus one”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.

“Um, so first off, we've got Mahomes here, uh, his passing yards at over under 20, 251 and a half, uh, plus, I mean, minus 110 and minus 110. And then you got the pass. On both sides, yep. Yeah. And then you got. So, go ahead, sorry. Pass, passing touchdowns over under one and a half at minus 175. Um, uh, rush attempts over under six and a half plus 120 and minus 150. Or, yeah, 150. So, yeah, no, you got that right. I would I'm not going to bet over on the touchdowns at minus 175 if I had to just bet one of these I'll take the over six and a half rush attempts.”

Patrick Mahomes had only 4 rush attempts in Super Bowl LIX, missing the 6.5 over line. (4 car, 25 rush yds)

“I will take Saquon under attempts under 21 and a half because I think they're going to be behind.”

Saquon Barkley carried the ball 25 times in Super Bowl LIX, exceeding the 21.5 under line. (25 car, 57 rush yds)

“Next we got your guy, Kelsey. Reception over under is six and a half. Reception yards is 61 and a half. And reception touchdowns, one is plus 145. Two is plus 1,000. Listen, he's having a job. I don't say you were taking Mahomes on the touchdown. So, yeah, it's... No, I'm taking the yards. I'm taking Kelsey over 61 and a half yards.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Travis Kelce: 39 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; busts. (Travis Kelce: 39 receiving_yards)

• Patrick Mahomes anytime TD scorer
• Kareem Hunt anytime TD scorer

“But I'll take Mahomes plus 310 and I'll take Kareem plus 140. I'll parlay those two. That's good money. All right, what's the Eagles ones? Go ahead. Eagles touchdown. You got Jalen Hurts for one touchdown. It's minus 110. Two plus 550. You got A.J. Brown. One's at plus 165. Two's at plus 1200 You got Devontae Smith One plus 240 Two plus 2000 Jalen Hurts Minus 110 Just to score a touchdown Yeah. Yeah. That's an easy one. And Hunt and Mahomes to score is plus 950.”

Kareem Hunt caught a 2-yard TD pass (leg wins), but Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing TDs and did not score a rushing/receiving TD himself (leg loses), so the anytime-TD parlay fails. (Hunt: 2-yd TD reception (WIN leg); Mahomes: 3 passing TDs, 0 TDs scored himself (LOSE leg))

“That's stupid. I'll take Kelsey first and last at 90-1. I'll take my score at 130-1. And I guess if I'm taking Kelsey first and last, no, then I won't even need the action on any tight end to score the first TD because I've already got that juice there.”

Travis Kelce did not score any touchdown in Super Bowl LIX (4 catches, 39 yards), so he could not be first-and-last TD scorer. (Kelce: 4 rec, 39 yds, 0 TD)

“Your score prediction, Chiefs to win 34 to 24 is at plus 13,000. 130 to one? Yes. Sign me up.”

Final score was Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — not the predicted Chiefs 34-24 (Chiefs lost outright). (Final: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“And sure, and Chiefs win by exactly three points plus 950.”

Chiefs lost the Super Bowl 40-22 to the Eagles; they did not win by 3 or by any margin. (Final: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“I'll take Washington plus six.”

PHI 55, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -32 vs line +6; busts.

• Washington Commanders closed +215 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer pending

“I don't ever take the offer, but I'll take it. Washington Moneyline and Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown. Kareem Hunt. And I'll take it. All right. And my guess is that'll be like 10 to 1 because Kareem, maybe even more. See if the producers while we read some of the listener questions see if they can tell us in the doc what that would actually pay out Daniel says it plus 857 as opposed to plus 708 You like a little better odds but that fine”

Parlay busts: Washington Commanders — lost; Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer — manual.

“The producers asked me if I'm interested in the Rams money line at plus two 35. Yeah, I'm betting the Rams to win the game.”

PHI 28, LAR 22 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.

“I'll still take Pittsburgh plus the nine and a half.”

BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.

“You got Kansas City plus 10.5 at Denver. It's just too many points. it's just that the Chiefs are going to make this a low possession game they just want to get out they want this game to go as fast as possible is my point so a lot of running the ball so it's hard to cover big spreads in games that have you know six or seven possessions per team rather than eight or nine so that works in their favor”

DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.

“I'll do Miami minus one.”

NYJ 32, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin -12 vs line -1; busts.

“And Minnesota plus 2.5 at Detroit.”

DET 31, MIN 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin -22 vs line +2.5; busts.

“Pittsburgh getting six and a half.”

BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.

“I think Carolina is going to win. Obviously, I'd like it more at 1.5 than 2.5, and it might get up to 3 by kickoff, but I think Dallas is done for the season.”

CAR 14, DAL 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -16 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I'll take Detroit minus the two and a half. I think golf plays really well and gets himself firmly in the MVP top of the MVP conversation.”

DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.

“There's one game on the slate, and I'm eating the points. I'm laying three and a half points with Will Levis and the Tennessee Titans”

TEN 6, JAX 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.

“So for all those reasons my five picks Green Bay plus three and a half the Giants plus four and a half the Titans minus three and a half the Rams plus four and a half and the Chiefs minus three and a half”

KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.

“And Arizona laying 1 on the road at Seattle.”

SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line -1; busts.

• Panthers under 13.5 points lost
• Patrick Mahomes 0 interceptions pending

“So your offer this week is going to be Carolina under 7.5 points at plus 390, and Mahomes to throw zero interceptions at plus 100, total parlay value at plus 880. I hate to disappoint the audience, but I'm going to have to turn this offer down. Holding a team under 8 is really hard. Those odds should be way higher for that, right? Yes, that's how I feel. I couldn't believe that it was only plus 390. The Panthers twice this year have been held under 8 points. Against the Chargers, they scored 3. And against the Commanders, they scored seven. But they've won two in a row, scoring 23-20. Bryce playing a little bit better. So under 13, that I think is totally reasonable, or under 14, I should say. Under eight, I can't do. So I sadly have to turn the offer down. Last week, the offer I gave out was the Travis Kelsey touchdown. That didn't hit. But I didn't mind the process on it because Noah Gray got two touchdowns. So the idea the Chiefs were going to get down in the deep red zone and find a tight end was correct, but it was Noah Gray for both of them instead of Kelsey. Under 13-and-a-half, they're putting it in there right now, I think, what the plus is. It is. Under 13 and a half and no picks for Mahomes is plus 348. All right, I'll take that one.”

Parlay busts: Panthers under 13.5 points +13.5 — lost; Patrick Mahomes 0 interceptions 0 — manual.

“New England getting 4.5 at home against the Rams.”

NE 22, LAR 28 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.

“Cleveland laying one on the road at New Orleans.”

NO 35, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -21 vs line -1; busts.

“Atlanta getting 2.5 at Denver.”

DEN 38, ATL 6 — Atlanta Falcons margin -32 vs line +2.5; busts.

“Kansas City getting 2.5 at Buffalo.”

BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.

“Travis Kelsey anytime touchdown he scored last week he could have scored twice he he's you know the bane of the Bills existence I like a Kelsey anytime touchdown. I assume that's probably like plus 130 would be my guess. The producers can tell me in my ear. That's the offer that I'm presenting to the audience. I don't really do player props, but that's the one I'll do. All right, quick plus 140.”

Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown against the Bills, finishing with 2 catches for 8 yards in the Chiefs' 30-21 loss. (2 rec, 8 yds, 0 TD)

“i am definitively going to bet the texans on the money line tonight so i'm putting it in the picks”

NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.

“Chicago getting one and a half at Arizona.”

ARI 29, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -20 vs line +1.5; busts.

“So, listen, I feel bad fading the Prince, but Green Bay minus four, I think, is the sharp side of this one, DeMondsey.”

JAX 27, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line -4; busts.

“So I'll take New Orleans plus the seven.”

LAC 26, NO 8 — New Orleans Saints margin -18 vs line +7; busts.

“The Bears are winning this game, and they're winning this game by more than a field goal. And so, now, if Jaden plays, I would feel totally differently. But this line says Vegas does not think Jaden is playing. The Bears would not be 2.5-point road favorites against Chicago if Jaden were playing. In fact, I think the Bears would not be 2.5-road favorites against Washington if Jaden were playing. In fact, I think it would be Washington by 2 instead of Chicago by 2.5.”

WSH 18, CHI 15 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“So Seattle plus three and a half.”

SEA 24, SF 36 — Seattle Seahawks margin -12 vs line +3.5; busts.

“but the pick right now will get locked at Washington plus six and a half.”

BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.

“So I'll take Arizona plus five and a half.”

GB 34, ARI 13 — Arizona Cardinals margin -21 vs line +5.5; busts.

“So I'll wait until Sunday morning to bet this. But right now, Carolina plus 6.5.”

CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +6.5; busts.

• Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards lost
• Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards lost

“are coming off 300 yard games so with that exchange rate in mind the offer is Trevor and Caleb to both throw for 250 at plus 400 I'll take it I like that offer taken yeah I'll take it I a”

Parlay busts: Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards +250 — lost; Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards +250 — lost.

“I'll swallow the 6.5 and take Seattle”

SEA 20, NYG 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.

• Patrick Mahomes 2+ passing TDs
• Baker Mayfield 2+ passing TDs
• Caleb Williams 2+ passing TDs

“Pat, Caleb, and Baker, two-plus touchdowns.”

KC 26, NO 13 — Mahomes threw 0 passing TDs (both Chiefs TDs were rushes) in KC 26-13 over NO on 2024-10-07; Mayfield (3) and Williams (2) hit, but the Mahomes leg sinks the parlay.

“Yes, Dallas minus six at the Giants tonight.”

NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -6; busts.

“Atlanta minus two and a half.”

ATL 26, NO 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.

“So I got the Rams plus 3 at Chicago”

CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3; busts.

“I love Chicago plus a point and a half.”

IND 21, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.

“I'll take Dallas plus the one yeah never pass up opportunity to lose some money”

DAL 25, BAL 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line +1; busts.

“You've got Indy minus 3 at Green Bay. Yeah, I mean, if you're laying less than a field goal with the opportunity to bet against Malik Willis, it's just, to me, I just have to do it. Malik Willis, God bless him, can't throw the football.”

GB 16, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -3; busts.

“I'll lay the three and a half with Seattle.”

NE 20, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.

“next you have Green Bay plus two and a half at Philly yeah I mean this is I think Green Bay is going to win the game”

PHI 34, GB 29 — Green Bay Packers margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.

“next one cincinnati minus eight and a half versus New England. Alright, here's the thing on this. To me, this is simply a question of can the Bengals get to 20 points? Okay? New England's not getting to 13.”

CIN 10, NE 16 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line -8.5; busts.

“Last one you got the Rams plus 3.5 at Detroit. Yeah, so I just think this is a field goal game.”

DET 26, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“The juice on this is strong. It's minus 160. Now the producers remind me that Nick you were so anti betting on the Vikings at minus 170 but you okay with the Bears at minus 160 Well first of all that 10 cents matters Second of all I think that the Vikings they have more paths the Vikings do to finding eight wins than the Bears do to not winning nine games. The Bears are going to win 11 games, maybe 12 games. So I like the Bears over eight and a half, more on the Bears later.”

Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 wins line — the over selection lost. (CHI 2024: 5-12)

“I'll take Philly under the 10 and a half.”

Eagles finished the 2024 regular season 14-3, well over the 10.5 wins line — the under selection lost. (PHI 2024: 14-3)

“the Bears plus 340 to win the NFC North. Now, I also am on them. So the Bears, they could bite me because I'm on them on their over and I'm on them to win the NFC North.”

Bears finished 5-12, 4th in the NFC North; did not win the division. (5-12, 4th NFC North)

“And then Cincinnati at plus 165 to win their division”

Ravens won the AFC North; Bengals missed the playoffs entirely. (Bengals missed playoffs; Ravens won AFC North)

“Dallas to win the division is plus 175.”

Cowboys finished 7-10, 3rd in the NFC East; Eagles won the division at 14-3. (7-10, 3rd NFC East)

“And then a flyer. Flyer. The one flyer. Washington to win that same division at 11 to one.”

Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3; Commanders did not win the division. (Eagles won NFC East 14-3)

• Chiefs to win AFC West
• Bills to win AFC East
• Bengals to win AFC North

“it is a Chiefs-Bills-Bengals division winner parlay at plus 975.”

Chiefs won the AFC West (15-2) and Bills won the AFC East (13-4), but the Bengals did not win the AFC North — the Baltimore Ravens took the division at 12-5 while Cincinnati missed the playoffs entirely. Parlay lost on the Bengals leg. (Chiefs WON AFC West / Bills WON AFC East / Bengals LOST (Ravens won AFC North))

“Our next category is making or missing the playoffs So last year you bet New York Jets to miss the playoffs That obviously cashed And then you had Kansas City, Dallas. I had some parlays. Oh, yeah. You had Kansas City, Dallas, and Jacksonville parlayed to make the playoffs. That didn't hit. Cleveland, the Jets, and Detroit to miss. That one didn't hit. So this is the other spot where the Jags ruined me. So last year, like you said, I put two units on the Jets to miss. It was one of the best bets we made all year. I had, and I don't know if we have the graphic to show it, I had at good odds the Chiefs, Dallas, and Jacksonville to make. The Chiefs clinched early. The Cowboys clinched early. The Jags started 8-3 and then fell apart. So that was plus 160. That was a two-unit bet. So that was a painful one. That's where I was saying, again, the Jags, we had them in divisions. Jacksonville really killed me. And then Cleveland, New York, and Detroit to miss. That was a quarter-unit bet at plus 755. That was a bad bet because Cleveland and Detroit made it. So that was just a bad bet. But the Jacksonville one killed me. All right, so I have, Demonse, three teams that I'm straight up betting to miss, and then I have some parlays, okay? So, straight up to miss, the Jets, for reasons previously discussed, they're plus 138. The Philadelphia, if you remember earlier, let me find it. Oh, no, Philadelphia, as previously discussed, I'm fading them all year, plus 235 to miss.”

Eagles made the playoffs and won Super Bowl LIX, so they did not miss the playoffs. (14-3, Super Bowl LIX champions)

• Giants to miss playoffs
• Raiders to miss playoffs
• Steelers to miss playoffs
• Saints to miss playoffs

“The following four teams to miss the postseason. the Giants the Raiders the Steelers the Saints those four teams to miss the playoffs you get plus 200”

Giants, Raiders, and Saints all missed the 2024-25 NFL playoffs, but the Pittsburgh Steelers made it as the AFC's No. 6 seed at 10-7. Parlay lost on the Steelers leg. (Giants/Raiders/Saints missed; Steelers made playoffs (10-7, No. 6 seed))

• Chiefs to make playoffs
• Bills to make playoffs
• Rams to make playoffs
• Bears to make playoffs

“To make the playoffs, this is much harder because it's longer odds. The Chiefs, free money. The Bills should do it. and then the two teams I'm riding in the NFC, the Rams and the Bears, that's 7-1. That's a half unit bet.”

Chiefs, Bills, and Rams all made the 2024-25 playoffs, but the Chicago Bears missed the postseason, finishing 5-12. Parlay lost on the Bears leg. (Chiefs/Bills/Rams made playoffs; Bears missed (5-12))

• Packers to miss playoffs
• Jets to miss playoffs
• Eagles to miss playoffs

“And then a flyer of three teams everyone's high on but me, that Demonse is just going to hate this bet, but that's okay. Green Bay, the Jets, and the Eagles, all to miss. it's plus 1720 and that is a quarter unit bet”

The Jets missed the playoffs, but both the Green Bay Packers (11-6, No. 7 seed) and Philadelphia Eagles (14-3, NFC East champs, went on to win Super Bowl LIX) made the playoffs. Parlay lost on the Packers and Eagles legs. (Jets missed; Packers (11-6) and Eagles (14-3) both made playoffs)

“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”

Super Bowl LIX was Chiefs vs. Eagles, not Chiefs vs. Bears; the Bears did not reach the Super Bowl. (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”

Chiefs reached Super Bowl LIX but lost to the Eagles 40-22 (and opponent was Eagles, not Bears). (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)

“So I've said Dallas in five. So Dallas in 5 at 12-1 is... I like the value of it. Now, would I be better off just betting Dallas in each individual game? I don't know. But if I'm doing a specific series bet, I would go Dallas in 5.”

Boston Celtics defeated Dallas Mavericks 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals; Dallas did not win in 5 games (or at all). (Celtics won series 4-1)

“There is only one of these bets being offered to me that I like. And that's finals MVP at plus 205.”

Jaylen Brown of the Celtics was named 2024 NBA Finals MVP, not Luka Doncic. (Jaylen Brown won Finals MVP)

“I'm going to pick Philly to beat the Knicks”

The New York Knicks beat the 76ers 4-2 in the 2024 NBA first round, closing it out behind Jalen Brunson's 41-point Game 6. (Knicks def. 76ers 4-2)

“my big pre-masters bet Margaret and now Xander Shoffley 20-1 to win the Masters”

Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters; Xander Schauffele did not win. (2024 Masters champion: Scottie Scheffler)

“off we got the bears at eight and a half um in 2023 they finished with a seven and ten record does keenan allen and caleb williams equal two more wins is eight and a half too high too low or just right for Chicago Too low This is one of my favorite preliminary bets The Bears are going to win at least nine games”

Bears finished the 2024 season 5-12, under 8.5 wins. (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)

“alright the Cowboys didn have the best offseason either but I guess they do get to play the Giants twice Is 10 too high too low or just right for the Cowboys Too low. So Dallas gets four games against Washington and the Giants.”

Cowboys finished the 2024 season 7-10, under 10 wins. (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)

“and you've got Purdy over a half interception at minus 140. Yeah, listen, of those ones, I'll take the Purdy interception. Purdy's throwing a pick.”

KC 25, SF 22 — Brock Purdy threw 0 interceptions in Super Bowl LVIII (23/38, 255 yds, 1 TD). The game's only interception was thrown by Patrick Mahomes, picked off by Ji'Ayir Brown. Over 0.5 INT bet loses. (23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 0 INT)

“Anytime touchdown score Kelsey minus 110 Christian Christian McCaffrey at minus 215 there was she rice at plus 130 I Mean McCaffrey the smart bet if these odds were at all close But minus 215 is too much juice if I believe the Niners are going to struggle offensively I'll take Kelsey. Kelsey's legitimately behind on a per—”

Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII despite 9 catches for 93 yards. (9 rec, 93 rec yds, 0 TD)

• Kansas City Chiefs closed +106 · CLV 0¢
• Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer
• Travis Kelce over 70.5 receiving yards closed +70.5 · CLV 0
• Patrick Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards closed +26 · CLV -0.5

“Chiefs Moneyline plus Kelsey anytime touchdown score plus Kelsey over 70.5 yards plus Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards at plus 850. Lock it in.”

Chiefs won Super Bowl LVIII in OT and Kelce (93 rec yds) and Mahomes (66 rush yds) cleared their prop lines, but Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown in the game, so the anytime-TD leg failed and the parlay lost. (Chiefs win 25-22 (OT); Kelce 9-93-0; Mahomes 66 rush yds, 0 rush TD)

“I'll take houston plus nine and a half the the ravens are your team go right ahead”

BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9.5; busts.

“Next, you've got San Francisco minus 9.5 versus Green Bay. Yeah, I mean, this just feels like a game that San Francisco gets out to a 14-3 lead and does exactly what they want to do.”

SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

“I do like Detroit to win this game, but it feels like a 23-20 type of game. I think that a lot of the blitzes Todd Bowles and the Bucs did last week are not going to work against Detroit, but seven points is too many points, and so I'll take Tampa plus the seven.”

DET 31, TB 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -8 vs line +7; busts.

“but I'll take Cleveland minus two and a half in round one at Houston”

HOU 45, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -31 vs line -2.5; busts.

“Six because of a touchdown by Pittsburgh and a missed extra point. Like, I mean, these conditions are going to be brutal, but Buffalo oddly is not as good as you would expect in terrible conditions, given where they play. Also, we know Tomlin as an underdog is unbelievable. Josh Allen hasn't covered seven straight games as a double digit favorite. And Josh Allen is always over. Josh Allen's 2-6 against the spread in his playoff career. He's always overvalued come the postseason. I'm getting the better coach. You can't say the better defense because TJ Watt's out for the game. But I'm getting the better coach and a team that wants to run the ball in these terrible conditions. I will take the 10 points.”

Steelers +10 failed to cover: Bills won 31-17, a 14-point margin, more than the 10 points Pittsburgh was getting. Note: the pick's eventDate (2024-01-13) doesn't match this game's actual date — Bills-Steelers Wild Card was played Monday Jan 15, 2024 (postponed from Jan 14 due to weather). (Final: Bills 31, Steelers 17 (Pittsburgh +10, lost by 14))

“Dallas minus 7.5 against Green Bay is my second favorite bet of the weekend.”

DAL 32, GB 48 — Dallas Cowboys margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.

“And so Cleveland's locked into the five. Cincinnati's locked out. I'm getting seven points. Cleveland might win outright. They're certainly not getting blown out. Give me the full seven. I'll take Cleveland.”

CIN 31, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +7; busts.

“New England minus a point and a half.”

NE 3, NYJ 17 — New England Patriots margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.

“Miami plus three at home against Buffalo.”

MIA 14, BUF 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -7 vs line +3; busts.

“I think Atlanta stinks. I think Indy's getting healthier. Jonathan Taylor's supposed to play. Indy's the better team. Indy needs the game. Atlanta I think people are getting fired they just went to Heineke they go Ritter, Heineke, Heineke, Ritter it's all the same we like Indy plus one”

ATL 29, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -19 vs line +1; busts.

“Dallas plus one and a half at Miami. Yeah, Miami is incredibly banged up. Dallas doesn't lose back-to-back. Dallas' offense, I think, will click back in. Miami, this is a bit of a, I don't want to say a trap game spot, but Miami's massive game is next week against Baltimore and then the following week against Buffalo. If there was ever a week that they could, I don't want to say overlook because it's national TV, they're at home, they're playing a great team, but they have massive games coming up in Week 17 and 18. Dallas coming off a loss Miami coming off an easy victory Dallas has to have the win with Philly All of a sudden looking really shaky Dallas can steal that division I like Dallas to win”

MIA 22, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.

“The Giants, on the other hand, Dable's going to have them convinced, we win this game, we could make the playoffs. Now, they can't and they won't, but that's going to be their mind frame going into the game. New Orleans does not deserve to be a six-point favorite over anyone in the league except for Carolina, so I'll take the six points”

NO 24, NYG 6 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +6; busts.

“I'll take the Cowboys to win outright.”

BUF 31, DAL 10 — Dallas Cowboys lost outright 10-31 to the Buffalo Bills; the moneyline pick loses.