“yeah listen i will i'm gonna go in reverse order i i would be stunned if switzerland beats”
Nick Wright
Host · 336-437-11 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 6-4 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 187 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | prop | moneyline | parlay | other | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 180-190-7% | 62-73+3% | 21-41-32% | 10-10-0% | 10-27+56% | 0-2 | 0-1 | 283-344-4% |
| NBA | 2-2 | 24-45-31% | 3-7-43% | 8-12-24% | — | 1-1 | — | 38-67-29% |
| CBB | 4-4-5% | 1-7-79% | — | — | 0-1 | — | — | 5-12-45% |
| World Cup | — | 3-3-9% | — | 4-3+6% | — | 0-1 | — | 7-7-8% |
| Other | — | 2-3+26% | — | — | — | — | — | 2-3+26% |
Picks
873 total · 85 pending“but Spain should beat Belgium.”
“So at 25 to one, I don't mind it.”
“but we'll just do an even money money line bet i'll take the chiefs you take the broncos he said yes”
“The Pistons are not winning three straight games.”
“So, you know, I think they finish it up in five,”
“and Knicks-Hawks, I believe, is going seven. [1:22:03] And I think the Knicks will win.”
“but I think Cleveland will win that series”
“But I think this is too low. I think the Cowboys are going to draft two defensive players in the first round.”
“I think this is too low, and Dallas right now is my preseason lean for divisional winner. I think Dallas wins 11 games next year.”
“but I think this is an under. I think they are more likely to win nine games than they are to win 12 games, and so at 10.5, I'll go with the under.”
“This is an under. I don't think they, despite trying to address it this offseason, have the defensive personnel.”
“I think they find their way to 10 wins so I slightly right now this moment lean to the over”
“So a slight under for Green Bay.”
“This is really a fade the public play, even though there's juice on the under, because people are way too high on Kyler Murray to the Vikings.”
“So just real quick, for the NFC, I would lean getting plus 325.”
“I will go with the under for the Falcons.”
“but six and a half wins for a defending division champ that is returning its quarterback and coach is a slap in the face”
“I will go under in New Orleans.”
“I will go with Tampa for the over.”
“I think they're going to win the division. I like them at plus 160 to win the division.”
“I hate going under a win total that low, but I feel like they've got 0-6 in the division.”
“but i still think they're a 13 win team that's an over”
“I actually think that's an over.”
“However, for the division, I like the Rams. The Rams are the slight division favorite.”
“despite all of that for Buffalo I will take the over because what you said was the most important.”
“And I love Buffalo at minus 145 to win the division.”
“Their total is at 4.5. And I'm here to tell you, that's too high. They are going to be the worst team in the league by a lot. I would be on two-win watch for the Miami Dolphins.”
“I think they're a 9 win team so you could say that means it's just right I think it's more likely they win 8 than they win 11 so I think that's just too high.”
“are the where i baltimore minus 140 for the division i just like it i i just like it”
“but to me this is too high I would go under on Pittsburgh”
“So I'm going to say this is too high. This, to me, would be an under.”
“And so, to me, that's too high. That's too high for them.”
“but I believe in the Jags. Yeah. Year two of Liam Cohen get Travis Hunter back Trevor feeling the best he felt I think they a double digit win team i think the best team in that division and so that too low”
“I like Jacksonville. I like Jacksonville a lot at plus one 75.”
“So I think they're an over. I really do.”
“That's too low. They're still the best team in that division. That's an over for me. And you can get plus 100 on the over.”
“This is a red hot under for me. This is way too, this is too high.”
“And so I like that The Chiefs are the favorites to win the division. Barely at plus 165. I like that.”
“Listen, I'll definitely bet the Chiefs at 15-1 to win the Super Bowl.”
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver.”
“i'm taking san francisco plus the seven definitely there”
“So I will take New England minus the three.”
“And then lastly, you have the Rams, minus four at Chicago. Yeah, I just don't trust that the Bears' defense is going to be able to slow down the Rams at all.”
“So I will take Miami plus the eight and a half and Miami on the money line.”
“And I'll take Miami on the money line plus two 60.”
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown
- Davante Adams anytime touchdown
- Puka Nacua anytime touchdown
“Josh Allen, Devontae Adams, Puka Nakua. A three-player touchdown genie parlay.”
- Under 45
- Over 49
“under 45 in Niner Seahawks, over 49 in Rams-Bears, plus 265.”
“I will swallow this huge number and lay the 10.5 with the Rams.”
“I'll take Chicago plus one the bears might have the better coach”
“I will take jacksonville plus one and to be clear”
“I'll take the four points with the chargers taking the four”
“I don't think they could win four playoff games but I think they can beat the Texans”
“Now, the Rams obviously should handle Carolina in round one, but they lost in Carolina this year. I mean, I think they'll win that game.”
“you got Jacksonville minus 6.5 at Indy”
“you got Pittsburgh minus four at Cleveland This was originally at four and a half It just dropped to four”
“buffalo minus two and a half versus philly i think buffalo is a lot better”
“our one underdog we're taking chicago plus three at san francisco”
- Sam Darnold over 200 passing yards
- Sam Darnold 2+ passing touchdowns
“So Sam Darnold, 200-plus passing yards and two touchdowns.”
“The Chargers laying 2.5 at home against Denver.”
“I like Detroit plus the 4.5.”
- Saints to miss the playoffs
- Jets to miss the playoffs
- Browns to miss the playoffs
- Colts to miss the playoffs
“Saints, Jets, Browns, Colts, all to miss the playoffs, minus 135, two units.”
- Ravens to win the AFC North
- Bills to win the AFC East
“We got Baltimore plus Buffalo at plus 106.”
- New Orleans Saints to miss the playoffs
- New York Jets to miss the playoffs
- Cleveland Browns to miss the playoffs
- Indianapolis Colts to miss the playoffs
“We got New Orleans, the Jets, and Cleveland all to miss the playoffs.”
- Patrick Mahomes 2+ passing TDs
- Baker Mayfield 2+ passing TDs
- Caleb Williams 2+ passing TDs
“Pat, Caleb, and Baker, two-plus touchdowns.”
- Chiefs to win AFC West
- Bills to win AFC East
- Bengals to win AFC North
“it is a Chiefs-Bills-Bengals division winner parlay at plus 975.”
- Giants to miss playoffs
- Raiders to miss playoffs
- Steelers to miss playoffs
- Saints to miss playoffs
“The following four teams to miss the postseason. the Giants the Raiders the Steelers the Saints those four teams to miss the playoffs you get plus 200”
- Chiefs to make playoffs
- Bills to make playoffs
- Rams to make playoffs
- Bears to make playoffs
“To make the playoffs, this is much harder because it's longer odds. The Chiefs, free money. The Bills should do it. and then the two teams I'm riding in the NFC, the Rams and the Bears, that's 7-1. That's a half unit bet.”
- Packers to miss playoffs
- Jets to miss playoffs
- Eagles to miss playoffs
“And then a flyer of three teams everyone's high on but me, that Demonse is just going to hate this bet, but that's okay. Green Bay, the Jets, and the Eagles, all to miss. it's plus 1720 and that is a quarter unit bet”
“I think under two and a half three-pointers made on average for the series is actually the smart bet.”
“I really like under 27.2 points per game for Jason Tatum.”
“I went on TV yesterday and I picked the Lakers to win the series”
“I'm going to pick Philly to beat the Knicks”
- Detroit Lions NFC #1 seed
- Kansas City Chiefs AFC #1 seed
“Detroit and Kansas City parlayed to be the number one seeds in their division at plus 1,200.”
- Jaguars to win AFC South
- Chiefs to win AFC West
“Jags-Chiefs division winner parlay plus 156.”
- Jimmy Butler over 9.5 assists
- Michael Porter Jr. under 15.5 points per game
“so butler finals mvp porter jr under 15 and a half points per game jimmy 10 plus assists roll it in”
“I think Denver is going to win the series.”
“Also, I've got the Heat in this series.”
“Warriors-Kings, I've got the Kings in seven.”
- Seattle Seahawks to miss playoffs
- New York Jets to miss playoffs
- Atlanta Falcons to miss playoffs
- New England Patriots to miss playoffs
“So Seattle, the Jets in Atlanta, and New England to miss the playoffs”
- Kansas City Chiefs to make playoffs
- Baltimore Ravens to make playoffs
- Indianapolis Colts to make playoffs
- San Francisco 49ers to make playoffs
“Casey, Baltimore, Indy, and the Niners.”
- Buffalo Bills to win AFC East
- Kansas City Chiefs to win AFC West
- Indianapolis Colts to win AFC South
“so Buffalo, Indy and KC”
“I've got the Bucs.”
“I think Dallas is going to beat Phoenix No I not backing down at all and I not at all going to apologize”
“All right, so 50 bucks on, I've got the bucks, you've got the Celtics,”
“I think Croatia is going to beat Portugal.”
POR 2, CRO 1 — Croatia lost; moneyline loses.
“I am here to tell you I love Mexico in this spot.”
MEX 2, ENG 3 — Mexico lost; moneyline loses.
“I think they're going to do it.”
USA 1, BEL 4 — United States lost; moneyline loses.
“that's not going to happen i like you know argentina advances”
ARG 3, CPV 2 — Argentina won; moneyline wins.
“I think France is going to probably put up another three or four goals again”
PAR 0, FRA 1 — France won; moneyline wins.
“speaking of hard rock bet i have a i am all in on dr congo tonight”
DR Congo beat Uzbekistan 3-1 (comeback win) on June 27/28, 2026, completing progression to the knockout stage. (DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan)
“The U.S. to advance to the round of 16 on Hard Rock Bet is right now minus 275.”
The US won Group D, beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32, and reached/played the Round of 16 (lost 4-1 to Belgium on July 6) — the bet was on reaching the Round of 16, which they did. (USA reached R16, lost 1-4 to Belgium (Jul 6))
“beginning. Brazil upsets Argentina, and then Brazil upsets France to win the World Cup.”
Brazil was eliminated in the Round of 16, losing 1-2 to Norway on July 5, 2026 (Haaland brace); cannot win the World Cup. (Norway 2-1 Brazil (R16, Jul 5))
“By the way, Demondsey on the game tomorrow, I do think they're going to win.”
USA 2, AUS 0 — United States won; moneyline wins.
“So I think the Knicks will win game five.”
SA 90, NY 94 — New York Knicks won; moneyline covers.
“I am wholly and entirely confident the Knicks are gonna win this series.”
New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 over the Spurs (moneyline to win the series).
“I am my pick and my bet is on Brazil, but I did have I do have a little sprinkle on Norway.”
Brazil eliminated in the Round of 16 (lost 2-1 to Norway); cannot win the World Cup.
“Yeah. I like one nil US over Paraguay.”
USA beat Paraguay 4-1 on June 12, 2026, not 1-0. USA won the match but the exact correct-score pick (1-0) loses.
“I think they're gonna beat Paraguay. [33:12] They're gonna beat Australia, [33:14] and they're gonna draw against Turkiye and win the group and get seven points, and then we'll see who we draw.”
The United States won Group D, finishing 1st ahead of Australia and Paraguay. (Group D final: USA 1st, Australia 2nd, Paraguay 3rd, Turkey 4th)
“the Knicks will win game four. I do think they're gonna go up three one.”
NY 107, SA 106 — New York Knicks won; moneyline covers.
“I actually feel pretty good about my Knicks in six prediction.”
'Knicks in 6' lost; the Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 (4-1).
“I said I'm picking Brazil. Brazil's seven to one on Hardrock Bet.”
Brazil eliminated in the Round of 16 (lost 2-1 to Norway); cannot win the World Cup.
“I think the Knicks steal game one. And I think the Knicks win the series in six at MSG”
'Knicks in 6' lost; the Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals in 5 (4-1).
“I think the Knicks steal game one.”
SA 104, NY 105 — New York Knicks won; moneyline covers.
“Oh, I think the Spurs will win tonight. Yeah. I just don't think they're gonna win it.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — San Antonio Spurs won; moneyline covers.
“I don't they're they're gonna win seven. I've said Thunder in seven from the beginning.”
Oklahoma City Thunder lost the 2026 Western Conference Finals; the San Antonio Spurs won it 4-3 in Game 7.
“I have bet the Knicks to win the title. I will bet them again once the matchup is set.”
New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA championship, 4-1 over the San Antonio Spurs.
“but i i do think that this is the knicks series to lose i think the knicks win tonight and i think that”
NY 115, CLE 104 — New York Knicks won; moneyline covers.
“i also if people are upset like i don't think the calves can win this series”
New York Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals, sweeping the Cleveland Cavaliers 4-0.
“And because of that, I think Minnesota steals game five tonight.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — Minnesota Timberwolves lost; moneyline busts.
“I think Detroit's gonna win is Cleveland is undefeated at home these playoffs”
Cavaliers beat the Pistons 4-3 in the East semifinals, so Detroit did not win the series.
“I think Lakers in six. If it's not Lakers in six, they cannot lose a home game seven.”
Lakers won their first-round series over the Rockets 4-2 (in 6), matching 'Lakers in 6'.
“I think the Celtics are going to go to Philly tonight and win.”
PHI 106, BOS 93 — Boston Celtics lost; moneyline busts.
“I do think the Hawks stave off elimination tonight”
ATL 89, NY 140 — Atlanta Hawks lost; moneyline busts.
“My picks for this evening are”
MIN 110, DEN 98 — Denver Nuggets lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the Lakers are going to win in Game 6 in Houston.”
HOU 78, LAL 98 — Los Angeles Lakers won; moneyline covers.
“I still think the Magic wrap this up in Orlando tomorrow night.”
ORL 79, DET 93 — Orlando Magic lost; moneyline busts.
“So right now, my pick for the series would be Magic in six.”
Pistons beat the Magic 4-3 in the first round, so Orlando did not win in 6 (or at all).
“I picked Knicks in seven”
Knicks beat the Hawks 4-2, winning the series but in 6 games, not the predicted 7.
“So, like, I don't – I fully expect the Lakers to close out the Rockets in Game 5.”
LAL 93, HOU 99 — Los Angeles Lakers lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the odds are overwhelmingly it's going to be Shea.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won the 2025-26 NBA MVP.
“I bet the Lakers to win the series. The moment the Lakers, I was on TV after game one, I said, switch in my pick. I think the Lakers will win the series”
Lakers beat the Rockets 4-2 in the first round, so the Lakers won the series.
“I think Ruben Bain Jr. is going to be the pick.”
Reuben Bain Jr. to be drafted No. 9 overall by the Kansas City Chiefs. Bain (EDGE, Miami) went No. 15 to the Buccaneers; pick No. 9 was OT Spencer Fano to the Browns, and the Chiefs' first pick was CB Mansoor Delane at No. 6.
“Have you seen enough to switch your pick from Houston to the Lakers? Yeah. Yeah. I'm going to go with the Lakers.”
Lakers beat the Rockets 4-2 in the first round, so the Lakers won the series.
“I said I didn think I picked Nuggets in six and I still think it be Nuggets in six”
Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 4-2 in the first round, so Denver did not win in 6.
“even if the knicks went now the knicks maybe they won't win the series i still think they will”
Knicks beat the Hawks 4-2; the spoken pick was that the Knicks win the series (the '(in 7)' label was not asserted in the quote), and they did.
“I would be stunned. Absolutely gobsmacked if the Celtic Sixers series goes more than five. I think at this point, probably it goes four.”
76ers beat the Celtics 4-3 in the first round, so Boston did not win in 4 (or at all).
“okc and four over phoenix or golden state is my pick”
Thunder swept the Suns 4-0 in the first round, matching the OKC-in-4 pick.
“spurs win by 40 and then they take care of it at home in game five”
Spurs beat the Trail Blazers 4-1 in the first round, matching the Spurs-in-5 pick.
“I will take Denver over Minnesota in six.”
Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 4-2 in the first round, so Denver did not win in 6.
“detroit over the winner of orlando charlotte in a gentleman sweep in five”
Pistons beat the Magic 4-3, so Detroit advanced but in 7 games, not the predicted 5.
“Boston over Philly in six.”
76ers beat the Celtics 4-3 in the first round, so Boston did not win in 6.
“I take the Knicks over the Hawks in seven”
Knicks beat the Hawks 4-2, winning the series but in 6 games, not the predicted 7.
“I will take the Cavs over the Raptors in six.”
Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1, winning the series but in 5 games, not the predicted 6.
“OKC over Houston in a gentleman's sweep”
Houston lost in the first round (Lakers won 4-2), so the predicted Thunder-over-Rockets second-round sweep never occurred; OKC swept the Lakers in the West semis instead.
“Denver over the Spurs in six games”
Denver lost in the first round (Timberwolves won 4-2), so the predicted Nuggets-over-Spurs second-round series never occurred; Spurs beat the Timberwolves 4-2 in the West semis.
“Detroit over Cleveland in six.”
Cavaliers beat the Pistons 4-3 in the East semifinals, so Detroit did not win in 6 (or at all).
“Boston over the Knicks in six.”
Boston lost in the first round (76ers won 4-3), so the predicted Celtics-over-Knicks second-round series never occurred; Knicks swept the 76ers 4-0 in the East semis.
“The Denver Nuggets, in seven games, go to Oklahoma City and end their title defense a game shy of the NBA Finals.”
Denver Nuggets did not win the 2026 Western Conference; the San Antonio Spurs did, beating OKC 4-3 in the WCF.
“Boston beats Detroit in six.”
Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 Eastern Conference; the New York Knicks did.
“Jason Tatum, Jalen Brown, and the Boston Celtics win the NBA championship.”
Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 NBA championship; the New York Knicks did (4-1 over the Spurs).
“So my MVP ballot goes Shea, then Joker, then Wimby, then Luka, then Cade.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won the 2025-26 NBA MVP, matching the pick.
“defensive player of the year it's Wimby by a mile”
Victor Wembanyama won 2025-26 Defensive Player of the Year (unanimous).
“I ended up going Wimby's teammate Kelton Johnson”
Keldon Johnson won 2025-26 Sixth Man of the Year.
“Rookie of the Year I went Cooper Flagg”
Cooper Flagg won 2025-26 Rookie of the Year.
“I am going to give my vote to Jalen Duren.”
Most Improved Player went to Nickeil Alexander-Walker, not Jalen Duren.
“Clutch player of the year, I already said, Shea.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won 2025-26 Clutch Player of the Year.
“coach of the year is joe missoula and I just think the job he done is remarkable”
Joe Mazzulla won 2025-26 Coach of the Year.
“Finals MVP, in a true storybook, I'm going Jason Tatum.”
Jayson Tatum did not win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP; Jalen Brunson did.
“If I think the Sixers are going to win, which I do, probably better off saving that trip and that money for a game against them in Boston.”
PHI 109, ORL 97 — Philadelphia 76ers won; moneyline covers.
“I think Boston at plus 550 is a bet.”
Boston Celtics did not win the 2026 NBA championship; the New York Knicks did (4-1 over the Spurs).
“But he's who I'm rooting for, and he's who I bet on, and he's my pick.”
2026 Masters was won by Rory McIlroy. Jon Rahm finished T38 (+1), so the outright lost.
“But I would be rolling with both underdogs on this one, and they're both tiny underdogs. Arizona plus one-and-a-half and UConn plus one-and-a-half would be my two picks.”
ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Arizona Wildcats margin -18 vs line +1.5; busts.
“but I like Arizona plus point and a half and UConn plus a point and a half.”
CONN 71, ILL 62 — UConn Huskies margin +9 vs line +1.5; covers.
“so I'm gonna pile on more on Houston Houston to win the South at plus 110”
Houston (+110) to win the South region. Houston lost the South region final (Elite Eight) to Illinois 65-55. Bet lost.
“And I also like tomorrow, St. John's getting 6.5 against Duke.”
DUKE 80, SJU 75 — St. John's Red Storm margin -5 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Houston to win the whole thing at 9-1.”
Houston (+900) to win the 2026 NCAA championship. Houston lost the Elite Eight to Illinois 65-55; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.
“Arizona to win its region, to make the final four at minus 155.”
Arizona (-155) to win the West region and reach the 2026 Final Four. Arizona won its region (beat Purdue 79-64 in the Elite Eight) and reached the Final Four. Bet won.
“Assuming Jamal Murray illness was just a night I take the Nuggets”
OKC 127, DEN 121 — Denver Nuggets lost; moneyline busts.
“For the Super Bowl, I am laying the points with Seattle. Minus 4.5 against New England.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -4.5; covers.
“travion henderson under three and a half receiving yards minus 120.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards)
“So I think Kenneth Walker's going to score, and the minus 200 price says... Vegas obviously agrees with me on it.”
Despite 135 rushing yards and Super Bowl MVP honors, Kenneth Walker III did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX.
“And because of that, I like Cooper Cup at plus 260.”
Cooper Kupp had no touchdown in Super Bowl LX (6 catches, 61 yds), so the anytime-TD prop missed.
“I like Drake plus 275 to score a touchdown.”
Drake Maye threw two TD passes but did not score himself in Super Bowl LX, so the anytime-TD prop missed.
“I like Darnold to have at least 245 passing yards, so I will go over 232.5.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards vs over 232.5; busts. (Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards)
“Drake May under one and a half passing touchdowns at minus 160”
Drake Maye threw 2 passing touchdowns (to Hollins and Stevenson), over the 1.5 line, so the under lost.
“Sam Darnold over 19.5 completions at minus 135.”
Sam Darnold completed 19 of 38 passes in Super Bowl LX, falling one short of the over 19.5 line.
“I have Rashid Shahid over 4.5 at minus 115.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards vs over 4.5; busts. (Rashid Shaheed: 0 rushing_yards)
“so I think in Jig but plus 275 over a half yards worth of flyer”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba recorded no rushing attempts in Super Bowl LX, so 0 rushing yards fails the over 0.5 line. (JSN: 0 carries, 0 rushing yards (4 rec, 27 receiving yds))
“I take the under six and a half that can be live even if the over hits”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Sam Darnold: 5 rushing_yards vs under 6.5; covers. (Sam Darnold: 5 rushing_yards)
“But I like Drake May to have 45, 50 rushing yards, and I'm not worried about him taking these at the end. So I'll lay that big number.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 37.5; busts. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)
“i think one explosive rasheed shaheed play and you know i've been big on him all year”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Rashid Shaheed: 27 receiving_yards vs over 22.5; covers. (Rashid Shaheed: 27 receiving_yards)
“I don't think Matt Collins is going to be a huge part of this game”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Mack Hollins: 78 receiving_yards vs under 27.5; busts. (Mack Hollins: 78 receiving_yards)
“Demario Douglas over 10 and a half at minus 115 as well.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — DeMario Douglas: 45 receiving_yards vs over 10.5; covers. (DeMario Douglas: 45 receiving_yards)
“So I'll take under 2.5 catches for him”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Kenneth Walker III: 2 receptions vs under 2.5; covers. (Kenneth Walker III: 2 receptions)
“I'll take under a half reception for him at plus one 40.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 3 receptions vs under 0.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 3 receptions)
“I am betting him over receptions, and we have seen some games like this this year for Diggs where his yards per reception are super low”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Stefon Diggs: 3 receptions vs over 4.5; busts. (Stefon Diggs: 3 receptions)
“I'll take DeMarcus Lawrence and Leonard Williams.”
DeMarcus Lawrence recorded no sacks in Super Bowl LX, missing the over 0.5 line.
“I'll take DeMarcus Lawrence and Leonard Williams.”
Leonard Williams recorded no sacks in Super Bowl LX, missing the over 0.5 line.
“if my score prediction is 27-17, I'll just roll with the under because I'm getting a little bit of plus money on that”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 18.5 busts.
“Most passing yards, Prop Demonse, it's basically a coin flip bet. Drake Mays minus 115, Sam Darnold's minus 120. As you guys can tell from how I think it's going to go, I like Darnold in that spot.”
Sam Darnold threw for fewer yards than Drake Maye in Super Bowl LX (202 vs. 295). (Darnold 202 passing yds vs. Maye 295 passing yds)
“I think 7-1 is a good bet. Jackson Smith and Jigma could blow this up on me. Keyshawn Booty could blow this up on me, but I'll take Rashid Shahid at plus 700.”
Rashid Shaheed did not record the game's longest reception; Mack Hollins had it at 35 yards.
“longest successful field goal over under a 49.5. I'll go over. Good conditions.”
The longest successful field goal in Super Bowl LX was Jason Myers' 41-yarder, under the 49.5 line.
“each team to record one plus successful fourth down conversion at plus 125”
Neither team converted (or even attempted) a fourth down in Super Bowl LX (both 0/0), so the each-team prop missed.
“Total number of players to throw a pass over two and a half at plus 160.”
Only 2 players threw a pass in Super Bowl LX (Darnold and Maye), under the 2.5 line.
“So I will swallow the four and a half points and Seattle 27, New England 17 is my official pick.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin +16 vs line -4.5; covers.
“but travion henderson under three and a half receiving yards at minus 120 is my early super bowl prop of the week”
NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards vs under 3.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards)
“I told you guys I'm liking the JSN Anytime Touchdown. It's right around even money at minus 115.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX (4 catches, 27 yds), so the anytime-TD prop missed.
“I think the Rams win, so I'll take the Rams plus two and a half.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“And if it's a game that's going to be played in the teens and I'm getting five and a half points with the home team, I'll take those five and a half points.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Kyron Williams, anytime touchdown, plus 125. That's what I'm going with.”
Kyren Williams caught a receiving touchdown in the Rams' 31-27 NFC Championship loss to Seattle, cashing the anytime-TD prop.
“And so I don know what the betting odds are right now for MVP but this piece of news to me would put Stafford at minus 500 I think Stafford like I wager a lot of money”
Matthew Stafford won 2025 NFL MVP at NFL Honors on Feb 5, 2026.
“it's whoever you know where people got votes but i mean miles garrett's gonna win it unanimously”
Myles Garrett was named 2025 Defensive Player of the Year at NFL Honors.
“The Rams are my pick to win the Super Bowl.”
The Rams lost the NFC Championship to Seattle and did not win Super Bowl LX.
“That is what I, right now, that would be my pick Rams over bills in the Superbowl.”
The Rams lost the NFC Championship 31-27 to Seattle and never reached Super Bowl LX, which the Seahawks won 29-13.
“That is what I, right now, that would be my pick Rams over bills in the Superbowl.”
Buffalo lost 33-30 in OT to Denver in the Divisional Round and did not win the AFC; New England represented the conference in the Super Bowl.
“I'll take San Francisco plus 145.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“Trevor Lawrence plus 170. [1:07:08] Anytime touchdown is my touchdown genie this week.”
Trevor Lawrence threw 3 TD passes but did not score himself (6 carries, 31 rush yds, no rushing TD) in the 27-24 Wild Card loss, so the anytime-TD prop missed.
“I'll lay the two and a half with Tampa.”
Buccaneers won 16-14, only a 2-point margin, which does not cover -2.5. (Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 (margin 2, needed 2.5+))
“I think Seattle, I'll lay the point.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -1; covers.
“I'll take the Raiders plus five and a half.”
LV 14, KC 12 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm getting 12 points. I'll take Miami plus 12.”
NE 38, MIA 10 — Miami Dolphins margin -28 vs line +12; busts.
“I just like Pittsburgh getting the points This game is going someone winning this game by three I don know who I getting three and a half points So I take Pittsburgh plus three and a half.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Mike Evans plus 165 anytime touchdown”
Mike Evans did not score (13-yard catch) in Tampa Bay's 16-14 Week 18 win over Carolina; the Bucs' only touchdown was Cade Otton.
“Do you think that Shanahan should win Coach of the Year at plus 150 at number two and CMC at Offensive Player of the Year, plus 275. They're both number two. Yeah, who's number one for both of those? Because those would be my picks. I think Shanahan's been Coach of the Year.”
Kyle Shanahan did not win Coach of the Year; Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel took the award at the Feb 5, 2026 NFL Honors.
“Christian McCaffrey should win Offensive Player of the Year over JSN, as good as JSN's been. Christian McCaffrey's been the most important non-quarterback in the league this year, and Vrabel's the favorite for the other one. No, I would give it to Shanahan and Christian McCaffrey.”
Christian McCaffrey did not win Offensive Player of the Year; Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba won it (McCaffrey took Comeback Player of the Year).
“You've got Dallas minus six and a half at Washington.”
WSH 23, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin +7 vs line -6.5; covers.
- Dallas Cowboys -0.5 won
- Detroit Lions pick'em (0) lost
- Denver Broncos -7 closed -13.5 · CLV +6.5 push
“We're going to tease Dallas to minus a half point, Detroit to a pick-em, and Denver down to minus seven. It's a six-point Christmas Day teaser at plus 140.”
Parlay busts: Dallas Cowboys -0.5 -0.5 — won; Detroit Lions pick'em (0) 0 — lost; Denver Broncos -7 -7 — push.
“For touchdown genie, throw JSN on there at even money or minus 105.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not score (113 yds) in Seattle's 27-10 Week 17 win at Carolina; the Seahawks' TDs were Zach Charbonnet and AJ Barner.
“So I just think the Titans win and I'll take the Titans and Cam Ward getting three and a half at home against the chiefs.”
TEN 26, KC 9 — Tennessee Titans margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So all that, I'll lay the three points with Tampa.”
CAR 23, TB 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“allay just two points at home against the Chargers in a game the Chargers don't really have to have next.”
DAL 17, LAC 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -17 vs line -2; busts.
“So I'll take the Jags getting three points.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“And I'm getting a full three points. So I'll take the Patriots.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“right now the Bills are my pick to win the conference.”
Buffalo did not win the AFC; the Bills fell 33-30 to Denver in the Divisional round, and New England won the conference.
“So I will take the Bills to win the game. Bills minus one in New England.”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -1; covers.
“Seattle minus 13.5 versus Indy.”
SEA 18, IND 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +2 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I'll take my 11.5 points with the Raiders.”
PHI 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +11.5; busts.
“all lay the 12.5 with San Francisco,”
SF 37, TEN 24 — San Francisco 49ers margin +13 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I'm getting 2.5 points at home in a divisional game with Burrow playing. I'll take it.”
CIN 0, BAL 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Kelsey, plus 225.”
Travis Kelce did not score in the Chiefs' 16-13 Week 15 loss to the Chargers; a late pass to him was intercepted by Derwin James.
- Kansas City Chiefs closed -280 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA Cup MVP pending
“we're going to tie up Chiefs Moneyline plus SGA to win the cup MVP for plus 114”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs — lost; Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA Cup MVP — pending.
“they're plus 375 to win the afc yeah i the which is makes them like co-favorites they're my they're my pick right now”
Buffalo did not win the AFC; the Bills lost in the Divisional round 33-30 at Denver, and New England represented the AFC in Super Bowl LX.
“I think the U.S. to win Group D at plus 120 makes a ton of sense.”
The USA won Group D at the 2026 World Cup, topping the group over Australia, Paraguay, and Turkiye. (USA finished 1st in Group D)
“Seattle minus seven at Atlanta. I still don't think people get how good the Seattle defense is. And then I will remind you, they are playing Kirk Cousins.”
ATL 9, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +28 vs line -7; covers.
“I love the Jags I think it should be Jacksonville minus two and a half it's Jacksonville plus two [21:34] I'll take the Jags plus two”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +2; covers.
“Washington i think is well coached and showed real fight [26:02] against denver i'll take washington plus two”
MIN 31, WSH 0 — Washington Commanders margin -31 vs line +2; busts.
“getting six points against what I think is a in flux Ravens team is just too much I'll take [22:49] Pittsburgh plus six.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line +6; covers.
“there were only four picks I loved, [26:58] and I'm rooting so hard for Philly, [27:00] I might as well make it one of my picks too, [27:02] double down on it.”
Eagles lost outright to the Chargers 19-22 in OT, so they did not cover -3. (Final: Chargers 22, Eagles 19 (OT))
“Trevor to throw for 400 at 60-1. The Prince takes control of the division, [37:59] 60-1.”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Trevor Lawrence: 244 passing_yards vs over 400; busts. (Trevor Lawrence: 244 passing_yards)
“but regardless, I don't, I've got the Lions tonight.”
DET 44, DAL 30 — Detroit Lions won; moneyline covers.
“I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I like getting the seven points. [18:01] I'll take Chicago plus seven.”
Bears beat the Eagles 24-15 outright on Black Friday, comfortably covering +7. (Bears 24, Eagles 15)
“Bucky Irving finally returns Tampa pounds the run Tampa minus three”
TB 20, ARI 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'll take the six points and I'll take them happily.”
CLE 8, SF 26 — Cleveland Browns margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“I'll take Seattle at home laying the 10.5.”
SEA 26, MIN 0 — Seattle Seahawks margin +26 vs line -10.5; covers.
“Patrick Mahomes, anytime touchdown at 4-1.”
Patrick Mahomes did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in the Chiefs' 31-28 Thanksgiving loss at Dallas (he threw four TD passes, which do not count for an anytime-scorer bet).
- Kareem Hunt under 33.5 rushing yards closed +34.5 · CLV -1 lost
- Rashee Rice over 72.5 receiving yards closed +76.5 · CLV +4 won
“I will take that offer, but it's going to be under 33 and a half rushing yards for Kareem Hunt, [28:00] over 72 and a half receiving yards for Ashir Rice. [28:03] That'll still be plus 225.”
Parlay busts: Kareem Hunt under 33.5 rushing yards +33.5 — lost; Rashee Rice over 72.5 receiving yards +72.5 — won.
“I am rolling with Chicago laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh.”
CHI 31, PIT 28 — Chicago Bears margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I will take the 13.5 points while I will lay the 13.5 points with Seattle.”
DET 34, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
“Tennessee's the worst team in the NFL, I will take Seattle laying the 13 and a half.”
TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I will take Arizona plus three.”
ARI 24, JAX 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I will take cleveland plus the three and a half so my five picks this weekend are the bears laying two and half at home against Pittsburgh.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Cleveland Browns margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“just go ahead and bet Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. Ride with that one.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Shedeur Sanders: 209 passing_yards vs under 160.5; busts. (Shedeur Sanders: 209 passing_yards)
“I expect the Bills to win, and I think the Texans' only path is multiple Bills turnovers, so we'll see if they can throttle down tonight.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — Buffalo Bills lost; moneyline busts.
“and I'm laying less than a field goal so I'll take Miami minus two and a half from Madrid”
MIA 16, WSH 13 — Miami Dolphins margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So Chicago getting a full three at Minnesota when I think Chicago can”
MIN 17, CHI 19 — Chicago Bears margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo.”
BUF 44, TB 32 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -12 vs line +5.5; busts.
“so I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half”
ARI 22, SF 41 — San Francisco 49ers margin +19 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half.”
DEN 22, KC 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
- Josh Jacobs to score a touchdown
- Christian McCaffrey to score a touchdown
“Touchdown Genie Parlay. Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey. Parlayed together, minus 122.”
Jacobs left early with a knee injury and never scored; McCaffrey had 3 TDs for SF, but both legs must hit for the parlay to cash. (Jacobs 7 car/40 yds, no TD (injury exit); McCaffrey 2 rush TD + 1 rec TD)
- Trevor Lawrence to throw an interception
- Jameis Winston to throw an interception
“This week, the offer is Trevor and Jameis to throw a pick,”
Both quarterbacks threw an interception - Lawrence in Jacksonville's 35-6 win and Winston late in the end zone vs. Green Bay. (Lawrence 153 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT (rush TD too); Winston 19/29, 201 yds, 1 INT)
“The reason he's 13-1 is because whoever the hell Denver's quarterback has been throughout Patrick's career, they've never been able to give any trouble whatsoever to that Chiefs defense, and I believe that continues this weekend.”
DEN 22, KC 19 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“i'll take the extra point i'm getting because of the sauce trade and i'll take atlanta plus the six and a half”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I think Tampa wins this game and I think tampa wins this game by at least a field goal so i got tampa minus two and a half”
TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“That's all I need at minus one, so I'll take Jacksonville next.”
HOU 36, JAX 29 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -1; busts.
“money we'll take advantage of it Chicago minus three and a half”
CHI 24, NYG 20 — Chicago Bears margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Steelers defense, and I'm getting three points with Tomlin.”
LAC 25, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -15 vs line +3; busts.
“You know what, let's just stay undefeated. We're going Manangai. Minus 125.”
Kyle Monangai opened the scoring with an 8-yard rushing touchdown in Chicago's 24-20 Week 10 win over the Giants.
- Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown scorer
- Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown scorer
“going in the same game barley Jonathan Taylor and B. John Robinson to both score a touchdown at plus 135. I'll take it”
Jonathan Taylor scored 3 rushing touchdowns (including the OT winner) in Indy's 31-25 win over Atlanta, but Bijan Robinson was held scoreless, busting the same-game parlay. (Taylor: 3 rush TD; B. Robinson: 17 car, 84 yds, 0 TD)
“I love the Lions in this spot. One of my, maybe my favorite play of the week. It's the first one, Detroit minus eight and a half.”
DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“I don't think it's going to happen back to back I like Pittsburgh plus three”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll lay the two and a half with San Francisco.”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I think the Chiefs win by at least a field goal I lay the point and a half”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I think Washington is bad and injured. I'll take Seattle minus three.”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Seattle Seahawks margin +24 vs line -3; covers.
“You're taking Atlanta minus seven and a half, seven and a half.”
ATL 10, MIA 34 — Atlanta Falcons margin -24 vs line -7.5; busts.
“so i'll take chicago plus the six and a half”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -14 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'll lay the 3.5 with Tampa.”
NO 3, TB 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So I'll take Dallas plus them.”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -20 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Green Bay minus three.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Green Bay Packers margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“travis kelsey plus 120 anytime touchdown so that's my touchdown genie”
Travis Kelce caught a 10-yard touchdown from Mahomes in the Chiefs' Week 8 win over Washington, so the anytime TD cashed.
“Bijan over one 25 and a half rushing plus reception yards at minus one 15.”
Bijan Robinson managed just 25 rushing and 23 receiving yards (48 combined) in Atlanta's 34-10 Week 8 loss to Miami, far under the 125.5 line.
“You gotta hope he can be back for the postseason. This is my Super Bowl pick.”
Tampa Bay went 8-9 and missed the playoffs; Seattle reached and won Super Bowl LX, so the Bucs Super Bowl pick lost.
“And it's just too many points. I love seven and a half. I'll take seven in a game. Sneaky upset alert for the Patriots. But I think the Titans keep it close-ish.”
TEN 13, NE 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“So I am taking the Jets plus one and a half.”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“It's too many points. The Giants plus seven in a game they could win outright.”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus two.”
SF 20, ATL 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +2; busts.
“but I'll swallow it and lay the full three, and it's the only favorite I'm going with this week. And so my five picks this week, I am rolling with Cam Ward and the Titans plus seven.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm making my own market here. Bijan over 129.5 rushing and receiving yards. They have at least 130 rushing and receiving yards. that's plus 105 it feels right that's the offer this week”
Bijan Robinson managed only 40 rushing and 52 receiving yards (92 total) in the Week 7 loss at San Francisco, under the 129.5 line, so the over lost.
“Yeah, listen, I think Pittsburgh will win.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“Rams minus seven and a half at Baltimore is the pick we”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“You got Dallas minus three at Carolina.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Tampa Bay minus three versus San Francisco.”
TB 30, SF 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“Kansas City minus two, taking on Detroit.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2; covers.
“chicago plus four at washington”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“so i may or may not have bet dan levitard five thousand dollars straight up in this game”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Listen, I'll do Xavier Worthy.”
Xavier Worthy caught a touchdown in the Chiefs' Week 6 win over Detroit, so the anytime TD cashed.
- Micah Parsons over 0.5 sacks
- Rashan Gary over 0.5 sacks
“So we got Micah plus Rashawn Gary both for over a half sack at plus 210.”
Parlay loses: Rashan Gary was held without a sack against Cincinnati, even though Micah Parsons recorded 1 sack (clearing his 0.5 leg); both legs were required to hit. (Parsons 1.0 sack (win); Gary 0.0 sacks (loss))
“Even if he doesn't play, I think Baltimore plus 1.5 is the right side.”
BAL 10, HOU 44 — Baltimore Ravens margin -34 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll take Dallas minus two and a half.”
NYJ 22, DAL 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +15 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'll take Philly, despite all the noise around them, minus the 3.5.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“i'll take the raiders plus six and a half at indy”
IND 40, LV 6 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -34 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I just like New England getting seven and a half at Buffalo.”
BUF 20, NE 23 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
- Cam Skattebo anytime touchdown
- Jaxson Dart over 24.5 rushing yards
“Parlay, Cam Scadaboo touchdown and Jackson Dart over 24.5 rushing yards at plus 150.”
Parlay loses: Cam Skattebo did not score a touchdown (his fumble was instead returned 86 yards for a Saints defensive TD); Jaxson Dart's 55 rushing yards did clear 24.5 but the Skattebo leg sinks the parlay. (Skattebo: no TD (fumble, Saints house call); Dart 55 rush yds)
“I do not think the 49ers have a chance tonight. I think the Rams are excellent.”
LAR 23, SF 26 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“But I would be very surprised if Kansas City can't go to Jacksonville [49:33] and figure out how to get a win against a really good Jags team.”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“So if you're the Ravens, again, if we just play this out, and I think they are going [1:03:09] to win this weekend, okay?”
BAL 10, HOU 44 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm betting the Vikings defense minus two and a half against Pittsburgh.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“i'll take cleveland plus 10”
DET 34, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -24 vs line +10; busts.
“and I'm getting a field goal. I'll take Jacksonville.”
SF 21, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +5 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take the Chiefs here.”
KC 37, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Yes, give me the 7.5.”
DEN 28, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line +7.5; busts.
- Travis Kelce over 3.5 receptions (4+ catches) closed +4.5 · CLV +1
- Micah Parsons over 0.5 sacks
“so Kelsey have at least four catches Micah over half a sack plus 146 I am taking that offer”
Travis Kelce caught 5 passes (Chiefs beat Ravens 37-20), clearing the 3.5-reception line, and Micah Parsons recorded a sack against Dallas, clearing his 0.5-sack line — both legs hit. (Kelce: 5 rec, 48 yds. Parsons: 1 sack.)
“no surprise here one of my picks on the gambling show is going to be the Chiefs plus the points because I think they're going to win”
Chiefs beat Ravens 37-20 outright; no line was stated on air, used closing market line (Chiefs +2.5) — Chiefs cover easily either way. (Chiefs 37, Ravens 20)
“And I think Philly is the right side in this game”
TB 25, PHI 31 — Philadelphia Eagles won; moneyline covers.
“But I like USC. I don't mind laying the points there.”
Illinois beat USC 34-32 on a walk-off FG; USC never stated a number so used the closing market line (USC -6.5) — USC lost outright, well short of covering. (Illinois 34, USC 32)
“I love Oregon getting three and a half at Penn State I love it I love it so much Penn State does not beat top 10 teams”
PSU 24, ORE 30 — Oregon Ducks margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“And I also like Georgia laying two and a half at home against Alabama”
UGA 21, ALA 24 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Cal Raleigh, with his 60 home runs, was going to get it. I think he's going to get it.”
2025 AL MVP (Cal Raleigh, Mariners, -200). Aaron Judge won the AL MVP in a very close vote (355 pts to Raleigh's 335; 17 first-place votes to 13). Raleigh finished 2nd. Lost.
“i going saturday and i bet on europe”
Europe won the 2025 Ryder Cup at Bethpage Black, 15-13, holding off a Sunday singles charge from the USA.
“I cannot wait to be on the Vikings this weekend as they play a London or an Ireland game and that defense going after Aaron Rodgers.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“I think Green Bay is going to annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road.”
CLE 13, GB 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I think Tennessee, I'll go out and say first win of the year, an outright winner, and I'm getting 3.5, Tennessee plus 3.5.”
TEN 20, IND 41 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I will lay the five points with Atlanta.”
CAR 30, ATL 0 — Atlanta Falcons margin -30 vs line -5; busts.
“CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown, minus 115.”
CeeDee Lamb left early with an ankle injury and finished with no catches or touchdowns in the Week 3 loss to Chicago, so the anytime TD lost.
“But I am marrow deep confident they'll win.”
NYG 9, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“but I think plus 240 is good value right now. Right now, if I had to pick it, I would still pick the Chiefs to win the division.”
The Broncos (14-3) won the AFC West; the 6-11 Chiefs finished third, so the +240 division bet lost.
“I also, spoiler alert, don't think Kansas City is going to lose.”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“And so I and I will take New England plus a point.”
MIA 27, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“I will take the Jags getting three points.”
CIN 31, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I will lay the six and a half with Arizona.”
ARI 27, CAR 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin +5 vs line -6.5; busts.
“And so the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win outright.”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“And so I like Atlanta in this spot,”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +4.5; covers.
“The Chiefs, minus three against the Chargers, is my first bet of the year.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll take Miami plus one at Indy.”
IND 33, MIA 8 — Miami Dolphins margin -25 vs line +1; busts.
“And so Cleveland plus five against Cincinnati is the way I'm going.”
CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5; covers.
“This feels to me like 21-20 Raiders, so I'll take the Raiders plus 2.5.”
NE 13, LV 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Like, any time this year Buffalo's a home dog, I'll bet them,”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +1; covers.
“We are betting the overs for the following teams with the following juice. Jags over 7.5 minus 125.”
The Jaguars went 13-4, clearing over 7.5 wins.
“The Bears over eight and a half at plus 115.”
The Bears went 11-6, clearing over 8.5 wins.
“You just bet the Chiefs over every single year.”
The Chiefs went 6-11, falling far under their double-digit win total.
“Tampa over 9.5 is probably my favorite bet of all of these.”
The Buccaneers finished 8-9, under 9.5 wins.
“The Raiders over 6.5 at minus 145.”
The Raiders went 3-14, well under the over 6.5 wins.
“And Atlanta over 7.5 at minus 140.”
The Falcons went 8-9, clearing the over 7.5 wins.
“Bengals under 9.5 at minus 115.”
The Bengals went 6-11, staying under 9.5 wins.
“The Colts under 7.5 at minus 130. This is my favorite of the unders.”
The Colts went 8-9, finishing above the under 7.5 wins line.
“nine and a half at plus 110. I think the Broncos are going to get out to a decent start.”
The Broncos went 14-3, easily clearing the 9.5 win total, so the under lost.
“Cowboys under 8.5, minus 145.”
Dallas finished 7-9-1, under 8.5 wins, so the under cashed.
“Vikings under 9.5, minus 125.”
Minnesota finished 9-8, under 9.5 wins, so the under cashed.
“So I will take under 10.5 for the Niners.”
San Francisco went 12-5, exceeding 10.5 wins, so the under lost.
“Jags plus 180.”
The Jaguars went 13-4 and won the AFC South, making the playoffs as the No. 3 seed.
“Chiefs minus 380.”
The Chiefs collapsed to 6-11 and missed the playoffs entirely, so the make-playoffs bet lost.
“Raiders plus 340 for a half unit.”
The Raiders finished 3-14 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.
“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170.”
The Giants finished 4-13 and missed the playoffs, so the bet lost.
“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170.”
Tampa Bay finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs (Carolina took the NFC South), so the make-playoffs bet lost.
“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”
Pittsburgh went 10-7 and won the AFC North, making the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet lost.
“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”
Indianapolis finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet cashed.
“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”
Denver went 14-3 and won the AFC West as the No. 1 seed, so the miss-the-playoffs bet lost.
“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”
Dallas finished 7-9-1 and missed the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet cashed.
“The Vikings plus 100, two units on that one, and the Cardinals minus 140.”
Minnesota finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet cashed.
“The Vikings plus 100, two units on that one, and the Cardinals minus 140.”
Arizona finished 3-14 and missed the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet cashed.
“to win the west of the afc west sorry at minus 115”
The Broncos (14-3) won the AFC West; the 6-11 Chiefs did not, so the division bet lost.
“the bucks to win the nfc south at minus 115 like the saints and panthers to me are no shot”
Carolina won the NFC South via tiebreaker at 8-9; Tampa Bay (8-9) did not, so the division bet lost.
“tampa bay and the super bowl exacta plus 5500”
Super Bowl LX was Seahawks vs. Patriots, not Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, so the matchup exacta lost.
“kansas city to defeat tampa bay at plus 11 000”
Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX; neither the Chiefs nor Buccaneers reached it, so the bet lost.
“the Cowboys under. So for the NFC East unders, Cowboys and Eagles, overs, Giants and commanders,”
The Cowboys finished 7-9-1, staying under 8.5 wins.
“So I will take and I will bet the Bears over 8.5”
The Bears went 11-6 and made the playoffs, clearing over 8.5 wins.
“so i will bet the vikings under nine and a half so through two divisions”
The Vikings finished 9-8, staying under 9.5 wins.
“And so one of my bets will be Falcons over 7.5 at minus 140.”
The Falcons went 8-9, clearing the over 7.5 wins.
“I do love this bet.”
The Buccaneers finished 8-9, falling under 9.5 wins and missing the playoffs.
“and then the niners one of my favorite bets of the year”
The 49ers went 12-5, busting the under 10.5 wins.
“playoffs at plus 180 i it's the biggest year of trevor's career i think he comes through i then”
The Jaguars made the playoffs as the AFC's No. 3 seed at 13-4.
“Yeah, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus 380.”
The Chiefs went 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time in a decade.
“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340.”
The Raiders went 3-14 and missed the playoffs.
“Giants at plus 500 to make the playoffs.”
The Giants went 4-13 and missed the playoffs.
“You got the Bucs at”
The Buccaneers finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs as Carolina won the NFC South.
“You got the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus 140.”
The Steelers went 10-7, won the AFC North, and made the playoffs as the No. 4 seed.
“You've got the Colts minus 260 to miss.”
The Colts went 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
“You've got the Broncos to miss at plus 130.”
The Broncos went 14-3 and earned the AFC's No. 1 seed, so they did not miss the playoffs.
“You got the Cowboys to miss at minus 210.”
The Cowboys went 7-9-1 and missed the playoffs.
“You've got the Vikings to miss at plus 100.”
The Vikings went 9-8 and missed the playoffs.
“You've got the Cardinals to miss at minus 140.”
The Cardinals went 3-14 and missed the playoffs.
“Here is our first bet. The Bengals under nine and a half wins at minus 115.”
Cincinnati finished 6-11, under the 9.5-win total.
“and I am taking the under on the Colts I am so dismayed by how they continue to”
The Colts went 8-9, finishing above the under 7.5 wins line.
“and so Jags over 7.5 at minus 125.”
The Jaguars went 13-4 and won the AFC South, sailing over 7.5 wins.
“I will take the Broncos and fading Bo Nix, who again was good”
The Broncos went 14-3 and won the AFC West, busting the under 9.5 wins.
“I will take over 11.5 every day with Kansas City.”
The Chiefs cratered to 6-11, falling far short of over 11.5 wins.
“I believe in the Raiders I am going over with the Las Vegas Raiders”
The Raiders finished 3-14, nowhere near the over 6.5 wins.
“So I'm pot committed on the Royals on the money line tonight, plus 200.”
BOS 6, KC 2 — Kansas City Royals lost; moneyline busts.
“David Baker, I think I'm going to give him Broncos to win the division at plus 320.”
Nick's against-Denver position lost: the Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3.
“the raiders plus 330 to make the playoffs that is my early first nfl season long bet”
Raiders missed the playoffs, finishing 3-14 (4th straight non-playoff season). (Raiders 2025: 3-14)
“I've told everyone, bet of the year, OKC minus a game and a half.”
Oklahoma City Thunder won the 2025 NBA Championship, defeating the Indiana Pacers 4-3 in the Finals. (Thunder def. Pacers 4-3 (Game 7: OKC 103, IND 91))
“Take the Jacks to win the division. I'm sorry. This is a perfect time. It's plus 300 right now. You should take the Jacks to win the division. I've been on that for the last two and a half months.”
Jacksonville Jaguars won the AFC South, finishing 13-4 and clinching the division title over the Texans and Titans. (Jaguars finished 13-4, AFC South champions)
“OKC minus one and a half games at minus 275.”
OKC 110, IND 111 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Knicks minus four is what I am doing tonight in game five of the conference”
NY 111, IND 94 — New York Knicks margin +17 vs line -4; covers.
“but in order for that to happen, the Knicks need to win tonight,”
IND 130, NY 121 — New York Knicks lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the Knicks tonight.”
NY 135, IND 138 — New York Knicks lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the Knicks in the series.”
Pacers beat Knicks 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals. (IND wins series 4-2)
“My pick would be OKC.”
Thunder beat Timberwolves 4-1 in the Western Conference Finals. (OKC wins series 4-1)
“I'm picking the Knicks.”
Pacers beat Knicks 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals. (IND wins series 4-2)
“so the Knicks are probably like minus 260. I think that the Knicks take care of business in six,”
Knicks beat Celtics 4-2 in the second-round series. (NYK wins series 4-2)
“which is Minnesota to win game one and the series.”
Timberwolves beat Warriors 4-1 in the second-round series. (MIN wins series 4-1)
“I think the Rockets are going to win. I do not know how anyone could have watched Warriors-Grizzlies and come away more confident in the Golden State Warriors.”
7-seed Warriors beat the 2-seed Rockets in 7 games in the first round; Rockets did not win the series. (GSW wins series 4-3)
“Yeah, you do know where I'm going. I am going over. I think a much better offensive line, a much better Caleb Williams, a much better head coach.”
Bears finished the 2025 season 11-6 (up from 5-12 in 2024), over 8.5 wins. (11-6)
“I like the under yeah I think that them being the favorites to win that division and having the highest win total in that division is disrespectful to the Rams”
49ers finished the 2025 season 12-5, over 10.5 wins. (12-5)
“this to me is the clear and easy over. I think they're the best team in the division.”
Rams finished the 2025 season 12-5, over 9.5 wins, and reached the NFC Championship. (12-5)
“yeah that's a steaming under I don't know why we would think the Cardinals are going to win more games than they lose”
Cardinals finished the 2025 season 3-14 (franchise-worst), under 8.5 wins. (3-14)
“the Lakers minus a game and a half in the series meaning is plus 120 so the Lakers for the series is minus 200 so question is do you think the Lakers are going to win the series yes okay you bet them at minus 200”
Timberwolves eliminated the Lakers 4-1 in the first round; Lakers did not win the series. (MIN wins series 4-1)
“I'm going to go Denver in a seven-game classic. Denver to win the series”
Nuggets beat the Clippers in a 7-game first-round series to advance. (DEN wins series 4-3)
“I like the”
Giants finished the 2025 season 4-13, under 5.5 wins. (4-13)
“I'm going to go”
Commanders finished the 2025 season 5-12, under 9.5 wins. (5-12)
“I will take under eight and a half, and that's a bet we can put on my season long”
Patriots finished the 2025 season 14-3, well over 8.5 wins. (14-3)
“I like the Jets over.”
Jets finished the 2025 season 3-14, under 5.5 wins. (3-14)
“I will go under for the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Steelers finished the 2025 season 10-7, over 8.5 wins. (10-7)
“over Jags put it in pen”
Jaguars finished the 2025 season 13-4, won AFC South, well over 7.5 wins. (13-4)
“give me the under give like give me the under with cam ward even if he's good I think that that is going to be a lot of growing pains”
Titans finished the 2025 season 3-14, under 5.5 wins. (3-14)
“I'm not the Chiefs that's an over”
Chiefs finished the 2025 season 6-11, their first losing season since 2012, well under 11.5 wins. (6-11)
“I like the Raiders over 6.5.”
Raiders finished the 2025 season 3-14, under 6.5 wins. (3-14)
“I personally like Duke minus five and a half tonight at even money. Not tonight, this weekend.”
DUKE 67, HOU 70 — Duke Blue Devils margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I also personally like Duke to win the championship at even money. So Duke minus five and a half in their game on Saturday at even money. Duke plus 100 to win the whole thing at even money Better late than never It what I going with now that Tennessee gone”
Duke lost to Houston 70-67 in the Final Four and did not win the championship; Florida beat Houston 65-63 for the 2025 title. (Houston 70, Duke 67 (Final Four))
“right I on Tennessee Tennessee is now plus 215 to win the Midwest and they minus four and a half against Kentucky on Friday Those lines and odds are of course subject to change”
TENN 78, UK 65 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +13 vs line -4.5; covers.
“right I on Tennessee Tennessee is now plus 215 to win the Midwest and they minus four and a half against Kentucky on Friday Those lines and odds are of course subject to change”
Tennessee lost the Midwest Region final (Elite Eight) to Houston, 69-50. (Houston 69, Tennessee 50 (Elite Eight, Midwest Region))
- Houston won
- Alabama won
- Tennessee closed -205 · CLV 0¢ won
- Michigan State closed +350 · CLV -10¢ lost
“I like Houston, Bama, Tennessee, and Michigan State all just straight up to win not against the spread, just straight up to win”
Parlay busts: Houston — won; Alabama — won; Tennessee — won; Michigan State — lost.
“Tennessee laying four and a half versus Kentucky on Friday is something I like.”
TENN 78, UK 65 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +13 vs line -4.5; covers.
“and Tennessee at plus 215 to win their region, the Midwest. That is something that I like as well.”
Tennessee lost the Midwest Region final (Elite Eight) to Houston, 69-50. (Houston 69, Tennessee 50 (Elite Eight, Midwest Region))
“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”
TENN 77, WOF 62 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +15 vs line -18.5; busts.
“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”
Tennessee lost to Houston 69-50 in the Elite Eight (Midwest Region) and did not reach the championship; Florida won the 2025 title. (Tennessee eliminated in Elite Eight, lost to Houston 69-50)
“I like the volunteers. Tennessee laying a smooth 18.5 against Wofford and you can get them at a nice 22-1 to win the whole thing.”
TENN 77, WOF 62 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +15 vs line -18.5; busts.
“I like the volunteers. Tennessee laying a smooth 18.5 against Wofford and you can get them at a nice 22-1 to win the whole thing. Now they're in tough draw. I've got to get past Houston. I really like it.”
Tennessee lost to Houston 69-50 in the Elite Eight (Midwest Region) and did not reach the championship; Florida won the 2025 title. (Tennessee eliminated in Elite Eight, lost to Houston 69-50)
“We're going Zion to keep this hot streak alive over 23 and a half.”
NO 127, LAC 120 — Zion Williamson: 22 points vs over 23.5; busts. (Zion Williamson: 22 points)
“Kawhi under 23.5, lines and odds subject to change.”
NO 127, LAC 120 — Kawhi Leonard: 29 points vs under 23.5; busts. (Kawhi Leonard: 29 points)
“against the nets luka points over against the nets my guess is that thing's probably going to”
BKN 111, LAL 108 — Luka Doncic: 22 points vs over 26.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 22 points)
“Today, I'm looking at Steph over 25 and a half. Why? Playing Brooklyn. Score on them, even though Brooklyn's playing better. And all this goat talk lately, Steph's got to put on a show.”
BKN 119, GS 121 — Stephen Curry: 40 points vs over 25.5; covers. (Stephen Curry: 40 points)
“And I'm going back to the well. Austin Reeves should be playing tonight. I'm going under 18 and a half. He's coming off an injury, probably on a minute's restriction. So Steph over 25.5, Austin Reeves under 18.5, lines and odds subject to change.”
Austin Reaves scored 5 points (2-13 FG) in the Lakers' OT win over the Knicks on Mar 6, 2025, well under 18.5. (5 PTS)
“I'm looking at Carl Anthony Towns over 22.5 points tonight. So you might say, why are you going Carl Anthony Towns over 22.5? Well, I don't know if you guys remember, But not that long ago, the Knicks were playing the Nuggets”
Karl-Anthony Towns was ruled OUT (personal reasons — family loss) and did not play in Knicks vs Warriors on Mar 4, 2025; prop never resolved. (DNP)
“And I'm going to take Austin Reeves under 20.5. Why? Coming off the injury, playing a terrible Pels team, I don't think he plays big minutes because the Lakers have a tough stretch coming up. They ease him back in. So I'll take Carlin down to over 22.5, Austin Reeves under 20.5, lines and odds subject to change.”
Austin Reaves was inactive (calf injury) and did not play in Lakers vs Pelicans on Mar 4, 2025; prop never resolved. (DNP (inactive, sore calf))
“Kevin Durant over 26 and a half points is where the line is right now. It is sun spurs again lines and odds subject to change my thought process on that. This is twofold. One is Durant probably feeling good with that Olympics documentary coming out where he's looks like a star. Durant also fought to stay with the Suns. They need to get in the play-in. And Wimby, all of a sudden, doubtful with an illness. So for all those reasons, I think Durant gets to 30. I'll take over 26.5 points.”
SA 120, PHX 109 — Kevin Durant: 22 points vs over 26.5; busts. (Kevin Durant: 22 points)
“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”
LAL 97, CHA 100 — Luka Doncic: 14 points vs over 24.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 14 points)
“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”
LAL 97, CHA 100 — LeBron James: 26 points vs under 23.5; busts. (LeBron James: 26 points)
“Walker Kessler over 10 and a half against the Clippers, with the theory being, yes, both teams are on a back-to-back, but the Clipper, James Harden is an all-star. The Clippers, I feel like, are more likely to be looking forward to this time off. Walker Kessler coming off a nice game. I think he can get to at least 11 points”
UTAH 116, LAC 120 — Walker Kessler: 0 points vs over 10.5; busts. (Walker Kessler: 0 points)
“I am going under Anthony Edwards, 28.5 against OKC. Why? Ant-Man's an all-star. Ant-Man took 33 shots last night. OKC, even if they're playing a lot of backup guys, have waves and waves of defenders. Ant, you know, seems to have a lot on his mind right now. I'll take under Anthony Edwards, 28.5.”
MIN 116, OKC 101 — Anthony Edwards: 23 points vs under 28.5; covers. (Anthony Edwards: 23 points)
“official pick i mean you've got chiefs minus one and a half 34 24 kansas city kansas city minus one”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -18 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'll take the over six and a half rush attempts.”
Patrick Mahomes had only 4 rush attempts in Super Bowl LIX, missing the 6.5 over line. (4 car, 25 rush yds)
“i also do like over 251 and a half passing yards”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards vs over 251.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards)
“I will take Saquon under attempts under 21 and a half because I think they're going to be behind.”
Saquon Barkley carried the ball 25 times in Super Bowl LIX, exceeding the 21.5 under line. (25 car, 57 rush yds)
“I'm taking Kelsey over 61 and a half yards.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Travis Kelce: 39 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; busts. (Travis Kelce: 39 receiving_yards)
- Patrick Mahomes anytime TD scorer
- Kareem Hunt anytime TD scorer
“But I'll take Mahomes plus 310 and I'll take Kareem plus 140.”
Kareem Hunt caught a 2-yard TD pass (leg wins), but Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing TDs and did not score a rushing/receiving TD himself (leg loses), so the anytime-TD parlay fails. (Hunt: 2-yd TD reception (WIN leg); Mahomes: 3 passing TDs, 0 TDs scored himself (LOSE leg))
“1200 You got Devontae Smith One plus 240 Two plus 2000 Jalen Hurts Minus 110 Just to score a touchdown”
Jalen Hurts scored a rushing touchdown (plus 2 passing TDs) in Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs. (Hurts: 2 passing TD, 1 rushing TD (72 rush yards), Super Bowl MVP)
“I'll take Kelsey first and last at 90-1.”
Travis Kelce did not score any touchdown in Super Bowl LIX (4 catches, 39 yards), so he could not be first-and-last TD scorer. (Kelce: 4 rec, 39 yds, 0 TD)
“I'll take my score at 130-1.”
Final score was Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — not the predicted Chiefs 34-24 (Chiefs lost outright). (Final: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)
“And sure, and Chiefs win by exactly three points plus 950.”
Chiefs lost the Super Bowl 40-22 to the Eagles; they did not win by 3 or by any margin. (Final: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)
“I'll take Washington plus six.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -32 vs line +6; busts.
“We have seen Travis Kelsey in the first matchup between these teams did nothing.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“and cream hunt is plus 190 oh i love that yeah cream hunt anytime touchdown he'll get the goal”
Kareem Hunt scored a 12-yard rushing touchdown in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills. (17 car, 64 yds, 1 rush TD)
- Washington Commanders closed +215 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer pending
“I don't ever take the offer, but I'll take it.”
Parlay busts: Washington Commanders — lost; Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer — manual.
“but I like the Chiefs minus the 8.5.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +9 vs line -8.5; covers.
“but we pick every game of the playoffs because I think Detroit's defense is a truly beleaguered”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Washington Commanders margin +14 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I just think McVay and Stafford getting six points is a great side to be on.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“The producers asked me if I'm interested in the Rams money line at plus two 35.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Buffalo plus a point and a half.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Buffalo Bills margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So Kelsey plus 155 anytime touchdown.”
Travis Kelce caught an 11-yard touchdown pass from Mahomes in the Chiefs' 23-14 Divisional Round win over the Texans. (7 rec, 117 yds, 1 TD)
“So I'll take Houston plus the three with some trepidation.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Houston Texans margin +20 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll still take Pittsburgh plus the nine and a half.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Buffalo laying the eight and a half”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Buffalo Bills margin +24 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I think Philly's going to look awesome this to me feels like a 31 20 philly victory so i'll lay the four and a half”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“laying just three, Tampa minus three, I'm rolling with.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll take the Rams getting a point and a half And I think the Rams are a dangerous Dangerous NFC team”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
- Los Angeles Rams +7.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +5 won
- Buffalo Bills -2.5 closed -7.5 · CLV +5 won
“I'm going to make this bet. The Rams teased up to plus 6.5. The Bills teased down to minus 2.5.”
Parlay cashes: Los Angeles Rams +7.5 +7.5 — won; Buffalo Bills -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“Here's why they will be motivated. The difference between having the 5 seed and the 6 seed in the AFC is enormous. Assuming the Ravens beat the Browns, the 5 seed means you go to Houston. The 6 seed means you go to Baltimore.”
PIT 17, CIN 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -2 vs line +2; pushes.
“it's just that the Chiefs are going to make this a low possession game they just want to get out they want this game to go as fast as possible is my point so a lot of running the ball so it's hard to cover big spreads in games that have you know six or seven possessions per team rather than eight or nine so that works in their favor”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -38 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I'll do Miami minus one.”
NYJ 32, MIA 20 — Miami Dolphins margin -12 vs line -1; busts.
“I'll just go ahead and take Chargers minus four and a half for, you know, for the podcast.”
LV 20, LAC 34 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +14 vs line -4.5; covers.
“And Minnesota plus 2.5 at Detroit.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin -22 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I like Pittsburgh plus the points.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'll take the Rams minus three.”
NYJ 9, LAR 19 — Los Angeles Rams margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“I'll take New England plus 14.5.”
BUF 24, NE 21 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +14.5; covers.
“I like Carolina getting four and a half in this spot.”
CAR 36, ARI 30 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'll take the divisional dog getting at least three and a half.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“My five picks this week they all three or two and a half the Rams catching three tonight at San Francisco Carolina laying two and a half at home against Dallas the Jets laying three on the road against Jacksonville Tampa getting three at the Chargers and Detroit laying two and a half at home in one of the games of the week one of the games of the year at home against Buffalo”
SF 6, LAR 12 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“I think Carolina is going to win. Obviously, I'd like it more at 1.5 than 2.5, and it might get up to 3 by kickoff, but I think Dallas is done for the season.”
CAR 14, DAL 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -16 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll take the Jets minus 3.”
NYG 14, BAL 35 — New York Giants margin -21 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll take Tampa going east coast to west, which you know I don't love, but going east coast to west Tampa getting three I just think they can win and three points is too many points.”
LAC 17, TB 40 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take Detroit minus the two and a half. I think golf plays really well and gets himself firmly in the MVP top of the MVP conversation.”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“my first pick of the week is Green Bay getting 3.5 at Detroit”
DET 34, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So for all those reasons my five picks Green Bay plus three and a half the Giants plus four and a half the Titans minus three and a half the Rams plus four and a half and the Chiefs minus three and a half”
MIA 32, NYJ 26 — New York Jets margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“There's one game on the slate, and I'm eating the points. I'm laying three and a half points with Will Levis and the Tennessee Titans”
TEN 6, JAX 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I think the Rams are going to beat the Bills. I certainly like them getting four and a half.”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Los Angeles Rams margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So for all those reasons my five picks Green Bay plus three and a half the Giants plus four and a half the Titans minus three and a half the Rams plus four and a half and the Chiefs minus three and a half”
KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“at plus 720 Tampa and the Rams to win their divisions yeah go ahead and mark me down for that”
The Los Angeles Rams won the NFC West in 2024, clinching via strength-of-victory tiebreaker over Seattle. (NFC West champions, 10-7)
“at plus 720 Tampa and the Rams to win their divisions yeah go ahead and mark me down for that”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South for a 4th consecutive season, finishing 10-7. (NFC South champions, 10-7)
“i will do minus 150 and then i'm gonna put a little bonus just in honor of the tiny hands gimmick”
Josh Jacobs scored 3 rushing touchdowns in Green Bay's Thursday Night loss to Detroit, cashing the anytime TD scorer bet. (18 car, 66 yds, 3 rush TD)
“I'll take Cleveland plus three and a half.”
CLE 24, PIT 19 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Sunday, Tampa laying 5.5 at the Giants.”
NYG 7, TB 30 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Tennessee getting 8 at the Texans.”
HOU 27, TEN 32 — Tennessee Titans margin +5 vs line +8; covers.
“Green Bay laying 1.5 at home against the Niners.”
GB 38, SF 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +28 vs line -1.5; covers.
“And Arizona laying 1 on the road at Seattle.”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line -1; busts.
- Panthers under 13.5 points lost
- Patrick Mahomes 0 interceptions pending
“Under 13 and a half and no picks for Mahomes is plus 348 All right I'll take that one.”
Parlay busts: Panthers under 13.5 points +13.5 — lost; Patrick Mahomes 0 interceptions 0 — manual.
“Pittsburgh plus three at home against Baltimore.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“New England getting 4.5 at home against the Rams.”
NE 22, LAR 28 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Cleveland laying one on the road at New Orleans.”
NO 35, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -21 vs line -1; busts.
“Atlanta getting 2.5 at Denver.”
DEN 38, ATL 6 — Atlanta Falcons margin -32 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Kansas City getting 2.5 at Buffalo.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Travis Kelsey anytime touchdown he scored last week he could have scored twice he he's you know the bane of the Bills existence I like a Kelsey anytime touchdown.”
Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown against the Bills, finishing with 2 catches for 8 yards in the Chiefs' 30-21 loss. (2 rec, 8 yds, 0 TD)
“I'll be taking the Chiefs plus the points on my card this week.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.
“i am definitively going to bet the texans on the money line tonight so i'm putting it in the picks”
NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Cincinnati.”
CIN 41, LV 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
“the seven and a half to me is too many points for an Eagles team that I don't fully 100% trust.”
PHI 28, JAX 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I think the Bears win this game outright.”
ARI 29, CHI 9 — Chicago Bears margin -20 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I like the Rams laying a point and a half.”
SEA 20, LAR 26 — Los Angeles Rams margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But do I feel like that a home divisional dog of eight and a half points is almost a must fire,”
CLE 29, BAL 24 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line +8.5; covers.
“So, listen, I feel bad fading the Prince, but Green Bay minus four, I think, is the sharp side of this one, DeMondsey.”
JAX 27, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going to lay the two and a half with Atlanta”
TB 26, ATL 31 — Atlanta Falcons margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So I'll take New Orleans plus the seven.”
LAC 26, NO 8 — New Orleans Saints margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“The Bears are winning this game, and they're winning this game by more than a field goal.”
WSH 18, CHI 15 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“This is the week Travis Kelsey gets in the end zone.”
Kelce caught a go-ahead touchdown pass from Mahomes in Kansas City's win over Las Vegas — his first TD catch of 2024. (7 rec, 61+ yds, 1 TD)
“So Seattle plus three and a half.”
SEA 24, SF 36 — Seattle Seahawks margin -12 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I like Washington.”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
“So I'll grab the nine and a half points.”
PHI 20, CLE 16 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line +9.5; covers.
“So I'll take Arizona plus five and a half.”
GB 34, ARI 13 — Arizona Cardinals margin -21 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So I'll take the 6.5 points.”
CAR 20, ATL 38 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +6.5; busts.
- Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards lost
- Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards lost
“Caleb to both throw for 250 at plus 400 I'll take it I like that offer taken yeah I'll take it I a”
Parlay busts: Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards +250 — lost; Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards +250 — lost.
“I like Minnesota.”
MIN 23, NYJ 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I am of the belief, however, that the Patriots should not be a favorite in any game they play all year.”
NE 10, MIA 15 — Miami Dolphins margin +5 vs line +1; covers.
“matchup getting seven and a half san francisco still not fully whole too many points i'll take”
SF 23, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll swallow the 6.5 and take Seattle”
SEA 20, NYG 29 — Seattle Seahawks margin -9 vs line -6.5; busts.
“The Chiefs laying the 5.5 is my final pick of the week.”
KC 26, NO 13 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Yes, Dallas minus six at the Giants tonight.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -6; busts.
“I like Cincinnati to score a lot of points. or is it andy dalton that's the x bangle oh it's andy dalton andy dalton revenge game i mean you are right about that this is an andy dalton revenge spot”
CAR 24, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +10 vs line -4; covers.
“I think Tampa wins outright, but also I just think this is a low-scoring game and a low-scoring. And I know Philly's defense looked good last week, but now you've got to deal with Evans and Godwin. And so I think Tampa will be able to move the ball somewhat through the air. And so this just feels to me like a spot where I'm getting, I think, the slightly better team at home with points. Tampa plus two is what I'm rolling with.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +2; covers.
“Atlanta minus two and a half.”
ATL 26, NO 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I got the Rams plus 3 at Chicago”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“points when they have to be furious about how last week went and New Orleans riding a little too high, that's just an opportunity that I can't pass up”
NO 12, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I love Chicago plus a point and a half.”
IND 21, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I know I'm laying four and a half in a game where they were two-point dogs”
SEA 24, MIA 3 — Seattle Seahawks margin +21 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'll take Dallas plus the one yeah never pass up opportunity to lose some money”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“the three and a half with Kansas City. And I just think this should be a six and a half point line”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“This is a must-fire on Buffalo.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Buffalo Bills margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Malik Willis, God bless him, can't throw the football.”
GB 16, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll lay the three and a half with Seattle.”
NE 20, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Alright, so I've got Chicago getting six at Houston.”
HOU 19, CHI 13 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“Atlanta plus 6.5 at Philly”
PHI 21, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Kansas City minus three Chiefs laser show offense returns that's my first bet of the year first game of the year”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“next you have Green Bay plus two and a half at Philly yeah I mean this is I think Green Bay is going to win the game”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Green Bay Packers margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“next one cincinnati minus eight and a half versus New England. Alright, here's the thing on this. To me, this is simply a question of can the Bengals get to 20 points? Okay? New England's not getting to 13.”
CIN 10, NE 16 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line -8.5; busts.
“um so next you've got dallas plus two and a half at cleveland yeah i i don't believe in the browns this year”
CLE 17, DAL 33 — Dallas Cowboys margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Last one you got the Rams plus 3.5 at Detroit. Yeah, so I just think this is a field goal game.”
DET 26, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“The Chiefs over 11 and a half. The juice is only minus 112. They had the worst season imaginable last year and they won 11 games. They're going to win 13 or 14 games this year.”
Chiefs finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 11.5 wins line. (KC 2024: 15-2)
“The Bears are going to win 11 games, maybe 12 games. So I like the Bears over eight and a half, more on the Bears later”
Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 wins line — the over selection lost. (CHI 2024: 5-12)
“the Rams over 8.5 at minus 152 now again these last two were laying heavy juice man I understand that I think the Rams are going to be awesome”
Rams finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the 8.5 wins line. (LAR 2024: 10-7)
“I'll take Denver over 5.5 at minus 130. Denver last year won nine games with, in my opinion, bad quarterback play.”
Broncos finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the 5.5 wins line. (DEN 2024: 10-7)
“I'll take Philly under the 10 and a half.”
Eagles finished the 2024 regular season 14-3, well over the 10.5 wins line — the under selection lost. (PHI 2024: 14-3)
“the New York Jets under 9.5 plus 132 they have a bad coach an awful offensive coordinator and given their conference a below average quarterback”
Jets finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, under the 9.5 wins line. (NYJ 2024: 5-12)
“Raiders under 6.5 plus 116”
Raiders finished the 2024 regular season 4-13, under the 6.5 wins line. (LV 2024: 4-13)
“The Giants might be the worst team in the league. The Giants is getting under six and a half. It's just an under. Daniel Jones is going to get benched.”
Giants finished 2024 season 3-14, well under 6.5 wins. (3-14)
“the Bears plus 340 to win the NFC North. Now, I also am on them. So the Bears, they could bite me because I'm on them on their over and I'm on them to win the NFC North.”
Bears finished 5-12, 4th in the NFC North; did not win the division. (5-12, 4th NFC North)
“The Rams at plus 330 to win the NFC West.”
Rams won the NFC West, clinching via tiebreaker over the Seahawks in Week 18. (NFC West champions)
“And then Cincinnati at plus 165 to win their division”
Ravens won the AFC North; Bengals missed the playoffs entirely. (Bengals missed playoffs; Ravens won AFC North)
“Dallas to win the division is plus 175.”
Cowboys finished 7-10, 3rd in the NFC East; Eagles won the division at 14-3. (7-10, 3rd NFC East)
“And then a flyer. Flyer. The one flyer. Washington to win that same division at 11 to one.”
Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3; Commanders did not win the division. (Eagles won NFC East 14-3)
“So, straight up to miss, the Jets, for reasons previously discussed, they're plus 138.”
Jets finished 5-12 and missed the playoffs (14th straight postseason miss). (5-12, missed playoffs)
“Philadelphia, as previously discussed, I'm fading them all year, plus 235 to miss.”
Eagles made the playoffs and won Super Bowl LIX, so they did not miss the playoffs. (14-3, Super Bowl LIX champions)
“I'm going to bet them to miss the playoffs. And that's where I'm going to get my value from them. So I'm going to go Miami at plus 128 to miss the playoffs.”
Dolphins finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. (8-9, missed playoffs)
“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”
Super Bowl LIX was Chiefs vs. Eagles, not Chiefs vs. Bears; the Bears did not reach the Super Bowl. (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)
“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”
Chiefs reached Super Bowl LIX but lost to the Eagles 40-22 (and opponent was Eagles, not Bears). (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)
“So I've said Dallas in five. So Dallas in 5 at 12-1 is... I like the value of it. Now, would I be better off just betting Dallas in each individual game? I don't know. But if I'm doing a specific series bet, I would go Dallas in 5.”
Boston Celtics defeated Dallas Mavericks 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals; Dallas did not win in 5 games (or at all). (Celtics won series 4-1)
“There is only one of these bets being offered to me that I like. And that's finals MVP at plus 205.”
Jaylen Brown of the Celtics was named 2024 NBA Finals MVP, not Luka Doncic. (Jaylen Brown won Finals MVP)
“I will go with Fields at plus 450 as a little early season.”
Justin Fields started at quarterback for the Steelers in Week 1 of the 2024 season (Russell Wilson was out with a calf injury), taking the team's first snap. (Fields started Week 1 vs Falcons)
“I think Luka's going to win the championship. I think is going to be finals MVP, and I think this is going to be the year, the surprising year of Luka.”
Boston Celtics defeated Dallas Mavericks 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals; Luka Doncic and the Mavericks did not win the championship. (Celtics won series 4-1)
“I do think the Timberwolves win tonight”
DEN 112, MIN 97 — Minnesota Timberwolves lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Dallas tonight to go into OKC and steal that game.”
OKC 117, DAL 95 — Dallas Mavericks lost; moneyline busts.
“my big pre-masters bet Margaret and now Xander Shoffley 20-1 to win the Masters”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters; Xander Schauffele did not win. (2024 Masters champion: Scottie Scheffler)
“Too low This is one of my favorite preliminary bets The Bears are going to win at least nine games”
Bears finished the 2024 season 5-12, under 8.5 wins. (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)
“Too low. So Dallas gets four games against Washington and the Giants.”
Cowboys finished the 2024 season 7-10, under 10 wins. (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)
“like that they're not going to win 10 games so that to me is absolutely unequivocally too high”
Jets finished the 2024 season 5-12, under 9.5 wins. (NYJ 2024 record: 5-12)
“Kansas City plus two and a half Kansas City money line.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Kansas City plus two and a half Kansas City money line. And so that's obviously where I'm at.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, listen, of those ones, I'll take the Purdy interception. Purdy's throwing a pick.”
Brock Purdy threw 1 interception in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 0.5 line the bettor took the over on. (23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 1 INT)
“I'll take Kelsey. Kelsey's legitimately behind on a per— So here's Travis Kelsey's all-time playoff rankings.”
Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII despite 9 catches for 93 yards. (9 rec, 93 rec yds, 0 TD)
“Mahomes rushing total over 26 or wherever it's at. I love that bet. I'm going to make that bet.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Patrick Mahomes: 66 rushing_yards vs over 26.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 66 rushing_yards)
- Kansas City Chiefs closed +106 · CLV 0¢
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer
- Travis Kelce over 70.5 receiving yards closed +70.5 · CLV 0
- Patrick Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards closed +26 · CLV -0.5
“Chiefs Moneyline plus Kelsey anytime touchdown score plus Kelsey over 70.5 yards plus Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards at plus 850. Lock it in.”
Chiefs won Super Bowl LVIII in OT and Kelce (93 rec yds) and Mahomes (66 rush yds) cleared their prop lines, but Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown in the game, so the anytime-TD leg failed and the parlay lost. (Chiefs win 25-22 (OT); Kelce 9-93-0; Mahomes 66 rush yds, 0 rush TD)
“Kansas City getting three and a half is outrageous. You want to say Kansas City should be a dog, so be it. getting more than a field goal is outrageous”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I think Detroit can win this game outright. I think that Detroit can block up San Francisco, and in which case, Goff is going to be able to move the ball on them. So I will take Detroit not only plus seven, but Detroit to win outright”
SF 34, DET 31 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'll take houston plus nine and a half the the ravens are your team go right ahead”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Next, you've got San Francisco minus 9.5 versus Green Bay. Yeah, I mean, this just feels like a game that San Francisco gets out to a 14-3 lead and does exactly what they want to do.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I do like Detroit to win this game, but it feels like a 23-20 type of game. I think that a lot of the blitzes Todd Bowles and the Bucs did last week are not going to work against Detroit, but seven points is too many points, and so I'll take Tampa plus the seven.”
DET 31, TB 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“Kansas City's the better team. Kansas City's going to win outright, and the Bills are going to have a really, really long offseason to ask themselves, how do we ever beat this team? All right, so my picks for this weekend are Houston plus 9.5 San Francisco laying 9.5 Tampa plus 7 and Kansas City plus 2.5”
BUF 24, KC 27 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“but I'll take Cleveland”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -31 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I I think the Chiefs offense could look good against them and I don love swallowing the full four and a half points but I will Kansas City minus four and a half against Miami”
KC 26, MIA 7 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +19 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I will take the 10 points.”
Steelers +10 failed to cover: Bills won 31-17, a 14-point margin, more than the 10 points Pittsburgh was getting. Note: the pick's eventDate (2024-01-13) doesn't match this game's actual date — Bills-Steelers Wild Card was played Monday Jan 15, 2024 (postponed from Jan 14 due to weather). (Final: Bills 31, Steelers 17 (Pittsburgh +10, lost by 14))
“Dallas minus 7.5 against Green Bay is my second favorite bet of the weekend.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Dallas Cowboys margin -16 vs line -7.5; busts.
“alright so that's my favorite bet of the weekend”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“You're nervous about this spot, but Tampa plus three, come on.”
TB 32, PHI 9 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me the full seven.”
CIN 31, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“New England minus a point and a half.”
NE 3, NYJ 17 — New England Patriots margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'll lay the 3.5.”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Detroit Lions margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Giants plus five and a half in a game, I think the Giants can win outright.”
NE 3, NYJ 17 — New York Jets margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Miami plus three at home against Buffalo.”
MIA 14, BUF 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
- Jacksonville Jaguars closed -182.5 · CLV -27¢ lost
- Pittsburgh Steelers closed -163.5 · CLV 0¢ won
- Miami Dolphins closed +130 · CLV +5¢ lost
“so the Bills to miss the playoffs parlay”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars — lost; Pittsburgh Steelers — won; Miami Dolphins — lost.
“I think Atlanta stinks. I think Indy's getting healthier. Jonathan Taylor's supposed to play. Indy's the better team. Indy needs the game. Atlanta I think people are getting fired they just went to Heineke they go Ritter, Heineke, Heineke, Ritter it's all the same we like Indy plus one”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -19 vs line +1; busts.
“But two bad teams, two really bad teams, give me the three points.”
NYJ 30, WSH 28 — Washington Commanders margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“I don't mind laying three points for a divisional road favorite.”
MIN 24, DET 30 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I like Dallas to win”
MIA 22, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Yeah, I'll take the Giants getting a dozen points in a divisional game.”
PHI 33, NYG 25 — New York Giants margin -8 vs line +12; covers.
“not only a full three a full three and a half I'll take the Bucs plus three and a half next”
GB 20, TB 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“except for Carolina, so I'll take the six points”
NO 24, NYG 6 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“This is a Miami blowout spot, and I'm only laying 8.5.”
MIA 30, NYJ 0 — Miami Dolphins margin +30 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I'll take the Cowboys to win outright.”
BUF 31, DAL 10 — Dallas Cowboys margin -21 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll take the Jags plus three and a half.”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -16 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I like the Rams plus seven and a half at both.”
BAL 37, LAR 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I like the Texans minus 3.5.”
NYJ 30, HOU 6 — Houston Texans margin -24 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I do not think Seattle wins, but this does feel to me like a potential 24-17 type of Niners win, and for that reason, I'll take Seattle plus the points.”
SF 28, SEA 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin -12 vs line +10.5; busts.
“Las Vegas getting three against Minnesota at home,”
LV 0, MIN 3 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I think Kansas City wins. I think Kansas City ends Buffalo's season. I like Kansas City laying the point and a half.”
KC 17, BUF 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I think Houston's going to win the game by a lot I think Houston's going to win the game by more than a touchdown”
HOU 22, DEN 17 — Houston Texans margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“this just honestly feels like a 17-10 or 21-10 Tampa win. You don't love laying five points with a bad team, and Tampa's a bad team. But Carolina's the worst team in football.”
TB 21, CAR 18 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +3 vs line -5; busts.
“Give me the points. and so Gardner-Minchu 9-11 against the spread of the last 20 starts that's not that bad actually but I'll take the home dog and Vrabel and I think right now when you look at the NFL playoff picture”
TEN 28, IND 31 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Philly plus three is a must it's just a must”
PHI 19, SF 42 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -23 vs line +3; busts.
“this is a Chiefs spot to me this is a vintage Chiefs win this is a 31-13 type of win I'll lay”
GB 27, KC 19 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -8 vs line -6; busts.
“i just like pittsburgh in this spot”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Jacksonville at home against Tennessee should be laying more than a touchdown. They're laying six and a half. I understand Vrabel getting points typically. He's not quite Tomlin, but he's in that realm. I just don't like this Tennessee team at all.”
JAX 34, TEN 14 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +20 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I like Seattle. I'm only laying a point. I'll take Seattle minus one.”
LAR 17, SEA 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin -1 vs line -1; busts.
“Minnesota is going to win this game outright. I like Minnesota. I'm really surprised by this line. I”
DEN 21, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'll lay the 2.5 with Kansas City.”
KC 17, PHI 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -4 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I think the Jags win the game outright. I certainly like them plus three.”
JAX 3, SF 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -31 vs line +3; busts.
“This is statistically the two best defenses in football, and it's a divisional matchup and I'm getting six points”
BAL 31, CLE 33 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +6; covers.
“I think Houston could win outright. I definitely think they can at least keep this relatively close.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'll tepidly take Detroit minus three.”
LAC 38, DET 41 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“Dallas, I'll lay the 16.5.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +32 vs line -16.5; covers.
“I like Kansas city. I don't typically put the chiefs in Nick's picks because they're not a great covering team, but they are also not typically favored by less than a field goal.”
KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Tampa getting three points when they are a desperate team, they are the more veteran team, and Houston right now is coming off its worst loss of the year”
HOU 39, TB 37 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“I think that Heineke is better than Ritter. And so Atlanta, going to their backup quarterback, I think they actually get an upgrade.”
ATL 28, MIN 31 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Dak is eight and three in his career against the spread and straight up against the Eagles. And Dak's never lost to Nick Sirianni for three and oh against the spread against Sirianni. And yeah, three and oh straight up for all those reasons. I like Dallas plus the three points”
PHI 28, DAL 23 — Dallas Cowboys margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I will admit i don't love laying the extra half point here and it's the Chargers going cross country. I understand all of that, but Zach Wilson on national TV. I think this is going to be one of those games that the Chargers pass rush gets home and gets to him.”
GB 20, LAR 3 — Los Angeles Rams margin -17 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I like Tampa plus the 9.5.”
BUF 24, TB 18 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I like the Jags minus 2.5.”
PIT 10, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Atlanta wins this game on the road in Tennessee.”
TEN 28, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I just think New Orleans is worse than the Colts, and I'm getting a point with the home team, so I'm doing that.”
IND 27, NO 38 — Indianapolis Colts margin -11 vs line +1; busts.
“The Chargers don't deserve to be nine-point favorites over anybody. They flatly do not deserve it. I'm taking the points.”
LAC 30, CHI 13 — Chicago Bears margin -17 vs line +9; busts.
“We're taking the Jags plus two and a half at New Orleans.”
NO 24, JAX 31 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm betting against Tyson Badgett. It's just that simple. I”
CHI 30, LV 12 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -18 vs line -3; busts.
“Yeah, I mean, Buffalo just blows out the Patriots.”
NE 29, BUF 25 — Buffalo Bills margin -4 vs line -8.5; busts.
“just Pittsburgh catching three and a half off the bye. There are too many fundamentals that say you got to bet that”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like Minnesota plus seven. That's what I'm doing.”
MIN 22, SF 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin +5 vs line +7; covers.
“Lions plus 440 to be the one seed with that schedule left.”
Lions finished 12-5 but were seeded No. 3 in the NFC (lost tiebreakers to 49ers and Cowboys); 49ers got the No. 1 seed. (Lions 12-5, NFC No. 3 seed)
“I am now getting a full seven”
CLE 19, SF 17 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +7; covers.
“Seattle's better. They're coming off a bye”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I think Tampa wins outright. I love them plus three and a half.”
TB 6, DET 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Give me New England plus the three.”
LV 21, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“It's the only favorite I'm playing this week.”
LAC 17, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
- Atlanta Falcons closed -125 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers closed +136 · CLV +4¢ lost
“We are going to do a two-team Moneyline Parlay for one unit of the Falcons and the Bucs Moneyline. That pays plus $320.”
Parlay busts: Atlanta Falcons — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — lost.
“I like the Jags plus five against Buffalo”
BUF 20, JAX 25 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +5 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I like Arizona plus the points”
ARI 20, CIN 34 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I like the Rams getting 4.5 points”
LAR 14, PHI 23 — Los Angeles Rams margin -9 vs line +4.5; busts.
“i like kansas city minus four”
MIN 20, KC 27 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“It's moved to four. Well, I liked it at three and a half. I certainly like it at four.”
SF 42, DAL 10 — Dallas Cowboys margin -32 vs line +4; busts.
“I pick Pittsburgh every week.”
HOU 30, PIT 6 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Tampa plus three and a half at New Orleans.”
NO 9, TB 26 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like Cleveland minus the 2.5”
CLE 3, BAL 28 — Cleveland Browns margin -25 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I like the Chiefs laying them a 9.5.”
NYJ 20, KC 23 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“So my five picks for the week. Pittsburgh minus two and a half. Tampa getting three and a half. Cleveland minus two and a half. Kansas City laying a big number of nine and a half. And Seattle plus one and a half.”
NYG 3, SEA 24 — Seattle Seahawks margin +21 vs line +1.5; covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs closed -418.5 · CLV -4¢ won
- San Francisco 49ers closed -975 · CLV 0¢ won
- Trevor Lawrence over 242 passing yards lost
“There's only three I like. The Chiefs' money line, the Niners' money line, and the Prince over 242 passing yards.”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs — won; San Francisco 49ers — won; Trevor Lawrence over 242 passing yards +242 — lost.
“I like the Giants to cover the 10 in this spot”
SF 30, NYG 12 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I like Denver in this spot, plus 6.5. I think they absolutely could win outright.”
MIA 70, DEN 20 — Denver Broncos margin -50 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I like the Patriots a lot there.”
NYJ 10, NE 15 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“The Jags minus 8.5, I love it.”
JAX 17, HOU 37 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -20 vs line -8.5; busts.
“pittsburgh until the general public catches up now week one they obviously got rolled that's fine”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line +2.5; covers.
- Chiefs -2.5 won
- Cowboys -2.5 lost
- Jaguars +0.5 lost
- Patriots +7.5 won
“least a field goal that's a four team 10 point even money teaser that is my second teaser of the”
Parlay busts: Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Cowboys -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Jaguars +0.5 +0.5 — lost; Patriots +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“That's my two unit AFC West”
Isiah Pacheco scored a 1-yard rushing touchdown in the Chiefs' 41-10 win over the Bears. (Pacheco: 1 rushing TD)
“Tampa plus 4.5 is my against the spread NFC South dog.”
TB 11, PHI 25 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
- Pittsburgh Steelers closed +135 · CLV -9¢ won
- Tennessee Titans closed +154.5 · CLV +2¢ lost
“So there's my AFC North Parlay.”
Parlay busts: Pittsburgh Steelers — won; Tennessee Titans — lost.
“I like Cincinnati in this spot.”
CIN 24, BAL 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“i like pittsburgh in this spot are you convinced amon”
PIT 26, CLE 22 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I like the Giants in this spot.”
ARI 28, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +3 vs line -6; busts.
“I like the Bucs here.”
TB 27, CHI 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I am taking the Rams plus 8.5 against San Francisco.”
LAR 23, SF 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I love this bet.”
Jacksonville beat Indianapolis 31-21 (margin 10), covering Jaguars -4.5. (Jaguars 31, Colts 21)
“All right, next you've got New England at home plus four versus Philly.”
NE 20, PHI 25 — New England Patriots margin -5 vs line +4; busts.
“I like the Packers a lot.”
CHI 20, GB 38 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So you've got Buffalo minus 2.5% at the Jets.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Buffalo Bills margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So this is the lock of the week, the right move.”
PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +2.5; busts.
“We like the Bears under 7.5.”
Bears finished the 2023 season 7-10, under the 7.5 win total. (Chicago Bears 2023: 7-10)
“we are going Cowboys over 10.5 at plus 115”
Cowboys finished the 2023 season 12-5, over the 10.5 win total, and won the NFC East. (Dallas Cowboys 2023: 12-5)
“I would rather do the Jags over 10.5 and get plus 145.”
Jaguars finished the 2023 season 9-8, under the 10.5 win total. (Jacksonville Jaguars 2023: 9-8)
“The Chiefs over 11.5 at minus 134.”
Chiefs finished the 2023 regular season 11-6, under the 11.5 win total (they went on to win Super Bowl LVIII). (Kansas City Chiefs 2023: 11-6 regular season)
“The Patriots over 7.5 at plus 116.”
Patriots finished the 2023 season 4-13, well under the 7.5 win total. (New England Patriots 2023: 4-13)
“The Eagles under 11.5 at minus 128.”
Eagles finished the 2023 season 11-6, under the 11.5 win total. (Philadelphia Eagles 2023: 11-6)
“The 49ers under 10.5 at plus 132.”
49ers finished the 2023 season 12-5, over the 10.5 win total. (San Francisco 49ers 2023: 12-5)
“And the Seahawks over 8.5 at minus 142.”
Seahawks finished the 2023 season 9-8, over the 8.5 win total. (Seattle Seahawks 2023: 9-8)
“Dolphins plus 290.”
Buffalo Bills won the AFC East (11-6), beating Miami 21-14 in the season finale to claim the division; Dolphins did not win. (Miami Dolphins 2023: 11-6, 2nd in AFC East (Bills won division))
“Steelers plus 470.”
Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North (13-4); Steelers finished 10-7, 3rd in the division, and made the playoffs only as a wild card. (Pittsburgh Steelers 2023: 10-7, 3rd in AFC North (Ravens won division))
“The Packers plus 350.”
Detroit Lions won the NFC North (12-5) for the first time in 30 years; Packers finished 9-8, 2nd in the division. (Green Bay Packers 2023: 9-8, 2nd in NFC North (Lions won division))
“The Falcons plus 210.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South (9-8); Falcons finished 7-10, 3rd in the division. (Atlanta Falcons 2023: 7-10, 3rd in NFC South (Buccaneers won division))
“The Seahawks plus 230.”
Seahawks finished 9-8, 3rd in NFC West; 49ers won the division at 12-5. (Seahawks 9-8, 3rd place NFC West)
“Chiefs, Cowboys, and Jags make plus $160.”
All three teams made the 2023-24 playoffs: Chiefs (AFC West champs), Cowboys (NFC East, No. 2 seed), Jaguars (AFC South champs). (Chiefs, Cowboys, and Jaguars all made playoffs)
“The Jets miss plus 110.”
Jets finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs for the 13th straight season. (Jets 7-10, missed playoffs)
“Chiefs over Cowboys plus”
Cowboys were eliminated in the Wild Card round by Green Bay (48-32); Chiefs beat the 49ers, not the Cowboys, in Super Bowl LVIII — the Chiefs-Cowboys matchup never happened. (Cowboys lost Wild Card 32-48 to Packers; SB LVIII was Chiefs 25, 49ers 22)
“I'm going to pick Alcarez again Djokovic is minus 160 Alcarez is plus 340 so if you were to bet $160 on Djokovic you win $100 if you were to bet $160 on Alcarez you win more than 500. I like those odds.”
Carlos Alcaraz won the 2023 Wimbledon men's singles title, defeating Novak Djokovic in the final. (Alcaraz d. Djokovic 1-6, 7-6(6), 6-1, 3-6, 6-4)
“I'm going with Miami tonight, and I'm going with Miami in the series.”
DEN 104, MIA 93 — Miami Heat lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to go Butler finals MVP at plus 330.”
Nikola Jokic won 2023 NBA Finals MVP, not Jimmy Butler. (Jokic unanimous Finals MVP, Nuggets d. Heat 4-1)
“on the Heat to win the NBA championship in the year of our Lord 2023 at 13-1.”
Miami Heat lost the 2023 NBA Finals to the Denver Nuggets, 4 games to 1. (Nuggets def. Heat 4-1)
“So the Heat in six is my pick.”
Heat lost the series 4-1 to Denver (not a 6-game Heat win); Nuggets won the championship. (Nuggets def. Heat 4-1)
“My finals is Lakers-Sixers. I have the Lakers winning it. So I will put the Philadelphia 76ers at number 15 and the Lakers at number 16.”
Lakers were swept 4-0 by Denver in the Western Conference Finals; never reached the NBA Finals (his predicted Lakers-Sixers final did not happen). (Lakers lost West Finals 0-4 to Nuggets)
“I am picking the Kings. I do not believe this Warriors team is going to be able to just win.”
Warriors defeated the Kings 4-3 in the 2023 first round. (Warriors def. Kings 4-3)
“I am picking the Lakers to win the title.”
Lakers were swept 4-0 by Denver in the Western Conference Finals; never reached the NBA Finals. (Lakers lost West Finals 0-4 to Nuggets)
“going to be able to”
Warriors defeated the Kings 4-3 in the 2023 first round (Game 7, 120-100). (Warriors def. Kings 4-3)
“the Lakers are winning the title. LeBron's getting to ring 5, and it is putting the GOAT debate to rest. I believe in that.”
Lakers were swept 4-0 by Denver in the Western Conference Finals; never reached the NBA Finals. (Lakers lost West Finals 0-4 to Nuggets)
“I bet a significant amount on Embiid to win MVP at plus 300.”
Joel Embiid won the 2022-23 NBA MVP award over Nikola Jokic and Giannis Antetokounmpo. (Embiid: 33.1 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 4.2 APG; won MVP)
“I put a thousand bucks on the Lakers at 49 to 1.”
Lakers were swept 4-0 by Denver in the Western Conference Finals and did not reach, let alone win, the NBA Finals. (Lakers lost West Finals 0-4 to Nuggets)
“So the Chiefs, plus one and a half, is our final game wager of the year.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“And the 25.5 completions probably goes hand in hand with that, but not necessarily”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Patrick Mahomes: 182 passing_yards vs over 313.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 182 passing_yards)
“To me, there's no question about it. And I think the ankle will be healthy enough That over 20 rushing yards is potentially my favorite bet that I seen so far”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Patrick Mahomes: 44 rushing_yards vs over 20.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 44 rushing_yards)
“Kelsey is a must bet. Travis Kelsey in the playoffs scores touchdowns. And especially with a banged up receiving core, to me, that one is an easy, obvious bet.”
Travis Kelce caught an 18-yard touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes on Kansas City's opening drive of Super Bowl LVII. (2 rec, 38 yds, 1 TD)
“Plus 460. Okay. That's way too high. That's way too high. I like that bet a lot. I like that bet a lot.”
Mahomes did not score a rushing touchdown in Super Bowl LVII; Chiefs' scores came via Kelce, Toney, and Skyy Moore receiving TDs and an Isiah Pacheco rushing TD. (0 rushing TD)
“I like Jalen in this. Yeah. It takes one penalty in the end zone to put him at the one, and that QB sneak is unguardable. So I like Jalen as an anytime touchdown scorer, or Jalen just to be scrambling when they're in the red zone.”
Jalen Hurts scored three rushing touchdowns for the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII (a loss to the Chiefs, 38-35). (3 rushing TD, 70 rush yds)
“I like Kelsey in this spot. Of course. I think Kelsey's going to have a huge game. I think this is a— He's lined up for it. They're going to have to target him.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Travis Kelce: 81 receiving_yards vs over 79.5; covers. (Travis Kelce: 81 receiving_yards)
“if we think this is going to be a close game, they're going to feed Miles Sanders a lot, try to have long possessions. I like the Miles Sanders over there”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Miles Sanders: 16 rushing_yards vs over 59.5; busts. (Miles Sanders: 16 rushing_yards)
- Kansas City Chiefs closed -105 · CLV +210¢
- Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl MVP
- Travis Kelce over 79.5 receiving yards
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer
- Patrick Mahomes over 20.5 rushing yards
“We're going to remove the Mahomes over passing yards and replace it with Mahomes over rushing yards. So Chiefs to win, Mahomes to win MVP, Kelsey to have over 80 yards, Kelsey to score a touchdown, and Mahomes to rush for over 20.5. that will actually probably slightly improve the odds because the Mahomes passing and the Kelsey receiving are so correlated that you're not going to – so my guess is that puts that at about 30-1.”
All five legs hit: Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35, Mahomes won Super Bowl MVP, Kelce caught a TD and had 81 receiving yards (over 79.5), and Mahomes rushed for 44 yards (over 20.5). (Chiefs win 38-35; Mahomes MVP; Kelce 81 rec yds/1 TD; Mahomes 44 rush yds)
“I'll take the Niners plus two and a half.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin -24 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Kansas City is going to win.”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
- Isiah Pacheco over 50.5 rushing yards lost
- Patrick Mahomes over 282.5 passing yards won
- Jerick McKinnon anytime touchdown scorer pending
- Kadarius Toney anytime touchdown scorer pending
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0 won
“Pacheco over 50.5. [44:15] Mahomes over 282.5 [44:18] McKinnon to score a touchdown [44:20] Kadarius [44:21] Tony to score a touchdown [44:23] and the Chiefs minus 2.5 [44:26] it's 34-1 [44:27] that is [44:30] our single game parlay”
Parlay busts: Isiah Pacheco over 50.5 rushing yards +50.5 — lost; Patrick Mahomes over 282.5 passing yards +282.5 — won; Jerick McKinnon anytime touchdown scorer +0.5 — manual; Kadarius Toney anytime touchdown scorer +0.5 — manual; Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“I've got Kansas City minus eight and a half.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.
“Giants plus seven and a half at Philly Ultimately I just took the points”
PHI 38, NYG 7 — New York Giants margin -31 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I like Cincinnati plus five and a half. I also like them to win outright.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +17 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I like San Francisco minus 3.5.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — San Francisco 49ers margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +7 won
- Cincinnati Bengals +11.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +6 won
“I'm going to put a small taste on a Chiefs-Bengals teaser, six-pointer. Chiefs to get to minus two and a half, and the Bengals to get up to plus 11 and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Cincinnati Bengals +11.5 +11.5 — won.
- Trevor Lawrence over 250.5 passing yards lost
- Travis Etienne over 18.5 receiving yards lost
- Travis Kelce over 81.5 receiving yards won
- Kadarius Toney anytime touchdown scorer pending
- Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown scorer pending
- Kansas City Chiefs closed -500 · CLV 0¢ won
“Lawrence, over 250.5 passing yards. Kelsey, over 81.5. Etienne, over 18.5. That is 78-1. So we'll put a little taste on that.”
Parlay busts: Trevor Lawrence over 250.5 passing yards +250.5 — lost; Travis Etienne over 18.5 receiving yards +18.5 — lost; Travis Kelce over 81.5 receiving yards +81.5 — won; Kadarius Toney anytime touchdown scorer — manual; Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown scorer — manual; Kansas City Chiefs — won.
“Of course I'm picking the Chiefs. The Chiefs are so clearly the best team in the AFC.”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“I don't think so. I love Cincinnati getting points. I actually also like them to win outright.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +17 vs line +5; covers.
“San Francisco is laying 9.5 against Seattle. San Francisco is going to win this game by at least 14 points likely by 17 points I will lay the 9.5”
SF 41, SEA 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Jags. Plus two and a half. against the Chargers.”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I am taking Miami plus 13 and a half.”
BUF 34, MIA 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +13.5; covers.
“Minnesota minus three, possibly a push, but the line is where it is, is our pick.”
MIN 24, NYG 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll take the plus eight and a half. Even not knowing who the quarterback is.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Tampa plus two and a half is our pick.”
TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
- San Francisco 49ers -2.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +7 won
- Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +7 won
“A two-team, seven-point Saturday teaser. We are teasing the Niners down, two, two and a half from nine and a half, and we are teasing the Jags up from two and a half to nine and a half.”
Parlay cashes: San Francisco 49ers -2.5 -2.5 — won; Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 +9.5 — won.
- Jacksonville Jaguars closed +110 · CLV +4¢ won
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers closed +120 · CLV -5¢ lost
- Miami Dolphins +11 closed +13.5 · CLV -2.5 won
- Baltimore Ravens +6.5 closed +8.5 · CLV -2 lost
- Minnesota Vikings -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 lost
- San Francisco 49ers -10 closed -9.5 · CLV -0.5 won
“The Dolphins plus 11 So I lost 2 points of line value The Jags on the money line Tampa on the money line Baltimore plus six and a half I lost two key points of line value and the Vikings minus three That is 63 to one”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars — won; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — lost; Miami Dolphins +11 +11 — won; Baltimore Ravens +6.5 +6.5 — lost; Minnesota Vikings -3 -3 — lost; San Francisco 49ers -10 -10 — won.
- Jacksonville Jaguars closed +110 · CLV +4¢ won
- Trevor Lawrence over 248.5 passing yards won
- San Francisco 49ers -16.5 closed -9.5 · CLV -7 won
“this week's offer is the jags money line plus 114 wait yeah plus 114 trevor over 248 passing yards san francisco minus 16 and a half uh is that plus 196 all this combined for uh plus what do you call that 11 11 to 1 no 11 to 1”
Parlay cashes: Jacksonville Jaguars — won; Trevor Lawrence over 248.5 passing yards +248.5 — won; San Francisco 49ers -16.5 -16.5 — won.
“All right, I'm picking the Jags.”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I'm the Jags.”
JAX 31, LAC 30 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“Kansas City minus nine and a half, all right, at Vegas.”
LV 13, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +18 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Jags minus six.”
JAX 20, TEN 16 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“i will lay the four [18:13] points with the atlanta falcons”
ATL 30, TB 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin +13 vs line -4; covers.
“Minnesota plays motivated. I think Chicago actively wants to lose and is not starting [22:43] Justin Fields. For all those reasons, I'll lay seven and a half wi”
CHI 13, MIN 29 — Minnesota Vikings margin +16 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Indy minus two and a half.”
IND 31, HOU 32 — Indianapolis Colts margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Miami plus one is the pick.”
MIA 11, NYJ 6 — Miami Dolphins margin +5 vs line +1; covers.
“Carolina is going to play hard for their coach Carolina plus three and a half”
NO 7, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm laying less than a field goal.”
PIT 28, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Denver minus two and a half [37:48] is our pick.”
DEN 31, LAC 28 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So Giants plus 14 is our pick.”
PHI 22, NYG 16 — New York Giants margin -6 vs line +14; covers.
“I lay the 14 points”
SF 38, ARI 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin +25 vs line -14; covers.
“Dallas minus seven and a half.”
WSH 26, DAL 6 — Dallas Cowboys margin -20 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I going to jump on the Rams”
SEA 19, LAR 16 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Detroit plus five and a half at Green Bay.”
GB 16, DET 20 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +5.5; covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs closed -455 · CLV 0¢ won
- San Francisco 49ers closed -1000 · CLV +91¢ won
- Los Angeles Rams closed +170 · CLV -40¢ lost
- Detroit Lions closed +175 · CLV +15¢ won
“So the Chiefs to win against the Raiders, the Niners to win against David Blount,”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs — won; San Francisco 49ers — won; Los Angeles Rams — lost; Detroit Lions — won.
“This week, we start with an underdog that's going to win outright.”
NE 23, MIA 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Arizona getting three and a half at Atlanta.”
ATL 20, ARI 19 — Arizona Cardinals margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“San Francisco minus 10.”
LV 34, SF 37 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -10; busts.
“Minnesota plus three and a half at Green Bay.”
GB 41, MIN 17 — Minnesota Vikings margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Cincinnati plus one against Buffalo.”
Game suspended after Damar Hamlin's collapse and never resumed; ruled a no-contest, spread bets were voided/refunded by sportsbooks. (Score at stoppage: Bills 7, Bengals 3 (game not completed, no contest))
“Giants plus four at Minnesota.”
MIN 27, NYG 24 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“Next Cleveland minus three against New Orleans.”
CLE 10, NO 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“don't blow people out. Chicago getting eight and a half against Buffalo. It's just too many points.”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +8.5; busts.
“The Raiders getting two and a half at Pittsburgh.”
PIT 13, LV 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Miami minus four against Green Bay.”
MIA 20, GB 26 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line -4; busts.
“We are taking the Jets plus the nine and a half. The reason is as follows. The Buffalo Bills have not blown anyone out in months, okay?”
BUF 20, NYJ 12 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +9.5; covers.
“This, to me, is a traditional AFC North three-point game. It's six points is way too many points. I like Cleveland getting the six”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6; busts.
“I like Seattle to win by at least four points. Seattle minus three and a half.”
SEA 24, CAR 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I thought this line should be San Francisco minus six, even with Brock Purdy, it's San Francisco minus three and a half. I'll lay the three and a half”
SF 35, TB 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +28 vs line -3.5; covers.
“The Chargers are getting three points against Miami. The Chargers are going to win this game out”
LAC 23, MIA 17 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 closed -8.5 · CLV +6 won
- Los Angeles Chargers +10 closed +3.5 · CLV +6.5 won
“An old school two-team seven-point teaser. We are teasing the Kansas City Chiefs down to minus two and a half, so they just have to win by a field goal. And we are teasing the Chargers up to plus 10, so they just have to win or stay within 10 points. A two-team seven-point teaser is minus 140.”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -2.5 — won; Los Angeles Chargers +10 +10 — won.
“We will start this week. with Atlanta plus one against Pittsburgh. Okay, Atlanta has not looked good lately. I'm not going to give a deep analysis of this game. This one is very, very simple. Pittsburgh is coming off a nationally televised victory, and the game before that, while the defense didn't play well, the offense did. I think right now they're a little overvalued.”
ATL 16, PIT 19 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +1; busts.
“The Giants plus two and a half against Washington. Again, are the Giants headed in the wrong direction? Obviously. Does Washington look like they could end up stealing their playoff spot Yes However the Giants at home getting almost a field goal against Taylor Heineke”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Chargers minus one and a half. So you know last week you had to pick six teams to save you from a losing week.”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I love the Chiefs minus the two. It might be my favorite bet of the year”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -2; busts.
“The Colts plus 11 and a half at Dallas. Do I like Jeff Saturday? No. Does it terrify me that Matt Ryan is going to get sacked eight times in this game, have three fumbles? Yeah. Against that Cowboys pass rush. The Cowboys are the team on the extra rest. The extra, extra rest, by the way, because the Cowboys played on Thanksgiving”
DAL 54, IND 19 — Indianapolis Colts margin -35 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Jags minus one Add them to the picks We're doing six picks again”
DET 40, JAX 14 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -26 vs line -1; busts.
- New England Patriots +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Kansas City Chiefs -2 closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Tennessee Titans +5 closed +4.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Miami Dolphins team total under 20.5 lost
“Miami total points under 20 and a half. That is plus 1300. I taking that offer So your offer I decline I am instead I am doing New England plus three and a half Tennessee plus the five KC minus two, and the Dolphins under 20 and a half points against San Francisco. That's my counter offer”
Parlay busts: New England Patriots +3.5 +3.5 — lost; Kansas City Chiefs -2 -2 — lost; Tennessee Titans +5 +5 — lost; Miami Dolphins team total under 20.5 +20.5 — lost.
“It'll be in our picks tomorrow. I love the Chiefs minus the two. This is a statement game for Kansas City because Cincinnati beat him twice last year and knocked him out of the playoffs.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -2; busts.
“First pick, Detroit getting a full 10 at home against Buffalo on Thanksgiving”
DET 25, BUF 28 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“I like the Giants getting nine and a half. I”
DAL 28, NYG 20 — New York Giants margin -8 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Tampa minus three. This feels to me like a 24 to 10 Tampa Bay victory, maybe 21 to 10. I”
CLE 23, TB 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I like the Titans plus two and a half. The Titans have covered eight straight against the spread, but they still are getting disrespected by Vegas.”
TEN 16, CIN 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Seattle laying three and a half at home against Las Vegas”
SEA 34, LV 40 — Seattle Seahawks margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Pittsburgh getting points against the Colts. It shouldn't be a be careful. It's a must bet Pittsburgh. It is a must bet Pittsburgh. Matt Ryan is going to crumble when TJ Watt strip sacks him”
IND 17, PIT 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +2.5; covers.
- San Francisco 49ers -2.5 (teased from -9.5) won
- Philadelphia Eagles closed -278 · CLV -25¢ won
“We are going to do a 7.2-team teaser, very straightforward. And the 7-point teaser is going to be San Francisco down to minus 2.5 and the Eagles to the money line.”
Parlay cashes: San Francisco 49ers -2.5 (teased from -9.5) -2.5 — won; Philadelphia Eagles — won.
“I accept that one. There you go. I am taking that offer. The Jags plus 165.”
JAX 28, BAL 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I like Chicago plus the three.”
ATL 27, CHI 24 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“The Giants minus three against Detroit. So Detroit's defense is abysmal.”
NE 10, NYJ 3 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I am going to go ahead and grab the four and a half points Rams plus four and a half against the Saints.”
NO 27, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Raiders plus three at Denver I understand the Raiders stink I get it why should Denver be treated like they're anything other than arguably the worst team in the league”
DEN 16, LV 22 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“All right, so we're getting four points against Cincinnati. This is a three-point game.”
PIT 30, CIN 37 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
- Kansas City Chiefs (pick-em teased from -5.5) won
- Las Vegas Raiders +8.5 (teased from +3) won
- San Francisco 49ers -2 (teased from -8) won
“This is a three-team, six-point teaser at plus 160. We are teasing the Chiefs down to a pick-em. from minus 5.5, 6, 6.5, doesn't matter”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Chiefs (pick-em teased from -5.5) 0 — won; Las Vegas Raiders +8.5 (teased from +3) +8.5 — won; San Francisco 49ers -2 (teased from -8) -2 — won.
“Tennessee. Minus two and a half at home against Denver.”
TEN 17, DEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Chicago minus two and a half against Detroit.”
CHI 30, DET 31 — Chicago Bears margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So I will lay the full six points in Vegas with the Raiders.”
LV 20, IND 25 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -5 vs line -6; busts.
“The Chargers getting a full seven in San Francisco against the Niners”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -10 vs line +7; busts.
“Washington, plus 11 against Philly.”
PHI 21, WSH 32 — Washington Commanders margin +11 vs line +11; covers.
“five and a half at New England. We like Indianapolis”
NE 26, IND 3 — Indianapolis Colts margin -23 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Atlanta catching three at home against the Chargers.”
ATL 17, LAC 20 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Victor and I independently agree on Seattle getting two at Arizona.”
ARI 21, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line +2; covers.
“Tampa laying less than a field goal at home against the Rams. So here, Tampa minus two and a half.”
TB 16, LAR 13 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Baltimore minus two and a half at New Orleans.”
NO 13, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We are starting with Las Vegas minus one and a half at New Orleans I think the Raiders are a good team”
NO 24, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -24 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Cincinnati minus three and a half is the pivot.”
CLE 32, CIN 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -19 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Washington plus two and a half”
IND 16, WSH 17 — Washington Commanders margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Green Bay plus 11 and a half. So there are five picks this week.”
BUF 27, GB 17 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line +11.5; covers.
“minus a point and a half at the Rams. I love that side”
LAR 14, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -1.5; covers.
“the Detroit Lions plus seven in Dallas in Dak Prescott's first game back.”
DAL 24, DET 6 — Detroit Lions margin -18 vs line +7; busts.
“The Jacksonville Jaguars and the prince that was promised. Laying three points. A full three at home against the New York Giants.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Cleveland catching six against Baltimore At Baltimore Line's just too high”
BAL 23, CLE 20 — Cleveland Browns margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“Seattle getting five and a half at the Chargers.”
LAC 23, SEA 37 — Seattle Seahawks margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Miami laying a full seven at home against Pittsburgh.”
MIA 16, PIT 10 — Miami Dolphins margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“We will start with Cleveland laying less than a field goal, two and a half at home against New England.”
CLE 15, NE 38 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Jacksonville the prince that was promised Plus a point and a half At Indy”
IND 34, JAX 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Cincinnati minus two in New Orleans.”
NO 26, CIN 30 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2; covers.
“The Giants Getting five and a half Against Baltimore”
GB 10, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +17 vs line +5.5; covers.
“in Kansas City, plus two and a half against Buffalo.”
KC 20, BUF 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
- Kansas City Chiefs closed +110 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Over 54.5 closed +53.5 · CLV -1 lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars closed +105 · CLV 0¢ lost
“Jags to win Plus 730 You say the Chiefs will win There's no way that There's no the over There's no way the over doesn't catch”
Parlay busts: Kansas City Chiefs — lost; Over 54.5 +54.5 — lost; Jacksonville Jaguars — lost.
“do I think there's value on the Chiefs plus two and a half? Yeah.”
KC 20, BUF 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“trevor lawrence and the jacksonville jaguars laying seven against the houston texans i d”
JAX 6, HOU 13 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -7 vs line -7; busts.
“We like Seattle plus the five and a half.”
NO 39, SEA 32 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“speaking of Atlanta next pick Atlanta catching eight and the hook eight and a half at Tampa”
TB 21, ATL 15 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Dallas plus five and a half, I like,”
LAR 10, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin +12 vs line +5.5; covers.
“is Kansas City minus seven against the Raiders.”
KC 30, LV 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +1 vs line -7; busts.
- Jacksonville Jaguars +0.5 lost
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.5 won
- Buffalo Bills -6.5 won
- Kansas City Chiefs pick closed -7 · CLV +7 won
“It is a seven and a half point teaser. Four teamer plus 170.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars +0.5 +0.5 — lost; Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.5 -0.5 — won; Buffalo Bills -6.5 -6.5 — won; Kansas City Chiefs pick 0 — won.
“Minnesota minus two and a half”
NO 25, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“can city minus one is the play”
TB 31, KC 41 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line -1; covers.
“I like the Raiders at home laying the three points”
LV 32, DEN 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +9 vs line -3; covers.
“The Bears plus three against the Giants.”
NYG 20, CHI 12 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“I like Jacksonville. I believe in Trevor Lawrence. It's my lock of the week.”
PHI 29, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
- Jacksonville Jaguars closed +220 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals closed -213 · CLV +23¢ pending
“Jacksonville, Moneyline, Cincinnati, Moneyline.”
Parlay busts: Jacksonville Jaguars — lost; Cincinnati Bengals — pending.
“I do expect Cincinnati to win, but sure, double or nothing. I've got Cincinnati. minus four you've got miami plus four”
CIN 27, MIA 15 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +12 vs line -4; covers.
“The first one is Baltimore, minus 2.5. We're riding Baltimore again.”
NE 26, BAL 37 — Baltimore Ravens margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“minnesota minus six put it down might be a survivor pick we'll see next”
MIN 28, DET 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin +4 vs line -6; busts.
“Houston getting points at Chicago. We like it. Houston plus two and a half.”
CHI 23, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Jacksonville plus seven. Herbert banged up. Jags have a lot of ways to cover. Small chance to win. Jags plus seven.”
LAC 10, JAX 38 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +28 vs line +7; covers.
“San Francisco minus a point and a half is the right move.”
DEN 11, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
- Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 closed -6 · CLV +5.5 won
- Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 closed -4.5 · CLV +5 lost
- Houston Texans +8.5 closed +3 · CLV +5.5 won
“a three-team six-point teaser will pay out plus 140. So $100 to win $140, so on and so forth. That's our first teaser of the year.”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 -0.5 — won; Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 +0.5 — lost; Houston Texans +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“love Minnesota plus two.”
PHI 24, MIN 7 — Minnesota Vikings margin -17 vs line +2; busts.
“Arizona plus points. This to me is a no brainer. I'd love, I'd like it at six.”
LV 23, ARI 29 — Arizona Cardinals margin +6 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Cincinnati minus seven. Yeah. With Dallas starting Cooper Rush. 100%. Worst quarterback in the league right now.”
DAL 20, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -7; busts.
“Green Bay blows out Chicago. that's what they do Chicago goes to Green Bay and they get their asses kicked”
GB 27, CHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -10; covers.
“So Baltimore minus three and a half.”
BAL 38, MIA 42 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“The Rams plus two and a half is the pick.”
LAR 10, BUF 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm still taking Jacksonville plus the two and a half.”
WSH 28, JAX 22 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Carolina minus one-and-a-half is the play. Motivated Baker Mayfield. a healthy, for the time being, Christian McCaffrey.”
CAR 24, CLE 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Baltimore minus seven against the Jets is the bet,”
NYJ 9, BAL 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin +15 vs line -7; covers.
“Miami minus three and a half at home against New England is the pick.”
MIA 20, NE 7 — Miami Dolphins margin +13 vs line -3.5; covers.
“So Rams plus 2.5 is my pick.”
LAR 10, BUF 31 — Los Angeles Rams margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“see any scenario the Colts don't win at least 10 games.”
Colts finished 4-12-1, far under the 9.5 win total. (Colts 4-12-1)
“So over six and a half, you get plus money, plus 115.”
Jaguars finished 9-8 and won the AFC South, over the 6.5 win total. (Jaguars 9-8, AFC South champions)
“The idea that the Chiefs are going to be 10 and 7 is ludicrous to me.”
Chiefs finished 14-3, well over the 10.5 win total. (Chiefs 14-3)
“I love the under on the Patriots.”
Patriots finished 8-9, under the 8.5 win total. (Patriots 8-9)
“I love Baltimore winning at least 11 games this year. I love it. Did you want to chime in? It”
Ravens finished the 2022 regular season 10-7, under the 10.5 win total. (10-7)
“but I hammered it at seven and a half.”
Giants finished the 2022 regular season 9-7-1, over the 7.5 win total. (9-7-1)
“My final season win total, the Niners.”
49ers finished the 2022 regular season 13-4, over the 9.5 win total. (13-4)
“and that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be under 11 and a half wins First of all that is a crazy high total 11 and a half is the highest total on the board No team is at 12 or 13 You do have to pay a decent juice of minus 145 but”
Buccaneers finished the 2022 regular season 8-9, under the 11.5 win total. (8-9)
“Because I see no scenario that exists in the world where New England makes the playoffs.”
Patriots missed the 2022-23 NFL playoffs, finishing 8-9. (Missed playoffs)
“So I got them a plus money to miss the playoffs.”
Broncos missed the 2022-23 NFL playoffs, finishing 5-12. (Missed playoffs)
“You're going to start in Jacoby Brissett for 11 games.”
Browns missed the 2022-23 NFL playoffs, finishing 7-10. (Missed playoffs)
“it's a rematch, by the way, Super Bowl from a few years ago. That is plus 5,000, 50 to one.”
Chiefs won the AFC and reached Super Bowl LVII, but the 49ers lost the NFC Championship Game 31-7 to Philadelphia, so the exact Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl matchup never happened (Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 instead). (SB LVII: Chiefs 38, Eagles 35)
“I would if you set the over under on the Bucks wins after four weeks at one and a half. I would bet the under if you set the over under on Bucks wins after four weeks at two where I get a push if they go two and two and I going to lose at three and one or four and oh I would hammer the under.”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 2-2 through the first four games of the 2022 season (beat Dallas and New Orleans, lost to Green Bay and Kansas City), landing exactly on the 2-win line. (Bucs went 2-2 in weeks 1-4 of 2022 (beat DAL, NO; lost to GB, KC))
“you tweeted that the Patriots offense will be a train wreck this season uh Mack Jones has really struggled reports also from practice that the offense looks totally out of whack yeah are you willing to put your money where your mouth is and bet New England under eight and a half yeah of course okay yeah of course”
The New England Patriots finished the 2022 regular season 8-9, under the 8.5 win total. (Patriots finished 8-9 (2022 regular season))
“I really like the Jags over six and a half wins at plus money. I believe in Trevor Lawrence.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars finished the 2022 regular season 9-8, exceeding the 6.5 win total. (Jaguars finished 9-8 (2022 regular season))
“I don't see how Denver gets to 11 wins. And right now their win total is sitting at 10.”
The Denver Broncos finished the 2022 regular season 5-12, well under the 10-win total. (Broncos finished 5-12 (2022 regular season))
- Cincinnati Bengals +6 (teased to pick-em) lost
- Denver Broncos +6 (teased to pick-em at Seattle) closed -6.5 · CLV +6.5 won
“I think my favorite bet of week one is a two team six point teaser where you're going to tease the the Bengals to a pick them at home against the Steelers and whatever do. they trot out at quarterback and the Broncos to a pick them at Seattle where they're going to annihilate the Seattle Seahawks.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Bengals +6 (teased to pick-em) 0 — lost; Denver Broncos +6 (teased to pick-em at Seattle) 0 — won.
“It is Boston by three and a half. Three and a half. Boston by three and a half. I like Boston in game six.”
BOS 90, GS 103 — Boston Celtics margin -13 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I don't want you gambling on these games. I also would tell you if there was going to be one game this entire series that I would think to bet it would be this game. Boston minus three and a half.”
BOS 116, GS 100 — Boston Celtics margin +16 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I am unfortunately picking the Warriors in these finals.”
The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Finals, clinching the title with a 103-90 Game 6 win on June 16, 2022. (Warriors def. Celtics 4-2 (Game 6: 103-90))
“If you want to bet Steph to win finals MVP, it's even money.”
Stephen Curry was named 2022 NBA Finals MVP (unanimous selection) after averaging 31.2 PPG in the Warriors' 4-2 series win over the Celtics. (Curry: 31.2 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 5.0 APG in Finals; unanimous Finals MVP)
“My pick is the Warriors.”
The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Finals, clinching the title with a 103-90 Game 6 win on June 16, 2022. (Warriors def. Celtics 4-2 (Game 6: 103-90))
“But I am hammering the under for Broncos total wins.”
The Denver Broncos finished the 2022 regular season 5-12, well under the 10.5 win total. (Broncos finished 5-12)
“They're going to win game six. I believe they're going to win back in Dallas.”
DAL 113, PHX 86 — Dallas Mavericks won; moneyline covers.
“The Mavs are going to the finals and we'll be right back.”
Mavericks lost the 2022 Western Conference Finals to Golden State 4 games to 1, so Dallas did not reach the NBA Finals. (Warriors def. Mavericks 4-1 (West Finals))
“Miami has excellent depth, excellent defense, excellent continuity, and maybe the best coach currently in the playoff. So I think Miami, as the one seed home court throughout, they're finally healthy at the right time. They're not my pick. I think Milwaukee's rolling everybody, but if I had to pick one team in the East other than Milwaukee, I think Miami would be my pick. I also like that Milwaukee's on the other side of the bracket from them, so they won't have to deal with Milwaukee until the conference finals. So my answer there is definitely Miami.”
Miami Heat did not win the 2022 NBA title; they lost the Eastern Conference Finals to Boston in 7 games. (Celtics def. Heat 4-3 in East Finals; Warriors won the title over Boston)
“I got 49 to one on a thousand bucks of Bucks Mavs, bucks over Mavs exact finals so if the bucks beat the Mavs in the finals it pays almost $50,000”
Bucks lost the East semis to the Celtics in 7 games, so they never faced Dallas; Golden State beat Boston 4-2 in the Finals — Bucks over Mavs Finals pick never materialized. (Celtics def. Bucks 4-3 (East Semis); Warriors def. Celtics 4-2 (Finals))
“I still going Bucs over Mavs as my finals pick”
This matchup never occurred: neither the Bucks nor the Mavericks reached the 2022 NBA Finals (Golden State beat Boston). (Bucks lost East Semis to Boston 4-3; Mavericks lost West Finals to Golden State 4-1)
“I think the Bucs win every series in five or less. I think they will sweep the Bulls.”
Bucks beat the Bulls 4-1 in the first round, not a sweep. (Bucks def. Bulls 4-1)
“Then in round two, I think they will beat Boston in five.”
Boston beat Milwaukee 4-3 in the East Semis (Bucks lost, and not in 5 games). (Celtics def. Bucks 4-3, series went 7 games (Game 7: Celtics 109, Bucks 81))
“He going to be splitting fairways at Augusta He playing I already bet him at 80 to one 80 to one I put on tiger at 80 to one Just so you know the 500 times 80 you can grab your phone calculator but the answer is coming my way when Tiger gets green jacket number six.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2022 Masters; Tiger Woods made the cut but finished T47. (Scheffler won by 3 over McIlroy; Woods finished 47th)
“Luka Doncic is 23. He's played in two playoff series ever. And he, Spinter Dinwiddie, and Jalen Brunson are going to make the finals. Period, point blank.”
Dallas Mavericks did not reach the 2022 NBA Finals, losing the Western Conference Finals to Golden State. (Warriors def. Mavericks 4-1 in West Finals)
“The Mavs are making the finals And of course the Bucs are making the finals Right now you can get Bucs Bucs over Mavs in the finals You can get 50 to 1 on it.”
Milwaukee Bucks did not reach the 2022 NBA Finals, losing in the East Semifinals to Boston in 7 games. (Celtics def. Bucks 4-3 in East Semis)