Nick Wright

“My picks for this evening are [1:15:17] Denver wins,”

98-110 — Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 110-98 in Game 6, winning the West 1st Round series 4-2; Denver moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“I'm looking right now. That is not enough. Okay, I'm batting the Magic. It's Magic minus 255. That is not enough. The Pistons are not winning three straight games.”

4-3 — Despite Orlando's 3-1 lead, Detroit won three straight to take the first-round series 4-3, closing it out with a Game 7 win on May 3, 2026.

“I will take Denver over Minnesota in six.”

4-2 — Timberwolves eliminated the Nuggets in the first round 4-2 (six games, April 18-30, 2026), so Denver did not win the series.

“Boston over Philly in six.”

4-3 — 76ers eliminated the Celtics in the first round 4-3 (seven games, April 19-May 2, 2026), so Boston did not win in 6 games or at all.

“I take the Knicks over the Hawks in seven”

4-2 — Knicks beat the Hawks 4-2 in six games (April 18-30, 2026), winning the series but not in the predicted 7 games.

“I will take the Cavs over the Raptors in six.”

4-3 — Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-3 in seven games (April 18-May 3, 2026), winning the series but not in the predicted 6 games.

“The one non-awesome round two series is the Thunder playing the Rockets. This, I think, could be a very quick series for OKC. OKC over Houston in a gentleman's sweep”

4-0 — Houston was eliminated in the first round by the Lakers, so the predicted Thunder-Rockets second-round series never happened; OKC's actual round-two opponent was the Lakers, whom the Thunder swept 4-0 (May 5-11, 2026).

“Denver over the Spurs in six games”

4-2 — Denver was eliminated in the first round by Minnesota, so the predicted Nuggets-Spurs second-round series never happened; San Antonio's actual round-two opponent was the Timberwolves, whom the Spurs beat 4-2 (May 4-15, 2026).

“Detroit over Cleveland in six.”

4-3 — Cavaliers beat the Pistons 4-3 in seven games in the East semifinals (May 5-17, 2026), so Detroit did not win in 6 games or at all.

“Eastern Conference Finals, not quite as much of an epic. Boston beats Detroit in six. To set up a Boston-Denver NBA Finals”

4-0 — Boston was eliminated in the first round and never reached the Eastern Conference finals; the New York Knicks won the East, sweeping the Cavaliers 4-0 (May 19-25, 2026).

“Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and the Boston Celtics win the NBA championship.”

4-1 — Boston was eliminated in the first round and did not play in the Finals; the New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA championship, beating the Spurs 4-1 (June 3-13, 2026).

“that Boston could be pretty well positioned. And I understand, listen, Vegas disagrees with me. Vegas has, our friends at Hard Rock Bet has Boston at plus 550 and OKC at damn near even money. Hard Rock Bet is almost putting OKC versus the field. They're plus 120, so they only have the field as tiny favorites over OKC. I think Boston at plus 550 is a bet.”

The New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 over the San Antonio Spurs, clinching on June 13, 2026; Boston did not win the championship (Wikipedia, sourced from Finals game log).

“Yeah, Rom, I don't remember that one. No, but Jon Rom, it was, I think you were there. Maybe I'm wrong, but I mean, I know I was watching with family. I had bet on Jon Rahm Sunday of the Masters, and he ended up finishing it off. Now, since then, he hasn't come close. But he's who I'm rooting for, and he's who I bet on, and he's my pick.”

Rory McIlroy won the 2026 Masters at 276 (-12); Jon Rahm tied for 38th at 289 (+1), so his outright to win lost (Wikipedia, tournament results).

“But I would be rolling with both underdogs on this one, and they're both tiny underdogs. Arizona plus one-and-a-half and UConn plus one-and-a-half would be my two picks.”

Michigan 91, Arizona 73 — Michigan routed Arizona 91-73 in the Final Four on April 4, 2026; Arizona lost by 18, well outside the +1.5 spread (ESPN).

“so I'm gonna pile on more on Houston Houston to win the South at plus 110”

Illinois 65, Houston 55 — Houston lost to Illinois 65-55 in the South Region Sweet 16 on March 26, 2026, eliminating the Cougars before the region could be won (ESPN).

“Houston to win the whole thing at 9-1.”

Houston lost in the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA tournament to Illinois; Michigan won the national championship, so Houston's title futures bet lost (Wikipedia).

“So I think Kenneth Walker III's going to score, and the minus 200 price says... Vegas obviously agrees with me on it.”

29-13 — Kenneth Walker III rushed 27 times for 135 yards and won Super Bowl LX MVP but did not score a touchdown; Seattle's TDs came from AJ Barner, Uchenna Nwosu, and (New England's) Mack Hollins and Rhamondre Stevenson (Wikipedia). (Kenneth Walker III: 27 carries, 135 rushing yards, 0 TD)

“[10:17] And you also like Cooper Cup at plus 260? [10:21] Yes. [10:21] So I think Kenneth Walker III's going to score, [10:25] and the minus 200 price says... [10:27] Vegas obviously agrees with me on it. [10:30] I also think in the red zone that all the attention that is going to be demanded by Njigba [10:38] could open things up for Cooper Cup. [10:42] And because of that, I like Cooper Cup at plus 260.”

29-13 — Cooper Kupp caught 6 passes for 61 yards in Super Bowl LX but was not among the game's touchdown scorers (Wikipedia). (Cooper Kupp: 6 receptions, 61 receiving yards, 0 TD)

“I like Drake plus 275 to score a touchdown.”

29-13 — Drake Maye threw 2 passing touchdowns (to Mack Hollins and Rhamondre Stevenson) but did not score a touchdown himself in Super Bowl LX (Wikipedia). (Drake Maye: 27/43, 295 passing yards, 2 passing TD, 0 rushing TD)

“Now quarterback props first one You got the over on Sam Darnold pass yards It over 232 at minus 115 Yeah so let me just say something about Super Bowl prop markets guys If you can, lean into two-way markets. and by two-way markets, I mean where you can bet yes and no or over and under. The problem with one-way markets is when you can only bet one side of it, you don't ever really know what the fair number is. But when they set Sam Darnold or any of these other ones we're about to give you over the next 10 minutes or so, when you can bet the over or under, and it's the same number, you're just paying the 15-cent juice, you know that is the fair number. Now, you might not like the 15-cent juice, but at least you know that's the real number. And so that's going to inform a lot of my picks here. And I think Darnold's going to have a good game. I think the Pats run defense is stiff enough that they will be able to slow down Kenneth Walker III, and Seattle's going to have to succeed through the air. And because of that, I like Darnold to have at least 245 passing yards, so I will go over 232.5.”

29-13 — Sam Darnold passed for 202 yards in Super Bowl LX, under the 232.5 line (Wikipedia). (Sam Darnold: 202 passing yards)

“in the touchdown market Demonte what is it uh Drake Maye under one and a half passing touchdowns at minus 160 so again this is a two market but the juice is obviously heavy on the under and you get plus 120 on the over If I think the Patriots are going to score less than 21 points and I think Drake Maye can run in a touchdown, we don't have enough room for more touchdowns there. So it's a little correlated, but I think that the Patriots are more likely to score on the ground than in the air against this Seattle defense. Hell, we saw how much trouble Stafford had in the red zone on their biggest drive of the season, trying to convert that third and four and then fourth and four to go ahead there. So I'll take under Drake Maye there.”

29-13 — Drake Maye threw 2 passing touchdowns (Mack Hollins, Rhamondre Stevenson) in Super Bowl LX, over the 1.5 line, so the under lost (Wikipedia). (Drake Maye: 2 passing touchdowns)

“Sam Darnold over 19.5 completions at minus 135. Yeah, so I think it's going to be a lot of Darnold passes. Not necessarily deep passes, but a lot of Darnold passes. Something like a 24 of 33 game from him. So I think he's going to get plenty of opportunities, so I will take the over there.”

29-13 — Sam Darnold completed 19 of 38 passes in Super Bowl LX, one short of the over 19.5 completions line (Wikipedia). (Sam Darnold: 19/38 completions)

“I have Rashid Shahid over 4.5 at minus 115.”

29-13 — Rashid Shaheed had 1 carry for -5 rushing yards in Super Bowl LX, under the 4.5 line (Wikipedia). (Rashid Shaheed: 1 carry, -5 rushing yards)

“I also have Jackson Smith and Jigba over a half at plus 275.”

29-13 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba had no rushing attempts in Super Bowl LX (4 receptions, 27 receiving yards only), so 0 rushing yards fails the over 0.5 line (Wikipedia). (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 0 carries, 0 rushing yards)

“You like Drake Maye over 37.5 at minus 120. Yeah, I just think he's going to have to be running a lot in this game. And I think Seattle's susceptible to it. That is a huge number for a quarterback. Yeah, and then minus 120. Yeah, a little juice, minus 110 on the under, so a little juice on the over. But I like Drake Maye to have 45, 50 rushing yards, and I'm not worried about him taking these at the end. So I'll lay that big number.”

29-13 — Drake Maye rushed 5 times for 37 yards in Super Bowl LX, just under the 37.5-yard line (Wikipedia). (Drake Maye: 5 carries, 37 rushing yards)

“So you like the under 27 and a half at minus 115, Matt Collins, sorry, for the receiving yards. And, and the, so, and say the over. Demario Douglas, Demario Douglas over 10 and a half at minus 115 as well. So I just think Douglas is going to be a bigger part of the game plan than Matt Collins. Douglas who caught the big fourth down touchdown catch and run against Houston was it that might have been I don't know if that was Houston or if that was the Chargers regardless um Matt Collins had been out injured Matt Collins came back last week caught the flea flicker I don't think Matt Collins is going to be a huge part of this game and I think Pop Douglas will make at least one catch so Pop Douglas over 10 and a half Matt Collins under 27 seven and a half those are oddly a little correlated in my brain at least so that's where i land on”

29-13 — Mack Hollins caught 4 passes for 78 receiving yards (including a 35-yard TD) in Super Bowl LX, well over the 27.5-yard line, so the under busts (Wikipedia). (Mack Hollins: 4 receptions, 78 receiving yards)

“I'll first let the, I I'm just going to go down with the Travion Henderson's not going to be involved in the passing game ship. I'll take under a half reception for him at plus one 40.”

29-13 — TreVeyon Henderson had 3 receptions in Super Bowl LX, over the 0.5-reception line, so the under busts (Wikipedia). (TreVeyon Henderson: 3 receptions)

“I just don't think he's going to catch a pass. And then what's the one over I have? You got Stefon Diggs over four and a half at minus one 25. So I did not note notably, Diggs' receiving yards is only 45.5, and I'm not betting that. I am betting him over receptions, and we have seen some games like this this year for Diggs”

29-13 — Stefon Diggs had 3 receptions in Super Bowl LX, under the 4.5-reception line (Wikipedia). (Stefon Diggs: 3 receptions)

“Yeah, listen, I think Demarcus Lawrence is going to put Will Campbell in hell.”

29-13 — Seattle recorded only 1 team sack in Super Bowl LX, credited to Derick Hall's strip-sack of Drake Maye — DeMarcus Lawrence recorded 0 sacks, missing the over 0.5 line (Wikipedia). (DeMarcus Lawrence: 0 sacks (Seattle's lone sack credited to Derick Hall))

“And then eventually they're going to have to cheat over and help him, and that'll open things up for Leonard Williams.”

29-13 — Seattle recorded only 1 team sack in Super Bowl LX, credited to Derick Hall's strip-sack of Drake Maye — Leonard Williams recorded 0 sacks, missing the over 0.5 line (Wikipedia). (Leonard Williams: 0 sacks (Seattle's lone sack credited to Derick Hall))

“Most passing yards, Prop Demonse, it's basically a coin flip bet. Drake Mayes minus 115, Sam Darnold's minus 120. As you guys can tell from how I think it's going to go, I like Darnold in that spot.”

29-13 — Sam Darnold threw for 202 yards versus Drake Maye's 295 yards in Super Bowl LX, so Darnold did not have most passing yards (Wikipedia). (Darnold 202 passing yards vs. Maye 295 passing yards)

“going to go, I like Darnold in that spot. And then one long shot flyer to Monze, longest reception. Player to record the longest reception, Rashid Shahid at plus 700. Listen, that's what he was brought in to do. He's done it already throughout his brief Seattle career. I think 7-1 is a good bet. Jackson Smith and Jigma could blow this up on me. Keyshawn Booty could blow this up on me, but I'll take Rashid Shahid at plus 700.”

29-13 — Mack Hollins' 35-yard touchdown catch was the longest reception of Super Bowl LX; Rashid Shaheed's longest catch went for 16 yards, so Shaheed did not record the game's longest reception (Wikipedia). (Longest reception: Mack Hollins, 35 yards; Shaheed's longest: 16 yards)

“longest successful field goal over under a 49.5. I'll go over. Good conditions.”

29-13 — Jason Myers' longest made field goal in Super Bowl LX was 41 yards, under the 49.5-yard line (Wikipedia). (Jason Myers longest FG: 41 yards (made 33, 39, 41, 41, 26))

“and it's crazy that this is now a plus like this is only plus 125 and i say that because it's shown how much the nfl's evolved and changed over the last decade where it's not it's they're basically saying it's damn near a coin flip whether or not both teams will convert a fourth down but i think they both will so i'll do that”

29-13 — Both teams went 0-for-0 on fourth-down attempts in Super Bowl LX, so neither team converted a fourth down and the each-team prop missed (Wikipedia). (4th down conversions: SEA 0/0, NE 0/0)

“Total number of players to throw a pass over two and a half at plus 160.”

29-13 — Only 2 players attempted a pass in Super Bowl LX (Sam Darnold and Drake Maye), under the 2.5 line (Wikipedia). (Passers in game: Darnold, Maye (2 total))

“Today's show is brought to you by representing sponsor Hard Rock Bet, Florida's sportsbook. Big game matchup is set. I cannot wait to see. Pats, Seahawks. Hard Rock Bet has all the different ways you can get in on the action on next Sunday's game. I told you guys I'm liking the JSN Anytime Touchdown. It's right around even money at minus 115.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished Super Bowl LX (Seahawks 29, Patriots 13) with 4 receptions for 27 yards and no touchdown, so the anytime-TD prop misses (ESPN box score). (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4 rec, 27 yds, 0 TD)

“I think the Rams win, so I'll take the Rams plus two and a half.”

SEA 31-LAR 27 — Seahawks beat the Rams 31-27 in the NFC Championship; Rams lost outright by 4, so Rams +2.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“The Rams are my pick to win the Super Bowl.”

SEA 31-LAR 27 — The Rams lost the NFC Championship to Seattle 31-27 on Jan 25, 2026 and did not advance to or win Super Bowl LX (ESPN box score).

“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver.”

DEN 33, BUF 30 (OT) — Broncos beat Bills 33-30 in overtime (ESPN box score); Buffalo's 3-point loss failed to cover +1.

“i'm taking san francisco plus the seven definitely there”

SEA 41, SF 6 — Seahawks beat 49ers 41-6 (ESPN box score) behind a Rashid Shaheed opening-kickoff-return touchdown; San Francisco's 35-point loss badly missed +7 — the previously stored resolution had the winner reversed.

“And then lastly, you have the Rams, minus four at Chicago. Yeah, I just don't trust that the Bears' defense is going to be able to slow down the Rams at all.”

LAR 20, CHI 17 (OT) — Rams beat Bears 20-17 in overtime (ESPN box score); Los Angeles's 3-point win fell short of covering -4.

“Miami and Indiana. And the line is set at Indiana minus eight and a half. And it's also at hard rock stadium. Who are you taking? I'll take Miami plus the points. And I'll take Miami on the money line plus two 60. Oh, juice it up a little bit.”

IND 27, MIA 21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 in the CFP National Championship (ESPN box score); Miami lost outright, missing the moneyline.

• Josh Allen anytime touchdown lost
• Davante Adams anytime touchdown lost
• Puka Nacua anytime touchdown lost

“Touchdown genie this week. I would like to do – I never do this. I would like to do a three-player touchdown genie parlay. Oh, wow. The money in the pockets. Josh Allen, Davante Adams, Puka Nacua. A three-player touchdown genie parlay. That's got to be better than 6-1. Yeah, I was just going to say plus 700 or something like that. Plus 704. Allen, Puka, Devontae. Allen's going to have to run one in. Pukin, Devontae, I think the Rams are going to score almost at will. I'm doing that as touchdown genie this week.”

None of the three scored: Josh Allen had 0 rushing/receiving TDs in Buffalo's OT loss to Denver, and Davante Adams (2 rec, 24 yds) and Puka Nacua (5 rec, 56 yds) were both scoreless in the Rams' OT win over Chicago (ESPN box scores). (Allen 0 TD; Adams 0 TD; Nacua 0 TD)

• Under 45
• Over 49

“under 45 in Niner Seahawks, over 49 in Rams-Bears, plus 265. I'll take that.”

Both legs missed: Seahawks-49ers combined for 47 points (over the 45 total) and Rams-Bears combined for 37 (under the 49 total), per ESPN box scores. (SEA 41-6 SF (total 47); LAR 20-17 CHI OT (total 37))

“I will swallow this huge number and lay the 10.5 with the Rams.”

LAR 34, CAR 31 — Rams beat Panthers 34-31 (ESPN box score); Los Angeles's 3-point margin fell far short of -10.5.

“I will take jacksonville plus one and to be clear”

BUF 27, JAX 24 — Bills beat Jaguars 27-24 (ESPN box score); Jacksonville's 3-point road loss failed to cover +1.

“I'll take the four points with the chargers taking the four”

NE 16, LAC 3 — Patriots beat Chargers 16-3 (ESPN box score); Los Angeles's 13-point loss failed to cover +4.

“So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.”

HOU 30, PIT 6 — Texans beat Steelers 30-6 (ESPN box score) for Houston's first road playoff win; Pittsburgh's 24-point loss badly missed +3.

“Trevor Lawrence plus 170. [1:07:08] Anytime touchdown is my touchdown genie this week.”

Trevor Lawrence rushed 6 times for 31 yards with no touchdown in Jacksonville's 27-24 Wild Card loss to Buffalo (ESPN box score); Josh Allen scored Buffalo's two rushing TDs. (Trevor Lawrence: 6 car, 31 rush yds, 0 rush TD)

“I just don't think Tampa's going to go out this sad. I'll lay the two and a half with Tampa.”

TB 16, CAR 14 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14 (ESPN box score); Tampa Bay's 2-point margin fell short of -2.5.

“I'm getting 12 points. I'll take Miami plus 12.”

NE 38, MIA 10 — Patriots routed Dolphins 38-10 (ESPN box score); Miami's 28-point loss busted the +12 line.

“Mike Evans. Anytime touchdown. Mike Evans plus 165 anytime touchdown”

Mike Evans caught 2 passes for 34 yards with no touchdown in Tampa Bay's 16-14 win over Carolina (ESPN box score); Carolina's TDs went to Jalen Coker and Tommy Tremble, Tampa Bay's to Cade Otton. (Mike Evans: 2 rec, 34 yds, 0 TD)

“you got Jacksonville minus 6.5 at Indy”

JAX 23, IND 17 — Jaguars beat Colts 23-17; Jacksonville's +6 margin misses -6.5 (ESPN box score).

“you got Pittsburgh minus four at Cleveland This was originally at four and a half It just dropped to four”

CLE 13, PIT 6 — Browns beat Steelers 13-6; Pittsburgh lost outright, missing -4 (ESPN box score).

“buffalo minus two and a half versus philly i think buffalo is a lot better than philly they're at home i'm only i'm laying less than a field goal and listen philly getting jalen carter and lane johnson back this week i think is something philly also though they locked up the division they're not going to be the one seed i so it's not that i think they're not going to care, but they just, they have no chance of being the one seed. They have no chance of not winning the division. So they have a slight chance at the two seed, but they can't be the four. Philly right now cannot be the one, four, five, six, or seven. They're either, no matter what happens the rest of the way, they're the two or the three seed, and they are probably the three seed so i just think buffalo's better buffalo needs the game buffalo's at home i'll take buffalo”

PHI 13, BUF 12 — Eagles beat Bills 13-12; Buffalo lost outright, missing -2.5 (ESPN box score).

“our one underdog we're taking chicago plus three at san francisco”

SF 42, CHI 38 — 49ers beat Bears 42-38; Chicago's -4 margin misses +3 (ESPN box score).

• Dallas Cowboys -0.5 won
• Detroit Lions pick'em (0) lost
• Denver Broncos -7 closed -13.5 · CLV +6.5 push

“We're going to tease Dallas to minus a half point, Detroit to a pick-em, and Denver down to minus seven. It's a six-point Christmas Day teaser at plus 140.”

WSH 23, DAL 30; MIN 23, DET 10; DEN 20, KC 13 — Teaser busts: Cowboys beat Commanders 30-23 (covers teased -0.5), Lions lost 10-23 to the Vikings (misses pick'em 0), Broncos beat Chiefs 20-13 (exact push at teased -7). The Lions leg loses, sinking the parlay (ESPN box scores).

• Sam Darnold 200+ passing yards
• Sam Darnold 2+ passing touchdowns

“Darnold gets a half a million for 4,000 yards and a half a million for 28 touchdowns. He's at 3,700 yards and 24 touchdowns. The offer is 200-plus yards for Darnold and two-plus touchdowns for plus 140. Do you want that? Against Carolina? Yeah. I'm going to take it. And Hard Rock Bet's going to post it as a Nick Wright exclusive. So Sam Darnold, 200-plus passing yards and two touchdowns. A little Jackson.”

Sam Darnold went 18/27 for 147 yards with 1 TD (and 1 INT) in Seattle's 27-10 win over Carolina, missing both the 200+ passing yards and 2+ passing TD legs (ESPN box score). (Darnold: 18/27, 147 pass yds, 1 pass TD)

“So Sam Darnold, 200-plus passing yards and two touchdowns. A little Jackson. And you know what? I take it back. For touchdown genie, throw JSN on there at even money or minus 105. We'll do that as well. We're going to hit these. I feel good about it. So I will take the offer this week because I didn't follow you guys last week. I feel like a dope because of it.”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 9 passes for 72 yards but did not score in Seattle's 27-10 win over Carolina; Seattle's touchdowns came from Zach Charbonnet (2 rushing) and AJ Barner (1 receiving) (ESPN box score). (Smith-Njigba: 9 rec, 72 yds, 0 TD)

“So all that, I'll lay the three points with Tampa.”

CAR 23, TB 20 — Panthers beat Buccaneers 23-20; Tampa Bay's -3 margin misses -3 exactly, so it busts (ESPN box score).

“So my three picks this week are the Chiefs getting, I'm sorry, the Titans getting three and a half against the Chiefs. The Bucs laying three at Carolina. Dallas laying two at the Chargers. Jacksonville getting three at Denver. And New England getting three at Baltimore.”

DAL 17, LAC 34 — Chargers beat Cowboys 34-17; Dallas' -17 margin misses -2 (ESPN box score).

“Seattle minus 13.5 versus Indy.”

SEA 18, IND 16 — Seahawks beat Colts 18-16; Seattle's +2 margin misses -13.5 (ESPN box score).

“I'll take my 11.5 points with the Raiders.”

PHI 31, LV 0 — Eagles shut out the Raiders 31-0; Las Vegas' -31 margin misses +11.5 (ESPN box score).

“I'm getting 2.5 points at home in a divisional game with Burrow playing. I'll take it.”

CIN 0, BAL 24 — Ravens shut out the Bengals 24-0; Cincinnati's -24 margin misses +2.5 (ESPN box score).

“do I have a touchdown genie this week you guys want to know yep Kelsey ooh what are the odds on that one He's down on himself. He's sad. Mahomes wants to, you know, he doesn't have potentially that many home games left. Kelsey, plus 225.”

Travis Kelce finished with 7 receptions for 70 yards and 0 touchdowns in the Chiefs' 13-16 loss to the Chargers, so the anytime-TD prop misses (ESPN box score). (Kelce: 7 rec, 70 yds, 0 TD)

• Kansas City Chiefs closed -280 · CLV -5¢ lost
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA Cup MVP pending

“so this week we have a cross sport parlay we're going to tie up Chiefs Moneyline plus SGA to win the cup MVP for plus 114 love it I taking that offer Chiefs Moneyline Shea to win the cup MVP for plus 114 Love it I taking that offer Chiefs money line Shea to win the NBA cup MVP Oh my goodness. I feel like that's free money.”

LAC 16, KC 13 — Chiefs lost to the Chargers 13-16, missing the moneyline leg, and Jalen Brunson (not Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) was named 2025 NBA Cup MVP as the Knicks won the tournament; both legs miss (ESPN box score; Wikipedia 2025 NBA Cup).

“they're plus 375 to win the afc yeah i the which is makes them like co-favorites they're my they're my pick right now”

Buffalo did not win the AFC: the Bills lost 33-30 in overtime to Denver in the Divisional Round, and New England beat Denver in the AFC Championship to represent the AFC in Super Bowl LX (Wikipedia, 2025-26 NFL playoffs).

“Washington i think is well coached and showed real fight [26:02] against denver i'll take washington plus two”

MIN 31, WSH 0 — Vikings shut out Commanders 31-0; Washington +2 fails to cover (ESPN box score).

“Philly minus three at the Chargers. Listen, I think this is essentially going to be a Philly home game plus travel. The Chargers will be in a silent count. I also trust the Philly D-line. I also don't know what Herbert's status is. With that said, Philly is the least trustworthy offense on any team that's not awful that I've seen in years. So I don't love laying points. However, I think the overall roster talent, plus health of the quarterbacks, plus quality of D-line versus O-line, so favors the Eagles. And I'm going to be totally honest, there were only four picks I loved, and I'm rooting so hard for Philly, I might as well make it one of my picks too, double down on it. So not great analysis there, I'll be honest, but that's what I'm rolling with. So my five picks are, in order of confidence, I'm going to read them to you. Seattle, minus seven at Atlanta. Jacksonville, it says plus one and a half. It's actually plus two against Indy. Washington plus two at Minnesota Pittsburgh plus six at Baltimore And Philly minus three at the Chargers Those are my five picks If we go five and oh we profitable for the year If we go four and”

LAC 22, PHI 19 — Chargers beat Eagles 22-19 in OT; Philadelphia -3 fails to cover, losing outright (ESPN box score).

“This week, thanks to our friends at Hard Rock Bet, because this is our 400th episode. they have multiple markets they made for us One is will any quarterback this weekend throw for 400 yards That available at plus 400 So you don need to pick the quarterback just any quarterback will somebody throw for 400 yards and get that at plus 400. And then the one I love, a special market against that beleaguered Colts secondary, Trevor to throw for 400 at 60-1. The Prince takes control of the division, 60-1. We've seen him go over 370 before. It has to be the combo of you expect a high-scoring game, a back-and-forth game, and you expect a bunch of yards and a bad defense involved. I'm doing it. So Trevor, 60-1 to throw for 400 yards.”

JAX 36, IND 19 — Lawrence threw for 244 yards on 17-of-30 passing in Jacksonville's 36-19 win over Indianapolis, well short of the 400-yard over; bet busts (ESPN box score). (Trevor Lawrence 244 passing yards (17/30, 2 TD))

“I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas.”

DAL 31, KC 28 — Cowboys beat Chiefs 31-28 on Thanksgiving; Kansas City -3 fails to cover, losing outright (ESPN box score).

“I think for the second straight week, my favorite bet of the week is Cleveland. Cleveland getting six in the snow against the Niners. That defense against Brock Purdy, fresh off those interceptions, in the snow. I think this is a low scoring, low possession, run the ball game. and Cleveland's defense is so great that at home in inclement weather, maybe our first snow game of the year, I'll take the six points and I'll take them happily.”

CLE 8, SF 26 — 49ers beat Browns 26-8 in the snow; Cleveland +6 fails to cover (ESPN box score).

“Patrick Mahomes, anytime touchdown at 4-1.”

DAL 31, KC 28 — Mahomes threw 4 TD passes but did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown himself (3 carries, 30 yards, 0 rush TD) in Kansas City's 31-28 Thanksgiving loss to Dallas; anytime-TD bet busts (ESPN box score). (Mahomes 3 car, 30 yds, 0 rush TD; 4 passing TDs, 0 receiving TD)

• Kareem Hunt under 33.5 rushing yards closed +34.5 · CLV -1 lost
• Rashee Rice over 72.5 receiving yards closed +76.5 · CLV +4 won

“I will take that offer, but it's going to be under 33 and a half rushing yards for Kareem Hunt, [28:00] over 72 and a half receiving yards for Ashir Rice. [28:03] That'll still be plus 225.”

Hunt rushed for 58 yards, well over the 33.5-yard under; Rice caught 8 passes for 92 yards, clearing his 72.5-yard over - but Hunt's leg busts, so the parlay loses (ESPN box score). (Hunt 14 car, 58 rushing yds; Rice 8 rec, 92 receiving yds, 2 TD)

“Tennessee's the worst team in the NFL, I will take Seattle laying the 13 and a half.”

TEN 24, SEA 30 — Seahawks beat Titans 30-24; Seattle -13.5 fails to cover (ESPN box score).

“In place of touchdown, Jeannie, just go ahead and bet Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. Ride with that one. They're going to have a lead. They're not going to want to turn the ball over. Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. That one sounds like a better bet. Minus 110.”

LV 10, CLE 24 — Sanders threw for 209 yards on 11-of-20 passing in Cleveland's 24-10 win over Las Vegas, well over the 160.5-yard under; bet busts (ESPN box score). (Shedeur Sanders 209 passing yards (11/20))

“Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo. I just don't know that right now Buffalo deserves to be laying more than three and a half against any really good team. And I think Tampa's a really good team. They're also, this will be the first game maybe all year where Tampa is the healthier team. They might have Bucky Irving back. They might have Chris Godwin back. Buffalo, meanwhile, is super banged up. I don't need Tampa to win outright, even though I think they could. I just need them to keep it manageable, and they're healthier. And Buffalo, I think, has some soul-searching to do. Tampa plus 5.5.”

BUF 44, TB 32 — Bills routed Buccaneers 44-32; Tampa Bay +5.5 fails to cover (ESPN box score).

“the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. If you got this right when it opened at three, good for you. I may have gotten it right when it opened. It opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half.”

DEN 22, KC 19 — Broncos beat Chiefs 22-19; Kansas City -3.5 fails to cover, losing by only 3 (ESPN box score).

• Josh Jacobs to score a touchdown lost
• Christian McCaffrey to score a touchdown won

“Touchdown Genie Parlay. Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey. Parlayed together, minus 122.”

Jacobs was held to 40 rushing yards with no touchdown in Green Bay's 27-20 win over the Giants; McCaffrey scored twice for San Francisco, but both legs must hit for the parlay — Jacobs' leg busts it (ESPN box scores). (Jacobs 7 car/40 yds, 0 TD (GB 27, NYG 20); McCaffrey 2 rush TD (SF 41, ARI 22))

“I think Tampa wins this game and I think tampa wins this game by at least a field goal so i got tampa minus two and a half”

TB 23, NE 28 — New England beat Tampa Bay 28-23; the Buccaneers lost outright by 5, missing the -2.5 spread.

“That's all I need at minus one, so I'll take Jacksonville next.”

HOU 36, JAX 29 — Houston beat Jacksonville 36-29; the Jaguars lost outright by 7, missing the -1 spread.

“Steelers defense, and I'm getting three points with Tomlin.”

LAC 25, PIT 10 — LA Chargers beat Pittsburgh 25-10; the Steelers lost outright by 15, missing the +3 spread.

• Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown scorer
• Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown scorer

“going in the same game barley Jonathan Taylor and B. John Robinson to both score a touchdown at plus 135. I'll take it”

Jonathan Taylor scored 3 rushing touchdowns (32 carries, 244 yards) in Indianapolis's 31-25 OT win, but Bijan Robinson was held scoreless (17 carries, 84 yards, 0 TD), busting the same-game touchdown parlay. (Taylor: 3 rush TD (32 car, 244 yds); B. Robinson: 17 car, 84 yds, 0 TD)

“I love the Lions in this spot. One of my, maybe my favorite play of the week. It's the first one, Detroit minus eight and a half.”

DET 24, MIN 27 — Minnesota beat Detroit 27-24; the Lions lost outright, missing the -8.5 spread by a wide margin.

“I think the Chiefs win by at least a field goal I lay the point and a half”

BUF 28, KC 21 — Buffalo beat Kansas City 28-21; the Chiefs lost outright, missing the -1.5 spread.

“all lay the seven and a half with atlanta”

ATL 10, MIA 34 — Miami beat Atlanta 34-10; the Falcons lost outright, well outside covering the -7.5 spread.

“so i'll take chicago plus the six and a half”

BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore beat Chicago 30-16; the Bears lost by 14, missing the +6.5 spread.

“i am here to tell you aubrey could hit the longest field goal in nfl history this weekend it's on the board i'll take dallas plus three and a half”

DEN 44, DAL 24 — Denver beat Dallas 44-24; the Cowboys lost by 20, missing the +3.5 spread.

“just going to do the same thing. So this week we're going to roll with Bijan Robinson. He's going up against the dolphins. They suck. Bijan over one 25 and a half rushing plus reception yards at minus one 15. Does that interest you? Yes. There we go. Cause that's a big part of my”

Bijan Robinson totaled just 25 rushing and 23 receiving yards (48 combined) on 9 carries and 3 catches in Atlanta's 34-10 loss to Miami, well under the 125.5 rushing+receiving line. (Robinson: 9 car, 25 yds rush; 3 rec, 23 yds; 48 total)

“You gotta hope he can be back for the postseason. This is my Super Bowl pick.”

Tampa Bay finished the 2025 regular season 8-9 and missed the playoffs, and Seattle beat New England 29-13 to win Super Bowl LX, so the Buccaneers-to-make-the-Super-Bowl futures pick lost.

“And it's just too many points. I love seven and a half. I'll take seven in a game. Sneaky upset alert for the Patriots. But I think the Titans keep it close-ish.”

TEN 13, NE 31 — Patriots beat Titans 31-13; Tennessee's -18 margin missed the +7 line, so Titans +7 busts (ESPN box score).

“So I am taking the Jets plus one and a half.”

NYJ 6, CAR 13 — Panthers beat Jets 13-6; New York's -7 margin missed the +1.5 line, so Jets +1.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus two.”

SF 20, ATL 10 — 49ers beat Falcons 20-10; Atlanta's -10 margin missed the +2 line, so Falcons +2 busts (ESPN box score).

“I'm making my own market here. Bijan over 129.5 rushing and receiving yards. They have at least 130 rushing and receiving yards. that's plus 105 it feels right that's the offer this week”

Bijan Robinson gained 40 rushing yards and 52 receiving yards (92 total) in Atlanta's 20-10 loss at San Francisco, well under the 129.5 combined-yards line, so the over loses (ESPN box score). (Bijan Robinson: 40 rush yds, 52 rec yds (92 total))

“Dallas minus three.”

CAR 30, DAL 27 — Panthers beat Cowboys 30-27; Dallas's -3 margin exactly missed the -3 line (push requires +3 or better than the number, -3 does not cover a -3 spread), so Cowboys -3 busts (ESPN box score).

• Micah Parsons over 0.5 sacks
• Rashan Gary over 0.5 sacks

“So we got Micah plus Rashan Gary both for over a half sack at plus 210. Love it. You're loving that one. I'm doing it. That Packers defense with something to prove against a Bengals O-line and old man Joe Flacco, I will take that offer. That offer is locked in.”

GB 27, CIN 18 — In Green Bay's 27-18 win over Cincinnati, Micah Parsons recorded 1 sack (clearing his 0.5-sack leg) but Rashan Gary was held to 0 sacks, missing his 0.5-sack leg — the parlay needed both legs and busts (ESPN box score). (Parsons 1.0 sack (win); Gary 0.0 sacks (loss))

“Even if he doesn't play, I think Baltimore plus 1.5 is the right side.”

HOU 44, BAL 10 — Texans beat Ravens 44-10; Baltimore's -34 margin missed the +1.5 line, so Ravens +1.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“So I'll take Philly, despite all the noise around them, minus the 3.5.”

PHI 17, DEN 21 — Broncos beat Eagles 21-17; Philadelphia's -4 margin missed the -3.5 line, so Eagles -3.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“i'll take the raiders plus six and a half at indy”

IND 40, LV 6 — Colts beat Raiders 40-6; Las Vegas's -34 margin missed the +6.5 line, so Raiders +6.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“I'm betting the Vikings defense minus two and a half against Pittsburgh.”

PIT 24, MIN 21 — Steelers beat Vikings 24-21 in Dublin; Minnesota's -3 margin fell short of the +2.5 line (as Vikings bettor Nick had them favored -2.5, the pick busts) (ESPN box score).

“i'll take cleveland plus 10”

DET 34, CLE 10 — Lions beat Browns 34-10; Cleveland's -24 margin missed the +10 line, so Browns +10 busts (ESPN box score).

“like I just I'm getting more than a touchdown Cincinnati plus seven and a half in a game I think they could win outright so yeah I don't overthink this one Cincinnati plus seven and a half they can win outright and Pat Sertan's not playing great Denver's offense is shaky at best Yes, give me the 7.5.”

DEN 28, CIN 3 — Broncos beat Bengals 28-3; Cincinnati's -25 margin missed the +7.5 line, so Bengals +7.5 busts (ESPN box score).

“And I also like Georgia laying two and a half at home against Alabama”

24-21 — Alabama beat Georgia 24-21; Georgia's outright loss busts the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“A bigger favorite here. Green Bay minus 7.5 at Cleveland. Yeah, so I think Green Bay is going to annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road.”

13-10 — Browns beat Packers 13-10; Green Bay's 3-point loss busts the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“I think Tennessee, I'll go out and say first win of the year, an outright winner, and I'm getting 3.5, Tennessee plus 3.5.”

41-20 — Colts beat Titans 41-20; Tennessee's 21-point loss busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“So I will lay the five points with Atlanta.”

30-0 — Panthers shut out Falcons 30-0; Atlanta's outright loss busts the -5 spread (ESPN box score).

“CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown, minus 115.”

CeeDee Lamb recorded zero targets, zero receptions, and no touchdown in the Week 3 loss to Chicago (31-14), so the anytime-TD prop loses (ESPN player game log). (Lamb: 0 targets, 0 receptions, 0 TD)

“with Jacksonville, but getting points, I will do it. I think Jacksonville wins this game 27-21. I will take the Jags getting three points.”

31-27 — Bengals beat Jaguars 31-27; Jacksonville lost outright and the +3 spread busts (ESPN box score).

“I will lay the six and a half with Arizona.”

27-22 — Cardinals beat Panthers 27-22, a 5-point margin that falls short of the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“And so the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win outright.”

20-17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 20-17; Kansas City lost outright, busting the +1 spread (ESPN box score).

“The Chiefs, minus three against the Chargers, is my first bet of the year.”

27-21 — Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil; Kansas City lost outright, busting -3 (ESPN box score).

“I'll take Miami plus one at Indy.”

33-8 — Colts beat Dolphins 33-8; Miami lost by 25, busting +1 (ESPN box score).

“Tampa over 9.5 is probably my favorite bet of all of these. I think the Bucs have a real shot to be the one seed in the NFC. And I think that they are going to win at least 11 games, maybe 12 or 13. That's minus 120.”

Tampa Bay finished 8-9 in 2025, under 9.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“The Raiders over 6.5 at minus 145.”

Las Vegas finished 3-14 in 2025, well under 6.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“The Colts under 7.5 at minus 130. This is my favorite of the unders.”

Indianapolis finished 8-9 in 2025, above 7.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“up with the number one pick of the draft. I think that is absolutely on the board. The Broncos under nine and a half at plus 110. I think the Broncos are going to get out to a decent start. People are”

Denver went 14-3 in 2025, well over 9.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“So I will take under 10.5 for the Niners.”

San Francisco went 12-5 in 2025, over 10.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Chiefs minus 380.”

Kansas City finished 6-11 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Raiders plus 340 for a half unit.”

Las Vegas finished 3-14 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

New York finished 4-13 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Giants 5-1 for a quarter unit, and the Bucs minus 170. Those are make playoffs.”

Tampa Bay finished 8-9 in 2025 and missed the playoffs as Carolina took the NFC South (ESPN 2025 NFL standings; Wikipedia 2025 NFL season).

“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”

Pittsburgh went 10-7 in 2025 and won the AFC North, making the playoffs, so the miss bet lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Missed playoffs, Steelers minus 140, Colts minus 260, Broncos plus 130, Cowboys minus 210.”

Denver went 14-3 in 2025 and won the AFC West, making the playoffs, so the miss bet lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“to win the west of the afc west sorry at minus 115”

Denver (14-3) won the AFC West; Kansas City (6-11) did not, so the division bet lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“the bucks to win the nfc south at minus 115 like the saints and panthers to me are no shot”

Carolina (8-9) won the NFC South via tiebreaker; Tampa Bay (8-9) did not, so the division bet lost (Wikipedia 2025 NFL season).

• Ravens to win the AFC North
• Bills to win the AFC East

“And then I found, I found a plus money parlay here to Monze. Only two teams. So we got a division winner. We got Baltimore plus Buffalo at plus 106.”

Neither team won its division: Pittsburgh (10-7) won the AFC North over Baltimore (8-9), and New England (14-3) won the AFC East over Buffalo (12-5, wild card). Both parlay legs lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings). (Ravens 8-9 (Steelers 10-7 won AFC North); Bills 12-5 wild card (Patriots 14-3 won AFC East))

“this year the super bowl exacta at 55 to 1 is drum roll please demanze we got kansas city versus tampa bay and the super bowl exacta plus 5500 how about the and then obviously spoiler super bowl”

29-13 — Super Bowl LX was Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots (Seattle won 29-13), not Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, so the exacta lost (ESPN box score).

“exactly with the winner right kansas city to defeat tampa bay at plus 11 000 um indeed”

29-13 — Seattle beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; neither the Chiefs nor Buccaneers reached it, so the bet lost (ESPN box score).

“I do love this bet. The Bucs over 9.5 minus 120, I think Tampa, Demonse, is going to win a bunch of games.”

Tampa Bay finished 8-9 in 2025, under 9.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“the Niners under 10.5 at minus 130”

San Francisco went 12-5 in 2025, over 10.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Yeah, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus 380. Was that money laying on the ground? Why didn't I pick it up? You can say you're going to lay. Yeah, I am. I'm going to lay minus 380.”

Kansas City finished 6-11 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340. Yeah, I mean, I've talked a ton about the Raiders in a bunch of spots. I just like the value at plus 340.”

Las Vegas finished 3-14 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Giants at plus 500 to make the playoffs.”

New York finished 4-13 in 2025 and missed the playoffs (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“least, and you're going to see this team all over my gambling card this year. You got the Bucs at minus 170 to make the playoffs. Yeah.”

Tampa Bay finished 8-9 in 2025 and missed the playoffs as Carolina took the NFC South (ESPN 2025 NFL standings; Wikipedia 2025 NFL season).

“You got the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus 140. The Steelers, two years ago, the Jags ruined me. Last year, the Steelers ruined me. So I don't have, if you remember, the Steelers are not one of my win total bets. Because maybe Tomlin's going to somehow create enough magic to get to nine wins. I don't think they're going to make the playoffs. I'll take them under 140.”

Pittsburgh went 10-7 in 2025, won the AFC North, and made the playoffs, so the miss-the-playoffs bet lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“You've got the Broncos to miss at plus 130. Yeah, I just like that it's plus money.”

Denver went 14-3 in 2025 and won the AFC West, making the playoffs, so the miss bet lost (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“The next team listed is the Indianapolis Colts. Their number is seven and a half. It is the same slight juice, minus 130 on the under. And this is a bet, and this is a bet that I love, and I am taking the under on the Colts I am so dismayed by how they continue to”

Indianapolis finished 8-9 in 2025, above the under 7.5 wins line (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“The Denver Broncos. Nine and a half. Never has a team that last year beat two quarterbacks all year that are currently starters in the league. Went 0-7 in its games against playoff teams, unless you include beating the Chiefs backups as a playoff team. gotten this much preseason smoke under nine and a half gets me plus 110 i think it is more than on the board that this team goes seven and ten they are more let me put it like this they are more likely to go 7-10 than 10-7. I will take the Broncos and fading Bo Nix, who again was good”

Denver went 14-3 in 2025 and won the AFC West, busting under 9.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“that year by winning the Super Bowl. The Chiefs win total, getting even money over 11.5 wins, that's an easy one. I will take over 11.5 every day with Kansas City. 12-5 would disappoint me.”

Kansas City finished 6-11 in 2025, far under 11.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“Now to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders' total is 6.5. It is minus 145 on the over I like Geno I love Pete Carroll I believe in the Raiders I am going over with the Las Vegas Raiders”

Las Vegas finished 3-14 in 2025, well under 6.5 wins (ESPN 2025 NFL standings).

“So I'm pot committed on the Royals on the money line tonight, plus 200.”

6-2 — Red Sox beat the Royals 6-2 on August 5, 2025; Kansas City's moneyline bet loses.

“the raiders plus 330 to make the playoffs that is my early first nfl season long bet”

Raiders finished the 2025 regular season 3-14, their fourth straight losing season, and missed the playoffs. (Raiders 2025 regular season: 3-14, missed playoffs)

“OKC minus one and a half games at minus 275.”

4-3 — Oklahoma City beat Indiana 103-91 in Game 7 on June 22, 2025 to win the 2025 NBA Finals 4-3, a one-game series margin that falls short of the Thunder -1.5 series-wins spread.

“But I've got a series bet I like a lot, which is Minnesota to win game one and the series. That's almost even money, minus 115.”

88-99 — Golden State beat Minnesota 99-88 in Game 1 on May 6, 2025 (Curry exited with a hamstring strain), so the compound 'Timberwolves to win Game 1 and the series' bet lost on the Game 1 leg regardless of the eventual series outcome.

“the Niners. They're over under set at 10.5 and you're going on there. Yeah I like the under yeah I think that them being the favorites to win that division and having the highest win total in that division is disrespectful to the Rams”

The 49ers finished the 2025 season 12-5, over the 10.5-win under line (ESPN standings). (12-5)

“I will tell you guys my favorite round one bet. Shout out to my friends at DraftKings. By the way, can DraftKings start getting some boosts or something? if there's something I really like I don't know this is plus 120 maybe they can throw my face on it and make it plus 125 for what's right listeners but the Lakers minus a game and a half in the series meaning is plus 120”

The Timberwolves eliminated the Lakers 4-1 in the 2025 first-round series; the Lakers did not cover the -1.5 series-games line (ESPN Lakers playoff schedule). (MIN wins series 4-1)

“I love the under for the New England Patriots. I will take under eight and a half, and that's a bet we can put on my season long.”

The Patriots finished the 2025 season 14-3, well over the 8.5-win under line (ESPN standings). (14-3)

“Jets over 5.5.”

The Jets finished the 2025 season 3-14, well under the 5.5-win over line (ESPN standings). (3-14)

“Steelers under 8.5.”

The Steelers finished the 2025 season 10-7, over the 8.5-win under line (ESPN standings). (10-7)

“Chiefs over 11.5.”

The Chiefs finished the 2025 season 6-11, well under the 11.5-win over line (ESPN standings). (6-11)

“I like the Raiders over 6.5.”

The Raiders finished the 2025 season 3-14, well under the 6.5-win over line (ESPN standings). (3-14)

“I personally like Duke minus five and a half tonight at even money. Not tonight, this weekend. I also personally like Duke to win the championship at even money. So Duke minus five and a half in their game on Saturday at even money. Duke plus 100 to win the whole thing at even money Better late than never It what I going with now that Tennessee gone”

67-70 — Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the Final Four; Duke lost outright, missing the -5.5 spread entirely (ESPN scoreboard).

“I also personally like Duke to win the championship at even money. So Duke minus five and a half in their game on Saturday at even money. Duke plus 100 to win the whole thing at even money Better late than never It what I going with now that Tennessee gone”

Duke was eliminated by Houston 70-67 in the Final Four and did not win the 2025 NCAA title; Florida beat Houston 65-63 in the championship game (ESPN scoreboard). (Houston 70, Duke 67 (Final Four); Florida 65, Houston 63 (Championship))

“and Tennessee at plus 215 to win their region, the Midwest. That is something that I like as well.”

69-50 — Tennessee lost the Midwest Region final (Elite Eight) to Houston 69-50, ending its run before winning the region (ESPN box score).

“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”

77-62 — Tennessee beat Wofford 77-62 in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64, a 15-point margin that fell short of the -18.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“My personal favorite for today, for the beginning of the tournament, Tennessee laying the wood, 18.5 against Wofford, and a nice little flyer, a little taste on Tennessee at 22-1 to win the national championship.”

69-50 — Tennessee was eliminated by Houston 69-50 in the Elite Eight (Midwest Region) and never reached the championship game (ESPN box score).

“We're going Zion to keep this hot streak alive over 23 and a half.”

NO 127, LAC 120 — Zion Williamson scored 22 points in the Pelicans' 127-120 win over the Clippers, under the 23.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Zion Williamson: 22 points)

“Kawhi under 23.5, lines and odds subject to change.”

NO 127, LAC 120 — Kawhi Leonard scored 29 points in the Clippers' loss to the Pelicans (127-120), over the 23.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Kawhi Leonard: 29 points)

“Kevin Durant over 26 and a half points is where the line is right now. It is sun spurs again lines and odds subject to change my thought process on that. This is twofold. One is Durant probably feeling good with that Olympics documentary coming out where he's looks like a star. Durant also fought to stay with the Suns. They need to get in the play-in. And Wimby, all of a sudden, doubtful with an illness. So for all those reasons, I think Durant gets to 30. I'll take over 26.5 points.”

SAS 120, PHX 109 — Kevin Durant scored 22 points in the Suns' 120-109 loss to the Spurs, under the 26.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Kevin Durant: 22 points)

“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”

CHA 100, LAL 97 — Luka Doncic scored 14 points as the Hornets beat the Lakers 100-97, under the 24.5 over line (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 14 points)

“I like Luka's over and LeBron's under. So Luka over 24 and a half. LeBron under 23 and a half are where they are set right now. Lines and odds, of course, subject to change. Thought process on that is Luka, LeBron clearly dealing with a bit of an ankle. I think wants to get Luka involved. Luka is yet to have an explosive Laker game. So the Luka over, the LeBron under, a little correlated, I think.”

CHA 100, LAL 97 — LeBron James scored 26 points as the Hornets beat the Lakers 100-97, over the 23.5 under line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 26 points)

“Walker Kessler over 10 and a half against the Clippers, with the theory being, yes, both teams are on a back-to-back, but the Clipper, James Harden is an all-star. The Clippers, I feel like, are more likely to be looking forward to this time off. Walker Kessler coming off a nice game. I think he can get to at least 11 points”

LAC 120, UTAH 116 — Walker Kessler did not play (DNP, left thumb) as the Clippers beat the Jazz 120-116 in OT, so he had 0 points, under the 10.5 line (ESPN box score). (Walker Kessler: DNP (left thumb), 0 points)

“official pick i mean you've got chiefs minus one and a half 34 24 kansas city kansas city minus one”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat the Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX; Kansas City lost by 18, busting the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“Um, uh, rush attempts over under six and a half plus 120 and minus 150. Or, yeah, 150. So, yeah, no, you got that right. I would I'm not going to bet over on the touchdowns at minus 175 if I had to just bet one of these I'll take the over six and a half rush attempts.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes had 4 rush attempts (25 yards) in Super Bowl LIX, under the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 4 rush attempts, 25 yds)

“I will take Saquon under attempts under 21 and a half because I think they're going to be behind.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley carried 25 times in Super Bowl LIX, over the 21.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 25 rush attempts, 57 yds)

“Next we got your guy, Kelsey. Reception over under is six and a half. Reception yards is 61 and a half. And reception touchdowns, one is plus 145. Two is plus 1,000. Listen, he's having a job. I don't say you were taking Mahomes on the touchdown. So, yeah, it's... No, I'm taking the yards. I'm taking Kelsey over 61 and a half yards.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Travis Kelce had 4 receptions for 39 yards in Super Bowl LIX, under the 61.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 4 rec, 39 yds, 0 TD)

• Patrick Mahomes anytime TD scorer
• Kareem Hunt anytime TD scorer

“But I'll take Mahomes plus 310 and I'll take Kareem plus 140. I'll parlay those two. That's good money. All right, what's the Eagles ones? Go ahead. Eagles touchdown. You got Jalen Hurts for one touchdown. It's minus 110. Two plus 550. You got A.J. Brown. One's at plus 165. Two's at plus 1200 You got Devontae Smith One plus 240 Two plus 2000 Jalen Hurts Minus 110 Just to score a touchdown Yeah. Yeah. That's an easy one. And Hunt and Mahomes to score is plus 950.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Neither leg hit: Mahomes threw 3 passing TDs but scored none himself (4 rush att, 25 yds, 0 TD), and Kareem Hunt had 0 TDs (3 rush att/9 yds; 1 rec/5 yds) in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win — Chiefs TDs came from Xavier Worthy (2) and DeAndre Hopkins (ESPN box score). (Mahomes: 0 rush/rec TD; Hunt: 0 TD (3 car/9 yds, 1 rec/5 yds))

“That's stupid. I'll take Kelsey first and last at 90-1. I'll take my score at 130-1. And I guess if I'm taking Kelsey first and last, no, then I won't even need the action on any tight end to score the first TD because I've already got that juice there.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Travis Kelce did not score in Super Bowl LIX (4 rec, 39 yds, 0 TD), so he could not be first-and-last TD scorer (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 4 rec, 39 yds, 0 TD)

“Your score prediction, Chiefs to win 34 to 24 is at plus 13,000. 130 to one? Yes. Sign me up.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Final score was Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Kansas City lost outright, not the predicted 34-24 Chiefs win (ESPN box score).

“And sure, and Chiefs win by exactly three points plus 950.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX 22-40 to the Eagles; they did not win by 3 or by any margin (ESPN box score).

“I'll take Washington plus six.”

PHI 55, WSH 23 — Eagles routed Washington 55-23 in the NFC Championship; Washington lost by 32, busting the +6 spread (ESPN box score).

• Washington Commanders closed +215 · CLV 0¢ lost
• Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer pending

“I don't ever take the offer, but I'll take it. Washington Moneyline and Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown. Kareem Hunt. And I'll take it. All right. And my guess is that'll be like 10 to 1 because Kareem, maybe even more. See if the producers while we read some of the listener questions see if they can tell us in the doc what that would actually pay out Daniel says it plus 857 as opposed to plus 708 You like a little better odds but that fine”

PHI 55, WSH 23 — Washington lost the NFC Championship 23-55 to Philadelphia (moneyline leg loses); Kareem Hunt scored a rushing TD in the Chiefs' AFC Championship win (leg wins) — the parlay needs both legs and loses.

“The producers asked me if I'm interested in the Rams money line at plus two 35. Yeah, I'm betting the Rams to win the game.”

PHI 28-22 — Eagles beat Rams 28-22; Los Angeles lost outright, busting the moneyline bet (ESPN box score).

“I'll still take Pittsburgh plus the nine and a half.”

BAL 28-14 — Ravens beat Steelers 28-14; Pittsburgh lost by 14, missing the +9.5 line (ESPN box score).

“You got Kansas City plus 10.5 at Denver. It's just too many points. it's just that the Chiefs are going to make this a low possession game they just want to get out they want this game to go as fast as possible is my point so a lot of running the ball so it's hard to cover big spreads in games that have you know six or seven possessions per team rather than eight or nine so that works in their favor”

DEN 38-0 — Broncos shut out Chiefs 38-0; Kansas City lost by 38, well outside the +10.5 line (ESPN box score).

“I'll do Miami minus one.”

NYJ 32-20 — Jets beat Dolphins 32-20; Miami lost outright and failed to cover -1 (ESPN box score).

“And Minnesota plus 2.5 at Detroit.”

DET 31-9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9; Minnesota lost by 22, well outside the +2.5 line (ESPN box score).

“Pittsburgh getting six and a half.”

BAL 34-17 — Ravens beat Steelers 34-17; Pittsburgh lost outright and did not cover +6.5 (ESPN box score).

“I think Carolina is going to win. Obviously, I'd like it more at 1.5 than 2.5, and it might get up to 3 by kickoff, but I think Dallas is done for the season.”

CAR 14, DAL 30 — Dallas beat Carolina 30-14; Panthers -2.5 fails, losing outright by 16 (ESPN).

“I'll take Detroit minus the two and a half. I think golf plays really well and gets himself firmly in the MVP top of the MVP conversation.”

DET 42, BUF 48 — Buffalo beat Detroit 48-42; Lions -2.5 fails, losing outright by 6 (ESPN).

“There's one game on the slate, and I'm eating the points. I'm laying three and a half points with Will Levis and the Tennessee Titans”

TEN 6, JAX 10 — Jacksonville beat Tennessee 10-6; Titans -3.5 fails on the outright loss (ESPN).

“So for all those reasons my five picks Green Bay plus three and a half the Giants plus four and a half the Titans minus three and a half the Rams plus four and a half and the Chiefs minus three and a half”

KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City beat the LA Chargers 19-17; Chiefs -3.5 fails, winning by only 2 (ESPN).

“And Arizona laying 1 on the road at Seattle.”

SEA 16, ARI 6 — Seattle beat Arizona 16-6; Cardinals -1 fails, losing outright by 10 (ESPN).

• Panthers under 13.5 points lost
• Patrick Mahomes 0 interceptions pending

“So your offer this week is going to be Carolina under 7.5 points at plus 390, and Mahomes to throw zero interceptions at plus 100, total parlay value at plus 880. I hate to disappoint the audience, but I'm going to have to turn this offer down. Holding a team under 8 is really hard. Those odds should be way higher for that, right? Yes, that's how I feel. I couldn't believe that it was only plus 390. The Panthers twice this year have been held under 8 points. Against the Chargers, they scored 3. And against the Commanders, they scored seven. But they've won two in a row, scoring 23-20. Bryce playing a little bit better. So under 13, that I think is totally reasonable, or under 14, I should say. Under eight, I can't do. So I sadly have to turn the offer down. Last week, the offer I gave out was the Travis Kelsey touchdown. That didn't hit. But I didn't mind the process on it because Noah Gray got two touchdowns. So the idea the Chiefs were going to get down in the deep red zone and find a tight end was correct, but it was Noah Gray for both of them instead of Kelsey. Under 13-and-a-half, they're putting it in there right now, I think, what the plus is. It is. Under 13 and a half and no picks for Mahomes is plus 348. All right, I'll take that one.”

KC 30, CAR 27 — Carolina scored 27 points (over 13.5) as Kansas City won 30-27, so the under-13.5 leg fails; Patrick Mahomes threw 0 interceptions, so that leg wins — but the parlay busts on the failed total (ESPN box score). (Mahomes: 27/37, 269 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT)

“New England getting 4.5 at home against the Rams.”

NE 22, LAR 28 — LA Rams beat New England 28-22; Patriots +4.5 fails, losing outright by 6 (ESPN).

“Cleveland laying one on the road at New Orleans.”

NO 35, CLE 14 — New Orleans beat Cleveland 35-14; Browns -1 fails, losing by 21 (ESPN).

“Atlanta getting 2.5 at Denver.”

DEN 38, ATL 6 — Denver beat Atlanta 38-6; Falcons +2.5 fails, losing by 32 (ESPN).

“Kansas City getting 2.5 at Buffalo.”

BUF 30, KC 21 — Buffalo beat Kansas City 30-21; Chiefs +2.5 fails, losing by 9 (ESPN).

“Travis Kelsey anytime touchdown he scored last week he could have scored twice he he's you know the bane of the Bills existence I like a Kelsey anytime touchdown. I assume that's probably like plus 130 would be my guess. The producers can tell me in my ear. That's the offer that I'm presenting to the audience. I don't really do player props, but that's the one I'll do. All right, quick plus 140.”

Travis Kelce finished with 2 catches for 8 yards and 0 touchdowns in Kansas City's 30-21 loss to Buffalo; anytime TD bet fails (ESPN box score). (2 rec, 8 yds, 0 TD)

“i am definitively going to bet the texans on the money line tonight so i'm putting it in the picks”

NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Jets beat Texans 21-13; Houston's moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).

“Chicago getting one and a half at Arizona.”

ARI 29, CHI 9 — Cardinals beat Bears 29-9; Chicago's -20 margin fails to cover the +1.5 line (ESPN box score).

“So, listen, I feel bad fading the Prince, but Green Bay minus four, I think, is the sharp side of this one, DeMondsey.”

GB 30, JAX 27 — Packers beat Jaguars 30-27; Green Bay's +3 margin fails to cover the -4 line (ESPN box score).

“So I'll take New Orleans plus the seven.”

LAC 26, NO 8 — Chargers beat Saints 26-8; New Orleans's -18 margin fails to cover the +7 line (ESPN box score).

“The Bears are winning this game, and they're winning this game by more than a field goal. And so, now, if Jaden plays, I would feel totally differently. But this line says Vegas does not think Jaden is playing. The Bears would not be 2.5-point road favorites against Chicago if Jaden were playing. In fact, I think the Bears would not be 2.5-road favorites against Washington if Jaden were playing. In fact, I think it would be Washington by 2 instead of Chicago by 2.5.”

WSH 18, CHI 15 — Commanders beat Bears 18-15; Chicago's -3 margin fails to cover the -2.5 line (ESPN box score).

“So Seattle plus three and a half.”

SF 36, SEA 24 — 49ers beat Seahawks 36-24; Seattle's -12 margin fails to cover the +3.5 line (ESPN box score).

“but the pick right now will get locked at Washington plus six and a half.”

BAL 30, WSH 23 — Ravens beat Commanders 30-23; Washington's -7 margin fails to cover the +6.5 line (ESPN box score).

“So I'll take Arizona plus five and a half.”

GB 34, ARI 13 — Packers beat Cardinals 34-13; Arizona's -21 margin fails to cover the +5.5 line (ESPN box score).

“So I'll wait until Sunday morning to bet this. But right now, Carolina plus 6.5.”

ATL 38, CAR 20 — Falcons beat Panthers 38-20; Carolina's -18 margin fails to cover the +6.5 line (ESPN box score).

• Trevor Lawrence 250+ passing yards lost
• Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards lost

“are coming off 300 yard games so with that exchange rate in mind the offer is Trevor and Caleb to both throw for 250 at plus 400 I'll take it I like that offer taken yeah I'll take it I a”

CHI 35, JAX 16 — In Chicago's 35-16 win over Jacksonville in London, Trevor Lawrence threw for 234 yards and Caleb Williams threw for 226 yards, both under the 250-yard line; the parlay loses (ESPN box score).

“I'll swallow the 6.5 and take Seattle”

NYG 29, SEA 20 — Giants beat Seahawks 29-20; Seattle's -9 margin fails to cover the -6.5 line (ESPN box score).

• Patrick Mahomes 2+ passing TDs
• Baker Mayfield 2+ passing TDs
• Caleb Williams 2+ passing TDs

“Pat, Caleb, and Baker, two-plus touchdowns.”

KC 26, NO 13 — Mahomes threw 0 passing TDs in Kansas City's 26-13 win over New Orleans, while Mayfield threw 3 in Tampa Bay's 36-30 OT loss to Atlanta and Williams threw 2 in Chicago's 36-10 win over Carolina; the Mahomes leg fails so the parlay loses (ESPN box scores).

“Yes, Dallas minus six at the Giants tonight.”

DAL 20, NYG 15 — Cowboys beat Giants 20-15 on TNF; Cowboys won by only 5, missing -6 (ESPN box score).

“Atlanta minus two and a half.”

ATL 26, NO 24 — Falcons beat Saints 26-24; Falcons won by only 2, missing -2.5 (ESPN box score).

“So I got the Rams plus 3 at Chicago”

CHI 24, LAR 18 — Bears beat Rams 24-18; Rams lost by 6, missing +3 (ESPN box score).

“I love Chicago plus a point and a half.”

IND 21, CHI 16 — Colts beat Bears 21-16; Bears lost by 5, missing +1.5 (ESPN box score).

“I'll take Dallas plus the one yeah never pass up opportunity to lose some money”

BAL 28, DAL 25 — Ravens beat Cowboys 28-25; Cowboys lost by 3, missing +1 (ESPN box score).

“You've got Indy minus 3 at Green Bay. Yeah, I mean, if you're laying less than a field goal with the opportunity to bet against Malik Willis, it's just, to me, I just have to do it. Malik Willis, God bless him, can't throw the football.”

GB 16, IND 10 — Packers beat Colts 16-10; Colts lost outright, missing -3 (ESPN box score).

“I'll lay the three and a half with Seattle.”

SEA 23, NE 20 — Seahawks beat Patriots 23-20 in overtime; Seahawks won by only 3, missing -3.5 (ESPN box score).

“next you have Green Bay plus two and a half at Philly yeah I mean this is I think Green Bay is going to win the game”

PHI 34, GB 29 — Eagles beat Packers 34-29 in the Sao Paulo game; Packers lost outright by 5, missing +2.5 (ESPN box score).

“next one cincinnati minus eight and a half versus New England. Alright, here's the thing on this. To me, this is simply a question of can the Bengals get to 20 points? Okay? New England's not getting to 13.”

NE 16, CIN 10 — Patriots beat Bengals 16-10; Bengals lost outright, missing -8.5 (ESPN box score).

“Last one you got the Rams plus 3.5 at Detroit. Yeah, so I just think this is a field goal game.”

DET 26, LAR 20 — Lions beat Rams 26-20 in overtime; Rams lost by 6, missing +3.5 (ESPN box score).

“The juice on this is strong. It's minus 160. Now the producers remind me that Nick you were so anti betting on the Vikings at minus 170 but you okay with the Bears at minus 160 Well first of all that 10 cents matters Second of all I think that the Vikings they have more paths the Vikings do to finding eight wins than the Bears do to not winning nine games. The Bears are going to win 11 games, maybe 12 games. So I like the Bears over eight and a half, more on the Bears later.”

Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, under the 8.5 wins line. (CHI 2024: 5-12)

“I'll take Philly under the 10 and a half.”

Eagles finished the 2024 regular season 14-3, well over the 10.5 wins line. (PHI 2024: 14-3)

“the Bears plus 340 to win the NFC North. Now, I also am on them. So the Bears, they could bite me because I'm on them on their over and I'm on them to win the NFC North.”

Detroit Lions won the NFC North at 15-2; Bears finished 5-12 in 4th place and did not win the division. (Lions 15-2 NFC North champs; Bears 5-12, 4th)

“And then Cincinnati at plus 165 to win their division”

Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North at 12-5; Bengals finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs entirely. (Ravens 12-5 AFC North champs; Bengals 9-8, missed playoffs)

“Dallas to win the division is plus 175.”

Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3; Cowboys finished 7-10, 3rd in the division. (Eagles 14-3 NFC East champs; Cowboys 7-10)

“And then a flyer. Flyer. The one flyer. Washington to win that same division at 11 to one.”

Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3; Commanders finished 12-5, 2nd in the division (wild card berth). (Eagles 14-3 NFC East champs; Commanders 12-5)

• Chiefs to win AFC West
• Bills to win AFC East
• Bengals to win AFC North

“it is a Chiefs-Bills-Bengals division winner parlay at plus 975.”

Chiefs won the AFC West (15-2) and Bills won the AFC East (13-4), but the Ravens (12-5) won the AFC North over the Bengals (9-8, missed playoffs) — parlay lost on the Bengals leg. (Chiefs 15-2 WON AFC West / Bills 13-4 WON AFC East / Bengals 9-8 LOST (Ravens 12-5 won AFC North))

“Oh, no, Philadelphia, as previously discussed, I'm fading them all year, plus 235 to miss.”

40-22 — Eagles made the playoffs as NFC East champions (14-3) and won Super Bowl LIX, defeating the Chiefs 40-22 — they did not miss the playoffs.

• Giants to miss playoffs
• Raiders to miss playoffs
• Steelers to miss playoffs
• Saints to miss playoffs

“The following four teams to miss the postseason. the Giants the Raiders the Steelers the Saints those four teams to miss the playoffs you get plus 200”

Giants (3-14), Raiders (4-13), and Saints (5-12) all missed the playoffs, but the Steelers made it at 10-7 as the AFC's No. 6 seed — parlay lost on the Steelers leg. (Giants/Raiders/Saints missed; Steelers 10-7 made playoffs)

• Chiefs to make playoffs
• Bills to make playoffs
• Rams to make playoffs
• Bears to make playoffs

“To make the playoffs, this is much harder because it's longer odds. The Chiefs, free money. The Bills should do it. and then the two teams I'm riding in the NFC, the Rams and the Bears, that's 7-1. That's a half unit bet.”

Chiefs (15-2), Bills (13-4), and Rams (10-7) all made the playoffs, but the Bears missed at 5-12 — parlay lost on the Bears leg. (Chiefs/Bills/Rams made playoffs; Bears 5-12 missed)

• Packers to miss playoffs
• Jets to miss playoffs
• Eagles to miss playoffs

“And then a flyer of three teams everyone's high on but me, that Demonse is just going to hate this bet, but that's okay. Green Bay, the Jets, and the Eagles, all to miss. it's plus 1720 and that is a quarter unit bet”

Jets missed the playoffs at 5-12, but both the Packers (11-6) and Eagles (14-3) made the playoffs — parlay lost on the Packers and Eagles legs. (Jets missed; Packers 11-6 and Eagles 14-3 made playoffs)

“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”

Super Bowl LIX was Chiefs vs. Eagles, not Chiefs vs. Bears; the Bears finished 5-12 and did not make the playoffs. (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles vs Chiefs; Bears missed playoffs (5-12))

“It's the Chiefs-Bears and the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice, tidy, plus 6,650 and plus 9,500.”

40-22 — Chiefs reached Super Bowl LIX but lost to the Eagles 40-22; the opponent was Eagles, not Bears (Bears missed the playoffs at 5-12).

“So I've said Dallas in five. So Dallas in 5 at 12-1 is... I like the value of it. Now, would I be better off just betting Dallas in each individual game? I don't know. But if I'm doing a specific series bet, I would go Dallas in 5.”

Celtics def. Mavericks 4-1 — The Boston Celtics defeated the Dallas Mavericks 4-1 in the 2024 NBA Finals; Dallas did not win the series, let alone in 5 games.

“There is only one of these bets being offered to me that I like. And that's finals MVP at plus 205.”

Jaylen Brown of the Celtics, not Luka Doncic, was named 2024 NBA Finals MVP after averaging 20.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game in Boston's 4-1 series win.

“I'm going to pick Philly to beat the Knicks”

Knicks def. 76ers 4-2 (Game 6: 118-115) — The New York Knicks beat the Philadelphia 76ers 4-2 in the 2024 NBA first round, closing it out 118-115 in Game 6 behind Jalen Brunson's 41 points and 12 assists.

“my big pre-masters bet Margaret and now Xander Shoffley 20-1 to win the Masters”

Scheffler 277 (-11); Schauffele T8, 287 (-1) — Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Masters at 277 (-11), four strokes clear of runner-up Ludvig Aberg; Xander Schauffele tied for 8th at 287 (-1), so the pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official tournament results).

“off we got the bears at eight and a half um in 2023 they finished with a seven and ten record does keenan allen and caleb williams equal two more wins is eight and a half too high too low or just right for Chicago Too low This is one of my favorite preliminary bets The Bears are going to win at least nine games”

The Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5-win futures line (ESPN team schedule/record page). (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)

“alright the Cowboys didn have the best offseason either but I guess they do get to play the Giants twice Is 10 too high too low or just right for the Cowboys Too low. So Dallas gets four games against Washington and the Giants.”

The Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, under the 10-win futures line (ESPN team schedule/record page). (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)

“and you've got Purdy over a half interception at minus 140. Yeah, listen, of those ones, I'll take the Purdy interception. Purdy's throwing a pick.”

KC 25, SF 22 — Brock Purdy finished Super Bowl LVIII 23/38 for 255 yards with 0 interceptions (Mahomes threw the game's only pick); over 0.5 interceptions loses (ESPN box score). (Purdy 23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 0 INT)

“Anytime touchdown score Kelsey minus 110 Christian Christian McCaffrey at minus 215 there was she rice at plus 130 I Mean McCaffrey the smart bet if these odds were at all close But minus 215 is too much juice if I believe the Niners are going to struggle offensively I'll take Kelsey. Kelsey's legitimately behind on a per—”

KC 25, SF 22 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes for 93 yards but did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII; anytime TD scorer loses (ESPN box score). (Kelce 9 rec, 93 rec yds, 0 TD)

• Kansas City Chiefs closed +106 · CLV 0¢
• Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer
• Travis Kelce over 70.5 receiving yards closed +70.5 · CLV 0
• Patrick Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards closed +26 · CLV -0.5

“Chiefs Moneyline plus Kelsey anytime touchdown score plus Kelsey over 70.5 yards plus Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards at plus 850. Lock it in.”

KC 25, SF 22 — Chiefs won 25-22 (OT), Kelce had 93 receiving yards (over 70.5) and Mahomes rushed for 66 yards (over 26.5), but Kelce did not score a touchdown, so the anytime-TD leg fails and the parlay loses (ESPN box score). (Kelce 9 rec, 93 rec yds, 0 TD; Mahomes 9 car, 66 rush yds, 0 rush TD)

“I'll take houston plus nine and a half the the ravens are your team go right ahead”

BAL 34, HOU 10 — Ravens beat Texans 34-10; Houston +9.5 lost by 24, busting the cover (ESPN box score).

“Next, you've got San Francisco minus 9.5 versus Green Bay. Yeah, I mean, this just feels like a game that San Francisco gets out to a 14-3 lead and does exactly what they want to do.”

SF 24, GB 21 — 49ers beat Packers 24-21; San Francisco -9.5 won by only 3 points, failing to cover (ESPN box score).

“I do like Detroit to win this game, but it feels like a 23-20 type of game. I think that a lot of the blitzes Todd Bowles and the Bucs did last week are not going to work against Detroit, but seven points is too many points, and so I'll take Tampa plus the seven.”

DET 31, TB 23 — Lions beat Buccaneers 31-23; Tampa Bay +7 lost by 8, busting the cover (ESPN box score).

“but I'll take Cleveland minus two and a half in round one at Houston”

45-14 — Texans beat Browns 45-14, a 31-point margin; Cleveland lost outright and failed to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).

“Six because of a touchdown by Pittsburgh and a missed extra point. Like, I mean, these conditions are going to be brutal, but Buffalo oddly is not as good as you would expect in terrible conditions, given where they play. Also, we know Tomlin as an underdog is unbelievable. Josh Allen hasn't covered seven straight games as a double digit favorite. And Josh Allen is always over. Josh Allen's 2-6 against the spread in his playoff career. He's always overvalued come the postseason. I'm getting the better coach. You can't say the better defense because TJ Watt's out for the game. But I'm getting the better coach and a team that wants to run the ball in these terrible conditions. I will take the 10 points.”

31-17 — Bills beat Steelers 31-17, a 14-point margin, more than the +10 Pittsburgh was getting (ESPN box score). The game was postponed from Jan 14 to Monday Jan 15, 2024 due to weather.

“Dallas minus 7.5 against Green Bay is my second favorite bet of the weekend.”

48-32 — Packers beat Cowboys 48-32, a 16-point margin; Dallas lost outright and failed to cover -7.5 (ESPN box score).

“And so Cleveland's locked into the five. Cincinnati's locked out. I'm getting seven points. Cleveland might win outright. They're certainly not getting blown out. Give me the full seven. I'll take Cleveland.”

31-14 — Bengals beat Browns 31-14, a 17-point margin, more than the +7 Cleveland was getting (ESPN box score).

“New England minus a point and a half.”

17-3 — Jets beat Patriots 17-3, a 14-point margin; New England lost outright and failed to cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).

“Miami plus three at home against Buffalo.”

21-14 — Bills beat Dolphins 21-14, a 7-point margin, more than the +3 Miami was getting (ESPN box score).

“I think Atlanta stinks. I think Indy's getting healthier. Jonathan Taylor's supposed to play. Indy's the better team. Indy needs the game. Atlanta I think people are getting fired they just went to Heineke they go Ritter, Heineke, Heineke, Ritter it's all the same we like Indy plus one”

29-10 — Falcons beat Colts 29-10, a 19-point margin, far more than the +1 Indianapolis was getting (ESPN box score).

“Dallas plus one and a half at Miami. Yeah, Miami is incredibly banged up. Dallas doesn't lose back-to-back. Dallas' offense, I think, will click back in. Miami, this is a bit of a, I don't want to say a trap game spot, but Miami's massive game is next week against Baltimore and then the following week against Buffalo. If there was ever a week that they could, I don't want to say overlook because it's national TV, they're at home, they're playing a great team, but they have massive games coming up in Week 17 and 18. Dallas coming off a loss Miami coming off an easy victory Dallas has to have the win with Philly All of a sudden looking really shaky Dallas can steal that division I like Dallas to win”

22-20 — Dolphins beat Cowboys 22-20, a 2-point margin, more than the +1.5 Dallas was getting (ESPN box score).

“The Giants, on the other hand, Dable's going to have them convinced, we win this game, we could make the playoffs. Now, they can't and they won't, but that's going to be their mind frame going into the game. New Orleans does not deserve to be a six-point favorite over anyone in the league except for Carolina, so I'll take the six points”

24-6 — Saints beat Giants 24-6, an 18-point margin, well beyond the +6 New York was getting (ESPN box score).

“Dallas plus one and a half”

31-10 — Bills beat Cowboys 31-10, a 21-point margin; Dallas lost outright and failed to cover +1.5 (ESPN box score).

“I'll take the Jags plus three and a half.”

23-7 — Ravens beat Jaguars 23-7, a 16-point margin, more than the +3.5 Jacksonville was getting (ESPN box score).