“Stucky on Kyler Murray with the Vikings at 6 to one.”
Stuckey
Host · 680-684-17 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 329 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | total | moneyline | futures | prop | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 264-226+3% | 85-70+5% | 61-68+2% | 26-49+10% | 41-46+12% | 36-43+4% | 2-3-37% | 515-505+4% |
| CFB | 66-52+7% | 26-19+10% | 18-17-2% | 10-30-31% | — | — | 3-1 | 123-119+0% |
| CBB | 24-17+12% | 6-5+4% | 4-2+27% | 2-23-28% | 1-0 | 0-1 | — | 37-48-0% |
| NBA | 0-2 | — | — | 2-1 | 2-0 | — | — | 4-3+10% |
| Other | — | — | — | 1-5-61% | 0-1 | — | — | 1-6-66% |
Picks
1471 total · 83 pending“i'm gonna go with jalen brunson to lead this series in three pointers four to one mentioned the matchup i think he's gonna get a ton up uh so”
“I'll play my flag on Chiefs under.”
“The biggest edge that I show right now is at DraftKings Falcons over six and a half minus 115.”
“So, yeah, I'm going to plant my flag on the Broncos plus five and a half.”
- Seahawks -1.5
- Texans +8.5
“teasing the Seahawks from seven and a half down to one and a half, and then the Texans from two and a half up to eight and a half.”
“game was jags first half money line which i still love but we'll give two other looks here”
“I'm going to go with the Packers' money line.”
“And let's go the Chargers plus three and a half.”
“It's not going to be my plan at the flag game, but I played the Chargers plus three and a half.”
“I bet the Packers. Talk about that on Thursday.”
“Yeah, I would agree. Jags catching one and a half. I think that's the one that I would look at the most.”
“I'm going to lay it with the San Francisco 49ers. Niners off a bye, minus 12.5 against the Tennessee Titans off of a win.”
“I don't care. Give me Josh Allen, Moneyline, basically a pick against the Patriots. I think the Bills get their revenge.”
“So give me over a touchdown with Atlanta, a gross Falcons dog bet after losing to the jets.”
“think FIU's worth a small bet at three”
“But I'll plant my flag on the Bengals plus 7.5.”
“and I got it at minus 110 that number is gone now which does make me feel good about the wager at least at this juncture in the week”
“I bet the Patriots this week.”
“I still would play the Falcons at two and a half, but obviously not as big.”
“I bet the Eagles under.”
“I went under nine and a half.”
“I mentioned this on our podcast three months ago that I buying the Cardinals across the board I played them to make the playoffs win the division and over”
“sell sell sell sell on the lines under 10 and”
“But count me in on the Bears I bet them I don see them winning like the Super Bowl or the NFC this year I like the Packers for the higher upside but I did play the Bears over and to make the playoffs”
“vikings easy play on the bears for me yeah”
“I did bet them they're over. [11:58] You get over 7.5, like close to even money, or minus 110, minus 115-ish. [12:03] I project them to win 8, so I do show value in the over.”
“You can get over 5.5 minus 145. [31:06] I project them closer to like seven wins. [31:09] Yeah. [31:10] So I bet they're over.”
“I went under 7.5 plus 130 when we did this early in the year.”
“So, I went under nine.”
“i will be betting them under nine and a half uh i project them”
“I show value in the over. [36:13] Obviously, I show value in the under on the Chargers and Broncos”
“detroit win total under philly win total under washington win total under”
“detroit win total under philly win total under washington win total under”
“detroit win total under philly win total under washington win total under”
“So I'm going to I'm playing under 11 and a half with the Eagles.”
“So I show value on the under in Washington and Philly.”
“I love their under.”
“I'm selling this team like a juiced under eight and a half.”
“i'm at seven five for the dolphins i totally agree you can get a under eight and a half juice to minus 150 that's that's one of the better win total values i show”
“But I like getting over 8.5, and you can still get it at plus juice. So, I would play that.”
“division long shot Jags and don't mind the Jags over either”
“titans over titans podcast baby”
“afc east miami under uh that's probably my favorite under in the AFC.”
“That was like our favorite edge I showed. I am over six wins.”
“but this is one of my favorite unders in the nfc i project seven three [1:01:58] but it's team i want to fade and i show value um in the current number so i like the under here in [1:02:04] tampa”
“One of my favorite unders in the IFC, along with the Chargers, [45:52] uh project seven eight not a fan of this team”
“my favorite AFC win total as of now is Baltimore under.”
“winnable non outside of your shitty division four and a half's too low i like the panthers over and”
“bears under and Panthers overs are the two that stick out.”
“I also like the Colts under.”
“So I like the under, under eight and a half.”
“just highlight my two favorites bears under my favorite is uh giants over”
“go under that so i i like the under eight”
“But under Jets for me, that'll be my first official play on the spot.”
“Then also, even with the uncertainty of Watson under Steelers, you know, if you can get under seven plus money under seven and a half.”
“So, the Giants over win total is one of my favorites on the board, [17:43] depending on what they do in the draft and what other teams in the division do.”
“I've been clowning the Bears. [33:29] I've been betting Bears win total unders.”
“uh under five and a half for the jets yes please i make it 4.4”
“The team for me here, number one, I'm going under with it. [20:39] You know that.”
“Look, I said I'm going on. [36:53] I'm going to be betting the Chiefs under. [36:54] I know it.”
“the only other one that I show value and then like is TCU over seven and a half so that's where I'll go with my favorite win total where you go”
“I love Toledo over and a half. I won't tell you I like futures wise until the Mac manifesto, but give me a Toledo over eight and a half. I think this should be closer to nine and a half.”
“So I'll go Boise under nine. What do you got? Absolutely. Absolutely agree. 8.3 is my win total on them.”
“I'll move to SMU over six. Look, Sonny Dykes has this program added in the right direction”
“I am in love every day this summer with UCLA. I have avoided the Chip Kelly bandwagon and love. And I think a lot of people have hopped off. And right now this price at seven is screaming that we need to take an over on them”
“I'm on Louisiana under, under nine and a half. They're loaded. This team got really lucky last year, let's be honest.”
“ohio plus 10 and a half was just a bad opener”
“I got some nine and a half there.”
“I have to play it. I make the win total closer to eight. I think you make it 8.25. There's a lot to like about this team. Anthony Russo, the offensive line should be solid. Defense should be solid. Once again, they host both UCF and Memphis. I have to play the over six and a half on Temple.”
“I like over eight wins with Michigan State that look, they had a fairly disappointing year last year.”
“My favorite is probably Akron under three and a half wins. This team stinks. They lost a ton.”
“So I like San Diego state to win the West and San Diego state over eight wins.”
“I'd like the over. I would think that you would too, given the number.”
“My favorite win totals Penn State under 8 Michigan State over 8 Ohio State under 10 Minnesota over 7”
“Michigan State over eight is probably my favorite win total in the Big Ten. I think they're getting the 10 wins.”
“My favorite win totals Penn State under 8 Michigan State over 8 Ohio State under 10 Minnesota over 7”
“Minnesota over under seven and a half wins I think the over at Westgate over seven and a half is minus 130 You Colin project 6 So obviously I assuming that you like the under before I let you go off Look I love this team I think they going to win They my pick to win the West I have a small bet already on them to win the West”
“And I completely agree with St. Mary's.”
“So I like Wisconsin just based on this line.”
“as well as plus 5.5. I mean, I think it's”
“I mean, I played under 120”
“I'll be on Northeastern plus, I can tell you that.”
“but i'm gonna go with boozer uh i think he's minus 140 to go third overall um i think that's”
Cam Boozer was drafted exactly 3rd overall by the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2026 NBA Draft. (Boozer drafted No. 3)
“Stucky is on Sam Burns, top 20 finish at plus 135.”
Sam Burns finished runner-up (solo 2nd) at the 2026 U.S. Open, comfortably inside the top 20. (Burns solo 2nd (-3, 277))
- USA to win closed +290 · CLV 0¢ won
- Sergino Dest 1+ shot on target pending
- Under 3.5 total goals closed +2 · CLV +1.5 lost
“Sergio Dest one plus shot under three and a half love it that'll be our DraftKings parlay for Friday night”
Parlay busts: USA to win — won; Sergino Dest 1+ shot on target +0.5 — manual; Under 3.5 total goals +3.5 — lost.
“i'm rolling with the tries plus 150 to make the round of 16”
Ecuador advanced out of the group stage (3rd in Group E) but was eliminated by Mexico 2-0 in the Round of 32, never reaching the Round of 16. (Mexico 2, Ecuador 0 (Round of 32))
“I'll take the Spurs to win the series in six at five to one. [49:56] Over at DraftKings, those are NBA Finals' best.”
Spurs did not win the 2026 Finals in 6; the Knicks won the series 4-1.
“I'll go back to them with Chet under points.”
No numeric points line was stated on air; using the closing prop line (13.5), Chet Holmgren scored just 10 points in Game 6 (Spurs 118, Thunder 91), under. (Chet Holmgren 10 pts vs closing line 13.5)
“let's go with SGA over one and a half threes”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2 threes vs over 1.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2 threes)
“So I'm stubborn and going with Chief Wallaby.”
152nd Kentucky Derby was won by Golden Tempo; Chief Wallabee finished 4th, so the outright-win bet lost.
“I'm going to stick with the one I mentioned earlier Cavs to make the Eastern Conference Finals”
Cleveland Cavaliers reached the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals (where the Knicks swept them 4-0).
“I'm going to go with Stooks at 35, assuming the Bills keep that.”
The Bills selected edge TJ Parker at pick 35, not Andru Stooks.
“i'm gonna go with students at 35 uh assuming the Bills keep that.”
Treydan Stukes drafted at pick 35. Stukes (S, Arizona) was drafted No. 38 by the Raiders; pick No. 35 was EDGE T.J. Parker to the Bills.
“Yeah, I think I'm going to end up betting him to the Cardinals at three.”
Arizona Cardinals to draft Jeremiah Love at No. 3. The Cardinals selected RB Jeremiyah Love with the No. 3 overall pick.
“Total trades, four and a half. Average last 20 years, five and a half trades. Yeah. I'm going to go over.”
Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft featured eight trades — over 4.5 won. (8 trades in Round 1)
“i'm just gonna say miami offensive lineman”
Miami Dolphins to draft an offensive lineman in Round 1. The Dolphins selected OT Kadyn Proctor (Alabama) at No. 12 in Round 1.
“See, let's go Siwoo Kim outright 49 to 1, baby. So if it hits, we can clip this. I will be betting it myself.”
2026 Masters was won by Rory McIlroy (-12). Si-woo Kim finished 47th (+4), so the outright lost.
“let's go Arizona plus one and a half. I make them a very, very tiny favorite.”
ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Arizona Wildcats margin -18 vs line +1.5; busts.
“If I'm boosting something, I'm going to go with Purdue. I think that they're peaking at the right time.”
Purdue to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Purdue lost the Elite Eight to Arizona 79-64; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.
“Another winner. I like Purdue catching the points at home.”
No spread number was stated on air; Purdue was roughly +1.5 to +2.5 at closing vs Michigan and lost 91-80 (by 11), well outside any realistic number. (Michigan 91, Purdue 80 vs closing ~Purdue +2.5)
“I will plant my flag on Kansas beating Arizona tonight, handing them their first loss in Lawrence.”
KU 82, ARIZ 78 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“I do have the heat minus seven tonight.”
MIA 111, UTAH 115 — Miami Heat margin -4 vs line -7; busts.
“my bet, I'm putting all 1,000, 0-0 first quarter tie. [34:14] And what are the odds? [34:16] I think it's plus 750.”
Seattle's Jason Myers hit a 33-yard FG at 11:58 of Q1, so the first quarter was not a 0-0 tie.
“First one is going to be Seattle team total under 25.5 points.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 25.5 busts.
“The other will go with, let's go Hunter Henry over 39.5 receiving yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 39.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)
“i like the over longest uh reception of 17 and a half too”
Hunter Henry's longest reception was 16 yards in Super Bowl LX, under the 17.5 line.
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks team total under 25.5 points, widely available there.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 25.5 busts.
“i'm going with hunter henry over 39 and a half receiving yards I that's my official pick”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards vs over 39.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 31 receiving_yards)
“I also bet over 16 and a half longest reception I think 17 and a half is the number that's pretty much out there now still like that”
Hunter Henry's longest reception was 16 yards (3 catches, 31 yards total), under 16.5.
“and over three and a half catches spread it out”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Hunter Henry: 3 receptions vs over 3.5; busts. (Hunter Henry: 3 receptions)
“I also bet him long shot long to lead the lead the game in receiving yards 11 12 to 1”
Henry caught 3 passes for 31 yards in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026); Mack Hollins led all receivers with 78 yards. (Henry 31 rec yds vs Hollins 78 rec yds)
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks over four and a half players to record a rush attempt. You can find this at plus 115 plus 120.”
Only 4 Seahawks recorded a rush attempt (Walker, Holani, Darnold, Shaheed), under 4.5.
“i still like it over seven and a half total so”
Only 7 total players recorded a rush attempt (4 SEA + 3 NE), under 7.5.
“Let's go with Barner.”
AJ Barner scored a 16-yard receiving TD from Sam Darnold.
“Yes, I would bet no. Yes, I would bet no.”
There were no successful two-point conversions in Super Bowl LX, so the No bet cashed.
“you can get the the seahawks over four and a half players rush attempt at like plus 135 i like that”
Only 4 Seahawks recorded a rush attempt (Walker, Holani, Darnold, Shaheed), under the 4.5 line.
“So I think they go over 4.5, but the better bet might be over 7.5 total.”
Only 7 total players (4 Seahawks, 3 Patriots) recorded a rush attempt, under the 7.5 line.
“Siakam, I mean, you kind of know what you're going to get from him. I feel like this is priced correctly, but Siakam to me feels like the side.”
Cross-sport battle settled Feb 8, 2026: Pascal Siakam had 18 pts + 4 reb = 22 (Pacers at Raptors) vs TreVeyon Henderson's 19 rush + 26 rec = 45 yds in Super Bowl LX. Henderson won the matchup, so the Siakam side lost.
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
No numeric line was captured for the Hunter Henry receptions over on air (only the longest-reception props were numbered at 16.5/17.5); using the closing receptions line (3.5), Henry finished with just 3 catches in the Super Bowl. (3 receptions vs closing line 3.5)
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
No numeric line was captured for the Hunter Henry receiving-yards over on air; using the closing receiving-yards line (39.5), Henry finished with just 31 yards on 3 catches. (31 receiving yards vs closing line 39.5)
“the only thing that i've placed are a bunch of hunter henry props have him over catches over receiving yards over longest receiving yard our over longest catch uh so i think 16 and a half and 17 and a half”
Hunter Henry's longest reception in Super Bowl LX was 16 yards (3 catches, 31 yds), under the 16.5 line.
“yeah at five i bet the patriots so um i that like it”
NE 13, SEA 29 — New England Patriots margin -16 vs line +5; busts.
“I just, at a three, even an expensive three, I'd have to play the Rams.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“It's one of the reasons why I like the Broncos' first quarter in this game as well, plus a half a point.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +0.5; busts.
“So that is one thing that I am as someone who bet the Broncos.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“and then my other one will be we'll go kayshawn booty under two and a half receptions”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Kayshon Boutte: 1 receptions vs under 2.5; covers. (Kayshon Boutte: 1 receptions)
“I have the Broncos full game plus five and a half may end up joining you on”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“So, yeah, I'm going to go with Denver first quarter plus a half.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +0.5; busts.
“going with the los angeles rams plus two and a half i have not bet this yet i will”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with Keyshawn Moody, under two and a half catches.”
No player named 'Keyshawn Booty' (or 'Keyshawn Moody' per the quote) appears on the Broncos roster or in the AFC Championship box score (Jan 25, 2026); the selection cannot be matched to a real player or result.
“I'm just going to go with Devontae Adams. [1:12:18] No one can run on Seattle's defense. [1:12:21] So I think in the red zone”
Davante Adams caught a 2-yard TD from Matthew Stafford in the Rams' 31-27 NFC Championship loss to the Seahawks.
“would be it wouldn't be great to combine with my long shot that i also played separately with”
Nate Adkins did not score a touchdown in the Broncos' 10-7 AFC Championship loss to the Patriots.
“the Patriots a plus 425 to win”
The Patriots lost Super Bowl LX 29-13 to the Seahawks.
“I took the second the Bo Nix news came out. [17:45] I bet the Patriots a plus 425 to win the Super Bowl. [17:48] And I'll just take my chances with whoever they end up against.”
New England reached Super Bowl LX but lost 29-13 to Seattle, so the Patriots-to-win-it-all future did not cash.
“Excuse me, in Bills-Broncos. I just bet the under literally on this show.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Combined 63; under 45.5 busts.
“So I like the Rams over 26-and-a-half points.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 26.5 covers.
“I'm not either, and I like the over, so I think this is an easy choice.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 48.5 busts.
“going with the los angeles rams team total over 26 and a half”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 26.5 covers.
“Blake Corm over longest rush, 11.5, 12.5. I think his median [8:59] is 15.”
Blake Corum's longest rush was 7 yards (6 carries, 19 yards), under the 11.5 line, in the Rams' 20-17 OT win over the Bears.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills under 23 and a half.”
Bills scored 30 points in their overtime loss to Denver, over the 23.5 team-total line. (Bills 30 points)
“I'm going with Brandon Cook's under two-and-a-half receptions.”
Brandon Cooks had 2 receptions (20 yards) in Denver's 33-30 OT win over Buffalo (AFC Divisional, Jan 17, 2026); under 2.5 hits. (2 REC, 20 YDS)
“I'm going to go with Blake Corham plus 270.”
Blake Corum did not score a touchdown in the Rams' 20-17 OT win over the Bears.
“I kind of like Woody Barks to get in the end zone.”
Woody Marks rushed for a touchdown (19 carries, 112 yards, 1 TD) in the Texans' 30-6 win over the Steelers.
“I actually really like MVS over 9.5 receiving yards. [45:45] I just feel like in this type of game, even with Metcalf back, [45:49] he's going to force it into the tight ends.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards vs over 9.5; covers. (Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards)
“And I would look at Boswell over 1.5 field goals.”
Chris Boswell made 2 field goals, clearing the over 1.5 line in the Steelers' 30-6 loss.
“i kind of like woody marks to get in the end zone even in a low scoring game if i had to pick a touchdown that would probably be my guy”
Woody Marks scored on a 13-yard rushing TD (19 carries, 112 yds) in Houston's 30-6 Wild Card win over Pittsburgh.
“i actually really like mvs over nine and a half receiving yards uh i just feel like in this type of game even with metcalf back he's going to force it into the tight ends but i also think he's going to force into guys he likes”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards vs over 9.5; covers. (Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26 receiving_yards)
“Let's go Steelers Moneyline.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“i like the jags in the first half and the reason for this the cohen”
Bills led Jaguars 10-7 at halftime of the Wild Card game; Jacksonville first-half ML loses. (1H: BUF 10, JAX 7)
“i'm going with the green bay packers”
CHI 31, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I going with the Rams under 46”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Combined 65; under 46 busts.
“money line dog is obvious this week it's the Steelers”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“So give me Kikade at plus 260.”
Dalton Kincaid caught a 15-yard receiving TD in the Bills' 27-24 Wild Card win over the Jaguars.
“Yeah I already planted that under 44 is key. 45 is also key.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — Combined 42; under 44.5 covers.
“I'm going to plant my flag on the Jags' first half money line.”
JAX 24, BUF 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the one bet worth making in this game at 41 or better is the under. The Steelers' offense is just so limited without Metcalf.”
PIT 26, BAL 24 — Combined 50; under 41 busts.
“i bet some vikings minus six which was like scary knowing that you could be betting max prosner minus six”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“I just think this is the bottom. And the Panthers on the road don't give me any confidence. But this is mainly a numbers play. The Bucs were laying three in Carolina two weeks ago. Now they're laying expensive two and a half, three at home. I think this is the bottom. I'm buying low on the Bucs.”
Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14 in Week 18 (Jan 3, 2026); Bucs ML cashes. (Final: TB 16, CAR 14)
“I don't know how we're going to hit all these, but I like the under the game under.”
No total number was stated on air; using the closing total (~47.5), Seahawks beat 49ers 13-3 (16 combined points), comfortably under. (Seahawks 13, 49ers 3 (total 16) vs closing 47.5)
“I'm going with the bangles. Probably my favorite side of the week.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -6.5; busts.
“So I'm going to go with the Vikings. I don't care. Seven and a half lay it. This is just one team not trying versus one team trying.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -7.5; covers.
“The Raiders plus 5.5. I know no one's going to vote for that. But that line is ridiculous.”
LV 14, KC 12 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven and a half at home against the Cleveland Browns.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings minus six at home against the Green Bay Packers.”
MIN 16, GB 3 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line -6; covers.
“atlanta falcons minus three at home against the new orleans saints this is how the panthers get in”
ATL 19, NO 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“Seahawks, 49ers, under 49-and-a-half.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — Combined 16; under 49.5 covers.
“let's go with the las vegas raiders so”
LV 14, KC 12 — Las Vegas Raiders won; moneyline covers.
“So, yeah, give me Henry, minus 145.”
Derrick Henry ran for 126 yards but did not score in the Ravens' 26-24 loss to the Steelers.
“We'll put an anchor in there, Indiana, on the money line to get it done.”
IU 38, ALA 3 — Indiana Hoosiers won; moneyline covers.
“I have to take the Bucs minus 2.5 here.”
Buccaneers won 16-14, a 2-point margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread needed. (Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14 (margin 2, needed 2.5+))
“But my favorite bet is the Bengals against the Browns. I think the Bengals blow the doors off the Browns.”
CIN 18, CLE 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -2 vs line -7; busts.
“I like the Falcons too. I think the line's a little bit too high.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“Bijon 40 plus receiving yards”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Bijan Robinson: 34 receiving_yards vs over 40; busts. (Bijan Robinson: 34 receiving_yards)
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus one and a half at home against the New York Giants.”
LV 10, NYG 34 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -24 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns plus three and a half at home”
CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“We'll go minus one and a half. Not much to this, to be honest.”
BUF 12, PHI 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I'm going to go with Cardinals, Bengals under 53.5.”
CIN 37, ARI 14 — Combined 51; under 53.5 covers.
“We're going to go with the Dolphins.”
MIA 20, TB 17 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“So give me Tyler Warren.”
Tyler Warren caught 5 passes for 43 yards with no touchdown in the Colts' 23-17 loss to Jacksonville.
“So, yeah, we're taking the Chiefs plus 13.”
Broncos beat Chiefs 20-13 on Christmas Day (Bo Nix TD pass to R.J. Harvey won it); Chiefs lost by only 7, covering +13. (Broncos 20, Chiefs 13 (Chiefs lost by 7))
“But I'm going to go with Colby Parkinson anytime touchdown.”
Colby Parkinson did not score (6 rec, 53 yds) in the Rams' 27-24 Week 17 Monday loss at Atlanta; the Rams' TDs went to Terrance Ferguson and Puka Nacua.
“we're gonna put four and a half in the parlay. Okay, good. That's the number I bet early in the week, so.”
CLE 13, PIT 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +7 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm nominating the Raiders money line. I took them early in the week getting plus money.”
LV 10, NYG 34 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“I think Taylor has a big day So I like the OMT but we going with Taylor over 98 rushing yards”
IND 27, SF 48 — Jonathan Taylor: 46 rushing_yards vs over 98.5; busts. (Jonathan Taylor: 46 rushing_yards)
“Yeah, I'll be on the Jags, wait and see if I can get a three and a half, even if I have to pay like 115, 120 for it.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I played the seahawks early cheap money line”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“But I played the Colts. I think the line's too high.”
IND 27, SF 48 — Indianapolis Colts margin -21 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Uh, so I'm going to go Taylor longest rush over 17 and a half yards. I think he breaks a couple here.”
Jonathan Taylor's longest rush was only 7 yards (16 carries, 46 yds) in the Colts' 48-27 Week 16 loss to San Francisco, well under 17.5.
“I played the Ravens too.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“So I played a cheap money line on the Seahawks.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders plus 14 and a half.”
HOU 23, LV 21 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -2 vs line +14.5; covers.
“I going with the Washington Commanders plus six and a half at home against the Philadelphia Eagles”
Eagles beat the Commanders 29-18 (won by 11) — Commanders did not cover +6.5. (Final: Eagles 29, Commanders 18)
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three at the Denver Broncos.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm sadly, I'm going to be on the Browns. [48:54] As long as the injury report isn't too detrimental, [48:56] I think this line's too high at 10.”
CLE 20, BUF 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -3 vs line +10; covers.
“But let's go Packers-Bears over 46.5.”
Bears beat the Packers 22-16 in OT (38 combined points) — under 46.5. (Final: Bears 22, Packers 16 (OT), total 38)
- Titans ML closed +145 · CLV 0¢ won
- Cardinals ML closed +130 · CLV -2¢ lost
“So you parlay Titans plus 145, Cardinals plus 128.”
Parlay busts: Titans ML — won; Cardinals ML — lost.
“I'm going with DK Metcalf, probably playing in a trailing game state”
DK Metcalf did not score in the Steelers' 29-24 Week 16 win at Detroit (Pittsburgh TDs: Warren x2, Gainwell).
“My big favorite this week was the 49ers. I'm not going to lay double digits with two NFL teams this week. We'll just stick to the one.”
No specific number stated for 'laying double digits'; used the closing market line, 49ers -12.5 over Titans. 49ers won 37-24, a 13-point margin, covering. (49ers 37, Titans 24)
“I like the Browns at over a touchdown. I make that under seven.”
CHI 31, CLE 3 — Cleveland Browns margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.
- Chicago Bears +1.5 (teased)
- Denver Broncos (teased up)
“I have the bears in one of my two teaser legs this week down to one and a half.”
The Broncos leg of this 2-team teaser has no stated number ('teased up'), so the parlay cannot be graded; Bears beat the Browns 31-3 (would have covered +1.5).
“Yeah, I'll be on the Packers.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Green Bay Packers lost; moneyline busts.
“yeah it's five and a half of draft kings that's fine uh anything under six i like the chiefs against the chargers”
KC 13, LAC 16 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -5.5; busts.
“that's a coin flippish game so i'm gonna vote for the bills i like the bills i bet the bills”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“yeah, I liked the Vikings. [58:21] I played them. [58:22] So I'm in on this.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
- Cleveland Browns +7.5 closed +7.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -142 · CLV +7¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1 won
“Browns plus seven and a half. [1:01:36] Bill's money line, Vikings plus six and a half at plus 514 over on DraftKings.”
Parlay busts: Cleveland Browns +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Buffalo Bills ML — won; Minnesota Vikings +6.5 +6.5 — won.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills pick at the New England Patriots.”
NE 31, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line +0; covers.
“I'm going to go with another one of our favorites and Eagles under Eagles”
PHI 31, LV 0 — Combined 31; under 38.5 covers.
“I going to go with the Saints here”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“I'll take the Bengals at plus 124 here.”
CIN 0, BAL 24 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“I played the Bengals 15 to one to win the division this week,”
The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) won the AFC North; the Bengals finished 6-11, so the division bet lost.
“Chiefs to make the playoffs.”
The Chiefs finished 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2014.
“I'm going with Jake Ferguson against the Vikings who struggle against tight ends.”
Jake Ferguson had 2 catches for 16 yards and no TD in the Cowboys' 34-26 loss to the Vikings.
“The bet I placed yesterday is Bengals 15 at DraftKings to win the division They are not dead”
The Bengals did not win the AFC North; Pittsburgh took the division while Cincinnati finished 6-11.
“the Chiefs, I played it yesterday.”
The Chiefs did not make the playoffs, finishing 6-11 and missing the postseason for the first time since 2014.
“Action. I did it already. It's off. It's terrible.”
LV 17, DEN 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I already bet the Ravens is my first bet of the week.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -6; busts.
“I'm going with the New York Jets plus three.”
NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers [26:59] plus six at the Baltimore Ravens”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going with the Jaguars plus one and a half at home against the Colts.”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +17 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We're going to go Chiefs-Texans [56:18] under 42, 41.5.”
KC 10, HOU 20 — Combined 30; under 41.5 covers.
“I took the six points. Probably will regret it, but I did bet that.”
WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“it's a seven and a half i think the giants are worth a look”
NE 33, NYG 15 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts minus four and a half. [16:00] Currently at DraftKings.”
IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I am going with the Washington Commanders plus six and a half at home against the Denver Broncos.”
WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“give me the Steelers plus”
PIT 7, BUF 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -19 vs line +3.5; busts.
“i'm gonna go with the rams panthers over 44 and a half”
CAR 31, LAR 28 — Combined 59; over 44.5 covers.
“I'm going to go with the Jets. [59:24] You already talked about it. [59:25] Jets get their first pick of the year.”
NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets won; moneyline covers.
“Let's go with Justin Jefferson.”
Justin Jefferson had 2 catches for 4 yards and no TD in the Vikings' 26-0 shutout loss to Seattle.
“But I guess I'll plant my flag on the Indianapolis Colts, my Daniel Jones, minus four and a half, my pumpkin.”
IND 16, HOU 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I did put Lions minus three in the app earlier this week.”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“So I like the Raiders.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.
“i played this earlier in the week at a better number but still even at a more expensive three and a half that that's okay for me”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half,”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus three and a half against the Cleveland Browns.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.
“The Pittsburgh Steelers plus two and a half at the Chicago Bears.”
CHI 31, PIT 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I going to go with the Seahawks Titans under 40 and a half”
TEN 24, SEA 30 — Combined 54; under 40.5 busts.
- Bengals ML closed +300 · CLV +10¢ lost
- Vikings ML closed +235 · CLV 0¢ lost
“So we got a spicy plus 1273 money line partway.”
Parlay busts: Bengals ML — lost; Vikings ML — lost.
“So give me the Minnesota Vikings at a plus two 35.”
GB 23, MIN 6 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
- Mitchell Tinsley anytime TD
- Devaughn Vele anytime TD
“So, Tinsley, Valey, plus 26.50 at DraftKings.”
Tinsley scored a 17-yard TD for Cincinnati, but Vele did not find the end zone against Atlanta (3 catches, 37 yards) - both legs were needed. (Tinsley 17-yd TD catch; Vele 3 rec, 37 yds, no TD)
“But Mitchell Tinsley is who I'm going with that plus 450.”
Mitchell Tinsley caught a 17-yard TD from Joe Flacco in the Bengals' 26-20 Week 12 loss to New England.
“i played some saints early i still would play the saints now”
NO 10, ATL 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to go Cowboys plus three and a half”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So I sitting on a pretty bad number here at two and a half on Seattle But I still like Seattle in this game just looking at it opinion wise”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“One of the bets that I made this week was a sprinkle on a Trey McBride anytime touchdown.”
Trey McBride caught a 10-yard touchdown (10 rec, 115 yds) in Arizona's 41-22 Week 11 loss at San Francisco.
“i took the browns at home where you know their defense is going to come to play some of that”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings minus three at home against the Chicago Bears.”
MIN 17, CHI 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns”
CLE 16, BAL 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three at home [35:35] against the Chargers.”
JAX 35, LAC 6 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +29 vs line +3; covers.
“so i'll take a shot with”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Seattle Seahawks lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to go with Jalen Warren. It's hard for me not to see him scoring against this Bengals defense.”
Jaylen Warren did not score a rushing or receiving TD in the Steelers' 34-12 win over the Bengals (Pittsburgh TDs were Kenneth Gainwell x2 receiving and a defensive return).
“We can go Western Michigan. I don't know if there's still any dog prices out there against Ohio.”
WMU 17, OHIO 13 — Western Michigan Broncos margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“I going to go with the Vikings Minus three at home”
MIN 17, CHI 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“So, but I did bet the Falcons don't love it.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I played the Commanders, but I know you guys aren't going to vote for that.”
WSH 22, DET 44 — Washington Commanders margin -22 vs line +8; busts.
“so i'll nominate the cardinals now i'm waiting for a seven but i'd still bet six and a half”
SEA 44, ARI 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -22 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Raven's first half is going to be one of my picks”
MIN 19, BAL 27 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
- Houston Texans +7 (teased) won
- New York Jets +8.5 (teased) won
“a teaser because I did tease them last night up over seven and I paired them with the Jets.”
Parlay cashes: Houston Texans +7 (teased) +7 — won; New York Jets +8.5 (teased) +8.5 — won.
“Let's go with the New York Jets.”
NYJ 27, CLE 20 — New York Jets won; moneyline covers.
“Let go with Isaiah Likely”
Isaiah Likely had 2 catches for 17 yards (a TD was overturned) and did not score vs Minnesota.
“I'll say I'm going to plant my flag on the Packers, minus two and a half at home against the Eagles.”
GB 7, PHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Cardinals plus three and a half. I just really wanted three here. So now the fact that it was three and a half, I bet it.”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But yeah, I'm rolling with the Texans here.”
HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So that's my first one. [39:18] Falcons with the points”
NE 24, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“the second one I'll say Steelers plus three um I already went [39:25] over some of the reasons why I think they can move the ball and keep up with the Colts”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“i'm going with [29:45] the atlanta falcons it looks like plus five and a half at draft kings”
NE 24, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“i'm going with the washington commanders plus three and a half at home against the seahawks”
WSH 14, SEA 38 — Washington Commanders margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“i'm going with the houston texans minus one and a half [39:11] at home against the denver broncos”
HOU 15, DEN 18 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“titans chargers over 43 and a half”
TEN 20, LAC 27 — Combined 47; over 43.5 covers.
“let go with the new york football giants and this is basically just number one I don know who playing for either team on either defense”
NYG 24, SF 34 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“Maybe he's the new Hertz, but I think he can get plus 165 on this at DraftKings.”
Jaxson Dart ran for a 6-yard TD in the Giants' 34-24 Week 9 loss to the 49ers.
“So I'll play my flag on the Steelers. Plus three minus one, one of five.”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“i'm gonna go with the 49ers minus two and a half”
NYG 24, SF 34 — San Francisco 49ers margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“i've already bet the detroit lions at minus eight and a half”
DET 24, MIN 27 — Detroit Lions margin -3 vs line -8.5; busts.
“i know that i'm gonna bet like the texans i'm trying to figure out where that number is gonna go”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Houston Texans margin +11 vs line -1; covers.
“i do have the ravens um already i i have them some money line to close out some parlays and um but i'm gonna bet them again”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“I am gonna bet the Jets I'm trying to determine if that's gonna go to seven or not”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — New York Jets margin +1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I good about the Saints probably just bet that at four and a half”
NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So we're going to go with the Commanders plus 12 and a half.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Washington Commanders margin -21 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I'm going with the New Orleans Saints plus four-and-a-half at home”
NO 3, TB 23 — New Orleans Saints margin -20 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half at the Denver Broncos.”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -20 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to go with Colts, Titans, over 47 and a half at DraftKings.”
IND 38, TEN 14 — Combined 52; over 47.5 covers.
“Rah-rah spot, Tomlin.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“let's go with dk uh metcalf for the dk parlay uh against the green bay packers”
DK Metcalf caught a 2-yard TD from Aaron Rodgers in the Steelers' 35-25 loss to Green Bay.
“I am on OKC, by the way, minus seven and a half.”
OKC 125, HOU 124 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I mean, the Ravens are going to be my plant, my flag game. I do think that Lamar plays.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.
“So let's go with A.J. Barner anytime touchdown.”
AJ Barner had just 1 catch for 7 yards and no touchdown in Seattle's Week 7 win over Houston, so the anytime TD lost.
“I'm on the Chargers, one of my favorite bets of the weekend.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams won; moneyline covers.
“So, yeah, I like the Browns money line.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.
“And then we'll do the Vikings money line. I already made my case earlier this week on plant the flag.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“I am going with the New York Jets plus one and a half at home”
NYJ 6, CAR 13 — New York Jets margin -7 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Let's go with the Raiders Chiefs under 45 and a half.”
KC 31, LV 0 — Combined 31; under 45.5 covers.
“I'm going to go with the Dallas Cowboys over the Washington Commanders.”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“So we're going to go with Harold Fannin.”
Harold Fannin had 4 catches for 36 yards and no TD in Cleveland's 31-6 win over Miami.
“Falcons plus two and a half over on DraftKings against the 49ers.”
SF 20, ATL 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“FIU plus 10 against Western Kentucky.”
WKU 6, FIU 25 — Florida International Panthers margin +19 vs line +10; covers.
“yesterday I placed a Super Bowl bet on the Ravens”
Baltimore went 8-9 and missed the playoffs; Seattle won Super Bowl LX, so the Ravens futures lost.
“I did already bet the Vikings at plus two and a half.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Yeah, I bet the Seahawks, this is a Jags podcast.”
No number stated ('I bet the Seahawks'); closing lines were split around pick'em/-1.5, but moot — Seahawks won outright 20-12, covering any of the reported lines. (Seahawks 20, Jaguars 12)
“yeah i played the chiefs i like the chiefs here”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +13 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I like the Chiefs a little bit more. I've actually played that one.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I played the Giants tonight.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — New York Giants margin +17 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So I'm going to go Chargers money line because I know that.”
MIA 27, LAC 29 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“Thursday night football Eagles Giants I did play the Giants small at seven and a half I don't love”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — New York Giants margin +17 vs line +7.5; covers.
“with my first pick of the Week 6 Sunday six-pack, [9:54] I am going with the San Francisco 49ers plus three at the Tampa Bay.”
TB 30, SF 19 — San Francisco 49ers margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“I took plus three plus 100 because I took some plus three and a half too.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm gonna go this week with one that's probably [55:25] a little contrarian but Carolina Dallas under 49 and a half”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Combined 57; under 49.5 busts.
“I'm going to go with Trey McBride. I'm plus 220 at DraftKings.”
Trey McBride caught a 1-yard TD from Jacoby Brissett in the Cardinals' 31-27 Week 6 loss to Indianapolis.
“i'll go i'll go falcons plus four and a half at draft kings on Monday night football against the Bills”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +10 vs line +4.5; covers.
“by the way Jags tomorrow I am on your Jags”
Host said 'I think this line should be under three' (an opinion, not the actual number), so used the closing market line, Chiefs -3.5/Jaguars +3.5. Jaguars won outright 31-28, covering comfortably. (Jaguars 31, Chiefs 28)
“Yeah, I played the Broncos mainly a fade of the Eagles.”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Panthers here.”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“start off the parlay with Chargers money line and just trust Harbaugh and Herbert to get it done at home.”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“my vote is for the jets and uh to go jets money line”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“I going to start us off with my first pick of the week five Sunday six pack I going to go with the Denver Broncos plus three and a half at the Philadelphia Eagles”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Denver Broncos margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“i'm going with the cleveland browns plus four and a half against the minnesota”
CLE 17, MIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“This week I going to go Broncos under 43 I already talked about this game”
PHI 17, DEN 21 — Combined 38; under 43 covers.
“So give me the Commanders.”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Washington Commanders won; moneyline covers.
“So I like the spot for – with all the injuries, I like the Seahawks there.”
SEA 35, TB 38 — Seattle Seahawks lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's go with T. Higgins. [1:01:07] What is he? [1:01:07] Plus 2-1, somewhere around there. [1:01:09] Plus 230. [1:01:10] Plus 230 against the Lions.”
Tee Higgins caught a 2-yard TD from Jake Browning in the Bengals' 37-24 loss to the Lions.
“I like the matchup in the spot I played Carolina cheap minus one out there for this week”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“So I took the points.”
CLE 17, MIN 21 — Cleveland Browns margin -4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So I'll plant my flag on the Saints minus one, minus one and a half out there.”
NO 26, NYG 14 — New Orleans Saints margin +12 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I did bet the Bengals over a touchdown.”
DEN 28, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“So, yeah, I grabbed the three. First bet I made this week. Feel good about it.”
ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I'll take the Vikings at under a field goal.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“So if I end up, I'm still sitting on this 49ers minus three and a half with my plant the flag bet from Tuesday's episode.”
SF 21, JAX 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin -5 vs line -3.5; busts.
“atlanta falcons plus one and a half is out there against the washington commanders”
ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“going with the new england patriots minus five and a half at home against the carolina panthers”
NE 42, CAR 13 — New England Patriots margin +29 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings minus two and a half in, what is it, Dublin against the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three-and-a-half [36:35] at San Francisco.”
SF 21, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with, I guess, [49:20] Jackatrarian over [49:21] Texans Titans over [49:24] 38.”
HOU 26, TEN 0 — Combined 26; over 38 busts.
“I'm with you. I'm on the Giants as well.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +6; covers.
“So, by the way, I did bet the Dolphins tonight.”
Bills won 31-21 (margin of 10) as roughly a 10.5 to 11.5-point favorite; Miami covered getting the points. (Final: Bills 31, Dolphins 21)
“Yeah, I played the Jets again. I played them seven.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“their defense is playing at an elite level at home catching over a touchdown I had to take it”
CLE 13, GB 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I did play the Rams.”
Eagles beat the Rams 33-26 as roughly 3.5-point favorites (won by 7), covering; the Rams side lost. (Final: Eagles 33, Rams 26)
“but let's go Seahawks, Saints under 41 and a half.”
SEA 44, NO 13 — Combined 57; under 41.5 busts.
“i am going with the bears uh this is a i mean [47:37] they lost by 30 like so i'm probably gonna end up playing them as well”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago Bears won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, let's go with the Bills. Let's go with the Bills. [53:57] Let's go with the Bills. Short week.”
BUF 31, MIA 21 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“But I'll put my flag on the Rams plus three and a half.”
PHI 33, LAR 26 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“my two favorite bets are the next two nights so hopefully the uh Texans and uh the Falcons coming up here in a bit can salvage salvage the week”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“my two favorite bets are the next two nights so hopefully the uh Texans and uh the Falcons coming up here in a bit can salvage salvage the week”
Buccaneers stunned Houston 20-19 on a last-second TD drive; the Texans were ~2.5-point favorites and lost outright, so the Texans side lost. (Final: Buccaneers 20, Texans 19)
“I think I'm going to end up on the Lions.”
BAL 30, DET 38 — Detroit Lions margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I have Lions win total under.”
Detroit finished 9-8, under its preseason win total (10.5), so the under cashed.
“I disagree I on the Chiefs I bet the Chiefs”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Chiefs +1 (home dog). Eagles won 20-17, a 3-point margin that exceeds the point cushion, so Chiefs lost against the spread. (Eagles 20, Chiefs 17)
“I'm in on the Jets, personally.”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm in on the Falcons plus three and a half.”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Who wants to bet the Texans as a favorite? [46:02] Apparently me. [46:03] But that's my favorite bet.”
HOU 19, TB 20 — Houston Texans margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I agree with this one. [19:48] I'm on this as well.”
NYJ 10, BUF 30 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +6.5; busts.
“yeah I'm on this as well anything over the anything over three and young way cool cannot”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“so over 48 and a half for me Jacksonville Cincinnati”
CIN 31, JAX 27 — Combined 58; over 48.5 covers.
“so give me kc plus 105”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“I loved him in college, Tett McMillan, against the Cardinals.”
Tetairoa McMillan had 100 receiving yards but no touchdown in the Panthers' 22-27 loss at Arizona.
“Not going to go with the crowd I going with the Texans”
HOU 19, TB 20 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“But yeah I took the seven with them this week against the Bills The Bills have defensive issues I think the Jets can hang around in that game”
DAL 40, NYG 37 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“but i i did bet the chiefs is a dog here i i'm it's just almost an”
KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I also bet the Titans this week.”
No number stated on air; used closing spread Rams -5.5 (Titans +5.5). Rams won 33-19, Titans lost by 14, outside the number. (Rams 33, Titans 19)
“I think the Texans that under a field goal at home take care of business against the Bucs”
Host described Texans as 'under a field goal' favorites at home; closing line confirms Texans -2.5. Buccaneers won 20-19 on a last-minute TD, so Texans lost outright and against the spread. (Buccaneers 20, Texans 19)
“essentially i don't trust their defense to do that so i'm taking the browns here you mentioned”
CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Plus nine, baby.”
DEN 20, TEN 12 — Tennessee Titans margin -8 vs line +9; covers.
“I'm going with the Patriots Raiders over 43 and a half.”
NE 13, LV 20 — Combined 33; over 43.5 busts.
“play the Colts Dolphins under. Yes.”
No number stated on air; used closing total of 46.5. Colts beat Dolphins 33-8 (combined 41), under the number. (Colts 33, Dolphins 8 (41 combined))
“At New York, 38 and a half is the number.”
NYJ 32, PIT 34 — Combined 66; under 38.5 busts.
“I'll go Ravens. They're barely an underdog now. I think they're like minus 109 technically.”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“so give me uh trevor lawrence at plus 450 uh for an anytime”
Trevor Lawrence scored a 6-yard rushing touchdown in the Jaguars' 26-10 Week 1 win over Carolina.
“I'm going with the Cardinals.”
NO 13, ARI 20 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“they should actually roll in that game but um under five and a half”
UCF UNDER 5.5 regular-season wins (2025). UCF finished 5-7 (5 wins), under 5.5. Bet won.
“plus money to make the Big Ten title game.”
Penn State to make the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game. Penn State finished 7-6 (3-6 Big Ten); Indiana and Ohio State played in the title game. Bet lost.
“I did take Central Michigan”
Central Michigan (+2000) to win the 2025 MAC. Western Michigan won the MAC; Central Michigan did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“I played some USC to make the playoff”
USC (+480) to make the 2025 College Football Playoff. USC finished 9-3 in the regular season, ranked No. 16 in the final CFP rankings, and was left out of the 12-team field. Bet lost.
“I played some Texas A&M plus 240.”
Texas A&M (+240) to make the 2025 College Football Playoff. Texas A&M made the 12-team field as the No. 7 seed. Bet won.
“Georgia State against Ole Miss, anything over 35 is fine.”
UGA 45, MRSH 7 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +38 vs line +35; covers.
“Neutral field taking over the touchdown, taking over seven with Vatek.”
SC 24, VT 11 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin -13 vs line +7; busts.
“let's go with uh Charlotte catching seven”
CLT 11, APP 34 — Charlotte 49ers margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“i think i'll do that by vetting the falcons to win the division”
Panthers won the 2025 NFC South; Falcons did not. (Carolina won NFC South; Atlanta missed the playoffs.)
“No, I think I'm going to be the insane person that has a flyer on the Giants 25 to 1 to win the NFC East.”
Giants did not win the 2025 NFC East and missed the playoffs. (NY Giants finished out of the playoffs.)
“I mentioned this on our podcast three months ago that I buying the Cardinals across the board I played them to make the playoffs win the division and over”
Cardinals missed the 2025 NFL playoffs. (Arizona not among the 14 playoff teams.)
“I mentioned this on our podcast three months ago that I buying the Cardinals across the board I played them to make the playoffs win the division and over”
Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West; Cardinals did not. (Seattle won NFC West at 14-3, No. 1 seed.)
“I bet the Lions to miss the playoffs”
Lions missed the 2025 NFL playoffs, so 'miss the playoffs' wins. (Detroit finished 4th in NFC North, out of playoffs.)
“also some downside of this team i'm going for the long shot packers to win the super bowl”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX (29-13 over Patriots); Packers did not. (Green Bay did not win the Super Bowl.)
“But count me in on the Bears I bet them I don see them winning like the Super Bowl or the NFC this year I like the Packers for the higher upside but I did play the Bears over and to make the playoffs”
Bears made the 2025 NFL playoffs (won NFC North, No. 2 seed). (Chicago finished 11-6, NFC North champions.)
“so i'm with you jags division jags to make the playoffs i bet and jags over seven [15:21] and a half wins.”
Jaguars made the 2025 NFL playoffs as AFC South champions (13-4). (Jaguars 13-4, made playoffs)
“Yeah, I have a Super Bowl ticket on them.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX over the Patriots 29-13; Ravens did not win. (Seahawks won SB LX)
“I like the upside Cardinals. So division, little division playoffs.”
Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West (No. 1 seed); Cardinals did not win the division.
“i might bet on to make the playoffs i think makes sense too”
Cardinals missed the 2025 playoffs (blown out by Rams in Week 18).
“Bears division.”
Bears won the 2025 NFC North (11-6), their first division title since 2018. (Chicago 11-6, No. 2 NFC seed)
“Packers, real upside. longer shot upside super bowl”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots; Packers future busts.
“I wouldn't be shocked if they missed the playoffs. I'm probably going to have a bet on that.”
Lions missed the 2025 playoffs (lost to Bears in Week 18 finale). (Detroit eliminated from playoff contention)
“so i do want packers i'm gonna we're gonna packers division yep airs division”
Bears won the 2025 NFC North (11-6); Packers (9-7-1) finished second as the No. 7 seed.
“I like them in the division. You can find 5-1 out there. I'm in.”
Bears won the 2025 NFC North (11-6), their first division title since 2018. (Chicago 11-6, No. 2 NFC seed)
“The one I'd make now is the Super Bowl odds at 7-1. I mean, you know, I don't see too much fluctuation with that.”
Seahawks won Super Bowl LX over the Patriots 29-13; Bills future busts. (Bills did not win SB LX)
“afc south i don't hate jags for the division”
Jaguars won the 2025 AFC South (13-4), earning the No. 3 seed. (Jacksonville 13-4, AFC South champions)
“i like the plus 175 to make the playoffs”
Jaguars made the 2025 playoffs as the AFC No. 3 seed. (Jacksonville 13-4, AFC South champions)
“I would not bet Arizona. I don't mind the under. It's scary with Duke because, you know, can put up 90, but that's probably my favorite under of the first two rounds.”
No total stated on air; used closing total 153.5. Duke beat Arizona 100-93 (combined 193), well over the number, so the under lost. (Duke 100, Arizona 93 (193 combined))
“I have a Texas Tech future. Bet them they're in the region. On our podcast, we have them to win the final four. I think they're a top five team and fully healthy.”
Texas Tech to win their region / reach the 2025 Final Four. Texas Tech lost the Elite Eight (regional final) to Florida 84-79. Bet lost.
“philadelphia eagles first half plus one and a half out there at vandal which is what i played”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going with Dallas Goddard over 50 reception yards, 50-plus, minus 122 at FanDuel.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Dallas Goedert: 27 receiving_yards vs over 50; busts. (Dallas Goedert: 27 receiving_yards)
“i'm going with patrick mahomes longest [33:46] rush under 13 and a half yards”
Mahomes' longest rush was 8 yards, under 13.5. (Mahomes 4 carries, 25 yds, long 8)
“back to the well [1:03:26] worthy anytime touchdown”
Xavier Worthy scored two receiving touchdowns (24 and 50 yds). (Worthy 2 receiving TDs, 157 yds)
“I'm going with Dallas Goddard over three and a half catches. This is fine at minus 140.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Dallas Goedert: 7 receptions vs over 3.5; covers. (Dallas Goedert: 7 receptions)
“i'm gonna go with xavier worthy over two and a half rushing yards three and a half's out there fine as well”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Xavier Worthy: 16 rushing_yards vs over 2.5; covers. (Xavier Worthy: 16 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to Isaiah Pacheco under 11 and a half for his longest rush. And this is one I really like”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Isiah Pacheco: 12 rushing_yards vs under 11.5; busts. (Isiah Pacheco: 12 rushing_yards)
“Yeah I going Worthy anytime touchdown I think they want to get them looks run game pass game It going to two to one I think it a good number”
Xavier Worthy caught an 11-yard TD from Mahomes in Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win. (Worthy 11-yd receiving TD)
“I like Schultz over receiving yards, even though I listened to your Fantasy Flex episode with Kerner”
Dalton Schultz caught all 4 of his targets for 63 yards in the Divisional Round loss to the Chiefs, well above his season average (~45.7 ypg) and typical prop lines for him. (Schultz: 4 rec, 63 yards)
“let's go likely touchdown four to one out there”
Isaiah Likely caught a 24-yard TD from Lamar Jackson in Ravens' 27-25 loss to Bills. (Likely 24-yd receiving TD)
“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers plus three in the first half [5:24] against the Philadelphia Eagles. [5:26] Minus 115 out there.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Green Bay Packers margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“[19:48] i'm going with the houston texans plus three minus 115 out there i'd go up to minus 120 is fine”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Houston Texans margin +20 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Rams plus one and a half against the [37:54] Minnesota Vikings plus one and a half out there [37:57] Vandal [37:58] Minus 115 plus one is fine as well”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.
“[1:06:44] I'll be on the under.”
BUF 31, DEN 7 — Combined 38; under 47 covers.
“I'm going with the New York Jets plus one and a half against the Miami Dolphins.”
NYJ 32, MIA 20 — New York Jets margin +12 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens minus 9.5 first half [17:51] against the Cleveland Browns.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +25 vs line -9.5; covers.
“[27:16] once this hit four and a half this is down to three and a half I got to take the Cowboys four [27:22] and a half”
DAL 19, WSH 23 — Dallas Cowboys margin -4 vs line +4.5; covers.
“let me just go Carolina, Atlanta, over 47 and a half.”
ATL 38, CAR 44 — Combined 82; over 47.5 covers.
- Jets teased (+7.5)
- Steelers teased
“give me Steelers and Jets.”
Both teaser legs covered: Jets beat Dolphins 32-20 (crushing the +7.5 teased number), and Steelers lost to Bengals 17-19 but covered the +8.5 teased line (moved 6 points off their actual +2.5 underdog spread). (Jets 32-20 win (covers +7.5); Steelers lost by 2, covers +8.5 teased)
“Like the Steelers. [40:00] Plus 136 against the Bengals.”
Bengals beat the Steelers 19-17, so the Steelers moneyline lost. (Final: Bengals 19, Steelers 17)
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three at home [16:32] against the Kansas City Chiefs.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -19 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Dallas Cowboys plus 9.5 at the Philadelphia Eagles.”
PHI 41, DAL 7 — Dallas Cowboys margin -34 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm going with the New York, we claim to play football, Giants, plus eight and a half. [40:20] At home against the Colts.”
NYG 45, IND 33 — New York Giants margin +12 vs line +8.5; covers.
“I'm going with that Colts-Giants under 40.5.”
BUF 40, NYJ 14 — Combined 54; under 40.5 busts.
“let's go with the pats feisty pats”
NE 7, LAC 40 — New England Patriots lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the New York Jets plus three and a half at home [15:30] against the Los Angeles Rams.”
NYJ 9, LAR 19 — New York Jets margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“this would have been one of mine i'll be on this”
MIA 29, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -12 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus one at home.”
LV 19, JAX 14 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +5 vs line -1; covers.
“i'm going with the chicago bears plus six and a half at home against the detroit lions”
CHI 17, DET 34 — Chicago Bears margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
“let's go back to the Eagles under [43:54] Eagles commanders under 45 and a half”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Combined 69; under 45.5 busts.
“let's take the Bengals [51:22] down to 1.5”
CIN 24, CLE 6 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Let's go with the Texans, plus 140 against the Chiefs.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills plus two and a half at the Detroit Lions.”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Buffalo Bills margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers [22:55] minus two and a half. It's minus [22:57] two and a half, minus 120 out there.”
CAR 14, DAL 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -16 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Chargers here against the Bucs.”
LAC 17, TB 40 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -23 vs line -2; busts.
“I'm going with the Bengals, Titans under 47.”
TEN 27, CIN 37 — Combined 64; under 47 busts.
“we're gonna go with the commanders from seven and a half down to one and a half”
NO 19, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“i'm gonna go seattle [59:46] through three and seven at home”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -17 vs line +9; busts.
“So I bet the Colts, I like them on the money line.”
DEN 31, IND 13 — Indianapolis Colts lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Rams plus five at home against the Buffalo Bills.”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Los Angeles Rams margin +2 vs line +5; covers.
“i'm going with the kansas city chiefs [27:24] minus four at home against the los angeles chargers”
KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going with the New York. [42:57] We claim to play football Giants. [42:59] Plus five, the Saints.”
NYG 11, NO 14 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
“So give me Seahawks Cardinals under 44 and a half”
ARI 18, SEA 30 — Combined 48; under 44.5 busts.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus six at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
CAR 23, TB 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus two-and-a-half at home [25:34] against the Los Angeles Chargers.”
ATL 13, LAC 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I going with the Miami Dolphins plus three and a half at the Green Bay Packers”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“the seahawks jets under 41 and a half this is just a bet on the seahawks defense”
NYJ 21, SEA 26 — Combined 47; under 41.5 busts.
- Steelers +9 (teased) won
- Eagles +9 (teased) won
“i gonna roll with the uh steelers Steelers up to nine and the Eagles up to nine”
Parlay cashes: Steelers +9 (teased) +9 — won; Eagles +9 (teased) +9 — won.
“let's go with jacksonville plus 190 this line's [1:07:24] way too high if lawrence plays”
JAX 20, HOU 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“Titans, Texans. Some host I am. Under.”
HOU 27, TEN 32 — Combined 59; under 42 busts.
“I think the Broncos are getting a little too rich here, laying five and a half.”
LV 19, DEN 29 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to kick things off for the week 11 Sunday six pack [11:34] with the Cleveland Browns plus one and a half at the New Orleans Saints.”
NO 35, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -21 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Give me the Broncos minus two and a half.”
DEN 38, ATL 6 — Denver Broncos margin +32 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks plus six and a half.”
SF 17, SEA 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So, yeah, give me Miami Vegas under 44 and a half.”
MIA 34, LV 19 — Combined 53; under 44.5 busts.
- Bengals +7.5 (teased) won
- Browns +7.5 (teased) lost
“um so Bengals Browns plus seven and a half each”
Parlay busts: Bengals +7.5 (teased) +7.5 — won; Browns +7.5 (teased) +7.5 — lost.
“But with the variance, expecting to show up here against their rival, [1:05:45] I'm going to take the Bears.”
CHI 19, GB 20 — Chicago Bears lost; moneyline busts.
“so I think this is a rally spot for the Saints giving to [22:13] the three and a half at home”
NO 20, ATL 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Houston Texans plus three and a half against the Detroit”
HOU 23, DET 26 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I like the Jets here.”
ARI 31, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -25 vs line +1; busts.
“i'm going to go with the cowboys eagles under 42 and a half”
DAL 6, PHI 34 — Combined 40; under 42.5 covers.
- Chiefs +2.5 (teased) won
- Chargers +1.5 (teased) won
“I'm going to go with the Chiefs and Chargers.”
Parlay cashes: Chiefs +2.5 (teased) +2.5 — won; Chargers +1.5 (teased) +1.5 — won.
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens first half, [10:53] minus five and a half out there.”
BAL 41, DEN 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +31 vs line -5.5; covers.
“i'm going with the minnesota vikings first half there's a minus three out there”
MIN 21, IND 13 — Minnesota Vikings margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“The Green Bay Packers plus three and a half at home against the Detroit Lions.”
GB 14, DET 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going to go Pats-Titans under 38.5”
TEN 20, NE 17 — Combined 37; under 38.5 covers.
- Browns +8 (teased) lost
- Bengals -1.5 (teased) won
“Browns up over a touchdown. [55:40] And then I'm going to go Bengals down to minus one and a half.”
Parlay busts: Browns +8 (teased) +8 — lost; Bengals -1.5 (teased) -1.5 — won.
“yeah i took some three small i mean i hate thursday night football”
LAR 30, MIN 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“Yeah, I played this. [14:19] Love it. [14:19] This would have been one of my picks if you didn't take it.”
CLE 29, BAL 24 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Bills Seahawks under 47 or better. It's not 47 and a half. You [54:33] can have 47 and a half.”
SEA 10, BUF 31 — Combined 41; under 47.5 covers.
“So this one will be a lot higher because I'm going to go with the Raiders.”
LV 20, KC 27 — Las Vegas Raiders lost; moneyline busts.
“i'm going with the seattle seahawks plus three at the atlanta falcons”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Seattle Seahawks margin +20 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Philadelphia Eagles minus three at the New York Giants.”
NYG 3, PHI 28 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +25 vs line -3; covers.
“This is the Browns-Bengals under 42 for me.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Combined 35; under 42 covers.
- Seahawks ML closed +139 · CLV -9¢ won
- Dolphins ML closed +125 · CLV +17¢ lost
“plus 142 for them, plus 130 for the Seahawks. [58:30] Parlay them together, plus 457.”
Parlay busts: Seahawks ML — won; Dolphins ML — lost.
- Rams (teased down 6 points)
- Texans +9 (teased up)
“for my teaser i'm gonna go with the rams tease them down off a bye at home against this [54:20] garbage raiders team has injuries and just isn't very good and uh the texans i'll tease them [54:30] up through seven through three and seven at green bay”
Both teaser legs cashed: the Rams (favored ~6.5-7) won outright 20-15 over the Raiders, and the Texans lost only 24-22 to the Packers, easily covering the teased +9. (Rams 20, Raiders 15; Packers 24, Texans 22)
“the Tennessee Titans plus one and a half against the Indianapolis Colts.”
TEN 17, IND 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'll take the Jags plus two and a half.”
CHI 35, JAX 16 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -19 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So give me Dax, a home dog to carve up this defense and keep it close in a, which should be just back and forth affair.”
DAL 9, DET 47 — Dallas Cowboys margin -38 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Jacksonville, Chicago, under 45.”
CHI 35, JAX 16 — Combined 51; under 45 busts.
- Saints ML closed +155.5 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Cowboys ML closed +149.5 · CLV -3¢ lost
“So I'll take Dallas plus 146. Parlay those two together and you get odds of plus 527.”
Parlay busts: Saints ML — lost; Cowboys ML — lost.
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers minus one and a half, anything under three spine, against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.”
PIT 17, DAL 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“let's go with the Houston Texans plus one and a half, plus one if you can't get the one and a half, against the Buffalo Bills.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“i'm going with the jacksonville jaguars a minus three at home against the indianapolis colts I think this is their win”
JAX 37, IND 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“i'm gonna go with the uh steelers cowboys under and the reason being it's it's jumped up a couple points i think it's up to 44 and a half now”
PIT 17, DAL 20 — Combined 37; under 44.5 covers.
“I'm going with my Baltimore Ravens minus two and a half at home against [16:14] the Buffalo Bills.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“i'm going with the [25:54] atlanta falcons minus two at home against the saints”
ATL 26, NO 24 — Atlanta Falcons margin +2 vs line -2; pushes.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus seven at the Houston Texans.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Yeah, let's go with the Bucks, Eagles under. [45:33] Anything over 44 is fine.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Combined 49; under 44.5 busts.
“Like the Colts, let's tease the Colts up over seven.”
IND 27, PIT 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“let's tease the Jets down to minus one and a half.”
NYJ 9, DEN 10 — New York Jets margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“let's go to the Vikings [53:50] already talked about it earlier”
GB 29, MIN 31 — Minnesota Vikings won; moneyline covers.
“I am going with the Tennessee Titans minus two against the Green Bay Packers”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -2; busts.
“I am going with the Denver Broncos plus six.”
TB 7, DEN 26 — Denver Broncos margin +19 vs line +6; covers.
“I gonna roll with the Philadelphia Eagles plus two and a half at the Saints here”
NO 12, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm gonna go with the Chargers Steelers under 36.”
PIT 20, LAC 10 — Combined 30; under 36 covers.
“the obvious one here is the Chargers teasing them up from one and a half to seven and a half”
PIT 20, LAC 10 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -10 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'd show enough value in the Eagles at their current number [51:29] to feel good about teasing them up to eight and a half.”
NO 12, PHI 15 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Panthers ML closed +200 · CLV 0¢ won
- Giants ML closed +240 · CLV +40¢ won
“if you parlay these two together uh carolina at [58:42] plus 200 the Giants at plus 280 this would actually be a plus 1040 part way”
Parlay cashes: Panthers ML — won; Giants ML — won.
“And as a result, I'm back on the Panthers this week. [11:27] It's a really good spot.”
LV 22, CAR 36 — Carolina Panthers margin +14 vs line +7; covers.
“And I think Tennessee [24:08] will do enough at home offensively to get this win. So anything under three, I like here.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Tennessee Titans margin -16 vs line -3; busts.
“the Green Bay Packers plus three at home against the Indianapolis Colts”
GB 16, IND 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus three and a half against the New York [30:18] Jets”
TEN 17, NYJ 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus six and a half at home [43:39] against the Chargers.”
CAR 3, LAC 26 — Carolina Panthers margin -23 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Give me the 49ers Vikings under 45”
MIN 23, SF 17 — Combined 40; under 45 covers.
“broncos great teaser piece to get up to eight and a half and”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“i'm gonna go with the denver broncos who would have been my third pick but the line has [1:03:28] dropped down and this is a classic faye tomlin spot”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Ravens week to hardball, extra time to repair.”
BAL 23, LV 26 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“Carolina Panthers plus four against the New Orleans Saints.”
NO 47, CAR 10 — Carolina Panthers margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
“minus six at home. Another one of my conviction bets. I think the Seattle team a bit undervalued”
SEA 26, DEN 20 — Seattle Seahawks margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings minus one and a half.”
NYG 6, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +22 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Cleveland Browns Dallas Cowboys under 41.”
CLE 17, DAL 33 — Combined 50; under 41 busts.
“Yeah, go to the Commanders.”
TB 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders lost; moneyline busts.
“Yeah, I played the under and first half under.”
LAC 22, LV 10 — Combined 32; under 40.5 covers.
“I bet Clemson to win the ACC. Bet them to go to the college ball playoff. They're definitely falling a step behind. I don't think they have, like, national title ceiling. Right. But I do like them to win the ACC.”
Clemson to win the 2024 ACC. Clemson beat SMU 34-31 on a walk-off field goal in the ACC Championship on Dec 7, 2024. Bet won.
“Yeah. I I laid it with Michigan State. Need under two touchdowns, but I very low on this FAU team who I think wants to go faster, which is good if you wanna bet a favor with more possessions.”
Michigan State beat Florida Atlantic 16-10, failing to cover as a -13.5 favorite (won by only 6). (Michigan State 16, Florida Atlantic 10 (closing line MSU -13.5))
“I've been saying all summer I love A and M against Notre Dame.”
TEX 52, CSU 0 — Texas Longhorns margin +52 vs line +3; covers.
“started to figure it out, come on late. They're very well coached. I like them catching double digits”
Sam Houston State won outright 34-14 over Rice as a ~9.5-point underdog, easily covering any double-digit spread. (Sam Houston 34, Rice 14 (Sam Houston +9.5))
“to win the MAC,”
Bowling Green to win the 2024 MAC. Ohio won the 2024 MAC Championship (38-3 over Miami OH); Bowling Green did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“So I actually have a first coach fired bet out there on him as well. [46:28] I think I got him like 10 to one.”
First HC fired in the 2024 season was Robert Saleh (Jets, Oct 8 2024); Daboll was not fired in 2024. (Daboll retained through 2024; fired Nov 2025)
“The one that stands out for me is Green Bay [49:30] two to one to win the division. [49:32] I think that's a fair price [49:33] because I do think it's a three-team race.”
Lions won the 2024 NFC North at 15-2; Packers did not win the division. (Lions 15-2 champs; Packers 11-6)
“All right. So, yeah, I got the MVP odds up here. [41:01] I bet him he's 30 to one.”
Josh Allen won 2024 NFL MVP; Trevor Lawrence did not win. (Allen beat Lamar Jackson for MVP)
“I like the Bengals to win the division it's coming down a little bit still like it”
Ravens won the 2024 AFC North; Bengals finished 9-8 and missed the division. (Ravens 12-5, Bengals 9-8)
“division uh mixed in right yeah I would even put I would just play Cincy to win the division”
Ravens won the 2024 AFC North; Bengals finished 9-8 and missed playoffs. (Cincinnati 9-8)
“others i'd look at dallas under packers to win the division”
Lions won the 2024 NFC North (15-2); Packers finished 3rd and made playoffs as a wild card, not division winner. (Detroit won NFC North)
“I actually have a bet. I have a bet on the NIT”
Boston College defeated Providence 62-57 in the 2024 NIT first round on March 19, 2024. (Boston College 62, Providence 57)
“I like Houston to get out of here, and I'm sticking with my guns and saying Houston wins it all.”
Houston to win the 2024 national title. Houston was eliminated by Duke in the Sweet 16; UConn won the 2024 championship over Purdue 75-60. Bet lost.
“Four of our futures are all in the same region with Houston,”
Kentucky to win the 2024 national title. Kentucky lost in the first round to Oakland; UConn won the 2024 title. Bet lost.
“winning the national title. And then I have final four flyers”
Texas A&M to reach the 2024 Final Four. The 2024 Final Four was UConn, Purdue, Alabama, NC State; Texas A&M did not advance. Bet lost.
“and Colorado who are all in the South Region.”
Colorado to reach the 2024 Final Four. The 2024 Final Four was UConn, Purdue, Alabama, NC State; Colorado did not advance. Bet lost.
“I still like it a bit from where it is against Illinois.”
Illinois beat Morehead State 85-69 (Mar 21, 2024); Illinois closed a ~10.5-11.5-pt favorite, so Morehead State's +margin loss (16 pts) failed to cover. (Illinois 85, Morehead State 69)
“I really like this matchup for Drake.”
Washington State beat Drake outright 66-61 (Mar 21, 2024); Drake closed a 1-pt favorite, so Drake ATS lost outright. (Washington State 66, Drake 61)
“I also like Akron”
Creighton beat Akron 77-60 (Mar 21, 2024); Creighton closed a ~12-12.5-pt favorite, so Akron's 17-pt loss failed to cover. (Creighton 77, Akron 60)
“I like Baylor to blow the doors off of Colgate.”
Baylor beat Colgate 92-67 (Mar 22, 2024); Baylor closed a ~14.5-15-pt favorite and covered easily with a 25-pt margin. (Baylor 92, Colgate 67)
“but i like the niners first half money line”
KC 25, SF 22 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with Elijah Mitchell under one and a half rush attempts.”
Elijah Mitchell had 2 carries in SB LVIII, over 1.5. (Mitchell 2 att, 8 yds)
“we're going to go over 47.5 yards for the longest field goal”
Longest FG of the game was Butker/Moody's 57-yarder, over 47.5. (Butker 57, Moody 57 (game-long); over 47.5 cashes.)
“but i did bet under sacks for purdy”
Brock Purdy was sacked once, under 2.5. (Purdy sacked 1 time.)
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens first half, [5:35] minus six and a half at home against the Houston Texans.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +24 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I'm probably going to play some Ravens for the full game as well. [13:06] I mean, I know for certain I am at under 10.”
Stuckey committed to betting Ravens full-game spread if the number was under 10 (line was Ravens -8.5 to -9.5); Ravens won 34-10, a 24-point margin, easily covering any single-digit spread. (Ravens 34, Texans 10 (won by 24, vs a sub-10-point spread))
“I'm going to go with the San Francisco 49ers minus nine and a half against the Green Bay Packers.”
SF 24, GB 21 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“going with the Green Bay Packers plus seven and a half at the Dallas Cowboys.”
DAL 32, GB 48 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +7.5; covers.
“playoffs i'm going with cade otten monday night cade otten over 21 and a half receiving yards”
Over won big: Cade Otton (spelled 'Otten' in the pick) caught 8 passes for 89 yards in Tampa Bay's Wild Card win over Philadelphia, crushing the 21.5-yard line. (8 catches, 89 receiving yards (line 21.5))
“over two and a half catches and longest catch over 11 and a half yards.”
Over won: Cade Otton caught 8 passes (on 11 targets), well over the 2.5-reception line, in the same Bucs-Eagles Wild Card game. (8 receptions (line 2.5))
“over two and a half catches and longest catch over 11 and a half yards.”
Cade Otton's longest reception was a 19-yard catch (8 rec, 89 yds) vs Eagles; over 11.5 cashes. (Otton 8 rec, 89 yds, long 19)
“six pack i'm going with the houston texans cleveland browns over 44 and a half i mentioned”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Combined 59; over 44.5 covers.
“I'm going with the Detroit Lions minus three.”
DET 24, LAR 23 — Detroit Lions margin +1 vs line -3; busts.
“i gonna go with the texans plus 120 and uh you know kind of slimmer uh similar situation a lot of variants a lot of ways this could play out I kind of touched on it earlier but you know at the end of the day”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus five and a half at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +5.5; covers.
“i'm going with the new york football giants plus four and a half against the philadelphia”
NYG 27, PHI 10 — New York Giants margin +17 vs line +4.5; covers.
“So give me the Vikings plus three and a half at this Detroit Lion team”
DET 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.
“let's go Bengals, Browns, under 37 and a half.”
CIN 31, CLE 14 — Combined 45; under 37.5 busts.
- Broncos +8.5 (teased) lost
- Cardinals +8.5 (teased) won
“so i gonna go with the cardinals and the broncos”
Parlay busts: Broncos +8.5 (teased) +8.5 — lost; Cardinals +8.5 (teased) +8.5 — won.
“Let's go Atlanta for our future. Let's go Carolina. Let's go Atlanta.”
NO 48, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills minus 12 at home against the New England Patriots.”
BUF 27, NE 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +6 vs line -12; busts.
“I'm going also back to the well with the Atlanta Falcons plus three”
CHI 37, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -20 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going reluctantly back to the New Orleans Saints plus three at the Tampa Bay Bucs.”
TB 13, NO 23 — New Orleans Saints margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“So it's going to be Tennessee, Houston, over 43.”
HOU 26, TEN 3 — Combined 29; over 43 busts.
- Chiefs -1 (teased) won
- Packers +8 (teased) won
“let's go Packers and Chiefs”
Parlay cashes: Chiefs -1 (teased) -1 — won; Packers +8 (teased) +8 — won.
“I'm going to go with the Carolina Panthers against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll have a small bet here on the Saints.”
LAR 30, NO 22 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens plus five and a half at the San Francisco 49ers.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Easton Stick-led Los Angeles Chargers plus 12 at home against the Buffalo Bills”
LAC 22, BUF 24 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line +12; covers.
“I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons minus one at home against the Indianapolis Colts.”
ATL 29, IND 10 — Atlanta Falcons margin +19 vs line -1; covers.
“So give me the Packers Panthers over”
CAR 30, GB 33 — Combined 63; over 36.5 covers.
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings plus three and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals”
CIN 27, MIN 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am going with the New York football Giants plus six at the New Orleans Saints”
NO 24, NYG 6 — New York Giants margin -18 vs line +6; busts.
“we're going with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Plus two and a half.”
IND 30, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Commanders, Rams, over. always do what the lines are when we're doing this. I did bet 49. It just was 49. Now it's 50. Still like it at 50.”
LAR 28, WSH 20 — Combined 48; over 50 busts.
- Steelers +8.5 (teased from +2.5) lost
- Rams -0.5 (teased from -6.5) won
“Steelers up to eight and a half Rams down to minus a half point that's our favorite teaser of week number 15”
Parlay busts: Steelers +8.5 (teased from +2.5) +8.5 — lost; Rams -0.5 (teased from -6.5) -0.5 — won.
“I'm going to the Jacksonville Jaguars. I tweeted this out earlier today.”
JAX 7, BAL 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns”
CLE 31, JAX 27 — Cleveland Browns margin +4 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going with the Chicago Bears plus three and a half against the Detroit Lions.”
CHI 28, DET 13 — Chicago Bears margin +15 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks plus 10 and a half at the San Francisco 49ers.”
SF 28, SEA 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin -12 vs line +10.5; busts.
“like the over here. Now it's time”
ATL 25, TB 29 — Combined 54; over 39.5 covers.
- Ravens -1 closed -7.5 · CLV +6.5 won
- Bills +8.5 closed +2 · CLV +6.5 won
“Ravens teasing them down from seven to one.”
Parlay cashes: Ravens -1 -1 — won; Bills +8.5 +8.5 — won.
- Cowboys ML
- Dolphins ML
“i money line dallas with the dolphins i think the dolphins”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“I am going with the San Francisco 49ers, minus 2.5.”
PHI 19, SF 42 — San Francisco 49ers margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“the Houston Texans minus three and a half at home against the Denver Broncos.”
HOU 22, DEN 17 — Houston Texans margin +5 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Give me Green Bay and the six points at home in a great spot.”
GB 27, KC 19 — Green Bay Packers margin +8 vs line +6; covers.
“Arizona, over”
PIT 10, ARI 24 — Combined 34; over 41 busts.
- Jaguars -2.5 lost
- Jets +8.5 closed +2 · CLV +6.5 won
“and we're reluctantly i'm teasing tim boyle up to eight and a half through the three and seven”
Parlay busts: Jaguars -2.5 -2.5 — lost; Jets +8.5 +8.5 — won.
- Saints +4 closed +4 · CLV 0 lost
- Jets ML closed +115 · CLV +10¢ lost
“So give me the Jets plus 125.”
Parlay busts: Saints +4 +4 — lost; Jets ML — lost.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills plus three and a half at the Philadelphia Eagles uh this is a rare [18:55] bet I placed this bet on Sunday before the Monday night game”
PHI 37, BUF 34 — Buffalo Bills margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to go Colts-Bucks over 43.5.”
IND 27, TB 20 — Combined 47; over 43.5 covers.
- Texans +7.5 (teased) won
- Browns +8.5 (teased) lost
“give me the Texans and the Browns teasing through three and seven on each.”
Parlay busts: Texans +7.5 (teased) +7.5 — won; Browns +8.5 (teased) +8.5 — lost.
“give me the new york giants with all the uncertainty”
NYG 10, NE 7 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“So, yeah, give me the Chicago Bears plus nine at Detroit.”
DET 31, CHI 26 — Chicago Bears margin -5 vs line +9; covers.
“I'm going with the Houston Texans minus five against the Arizona Cardinals.”
HOU 21, ARI 16 — Houston Texans margin +5 vs line -5; pushes.
“So, yeah, give me Cleveland minus one.”
CLE 13, PIT 10 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“My favorite total, I'm going to go with the Raiders, [52:52] Dolphins under 46 and a half”
MIA 20, LV 13 — Combined 33; under 46.5 covers.
- Vikings +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
- Bills +1 won
“So we're going to go with the Vikings, [58:36] and then I'm going to throw the Bills in there, lower total, [58:40] going from seven.”
Parlay cashes: Vikings +8.5 +8.5 — won; Bills +1 +1 — won.
“I'll go with the Green Bay Packers. [1:01:45] plus 135 against the Chargers at home.”
GB 23, LAC 20 — Green Bay Packers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Houston Texans plus seven minus 115 is out there.”
CIN 27, HOU 30 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Green Bay Packers against the Pittsburgh Steelers. [21:11] Anything three or above is fine.”
PIT 23, GB 19 — Green Bay Packers margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys. [32:41] Let's check the updated line. [32:43] 16 and a half.”
DAL 49, NYG 17 — Dallas Cowboys margin +32 vs line -16.5; covers.
“I'm going Browns. [48:08] Another Browns under 38.”
BAL 31, CLE 33 — Combined 64; under 38 busts.
“so yeah [52:13] give me Baltimore and I'm going to [52:15] throw a little on their Super Bowl odds”
Ravens lost the AFC Championship to the Chiefs 17-10 and never reached Super Bowl LVIII. (Ravens 13-4, lost AFC Championship 17-10)
“i'm gonna go chargers”
LAC 38, DET 41 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“So give me the Washington Commanders.”
NE 17, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am going with the Houston Texans minus two and a half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers also like the Houston money line if you just want to avoid any shenanigans”
HOU 39, TB 37 — Houston Texans margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Minnesota plus four and a half at the Atlanta Falcons.”
ATL 28, MIN 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“give me the under 37 and a half this is the worst possible scenario for a rookie quarterback making his first start on the road against the best defense in the NFL”
CLE 27, ARI 0 — Combined 27; under 37.5 covers.
- Panthers +8.5 closed +2 · CLV +6.5 lost
- Saints -2.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +7 won
“So let's tease the Panthers up from plus two and a half to plus eight and a half at home against the Colts.”
Parlay busts: Panthers +8.5 +8.5 — lost; Saints -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“So, yeah, let's go with the Giants. [54:16] and hope the quarterback uncertainty with O'Connell works in our favor.”
LV 30, NYG 6 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“i'm gonna go with my new england patriots plus nine and a half”
MIA 31, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“So I am going with the Green Bay Packers as a home dog.”
GB 10, MIN 24 — Green Bay Packers margin -14 vs line +1; busts.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos [32:24] plus 7 at home against the Kansas City Chiefs”
DEN 24, KC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +15 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Carolina Panthers, Houston Texans over 43 and a half.”
CAR 15, HOU 13 — Combined 28; over 43.5 busts.
- Giants +8.5 (teased from +2.5) won
- Chargers -2.5 (teased from -8.5) won
“I'm going to go with the Giants, [54:51] teasing them from plus two and a half to”
Parlay cashes: Giants +8.5 (teased from +2.5) +8.5 — won; Chargers -2.5 (teased from -8.5) -2.5 — won.
“I am going with the Baltimore Ravens minus three at home against the Detroit Lions”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +32 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Los Angeles Rams minus three against the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
LAR 17, PIT 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“We're going with the New England Patriots, plus eight and a half at home against the Buffalo Bills.”
NE 29, BUF 25 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +8.5; covers.
“We going to go back to another over and I going with the Lions over 42”
BAL 38, DET 6 — Combined 44; over 42 covers.
- Seahawks -1.5 (teased from -7.5) won
- Giants +8 (teased from +2) won
“we're going to go Seahawks down from – [50:49] we're going to cross through seven and three in both of these. [50:53] Seahawks down from seven and a half to one and a half.”
Parlay cashes: Seahawks -1.5 (teased from -7.5) -1.5 — won; Giants +8 (teased from +2) +8 — won.
“so I think Denver's the play it's scary with my homes and even if they just [8:46] handed off a lot. They could still carve up this Denver D, but I think this spread's a little too [8:51] high, so I'll have a small play on the Broncos.”
KC 19, DEN 8 — Denver Broncos margin -11 vs line +10.5; busts.
“i'm going with the cincinnati bangles minus two and a half i like [10:48] this up to three, but I prefer a minus two and a half, which I would buy up to minus 120 here.”
CIN 17, SEA 13 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus 13.5 against the high-powered Miami Dolphins.”
MIA 42, CAR 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -21 vs line +13.5; busts.
“I'm going with the New York Giants plus 14 at the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 14, NYG 9 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +14; covers.
“We're going to go Baltimore, Tennessee. [45:08] We're going to go overseas to London, over 41.”
TEN 16, BAL 24 — Combined 40; over 41 busts.
- Ravens ML won
- Rams ML closed -325 · CLV +10¢ won
“So I'm parlaying the Ravens with the Rams money line as well.”
Parlay cashes: Ravens ML — won; Rams ML — won.
“I'm going to go with the Patriots. [51:37] We talked about it earlier, and I think this is it.”
LV 21, NE 17 — New England Patriots lost; moneyline busts.
“I going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half I think you can find a four out there”
PIT 17, BAL 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half at you say Francisco 49ers on Sunday night.”
SF 42, DAL 10 — Dallas Cowboys margin -32 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the New England Patriots minus one against New Orleans Saints. And this is a simple fade of Derek Carr.”
NE 0, NO 34 — New England Patriots margin -34 vs line -1; busts.
“Steelers Ravens under 38 this is just a classic AFC North, Bloodbath”
PIT 17, BAL 10 — Combined 27; under 38 covers.
- Texans +7.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +5 won
- Jets +7.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +5 won
“So I actually lean Denver, but teasing the Jets up over 8-0 with a low total, It just makes too much sense in both those games.”
Parlay cashes: Texans +7.5 +7.5 — won; Jets +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“You're Indianapolis Colts, plus eight against my Baltimore Ravens.”
BAL 19, IND 22 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +8; covers.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns minus three.”
CLE 27, TEN 3 — Cleveland Browns margin +24 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus two and a half against the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
LV 18, PIT 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Saints +8 won
- Jets +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
“so Saints and Jets”
Parlay cashes: Saints +8 +8 — won; Jets +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“let's go to Seattle and take the Carolina Panthers on the Moneyline.”
SEA 37, CAR 27 — Carolina Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“I am going with the New York football Jets plus 9.5 against the Dallas Cowboys.”
DAL 30, NYJ 10 — New York Jets margin -20 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills minus nine and a half, we'll call it.”
BUF 38, LV 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +28 vs line -9.5; covers.
“we're going to lay three and a half with the Denver Broncos at home [30:05] against the Washington Commanders.”
DEN 33, WSH 35 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Jets-Dallas under 39 and a half.”
DAL 30, NYJ 10 — Combined 40; under 39.5 busts.
- Falcons +7.5 closed -3 · CLV +10.5 won
- Patriots +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 won
“So Stuck has the Falcons at 7.5, the Patriots at 8.5”
Parlay cashes: Falcons +7.5 +7.5 — won; Patriots +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“So let's go with the Texans.”
HOU 20, IND 31 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“If you're picking a side, I'm still going Lions, even at the four and a half. I don't think the Kelsey news is worth two points.”
KC 20, DET 21 — Detroit Lions margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus three at the New Orleans”
NO 16, TEN 15 — Tennessee Titans margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers plus one. As always, make”
CHI 20, GB 38 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line +1; covers.
“So that's where I'm going for my final pick of the week one Sunday six pack.”
IND 21, JAX 31 — Indianapolis Colts margin -10 vs line +5; busts.
“So give me the over 43.5 in Charm City.”
BAL 25, HOU 9 — Combined 34; over 43.5 busts.
- Jets +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
- Steelers +8.5 lost
“The teaser I put in the app involves the Monday night game.”
Parlay busts: Jets +8.5 +8.5 — won; Steelers +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
- Dolphins ML closed +138 · CLV -3¢ won
- Steelers ML closed +100 · CLV +15¢ lost
“Dolphins, Moneyline. I'll go for my Moneyline dog with good old reliable Pittsburgh Steelers,”
Parlay busts: Dolphins ML — won; Steelers ML — lost.
“But one that I do like SMU playing for the first time against Louisiana tech team that just looked awful and and doesn't have much as one that I would like.”
SMU 38, LT 14 — Combined 52; under 21 busts.
“So around even money to win the big 12, I would bet that.”
Texas (+100) to win the 2023 Big 12. Texas beat Oklahoma State 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship on Dec 2, 2023. Bet won.
“how about Alabama minus, you know, some close to 40? I'm trying to see if it comes down to 38 again, but if it's set 39, 39 and a half where it is now, that's where I will fire.”
ALA 56, MTSU 7 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +49 vs line -40; covers.
“packers 66 to 1 baby to win the super bowl um it's her first legal bet um i also joined her i”
The Green Bay Packers did not win Super Bowl LVIII — they were eliminated in the NFC Divisional round by the 49ers; Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl LVIII (NFL.com). (Packers 9–9, eliminated Divisional round)
“So it made just total sense for me, and I'm a little higher than the market on the Packers, to bet them plus 400 to win the division.”
The Detroit Lions won the NFC North in 2023 with a 12–5 record; the Packers finished second and made the playoffs as a wild card (NFL.com). (Lions 12–5 (NFC North champs); Packers 9–8)
“And you can find minus 160 to win the division.”
The San Francisco 49ers won the NFC West in 2023, claiming back-to-back division titles (NFL.com). (49ers 12–5, NFC West champs)
“And then in the NFC East I like Cowboys division You like Cowboys division”
The Dallas Cowboys won the NFC East in the 2023 NFL season with a 12-5 record, clinching the division in Week 18, per NFL.com. (12-5, NFC East champions)
“It might have been my first bet of the new season.”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South in 2023 with a 9-8 record — the Atlanta Falcons did not win the division, per ESPN and Buccaneers.com. (Falcons did not win NFC South)
“And that is the Patriots to finish last in the division, minus 120.”
Patriots finished 4-13 and last in the AFC East in 2023. (4th place AFC East, 4-13)
“We'll be betting Tennessee to win the division.”
Houston Texans won the AFC South in 2023 (10-7), not the Titans. (Texans 10-7, AFC South champions)
“So I can get plus 200 on the Colts finishing in last, which I love.”
Colts finished 9-8, 2nd in AFC South; the Titans (6-11) finished last in the division, not the Colts. (Indianapolis Colts 2023: 9-8, 2nd in AFC South (Titans last at 6-11))
“So, yeah, I'm going to take a shot on Lamar, MVP, improved receiver group,”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL MVP award (49 of 50 first-place votes), his second career MVP. (Lamar Jackson: 3,678 pass yds, 24 TD, 7 INT, 821 rush yds — AP MVP)
“But I like them to win the division.”
Browns finished 11-6 but 2nd in the AFC North; Baltimore Ravens (13-4) won the division. (Cleveland Browns 2023: 11-6, 2nd in AFC North)
“love them for the division”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the 2023 NFC South division title with a 9-8 record; the Atlanta Falcons did not win the division (NFL.com).
“Yeah, I played them already.”
The San Francisco 49ers won the 2023 NFC West division title with a 12-5 record; the Seattle Seahawks did not win the division (ESPN).
“Yeah, I like UConn here, too. I played them money line when this opened, and I think they're [15:28] going to advance.”
CONN 88, ARK 65 — UConn Huskies won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I like the owls here.”
TENN 55, FAU 62 — Florida Atlantic Owls margin +7 vs line +5.5; covers.
“But yeah, I like San Diego State here. I bet them plus seven and a half.”
ALA 64, SDSU 71 — San Diego State Aztecs margin +7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going to be on the over here. And if needed,”
Texas beat Xavier 83-71 (154 combined points), clearing the ~149.5 market total. (Texas 83, Xavier 71 (154 total pts))
“I did play some under first half, under 65.”
MD 67, WVU 65 — Combined 132; under 65 busts.
“i do like firman against virginia”
UVA 67, FUR 68 — Furman Paladins margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“And I did play Utah State. I like the matchup for them.”
MIZ 76, USU 65 — Missouri Tigers margin +11 vs line +1.5; covers.
“you can get a seven um it's down to six and a half now”
DUKE 74, ORU 51 — Oral Roberts Golden Eagles margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
“So for my first pick of the Super Bowl Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Kansas City Chiefs plus one and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“That's my favorite bet of the Super Bowl is the Chiefs' money line and catching the points.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“which brings me to my second pick of the Super Bowl Sunday 6. [9:20] I like the over. [9:21] Up to 50 and a half.”
PHI 35, KC 38 — Combined 73; over 50.5 covers.
“And that's just I'm going Jake Elliott under seven and a half kicker points.”
Jake Elliott scored 9 kicker points in Super Bowl LVII (2 field goals of 35 and 33 yards plus 3 extra points), exceeding the 7.5 line; source: ESPN box score. (2/2 FG (35, 33 yds), 3/3 PAT = 9 pts)
“i'm going to go with jalen hurts under 49 and a half rushing yards i think that this number is super inflated”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Jalen Hurts: 39 rushing_yards vs under 49.5; covers. (Jalen Hurts: 39 rushing_yards)
“So official pick hurts under. 49 and a half rushing yards and then side pick McCaffrey under 61 and a half.”
PHI 31, SF 7 — Christian McCaffrey: 84 rushing_yards vs under 61.5; busts. (Christian McCaffrey: 84 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to go with Joe Burrow over what 17 and a half rushing yards”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Joe Burrow: 30 rushing_yards vs over 17.5; covers. (Joe Burrow: 30 rushing_yards)
“I do like Mahomes over passing yards. It's not going to be one of my official picks. But I think I played a bunch of that's in the two seventies today”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Patrick Mahomes: 326 passing_yards vs over 270.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 326 passing_yards)
“I'm going to go with Samadji Piran over 14 and a half receiving yards So we going back to a get this quick because it means it going to end at 15”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Samaje Perine: 4 receiving_yards vs over 14.5; busts. (Samaje Perine: 4 receiving_yards)
“And then what's connected to that is Mixon under three and a half receptions, obviously correlated here.”
KC 23, CIN 20 — Joe Mixon: 3 receptions vs under 3.5; covers. (Joe Mixon: 3 receptions)
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills minus five and a half at home against Cincinnati Bengals.”
BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half at San Francisco 49.”
SF 19, DAL 12 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“i'm gonna go with travis etn over 17 and a half receiving yards”
KC 27, JAX 20 — Travis Etienne Jr.: 18 receiving_yards vs over 17.5; covers. (Travis Etienne Jr.: 18 receiving_yards)
- Cowboys ML closed +170 · CLV -16¢ lost
- Giants ML closed +300 · CLV -10¢ lost
“you put that together uh plus 154 for the boys and plus 294 the g-men and you get uh you win 890 on a hundred dollar bet so pretty juicy money line underdog parlay”
Parlay busts: Cowboys ML — lost; Giants ML — lost.
“I am going with the Baltimore Ravens plus eight and a half [6:47] at the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 24, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
- Giants +9 closed +3 · CLV +6 won
- Buccaneers +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 lost
“I'm going to tease the Giants up from three to nine.”
Parlay busts: Giants +9 +9 — won; Buccaneers +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
- Bills ML closed -1000 · CLV 0¢ won
- Chargers ML closed -137.5 · CLV +1¢ lost
“Take the Bills money line [25:06] and I'm going to pair the Bills with the [25:09] Chargers.”
Parlay busts: Bills ML — won; Chargers ML — lost.
“I love this as well I be joining you with a rare NFL prop”
Joe Mixon had 11 carries for 39 rushing yards and minimal receiving yards in the Bengals' 24-17 Wild Card win over the Ravens, well under the 85.5 combined yards line; source: CBS Sports. (11 car, 39 rush yds, combined well under 85.5)
“For my first pick of the Week 18 Sunday six I going with the Philadelphia Eagles minus 14 against the New York Football Giants”
PHI 22, NYG 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +6 vs line -14; busts.
“for my second pick of the week 18 Sunday six-pack correlated play here I played the Washington Commanders plus seven and a half”
WSH 26, DAL 6 — Washington Commanders margin +20 vs line +7.5; covers.
“going with the Los Angeles Rams plus six and a half at the Seattle Seahawks”
SEA 19, LAR 16 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Titans-Jaguars under. What's it sitting at our Fando right now? 39.5.”
Jaguars beat Titans 20-16; 36 combined points stayed under the 39.5 total. (Final: Jaguars 20, Titans 16 (36 total pts vs 39.5 O/U))
- Vikings -1.5 (teased from -7.5) won
- Browns +8.5 (teased from +2.5) lost
“let's pair the Vikings with the Browns. Seize them up from plus two and a half to plus eight and a half against the Steelers”
Parlay busts: Vikings -1.5 (teased from -7.5) -1.5 — won; Browns +8.5 (teased from +2.5) +8.5 — lost.
“I'm going to take the Tampa Bay Bucs first half. Plus, you can get them, let's see, at FanDuel. Plus 136.”
ATL 30, TB 17 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the New York Football Jets minus one and a half at the Seattle Seahawks.”
SEA 23, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts plus five and a half at the New York Giants.”
NYG 38, IND 10 — Indianapolis Colts margin -28 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos plus 12.5 against the Kansas City Chiefs.”
KC 27, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +12.5; covers.
“So I'm going to go with the Rams chargers under 41.”
LAC 31, LAR 10 — Combined 41; under 41 pushes.
“Yeah, let's go Browns against Wentz. [56:00] We'll tease them up over a touchdown.”
WSH 10, CLE 24 — Cleveland Browns margin +14 vs line +7.5; covers.
“And then I'm going to tease the Chargers down. [56:25] Not going through the seven here, but I make the line over seven.”
LAC 31, LAR 10 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +21 vs line -0.5; covers.
“So give me the Cardinals”
ATL 20, ARI 19 — Arizona Cardinals lost; moneyline busts.
“I took the money line, as I mentioned earlier, [1:09:31] with Dallas on Thursday night.”
TEN 13, DAL 27 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the New England Patriots plus three and a half against the Cincinnati Bengals, who seemingly cover every week.”
NE 18, CIN 22 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I going with the Washington Commanders plus seven at the 49ers”
SF 37, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys minus four and a half at home against the Philadelphia Eagles.”
DAL 40, PHI 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin +6 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I going to go with the Ravens Falcons under 35 This number come down a little bit I wouldn go to 35”
BAL 17, ATL 9 — Combined 26; under 35 covers.
“Yeah, I'm going with the Saints as well, up to eight and a half.”
CLE 10, NO 17 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line +8.5; covers.
“And I'm going to go Buffalo down to two and a half here.”
CHI 13, BUF 35 — Buffalo Bills margin +22 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the States. [1:05:47] I think this is closer to a court.”
CLE 10, NO 17 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“i'm going with the jacksonville jaguars plus four and a half at home”
JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I going with the Tampa Bay Bucs plus three and a half against the Cincinnati Bengals”
TB 23, CIN 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -11 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going Carolina-Pittsburgh under 37 and a half.”
CAR 16, PIT 24 — Combined 40; under 37.5 busts.
- Bills -1.5 closed -7 · CLV +5.5 won
- Ravens +8.5 closed +3 · CLV +5.5 lost
“I'm going to go with the Bills down to minus one and a half and the Ravens up to plus eight and a half.”
Parlay busts: Bills -1.5 -1.5 — won; Ravens +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
“I'm going to go with the Raiders here.”
LV 30, NE 24 — Las Vegas Raiders won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to go with the New York football Giants plus seven at home [12:03] against the Philadelphia Eagles.”
NYG 22, PHI 48 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +7; busts.
“let's go with the detroit lions minus two and a half at home against the minnesota vikings”
DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos, plus 9.5.”
DEN 28, KC 34 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with Browns, Bengals under 47.5.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Combined 33; under 47.5 covers.
- Ravens +8.5 closed +2 · CLV +6.5 won
- Buccaneers +9.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +6 lost
“I'm going to do that with the Ravens.”
Parlay busts: Ravens +8.5 +8.5 — won; Buccaneers +9.5 +9.5 — lost.
“I will go – I'm going to go with Cleveland here at plus 205 for mine.”
CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the Patriots. [5:14] I've played the Patriots here. [5:15] I like them. [5:15] Anything four or above is fine.”
NE 10, BUF 24 — New England Patriots margin -14 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs minus two and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 27, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“tennessee titans plus five and a half at the philadelphia eagles”
PHI 35, TEN 10 — Tennessee Titans margin -25 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm going with the New York Football Jets [18:05] plus three [18:07] at the Minnesota Vikings.”
MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I going to go this one scary Raiders Chargers under 50 and a half”
LAR 23, SEA 27 — Combined 50; under 50.5 covers.
“Let's go tease Ravens down from 8.5 to 2.5.”
BAL 10, DEN 9 — Baltimore Ravens margin +1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Now that this line's moved to 2.5, Giants plus 8.5.”
NYG 20, WSH 20 — New York Giants margin +0 vs line +8.5; covers.
“Let's go to Houston Texans. [1:04:29] Moneyline against the Browns.”
HOU 14, CLE 27 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus four at home against the Baltimore Ravens”
JAX 28, BAL 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm going with the New York football Jets minus four and a half at home”
NYJ 31, CHI 10 — New York Jets margin +21 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals minus two and a half”
TEN 16, CIN 20 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I actually like the over here, which is going to be my favorite total.”
MIN 33, NE 26 — Combined 59; over 42.5 covers.
“I will go with the Atlanta Falcons plus 166 at the Washington Commanders.”
WSH 19, ATL 13 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“So, yeah, I played the pack early, would play up to a juice three.”
GB 17, TEN 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line -3; busts.
“i'm going with the [13:57] dallas cowboys minus one and a half at the minnesota vikings”
MIN 3, DAL 40 — Dallas Cowboys margin +37 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Chargers plus five and a half at Vandal.”
LAC 27, KC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I going with the Houston Texans plus three and a half at home against the Washington Commanders”
HOU 10, WSH 23 — Houston Texans margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.
“i'm gonna go with the bears falcons under 49 and a half”
ATL 27, CHI 24 — Combined 51; under 49.5 busts.
- Raiders +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
- Bills -1 closed -7.5 · CLV +6.5 won
“we gonna go to raiders up over eight”
Parlay cashes: Raiders +8.5 +8.5 — won; Bills -1 -1 — won.
“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers plus five.”
GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns plus three and a half.”
MIA 39, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin -22 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus nine and a half at the Kansas City Chiefs.”
KC 27, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Yeah, let's go with the Chargers 49ers under 45 and a half.”
LAR 17, ARI 27 — Combined 44; under 45.5 covers.
“I am going with the Washington Commanders plus three and a half at home with Jerome Boger.”
WSH 17, MIN 20 — Washington Commanders margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus seven and a half”
CIN 42, CAR 21 — Carolina Panthers margin -21 vs line +7.5; busts.
“them detroit plus three and a half at home against the green bay packers”
DET 15, GB 9 — Detroit Lions margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“For my favorite total, I'm going to go with the Titans Chiefs under 46.5.”
KC 20, TEN 17 — Combined 37; under 46.5 covers.
“I'm going to go with the Bears.”
CHI 32, MIA 35 — Chicago Bears lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Arizona Cardinals plus three and a half at the Minnesota Vikings.”
MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Detroit Lions, plus 3.5 at home against the Miami Dolphins.”
DET 27, MIA 31 — Detroit Lions margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers plus 11 against the Buffalo Bills”
BUF 27, GB 17 — Green Bay Packers margin -10 vs line +11; covers.
“Give me the Saints here. Jameis Winston, I think, has a good shot to play.”
NO 24, LV 0 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“for my first pick of the week seven sunday six pack presented by pandle i'm going with the denver broncos minus one at home over the new york football jets”
DEN 9, NYJ 16 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line -1; busts.
“For my second pick in the third overall of the week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals minus six at home against the red hot covering machines, the Atlanta Falcons.”
CIN 35, ATL 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line -6; covers.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars minus three at home against the New York Giants.”
JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Bucs Panthers under 40 and a half.”
CAR 21, TB 3 — Combined 24; under 40.5 covers.
“I'm just going to go all in, and we're going to go with the 49ers here. We're going to bet on the Chiefs to go back-to-back losses.”
SF 23, KC 44 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
“For my first pick of the Sunday six pack presented by FanDuel, I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus eight and a half.”
PIT 20, TB 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +8.5; covers.
“for my second pick in the fourth overall of the week six sunday six pack i'm going with the new orleans saints home dogs plus one and a half against the cincinnati bangles”
NO 26, CIN 30 — New Orleans Saints margin -4 vs line +1.5; busts.
“For my third pick and the fifth overall of the week six, Sunday six pack presented by FanDuel, I'm going with the Philadelphia Eagles minus six at home against the Dallas Cowboys.”
PHI 26, DAL 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +9 vs line -6; covers.
“going with Minnesota, Miami under 45 and a half.”
MIA 16, MIN 24 — Combined 40; under 45.5 covers.
“I'm going right back to your Seahawks for, yeah, I like that they're the variance in nature of them. And also the Cardinals continue to come out slow.”
SEA 19, ARI 9 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens minus three at home against the Cincinnati Bengals on primetime Sunday night.”
BAL 19, CIN 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“I gotta take the Steelers plus 14 at Buffalo”
BUF 38, PIT 3 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -35 vs line +14; busts.
“i am obviously going with the Washington Commanders plus two and a half just like you going back to the well”
WSH 17, TEN 21 — Washington Commanders margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“So I'm going to go this Patriots lines totals come up because of Mac Jones in there.”
NE 29, DET 0 — Combined 29; under 45.5 covers.
- Buccaneers -2.5 won
- Browns +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 won
“Browns up really the low total here at home from plus two and a half to plus eight and a half plus”
Parlay cashes: Buccaneers -2.5 -2.5 — won; Browns +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“at home on the money line against the dolphins i don't really love many dogs this week but this”
NYJ 40, MIA 17 — New York Jets won; moneyline covers.
“I really love the Bengals here. [5:12] I bet them earlier in the week. [5:14] I still think that there's some value here at Fandle.”
CIN 27, MIA 15 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +12 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens plus three at home against the Buffalo Bills.”
BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts minus three and a half at home against the Tennessee Titans.”
IND 17, TEN 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I am going with the New England Patriots plus nine and a half [38:10] at the Green Bay Packers.”
GB 27, NE 24 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Browns Falcons over 48 and a half.”
ATL 23, CLE 20 — Combined 43; over 48.5 busts.
- Buccaneers +7.5 lost
- Saints +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
“I'm going to go Brady, teasing Brady up over seven.”
Parlay busts: Buccaneers +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Saints +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“I'm going to go to Houston Texans plus 194 against the Chargers.”
HOU 24, LAC 34 — Houston Texans lost; moneyline busts.
“yeah I'm just gonna go with the Packers looks like Mac Jones”
GB 27, NE 24 — Green Bay Packers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus [21:58] one and a half at the Seattle Seahawks.”
SEA 23, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin +4 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going with the [32:01] Minnesota Vikings minus five and a half [32:04] at home against the Detroit Lions.”
MIN 28, DET 24 — Minnesota Vikings margin +4 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus two and a half at the [43:32] Tennessee Titans.”
TEN 24, LV 22 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -2 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Packers +7.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +6 won
- Broncos +7.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +6 won
“let's go with the Packers and the Broncos teased up.”
Parlay cashes: Packers +7.5 +7.5 — won; Broncos +7.5 +7.5 — won.
“I'm going to go with the Dolphins here. [1:00:38] I think that there's a lot of variance in this game due to some of the injuries on the [1:00:43] Bills' side on defense.”
MIA 21, BUF 19 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to go Bengals. [1:12:48] So at least not hopefully both one of us moves on to week four.”
NYJ 12, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with the, you guessed it, New England Patriots minus two and a half at the Pittsburgh Steelers”
PIT 14, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus 10.5”
LAR 31, ATL 27 — Atlanta Falcons margin -4 vs line +10.5; covers.
“i'm going with the new orleans saints plus two and a half at home against the tampa bay bucks”
NO 10, TB 20 — New Orleans Saints margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Cleveland Browns”
CLE 30, NYJ 31 — Combined 61; under 40 busts.
- Panthers +7.5 won
- Saints +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 lost
“Panthers and Saints, just tease them up over a touchdown.”
Parlay busts: Panthers +7.5 +7.5 — won; Saints +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
- Rams teased (+2.5 base)
- Vikings +1.5 base teased
“But with this line moving to two and a half, what I did do is I grabbed the Rams in a teaser.”
Bills beat Rams 31-10 (Rams lost outright by 21), busting the teaser regardless of the Vikings covering 23-7 over Green Bay. (Bills 31, Rams 10; Vikings 23, Packers 7)
“the second overall the sunday six back i going with the houston texans plus seven and a half against the indianapolis colts”
HOU 20, IND 20 — Houston Texans margin +0 vs line +7.5; covers.
“going with the New York football Giants plus five and a half at the [26:19] Tennessee Titans.”
TEN 20, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +1 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus six and a half at the Bengals.”
CIN 20, PIT 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I actually like the over here. [40:25] Over 46.”
MIA 20, NE 7 — Combined 27; over 46 busts.
- Browns +7.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +6 won
- Cowboys +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 lost
“i'm gonna pair them with the cowboys plus eight and a half this line has [51:30] gone up to two and a half”
Parlay busts: Browns +7.5 +7.5 — won; Cowboys +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
“Road Daniel Jones, baby. Give me the G-men outright.”
TEN 20, NYG 21 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going I'm rolling with the Chiefs in week one”
ARI 21, KC 44 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah. I have the under, under 51 and a half.”
PITT 38, WVU 31 — Combined 69; under 51.5 busts.
“So, yeah, I jumped on Oregon.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Oregon Ducks margin -46 vs line +17.5; busts.
“Stuck what do you think of that Yeah Nevada awful Last week they beat New Mexico State It was one of the worst programs in the country”
NEV 38, TXST 14 — Texas State Bobcats margin -24 vs line +6.5; busts.
“i really like them plus three and a half”
MISS 28, TROY 10 — Ole Miss Rebels margin +18 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I did play the Jets under. Liked it better at six. But I also played some five and a half plus money.”
Jets finished 7-10, over the 5.5 win total. (Jets 7-10)
“Yeah, I like this under. And I know we're going against a lot of history here, but I played under seven and a half.”
Steelers finished 9-8, over the 7.5 win total. (Steelers 9-8)
“give me the Titans under, and I might take a flyer on the Jags and lower on the Titans in the market.”
Titans finished 7-10, under the 9 win total. (Titans 7-10)
“I like the Chargers to win the division right around plus 250. Make sure you shop around.”
Chargers finished 10-7, 2nd in AFC West; Chiefs (14-3) won the division. (Chargers 10-7, 2nd place AFC West)
“I recently played over six and a half minus one thirty five, which I still like.”
The New York Giants finished the 2022 regular season 9-7-1, exceeding the 6.5 win total. (Giants finished 9-7-1 (2022 regular season))
“And then in the NFC North, I like investing in the Vikings in some form or fashion, whether it's close to three to one to win the division or even money to make the playoffs.”
The Minnesota Vikings won the NFC North in 2022, finishing 13-4 and clinching their first division title since 2017. (Vikings won NFC North at 13-4)
“I'm planning on the win the division.”
Saints finished 7-10, 3rd in NFC South; Panthers won the division. (Saints 7-10, 3rd place NFC South)
“I think I'm going to be on this under, especially because it's not juiced up or anything like that. I think Cliff finally goes under the total.”
Cardinals finished 4-13, well under the 8.5 win total. (Cardinals 4-13)
“Felix is my only future to win this tournament You know, sometimes the draws work for you. Sometimes they don't. You can wait before. The price you got came down. I think I got 18 to 1. Logged it on the Action Network app.”
Felix Auger-Aliassime was upset in the second round of Wimbledon 2022 by Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3, 6-7, 3-6, 4-6), so he did not win the title. (Lost R2 to Jan-Lennard Struff)
“My pick is Bencic to win it. She's my only future to win it.”
Belinda Bencic lost in the first round of Wimbledon 2022 to Qiang Wang (6-4, 5-7, 6-2), so she did not win the title. (Lost R1 to Qiang Wang)
“but Giants 10 to 1 to win the NFC East. I like that.”
The Philadelphia Eagles won the 2022 NFC East with a 14-3 record. The New York Giants finished 9-7-1 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card but did not win the division. Source: Fox Sports NFC East Champions list. (Eagles 14-3 won NFC East; Giants 9-7-1 Wild Card)
“So Steelers under, Jets under, and Ravens future.”
Baltimore Ravens finished 10-7 in the 2022 NFL season and lost the AFC Wild Card game to the Cincinnati Bengals 24-17, eliminated in the first round; did not reach the Super Bowl. Source: Pro-Football-Reference (pro-football-reference.com/teams/rav/2022.htm). (Ravens 10-7, lost Wild Card vs Bengals 17-24)
“[42:51] but I'll throw someone to Titsipas to win it.”
Rafael Nadal won the 2022 French Open men's singles title; Tsitsipas did not win. (Nadal d. Ruud 6-3, 6-3, 6-0 (final))
“That is just Vikings to win that NFC North, you know, regardless how you feel about the win total.”
The Minnesota Vikings won the NFC North division in the 2022 NFL season with a 13-4 record. Source: https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/nfc-north-division-standings-2022 (Vikings 13-4, NFC North champs)
“You find them 25-1, hit it. [23:06] I think that they should get into the playoffs.”
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII on February 12, 2023, defeating the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35. The Baltimore Ravens did not reach the Super Bowl. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LVII (Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII 38-35 vs Eagles)
“So I'll be on Nova here.”
KU 81, VILL 65 — Villanova Wildcats margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.
“So I really like the under and Chad, you know, you said unders are scary.”
Duke beat Texas Tech 78-73 (151 combined points), sailing over the game's ~137.5 total; the under lost. (Duke 78, Texas Tech 73 — total 151 vs 137.5 line)
“I like Providence. I'm on Providence here. I think it's too many points.”
KU 66, PROV 61 — Providence Friars margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll be on the Canes money line here.”
MIA 70, ISU 56 — Miami Hurricanes won; moneyline covers.
“I personally have a flyer on the Hokies, the Virginia Tech, who probably need to win this or get to the final to get into the dance.”
Virginia Tech won the 2022 ACC Tournament, their first ACC title, so the futures bet cashed.
“but yeah they're my pick to win it they're playing as well as anybody”
Iowa won the 2022 Big Ten Tournament, so the futures bet cashed.
“if you can find like 25 30 to 1 on TCU just three games in three days I think that they can”
Kansas won the 2022 Big 12 Tournament; TCU did not, so the bet lost.
“But I think the values of Providence are five to one in that top half of the bracket”
Villanova won the 2022 Big East Tournament; Providence did not, so the bet lost.
“I took some of that personally.”
Boise State won the 2022 Mountain West Tournament; Nevada did not, so the longshot lost.
“if you want to have some fun, UNLV, I'd sprinkle a little on UNLV and a little on Nevada.”
Boise State won the 2022 Mountain West Tournament; UNLV did not, so the bet lost.
“i think the bet here is bonnie's five six you can find five to one or better that's”
Richmond won the 2022 Atlantic 10 Tournament; St. Bonaventure did not, so the bet lost.
“I'm going with Joe Mixon over 25 and a half reception yards.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Joe Mixon: 1 receiving_yards vs over 25.5; busts. (Joe Mixon: 1 receiving_yards)
“I'm going to go with Joe Burrow over a half of an interception.”
Joe Burrow threw 0 interceptions in Super Bowl LVI, posting a 100.9 passer rating with 263 yards and 1 TD despite being sacked 7 times, per StatMuse and Bleacher Report. (Burrow: 0 INTs)
“I said, give me the points if I can get over three, but I might get a little greedy here [39:23] and wait and see if I can get a better number live”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“And I'm going with the San Francisco 49ers plus three and a half at MGM.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm gonna go with Tyler Boyd over 38 and a half reception yards so you know what to do bet the”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Tyler Boyd: 19 receiving_yards vs under 38.5; covers. (Tyler Boyd: 19 receiving_yards)
“i'm going with jimmy g under two and a half rushing yards”
LAR 20, SF 17 — Jimmy Garoppolo: 4 rushing_yards vs under 2.5; busts. (Jimmy Garoppolo: 4 rushing_yards)
“And I'm going with the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs under 54 and a half at MGM.”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Combined 78; under 54.5 busts.
“i'm going with jeff swain jeff swain [33:17] Giaf Swain over 11 and a half receiving yards.”
Geoff Swaim was targeted zero times and had 0 receiving yards in the Titans' 19-16 divisional-round loss to the Bengals, well under 11.5. (0 targets, 0 rec, 0 yds)
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Rams plus three at BetMGM at Tampa Bay.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
- Bills teased
- Rams teased over a touchdown
“I also tease them up with the bills over a touchdown.”
Both teased legs covered: Bills lost 42-36 in OT to the Chiefs (covering a teased number well beyond a touchdown) and Rams beat the Buccaneers 30-27 outright (covering their teased underdog number easily), so the teaser won. (KC 42-36 BUF (OT); LAR 30-27 TB)
“I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders plus five and a half at MGM against the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 26, LV 19 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I am going with the San Francisco Dallas under 51 at BetMGM and I actually disagree that this”
DAL 17, SF 23 — Combined 40; under 51 covers.
“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Bucs Philadelphia Eagles first half under 23 and a”
TB 31, PHI 15 — Combined 46; under 23.5 busts.
“I'll take Josh Allen here.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +30 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I going to go Kittle over 50 and a half receiving yards I also don mind a Gronk look either”
DAL 17, SF 23 — George Kittle: 18 receiving_yards vs over 50.5; busts. (George Kittle: 18 receiving_yards)
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus 15.5 at BetMGM.”
JAX 26, IND 11 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +15 vs line +15.5; covers.
“I am going with the Atlanta Falcons plus four and a half at bed MGM against [26:39] the New Orleans saints.”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going with Los Angeles Chargers minus three at MGM against the Raiders in Las Vegas.”
LV 35, LAC 32 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“Let's go Cleveland, Cincinnati, under 38 at BetMGM.”
CLE 21, CIN 16 — Combined 37; under 38 covers.
- Cowboys teased to +1 won
- Patriots teased to -0.5 lost
“first we're going to tease dallas down to one [53:29] with new england down to minus a half”
Parlay busts: Cowboys teased to +1 +1 — won; Patriots teased to -0.5 -0.5 — lost.
“I'm going with the Washington football team plus three and a half against the Philadelphia Eagles at Bet MGM.”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with my Baltimore Ravens plus 3.5 at BetMGM”
BAL 19, LAR 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“of the week 17 sunday six pack i'm going with the tennessee titans minus three and a half at home”
TEN 34, MIA 3 — Tennessee Titans margin +31 vs line -3.5; covers.
“might be 44 and a half on betmg it doesn't matter either way i think it's 44 and a half but yeah”
IND 20, LV 23 — Combined 43; under 44.5 covers.
- New Orleans Saints -1 (teased from -7) won
- Seattle Seahawks -1 (teased from -7) won
“Saints, minus one, teasing them down for minus seven.”
Parlay cashes: New Orleans Saints -1 (teased from -7) -1 — won; Seattle Seahawks -1 (teased from -7) -1 — won.
“my first pick and the second overall pick of the week 16 six pack i'm going with the arizona cardinals”
ARI 16, IND 22 — Arizona Cardinals margin -6 vs line -1; busts.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus 10 see if you can get a plus 10 and a half plus 11 out”
CAR 6, TB 32 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +10; busts.
“I'm going to go with Chiefs Steelers under 44 and a half at FedMGM”
KC 36, PIT 10 — Combined 46; under 44.5 busts.
- Broncos +7.5 won
- Falcons pk closed -7 · CLV +7 won
“I going to go with the plus one and a half right now the Broncos at MGM. I'm going to go getting the Broncos up over seven. I talked about this Raiders team. They scored over 17 points once in the past seven games. I think this will be a lower scoring game. And I'm going to tease the Falcons down from six to a pick.”
Parlay cashes: Broncos +7.5 +7.5 — won; Falcons pk 0 — won.
“I'm going to go with the Bills. I like the Bills as a teaser piece, and if it got to three, I would play them.”
NE 21, BUF 33 — Buffalo Bills won; moneyline covers.
“I am going with the Cleveland Browns plus seven and a half at BetMGM.”
GB 24, CLE 22 — Cleveland Browns margin -2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“six-pack I am going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus one at BetMGM and I should”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +6 vs line +1; covers.
“for my third pick and the fifth overall of the weekend six pack i'm going with the philadelphia eagles minus like 11 and a half at that mgm right now”
PHI 27, WSH 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +10 vs line -11.5; busts.
“with the indianapolis colts minus two and a half against new england patriots the last time i got”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“total of the week i'm going with the saint bucks under 46 and a half at bet mgm i will write this”
TB 0, NO 9 — Combined 9; under 46.5 covers.
- Steelers +8
- Eagles -0.5 closed -10 · CLV +9.5
“All right, let's go with an all Pennsylvania teaser and tease the Steelers up over a touchdown against the Titans.”
Both teased legs won outright: Steelers beat Titans 19-13 (covering +8 easily) and Eagles beat Washington 27-17 (covering -0.5 easily), so the teaser won. (PIT 19-13 TEN; PHI 27-17 WAS)
“Plus 200 at BetMGM on the Moneyline.”
BAL 30, GB 31 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“Steelers plus 105 at home against the Titans. I think you get a desperate Pittsburgh team that”
PIT 19, TEN 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“I actually bet Houston early in the week.”
JAX 16, HOU 30 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“And just to close out the Army Navy discussion, I do like Navy plus seven and a [8:35] half as well.”
NAVY 17, ARMY 13 — Navy Midshipmen margin +4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I played 14 on Cincinnati. I think that number is too high as well.”
ALA 27, CIN 6 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -21 vs line +14; busts.
“For my first pick of the Sunday six pack, I am going with the Cleveland Browns minus two and a half against the Baltimore Ravens.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Because I'm going with your Baltimore Ravens plus two and a half against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Baltimore Ravens margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I am holding my nose and betting against the Green Bay Packers with the”
GB 45, CHI 30 — Chicago Bears margin -15 vs line +12.5; busts.
“Start us off with the total Yeah I going to go You just mentioned David Cully This one is ugly but I going to go with the Texans Seahawks over 42 at the GM”
HOU 13, SEA 33 — Combined 46; over 42 covers.
- Rams +3.5 (teased from -2.5)
- Broncos -1.5 (teased from -7.5)
“Where are you going with your teaser for week 14 I going to tease the Rams up Over a touchdown I go right up for that game on Monday night I going to throw them in with the Broncos tease them their seven and a half point favorite”
Both teaser legs cashed: Rams beat Cardinals 30-23 outright (covers +3.5 teased from -2.5), and Broncos beat Lions 38-10 outright (covers -1.5 teased from -7.5). (Rams 30, Cardinals 23; Broncos 38, Lions 10)
“yeah definitely in the green uh i'm gonna go with the washington football team i was thinking about”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“for my first pick of the week 13 Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus four and a half at BetMGM”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos plus 10 for this contest.”
KC 22, DEN 9 — Denver Broncos margin -13 vs line +10; busts.
“For my third pick and the fifth overall in the week 13 Sunday six pack,”
DET 29, MIN 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin -2 vs line -7; busts.
“I going to go with a game we just talked about recently and that Seattle San Francisco over 45 a rare late season divisional over for me but there a lot of reasons why I like this over They win”
SEA 30, SF 23 — Combined 53; over 45 covers.
“So I think that there's some good value taking the chargers in Cincinnati”
CIN 22, LAC 41 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“I actually played the Lions plus three and a half.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I played the under in this game.”
DET 14, CHI 16 — Combined 30; under 41.5 covers.
“I played it at 51 because I, you know,”
DAL 33, LV 36 — Combined 69; under 51 busts.
“for both of these teams both of them are desperate for a win it's another one where i like the under”
Bills routed Saints 31-6 on Thanksgiving (Nov 25, 2021); combined 37 points went under the ~45 total. (Bills 31, Saints 6 (37 total points))
“for my first pick of the week 12 Sunday six pack, the first overall pick of the week 12 Sunday six pack, I am going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus four and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals at BetMGM.”
CIN 41, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -31 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I just bet it.”
GB 36, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line +1; busts.
“For my second pick and the third overall of the Week 12 Sunday six-pack,”
SF 34, MIN 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“show value here so i don't disagree with you for my third pick in the sixth overall of the week 12”
HOU 14, NYJ 21 — Houston Texans margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm going with the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans under 44.5 at MGM.”
NE 36, TEN 13 — Combined 49; under 44.5 busts.
- Vikings +9 closed +3.5 · CLV +5.5 won
- Broncos +8.5 closed +3 · CLV +5.5 won
“Teasing the Vikings up from 2.5 or from 3 to 9 and the Broncos up from 2.5 to 8.5 against the Chargers.”
Parlay cashes: Vikings +9 +9 — won; Broncos +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“I am going to go with the Jacksonville Jaguars”
JAX 14, ATL 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I took some plus seven, and it's just simply a buy low, sell high spot. I think the number is too high and you hope that you get good Matt Ryan here. I bet the Falcons, but small, nothing crazy here.”
ATL 0, NE 25 — Atlanta Falcons margin -25 vs line +7; busts.
“All right. I'll start things off with my first pick of the Sunday six pack. I'm going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs minus two and a half at home against the Dallas Cowboys.”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“For my second pick in the third overall, the Sunday six-pack, I am going with the Minnesota Vikings plus two and a half at BetMGM. They are hosting the Packers in the 120th border battle”
MIN 34, GB 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“For my third pick and the fifth overall of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Hold Your Nose, Houston Texans plus 10.5 against the Tennessee Titans.”
TEN 13, HOU 22 — Houston Texans margin +9 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Colts and Bills under 50 at MGM.”
BUF 15, IND 41 — Combined 56; under 50 busts.
- Seahawks +8.5 lost
- Vikings +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 won
“we already talked about Minnesota and Seattle teasing both from two and a half up to eight and a half that's the ideal teaser”
Parlay busts: Seahawks +8.5 +8.5 — lost; Vikings +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“i'm going to go with the steelers classic rah rah spot tomlin has been great in these spots also as an underdog against teams with a winning record”
LAC 41, PIT 37 — Pittsburgh Steelers lost; moneyline busts.
“for my first pick and the second overall pick in the Sunday six I going with the Carolina Panthers plus 10 and a half against the Arizona Cardinals Another cliff fade here”
ARI 10, CAR 34 — Carolina Panthers margin +24 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I'm going with the New Orleans Saints plus three at BetMGM”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“For my third pick and the sixth and final pick of the Sunday six-pack. For week 10, I'm going with the Detroit Lions, plus nine against the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
PIT 16, DET 16 — Detroit Lions margin +0 vs line +9; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Browns and Patriots under 45 at Betham Gym.”
NE 45, CLE 7 — Combined 52; under 45 busts.
- Seahawks +9.5 closed +3 · CLV +6.5 lost
- Cowboys -2.5 closed -8 · CLV +5.5 won
“i already mentioned ravens and the raiders uh i mentioned browns and the eagles and then another one i played i played three teasers this week it are the seahawks which we already talked about”
Parlay busts: Seahawks +9.5 +9.5 — lost; Cowboys -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“Give me the Saints plus 125 on the money line.”
TEN 23, NO 21 — New Orleans Saints lost; moneyline busts.
“nine is the San Francisco 49ers minus one at that MGM I love this pick I love this pick I've been”
SF 17, ARI 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin -14 vs line -1; busts.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus three and a half at BetMGM at home against the New England Patriots.”
CAR 6, NE 24 — Carolina Panthers margin -18 vs line +3.5; busts.
“with cleveland clowns plus three excuse me cleveland browns plus three minus 120 at bet mgm”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
“baltimore ravens minnesota vikings over 49 and a half putting my undefeated streak on the line on my Ravens So pressure pressure on Look I think there a lot of advantages for both offenses here”
BAL 34, MIN 31 — Combined 65; over 49.5 covers.
- Browns +9 closed +2 · CLV +7 won
- Chiefs -1.5 closed -7 · CLV +5.5 won
“That's the Browns teasing them up.”
Parlay cashes: Browns +9 +9 — won; Chiefs -1.5 -1.5 — won.
“G-men at home”
NYG 23, LV 16 — New York Giants won; moneyline covers.
“i am going with the new england patriots plus five and a half at the la chargers”
LAC 24, NE 27 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I bet the Jets plus 10 and a half at BetMGM.”
NYJ 34, CIN 31 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +10.5; covers.
“for my first pick of the sunday six pack i'm going with the philadelphia eagles plus three at las vegas raiders at pet mgm”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
“I am going with the Washington football team plus nine and a half at BetMGM.”
GB 24, WSH 10 — Washington margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“i'm going with the kansas city chiefs minus five and a half at the tennessee titans at ben mgm”
TEN 27, KC 3 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -24 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going with the game we already talked about. That's the Carolina Panthers, New York Giants, under 43-and-a-half at MGM.”
NE 54, NYJ 13 — Combined 67; under 43.5 busts.
- Patriots -1 (teased from -7) won
- Dolphins +8.5 (teased from +2.5) won
“my favorite teaser on Sunday similar to last week let tease the Patriots down from seven to one I just don see any way where the Jets are going into Foxborough”
Parlay cashes: Patriots -1 (teased from -7) -1 — won; Dolphins +8.5 (teased from +2.5) +8.5 — won.
“I'm going with Philly. You picked them in the six pack. I probably would have taken them for one of my picks. So, you know, it makes it an easy call for me at plus 135.”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“For my first pick of the week six Sunday six pack, I am going with the Pittsburgh Steelers minus four and a half at bed MGM at home against the Seattle Seahawks.”
PIT 23, SEA 20 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“For my second pick and the fourth overall pick of the Sunday six-pack, we are going back to all reliable, Bill Belichick, who's always treated me well when I take the Patriots on this podcast. plus three and a half at bet MGM at home against the Cowboys.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“for my third pick and the sixth overall pick of the sunday six pack a lot of pressure here i'm going with the Baltimore, my Baltimore Ravens, minus three at BetMGM at home against the Chargers.”
BAL 34, LAC 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +28 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going with Bengals, Lions under 47 and a half at BetMGM, the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast.”
DET 11, CIN 34 — Combined 45; under 47.5 covers.
“we're going with the jags in london uh against the dolphins”
JAX 23, MIA 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Seahawks as a teaser piece for this weekend.”
SEA 17, LAR 26 — Seattle Seahawks margin -9 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Philadelphia Eagles plus three and a half at BetMGM at the Carolina Panthers.”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with a another underdog we're going with the san francisco 49ers plus five and a half at bet mgm at the arizona cardinals”
ARI 17, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bungles plus three at BetMGM at home against the Green Bay Packers.”
CIN 22, GB 25 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I will be on the over regardless.”
ATL 27, NYJ 20 — Combined 47; over 46 covers.
- Vikings -2.5 (teased from -8.5/-9) lost
- Browns +7.5 (teased from +1.5) won
“yeah i'm going with the vikings the line is rising so try and get it before it gets to nine and a half everywhere but vikings minus two and a half and the which we already talked about earlier just could get right spot here for minnesota and i'm going to go with the browns teasing them up over a touchdown”
Parlay busts: Vikings -2.5 (teased from -8.5/-9) -2.5 — lost; Browns +7.5 (teased from +1.5) +7.5 — won.
- Bills ML +120 closed +120 · CLV 0¢ won
- Eagles ML +160 closed +120 · CLV +40¢ won
“You parlay Bills plus 120 with Eagles plus 160 and you get a 4.7 to one payout.”
Parlay cashes: Bills ML +120 — won; Eagles ML +160 — won.
“I'm going with the new york football jets plus seven and a half at home against the tennessee tights”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus six and a half at bed. MGM at Green Bay in Lambeau”
GB 27, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.
“we're going with the giants plus seven and a half at the saints look i know the offensive line has injuries”
NO 21, NYG 27 — New York Giants margin +6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with the Green Bay-Pittsburgh first half under 23. I also like the game under, which I'll be playing under 46.”
GB 27, PIT 17 — Combined 44; under 46 covers.
“I'm going to go with the Green Bay-Pittsburgh first half under 23. I also like the game under, which I'll be playing under 46. But I prefer the first half under a little more”
GB 27, PIT 17 — Combined 44; under 23 busts.
“Well, last week we faded the Patriots, but this week we're going to the Patriots in a fascinating game. Moneyline against the Tampa Bay Bucs. Tom Brady's return to Foxborough.”
NE 17, TB 19 — New England Patriots lost; moneyline busts.
“I bet the under, under 44. I, you know, 43 is kind of a key number. I like it down to 43, which you should be able to get.”
HOU 9, CAR 24 — Combined 33; under 44 covers.
“I'm rolling with the Miami Dolphins plus four at BetMGM.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“so give me miami yeah uh we're on the same page with this game i bet miami plus four and the under 45 and a half i actually bet the under during our uh fantasy flex pod with sean yesterday because”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Combined 59; under 45.5 busts.
“All right, for my second pick and the third overall of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts plus five and a half at BetMGM at the Tennessee Titans.”
TEN 25, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -9 vs line +5.5; busts.
“for my fifth overall, the Sunday six pack, I am going with, sadly, the Jacksonville Jaguars plus seven and a half against the Arizona Cardinals.”
JAX 19, ARI 31 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Carolina Panthers and Sam Darnold plus three and a half.”
CAR 26, NO 7 — Carolina Panthers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
“But for my second pick of the Sunday six pack and the fourth overall I going with the team we just talked about the Indianapolis Colts plus four at home against the Los Angeles Rams”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm back in the Jags, sadly.”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -10 vs line +6; busts.
“So let's make it even a more painful week and go back to the well with a Raiders under after we lost under 51 in a game that was 17-7 with nine minutes to go.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Combined 43; under 47 covers.
“give me the Bengals plus 110. I think they beat the Chicago Bears in Chicago.”
CHI 20, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“let's start off the 2021 nfl betting season with a bet on jamis winston and the new Orleans Saints This is the one you been waiting for New Orleans Saints Plus four and a half.”
NO 38, GB 3 — New Orleans Saints margin +35 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm going with the new England Patriots, minus two and a half late minus one 20 here against the Miami dolphins, new England Patriots.”
NE 16, MIA 17 — New England Patriots margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm taking Arizona plus three at Tennessee. Let me clarify. I'm not taking Arizona plus three. I'm fading Tennessee minus three.”
TEN 13, ARI 38 — Arizona Cardinals margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the Chargers-Washington football team over 44.5.”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Combined 36; over 44.5 busts.
- Seahawks +8.5 (teased up 6) won
- Rams +1.5 (teased down 6 from -7.5) won
“i'm going from two and a half to eight and a half and it is a higher total it's making the seahawks win the game by two possessions which they're incapable of doing and i tease them with the rams down from seven and a half to one and a half”
Parlay cashes: Seahawks +8.5 (teased up 6) +8.5 — won; Rams +1.5 (teased down 6 from -7.5) +1.5 — won.
“I'm going with the Eagles I think that this defense is going to be improved significantly you The offense should have some success against a questionable Falcons defense. I think there's some value in taking the Eagles plus 140 on the money line.”
ATL 6, PHI 32 — Philadelphia Eagles won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, favorite under, I'm going with the Chicago Bears under seven and a half wins. This team is just a mess from its cap situation to the coaching.”
Chicago Bears finished 6-11 in the 2021 regular season, under the 7.5 win total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Chicago_Bears_season (6-11)
“I did take a shot on them to win the division at plus 550”
Dallas Cowboys won the 2021 NFC East with a 12-5 record. Philadelphia Eagles finished second at 9-8. Source: https://www.dallascowboys.com/news/cowboys-clinch-nfc-east-title-on-tiebreaker (Eagles 9-8, Cowboys won division)
“the 49ers to make the playoffs minus 200 i know it's chalky but this is a team that should be much better this year just from a pure injury luck perspective”
San Francisco 49ers qualified for the 2021-22 NFL playoffs as the NFC's 6th seed with a 10-7 record, defeating Dallas in the Wild Card and Green Bay in the Divisional Round before losing in the NFC Championship. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_San_Francisco_49ers_season (10-7, made playoffs as 6 seed)
“with them I found a 14 to one to win the Super Bowl I think anything 12 to one or over I think the Bills are going to be a player I think they going to the coaches that going to learn a lot from what they did in the playoffs”
Buffalo Bills lost to the Kansas City Chiefs 42-36 in OT in the 2021 AFC Divisional Round and did not win the Super Bowl or the AFC. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Buffalo_Bills_season (Bills 11-6, eliminated in Divisional Round)
“I think that carries over to this year. I agree with Kerner on the Dolphins under.”
Miami Dolphins finished 2021 regular season 9-8, which is under the 9.5-win line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Miami_Dolphins_season (9-8)
“And then, you know, the Las Vegas Raiders, I'm all over the under here, under seven and a half wins.”
Las Vegas Raiders finished 2021 regular season 10-7 and made the playoffs, far exceeding the 7.5-win under line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Las_Vegas_Raiders_season (10-7)
“my favorite over is the LA Chargers over nine and a half at even money. I think this head coaching change is going to send this organization in the right direction.”
Los Angeles Chargers finished 2021 regular season 9-8, not exceeding the 9.5-win over line. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Los_Angeles_Chargers_season (9-8)
“So, yeah, I threw 16-1 on Sam Howell to win the Heisman.”
Bryce Young of Alabama won the 2021 Heisman Trophy on December 11, 2021. Sam Howell did not win. (Heisman.com; CBS Sports) (Bryce Young won — 4,322 yds, 43 TD)
“my favorite win total in the ACC, I'm going Georgia Tech under five.”
Georgia Tech finished the 2021 regular season 3-9, well under the 5-win total. (Wikipedia: 2021 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets football team; Sports Reference) (3-9 (3 wins))
“Yeah, I still like BC over seven months.”
Boston College finished the 2021 regular season 6-6. Their bowl game (Military Bowl) was canceled December 26 due to COVID-19 issues, leaving the final record at 6 wins — under the 7-win total. (Boston Globe; ESPN) (6-6 regular season; bowl canceled)
“I played Iowa State, 40 to 1. Colin, you're going to be hating that. I can get through September. All I wanted to get through September to get to Rocktober with some hope.”
Iowa State finished 7-6 in the 2021 CFB season (4th in Big 12) and lost to Clemson in the Cheez-It Bowl. Iowa State did not win the national title. Georgia won the 2021 CFB national championship. (sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/iowa-state/2021.html)
“And then Georgia, 8-1. If you could find 8-1 or better. I think that there's many paths where they can get to the college football playoff.”
Georgia won the 2021 CFB national championship, defeating Alabama 33-18 in the College Football Playoff National Championship Game on January 10, 2022. (context: 2021 CFB champ = Georgia) (Georgia 33-18 Alabama, CFP National Championship Jan 10, 2022)
“i did make a bet if you go out there and search for TCU to make the Big 12 championship game. It's right now listed at eight to one. I bought it nine to one. I would buy it down to plus 450.”
TCU did not make the 2021 Big 12 Championship Game. The game was played between Baylor and Oklahoma State, with Baylor winning 21-16. TCU finished the regular season without qualifying for the title game. (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Big_12_Championship_Game)
“I was out in Vegas on Memorial weekend, the exact same weekend the college football conferences hit the board. I left my family, hit the hotel room at six o'clock in the morning and immediately went and found a book because Cincinnati was listed at minus 160 to win the AAC. That number has value up to minus 250.”
Cincinnati won the 2021 AAC Championship, defeating Houston 35-20 on December 4, 2021. The Bearcats improved to 13-0, their first undefeated regular season in school history. (gobearcats.com/news/2021/12/4/cincinnati-football-runs-past-houston-to-win-aac-championship-35-20) (Cincinnati 35-20 Houston, Dec 4 2021)
“At 14 to one, Western Kentucky”
Western Kentucky did not win Conference USA. UTSA defeated Western Kentucky 49-41 in the 2021 Conference USA Championship Game on December 3, 2021, to claim their first-ever CUSA title. (espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282156/western-ky-utsa) (UTSA 49-41 WKU, Dec 3 2021)
“So I played Nevada to win the Mountain West.”
Nevada did not win the Mountain West. The 2021 MW Championship was won by Utah State, who beat San Diego State 46-13 on December 4, 2021. Nevada finished 8-5 and did not reach the title game. (Wikipedia: 2021 Mountain West Conference Football Championship Game; Utah State USU Today) (Nevada 8-5; did not appear in MW title game)
“So I went Super Bowl future Buffalo, but I do lean team total over.”
Buffalo Bills did not win Super Bowl LVI; they were eliminated by the Kansas City Chiefs 42-36 in OT in the 2021 AFC Divisional Round. The Rams won the Super Bowl. (Wikipedia: 2021 AFC Divisional playoff game (Buffalo–Kansas City)) (Bills season ended in AFC Divisional Round)
“Denver over seven juice.”
Denver Broncos finished the 2021 regular season exactly 7-10. The stated line in the pick is 7 wins; with 7 actual wins the bet pushes. (Pro-Football-Reference.com: 2021 Denver Broncos season) (7-10)
“I'd go Lions under, and I would go Broncos over.”
Detroit Lions finished 3-13-1 in 2021, well under any standard preseason win-total line (~5 or 5.5). The under cashes easily. (Wikipedia: 2021 Detroit Lions season) (3-13-1)
“Panthers are my favorite under right now.”
Carolina Panthers finished 5-12 in 2021, well under any standard preseason win-total line (~7.5-8). The under cashes easily. (Wikipedia: 2021 Carolina Panthers season) (5-12)
“My pick is going to be, I mentioned it earlier, Cody Riley over nine and a half points.”
GONZ 93, UCLA 90 — Cody Riley: 14 points vs over 9.5; covers. (Cody Riley: 14 points)
“Brewers, Twins, Under is my favorite play.”
MIL 6, MIN 5 — Combined 11; under 8 busts.
“with a total of 125 but i like the under i like the team total under for oregon state too i think”
LUC 58, ORST 65 — Combined 123; under 125 covers.
“So I personally threw Baylor at a money line parlay with Alabama, which we'll get to later.”
BAY 62, VILL 51 — Baylor Bears won; moneyline covers.
“two rounds. I played Oral Roberts plus 11 and a half, but it's not a position I tend to keep”
ARK 72, ORU 70 — Oral Roberts Golden Eagles margin -2 vs line +11.5; covers.
“I played Florida State plus three. I make this closer to one. I would look under here.”
MICH 76, FSU 58 — Florida State Seminoles margin -18 vs line +3; busts.
“All right, then I'll finish up. I'll go with Oregon USC under 139.”
USC 82, ORE 68 — Combined 150; under 138.5 busts.
“So I took a piece of the Eagles plus 11.”
KU 93, EWU 84 — Eastern Washington Eagles margin -9 vs line +11; covers.
“I personally like this under, which I played on the Action Network app.”
MSM 52, TXSO 60 — Combined 112; under 133 covers.
“This is one of my favorite bets of the first round, Drake plus two.”
USC 72, DRKE 56 — Drake Bulldogs margin -16 vs line +2; busts.
- App State ML closed +265 · CLV -165¢
- Florida State ML closed +265 · CLV -165¢
“I threw him in a Moneyline Parlay with Florida State, who we'll get to later.”
Parlay failed: Appalachian State lost the First Four 54-53 to Norfolk State, even though Florida State beat UNC Greensboro 64-54 in the first round. (Norfolk State 54-53 App State (L); Florida State 64-54 UNCG (W))
“So I love the 16 and a half.”
OSU 72, ORU 75 — Oral Roberts Golden Eagles margin +3 vs line +16.5; covers.
“I played some under 132 and a half.”
TENN 56, ORST 70 — Combined 126; under 132.5 covers.
“I took some little money line when the rumors started to come out.”
LUC 71, GT 60 — Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets lost; moneyline busts.
“I played the under 126 and a half.”
CLEM 56, RUTG 60 — Combined 116; under 126.5 covers.
“I played some over.”
VILL 84, UNT 61 — Combined 145; over 143 covers.
“I played some Winthrop.”
Villanova beat Winthrop 73-63, a 10-point margin that erased the +6.5 for Winthrop backers. (Villanova 73, Winthrop 63)
“I'm going with Liberty.”
OKST 69, LIB 60 — Liberty Flames margin -9 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I bet stuck Right now it Loyola Chicago minus one and a half I bet everybody going to be on Loyola Chicago for that game And I starting to lean the other way”
LUC 71, GT 60 — Loyola Chicago Ramblers margin +11 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Rams for me and I hope they do win it so we can get this team in the tournament Randall thoughts on mountain West Yeah Imagine the Rams getting in this year with that team”
San Diego State won the 2021 Mountain West Tournament; Colorado State did not win. Tournament held March 10-13, 2021 at Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas. (Wikipedia — 2021 Mountain West Conference men's basketball tournament)
“I going to go with I going to go with Arkansas to win the SEC Look for a number at 3 or better I recommend just because you going to get”
Alabama won the 2021 SEC Tournament over LSU on March 14, 2021. Arkansas did not win. (Alabama Athletics — rolltide.com)
“I'll be on the Falcons.”
Ohio defeated Buffalo in the 2021 MAC Tournament final. Bowling Green did not win the tournament. (hustlebelt.com — 2021 MAC Men's Basketball Championship Tournament Final Recap)
“But the one I'll mention is Memphis plus 500.”
Houston won the 2021 AAC Tournament. Memphis did not win. (Wikipedia — 2021 American Athletic Conference Men's Basketball Tournament)
“If we can get seven, we are on it.”
UMass Lowell upset top-seeded UMBC 79-77 in the America East tournament semifinal, covering +7 outright. (Final: UMass Lowell 79, UMBC 77)
“I'm going Furman plus 160.”
Wofford (not Furman) won the 2021 Southern Conference Tournament, defeating Furman 92-85 in the championship game. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/wofford-rallies-to-beat-furman-92-85-to-win-sixth-southern-conference-tournament-championship/ (Wofford def. Furman 92-85 in final)
“I'm taking a shot on a wide open conference on UT Arlington, 25 to one ish. I wouldn't go below”
Appalachian State (not UT Arlington) won the 2021 Sun Belt Conference Men's Basketball Tournament, defeating Georgia State 80-73 in the championship game. Source: https://sunbeltsports.org/news/2021/3/8/app-state-wins-2021-sun-belt-mens-basketball-championship.aspx (App State def. Georgia State 80-73 in final)
“if they win this game, I have some Loyola Maryland 25 to 1 to win the Patriot League.”
Colgate (not Loyola Maryland) won the 2021 Patriot League Men's Basketball Tournament and received a No. 14 NCAA Tournament seed. Source: https://patriotleague.org/news/2021/3/14/colgate-receives-no-14-seed-to-play-no-3-arkansas-in-ncaa-mens-basketball-tournament-first-round.aspx (Colgate won Patriot League; received No. 14 NCAA seed)
“But I ultimately settled on Georgia State, minus one at South Alabama.”
Georgia State beat South Alabama 82-73, a 9-point margin, so Georgia State -1 covered. (Final: Georgia State 82, South Alabama 73)
“I have UNC circled here.”
North Carolina beat Florida State 78-70 as a home underdog (+2.5), covering outright. (Final: North Carolina 78, Florida State 70)
“But UConn 55 to one is the play”
UConn did not win the 2021 CBB National Championship. Baylor defeated Gonzaga 86-70 in the final. UConn did not reach the men's championship game. Source: 2021 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament Wikipedia; NCAA.com. (Champion: Baylor Bears)
“I'm going Utah State plus two at Boise.”
BOIS 81, USU 77 — Utah State Aggies margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“I'm going with a team that I think could potentially take down Baylor Gonzaga and I think his final four caliber that I think has value at this 20 to 1 threshold. So we are rolling with Illinois.”
Illinois did not win the 2021 NCAA Tournament. They were eliminated in the Round of 32 by No. 8 seed Loyola Chicago 71-58. Baylor won the national championship. Source: NCAA.com '37 numbers to ponder from No. 8 Loyola's takedown of No. 1 Illinois'; 2021 NCAA tournament Wikipedia. (Illinois lost R2 to Loyola Chicago 71-58)
“count me in on taking the Ramblers as favorites at Drake.”
DRKE 54, LUC 81 — Loyola Chicago Ramblers margin +27 vs line -3; covers.
“I think they should cover minus 10.5.”
Cal Baptist beat New Mexico State 85-75; NMSU lost outright, failing to cover -10.5. (Final: Cal Baptist 85, New Mexico State 75)
“right now I'm not sure what the number is going to be. It's probably going to have 134, 135. I'm going to grab that right away because however this game goes, I don't see Clemson find an offense against Syracuse's length, and I don't see Syracuse scoring against Clemson's defense, which has been exactly what they've relied on for the last three unders in a row.”
Clemson beat Syracuse 78-61 (139 combined points), well over the 134.5 total. (Final: Clemson 78, Syracuse 61 (139 total))
“I think they get up early. It's only going to be four because Mississippi's defense has played well, but not on the road. I'll take Auburn and give the points.”
Ole Miss beat Auburn 86-84 in overtime; Auburn lost outright, well short of covering -4. (Final: Ole Miss 86, Auburn 84 (OT))
“I'll go with Sammy Watkins' longest reception, over 17.5 yards.”
Sammy Watkins had only 1 reception for 13 yards in Super Bowl LV. His longest reception was 13 yards, under the 17.5 line. Source: cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/chiefs-sammy-watkins-just-one-catch-in-super-bowl-loss/ (Watkins 1 rec, 13 yds (longest 13))
“I also played some over 36.5 receiving yards.”
TB 31, KC 9 — Sammy Watkins: 13 receiving_yards vs over 36.5; busts. (Sammy Watkins: 13 receiving_yards)
“I played Scotty Miller under 20 and a half receiving yards.”
Scotty Miller finished Super Bowl LV with 0 receiving yards, well under the 20.5 line. (0 rec, 0 yds)
“I'm going with Ronald Jones over eight and a half rush attempts. It's minus 105 at BetMGM, official odds provider of the Action Network podcast.”
Ronald Jones had 12 rush attempts in Super Bowl LV, over the 8.5 line. Source: statmuse.com/nfl/ask/ronald-jones-career-stats-in-the-super-bowl (Ronald Jones 12 carries, 61 yards)
“I going to take a shot under 11 at MGM”
Super Bowl LV had 15 accepted penalties total (Chiefs 11, Buccaneers 4), well over the 11.5 total. Source: nflpenalties.com game page Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 02-07-2021; confirmed by Sports Illustrated. (15 total penalties (KC 11, TB 4))
“I found some 20 to one See if you can find a 25 30 to one”
Sammy Watkins did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LV. The first TD of the game was an 8-yard reception by Rob Gronkowski from Tom Brady in Q1. The Chiefs failed to score any touchdowns in the game (lost 9-31). Source: Super Bowl LV Wikipedia; Pro-Football-Reference box score. (Watkins: 0 TDs; first TD scorer was Gronkowski)
“And then my other one was I went with Mike Evans”
Mike Evans did not score the first TD in Super Bowl LV. First TD was Rob Gronkowski (8-yd reception, Q1). Evans did not score any TD in the game; Antonio Brown scored TB's third TD. Source: Super Bowl LV Wikipedia; CBS Sports recap. (Evans: 0 TDs; first TD scorer was Gronkowski)
“i am taking for my weekend six-pack pick i'm taking a risk with st louis the billies who's our podcast team uh one and a half point underdogs at richmond”
St. Louis vs Richmond was canceled and never played, so the spread could not settle. (Game canceled)
“I'm going to roll with the home dog here.”
Georgia Tech beat No. 16 Florida State 76-65 on Jan 30, 2021, winning outright as the home underdog picked here. (Georgia Tech 76, Florida State 65)
“I'm going to start with the first pick of the conference championship Sunday six-pack going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus three and a half at the Green Bay Packers at BetMGM, the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast.”
GB 26, TB 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +5 vs line +3.5; covers.
“For the second pick of the conference championship Sunday six-pack, I'm going with Bucks Packers over 51.5 at BetMGM, the official odds provider of the podcast.”
GB 26, TB 31 — Combined 57; over 51.5 covers.
“And for the third and final pick of the conference championship six pack, or should I say three pack going with the Buffalo Bills plus three against Kansas City.”
KC 38, BUF 24 — Buffalo Bills margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm with Jim as my six-pack pick”
Green Bay beat Purdue Fort Wayne 77-59 on Jan 22, 2021, winning outright as a +2 underdog. (Green Bay 77, Purdue Fort Wayne 59)
“I have the under 51 and a half here at bed MGM and I make this game one and a half.”
NO 20, TB 30 — Combined 50; under 51.5 covers.
“my second overall pick is the Ravens, plus three, minus 120. I'd go to minus 125.”
BUF 17, BAL 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“I would play the Rams at plus 7, minus 115 or better, if you can get that. I make this like five-ish.”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Los Angeles Rams margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
“For my third pick, I'm going with the under 45.5.”
GB 32, LAR 18 — Combined 50; under 45.5 busts.
“I can't believe I'm doing this, but I played some Colorado. The best number I could find out there was like 125 to one and some hundred to one.”
The 2021 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament champion was the Baylor Bears, who defeated Gonzaga 86-70 in the title game on April 5, 2021. Colorado did not win the national championship. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NCAA_Division_I_men%27s_basketball_championship_game (2021 NCAA champion: Baylor)
“The second is one I played preseason. You could still find 100 to one out there on St. Louis, my billies.”
The 2021 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament champion was the Baylor Bears, who defeated Gonzaga 86-70. St. Louis (Billikens) did not win the national championship. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NCAA_Division_I_men%27s_basketball_championship_game (2021 NCAA champion: Baylor)
“My pick, so the fourth pick of the weekend six-pack, is actually Charlotte plus one and a half.”
UAB routed Charlotte 61-37, so Charlotte +1.5 lost by a wide margin. (Final: UAB 61, Charlotte 37)
“I make the total 79 So I played some over 74 and a half I think that is going to be Ohio State is going to have to keep up I think they can”
ALA 52, OSU 24 — Combined 76; over 74.5 covers.
“under 42.5 at MGM.”
SEA 20, LAR 30 — Combined 50; under 42.5 busts.
“for my fourth pick of the wild card weekend six pack i am going with the washington football team”
WSH 23, TB 31 — Washington margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.
“Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans, under 54 and a half.”
TEN 13, BAL 20 — Combined 33; under 54.5 covers.
“My number one pick this week is going to be the Houston Texans. plus seven and a half at bed MGM at home against the Tennessee Titans who do need to win.”
HOU 38, TEN 41 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I going with New York football giants plus two at MGM.”
NYG 23, DAL 19 — New York Giants margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Rams, plus three at BetMGM.”
LAR 18, ARI 7 — Los Angeles Rams margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“Washington football team, Philadelphia Eagles, over 43.5 at MGM.”
PHI 14, WSH 20 — Combined 34; over 43.5 busts.
- Giants +8 (teased from +2) won
- Broncos +8.5 (teased from +2.5) won
“i'm gonna tease the giants up they're plus two plus two and a half now uh up to eight eight and a half with the denver broncos up to eight eight and a half”
Parlay cashes: Giants +8 (teased from +2) +8 — won; Broncos +8.5 (teased from +2.5) +8.5 — won.
“I took the plus seven with Cincinnati.”
CIN 21, UGA 24 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“Under is the play. Absolutely taking under in this game.”
ALA 31, ND 14 — Combined 45; under 65.5 covers.
“I grabbed seven and the hook right away. Big play for me.”
CLEM 28, OSU 49 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +21 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I think all signs point to Oklahoma as the player. I took the three.”
OU 55, FLA 20 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +35 vs line -3; covers.
“I just took some Colorado. Lots up to 10.”
COLO 23, TEX 55 — Colorado Buffaloes margin -32 vs line +10; busts.
“I took Army plus seven and a half.”
ARMY 21, WVU 24 — Army Black Knights margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I will be playing them plus 10.”
SJSU 13, BALL 34 — Ball State Cardinals margin +21 vs line +10; covers.
“The reason why I like the under in this game is because of this key stat.”
ALA 31, ND 14 — Combined 45; under 65.5 covers.
“The Pittsburgh Steelers at BetMGM right now, two-point underdogs. Pittsburgh plus two at home against Indianapolis.”
PIT 28, IND 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +4 vs line +2; covers.
“Give me the Raiders here plus three at home.”
LV 25, MIA 26 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm going with the this and this is a lot on a gut this is just on a gut the houston texans minus eight and a half at bet mgm against the bangles”
HOU 31, CIN 37 — Houston Texans margin -6 vs line -8.5; busts.
“but one that I like that I'll throw out here at bed, and the Browns jets over 46 and a half.”
NYJ 23, CLE 16 — Combined 39; over 46.5 busts.
- Texans -2.5 (teased from -8.5) lost
- Rams +7.5 (teased from +1.5) lost
“with the Rams teasing them up to seven and a half and the Texans down to a two-point favorite and”
Parlay busts: Texans -2.5 (teased from -8.5) -2.5 — lost; Rams +7.5 (teased from +1.5) +7.5 — lost.
“going with the Pittsburgh Steelers here again”
PIT 28, IND 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“anything over 10. These opt-outs are big for Houston. I'm just not sure how much Houston will”
Hawaii upset Houston 28-14 in the New Mexico Bowl on Dec. 24, 2020, winning outright and covering +10 comfortably. (Hawaii 28, Houston 14)
“I threw Buffalo and a couple money line parlays.”
BUFF 17, MRSH 10 — Buffalo Bulls won; moneyline covers.
“I make the number slightly under two touchdowns.”
UTSA 24, UL 31 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
“I'm going to go – I'm going to say the Georgia State,”
Georgia State led Western Kentucky 27-7 at halftime of the LendingTree Bowl (34 combined first-half points), well over 25.75. (1H score: GSU 27, WKU 7 (34 total); final GSU 39, WKU 21)
“I think at seven and a half, you've got to buy Liberty.”
CCU 34, LIB 37 — Liberty Flames margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So there's a lot to dig into here, but I can tell you under seven,”
GASO 38, LT 3 — Georgia Southern Eagles margin +35 vs line -6.5; covers.
“team this year so i'm gonna be on georgia southern in some fashion i played some under 52 i might buy”
GASO 38, LT 3 — Combined 41; under 52 covers.
“But the way to play this, in my opinion, is to go Bengals team total under,”
The Cincinnati Bengals scored 27 points (17-0 at halftime, 10 more in 2nd half) in their 27-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers on December 21, 2020, over the team total of 13.5. (ESPN; pro-football-reference.com) (Bengals 27, Steelers 17)
“as soon as I got a chance to get 14 and I would buy it to 14, I did.”
BUFF 28, BALL 38 — Ball State Cardinals margin +10 vs line +14; covers.
“um and then you know so i played it at 62 i played it at 62 and a half and 63 i like it up to 64”
USC 24, ORE 31 — Combined 55; over 62.5 busts.
“iowa state if it's a six and a half i'll buy the hook to get to seven just to ensure it i think”
ISU 21, OU 27 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“I like the first half under.”
CIN 27, TLSA 24 — Combined 51; under 23 busts.
“I said, all right, here's what happened.”
FLA 46, ALA 52 — Florida Gators margin -6 vs line +17.5; covers.
“For my first pick of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the New England Patriots plus two-and-a-half at BetMGM.”
MIA 22, NE 12 — New England Patriots margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Denver Broncos plus six at BetMGM.”
DEN 19, BUF 48 — Denver Broncos margin -29 vs line +6; busts.
“I decided to go with the New York football Giants plus four and a half at home against the Cleveland Browns.”
NYG 6, CLE 20 — New York Giants margin -14 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm going to go with the Chicago Bears, Minnesota Vikings, under 47 and a half at BetMGM.”
MIN 27, CHI 33 — Combined 60; under 47.5 busts.
- Patriots +8.5 lost
- Packers -2.5 closed -8.5 · CLV +6 won
“I'll throw them in with Green Bay. Green Bay is at minus eight and a half right now. Green Bay just seems like they're every week a great tease piece.”
Parlay busts: Patriots +8.5 +8.5 — lost; Packers -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“this week I'm going to go with I'm going to go with Washington like you did last week I think that there's some value in this line right now”
WSH 15, SEA 20 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
“I took the Ravens minus 2.5. I just really like the matchup here.”
CLE 42, BAL 47 — Baltimore Ravens margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“give me Tampa, minus six and a half.”
Buccaneers beat Vikings 26-14 on Dec. 13, 2020 (won by 12), covering -6.5. (Tampa Bay 26, Minnesota 14)
“I'm going with the Chicago Bears and Mitch Bortles plus one and a half at BetMGM at home against the Houston Texans.”
CHI 36, HOU 7 — Chicago Bears margin +29 vs line +1.5; covers.
“give me Kansas City minus seven.”
MIA 27, KC 33 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks and New York Jets under 45 and a half at MGM.”
NYG 7, ARI 26 — Combined 33; under 45.5 covers.
“I'll throw two out there. I'll go with the Giants, teasing them from plus two and a half up to plus eight and a half”
NYG 7, ARI 26 — New York Giants margin -19 vs line +8.5; busts.
“and i'll go with the raiders plus two and a half up to plus eight and a half”
LV 27, IND 44 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals. Looks like they're about three and a half point home underdogs to the Cowboys.”
CIN 7, DAL 30 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“give me the Badgers here at minus one minus one and a half”
IOWA 28, WISC 7 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -21 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I gladly took three and I would still take plus three”
MIAMI 26, UNC 62 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin +36 vs line +3.5; covers.
“give me the over and uh give me the heels”
MIAMI 26, UNC 62 — Combined 88; over 67 covers.
“yeah, it's at 14 straight years. And the reason is simple. These are two running teams. They're two triple option offenses that each team practices against every day.”
ARMY 15, NAVY 0 — Combined 15; under 37.5 covers.
“I took some USC minus three.”
UCLA 38, USC 43 — USC Trojans margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I gladly took three. As soon as I saw three, I make a one-point favorite.”
San José State beat Nevada 30-20 on Dec. 11, 2020 in the Mountain West West Division play-in game (the actual Nevada-SJSU matchup, which advanced SJSU to the Dec. 19 title game); Nevada lost outright by 10, well beyond the +3 they were getting. (San José State 30, Nevada 20)
“I pretty much am higher on Ball State than everyone in the market. I love them. I love the way their defense has looked lately. I love their offense. so it's not hard for me here. I make Ball State way higher than anyone else. I'm on them under a field goal.”
BALL 30, WMU 27 — Ball State Cardinals margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Mississippi State, they're at home against Auburn. Mississippi State's coming off the bye. And if you look, Will Rogers, who I've been calling for, has been on fire.”
MSST 10, AUB 24 — Mississippi State Bulldogs lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to sit back and look for a play in on the Cougars. If I can get nine and a half, I can get nine and a half, but I want BYU here.”
CCU 22, BYU 17 — BYU Cougars margin -5 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I made this line around 4-ish. So I grabbed seven as soon as I saw it with Auburn.”
AUB 20, TA&M 31 — Auburn Tigers margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.
“the best play I think is LSU team total under.”
Alabama 55, LSU 17 (Dec 5, 2020). LSU scored only 17 points, well under any reasonable team total line for this matchup (typically set 20-27 for a struggling LSU squad). Source: Sports-Reference box score (sports-reference.com/cfb/boxscores/2020-12-05-louisiana-state.html); ESPN final score. (LSU 17 pts)
“I'm on the zips.”
AKR 31, BGSU 3 — Akron Zips margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“i love ball state i love what i saw last week they're plus one and a half at bed mgm at central Michigan. Their defense was the defense I've been waiting for. I already love the offense. I think they get the win. I already played them.”
CMU 20, BALL 45 — Ball State Cardinals margin +25 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I bet the Georgia Southern Florida Atlantic under.”
Georgia Southern beat Florida Atlantic 20-3 on Dec. 5, 2020 (23 combined points), well under any total reported for the game (low-40s to high-50s range); the under won comfortably. (Georgia Southern 20, Florida Atlantic 3 (23 total points))
“I going to try to be nice short and sweet for once today We see how it works out But for my first pick of the Sunday six pack I am going with the Atlanta Falcons plus three at BetMGM”
ATL 16, NO 21 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going with the Philadelphia Eagles plus nine at BetMGM at Green Bay.”
GB 30, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -14 vs line +9; busts.
“I'm going to take the Detroit Lions.”
CHI 30, DET 34 — Detroit Lions margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
“For the third week in a row, the Seattle Seahawks, New York football giants under 46-and-a-half.”
NYJ 28, LV 31 — Combined 59; under 46.5 busts.
- Cardinals +9 closed +2.5 · CLV +6.5 lost
- Titans pick (teased from -6) lost
“I'll go the Cardinals, and I'll go Tennessee. I know it's not going through 7-3, but I'm teasing them down from 6 to a pick.”
Parlay busts: Cardinals +9 +9 — lost; Titans pick (teased from -6) 0 — lost.
“I'll keep it simple here. You already talked about it earlier. Give me the Falcons.”
ATL 16, NO 21 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I thought liberty was open way too high at 7 today, and it came down to 6. I was happy to get it on the 6.”
The Liberty at Coastal Carolina regular-season finale (scheduled for early Dec. 2020, the game this line/quote referred to) was canceled due to COVID-19 cases in Liberty's program and never made up in the regular season — Coastal Carolina played BYU instead. The two teams later met in the Cure Bowl (Dec. 26) with an entirely different line, so the wagered game itself never happened. (Regular-season game canceled, never played)
“we are betting Akron this week baby yeah Akron minus three this is no secret I mean both you and I have already put it in on the app”
Akron routed Bowling Green 31-3 on Dec. 5, 2020 (won by 28), easily covering -3. (Akron 31, Bowling Green 3)
“The Ravens are 10-point underdogs at Pitt over under 41. I took some under.”
PIT 19, BAL 14 — Combined 33; under 41 covers.
“I took the under. I took some first half under. I took the game under for a couple of reasons.”
PHI 17, SEA 23 — Combined 40; under 48.5 covers.
“I am going with the Tennessee Titans.”
IND 26, TEN 45 — Tennessee Titans margin +19 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
TB 24, KC 27 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I am going with the Denver Broncos plus six at MGM at home against the New Orleans Saints.”
DEN 3, NO 31 — Denver Broncos margin -28 vs line +6; busts.
“I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars, Cleveland Browns over 49 and a half. I love this over.”
JAX 25, CLE 27 — Combined 52; over 49.5 covers.
“So I'll gladly take the one and a half points.”
TEX 20, ISU 23 — Iowa State Cyclones margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I've already played the over 66.”
UNC 17, ND 31 — Combined 48; over 66 busts.
“I'll tell you, I took some Oregon State plus 14.”
ORST 41, ORE 38 — Oregon State Beavers margin +3 vs line +14; covers.
“you took some kent state plus seven i took some kent state plus seven and a half i make this under”
BUFF 70, KENT 41 — Kent State Golden Flashes margin -29 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I took Colorado at 13.”
Colorado at USC (2020-11-28) was canceled under Pac-12 COVID-19 protocols after USC fell below the scholarship-player minimum; Colorado hosted San Diego State instead, so the bet never had action.
“We're going with Leach.”
MISS 31, MSST 24 — Mississippi State Bulldogs lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm definitely taking an under here. Five of the last six in this against the Rams have gone to the under as far as Tampa Bay and the Rams.”
TB 24, LAR 27 — Combined 51; under 47.5 busts.
“I'm on Tennessee, and I'll be looking for Kentucky maybe second half if Bama's up big in the first half.”
Auburn beat Tennessee 30-17, a 13-point margin that exceeds the +11 Tennessee needed. (Auburn 30, Tennessee 17)
“So I like this over. I think it turns into a shootout and or Cincy blowout.”
Cincinnati beat UCF 36-33 (69 total points), clearing the 63.5 total, so the over won. (Cincinnati 36, UCF 33)
“I like the under. What do you see here?”
Oklahoma beat Oklahoma State 41-13 (54 total points) in the Bedlam finale, under the 58.5 total. (Oklahoma 41, Oklahoma State 13)
“I'll be on the under here with weather. and this FAU defense.”
FAU 24, MASS 2 — Combined 26; under 50.5 covers.
“I'm going with georgia southern they're a four-point underdog at army the noon eastern special on cbs sports network plus 165”
Army edged Georgia Southern 28-27; Georgia Southern lost outright, so the +165 moneyline lost. (Army 28, Georgia Southern 27)
“For my first pick of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars,”
JAX 3, PIT 27 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -24 vs line +10; busts.
“I am going with the how about them Cowboys plus seven at BetMGM.”
MIN 28, DAL 31 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“For my third pick and the fifth pick of the Sunday six-pack,”
NO 24, ATL 9 — Atlanta Falcons margin -15 vs line +5; busts.
“I'm going under 46 and a half, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville.”
JAX 3, PIT 27 — Combined 30; under 46.5 covers.
- Packers +8 closed +2 · CLV +6 won
- Chargers -2.5 closed -10 · CLV +7.5 won
“I comfortable with taking the Chargers minus two and a half And then my other one is the Packers Give me Aaron Rodgers plus eight plus eight and a half here”
Parlay cashes: Packers +8 +8 — won; Chargers -2.5 -2.5 — won.
“But give me the Detroit Lions plus 115 plus 120 at Carolina”
CAR 20, DET 0 — Detroit Lions lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the play is the Bears here. Not the best game. And there is a lot of uncertainty with the injuries, but it's the home dog or nothing.”
CHI 13, MIN 19 — Chicago Bears margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I took some seven and a half with Sparty.”
MSU 0, IU 24 — Michigan State Spartans margin -24 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I saw BC pop at plus 14 minus 110 early in the week and I grabbed it I didn think it would last long I love the spot”
BC 31, ND 45 — Boston College Eagles margin -14 vs line +14; pushes.
“I'll hit it with you.”
MICH 11, WISC 49 — Combined 60; under 27 busts.
“I took look I took some Vatek minus two I just haven liked what I been seeing from Miami lately”
VT 24, MIAMI 25 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin -1 vs line -2; busts.
“I like tulsa here uh anything under three i think you're in your backyard”
TLSA 28, SMU 24 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I took minus seven first half and laid anything under 14 for the game.”
UNC 59, WAKE 53 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin +6 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I took minus seven first half and laid anything under 14 for the game.”
UNC 59, WAKE 53 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“I'm going this week with a smaller home dog and purdue i make purdue a slight favorite here”
PUR 20, NW 27 — Purdue Boilermakers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus five at Carolina”
CAR 23, TB 46 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line -5; covers.
“I'm going with the Los Angeles Chargers plus two and a half FNGM.”
MIA 29, LAC 21 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm going with those Arizona Cardinals one-point favorites at BetterMGM over the Buffalo Bills.”
ARI 32, BUF 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin +2 vs line -1; covers.
“For my total, I'm going Patriots Ravens under 43 and a half.”
NE 23, BAL 17 — Combined 40; under 43.5 covers.
“I also Moneyline parlayed them with the Ravens.”
NE 23, BAL 17 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll go with the Broncos here.”
LV 37, DEN 12 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“I played some under 55 here.”
TEX 17, WVU 13 — Combined 30; under 55 covers.
“The question here for me, and I played some Florida plus three and a half.”
UGA 28, FLA 44 — Florida Gators margin +16 vs line +3.5; covers.
“and I played some under 24 and a half first half. I do like the under for the game too.”
ND 47, CLEM 40 — Combined 87; under 24.5 busts.
“So I took some Stanford plus eight here.”
ORE 35, STAN 14 — Stanford Cardinal margin -21 vs line +8; busts.
“I'm going with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with Brian Kelly.”
ND 47, CLEM 40 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish won; moneyline covers.
“all right let's get very very ugly and we're going with the dallas cowboys plus 13 and a half at bet mgm for the contest doesn't matter but there's shop around you might get some Steelers laid money, but there's some 14s out there about 14 earlier today.”
DAL 19, PIT 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -5 vs line +13.5; covers.
“For my second pick and the third overall of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Tennessee Titans minus six against the Chicago Bears.”
TEN 24, CHI 17 — Tennessee Titans margin +7 vs line -6; covers.
“For my final pick and the fifth overall of the Sunday six-pack, I'm going with the Arizona Cardinals minus four.”
ARI 31, MIA 34 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“For my favorite total of the week, I'm going to go with the Kansas city chiefs. and Carolina Panthers over 52 and a half at BetMGM.”
KC 33, CAR 31 — Combined 64; over 52.5 covers.
“houston teasing them down from seven seven and a half to one one and a half playing against a”
JAX 25, HOU 27 — Houston Texans margin +2 vs line -0.5; covers.
“i already mentioned the bills i love teasing uh against the seahawks requiring them to win by more than two possessions”
BUF 44, SEA 34 — Buffalo Bills margin +10 vs line +9; covers.
“I go with Vegas plus one I like the way that they playing”
LAC 26, LV 31 — Las Vegas Raiders won; moneyline covers.
“Look, I took the Giants plus 11.”
NYG 23, TB 25 — New York Giants margin -2 vs line +11; covers.
“I'm getting three and a half here.”
M-OH 38, BALL 31 — Ball State Cardinals margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“irish over under 57 and a half here's the thing notre dame i've took some georgia tech plus 20”
GT 13, ND 31 — Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets margin -18 vs line +20; covers.
“So I took the plus three.”
AUB 48, LSU 11 — Auburn Tigers margin +37 vs line +3; covers.
“And so I took the three and a half.”
OKST 34, TEX 41 — Texas Longhorns margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So give me Penn State at 12.”
PSU 25, OSU 38 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -13 vs line +12; busts.
“catching three at home.”
HOU 21, UCF 44 — Houston Cougars lost; moneyline busts.
“Yes, I'm betting Arkansas State minus two and a half.”
TA&M 42, ARK 31 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin -11 vs line -2.5; busts.
“This week I am going with the Las Vegas Raiders for my first pick of the Week 8 Sunday six”
CLE 6, LV 16 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +3; covers.
“going with the New Orleans Saints minus four at Chicago.”
CHI 23, NO 26 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“hold-your-nose special, I'm going with the how-bout-them Dallas Cowboys”
PHI 23, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -14 vs line +8; busts.
“So Saints-Bears under 43 and a half at MGM.”
CHI 23, NO 26 — Combined 49; under 43.5 busts.
- Falcons +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 pending
- 49ers +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 lost
“So getting the 49ers plus eight and a half you cover all of those spots”
Parlay busts: Falcons +8.5 +8.5 — pending; 49ers +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
“I'll take the Miami Dolphins plus 150 at MGM.”
MIA 28, LAR 17 — Miami Dolphins won; moneyline covers.
“I played this under 45 i have the rams to finish out a money line probably”
LAR 24, CHI 10 — Combined 34; under 45 covers.
“I have the Rams money line to finish out a parlay, and then I also have the under 45.”
LAR 24, CHI 10 — Los Angeles Rams won; moneyline covers.
“I took some Purdue plus three-and-a-half earlier in the week.”
PUR 24, IOWA 20 — Purdue Boilermakers margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I played some over 61 here.”
SJSU 17, AFA 6 — Combined 23; over 61 busts.
“I took some under 52 and a half because I projected lower, although these games have been shootouts in the past.”
OKST 24, ISU 21 — Combined 45; under 52.5 covers.
“Louisiana, minus three now at that MGM. I got to play them.”
UAB 20, UL 24 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns margin +4 vs line -3; covers.
“I played some Tulsa, South Florida under 51.”
USF 13, TLSA 42 — Combined 55; under 51 busts.
“Give me rice, baby rice minus three and a half.”
RICE 34, MTSU 40 — Rice Owls margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Give me Indiana. Better get that money line quick before it keeps going down, before kickoff.”
IU 36, PSU 35 — Indiana Hoosiers won; moneyline covers.
“give me the Lions plus two and a half here.”
ATL 22, DET 23 — Detroit Lions margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And let's go with the New York football Jets plus 13 and a half.”
NYJ 10, BUF 18 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line +13.5; covers.
“I'm going with the Cleveland Browns, who are minus three, minus 120, at MGM against the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 34, CLE 37 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“the one I see the most value on and the only other total I've bet is the Washington Dallas Cowboys under 45 and a half I got it at 46”
WSH 25, DAL 3 — Combined 28; under 45.5 covers.
- 49ers +8 closed +3 · CLV +5 won
- Chargers -1.5 closed -7.5 · CLV +6 won
“I actually played, I think yours. But another one that I played is San Fran plus eight, plus eight and a half against New England.”
Parlay cashes: 49ers +8 +8 — won; Chargers -1.5 -1.5 — won.
“Give me Detroit. I think it's a coin flip game. I'll take the Lions.”
ATL 22, DET 23 — Detroit Lions won; moneyline covers.
“We have Arkansas State plus 10 at BetMGM, the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast, over under 64 at Appalachian State.”
APP 45, ARST 17 — Arkansas State Red Wolves margin -28 vs line +10; busts.
“I am going with the Houston Texans plus three and a half at BetMGM.”
TEN 42, HOU 36 — Houston Texans margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“overall for the Sunday six I going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus one at that MGM I said before that I only played two sides so far the Niners and the Texans And one of those reasons we get to this later”
TB 38, GB 10 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +28 vs line -1; covers.
“I don love it but at plus four here with the new coach and potential for some of the new things that you see I think in a game of where the offenses should shine I take the plus four”
MIN 23, ATL 40 — Atlanta Falcons margin +17 vs line +4; covers.
“And that is the Broncos under 44 at MGM”
NE 12, DEN 18 — Combined 30; under 44 covers.
“So give me the 49ers in a bounce back divisional spot here.”
SF 24, LAR 16 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
“I did play Texas A&M plus seven, which I think we disagree on the number here.”
TA&M 41, FLA 38 — Texas A&M Aggies margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I played Miami plus 15.”
CLEM 42, MIAMI 17 — Miami Hurricanes margin -25 vs line +15; busts.
“I played them plus 14. If you have the action app, you would have seen that when the line came out.”
UGA 44, TENN 21 — Tennessee Volunteers margin -23 vs line +14; busts.
“So I had to take plus 35 with meet-meat.”
BYU 27, UTSA 20 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -7 vs line +35; covers.
“I took UTEP plus 14 and a half.”
LT 21, UTEP 17 — UTEP Miners margin -4 vs line +14.5; covers.
“i immediately took plus 31 i like under 47 or above i think it totals now 47 48 i like citadel anything 30 or above”
Army beat Citadel just 14-9, a 5-point margin, so Citadel +31 covered comfortably. (Army 14, Citadel 9)
“i always love service academy unders i immediately took an under 51 when this came out”
ARMY 14, CIT 9 — Combined 23; under 51 covers.
“Yeah, I took the under 64.5 on this one.”
GT 46, LOU 27 — Combined 73; under 64.5 busts.
“So I guess I'll just – I got to get a shout-out for – I played this game at minus 14.”
Arkansas State beat Georgia State 59-52 (the game was actually played Oct 15, 2020, not Oct 8 as listed), a 7-point margin that falls well short of the -15 (or -14 per the quote) Arkansas State needed to cover. (Arkansas State 59, Georgia State 52)
“how about you are your favorite I'll take another short one too I'm gonna go with Virginia Tech I”
UNC 56, VT 45 — Virginia Tech Hokies lost; moneyline busts.
“And now I have Thursday night football coming up when I grab Bears plus six.”
CHI 20, TB 19 — Chicago Bears margin +1 vs line +6; covers.
“BetMGM against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday night. Look, I've had a, a really good read on”
SEA 27, MIN 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin -1 vs line +7; covers.
“usually take them i'm going with the houston texans minus six and a half at bet mgm at home”
HOU 30, JAX 14 — Houston Texans margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.
“For my third and final pick of the week six Sunday six pack I am going with the New York Giants plus nine and a half at the Dallas Cowboys”
DAL 37, NYG 34 — New York Giants margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“and Pittsburgh Steelers under 44 at BetMGM.”
PIT 38, PHI 29 — Combined 67; under 44 busts.
“I'm going with Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings to pull off the upset over primetime Russell Wilson.”
SEA 27, MIN 26 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“I took the Falcons plus seven and a half as soon as I saw that number.”
Packers beat the Falcons 30-16, a 14-point margin that exceeds the +7.5 Atlanta needed to cover. (Packers 30, Falcons 16)
“I've got a cheap seven and a half and I took it with the home clones.”
ISU 37, OU 30 — Iowa State Cyclones margin +7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I can tell you that I took some TCU plus 13. I like them anything double digits here.”
TEX 31, TCU 33 — TCU Horned Frogs margin +2 vs line +13; covers.
“I like Arkansas anything over 17. I took some 18 before.”
MSST 14, ARK 21 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin +7 vs line +18; covers.
“So I took a piece of, I got Texas A&M plus 18. I think they can hang here.”
ALA 52, TA&M 24 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -28 vs line +18; busts.
“You have to bet this game, bet the under. No problem there.”
AFA 40, NAVY 7 — Combined 47; under 47.5 covers.
“Turning good weekends into great weekends It time for the Moneyline Parlay You already know mine Clones Iowa State I think they pull it off in Ames.”
ISU 37, OU 30 — Iowa State Cyclones won; moneyline covers.
“I have to start for my two-pointer, my first pick of the Sunday six-pack with the New England Patriots plus seven.”
Chiefs beat the Patriots 26-10; New England lost by 16, failing to cover +7. (Final: Chiefs 26, Patriots 10)
“I'm rolling with the Miami Dolphins at BetMGM right now. They are plus six and a half. I grabbed some plus seven earlier in the week”
MIA 23, SEA 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“give me the Raiders catching three as a home dog here.”
LV 23, BUF 30 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I played some under 44 and a half. I'd play anything, I'd play under anything 43 or above.”
TB 38, LAC 31 — Combined 69; under 43.5 busts.
“For my money line underdog, I'm going with the Lions. We talked about it. Fade breeze Love it Lions are finally healthy I think Detroit can easily get this win”
DET 29, NO 35 — Detroit Lions lost; moneyline busts.
“I think that the total is way too low I think it was an overreaction it got all the way down to 45 I bet it there it's at 46 and a half at that MGM”
WSH 17, BAL 31 — Combined 48; over 45 covers.
“Dallas plus five and a half.”
SEA 38, DAL 31 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“give me the Pats minus six, anything under seven I like in a great spot to back Bitterbill.”
NE 36, LV 20 — New England Patriots margin +16 vs line -6; covers.
“I'm going with the G-man plus four against the San Francisco 49ers.”
NYG 9, SF 36 — New York Giants margin -27 vs line +4; busts.
“I also like the under in this game, so I'm hoping for a double dip.”
NYG 9, SF 36 — Combined 45; under 41.5 busts.
“I'm going with the New Orleans Saints, minus three at BetMGM”
NO 30, GB 37 — New Orleans Saints margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going with the Buffalo Bills, minus two and a half at FedMGM,”
BUF 35, LAR 32 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Fair enough. For my favorite total of the week, I'm going to Denver and I'm going with the under under for at MGM.”
DEN 10, TB 28 — Combined 38; under 43.5 covers.
“So I'm on the Eagles here.”
PHI 23, CIN 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +0 vs line -5.5; busts.
- Rams +8.5 closed +1.5 · CLV +7 won
- Vikings +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
“teasing them from two and a half up to eight and a half,”
Parlay cashes: Rams +8.5 +8.5 — won; Vikings +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“So I'll go with the G-men.”
NYG 9, SF 36 — New York Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“I got them plus seven minus 118 right as and before Michael Thomas was announced that he would be out I thought that was way too high I mean I make this”
LV 34, NO 24 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I think I'm going to be backing the Knights here. I don't like backing teams on game one versus teams on game two. It's a smaller wager, but I am backing Central Florida here. We want the seven, not the seven and a half.”
UCF routed Georgia Tech 49-21, easily covering the -7 spread. (Final: UCF 49, Georgia Tech 21)
“I'm already on Georgia State plus 17. So let's hope Quad Brown can get it done.”
GAST 31, UL 34 — Georgia State Panthers margin -3 vs line +17; covers.
“I played Georgia Southern Moneyline and plus three and a half.”
The Sept 19 postponement was made up on Dec 5, 2020; Georgia Southern beat Florida Atlantic 20-3, winning the moneyline outright. (Final (Dec 5, 2020): Georgia Southern 20, Florida Atlantic 3)
“I played Georgia Southern Moneyline and plus three and a half. I made them a favorite before all these questions with FAU.”
Georgia Southern beat Florida Atlantic 20-3 outright in the Dec 5, 2020 makeup game, easily covering +3.5. (Final (Dec 5, 2020): Georgia Southern 20, Florida Atlantic 3)
“I already played this under I talked about I think under 51 51 and a half I still like it at 49 and a half”
PITT 21, SYR 10 — Combined 31; under 49.5 covers.
“I played some over 64 just because of that.”
LOU 34, MIAMI 47 — Combined 81; over 64 covers.
“I'm going Western Kentucky minus 14. I know the offense looked really bad last week.”
WKU 24, LIB 30 — Western Kentucky Hilltoppers margin -6 vs line -14; busts.
“I laid five and a half when it was out there. I'd lay anything under seven. I also took an under for the game and under first half, under 43 and a half for the game”
CLE 35, CIN 30 — Cleveland Browns margin +5 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I also took an under for the game and under first half, under 43 and a half for the game. 43 is kind of a key number. That's what it's at right now at BetMGM.”
CLE 35, CIN 30 — Combined 65; under 43.5 busts.
“my first pick in the Sunday six pack is the New York football Giants. They are currently plus five and a half at BetMGM. I make this a tad under force.”
CHI 17, NYG 13 — New York Giants margin -4 vs line +5.5; covers.
“for my second pick in the six pack give me the colts minus three not that worried about the Colts I still think they are who I thought they were slightly above average team”
IND 28, MIN 11 — Indianapolis Colts margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
“Give me the Cardinals minus six and a half. Going back to Cliff. Don't let me down, Cliff.”
ARI 30, WSH 15 — Arizona Cardinals margin +15 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I'll take the under and I like the Chargers throw them in as well over anything over a touchdown so I'm with you on the on the under”
PHI 19, LAR 37 — Combined 56; under 47.5 busts.
- Titans -2 (teased from -8) won
- Eagles +4.5 (teased from -1.5) lost
“my favorite one, you have to look out for it. At BetMGM right now, the Titans are eight-point favorites and the Eagles are one-and-a-half point underdogs which means you can tease the eagles up six point teaser over seven and the titans down below three”
Parlay busts: Titans -2 (teased from -8) -2 — won; Eagles +4.5 (teased from -1.5) +4.5 — lost.
“I'm going with the Dolphins. I make this line closer to four, and I'm high on the Bills. John Brown might be out. Devontae Parker, is he banged up? I don't know. There's some receiver questions you have to look into on both teams. But I think there's value on the Dolphins.”
MIA 28, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“I think there's value with Denver at plus three or greater.”
DEN 14, TEN 16 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“I was leaning under, and as you were talking, I went and bet the under.”
ND 27, DUKE 13 — Combined 40; under 54.5 covers.
“played the first half Arkansas State Moneyline. I'm going to play the game Moneyline here”
KSU 31, ARST 35 — Kansas State Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going with the Miami Dolphins, which at MGM, our official odds provider, the line is six and a half now.”
NE 21, MIA 11 — Miami Dolphins margin -10 vs line +6.5; busts.
“selection in the Sunday six pack I am going with drumroll please the Los Angeles Rams which I can't”
LAR 20, DAL 17 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“i'm going with a team that i swore off last year that i would never bet arizona cardinals and mr”
SF 20, ARI 24 — Arizona Cardinals margin +4 vs line +7; covers.
“For my total, I'm going Jets-Bills under at BetMGM.”
BUF 27, NYJ 17 — Combined 44; under 39.5 busts.
- Ravens -2.5 closed -7.25 · CLV +4.8 won
- Falcons +8.5 lost
“Yeah, I agree with you on the Ravens.”
Parlay busts: Ravens -2.5 -2.5 — won; Falcons +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
“I'm going with Miami plus 245 at New England.”
NE 21, MIA 11 — Miami Dolphins lost; moneyline busts.
“I took some three and a half on Middle Tennessee State.”
ARMY 42, MTSU 0 — Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders margin -42 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I like the under 52.5. What are you seeing? BYU, from a pace perspective, about average nationally last year.”
NAVY 3, BYU 55 — Combined 58; under 52.5 busts.
“in my opinion, I don't think Texas is going to make it. So I'll split a unit, a half unit on Oklahoma State and I'll split a half unit on Iowa State.”
Oklahoma defeated Iowa State 27-21 to win the 2020 Big 12 Championship; Oklahoma State did not win the conference. (Oklahoma 27, Iowa State 21 (Big 12 Championship, Dec 19, 2020))
“in my opinion, I don't think Texas is going to make it. So I'll split a unit, a half unit on Oklahoma State and I'll split a half unit on Iowa State.”
Oklahoma defeated Iowa State 27-21 in the 2020 Big 12 Championship Game; Iowa State did not win the conference. (Oklahoma 27, Iowa State 21 (Big 12 Championship, Dec 19, 2020))
“It's one of my favorite win total unders, [5:14] especially if you could find a six, [5:16] under six minus 125 minus 130.”
Bengals went 4-11-1 in 2020, well under 6 wins.
“I have some Florida 12-1 to win the SEC. see. What are your thoughts on Florida?”
Alabama defeated Florida 52-46 to win the 2020 SEC Championship; Florida (and thus Florida's SEC-title odds) lost. (Alabama def. Florida 52-46, SEC Championship Game)
“But if I'm going my number one pick out of all the teams in the NFC, [9:07] I'd probably go with Dallas.”
Cowboys went 6-10; Washington won the NFC East.
“The team that I do trust, and I bought at 35 to one today, is the team that Oregon is going to be playing this weekend, and that's Arizona.”
The entire 2020 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament was cancelled on March 12, 2020 due to COVID-19; no champion was crowned and Arizona never played in it. (2020 NCAA Tournament cancelled)
“There's a shop out in Vegas right now hanging 125-1 on the Illini, and now was the time to fire with this soft part of the schedule before we get into the conference tournament.”
The entire 2020 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament was cancelled on March 12, 2020 due to COVID-19; no champion was crowned and Illinois never played in it. (2020 NCAA Tournament cancelled)
“I probably have to take Ole Miss against Kentucky I think I taken Ole Miss eight games in a row”
Kentucky beat Ole Miss 67-62 on Feb 15, 2020; the Ole Miss pick lost outright. (Kentucky 67, Ole Miss 62)
“I'll mention Michigan State against Maryland. Michigan State, their numbers are there. They're going to be at home. This is an enormous game for them. They dropped out the top 25. Michigan State, if I try to identify their problems, it's too rely on Winston. Who are these secondary scorers are going to step up? But their efficiency numbers are still elite”
Maryland won at Michigan State 67-60; Michigan State (favored ~-6.5) lost outright, so the MSU pick lost. (Maryland 67, Michigan State 60)
“I'm going back to the well. I mean, it hasn't failed me yet. It was a little nerve-wracking last night. but I'm going to be fading Auburn again while they're on this monster overtime streak.”
Missouri beat Auburn 85-73, covering easily as a ~+5.5 underdog (won outright). (Missouri 85, Auburn 73)
“I think Alabama gets this win against an LSU team that I think is a little overvalued. Now, the problem is that I think LSU will be a dog here, and I'm going to take Alabama as a small home favorite”
Alabama beat LSU 88-82, covering as a ~-2.5 favorite. (Alabama 88, LSU 82)
“I'll probably play them again on Saturday against Florida, catching hopefully four, four and a half, five. It's a team that's infuriating to watch, but all they do is cover for me.”
Ole Miss beat Florida 68-51 outright, easily covering the +4.5 line. (Ole Miss 68, Florida 51 (Ole Miss +4.5))
“we're going to”
Missouri beat Auburn 85-73 on Feb 15, 2020, cashing the Missouri (fade Auburn) pick outright. (Missouri 85, Auburn 73)
“kind of like San Fran first quarter”
The Chiefs led the 49ers 7-3 after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIV, so the 49ers first-quarter moneyline lost. (1Q score: Chiefs 7, 49ers 3)
“over 29 and a half receiving yards.”
Damien Williams finished with 29 receiving yards, just short of the 29.5-yard line. (Damien Williams: 4 rec, 29 yds)
“Damian Williams anytime touchdown, yes.”
Damien Williams scored two touchdowns in Super Bowl LIV (a 5-yard reception and a 38-yard run), so his anytime-TD prop hit. (Williams: 2 TD (5-yd rec, 38-yd rush))
“Use check. Over 10”
KC 31, SF 20 — Kyle Juszczyk: 39 receiving_yards vs over 9.5; covers. (Kyle Juszczyk: 39 receiving_yards)
“Darwin Thompson under one and a half carrie”
KC 31, SF 20 — Darwin Thompson: 0 rushing_yards vs under 1.5; covers. (Darwin Thompson: 0 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to back Marist here. Siena is a fadeaway team for me.”
Siena beat Marist 70-57; the Marist moneyline pick lost. (Siena 70, Marist 57)
“I'm going with Tennessee. And just when in doubt, you know, in general, and it doesn't work every week, and you got to look at the matchups. And I love the Henry matchup here. And when in doubt, I'll always fall back on taking, you know, a touchdown or more in the NFL playoffs.”
KC 35, TEN 24 — Tennessee Titans margin -11 vs line +7.5; busts.
“give me the under 45. Yeah. And I think that is the better side of this line.”
SF 37, GB 20 — Combined 57; under 45 busts.
“I'm going to be betting Clemson. I think LSU wins the game. I think it's close. it's you know from a pace perspective you know the bt potter thing does introduce some variance”
LSU 42, CLEM 25 — Clemson Tigers margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So I like James Madison and the under. What do you see? Yeah, definitely the under here. Definitely the first half under, especially with the weather and taking a team that generally plays in the dome.”
NDSU 28, JMU 20 — Combined 48; under 49.5 covers.
“give me the Vikings plus seven for a one point and then give me the under 44 and a half for two points”
SF 27, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“give me the Vikings plus seven for a one point and then give me the under 44 and a half for two points”
SF 27, MIN 10 — Combined 37; under 44.5 covers.
“I like Packers-Seahawks under 47. It opened at 46.5, dropped, and then I think it got steamed up to 47 again. I don't think that's the right play. I would bet the under”
GB 28, SEA 23 — Combined 51; under 47 busts.
“I'm also taking the Packers minus four, because I think that this game is going to come down to who has the better matchup outside of these quarterbacks”
GB 28, SEA 23 — Green Bay Packers margin +5 vs line -4; covers.
“I'm going to go over in the Viking Saints. It's currently at 49 and a half. I got it at 48 and a half. I think the Vikings are also a little undervalued here. And I think they're undervalued based on their offense and how much they can score.”
NO 20, MIN 26 — Combined 46; over 49.5 busts.
“Give me the Patriots, feeling good about them up to, I would say, about six in this spot.”
NE 13, TEN 20 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line -4.5; busts.
“my second pick is I'm going to go with the Eagles first half plus a half.”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -8 vs line +0.5; busts.
“for my third pick. I'm actually going, I know you like the under here. I'm going with the Eagles Seahawks over 46.”
PHI 9, SEA 17 — Combined 26; over 46 busts.
“Yeah, yeah. I like Michigan here, too. By the way, this thing won't fucking move over off the seven. I just want to get a seven and a half again. Yeah, I'd love to get a seven and a half, too. I think that's what's kept me hesitant on this is that I do want to take the Wolverines here. If I have to settle for a seven, so be it.”
ALA 35, MICH 16 — Michigan Wolverines margin -19 vs line +7; busts.
“As you're talking, I think I'm going to play some head on the under. I mean, you listen to all these missing pieces, and the fact that the Georgia defense is still pretty much intact and the Baylor defense is intact, these two teams, from a defensive finishing drive standpoint, rank number one for Georgia and number 10 for Baylor.”
Georgia beat Baylor 26-14 on Jan 1, 2020 in the Sugar Bowl; combined 40 points went under the 42.5 total. (Georgia 26, Baylor 14)
“Give me the under here. Completely agree with you. I'll sprinkle some on the first half under and some on the game.”
TA&M 24, OKST 21 — Combined 45; under 53.5 covers.
“I'm going to take Florida State. I know it's crazy in the Sun Bowl, the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl, but with multiple players sitting on both sides, I think it comes down to the coordinators, and the coordinators for Florida State are going to be Kendall Bryles, new Arkansas offensive coordinator, and Harlan Barnett, who is a great defensive coordinator.”
ASU 20, FSU 14 — Florida State Seminoles lost; moneyline busts.
“my first pick is the Giants. Plus four and a half at home. I make this around three. So I think you're getting an extra point and a half or so.”
NYG 17, PHI 34 — New York Giants margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“for my second pick, I am going with the Houston Texans. Now, this is a pregame podcast. We're telling you our best bets that we like pregame. I grabbed this plus six when it came out, and it was announced that Texans were going to play their starters. They came down to about three and a half. Now, I grabbed six. I still like it at three and a half, taking three and a half here for the contest.”
HOU 14, TEN 35 — Houston Texans margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going with the Bengals. And again, for this contest, it doesn't, when we do this, it doesn't pushes don't count as wins. And that's the only thing that matters. So I'm taking Bengals plus two and a half now.”
CIN 33, CLE 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I like the under it's 38 right now. Got it at 38 and a half. I think it's a play. It's a great play at 38 or higher.”
BAL 28, PIT 10 — Combined 38; under 38 pushes.
- Jets +7.5 won
- Ravens +3 (teased down from spread) won
“I think the Ravens beat three-point favors here with everyone sitting, and now this line's crossed you're getting two and a half you can tease it now up across the seven true Wong teaser now crossing three four six seven no brainer in a low scoring game that are presumably a low scoring game where the total is at 38”
Parlay cashes: Jets +7.5 +7.5 — won; Ravens +3 (teased down from spread) +3 — won.
- Giants ML lost
- Jets ML won
“I already talked about it earlier. It fits my criteria. I think the line is too high, so there's some value here. The Eagles still have all the problems they've had before. This is the giant Super Bowl”
Parlay busts: Giants ML — lost; Jets ML — won.
“I think I'm going to be on Miami.”
MIA 0, LAT 14 — Miami Hurricanes margin -14 vs line -6; busts.
“I'm under all the way here.”
EMU 30, PITT 34 — Combined 64; under 49 busts.
“I like the over in this game, and I might have to hit it at 50 before it”
WAKE 21, MSU 27 — Combined 48; over 50 busts.
“if I can get a minus 115 on the seven, I'll take it pregame. If not, I'll play it live to”
CLT 9, BUFF 31 — Charlotte 49ers margin -22 vs line +7; busts.
“piece of the under at 58.5”
GASO 16, LIB 23 — Combined 39; under 58.5 covers.
“I took an under 70, mostly because of everything I said about Spencer.”
FAU 52, SMU 28 — Combined 80; under 70 busts.
“I played Florida International at plus three.”
ARST 34, FIU 26 — Florida International Panthers margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going Kent State.”
KENT 51, USU 41 — Kent State Golden Flashes won; moneyline covers.
“Memphis-Penn State, I put a play on Penn State minus seven.”
PSU 53, MEM 39 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin +14 vs line -7; covers.
“And I think at three, I'm going to be a buyer of Clark Lee and the Notre Dame defense.”
ISU 9, ND 33 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +24 vs line -3; covers.
“If I was a fucking talent-selling pick guy, this would be my month play of the year day. I wanted to fade Utah. Playoff dreams. This team's a corpse. Texas, back to our roots. Simple team. Herman firing everybody”
Texas throttled Utah 38-10 on Dec 31, 2019 in the Alamo Bowl; Texas was the underdog (Utah favored by ~6.5-7) and won outright, covering easily. (Texas 38, Utah 10)
“I bought the seven, took a little at six and a half, but I think UL has a real shot here.”
Appalachian State beat Louisiana 45-38 in the Dec 7, 2019 Sun Belt Championship; ULL +6.5 lost by a half-point (7-point margin). (Appalachian State 45, Louisiana 38)
“I've took the Red Hawks plus seven just because I make it around four, four and a half.”
Miami (OH) upset Central Michigan 26-21 outright on Dec 7, 2019 to win the MAC Championship; Miami +7 won comfortably as the underdog won outright. (Miami (OH) 26, Central Michigan 21)
“I'm going to be on Memphis. They have a really efficient defense.”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — LSU Tigers margin +27 vs line -8.5; covers.
“Yeah, I went with first half under. Look, windy conditions, rain, sloppy track on a sloppy field, especially in the first half.”
Oregon led Utah 20-0 (20 combined) at halftime of the Dec 6, 2019 Pac-12 Championship (final 37-15); the first-half under won comfortably. (Halftime: Oregon 20, Utah 0 (final 37-15))
“I'm going Memphis, like I said before. This line is almost six points lower than it closed out last week. Same play, same time against the same team. And I think Cincy might have a worse quarterback situation. Lay with Memphis.”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — LSU Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“I go with Georgia All right there we go Georgia and ULL”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — Georgia Bulldogs lost; moneyline busts.
“Hey my first this week I am going with the Washington Redskins plus 13 going to Lambeau to face the Green Bay Packers”
GB 20, WSH 15 — Washington margin -5 vs line +13; covers.
“Second pick, I'm going with the Raiders. I am buying low here on the Raiders after they lost, what, their last two games by a combined 70 points or something like that.”
Titans routed the Raiders 42-21 on Dec 8, 2019 (NFL Week 14); Oakland (~+2.5/+3 underdog) lost outright by 21 points, failing to cover. (Tennessee Titans 42, Oakland Raiders 21)
“Yeah, I mean, I already mentioned mine. I'm going Green Bay, Washington, under.”
GB 20, WSH 15 — Combined 35; under 41.5 covers.
“For my third game, I'm going with a game I wrestled with for a long time, but I'm picking the Pats minus three here.”
NE 16, KC 23 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“Yeah I think the play is the under 43. You got the, it looks like the winds are going to be up, which 10 miles per hour plus 56% hit rate in these games with the Bills defense and Josh Allen, 16 and seven in his career starts to the under.”
BUF 17, BAL 24 — Combined 41; under 43 covers.
- 49ers +8.5 won
- Browns (teased down) won
“I also really like the under there, under 44-and-a-half. I think the San Fran defensive line, by the way, could dominate”
Parlay cashes: 49ers +8.5 +8.5 — won; Browns (teased down) +2.5 — won.
“I woke up this morning to a slew of text messages and one of them was, we can get Clemson minus 21 and a half in New Jersey if you want it. Yes, absolutely. Give it to me now as much money as you could possibly get down.”
CLEM 62, UVA 17 — Clemson Tigers margin +45 vs line -21.5; covers.
“All right, for my first pick, I'm going back to what we've done the past couple weeks, and that is fade the Dolphins. Again, two weeks ago, I said, why are the Bills not touchdown or more favorites here? Last week, I said, why are the Browns not 14 or more point favorites here? This week, I'm saying, why are the Eagles not 10 or more point favorites here?”
MIA 37, PHI 31 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line -9.5; busts.
“For my second pick, I am going with another Patriots fade. I'm going with the Houston Texans plus three.”
HOU 28, NE 22 — Houston Texans margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“here. So with this line hitting two at some places, it's also a great tease spot in a game that should be low scoring. So if you can tease the Steelers up above seven”
PIT 20, CLE 13 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +7 vs line +2; covers.
“Similar in a similar vein, the total I'm going with under 40 in Cleveland, Pittsburgh.”
PIT 20, CLE 13 — Combined 33; under 40 covers.
“yeah we're rolling with uh the texans that coin flip game to me uh good spot trusting watson here and fading the pats offense which is broken until further notice”
HOU 28, NE 22 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“I think this is basically a coin flip. Give me the Tigers.”
AUB 48, ALA 45 — Auburn Tigers margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“But I threw Ball State in a money line parlay. I'm glad to fade Miami of Ohio here.”
Ball State won 41-27 at Miami (OH) on Nov 29, 2019; Ball State moneyline won. (Ball State 41, Miami (OH) 27)
“You want to bet a side here, get the three and a half with the Rams, bet it”
LAR 6, BAL 45 — Los Angeles Rams margin -39 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I teased the Rams up to nine. I also am going to bet the under, by the way.”
Ravens routed the Rams 45-6 (51 combined points), well over the roughly 47-49 point total. (Final: Ravens 45, Rams 6)
“I laid 14 early in the week with Iowa I still like them at 15 and a half Illinois they like the Steelers before that regression came”
IOWA 19, ILL 10 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin +9 vs line -14; busts.
“I love Duke here. I'm waiting to see if we can get to a flat 7.5 anywhere.”
WAKE 39, DUKE 27 — Duke Blue Devils margin -12 vs line +7; busts.
“You rolling with the golden flashes here? You know it. Kent State and Ball State are at the blackjack table. Kent State's on a heater.”
KENT 41, BALL 38 — Kent State Golden Flashes won; moneyline covers.
“our favorite overdog which you already know mine Northwestern, Bayview Mass Utah minus 21 try to get it before that hook comes”
UTAH 49, UCLA 3 — Utah Utes margin +46 vs line -21; covers.
“I laid it. I laid 39 and a half with Northwestern. I can't believe it. a team that can barely score 10 points, but I don't care. UMass is that bad.”
NW 45, MASS 6 — Northwestern Wildcats margin +39 vs line -39.5; busts.
“I money line parlayed them with Oklahoma because it could be ugly in a typical Iowa game and they win by two or one um so I felt more comfortable just talking about a Moneyline Parlay.”
IOWA 23, MINN 19 — Iowa Hawkeyes won; moneyline covers.
“I saw that you wrote down Missouri I couldn't believe it that was mine”
MIZ 6, FLA 23 — Missouri Tigers lost; moneyline busts.
“Georgia Tech just smells right”
AUB 14, UGA 21 — Georgia Bulldogs won; moneyline covers.
“And I have one in this game and I bet the Browns smaller. I hate betting Thursday night football. They came through for me last week at minus two and a half. And I bet them again this week at minus two and a half, paid a little juice.”
CLE 21, PIT 7 — Cleveland Browns margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I played the first half Bills minus three I played the Bills minus five and a half So I rolling with the Bills here I think there value on Buffalo on the road here”
MIA 20, BUF 37 — Buffalo Bills margin +17 vs line -5.5; covers.
“For my second pick, I this is one I stole from you. I'm going with the Bucs plus five and a half.”
TB 17, NO 34 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“For my third pick, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons once again, catching five and a half in Carolina.”
CAR 3, ATL 29 — Atlanta Falcons margin +26 vs line +5.5; covers.
“For my total, I'm also going with an under. I'm going Patriots, Eagles under 44 and a half. I also like the first half under.”
PHI 10, NE 17 — Combined 27; under 44.5 covers.
- Rams (teased to pick'em) won
- Jaguars teased from +2.5 to +8.5 lost
“I am going. I already mentioned the Rams. I think they get it done in an ugly one. I'll take the more talented offense and not Mitch Trubisky at home. So teasing them down to a pick, And then also teasing the Jags from a field goal over a touchdown.”
Parlay busts: Rams (teased to pick'em) 0 — won; Jaguars teased from +2.5 to +8.5 +8.5 — lost.
“I've said it before. I think this is a bad Kyle Allen game. I think you're going to see a resurgent Falcons team down the stretch. I'm taking the Falcons here. I think they get another upset win.”
CAR 3, ATL 29 — Atlanta Falcons won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to throw LSU in there with all the variants that I'm expecting with so many variables that we're all trying to guess at.”
ALA 41, LSU 46 — LSU Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“my favorite favorite of the week so far is Northwestern. Two-point favorite.”
NW 22, PUR 24 — Northwestern Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm rolling with the Bengals plus 10, 10.5.”
CIN 13, BAL 49 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -36 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I'm taking the Browns against an overvalued Bills team. They're just not that good people.”
CLE 19, BUF 16 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'm going with the Falcons plus 13 against the Saints.”
NO 9, ATL 26 — Atlanta Falcons margin +17 vs line +13; covers.
“I'm going with Arizona, Tampa Bay over 52.”
TB 30, ARI 27 — Combined 57; over 52 covers.
- Lions +8.5 won
- Jets +8.5 won
“I going to say the Lions catching eight and a half Windy game should be low scoring against Mitch Trubisky And then also the Jets”
Parlay cashes: Lions +8.5 +8.5 — won; Jets +8.5 +8.5 — won.
“I'm going to go with the Steelers and my money line underdog.”
PIT 17, LAR 12 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
“I took three and a half with Washington I saw that you did too I think this is just like the Oregon game”
WASH 28, UTAH 33 — Washington Huskies margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm going back to the well with Tulsa as a double digit dog.”
TULN 38, TLSA 26 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane margin -12 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I love this at anything field goal or above. Too much value here for me to pass up on the Ravens.”
BAL 37, NE 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin +17 vs line +3; covers.
“Let's go to my number two pick. And I'm going Pittsburgh.”
PIT 26, IND 24 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +2 vs line +1; covers.
“For my third pick, I'm going with the Bucs plus six in Seattle. Everyone out there already knows that I love fading Seattle.”
Seahawks beat the Buccaneers 40-34 in overtime — a 6-point margin, exactly matching the Bucs +6 line, resulting in a push. (Final: Seahawks 40, Buccaneers 34 (OT))
- Jaguars +7.5 lost
- Chargers +teased pending
“I'm going to go with the Jaguars and the Chargers. We already talked about the Jaguars, getting them to over seven or seven and above.”
Parlay busts: Jaguars +7.5 +7.5 — lost; Chargers +teased — manual.
- Ravens ML won
- Jaguars ML lost
“Ravens, you know, I already know. Yeah. And I'm going with the Jags. Again, mentioned it. I just think it's a bad time for Houston to be traveling, banged up. So this payout would be 4.4 to 1.”
Parlay busts: Ravens ML — won; Jaguars ML — lost.
“I'll be on Kansas next week, and I hope we can find a sevens.”
KU 10, KSU 38 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -28 vs line +6; busts.
“i'm a 100 believer in ohio state i've bought them four to one i'm gonna get it in the app uh here after the podcast”
Ohio State did not win the national championship — they were eliminated by Clemson in the CFP semifinal (Fiesta Bowl); LSU won the title, beating Clemson 42-25. (Ohio State lost to Clemson in CFP semifinal; LSU won the national championship)
“I have to play Miami. Miami plus six against Pitt. This game will be in Hines Field. I'm not happy about it, but once I saw plus six, there's still questions about who's going to play quarterback for them.”
PITT 12, MIA 16 — Miami Hurricanes margin +4 vs line +6; covers.
“I play Clemson minus 33.5 for the game, minus 20.5 for the first half. This has blowout written all over it.”
CLEM 59, BC 7 — Clemson Tigers margin +52 vs line -33.5; covers.
“I play Clemson minus 33.5 for the game, minus 20.5 for the first half. This has blowout written all over it.”
Clemson led Boston College 38-7 at halftime (a 31-point margin), covering the -20.5 first-half spread. (First half: Clemson 38, Boston College 7 (final: Clemson 59-7))
“I was hoping this game creeped seven. Doesn't look like it's going to happen. So I took six and a half.”
MSU 7, PSU 28 — Michigan State Spartans margin -21 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Oklahoma Kansas State noon kick Oklahoma another noon kick I played the under here I you know Kansas State one of the slowest teams in the nation they're gonna try and play keep away Oklahoma should have some success running it. But the Oklahoma defense is so vastly improved. Kansas State's really going to struggle offensively. So I took under 57 and a half.”
KSU 48, OKLA 41 — Combined 89; under 57.5 busts.
“So I like New Mexico State here plus 14 and a half I I gonna put that right in on the app right now”
Georgia Southern blew out New Mexico State 41-7 (game was actually played Oct 26, 2019, not Oct 31); NM State +14.5 lost by 34, nowhere close to covering. (Final: Georgia Southern 41, New Mexico State 7)
“i'm i'm wrong with sparty are you going with i can't say umass right”
MSU 7, PSU 28 — Michigan State Spartans lost; moneyline busts.
“for my first pick, I'm going with Matt Moore and the Kansas City Chiefs. I'm going against my beloved Green Bay Packers”
KC 24, GB 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“Wait for the three. You know, if the three has a problem taking, yeah, I think there's two and a half, which I'll take for the contest. But wait for the three as I'm doing. But I'm buying low on the Eagles.”
BUF 13, PHI 31 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +18 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think the total should be under 40, just like you saw the Bears and Saints total last week But because of that Bears game I think it a little inflated here It moved up from 40 to 41 I liked under 41”
CHI 16, LAC 17 — Combined 33; under 41 covers.
- Bucs +8.5
- Texans -0.5
“For my tease, I'm going, first I'm teasing the Bucs up from two and a half to eight and a half. And I'm also teasing the Texans down from six and a half to a half point.”
Both teased legs covered: Buccaneers lost by only 4 to the Titans (covers +8.5), and the Texans beat the Raiders outright 27-24 (covers -0.5). (Titans 27, Buccaneers 23; Texans 27, Raiders 24)
“I don't really love anything. you know so I decided to go with old reliable and fade Mitch Trubisky and desperation game that's it that's my reasoning”
CHI 16, LAC 17 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“I think this is a close game. Call it Patriots by seven. So I took the 10.”
NYJ 0, NE 33 — New York Jets margin -33 vs line +10; busts.
“I'm going first half over. And then if you take a look at some of Northwestern's box scores, their best quarter, Fitzgerald's best quarter has been the third quarter.”
Ohio State led Northwestern 31-3 at halftime (34 combined points), over the 27 first-half total. (First half: Ohio State 31, Northwestern 3 (34 combined))
“we both i i saw on the app that you played kansas i played kansas as well catching 21 and a half”
TEX 50, KU 48 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -2 vs line +21.5; covers.
“probably my favorite play on the board this weekend, is Oklahoma State. I was able to get them three with a little juice early in the week at home against Baylor”
OKLA 52, WVU 14 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +38 vs line -3; covers.
“i took a little piece of the under Do you see anything in that game you like”
Iowa State beat Texas Tech 34-24 (58 combined points), edging just over the 57-point total. (Final: Iowa State 34, Texas Tech 24 (58 total vs 57 line))
“i already bet them uh minus 20 and a half and uh finally third down underdog money line parlay”
Oklahoma led West Virginia only 28-14 at halftime (a 14-point margin), failing to cover the -20.5 first-half spread. (First half: Oklahoma 28, West Virginia 14 (final: Oklahoma 52-14))
“I'm rolling with Tulane. I already mentioned them. Plus 145, plus 150.”
MEM 47, TULN 17 — Tulane Green Wave lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Denver a lot here. I played Denver. I teased Denver as a teaser for our teaser segment.”
DEN 6, KC 30 — Denver Broncos margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm going with, this is the first time I've had them in my six-pack. People who don't know me, I am a Ravens fan. People that do know me know that I'm a Ravens fan and an unbiased one. I never bet them because I just want to bet them and I will gladly bet against them But I think catching over three here plus three and a half anything over a field goal against the Seahawks who I continue to just not believe in”
SEA 16, BAL 30 — Baltimore Ravens margin +14 vs line +3; covers.
“For my second pick, I'm going with the Falcons. This is probably a matchup of two teams who have been the most disappointing in the NFL so far. I'm talking about the Falcons and the Rams. The Falcons are three-point home dogs against the Rams.”
ATL 10, LAR 37 — Atlanta Falcons margin -27 vs line +3; busts.
“give me the Dolphins at anything 17 or better.”
BUF 31, MIA 21 — Miami Dolphins margin -10 vs line +17; covers.
“i'm going to throw out Bears, Saints. This should be ugly. I think Trubisky's coming back. Teddy Checkdown was back last week against Jacksonville. Kamara looks like he's going to be out. I don't know that for sure, but the Saints signed Zenner. He's definitely not healthy. Last weekend, he did not look healthy. The Bears defense should respond off a bye after getting embarrassed against the Raiders.”
Saints beat the Bears 36-25 (61 combined points), well over the roughly 38-point total. (Final: Saints 36, Bears 25 (61 total vs ~38 line))
- Broncos +9 (teased up) lost
- Eagles +9 (teased up) lost
“This is pretty easy for me. I already mentioned I teased the Eagles. I don't mind your pick at all. And I would lean that way. plus two and a half plus three. I'd tease them up past three, four, six, seven, two plus nine. I tease them with the Broncos tomorrow night.”
Parlay busts: Broncos +9 (teased up) +9 — lost; Eagles +9 (teased up) +9 — lost.
“no need to go into a more of a write-up on it on our app and website but uh i'm going with the ravens i think they find a way to win before the bye”
SEA 16, BAL 30 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I took the ten. I mean, look, anytime I can get a home dog catching 10, that's not named the dolphins. It's going to pique my interest.”
WSH 0, SF 9 — Washington margin -9 vs line +10; covers.
“I bet the under right away. We wrote it up on the Action Network at under 44. I think it opened at 46.”
NE 35, NYG 14 — Combined 49; under 44 busts.
“I'm going with the Browns. They were, I think, a one and a half, two-point favor before last week. And”
Seahawks rallied to beat the Browns 32-28 in Cleveland; Browns (closing line Browns +1) lost outright and did not cover. (Final: Seahawks 32, Browns 28)
“and i'm taking the jets plus seven and a half against the cowboys”
NYJ 24, DAL 22 — New York Jets margin +2 vs line +7.5; covers.
“we're gonna go with an under this week. I do kind of like the San Fran over, but I'm going to go with the Sunday Night Football to get a plug in there for that game. Chargers, Steelers under.”
Steelers beat the Chargers 24-17 (41 combined points), narrowly under the 41.5 closing total. (Final: Steelers 24, Chargers 17 (41 total vs 41.5 line))
- Titans +8.5 lost
- Buccaneers +7 (teased to approx +8.5) lost
“i'm going i already mentioned that i'm teasing the titans up to eight eight and a half. Just a perfect teaser spot, a low scoring game to move a team who I think should be around a pick up through three, four, six, and seven to eight. And I'm going to pair it with the Bucs in London”
Parlay busts: Titans +8.5 +8.5 — lost; Buccaneers +7 (teased to approx +8.5) +8.5 — lost.
“Look, I'm going with the Cleveland Browns. I already gave all the reasons for it. Cleveland rocks.”
CLE 28, SEA 32 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.
“i'll just mention real quick i'm on texas tech plus 10 i think this number is just too high for an oak state team”
WVU 31, TEX 42 — Texas Longhorns margin +11 vs line +10; covers.
“I feel like a broken record. I am playing Michigan State because of the number. I'm petrified of Ohio State. I mean, I make it under 17. So, of course, I'm going to take 20.”
OSU 34, MSU 10 — Michigan State Spartans margin -24 vs line +20; busts.
“And I also played the under, under 49.”
OSU 34, MSU 10 — Combined 44; under 49 covers.
“one game that I put in the app already, a couple actually, Ball State, NIU. I played Ball State first half plus three.”
NIU 20, BALL 27 — Ball State Cardinals margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“i played ohio minus three against buffalo buffalo's league their quarterback is questionable”
BUFF 20, OHIO 21 — Ohio Bobcats margin +1 vs line -3; busts.
“We both took Florida plus three.”
FLA 24, AUB 13 — Florida Gators margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“I am going back to Maction, and I've gone there far too often this year. Worked out last week with Toledo. I'm fading Toledo this week and gone with a short dog in Western Michigan.”
MICH 10, IOWA 3 — Michigan Wolverines won; moneyline covers.
“I am grabbing the bucks for this contest. We will say it's plus three, but for everyone out there listening, wait for a three and a half.”
Saints beat Buccaneers 31-24 on the road; Bucs lost by 7, failing to cover +3. (Final: Saints 31, Buccaneers 24)
“I love their defense, but we're going against them this week with the Titans. Tits minus three at home.”
TEN 7, BUF 14 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“once again with the Kyle Allen Show. And people, this is, I'm taking minus three and a half here, but you don't see it on the app yet. I just said about how many games end on three. I'm waiting for three. If it doesn't come, probably still play it”
CAR 34, JAX 27 — Carolina Panthers margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going – I'll keep this brief. I'm going with the Falcons-Texans over the Texans offense.”
HOU 53, ATL 32 — Combined 85; over 49 covers.
“I'm rolling with the Bucs, and I gave my reasons before. Let's go Jameis and the Road Warrior Bucs, who are two and two. Let's go Bucs.”
Saints defeated the Buccaneers 31-24, so the Bucs moneyline lost. (Final: Saints 31, Buccaneers 24)
“Look at the under here, under 47 and a half. These teams, all they can do is run it. They can't, neither can throw it. They're two of the heaviest non-option rush offenses in the country”
M-OH 34, BUFF 20 — Combined 54; under 47.5 busts.
“I'll be on the Rockets. I'm hoping to get three.”
TOL 28, BYU 21 — Toledo Rockets won; moneyline covers.
“I'll start. I already mentioned mine. I'm rolling with Toledo. I think it's a bad spot for an exhausted BYU team who also lost their running back.”
TOL 28, BYU 21 — Toledo Rockets won; moneyline covers.
“My first pick is a terrible team. I'm going with a terrible team once again. I feel like every week my first pick is a terrible team. But whenever I'm uncomfortable in the NFL, I tend to think I'm doing okay. And that is the Raiders plus seven against the Colts.”
IND 24, OAK 31 — Oakland Raiders margin +7 vs line +7; covers.
“All right, for my second pick, I'm going Circle the Wagons plus seven and a half with the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 10, NE 16 — Buffalo Bills margin -6 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going back to the Kyle Allen show at plus four in Houston, calling it here.”
HOU 10, CAR 16 — Carolina Panthers margin +6 vs line +4; covers.
“I'll go Bucs Rams under I think this Bucs defense is much improved against Bowles and they're gonna just pressure Goff to death the Rams offense isn't right Rams defense playing really well they have the corners that can match up on the outside Jameis will make some plays Goff will also make some plays they scheme up some plays I just think 49 is too high I play this down to 47 I think it down to 48 and a half So I go Bucs Rams under”
MIA 10, LAC 30 — Combined 40; under 49 covers.
“I'm rolling with the Titans. Look, this Falcons team is a mess. And I think that the way they play defense, Mariota can actually have some success with his short passing.”
ATL 10, TEN 24 — Tennessee Titans won; moneyline covers.
“Old Dominion. So Old Dominion's catching 28 and a half in Charlottesville against Virginia. Virginia is obviously coming off that win close win against Florida State They at Notre Dame on deck Old Dominion coming off a bye I like them catching our four touchdowns”
ODU 21, ECU 24 — Old Dominion Monarchs margin -3 vs line +28.5; covers.
“I took Michigan plus three and a half. I think that there's a couple of things working in Michigan's favor here based from what you've seen.”
WIS 35, MICH 14 — Michigan Wolverines margin -21 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Lines down to seven, anything seven and over, I think is good. This Air Force team is real and it's spectacular.”
BSU 30, AFA 19 — Air Force Falcons margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“I took them at 15.5 as I hit it on the app as we're talking right now it went down to 14.5”
KU 24, WVU 29 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -5 vs line +14.5; covers.
“This week, I'm going with our friend, our friend who continues to be undervalued in the market, our friend who has covered every game this year our friend who put up 80 i think last week our friend who we have you know to win the conference at some good prices and that's la lafayette ul lafayette against ohio they're catching three three and a half”
OHIO 25, UL 45 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking the Lions as my top pick. I mean, if you look at this Eagles injury report, it looks like a CVS receipt.”
PHI 24, DET 27 — Detroit Lions margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“My second pick, I'm going with my Ravens, who I also got, if you follow me on the app, plus seven.”
KC 33, BAL 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line +7; covers.
“for my first pick I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus six against the my Bengals your Bengals”
BUF 21, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -4 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm taking the Panthers at minus two and a half in Arizona.”
ARI 20, CAR 38 — Carolina Panthers margin +18 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Jets' pats under 44. I don't know how the Jets get more than 10.”
NE 30, NYJ 14 — Combined 44; under 44 pushes.
“I'm going with New Orleans. Let's call it plus 190.”
SEA 27, NO 33 — New Orleans Saints won; moneyline covers.
“I rolling with the Minnesota Vikings Not a bad pick back spot here against the Raiders who I don trust on the road I think it just a good matchup for them”
The Minnesota Vikings beat the Oakland Raiders 34-14 in Week 3. (Vikings 34, Raiders 14)
“Anything, Tulane, anything under a field goal, a favorite or an underdog, you know I'm playing it already. So we don't even have to wait.”
Tulane beat Houston 38-31, a 7-point margin that covers as a 3.5-5 point home favorite. (Tulane 38, Houston 31)
“I tease the Browns down if you see it on the Action app. So, you know, if you're listening to this on Monday and want to pair it with something next week or that's out, or if you can get the Browns live at a pick That what I would look for”
NYJ 3, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin +20 vs line -0.5; covers.
“I played the Owls as soon as I saw that seven and a half. And apparently it's not high enough because from everything I'm reading, the whole world is on Maryland here, but I guess just overreacting to last weekend.”
TEM 20, MD 17 — Temple Owls margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“The play on, you know, NIU was because of the number. I have it at seven. If you follow S&P Plus, they have it at nine. So, I mean, this number is just way too much.”
NEB 44, NIU 8 — Northern Illinois Huskies margin -36 vs line +14; busts.
“Double-digit service academy favorites in college football are absolutely abysmal I think they under 40 We did it in week one with Rice An army barely beat Rice They won 14 And I actually think UTSA has a better D than Rice This is just a game where the possessions will be few and far between The clock will be speed racing. And I'm betting that UTSA can keep it within 17.”
UTSA 13, ARMY 31 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -18 vs line +17; busts.
“I can't believe I'm saying it, but I'm going to back the zips on the road. Am I crazy”
CMU 45, AKR 24 — Akron Zips lost; moneyline busts.
“going with the zips i going with akron on the road that a very very short one one and a half point dog i telling you central michigan with their backups it gonna look atrocious we going going with the Zips on the road”
CMU 45, AKR 24 — Akron Zips lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm starting out with, I mean, just a laughable spread, the number one overreaction to last week, and it's the Miami Dolphins plus 19 and a half at home against the New England Patriots now.”
MIA 0, NE 43 — Miami Dolphins margin -43 vs line +19.5; busts.
“I'm also going back to a team that burned me last week, and that's the Pittsburgh Steelers. Betting against Brady and Belichick in Foxborough week one, you might say I regret it. I don't.”
Seahawks beat Steelers 28-26; Pittsburgh lost outright as a ~3.5-point home favorite, failing to cover. (Seahawks 28, Steelers 26)
“Yeah, I played, I just played this on a number. I think the Raiders might be a little better than people think. I just don't think that the Chiefs are ten and a half points better on a neutral field, just yet. I still have questions about their defense. I think it should be six and a half, seven. So I played it at seven and a half. Pure numbers play. Start the car.”
OAK 10, KC 28 — Oakland Raiders margin -18 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Yeah, I don't care how square this gets. I like the Bears here. Extra rest versus the Broncos on a short week. Flacco behind an offensive line that now doesn't have its starting right tackle.”
DEN 14, CHI 16 — Chicago Bears margin +2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll keep it short and sweet I like the Green Bay Minnesota under if you follow me on the app you saw I put that in at 45 so it's a 44 now which makes it a little tougher but I think Green Bay is gonna go a little slower and pace”
GB 21, MIN 16 — Combined 37; under 44 covers.
- Saints +8.5 (teased through 7) lost
- Giants +7.5 (teased through 3 and 7) lost
“my favorite is the Saints and the Giants. I think Giants' Bills is going to be ugly as hell. So the Giants sitting at one-and-a-half point home dogs against the Bills”
Parlay busts: Saints +8.5 (teased through 7) +8.5 — lost; Giants +7.5 (teased through 3 and 7) +7.5 — lost.
“with the Indianapolis Colts, who have dominated this year. I think they're 18-3. But the Titans, look, we said don't overreact to one week”
TEN 17, IND 19 — Indianapolis Colts won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going with my boys at home against a rookie quarterback. Rookie quarterbacks in Baltimore have just been absolutely eaten alive under John Harbaugh over the last 10, 11 years. I think that trend continues.”
BAL 23, ARI 17 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
“I am going to play Oakland. If it says a two and a half and I can get a flat two and a half, I'll take it. Start the car. If a three pops, great. I'll take that too.”
OAK 24, DEN 16 — Oakland Raiders margin +8 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I will say that I like the under in the Alabama-New Mexico State game. It's at 64, 64 and a half.”
ALA 62, NMSU 10 — Combined 72; under 64 busts.
“I make this game 30. Two minutes and nine seconds. That's it. That's how long you had to grab a 21. It's been 22, the lowest of 22 in most books. One book had it go to 21 for two minutes and nine seconds. I got in.”
MICH 24, ARMY 21 — Michigan Wolverines margin +3 vs line -22; busts.
“I'm riding with the Bobs and the good thing about this, I think they're going to win the game”
TEX 38, LSU 45 — Texas Longhorns lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm on the Jags here. Anything over a field goal, I think they went out right.”
JAX 26, KC 40 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -14 vs line +3.5; busts.
“For my second pick, I'm going with the Steelers. You know, plus five and a half, plus six, preferably if you can get it.”
NE 33, PIT 3 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -30 vs line +5.5; busts.
“go with the Buffalo Bills plus three in a game that probably should go under as well.”
NYJ 16, BUF 17 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“I am going with my beloved, well, we might not be saying that next week, my beloved Jacksonville Jaguars at plus 160.”
JAX 26, KC 40 — Jacksonville Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm already in on the under at 53, knowing that I don't think LSU is going to show much.”
VAN 6, UGA 30 — Combined 36; under 53 covers.
“I'll be on La Tech also.”
TEX 45, LAT 14 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs margin -31 vs line +20.5; busts.
“I did get them a little earlier over three touchdowns, if you follow me on the app.”
UL 28, MSST 38 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns margin -10 vs line +20.5; covers.
“I like Duke over 31. You make it 28. Will you be on the Blue Devils with me and maybe only me?”
ALA 42, DUKE 3 — Duke Blue Devils margin -39 vs line +31; busts.
“I'm taking the under. What are you seeing here?”
PITT 14, UVA 30 — Combined 44; under 46.5 covers.
“I actually think this is going to go under. I played under 56.”
KU 24, INST 17 — Combined 41; under 56 covers.
“I have a write-up on Rice. Check it out. I'm basically fading the service academies, and they're all big favorites this weekend. I love fading the service academies when they're big favorites”
ARMY 14, RICE 7 — Rice Owls margin -7 vs line +21; covers.
“I'm going to trust the veteran quarterback. I'm going with Oregon.”
AUB 27, ORE 21 — Oregon Ducks lost; moneyline busts.
“I did find a future that I'm willing to take a shot on. And that's Tulane. You can find them about 35 to one to win the conference.”
Memphis defeated Cincinnati 29-24 to win the 2019 AAC Championship; Tulane did not win the conference. (Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24 (AAC title game))
“I have Michigan Futures to win the Big Ten plus 250 plus 225. That's fine. Also Michigan to win the national title 14 to one.”
Ohio State beat Wisconsin 34-21 to win the 2019 Big Ten Championship; Michigan did not win the conference. (Ohio State 34, Wisconsin 21 (Big Ten title game))
“Also Michigan to win the national title 14 to one. I think this is the year they beat Ohio State, who I'm low on.”
LSU beat Clemson 42-25 to win the 2019-20 CFP National Championship; Michigan did not win the national title. (LSU 42, Clemson 25 (CFP title game))
“11 to 1, 10 to 1, 12 to 1, you can find out there on Iowa State. I like to take a shot with them. I think they can take that next step.”
Oklahoma beat Baylor 30-23 in the 2019 Big 12 Championship Game; Iowa State did not even reach the title game. (Oklahoma 30, Baylor 23 (OT) — Big 12 title game)
“So I like FIU to win the conference. Where are you going? Are you going with FIU with me?”
Florida Atlantic beat UAB 49-6 to win Conference USA; FIU did not win its division and did not reach the title game. (FAU 49, UAB 6 (CUSA title game))
“I think they win the division with ease. You know, they lost a couple of games they probably should have won last year. I think this is a revenge tour year for Ohio. So I like them to win the Mac”
Miami (OH) beat Central Michigan 26-21 to win the 2019 MAC Championship; Ohio did not win the conference. (Miami (OH) 26, Central Michigan 21 (MAC title game))
“So I like San Diego state to win the West and San Diego state over eight wins.”
Hawaii clinched the 2019 Mountain West West Division title (won a head-to-head/tiebreak edge over San Diego State), so SDSU did not win the West. (Hawaii won MW West Division)
“Georgia to win the SEC plus 250 plus 300, chop around Alabama under 11 and a half wins.”
LSU routed Georgia 37-10 to win the 2019 SEC Championship; Georgia did not win the conference. (LSU 37, Georgia 10 (SEC title game))
“13 to 1, 12 to 1. There's a 13 to 1 out there, I think, at Vandal. You know, anything north of 10 to 1 I think is worth a shot.”
Appalachian State beat Louisiana-Lafayette 45-38 to win the 2019 Sun Belt Championship; Louisiana did not win the conference. (Appalachian State 45, Louisiana-Lafayette 38 (Sun Belt title game))
“So I'm going to be backing them to win Conference USA.”
Florida Atlantic defeated UAB 49-6 to win the 2019 Conference USA Championship; Southern Miss did not reach the title game. (FAU 49, UAB 6 (Dec 7, 2019); Southern Miss finished 3rd in C-USA West)
“we both played them at plus 250, plus 300,”
Miami (OH) won the 2019 MAC Championship, defeating Central Michigan 26-21; Ohio did not reach or win the title game. (2019 MAC Championship: Miami (OH) 26, Central Michigan 21)
“Yeah, I do have a Hawaii 25-1 ticket on me.”
Boise State defeated Hawaii in the 2019 Mountain West Championship Game; Hawaii did not win the conference. (2019 MW Championship: Boise State def. Hawaii)
“I'm all about the under here.”
Fresno State finished 2019 at 4-8, under the 8 win total. (Fresno State 2019: 4-8)
“Also plus 120 to make the playoff.”
Georgia lost the SEC Championship to LSU 37-10 and was left out of the four-team College Football Playoff (finished 12-2 after beating Baylor in the Sugar Bowl). (Georgia 11-1 entering CFP selection, ranked 4th/5th, not selected)
“I love Alabama under 11.5 wins, even with the juice.”
Alabama finished 11-2, under the 11.5-win total. (11-2 (10-2 regular season, 11-2 with bowl win))
“if you haven't already, download the Action app, Company Man here. I've already taken action on Auburn versus Oregon in the first week.”
AUB 27, ORE 21 — Auburn Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“under seven plus money is really enticing to me. You know, you have they lost a ton. You know, Ryan Finley, senior quarterback, gone. Leading rusher, gone. Two thousand yard receivers, gone. And most importantly, three of the best offensive linemen in the conference last year are gone.”
NC State finished the 2019 season 4-8, well under the 7-win line. (NC State 2019: 4-8 (1-7 ACC))
“I actually like both overs with Votek and Miami getting to nine wins.”
Virginia Tech finished the 2019 season 8-5 (including a Belk Bowl loss to Kentucky), landing exactly on the 8-win line. (Virginia Tech 2019: 8-5)
“I actually like both overs with Votek and Miami getting to nine wins.”
Miami (FL) finished the 2019 season 6-7, well under the 8.5-win line. (Miami 2019: 6-7)
“I'm on Michigan futures. I'm 14 to one. I have them to win the Big Ten.”
Ohio State won the 2019 Big Ten Championship, defeating Wisconsin 34-21; Michigan did not win the Big Ten. (Ohio State 34, Wisconsin 21 (Big Ten Championship, Dec 7, 2019))
“They my pick to win the West I have a small bet already on them to win the West”
Wisconsin won the Big Ten West on a head-to-head tiebreaker after both Wisconsin and Minnesota finished 10-2 (7-2); Minnesota did not win the division. (Wisconsin beat Minnesota 38-17 in regular-season finale to claim West on tiebreaker)
“So Texas is one of my favorite ones at 12-1.”
Iowa State beat Kansas to win the 2019 Big 12 tournament on March 16, 2019; Texas did not win, so the future loses.
“So the three that actually made the final cut were West Virginia. [32:15] I mean, this is a great spot to fade TCU, who beat Iowa State over the weekend.”
West Virginia outlasted TCU 104-96 in triple overtime. (Final: West Virginia 104, TCU 96 (3OT).)
“I think this is the right time to play Ohio State. [33:31] They do have revenge from an earlier season matchup.”
OSU 90, IOWA 70 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +20 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And the other one is Texas A&M, plus 11, plus 12. [34:21] I love fading LSU in these spots because they're so young.”
LSU 66, TA&M 55 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -11 vs line +11.5; covers.