pending
Falcons +4.5
“I'm going to go with the Atlanta Falcons plus four and a half.”
Raheem Palmer
Guest · 105-121-2 on settled picks
Record
105-121-2
Cash %
46.5%
Net units
-14.85u
ROI
-6.6%
Beat the close
73.3%
the line moved with the pick in 77 of 105 moves (23 flat excluded)
Avg CLV
+0.57 pts
vs the closing line · spreads, totals & props (112)
At closing prices
-6.4u
vs -9.1u at the quoted numbers · 93 re-gradeable picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 74 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | total | moneyline | prop | parlay | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 51-30+20% | 5-30-55% | 6-18-52% | 7-6+13% | 5-5+2% | 2-1 | 76-90-8% |
| NBA | 2-7-58% | 14-14+7% | 7-5+11% | 3-2+7% | 2-2 | — | 28-30-3% |
Picks
231 total · 3 pending pending
Suns ML Games 3 and 4
“money line in three and four and go that route and that way if i'm wrong i've still got my sons in six”
pending
Atlanta Hawks +8
“is just really really high but i think i grabbed i grabbed an eight i say i grabbed an eight last night I think the loss of DeAndre Hunter is really really big for the series I just don know how they guard Chris Middleton”
won
Celtics to win series (-130)
“Yeah, I took the minus 130.”
The Boston Celtics swept the Brooklyn Nets 4-0 in the 2022 NBA Playoffs first round, clinching with a 116-112 win in Game 4. Source: https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-eastern-conference-first-round-nets-vs-celtics.html (Celtics won series 4-0)
won
76ers to win series
“I have Sixers to win the series. [15:45] I bet the Sixers every which way.”
The Philadelphia 76ers defeated the Toronto Raptors 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Playoffs first round, with Joel Embiid key throughout including a game-winning three in Game 3 OT. Source: https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-eastern-conference-first-round-raptors-vs-76ers.html (76ers won series 4-2)
lost
76ers to win Eastern Conference (+475) · DraftKings
“right now um i'm gonna say take the sixers win um the east”
The Boston Celtics won the 2022 Eastern Conference, defeating the Miami Heat 4-3 in the ECF. The 76ers were eliminated in the second round by the Heat. Source: https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-eastern-conference-finals-celtics-vs-heat.html (Celtics won Eastern Conference)
lost
Timberwolves to win series
“Now I bet Minnesota to win the series.”
The Memphis Grizzlies defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Playoffs first round. Ja Morant's walk-off layup in Game 5 swung the series decisively. Source: https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-western-conference-first-round-timberwolves-vs-grizzlies.html (Grizzlies won series 4-2)
won
Warriors to win title
“Again, I bet Warriors. [30:00] to win the title yeah i bet step to win mvp”
The Golden State Warriors won the 2022 NBA Championship, defeating the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the Finals. Stephen Curry won Finals MVP. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_NBA_Finals (Warriors won title 4-2 vs Celtics)
lost
Team Rooks (rookies) to win Skills Challenge (+165) · DraftKings
“Obviously, I want to make the bet at DraftKings at plus 165,”
Team Cavs (Jarrett Allen, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley) defeated Team Rooks in the 2022 NBA All-Star Taco Bell Skills Challenge, with Mobley sinking the decisive half-court shot in 5.5 seconds, per NBA.com. (Team Cavs won; Team Rooks (Cunningham/Giddey/Barnes) lost)
won
Obi Toppin to win Dunk Contest (+210)
“We're going to go with Obi Toppin.”
Obi Toppin of the New York Knicks won the 2022 NBA Slam Dunk Contest, defeating Juan Toscano-Anderson in the final round (NBA.com). (Final round score: 47)
lost
Luke Kennard to win Three-Point Contest (+600)
“I'm really on Luke Kennard. [11:00] I love him plus 600 here.”
Karl-Anthony Towns won the 2022 NBA Three-Point Contest; Luke Kennard did not win (NBA.com).
won
Bengals +4.5 closed +4.5 · CLV 0
“look for my super bowl pick i'm going with the [6:22] Cincinnati Bengals plus four and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
lost
First quarter under 9.5
“I like the first quarter under nine and a half points.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 9.5 busts.
lost
First half under 24.5
“I like the first half under 24 and a half.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Combined 43; under 24.5 busts.
lost
Second half highest scoring half (-145)
“highest scoring half second half is at minus 145”
The first half of Super Bowl LVI was higher-scoring (23 combined points: LAR 13, CIN 10) than the second half (20 combined points: LAR 10, CIN 10); per Bleacher Report quarter-by-quarter recap. (1H: 23 pts, 2H: 20 pts)
lost
Third quarter to be highest scoring quarter (+500)
“we're gonna go with the third quarter plus 500 look historically you look back at all the super [18:25] bowls the third quarter is the highest scoring quarter”
The third quarter was not the highest-scoring quarter in Super Bowl LVI; Q1 and Q2 each contained a touchdown plus a field goal (13 combined pts in Q1 or Q2) while Q3 and Q4 each had exactly 10 points, per Bleacher Report. (Q3: 10 pts; Q1 or Q2: 13 pts)
lost
Joe Mixon over 27.5 receiving yards
“Joe Mixon over 27 and a half receiving yards.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Joe Mixon: 1 receiving_yards vs over 27.5; busts. (Joe Mixon: 1 receiving_yards)
lost
Joe Mixon anytime touchdown — yes (+100)
“will Joe Mixon score a touchdown? I'm going with yes. You can [22:16] get that at even money.”
Joe Mixon did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in Super Bowl LVI; he threw a 6-yard TD pass to Tee Higgins on a trick play but had no rushing or receiving TDs, per CBS Sports. (0 rush TD, 0 rec TD (threw 1 TD pass))
won
Tyler Boyd over 37.5 receiving yards
“We can go with Tyler Boyd over 37 and a half receiving yards Look this Rams defense we all know they can guard the”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Tyler Boyd: 48 receiving_yards vs over 37.5; covers. (Tyler Boyd: 48 receiving_yards)
won
Joe Burrow more passing yards in second half (-135)
“We're going to go with the second half. [26:37] That's minus 135.”
Bengals' offense managed only ~155 total yards in the first half, and the second half opened with Burrow's 75-yard TD pass to Tee Higgins alone; with Burrow finishing 263 yards overall, his second-half passing total exceeded his first half. (263 total passing yds; first-half team total offense ~155 yds; 75-yd TD to open 2nd half)
won
Bengals first half over 0.5 field goals
“First half over 0.5 field goals. [27:00] I think you're going to get some field goals from the Bengals in the first half.”
Evan McPherson kicked a 29-yard field goal in the first half of Super Bowl LVI to cut the Rams' lead to 7-3, giving the Bengals over 0.5 first-half field goals, per CBS Sports. (McPherson: 29-yd FG in Q1)
lost
Cooper Kupp over 105.5 receiving yards
“Cooper Cup over 105 and a half receiving yards. [28:15] I think you can play this up to about 110.”
CIN 20, LAR 23 — Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards vs over 105.5; busts. (Cooper Kupp: 92 receiving_yards)
lost
Over 53.5 · BetMGM closed +54.5 · CLV +1
“I go over 53 and a half. I played that. I think it's up to 54 and a half. I still would play it up to 55”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Combined 51; over 53.5 busts.
won
Chiefs team total Over 31 · BetMGM
“another way to play the Chiefs in this matchup is to play the Chiefs team total over 31.”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Combined 51; over 31 covers.
lost
49ers ML · BetMGM closed +145 · CLV 0¢
“I think at plus three and a half, I think we have a positive expected value wager. We both like the 49ers money line, but we'll see what happens.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers lost; moneyline busts.
lost
Over 53.5 closed +54.5 · CLV +1
“I like the over, [1:13:53] over 53 and a half. [1:13:55] I think this line should be around 55”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Combined 51; over 53.5 busts.
won
Bengals +7.5 closed +7 · CLV +0.5
“I think you got to be looking at Bengals or pass I just think this is too many points The Bengals they proven that they can score back with the Chiefs and the Chiefs haven really proven it They can really stop this team”
KC 24, CIN 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
won
49ers +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0
“I just think the Rams, they can't run the ball. I think three and a half [1:19:24] points is too much. And I think this is closer to a pick.”
LAR 20, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
lost
Titans -2.5 · BetMGM closed -4 · CLV +1.5
“I grabbed Tennessee early at the two and a half.”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
lost
Over 47 · BetMGM closed +47.5 · CLV +0.5
“so I like this game to go over I think that's that's the play right now”
TEN 16, CIN 19 — Combined 35; over 47 busts.
won
49ers +6 · BetMGM closed +5.5 · CLV +0.5
“I think my favorite picks are the 49ers plus six and Moneyline. That's my favorite.”
GB 10, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +6; covers.
won
49ers ML · BetMGM closed +200 · CLV 0¢
“I think my favorite picks are the 49ers plus six and Moneyline. That's my favorite.”
GB 10, SF 13 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
lost
First half under 24 (-120) · BetMGM
“So I think in this matchup, first half under is 24. It's juiced at minus 120 at many of these places for a reason.”
TB 27, LAR 30 — Combined 57; under 24 busts.
won
Bills +7 (teaser leg) · BetMGM
“if I'm going to take anything I'm taking Buffalo on the teaser let's get this up to seven I think we're sitting at one and a half let's get this through the key number of three and seven”
KC 42, BUF 36 — Buffalo Bills margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
won
Los Angeles Rams to win Super Bowl (+700) · BetMGM
“For the Los Angeles Rams. And one of the reasons why is because I think at plus 700, to me, this game against the Buccaneers is closer to a coin flip to me.”
The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 in Super Bowl LVI on February 13, 2022 (ESPN). (Rams 23, Bengals 20)
lost
Cardinals +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1
“I actually took some Cardinals plus four and a half. This line's down to three and a half. It's priced right where it should be, but I agree with you. I think if you're going to take a side, you got to take the Cardinals in this matchup.”
LAR 34, ARI 11 — Arizona Cardinals margin -23 vs line +4.5; busts.
lost
First half under 22 (Sugarhouse) · Sugarhouse
“I think the play is the first half under.”
BUF 47, NE 17 — Combined 64; under 22 busts.
won
49ers +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
“I like the 49ers plus three, and I like them to win this game outright.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
won
49ers ML closed +136 · CLV +4¢
“I'm going with the 49ers plus three, plus three and a half money line.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
lost
Steelers team total under 16.5
“Yeah, I think that's where, to me, that seems like a great play.”
KC 42, PIT 21 — Combined 63; under 16.5 busts.
lost
Chiefs to win the Super Bowl (+500) · BetMGM
“And I think Betting GM has the Chiefs at plus 500.”
The Los Angeles Rams won Super Bowl LVI 23-20 over the Cincinnati Bengals on February 13, 2022; the Chiefs were eliminated in the AFC Championship by the Bengals (ESPN). (Rams 23, Bengals 20)
won
49ers +3/+3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
“So I'm going to wait this one out and I'm going to be looking to take the 49ers at the most inflated line I can possibly get.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
won
49ers ML closed +136 · CLV +4¢
“I'm looking to play them on the money line, too, because I think they're going to win this game.”
DAL 17, SF 23 — San Francisco 49ers won; moneyline covers.
lost
Chargers ML closed -164 · CLV +5¢
“So if I play the Chargers, I want the money line.”
LV 35, LAC 32 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
won
49ers +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1
“So I'm leaning with the 49ers”
LAR 24, SF 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
won
Steelers +6 closed +3 · CLV +3
“So I think you still got to be looking at the Steelers in this spot,”
BAL 13, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line +6; covers.
lost
Falcons +4.5 closed +4.5 · CLV 0
“So I think this four and a half points is just way too much for the Saints team”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +4.5; busts.
lost
Falcons ML closed +177.5 · CLV -20¢
“I think the Falcons might even have a chance to win this outright So I might sprinkle something on the money line”
ATL 20, NO 30 — Atlanta Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
won
Steelers +3.5
“I took some plus three and a half, but with this being Rockensburgers last game in Pittsburgh,”
PIT 26, CLE 14 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +12 vs line +3.5; covers.
lost
Washington Football Team +3.5 closed +6 · CLV -2.5
“Look, I'm going to go with the Washington football team plus three and a half. They've been ravaged by COVID-19. Obviously, last week, they probably played the worst game I've seen any team play this season.”
WSH 16, PHI 20 — Washington margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13.5 closed -14 · CLV +0.5
“look, I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus 13 and a half. I gave this out the other”
NYJ 24, TB 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +4 vs line -13.5; busts.
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +6.5 closed +3 · CLV +3.5
“I'm going to go with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus six and a half to play the Baltimore Ravens.”
BAL 13, PIT 16 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
won
Las Vegas Raiders +9 closed +8 · CLV +1
“way too many points I think this should be around seven and a half so at nine I'm rolling with it”
IND 20, LV 23 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +3 vs line +9; covers.
lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13 closed -14 · CLV +1
“My second pick, this is as square as it gets,”
NYJ 24, TB 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +4 vs line -13; busts.
won
Over 44.5 closed +43 · CLV -1.5
“Yeah, I like the Bengals too.”
CIN 41, BAL 21 — Combined 62; over 44.5 covers.
won
Bengals -3 closed -7 · CLV +4
“I'm on the bangles in the over.”
CIN 41, BAL 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +20 vs line -3; covers.
lost
Bears +6.5 closed +7 · CLV -0.5
“So I actually I will play this one. I was teasing earlier. I'm a Vikings fan, but I have to take the bears here.”
CHI 9, MIN 17 — Chicago Bears margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
won
Bengals -2.5 closed -7 · CLV +4.5
“I'm laying the two and a half points with the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 41, BAL 21 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +20 vs line -2.5; covers.
won
Bengals ML (+130) closed +135 · CLV -5¢
“If I'm a fresh better on this game right now, I think that my best play right now is the Bengals money line at a plus one”
DEN 10, CIN 15 — Cincinnati Bengals won; moneyline covers.
won
Browns Team Total Under 19.5
“My first best bet is the Cleveland Browns team total under 19 and a half.”
The Cleveland Browns scored 14 points in their 16-14 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders on December 20, 2021 (game postponed from Dec 18 to Dec 20). 14 is under the team total of 19.5. Source: https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401326539 (Browns 14, Raiders 16)
lost
Packers -5.5 closed -9 · CLV +3.5
“I grabbed the minus five and a half already.”
BAL 30, GB 31 — Green Bay Packers margin +1 vs line -5.5; busts.
lost
Jaguars +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1
“I like the Jaguars plus one and a half against the New York Jets.”
NYJ 26, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.
won
Colts +2 closed -1.5 · CLV +3.5
“So I'm taking the Colts at plus two.”
IND 27, NE 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin +10 vs line +2; covers.
won
Chiefs -3 (-120) closed -3 · CLV 0
“there's some spots putting this line at three and a half but at three minus 120 I'm all over”
LAC 28, KC 34 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
won
49ers -1 · BetMGM closed -2 · CLV +1
“yeah I'm with you on San Francisco I still like them at minus”
CIN 23, SF 26 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
won
Cowboys -3.5 · BetMGM closed -6.5 · CLV +3
“I think Dallas is rightfully favored in this game and should win.”
WSH 20, DAL 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
won
Browns (vs Ravens) · BetMGM
“I got to play the Browns. And this I think this is probably the best situational spot you'll ever find in football.”
Browns beat Ravens 24-22 on Dec 12, 2021; Browns pick won. (Browns 24, Ravens 22)
won
Patriots +2.5 · BetMGM closed +3 · CLV -0.5
“Yeah, I still like New England.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
won
Patriots ML closed +130 · CLV -5¢
“So I'm running with the Patriots here. I'm going with the plus two and a half, going with the money line.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
lost
Under 43.5 closed +43.5 · CLV 0
“43 and a half on this Browns-Baltimore Ravens game. When you look at these two offenses,”
CLE 24, BAL 22 — Combined 46; under 43.5 busts.
lost
Over 44 closed +41.5 · CLV -2.5
“I'm going over 44 in the Saints-Jets game.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — Combined 39; over 44 busts.
won
Chargers +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
“I actually put it in my contest, so I'll be playing plus three and a half.”
CIN 22, LAC 41 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +19 vs line +3.5; covers.
won
Steelers +4.5 closed +4 · CLV +0.5
“but I'm all over the Steelers here.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +1 vs line +4.5; covers.
won
Steelers ML +180 (+180) closed +170 · CLV +10¢
“So I'm on the four and a half.”
PIT 20, BAL 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers won; moneyline covers.
won
Seahawks +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
“I'm probably going to buy back on my position and grab the Seahawks at plus three and a half.”
SEA 30, SF 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
won
Washington +3
“Give me the Washington football team”
LV 15, WSH 17 — Washington margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
won
Washington ML
“Give me the Washington football team”
LV 15, WSH 17 — Washington won; moneyline covers.
lost
Over 43.5 closed +41.5 · CLV -2
“I'm gonna go with Saints Jets over 43 and a half.”
NYJ 9, NO 30 — Combined 39; over 43.5 busts.
won
Patriots +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
“I'm going with the New England Patriots.”
BUF 10, NE 14 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3; covers.
won
Over 50.5 closed +50 · CLV -0.5
“Bengals LA Chargers over 50 and a half. This is already taking some money, but my model makes this”
CIN 22, LAC 41 — Combined 63; over 50.5 covers.
lost
Vikings +2.5 closed +3.5 · CLV -1
“I know that you and I both our favorite pick of the week are the same picks that we gave out on the look ahead But we want you the listeners t”
SF 34, MIN 26 — Minnesota Vikings margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
lost
Rams +2 closed -2 · CLV +4
“I'm going to buy low on the Los Angeles Rams.”
GB 36, LAR 28 — Los Angeles Rams margin -8 vs line +2; busts.
lost
Cowboys +2.5 · BetMGM closed +2.5 · CLV 0
“I love the two and a half here.”
KC 19, DAL 9 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
lost
Saints +1.5 closed +3 · CLV -1.5
“I really like the Saints. I really like the Minnesota Vikings. I think those are my favorites.”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
won
Washington +3.5
“with the Washington football team look I don't understand this line at all they plus three and a half against the Carolina Panthers what has the Carolina of Panthers done to get this level of respect within the market.”
CAR 21, WSH 27 — Washington margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
lost
Eagles -2.5 closed -4 · CLV +1.5
“So I'm going to go back to the well on a team that we talked about earlier. I'm going to take the Eagles next week for my look ahead. Eagles minus two and a half in New York playing the Giants.”
NYG 13, PHI 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
lost
Saints +1.5 closed +3 · CLV -1.5
“I'm going with the New Orleans Saints, plus one and a half against the Eagles. I know there been some sharp money on the Philadelphia Eagles this week already as it was in the last five weeks But like we spoke on this earlier the Eagles they been running the ball”
PHI 40, NO 29 — New Orleans Saints margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
lost
Seahawks +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
“I took them plus three and a half. I also took a money line plus 164. So, I'm looking at both scenarios.”
GB 17, SEA 0 — Seattle Seahawks margin -17 vs line +3.5; busts.
lost
Seahawks ML (+164) closed +145 · CLV +19¢
“I took them plus three and a half. I also took a money line plus 164. So, I'm looking at both scenarios.”
GB 17, SEA 0 — Seattle Seahawks lost; moneyline busts.
lost
Over 54 closed +55 · CLV +1
“my first bet bet we're gonna go with the um the cowboys falcons over 54 i gave this out the other day at 52 i still like it i think this is a big smash spot for the cowboys offense”
DAL 43, ATL 3 — Combined 46; over 54 busts.
won
Eagles +pick
“i'm going to philadelphia eagles i actually teased this on the hot read when you look at the Philadelphia Eagles is another road dog, but they're playing against a Broncos team, which their whole offensive line is banged up.”
Eagles beat Broncos 30-13 on Nov 14, 2021, covering any reasonable number around pick'em. (Eagles 30, Broncos 13)
won
Bears +7 closed +7 · CLV 0
“I still like the Bears.”
PIT 29, CHI 27 — Chicago Bears margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
won
Vikings +3 closed +3.5 · CLV -0.5
“I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings plus three.”
LAC 20, MIN 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
lost
Over 52 closed +55 · CLV +3
“gonna go with the dallas cowboys atlanta falcons over 52 i think my model makes this closer to”
DAL 43, ATL 3 — Combined 46; over 52 busts.
won
Patriots -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
“I'm not mad at that. I'm not mad at it at all. For me, I'm actually going to go with another road team. I'm going to go with the New England Patriots minus two and a half against the Carolina Panthers.”
CAR 6, NE 24 — New England Patriots margin +18 vs line -2.5; covers.
won
Browns +3 closed +2 · CLV +1
“For my second play, I'm actually going to go with the Cleveland Browns. Plus three, play a Cincinnati Bengals team that just gave up 400 yards to Mike White and his first start.”
CIN 16, CLE 41 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line +3; covers.
lost
Colts -1.5 closed -3 · CLV +1.5
“I'm back in a minus one and a half at this point.”
IND 31, TEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
lost
Indianapolis Colts to win AFC South +400 (+400)
“Oh, I absolutely love it. I think this is the perfect spot to play Indianapolis to win a division because I think this is a game that can swing the division.”
The Tennessee Titans won the 2021 AFC South division title, not the Indianapolis Colts. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2021_AFC_South_standings
won
Panthers +9 / Washington +9 two-team teaser
- Panthers +9 closed +2.5 · CLV +6.5 won
- Washington +9 won
“I'm going to go with the Carolina Panthers plus nine and the Washington football team plus nine.”
Parlay cashes: Panthers +9 +9 — won; Washington +9 +9 — won.
lost
Texans +7 closed +4 · CLV +3
“I like the Houston Texans plus seven.”
MIA 17, HOU 9 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
lost
Saints -4.5 closed -5.5 · CLV +1
“I'm taking the Saints at minus four and a half.”
SEA 10, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -4.5; busts.
won
Steelers +3.5 closed +5.5 · CLV -2
“we talked about the nfs or the sorry we talked about the afc north earlier i'm going to take the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half on the road in Cleveland. So the last time these teams played was in the playoffs and the Browns embarrassed the Steelers 48 37 They blew out the first quarter and the Pittsburgh kind of made it closer later They had won two weeks in a row They won week 17 as well though no Big Ben in that one”
Steelers beat Browns outright 15-10 on Nov 1, 2021, easily covering Steelers +3.5. (Steelers 15, Browns 10)
won
Cowboys -1.5 closed +4.5 · CLV -6
“i'm going to go with is the Dallas Cowboys minus one and a half.”
MIN 16, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
lost
Washington +3.5
“Washington football team yeah we like that hook and my other play is another one of those three and a half lines at hook here”
DEN 17, WSH 10 — Washington margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
lost
LA Chargers to win AFC +800 (+800)
“Taking the Chargers at plus 800.”
The LA Chargers did not reach the AFC Championship game in the 2021 season. They finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs after a Week 18 overtime loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. The AFC Championship was contested by the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs. Source: Pro-Football-Reference – https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/sdg/2021.htm (Chargers: 9-8, missed playoffs)
lost
Eagles +3 · BetMGM closed +2 · CLV +1
“I think the trap is the Las Vegas Raiders Look I like the Philadelphia Eagles in this matchup”
LV 33, PHI 22 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -11 vs line +3; busts.
lost
Eagles +3 teased to +9, Patriots -7 teased to -1
- Eagles +9 (teased from +3) lost
- Patriots -1 (teased from -7) won
“That's the second leg of my teaser. We're going to tease that down from seven to minus one, crossing off those key numbers of seven, six, and three.”
Parlay busts: Eagles +9 (teased from +3) +9 — lost; Patriots -1 (teased from -7) -1 — won.
lost
Washington +4
“I like the Washington football team plus four.”
DEN 17, WSH 10 — Washington margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
won
Broncos +5 · BetMGM closed +1.5 · CLV +3.5
“For me, I already mentioned this before. I like the Denver Broncos plus five.”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +5; covers.
lost
Patriots +3.5 · BetMGM closed +3.5 · CLV 0
“I know last week I gave out the Dallas Cowboys minus one. But look, this line is going up to three and a half. It was up to four and a half before Sharp Money pounded this down. You have 81% of the public all over the Cowboys this week, and I think they're making a grave mistake.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — New England Patriots margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
push
Saints -3 closed -5.5 · CLV +2.5
“I actually like two I like New Orleans Saints minus three next week against the Seahawks.”
SEA 10, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
won
Broncos +6 closed +1.5 · CLV +4.5
“The second one is I like the Broncos plus six on Thursday night football against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 17, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
won
Ravens -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
“I like the Baltimore Ravens minus two and a half I also like the Browns minus three both of these two teams are playing highly explosive offenses”
BAL 34, LAC 6 — Baltimore Ravens margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
lost
Browns -3 closed -3 · CLV 0
“I like the Baltimore Ravens minus two and a half I also like the Browns minus three both of these two teams are playing highly explosive offenses”
CLE 14, ARI 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
lost
Browns -3 · BetMGM closed -3 · CLV 0
“For me, I'm going to go with the Cleveland Browns minus three. They're taking on the Arizona Cardinals, the undefeated Arizona Cardinals. This Cleveland Browns team to me is for real.”
CLE 14, ARI 37 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -3; busts.
lost
Under 46.5 closed +46.5 · CLV 0
“I see like the under in this game under 46 and a half. One of the things that you have to recognize is that this Ravens defense is actually getting healthier.”
BAL 31, IND 25 — Combined 56; under 46.5 busts.
lost
Browns +2.5 · BetMGM closed +2.5 · CLV 0
“I'm avoiding the Los Angeles Chargers. I mean, this is probably going to be probably the biggest public spot of the week.”
LAC 47, CLE 42 — Cleveland Browns margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
won
Teaser: Ravens -7 to -1, Browns +2 to +8
- Ravens -1 (teased from -7) closed -7 · CLV +6 won
- Browns +8 (teased from +2) won
“my two team teaser obviously is Baltimore Ravens minus seven. We're going to tease that down to one. And then we're going to go with the Cleveland Browns”
Parlay cashes: Ravens -1 (teased from -7) -1 — won; Browns +8 (teased from +2) +8 — won.
won
Cowboys -1 closed -3.5 · CLV +2.5
“I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys minus one against the New England Patriots. They're on a roll next week.”
NE 29, DAL 35 — Dallas Cowboys margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
won
Saints -2 · BetMGM closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5
“I'm going to New Orleans Saints minus two.”
WSH 22, NO 33 — New Orleans Saints margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
lost
Over 51.5 · BetMGM closed +51.5 · CLV 0
“I'm actually thinking about the over”
LAC 28, LV 14 — Combined 42; over 51.5 busts.
won
Under 46.5 · BetMGM closed +45.5 · CLV +1
“the first total I like is I like the Philadelphia Eagles, Carolina Panthers, under 46 and a half.”
CAR 18, PHI 21 — Combined 39; under 46.5 covers.
won
Over 43.5 closed +43.5 · CLV 0
“I'm going to go over 43 and a half. I think this is a really sneaky total to play.”
WSH 22, NO 33 — Combined 55; over 43.5 covers.
won
Jets +7.5 · BetMGM closed +5.5 · CLV +2
“We're going to fade the public with the New York football Jets.”
NYJ 27, TEN 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +7.5; covers.
lost
Dak Prescott MVP +1200 (+1200)
“i think you also need to be taking that plus 1200 to win mvp”
Dak Prescott did not win the 2021 AP NFL MVP. Aaron Rodgers won the award for the second consecutive year. Source: ESPN, NFL.com.
lost
Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 · BetMGM closed +3 · CLV +0.5
“I like the Eagles plus three and a half. I hate it because I'm a Cowboys fan. But when I look at this game, first things first, my model makes this game Cowboys minus one and a half.”
DAL 41, PHI 21 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -20 vs line +3.5; busts.
won
Baltimore Ravens +2.5 closed +1 · CLV +1.5
“Baltimore Ravens. There's some plus two and a half out there in the market. I think there's one plus two and a half you can look for. But there's a plus two and it's a consensus plus one and a half. To me, this line is flat out wrong. The Ravens are being undervalued in this spot.”
DEN 7, BAL 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
won
Arizona Cardinals +6 · BetMGM closed +3.5 · CLV +2.5
“I'm gonna go with the Arizona Cardinals plus six the Rams are coming off that really really really big win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And I just think this line is a little bit too high.”
LAR 20, ARI 37 — Arizona Cardinals margin +17 vs line +6; covers.
won
Los Angeles Rams +1.5 · BetMGM closed +7 · CLV -5.5
“The Los Angeles Rams plus one and a half. Right now we have 76% of the public all over the defending Super Bowl champions. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
KC 24, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
lost
Indianapolis Colts +5.5 · BetMGM closed +4.5 · CLV +1
“They're plus five and a half. Yes, I know Carson Wentz might not even play, but not only do we have that kitchen sink week in our favor,”
TEN 25, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -9 vs line +5.5; busts.
won
Miami Dolphins +4.5 · BetMGM closed +3.5 · CLV +1
“I'm going to go with the Miami Dolphins plus four and a half. Like we said before, neither one of us, Kobe Brissett, is a downgrade from Tua.”
LV 31, MIA 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
won
Green Bay Packers -12 · BetMGM closed -11.5 · CLV -0.5
“I think we're both in agreement for this game. This line has went up to Packers minus 12, but I think the Packers are going to completely take this team into the deep waters and drown them.”
GB 35, DET 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line -12; covers.
won
Jared Goff to throw an interception (+170)
“But there also a prop I like I like Jarrett Goff to throw an interception If you can find that I think it in the 170 range Take Jared Goff to throw an interception”
Jared Goff threw at least one interception in the Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Week 2 Monday Night Football game on September 20, 2021. Goff finished 26-of-36, 246 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT (plus a fumble lost). The Packers won 35-17. Source: Pride of Detroit game recap (prideofdetroit.com); confirmed by NFL.com. (Goff: 26/36, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT — Packers 35, Lions 17)
won
Green Bay Packers +4.5 · BetMGM closed +3 · CLV +1.5
“I'm going with the Green Bay Packers plus four and a half. I think, obviously, we just spoke about the Monday night football game between the Lions and the Packers. And if the Packers do what they're supposed to do by blowing out the Lions, this line is going to go down.”
Packers won outright at San Francisco 30-28 as underdogs, easily covering +4.5. (Packers 30, 49ers 28)
lost
Arizona Cardinals -7 · BetMGM closed -3.5 · CLV -3.5
“My other hot read is I'm going to go with the Arizona Cardinals minus seven. It's pretty clear this line is going to go up.”
ARI 34, MIN 33 — Arizona Cardinals margin +1 vs line -7; busts.
won
Cleveland Browns -7.5 · BetMGM closed -7.5 · CLV 0
“I also would recommend taking our last two picks and putting that in the teaser. Cleveland Browns minus seven and a half. Teasing that down six points to one and a half.”
CLE 26, CHI 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +20 vs line -7.5; covers.
won
Minnesota Vikings +3.5 · BetMGM closed +3.5 · CLV 0
“We're going to go with the Minnesota Vikings right now. This line is down to three and a half. Sharp Money has hammered this from the opener of four and a half down to three and a half.”
ARI 34, MIN 33 — Minnesota Vikings margin -1 vs line +3.5; covers.
won
Green Bay Packers -10.5 · BetMGM closed -11.5 · CLV +1
“We're going with the Green Bay Packers minus 10 and a half. I think it's up to 11 now, but 11 and 10 and a half are pretty much the same because 10 is key. Look, Aaron Rodgers is coming off one of the worst performances of his career.”
GB 35, DET 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line -10.5; covers.
lost
Steelers -6 closed -5.5 · CLV -0.5
“Raiders for week two. Okay. I like the Steelers minus six. The Raiders are playing a short week.”
PIT 17, LV 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -9 vs line -6; busts.
lost
Over 52 closed +48 · CLV -4
“I like the over 52. I think I mentioned this last week on the look ahead line.”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Combined 51; over 52 busts.
lost
Washington ML
“I think they win that game. I also would add them in teasers. If you could find a plus one,”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
won
Seahawks -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
“and he got the match point for point with Seattle And this new look offense with Shane Waldron they letting Russ cook They letting him push the pace I think it safe to lay the two and a half on the road with the Seahawks”
IND 16, SEA 28 — Seattle Seahawks margin +12 vs line -2.5; covers.
lost
Over 44 closed +44.5 · CLV +0.5
“I'm going to go with the Jets and the Panthers over 44 and a half.”
CAR 19, NYJ 14 — Combined 33; over 44 busts.
won
Broncos -2.5 · BetMGM closed -6 · CLV +3.5
“Oh I absolutely love it I mean we spoke about the Denver defense so many times I mean it's Jacksonville team I truly believe that Urban Myers in over his head and against a, I mean, a solid defense with Denver, a rookie quarterback is not really going to be able to handle that. So I think at two and a half, you get in a bargain.”
JAX 13, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
won
Packers -10 · BetMGM closed -11.5 · CLV +1.5
“The first one that jumps out to me is Green Bay minus 10 at home against Detroit on Monday night football. I mean, this is grossly mispriced. I mean, we've spoken all off season that there's going to be two really, really bad teams in the NFL this year.”
GB 35, DET 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line -10; covers.
won
Over 50.5 · BetMGM closed +48 · CLV -2.5
“The other one that really, really stands out to me is the Cowboys Chargers over 50 and a half. I make this line 55 and a half.”
IND 24, LAR 27 — Combined 51; over 50.5 covers.
lost
Over 43.5 · BetMGM closed +44.5 · CLV +1
“Jets, Panthers, over 43 and a half. It's up to 45 and a half. I've mentioned how much I like Zach Wilson and this Jets offense.”
CAR 19, NYJ 14 — Combined 33; over 43.5 busts.
lost
Washington Football Team ML · BetMGM closed -130 · CLV 0¢
“I don agree with is the Chargers pick them to Chargers minus one I like the Washington football team I think they going to win that game outright”
WSH 16, LAC 20 — Washington lost; moneyline busts.
lost
Justin Herbert to lead the league in passing yards (+1200) · BetMGM
“plus 1200 on the passing yards I think this is like I said before this is a charges defense I”
Tom Brady led the 2021 NFL season with 5,316 passing yards. Justin Herbert finished with 5,014 yards, second in the league. Source: Buccaneers.com / Pro-Football-Reference.com. (Brady 5,316 pass yds (leader); Herbert 5,014 pass yds (2nd))
lost
Stefon Diggs to lead the league in receptions (+500) · BetMGM
“plus 500 on most receptions.”
Cooper Kupp led the 2021 NFL season with 145 receptions. Stefon Diggs finished with 103 catches, not the leader. Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com / NFL.com. (Kupp 145 rec (leader); Diggs 103 rec)
lost
Nick Chubb to lead the league in rushing yards (+700) · BetMGM
“plus 700 on most rushing yards.”
Jonathan Taylor led the 2021 NFL season with 1,811 rushing yards, clearing second place by 552 yards. Nick Chubb did not lead the league. Source: Sportskeeda / Pro-Football-Reference.com. (J. Taylor 1,811 rush yds (leader); Chubb did not lead)
lost
Najee Harris to lead the league in rushing yards (+2800) · BetMGM
“rookie Najee Harris plus 2800 most rushing yards I mean the stills couldn't run the ball all last”
Jonathan Taylor led the 2021 NFL season with 1,811 rushing yards. Najee Harris did not lead the league. Source: Sportskeeda / Pro-Football-Reference.com. (J. Taylor 1,811 rush yds (leader); Harris did not lead)
won
Chiefs Under 12.5 wins · BetMGM
“I'm going under 12 and a half wins. I know it's risky because it's Patrick Mahomes, but this team still can stop the run They did fix the offensive line up but they not that deep at receiver I don think they going to run through the league I going under”
Kansas City Chiefs finished 12-5 in the 2021 regular season, under the 12.5 win total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Kansas_City_Chiefs_season (12-5)
lost
Browns over 10.5 wins · BetMGM
“Take the Browns plus 1,600 to win the Super Bowl, plus 750 to win the AFC, and over 10 and a half wins.”
Cleveland Browns finished 8-9 in the 2021 regular season, under the 10.5 win total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Cleveland_Browns_season (8-9)
lost
Browns to win the Super Bowl (+1600) · BetMGM
“Take the Browns plus 1,600 to win the Super Bowl, plus 750 to win the AFC, and over 10 and a half wins.”
Cleveland Browns did not win Super Bowl LVI. The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 to win Super Bowl LVI on February 13, 2022. Browns finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021%E2%80%9322_NFL_playoffs (Browns 8-9, missed playoffs)
lost
Browns to win the AFC (+750) · BetMGM
“Take the Browns plus 1,600 to win the Super Bowl, plus 750 to win the AFC, and over 10 and a half wins.”
Cleveland Browns did not win the AFC. The Cincinnati Bengals won the 2021 AFC Championship, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs. Browns finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021%E2%80%9322_NFL_playoffs (Browns 8-9, missed playoffs)
lost
Ravens over 10.5 wins · BetMGM
“I think over 10 and a half wins is good.”
Baltimore Ravens finished 8-9 in the 2021 regular season, under the 10.5 win total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Baltimore_Ravens_season (8-9)
won
Colts to miss the playoffs (-110) · BetMGM
“I going to coast minus 110 to miss the playoffs I not high on this team at all”
The Indianapolis Colts finished the 2021 regular season 9-8 and missed the playoffs after a stunning Week 18 loss to the 2-14 Jacksonville Jaguars. (Wikipedia: 2021 Indianapolis Colts season) (9-8, missed playoffs)
won
Titans to win the AFC South (-110) · BetMGM
“I'm going to take the Titans to win the AFC North at minus 110. I think it's low enough to where you put yourself in a position to where you can hedge.”
The Tennessee Titans won the AFC South with a 12-5 record, clinching the AFC's No. 1 seed for the first time since 2008. (Wikipedia: 2021 Tennessee Titans season) (12-5, AFC South champions, No. 1 seed)
lost
Broncos over 8.5 wins · BetMGM
“I think you're going to get some positive aggression, go over eight and a half wins.”
The Denver Broncos finished the 2021 regular season with a 7-10 record, falling short of the 8.5-win total. (champsorchumps.us: Denver Broncos 2021 Season) (7-10 final record)
lost
Steelers to miss the playoffs (-200) · BetMGM
“I'm going under eight and a half wins, minus 200 to miss the playoffs.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2021 regular season 9-7-1 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card team, losing to the Kansas City Chiefs 42-21 in the first round. (Wikipedia: 2021 Pittsburgh Steelers season) (9-7-1, Wild Card appearance)
lost
Texans to finish 4th in AFC South (-230) · BetMGM
“My my bet on Houston, Texas was the Texans exact finishing position is four minus two thirty. That is stealing money.”
The 2021 AFC South final standings: Titans 1st (12-5), Colts 2nd (9-8), Texans 3rd (4-13), Jaguars 4th (3-14). The Houston Texans finished 3rd, not 4th. (Wikipedia: 2021 AFC South standings) (Texans 4-13, 3rd in AFC South)
lost
Vikings to make NFC wild card (+310) · BetMGM
“I think at plus 310, I like the Minnesota Vikings. I think the Packers are obviously the favorite in that division, but I think the Vikings have a solid offense.”
Minnesota Vikings did not make the 2021-22 NFL playoffs. NFC wild card teams were Eagles (#7), 49ers (#6), and Cardinals (#5). Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021%E2%80%9322_NFL_playoffs (Vikings missed playoffs)
lost
Dak Prescott NFL MVP (+1600) · BetMGM
“win some games, I think he's live at plus 1600.”
Aaron Rodgers won the 2021 AP NFL MVP award for the second consecutive year (his 4th overall), earning 39 of 50 votes. Dak Prescott did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/packers-qb-aaron-rodgers-named-2021-ap-nfl-mvp
lost
Javonte Williams NFL Offensive ROTY (+2500) · BetMGM
“years we had a quarterback running backs have won it four times yeah i'm gonna go with javante”
Ja'Marr Chase (Cincinnati Bengals WR) won the 2021 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with a record-setting 1,455 receiving yards. Javonte Williams did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/bengals-wr-ja-marr-chase-named-2021-ap-offensive-rookie-of-the-year
lost
Jaelan Phillips NFL Defensive ROTY (+900) · BetMGM
“go with two edge rushers here i'm gonna go with jellion phillips out of miami he's with the miami”
Micah Parsons (Dallas Cowboys LB) won the 2021 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award unanimously (all 50 votes), the first unanimous winner in history. Jaelan Phillips did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/cowboys-lb-micah-parsons-named-2021-ap-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year
lost
Kwity Paye NFL Defensive ROTY (+900) · BetMGM
“going to go with, I hope I'm pronouncing his name correctly. It's Kawiti Pei out of Indianapolis.”
Micah Parsons (Dallas Cowboys LB) won the 2021 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award unanimously. Kwity Paye did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/cowboys-lb-micah-parsons-named-2021-ap-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year
lost
Dalvin Cook NFL Offensive Player of the Year (+1800) · BetMGM
“Who stands out from some of those names? I'm going with Dalvin Cook. When you're playing in a Mike”
Cooper Kupp (Los Angeles Rams WR) won the 2021 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award with 35 of 50 votes after winning the receiving triple crown (145 rec, 1,947 yds, 16 TDs). Dalvin Cook did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/rams-wr-cooper-kupp-named-2021-ap-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year
lost
Chase Young NFL Defensive Player of the Year (+900) · BetMGM
“I'm going to go with Chase Young. I mean, Chase Young, you know, 44 tackles last year, seven and a half sacks, 12 quarterback hits, four forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries, four passes defended.”
T.J. Watt (Pittsburgh Steelers) won the 2021 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award after recording 22.5 sacks in 14 games, tying Michael Strahan's single-season sack record. Chase Young did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/steelers-pass-rusher-t-j-watt-named-2021-ap-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year
lost
Ron Rivera NFL Coach of the Year (+2000) · BetMGM
“The guy I want to go with is Riverboat Ron Rivera. He's at plus 2000.”
Mike Vrabel (Tennessee Titans) won the 2021 AP NFL Coach of the Year award with 36 of 50 votes after leading the Titans to a 12-5 record and the AFC's top seed. Ron Rivera did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/titans-coach-mike-vrabel-named-2021-ap-nfl-coach-of-the-year
lost
Dak Prescott NFL Comeback Player of the Year (+220) · BetMGM
“from those guys. For me, I'm going to go with Dak Prescott. I mean, if I'm taking him to win MVP,”
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) won the 2021 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, beating out Dak Prescott. Prescott was a finalist but did not win despite throwing for 4,449 yards and 37 TDs in his return from a serious ankle injury. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-honors-bengals-joe-burrow-beats-out-cowboys-dak-prescott-to-win-2021-ap-comeback-player-of-the-year/
won
Argentina knocked out in quarterfinals (-110) · BetMGM
“I'm gonna go with Argentina to get knocked out in the quarter final minus 110 I'm not high on his team I think they advanced past the group stage but I think in the quarter five or they get knocked out.”
Argentina was knocked out in the quarterfinals by Australia 97-59 on August 3, 2021, satisfying the 'knocked out in quarterfinals' prop. (espn.com/mens-olympics-basketball/game/_/gameId/401347896/australia-argentina) (Australia 97-59 Argentina, QF Aug 3)
lost
Australia runner-up (+220) · BetMGM
“I'm going to go with Australia to be runner up plus 220. I told you guys I love this team. I don't see them beating the United States.”
Australia won the bronze medal, not the silver/runner-up. The USA beat France 87-82 in the gold medal game; France was the silver medalist. Australia finished third. (nbcphiladelphia.com/news/sports/tokyo-summer-olympics/australia-outlasts-luka-doncic-slovenia-to-win-bronze) (Gold: USA, Silver: France, Bronze: Australia)
won
Under
“I'm going under.”
Game 6 total was 213.5; final score Bucks 105, Suns 98 (203 combined) went under. (Bucks 105, Suns 98 (203 total vs 213.5 line))
lost
Suns -3.5 closed -4 · CLV +0.5
“So I think that's my struggle. So I think I'm gonna have to go with you and say Suns minus three and a half for for game five.”
PHX 119, MIL 123 — Phoenix Suns margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
lost
Rams under 10.5 wins
“I mean, I'm looking at the Rams personally going under because I just think there's a lot of hype around the Rams,”
Rams went 12-5 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
lost
Washington over 8.5 wins
“but I like the Washington football team over eight, eight and a half wins.”
Washington went 7-10 in 2021, under 8.5 wins, so the over lost.
lost
Cowboys under 9.5 wins
“I'm going under, I think you have an Asian offensive line.”
Cowboys went 12-5 in 2021, over 9.5 wins, so the under lost.
won
Suns ML Game 1 (-190) · BetMGM closed -227 · CLV +37¢
“so i think i'm gonna lay the 190 i like that okay uh i don't think you're gonna get the best of the”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
lost
Under 219 closed +219.5 · CLV -0.5
“So with it being up to 219, I really like the under.”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Combined 223; under 219 busts.
lost
Indianapolis Colts Over 10 wins (+115)
“I think I would rather take the 10. I think. This is a reclamation project for the Colts with Carson Wentz.”
Colts went 9-8 in 2021, under the 10-win line, so the Over lost.
lost
Buffalo Bills Under 10.5 wins
“So I'm going under on them.”
Bills went 11-6 in 2021, over the 10.5 line, so the Under lost.
won
Baltimore Ravens Under 11 wins
“I actually disagree on the Ravens.”
Ravens went 8-9 in 2021, under the 11-win line, so the Under won.
lost
Tennessee Titans Under 9.5 wins
“So I know the public is going to push this up but I taking the under It unfortunate that they play in the same division as the Texans but I still like the under”
Titans went 12-5 in 2021, over the 9.5 line, so the Under lost.
push
Los Angeles Chargers Over 9 wins
“I mean, this Chargers team, they replaced Anthony Lynn with Brandon Staley.”
Chargers went 9-8 in 2021, exactly on the 9-win line, so the Over pushes.
won
Clippers ML · BetMGM closed +105 · CLV -210¢
“I've got Clippers tonight on the money line as dogs at home.”
LAC 106, PHX 92 — LA Clippers won; moneyline covers.
won
Chris Paul Under points
“Yeah, so one of the props today, one of our props that are up already, is I'm actually taking the Chris Paul under on points.”
Chris Paul scored 15 points in his Game 3 WCF return, under the roughly 17.5-point prop line that was widely offered (-135 at Action Network) for his comeback game. (Chris Paul: 15 pts (line ~17.5))
won
Bucks to win series (-200) (-200) · BetMGM
“But I would take the Bucs minus 200.”
The Milwaukee Bucks defeated the Atlanta Hawks 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals. The Bucks then won the NBA Championship, confirming they were legitimate favorites. Bet on Bucks -200 to win series cashes. (Basketball-Reference, ESPN) (Bucks win ECF 4-2)
lost
Milwaukee Bucks ML closed +153 · CLV +7¢
“So I'm coming at the Bucs game one money line straight out the gate.”
BKN 115, MIL 107 — Milwaukee Bucks lost; moneyline busts.
won
LA Clippers to win series (+140)
“um that's it i think um i think the play the play for tonight take the clippers to win the series”
The LA Clippers defeated the Dallas Mavericks 4-3 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference First Round, winning Game 7 126-111 on June 6. Source: basketball-reference.com / ESPN. (Clippers won series 4-3)
won
Denver Nuggets to win series
“So give me I'm taking the Nuggets.”
The Denver Nuggets defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference First Round, clinching with a 126-115 Game 6 win on June 3. Source: basketball-reference.com. (Nuggets won series 4-2)
won
Under 211.5 closed +211.5 · CLV 0
“I like the under, I think 212, 211 where it is now, I think it's a little bit too high. I think I make it around 208, to be honest.”
LAL 109, PHX 95 — Combined 204; under 211.5 covers.
won
Bucks to win closed -196 · CLV +2¢
“I'm in on the Bucs I I looked at the over as well Matt and I could see like uh I could see taking both you know you play at some books the Bucs uh to cover and the over I preferred just the Bucs to cover because I just feel very good about them tonight and in the series”
MIL 132, MIA 98 — Milwaukee Bucks won; moneyline covers.
won
Clippers to win series (-145)
“personally i took the clippers to win this series at minus 145 i i think the clippers win this this series i just i don't see the mavericks continuing to score in this manner”
The LA Clippers defeated the Dallas Mavericks 4-3 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference First Round. (Basketball-Reference: 2021 WCF First Round Mavericks vs. Clippers) (Clippers won series 4-3)
lost
Clippers in 5
“I'm going to go with the Clippers in five. Okay. I just I mean I don't and you guys know I'm conservative I mean you guys been working with me long enough I don't really like to lay these type of bets”
The LA Clippers defeated the Dallas Mavericks 4-3 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference First Round (series went 7 games, not 5). (Basketball-Reference: 2021 WCF First Round Mavericks vs. Clippers) (Clippers won series 4-3 in 7 games)
won
Bucks to win series (-280)
“But I also like the minus one and a half games.”
The Milwaukee Bucks swept the Miami Heat 4-0 in the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference First Round. (Basketball-Reference: 2021 ECF First Round Heat vs. Bucks) (Bucks won series 4-0 sweep)
won
Bucks -1.5 series (-140)
“But I also like the minus one and a half games. I think it's like minus 140.”
The Milwaukee Bucks swept the Miami Heat 4-0 in the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference First Round. Bucks -1.5 series requires winning by 2+ games; 4-0 sweep covers easily. (Basketball-Reference: 2021 ECF First Round Heat vs. Bucks) (Bucks swept 4-0)
lost
Los Angeles Clippers to win NBA title (+550)
“I've been saying it all year I like the Los Angeles Clippers to win the NBA title”
The Clippers lost the 2021 Western Conference Finals to Phoenix and did not win the title.
lost
Los Angeles Lakers to win NBA title (+450)
“I did bet on the Lakers last week when they dipped to 450.”
The Lakers lost in the first round of the 2021 playoffs to Phoenix and did not win the title.
lost
Nets-Clippers Finals (+600) · BetMGM
“in the draft i'm going um brooklyn nets los angeles clippers plus 600 really yeah um i mean for me i”
The 2021 NBA Finals was contested between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns (Bucks won 4-2). Neither the Nets nor the Clippers appeared in the Finals. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NBA_Finals (Finals: Bucks def. Suns 4-2)
lost
Nets-Suns Finals (+2200) · BetMGM
“Brooklyn Nets, Phoenix Suns.”
The Suns did reach the 2021 NBA Finals, but their opponent was the Milwaukee Bucks, not the Nets. Brooklyn was eliminated before the Finals. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NBA_Finals (Finals: Bucks def. Suns 4-2)
lost
Denver Nuggets ML closed -149 · CLV +14¢
“i'm going with the nuggets um the raptors like i mean we spoke”
TOR 135, DEN 111 — Denver Nuggets lost; moneyline busts.
won
Over 215 closed +216.5 · CLV +1.5
“I'm going to go with the over 215 in the Miami Heat, Indianapolis, Indiana Pacers game.”
MIA 110, IND 137 — Combined 247; over 215 covers.
lost
Devin Booker to win Three-Point Contest · BetMGM
“Immediately, it was Devin Booker.”
Stephen Curry won the 2021 NBA All-Star Three-Point Contest at State Farm Arena, Atlanta (Mar 7, 2021) with a final-round score of 28. Devin Booker was eliminated in the first round. Source: NBA.com 2021 Three-Point Contest results (https://www.nba.com/news/2021-mtn-dew-3-point-contest). (Curry won (28 pts final); Booker eliminated in Round 1)
lost
Cassius Stanley to win Dunk Contest · BetMGM
“I'm going with Cassius Stanley.”
Anfernee Simons (not Cassius Stanley) won the 2021 AT&T Slam Dunk Contest on March 7, 2021, defeating Obi Toppin in the final. Source: https://www.nba.com/news/2021-att-slam-dunk (Simons def. Toppin in final; Stanley eliminated earlier)
won
Domantas Sabonis to win Skills Competition · BetMGM
“but I'm going to go with Sabonis.”
Domantas Sabonis won the 2021 Taco Bell Skills Challenge on March 7, 2021, defeating Nikola Vucevic in the final. Source: https://www.nba.com/news/2021-taco-bell-skills-challenge (Sabonis def. Vucevic in final)
lost
Utah Jazz -3 · BetMGM closed -3.5 · CLV +0.5
“So at three, I'm taking the Jazz.”
PHI 131, UTAH 123 — Utah Jazz margin -8 vs line -3; busts.
lost
Under 226.5 closed +224 · CLV +2.5
“But I like the under 226.5 in Celtics Hawks.”
ATL 127, BOS 112 — Combined 239; under 226.5 busts.
lost
Rockets team total Under 108.5
“I'm going with the Houston Rockets team total under 108 and a half.”
Rockets scored 113 in a 118-113 loss to the 76ers, over the 108.5 team-total line; the Under lost. (Final: 76ers 118, Rockets 113)
won
Over 232.5 closed +235.5 · CLV +3
“I'm going to go with Toronto Raptors, Washington Wizards, over 232 and a half.”
WSH 115, TOR 137 — Combined 252; over 232.5 covers.
won
Oklahoma City Thunder team total Under 107
“I'm going with the Oklahoma City Thunder team total under 107.”
Oklahoma City Thunder scored 104 points against the Houston Rockets on February 3, 2021, under the team total line of 107. Source: espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401267493/rockets-thunder (Thunder 104, Rockets 87)
won
over 222 closed +223.5 · CLV +1.5
“I like the over 22.”
ORL 107, SAC 121 — Combined 228; over 222 covers.
lost
Celtics -3 closed -4.5 · CLV +1.5
“I'm going to take the Celtics.”
SA 110, BOS 106 — Boston Celtics margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
won
under 225 closed +220.5 · CLV +4.5
“I took this at 225. I took the Jazz Mavericks under.”
UTAH 116, DAL 104 — Combined 220; under 225 covers.
lost
over 230 closed +230.5 · CLV +0.5
“I like this over. It goes over relatively easy. I make this line 233. It's actually dropped down, which I'm surprised. So 33 to 130. I love it over.”
LAC 115, SAC 96 — Combined 211; over 230 busts.
lost
under 221.5 closed +221 · CLV +0.5
“I grabbed some at 221 and a half. I think I'm going to play this down to 220, but I think it gets their relative ease. I like the under.”
ATL 123, DET 115 — Combined 238; under 221.5 busts.
lost
Charlotte Hornets +4.5 closed +3 · CLV +1.5
“We're going to go with the Charlotte Hornets.”
CHA 93, DAL 104 — Charlotte Hornets margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
won
Over 218 closed +216 · CLV -2
“I like the over. This total got steamed down from 220 to 218.”
OKC 99, LAL 128 — Combined 227; over 218 covers.
lost
Portland Trail Blazers -1 first quarter
“I'm forcing this one. I'm going with the Blazers first quarter. They came out really rough against the Raptors, who've kind of had their number a little bit over the last couple of years. I think I'm just going to go with the better offense. I think Dame and CJ, they come out hot.”
The Trail Blazers vs. Kings game on January 13, 2021 ended 132-126 in Portland's favor. However, the Q1 score was Sacramento 43, Portland 33. Portland trailed by 10 after Q1 and did not cover -1 in the first quarter. Source: ESPN box score https://www.espn.com/nba/boxscore/_/gameId/401267333 (Q1: POR 33, SAC 43 — Portland lost Q1 by 10)
lost
LeBron James to win MVP (+1100)
“I'm going with LeBron James to win MVP. I know it might sound crazy, but it's not a normal year.”
The 2020-21 NBA MVP was Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets, announced June 8, 2021. LeBron James did not win MVP. Source: https://www.nba.com/news/nikola-jokic-wins-2020-21-kia-nba-most-valuable-player-award (MVP: Nikola Jokic (DEN))
won
Suns -3.5 closed -3 · CLV -0.5
“So I think it's an under game, and I love the Suns.”
PHX 123, TOR 115 — Phoenix Suns margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
lost
Under 218 closed +219.25 · CLV -1.2
“So I think it's an under game, and I love the Suns.”
PHX 123, TOR 115 — Combined 238; under 218 busts.
lost
Hawks -6 closed -6 · CLV 0
“I had 35 on the Washington Philly under I'm going 30 on Atlanta”
ATL 94, CHA 102 — Atlanta Hawks margin -8 vs line -6; busts.
won
Celtics +3 closed +2.5 · CLV +0.5
“minus six uh i am taking 15 on the celtics plus three uh just 15 bucks because i i've been screwed”
MIA 105, BOS 107 — Boston Celtics margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
lost
Pelicans +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1
“I like anything above probably six is where I'm going to go ahead”
MIA 111, NO 98 — New Orleans Pelicans margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
lost
Dallas Mavericks +7 closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
“But I think I'm going to go with Dallas.”
LAL 138, DAL 115 — Dallas Mavericks margin -23 vs line +7; busts.
won
Orlando Magic under 32 wins
“I'm going to go with the Orlando Magic under 32 wins.”
The Orlando Magic finished the 2020-21 NBA regular season with a 21-51 record, well under the 32-win total. (basketball-reference.com; landofbasketball.com) (21-51)
won
Dallas Mavericks over 41.5 wins
“I'm going with the Mavericks over 41.5.”
The Dallas Mavericks finished the 2020-21 NBA regular season with a 42-30 record, over the 41.5-win total. (Wikipedia: 2020-21 Dallas Mavericks season; basketball-reference.com) (42-30)
won
Philadelphia 76ers to win the Atlantic Division (+390)
“I taking the Sixers at plus 390 to win the Atlantic Division”
The Philadelphia 76ers won the 2020-21 NBA Atlantic Division with a 49-23 record, finishing first in the Eastern Conference. (Wikipedia: 2020-21 Philadelphia 76ers season; basketball-reference.com) (76ers 49-23, Atlantic Division champions)
lost
Toronto Raptors over 41 wins
“I like the Toronto Raptors over 41 wins.”
The Toronto Raptors finished the 2020-21 NBA regular season with a 27-45 record, well under the 41-win total. (Wikipedia: 2020-21 Toronto Raptors season; basketball-reference.com) (27-45)
lost
Portland Trail Blazers to win the Northwest Division (+400)
“I actually had the Blazers to win the Northwest I think at plus 400, there's a small value on the number side.”
The Utah Jazz won the 2020-21 NBA Northwest Division with a 52-20 record. The Portland Trail Blazers finished 42-30, second in the Northwest Division. (NBA.com Jazz clinch Northwest Division title; Wikipedia: 2020-21 Utah Jazz season) (Jazz 52-20 won Northwest; Blazers 42-30)