“I bet Virginia Tech on the money line.”
Blackjack Fletcher
Guest · 50-56-4 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 36 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | moneyline | prop | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 29-32-9% | 1-3 | 3-3-5% | 3-2+53% | 1-2 | 37-42-8% |
| NBA | 2-1 | 2-2 | — | — | 0-1 | 4-4+68% |
| MLB | — | 2-4-38% | — | 1-1 | — | 3-5-30% |
| CBB | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | 2-3-24% |
Picks
118 total · 8 pending“Blackjack and Paul both have Kansas State.”
“So right now, Schwartz and Blackjack are on the opposite sides of Wisconsin, Oregon.”
“I like Seton Hall to beat Wofford outright.”
“I don't.”
“So I think that's the one team that you can lay the points, Kentucky.”
“I think the better play is Northeastern in the first half.”
“but I think he does go over 600 receiving.”
“insane that you're getting six points with the Toronto [22:52] Raptors. If you don't bet the Raptors at six, [22:54] get your head examined.”
GS 109, TOR 123 — Toronto Raptors margin +14 vs line +6; covers.
“Total at this game is at 213 [30:44] what are you thinking right now? [30:45] I'm thinking under”
GS 109, TOR 123 — Combined 232; under 213 busts.
“Give me your take on who wins the series. [33:43] Toronto in 7.”
Toronto won the 2019 NBA Finals series over Golden State 4-2, so Raptors to win the series wins (series-winner bet; exact game count irrelevant).
“It's not too soon to bet on the Colts.”
Kansas City won Super Bowl LIV on Feb 2, 2020; the Colts went 7-9 and missed the playoffs, so Colts to win the Super Bowl loses.
“I got the Mets to win the NL.”
Washington won the 2019 NL pennant; the Mets went 86-76 and missed the playoffs, so Mets to win the NL loses.
“And to win the World Series.”
Washington won the 2019 World Series; the Mets missed the playoffs, so Mets to win the World Series loses.
“You're making me feel good because I laid the seven and a half tonight with Golden State, so I like it.”
GS 114, POR 111 — Golden State Warriors margin +3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I'm laying the five with Virginia”
UVA 63, AUB 62 — Virginia Cavaliers margin +1 vs line -5; busts.
“I love the under in this game”
MSU 51, TTU 61 — Combined 112; under 132.5 covers.
“love kentucky me too love kentucky the”
UK 62, HOU 58 — Kentucky Wildcats won; moneyline covers.
“Yeah, I like the over eight and a half touchdowns, too.”
Odell Beckham Jr. caught only 4 receiving TDs for the Browns in 2019, well under 8.5, so the over loses.
“So we're on the overs all across the board here, [6:25] over 34 and a half home runs, which is minus 125 over 94 and a half RBI, which is minus 112 and [6:32] over batting average to 74, also minus 112.”
Bryce Harper drove in 114 RBI in 2019, clearing the 94.5 line, so the over (-112) wins.
“So we're on the overs all across the board here, [6:25] over 34 and a half home runs, which is minus 125 over 94 and a half RBI, which is minus 112 and [6:32] over batting average to 74, also minus 112.”
Bryce Harper batted .260 in 2019, below the .274 line, so the over (-112) loses.
“So I'm going to go with Virginia at plus 200 in the ACC tournament.”
Duke won the 2019 ACC tournament on Mar 16, 2019; Virginia (lost in the semifinals to Florida State) did not win, so the +200 bet loses.
“so you need me plus 250 on kansas in the big 12 that's where i'm gonna go”
Iowa State beat Kansas 78-66 in the 2019 Big 12 tournament final on Mar 16, 2019; Kansas did not win, so the +250 bet loses.
“it's the washington nationals they're over under is 87 and a half and i think [6:32] this is an absolute over the nationals”
The Nationals finished 93-69 in 2019 (and won the World Series), clearing the 87.5 win total, so the over wins.
“the yankees over under 95 and a half here um same total as the red [23:19] socks ironically juiced a little bit to the over at minus 125 the under minus 105 i'm gonna go over [23:26] with the yankees paulie”
The Yankees finished 103-59 in 2019, far over the 95.5 win total, so the over (-125) wins.
“the diamond backs bottom out the year yeah this is the year they [30:34] bought them out i'm with you i like that one as well”
The Diamondbacks finished 85-77 in 2019, above 77.5, so the under (-140) loses.
“They're, I think, a three-and-a-half-point favorite. [7:06] I'll lay it.”
GIA 164, LEB 178 — Team LeBron margin +14 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I am going with Dennis Smith Jr. in this one, actually.”
Hamidou Diallo won the 2019 NBA Dunk Contest, not Dennis Smith Jr., so this loses.
“I'm changing my Joe Harris.”
Joe Harris won the 2019 NBA Three-Point Contest (over Stephen Curry), so the +674 cashes.
“I'm taking Jokic.”
Jayson Tatum won the 2019 NBA Skills Challenge, not Nikola Jokic, so this loses.
“I'm betting on the Kansas City Chiefs.”
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV over the 49ers on Feb 2, 2020, so this future cashes.
“First round pick, Patriots, money line. [15:51] Bet it, cash it, game over. [15:53] Patriots aren't losing this game.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“My next pick is going to be Todd Gurley under 123.5 rushing and receiving yards.”
Todd Gurley totaled roughly 36 rushing+receiving yards (35 rush, 1 rec) in Super Bowl LIII, well under 123.5 for the under.
“I'm going to go with some odds here and take plus 900. It's a bumble.”
The NFL's "100-Year Game" won USA Today's Super Bowl LIII Ad Meter, not Bumble, so the +900 loses.
“It is both teams to make a field goal of 33 yards or more.”
Gostkowski hit 42- and 41-yard field goals and Zuerlein hit a 53-yarder, so both teams made a 33+ yard field goal — Yes cashes.
“Don't lay the points. [8:30] Just go on the money line. [8:31] Be confident in the win.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — New England Patriots won; moneyline covers.
“I bet them last night. I am waiting.”
NO 23, LAR 26 — New Orleans Saints margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“I like Kansas City here I remember when these two teams played earlier in the year at Foxborough and New England won the game by what was it three points”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I think this is an over.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Combined 68; over 55 covers.
“I've been on the Saints all year.”
The Saints lost the NFC Championship to the Rams and did not reach Super Bowl LIII, so the future loses.
“I'm going with Jared Goff for the value.”
Jared Goff threw for 391 yards in the NFC Championship, the most of any QB across both conference title games that weekend (Brees 346, Brady 343, Mahomes 295) — the 'most passing yards' prop cashes at +285. (Goff 391, Brees 346, Brady 343, Mahomes 295)
“But I am taking Kansas City. [17:50] I think they are the better team. [17:51] I don't think they're going to play some ridiculous soft zone all day [17:55] and let Tom Brady dink and dunk all over them all day long like the Chargers did.”
KC 31, NE 37 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“Yeah, I'm on the chalk here, Shorty. [23:16] I got the Chiefs and the Saints. [23:17] I think they're the two best teams.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; neither the Chiefs nor the Saints advanced, so the Chiefs-and-Saints exact-matchup bet loses.
“Kansas City's the play here. [9:05] Lay the five and a half.”
KC 31, IND 13 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +18 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I bet Dallas at the seven. [13:16] I took the seven. [13:17] I don't love it. [13:18] I don't feel great about it, but I think Dallas is the right side.”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I think the Chargers win this game outright.”
NE 41, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm on the Eagles. [28:04] To be fair, I took the Eagles when it opened to plus 10. [28:07] 10 is too many points to give Big Dick Nick.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +10; covers.
“Chicago White Sox over 74 and a half wins.”
The White Sox finished 72-89 in 2019, under 74.5 wins, so the over loses.
“I'm taking Clemson on the money line here. I like them to win this”
ALA 16, CLEM 44 — Clemson Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“The more I talking about this I betting the Chiefs right now”
KC 31, IND 13 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +18 vs line -6; covers.
“uh i bet dallas already plus”
LAR 30, DAL 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“the Chargers here. I bet this as soon as this line”
NE 41, LAC 28 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I took silly plus 10.”
NO 20, PHI 14 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +10; covers.
“Dallas minus one against Seattle.”
DAL 24, SEA 22 — Dallas Cowboys margin +2 vs line -1; covers.
“I also like the over.”
BAL 17, LAC 23 — Combined 40; over 41 busts.
“Over Texans Colts 47.5.”
HOU 7, IND 21 — Combined 28; over 47.5 busts.
“First game I bet.”
CHI 15, PHI 16 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Chargers by 4.5. [2:39] Bingo! [2:40] Make it rain. Let's do it.”
LAC 10, BAL 22 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -12 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Give me the bills. [8:02] Give me Josh Allen. [8:04] Give me the points. [8:05] The dynasty's over.”
NE 24, BUF 12 — Buffalo Bills margin -12 vs line +13; covers.
“I like Houston. [13:52] Darren likes Houston. [13:54] Darren likes J.J. Watt.”
PHI 32, HOU 30 — Houston Texans margin -2 vs line +2.5; covers.
“And you want the Chiefs minus two and a half. [28:26] And the Chiefs minus two and a half.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“We're still taking the Browns.”
DEN 16, CLE 17 — Cleveland Browns margin +1 vs line +3; covers.
“So we're going to take Miami.”
MIN 41, MIA 17 — Miami Dolphins margin -24 vs line +7; busts.
“Don't care. Don't care. Don't care. Seattle.”
SF 26, SEA 23 — Seattle Seahawks margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I like the Browns here catching the two and a half.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns margin +6 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But you're going to give me two and a half? [24:35] All day long, Arizona.”
ARI 3, DET 17 — Arizona Cardinals margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Take the Patriots. [28:58] It's seven and a half. [28:59] They're going to kill the Dolphins.”
MIA 34, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin -1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I like the Bears here at home plus the three.”
CHI 15, LAR 6 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +3; covers.
“I'm taking the Knights on the road Saturday, 4 p.m. Eastern, Golden Knights. [10:10] Moneyline.”
LA 5, VGK 1 — Vegas Golden Knights lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me the Patriots. [19:15] I'm laying the eight points.”
MIA 34, NE 33 — New England Patriots margin -1 vs line -8; busts.
“love the Jets take [27:10] them on the money line Blackjack says so I'm taking the Jets on the money line”
WPG 7, PHI 1 — Winnipeg Jets won; moneyline covers.
“Colts, lay the points. [9:37] This is a double-digit win.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -4; busts.
“We're going to take the Chiefs. [22:57] I'll break you in half. [22:58] We're going to take the Chiefs in this game.”
OAK 33, KC 40 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +7 vs line -14.5; busts.
“actually I like Minnesota here [24:42] me too [24:42] let's do it”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“That seems like a lock, actually, to me now that I think about it. [27:02] The minus four, is it four and a half or four? [27:04] Four. [27:04] Four. [27:05] That seems like a lock.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Indianapolis Colts margin -6 vs line -4; busts.
“Give me the Redskins and the points.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Washington Redskins margin -8 vs line +7; busts.
“I bet this line as soon as I saw it. [9:37] I love the Saints. [9:38] You and I both have futures on them. [9:40] Everyone knows that. [9:41] but you can't lay 13 in a divisional game with an offense as dangerous as the Falcons. [9:46] I like the Falcons.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Atlanta Falcons margin -14 vs line +13; busts.
“Jacksonville all day long [11:05] These are still the Buffalo Bills Chad”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“You want to bet a good team? [20:17] New England. [20:17] Lay it. [20:18] Done.”
NYJ 13, NE 27 — New England Patriots margin +14 vs line -9.5; covers.
“And I'm going to take Kansas City on the money line [3:46] At plus 150 at a lot of books [3:48] I like the Chiefs outright in this game”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.
“Cowboys are seven-and-a-half-point favorites here. [12:52] I'm taking the Redskins.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Washington Redskins margin -8 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I am taking the Wolfpack, minus six, against the Tar Heels.”
UNC 28, NCST 34 — NC State Wolfpack margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“The Bills hosting the Jaguars taking the Jaguars minus three and a half”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“The fact that this is only three and a half is a gift Lay the three and a half Dallas offense cannot hang with this Atlanta offense”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Yeah, the Chiefs absolutely catching 3.5 here. [34:51] Like, when they moved this game back to L.A. and it was 3.5, you got to take it.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“You give Leonard Fournette the ball 35 times in this game and don't even think about Blake Bortles.”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I think Arizona can keep this within 17”
KC 26, ARI 14 — Arizona Cardinals margin -12 vs line +16.5; covers.
“Cowboys are a bad team. [32:37] The Eagles, Golden Tate, nice addition, have a week to work him into the system.”
PHI 20, DAL 27 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -7 vs line -6.5; busts.
“They're laying 18 at UConn, and I can't lay those 18 quick enough.”
UCONN 50, SMU 62 — SMU Mustangs margin +12 vs line -18; busts.
“Taking Ohio State minus three and a half.”
MSU 6, OSU 26 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +20 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm taking Troy over Georgia State in a pick-em.”
GASO 21, TROY 35 — Troy Trojans margin +14 vs line +0; covers.
“You have to take Carolina here.”
CAR 36, BAL 21 — Carolina Panthers margin +15 vs line +2; covers.
“Green Bay at Los Angeles Rams Rams by nine and a half Packers so pack all day long all day Aaron”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +9.5; covers.
“This is Vikings all the way.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +0; busts.
“This is the easiest play on the board.”
BUF 6, NE 25 — New England Patriots margin +19 vs line -13.5; covers.
“Let's go with the Browns.”
TB 26, CLE 23 — Cleveland Browns margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“This is a good spot to hedge. [15:07] Let's go with the Saints.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“So we're going to take the Chiefs here, right? [18:06] I guess so.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +35 vs line -6; covers.
“The Redskins at home with this line, that's the right side.”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Washington Redskins margin +6 vs line -1; covers.
“I love Denver at 7. [18:45] This is the Westgate just giving it to us.”
DEN 20, LAR 23 — Denver Broncos margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“We are the Tennessee Titans, plus 2.5 against the Baltimore Ravens.”
TEN 0, BAL 21 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Give me the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 13, TEN 12 — Buffalo Bills margin +1 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I love the Cardinals this week more than anything I can imagine this football season.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals margin +10 vs line +4; covers.
“You're getting a home underdog in which their opponent is getting nearly 80% of the action.”
CLE 12, BAL 9 — Cleveland Browns margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“I have bet them on the money line.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Arizona Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“I released a goddamn video [24:26] in front of a green screen yesterday [24:28] afternoon taking them on the money line.”
OAK 45, CLE 42 — Cleveland Browns lost; moneyline busts.
“i'm taking the three points with new orleans”
ATL 37, NO 43 — New Orleans Saints margin +6 vs line +3; covers.
“Kansas City may still win this game but I kind of like San Francisco catching six and a half here”
KC 38, SF 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -11 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I can handle laying two points here.”
SEA 24, DAL 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +11 vs line -2; covers.
“I think this is a yes for us. [9:05] I think so too. [9:05] I like the Colts plus six.”
WSH 9, IND 21 — Indianapolis Colts margin +12 vs line +6; covers.
“at a pick i would lean to houston here”
TEN 20, HOU 17 — Houston Texans margin -3 vs line +0; busts.
“It's all about the hook to me. [31:08] Three and a half. [31:09] I like it.”
CHI 24, SEA 17 — Seattle Seahawks margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
“New York Giants, plus three against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
NYG 15, JAX 20 — New York Giants margin -5 vs line +3; busts.
“Plus three against the Indianapolis Colts.”
IND 23, CIN 34 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Tennessee Titans minus one and a half over the Miami Dolphins.”
MIA 27, TEN 20 — Tennessee Titans margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Denver Broncos minus three over the Seattle Seahawks.”
DEN 27, SEA 24 — Denver Broncos margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“We are betting a million dollars on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus three and a half against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 21, PIT 21 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +0 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I loved it at 7 [9:56] I played it at 7 [9:56] we're moving on”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Baltimore Ravens margin +44 vs line -7; covers.