Guest · 42-52-4 on settled picks
| League | spread | moneyline | futures | prop | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 27-27-5% | 3-3-5% | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 32-36-10% |
| CBB | 0-2 | 1-4-62% | 0-2 | — | — | 1-8-79% |
| NBA | 2-1 | — | 1-2 | — | — | 3-3+93% |
| MLB | — | — | 2-3-26% | — | — | 2-3-26% |
“insane that you're getting six points with the Toronto [22:52] Raptors. If you don't bet the Raptors at six, [22:54] get your head examined.”
123-109 — Raptors beat Warriors 123-109 in Game 3 of the 2019 NBA Finals (June 5, 2019); Toronto's 14-point margin covers +6 (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, but I got to get back to the office. Number one, have you made any NFL futures bets? I feel like we're going to have to start thinking about that for a show soon. I have not. I have. It's too soon. No, it's not. It's too soon. It's not too soon to bet on the Colts. I bet I'm at 18 to 1.”
KC 31, SF 20 — The Kansas City Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl LIV on February 2, 2020; the Colts finished 2019 at 7-9 and missed the playoffs entirely, so Colts-to-win-the-Super-Bowl loses.
“I got the Mets to win the NL.”
WSH 4, STL 0 (NLCS) — The Washington Nationals won the 2019 NL pennant (swept St. Louis 4-0) and went on to win the World Series; the Mets finished 86-76 and missed the playoffs, so Mets-to-win-the-NL loses.
“And to win the World Series.”
WSH 4, HOU 3 — The Washington Nationals won the 2019 World Series over Houston 4-3; the Mets finished 86-76 and missed the playoffs entirely, so Mets-to-win-the-World-Series loses.
“You're making me feel good because I laid the seven and a half tonight with Golden State, so I like it.”
GS 114, POR 111 — Golden State beat Portland 114-111 in West Finals Game 2 (May 16, 2019), a 3-point margin that falls short of the -7.5 spread, so Warriors -7.5 busts.
“I'm laying the five with Virginia”
63-62 — Virginia beat Auburn 63-62 in the 2019 Final Four national semifinal on April 6, 2019, a margin of +1, which does not cover the -5 spread, so the Virginia -5 bet loses.
“I bet Virginia Tech on the money line.”
75-73 — Duke beat Virginia Tech 75-73 in the Sweet 16 on Mar 29, 2019, so Virginia Tech ML lost.
“That line, I think, is 7.5. I like that pick a lot. I'm going to grab the 7.5, and I certainly like the money line. But, Mike, I have to ask this because you just said a minute ago when Chad asked you his very broad question about your power rankings, you had Duke, I believe, number three in there, and said that this was a familiar game for Duke as part of the reason why you had them ranked so high. So then why is betting Virginia Tech on the money line a good bet? Well, the reason is this, because when I did the power rankings, I looked at likelihood to win the title. I don't think Virginia Tech can put the games together to win a title. I think Duke can. Now, I don't think Duke's going to get by this game, but the winner of this game to me is absolutely winning the next game. So I think this is an odd one, but if you think about it, it makes sense. Duke has a better chance to win the title than Virginia Tech, but they've got to get by this game. It was similar to my Buffalo-Texas Tech thought the other day. Whoever wins that game I thought was making the Final Four, and I thought this was the toughest game for Buffalo. So if you're asking me for a future, I'm not betting Virginia Tech to win the title, but I think Duke is, even though the odds aren't good, is a better bet to win the title. But this is the tough game they have to get through. I love his logic. By the way, I am all in on Virginia Tech only because of Stucky and Randall.”
75-73 — Duplicate Virginia Tech ML pick on the same game; Duke won 75-73 on Mar 29, 2019, so it lost.
“I'll bet you right now. They're not winning the game. They're big. The way Irvine does this, by the way, is if Oregon upsets Wisconsin, they play Oregon in the round of 32, and then it's a much easier opponent to play. Agreed, but they're not winning against Kansas State. Oh, my God. They are so winning against Kansas State. No, they're not. They got no shot.”
70-64 — UC Irvine upset Kansas State 70-64 on Mar 22, 2019, so Kansas State ML lost.
“Schwartz, you wind in on this? Anyone want to take some Wisconsin action? I'll take Wisconsin. Who are they playing? Oregon. Oregon. I'm going to root for you. I can't root against you. I'll take Wisconsin. Although they might score like 90 points total in that game. Let's do it. You're at Arizona State tonight. St. John's. Are you? I mean, come on. Here's the thing. My father went to St. John's, and so me and my father already made a bet. Okay. Hold on. Now I've got to start making notes because I've got to remember who's got what. Everyone knows that Paul LeDuc can't make more than one bet. I want to chat. I'm going to ask you a trivia question. My father went to St. John's in inception. Guess who his baseball coach was? Luis Carlos II. Great call. He was the baseball and basketball coach. How good was that? Legend. Louis Karnasek. But that's like Trivial Pursuit, right? Like if they give you a question, it's generally going to be the one thing that you know. That is true. He was the baseball basketball player. The only thing I know about St. John's is like Louis Karnasek. Yep. All right. So right now, Schwartz and Blackjack are on the opposite sides of Wisconsin, Oregon. And I am on the opposite side of UC Irvine and Kansas State. I have UC Irvine. Blackjack and Paul both have Kansas State.”
72-54 — Oregon beat Wisconsin 72-54 in the first round on Mar 22, 2019, so Oregon ML won.
“So you like Wofford there? I do. The Terriers? You want to bet this one, too? I like Wofford at minus three, sure. Another 50? Yeah. Another 50? Let's do it. Okay.”
84-68 — Wofford beat Seton Hall 84-68 on Mar 21, 2019, so Seton Hall +3 failed to cover.
“You don't think UCF beats VCU? I don't. Oh, I do. Oh, sorry, bet. You want to do it again? Bet me 50 bucks. All right, fine, let's do it.”
73-58 — UCF beat VCU 73-58 on Mar 22, 2019, so VCU ML lost.
“So I'm going to go with Virginia at plus 200 in the ACC tournament.”
Duke 73, Florida State 63 — Duke beat Florida State 73-63 to win the 2019 ACC tournament; Virginia lost to Florida State 59-69 in the semifinal, so the +200 Virginia futures bet loses.
“so you need me plus 250 on kansas in the big 12 that's where i'm gonna go”
Iowa State 78, Kansas 66 — Iowa State beat Kansas 78-66 in the 2019 Big 12 tournament championship game; Kansas did not win, so the +250 futures bet loses.
“it's the washington nationals they're over under is 87 and a half and i think [6:32] this is an absolute over the nationals”
The Nationals finished the 2019 regular season 93-69, clearing the 87.5 win total, so the over wins. (Nationals 93-69)
“the yankees over under 95 and a half here um same total as the red [23:19] socks ironically juiced a little bit to the over at minus 125 the under minus 105 i'm gonna go over [23:26] with the yankees paulie”
The Yankees finished the 2019 regular season 103-59, far over the 95.5 win total, so the over wins. (Yankees 103-59)
“It's Team LeBron. He's stacked that team. I mean, LeBron, Kevin Durant, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving. The team is loaded, man. There's no way they're losing that game. They're, I think, a three-and-a-half-point favorite. I'll lay it.”
178-164 — Team LeBron beat Team Giannis 178-164 in the 2019 NBA All-Star Game; margin of 14 covers the -3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“What's next? Who wins the dunk contest? I hear Dennis Smith Jr. is the favorite. I'm sure you've got great analysis on this one. I am going with Dennis Smith Jr. in this one, actually.”
Hamidou Diallo won the 2019 NBA Slam Dunk Contest, not Dennis Smith Jr., so this futures bet loses.
“For the three-point contest, I am on – who was I on again? Joe Harris at plus 674. You're on Seth Curry at plus 466. So we have a $25 bet on that one.”
Joe Harris won the 2019 NBA Three-Point Contest, beating Stephen Curry in the final, so the futures pick on Harris cashes.
“All right, another 25. I'm taking Jokic. You're taking Donchic. Mm-hmm. All right. Deal. Done. What else we got? Wasn't that everything? It was everything, right? Those were all the ones we're going to do. To run it down, we are both on Team LeBron at minus three and a half. For the three-point contest, I am on – who was I on again? Joe Harris at plus 674. You're on Seth Curry at plus 466. So we have a $25 bet on that one. On the Skills Challenge, you are on Luka. I am on Nikola. Luka is at plus 400. Nikola is at plus 500. We have a $25 bet on that one.”
Jayson Tatum won the 2019 NBA Skills Challenge, beating Nikola Jokic in the semifinal before winning the final; Jokic did not win, so this futures bet loses.
“First round pick, Patriots, money line. [15:51] Bet it, cash it, game over. [15:53] Patriots aren't losing this game.”
NE 13, LAR 3 — Patriots beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII; the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“My next pick is going to be Todd Gurley II under 123.5 rushing and receiving yards.”
Todd Gurley totaled 34 yards from scrimmage in Super Bowl LIII (35 rushing, -1 receiving), well under the 123.5 line (ESPN box score). (Todd Gurley: 35 rushing yards, -1 receiving yards (34 total))
“It is both teams to make a field goal of 33 yards or more.”
Both kickers made a field goal of 33+ yards in Super Bowl LIII: Stephen Gostkowski hit 42- and 41-yard field goals for the Patriots, and Greg Zuerlein hit a 53-yarder for the Rams (ESPN box score). (Gostkowski FG: 42, 41 yds; Zuerlein FG: 53 yds)
“New England and I will say this if you're going to take the Patriots like I have don't fuck around with the point spread Lay the little bit of juice. What is it? Minus 135, 140. Because the Patriots do tend to play close Super Bowls, right? They tend to be involved in close games. You're stepping on my comeback. Don't. Shut the fuck up. Don't lay the points. Just go on the money line. Be confident in the win.”
NE 13, LAR 3 — Patriots beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII; the moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I've been on the Saints all year.”
The Saints lost the NFC Championship to the Rams 26-23 in OT and did not reach Super Bowl LIII, so the future loses (ESPN box score).
“Most passing yards this weekend. Patrick Mahomes, plus 185. 185, Tom Brady plus 200, Drew Brees plus 225, or Jared Goff plus 285? I'm going with Jared Goff for the value.”
Across the conference championship weekend, Tom Brady threw for the most passing yards (348) beating New England's Patrick Mahomes (295), while Jared Goff had 297 and Drew Brees 249; Goff was not the yardage leader, so the +285 prop loses (ESPN box scores). (Brady 348, Goff 297, Mahomes 295, Brees 249)
“show let get a couple uh a couple other things looking at kind of just some other props around around football and one baseball one We get to a second All right Exact matchup for the Superbowl There's obviously four matchups. The one I like the best guys, and I can read them off. New Orleans, Kansas city plus one 65, new England, new Orleans, two 60 LA, Kansas city plus three 25 and new England and Los Angeles. Plus four. So I like Kansas city and the Rams at plus three 25. Obviously, one home team, one road team win this weekend. Plus, I have future bets on myself for New England and the Chiefs to win. New England and the Saints to win their conferences, so I can obviously hedge this here. But I like the Rams and the Chiefs for this bet. What do you guys like? Yeah, I'm on the chalk here, Shorty. I got the Chiefs and the Saints. I think they're the two best teams. I think they've been the two best teams all year. I think that's what we're looking at. Kansas City, New Orleans.”
Super Bowl LIII was Patriots vs Rams (Patriots won 13-3); neither the Chiefs nor the Saints reached the Super Bowl, so the Chiefs+Saints exact-matchup future loses (ESPN box scores).
“Kansas City's the play here. [9:05] Lay the five and a half.”
KC 31-13 — Chiefs beat Colts 31-13 in the Divisional Round; Kansas City's 18-point margin clears the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet Dallas at the seven. [13:16] I took the seven. [13:17] I don't love it. [13:18] I don't feel great about it, but I think Dallas is the right side.”
LAR 30-22 — Rams beat Cowboys 30-22 in the Divisional Round; Dallas lost by 8, outside the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm on the Eagles. [28:04] To be fair, I took the Eagles when it opened to plus 10. [28:07] 10 is too many points to give Big Dick Nick.”
NO 20-14 — Saints beat Eagles 20-14 in the Divisional Round; Philadelphia lost by only 6, covering the +10 spread (ESPN box score).
“Chicago White Sox over 74 and a half wins.”
The White Sox finished the 2019 regular season 72-89, under the 74.5 win total (ESPN MLB standings).
“I'll go one step further, Jeff. I don't think there is a gap in talent between these two teams. I'm taking Clemson on the money line here. I like them to win this football game. I think we've seen Alabama in situations this year be pushed a little bit, especially against Georgia in the second half against Oklahoma. Clemson is not scared of this team, Jeff. There's no intimidation when Clemson goes on the field against Alabama. They've played them before. They've beaten them before. Clemson, with Trevor Lawrence out there healthy, has just as good a weapons offensively as Alabama does. They've got great experience on that team. Their line play is solid. They're stout on both lines. I like Clemson. At plus 176 right now, I'm going to take a shot at Clemson to win this thing.”
CLEM 44-16 — Clemson beat Alabama 44-16 outright in the CFP National Championship, so the Clemson moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“um i was there are two lines that surprised me this is one of them uh i bet dallas already plus seven i i i i i can't believe this line is what it is um the rams have been bullied when they”
LAR 30-22 — Los Angeles Rams beat Dallas Cowboys 30-22 in the NFC Divisional Round, a margin of -8, missing the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm all over the Chargers here. I bet this as soon as this line came out, a plus four and a half”
NE 41-28 — New England Patriots beat Los Angeles Chargers 41-28 in the AFC Divisional Round, a margin of -13, missing the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“This was the first game I bet because I caught it at 10 when it opened at 10. I took silly plus 10. I think the Eagles, you know, there's something else about this Eagles team, Jeff.”
NO 20-14 — New Orleans Saints beat Philadelphia Eagles 20-14 in the NFC Divisional Round, a margin of -6, covering the +10 spread (ESPN box score).
“Dallas minus one against Seattle.”
DAL 24-22 — Dallas Cowboys beat Seattle Seahawks 24-22 in the NFC Wild Card game, a margin of +2, covering the -1 spread (ESPN box score).
“L.A. Chargers at the Baltimore Ravens. Los Angeles charges. Don't do that. Don't do that. The Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore minus 2.5. The total is 41. The Chargers are plus 120 on the money line. If we were in the super contest right now, you know what I would say? Pass. Oh, God. Oh, God. Yeah. I mean, probably. But I actually, I like the Chargers here on the money line. And I'm going to go one more. I also like the over. This total is stupid. Stupidly low. Stupid total. You can convince me on the over.”
LAC 23-17 — Los Angeles Chargers beat Baltimore Ravens 23-17, a combined 40 points, under the 41 total (ESPN box score).
“Over Texans Colts 47.5.”
IND 21-7 — Indianapolis Colts beat Houston Texans 21-7, a combined 28 points, under the 47.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Philadelphia Eagles at the Chicago Bears. My Chicago Bears. Oh, I guess I know where you're going on that one, then. Chicago Bears are six-point favorites. First game, I bet. Really five and a half. First game I bet. This total is 41. Philadelphia is basically plus 200 on the money line. If it's the first game you bet, here's where I think you're going. I think you bet the Bears minus 5.5. Nope. Other side. I think you bet the Eagles plus 5.5. You got it.”
PHI 16-15 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Chicago Bears 16-15 (Cody Parkey's missed field goal), a margin of +1, covering the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“at Los Angeles Chargers Chargers by 4.5. Bingo! Make it rain. Let's do it.”
BAL 22, LAC 10 — Ravens beat Chargers 22-10; Los Angeles -4.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Our games this week are New Orleans minus six, hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chicago on the road at San Francisco. We have Buffalo plus 13 against the Patriots.”
NE 24, BUF 12 — Patriots beat Bills 24-12; Buffalo +13 covers (ESPN box score).
“Houston at Philadelphia. Eagles by two and a half. I'm struggling with this one. All, like, every wise guy has bet the Eagles. Yeah. When I did the podcast with Scooch on Wednesday, the favorites podcast, we talked about the Eagles. And he's like, yeah, I'm taking the Eagles. I think he took the Eagles and Scooch roulette. You know what worries me here? I like the Eagles, too. But why the hell should they be favored in this game? I don't get it. Because of the last week. Yeah, but, I mean, that just, everything you've seen for 15 weeks tells you Houston is the better football team. I like them with Foles. I think that for whatever reason, their offense is better with Foles, at least right now. But am I going to lay points with them against a Texans team that really is motoring down the stretch here? Really good. They don't need to do anything on defense to bring pressure other than get the four guys at the defensive line. Do we take the points? This feels like, yeah, Darren's shaking his head. I like Houston.”
PHI 32, HOU 30 — Eagles beat Texans 32-30; Houston +2.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“And you want the Chiefs minus two and a half. [28:26] And the Chiefs minus two and a half.”
SEA 38, KC 31 — Seahawks beat Chiefs 38-31; Kansas City -2.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Cleveland at Denver. Broncos by three. She said Cleveland at Denver. Broncos by three. Cleveland. Cleveland all day. 101,000%. We are so on the Cleveland Browns in this game.”
CLE 17, DEN 16 — Browns beat Broncos 17-16; Cleveland +3 covers (ESPN box score).
“Seattle at San Francisco. Seahawks by four and a half. Seahawks, the Seabirds, the. you know, our feathered friends of the ocean They favored by four and a half at San Francisco I will tell you I will tell you Seattle I will tell you The wise guys are all over San Francisco in this game Don't care. Don't care. Don't care. Seattle.”
SF 26, SEA 23 — 49ers beat Seahawks 26-23 in OT; Seattle -4.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Carolina at Cleveland, Panthers by two and a half. Give it to me, baby. Come on, come on. I know we're going to agree on this one. Give it to me. I love the Browns. Yeah, me too. You do? I'm going to go one step further, Chad I don't think Ron Rivera makes it back from Cleveland Well, now you're just being an idiot The Panthers are done Done I was big on this team a month ago Since then, they have come out In four consecutive weeks And laid four eggs One bigger than the next This team is donezo They're not making the playoffs They're finished Matt Ford, our producer who's got like literally three Carolina Panthers futures bets at all different numbers is probably going to cash one, maybe one, maybe none of them. The Panthers stink, and the Browns at home, they're a different team. They're a different team in Cleveland. I like the Browns here catching the two and a half.”
CLE 26, CAR 20 — Cleveland Browns beat Carolina Panthers 26-20 outright, covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“But you're going to give me two and a half? [24:35] All day long, Arizona.”
DET 17, ARI 3 — Detroit Lions beat Arizona Cardinals 17-3; Cardinals lost by 14, busting the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Take the Patriots. [28:58] It's seven and a half. [28:59] They're going to kill the Dolphins.”
MIA 34, NE 33 — Miami Dolphins beat New England Patriots 34-33 on a last-play lateral touchdown (the 'Miami Miracle'); Patriots lost outright, busting the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I like the Bears here at home plus the three.”
CHI 15, LAR 6 — Chicago Bears beat Los Angeles Rams 15-6 outright, covering the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm taking the Knights on the road Saturday, 4 p.m. Eastern, Golden Knights. [10:10] Moneyline.”
LA 5, VGK 1 — Kings beat Golden Knights 5-1, so the Vegas Golden Knights moneyline loses.
“I don't care that they struggle in Miami. You know what I do care about? That everyone listening to this has already gone and bet Miami plus nine, and the number's now down to eight. All right? Give me the Patriots. I'm laying the eight points. They are the only certainty in the NFL. Week in, week out, they not only win games,”
MIA 34, NE 33 — Dolphins beat Patriots 34-33 on the walk-off Miami Miracle lateral play; New England lost outright, outside the -8 line, so Patriots -8 busts.
“love the Jets take [27:10] them on the money line Blackjack says so I'm taking the Jets on the money line”
WPG 7, PHI 1 — Jets beat Flyers 7-1, so the Winnipeg Jets moneyline wins.
“Indianapolis at Jacksonville. Colts by four. Colts. The Jags are donezo. Cody Kessler is starting at quarterback. The Colts are hot. Colts, lay the points. This is a double-digit win.”
JAX 6, IND 0 — Jaguars shut out the Colts 6-0; Indianapolis lost outright, well outside the -4 line, so Colts -4 busts.
“Alright so our games Colts minus 4 on the road That's a fucking error That's the best game we've got Chad The Jaguars quit Denver minus 4.5 on the road Jeff Driscoll The Rams the Lions plus nine and a half at home. That's a good one. That's the right side. The Chiefs minus 14 and a half”
KC 40, OAK 33 — Chiefs beat Raiders 40-33, winning by only 7, short of the -14.5 line, so Chiefs -14.5 busts.
“I can't wait to take more of your money. the Vikings plus five. Those are our games, right? Yeah. Five games.”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Patriots beat Vikings 24-10; Minnesota lost by 14, outside the +5 line, so Vikings +5 busts.
“Cowboys by seven. Love it. What do you love about this? Which side? The Redskins. Give me the Redskins and the points.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Cowboys beat Redskins 31-23 on Thanksgiving; Washington margin -8 fails the +7 line (ESPN final).
“I bet this line as soon as I saw it. [9:37] I love the Saints. [9:38] You and I both have futures on them. [9:40] Everyone knows that. [9:41] but you can't lay 13 in a divisional game with an offense as dangerous as the Falcons. [9:46] I like the Falcons.”
NO 31, ATL 17 — Saints beat Falcons 31-17 on Thanksgiving; Atlanta margin -14 fails the +13 line (ESPN final).
“All right, here's what we got. Washington Redskins plus 7 against the Dallas Cowboys. Atlanta Falcons plus 13 against the New Orleans Saints. Jacksonville Jaguars minus three at Buffalo. That's three so far.”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Bills beat Jaguars 24-21; Jacksonville margin -3 fails the -3 line (needed to win by more than 3) (ESPN final).
“New England at New York Jets. Patriots by nine and a half. There it is. You want to bet a good team? New England. Lay it. Done.”
NE 27, NYJ 13 — Patriots beat Jets 27-13; New England margin +14 covers the -9.5 line (ESPN final).
“And I'm going to take Kansas City on the money line [3:46] At plus 150 at a lot of books [3:48] I like the Chiefs outright in this game”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Chiefs lost to the Rams 51-54; moneyline on Kansas City busts (ESPN box score).
“All right, for my first pick, I'm going to stick with Thanksgiving football. I'm going to look at the Redskins and the Cowboys. Cowboys are seven-and-a-half-point favorites here. I'm taking the Redskins. This is overvaluing the Cowboys.”
DAL 31, WSH 23 — Cowboys beat Redskins 31-23 on Thanksgiving; Washington margin -8 fails the +7.5 line (ESPN final).
“Yeah, brother, I'm sticking with college football. I'm going to Saturday afternoon, obviously rivalry weekend in college football. We've got a lot of in-state games going on, and I'm going to take a look at the Tar Heel State. We've got NC State visiting UNC. I am taking the Wolfpack, minus six, against the Tar Heels. I think this number should be bigger, man.”
NCST 34, UNC 28 — NC State beat North Carolina 34-28 in overtime; Wolfpack margin +6 exactly matches the -6 line, a push (ESPN final).
“The Bills hosting the Jaguars taking the Jaguars minus three and a half”
BUF 24, JAX 21 — Bills beat Jaguars 24-21; Jacksonville margin -3 fails the -3.5 line (ESPN final).
“The fact that this is only three and a half is a gift Lay the three and a half Dallas offense cannot hang with this Atlanta offense”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Dallas beat Atlanta 22-19; Falcons lost outright as a -3.5 favorite, busting the spread (ESPN box score).
“I absolutely like the Vikings here catching two and a half I would like the Vikings minus two [29:17] and a half, which is realistically what this line should be.”
CHI 25, MIN 20 — Chicago beat Minnesota 25-20; Vikings lost by 5, busting the +2.5 line (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, the Chiefs absolutely catching 3.5 here. [34:51] Like, when they moved this game back to L.A. and it was 3.5, you got to take it.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — LA Rams beat Kansas City 54-51 in the Monday-night shootout; Chiefs lost by 3, covering the +3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'd sprinkle a little something on the Chiefs' money line because that's a little juicy to me.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — LA Rams beat Kansas City 54-51; Chiefs lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Jacksonville at Indianapolis. Colts by three. Let's do it, baby. Over the Jaguars. Come what may, they make me say Jaguars every week. That's true. It's her best word. I have a love affair with this game. All right. Which side? Jacksonville Jaguars. I'm with you. I'm with you. Yeah, I'm with you. That's it? Yeah, I like Jacksonville on this spot. Love Jacksonville on this spot. Think about this. Two weeks ago, this line would have been flipped. This would have been Jacksonville. Yes. Such an overreaction. It's overreaction Sunday. Yeah, Jaguars. Look, the Jags' defense is still amazing. Yep, still really good. Their pass defense tops in the league in everything. They've had a little bit of time to get Carlos Hyde worked in. They had a bye week. Yeah. Blake Bortles gets a little bit smarter. They're not playing a very good defense. Blake Bortles is not getting smarter. Forget that for a second then. How about this? Leonard Fournette is healthy. You give Leonard Fournette the ball 35 times in this game and don't even think about Blake Bortles. And you give it to Carlos Hyde another 12. Done. That's it. I'm with you. We got one.”
IND 29, JAX 26 — Indianapolis beat Jacksonville 29-26; Jaguars lost by exactly 3, pushing against the +3 line (ESPN box score).
“Arizona and Kansas City Chiefs by Bloody Hell 16 and a Half You want to lay those points? Lay them. I kid. I kid. No, you got to take it. I'm doing everything in my power. You got to take it. We're in agreement. Yeah, you got to take the points. Why do you feel that way? You never feel that way. I'm higher on the Cardinals than most people. You know that. I've taken the Cardinals on the money line a few times this year. I'm higher on Arizona than most people. I like Josh Rosen. I think he'll put some points on the board. And Arizona's defense is playing better than people give it credit for. I think Arizona can keep this within 17”
KC 26, ARI 14 — Kansas City beat Arizona 26-14; Cardinals lost by 12, covering the +16.5 line (ESPN box score).
“Dallas at Philadelphia. Eagles by six and a half. Philly. Is there any part of you that thinks the Cowboys are the right side here No zero None Anything under seven I would lay The Cowboys There's so many ways. Cowboys are a bad team. The Eagles, Golden Tate, nice addition, have a week to work him into the system. Philadelphia, getting ready to make that push now. Off the Redskins loss last week, the injuries the Redskins have had on the offensive line, that division is still in sight for Philadelphia. I really think Golden Tate's going to be a big difference maker for them. The Cowboys, they're 3-5, man. It's a bad football team. That's a bad team. Flat out. Anything under 7, I'd lay.”
PHI 20, DAL 27 — Dallas beat Philadelphia 27-20; the Eagles lost outright as a -6.5 favorite, busting the spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to some college football here, Jeff, and I'm telling you what, there's a game here that I love. It's SMU and UConn. UConn is the worst college football team against the spread. You've pointed this out yourself, Jeff. They're an awful team. SMU, on the other hand, just took it to Houston this past Saturday. They're laying 18 at UConn, and I can't lay those 18 quick enough.”
SMU 62, UCONN 50 — SMU beat UConn 62-50, a 12-point margin that doesn't cover SMU -18, so this pick busts (ESPN box score).
“Taking Ohio State minus three and a half.”
OSU 26, MSU 6 — Ohio State beat Michigan State 26-6, a 20-point margin that covers Ohio State -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“All right, Blackjack, last pick you're up, bud. I'm taking Troy over Georgia State in a pick-em. Whoa. All right. Troy is a markedly better offense than Georgia State. Their defense is better than Georgia State. They're better on every side of the ball. The only reason this game is a pick is because it's at Georgia State. I think Troy goes in there, gets the job done, at a pick'em. Troy. I like this pick because you don't even know which Georgia team they're playing, so it's even better because it's Georgia Southern. There you go, Southern. You don't even care. It doesn't matter to you.”
TROY 35, GASO 21 — Troy beat Georgia Southern 35-21 outright, covering the pick'em line (ESPN box score).
“Baltimore and Carolina, Ravens by two. This game is stupid. This line makes no sense, Chad. Okay. You have to take Carolina here.”
CAR 36, BAL 21 — Panthers beat Ravens 36-21; Carolina's +15 margin covers the +2 line (ESPN box score).
“Green Bay at Los Angeles Rams Rams by nine and a half Packers so pack all day long all day Aaron”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Rams beat Packers 29-27; Green Bay's -2 margin covers the +9.5 line (ESPN box score).
“New Orleans and Minnesota. Pick'em. I got nothing on this. You know how I feel about the Saints? I got no read on this. This is Vikings all the way. This line is perfect. It's a pick'em.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Saints beat Vikings 30-20; Minnesota's -10 margin misses the pick'em line (ESPN box score).
“New England at Buffalo. Oh, boy. Patriots by 13 and a half. Chad don't Screw this up. How many times do I have to do this? First of all you sit here and you like to talk about the best of the number this number is 14 everywhere else We get it at 13 and a half, so that's good for us This Patriots team is doing what they do every October. They're rolling, Chad. Cover after cover after cover after cover. They put 30 on the board the last four weeks. They ragdoll the Buffalo Bills when the Bills are having a decent year. The Bills are having an awful season even by their standards. The Patriots are going to win this game 37-7. This is the easiest play on the board. You can't tell me Derek Anderson is hanging in this game, Chad. Okay. I'll tell you what. Tell you what. I'll tell you what. We can do it. But we're kicking one off. Okay. And it's not going to be the Vikings. You want to kick the Redskins? Yeah. All right. We'll take the Vikings and the Patriots. That's what I would choose.”
BUF 6, NE 25 — Patriots beat Bills 25-6; New England's +19 margin covers the -13.5 line (ESPN box score).
“Cleveland at Tampa Bay, Buccaneers by three Cleveland The only side I can be convinced on this is Tampa Bay No, no, stop it No, Tampa Bay, let me lay this out for you Tampa Bay has a defense that can stop nobody Absolutely nobody, okay Jameis Winston, what has been the knock on Jameis Winston Over the course of his career He can be wild he can overthrow He throws interceptions You have a Browns defense that is turning the ball over at an unbelievable rate They get pressure up front and you got Denzel Ward in the secondary who picking everything off And you want to lay points with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. No chance. I do. No chance. All right, I'll give you this one. I'll give it to you. I'll give this to you only so I have material for next week's show. I'm giving it to you. Yes, we'll do it. Let's go with the Browns.”
TB 26, CLE 23 — Buccaneers beat Browns 26-23 in overtime; Cleveland Browns +3 loses by exactly 3, pushes (ESPN box score).
“New Orleans at Baltimore, Ravens by two and a half. We're not going to agree unless you've changed your mind. It's the Ravens. No, it's not. You want to talk about buying teams at the peak of their value. That's what you're doing with the Ravens here. The Ravens go into Tennessee and beat up on the Titans, and now everyone's saying, oh, the Ravens, maybe they're not so bad anymore. Dude, the Saints are off a bye, okay? The Saints' offense is rolling. Mark Ingram's back. They get a bye week to get him back incorporated into this offense. you're telling me you want to lay points against Drew Brees and the Saints off a bye week. Yeah. No. I think I'm actually getting the Ravens at a low point here. A low point? I think we're getting like— What do you think this number should be? Probably Ravens by three. Chad, no. This is asinine. You're being difficult just to be difficult. Even your guy Scooch said this is the week to bet the Saints on the road And isn't he the person that you listen to out in Las Vegas? The guy who has his ear to the ground Even he said bet the Saints I think I might have already bet the Ravens I don care what you already bet You didn bet million on it Yeah I did All right, I'll tell you what. This is a good spot to hedge. Let's go with the Saints.”
NO 24, BAL 23 — Saints beat Ravens 24-23; New Orleans Saints +2.5 wins outright, covers (ESPN box score).
“So we're going to take the Chiefs here, right? I guess so. Yes! What do we got right now? So far we have the Browns at plus three. I'm looking at my board here. We have the Saints plus two and a half. The Redskins minus two. The Chiefs minus six. Oh, God, it makes me sick to even say that.”
KC 45, CIN 10 — Chiefs beat Bengals 45-10; Kansas City Chiefs -6 wins by 35, covers (ESPN box score).
“Carolina at Washington, Washington by one. This is a no-brainer. Just get it right. For once in your goddamn life, take off your hat, take off your sunglasses, do something real, and make the right call. Challenging me to do something real is not a road you want to go down, my friend. Trust me. It's not. I'm walking. I'm walking that path. I'm telling you right now, I like this game. the question. I like the Washington Redskins. Me too!”
WSH 23, CAR 17 — Redskins beat Panthers 23-17; Washington Redskins -1 covers by 6 (ESPN box score).
“Los Angeles Rams at Denver. Los Angeles by 6.5. This game is 7. It's 7 everywhere. Yeah, you're right. You're right. I love Denver at 7. This is the Westgate just giving it to us.”
LAR 23, DEN 20 — Rams beat Broncos 23-20; Denver Broncos +7 loses by only 3, covers (ESPN box score).
“We are the Tennessee Titans, plus 2.5 against the Baltimore Ravens.”
BAL 21, TEN 0 — Ravens shut out Titans 21-0; Tennessee Titans +2.5 loses by 21, busts (ESPN box score).
“Tennessee Buffalo Titans by three and a half. Give me the Buffalo Bills.”
BUF 13, TEN 12 — Bills beat Titans 13-12 on a walk-off field goal; Buffalo margin +1 vs +3.5 line covers (ESPN box score).
“Arizona at San Francisco, 49ers by four.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Cardinals beat 49ers 28-18; Arizona margin +10 vs +4 line covers (ESPN box score).
“This is Jacksonville or Cleveland? Are Jacksonville plus three or Cleveland plus three? Just think about that for one second, what you just said. this is Jacksonville plus three or Cleveland plus three. Now in your brain, I know because I'm looking at you, something goes off in your head and you know it's happening right now, but you don't want to admit it. There's something happening that's telling you this is ridiculous. I can't take Cleveland over Jacksonville. It is hard to say. Yes, I want the Browns against the Ravens instead of the Jaguars. Yep. As you pour yourself another. You know what? It's terrible, but it's in front of me. Fine. I'm doing this against all of my principles. Do you want the Browns that bad? Look, I just feel like I'm getting a home underdog. Oh, we're talking about feel? You scream at me for that every week. Tell me, do you honestly believe the Browns have a better chance of covering than Jacksonville? I do Fine, then let's take them Cleveland, fuck it, Cleveland”
CLE 12, BAL 9 — Browns beat Ravens 12-9 in overtime on a walk-off field goal; Cleveland margin +3 vs +3 line covers (Browns won outright) (ESPN box score).
“Arizona at San Francisco, 49ers by four. I have to tell you, this is my favorite game of the week. Me too. The Arizona Cardinals. Boom. I have bet them on the money line.”
SF 18, ARI 28 — Cardinals beat 49ers 28-18 outright; Arizona moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Cleveland at Oakland Oakland by two and a half Baker Mayfield He sounds ever so British Pick him Blackjack You fucking pick Baker Mayfield on this Blackjack and our relationship is over. You don't really pay a lot of attention to what goes on at your own company, do you? Did you already pick them? I released a goddamn video in front of a green screen yesterday afternoon taking them on the money line.”
45-42 — Raiders beat the Browns 45-42 in overtime (ESPN); Cleveland lost the moneyline bet.
“i'm taking the three points with new orleans”
43-37 — Saints beat Falcons 43-37 in OT; New Orleans +3 wins outright, covers (ESPN box score).
“Kansas City may still win this game but I kind of like San Francisco catching six and a half here”
27-38 — Chiefs beat 49ers 38-27; San Francisco +6.5 loses by 11, busts (ESPN box score).
“I can handle laying two points here. I like Seattle.”
13-24 — Seahawks beat Cowboys 24-13; Seattle -2 wins by 11, covers (ESPN box score).
“I think this is a yes for us. [9:05] I think so too. [9:05] I like the Colts plus six.”
21-9 — Colts beat Redskins 21-9; Colts +6 wins outright and covers (ESPN box score).
“We need to agree on four more games to win million Sure do time to be selective chad houston at tennessee pick him you go houston i mean i i feel like i don i don love it i don have a lot of conviction behind it tennessee's a mess i think we saw that with the miami game mariota banged up a little bit they say he's okay but he lost to laney walker that's a huge loss for them i mean who's he throwing the ball to who is catching the ball out of that backfield and if we know one thing about the texans defense it's tough to run on them they've got a massive front so derrick henry is going to struggle a little bit you know deshaun watson was a step slow i think it's going to take him a little bit to shake the rust off but at a pick i would lean to houston here you know what's interesting like this the texans are the other team that i bought a super bowl ticket on that was silly and um i'm being generous i i loved them so much last week against the patriots and they broke that turn out not good no not good it was ugly yeah really ugly yeah it was um as ugly as what i'm looking at right now and i will tell you it's i'm feeling a little burned but you're probably right i think this is the right side i think you made uh some cogent analysis there, Blackjack. Yeah, I know I did. I say that's a yes. All right. We got two games. Right now, we like the Indianapolis Colts plus six and the Houston Texans at Pickham.”
17-20 — Titans beat Texans 20-17; Texans pick'em loses outright (ESPN box score).
“I don't see them as the kind of team coming out and stepping on Seattle's throat. If they, if they do win this game, which I think they could, It's going to be a tooth and nail battle. I think it's the right number. Yeah, I agree with you. It's all about the hook to me. Three and a half. I like it.”
17-24 — Bears beat Seahawks 24-17; Seahawks +3.5 loses by 7, busts (ESPN box score).
“as much as it pains me to say this chat I couldn't [4:34] agree with you more I've been on the Giants for a while here three-point home favorite they draft [4:38] Saquon Barkley Beckham is back healthy they add Ogletree from the Rams to a defense that was [4:43] already pretty good Sterling Shepherd is back I don't see how the Giants don't [4:48] take a massive step forward this year and the Jaguars are primed for a step [4:52] backwards with Blake Bortles and Doug Marone still driving that bus so yeah I with you here Giants plus three”
JAX 20, NYG 15 — Jaguars beat Giants 20-15; Giants lost by 5, failing to cover +3 (ESPN box score).
“So now he's the savior returning to the field for the first time in a year and a half against the Tennessee Titans, who were a playoff team last year. The fact that you only have to lay one and a half here is a gift. And I think if you want to talk about your game theory I think very few people are going to play this game This game is not desirable to a lot of people But I find it very desirable I very excited right now I love this I love it I am so excited Not desirable to anybody”
MIA 27, TEN 20 — Dolphins beat Titans 27-20; Titans lost by 7, failing to cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“There's no reason that this shouldn't be a comfortable win for the Denver Broncos. We have a yes. We have our third yes. Okay. We now have the Denver Broncos as three-point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks.”
DEN 27, SEA 24 — Broncos beat Seahawks 27-24; Broncos margin +3 exactly matches -3, pushing (ESPN box score).
“I loved it at 7 I played it at 7 we're moving on”
BAL 47, BUF 3 — Ravens routed Bills 47-3; Ravens margin +44 easily covers -7 (ESPN box score).