Gilles Gallant

• Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown
• Drake May anytime touchdown

“You want to parlay Drake, May JSN and Kenneth Walker. Yeah”

None of the three scored a TD in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026): Walker rushed for 135 yards (MVP) but no TD, JSN had 0 TD, and Maye threw 2 TD passes but scored none himself. (Walker 0 TD; JSN 0 TD; Maye 0 rush/rec TD)

“let's take Drake May in the spot”

Drake Maye threw 2 TD passes but scored no rushing or receiving TD himself.

“I'm going to recycle a pick from last week, Jake Bobo, uh anytime touchdown anything at 10 to 1 or better he's around 11 to 1 right now at draft kings”

Jake Bobo recorded no reception and no touchdown in SB LX.

“Yeah, I'm going to take Keyshawn Booty. [7:04] He's around plus 280.”

Kayshon Boutte did not score (1 rec, 6 yards, 0 TD) in the Patriots' 10-7 AFC Championship win over the Broncos.

“shot bet for that game is drake may to score two touchdowns”

Drake Maye scored only one TD (a 6-yard rush) in the 10-7 AFC Championship win, falling short of 2+ touchdowns.

“i'm gonna go with the guy who won it last week uh rashid shaheed uh he's around plus 380”

Rashid Shaheed did not have the longest TD on the slate; Puka Nacua's 34-yard receiving TD was the longest.

“So give me Cortland Sutton around plus 200.”

Courtland Sutton did not score (4 rec, 53 yards, 0 TD) in the Broncos' 33-30 OT win over the Bills.

“So right around plus 350, [10:51] I think this is a solid spot for Tongass [10:52] to get another touchdown.”

Jake Tonges did not score (5 rec, 59 yards, 0 TD) in the 49ers' 41-6 loss to the Seahawks.

“I'm going to take Drake May for an anytime touchdown. [15:17] He's around plus 330.”

Drake Maye scored no rushing or receiving TD (3 passing TDs do not count) in the Patriots' 28-16 win over the Texans.

“And I like Tommy Trumbull as well He six to one”

Tommy Tremble caught all 3 targets for 22 yards but did not score in the Panthers' 34-31 loss to the Rams.

“and I'm going to take him actually to score two touchdowns. He's around plus 450 for that.”

Travis Etienne scored only 1 receiving TD, not the 2+ required, in the Jaguars' 27-24 loss to the Bills.

“I think Justin Herbert is who I'm [26:26] targeting right now at plus by 50.”

Justin Herbert threw for 159 yards with no rushing/receiving TD in the Chargers' 16-3 loss to the Patriots.

“it is Nico Collins He around plus 155”

Nico Collins had 3 catches for 21 yards and no TD in the Texans' 30-6 win over the Steelers.

“Jawan Jennings right now has just been an unreal touchdown run for him. [8:15] He's around plus one 90, eight touchdowns over the last eight games.”

Jauan Jennings caught 4 passes for 35 yards with no TD in the 49ers' 13-3 loss to Seattle.

“I'm gonna take Sam Darnold around plus 950 obviously there's no rushing touchdowns [8:56] yet this year for him”

Sam Darnold threw for 198 yards and rushed for 9 yards but did not score a rushing TD in Seattle's 13-3 win.

“so uh he's around plus 155 jackson dart is the other one that i like in this game”

George Pickens had one catch for 9 yards and did not score in the Cowboys' 34-17 loss to the Giants.

“jackson dart is the other one that i like in this game [17:08] he's around plus 170 he's got nine touchdowns this year”

Jaxson Dart threw two passing TDs but had no rushing TD (5 carries, 32 yards) in the Giants' 34-17 win.

“So what I'm going to do is I'm going to take both teams' defensive special teams touchdowns.”

No defensive or special-teams TD was scored by either team in the Vikings' 16-3 win over Green Bay.

“The Packers as well, though, they're alive for a defensive special teams touchdown,”

The Packers scored no defensive or special-teams TD (only a late field goal) in their 16-3 loss to Minnesota.

“But I'm going to take Jackson Hawes at plus 450.”

Bills beat Jets 35-8; Jackson Hawes had 1 reception for 0 yards and no touchdown.

“A.D. Mitchell at plus 350.”

In the Bills-Jets game (Jets' Adonai/A.D. Mitchell) he had 0 receptions and did not score in Buffalo's 35-8 win.

“I'm taking Trey McBride again at plus 160. It's just too good of odds to ignore from me.”

Trey McBride had 5 receptions for 58 yards and no touchdown in the Cardinals' 37-20 loss to the Rams.

“Terrence Fergus again around plus 450.”

Rams TE Terrance Ferguson had no receptions and did not score in the Rams' 37-20 win over Arizona.

“I'm going to take Isaiah Likely. [52:30] He's around 4-1.”

Isaiah Likely had 2 receptions for 32 yards and no TD in the Ravens' 26-24 loss to the Steelers.

“Yeah, I'm going to go with Amon Ross St. Brown to start off.”

Amon-Ra St. Brown had 8 catches for 68 yards with no touchdown in the Lions' 23-10 Christmas loss at Minnesota.

“So Mark Andrews at five to one, Luke Musgrave at four to one.”

Luke Musgrave did not score a touchdown in the Packers' 41-24 loss to Baltimore.

“And then on the Ravens side, Mark Andrews is right now five to one.”

Mark Andrews caught 4 passes for 28 yards with no touchdown in the Ravens' 41-24 win at Green Bay.

“Yeah, Kamiri Dike, we've given him out quite a few times on this show.”

Chimere Dike did not score in the Saints' 34-26 win at Tennessee (TDs: Estime rush, Olave/Austin rec, Young fumble return).

“I'm taking Taysom Hill.”

Taysom Hill did not score a rushing or receiving TD in the Saints' 34-26 win at Tennessee.

“Jalen Hurts to me I think is a little chalky, but, again,”

Jalen Hurts threw a 1-yard TD to Goedert but did not run or catch a TD himself in the Eagles' 13-12 win at Buffalo.

“i think kyle pitts is the guy we want”

Kyle Pitts did not score in the Falcons' 27-24 win over the Rams (Falcons TDs: Robinson rec + rush, Bates INT return).

“But on the Packers side, I'll start with Dontavian Wicks.”

Dontayvion Wicks had 2 catches for 12 yards but no TD in the Packers' 22-16 OT Week 16 loss at Chicago.

“i'm gonna go with caleb williams he's around plus”

Caleb Williams threw TD passes but did not score a rushing or receiving TD in Bears' 22-16 OT win over Green Bay; passing TDs do not count.

“So I'm going to go with Kareem Hunt here at plus [8:56] 185.”

Kareem Hunt did not score a TD in the Titans' 26-9 win over the Chiefs (he was tackled in the end zone for a safety).

“for the Titans Tony Pollard at plus 140 he's starting to come on down the stretch”

Tony Pollard ran for 102 yards vs the Chiefs but his lone rushing TD was nullified by an illegal-formation penalty, so he scored no TD.

“I'm going to take Bryce Young. He's around plus [14:21] 700”

Bryce Young threw 2 TD passes but had no rushing or receiving TD in the Panthers' 23-20 win; passing TDs do not count.

“So let's take Josh Palmer, who's kind of like, you know, he doesn't have a huge average depth of target. [20:34] You know, I feel like this is kind of the week where he could get a score here at five to one.”

Josh Palmer had just one catch and no TD in the Bills' 23-20 win at Cleveland.

“I'm going to take Marvin Mims. [31:12] He's around 6 to 1.”

Marvin Mims had 3 catches for 26 yards and no TD in the Broncos' 34-20 loss to Jacksonville.

“and this is tim patrick at 10 to 1 this is a full revenge game scenario”

Tim Patrick had 1 catch for 11 yards and no TD in the Jaguars-Broncos game (34-20).

“i think lamar jackson is where we got to go”

Lamar Jackson left in Q2 with injury and scored no rushing or receiving TD in the Patriots' 28-24 win at Baltimore.

“let's go with the guy who's at least has a shorter average depth of target you know [50:56] like I'm going to take Tyler Warren here. [50:59] He's around plus 250”

Tyler Warren did not score a touchdown in the Colts' 48-27 MNF loss to San Francisco.

“We're going to go with Isaiah Likely here.”

Isaiah Likely did not score in the Ravens' 24-0 win at Cincinnati.

“if you're going to bet on Marcus Mariota I think this is the type of game that you do it you can [20:44] get around plus 300”

Marcus Mariota ran 10 times for 43 yards with no rushing/receiving TD in the Commanders' 29-21 win at the Giants.

“theo johnson who's you want at plus 250”

Theo Johnson had 3 catches for 72 yards and no TD in the Giants' 29-21 loss to Washington.

“I'm going to start with Jaden Reed. [26:26] He's around plus four 50.”

Jayden Reed had 5 catches for 55 yards but no TD in the Packers' 34-26 Week 15 loss at Denver.

“So that's who I like for a long shot this week at Nate Adkins, 16-1.”

Nate Adkins did not score in the Broncos' 34-26 Week 15 win (Denver TDs: Bandy, Sutton, Franklin, Humphrey, Harvey).

“I'm going to go with Jordan Addison.”

Jordan Addison did not score in the Vikings' 34-26 SNF Week 15 win (Minnesota TDs: Nailor x2, McCarthy rush, Ham rush).

“I'm going to run him back the Jags”

Tyler Warren had 2 catches for 15 yards and no TD in the Colts' 36-19 loss to the Jaguars.

“On the Jags side, I'm going right back to Trevor Lawrence.”

Trevor Lawrence threw 2 TD passes but scored no rushing/receiving TD vs the Colts.

“I like another tight end that rookie tight end Gunnar Helm he's around six to one”

Gunnar Helm had 1 catch for 8 yards and no TD in the Titans' 31-29 win over the Browns.

“Kyle Pitts for the Falcons at plus 230”

Kyle Pitts had 6 catches for 90 yards but no TD in Seattle's 37-9 win at Atlanta.

“going with Rashid Shahid at three to one,”

Rashid Shaheed's only TD was a 100-yard kickoff return (return TDs don't count); he had 0 receiving TD.

“now i'm seeing trey mcbride at plus 150 at draft kings i don't know if i could pass on him at that [26:30] price”

Trey McBride had 5 catches for 58 yards and no TD in Arizona's 45-17 loss to the Rams.

“But I'm going to take Terrence Ferguson with the upside at 10 to one.”

Terrance Ferguson had 1 catch for 3 yards and no TD in the Rams' 45-17 win at Arizona.

“If I can get him at four to one, that's who I would look at.”

Keenan Allen had 3 catches for 22 yards and no TD in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over Philadelphia.

“so i'm going to take george pickens he's around plus one”

George Pickens had 88 yards and a two-point conversion but no TD in the Cowboys' 31-28 Thanksgiving win.

“Isaiah Likely, he has scored at least five”

Isaiah Likely's catch-and-run TD was wiped out by a fumble out of the end zone; he did not score in the Ravens' 32-14 loss.

“I'm going Dallas Goddard. [14:16] He's around two to one.”

Dallas Goedert did not score in the Eagles' 24-15 Black Friday loss; both Philly TDs went to A.J. Brown.

“So Mechie at eight to one for me is just a huge value.”

John Metchie III had 4 receptions for 19 yards and no TD in the Falcons' 27-24 loss to the Jets.

“I take Kyle Pitts again at plus 260”

Kyle Pitts had 7 receptions for 82 yards and no TD in the Falcons' 27-24 loss to the Jets.

“So I'm going to roll with Colby Parkinson. [36:52] This guy continues to be underpriced in the market.”

Colby Parkinson had 4 receptions for 27 yards and no TD in the Rams' 31-28 loss to the Panthers.

“i'm going to keep going with troy franklin”

Troy Franklin did not score; Denver's only TDs in the 27-26 OT win were Harvey's two rushes and Nix's TD pass to Courtland Sutton.

“Douglas, it's six to one.”

Patriots beat Giants 33-15 on MNF; Demario Douglas did not score a rushing or receiving TD.

“So on the Giants side, Theo Johnson right now is around plus 300. That's the guy who I would go with with New York.”

Theo Johnson had 3 catches for 77 yds and no TD in the Giants' 34-27 OT loss at Detroit.

“brock wright right now is around plus 400 to score a touchdown And he is the tight end one in this offense by default”

Brock Wright had 3 catches for 29 yds and no TD in the Giants' 34-27 OT loss at Detroit.

“So I will take him at plus 425.”

DeMario Douglas had 1 catch for 37 yds and no TD in the Patriots' 26-20 win at Cincinnati.

“Michael Mayer, At 5-1, I think right now for him, he's still playing over 70% of snaps.”

Michael Mayer left with an ankle injury in the 2nd quarter and scored no TD in the Raiders' 24-10 loss to Cleveland.

“I'm going to go with Devontae Smith he's around plus 190 now”

DeVonta Smith had 6 catches for 89 yds and no TD in the Eagles' 24-21 loss at Dallas (A.J. Brown scored the Eagles' receiving TD).

“I think Drake London is a good spot here, especially if you can get him at plus odds.”

Drake London had 7 catches for 119 yards but no TD in the Falcons' 30-27 OT loss to the Panthers (he left at the start of OT with a knee injury).

“I'm just going to go back to Olamide Zaccheaus at this point. [14:23] Every time he's over 4-1, I'm going to keep running it back.”

Olamide Zaccheaus did not score in the Bears' 19-17 win over the Vikings (only TDs were Kyle Monangai and Jordan Mason rushing).

“if I'm seeing Josh Oliver back to practice, I love him in this matchup. He's around [15:13] 10 to 1.”

Josh Oliver had 1 catch for -3 yards and no TD in the Vikings' 19-17 loss to the Bears.

“Gadsden, if you can get him over plus 200, grab him right away.”

Oronde Gadsden had 2 catches for 41 yards and no TD in the Chargers' 35-6 loss to the Jaguars.

“And it's Jacoby Myers. He's around plus 245, plus 250.”

Jakobi Meyers had 5 catches for 64 yards and no TD in the Jaguars' 35-6 win over the Chargers (lone passing TD went to Tim Patrick).

“that's cedric tillman [34:26] he's around plus 550”

Cedric Tillman had 3 catches for 52 yards and no TD in the Browns' 23-16 loss to the Ravens (Cleveland's only TD was a Bush pick-six).

“I think that's A.J. Brown's theme music, squeaky wheel, plus 140.”

AJ Brown did not score in the Eagles' 16-9 defensive Week 11 SNF win over the Lions.

“we're running him back all the meat is the [6:45] Zaccheaus, especially when he's around plus 425 right now.”

Olamide Zaccheaus had 1 catch for 5 yards with drops and no TD in the Bears' 24-20 win over the Giants.

“I going to take the latest one [7:37] which is Ray Ray McLeod at plus 750.”

Ray-Ray McCloud did not score; he was not an active receiving threat (released/inactive by Falcons) on Nov 9.

“we got to take johnny month here at 11 to 1”

Johnny Mundt had a reception but no TD (scoreless on the season) vs the Texans.

“i'm gonna go with calvin austin again”

Calvin Austin III had 5 catches for 56 yards but no touchdown in the Steelers' 25-10 loss to the Chargers.

“Jalen [42:18] Hertz, he's around plus 135, plus 140. I'm not really going to try to explain the touchdown [42:24] history and pedigree that he has.”

Jalen Hurts threw the Eagles' only TD (to DeVonta Smith) but had no rushing or receiving TD in the 10-7 win over the Packers.

“I'm going to go with Devin Singletary at plus 425.”

Devin Singletary had 43 rushing yards and no TD in the 49ers' 34-24 win at the Giants.

“Travis Hunter right now, he's around plus 270.”

Travis Hunter did not score in the Jaguars' 30-29 OT win; only Trevor Lawrence (2) and Bhayshul Tuten scored for Jacksonville.

“i'm gonna go with luke mccaffrey little lmc here”

Luke McCaffrey did not score (kick return only) in the Commanders' 38-14 loss to Seattle.

“I'm going to go with CeeDee Lamb.”

CeeDee Lamb had 7 catches for 85 yards and no TD in the Cowboys' 27-17 loss to Arizona.

“Colston Loveland right now is around plus 350 to score.”

Colston Loveland did not score; Chicago's only TD in the 30-16 loss was a D'Andre Swift rush.

“I think two touchdowns at plus 450 is showing more value for me given just his role in this offense”

Christian McCaffrey scored zero TDs (25 rush yds, 43 rec yds) in the 49ers' 26-15 loss to Houston, missing the 2+ TD prop.

“I think you just got to keep going with Chris Olave here.”

Chris Olave did not score; the Saints managed only a field goal in their 23-3 loss to Tampa Bay.

“Let's take Payne Durham to score a touchdown at 13 to 1.”

Payne Durham went without a target and did not score in the Buccaneers' 23-3 win over New Orleans.

“but I just like Daniel Jones to get a touchdown here,”

Daniel Jones threw 3 TD passes but had no rushing or receiving TD in the Colts' 38-14 Week 8 win over the Titans.

“Harold Fannin, plus 350.”

Harold Fannin had 4 catches for 36 yards and no TD in Cleveland's 31-6 win over Miami.

“So getting him around plus 380 love that spot”

Jalen Coker did not score in Carolina's 13-6 win over the Jets; the Panthers' only TD was Xavier Legette.

“Mason Taylor I know you like him as well That who I going to go with”

Mason Taylor had 3 catches for 31 yards and no TD in the Jets' 13-6 loss to Carolina (Jets scored no TDs).

“taste him hill he's back over his last 10 games he's got seven touchdowns”

No Browns player named Hill scored; Cleveland's TDs came from Quinshon Judkins (3 rush) plus a defensive return in the 31-6 win over Miami.

“Yeah, I'm going to keep it real simple and just go with Drake London.”

Drake London did not score in the Falcons' 20-10 loss; Atlanta's only TD was Bijan Robinson's reception.

“And I'm going to go with Rashad White at minus 115.”

Rachaad White did not score in the Bucs' 24-9 loss; Tampa Bay's only TD was Tez Johnson's reception.

“But this time, Nico Collins at plus 140.”

Nico Collins had 4 catches for 27 yards and left injured, no TD, in the Texans' 27-19 loss to Seattle.

“So I love the upside on Justin Fields to rush for a touchdown on this defense.”

Justin Fields scored no TD (sacked 9 times, 45 passing yards) in the Jets' 13-11 London loss to Denver.

“Now, I'm not going to put him in that same realm, but Evan Ingram right now is around plus 375.”

Evan Engram had 5 catches for 42 yards and no TD in the Broncos' 13-11 London win over the Jets (Nate Adkins had the lone TD).

“And that's our guy, Zach Charbonnet here right now. [15:56] He's around plus 200 touchdown in three or four games.”

Zach Charbonnet did not score in the Seahawks' 20-12 win at Jacksonville (TDs: BTJ, JSN, Kupp, Patrick).

“so right now the backup from Brenton Strange is [17:14] Hunter Long”

Hunter Long did not score in the Seahawks-Jaguars game (only Jacksonville TDs were Brian Thomas Jr. and Tim Patrick).

“So we're going to go with Michael Carter. [30:06] We had him last week. [30:07] We're going to go back to him again. [30:08] He's around plus 205.”

Michael Carter did not score; Cardinals TDs in the 31-27 loss went to Trey McBride and Greg Dortch.

“And I think we have to start with Amon Ross St. [53:37] Brown.”

Amon-Ra St. Brown was held to 45 yards and no TD (a late score was nullified by penalty) in the 30-17 loss to KC.

“I will take Dalton [57:22] Kincaid for an anytime touchdown”

Dalton Kincaid did not score a TD in the Falcons' 24-14 win over the Bills on MNF; Bills receiving TDs went to Dawson Knox and Ray Davis.

“Roma Dunze right now at plus 175 mainly just because a lot of man coverage that they going to see from the commanders”

Rome Odunze's 11-yard receiving TD was nullified by an offensive formation penalty in Chicago's 25-24 win over Washington, so no TD counted.

“Devontae Adams anytime touchdown He scored in three or four games”

Davante Adams had 5 catches for 88 yards but no TD in the Rams' 26-23 OT loss to the 49ers.

“I think we got to go with Ollie Gordon the backup running back behind Devon Achan He around plus 320”

Ollie Gordon had 3 carries for -2 yards and no TD in the Dolphins' 27-24 loss to the Panthers.

“It's Bryce Young. He's right now around six to one. I'm seeing odds around six to one and as low as like plus 250 at other places.”

Bryce Young threw 2 TD passes but did not score a rushing/receiving TD in the Panthers' 27-24 win.

“On the Broncos side, we're going Marvin Mims again, plus 450.”

Marvin Mims scored no TD in the Broncos' 21-17 win over the Eagles (Denver TDs went to Dobbins rush and Engram catch).

“On the Bucs side, we'll go with Chris Godwin. [35:16] He's at plus 275, 10 targets in week four, first game back.”

Chris Godwin had 3 catches for 26 yards and no TD in the Buccaneers' 38-35 win over the Seahawks.

“All right, I'm going to go with Stefan Diggs.”

Stefon Diggs caught 10 passes for 146 yards but scored no TD in the Patriots' 23-20 SNF win at Buffalo.

“And I got to go with Dawson Knox at [51:25] Yeah. [51:25] Six to one.”

Dawson Knox had 2 catches for 15 yards and no TD in Buffalo's 23-20 SNF loss to New England.

“well i'm gonna go with the guy who has the biggest edge right now in our action pro projections”

Kyler Murray threw two TD passes but did not score himself (no rushing/receiving TD), so his anytime-TD bet lost.

“I'm going to take David Moore at plus 900 on the Panthers side because Xavier Leggett, he missed last week.”

David Moore was carted off with an elbow injury on the game's first play and did not score in Carolina's 42-13 loss.

“Austin Hooper he's around plus 650 [13:50] and I think uh what's going to happen here is after that two touchdown game from Hunter Henry”

Austin Hooper had a 24-yard catch but no touchdown in the Patriots' 42-13 win over Carolina.

“i'm taking jamison williams he's around plus 220”

Jameson Williams had 2 catches for 40 yards and no TD in Detroit's 34-10 win over Cleveland.

“I'm taking Ray Davis here because there is a couple of ways you could play [31:03] Bill's touchdown scores.”

Ray Davis did not score; Buffalo's TDs came from Allen, James Cook, Dalton Kincaid and Keon Coleman in the 31-19 win.

“We're going to go with Mark Andrews. [35:18] He's especially if he's over plus 200, he's plus 235.”

Mark Andrews did not score in Baltimore's 37-20 loss at Kansas City.

“Kareem Hunt, he's around plus 210. [37:16] I like it anywhere over plus 200 for him.”

Kareem Hunt ran 13 times for 34 yards with no touchdown in the Chiefs' 37-20 win over Baltimore.

“and take Tucker Craft.”

Tucker Kraft did not score; Romeo Doubs caught all three of Jordan Love's TD passes in the 40-40 tie.

“But I still like Devon A. Chan in this spot. [4:17] I know it's chalky, but I'm not really sure we could trust anybody else right now on this Dolphins offense.”

De'Von Achane did not score (7 rec/29 yds, 12 rush/62 yds) in Miami's 31-21 TNF loss at Buffalo.

“the guy that I was on before the news was Dontavian Wicks at plus [10:06] 325. With that news, it's around plus 250 to plus 275.”

Dontayvion Wicks (2 rec, 21 yds) did not score in Green Bay's 13-10 Week 3 loss at Cleveland (only TD was Love-to-FitzPatrick).

“I think Dontavian Wicks at plus 250 and David Njoku, [11:56] I'm seeing right now plus 390 for Njoku. So that's who I like on the Browns side.”

David Njoku (5 rec, 40 yds) did not score in Cleveland's 13-10 Week 3 win over Green Bay.

“why don't we just go back to Hunter Renfro again? [20:29] He's plus 400.”

Hunter Renfrow (2 rec, 6 yds) did not score in Carolina's 30-0 Week 3 shutout of Atlanta.

“I think you just got to take Drake London because the touchdowns are coming.”

Drake London (5 rec, 55 yds) did not score; Atlanta was shut out 30-0 by Carolina in Week 3.

“So I think any type you can get Juwan Johnson over three to one, [37:47] given how much of a fixture he is in this offense, [37:50] that's the side that I would lean on for the Saints.”

Juwan Johnson did not score in New Orleans' 44-13 Week 3 loss at Seattle; Jack Stoll had the Saints' only TD.

“Cooper Cup has value at over two to one right now I see him at plus 220”

Cooper Kupp did not score for Seattle in the Week 3 win over the Saints; Tory Horton and Jaxon Smith-Njigba had the receiving TDs.

“So I think Kyler Murray right now at plus 320, [51:07] especially given our conversation prior to this”

Kyler Murray threw a TD to Trey McBride but did not score himself (no rush/receive TD) in the 16-15 Week 3 loss to San Francisco.

“I'm just going to take Ricky Pearsall instead at plus 240”

Ricky Pearsall had 117 receiving yards but no touchdown in the 49ers' 16-15 Week 3 win over Arizona.

“I'm just going to go with Taylor Swift's fiance, Travis [55:12] Kelsey. Right now, he's around plus 140.”

Travis Kelce did not score in the Chiefs' 22-9 Week 3 win over the Giants.

“favorite jamo jamison williams i mean he's around plus 240”

Jameson Williams did not score in Detroit's 38-30 Week 3 win over Baltimore; Lions TDs were Gibbs (2), Montgomery (2) and St. Brown.

“yeah i'm gonna go with theo johnson [12:53] again”

Theo Johnson had 4 catches for 34 yards but no touchdown in the Giants' 37-40 OT loss to Dallas.

“I think I would just take Sam Darnold, honestly,”

Sam Darnold threw 2 TDs but did not score a rushing/receiving TD in the Seahawks' 31-17 win over Pittsburgh.

“I took Kyler Murray and Bryce Young.”

Kyler Murray threw a TD but did not score himself in the Cardinals' 27-22 win over Carolina.

“Bryce Young, he did have four scrambles in week one.”

Bryce Young threw 3 TDs but did not score himself in the Panthers' 27-22 loss to Arizona.

“I'm going to add J.J. McCarthy. [34:35] He's around plus 400.”

J.J. McCarthy did not score in the Vikings' 22-6 SNF loss to Atlanta (only TD was Allgeier).

“And I think Cade Auton at plus 350 is good for a bounce back spot here.”

Cade Otton did not score; Bucs TDs in the 20-19 MNF win came from Ryan Miller, Emeka Egbuka and Rachaad White.

“Rattler or maybe even we see Tyler Shuck near the end of the game. But yeah, Rashid Shahid is my”

Rashid Shaheed did not score; the Saints' only TD was Alvin Kamara in a 20-13 Week 1 loss to Arizona.

“favorite Saint to score a touchdown this week. On the Cardinals side, I went with Michael Wilson”

Michael Wilson did not score; Cardinals TDs went to Marvin Harrison Jr. and James Conner in a 20-13 win.

“for Theo I love anything over plus 400 on the Giants side”

Theo Johnson did not score; the Giants scored no TDs in a 21-6 Week 1 loss at Washington.

“I think Jaden is the guy that we want.”

Jayden Daniels threw a TD but did not rush or receive one in the Commanders' 21-6 Week 1 win.

“it's gonna be week one for Kyle Pitts yeah the Bucs they they just do what they do they gave about”

Kyle Pitts did not score in the Falcons' 23-20 Week 1 loss to Tampa Bay.

“So Jameis Williams at plus 240 and Romeo Dobbs plus 235.”

Packers beat Lions 27-13; Romeo Doubs had a 48-yard catch but did not score a touchdown (GB TDs: Kraft, Reed, Jacobs).

“Jamison Williams at plus 240.”

Lions lost 13-27 to Green Bay; their only TD was Goff to Isaac TeSlaa, Jameson Williams did not score.

“dawson knox he's around plus 500”

Bills beat Ravens 41-40; Dawson Knox had 2 catches for 20 yards but did not score a touchdown.

“I think it has to be Brian Dable at four to one, a guy who is literally coasting off of a nine and seven and one season.”

Brian Daboll was fired later in the season; Brian Callahan was the first coach fired.

“So at 18-1, I think Jared Goff is my favorite bet for that market.”

Jared Goff threw only 8 INTs; Geno Smith led the NFL with 17.

“Quentin Johnston, 20-1. Brock Bowers at 10-1. And Juwan Johnson at 15-1.”

Ashton Jeanty led the Raiders with 10 total TDs (5 rush, 5 rec) vs Brock Bowers' 7.

“Quentin Johnston, 20-1. Brock Bowers at 10-1. And Juwan Johnson at 15-1.”

Alvin Kamara led the Saints with 6 TDs; Juwan Johnson had only 3.

“But I think CeeDee Lamb at 20 to one, given the volume of targets that he is going to get in this offense I think right now he is the best value”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba won 2025 Offensive Player of the Year; CeeDee Lamb did not win.

“was george kittle you can get that right now at draft kings at 35 to one and part of the reason”

George Kittle tore his hamstring in Week 1 and was on IR through Week 5, scoring no receiving TDs in the first four weeks.

“So I like the 49ers at 13 to 1 for the best record.”

49ers finished 12-5; best record was 14-3 (Seahawks/Patriots/Broncos). (49ers 12-5, NFC West runner-up.)

“I grabbed that at plus 425 at DraftKings.”

Saints finished 6-11; worst record was 3-14 (Jets/Titans/Raiders/Cardinals). (Saints 6-11, not the league's worst record.)

“so i took them at four to one at espn bet so the giants”

Giants got first win Week 4; Jets were last winless team (first win Week 8). (Giants beat Chargers in Week 4.)

“And I love the Miami Dolphins in this spot at 40-1 at Caesars”

Raiders scored the fewest points in 2025 (241); Dolphins ranked mid-pack (~347), so the Dolphins least-points future loses. (Dolphins ~347 points; Raiders led with 241)

“we're going to talk about the houston texans because i'm taking them to miss [48:53] the playoffs i grabbed it at plus 120”

Texans made the 2025-26 playoffs as the AFC No. 5 seed, so the miss-playoffs bet loses. (AFC No. 5 seed)

“took Bills 49ers at 40 to 1 and we've already went over the case with the Niners”

Super Bowl LX matchup was Seahawks vs Patriots, not Bills vs 49ers, so the exact-matchup bet loses. (SB LX: Seahawks vs Patriots)

“Looking really at their regular season win total [5:06] which is around seven and a half plus 125 to the over. [5:10] That's how I would approach this.”

Jets finished 5-12; the over 7.5 wins loses (5 < 7.5). (Jets 5-12)

“if you think they're going to make the playoffs, which I do, [6:27] you want to bet the money line and you could double down on the playoff price.”

TB 20, SF 23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm eyeing the under on their win total at 10 and a half. It's around minus 110.”

Packers finished 11-6; under 10.5 loses (11 > 10.5). (Packers 11-6)

“I would prefer to go after the value here with Hunter Henry at plus 410”

Hunter Henry did not score; the Patriots' only TD was Ja'Lynn Polk in a 19-3 win. (Patriots 19-3 Bears; only TD by Polk)

• Tank Dell anytime touchdown
• Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown

“i still think tank [32:05] dell is the guy that we want to take here for the texans and pair him maybe with amon ross st [32:10] brown like you know like right now those two paired together it's about plus 475”

Tank Dell did not score (a pass intended for him in the end zone was intercepted); Amon-Ra St. Brown caught a 9-yard TD. Lions beat Texans 26-23, but the Dell leg missed so the parlay lost. (Dell: 0 TD; St. Brown: 1 TD (9-yd catch, Q4))

• Cooper Kupp anytime touchdown
• Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown

“you pair Cooper Cup touchdown with Tyreek Hill touchdown, that's around plus 430.”

Los Angeles was shut out in the end zone entirely (Kupp: 7 rec, 80 yds, 0 TD) while Tyreek Hill caught a TD in Miami's 23-15 win. Kupp leg missed so the parlay lost. (Kupp: 0 TD; Hill: 1 TD (3rd quarter))

“but I think they're going to be [13:41] the worst team in the NFL this year. [13:43] And at 12 to one, [13:44] that's the team I want to look at.”

Vikings finished 14-3 and made the playoffs; far from the worst 2024 record. (Vikings 14-3)

“I'm going to take the Jaguars to make the playoffs at plus 120.”

Jaguars finished 4-13 and missed the 2024 playoffs. (Jacksonville 4-13)

“that's the Browns to win the AFC [33:07] North around plus 550.”

Ravens won the AFC North; Browns finished 3-14, last in the division. (Browns 3-14)

“I'm going to take the Jets at plus 650 for least points allowed.”

Chargers allowed the fewest points in 2024 (301); Jets did not lead in fewest points allowed. (Chargers allowed 301 points (league low))

“I'm going to take the Chicago Bears at 28 [42:48] to 1.”

Chargers allowed the fewest points in 2024 (301); Bears did not lead in fewest points allowed. (Chargers allowed 301 points (league low))

“the [48:08] Minnesota Vikings at plus 950.”

Jaguars were the NFL's last winless team in 2024; Vikings were not winless that long. (Jaguars stayed winless through Week 5)

“I'm going right back to it. [56:44] and it is Josh Allen to throw the most interceptions at 10 to one.”

Kirk Cousins and Baker Mayfield tied for the most interceptions in 2024 (16); Josh Allen did not lead. (INT leaders Cousins/Mayfield 16; Allen low)

“Honestly, I'm with you there too. I like Europe plus 500. I think that there's a lot of value on that number.”

USA beat France 98-87 for 2024 Olympic men's basketball gold; no European nation won. (Gold: USA; Silver: France.)

“you take him for the first Chiefs touchdown at plus 330.”

First Chiefs TD was Marquez Valdes-Scantling (16-yd pass in Q3), not Travis Kelce. (Kelce did not score a TD in Super Bowl LVIII)

“So Gus Edwards, anytime touchdown, is who I like in that opener for divisional round.”

Gus Edwards did not score in Ravens' 34-10 win over Texans; Ravens TDs by Agholor, Likely, Lamar Jackson (x2). (Edwards no TD)

“I'm going to go with Jaden Reed [31:24] at plus 220 for a touchdown with the Packers.”

Jayden Reed did not score in Packers' 24-21 loss to 49ers; GB TDs by Bo Melton and Tucker Kraft. (Reed no TD)

“So we're all in it on Jordan Love at 12 to one to score a touchdown.”

Jordan Love threw 2 TD passes but did not rush/receive a TD vs 49ers; passing TDs do not count for anytime TD. (Love 2 pass TD, no rush/rec TD)

“taking his interception prop for yes at plus 105”

Lamar Jackson threw 0 INTs (18-23, 204 yds, 4 TD) in Ravens' 56-19 rout of Dolphins. (0 INT)

“So Justin Jefferson at plus 125,”

Justin Jefferson had 5 catches for 59 yards, no TD, in Vikings' 33-10 loss to Packers. (0 TD)

“I actually like the Dolphins in this spot to cover this 13 and a half.”

MIA 27, TEN 28 — Miami Dolphins margin -1 vs line -13.5; busts.

“So I really like the over 43.5 in this game. [5:09] I want to stay away from the side.”

MIN 10, CHI 12 — Combined 22; over 43.5 busts.

“If you take the two and a half, I'm going to take the Chiefs minus two and a half.”

KC 17, PHI 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -4 vs line -2.5; busts.

“But this total, I still think that this is going to go over. [7:02] Now, I know obviously we have the 11-1 historical trend here, [7:05] but I just think that these two offenses can really click.”

KC 17, PHI 21 — Combined 38; over 45.5 busts.

“I really like Devontae Smith to get another touchdown this season.”

DeVonta Smith had 6 rec for 99 yards but 0 TDs in Eagles' 21-17 MNF win over Chiefs. (Smith 6 rec, 99 yds, 0 TD)

“the Chiefs side I think we got to go with a long shot here Evan I think we got to look at Noah Gray”

Noah Gray had 1 rec for 2 yards, 0 TDs in Chiefs' 21-17 loss to Eagles. (Gray 1 rec, 2 yds, 0 TD)

“I'm going to bet a touchdown score in this game and I'm betting Kareem Hunt to score another [32:58] touchdown at plus 275.”

Kareem Hunt did not score in Browns' 13-10 win over Steelers; Jerome Ford had the Browns rushing TD. (Hunt 0 TD)

“we got to go with Lamar Jackson anytime”

Lamar Jackson ran for 60 yards but did not score; Ravens TDs were Edwards (x2), Mitchell, OBJ in 37-3 win. (60 rush yds, 0 TD)

“So I think, uh, let's look at [8:13] the over in this game.”

DET 26, LV 14 — Combined 40; over 46 busts.

“But if you going to give me a secondary receiver who playing in the slot and this is clearly one of the Lions weaknesses and giving it to me at plus 300 I going to take this almost every time”

Jakobi Meyers did not score in Raiders' 26-14 loss; only Raiders TDs were Jacobs (rush) and Peters (pick-six). (Jakobi Meyers no TD)

“i went with cd [29:21] cd lamb at plus 125 to score a touchdown”

CeeDee Lamb had 7 rec for 117 yards but no TD in Cowboys' 20-17 win; Cooks and Prescott scored. (7 rec, 117 yds, 0 TD)

“when it comes to touchdowns, I like Dawson Knox and I think there's actually someone, yeah, you”

Dawson Knox did not score in Jets' 22-16 OT win over Bills on Week 1 MNF. (No Knox TD)

“Jacksonville Jaguars at 16 to one”

The Baltimore Ravens had the best regular-season record in the 2023 NFL season at 13-4; the Jacksonville Jaguars finished 9-8, well short of the best record (Pro-Football-Reference). (Jaguars: 9-8 final record)

“and that's the arizona cardinals that i think is going to have the worst [14:50] record this year and you can get them right now at plus 250”

The Carolina Panthers finished the 2023 season with the NFL's worst record at 2-15; the Arizona Cardinals went 4-13, not the worst (StatMuse, Pro-Football-Reference). (Cardinals: 4-13; Panthers: 2-15 (worst))

“i'm taking the steelers to win the division at five to one”

The Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North with a 13-4 record; Pittsburgh did not win the division (NFL.com). (Ravens 13-4, AFC North champions)

“They're at 28 to one [43:02] for the least points allowed.”

The Washington Commanders allowed the most points in the 2023 NFL season at 518 (30.5 per game), not the fewest; the fewest was Baltimore Ravens with 280 (Yahoo Sports). (Commanders 518 pts allowed (most in NFL); Ravens fewest at 280)

“I'm looking at the Jets at 25 to one and the Lions at 75 to one.”

The Carolina Panthers were the last team to record a win in 2023 (Week 8, Oct 29); the Jets were not the last winless team (ESPN / QC News). (Panthers last to win (Week 8, Oct 29))

“So I'm taking the Detroit Lions at 75 to one and the Jets at 25 to one.”

The Carolina Panthers were the last team to record a win in 2023 (Week 8, Oct 29); the Lions made the playoffs and were never the last winless team (ESPN / QC News). (Panthers last to win (Week 8, Oct 29))

“looking at the New Orleans Saints at 25 to one.”

The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers tied as the last undefeated teams in 2023 at 5-0 before losing in Week 6; the Saints were not the last undefeated team (Pro-Football-Reference). (Eagles and 49ers last undefeated (5-0 through Week 5))

“but the guy that i'm picking is riverboat ron rivera”

Josh McDaniels (Raiders) was the first coach fired on November 1, 2023; Ron Rivera was not fired until Black Monday (January 8, 2024), per ESPN.

“And I'm taking a look at Trevor Lawrence for MVP at 16-1.”

Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) won the 2023 NFL MVP award; Trevor Lawrence did not win MVP (NFL.com / Bleacher Report). (Lawrence: 4,016 pass yds, 28 TD, 10 INT)

“we're still getting plus 300 on this guy. So we're both aligned on [28:07] Bijal Robinson.”

C.J. Stroud (Houston Texans) won the 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Bijan Robinson finished outside the top two in voting (NFL.com). (Stroud: 4,108 yds, 23 TD; Robinson: 976 rush yds, 8 TDs)

“so frank reich is who i'm sprinkling on at 25 to 1.”

Kevin Stefanski of the Cleveland Browns won the 2023 AP NFL Coach of the Year; Frank Reich was fired by the Carolina Panthers after a 1-10 start and did not win the award (NFL.com, Bleacher Report). (Reich: 1-10 record before firing)

“i'm looking at saints wide receiver [54:07] michael thomas”

Joe Flacco of the Cleveland Browns won the 2023 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award; Michael Thomas played only 10 games with 39 receptions and was not a finalist (NFL.com). (Thomas: 39 rec, 448 yds, 1 TD in 10 games)

“I help you pick a favorite of the three TJ Watt at plus 800”

Myles Garrett won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year; T.J. Watt of Pittsburgh finished as the runner-up, 165-140 in points (Bleacher Report). (Watt: runner-up in DPOY voting)

“so Dallas Goddard at plus 175 is my best bet for the Super”

Dallas Goedert did not score a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII (6 catches, 60 yards, no TD), per Sports Illustrated post-game stats. (6 rec, 60 yds, 0 TD)

“I'm going to take Patrick Mahomes to actually throw an interception at minus 120.”

Patrick Mahomes threw zero interceptions in Super Bowl LVII (21/27, 182 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT), per Yahoo Sports. (21/27, 182 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT)

“i'm going to take devontae smith to score a touchdown at plus 190”

DeVonta Smith did not score a touchdown in the Eagles' 31-7 NFC Championship win; scoring came from Jalen Hurts (3 rushing TDs), A.J. Brown (1 receiving TD), and Miles Sanders (2 rushing TDs); source: Philadelphia Eagles official recap. (0 TD)

“i'm gonna take my favorite 49er bet in this game and it's gonna be george kittle”

George Kittle did not score in the 49ers' 31-7 NFC Championship loss; San Francisco's only touchdown was a Christian McCaffrey 23-yard rushing score; source: 49ers.com. (0 TD)

“we're going to be taking tyler boyd to score a touchdown in this game”

Tyler Boyd did not score a touchdown in the Bengals' 23-20 AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs; Boyd had 2 catches for 40 yards and left with a quadriceps injury; source: CBS Sports. (2 rec, 40 yds, 0 TD)

“I'm going to be looking at the new Giants wide receiver one, Isaiah Hodgins, at plus 220 to score a touchdown.”

Isaiah Hodgins caught just 1 pass for 3 yards with no touchdown as the Eagles routed the Giants 38-7. (1 rec, 3 yds, 0 TD)

“yes we are going to go with dawson knox at plus 210 because anything over plus 200 for me is an auto bet”

Dawson Knox had 65 receiving yards on 5 catches but no touchdown; Bills' only TD was a Josh Allen rush in the 27-10 loss to the Bengals. (5 rec, 65 yds, 0 TD)

“I'm going to go with the Saturday game, but I'm going to move to the Seahawks and Niners. And I'm going to take an anytime touchdown bet, and I'm going to take George Kittle at plus 150.”

George Kittle had 2 catches for 37 yards (plus a 2-point conversion catch) but no touchdown in the 49ers' 41-23 Wild Card win over Seattle. (2 rec, 37 yds, 0 TD)

“And that is Buccaneers money line at plus 120. I'm a Cowboys fan.”

TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost; moneyline busts.

“the fact that I am a Cowboys fan and immediately put money down on the Buccaneers money line just [55:33] shows like the faith that I have in this team right now”

TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost; moneyline busts.

“i'm taking titans money line [12:59] at plus 235 i'd be like this is the game where you take the money line not the spreads and totals”

JAX 20, TEN 16 — Tennessee Titans lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm also going to be taking Josh Dobbs for an anytime touchdown and Zay Jones as well.”

Josh Dobbs threw a passing TD (21 yards to Okonkwo) but recorded no rushing or receiving touchdowns in the Jaguars' 20-16 win; source: CBS Sports. (20/29, 179 yds, 1 pass TD, 1 INT; 0 rush TD)

“I'm also going to be taking Josh Dobbs for an anytime touchdown and Zay Jones as well.”

Zay Jones did not score a touchdown in the Jaguars' 20-16 victory over the Titans; the only Jaguars offensive TD was a 25-yard catch by Christian Kirk; source: CBS Sports. (0 TD)

“I'm taking under 41 and a half.”

CIN 27, BAL 16 — Combined 43; under 41.5 busts.

“i am going for [35:15] an anytime touchdown bet and i'm taking darren waller with the raiders to score against the [35:20] Chiefs this weekend at plus 330.”

Darren Waller did not score in the Chiefs' 31-13 win; the Raiders' only touchdown was an 11-yard reception by Hunter Renfrow; source: CBS Sports. (0 TD)

“I'm going to take the 49ers minus 9.5 versus the inept, woeful Raiders.”

LV 34, SF 37 — San Francisco 49ers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

“i'm gonna take jets minus one and a half as well”

SEA 23, NYJ 6 — New York Jets margin -17 vs line -1.5; busts.

“We're going to start with the Chicago Bears versus the Buffalo Bills. [7:18] and I'm going to take the Chicago Bears to cover at plus eight and a half.”

CHI 13, BUF 35 — Chicago Bears margin -22 vs line +8.5; busts.

“i'm going to be taking the seahawks plus 10 and i'm going to hold [16:56] down the fort for brandon”

KC 24, SEA 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin -14 vs line +10; busts.

“I'm going to be taking the over 50.5 between the Packers and Dolphins.”

MIA 20, GB 26 — Combined 46; over 50.5 busts.

“On the Rams side, I'm going to be taking Van Jefferson at plus 400.”

Van Jefferson had 2 receptions for 32 yards and 0 touchdowns in the Packers 24–12 win over the Rams on MNF Week 15. Anytime TD bet loses. Source: ESPN box score (gameId 401437916). (2 rec / 32 yds / 0 TD)

“I'm going to be taking the Bills minus seven versus the Dolphins”

BUF 32, MIA 29 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line -7; busts.

“okay under 36 and a half for the cardinals broncos”

DEN 24, ARI 15 — Combined 39; under 36.5 busts.

“I'm going to take the Giants plus seven against the Eagles here,”

NYG 22, PHI 48 — New York Giants margin -26 vs line +7; busts.

“I'm going to take Adam Troutman. [45:33] And then I'm also going to take Rashid Shahid. [45:35] I'm going to put a half unit on each and just kind of hope for the best.”

Adam Trautman had 2 receptions for 28 yards and 0 touchdowns (rushing or receiving) in the Buccaneers 17–16 win over the Saints on MNF Week 13. Anytime TD bet loses. Source: ESPN box score (gameId 401437887). (2 rec / 28 yds / 0 TD)

“And then I'm also going to take Rashid Shahid. [45:35] I'm going to put a half unit on each and just kind of hope for the best.”

Rashid Shaheed had 4 receptions for 75 yards, 1 rush for 0 yards, and 0 touchdowns in the Buccaneers 17–16 win over the Saints on MNF Week 13. Anytime TD bet loses. Source: ESPN box score (gameId 401437887). (4 rec / 75 yds / 1 rush / 0 TD)

“i'm gonna take the commanders at minus two and a half”

NYG 20, WSH 20 — Washington Commanders margin +0 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I will sell you an over for Chargers Raiders. [14:12] I'm going to take over 50 and a half.”

LAR 23, SEA 27 — Combined 50; over 50.5 busts.

“I'm going to take the Chiefs first [26:25] half money line it's at minus 130 not the spread just the money line”

CIN 27, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

“I'm going to take Friar Muth with the Steelers at plus 290.”

Pat Freiermuth had 3 receptions for 39 yards and 0 touchdowns (rushing or receiving) in the Steelers 24–17 win over the Colts on MNF Week 12. Anytime TD bet loses. Source: ESPN box score (gameId 401437872). (3 rec / 39 yds / 0 TD)

“i want to bet a touchdown in this game and i think the guy that we got to bet is dak prescott for an anytime touchdown at plus 400 so why we're going to look at dak starting to run a bit more coming back off of that injury”

Dak Prescott threw 4 TD passes in the Cowboys' 28-20 win over the Giants but did not score a touchdown himself; Ezekiel Elliott had the rushing TD. (0 rushing/receiving TDs for Prescott)

“I'm going to be taking the Patriots to cover the spread and potentially win outright against the Vikings”

MIN 33, NE 26 — New England Patriots margin -7 vs line +2.5; busts.

“I'm going to take a team total, and I'm taking an under, under 31.5 for the Bills.”

DET 25, BUF 28 — Combined 53; under 31.5 busts.

“I'm going to go to the Cowboys and Vikings game, and I'm going to bank on some [19:00] offense for that game. I'm going to go at over 47 and a half.”

MIN 3, DAL 40 — Combined 43; over 47.5 busts.

“I'm taking the Steelers plus four, too. [27:22] And I think it's going to probably be the most bet underdog of the week again.”

PIT 30, CIN 37 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line +4; busts.

“we're going to look at Colts Raiders, and we're going to take under 41 and a half,”

LV 20, IND 25 — Combined 45; under 41.5 busts.

“Lamar Jackson is probably the best option right now just because you know”

Lamar Jackson did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in the Ravens' 27-13 Week 9 win over the Saints on November 7, 2022. He threw a passing TD to Isaiah Likely, and Kenyan Drake scored the rushing TDs. Under NFL anytime-TD scorer rules (rushing/receiving only), Jackson loses. Source: CBS Sports Saints-Ravens recap, ESPN game recap. (Jackson 0 rush TDs; Drake 2 rush TDs)

“I'm going to take the Raiders minus one and a half versus the Jaguars”

JAX 27, LV 20 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.

“take the over 43 and a half for vikings commanders and brandon again i'm not trying to uh demerit the”

WSH 17, MIN 20 — Combined 37; over 43.5 busts.

“i think we seeing a little bit of an over correction here at 40 and a half i going to take the over in this spot”

HOU 10, TEN 17 — Combined 27; over 40.5 busts.

“i'm going to lean on that patriots defense and look at them to score at plus 450 joe plus 500 now”

The Chicago Bears defeated the New England Patriots 33-14 on MNF Week 7. Both Patriots touchdowns were offensive scores (Stevenson 4-yard rush, Meyers 30-yard reception). No Patriots defense or special teams touchdown was scored. Source: CBS Sports Bears-Patriots recap, PFF game recap. (NE 14 pts — 0 def/ST TDs)

“i looked at that price just before the pod started so honestly [37:59] i'll take it at that price”

The Chicago Bears defeated the New England Patriots 33-14 on MNF Week 7. Both Patriots touchdowns were offensive scores (Stevenson rush, Meyers reception). No Patriots defense or special teams touchdown was scored. Source: CBS Sports Bears-Patriots recap, PFF game recap. (NE 14 pts — 0 def/ST TDs)

“it's going to be chargers my minus five and a half versus the seahawks”

LAC 23, SEA 37 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -14 vs line -5.5; busts.

“Yeah, I mean, I'd still play it at the four and a half,”

KC 30, LV 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +1 vs line -4; busts.

“I like Mack Hollins to be able to get another touchdown at plus 275.”

Chiefs won 30-29. Mack Hollins was targeted 4 times but recorded 0 catches and 0 TDs. Raiders TDs came from Davante Adams (2 receiving) and Josh Jacobs (1 rushing). Hollins did not score a rushing or receiving TD. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/raiders-mack-hollins-blanked-on-mnf/

“Derek Carr to throw an interception right now is minus one Oh five at FanDuel. And I think right now people should be getting on that bet ASAP”

Chiefs won 30-29. Derek Carr completed 19/30 for 241 yards, 2 TDs, and 0 interceptions — described as 'almost flawless.' Carr threw no interceptions in this game. Source: https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/raiders/derek-carr-almost-flawless-in-raiders-loss-to-chiefs-2188844/

“chiefs minus four on the first half spread and part of the reason is just how strong the chiefs”

KC 30, LV 29 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +1 vs line -4; busts.

“right now I'm really liking Sterling Shepard at plus 275 right now through two games playing the [32:21] slot role playing over a percent of the snaps uh second in red zone targets”

Cowboys won 23-16. Giants' only TD was Saquon Barkley's 36-yard run. Sterling Shepard had 5 catches for 49 yards and then suffered a torn ACL; he did not score a rushing or receiving TD. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/gametracker/recap/NFL_20220926_DAL@NYG/

“I think you can get Matt Breda right now around plus 1000 to score a touchdown It might put like a half unit on that”

Cowboys won 23-16. Matt Breida had 1 carry for 3 yards and did not score a rushing or receiving TD. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/gametracker/recap/NFL_20220926_DAL@NYG/

“if you think the Packers are going to win this [39:40] game and cover it and like I do probably win by two scores or more if Brian Hoyer is the quarterback [39:45] I've been getting on it now”

GB 27, NE 24 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.

“I'm really gravitating towards Courtland Sutton at plus 150 for a [27:07] touchdown”

Courtland Sutton did not score a touchdown in the Broncos at Seahawks MNF game on September 12, 2022. Seattle won 17-16; the Seahawks' TDs were scored by Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson (both receiving from Geno Smith); Denver's only TD was Jerry Jeudy receiving. Sutton had no TD. (Source: pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202209120sea.htm, espn.com/nfl/recap/_/gameId/401437655)

“dk metcalf i think it's been very highly talked about already about how successful [27:45] he was even with geno smith that quarterback you're getting right now around plus 210 odds [27:49] to be able to score so i think that's a very solid look”

DK Metcalf did not score a touchdown in the Broncos at Seahawks MNF game on September 12, 2022. Seattle won 17-16; Seahawks TDs were scored by Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson. Metcalf did not find the end zone. (Source: espn.com/nfl/recap/_/gameId/401437655, 12thmanrising.com)

“i'm going to take a quarterback [27:54] Geno Smith, he rushed for a touchdown in the preseason, also rushed for one in his last start against Jacksonville”

Geno Smith did not rush for a touchdown in the Broncos at Seahawks MNF game on September 12, 2022. Smith threw two TD passes (to Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson) but recorded no rushing touchdown in this game. Seattle won 17-16. (Source: pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202209120sea.htm, espn.com/nfl/recap/_/gameId/401437655)

“i'm taking naji harris over three and a half receptions versus the bangles that's at plus 105”

CIN 20, PIT 23 — Najee Harris: 2 receptions vs over 3.5; busts. (Najee Harris: 2 receptions)

“I'm all in on Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals this year [13:09] from a passing touchdown standpoint.”

Joe Burrow did NOT lead the NFL in passing touchdowns in the 2022 regular season. Patrick Mahomes led the league with 41 touchdown passes. Burrow and Josh Allen each threw 35 TDs, tying for second. Source: NBC Sports Philadelphia 2022 NFL touchdown leaders. (Mahomes led with 41 TD; Burrow 35 TD (tied 2nd with Allen))

“I'm going with tried and true. I'm going to go with Stafford, Matthew Stafford at 20 to one.”

Matthew Stafford did NOT lead the NFL in interceptions thrown in the 2022 regular season. Stafford threw 8 interceptions in only 9 games before suffering a spinal cord contusion injury in December and being placed on IR. Geno Smith led the league with 17 interceptions. Source: StatMuse Matt Stafford stats in 2022; web search confirming Geno Smith as interceptions leader. (Geno Smith led with 17 INT; Stafford 8 INT in 9 games (IR))

“skill and opportunity and this isn't a sexy pick at all it's Derek Henry at seven to one”

Jamaal Williams (Detroit Lions) led the NFL in rushing touchdowns in 2022 with 17. Derrick Henry finished with 13 rushing TDs. (Source: detroitlions.com, pro-football-reference.com) (Henry: 13 rush TDs; Williams led with 17)

“I'm going with Jamar Chase to lead the league in touchdowns at 9-1.”

Davante Adams (Las Vegas Raiders) led the NFL in receiving touchdowns in 2022 with 14. Ja'Marr Chase did not lead the league in receiving touchdowns. (Source: foxsports.com NFL stats, nfl.com) (Adams led with 14 rec TDs; Chase did not)

“But I'm actually going with the Colts at 16 to one for best regular season record.”

The Indianapolis Colts finished the 2022 regular season 4-12-1, well short of the best record (14-3). Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Indianapolis_Colts_season

“I'm going with the Detroit Lions at 12 to one.”

The Chicago Bears (3-14) had the worst record in the NFL in 2022, not the Detroit Lions (9-8). Source: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2022/index.htm

“so I'm with you I and I'm”

The Dallas Cowboys made the 2022 playoffs with a 12-5 record; they did not miss the playoffs. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Dallas_Cowboys_season

“But I'm going to take them to make the playoffs at plus 120.”

The New Orleans Saints missed the 2022 playoffs, finishing 7-10 and 3rd in the NFC South. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_New_Orleans_Saints_season

“so i like the giants here at 20 to 1 for that market”

The New York Giants did NOT allow the most points in the 2022 NFL regular season. The Chicago Bears allowed the most points in the league with 463 points (27.2/g, ranked 32nd). The Giants allowed approximately 371 points (21.8/g). Source: Pro-Football-Reference 2022 NFL Opposition & Defensive Statistics. (NYG 371 pts allowed (17th); CHI 463 pts allowed (32nd, most))

“So give me the Eagles, 20 to 1.”

The Philadelphia Eagles did NOT allow the fewest points in the 2022 NFL regular season. The San Francisco 49ers led the league with 16.3 points allowed per game (fewest). The Eagles had an excellent defense but did not finish first. Source: Web search results confirming 49ers as the fewest-points-allowed leader in 2022. (PHI did not lead; SF 49ers allowed fewest (16.3 pts/g))

“So I like the Chargers here at 10 to one to score the most”

The Los Angeles Chargers did NOT score the most points in the 2022 NFL regular season. The Kansas City Chiefs led the league with 496 points (29.2/g). The Chargers finished 10-7 and did not lead in scoring. Source: StatMuse and web search confirming Chiefs at 496 points, most in the NFL in 2022. (LAC did not lead in scoring; KC 496 pts (most in NFL 2022))

“And I'm eyeing it specifically Ron Rivera at eight to one,”

Ron Rivera was NOT the first coach fired in the 2022 NFL regular season. Matt Rhule of the Carolina Panthers was the first coach fired, let go after a 1-4 start on October 10, 2022 (after Week 5). Ron Rivera was not fired during the 2022 season; he was fired in January 2024 after the 2023 season. Source: NFL.com, Sports Illustrated confirming Rhule was first fired on Oct 10, 2022. (Matt Rhule (CAR) first fired Oct 10 2022 after Week 5; Rivera fired Jan 2024)

“So I'm going with Robert Sala at 14 to one”

Robert Saleh was NOT the first coach fired in the 2022 NFL regular season. Matt Rhule of the Carolina Panthers was fired first on October 10, 2022 after a 1-4 start. Saleh was not fired during the 2022 season at all. Source: NFL.com, Sports Illustrated confirming Rhule was first coach fired in the 2022 season. (Rhule (CAR) fired Oct 10 2022; Saleh not fired in 2022)

“So Justin Herbert is my best bet to win MVP in 2022.”

Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) won the 2022 AP NFL MVP award, announced at NFL Honors on Feb 9 2023. Justin Herbert did not win. Source: NFL.com (https://www.nfl.com/news/chiefs-qb-patrick-mahomes-wins-second-ap-nfl-most-valuable-player-award)

“So sitting right now at 20 to one for a former MVP, especially like he's still in his”

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 AP NFL MVP award. Lamar Jackson did not win. Source: NFL.com (https://www.nfl.com/news/chiefs-qb-patrick-mahomes-wins-second-ap-nfl-most-valuable-player-award)

“So first one is going to be sky more at 12 to one.”

Garrett Wilson (New York Jets WR) won the 2022 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Skyy Moore did not win. Source: NFL.com (https://www.nfl.com/news/jets-wr-garrett-wilson-named-ap-nfl-offensive-rookie-of-the-year-award)

“so I really like Jalen Tolbert a 25 to 1 Sky Moore a 12 to 1.”

Garrett Wilson (New York Jets WR) won the 2022 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Jalen Tolbert did not win. Source: NFL.com (https://www.nfl.com/news/jets-wr-garrett-wilson-named-ap-nfl-offensive-rookie-of-the-year-award)

“So I'm going to go with Doug Peterson of the Jacksonville Jaguars at 18 to 1.”

Brian Daboll (New York Giants) won the 2022 AP NFL Coach of the Year award. Doug Pederson finished third in voting (75 points, 5 first-place votes) behind Daboll and Kyle Shanahan. Source: NFL.com (https://www.nfl.com/news/giants-head-coach-brian-daboll-named-ap-nfl-coach-of-the-year-after-leading-big-)

“coming off a pretty devastating foot injury as well so I'm gonna look at Christian McCaffrey”

Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks) won the 2022 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award with 29 first-place votes; Christian McCaffrey finished second with 12 first-place votes. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/seahawks-qb-geno-smith-earns-ap-nfl-comeback-player-of-the-year-honors

“But at these odds, I'm willing to take a stab to find out if the”

Justin Jefferson won the 2022 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year; Ja'Marr Chase did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/vikings-wr-justin-jefferson-named-ap-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year

“make splash plays get on sports center shaquille leonard 33 to 1 let's go”

Nick Bosa (San Francisco 49ers) won the 2022 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year with 46 first-place votes and 237 points; Shaquille Leonard did not win. Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/niners-de-nick-bosa-named-ap-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year

“anytime touchdown odds at looking at over plus 300 for Jalen Tolbert, that is somebody that I'm [20:36] going to be betting a lot in the first month of the season.”

Jalen Tolbert did not score a touchdown in the first month (weeks 1-4) of the 2022 NFL season with the Dallas Cowboys. His first career TD came in Week 9 vs. Philadelphia Eagles. (Source: Wikipedia/Pro-Football-Reference) (0 TDs weeks 1-4 2022; first TD Week 9)