Michael Calabrese

“you can have the margin of victory in either direction at 1 to 5 points at plus 140 out in the market So all you really looking for is a close game I think that's an incredible bet.”

Margin of victory 1-5 points (either team) in the Arizona vs Michigan 2026 Final Four semifinal. Michigan won 91-73, a 18-point margin, outside the 1-5 band. Bet lost.

“I'm going to go with a player prop, Brayden Burries for Arizona.”

ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Brayden Burries: 13 points vs over 16.5; busts. (Brayden Burries: 13 points)

“And Houston's my pick to win the national championship.”

Michigan won the 2026 national championship; Houston was eliminated in the Sweet 16 by Illinois.

“I'm going to go Houston. It's a team that I've basically been in love with the whole year.”

Houston to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament. Houston lost the Elite Eight to Illinois 65-55; Michigan won the title. Bet lost.

“I bet him at 100-1 MVP.”

Jalen Hurts won SB LIX MVP, not DeVonta Smith. (MVP: Jalen Hurts)

“The other direction, Casey, most field goals three-way, I think is a great bet.”

Eagles made 4 field goals; Chiefs made 0, so Eagles had the most. (Jake Elliott 4 FG; Chiefs 0 FG)

“I'm going with Braden Smith, eight or more assists at plus 128 in the market.”

PUR 63, NCSU 50 — Braden Smith: 6 assists vs over 7.5; busts. (Braden Smith: 6 assists)

• Alabama to lead at halftime closed -600 · CLV -150¢ lost
• UConn to win the game closed -600 · CLV -150¢ won

“it's Alabama to lead at halftime and UConn to win the game at 6-1.”

Parlay busts: Alabama to lead at halftime — lost; UConn to win the game — won.

“And why would I, you know, pull away from it now? This is just makes too much sense to let it ride.”

Michigan beat Washington 34-13 in the Jan 8, 2024 CFP title game, busting the first leg; the parlay lost despite Lamar Jackson later winning NFL MVP.

“But I'm going to go ahead and play him at about plus 175 on the money line.”

SMC 63, VCU 51 — VCU Rams lost; moneyline busts.

“You can still get him plus four and a half, five at seven places in the market.”

SMC 63, VCU 51 — VCU Rams margin -12 vs line +4.5; busts.

“So I actually like the 15.5 point spread for the Zags.”

GONZ 82, GCU 70 — Gonzaga Bulldogs margin +12 vs line -15.5; busts.

“what I actually like there is under”

CONN 87, IONA 63 — Combined 150; under 143.5 busts.

“so i'm gonna go ahead and just play them”

MSU 72, USC 62 — USC Trojans lost; moneyline busts.

“and stanley you knew day over two and a half threes [14:32] at plus money plus 125 i love this one”

GONZ 68, ARK 74 — Stanley Umude: 0 threes vs over 2.5; busts. (Stanley Umude: 0 threes)

“So I think this is off by about a point and a half, [23:31] and I'm happy to take it under that minus 110 [23:33] all the way down to minus 106 over at FanDuel.”

MIA 70, ISU 56 — Kameron McGusty: 27 points vs under 16.5; busts. (Kameron McGusty: 27 points)

“Hampton over Gardner-Webb was the last one that was on my mind. This is a game that got suspended. or their first matchup clock management kind of issue where they couldn't get the shot clock working, something like that. So now they're going to play two games in about six days. But as I mentioned earlier, Hampton is just a little bit different at home offensively. I think the officiating generally skews to sending them to the line with regularity. So I'm going to like Hampton to win that game outright.”

The suspended Jan. 20 game resumed and finished Feb. 24, 2020, with Gardner-Webb beating Hampton 81-67; the Hampton ML pick lost. (Gardner-Webb 81, Hampton 67)