Guest · 5-1 on settled picks
“This one is such a toss-up, but I am gonna go with Mikey Madison.”
Mikey Madison won Best Actress for Anora at the 97th Academy Awards on March 2, 2025, so the bet cashed (Wikipedia, 97th Academy Awards).
“But going back up to best picture, I mean, I still will go with Anora because I'm just gonna go with the momentum.”
Anora won Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards on March 2, 2025, so the bet cashed (Wikipedia, 97th Academy Awards).
“Best supporting actress. The of these are locked. I mean, not to you know, they're locked. Zoe Zoe Zoe Zoe Zoe Zoe controversy did not affect her on any level for the obvious reasons of she's great in the movie. She's beloved in the business. It's kinda a weak category this year, and people are not that, you know, mean. They're not gonna, like, hold that against her. She's she's getting up there. And she has played her press and speeches post the controversy perfectly. She's she's winning. She was so good in that movie. Yeah. The way she danced, that that scene When they're at that dinner, you know, there's thousands of people there, and she is dancing in the middle of the tables. Like, her movement is great. Her voice is amazing. She speaks Spanish so much in the movie. Like, she was tremendous. This is a no brainer. Lock it in. She's minus 3,000.”
Zoe Saldana won Best Supporting Actress for Emilia Perez at the 97th Academy Awards on March 2, 2025, so the bet cashed (Wikipedia, 97th Academy Awards).
“I think Banshees at plus 100 for best original screenplay. Everything Everywhere I think is minus 150 I can see Banshee winning it because everything everywhere is going to get so much attention Best supporting actor best actress best directors best picture Martin McDonough is so good. And I think he's so beloved amongst the writing community. And this is a brilliant movie this is a spot where you're getting a little bit of value at plus 100 i look i think that this is a really good bet to take you know it will be shocking to me if banshees comes away”
Everything Everywhere All at Once won Best Original Screenplay at the 95th Academy Awards; The Banshees of Inisherin did not win (Wikipedia 95th Academy Awards).
“movie things that why this next category is funny best actor this feels like a makeup award this year so Will Smith I looking right here for King Richard Mine is 600 That crazy And Benedict Cumberbatch who Chad just talked about a little bit with the power of the dog, to me, that was pretty good acting. Like, I did not like him at all. And he's, to me, a pretty likable guy. So he's sitting there plus 550. That's really, that's a crazy discrepancy from the first place guy to the second place guy. Is that really, is that just what it's a four-month conclusion this year that it's just going to be a total foregone conclusion and and i thought i mean they look ben it was great i think that the will smith thing is half of a makeup oscar and what i mean by that is i think it's a great performance he is worthy of winning sometimes people talk about makeup oscars where people win oscars for roles that weren't as challenging as other roles but it feels like a makeup oscar because we've liked will smith for so long and he's been nominated two other times there were a couple other times he should have been nominated that he wasn't like even going back to six degrees of separation. And so I think there's a sense of like, it's just his time and we love him and we want to give it to him. I mean, he's been quote unquote running for six months. He released his long awaited autobiography. He's doing all this massive publicity, but I thought he was really good. And I, yeah, there, it's on your, it's on your shelf. And I, I watched that movie and I, I felt like I was not watching Will Smith and Bennett Cumberbatch is a brilliant actor for the people who've never seen his Sherlock Holmes BBC show. It's incredible, but he's just going to be around. He's going to get nominated five more times. So this to me is the lock of the night. Like I, when I watched King Richard 10 minutes in, I was like, yeah, he's winning the Oscar. Like this is, this is when he's, when he's like fighting with the gangs who are like stalking the, his daughters is like, okay, he's winning the Oscar. Like he's amazing. So that, that is the lock. I don't know how much you can win on that.”
Will Smith won the Best Actor Oscar for King Richard at the 94th Academy Awards (Wikipedia, corroborating official Academy results).
“It just you know wasn translating Best supporting actor We talked about Power of the Dog We talked about Kirsten Dunst son in that movie and how Benedict Cumberbatch sort of terrorizes him Cody Smith plus 22 plus 220 to win the Oscar Troy Kotsur for Koda is at minus 350 kieran hines i looked it up i want to make sure i was pronouncing it correctly because it's gaelic kieran hines belfast plus 1800 jesse plemmons one of my favorites as a friday night lights advocate devotee the power of the dog kirsten dunst husband in real life and in the movie plus 2800 jk simmons being the ricardos he was probably the best part of the movie for me uh plus 3500 this one is this is another kind of lock of the night i mean again if you do go off the trend troy kotzer has won every major award look well you have to decide about sunday since coda only”
Troy Kotsur won the Best Supporting Actor Oscar for CODA at the 94th Academy Awards (Wikipedia, corroborating official Academy results).