“Mikhail bridges plus one 40 head to head versus Fox at draft Kings. [47:09] I think is a really great bet.”
Matt Moore
Guest · 45-113-1 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 67 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | futures | prop | spread | total | moneyline | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 10-70-58% | 5-13-46% | 10-7+12% | 7-10-21% | 8-4+28% | 1-2 | 1-2 | 42-108-37% |
| NFL | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-0 | — | — | — | 2-4-36% |
Picks
193 total · 31 pending“Wemby one-plus made threes at DraftKings, minus 130. [47:43] Another really good look. [47:46] Two plus threes, I'm sorry, is a really good look here.”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“threes leader i've got champagney plus 270 bridges 50 to one and og five to one those are all i think really good value bets there”
“I'll take Nuggets minus one and a half, but I'm just gonna tell you, if Simon's right and the public comes in on Miami, I'm gonna be on Nuggets minus two and a half as well.”
“So I'll take nuggets here. Minus one and half on a series spread, get you plus one thirty at bet three three sixty five.”
“I actually hit my best bet for the series is Heat plus two and a half. You get minus one forty at the three six five because”
“I actually disagree with Maria because I absolutely think that the heat are gonna win game one.”
“No. I will take the Atlanta dream over 18 and a half. That team”
“I'm going to take my best bet is going to be the Miami Heat plus two and a half on an [5:42] alternate series spread minus 134.”
“my best bet for the series is going to be good old-fashioned, [30:08] minus one and a half for the Denver Nuggets, plus 154.”
“My best bet for this series is absolutely Cavaliers minus 1.5.”
“I'm with you. [12:48] I like the Lakers in the series plus 116.”
“I'm taking the minus one and a half at the minus one 50. [20:33] I'm playing an alternate minus two and a half on the alternate spread score. [20:38] That number is actually plus one 98.”
“the under 20 and a half minus 110 is a very good bet”
“Dallas, under 45 and a half, it's just too many wins. 15 and 7 is too much for me to ask for.”
“I love the Wolves over 40 and a half here. They've been criminally underrated essentially since Towns went down.”
“It's my favorite win total in the East right now.”
“and lottery odds under 35 and a half.”
“The other one I like is the over on the Orlando magic 33 and a half.”
“I'm heavy on Boston. [14:32] This is like the one spot that I'm really targeted in the series for a game bet.”
“So this is obviously, [30:10] I think a great spot to bet Tatum over on assist. [30:13] I tailed Raybon because he's been red hot in game two.”
“but I like the over a lot on Wiggins rebounds per game at six.”
“So I'm going to be playing Grant Williams unders. [40:10] I'm going to find his points, rebounds, assists and play the under on that because I do not know if he's going to be playable in this series.”
“heat plus one and a half on the windspread line, just because I think there's a good chance that”
- Evan Mobley ROY
- Ja Morant MIP
- Tyler Herro 6MOY
“take Embiid, Jokic, Giannis, and you can actually round robin it.”
“but that the numbers feel great about, which is that Drew Holiday plus 185 and the Chris Paul plus 190 finals MVP.”
“I'm going to be betting the unders. I think a lot in this series. Yeah.”
“i like the bucks in game four i like the bucks in game five i think this one's gonna be done in five”
“i like the bucks in game four i like the bucks in game five i think this one's gonna be done in five”
“as well as jalen brunson finals mvp uh slew of them”
Jalen Brunson won the 2026 NBA Finals MVP (Bill Russell Trophy).
“I do think like the unders is gonna be a great play again just because I think the market is unable to kind of encounter or kind of account for how terrible how truly terrible uh both these offenses have been”
No numeric total line was stated on air; using the closing total (211.5), Pistons beat Magic 116-109 (225 combined points), well over. (Pistons 116, Magic 109 (total 225) vs closing 211.5)
“i bet them plus two and a half on the series spread i bet them plus one and a half i think they can get one more game”
Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1 (margin of 3 games), so Toronto +2.5 on the series spread did not cover.
“i bet them plus two and a half on the series spread i bet them plus one and a half i think they can get one more game”
Cavaliers beat the Raptors 4-1 (margin of 3 games), so Toronto +1.5 on the series spread did not cover.
“So if you get on something like San Antonio to beat the Knicks as an exacta, I think that that has actually a pretty good amount of value here based off of where the number that you're able to get in the market. So do that one.”
Exacta 'Spurs beat Knicks in the Finals' lost; the Knicks beat the Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 NBA Finals.
“I'm going to stick with this. Jalen Brunson, plus 700, Eastern Conference Finals MVP.”
Jalen Brunson won the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP (Larry Bird Trophy).
“So I will take the over of 235 in Blazers' Wolves.”
POR 121, MIN 124 — Combined 245; over 235 covers.
“being able to get either one at DraftKings for plus 105 to me was a sweetheart of a deal. [25:28] I get to get either one.”
Neither Cooper Kupp nor Hunter Henry scored; the only receiving TDs were Barner (SEA), Hollins and Stevenson (NE).
“I love the under on this.”
No numeric total line was captured for this Under pick on air; using the closing total (45.5), Seahawks beat Patriots 29-13 (42 combined points), under. (Seahawks 29, Patriots 13 (total 42) vs closing 45.5)
“Rashid Shaheed, I talked about Rashid as Super Bowl MVP. [28:51] I'm going to be on that as well. [28:53] Anytime touchdown is the safest one.”
Rashid Shaheed did not score; New England's TDs went to Mack Hollins and Rhamondre Stevenson.
“I love the JSN here, right?”
Cross-sport battle settled on Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8, 2026): Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 3 receptions in Super Bowl LX vs Jaylen Brown's 2 rebounds at Knicks. JSN side wins, 3 > 2.
“I love Rashid Shahid MVP here at 30-1. I love it.”
Rashid Shaheed did not win Super Bowl LX MVP; the award went to Kenneth Walker III.
“Broncos minus three is where I'll plant my flag.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Denver Broncos margin -14 vs line -3; busts.
“so i like jacksonville tomorrow to cover this i [51:31] would not be surprised if they win”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I bet Pacers or I bet Thunder four two yesterday plus two ninety.”
The Thunder won the 2025 Finals in 7 games, not 4-2, so the Thunder 4-2 bet lost.
“I'm gonna play Pacers money line game one. If it loses, I'll be back on them in game two.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Indiana Pacers won; moneyline covers.
“I like the series spread. I'm taking Thunder minus two and a half games. There's a minus one ten out there.”
Oklahoma City beat Indiana 4-3 (won the series by one game), so Thunder -2.5 series games lost.
“My bet, though, is I will go head-to-head with you and I will take the defending champion, Denver Nuggets, and the guy that no one in a tank top and shorts can stop in Nikola Jokic at plus 450.”
Nuggets did not win the 2024 NBA title; lost in the second round, Celtics won it all. (Denver eliminated by Minnesota in West semis)
“Mine's a little bit longer. There's a 50-1 in the market. At BetMGM, the number is 40-1. Give me the Los Angeles Lakers.”
Lakers did not win the 2024 NBA title; lost in the first round, Celtics won. (Lakers eliminated by Denver in first round)
“my best bet will be minus one and a half on the nuggets as well”
The Denver Nuggets won the 2023 NBA Finals 4-1, covering Nuggets -1.5 games easily (Basketball-Reference.com). (Nuggets won 4-1 (won by 3 games))
“I do love Deladon though, plus 600,”
2023 WNBA MVP went to Breanna Stewart (NY Liberty), not Elena Delle Donne. Pick loses.
“another one I very much like is correct score after two games [7:36] Heat 2-1 plus 350.”
The Miami Heat won both Game 1 (123-116) and Game 2 (111-105) of the 2023 Eastern Conference Finals, making the series 2-0 Heat after two games, not 2-1 as selected (ESPN).
“I like the Golden State Warriors minus one and a half plus 140.”
GS 112, LAL 117 — Golden State Warriors margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“And I'll take the Nuggets minus one and a half on the series spread minus 132.”
Nuggets defeated the Suns 4 games to 2 in the Western Conference Semifinals, covering -1.5 on the series spread. (Nuggets won series 4-2)
“Whoever wins the East one eighth seed playing game between the Heat and the Bulls, I'll bet [31:45] Bucs sweep. I'm going to have to lay juice on it and I'm fine on that.”
The Miami Heat upset the Milwaukee Bucks in the 2023 Eastern Conference First Round; the Bucks were eliminated and did not sweep, per Basketball-Reference.
“I betting Suns Celtics I betting Celtics to beat the Suns at [35:05] plus 1400”
The 2023 NBA Finals were Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat (not Celtics vs. Suns); Denver won the championship, per ESPN.
“my best bet is uh devin booker finals mvp plus uh 1900 then”
Nikola Jokic won the 2023 NBA Finals MVP as the Nuggets defeated the Heat 4-1; Devin Booker and the Suns were not in the Finals, per NBA.com.
“Milwaukee Bucks plus 440 is a ridiculous price.”
The Bucks were upset by the Heat in the first round of the 2023 playoffs; Denver won the title.
“The Minnesota Timberwolves are plus 210 head-to-head against the Pelicans, and I think you want to take that bet.”
Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and New Orleans Pelicans finished the 2022-23 regular season with identical 42-40 records — a dead heat in wins (Basketball-Reference). (Wolves 42-40, Pelicans 42-40)
“So I think I'm going to go ahead and I'm going to bet the minus one 75 and”
The Milwaukee Bucks finished as the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference in 2022-23 at 58-24; the Boston Celtics were the No. 2 seed (Bleacher Report).
“calves to win the win the eastern conference title at plus 1100 i put that in the app”
The Cleveland Cavaliers were eliminated in the first round by the New York Knicks in 2023 and did not win the Eastern Conference (Basketball-Reference). (Cavs lost R1 to Knicks)
“I will bet plus 1300 to make the play in.”
The Orlando Magic finished 34-48 in 2022-23 and did not qualify for the NBA play-in tournament (Basketball-Reference). (Magic 34-48, 12th seed East)
“I'm going to take Buddy Heald, the favorite at currently at Fandle. I'm going to take plus 420 on Buddy Heald”
Damian Lillard won the 2023 Three-Point Contest, defeating Buddy Hield 26-25 in the final round. (Buddy Hield finished runner-up)
“take marketing plus 650 as my wild card for this round”
Damian Lillard won the 2023 Three-Point Contest; Lauri Markkanen did not win. (Lillard 26, Hield 25 (final round))
“I'm going to take Kyrie Irving, 10 to 1.”
Jayson Tatum won 2023 All-Star Game MVP with a record 55 points; Kyrie Irving did not win. (Tatum: 55 pts (MVP))
“On the other hand, right after the Warriors won the title, I put in three bets and wrote about them on Action Network for the title next season. [15:41] The Los Angeles Clippers, the Philadelphia 76ers and the Milwaukee Bucks.”
The Denver Nuggets won the 2022-23 NBA Championship, defeating the Miami Heat 4-1 in the Finals. The Los Angeles Clippers did not win the title. Source: NBA.com / Wikipedia 2023 NBA Finals. (Clippers eliminated in 2023 playoffs)
“We bet on the Philadelphia 76ers because I believe that Daryl Morey was going to reshape the roster in his image around the players that he's decided to go in with.”
The Denver Nuggets won the 2022-23 NBA Championship. The Philadelphia 76ers did not win the title. Source: NBA.com / Wikipedia 2023 NBA Finals. (Sixers eliminated in 2023 playoffs)
“And then we also got the Bucks, who quite honestly probably would have beaten the Celtics in the playoffs if Chris Middleton was healthy.”
The Denver Nuggets won the 2022-23 NBA Championship. The Milwaukee Bucks did not win the title. Source: NBA.com / Wikipedia 2023 NBA Finals. (Bucks eliminated in 2023 playoffs)
“So I like Uzman Jing top 10 plus 225”
Ousmane Dieng was drafted 11th overall by the New York Knicks (traded to OKC) — not top 10. Source: NBA.com / Fox 5 New York. (Pick 11 overall)
“I think it's very, I've bet Knicks to take him at plus 500.”
The Knicks drafted Ousmane Dieng at No. 11, not AJ Griffin. Griffin was taken by the Atlanta Hawks at No. 16. Source: Basketball-Reference / Wikipedia 2022 NBA Draft. (Griffin pick 16 (Hawks))
“I bet a 10 and a half and 11 and a half.”
AJ Griffin was drafted 16th overall by the Atlanta Hawks, which is over the 11.5 line. Source: Basketball-Reference / Wikipedia 2022 NBA Draft. (Griffin pick 16)
“I've got Trevor Keels first round at plus 425.”
Trevor Keels was drafted 42nd overall (2nd round) by the New York Knicks — not in the first round. Source: 247Sports / Daily Knicks. (Keels pick 42 (2nd round))
“There's a 108 and a half hanging, which is to me crazy.”
BOS 97, GS 107 — Combined 204; under 108.5 busts.
“So I bet Celtics minus one and a half on the series spread line.”
Celtics -1.5 series spread requires Celtics to win the series. The Golden State Warriors won the 2022 NBA Finals 4-2; the Celtics won only 2 games and lost the series. Source: Basketball-Reference (basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-finals-celtics-vs-warriors.html). (Warriors won Finals 4-2)
“but one of the reasons I bet the six is I got plus 200 on it”
The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Finals. The Celtics did not win the series in 6 games. (ESPN, Basketball-Reference: Warriors 103-90 Celtics in Game 6 on June 16, 2022) (Warriors won series 4-2)
“seven bets last night because the number is so high”
The 2022 NBA Finals ended in 6 games (Warriors 4-2 Celtics), not 7. (Basketball-Reference, ESPN) (Series ended in 6 games)
“I grabbed him plus 175.”
Steph Curry won the 2022 NBA Finals MVP unanimously; Jayson Tatum did not win. (CBS Sports) (Curry won MVP unanimously)
“I did take Jalen Brown at plus 650.”
Steph Curry won the 2022 NBA Finals MVP unanimously; Jaylen Brown did not win. (CBS Sports) (Curry won MVP unanimously)
“Steph Curry, 10 and a half over assistant rebounds [29:27] was a really painful one. He had 10 over 10 and a half. He had 10. I got hit by the hook and he [29:33] sits the entire fourth quarter. I'm back on that for game three.”
Curry had 4 rebounds + 2 assists (6) in Game 3, under the 10.5 line.
“And so his rebounds and assists only. [30:38] So we just think that he's going to play a lot of five, get a lot of rebounds. [30:41] He'll probably crash the offensive glass a lot more. [30:43] Jason talked about that adjustment. [30:45] 12 and a half over is plus 104.”
Al Horford had 8 rebounds + 6 assists (14) in Game 3, over the 12.5 line.
“Really quickly, Jalen Brown is plus 750 to win finals MVP. [31:49] Now, regardless of how you feel about the series, that's one hell of a number.”
Curry won Finals MVP, so Jaylen Brown +750 to win Finals MVP lost.
“half on the windspread at plus 200.”
Celtics -1.5 series spread requires Celtics to win the series (win by at least 2 games). The Golden State Warriors won the 2022 NBA Finals 4-2; the Celtics won only 2 games. Source: Basketball-Reference (basketball-reference.com/playoffs/2022-nba-finals-celtics-vs-warriors.html). (Warriors won Finals 4-2)
“I'll tell you right now I'm on points,”
Wiggins had 20 pts + 5 reb (25 combined) in Game 1; the closest recovered market number was his points+assists+rebounds line at over 24.5, which points+rebounds alone already clears, so graded as a win. (20 pts, 5 reb)
“which is why I'm on Clay Thompson, Jason Tatum with a sprinkle on Al Horford and an absurd number.”
Stephen Curry won the 2022 NBA Finals MVP unanimously, averaging 31.2 pts/6 reb/5 ast in 6 games. Jayson Tatum did not win the award. Source: NBA.com (nba.com/news/stephen-curry-wins-2022-bill-russell-nba-finals-mvp-award). (Curry: 31.2 PPG Finals MVP)
“But for me, the value, when I'm getting a plus number on a team that's been as good as Boston, [17:13] that has found the answers. [17:15] I think Boston is where the value is found.”
The Celtics lost the 2022 NBA Finals to Golden State 2-4.
“I already bet Celtics minus one and a half at plus 200. [48:56] So I'm set for Celtics and six, essentially at plus 200 from that position.”
Boston lost the 2022 Finals, failing to win by 1.5+ games; Celtics -1.5 lost.
“I think Al Horford's going to be awesome to the point where we can talk about it later, but I bet him for finals MVP.”
Stephen Curry won 2022 Finals MVP, not Al Horford.
“So I've got Warriors first half, and I've got the over first half.”
GS 108, BOS 120 — Golden State Warriors margin -12 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I've got Warriors first half, and I've got the over first half.”
Warriors led Celtics 54-39 at halftime of Finals Game 1 (93 combined points); with the full-game total set at ~213.5, the first-half total ran well below any reasonable first-half number, so the over first-half loses. (Halftime: Warriors 54, Celtics 39 (93 combined))
“plays like part of my equation here has been I like the overs in this series I'm starting out”
Golden State beat Dallas 112-87 in Game 1 of the 2022 West Finals; combined 199 points came in well under the game's 214.5 total, so the over loses. (Warriors 112, Mavericks 87 (total 199, line 214.5))
“His points total is 33 and a half, and I'm with you.”
GS 112, DAL 87 — Luka Doncic: 20 points vs over 33.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 20 points)
“And as we record this on Tuesday afternoon, Suns to beat Warriors is plus 190.”
The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors never met in the Western Conference Finals. The Suns (1-seed) were eliminated in the second round by the Dallas Mavericks. Golden State beat Dallas in the WCF 4-1 and went on to win the 2022 NBA Championship over Boston in 6 games. Source: Wikipedia / Basketball-Reference (Suns eliminated in R2 by Dallas Mavericks; Warriors won WCF vs Dallas)
“I actually taking Sixers minus one and a half plus 124 at FanDuel”
PHI 131, TOR 111 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +20 vs line -1.5; covers.
“yeah i got minus two and a half at minus 170 that to me is [15:27] like on the siri on the windspread”
MIL 93, CHI 86 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“My best bet for a futures play if you're looking [18:46] for the Eastern Conference is actually Sixers plus 600.”
The 76ers lost in the second round; Boston won the 2022 Eastern Conference, not Philadelphia.
“I like Warriors minus one and a half here.”
GS 123, DEN 107 — Golden State Warriors margin +16 vs line -1.5; covers.
“my best bet for the western conference in terms [36:26] of a future i like the warriors plus 400”
Golden State beat Dallas to win the 2022 Western Conference championship (+400).
“I will go with the Milwaukee Bucks at plus 650.”
The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Finals; the Milwaukee Bucks did not win the title (NBA.com).
“I am going to go, however, with a similarly priced player at FanDuel, which is Mikael Bridges at plus 1600.”
Marcus Smart of the Boston Celtics won the 2021-22 NBA Defensive Player of the Year; Mikal Bridges finished second in voting and did not win (NBA.com).
“To me, Milwaukee is still the best value on the board at plus 650”
The Warriors won the 2021-22 NBA title; the Bucks (+650) lost in the second round.
“I get to Nikoli Jokic at plus two 70.”
Nikola Jokic won the 2021-22 NBA MVP, cashing the +270 ticket.
“I think Giannis at plus three 90.”
Jokic won 2021-22 MVP, so Giannis (+390) lost.
“I'm going to go ahead and I'm going to bet Fred VanVleet. [11:59] I'm going to bet Zach Levine and I'm going to bet Luke Kennard.”
Karl-Anthony Towns won the 2022 NBA Three-Point Contest; none of Fred VanVleet, Zach LaVine, or Luke Kennard won (NBA.com).
“I bet Nuggets.”
The Denver Nuggets did not win the 2021-22 NBA Championship. The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics 4-2 in the 2022 NBA Finals. The Nuggets were eliminated in the first round by the Warriors. (Wikipedia: 2022 NBA Finals; NBA.com) (Warriors def. Celtics 4-2)
“I bet Warriors.”
The Golden State Warriors won the 2021-22 NBA Championship, defeating the Boston Celtics 4-2. Stephen Curry was named Finals MVP. (Wikipedia: 2022 NBA Finals; NBA.com Warriors championship page) (Warriors def. Celtics 4-2)
“I bet Mavericks.”
The Dallas Mavericks did not win the 2021-22 NBA Championship. They were eliminated in the Western Conference Finals by the Golden State Warriors in five games. (Wikipedia: 2022 NBA Finals; NBA.com) (Warriors def. Mavericks 4-1 in WCF)
“I bet. I bet bucks a plus 850. I think there's value there. Not a lot. I think there's value there as well.”
The Milwaukee Bucks did not win the 2021-22 NBA Championship. They were eliminated in the second round by the Boston Celtics. The Bucks had won the prior season (2020-21) championship. (Wikipedia: 2022 NBA Finals; NBA.com) (Celtics def. Bucks 4-3 in second round)
“bet Springer out the gate at 23 and a half minus 110. When the props first hit, I hit that every book I could find it at um so i i've i have built on springer i have more on him”
Jaden Springer was selected #28 overall by the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2021 NBA Draft. Pick 28 is over the 23.5 line, so the under loses. (Yahoo Sports/Basketball-Reference: Jaden Springer draft history) (Springer: pick #28 (Philadelphia))
“His prop's still 22 and a half. The under is juiced at plus 110 on BetMGM, the official odds provider of the Action Network. For me, like, I just think Jaden Springer, 22 and a half, still has to be a best bet.”
Jaden Springer was selected #28 overall by the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2021 NBA Draft. Pick 28 is over the 22.5 line, so the under loses. (Yahoo Sports/Basketball-Reference: Jaden Springer draft history) (Springer: pick #28 (Philadelphia))
“Davion Mitchell is his over under is 12 and a half uh the 12 and a half is plus 100 i'm gonna bet the over it at plus 100”
Davion Mitchell was selected #9 overall by the Sacramento Kings in the 2021 NBA Draft. Pick 9 is under the 12.5 line, so the over loses. (Baylor University / NBC Sports Bay Area: Mitchell goes #9 to Kings) (Mitchell: pick #9 (Sacramento))
“losing about like 19 or whatever then they're in a much better spot so i think i'm just gonna play”
Suns scored 119 in Game 5 (Bucks 123, Suns 119), well above any realistic Suns team total line (~108-110) for that game. (Suns 119 (Bucks 123-119 win))
“So it it weird because I come away right now I think that the the two best series prices I like right now are two bets that I genuinely don feel good about”
Giannis Antetokounmpo won the 2021 NBA Finals MVP after the Milwaukee Bucks defeated the Phoenix Suns in six games. Chris Paul did not win. (cbssports.com/nba/news/giannis-antetokounmpo-wins-2021-nba-finals-mvp) (Giannis won MVP unanimously)
“I think I'm going to bet Suns money line just because I've got to hedge against Suns in six and seven.”
MIL 120, PHX 100 — Phoenix Suns lost; moneyline busts.
“I think I'd keep playing it until they adjust it.”
MIL 120, PHX 100 — Mikal Bridges: 0 threes vs over 1.5; busts. (Mikal Bridges: 0 threes)
“I'm on Suns money line for game one.”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
- Suns ML closed -233 · CLV -17¢ won
- Under 218 closed +219.5 · CLV -1.5 lost
“i've put suns and the under parlayed i got that 155 uh i'm on suns minus five and a half”
Parlay busts: Suns ML — won; Under 218 +218 — lost.
“i've put suns and the under parlayed i got that 155 uh i'm on suns minus five and a half”
PHX 118, MIL 105 — Phoenix Suns margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“down to earth and that's a pretty comfortable suns win i like the suns tomorrow a lot in game in game”
LAC 103, PHX 130 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
“has to be Bucs to beat Clippers based off of getting that high of a number.”
Clippers never reached the Finals (lost WCF to Suns), so the conditional Bucks-beat-Clippers bet voids.
“but I'm going the other way from you guys I'm playing the Suns to sweep and here's why”
Suns won the 2021 WCF 4-2 over the Clippers, not a sweep. Series ended June 30, 2021. (Basketball-Reference, landofbasketball.com)
“So that's probably going to be my play”
The Milwaukee Bucks defeated the Atlanta Hawks 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals (not 4-0 or 4-1). The Bucks won Game 6 on July 3, 2021. (Basketball-Reference, ESPN) (Bucks win ECF 4-2 (not 4-0 or 4-1))
“like I'm I bet the Suns in the series I'm gonna bet them more”
The Phoenix Suns defeated the LA Clippers 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals, winning Game 6 on June 30, 2021 (130-103). (NBA.com, Basketball-Reference) (Suns win WCF 4-2)
“I'm jumping back in series only.”
The LA Clippers defeated the Utah Jazz 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference Semifinals, clinching the series in Game 6 on June 18, 2021. Utah did not win the series. (NBA.com, Basketball-Reference) (Clippers win series 4-2)
“defending champions i bet the denver nuggets to beat the phoenix suns at plus 180 i saw that”
Suns beat Nuggets 122-105 in Game 1 of the West semis; Nuggets ML (+180) lost. (Suns 122, Nuggets 105)
“I'm betting Utah in the next series.”
The Utah Jazz faced the LA Clippers in the 2021 NBA Western Conference Semifinals and lost 2-4, eliminated in Game 6 on June 18. Source: basketball-reference.com. (Jazz lost to Clippers 2-4)
“Look, I'm going to be on the Blazers in game six.”
POR 115, DEN 126 — Portland Trail Blazers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to be on the Hawks in game three I'm already on the Hawks game three”
ATL 105, NY 94 — Atlanta Hawks won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Heat in Game 3.”
MIA 84, MIL 113 — Miami Heat lost; moneyline busts.
- Blazers -4 closed -3.5 · CLV -0.5
- Blazers ML closed -164 · CLV -11¢
“I am on the Blazers minus four and on the money line in a parlay”
Nuggets beat Trail Blazers 120-115 in Game 3; both parlay legs (Blazers -4 and Blazers ML) lost. (Nuggets 120, Trail Blazers 115)
“I'm on the over tonight in Heat Bucks game two. It dropped from 227 in game one to 220. It's at 222 and a half at most books.”
MIL 132, MIA 98 — Combined 230; over 222.5 covers.
“I think the Nuggets are going to win game two I like them I took them first half especially I think like that's always been a good spot is that team down 0-1 at home you're got it must win game two can't go down 0-2 take the first half line like I'm on Nuggets Nuggets first half”
DEN 128, POR 109 — Denver Nuggets won; moneyline covers.
“I bet Lakers game, too. [50:17] Let's go ahead and bet that.”
PHX 102, LAL 109 — Los Angeles Lakers won; moneyline covers.
“the knicks i think are going to win game two i love the knicks in game two”
Knicks beat Hawks 101-92 in Game 2 of the first round on 5/26/21. (Knicks 101, Hawks 92)
“I took the Blazers at minus 105 early. I grabbed them. My two angles for this series are pretty simple Firepower So the Blazers have Damian Lillard yes but also C McCollum who is huge in the 2019 series and Norman Powell who can create off ball”
The Denver Nuggets defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 4-2 in the 2021 NBA Western Conference First Round. Blazers lost the series. (Basketball-Reference: 2021 WCF First Round Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets) (Nuggets won series 4-2)
“i get mavericks plus two and a half at minus 155 i'm only laying a buck and a half versus them to get two games out of the series versus a clippers team that let's be honest like you know rahim you've talked about this like oh but Doc Rivers is gone.”
The LA Clippers defeated the Dallas Mavericks 4-3. Mavericks +2.5 series spread requires Dallas to win at least 2 games; they won 3. (Basketball-Reference: 2021 WCF First Round Mavericks vs. Clippers) (Mavericks won 3 games; Clippers won series 4-3)
“I'm already locked in on Lakers we talked about this on our Twitter spaces that we did on Monday make sure to follow Action Network HQ on Twitter to follow find that I'm already locked in I got Lakers minus four and a half So I grabbed that line. I got Lakers minus four and a half at plus 100, actually. And so I grabbed that.”
Lakers beat Warriors 103-100 in the play-in game, a 3-point margin that fell short of the -4.5 spread. (Lakers 103, Warriors 100)
“So I'm already on the Hornets, but I'm especially on them in this game versus Indiana.”
IND 144, CHA 117 — Charlotte Hornets margin -27 vs line +2; busts.
“I already took, though, I took Wizards to make the playoffs at plus 450.”
Wizards beat the Pacers in the play-in to clinch the 2021 NBA Playoffs.
“So that's Lakers or Clippers or Suns to beat either Sixers or Nets in the finals at plus 240.”
Bucks (Atlantic-division East) beat Suns (Pacific) in the 2021 NBA Finals, so the Pacific-over-Atlantic Finals bet lost.
“I'm still getting plus 375 for Nets Lakers, so I will go ahead and grab the Lakers.”
The 2021 NBA Finals was Bucks vs. Suns. The Nets did not make the Finals, and neither did the Lakers. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NBA_Finals (Finals: Bucks def. Suns 4-2)
“I'm taking Bucks Lakers at plus 1000.”
The Bucks did reach the Finals and won, but their opponent was the Phoenix Suns, not the Lakers. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NBA_Finals (Finals: Bucks def. Suns 4-2)
“I'll take Sixers Clippers.”
The 2021 NBA Finals was Bucks vs. Suns. Neither the Sixers nor the Clippers reached the Finals. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_NBA_Finals (Finals: Bucks def. Suns 4-2)
“Luka Doncic, over three and a half, three-pointers.”
MIN 108, DAL 128 — Luka Doncic: 2 threes vs over 3.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 2 threes)
“So instead, I'm going to be going with Luka Doncic over two and a half”
POR 125, DAL 119 — Luka Doncic: 4 threes vs over 2.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 4 threes)
“So my pick here is Cassius Stanley under this very sophisticated logic.”
Anfernee Simons (not Cassius Stanley) won the 2021 AT&T Slam Dunk Contest on March 7, 2021, defeating Obi Toppin in the final. Source: https://www.nba.com/news/2021-att-slam-dunk (Simons def. Toppin in final; Stanley eliminated earlier)
“it's a Julius Randle year I am going Julius Randle to win that contest we don't have odds”
Domantas Sabonis (not Julius Randle) won the 2021 Taco Bell Skills Challenge on March 7, 2021, defeating Nikola Vucevic in the final. Randle was eliminated in the semifinals. Source: https://www.nba.com/news/2021-taco-bell-skills-challenge (Sabonis won; Randle eliminated in semis)
“So I'm taking the Blazers first half money line plus one Oh five.”
Golden State Warriors led 56-55 at halftime in the March 3, 2021 game at Portland. The Blazers lost the first-half money line; Portland won the full game 108-106. Source: https://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/202103030POR.html (GSW led 56-55 at half; POR won game 108-106)
“like both I'm gonna go with the Suns just because I like to trust my numbers and my numbers even”
Charlotte Hornets won the 2nd quarter 32-29 over the Phoenix Suns in the Feb 24, 2021 game (Hornets won 124-121). Malik Monk scored 20 points in the second quarter alone. Source: ESPN box score Feb 24, 2021 (https://www.espn.com/nba/game?gameId=401267656). (Hornets 32, Suns 29 (Q2))
“I will still probably be on the under. I'm taking the under in a Wizards game.”
WSH 130, DEN 128 — Combined 258; under 234 busts.
“I'm taking calves over 105 for the night.”
The Cavaliers scored only 95 points in a 133-95 loss to the Nuggets, under the 105 team-total line. (Final: Nuggets 133, Cavaliers 95)
“Also I taking the Sixers in this game versus the Charlotte Hornets who hit more than 23s in the previous game”
76ers beat the Hornets 118-111 on Feb 3, 2021; the Sixers pick won straight up. (Final: 76ers 118, Hornets 111)
“I'm taking the Sixers and I'm taking the under in this game as the regression hits the Hornets.”
76ers-Hornets combined for 229 points, above the ~221.5-222.5 total line that night, so the under missed. (Final: 76ers 118, Hornets 111 (229 total))
“I'm going 30 bucks on Celtics minus one and a half first quarter”
Celtics vs Spurs Jan 27, 2021: First quarter ended Celtics 30, Spurs 25. Celtics won Q1 by 5 points, covering the -1.5 spread. Spurs won the overall game 110-106. Source: basketball-reference.com/boxscores/202101270SAS.html (Q1: Celtics 30, Spurs 25 (Celtics +5 in Q1))
“I'm taking Nuggets heat over 219.5 for 30 bucks.”
MIA 82, DEN 109 — Combined 191; over 219.5 busts.
“I'm taking 10 bucks on Warriors minus nine.”
GS 123, MIN 111 — Golden State Warriors margin +12 vs line -9; covers.
“I'm taking 30 bucks on Sixers plus one 38.”
76ers beat the Lakers 107-106 on Jan 27, 2021 on a late Tobias Harris jumper. (Philadelphia 107, LA Lakers 106)
“going small but i am putting 10 bucks on kings plus three and a half first quarter”
Cannot verify the exact first-quarter final score for Kings vs Clippers on Jan 20, 2021. Known: LAC led 23-22 at 3:23 in Q1; final game score Clippers 115-96; halftime 61-56. Q1 endpoint not confirmed from available sources. Source: foxsports.com/nba/sacramento-kings-vs-la-clippers-jan-20-2021-game-boxscore-36714
“I'm going $10 on Pistons plus five.”
ATL 123, DET 115 — Detroit Pistons margin -8 vs line +5; busts.
“i've got 10 bucks on vucevich over 23 and a half points on fanduel”
MIN 96, ORL 97 — Nikola Vucevic: 28 points vs over 23.5; covers. (Nikola Vucevic: 28 points)
“my biggest bet i talked about pistons plus five i talked about the king first quarter my biggest bet of this week 30 bucks on sixers minus four and a half”
76ers beat the Celtics 117-109, an 8-point win that covers -4.5. (Final: Philadelphia 117, Boston 109)
“Finally by the way I got 20 bucks on Mavericks Pacers over”
Mavericks beat Pacers 124-112 (236 combined points), clearing the closing total of roughly 219.5. (Final: Dallas 124, Indiana 112 (236 total))
“I also have the box I'm more conservative which is 30 on 10 and a half uh this has been one of my favorite bets over the last three seasons Mike Budenholzer with the Milwaukee Bucks against a division team as a double-digit favorite is 14-5 against the spread.”
DET 101, MIL 110 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +9 vs line -10.5; busts.
“my second side, I put just 10 bucks and I'm going on Pelicans plus seven and a half versus the Clippers.”
LAC 111, NO 106 — New Orleans Pelicans margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“i am going with wolves grizzlies under second quarter 53 and a half okay you can get this at several books i'm not out there on a line yes the limits are lower but i'm only putting 15 on it”
The Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves game on January 13, 2021 ended 118-107. The 2nd quarter score was Memphis 29, Minnesota 29, combining for 58 points, which is over the 53.5 line. Source: ESPN box score https://www.espn.com/nba/boxscore/_/gameId/401267329 (Q2: MEM 29, MIN 29 — combined 58 (over 53.5))
“So I'm taking over 236. Raheem, do you have a third bet?”
SAC 126, POR 132 — Combined 258; over 236 covers.
“I think I'm going to bet the Rockets to win the division. I think I'm going to, like, 1600 is really good value here.”
The 2020-21 NBA Southwest Division was won by the Dallas Mavericks (42-30). The Houston Rockets finished last in the Southwest Division with a 17-55 record. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2020%E2%80%9321_NBA_Southwest_standings (Southwest winner: Dallas (42-30); Houston finished 17-55)
“I love the Suns.”
PHX 123, TOR 115 — Phoenix Suns margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm also I'm going to stick with that same game. I like the under on that game. I think I think it's 218 right now. There's a little difference in opinion in the market. Like one book has 217. One book has 218. I personally make the game 216. For me, I just don't see how the Raptors consistently score on his son's defense. I think the sons the sons play the slowest pace in the league. The Raptors want to run. But I think, you know, with Chris Paul out there, he keeps the pace low.”
PHX 123, TOR 115 — Combined 238; under 218 busts.
“I am going to chow down on the under in Washington, Philly.”
PHI 141, WSH 136 — Combined 277; under 231 busts.
“buffet i'm going to go with i hate to do this but i'm going with the miami heat oh boy this is this”
MIA 105, BOS 107 — Miami Heat margin -2 vs line -2.5; busts.
- Pacers ML closed -144 · CLV +11¢ won
- Suns ML closed -147 · CLV -2¢ won
“I'm going parlay hunting. Okay. Put in 30 on the Pacers money line versus the Rockets.”
Parlay cashes: Pacers ML — won; Suns ML — won.
“I'm going top of the board and I'm grabbing the Los Angeles Lakers plus 275 at William Hill to win the NBA title.”
The Milwaukee Bucks won the 2020-21 NBA Championship, defeating the Phoenix Suns 4-2 in the Finals. The Los Angeles Lakers were eliminated in the first round by the Phoenix Suns 4-2. (NBA.com; Wikipedia: 2021 NBA Finals) (Lakers eliminated first round)
“I'm going Celtics to win the Eastern conference. I can't believe I get this number. I get the Celtics to win the East at plus 650.”
The Milwaukee Bucks won the 2020-21 Eastern Conference, defeating the Atlanta Hawks 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Boston Celtics lost in the first round to the Brooklyn Nets. (Wikipedia: 2021 NBA playoffs; basketball-reference.com) (Celtics first-round exit)
“Warriors over 36 and a half at Westgate. What are we doing, guys?”
The Golden State Warriors finished the 2020-21 NBA regular season with a 39-33 record, over the 36.5-win total. (Wikipedia: 2020-21 Golden State Warriors season; basketball-reference.com) (39-33)
“I'm actually gonna go ahead and I'm going to take the Nuggets minus 130 at FanDuel to win the Northwest Division.”
The Utah Jazz won the 2020-21 NBA Northwest Division with a 52-20 record. The Denver Nuggets finished 47-25, second in the Northwest Division behind Utah. (NBA.com Jazz clinch Northwest Division title; Wikipedia: 2020-21 Utah Jazz season) (Jazz 52-20 won Northwest; Nuggets 47-25)
“I'm going over on Cavs, 22 and a half.”
The Cleveland Cavaliers finished the 2020-21 NBA regular season with a 22-50 record, under the 22.5-win total. (Wikipedia: 2020-21 Cleveland Cavaliers season; basketball-reference.com) (22-50)
“of those three teams, the Celtics are the best, [32:48] and that's why I'm probably going to put it in a position on the Celtics.”
Celtics lost the Eastern Conference Finals to the Heat in six games.
“you can get Celtics Clippers at plus 2,200 and Celtics Lakers at plus 2,000.”
Neither matchup occurred; Lakers beat Heat in the 2020 Finals.
“If I got one bet, I'll go Lakers.”
Lakers beat the Heat to win the 2020 NBA title.
“My three-man position starts with a guy that is number one amongst these competitors in that category, and that is the Miami Heat's Duncan Robinson. That guy also, bucket, just bucket.”
Duncan Robinson was eliminated in the first round of the 2020 Three-Point Contest (19 points); Buddy Hield won. (Robinson: 19 pts, eliminated round 1)
“And my third one is going to be Trey Young because of that extra ball rack. Like Trey, I think, might have like legit intentions to go into this all-star game and really just like try and win the weekend”
Trae Young was eliminated in the first round of the 2020 Three-Point Contest (15 points); Buddy Hield won. (Young: 15 pts, eliminated round 1)
“That's why I'm taking Chris Middleton because he's probably going to have the longest odds of a guy who's not a point guard. I'm not so worried about him passing a ball through a circle hole or dribbling through whatever obstacles there are out there, but he's as wet of a three-point shooter as anybody in this competition, and he's going to pay out on top of it. My guy's Chris Middleton here.”
Bam Adebayo won the 2020 Taco Bell Skills Challenge; Khris Middleton was eliminated in the second round by Domantas Sabonis. (Winner: Bam Adebayo; Middleton lost round 2 to Sabonis)
“Young is one of my two MVP picks for the reasons you just stated. I think he's going to try and win the weekend, and most importantly, he's going to have the ball in his hands”
Kawhi Leonard won the first Kobe Bryant NBA All-Star Game MVP award in 2020; Trae Young did not win MVP. (MVP: Kawhi Leonard)
“Plus if you ask me for my favorite number today on the board it Sixers plus 900 That awesome value for a team I think that is poised to optimize Embiid going into what should be his ascendance to the real MVP conversation”
The Los Angeles Lakers won the 2019-20 NBA Championship; the Philadelphia 76ers did not win the title. (Lakers def. Heat 4-2 in Finals; 76ers lost in East semis to Boston 4-1)
“I don't think you're going to get Bucs better than plus 600 now until they're down 0-2 in a series, and at that point, I don't know if you want to bet on them at that point because then you're going to be pretty scared off of that. Plus 600 is a really good number.”
The Los Angeles Lakers won the 2019-20 NBA Championship; the Milwaukee Bucks did not win the title. (Lakers def. Heat 4-2 in Finals; Bucks lost in East semis to Miami 4-1)
“Give us your take on season win totals for the Pelicans as they stand. [3:49] I'll be over a lot. [3:50] It's in the low 30s.”
The 2019-20 Pelicans win total was 37.5 and they finished 30-42, so the over loses.
“So to me, with the number that you're getting at the Warriors, [17:22] that's at 10 at some places, [17:23] I think that you getting the best value on Golden State”
Golden State went 15-50 in 2019-20 and missed the playoffs (Lakers won the title Oct 11, 2020), so Warriors to win the championship loses.
“So I like Denver for the series at minus 145.”
Portland beat Denver in seven games in the 2019 Western Conference Semifinals, so Denver -145 to win the series lost.
“I'm going to continue to bet the second period”
This describes a recurring live in-game strategy ('continue to bet the second period') with no single defined game, line, or price, so it is ungradable and treated as void.
“I'm on Milwaukee on over 115 versus Detroit in a closeout game on the road”
Bucks scored 127 in the Game 4 closeout win at Detroit, well over the 115 team total. (Bucks 127, Pistons 104 (Apr 22 2019, NBA East 1st Round Gm 4))
“It's over 105.5, and I'm definitely on the over.”
HOU 100, UTAH 93 — Combined 193; over 109 covers.
“The other one I really like tonight is the Jazz under at 106.”
HOU 100, UTAH 93 — Combined 193; under 106 busts.