“So San Diego State under five and a half, absolutely the future.”
Collin Wilson
Guest · 200-215-9 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 100 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | total | moneyline | prop | other | parlay | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | 65-70-8% | 30-34+6% | 28-30-8% | 27-22+9% | 4-7-31% | 2-0 | — | 156-163-3% |
| Other | — | 15-17-23% | 0-2 | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 | 17-21-26% |
| CBB | 7-8-11% | 1-3 | 6-7-12% | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | — | 15-21-10% |
| MLB | — | 8-5+232% | 2-2 | — | — | — | — | 10-7+176% |
| NFL | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | — | — | — | 2-3-24% |
Picks
467 total · 36 pending“I think absolutely they're a contender in the South and I'll take over seven [18:05] any day.”
“So Notre Dame [21:22] under nine with that schedule, I'll take it all day.”
“I'm gonna go with a team on the under even though mathematically I'm not supposed to I project Oklahoma State at 8.1 the number is seven and a half I'd love it if this number was eight but it's not I'm gonna go under seven and a half on Oklahoma State and the reasons are pretty clear the offense is going in the wrong direction.”
“I'm going to go Notre Dame under eight and a half at BetMGM. If you look around, you know, that's a number that I project should go much lower. It was one of the first win totals I put into Action Network app.”
“I'm going to pivot and go over to Maryland over five and a half. Yes, let's just get this out of the way. I'm taking an over five and a half with Dan Enos as the offensive coordinator”
“I'm going to pivot over to Charlotte under five. And I don't like this because we love Will Healy. We don't like fading him. He's one of the coaches we like. They're on the rise. It's a down year for club lit.”
“I'll start off first with Stanford under four. It's at BetMGM at plus 115. plus 115 on under four. And I project you well under four wins.”
“The only other one I had, which I mentioned earlier, is Alabama under 11 and a half. Like I said, I think it's, you agree with me, it's about a one win too high. I think that they end up dropping one of at Florida. I think Florida's down, but it'll still be a tough game at Texas A&M, which is the most likely one, or at Auburn to close out the year.”
“Yeah, that LSU number I thought was a little outrageous. I thought it was about one too shy. It should have been more like seven and a half. So I'm glad I get some agreement here from Brody.”
“Under one and a half is the play. It's juiced in some places, so shop around. Arkansas under one and a half is the play.”
“See Kentucky listed at under five plus 115. That juice does not match what it should be according to my projection. Under five should be more like minus 125, minus 130. So I do like the Kentucky under five.”
“I'm going to do Mississippi state under four. I don't see five wins on the schedule. The scheme change. This team is in way too much transition”
“AAC, I'm going East Carolina over four. Four and a half is out there, too. I would take that.”
“I'm going to take Florida State over seven and a half. The hiring of Kendall Bryles just cannot be stated enough about what he's done with offenses.”
“The one that we said to wait on to the very last week of summer was Nebraska. We want to take an under eight and a half on them, which is actually a plus money at almost every place that I look.”
“And then the big one is Ohio state under 10, under 10 and a half. I got problems with Justin Fields. I got problems with this defense.”
“But with Bowling Green, Bowling Green as my under team. They are trash.”
“I'm going to give you a best-bet play. It's going to be New Mexico on the under. I currently see them at under five.”
“The others that I like in this conference, I like Oregon under eight and a half. There's just too much going on with the schedule.”
“Same thing for Washington. I'm going under on them. It was a nice 10. I think it's a nine and a half at nine.”
“I gonna say Arkansas under five it was five and a half it taken a lot of money and because it now down to under five and the juices on the under I still say take the under there”
“Flipside, take Missouri on the over. Their schedule is hilarious in a non-conference slate. The schedule is very conducive to them at least getting to eight wins.”
“One of the best plays for me, South Alabama on the under two and a half. They lose everybody.”
“Absolutely. Absolutely. Preacher Jerry Falwell says we're buying Liberty over five and a half.”
“I would look for the cheapest, you know, of juice that you can find on four and take the over because I've already got money on it. This thing opened up at three back in May. So I was getting money down in Jersey offshore in Vegas where I could. I'm still hitting it at three and a half.”
“I've already taken the under. I took under eight at plus juice. I've taken under eight and a half with extra juice.”
“I've already taken the under. I took under eight at plus juice. I've taken under eight and a half with extra juice.”
“I've hit 10 at plus juice, and I've hit under 10.5 with plenty of minus juice.”
“I've hit 10 at plus juice, and I've hit under 10.5 with plenty of minus juice.”
“No, I actually have invested on the over, but I got it earlier at a better number, but I still would suggest taking it.”
“I am going to look for the best available number on the seven and a half. And I'm going to pick that off and I'll be over on the Spartans this year.”
“i can almost guarantee i'll have money on eastern washington uh in week one with the spread and and”
“And I'll definitely have some money on the side with Moneyline on them.”
“I know it's juiced right now, but it's a play at six.”
“Utah over eight and a half, I like Utah to go to the, I like Utah to go to the college football”
“If you see dylan volantis on the mound which you will uh saturday night that is an automatic play because he's just untouchable right now”
Georgia beat Texas 7-1 in their College World Series opener on June 13, 2026. (Georgia 7, Texas 1)
“Yeah, I love Kendra's bet, but I'm going to move to Ole Miss, North Carolina. Let's go over eight and a half. I think it's gone up from minus 110 to minus 120.”
North Carolina beat Ole Miss 6-2 in the CWS opener — combined 8 runs, under the 8.5 total. (North Carolina 6, Ole Miss 2 (total 8 runs))
“So I like over eight and a half big, and I like Ole Miss to advance here.”
North Carolina beat Ole Miss 6-2 in the College World Series opener on June 12, 2026. (North Carolina 6, Ole Miss 2)
“they shouldn't be priced where they are, but West Virginia absolutely takes its first game tomorrow.”
West Virginia beat Troy 7-5 in the College World Series opener on June 12, 2026, on Tyrus Hall's go-ahead 8th-inning single. (West Virginia 7, Troy 5)
“Yeah, yeah, Texas over West Virginia.”
Oklahoma won the 2026 College World Series, defeating North Carolina 13-2 in Game 3 on June 21, 2026. Texas was not in the CWS final. Source: https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2026-06-21/2026-ncaa-baseball-tournament-bracket-schedule-scores-mens-college-world-series
“I like Oklahoma over six and a half, seven.”
Oklahoma OVER 6.5 regular-season wins (2025). Oklahoma finished the regular season 10-2, well over 6.5. Bet won.
“Central Michigan out there to win the MAC. It's like 20, 25 to 1.”
Central Michigan (+2000) to win the 2025 MAC. Western Michigan won the MAC (23-13 over Miami OH); Central Michigan did not reach the game. Bet lost.
“Sam Houston plus 10.5 against UNLV.”
UNLV beat Sam Houston 38-21 on Aug 29, 2025; Sam Houston lost by 17, well outside the +10.5 spread. (Final: UNLV 38, Sam Houston 21)
“ruckers team total over 31 and a half they are going to have their way with that offensive line”
Rutgers beat Ohio 34-31 on Aug 28, 2025; Rutgers' 34 points cleared the 31.5 team-total line. (Final: Rutgers 34, Ohio 31)
“And this kind of falls into that area too So I like Arizona all the way up to 21”
ARIZ 40, HAW 6 — Arizona Wildcats margin +34 vs line -17.5; covers.
“You guys, Simon, Chad, you guys will be talking about him in the NFL often. He is that good. So I love North Carolina opening night Thursday night. Again, listen to”
MINN 17, UNC 19 — North Carolina Tar Heels won; moneyline covers.
“Well, in the award winning action network app, you can follow me and see that an hour ago, I placed a nice nice fat bet on Clemson plus seven and a half in the first half against Georgia.”
UGA 34, CLEM 3 — Clemson Tigers margin -31 vs line +7.5; busts.
- Oppenheimer to win Best Picture
- Christopher Nolan / Oppenheimer to win Best Director
- Robert Downey Jr. to win Best Supporting Actor
- Oppenheimer to win Best Cinematography
- Oppenheimer / Ludwig Goransson to win Best Score
“So it includes best picture, best director, best supporting actor, best cinematography, best score. [9:48] They're all Oppenheimer. [9:50] And I mean, the numbers are crazy. [9:51] They're minus 5,000 to minus 2,000. [9:54] It's some pretty big numbers. [9:56] I'm going to put them together for $100 wager to make $30.”
At the 96th Academy Awards (March 10, 2024), Oppenheimer swept all 5 legs: Best Picture, Best Director (Nolan), Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.), Best Cinematography (Hoyte van Hoytema), and Best Original Score (Ludwig Göransson). (Oppenheimer won Best Picture, Director, Supp. Actor, Cinematography, Score — all 5 legs hit)
“I'm taking Giamatti 5-1 just a little bit. [16:40] I would definitely bet that if you're putting Murphy in your Oppenheimer parlay. [16:44] but as a standalone bet, Giamatti five to one, that has value for me all the way to two to one.”
Cillian Murphy won Best Actor (Oppenheimer); Giamatti did not win. (Best Actor: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer)
“I love her here. [20:04] I would go back to the, I mean, [20:05] it doesn't matter what category you're going to go into. [20:07] You're going to be able to explain this mathematically.”
Emma Stone won Best Actress for Poor Things. (Best Actress: Emma Stone, Poor Things)
“I'm going to join you, sir. [34:39] I just got limited to $300.”
Anatomy of a Fall won Best Original Screenplay. (Best Original Screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall)
“I'm going to take the creator for a half [39:47] unit bet at plus 125 because they won the VES awards.”
Godzilla Minus One won Best Visual Effects; The Creator did not win. (Best Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One)
“And I'm going to take Guardians of the [39:53] Galaxy at 12 to 1 for a half unit because Rocket beat Godzilla straight up.”
Godzilla Minus One won Best Visual Effects; Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 did not win. (Best Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One)
“And sadly, I'm just going to stick with Billie Eilish. [50:13] I'm going to swallow that big number. [50:14] I'm going to throw it into a few parlays.”
Billie Eilish & Finneas won Best Original Song for 'What Was I Made For?' at the 96th Oscars. (From Barbie)
“I'm betting Florida State. I would just like a three. I'm probably not gonna get it, but I'll bet any plus number.”
FSU 45, LSU 24 — Florida State Seminoles margin +21 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm playing actually the the reverse in Stanford, Hawaii. And the thinking is is that, you know, the the unders should hit here based upon that Stanford doesn't have any offense, or maybe the clock's gonna burn a lot.”
Stanford beat Hawaii 37-24 (61 combined points), clearing the ~58.5 total; the Over won. (Stanford 37, Hawaii 24 (total 61))
“I'm gonna go Washington. I'm gonna go UCLA. And, really, let me talk about the other teams. Dirk Cotter was calling plays offensively for Boise State. He's gone.”
Washington routed Boise State 56-19 (margin 37), easily covering as the ~-14 favorite; Washington ATS won. (Washington 56, Boise State 19)
“So take UCLA and Washington late at night.”
UCLA beat Coastal Carolina 27-13 (margin 14) but was favored by -14.5/-15.5, so UCLA failed to cover as the favorite. (UCLA 27, Coastal Carolina 13 (closing line UCLA -14.5/-15.5))
“I saw Texas plus one fifty to win the big twelve. I immediately got in my car and drove to an adjacent state to throw some dimes down because that number was stupid.”
Texas (-120) to win the 2023 Big 12. Texas beat Oklahoma State 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship on Dec 2, 2023. Bet won.
“So to me, this is the cheapest buy on the board. Minus 700, please. It's an easy buy.”
Everything Everywhere All at Once won Best Picture at the 95th Academy Awards on March 12, 2023, taking home seven total Oscars (NPR / Oscars.org). (7 Oscars including Best Picture)
“it's a little wager and I would buy it to three to one.”
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (the Daniels) won Best Director at the 95th Academy Awards for Everything Everywhere All at Once; Steven Spielberg did not win (ABC News / Oscars.org). (Daniels won Best Director)
“I would buy Michelle Yao up to minus 160.”
Michelle Yeoh won Best Actress at the 95th Academy Awards on March 12, 2023, becoming the first Asian woman to win the award (NPR / Oscars.org). (First Asian woman to win Best Actress)
“to minus 125. I have been limited. This is my biggest wager of the entire podcast,”
Brendan Fraser won Best Actor at the 95th Academy Awards for The Whale; Austin Butler did not win (ABC7 / Oscars.org). (Brendan Fraser won Best Actor)
“so at plus 200 i'm betting condon i'm betting it down to plus”
Jamie Lee Curtis won Best Supporting Actress at the 95th Academy Awards for Everything Everywhere All at Once; Kerry Condon did not win (CBS News / Rolling Stone). (Jamie Lee Curtis won Best Supporting Actress)
“But, you know, like minus 800, minus 600, minus 700 for best sound.”
Top Gun: Maverick won Best Sound at the 95th Academy Awards on March 12, 2023 (Deadline).
“So I think it sets up for a good underplay to open up the season.”
PITT 38, WVU 31 — Combined 69; under 54.5 busts.
“I want the first half under.”
UGA 49, ORE 3 — Combined 52; under 26.5 busts.
“I don't know what the ceiling of this Ohio State team I definitely know what the ceiling is of the”
OSU 21, ND 10 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +11 vs line -14.5; busts.
“I like to do Utah football.”
FLA 29, UTAH 26 — Utah Utes margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“Jake Spavadol, multiple years at Texas State, has an offense established with a quarterback that made a name for himself at Arkansas State.”
NEV 38, TXST 14 — Texas State Bobcats margin -24 vs line +6.5; busts.
“have money on Ohio State, but that's only because FanDuel was happy enough to put them out at eight”
Georgia won the 2022 national title; Ohio State lost the Peach Bowl semifinal.
“Yeah well Cincinnati is going to cover against Arkansas So get your number there Arkansas has got way too many questions on the defensive line And Traylon Burks is gone So we don know who KJ Jefferson wants to throw to”
Arkansas beat Cincinnati 31-24 as a 6-point favorite (closing line Ark -6), covering by 1; Cincinnati failed to cover. (Final: Arkansas 31, Cincinnati 24)
“I want the under immediately because both of these teams have severely struggled with left-handed pitching.”
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma 10-3 in CWS Championship Game 1; combined 13 runs went over the total of 12. (Ole Miss 10, Oklahoma 3 (13 combined runs))
“Yeah, we're going to fire on Ole Miss. Specifically, I think you should take Ole Miss in game one.”
Ole Miss defeated Oklahoma 10-3 in Game 1 of the 2022 College World Series Finals. (Ole Miss 10, Oklahoma 3)
“I wouldn even mind laying a large plus money bet 200 or better two to one odds or better on Ole Miss to sweep the series and get it done by the end of Sunday night.”
Ole Miss swept the best-of-3 CWS Finals, winning Game 1 10-3 and Game 2 4-2 on Sunday June 26 to claim the title. (Ole Miss won Game 1 10-3 and Game 2 4-2 (series sweep))
“The second the game was over, I won't name the sports book, but they posted eight to one on Ohio State. I slammed it. Now it's five to one everywhere right now.”
Ohio State did not win the 2022 national title; lost the CFP semifinal to Georgia, who won the championship.
“So 50 to one, you can count me in on Ohio State's biggest weapon. It's actually 60 to one right now in FanDuel. Go grab it.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba did not win the 2022 Heisman; USC's Caleb Williams won it.
“The second win totals were released on the SEC West, I immediately hit Arkansas. Kind of a homer. Let me back it up. Came out at six and a half at plus money.”
Arkansas finished 6-6 in the 2022 regular season, under the 6.5-win total.
“be because of all second place votes but I'm buying five to one on Olivia Colman yeah I mean”
Jessica Chastain won Best Actress; Olivia Colman did not win at the 94th Academy Awards (Wikipedia: 94th Academy Awards).
“But I'm going to have a 4-1 ticket on Don't Look Up because I'm going to follow the Writers Guild winner,”
Belfast (Kenneth Branagh) won Best Original Screenplay at the 94th Academy Awards; Don't Look Up did not win (CNBC Oscars 2022 winners list).
“I've already got my number in on the underdog Arkansas.”
Arkansas beat Penn State 24-10 in the Outback Bowl, a 14-point win that covers regardless of whether Arkansas closed as a small favorite or underdog. (Final: Arkansas 24, Penn State 10)
“And I've already got my number in on the money line on them.”
ARK 24, PSU 10 — Arkansas Razorbacks won; moneyline covers.
“and it's Old Dominion plus nine.”
TLSA 30, ODU 17 — Old Dominion Monarchs margin -13 vs line +9; busts.
“Kansas State outright.”
KSU 10, BAY 20 — Kansas State Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“But if I'm going to make a play on it, Georgia is the safe play.”
Georgia beat Alabama to win the 2021 CFP National Championship, so the -125 title bet won.
“I would take Ohio State plus 350 because I think they have a chance to make the playoff a better chance than Alabama does.”
Ohio State missed the 2021 CFP and Georgia won the title, so the +350 ticket lost.
“Best future value for making the college football playoff right now. [11:36] Oklahoma.”
Oklahoma did not make the 2021 College Football Playoff (Bama, UGA, Michigan, Cincinnati).
“If I had to take a shot outside of Spencer Rattler, [25:41] it'd be Sam Howell.”
Bryce Young won the 2021 Heisman Trophy; Sam Howell did not.
“And that's who I bet for number one pick. [25:44] I love doing that bet too.”
Travon Walker was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft; Howell went in the 5th round.
“spot for Georgia in that, you know, I have a Georgia national title feature that eight to one.”
Georgia won the 2021-22 CFP National Championship, defeating Alabama 33-18 on January 10, 2022. (Wikipedia: 2021 Georgia Bulldogs football team; fbschedules.com) (Georgia def. Alabama 33-18)
“And then I recently just played Georgia plus 175 to make the college football playoff,”
Georgia made the 2021-22 CFP as the #3 seed, selected on December 5, 2021. The four teams were Alabama, Michigan, Georgia, and Cincinnati. (NCAA.com; CBS Sports) (#3 seed in CFP)
“I will take the plus 110 on an over six and a half.”
NC State finished the 2021 regular season 9-3. The Holiday Bowl was canceled (UCLA withdrew due to COVID), but the regular season record of 9 wins easily clears 6.5. (Wikipedia: 2021 NC State Wolfpack football team) (9-3 regular season)
“For me, I'm going to stick with Miami plus 130 to win the Coastal Division,”
Miami clinched the 2021 ACC Coastal Division title and advanced to face Clemson in the ACC Championship Game on December 4, 2021. (CBS Miami; 247Sports) (Miami won ACC Coastal)
“This is the year Oklahoma's winning the national title.”
Oklahoma did not win the 2021 CFB national championship. Georgia defeated Alabama 33-18 in the CFP National Championship on January 10, 2022. Oklahoma finished 10-2 and did not reach the CFP. (Wikipedia: 2021 CFP National Championship; SI.com) (Georgia def. Alabama 33-18 in CFP title game)
“TCU can be found out there 8-1 to make the Big 12 championship game. That is your deliverable. That is your actionable deliverable is that TCU should be played all the way down to 4-1 to make the Big 12 championship game.”
TCU did not make the 2021 Big 12 Championship Game. The game was contested between Oklahoma State and Baylor, with Baylor winning its first Big 12 title. (Wikipedia: 2021 Big 12 Championship Game) (Baylor def. Oklahoma State in 2021 Big 12 title game; TCU not in game)
“For national title, I'm taking Oklahoma. I bought them at 10 to one. It was the first bet I made on the 2021 season. Bet MGM currently has them at eight to one. There is value at eight to one.”
Oklahoma finished 11-2 in the 2021 CFB season and won the Alamo Bowl over Oregon 47-32, but did not reach the CFP or win the national title. Georgia won the championship. (sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/oklahoma/2021.html)
“Yeah, and I'm going to back up Garrick Hago here.”
Cam Davis won the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic in a playoff over Troy Merritt. Garrick Higgo finished T41. (CBSSports leaderboard)
“For me, I'm going to go with Kevin Kistner.”
Davis Thompson led the first round of the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic with a 9-under 63. Kevin Kisner (note: pick listed 'Kistner') was T10 at -5 after round 1. (golf.com R1 leaderboard recap)
“take Daniel Kaluuya here to win this.”
Best Supporting Actor at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by Daniel Kaluuya for 'Judas and the Black Messiah.' (oscars.org; Hollywood Reporter)
“So I will be laying the juice here at minus 500.”
Best Supporting Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by Yuh-Jung Youn for 'Minari.' (oscars.org; Hollywood Reporter)
“go out there and get it plus 350. I love it.”
Best Original Song at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by H.E.R.'s 'Fight for You' from 'Judas and the Black Messiah,' not 'Husavik.' (Hollywood Reporter; Variety; Grammy.com)
“And the Oscar goes to Mank at minus 560.”
Best Production Design at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by 'Mank.' (oscars.org; ABC News complete winners list)
“rainy minus 500 so no guac on my chipotle bowl this weekend”
Best Costume Design at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by 'Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.' (oscars.org; ABC News complete winners list)
“So I'm going with Ma Rainey.”
Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021) was won by 'Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.' (oscars.org; ABC News complete winners list)
“Yeah, and I can't go against the chalk here with Tenet either.”
Tenet won Best Visual Effects at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021), awarded to Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley, and Scott Fisher. Source: https://www.artofvfx.com/93rd-oscars-the-vfx-winner/ (Tenet def. Love and Monsters, The Midnight Sky, Mulan, The One and Only Ivan)
“Minery 14 to one love the value here.”
Promising Young Woman (Emerald Fennell) won Best Original Screenplay at the 93rd Academy Awards; Minari was nominated but did not win. Source: https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-oscars-2021/2021/04/25/990727379/regina-king-opens-oscars-as-emerald-fennell-wins-best-original-screenplay
“I'm going with the father at plus 300.”
The Father won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 93rd Academy Awards (April 25, 2021). Source: https://deadline.com/2021/04/florian-zeller-christopher-hampton-writers-of-the-father-win-2021-oscars-best-adapted-screenplay-1234743333/ (The Father def. Nomadland, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, One Night in Miami, The White Tiger)
“So I'm rolling with Nomadland here.”
Mank (Erik Messerschmidt) won Best Cinematography at the 93rd Academy Awards; Nomadland was nominated but did not win. Source: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/general-news/2021-oscars-winners-list-4172536/
“Andra Day, six to one, please.”
Frances McDormand won Best Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards; Andra Day did not win. Source: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/general-news/2021-oscars-winners-list-4172536/
“And the Oscar goes to I think trial of the Chicago seven is the number one bet here.”
Nomadland won Best Picture at the 93rd Academy Awards; The Trial of the Chicago 7 did not win. Source: https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-oscars-2021/2021/04/25/989635614/nomadland-brings-home-the-oscar-for-best-picture
“yes I going to go throw a max bet which I think is going to be limited about 150 bucks but I going to get Minery with you”
Nomadland won Best Picture at the 93rd Academy Awards; Minari did not win. Source: https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-oscars-2021/2021/04/25/989635614/nomadland-brings-home-the-oscar-for-best-picture
“And I think this is going to go over 134.”
BAY 78, HOU 59 — Combined 137; over 134 covers.
“I'm taking the under in this game.”
GONZ 93, UCLA 90 — Combined 183; under 145.5 busts.
“I like the over seven and a half.”
NYY 2, TOR 3 — Combined 5; over 7.5 busts.
“I am just staring at this Brewers twins. Yeah. I'm with you on this under.”
MIL 6, MIN 5 — Combined 11; under 8 busts.
“I happily take an under eight and a half here because you know another added element besides the wind besides Hendricks owning the Pirates the Pirates are the worst team in 2020 against right pitching from a wins weighted runs created standpoint So definitely an under in play here”
CHC 3, PIT 5 — Combined 8; under 8.5 covers.
“So I think I agree with Zarello completely on the first five.”
PHI 3, ATL 2 — Combined 5; over 3.5 covers.
“I like the Astros to win the AL. I like the Brewers at their current price, anything plus 300 or above to get to the Central.”
The Houston Astros won the 2021 American League pennant, defeating the Boston Red Sox 4-2 in the ALCS. Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_American_League_Championship_Series (Astros win ALCS 4-2 over Red Sox)
“I like the Astros to win the AL. I like the Brewers at their current price, anything plus 300 or above to get to the Central.”
The Milwaukee Brewers won the 2021 NL Central division title, clinching with an 8-4 victory over the New York Mets. Source: mlb.com/amp/news/brewers-clinch-nl-central-4th-division-title-in-team-history (Brewers: 2021 NL Central champions)
“A team that's gotten way too much hate is the Houston Astros. [31:09] And right now at FanDuel, they're over 87 and a half.”
Astros went 95-67 in 2021, over the 87.5-win total.
“And a team that I bought immediately to win their division, I would buy them to win the World Series. [31:06] A team that's gotten way too much hate is the Houston Astros.”
Astros won the AL West in 2021.
“And a team that I bought immediately to win their division, I would buy them to win the World Series.”
Astros lost the 2021 World Series to the Braves in six games.
“Yeah, I mean, I took a Blue Jays team total over to start when spring training broke camp.”
Blue Jays finished 91-71 in 2021, over the 86-win total.
“So they are sellers, which makes me want to hit under their win total.”
Phillies finished 82-80 in 2021, over the 81.5-win total, so the under lost.
“Sign me up for what was a 500 to one, 300 to one, 200 to one. [49:04] I think I've seen some 60 to one still out there.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (and Salvador Perez) led the AL with 48 HR; Teoscar Hernandez (32) did not lead.
“So I like Gonzaga, you know, to cover the spread,”
GONZ 85, USC 66 — Gonzaga Bulldogs margin +19 vs line -9; covers.
“And I do like the over here up to 151.”
BAY 81, ARK 72 — Combined 153; over 148 covers.
“I like the under in this game. I probably should go ahead and just get”
MICH 49, UCLA 51 — Combined 100; under 136.5 covers.
“the best value out there right now is Loyola Chicago to make the final four at plus 160 or better because their projected path.”
Loyola Chicago lost to No. 12 Oregon State 65-58 in the Elite Eight (Sweet 16 round) on March 27, 2021 and did not reach the Final Four. Source: espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/31148480 (Oregon State 65, Loyola Chicago 58 (Elite Eight))
“yeah i mean i am taking i have taken the ramblers and i like them to cover this”
LUC 58, ORST 65 — Loyola Chicago Ramblers margin -7 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm taking a player prop on Ethan Thompson under 17 points. He isn't going to the free throw line 16 times again, like he did against Oklahoma state.”
LUC 58, ORST 65 — Ethan Thompson: 22 points vs under 17; busts. (Ethan Thompson: 22 points)
“I like the under here because these are two teams that are progressively”
BAY 62, VILL 51 — Combined 113; under 142 covers.
“double tap rebound putbacks here. I took the over in this game. Now, I projected a 161. There ain't”
ARK 72, ORU 70 — Combined 142; over 158.5 busts.
“Yeah, same game, except I'm going to use everything that Randall just said to play into the under, under 146 here.”
ALA 78, UCLA 88 — Combined 166; under 146 busts.
“I took Florida state minus 10 and a half.”
FSU 64, UNCG 54 — Florida State Seminoles margin +10 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I'll take Eastern Washington to the points, and I like the upset also.”
KU 93, EWU 84 — Eastern Washington Eagles margin -9 vs line +11; covers.
“I mean, I took it money line.”
UVA 58, OHIO 62 — Ohio Bobcats won; moneyline covers.
“Absolutely going with UC Santa Barbara, Gauchos, everything that we said before.”
CREI 63, UCSB 62 — UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost; moneyline busts.
“Yeah, I mean, I took Drake right away with the news, you know, and they'll come back.”
USC 72, DRKE 56 — Drake Bulldogs margin -16 vs line +2; busts.
“Well, the bet that I wanted the entire time, I just made it while you were talking because you guys have convinced me that I was correct in my thinking that the under is the play here.”
UNC 62, WIS 85 — Combined 147; under 137.5 busts.
“Give me Arkansas minus eight and a half against Colgate.”
ARK 85, COLG 68 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin +17 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I'm going to do Toledo. I think the price is right down to plus one 60.”
Ohio defeated Buffalo in the 2021 MAC Tournament final on March 13, 2021. Toledo did not win. (hustlebelt.com — 2021 MAC Men's Basketball Championship Tournament Final Recap)
“I'll take the under 142 here.”
UC Irvine beat Long Beach State 73-58 in the Big West Tournament; combined 131 points came in well under 142.5. (UC Irvine 73, Long Beach State 58 (131 total))
“Well, you guys can call me a square, but I put down on Wofford plus 475, best effective field goal percentage in the conference. They've beaten everybody in this side of the bracket.”
Wofford won the 2021 Southern Conference Tournament, defeating Furman 92-85 in the championship game. Source: https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/wofford-rallies-to-beat-furman-92-85-to-win-sixth-southern-conference-tournament-championship/ (Wofford def. Furman 92-85 in final)
“Easy pick for me to bring the portfolio.”
The Baylor Bears won the 2021 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship, defeating Gonzaga 86-70 on April 5, 2021 in Indianapolis. Michigan was eliminated before the championship game. Source: NCAA official championship results (https://www.ncaa.com/game/5765636). (Baylor 86, Gonzaga 70 (Final); Michigan eliminated earlier)
“I'm going to take the over in LIU and Bryant.”
No LIU-Bryant game was played on Feb 27, 2021; their back-to-back series that week ran Feb 25 and Feb 26 only, so the wagered event never occurred.
“I'm going to go with Alabama and Mississippi State on the over this weekend.”
Alabama beat Mississippi State 64-59 (combined 123 points), under the 142.5 closing total; the Over lost. (Final: Alabama 64, Mississippi State 59 (total 123))
“So I'm going to be all over the Seminoles.”
North Carolina upset Florida State 78-70; FSU was a 2.5-point road favorite and lost outright, so the Florida State spread pick lost. (Final: North Carolina 78, Florida State 70)
“A bet I am going to make is going to be Francisco Lindor and Rafael Devers both to have most hits.”
Francisco Lindor had approximately 129 hits in 2021 (.230 BA, 125 games), far short of the MLB hits title. Rafael Devers led with 201 hits and Trea Turner was also in contention. Lindor did not win the MLB hits title. Source: Baseball-Reference 2021 Lindor stats (https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/lindofr01.shtml). (Lindor 129 H; Devers 201 H (MLB leader))
“So it's really kind of an AL and NL bet. They're both a DK at 20 to 1 and 22 to 1.”
Rafael Devers led MLB with 201 hits in 2021 (.311 BA, 157 G), topping Trea Turner's 195 hits (split between NL and AL due to mid-season trade). Devers was the MLB hits leader. Source: Baseball-Reference 2021 Devers stats and 2021 MLB batting leaders (https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/deverra01.shtml). (Devers 201 H (MLB leader))
“The biggest bet that I like in the AL right now is the Astros to win the AL West at plus 160”
The Houston Astros won the 2021 AL West division. Source: 2021 World Series Wikipedia; Baseball-Reference.com. (Astros won AL West 2021)
“As far as some individual bets that I've made to Oscar Hernandez, 200 to one, that's at Westgate right now to win the home run title.”
Teoscar Hernandez hit 32 HRs in 2021. The 2021 MLB HR title was shared by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) and Salvador Perez (KC), each with 48 HRs. Source: Baseball-Reference 2021 MLB HR leaders (https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/2021-standard-batting.shtml). (Hernandez 32 HR; Guerrero Jr./Perez 48 HR (co-leaders))
“Rice plus seven and a half”
The Rice-Marshall series was canceled entirely due to COVID-19 issues within Rice's program; the game never happened.
“So I'm going to take Wake Forest as a slight underdog, whatever it is,”
NC State routed Wake Forest 80-62; the Wake Forest moneyline lost. (Final: NC State 80, Wake Forest 62)
“i'm gonna go i'm gonna go deep i'm gonna go take north alabama plus six i mean they're on a three game losing streak both straight up and against the spread all of those have been on the road They haven't played at home in quite a while, and they're facing Bellarmine, who's on an eight-game winning streak”
ALA 115, UGA 82 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +33 vs line +6; covers.
“Give me Maryland off of two losses against many who can't play on the road.”
Maryland beat Minnesota 72-59 as a 3-point favorite; the 13-point margin covered comfortably. (Final: Maryland 72, Minnesota 59)
“earlier today, I took under 127 on the Lancers and the Blue Hoes because of the tempo in this game.”
Longwood beat Presbyterian 49-45 on Jan 29, 2021; combined 94 points stayed well under the 127 total. (Longwood 49, Presbyterian 45 (total 94))
“Texas State minus four currently listed at the number I would suggest getting that and probably not going any higher”
Louisiana beat Texas State 62-60 on Jan 29, 2021; Texas State lost outright, failing to cover as a -4 favorite. (Louisiana 62, Texas State 60)
“i'm gonna go with a big one the kentucky texas game i'm gonna say under 134”
Texas at Kentucky (SEC/Big 12 Challenge) was canceled on Jan 29, 2021 after COVID-19 cases put Kentucky's program on a 48-hour pause, so the total never played out. (Game canceled (COVID-19))
“I like West Virginia for the pure and simple fact that you're not going to find a bigger discrepancy on Saturday than West Virginia on the offensive glass against Florida on the defensive glass.”
Florida upset No. 11 West Virginia 85-80 on Jan 30, 2021; West Virginia (laying points as the favorite) lost outright. (Florida 85, West Virginia 80)
“Slow pace. I like the under.”
San Diego State beat Air Force 98-61 on Jan 22, 2021; combined 159 points sailed over the 129 total. (San Diego State 98, Air Force 61 (total 159))
“I going to go off the beaten path here I going to take Robert Morris on the road against UIC”
UIC beat Robert Morris 67-53 (a 14-point win), so Robert Morris +3 lost. (Final: UIC 67, Robert Morris 53)
“i'm going to take an alabama team total over 41 and”
Alabama defeated Ohio State 52-24 in the 2021 CFP National Championship on January 11, 2021. Alabama scored 52 points, easily clearing the 41.5 team total. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_College_Football_Playoff_National_Championship (Alabama 52, Ohio State 24)
“I'm centering in on putting a quarter or a half unit out on Luke Farrell first touchdown, hopefully 30 to one or better.”
The first touchdown scorer in the 2021 CFP National Championship (Alabama 52, Ohio State 24) was Najee Harris (Alabama, 1-yard rush). Luke Farrell (Ohio State TE) did not score a touchdown in the game. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_College_Football_Playoff_National_Championship (Farrell: 0 TDs in game; first TD was Najee Harris (ALA, 1-yd rush))
“Jeremy Ruckert first touchdown, hopefully 30 to one or better.”
The first touchdown scorer in the 2021 CFP National Championship (Alabama 52, Ohio State 24) was Najee Harris (Alabama, 1-yard rush). Jeremy Ruckert (Ohio State TE) did not score a touchdown in the championship game; his first Ohio State TD came via Master Teague III. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_College_Football_Playoff_National_Championship (Ruckert: 0 TDs in game; first TD was Najee Harris (ALA, 1-yd rush))
“I'm looking for Jahlil Billingsley over two receptions, two and a half receptions. I'll still buy it.”
ALA 52, OSU 24 — Jahleel Billingsley: 2 receptions vs over 2.5; busts. (Jahleel Billingsley: 2 receptions)
“I like Devonta Smith's longest single reception to go over. If you can get that in the low 40s, that would be a good bet,”
DeVonta Smith had 12 receptions for 215 yards and 3 TDs in the 2021 CFP Championship. His longest documented reception was his third TD — a 42-yard pass from Mac Jones. The line was over 42, and his longest catch was exactly 42 yards, settling under/push depending on book; standard rule is 'over 42' loses when longest is exactly 42. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_College_Football_Playoff_National_Championship (Smith: 12 rec, 215 yds, 3 TD; longest reception 42 yds)
“Trey Sermon over two receptions, that is perfect.”
Trey Sermon was injured on Ohio State's first offensive play (1 carry, 2 yards) and did not return, finishing with 0 receptions in the 52-24 loss to Alabama. (Trey Sermon: 1 car, 2 yds, 0 rec)
“Trey Sermon over 20 receiving yards. They're going to bubble screen him and he is going to crash down on that linebacker core so hard.”
Trey Sermon left the National Championship on the opening drive with a shoulder injury and recorded 0 receiving yards. (Trey Sermon: 1 car, 2 yds, 0 rec, 0 rec yds)
“I'm going Garrett Wilson under the total receiving yards and Garrett Wilson under, if there's a touchdown prop out there, or if his touchdown is set at a half, I would take an under”
Wilson caught 3 for 50 yards (+1 TD) vs Alabama; closing FanDuel line was under 77.5 receiving yards, so the under cashed easily. (3 rec, 50 yds, 1 TD)
“My favorite play in this game is the over”
CIN 21, UGA 24 — Combined 45; over 50.5 busts.
“I like the under.”
UK 23, NCST 21 — Combined 44; under 50.5 covers.
“I'm taking Oregon in this game, and I'm taking the over.”
ISU 34, ORE 17 — Oregon Ducks margin -17 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I love the over in this game.”
ISU 34, ORE 17 — Combined 51; over 57.5 busts.
“I do like the Tar Heels with the hook. At seven, [45:18] it becomes questionable with the opt-outs that they've had.”
UNC 27, TA&M 41 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm going to be on the over in this game.”
UNC 27, TA&M 41 — Combined 68; over 65.5 covers.
“I've hit it twice. I hit it again today on the action app after the notes about Tony Elliott.”
CLEM 28, OSU 49 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +21 vs line +7.5; covers.
“for me right now, as we record, I have money on Oklahoma first half.”
Oklahoma led Florida 31-13 at halftime in the 2020 Cotton Bowl (final: Oklahoma 55, Florida 20), winning the first half money line. (ESPN; sports-reference.com) (Oklahoma 31, Florida 13 at halftime; final 55-20)
“i like the under 52 here”
WISC 42, WAKE 28 — Combined 70; under 51.5 busts.
“I took Mississippi State plus three”
MSST 28, TLSA 26 — Mississippi State Bulldogs margin +2 vs line +3; covers.
“I took an under 60 and a half early when this bowl game came out mostly because I have projected the number down at 54”
HOU 14, HAW 28 — Combined 42; under 60.5 covers.
“against these guys, so I love beat me.”
UTSA 24, UL 31 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
“I think it's a first half under, and then I think you assess at halftime”
Same LendingTree Bowl first half (Georgia State 27, Western Kentucky 7 = 34 combined) — well over any realistic first-half total line, so the under lost. (1H score: GSU 27, WKU 7 (34 total); final GSU 39, WKU 21)
“Yeah, I've tied Coastal Moneyline into a few parlays, so I agree with you there. You said you like the under?”
CCU 34, LIB 37 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers lost; moneyline busts.
“I put a bet in on the action app at 19.”
UNT 28, APP 56 — Appalachian State Mountaineers margin +28 vs line -19; covers.
“it where it counts. I am probably going to be on Nevada Plus 3 before, probably while we're”
NEV 38, TULN 27 — Nevada Wolf Pack margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“where most of the books are right now. To me, this is an over all the way. If Miller Mosley is the”
GASO 38, LT 3 — Combined 41; over 50.5 busts.
“The play for me, Ball State at 14 if it gets back there.”
Buffalo scored 28 points in the 2020 MAC Championship Game (Ball State 38, Buffalo 28), well under the team total of 66. (ESPN; hustlebelt.com) (Ball State 38, Buffalo 28)
“I bought UAB at five.”
MRSH 13, UAB 22 — UAB Blazers margin +9 vs line -5; covers.
“Yeah, that's what I've been waiting for all week is seven.”
ISU 21, OU 27 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -6 vs line +7; covers.
“But like you, I made this a single-digit power-rated ball game,”
ND 10, CLEM 34 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin -24 vs line +11; busts.
“And I agree with you, Stug. I think the first half under is a great play.”
CIN 27, TLSA 24 — Combined 51; under 23 busts.
“I was able to get a piece of 13 and a half right as Florida and LSU kicked.”
FLA 46, ALA 52 — Florida Gators margin -6 vs line +13.5; covers.
“the way. I think Alabama team total 45 is an absolute hit. This has got 50 burger written all”
Alabama scored 52 points in the 2020 SEC Championship Game (Alabama 52, Florida 46), well over the team total of 45. (ESPN; rolltide.com) (Alabama 52, Florida 46)
“try to score. Florida first half is at 10 last I looked. That's a huge number. So I like Florida”
FLA 46, ALA 52 — Combined 98; under 10 busts.
“digit dog i did that last week so this week i'll go a little bit shorter i'm going to stick with”
USC 24, ORE 31 — Oregon Ducks won; moneyline covers.
“So I put a bet in on Army.”
ARMY 15, NAVY 0 — Army Black Knights won; moneyline covers.
“I think you got to take an under here no matter what the number is.”
IOWA 28, WISC 7 — Combined 35; under 42.5 covers.
“i'll echo the over with you i mean miami's pass coverage rank of 63rd uh and they're outside the top 50 and defending pass explosiveness that's just you're asking for trouble against sam howlin”
MIAMI 26, UNC 62 — Combined 88; over 67 covers.
“yeah it was the first bet that i made uh situational spot of the year i mean we're talking not just coastal winning like the game of the year we're talking game of the program”
TROY 38, CCU 42 — Troy Trojans margin -4 vs line +14.5; covers.
“I think the over is the play here all the way”
BYU 28, SDSU 14 — Combined 42; over 48.5 busts.
“I like Army up to the seven.”
ARMY 15, NAVY 0 — Army Black Knights margin +15 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm going to roll some money line here on the, on the Lobos.”
UNM 49, FRES 39 — New Mexico Lobos won; moneyline covers.
“I like Arizona State here to cover that fat spread.”
ARIZ 7, ASU 70 — Arizona Wildcats margin -63 vs line -11.5; busts.
“I do agree. I did play Auburn at seven.”
AUB 20, TA&M 31 — Auburn Tigers margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“lc team total under that's that's a hit for sure”
Alabama 55, LSU 17 (Dec 5, 2020). LSU scored only 17 points, well under any reasonable team total line for this matchup (typically set 20-27 for a struggling LSU squad). Source: Sports-Reference box score (sports-reference.com/cfb/boxscores/2020-12-05-louisiana-state.html); ESPN final score. (LSU 17 pts)
“we both got Akron plays in early”
AKR 31, BGSU 3 — Akron Zips margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“definitely, I'm going to take Fresno”
NEV 37, FRES 26 — Fresno State Bulldogs margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“I love Arkansas here. I've already bet them my own money on three. I see two and a halves. I'd bet it two and a half.”
TTU 16, KU 13 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“I am personally going with Boston College.”
UVA 43, BC 32 — Boston College Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“And we're going to take Auburn. I'm going to stick – I love Hawaii. War Eagle.”
AUB 20, TA&M 31 — Auburn Tigers lost; moneyline busts.
“we are betting Akron this week baby yeah Akron minus three this is no secret I mean both you and I have already put it in on the app”
Akron routed Bowling Green 31-3 on Dec. 5, 2020 (won by 28), easily covering -3. (Akron 31, Bowling Green 3)
“I completely agree with you on the under. I mean, you know, just to throw a couple trends out there for this game that, you know, 10 of the last 12 games in Philly have gone to the under.”
PHI 17, SEA 23 — Combined 40; under 48.5 covers.
“I haven't actually laid any money on the side, but I did take a little bit on the total,”
TEX 20, ISU 23 — Combined 43; over 56.5 busts.
“I took Alabama minus 24 earlier in the week.”
ALA 42, AUB 13 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +29 vs line -24; covers.
“I think Pitt's going to cover this.”
CLEM 52, PITT 17 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin -35 vs line +24; busts.
“I already took them at the number that they're at.”
The Nov. 28, 2020 Boise State vs. San Jose State game was canceled hours before kickoff due to a rise in COVID-19 cases/contact tracing in the Boise State program and declared a no-contest with no makeup ever scheduled, so the bet never settled. (Game canceled / no contest)
“but I'm going to settle on a team that I very much think”
UNC 17, ND 31 — North Carolina Tar Heels lost; moneyline busts.
“you and I are both on Tennessee.”
Auburn beat Tennessee 30-17, a 13-point margin that exceeds the +11 Tennessee needed. (Auburn 30, Tennessee 17)
“I agree with Stuck. I think the under is the play.”
Oklahoma beat Oklahoma State 41-13 (54 total points) in the Bedlam finale, under the 58.5 total. (Oklahoma 41, Oklahoma State 13)
“I took some Louisville today at 17 and a half. I would play that up probably through until 20.”
LOU 30, SYR 0 — Louisville Cardinals margin +30 vs line -17.5; covers.
“that's a spot where I've taken Minnesota in a game that I think should be a pick-em.”
MINN 34, PUR 31 — Minnesota Golden Gophers margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'll have some UMass team total under, so we'll diversify that too.”
Florida Atlantic 24, UMass 2 (Nov 20, 2020). UMass scored only 2 points (a safety via blocked punt in the 3rd quarter) — any reasonable UMass team total under line was a dominant winner. Source: ESPN final score (espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401261674); Massachusetts Daily Collegian recap. (UMass 2 pts (safety only))
“I like Fresno in this game. I'm going to be back in the bulldogs here.”
The Fresno State-San Jose State game was canceled on Nov. 19, 2020 due to a positive COVID-19 test and contact tracing in the Fresno State program, and was never made up — the bet never had a game to settle against.
“I'm jumping on Liberty this week against NC State.”
NC State beat Liberty 15-14 on a late blocked field goal; Liberty lost outright, so the moneyline lost. (NC State 15, Liberty 14)
“and I as we're as we're recording this and we're talking about this I am going to hit under 27”
MICH 11, WISC 49 — Combined 60; under 27 busts.
“I took Wisconsin at the very beginning of the week on the money line when it was priced around like minus 115.”
MICH 11, WISC 49 — Wisconsin Badgers won; moneyline covers.
“I like the over I mean, it's over the number that I got, but I like the over here.”
VT 24, MIAMI 25 — Combined 49; over 66 busts.
“trouble, and they do it better than ECU. I took SMU plus three. I would still take it at plus two”
TLSA 28, SMU 24 — SMU Mustangs margin -4 vs line +3; busts.
“I'll tell you, I played that under already. I played under 42.”
FIU 19, FAU 38 — Combined 57; under 42 busts.
“I took the seven.”
RUTG 20, ILL 23 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I going to go with Nebraska”
NEB 30, PSU 23 — Nebraska Cornhuskers won; moneyline covers.
“but I really think the play is the under”
OHIO 24, AKR 10 — Combined 34; under 57.5 covers.
“I've already taken it. I placed a bet on opener here at 12.5. Came down to 9.5. I believe it zoomed back up to 12. It's going to do some dancing around, but I definitely prefer dancing with the Red Hawks on Tuesday night.”
BUFF 42, M-OH 10 — Miami (OH) RedHawks margin -32 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I'm going to run with Ball State this week. I'm probably going to lay it right now. It's end of that on the action app.”
BALL 38, EMU 31 — Ball State Cardinals margin +7 vs line -10.5; busts.
“finishing drives. So I took an over in this game early in the week at 58 and a half. You know,”
BSU 17, BYU 51 — Combined 68; over 58.5 covers.
“I would still take an over here. I do like Boise outright in the game.”
BSU 17, BYU 51 — Boise State Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“No, I mean, I took Indiana early in the week at three and a half,”
IU 38, MICH 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +17 vs line +3.5; covers.
“resistance. So I'm going to take the over 54 in this one. You don't have any concerns about the”
IU 38, MICH 21 — Combined 59; over 54 covers.
“um so you know i i we'll see if i'm gonna get in i think i am gonna play the over absolutely”
TEX 17, WVU 13 — Combined 30; over 55 busts.
“and a half i had some four earlier very very small and i put it in i put a note in the app”
UGA 28, FLA 44 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -16 vs line -3.5; busts.
“It's crazy. So I took Notre Dame plus three in the first half, considering Xavier Thomas is going”
ND 47, CLEM 40 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +7 vs line +3; covers.
“I took UCLA minus six-and-a-half on the action app today.”
COLO 48, UCLA 42 — UCLA Bruins margin -6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I played under 41 as crazy as that sounds but I made it like and I think you did too like 37 Yeah And that in there also should be about 20 to 25 mile an hour winds down in Boca this weekend And it pretty easy to project because it looks like there going to be”
UGA 28, FLA 44 — Combined 72; under 41 busts.
“So I took Florida Atlantic minus 6.5.”
UGA 28, FLA 44 — Florida Gators margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I like the under here.”
OU 62, KU 9 — Combined 71; under 52.5 busts.
“the Mountaineers at 16.5 earlier this week.”
TXST 17, APP 38 — Appalachian State Mountaineers margin +21 vs line -16.5; covers.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with George Southern.”
UGA 28, FLA 44 — Georgia Bulldogs lost; moneyline busts.
“somewhere today. I got in on that, but not everybody had an opportunity to get that,”
AKR 13, WMU 58 — Akron Zips margin -45 vs line +17; busts.
“I have not laid any money on this as of yet, but I think I'm going to go LSU.”
AUB 48, LSU 11 — LSU Tigers margin -37 vs line -2.5; busts.
“but I did put West Virginia in a Moneyline Parlay.”
UVA 44, UNC 41 — Virginia Cavaliers won; moneyline covers.
“I bought it at 13.”
PSU 25, OSU 38 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -13 vs line +13; pushes.
“I'm going to go with Air Force.”
AFA 30, BSU 49 — Air Force Falcons lost; moneyline busts.
“I took it over in this game. I would take it up to 49, 49 and a half, kind of cross the key number there.”
SDSU 34, UNLV 6 — Combined 40; over 49 busts.
“I'm going to go with Iowa State. Brocktober.”
OKST 24, ISU 21 — Iowa State Cyclones lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm gonna keep here with uh a total that I think is completely inflated it means it's dalton back there not not uh not Dak and so I'm gonna go with an under in this”
DAL 10, ARI 38 — Combined 48; under 55.5 covers.
“For me, I was looking for the cheapest money line price on Oklahoma that I could get.”
OU 53, TEX 45 — Oklahoma Sooners won; moneyline covers.
“I took Florida minus five at the beginning of the week on Sunday night or”
TA&M 41, FLA 38 — Florida Gators margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“And I'm going to take Clemson here.”
CLEM 42, MIAMI 17 — Clemson Tigers margin +25 vs line -13; covers.
“Bam Ole Miss, I've hammered the under,”
Alabama and Ole Miss were tied 21-21 at halftime (42 first-half points) en route to a 63-48 Alabama win, the highest-scoring regulation game in SEC history — the first-half under lost easily. (Halftime: Alabama 21, Ole Miss 21; final Alabama 63, Ole Miss 48)
“I would take Iowa State in this game.”
ISU 31, TTU 15 — Iowa State Cyclones margin +16 vs line -12.5; covers.
“Yeah, yeah, I'm with you here. This number is too high.”
BYU 27, UTSA 20 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -7 vs line +35; covers.
“I'm pushing my chips under the table on Virginia Tech in this game.”
UNC 56, VT 45 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“going with hook them horns I think they find a way to win this game”
OU 53, TEX 45 — Texas Longhorns lost; moneyline busts.
“for me, this is an under game, but I've really got my money based on the first half under.”
Georgia jumped to a 24-3 halftime lead (27 points in the first half alone) in a 27-6 win over Auburn — the first half ran well above any realistic first-half total, so the first-half under lost. (Halftime: Georgia 24, Auburn 3; final Georgia 27, Auburn 6)
“I'm going to go with Missouri. I don't believe in Tennessee whatsoever. I don't believe in Garantano. I think they're overlooking to Georgia.”
TENN 35, MIZ 12 — Missouri Tigers lost; moneyline busts.
“You've got to take Campbell based on the number. I mean, the number should not be over 31 points, So I think 35 or 34 and a half, I think you're getting a gift.”
WAKE 66, CAM 14 — Campbell Fighting Camels margin -52 vs line +34.5; busts.
“Louisiana Tech was one of the first plays I made this week. I would look to see if you can get the 24 but Louisiana Tech allowed zero explosive drives from Houston Baptist”
BYU 45, LT 14 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs margin -31 vs line +24; busts.
“i personally love houston in this spot what this matchup means to me is i have a team that i want to ride early on in the year on the top of my bet on list in houston they're taking on a team in baylor that i want to fade early on”
Houston-Baylor was postponed for COVID-19 contact-tracing issues on Sept 18-19, 2020 and was never rescheduled or played that season (the game does not appear anywhere in Houston's full 2020 schedule).
“I want Miami desperately at three. This is two explosive quarterbacks in King and Cunningham. These are two quarterbacks that can have breakaway speed, can make defenses flinch, and can take off.”
LOU 34, MIAMI 47 — Miami Hurricanes won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going SMU. If you look and see what Houston Baptist did to this North Texas defense, it was unbelievable.”
UNT 35, SMU 65 — SMU Mustangs margin +30 vs line -14; covers.
“I'm going to go with BC. I like the upside of this. I'm going to be a complete hypocrite. They haven't played a game yet.”
DUKE 6, BC 26 — Boston College Eagles won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to stick with Miami for everything that I said earlier in the podcast. I think De'Ara King is going to show us why I ran to Vegas and was betting him on Heisman numbers when he was playing for Houston.”
LOU 34, MIAMI 47 — Miami Hurricanes won; moneyline covers.
“that has me betting under 57”
ISU 14, UL 31 — Combined 45; under 57 covers.
“Now for me I betting Arkansas State money line I got it at plus 270 earlier today on the money line You can look at that number at bet MGM”
KSU 31, ARST 35 — Kansas State Wildcats lost; moneyline busts.
“out in the west Texas town of El Paso picks up That number is 42 and a half at bed MGM should be more like 47 and a half According to our power ratings I don't know if the miners score a point. So overdog, give me Texas”
TEX 59, UTEP 3 — Texas Longhorns margin +56 vs line -42.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with South Alabama.”
USA 24, TULN 27 — South Alabama Jaguars lost; moneyline busts.
“so if you're looking at an 18 to one, a team that actually has a shot, a team that can score a boatload of points really fast with an offensive coordinator that's proven that he could do it, that's North Carolina”
North Carolina finished in a three-way tie for third in the ACC and did not qualify for the ACC Championship Game; Clemson beat Notre Dame 34-10 to win the ACC. (UNC finished 7-3 in conference, no ACC title game berth; Clemson won ACC Championship 34-10 over Notre Dame)
“Austin Peay, this is just way too much movement on this point spread. So that's where I'm going.”
Central Arkansas beat Austin Peay 24-17; Austin Peay lost by 7, failing to cover +3. (Final: Central Arkansas 24, Austin Peay 17)
“I like a first half under in this game. I like an under overall.”
Central Arkansas beat Austin Peay 24-17; the combined 41 points went under the 43.5 total. (Final: Central Arkansas 24, Austin Peay 17 (41 total))
“I took Arizona right after they lost to Arizona State. I thought it was a perfect time to buy them. They were at similar number. I got them at 36 to 1.”
The entire 2020 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament was cancelled on March 12, 2020 due to COVID-19; no champion was crowned and Arizona never played in it. (2020 NCAA Tournament cancelled)
“So if you're in New Jersey, I think both DraftKings, I think Sugarhouse and Pennsylvania, they're both offering that plus 450. But I completely agree that I like the Oakland A's to win the AL West”
The Oakland Athletics won the 2020 AL West division title, clinching on 2020-09-21 with a 36-24 record. (A's: 36-24, AL West champions)
“check schedule. Yes, Siena is playing at home. It seems like every time we get to this part of the podcast, I'll remind people that Siena's won every game this year at home. They've lost every road game except for one. They got Ryder on Friday night, so it's autoplayed at this point with Siena.”
Siena beat Rider 73-64 at home on Feb 14, 2020. (Siena 73, Rider 64)
“swallow the whole, you know, the big nine number that's sitting out there right now. And, you know, the thing is, they're coming off of a loss against Rhode Island. They're playing a Davidson team that is just terrible on defense. They don't have any blocks, no steals. They can't defend the three-point line. I think VCU just gets off the schneid here after the loss to Rhode Island. I'll swallow the points”
VCU 73, DAV 62 — VCU Rams margin +11 vs line -9; covers.
“I prefer an under 132, considering the two defenses and the pace of play that they're going to have.”
Kentucky beat Texas Tech 76-74 in overtime; the combined 150 points went well over the 132 total. (Kentucky 76, Texas Tech 74 (OT) — total 150)
“Texas A&M have covered five of their last six. So I'm on that one.”
Oklahoma State beat Texas A&M 73-62 at Reed Arena; A&M lost outright by 11, a margin too large to have covered under any realistic version of that game's spread. (Oklahoma State 73, Texas A&M 62)
“I like the under”
Western Kentucky beat Western Michigan 23-20 on Dec 30, 2019 (First Responder Bowl, referred to in the pick as Quick Lane Bowl); combined 43 points went under 54.5. (Western Kentucky 23, Western Michigan 20)
“I like the Wolverines here. You agree? Yeah, yeah. I like Michigan here, too. By the way, this thing won't fucking move over off the seven. I just want to get a seven and a half again.”
ALA 35, MICH 16 — Michigan Wolverines margin -19 vs line +7; busts.
“I like the under in this game because if I like Michigan in this game, that means they're going to dictate pace and they're going to grind it out. And so I like the under and I like Michigan on the points.”
Alabama beat Michigan 35-16 on Jan 1, 2020 in the Citrus Bowl (total line ~58.5-60.5); combined 51 points went comfortably under. (Alabama 35, Michigan 16)
“I made this line before any of these adjustments. I like Baylor at plus seven and a half, and that's why I took plus seven and a half. And, you know, now I still like Baylor plus five and a half because of Georgia's entire team is out.”
BAY 14, UGA 26 — Baylor Bears margin -12 vs line +7.5; busts.
“at four and a half, I'm definitely looking to take this Boston College team at seven and a half. I have no problems with that.”
CIN 38, BC 6 — Boston College Eagles margin -32 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm going to take the under in this game because I don't think Boston College's pace of play is going to translate from what they did all season under Adazio into this game. Cincinnati runs a slow pace anyways, and if they have that backup quarterback in, there may be a little bit more running than there was generally with Desmond Ritter. I think it's a slower-paced game. I'm looking at the under, and I'm going to take Boston College over seven.”
CIN 38, BC 6 — Combined 44; under 55.5 covers.
“Give me the under here. Completely agree with you. I'll sprinkle some on the first half under and some on the game.”
TA&M 24, OKST 21 — Combined 45; under 53.5 covers.
“I'm definitely backing Iowa on the money line. It's two, two and a half. I can see that it's trending up. So I mean, I wouldn't blame anyone for taking USC at a field goal or better, you know, laying points with Iowa's, you know, like I said, tough to do.”
IOWA 49, USC 24 — Iowa Hawkeyes won; moneyline covers.
“I like the first half under more because it plays into the, I hate to say narrative because it's actually true, but air raid offenses have a hard time, you know, getting in sync the first couple drives. So I like the first half under more than anything.”
WSU 21, AFA 31 — Combined 52; under 34 busts.
“just a small investment on the under 54 and a half. I think the side is correct. I've got it Notre Dame minus four.”
ISU 9, ND 33 — Combined 42; under 54.5 covers.
“teams, but I think that both”
Navy beat Kansas State 20-17 on Dec 31, 2019 in the Liberty Bowl; Navy was a -1.5 favorite and covered by winning by 3. (Navy 20, Kansas State 17)
“I'm going with Baylor again. I'm not sure how much Georgia will care here. And we'll touch on that game much more in future pods and on the preview.”
BAY 14, UGA 26 — Baylor Bears lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me Mississippi State all day.”
LOU 38, MSST 28 — Mississippi State Bulldogs margin -10 vs line -4.5; busts.
“passing is going to”
ILL 20, CAL 35 — Combined 55; over 43 covers.
“I'm going to get an under in on this game. I mean,”
EMU 30, PITT 34 — Combined 64; under 49 busts.
“I think there is some value in the over now,”
WAKE 21, MSU 27 — Combined 48; over 50 busts.
“I took a piece of 14 because the news was hoping to get 14 and a half.”
LSU 63, OKLA 28 — Oklahoma Sooners margin -35 vs line +14; busts.
“If you want to back Utah, which I am, you're going to”
TEX 38, UTAH 10 — Utah Utes margin -28 vs line -7; busts.
“play for me on this bowl is going to be first half under.”
San Diego State led Central Michigan 20-3 (23 combined) at halftime of the Dec 21, 2019 New Mexico Bowl (final 48-11). The full-game total was only 40.5, and 23 points already came in the first half alone — well above the ~45-48% share First Half totals typically carry (implying a first-half line in the high-teens/~20), so the first-half under almost certainly lost. No sportsbook's exact first-half number could be confirmed, so this grade carries some uncertainty. (Halftime: San Diego State 20, Central Michigan 3 (final 48-11))
“I bought them at nine and a half, eight and a half, eight, seven, and I put some Moneyline down.”
GASO 16, LIB 23 — Liberty Flames margin +7 vs line +7; covers.
“I took Boise at three and a half, and I would suggest trying to get a three and a half.”
WASH 38, BSU 7 — Boise State Broncos margin -31 vs line +3.5; busts.
“favorite Moneyline dog of the weekend”
WASH 38, BSU 7 — Boise State Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“I've already hit the over in that game.”
OSU 23, CLEM 29 — Combined 52; over 63 busts.
“Oregon, Wisconsin, I fired on Wisconsin Moneyline because it opened up as a pick. It's now at minus three. I still suggest taking Badgers, even though I do power rate this as a pick.”
WIS 27, ORE 28 — Wisconsin Badgers lost; moneyline busts.
“Michigan State, Wake Forest. I took Michigan State today at minus three. I would take them at minus three and a half.”
WAKE 21, MSU 27 — Michigan State Spartans margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“Oklahoma State, Texas A&M. I took Texas A&M minus four. It's up to minus six.”
TA&M 24, OKST 21 — Texas A&M Aggies margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“BYU Hawaii. I took BYU today. I make the numbers slightly higher.”
Hawaii rallied to beat BYU 38-34 on Dec 24, 2019 in the Hawaii Bowl; BYU (small favorite, roughly -1.5 to -2.5 depending on book) lost outright, failing to cover any version of the spread. (Hawaii 38, BYU 34)
“I did take Washington State and Mike Leach in the crazy-ass Cheez-It Bowl against Air Force”
WSU 21, AFA 31 — Washington State Cougars margin -10 vs line +2.5; busts.
“It's at 6.5, so I need to bet Ohio. We're going to bet Ohio here.”
NEV 21, OHIO 30 — Ohio Bobcats margin +9 vs line -6.5; covers.
“Same here. I'm invested on ULL. I opened up at around seven, six and a half, and then took a major dip down to three and a half.”
Appalachian State beat Louisiana 45-38 in the Dec 7, 2019 Sun Belt Championship; ULL +6.5 lost by a half-point (7-point margin). (Appalachian State 45, Louisiana 38)
“I like the under in this game. I like the points on ULL.”
APP 45, UL 38 — Combined 83; under 56 busts.
“I'm going back to the well here and looking at another under. It's really for all the reasons that I was in last week.”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — Combined 47; under 57.5 covers.
“I also took a little piece of Georgia. I mean I make this line around five”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -27 vs line +7; busts.
“I could tell you that I took some under 55, some under in the first half as well.”
LSU led Georgia 17-3 (20 combined) at halftime of the Dec 7, 2019 SEC Championship en route to a 37-10 win; the first-half under won comfortably. (Halftime: LSU 17, Georgia 3 (final 37-10))
“as far as the bets on this game, I have an LSU first half money line under in the first half.”
LSU 37, UGA 10 — LSU Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take Oregon. I added a plus seven, pay for the juice.”
ORE 37, UTAH 15 — Oregon Ducks margin +22 vs line +7; covers.
“You going to take ULL right Yes sir I go with Georgia”
Appalachian State beat Louisiana 45-38 outright in the Dec 7, 2019 Sun Belt Championship; ULL moneyline lost. (Appalachian State 45, Louisiana 38)
“So yes, I am suggesting a play on ULL. App State has serious issues with explosive rush offenses, and that's going to be a problem for them in this game.”
APP 45, UL 38 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“I rate the Vikings a little better than the Seahawks right now, but just by a point or so. So I think that the fair line in this game is about one and a half or two. If you can get a flat three, grab it.”
SEA 37, MIN 30 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I took the under at 52 and a half and that thing has steadily climbed down It is still moving down as you and I record this at 50 And so I think the under is the only way to play this.”
MICH 27, OSU 56 — Combined 83; under 52 busts.
“Everything tells me to take them with the points. Everything tells me to take them on the money line.”
AUB 48, ALA 45 — Auburn Tigers margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“Yeah, that's actually the under is what I played so far at the key number of 57 there.”
MEM 34, CIN 24 — Combined 58; under 57 busts.
“yeah I got it projected at 11 and a half I took Oklahoma minus 12 their number is up to 13 and a half in some places but I would still suggest taking a 13 or a 12 and a half”
OKST 16, OKLA 34 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +18 vs line -12; covers.
“I'm on Nebraska plus six. Defense is healthy, and they're finally having clean box scores as far as turnovers go.”
NEB 24, IOWA 27 — Nebraska Cornhuskers margin -3 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm happy with a money line play for the Longhorns and Austin, but the side, I've got it projected at 10.5.”
Texas beat Texas Tech 49-24 on Nov 29, 2019; Texas moneyline won. (Texas 49, Texas Tech 24)
“I took Kent on opener I forgot to tell you I took Kent on opener Really there was a lot of offensive advantages that they have against the Eastern Michigan defense”
Kent State won outright 34-26 at Eastern Michigan on Nov 29, 2019, easily covering +5.5. (Kent State 34, Eastern Michigan 26)
“I think I'm going to be putting money down on Temple because I make this game since he minus eight and a half. And, you know, Cincinnati, I've preached this over and over and over. And besides the UConn game, Cincinnati is due for a loss.”
CIN 15, TEM 13 — Temple Owls margin -2 vs line +10; covers.
“I put a play in on the app here this afternoon on Liberty. I think the number is going to drop. I mean, I have this power rated around 20, but the situation needs some attention here.”
UVA 55, LIB 27 — Liberty Flames margin -28 vs line +17; busts.
“I have UAB on the side at six. I was salivating when I saw Circa open it up at minus one on Sunday.”
UAB 20, LAT 14 — UAB Blazers margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“this line has value uh for days i mean basically baylor we were saying it all year they they lost the game they probably should have won but they were winning a number of games they probably should have lost and they're still inflated in the market here texas's defense has been getting healthier has been playing better. I think this is a complete flat spot for Baylor, which still has holes on the defense still has holes on the offensive line This is a play on Texas for me Yeah it Texas or nothing here”
BAY 24, TEX 10 — Texas Longhorns margin -14 vs line +6; busts.
“I really like Syracuse here. I played them plus 10 against Louisville. I actually make this under a touchdown.”
LOU 56, SYR 34 — Syracuse Orange margin -22 vs line +10; busts.
“Navy plus 11 is the first one that poked out to me. And I got up immediately and went to the counter and threw a dime over, had no problems with it.”
ND 52, NAVY 20 — Navy Midshipmen margin -32 vs line +11; busts.
“I played Mississippi State plus 21 earlier in the week.”
MSST 7, ALA 38 — Mississippi State Bulldogs margin -31 vs line +21; busts.
“I'm getting ready to play Missouri here, plus seven. I know that you already played it.”
MIZ 6, FLA 23 — Missouri Tigers margin -17 vs line +7; busts.
“I Moneyline Parlayed Iowa. If I get around to recording another round robin video tonight, I'm sure Iowa will be what I call a boat anchor, a low favorite that I think absolutely has a shot of winning and supporting the rest of the teams in the round robin.”
IOWA 23, MINN 19 — Iowa Hawkeyes won; moneyline covers.
“I think this is my Moneyline partner with Iowa here on Marshall.”
MRSH 31, LAT 10 — Marshall Thundering Herd won; moneyline covers.
“A look-ahead line was LSU plus eight. I didn't have any problem taking that because we power rated it at seven. I took five and a half on the open market this week.”
ALA 41, LSU 46 — LSU Tigers margin +5 vs line +5.5; covers.
“from a pregame position, yes, right now I'm sitting on a lot on over 63 and a half, over 64.”
ALA 41, LSU 46 — Combined 87; over 63.5 covers.
“Hopped on Texas early I would still play Texas at minus seven”
TEX 27, KSU 24 — Texas Longhorns margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
“I'm going to sit on my UAB plus seven. I don't think I'm going to buy out of it.”
USM 37, UAB 2 — UAB Blazers margin -35 vs line +7; busts.
“I'm going to go with Western Kentucky. I know that it's not that big of an underdog, but hey, this is a huge spot for Ty Story, their quarterback, to come in. But Arkansas's defense, like I said, can't stop anybody.”
ARK 19, WKU 45 — Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Tulsa side especially if it gets to 17 and a half”
TLSA 34, UCF 31 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane margin +3 vs line +17; covers.
“I was able to get my own bed in on Georgia minus four, as we have this power rate at a Georgia minus seven at the Action Network.”
FLA 17, UGA 24 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“That's why I like the under. I played under 46.”
FLA 17, UGA 24 — Combined 41; under 46 covers.
“The Washington for me that I hit earlier in the week is just based upon a lot of things you said.”
WASH 28, UTAH 33 — Washington Huskies margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I expect this to be a game where hopefully at some point, you know, Wofford's going to be able to go out there and get some first downs, be able to take some off the clock. I expect Trevor to get his 175 yards, four touchdowns, before everybody's kid, the Venables kid, the Herbstreet kid, all the kids are in playing. And I mean, this is an in-state school that just came off of an overtime win against Chattanooga. So how efficient are they going to be? I just, I think everything to me points to the under”
CLEM 59, WOF 14 — Combined 73; under 59.5 busts.
“the number power ranked at five and a half. It was at five and a half earlier in the week, and I went ahead and took it”
USC 24, ORE 56 — USC Trojans margin -32 vs line +4.5; busts.
“go with charlotte plus 140 everything that i said before i think their offense gonna be able to do whatever they want”
CLT 34, MTSU 20 — Charlotte 49ers won; moneyline covers.
“put my money where my mouth is not only my bet in air force i think they're gonna be the biggest win of the week”
AFA 17, ARMY 13 — Air Force Falcons margin +4 vs line -16; busts.
“Yeah, I took Baylor right out of the gate at minus 17. I thought that number was way too low.”
BAY 17, WVU 14 — Baylor Bears margin +3 vs line -17; busts.
“Yeah absolutely agree I took Michigan State same as you six and a half and I took a real juice seven out there”
MSU 7, PSU 28 — Michigan State Spartans margin -21 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I took Rice plus 10.5. It's an awful spot for Southern Miss.”
RICE 6, USM 20 — Rice Owls margin -14 vs line +10.5; busts.
“ucla i'm going ucla for mine all right colin's ucla and sparty we'll have a write-up for that on saturday”
UCLA 42, ASU 32 — UCLA Bruins won; moneyline covers.
“I'll also mention that I played Northwestern plus 10 and a half.”
NW 0, IOWA 20 — Northwestern Wildcats margin -20 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I played Stanford. I think either Costello or Mills, and I'm hoping will play based on what I've been reading. That will be huge if they do. But I think it's a good spot for a desperate Stanford team against an Arizona team that is just a mess.”
Stanford, a 3-point underdog, won outright at Arizona 41-31. (Final: Stanford 41, Arizona 31)
“i going to be looking at a first half under and taking the Jets full game Yeah All right Let get to what most of you been waiting for get to college”
Patriots shut out the Jets 33-0, leading 24-0 at halftime. The Jets side of the bet lost outright, and the 24-point first half blew well past the roughly 20-21 point first-half total, so both components lost. (Final: Patriots 33, Jets 0 (24-0 at halftime))
“I've already bet them against Texas Tech this week at home getting four and a half points.”
KU 37, TTU 34 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“we both i i saw on the app that you played kansas i played kansas as well catching 21 and a half”
TEX 50, KU 48 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -2 vs line +21.5; covers.
“South Carolina. I already mentioned it. Plus 180.”
SC 27, FLA 38 — South Carolina Gamecocks lost; moneyline busts.
“I took NC State minus three today. The reason of that was because of our havoc ratings.”
NCST 16, SYR 10 — NC State Wolfpack margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“we are absolutely backing the Lafayette, the Ragin' here. The number says that Appalachian State should be one-point favorites, but we're going to throw that out here.”
UL 7, APP 17 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns margin -10 vs line -1; busts.
“Take West Virginia and get the 11 points. Get the half if you can.”
WVU 31, TEX 42 — West Virginia Mountaineers margin -11 vs line +10.5; busts.
“Iowa State's my favorite out of the bunch.”
MICH 10, IOWA 3 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“I actually like Air Force. I got them at minus two early. I like them under three, over three. Gets a little iffy.”
NAVY 34, AFA 25 — Air Force Falcons margin -9 vs line -2; busts.
“We both took Florida plus three.”
FLA 24, AUB 13 — Florida Gators margin +11 vs line +3; covers.
“i'm gonna go with oregon just fading cow here and uh oregon's been fantastic on both sides of the ball”
ORE 17, CAL 7 — Oregon Ducks won; moneyline covers.
“My favorite Overdog or favorite of the week, Ohio.”
BUFF 20, OHIO 21 — Ohio Bobcats won; moneyline covers.
“I am not screwing around. Tchaikovsky starting for Rutgers. I know, but UConn, I think, can beat South Florida flat out. I mean, that play is about to come through here. But no, I'm going to go with Florida. I 100% believe the number should be a pick. I think Florida is an extremely live dog at home here in the Swamp.”
FLA 24, AUB 13 — Florida Gators won; moneyline covers.
“I am actually on middle Tennessee State, but it has nothing to do with the Blue Raiders whatsoever. It actually has everything to do with Iowa.”
IOWA 48, MTSU 3 — Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders margin -45 vs line +23; busts.
“First half is 14 and a half. I did lay some money on Clemson, minus 14 and a half.”
UNC 20, CLEM 21 — Clemson Tigers margin +1 vs line -14.5; busts.
“I think this is one in the trenches And that the difference in this game I think Iowa State wins I like them minus three”
IOWA 48, MTSU 3 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin +45 vs line -3; covers.
“I think Notre Dame covers this number. I was really impressed with their defense. Virginia hasn't been running it well this year, and a lot of that has to do with Perkins, I think. So I think Notre Dame covers this number.”
ND 35, UVA 20 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +15 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I'm going with Oregon State. I mean, everybody out there is like, Colm, did you really put three units? Yeah, I really did. I really liked Oregon State at four and a half.”
ORST 28, STAN 31 — Oregon State Beavers lost; moneyline busts.
“I made a play on App State plus one in the first half.”
UNC 31, APP 34 — Appalachian State Mountaineers margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“I'm rolling with A&M first half here, minus two and a half.”
TA&M 20, AUB 28 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.
“This week I'm just going to be on the over.”
Nebraska beat Illinois 42-38 (80 combined points), well over the 62 total. (Nebraska 42, Illinois 38 (total 80))
“If Peoples-Jones plays, then I like the over in this game. So I'm not going to have a side.”
Wisconsin beat Michigan 35-14 (49 combined points), over the ~43.5-44.5 total. (Wisconsin 35, Michigan 14 (total 49))
“When the Lions came out, made a play immediately on the Action app. I haven't really had any heartburn about making that play days ago, even though it got up to 12.5 and I think some 13s.”
PITT 35, UCF 34 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin +1 vs line +10.5; covers.
“In our company Slack, I posted the ticket. I really have some real money on UMass plus 17 here.”
Coastal Carolina routed UMass 62-28, a 34-point margin that exceeds the 17 points UMass got. (Coastal Carolina 62, UMass 28)
“I am positive that they're going to cover this. One of my most sure things of the week is them covering this game”
USC 30, UTAH 23 — USC Trojans margin +7 vs line +3.5; covers.
“For the underdog podcast money line parlay, it's going to be San Diego State plus 155. I think they're going to get it done against Utah State.”
SDSU 17, USU 23 — San Diego State Aztecs lost; moneyline busts.
“I definitely like BYU in this game. I've already taken them in the app. I'll add to them if it gets to six, if it steams up anymore.”
BYU upset USC 30-27 in overtime as a home underdog, winning outright and covering easily. (BYU 30, USC 27 (OT))
“I took this at seven and a half on the app down to seven I was suggested seven or better maybe a little money line this weekend on Temple a little teaser there”
TEM 20, MD 17 — Temple Owls margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“We both like the dog here. You may get seven. I agree. This Nebraska team is just it so loved in the market and I don get it But we both on NIU there”
NEB 44, NIU 8 — Northern Illinois Huskies margin -36 vs line +14; busts.
“I'm actually on UTSA too, but I'm on it for different reasons. Stock has very valid and good reasons about why you should be on UTSA.”
UTSA 13, ARMY 31 — UTSA Roadrunners margin -18 vs line +17; busts.
“I'm going to agree with you on the under on Washington-Houston. I actually made a little bet here live on the podcast, taking a little bit of money on the under 73 and a half.”
HOU 24, WSU 31 — Combined 55; under 73.5 covers.
“i'm happy with the three and a half that i got on opener”
WAKE 24, UNC 18 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm going Temple plus 215 is my Moneyline Parlay.”
TEM 20, MD 17 — Temple Owls won; moneyline covers.
“I like North Carolina here. The market still is not caught up to them. I have this game as a pick. That tells me that the market is still three points off of where the Tar Heels are.”
WAKE 24, UNC 18 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I played Maryland here at plus one and a half.”
MD 63, SYR 20 — Maryland Terrapins margin +43 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I think I'm the only person in the world that's on Pitt. So yeah, Pitt minus four for me.”
PITT 20, OHIO 10 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin +10 vs line -4; covers.
“I've already taken Oregon State plus seven. You guys can go to the Action Network app.”
ORE 77, NEV 6 — Oregon Ducks margin +71 vs line +7; covers.
“Got as much money down as I could at a pick-em. Vegas comes out. Some places we're hanging a two and a half. Some places we're hanging a three. Got more money on that.”
TEX 38, LSU 45 — LSU Tigers margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“I said, run over to CG and get me some money down on UTEP. He said, what? Say again? Come again? I think he actually my runner had to call me and say I want you to say it out loud And I said okay go get a nickel down on UTEP at 35”
TTU 38, UTEP 3 — UTEP Miners margin -35 vs line +35; pushes.
“I took 17 and a half. Anything that's 17 and above, I like.”
TEX 38, LSU 45 — Texas Longhorns margin -7 vs line +20; covers.
“What I like with my money is the under because I think there's going to be more running.”
Clemson beat Texas A&M 24-10 (34 combined points), well under the ~61-63.5 total. (Clemson 24, Texas A&M 10 (total 34))
“Yeah, I like BYU. I make the game a pick. And so, you know, I think, listen, BYU, they can recover from a loss in the Holy War.”
TENN 26, BYU 29 — BYU Cougars margin +3 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm going North Carolina. I believe in Phil Longo. I believe in Jay Bateman”
UNC 28, MIA 25 — North Carolina Tar Heels won; moneyline covers.
“I took pit uh I thought the number was off it's gone the other way got it at six and a half it's fallen down to five and a half”
PITT 20, OHIO 10 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin +10 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I got Texas A&M at 20 on the open. It's fallen down to 17 and a half. I make it 17 and a half. So anything 17 above, I think is good.”
TEX 38, LSU 45 — Texas Longhorns margin -7 vs line +20; covers.
“I hit it at 13 in fear that it was going to go back to 12 and a half. It moved to 14 this afternoon. I hit it again. So I'm well invested in Cal.”
WASH 19, CAL 20 — California Golden Bears margin +1 vs line +13; covers.
“I was able to grab it at 20. Once I saw the 21.5 disappear a few weeks ago, I knew 21 was going to be last call. And sure enough, here we are at 20.5, but I still think it's good enough to take all the way”
TEX 45, LAT 14 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs margin -31 vs line +20; busts.
“I've already got a play on at Auburn. I got it minus two and a half. I've got pieces of minus three.”
AUB 27, ORE 21 — Auburn Tigers margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I like Duke. I like all the numbers that you can get 31 and above”
ALA 42, DUKE 3 — Duke Blue Devils margin -39 vs line +31; busts.
“I'm taking Arkansas State. They're going to have a lot of high emotions going on with their head coach, whether he's on the sideline or not.”
KU 24, INST 17 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +7 vs line -3; covers.
“So Stanford all the way.”
STAN 17, NW 7 — Stanford Cardinal margin +10 vs line -6; covers.
“The spread is small. It's six, but I'm going to take the points and I'm going to take Indiana State on the money line.”
KU 24, INST 17 — Indiana State Sycamores lost; moneyline busts.
“The only one I could find is Boston College. That should be a pick-em game. It's floated up way too high to 4-5. Boston College won this game last year, and they're going to be able to run on the Virginia Tech defense like they did last year. So, BC for me.”
BC 35, VT 28 — Boston College Eagles won; moneyline covers.
“I think Texas State is the side. I think they're good down to four touchdowns. This isn't a game that Jimbo needs. He doesn't need to blow them out. This is a big game to Spavadol and to the new roster.”
TA&M 41, TXST 7 — Texas State Bobcats margin -34 vs line +33; busts.
“I'll take the under. I think it's a 63. There's going to be an underplay come through the app. I think it should be much lower. I think temperature is a factor, especially in the first half or just the full game, the cramps and everything.”
Arizona State beat Kent State 30-7 (37 combined points), well under the 62.5-63 total. (Arizona State 30, Kent State 7 (total 37))
“I'm going to take Memphis to win the AAC. I've seen numbers out there that you need to shop around because this opened up somewhere 5-1 at some shops back in May.”
Memphis beat Cincinnati 29-24 in the AAC Championship Game to win the conference. (Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24 (AAC title game))
“I'm taking Trevor Lawrence to win the Heisman. It just seems like the hype machine on a national level is starting up, and I don't think that number is going to be around for very long.”
Joe Burrow (LSU) won the 2019 Heisman Trophy in a landslide; Trevor Lawrence did not win. (Burrow 2,608 pts vs. Lawrence unranked in top 3)
“I'm going to take Oklahoma to make the playoff at plus 250 is what I got it at. It's still at plus 225.”
Oklahoma made the 2019-20 College Football Playoff as the No. 4 seed, facing No. 1 LSU. (Oklahoma seeded No. 4 in 4-team CFP field)
“Yeah, I'm on FIU with you to win the whole conference. Let's shop around. Like I said on our previous podcast, Jersey's around. plus 450 on them to win the conference.”
Florida Atlantic beat UAB 49-6 to win Conference USA; FIU did not win its division and did not reach the title game. (FAU 49, UAB 6 (CUSA title game))
“Alabama to miss the playoff is plus 200 at some shops. I've seen it down, dip around, plus 180. That's something I'm going to be on.”
Alabama missed the College Football Playoff for the first time in the CFP era after regular-season losses to LSU and Auburn. (Alabama 10-2 regular season, not selected to CFP field)
“I finally saw a little bit of resistance in some 73, 73 and a half's coming back down. I was happy enough to put in a little bit of money Got it on the action app on taking the under at 74”
HAW 45, ARIZ 38 — Combined 83; under 74 busts.
“Already got a play on them on the Action app.”
Florida Atlantic defeated UAB 49-6 to win the 2019 Conference USA Championship; Louisiana Tech did not win the West division or reach the title game. (FAU 49, UAB 6 (Dec 7, 2019))
“I'm going to take under two and a half here with UTSA.”
UTSA finished 2019 at 4-8, exceeding the 2.5 win total. (UTSA 2019: 4-8)
“I got them on, you know, under five and a half.”
Middle Tennessee finished 2019 at 4-8, under the 5.5 win total. (Middle Tennessee 2019: 4-8)
“we both played them at plus 250, plus 300,”
Miami (OH) won the 2019 MAC Championship, defeating Central Michigan 26-21; Ohio did not reach or win the title game. (2019 MAC Championship: Miami (OH) 26, Central Michigan 21)
“I'll take it all day.”
Florida Atlantic beat UAB in the 2019 Conference USA Championship Game; FIU did not win the conference. (2019 C-USA Championship: Florida Atlantic def. UAB)
“I had a book shut me down.”
East Carolina is an American Athletic Conference (not C-USA) team; Memphis defeated Cincinnati 29-24 to win the 2019 AAC Championship, and ECU (4-8, 1-7 AAC) did not win the conference. (2019 AAC Championship: Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24)
“under seven, I've got their win total even below six.”
Houston finished 2019 at 4-8, under the 7 win total. (Houston 2019: 4-8)
“I think the Bowling Green under.”
Bowling Green finished 2019 at exactly 3-9, pushing the 3-win total. (Bowling Green 2019: 3-9)
“But I do like Kent State over.”
Kent State finished 2019 at 7-6 (including a Frisco Bowl win over Utah State), over the 4 win total. (Kent State 2019: 7-6)
“I took New Mexico under five.”
New Mexico finished 2019 at 2-10, under the 5 win total. (New Mexico 2019: 2-10)
“under 2.5 is a play on South Alabama.”
South Alabama finished 2019 at 2-10, under the 2.5 win total. (South Alabama 2019: 2-10)
“the over in troy which i would agree with”
Troy finished 2019 at 5-7, under its preseason win total (set at 6.5). (Troy 2019: 5-7)
“I'm going to start off with a Missouri over 8.5.”
Missouri finished the 2019 season 6-5 (banned from bowl play), well under the 8.5-win total. (6-5)
“As far as Georgia goes, I'm taking them to win the SEC.”
LSU defeated Georgia 37-10 in the 2019 SEC Championship Game; Georgia did not win the SEC. (LSU 37, Georgia 10 (Dec 7, 2019))
“And then I'm going to take Kentucky, a little bit of light money,”
Kentucky finished 10-3 (7-5 regular season, won Citrus Bowl over Penn State), well over the 6.5-win total. (10-3 (7-5 SEC regular season + Citrus Bowl win))
“Their only win total that I really like is an over on Mississippi State.”
Mississippi State finished the 2019 season 6-7, under the 7.5-win total. (6-7)
“Take Arkansas under five and a half.”
Arkansas finished the 2019 season 2-10, well under the 5.5-win total. (2-10 (0-8 SEC))
“I love Alabama. No, to make the playoff.”
Alabama lost to LSU and Auburn and was left out of the College Football Playoff for the first time since 2014. (Alabama 10-2 regular season, not selected for CFP)
“so I'll be investing there in under five wins.”
Ole Miss finished the 2019 season 4-8, under the 5-win total. (4-8)
“The under is the only way to go. 4.9 is spot on. I wouldn't be surprised at four wins.”
Arkansas finished the 2019 season 2-10, well under the 5.5-win total. (2-10 (0-8 SEC))
“Alabama is not going to make the college football playoff. That is not just a statement that I'm making in thin air. I am flying to Vegas in a couple weeks to watch some Week Zero action because there is a shop that is hanging a no number, a nice, juicy Bama to the playoff no number, and I'm going to go put my money where my mouth is.”
Alabama finished 11-2 (won Citrus Bowl over Michigan), under the 11.5-win total, and missed the CFP for the first time ever. (11-2 (10-2 regular season, 11-2 with bowl win))
“I am flying to Vegas in a couple weeks to watch some Week Zero action because there is a shop that is hanging a no number, a nice, juicy Bama to the playoff no number, and I'm going to go put my money where my mouth is. And I think they're going to lose to Georgia.”
Alabama lost to LSU and Auburn late in the season and was left out of the College Football Playoff for the first time since the format began in 2014 — the 'no' (miss CFP) side cashed. (Alabama 10-2 regular season, not selected for CFP; finished 11-2 after Citrus Bowl win)
“I'm at 6.1. The number's now at 7. I think it opened up 8 in some places, and I took some unders. You know, 7.5 took some under. I still take some under at 7.”
USC finished the 2019 season 8-5, over the 7.5-win line. (USC 2019: 8-5 (lost Holiday Bowl))
“So it's a year that I have pounded the under 10 and it got to, it's down, down to nine and a half.”
Washington finished the 2019 season 8-5, under the 9.5-win line. (Washington 2019: 8-5)
“I like the over nine. I like them 12 to one to get to the playoff. Three to one, I still think that there's some value to win the Pac-12 just because the South is so weak.”
Utah finished the 2019 season 11-2, well over the 9-win line. (Utah 2019: 11-2)
“Three to one, I still think that there's some value to win the Pac-12 just because the South is so weak. Obviously, it's not as good as 10 to one. But I love this team and think there's big things ahead for Utah”
Utah lost the Pac-12 Championship Game to Oregon 37-15, so did not win the Pac-12. (Pac-12 Championship: Oregon 37, Utah 15)
“I like them 12 to one to get to the playoff.”
Utah did not make the College Football Playoff; the four semifinalists were LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, and Oklahoma. (2019 CFP field: LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, Oklahoma)
“I took an Oregon under at low limits back in May when they released it at 9. I believe I took it again when the limits were up to $250. on the under eight and a half.”
Oregon finished the 2019 season 12-2 (Pac-12 champions, Rose Bowl champions), well over the 8.5-win line. (Oregon 2019: 12-2)
“do I have a Colorado over three and a half? I do. So I would suggest taking a four.”
Colorado finished the 2019 season 5-7, which is over 3.5 wins. (5-7 (3-6 Pac-12))
“I have a small piece of Stanford over seven.”
Stanford finished the 2019 season 4-8, under the 7-win total and did not become bowl eligible. (4-8 (3-6 Pac-12))
“because I've invested a lot more money [56:56] on Auburn in week one.”
AUB 27, ORE 21 — Auburn Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“Florida State over all the way.”
Florida State finished the 2019 season 6-7, under the 7.5-win line. (Florida State 2019: 6-7)
“I'm saying BC under six and a half. There are six and a half out there. Shop port and get it because I think six would be a push.”
Boston College finished the 2019 season 6-7 (including a Birmingham Bowl win), under the 6.5-win line. (Boston College 2019: 6-7)
“Pitt over their win total.”
Pitt finished the 2019 season 8-5 (including a Quick Lane Bowl win), over the 6-win line. (Pitt 2019: 8-5)
“Ohio State not and I just don think they going to get over 10 and I happily put my money on the under with these guys”
Ohio State went 13-0 in the regular season (Big Ten champs), blowing past 10 wins, so the under-10-wins bet loses.
“Look out for Eastern Washington week one and take the under on Washington.”
Washington finished 7-5 in the regular season (8-5 with bowl), under 10 wins, so the under-10-wins bet wins.
“But Missouri over eight, definitely.”
Missouri finished 6-6 with only 6 wins (postseason-banned), short of 8, so the over-8-wins bet loses.
“Over four, easy money.”
East Carolina finished 4-8 with exactly 4 wins, landing on the line of 4, so the over-4-wins bet pushes.
“BYU is a must-watch this year, and they're an over six and a half play.”
BYU finished 7-6 with 7 regular-season wins, over 6.5, so the over-6.5-wins bet wins.
“Yeah, and I think Kansas, if you guys want to have a takeaway, I would pay the minus 160 on Kansas for the under.”
Kansas finished the 2019 season 3-9, exactly matching the 3-win line. (Kansas 2019 record: 3-9 (1-8 Big 12))
“I got a little bit of the five and a half. I got more on six. I got more on six and a half. And like I wrote for the Action Network, you know, I would take this all the way up into seven and a half because there's so many things going on with this team that I like.”
Oklahoma State finished 8-5 in 2019, clearing the 7-win over line. (Oklahoma State 2019 record: 8-5, lost Texas Bowl)
“If you see a Washington out of 10, even though it may be juiced, the under is the way because I've been looking to hit that.”
Washington finished 8-5 in 2019, under the 10-win line. (Washington 2019 record: 8-5, won Las Vegas Bowl 38-7 over Boise State)
“I'd take the plus 250 on Georgia to win the SEC.”
LSU beat Georgia 37-10 in the 2019 SEC Championship Game, so Georgia +250 to win the SEC lost.
“bet on Utah to win the Pac-12? Please, yes.”
Oregon beat Utah 37-15 in the 2019 Pac-12 Championship Game, so Utah +1000 to win the Pac-12 lost.