Guest · 17-16 on settled picks
“You got to ride with Orlando. And I think we'll also continue to see this Johnny Menzel effect on the spread where maybe the line is a point or two below what it really should be. But like I said, can I put the line high enough? I'm backing the Apollos.”
Orlando Apollos edged Memphis Express 34-31 (AAF Week 8); a 3-point margin fell well short of -10. (Orlando Apollos 34, Memphis Express 31)
“I'm going with Salt Lake here. Look, San Diego won 27-25 at home back in week five. And that was that game where Woodrum let him back late, scored a touchdown with like a minute left.”
Salt Lake Stallions beat San Diego Fleet 8-3 (AAF Week 8), covering -2 with a 5-point win. (Salt Lake Stallions 8, San Diego Fleet 3)
“Can't put the line high enough. Give me Birmingham.”
Birmingham Iron beat Atlanta Legends 17-9 (won by 8), failing to cover the -9.5 spread. (Birmingham 17, Atlanta 9 (AAF Week 8, Mar 31 2019))
“I'm taking the points right now. looks like they're gonna be on Arizona's side so Arizona plus two and a half again their uh first meeting was not fluky but we saw San Antonio dominate the first half Arizona dominate the second half so uh again evenly matched teams so give me the points”
Arizona Hotshots beat San Antonio Commanders 23-6 outright, easily covering +2.5. (Arizona 23, San Antonio 6 (AAF Week 8, Mar 31 2019))
“Yeah, it seemed like the first part of the year, the biggest mismatch of the week was usually represented by a 14 to 16 point line and yeah they're getting away from that this week and i just don't see any reason to to have a feeling that atlanta deserves that amount of respect”
Orlando Apollos routed Atlanta Legends 36-6, covering -8.5 easily. (Orlando Apollos 36, Atlanta Legends 6)
“I like Salt Lake plus five and a half. I'm not nearly in love with this as I am with the Orlando pick, but we've seen the Stallions really play everyone close all season.”
San Antonio Commanders edged Salt Lake Stallions 19-15 (AAF Week 7); Salt Lake lost by only 4, covering +5.5. (San Antonio Commanders 19, Salt Lake Stallions 15)
“I like San Diego plus three and a half. I just think they have the better offensive line and they have the better defensive line.”
Arizona Hotshots beat San Diego Fleet 32-15 (AAF Week 7); San Diego lost by 17, failing to cover +3.5. (Arizona Hotshots 32, San Diego Fleet 15)
“yeah, this is right up there with Orlando, I think, as the best bets, and definitely Birmingham minus three.”
Memphis Express beat Birmingham Iron 31-25 in OT (AAF Week 7); Birmingham lost outright, failing to cover -3. (Memphis Express 31, Birmingham Iron 25 (OT))
“Yeah. Memphis plus eight and a half. I mean, I wouldn't touch the money line, but I just think this is way too high for pretty much anything to be favored by eight and a half.”
Salt Lake Stallions beat Memphis Express 22-9 (AAF Week 6); Memphis lost by 13, failing to cover +8.5. (Salt Lake Stallions 22, Memphis Express 9)
“If I, you know, gun to my head, I will take the Apollos minus nine because, again, we really haven't seen anyone match them yet this season.”
Arizona Hotshots upset Orlando Apollos 22-17 (AAF Week 6); Orlando lost outright, failing to cover -9. (Arizona Hotshots 22, Orlando Apollos 17)
“i'm going with atlanta minus one and a half i think uh we saw the very best version of san antonio last week and i'm just not convinced their defense is going to be able to come on the road here and i get the job done”
San Antonio Commanders routed Atlanta Legends 37-6 (AAF Week 6); Atlanta lost outright, failing to cover -1.5. (San Antonio Commanders 37, Atlanta Legends 6)
“yeah, I mean, plus six is just way too much. Even, I mean, we're assuming Price gets a start. I don't know why he wouldn't. And with that in mind, it just, again, Perez could not move this offense.”
Birmingham Iron beat San Diego Fleet 32-29 (AAF Week 6), winning outright and covering +6. (Birmingham Iron 32, San Diego Fleet 29)
“give me the express as Cynthia just said stay away from the mess and uh stay with the express”
Atlanta Legends beat Memphis Express 23-20 on Mar 10, 2019 (AAF Week 5); Memphis ML loses. (Atlanta Legends 23, Memphis Express 20)
“I'm with Cynthia here. I like Arizona and agree with the high-scoring potential.”
San Antonio Commanders beat Arizona Hotshots 29-25 on Mar 10, 2019 (AAF Week 5); Arizona ML loses. (San Antonio Commanders 29, Arizona Hotshots 25)
“Right now I like Memphis at plus six I thought the line was going to open up a little bit closer to three three and a half So I be interested to see how that moves throughout the week But yeah I mean I don know if Memphis is good enough to win this win it yet But I mean as Scott was saying like”
Memphis beat San Diego 26-23 outright, easily covering +6. (Final: Memphis 26, San Diego 23.)
“bet on birmingham but um ian do you have any way you're leaning on this i got santonio plus seven”
San Antonio upset Birmingham 12-11 outright, covering +7 easily. (Final: San Antonio 12, Birmingham 11.)
“But yep, give me Walford or give me Knight.”
Arizona lost outright to Atlanta 11-14, far short of covering -13.5. (Final: Atlanta 14, Arizona 11.)
“I like the under more than anything.”
Salt Lake beat Arizona 23-15 (AAF Week 3); the combined 38 points stayed well under 46. (Final: Salt Lake Stallions 23, Arizona Hotshots 15 (total 38))
“I think I'm riding with the heavy favorite this week, taking Orlando.”
Orlando won by only 3 (34-31), well short of covering -14. (Final: Orlando 34, Memphis 31.)
“All right, so Ian, you are on Birmingham as a six-point favorite.”
Birmingham routed Atlanta 28-12, covering -6 easily. (Final: Birmingham 28, Atlanta 12.)
“plus points, I'll take San Antonio. But yeah, a whole lot of questions about them going on the”
San Diego blew out San Antonio 31-11; the Commanders lost by 20, well outside +1.5. (Final: San Diego 31, San Antonio 11.)
“road and all that. So I like the under here as well. And also in conjunction with, you know,”
San Diego beat San Antonio 31-11; the combined 42 points stayed under 43.5. (Final: San Diego 31, San Antonio 11 (total 42).)
“Birmingham versus Atlanta. [31:09] I do like Birmingham. [31:11] Luis Perez talked him up a ton. [31:12] And Atlanta is just so bad with Matt Sims. [31:15] There are a bunch of coaches that have left in the last month. [31:17] So I got Birmingham.”
Birmingham beat Atlanta 28-12 (AAF Week 3, played Feb 24); Birmingham won as picked. (Final: Birmingham Iron 28, Atlanta Legends 12)
“Yeah, with seven and a half points, man, I'm going to go ahead and take Salt Lake there.”
Birmingham beat Salt Lake only 12-9 (AAF Week 2); the Stallions lost by just 3, comfortably covering +7.5. (Final: Birmingham Iron 12, Salt Lake Stallions 9)
“This is actually, I love the over here.”
Orlando beat San Antonio 37-29 (AAF Week 2); the combined 66 points cleared the 45.5 total. (Final: Orlando Apollos 37, San Antonio Commanders 29 (total 66))
“I love San Antonio plus six and a half here I mean I haven quite seen where Sean has them in his power rankings yet but I do think San Antonio is a clear cut top four or five team”
San Antonio lost 29-37 to Orlando (AAF Week 2), an 8-point loss that fails to cover +6.5. (Final: Orlando Apollos 37, San Antonio Commanders 29)
“on anything in this slate, it would probably be the under for this game”
San Diego beat Atlanta 24-12 (AAF Week 2); the combined 36 points stayed under the 44 total. (Final: San Diego Fleet 24, Atlanta Legends 12 (total 36))
“I'm going opposite of Sean here.”
BAL 17, LAC 23 — Los Angeles Chargers won; moneyline covers.
“i'll go under here i think uh like you said i mean saints”
CAR 9, NO 12 — Combined 21; under 49.5 covers.
“Against the spread, I'm going to take the Titans plus four. I'm still just not quite sold on this Houston team. I know they've run off seven straight. This defense is really scary when you got Watt, Clowney, and Mercerless healthy in that front seven. I mean, that's a solid group, and I think that group has propped up an underwhelming group of cornerbacks.”
HOU 34, TEN 17 — Tennessee Titans margin -17 vs line +4; busts.
“score games but i think i'm gonna go with the with the under 41 and a half here 41 is i believe”
HOU 34, TEN 17 — Combined 51; under 41.5 busts.
“With that, I will take the over. Thanks to Action Network friend, analyst, Mark Gallant. He's noted that there have been 11 games to close with a total of 57 and a half or higher over the past 15 years. And every last one of them has gone over by an average of 10 points.”
LAR 54, KC 51 — Combined 105; over 63 covers.
“Against the spread I gonna go with the 49ers minus three I gonna ride the Nick Mullins hype I have no idea what going on with this Giants team And I will take Kyle Shanahan in this matchup”
SF 23, NYG 27 — San Francisco 49ers margin -4 vs line -3; busts.