“[22:55] I'll take Lane Johnson's word, Saquon Barkley over 1099 and a half in terms of his rushing yards. [23:02] He hit the over on that last year and he wasn't even all that good.”
Brandon Kravitz
Host · 38-76-1 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 3-7 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 64 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | parlay | futures | prop | total | moneyline | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 16-25-25% | 8-18-22% | 1-6-73% | 5-7-27% | 3-7-43% | 2-2 | 0-1 | 35-66-29% |
Picks
156 total · 41 pending“[47:08] I really like Sonny Stiles, Kendra. [47:10] I think the best way to bet this team is defensive rookie of the year, [47:14] 8-1, Sonny Stiles. [47:15] That would be my bet on the commanders.”
“[52:03] that regard. I'm all in. [52:05] Connor's all in. I think the best way to bet [52:07] them is to win the division [52:08] plus 215. You can [52:11] find that Kendra.”
“[17:23] So I think the best way to bet the Bills is for them to go and win the division.”
“[42:31] And the best way to bet them. [42:33] I mean, based on our conversation, it sounds like under nothing, [42:36] under 10 and a half wins. [42:37] I would actually take that a step further, guys. [42:39] I would go, I would sell a game under nine and a half plus one 25.”
“[1:07:09] All right, I'll piggyback off of that. [1:07:11] Jets to finish third plus 100, [1:07:13] which both of these could happen, by the way.”
“[1:04:13] Best way to bet them for me would be plus three and a half week one [1:04:16] against the Raiders with the mystery that I've talked about here.”
“[27:09] I have already bet the Texans plus one and a half against Buffalo in week one at home. [27:15] This is something that Evan Abrams and I tracked and targeted when the schedules came out, [27:20] so that one is already in the app.”
“[52:09] Alright, I'm not saying this just to suck up [52:10] to you guys, but I think the best way to bet [52:12] the Jags this year... I have a couple. [52:14] I'll save one for the end of the episode. [52:16] But let's go all in. 30-1 [52:18] to win the Super Bowl. Those odds”
“[59:55] this is one of those bets where I think, I think it's smart to pick a couple of teams [1:00:00] that nobody expects to make it to the post season. Just plant your flag to use the branding of this [1:00:06] show on those teams at a really good number. The Titans plus five 50 to be a wild card team is a [1:00:14] really fun look. Now it's specifically to make the wild card. You actually get a better number on [1:00:19] them as specifically a wild card then to make the playoffs is plus 340 they're not winning this [1:00:25] division if they sneak in it'll be via the wild card plus 550 titans make the playoffs i'll cross [1:00:32] my fingers on that one uh though it'll be a long shot jamal st cyr sports anchor for wjxt4 in”
“[1:02:53] nobody expected it I don't mind it at all for me I'm going to go over on your Jacksonville Jaguars [1:02:59] but right now the over over under sitting at eight and a half juice to the over I want to kick this [1:03:05] up to nine and a half and take the plus 120. I don't expect another 13 wins this year, but I do”
“[21:58] Best way to bet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [22:02] I'm out on the Bucs this year [22:04] I'll say it's under their win total [22:06] under 8.5 wins for the [22:08] Tampa Bay Buccaneers I've already placed it in the app”
“[55:10] plant my flag here okay you really planted your flag on that thing i will start with also my best [55:16] way to bet the falcons which is just for them to win the division this crappy division and why not [55:21] them why not now division winners four to one on the atlanta falcons”
“[34:44] Best way to bet the Carolina Panthers in 2026 guys, I'm just going to roll back. What, [34:46] uh, what worked for us? Kendra sold us properly on the Panthers last year. I bought in and they [34:51] made me money. I, uh, I got the, um, the end of the year wrapped how your year in betting went [34:58] from the action network app and the Carolina Panthers made me more money than any other team [35:03] in the NFL way better than the Spotify wrapped by the way. So thank you, Kendra, for walking me [35:09] into that. I'm just going to continue where we left off Panthers week one plus two and a half [35:12] against the bears. So that's right. That's how I, cause I have no idea what this team is going to [35:17] do this year so i'll just bet them week one and and we'll just kind of roll from there”
“[31:23] I think the best way to bet the Packers is under nine and a half wins. [31:26] You can get that at plus 110. [31:27] And this needs to be a pod bet.”
“[49:37] And I think things are going to get shaken up again in the NFC North. [49:41] I'm betting the Vikings at five to one. [49:43] I've already logged this in the app in Kyler.”
“[12:21] I actually bought out of my Falcons divisional future ticket, [12:25] not the Super Bowl one. [12:27] That one can ride into the sunset. [12:28] But the divisional future ticket I bought out of [12:32] and then bought it back at just a lower price for myself. [12:36] a lower unit size because I still believe it. [12:39] I believe in my Falcons love I have, [12:43] and I put it out there enough now that whether I like it or not, [12:46] this has become part of my football brand for 2026,”
“[56:55] You can bet Ravens Bengals finished top two, not in any particular order. [57:01] This is not an exact outcome. [57:02] This is just that those two teams will be first and second place in the division at even money. [57:07] And that is my favorite way to fade the Steelers in the Browns.”
“[44:03] I'm not positive on the Steelers one of the first bets i made when the schedules were released was or when the wind [44:05] totals were released i should say was the steelers under eight and a half wins”
“[58:47] Now, she did make it sound like the Miami Dolphins were going to win the Super Bowl. [58:52] But even though she's the clairvoyant one, I can't buy into that. [58:57] We had fire. [58:58] We had water. [59:00] The Super Bowl is in Los Angeles. [59:03] The Chargers have a lightning bolt. [59:06] I feel like I got to do something with the L.A. Chargers, but I don't really think they're going to win the Super Bowl. [59:11] I'm kind of buying at least to a degree. [59:13] you have to buy into the fact that the Rams have the most loaded roster in the NFL. [59:17] So this will be the only position I take on the Rams because they are overpriced pretty much everywhere else. [59:22] Rams over Chargers is 75 to 1. [59:26] The all LA Super Bowl held at SoFi Stadium.”
“[55:43] I'm going to get this one out of the way because it's going to otherwise sound like I'm stealing from our great guest Joe DeLeon. [55:48] I like Darian Mensah and the Heisman as well. [55:52] 12-1 on DraftKings. [55:54] The last four Heisman winners have been transfer portal babies, so there's some sort of trend that's forming there. [56:01] We also have a healthy rotation of different conferences that have been represented over the last couple of years. [56:06] everybody but the ACC. [56:08] So it's their turn to step right up. [56:11] He's got elite weaponry with Malachi Tony. [56:13] The team should be good. [56:14] He checks a lot of those boxes for me. [56:16] So I'm with you, Joe. [56:18] Let's go ahead and hammer that Darian Mensah future bet.”
“[41:07] touchdowns scored against both i need a grade on a bet that kendra handed out on one of our last [41:08] episodes and i loved it so much i immediately tailed it so this is already active uh she made [41:14] the case for drake may over three and a half rushing touchdowns on the year minus 105”
“[46:42] So Jill basically talked me out of betting Jonathan Taylor for an anytime [46:46] touchdown throughout the course of the season. [46:48] What I'm going to do then is just bet it at the beginning of the year and [46:52] just let it sort of sit like a stock. [46:54] I'm going to have Jonathan Taylor to lead the league in rushing touchdowns [46:58] at six to one odds. [47:00] Last I checked, he's still running behind one of the best offensive lines [47:04] in the game. [47:04] This is a team that's going to struggle to get in the end zone through the [47:07] air. [47:07] so they need him to punch it in he had 18 rushing touchdowns last year it's hard to ask for that sort [47:13] of repeat production but he's still in his prime so i'm willing to take the plunge and this is at [47:18] least my way it's like my elixir gil of not betting jonathan taylor week to week let's just [47:23] have him to dominate the league throughout the season yeah i mean if you want to bet the minus”
“[54:34] running it a lot late um and he's probably getting even more of a workload and you can bet his rushing [54:42] yards over if you'd like if you agree with me and you want to make some bread off of it over 674 and [54:50] a half at minus 110 over on draft kings”
“That is going to be a buddy bet because I love that very much. Drake Maye over five rushing touchdowns, plus 180.”
“I like Drake Maye as well. 4,000 plus passing yards at plus 135.”
“I have Brock Purdy 20 to one to win MVP.”
“A recap for you for our DraftKings Comeback Player of the Year. Kendra's on Micah Parsons, 10 to one. Stucky on Kyler Murray with the Vikings at 6 to one. And I'm on Malik neighbors, 16 to one with the New York Giants. you can bet on all of those over on draft Kings,”
“I'm going to go with Ashton Gentry 40 to one to win offensive player of the year.”
“I'm going to go with the Steelers under eight and a half wins. the tomlin just cut me so hard right there he had the steelers and the jags in his notes and he drops the nobody's gonna be mad and then drops the steelers on a jags podcast are you joking what is this fuckery i will say the there there are only two win total bets that i have that i have placed and they are on the jags over nine and a half wins at plus 110 and the Steelers under 8.5 at minus 145. The one, if you said, gun to your head, you can only hold one of these bets through the season, for me, it's the Steelers.”
“that i have placed and they are on the jags over nine and a half wins at plus 110”
“well that's where i am also 49ers under 10 and a half wins i think it's pretty easy to predict that the nfc west isn't going to produce three double digit winners in back-to-back seasons, the 49ers to me feel like the biggest regression candidate out there.”
“I'm on the Texans plus one and a half at home against the Buffalo Bills.”
“that high for a reason Evan detailed it well in uh in his recap I like the Lions over 10 and a half”
“Under 10 and a half wins is a best bet type for me on the San Francisco 49ers.”
“I'm going Casey Concepcion 28 to one and Denzel Boston 30 to one.”
“I'm going Casey Concepcion 28 to one and Denzel Boston 30 to one.”
“I'm going to take the Astros under 86 and a half wins. I think this number is too close to the ceiling for a team that is trending down”
“Here I am with my lovely 75 to one ticket on Atlanta to win the Superbowl next year.”
“I'm going to go with the Falcons. I already placed the bet on it. 75 to one.”
“So this is where you were really laughing at me. Kendra's already giving me shit for this. The coffee was really hitting yesterday. I bet the Falcons to win next year's Super Bowl. That's how in the weeds we got. 75 to 1.”
“[5:19] NFL preseason tonight. [5:21] We've got a decent slate of games. [5:24] I'm I've two bets that have been logged in the app. [5:27] I'm going to target the totals more than anything else. [5:30] Not the biggest totals better during the season, [5:33] but I think there are enough strong trends or I can get behind this And unless I get obliterated early on we probably just ride this into the end when it comes to preseason betting I have an over and an under both logs in the app [5:46] Do you want me to give you my reasoning as to why I've found a really strong [5:50] trend surrounding a certain number? [5:54] But before I get to that, have you placed anything as far as preseason [5:58] betting or will you just be sitting back trying to adjust your fantasy rankings? [6:02] It is my lunch hour to-do list. [6:06] I'm going to shove a waffle in my mouth and look at all of the numbers for this evening. [6:10] I thought I had to work tonight. [6:12] So I was like, gosh, shit, I'm not going to be able to, like, sweat anything. [6:14] This is going to suck. [6:15] And then I realized that I had the wrong date in my calendar, and the event that I have to go to is tomorrow. [6:20] So now I'm like, sweet, I get to get fat on my couch tonight. [6:22] That rules. [6:23] Might as well sweat something. [6:25] Absolutely. [6:25] And we start there. [6:27] I don't think that you should just place bets simply for the sweat. [6:31] do a little research and then sweat it out uh and i know that kendra would rubber stamp that [6:36] under 37 and a half on lions bangles over 36 and a half on chargers texans”
CIN 16, DET 14 — Combined 30; under 37.5 covers.
“[5:19] NFL preseason tonight. [5:21] We've got a decent slate of games. [5:24] I'm I've two bets that have been logged in the app. [5:27] I'm going to target the totals more than anything else. [5:30] Not the biggest totals better during the season, [5:33] but I think there are enough strong trends or I can get behind this And unless I get obliterated early on we probably just ride this into the end when it comes to preseason betting I have an over and an under both logs in the app [5:46] Do you want me to give you my reasoning as to why I've found a really strong [5:50] trend surrounding a certain number? [5:54] But before I get to that, have you placed anything as far as preseason [5:58] betting or will you just be sitting back trying to adjust your fantasy rankings? [6:02] It is my lunch hour to-do list. [6:06] I'm going to shove a waffle in my mouth and look at all of the numbers for this evening. [6:10] I thought I had to work tonight. [6:12] So I was like, gosh, shit, I'm not going to be able to, like, sweat anything. [6:14] This is going to suck. [6:15] And then I realized that I had the wrong date in my calendar, and the event that I have to go to is tomorrow. [6:20] So now I'm like, sweet, I get to get fat on my couch tonight. [6:22] That rules. [6:23] Might as well sweat something. [6:25] Absolutely. [6:25] And we start there. [6:27] I don't think that you should just place bets simply for the sweat. [6:31] do a little research and then sweat it out uh and i know that kendra would rubber stamp that [6:36] under 37 and a half on lions bangles over 36 and a half on chargers texans since 2010 the number 37 [6:46] has been the key benchmark in terms of totals totals that have been less than 37 have gone [6:54] over at a rate of 57% and totals that are south of 37 or north of 37 have gone under at a rate [7:03] of 56%. So if you just simply take the over on games that have a total less than 36 and a half [7:11] and the under on totals of more than 37 and a half, then you will be profitable. [7:18] Did you say you have the under in the Chargers game? [7:21] I have the over in the Chargers game.”
HOU 7, LAC 27 — Combined 34; over 36.5 busts.
“[5:03] Personally, I would never. [5:04] so my cell is going to be on a much more straightforward bet I love betting my my sides [5:12] I like the Cardinals plus one and a half tonight in six preseason games since Dave Canales took [5:19] charge in 2024 the Panthers are oh and six against the spread in the preseason and you look at what [5:27] they're facing they've got injuries already Nick Scorton's out for the year Xavier Leggett went down [5:32] with an injury in practice. [5:33] Not that these guys were going to play in the Hall of Fame game. [5:36] Anyway, both tackles on the offensive line are missing in action. [5:39] Canales just wants to keep these guys healthy. [5:41] And Mike LaFleur is a new head coach. [5:44] I have a feeling he's going to take this game more seriously than he should. [5:48] So I'm planting the flag, Kendra. [5:51] First bet of the year on his side.”
ARI 30, CAR 33 — Arizona Cardinals margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“And I am on Russell Henley, 41 to 1 to win outright.”
Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open at -4 (276); Russell Henley finished T65 at +14, so the outright-winner bet loses (ESPN). (Winner: Wyndham Clark -4 (276); Henley T65 +14)
“i'm gonna go to colombia to win group k plus 240”
Colombia won Group K with 7 points (2W-1D-0L), finishing ahead of Portugal (5), DR Congo (4), and Uzbekistan (0). (Group K: Colombia 7 pts, Portugal 5, DR Congo 4, Uzbekistan 0)
“So over seven and a half points for Isaiah Hartenstein will be my bet added to the card plus six 50 over on draft Kings.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — Isaiah Hartenstein scored 10 points in West Finals Game 6 on May 28, 2026, covering the over 7.5 points (ESPN box score). (Isaiah Hartenstein: 10 points)
“They often say you win this one and you're going to win the series. I tend to agree. As far as these, these two teams go, I'm not on a side though. I'm going to take the total under two 16 and a half Spurs made some big time adjustments in game four.”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Thunder beat Spurs 127-114 in West Finals Game 5 on May 26, 2026; the combined 241 points went over 216.5 (ESPN box score).
“Also, my plant, the flag is JJ Spaun top 10, finish five to one. So plus 500 on that.”
J.J. Spaun missed the cut (146) at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink, so he did not finish top 10 (ESPN leaderboard).
“I'm going to go with the Minnesota Wild. I'm taking my shot. I'm planting the flag. Now they need to get past the avalanche first, which is the toughest test. But if they can climb that proverbial mountain, I think the path is clear. 16 to one is dreamy. We'll get them to win tonight. Cross my fingers on that light sprinkle since I didn't get the full approval from Nick. But if they win tonight, they steal home ice. Feel good about it. I'll put my faith in Quinn Hughes and company. Give me the Minnesota wild at 16 to one.”
The Carolina Hurricanes won the 2026 Stanley Cup, beating the Vegas Golden Knights 4 games to 2 in the Final; the Minnesota Wild did not win it.
“I'm on commandment six to one”
Golden Tempo won the 152nd Kentucky Derby; Commandment finished 7th, so the outright-win bet lost.
“that's how bad orlando is i was telling the guys before you got on that i'm far more invested in the stanley cup playoffs right now so i am rather casual about the nba postseason however the one bet i had was this nicks hawk series to go over five and a half i feel like outside of the magic this is the series that people who are casual might be surprised by are you surprised by this series and what are your expectations for it the rest of the way”
4-2 (6 games) — Knicks beat the Hawks 4 games to 2 in the 2026 NBA playoffs first round, needing 6 games, so the series Over 5.5 games cashed.
“I'm going to go with the... I'm going to stay within round one. I'm going to go with the Rockets plus 550 now over on DraftKings to make it out of round one against the Lakers. They're down 3-1 in this series. I am dug in. I think they win game five in LA. I think they smash in game six on their home floor and then we'll sit pretty with a plus five 50 in game seven.”
4-2 — The Lakers beat the Rockets 4 games to 2 in the 2026 NBA playoffs first round; Houston did not advance out of round one.
“I'm going to go with the most boring option available. Chase Pesantis, offensive guard, Texas A&M, plus 600 goes to the 49ers. First pick off the board tonight.”
The 49ers' first pick (No. 33) in the 2026 NFL Draft was WR De'Zhaun Stribling; G Chase Bisontis was selected No. 34 by the Arizona Cardinals, so the pick 33 selection did not hit.
“lineman and uh what are the bills positions what is their favorite to pick defensive line even money they're probably gonna go i think kind of like a receiver for i could see them going receiver yeah what's receiver price plus 475 i like that i like a shot of the bills ticket receiver the key on coleman coming to bite them in the ass his corpse you gotta get something to help out do whatever they do they should just have josh allen go up and not only announce the pick but actually select the pick no he screwed the sabers the other night and actually fun fact if a quarterback has been in the building for a stanley cup playoff game their team has lost JJ McCarthy was in the building for the wild last night. They lost in double overtime. Josh Allen was in the building the other night for the Sabres. They lost bet on it Drake may better not show up for the Bruins tonight bitch If I the Bills I would want like probably I mean last year they went they drafted Landon Jackson, TJ. So they went like heavy D-line SEC. So they have some Deion Walker. Like they just went young D-line. um no they could they could go back to that but like linebacker safety if i'm a bills fan i want to address that you know i don't necessarily think they'd have to do that in the first round but i i like that look at wide receiver plus 450 that's what i'll go with”
The Buffalo Bills traded out of Round 1 entirely and made no first-round selection; their first pick was EDGE T.J. Parker at No. 35 in Round 2.
“i i like that look at wide receiver plus 450 that's what i'll go with i'm gonna go over on wide receivers five and a half selected you twisted my arm matt appreciate the the lean there i think it's sort of a mid off with these wide receivers in round one but they seem to be catching some steam and we know it's a copycat league a lot of jsn looking guys in this year's class in that first round i think teams are going to chase that level of production”
Only 5 wide receivers were drafted in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft (Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr.), under the 5.5 line. (5 WRs drafted in Round 1)
“by the way i just added caleb downs going eighth to the saints at 12 to one i saw you go wild on the app”
Caleb Downs (S, Ohio State) was drafted No. 11 overall by the Dallas Cowboys; the New Orleans Saints picked WR Jordyn Tyson at No. 8.
“I have a bet in on the 49ers to take a wide receiver because a lot of their top 30 visits [40:18] were with wide receivers.”
The San Francisco 49ers drafted WR De'Zhaun Stribling (Ole Miss) at No. 33 overall, satisfying the unqualified bet that the 49ers would draft a wide receiver at any point.
“Sonny Styles, still the short shot to go to the giants at five. So that'll be my official play. The Caleb Downs thing, I think is more of a dream world. I don't think he's going to make it to 10, but Sonny Styles should be on the board at five at plus one 50.”
Sonny Styles was drafted No. 7 overall by Washington; the New York Giants' pick at No. 5 was LB Arvell Reese.
“Akshay Batia 57 to 1. The guy is 24 years old. He's won three times on the PGA Tour already. Fifth best tee to green on tour. How about that for stats, Kyle? So I'm a sucker for lefties at Augusta as well. I'll take Akshay for the long shot.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2026 Masters at -12 (276); Akshay Bhatia missed the cut at +2 (150) after two rounds, so the outright-winner futures bet lost.
“I am taking the most obvious home run bet of the day in Major League Baseball. I'm going Tyler O'Neill of the Baltimore Orioles. My Baltimore Orioles tabbed Mr. Opening Day. He has now hit a home run in six straight openers no matter what team he's on he hits home runs on opening day plus 308 on draft kings that's my dinger bet of the day”
Tyler O'Neill did not hit a home run on 2026 Opening Day; neither team hit a home run in the Orioles' 2-1 win over the Twins on March 26, 2026. (O'Neill 0 HR (no home runs by either team))
“right time. So I'm going to go with Purdue. I will stay in the big 10 for my selection. I'm going to go Illinois. I will take your advice, Stucky, and go slightly off the beaten path of the one seeds. They do fit my tournament qualifications. Top six team in terms of offense. The last eight national champions have been top six offensively. Number three in college basketball and offensive rebound rate. Top five in free throw percentage and sixth in terms of turnovers, all things that play well in the NCAA tournament. To recap here, Kendra has Duke. Stucky is on Purdue. I'll take the fighting Illini and our guest, Mike Calabrese, on the Houston Cougars. Our tournament plays presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.”
Illinois did not win the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament; Michigan defeated UConn in the championship game on April 6, 2026 to win the title. Illinois reached the Final Four (beating Iowa 71-59 in the South Regional Final) but did not win it all.
“I think we're getting major value on the Patriots here. And if this game or any other game throughout the season all three of us would be pounding the table for new England plus four and a half No doubt in my mind”
SEA 29-NE 13 — New England lost 13-29, missing the +4.5 spread by well over a touchdown.
- Hunter Henry 4+ receptions closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
- New England Patriots +4.5 closed +4.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Drake Maye to throw at least one interception won
“Drake Maye it's plus 525 yes let's go Drake Maye all right there we go our two kings and a queen parlay in a roundabout way has been nominated four plus receptions for Hunter Henry Patriots plus four and a half Drake Maye throws at least one int plus 525 over on draft kings where the crown is yours”
SEA 29-NE 13 — Hunter Henry had 3 receptions (missing the 4+ leg) and New England lost by 16 (missing +4.5); Drake Maye did throw an interception (2 INT), covering that leg — but two of three legs missed, so the parlay lost. (Henry: 3 rec; Maye: 2 INT)
“Halani over one and a half receptions.”
George Holani finished with 1 reception in Super Bowl LX (ESPN box score), under the 1.5 line. (George Holani: 1 reception)
“Demario Douglas under 11 and a half receiving yards.”
DeMario Douglas had 45 receiving yards in Super Bowl LX (ESPN box score, 5 receptions), well over the 11.5 line. (DeMario Douglas: 45 receiving yards)
“First quarter under eight and a half.”
3-0 — The first quarter total was 3 points (Seahawks 3, Patriots 0) per the ESPN scoring summary, well under 8.5.
“I'm on the Patriots to win the Superbowl. I bet that right when Bo Nix went down”
SEA 29, NE 13 — New England lost Super Bowl LX 29-13 to Seattle, so the Patriots-to-win-it-all future does not cash (ESPN box score).
“i'm not betting seattle minus the points i am paying up to take them on the money line”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Seahawks beat Rams 31-27 in the NFC Championship, so the Seahawks moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“and Kenneth Walker III over 85 and a half yards rushing”
Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III rushed 19 times for 62 yards in the NFC Championship, falling short of over 85.5 rushing yards (ESPN box score). (Kenneth Walker III: 62 rushing yards (19 carries))
“Patriots Broncos first half under will be where I plant my flag. I have not bet a side for either of these games yet. So I had to look off the board a little bit. Under 20 and a half is the number that I'm looking at here.”
7-7 — The AFC Championship was tied 7-7 at halftime for a first-half total of 14, staying under 20.5 (ESPN box score; final was Patriots 10, Broncos 7).
“Excuse me, in Bills-Broncos. I just bet the under literally on this show. So I think that that is my option. I can definitely get there on both of these, but I'm about to lean into one of my picks is Rams bears over 48 and a half. So to diversify my portfolio here, I am going to take the under in bills, Broncos as well. That'll be my vote. That one was a lot easier. Look at that. Full agreement. It happens when you bring some nice picks at the table. Let's see if Brad would bring it. Once again, I hate Kravitz's options. I didn't even look at them yet. I can't wait for these. Like, I literally, I swear. You ate last week. Don't get me wrong. You yucked my yum But once again I feel like you making me choose between Satan and the devil for entertainment purposes Well I mean I could just copy and paste everything that Stucky just said about the Rams. I'm just looking at, I just don't get how you guys aren't worried about the weather. I am, but the totals come down. So like I was, I was looking at the under, I mentioned this on the show earlier this week. I was looking at the under 51 and a half, but it's moved three points through key numbers. So at 48 and a half, I could only look at the over. So that and that's the exact thought process here is that we've seen this this opened at 51 and a half. I think we're at a buy point now in the other direction. And the Rams defense, as Stucky mentioned, has been shaky. They made Bryce Young look like an all pro last week. Hey, Carolina was perfect in the red zone. The last seven games, teams have scored 27 or more five times against the Rams. The bears dropped 31 last week, and those were less than ideal weather conditions. Their defense can't get stops. Chicago's nearly dead last in every defensive category other than takeaways there. And it's because their DBs are so overly aggressive. That's not going to work against Adams and Puka Nakua linebacker injuries. Kyron Williams, Blake Corum. I agree. Those guys are going to go off and both teams. I think this is another factor here that makes me absolutely love the over at this number. is that both of these coaches, McVay and Ben Johnson, are two of the most aggressive coaches in the NFL on fourth down among the teams that made it to the playoffs. So this is even including teams that made it into the wildcard round that have been eliminated. Only the Bills attempted more fourth downs than the Rams and the Bears. I love, love the over at 48 and a half. And then the other one is the Bills. Now they're point and a half underdogs. My plant the flag was them on the money line on Tuesday. Rinse, recycle, repeat. I'm not going anywhere on this number. The Broncos 3-5 against the spread in their last eight games. Evan has astutely pointed out on the primer what one seeds have been doing off of the buy, 43% since 2003, 3-7 against the spread since 2020. The Broncos are 25th in success rate on offense. That is not going to fly in the playoffs. So as good as their defense is, I think this game is going to be close. Who do you want your money on in a close game in the fourth quarter Josh Allen or Bo Nix A healthy team At that point just give me God himself Josh Allen So Bills plus one and a half, Bears-Rams over 48 and a half. Those are my two nominees. Stucky? Well, we know that Kendra's not going to back the Bills. I'm not either, and I like the over, so I think this is an easy choice. So we go Rams bears over 48 and a half Broncos bills under 45 and a half and the bears plus four and a half alt plus five 50 on draft Kings.”
LAR 20, CHI 17 — Rams beat Bears 20-17 in overtime; combined total of 37 stays under 48.5, so the over busts (ESPN box score).
“I did make a bet on this game I like the Patriots team total under 21 and a half”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Patriots beat Texans 28-16; Patriots' team total of 28 points goes over 21.5, so the under busts (ESPN box score).
“I love, love the over at 48 and a half.”
LAR 20, CHI 17 — Rams beat Bears 20-17 in overtime; combined total of 37 stays under 48.5, so the over busts (ESPN box score).
- Over 48.5 closed +48.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Under 45.5 closed +45.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Bears +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1 won
“So we go Rams bears over 48 and a half Broncos bills under 45 and a half and the bears plus four and a half alt plus five 50 on draft Kings.”
LAR 20, CHI 17 — Parlay needs all three legs: Rams-Bears went 20-17 (total 37, under 48.5 — leg lost), Bills-Broncos went 33-30 (total 63, over 45.5 — leg lost), and Bears lost by 3 (covering +4.5 — leg won); two losing legs bust the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I'm going to go with the Bills money line.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 (OT) — Broncos beat Bills 33-30 in overtime on Jan 17, 2026; Buffalo moneyline lost (ESPN).
- Broncos +7.5 won
- Seahawks -1 won
“Allen is in hero ball mode. I think he goes out and gets a win. Now, on the teaser front, I am playing this from both sides. So I want to be completely transparent on this. I like the Bills on the money line. I also teased the Broncos when they were one and a half up to seven and a half and the Seahawks down to one. So I would love if this was a Bills win somewhere between one and seven. That would be ideal profit for me. But I do like the Bills on the money line.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 (OT); SEA 41, SF 6 — Broncos beat Bills 33-30 in overtime on Jan 17, 2026 (winning outright, covering +7.5), and Seahawks beat 49ers 41-6 (covering -1 easily); both teaser legs won (ESPN).
“I have, we're all in the Steelers here. I have a correlation to the Steelers look. If they are able to move the ball down the field against this Houston defense, it's going to be because of the quick passing game to Kenneth Gainwell. I like him over five and a half receptions at plus 109. Rogers has to get the ball out of his hands quickly to mitigate this pass rush.”
Kenneth Gainwell caught 4 passes in Pittsburgh's 30-6 Wild Card loss to Houston on Jan 12, 2026, under 5.5 receptions (ESPN box score). (Kenneth Gainwell: 4 receptions)
“I'm going to sit right in the middle between the two of you. I have two bets on this game. One is a prop. I'm going to cue that one up later, potentially. The other is in the derivatives market. 13 to 1, this game goes to overtime.”
GB 27, CHI 31 — Bears beat Packers 31-27 in regulation on Jan 10, 2026; the game did not reach overtime (ESPN box score).
“I made the ghastly mistake. The reason why I was stuck on the 49ers being the most injured team going into the postseason. I bet them too early. I got drunk on the plus three at even money odds, and it is now up to plus four and a half.”
PHI 19, SF 23 — 49ers beat Eagles 23-19 on Jan 11, 2026; San Francisco won by 4, covering +3 (ESPN).
“I will be planting my flag on the Carolina Panthers plus 10 against the LA Rams.”
CAR 31, LAR 34 — Rams beat Panthers 34-31 on Jan 10, 2026; Carolina lost by 3, covering +10 (ESPN).
“The total is still sitting at 41 and a half. Kendra and I both like the under tonight at 41 and a half.”
26-24 — Steelers beat Ravens 26-24; the combined 50 points sail well over the 41.5 total, so Under busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take San Francisco here plus the one and a half. The 49ers have been scorching hot.”
3-13 — Seahawks beat 49ers 13-3; San Francisco lost by 10, well outside the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
- Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +3 lost
- Washington Commanders +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1 won
- Minnesota Vikings -7.5 closed -12.5 · CLV +5 won
“Bengals minus six and a half all. Commanders plus four and a half. Gross. And Vikings minus seven and a half. Plus 485 at DraftKings.”
Parlay busts on the Bengals leg: Browns beat Bengals 20-18 so Bengals -6.5 loses outright; Commanders beat Eagles 24-17 covering +4.5 (won); Vikings beat Packers 16-3 covering -7.5 (won). One losing leg sinks the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I going to throw Georgia in there minus six and a half against Ole Miss”
34-39 — Ole Miss upset Georgia 39-34 in the CFP quarterfinal (Sugar Bowl); Georgia lost outright, so -6.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“I will plant my flag, though, on San Francisco plus one and a half against Seattle, not only for the division. This one's for the one seed.”
3-13 — Seahawks beat 49ers 13-3; San Francisco lost by 10, well outside the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“This one's available on DraftKings right now, plus three and a half on the Carolina Panthers. I'm just going to go ahead and plant my flag on that now.”
16-14 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14; Carolina lost by only 2, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I told you guys I was going to sell you on the Dolphins plus five and a half.”
20-17 — Dolphins beat Buccaneers 20-17; the 3-point margin covers the +5.5 spread. Bet won.
“I like the Falcons, plus 8.5.”
27-24 — Falcons beat Rams 27-24; Atlanta's outright win comfortably covers the +8.5 spread. Bet won.
“i already bet the panthers plus seven and a half”
27-10 — Seahawks beat Panthers 27-10; Carolina's 17-point loss doesn't cover the +7.5 spread. Bet lost.
“my favorite player prop on the planet. And that is Philip Rivers under half a rushing yard minus one 70.”
Philip Rivers had 0 rushing attempts and 0 rushing yards against the 49ers, under the 0.5-yard line. Bet won. (Rivers: 0 carries, 0 rush yds)
- Philip Rivers under 0.5 rushing yards closed +0.5 · CLV 0 pending
- Jonathan Taylor over 98.5 rushing yards closed +98.5 · CLV 0 lost
- San Francisco 49ers -5 closed -4.5 · CLV -0.5 won
“under half rushing yard for old man philip rivers over 98 and a half rushing yards for jonathan taylor and the 49ers minus five plus 425 over on draft kings”
In the 49ers-Colts game, Philip Rivers had 0 rushing yards (under 0.5, won) and the 49ers won 48-27 (covers -5, won), but Jonathan Taylor had only 46 rushing yards (under 98.5, lost); one leg lost, so the parlay busts. Bet lost.
“I'm gonna go with Rivers under Hattie. For rushing yard, minus 185, the guy can't move.”
Philip Rivers had 0 rushing attempts and 0 rushing yards against the 49ers, under any positive rushing-yards line. Bet won. (Rivers: 0 carries, 0 rush yds; 23/35, 277 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 1 INT)
- Tennessee Titans ML closed +154 · CLV -30¢ won
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -192 · CLV +12¢ lost
- Dallas Cowboys ML closed -122 · CLV +7¢ lost
“Points or Moneyline? Moneyline? We're going Moneyline. we're going money line favorites with the other two i think i think we should go money they've covered they've covered six games this year after the worst ats year in nfl history they've covered their last two against teams under 500 which you know just to let you know that is the chiefs a touchdown's a lot can we do the points touchdown titans ravens cowboys six to one at draft kings gorgeous let's ride that right there you're two kings and a queen parlay”
Titans beat Chiefs 26-9 (Titans ML won), but Patriots beat Ravens 28-24 (Ravens ML lost) and Chargers beat Cowboys 34-17 (Cowboys ML lost); the parlay needs all three legs, so it busts. Bet lost.
“Texans by the way I did log that bet on action at 12 to 1 to win the Super Bowl love what I'm seeing from them”
The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on Feb 8, 2026; the Houston Texans did not win the Super Bowl. Bet lost.
“And we know the Browns are a different animal at home The seat this season alone four and two against the spread in Cleveland one and six against the spread anywhere else Buffalo also off of the game of their lives They had to expend a lot of energy emotionally, physically. They're down 21 against their fiercest rival currently in the AFC East. It is a letdown spot for Buffalo against the defense that we can trust and have throughout the season when they are at home. So give me the brownies and a bad quarterback in Shador Sanders at plus 10.”
23-20 — Bills beat Browns 23-20; Cleveland's 3-point loss comfortably covers the +10 spread. Bet won.
- Jaylen Wright 15+ rushing yards lost
- Adam Thielen anytime touchdown lost
- De'Von Achane anytime touchdown lost
“Let's get to our DraftKings Monday Night Football Fast Pass Parlay before we settle in for Cowboys Vikings tonight. We're talking Dolphins, Steelers. Steelers minus three at home total sitting at 42 and a half. My nomination is going to be for a backup running back for the Miami Dolphins. I'm going Jaylen Wright over 17 and a half rushing yards. A-chan has been on the injury report all week. He is going to play, it looks like, but he's dealing with a rib injury. That can pop up at any time, and I think they're going to give the Steelers a nice, steady dose of the ground game either way. No chance they put this game into Tua's hands. It's going to be 19 degrees, 24 carries for Jaylen Wright last week. He's clearly taken over the backup role and the dolphins are tied for the most rush attempts per game in the NFL over the last four weeks. So I'm going to go over 17 and a half. I can be talked into an anytime touchdown for him, which is three to one, but I'm going to nominate for the parlay over 17 and a half rushing yards for the backup running back. Kendra off to you. You stole my thunder. I just had a chance for an anytime minus one Oh five, because with the injury, this was the best price we were going to probably get him at for the foreseeable future unless something insane happens so that's why i went with that and plus when it's a parlay i don't mind taking like a one minus 105 situation for a prop just because you're obviously adding other things but it's just so as someone who lives in the northeast it is cold as hell outside they're gonna run the ball into the ground it doesn't matter who it's gonna be but i'm just gonna go with the safest option because it's a parlay. Yeah, and I think we can very much get home on both of these. There's no reason why. I mean, we're kind of leaning into the same thought process. Same thought process. Yeah, just the dolphins running the hell out of the football. All right, Evan, add a leg for us. I'm going to slam this together on the app. I was going to do Ollie Gordon, but you kind of stole the thunder of the prospect of the pick. and in the cold Ollie Gordon touchdown kind of felt right but we go separate Adam Thielen touchdown will be what we add to this parlay Rodgers a week of extra practice He loves his tight ends so trying to choose between his three tight ends felt a little difficult. If I had to choose one, it'd probably be Fryermuth. I saw that Washington cleared concussion protocol, but who the heck knows. So Adam Thielen, ATD. Let's roll. All right. Adam Thielen, by the way, adds some nice wiggle room for us here on the parlay. He's plus 800 to score a touchdown. So we've got, I put Jaylen Wright at 15 plus in there, especially since we're taking the long shot on the touchdown. Adam Thielen, anytime touchdown. Devon H. And anytime touchdown. Your DraftKings fast pass parlay, 23 to 1 over on DraftKings, where the crown is yours. that's going to do it the luckier we get with these i fear listen this this bet is very much being placed this is not just a content thing”
PIT 28, MIA 15 — In Pittsburgh's 28-15 Week 15 win over Miami, Jaylen Wright rushed for only 2 yards (well under 15+), and neither Adam Thielen nor De'Von Achane scored a touchdown, so all three parlay legs lost (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Wright: 2 rush yds; Adam Thielen: 0 TD; De'Von Achane: 0 TD (12 car 60 yds, 6 rec 67 yds))
“bills but i have gotten to the window on josh allen anytime touchdown for a lot of the reasons that stucky just mentioned”
Josh Allen threw 3 passing touchdowns but recorded zero rushing or receiving touchdowns in Buffalo's 35-31 Week 15 win over New England, so his anytime-TD prop lost (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 0 rushing TD, 0 receiving TD (11 car, 48 yds rushing; 3 passing TD))
- Cleveland Browns +7.5 closed +7.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Buffalo Bills ML closed -142 · CLV +7¢ won
- Minnesota Vikings +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1 won
“but we can buy the Vikings a six and a half So go Vikings plus six and a half We have Bill money line and Browns plus seven and a half Last week we hit it was plus 575 This is a little lower, plus 515 at DraftKings. I like that. Yep, it is in there. All right, Browns plus seven and a half. Bill's money line, Vikings plus six and a half at plus 514 over on DraftKings.”
Parlay needs all three legs: Cleveland lost outright 31-3 to Chicago (Browns +7.5 lost), Buffalo beat New England 35-31 (Bills ML won), and Minnesota beat Dallas 34-26 (Vikings +6.5 won); the Browns leg busted the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“And then I am going to go with Justin Herbert as well. I'm going to go under 20 and a half completions. At minus 124.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Justin Herbert completed 12 of 26 passes (139 yds) in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over the Eagles; 12 is under 20.5, the under wins (ESPN box score). (Justin Herbert: 12/26 completions)
- Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 closed +8.5 · CLV -1 won
- Houston Texans +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 won
- Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1 won
“Raiders plus seven and a half Texans plus three and a half Jags plus one and a half Two Kings and a Queen parlay plus 581 over on DraftKings”
Parlay cashes: Raiders lost by 7 to Denver, covering +7.5; Texans won outright 20-10 over Kansas City, covering +3.5; Jaguars won outright 36-19 over Indianapolis, covering +1.5 (ESPN).
“i'll get us started i'm gonna go with the baltimore ravens minus five and a half against the pittsburgh stealers i think the lure around this rivalry is helping to drive the price down”
PIT 27, BAL 22 — Steelers beat the Ravens 27-22; Baltimore lost outright, busting -5.5 (ESPN).
- New York Giants +7.5 closed +7 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Jackson Dart anytime touchdown pending
- Jackson Dart over 29.5 rushing yards closed +29.5 · CLV 0 lost
“DraftKings Monday Night Football Fast Pass Parlay before we settle in for the night game or cleaning our apartment or cleaning out the refrigerator or whatever it is you're doing tonight. I guess we need to throw a Giants plus seven and a half in there because that one's for Stucky. That was part of our parlay, and we unfortunately did not get a chance to see if that would be the one that cashed it for us. So we get two thumbs up on that, Stucky, before Kendra and I add to the mix. yeah it's a seven and a half i think the giants are worth a look now it's you you have dark coming back from concussion didn't see it didn't see it with stroud today but historically you do see a bit of a dip but you i think the the key here is the offensive line injuries for the patriots they don't have great depth they're going up against the giants defensive line that could make a difference uh so yeah that from a side perspective that's the only way i could look So we all tend to be in a little bit of agreement here as far as the Giants should be able to give the Patriots a fight here. Giants plus seven and a half. I'm going to throw Jackson Dart anytime touchdown in there at plus three twenty five straight games that he's played with a rushing touchdown. Seven on the season. Feel pretty good about that. If the Giants play well, it's because he's still running around and being himself. I like him to get into the end zone. What about you, Kendra? Kravitz and I were filling out our notes at the exact same time, and I was going to fill that out as my pick for tonight, but then I saw his rushing yard total is 29.5. I love that. I think he's going to be on the run quite a bit tomorrow night. He also is on the run just in general. I feel like most weeks this feels low to me. I like the 29.5 over. So kind of correlated. All correlated. Yeah, very much so. But because I think that, yeah, darts, The only thing I would worry about is if Dart coming back from a concussion, he doesn't run as much or they – There's no way that he feels that way, though. They're going to need him to use his legs. Yeah, when he's near the goal line, that's one of their most effective plays is him using his legs. Yeah. He's also just insane. We get a little bit of a discount on him I think for that exact reason for that paranoia because his rushing yard number i believe has sat more in the mid 40s than at 29 and a half so i think that is very much baked in here yeah the number on that by the way plus 800 for the giants plus seven and a half Jackson dart, anytime touchdown and Jackson dart to record at least 30 rushing yards. You can throw that in over at draft Kings.”
Parlay busts: Giants lost 33-15 to New England (needed +7.5); Jaxson Dart had no rushing/receiving TD (his lone TD was a pass to Slayton); Dart rushed for only 20 yards, under the 29.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to throw Jackson Dart anytime touchdown in there at plus three twenty five”
Jaxson Dart did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown in the Giants' 33-15 loss to New England; his only TD involvement was a passing TD to Darius Slayton (ESPN box score). (Jaxson Dart: 0 rushing/receiving TD (4 car, 20 rush yds))
- Los Angeles Rams -9.5 closed -10 · CLV +0.5 lost
- New York Giants +7.5 closed +7 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Indianapolis Colts -4.5 closed -3 · CLV -1.5 lost
“so the official plays Rams minus nine and a half Giants plus seven and a half Colts minus four and a half plus 525 two kings and a queen parlay”
Parlay busts: Rams lost outright 31-28 to Carolina (needed -9.5); Giants lost 33-15 to New England (needed +7.5, missed by 10.5); Colts lost outright 20-16 to Houston (needed +4.5) (ESPN).
- Tetairoa McMillan over 63.5 receiving yards closed +67.5 · CLV +4 lost
- Tetairoa McMillan over 4.5 receptions closed +4.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Bryce Young to throw an interception pending
“things I bring to the table so I um I was actually gonna go Tett McMillan myself over four and a half receptions is this is this wise on I guess in some ways this is a correlated parlay if we were to go with Tett McMillan over four and a half catches Tett McMillan over like the receptions 63 and a half yards and a Bryce Young interception we're basically saying Young's gonna be airing it out throughout the course of the night. His number one guy is going to get targets, and he's also going to give the ball to the opposition. Are we in on the Bryce to Tet to the San Francisco 49ers parlay fast pass Monday night football action? Let me see if I can get a quick price on that. Terrible, terrible pass defense, so Bryce should just try his best, and then at some point he'll make a mistake. So, you know, ship it. Let's go. got that now at plus 260 over on draft kings the crown is yours tett mcmillan's over 63 and a half receiving yards over four and a half receptions and bryce young to throw an int”
Parlay busts: Tetairoa McMillan finished with 2 receptions for 35 yards (under both 63.5 yards and 4.5 receptions); Bryce Young threw 2 interceptions (won leg) in San Francisco's 20-9 win over Carolina (ESPN box score). (McMillan 2 rec, 35 yds; Young 2 INT)
“We're going to go in Las Vegas Raiders minus three and a half.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Cleveland beat Las Vegas 24-10; the Raiders (-3.5) lost outright, failing to cover (ESPN box score).
“I am trading in my sad cats for some different cats here as far as Cincinnati goes I might go broke fading the Patriots this year but I going to go back for some more pain I already bet this This number was plus eight and a half just a couple of days ago And I wanted in before dipped any further.”
CIN 20, NE 26 — New England beat Cincinnati 26-20; the Bengals (+8.5) lost by only 6, covering the spread (ESPN box score).
- Las Vegas Raiders ML closed -162 · CLV -13¢ lost
- Cincinnati Bengals ML closed +310 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Dallas Cowboys +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5 won
“Yeah, Raiders money line, Bengals money line, Cowboys plus three and a half, plus 810 on DraftKings.”
Parlay busts: Raiders ML lost (Cleveland 24, Las Vegas 10); Bengals ML lost (New England 26, Cincinnati 20); Cowboys +3.5 won (Dallas 24, Philadelphia 21) — two of three legs lost (ESPN box scores).
- Arizona Cardinals +8.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +6 won
- San Francisco 49ers -1 closed -7.5 · CLV +6.5 won
“Cardinals up to eight and a half Niners down to one against the Panthers That be my teaser of the week”
Both teaser legs cashed: Arizona (+8.5) lost 27-24 in OT to Jacksonville, covering by 5.5 points, and San Francisco (-1) beat Carolina 20-9, covering by 10 (ESPN box scores).
“Cowboys plus three and a half. I like that. I might end up on that myself. You talked me into it. So no pushback on that one. I am going to go with the Kansas City Chiefs. Minus three. They fucked us last week. I would have been up seven plus units last week if the Chiefs had just won. That's all I needed was for them to win the game, and they couldn't do it. but can't hold grudges in this betting life.”
KC 23, IND 20 — Kansas City beat Indianapolis 23-20 in OT, winning by exactly 3; the Chiefs (-3) pushed against the spread (ESPN box score).
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -230 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Jacksonville Jaguars +3 closed +3 · CLV 0 won
- Carolina Panthers +3.5 closed +4.5 · CLV -1 won
“Jags plus three Panthers plus three and a half. Chiefs money on plus four 20 at draft Kings. One King and two sad cats”
19-22; 6-35; 27-30 — Denver beat Kansas City 22-19 so Chiefs ML loses; Jacksonville beat the Chargers 35-6 (Jaguars +3 wins) and Carolina beat Atlanta 30-27 in OT (Panthers +3.5 wins), per ESPN box scores, but the Chiefs ML leg busts the parlay.
- Green Bay Packers -1.5 closed -7.5 · CLV +6 won
- Detroit Lions +7.5 closed +2.5 · CLV +5 won
“This is my teaser of the week. I have the Green Bay Packers down to one and a half. Lions up to seven and a half.”
27-20; 9-16 — Packers beat Giants 27-20 (Packers -1.5 wins outright) and Lions lost to Eagles 9-16, covering +7.5 by half a point (ESPN box scores); both teaser legs win.
“I am going to go with the Texans minus seven. We can get this at minus 115 versus the Tennessee Titans.”
16-13 — Houston Texans beat Tennessee Titans 16-13 (margin +3); Texans -7 busts (ESPN box score).
- Baltimore Ravens ML closed -235 · CLV +6¢ won
- Over 41 closed +49 · CLV +8 won
“I did put in the app Ravens money line over 41 parlayed even money. That is”
27-19 — Ravens beat Vikings 27-19 (ML wins) and combined 46 points clears Over 41 (ESPN box score); both parlay legs win.
“Mine are Bucs minus two and a half against the Pats or that same game Ravens Vikings over 49 and a half”
19-27 — Ravens beat Vikings 27-19, combined 46 points, under the 49.5 total (ESPN box score); Over 49.5 loses.
“Might play at the flag game as the Philadelphia Eagles plus the two and a half.”
PHI 10-GB 7 — Eagles beat Packers 10-7; Philadelphia won by 3, covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm on Jackson Smith and Jigba over 98 and a half receiving yards the number has ballooned up”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 129 receiving yards in Seattle's 38-14 win over Washington, clearing the over 98.5 yards line (ESPN box score). (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 129 receiving yards)
“Give me Jake Ferguson over four and a half catches against the Arizona Cardinals tonight. That will be my leg of the parlay.”
Jake Ferguson caught 5 passes for 50 yards in Dallas's Monday night loss to Arizona, clearing the over 4.5 catches line (ESPN box score). (Jake Ferguson: 5 receptions, 50 yards)
“falcons plus five and a half against new england my two nominees the chiefs and i'm gonna go money line here on this one also simply the better team easy to get drunk on the bills blowout against Carolina that's last week different animal here Ed Oliver being out is huge for this game and the other would be the Panthers plus 13 and a half I need Bryce Young to play in order to really love this but I think he is it does look yeah right it looks like it's trending in that direction so this is situationally for Green Bay I don't really do the look ahead stuff in the NFL that's much more of a college thing but the Packers have the Eagles on Monday night football on deck and they just got done with the Rogers primetime game. This is the ultimate sleepy sandwich spot, almost two full touchdowns here and a buy low on the Panthers. So I really like both of these chiefs money line or Panthers plus 13 and a half at green Bay Kendra I like the Bills gun to my head in this situation just because they been embarrassed especially at home I think that it's got to be a Bills game for them.”
CAR 16-GB 13 — Panthers beat Packers 16-13; Carolina won outright as a +13.5 underdog, easily covering (ESPN box score).
- Atlanta Falcons +5.5 closed +5 · CLV +0.5 won
- San Francisco 49ers ML closed -145 · CLV 0¢ won
- Carolina Panthers +13.5 closed +13 · CLV +0.5 won
“And the road Falcons.”
All three parlay legs cashed: Falcons covered +5.5 (lost 24-23), 49ers won ML (34-24), and Panthers covered +13.5 by winning outright 16-13 (ESPN box scores).
- Buffalo Bills +7.5 closed +2 · CLV +5.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 closed +3 · CLV +5.5 won
“I do have the Bills in a teaser. Bought them up to 7.5 paired with the Bengals at 8.5 against the Bears.”
Both teaser legs cashed: Bills beat Chiefs 28-21 outright (covers +7.5), and Bengals lost to Bears 47-42 but covered +8.5 (ESPN box scores).
“Packers-Steelers tonight, one of my biggest plays on the week, Steelers plus three.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Packers beat Steelers 35-25; Steelers margin -10 vs +3 busts (ESPN).
- Rashee Rice over 5.5 receptions closed +6.5 · CLV +1 won
- Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown pending
- Washington Commanders +11.5 closed +10.5 · CLV +1 lost
“All right. So our parlay, Rashee Rice over five and a half receptions, Terry McLaurin over yardage. What did you have that at, Kendra? 300 I think is currently where it's out let me refresh this yeah for McLaurin yardage oh no I had him for an anytime anytime touchdown sorry okay so awesome uh commanders plus 11 and a half that together over at DraftKings is plus 850 so we got McLaurin touchdown where she rice over on catches and the commanders cover the spread 290 my bad well i we got the price in there plus 850 we're good to go good luck everybody i hope that your sunday night is better than my sunday”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Parlay busts: Rashee Rice caught 9 passes (over 5.5 receptions wins); Terry McLaurin had 3 catches, 0 TD (anytime TD loses); Chiefs beat Commanders 28-7, Commanders margin -21 vs +11.5 (loses) (ESPN box score).
“Right. Well, she doesn't have one of those jets. Giants are her too. So she is going East Rutherford action here. Giants plus seven and a half against the Eagles jets plus six and a half against the Cincinnati Bengals. I was going to tee up the jets. Once I saw that on our little Google doc, I decided to take it off. So my vote would be on the jets here. This Bengals team is not real. And if you look at every single direction of how to bet a game in the NFL, it would point you in the way of the New York Jets. Aaron Glenn hasn't committed to a quarterback yet. I think at this point we all hope it's Terod Taylor. Under Zach Taylor, the Bengals are 2-6 ATS when playing at home off of a night game. 2-5 ATS with extra time to prepare in a non-Burrow quarterback game. They're at home, won in prime time. Flacco looks amazing. I'm not buying any of it. And the Jets, I mean, you talk about do. I mean, this team is overdue for a win. So perhaps even a sprinkle on the money line. But I love the Jets this week That my favorite bet So that would be my vote I do like the Giants I just I afraid to buy high on the aura as Kendra would put it of Jackson Dart and”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — Jets beat Bengals 39-38; Jets margin +1 vs +6.5 covers (ESPN).
“I do have a bet on Chicago at plus six and a half.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Ravens beat Bears 30-16; Bears margin -14 vs +6.5 busts (ESPN).
“I do have the Falcons teased down to one. So I'm going to, I'm going to lay off of that.”
ATL 10, MIA 34 — Dolphins beat Falcons 34-10; Falcons margin -24 vs -1 busts (ESPN).
“saints plus four and a half is my play in the”
NO 3, TB 23 — Buccaneers beat Saints 23-3; Saints margin -20 vs +4.5 busts (ESPN).
“I took a little grab at the plus six and a half on Chicago because there's no guarantee that Lamar is going to be out there.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Ravens beat Bears 30-16; Bears margin -14 vs +6.5 busts (ESPN).
“I like the Steelers Sunday night football plus three That where I will plant my flag I love this spot for Pittsburgh”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Packers beat Steelers 35-25; Steelers margin -10 vs +3 busts (ESPN).
- Tennessee Titans +7 closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5 lost
- Cleveland Browns ML closed -148 · CLV +6¢ won
- Los Angeles Chargers ML lost
“So Titans plus seven, Browns money line, Chargers money line pays right around five to one at DK.”
Parlay busts: Patriots beat Titans 31-13 (Titans +7 loses, margin -18); Browns beat Dolphins 31-6 (Browns ML wins); Colts beat Chargers 38-24 (Chargers ML loses) (ESPN box scores).
“but I placed a bet on them to win the Super Bowl this morning.”
Steelers were eliminated in the AFC Wild Card round, losing 30-6 at Houston on January 12, ending their Super Bowl LX futures (ESPN schedule/results).
“Raiders plus 11 and a half. [40:08] Planting my flag on that one.”
KC 31, LV 0 — Chiefs shut out Raiders 31-0; Raiders lost by 31, busting the +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“i did play the saints so i'm gonna vote plus three and a half”
NE 25, NO 19 — Patriots beat Saints 25-19; Saints lost by 6, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
- New Orleans Saints +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 lost
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -345 · CLV 0¢ won
- Kansas City Chiefs ML closed -142 · CLV +7¢ won
“It Saints plus three and a half Chargers Moneyline Chiefs Moneyline plus 370 I can wait to whip it out I so serious”
Parlay busts: Saints +3.5 lost (Patriots 25, Saints 19); Chargers ML won (Chargers 29, Dolphins 27); Chiefs ML won (Chiefs 30, Lions 17) — one losing leg sinks the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I am going to plant my flag on the Patriots minus three and a half”
NE 25, NO 19 — Patriots beat Saints 25-19, covering the -3.5 spread by 6 points (ESPN box score).
“all right we're starting so we're starting with chargers money line uh my two are gonna be the panthers plus one we'll call it and i guess if you want money then we'll go panthers money line or saints money line i like the saints up against the giants panthers first bet i made”
CAR 27, MIA 24 — Panthers beat Dolphins 27-24 outright, covering the moneyline (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Chargers ML closed -155 · CLV 0¢ lost
- Carolina Panthers ML closed +100 · CLV 0¢ won
- New York Jets ML closed -120 · CLV +18¢ lost
“We have a money line parlay of the Jets, Chargers and Panthers.”
WSH 27-LAC 10; CAR 27-MIA 24; DAL 37-NYJ 22 — Chargers lost to Commanders 10-27 and Jets lost to Cowboys 22-37; only Panthers ML (beat Dolphins 27-24) won, so the 3-leg moneyline parlay busts (ESPN box scores).
“i'm playing the flag on the minnesota vikings three and a half if you can get it four and a half on draft kings i bought it the second it opened”
MIN 21, CLE 17 — Vikings beat Browns 21-17 in London, margin +4 covers Minnesota -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“So if I end up, I'm still sitting on this 49ers minus three and a half with my plant the flag bet from Tuesday's episode.”
JAX 26, SF 21 — Jaguars beat 49ers 26-21; San Francisco lost outright, busting the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I would rather, and I took a sprinkle in the Panthers' money line just in case what happened last week was real. If that's the case, then they'll hang with New England and at least be in it at the end of the game at 2-1 odds. I felt like that was a bet that I had to at least sprinkle on.”
NE 42, CAR 13 — Patriots routed Panthers 42-13; Carolina lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Rams -3.5 closed -6 · CLV +2.5 won
- Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5 won
- New York Giants +6.5 closed +6 · CLV +0.5 won
“It's locked in. We got the Rams minus three and a half. We get the Jags plus three and a half. We get the, uh, the giants plus six and a half as our newly named parlay.”
LAR 27-IND 20; JAX 26-SF 21; NYG 21-LAC 18 — All three legs hit: Rams beat Colts 27-20 (covers -3.5), Jaguars beat 49ers 26-21 (covers +3.5), Giants beat Chargers 21-18 (covers +6.5) — parlay wins (ESPN box scores).
“49ers minus three and a half already kind of teased this one. I got it at minus 105. This might touch three.”
JAX 26, SF 21 — Jaguars beat 49ers 26-21; San Francisco lost outright, so the -3.5 spread fails (ESPN box score).
“But this Patriots team should not be a five and a half point favorite, just common sense wise. And then the numbers, there's something. And if Gonzalez comes back, that number is probably only going to get better. Yeah, it's going to go up to six, six and a half. I bet the Patriots this week. I bet the Patriots.”
NE 42, CAR 13 — Patriots blew out Panthers 42-13, a 29-point margin that easily covers -5.5 (ESPN box score).
- Green Bay Packers -0.5 (teased)
- Denver Broncos -1 (teased)
“I think the Packers are a great teaser leg. I already took them down to half a point, and I paired that with the Denver Broncos on Monday night down to a point against the Cincinnati Bengals.”
Both teased legs must cover. Packers-Cowboys ended 40-40 in overtime, so Packers (teased to -0.5, needing an outright win) failed to clear the number and that leg loses; Broncos beat Bengals 28-3 on Monday night, comfortably covering the teased -1 (this leg wins). One losing leg sinks the teaser.
“i do want to mention i took the bucks minus seven i placed it on the app”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — Buccaneers beat Jets 29-27; Tampa Bay's 2-point margin falls short of covering -7 (ESPN box score).
“I got the Niners money line at plus 100 right now.”
SF 16, ARI 15 — 49ers beat Cardinals 16-15; San Francisco won outright, moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“titans plus three and a half against the indianapolis colts”
IND 41, TEN 20 — Colts beat Titans 41-20; Tennessee's 21-point loss doesn't come close to covering +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“So I have the Pat's plus one and a half at home. Pittsburgh's last outright road win against the Patriots came in 2008. Now, is that relevant? No, but it's a fun fact. That's not why I'm betting them. I like, I really liked the way the Patriots looked last week.”
PIT 21, NE 14 — Steelers beat Patriots 21-14; New England's 7-point loss falls short of covering +1.5 (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Rams ML closed +170 · CLV -15¢ lost
- Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown pending
- Chicago Bears +1 closed +1 · CLV 0 won
“So we have Rams plus 155. We've got on the money line, we've got Ladd McConkie anytime touchdown. We've got the Bears plus one. Estimate on price, plus 925.”
Parlay needs all three legs: Rams lost outright to the Eagles 33-26 (Rams ML fails); Ladd McConkey went 4/41 with 0 touchdowns in the Broncos-Chargers game (anytime-TD leg fails); Bears beat Cowboys 31-14, covering +1 (this leg wins). Two failed legs sink the parlay.
“Bears minus one is my plant-the-flag pick. Off a blowout loss, taking on a Cowboys team off of five quarters of football. They almost played until the bone on that one. Chicago at home the last five seasons have been nearly three points better in terms of their home and road splits that ranks top 10 in the NFL over that time early action also tilt in that direction. I already grabbed the minus 105 on them. Minus one.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Bears beat Cowboys 31-14; Bears' 17-point margin easily covers -1 (ESPN box score).
“but the refs helped them out a bunch early So yeah the Jets that line probably going to go up when Tyra Taylor It a touchdown right now It was 6 which I wouldn like But at 7, 7.5... I think 7.5 I'd get there. The juice on the game is telling a story that early money's coming in on Tampa. I bought it at minus 105 on Sunday after the Justin Fields injury.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — Buccaneers beat Jets 29-27; Tampa Bay's 2-point margin falls short of covering -6 (ESPN box score).
“I like the Jets plus six and a half.”
Buffalo 30, New York Jets 10 — Bills beat Jets 30-10 on Sep 14, 2025; the Jets lost by 20, outside covering +6.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like the Cowboys minus five and a half against the Giants.”
Dallas 40, New York Giants 37 — Cowboys beat Giants 40-37 in OT on Sep 14, 2025; Dallas's 3-point margin fell short of covering -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“on Miami so not a full uh not a full opposition there I'm on the Kansas City Chiefs in this game plus one and a half give me a great buy low for Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes as home underdogs of more than a point coming off of a loss with some semblance of extended rest I know Philly has”
Philadelphia 20, Kansas City 17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 20-17 on Sep 14, 2025; Kansas City lost by 3, outside covering +1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I on the Packers minus three and a half on Thursday night football”
Green Bay 27, Washington 18 — Packers beat Commanders 27-18 on Sep 11, 2025; Green Bay's 9-point margin covered -3.5 (ESPN box score).