Guest · 7-14 on settled picks
| League | prop | futures | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 6-8-20% | 1-6+43% | 7-14+1% |
“And you can get Penix over 32 and a half at plus 275 now. [4:02] So I really like that one.”
Michael Penix Jr. went #8 to Atlanta in Round 1; Over 32.5 (not first round) lost. (Penix drafted 8th overall.)
“I took Roma Dunze to go eighth at plus 700.”
Falcons took QB Michael Penix at #8; Rome Odunze went 9th to the Bears. (Odunze drafted 9th, not 8th.)
“Take over 14 and a half at plus 130.”
JC Latham over 14.5 draft position: drafted #7 by Titans, under the line. (Latham #7.)
“but I like over 17 and a half at plus 150 there.”
Laiatu Latu over 17.5 draft position: drafted #15 by Colts, under the line. (Latu #15.)
“uh bowers was another one over 12 and a half at”
Brock Bowers over 12.5 draft position: drafted #13 by Raiders, over the line. (Bowers #13.)
“McCarthy on five and a half for position.”
J.J. McCarthy over 5.5 draft position: drafted #10 overall by Vikings. (McCarthy #10.)
“And I'm also going to take the under four and a half”
Under 4.5 QBs in first round: 6 QBs went in round 1 (Williams, Daniels, Maye, Penix, McCarthy, Nix). (6 first-round QBs, tying 1983 record.)
“I took Xavier Worthy 9-1 to go to the Chiefs today.”
Chiefs drafted Xavier Worthy at No. 28 in the 2024 NFL Draft. (Worthy to KC, pick 28)
“And that's currently five to one to be their first position off the board. Now, cornerback is the favorite and that makes a lot of sense. Their secondary was god awful last year. So a lot of people think, well, they're just going to go to corner and try to plug that in the first round but how he loves his edge rushers man”
Eagles drafted CB Quinyon Mitchell at No. 22, not a DL/edge rusher. (Eagles 1st pick: CB Quinyon Mitchell (Toledo))
“to receiver. You can see that at plus 575.”
Ravens drafted CB Nate Wiggins at No. 30, not a wide receiver. (Ravens 1st pick: CB Nate Wiggins (Clemson))
“i like under one and a half running”
Two running backs were selected in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft — Bijan Robinson (pick 8) and Jahmyr Gibbs (pick 12) — exceeding the 1.5 under line (Pro Football Network). (2 RBs drafted in Round 1)
“And my pick is that Quinton Johnston over 26 and a half is actually plus one”
Quentin Johnston was selected 21st overall by the Los Angeles Chargers — under 26.5, not over — in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft (NFL.com). (Pick 21 overall)
“this is more of a gut call, I think, than some of my other ones, but over two and a half tight ends”
Only one tight end (Dalton Kincaid, pick 25) was drafted in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft — well under the over 2.5 line; Michael Mayer and Darnell Washington fell to Round 2 (Yahoo Sports). (1 TE drafted in Round 1)
“I like the defensive back market which includes both corners and safeties It over five and a half minus 114 at FanDuel”
Only three defensive backs (CB Devon Witherspoon #5, CB Emmanuel Forbes #16, CB Christian Gonzalez #17) were drafted in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft — well under 5.5 (Pro Football Reference). (3 DBs drafted in Round 1)
“But now you can get Mayer at plus 150 at first tight end. [53:26] I think if you haven't got into that market, I think that's a good place to start.”
Dalton Kincaid (Bills, pick 25) was the first tight end drafted in 2023, followed by Sam LaPorta (Lions, pick 34); Michael Mayer went 35th to the Raiders, per CBS Sports.
“As far as best, like, right now that you can still make, I I still think Jackson Smith and Jigba, [19:12] for first receiver overall, [19:14] about minus 200.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the first wide receiver drafted, going 20th overall to Seattle.
“FanDuel has the Falcons at six to one, but if you shop around, [17:51] you can find that at nine to one. [17:53] So I think that's an interesting angle.”
The Atlanta Falcons drafted running back Bijan Robinson 8th overall; Jalen Carter was taken 9th by the Philadelphia Eagles (Fox 5 Atlanta).
“Jackson Smith and Jigba, first receiver, he's still minus 200. I still think that's too short. [49:10] I think he's clearly in a tier above those other guys.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba was drafted first among wide receivers, going No. 20 overall to the Seattle Seahawks in the 2023 NFL Draft, per NFL.com.
“Paris Johnson over Skaransky in a matchup.”
Paris Johnson Jr. was drafted No. 6 overall (Cardinals); Peter Skoronski went No. 11 (Titans) — Johnson was picked earlier, winning the matchup (NFL.com). (Paris Johnson Jr. pick 6 vs Peter Skoronski pick 11)
“I think Anthony Richardson over Levis is another matchup you can take.”
Anthony Richardson was drafted No. 4 overall (Colts); Will Levis fell to No. 33 in the second round (Titans) — Richardson was picked earlier, winning the matchup (NFL.com / ESPN). (Anthony Richardson pick 4 vs Will Levis pick 33)
“if you want to go with my hype guy darnell washington plus 350 to be first tied in taken”
Dalton Kincaid (Utah) was the first tight end drafted, going No. 25 overall to the Buffalo Bills; Darnell Washington fell to No. 93 in the third round (DraftKings Network / NFL.com). (Darnell Washington drafted 93rd; Dalton Kincaid first TE at 25th)