Kyle Murray

“over Cantlay. Minus 125 is where the number is.”

Siwoo Kim withdrew during round 2 of the 2026 Travelers Championship with a back injury; Patrick Cantlay finished T14 (-14), completing the tournament and winning the matchup. (Kim WD R2 (8-over thru 12); Cantlay T14 -14)

“Kyle, and it's Aaron Rye, 55 to one.”

Viktor Hovland won the 2026 Travelers Championship; Aaron Rai did not win. (Hovland won -21 in playoff over Scheffler)

“Tommy Fleetwood, top 10 at nearly two to one”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 at the 2026 U.S. Open — one spot outside the top 10.

“let's run through your card. Fleetwood, 22 to one.”

Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills; Tommy Fleetwood did not win. (Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open)

“there just a lot to like about the profile for Cam Young”

Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills; Cam Young did not win. (Wyndham Clark won the 2026 U.S. Open)

“Kyle Murray, Tommy Fleetwood, top 10, plus 196 over on DraftKings.”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T11 at +1 at the 2026 U.S. Open, just outside the top 10. (Fleetwood T11 (+1))

“Goddard up around minus 111, minus 115. I probably wouldn't go any further than ”

Harris English shot 71 to Chris Gotterup's 72 in Round 1 and finished well ahead overall (T17 -3 vs T27 even) at the Memorial Tournament. (English 71 R1 (T17 -3 final) vs Gotterup 72 R1 (T27 E final))

“But for an official pick for a top 20, Kitayama, [27:06] it was just grading out as a better top 20 play rather than an outright play”

Kurt Kitayama finished T22 (-1) at the 2026 Memorial Tournament, outside the top 20.

“i do think that a win is coming here for siu kim”

J.T. Poston won the 2026 Memorial Tournament; Si Woo Kim did not win.

“So outright play, like you mentioned, right around 60 to one [40:42] is where I have Adam Scott as a pretty solid value.”

J.T. Poston won the 2026 Memorial Tournament; Adam Scott did not win.

“top 20 is plus 275 so i like both of those”

Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished T32 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, outside the top 20.

“Alex Smalley here. [25:22] I see him out there right now at 37 38 to 1 um I like small quite a bit this week”

Russell Henley won the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge in a playoff over Eric Cole; Alex Smalley finished T3.

“the next name that i'll throw out there is ricky faller”

Russell Henley won the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge; Rickie Fowler missed the cut (143).

“JJ Spahn, top 20 at plus 270.”

JJ Spaun missed the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship, so the top-20 bet lost.

“you're getting him at seven to one to finish in the top 40”

Andy Sullivan missed the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship, so the top-40 bet lost.

“So I will take him [55:46] outright and likely in several other markets this week.”

Tyrrell Hatton missed the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship (won by Aaron Rai), so the outright lost.

“Kyle is going with Siwoo Kim at 66 to 1”

Si Woo Kim finished T35 at the 2026 PGA Championship (won by Aaron Rai), so the outright lost.

“yeah i'll take homa here in that matchup”

Alex Fitzpatrick finished 4th (-12) and Max Homa T52 (+1) at the Truist Championship, so Homa lost the matchup.

“I think obviously Fitzpatrick and Ludwig are going to be my top two vets on the outright market this week”

Matt Fitzpatrick did not win the 2026 Truist Championship; Kristoffer Reitan won by edging Rickie Fowler.

“so for this week, Ludwig outright, I'll also be pairing that with a top 10, same way with Fitzpatrick.”

Kristoffer Reitan won the 2026 Truist Championship at Quail Hollow (-15); Ludvig Aberg finished well back at -10, so the outright lost.

“hot after that so I'll take Morikawa over Fleetwood here you know right around minus 115”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T23 (-6) and Collin Morikawa finished T62 (+1), so Morikawa lost the matchup.

“I see Corey Connors minus 110 against Daniel Berger That not a ticket that I punched yet I curious your thoughts on that wager and if you have a different take than I do because I do like the Connors side”

Daniel Berger finished T23 (-6) and Corey Conners finished T30 (-5), so Conners lost the matchup.

“You like Keith Mitchell, top 20 at north of two to one.”

Keith Mitchell finished T55 at the Cadillac Championship, outside the top 20.

“So I'd like to back him as an outright this week as well.”

Adam Scott did not win the 2026 Cadillac Championship; Cameron Young won by six.

“And you can get yourself to Sunday with somebody in that 7 to 1 range That great They still going to have to climb to the top of the mountain with all of these other aces kind of gunning for them So let talk about Adam Scott and Jake Knapp Scott at 43 to 1 Knapp at 30 to 1 Scott up first You know not only did he win here the last time he was played at Doral in 2016 but he consistently overperformed on this course He finished 6th 13th 3rd and 4th in the five years leading up And then of course with that win So he has mastered this track and that has to count for something”

Jake Knapp did not win the 2026 Cadillac Championship; Cameron Young won.

“Minus 118 in the market. [15:29] I make this one closer to minus 130.”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T52 at -5 (279); Ludvig Åberg finished T4 at -13 (271) — Åberg won the matchup, so Fleetwood's moneyline lost. (Fleetwood -5 (T52) vs Åberg -13 (T4))

“I would lean Seppi as one of my favorite [27:15] placement wagers of the week.”

Sepp Straka finished T42 at the 2026 RBC Heritage, outside the top 20.

“approach play so I like him for a top 20 as well”

Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T52 at the 2026 RBC Heritage, outside the top 20.

“I definitely think that there's some upside there [36:41] in the out-right market.”

Si Woo Kim finished 3rd at the 2026 RBC Heritage; Matt Fitzpatrick won outright.

“So he's someone that I certainly do like at that number here this week.”

Daniel Berger finished T42 at the 2026 RBC Heritage; Matt Fitzpatrick won.

“I do have Fleetwood at about a [21:20] 3%, 3.5% edge over the minus 155 number over rows. So I do like that one as well.”

Justin Rose beat Tommy Fleetwood in every sense at the 2026 Masters: Rose opened with a 65 to Fleetwood's 74 in Round 1, and Rose finished T3 while Fleetwood finished T33. (Rose R1 65 vs Fleetwood R1 74; final: Rose T3, Fleetwood T33)

“I do like Akshay this week.”

Both missed the cut, but J.J. Spaun's 36-hole total (74-75=149, +5) beat Akshay Bhatia's (73-77=150, +6) for the tournament matchup, even though Bhatia had the better Round 1 score (73 to 74). (Spaun 149 (+5, MC) vs Bhatia 150 (+6, MC))

“with regard to someone that i'm gonna be backing pretty heavily uh this week and in the [24:35] three ball market i think there's some really strong value to get him here at plus money against [24:39] these two the other one that you have on the card”

Round 1 three-ball: Nicolai Hojgaard shot 76, while both Zach Johnson (75) and Michael Kim (75) shot lower — Hojgaard did not have the low score of the group. (Hojgaard 76, Z. Johnson 75, Kim 75 (Round 1))

“but for the top 20 at plus 500 this is [40:38] grading out as one of the better values for me actually the best top 20 value”

Carlos Ortiz missed the cut at the 2026 Masters, so a top-20 finish did not cash.

“ortiz three ball market there uh plus 120 in the market”

Round 1 three-ball: Carlos Ortiz shot 8-over 80, while Max Homa shot even-par 72 — Homa had the low score, not Ortiz. (Ortiz 80 vs Homa 72 (Round 1))

“And to close out, you like Hoygaard top 20 at plus 210, [41:53] hoping that that elite iron play carries the day for him. Yeah, yep.”

Nicolai Hojgaard missed the cut at the 2026 Masters, so the top-20 bet lost.

“So he's someone that I'm targeting in the outright market. [53:48] And I think this 23 to one number is one that is a little bit softer”

Cameron Young finished T3 at the 2026 Masters; Rory McIlroy won outright.

“But I like Cameron Young for an outright winner. Obviously, he's coming off of the player's victory.”

Cameron Young finished T3 (-10) at the 2026 Masters; Rory McIlroy won. The outright-winner bet lost.

“I like Patrick Reed for a top 10 as well.”

Patrick Reed finished T12 (-5) at the 2026 Masters, outside the top 10, so the top-10 bet lost.

“So I'm going to take Henley in the matchup market here.”

Russell Henley missed the cut while Robert MacIntyre finished T2 (-16), so Henley lost the head-to-head.

“So I think there's some pretty solid value here still on this 3-1 number here for a top 20 finish for Jordan Smith.”

Jordan Smith missed the cut at the Valero Texas Open, so the top-20 prop lost.

“But yeah, for me, Fleetwood is checking so many boxes, so I'm happy to bet on him as his favorite this week.”

Tommy Fleetwood finished T10 (-11) at the Valero Texas Open; J.J. Spaun won the outright.

“64 to one for this sort of event does sort of catch my eye here for some value.”

Sudarshan Yellamaraju finished T14 (-10) at the Valero Texas Open; J.J. Spaun won the outright.

“That's a plus 305 number.”

Sepp Straka missed the cut (even par) at the Valero Texas Open and did not win DraftKings Group C.

“in my model, I'll gladly take the risk there.”

Ryan Fox missed the cut at the 2026 Houston Open, so no top-20 finish.

“So I like Scott two to one plus 200 for a top 20.”

Adam Scott finished T21 (-8) at the 2026 Houston Open, just outside the top 20 (cutoff -10).

“And his ability to go out there and have these spike ceiling weeks from a scoring perspective has me on this 30-1 for an outright winner here.”

Michael Thorbjornsen finished T20 (-10), not the outright winner; Gary Woodland won.

“So I do like him in other markets as well, but 27 to 1 for the outright was something that I was certainly seeing some value on. Spencer outlined quite a bit on Hoygaard as well. But for me, the main features that I was looking at, the strokes gain approach, top 10 player in this field. He's the third best fit for approach play in my model this week. He's 11th in terms of off the tee fit.”

Nicolai Hojgaard finished 2nd at the Houston Open, not the outright winner (Gary Woodland).

“Plus 470, I'm interested. I'm going to fire on this one. Was there anything else beyond his”

Aldrich Potgieter finished T21 (-8) at the Houston Open, outside the top 20 (cutoff -10/T14).

“for your other two in terms of uh top 20s you have tony finow three to one you got david lipsky”

Tony Finau finished T39 (-6) at the Houston Open, well outside the top 20.

“for your other two in terms of uh top 20s you have tony finow three to one you got david lipsky”

David Lipsky missed the cut at the Houston Open, so the top-20 prop lost.

“talking about Austin Smotherman over Thompson at minus 112.”

Davis Thompson made the cut (T46) while Austin Smotherman missed it, losing the head-to-head.

“you have Zach Blair in the first round in a three ball at plus 175.”

In the Round 1 three-ball, Tom Kim shot 69 to beat Zac Blair (71) and Erik van Rooyen (76).

“Meisner at plus 300 for the top 20.”

Mac Meissner missed the cut (148), outside any top-20 finish.

“And then obviously Victor Hovland, plus 110, won here last season.”

Viktor Hovland missed the cut (145), failing to finish top 10.

“But Smotherman at 50 to one.”

Matt Fitzpatrick won the Valspar; Austin Smotherman missed the cut (150).

“So Victor Hovland at 19 to one will be this secondary pick.”

Matt Fitzpatrick won the Valspar; Viktor Hovland missed the cut (145).

“Yeah, I like Rio in the outright market. [33:37] Thirty nine to one had a nice top 20 win on him last week. [33:40] So I'll back him once again.”

Matt Fitzpatrick won the Valspar; Ryo Hisatsune finished T30.

“I also like Sahith here at 36 to one. Good to see him rounding into some good form.”

Sahith Theegala missed the cut at the 2026 Valspar Championship, which Matt Fitzpatrick won at -11.

“I already talked to Zach Blair. He's 210 to one on the outright plus 650 for top 20.”

Zac Blair missed the cut at the 2026 Valspar Championship, so no top-20 finish.

“Lucas Glover is another guy who looks really strong in these approach buckets 150 to 200 and 200 plus. [34:23] He's 125 to 1 and plus 470 for a top 20.”

Lucas Glover missed the cut at the 2026 Valspar Championship, so no top-20 finish.

“And then finally, Kevin Roy, 110 to 1 on the outright plus 500 top 20.”

Kevin Roy finished T73 (+4) at the 2026 Valspar Championship, well outside the top 20 (cutoff -4).

“Let's start with your first head-to-head, and it's Shane Lowry over Jordan Spieth.”

Shane Lowry missed the cut while Jordan Spieth finished T32 at THE PLAYERS 2026, so Lowry lost the head-to-head.

“He grades out as a strong value on the top 20 market.”

Patrick Cantlay finished T32 (-2) at THE PLAYERS 2026, missing the top 20.

“this week has me on Morikawa at 20 to one.”

Collin Morikawa withdrew from THE PLAYERS 2026 and Cameron Young won, so the outright lost.

“You also like Hideki Matsuyama almost at 40 to one.”

Cameron Young won THE PLAYERS 2026; Hideki Matsuyama finished T27, so the outright lost.

“So yeah, Noren at 80 to 1.”

Cameron Young won THE PLAYERS 2026; Alex Noren finished T32, so the outright lost.

“So I like Mack Meisner, top 20.”

Mac Meissner missed the cut at THE PLAYERS 2026 and did not finish top 20.

“So I'll take Ricky Fowler here at plus 170 in the three-ball market.”

In the Round 1 three-ball, Rickie Fowler shot 70 (E) versus Theegala 67 and Spieth 73, so Theegala won the group and Fowler's three-ball lost.

“So at plus 360 over on draft, he's all looking for a top 10.”

Viktor Hovland finished T13 (-5), outside the top 10.

“But looking at him at 27 to 1, I do like him quite a bit here to win once again.”

Collin Morikawa finished solo 5th; Akshay Bhatia won the tournament, so the Morikawa-to-win ticket lost.

“If you're just picking one of these guys, I would prefer Henley slightly just because”

Russell Henley finished T6; Akshay Bhatia won, so the Henley-to-win ticket lost.

“So I do like Shane Lowry, who's had a lot of success over here.”

Min Woo Lee finished T6 (-10) and made the cut while Shane Lowry missed the cut (+3), so Lowry lost the head-to-head.

“Austin Svallerman in the top 20 is another play that I have at plus 360 as well.”

Austin Eckroat missed the 36-hole cut at Bay Hill, so the top-20 bet lost.

“ultimately settled on a little bit more conservative play drake may anytime touchdown plus 330 in the market”

Drake Maye did not score a rushing or receiving TD in Super Bowl LX (he threw 2 TD passes).

“But my primary pick here is going to be Drake May, plus 230 or plus 240.”

Kenneth Walker III won Super Bowl LX MVP, not Drake Maye.

“I like him to be a top three USA point scorer, plus 125 over on DraftKings.”

Bryson DeChambeau finished with only 1.5 points (around 5th-6th on the USA side), well outside the top-3 USA point scorers.

“The first guy that I'm looking at inside this top 10 is actually going to be Xander Shoffley.”

Scottie Scheffler won The Open at -17; Schauffele finished T7. (Schauffele T7 (-10))

“But I also do have a bet out there on Tommy Fleetwood”

Scheffler won The Open; Fleetwood finished T16. (Fleetwood T16 (-7))

“But I'm more than happy to throw a bat out there on Sepp Straka at 50-1”

Scheffler won The Open at -17; Sepp Straka did not win. (Scheffler champion, -17)

“So I like him at top 20 plus 300 as well.”

Jason Day missed the 36-hole cut at The Open; no top-20 finish. (Day MC (cut at +1))

“And just to piggyback off that play, I mean, we're going to sound like a broken record here, but I'm also backing Rahm and Neiman this week again.”

Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Jon Rahm finished T7 (+4). (Rahm T7 at +4.)

“I love the number here at 35-1 on draft.”

Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Joaquin Niemann missed the cut. (Niemann MC at +10 (150).)

“So I like Lowry here at 50 to one as well.”

Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Shane Lowry did not win. (Lowry did not contend for the title.)

“And the best value on an outright bet in my model this week is Keegan Bradley.”

Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Keegan Bradley did not win. (Bradley out of contention.)

“Ben Griffin kind of right in the hot hand here at 75 to 1. Now, not many golfers playing better than Ben Griffin right now.”

Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Ben Griffin finished T10 (+5). (Griffin T10 at +5.)

“I like Joaquin Neiman over Tommy Fleetwood minus 110”

72-hole matchup: both missed the cut; Fleetwood (+9) beat Niemann (+10), so the Niemann side loses. (Niemann MC +10 vs Fleetwood MC +9.)

“I have a Xander ticket [16:45] out there. I prefer him. He's at 22-1 right now for FanDuel, over on FanDuel.”

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Schauffele did not win. (Scheffler -11, 5-shot win)

“I like Corey Connors at that 70 to 1 number So again no problem with Straka He does look awfully strong as well But just I like this number here for Connors He at 70 to 1 over on Fandle right now”

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Corey Conners did not win.

“I also bet John Rahm at 18 to one and then Joaquin Neiman and Hideki Matsuyama as well.”

Scottie Scheffler won; Jon Rahm did not win (finished T8). (Rahm T8 after 73 final round)

“I also bet John Rahm at 18 to one and then Joaquin Neiman and Hideki Matsuyama as well.”

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Joaquin Niemann did not win.

“I also bet John Rahm at 18 to one and then Joaquin Neiman and Hideki Matsuyama as well.”

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Hideki Matsuyama did not win.

“Keith Mitchell at a top 20, another very boomer bus guy.”

Keith Mitchell missed the cut at the 2025 PGA Championship; no top-20. (Mitchell MC (145, +3))

“finally Davis Thompson [27:21] for a top 20 also at plus 400”

Davis Thompson missed the cut at the 2025 PGA Championship; no top-20. (Thompson MC (148, +6))