pending
Kansas State ML
“Blackjack and Paul both have Kansas State.”
Paul Lo Duca
Guest · 35-43-2 on settled picks
Record
35-43-2
Cash %
44.9%
Net units
-13.09u
ROI
-16.8%
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 25 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | futures | moneyline | total | prop | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 13-15-11% | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 17-22-19% |
| CFB | 6-8-18% | — | 2-0 | — | — | 8-8-7% |
| CBB | 5-4+6% | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | 7-7-5% |
| MLB | — | 0-5-100% | — | — | 1-0 | 1-5-70% |
Picks
88 total · 7 pending pending
Virginia 1st half
“But, yeah, I played him a full game, and I put more units on first.”
pending
Fairleigh Dickinson +points
“I would take the points with Fairleigh Dickinson.”
pending
Odell Beckham Jr. over 1,100 receiving yards 1100
“I like the over 1,100 yards as well.”
pending
Le'Veon Bell over 600.5 receiving yards
“I'm with you on the receiving yards.”
pending
Appalachian State ML
“And again, another line that's like 7, we'll take App State on the money line.”
pending
Washington State +4.5
“And I think Washington State's the play here against SC, plus the points.”
void
Omaha Beach to win the Kentucky Derby (if rain)
“If it's raining at Churchill Downs, it would be foolish not to bet that horse.”
Omaha Beach was scratched from the 2019 Kentucky Derby and did not run, so the conditional bet on him to win is void.
lost
Game Winner to win the Kentucky Derby (+600)
“I have a future on game winner.”
Game Winner finished off the board (around 5th) in the 2019 Kentucky Derby won by Country House, so the Game-Winner-to-win future lost.
won
Omaha Beach to win the Arkansas Derby
“Improbable can suck it I on Omaha Beach I with you too”
Omaha Beach held off Improbable to win the 2019 Arkansas Derby, so the win bet cashes.
won
Oregon +8.5
“But just eight and a half points at this level is just a lot of points.”
UVA 53, ORE 49 — Oregon Ducks margin -4 vs line +8.5; covers.
lost
Florida State +7.5
“I would lean to them plus the 7.5.”
GONZ 72, FSU 58 — Florida State Seminoles margin -14 vs line +7.5; busts.
won
Texas Tech ML
“I think they win the game outright.”
MICH 44, TTU 63 — Texas Tech Red Raiders won; moneyline covers.
lost
Tennessee ML
“Tennessee, I've got winning as well.”
TENN 94, PUR 99 — Tennessee Volunteers lost; moneyline busts.
lost
Under (Purdue vs Tennessee)
“i actually like that game under because i think purdue is going to try to”
Purdue beat Tennessee 99-94 in overtime (193 combined points), well over the ~147 consensus total; the under lost. (Purdue 99, Tennessee 94 (OT) — total 193 vs O/U 147)
won
Kentucky ML
“So I really do like Kentucky.”
UK 62, HOU 58 — Kentucky Wildcats won; moneyline covers.
lost
LSU +6.5
“I would take the points with LSU and Auburn in both of those games.”
MSU 80, LSU 63 — LSU Tigers margin -17 vs line +6.5; busts.
won
Auburn +5
“I would take the points with LSU and Auburn in both of those games.”
UNC 80, AUB 97 — Auburn Tigers margin +17 vs line +5; covers.
lost
Aaron Nola to win NL Cy Young
“So he would be my Cy Young prop, and I think that's a pretty good choice.”
Jacob deGrom won the 2019 NL Cy Young; Aaron Nola was not a finalist, so the bet loses.
lost
Pittsburgh Steelers to win AFC North (+250)
“I think Pittsburgh is the play in here.”
The Ravens won the 2019 AFC North; the Steelers finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs, so the +250 division future loses.
won
Bryce Harper over 34.5 home runs (-125)
“Yeah so that obviously going to benefit him and that why I kind of like the home run total over 34 I mean he going to play 81 games there and he just I think he going to crush”
Bryce Harper hit 35 home runs in 2019, clearing the 34.5 line, so the over (-125) wins.
lost
Kansas to win the Big 12 tournament (+250)
“i'd probably play kansas you know i'm gonna play kansas as well at the money”
Iowa State beat Kansas 78-66 in the 2019 Big 12 tournament final on Mar 16, 2019; Kansas did not win, so the +250 bet loses.
lost
Nevada -13.5
“I like Nevada tonight who's lost to Utah State last game for their third loss.”
AF 79, NEV 90 — Nevada Wolf Pack margin +11 vs line -13.5; busts.
won
Butler
“I like Butler against Xavier tonight.”
Butler beat Xavier 71-66. (Final: Butler 71, Xavier 66.)
lost
San Francisco Giants to sign Bryce Harper (+961)
“I like San Francisco at plus 961 because the Giants now are willing to go 10 years.”
Bryce Harper signed with the Philadelphia Phillies (13yr/$330M, announced Mar 1, 2019), not the Giants, so the +961 bet loses.
lost
St. John's
“But I love the Johnnies against Xavier tonight.”
Xavier beat St. John's 84-73. (Final: Xavier 84, St. John's 73.)
lost
Boston Red Sox over 95.5 wins (-115)
“and you know the line that vegas set on the red socks is 95 [1:40] and a half i found that very very low”
The Red Sox finished 84-78 in 2019, well under the 95.5 win total, so the over (-115) loses.
lost
Colorado Rockies over 82.5 wins (-150)
“And the over is juiced to minus 150 as a result of it [15:06] The over-under is 82 and a half.”
The Rockies finished 71-91 in 2019, well under the 82.5 win total, so the over (-150) loses.
lost
Los Angeles Angels over 83.5 wins (-125)
“all right so you do [28:36] like the over on the angels right yeah i do okay i do”
The Angels finished 72-90 in 2019, under the 83.5 win total, so the over (-125) loses.
won
Robert Morris -4
“the school robert morris okay they're minus four tonight uh hosting liu brooklyn [38:05] so you're on robert morris for kk l o kk that's paulie's lock of the day”
Robert Morris beat LIU Brooklyn 62-49, covering -4 comfortably. (Final: Robert Morris 62, LIU Brooklyn 49.)
won
Broadcast to mention the Belichick/McVay age gap — Yes (-200)
“My first pick is minus 200. [14:29] I thought this was actually a pretty good line for minus 200. [14:31] I don't like to lay money, but they are going to mention, [14:33] Jim Nance and Tony Romo will mention the age gap between Bill Belichick and McVay.”
The Belichick-vs-McVay age gap (oldest vs youngest head coach) was a dominant broadcast storyline and was mentioned, so the Yes (-200) cashes.
won
Gladys Knight to wear a dress or skirt — Yes (-210)
“gladys knight to wear a dress [20:28] or a skirt when she sings the national anthem.”
Gladys Knight performed the national anthem in a long gown/dress at Super Bowl LIII, so the Yes (-210) cashes.
lost
Rams ML (+120)
“So I'm just going to play the Rams because of that.”
LAR 3, NE 13 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
won
Coppin State +2.5
“I like Coppin State tonight. [35:51] Plus two and a half at home against Bethune Cookman, who is 0 for 11 on the road.”
Coppin State beat Bethune-Cookman 95-91 outright at home (Jan 28, 2019, MEAC), an outright win that easily covers +2.5. (Final: Coppin State 95, Bethune-Cookman 91)
lost
Chiefs and Saints to be the Super Bowl LIII matchup (+165)
“I think this is the play, Kansas City, in New Orleans, [23:41] because when going into it, everybody loved Indianapolis.”
Super Bowl LIII was Rams vs Patriots; neither the Chiefs nor the Saints advanced, so the Chiefs-and-Saints exact-matchup bet loses.
lost
Over 56
“you are playing over come on yeah i already did um for 5.9 units”
KC 31, IND 13 — Combined 44; over 56 busts.
won
Army Black Knights ML (-170)
“because i just think that army is just going to possess the ball plus houston's i'm starting a [16:31] freshman quarterback they lost their quarterback i know he's got a couple weeks to prepare and got [16:35] a little bit better but i just think army is going to run all day and all night all over houston”
ARMY 70, HOU 14 — Army Black Knights won; moneyline covers.
won
BYU ML
“minus 12 just to win the game [33:21] so now our parlay is [33:24] probably down to maybe breaking even”
BYU 49, WMU 18 — BYU Cougars won; moneyline covers.
won
Baltimore Ravens ML (-370)
“we'll go with the Ravens on the money line”
BAL 20, TB 12 — Baltimore Ravens won; moneyline covers.
lost
Los Angeles Rams ML
“So choose the Rams.”
LAR 23, PHI 30 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
won
New York Jets +9
“So I'll take the nine points in Buffalo.”
BUF 23, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin +4 vs line +9; covers.
won
Indianapolis Colts +4.5
“So I like the Colts to plus the four and a half points.”
HOU 21, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
won
Chicago Bears +3.5
“and I'm going to go with the Chicago Bears, [24:30] plus the points against the Rams at home.”
CHI 15, LAR 6 — Chicago Bears margin +9 vs line +3.5; covers.
lost
Atlanta Falcons +3
“The Atlanta Falcons. [21:00] Fuck you.”
ATL 16, BAL 26 — Atlanta Falcons margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
won
Georgia Bulldogs +13.5
“Let's go, Georgia, at plus 13 and a half right now.”
UGA 28, ALA 35 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
lost
Utah Utes +4.5
“I love Utah in this game so you can go ahead and cha it Plus four and a half right now”
WASH 10, UTAH 3 — Utah Utes margin -7 vs line +4.5; busts.
lost
Minnesota Vikings +7
“I am going to go with the Minnesota Vikings plus seven against the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon.”
NE 24, MIN 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin -14 vs line +7; busts.
won
Kansas City Chiefs ML
“Let's do Kansas City money line.”
OAK 33, KC 40 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
lost
Detroit Lions +3.5
“Matthew Stafford plus three and a half the Detroit Lions at home against the Bears”
DET 16, CHI 23 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
lost
Michigan Wolverines -4
“I am going to punch it in I swear the Wolverines are such a better team than Ohio State”
OSU 62, MICH 39 — Michigan Wolverines margin -23 vs line -4; busts.
won
Memphis Tigers -7.5
“This is going to be one of my picks. [29:06] I think Memphis is the real deal.”
MEM 52, HOU 31 — Memphis Tigers margin +21 vs line -7.5; covers.
won
Navy Midshipmen -5
“against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.”
NAVY 37, TLSA 29 — Navy Midshipmen margin +8 vs line -5; covers.
lost
Atlanta Falcons -3 (-125)
“The Atlanta Falcons minus three.”
ATL 19, DAL 22 — Atlanta Falcons margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
lost
Baltimore Ravens -5.5
“Yeah, Baltimore is a five-and-a-half point favorite. [33:21] Give me them, please.”
BAL 24, CIN 21 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -5.5; busts.
lost
Arizona Cardinals -3.5
“the Arizona Cardinals 3-1 over the Raiders.”
ARI 21, OAK 23 — Arizona Cardinals margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.
won
Seattle Seahawks +11
“The Seahawks plus 11 against the Rams.”
LAR 36, SEA 31 — Seattle Seahawks margin -5 vs line +11; covers.
lost
Arizona State Sun Devils -12.5
“And I think the 12.5 points is an easy lay here, and I think Arizona State's going to bury them.”
ASU 31, UCLA 28 — Arizona State Sun Devils margin +3 vs line -12.5; busts.
lost
Cincinnati Bengals +4
“We're doing the Bengals plus four.”
CIN 14, NO 51 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -37 vs line +4; busts.
won
Tennessee Titans +6
“Tennessee Titans plus six.”
DAL 14, TEN 28 — Tennessee Titans margin +14 vs line +6; covers.
lost
Baltimore Ravens -3
“I love the Ravens here, minus three, and a couple reasons why.”
BAL 16, PIT 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
won
Los Angeles Chargers +1
“So I like this play.”
SEA 17, LAC 25 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +8 vs line +1; covers.
won
Denver Broncos +10
“The Denver Broncos plus 10”
KC 30, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +10; covers.
won
Green Bay Packers +9
“give me your rogers plus nine points you can get it as high as 10 some places and it's on the app”
LAR 29, GB 27 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line +9; covers.
won
Under 52
“I'm taking the under.”
MIN 20, NO 30 — Combined 50; under 52 covers.
lost
Stanford Cardinal -3.5
“Stanford Cardinal minus 3.5 over the Washington State Cougs”
STAN 38, WSU 41 — Stanford Cardinal margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
lost
Cincinnati +3.5
“getting three and a half points for a cincinnati team i think that's still not getting their due”
TEM 24, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.
lost
Arizona Cardinals +1.5
“Arizona Cardinals plus one and a half [10:17] at home against Denver.”
ARI 10, DEN 45 — Arizona Cardinals margin -35 vs line +1.5; busts.
won
Washington Redskins -1.5
“Okay I going to go with the Washington Redskins”
WSH 20, DAL 17 — Washington Redskins margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
lost
Baltimore Ravens -2.5
“I want to choose the Ravens, minus two and a half.”
BAL 23, NO 24 — Baltimore Ravens margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
lost
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
“I love the Bengals here.”
CIN 21, PIT 28 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
push
New England Patriots -3
“and that's the New England Patriots minus three against the other Schwartz's Chiefs.”
NE 43, KC 40 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
lost
Under 59
“and my pick is going to be on the total in this game, but now it's at 59.”
NE 43, KC 40 — Combined 83; under 59 busts.
won
USC Trojans -7
“Off a bye week, USC Trojans. [26:17] Minus seven against the Colorado Buffaloes. [26:20] Book it.”
USC 31, COLO 20 — USC Trojans margin +11 vs line -7; covers.
won
Buffalo Bills +8.5
“Buffalo plus 8.5 against Houston.”
HOU 20, BUF 13 — Buffalo Bills margin -7 vs line +8.5; covers.
lost
Tennessee Titans +2.5
“I like the Tennessee Titans, plus two and a half.”
TEN 0, BAL 21 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +2.5; busts.
won
Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5
“I like Illinois.”
RUTG 17, ILL 38 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +21 vs line -2.5; covers.
lost
Indianapolis Colts +10
“I'll take Andrew Luck in the 10 points.”
NE 38, IND 24 — Indianapolis Colts margin -14 vs line +10; busts.
push
Houston Texans -3
“I'm going with the Houston Texans.”
HOU 19, DAL 16 — Houston Texans margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
lost
Hawaii -11.5
“You have to get on this line right now. [15:27] Hawaii minus, it's 13.5 now. [15:29] I got on it last night at 11.5.”
Hawaii edged San Jose State 44-41 in 5 overtimes (CFB Week 5); a 3-point margin fell well short of covering -11.5. (Final: Hawaii 44, San Jose State 41 (5 OT))
lost
East Carolina -5
“Minus five for the Pirates. [28:08] You're betting East Carolina right now? [28:11] I don't know, man. [28:12] I think Paul is on to... [28:14] I already bet this game in every app.”
ECU 37, ODU 35 — East Carolina Pirates margin +2 vs line -5; busts.
lost
Minnesota Vikings +6.5
“Do you want to hear my other pick, Millie Monster? [43:25] The Minnesota Vikings.”
LAR 38, MIN 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin -7 vs line +6.5; busts.
lost
Minnesota Vikings -16.5
“And I think that Minnesota is just going to absolutely bury them. And the line is 16.5. It's by far the biggest line.”
MIN 6, BUF 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin -21 vs line -16.5; busts.
won
Indianapolis Colts +7
“Indianapolis Colts plus seven against the Philadelphia Eagles Here my logic Number one Andrew Luck”
PHI 20, IND 16 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
won
Tennessee Titans +6.5
“and lay your six and a half points and lose all your money while Paula Duca bets the Tennessee Titans the Fighting Vrabels plus six and a half Book it Dano Give me a reason”
JAX 6, TEN 9 — Tennessee Titans margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
lost
Missouri -7
“Missouri is going to blow out Purdue. [11:30] Purdue is awful. [11:32] But Missouri minus seven.”
PUR 37, MIZ 40 — Missouri Tigers margin +3 vs line -7; busts.
won
New Mexico -6
“We're going to go in New Mexico, minus six.”
NMSU 25, UNM 42 — New Mexico Lobos margin +17 vs line -6; covers.
lost
Under 44.5
“So we're at under 44.5. [42:41] That's what you're going with? [42:42] Yes.”
BUF 20, LAC 31 — Combined 51; under 44.5 busts.
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5
“Give me the home team as a short favorite in the Florida Heat [45:07] with one of the best defenses in the NFL.”
JAX 31, NE 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +11 vs line +1.5; covers.