Indiana Hoosiers -7
“this is my favorite bet, and it's Indiana against Bama. I love Indiana in this spot. I think they're going to wax them. I really do. I don't think Bama's that good. I like Bama because I don't think Oklahoma's good at all. That's why I like Bama in the last round. I think Indiana, outside of like preseason expectations or whatever, they check all the boxes of a national title winner. And Bama, this ain't Nick Saban's Bama team. They do not check any of those boxes. So this is a pretty easy bet for me. Under a touchdown, touchdown, I might try to lay some alts. I think Indiana wins this one by like 20 plus. It does look like a fascinating point spread, right, where it's like Bama plus seven. Maybe go the other way. I'm laying it.”
IU 38, ALA 3 — Indiana routed Alabama 38-3 in the Rose Bowl, a 35-point margin that easily covers Indiana -7 (ESPN box score).
Under 47
“Yeah, I'm going to bet the under. Now that we're up to 47 at some places here in Las Vegas, I'm betting under 47.”
SF 48, IND 27 — 49ers beat the Colts 48-27, a combined 75 points, well over the 47 total; Under 47 busts (ESPN box score).
Kendrick Bourne anytime touchdown
“Kendrick Bourne at 32-1. With no Ricky Pearsall. He'll be a nice target for our guy Brock Purdy. So it's Kendrick Bourne at 32-1. And for Indianapolis. How about a do-everything playmaker. He can catch. He can run. And he can pass. Hopefully it's not the latter. Because I need him to reach Paddock. And that's Tyler Warren at 13-1. So it's Kendrick Bourne at 30-1.”
SF 48, IND 27 — Kendrick Bourne did not score a touchdown in the 49ers' 48-27 win over the Colts; the 49ers' touchdown scorers were McCaffrey (2), Kittle, Jennings, and DeMarcus Robinson (ESPN box score).
Tyler Warren anytime touchdown (+1300)
“And that's Tyler Warren at 13-1. So it's Kendrick Bourne at 30-1. It's Tyler Warren at 13-1.”
SF 48, IND 27 — Tyler Warren did not score a touchdown for the Colts against the 49ers; Indianapolis's only touchdowns went to Alec Pierce (2) and Jonathan Taylor (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers over Buffalo Bills Super Bowl exacta (+5000)
“I had a Packers over Bills Super Bowl exacta at 50 to one to start the season that clearly is not going very well”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Super Bowl LX was Seahawks 29, Patriots 13 on Feb 8, 2026 — neither the Packers nor the Bills reached the game, so the Packers-over-Bills exacta futures bet loses (ESPN).
Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline
“I'm going to be on the Alabama Crimson Tide. I'm betting Alabama to win it.”
34-24 — Alabama beat Oklahoma 34-24 in the CFP first round, winning outright (ESPN).
Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LX (+1100)
“I think they're going to win the Super Bowl at 11-1. I got asked this morning on radio, give us a bet to win the Super Bowl right now at the best price, and I said Philadelphia 11.”
29-13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; the Philadelphia Eagles did not win it, so the futures bet lost (ESPN).
Washington Commanders +7
“Now, this is a game that I had bet, and this is a side where I will be oppo taco of the public bettors here. I like Washington. At the full seven, I bet the Commanders.”
29-18 — Eagles beat Commanders 29-18; Washington +7 lost by 11, missing the cover (ESPN).
Green Bay Packers
“But now that we are no longer at Pickham, it's Green Bay for me. So I'm betting the Green Bay Packers. I think Green Bay is going to win this game.”
22-16 — Bears beat Packers 22-16 in overtime; the Green Bay moneyline bet lost (ESPN).
Oregon Ducks -20.5
“Second most popular side is Oregon laying the 20 and a half. I love this bet. I think Oregon's going to blow them out.”
51-34 — Oregon beat James Madison 51-34, winning by 17; Oregon -20.5 falls short of the cover (ESPN).
Sean Payton to win Coach of the Year (+1500)
“The price is still juicy enough for me to bet this again at 15 to one. So to me, coach of the year, Sean Payton, let's add some more to the portfolio.”
Mike Vrabel (New England Patriots, 14-3) won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award, his second such honor; Sean Payton did not win (Wikipedia).
Tyler Warren to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+2000) · BetMGM
“I actually think, real quick here, I think this week it's worth it to take a shot with Tyler Warren at 20-1. I'm not buying Travion Henderson at plus 190. I don't think the betting market is buying any of these guys, which is why they're all plus money with three games to go. Abuka and McMillan, like those guys, McMillan's dealing with an injury. Abuka's cooled off dramatically. Tyler Shuck, get the hell out of here with that. He has six touchdown passes. Get real. Tyler Warren, to me, at 20-1 is a bet.”
Tetairoa McMillan (Carolina Panthers WR) won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Tyler Warren did not win (Wikipedia).
Los Angeles Rams +7.5 / Los Angeles Chargers teaser leg (line unstated)
- Los Angeles Rams +7.5 won
- Los Angeles Chargers teaser leg (line unstated) won
“So, I think I'm going to put in a teaser. And I'm going to start with the Rams. I'm like, the Rams up to seven and a half. And I want to pair it with the Chargers. So I like the L.A. L.A. I know you like Dallas a lot in that game. I just don't see Dallas winning that by margin. So Rams, Chargers. And yeah, I think I'll just stop there because I don't think Philadelphia is going to get up to seven and a half or anything like that. So I'll go Rams, Chargers. The I love L.A. teaser is what I'm doing for week 16.”
Both teaser legs covered: the Rams lost to the Seahawks 38-37, easily covering +7.5, and the Chargers beat the Cowboys 34-17 outright, covering any standard teased number (ESPN).
Blake Corum first touchdown scorer (+1300)
“So let's go with Blake Corum at 13-1”
Zach Charbonnet scored the game's first touchdown, a 4-yard run for Seattle in the 1st quarter; Blake Corum did not score first (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Zach Charbonnet, 4-yd run, 1st quarter)
Cooper Kupp first touchdown scorer (+2100)
“Tonight, our cup will be running it over with Cooper Cup at 21-1.”
Zach Charbonnet scored the game's first touchdown, a 4-yard run for Seattle in the 1st quarter; Cooper Kupp did not score first (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Zach Charbonnet, 4-yd run, 1st quarter)
Memphis vs Vanderbilt over 159.5
“Give me the over in Vandy Memphis, over 159.5.”
VAN 77, MEM 70 — Vanderbilt beat Memphis 77-70 (147 combined points), so the over 159.5 busts (ESPN box score).
South Florida vs Alabama over 177.5
“As well as South Florida and Alabama, over 177.5 in college hoops.”
ALA 104, USF 93 — Alabama beat South Florida 104-93 (197 combined points), so the over 177.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Nick Schmaltz anytime goal scorer (+245)
“The Utah Mammoth Center, Nick Schmaltz, plus 245 against Detroit. A couple nights ago, eight shots. This dude is percolating, and he's going to light the lamp tonight in Detroit.”
Nick Schmaltz recorded 2 assists but no goal as Utah beat Detroit 4-1, so the anytime-goal-scorer prop loses (ESPN box score). (Nick Schmaltz 0 goals, 2 assists)
Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl matchup (+2500) · BetMGM
“i think we are getting set up for a broncos eagles super bowl 60 in santa clara i truly believe it and right now at bet mgm if you want to bet that exact matchup you can find broncos eagles at 25 to 1 i love that bet”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Super Bowl LX matched the Seattle Seahawks against the New England Patriots (Seattle won 29-13), not Denver and Philadelphia, so this exact-matchup future loses (Wikipedia).
Philadelphia Eagles over Denver Broncos Super Bowl exacta (+5000) · BetMGM
“how about a super bowl exact up eagles over broncos 50 to 1 you're getting the likely one seed and the defending super bowl champion in an exacta at 50-1.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Super Bowl LX was Seattle over New England 29-13, not Philadelphia over Denver, so this exacta future loses (Wikipedia).
Carolina Panthers +3
“But I like Carolina plus three. I'm going back to the well. I burned by them yesterday against New Orleans. I think Carolina is able to cover the number. I think they win this game. And if they win this game, I think there's a decent chance they actually just win the NFC South. So plus three for me with the Carolina Panthers.”
Panthers 23-20 Buccaneers — Bryce Young threw 2 TDs as the Panthers beat the Buccaneers 23-20, winning outright and covering +3.
Dallas Mavericks -2
“But I like the Dallas Mavericks. I'm laying the two against the Utah Jazz.”
Jazz 140-133 Mavericks (OT) — Utah beat Dallas 140-133 in overtime; the Mavericks lost outright, busting the -2 spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-115)
“but i'm gonna lay something small on the pittsburgh steelers minus three minus 115 is the best number that I see in the market but it'll be a small but like quarter unit bet”
Steelers 28-15 Dolphins — The Steelers beat the Dolphins 28-15, winning outright and covering the -3 spread.
Greg Dulcich first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“And for me, for both teams tonight, Miami, give me Greg Dolchitz at 25-1.”
Connor Heyward scored the game's first touchdown, a 1-yard run in the 2nd quarter; Greg Dulcich did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Connor Heyward 1-yard run, Q2 0:17)
Pat Freiermuth first touchdown scorer (+2200)
“And for Pittsburgh, it's Pat Friamuth. at 22 to one tonight.”
Connor Heyward scored the game's first touchdown, a 1-yard run in the 2nd quarter; Pat Freiermuth did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Connor Heyward 1-yard run, Q2 0:17)
Under 144.5
“i like the under in the michigan state penn state game under 144 and a half.”
MSU 76, PSU 72 — Michigan State beat Penn State 76-72; combined 148 points busts the Under 144.5 (ESPN box score).
Memphis Tigers +15.5
“I'm also going to play on Memphis at 15 and a half against Louisville.”
LOU 99, MEM 73 — Louisville beat Memphis 99-73; Memphis's margin of -26 busts +15.5 (ESPN box score).
Alabama Crimson Tide -1.5
“I'm also going to lay the one and a half with Alabama.”
ARIZ 96, ALA 75 — Arizona beat Alabama 96-75; Alabama's margin of -21 busts -1.5 (ESPN box score).
Chicago Bears / Washington Commanders +8.5 teaser
- Chicago Bears teaser leg (line unstated) won
- Washington Commanders +8.5 won
“I guess you could tease like the commanders up to eight and a half if you want to dance and do that with the early window. And maybe that's what I'll end up doing. But I agree. I think this should be like eight, eight and a half. I think that's where we're headed. Commanders, Bears. That's a good teaser.”
CHI 31-3 CLE; WSH 29-21 NYG — Both teaser legs won outright: Bears beat Browns 31-3 and Commanders beat Giants 29-21, so both legs clear any realistic teased line and the parlay wins (ESPN box scores).
Green Bay Packers -2.5
“Green Bay, a more complete team, better team. On the road, you got to lay two and a half. I'm cool with it.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Denver beat Green Bay 34-26; Packers' margin of -8 busts -2.5 (ESPN box score).
Cincinnati Bengals moneyline
“And it is also time to bet the Cincinnati Bengals on the money line.”
BAL 24, CIN 0 — Baltimore beat Cincinnati 24-0 outright, so the Bengals moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos moneyline
“Denver Moneyline is also in pocket.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Denver beat Green Bay 34-26 outright, so the Broncos moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
Seattle Seahawks -23.5 alt spread
“It's Seattle alts for me. No point laying 13 and a half. Let's lay 23 and a half. Let's do that instead.”
SEA 18, IND 16 — Seattle beat Indianapolis 18-16; Seahawks' margin of +2 busts the -23.5 alt spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos +2.5
“Denver plus two and a half is in pocket.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Denver beat Green Bay 34-26; Broncos' margin of +8 covers +2.5 (ESPN box score).
Carolina Panthers -2.5
“I like Carolina in the game. I laid two and a half. I would still lay the two and a half minus 120.”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans beat Carolina 20-17; Panthers' margin of -3 busts -2.5 (ESPN box score).
Iowa Hawkeyes +11.5
“I going to bet Iowa I know Hilton Magic and they unbelievable there in Ames but I going to take the dog Iowa plays a slower pace The total's been getting to the under. I think they keep the game competitive within double digits. So I'll take the 11-and-a-half with the Hawkeyes.”
66-62 — Iowa State beat Iowa 66-62; Iowa covers +11.5 (lost by only 4). (ESPN box score)
Atlanta Falcons +5.5
“And I think that's why I'm betting the five and a half with Atlanta. It's a small bet.”
29-28 — Falcons beat Buccaneers 29-28; Atlanta covers +5.5 (won outright). (ESPN box score)
Darnell Mooney first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“he's got his go-to guy in Darnell Mooney at 14-1 to be the first TD scorer.”
Sean Tucker scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run; Darnell Mooney did not score first. (ESPN play-by-play) (First touchdown: Sean Tucker (1-yard run))
Rachaad White first touchdown scorer (+1900)
“How about Rachaad White at 19 to 1? So it's Darnell Mooney, Rachaad White, and I'll see you on the island.”
Sean Tucker scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run; Rachaad White did not score first. (ESPN play-by-play) (First touchdown: Sean Tucker (1-yard run))
Josh Allen to win NFL MVP (+1400)
“So for me this week, Josh Allen at 14 to one is a bet to win MVP.”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award, not Josh Allen. (Wikipedia, citing AP)
Sean Payton to win NFL Coach of the Year (+4000) · BetMGM
“I think it's Broncos head coach, Sean Payton at 40 to one.”
Mike Vrabel (Patriots) won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award, not Sean Payton. (NFL.com)
Orlando Magic -1 (-110)
“I'll lay the one at minus 110.”
ORL 117, MIA 108 — Orlando Magic beat Miami Heat 117-108; Magic -1 covers (ESPN).
Under 154
“So I'm betting under 154 in that game.”
MICH 89, VILL 61 — Michigan beat Villanova 89-61 (combined 150); under 154 covers (ESPN).
Clemson Tigers +5.5
“So give me the five and a half with the Tigers against BYU.”
BYU 67, CLEM 64 — BYU beat Clemson 67-64; Clemson +5.5 covers, losing by 3 (ESPN).
Arizona Cardinals +10
“But I took 10 with Arizona.”
HOU 40, ARI 20 — Texans beat Cardinals 40-20; Arizona +10 busts, losing by 20 (ESPN).
Detroit Lions +6
“So I took six, and I also bet Moneyline.”
LAR 41, DET 34 — Rams beat Lions 41-34; Detroit +6 busts, losing by 7 (ESPN).
Detroit Lions moneyline (+225)
“I took six and money line plus two 25.”
LAR 41, DET 34 — Rams beat Lions 41-34; Detroit Lions moneyline busts (ESPN).
Over 144.5
“So give me over 144 and a half.”
UCONN 77, FLA 73 — UConn beat Florida 77-73 (combined 150); over 144.5 covers (ESPN).
Diego Pavia to win Heisman Trophy (+1000) · BetMGM
“put it on Diego Pavia at 10 to one. I think it's worth a bet. I'm adding some Pavia to my portfolio”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on Dec 13, 2025; Vanderbilt's Diego Pavia finished second, so the Pavia futures bet loses (Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza; runner-up: Diego Pavia)
Miami Hurricanes +4
“i like miami i think miami is going to win the game so i'm gonna bet plus four i also have some money line as well”
10-3 — Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 in the CFP first round, a 7-point margin that covers +4 (ESPN).
Miami Hurricanes
“i like miami i think miami is going to win the game so i'm gonna bet plus four i also have some money line as well”
10-3 — Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 in the CFP first round; the Miami moneyline covers (ESPN).
Ole Miss Rebels -17
“I'm laying the 17 or better. I'm laying it. So to me, it's a pretty easy bet. Ole Miss is my bet in this game.”
41-10 — Ole Miss beat Tulane 41-10 in the CFP first round, a 31-point margin that covers -17 (ESPN).
Oregon Ducks -21
“This is a blowout. I'm laying the 21 with Oregon.”
51-34 — Oregon beat James Madison 51-34 in the CFP first round, a 17-point margin that falls short of -21 (ESPN).
Under 42
“So give me under 42.”
22-19 — The Chargers beat the Eagles 22-19 in overtime; the 41 combined points clear the under 42 (ESPN).
Saquon Barkley over 69.5 rushing yards
“I'm going Saquon over 69 and a half rushing yards.”
22-19 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 122 yards on 20 carries, clearing the 69.5 over line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 122 rushing yards)
Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown scorer (+110)
“And also Saquon anytime. TD plus 110.”
22-19 — Saquon Barkley scored a rushing touchdown in the Eagles' overtime loss to the Chargers; the anytime-TD bet wins (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 1 rushing touchdown)
Saquon Barkley first touchdown scorer (+600)
“Big Saquon game tonight at 6-1. Saquon Barkley for your first TD score”
Omarion Hampton scored the game's first touchdown, a 4-yard reception in the first quarter, not Saquon Barkley; the first-TD-scorer bet busts (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Omarion Hampton, 4-yd reception)
Oronde Gadsden II first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“Oronde Gadsden II with Alana Pedigree at 15-1 to be your first TD score.”
Omarion Hampton scored the game's first touchdown, a 4-yard reception in the first quarter, not Oronde Gadsden II; the first-TD-scorer bet busts (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Omarion Hampton, 4-yd reception)
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs (+360)
“Kansas City's plus 360. sounds crazy after what we saw yesterday but I tell you what man I'm betting that plus 360”
Kansas City finished the 2025 regular season 6-11 and did not qualify for the playoffs (NFL.com official standings).
Texas Tech Red Raiders -12.5
“I'm laying the 12 and a half. I think the Red Raiders just have way too much talent.”
34-7 — Texas Tech beat BYU 34-7 in the Big 12 Championship, a 27-point margin that covers -12.5 (ESPN).
Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline
“I will have Alabama money line prior to kickoff in this game.”
28-7 — Alabama lost to Georgia 7-28 in the SEC Championship; the Alabama moneyline busts (ESPN).
New York Jets +3 · BetMGM
“So to me, gangrene plus three.”
34-10 — Miami beat the Jets 34-10, a 24-point margin that busts the Jets' +3 (ESPN).
New York Knicks +1
“I like the New York Knicks tonight. I'm going to take the one with the New York Knicks against the Boston Celtics.”
BOS 123, NY 117 — The Celtics beat the Knicks 123-117 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); New York's -6 margin busts the +1 spread.
Iowa +5.5
“I'm with you on Iowa. I do like Iowa plus 5.5. Went ahead and bet that in the last break here.”
MSU 71, IOWA 52 — Michigan State beat Iowa 71-52 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); Iowa's -19 margin busts the +5.5 spread.
Over 147.5
“I'm actually going to play the over in Tennessee and Syracuse. I'm going to go over 147 and a half.”
SYR 62, TENN 60 — Syracuse beat Tennessee 62-60 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); the combined 122 points misses the over 147.5.
Over 157.5
“I will be off of taco with you, PJ. Give me the over at Cameron Indoor Stadium. I'm going over 157 and a half between Florida and Duke.”
DUKE 67, FLA 66 — Duke beat Florida 67-66 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); the combined 133 points misses the over 157.5.
Rutgers +13.5
“Rutgers is getting a couple too many points at home against Purdue. It's not great because Purdue is super efficient, but 13.5. I'm taking it with Rutgers. This was 16 on the overnights, so clearly everyone has been on this bet here, so usually those go really well. So give me the Scarlet Knights plus 13.5.”
PUR 81, RUTG 65 — Purdue beat Rutgers 81-65 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); Rutgers's -16 margin busts the +13.5 spread.
North Carolina +7
“We'll be Oppo Taco in Carolina, Kentucky. I like North Carolina getting seven. You're playing six and a half. I'm taking seven with North Carolina.”
UNC 67, UK 64 — North Carolina beat Kentucky 67-64 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Tar Heels won outright, covering +7.
Oregon +3.5
“And then finally, a little West Coast action, a little late night. Give me Dana Altman in the Oregon Ducks. Usually I wait until March to bet on Dana Altman because his teams in the non-conference tend to get a little bit weird. Although this is a conference game, I'll take three and a half.”
USC 82, ORE 77 — USC beat Oregon 82-77 on Dec 2, 2025 (ESPN box score); Oregon's -5 margin busts the +3.5 spread.
Chicago Bears +6.5
“So to me, I think Bears plus 6.5 is a bet. I'm not sure if I'm there yet for them to win, but to take the points, to me, it feels like we're getting a little bit too many points with the Chicago team based on what we've seen from Green Bay's run defense this season.”
GB 28, CHI 21 — The Packers beat the Bears 28-21 on Dec 7, 2025 (ESPN box score); Chicago's -7 margin busts the +6.5 spread.
Los Angeles Chargers to miss playoffs · BetMGM
“I feel like we need to be betting Chargers to miss.”
The Los Angeles Chargers finished 11-6 and clinched a wild-card playoff berth (ESPN standings); the bet on them to miss the playoffs does not cash.
Dak Prescott to win NFL MVP
“I have some Cowboys long shots of, I have Dak Prescott at a price that is no longer available to win MVP.”
Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award (announced Feb 2026), not Dak Prescott, so the pick loses.
Cincinnati Bengals to win AFC North
“I bet the Bengals to win the AFC North.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers won the 2025 AFC North at 10-7, clinching the division in Week 18 (ESPN standings); the Bengals did not win the division.
Cincinnati Bengals to win AFC (+8000)
“I also made that bet as well at 80-1.”
The New England Patriots were the 2025 AFC champion and represented the AFC in Super Bowl LX, per NFL.com; the Bengals did not win the AFC.
Los Angeles Lakers -5
“it gonna be a small bet for me on the Lakers I gonna lay the five with them at home”
PHX 125, LAL 108 — The Suns beat the Lakers 125-108 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); Los Angeles lost outright, missing the -5 spread by 17 points.
New York Giants moneyline
“I will actually, I'll put a small money line betting on the Giants as well”
NE 33, NYG 15 — The Patriots beat the Giants 33-15 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); New York's moneyline busts.
New York Giants +7.5
“I bet Giants plus, I talked about it all week last week, Giants plus seven and a half.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — The Patriots beat the Giants 33-15 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); New York's -18 margin busts the +7.5 spread.
Wan'Dale Robinson first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“let's go with the guy who plays all of the snaps in Wan'Dale Robinson at 14-1 as your first TD scorer.”
Marcus Jones scored the game's first touchdown on a 94-yard punt return at 5:17 of the first quarter, per ESPN's play-by-play; Wan'Dale Robinson did not score first. (First TD: Marcus Jones, 94-yard punt return)
Hunter Henry first touchdown scorer (+1000)
“Hunter Henry is our guy at 10-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
Marcus Jones scored the game's first touchdown on a 94-yard punt return at 5:17 of the first quarter, per ESPN's play-by-play; Hunter Henry did not score first. (First TD: Marcus Jones, 94-yard punt return)
Detroit Lions -10
“I laid 10 with this news officially came out.”
Detroit 34, NY Giants 27 — Detroit beat NY Giants 34-27 in OT (ESPN); Lions won by only 7, busting the -10 spread.
New England Patriots -6.5
“I laid six and a half earlier this morning.”
New England 26, Cincinnati 20 — New England beat Cincinnati 26-20 (ESPN); Patriots won by only 6, busting the -6.5 spread.
Minnesota Vikings +6.5
“I am betting Minnesota. I have already bet Minnesota plus six and a half.”
Green Bay 23, Minnesota 6 — Green Bay beat Minnesota 23-6 (ESPN); Vikings lost by 17, busting the +6.5 spread.
Arizona Cardinals +3
“I love the Cardinals at plus three. I also bet some money line.”
Jacksonville 27, Arizona 24 — Jacksonville beat Arizona 27-24 in OT (ESPN); Cardinals lost by exactly 3, pushing the +3 spread.
Arizona Cardinals moneyline (+145)
“So for me, Cardinals plus three, Cardinals Moneyline plus 145.”
Jacksonville 27, Arizona 24 — Arizona lost 24-27 in OT to Jacksonville (ESPN); moneyline busts.
USC Trojans +10
“I do like USC plus 10.”
Oregon 42, USC 27 — Oregon beat USC 42-27 (ESPN); USC lost by 15, busting the +10 spread.
Kentucky Wildcats +9
“Give me Kentucky plus 9.”
Vanderbilt 45, Kentucky 17 — Vanderbilt beat Kentucky 45-17 (ESPN); Kentucky lost by 28, busting the +9 spread.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -2.5
“I'll lay two and a half with Georgia Tech.”
Pittsburgh 42, Georgia Tech 28 — Pittsburgh beat Georgia Tech 42-28 (Georgia Tech Athletics); Georgia Tech lost by 14, busting the -2.5 spread.
Florida Gators +4
“I'll take four with Florida against Tennessee.”
Tennessee 31, Florida 11 — Tennessee beat Florida 31-11 (ESPN); Florida lost by 20, busting the +4 spread.
Cincinnati Bearcats +2.5
“I'll take two and a half with Cincinnati against BYU.”
BYU 26, Cincinnati 14 — BYU beat Cincinnati 26-14 (ESPN); Cincinnati lost by 12, busting the +2.5 spread.
Colorado Buffaloes +7.5
“You meet Coach Prime and plus seven and a half with Colorado against Arizona State.”
Arizona State 42, Colorado 17 — Arizona State beat Colorado 42-17 (ESPN); Colorado lost by 25, busting the +7.5 spread.
Houston Texans to win the AFC South (+1600)
“I want to bet Houston 16 to one to win the AFC South. I think this team is going to surge at the end of the season. And the Indianapolis Colts starting on Sunday, we're going to see some of what we saw prior to the bye week. I think the Colts have a second half swoon. Texans steal the division at price. I think it makes a ton of sense. I bet 16-1.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars won the 2025 AFC South at 13-4; Houston finished second at 12-5, so the Texans-to-win-the-division future lost (ESPN standings). (Jaguars 13-4, Texans 12-5 (final 2025 AFC South standings))
Tyrell Shavers first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“We need a no-doubter in Tyrell Shavers to be your first TD score at 20-1.”
James Cook III scored the game's first touchdown on a 45-yard run in the 1st quarter; Tyrell Shavers did not score the first touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: James Cook III, 45-yard run, Q1 9:11)
Dalton Schultz first touchdown scorer (+1600)
“And for Houston, Davis Mills is going to be looking for all reliable. With Buffalo trying to load up to stop the run. That's when he hits his tight end, Dalton Schultz, for a little play action on the opening drive. And it will be Schultz at 16-1 as your first TD scorer.”
James Cook III scored the game's first touchdown on a 45-yard run in the 1st quarter; Dalton Schultz did not score the first touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: James Cook III, 45-yard run, Q1 9:11)
Cincinnati +2.5
“Like Miami stuff aside, I do like Cincinnati plus two and a half.”
BYU 26, CIN 14 — BYU beat Cincinnati 26-14 on the road; the Bearcats lost by 12, outside the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
Cincinnati
“Because I like Cincinnati. on Saturday. Like Miami stuff aside, I do like Cincinnati plus two and a half. I like them to win the game, of course.”
BYU 26, CIN 14 — Cincinnati lost 26-14 to BYU at home; the moneyline busts (ESPN).
Vanderbilt Commodores to make College Football Playoff (+320)
“I think it's worth something to take a stab on Vandy at plus 320”
Vanderbilt reached No. 10 in the final CFP rankings but was left out of the 12-team 2025-26 College Football Playoff field, so the make-the-playoff future lost (Wikipedia CFP field summary). (Vanderbilt: final CFP rank No. 10, missed the 12-team field)
Houston Texans to make the playoffs (+390)
“I love it. I love this bet. I have some plus 390 from a couple of weeks ago on Houston. I still recommend it here at plus 300.”
Houston finished the 2025 season 12-5 and clinched an AFC wild-card berth, so the Texans-to-make-the-playoffs future won (ESPN standings). (Texans: 12-5, AFC wild card)
Houston Texans moneyline (+230)
“I think Houston is very live to win this game. You can find plus 230 out there in the betting market.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — The Texans beat the Bills 23-19; the Houston moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
Cleveland Browns +4
“This went from three, three and a half to now four, the Las Vegas Raiders four-point favorites on Sunday against the Cleveland Browns. The total is even at 36, which, I mean, at first glance, that total seems like it's 10 points too high. I don't know where the points are coming from in this game. For those of you who are still brave enough to bet NFL totals, I am no longer amongst you folks, but for those of you who are, to me, that seems like a slam dunk under at a 36. Like this to me just screams 13, 10, 12 to nine, that kind of a game. But hey, I guess they put the total at 36 because maybe the quarterbacks throw pick sixes or turn the ball over deep in their own territory. That's probably the way that you're going to get points in that particular game. But when I think about this game, quarterback stuff aside, it could be Shador, it could be Dylan Gabriel, it could be Kelly Holcomb. I don't know, whoever. The best unit on the field is still the Cleveland Browns defense, and it's by a pretty wide margin. And now a Raiders team, who, by the way, coming off of a short week, they're at home, but it's a short week, just lost to the Dallas Cowboys on Monday. A Raiders team that has a bad quarterback, has no offensive line, and has a defense that outside of Max Crosby can't do anything. Why can't Cleveland craft a game plan to be competitive in the game? You're going to unleash Miles Garrett on that offensive line that we saw Monday night that made the Dallas Cowboys defense look like one of the top half defenses in the league. Miles Garrett might break the single season sack record on Sunday against that terrible Raiders offensive line. This defense is awesome for Cleveland. That's not been a question. So for me, Shador Sanders at quarterback, everyone says, oh, rookie quarterback on the road, time to fade him. Usually I would be right there with you. But this Raiders team, that's not the team that you want to fade Shador Sanders with. To me, this is a bet on the Cleveland Browns”
Cleveland 24, Las Vegas 10 — Cleveland beat Las Vegas 24-10, covering the Browns' +4 spread with an outright win (ESPN box score).
Houston Rockets -1.5
“As for tonight, though, to get some bets in before we wrap things up here, in the NBA, I like the Rockets laying one and a half.”
Houston 114, Cleveland 104 — Houston, the only Rockets game that night, beat Cleveland 114-104, covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
Portland Trail Blazers +3
“I also like the Trailblazers getting three against the Chicago Bulls”
Chicago 122, Portland 121 — Chicago beat Portland 122-121; the Trail Blazers lost by only 1, covering +3 (ESPN box score).
Arizona +6.5
“and college basketball. Give me Arizona plus six and a half against UConn.”
Arizona 71, UConn 67 — Arizona beat UConn 71-67 outright, easily covering +6.5 (ESPN box score).
Tom Wilson anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Frozen Femi on the ice. Capitals right winger Tom Wilson plus 200 as they take on Edmonton”
Washington beat Edmonton 7-4; Tom Wilson scored two third-period goals, cashing the anytime goal scorer prop (ESPN box score). (Tom Wilson 2 goals)
Nazem Kadri anytime goal scorer (+220)
“and then the Calgary Flames Nazem Kadri at plus 220 against the Buffalo Sabres. Both guys will light the lamp tonight and we will cash tickets later this evening.”
Calgary beat Buffalo 6-2; Nazem Kadri had 2 assists but 0 goals, so the anytime goal scorer prop lost (ESPN box score). (Nazem Kadri 0 goals, 2 assists)
Kentucky Wildcats -3.5
“Yeah, I think we're going to end up on the same side here. I'm rocking with Kentucky. I'll lay the three and a half with Kentucky.”
66-83 — Michigan State beat Kentucky 83-66; Kentucky's -3.5 margin of -17 busts.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -2.5
“i think my favorite bet is georgia tech laying the two and a half against pitt”
28-42 — Pittsburgh beat Georgia Tech 42-28; Georgia Tech's -2.5 margin of -14 busts.
Navy Midshipmen at North Carolina Tar Heels under 161
“I do like the under in Navy and North Carolina, under 161. North Carolina's defense has been really good. So I don't think Navy's going to score. Can Navy get to 40? I'm not so sure. I know North Carolina plays with tempo. That's why it's high. But I think they're going to lock them down. I like the under in the game.”
61-73 — North Carolina beat Navy 73-61; combined total of 134 goes under the 161 line.
Cam Boozer to win the Wooden Award
“Cam Boozer, who I believe is the bet right now to win the Wooden Award. So go ahead and get it before the game tips later tonight at 9 o'clock.”
Duke freshman Cameron Boozer won the 2026 John R. Wooden Award as the nation's top player. (2026 Wooden Award winner: Cameron Boozer)
Golden State Warriors -3
“Yeah, got some good CLV and some negative CLV. The first one is with the Warriors. I laid three. There's now a two out there in the market. Whatever.”
113-121 — Magic beat Warriors 121-113; Golden State's -3 margin of -8 busts.
Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets over 221
“I also like the over between the Celtics and the Nets. You're going to see me betting these overs in these Nets games. They are putrid on defense. Boston pretty well rested as well. Pretty healthy, like relatively speaking, heading into this season. But I like the over 221.”
113-99 — Celtics beat Nets 113-99; combined total of 212 misses the over 221 line.
Memphis Grizzlies +6
“And I also like the Grizzlies plus six. No Ja Morant. I actually think that's a good thing. This is addition by subtraction. The vibes have been off with Ja. With Spurs banged up, no Wemby, no Castle tonight. Grizzlies plus six.”
101-111 — Spurs beat Grizzlies 111-101; Memphis's +6 margin of -10 busts.
Houston Texans +6
“And at six, it's a bet for me on the Houston Texans.”
23-19 — Texans beat Bills 23-19; Houston's +6 margin of +4 covers.
Diego Pavia to win the Heisman Trophy (+2200)
“So that's it for me this week. Diego Pavia at 22 to 1 to win the Heisman.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy, beating out Diego Pavia and others. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
New York Knicks at Miami Heat under 244.5
“I'm going to bet the under between the Knicks and the heat. This bad boy is all the way up to two 44 and a half.”
MIA 115, NY 113 — Miami beat New York 115-113, a combined 228 points, under the 244.5 total (ESPN).
Morgan Geekie anytime goal (+180)
“Morgan Geeky of the Bruins, plus 180 against Carolina.”
CAR 3, BOS 1 — Carolina beat Boston 3-1 on goals by Jordan Staal, Mark Jankowski, and Taylor Hall; Morgan Geekie did not score (ESPN).
Troy Terry anytime goal (+275)
“And then the Anaheim Ducks, Troy Terry, plus 275 against the Utah Mammoth.”
ANA 3, UTA 2 (OT) — Troy Terry scored the tying goal late in regulation as Anaheim beat Utah 3-2 in overtime (ESPN).
Ryan Flournoy first touchdown scorer (+5000)
“it's ryan flannoy who scored a touchdown a couple of weeks ago he'll score the first one tonight at 50 to 1”
DAL 33, LV 16 — CeeDee Lamb scored the game's first touchdown (18-yard reception in the 2nd quarter); Ryan Flournoy was not the first scorer (ESPN scoring summary).
Tyler Lockett first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“For the Raiders, the Cowboys defense among the worst in the league to this point, can't cover anyone, so Geno's gonna find an old friend in Tyler Lockett at a big price. Tyler Lockett at 25 to 1.”
DAL 33, LV 16 — CeeDee Lamb scored the game's first touchdown (18-yard reception in the 2nd quarter); Tyler Lockett was not the first scorer (ESPN scoring summary).
Washington Commanders moneyline (+130) · BetMGM
“great I be on the other side commanders went out right that my bet Commanders money line plus 130”
Miami 16, Washington 13 (OT) — Miami beat Washington 16-13 in overtime, so the Commanders moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Titans +7
“Now, this number is no longer available, but I'll give out the one that I bet. And I'll also talk about the current number. I took Titans plus seven. It's now sitting at six.”
Houston 16, Tennessee 13 — Houston beat Tennessee 16-13; Titans lost by only 3, covering +7 (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Vikings -2.5
“The Minnesota Vikings laying two and a half against the Chicago Bears. The Bears love has just gone way too far for me. Once again, the teams that they've beaten since the bye week, it is the Commanders, Saints, Bengals, and the Giants. The defense rests its case. We can move on. Vikings minus two and a half.”
Chicago 19, Minnesota 17 — Chicago beat Minnesota 19-17; Vikings lost by 2, short of the -2.5 line, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5
“I like Tampa plus the five and a half.”
Buffalo 44, Tampa Bay 32 — Buffalo beat Tampa Bay 44-32; Bucs lost by 12, well short of +5.5, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline (+210)
“Also bet Tampa on the money line at plus 210”
Buffalo 44, Tampa Bay 32 — Buffalo beat Tampa Bay 44-32, so the Buccaneers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
San Francisco 49ers -2.5
“I bet the Niners minus two and a half earlier in the week.”
San Francisco 41, Arizona 22 — San Francisco beat Arizona 41-22, a margin of +19, covering the -2.5 line (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
“And finally, my last NFL bet that I placed, but we're monitoring some others. But this is the last one that already in the pending wagers category The Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs are laying three and a half at Denver I love Kansas city”
Denver 22, Kansas City 19 — Denver beat Kansas City 22-19; Chiefs lost by 3, short of the -3.5 line, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Pittsburgh Panthers +12.5
“I like the Pitt Panthers plus the 12 and a half.”
Notre Dame 37, Pittsburgh 15 — Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh 37-15; Pittsburgh lost outright, so +12.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma Sooners +6
“Also, I like Oklahoma plus six against Alabama.”
Oklahoma 23, Alabama 21 — Oklahoma beat Alabama 23-21, a margin of +2, covering the +6 line (ESPN box score).
Miami Hurricanes -14.5
“I'm also going to lay it with Miami against NC State. I'll lay the 14 and a half.”
Miami 41, NC State 7 — Miami beat NC State 41-7, a margin of +34, covering the -14.5 line (ESPN box score).
USC Trojans -6.5
“I'll also lay the six and a half with USC.”
USC 26, Iowa 21 — USC beat Iowa 26-21, a margin of only +5, short of the -6.5 line, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Michigan State Spartans +7
“Also take the seven with Michigan State at home against Penn State.”
Penn State 28, Michigan State 10 — Penn State beat Michigan State 28-10; Spartans lost by 18, well short of +7, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Texas Longhorns +6.5
“And finally, hook them horns. Texas plus six and a half.”
Georgia 35, Texas 10 — Georgia beat Texas 35-10; Longhorns lost by 25, well short of +6.5, so it busts (ESPN box score).
Texas Longhorns moneyline
“Also, Texas money line against Georgia.”
Georgia 35, Texas 10 — Georgia beat Texas 35-10, so the Texas moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
New England Patriots -11.5
“Yeah, it's one that we talked about on Monday when we're looking at the lookaheads for Week 11. I laid it with the New England Patriots, got a better number that's currently available. I laid 11.5.”
27-14 — Patriots beat the Jets 27-14, a 13-point margin that covered New England -11.5 (ESPN box score).
Mason Taylor anytime touchdown (+1500) · BetMGM
“As Mason Taylor Finds the end zone at 15-1 Over at BetMGM”
27-14 — Mason Taylor caught 4 passes for 30 yards with no touchdown as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14; the anytime TD prop lost (ESPN box score). (Mason Taylor: 0 touchdowns)
Mack Hollins first touchdown (+1200)
“Give me Mack Hollins at 12-1 to be your first TD score.”
27-14 — Mack Hollins finished with 4 catches for 64 yards and 0 touchdowns as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14; he did not score the first touchdown or any touchdown, so the prop lost (ESPN box score). (Mack Hollins: 0 touchdowns)
Chicago Bulls -2.5
“I do like the Chicago Bulls tonight I know that up to two and a half I still like it there This is a nice spot to fade the Detroit Pistons coming off the Cade Cunningham game short rest I like Chicago tonight.”
124-113 — Pistons beat the Bulls 124-113 outright; Chicago -2.5 lost (ESPN box score).
Orlando Magic-New York Knicks over 226.5
“I'm also going to bet the over in the Magics and the Knicks. The Magic defense, not as good as it was last year, obviously. And also New York with the tempo that they play with. I like this spot a lot here for both of these teams to score points in the Garden at the Mecca. So give me Magic, Knicks over 226.5”
124-107 — Magic beat the Knicks 124-107, a combined 231 points, over the 226.5 total (ESPN box score).
Joel Eriksson Ek anytime goal (+215)
“Mr. Joel Erickson-Eck of the Minnesota Wild, plus 215.”
Joel Eriksson Ek did not score in Sharks 2, Wild 1 (OT); the goal scorers were Boldy, Smith, and Graf (ESPN box score). (Joel Eriksson Ek: 0 goals)
Cale Makar anytime goal (+285)
“I'm also going to go with the D-man. Colorado Avalanches, Kale McCarver, without a heater, plus 285.”
Cale Makar did not score in Avalanche 4, Ducks 1; he recorded two assists but the goal scorers were Lehkonen, Carlsson, Landeskog, Necas, and Kelly (ESPN box score). (Cale Makar: 0 goals)
Jordan Eberle anytime goal (+225)
“Give me Jordan Eberle at plus 225 to light the lamp.”
Jordan Eberle did not score in Blue Jackets 2, Kraken 1 (SO); his shootout attempt was saved (ESPN box score). (Jordan Eberle: 0 goals)
Toronto Raptors-Brooklyn Nets over 231
“so I like the over. Decent rest spot as well for them, so over 231.”
TOR 119, BKN 109 — Raptors beat Nets 119-109; combined score of 228 fell short of the 231 total (ESPN box score).
Golden State Warriors +7.5
“So I'll take 7.5 with Golden State.”
OKC 126, GS 102 — Thunder beat Warriors 126-102; Golden State's margin (-24) fell short of the +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Nuggets -8.5
“laying the 8.5 with the Denver Nuggets.”
DEN 122, SAC 108 — Nuggets beat Kings 122-108; margin of victory (+14) covered the -8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Kentucky Wildcats-Louisville Cardinals under 173.5
“I'm going to go under 173 and a half”
LOU 96, UK 88 — Louisville beat Kentucky 96-88; combined score of 184 exceeded the 173.5 total, busting the under (ESPN box score).
Florida Gators -17
“I'm going to lay the 17 with Florida.”
FLA 78, FSU 76 — Florida beat Florida State 78-76; margin of victory (+2) fell short of the -17 spread (ESPN box score).
Illinois Fighting Illini -3.5
“I also like Illinois. I laid the three and a half.”
ILL 81, TTU 77 — Illinois beat Texas Tech 81-77; margin of victory (+4) covered the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams -2.5
“If I had not laid Rams two and a half, I don't think I would lay Rams three.”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Rams beat Seahawks 21-19; margin of victory (+2) fell short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Jacksonville Jaguars under 9.5 wins
“So the win total is at 9.5. Yeah, I bet that under.”
Jacksonville finished the 2025 regular season 13-4, above the 9.5 win total; the under lost (ESPN standings).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5
“I think Buffalo's offense is in such a bad place and the defense already just being so-so on their best day. I think this is way too big of a number for Buffalo to cover at home. And I like Tampa plus the 5.5. I think Tampa's actually live to win the game. So if you want to get frisky, you can bet some plus 210. But 5.5 for sure for me with the Buccaneers.”
BUF 44, TB 32 — Bills beat Buccaneers 44-32; Tampa Bay lost by 12, well outside the +5.5 spread (ESPN).
Minnesota Vikings -2.5
“The Vikings, I laid 2.5 last night with Minnesota against Chicago. At 3, it's just a pass. But if it ever gets back to 2.5, because I do think there will be some interest in the Bears because the Bears are on this win streak. And everyone sees this corner being turned by Caleb Williams. And maybe the 2.5 comes back at some point this week. But if it does, I would advise grabbing that with Minnesota. I think this is a better football team than what the Chicago Bears are, and I think the Bears have been kind of getting by on some smoke and mirrors, which I do not believe. I think yesterday was more about your team, the Giants, than it was about Chicago being like this playoff caliber team, even though if the playoffs started today, they would be the seventh seed. So Minnesota laying two and a half for me at home was a pretty easy bet last night to make.”
CHI 19, MIN 17 — Bears beat Vikings 19-17; Minnesota lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Green Bay Packers moneyline (-105)
“I love the Packers tonight, so I'm betting them on the money line at minus 105.”
PHI 10, GB 7 — Eagles beat Packers 10-7; Green Bay lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).
Dallas Goedert first touchdown scorer
“But for the first TD scores on Philly, good tight ends do numbers against this defense. Sam Laporta, Jake Ferguson, Trey McBride all had success. Everyone's thinking Tush Push Revenge Give me Dallas Goddard for Philadelphia”
DeVonta Smith scored the game's only offensive touchdown, a 36-yard catch from Jalen Hurts; Dallas Goedert did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: DeVonta Smith 36-yd reception)
Jordan Love first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“And for Green Bay Let's get in touch with reality Tonight for survival on the island We'll need to take a Lambo leap of faith And pair up with a guy who's hot or cold pending the week We're going for a perfect 10 On Love Island Jordan Love is calling his own number at 40 to 1”
DeVonta Smith scored the game's only offensive touchdown, a 36-yard catch from Jalen Hurts; Jordan Love did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: DeVonta Smith 36-yd reception)
Houston Texans +1
“This, to me, is a bet on Houston. Right now, you can find plus one on the Houston Texans. Maybe people keep betting Jacksonville once it's confirmed that C.J. Stroud is out, or I believe that it's already confirmed, but I think there's going to be people that say, I get to bet against Davis Mills. Great. Fine. We'll bet on Davis Mills. I love the Houston Texans.”
HOU 36, JAX 29 — Texans beat the Jaguars 36-29, winning outright, which covers the +1 spread for Houston backers (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans moneyline
“And please, please, please give me plus money on the money line because the Texans are going to win this upcoming Sunday.”
HOU 36, JAX 29 — Texans beat the Jaguars 36-29, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints +5.5
“I bet plus five and a half earlier this morning.”
NO 17, CAR 7 — Saints beat the Panthers 17-7, covering the +5.5 spread by winning outright (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints moneyline (+210)
“I also bet New Orleans on the money line at plus 210.”
NO 17, CAR 7 — Saints beat the Panthers 17-7, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Dylan Larkin anytime goal scorer (+155)
“Just one goal scorer bet for me tonight. And this is the guy that is my white whale. But hey, like we're always going to bet him whenever we have an advantageous spot. And it is the Red Wing center, Dylan Larkin, I guess the New York Rangers. He's plus 155, a little bit shorter than what I usually bet. But it's only one bet tonight as opposed to yesterday's five bets. So Dylan Larkin, the one goal scorer tonight on the ice.”
Rangers beat Red Wings 4-1; Dylan Larkin did not score, with goals from Lafreniere, Laba, Cuylle and Panarin (ESPN box score). (Larkin 0 goals; Rangers 4, Red Wings 1)
Kansas Jayhawks +2.5
“And the way he phrased it made a lot of sense to me, and I'm going to bet it this way. Kansas plus two and a half tonight against North Carolina because on one side we have Bill Self and on the other side we have Hubert Davis.”
UNC 87, KU 74 — North Carolina beat Kansas 87-74; Kansas lost by 13, well outside the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
Houston Rockets-San Antonio Spurs under 224
“I'll go with the under, 224. I mean, these are two really elite defensive teams. I think you're going to see an effort that's not like a playoff type of atmosphere or a playoff type of effort. But this is going to be a little bit more charged up than your normal regular season game. Friday night, NBA Cup, so it has that stakes attached to it as well. I'm going to play the under 224 between the Rockets and the Spurs.”
SA 121, HOU 110 — Spurs beat Rockets 121-110; the combined 231 points went over the 224 total (ESPN).
Golden State Warriors +10
“Let's bet the Golden State Warriors. Plus 10 on the road in Denver. Tough spot, but the Warriors are a very, very good team. I like Golden State to at least hang within the number.”
DEN 129, GS 104 — Nuggets beat Warriors 129-104; Golden State lost by 25, well outside the +10 spread (ESPN).
Detroit Pistons-Brooklyn Nets over 226.5
“If anything, I'll just bet the over because the Nets can't defend anyone. that's how I would attack that over 226.5”
DET 125, BKN 107 — Pistons beat Nets 125-107; the combined 232 points went over the 226.5 total (ESPN).
Tulane Green Wave +3.5
“I'll also play three and a half with Tulane in the American game. This is a massive game for college ball playoff implications. Tulane coming off a bad loss to UTSA. Jake Retzlaff, I think, is the better quarterback in the game. So give me the better quarterback getting points on what will be a back and forth affair in Memphis. I'll take plus three and a half with the green wave.”
TULN 38, MEM 32 — Tulane beat Memphis 38-32 on the road; Tulane won outright, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
Mississippi State Bulldogs +8.5
“Give me Mississippi State plus eight and a half against Georgia. This is a quintessential sandwich spot here.”
UGA 41, MSST 21 — Georgia beat Mississippi State 41-21; Mississippi State lost by 20, well outside the +8.5 spread (ESPN).
Texas Tech Red Raiders -10
“I'm also going to lay 10 with Texas Tech. I think this is the stand-on business spot is what I call this one.”
TTU 29, BYU 7 — Texas Tech beat BYU 29-7; Texas Tech won by 22, covering the -10 spread (ESPN).
Auburn Tigers +6.5
“I also like Auburn plus six and a half against Vandy. in the first game post-firing of Hugh Freeze. Vandy also plays in a lot of these close games as well. They don't really blow people out, so give me the Tigers plus 6.5.”
VANDY 45, AUB 38 (OT) — Vanderbilt beat Auburn 45-38 in overtime; Auburn lost by 7, missing the +6.5 spread by half a point (ESPN).
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5
“I'll take Wake Forest plus 6.5 because I agree with Colin Wilson, who said earlier, Virginia is not good. They're not a CFP team. Somehow, someway, they have played three overtime games, and they've won all three. This Ponzi scheme that they're running down there in Charlottesville has to end. Wake Forest plus 6.5.”
WAKE 16, UVA 9 — Wake Forest beat Virginia 16-9; Wake Forest won by 7, covering the +6.5 spread (ESPN).
LSU Tigers +11
“And then finally, I will play on LSU in the dead cat bounce spot, plus 11 as they take on Alabama.”
ALA 20, LSU 9 — Alabama beat LSU 20-9; LSU lost by exactly 11, pushing against the +11 spread (ESPN).
Oregon Ducks -6.5
“Oh, well, apparently I got to bet six and a half now then. I thought there was more Iowa money coming in.”
ORE 18, IOWA 16 — Oregon beat Iowa 18-16; Oregon won by only 2, missing the -6.5 spread (ESPN).
Seattle Seahawks -7
“Even at seven, it's a bet on the Seahawks. I actually think the Seahawks blow them out.”
SEA 44, ARI 22 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 44-22; Seattle won by 22, covering the -7 spread (ESPN).
Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer (+310)
“st louis blues dylan holloway plus 310”
STL 3, BUF 0 — Dylan Holloway did not score as the Blues shut out the Sabres 3-0; St. Louis's goals came from Mathieu Joseph, Nick Bjugstad, and Justin Faulk (NHL.com recap).
Dylan Cozens anytime goal scorer (+240)
“senator senator dylan cozen plus 240”
BOS 3, OTT 2 — Dylan Cozens did not score as the Senators lost 3-2 in overtime to the Bruins; Ottawa's goals came from Michael Amadio and Claude Giroux (NHL.com recap).
Timo Meier anytime goal scorer (+245)
“Timo Meier of the new jersey devils plus 245”
NJ 4, MTL 3 — Timo Meier scored as the Devils beat the Canadiens 4-3 in overtime; New Jersey's goals came from Ondrej Palat, Timo Meier, Cody Glass, and OT winner Jesper Bratt (NHL.com recap).
Joel Eriksson Ek anytime goal scorer (+294)
“joel erickson ek of the minnesota wild plus 294”
CAR 4, MIN 3 — Joel Eriksson Ek did not score as the Wild lost 4-3 to the Hurricanes; Minnesota's scoring in the recap came only from Matt Boldy's two goals (NHL.com recap).
Evgeni Malkin anytime goal scorer (+255)
“Evgeni Malkin of the penguins plus 255”
PIT 5, WSH 3 — Evgeni Malkin did not score in the Penguins' 5-3 win over the Capitals; he assisted on Bryan Rust's goal, but Pittsburgh's goals came from Sidney Crosby (2), Anthony Mantha, Rust, and Connor Dewar (NHL.com recap).
Las Vegas Raiders-Denver Broncos over 42
“Brad spoiled it, but like over 42 in the game.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Broncos beat the Raiders 10-7, a combined 17 points, well under the 42-point total (ESPN recap).
Michael Mayer first touchdown scorer (+2600)
“Michael Mayer returns to haunt the Broncos at 26-1.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — The game's first touchdown was a first-quarter Ashton Jeanty rushing score for the Raiders, not Michael Mayer, in Denver's 10-7 win (ESPN box score).
Pat Bryant first touchdown scorer
“We'll go with Peter Pat, Pat Bryant, who all he did was catch touchdowns at Illinois. We'll get his second as a pro, and it'll be their first TD tonight.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — The game's first touchdown was a first-quarter Ashton Jeanty rushing score for the Raiders, not Pat Bryant, in Denver's 10-7 win over Las Vegas (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Chargers to miss playoffs (+185)
“The Chargers, who last Sunday lost their left tackle Joe Alt for the rest of the season. This is already coming off of losing Rashawn Slater in training camp. They now have backup offensive tackles. That old line is in shambles. They're plus 185 to miss the playoffs. Now, they have an incredibly high leverage game this Sunday against the Steelers. but you don't have to squint too hard to see the Chargers on the outside looking in despite how much trust we have in their head coach quarterback combination, that being Jim Harbaugh and Justin Herbert. So Chargers plus 185 to miss, I'm down with that.”
The Los Angeles Chargers finished 11-6 and qualified for the 2025-26 playoffs as the AFC's No. 7 seed, so the bet on them missing the playoffs lost.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions Super Bowl exact matchup (+3000) · BetMGM
“I have Lions over Rams which sets up a Super Bowl in Santa Clara between the Chiefs and the Detroit Lions once again at the end of the day it's Andy Reid Patrick Mahomes Steve Spagnola and it's the Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs over Lions Super Bowl exacta 30 to 1 over at BetMGM.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Super Bowl LX was played between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots, with Seattle winning 29-13; the predicted Chiefs-Lions matchup did not occur.
Las Vegas Raiders-Denver Broncos over 43
“I like over 43 because this to me feels like one of those games. And Sean Payton, as great of a coach he is, he's got rabbit ears. He knows what the narrative is about. team he knows what people have been saying about Bo Nix like he knows he is going to look to make Bo Nix look like the greatest quarterback of all time tonight I think Denver's gonna be airing it out I think they're gonna be pedal to the metal I think they're going for style points tonight I think Denver they they could easily score into the 30s so then I mean can the Raiders just get us to 14 points”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Broncos beat the Raiders 10-7, a combined 17 points, well under the 43-point total (ESPN recap).
Atlanta Falcons +6.5
“Six and a half is a big number. You can maybe talk me into six. Now that there's a hook out there, this is a bet on the Atlanta Falcons. I'll put a little bit on the money line just because I think Atlanta kind of has that upside with the skill position guys that they have with Drake London and Bajon Robinson, et cetera. But plus six and a half is a bet.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Colts beat the Falcons 31-25 in overtime; Atlanta's 6-point margin of loss is inside the +6.5 spread, so the bet covered (ESPN box score).
Atlanta Falcons moneyline
“But I think Atlanta can keep this game competitive. Six and a half is a big number. You can maybe talk me into six. Now that there's a hook out there, this is a bet on the Atlanta Falcons. I'll put a little bit on the money line just because I think Atlanta kind of has that upside with the skill position guys that they have with Drake London and Bajon Robinson, et cetera. But plus six and a half is a bet.”
IND 31, ATL 25 — Falcons lost to the Colts 31-25 in overtime, so the Atlanta moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Tyler Warren to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+700) · BetMGM
“And the guy that I would bet on to win offensive rookie of the year this week, and it's a bet that I am placing once we get into the break, it's Colts tight end Tyler Warren at plus 700.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award, not Tyler Warren.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3
“At three, especially if it's minus 110, it's a bet on the Steelers.”
25-10 — Chargers beat Steelers 25-10; Pittsburgh loses by 15, busting the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers -2.5
“it's a bet on Green Bay at under a field goal. Two and a half, I'll bet the Packers all day long.”
10-7 — Eagles beat Packers 10-7 at Lambeau; Green Bay loses outright, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Dylan Guenther anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Dylan Guenther, plus 200 to score a goal against the Toronto Maple Leafs.”
Dylan Guenther scored in the 3rd period as Toronto beat Utah 5-3; anytime goal scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Guenther 1 goal (3rd period); final 5-3)
Blake Coleman anytime goal scorer (+320)
“Blake Coleman, plus 320 as they take on the Columbus Blue Jackets.”
Blake Coleman scored in the 1st period as Calgary beat Columbus 5-1; anytime goal scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Coleman 1 goal (1st period); final 5-1)
New York Knicks -3
“I'm back in New York. I'll lay the three at MSG.”
137-114 — Knicks beat Timberwolves 137-114; the 23-point margin covers the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
Dallas Mavericks -8.5
“Give me Dallas minus eight and a half.”
101-99 — Pelicans beat Mavericks 101-99; Dallas loses outright, busting the -8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Seattle Seahawks -6.5
“I think the Seahawks whack the Arizona Cardinals this upcoming Sunday. I like laying the six and a half with Seattle.”
SEA 44, ARI 22 — Seahawks won 44-22 over the Cardinals, covering the -6.5 spread by 15.5 points (ESPN box score).
Nick Schmaltz anytime goal scorer (+205)
“Nick Schmaltz, who takes a lot of shots and I think he's going to score tonight against Buffalo. He's plus 205 to light the lamp.”
Nick Schmaltz scored in the 3rd period as Utah beat Buffalo 2-1 in OT; anytime goal scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Schmaltz 1 goal (3rd period); final 2-1 OT)
Jason Robertson anytime goal scorer (+165)
“Plus 165, Jason Robertson to score tonight. I think favorite goal scorer bet, that's the one for me.”
Jason Robertson had no goal in regulation or overtime, scoring only in the shootout (which does not count as an official goal); Stars beat Oilers 4-3 in a shootout (ESPN box score). (Robertson 0 goals in regulation/OT; final 4-3 SO)
Nikita Kucherov anytime goal scorer (+190)
“I'll also play on a pedigree guy, Nikita Kucherov. Plus 190 to the Tampa Bay Lightning. You guys all heard of him. They're taking on the Colorado Avalanche.”
Nikita Kucherov scored unassisted in the 1st period as Colorado beat Tampa Bay 3-2; anytime goal scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Kucherov 1 goal (1st period); final 3-2)
Dylan Larkin anytime goal scorer (+200)
“dylan larkin at the Red Wings to score goal plus 200 dylan larkin they're going up against the vegas golden knights”
Dylan Larkin did not score as Vegas shut out Detroit 1-0 on a lone Ivan Barbashev goal; anytime goal scorer busts (ESPN box score). (Larkin 0 goals; final 1-0)
Auburn Tigers +6.5
“I'll take the six and a half with Auburn. I think Auburn has enough talented players to keep that game somewhat competitive.”
Vanderbilt 45, Auburn 38 — Vanderbilt beat Auburn 45-38 in OT (ESPN); Auburn margin -7 busts the +6.5.
LSU Tigers +10
“So LSU plus 10 to me feels like a pretty solid bet this upcoming Saturday.”
Alabama 20, LSU 9 — Alabama beat LSU 20-9 (ESPN); LSU margin -11 busts the +10.
Florida Gators -3.5
“I'll lay three and a half here with Florida.”
Arizona 93, Florida 87 — Arizona beat Florida 93-87 (ESPN); Gators margin -6 busts the -3.5 they were laying.
Minnesota-Brooklyn over 226
“So give me over 226.”
Minnesota 125, Brooklyn 109 — Minnesota beat Brooklyn 125-109 (ESPN); combined 234 points clears the 226 total.
Arizona Cardinals +3.5 · BetMGM
“I like the Arizona Cardinals. I'll take the three-and-a-half with the Cardinals.”
Arizona 27, Dallas 17 — Arizona beat Dallas 27-17 (ESPN); Cardinals margin +10 covers +3.5.
Arizona Cardinals moneyline · BetMGM
“I think the Cardinals just win the game. So it's plus three and a half and Cardinals money line coming in at plus one fifth.”
Arizona 27, Dallas 17 — Arizona beat Dallas 27-17 (ESPN); Cardinals moneyline wins.
Michael Wilson first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“So Michael Wilson at 15-1 to be your first TD score for the Arizona Cardinals.”
Michael Wilson caught 3 passes for 61 yards but did not score in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); first TD scorer loses. (Michael Wilson 0 touchdowns (3 receptions, 61 yards))
George Pickens first touchdown scorer (+1000)
“We pivot to NFL young boy, George Pickens at 10 to 1. The masked man, the crazy one, George Pickens.”
George Pickens caught 6 passes for 79 yards but did not score in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); first TD scorer loses. (George Pickens 0 touchdowns (6 receptions, 79 yards))
Boston College Eagles +28.5
“I'll also plug my nose and take 28 and a half with Boston College against Notre Dame.”
Notre Dame 25, Boston College 10 — Notre Dame beat Boston College 25-10 (ESPN); Boston College margin -15 easily covers +28.5.
Kansas State Wildcats +7
“I'll also take seven with Kansas State with a nice look ahead spot for Texas Tech.”
Texas Tech 43, Kansas State 20 — Texas Tech beat Kansas State 43-20 (ESPN); Kansas State margin -23 busts the +7.
NC State Wolfpack +6
“And then finally, I'll go NC State plus six against Georgia Tech.”
NC State 48, Georgia Tech 36 — NC State beat Georgia Tech 48-36 (ESPN); NC State margin +12 covers +6.
USC Trojans -4.5
“So I like USC minus four and a half.”
USC 21, Nebraska 17 — USC beat Nebraska 21-17 (ESPN); USC margin +4 falls short of the -4.5 they were laying.
Los Angeles Chargers -9.5
“I like the Chargers laying nine and a half. And this is a bet that I placed earlier this afternoon.”
LA Chargers 27, Tennessee 20 — LA Chargers beat Tennessee 27-20 (ESPN); Chargers margin +7 falls short of the -9.5 they were laying.
San Francisco-New York over 48.5
“It's a small bet because totals are totals, and I've not had a fun experience betting them. But a small bet on over 48 and a half.”
San Francisco 34, NY Giants 24 — San Francisco beat NY Giants 34-24 (ESPN); combined 58 points clears the 48.5 total.
Houston Texans moneyline
“So I think Houston make the playoffs and Houston to win the game on Sunday.”
Denver 18, Houston 15 — Denver beat Houston 18-15 on a walk-off field goal (ESPN); Texans moneyline loses.
Las Vegas Raiders +8.5 / Detroit Lions -2.5 six-point teaser
- Las Vegas Raiders +8.5
- Detroit Lions -2.5
“give me the Raiders up to eight and a half at home. Pair that with the Lions down to two and a half.”
Jacksonville 30, Las Vegas 29 (OT); Minnesota 27, Detroit 24 — Jacksonville beat Las Vegas 30-29 in OT (Raiders +8.5 covers), but Minnesota beat Detroit 27-24, so Detroit Lions -2.5 loses outright; the teaser needs both legs and busts (ESPN box scores).
Bo Horvat anytime goal scorer (+215)
“the New York Islanders, their center, Bo Horvat, plus 215 to score against the Washington Capitals. I like this. The Caps are a big favorite in the game. Horvat takes a lot of shots, scores a bunch of goals, but he's plus 215 because everyone expects Washington to win. I think these are nice situations to take advantage of some big dogs at big prices. So give me Bo Horvat anytime goal score tonight in the NHL.”
Bo Horvat scored a third-period goal in the Islanders' 3-1 win over Washington (ESPN box score); anytime goal scorer wins. (Bo Horvat 1 goal (3rd period, 4:29))
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5
“I like the Memphis Grizzlies tonight at plus two and a half.”
LA Lakers 117, Memphis 112 — LA Lakers beat Memphis 117-112 (ESPN); Grizzlies margin -5 busts the +2.5.
Memphis Grizzlies moneyline
“Give me plus two and a half and also a little bit on the money line. I think the Grizzlies just win the game tonight as a two and a half point dog.”
LA Lakers 117, Memphis 112 — LA Lakers beat Memphis 117-112 (ESPN); Grizzlies moneyline loses.
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline (-140)
“So give me Dodgers minus 140 as my bet for game six in the World Series.”
LA Dodgers 3, Toronto 1 — LA Dodgers beat Toronto 3-1 in World Series Game 6 (ESPN); Dodgers moneyline wins.
Houston Texans to make playoffs (+200)
“Houston to make the playoff, that's around plus 200. That, to me, feels like a solid bet ahead of Sunday's game.”
Houston made the 2025-26 NFL playoffs as the AFC's 5th seed (wild card) at 12-5 (Wikipedia); the playoffs bet wins.
Atlanta Falcons +5.5
“So give me the five and a half with Penix back in the fold and Drake London back in the starting lineup as well.”
New England 24, Atlanta 23 — New England beat Atlanta 24-23 (ESPN); Falcons margin -1 covers +5.5.
Rice Owls +14 · BetMGM
“Fourth most popular is Rice plus 14. I actually like the Rice bet tonight, the old sandwich spot against Memphis.”
Memphis 38, Rice 14 — Memphis beat Rice 38-14 (ESPN); Rice margin -24 busts the +14.
Nazem Kadri anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I'll take Nazem Khadri plus 200 for the Calgary Flames to score against Ottawa Senators.”
4-3 — Kadri scored a 3rd-period goal for Calgary as Ottawa beat the Flames 4-3 in a shootout; anytime goal scorer wins.
Nikolaj Ehlers anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Give me the Hurricanes Nikolai Ellers at plus 220 against the New York Islanders.”
6-2 — Hurricanes beat Islanders 6-2; Ehlers picked up an assist but did not score a goal, so the anytime goal scorer bet busts.
Joel Eriksson Ek anytime goal scorer (+195)
“And then finally, Minnesota Wilds, Joel Erickson Eck at plus 195 to light the lamp against the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
4-1 — Penguins beat Wild 4-1; Eriksson Ek did not score a goal, so the anytime goal scorer bet busts.
Charlotte Hornets +3.5
“Give me the Hornets plus three and a half to go out there and cover against the Orlando Mets.”
123-107 — Magic beat Hornets 123-107; Hornets lost by 16, well outside +3.5, so the spread bet busts.
Rashod Bateman first touchdown scorer (+1600)
“which should open things up for Rashod Bateman at 16-1 to be your fast TD scorer.”
Bateman caught a 9-yard TD pass, but Mark Andrews scored the game's first touchdown; the first-touchdown-scorer bet busts.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine first touchdown scorer (+3300)
“I'd rather go with the long shot, Nick Westbrook-Akine at 33-1 to be your fast TD scorer.”
Westbrook-Ikhine did not score in Baltimore's 28-6 win over Miami; the first-touchdown-scorer bet busts.
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 / Denver Broncos +7.5 six-point teaser
- Baltimore Ravens -1.5 won
- Denver Broncos +7.5 won
“you could tease them with the broncos which is my favorite one getting baltimore down to one and a half denver up to seven and a half against houston”
Baltimore beat Miami 28-6, covering -1.5, and Denver beat Houston outright 18-15, covering +7.5; both teaser legs win.
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year · BetMGM
“And I added more last night because I think he's in a pretty good spot this week.”
Mike Vrabel (Patriots) won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year Award, not Ben Johnson; the futures bet busts.
Mykel Williams to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+2200) · BetMGM
“michael williams at 22 to one is a bet and the first bet or defensive rookie of the year”
Carson Schwesinger (Browns) won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Award, not Mykel Williams; the futures bet busts.
Seattle Seahawks -3
“for me at three or anything under a field goal it's a bet on the seattle seahawks”
38-14 — Seahawks beat Commanders 38-14, covering the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
Sean Monahan anytime goal (+240)
“Sean Monahan of the Columbus Blue Jackets, plus 240. 24 shots so far this season, has yet to light the lamp. Tonight is the night in Columbus as they're taking on the Toronto Maple Leafs. Monahan, plus 240 as your anytime goal scorer.”
Sean Monahan did not score as the Blue Jackets beat the Maple Leafs 6-3 (ESPN).
Cleveland Cavaliers -3
“I like the Cleveland Cavaliers laying the three.”
105-125 — Celtics beat Cavaliers 125-105; Cleveland's -3 spread busts (ESPN box score).
Detroit Pistons +2.5
“I like Detroit plus two and a half and a little bit of Detroit Moneyline plus 115.”
116-135 — Pistons beat Magic 135-116, covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Detroit Pistons moneyline (+115)
“I like Detroit plus two and a half and a little bit of Detroit Moneyline plus 115.”
116-135 — Pistons beat Magic 135-116; Detroit moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Dallas Mavericks -6
“I'll lay the six with Dallas.”
105-107 — Mavericks beat Pacers 107-105; Dallas's -6 spread busts (ESPN box score).
Portland Trail Blazers -3
“I'll also lay three with Portland because I think they're just much better than the Utah Jazz.”
136-134 — Trail Blazers beat Jazz 136-134; Portland's -3 spread busts (ESPN box score).
Toronto-Los Angeles over 8 (-115) · BetMGM
“I'm going back to the over tonight for game five. I'm going over eight at minus 115.”
1-6 — Blue Jays beat Dodgers 6-1 in World Series Game 5; combined runs of 7 fall under the 8 line (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Dodgers win series in 6 games · BetMGM
“I'll be betting the Dodgers in six”
The Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-3 in games to win the 2025 World Series in 7 games, not 6.
Sam Bennett anytime goal scorer (+225)
“I like last year's consummate winner, Sam Bennett, for the Florida Panthers, to score a goal, plus 225 against the Anaheim Ducks.”
Sam Bennett did not score as the Ducks beat the Panthers 3-2 in a shootout (ESPN).
Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Arturi Lekkonen, plus 240. You will find the old onion bag against the New Jersey Devils.”
Artturi Lehkonen did not score as the Avalanche beat the Devils 8-4 (ESPN).
Dylan Guenther anytime goal scorer (+195)
“I want a part of the mammoth right winger, Dylan Guenther, plus 195 for Utah against Edmonton. Really fun game. Utah's been one of the cool stories so far this hockey season. Plus 195. He will score a goal tonight.”
Dylan Guenther did not score (one assist on Cooley's goal) as the Oilers beat Utah 6-3 (ESPN).
CJ McCollum over 18.5 points (-125)
“I'm going to go with CJ McCollum, over 18.5 points. Everyone's loving Philadelphia. They've been fun. The backcourt's been great. But defensively, they've actually been rather poor. One of the worst defenses in the NBA, and they've been giving it up to guards. So I think CJ, over 18.5, minus 125. I like that tonight.”
134-139 — CJ McCollum scored 14 points as the 76ers beat the Wizards 139-134 in OT, under the 18.5 line (ESPN box score). (CJ McCollum: 14 points)
Golden State Warriors (+105)
“And I'm also going to bet the Warriors on the money line. That's around even money, plus 105.”
98-79 — Warriors beat Clippers 98-79; moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Over 8 (-115)
“I'm hoping they win tomorrow night, but I'm going to bet the over eight at minus 115.”
2-6 — Blue Jays beat Dodgers 6-2 in World Series Game 4; combined runs of 8 push the over 8 line (ESPN box score).
Washington Commanders +11.5
“I like Commanders. I took 11 and a half this morning.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Chiefs beat Washington 28-7 (Oct 27, 2025); Washington's -21 margin busts the +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Marcus Mariota first touchdown scorer (+2200)
“give me the guy that's the trigger man, the island boy himself, the flying Hawaiian, Marcus Mariota, at 22-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
The game's first touchdown was Kareem Hunt's 1-yard run for Kansas City (2nd quarter); Marcus Mariota threw a TD pass to Terry McLaurin but did not score a touchdown himself, so the first-TD-scorer prop busts (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Kareem Hunt (1-yd run))
Noah Gray first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“we have an island double cross, 25 Shades of Grey, as Noah Gray at 25 to 1 will be your first TD score.”
The game's first touchdown was Kareem Hunt's 1-yard run for Kansas City (2nd quarter); Noah Gray did not score a touchdown in the game, so the first-TD-scorer prop busts (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Kareem Hunt (1-yd run))
Will Smith to hit a home run (+400) · BetMGM
“but yes i i can get involved what is the price on that will smith to hit a home run i gotta see all right home runs but mgm plus 400 i'm in”
Will Smith went 1-for-6 with 0 home runs in the Dodgers' 6-5, 18-inning win over Toronto in World Series Game 3 (Oct 27, 2025); the home-run prop busts (ESPN box score). (Will Smith: 1-for-6, 0 HR)
Missouri Tigers +3
“I'm also going to bet plus three with Mizzou.”
Vanderbilt 17, Missouri 10 — Vanderbilt beat Missouri 17-10, a -7 margin for Missouri that busts +3 (ESPN final).
Iowa State Cyclones -2.5
“I'm laying two and a half with Iowa.”
BYU 41, Iowa State 27 — BYU beat Iowa State 41-27, a -14 margin for Iowa State that busts -2.5 (ESPN final).
Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5
“I'll also take plus seven and a half with Mississippi State against Texas.”
Texas 45, Mississippi State 38 — Texas beat Mississippi State 45-38 in overtime, a -7 margin for Mississippi State that covers +7.5 (ESPN final).
Michigan State Spartans +14.5
“Give me Michigan State plus 14.5.”
Michigan 31, Michigan State 20 — Michigan beat Michigan State 31-20, a -11 margin for Michigan State that covers +14.5 (ESPN final).
New York Jets
“the Jets are actually going to be a part of an underdog money line parlay that I put together this Sunday. So Jets, small bet on the money line for the New York Jets”
New York Jets 39, Cincinnati 38 — The Jets beat the Bengals 39-38, so the New York Jets moneyline won (ESPN final).
Dallas Cowboys +3.5
“So at three and a half, it's a bet on the Dallas Cowboys.”
Denver 44, Dallas 24 — Denver beat Dallas 44-24, a -20 margin for Dallas that busts +3.5 (ESPN final).
William Eklund anytime goal scorer (+360)
“i'm gonna go with William Eklund of the san jose sharks plus 360”
William Eklund scored a first-period power-play goal for San Jose in the Devils' 3-1 win over the Sharks (Oct 24, 2025); anytime goal scorer prop wins (ESPN box score). (William Eklund: 1 goal (Devils won 3-1))
Kirill Marchenko anytime goal scorer (+190)
“then finally columbus is Kirill Marchenko plus 190”
Kirill Marchenko did not score in the Capitals' 5-1 win over the Blue Jackets (Oct 24, 2025); Marchenko's goals came from Carlson, Ovechkin, Sourdif, Wilson, and McMichael, not Marchenko (ESPN box score). (Kirill Marchenko: 0 goals (Capitals won 5-1))
Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5
“I'm going to take the Cleveland Cavaliers. I'm laying the 11 and a half.”
CLE 131, BKN 124 — Cavaliers beat Nets 131-124 (Oct 24, 2025); Cleveland's +7 margin falls short of the -11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Under 233
“so i'll go under 233”
SA 120, NO 116 — Spurs beat Pelicans 120-116 in overtime (Oct 24, 2025); combined 236 points busts the under 233 total (ESPN box score).
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5
“i'll also plug the nose and here i am again fading the warriors plus one and a half with the trailblazers”
POR 139, GSW 119 — Trail Blazers beat Warriors 139-119 (Oct 24, 2025); Portland's +20 margin covers the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Clippers -10
“And then finally, I'll lay the 10 with the Clippers.”
LAC 129, PHX 102 — Clippers beat Suns 129-102 (Oct 24, 2025); LA's +27 margin covers the -10 spread (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Timberwolves
“Wolves' money line at the Lakers.”
LAL 128, MIN 110 — Lakers beat Timberwolves 128-110 (Oct 24, 2025); Minnesota moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 games on series spread (+170)
“I decided to lay the two and a half games on the series spread with the Dodgers plus 170.”
Dodgers won the 2025 World Series 4-3 over the Blue Jays (Game 7, Nov 1, 2025, 5-4 in 11 innings); a 1-game series differential falls short of the -2.5 games series-spread requirement (ESPN). (Dodgers defeated Blue Jays 4-3 in the series.)
Baltimore Ravens -6.5
“Went back to the well at late 6 1⁄2. So we are back on Baltimore. A full circle moment for yours truly. Bet Baltimore, bought out of it. Now we bet Baltimore once again here on this Friday.”
BAL 30, CHI 16 — Ravens beat Bears 30-16 (Oct 26, 2025); Baltimore's +14 margin covers the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles -7
“So I think that the Eagles will cover this number. So I laid seven earlier in the week.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — Eagles beat Giants 38-20 (Oct 26, 2025); Philadelphia's +18 margin covers the -7 spread (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints +4
“I am on the other side. I took four with the New Orleans Saints, so Saints plus four is a bet for me this Sunday.”
TB 23, NO 3 — Buccaneers beat Saints 23-3 (Oct 26, 2025); New Orleans' -20 margin busts the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
South Carolina Gamecocks +11.5
“no, can't do it. I'm on the other side. Give me South Carolina plus 11 and a half.”
Alabama 29, South Carolina 22 — Alabama beat South Carolina 29-22 (Oct 25, 2025); South Carolina's -7 margin covers the +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Nuggets (+110)
“Yeah, I'll be on the other side of that Warriors team. I'm backing Denver to win the game outright. It's obviously, there are two point underdogs, so it's not like it's some like grandiose underdog bet here, but a plus 110. I'll take the plus money with the better team”
Golden State 137, Denver 131 — Golden State beat Denver 137-131 in overtime, so the Nuggets moneyline lost (ESPN final).
Los Angeles Chargers -3 (-117)
“I am betting the Los Angeles Chargers. I laid three. I paid minus 117 to do it.”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — The Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10, a +27 margin that covers Los Angeles Chargers -3 (ESPN final).
T.J. Hockenson first touchdown scorer (+1300)
“Let's go with DJ Hawkinson at 13 to 1 to be your first TD scorer.”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — T.J. Hockenson did not score a touchdown as the Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10; the TDs went to Ladd McConkey, Oronde Gadsden, Tre' Harris, Jordan Addison, and Kimani Vidal (ESPN box score).
Justin Herbert first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“Justin Hubbard calls his own number at the big price of 25 to 1.”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — Justin Herbert did not score a rushing/receiving touchdown as the Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10; the TDs went to Ladd McConkey, Oronde Gadsden, Tre' Harris, Jordan Addison, and Kimani Vidal (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles -7
“I bet Philly minus seven.”
Philadelphia 38, New York 20 — Philadelphia beat the Giants 38-20, a +18 margin that covers Philadelphia -7 (ESPN final).
Under 227.5
“i bet under 227 and a half”
OKC 125, HOU 124 — Thunder beat Rockets 125-124 in 2OT; the combined 249 points went over the 227.5 total (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Lakers +3
“I bet plus three those are no longer available”
GS 119, LAL 109 — Warriors beat Lakers 119-109; Los Angeles lost by 10, busting the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
Amen Thompson first field goal scorer (+800)
“Take me to church, Armin Thompson at 8-1 as the ball handler for Houston with no Fred Van Vliet.”
Chet Holmgren scored the game's first field goal, not Amen Thompson (ESPN play-by-play). (First FG scorer: Chet Holmgren)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander first field goal scorer (+575)
“tonight, when he's your first field goal scorer, Shea Gilgis Alexander at plus 575.”
Chet Holmgren scored the game's first field goal, not Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ESPN play-by-play). (First FG scorer: Chet Holmgren)
Jimmy Butler first field goal scorer (+750)
“the Warriors, we will find our joy as our friend Jimmy Butler will find his joy at plus 750.”
Luka Doncic scored the game's first field goal, not Jimmy Butler (ESPN play-by-play). (First FG scorer: Luka Doncic)
Austin Reaves first field goal scorer (+525)
“I'm going with little country, Austin Reaves, or as the kids call him, Ball Out Boy, plus 525.”
Luka Doncic scored the game's first field goal, not Austin Reaves (ESPN play-by-play). (First FG scorer: Luka Doncic)
Under 5.5 games in the World Series (+140) · BetMGM
“I like the series under, in terms of total games, under five and a half total games plus 140.”
4-3 — The 2025 World Series went the full seven games (Dodgers beat Blue Jays 4-3, Game 7 on Nov 1), so under 5.5 total games busts (ESPN).
Diego Pavia to win the Heisman Trophy
“i was loaded up on my ava”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, so Diego Pavia to win the Heisman lost (Heisman Trust). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Demond Williams Jr. to win the Heisman Trophy (+10000)
“i even bet Demond Williams Jr. who did not play well against michigan but that was a flyer 100 to one”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, so Demond Williams Jr. to win the Heisman lost (Heisman Trust). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
“the one bet that I've made and this is one I thought I was going to end up making last week and the situation just absolutely screams to me and that's Sunday night football like I like the Steelers quite a bit on Sunday night oh yeah I took we'll be it will be up here on this one I like the pack so so I took three and a half there were there was a three and a half in Vegas earlier this morning I bet that. So I have Steelers plus three and a half.”
GB 35, PIT 25 — Packers beat Steelers 35-25; Pittsburgh lost by 10, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5
“I actually think it's good to bet the Lions plus six or six and a half if you can find it. So I have both. Now we're going to try to middle six with the game tonight. I do like the spot for Tampa. So all bets aside, I think Tampa is the side of you have not bet anything earlier in the week. So give me the bucks plus six and a half.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Lions beat Buccaneers 24-9; Tampa Bay lost by 15, busting the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Tez Johnson anytime touchdown (+2200)
“But I do not care. Tez Johnson at 22-1. For Nix's brother, he scored earlier. Tez Johnson is going to give us another one.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Tez Johnson caught a receiving touchdown for Tampa Bay in the loss to Detroit (ESPN box score). (Tez Johnson: 1 receiving TD)
Sam LaPorta anytime touchdown (+1200)
“Sam Laporta at 12-1 for the Motor City Kitties.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Detroit's touchdowns came from Jahmyr Gibbs (2 rushing) and Amon-Ra St. Brown (1 receiving); Sam LaPorta did not score (ESPN box score).
Xavier Hutchinson anytime touchdown (+1900)
“Tonight, it will be a seventh with Xavier Hutchinson at 19-1.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Xavier Hutchinson did not score a touchdown for Houston in the loss to Seattle (ESPN box score).
Cooper Kupp anytime touchdown (+1300)
“The man I like caught a TD for the first time this season last week. They're going to come in bunches. We're hanging with Mr. Cooper. Cooper Cup at 13-1.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Cooper Kupp did not score a touchdown for Seattle in the win over Houston (ESPN box score).
Seattle Mariners
“I'm betting the Mariners tonight, which everyone knows. Like, I have them to win the series. Like, I'm going to bet them in Game 7. So I'm on Seattle tonight.”
TOR 4, SEA 3 — Blue Jays beat Mariners 4-3 in ALCS Game 7; Seattle's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Duke Blue Devils -1
“Give me Duke, the unranked favorite at home against a ranked team. Georgia Tech, good, not great. I think this is a tough spot for them. I'll take the Blue Devils minus one.”
GT 27, DUKE 18 — Georgia Tech beat Duke 27-18; Duke lost outright, busting the -1 spread (ESPN recap).
Washington Huskies +5
“I do like Washington. Plus five is the best number you can find. I still like it at plus four and a half.”
MICH 24, WASH 7 — Michigan beat Washington 24-7; Washington lost by 17, busting the +5 spread (ESPN box score).
South Carolina Gamecocks +5.5
“I do like South Carolina I'll be oppo taco on call I know he liked the under more than he liked Oklahoma in the game but I just don't trust this OU offense to go on the road tough place and to be laying these kind of points so I'll take the five and a half with the Gamecocks”
OU 26, SC 7 — Oklahoma beat South Carolina 26-7; South Carolina lost by 19, busting the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Under 41.5
“I'm betting the under in Ohio State in Wisconsin 41 and a half”
OSU 34, WIS 0 — Ohio State beat Wisconsin 34-0; combined 34 points stayed under the 41.5 total (ESPN box score).
Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5
“Give me Woo Pig Sui, plus seven and a half with Arkansas against A&M.”
TAMU 45, ARK 42 — Texas A&M beat Arkansas 45-42; Arkansas lost by only 3, covering the +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Kentucky Wildcats +12.5
“And I'm also going to bet Kentucky plus 12 and a half.”
TEX 16, UK 13 — Texas beat Kentucky 16-13 in overtime; Kentucky lost by only 3, covering the +12.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Penn State Nittany Lions +3.5
“I am gonna do the dead cat bounce spot with Penn State plus three and a half. So that's the number that I want.”
IOWA 25, PSU 24 — Iowa beat Penn State 25-24; Penn State lost by only 1, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers +8
“i also like tennessee plus eight against alabama”
ALA 37, TENN 20 — Alabama beat Tennessee 37-20; Tennessee lost by 17, busting the +8 spread (ESPN box score).
USC Trojans +9.5
“i'm gonna go and rock usc at plus nine and a half”
ND 34, USC 24 — Notre Dame beat USC 34-24; USC lost by 10, busting the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Florida Atlantic Owls +21
“give me florida atlantic plus 21 against south florida”
USF 48, FAU 13 — South Florida beat Florida Atlantic 48-13; FAU lost by 35, busting the +21 spread (ESPN box score).
Auburn Tigers +1.5
“I'll take plus one and a half with Auburn against Mizzou”
MIZ 23, AUB 17 — Missouri beat Auburn 23-17 in double overtime; Auburn lost by 6, busting the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
BYU Cougars +3.5
“Always bet the underdog. I am betting BYU plus three and a half at home.”
BYU 24, UTAH 21 — BYU beat Utah 24-21; Utah lost by only 3, so BYU covered the +3.5 spread from Utah's side (ESPN box score).
Seattle Mariners
“I bet the Mariners. I do think they win tonight.”
SEA 6, TOR 2 — Mariners beat Blue Jays 6-2 in ALCS Game 5; the Seattle moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Titans +7
“The New England Patriots are the most popular side. They're laying seven against the Tennessee Titans in the Mike Vrabel revenge game as he goes back to Nashville. This afternoon, I bet Tennessee.”
NE 31, TEN 13 — Patriots won 31-13; Titans lost outright, busting the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs -7
“Ole Miss plus seven and a half. All right. You guys go back Lane Kiffin. I'm going to back Kirby Smart. I'm laying seven with Georgia.”
UGA 43, MISS 35 — Georgia beat Ole Miss 43-35, winning by 8 to cover the -7 spread (ESPN box score).
Louisville Cardinals +13
“the most popular game is Miami laying 13 against Louisville. Plug your nose special. I'll be back in the Louisville Cardinals.”
LOU 24, MIA 21 — Louisville upset Miami 24-21, winning outright to cover the +13 spread (ESPN box score).
Seattle Mariners (-120)
“Mariners minus 120 And the Blue Jays at even money Total 7.5 I like Seattle in the under as explained earlier in the show”
TOR 8, SEA 2 — Blue Jays beat the Mariners 8-2 in ALCS Game 4 on Oct 16, 2025; Seattle's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Under 7.5
“Mariners minus 120 And the Blue Jays at even money Total 7.5 I like Seattle in the under as explained earlier in the show”
TOR 8, SEA 2 — Blue Jays beat the Mariners 8-2 in ALCS Game 4 on Oct 16, 2025; combined 10 runs, over the 7.5 total, so the under bet lost (ESPN box score).
Jonnu Smith first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“Give me Jonnu Smith at 15-1.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Jonnu Smith caught a 10-yard touchdown pass from Aaron Rodgers at 10:51 in the first quarter, the game's first touchdown, as the Bengals beat the Steelers 33-31 on Oct 16, 2025 (ESPN play-by-play).
Andrei Iosivas first touchdown scorer (+3200)
“So it's Jonnu Smith at 15-1. and Andre Yoshivash at 32-1, and I'll see you on the island.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Cincinnati's touchdowns came from Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Noah Fant in the Bengals' 33-31 win over the Steelers on Oct 16, 2025; Andrei Iosivas did not score, so the first TD scorer prop lost (ESPN box score).
Over 8
“Two bets for me. One of them is the over. I don't think Glass now is going to do what Yamamoto and Snell did. So if the Dodger bullpen has to participate, that could be problematic. I think we see runs over eight for me.”
LAD 3, MIL 1 — Dodgers beat the Brewers 3-1 in NLCS Game 3 on Oct 16, 2025; combined 4 runs, under the 8 total, so the over bet lost (ESPN box score).
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5
“But I still think that Cincinnati is competitive in the game and they cover the five and a half. So give me the Bengals plus the points.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Bengals beat Steelers 33-31; Cincinnati won outright, easily covering the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+250) · BetMGM
“I like Otani to hit a home run plus 250 over at BetMGM. I'm not the biggest price, but I like betting on the best player in the sport.”
Shohei Ohtani did not homer in NLCS Game 3 (Dodgers 3, Brewers 1) on Oct 16, 2025; he scored on a Mookie Betts double but recorded 0 HR (ESPN box score). (Shohei Ohtani: 0 HR)
Detroit Lions -4.5
“But you don't need me to tell you that everyone's screaming about how great the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are, which leads me to my bet in this game. The Detroit Lions. I think that this is a nice sell spot for Tampa. And I know I'm saying this to somebody who bet San Francisco last week. Maybe I was a little bit ahead of selling on the Buccaneers. But this just feels like one of those games where Detroit's coming off a high-profile loss in prime time to the Kansas City Chiefs. Tampa with a high-profile win in the national TV game in the late window last Sunday. Everyone's talking about Baker Mayfield MVP. Look at the Bucs. Todd Bowles is doing such a great job with all these injuries. Oh, why is the line five and a half? That seems like way too many points. Is it too many points? Maybe it's not enough points. I laid four and a half earlier this week.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Lions beat Buccaneers 24-9; Detroit covered the -4.5 spread easily (ESPN box score).
Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+10000) · BetMGM
“But at 100 to one, I'll pay to see it. I'll take the chance on the pedigree at the big price. So give me Travis Hunter at 100 to one to win offensive rookie of the year.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year at NFL Honors, not Travis Hunter (NFL.com).
Seattle Mariners moneyline (-120)
“Small bet just to sweat it out and have some camaraderie on the Mariners to win tonight. So minus 120. I'll add a little, not a full double down, but a little bit of a double down. Small bet for the M's.”
TOR 13, SEA 4 — The Blue Jays beat the Mariners 13-4 in ALCS Game 3 on Oct. 15, 2025, so the Mariners moneyline lost.
Miami Dolphins +3
“I think at three, it was a bet, and it was a bet that I placed as well earlier this afternoon. Luckily, he got it before it moved, and Dolphins plus three is in pocket.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — The Browns beat the Dolphins 31-6 on Oct. 19, 2025; Miami lost by 25, well outside the +3 spread, so the pick lost.
Detroit Lions to win the NFC North (+150)
“I do think the Lions win the North, and at plus 150, that is a bet for me, Detroit to win the North over Green Bay.”
The Chicago Bears won the 2025 NFC North title, clinching before the season ended; Detroit did not win the division, so the Lions futures bet lost (NFL.com).
Dodgers-Brewers over 7 (-125)
“It's over seven at minus 125. I think that juice comes home. I think we get some runs. Freddie Peralta, I just don't trust him in these big spots. Like, that's just a guy that I don't want to back. And Yoshinobu Yamamoto, like, he's been really good. But at times, you can get to him, especially on the road. So give me the over seven between the Dodgers and the Brewers”
LAD 5, MIL 1 — Dodgers beat Brewers 5-1 in NLCS Game 2 on Oct 14, 2025; combined 6 runs falls short of the over 7 (ESPN box score).
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal scorer (+305)
“A couple of guys to light the lamp. First being Nashville's Jonathan Marcheseau going because of Toronto Maple Leafs. Plus 305.”
TOR 7, NSH 4 — Maple Leafs beat Predators 7-4 on Oct 14, 2025; Jonathan Marchessault recorded 2 assists but did not score a goal (ESPN box score).
Juraj Slafkovsky anytime goal scorer (+255)
“And the second one for the Montreal Canadiens, Uri Slavkowski at plus 255 for Montreal against the Seattle Kraken.”
MTL 5, SEA 4 (OT) — Canadiens beat Kraken 5-4 in overtime on Oct 14, 2025; Juraj Slafkovsky did not appear among Montreal's goal scorers (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl LX (+650)
“I think the Chiefs are going to be back there on Super Bowl Sunday, so plus 650 is a bet on top of the 10-1 that we bet last week.”
Seahawks 29, Patriots 13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on Feb. 8, 2026; the Kansas City Chiefs did not reach the Super Bowl, so the pick lost.
Demond Williams Jr. to win the Heisman Trophy (+6000) · BetMGM
“So at 60 to one, the Mon Williams Jr. is a bet to win the Heisman Trophy”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on Dec. 13, 2025; Demond Williams Jr. did not win, so the pick lost. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Seattle Seahawks -3
“The one that I placed was the Seattle Seahawks. I know they've been bad at home, but they're at home against this Houston team. that has a terrible offensive line in prime time, late kick, 10 o'clock Eastern time. So it's 9 o'clock body for the Houston Texans. Why are we doing this, man? A 7 and a 10 start next Monday night. Come on! No double dip, double header for this one. I laid three with Seattle.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Seattle beat Houston 27-19, an 8-point margin that covers the Seahawks -3 spread (ESPN).
Chicago Bears moneyline (+220)
“I also bet some money line at plus 220.”
CHI 25, WSH 24 — Chicago beat Washington 25-24; the Bears moneyline cashes (ESPN).
Keon Coleman first touchdown scorer (+1700)
“Keon Coleman leads the team in targets he will score your first TD tonight at 17 to 1”
Keon Coleman did not score a touchdown; Buffalo's only TDs came from Dawson Knox and Ray Davis (ESPN box score). (Keon Coleman: 0 touchdowns)
Kyle Pitts first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“there's a potential money pit in the ATL Kyle Pitts at 18 to 1 to be your first TD scorer”
Kyle Pitts did not score a touchdown; Atlanta's TDs came from Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier, and Drake London (ESPN box score). (Kyle Pitts: 0 touchdowns)
Cole Kmet first touchdown scorer (+2100)
“A cold world tonight as Cole Kmet at 21-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
Cole Kmet caught 1 pass for 0 yards and did not score; Chicago's TDs came from D'Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson (ESPN box score). (Cole Kmet: 0 touchdowns)
Luke McCaffrey first touchdown scorer (+1900)
“Luke McCaffrey, Christian's brother at 19-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
Luke McCaffrey caught a 33-yard touchdown, but D'Andre Swift's 55-yard TD reception opened the scoring in the first quarter, so McCaffrey was not the game's first touchdown scorer (ESPN box score). (First TD: D'Andre Swift (55-yd reception); McCaffrey scored a later 33-yd TD)
Kiké Hernández to win World Series MVP (+15000)
“And the way I like to bet the Dodgers is to bet Kike Hernandez to win World Series MVP at 150 to 1. I have now joined the Kike Hernandez movement”
Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto was named 2025 World Series MVP after going 3-0 with a 1.02 ERA, so Kiké Hernández did not win it (Wikipedia, citing MLB coverage). (2025 World Series MVP: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3-0, 1.02 ERA).)
North Texas Mean Green -2.5
“I'm going to lay the two and a half with Texas.”
USF 63, UNT 36 — South Florida beat North Texas 63-36; North Texas margin -27 busts -2.5 (ESPN).
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10
“I'm betting against my squad. I like Rutgers plus the 10 against Washington.”
WASH 38, RUTG 19 — Washington beat Rutgers 38-19; Rutgers margin -19 busts +10 (ESPN).
USC Trojans -2.5
“I'll lay the two and a half with USC and Jaden Maiava.”
USC 31, MICH 13 — USC beat Michigan 31-13; margin +18 covers -2.5 (ESPN).
Texas Longhorns +1
“I'll take the one or whatever the best number is on Texas against OU and Red River.”
TEX 23, OU 6 — Texas beat Oklahoma 23-6; margin +17 covers +1 (ESPN).
NC State Wolfpack +23.5
“NC State plus 23 and a half against Notre Dame.”
ND 36, NCSU 7 — Notre Dame beat NC State 36-7; NC State margin -29 busts +23.5 (ESPN).
Arkansas Razorbacks +10.5
“And then also Arkansas plus 10 and a half.”
TENN 34, ARK 31 — Tennessee beat Arkansas 34-31; Arkansas margin -3 covers +10.5 (ESPN).
Phoenix Mercury moneyline
“I think the Mercury get it done. They win.”
LV 97, PHX 86 — Aces beat Mercury 97-86 in WNBA Finals Game 4, sweeping the series 4-0; Mercury moneyline busts (ESPN).
Seattle Mariners moneyline (+105)
“And then also tonight, give me the Seattle Mariners. Mariners are getting it done. Even money, plus 105, whatever the best price is.”
SEA 3, DET 2 — Mariners beat Tigers 3-2 in 15 innings in ALDS Game 5; Mariners moneyline covers (ESPN).
Los Angeles Chargers -4
“I'll be the fool. I'm going to lay the four with the Chargers.”
LAC 29, MIA 27 — Chargers beat Dolphins 29-27; margin +2 busts -4 (ESPN).
Dallas Cowboys -3 (-110)
“I laid three with Dallas at minus 110.”
CAR 30, DAL 27 — Panthers beat Cowboys 30-27; Cowboys lost outright, busts -3 (ESPN).
Baltimore Ravens +7.5
“But for me, this is the Baltimore Ravens plus seven and a half. And I know I'm saying this is the guy who bet Baltimore last week on the money line at plus 120, and they got their doors blown off. I just think this number is a little bit too big. The Rams should definitely be favored to win the game. They probably are going to win the game. But with the defense back, and they've been bad with Hamilton and Humphrey. But at some point, they've got to have some damn pride. And this is a have some damn pride bet for me. I like the Ravens to at least cover the number.”
LAR 17, BAL 3 — Rams beat Ravens 17-3; Ravens margin -14 busts +7.5 (ESPN).
San Francisco 49ers +3
“I like the 49ers. I took three.”
TB 30, SF 19 — Buccaneers beat 49ers 30-19; 49ers margin -11 busts +3 (ESPN).
Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl LX (+1000)
“My bet for this game is Chiefs to win the Super Bowl at 10 to 1 Chiefs to win the AFC.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 to win Super Bowl LX; Chiefs futures bet busts (Wikipedia).
Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC
“My bet for this game is Chiefs to win the Super Bowl at 10 to 1 Chiefs to win the AFC. I'm getting in on the Kansas City Chiefs.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — The New England Patriots beat the Denver Broncos 10-7 to win the AFC Championship; Chiefs futures bet busts (Wikipedia).
Arizona Cardinals +7.5
“At 7.5, this is a bet. And earlier this morning, I bet the Arizona Cardinals at 7.5.”
IND 31, ARI 27 — Indianapolis beat Arizona 31-27, a 4-point Cardinals loss that covers the Arizona +7.5 spread (ESPN).
San Francisco 49ers moneyline (+135)
“And I also bet some money line at plus 135 as well.”
TB 30, SF 19 — Tampa Bay beat San Francisco 30-19; the 49ers moneyline busts (ESPN).
Denver Broncos -7
“But I'm expecting from a coaching standpoint and a personnel standpoint for Denver to run through the New York Jets hot knife through butter. So I'm with the betting public on this game, laying the seven, like seven and a half is the number at MGM. But please shop around. There are some sevens out there. And that's a big, big difference. Seven and seven and a half. shop around, find the seven, lay the seven. Denver rolls across the pond in London.”
DEN 13, NYJ 11 — Denver beat the Jets by just 2 points, 13-11, falling short of the Broncos -7 spread (ESPN).
Cleveland Browns +6
“And for me, six is that point. I bet Brown's plus six.”
PIT 23, CLE 9 — Pittsburgh beat Cleveland 23-9, a 14-point Browns loss that busts the Cleveland +6 spread (ESPN).
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline (-135)
“I'm betting the Dodgers. A hell of an effort last night by the Phillies. The top of the order finally woke up with Schwarber and Turner and Boehm and Harper. Great. They're not going to get it done today. I think that was just delaying the inevitable. The Dodgers are the better team. I think the Dodgers realize, hey, we don't want to have to go back to Philly on a Saturday night with that crowd. You don't want those problems. So I think the Dodgers have the urgency, and Glass now gets it done. Minus 135 is a bet for me.”
LAD 2, PHI 1 — Dodgers beat Phillies 2-1 in 11 innings in NLDS Game 4; the Dodgers moneyline won (ESPN).
Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (-115)
“I laid minus 115 while we were in the break. I like Milwaukee to win.”
CHC 6, MIL 0 — Cubs shut out Brewers 6-0 in NLDS Game 4; the Brewers moneyline lost (ESPN).
DeVonta Smith first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“he'll be knocking on the door of the G-men, DeVonta Smith, at 12-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — DeVonta Smith did not score, so he was not the first touchdown scorer (ESPN). (DeVonta Smith: 0 TD)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. first touchdown scorer (+1900)
“Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 19 to 1 to be your first TD score.”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Tyrone Tracy Jr. did not score, so he was not the first touchdown scorer (ESPN). (Tyrone Tracy Jr.: 0 TD)
New York Giants +7.5
“I'm taking the seven and a half with the New York Giants. It's not going to feel great. It actually feels horrendous. But I do think that this is just a little bit too rich.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Giants beat Eagles 34-17; margin +17 covers +7.5 (ESPN).
Chicago Bears +4.5
“I've already bet four and a half for Chicago.”
CHI 25, WSH 24 — Bears beat Commanders 25-24; margin +1 covers +4.5 (ESPN).
Phoenix Mercury first half -3
“Phoenix first half. And it's attacks. It lay in three. And the full game's 4.5. But I do think Phoenix comes out with an extra sense of urgency down 0-2 at home. I like Phoenix laying the three in the first half. Quarter unit bet on that one.”
LV 55, PHX 43 — Las Vegas led 55-43 at halftime of WNBA Finals Game 3; Phoenix Mercury first-half -3 busts (ESPN box score).
Quinton Byfield anytime goal (+290)
“Quinton Byfield of the LA Kings against the Vegas Golden Knights. Plus 290 to light the lamp. Give me Quinton Byfield as your goal scorer.”
LAK 6, VGK 5 — Quinton Byfield scored an unassisted goal in the 1st period as the Kings beat the Golden Knights 6-5 in a shootout; the anytime-goal prop wins (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos -7
“I'm of the mindset that the Broncos are a bet at seven and if it goes to seven and a half I'm teasing them with everything on the board. So to me, I like Denver quite a bit.”
DEN 13, NYJ 11 — Broncos beat Jets 13-11, a 2-point margin that fell well short of covering -7 (ESPN).
Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline parlay
- Chicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers lost
“give me the cubbies we get a game four i think the brew crew gets it done tomorrow but i'm parlaying cubs with the Dodgers tonight. So just like a little bit of preview of what's going on at 640. But I like the Cubs at minus 110.”
CHC 4, MIL 3; PHI 8, LAD 2 — Cubs beat Brewers 4-3 in NLDS Game 3 (leg won) but Phillies beat Dodgers 8-2 in NLDS Game 3 (leg lost); parlay busts (ESPN).
Toronto Blue Jays-New York Yankees over 8.5 · BetMGM
“So I'm rooting for the Yankees because I have my series bet that I made before yesterday's game at 390, but I'm going over eight and a half.”
TOR 5, NYY 2 — Blue Jays beat Yankees 5-2 in ALDS Game 4; the combined total of 7 fell well short of the over 8.5 (ESPN).
Chicago Cubs moneyline
“So give me the Cubs tonight, but no faith in them to extend the series to a fifth game and definitely no faith in them to win the series after falling down.”
CHC 4, MIL 3 — Cubs beat Brewers 4-3 in NLDS Game 3; the Cubs moneyline won (ESPN).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year (+1500) · BetMGM
“let's add Jackson Smith and Jigba at 15 to one to win offensive player of the year”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2025 season. (Jaxon Smith-Njigba named 2025 AP Offensive Player of the Year)
Mika Zibanejad anytime goal (+185)
“i'm gonna go with mika zibanejad a favorite of mine last hockey season he's at plus 185”
PIT 3, NYR 0 — The Rangers were shut out 3-0 by the Penguins, so Mika Zibanejad did not score a goal; the anytime-goal bet lost.
Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal (+290)
“I also like Arturi Lekanen of the Colorado Avalanche in the late night game between Colorado and LA. Lekanen is around plus 290.”
COL 4, LAK 1 — Artturi Lehkonen scored a second-period goal as the Avalanche beat the Kings 4-1; the anytime-goal bet won.
Jacksonville Jaguars to miss the playoffs (+230)
“I think the bet going forward is the Jaguars to miss the playoffs at plus 230.”
Jacksonville Jaguars went 13-4, won the AFC South, and made the 2025 playoffs (lost the Wild Card to Buffalo); the miss-the-playoffs futures pick loses.
New York Yankees to win the ALDS series
“The way that I'm betting tonight's game, honestly, is Yankees to win the series.”
Toronto Blue Jays defeated the New York Yankees 3-1 in the 2025 ALDS, clinching with a 5-2 Game 4 win; Yankees-to-win-the-series futures pick loses.
Oregon Ducks -7
“I think Oregon's going to cover the number. I think some sportsbooks have gone down to seven. I'll gladly lay seven with the Ducks at home against Indiana having to cross over three different time zones. I'll gladly take that bet all day long.”
IND 30, ORE 20 — Indiana beat Oregon 30-20; Oregon lost outright, so Oregon -7 busts (ESPN box score).
Dante Moore to win the Heisman Trophy (+700) · BetMGM
“Dante Moore is at seven to one. That would be a bet for me as somebody who has some Dante Moore. I'm going to add a little bit more this week for him to win the Heisman Trophy.”
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) won the 2025 Heisman Trophy, not Dante Moore; the Dante Moore futures pick loses. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Los Angeles Chargers -4
“I like them against Miami. I think Miami's a disaster. I think the Chargers can find a way to win that game by a touchdown. Chargers, let's see where it goes. It's four right now. Maybe we go to three and a half with all the injuries mounting for their team. Don't care. I'll lay it against Miami.”
LAC 29, MIA 27 — Chargers beat Dolphins 29-27; the Chargers spread pick busts.
Tennessee Titans +6.5
“I did bet plus six and a half.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Raiders beat Titans 20-10; the Titans spread pick busts.
Kansas City Chiefs -3
“I'm laying the three with Kansas City.”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Jaguars beat Chiefs 31-28; the Chiefs spread pick busts.
Kareem Hunt first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“Kareem Hunt at 12-1 to be your first TD scorer for the Chiefs.”
Travis Kelce scored the game's opening touchdown, not Kareem Hunt; the first-touchdown-scorer bet lost.
Brenton Strange first touchdown scorer (+1600)
“Brenton Strange at 16-1 to be your first TD score.”
Brenton Strange did not score a touchdown in the game; the first-touchdown-scorer bet lost.
Jonathan Gannon to win NFL Coach of the Year
“Yeah, I bet some Gannon coach of the year when Brock Purdy got hurt.”
Mike Vrabel won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award, not Jonathan Gannon; the pick loses.
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline (-112)
“I'm betting the Dodgers tonight at minus one 12 to win the game.”
LAD 4, PHI 3 — Dodgers beat Phillies 4-3; the Dodgers moneyline wins.
Seattle Mariners to win the ALDS in four games (+300)
“Bet it at three to one before the start of the series.”
The Mariners beat the Tigers in the 2025 ALDS but needed a decisive Game 5 rather than winning in a sweep or four games; the in-four-games pick loses.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -21
“Laying the 21, easy bet.”
ND 28, BOIS 7 — Notre Dame beat Boise State 28-7; Notre Dame -21 pushes exactly on the number (ESPN).
Cincinnati Bearcats -1
“I'll be laying the one with Cincinnati.”
CIN 38, ISU 30 — Cincinnati beat Iowa State 38-30, an 8-point margin; Cincinnati -1 covers (ESPN).
Purdue Boilermakers +9.5
“I like Purdue plus nine and a half against Illinois.”
ILL 43, PUR 27 — Illinois beat Purdue 43-27, a 16-point margin; Purdue +9.5 fails to cover (ESPN).
Penn State Nittany Lions -24.5
“I'll lay 24 and a half with Penn state.”
UCLA 42, PSU 37 — UCLA beat Penn State 42-37; Penn State -24.5 fails to cover, losing outright (ESPN).
Louisville Cardinals -6.5
“Also lay six and a half with Louisville.”
UVA 30, LOU 27 — Virginia beat Louisville 30-27 in overtime, a 3-point margin; Louisville -6.5 fails to cover (ESPN).
Houston Cougars +12
“give me Houston plus 12 to hang with Texas Tech”
TTU 35, HOU 11 — Texas Tech beat Houston 35-11, a 24-point margin; Houston +12 fails to cover (ESPN).
Las Vegas Aces -3
“I think the Aces win tonight. I'll lay the three.”
LV 89, PHX 86 — Las Vegas beat Phoenix 89-86 in WNBA Finals Game 1, a 3-point margin; Las Vegas -3 pushes exactly on the number (Wikipedia, corroborating the stored ESPN score).
Las Vegas Aces to win the WNBA Finals (-130)
“we get to bet her team at minus 130 with home court advantage to win a seven-game series.”
Las Vegas Aces swept Phoenix Mercury 4-0 to win the 2025 WNBA Finals (Wikipedia).
Las Vegas Aces to win series in six games (+500) · BetMGM
“You can bet Aces in six at five to one at BetMGM.”
Las Vegas won the 2025 WNBA Finals in a 4-game sweep, not six games, so the Aces-in-six bet loses (Wikipedia).
Las Vegas Aces to win series in seven games (+425) · BetMGM
“Aces in seven at plus 425.”
Las Vegas won the 2025 WNBA Finals in a 4-game sweep, not seven games, so the Aces-in-seven bet loses (Wikipedia).
Las Vegas Aces to win the WNBA Finals
“I just bet some Aces to win the series.”
Las Vegas Aces swept Phoenix Mercury 4-0 to win the 2025 WNBA Finals (Wikipedia).
Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC West (+240) · BetMGM
“at plus 240, it is a bet today for me,”
The Seattle Seahawks won the NFC West with a 14-3 record; the Rams-to-win-the-division futures bet loses (ESPN final 2025 standings).
New York Yankees moneyline (+105) · BetMGM
“I will be betting the Yankees tomorrow as well at plus 105 to win it.”
TOR 10, NYY 1 — Toronto beat New York 10-1 in ALDS Game 1; Yankees moneyline loses (ESPN).
New York Yankees to win series 3-1 (+290) · BetMGM
“plus 290 is going to be my bet,”
Toronto beat New York 3 games to 1 in the 2025 ALDS, not 3-1 for the Yankees as picked, so the Yankees-in-4 series bet loses (Wikipedia). (Blue Jays defeated Yankees 3-1)
Chicago Cubs to win the NLDS series (+100) · BetMGM
“I'll take the Cubbies at plus 100.”
Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago Cubs 3-2 in the 2025 NLDS; the Cubs-to-win-series futures bet loses (Wikipedia). (Brewers defeated Cubs 3-2)
Seattle Mariners to win series 3-1 (+350) · BetMGM
“Mariners, three, one plus three 50 at bed. MGM. That is a bet that I make.”
Seattle beat Detroit 3 games to 2 in the 2025 ALDS, not 3-1 as picked, so the exact-series-score bet loses (Wikipedia). (Mariners defeated Tigers 3-2)
Baltimore Ravens moneyline
“gonna end up closing around two i'm just gonna bet the ravens to win the game there's just a vibe to”
HOU 44, BAL 10 — Houston beat Baltimore 44-10; Ravens moneyline loses (ESPN).
Washington Commanders moneyline
“I like the Commanders plus three. I also bet a little bit of money line.”
WSH 27, LAC 10 — Washington beat the LA Chargers 27-10; Commanders moneyline covers (ESPN).
Cleveland Browns moneyline (+175)
“I even bet some Browns money line earlier this afternoon before the show. Plus 175 was out there at a sports book here in Las Vegas. I gobbled that up.”
MIN 21, CLE 17 — Minnesota beat Cleveland 21-17; Browns moneyline loses (ESPN).
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
“I like Philly quite a bit. And I laid three and a half as well earlier this week.”
DEN 21, PHI 17 — Denver beat Philadelphia 21-17, a 4-point margin; Philadelphia -3.5 fails to cover, losing outright (ESPN).
Cincinnati Bearcats -1.5
“I'll take Cincinnati laying the one and a half at home against the Cyclones.”
CIN 38, ISU 30 — Cincinnati beat Iowa State 38-30, an 8-point margin; Cincinnati -1.5 covers (ESPN).
Florida State Seminoles +4
“Let's go Seminoles. I'll take the four with Florida State.”
MIA 28, FSU 22 — Miami beat Florida State 28-22, a 6-point margin; Florida State +4 fails to cover (ESPN).
Boston Red Sox moneyline (+135)
“I'm back in the Red Sox, plus 135.”
NYY 4, BOS 0 — Yankees beat Red Sox 4-0 in AL Wild Card Game 3; Red Sox moneyline lost (ESPN).
Jake Tonges first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“Jake Tonges at 20-1.”
Jake Tonges caught a 6-yard TD pass from Mac Jones in the first quarter, the game's opening touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (Jake Tonges: first TD of the game, 6-yard reception from Mac Jones, Q1 10:09)
Colby Parkinson first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“Colby Parkinson at 40-1.”
Colby Parkinson did not score a touchdown in the 49ers-Rams game; the opening TD went to Jake Tonges (ESPN play-by-play). (Colby Parkinson: 0 touchdowns)
New York Giants moneyline
“I do like the New York Giants at plus money to win this game.”
NO 26, NYG 14 — Giants lost to Saints 14-26; Giants moneyline lost (ESPN).
Philadelphia Phillies over Boston Red Sox in the World Series
“I like Phillies over Red Sox prior to the start of this postseason,”
The 2025 World Series matchup was the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. the Toronto Blue Jays (Dodgers won in 7); Phillies over Red Sox did not occur (Baseball-Reference).
Philadelphia Phillies to win the NLDS series (+105) · BetMGM
“Give me Philadelphia, plus 105.”
Dodgers def. Phillies 3-1 — The Dodgers won the 2025 NLDS over the Phillies 3-1; Phillies did not win the series (Baseball-Reference).
Dak Prescott to win Comeback Player of the Year (+350) · BetMGM
“I think Dak right now should be the comeback player of the year favorite. And if you want to parlay it with something fun, plus 350 is a bet over at bet. MGM.”
Christian McCaffrey won the 2025 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, not Dak Prescott (Wikipedia, citing AP).
Boston Red Sox moneyline (+178)
“i'm rocking with the boston red socks plus 178 for me on the money line”
3-4 — Yankees beat Red Sox 4-3 in AL Wild Card Game 2 on Oct 1, 2025; the Red Sox moneyline lost (ESPN).
Florida State Seminoles +4.5
“So give me the four and a half.”
MIA 28, FSU 22 — Miami beat Florida State 28-22 on Oct 4, 2025; FSU lost by 6, missing the +4.5 cover (ESPN).
Mookie Betts home run (+425) · BetMGM
“My one bet will be on Mookie Betts to hit a home run. I don't want to lay minus 300. I don't believe in the Reds anymore. Their lineup can't really do anything plus 425 over at bed MGM.”
Mookie Betts went 4-for-5 with 0 home runs in the Dodgers' 8-4 win over the Reds on Oct 1, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Mookie Betts: 0 HR)
Cleveland Browns +3.5
“i like cleveland i took the three and a half”
CLE 17, MIN 21 — Vikings beat Browns 21-17 on Oct 5, 2025; Cleveland lost by 4, missing the +3.5 cover (ESPN).
Las Vegas Raiders +7
“seven, I feel like that's a little bit too much. So I like the Raiders.”
IND 40, LV 6 — Colts beat Raiders 40-6 on Oct 5, 2025; Las Vegas lost by 34, missing the +7 cover (ESPN).
Seattle Seahawks -2.5
“I bet Seahawks two and a half Sunday night.”
SEA 35, TB 38 — Buccaneers beat Seahawks 38-35 on Oct 5, 2025; Seattle lost outright, missing the -2.5 cover (ESPN).
Cincinnati Bengals +10.5
“At 10 and a half, I mean, I just, it gets a lot of points on the road. I know the Bengals are horrendous, but still, they have Chase and they have Higgins. And the Lions secondary is a little bit banged up. I'm banking on that. Just stay somewhat competitive. I do like the Bengals at this point.”
CIN 24, DET 37 — Lions beat Bengals 37-24 on Oct 5, 2025; Cincinnati lost by 13, missing the +10.5 cover (ESPN).
Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs (+650)
“i think the browns at plus 650 to make the playoffs is a very live ticket to have heading into week five so that is a bet that i made earlier this morning”
The Cleveland Browns finished the 2025 season 5-12 and did not qualify for the playoffs (ESPN standings).
Washington Commanders +3 (-110)
“three minus 110 is a bet and it's a bet that i placed earlier this afternoon”
LAC 10, WSH 27 — Commanders beat Chargers 27-10 on Oct 5, 2025; Washington won by 17, covering the +3 (ESPN).
Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player
“Now, I will say this as somebody who's invested in Josh Allen, as we talked about during the offseason.”
Matthew Stafford of the Rams won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award, edging Drake Maye; Josh Allen did not win (NFL.com).
Jared Verse to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1800) · BetMGM
“I like Jared verse at 18 to one to be DPOI.”
Myles Garrett of the Browns won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award, a unanimous 50-0 vote; Jared Verse did not win (NFL.com).
Cincinnati Reds first five innings moneyline (+165)
“I'll take Cincinnati best price plus 165 in the market. Give me Cincinnati tonight in the first five to get it done.”
The Dodgers led the Reds 6-0 through five innings on the way to a 10-5 win in NL Wild Card Game 1; the Reds first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Reds 0, Dodgers 6)
Boston Red Sox moneyline (+120)
“we're out to plus 120, so that means I'm betting the Boston Red Sox.”
3-1 — Red Sox beat Yankees 3-1 in AL Wild Card Game 1; the Red Sox moneyline won (ESPN).
Chicago Cubs moneyline (-110)
“I like Chicago in this game. I bet minus 110 last night.”
3-1 — Cubs beat Padres 3-1 in NL Wild Card Game 1 on back-to-back homers from Seiya Suzuki and Carson Kelly; the Cubs moneyline won (ESPN).
Dante Moore to win the Heisman Trophy (+2100)
“We talked about him back in July as a Heisman trophy guy at 25 to one at 21 to one. Those bets were placed back in July on Dante Moore to win the Heisman.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy, not Dante Moore, so the selection lost (Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Braelon Allen first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“How about Braelon Allen at 15 to 1 to be your first TD scorer for the New York Jets”
Braelon Allen rushed 4 times for 26 yards with no touchdown; he did not score the first (or any) touchdown for the Jets (ESPN play-by-play).
Darren Waller first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“darren waller 25 to 1 as he makes his 2025 debut”
Darren Waller caught a 4-yard touchdown pass from Tua Tagovailoa with 9:20 left in the 2nd quarter, the first touchdown of the game, winning the first-touchdown-scorer prop (ESPN play-by-play). (Darren Waller first touchdown, 2nd quarter 9:20)
Tee Higgins first touchdown scorer (+1600)
“It's Tee Higgins at 16-1 to be your first TD scorer for Cincinnati.”
Tee Higgins caught 3 passes for 32 yards with no touchdown; he did not score the first touchdown for Cincinnati (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
Bo Nix first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“And for Denver, how about Bo Nix? Because Bo knows at QB, calls his own number 14-1.”
Bo Nix scored on a 6-yard touchdown run with 0:17 left in the 1st quarter, the first touchdown of the game, winning the first-touchdown-scorer prop (ESPN play-by-play). (Bo Nix first touchdown, 1st quarter 0:17)
Boston Red Sox to win the Wild Card series (+160)
“if you're going to be plus 160 in a place where the Red Sox are pretty comfortable playing, I will take that all day long.”
The New York Yankees won the AL Wild Card Series over Boston 2-1, becoming the first team under the current format to win after dropping Game 1 (Wikipedia 2025 AL Wild Card Series). (Yankees defeated Red Sox 2-1 in the series)
Cleveland Guardians to win the Wild Card series (+105)
“so at plus 105 i'm betting cleveland just to win the series”
The Detroit Tigers won the AL Wild Card Series over Cleveland 2-1 (Tigers won Games 1 and 3); the Guardians did not win the series (Wikipedia 2025 AL Wild Card Series). (Tigers defeated Guardians 2-1 in the series)
Over 2.5 games in the Wild Card series (+105)
“I actually like the series total over two and a half between the Dodgers and the Reds. I'll bet that plus 105.”
The Dodgers swept the Reds 2-0 in the NL Wild Card Series (Games 1 and 2 only, Sept 30-Oct 1), so total games played was 2, under the 2.5 line (Wikipedia 2025 NL Wild Card Series). (Dodgers swept Reds 2-0 (2 games played))
Chicago Cubs to win the Wild Card series (-125)
“give me Chicago minus 125 to win the series.”
The Chicago Cubs won the NL Wild Card Series over San Diego 2-1 (Wikipedia 2025 NL Wild Card Series). (Cubs defeated Padres 2-1 in the series)
Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl
“LaFleur has me concerned as somebody who is invested in Green Bay winning it all.”
The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026; Green Bay did not win the Super Bowl (Wikipedia Super Bowl LX). (Super Bowl LX: Seattle Seahawks 29, New England Patriots 13)
Virginia Cavaliers +7
“So I took the seven”
UVA 46, FSU 38 — Virginia beat Florida State 46-38 in 2OT; UVA's margin (+8) covered the +7 line.
Arizona State Sun Devils -2.5
“I also lay two and a half with Arizona State against TCU.”
ASU 27, TCU 24 — Arizona State beat TCU 27-24; ASU's margin (+3) covered the -2.5 line.
Utah State Aggies +23
“let's go ahead and back Utah State plus 23 against Vanderbilt.”
VAN 55, USU 35 — Vanderbilt beat Utah State 55-35; Utah State's margin (-20) covered the +23 line.
Oklahoma State Cowboys +21
“Oklahoma State plus 21 against Baylor”
BAY 45, OKST 27 — Baylor beat Oklahoma State 45-27; Oklahoma State's margin (-18) covered the +21 line.
UCLA Bruins +6.5
“And then UCLA plus six and a half on the road at Northwestern.”
NU 17, UCLA 14 — Northwestern beat UCLA 17-14; UCLA's margin (-3) covered the +6.5 line.
Iowa Hawkeyes +8
“Iowa, plus eight against Indiana.”
IND 20, IOWA 15 — Indiana beat Iowa 20-15; Iowa's margin (-5) covered the +8 line.
Ole Miss Rebels moneyline (-125)
“I like Ole Miss on the money line, minus 125.”
MISS 24, LSU 19 — Ole Miss beat LSU 24-19 outright; the Ole Miss moneyline cashed.
Illinois Fighting Illini +7
“The Illini at seven is a bet. I took seven with Illinois.”
ILL 34, USC 32 — Illinois beat USC 34-32; Illinois's margin (+2) covered the +7 line.
Over 60.5
“But I do like the over as well, over 60 and a half.”
ILL 34, USC 32 — Illinois beat USC 34-32, a combined 66 points; the over 60.5 total cashed.
Ohio State Buckeyes -8
“And I will take Ohio State laying the eight.”
OSU 24, WASH 6 — Ohio State beat Washington 24-6; Ohio State's margin (+18) covered the -8 line.
Over 51.5
“Ohio State, Washington, over 51 and a half.”
OSU 24, WASH 6 — Ohio State beat Washington 24-6, a combined 30 points; the over 51.5 total busted.
Detroit Lions -9.5
“i do have in a contest detroit laying the nine and a half”
DET 34, CLE 10 — Detroit beat Cleveland 34-10; Detroit's margin (+24) covered the -9.5 line.
Jordan Love to win NFL MVP
“it's Jordan Love to win the MVP. Put some more on Love.”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award, not Jordan Love.
Atlanta Falcons moneyline (-105)
“I went ahead and jammed in some Atlanta Falcons money line at minus 105”
ATL 34, WSH 27 — Atlanta beat Washington 34-27; the Falcons moneyline cashed.
Europe to win the Ryder Cup
“for those of us who bet Europe, you know what? Maybe we are rooting for the Europeans. In fact, we are.”
Europe beat the United States 15-13 to win the 2025 Ryder Cup at Bethpage Black.
Arizona Cardinals moneyline (+110)
“give me Cardinals plus 110. Quarter unit bet”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 23-20; Arizona moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
AJ Barner first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“I'm going to go with a guy for the Seahawks in A.J. Barna at 25-1.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — AJ Barner caught a 16-yard touchdown pass from Sam Darnold late in the first quarter, the game's first touchdown, as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20 (ESPN recap).
Trey McBride first touchdown scorer (+1000)
“Cardinals tight end, Trey McBride, 10-1.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — The game's first touchdown was AJ Barner's 16-yard TD catch, not Trey McBride, who did not score in Seattle's 23-20 win over Arizona (ESPN recap).
Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+2000) · BetMGM
“Travis Hunter, 20 to one right now at BetMGM. I think that this is a bet to be made.”
Cleveland Browns LB Carson Schwesinger won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Travis Hunter did not win (NFL.com).
Boston Red Sox moneyline (-125)
“I like Boston to win on the money line tonight. Minus 125.”
BOS 7, TOR 1 — Red Sox beat Blue Jays 7-1; Red Sox moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Chicago Cubs moneyline (-120)
“So give me the Cubbies. Minus 120.”
CHC 10, NYM 3 — Cubs beat Mets 10-3; Cubs moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5
“I took some four and a half on Sunday.”
JAX 26, SF 21 — Jaguars beat 49ers 26-21; Jaguars +4.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Over 60
“I still like it at over 60 where we sit right now.”
ILL 34, USC 32 — Illinois beat USC 34-32 (combined 66); over 60 covers (ESPN box score).
Cleveland Guardians moneyline
“Cleveland is the bet tonight”
CLE 5, DET 1 — Cleveland Guardians beat Detroit Tigers 5-1; Guardians moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
Jordan Love to win NFL MVP (+1400) · BetMGM
“Jordan Love. He's 14 to one at bed. MGM. I added some more earlier this morning.”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award; Jordan Love did not win, so the MVP futures bet lost (NFL.com).
Arizona Cardinals to win the NFC West
“as someone who has money invested in arizona”
The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3; the Arizona Cardinals finished last in the division at 3-14 (ESPN). (Seattle Seahawks: 14-3, NFC West champions; Arizona Cardinals: 3-14)
Milwaukee Brewers moneyline
“I think we bet Milwaukee tonight to win tonight's game”
SD 7, MIL 0 — Padres beat Brewers 7-0; Brewers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Jayden Maiava to win the Heisman Trophy (+2000) · BetMGM
“It's USC quarterback Jayden Maiava, who's 20 to one right now at BetMGM. Maiava makes too much damn sense. And this morning, I added more Jayden Maiava.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy, not Jayden Maiava; futures pick busts (Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza (Indiana))
Over 59.5
“Six and a half point favorite, total 59 and a half. I don't think that total is high enough. I think that bad boy is going over.”
ILL 34, USC 32 — Illinois beat USC 34-32 (combined 66); over 59.5 covers (ESPN box score).
New England Patriots -4.5
“So I laid four and a half. I would still lay five and a half.”
NE 42, CAR 13 — Patriots beat Panthers 42-13, a 29-point margin that easily covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
Miami Dolphins -2.5
“I like Miami. Give me Coach Capri pants. I'll leave the two and a half.”
MIA 27, NYJ 21 — Dolphins beat the Jets 27-21, a 6-point win that covers -2.5 (ESPN box score).
Under 54.5
“a small bet for me under 54 and a half.”
DET 38, BAL 30 — Lions beat the Ravens 38-30, a combined 68 points, over the 54.5 total (ESPN box score).
Jameson Williams first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“How about Jameson Williams, the wide receiver too for the Detroit Lions. 20-1 to go over the top and test the Baltimore Ravens secondary.”
Jahmyr Gibbs scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run; Jameson Williams did not score (ESPN recap/box score). (First TD: Jahmyr Gibbs (1-yard run))
Rashod Bateman first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“15-1 for Rashod Bateman to be your first TD scorer.”
Jahmyr Gibbs scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run; Rashod Bateman's touchdown came later, not first (ESPN recap/box score). (First TD: Jahmyr Gibbs (1-yard run))
Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5
“I like Texas Tech plus a three and a half.”
UTAH 10, TTU 34 — Texas Tech beat Utah 34-10; Texas Tech +3.5 covers by 27 (ESPN box score).
Texas Tech Red Raiders moneyline
“I'm also betting some money line.”
UTAH 10, TTU 34 — Texas Tech beat Utah 34-10; Texas Tech moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Nebraska Cornhuskers +2.5
“I'm also going to back Dylan Raiola, Matt Rule, year three in Nebraska, plus two and a half with the Cornhuskers against Michigan.”
MICH 30, NEB 27 — Michigan beat Nebraska 30-27; Nebraska +2.5 busts, losing by 3 (ESPN box score).
Nebraska Cornhuskers moneyline (+115)
“I also play that on the money line as well at plus 115.”
MICH 30, NEB 27 — Michigan beat Nebraska 30-27; Nebraska moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Ole Miss Rebels -11
“Give me Ole Miss at 11 or better.”
MISS 45, TULN 10 — Ole Miss beat Tulane 45-10; Ole Miss -11 covers by 24 (ESPN box score).
Washington State Cougars +19.5
“give me Washington State plus the 19 and a half.”
WASH 59, WSU 24 — Washington beat Washington State 59-24; Washington State +19.5 busts, losing by 35 (ESPN box score).
Phoenix Mercury
“I would even double down and bet some money line on Phoenix.”
PHX 79, NYL 73 — Phoenix beat New York 79-73 in WNBA playoff Game 3; Phoenix Mercury moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Houston Astros moneyline
“i like houston tonight”
SEA 4, HOU 0 — Seattle shut out Houston 4-0; Houston Astros moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-110)
“one here locally in Las Vegas where there's a three minus 110. I have bet that. And that is my biggest bet of the week.”
PHI 33, LAR 26 — Philadelphia beat the LA Rams 33-26 on a blocked-FG return TD; Eagles -3 covers by 4 (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos moneyline (+135)
“Broncos money line plus 135.”
LAC 23, DEN 20 — LA Chargers beat Denver 23-20; Broncos moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Over 50
“This game's going over. Even at 50, I'm going over this one.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Chicago beat Dallas 31-14, a combined 45 points; over 50 busts (ESPN box score).
Buffalo Bills to win the AFC
“I am saying this as someone who is invested in the Bills getting over the hump and making it to the Super Bowl”
New England beat Denver 10-7 in the AFC Championship Game to win the AFC; the Bills futures pick loses (ESPN box score). (AFC Championship: Patriots 10, Broncos 7)
Las Vegas Raiders +3
“So I'm going with the Raiders plus three.”
WSH 41, LV 24 — Washington beat Las Vegas 41-24; Raiders +3 busts, losing by 17 (ESPN box score).
Las Vegas Raiders moneyline (+145)
“I like a little bit of Raiders money. plus 145 as well.”
WSH 41, LV 24 — Washington beat Las Vegas 41-24; Raiders moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans moneyline
“I bet Houston on the money line.”
JAX 17, HOU 10 — Jacksonville beat Houston 17-10; Texans moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
New England Patriots moneyline
“Love New England in the game. Bet them on the money line.”
PIT 21, NE 14 — Pittsburgh beat New England 21-14; Patriots moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
“Yeah, and I bet them to make the playoffs. earlier this week.”
The Falcons finished 8-9, third in the NFC South, and missed the 2025 playoffs (ESPN). (Atlanta Falcons 2025: 8-9, missed playoffs)
Over 50.5 · BetMGM
“And at BetMGM, the Buffalo Bills still an 11.5 point favorite total sitting at 50.5. But there's a couple of pretty sharp sportsbooks here in Las Vegas that have 11. So a lot of the money over the last 24 hours, and I think it's going to continue heading up to kickoff, is on the Miami Dolphins from influential bettors. So that's where we sit right now. As for what I like in the game, I like the over. I'm going to go over 50 and a half with Waddle healthy.”
BUF 31, MIA 21 — Bills beat Dolphins 31-21, combined 52 points; over 50.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Tyreek Hill first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“I've never seen Tyreek Hill at 15-1 to be your first touchdown scorer.”
Dolphins RB Ollie Gordon II scored the game's first touchdown on a 2-yard run in the 1st quarter; Tyreek Hill scored later (4th quarter) but was not the first scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Ollie Gordon II (2-yd rush, 1st quarter))
Dawson Knox first touchdown scorer (+3000)
“Dustin Knox at 30-1 and it will be Tyreek Hill and Dawson Knox as your first TV scores, and I'll see you on the island.”
Dolphins RB Ollie Gordon II scored the game's first touchdown on a 2-yard run; Dawson Knox did not score in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Ollie Gordon II (2-yd rush, 1st quarter))
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year (+1500) · BetMGM
“And that leads me to the guy that I have bet this afternoon and would recommend everyone else doing so as well. New England Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel. He's 15 to one right now at MGM.”
Mike Vrabel won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award (NFL.com).
New England Patriots (+110)
“I like New England to win this game. So I bet New England plus 110 on the money line.”
PIT 21, NE 14 — Steelers beat the Patriots 21-14; New England moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
“I like Tampa in the game and I bet six and a half earlier this afternoon.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — Buccaneers beat Jets 29-27, covering by only 2 points; Tampa Bay -6.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Phoenix Mercury +4.5 · BetMGM
“the point spread right now over at MGM Liberty laying four and a half and the total sitting at 159 and a half I'm more inclined to bet Phoenix I'm gonna double down and bet the Mercury”
NY 60, PHX 86 — Mercury beat Liberty 86-60 in WNBA playoff Game 2; Phoenix +4.5 covers easily (ESPN box score).
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year (+1500) · BetMGM
“Jonathan Taylor right now at BetMGM is 15-1. Now, I'm saying this as somebody who's not all the way sold on Indianapolis, but I also have to acknowledge and respect the betting market does have them as a four-point favorite on Sunday against Tennessee. Indy's updated win totals, 8.5. Would like that to be a little bit higher, but they play in a weak division, which is always nice. They're the favorites in that weak division, plus 135 to win the AFC South. Taylor also leads the league in rushing yards right now with 236. And oh, by the way, just today was named AFC Offensive Player of the Week after his game against the Denver Broncos, 165 on the ground, 50 through the air, and a receiving touchdown as well. And this week on Sunday against Tennessee, he gets to go up against the 32nd ranked rush defensive EPA per play in the Tennessee Titans. Taylor could have another big game. And that 15 to one that we're staring at right now, that's plus 750 this time next week. So Jonathan Taylor right now is a bet in offensive player of the year”
Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Jonathan Taylor did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP Offensive Player of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
Miami Hurricanes -7.5
“But the Hurricanes, they're at home laying seven and a half against the Gators. I do think that this is a justified price. And in fact, I think Miami should be an even bigger favorite. I like Miami in the game. I think Miami is better than LSU. And the further removed we get from this LSU Clemson game, which we're all finding out Clemson's not good. Like they're just not good at all. They lost to Georgia Tech. They were down by 16 against Troy. They didn't come back to win that game. And they lost the Clemson Labor Day weekend. And I don't think we need to be giving LSU points for that. And in fact, I think what we're going to be doing is we're going to be back in Miami against this Florida team that, like you mentioned, should have been very competitive in the game against the LSU type. You bet Florida. I bet LSU. I kind of walk away from that game. I think I was very lucky to cover the spread and win my bet on that game. I don't think they should have won because I think LSU would have done just enough to win the game. But they definitely should have covered. They definitely should have covered. Like you don't lose that like five interceptions and you only lose by 10. Like you for sure were competitive. But hey, you know what? The quarterback's going to turn the ball over and that's what happens. That's football on a Saturday. And I guess Brian Kelly says, hey, we won an SEC game by 10. Get off my ass. Everyone's kind of been giving him problems over there in Baton Rouge. But I do think Miami gets it done. I think Miami this year is like a juggernaut and is very much a talented team. I think we find that out on Saturday against Florida. So give me the Hurricanes. Lay the seven and a half for me.”
MIA 26, FLA 7 — Miami beat Florida 26-7 (19-point margin); Hurricanes -7.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Texas Tech Red Raiders
“I'm going to be on the opposite side. I'm going to go rock with Baron Morton and Joey Maguire. I'm backing the Red Raiders on the money line.”
TTU 34, UTAH 10 — Texas Tech beat Utah 34-10 outright; Red Raiders moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Las Vegas Aces -4
“I'm going to back the Aces. I think my beloved Seattle Storm go down, and they are eliminated tonight. Asia Wilson, I've been saying it all throughout this summer. She's got that look, and I think she's going to advance, and her team's going to cover the number. There's a four out there. I will be laying that four.”
SEA 86, LV 83 — Storm beat Aces 86-83 outright in WNBA playoff Game 2; Aces -4 does not cover, having lost the game outright (ESPN box score).
Atlanta Dream moneyline / Las Vegas Aces moneyline parlay
- Atlanta Dream pending
- Las Vegas Aces lost
“How about you pair it with the other WNBA game that tips off in about 30 minutes, the Atlanta Dream. Do a Moneyline favorite parlay. Dream Aces? Dream Aces.”
IND 77, ATL 60; SEA 86, LV 83 — Parlay busts: Atlanta Dream lost 60-77 to the Fever, and Las Vegas Aces lost 83-86 to the Storm; both moneyline legs lose (ESPN box scores).
Under 45.5
“I like the under, I bet 45 and a half earlier this afternoon, even at 44 and a half, I'd still bet it.”
33-26 — Eagles beat the Rams 33-26, a combined 59 points, over the 45.5 total (ESPN).
New Orleans Saints +8.5
“i bet it anyways and that's the saints plus eight and a half on the road against the seattle seahawks now this is down to seven and a half pretty much everywhere”
44-13 — Seahawks blew out the Saints 44-13, a margin of -31, well outside the Saints' +8.5 spread (ESPN).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
“Luckily, I live in Las Vegas. I have bet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus three.”
20-19 — Buccaneers beat the Texans 20-19 outright, a margin of +1, covering the +3 spread (ESPN).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+135)
“I also bet a little bit of Moneyline at plus 135.”
20-19 — Buccaneers won outright 20-19 over the Texans, so the moneyline pick cashes (ESPN).
Emeka Egbuka first touchdown scorer
“How about Emeka Ebuca at 11 to be your first TD scorer”
C.J. Stroud found Nico Collins for the game's first touchdown in the first quarter, not Emeka Egbuka (Texans.com). (First TD: Nico Collins (1st quarter))
Xavier Hutchinson first touchdown scorer (+3000)
“How about Xavier Hutchinson, who played more than any wide receiver, not named Nico Collins at 30-1 to be your first TD scorer.”
C.J. Stroud found Nico Collins for the game's first touchdown in the first quarter, not Xavier Hutchinson (Texans.com). (First TD: Nico Collins (1st quarter))
Quentin Johnston first touchdown scorer (+1500)
“QJ, Quentin Johnson is our guy tonight at 15-1 for the Los Angeles Chargers.”
Justin Herbert's 10-yard TD to Keenan Allen with 0:20 left in the 1st quarter was the game's first touchdown, not Quentin Johnston (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Keenan Allen (10-yd catch, 1Q 0:20))
Dont'e Thornton Jr. first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“And for the Raiders, Dont'e Thornton Jr. Might be Gino Smith's favorite wide receiver on the team. 25-1.”
Justin Herbert's 10-yard TD to Keenan Allen with 0:20 left in the 1st quarter was the game's first touchdown, not Dont'e Thornton Jr. (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Keenan Allen (10-yd catch, 1Q 0:20))
Michael Mayer first touchdown scorer (+3500)
“If you want a little bonus, you get Michael Mayer and a rogue 35 to 1 here in Las Vegas.”
Justin Herbert's 10-yard TD to Keenan Allen with 0:20 left in the 1st quarter was the game's first touchdown, not Michael Mayer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Keenan Allen (10-yd catch, 1Q 0:20))
Dallas Cowboys -5
“This to me is also some go on the Cowboys. And where this might go wrong by betting Dallas laying the five, which I have done, five and a half I still think is good as well.”
40-37 — Cowboys beat the Giants 40-37 in overtime, a margin of +3, which falls short of the -5 spread (ESPN).
Over 46.5 · BetMGM
“But I am comfortable enough to bet over 46 and a half, which is the number currently at BetMGM.”
30-10 — Bills beat the Jets 30-10, a combined 40 points, under the 46.5 total (ESPN).
Minnesota Lynx to win the WNBA championship
“The way I'm going to be betting the WNBA playoffs from a title standpoint, it's pretty simple. Bet the Minnesota Lynx. That's what I'm doing.”
Minnesota was eliminated in the semifinals by Phoenix; the Las Vegas Aces swept Phoenix 4-0 to win the 2025 WNBA championship, so the Lynx did not win the title (ESPN).
Minnesota Lynx over Atlanta Dream (+600)
“links over dream WNBA finals exacta plus 600. That is a bet that I am making.”
The 2025 WNBA Finals were Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury (Aces won 4-0), not Lynx over Dream, so the exact-result pick busts (ESPN).
Phoenix Mercury to win the series (+170)
“But the bet I do like in the first round, I'm going to go with the dog. I'm going to go with the Phoenix Mercury over the New York Liberty. You can find plus 170, as high as that in some places.”
Phoenix Mercury beat New York Liberty 2-1 in the first round, winning Game 3 79-73 to eliminate the defending champion Liberty (WNBA.com).
Temple Owls +24
“I like Temple. I'll take the 24.”
OU 42, TEM 3 — Oklahoma routed Temple 42-3 (ESPN); Temple lost by 39, missing the +24 spread.
Miami Hurricanes -17
“I'll lay 17. And even if it's 17 and a half, I would lay that as well.”
MIA 49, USF 12 — Miami beat South Florida 49-12 (ESPN); the Hurricanes' 37-point margin covers -17.
Florida Gators
“I'll take the seven. I'll put a little bit on the money line as well.”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — LSU beat Florida 20-10 (ESPN); Florida lost outright, so the moneyline busts.
Northwestern Wildcats +27
“I'm going to take Northwestern plus 27 against Oregon.”
ORE 34, NU 14 — Oregon beat Northwestern 34-14 (ESPN); Northwestern lost by 20, covering the +27 spread.
Wyoming Cowboys +23.5
“I'm also going to bet Wyoming, plus 23.5.”
UTAH 31, WYO 6 — Utah beat Wyoming 31-6 (ESPN); Wyoming lost by 25, missing the +23.5 spread.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“My guy Jacory Krosky married Bill Krosky married 14 to 1 to be the first TD score for the Commanders”
Romeo Doubs scored the game's first touchdown, a 5-yard pass from Jordan Love at 4:33 of the first quarter; Jacory Croskey-Merritt did not score first. (First TD: Romeo Doubs (1Q, 4:33))
Tucker Kraft first touchdown scorer
“We're going to go with a reliable big body target in Tucker Kraft to go 14 the ones to be our first.”
Romeo Doubs scored the game's first touchdown, a 5-yard pass from Jordan Love at 4:33 of the first quarter, not Tucker Kraft. (First TD: Romeo Doubs (1Q, 4:33))
Derrick Henry 2+ touchdowns 1.5 (+260) · BetMGM
“two plus touchdowns, plus 260 at BetMGM.”
BAL 41, CLE 17 — Derrick Henry had 11 carries for 23 yards and 0 touchdowns as the Ravens beat the Browns 41-17 (ESPN box score); the 2+ TD prop busts. (Derrick Henry: 0 TD (11 car, 23 yds))
Derrick Henry over 124.5 rushing yards (+230) · BetMGM
“I think Henry, 125 plus rushing yards at BetMGM, plus 230.”
BAL 41, CLE 17 — Derrick Henry rushed 11 times for 23 yards as Baltimore beat Cleveland 41-17 (ESPN box score); he missed the over 124.5 rushing yards prop badly. (Derrick Henry: 23 rushing yards)
Florida Gators +7.5
“I will bet seven and seven and a half on the Florida Gators.”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — LSU beat Florida 20-10 (ESPN); Florida lost by 10, missing the +7.5 spread.
Green Bay Packers -3
“i will be laying the three with the green bay packers”
GB 27, WSH 18 — Green Bay beat Washington 27-18 (ESPN); the Packers' 9-point margin covers -3.
Over 46
“I'm betting the over with this game. I bet over 46. 46.5 is still a playable number.”
BUF 30, NYJ 10 — Buffalo beat the Jets 30-10 (ESPN box score); the 40 combined points fall under the 46 total.
Jonathan Gannon to win Coach of the Year (+1200) · BetMGM
“I think now is the time to buy Jonathan Gannon at 12 to one in the coach of the year market I have bet it”
Mike Vrabel of the New England Patriots won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award, not Jonathan Gannon (Wikipedia, citing AP results). (2025 AP Coach of the Year: Mike Vrabel (New England Patriots))
Under 42 · BetMGM
“I like the under. That's the bet that I made. I bet under 42”
LAR 33, TEN 19 — Rams beat Titans 33-19 (combined 52); the under 42 total lost.
Justin Herbert to win NFL MVP (+1500)
“15 to one, Justin Herbert is a bet that I have made right now in the MVP market.”
Matthew Stafford won the AP 2025 NFL MVP award; Justin Herbert did not win. (2025 NFL MVP: Matthew Stafford)
Kyle Hamilton to win Defensive Player of the Year (+5000) · BetMGM
“I bet some but just maybe consider betting it it's raven safety kyle hamilton who right now at bet mgm is still 50 to 1.”
Myles Garrett won the AP 2025 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Kyle Hamilton did not win. (2025 NFL Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett)
Cincinnati Bengals -3
“If you find a three, I think it's a bet on Cincinnati. And I was able to find a three earlier today. I bet Cincinnati.”
CIN 31-27 JAX — Bengals beat Jaguars 31-27; Cincinnati -3 covered by 4.
Over 8.5
“I'm going to go with the over in the Cubs-Braves game full game over, over eight and a half.”
CHC 6-1 ATL — Cubs beat Braves 6-1; combined 7 runs busts the over 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+120)
“I'll also take Diamondbacks on the money line, plus 120 against the San Francisco Giants.”
SF 5-3 ARI — Giants beat Diamondbacks 5-3; Arizona's moneyline lost.
New England Patriots under 8.5 wins (-155)
“I love their under right now. It's still 8.5. Now, you've got to pay a little bit of juice, minus 155”
The Patriots finished the 2025 regular season 14-3; the under 8.5 wins lost. (New England Patriots: 14 wins)
Over 7.5 wins (+110)
“Dallas' win total is 7.5, plus 110 to the over. No juice there. You're getting plus money. Six-point favorite on Sunday. If Dak Prescott is what we saw on Thursday, once again, no Jalen Carter. That matters. But if with Dak and Lamb and Pickens and that offense can hum, Cowboys can go 8-9, can't they? You're getting plus 110 on that? I like that bet.”
The Cowboys finished the 2025 regular season 7-9-1; the over 7.5 wins lost. (Dallas Cowboys: 7 wins)
Detroit Lions over 9.5 wins (+120) · BetMGM
“I'm still on the Detroit Lions to win 10 games over nine and a half at BetMGM plus 120 on the Detroit Lions.”
The Lions finished the 2025 regular season 9-8; the over 9.5 wins lost. (Detroit Lions: 9 wins)
Over 8.5 wins (-140)
“Win total still eight and a half minus 140. You can't watch Aaron Rodgers play in that game on Sunday and be like, oh, yeah, this team is going to be below 500. I don't buy it. The defense will get there. I like Pittsburgh.”
The Steelers finished the 2025 regular season 10-7; the over 8.5 wins won. (Pittsburgh Steelers: 10 wins)
Jacksonville Jaguars under 8.5 wins (-110)
“I think the Jacksonville Jaguars, too much of an adjustment. Under 8.5 minus 110 for me.”
The Jaguars finished the 2025 regular season 13-4; the under 8.5 wins lost. (Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 wins)
Jayden Maiava to win the Heisman Trophy (+3000)
“So at 30 to one for me, Jayden Maiava is a bet heading into week three of the college football season.”
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) won the 2025 Heisman Trophy; Jayden Maiava did not win. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Jordan Love to win MVP
“also with the jordan love stuff as well so uh looking solid in the mvp market”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award; Jordan Love did not win. (2025 NFL MVP: Matthew Stafford)
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5
“but i think they get it done by at least a field goal so i laid the two and a half with pittsburgh”
SEA 31, PIT 17 — Seahawks beat Steelers 31-17; Pittsburgh's -2.5 spread busts.
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5
“I bet plus three and a half.”
LAC 20, LV 9 — Chargers beat Raiders 20-9; Las Vegas' +3.5 spread busts.
Las Vegas Raiders (+155)
“I bet a little bit of money line as well at plus 155.”
LAC 20, LV 9 — Chargers beat Raiders 20-9; Las Vegas moneyline busts.
Chicago Bears
“I bet money line on the Bears at a plus money price.”
MIN 27, CHI 24 — Vikings beat Bears 27-24; Chicago moneyline busts.
Caleb Williams anytime touchdown (+470)
“I like Caleb Williams' anytime touchdown tonight. That's at plus 470.”
Caleb Williams scored a 1st-quarter rushing touchdown (9-yard scramble) in the Vikings' 27-24 win over Chicago. (Caleb Williams: 1 rushing TD)
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5
“I like Iowa plus the 3.5.”
ISU 16-IOWA 13 — Iowa State beat Iowa 16-13 on Sept 6, 2025; Iowa lost by only 3, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN final score).
Duke Blue Devils +3
“So I'll take the three with Duke.”
ILL 45-DUKE 19 — Illinois beat Duke 45-19 on Sept 6, 2025; Duke lost by 26, missing the +3 spread (ESPN final score).
Kentucky Wildcats +9
“I'm also going to take the nine with Kentucky.”
MISS 30-UK 23 — Ole Miss beat Kentucky 30-23 on Sept 6, 2025; Kentucky lost by only 7, covering the +9 spread (ESPN final score).
Oregon Ducks -28
“i said i'm betting oregon to blow out oklahoma state i laid 28”
ORE 69-OKST 3 — Oregon routed Oklahoma State 69-3 on Sept 6, 2025, covering the -28 spread by a wide margin (ESPN final score).
Michigan Wolverines +5
“finally give me michigan plus five”
OU 24-MICH 13 — Oklahoma beat Michigan 24-13 on Sept 6, 2025; Michigan lost by 11, missing the +5 spread (ESPN final score).
Michigan Wolverines
“and also michigan money line”
OU 24-MICH 13 — Oklahoma beat Michigan 24-13 on Sept 6, 2025; the Michigan moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
Chicago White Sox first five innings (+150)
“give me the white socks on the money line in the first five plus 150”
CHW 7-DET 5 — White Sox beat Tigers 7-5 on Sept 5, 2025, but the score was tied 4-4 through five innings, pushing the first-five White Sox moneyline (ESPN box score). (First five innings: White Sox 4, Tigers 4)
New York Mets first five innings (-105)
“first five with the Metropolitans, minus 105.”
NYM 5-CIN 4 — Mets beat Reds 5-4 on Sept 5, 2025; New York led 5-1 through five innings, winning the Mets first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Mets 5, Reds 1)
First five innings under 4.5 (+100)
“I'm going to go with the Blue Jays, Yankees, first five under four and a half at even money.”
TOR 7-NYY 1 — Blue Jays beat Yankees 7-1 on Sept 5, 2025; Toronto and New York combined for 6 runs through five innings, going over the 4.5 total (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Blue Jays 5, Yankees 1 (6 runs))
Under 38.5
“I bet under 38 and a half, but give me the under.”
PIT 34, NYJ 32 — Steelers beat Jets 34-32 (combined 66); under 38.5 busts.
Over 44
“It's the over for me, even at 44.”
LV 20, NE 13 — Raiders beat Patriots 20-13 (combined 33); over 44 busts.
Denver Broncos -16.5 (+210) · BetMGM
“i'm gonna back the denver broncos not with laying the eight and a half or the nine whatever i'm laying 16 and a half plus 210 over at bet mgm”
DEN 20, TEN 12 — Broncos beat Titans 20-12, an 8-point margin that falls short of the -16.5 spread.
Detroit Lions (+115) · BetMGM
“I'll just take Detroit on the money line, plus 115 over at MGM.”
GB 27, DET 13 — Packers beat Lions 27-13; Detroit moneyline busts.
Kansas City Chiefs (-160)
“I'm going to bet Kansas City on the money line. Minus 160 is the best price that I see right now in the market.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21; Kansas City moneyline busts.
Keenan Allen first touchdown (+1700)
“keenan allen 17 to 1”
Quentin Johnston scored the game's first touchdown (5-yard catch, 1st quarter) in the Chargers' 27-21 win; Keenan Allen did not score first. (First TD: Quentin Johnston)
JuJu Smith-Schuster first touchdown (+3000)
“so it's juju at 30 to 1”
Quentin Johnston scored the game's first touchdown (5-yard catch, 1st quarter) in the Chargers' 27-21 win; JuJu Smith-Schuster did not score first. (First TD: Quentin Johnston)
First five innings over 3 (-120)
“So over three minus 120.”
PIT 5-LAD 3 — Pirates beat Dodgers 5-3; through five innings Pittsburgh led 5-0 and Los Angeles hadn't scored, so the combined first-five total of 5 runs went over 3 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Dodgers 0, Pirates 5)
Cleveland Guardians first five innings (+145)
“So plus 145, Guardians first five money line.”
TB 4-CLE 2 — Rays beat Guardians 4-2; Cleveland trailed 2-0 through five innings, so the Guardians first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Guardians 0, Rays 2)
Las Vegas Aces (+120)
“So give me the aces on the money line at plus 120.”
LV 97-MIN 87 — Las Vegas Aces beat Minnesota Lynx 97-87; the Aces moneyline won (ESPN box score).
KaVontae Turpin first touchdown (+5000)
“KaVontae Turpin, first touchdown scorer, 50-1.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Javonte Williams scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run in the 1st quarter of Cowboys-Eagles; KaVontae Turpin did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Javonte Williams)
DeVonta Smith first touchdown (+1200)
“DeVonta Smith, 12-1.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Javonte Williams scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run in the 1st quarter of Cowboys-Eagles; DeVonta Smith did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Javonte Williams)
Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year (+1400)
“It's 14-1. It's a bet that I've made.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Bijan Robinson did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Offensive Player of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+1400)
“I like T-Mac for this award. He's 14-1.”
Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award, matching the pick (Wikipedia). (2025 Offensive Rookie of the Year: Tetairoa McMillan)
Aidan Hutchinson to win Comeback Player of the Year
“I think eight, eight and Hutchinson is going to win.”
Christian McCaffrey won the 2025 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award; Aidan Hutchinson did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Comeback Player of the Year: Christian McCaffrey)
Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“For me, it's pretty simple. Abdul Carter.”
Carson Schwesinger won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Abdul Carter did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Defensive Rookie of the Year: Carson Schwesinger)
Pete Carroll to win Coach of the Year (+1500)
“15-1. I like Pete Carroll”
Mike Vrabel won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Pete Carroll did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Coach of the Year: Mike Vrabel)
Las Vegas Raiders (+115)
“I'll take plus 115. Give me the silver and black on Sunday.”
LV 20, NE 13 — Raiders beat Patriots 20-13; the Raiders moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans +3
“I'll take plus three.”
LAR 14, HOU 9 — Rams beat Texans 14-9, a 5-point Houston loss that fell short of the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans
“I'll take money line.”
LAR 14, HOU 9 — Rams beat Texans 14-9; the Texans moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Tampa Bay Rays moneyline (+110)
“I'll be betting the Tampa Bay Rays tonight. I know the market's moved a little bit in their favor. It was like plus 115, now plus 110.”
TB 9, SEA 4 — Rays beat Mariners 9-4; the Rays moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Texas (+110)
“Texas on the money line, plus 110.”
OSU 14, TEX 7 — Ohio State beat Texas 14-7; Texas moneyline loses (ESPN final score).
Clemson (-165)
“I also like Clemson on the money line against LSU. Clemson minus 165.”
LSU 17, CLEM 10 — LSU beat Clemson 17-10; Clemson moneyline loses (ESPN final score).
Virginia Tech +8
“Let's go with Va Tech plus the eight on a neutral in Atlanta.”
SC 24, VT 11 — South Carolina beat Virginia Tech 24-11 in Atlanta; VT's margin of -13 fails to cover +8 (ESPN final score).
Notre Dame (-130)
“I will take Notre Dame on the money line, minus 130.”
MIA 27, ND 24 — Miami beat Notre Dame 27-24 on a late field goal; Notre Dame moneyline loses (ESPN final score).
North Carolina +3.5
“North Carolina, come on and raise up! Plus three and a half.”
TCU 48, UNC 14 — TCU beat North Carolina 48-14; UNC's margin of -34 fails to cover +3.5 (ESPN final score).
North Carolina (+140)
“Carolina money line, plus 140. I will be betting both of those.”
TCU 48, UNC 14 — TCU beat North Carolina 48-14; UNC moneyline loses (ESPN final score).
Bo Bichette to hit a home run (+500)
“Give me Bo Bichette plus 500 to hit a home run tonight against the Minnesota Twins.”
Blue Jays beat Twins 10-4; Bo Bichette went 1-for-3 with a single and no home run, so the prop busts (ESPN box score). (Bo Bichette: 0 HR (1-for-3))
Cincinnati Bengals -2
“But I'm going to lay the two with Cincinnati in this contest.”
IND 41, CIN 14 — Colts beat Bengals 41-14 in the preseason finale; Cincinnati -2 spread busts by 27 points (ESPN).
Over 39.5
“they've been productive once we get to the second half so i'm going over 39 and a half in this game”
DEN 28, NO 19 — Broncos beat Saints 28-19 in the preseason finale; the 47 combined points clear over 39.5 (ESPN).
Seattle Seahawks +3
“I will take Jalen Milrow plus the three.”
GB 20, SEA 7 — Packers beat Seahawks 20-7 in the preseason finale; Seattle +3 busts, losing by 13 (ESPN).
Los Angeles Chargers -2
“So give me the Chargers. I'll lay the two against the Niners.”
SF 30, LAC 23 — 49ers beat Chargers 30-23 in the preseason finale; Los Angeles -2 busts, losing outright (ESPN).
Kansas State -3
“i'll be laying the three with kansas state as well”
ISU 24, KSU 21 — Iowa State beat Kansas State 24-21 in Dublin; Kansas State -3 busts, losing outright (ESPN).
Under 36
“I'm going to be taking the under in the Falcons-Cowboys game, under 36.”
DAL 31, ATL 13 — Cowboys beat Falcons 31-13 in the preseason finale; the 44 combined points bust under 36 (ESPN).
Over 37
“I'm also going to take the over in the Vikings and the Titans. Cam Ward's going to get some time out there. Minnesota has actually been pretty solid in the preseason with those backups. Sam Howell, Max Brosmer, Brett Rippens played in the NFL games. so I'll go over 37”
TEN 23, MIN 13 — Titans beat Vikings 23-13 in the preseason finale; the 36 combined points bust over 37 (ESPN).
Kansas City Chiefs (+115)
“I'm going Chiefs Moneyline plus 115”
CHI 29, KC 27 — Chiefs lost to the Bears 29-27 in the preseason finale; the moneyline pick busts (ESPN).
Baltimore Orioles first five innings (-125)
“I'm going with Baltimore in the first five, minus 125.”
Astros led Orioles 7-3 through five innings en route to a 10-7 win; Baltimore's first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Houston Astros 7, Baltimore Orioles 3)
First five innings under 4.5 (-120)
“I'm also going to go Twins White Sox under in the first five, under 4.5, minus 120.”
Twins led White Sox 4-3 through five innings en route to a 9-7 win; the 7 combined runs bust under 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Minnesota Twins 4, Chicago White Sox 3 (7 runs))
First five innings over 4 (-120)
“And then give me the first five over 4, minus 120 between the Guardians and the Rangers.”
Guardians and Rangers were tied 1-1 through five innings before Texas won 4-3 on a walk-off; the 2 combined runs bust over 4 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Cleveland Guardians 1, Texas Rangers 1 (2 runs))
Washington Nationals first five innings moneyline (-105)
“I'm going to go ahead and take the Washington Nationals in the first five at minus 105. First five money line with the Nats.”
Nationals led the Mets 4-3 through five innings; the Washington first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (First five: New York Mets 3, Washington Nationals 4)
Las Vegas Raiders +3
“No, I do like the Las Vegas Raiders getting the three. I think this is where we're going to be hanging out because there's a lot of optimism about New England, as there should be. I like Mike Vrabel quite a bit, and I also am bullish on Drake May. But at a field goal price, taking Geno Smith and Pete Carroll in what I think should be a coin flip game, I'm going to bet that all day.”
LV 20, NE 13 — Raiders beat Patriots 20-13 outright, easily covering +3 (ESPN box score).
Washington Commanders moneyline
“I'll take Commander's money line.”
GB 27, WSH 18 — Packers beat Commanders 27-18; the Washington moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
New York Giants first half -3.5
“I'm actually going to tail Brad on the Giants' first half. This is three and a half, like you mentioned. I really do think that the Giants, whether dart plays, two drives, five drives, they have enough quarterback depth to where they should have the upper hand in this matchup.”
Giants led Patriots 14-10 at halftime, a +4 margin that covers first-half -3.5 (ESPN box score halftime line). (Halftime: Giants 14, Patriots 10)
St. Louis Cardinals first five innings moneyline (-120)
“I also like the Cardinals' first five on the money line, minus 120. Just rather simple. Back in sunny gray.”
Cardinals led Rays 6-3 through five innings, winning the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score line score). (First 5 innings: Cardinals 6, Rays 3)
Anthony Volpe to hit a home run (+700)
“And then finally tonight, Anthony Volpe to hit a home run at plus 700 against Lucas Giolito.”
Anthony Volpe went 0-for-4 with no home run against the Red Sox (ESPN box score). (Anthony Volpe: 0 HR (0-for-4))
A'ja Wilson over 24.5 points and Las Vegas Aces moneyline (+200)
- A'ja Wilson over 24.5 points lost
- Las Vegas Aces won
“Yes, I have a WNBA parlay. I'm parlaying Asia Wilson's points over and the Aces money line. They're taking on the Mercury tonight. Big time MVP challenger matchup, Asia Wilson versus Alyssa Thomas. She shows up for these. So give me over 24 and a half points. Aces money line pays about two to one. So that's my bet tonight in the W.”
Parlay busts: A'ja Wilson scored 19 points, under the 24.5 line — lost; Aces beat Mercury 83-61 — won (ESPN). (A'ja Wilson: 19 pts; Aces 83, Mercury 61)
Las Vegas Raiders over 6.5 wins
“In terms of bets, over six and a half on the win total.”
The Las Vegas Raiders finished the 2025 season 3-14, well under 6.5 wins (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Las Vegas Raiders: 3 wins)
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs (+300)
“I like the three to one on the Raiders to make the playoffs as well.”
The Las Vegas Raiders finished 3-14 and missed the 2025 playoffs for a fourth straight season (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Las Vegas Raiders: 3 wins, missed playoffs)
Kansas City Chiefs first, Las Vegas Raiders second (+1400) · BetMGM
“AFC West straight forecast chiefs first place Raiders second 14 to one. That's talking about 10 toes down right there standing on business. That will be a bet in my pending wagers prior to the start of the season.”
The Denver Broncos won the AFC West at 14-3 with the LA Chargers second, ending Kansas City's division reign; the Chiefs (6-11) fell to third and the Raiders finished fourth, so Chiefs-1st/Raiders-2nd busted (ESPN). (AFC West: Broncos 1st, Chargers 2nd, Chiefs 3rd, Raiders 4th)
Tennessee Titans over 5.5 wins
“I like the win total over five and a half on Tennessee.”
The Tennessee Titans finished the 2025 season 3-14, well under 5.5 wins (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Tennessee Titans: 3 wins)
Tennessee Titans over 7.5 wins (+200)
“I also like an alternate win total on Tennessee over seven and a half plus 200.”
The Tennessee Titans finished the 2025 season 3-14, well under 7.5 wins (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Tennessee Titans: 3 wins)
Houston Texans first, Tennessee Titans second (+750) · BetMGM
“Tennessee to be second place behind Houston, plus 750. AFC South straight forecast over at BetMGM. That is another bet that I like this upcoming NFL season.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars won the AFC South at 13-4 with Houston second; Tennessee finished last, so Houston-1st/Tennessee-2nd busted (NFL.com). (AFC South: Jaguars 1st, Texans 2nd, Colts 3rd, Titans 4th)
Aaron Glenn to win Coach of the Year (+1500)
“The bet that I've made on the New York Jets this year is Aaron Glenn to win Coach of the Year at 15 to 1.”
Patriots HC Mike Vrabel won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Aaron Glenn did not win (NFL.com). (Coach of the Year: Mike Vrabel)
Indianapolis Colts under 7.5 wins
“for me i'm betting the win total under seven and a half”
The Indianapolis Colts finished the 2025 season 8-9, over the 7.5 win total (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Indianapolis Colts: 8 wins)
Indianapolis Colts to finish last in AFC South (+250) · BetMGM
“AFC South finishing position, Colts plus 250 to be last place in the AFC South. I think this team is absolutely cooked.”
The Indianapolis Colts finished third in the AFC South (8-9); the Tennessee Titans finished last, not Indianapolis (NFL.com). (AFC South: Indianapolis 3rd, Tennessee 4th (last))
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5
“I think for me at three and a half, it's a bet on the Chargers. And there are a couple of those out there. I think BetMGM is maybe at some point like next week or the game week we get there with three and a half. And even it might be heavily juiced towards L.A. Maybe you have to lay minus 120 or minus 115. But I think getting the hook is important in this game.”
27-21 — Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21 in Sao Paulo; the Chargers' +3.5 underdog margin of +6 covers (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints +6 (-110)
“I'll take the six as long as it's six minus 110 bet”
20-13 — Cardinals beat Saints 20-13; New Orleans lost by 7, busting the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers over 8.5 wins (+130)
“So I like the win total over eight and a half at plus 130.”
Tennessee went 8-4 in the 2025 regular season, finishing under the 8.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (8 regular-season wins)
Tennessee Volunteers to make the College Football Playoff (+270)
“I like them to make the CFP at plus 270.”
Tennessee was left out of the 12-team 2025-26 College Football Playoff field selected on December 7, 2025, so the futures bet lost (College Football Playoff selection announcement). (Team missed the CFP)
Over 4.5 (first five innings)
“But I'll go ahead and take the Yankees raise first five over four and a half. That's at even money.”
Yankees and Rays combined for 2 runs through five innings (NYY 2, TB 0); the first-five over 4.5 loses (ESPN box score). (First five: New York Yankees 2, Tampa Bay Rays 0 (2 runs))
Over 3.5 (first five innings)
“Also play the over four and a half in the Brewers Cubs game. It's sorry, over three and a half in the first five in the Brewers and the Cubs games.”
Brewers and Cubs combined for 4 runs through five innings (MIL 1, CHC 3); the first-five over 3.5 wins (ESPN box score). (First five: Milwaukee Brewers 1, Chicago Cubs 3 (4 runs))
Under 4.5 (first five innings)
“and I'll play the first five under between the Reds and the Angels. That's under four and a half at even money.”
Reds and Angels combined for 2 runs through five innings (CIN 1, LAA 1); the first-five under 4.5 wins (ESPN box score). (First five: Cincinnati Reds 1, Los Angeles Angels 1 (2 runs))
San Francisco Giants first five innings moneyline (+120)
“And then finally tonight on the West Coast, give me the Giants on the first five money line plus 120. Landon Rupp as a road dog. I'll go ahead and rock him tonight.”
Padres led the Giants 6-1 through five innings; the Giants' first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score). (First five: San Francisco Giants 1, San Diego Padres 6)
Zach Orr to win Assistant Coach of the Year (+3300)
“Ravens defensive coordinator Zach Orr is that 33 to 1 to win assistant coach of the year”
Patriots OC Josh McDaniels won the 2025 AP NFL Assistant Coach of the Year award; Zach Orr did not win (NFL.com). (Assistant Coach of the Year: Josh McDaniels)
Kelvin Sheppard to win Assistant Coach of the Year (+5000)
“another guy that's even a longer shot at 50 to 1 what about lions defensive coordinator kelvin shepherd”
Patriots OC Josh McDaniels won the 2025 AP NFL Assistant Coach of the Year award; Kelvin Sheppard did not win (NFL.com). (Assistant Coach of the Year: Josh McDaniels)
Ohio State Buckeyes (-125)
“i'm betting ohio state money line week one against texas it's minus 125 right now i like ohio state”
Ohio State 14, Texas 7 — Ohio State beat Texas 14-7 in the Week 1 season opener; Ohio State moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
Jarren Duran to hit a home run (+400)
“Four home run bets for yours truly tonight, starting with Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran, plus 400, has been hitting the ball pretty well. A lot of barrels above that 10% threshold that I really like to bet at. And, of course, he's going up against a guy that's serving him up in Tomoyuki Sagano. We've been looking to fade this guy all throughout the season. It has been successful. Jarren Duran hit a home run tonight.”
Orioles 4, Red Sox 3 — Orioles beat Red Sox 4-3 in 11 innings; Jarren Duran did not hit a home run (ESPN box score). (Jarren Duran: 0 HR)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. to hit a home run (+450)
“I'll also be backing your guy, Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the Yankees, plus 450 to hit a homer off of Shane Baz, another pitcher who gives up quite a bit of barrels.”
Yankees 13, Rays 3 — Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit a solo home run in the 3rd inning as the Yankees routed the Rays 13-3 (ESPN box score). (Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1 HR)
Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run (+455)
“I also like the Athletics' Tyler Sordestrom at plus 455.”
Athletics 6, Twins 3 — Athletics beat Twins 6-3; Tyler Soderstrom singled but did not hit a home run (ESPN box score). (Tyler Soderstrom: 0 HR)
Wyatt Langford to hit a home run (+470)
“And then finally tonight, Texas Rangers outfielder Wyatt Lankford, plus 470 against my man Seth Lugo. Hasn't been as good of a season for Lugo like last year. So I think Lankford's been hitting the ball really well. Hit the ball well last August and September. I think he's going to have a really strong finish at the end of this regular season. Give me Wyatt Lankford.”
Royals 5, Rangers 2 — Royals beat Rangers 5-2; Wyatt Langford went 0-3 with no home run (ESPN box score). (Wyatt Langford: 0 HR)
Cincinnati Bengals to miss the playoffs (+120)
“I like the plus 120 and then the miss the playoffs.”
Bengals finished the 2025 season 6-11, missing the playoffs for a third straight year, so the bet to miss the playoffs won. (Cincinnati Bengals 2025: 6-11, missed playoffs)
Washington Commanders +3.5 · BetMGM
“I'm also rocking with the Commanders. There are still 3.5s out there. BetMGM has a 3.5.”
CIN 31, WSH 17 — Bengals beat Commanders 31-17 in preseason Week 2; Commanders lost by 14, busting the +3.5 spread.
Toronto Blue Jays first five innings (-135)
“I'm actually going to back the Blue Jays in the first five with Kevin Gossman on the mound. Cubs have been awesome, but Gossman, especially at home, has been really, really strong, especially going up against Ben Brown for the Chicago Cubs. Or sorry, not Ben Brown, Cade Horton for the Chicago Cubs. I'm going to go ahead and rock with the Toronto Blue Jays in the first five at minus 135.”
Cubs led the Blue Jays 2-0 through five innings (final Cubs 4, Blue Jays 1), so the Toronto first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Chicago Cubs 2, Toronto Blue Jays 0 (final CHC 4, TOR 1).)
Under 5
“And then in L.A., I believe they call it the freeway series or whatever the hell it is out there in Los Angeles. Dodgers and the Angels, first five under five. Otani getting the party started early.”
Dodgers and Angels combined for 9 runs through five innings (Dodgers 5, Angels 4), busting the first-five under 5 (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Los Angeles Dodgers 5, Los Angeles Angels 4 (9 runs; final LAA 6, LAD 5).)
Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1200)
“the guy that I bet to win DPOI it is Will Anderson Jr at 12 to 1”
Myles Garrett won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Will Anderson Jr. did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett)
Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+415)
“I'm going to go with four guys to hit home runs tonight. The first one, Pete Crow Armstrong, plus 415 against the Toronto Blue Jays and Jose Barrios.”
1-5 — Pete Crow-Armstrong went 0-for-4 with no home runs as the Blue Jays beat the Cubs 5-1 on 8/12/25; his HR prop lost (ESPN box score). (Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0 HR)
Luis Robert Jr. to hit a home run (+455)
“I'll also back Luis Robert Jr. at a plus 455 against Jack Flaherty and the Tigers.”
9-6 — Luis Robert Jr. singled once with no home runs as the White Sox beat the Tigers 9-6 on 8/12/25; his HR prop lost (ESPN box score). (Luis Robert Jr.: 0 HR)
Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run (+425)
“And then give me Bobby Witt Jr. at plus 425 against Mitchell Parker and the Nationals.”
8-5 — Bobby Witt Jr. went 1-for-2 with two walks and no home runs as the Royals beat the Nationals 8-5 on 8/12/25; his HR prop lost (ESPN box score). (Bobby Witt Jr.: 0 HR)
Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+330)
“And then finally, Ketel Marte plus 330 against Jack Leiter and the Rangers.”
3-2 — Ketel Marte hit a walk-off solo home run in the bottom of the 9th as the Diamondbacks beat the Rangers 3-2 on 8/12/25; his HR prop won (ESPN box score). (Ketel Marte: 1 HR)
Los Angeles Sparks +4.5
“Tonight, we'll be backing up the Brinks truck. Give me Cam Brink and the LA Sparks tonight as a home dog, plus four and a half.”
97-105 — The Liberty beat the Sparks 105-97 on 8/12/25; Los Angeles lost by 8, missing the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Under 4.5
“I'm going to go under four and a half in the first five, especially if it's going to be even money between the Twins and the Yankees.”
Twins and Yankees combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Yankees 3, Twins 0) on 8/11/25; under 4.5 in the first five won (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Twins 0, Yankees 3 (3 combined runs))
Christian Yelich to hit a home run (+410)
“Give me Christian Yelich at plus 410 for the Brewers.”
7-1 — Christian Yelich homered to center in the 3rd inning as the Brewers beat the Pirates 7-1 on 8/11/25 (ESPN box score). (Christian Yelich: 1 HR)
Jordan Beck to hit a home run (+475)
“And then Jordan Beck of the Rockies to hit a home run at plus 475.”
2-3 — Jordan Beck went 1-for-3 with no home runs as the Cardinals beat the Rockies 3-2 on 8/11/25; his HR prop lost (ESPN box score). (Jordan Beck: 0 HR)
Josh Allen to win NFL MVP (+600)
“Josh Allen at plus 600 as one of the bets. There's two bets that I like, but Josh Allen is one of them as like one of the contending guys that I like to win the award.”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award at NFL Honors; Josh Allen did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP NFL MVP: Matthew Stafford)
Jordan Love to win NFL MVP (+2500)
“I mentioned Josh Allen among the real contenders is the guy that I bet at 6-1. This other bet is my only other bet in the MVP market, so I have two guys. It's Jordan Love at 25 for the Green Bay Packers.”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award at NFL Honors; Jordan Love did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP NFL MVP: Matthew Stafford)
Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year
“But I want Bijan 15.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Bijan Robinson did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I want McCaffrey 20.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Christian McCaffrey did not win (NFL.com). (2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
New York Mets to win the World Series (+1100)
“I do think they're the best team in baseball and I actually bet them at 11-1 to win the World Series.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2025 World Series over the Toronto Blue Jays 4 games to 3; the Mets did not reach the Series.
Over 36
“Give me over 36 in this game.”
34-25 — Giants beat Bills 34-25 in the preseason opener, combined 59 points, over 36 covers (ESPN box score).
Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5 · BetMGM
“So I'm going to take the Pittsburgh Steelers. Give me the four and a half points.”
31-25 — Steelers beat Jaguars 31-25, a margin of +6, covering the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers -2.5
“I'll just lay the number in the first half, and I'm looking at the betting market right now. Green Bay, there's not a whole lot of places that have the first half markets up, but one place does. Two and a half is what I see. I'll take that all day, every day.”
Jets led Packers 17-3 at halftime; Green Bay lost the first half by 14, failing to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score). (Halftime: Jets 17, Packers 3)
Over 39
“I will bet the over 39”
20-17 — Cardinals beat Chiefs 20-17, combined 37 points, under the 39 total so the over busts (ESPN box score).
Over 36.5
“i do like the total though i'm gonna go over uh over 36 and a half”
27-13 — Chargers beat Saints 27-13, combined 40 points, over 36.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Under 17
“So I'm actually going to go under 17.”
Browns led Panthers 14-7 at halftime, a combined 21 points, above the 17 first-half total so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Halftime: Browns 14, Panthers 7)
Atlanta Falcons +3.5
“I'm going to take the three and a half with the Falcons.”
17-10 — Lions beat Falcons 17-10; Atlanta lost by 7, failing to cover the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
Over 37.5
“Bengals and the Eagles I will be betting the over I took over 37 and a half”
PHI 34, CIN 27 — Eagles beat Bengals 34-27 on August 7, 2025; combined 61 points cleared the 37.5 total.
Oneil Cruz to hit a home run
“One baseball bet, a home run bet. It's Oneil Cruz to hit a home run”
PIT 7, CIN 0 — Pirates beat Reds 7-0 on August 7, 2025; Oneil Cruz went 1-for-4 with an RBI groundout and no home run. (Oneil Cruz: 1-for-4, 0 HR, 1 RBI)
Christian Yelich to hit a home run (+550)
“Let's go with Christian Yelich to hit a home run tonight, plus 550”
Brewers 5, Braves 4 — Christian Yelich went 1-for-5 with a double and no home runs as the Brewers beat the Braves 5-4 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Christian Yelich: 0 HR (1-for-5, double))
Randy Arozarena to hit a home run (+350)
“Randy Arosa Reina. We're going to Randyland tonight at the Pacific Northwest, plus 350 against Jonathan Cannon and the Chicago White Sox.”
Mariners 8, White Sox 6 — Randy Arozarena went 0-for-4 with no home runs as the Mariners beat the White Sox 8-6 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Randy Arozarena: 0 HR (0-for-4))
Golden State Valkyries +5.5
“so I'll bet Golden State as well plus the five-and-a-half”
Aces 78, Valkyries 72 — The Aces beat the Valkyries 78-72 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score); Golden State lost by 6, so the +5.5 spread lost.
Atlanta Falcons +4
“so i like atlanta's situation a lot better than what detroit's is i know detroit's probably gonna try to come out with their hair on fire because dan campbell was embarrassed after uh last thursday's performance but uh give me the Falcons is a home dog here. I'll take the four with Atlanta.”
Lions 17, Falcons 10 — The Lions beat the Falcons 17-10 in their Aug 8, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); Atlanta lost by 7, so the +4 spread lost.
Carolina Panthers -4.5 first half
“Panthers in the first half for me. And you have to pay a little bit of a tax. It's a pretty penny, but I'll take Bryce Young, who has started obviously a lot of NFL games. Andy Dalton started multiple playoff games against backup guys. Yeah, I'll lay the four and a half, whatever it ends up being in the first half for the Panthers.”
The Browns led the Panthers 14-7 at halftime of their Aug 8, 2025 preseason game (ESPN box score); Carolina trailed by 7, so the -4.5 first-half spread lost. (Halftime: Browns 14, Panthers 7)
Buffalo Bills moneyline
“So for me, it's the Bills, and I agree with you on the total.”
Giants 34, Bills 25 — The Bills lost to the Giants 34-25 in their Aug 9, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); the Bills moneyline lost.
Minnesota Vikings moneyline (-115)
“I don't know why this is ticked up, and I'll bet Minnesota on the money line for sure. Like minus 115, minus 120, I think you can still get out there. That's an easy bet for me.”
Vikings 20, Texans 10 — The Vikings beat the Texans 20-10 in their Aug 9, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); the Vikings moneyline covered.
Green Bay Packers to earn the NFC number one seed (+1000) · BetMGM
“green bay i'm looking at the holes that we're poking is that they're just young they were the youngest team last year they won a ton of football games now they build on that i think green bay right now like to be the nfc number one seed at bet mgm it's 10 to 1 i love that bet”
The Seattle Seahawks clinched the NFC No. 1 seed at 14-3; Green Bay finished 9-7-1 as the No. 7 seed, so the Packers pick lost. (NFC No. 1 seed: Seattle Seahawks (14-3); Green Bay Packers finished 9-7-1, No. 7 seed)
Kyle Tucker to hit a home run (+490)
“Kyle Tucker, plus 490 for the Cubs tonight.”
Reds 5, Cubs 1 — Kyle Tucker went 0-for-4 with no home runs as the Reds beat the Cubs 5-1 (ESPN box score). (Kyle Tucker: 0 HR (0-for-4))
Elly De La Cruz to hit a home run (+600)
“Also in that same game, Elly De La Cruz against Shota Imanaga, because guess what? He's a fly ball pitcher. Doesn't sound like hitting conditions, but Elly De La Cruz has big-time power, and we're getting him at plus 600. I'll dabble with that.”
Reds 5, Cubs 1 — Elly De La Cruz went 0-for-4 with no home runs as the Reds beat the Cubs 5-1 (ESPN box score). (Elly De La Cruz: 0 HR (0-for-4))
Zach Neto to hit a home run (+415)
“I'll also dabble with Zach Neto of the Angels, plus 415.”
Rays 7, Angels 3 — Zach Neto did not hit a home run as the Rays beat the Angels 7-3 on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Zach Neto: 0 HR)
Julio Rodriguez to hit a home run (+410)
“Give me Julio Rodriguez, plus 410. Julio swinging a hot bat now. Summer Julio, second half Julio. That guy's here. He goes yard tonight.”
Mariners 8, White Sox 3 — Julio Rodríguez went 2-for-5 with no home runs as the Mariners beat the White Sox 8-3 on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Julio Rodríguez: 2-for-5, 0 HR)
Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run (+350)
“And then finally, at Dodger Stadium, Teoscar Hernandez, plus 350 to hit a homer off that fraud, Miles Michaelis, that Brad was trashing earlier in this set.”
Dodgers 12, Cardinals 6 — Teoscar Hernández homered twice and drove in 4 runs as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 12-6 on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Teoscar Hernández: 2 HR (4-for-5, 4 RBI))
Jackson Merrill to hit a home run (+510)
“I'll go with Jackson Merrill, plus 510 to hit a home run. Fott's been better, but Fott's also given up some barrels. I think he gives one up to Jackson Merrill.”
Jackson Merrill went 4-for-4 with a double and an RBI against the Diamondbacks but did not hit a home run; the HR prop lost. (Jackson Merrill: 0 HR)
Freddie Freeman to hit a home run (+510)
“And also, how about this one? Freddie Freeman. He came alive over the weekend against the Rays, plus 510 to hit a home run off of Sonny Gray. He starts to hit him in bunches. I think he hits another one tonight.”
Freddie Freeman homered off Sonny Gray in the 4th inning against the Cardinals; the HR prop won. (Freddie Freeman: 1 HR)
Tarik Skubal to win AL MVP at 50-1 (+5000)
“Like I took some school bulls, some long shot numbers, like 50 to one, 70 to one, like just to have it.”
Aaron Judge won the 2025 AL MVP award (17 first-place votes, 4 more than Cal Raleigh); Tarik Skubal did not win, so the 50-1 futures bet lost. (2025 AL MVP: Aaron Judge (17 first-place votes))
Tarik Skubal to win AL MVP at 70-1 (+7000)
“Like I took some school bulls, some long shot numbers, like 50 to one, 70 to one, like just to have it.”
Aaron Judge won the 2025 AL MVP award (17 first-place votes, 4 more than Cal Raleigh); Tarik Skubal did not win, so the 70-1 futures bet lost. (2025 AL MVP: Aaron Judge (17 first-place votes))
Tigers-Phillies first five over 4 (-105)
“Give me the over four at minus 105.”
Tigers and Phillies combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Tigers scored 3 in the 3rd, Phillies scored 0); the over 4 first-five total lost. (First 5: Detroit Tigers 3, Philadelphia Phillies 0 (3 runs))
Washington Nationals first five moneyline (+125)
“Nationals first five money line plus 125.”
9-2 — Nationals trailed Brewers 9-2 through 5 innings; the Nationals first-five moneyline lost. (First 5: Milwaukee Brewers 9, Washington Nationals 2)
Houston Astros first five moneyline (-135)
“I'm going to back Hunter Brown in the first five. So Astros first five minus 135.”
1-0 — Astros led Red Sox 1-0 through 5 innings; the Astros first-five moneyline won. (First 5: Houston Astros 1, Boston Red Sox 0)
Minnesota Twins first five moneyline (-105)
“Give me the Minnesota Twins minus 105 first five on the money line there.”
0-2 — Twins trailed Guardians 0-2 through 5 innings; the Twins first-five moneyline lost. (First 5: Minnesota Twins 0, Cleveland Guardians 2)
Under 4.5 (-120)
“Let's go under four and a half in the first five between the Yankees and the Marlins, minus 120.”
Yankees and Marlins combined for 10 runs through 5 innings (Yankees 6, Marlins 4); under 4.5 lost. (First 5: New York Yankees 6, Miami Marlins 4 (10 runs))
Giants-Mets first five over 4 (+105)
“Let's go Giants-Mets first five over four at plus 105.”
Giants and Mets combined for 2 runs through 5 innings (Giants 2, Mets 0); over 4 lost. (First 5: San Francisco Giants 2, New York Mets 0 (2 runs))
Los Angeles Chargers to miss the playoffs
“Yeah, I bet the Chargers as well. I think it's just because like I'm high on the Raiders I think there's some other interesting teams in the AFC that might be able to take a step forward like the Titans the Jets.”
Los Angeles Chargers finished the 2025 regular season 11-6 and clinched a wild-card playoff berth; the bet on them to miss the playoffs lost. (Los Angeles Chargers: 11 wins, made playoffs (Wild Card))
Detroit Lions first half moneyline (-110)
“First half for the Detroit Lions, minus 110 on the money line. That's how I'm betting tonight's Hall of Fame game.”
21-7 — The Chargers led the Lions 21-7 at halftime of the July 31, 2025 Hall of Fame Game; Detroit trailed, so the Lions first-half moneyline busts.
Seattle Mariners to win the American League (+1000)
“i bet some mariners at 10 to 1 to win the american league last night”
The Toronto Blue Jays beat the Seattle Mariners 4-3 in the 2025 ALCS (Game 7 on Oct 20) to win the American League pennant; the Mariners futures bet lost. (2025 ALCS: Blue Jays defeated Mariners 4 games to 3)
Tennessee Titans +3.5
“I mean, don't you want to bet Tennessee at three and a half? Or do you just pass the game? I bet Tennessee.”
38-14 — The Colts beat the Titans 38-14 on Oct 26, 2025; Tennessee lost by 24, well outside the +3.5 line, so it busts.
New York Mets to win the World Series (+1100)
“I bet the Mets to win the World Series today at 11-1.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Toronto Blue Jays 4 games to 3 to win the 2025 World Series (Game 7, 5-4 in 11 innings); the Mets never reached the World Series, so the futures bet lost. (2025 World Series: Dodgers defeated Blue Jays 4 games to 3)
Over 154
“I bet over 154, so I bet it's going to be the same. I'm over 154.”
68-67 — The Valkyries beat the Mystics 68-67 on July 31, 2025; the combined 135 points is under the 154 total.
Golden State Valkyries +4.5
“I'm actually going to do this. I'm going to put a small bet on Golden State plus the 4.5.”
68-67 — Golden State beat Washington 68-67 on July 31, 2025; the Valkyries won outright, so Golden State +4.5 covers.
Over 18
“I do believe we will get the over, over 18 in the first five”
21-7 — The Chargers led the Lions 21-7 at halftime of the July 31, 2025 Hall of Fame Game; the combined 28 first-half points clears the 18 total.
Detroit Lions first half moneyline (+115)
“But in terms of the side, I do like the Detroit Lions. I got late to minus 110. I even took some plus 115.”
21-7 — The Chargers led the Lions 21-7 at halftime of the July 31, 2025 Hall of Fame Game; Detroit trailed, so the Lions first-half moneyline busts.
New York Yankees first five moneyline (-140)
“I'll play the Yankees money line minus 140.”
TB 1, NYY 0 — Rays led Yankees 1-0 through five innings (New York won 5-4 in 11); New York's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Under 5
“I like the Dodgers Reds first five under five.”
LAD 2, CIN 2 (4 runs through 5) — Dodgers and Reds combined for 4 runs through five innings (Reds won 5-2 final); the first-five under 5 won (ESPN box score).
Miami Marlins first five moneyline (+120)
“I also like the Marlins in the first five plus 120”
MIA 2, STL 0 — Marlins led Cardinals 2-0 through five innings (Miami won 2-0 final on a Jesus Sanchez homer); the Marlins' first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Lynx -7
“So I'm laying the seven with Minnesota.”
MIN 100, NY 93 — Minnesota Lynx beat New York Liberty 100-93, a margin of exactly 7; the -7 spread pushed (ESPN box score).
Cubs vs Brewers first five innings over 4.5 (-105)
“The Cubs in the Brewers game, I'm going to go with the first five over with Colin Ray and Quinn Priester on the mound.
I think both of these lineups are pretty potent.
Neither guy really excites me that much on the mound.
I'll go over four and a half, especially at the minus 105 price.”
CHC 1, MIL 5 (6 runs through 5) — Cubs and Brewers combined for 6 runs through five innings (Brewers 9, Cubs 3 final); the first-five over 4.5 won (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Angels first five innings (-125)
“And then finally, I'm backing Yusei Kikuchi on the mound against the Texas Rangers.
Texas has been hot, but Kikuchi, nice bounce back spot after not pitching well against the Seattle Mariners.
Minus 125 are the Angels in the first five against Texas.”
TEX 2, LAA 3 — Angels led Rangers 3-2 through five innings (Los Angeles won 8-5 final); the Angels' first-five moneyline won (CBS Sports box score).
Dante Moore to win the Heisman Trophy (+2500) · BetMGM
“I like Dante Moore's setup at 25-1. We can talk about some of the other exciting players as well, but just off of the jump, Dante Moore is the bet that I would make right now over at BetMGM.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, 2025; Dante Moore did not win (Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
Minnesota Twins first five innings (-112)
“I'll give out a bet here.
I got more bets coming up at 640, but give me the twins in the first five on the money line against the Boston Red Sox.
And it's a pretty simple bet to be placed here.
It's a solid team against Richard Fitz.
What do you think we're going to do?
I'm back in Minnesota in the first five minus 112 at home against the Bo Sox.”
Red Sox led 3-2 through five innings (Twins rallied to win 5-4 in nine); the Twins first-five moneyline lost. (First five: Boston Red Sox 3, Minnesota Twins 2.)
Toronto Blue Jays first five innings
“I like the Toronto Blue Jays' first five on the money line against the Orioles.
The Blue Jays just seem like they have the juice right now.
They've been playing the best of any team in baseball over the last month or so.
Chris Bassett on the road at this price.
I know Eflin's good, and he was really good in his first start back,
but I'll back the Blue Jays who seem to have the sauce.”
TOR 4, BAL 10 — Orioles led Blue Jays 10-4 through five innings (Baltimore won 11-4 final); Toronto's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings (+110)
“And then also, I believe we'll be off a taco on this one.
I like the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first five.
Eduardo Rodriguez, to his standards, has not been good this season,
but I think this is a decent spot to go ahead and back him.
Detroit's been in a little bit of a funk.
Troy Melton making his second start.
I'll take the D-backs and Eduardo Rodriguez at a plus money price at plus 110.”
ARI 0, DET 4 — Tigers led Diamondbacks 4-0 through five innings (Detroit won 5-1 final); Arizona's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
New York Yankees first five innings
“I will rock with your team,
the New York Yankees' first five on the money line against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Cam Schlittler, I think he's actually been impressive in the first two starts.
He's given us five innings. He's been pretty solid.
The analytics nerds love him. I think he's awesome.
He's been – Fangraph says that he's really good.
So I'm going to back him at this price against the Tampa Bay Rays.”
TB 3, NYY 2 — Rays led Yankees 3-2 through five innings (Tampa Bay won 4-2 final); New York's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
San Diego Padres first five innings
“I'm actually going to go oppo taco with you.
I will back Dylan Cease tonight at home against the New York Mets.
Like it's a tricky spot because Cease, the underlying metrics say he should be so damn good and much better than what the traditional stuff has been saying.
But I think with a pitcher like that, you can sometimes get those big performances where it all clicks.
I think that's tonight at Petco Park.
Padres take down the Mets in the first five.”
NYM 5, SD 6 — Padres led Mets 6-5 through five innings (San Diego won 7-6 final); San Diego's first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Seattle Mariners first five innings
“Then I will back my team back, rock, buck.
I'll go with the Seattle Mariners' first five on the money line against the Athletics.
Luis Castillo, I typically fade him, but at home – or sorry, on the road, I think Castillo has a decent setup tonight, especially against J.P. Sears, who has been largely mediocre so far this year.”
SEA 3, ATH 0 — Mariners led Athletics 3-0 through five innings (Seattle won 3-1 final); Seattle's first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score).
New York Liberty -8
“So what am I betting? I'm going to bet it right now.
So what's the bet?
So the Liberty laying the eight against the Dallas Wings.”
DAL 92, NY 82 — Dallas Wings beat New York Liberty 92-82; the Liberty lost outright, busting the -8 spread (ESPN box score).
Las Vegas Raiders
“Yeah. I think this is Raiders' money line for me. Week one.”
LV 20, NE 13 — Las Vegas Raiders beat New England Patriots 20-13 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; Raiders moneyline won (ESPN).
New York Yankees first five innings (-150)
“I do like your New York Yankees, though, tonight.
First five on the money line, minus 150.
Why do I like it?
It's Tywon Walker on the mound for the Phillies,
and it's the Mickey Mouse Park that is Yankee Stadium.
I think the Yankees get going.
I think they bounce back.
Now they don't have to play these AL teams anymore.
I actually like them tonight.
against the Philadelphia Phillies.
So Yankees on the money line in the first five.”
Phillies and Yankees were tied 2-2 through five innings (Phillies won 12-5 in nine); the Yankees first-five moneyline pushed. (First five: Philadelphia Phillies 2, New York Yankees 2.)
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers first five innings over 5
“I also like the first five over between Toronto and Detroit.
Jose Barrios is on the mound.
I'm going to like an over.
And also Cater Montero hasn't really been special either.
So give me over five between Toronto and Detroit.”
Blue Jays and Tigers combined for 7 runs through five innings (Blue Jays 6, Tigers 1); the over 5 first-five total won. (First five: Toronto Blue Jays 6, Detroit Tigers 1 (7 runs).)
San Diego Padres first five innings (-140)
“I also play on the San Diego Padres.
First five money line minus 140.
Nick Pavetta has been good this year.
And also, I agree with Jake.
Miles Michaelis has kind of just been a scrub so far.
So let's go ahead and back San Diego.”
Cardinals led 3-0 through five innings (final Cardinals 3, Padres 0); the Padres first-five moneyline lost. (First five: St. Louis Cardinals 3, San Diego Padres 0.)
Texas Rangers first five innings
“I also like the Texas Rangers on the first five in the money line.
Nathan Navaldy is back and still an awesome pitcher.
So I'll go with Texas.”
Rangers led 4-0 through five innings (final Rangers 8, Braves 3); the Rangers first-five moneyline won. (First five: Texas Rangers 4, Atlanta Braves 0.)
San Francisco Giants first five innings
“And then finally, I'll back Logan Webb and the San Francisco Giants in the first five tonight against the New York Mets because he's nails at home.”
Mets led 6-1 through five innings (final Mets 8, Giants 1); the Giants first-five moneyline lost. (First five: New York Mets 6, San Francisco Giants 1.)
Jorge Polanco to hit a home run (+520)
“Jorge Polanco plus 520 to hit a home run tonight. That is my Major League Baseball bet for tonight.”
Jorge Polanco hit an 8th-inning solo home run in Seattle's 4-2 win over the Angels. (Jorge Polanco: 1 HR (8th inning, 389 ft))
Atlanta Falcons over 7.5 regular-season wins
“And that is a team I want to bet with their win total over seven and a half.”
Atlanta Falcons finished the 2025 regular season 8-9, clearing over 7.5 wins (ESPN schedule). (Atlanta Falcons 2025 regular season: 8-9)
Atlanta Falcons to win the NFC South (+200)
“And also to win the NFC South at two to one ahead of this upcoming NFL season.”
The Carolina Panthers won the 2025 NFC South title at 8-9; the Falcons did not win the division (ESPN). (2025 NFC South champion: Carolina Panthers)
Orioles-Guardians first five innings over 4.5 (-120)
“So give me the first five over four and a half at minus 120.”
BAL 2, CLE 3 — Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Guardians combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Orioles 1, Guardians 2) in Cleveland's 3-2 win; over 4.5 lost. (First 5: Baltimore Orioles 1, Cleveland Guardians 2 (3 runs))
Yankees-Blue Jays first five innings under 4.5 (-120)
“Then I'm actually going to bet the under in the first five for the Yankees and the Blue Jays. I like the pitching matchup. Both McFord and Chris Bassett have been really good. So under four and a half minus 120.”
NYY 4, TOR 8 — New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays combined for 6 runs through 5 innings (Yankees 2, Blue Jays 4) in Toronto's 8-4 win; under 4.5 lost. (First 5: New York Yankees 2, Toronto Blue Jays 4 (6 runs))
Athletics-Rangers first five innings over 4.5
“And then finally, Athletics Rangers first five over four and a half for me because it's JP Sears versus Patrick Corbin.”
OAK 1, TEX 2 — Athletics and Texas Rangers combined for 1 run through 5 innings (Athletics 0, Rangers 1 on a 3rd-inning Corey Seager homer) in Texas's 2-1 win; over 4.5 lost. (First 5: Athletics 0, Texas Rangers 1 (1 run))
Pittsburgh Steelers over 8.5 regular-season wins (-120)
“Like their win total right now, in terms of a bet that I would make, over eight and a half, only got to pay minus 120. That's betting on minus 120 that Mike Tomlin will be above 500, something he's done literally every single year of his coaching career.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2025 regular season 10-7, over the 8.5 win total. (Pittsburgh Steelers: 10 wins, 7 losses)
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish second in AFC North (+290)
“So I think another bet that you can make on the Pittsburgh Steelers exact division finish. So AFC North finish position for the Steelers, for the Steelers to finish in second place, because I think the Ravens are going to win the division once again. They're the best team, best head coach quarterback combination in the North. But if the Steelers finish second, plus 290, plus 290 just to be better than the Cincinnati Bengals, whose defense is still looking like Swiss cheese, and the Cleveland Browns, who are clearly angling towards 2026. Plus 290. That's something that interests me a lot.”
Pittsburgh finished 1st in the AFC North at 10-7, not 2nd, so the bet on Pittsburgh finishing second lost. (AFC North: Pittsburgh finished 1st (10-7), won division after beating Baltimore in Week 18)
Pittsburgh Steelers to lose in wild-card round (+360)
“The exact stage of elimination for the Pittsburgh Steelers because right now in the betting market, they are being valued as a team that will miss the playoffs. They're minus 165 to not make the playoffs. So you're getting a little bit of bang for your buck if you bet the Steelers exact stage of elimination to be to lose in the wildcard round, something that we see damn near every year, plus 360 for the Pittsburgh Steelers to lose in the wildcard round. Is that something you might be interested in? I'm interested in that. I think that this team is so consistent, and I don't know why we try to fight it every single year. I'm saying this is the year that they're going to underperform. No, get on board, man. Like we don't need to try to like reinvent the wheel. Mike Tomlin is as consistent as they come. This team I think is destined to make the playoffs potentially. I definitely like them to go over the win total, but at price getting plus 360 for them to lose in the wildcard round. Like I'm going to like anybody that they're facing the wildcard round. Cause it's probably going to be the two seed or the three seed at best. As we saw the last couple of years, here's Baltimore blowing them out. Here's Buffalo blowing them out a couple of years ago. It's the same damn story every single year. And that is how I'm betting the Pittsburgh Steelers”
Houston 30, Pittsburgh 6 — Pittsburgh was eliminated in the Wild Card round, losing 30-6 to the Houston Texans, matching the exact stage of elimination bet.
Brewers-Mariners first five innings over 4
“I do have the Brewers Mariners first five over. I know it's a little bit of a contrarian play. Quinn Priester, Luis Castillo coming off some really good starts here, but I think some negative regression is on the way for both guys. Also to just kind of like a weird angle, which doesn't have to play out this way, but I just kind of thought about it. There have been zero runs in the first five innings in this series. Nobody can score early. It just feels like, is this how it's going to go the entire way? I don't know. A little bit of a due factor for me with the contrarian over four between the Brewers and the Mariners.”
MIL 10, SEA 2 — Milwaukee Brewers and Seattle Mariners combined for 8 runs through 5 innings (Brewers 6, Mariners 2) in Milwaukee's 10-2 win; over 4 won. (First 5: Milwaukee Brewers 6, Seattle Mariners 2 (8 runs))
Astros-Diamondbacks first five innings over 4.5
“And then also in the Astros-Diamondbacks game, I have the first five over four and a half.”
HOU 4, ARI 3 — Houston Astros and Arizona Diamondbacks combined for 1 run through 5 innings (Astros 0, Diamondbacks 1 on a 1st-inning Ketel Marte homer) in Houston's 4-3 win; over 4.5 lost. (First 5: Houston Astros 0, Arizona Diamondbacks 1 (1 run))
Twins-Dodgers first five innings under 4.5 (+100)
“I will be playing the under in this game. So under four and a half in the first five, Twins, Dodgers. You can get even money on that under four and a half.”
MIN 3, LAD 4 — Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Dodgers combined for 2 runs through 5 innings (Twins 1, Dodgers 1) in LA's 4-3 win; under 4.5 won. (First 5: Minnesota Twins 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 1 (2 runs))
Pittsburgh Pirates first five innings moneyline (+105)
“So give me Pittsburgh plus 105 in the first five.”
Pirates led Tigers 5-3 through five complete innings on July 22, 2025 (final Pirates 8, Tigers 5); the Pirates first-five moneyline won. (First five: Tigers 3, Pirates 5)
Red Sox-Phillies first five innings over 4.5
“So I'm going to go over four and a half. It's plus money is why, but over four and a half in the first five for me between the Bosox and the Phillies.”
Red Sox and Phillies combined for 5 runs through five complete innings on July 22, 2025 (Red Sox 1, Phillies 4); over 4.5 won. (First five: Red Sox 1, Phillies 4 (5 runs))
San Francisco Giants first five innings moneyline (-105)
“I'll take the Giants' first five on the money line, minus 105.”
Giants led Braves 5-0 through five complete innings on July 22, 2025 (final Giants 9, Braves 0); the Giants first-five moneyline won. (First five: Giants 5, Braves 0)
Seattle Mariners first five innings moneyline (-120)
“So give me Gilbert and the M's, minus 120 against the Brew Crew.”
Mariners and Brewers were scoreless (0-0) through five complete innings on July 22, 2025 (final Mariners 1, Brewers 0 on a 6th-inning homer); the first-five moneyline pushed. (First five: Brewers 0, Mariners 0)
Las Vegas Aces (-115)
“I will, though, bet on the Las Vegas Aces on the money line. You can find minus 115 or you can lay the one, whatever you want to do.”
LV 87, ATL 72 — Aces beat Dream 87-72 on July 22, 2025; the Las Vegas moneyline won.
Seattle Seahawks under 7.5 regular-season wins
“I still like the under at 7.5. I think the Seahawks are going to be the last place team in the NFC West.”
The Seattle Seahawks finished the 2025 regular season 14-3, above the 7.5 win total; the under lost. (Seattle Seahawks 2025: 14-3)
Atlanta Falcons to win NFC South (+200)
“I'd be looking to sell the Buccaneers, which is what I'm doing, betting the Atlanta Falcons to win the division at 2-1.”
Carolina Panthers won the 2025 NFC South at 8-9 via tiebreaker over Tampa Bay and Atlanta; the Falcons pick lost. (NFC South: Carolina 8-9, Tampa Bay 8-9, Atlanta 8-9, New Orleans 6-11)
Miami Heat -2
“Miami was down by as many as like 12 in the first half. I ended up laying the two with the Miami Heat.”
ATL 105, MIA 98 — Atlanta Hawks beat Miami Heat 105-98 in NBA Summer League; Miami Heat -2 lost outright (ESPN box score).
Baltimore Orioles first five innings moneyline (-120)
“i think the orioles get it done in the first five give me baltimore minus 120 on the money line.”
Baltimore led Miami 4-0 through five innings; the Orioles first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (First five: Miami Marlins 0, Baltimore Orioles 4)
Colorado Rockies first five innings moneyline (+195)
“I'm going to plug my nose and bet the Rockies' first five against the Reds, plus 195.”
Colorado led Cincinnati 2-1 through five innings; the Rockies first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (First five: Colorado Rockies 2, Cincinnati Reds 1)
Kansas City Royals first five innings moneyline
“I'll also back the Royals' first five on the money line.”
New York led Kansas City 1-0 through five innings; the Royals first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First five: New York Mets 1, Kansas City Royals 0)
Pirates-Twins first five innings over 3 (-120)
“I'm going to go over three in the first five. It's minus 120.”
Pittsburgh and Minnesota combined for exactly 3 runs through 5 innings (1-2); the first-five over 3 pushed (ESPN box score). (First 5: Pittsburgh Pirates 1, Minnesota Twins 2 (3 runs))
San Francisco Giants first five innings moneyline (-145)
“And then finally, the Giants on the first five, minus 145.”
San Francisco led Los Angeles 8-2 through five innings; the Giants first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (First five: Los Angeles Dodgers 2, San Francisco Giants 8)
Chicago Bulls +6.5
“But I do like the Chicago Bulls plus the 6.5 and the Los Angeles Clippers on the money line minus 120.”
TOR 116, CHI 72 — Toronto beat Chicago 116-72 in NBA Summer League; Bulls +6.5 lost by 44 (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Clippers (-120)
“But I do like the Chicago Bulls plus the 6.5 and the Los Angeles Clippers on the money line minus 120.”
LAC 95, HOU 92 — LA Clippers beat Houston 95-92 in NBA Summer League; the Clippers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Indiana Fever -1
“I'm going to lay the one with the fever against Atlanta.”
IND 99, ATL 82 — Indiana beat Atlanta 99-82; Fever -1 covered (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers to win NFC North (+275)
“So I will be the guy on Packers Island at plus 275.”
The Chicago Bears won the 2025 NFC North title at 11-5, their first division crown since 2018; Green Bay finished second, so Packers to win NFC North lost. (NFC North champion: Chicago Bears (11-5))
Over 46.5 wins (-120)
“I'm in locked up with you. I had Atlanta written down as well. Over 46 and a half. Minus 120. I think it just makes a ton of sense.”
46-36 — Atlanta Hawks finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season 46-36, clearing the Over 46.5 wins line.
Over 52.5 wins (+100)
“I believe the Knicks can go over 52 and a half. If you're going to give me even money to make that bet, I will take that all day long.”
53-29 — New York Knicks finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season 53-29 (ESPN team schedule), clearing the Over 52.5 wins line.
Over 37.5 wins
“Give me over 37.5 on the Miami Heat.”
43-39 — Miami Heat finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season 43-39 (ESPN team schedule), clearing the Over 37.5 wins line.
Over 43.5 wins
“That's the San Antonio Spurs over 43 and a half with Victor Wemby Nama.”
62-20 — San Antonio Spurs finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season 62-20 (ESPN team schedule), clearing the Over 43.5 wins line.
Arizona Diamondbacks first-five moneyline (-140)
“I'm going to go D-backs first five minus 140”
2-4 — ESPN box score shows the Padres led the Diamondbacks 4-2 through 5 complete innings on 7/10/25 (Padres won 4-3 final), so the Diamondbacks first-five moneyline lost.
Texas Rangers first-five moneyline (-112)
“I'm going to go ahead and play into that minus 112 first five on the money line.”
9-2 — ESPN box score shows the Rangers led the Angels 9-2 through 5 complete innings on 7/10/25 (Rangers won 11-4 final), so the Rangers first-five moneyline at -112 cashed.
Washington Mystics -3.5
“I'm laying the three and a half with the Washington Mystics”
70-68 — Washington Mystics beat Las Vegas Aces 70-68 on 7/10/25 (ESPN box score), a 2-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread.
Under 11.5 wins (-120)
“it's the three-time defending afc champion kansas city chiefs under 11 and a half it's minus 120”
Kansas City Chiefs finished the 2025 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5-win total (Wikipedia 2025 Kansas City Chiefs season).
Over 33.5 wins
“Portland Trailblazers over 33 and a half.”
Portland Trail Blazers finished the 2025-26 regular season 42-40, over the 33.5-win total (Wikipedia 2025-26 Portland Trail Blazers season).
Jacob Misiorowski to win NL Rookie of the Year
“So I'd actually take a shot at Mizorowski right now.”
Atlanta Braves catcher Drake Baldwin was named the 2025 NL Rookie of the Year on November 10, 2025; Jacob Misiorowski did not win.
First five innings over 5 runs (-125)
“I like the first five over, though. It's over five, minus 125.”
6-2 — Yankees led Mariners 6-2 after 5 innings (final 9-6 Yankees) on July 9, 2025, combined first-five runs = 8, over the 5 line (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
First five innings over 4.5 runs
“I'll also back the first five over between the Pirates and the Royals. We have Chris Bubich on the mound. He's been dying to regress after the way he started the season. Bailey Falter has been good. I'll go over four and a half.”
0-3 — Royals led Pirates 3-0 after 5 innings (final 4-3 Royals) on July 9, 2025, combined first-five runs = 3, under the 4.5 line (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
Washington Nationals first five innings moneyline (-104)
“I'll also back Mackenzie Gore with the Washington Nationals. First five on the money line, minus 104.”
7-1 — Nationals led Cardinals 7-1 after 5 innings (final 8-2 Nationals) on July 9, 2025, so Washington won the first-five-innings moneyline (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
Athletics first five innings moneyline
“Give me the A's in the first five with Mitch Spence at home against the Braves”
1-7 — Braves led Athletics 7-1 after 5 innings (final 9-2 Braves) on July 9, 2025, so the Athletics lost the first-five-innings moneyline (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
Dallas Cowboys over 7.5 regular-season wins
“all right here we go here we go with the dallas cowboys and once again because i really want to
drive this point home as well the cowboys win total this year at many sportsbooks bet mgm right
now has it as well but other sports books across the country the win total is at seven and a half
and i was looking at this i was like god like when's the last time the cowboys win total was
seven and a half because usually a lot of expectations america's team blah blah blah blah
blah when's the last time the cowboys had a win total of seven and a half i went back and shout
out to sports odds history for always having all this stuff readily available and making this easy
on those of us who do content but the last time the dallas cowboys had a win total of seven and a
half was 2003 that's how low the win total is this year it's the lowest it's been since 2003
that year famously the first year of bill parcells as head coach of the dallas cowboys that was bill
parcells quincy carter shout out to terry glenn the late great terry glenn like that was all those
guys that parcells brought in richie anderson at fullback like it was such a it was like a
parcells team dressed up in cowboys uniforms that's how low the win total was of course they
go over it they make to the playoffs go 10 and 6 that season but the Cowboys and that's one thing
that I really noticed as like a fan of this team because every year there typically big expectations but every now and then you get a year where everyone at the beginning of the offseason at the middle of the offseason and then once we get to training camp
oh, the Cowboys are going to be bad this year.
That's typically when the Cowboys outperform expectations.
A team that over the last three decades has underperformed,
especially in the month of January when we're talking playoffs,
has underperformed when everyone is doubting the Cowboys.
That's when they overperform.
And I think this year is going to be a year where they overperform once again.
I like the win total over.
Dak Prescott being healthy I think is great news for anyone looking to back the Dallas Cowboys.
People continue to sleep on this team because they're overexposed.
And that's not a good enough reason for me to sleep on a team.
Yes, you're all sick and tired of hearing about all the daytime shows talking about, oh, Dak Prescott.
Should he be looking over his shoulder?
Can he win the big one?
It's annoying.
I get it.
I'm annoyed and I'm a fan of the team.
But if we're talking about regular season, something that Dak has succeeded at in his NFL career, I'll put my money on him.
I'll put my money on the Cowboys going over, even though there are big question marks at the head coaching position with Brian Schottenheimer.
Because at the end of the day, it's all about the number.
And this number is way too low for a team with Dak Prescott, Micah Parsons, and CeeDee Lamb with no injuries is known for winning double-digit games.
So I'll back America's team this year, and I'll back the over on the Cowboys.
The other piece of news that we saw earlier this afternoon, and this one actually came out earlier this morning, Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins felt, quote, misled after the Falcons drafted rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. last season.”
The Dallas Cowboys finished the 2025 NFL regular season 7-9-1 (7 wins), under the 7.5 win total, per ESPN's Cowboys 2025 schedule/results. (Cowboys: 7-9-1)
Colorado Rockies first five innings moneyline (+200)
“I'm going to actually back the Boston Red Sox tonight in the first five. Sorry, not the Boston Red Sox. the Colorado Rockies. This is one of those plug-your-nose specials, the plus 200.”
BOS 10, COL 2 — Per ESPN box score, Colorado and Boston were scoreless (tied 0-0) through 5 innings on 7/8/25; a tie on a first-five moneyline is a push, before Boston won the full game 10-2.
Pittsburgh Pirates first five innings moneyline (+110)
“I'm also going to back the Pittsburgh Pirates at plus 110 in the first five,”
KC 4, PIT 3 — Per ESPN box score, Pittsburgh and Kansas City were tied 1-1 through 5 innings on 7/8/25 (Pirates scored in the 4th, Royals in the 2nd); a tie on a first-five moneyline is a push, before Kansas City won the full game 4-3.
Los Angeles Angels first five innings moneyline (+100)
“and I'll round it out with the Angels' first five on the money line at home against the Texas Rangers. That's even money.”
TEX 13, LAA 1 — Per ESPN box score, Texas led the Los Angeles Angels 9-1 through 5 innings on 7/8/25 en route to a 13-1 final; the Angels did not lead after 5, so the Angels first-five moneyline lost.
Under 2.5 goals (-185)
“wait so most likely wait so two and a half goals unders minus 185 correct so you want to bet the under yeah i already bet it”
Chelsea 2, Fluminense 0 — Chelsea beat Fluminense 2-0 in the FIFA Club World Cup semifinal on 7/8/25 (Joao Pedro brace), a total of 2 goals, under the 2.5-goal line.
Minnesota Twins first five innings moneyline (+115)
“I also like the Minnesota Twins first five on the money line against the Cubs plus 115.”
2-0 — Twins led the Cubs 2-0 after 5 innings (final 8-1 Twins) on July 8, 2025, so the Twins first-five moneyline cashed (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
San Diego Padres first five innings moneyline (-120)
“Give me the Padres first five on the money line. Minus 120.”
0-0 — Padres and Diamondbacks were scoreless 0-0 through 5 innings (Padres won 1-0 on a 7th-inning Arraez homer), so the Padres first-five moneyline pushes on the tie (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
New York Liberty -3.5
“I think they take down the Aces tonight, and I'll lay the three and a half with New York.”
87-78 — New York Liberty beat the Las Vegas Aces 87-78 on July 8, 2025, a margin of +9 vs the -3.5 line, so the Liberty cover (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma City Thunder over 62.5 regular-season wins
“i think that goes over 62 and a half even though it's an astronomical number i'd still go over”
Oklahoma City Thunder finished the 2025-26 regular season 64-18, over the 62.5 win total, per ESPN standings. (Thunder: 64-18)
Denver Nuggets under 53.5 regular-season wins
“So I think I'm going to go under 53 and a half on Denver.”
Denver Nuggets finished the 2025-26 regular season 54-28, over the 53.5 win total, so the under lost, per ESPN standings. (Nuggets: 54-28)
Houston Rockets under 54.5 regular-season wins
“houston will be an under bet for me like duran's another guy you got to worry about the injuries he's another just get get me to april and may because if we get to april and may and you're healthy i'm gonna like houston in a lot of series but in the regular season over the course of 82 no i'm good i'll go under 54 and a half”
Houston Rockets finished the 2025-26 regular season 52-30, under the 54.5 win total, per ESPN standings. (Rockets: 52-30)
New York Knicks over 52.5 regular-season wins
“I would actually go over, though, just because I think their offense is going to be really good.
Defensively, I think they'll be fine.
The East is just so weak.
They have too much talent, I think, to be like a 49-50 win team or whatever.
So I'd go over a 52-and-a-half.”
New York Knicks finished the 2025-26 regular season 53-29, over the 52.5 win total, per ESPN standings. (Knicks: 53-29)
First five innings under 5 runs
“I'm going to go ahead and play the under between the Marlins and the Reds. First five, under five.”
MIA 5, CIN 1 — Per ESPN box score, Miami and Cincinnati combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Marlins 2 in the 5th, Reds 1 in the 2nd), under the 5-run first-five line, in Miami's eventual 5-1 win on 7/7/25.
First five innings over 4 runs (+100)
“I'll go over four at even money.”
MIL 9, LAD 1 — Per ESPN box score, Milwaukee led Los Angeles 7-0 through 5 innings (5 in the 1st, 2 in the 5th), over the 4-run first-five line, en route to a 9-1 win on 7/7/25.
First five innings over 3.5 runs
“I'll also play the over in the first five between the Rangers and the Angels. That's at three and a half.”
LAA 6, TEX 5 — Per ESPN box score, Texas and the Angels combined for 7 runs through 5 innings (Rangers 4, Angels 3), over the 3.5-run first-five line, in the Angels' eventual 6-5 win on 7/7/25.
San Francisco Giants first five innings moneyline (+120)
“And then lastly, give me the Giants in the first five on the money line against Christopher Sanchez and the Philadelphia Phillies. That's plus 120.”
SF 3, PHI 1 — Per ESPN box score, Philadelphia and San Francisco were tied 1-1 through 5 innings on 7/7/25 (Giants scored in the 2nd, Phillies tied it in the 5th); a tie on a first-five moneyline is a push, before San Francisco won the full game 3-1.
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-120)
“two and a half minus 120 that I would bet”
PIT 34, NYJ 32 — The Steelers beat the Jets 34-32 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; Pittsburgh's 2-point win falls short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
San Francisco 49ers -1.5
“give me San Francisco laying the one and a half against Seattle.”
SF 17, SEA 13 — The 49ers beat the Seahawks 17-13 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; San Francisco's 4-point win covers the -1.5 spread (ESPN).
Cleveland Browns +5.5
“Like, Bengals can never be laying five and a half on the road.”
CIN 17, CLE 16 — The Bengals beat the Browns 17-16 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; Cleveland's 1-point loss covers the +5.5 spread (ESPN).
Atlanta Falcons moneyline
“i agree with you i'm betting the falcons in that game”
TB 23, ATL 20 — The Buccaneers beat the Falcons 23-20 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; Atlanta's moneyline bet busts (ESPN).
Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5
“it's gonna be jacksonville laying the two and a half against carolina”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — The Jaguars beat the Panthers 26-10 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; Jacksonville's 16-point win covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Napheesa Collier to win WNBA MVP (-300)
“And I did bet it earlier today. I bet even minus 300.”
A'ja Wilson won the 2025 WNBA MVP award (a record fourth time) with Napheesa Collier finishing second in the voting, so Collier's futures bet to win MVP busts (ESPN). (2025 WNBA MVP: A'ja Wilson; Napheesa Collier: 2nd place)
First five innings over 4.5 runs
“So first five over four and a half Blue Jays.”
Toronto led Boston 3-0 through five innings on June 27, 2025 (Blue Jays won 9-0); the combined 3 runs fall under the first-five-innings 4.5 total (ESPN box score). (First five innings: TOR 3, BOS 0)
Seattle Mariners first five innings moneyline (-120)
“I'm back in Logan Gilbert on the road. Minus 120”
Seattle led Texas 4-1 through five innings on June 27, 2025 (Mariners won 7-6 in 12), so the Mariners first-five-innings moneyline cashes (ESPN box score). (First five innings: SEA 4, TEX 1)
Chicago Sky +9
“Give me the Chicago Sky. Small bet at plus nine.”
GS 83, CHI 78 — Golden State beat Chicago 83-78 on June 27, 2025; the Sky's 5-point loss covers the +9 spread (ESPN box score).
New York Mets to win NL East
“i'm still going down with the mets”
The Phillies won the 2025 NL East at 96-66, 13 games ahead of the second-place Mets (83-79), so New York's futures bet busts (ESPN standings). (Phillies 96-66; Mets 83-79 (13 GB))
Miami Heat to win Eastern Conference
“I would much rather bet Miami 66 and I would Toronto 60”
The New York Knicks won the 2025-26 Eastern Conference, not the Miami Heat, defeating the Cavaliers 4-0 in the conference finals (NBA.com).
VJ Edgecombe to win Rookie of the Year (+2500)
“if I had to bet it like I said in the last segment for me it be VJ edge come at 25 to one”
Cooper Flagg of the Mavericks won the 2025-26 NBA Rookie of the Year award, not VJ Edgecombe (NBA.com).
Los Angeles Lakers to win NBA championship (+1400)
“Like I'm going to bet some Lakers before I get out of town here this weekend, like 14 to one.”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA championship, defeating the Spurs 4-1, not the Lakers (NBA.com).
Atlanta Falcons to win NFC South
“I do think the Falcons are going to win the South.”
The Carolina Panthers won the 2025 NFC South, not the Atlanta Falcons (Panthers.com).
Hunter Brown to win AL Cy Young (+400)
“Hunter Brown, though, I can get down with that four to one to win the AL Cy Young.”
Tarik Skubal of the Tigers won the 2025 AL Cy Young Award, not Hunter Brown (ESPN).
Breanna Stewart to win WNBA MVP
“at price 25 30 to one like that a bet that I think that is worth something”
A'ja Wilson of the Aces won the 2025 WNBA MVP award, a record fourth time; Breanna Stewart was not among the top finalists (WNBA.com).
First five innings over 4.5 runs (-120)
“Over four and a half for me between the Braves and the Mets in the first five. Minus 120.”
The Mets led the Braves 2-0 through five innings on June 26, 2025; the combined 2 runs fall under the first-five-innings 4.5 total (ESPN box score). (First five innings: NYM 2, ATL 0)
Indiana Fever -5.5
“I'm laying the five and a half with Indiana.”
LA 85, IND 75 — The Sparks beat the Fever 85-75 on June 26, 2025; Indiana lost outright, busting the Fever's -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Twins first-five moneyline
“I'll go with the Twins in the first five against the Seattle Mariners.”
MIN 2, SEA 0 — The Twins and Mariners were tied 0-0 through 5 innings (Twins won 2-0 on runs in the 6th/7th) on 6/25/25, so the Twins first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (MIN 0, SEA 0 through 5 innings)
Golden State Valkyries +10
“I took the 10 as well.”
NY 81, GS 78 — The Liberty beat the Valkyries 81-78 on 6/25/25, a 3-point Golden State margin that covers the Valkyries' +10 (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Angels first-five moneyline
“I'm sweating a first five bet in this Red Sox Angels game as of the Halos in the first five.”
LAA 5, BOS 2 — The Angels led the Red Sox 4-2 through 5 innings (final 5-2 Angels) on 6/25/25, so the Angels first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (LAA 4, BOS 2 through 5 innings)
New York Yankees first five innings moneyline
“Give me the Yankees.”
3-0 — The Yankees led the Reds 3-0 through five innings on 6/24/25 (Reds rallied to win 5-4 in 11 innings), so the Yankees first-five moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 4 runs (-115)
“Over four, minus 115.”
7-0 — Pittsburgh and Milwaukee combined for 7 runs through five innings on 6/24/25 (Brewers led 7-0), clearing the over 4 total (ESPN box score).
Washington Nationals first five innings moneyline (+125)
“I also like the Nats' first five money line,
plus 125 tonight against the Padres.”
3-3 — Washington and San Diego were tied 3-3 through five innings on 6/24/25 (Padres won 4-3 late), so the Nationals first-five moneyline is a push (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia 76ers to win Eastern Conference (+1200)
“Philly 12-1.”
The New York Knicks won the 2025-26 Eastern Conference championship; Philadelphia did not win the conference (Wikipedia).
Golden State Warriors to win Western Conference (+1600)
“man at 16 to 1 i think that's where i'd go with my free bet”
The San Antonio Spurs won the 2025-26 Western Conference championship; Golden State did not win the conference (Wikipedia).
Baltimore Orioles first-five moneyline
“I'm going to back the Orioles' first five on the money line.”
4-0 — Orioles led Rangers 4-0 through 5 innings on 6/23/25 (final 6-0) per the ESPN box score, so the Orioles first-five moneyline wins.
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline (-105)
“Cincinnati on the first five on the money line, minus 105.”
1-4 — Reds led Yankees 4-1 through 5 innings on 6/23/25 (final 6-1) per the ESPN box score, so the Reds first-five moneyline wins.
Arizona Diamondbacks first-five moneyline (-120)
“Also back to D-backs, minus 120. First five on the money line as well.”
8-0 — Diamondbacks led White Sox 8-0 through 5 innings on 6/23/25 (final 10-0) per the ESPN box score, so the Diamondbacks first-five moneyline wins.
First-five under 4.5
“Cubs Cardinals under four and a half.”
1-6 — Cubs (1) + Cardinals (6) combined for 7 runs through 5 innings on 6/23/25 (final 8-2 Cardinals) per the ESPN box score, over the first-five 4.5 total, so the under loses.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Finals MVP (-235)
“I'd rather lay minus 235 on SGA finals MVP.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was named 2025 NBA Finals MVP after the Thunder beat the Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 (ESPN game recap). (2025 NBA Finals MVP)
First-five over 4.5
“I'll go over four and a half.”
2-3 — Orioles-Yankees Jun 20, 2025 (ESPN box score): Orioles 2 + Yankees 3 through 5 innings = 5 combined runs, over the 4.5 first-five total (final Orioles 5, Yankees 3).
Detroit Tigers first-five moneyline (-110)
“I like Tigers first five. Money line against the Rays, minus 110.”
3-9 — Tigers-Rays Jun 20, 2025 (ESPN box score): through 5 innings Tigers 3, Rays 9; Tigers first-five moneyline loses.
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline (+120)
“I'll also back Brady Singer at a dog price, plus 120 in the first five against the Cardinals.”
0-1 — Reds-Cardinals Jun 20, 2025 (ESPN box score): Cardinals led 1-0 through 5 innings (final Cardinals 6, Reds 1); Reds first-five moneyline loses.
Athletics first-five moneyline (+100)
“I'll go with the A's first five, even money”
3-0 — Athletics-Guardians Jun 20, 2025 (ESPN box score): Athletics scored 3 runs through 5 innings (Kurtz HR in the 1st) to the Guardians' 0; Athletics first-five moneyline wins.
Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 · BetMGM
“five and a half at bet mgm that's not a bad price i guess less than two possessions that's okc just winning by six and you win your bet i think that's a good way to do it and i would lay this number”
91-108 — Pacers beat Thunder 108-91 in NBA Finals Game 6 (ESPN box score); OKC -5.5 loses outright since Thunder lost the game.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5 points
“I do like Shea Gildas Alexander over 33 and a half points.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 21 points in Game 6 (ESPN box score), well under the 33.5 line. (21 points)
Isaiah Hartenstein over 6.5 rebounds
“I also like Isaiah a Hartenstein over six and a half rebounds.”
Isaiah Hartenstein had 4 rebounds in Game 6 (ESPN box score), under the 6.5 line. (4 rebounds)
Tyrese Haliburton under 6.5 assists
“I'm going to go under six and a half assists”
Tyrese Haliburton had 5 assists in Game 6 (ESPN box score), under the 6.5 line. (5 assists)
Atlanta Braves first-five moneyline
“I'm going to go Braves' first five on the money line.”
1-3 — Braves led the Mets 3-1 through 5 completed innings on June 19, 2025 (1 run in the 4th, 2 in the 5th vs. the Mets' lone 2nd-inning run), so the Braves first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score line score; final was 7-1 Braves).
Golden State Valkyries first-half +7.5
“Give me Valkyries first half plus seven and a half.”
44-38 — Valkyries trailed the Fever 44-38 at halftime on June 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), a 6-point deficit that covers the +7.5 first-half spread (final was Valkyries 88, Fever 77).
Golden State Valkyries +11.5
“I'll take the 11 and a half”
77-88 — Valkyries beat the Fever outright 88-77 on June 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), easily covering +11.5.
Golden State Valkyries moneyline (+535)
“also a small, small bet on the money line with the Valkyries plus 535.”
77-88 — Valkyries won outright 88-77 over the Fever on June 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), so the +535 moneyline cashes.
Washington Nationals first-five moneyline (-145)
“my bet that i'll give out here three more coming at you during gambling night in america i'm gonna rock with the washington nationals first five on the money line minus 145”
3-1 — Colorado and Washington were tied 0-0 through five innings (Rockies won 3-1 on late-inning homers), so the Nationals first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (COL 0, WSH 0 through 5 innings)
Kansas City Chiefs season wins under 11.5 (-120)
“Chiefs under 11 and a half minus 120.”
The Chiefs finished the 2025 regular season 6-11, their first losing season since 2012, well under the 11.5 wins line (Wikipedia). (6-11 record)
Los Angeles Rams to win NFC West
“My next one, I'm going to roll with the Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC West.”
The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3, not the Los Angeles Rams, so the Rams futures bet lost (Wikipedia).
Tampa Bay Rays first-five moneyline (-115)
“give me the Rays first five on the money line against the Orioles. Like Taj Bradley at home in a coin foot price, like minus 115.”
12-8 — Baltimore and Tampa Bay were tied 8-8 through five innings (Rays won 12-8 late), so the Rays first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (BAL 8, TB 8 through 5 innings)
Houston Astros first-five moneyline (-150)
“I'll also bet Houston Astros minus 115 in the first five, minus 150, I should say, in the first five on the money line”
11-4 — Houston led the Athletics 2-1 through five innings (final 11-4), so the Astros first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (HOU 2, ATH 1 through 5 innings)
Edmonton Oilers moneyline
“And I'm going to bet Edmonton tonight.”
5-1 — Florida beat Edmonton 5-1 in Stanley Cup Final Game 6, clinching the title, so the Oilers moneyline lost (ESPN).
Over 6.5
“Until this thing goes under, I'm betting the over. I'm betting a six consecutive game over between the Panthers and the Oilers. Let's go over six and a half.”
5-1 — Florida beat Edmonton 5-1 in Game 6, a combined 6 goals, under the 6.5 total so the over lost (ESPN).
Baltimore Orioles first-five moneyline (+105)
“I'm also going to rock with the Baltimore Orioles on the road. Dean Kramer, do not screw me over. First five Baltimore, plus 105.”
5-1 — Baltimore led Tampa Bay 2-1 through five innings (final 5-1), so the Orioles first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (BAL 2, TB 1 through 5 innings)
Toronto Blue Jays first-five moneyline (-120)
“I think the Blue Jays at minus 120, they win in the first five.”
5-4 — Arizona led Toronto 3-2 through five innings (Blue Jays won 5-4 late), so the Toronto first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (ARI 3, TOR 2 through 5 innings)
First-five over 4.5
“I like a contrarian over between the Royals and the Rangers in the first five. That's over four and a half.”
6-1 — Kansas City led Texas 5-1 through five innings, 6 combined runs, over the 4.5 first-five total (ESPN box score). (KC 5, TEX 1 through 5 innings)
First-five under 5 (-125)
“let's go Brewers Cubs under five minus 125.”
5-3 — Through five innings Milwaukee had 2 runs and Chicago had 4, a combined 6 runs, over the 5-run first-five under (ESPN box score). (MIL 2, CHC 4 through 5 innings)
Luguentz Dort over 1.5 threes (-160)
“I like over one and a half minus 160 with Lou Dort with the three-pointers.”
OKC 120, IND 109 — Luguentz Dort hit 3 threes in NBA Finals Game 5, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Luguentz Dort: 3 threes)
Indiana Pacers +9.5
“I'm going to rock with the Indiana Pacers plus nine and a half to keep the game somewhat close.”
OKC 120, IND 109 — Indiana lost Game 5 120-109, an 11-point margin that fails to cover +9.5 (ESPN box score).
Boston Red Sox moneyline (+155)
“going full game Boston plus 155”
2-0 — Boston shut out Seattle 2-0 on June 16, 2025, so the Red Sox moneyline won (ESPN scoreboard).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 34.5 points
“give me SGA over 34 and a half points”
OKC 111, IND 104 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 35 points for the Thunder in NBA Finals Game 4, clearing the 34.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 points)
New York Yankees first five innings moneyline
“I'll go Yankees first five on the money line against the Royals.”
NYY 1, KC 0 — Yankees and Royals were scoreless through five innings before New York won 1-0 on an 8th-inning play, so the first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (0-0 through 5 innings)
Los Angeles Rams to win NFC West (+185)
“san francisco plus 160 la plus 185 you gave me a hundred dollar free bet i'm betting the rambling to win the west and repeat as champions”
Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3; the Rams finished 12-5 and made the playoffs only as a wild card (ESPN/Wikipedia 2025 NFL season standings).
Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
“I'll lay the five and a half with the Oklahoma City Thunder.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Indiana beat Oklahoma City 116-107 in Game 3, a 9-point Pacers win, so the Thunder failed to cover -5.5 (ESPN box score).
Jalen Williams over 21.5 points
“I also like Jalen Williams over 21 and a half points.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Jalen Williams scored 26 points for the Thunder in Game 3, clearing the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams: 26 points)
TJ McConnell over 6.5 points
“TJ McConnell over six and a half points”
IND 116, OKC 107 — T.J. McConnell scored 10 points for the Pacers in Game 3, clearing the 6.5-point line (ESPN box score). (T.J. McConnell: 10 points)
Rafael Devers home run (+275)
“Plus 275, I think he hits a homer.”
BOS 4, TB 3 — Rafael Devers did not homer against Tampa Bay on June 11, 2025 (he was hit by a pitch); Boston's four home runs came from Marcelo Mayer (2), Jarren Duran, and Andrew Toro (ESPN box score). (Rafael Devers: no home run (HBP))
Bryson DeChambeau outright winner (+750)
“I do like Bryson to win it plus 750. That's going to be my only outright bet.”
J.J. Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open; Bryson DeChambeau missed the cut at +2 (150) (ESPN leaderboard). (+2 (150), missed cut)
Keegan Bradley top 20 (+220)
“I'll tail Tyler on Keegan Bradley plus 220 for the top 20.”
Keegan Bradley finished T33 at +9 (289) at the 2025 U.S. Open, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (T33, +9 (289))
Tommy Fleetwood top 20 (+115)
“Tommy Fleetwood, plus 115.”
Tommy Fleetwood missed the cut at the 2025 U.S. Open (+1, 149), so he never played the weekend to finish top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (+1 (149), missed cut)
Tony Finau top 20 (+275)
“I think it was Jason Sobel that gave that out, and then also Tony Finau, plus 275.”
Tony Finau finished T38 at +11 (291) at the 2025 U.S. Open, well outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (T38, +11 (291))
Isaiah Hartenstein to lead the NBA Finals in rebounds (+550)
“And from a prop standpoint, like, hey, Isaiah Hartenstein with the rebounds. I'm going back to the well. I bet him before the series started plus 550 to lead the series with rebounds. He's now like a co-favorite with Pascal Siakam and like that plus 150 range over seven and a half rebounds.”
Across the 7-game 2025 NBA Finals, Isaiah Hartenstein averaged 6.7 rebounds per game (47 total) while Pascal Siakam averaged 7.7 rebounds per game (54 total), so Siakam led the series in rebounds, not Hartenstein (ESPN box scores). (Hartenstein 47 rebounds (6.7 RPG) over 7 games; Siakam 54 rebounds (7.7 RPG) over 7 games)
Indianapolis Colts under 7.5 wins
“I would bet the under on the Indianapolis Colts.
It's 7.5 right now.
If that's the win total with Kirk Cousins, take my money.
I'm betting it under.”
Colts finished the 2025 NFL regular season 8-9 (8 wins), going over the 7.5-win total (ESPN team schedule). (8-9 (8 wins))
Cincinnati Reds first five innings moneyline
“I'll go with Abbott and the Reds in the first five.”
CIN 1, CLE 0 — Andrew Abbott and the Reds beat Cleveland 1-0 in a complete-game shutout, so Cincinnati led throughout, including the first five innings (ESPN box score).
Pittsburgh Pirates first five innings moneyline (-135)
“Give me the Pirates first five on the money line, minus 135.”
MIA 3, PIT 2 — Marlins beat Pirates 3-2, leading 3-0 through five innings; Pittsburgh's only runs came in the 8th, so the Pirates trailed at the first-five mark (ESPN box score). (MIA led 3-0 through 5 innings)
First five innings over 4.5 runs (-115)
“I'll also go first five over between the Braves and the Brewers.
It's 4.5 minus 115.”
MIL 4, ATL 1 — Brewers beat Braves 4-1; the two teams combined for only 3 runs through five innings, below the 4.5-run line (ESPN box score). (3 combined runs through 5 innings)
Los Angeles Angels first five innings moneyline (-130)
“give me the Angels in the first five on the money line at minus 130.”
LAA 2, ATH 1 (10 innings) — Angels and Athletics were tied 0-0 through five innings before Los Angeles won 2-1 in 10, so the first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (0-0 through 5 innings)
San Diego Padres first-five moneyline (-105)
“First five on the money line at minus 105.”
8-7 — Dodgers and Padres were tied 6-6 through 5 innings (Dodgers won 8-7 in 10) on June 9, 2025; the Padres first-five moneyline pushes (ESPN box score linescore). (Dodgers 6, Padres 6 through 5 innings)
Philadelphia Phillies first-five moneyline
“but give me the Phillies in the first five on the money line against the Chicago Cubs”
4-3 — Phillies led the Cubs 2-1 through 5 innings (final Phillies 4, Cubs 3 in 11) on June 9, 2025; the Phillies first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score linescore). (Phillies 2, Cubs 1 through 5 innings)
Over 6.5 (+100)
“even at six and a half at even money I like that bet as well”
6-1 — Panthers beat Oilers 6-1 in Stanley Cup Final Game 3 on June 9, 2025, for 7 combined goals; the over 6.5 wins (ESPN recap).
First-five over 4.5
“Blue Jays and Cardinals. Jose Barrios and Andre Palante on the mound, which means first five over for me.”
5-4 — Blue Jays led the Cardinals 2-0 through 5 innings (final Blue Jays 5, Cardinals 4 in 10) on June 9, 2025; the first-five over 4.5 loses (ESPN box score linescore). (Blue Jays 2, Cardinals 0 through 5 innings)
Over 16.5
“It's over 16 and a half for me to sweat out some fun runs out there for the college baseball Super Regionals.”
5-4 — Murray State beat Duke 5-4 in the Super Regional Game 3 on June 9, 2025, for 9 combined runs; the over 16.5 loses (ESPN box score).
NBA Finals to last exactly 6 games (+145) · BetMGM
“I'm going to bet the how many games market six games. It's plus 145.”
The 2025 NBA Finals went the full seven games, with the Thunder beating the Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 on June 22, 2025; the bet on exactly 6 games loses (ESPN Game 7 recap). (Finals went 7 games; Thunder won Game 7 103-91)
Florida Panthers to win Stanley Cup Final (+180)
“I like Florida to win the series. I bet him before the series. I've added some more Florida series price at plus 180 to win it.”
Florida Panthers beat Edmonton Oilers 5-1 in Game 6 on June 17, 2025 to win the 2025 Stanley Cup Final 4 games to 2 (ESPN Game 6 recap). (Panthers won series 4-2)
Over 6.5 goals
“But even at six and a half to plus money I'll go ahead and bet over six and a half expecting at least seven goals tonight between the Oilers and the Panthers.”
5-4 — Panthers beat Oilers 5-4 in double overtime in Stanley Cup Final Game 2 on June 6, 2025, for 9 combined goals; the over 6.5 wins (ESPN recap).
Seattle Mariners first-five moneyline (-150)
“I'll rock with the Mariners on the first five minus 150.”
Orioles 4, Mariners 3 — Mariners led the Orioles 3-1 through 5 innings (BAL 0-0-1-0-0, SEA 0-0-1-0-2) before Baltimore rallied to win 4-3 on June 5, 2025; Seattle's first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (3-1 through 5 innings)
San Diego Padres first-five moneyline (+100)
“So I'm going to go with the road dog, San Diego, even money in the first five against the Giants.”
Giants 3, Padres 2 — Giants led the Padres 3-2 through 5 innings (all runs scored in the 3rd) en route to a 3-2 win on June 5, 2025, so San Diego's first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score). (3-2 through 5 innings)
New York Mets first-five moneyline (+105)
“But I'm betting the New York Mets in the first five. I'm backing my sworn enemy, David Peterson, against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Mets, plus 105 in the first five.”
Dodgers 6, Mets 5 — Mets led the Dodgers 4-3 through 5 innings (NYM 0-1-3-0-0, LAD 0-0-3-0-0) before Los Angeles rallied to win 6-5 on June 5, 2025; New York's first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (4-3 through 5 innings)
Juan Soto to hit a home run (+270)
“I also like Juan Soto to hit a home run in that game. Doesn't have the greatest payout, plus 270”
Dodgers 6, Mets 5 — Juan Soto went 0-for-3 with no home run in the Mets' 6-5 loss to the Dodgers on June 5, 2025 (ESPN box score). (0-for-3, 0 HR)
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5
“I like the Oklahoma City Thunder laying the nine-and-a-half.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Pacers beat the Thunder 111-110 in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025 -- Oklahoma City lost outright, so the -9.5 spread loses (ESPN box score).
Over 230
“I'll put a small bet on over 230.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Pacers-Thunder combined for 221 points in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025 (111-110), under the over 230 total (ESPN box score).
Isaiah Hartenstein over 7.5 rebounds
“I like Hartenstein over 7.5 rebounds in addition to Thunder laying the 9.5 and over 2.30.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Isaiah Hartenstein grabbed 9 rebounds in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), clearing the over 7.5 (ESPN box score). (9 rebounds)
Guardians-Yankees first-five over 4.5 (-115)
“two first five overs, both of them over four and a half. Both of them minus 115. We'll start in the Guardians and the Yankees.”
Yankees 4, Guardians 0 — Guardians-Yankees combined for just 2 runs through 5 innings (Yankees 2, Guardians 0) in New York's 4-0 win on June 5, 2025, under the first-five over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (2 runs through 5 innings)
Rangers-Rays first-five over 4.5 (-115)
“Also, Rangers in the Rays, first five over. Jack Light or Ryan Pepeo. I think both those guys coming off really strong starts. I want to fade that. So let's go over four and a half, minus 115 in that game as well.”
Rays 4, Rangers 3 — Rangers-Rays combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Rangers 2, Rays 1) in Tampa Bay's 4-3 win (9th-inning rally) on June 5, 2025, under the first-five over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (3 runs through 5 innings)
First-five over 4.5 (-115)
“So Rangers raise first five over four and a half minus one 15.”
Rays 5, Rangers 4 — Rangers-Rays combined for 8 runs through 5 innings (Rangers 3, Rays 5) in Tampa Bay's 5-4 win on June 4, 2025, clearing the first-five over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (8 runs through 5 innings)
Florida Panthers moneyline (+105)
“I'll go ahead and bet the Florida Panthers. A small bet with the side. I like Florida at like a plus money price, plus 105, plus 110 you can find.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3 in overtime in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 4, 2025, so Florida's moneyline loses (ESPN).
Over 6 (-120)
“my bigger bet is on the total. I like the over six. It's minus 120.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3 in OT in Game 1 on June 4, 2025, for 7 combined goals, over the total of 6 (ESPN).
Carter Verhaeghe anytime goal (+245)
“give me Carter Verhege to score in any time goal, plus 245.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Carter Verhaeghe did not score in Game 1 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final (Oilers won 4-3 OT); he had 2 assists on Sam Bennett's two goals but no goal of his own, so the anytime-goal prop loses (ESPN scoring summary). (0 goals)
Carter Verhaeghe first goal scorer (+1600)
“I'll also bet Carter Verhege, first goal scorer at 16-1.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Leon Draisaitl scored the game's first goal in Oilers' 4-3 OT win in Game 1 on June 4, 2025; Carter Verhaeghe did not score at all, so he could not be the first goal scorer (ESPN scoring summary).
St. Louis Cardinals first-five moneyline (-110)
“the St. Louis Cardinals in the first five money line, minus 110 against the Kansas City Royals.”
The June 4, 2025 Royals-Cardinals game was postponed due to weather and made up as part of a June 5 doubleheader; the wagered same-day first-five listing never occurred, so it's no action (ESPN).
San Diego Padres first-five moneyline (-110)
“I'll rock with the San Diego Padres at minus 110 on the money line.”
Giants 6, Padres 5 — Padres led the Giants 5-1 through 5 innings (SD 2-0-0-0-3, SF 0-0-0-0-1) before San Francisco rallied to win 6-5 on June 4, 2025; San Diego's first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (5-1 through 5 innings)
Ben Rice home run (+295)
“your guy, Ben Rice. Boom, going yard, plus 295 tonight.”
Guardians 4, Yankees 0 — Yankees were shut out 4-0 by the Guardians on June 4, 2025 (Angel Martinez hit an early 2-run homer); no Yankee, including Ben Rice, homered (ESPN box score). (0 HR (Yankees shut out 4-0))
Brandon Lowe home run (+455)
“I also like Brandon Lowe for the Tampa Bay Rays, plus 455.”
Rays 5, Rangers 4 — Brandon Lowe hit a solo home run in the 1st inning of Tampa Bay's 5-4 win over Texas on June 4, 2025 (ESPN box score). (1 HR (solo, 1st inning))
Randy Arozarena home run (+455)
“Randy, a Rosarena, plus 455. To meet the moment, read the room, leave the yard.”
Orioles 3, Mariners 2 — In Baltimore's 3-2 win over Seattle on June 4, 2025, Adley Rutschman hit the game's only home run (6th inning); the Mariners had zero home runs and Randy Arozarena did not homer (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline (-133)
“So I'll bet Cincinnati first five money line minus 133.”
4-2 — Brewers and Reds were tied 2-2 through 5 innings (Brewers 1-0-0-1-0, Reds 0-0-0-2-0) before Cincinnati won 4-2 on June 3, 2025; Reds' first-five moneyline pushes (ESPN box score). (2-2 through 5 innings)
Rangers-Rays first-five over 4 (-115)
“And then also I'll take a contrarian over between the Rangers and the Rays in the first five, over four minus 115.”
Rangers 1, Rays 5 — Rangers-Rays combined for just 1 run through 5 innings (Rangers 0, Rays 1) in Tampa Bay's 5-1 win on June 3, 2025, well under the first-five over 4 (ESPN box score). (1 run through 5 innings)
Orioles-Mariners first-five over 4 (-120)
“And then finally, another contrarian over up in the Pacific Northwest between the Orioles and the Seattle Mariners. First five over four minus 120.”
Orioles 5, Mariners 1 — Orioles-Mariners combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Orioles 2, Mariners 1) in Baltimore's 5-1 win on June 3, 2025, under the first-five over 4 (ESPN box score). (3 runs through 5 innings)
Jack Caglianone to hit a home run (+600)
“yes I will be betting him to Homer tonight at six to one”
Royals 10, Cardinals 7 — Jac Caglianone went 0-for-5 with no home run in the Royals' 10-7 win over the Cardinals on June 3, 2025 (ESPN box score). (0-for-5, 0 HR)
Atlanta Braves first-five moneyline (-155)
“Give me the Braves in the first five against the Arizona Diamondbacks on the money line, minus 155.”
Diamondbacks 8, Braves 3 — Diamondbacks led the Braves 5-3 through 5 innings (ATL 0-0-0-3-0, ARI 1-1-2-0-1) en route to an 8-3 win on June 3, 2025, so Atlanta's first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score). (5-3 through 5 innings)
Kansas City Royals first-five moneyline (+130)
“I'll play on the Kansas City Royals in the first five, plus 130 against St. Louis.”
Royals 10, Cardinals 7 — Royals led the Cardinals 8-7 through 5 innings (KC 2-0-0-0-6, STL 0-2-5-0-0) en route to a 10-7 win on June 3, 2025, so Kansas City's first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (8-7 through 5 innings)
New York Mets first-five moneyline (+110)
“give me the Mets in the first five against the Dodgers, plus 110.”
Dodgers 6, Mets 5 — Mets led the Dodgers 5-4 through 5 innings (NYM 1-0-2-0-2, LAD 4-0-0-0-0) before Los Angeles rallied to win 6-5 in 10 innings on June 3, 2025; New York's first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (5-4 through 5 innings)
Oklahoma City Thunder to sweep series (+325)
“You give me plus 325, I'm going to take all of that plus money and put it in my back pocket.”
Oklahoma City won the NBA Finals 4 games to 3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91), not a sweep. (OKC won series 4-3, not a sweep (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91).)
Murray State ML (+270)
“plus 270. You don't have to twist my arm to go ahead and make that bet”
12-11 — Murray State beat Ole Miss 12-11 in the Oxford Regional on June 2.
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 games (-115)
“And for me, series spread OKC laying two and a half games is the way to do it. You can get minus 115 for the Thunder to win in either five or four against Indiana.”
Oklahoma City won the NBA Finals 4 games to 3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91), a 1-game margin that does not cover -2.5 games. (OKC won series 4-3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91).)
Cincinnati Reds first five innings moneyline (-118)
“Give me the Reds' first five on the money line, minus 118.”
Brewers led Reds 3-2 through five innings, so the Reds first-five moneyline lost (not a push). (F5: Brewers 3, Reds 2 (final Brewers 3, Reds 2).)
Athletics first five innings moneyline (+130)
“Also play the home dog, the athletics of Sacramento, plus 130 in the first five on the money line against the Twins.”
Twins led Athletics 6-4 through five innings, so the Athletics first-five moneyline lost. (F5: Twins 6, Athletics 4 (final Twins 10, Athletics 4).)
Los Angeles Dodgers first five innings moneyline (-160)
“And then the Dodgers' first five, I'll rock with Dustin May against Paul Blackburn making his season debut. It's a really good L.A. Dodgers lineup. So give me the Dodgers minus 160 on the first five money.”
Mets led Dodgers 2-0 through five innings, so the Dodgers first-five moneyline lost. (F5: Mets 2, Dodgers 0 (final Mets 4, Dodgers 3 in 10 innings).)
First five innings under 5 (-120)
“under five at minus 120.”
Angels-Guardians combined for 1 run through five innings (Angels led 1-0), under the 5 line. (F5: Angels 1, Guardians 0 (final Angels 4, Guardians 1).)
First five innings under 4.5
“Give me the under four and a half in the first five between the Rockies and the Mets.”
Rockies-Mets combined for 3 runs through five innings (Mets led 3-0), under the 4.5 line. (F5: Mets 3, Rockies 0 (final Mets 4, Rockies 2).)
First five innings over 5
“I'll also take the over between the Red Sox and the Braves in the first five over five.”
Red Sox-Braves combined for 3 runs through five innings (Red Sox led 2-1), not over the 5 line. (F5: Red Sox 2, Braves 1 (final Red Sox 5, Braves 1).)
First five innings over 4.5
“I like the first five over between the Tigers and the Royals over four and a half.”
Tigers-Royals combined for 8 runs through five innings (Tigers led 5-3), over the 4.5 line. (F5: Tigers 5, Royals 3 (final Tigers 7, Royals 5).)
Houston Astros ML (-150)
“Minus 150 Astros money line against the Tampa Bay Rays.”
2-1 — Astros beat Rays 2-1 on a walk-off Yainer Diaz homer, so the Astros moneyline won.
Seattle Mariners first five innings ML (-135)
“Mariners minus 135.”
Mariners led Twins 4-2 through five innings, so the Mariners first-five moneyline won (Twins rallied to win the full game 12-6 in 10 innings, but that's after the F5 window). (F5: Mariners 4, Twins 2 (final Twins 12, Mariners 6 in 10 innings).)
Indiana Pacers +4.5
“Yeah, it's the Indiana Pacers plus four-and-a-half.”
111-94 — Knicks beat Pacers 111-94 in Game 5 on May 29, 2025, a 17-point margin; Indiana did not cover +4.5.
Indiana Pacers ML
“Pacers on the money line.”
111-94 — Knicks beat Pacers 111-94 in Game 5 on May 29, 2025; Indiana's moneyline pick lost.
Indiana Pacers ML / Josh Allen NFL MVP (+1500)
- Indiana Pacers ML
- Josh Allen to win NFL MVP
“I also like Pacers on the money line parlayed with Josh Allen to win MVP. You can get that around like 15 to one.”
111-94 — Knicks beat Pacers 111-94 in Game 5 on May 29, 2025, and Matthew Stafford (not Josh Allen) won the 2025 NFL MVP award; both parlay legs lost.
Athletics-Blue Jays first five innings over 4.5
“Blue Jays' first five over four and a half.”
11-0 — Blue Jays led Athletics 11-0 through five innings on their way to a 12-0 win on May 29, 2025; 11 runs is over 4.5.
Rays-Astros first five innings over 4.5
“Rays and the Astros over four and a half in the first five as well.”
3-2 — Rays led Astros 3-2 through five innings (5 combined runs) on their way to a 13-3 win on May 29, 2025; 5 runs is over 4.5.
Oklahoma City Thunder -8
“So laying the eight with OKC, they will punch their ticket to the NBA finals.”
124-94 — Thunder beat Timberwolves 124-94 in Game 5 on May 28, 2025, a 30-point margin, covering the -8 spread.
Julius Randle over 16.5 points
“Julius Randle over 16.5 points tonight for the Minnesota Timberwolves.”
Julius Randle scored 24 points in Minnesota's 124-94 Game 5 loss to Oklahoma City on May 28, 2025 (24 is over 16.5). (Julius Randle 24 points)
St. Louis Cardinals first five innings ML
“Cardinals first five on the money line.”
5-4 — The Cardinals led the Orioles 5-4 through five innings on their way to a 6-4 win on May 28, 2025; St. Louis's first-five moneyline pick won.
Toronto Blue Jays first five innings ML (+120)
“Toronto plus 120 in the first five.”
0-0 — Blue Jays and Rangers were tied 0-0 through five innings on May 28, 2025 (Toronto won 2-0 on a ninth-inning homer); the first-five moneyline pushed.
Indiana Fever -4
“Fever minus four tonight? Minus four, baby. Taking down the Mystics.”
83-77 — Washington beat Indiana 83-77 on May 28, 2025; Indiana lost outright and did not cover -4.
Dallas Stars ML (+140)
“I bet them plus one 40.”
4-1 — Edmonton beat Dallas 4-1 in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final). Dallas did not win.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to miss playoffs
“I have Tampa at plus money missing the playoffs”
Tampa Bay finished the 2025 NFL season 8-9 and did not qualify for the postseason (Wikipedia 2025 NFL season article). Tampa Bay missed the playoffs. (Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-9, missed playoffs)
Tennessee Titans over 5.5 wins
“Give me Tennessee over 5-1⁄2.”
Tennessee finished the 2025 NFL regular season 3-14 (Wikipedia 2025 NFL season article). 3 wins is below 5.5. (Tennessee Titans: 3 wins)
Seattle Seahawks under 8.5 wins (-140)
“Seahawks under eight and a half minus 140.”
Seattle finished the 2025 NFL regular season 14-3 (Wikipedia 2025 NFL season article). 14 wins is above 8.5. (Seattle Seahawks: 14 wins)
Jordan Love to win NFL MVP (+2500)
“Give me Jordan Love at 25-1 to be MVP.”
Matthew Stafford won the AP 2025 NFL Most Valuable Player award (Wikipedia NFL MVP Award article). Jordan Love did not win MVP.
First five innings over 4.5
“So give me the first five over four and a half.”
7-4 — St. Louis and Baltimore combined for 7 runs through five innings on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore: STL 3, BAL 4 through five). 7 exceeds 4.5.
Philadelphia Phillies first five innings ML (-110)
“Give me the Phillies first five on the money line. Minus 110.”
1-0 — Philadelphia led Atlanta 1-0 through five innings on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore). Philadelphia won the first-five moneyline.
Indiana Pacers -2.5
“give me the Indiana Pacers laying the two and a half”
130-121 — Indiana beat New York 130-121 in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final). Indiana won by 9, covering -2.5.
Over 219.5
“Give me the over 219.5.”
130-121 — Indiana and New York combined for 251 points in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final 130-121). 251 exceeds 219.5.
First five innings over 4
“I got a Reds Royals over in the first five, over four.”
2-2 — Cincinnati and Kansas City combined for exactly 4 runs through five innings on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore: CIN 2, KC 2 through five). 4 equals the 4-run entry total.
Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run
“let's go with Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run tonight.”
Bobby Witt Jr. went 0-for-3 with no home run against Cincinnati on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score). Witt did not hit a home run. (Bobby Witt Jr.: 0-for-3, 0 HR)
New York Mets first five innings ML (+140)
“Plus 140, first five New York Metropolitans on the money line tonight against the Red Sox.”
Mets 5, Red Sox 1 — The Mets and Red Sox were tied 1-1 through five innings before New York won 5-1, pushing the first-five moneyline. (First five: NYM 1, BOS 1)
Indiana Pacers +4.5
“I like the Indiana Pacers plus the 4.5.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — Indiana beat New York 138-135 in overtime in Game 1, covering +4.5.
Indiana Pacers ML
“I like them on the money line.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — Indiana beat New York 138-135 in overtime in Game 1.
Tyrese Haliburton over 8.5 assists (-155)
“I also like Tyrese Haliburton over on his assist, over 8.5 minus 155.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — Tyrese Haliburton recorded 11 assists in Game 1, above 8.5. (Tyrese Haliburton: 11 assists)
T.J. McConnell over 5.5 points
“Give me TJ McConnell, those hustle points, over 5.5 points as well.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — T.J. McConnell scored 10 points in Game 1, above 5.5. (T.J. McConnell: 10 points)
Bennedict Mathurin over 10.5 points (+100)
“And also let's go over on Bennedict Mathurin, over 10.5 at even money.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — Bennedict Mathurin scored 9 points in Game 1, below 10.5. (Bennedict Mathurin: 9 points)
Edmonton Oilers ML
“But tonight, I actually like Edmonton.”
Stars 6, Oilers 3 — Dallas beat Edmonton 6-3 in Game 1.
First five innings over 4
“Rangers-Yankees, first five over four.”
Yankees 4, Rangers 3 — Texas and New York combined for two runs through five innings (Rangers 1, Yankees 1) in New York's 4-3 walk-off win, under 4. (First five: Texas 1, New York 1)
Scottie Scheffler to win Charles Schwab Challenge / Manny Machado to hit a home run parlay
- Scottie Scheffler to win Charles Schwab Challenge
- Manny Machado to hit a home run
“[1:54:17] Femi has written in our chat,
[1:54:19] Scottie Scheffler with Manny Machado to Homer tonight.”
Ben Griffin, not Scottie Scheffler, won the Charles Schwab Challenge, and Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with no home run as Toronto blanked San Diego 14-0; both parlay legs lost. (Charles Schwab winner: Ben Griffin; Manny Machado: 0 HR)
Kyle Stowers to hit a home run (+490)
“[41:30] But my best bet tonight in Major League Baseball,
[41:32] I got some more bets in gambling at America,
[41:34] but I just want to give this one out here.
[41:36] Give me Kyle Stowers of the Marlins to hit a homer tonight against the Cubs.
[41:39] Like Jameson Tyone dying to give up barrels.
[41:42] And guess who's the second best player in the league in barrel percentage?
[41:46] Kyle Stowers of the Miami Marlins.
[41:48] Only player that's better is Aaron Judge, the guy who's just going to go on and waltz the MVP.
[41:53] I love this spot for Stowers to go ahead and hit a home run.
[41:55] Plus 490 for Stowers to meet the moment, read the room, and ultimately leave the yard.”
Cubs 14, Marlins 1 — Kyle Stowers went 3-for-3 with 2 hits and no home runs as the Cubs routed the Marlins 14-1. (Kyle Stowers: 0 HR)
Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 moneyline / Oklahoma City Thunder to win series (+500)
- Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline
- Oklahoma City Thunder to win series
“[1:16:00] So I think if you are bullish on Minnesota in this particular spot, this is a fun way to go ahead and do it.
[1:16:07] And I'm betting Minnesota tonight.
[1:16:08] I like Minnesota game one, thunder for the series.
[1:16:11] Give me five to one to have after this game when OKC's down on one.
[1:16:14] I'm that confident that they win the series.”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Minnesota lost Game 1 to Oklahoma City 114-88, busting the Minnesota-ML leg; Oklahoma City did go on to win the series 4-1. (Legs: Minnesota Game 1 ML lost; Oklahoma City series winner won (4-1))
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline
“[2:30:47] Yeah.
[2:30:48] Two bets for me in the six o'clock hour here.
[2:30:50] First one reds first five money line against Pittsburgh.
[2:30:52] Nick Martinez has been really good so far this season.
[2:30:54] There's a really good job of just like limiting base runners,
[2:30:57] not walking a ton of guys goes deep into games.
[2:30:59] Last four starts at least six innings pitch.
[2:31:02] I like backing him, even though it's on the road,
[2:31:04] but Bailey falter is not that great.
[2:31:05] So I like Cincinnati in this spot.”
Pirates 1, Reds 0 — Cincinnati and Pittsburgh were scoreless through five innings before the Pirates won 1-0 on a sixth-inning run, pushing the first-five moneyline. (First five: Cincinnati 0, Pittsburgh 0)
Washington Nationals first-five moneyline (+155)
“[2:31:07] And also, I'm going to play against the Atlanta Braves and Spencer Strider.
[2:31:10] Give me the Nationals' first five on the money line at home, plus money price.
[2:31:14] I love Strider. I love this Braves team.
[2:31:16] I just don't love it in this spot when it's his first game back.
[2:31:18] I think a lot of people are excited about this.
[2:31:20] Let's try to be contrarian.
[2:31:22] First start since the IL stint.
[2:31:24] I think this Nats lineup has some juice to it.
[2:31:26] They are alive.
[2:31:27] Like James Wood, he can send the ball out there.
[2:31:28] And sometimes Strider likes to give up those barrels.
[2:31:31] So I think Mitchell Parker, who's not very good,
[2:31:33] gets help from the lineup and the Nats win it in the first five plus 155.”
Nationals 5, Braves 3 — Washington led Atlanta 4-3 through five innings (3 in the 1st, 1 in the 2nd) in a 5-3 win. (First five: Washington 4, Atlanta 3)
Minnesota Timberwolves +7
“[2:53:46] I like Minnesota full game at plus seven.”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Minnesota lost Game 1 114-88, failing to cover +7.
Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline (+240)
“[2:53:48] And I like Minnesota on the money line, plus 240.”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Minnesota lost Game 1 outright to Oklahoma City 114-88.
Under 5.5 goals (-120)
“[2:55:15] Game one Eastern Conference Final in the National Hockey League, Femi.
[2:55:18] The Canes getting bet out to a minus 130 home favorite.
[2:55:21] So money coming in on Carolina and money on the under, under five and a half, minus 135.
[2:55:26] How are you betting Canes and Panthers?
[2:55:29] Yeah, I'm going to go with the home team and I'm going to go with the under as well.
[2:55:31] It's interesting.
[2:55:31] We've actually seen some money coming in on the over as we're now about an hour away from tip-off.
[2:55:35] That's that under five and a half.
[2:55:36] It was minus 135 earlier today.
[2:55:39] Now it's down to minus 120.
[2:55:40] So I think it's a lot more palatable to bet, of course, at minus 120 than at minus 135.
[2:55:44] So under, I think this is a grinded out series.
[2:55:46] Two awesome defensive teams.
[2:55:48] Two teams that are great with the special teams.
[2:55:50] They're not going to be letting in power play goals.
[2:55:52] This is a low scoring series.
[2:55:54] So that's under for me.”
Panthers 5, Hurricanes 2 — Florida beat Carolina 5-2 in Game 1, seven combined goals, busting the under 5.5.
Carolina Hurricanes moneyline (-125)
“[2:55:29] Yeah, I'm going to go with the home team and I'm going to go with the under as well.
[2:55:31] It's interesting.
[2:55:31] We've actually seen some money coming in on the over as we're now about an hour away from tip-off.
[2:55:35] That's that under five and a half.
[2:55:36] It was minus 135 earlier today.
[2:55:39] Now it's down to minus 120.
[2:55:40] So I think it's a lot more palatable to bet, of course, at minus 120 than at minus 135.
[2:55:44] So under, I think this is a grinded out series.
[2:55:46] Two awesome defensive teams.
[2:55:48] Two teams that are great with the special teams.
[2:55:50] They're not going to be letting in power play goals.
[2:55:52] This is a low scoring series.
[2:55:54] So that's under for me.
[2:55:55] But I also think Carolina, they can match and maybe even exceed the toughness of the Florida Panthers.
[2:56:00] Carolina likes to play that gritty, grimy kind of hockey.
[2:56:03] And that's what Florida has been able to do against Toronto and against Tampa.
[2:56:06] They're not going to be able to do it against this Carolina team.
[2:56:08] They were better in the regular season.
[2:56:09] I think they win the series, and it starts tonight.
[2:56:11] They win game one.
[2:56:12] I laid minus 125 on the money line.”
Panthers 5, Hurricanes 2 — Carolina lost Game 1 to Florida 5-2.
First five innings under 4 (+105)
“So I'm going to go under four at plus money, plus 105 Reds and the Pirates.”
1-1 — Cincinnati and Pittsburgh were tied 1-1 through five innings (final 7-1 Reds), a combined 2 runs, under the 4-run first-five line (ESPN box score).
Boston Red Sox first five innings ML (+120)
“And then I'm going to take a stab at the Boston Red Sox first five on the money line, plus 120.”
1-3 — Boston led the Mets 3-1 through five innings (final 3-1 Red Sox), so the Red Sox first-five moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 4.5
“I'm going to go first five over four and a half between the Mariners and the White Sox.”
1-0 — Seattle led Chicago 1-0 through five innings (final 5-1 Mariners), a combined 1 run, under the 4.5 first-five line (ESPN box score).
First five innings under 5.5 (-115)
“Give me the first five under between Philly and Colorado. It's under five and a half minus 115.”
1-2 — Colorado led Philadelphia 2-1 through five innings (final 9-3 Phillies), a combined 3 runs, under the 5.5 first-five line (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 5
“first five over five between Brandon Fott and Landon Knack.”
7-1 — Arizona led Los Angeles 7-1 through five innings (final 9-5 Diamondbacks), a combined 8 runs, over the 5-run first-five line (ESPN box score).
Dallas Wings +3.5
“I'll take the plus three and a half. I'm not going to do the money line.”
Storm 79, Wings 71 — Dallas lost to Seattle 79-71, an 8-point margin, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
Carolina Hurricanes to win series
“[1:50:30] to where I don't think the Panthers are going to be able to just like punk the Carolina Hurricanes.
[1:50:33] So I'm going to roll with the team that has the home ice. I mean, I'm looking at Carolina stuff
[1:50:37] right now they were the best penalty killing team in the nhl this year defensively they are
[1:50:42] phenomenal and with the home ice i think carolina gets it done it's a long series i think it probably
[1:50:47] even goes seven but i'm going with the canes”
Florida defeated Carolina 4 games to 1 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Final, so the Hurricanes-to-win-series bet loses (Wikipedia 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs). (Panthers won series 4-1)
Dallas Stars to win series
“[1:52:35] Edmonton's been that team for me.
[1:52:36] Like, I've just been betting against Edmonton.
[1:52:38] Here are the Kings.
[1:52:39] Here are the Vegas Golden Knights.
[1:52:40] Here's the Dallas Stars.
[1:52:41] Give me the Dallas Stars to win this one.”
Edmonton defeated Dallas 4 games to 1 in the 2025 Western Conference Final, so the Stars-to-win-series bet loses (Wikipedia 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs). (Oilers won series 4-1)
Tyrese Haliburton to win Eastern Conference Finals MVP (+175)
“[1:36:44] Is that a bet for you?
[1:36:45] Halliburton Eastern Conference Finals MVP.
[1:36:47] A 45-cent difference from Halliburton to the Pacers winning the series.
[1:36:52] Yes.
[1:36:52] It's Halliburton plus 175 with a bullet for me.”
Pascal Siakam of the Pacers, not Tyrese Haliburton, won the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals MVP (Wikipedia: Siakam 'named Eastern Conference finals MVP'). (ECF MVP: Pascal Siakam)
Over 5.5 goals
“well hopefully we also get the over because I like the over five and a half goals tonight”
TOR 2, FLA 0 — Toronto and Florida combined for 2 goals in a 2-0 Leafs win, well under the 5.5 total (ESPN game summary).
Harry Hall top 20 (+525)
“[5:54] I accidentally bet Harry Hall top 20 at plus 525 when I meant to bet Harris English.”
Harry Hall finished T19 at -2 (282) at the 2025 PGA Championship, inside the top 20 (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (Harry Hall: T19, -2 (282))
Harris English top 20
“[6:00] Now, before I went to sleep, I did bet Harris English as well.”
Harris English finished T2 at -6 (278) at the 2025 PGA Championship, well inside the top 20 (PGA Tour official leaderboard). (Harris English: T2, -6 (278))
Denver Nuggets +7.5
“Nuggets plus the points, 7.5.”
Thunder 125, Nuggets 93 — Oklahoma City routed Denver 125-93 in Game 7, a 32-point margin, so the Nuggets +7.5 fails to cover (ESPN box score).
Denver Nuggets ML (+260)
“Nuggets, Moneyline as well, plus 260.”
Thunder 125, Nuggets 93 — Oklahoma City beat Denver 125-93 in Game 7, so the Nuggets moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
New York Knicks -2.5
“[40:13] Awesome. We'll be Oppo Taco tonight.
[40:15] I'm laying the 2.5 with the Knicks.
[40:16] New York, do not embarrass me, I believe.”
Knicks 119, Celtics 81 — New York beat Boston 119-81, a 38-point margin, so the Knicks -2.5 easily covers (ESPN box score).
OG Anunoby over 14.5 points
“[40:21] And I also like OG Ananobi over on his points prop.
[40:23] That's at 14.5.”
OG Anunoby scored 23 points in Game 6, well over the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 23 points)
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder under 217.5
“So I'm going to go under 217.5.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — Nuggets-Thunder Game 6 combined for 226 points (119-107), over the 217.5 total (ESPN box score).
Winnipeg Jets moneyline (-126)
“[2:56:21] under five and a half goals got burnt on that one though in game four but i will be betting the night
[2:56:26] game i'll lay the points or lay the number with the jets minus 126 is the best price i see on the
[2:56:31] money line”
WPG 4, DAL 0 — Winnipeg shut out Dallas 4-0 in Game 5, so the Jets moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
Houston Astros first-five moneyline (+116)
“[2:57:43] I'm back in Hunter Brown. Astros
[2:57:44] first five on the money line, plus
[2:57:46] 116.”
0-0 — Rangers beat Astros 1-0, but the only run (Burger HR) came in the 6th inning; the first five innings were scoreless 0-0, so the Astros first-five moneyline pushes (ESPN box score).
Jordan Spieth to win (+7500)
“Give me Jordan Speed 75 to 1.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Jordan Spieth missed the cut at 2-over (144), not the winner (ESPN leaderboard). (Spieth missed cut, 144 (+2))
Tony Finau to win (+10000)
“So give me Tony Finau, 100 to 1.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Tony Finau finished T19 at 2-under (282), not the winner (ESPN leaderboard). (Finau T19 (-2, 282))
Boston Celtics -5
“I like the Celtics lay in the five”
BOS 127, NY 102 — Celtics beat Knicks 127-102 (margin +25), covering -5 (ESPN).
Golden State Warriors +10.5
“Give me the Warriors plus 10.5.”
MIN 121, GS 110 — Timberwolves beat Warriors 121-110 (margin -11), busting the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
Golden State Warriors moneyline
“Warriors on the money line.”
MIN 121, GS 110 — Warriors lost 110-121; the Golden State moneyline busts (ESPN).
Tampa Bay Rays moneyline (+135)
“give me the Tampa Bay Rays, plus 135 on the road at the Toronto Blue Jays.”
TOR 3, TB 1 — Blue Jays beat Rays 3-1; the Tampa Bay moneyline busts (ESPN).
William Nylander to win Conn Smythe Trophy (+2500)
“[1:14:25] I like Nylander a little bit more.
[1:14:26] He's leading them in points.
[1:14:28] He's a little bit closer to Mikko Rantanen as well with this points chase.
[1:14:30] So for me, as somebody who has nothing Toronto, I bet today William Nylander 25 to 1 to win consummage.”
Sam Bennett (Florida Panthers) won the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP; William Nylander did not win, so the 25-1 futures bet loses (Wikipedia Conn Smythe Trophy page).
Golden State Warriors to win Western Conference
“[2:53:21] this is a bet that I've made over the last 24 hours.
[2:53:23] Warriors to win the West.”
The Warriors were eliminated from the 2025 NBA playoffs by the Timberwolves, losing the West Semifinals 4-1 (121-110 in Game 5 on May 14, 2025), so Golden State did not win the West (ESPN).
Golden State Warriors to win NBA championship (+15000) · BetMGM
“[2:53:26] 150-1 to win the title at BetMGM.”
The Warriors were eliminated from the 2025 NBA playoffs in the Western Conference Semifinals by the Timberwolves (121-110 in Game 5 on May 14, 2025), so Golden State did not win the NBA championship (ESPN).
Patrick Cantlay to win PGA Championship (+4200)
“[2:50:57] Demi, your bets, please, for the PG.
[2:50:59] I will not be laddering Pooge.
[2:51:00] Three outrights for me.
[2:51:02] Patrick Cantlay, 42-1, long off the tee, has played really well this season.
[2:51:06] Three top five finishes.
[2:51:07] Has obviously a previous track record of playing well at majors.
[2:51:10] And he has a really good showing at the Wells Fargo Championship, which is at Quail Hollow.
[2:51:14] That's where they're playing this weekend.
[2:51:15] So I Cantlay, 42-1.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Patrick Cantlay missed the cut at 6-over (148), not the winner (ESPN leaderboard). (Cantlay missed cut, 148 (+6))
Indiana Pacers +8.5
“I'll take the eight and a half tonight.”
IND 114, CLE 105 — Pacers beat Cavaliers 114-105 (margin +9), covering +8.5 (ESPN).
Indiana Pacers moneyline (+295)
“[2:54:03] and also play a little bit on the money line as well.
[2:54:06] Best price you can find out there, plus 295.”
IND 114, CLE 105 — Pacers won 114-105; the Indiana moneyline covers (ESPN).
Dallas Stars moneyline (-145)
“[42:12] I like Dallas.
[42:14] Like, 145, I'll lay that.”
DAL 3, WPG 1 — Stars beat Jets 3-1; the Dallas moneyline covers (ESPN).
Nikola Jokic over 28.5 points · BetMGM
“[2:54:08] In the night game, I'm just playing Jokic over points.
[2:54:11] I don't know what's going to happen.
[2:54:12] I think OKC wins.
[2:54:13] With the spread, it can go either way.
[2:54:15] I think Jokic still gets right.
[2:54:16] He's been getting whatever he wants in this series.
[2:54:18] He's just not making the shots.
[2:54:19] Best player in the world.
[2:54:20] I think he shows up.
[2:54:21] I think he goes over the point total of 28 and a half over at BetMGM.”
OKC 112, DEN 105 — Nikola Jokic scored 44 points in the Nuggets' 112-105 Game 5 loss to the Thunder on May 13, 2025, clearing the 28.5-point over (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 44 points)
Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets under 5.5
“[2:55:25] I'm going to go actually a small bet on the under.
[2:55:28] If Winnipeg is to win this game, I think it goes under.
[2:55:30] And I think Dallas' path as well is Ottinger in that defense.
[2:55:33] Miro Heisken didn't expect to be back in tonight's game.
[2:55:35] Big boost for the Dallas Stars, their defensemen.
[2:55:38] I'm going to go under five and a half, but it's a smaller bet.”
DAL 3, WPG 1 — Stars beat Jets 3-1 (4 total goals), under the 5.5 total (ESPN).
Oklahoma City Thunder win series 4-3 7 (+175) · BetMGM
“[40:48] Yeah, I think the way that I'm betting this series is Thunder in seven.
[40:51] It's plus 175 at BetMGM.”
Thunder beat Nuggets 4-3 in the West semifinals, closing it out with a 125-93 Game 7 win (ESPN). (Thunder won series 4-3.)
Minnesota Timberwolves -5
“[15:32] regaining home court advantage but a big one tonight for minnesota like get it done i'm with
[15:37] you let's lay the five with the t wolves on the other side we'll turn our attention to the ice”
MIN 117, GSW 110 — Timberwolves beat Warriors 117-110 (margin +7), covering the -5 spread (ESPN).
Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes under 5.5 (-120)
“So give me under five and a half minus 120.”
CAR 5, WSH 2 — Hurricanes beat Capitals 5-2 (7 total goals), over the 5.5 total; the under busts (ESPN).
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (+110)
“Vegas on the money line, plus 110.”
EDM 3, VGK 0 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 3-0; the Vegas moneyline busts (ESPN).
Pittsburgh Pirates first-five moneyline (+105)
“[43:50] on the other mound, like, I like the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first five.
[43:53] Plus 105 is where you can get it at.”
Pirates and Mets were tied 1-1 through five innings (Mets won 4-3 in 9); the first-five moneyline pushes (ESPN box score). (1-1 through 5 innings)
Denver Nuggets +5.5
“also give me Nikola Jokic plus the five and a half”
113-104 — Nuggets beat Thunder 113-104 outright, easily covering the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Nuggets moneyline (+200)
“[39:08] So I'll take Denver with the points and on the money line, plus 200 between the Thunder
[39:13] and the Nuggets.”
113-104 — Nuggets beat Thunder 113-104 to win outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers over 6
“[40:35] so I'm not betting the side. I am betting the total, though, however. I like over six at even
[40:40] money.”
5-4 — Panthers beat Maple Leafs 5-4 in overtime (9 combined goals), over the 6 total (ESPN recap).
Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets under 5.5
“[41:04] Under five and a half.
[41:06] Lean towards Winnipeg.
[41:07] Don't want to lay it because I want to root for Dallas,
[41:09] but I like the under.”
4-0 — Jets beat Stars 4-0 (4 combined goals), under the 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
Edmonton Oilers moneyline
“I will back the Edmonton Oilers to win tonight.”
EDM 5, VGK 4 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 5-4 on May 8, 2025 (West 2nd Round Game 2, ESPN); the Oilers moneyline pick won.
Freddie Freeman to win NL MVP
“Bet Freddie Freeman, NL MVP, because he is close to the top of the guys.”
Shohei Ohtani won the 2025 NL MVP unanimously; Freddie Freeman did not win (MLB.com); the Freeman NL MVP futures pick lost.
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline
“[37:01] I'm going back to the well.
[37:02] I'm betting Vegas in this game.
[37:04] Godspeed You know like let see how this goes Edmonton has been a thorn in my side so far this postseason Can quite crack it But as they say I pretty stubborn And we see how this goes”
EDM 5, VGK 4 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 5-4 on May 8, 2025 (West 2nd Round Game 2, ESPN); the Golden Knights moneyline pick lost.
Florida Panthers moneyline (-135)
“[2:54:59] Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and lay it with the Florida Panthers.
[2:55:01] I bet this earlier this afternoon was like minus 135.”
TOR 4, FLA 3 — Maple Leafs beat Panthers 4-3 in Game 2 of the East 2nd Round on May 7, 2025 (ESPN); the Panthers moneyline pick lost.
Juan Soto to win NL MVP (+1800)
“Juan Soto, National League MVP, 18 to 1.”
Shohei Ohtani won the 2025 NL MVP unanimously; Juan Soto finished third behind Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber (MLB.com); the Soto NL MVP futures pick lost.
Washington Capitals moneyline
“I'm right there with you guys as well. I'm betting the Caps tonight.”
CAR 2, WSH 1 — Hurricanes beat Capitals 2-1 in OT on May 6, 2025 (East 2nd Round Game 1); the Capitals moneyline pick lost (ESPN).
Barcelona to advance (-135)
“[1:01:59] I bet minus 135 Barcelona to advance.
[1:02:02] I think Tyler's bet it.
[1:02:03] Jake has bet it.
[1:02:04] Pat is with us in spirit, rooting us on for this one.”
Inter Milan beat Barcelona 4-3 in extra time (7-6 on aggregate) on May 6, 2025, eliminating Barcelona from the Champions League semifinal; the Barcelona-to-advance pick lost (ESPN).
Las Vegas Raiders make playoffs (+310) · BetMGM
“[1:05:25] And it's one that I've talked about a handful of times here throughout this offseason.
[1:05:29] And that's the team in the city where I reside.
[1:05:31] That's being Las Vegas.
[1:05:32] I think the Raiders plus 310 to make the playoffs.
[1:05:36] I am all aboard the silver and black ever since they hired Pete Carroll.
[1:05:40] I've been in coaching.
[1:05:42] It matters.
[1:05:42] Big time upgrade going from Antonio Pierce to Pete Carroll quarterback play.
[1:05:46] It matters even more big time upgrade going from Gardner Minshew Aiden O'Connell to now
[1:05:52] Geno Smith, who's not like a great quarterback, but is an above average quarterback and is way
[1:05:57] better than what they've had over the last couple of years. That defense quietly top 10 in the NFL,
[1:06:03] like really, really strong. Max Crosby, Christian Wilkins, like that defense will be really,
[1:06:08] really good up front. And I think Pete Carroll, who specializes in secondary play and developing
[1:06:13] defensive backs, like think back to his time in Seattle with the Legion of Boom and identifying
[1:06:18] those young guys getting cam chancel in the mid-round richard sherman in the fifth round all
[1:06:22] that stuff developing them into all pros not saying that's going to happen with the raiders
[1:06:26] but at least he can coach up that secondary to a point where they're competent i think the raiders
[1:06:31] are much much better than what people think and i think the raiders actually have a chance to make
[1:06:35] the playoffs so at the odds plus 310 i like the silver and black to make the playoffs this nfl
[1:06:42] season who do you like for your plus money make the playoff bet how about the carolina panthers”
The Raiders finished the 2025 NFL season 3-14 and missed the playoffs; the Raiders-to-make-playoffs futures pick lost (Wikipedia, 2025 Las Vegas Raiders season).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers miss playoffs (+125) · BetMGM
“[1:11:12] If you do like the Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs, my team that's plus money to miss the playoffs is in that very division.
[1:11:20] and it is in lockstep with your thought,
[1:11:22] and that is with the three-time defending
[1:11:24] NFC South champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
[1:11:27] I think this is finally the year that the Bucs fall off.
[1:11:31] Like last year, everybody was predicting it
[1:11:32] when they lost Dave Canales to Carolina.
[1:11:35] It's like, oh, how did they replace Dave Canales?
[1:11:37] Well, they did a pretty good job with Liam Cohen.
[1:11:39] Now the question is, how do they replace Liam Cohen?
[1:11:42] I think that one might be a little trickier to replace.
[1:11:44] Like Tampa, they've been really good.
[1:11:46] They've been consistent, but their ceiling is just not high.
[1:11:49] And I am buying the ceiling a little bit more of a team like Atlanta.
[1:11:53] I could even buy it with a team like Carolina, like Patches outlined.
[1:11:56] I just think that Tampa this year is going to take a step back.
[1:12:00] It's not the biggest plus money price for them to miss the playoffs.
[1:12:03] It's plus 125.
[1:12:05] So it's not something like gigantic payout.
[1:12:07] But I think the Bucs fall just a little bit short because I'd like Atlanta to win the NFC South.
[1:12:11] And I think the other NFC wildcard teams, I just like them better.
[1:12:15] Like the Commanders, I think, are going to be a wildcard team because I like Philadelphia to win the NFC East,
[1:12:19] which we'll talk about coming up in the next segment.
[1:12:21] But I think the commanders make the wild card because Jaden Daniels is too good.
[1:12:24] I think Detroit makes the wild card, even though they lost both of their coordinators.
[1:12:28] I do like Detroit because Dan Campbell has built a big-time foundation,
[1:12:32] and that roster is loaded.
[1:12:33] They're going to get Aiden Hutchinson back as well.
[1:12:35] And I think the Niners bounce back.
[1:12:37] But once they get healthier, Brock Purdy, Kyle Shanahan, when they've been healthy,
[1:12:40] they've made the playoffs every single year.
[1:12:42] So I think the Niners actually get there.
[1:12:43] So, like, you play this game of musical chairs, music stops.
[1:12:47] I don't think the Buccaneers will have a seat at the table.
[1:12:49] So I think Tampa plus 125 to miss the playoffs over at BetMGM.”
The Buccaneers finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, losing the NFC South three-way tiebreaker to Carolina; the Buccaneers-to-miss-playoffs futures pick won (Wikipedia, 2025 Tampa Bay Buccaneers season).
Denver Nuggets first-half +6
“[2:43:34] But I do really do like the second game tonight in Oklahoma City.
[2:43:38] Give me the Denver Nuggets in the first half.
[2:43:40] I think this number is starting to get a little bit rich on the OKC side.
[2:43:44] Like you mentioned earlier in this hour, Nick, the Oklahoma City Thunder have not played since April 26th.
[2:43:50] That was the Saturday of the NFL draft when Shadur Sanders got drafted.
[2:43:53] That's the last time they played in a game.
[2:43:55] That's been so long to where sometimes you just get a little bit out of rhythm.
[2:43:59] They're clearly the better team.
[2:44:00] But I think in the first half, Denver can hit them up pretty good.
[2:44:02] So I like Denver to keep it close in the first half.
[2:44:04] I'll take the Nuggets plus the six tonight in the first 24 minutes.”
OKC 60, DEN 50 (1st half) — Oklahoma City led Denver 60-50 at halftime of Game 1 on May 5, 2025, a 10-point Nuggets deficit that exceeded the +6 first-half line (ESPN box score, gameId 401769820).
Oklahoma City Thunder / Cleveland Cavaliers / Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline parlay (+100) · BetMGM
- Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline lost
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline lost
- Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline lost
“[2:44:14] I think OKC is going to win.
[2:44:15] I'm going to parlay Oklahoma City money line with Cleveland money line tomorrow night.
[2:44:20] I'll risk the injury stuff.
[2:44:21] And Minnesota Moneyline on Wednesday, that three-team Moneyline Parlay,
[2:44:24] which extends into Wednesday, even money, plus 100 at BetMGM,”
All three legs lost: Denver beat Oklahoma City 121-119 on May 5 (Thunder ML loses, ESPN gameId 401769820); Indiana beat Cleveland 120-119 on May 6 (Cavaliers ML loses, ESPN gameId 401769740); Golden State beat Minnesota 99-88 on May 6 (Timberwolves ML loses, ESPN gameId 401769837).
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs under 5.5
“I think under five and a half is how I'm going to bet this game.”
TOR 5, FLA 4 — Toronto beat Florida 5-4 in Game 1 on May 5, 2025, a combined 9 goals, over the 5.5 total (ESPN game page, gameId 401769841).
San Diego Padres first-five moneyline
“[2:45:36] screen, please, Mike. Baseball bets for tonight. Femi, what do you got? Padres first five on the
[2:45:41] money line.”
SD 4, NYY 3 — New York led San Diego 2-0 through five innings on May 5, 2025 (Trent Grisham 3rd-inning HR) before the Padres rallied to win the full game 4-3 in the 8th; the Padres first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score, gameId 401695426).
Vegas Golden Knights win series (-110)
“[9:53] But having the home ice, I like Vegas. And it's a coin flip price right now in the series price.
[9:58] Like it's minus 115, minus 105. So it's like you can even find minus 110 each way.
[10:03] I'll roll with the Vegas Golden Knights to advance and beat the Edmonton Oilers.”
Edmonton Oilers beat Vegas Golden Knights 4 games to 1 in the Round 2 series, clinching with a 1-0 overtime win in Game 5 on May 14, 2025 (Kasperi Kapanen scored the OT winner); Vegas did not beat Edmonton (Fox Sports box score).
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors under 208
“I'm going to go under 208 with this one.”
HOU 115, GS 107 — Houston beat Golden State 115-107 on May 2, 2025, a combined 222 points, over the 208 total (ESPN box score, gameId 401767913).
St. Louis Blues moneyline (-110)
“[42:34] Give me the Blues tonight.
[42:35] Minus 110 on the money line.”
STL 5, WPG 2 — St. Louis beat Winnipeg 5-2 on May 2, 2025, so the Blues moneyline cashed (ESPN box score, gameId 401768159).
New York Knicks moneyline (+110)
“I'm betting your New York Knicks on the money line, plus 110.”
NY 116, DET 113 — Knicks beat Pistons 116-113 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN); New York's moneyline cashes.
New York Knicks / Colorado Avalanche moneyline parlay
- New York Knicks moneyline won
- Colorado Avalanche moneyline won
“I'm going to parlay the Knicks with the Colorado Avalanche.”
NY 116, DET 113; COL 7, DAL 4 — Knicks beat Pistons 116-113 (May 1, 2025) and Avalanche beat Stars 7-4 (May 1, 2025, Game 6), both per ESPN; both legs win, so the parlay cashes.
Seattle Mariners first-five moneyline (-125)
“[42:04] But I have one bet in Major League Baseball before I bring on Jake Hassan and Tyler Morales.
[42:08] And it's a game that's actually going to start in about 15 minutes up in my old neck of the woods, Pacific Northwest, Seattle, Washington to be exact.
[42:13] I like the Mariners on the first five money line against the Angels later on today.
[42:17] minus 125 is the price.
[42:20] I think Tyler Anderson is just like a fraud.
[42:22] I don't think he's a good pitcher.
[42:24] Eventually he has his ground ball ways.
[42:26] It's going to catch up to him.
[42:27] I'm not in on Tyler Anderson.
[42:29] If I only have to lay minus 125,
[42:31] I get it's Emerson Hancock
[42:32] and he started the year a little bit shaky.
[42:34] Although I will say,
[42:35] has bounced back nicely
[42:36] on these last couple of starts.
[42:38] He's only given up two runs
[42:39] in each of his last two starts.
[42:40] I think Emerson Hancock
[42:41] has been good enough
[42:42] to where I want to back him
[42:43] at this price against Tyler Anderson
[42:45] on the road away from LA.
[42:47] So that's my one bet in Major League Baseball for the day slate.”
SEA 9, LAA 3 — Mariners and Angels were tied 3-3 through 5 innings (Seattle won 9-3 with a six-run 7th) on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN box score); a tied first-five moneyline is a standard sportsbook push. (First five innings: LAA 3, SEA 3 (tied))
Golden State Warriors +4
“I like the Golden State Warriors on the plus four and on the money line.”
HOU 131, GS 116 — Rockets beat Warriors 131-116 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); Golden State's +4 spread busts by a 15-point margin.
Golden State Warriors moneyline
“I like the Golden State Warriors on the plus four and on the money line.”
HOU 131, GS 116 — Rockets beat Warriors 131-116 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); Golden State's moneyline busts.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers over 209.5
“So I think over 209.5, 210 is fine as well if that's where your sportsbook has it at.”
MIN 103, LAL 96 — Timberwolves beat Lakers 103-96 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); combined 199 points falls under the 209.5 total.
Los Angeles Lakers / Golden State Warriors moneyline parlay
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline lost
- Golden State Warriors moneyline lost
“I'll parlay the Lakers' money line with the Warriors' money line.”
MIN 103, LAL 96; HOU 131, GS 116 — Timberwolves beat Lakers 103-96 and Rockets beat Warriors 131-116, both on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN); both legs lose, so the Lakers/Warriors moneyline parlay busts.
St. Louis Blues moneyline (+155)
“Plus 155, St. Louis on the money line.”
WPG 5, STL 3 — Jets beat Blues 5-3 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); St. Louis's moneyline busts.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets first-five over 4.5
“[2:59:29] Diamondbacks, Mets, first five,
[2:59:31] over four and a half like everyone else.”
ARI 4, NYM 3 — Diamondbacks and Mets combined for just 1 run through 5 innings (ARI 0, NYM 1) in Arizona's eventual 4-3 win on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN box score), well under the first-five total of 4.5. (First five innings: ARI 0, NYM 1 (total 1))
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians first-five over 4.5 (-120)
“[42:13] Real quick for me in baseball, I like the Twins-Guardians first five over later on.
[42:18] That's a 6 o'clock pitch, I believe.
[42:20] Over 4.5, minus 120.
[42:22] I'm going to continue to fade Tanner Bybee when he's going to be at similar prices like this.
[42:25] I think his struggles continue.
[42:26] And then Chris Paddock, I mean, 6.45 ERA.
[42:30] That's enough for me.
[42:30] Let's go over in the first five between the twins and the guardians.”
CLE 2, MIN 1 — Twins and Guardians combined for only 2 runs through 5 innings (MIN 1, CLE 1) in Cleveland's eventual 2-1 walk-off win on Apr 29, 2025 (ESPN box score); first-five over 4.5 loses. (First five innings: MIN 1, CLE 1 (total 2))
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates first-five over 4 (-125)
“[2:31:00] One bet for me between the Cubs and the pirates,
[2:31:02] I'm going to go with the first five over four minus one 25.”
CHC 9, PIT 0 — Cubs scored all 4 of their first-five runs in innings 4-5 while Pirates were scoreless through 5 (final Cubs 9, Pirates 0, ESPN box score) on Apr 29, 2025, making the first-five total exactly 4, a push against the over 4 line. (First five innings: CHC 4, PIT 0 (total 4))
Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings under 6.5
“I'm betting under 6.5.”
EDM 3, LA 1 — Oilers beat Kings 3-1 on Apr 29, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); combined 4 goals is under the 6.5 total.
Boston Red Sox first-five moneyline (-140)
“[2:57:42] We'll start with the Boston Red Sox on the road, minus 140 from the first five against the Toronto Blue Jays.”
BOS 10, TOR 2 — Red Sox led Blue Jays 7-2 through 5 innings en route to a 10-2 final on Apr 29, 2025 (ESPN box score); Boston's first-five moneyline cashes. (First five innings: BOS 7, TOR 2)
Arizona Diamondbacks first-five moneyline (+115)
“[2:58:07] Of course I'm betting the Diamondbacks.
[2:58:09] So give me Arizona first five plus 115, Boston first five minus 140.”
NYM 8, ARI 3 — Mets led Diamondbacks 8-1 through 5 innings in their eventual 8-3 win on Apr 29, 2025 (ESPN box score); Arizona's first-five moneyline loses. (First five innings: ARI 1, NYM 8)
LaNorris Sellers first overall pick (+3000)
“[30:54] garrett nussmeyer at plus 450 but give me lenora sellers at plus 3000 30 to 1 that's what i like”
The Las Vegas Raiders selected Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, not LaNorris Sellers (NFL.com).
New York Yankees first-five moneyline (-130)
“Give me the New York Yankees on the first five money line, minus 130,”
BAL 4, NYY 3 — Orioles led 4-0 through five innings (final Orioles 4, Yankees 3) per ESPN box score; Yankees' first-five moneyline loses. (First five innings: BAL 4, NYY 0)
Golden State Warriors -3.5
“I'll lay the three and a half with Golden State.”
GS 109, HOU 106 — Warriors beat Rockets 109-106 on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN); Golden State's -3.5 spread busts, winning by only 3.
Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline (+125)
“[2:55:57] How are you betting tonight in the NHL?
[2:55:59] I think both these series are destined for seven games.
[2:56:01] These are really awesome conference final kind of series.
[2:56:05] I think we're going to get some awesome games.
[2:56:07] Four, five, six, and seven with these series.
[2:56:09] And I like the Tampa Bay Lightning with the early game.
[2:56:11] I like Tampa plus the 125 against Florida.
[2:56:14] These two teams are just so close together.
[2:56:17] Florida has not outplayed Tampa to the degree that they should be up 3-1.
[2:56:20] So I'll back the bolts as the road teams wins the first four games in the series.”
FLA 4, TB 2 — Panthers beat Lightning 4-2 on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN); Tampa Bay's moneyline busts.
Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros first-five over 3.5 (-125)
“[2:57:36] First five over.
[2:57:38] Contrarian over three and a half at a heavy juice, minus 125.”
HOU 8, DET 5 — Tigers and Astros combined for 5 runs through 5 innings (DET 3, HOU 2) in Houston's eventual 8-5 win on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN box score), clearing the first-five over 3.5. (First five innings: DET 3, HOU 2 (total 5))
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers first-five under 4.5
“[2:57:49] And I'll take the under in the first five between the Marlins and the Dodgers.
[2:57:52] Dustin May, I know Brad likes him to get the win.
[2:57:54] I think he's been awesome.
[2:57:55] I think he'll pitch as well.
[2:57:56] And also Edward Cabrera, a little bit underrated as well.
[2:57:59] Underlying stuff looks really good.
[2:58:00] So I like the first five, four and a half, under four and a half, I should say, between the Marlins and the Dodgers.”
LAD 7, MIA 6 (10 innings) — Dodgers led Marlins 5-0 through 5 innings (MIA 0, LAD 5) en route to a 7-6, 10-inning win on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN box score); first-five total of 5 runs is over the 4.5 under. (First five innings: MIA 0, LAD 5 (total 5))
New Orleans Saints under 6.5 wins
“Under six and a half wins for me with New Orleans.”
The New Orleans Saints finished the 2025 NFL regular season 6-11, under the 6.5-win line.
Orlando Magic +6
“but I do like Orlando still at six.”
ORL 95, BOS 93 — Orlando beat Boston 95-93, a 2-point Magic win that covers +6.
Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline (+120)
“[2:55:12] Yeah, nothing for me tonight, but I do like some stuff tomorrow night.
[2:55:15] I'm going to go down with the ship.
[2:55:18] Tampa plus 120 on the money line.”
TB 5, FLA 1 — Tampa Bay beat Florida 5-1; the Lightning moneyline cashes.
Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline (-120)
“I'll lay the minus one 20 on the money line.”
FLA 2, TB 0 — Florida beat Tampa Bay 2-0; the Lightning moneyline busts.
New York Knicks moneyline
“I lay the money line with the New York Knicks”
NY 118, DET 116 — New York beat Detroit 118-116; the Knicks moneyline cashes.
Denver Nuggets +5.5
“the Denver Nuggets plus the five and a half?”
LAC 117, DEN 83 — LA Clippers beat Denver 117-83, a 34-point Nuggets loss that missed covering +5.5.
Winnipeg Jets moneyline (-113)
“I bet the Jets minus 113, even at minus 120.”
STL 7, WPG 2 — St. Louis beat Winnipeg 7-2; the Jets moneyline busts.
Ashton Jeanty selected fifth overall (-300)
“[42:37] uncertainty out of it like minus 300 that's the bet that i would make and that's the bet that i
[42:41] made yesterday when all the markets were closing here in the van”
Ashton Jeanty was selected 6th overall by the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2025 NFL Draft, not 5th overall.
Rays-Diamondbacks first-five under 4.5 (+105)
“[41:20] So give me the under four and a half.
[41:22] And it's a plus money, plus 105.”
TB 2, ARI 3 (through 5 innings) — Rays-Diamondbacks combined for 5 runs through five innings (TB 2, ARI 3), over the 4.5 first-five total, so the under busts.
Warriors-Rockets under 204.5
“[2:54:25] And I'll play the under between Golden State and Houston,
[2:54:28] under 204 and a half.
[2:54:29] I think either way, whichever team wins,
[2:54:31] the other team is going to struggle to score.
[2:54:32] That's how this is going to play out.
[2:54:33] This total is still a little bit too high,
[2:54:35] even though it's come down a little bit from game one.
[2:54:37] I like under 204 and a half.”
HOU 109, GS 94 — Houston beat Golden State 109-94, a combined 203 points, under the 204.5 total.
Boston Celtics -10
“Yeah, I'm going to lay the 10 with the Boston Celtics.”
BOS 109, ORL 100 — Boston beat Orlando 109-100, a 9-point win that fell short of covering -10.
Tom Wilson anytime goal (+245)
“[2:55:52] Let's go with Tom Wilson to light the lamp, plus 245 for the Caps
[2:55:55] as they're taking on Montreal.
[2:55:57] Like, Montreal, just like Dennis mentioned it,
[2:55:58] they're not that great of a team, especially, like, away from home.
[2:56:01] So I think the Washington Capitals can have a really nice showing.
[2:56:04] Tom Wilson at price.”
Tom Wilson recorded 2 assists but no goal in Washington's 3-1 win over Montreal; Connor McMichael (2) and Dylan Strome scored for the Capitals. (0 goals, 2 assists)
Wyatt Johnston anytime goal (+230)
“[2:56:06] Wyatt Johnston plus 230 on the road at Colorado.”
Wyatt Johnston did not score in Dallas's 2-1 overtime win over Colorado; goals came from Valeri Nichushkin (COL), Jamie Benn (DAL), and Tyler Seguin's OT winner (DAL). (0 goals)
Houston Astros first-five moneyline (-110)
“[2:56:42] So I'll lay the minus 110 with the Astros at home.”
HOU 3, TOR 1 (through 5 innings) — Houston led Toronto 3-1 through five innings (all three Astros runs scored in the 2nd), so the Astros' first-five moneyline cashed in the eventual 3-1 win.
San Francisco Giants first-five moneyline (-140)
“[2:56:48] Even though it's minus 140 at this price, it's not going to scare me away.
[2:56:51] I think he takes care of business against the Milwaukee Brewers.
[2:56:54] First five with the Giants, minus 140.”
SF 0, MIL 0 (through 5 innings) — San Francisco and Milwaukee were scoreless through five innings (Giants scored in the 6th en route to a 4-2 win), so the Giants' first-five moneyline is a no-action tie.
Nick Kurtz to win American League Rookie of the Year (+1000)
“[42:41] And for those who don't know, Nick Kurtz is the athletics player that like Jake gave
[42:45] out to be the American league rookie of the year.
[42:47] I have bet some Kurtz as well at 10-1 to be the AL rookie of the year.
[42:51] Let's see how this goes.
[42:52] You know, like Jacob Wilson and Christian Campbell are the two co-favorites.”
Nick Kurtz was unanimously named 2025 AL Rookie of the Year, announced by the BBWAA on November 10, 2025, settling the futures bet as a win.
New York Knicks win series 4-1
“I bet like those two outcomes”
Knicks beat the Pistons 4-2 (not 4-1) in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 116-113 Game 6 win on May 1, 2025 (ESPN), so the exact 4-1 series-score bet lost.
New York Knicks win series 4-2
“I bet like those two outcomes”
Knicks beat the Pistons 4-2 in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 116-113 Game 6 win on May 1, 2025 (ESPN), matching the exact 4-2 series-score bet.
Los Angeles Lakers -5.5
“[29:00] You go down 0-2, they don't have to go to Minnesota.
[29:02] There's a good chance you might not come back to L.A.
[29:04] You might just get swept.
[29:05] So the Lakers, I think, are the play tonight, laying the 5.5.
[29:08] Yes, it's baked into the market.
[29:10] Yes, it's a little bit more than what the closing spread was Saturday night when this closed at 4 at a lot of places.”
LAL 94, MIN 85 — Lakers beat the Timberwolves 94-85 in Game 2 (ESPN); Lakers margin of +9 covers the -5.5.
Phillies-Mets first-five under 4.5
“first five under four and a half.”
NYM 5, PHI 1 — Phillies and Mets combined for 3 runs through 5 innings (Phillies 1 in the 2nd, Mets 1 in the 1st and 1 in the 2nd, per box score; final Mets 5, Phillies 1), under the first-five 4.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers first-five moneyline (-115)
“I also like the Dodgers first five money line on the North side against the Chicago Cubs. Imanaga against a, like a fly ball pitcher against this Dodgers lineup. But now that's not going to work out. I like the Dodgers minus 115.”
CHC 11, LAD 10 — Cubs led the Dodgers 7-4 through 5 innings (Dodgers scored 3 in the 1st and 1 in the 2nd; Cubs scored 5 in the 1st and 2 in the 5th, per ESPN box score), so the Dodgers first-five moneyline lost (Cubs won 11-10 in 10 innings).
Los Angeles Lakers win series 4-3 7
“I bet the Lakers in seven exact series score”
Timberwolves beat the Lakers 4-1 in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 103-96 Game 5 win on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN), not the Lakers winning 4-3, so the exact-series-score bet lost.
Oklahoma City Thunder win series 4-0 (+150)
“to this to this degree like I thought that OKC would sweep and that's what I bet I got plus 150”
Thunder swept the Grizzlies 4-0 in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 117-115 Game 4 win on Apr 26, 2025 (ESPN), matching the exact 4-0 series-score bet.
New York Knicks -6.5
“I bet Knicks 6.5”
NY 94, DET 100 — Pistons beat the Knicks 100-94 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Knicks margin of -6 fails to cover -6.5.
Los Angeles Clippers moneyline (-115)
“Yeah, Clippers money line for me. It's minus 115.”
DEN 102, LAC 105 — Clippers beat the Nuggets 105-102 in Game 2 (ESPN box score); Clippers moneyline cashes.
Washington Capitals -1.5 (+145)
“Laying the 1.5 plus 145.”
WSH 3, MTL 2 — Capitals beat the Canadiens 3-2 in overtime in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Capitals margin of +1 fails to cover -1.5.
Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (+145)
“laying the 1.5 plus 145 with the Winnipeg Jets.”
WPG 2, STL 1 — Jets beat the Blues 2-1 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Jets margin of +1 fails to cover -1.5.
Cardinals-Braves first-five over 4.5
“first five over four and a half between the Cardinals and the Braves.”
ATL 7, STL 6 — Cardinals and Braves each scored 2 runs through 5 innings (Cardinals in the 2nd, Braves in the 3rd, per box score), a combined 4 runs that fails to clear the first-five over 4.5 (final Braves 7, Cardinals 6).
Ottawa Senators to win series (+165)
“Senators plus 165 on the series price.”
Maple Leafs beat the Senators 4-2 in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs first round, clinching with a 4-2 win in Game 6 on May 1, 2025 (NHL.com); Senators +165 series-price bet loses.
Milwaukee Bucks +5.5
“Give me the Bucs plus the five and a half”
IND 117, MIL 98 — Pacers beat the Bucks 117-98 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Bucks margin of -19 fails to cover +5.5.
Milwaukee Bucks moneyline (+190)
“a little bit on the money line as well, plus 190.”
IND 117, MIL 98 — Pacers beat the Bucks 117-98 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Bucks moneyline busts.
Minnesota Timberwolves +4
“T-Wolves plus the four”
LAL 95, MIN 117 — Timberwolves beat the Lakers 117-95 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Timberwolves margin of +22 covers the +4.
Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline (+160)
“T-Wolves money line plus 160.”
LAL 95, MIN 117 — Timberwolves beat the Lakers 117-95 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Timberwolves moneyline cashes.
Houston Rockets -1.5
“I'm not doing Rockets money line. I'm just laying the one and a half.”
HOU 85, GS 95 — Warriors beat the Rockets 95-85 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Rockets margin of -10 fails to cover -1.5.
Dallas Stars moneyline (+110)
“Give me Dallas, plus 110 on the money line”
COL 5, DAL 1 — Avalanche beat the Stars 5-1 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Stars moneyline busts.
Ottawa Senators moneyline (+135)
“Give me the Sens plus 135 on the money line.”
TOR 6, OTT 2 — Maple Leafs beat the Senators 6-2 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Senators moneyline busts.
New Jersey Devils moneyline (+175)
“take New Jersey plus 175 on the money line.”
CAR 4, NJ 1 — Hurricanes beat the Devils 4-1 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Devils moneyline busts.
Jackson Dart draft position over 23.5
“[22:46] And I could be wrong.
[22:46] And maybe next Thursday night I have the egg on my face.
[22:49] But I'm willing to bet it.
[22:50] and I have bet Jackson Dart over 23 and a half.
[22:53] I believe bet him Jim at 24 and a half.
[22:55] You're locally in Vegas.
[22:56] I found a 23 and a half on darts position,
[22:58] which he could still go in the first round and that bet cashes,
[23:01] but like I'm looking for Jackson Dart,
[23:03] no first round bet.”
The New York Giants selected Jaxson Dart with the No. 25 overall pick (Round 1) of the 2025 NFL Draft (NFL.com), over the 23.5 draft-position line. (Drafted No. 25 overall (Round 1, Giants))
Darcy Kuemper to win Conn Smythe Trophy (+10000)
“[1:16:02] I started off with the goalie, Darcy Kuemper, at 101.
[1:16:05] I think Kemper's had a great season.
[1:16:06] He has a Stanley Cup championship already under his belt from his time in Colorado.
[1:16:11] He has played not at a Vezina level, but just a tier below that.
[1:16:14] He will actually probably get some down-ballot Vezina votes.
[1:16:17] But 100-1, I like Darcy Kuemper quite a bit, just stylistically how L.A. plays.
[1:16:22] A little bit more of a grit and grind, not really a flashy team.
[1:16:25] So Kemper at 100-1.”
The LA Kings lost their first-round series to the Oilers 4-2, eliminated with a 6-4 Game 6 loss on May 1, 2025 (ESPN schedule); Florida's Sam Bennett won the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy, not Darcy Kuemper.
Adrian Kempe to win Conn Smythe Trophy (+6500)
“[1:16:27] And I also like Adrian Kempe at 65-1, kind of their top skater this past season.”
The LA Kings lost their first-round series to the Oilers 4-2, eliminated with a 6-4 Game 6 loss on May 1, 2025 (ESPN schedule); Florida's Sam Bennett won the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy, not Adrian Kempe.
Milwaukee Bucks to win series (+175)
“I bet some plus 175 on the Bucks to win the series.”
Pacers beat the Bucks 4-1 in the 2025 NBA First Round, clinching with a 119-118 Game 5 win on Apr 29, 2025 (ESPN); Bucks-to-win-series futures loses.
Houston Rockets Game 1 / Golden State Warriors series (+260) · BetMGM
- Houston Rockets moneyline
- Golden State Warriors to win series
“[1:25:58] I do like the Warriors to beat the Rockets in six.
[1:26:01] The way I'm betting that series, though, is Rockets win game one.
[1:26:04] Warriors win the series about plus 260 over at BetMGM.
[1:26:08] I just think that Houston in that spot Sunday night is a really good spot for them.”
Rockets lost Game 1 to the Warriors 95-85 on Apr 20, 2025 (ESPN box score), busting the Rockets-Game-1 leg; the parlay is dead regardless of the Warriors' eventual 4-3 series win over Houston.
Guardians-Orioles first-five over 4.5 (-115)
“let's go first five over in the guardians in the orioles game over four and a half minus 115 i think the market's still kind of expecting tanner bybie to be the guy that he was a couple years ago uh not quite there yet for me at least so i'll look to fade him but i don't trust the orioles pitcher tomoyuki sugano i believe is how you pronounce his name i do not trust him to bet Baltimore so I'm just going to bet the over so let's go over four and a half in the first five between Cleveland and Baltimore”
BAL 6, CLE 2 — Orioles led Guardians 4-2 through 5 innings (final BAL 6, CLE 2, ESPN box score), 6 combined runs clears the first-five over 4.5.
Tampa Bay Rays first-five moneyline (-125)
“But I like the Tampa Bay-Rays, first five on the money line against the Yankees.
I mean, I'm just going to keep going to the well, trying to fade the Yankees.
Hopefully this is not going to make me broke.
Taj Bradley, much better pitcher.
It's priced in a little bit, but I don't think it's priced in enough.
So I'll lay the minus 125.”
TB 3, NYY 6 — Yankees and Rays were tied 3-3 through 5 innings (Yankees scored 1 in the 1st and 2 in the 5th; Rays scored 1 in the 2nd and 2 in the 3rd, per ESPN box score; final NYY 6, TB 3), so the tied first-five moneyline is no-action.
Cardinals-Mets first-five over 4 (-120)
“over four minus 120 between the Cardinals and Mets.”
NYM 4, STL 1 — Mets scored all 4 runs in the 2nd inning and Cardinals scored 1 in the 3rd, for a 5-run first five innings (ESPN box score, final NYM 4, STL 1), clearing the first-five over 4.
Boston Celtics win series 4-1 (+165)
“Exact series score, 4-1, plus 165 is in the market. I bet it right before the show started.”
Boston beat Orlando 4-1 in the first round (Wikipedia/ESPN), matching the exact 4-1 series-score bet.
Miami Marlins first five moneyline (+110)
“the Miami Marlins first five on the money line, plus one 10.”
6-2 — Arizona led Miami 2-1 through five innings on the way to a 6-2 win on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Miami's first-five moneyline loses.
Pittsburgh Pirates (+105)
“I also go with the Pittsburgh pirates, the buckos plus 105 at home against the gnats”
1-6 — Pittsburgh beat Washington 6-1 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score); the Pirates moneyline wins.
Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points
“So I'm going with Bam Adebayo over 19 and a half points.”
109-90 — Bam Adebayo scored 15 points in Miami's 109-90 win over Chicago on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score), missing the 19.5 over. (Bam Adebayo: 15 points)
Dallas Mavericks +5
“I do like the Dallas Mavericks plus the five and on the money line.”
120-106 — Dallas beat Sacramento 120-106 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score), a 14-point margin that clears the +5 spread.
Dallas Mavericks
“I do like the Dallas Mavericks plus the five and on the money line.”
120-106 — Dallas beat Sacramento 120-106 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score); the Mavericks moneyline wins.
Cole Caufield anytime goal scorer (+190)
“Cole Caulfield to score a goal, plus 190.”
2-4 — Cole Caufield recorded 0 goals and 1 assist in Montreal's 4-2 win over Carolina on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score) — Montreal's goals came from Guhle (x2), Suzuki, and Evans; the anytime-goal prop loses. (Cole Caufield: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Kansas City Royals first five moneyline (+130)
“Royals first five on the money line, plus 130.”
3-4 — Kansas City and New York were tied 3-3 through five innings (KC 1-0-0-0-2, NYY 0-0-2-1-0) before the Yankees won 4-3 on Judge's 7th-inning homer on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); the Royals first-five moneyline pushes.
Colorado Rockies first five moneyline (+210)
“let's plug our nose and back that terrible Colorado Rockies team, at least in the first five, plus 210 Colorado on the money line.”
7-8 — Los Angeles led Colorado 8-6 through five innings (7 in the 1st, 1 in the 5th, vs Colorado's 1 in the 1st, 5 in the 3rd) in the Dodgers' 8-7 win on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Colorado's first-five moneyline loses.
Boston Red Sox first five moneyline (+120)
“So I'll rock with the Bo Sox in the first five plus 120 down there at the Yankee spring training ballpark for the Tampa Bay Rays.”
1-0 — Boston shut out Tampa Bay through five innings, scoring their only run (a 3rd-inning solo HR) in a 1-0 final on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Boston's first-five moneyline cashes.
Cole Perfetti anytime goal scorer (+230)
“Cole Perfetti for the Winnipeg Jets plus 230 to score a goal tonight against Anaheim.”
1-2 — Cole Perfetti recorded 0 goals and 1 assist (on Neal Pionk's 2nd-period goal) in Winnipeg's 2-1 OT win over Anaheim on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score); the anytime-goal prop loses. (Cole Perfetti: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Los Angeles Clippers to win series
“I bet them against the Denver Nuggets in their series.”
The Denver Nuggets eliminated the Los Angeles Clippers 4-3, winning Game 7 on May 3, 2025 (Wikipedia/ESPN), so the Clippers-to-win-series futures bet loses.
Oklahoma City Thunder to sweep series
“I'm betting OKC to sweep if it's Thunder Memphis”
Oklahoma City swept Memphis 4-0 in the first round (Wikipedia/ESPN), clearing the sweep bet.
Dallas Mavericks +5
“I took five with the Dallas Mavericks.”
106-120 — Memphis beat Dallas 120-106 in the West play-in final on 4/18/25 (ESPN box score), a 14-point margin that fails Dallas's +5 spread.
Dallas Mavericks moneyline (+175)
“I also took a little bit of Moneyline as well with Dallas at plus 175.”
106-120 — Memphis beat Dallas 120-106 in the West play-in final on 4/18/25 (ESPN box score); Dallas's moneyline loses.
Hawks-Magic under 219.5
“I like the under 219.5.”
95-120 — Orlando beat Atlanta 120-95 on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score), 215 combined points, under the 219.5 total.
Stephen Curry over 4.5 rebounds
“Give me Stephen Curry over 4.5 rebounds”
116-121 — Stephen Curry grabbed 8 rebounds in Golden State's 121-116 play-in win over Memphis on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score), clearing the 4.5 over. (Stephen Curry: 8 rebounds)
Kirill Marchenko anytime goal (+200)
“Kirill Marchenko, plus 200”
3-0 — Kirill Marchenko recorded 0 goals and 1 assist (on Adam Fantilli's third-period goal) in Columbus's 3-0 win over Philadelphia on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score); the anytime-goal prop loses. (Kirill Marchenko: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Robert Thomas anytime goal (+215)
“Robert Thomas plus 215 for St. Louis.”
6-1 — Robert Thomas recorded 0 goals and 2 assists in St. Louis's 6-1 win over Utah on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score); the anytime-goal prop loses. (Robert Thomas: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Toronto Blue Jays first-five moneyline (+110)
“Blue Jays, plus 110 on the first five.”
3-6 — Toronto led Atlanta 6-1 through five innings (1 in the 3rd, 5 in the 5th) in the Blue Jays' 6-3 win on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Toronto's first-five moneyline cashes.
Cubs-Padres first-five over 4.5
“over first five between the Cubs and the Padres over four and a half”
2-1 — Chicago trailed San Diego 0-1 through five innings on 4/15/25 (Padres' Machado HR in the 5th) in a 10-inning 2-1 Cubs win (ESPN box score/line score); the first-five over 4.5 misses badly.
Toronto Blue Jays first-five moneyline (-105)
“Blue Jays' first five money line, minus 105.”
4-8 — Atlanta led Toronto 8-0 through five innings (2-0-2-0-4) on the way to an 8-4 win on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Toronto's first-five moneyline loses.
Dylan Larkin anytime goal (+210)
“Dylan Larkin plus 210.”
6-4 — Dylan Larkin recorded 0 goals and 2 assists (on Albert Johansson's and Moritz Seider's goals) in Detroit's 6-4 win over Dallas on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score); the anytime-goal prop loses. (Dylan Larkin: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal (+290)
“Marcheseau plus 290.”
3-7 — Jonathan Marchessault recorded 0 goals and 0 assists for Nashville in Utah's 7-3 win on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score); the anytime-goal prop loses. (Jonathan Marchessault: 0 goals)
Red Sox-Rays first-five over 4.5
“First five over four and a half.”
1-16 — Tampa Bay led Boston 15-1 through five innings (1-4-9-0-1) on the way to a 16-1 win on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score/line score), 16 combined runs through five, well over the 4.5 first-five total.
New York Mets moneyline
“give me the New York Mets.”
5-1 — New York Mets beat Minnesota 5-1 on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score); the Mets moneyline wins.
Caris LeVert over 13.5 points
“Over 13.5 points, taking on the Philadelphia 76ers.”
124-110 — Caris LeVert scored 31 points in the Hawks' 124-110 win over the 76ers on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), covering the 13.5 over. (Caris LeVert: 31 points)
Coby White over 24.5 points
“Coby White of the Bulls, over 24 and a half points”
119-89 — Coby White scored 16 points in the Bulls' 119-89 win over the Wizards on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), missing the 24.5 over. (Coby White: 16 points)
Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points
“performance after a lackluster performance in his last outing. Bam Adebayo, over 19 and a half”
153-104 — Bam Adebayo scored 23 points in the Heat's 153-104 rout of the Pelicans on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), covering the 19.5 over. (Bam Adebayo: 23 points)
Jaren Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points
“Jaren Jackson Jr., over 19 and a half points against Denver.”
109-117 — Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 18 points in the Nuggets' 117-109 win over the Grizzlies on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), missing the 19.5 over. (Jaren Jackson Jr.: 18 points)
Bryan Rust anytime goal (+245)
“Bryan Rust, plus 245 for the Penguins to score a goal.”
4-2 — Bryan Rust scored an empty-net goal in Pittsburgh's 4-2 win over New Jersey on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), so the anytime-goal prop cashes. (Bryan Rust: 1 goal)
Drake Batherson anytime goal (+215)
“Drake Batherson, plus 215 for the Ottawa Senators.”
5-2 — Drake Batherson scored in the second period of Ottawa's 5-2 win over Montreal on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), so the anytime-goal prop cashes. (Drake Batherson: 1 goal)
Patrick Kane anytime goal (+270)
“Patrick Kane of the Red Wings, plus 270.”
4-3 — Patrick Kane scored to tie the game in the second period of Detroit's 4-3 OT win over Tampa Bay on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), so the anytime-goal prop cashes. (Patrick Kane: 1 goal)
Andrew Nembhard over 9.5 points
“Andrew Nembhard of the Indiana Pacers over nine and a half points.”
Indiana 114, Cleveland 112 — Andrew Nembhard scored 2 points in Indiana's 114-112 win over Cleveland, under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nembhard: 2 points)
Brook Lopez over 13.5 points
“Brook Lopez over 13 and a half points.”
Milwaukee 136, New Orleans 111 — Brook Lopez scored 3 points in Milwaukee's 136-111 win over New Orleans, under the 13.5 line (ESPN box score). (Lopez: 3 points)
Connor Bedard anytime goal (+220)
“goal, plus 220 for the Chicago Blackhawks.”
Chicago 5, Boston 2 — Blackhawks beat Bruins 5-2 on goals from Nick Foligno (2), Ryan Donato, Tyler Bertuzzi and Kevin Korchinski; Connor Bedard did not score, recording only an assist (ESPN box score). (Bedard: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Mika Zibanejad anytime goal (+270)
“Rangers, plus 270 to score.”
NY Rangers 9, NY Islanders 2 — Mika Zibanejad scored the opening goal in the Rangers' 9-2 win over the Islanders (ESPN box score). (Zibanejad: 1 goal, 1 assist)
Sebastian Aho anytime goal (+180)
“Hurricanes, plus 180 to score a goal as well.”
Washington 5, Carolina 4 — Capitals beat Hurricanes 5-4 in a shootout; Sebastian Aho did not score, recording an assist on Seth Jarvis's third-period goal (ESPN box score). (Aho: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Philadelphia Phillies first-five moneyline (+110)
“Philly, first five on the money line, plus 110.”
Atlanta 4, Philadelphia 2 — First five innings of Phillies-Braves on 2025-04-10 were tied 1-1 (Atlanta won 4-2 in 11), a push on the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: 1-1 tie)
Orioles-Diamondbacks first-five under 5 (-120)
“first five under five minus 120.”
Arizona 9, Baltimore 0 — Arizona scored 7 runs through five innings (Baltimore 0) in a 9-0 win, over the 5 first-five total (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Arizona 7, Baltimore 0)
Chicago White Sox first-five moneyline (+140)
“White Sox first five on the money line against Cleveland, plus 140.”
Cleveland 3, Chicago White Sox 2 — Guardians led White Sox 3-1 through five innings in Cleveland's 3-2 win, so the White Sox first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Cleveland 3, Chicago 1)
Shaedon Sharpe over 23.5 points
“Shaedon Sharpe over 23 and a half points.”
Utah 133, Portland 126 — Shaedon Sharpe scored a career-high 37 points in Portland's 133-126 overtime loss at Utah, over the 23.5 line (ESPN box score). (Sharpe: 37 points)
Troy Terry anytime goal (+250)
“Troy Terry to score a goal plus 250.”
Anaheim 4, Calgary 3 — Ducks beat Flames 4-3 in overtime on goals from Zegras, Vatrano and Gauthier (2); Troy Terry did not score (ESPN box score). (Terry: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Bryson DeChambeau to win Masters (+1600)
“Bryson at 16 to 1 is a bet”
Bryson DeChambeau did not win the 2025 Masters, finishing T5 at -7 (281); Rory McIlroy won the playoff (ESPN leaderboard). (DeChambeau: T5, -7 (281))
Will Zalatoris to win Masters (+5500)
“smaller bet, 55 to one on Willie Z”
Will Zalatoris missed the cut at the 2025 Masters (+8, 152), so he did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Zalatoris: missed cut, +8 (152))
Joaquin Niemann top 10 (+260)
“Joaquin Neiman will have his best major finish of his career, plus 260. Top 10 for Joaquin Neiman.”
Joaquin Niemann finished T29 at even par (288) in the 2025 Masters, well outside the top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Niemann: T29, E (288))
Corey Conners top 10 (+350)
“at top 10, the price is plus 350.”
Corey Conners finished T8 at -5 (283) in the 2025 Masters, clearing the top-10 line (ESPN leaderboard). (Conners: T8, -5 (283))
Corey Conners top 20 (+140)
“Top 20, it's plus 140.”
Corey Conners finished T8 at -5 (283) in the 2025 Masters, clearing the top-20 line (ESPN leaderboard). (Conners: T8, -5 (283))
Thomas Detry top 10 (+1000)
“Thomas Detry, 10 to 1.”
Thomas Detry missed the cut at the 2025 Masters (+9, 153), so he did not finish top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Detry: missed cut, +9 (153))
Akshay Bhatia top 20 (+150)
“for the top 20s i mentioned cory connors i also like akshay batia plus 150”
Akshay Bhatia finished T42 at +4 (292) at the 2025 Masters, well outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Bhatia: T42, +4 (292))
Maverick McNealy top 20 (+280)
“give me maverick mcnealy as well at plus 280 another guy that's starting to play well. Like this is a guy that a couple of years ago, I kept betting him never really had his form, but he has found form this year, but I don't think he'll be anywhere close to the top of the leaderboard, but top 20, I think he gets in there.”
Maverick McNealy finished T32 at +1 (289) at the 2025 Masters, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (McNealy: T32, +1 (289))
Billy Horschel top 20 (+330)
“three 30 Horschels in really good form as well as D tree. I have him top 20. In addition to the”
Billy Horschel missed the cut at the 2025 Masters (149), so he did not finish top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Horschel: missed cut (149))
Lucas Glover top 20 (+360)
“Lucas Glover plus three 60 to go top 20”
Lucas Glover made the cut and finished T52 at +7 (295) at the 2025 Masters, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Glover: T52, +7 (295))
Will Zalatoris first-round leader (+5000)
“Three of them. Will Zalator is 50 to one Corey Conners, 50 to one Billy Horschel,”
Justin Rose led the 2025 Masters after round one at 7-under 65, three clear of the field; Will Zalatoris (who missed the cut at 152) did not lead (ESPN leaderboard). (Round 1 leader: Justin Rose, 65 (-7))
Corey Conners first-round leader (+5000)
“Corey Conners, 50 to one”
Justin Rose led the 2025 Masters after round one at 7-under 65; Corey Conners was tied for 2nd at 4-under, not the leader (ESPN leaderboard). (Round 1 leader: Justin Rose, 65 (-7))
Billy Horschel first-round leader (+8000)
“80 to 1, and those are my bets for the Masters.”
Justin Rose led the 2025 Masters after round one at 7-under 65; Billy Horschel (who missed the cut, 149) did not lead (ESPN leaderboard). (Round 1 leader: Justin Rose, 65 (-7))
Toronto Blue Jays first-five moneyline (+105)
“Kevin Gaussman and the Toronto Blue Jays in the first five, plus 105”
Toronto 2, Boston 1 — Blue Jays and Red Sox were tied 1-1 through five innings (Toronto won 2-1 in 11 innings), a push on the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: 1-1 tie)
Luka Doncic over 8.5 assists (+104)
“Luka Doncic over 8 and a half assists plus 104.”
LA Lakers 112, Dallas 97 — Luka Doncic recorded 6 assists in the Lakers' 112-97 win over Dallas, under the 8.5 line (ESPN box score). (Doncic: 6 assists)
Philadelphia Phillies first-five moneyline
“I'll take the Phillies' first five money line.”
Philadelphia 4, Atlanta 3 — First five innings of Phillies-Braves on 2025-04-09 ended tied 0-0 (Philadelphia won 4-3 in 9), a push on the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: 0-0 tie)
Minnesota Twins first-five moneyline
“Twins' first five money line as well”
Minnesota 4, Kansas City 0 — Twins led Royals 1-0 through five innings (final 4-0), so the Twins first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Minnesota 1, Kansas City 0)
Tyrese Haliburton over 17.5 points
“Tyrese Haliburton over 17 and a half points.”
Indiana 104, Washington 98 — Tyrese Haliburton scored 22 points in Indiana's 104-98 win over Washington, over the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Haliburton: 22 points)
Boston Celtics -2.5
“I'll also lay the two and a half with the Boston Celtics”
Boston 119, New York 117 — Celtics beat Knicks 119-117 in overtime (margin +2), missing the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma City Thunder -9
“I also bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder laying the nine.”
Oklahoma City 136, LA Lakers 120 — Thunder beat Lakers 136-120 (margin +16), covering the -9 spread (ESPN box score).
Stephen Curry over 24.5 points
“Stephen Curry over 24 and a half points tonight against Phoenix.”
Golden State 133, Phoenix 95 — Stephen Curry scored 25 points in Golden State's 133-95 win over Phoenix, over the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (Curry: 25 points)
Taylor Hall anytime goal (+240)
“Taylor Hall of the Carolina Hurricanes, plus 240.”
Buffalo 3, Carolina 0 — Sabres beat Hurricanes 3-0 on goals from Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch, and JJ Peterka; Taylor Hall did not score (ESPN box score). (Hall: 0 goals, 0 assists)
Boone Jenner anytime goal (+230)
“Boone Jenner of the Columbus Blue Jackets, plus 230”
Columbus 5, Ottawa 2 — Blue Jackets beat Senators 5-2 on goals from Voronkov, Danforth, Olivier, Monahan and Fantilli; Boone Jenner had an assist but no goal (ESPN box score). (Jenner: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Jack Eichel anytime goal (+210)
“Jack Eichel tonight for VGK, plus 210”
Colorado 3, Vegas 2 — Avalanche beat Golden Knights 3-2 in a shootout; Jack Eichel does not appear among the goal scorers (ESPN box score). (Eichel: 0 goals)
Atlanta Braves first-five moneyline (-110)
“Braves' first five on the money line, minus 110.”
Atlanta 7, Philadelphia 5 — Phillies led Atlanta 5-3 through five innings in Atlanta's eventual 7-5 win, so the Braves first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Philadelphia 5, Atlanta 3)
Texas Rangers first-five moneyline (+135)
“Texas' first five money line, plus 135.”
Chicago Cubs 10, Texas 6 — Cubs led Rangers 6-3 through five innings in Chicago's 10-6 win, so the Rangers first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Chicago 6, Texas 3)
Houston Astros first-five moneyline (-110)
“Houston Astros first five money line minus 110.”
Houston 2, Seattle 1 — Astros-Mariners was scoreless through five innings (Houston won 2-1 in 12 innings), a push on the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: 0-0 tie)
Houston Cougars moneyline
“I'm going to be betting Houston tonight at these pick-em prices. I think best price you can find out there's like minus 105, minus 103 on the money line. But I'm rolling with the Houston Cougars.”
63-65 — Florida beat Houston 65-63 in the April 7, 2025 national championship game, so Houston's moneyline busted (ESPN).
First five innings under 4.5
“I'll go with the first five under four and a half runs there.”
PIT 8, STL 4 — Through five innings Pittsburgh led St. Louis 4-1 (5 combined runs) in Pittsburgh's eventual 8-4 win, over the 4.5 first-five total (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: STL 1, PIT 4 (5 combined))
Frank Vatrano anytime goal (+280)
“Frank Vatrano of the Anaheim Ducks plus 280 against Edmonton tonight.”
Anaheim 3, Edmonton 2 — Ducks beat Oilers 3-2 on goals from Cutter Gauthier (2) and Mason McTavish; Frank Vatrano did not score (ESPN box score). (Vatrano: 0 goals)
Macklin Celebrini anytime goal (+180)
“He's plus 180 to score a goal.”
Calgary 3, San Jose 2 — Flames beat Sharks 3-2; Will Smith scored both San Jose goals, with Macklin Celebrini assisting on each but recording 0 goals himself (ESPN box score). (Celebrini: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Over 5.5
“I will actually take the over in the Rangers-Lightning game. Talk to someone I really respect who's on that play tonight, over five and a half tonight with the Rangers and the Lightning from Madison Square Garden.”
Tampa Bay 5, NY Rangers 1 — Lightning beat Rangers 5-1, combined 6 goals, over the 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline (+110)
“I'll take Reds first five, plus 110.”
Cincinnati 2, San Francisco 0 — Reds beat Giants 2-0, but both runs scored in the 8th inning — the score was 0-0 through five innings, a push on the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: 0-0 tie)
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline (-125)
“[2:31:00] We have the Phillies and the undefeated Dodgers, so 5-1 Philly hosting 8-0 LA.
[2:31:04] for a weekend set at Citizens Bank.
[2:31:06] Yamamoto pitching for the Dodgers.
[2:31:07] Jesus Lizardo for the Phillies.
[2:31:09] And then we have the Nationals and the Diamondbacks
[2:31:11] in our nation's capital.
[2:31:12] Brandon Fad and the Diamondbacks, minus 155.
[2:31:16] And Michael's son, Irvin, and the Washington Nationals.
[2:31:19] Any bets for you coming up in Major League Baseball in 20 minutes?
[2:31:23] Yeah, let's go to the big game, Dodgers and the Phillies.
[2:31:24] Maybe an NLCS preview.
[2:31:26] I like the Dodgers.
[2:31:27] The Dodgers will eventually lose, but it's not happening tonight.
[2:31:30] I think Yamamoto is good enough to go out there
[2:31:32] and shut down a Phillies lineup that's not super
[2:31:34] overwhelming and also the Dodgers they're inevitable so I like the Dodgers to win the
[2:31:37] night minus 125 on the money line I will be a coward and I'll play Philly's first five tonight”
PHI 3, LAD 2 — The Phillies beat the Dodgers 3-2 on 4/4/25 at Citizens Bank Park; Dodgers moneyline loses (ESPN).
Philadelphia Phillies first-five moneyline (+105)
“[2:31:37] night minus 125 on the money line I will be a coward and I'll play Philly's first five tonight
[2:31:44] I just want to bet on Lozardo 11 strikeouts in his first start Philly's first five plus 105 and
[2:31:49] then I'm betting the Phillies tomorrow I'm betting against Roki Sasaki and then I'll bet against
[2:31:53] Tyler Glass now with Christopher Sanchez on Sunday Phillies to win the series plus 125
[2:31:57] against the LA Dodgers all right without further ado we welcome to the show now and we appreciate”
PHI 3, LAD 2 — The Phillies beat the Dodgers 3-2 on 4/4/25; Philadelphia held a first-five-inning lead in that game, so the first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Phillies moneyline
“[2:31:37] night minus 125 on the money line I will be a coward and I'll play Philly's first five tonight
[2:31:44] I just want to bet on Lozardo 11 strikeouts in his first start Philly's first five plus 105 and
[2:31:49] then I'm betting the Phillies tomorrow I'm betting against Roki Sasaki and then I'll bet against
[2:31:53] Tyler Glass now with Christopher Sanchez on Sunday Phillies to win the series plus 125
[2:31:57] against the LA Dodgers all right without further ado we welcome to the show now and we appreciate”
LAD 3, PHI 1 — The Dodgers beat the Phillies 3-1 on 4/5/25 (Kike Hernandez and Michael Conforto homered) behind Roki Sasaki; Phillies moneyline for that game loses (ESPN).
Philadelphia Phillies to win series (+125)
“[2:31:37] night minus 125 on the money line I will be a coward and I'll play Philly's first five tonight
[2:31:44] I just want to bet on Lozardo 11 strikeouts in his first start Philly's first five plus 105 and
[2:31:49] then I'm betting the Phillies tomorrow I'm betting against Roki Sasaki and then I'll bet against
[2:31:53] Tyler Glass now with Christopher Sanchez on Sunday Phillies to win the series plus 125
[2:31:57] against the LA Dodgers all right without further ado we welcome to the show now and we appreciate”
Series: PHI 2, LAD 1 — Philadelphia won the 3-game series 2-1 over the Dodgers: lost 2-3 on 4/4, won 3-1 on 4/5, then won 8-7 on 4/6 (Castellanos grand slam); Phillies-to-win-series futures at +125 wins (ESPN box scores).
Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points
“Jayson Tatum over 26 and a half points”
BOS 123, PHX 103 — Jayson Tatum scored 23 points as the Celtics beat the Suns 123-103 on 4/4/25; over 26.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 23 points)
Luka Doncic over 27.5 points
“over 27 and a half points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
LAL 124, NO 108 — Luka Doncic scored 35 points as the Lakers beat the Pelicans 124-108 on 4/4/25; over 27.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 35 points)
Denver Nuggets moneyline
“I like the Nuggets against the Golden State Warriors.”
GS 118, DEN 104 — The Warriors beat the Nuggets 118-104 on 4/4/25; Nuggets moneyline loses (ESPN).
Baltimore Orioles first-five moneyline (+110)
“five plus 110 on the road”
KC 8, BAL 2 — The Royals beat the Orioles 8-2 on 4/4/25; Baltimore trailed through the first five innings, so the Orioles first-five moneyline loses (ESPN).
Texas Longhorns +5.5
“plus the five and a half.”
SC 74, TEX 57 — South Carolina beat Texas 74-57 in the 2025 women's Final Four on 4/4/25, a 17-point margin; Texas +5.5 busts (ESPN).
Duke Blue Devils -5
“laying the five, but the bigger bet is on”
HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25, a 3-point Duke loss; Duke -5 busts (ESPN).
Alex Ovechkin 3+ goals (+4000)
“40-1, Ovechkin to break the record tomorrow night against the Blackhawks.”
WSH 5, CHI 3 — Ovechkin scored twice (goals #893 and #894) to tie Wayne Gretzky's all-time NHL record as the Capitals beat the Blackhawks 5-3 on 4/4/25; 3+ goals busts (ESPN). (Alex Ovechkin: 2 goals)
Wendell Carter Jr. over 10.5 points
“Over 10.5 points, they're taking on the Washington Wizards.”
ORL 109, WSH 97 — Wendell Carter Jr. scored 10 points as the Magic beat the Wizards 109-97 on 4/3/25; over 10.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Wendell Carter Jr.: 10 points)
Dmitri Voronkov anytime goal (+330)
“Dmitri Voronkov of the Columbus Blue Jackets plus 3.30 to light the lamp.”
COL 7, CBJ 3 — Dmitri Voronkov did not score (1 assist) in Columbus's 7-3 loss to Colorado on 4/3/25; Avalanche goals by MacKinnon, Nelson, Coyle, Kelly, Makar, Toews, Wood, Blue Jackets goals by Monahan, Aston-Reese, Jenner (ESPN box score). (Dmitri Voronkov: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 30.5 points
“Giannis Antetokounmpo over 30.5 points.”
MIL 126, PHI 113 — Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded a historic 35-point, 17-rebound, 20-assist triple-double as the Bucks beat the 76ers 126-113 on 4/3/25; over 30.5 points covers (ESPN). (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 35 points)
Golden State Warriors moneyline (+105)
“I like the Warriors' money line. Plus 105.”
GS 123, LAL 116 — The Warriors beat the Lakers 123-116 on 4/3/25 behind Steph Curry's 37 points; Warriors moneyline covers (ESPN).
Blake Coleman anytime goal (+285)
“Blake Coleman of the Calgary Flames, plus 285.”
CGY 4, ANA 1 — Blake Coleman scored twice for the Flames in Calgary's 4-1 win over Anaheim on 4/3/25; anytime-goal prop wins (ESPN). (Blake Coleman: 2 goals)
Macklin Celebrini anytime goal (+200)
“Macklin Celebrini of the San Jose Sharks, plus 200”
EDM 3, SJ 2 — Macklin Celebrini did not score (1 assist) in Edmonton's 3-2 win over San Jose on 4/3/25; Oilers goals by Brown, Arvidsson, Skinner, Sharks goals by Thompson, Toffoli (ESPN box score). (Macklin Celebrini: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Cincinnati Reds first-five moneyline
“I'll go with the Reds' first five on the money line.”
First-5: MIL 1, CIN 0 (Final MIL 1, CIN 0) — Milwaukee led Cincinnati 1-0 through 5 innings (run in the 4th) en route to a 1-0 shutout on 4/3/25; Reds first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Austin Wells home run
“Austin Wells to hit a home run tonight.”
NYY 9, ARI 7 — Austin Wells did not homer in the Yankees' 9-7 win over Arizona on 4/3/25; the game's home runs were by Judge, Grisham, Chisholm Jr. (NYY) and Perdomo (grand slam, ARI) (ESPN). (Austin Wells: 0 HR)
Jeremy Pena home run
“I'm going with Jeremy Pena.”
SF 6, HOU 3 — Jeremy Pena went 0-for-3 with a stolen base (no HR) as the Giants beat the Astros 6-3 on 4/2/25 (ESPN box score). (Jeremy Pena: 0 HR (0-for-3, 1 SB))
Mets-Marlins first-five over 4.5 (-110)
“over four and a half minus 110.”
First-5: NYM 1, MIA 2 — Through 5 innings the Mets led the Marlins 1-0, then Miami scored 2 in the 3rd, for a first-five combined total of 3 runs; the over 4.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Kris Dunn over 6.5 points
“Over six and a half points tonight for the Los Angeles Clippers.”
LAC 114, NO 98 — Kris Dunn scored 11 points as the Clippers beat the Pelicans 114-98 on 4/2/25; over 6.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Kris Dunn: 11 points)
Dyson Daniels to win Most Improved Player
“I bet it.”
Dyson Daniels (Atlanta Hawks) won the 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player Award (Wikipedia/NBA.com).
Houston-Duke under 136.5
“under in the night game between Houston and Duke, under 136 and a half.”
HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25 for a combined 137 points; under 136.5 busts (ESPN).
Zach LaVine over 20.5 points
“Over 20.5 points, they're taking on the Washington Wizards.”
WSH 116, SAC 111 — Zach LaVine scored 18 points as the Wizards beat the Kings 116-111 on 4/2/25; over 20.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Zach LaVine: 18 points)
Jalen Green over 22.5 points
“Jalen Green of the Houston Rockets over 22 and a half points”
HOU 143, UTAH 105 — Jalen Green scored 22 points as the Rockets beat the Jazz 143-105 on 4/2/25; over 22.5 busts (ESPN recap). (Jalen Green: 22 points)
Martin Necas anytime goal (+170)
“Marty Natchez for the Colorado Avalanche, plus 170 to score a goal”
COL 3, CHI 2 (SO) — Martin Necas scored the tying goal with 11 seconds left in regulation as the Avalanche beat the Blackhawks 3-2 in a shootout on 4/2/25; anytime-goal prop wins (ESPN box score). (Martin Necas: 1 goal)
Tommy Edman home run (+650)
“Plus 650, Tommy Edmund of the Dodgers.”
LAD 6, ATL 5 — Tommy Edman hit a 2-run home run (415 ft) for the Dodgers in their 6-5 comeback win over the Braves on 4/2/25 (ESPN box score). (Tommy Edman: 1 HR (2-for-3, 2 RBI))
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics
“thunder celtics”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, not Boston Celtics; Boston did not reach the Finals, so this exact-matchup future loses (Wikipedia, 2025 NBA Finals).
Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics
“nuggets celtics”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, not Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics; neither team reached the Finals, so this exact-matchup future loses (Wikipedia, 2025 NBA Finals).
Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics
“warriors celtics like that's how i'm betting these nba exact finals matchup markets”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, not Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics; neither team reached the Finals, so this exact-matchup future loses (Wikipedia, 2025 NBA Finals).
Over 4 runs — first five innings (-105)
“first five over four between the Mets and the Marlins, minus 105.”
Marlins 4, Mets 2 — Marlins beat the Mets 4-2 on April 1, 2025, with Miami's 4 runs and New York's runs both coming within the first five innings for a combined 6 runs through 5, over the first-five-innings 4-run total (ESPN box score).
Karl-Anthony Towns over 25.5 points
“First, I'll go with Karl-Anthony Towns, over 25.5 points as the New York Knicks are taking on the Philadelphia 76ers.”
New York 105, Philadelphia 91 — Karl-Anthony Towns did not play in the Knicks' 105-91 win over the 76ers on April 1, 2025, listed DNP-Left Knee Soreness, so the points prop has no action (ESPN box score).
Brook Lopez over 14.5 points (+108)
“But I think Cat goes over the 25 and a half points for the Knicks And then finally in that Bucs game I like Brook Lopez over 14 points plus 108 against the Phoenix Suns Phoenix is another team that really bad defensively and I think with it just being Giannis and Kuzma out there, Bobby Portis is still waiting to come back from his suspension. Damian Lillard is dealing with the blood clot in his calf, so he's out indefinitely. Brook Lopez is needed to score for Milwaukee to win these games, and he gets a bad defense at home. I like the setup for Lopez. So a couple of bigs, Karl-Anthony Towns over 25 and a half points, Brook Lopez over 14 and a half points.”
Milwaukee 133, Phoenix 123 — Brook Lopez scored 22 points in the Bucks' 133-123 win over the Suns on April 1, 2025, over his 14.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Brook Lopez: 22 points)
Carter Verhaeghe anytime goal (+230)
“I have a couple of goal scorer bets tonight on the ice. We'll start off with a guy that I've been trying to win on the last couple of weeks. Carter Verhage of the Florida Panthers. Plus 230 against Montreal.”
Montreal 3, Florida 2 (OT) — Montreal beat Florida 3-2 in OT on April 1, 2025; Florida's goals were scored by Niko Mikkola and Mackie Samoskevich, and Carter Verhaeghe did not score (ESPN box score).
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins anytime goal (+285)
“Then I'll also play on Ryan Nugent Hopkins of the Edmonton Oilers. Obviously, Leon Dreisaitl is going to get a lot of attention there. Nugent Hopkins, he's getting more opportunities now with McDavid out. Plus 285, big price, high scoring game.”
Edmonton 3, Vegas 2 — Oilers beat the Golden Knights 3-2 on April 1, 2025; Edmonton's goals were scored by Jake Walman, Viktor Arvidsson, and Leon Draisaitl, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins did not score (ESPN box score).
Over 8.5 runs
“Diamondbacks, Yankees. I'll go over 8.5.”
Arizona 7, NY Yankees 5 — Arizona beat the Yankees 7-5 on April 1, 2025 for a combined 12 runs, over the 8.5-run total (ESPN box score).
Over 4.5 runs — first five innings
“Let's go first five over four and a half Royals Brewers at Miller Park.”
Milwaukee 5, Kansas City 0 — Milwaukee beat Kansas City 5-0 on April 1, 2025; Milwaukee scored its only runs through five innings (2, via Eric Haase's 3rd-inning solo homer and a scoring groundout) with Kansas City scoreless, for a first-five total of 2, under the 4.5 line (ESPN game recap).
Nathaniel Lowe to hit a home run (+650)
“And then just for the vibes, how about Nathaniel Lowe for the Nationals, plus 650 to hit a home run because we will continue to fade Jose Barrios.”
Toronto 5, Washington 3 — Toronto beat Washington 5-3 on April 1, 2025 on all singles (no home runs by either team); Nathaniel Lowe went 0-for-3 with a walk and did not homer (Fox Sports box score; ESPN game recap).
DaQuan Jeffries over 9.5 points
“Daquan Jeffries of the Charlotte Hornets over 9.5 points.”
CHA 110, UTA 106 — DaQuan Jeffries scored 10 points for Charlotte in the Hornets' 110-106 win over the Jazz on 3/31/25, clearing the 9.5-point line (ESPN box score, gameId 401705655). (DaQuan Jeffries 10 points)
Bam Adebayo over 21.5 points
“Bam Adebayo over 21.5 points”
MIA 120, WSH 94 — Bam Adebayo scored 28 points for Miami in the Heat's 120-94 win over the Wizards on 3/31/25, clearing the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score, gameId 401705658). (Bam Adebayo 28 points)
Matvei Michkov anytime goal
“And we're going to go with a Madve Mitch Koff of the Philadelphia Flyers.”
PHI 2, NSH 1 — Matvei Michkov recorded 2 assists but no goal as the Flyers beat the Predators 2-1 on 3/31/25; anytime-goal prop loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401688778). (Matvei Michkov: 0 goals, 2 assists)
St. Louis Cardinals first-five moneyline
“Cardinals first five on the money line.”
LAA 5, STL 4 — Cardinals led the Angels 2-1 through five innings (STL 0-1-1-0-0, LAA 0-0-1-0-0) despite the Angels' eventual 5-4 win in 10 innings; first-five moneyline on Cardinals wins (ESPN box score, gameId 401694966).
Giants-Astros first-five over 4 (-120)
“first five over four minus 120”
SF 7, HOU 2 — Giants and Astros combined for only 2 runs through five innings (SF 2, HOU 0) in the Giants' 7-2 win on 3/31/25; first-five over 4 loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401694969).
Victor Scott II home run (+850)
“Victor Scott II, plus 850.”
Victor Scott II had 2 hits and 1 RBI but no home run in the Angels' 5-4, 10-inning win over the Cardinals on 3/31/25; home-run prop loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401694966). (0 HR (2 hits, 1 RBI))
UConn Huskies -14.5
“I'll lay the 14 and a half.”
UCONN 78, USC 64 — Same game: UConn beat USC 78-64 (a 14-point margin) in the NCAA women's Elite Eight on 3/31/25, short of the -14.5 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401746068).
Auburn Tigers to win national championship
“[1:07:58] player props up right now at bet MGM and other domestic sports books seems to me like he's going
[1:08:03] to play in the game um so first glance Florida laying two and a half against Auburn 160 and a
[1:08:10] half the total what do you like uh first glance with this market is that I think that we're going
[1:08:15] to get people to bet Florida and that's when I'm going to come in and bet Auburn I believe Auburn's
[1:08:19] going to win the game. You know me and how I felt about this Auburn Tigers team. I think they're the
[1:08:22] best team in the country. I think Auburn's going to win the national title, even though there is
[1:08:26] insanely volatile just from a temperament standpoint. But I do believe that Florida,
[1:08:30] because they've been seen as like the high ceiling team that a lot of people think can beat Duke.
[1:08:35] And yeah, when Florida's at their best, it looks tremendous. Like they're awesome. But I don't
[1:08:39] think that their best will beat Auburn's best in this game. So I'm going to wait. That's my strategy
[1:08:44] with this contest or this with this game. At least I'm going to wait. Hopefully we get a three.
[1:08:48] I don't think we'd go beyond that because at that point, a lot of people I think are going to want to bet Auburn at plus or at least people that can influence the market.
[1:08:56] So let's wait. Let's get the three. Let's bet Auburn. If we don't get the three, I'm just going to bet the money line.
[1:09:00] And in fact, I'm going to bet the money line regardless in this game. I have Auburn to win the title.
[1:09:04] I already have a money line bet, but I'm going to add more because I like this setup against the Florida Gators.
[1:09:09] Broom's injury like he's going to play in the game. But what percentage is he? Is he going to be 80 percent?”
FLA 79, AUB 73 — Auburn lost to Florida 79-73 in the Final Four on 4/5/25; Florida went on to win the 2025 national title, so the Auburn-to-win-it-all future loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401746081).
Auburn Tigers moneyline
“[1:07:58] player props up right now at bet MGM and other domestic sports books seems to me like he's going
[1:08:03] to play in the game um so first glance Florida laying two and a half against Auburn 160 and a
[1:08:10] half the total what do you like uh first glance with this market is that I think that we're going
[1:08:15] to get people to bet Florida and that's when I'm going to come in and bet Auburn I believe Auburn's
[1:08:19] going to win the game. You know me and how I felt about this Auburn Tigers team. I think they're the
[1:08:22] best team in the country. I think Auburn's going to win the national title, even though there is
[1:08:26] insanely volatile just from a temperament standpoint. But I do believe that Florida,
[1:08:30] because they've been seen as like the high ceiling team that a lot of people think can beat Duke.
[1:08:35] And yeah, when Florida's at their best, it looks tremendous. Like they're awesome. But I don't
[1:08:39] think that their best will beat Auburn's best in this game. So I'm going to wait. That's my strategy
[1:08:44] with this contest or this with this game. At least I'm going to wait. Hopefully we get a three.
[1:08:48] I don't think we'd go beyond that because at that point, a lot of people I think are going to want to bet Auburn at plus or at least people that can influence the market.
[1:08:56] So let's wait. Let's get the three. Let's bet Auburn. If we don't get the three, I'm just going to bet the money line.
[1:09:00] And in fact, I'm going to bet the money line regardless in this game. I have Auburn to win the title.
[1:09:04] I already have a money line bet, but I'm going to add more because I like this setup against the Florida Gators.
[1:09:09] Broom's injury like he's going to play in the game. But what percentage is he? Is he going to be 80 percent?”
FLA 79, AUB 73 — Auburn lost 79-73 to Florida in the Final Four on 4/5/25; moneyline busts (ESPN box score, gameId 401746081).
Duke-Alabama over 173.5
“over 173 and a half”
DUKE 85, ALA 65 — Duke beat Alabama 85-65 (combined 150 points) in the Elite 8 on 3/29/25, under the 173.5 total (ESPN box score).
Florida-Texas Tech under 157
“under 157”
FLA 84, TTU 79 — Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 (combined 163 points) in the Elite 8 on 3/29/25, over the 157 total (ESPN box score).
Ole Miss Rebels moneyline
“I'll bet Ole Miss on the money line.”
MSU 73, MISS 70 — Michigan State beat Ole Miss 73-70 in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25, so Ole Miss's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Kentucky-Tennessee under 145
“under 145.”
TENN 78, UK 65 — Tennessee beat Kentucky 78-65 (combined 143 points) in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25, under the 145 total (ESPN box score).
Anthony Edwards over 28.5 points
“Anthony Edwards in the NBA over 28 and a half points”
MIN 124, PHX 109 — Anthony Edwards scored 20 points as the Timberwolves beat the Suns 124-109 on 3/28/25, under the 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 20 points)
Carter Verhaeghe anytime goal (+210)
“Carter Verhage plus 210.”
FLA 2, UTAH 1 (OT) — Sam Bennett scored both Florida goals (a power-play goal and the OT winner) in the Panthers' 2-1 win over Utah on 3/28/25; Carter Verhaeghe did not score (ESPN box score). (Carter Verhaeghe: 0 goals)
San Diego Padres first-five moneyline
“I like the Padres' first five on the money line.”
SD 4, ATL 3 — The Padres and Braves were tied 3-3 through 5 complete innings before San Diego won 4-3 on 3/28/25, so the Padres' first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: SD 3, ATL 3)
Jackson Merrill home run
“let's go Jackson Merrill.”
SD 4, ATL 3 — Jackson Merrill went 3-for-4 with no home run as the Padres beat the Braves 4-3 on 3/28/25 (ESPN box score). (3-for-4, 0 HR)
Corbin Carroll home run (+400)
“Corbin Carroll to hit a home run plus 400.”
ARI 8, CHC 1 — Corbin Carroll went 0-for-4 with no home run as the Diamondbacks beat the Cubs 8-1 on 3/28/25 (ESPN box score). (0-for-4, 0 HR)
Ole Miss Rebels +4
“I bet Ole Miss plus the four.”
MSU 73, MISS 70 — Ole Miss lost to Michigan State 73-70, a 3-point margin, within the +4 line, so Ole Miss's spread covered (ESPN box score).
Auburn Tigers -8.5
“I will lay the 8.5 with the Auburn Tigers.”
AUB 78, MICH 65 — Auburn beat Michigan 78-65, a 13-point margin, in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25 -- more than the -8.5 line -- so Auburn's spread covered (ESPN box score).
Ryan Mountcastle home run (+750)
“Ryan Mountcastle to hit a home run, plus 750.”
BAL 12, TOR 2 — Ryan Mountcastle went 1-for-5 with a double (no home run) as the Orioles beat the Blue Jays 12-2 on 3/27/25 (ESPN box score). (1-for-5, 0 HR)
Minnesota Twins first-five moneyline (-105)
“Twins first five money line minus 105.”
STL 5, MIN 3 — Through 5 complete innings the Cardinals led the Twins 4-2 (Minnesota's 2 runs came in the bottom of the 5th) en route to a 5-3 final on 3/27/25, so Minnesota's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: STL 4, MIN 2)
Tyler Fitzgerald home run
“For home runs, let's go with Tyler Fitzgerald of the San Francisco Giants.”
SF 6, CIN 4 — Tyler Fitzgerald went 0-for-3 with no home run as the Giants beat the Reds 6-4 on 3/27/25 (ESPN box score). (0-for-3, 0 HR)
Luis Robert Jr. home run (+650)
“I like Luis Robert Jr. as they're taking on the Angels, plus 650.”
CWS 8, LAA 1 — Luis Robert Jr. went 1-for-4 with no home run as the White Sox beat the Angels 8-1 on 3/27/25 (ESPN box score). (1-for-4, 0 HR)
Adley Rutschman AL MVP (+5000)
“50 to one is the price out there. I bet him Jim on”
Aaron Judge (Yankees) won the 2025 AL MVP award unanimously; Adley Rutschman did not win (Wikipedia, MLB Most Valuable Player Award).
Jacob Wilson AL Rookie of the Year (+850)
“potentially get into contention like last year but right now i'll go jacob wilson at plus 850.”
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) won the 2025 AL Rookie of the Year award unanimously; Jacob Wilson did not win (Wikipedia, MLB Rookie of the Year Award).
Pascal Siakam over 20.5 points
“Siakam over 20.5 points against the Washington Wizards.”
IND 162, WSH 109 — Pascal Siakam scored 13 points as the Pacers routed the Wizards 162-109 on 3/27/25, below the 20.5 line (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 13 points)
Philadelphia Flyers moneyline (+114)
“Philadelphia Flyers plus 114 on the money line.”
PHI 6, MTL 4 — The Flyers beat the Canadiens 6-4 on 3/27/25 in Philadelphia's first game after firing John Tortorella, so the Flyers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Arizona Diamondbacks first-five moneyline
“Yeah, I'm going to back Zach Gallin.”
CHC 10, ARI 6 — The Cubs led the Diamondbacks 7-3 through 5 innings en route to a 10-6 final on 3/27/25, so Arizona's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: CHC 7, ARI 3)
Randy Arozarena home run (+550)
“He's hitting a homer plus 550.”
SEA 4, ATH 2 — Randy Arozarena hit a solo home run (424 ft) in the 8th inning as the Mariners beat the Athletics 4-2 on 3/27/25 (ESPN box score). (1 HR)
BYU-Alabama under 175.5
“I'll have a small bet under 175 and a half”
ALA 113, BYU 88 — Alabama beat BYU 113-88 (combined 201 points) in the Sweet 16 on 3/27/25, well over the 175.5 total (ESPN box score).
Maryland Terrapins moneyline
“I also have some Maryland on the money line.”
FLA 87, MD 71 — Florida beat Maryland 87-71 in the Sweet 16 on 3/27/25, so Maryland's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Justin Edwards over 17.5 points
“over 17.5 points, Justin Edwards tonight for the Philadelphia 76ers.”
119-114 — Justin Edwards scored 19 points for Philadelphia in a 119-114 loss to Washington, clearing the over 17.5 (ESPN box score). (Justin Edwards: 19 points)
Jesper Bratt anytime goal (+205)
“we'll go to Jesper Bratt of the New Jersey Devils plus 205 as they take on the Chicago Blackhawks.”
5-3 — New Jersey beat Chicago 5-3 on goals from Bastian, Mercer (2) and Palat; Jesper Bratt had two assists but did not score, so the anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score).
Baltimore Orioles to win AL East
“I'm on the Baltimore Orioles.”
The Toronto Blue Jays won the 2025 AL East at 94-68; the Baltimore Orioles did not win the division (Wikipedia: 2025 MLB season).
Atlanta Braves over Texas Rangers exact World Series result
“Give me Braves over the Texas Rangers.”
The 2025 World Series was contested between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Toronto Blue Jays (Dodgers won in 7 games); neither the Atlanta Braves nor Texas Rangers reached the World Series (Wikipedia: 2025 MLB season).
Maryland Terrapins +7
“two bets on this game I bet some plus seven six smaller bet on Maryland at that range but the”
87-71 — Florida beat Maryland 87-71, a 16-point margin that busts Maryland's +7 spread (ESPN box score).
Maryland-Florida under 158
“main bet that I like in this game would be under 158”
87-71 — Florida beat Maryland 87-71, a combined 158 points that exactly pushes the under 158 (ESPN box score).
Purdue-Houston under 133
“This was 133.”
62-60 — Houston beat Purdue 62-60, a combined 122 points that clears the under 133 (ESPN box score).
Andrew Nembhard over 9.5 points
“Andrew Nembhard over nine and a half points.”
120-119 — Andrew Nembhard scored 16 points as Indiana lost 120-119 to the Lakers, clearing the over 9.5 (ESPN box score). (Andrew Nembhard: 16 points)
Jaylen Brown over 22.5 points
“But I'll play Jaylen Brown over 22 and a half points.”
132-102 — Jaylen Brown scored 24 points as Boston beat Phoenix 132-102, clearing the over 22.5 (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Brown: 24 points)
Frank Vatrano anytime goal (+235)
“We'll go with Frank Vatrano of the Anaheim Ducks, plus 235 as we're taking on the Boston Bruins.”
6-2 — Anaheim beat Boston 6-2 on goals from Carlsson (2), LaCombe, Nesterenko, Gauthier and McTavish; Frank Vatrano did not score, so the anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score and recap).
Dallas Stars moneyline (-135)
“Dallas Moneyline minus 135 against Edmonton.”
4-3 — Dallas beat Edmonton 4-3 on Jason Robertson's second-period hat trick, so the Stars moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Jimmy Butler over 20.5 points
“in the NBA I like Jimmy Butler over 20 and a half points”
112-86 — Jimmy Butler scored 11 points (5-12 FG) for Golden State in Miami's 112-86 win, missing the over 20.5 (ESPN box score). (Jimmy Butler: 11 points)
Jaren Jackson Jr. over 23.5 points
“I'll go with Jaren Jackson Jr. over 23 and a half points.”
140-103 — Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 19 points as Memphis routed Utah 140-103, missing the over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (Jaren Jackson Jr.: 19 points)
Matthew Knies anytime goal scorer (+230)
“I'll go with Matthew Nyes of the Toronto Maple Leafs, plus 230.”
7-2 — Toronto beat Philadelphia 7-2 on goals from Tavares (2), Nylander (2), McMann, Kampf and Domi; Matthew Knies had two assists but did not score, so the anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score).
Anthony Cirelli anytime goal scorer (+270)
“I also go with Anthony Cirelli of the Tampa Bay Lightning, plus 270 against the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
6-1 — Anthony Cirelli scored twice (1st period, 12:13 and 15:12) as Tampa Bay beat Pittsburgh 6-1, so the anytime-goal prop won (ESPN box score). (Anthony Cirelli: 2 goals)
Nick Suzuki anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I also like Nick Suzuki, plus 220 against the St. Louis Blues”
6-1 — Nick Suzuki scored Montreal's only goal (1st period, 18:54, assisted by Hutson and Caufield) in a 6-1 loss to St. Louis, so the anytime-goal prop won (ESPN box score). (Nick Suzuki: 1 goal)
Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer (+220)
“And then finally, Arturi Lekkonen, plus 220 of the Colorado Avalanche against the Detroit Red Wings.”
5-2 — Colorado beat Detroit 5-2 with goals from Makar, Nichushkin, Toews, MacKinnon and O'Connor; Artturi Lehkonen did not score, so the anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score).
Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline
“And I think, honestly, I'm not even messing around with the 5.5, Tyler.”
TTU 85, ARK 83 — Texas Tech beat Arkansas 85-83 in overtime in the Sweet 16; the Arkansas moneyline lost (ESPN).
Brooklyn Nets +3.5
“Nets plus three and a half.”
DAL 120, BKN 101 — Dallas beat Brooklyn 120-101; the Nets' -19 margin misses +3.5 (ESPN).
Kyle Kuzma over 15.5 points
“I'll also play Kyle Kuzma over 15 and a half points against the Phoenix Suns.”
PHX 108, MIL 106 — Phoenix beat Milwaukee 108-106; Kyle Kuzma scored 15 points, under 15.5 (ESPN). (Kyle Kuzma: 15 points)
Clayton Keller anytime goal (+180)
“Clayton Keller of the Utah Hockey Club, plus 180 as they're taking on the Detroit Red Wings.”
DET 5, UTA 1 — Detroit beat Utah 5-1; Utah's only goal was scored by Dylan Guenther (Clayton Keller had the assist, not the goal), so the anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score). (Clayton Keller: 0 goals, 1 assist)
USC Trojans -19
“Let me lay the 19 with USC.”
USC 96, MSU 59 — USC beat Mississippi State 96-59 in the women's NCAA tournament second round, a 37-point margin that covers -19 (ESPN).
Duke Blue Devils to make Final Four (-195)
“[14:59] Anything that's better than minus 200, which there are places that have it out there.
[15:03] This morning, I was looking.
[15:04] There was minus 180.
[15:05] I added more because I texted our YBYB group chat yesterday and said,
[15:09] Hey, why is Duke like minus 195 to make the Final Four when they're clearly the best team?
[15:14] I bet it yesterday.
[15:15] I bet some more when I woke up this morning.
[15:16] I am absolutely loaded up on the Duke Blue Devils.
[15:20] Anything under minus 200 is a bet on them to make it to San Antonio,”
Duke, the East Region 1-seed, reached the 2025 Final Four (all four 1-seeds made it, matched only by 2008), which is the qualifying outcome for the 'make Final Four' futures bet (Wikipedia).
Connecticut Huskies -4.5
“I like UConn, but it's at a number that's no longer available. I bet four-and-a-half.”
UConn 67, Oklahoma 59 — UConn beat Oklahoma 67-59 in the NCAA Tournament first round; UConn covered the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Bryant Bulldogs +17
“I'm not going to bet Moneyline, but I will bet Bryant plus the 17.”
MSU 87, BRY 62 — Michigan State beat Bryant 87-62; Bryant's +17 spread lost by a 25-point margin (ESPN box score).
McNeese Cowboys +6
“I'm going to like McNeese plus the six and also on the money line.”
PUR 76, MCN 62 — Purdue beat McNeese 76-62 in the NCAA Tournament second round; McNeese's +6 spread lost by a 14-point margin (ESPN box score).
McNeese Cowboys
“I'm going to like McNeese plus the six and also on the money line. Those are bets I have already in pocket.”
PUR 76, MCN 62 — Purdue beat McNeese 76-62; McNeese's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Arkansas Razorbacks (+265)
“I'll take them on the money line. Plus 265, best number in the market against St. John's.”
ARK 75, SJU 66 — Arkansas upset St. John's 75-66 in the NCAA Tournament second round; Arkansas's moneyline bet won (ESPN box score).
Memphis Tigers (+125)
“I'm going to just hold on to my Memphis money line bet, plus 125 there with Memphis.”
CSU 78, MEM 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Memphis's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Vanderbilt Commodores to score 15 points first (+130)
“I'm gonna take a shot with the underdog on the race to 15. I'm gonna bet the Vanderbilt Commodores race to 15 plus 130.”
Saint Mary's 59, Vanderbilt 56 — ESPN play-by-play shows Vanderbilt reached 15 points at the 10:04 mark of the first half (11-16), before Saint Mary's reached 15 at 5:50 (16-20) — Vanderbilt was first to 15, so the bet won.
North Carolina Tar Heels -1.5
“I laid one and a half. I'd still lay two.”
MISS 71, UNC 64 — Ole Miss beat North Carolina 71-64 in the NCAA Tournament first round; North Carolina lost outright, busting the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Maryland Terrapins -5.5 first half
“I laid five and a half. All right. I'm going to put that in.”
MD 42, GCU 28 (1st half) — Maryland led Grand Canyon 42-28 at halftime (ESPN box score linescore); a 14-point first-half margin covers Maryland -5.5 1H.
North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5 second half
“And I laid UNC second half minus four and a half.”
MISS 71, UNC 64 — Ole Miss led North Carolina 44-26 at halftime but UNC won the second half 38-27 (final Ole Miss 71, UNC 64, ESPN box score linescore); the 11-point second-half margin covers UNC -4.5 2H.
North Carolina Tar Heels +11.5 live
“I will, though, bet North Carolina plus 11.5, putting it in right now, and we are rocking with the Tar Heels.”
MISS 71, UNC 64 — Ole Miss beat North Carolina 71-64 in the NCAA Tournament first round, a 7-point final margin that covers North Carolina's live +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
VCU Rams race to 15 points (+100)
“Yes, I am on VCU first to 15, even money.”
BYU 80, VCU 71 — ESPN play-by-play shows VCU reached 15 points at the 13:17 mark of the first half (14-15), before BYU reached 15 at 12:00 (15-17) — VCU was first to 15, so the bet won.
Wofford team total over 56.5
“I actually bet the over in the team total on Wofford. I got that number, I think, at 55.5 or 56.5. I think it’s 56.5.”
Tennessee 77, Wofford 62 — Wofford scored 62 total points in its 77-62 loss to Tennessee (ESPN box score), clearing the 56.5 team-total over.
Drake Bulldogs +6.5
“I love the Drake 6.5.”
Missouri 57, Drake 67 — Drake beat Missouri 67-57 (ESPN box score); Drake's +10 margin covers +6.5.
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win West Region (+600)
“I bet them 6-1 to win the region as well.”
Florida 84, Texas Tech 79 — Florida won the West Region, beating Texas Tech 84-79 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-29 (ESPN); Texas Tech did not win the region.
SEC teams under 20.5 tournament wins (-145)
“Here in Vegas, I end up betting under 20 and a half minus 145 just to get that extra game”
SEC teams already had 20 combined 2025 NCAA tournament wins after Florida's Elite Eight win over Texas Tech (SI.com), and Florida's Final Four win over Auburn (79-73, ESPN) made it 21, clearing the 20.5 under line; Florida's title-game win over Houston made the final SEC total 22.
Big Ten teams over 11.5 tournament wins
“I like the over 11.5. That is one that I bet as well, in addition to betting the under on the SEC.”
Big Ten's 8 tournament teams (Michigan 2 wins, Michigan State 3, Purdue 2, Maryland 2, Wisconsin 1, Illinois 1, Oregon 1, UCLA 1) combined for 13 tournament wins per ESPN box scores through the Elite Eight, clearing the 11.5 over line.
Duke Blue Devils to win the East region (-120)
“That is still my favorite bet in this region. And there's not even another bet that I like in this region. It's rather simple for me. it's the Blue Devils minus 120.”
Duke 85, Alabama 65 — 1-seed Duke won the East Region, beating 2-seed Alabama 85-65 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-29 (ESPN) to advance to the Final Four.
Gonzaga Bulldogs to reach the Final Four (+1000)
“I have the eight seeded Zags going to San Antonio. I bet them 10 to one to make the final four.”
Houston 81, Gonzaga 76 — 8-seed Gonzaga was eliminated in the second round by 1-seed Houston 81-76 on 2025-03-22 (ESPN), never reaching the Final Four.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +2.5
“I'll take the two and a half with Mount St. Mary's.”
American 72, Mount St. Mary's 83 — Mount St. Mary's beat American 83-72 (ESPN box score); Mount St. Mary's +11 margin easily covers +2.5.
Julius Randle over 17 points
“I have a handful of bets I like Julius Randle over 17 points against the New Orleans Pelicans”
New Orleans 119, Minnesota 115 — Julius Randle scored 17 points as the Pelicans beat the Timberwolves 119-115 (ESPN box score), pushing the 17-point line exactly. (Julius Randle: 17 points)
Kenrich Williams over 9.5 points
“I also like Kenrich Williams over 9.5 points for the Oklahoma City Thunder”
Oklahoma City 133, Philadelphia 100 — Kenrich Williams scored 13 points as the Thunder beat the 76ers 133-100 (ESPN box score), clearing the 9.5 line. (Kenrich Williams: 13 points)
Nikola Vucevic over 15.5 points
“And I'm backing Vooch, Big Vooch, Voochy May, Nikola Vucevic, over 15.5 points as the Chicago Bulls take on the Phoenix Suns.”
Phoenix 127, Chicago 121 — Nikola Vucevic scored 24 points as the Suns beat the Bulls 127-121 (ESPN box score), clearing the 15.5 line. (Nikola Vucevic: 24 points)
Jaden Schwartz anytime goal scorer (+300)
“Jaden Schwartz of the Seattle Kraken plus 300 as they're taking on the Minnesota Wild.”
Minnesota 4, Seattle 0 — Minnesota shut out Seattle 4-0 (ESPN box score); Jaden Schwartz did not score a goal. (Jaden Schwartz: 0 goals)
Xavier Musketeers -2.5
“I laid two and a half with Xavier.”
Texas 80, Xavier 86 — Xavier beat Texas 86-80 (ESPN box score); Xavier's +6 margin covers -2.5.
Louisville Cardinals -2.5
“I'll lay the two and a half with Louisville.”
Louisville 75, Creighton 89 — Louisville lost to Creighton 89-75 (ESPN box score); Louisville's -14 margin fails to cover -2.5.
High Point Panthers +8.5
“I also like high point plus the eight and a half.”
High Point 63, Purdue 75 — High Point lost to Purdue 75-63 (ESPN box score); High Point's -12 margin fails to cover +8.5.
High Point Panthers (+320)
“And I sprinkled a little bit of high point money line plus 320.”
High Point 63, Purdue 75 — High Point lost to Purdue 75-63 outright (ESPN box score); the High Point moneyline bet lost.
Wisconsin Badgers -16.5
“So I like, on Wisconsin, laying the 16.5 against Montana.”
Wisconsin 85, Montana 66 — Wisconsin beat Montana 85-66 (ESPN box score); Wisconsin's +19 margin covers -16.5.
Gonzaga Bulldogs -6
“I'll go with Gonzaga laying the six against Georgia.”
Gonzaga 89, Georgia 68 — Gonzaga beat Georgia 89-68 (ESPN box score); Gonzaga's +21 margin covers -6.
Memphis Tigers (+125)
“But Memphis plus 125 to win. P.J. Haggerty, the best player on the court, he's 100% right. So our guy Slapjack likes Memphis on the Moneyline against Colorado State. Slappy, I'm with you, man. Memphis on the Moneyline, that's my play in that game as well.”
Colorado State 78, Memphis 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 outright (ESPN box score); the Memphis moneyline bet lost.
North Carolina Tar Heels -4
“But I laid four with the North Carolina Tar Heels.”
UNC 95, SDSU 68 — North Carolina beat San Diego State 95-68 on 3/18/25, a 27-point margin that easily covers -4 (ESPN box score).
Troy Trojans +11
“So I took the 11 with Troy.”
UK 76, TROY 57 — Kentucky beat Troy 76-57 on 3/21/25, a 19-point margin that exceeds Troy's +11 (ESPN box score).
UConn Huskies -4.5
“yeah i laid four and a half with the UConn Huskies”
CONN 67, OU 59 — UConn beat Oklahoma 67-59 on 3/21/25, an 8-point margin that covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
Drake Bulldogs moneyline
“So give me Drake.”
DRKE 67, MIZ 57 — Drake beat Missouri 67-57 on 3/20/25, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline
“So, give me Woo Pig Suey and a little bit on the money line as well.”
ARK 79, KU 72 — Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 on 3/20/25, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers -18.5
“So I'm laying 18 and a half with the volunteers.”
TENN 77, WOF 62 — Tennessee beat Wofford 77-62 on 3/20/25, a 15-point margin that falls short of the -18.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Duke Blue Devils to win East Region (-120)
“I, today, this morning, I bet a pretty hefty amount on Duke to win the region. The price was around minus 120”
Duke, the No. 1 seed, won the East Region and advanced to the 2025 Final Four (Wikipedia: 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament).
Coby White over 24.5 points
“The first one in the association, Coby White of the Chicago Bulls. I like him to go over 24 and a half points against the Utah Jazz.”
CHI 111, UTA 97 — Coby White scored 26 points as the Bulls beat the Jazz 111-97 on 3/17/25, clearing the 24.5-point over (ESPN box score). (Coby White 26 points)
Matt Boldy anytime goal scorer (+195)
“So let's go plus 195, Matt Boldy to light the lamp against the LA Kings.”
MIN 3, LA 1 — Matt Boldy had 0 goals (1 assist) as the Wild beat the Kings 3-1 on 3/17/25; Zuccarello, Hartman and Johansson scored, not Boldy (ESPN box score). (Matt Boldy 0 goals (1 assist))
Baylor Bears moneyline (+115)
“During the break, I bet Baylor money line. This has got out to about plus 115 on the money line for Baylor.”
BAY 75, MSST 72 — Baylor beat Mississippi State 75-72 on 3/21/25, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Cade Cunningham over 27.5 points
“I do like Cade Cunningham over 27.5 points.”
DET 127, NO 81 — Cade Cunningham scored 24 points as the Pistons routed the Pelicans 127-81 on 3/17/25, falling short of the 27.5-point over (ESPN recap). (Cade Cunningham 24 points)
Deni Avdija over 19.5 points (-115)
“And then Denny Avdia of the Portland Trailblazers over 19.5 points, minus 115 against the Wizards.”
POR 112, WAS 97 — Deni Avdija scored 15 points as the Trail Blazers beat the Wizards 112-97 on 3/17/25, falling short of the 19.5-point over (ESPN box score). (Deni Avdija 15 points)
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+195)
“I also like Brandon Hagel of the Tampa Bay Lightning, plus 195 against the Flyers.”
TB 2, PHI 0 — Brandon Hagel recorded 0 goals as the Lightning shut out the Flyers 2-0 on 3/17/25; Kucherov and Guentzel scored, not Hagel (ESPN box score). (Brandon Hagel 0 goals)
Jesper Bratt anytime goal scorer (+230)
“Jesper Bratt of the New Jersey Devils, plus 230 as they take on the Columbus Blue Jackets.”
NJ 2, CBJ 1 — Jesper Bratt scored a goal as the Devils beat the Blue Jackets 2-1 on 3/17/25, 39 seconds after Timo Meier's goal (ESPN box score). (Jesper Bratt 1 goal)
Miami Heat to win Southeast Division (+350)
“I bet this team plus 350 to win the Southeast Division.”
The Orlando Magic (41-41) won the 2024-25 NBA Southeast Division; the Miami Heat finished 37-45, third in the division (Wikipedia: 2024-25 NBA season).
Michigan Wolverines -2.5
“So I laid the two and a half. I love this bet. This is probably going to be my biggest bet of the first round is on Michigan laying the two and a half.”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — Michigan beat UC San Diego 68-65 on 3/20/25, a 3-point margin that covers -2.5 (ESPN box score).
Yale Bulldogs +7.5
“I like 7.5, and I think Yale wins the game outright.”
TAMU 80, YALE 71 — Texas A&M beat Yale 80-71 on 3/20/25, a 9-point margin that exceeds Yale's +7.5 (ESPN box score).
Yale Bulldogs moneyline
“I like Yale plus the 7.5 and on the money line as well.”
TAMU 80, YALE 71 — Texas A&M defeated Yale 80-71 outright on 3/20/25, so Yale's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Texas Longhorns +10
“I took 10 this morning.”
83-72 — Tennessee beat Texas 83-72 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; an 11-point Texas loss fails to cover +10 (ESPN).
Texas Longhorns moneyline
“I also sprinkled a little bit of Moneyline as well.”
83-72 — Tennessee beat Texas 83-72 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; Texas lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).
Illinois Fighting Illini +1.5
“I took the one and a half with the Illini.”
88-65 — Maryland beat Illinois 88-65 in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; a 23-point Illinois loss fails to cover +1.5 (ESPN).
Tyrese Haliburton over 18.5 points
“I like Tyrese Haliburton over 18 and a half points against the Sixers.”
100-112 — The Pacers beat the 76ers 112-100 on March 14, 2025; Tyrese Haliburton scored 14 points, falling short of the 18.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 14 points)
Jamal Murray over 20.5 points
“And I also like Jamal Murray over 20 and a half points against the Lakers.”
126-131 — The Nuggets beat the Lakers 131-126 on March 14, 2025; Jamal Murray scored 26 points, clearing the 20.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Jamal Murray: 26 points)
BYU Cougars +7
“I'll also take the 7 with BYU against Houston.”
74-54 — Houston beat BYU 74-54 in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; a 20-point BYU loss fails to cover +7 (ESPN).
Purdue Boilermakers -2.5
“I'll also lay 2.5 with Purdue in the Big Ten game against Michigan.”
68-86 — Michigan beat Purdue 86-68 in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; an 18-point Purdue loss fails to cover -2.5 (ESPN).
Creighton Bluejays +4
“I like taking the 4 with Creighton against UConn.”
71-62 — Creighton beat UConn 71-62 in the Big East Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; a 9-point outright win easily covers +4 (ESPN).
Kentucky Wildcats +7
“I'll take the seven with the Wildcats.”
70-99 — Alabama beat Kentucky 99-70 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; a 29-point Kentucky loss fails to cover +7 (ESPN).
Clemson Tigers -1.5
“But I do like Clemson. I laid one and a half.”
73-76 — Louisville beat Clemson 76-73 in the ACC Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; a 3-point Clemson loss fails to cover -1.5 (ESPN).
Giannis Antetokounmpo 30+ points (-118)
“So 30-plus points for Giannis tonight, minus 118. That’s how I’m looking to play this.”
126-106 — The Bucks beat the Lakers 126-106 on March 13, 2025; Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 24 points, falling short of the 30+ points line (ESPN box score). (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 24 points)
USC Trojans +10.5
“Give me USC plus a 10 and a half against Purdue.”
76-71 — Purdue beat USC 76-71 in the Big Ten Tournament second round on March 13, 2025; a 5-point USC loss covers +10.5 (ESPN).
Nevada Wolf Pack +5.5
“I'll go with the Nevada Wolfpack, plus five and a half against Colorado State.”
67-59 — Colorado State beat Nevada 67-59 in the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; an 8-point Nevada loss fails to cover +5.5 (ESPN).
Oklahoma Sooners +7
“I'll also take the seven with Oklahoma.”
85-84 — Kentucky beat Oklahoma 85-84 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; a 1-point Oklahoma loss covers +7 (ESPN).
Kansas Jayhawks +2.5
“And also take the two and a half with Kansas against Arizona.”
88-77 — Arizona beat Kansas 88-77 in the Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; an 11-point Kansas loss fails to cover +2.5 (ESPN).
UNLV Rebels +8.5
“Then also I'll go in the nightcap game. UNLV at home in Thomas and Macarena over there in Vegas, eight and a half against Utah state.”
70-58 — Utah State beat UNLV 70-58 in the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; a 12-point UNLV loss fails to cover +8.5 (ESPN).
San Jose State Spartans +16
“I'm rocking with San Jose State plus the 16 plug your nose special against the top seeded New Mexico Lobos.”
63-52 — New Mexico beat San Jose State 63-52 in the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; an 11-point San Jose State loss covers +16 (ESPN).
Oregon Ducks to win Big Ten tournament (+3000)
“I bet 30-1 early this morning.”
59-53 — Michigan won the 2025 Big Ten men's basketball tournament, beating Wisconsin 59-53 in the final on March 16, 2025; Oregon did not win, so the +3000 futures loses (ESPN box score).
Montana Grizzlies +2.5
“I'll take Montana plus two and a half against Northern Colorado.”
91-83 — Montana beat Northern Colorado 91-83 outright in the Big Sky Conference championship on March 12, 2025, covering +2.5 (ESPN box score).
Scottie Barnes over 21.5 points
“I like over 21.5 points for Scottie Barnes.”
TOR 118, PHI 105 — Toronto beat Philadelphia 118-105 on March 12, 2025; Scottie Barnes did not play (right hand injury) and had no scoring, so the points prop has no action (ESPN box score).
Jaylen Wells over 11.5 points
“I also like Jaylen Wells with the Memphis Grizzlies, over 11.5 points against the Utah Jazz.”
MEM 122, UTA 115 — Jaylen Wells scored well under 11.5 points in Memphis's 122-115 win over Utah on March 12, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Wells: 3 points)
Providence Friars +2
“But I do like the Providence Friars plus the two against the Butler Bulldogs.”
75-69 — Butler beat Providence 75-69 in the Big East tournament opener on March 12, 2025; Providence lost by 6, outside the +2 spread (ESPN box score).
Chet Holmgren over 15.5 points
“I'm gonna go with Chet Holmgren over 15 and a half points.”
OKC 118, BOS 112 — Chet Holmgren scored 23 points in OKC's 118-112 win over Boston on March 12, 2025, well over 15.5 (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 23 points)
Jalen Green over 20.5 points
“So give me Jalen Green over 20 and a half points.”
HOU 111, PHX 104 — Jalen Green scored 29 points in Houston's 111-104 win over Phoenix on March 12, 2025, over 20.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Green: 29 points)
Lucas Raymond anytime goal scorer (+190)
“Lucas Raymond of the Red Wings. Plus 190 to light the lamp.”
DET 7, BUF 3 — Detroit beat Buffalo 7-3 on March 12, 2025; Lucas Raymond had 2 assists but did not score a goal (ESPN box score). (Lucas Raymond: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Kansas State Wildcats +5.5
“I'll play on to Kansas State plus the 5.5 against Baylor.”
70-56 — Baylor beat Kansas State 70-56 in the Big 12 tournament on March 12, 2025; K-State lost by 14, outside the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5
“So I'll take Seton Hall plus the 10 and a half.”
67-55 — Villanova beat Seton Hall 67-55 in the Big East tournament opener on March 12, 2025; Seton Hall lost by 12, outside the +10.5 spread (ESPN box score).
UCF Knights first half +5.5
“Take the five and a half with UCF in the first half.”
40-37 (1st half) — Kansas led UCF 40-37 at halftime of their Big 12 tournament second-round game on March 12, 2025 (Kansas won 98-94 in OT); UCF +5.5 first half covers a 3-point deficit (ESPN box score).
Maryland–Michigan over 153
“I like the over in Maryland and Michigan over 153.”
71-65 — Maryland beat Michigan 71-65 on March 5, 2025 (combined 136), well under the 153 total (ESPN final).
Oklahoma State Cowboys +6.5
“I also take the six and a half with Oklahoma State at UCF.”
83-70 — UCF beat Oklahoma State 83-70 on March 5, 2025, a 13-point margin that busts Oklahoma State +6.5 (ESPN final).
Kansas State Wildcats +9
“I also like Kansas State plus nine against Cincinnati.”
54-49 — Kansas State beat Cincinnati 54-49 outright on March 5, 2025, a +5 margin that covers Kansas State +9 (ESPN final).
Butler Bulldogs +4.5
“Favorite bet of some of the other games, Butler plus four and a half against Xavier.”
91-78 — Xavier beat Butler 91-78 on March 5, 2025, a 13-point margin that busts Butler +4.5 (ESPN final).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +2
“I also play Notre Dame plus the two.”
56-54 — Notre Dame beat Stanford 56-54 on March 5, 2025, winning outright and covering +2 (ESPN final).
Washington–USC over 150.5
“And then in the nightcap, Big Ten action, Washington, USC over 150 and a half.”
92-61 — USC beat Washington 92-61 on March 5, 2025 (combined 153), clearing the 150.5 total (ESPN final).
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal scorer (+225)
“I like Trocek, plus 225 against the Caps.”
3-2 — Washington beat NY Rangers 3-2 in OT on March 5, 2025 with goals by Dubois, Ovechkin and Wilson (WSH) and Panarin and Carrick (NYR); Vincent Trocheck did not score (ESPN box score).
Clemson–Boston College over 136.5
“The totals, I like the Clemson and Boston College over 136.5.”
78-69 — Clemson beat Boston College 78-69 on March 5, 2025 (combined 147), clearing the 136.5 total (ESPN final).
Marquette–UConn under 144.5
“I'll also play the under between Marquette and UConn, under 144.5.”
72-66 — UConn beat Marquette 72-66 on March 5, 2025 (combined 138), staying under the 144.5 total (ESPN final).
Wisconsin Badgers -6.5
“And I'll also lay the 6.5 on Wisconsin.”
74-67 — Wisconsin beat Minnesota 74-67 on March 5, 2025, a +7 margin that covers -6.5 (ESPN final).
Houston Cougars to earn a No. 1 seed (-220)
“I took the liberty this morning of betting Houston minus 220 to be the one seed in the NCAA term.”
Houston was awarded the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region of the 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament on Selection Sunday (Wikipedia, citing the official bracket).
North Carolina–Virginia Tech under 149.5
“I like the under in North Carolina, Virginia Tech. That's under 149 and a half.”
91-59 — North Carolina beat Virginia Tech 91-59 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); combined 150 points is over the 149.5 line, so the under bet busts.
Georgetown Hoyas +5
“I like Georgetown getting five against Villanova.”
75-73 — Georgetown beat Villanova 75-73 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Georgetown's outright win comfortably covers the +5 spread.
West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5
“I'll take West Virginia getting three and a half against Utah.”
71-69 — West Virginia won outright 71-69 at Utah on March 4, 2025 (ESPN), easily covering the +3.5 spread.
Nevada Wolf Pack +1.5
“I'll go ahead and play on Nevada getting one and a half at home against New Mexico.”
71-67 — New Mexico beat Nevada 71-67 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Nevada lost by 4, failing to cover the +1.5 spread.
Nebraska Cornhuskers +6.5
“And then give me Nebraska plus six and a half against Ohio State.”
116-114 — Ohio State beat Nebraska 116-114 in double overtime on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Nebraska lost by only 2, covering the +6.5 spread.
Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5
“I'll go to war with John Calipari in Arkansas plus seven and a half at Vandy.”
90-77 — Arkansas won outright 90-77 at Vanderbilt on March 4, 2025 (ESPN), covering the +7.5 spread.
UNLV Rebels +2.5
“And then finally, I'll take the two and a half with UNLV as they host San Diego State.”
74-67 — UNLV beat San Diego State 74-67 at home on March 4, 2025 (ESPN), covering the +2.5 spread for UNLV.
Ryan O'Reilly anytime goal scorer (+270)
“In the NHL, Ryan O'Reilly to score a goal plus 270.”
6-3 — Nashville beat Boston 6-3 on March 4, 2025 with Ryan O'Reilly scoring twice (ESPN box score). (Ryan O'Reilly: 2 goals)
Lucas Raymond anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Lucas Raymond, plus 220 of the Detroit Red Wings.”
2-1 — Carolina beat Detroit 2-1 on March 4, 2025; Lucas Raymond did not score for Detroit (ESPN box score). (Lucas Raymond: 0 goals)
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+340)
“And then of the Seattle Kraken, Jared McCann, plus 340 against the Minnesota Wild.”
4-3 — Minnesota beat Seattle 4-3 on March 4, 2025; Seattle's goals came from Adam Larsson, Shane Wright, and Brandon Montour, and Jared McCann did not score (ESPN box score). (Jared McCann: 0 goals)
James Harden over 24.5 points
“I like James Harden over 24 and a half points.”
119-117 — Phoenix beat the Clippers 119-117 on March 4, 2025; James Harden did not clear his 24.5-point line (ESPN scoreboard).
LeBron James over 26.5 points (-118)
“I also like LeBron James over 26 and a half points against the New Orleans Pelicans. Pays out minus 118.”
136-115 — The Lakers beat New Orleans 136-115 on March 4, 2025 with LeBron James scoring 34 points, over his 26.5-point line (ESPN scoreboard). (LeBron James: 34 points)
New Jersey Devils moneyline (+145)
“Give me New Jersey plus 145 on the money line.”
4-3 — Dallas beat New Jersey 4-3 on March 4, 2025 on a late Thomas Harley goal (ESPN scoreboard); the New Jersey Devils moneyline busts.
Texas Longhorns +7.5
“I also plug my nose and bet Texas plus 7.5 against Mississippi State.”
87-82 — Texas beat Mississippi State 87-82 in overtime on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Texas's outright win covers the +7.5 spread.
Texas A&M Aggies +4.5
“I like the 4.5 with Texas A&M against Auburn.”
83-72 — Texas A&M beat Auburn 83-72 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Texas A&M's outright win covers the +4.5 spread.
Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers (+1400)
“We bet 14 to one Celtics Lakers exact finals matchup.”
The 2025 NBA Finals matchup was Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in 7 games; the Celtics-Lakers exact-matchup futures bet lost.
JJ Peterka anytime goal (+210)
“I like JJ Peterka of the Buffalo Sabres, plus 210 against Montreal.”
4-3 — Montreal beat Buffalo 4-3 in overtime on March 3, 2025 (ESPN box score); JJ Peterka recorded 0 goals and 2 assists, so the anytime-goal prop lost. (JJ Peterka 0 goals, 2 assists)
Sam Bennett anytime goal (+230)
“I'll also play on Sam Bennett, plus 230.”
2-1 — Florida beat Tampa Bay 2-1 on March 3, 2025 with both Panthers goals scored by Aleksander Barkov (ESPN box score); Sam Bennett recorded no goal, so the anytime-goal prop lost. (Sam Bennett 0 goals)
Anders Lee anytime goal (+220)
“And then finally, Anders Lee of the New York Islanders, plus 220 against the Rangers in the New York showdown.”
4-0 — The Rangers shut out the Islanders 4-0 on March 3, 2025; Anders Lee's apparent first-period goal was overturned on a coach's offside challenge (ESPN box score), so he recorded no goal and the anytime-goal prop lost. (Anders Lee 0 goals (disallowed on offside challenge))
Boston Celtics (-125)
“It's the Celtics minus 125 for me.”
Indiana Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals to represent the East in the NBA Finals; the Celtics, eliminated by the Knicks in the second round, did not win the conference, so the Celtics futures bet lost (ESPN/NBA.com).
Duncan Robinson over 12.5 points
“We've got the Heat and the Wizards. I'll go ahead and play on Duncan Robinson over 12.5 points.”
106-90 — Miami beat Washington 106-90 on March 3, 2025 with Duncan Robinson scoring 17 points, over his 12.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Duncan Robinson: 17 points)
Cade Cunningham over 25.5 points
“And then finally, Cade Cunningham over 25 and a half points.”
134-106 — Detroit beat Utah 134-106 on March 3, 2025 with Cade Cunningham scoring 29 points, over his 25.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Cade Cunningham: 29 points)
Evan Rodrigues anytime goal (+340)
“I'll go with Evan Rodrigues in that Florida and Tampa game. Evan Rodrigues plus 340 for the Panthers.”
2-1 — Florida beat Tampa Bay 2-1 on March 3, 2025 with both goals from Aleksander Barkov; Evan Rodrigues did not score (ESPN box score). (Evan Rodrigues: 0 goals)
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal (+200)
“And then in that Islanders Rangers game, I'll play on Vincent Trocek of the Rangers plus 200, a little bit of a due factor with Trocek.”
4-0 — NY Rangers beat NY Islanders 4-0 on March 3, 2025 with goals by Will Cuylle, Will Borgen, J.T. Miller, and Artemi Panarin; Vincent Trocheck did not score (ESPN box score). (Vincent Trocheck: 0 goals)
Kentucky Wildcats +5
“And that is the Kentucky Wildcats at home as an underdog, getting five right now in the betting market.”
94-78 — Auburn beat Kentucky 94-78 on March 1, 2025, a 16-point margin that busts Kentucky's +5 spread (ESPN box score).
RJ Barrett over 22.5 points
“Give me R.J. Barrett over 22 and a half points against the Chicago Bulls.”
125-115 — RJ Barrett scored 18 points in Chicago's 125-115 overtime win over Toronto on February 28, 2025 (ESPN box score), under his 22.5-point prop line. (RJ Barrett 18 points)
John Tavares anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I'll go John Tavares, plus 220 of the Toronto Maple Leafs to score a goal against the Rangers.”
3-2 — Toronto beat the Rangers 3-2 on February 28, 2025 with goals by Oliver Ekman-Larsson, William Nylander, and Matthew Knies (ESPN box score); John Tavares did not score, so the anytime-goal prop lost. (John Tavares 0 goals)
Wyatt Johnston anytime goal scorer (+230)
“And also play on Wyatt Johnson, plus 230 to light the lamp as well as they're taking on the LA Kings.”
6-2 — Wyatt Johnston scored a power-play goal in Dallas's 6-2 win over LA on February 28, 2025 (NHL.com recap), so the anytime-goal prop cashes. (Wyatt Johnston 1 goal)
Providence Friars +7
“I'll grab those seven points with the Providence Friars.”
75-63 — UConn beat Providence 75-63 on March 1, 2025 (ESPN box score), a 12-point margin that busts Providence's +7 spread.
CJ McCollum over 18.5 points (-155)
“I like CJ McCollum over 18.5 points. Got to pay a little bit of juice, paid minus 155”
NO 124, PHX 116 — CJ McCollum scored 19 points as New Orleans beat Phoenix 124-116, covering his 18.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (CJ McCollum: 19 points)
Brock Nelson anytime goal scorer (+220)
“We'll start off with Brock Nelson of the New York Islanders, plus 220 against the Boston Bruins.”
NYI 2, BOS 1 — The Islanders beat Boston 2-1; Brock Nelson assisted on Kyle Palmieri's goal but did not score himself (ESPN box score). (Brock Nelson: 0 goals (1 assist))
Anthony Cirelli anytime goal scorer (+265)
“I also like Anthony Cirelli of the Tampa Bay Lightning, plus 265 against Calgary.”
TB 3, CGY 0 — Tampa Bay shut out Calgary 3-0 on goals by Kucherov, Cernak, and Hagel; Anthony Cirelli had two assists but did not score (ESPN box score). (Anthony Cirelli: 0 goals (2 assists))
Travis Konecny anytime goal scorer (+240)
“I'll go with Travis Konechny of the Philadelphia Flyers, plus 240 as they take on the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
PIT 5, PHI 4 — Pittsburgh beat Philadelphia 5-4 in OT; Flyers goals came from Cates, Tippett, and Michkov (twice) — Travis Konecny assisted on one but did not score (ESPN box score). (Travis Konecny: 0 goals (1 assist))
Mats Zuccarello anytime goal scorer (+265)
“Give me Mats Zuccarello of the Minnesota Wild, plus 265 against the Utah Hockey Club.”
UTAH 6, MIN 1 — Utah beat Minnesota 6-1; Mats Zuccarello had an assist but did not score, and his goals came from Hayton, Guenther, Durzi, Schmaltz, Keller, and Cooley for Utah with Gaudreau scoring Minnesota's lone goal (ESPN box score). (Mats Zuccarello: 0 goals (1 assist))
Nick Schmaltz anytime goal scorer (+300)
“And in that same game, my buddy, Nick Schmaltz, plus 300 for the Utah Hockey Club as they're taking on the Minnesota Wilds.”
UTAH 6, MIN 1 — Utah beat Minnesota 6-1; Nick Schmaltz scored in the 3rd period among Utah's six goals (ESPN box score). (Nick Schmaltz: 1 goal (3rd period))
Kevin Durant over 26.5 points
“But I like Kevin Durant to go over 26.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
NO 124, PHX 116 — Kevin Durant scored 28 points as Phoenix lost to New Orleans 124-116, covering his 26.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Kevin Durant: 28 points)
Connor McDavid anytime goal scorer (+160)
“I like McDavid plus 160 to score a goal.”
FLA 4, EDM 3 — Florida beat Edmonton 4-3; Oilers goals came from Kulak, Draisaitl, and Hyman — Connor McDavid had an assist but did not score (ESPN box score). (Connor McDavid: 0 goals (1 assist))
Patrick Kane anytime goal scorer (+210)
“The grizzled veteran, Patrick Kane of the Detroit Red Wings. Plus 210 against Columbus.”
CBJ 5, DET 2 — Columbus beat Detroit 5-2; Detroit's goals were scored by Alex DeBrincat and J.T. Compher — Patrick Kane did not score (ESPN box score). (Patrick Kane: 0 goals)
Michigan Wolverines -9.5
“let's go double cross michigan lay the nine and a half against ruckers”
MICH 84, RUTG 82 — Michigan beat Rutgers 84-82; Michigan won by only 2, missing the -9.5 spread (ESPN).
Donovan Clingan over 8.5 points (+105)
“Also, it's plus money, plus 105 on Klingon, over 8.5 points tonight against the Washington Wizards.”
POR 129, WSH 121 — Donovan Clingan scored 4 points as Portland beat Washington 129-121, well under his 8.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Donovan Clingan: 4 points)
DeMar DeRozan over 20.5 points
“Then the last prop, DeMar DeRozan, over 20.5 points.”
SAC 118, UTAH 101 — DeMar DeRozan scored 19 points as Sacramento beat Utah 118-101, under his 20.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (DeMar DeRozan: 19 points)
Quinton Byfield anytime goal scorer (+310)
“Los Angeles Kings right winger Quinton Byfield plus 310 against the Vancouver Canucks.”
VAN 3, LAK 2 — Vancouver beat LA 3-2 in OT on Conor Garland's second goal; Kings' goals came from Adrian Kempe and Warren Foegele, and Quinton Byfield picked up an assist but did not score (ESPN box score). (Quinton Byfield: 0 goals (1 assist))
Kentucky Wildcats -2.5
“Give me Kentucky laying the two and a half.”
UK 83, OU 82 — Kentucky won at Oklahoma 83-82; the 1-point margin falls short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Ohio State Buckeyes moneyline (-105)
“O-H-I-O, Ohio State against USC on the money line, minus 105.”
OSU 87, USC 82 — Ohio State beat USC 87-82 on the road, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN).
Iowa State Cyclones to win national championship
“[36:48] The other top 10 team that went down, and this one is near and dear to my heart.
[36:52] because I bet this team in December to win the national title.
[36:55] And that's the number nine ranked Iowa state cyclones, Iowa state lost to
[36:59] Oklahoma state last night and Oklahoma state, they're not a good team.
[37:04] And right now Iowa state you watch them play They just a banged up team So my concern level for the Cyclones like let say number one a one to ten one being not concerned at all ten being absolutely concerned
[37:17] I'm probably at like a four, four or five for Iowa State as a team that could make a deep run in the March Madness in the NCAA tournament.”
Florida beat Houston 65-63 to win the 2025 NCAA men's title; Iowa State lost in the Sweet 16 to Ole Miss 91-78 and did not win the championship (Wikipedia: 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament).
Utah–Arizona under 154
“[42:21] But now we're getting to that range to where maybe there is a little bit of value on Arkansas.
[42:24] So for me, it's Texas or pass.
[42:26] At current prices, I'd pass the game, but I do like Texas if you can find three or better.
[42:31] I also like the under in Notre Dame and Clemson.
[42:33] I just think both of these teams, the tempo will get slowed down a little bit.
[42:36] Notre Dame coming off an out-of-body performance in terms of offensive efficiency.
[42:40] I think that comes back down to earth.
[42:42] I like the under in that game.
[42:43] I also like the under between Utah and Arizona under 154.
[42:47] I'll take the four and a half with Kansas State on the road at UCF.
[42:50] Kansas State away from Manhattan, not as great,
[42:53] but I think that the betting market giving UCF a little bit too much credit in this matchup.
[42:57] I'll roll with the Wildcats.
[42:59] I also like the over between Penn State and Indiana over 149.”
ARIZ 83, UTAH 66 — Arizona beat Utah 83-66, a combined 149 points, clearing under the 154 total (ESPN).
Kansas State Wildcats +4.5
“[42:36] Notre Dame coming off an out-of-body performance in terms of offensive efficiency.
[42:40] I think that comes back down to earth.
[42:42] I like the under in that game.
[42:43] I also like the under between Utah and Arizona under 154.
[42:47] I'll take the four and a half with Kansas State on the road at UCF.
[42:50] Kansas State away from Manhattan, not as great,
[42:53] but I think that the betting market giving UCF a little bit too much credit in this matchup.
[42:57] I'll roll with the Wildcats.
[42:59] I also like the over between Penn State and Indiana over 149.
[43:03] I think we'll get a high scoring game at Assembly Hall.
[43:05] And then I'll plug my nose and take the nine with Seton Hall.
[43:08] Villanova doesn't play at a pace fast enough.
[43:10] to go out there and be laying these kinds of numbers on the road,”
UCF 80, KSU 76 — UCF beat Kansas State 80-76; Kansas State lost by only 4, covering the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
Penn State–Indiana over 149
“[42:57] I'll roll with the Wildcats.
[42:59] I also like the over between Penn State and Indiana over 149.
[43:03] I think we'll get a high scoring game at Assembly Hall.
[43:05] And then I'll plug my nose and take the nine with Seton Hall.
[43:08] Villanova doesn't play at a pace fast enough.
[43:10] to go out there and be laying these kinds of numbers on the road,
[43:12] even though Seton Hall's not a great team.
[43:14] I'll take the points at home with Seton Hall plus the nine.
[43:17] And then a little late-night action in Berkeley,
[43:19] SMU Cal over 153.5 in college basketball.”
IND 83, PSU 78 — Indiana beat Penn State 83-78, a combined 161 points, clearing over the 149 total (ESPN).
Seton Hall Pirates +9
“[43:03] I think we'll get a high scoring game at Assembly Hall.
[43:05] And then I'll plug my nose and take the nine with Seton Hall.
[43:08] Villanova doesn't play at a pace fast enough.
[43:10] to go out there and be laying these kinds of numbers on the road,
[43:12] even though Seton Hall's not a great team.
[43:14] I'll take the points at home with Seton Hall plus the nine.
[43:17] And then a little late-night action in Berkeley,
[43:19] SMU Cal over 153.5 in college basketball.
[43:23] A couple of plays in the NBA and in the NHL.
[43:26] Bogdan Bogdanovich for the Clippers,
[43:29] over 13.5 points as we're taking on the Chicago Bulls.”
NOVA 59, SETON 54 — Villanova beat Seton Hall 59-54; Seton Hall lost by only 5, covering the +9 spread (ESPN).
SMU–California over 153.5
“[43:10] to go out there and be laying these kinds of numbers on the road,
[43:12] even though Seton Hall's not a great team.
[43:14] I'll take the points at home with Seton Hall plus the nine.
[43:17] And then a little late-night action in Berkeley,
[43:19] SMU Cal over 153.5 in college basketball.
[43:23] A couple of plays in the NBA and in the NHL.
[43:26] Bogdan Bogdanovich for the Clippers,
[43:29] over 13.5 points as we're taking on the Chicago Bulls.
[43:32] I also like Jabari Smiths over 11.5
[43:35] against the San Antonio Spurs for the Houston Rockets.”
SMU 81, CAL 77 — SMU beat California 81-77, a combined 158 points, clearing over the 153.5 total (ESPN).
Bogdan Bogdanovic over 13.5 points
“[43:23] A couple of plays in the NBA and in the NHL.
[43:26] Bogdan Bogdanovich for the Clippers,
[43:29] over 13.5 points as we're taking on the Chicago Bulls.
[43:32] I also like Jabari Smiths over 11.5
[43:35] against the San Antonio Spurs for the Houston Rockets.
[43:37] on the ice. Frozen Femi trying to replicate what we did last night.
[43:41] Drake Batherson plus 270 against the Winnipeg Jets. Drake Batherson
[43:44] of the Ottawa Senators. And then finally, Timo Meier of the New Jersey Devils plus
[43:49] 260 against the Colorado Avalanche. Real quick, wanted to bring the fellas on to give their”
LAC 122, CHI 117 — Bogdan Bogdanovic scored 14 points as the Clippers beat Chicago 122-117, covering his 13.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Bogdan Bogdanovic: 14 points)
Jabari Smith Jr. over 11.5 points
“[43:32] I also like Jabari Smiths over 11.5
[43:35] against the San Antonio Spurs for the Houston Rockets.
[43:37] on the ice. Frozen Femi trying to replicate what we did last night.
[43:41] Drake Batherson plus 270 against the Winnipeg Jets. Drake Batherson
[43:44] of the Ottawa Senators. And then finally, Timo Meier of the New Jersey Devils plus
[43:49] 260 against the Colorado Avalanche. Real quick, wanted to bring the fellas on to give their
[43:53] best bets for tonight. Tyler Morales, Jake Hassan. Jake, we'll start with you.
[43:57] What's your favorite bet tonight in sports? I really love LSU”
HOU 118, SA 106 — Jabari Smith Jr. scored 9 points as Houston beat San Antonio 118-106, under his 11.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Jabari Smith Jr.: 9 points)
Drake Batherson anytime goal scorer (+270)
“[43:41] Drake Batherson plus 270 against the Winnipeg Jets. Drake Batherson
[43:44] of the Ottawa Senators.”
WPG 4, OTT 1 — Winnipeg beat Ottawa 4-1; the Senators' only goal was scored by Thomas Chabot, and Drake Batherson did not score or assist (ESPN box score). (Drake Batherson: 0 goals)
Timo Meier anytime goal scorer (+260)
“And then finally, Timo Meier of the New Jersey Devils plus
[43:49] 260 against the Colorado Avalanche.”
COL 5, NJ 1 — Colorado beat New Jersey 5-1; the Devils' only goal was scored by Jack Hughes, and Timo Meier did not score (ESPN box score). (Timo Meier: 0 goals)
Payton Pritchard over 13.5 points
“But what I do have bets on Payton Pritchard, let's go over 13 and a half points against the Toronto Raptors.”
BOS 111, TOR 101 — Payton Pritchard scored 20 points as the Celtics beat the Raptors 111-101 (ESPN box score); covers the over 13.5. (Payton Pritchard: 20 points)
Zion Williamson over 24.5 points
“I also played the Zion Williamson over 24 and a half points against the Spurs.”
NO 109, SA 103 — Zion Williamson scored 18 points as the Pelicans beat the Spurs 109-103 (ESPN box score); missed the over 24.5. (Zion Williamson: 18 points)
Desmond Bane over 19.5 points
“And then finally, Desmond Bain over 19 and a half points against the Phoenix Suns.”
MEM 151, PHX 148 — Desmond Bane scored 25 points as the Grizzlies beat the Suns 151-148 in overtime (ESPN box score); covers the over 19.5. (Desmond Bane: 25 points)
Brad Marchand anytime goal scorer (+235)
“We'll start with Brad Marchand of the Boston Bruins, plus 235 against Toronto.”
TOR 5, BOS 4 — Brad Marchand scored a second-period power-play goal as Toronto beat Boston 5-4 in overtime (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop covers. (Brad Marchand: 1 goal (power play))
Nick Suzuki anytime goal scorer (+270)
“Also bet on Nick Suzuki of the Montreal Canadiens, plus 270.”
MTL 4, CAR 0 — Nick Suzuki scored a second-period power-play goal with two assists as Montreal shut out Carolina 4-0 (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop covers. (Nick Suzuki: 1 goal (power play), 2 assists)
Rickard Rakell anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Ricard Raquel of the Pittsburgh Penguins, plus 220 against the Flyers.”
PHI 6, PIT 1 — Rickard Rakell did not score as Philadelphia beat Pittsburgh 6-1, with Pittsburgh's lone goal coming from Philip Tomasino (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop busts. (Rickard Rakell: 0 goals)
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+320)
“I'll also bet Jared McCann, plus 320 for the Seattle Kraken.”
STL 7, SEA 2 — Jared McCann did not score; St. Louis beat Seattle 7-2, with Kraken goals from Vince Dunn and Jaden Schwartz (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop busts. (Jared McCann: 0 goals)
Marco Rossi anytime goal scorer (+240)
“And I'll also play on Marco Rossi of the Minnesota Wild, plus 240.”
DET 3, MIN 2 — Marco Rossi scored a first-period power-play goal as Detroit beat Minnesota 3-2 (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop covers. (Marco Rossi: 1 goal (power play, 1st period))
Nick Schmaltz anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Then finally, my younger brother, Nick Schmaltz, plus 240 for the Utah Hockey Club against the Chicago Blackhawks.”
UTA 2, CHI 1 — Nick Schmaltz did not score as Utah beat Chicago 2-1, with goals from Clayton Keller and Lawson Crouse (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop busts. (Nick Schmaltz: 0 goals)
Minnesota Golden Gophers -2
“Let's lay the two with Minnesota on Peacock.”
NW 75, MINN 63 — Northwestern beat Minnesota 75-63 (ESPN); Golden Gophers laying -2 lost outright, failing to cover.
Duke–Miami under 153
“I'll also go under in Duke, Miami under 153.”
DUKE 97, MIA 60 — Duke beat Miami 97-60 (ESPN) for a combined 157 points, over the 153 total; busts.
Baylor–Cincinnati over 136.5
“I like the over in Baylor, Cincinnati over 136.5.”
CIN 69, BAY 67 — Cincinnati beat Baylor 69-67 (ESPN) for a combined 136 points, under the 136.5 total; busts.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +9
“I like Georgia Tech getting the nine against Pitt.”
GT 73, PITT 67 — Georgia Tech beat Pittsburgh 73-67 (ESPN) outright, easily covering +9.
West Virginia Mountaineers -7
“I'll lay the seven with West Virginia against TCU.”
WVU 73, TCU 55 — West Virginia beat TCU 73-55 (ESPN), an 18-point win that covers laying -7.
Illinois Fighting Illini -10.5
“I'll also lay the 10.5 with ILL.”
ILL 81, IOWA 61 — Illinois beat Iowa 81-61 (ESPN), a 20-point win that covers laying -10.5.
Gonzaga Bulldogs -6.5
“So give me Gonzaga laying the 6.5 against Santa Clara.”
GONZ 95, SCU 76 — Gonzaga beat Santa Clara 95-76 (ESPN), covering -6.5 by 12.5 points.
Shedeur Sanders to be selected first overall (+1000)
“[1:15:01] so if you think cam ward should be a bigger favorite right now than he is then should you
[1:15:07] be betting Shedeur Sanders at the price he's at right now i have bet Shedeur Sanders i bet him at
[1:15:13] 10 to 1 a couple of weeks ago to be the first overall pick like i just think that like shader
[1:15:17] it just feels like we're just like automatically ruling him out when we don't know how the teams
[1:15:22] like the team they've even met with shader i guess some of them met with him during the shrine bowl
[1:15:26] or whatever like when he did those interviews but like the formal combine interviews those are
[1:15:29] happening like tonight and tomorrow and all that stuff like this is very early in this process and
[1:15:35] this is the same draft process from a betting standpoint where everybody said that oh cj
[1:15:39] shroud's gonna go number one overall all it took was carolina being like you know what actually we”
The Tennessee Titans selected Miami QB Cam Ward with the 2025 NFL Draft's No. 1 overall pick, not Shedeur Sanders (NFL.com).
Nic Claxton over 12.5 points
“We're going to go over 12 and a half points against the Wizards and their horrendous front court.”
WAS 107, BKN 99 — Nic Claxton scored 8 points as the Wizards beat the Nets 107-99 (ESPN box score); missed the over 12.5. (Nic Claxton: 8 points)
Tyrese Maxey over 30.5 points
“But I like Maxey over 30 and a half points against a really bad Chicago Bulls backcourt defensively.”
CHI 142, PHI 110 — Tyrese Maxey scored 13 points as the Bulls routed the 76ers 142-110 (ESPN box score); missed the over 30.5. (Tyrese Maxey: 13 points)
Jerami Grant over 15.5 points
“And then finally, I'll play on to Jerami Grant over 15 and a half points as they're taking on the Utah Jazz.”
POR 114, UTA 112 — Jerami Grant scored 20 points as the Trail Blazers beat the Jazz 114-112 (ESPN box score); covers the over 15.5. (Jerami Grant: 20 points)
Adrian Kempe anytime goal scorer (+210)
“Adrian Kempe, plus 210 to light the lamp.”
LAK 5, VGK 2 — Adrian Kempe did not score (2 assists) as the Kings beat the Golden Knights 5-2 (ESPN box score); anytime-goal prop busts. (Adrian Kempe: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Michigan Wolverines -1
“Yeah, I'll lay the one with Michigan on the road at Nebraska.”
MICH 49, NEB 46 — Michigan beat Nebraska 49-46 (ESPN), covering -1 by 2 points.
Texas Tech Red Raiders +2
“Give me the Red Raiders at home in Lubbock. Tough place to play. Houston's been riding high. I think Texas Tech can play that similar in the mud style. They're always difficult at home. I'll take the two.”
HOU 69, TTU 61 — Houston beat Texas Tech 69-61 (ESPN); Red Raiders +2 lost outright by 8, failing to cover.
Colorado–Kansas under 144
“Then I'll play the under in the Kansas-Colorado game, under 144 between the Jayhawks and the Buffaloes in the nightcap.”
KU 71, COLO 64 — Kansas beat Colorado 71-64 (ESPN) for a combined 135 points, under the 144 total.
Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals exact matchup (+1400)
“[13:47] Right now, Celtics Lakers named the finalist market at BetMGM 14 to 1.
[13:52] Does that interest anybody?
[13:53] It interests me because the Lakers have a pretty high ceiling with LeBron and Luka Doncic.”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in seven games (Wikipedia/ESPN Finals coverage); the Celtics never reached the Finals, so the Celtics-Lakers exact-matchup future did not hit.
Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets NBA Finals exact matchup (+1300)
“[14:10] That's 13 to 1.
[14:12] Nikola Jokic, for my money, best player in the NBA.
[14:15] In the playoffs, I'm always going to want something on the best player in the NBA.
[14:19] So 13 to 1 Celtics Nuggets.”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in seven games (Wikipedia/ESPN Finals coverage); the Celtics never reached the Finals, so the Celtics-Nuggets exact-matchup future did not hit.
Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors NBA Finals exact matchup (+4000)
“[14:22] How about Golden State? Five and one since making the trade for Jimmy Butler. Jimmy's been awesome. He's fitting in. He's on his best behavior. Steph Curry seems like he's re-energized. Draymond Green seems re-energized. That Warriors team seems to be clicking on all cylinders. It might be a good team post-All-Star break. Celtics Warriors finals, which would be a rematch of the finals a few years ago, that's 40 to one.”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in seven games (Wikipedia/ESPN Finals coverage); the Celtics never reached the Finals, so the Celtics-Warriors exact-matchup future did not hit.
Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Finals exact matchup (+300)
“[14:45] all three of those prices Lakers 14 to 1 Celtics Nuggets 13 to 1 the Celtics Warriors 40 to 1 all of those interest me in this Western Conference and if you want to go ahead and play it safe get a little bit of insurance i do think there a little bit of value on celtics thunder at three to one facing off the premise that the celtics are going to win the eastern conference
[15:05] i'm looking to bet these western conference teams barring and tying them to the boston celtics and
[15:11] attacking it that way because i did a lot of a lot of confidence that the boston celtics will
[15:15] ultimately win the Eastern Conference.
[15:17] So give me Celtics-Lakers, Celtics-Nuggets, Celtics-Warriors.
[15:22] If you want to be a little bit safer, Celtics-Thunder as well for an NBA finalist matchup in June.
[15:28] I think all of those bets are good bets to make right now.
[15:31] They're all bets that I have made, and they're bets that we're going to ride through these
[15:34] NBA playoffs and hopefully make a lot of money at the end.”
The 2025 NBA Finals were Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in seven games (Wikipedia/ESPN Finals coverage); the Celtics were eliminated in the 2nd round and never reached the Finals, so the Celtics-Thunder exact-matchup future did not hit.
Andrew Wiggins over 16.5 points
“For me in the NBA, I'll go ahead and play on Andrew Wiggins over 16 and a half points.”
MIA 120, TOR 111 (OT) — Andrew Wiggins scored 25 points as Miami beat Toronto 120-111 in overtime on Feb 21, 2025, covering his over 16.5 points prop (ESPN box score). (Andrew Wiggins: 25 points)
Kyle Kuzma over 18.5 points
“I also like Kyle Kuzma over 18 and a half points.”
MIL 104, WSH 101 — Kyle Kuzma scored 19 points as Milwaukee beat Washington 104-101 on Feb 21, 2025, covering his over 18.5 points prop (ESPN box score). (Kyle Kuzma: 19 points)
P.J. Washington over 16.5 points
“And then P.J. Washington over 16 and a half points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
DAL 111, NO 103 — P.J. Washington scored 24 points as Dallas beat New Orleans 111-103 on Feb 21, 2025, covering his over 16.5 points prop (ESPN box score). (P.J. Washington: 24 points)
Villanova Wildcats +2
“I'll go ahead and bet on Villanova plus the 2.”
Villanova 81, Marquette 66 — Villanova beat Marquette 81-66 on Feb 21, 2025, a 15-point margin, so Villanova +2 covered (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma Sooners moneyline
“sooner, give me Oklahoma. I bet them against Florida. That didn't go well. I'm going to bet them against Hale State.”
Oklahoma 93, Mississippi State 87 — Oklahoma beat Mississippi State 93-87 on Feb 22, 2025, so Oklahoma moneyline won (ESPN box score).
USC–Maryland under 154.5
“Under 154 and a half for me tonight in College Park.”
Maryland 88, USC 71 — Maryland beat USC 88-71 on Feb 20, 2025, a combined 159 points, over the 154.5 total so the under busted (ESPN box score).
Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points
“For me, it's Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points against the Bulls.”
NY 113, CHI 111 (OT) — Jalen Brunson scored 22 points as New York beat Chicago 113-111 in overtime on Feb 20, 2025, so his over 28.5 points prop busted (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 22 points)
Anfernee Simons over 21.5 points
“I'll go with Anthony Simons over 21.5 points against the Los Angeles Lakers.”
LAL 110, POR 102 — Anfernee Simons scored 8 points as the Lakers beat Portland 110-102 on Feb 20, 2025, so his over 21.5 points prop busted (ESPN box score). (Anfernee Simons: 8 points)
Nikola Jokic over 27.5 points
“Also, give me Jokic over 27.5 points against the Charlotte Hornets.”
DEN 129, CHA 115 — Nikola Jokic scored 29 points as Denver beat Charlotte 129-115 on Feb 20, 2025, covering his over 27.5 points prop (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 29 points)
Canada moneyline (-105)
“Give me the Canadians minus 105.”
Canada 3, United States 2 (OT) — Canada beat the United States 3-2 in overtime to win the 4 Nations Face-Off final on Feb 20, 2025, so Canada moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Connor McDavid anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Also, Frozen Femi, Connor McDavid, best player in the world. Big game, plus 240. Lighten the lamp.”
Connor McDavid scored the overtime game-winning goal as Canada beat the United States 3-2 in the 4 Nations Face-Off final on Feb 20, 2025, so his anytime-goalscorer prop won (ESPN box score). (1 goal (OT game-winner))
San Antonio Spurs +3
“[29:01] All right, we got this.
[29:02] And all of a sudden you come out a little bit flat.
[29:04] You don't have all your stuff going.
[29:06] You're not on your P's and Q's.
[29:07] You're not dotting the I's, crossing the T's.
[29:09] and maybe you go out there and get clipped a little bit.
[29:12] So I think that in this instance, for me,
[29:14] this is definitely setting up for Spurs or pass,
[29:16] and we're going to go out and give our bets at 640
[29:19] during Gambling Night in America,
[29:20] make sure everybody tunes out for that.
[29:21] I'm going to be betting the San Antonio Spurs tonight.
[29:24] Just to play against this news,
[29:25] to think that maybe it's a little bit too much
[29:27] baked into the market that Wemby is out
[29:29] and his presence will not be out there on the floor.
[29:32] I would like to bet San Antonio against a Suns team
[29:34] that is, yeah, not that impressive.
[29:37] They're 500.
[29:38] They're out there in the play-in tournament as well.
[29:40] This is the team that San Antonio would have been competing with to get
[29:43] to the postseason at home.
[29:45] I think you could see the Spurs at least try to rally in just this night.
[29:47] Going forward, it's probably going to hurt them really, really badly,
[29:50] and I'll look to be betting against the Spurs going forward.
[29:53] But tonight in particular, I want to bet on San Antonio
[29:56] to kind of rise to the occasion against a lackluster Phoenix team.
[30:00] Fantastic handicap.
[30:01] The Fallen Hero spots make a ton of sense.
[30:03] Not only do the players relax, but also what do you scheme for?
[30:08] You know, like you've got your game plan set,
[30:11] And I'm sure Phoenix probably going into the all-star break during the all-star break.
[30:15] All right, we've got San Antonio first game out.
[30:17] Let's get our prep ready to go.
[30:18] Let's make sure we can defend Wemby.
[30:20] Let's prepare for this particular lineup.
[30:23] And then the morning of the game, you get this nuke that gets dropped into the market.
[30:29] Yeah, I think the first game and, you know, usually in basketball, because it's such a volume sport, baseball, too.
[30:35] That first little stretch right after a big time player goes down, you figure out a way to get around it.
[30:41] And then as the time horizon widens and more games, more data points start filtering in,
[30:47] that's when you start to notice a star player being out of the lineup.
[30:51] So I think if you get a three tonight, and I'm already seeing one three pop up,
[30:56] and we're trending towards two and a half right now, towards three with the juice.
[31:00] I think San Antonio plus three is a pretty decent bet tonight.
[31:04] Oh, baby. Fallen hero spot. A YBYB special.
[31:07] Will no Wemby for the Spurs?
[31:09] Go Spurs, go.
[31:11] We're betting them tonight against the Phoenix Suns.
[31:13] On the other side, DPOI is not the only market impacted by Victor Wembenyama's season-ending injury.”
SA 120, PHX 109 — San Antonio beat Phoenix outright 120-109 on Feb 20, 2025, so Spurs +3 covered easily (ESPN box score).
Wyatt Langford to win AL MVP (+5000)
“So that would be my bet in Major League Baseball right now, 50 to 1 Wyatt Lankford to win AL MVP.”
Aaron Judge (Yankees) won the 2025 AL MVP over Cal Raleigh (ESPN); Wyatt Langford was not a finalist, so the +5000 futures bet lost.
Kentucky Wildcats -4.5
“I'll lay the 4.5 with Kentucky.”
82-61 — Kentucky beat Vanderbilt 82-61 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Kentucky's 21-point margin covers the -4.5 spread.
Alabama–Missouri over 171.5
“I'll also play the over in Alabama, Missouri, over 171.5.”
110-98 — Missouri beat Alabama 110-98 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), a combined 208 points, well over the 171.5 total, so the over bet covers.
Cincinnati–West Virginia over 128.5
“I also like the over in Cincinnati, West Virginia, over 128.5.”
62-59 — West Virginia beat Cincinnati 62-59 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), a combined 121 points, well under the 128.5 total, so the over bet lost. (121 combined points)
NC State Wolfpack +10.5
“I'll plug my nose and take the 10.5 with NC State.”
97-73 — North Carolina beat NC State 97-73 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); NC State lost by 24, well outside the +10.5 spread, so the bet lost.
Iowa Hawkeyes +1.5
“I also like Iowa plus the one and a half.”
80-78 — Oregon beat Iowa 80-78 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Iowa lost by 2, just outside the +1.5 spread, so the bet lost.
Washington State Cougars +12.5
“And I'll play the plus 12 and a half with Washington State against Gonzaga on the late night tip.”
84-63 — Gonzaga beat Washington State 84-63 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Washington State lost by 21, well outside the +12.5 spread, so the bet lost.
Purdue–Michigan State under 148.5
“I like the under 148.5 in that game.”
75-66 — Michigan State beat Purdue 75-66 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); the combined 141 points is under the 148.5 total, so the under bet covers.
Oklahoma Sooners +14
“I'm going to actually bet on Oklahoma plus 14.”
85-63 — Florida beat Oklahoma 85-63 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Oklahoma lost by 22, well outside the +14 spread, so the bet lost.
Illinois Fighting Illini +4.5
“I'll also take the plus 4.5 with Illinois.”
95-74 — Wisconsin beat Illinois 95-74 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Illinois lost by 21, well outside the +4.5 spread, so the bet lost.
Kansas Jayhawks +3.5
“And I'll plug my nose and bet Kansas plus 3.5 at BYU.”
91-57 — BYU beat Kansas 91-57 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Kansas lost by 34, well outside the +3.5 spread, so the bet lost.
Victor Wembanyama over 24.5 points
“Wembe over 24 and a half points.”
SA 131, WSH 121 — Victor Wembanyama scored 31 points as the Spurs beat the Wizards 131-121 on Feb 10, 2025, clearing the over 24.5 line (ESPN). (Victor Wembanyama: 31 points)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points
“I'll also go with Shea Gilgis-Alexander over 32 and a half points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
OKC 137, NO 101 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points as the Thunder routed the Pelicans 137-101 on Feb 10, 2025, falling short of the over 32.5 line (ESPN). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points)
LeBron James over 7.5 assists
“LeBron James over 7.5 assists for the King.”
LAL 132, UTAH 113 — LeBron James had 8 assists as the Lakers beat the Jazz 132-113 on Feb 10, 2025 (Luka Dončić's Lakers debut), clearing the over 7.5 line (ESPN). (LeBron James: 8 assists)
North Carolina Tar Heels +4.5
“Now at 4.5, it's like a half unit bet, but I want something on the North Carolina Tar Heels. I think they pull off the upset and just win the game outright, so I'll take North Carolina plus the 4.5.”
CLEM 85, UNC 65 — Clemson beat North Carolina 85-65 on Feb 10, 2025; UNC's -20 margin busts the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
DeAndre Hopkins first touchdown scorer (+2800)
“28-1 DeAndre Hopkins for your Kansas City Chiefs to be your first TD score.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — The first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX was Jalen Hurts' 1-yard rushing TD in the first quarter; DeAndre Hopkins' touchdown catch came in the fourth quarter, so he was not the first scorer (ESPN box score).
A.J. Brown first touchdown scorer (+1300)
“A.J. Brown, 13-1. Jalen Hurts' best friend will be your first TD score.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — The first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX was Jalen Hurts' 1-yard rushing TD; A.J. Brown's 12-yard touchdown catch came later in the first half, so he was not the first scorer (ESPN box score).
Xavier Worthy over 5.5 rushing yards (-140)
“So I also like Xavier Worthy over 5.5 rushing yards. That's minus 140.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Xavier Worthy recorded 0 rushing attempts and 0 rushing yards in Super Bowl LIX (his production was all receiving: 8 catches, 157 yards, 2 TD), under the 5.5 rushing-yards line (ESPN box score). (Xavier Worthy: 0 rushing yards)
Patrick Mahomes over 23.5 completions (-135)
“Patrick Mahomes, to mitigate the pass rush of the Eagles, I like over 23.5 completions, minus 135.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes completed 21 of 32 passes in Super Bowl LIX per the ESPN box score, under the 23.5 completions line. (Patrick Mahomes: 21 completions)
JuJu Smith-Schuster over 13.5 receiving yards
“Juju Smith-Schuster, I like his over 13.5 receiving yards as well.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — JuJu Smith-Schuster caught 2 passes for 16 receiving yards in Super Bowl LIX, over the 13.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (JuJu Smith-Schuster: 16 receiving yards)
Jalen Hurts first rushing attempt under 3.5 yards
“I also like the Jalen Hurts' first rushing attempt under 3.5 yards.”
Per ESPN's play-by-play, Jalen Hurts' first rushing attempt of Super Bowl LIX was a 9-yard scramble on the Eagles' opening drive, well over the 3.5-yard line. (Jalen Hurts first rush: 9 yards)
Philadelphia Eagles to record the first sack (-115)
“And then finally, team to record the first sack, Philadelphia Eagles, minus 115.”
Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Josh Sweat recorded the first sack of Super Bowl LIX, a 4-yard loss on Patrick Mahomes, per NFL.com highlight coverage.
Kansas City Chiefs
“I like the Kansas City Chiefs. I think the Chiefs are going to win the football game.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — The Kansas City Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Philadelphia Eagles 40-22, so the Chiefs moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
Super Bowl LIX under 48.5
“For the total, under, under 48 and a half.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX; combined score of 62 went over the 48.5 total, so the under lost (ESPN box score).
Stephen Curry over 26.5 points (-111)
“And I'd like Stephen Curry to go over his points prop. Over 26.5 points against the Los Angeles Lakers. minus 111.”
LAL 120, GS 112 — Stephen Curry scored 37 points for Golden State in a 120-112 loss to the Lakers on Feb 6, 2025, over the 26.5-point line (ESPN). (Stephen Curry: 37 points)
Timo Meier anytime goal scorer (+260)
“Timo Meier for the New Jersey Devils, plus 260 against the Vegas Golden Knights. I like him to light the lamp.”
Vegas 3, New Jersey 1 — Vegas beat New Jersey 3-1 on Feb 6, 2025; Devils' only goal was Ondrej Palat — Timo Meier did not score (ESPN box score).
Travis Konecny anytime goal scorer (+210)
“Travis Konechny of the Philadelphia Flyers, plus 210 tonight against the Washington Capitals.”
Washington 4, Philadelphia 3 — Washington beat Philadelphia 4-3 on Feb 6, 2025; Flyers' goals came from Matvei Michkov (x2) and Tyson Foerster — Travis Konecny recorded an assist but did not score (ESPN box score).
Robert Thomas anytime goal scorer (+290)
“I'll also go back to the world with Robert Thomas. Didn't get him earlier this week. Let's go back. Plus 290 for the St. Louis Blues as they take on the Florida Panthers.”
Florida 3, St. Louis 2 — Florida beat St. Louis 3-2 on Feb 6, 2025; Blues' goals were Zack Bolduc and Oskar Sundqvist — Robert Thomas had an assist but did not score (ESPN box score).
Nazem Kadri anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Nazem Kadri has been good to us recently, plus 220 for the Calgary Flames against the Colorado Avalanche.”
Colorado 4, Calgary 2 — Colorado beat Calgary 4-2 on Feb 6, 2025; Flames' goals were Jonathan Huberdeau and Rasmus Andersson — Nazem Kadri, playing for Calgary, recorded an assist but did not score (ESPN box score).
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+330)
“Jared McCann for the Seattle Kraken, plus 330 tonight as they host the Toronto Maple Leafs.”
Toronto 3, Seattle 1 — Toronto beat Seattle 3-1 on Feb 6, 2025; Leafs scored via Philippe Myers, Bobby McMann and Matthew Knies, Seattle's lone goal was Eeli Tolvanen — Jared McCann did not score (ESPN box score).
Nic Claxton over 11.5 points (-118)
“That is Nic Claxton for the Brooklyn Nets. Over 11.5 points, minus 118 against the Wiz.”
WSH 119, BKN 102 — Nic Claxton scored 5 points as the Wizards beat the Nets 119-102, under the 11.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Nic Claxton: 5 points)
Ja Morant over 21.5 points
“I also like John Morant over 21.5 points. against the Toronto Raptors.”
MEM 138, TOR 107 — Ja Morant scored 26 points in Memphis's 138-107 win over Toronto, covering the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Ja Morant: 26 points)
Stephen Curry over 24.5 points
“But I have faith in Steph tonight in Salt Lake City against the Utah Jazz. Over 24.5 points for Stephen Curry”
UTAH 131, GS 128 — Stephen Curry scored 32 points in Golden State's 131-128 loss to Utah, covering the 24.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Stephen Curry: 32 points)
Jamal Murray over 20.5 points
“And then finally, at home, Jamal Murray. Over 20.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
DEN 144, NO 119 — Jamal Murray scored 10 points in Denver's 144-119 win over New Orleans, well under the 20.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Jamal Murray: 10 points)
Duke–Syracuse under 143.5
“I'll take the under in the Carrier Dome, under 143.5 between Duke and Syracuse.”
DUKE 83, SYR 54 — Duke beat Syracuse 83-54; combined 137 points covers the under 143.5 (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers -9.5
“Also lay the 9.5 with Tennessee at home against Missouri.”
TENN 85, MIZ 81 — Tennessee beat Missouri 85-81, a 4-point margin that falls short of covering -9.5 (ESPN box score).
Illinois–Rutgers over 157.5
“And also play the over in the Illinois and Rutgers game. I think the Illini offense has struggled as of late. I think they bounce back strong over there in Rutgers, so over 157.5.”
RUTG 82, ILL 73 — Rutgers beat Illinois 82-73; combined 155 points misses the over 157.5 (ESPN box score).
Brad Marchand anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I'll play Brad Marchand, plus 220 for Boston”
NYR 3, BOS 2 — Brad Marchand did not score for Boston in the 3-2 loss to the Rangers; he had an assist on Elias Lindholm's goal but no goal himself (ESPN box score).
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal scorer (+210)
“and also Vincent Trocek for the New York Rangers, plus 210.”
NYR 3, BOS 2 — Vincent Trocheck scored in the 3rd period as the Rangers beat the Bruins 3-2 (ESPN box score). (Vincent Trocheck: 1 goal)
Connor Hellebuyck to win the Hart Trophy (+300) · BetMGM
“Connor Hellebuyck is not the favorite. Connor Hellebuyck right now is plus 300 and is available to bet on. The favorite right now is Leon Dreisaitl. Once again, the leader in this poll, which is done by many people all throughout the hockey media that cover the league, they believe right now Connor Hellebuyck is the Hart Trophy winner. He is plus 300. I think it's a betting opportunity. You mentioned it at breakfast. We were betting this. It's still plus 300. I just bet some more about 20 minutes ago before we came on the air.”
Connor Hellebuyck won the 2024-25 Hart Memorial Trophy (Wikipedia's Hart Memorial Trophy winners list).
James Harden over 21.5 points
“So give me James Harden over on his point score, over 21.5 points on James Harden.”
LAL 122, LAC 97 — James Harden scored 7 points (2-of-12) as the Lakers beat the Clippers 122-97, well under his 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 7 points)
James Harden over 9.5 assists (-104)
“I also like over 9.5 assists, minus 104.”
LAL 122, LAC 97 — James Harden finished with 9 assists in the Lakers' 122-97 win over the Clippers, just short of the 9.5-assist line (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 9 assists)
James Harden triple-double (+1300)
“I'll also go ahead and play the big one, record a triple-double. James Harden triple-double, 13-1.”
LAL 122, LAC 97 — James Harden finished with 7 points, 3 rebounds and 9 assists in the Lakers' 122-97 win over the Clippers — no triple-double (ESPN box score). (7 pts / 3 reb / 9 ast)
Alex Tuch anytime goal scorer (+175)
“Alex Tuck of the Sabres, plus 175. They're taking on Columbus.”
BUF 3, CBJ 2 — Alex Tuch scored twice as Buffalo beat Columbus 3-2 (ESPN box score). (Alex Tuch: 2 goals)
Drake Batherson anytime goal scorer (+310)
“Drake Batherson, let's go back to that. Well, plus 310 for the Ottawa Senators. They're taking, yeah, exactly. At the Tampa Bay Lightning.”
TB 4, OTT 3 — Drake Batherson scored in the 3rd period for Ottawa in Tampa Bay's 4-3 win (ESPN box score). (Drake Batherson: 1 goal)
Timo Meier anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I also like Timo Meier of the New Jersey Devils, plus 200 against the Penguins in that same game.”
NJ 3, PIT 2 — Timo Meier's only goal was the shootout winner in New Jersey's 3-2 SO win over Pittsburgh; shootout goals don't count for anytime-goalscorer props, and he had no goal in regulation/OT (ESPN box score).
Rickard Rakell anytime goal scorer (+210)
“Ricard Raquel for the Penguins, plus 210 against New Jersey.”
NJ 3, PIT 2 — Rickard Rakell scored a regulation goal for Pittsburgh in New Jersey's 3-2 shootout win (ESPN box score). (Rickard Rakell: 1 goal)
Brock Boeser anytime goal scorer (+230)
“I also go with Brock Bozer of the Vancouver Canucks, plus 230 against the Colorado Avalanche.”
VAN 3, COL 0 — Brock Boeser scored for Vancouver in their 3-0 shutout win over Colorado (ESPN box score). (Brock Boeser: 1 goal)
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+300)
“Let's go to Jared McCann, plus 300. He's never plus 300. He's getting a scoring drought. I like him tonight against Detroit.”
DET 5, SEA 4 — Jared McCann did not score for Seattle in the 5-4 SO loss to Detroit; he had only an assist on Shane Wright's 3rd-period goal (ESPN box score).
William Eklund anytime goal scorer (+250)
“And then finally, William Eklund of the San Jose Sharks, plus 250 against the Montreal Canadiens.”
MTL 4, SJ 3 — William Eklund did not score for San Jose in the 4-3 loss to Montreal; he had one assist but no goal (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma–Auburn under 153.5
“And then finally, I'll play the under with the number one team in the country, under in Oklahoma-Auburn, under 153.5 in the SEC to wrap it.”
AUB 98, OU 70 — Auburn beat Oklahoma 98-70; combined 168 points busts the under 153.5 (ESPN box score).
Coin toss — tails (-101)
“Coin toss will be tails because tails never fails, unless it does. Minus 101.”
The Super Bowl LIX coin toss result was tails; the Chiefs called tails and won the toss (NBC Sports Philadelphia coin-toss history table).
Mark Williams over 19.5 points (-105)
“I'll go with Mark Williams, Hornets center, over 19.5 points, minus 105 against the Washington Wizards.”
Washington 124, Charlotte 114 — Mark Williams scored 23 points for Charlotte in the 124-114 loss at Washington, clearing over 19.5. (Mark Williams: 23 points)
Bennedict Mathurin over 13.5 points (-111)
“I'll also play on Bennedict Mathurin, over 13.5 points against the Utah Jazz, minus 111.”
Indiana 112, Utah 111 — Bennedict Mathurin scored 9 points in Indiana's 112-111 win over Utah, under 13.5. (Bennedict Mathurin: 9 points)
Jamal Murray over 21.5 points
“I'll play over 21.5 points with Jamal Murray at home against a bad New Orleans Pelicans team.”
Denver 125, New Orleans 113 — Jamal Murray scored 20 points in Denver's 125-113 win over New Orleans, under 21.5. (Jamal Murray: 20 points)
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I'm betting Jonathan Marcheseau to score a go anytime goal scorer plus 200.”
Ottawa 5, Nashville 2 — Jonathan Marchessault scored a 3rd-period power-play goal for Nashville in the 5-2 loss to Ottawa. (Jonathan Marchessault: 1 goal)
Iowa State–Kansas over 145.5
“I'm going to play the over, over 145.5 with Iowa State and Kansas.”
Kansas 69, Iowa State 52 — Kansas beat Iowa State 69-52, combined 121 points, under 145.5.
Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points (-129)
“I'm just going to go with Jayson Tatum over 25 and a half points, minus 129.”
BOS 118, NO 116 — Jayson Tatum scored 27 points in the Celtics' 118-116 win over the Pelicans; over 25.5 points covers (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 27 points)
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal scorer (+200)
“We go back to the world with Jonathan Marcheseau of the Nashville Predators plus 200 against Buffalo”
Buffalo 4, Nashville 3 — Jonathan Marchessault finished with 0 goals, 0 assists in Buffalo's 4-3 win over Nashville on Jan 31, 2025 (ESPN box score); anytime goal scorer loses. (Jonathan Marchessault: 0 goals)
Robert Thomas anytime goal scorer (+290)
“And then Robert Thomas of the St. Louis Blues, plus 290 as they take on the Colorado Avalanche. Those are my two bets on the ice in the NHL.”
Colorado 5, St. Louis 0 — Colorado shut out St. Louis 5-0 on Jan 31, 2025; Robert Thomas did not score (ESPN box score) — anytime goal scorer lost. (Robert Thomas: 0 goals)
Indiana Hoosiers +12.5
“I'm going to go back to Hoosiers plus 12 and a half on the road at Purdue.”
Purdue 81, Indiana 76 — Purdue beat Indiana 81-76 on Jan 31, 2025; Indiana lost by 5, covering the +12.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown scorer (+165) · BetMGM
“So give me Xavier Worthy plus 165 over at BetMGM. Anytime TD score.”
Xavier Worthy caught 8 passes for 157 yards and 2 touchdowns for the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX on Feb 9, 2025, an anytime-TD win despite the Chiefs' 40-22 loss (ESPN box score). (2 receiving touchdowns (8 catches, 157 yards))
LeBron James over 27.5 points
“LeBron's going over his points prop, over 27 and a half.”
WSH 96, LAL 134 — LeBron James scored 24 points as the Lakers beat the Wizards 134-96; over 27.5 busts (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 24 points)
Anthony Edwards over 27.5 points
“Also take Anthony Edwards over 27 and a half points against the Utah Jazz.”
UTAH 113, MIN 138 — Anthony Edwards scored 36 points as the Timberwolves beat the Jazz 138-113; over 27.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 36 points)
Paolo Banchero over 22.5 points
“Paulo Banqueiro, finally, for me, over 22 and a half points against the Portland Trailblazers.”
POR 119, ORL 90 — Paolo Banchero scored 21 points as the Trail Blazers beat the Magic 119-90; over 22.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Paolo Banchero: 21 points)
Matt Boldy anytime goal scorer (+185)
“Please, Matt Boldy of the Minnesota Wild, plus 185 against Montreal. Get it done.”
MIN 4, MTL 0 — Wild beat Canadiens 4-0 with goals from Ohgren, Rossi, Shore, and Gaudreau; Matt Boldy did not score (ESPN box score). (Matt Boldy: 0 goals)
Nick Suzuki anytime goal scorer (+220)
“In that same game, I'll go with Nick Suzuki, plus 220 for Montreal. I think Nick Suzuki scores.”
MIN 4, MTL 0 — Canadiens were shut out 0-4 by the Wild; Nick Suzuki did not score (ESPN box score). (Nick Suzuki: 0 goals)
Kevin Fiala anytime goal scorer (+230)
“I'll also go ahead and play Kevin Fiala of the Kings, plus 230 against the Lightning.”
TB 3, LAK 0 — Lightning beat Kings 3-0 on goals by Hagel (2) and Cirelli; Kevin Fiala did not score (ESPN box score). (Kevin Fiala: 0 goals)
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Also another Dylan Larkin category, Brandon Hagel, plus 200 with the Tampa Bay Lightning. I continue to go back to the well with him.”
TB 3, LAK 0 — Brandon Hagel scored twice in the Lightning's 3-0 win over the Kings (ESPN box score). (Brandon Hagel: 2 goals)
Macklin Celebrini anytime goal scorer (+200)
“And then finally, let's go with the phenom, the rookie, Macklin Celebrini, plus 200 for the San Jose Sharks as they take on the Seattle Kraken.”
SEA 6, SJ 2 — Kraken beat Sharks 6-2; Macklin Celebrini recorded only an assist (on Toffoli's third-period goal), no goal (ESPN box score). (Macklin Celebrini: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Tulane Green Wave +6
“I do like Tulane getting the six at home against his Memphis team.”
MEM 68, TULN 56 — Memphis beat Tulane 68-56, a 12-point margin; Tulane +6 busts (ESPN box score).
Nebraska Cornhuskers +4
“I also, it's a small bet, but I do like Nebraska a little bit getting the four.”
NEB 80, ILL 74 — Nebraska beat Illinois 80-74 in overtime, a 6-point margin; Nebraska +4 covers (ESPN box score).
Illinois-Nebraska over 155
“I also like the over in that game. So a double bet. Nebraska plus the points and over. I believe it's now up to 155.”
NEB 80, ILL 74 — Nebraska beat Illinois 80-74 in overtime, a combined 154 points; over 155 busts (ESPN box score).
Oregon-UCLA under 141
“And then finally, I'll take the under in Oregon, UCLA, little West Coast nightcap action in the Big Ten now, under 141.”
UCLA 78, ORE 52 — UCLA beat Oregon 78-52, a combined 130 points; under 141 covers (ESPN box score).
Golden State Warriors to win the Pacific Division (+2500) · BetMGM
“So I think at this point, I'm looking to take the long shot, and the long shot is the Golden State Warriors, who are 25-1 over at MGM to win the Pacific Division.”
Lakers 50-32; Warriors 48-34 — The Los Angeles Lakers won the 2024-25 NBA Pacific Division at 50-32 (tiebreak over the Clippers); Golden State finished 3rd in the division at 48-34, so the Warriors futures pick lost (per Wikipedia's 2024-25 NBA season final standings).
Miami Heat to win the Southeast Division (+350) · BetMGM
“I want to bet them plus 350, and I have bet them plus 350, to go ahead and win the Southeast Division.”
Magic 41-41; Heat 37-45 — The Orlando Magic won the 2024-25 NBA Southeast Division at 41-41; the Miami Heat finished 3rd in the division at 37-45, so the Heat futures pick lost (per Wikipedia's 2024-25 NBA season final standings).
Over 141.5
“And in this game, I like the over. I like over 141 and a half because this isn't the UConn team of the last couple of years.”
UConn 72, DePaul 61 — UConn beat DePaul 72-61 (combined 133 points); the total falls short of over 141.5 (ESPN box score).
Over 149
“I will play the total, and this is another game where I'm going to play over the total, over 149 between Auburn and LSU.”
Auburn 87, LSU 74 — Auburn beat LSU 87-74 (combined 161); over 149 covers (ESPN box score).
West Virginia Mountaineers +8.5
“I bet a bad number on this one. I bet this like right as I woke up because I knew I wanted to fade West Virginia. I took eight and a half, but there's nine and a half. You can get a better number out there.”
Houston 63, West Virginia 49 — Houston beat West Virginia 63-49; WVU lost outright by 14, busting the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Under 153
“This is a 153 total in a Wisconsin game, but I like it under. Wisconsin's more up and down now with Greg Gard, but I still like this under 153.”
Maryland 76, Wisconsin 68 — Maryland beat Wisconsin 76-68 (combined 144); under 153 covers (ESPN box score).
Over 136.5
“But I just I'll go ahead and play the side or sorry, the total. I'll bet over 136 and a half. I don't want anything to do with the side.”
Texas Tech 71, TCU 57 — Texas Tech beat TCU 71-57 (combined 128); over 136.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Mississippi State Bulldogs -1
“And I also like Mississippi State laying the one against the Alabama Crimson Tide.”
Alabama 88, Mississippi State 84 — Alabama beat Mississippi State 88-84; Mississippi State lost outright, busting the -1 spread (ESPN box score).
Scottie Barnes over 21.5 points (-105)
“I'm going to go Scottie Barnes over 21.5 points, minus 105.”
106-82 — Scottie Barnes scored 24 points as the Raptors beat the Wizards 106-82 on Jan 29, 2025, clearing the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Scottie Barnes: 24 points)
Kyle Kuzma over 16.5 points (-121)
“Also playing the same game, Kyle Kuzma over 16.5 points. They're minus 121.”
106-82 — Kyle Kuzma scored 19 points as the Raptors beat the Wizards 106-82 on Jan 29, 2025, clearing the 16.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Kyle Kuzma: 19 points)
Miles Bridges over 23.5 points
“In the Charlotte Hornets and the Brooklyn Nets game, I'll go Miles Bridges over 23.5 points.”
104-83 — Miles Bridges scored 23 points as the Nets beat the Hornets 104-83 on Jan 29, 2025, falling short of the 23.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Miles Bridges: 23 points)
P.J. Washington over 16.5 points
“And then finally, let's ride the hot hand. P.J. Washington over 16.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
137-136 — P.J. Washington scored 25 points as the Mavericks outlasted the Pelicans 137-136 on Jan 29, 2025, clearing the 16.5-point line (ESPN box score). (P.J. Washington: 25 points)
Matt Boldy anytime goal (+200)
“Matt Boldy time to step up plus 200 to score a goal against Toronto”
3-1 — Matt Boldy did not score in Minnesota's 3-1 win at Toronto on Jan 29, 2025 (3 shots, no points); Wild goals came from Khusnutdinov, Spurgeon, and Foligno (ESPN box score). (Matt Boldy: 0 goals)
Aleksander Barkov anytime goal (+210)
“I also back Alexander a Sasha Barkov for the Florida Panthers plus 210 against the Kings”
3-0 — Aleksander Barkov scored a third-period power-play goal in Florida's 3-0 shutout of Los Angeles on Jan 29, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Aleksander Barkov: 1 goal)
Jesper Bratt anytime goal (+200)
“Let's go back to the well with Jesper Bratt of the New Jersey Devils, plus 200 against the Philadelphia Flyers.”
5-0 — Jesper Bratt did not score (2 assists, no goals) as New Jersey shut out Philadelphia 5-0 on Jan 29, 2025; Devils goals came from Palat, L. Hughes, Bastian, Mercer, and J. Hughes (ESPN box score). (Jesper Bratt: 0 goals)
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal (+200)
“Then finally, Jonathan Marcheseau, another person that's hashtag due against the Vancouver Canucks. Jonathan Marcheseau of the Nashville Predators, plus 200 as well. Those are the four goal scorer bets in the NHL.”
3-1 — Jonathan Marchessault did not score as Vancouver beat Nashville 3-1 on Jan 29, 2025; the Predators' only goal came from Tommy Novak (Canucks goals: Hoglander, Karlsson, Suter empty-netter) (ESPN box score). (Jonathan Marchessault: 0 goals)
Stephen Curry over 24.5 points
“Just one player prop, and we're going with the man, Stephen Curry He's been struggling as of late. Thumb injury, I don't care, against Utah Jazz. We're going over 24 and a half points.”
Golden State 114, Utah 103 — Stephen Curry was ruled out (rest) and did not play in Golden State's 114-103 win over Utah, so the points prop has no action (ESPN box score).
Brad Marchand anytime goal (+225)
“We'll start with Brad Marchand of the Bruins, plus 225 against Buffalo.”
Brad Marchand scored a power-play goal in Boston's 7-2 loss to Buffalo (ESPN box score). (1 goal)
Anthony Cirelli anytime goal (+230)
“I also like Anthony Sorelli of the Tampa Bay Lightning, plus 230 as they take on the Chicago Blackhawks.”
Anthony Cirelli did not score; Chicago beat Tampa Bay 4-1, with Connor Bedard among the Blackhawks' scorers (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Blake Coleman anytime goal (+340)
“Blake Coleman of Calgary, plus 340, calling our shots against the Caps later on tonight.”
Blake Coleman did not score; Washington beat Calgary 3-1 with goals from Dubois, Strome and Protas (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Wyatt Johnston anytime goal (+230)
“And then Wyatt Johnson of those Dallas Stars, plus 230 here in Las Vegas against VGK. Those are my four goal scorer bets in the NHL.”
Wyatt Johnston scored a natural hat trick, including the overtime winner, in Dallas's 4-3 win over Vegas (ESPN box score). (3 goals)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +9
“Big card, but I'll take the nine with Wake Forest against Louisville.”
Louisville 72, Wake Forest 59 — Louisville beat Wake Forest 72-59, a 13-point margin that fails to cover Wake Forest +9 (ESPN final).
Under 147
“I'll also go with the under in the Marquette-Butler game, under 147.”
Marquette 78, Butler 69 — Marquette beat Butler 78-69, a combined 147 points exactly matching the under 147 total, pushing (ESPN final).
Over 131.5
“I'll take the over in South Carolina, Georgia over 131.5.”
Georgia 71, South Carolina 60 — Georgia beat South Carolina 71-60, a combined 131 points, under the 131.5 total (ESPN final).
Baylor Bears +4
“Also go ahead and take the plus four with Baylor on the road at the Marriott Center.”
BYU 93, Baylor 89 — BYU beat Baylor 93-89 in overtime, a 4-point margin exactly matching the +4 line, pushing (ESPN final).
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8.5
“I'll also take the eight and a half with Georgia Tech against Notre Dame.”
Notre Dame 71, Georgia Tech 68 — Notre Dame beat Georgia Tech 71-68, a 3-point margin, so Georgia Tech +8.5 covered (ESPN final).
Over 138
“Let's go over in Cincinnati, Utah over 138,”
Utah 69, Cincinnati 66 — Utah beat Cincinnati 69-66, a combined 135 points, under the 138 total (ESPN final).
Under 155
“and then we'll go under nightcap in Spokane between Oregon State and Gonzaga. Under 155.”
Gonzaga 98, Oregon State 60 — Gonzaga beat Oregon State 98-60, a combined 158 points, over the under 155 total (ESPN final).
Washington Commanders moneyline (+250)
“I think the commanders are going to win this game. I've gotten there to where I want some money line as well. Shopping around, best money line price out there is plus 250.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Eagles beat Commanders 55-23 in the NFC Championship; Washington moneyline pick loses (ESPN box score).
Kareem Hunt over 34.5 rushing yards (-115)
“I'm going to go with Kareem Hunt over 34 and a half rushing guards minus 115.”
32-29 — Kareem Hunt rushed for 64 yards on 17 carries in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, covering the over 34.5 line (ESPN box score). (Kareem Hunt: 64 rushing yards)
Austin Ekeler first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“Austin Eckler, 18-1 to be your scorer.”
PHI 55-WSH 23 — Austin Ekeler had 1 rush for 19 yards and 5 catches for 17 yards but did not score in the NFC Championship (Eagles 55, Commanders 23); Barkley scored first for Philadelphia (ESPN box score). (Austin Ekeler: 0 TD)
Dallas Goedert first touchdown scorer (+1700)
“And on the Philadelphia side, I don't care what the Boohoo injury report is telling me. This man is healthy. This man is tough. And this man is Dallas Goddard. 17 to 1 inspired performance to help out Jalen Hurts who can't throw the football more than 130 yards in a game.”
PHI 55-WSH 23 — Dallas Goedert caught 7 passes for 85 yards but did not score in the NFC Championship, a 55-23 Eagles win over the Commanders (ESPN box score). (Dallas Goedert: 0 TD)
Ty Johnson first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“How about a long shot at running back, Ty Johnson, 40 to 1 to be your first TD scorer.”
KC 32-BUF 29 — Ty Johnson rushed 6 times for 19 yards and caught 1 pass for 0 yards, scoring no touchdown in the AFC Championship; Kareem Hunt's 12-yard rush opened the scoring for Kansas City (ESPN box score). (Ty Johnson: 0 TD)
Xavier Worthy first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“Xavier Worthy, 12 to 1. End around. Deep ball. Doesn't matter. He's versatile. He's fast. And he will be your first TD score for the Kansas City Chiefs.”
KC 32-BUF 29 — The AFC Championship's first score was Kareem Hunt's 1st-quarter 12-yard rushing TD; Xavier Worthy's 11-yard TD reception came afterward in the 2nd quarter, so he was not the first scorer (ESPN scoring summary).
Brock Nelson anytime goal (+220)
“I like Brock Nelson, plus 220 of the Islanders to score against the Flyers tonight.”
3-1 — Brock Nelson scored a goal as the Islanders beat the Flyers 3-1 (ESPN box score). (Brock Nelson: 1 goal)
Jack Eichel anytime goal (+220)
“If you're going to give Jack Eichel a plus 220 to score a goal, I'm going to bet it.”
4-3 — Jack Eichel scored twice for Vegas in the Golden Knights' 4-3 loss to the Stars (ESPN box score). (Jack Eichel: 2 goals)
Brandon Hagel anytime goal (+190)
“Then finally, Brandon Hagel plus 190 of the Tampa Bay Lightning against the Chicago Blackhawks.”
4-3 — Brandon Hagel did not score a goal (he had 1 assist) as the Lightning beat the Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime (ESPN box score). (Brandon Hagel: 0 goals)
Over 144
“I like the over in Villanova, Marquette, over 144. That's as high as I've played.”
87-74 — Marquette beat Villanova 87-74, a combined 161 points that covers the over 144 total (ESPN final).
Over 151.5
“I also like the over in Michigan and Purdue. I bet over 151.5.”
91-64 — Purdue beat Michigan 91-64, a combined 155 points that covers the over 151.5 total (ESPN final).
Kansas City Chiefs moneyline (-125)
“I'm going to bet them on the money line as I've done at minus 125. I think they win the game.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Chiefs beat Bills 32-29 in the AFC Championship, winning outright to cover the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Illinois Fighting Illini -7.5
“I already laid it this morning. I like it. I know that some of the markets, there's actually some sevens out there as well. I laid seven and a half.”
MD 91, ILL 70 — Maryland beat Illinois 91-70; Illinois lost outright, failing to cover the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
De'Andre Hunter over 18.5 points
“I'll go with DeAndre Hunter over 18.5 points against the Toronto Raptors.”
TOR 122, ATL 119 — De'Andre Hunter scored 8 points (3-11 FG) in the Raptors' 122-119 win over the Hawks, well under the 18.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Hunter 8 points)
Ivica Zubac over 13.5 points
“Evika Zubat, over 13 and a half points.”
WSH 93, LAC 110 — Ivica Zubac scored 11 points (5-10 FG) in the Clippers' 110-93 win over the Wizards, under the 13.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Zubac 11 points)
Ivica Zubac 20+ points 19.5 (+340)
“Also 20 plus points, plus 340.”
WSH 93, LAC 110 — Ivica Zubac scored 11 points in the Clippers' 110-93 win over the Wizards, well under the 19.5-point (20+) line (ESPN box score). (Zubac 11 points)
Utah Hockey Club moneyline (+135)
“Give me the Utah Hockey Club on the money line, plus 135 against the Minnesota Wild.”
UTA 4, MIN 0 — Utah Hockey Club shut out Minnesota 4-0, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Goal scorer props, though. Vincent Trocek of the New York Rangers, plus 200 against the Flyers.”
PHI 1, NYR 6 — The Rangers beat the Flyers 6-1 with goals from Schneider, Edstrom, Chytil, Fox, Miller and Smith (Flyers' lone goal from Tippett); Vincent Trocheck did not score (ESPN box score).
Nazem Kadri anytime goal scorer (+190)
“And then Nazem Khadri of the Calgary Flames, plus 190 against the Buffalo Sabres.”
BUF 2, CGY 5 — Nazem Kadri scored a goal (plus two assists) in Calgary's 5-2 win over Buffalo (ESPN box score).
Jalen Williams over 20.5 points (-105)
“Jalen Williams with an E, over 20.5 points, minus 105.”
OKC 123, UTA 114 — Jalen Williams scored 25 points as the Thunder beat the Jazz 123-114 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN), over his 20.5 points line. (Jalen Williams: 25 points)
Jesper Bratt anytime goal scorer (+205)
“I'll go with Jesper Bratt of the New Jersey Devils, plus 205 against the Boston Brewers”
NJD 5, BOS 1 — New Jersey beat Boston 5-1 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); Jesper Bratt recorded an assist but did not score a goal. (Jesper Bratt: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Kevin Fiala anytime goal scorer (+200)
“plus 200 Kevin Fiala of the LA Kings against the Florida Panthers Those are my two goal scorer props”
LAK 2, FLA 1 — The LA Kings beat Florida 2-1 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); the winning goal was Adrian Kempe tipping in a Kevin Fiala shot — Fiala picked up an assist but did not score a goal himself. (Kevin Fiala: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Arkansas Razorbacks -1
“I laid the one with Arkansas Razorbacks.”
ARK 68, UGA 65 — Arkansas beat Georgia 68-65 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN), a 3-point margin that covers Arkansas -1.
Under 141
“I like the under in that game. Two really good defensive teams. Chris Beard at home just feels like a rock fight kind of game. I'll go under 141.”
TAMU 63, MISS 62 — Texas A&M beat Ole Miss 63-62 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); the combined total of 125 is under the 141 line, so the under covers.
South Carolina Gamecocks +11.5
“I'll also plug my nose, take the points with the Gamecocks, plus 11.5 as they host the Florida Gators.”
FLA 70, SC 69 — Florida beat South Carolina 70-69 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); South Carolina's 1-point loss is well within the +11.5 spread, so it covers.
Jaylen Wells to win NBA Rookie of the Year (+325)
“The guy I would bet though is actually Jaylen Wells at plus three 25 to win this award.”
Spurs guard Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award, announced April 29, 2025, beating out Zaccharie Risacher and Jaylen Wells (NBA.com); Jaylen Wells did not win.
Evan Mobley to win NBA Most Improved Player (+500)
“So for me, from a betting standpoint, I would be betting Evan Mobley and Norman Powell as a pair, plus 500 and plus 650 for most improved player.”
Hawks guard Dyson Daniels won the 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player award, announced April 30, 2025, beating out Cade Cunningham and Ivica Zubac (NBA.com); Evan Mobley did not win.
Norman Powell to win NBA Most Improved Player (+650)
“So for me, from a betting standpoint, I would be betting Evan Mobley and Norman Powell as a pair, plus 500 and plus 650 for most improved player.”
Hawks guard Dyson Daniels won the 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player award, announced April 30, 2025, beating out Cade Cunningham and Ivica Zubac (NBA.com); Norman Powell did not win.
Leon Draisaitl to win the Hart Trophy
“I would be betting Leon Draisaitl right now to be the Hart Trophy winner.”
Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck won the 2024-25 Hart Trophy as NHL MVP (announced June 2025), edging Leon Draisaitl in the voting; Draisaitl did not win (NHL.com).
Saquon Barkley under 132.5 rushing yards
“Femi Abebefe, one word answer, over or under Saquon Barkley, 132.5 in the NFC title game against the Commies? Under.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards on 15 carries in the Eagles' 55-23 NFC Championship win over the Commanders on Jan 26, 2025, under his 132.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Barkley 118 rushing yards)
Tyler Herro over 22.5 points
“First off on the association, let's go with Tyler Herro over 22.5 points against the Portland Trailblazers.”
POR 116, MIA 107 — Tyler Herro scored 11 points off the bench in the Trail Blazers' 116-107 road win over the Heat on Jan 21, 2025, well under his 22.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Herro 11 points)
Cole Anthony over 15.5 points
“I'll also play on Cole Anthony over 15 and a half points for the Orlando Magic against the Toronto Raptors.”
TOR 109, ORL 93 — Cole Anthony was sidelined with an illness and did not play in the Raptors' 109-93 win over the Magic on Jan 21, 2025, so the points prop had no action (ESPN). (DNP (illness))
Anthony Davis over 26.5 points (-130)
“Anthony Davis over 26 and a half points, minus 130.”
LAL 111, WSH 88 — Anthony Davis scored 29 points in the Lakers' 111-88 win over the Wizards on Jan 21, 2025, over his 26.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Davis 29 points)
Anthony Davis 30+ points 29.5 (+135)
“Let's go Anthony Davis, 30 plus points, plus 135.”
LAL 111, WSH 88 — Anthony Davis scored 29 points in the Lakers' 111-88 win over the Wizards on Jan 21, 2025, falling short of the 30+ points line (29.5) (ESPN box score). (Davis 29 points)
Anthony Davis 35+ points 34.5 (+380)
“And Anthony Davis, 35 plus points, plus 380.”
LAL 111, WSH 88 — Anthony Davis scored 29 points in the Lakers' 111-88 win over the Wizards on Jan 21, 2025, well short of the 35+ points line (34.5) (ESPN box score). (Davis 29 points)
Martin Necas anytime goal scorer (+280)
“I'll go with Marty Natchez for the Hurricanes, plus 280 against Dallas.”
CAR 2, DAL 1 — Martin Necas did not score a goal (2 assists) in Carolina's 2-1 win over Dallas on Jan 21, 2025; Jesperi Kotkaniemi scored both Hurricanes goals (ESPN box score). (Necas 0 goals, 2 assists)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Nugent Hopkins steps in and lights the lamp, plus 240.”
EDM 2, WSH 3 — Ryan Nugent-Hopkins did not score in Edmonton's 3-2 loss to Washington on Jan 21, 2025; Oilers goals came from Leon Draisaitl and Corey Perry (ESPN box score). (Nugent-Hopkins 0 goals)
Sam Bennett anytime goal scorer (+290)
“We're going back to the well with Sam Bennett plus 290 of the Florida Panthers against the Anaheim Ducks.”
FLA 5, ANA 2 — Sam Bennett scored 19 seconds into the third period in Florida's 5-2 win over Anaheim on Jan 21, 2025, his first goal in 21 games (ESPN box score). (Bennett 1 goal)
Iowa State Cyclones -15
“Yeah, I'll lay the 15 with Iowa State.”
ISU 108, UCF 83 — Iowa State beat UCF 108-83 on Jan 21, 2025, a 25-point margin that covers Iowa State's -15 spread (ESPN).
Over 138.5
“I'll also play the over in the Peacock game, Marquette and Seton Hall, over 138.5.”
MARQ 76, HALL 59 — Marquette beat Seton Hall 76-59 on Jan 21, 2025, a combined 135 points, under the 138.5 total (ESPN).
Under 141.5
“And I'll play the under in the late night West Coast action between Wisconsin and UCLA, under 141.5.”
UCLA 85, WIS 83 — UCLA beat Wisconsin 85-83 on Jan 21, 2025, a combined 168 points, over the 141.5 total (ESPN).
Washington Commanders +6
“I would love for six. Six popped earlier today. I bet some of that.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Eagles beat Commanders 55-23 in the NFC Championship on Jan 26, 2025 (ESPN); Washington's +6 busts by a 32-point margin.
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I'll go with Brandon Hagel in that game for the Tampa Bay Lightning, plus 220 going up against Toronto.”
TOR 5, TB 3 — Toronto beat Tampa Bay 5-3 on Jan 20, 2025; Toronto's goals came from Matthews, Nylander, Knies (x2), and Marner (empty net) and Tampa's from Paul (x2) and Raddysh — Brandon Hagel had an assist but did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Josh Morrissey anytime goal scorer (+625)
“I'll also take a long shot on Josh Morrissey of the Winnipeg Jets, plus 625 the D-man, Josh Morrissey”
UTA 5, WPG 2 — Utah beat Winnipeg 5-2 on Jan 20, 2025; Winnipeg's goals came from Nino Niederreiter and Dylan DeMelo — Josh Morrissey did not score (NHL.com game recap). (0 goals)
Sidney Crosby anytime goal scorer (+220)
“And then finally, let's go with Sid the Kid, plus 220 Sidney Crosby for the Penguins against the LA Kings.”
PIT 5, LAK 1 — Sidney Crosby scored a first-period goal in Pittsburgh's 5-1 win over Los Angeles on Jan 20, 2025 (ESPN box score). (1 goal)
Trey Murphy III over 21.5 points
“Then finally, Trey Murphy III of the New Orleans Pelicans, over 21 and a half points against the Utah Jazz.”
NO 123, UTAH 119 — Trey Murphy III scored 24 points as New Orleans beat Utah 123-119 in overtime on Jan 20, 2025, covering the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Trey Murphy III: 24 points)
Over 45.5 · BetMGM
“I like the over tonight, a little contrarian over 45.5 over at BetMGM.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship; combined 57 points covers the over 45.5 (ESPN box score).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8.5 · BetMGM
“Ohio State, an 8.5-point favorite, and the total is 45.5. Your bets for the Natty. I'm going to go ahead and bet on Marcus Freeman. And as a big underdog, I think Marcus Freeman gets these guys ready to roll. He's been amazing in terms of the halftime adjustments that they've been making. Also, the middle eight stuff we talked about with Colin Wilson. Last four minutes of the second quarter, first four minutes of the third quarter. And he just presses all the right buttons. And on the other side, Ryan Day, I think he's a really good coach. He gets a lot of crap. Really good coach. But laying this kind of number with all the pressure on him. Give me Notre Dame to keep the game competitive.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship, an 11-point margin that exceeded Notre Dame's +8.5 (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs over Detroit Lions — Super Bowl exact result (+800) · BetMGM
“So Chiefs over Lions plus 800 is not the juiciest bet when you look at exactos. But I do think it's worth something given the fact that both of these teams are more than the touchdown favorites at home this weekend. The likelihood that they advance in the next weekend rather high. So at least get something out of that that you can maybe kind of play around with it later on next week. But I do think we see both of these teams advance as the one seeds, Chiefs and the Lions. And so I like Chiefs over Lions with both teams hosting next week in conference championship Sunday.”
40-22 — Super Bowl LIX was Eagles vs Chiefs, not Chiefs vs Lions — Eagles won 40-22 (ESPN box score); the Chiefs-over-Lions exacta never occurred, so it loses.
Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl exact result (+1000) · BetMGM
“The next Super Bowl exactly that I do like is the Kansas City Chiefs. Surprise, surprise. I want some Chiefs exposure because I don't have any Chiefs to win the Super Bowl. I haven't done any of that. So I do want some Chiefs exposure heading into this weekend. It's the other really likely outcome. That's Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles. That's at 10 to 1 over at BetMGM.”
40-22 — Super Bowl LIX: Philadelphia Eagles defeated Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 on Feb 9, 2025 (ESPN box score), so 'Chiefs over Eagles' loses.
Baltimore Ravens over Detroit Lions — Super Bowl exact result (+1000)
“Baltimore, I bet this one before the playoffs started, and I still like it at 10 to 1. That's Ravens over the Lions.”
27-25 — Ravens were eliminated in the AFC divisional round, losing 27-25 to the Bills on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN box score) — never reached Super Bowl LIX, so 'Ravens over Lions' loses.
Baltimore Ravens over Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl exact result (+1200)
“Then Ravens over Eagles, same logic there. If the Lions were to get upset or maybe if the Eagles just straight up beat the Lions. I don't think that would happen, but it's probably going to be a two and a half, three point spread. So you have to leave some kind of room for that idea to exist. Ravens over Lions at 12 to 1 to win your Super Bowl exact.”
27-25 — Ravens lost 27-25 to the Bills in the AFC divisional round on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN box score) and never advanced to Super Bowl LIX, so 'Ravens over Eagles' loses.
Jayden Daniels to record the most passing yards (+600) · BetMGM
“I'm going to go with Jayden Daniels at plus 600 for the Washington Commanders.”
Jayden Daniels threw for 299 yards vs Detroit, but Matthew Stafford led all 2024 divisional-round passers with 324 yards vs Philadelphia (ESPN box scores), so Daniels was not the leader. (Daniels 299 passing yards; Stafford led the round with 324)
Saquon Barkley to record the most rushing yards (+175) · BetMGM
“I'm going with Saquon plus 175.”
Saquon Barkley rushed for 205 yards on 26 carries vs the Rams on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), the most rushing yards of any player in the 2024 divisional round. (Barkley 205 rushing yards — divisional round leader)
Amon-Ra St. Brown to record the most receiving yards (+800) · BetMGM
“I like St. Brown over 75 and a half receiving yards. That's my favorite prop for Saturday's games, but I'll take the plus 800 on Amon Ross.”
Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 8 passes for 137 yards vs Washington on Jan 18, 2025 (ESPN box score), the most receiving yards of any player in the 2024 divisional round. (St. Brown 137 receiving yards — divisional round leader)
Dalton Schultz first touchdown scorer (+2200)
“I'm going with Dalton Schultz at 22-1 for Houston”
23-14 — Chiefs beat Texans 23-14; the game's first TD was Kareem Hunt's 1-yard run (Q2, 4:36, ESPN play-by-play), and Dalton Schultz finished with 4 catches for 63 yards, 0 TD (ESPN box score), so he was not the first TD scorer. (0 TD (4 rec, 63 yds))
Marquise Brown first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“How about we go Hollywood, Marquise Hollywood Brown at 14-1.”
23-14 — Chiefs beat Texans 23-14; the game's first TD was Kareem Hunt's 1-yard run (Q2, 4:36, ESPN play-by-play), and Marquise Brown recorded 0 receptions and 0 TDs on 1 target (ESPN box score), so he was not the first TD scorer. (0 rec, 0 TD)
Dyami Brown first touchdown scorer (+3400)
“He was the first TD score on Peacock last Sunday night. Dyami Brown at 34 to 1.”
45-31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31; the game's first TD was Jahmyr Gibbs' 1-yard run (Q1, 7:36, ESPN play-by-play), and Dyami Brown finished 6 rec/98 yds/0 TD (ESPN box score), so he was not the first TD scorer. (6 rec, 98 yds, 0 TD)
Sam LaPorta first touchdown scorer (+1000)
“But I'll go with my man, Sam Laporta, at 10 to 1 to be your first TD score.”
45-31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31; the first TD was Jahmyr Gibbs' 1-yard run (Q1, 7:36). Sam LaPorta's 2-yard TD catch from Goff came at Q2 7:44 — the game's THIRD touchdown, after Gibbs' Q1 score and Brian Robinson's Q2 10:55 TD (ESPN play-by-play) — so LaPorta was not the first TD scorer. (1 TD (2-yd rec, Q2 7:44), scored 3rd in game order)
Josh Allen over 45.5 rushing yards (-110)
“So Josh Allen over 45 and a half rushing yards, minus 110.”
27-25 — Bills beat Ravens 27-25; Josh Allen rushed 10 times for 20 yards and 2 TDs (ESPN box score), well under the 45.5-yard line. (20 rushing yards (10 carries))
Julius Randle over 19.5 points
“Yeah, I'll go Julius Randle over 19.5.”
MIN 116, NY 99 — Timberwolves beat Knicks 116-99 on Jan 17, 2025; Julius Randle scored 8 points (ESPN), well under the 19.5-point line. (Randle 8 points)
Brook Lopez over 12.5 points
“Also, Brook Lopez over 12.5 points.”
MIL 130, TOR 112 — Bucks beat Raptors 130-112 on Jan 17, 2025; Brook Lopez scored 9 points (ESPN box score), under the 12.5-point line. (Lopez 9 points)
Dallas Mavericks +7.5
“One side bet, I do like the Dallas Mavericks tonight against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Got to plug your nose and do it, but I'll take the 7.5.”
DAL 106, OKC 98 — Mavericks beat Thunder 106-98 on Jan 17, 2025 (ESPN); Dallas's +7.5 covers with an 8-point margin.
Jack Eichel anytime goal scorer (+230)
“I'll give out one goal scorer bet. Give me Jack Eichel plus 230 against the Carolina Hurricanes.”
CAR 3, VGK 2 — Hurricanes beat Golden Knights 3-2 on Jan 17, 2025; Jack Eichel did not score a goal, tallying 2 assists instead (ESPN scoring summary). (Eichel 0 goals, 2 assists)
Over 141
“And also I'll get the over in Providence and Villanova, over 141 in college basketball.”
VILL 75, PROV 73 — Villanova beat Providence 75-73 on Jan 17, 2025 (ESPN); combined 148 points clears the over 141 total.
Washington Commanders moneyline
“I actually going to go ahead and put a little bit on the money line with the Commanders I like the plus 10 but just a little bit on the money line”
WSH 45, DET 31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31 on the road on Jan 18, 2025 (ESPN) in the NFC Divisional Round; the Washington moneyline covers.
Los Angeles Rams +6.5
“at the side, six and a half. I'll bet some Rams, but it's starting to feel like the Rams are either going to win or get blown out.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Eagles beat Rams 28-22 on Jan 19, 2025 in the NFC Divisional Round (ESPN); the Rams' +6.5 covers with a 6-point margin.
Los Angeles Rams moneyline
“I'll take the six and a half and also a little bit on the money line with LA.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Eagles beat Rams 28-22 on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN); the LA Rams moneyline busts.
Amon-Ra St. Brown over 75.5 receiving yards (-113)
“So I like Amon-Ra St. Brown over 75 and a half receiving yards minus 113.”
Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 8 passes for 137 receiving yards in Detroit's 45-31 divisional-round loss to Washington on Jan 18, 2025, clearing the 75.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (St. Brown 137 receiving yards)
Oklahoma City Thunder -2
“The Thunder get their lick back. As the kids say, I like OKC tonight. I laid the two.”
134-114 — Oklahoma City beat Cleveland 134-114 on Jan 16, 2025, a 20-point margin that covers Thunder -2 (ESPN box score).
Donovan Mitchell over 21.5 points
“I think you get a good Donovan Mitchell game tonight. Donovan Mitchell over 21 and a half points.”
134-114 — Donovan Mitchell scored 8 points (3-for-15 shooting) in Cleveland's 134-114 loss to Oklahoma City on Jan 16, 2025, missing the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Mitchell 8 points)
Phoenix Suns -11.5
“No problem for the scuffling Phoenix Suns. Phoenix laying the 11 and a half on the road in our nation's capital against the Wizards.”
130-123 — Phoenix beat Washington 130-123 on Jan 16, 2025, a 7-point margin that fails to cover Suns -11.5 (ESPN box score).
William Nylander anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I'll go with William Nylander of the Toronto Maple Leafs, plus 200 against the New Jersey Devils.”
4-3 — William Nylander scored twice, including the overtime winner 1:10 into OT, in Toronto's 4-3 win over New Jersey on Jan 16, 2025 (ESPN box score/recap).
Sam Bennett anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Let's go Sam Bennett tonight, plus 240 against the Detroit Red Wings.”
5-2 — Sam Bennett did not score (0 goals, 7 shots) as Detroit beat Florida 5-2 on Jan 16, 2025; Dylan Larkin had 2 goals for the Red Wings (ESPN box score).
Nazem Kadri anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I'll also go ahead and back Nazem Kadri once again for the Calgary Flames, plus 220.”
4-1 — Nazem Kadri did not score as St. Louis beat Calgary 4-1 on Jan 16, 2025; Yegor Sharangovich scored the Flames' lone goal (ESPN box score).
Mika Zibanejad anytime goal scorer (+260)
“Mika Zibanejad, Nick, your guy for the Rangers, plus 260 against the Utah Hockey Club.”
5-3 — Rangers beat Utah 5-3 on Jan 16, 2025; goals by Panarin (2), Kreider, Kaliyev, Smith for NYR — Mika Zibanejad recorded 3 assists but did not score (ESPN box score).
Cale Makar anytime goal scorer (+380)
“I like Colorado a lot tonight against Edmonton. kale mccarr plus 380 against the oilers”
4-3 — Oilers beat Avalanche 4-3 on Jan 16, 2025 (Arvidsson, Kulak, McDavid, Bouchard for EDM; O'Connor, MacKinnon x2 for COL) — Cale Makar did not score, per ESPN box score.
Under 151
“yeah i'd be under in that gonzaga and oregon state game i under 151 150 and a half i still think there's a little bit of value there.”
97-89 — Oregon State beat Gonzaga 97-89 in overtime on Jan 16, 2025, a combined 186 points that busts under 151 (ESPN box score).
Northwestern Wildcats +2.5
“I also like the Northwestern Wildcats against Maryland. I'll take the two and a half at home.”
76-74 — Northwestern beat Maryland 76-74 in overtime on Jan 16, 2025 on Nick Martinelli's buzzer-beating jumper, an outright win that covers +2.5 (ESPN box score).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8.5
“I do like the Fighting Irish getting more than a touchdown. I bet eight and a half in the game. That's my position for the title game Monday night.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship; Notre Dame lost by 11, failing to cover +8.5 (ESPN box score).
Payton Pritchard over 10.5 points (-130) · BetMGM
“So I like over 10.5 points, minus 130, over at MGM.”
TOR 110, BOS 97 — Payton Pritchard scored 20 points as Toronto beat Boston 110-97 on Jan 15, 2025, clearing the over 10.5 points line (ESPN box score). (Payton Pritchard 20 points)
Payton Pritchard 15+ points (+165)
“I also like 15-plus points, plus 165.”
TOR 110, BOS 97 — Payton Pritchard scored 20 points as Toronto beat Boston 110-97 on Jan 15, 2025, clearing the 15+ points line (ESPN box score). (Payton Pritchard 20 points)
Payton Pritchard 20+ points (+475)
“20-plus points, plus 475 on Payton Pritchard tonight in Toronto.”
TOR 110, BOS 97 — Payton Pritchard scored 20 points as Toronto beat Boston 110-97 on Jan 15, 2025, meeting the 20+ points line (ESPN box score). (Payton Pritchard 20 points)
Brandon Miller over 19.5 points (-120)
“And then also in the NBA, Brandon Miller over 19.5 points, minus 120.”
CHA 117, UTAH 112 — Brandon Miller scored 20 points as Charlotte beat Utah 117-112 on Jan 15, 2025, clearing the over 19.5 points line (ESPN box score). (Brandon Miller 20 points)
Connor McDavid anytime goal (+165)
“In hockey, the one game that we have tonight, I'm going to go with Connor McDavid. Let's not get cute. Let's go with the best player in the sport, McDavid, to score a goal. We bet him earlier this week. He light the lamp. I think he lights the lamp once again tonight, plus 165 against the Kirill Kaprizov-less Minnesota Wild.”
EDM 5, MIN 3 — Connor McDavid scored twice in Edmonton's 5-3 win at Minnesota on Jan 15, 2025, hitting the anytime-goal prop (ESPN box score). (Connor McDavid 2 goals)
Penn State Nittany Lions +12
“But for my bets, I like Penn State. I'll take the 12 against Sparty in East Lansing.”
MSU 90, PSU 85 — Michigan State beat Penn State 90-85 on Jan 15, 2025, a 5-point margin, so Penn State +12 covers (ESPN box score).
Texas vs Oklahoma over 148.5
“I also like the over in the Texas OU game, plus over 148.5.”
TEX 77, OU 73 — Texas beat Oklahoma 77-73 on Jan 15, 2025; the combined 150 points cleared the over 148.5 total (ESPN box score).
UNLV Rebels +5.5
“Also in the late game, UNLV, I'll take plus 5.5 against Utah State.”
UNLV 65, USU 62 — UNLV beat Utah State 65-62 on Jan 15, 2025, winning outright and covering UNLV +5.5 (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles under 45
“I bet under 45 last night. We talked about this on the show on Monday about how, hey, if this is the matchup we get, I'm going to like the under quite a bit.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Eagles beat Rams 28-22 in the NFC Divisional Round, combined 50 points, over the 45 total (ESPN final).
Washington Commanders +10
“At 10, and like this number, I was actually speaking with Bill Zimmerman this morning when this number hit 10, and I had to pause our conversation to bet this because I took some commanders plus 10 at a pretty sharp sportsbook here in Las Vegas.”
WSH 45, DET 31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31 in the NFC Divisional Round, a 14-point margin that covers Washington +10 (ESPN final).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8.5
“And if they can't, my ticket of plus eight and a half might go ahead and just rip that bad boy up and just start betting some live under or something like that.”
34-23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship, an 11-point margin that exceeds Notre Dame +8.5, so the underdog spread fails to cover (ESPN box score).
Milwaukee Bucks -2
“It's the Bucs laying the two. I like this spot for Milwaukee.”
130-115 — Milwaukee beat Sacramento 130-115, a 15-point margin that covers Bucks -2 (ESPN).
Coby White over 18.5 points (-109)
“And then I also like Coby White over 18 and a half points. That's minus 109.”
119-113 — Coby White scored 22 points for Chicago in the Pelicans' 119-113 win over the Bulls, covering over 18.5 (ESPN box score). (Coby White: 22 points)
Jake Guentzel anytime goal (+200)
“Jake Gensel of the Tampa Bay Lightning plus 200 against the Boston Bruins”
2-6 — Jake Guentzel did not score in Tampa Bay's 6-2 loss to Boston; Bruins scored 6 goals including David Pastrnak (ESPN box score).
Mitch Marner anytime goal (+220)
“I also like the Maple Leafs right winger, Mitch Marner, plus 220 against Dallas.”
1-4 — Mitch Marner recorded only an assist on Auston Matthews' goal and did not score himself in Toronto's 4-1 loss to Dallas (ESPN box score).
Sidney Crosby anytime goal (+170)
“Give me Sid the Kid, Sidney Crosby of the Penguins, plus 170 against the Seattle Kraken. I like him to light the lamp.”
4-2 — Sidney Crosby did not score in Pittsburgh's 4-2 loss to Seattle; Penguins goals were by Bryan Rust and Philip Tomasino (ESPN box score).
Carter Verhaeghe anytime goal (+280)
“I'm just going to lose all of my money betting on Carter Verhage of the Florida Panthers. I like him again tonight, plus 280 against the Devils.”
2-1 — Carter Verhaeghe recorded only an assist on Jesper Boqvist's goal and did not score in Florida's 2-1 shootout win over New Jersey (ESPN box score/recap).
Nazem Kadri anytime goal (+220)
“I also like Nazem Khadri of the Calgary Flames, plus 220 against St. Louis.”
1-2 — Nazem Kadri did not score in Calgary's 2-1 loss to St. Louis; Blues won on Radek Faksa's third-period goal (ESPN box score).
Jonathan Marchessault anytime goal (+210)
“And then finally, Jonathan Marcheseau of the Nashville Predators, plus 210 against the Vegas Golden Knights.”
3-5 — Vegas's only goals came from Pavel Dorofeyev's hat trick in a 5-3 loss to Nashville; Jonathan Marchessault had 0 goals and 1 assist (ESPN box score).
Auburn Tigers -7.5
“I like Auburn Lane, the 7.5 in the Fallen Heroes spot.”
88-66 — Auburn beat Mississippi State 88-66, a 22-point margin that covers Auburn -7.5 (ESPN).
Texas A&M Aggies +6.5
“I also like A&M, plus 6.5 against Kentucky.”
81-69 — Texas A&M lost to Kentucky 81-69, a 12-point margin that fails to cover Texas A&M +6.5 (ESPN).
Illinois at Indiana over 157.5
“Give me the over in Illinois, Indiana, in the game that you can see on Peacock, over 157.5.”
94-69 — Illinois and Indiana combined for 163 points (94-69), covering the over 157.5 (ESPN).
Miami Hurricanes +24.5
“I'll plug my nose and back the Canes. It's a Cane thing. Plus 24.5 with Miami against Duke.”
89-54 — Duke beat Miami 89-54, a 35-point Miami loss that fails to cover Miami +24.5 (ESPN).
Ohio State at Wisconsin over 148.5
“And then finally, give me the over in Ohio State and Wisconsin, over 148.5 in Madison.”
70-68 — Ohio State and Wisconsin combined for 138 points (70-68), falling short of the over 148.5 (ESPN).
Baltimore Ravens moneyline (+105) · BetMGM
“Yes, there was an early bet for me in this game, and it was a bet on the Baltimore Ravens to win the game at plus 105 over at the Sportsbook Board in Vegas. That is bet MGM.”
27-25 — Baltimore Ravens lost 27-25 to the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round on Jan 19, 2025, so the Ravens moneyline busts, per ESPN.
Naz Reid over 13.5 points (-125)
“Let me go ahead and go with Naz Reid over 13.5 points. You know I like the front court players against the Washington Wizards. I like Naz Reid to have a big game off the bench, over 13.5, minus 125.”
Naz Reid scored 12 points in the Timberwolves' 120-106 win over the Wizards on Jan 13, 2025, under the 13.5 line, per ESPN box score. (12 points)
Stephen Curry over 25.5 points
“In the Warriors-Raptors game, we're going with the guy, Stephen Curry, the chef. Over 25.5 points scored against Toronto.”
Stephen Curry scored 26 points in the Warriors' 101-104 loss to the Raptors on Jan 13, 2025, over the 25.5 line, per ESPN box score. (26 points)
Stephen Curry 30+ points (+185)
“I also like 30-plus points, plus 185.”
Stephen Curry scored 26 points in the Warriors' 101-104 loss to the Raptors on Jan 13, 2025, under the 30+ line, per ESPN box score. (26 points)
Stephen Curry 35+ points (+475)
“35-plus points, plus 475.”
Stephen Curry scored 26 points in the Warriors' 101-104 loss to the Raptors on Jan 13, 2025, under the 35+ line, per ESPN box score. (26 points)
Carter Verhaeghe anytime goal (+230)
“Let's go with Carter Verhaeghe of the Florida Panthers at plus 230 against the Philadelphia Flyers.”
Carter Verhaeghe did not score in the Flyers' 4-3 win over the Panthers on Jan 13, 2025; Florida's goals were scored by Sam Reinhart (2) and Uvis Balinskis, per ESPN box score. (0 goals)
Mikael Backlund anytime goal (+280)
“I also like Mikael Backlund of the Calgary Flames, plus 280 against Chicago.”
Mikael Backlund scored a shorthanded goal in the Flames' 5-2 win over the Blackhawks on Jan 13, 2025, per NHL.com's game recap. (1 goal)
Connor McDavid anytime goal (+170)
“Let's go with the birthday boy, Connor McDavid, plus 170 to light the lamp against the Kings tonight for the Edmonton Oilers.”
Connor McDavid scored the only goal in the Oilers' 1-0 win over the Kings on Jan 13, 2025, per ESPN box score. (1 goal)
Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams under 48
“I like both of these defenses, so I like the under. I bet under 48, but even at 47 and a half, I still think there's meat left on the bone.”
27-9 — Rams beat Vikings 27-9 (combined 36 points) on Jan 13, 2025, under the 48 total, per ESPN box score.
Jalen Nailor first touchdown (+2500)
“I'll go with Nailor, 25-1.”
The first touchdown of the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, was Kyren Williams' 5-yard TD reception in the 1st quarter, not Jalen Nailor, per ESPN play-by-play.
Cooper Kupp first touchdown (+1100)
“And for the Rams, how about an old friend but a good friend? My cups run it over this wild card weekend. Cooper Cup 11 to 1.”
The first touchdown of the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, was Kyren Williams' 5-yard TD reception in the 1st quarter, not Cooper Kupp, per ESPN play-by-play.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns under 52
“But I am betting the under. Like I do like the under this game. We talked about this when this market first opened up. 54 and a half was way too big of a total. I liked it under. I bet that immediately at 52.”
28-14 — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the CFP semifinal (Cotton Bowl, Jan 10, 2025); combined score of 42 is under the 52 total (College Football Playoff official recap).
Josh Allen over 41.5 rushing yards (-110) · BetMGM
“Let's go ahead and go with Josh Allen over his rushing yards. It's 41.5 at BetMGM. It's minus 110.”
31-7 — Bills beat Broncos 31-7 (Jan 12, 2025 AFC Wild Card); Josh Allen rushed 8 times for 46 yards, over the 41.5 line (ESPN box score). (46 rushing yards)
Buffalo Bills -8.5
“I question Bo Nix on the road in a hostile environment staying close in this game. Give me the Buffalo Bills laying the eight and a half.”
31-7 — Bills beat Broncos 31-7 (Jan 12, 2025 AFC Wild Card); Buffalo's 24-point margin covered the -8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Matthew Stafford to lead Wild Card Weekend in passing yards (+850)
“Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams, plus 850 Stafford to lead the weekend with the most passing yards.”
C.J. Stroud led all 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Weekend passers with 282 yards (Texans 32, Chargers 12, Jan 11, 2025); Matthew Stafford threw for 209 yards as the Rams beat the Vikings 27-9 on Jan 13, well short of the weekend high (ESPN box scores). (Stroud 282 pass yds (weekend high); Stafford 209 pass yds)
Derrick Henry to lead Wild Card Weekend in rushing yards (+400) · BetMGM
“So I would actually play Derrick Henry plus 400 in this market, most rushing yards.”
Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards as the Ravens beat the Steelers 28-14 on Jan 11, 2025, the highest single-game rushing total of Wild Card Weekend (ESPN box score). (Henry 186 rush yds (weekend high))
Jordan Addison to lead Wild Card Weekend in receiving yards (+2500)
“We're going long shot hunting, 25 to 1, Jordan Addison to lead the weekend in receiving yards.”
Ladd McConkey led all 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Weekend receivers with 197 yards (Texans 32, Chargers 12, Jan 11, 2025); Jordan Addison had 3 catches for 29 yards as the Rams beat the Vikings 27-9 on Jan 13, far short of the weekend high (ESPN box scores). (McConkey 197 rec yds (weekend high); Addison 29 rec yds)
Guerschon Yabusele over 11.5 points (-135)
“over 11.5 for Yabuselli, minus 135.”
NO 123, PHI 115 — Pelicans beat the 76ers 123-115 on Jan 10, 2025; Guerschon Yabusele scored 6 points, under the 11.5 line (ESPN box score). (Yabusele 6 points)
Nikola Vucevic over 18.5 points
“Nikola Vucevic over 18.5 against Washington tonight for the Chicago Bulls.”
CHI 138, WAS 105 — Bulls beat the Wizards 138-105 on Jan 10, 2025; Nikola Vucevic scored 23 points, over the 18.5 line (ESPN box score). (Vucevic 23 points)
Lucas Raymond anytime goal scorer (+190)
“I'll go with Lucas Raymond to light the lamp, plus 190 for the Red Wings against the Chicago Blackhawks.”
DET 5, CHI 3 — Red Wings beat the Blackhawks 5-3 on Jan 10, 2025; Lucas Raymond scored a goal (plus an assist) in the win (ESPN box score).
Tom Wilson anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I'll also take Tom Wilson of the Capitals. That's plus 200 against Montreal.”
MTL 3, WSH 2 (OT) — Canadiens beat the Capitals 3-2 in overtime on Jan 10, 2025 (Nick Suzuki scored the OT winner); Tom Wilson recorded 0 goals in the game, so his anytime-goal bet busts (ESPN box score).
Sebastian Aho anytime goal scorer (+200)
“give me Sebastian Ajo of the Carolina Hurricanes at plus 200 against the Vancouver Canucks.”
CAR 2, VAN 0 — Hurricanes beat the Canucks 2-0 on Jan 10, 2025 on goals from Jordan Staal and Andrei Svechnikov; Sebastian Aho did not score, so his anytime-goal bet busts (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin Badgers under 140
“I also like the under in the Peacock game, Minnesota and Wisconsin under. That thing's been slammed all day. This was 142 and a half this morning when I was looking at it. It's now down to 140. So get it while it's hot.”
WIS 80, MIN 59 — Wisconsin beat Minnesota 80-59 on Jan 10, 2025, a combined 139 points, under the 140 total (ESPN box score).
Saquon Barkley to win Super Bowl LIX MVP (+1700)
“So for me Barkley 17 to one I think is a solid bet to make.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) and Jalen Hurts, not Saquon Barkley, was named Super Bowl MVP (ESPN).
Aidan Hutchinson to win Super Bowl LIX MVP (+15000)
“something on 150 to one I think is worth just a little fun flyer bet to me in the Super Bowl MVP market.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) and Jalen Hurts, not Aidan Hutchinson, was named Super Bowl MVP (ESPN).
Russell Wilson to throw an interception (-110) · BetMGM
“I'm going full hater mode Saturday night, and I'm going with Russell Wilson to throw an interception. It's minus 110 over at BetMGM.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Russell Wilson finished 20-of-29 for 270 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT in the Steelers' 28-14 AFC wild-card loss to the Ravens on Jan 11, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Russell Wilson: 0 interceptions)
Calvin Austin III over 23.5 receiving yards
“over Calvin Austin III, 23.5 receiving yards.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Calvin Austin III caught 1 pass for 25 receiving yards in the Steelers' 28-14 AFC wild-card loss to the Ravens on Jan 11, 2025, covering the over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (Calvin Austin III: 25 receiving yards)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish moneyline
“I want to bet Notre Dame, and now I get to bet Notre Dame at plus money. This is like even money now at some sportsbooks. That's my bet on this game.”
27-24 — Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 in the Jan 9, 2025 Orange Bowl; Notre Dame moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
Donovan Mitchell over 21.5 points
“Give me Donovan Mitchell over 21.5 points.”
132-126 — Donovan Mitchell was given the night off (did not play) in Cleveland's 132-126 win over Toronto on Jan 9, 2025; with the named player inactive, the prop is void (ESPN game recap).
Quentin Grimes over 14.5 points
“I'll go with Quentin Grimes over 14.5 points.”
117-111 — Quentin Grimes scored 13 points in Dallas's 117-111 win over Portland on Jan 9, 2025, below the 14.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Quentin Grimes: 13 points)
Tyler Herro over 23.5 points
“And then finally, Tyler Herro. I can be your hero, baby. Over 23.5 points against the Utah Jazz.”
97-92 — Tyler Herro scored 23 points in Miami's 97-92 win over Utah on Jan 9, 2025, just under the 23.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Tyler Herro: 23 points)
Drake Batherson anytime goal scorer (+230)
“Drake Batherson of the Ottawa Senators, plus 230 against Buffalo.”
4-0 — Buffalo shut out Ottawa 4-0 on Jan 9, 2025; Drake Batherson did not score (ESPN box score). (Drake Batherson: 0 goals)
Brad Marchand anytime goal scorer (+230)
“For the Bruins, Brad Marchand, plus 230 against the Lightning.”
4-1 — Brad Marchand had 1 assist but no goal in Tampa Bay's 4-1 win over Boston on Jan 9, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Brad Marchand: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Mika Zibanejad anytime goal scorer (+270)
“Mika Zabanijad of the New York Rangers, plus 270 against the Devils.”
3-2 — Mika Zibanejad recorded 1 assist but no goal in the Rangers' 3-2 overtime win over New Jersey on Jan 9, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Mika Zibanejad: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+230)
“the Seattle Krakens, Jared McCann, plus 230 against the Columbus Blue Jackets.”
6-2 — Columbus beat Seattle 6-2 on Jan 9, 2025; Jared McCann had 1 assist but no goal (ESPN box score). (Jared McCann: 0 goals, 1 assist)
Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer (+270)
“Dylan Holloway of the St. Louis Blues, plus 270 against Anaheim.”
6-2 — Dylan Holloway scored 1 goal in St. Louis's 6-2 win over Anaheim on Jan 9, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Dylan Holloway: 1 goal)
Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer (+230)
“And then finally, Arturi Lekkanen of the Colorado Avalanche, plus 230 against the Minnesota Wilds.”
6-1 — Artturi Lehkonen scored a shorthanded goal in Colorado's 6-1 win over Minnesota on Jan 9, 2025 (ESPN box score). (Artturi Lehkonen: 1 goal)
Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat New York Knicks in the NBA Finals (+2200)
“I like Thunder over Knicks quite a bit. That's at 22 to 1.”
The 2025 NBA Finals matchup was Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers, with the Thunder winning in 7 games 103-91 on Jun 22, 2025 — not vs the New York Knicks, so the exact-matchup pick lost.
Guerschon Yabusele over 13.5 points
“Let's go over 13 and a half with Yabusele.”
109-103 — 76ers beat Wizards 109-103 on Jan 8, 2025; Guerschon Yabusele scored 21 points, over the 13.5 line (ESPN box score). (Guerschon Yabusele 21 points)
South Carolina Gamecocks +11.5
“I'll go ahead and plug my nose and back South Carolina, and going with the Gamecocks plus the 11.5 against Alabama.”
88-68 — Alabama beat South Carolina 88-68 on Jan 8, 2025, a 20-point margin, so the Gamecocks failed to cover +11.5 (ESPN box score).
Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks over 148.5
“I like over 148.5.”
73-66 — Ole Miss beat Arkansas 73-66 on Jan 8, 2025; combined 139 points, under the 148.5 total (ESPN box score).
Texas A&M Aggies at Oklahoma Sooners over 146
“I also like the over in A&M and Oklahoma. That's at 146.”
80-78 — Texas A&M beat Oklahoma 80-78 on Jan 8, 2025; combined 158 points, over the 146 total (ESPN box score).
Penn State Nittany Lions at Illinois Fighting Illini over 163
“And then finally, Penn State-Illinois over 163.”
91-52 — Illinois beat Penn State 91-52 on Jan 8, 2025; combined 143 points, under the 163 total (ESPN box score).
Under 47
“And I also like the under. I bet under 47”
ND 27, PSU 24 — Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 in the Orange Bowl CFP semifinal on Jan 9, 2025; the combined score of 51 goes over 47 (ESPN box score).
Buffalo Bills -2.5 / Los Angeles Rams +7.5 six-point teaser
- Buffalo Bills -2.5 won
- Los Angeles Rams +7.5 won
“I went ahead and put the Rams in the teaser. Like I put, I teased the Rams with the Buffalo Bills, which you can do. Like there are eight and a halves out there on Buffalo. If you want to go ahead and get Buffalo down to two and a half, get the Rams up to seven and a half.”
BUF 31-7 DEN; LAR 27-9 MIN — Both teased legs cashed: Bills beat Broncos 31-7 on 1/12/25 (Buffalo -2.5 covered easily), and Rams beat Vikings 27-9 outright on 1/13/25 (Rams +7.5 covered) (ESPN box scores).
Iowa State Cyclones to win the national championship (+2000)
“I bet 20-1 a few weeks ago on Iowa State to win the title”
Florida 65-63 Houston — Florida defeated Houston 65-63 to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball national championship on 4/7/25; Iowa State did not win the title (ESPN).
Baltimore Ravens to win Super Bowl LIX (+600) · BetMGM
“So Lamar Jackson, the Baltimore Ravens, plus 600 for me over at BetMGM.”
Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Ravens did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LIX (+700)
“at seven to one fly eagles fly that is my second choice in this super bowl futures draft”
Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles defeated Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 to win Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25 (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams to win Super Bowl LIX (+3500)
“We are Ram Ali the Los Angeles Rams 35 to one That my third choice”
Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Rams did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers to win Super Bowl LIX (+1800)
“With the 8th overall selection, we're going to go with the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay 18-1.”
Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Packers did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Vikings to win Super Bowl LIX (+1600)
“It's the Minnesota Vikings. Skull, I don't love the Vikings, but I do love Kevin O'Connell. Talented roster, really good coaching staff. They're 16-1”
Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Vikings did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).
Alperen Sengun over 21.5 points
“i like Alperin Shangoon over 21 and a half points against the Washington Wizards.”
135-112 — Rockets beat Wizards 135-112 on Jan 7, 2025; Alperen Sengun scored 26 points, over 21.5 covers (ESPN). (Alperen Sengun: 26 points)
Julius Randle over 18.5 points (-117)
“Also played Julius Randle over 18 and a half points against New Orleans Pelicans. Pays out minus 117.”
104-97 — Timberwolves beat Pelicans 104-97 on Jan 7, 2025; Julius Randle scored 16 points, under 18.5 busts the over (ESPN). (Julius Randle: 16 points)
De'Andre Hunter over 18.5 points
“And then finally, DeAndre Hunter over 18 and a half points against the Utah Jazz.”
124-121 — Hawks beat Jazz 124-121 on Jan 7, 2025; De'Andre Hunter scored 17 points, under 18.5 busts the over (ESPN). (De'Andre Hunter: 17 points)
Tennessee Volunteers +3.5
“I like Tennessee plus three and a half.”
73-43 — Florida beat Tennessee 73-43 on Jan 7, 2025; Tennessee margin -30 busts +3.5 (ESPN).
Georgia Bulldogs +2
“I also like Georgia at home at a very short underdog price plus two.”
82-69 — Georgia beat Kentucky 82-69 on Jan 7, 2025; Georgia margin +13 covers +2 (ESPN).
Over 146
“I also like the Georgia Georgetown Marquette over 146.”
74-66 — Marquette beat Georgetown 74-66 on Jan 7, 2025 (combined 140); over 146 busts (ESPN).
Texas Longhorns +10.5
“give me the points with Texas against Auburn, Texas plus 10 and a half”
87-82 — Auburn beat Texas 87-82 on Jan 7, 2025; Texas margin -5 covers +10.5 (ESPN).
Michigan Wolverines +3
“and a small bet on Michigan getting the three against UCLA.”
94-75 — Michigan beat UCLA 94-75 on Jan 7, 2025; Michigan margin +19 covers +3 (ESPN).
Under 44.5 · BetMGM
“we bet under 44 and a half it's 42 and a half now”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Texans beat Chargers 32-12 on Jan 11, 2025; combined 44 points stays under the 44.5 total (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans +8.5 / Los Angeles Rams +7.5 six-point teaser
- Houston Texans +8.5 won
- Los Angeles Rams +7.5 won
“I'm putting that in Houston up to eight and a half Rams up to seven and a half.”
HOU 32, LAC 12; LAR 27, MIN 9 — Texans beat Chargers 32-12 on Jan 11 (covering +8.5 easily) and Rams beat Vikings 27-9 outright on Jan 13 (covering +7.5); both teaser legs win (ESPN box scores).
Pittsburgh Steelers +10
“At 10, I think it's a bet on the Steelers.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Ravens beat Steelers 28-14 on Jan 11, 2025; Pittsburgh's -14 margin busts the +10 spread (ESPN box score).
Over 50.5
“I like the over in the game. I'll bet over 50 and a half. That's my bet.”
WSH 23, TB 20 — Commanders beat Buccaneers 23-20 on Jan 12, 2025; combined 43 points falls under the 50.5 over line (ESPN box score).
Washington Commanders +3.5 (-110)
“it's a bet on the Commanders at 3.5 minus 110.”
WSH 23, TB 20 — Commanders beat Buccaneers 23-20 outright on Jan 12, 2025, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Ohio State Buckeyes to defeat Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the national championship
“I bet Notre Dame in the game and I bet them an exact to lose to Ohio State”
Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship on Jan 20, 2025, matching the exact predicted matchup and winner (ESPN box score).
Under 54.5
“I bet under 54 and a half. That was my favorite bet of the semifinal games.”
Ohio State 28, Texas 14 — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl on Jan 10, 2025; combined 42 points stays under the 54.5 total (ESPN box score).
Ohio State Buckeyes to win the national championship
“I'm telling you, I'm on Ohio State to win the title.”
Ohio State won the 2025 CFP National Championship, beating Notre Dame 34-23 on Jan 20, 2025 (ESPN box score).
Tobias Harris over 14.5 points
“Let's go with Tobias Harris over 14.5 points.”
DET 118, POR 115 — Tobias Harris scored 17 points as the Pistons beat the Trail Blazers 118-115 on Jan 6, 2025; 17 covers the over 14.5 (ESPN box score). (Tobias Harris: 17 points)
Damian Lillard over 23.5 points
“Damian Lillard, over 23.5 points against the Toronto Raptors.”
MIL 128, TOR 104 — Damian Lillard scored 25 points as the Bucks beat the Raptors 128-104 on Jan 6, 2025; 25 covers the over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (Damian Lillard: 25 points)
James Harden over 6.5 assists
“Then also go the James Harden over six and a half assists.”
MIN 108, LAC 106 — James Harden recorded 8 assists as the Timberwolves beat the Clippers 108-106 on Jan 6, 2025; 8 covers the over 6.5 (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 8 assists)
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +1.5
“It's Rutgers getting the 1.5.”
WIS 75, RUT 63 — Wisconsin beat Rutgers 75-63 on Jan 6, 2025; Rutgers' 12-point loss fails to cover +1.5 (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma City Thunder -5
“I would lay the five at home against your beloved New York Knicks.”
OKC 117, NY 107 — Thunder beat Knicks 117-107 on Jan 3, 2025 (ESPN box score); Oklahoma City's +10 margin covers the -5 line, so the Thunder -5 pick won.
Elijah Moore first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“Elijah Moore, 40-1 to be your first TD score for the Cleveland Browns.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); the game's first touchdown was Nate Wiggins' interception return and Elijah Moore did not score, so the Elijah Moore first TD scorer pick lost.
Isaiah Likely first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“Isaiah likely at 12-1 for the Baltimore Ravens to be your first TD score.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Isaiah Likely finished with 3 catches for 38 yards and 0 touchdowns, and the game's first TD was Nate Wiggins' interception return, so the Isaiah Likely first TD scorer pick lost.
Mike Gesicki first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“How about Mike Gesicki 18 to 1”
CIN 19, PIT 17 — Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Mike Gesicki finished with 8 catches for 68 yards and 0 touchdowns, and the game's first TD was Ja'Marr Chase's reception, so the Mike Gesicki first TD scorer pick lost.
Calvin Austin first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“Austin, 18-1, said, I just booked a trip to Kingston. Calvin Austin III, your first TD score”
CIN 19, PIT 17 — Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Calvin Austin III recorded 0 receptions, and the game's first TD was Ja'Marr Chase's reception, so the Calvin Austin first TD scorer pick lost.
Over 41
“So let's play a contrarian over 41 Saturday afternoon.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); combined 45 points cleared the 41 total, so the over 41 pick won.
Pittsburgh Steelers +8.5 / Atlanta Falcons -2.5 six-point teaser
- Pittsburgh Steelers +8.5
- Atlanta Falcons -2.5
“Pittsburgh up to 8.5, Atlanta down to 2.5.”
Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score), so Steelers +8.5 covered losing by only 2. Panthers beat Falcons 44-38 in overtime on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score), so Falcons -2.5 lost outright. With one leg losing, the six-point teaser lost.
Dallas Cowboys first-half +3.5
“If you can find like three and a half or something like that, or even better, that's the bet in this game for me.”
DAL 6, WAS 3 — Cowboys led Commanders 6-3 at halftime on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN play-by-play), so Dallas Cowboys first-half +3.5 covered easily (Dallas led outright).
Over 43.5
“So I like the over 43 and a half.”
TB 27, NO 19 — Buccaneers beat Saints 27-19 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); combined 46 points cleared the 43.5 total, so the over 43.5 pick won.
Over 220
“So over 220 in that game.”
BOS 109, HOU 86 — Celtics beat Rockets 109-86 on Jan 3, 2025 (NBA.com box score); combined 195 points fell short of the 220 total, so the over 220 pick lost.
Dallas Mavericks +10
“I'll take Dallas plus 10.”
CLE 134, DAL 122 — Cavaliers beat Mavericks 134-122 on Jan 3, 2025 (ESPN box score); Dallas's -12 margin fails to cover the +10 line, so the Mavericks +10 pick lost.
Los Angeles Lakers and Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline parlay
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline won
“Lakers and Cavs Moneyline Parlay.”
Lakers beat Hawks 119-102 and Cavaliers beat Mavericks 134-122, both on Jan 3, 2025 (ESPN box scores), so both legs of the Lakers/Cavaliers moneyline parlay won.
Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline
“I think I'm at the point where I'm just going to go ahead and bet the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the game.”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Colts beat Jaguars 26-23 in overtime; Jaguars moneyline busts (ESPN).
Buffalo Bills -2.5
“so i would lay the two and a half with the bills in this game”
NE 23, BUF 16 — Patriots beat Bills 23-16; Bills lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
“At that point, that's when I bet the Philadelphia Eagles. I laid some two and a half with this game.”
PHI 20, NYG 13 — Eagles beat Giants 20-13; Philadelphia's +7 margin covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Kansas City Chiefs +11
“I bet Kansas City at 11.”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Broncos shut out Chiefs 38-0; Kansas City's -38 margin busts the +11 line (ESPN).
Los Angeles Rams +6.5 (-105)
“I bet some Rams, plus six and a half, minus 105.”
SEA 30, LAR 25 — Seahawks beat Rams 30-25; Los Angeles's -5 margin covers the +6.5 line (ESPN).
Sam Darnold to win Comeback Player of the Year (+115)
“So like for me, at plus 115, Darnold is a bet.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow won the 2024 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, announced at NFL Honors; Sam Darnold did not win (NFL.com).
Georgia Bulldogs to win the national championship (+800)
“i mean i like georgia a lot i got some eight to one on georgia to win the title before they played tennessee earlier this year”
Georgia was eliminated from the College Football Playoff by Notre Dame, 23-10, in the Sugar Bowl quarterfinal, ending its national-title bid (ESPN).
Texas-Ohio State under 54.5
“I bet under 54 and a half.”
14-28 — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl on Jan 10, 2025 (combined 42 points), well under the 54.5 total (ESPN box score).
Northwestern Wildcats +4.5
“Yeah, Northwestern plus 4.5 for me.”
80-84 — Northwestern lost 84-80 to Penn State on Jan 2, 2025, a 4-point margin that covers Northwestern +4.5 (ESPN box score).
Indiana Hoosiers -5.5
“Give me the Hoosiers at home at Assembly Hall to get it done against a young team. I'll lay the 5.5.”
74-84 — Indiana beat Rutgers 84-74 on Jan 2, 2025, a 10-point margin that covers Indiana -5.5 (ESPN box score).
Under 155.5
“I like under 155.5.”
109-77 — Illinois beat Oregon 109-77 on Jan 2, 2025; the combined 186 points went well over the 155.5 total, so the Under 155.5 pick lost (ESPN box score).
Josh Morrissey anytime goal scorer
“But for me, Josh Morrissey, anytime goal scorer.”
Ducks beat Jets 4-3 in OT on Jan 2, 2025; goals were scored by Scheifele, Lowry, Iafallo (Jets) and Carlsson, Terry x2, Gudas (Ducks) — Josh Morrissey recorded two assists but did not score, so the anytime goal scorer pick lost (ESPN box score). (Morrissey 0 goals, 2 assists)
Baylor Bears vs LSU Tigers over 62
“I'm betting over 62 as well in the Texas Bowl.”
44-31 — LSU beat Baylor 44-31 in the Texas Bowl; combined 75 points clears the over 62 (ESPN final).
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Oregon Ducks over 55.5
“The total is, I think, what gets interesting, because it's been bet up 52.5 now to 55, 55.5. I don't know if that's high enough. I can see both teams getting into 30s with this game. I think this is going to be high scoring. Last team with the ball wins. And I want to root for points with this one. So Jeremiah Smith, get that single coverage. Go over the top. Let's score some touchdowns. I like the over in the Rose Bowl.”
41-21 — Ohio State beat Oregon 41-21 in the CFP Rose Bowl quarterfinal; combined 62 points clears the over 55.5 (ESPN final).
LeBron James over 23.5 points
“I'm betting the over on his points prop tonight against his old buddies, the Cleveland Cavaliers, over 23 and a half points scored.”
110-122 — LeBron James scored 23 points as the Cavaliers beat the Lakers 122-110; falls short of the over 23.5 line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 23 points)
Los Angeles Lakers to miss the playoffs
“I would miss the playoffs. I'll bet that on the Lakers instead of for them to go ahead and make it.”
The Lakers made the 2024-25 NBA playoffs as the No. 3 seed and were eliminated by the Timberwolves 4-1 in the first round (series-clinching loss May 1, 2025), so they did not miss the playoffs (ESPN).
Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC
“I have some, I have some to win the NFC from the summertime.”
28-22 — The Rams were eliminated in the NFC Divisional Round, losing 28-22 to the Eagles on Jan 19, 2025, and never reached the NFC Championship game (ESPN box score).
T.J. Watt to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year (+190)
“And if you're going to give me plus money prices now to do it as high as plus 190 i'm gonna go ahead and take that it's like sertan this to me feels like it's more so a betters creation that has caused sertan to go out to this big of a favorite i completely disagree with that i think watt's still the guy that's in the driver's seat 10 toes down i'm 10 toes down like i'm adding more tj watt”
Broncos CB Pat Surtain II was named the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year at NFL Honors, beating out finalist T.J. Watt (NFL.com).
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons over 47.5
“So I like over 47 and a half. There's a 47 and a half that's out there even at 48 i like the over as well so give me the over in panthers falcons”
44-38 — Panthers beat Falcons 44-38 in OT; combined 82 clears the 47.5 total (ESPN box score).
Dylan Larkin anytime goal (+185)
“Let's go with Detroit Red Wings' Dylan Larkin plus 185 to go ahead and light the lamp.”
Detroit 4, Pittsburgh 2 — Dylan Larkin scored a goal for Detroit in the Red Wings' 4-2 win over Pittsburgh on Dec 31, 2024, hitting the anytime-goal prop (ESPN box score). (Dylan Larkin 1 goal)
Texas Longhorns -12.5
“I think laying the 12 and a half is a good bet to make in this one.”
Texas 39, Arizona State 31 — Texas beat Arizona State 39-31 in 2OT in the Peach Bowl; Texas won by only 8, failing to cover -12.5 (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs moneyline
“That's what I'm going to bet. But any number around these prices, it's always Georgia. Big-time coaching mismatch. Give me the Bulldogs to win outright against Notre Dame.”
Notre Dame 23, Georgia 10 — Notre Dame beat Georgia 23-10 in the Sugar Bowl CFP quarterfinal (played Jan 2, 2025 after a weather/security delay); the Georgia moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Tim Patrick first touchdown (+2000)
“How about Tim Patrick at 20 to 1 to be your first TD score for the roar that has been restored in Detroit”
Per ESPN play-by-play, Tim Patrick did not score a touchdown in the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game (he only caught a 2-point conversion pass); the game's first touchdown was Ricky Pearsall's 3-yard catch from Brock Purdy.
Jauan Jennings first touchdown (+1500)
“Jennings, though, will get it done 15-1”
Per the ESPN box score, Jauan Jennings did not score a touchdown in the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game (7 catches, 67 yards, no TD).
Detroit Lions -3 (-110)
“So I laid some 3-120. Or sorry, minus 110.”
40-34 — Lions beat the 49ers 40-34 on Dec 30, 2024, winning by 6 and covering the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos +3.5 (-120)
“Either take three even money or three and a half minus 120 is a bet on the Denver Broncos.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Bengals beat Broncos 30-24 in OT; Denver lost outright, busting the +3.5 (ESPN box score).
Arizona Cardinals +6.5
“The Cardinals are the bet. Six and a half.”
LAR 13, ARI 9 — Rams beat Cardinals 13-9; Arizona lost by only 4, covering the +6.5 (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings over 48.5
“So for me, Packers Vikings, it's over 48 and a half.”
MIN 27, GB 25 — Vikings beat Packers 27-25; combined 52 points clears the over 48.5 (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs
“I'm betting the Georgia Bulldogs”
Notre Dame 23, Georgia 10 — Notre Dame beat Georgia 23-10 in the Sugar Bowl on January 2, 2025; Georgia lost outright (ESPN).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win NBA MVP (+150)
“so for me at plus 150 like sga like it.s not the sexiest bet but if you want something in the mvp market i think that.s the guy who.s going to ultimately win this award if the thunder continue to win games”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was named the 2024-25 NBA Most Valuable Player on May 21, 2025 (NBA.com), settling the MVP futures bet as a win.
Dallas Mavericks +1.5
“I like the Dallas Mavericks catching one and a half right now over against the Phoenix Suns.”
98-89 — Dallas beat Phoenix 98-89; the Mavericks' 9-point margin covers the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Golden State Warriors +4.5
“Give me Golden State plus four and a half against the Los Angeles Clippers.”
102-92 — LA Clippers beat Golden State 102-92; the Warriors lost by 10, failing to cover +4.5 (ESPN box score).
Detroit Red Wings moneyline (+120)
“But I like the Red Wings against the Toronto Maple Leafs at plus 120.”
TOR 5-DET 2 — Toronto beat Detroit 5-2 (Mitch Marner hat trick); the Red Wings moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Wild moneyline (+180)
“And then the Minnesota Wild in another fallen hero spot. No Kirill the Thrill Kaprizov tonight for the Wild, plus 180 on the road against the Dallas Stars.”
MIN 3-DAL 2 — Minnesota beat Dallas 3-2 in overtime on Brock Faber's OT goal; the Wild moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
Matt Boldy anytime goal (+250)
“Give me Matt Boldy, too, for the Wild, plus 250.”
MIN 3-DAL 2 — Minnesota beat Dallas 3-2 in OT; per the ESPN box score the Wild's goals came from Jonas Brodin, Marcus Foligno, and Brock Faber, not Matt Boldy, so the anytime-goal prop lost.
Josh Palmer first touchdown (+1200)
“But for the Chargers, I like Josh Palmer at 12-1 to be your first touchdown scorer.”
LAC 40-NE 7 — The Chargers' first touchdown in their 40-7 win over New England was a 23-yard catch by Derius Davis from Justin Herbert, not Josh Palmer (ESPN).
Kayshon Boutte first touchdown (+2000)
“Keshon Budi, 20-1 to be your first TD score for the New England Patriots.”
LAC 40-NE 7 — The game's first touchdown was Derius Davis's catch for the Chargers, not a score by Kayshon Boutte for New England, in the Chargers' 40-7 win (ESPN).
Audric Estime first touchdown (+1200)
“Audric Estime at 12-1 for the Denver Broncos.”
CIN 30-DEN 24 — The Broncos-Bengals game's first touchdown was Joe Burrow's 2-yard TD pass to Tee Higgins, not a score by Audric Estime (ESPN).
Andrei Iosivas first touchdown (+1800)
“Andre Yoshivas at 18-1 to be your score for the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 30-DEN 24 — The Broncos-Bengals game's first touchdown was Joe Burrow's 2-yard TD pass to Tee Higgins, not Andrei Iosivas (ESPN).
Trey McBride first touchdown (+1100)
“Trey McBride, 11-1. He hasn't done it yet this year. He'll do it this year to get on the island.”
LAR 13-ARI 9 — Kyren Williams scored the only touchdown of the Rams' 13-9 win over Arizona, so it was also the first touchdown; Trey McBride did not score (ESPN).
Tyler Higbee first touchdown (+2200)
“Tyler Higby scored last week. He.s going to score again. And this time, it.ll be to open the game at 22-1.”
LAR 13-ARI 9 — Kyren Williams scored the only touchdown of the Rams' 13-9 win over Arizona, so it was also the first touchdown; Tyler Higbee did not score (ESPN).
Los Angeles Chargers -4.5
“it's a small bet on the Chargers for me like at four and a half”
LAC 40, NE 7 — Chargers beat Patriots 40-7, a 33-point margin that comfortably covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
USC Trojans +3.5
“I like USC plus a 3.5.”
USC 35, TA&M 31 — USC beat Texas A&M 35-31 in the Las Vegas Bowl, a 4-point margin that covers the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
USC Trojans moneyline
“Also a little bit of USC on the money line as well.”
USC 35, TA&M 31 — USC beat Texas A&M 35-31 in the Las Vegas Bowl, so the USC moneyline wins (ESPN).
North Carolina Tar Heels moneyline (-140)
“I'll go UNC Moneyline. Right now it's minus 140.”
CONN 27, UNC 14 — UConn beat North Carolina 27-14 in the Fenway Bowl, so the North Carolina moneyline loses (ESPN).
UCLA Bruins vs Gonzaga Bulldogs under 147.5
“I like under 147 and a half in the UCLA game”
UCLA 65, GONZ 62 — UCLA beat Gonzaga 65-62, a combined 127 points that clears under the 147.5 total (ESPN).
Victor Wembanyama under 24.5 points (-130)
“I going to go under 24 points for Wembe at minus 130 The Knicks do not want to let Wemby steal the show at the Mecca on a holiday and I think they go out there and make a concerted effort to slow down Wemby in the scoring department. Now for the blocks, eh, Victor Wembanyama, he gets a lot of those, but I don't think he's going to go over that points prop of 24.5.”
NYK 117, SAS 114 — Victor Wembanyama scored 42 points in the Knicks' 117-114 win over the Spurs, busting the under 24.5 (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 42 points)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks under 221.5
“So I like under 221.5 in the Western Conference Finals rematch.”
MIN 105, DAL 99 — Timberwolves beat Mavericks 105-99, a combined 204 points, under the 221.5 total (ESPN box score).
Payton Pritchard over 10.5 points (-120)
“I like Pritchard to go over his points prop 10 and a half right now. It's minus 120.”
PHI 118, BOS 114 — Payton Pritchard scored 4 points in the 76ers' 118-114 win over the Celtics, missing the over 10.5 line (ESPN box score). (Payton Pritchard: 4 points)
Stephen Curry over 24.5 points (-120)
“Stephen Curry, I'm going over his 24.5 points, minus 120. I'm also going over his three-pointers made at 4.5.”
LAL 115, GSW 113 — Stephen Curry scored 38 points in the Lakers' 115-113 win over the Warriors, clearing the over 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stephen Curry: 38 points)
Stephen Curry over 4.5 three-pointers made
“I'm also going over his three-pointers made at 4.5.”
LAL 115, GSW 113 — Stephen Curry made 8 three-pointers in the Lakers' 115-113 win over the Warriors, clearing the over 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stephen Curry: 8 three-pointers made)
Phoenix Suns +3
“I like Phoenix to cover the three.”
PHX 110, DEN 100 — Suns beat Nuggets 110-100, a 10-point margin, covering the +3 line (ESPN box score).
Xavier McKinney to win Defensive Player of the Year (+3000)
“I bet a little bit on this one as well, an interesting long shot in this market. If you just want something to sweat, you want to just feel a little bit. What about Xavier McKinney for the Green Bay Packers? Now they play tonight against Spencer Rattler and the Saints. That's a really good setup for having a DPOI candidate. Tied for the league lead in interceptions with seven. Rattler could easily throw him the football. Would not surprise me. Big price at 30 to one. You don't have to get too crazy with it, but just maybe bet a little bit. I bet a little bit earlier today just to have something on that.”
Broncos CB Pat Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award with 330 points; Xavier McKinney did not win (NFL.com).
Pittsburgh Steelers +3
“I got the Pittsburgh Steelers plus the three.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Chiefs beat Steelers 29-10; Pittsburgh's 19-point loss doesn't cover the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline
“I also like a little bit of money line. I think the Pittsburgh Steelers win this game.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh lost 10-29 to Kansas City, so the Steelers moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
Chicago Bears +4
“I like the Chicago Bears. I took four this morning.”
SEA 6, CHI 3 — Seahawks beat Bears 6-3; Chicago's 3-point loss covers the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers -14
“So a light bet on me for laying the 14.”
GB 34, NO 0 — Packers shut out Saints 34-0, covering the -14 spread (ESPN box score).
Green Bay Packers team total over 27.5
“I'm a light bet here on Packers team total over 27 and a half.”
GB 34, NO 0 — Green Bay scored 34 points in its 34-0 win over New Orleans, over the 27.5 team-total line (ESPN box score).
Foster Moreau first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“Foster Moreau, 40-1 for the New Orleans Saints later on tonight.”
GB 34, NO 0 — New Orleans was shut out 34-0 and did not score any touchdown, so Foster Moreau could not be the first TD scorer (ESPN play-by-play).
Dontayvion Wicks first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“And for the Green Bay Packers, how about a little Dontayvion Wicks at 20-1 to be your first touchdown scorer.”
Dontayvion Wicks scored Green Bay's first touchdown, a 2-yard pass from Jordan Love at 8:41 in the 1st quarter, in the 34-0 win over New Orleans (ESPN play-by-play).
Marquise Brown first touchdown scorer (+1300)
“Marquise Hollywood Brown, 13-1 for the Chiefs.”
Kansas City's touchdowns were scored by Xavier Worthy, Justin Watson, Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce; Marquise Brown did not score in the 29-10 win over Pittsburgh (ESPN play-by-play).
Jaylen Warren first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“Jaylen Warren, 14-1 to be the first TD score for the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Pittsburgh's only touchdown was Russell Wilson's 1-yard scramble at 10:28 in the 2nd quarter; Jaylen Warren did not score in the 10-29 loss to Kansas City (ESPN play-by-play).
Lamar Jackson first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“Lamar Action Jackson, 14-1 as he has a master class down in Houston in front of Beyonce.”
Baltimore's first touchdown was Derrick Henry's 2-yard run at 10:08 in the 1st quarter; Lamar Jackson's 48-yard TD run came later, at 13:22 in the 3rd quarter, in the 31-2 win over Houston (ESPN play-by-play).
Dalton Schultz first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“And for the Texans, Dalton Schultz, 20-1.”
BAL 31, HOU 2 — Houston did not score any touchdown in its 31-2 loss to Baltimore, so Dalton Schultz could not be the first TD scorer (ESPN box score).
Penn State Nittany Lions -10
“I laid the 10. I'd still lay 10 and a half. I'd lay anything under 14.”
Penn State 31, Boise State 14 — Penn State beat Boise State 31-14 in the Fiesta Bowl, covering the -10 spread (ESPN).
Atlanta Falcons +4
“I like the Falcons. I bet some four this morning.”
WAS 30, ATL 24 — Washington beat Atlanta 30-24 in overtime; Atlanta's 6-point loss doesn't cover the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs to win the national championship (+800)
“And I'm not just saying that because I bet their national title odds at 8-1 earlier this season.”
Notre Dame 23-10 Georgia (Sugar Bowl); Ohio State 34-23 Notre Dame (championship) — Georgia won the SEC and reached the CFP as the No. 2 seed but was eliminated 23-10 by Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl quarterfinal; Ohio State went on to beat Notre Dame 34-23 to win the national championship (ESPN).
Tennessee-Ohio State under 46.5
“I like under 46-and-a-half between Tennessee-Ohio State”
42-17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17 in the CFP first round on 12/21/2024; combined 59 points went over the 46.5 total (ESPN).
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs (+700)
“So at seven to one, it's a bet that I've made.”
NYG 45, IND 33 — Colts finished 8-9 and were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 17 with a 45-33 loss to the Giants, missing the 2024-25 NFL playoffs (ESPN).
Miami Dolphins to make the playoffs (+1500)
“I played a little bit of Dolphins 15-1 as well.”
NYJ 32, MIA 20 — Dolphins finished 8-9 and missed the 2024-25 NFL playoffs after losing their season finale to the Jets 32-20 on January 5, 2025 (ESPN).
Irv Smith Jr. first touchdown scorer (+3300)
“Irv Smith Jr., 33-1 for the Houston Texans.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Irv Smith Jr. recorded no receptions and did not score; Houston's touchdowns went to Dalton Schultz and Tank Dell as Kansas City won 27-19 (ESPN play-by-play).
DeAndre Hopkins first touchdown scorer (+1100)
“And for Kansas City, DeAndre Hopkins at 11-1.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — DeAndre Hopkins had 4 catches for 37 yards but no touchdown; Kansas City's TDs came from Patrick Mahomes (rush), Kareem Hunt (rush), and Xavier Worthy (reception) in the Chiefs' 27-19 win over the Texans (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
Pat Freiermuth first touchdown scorer (+1700)
“Pat Fryer moved 17-1.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — The first touchdown of Ravens 34, Steelers 17 was Isaiah Likely's 9-yard catch from Lamar Jackson at 5:52 of Q1; Pat Freiermuth had 16 receiving yards and did not score first (ESPN play-by-play).
Justice Hill first touchdown scorer (+2800)
“Justice Hill, 28-1. I'll see you on the island.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — The first touchdown of Ravens 34, Steelers 17 was Isaiah Likely's 9-yard catch from Lamar Jackson at 5:52 of Q1; Justice Hill had 0 receiving yards and did not score (ESPN play-by-play).
Denver Broncos +8.5 / Cincinnati Bengals teaser
- Denver Broncos +8.5 teaser leg won
- Cincinnati Bengals teaser leg (adjusted line unstated) won
“I have teased the Denver Broncos up to eight and a half, and I'm hoping the Chargers win this thing by four, six, seven in that range. I just want to protect myself because I think there's something that I'm clearly missing with this game. If everybody I talk to loves the Denver Broncos, and here I am on the other side laying a bad number, the most key number in the NFL. So, yeah, I'm still holding steady with my Chargers three, but we're also teased the Denver Broncos up to eight and a half. I think it's a really good teaser. Like, Chargers are not blowing anybody out, but not as currently constructed with all the injuries that they have on their offense. Who are you? Who did you tease the Broncos with Cincinnati? I have teased them with Cincinnati and Atlanta. Both of them. Two separate teasers.”
Los Angeles Chargers 34, Denver 27; Cincinnati 24, Cleveland 6 — Both teaser legs covered: Broncos lost to Chargers 34-27 on 12/19/2024, a 7-point margin covered by the teased +8.5, and Bengals beat Browns 24-6 outright on 12/22/2024, covering any teased Cincinnati spread (ESPN box scores).
Denver Broncos +8.5 / Atlanta Falcons teaser
- Denver Broncos +8.5 teaser leg won
- Atlanta Falcons teaser leg (adjusted line unstated) won
“I have teased the Denver Broncos up to eight and a half, and I'm hoping the Chargers win this thing by four, six, seven in that range. I just want to protect myself because I think there's something that I'm clearly missing with this game. If everybody I talk to loves the Denver Broncos, and here I am on the other side laying a bad number, the most key number in the NFL. So, yeah, I'm still holding steady with my Chargers three, but we're also teased the Denver Broncos up to eight and a half. I think it's a really good teaser. Like, Chargers are not blowing anybody out, but not as currently constructed with all the injuries that they have on their offense. Who are you? Who did you tease the Broncos with Cincinnati? I have teased them with Cincinnati and Atlanta. Both of them. Two separate teasers.”
Los Angeles Chargers 34, Denver 27; Atlanta 34, New York Giants 7 — Both teaser legs covered: Broncos lost to Chargers 34-27 on 12/19/2024, a 7-point margin covered by the teased +8.5, and Falcons beat Giants 34-7 outright on 12/22/2024, covering any teased Atlanta spread (ESPN box scores).
Baltimore Ravens -6
“I laid six this afternoon. I like the Baltimore Ravens.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Ravens beat Steelers 34-17 on Dec 21, 2024; Baltimore's 17-point margin covers the -6 spread (ESPN box score).
New York Knicks to win Eastern Conference (+525)
“Let's back the New York Knicks plus 525.”
The Indiana Pacers beat the New York Knicks 4-2 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals, clinching with a 125-108 Game 6 win on May 31, 2025, so the Knicks did not win the Eastern Conference (ESPN game recap).
Miles Bridges over 17.5 points
“Miles Bridges over 17 and a half points against the Wizards. Wizards against front court players. That's the play.”
WSH 123, CHA 114 — Wizards beat Hornets 123-114 on Dec 19, 2024; Miles Bridges scored 16 points, under the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Miles Bridges: 16 points)
Troy Franklin first touchdown scorer (+3000)
“Troy Franklin, 30-1 to be the first TD score.”
Denver's Audric Estime scored the game's first touchdown, a 3-yard rush, in the Broncos-Chargers game on Dec 19, 2024; Troy Franklin (2 rec, 25 yds, no TD) was not the first TD scorer (ESPN box score/scoring summary).
Stone Smartt first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“Stone Smartt, 18 to 1 and I'll see you guys on the island.”
Denver's Audric Estime scored the game's first touchdown, a 3-yard rush, in the Broncos-Chargers game on Dec 19, 2024; Chargers TE Stone Smartt's touchdown (a receiving score) did not come until later, so he was not the first TD scorer (ESPN box score/scoring summary).
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs under 42
“So under 42 and a half under 42 or better I think is the way to go ahead and bet this game that's how I'm going to bet this game between the Texans and the Chiefs.”
27-19 — Chiefs beat Texans 27-19 on 12/21/2024; combined 46 points went over the 42.0 total (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs -3
“I did bet some Chiefs three today.”
27-19 — Chiefs beat Texans 27-19 on 12/21/2024, an 8-point margin that covers Kansas City -3 (ESPN box score).
T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year
“So that where I betting TJ Watt because he the favorite He the pedigree guy”
Broncos CB Patrick Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors on 2/6/2025, beating finalist T.J. Watt, not Watt (NFL.com).
Jared Verse to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (-105)
“I bet a little bit like minus 105 before the show started.”
Rams LB Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award at NFL Honors (NFL.com).
Atlanta Falcons -13.5 alternate spread
“I'm looking to lay some alts with the Atlanta Falcons. I think the Giants might just flat out quit on this season to where like, let me lay 13 and a half at plus money.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — Falcons beat Giants 34-7 on 12/22/2024, margin +27 covers the -13.5 alternate spread (ESPN box score).
Dylan Larkin anytime goal scorer (+170)
“Dylan Larkin, do factor. Buddy, it's been a while. Let's light the lamp. Plus 170, takes a lot of shots. It's been a little bit unlucky. I think tonight against the Flyers on national TV, he gets it done. Dylan Larkin, I should say, anytime goal scorer tonight for the Detroit Red Wings.”
Detroit 6, Philadelphia 4 — Red Wings beat Flyers 6-4 on Dec 18, 2024; Dylan Larkin recorded two assists (on J.T. Compher's and Lucas Raymond's goals) but did not score a goal himself (ESPN box score). (Dylan Larkin: 0 goals, 2 assists)
Xavier Musketeers at UConn Huskies over 146.5
“I like over 146.5 in this game.”
UConn 94, Xavier 89 — UConn beat Xavier 94-89 in overtime on Dec 18, 2024; the combined 183 points is over the 146.5 total (ESPN box score).
Memphis Tigers at Virginia Cavaliers over 129.5
“I like over 129.5.”
Memphis 64, Virginia 62 — Memphis beat Virginia 64-62 on Dec 18, 2024; the combined 126 points is under the 129.5 total (ESPN box score).
Las Vegas Raiders moneyline (+100)
“I actually bet the Las Vegas Raiders at a pick'em price. I got even money on the money line.”
19-14 — Raiders beat Jaguars 19-14 outright, winning the Raiders moneyline bet (ESPN final score).
Tennessee Titans +3.5
“Anything over a field goal, Rudolph, I think it's a bet on the Titans. Do you with me? Tennessee. Even at three and a half. I think so. Yep, yep. Three and a half. Still Titans. Tighten up.”
38-30 — Colts beat Titans 38-30, an 8-point margin that exceeded the Titans +3.5 line, so the bet lost (ESPN final score).
Milwaukee-Oklahoma City under 216
“I more so like the under 216, if you can find it.”
97-81 — Bucks beat Thunder 97-81 in the NBA Cup championship on 12/17/2024; combined 178 points is under the 216 total (ESPN box score).
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings over 43.5
“I like over 43 and a half. I think that's the bet to make in this game.”
30-12 — Vikings beat Bears 30-12 (ESPN); combined 42 points is under the 43.5 total, so the over lost.
DJ Moore first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“DJ Moore, 14-1. First TD score for the Chicago Bears.”
DJ Moore had 8 catches for 46 yards but no touchdown; Chicago's only score was Keenan Allen's 16-yard TD catch from Caleb Williams in the 4th quarter, so Moore was not the Bears' first TD scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (DJ Moore: 8 receptions, 46 yards, 0 TD)
T.J. Hockenson first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“For Minnesota, I'm going to go with Hawkinson. TJ Hawkinson at 12-1”
TJ Hockenson had 5 catches for 52 yards but no touchdown; Minnesota's first touchdown was Justin Jefferson's 7-yard catch from Sam Darnold in the 1st quarter (ESPN play-by-play). (TJ Hockenson: 5 receptions, 52 yards, 0 TD)
Ray-Ray McCloud first touchdown scorer (+1400)
“Ray Ray McLeod 14 to one for the Atlanta Falcons to be the first TD score.”
Atlanta's only touchdown was Drake London's 30-yard catch from Kirk Cousins; Ray-Ray McCloud did not score (ESPN box score). (Ray-Ray McCloud: 0 touchdowns)
Michael Mayer first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“And finally, Michael Mayer for the Las Vegas Raiders. Everybody worried about Bowers. You should be worried about a mayor 25 to one on Michael Mayer.”
Las Vegas's only touchdown was Ameer Abdullah's 24-yard catch; Michael Mayer had 1 catch for 11 yards and no touchdown (ESPN box score). (Michael Mayer: 1 reception, 11 yards, 0 TD)
Los Angeles Chargers -3
“I like the Chargers. I'm going to lay the three. I've laid the three with the Los Angeles Chargers.”
34-27 — Chargers beat Broncos 34-27 (margin +7), covering the -3 spread (ESPN).
Arizona Cardinals -4
“I am in lockstep with you. I like that bet a lot as well. The Cardinals laying the four.”
36-30 — Panthers beat Cardinals 36-30 in overtime; Arizona lost outright, missing the -4 spread (ESPN).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4
“Give me the Bucs laying four or better in this game. I think Tampa wins big.”
26-24 — Cowboys beat Buccaneers 26-24; Tampa Bay lost outright, missing the -4 spread (ESPN).
RJ Barrett over 25.5 points
“Yeah, I like R.J. Barrett over 25.5 points.”
122-121 — RJ Barrett scored 32 points in the Raptors' 122-121 loss to the Bulls, over his 25.5-point line (ESPN). (RJ Barrett: 32 points)
Connor McMichael anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I'll also go with Connor McMichael for the Capitals to light the lamp in Dallas when they take on the Stars. It pays out plus 200.”
3-1 — Stars beat Capitals 3-1 on Dec 16, 2024; Washington's only goal was scored by Ryan Strome, not Connor McMichael, who did not score (ESPN). (Connor McMichael: 0 goals)
Naz Reid over 11.5 points
“[26:58] gonna stay away from the side i like a prop in this game i like the Naz Reid over the lakers
[27:02] defense is terrible they can't defend anybody anthony davis is a great defender he's by himself
[27:07] like nobody else out there can defend like Reeves Russell like connect all these guys they're
[27:13] horrendous defenders so I think Naz Reid off the bench in a Lakers bench that's pretty shallow they
[27:18] don't have a lot of good reserves I think he dominates in this game and goes over the point
[27:22] total of 11 and a half so that's how I'm betting Lakers T-Wolves no fallen hero spot because they”
MIN 97, LAL 87 — Naz Reid scored 10 points for the Timberwolves in their 97-87 win over the Lakers, under the 11.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Naz Reid: 10 points)
Buffalo Bills (+115)
“[38:24] investment, I have bet the Buffalo Bills to win this game on the money line plus 115 just because”
BUF 48, DET 42 — Bills beat Lions 48-42, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Indianapolis Colts
“[43:35] I also like the Colts on the money line.”
DEN 31, IND 13 — Colts lost to Broncos 13-31, so the Colts moneyline bust (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Chargers -3
“[43:59] And then finally, I'll lay the three even money with the Los Angeles Chargers.”
TB 40, LAC 17 — Chargers lost to Buccaneers 17-40, a 23-point margin that fails to cover -3 (ESPN box score).
Seattle Seahawks +8.5
“[40:57] So give me the Seahawks on a teaser leg up to 8.5 at home”
GB 30, SEA 13 — Packers beat Seahawks 30-13, a 17-point margin that exceeds the 8.5-point teaser cushion, so Seahawks +8.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs -4
“Minus four and minus 225. Yeah, Kansas City lay the points in this game for me on the road at the Cleveland Browns.”
KC 21, CLE 7 — Chiefs beat Browns 21-7 on Dec 15, 2024; Kansas City's 14-point margin covers -4 (ESPN box score).
Donovan Mitchell over 24.5 points
“Donovan Mitchell over 24.5 points against the Washington Wizards.”
Donovan Mitchell scored 20 points in Cleveland's 115-105 win over Washington on Dec 13, 2024, under the 24.5-point over line (ESPN box score, gameId 401736802). (Donovan Mitchell: 20 points)
Donovan Mitchell 30+ points (+210)
“I also like 30-plus points for Donovan Mitchell. That pays out plus 210.”
Donovan Mitchell scored 20 points in Cleveland's 115-105 win over Washington on Dec 13, 2024, under the 30-point line (ESPN box score, gameId 401736802). (Donovan Mitchell: 20 points)
Brandon Miller over 26.5 points
“And then also go with Brandon Miller over 26 and a half points against the Chicago Bulls.”
Brandon Miller scored 21 points in Charlotte's 109-95 loss to Chicago on Dec 13, 2024, under the 26.5-point over line (ESPN box score, gameId 401736806). (Brandon Miller: 21 points)
Devin Booker over 25.5 points (-110)
“And then Devin Booker over 25 and a half points against the Utah Jazz minus 110.”
Devin Booker scored 34 points in Phoenix's 134-126 win over Utah on Dec 13, 2024, over the 25.5-point line (ESPN box score, gameId 401736808). (Devin Booker: 34 points)
Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
“I would lay the three and a half of the Milwaukee Bucks if you can find that.”
102-110 — Bucks beat Hawks 110-102 in the NBA Cup semifinal (ESPN), an 8-point margin that clears Milwaukee's -3.5 — Bucks covered.
Under 212.5
“So I'll go under two, 12 and a half.”
Thunder beat Rockets 111-96 in the NBA Cup semifinal (ESPN); combined 207 points is under the 212.5 total. (207 combined points (Thunder 111, Rockets 96))
Texas A&M Aggies +2.5
“I would take the two and a half with the Texas A&M Aggies”
70-66 — Texas A&M beat Purdue 70-66 outright (ESPN) at the 2024 Indy Classic — Texas A&M covered +2.5.
Gonzaga Bulldogs -2.5
“I'll lay the two and a half with Gonzaga at MSG against UConn.”
UConn 77, Gonzaga 71 — UConn beat Gonzaga 77-71 at Madison Square Garden on Dec 14, 2024 (ESPN) — Gonzaga lost outright, so Gonzaga -2.5 did not cover.
Seattle Seahawks +8.5 / Washington Commanders -1.5 teaser
- Seattle Seahawks +8.5
- Washington Commanders -1.5
“Seattle, Washington. Seahawks up to eight-and-a-half, paired with the Washington Commanders down to one-and-a-half. That's how I'm playing this game”
30-13; 20-19 — Both teaser legs failed: Packers beat Seahawks 30-13, a 17-point margin that busts Seattle's +8.5, and Commanders beat Saints 20-19, only a 1-point margin, short of Washington's -1.5 (ESPN box scores).
North Carolina Tar Heels over 7.5 wins (+114)
“So even at seven and a half, I like that thing over. It's like plus 114 in that range. I would bet the over of seven and a half”
4-8 — North Carolina finished the 2025 season 4-8 (2-6 ACC) under Bill Belichick, well under the 7.5-win total (ESPN 2025 schedule/results).
Boston Celtics -11.5
“So I'm going to lay the 11-and-a-half Fallen Heroes spot.”
BOS 123, DET 99 — Boston Celtics beat Detroit 123-99 on Dec 12, 2024, a 24-point margin that covers -11.5 (ESPN box score).
Iowa State Cyclones at Iowa Hawkeyes over 161.5
“Over 161.5 in the Seahawks. I think it's a fun game over in Iowa City.”
ISU 89, IOWA 80 — Iowa State beat Iowa 89-80, a combined 169 points, over the 161.5 total (ESPN box score).
Tutu Atwell first Los Angeles Rams touchdown scorer
“We going to go with Tutu Aswell man Tutu Atwell for the Los Angeles Rams”
LAR 12, SF 6 — No touchdowns were scored by either team in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, with all points coming from field goals, so Tutu Atwell did not score a Rams TD (ESPN box score).
Deebo Samuel first San Francisco 49ers touchdown scorer (+1000)
“Deebo Samuel, 10-1 for the 49ers.”
LAR 12, SF 6 — No touchdowns were scored by either team in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, with all points coming from field goals, so Deebo Samuel did not score a 49ers TD (ESPN box score).
Buffalo Bills moneyline
“I'm betting the Buffalo Bills to beat the Detroit Lions”
48-42 — Buffalo Bills beat Detroit Lions 48-42 on Dec 15, 2024; Bills moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
Dan Quinn to win NFL Coach of the Year (+2000)
“I found some 20-1 last night that I bet”
Vikings' Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award at NFL Honors (Feb 2025); Commanders' Dan Quinn was a finalist but did not win (nfl.com).
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal scorer (+210)
“Let's go with Vincent Trocek to light the lamp for the New York Rangers. Didn't do anything in the last game against the Blackhawks. Guy was just doing cardio. I think he does something against the Buffalo Sabres. Plus 210.”
Vincent Trocheck did not score in the Rangers' 3-2 win over the Sabres on Dec 11, 2024; he finished with 0 goals and 1 assist (ESPN box score). (Trocheck 0 goals, 1 assist)
Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North (+180)
“Baltimore right now, they're plus 180 to win the AFC North. I think that's a really good bet to make. That's a bet that I have made.”
12-5 — Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North with a 12-5 record, finishing ahead of Pittsburgh (10-7), Cincinnati (9-8), and Cleveland (3-14) (ESPN 2024 AFC North final standings).
Baltimore Ravens over 11.5 wins
“I also have the over 11 and a half for the Baltimore Ravens.”
12-5 — Baltimore Ravens finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, clearing the 11.5-win total (ESPN 2024 AFC North final standings).
Detroit Lions over Baltimore Ravens in Super Bowl LIX (+1800) · BetMGM
“The Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 59, 18 to 1 over at BetMGM. Lions over Ravens Super Bowl. Exacta, it's one that I have bet.”
40-22 — Neither the Lions nor the Ravens reached Super Bowl LIX; the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 on Feb 9, 2025 (ESPN box score).
Trae Young over 20.5 points (-145) · BetMGM
“It's over his 20 and a half over at BetMGM, minus 145. It's a bet that I already have in the account.”
ATL 108, NY 100 — Trae Young scored 22 points in Atlanta's 108-100 win over New York on Dec 11, 2024, clearing the 20.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Trae Young: 22 points)
Houston Rockets moneyline (-125)
“I bet minus 125 on the money line.”
HOU 91, GS 90 — Houston Rockets beat Golden State 91-90 on Dec 11, 2024, winning the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
Cincinnati Bengals to make playoffs (+1100) · BetMGM
“I think the Bengals at 11-1 are a bet to make the postseason.”
The Bengals finished the 2024 regular season 9-8 and missed the playoffs (ESPN), so the make-the-postseason bet lost.
Dallas Cowboys under 6.5 wins
“I would go under six and a half.”
The Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10 (ESPN), exceeding the 6.5 wins line, so the Under lost.
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 · BetMGM
“I saw a three and a half at BetMGM earlier today. I laid that.”
OKC 118, DAL 104 — Thunder beat Mavericks 118-104 in the NBA Cup quarterfinal on 12/10/2024; OKC -3.5 covers by 14 points (ESPN).
Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5
“I lay the six and a half tonight on Peacock”
ILL 86, WIS 80 — Illinois beat Wisconsin 86-80 on 12/10/2024; Illinois -6.5 falls short, covering by only 6 points (ESPN box score).
Jack Hughes anytime goal scorer (+185)
“Jack Hughes, light the lamp tonight against Toronto, plus 185”
TOR 2, NJ 1 — Maple Leafs beat Devils 2-1 in OT on 12/10/2024 (Holmberg, Matthews); New Jersey's only goal was scored by Ondrej Palat, not Jack Hughes (ESPN box score).
Vincent Trocheck anytime goal scorer (+210)
“plus 210 anytime goal score. That's how I'm betting the Blackhawks at the Rangers”
Blackhawks 2, Rangers 1 — Blackhawks beat Rangers 2-1; Chicago's goals came from Tyler Bertuzzi and Taylor Hall and New York's from Will Cuylle — Vincent Trocheck did not score (ESPN box score).
Joe Burrow first touchdown scorer (+2800)
“Joe Burrow, 28 to one”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; the game's first touchdown was CeeDee Lamb's 11-yard catch from Cooper Rush, not a Joe Burrow score (ESPN play-by-play).
Luke Schoonmaker first touchdown scorer (+4500)
“Luke Schoonmaker, and he's a first TD score, 45-1”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; the game's first touchdown was CeeDee Lamb's 11-yard catch, and Luke Schoonmaker recorded no touchdown in the game (ESPN play-by-play).
Clemson Tigers +11
“Give me the 11”
38-24 — Texas beat Clemson 38-24; Clemson lost by 14, well outside the +11 line (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers +8
“I like Tennessee plus eight”
42-17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17; Tennessee lost by 25, well outside the +8 line (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Volunteers at Ohio State Buckeyes under 47.5
“and under 47 and a half as my bets for these games”
42-17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17, a combined 59 points, over the under 47.5 total (ESPN box score).
Indianapolis Colts +5.5
“I took five and a half”
31-13 — Broncos beat Colts 31-13; Indianapolis lost by 18, well outside the +5.5 line (ESPN box score).
Indianapolis Colts moneyline
“I bet money line”
31-13 — Broncos beat Colts 31-13; Indianapolis lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5
“I made this bet. It's the Philadelphia Eagles laying the four and a half”
27-13 — Eagles beat Steelers 27-13, winning by 14 to cover the -4.5 line (ESPN box score).
Miami Dolphins +3 (-110)
“This next one for me is we're not going to be going oppo taco because it's going to be different numbers, but I do like Miami a little bit at plus three. The Dolphins at three, minus 110. It has to be 110 because right now there's a lot of three minus 105 out there, but three minus 110. This to me is just more so a fade of the Houston Texans.”
20-12 — Texans beat Dolphins 20-12; Miami lost by 8, outside the +3 line (ESPN box score).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -7.5
“I'm going to lay the 7.5 with the Fighting Irish”
27-17 — Notre Dame beat Indiana 27-17, winning by 10 to cover the -7.5 line (ESPN box score).
Dyson Daniels over 10.5 points
“Give me Dyson Daniels over 10.5 points against the Los Angeles Lakers”
Dyson Daniels scored 11 points in Atlanta's 134-132 OT win over the Lakers on Dec 6, 2024, covering the over 10.5 (ESPN box score). (Dyson Daniels 11 points)
Bennedict Mathurin over 9.5 points
“I'll also take the over on Bennedict Mathurin on his points over 9.5 against the Chicago Bulls”
Bennedict Mathurin scored 19 points in Indiana's 132-123 win over Chicago on Dec 6, 2024, covering the over 9.5 (ESPN). (Bennedict Mathurin 19 points)
Jerami Grant over 14.5 points
“I'll take the Jerami Grant over 14.5 points against a terrible Utah Jazz defense”
Jerami Grant scored 19 points for Portland in Utah's 141-99 win on Dec 6, 2024, covering the over 14.5 (ESPN). (Jerami Grant 19 points)
Columbus Blue Jackets moneyline (+195)
“I'll go ahead and play against them, plus 195 for Columbus”
Canucks 5, Blue Jackets 2 — Canucks beat Blue Jackets 5-2 on Dec 6, 2024; Columbus's moneyline busts (ESPN).
Mitch Marner anytime goal scorer
“Five goal scorer bets. First one, Mitch Marner”
Mitch Marner did not score in Washington's 3-1 win over Toronto on Dec 6, 2024; Capitals goals came from Dowd, McMichael, and an empty-netter by Protas, Toronto's lone goal was Tavares (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Connor McMichael anytime goal scorer (+230)
“Connor McMichael for the Capitals in that same game, plus 230 against Toronto”
Connor McMichael scored a third-period goal in Washington's 3-1 win over Toronto on Dec 6, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Connor McMichael 1 goal)
Jack Hughes anytime goal scorer (+175)
“I'll also bet Jack Hughes, plus 175 against the Seattle Kraken”
Jack Hughes did not score in New Jersey's 3-2 win over Seattle on Dec 6, 2024; he recorded 2 assists, with goals from Bratt, L. Hughes, and Meier (ESPN box score). (0 goals (2 assists))
Jack Eichel anytime goal scorer (+195)
“Jack Eichel to score, plus 195 against the Dallas Stars”
Jack Eichel scored a power-play goal in Vegas's 3-2 win over Dallas on Dec 6, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Jack Eichel 1 goal)
Matt Boldy anytime goal scorer (+150)
“Matt Boldy, plus 150, anytime score”
Matt Boldy scored a goal in Minnesota's 5-1 win over Anaheim on Dec 6, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Matt Boldy 1 goal)
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 · BetMGM
“Will Levis cannot be laying three and a half. There's a three and a half still over at BetMGM. If you like the Jaguars, go do it at BetMGM because we're starting to see some places go to three, even money, maybe even down to three. So I like Jacksonville more than a field goal. Will Levis can never be laying more than a possession in an NFL game. Just can't happen. So give me the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
JAX 10, TEN 6 — Jaguars beat Titans 10-6 on 12/8/2024 (ESPN box score); Jacksonville won outright by 4, covering +3.5.
Arizona Cardinals moneyline (-145)
“I'm just going to bet Cardinals money line and then you have to pay a little bit more minus 145”
SEA 30, ARI 18 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 30-18 on 12/8/2024 (ESPN box score); Arizona lost outright, busting the moneyline.
Arizona State Sun Devils -1.5
“Lay the one and a half with the Sun Devils”
ASU 45, ISU 19 — Arizona State beat Iowa State 45-19 in the Big 12 Championship on 12/7/2024 (ESPN box score); ASU won by 26, covering -1.5.
Auburn Tigers to win national championship
“[30:36] But on a neutral court, which would be a national title Final Four kind of setting, I would take Auburn.
[30:41] I think Auburn has actually the best player in college basketball in Jani Broome.
[30:45] They also have really good guards that are electric.
[30:47] They play with great defense.
[30:49] Like Auburn is a complete basketball team and Duke's lack of shooting.
[30:52] I think will hurt them at some point in the tournament.
[30:54] So give me the Auburn Tigers.
[30:56] I think they have all the goods to win the national title and cut down the
[30:58] nets,”
FLA 65, HOU 63 — Florida beat Houston 65-63 to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball championship on April 7, 2025; Auburn did not reach or win the title (ESPN).
Donovan Mitchell over 26.5 points
“[37:15] Donovan Mitchell over on his points over 26 and a half.”
CLE 126, DEN 114 — Donovan Mitchell scored 28 points as Cleveland beat Denver 126-114; over 26.5 covers (ESPN). (Donovan Mitchell: 28 points)
Luka Doncic over 28.5 points
“[39:00] Luka Doncic over 28 and a half points against the Wizards.”
DAL 137, WSH 101 — Luka Doncic scored 21 points in Dallas's 137-101 win over Washington; under 28.5, the over misses (ESPN). (Luka Doncic: 21 points)
Sam Reinhart anytime goal (+130)
“[39:07] And then also in the hockey, Sam Reinhardt to score a goal against the Flyers.
[39:10] A little chalky, plus 130, but he's due to score because he scores almost every single night.”
FLA 7, PHI 5 — Sam Reinhart scored the go-ahead power-play goal in Florida's 7-5 win over Philadelphia; anytime goal wins (ESPN). (Sam Reinhart: 1 goal)
Jayden Reed first touchdown (+1100)
“[42:06] For the Green Bay Packers, I'm going to go with Jayden Reed at 11-1.”
DET 34, GB 31 — The game's first touchdown was David Montgomery's 3-yard rushing TD for Detroit in Q1; Jayden Reed had 0 catches and did not score (ESPN play-by-play).
Tim Patrick first touchdown
“[42:19] Tim Patrick as your first TD scorer.”
DET 34, GB 31 — The game's first touchdown was David Montgomery's 3-yard rushing TD for Detroit in Q1; Tim Patrick's two TD catches came in the 3rd and 4th quarters, so he was not the first scorer (ESPN play-by-play).
Houston Rockets -3.5 (-115)
“[27:35] I laid 3.5 minus 115.”
GS 99, HOU 93 — Warriors beat Rockets 99-93 on Dec 5, 2024; Houston lost by 6, failing to cover -3.5 (ESPN box score).
Baltimore Ravens over 11.5 wins (+200)
“[37:35] I like the Baltimore Ravens over the 11 and a half
[37:37] on their updated win total at plus 200.”
The Baltimore Ravens finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, clearing the over 11.5 win total.
Houston Texans to miss playoffs (+1800)
“[41:03] So give me Houston to miss the playoffs at 18-1.”
The Houston Texans went 10-7, won the AFC South, and made the 2024 playoffs (beat the Chargers in the Wild Card round), so the 'miss playoffs' bet lost.
Washington Commanders over 10.5 wins (+140)
“[43:03] they're eight and five right now i think at 11 and six you cash your bet plus 140 who knows maybe
[43:09] Dan Quinn wins coach of the year at that point. I mean, we'll have to see what all the other
[43:12] candidates do, but I think the Washington commanders over 10 and a half wins is a good”
The Washington Commanders finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, clearing the over 10.5 win total.
Indianapolis Colts over 8.5 wins (+130)
“[43:31] of the conservative. I'll lay up here. I'll bet the Colts over eight and a half wins at plus 130.”
The Indianapolis Colts finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, falling short of the over 8.5 win total.
New England Patriots under 3.5 wins (+150)
“[44:17] I think under three and a half at plus 150 is worth a shot.”
The New England Patriots finished the 2024 regular season 4-13, exceeding the under 3.5 win total.
Denver Broncos over 9.5 wins (-175)
“[44:34] Then finally for the Denver Broncos, over 9.5 wins.
[44:38] Clearly not my favorite bet since it's minus 175 on the over.”
The Denver Broncos finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the over 9.5 win total.
Duke Blue Devils -3.5
“Auburn-Duke, I think the Duke Blue Devils get it done, and I would actually lay the points. Now, I want to see where this goes. It's three and a half right now. Maybe some recreational money comes in and backs Auburn getting three and a half. But I think it's a great spot for Duke and fading Auburn off of the Maui Invitational Bump where they looked terrific last week. So give me the Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium.”
DUKE 84-78 AUB — Duke beat Auburn 84-78; Duke won by 6, covering -3.5 (ESPN box score).
LeBron James over 1.5 made threes
“Give me LeBron over one and a half threes”
LeBron James went 1-for-4 on three-pointers (29 pts, 8 ast, 5 reb) in the Heat's 134-93 win over the Lakers on Dec 4, 2024, per ESPN box score, under the 1.5 line. (1 three-pointer made (1-for-4))
Damian Lillard over 24.5 points
“Dame time over 24 and a half points”
ATL 119, MIL 104 — Damian Lillard scored 25 points in the Hawks' 119-104 win over the Bucks on Dec 4, 2024, covering the over 24.5 (ESPN). (Damian Lillard 25 points)
Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5
“Give me the Alabama plus the one and a half”
ALA 94, UNC 79 — Alabama beat North Carolina 94-79 on Dec 4, 2024; Alabama's 15-point win easily covers the +1.5 line (ESPN).
Under 152 · BetMGM
“I bet under 152”
ISU 81, MARQ 70 — Iowa State beat Marquette 81-70 on Dec 4, 2024; combined 151 points is under the 152 line (ESPN).
Mitch Marner anytime goal scorer (+240)
“Mitch Marner for the Maple Leafs, plus 240 anytime goal scorer”
TOR 3, NSH 2 — Maple Leafs beat Predators 3-2 on Dec 4, 2024; Toronto's goals came from Auston Matthews (2) and William Nylander, with Mitch Marner recording 3 assists but no goal (ESPN). (Mitch Marner 0 goals (3 assists))
Connor Bedard anytime goal scorer (+250)
“Connor Bedard, all the haters say that he's regressed. I don't care, plus 250. He's lighting the lamp tonight.”
BOS 4, CHI 2 — Bruins beat Blackhawks 4-2 on Dec 4, 2024; Chicago's goals came from Alex Vlasic and Jason Dickinson, with Connor Bedard not scoring (ESPN). (Connor Bedard 0 goals)
SMU to make College Football Playoff (-225)
“the two bets that I've made in the college ball playoff SMU to make it at minus 225”
SMU (11-2) earned the No. 11 seed as the final at-large selection in the 12-team CFP bracket, announced on Selection Sunday Dec. 8, 2024 (NCAA.com); SMU to make the CFP cashed.
Miami to make College Football Playoff (+750)
“And I also bet a little bit of Miami at plus 750 to make it”
Miami finished No. 13 in the final CFP rankings and missed the 12-team playoff field announced Dec. 8, 2024 (ESPN); Miami to make the CFP did not cash.
Milwaukee Bucks moneyline (-150)
“bet a little bit of Bucs money line at minus 150”
MIL 128, DET 107 — Bucks beat Pistons 128-107 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Milwaukee moneyline cashes.
Wisconsin Badgers -2.5
“I'm going to go with Bucky Badger and shop around I bet two and a half I like Wisconsin in this game a lot against Michigan”
MICH 67, WIS 64 — Michigan beat Wisconsin 67-64 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Wisconsin lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread.
Washington Wizards +16
“plug the nose Wizards plus 16 Bucks money line and then Thunder first half against the Jazz”
CLE 118, WAS 87 — Cavaliers beat Wizards 118-87 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Washington's 31-point loss busts the +16 spread.
Las Vegas Raiders +7
“I think plus seven, if you can find it, is a bet on the silver and black”
TB 28-13 LV — Buccaneers beat Raiders 28-13; Raiders lost by 15, well outside +7 (ESPN box score).
Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)
“Dude, I at the book I'm looking at right now with six, six one ten. Yep, I have, I have to bet Atlanca. What could go wrong?”
MIN 42-21 ATL — Vikings beat Falcons 42-21; Falcons lost by 21, well outside +6 (ESPN box score).
Nico Hischier anytime goal (+200)
“I do like Nico Hishire to go ahead and score a goal plus 200”
NJ 5, NYR 1 — Devils beat Rangers 5-1 on Dec 2, 2024; goals came from Bratt, Mercer, Hamilton, and Hughes (x2) for New Jersey and Kreider for New York — Nico Hischier did not score (ESPN box score).
Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points
“Ant-Man over 26 and a half points I like that one”
MIN 109, LAL 80 — Anthony Edwards scored 8 points in Minnesota's 109-80 win over the Lakers on Dec 2, 2024, well under the 26.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 8 points)
Trae Young over 21.5 points
“favorite bet tonight Trae Young over 21.5 points”
ATL 124, NO 112 — Trae Young scored 12 points in Atlanta's 124-112 win over New Orleans on Dec 2, 2024, under the 21.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Trae Young: 12 points)
Under 41.5 points
“it's a bet to be under for me I think even at 41.5 it's fine”
DEN 41, CLE 32 — Broncos beat Browns 41-32 on Dec 2, 2024; the combined 73 points went well over the 41.5 total (ESPN box score).
Oregon Ducks -3.5
“The Ducks right now laying three and a half I'll lay the three and a half”
ORE 45, PSU 37 — Oregon beat Penn State 45-37 in the Big Ten Championship on Dec 7, 2024; the 8-point margin covered Oregon's -3.5 spread (ESPN).
Texas Longhorns -2.5
“Texas laying two and a half You know my feelings about seven wins Sark We're actually going to go oppo that I'll lay the two and a half with hook'em horns”
UGA 22, TEX 19 — Texas lost to Georgia 19-22 in overtime in the SEC Championship on Dec 7, 2024; Texas -2.5 failed to cover, losing outright (ESPN).
Dallas Cowboys +6
“shop around out there try to find a six but i like the dallas cowboys getting the six”
CIN 27, DAL 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20 on Dec 9, 2024; Dallas's 7-point loss failed to cover the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
Under 45.5 points
“I've talked myself into it Yeah I think under 45 and a half for the Panthers and the Eagles”
PHI 22, CAR 16 — Eagles beat Panthers 22-16 on Dec 8, 2024; the combined 38 points went under the 45.5 total (ESPN box score).
Atlanta Falcons +8 / New York Jets +8 teaser
- Atlanta Falcons +8 teaser leg won
- New York Jets +8 teaser leg won
“I talked about teasing the Atlanta Falcons up to seven and a half or up to eight, and this is where I'm going to tease it with the New York Jets up to eight.”
LAC 17-13 ATL; SEA 26-21 NYJ — Chargers beat Falcons 17-13 on Dec 1, 2024 (Falcons lost by 4, covered the +8 teaser leg) and Seahawks beat Jets 26-21 the same day (Jets lost by 5, covered the +8 teaser leg); both teased legs covered so the parlay won (ESPN game recaps).
Tennessee Titans +6
“I actually think I'm going to take the six with Tennessee now that we've hit that number.”
42-19 — Washington beat Tennessee 42-19 on Dec 1, 2024, a 23-point margin, so Titans +6 did not cover (ESPN final).
Los Angeles Rams -2.5
“I'll lay the two and a half.”
21-14 — The Rams beat the Saints 21-14 on Dec 1, 2024, a 7-point margin that covers Rams -2.5 (ESPN final).
Chicago Bears +9.5
“So give me the Bears, getting the 9.5.”
23-20 — Lions beat Bears 23-20 on Thanksgiving (ESPN), a 3-point margin, so Bears +9.5 covered.
New York Giants +3.5
“I still like it at three and a half.”
27-20 — Cowboys beat Giants 27-20 on Thanksgiving (ESPN), a 7-point margin, so Giants +3.5 did not cover.
Golden State Warriors +4
“Let's go to the well with the Golden State Warriors, plus the four and the money line.”
105-101 — Thunder beat Warriors 105-101 (ESPN), a 4-point margin exactly matching the line, so Warriors +4 pushed.
Golden State Warriors moneyline
“Let's go to the well with the Golden State Warriors, plus the four and the money line.”
105-101 — Thunder beat Warriors 105-101 (ESPN), so Warriors moneyline lost.
Michigan State +5.5
“I will take the points with Sparty plus the 5.5 against North Carolina.”
94-91 — Michigan State beat North Carolina 94-91 in overtime at the Maui Invitational third-place game (ESPN), so Michigan State +5.5 covered outright.
Under 147
“Under 147.”
85-67 — Dayton beat UConn 85-67 (ESPN), a combined 152 points, exceeding the 147 total, so the under lost.
Jamal Murray over 19.5 points
“Jamal Murray over 19.5 points against the Utah Jazz.”
Jamal Murray scored 22 points in the Nuggets' 122-103 win over the Jazz (ESPN), clearing the 19.5-point over line. (22 points)
SMU to make the College Football Playoff (-175)
“So that's a bet for you? SMU minus 175? You want to lay that with SMU? You're in. I want to lay it.”
SMU received the last at-large bid and was seeded No. 11 in the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff, with the field announced Dec. 8, 2024 (Wikipedia, citing CFP committee rankings).
Colorado -16.5
“Give me Colorado laying the 16 and a half at home”
52-0 — Colorado routed Oklahoma State 52-0, covering -16.5 easily (ESPN).
Oregon State +19.5
“Give me the 19 and a half.”
34-18 — Boise State beat Oregon State 34-18, a 16-point margin that stays under the +19.5 Oregon State line (ESPN).
South Carolina +2.5
“Give me South Carolina plus two and a half against Clemson.”
17-14 — South Carolina beat Clemson outright 17-14, easily covering +2.5 (ESPN).
Under 48.5
“I have under 48 and a half with Tennessee and Vandy.”
36-23 — Tennessee beat Vanderbilt 36-23; combined 59 points went well over the 48.5 total (ESPN).
Under 43.5
“Under 43 and a half is my bet.”
13-10 — Michigan upset Ohio State 13-10; combined 23 points stayed under the 43.5 total (ESPN).
Arizona +9
“I'll take the nine with Arizona against Arizona State.”
49-7 — Arizona State blew out Arizona 49-7, a 42-point margin that fails to cover Arizona's +9 (ESPN).
USC +7.5
“USC plus seven and a half.”
49-35 — Notre Dame beat USC 49-35, a 14-point margin that fails to cover USC's +7.5 (ESPN).
Kansas State +2.5
“Kansas State plus two and a half against Iowa State.”
29-21 — Iowa State beat Kansas State 29-21 (ESPN); Kansas State lost outright by 8, failing to cover +2.5.
Jimmy Butler over 20.5 points
“I'll take Jimmy Butler over 20.5 points tonight.”
Jimmy Butler scored 23 points for Miami in the Nov 26, 2024 106-103 loss to Milwaukee, clearing the 20.5-point over (ESPN box score). (23 points)
Boston Bruins moneyline
“I like the Bruins as well.”
2-0 — Vancouver beat Boston 2-0 on Nov 26, 2024, so the Bruins moneyline lost (ESPN).
Malcolm Brogdon over 14.5 points
“I also like Malcolm Brogdon over 14.5 points.”
Malcolm Brogdon scored 15 points for Washington in the Nov 26, 2024 108-127 loss to Chicago, clearing the 14.5-point over (ESPN box score). (15 points)
Nikola Vucevic over 20.5 points
“I like Nikola Vucevic, Big Vuce, over 20.5 points against the Wizards.”
Nikola Vucevic scored 19 points for Chicago in the 127-108 win over Washington on Nov 26, 2024, missing the 20.5-point over (ESPN box score). (19 points)
Harrison Barnes over 11.5 points
“I like Harrison Barnes over 11.5 points.”
Harrison Barnes scored 8 points for San Antonio in the 128-115 win over Utah on Nov 26, 2024, missing the 11.5-point over (ESPN box score). (8 points)
North Carolina -3.5
“let's go ahead and lay the three and a half, shall we?”
35-30 — NC State beat North Carolina 35-30 on Nov 30, 2024; UNC lost outright, so North Carolina -3.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Memphis +2
“I'm going to bet plus two.”
71-63 — Memphis beat Michigan State 71-63 in the Maui Invitational semifinal on Nov 26, 2024, winning outright, so Memphis +2 covered (ESPN box score).
Memphis moneyline
“I think that Memphis wins this game.”
71-63 — Memphis beat Michigan State 71-63 outright on Nov 26, 2024, so the Memphis moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Over 149
“I like over 149 between Kansas and Duke.”
75-72 — Kansas beat Duke 75-72 (combined 147) on Nov 26, 2024, under the 149 total, so the Over lost (ESPN box score).
Auburn -3
“I'll lay the three with the Auburn Tigers.”
85-72 — Auburn beat North Carolina 85-72 (margin 13) in the Maui Invitational on Nov 26, 2024, covering Auburn -3 (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans under 9.5 wins (+120)
“I like under nine and a half plus 120”
10-7 — Houston Texans finished the 2024 regular season 10-7 (AFC South champs), exceeding 9.5 wins, so the Under lost (ESPN schedule/standings).
Pittsburgh Steelers under 10.5 wins (+125)
“Pittsburgh Steelers under 10.5, plus 125.”
10-7 — Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, under 10.5 wins, so the Under won (ESPN schedule/standings).
Chicago Bears under 5.5 wins
“Bears under 5.5 schedules a gauntlet.”
5-12 — Chicago Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under 5.5 wins, so the Under won (ESPN schedule/standings).
Tennessee Titans over 5.5 wins
“And then Titans over 5.5”
3-14 — Tennessee Titans finished the 2024 regular season 3-14, well under 5.5 wins, so the Over lost (ESPN schedule/standings).
New York Giants +4
“I bet the New York Giants, I took some plus four when this news came out.”
27-20 — Cowboys beat Giants 27-20 on Nov 28, 2024; Giants lost by 7, failing to cover +4 (ESPN).
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (-115)
“I bet two and a half minus 115.”
44-38 — Steelers beat Bengals 44-38 on Dec 1, 2024; Bengals lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN).
Over 46.5
“But at 46, 46.5, it's a bet.”
26-23 — Buccaneers-Panthers combined score was 49 (26-23 OT), over the 46.5 total (ESPN final).
Under 51
“so i go under 51 in this game”
24-19 — Eagles-Ravens combined score was 43 (24-19), under the 51 total (ESPN final).
Saquon Barkley to win NFL MVP
“I think you want to find a way to have a little bit of him”
Josh Allen (Bills) won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award, announced at NFL Honors Feb 6, 2025; Saquon Barkley did not win (NFL.com).
Chop Robinson to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1600) · BetMGM
“the price 16 to 1 over at bed of gym obviously not as good as 25 but i still think 16 is a bet on chop robinson”
Jared Verse (Rams) won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award, announced at NFL Honors; Chop Robinson did not win (NFL.com).
Andy Reid to win NFL Coach of the Year (+2500)
“there is a bet in this market and I'm gonna go a long shot hunting here and by the long shot I'm going with Andy Reid he's around 25 to one”
Kevin O'Connell (Vikings) won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Andy Reid did not win (NFL.com).
Green Bay Packers -3
“I laid three.”
30-17 — Packers beat Dolphins 30-17 on Thanksgiving (ESPN); Green Bay's 13-point margin covers -3.
Las Vegas Raiders +13
“Then it's the Raiders plus 13 for me.”
19-17 — Chiefs beat Raiders 19-17 (ESPN); Las Vegas lost by 2, well within the +13 spread, so Raiders +13 covers.
Los Angeles Clippers +10.5
“I like the Clippers getting the 10.5.”
126-94 — Celtics beat Clippers 126-94 (ESPN); Los Angeles lost by 32, failing to cover +10.5.
Pascal Siakam over 22.5 points
“I like Pascal Siakam going over 22.5 points”
Pascal Siakam scored 14 points for the Pacers against the Pelicans on Nov 25, 2024 (Fox Sports box score), under the 22.5 line. (14 points)
Jaden Ivey over 20.5 points (-110)
“Jaden Ivey over 20.5 points against the Toronto Raptors. That's at minus 110.”
Jaden Ivey scored 25 points, including the game-winning buzzer-beater, in the Pistons' 102-100 win over the Raptors on Nov 25, 2024 (ESPN), over the 20.5 line. (25 points)
Isaiah Likely first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“let's go isaiah likely 25 to one to be your first city score”
30-23 — Baltimore's four touchdowns in its 30-23 win over the Chargers on Nov 25, 2024 went to Justice Hill, Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, and Lamar Jackson (ESPN box score); Isaiah Likely, who instead recovered the game-sealing onside kick, did not score.
Quentin Johnston first touchdown scorer (+1800)
“so 18 to 1 quinton johnson your first city score”
Quentin Johnston was targeted 5 times but caught none of them against the Ravens on Nov 25, 2024 (ESPN box score), so he did not score any touchdown. (0 catches (0 yards) on 5 targets)
Texas A&M +6
“Give me A&M plus a six.”
17-7 — Texas beat Texas A&M 17-7 on Nov 30, 2024; A&M lost by 10, more than the 6 points needed, so Texas A&M +6 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Under 39.5
“So give me under 39 and a half in this NFC North clash.”
30-27 — Vikings beat Bears 30-27 in overtime (ESPN final); combined 57 points went over the 39.5 total, so Under 39.5 lost.
Kansas City Chiefs -11
“I love the Chiefs at laying 11.”
30-27 — Chiefs beat Panthers 30-27 (ESPN final) on a last-second field goal, winning by only 3, so Chiefs -11 failed to cover.
Over 41
“So I like this over 41.”
29-19 — Broncos beat Raiders 29-19 (ESPN final); the combined 48 points cleared Over 41.
Seattle Seahawks moneyline
“I like the Seattle Seahawks in a coin flip game at home”
16-6 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 16-6 (ESPN final), so the Seattle moneyline won.
Ohio State -10.5
“How about Ohio State laying the 10 and a half against Indiana?”
38-15 — Ohio State beat Indiana 38-15 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN), covering -10.5.
Colorado -2.5
“I also like Colorado laying the two and a half against Kansas.”
37-21 — Kansas beat Colorado 37-21 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN); Colorado lost outright, failing to cover -2.5.
Notre Dame -14
“I'm laying the 14 with Notre Dame.”
49-14 — Notre Dame beat Army 49-14 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN), covering Notre Dame -14.
BYU +3.5
“BYU plus 3.5.”
28-23 — Arizona State beat BYU 28-23 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN); BYU failed to cover BYU +3.5.
Jayson Tatum over 28.5 points
“I'll go with Jayson Tatum over 28 and a half.”
108-96 — Jayson Tatum scored 16 points in the Celtics' 108-96 win over the Wizards on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN), under the 28.5 line. (16 points)
Trae Young over 21.5 points
“I'll also go over on Trae Young, 21 and a half points against the Chicago Bulls.”
136-122 — Trae Young scored 25 points in the Bulls' 136-122 win over the Hawks on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN), over the 21.5 line. (25 points)
Buddy Hield over 12.5 points
“I'll also go with Buddy Heald over 12.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans”
112-108 — Buddy Hield scored 12 points in the Warriors' 112-108 win over the Pelicans on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN), under the 12.5 line. (12 points)
Bryan Rust anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I like Bryan Rust any time goal scorer for the Pittsburgh Penguins, plus 220.”
Bryan Rust did not score a goal in Pittsburgh's 1-4 loss to Winnipeg on Nov 22, 2024; he only assisted on Michael Bunting's power-play goal (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 1 assist)
Alex Tuch anytime goal scorer (+180)
“I also like Alex Tuck of the Buffalo Sabres, plus 180 as well against the Anaheim Ducks.”
3-2 — Alex Tuch scored a second-period goal for Buffalo in the Sabres' 3-2 OT win over Anaheim on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN/NHL.com recap). (1 goal)
Cleveland Browns moneyline (+200)
“I have plus 4.5 and plus 200 on the money line in my pocket.”
24-19 — Browns beat Steelers 24-19 outright on 2024-11-21 (ESPN box score), so Browns moneyline at +200 won.
Zaccharie Risacher to win NBA Rookie of the Year (+1100)
“So Reese's Shay for me at 11 to one, I think is worth at least a small bet.”
Stephon Castle (Spurs), not Zaccharie Risacher, won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award (NBA.com).
Franz Wagner to win NBA Most Improved Player (+700)
“Franz Wagner 7-1, Dyson Daniels is at 10-1. I think Franz Wagner is a bet.”
Dyson Daniels (Hawks), not Franz Wagner, won the 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player award (NBA.com).
Milwaukee Bucks to win Eastern Conference (+1800)
“Bucks plus $1,800 for Femi.”
Bucks did not win the East; the Indiana Pacers eliminated Milwaukee 4-1 in the first round of the 2025 playoffs, winning Game 5 123-119 in OT (ESPN).
Boston Bruins moneyline (-135)
“Give me Boston on the money line. Got to lay a bit, a little juice, minus 135.”
1-0 — Boston Bruins beat Utah Hockey Club 1-0 on 2024-11-21 (Elias Lindholm goal), so the Bruins moneyline (-135) won (ESPN box score).
Brad Marchand anytime goal scorer
“Brad Marchand, anytime goal, score later on tonight.”
Elias Lindholm scored the game's only goal (assisted by Marchand and Pastrnak) in Boston's 1-0 win over Utah; Brad Marchand did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Over 36.5
“give me the over 36 and a half.”
24-19 — Browns beat Steelers 24-19, combined 43 points, over the 36.5 total (ESPN box score).
Darnell Washington first touchdown scorer (+3000)
“Darnell Washington 30-1, Elijah Moore 20-1 here for the Prop Viceroy.”
The game's touchdown scorers were Jaylen Warren, Nick Chubb (2), Jameis Winston, and Calvin Austin III; Darnell Washington did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
Elijah Moore first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“Darnell Washington 30-1, Elijah Moore 20-1 here for the Prop Viceroy.”
The game's touchdown scorers were Jaylen Warren, Nick Chubb (2), Jameis Winston, and Calvin Austin III; Elijah Moore did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
Florida +11
“Chomp, chomp. Let's go. Give me the Gators and the points. Florida plus the 11.”
24-17 — Florida beat Ole Miss 24-17 outright, easily covering Florida +11 (ESPN final).
Kentucky +20.5
“Give me Kentucky and Mark Stoops to drag Texas into the mud and keep it competitive in Austin on Saturday. Big Blue Nation plus the 20 and a half.”
31-14 — Texas beat Kentucky 31-14, a 17-point margin that stays under the 20.5-point spread, so Kentucky +20.5 won (ESPN final).
BYU moneyline
“Give me BYU outright at ASU on Saturday.”
28-23 — Arizona State beat BYU 28-23, so BYU moneyline lost (ESPN final).
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 31.5 points (-110)
“I like Giannis over 31.5 points at minus 110.”
Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 41 points as the Bucks beat the Bulls 122-106, well over his 31.5-point line (ESPN box score). (41 points)
Indiana Pacers +6.5
“Give me the six and a half with Indiana.”
113-130 — Rockets beat Pacers 130-113, a 17-point margin, so Indiana did not cover +6.5 (ESPN final score).
Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5
“So I'll go ahead and lay the 11 and a half with the Oklahoma City Thunder.”
99-109 — Thunder beat Trail Blazers 109-99, a 10-point margin, so Oklahoma City did not cover -11.5 (ESPN final score).
Tomas Hertl anytime goal scorer (+300)
“Let's go ahead and light the lamp. Tomas Hurdle of the Golden Knights, plus 300.”
Tomas Hertl did not score as the Golden Knights were shut out 3-0 by the Maple Leafs (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Matvei Michkov anytime goal scorer (+360)
“I'll also go with Matvej Michkoff, the rookie phenom for the Philadelphia Flyers, plus 360 at home against Carolina. His ice time, it's a little bit up and down, but the price was just way too tempting for me at plus 360, so I went ahead and bet it.”
Matvei Michkov did not score in the Flyers' 4-1 home loss to the Hurricanes (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Jared McCann anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Jared McCann of the Seattle Kraken, plus 220 to light the lamp as well”
Jared McCann did not score as the Kraken beat the Predators 3-0 (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
JJ Peterka anytime goal scorer (+200)
“And then finally, J.J. Pedereca for the Buffalo Sabres, plus 200. I'm sure I just butchered the hell out of his name, but he's a high-volume shooter.”
JJ Peterka did not score; Buffalo's only goal in its 1-0 win over the Kings came from Jason Zucker (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Cleveland Browns +4.5
“I took four and a half Sunday night when it opened.”
19-24 — Browns beat Steelers 24-19 outright on 2024-11-21, so Cleveland +4.5 covered comfortably (ESPN final score).
Los Angeles Rams +3
“I didn't mess with the teaser. I just took plus three, and I took Rams money line as well.”
20-37 — Eagles beat Rams 37-20, a 17-point margin, so Los Angeles did not cover +3 (ESPN final score).
Los Angeles Rams moneyline (+135)
“I took the three. I also like the money line as well at plus 135.”
20-37 — Rams lost outright to the Eagles 20-37, so Los Angeles moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
Saquon Barkley to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year (+115) · BetMGM
“I think Saquon at plus 115 should be like, I don't know, minus 150.”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, announced at NFL Honors, backing the Barkley pick (nfl.com).
New York Giants +5.5
“if i had to bet the game at five and a half i would bet a little bit on giants plus five and a half”
30-7 — Buccaneers beat Giants 30-7 on 2024-11-24, a 23-point margin that Giants +5.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Under 41.5
“Anything 41 and a half or better, I think is a bet on the under.”
32-27 — Titans beat Texans 32-27 on 2024-11-24, 59 combined points going over the 41.5 total, so Under lost (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Chargers +3
“Give me the Chargers plus three, a little bit of money line as well.”
30-23 — Ravens beat Chargers 30-23 on 2024-11-25 (MNF), a 7-point margin that Chargers +3 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Chargers moneyline
“Give me the Chargers plus three, a little bit of money line as well.”
30-23 — Chargers lost outright to the Ravens 23-30 on 2024-11-25, so the Chargers moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
New York Jets under 5.5 regular-season wins (+145)
“the bet to make on the New York Jets, I still think is under five and a half regular season wins. It's plus money, plus 145.”
The New York Jets finished the 2024 regular season 5-12 (NFL.com official standings), under the 5.5 win total. (5 wins)
New York Giants under 4.5 regular-season wins (-125) · BetMGM
“Their win total right now over at BetMGM is 4.5. I still like the under. You can bet under at minus 125.”
The New York Giants finished the 2024 regular season 3-14 (NFL.com official standings), under the 4.5 win total. (3 wins)
Las Vegas Raiders under 4.5 regular-season wins (-150)
“Win total at 4.5. The under, it's minus 150. Even with juice that high, I would still bet the under on the Las Vegas Raiders.”
The Las Vegas Raiders finished the 2024 regular season 4-13 (NFL.com official standings), under the 4.5 win total. (4 wins)
Cleveland Cavaliers +7
“Yeah, I'm going to bet a little bit of Cleveland plus seven.”
120-117 — Celtics beat Cavaliers 120-117 on 2024-11-19, a 3-point margin, so Cleveland +7 covered (ESPN box score).
Brandon Miller over 17.5 points
“I'll go over 17.5 points for Brandon Miller.”
Brandon Miller scored 29 points for Charlotte at Brooklyn on 2024-11-19, over 17.5 (ESPN box score). (29 points)
Luka Doncic over 28.5 points
“Also, Luka, kind of a mediocre so-so outing against San Antonio. They beat the Spurs 16 points, 6 of 16 from the field. He'll be better tonight over 28 and a half points.”
Luka Doncic scored 26 points for Dallas vs. New Orleans on 2024-11-19, under 28.5 (ESPN box score). (26 points)
LeBron James over 23.5 points
“LeBron James over 23 and a half points.”
LeBron James scored 26 points for the Lakers vs. Utah on 2024-11-19, over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (26 points)
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+200)
“I like him to score plus 200 to score a goal.”
Brandon Hagel recorded 0 goals in Tampa Bay's 3-2 OT win over Pittsburgh on 2024-11-19; the Lightning's goals came from Brayden Point (2) and Anthony Cirelli, not Hagel (ESPN box score), so the anytime-goal-scorer prop lost. (0 goals)
Pavel Buchnevich anytime goal scorer (+260)
“Pavel Bucinevic of the St. Louis Blues against the Minnesota Wild, plus 260.”
Pavel Buchnevich did not score in Minnesota's 4-2 win over St. Louis; he recorded 1 assist on Jake Neighbours' power-play goal, and the Wild's goals came from Ryan Hartman, Kirill Kaprizov (2), and Jonas Brodin (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 1 assist)
Mark Scheifele anytime goal scorer (+210)
“Mark Scheifele, plus 210.”
Mark Scheifele scored a hat trick (3 goals) as Winnipeg beat Florida 6-3 on 2024-11-19 (ESPN box score). (3 goals (hat trick))
Dalton Schultz first touchdown scorer
“So Schultz 14, Lamb 11-1.”
Joe Mixon scored the game's first touchdown, a 45-yard run at 12:42 of the 1st quarter; Dalton Schultz was not the first TD scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Joe Mixon 45-yd run, Q1 12:42)
CeeDee Lamb first touchdown scorer (+1100)
“I think CeeDee Lamb bounces back and has a good game and is a first TD score candidate at 11-1.”
Joe Mixon scored the game's first touchdown, a 45-yard run at 12:42 of the 1st quarter; CeeDee Lamb was not the first TD scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: Joe Mixon 45-yd run, Q1 12:42)
Cleveland Browns +3.5
“[19:38] I still like it at the number of 3.5.”
CLE 24, PIT 19 — Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 24-19, a 5-point margin, covering Browns +3.5 (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Vikings -3.5
“[23:40] If not, I will gladly lay three and a half.”
MIN 30, CHI 27 — Minnesota beat Chicago 30-27 in overtime, a 3-point margin, short of the 3.5-point number Minnesota needed to lay as -3.5 (ESPN box score).
New England Patriots +7.5
“[24:29] Last night, this was 7.5 minus 105.
[24:31] I was able to grab that, but even at 7, there's some 7 minus 105 out there”
MIA 34, NE 15 — Miami beat New England 34-15, a 19-point margin, well beyond the 7.5-point cushion; Patriots did not cover +7.5 (ESPN box score).
Karl-Anthony Towns over 25.5 points (-125)
“[40:32] The first one will be Karl-Anthony Towns over 25 and a half points.
[40:36] You got to pay a little bit of juice, minus 125.”
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 24 points (8-14 FG) in the Knicks' 134-106 win over the Wizards, under the 25.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 24 points)
Karl-Anthony Towns 30+ points (+230)
“[40:39] I also like Towns' 30-plus points as well, plus 230.”
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 24 points (8-14 FG) in the Knicks' 134-106 win over the Wizards, under the 30-point line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 24 points)
Pascal Siakam over 20.5 points (-115)
“[41:26] Pascal Siakam over 20.5 points, minus 115.”
Pascal Siakam scored 25 points (10 rebounds, 39 minutes) in the Raptors' 130-119 win over the Pacers, over the 20.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 25 points)
Connor McDavid over 1.5 assists (+160)
“[42:47] I have Connor McDavid over one and a half assists against the Montreal Canadiens plus 160.”
Connor McDavid recorded 0 goals and 0 assists as the Canadiens shut out the Oilers 3-0 (ESPN box score), under the 1.5-assist line. (Connor McDavid: 0 assists)
Casey Mittelstadt anytime goal (+350)
“[42:54] Also, the goal scorer props, Casey Middlestad of the Colorado Avalanche plus 350.”
Casey Mittelstadt scored a 3rd-period goal (plus 2 assists) in Colorado's 3-2 win over Philadelphia, hitting the anytime-goal prop (ESPN box score). (Casey Mittelstadt: 1 goal, 2 assists)
Mikael Granlund anytime goal (+280)
“[42:58] and then Mikael Granlund of the San Jose Sharks plus 280.”
Mikael Granlund did not score a goal in San Jose's 5-4 OT win over Detroit; he assisted on Macklin Celebrini's OT winner but had no goal himself (ESPN box score). (Mikael Granlund: 0 goals, 1 assist)
BYU to win Big 12 (+400)
“I think my strategy is not even to bet the game. It's just to bet the plus 400. and I hope BYU wins the game.”
45-19 — Arizona State (not BYU) won the 2024 Big 12 title, beating Iowa State 45-19 in the Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship Game, so the futures bet on BYU to win the Big 12 lost (Big 12 Conference official site).
Georgia Bulldogs -9.5
“[29:55] Even at 9.5 right now, I look to lay the points with Georgia.
[29:58] I think Georgia might blow this team out.
[30:00] I think the Bulldogs are that ready for this game.
[30:02] And all of the conversation about them potentially missing out on the CFP,
[30:07] that's going to have these guys motivated and ready to roll against a rival in Tennessee.”
17-31 — Georgia beat Tennessee 31-17 on 2024-11-16 (ESPN), a 14-point margin that covers Georgia -9.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win NFC South (+700)
“[44:34] I was able to get 7-1 earlier this week.”
27-19 — Tampa Bay clinched a 4th straight NFC South title by beating New Orleans 27-19 on 2025-01-05 (ESPN), settling the +700 futures as a winner.
Jalen Johnson over 20.5 points
“I'll start off with Jalen Johnson, over 20 and a half points.”
Jalen Johnson scored 18 points as Atlanta beat Washington 129-117, under the 20.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Johnson 18 points)
Jalen Johnson 25+ points (+200)
“I'll go over 20 and a half on Jalen Johnson and also 25 plus points at plus 200.”
Jalen Johnson scored 18 points as Atlanta beat Washington 129-117, short of the 25+ threshold (ESPN box score). (Jalen Johnson 18 points)
Jaden Ivey over 19.5 points
“I'll also take Jaden Ivey over 19 and a half against the Toronto Raptors on the road.”
Jaden Ivey scored 14 points as Detroit beat Toronto 99-95, under the 19.5 line (ESPN final score/box score). (Jaden Ivey 14 points)
Evan Mobley over 17.5 points
“Evan Mobley over 17 and a half points against the Chicago Bulls.”
Evan Mobley was out with an illness and did not play in Cleveland's 144-126 win over Chicago on 11/15/2024, so the points prop is no-action/void (ESPN final score/report). (DNP (illness))
Jalen Williams over 22.5 points
“And then finally, Jalen Williams over 22 and a half points.”
Jalen Williams scored 14 points as Oklahoma City beat Phoenix 99-83, well under the 22.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams 14 points)
Connor McMichael anytime goal scorer (+210)
“First one will be Connor McMichael of the Washington Capitals against the Colorado Avalanche. Gives up a lot of volume. Plus 210 to light the lamp I go ahead and take that”
Connor McMichael scored two goals (first period and second period) as Washington beat Colorado 5-2 on 11/15/2024 (ESPN final score/recap). (Connor McMichael 2 goals)
Nick Schmaltz anytime goal scorer (+320)
“Nick Schmaltz. Has not scored. This is season. Plus 320. Guess Vegas Golden Knights. I think he lights a lamp.”
Nick Schmaltz did not score in Vegas's 4-2 win over Utah; he recorded one assist but no goal, while Vegas's goals came from Tomas Hertl (x2) and William Karlsson (x2) (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 1 assist)
Georgia -9.5
“I think the Georgia Bulldogs will be ready to roll at home between the hedges. I'll lay the 9.5.”
17-31 — Georgia beat Tennessee 31-17 on 2024-11-16 (ESPN), a 14-point margin that covers Georgia -9.5.
LSU -3.5
“I'll also lay the three and a half with LSU.”
16-27 — LSU lost outright to Florida 16-27 on 2024-11-16 (ESPN), failing to cover -3.5.
Clemson -11.5
“I'll lay the 11 and a half with Clemson.”
24-20 — Clemson beat Pittsburgh 24-20 on 2024-11-16 (ESPN), only a 4-point margin, failing to cover -11.5.
Virginia +22.5
“I'll take the 22 and a half with Virginia.”
14-35 — Notre Dame beat Virginia 35-14 on 2024-11-16 (ESPN), a 21-point margin, so Virginia covers +22.5.
Fight to go the distance (+150)
“my way of betting this fight is actually going to be to bet this to go the distance, which is plus money. It's like plus 150 for it to go the distance.”
Jake Paul beat Mike Tyson by unanimous decision after the full scheduled 8 rounds at AT&T Stadium on Nov 15, 2024 (scorecards 80-72, 79-73, 79-73), so the fight going the distance wins (ESPN).
Jake Paul to win by decision (+280)
“Paul through the distance plus 280 plus 150 for the fight just to go the distance that's what happens tomorrow night”
Jake Paul defeated Mike Tyson by unanimous decision, all three judges scoring it 80-72, 79-73, 79-73, on Nov 15, 2024, so 'Paul to win by decision' wins (ESPN). (Paul won by unanimous decision, scorecards 80-72, 79-73, 79-73)
Boston College +19.5
“Boston College, give me the BC plus 19.5.”
38-28 — SMU beat Boston College 38-28, a 10-point margin, so Boston College +19.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Miami Hurricanes to win the ACC (+120)
“they're plus 120 to win the conference, minus 125 to make the CFP. I think I'd rather just bet them to win the conference”
42-38 — Syracuse upset No. 6 Miami 42-38 on Nov 30, 2024, eliminating the Hurricanes from ACC title contention; Clemson beat SMU 34-31 on Dec 7, 2024 to win the ACC Championship, so Miami did not win the ACC (ESPN).
Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points (-120)
“Jayson Tatum, over 26.5 points, minus 120 against the Brooklyn Nets.”
Jayson Tatum scored 36 points in Boston's 139-114 win over Brooklyn (ESPN box score), over the 26.5 line. (36 points)
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5
“I bet it this morning, this is what I like. Milwaukee laying 5.5 against Detroit.”
127-120 — Bucks beat Pistons 127-120 in OT (ESPN box score), a 7-point margin that covers Milwaukee -5.5.
James Harden over 2.5 made three-pointers (-140)
“I'll go James Harden over 2.5 three-pointers minus 140.”
James Harden made 3 three-pointers for the Clippers in a 111-103 loss to Houston (ESPN box score), over the 2.5 line. (3 made three-pointers)
Victor Wembanyama 25+ points (-120)
“25 plus points, minus 120.”
Victor Wembanyama scored a career-high 50 points in San Antonio's 139-130 win over Washington (ESPN box score), well over the 25-point line. (50 points)
Adrian Kempe anytime goal scorer (+210)
“I'll go with Adrian Kempe as my favorite goal scorer bet tonight for the Los Angeles Kings. This guy gets a lot of volume. He just hasn't been able to find it. I think he does tonight. It's plus 210.”
Adrian Kempe scored 2 goals for the Kings in a 4-2 loss to Colorado on 11/13/2024 (ESPN box score), so his anytime-goal-scorer bet wins. (2 goals)
Detroit Pistons to win East Group B (+1000)
“So I like Detroit at 10 to one at price to win East group B”
The Milwaukee Bucks won 2024 NBA Cup East Group B at 4-0, defeating the Pistons 128-107 in the finale; Detroit finished 3-1 and did not win the group (CBS Sports NBA Cup group-stage results).
Sacramento Kings to win West Group A
“I like Sacramento West group, a winner, the Kings to come out of that group”
The Houston Rockets won 2024 NBA Cup West Group A at 3-1; the Sacramento Kings finished last in the group at 1-3 and did not win it (CBS Sports NBA Cup group-stage results).
Los Angeles Lakers to win West Group B (+200)
“I like the Lakers at 2-1.”
The Oklahoma City Thunder won 2024 NBA Cup West Group B at 3-1 (+45 point differential); the Lakers did not win the group (CBS Sports NBA Cup group-stage results).
Dallas Mavericks to win West Group C (+350)
“The team that I like is the Dallas Mavericks at plus 350.”
The Golden State Warriors won 2024 NBA Cup West Group C at 3-1; the Dallas Mavericks also went 3-1 but advanced only as the West wild card (+46 point differential vs Golden State's +3), not as the group's outright winner, so 'Mavericks to win West Group C' lost (CBS Sports NBA Cup group-stage results).
Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC West (+800)
“I'm betting 8-1.”
The Los Angeles Rams finished the 2024 regular season 10-7 and won the NFC West division on the divisional-record tiebreaker over the also-10-7 Seahawks (NFL.com 2024 division standings).
Atlanta Falcons teased above one possession
“Teaser leg for Atlanta for me.”
38-6 — Broncos routed the Falcons 38-6 on 2024-11-17, a 32-point margin; a one-possession-plus tease of Atlanta could not overcome that blowout loss (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Chiefs moneyline
“I will always bet Mahomes at plus money to win a football game.”
21-30 — Bills beat Chiefs 30-21 on 2024-11-17, so the Kansas City moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
Houston Texans teased to -1.5
“I like Houston as a teaser leg down to one and a half.”
34-10 — Texans beat Cowboys 34-10 on 2024-11-18, a 24-point margin that clears the teased Houston -1.5 leg (ESPN box score).
Kansas -5.5
“I like the Kansas Jayhawks laying the five and a half”
77-69 — Kansas beat Michigan State 77-69 on 2024-11-12 (State Farm Champions Classic), an 8-point margin that covers Kansas -5.5 (ESPN box score).
Kentucky +5.5
“I'm gonna play on the can or kentucky side i should say plus five and a half”
77-72 — Kentucky beat Duke outright 77-72 on 2024-11-12 (Champions Classic), so Kentucky +5.5 easily covers (ESPN box score).
Kentucky moneyline (+200)
“I like Kentucky on the money line a little bit at plus 200.”
77-72 — Kentucky beat Duke outright 77-72 on 2024-11-12, winning the moneyline bet at +200 (ESPN box score).
Detroit Pistons +1.5
“I'm going to go with the Detroit Pistons plus one and a half”
123-121 — Detroit Pistons beat Miami Heat 123-121 in OT on 2024-11-12, winning outright so Pistons +1.5 covered (ESPN box score).
Detroit Pistons moneyline
“also a little bit on the money line.”
123-121 — Detroit Pistons won 123-121 in OT over Miami Heat on 2024-11-12, so the Pistons moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
Milwaukee Bucks -8.5
“Also lay the eight and a half with the Milwaukee Bucks.”
99-85 — Milwaukee Bucks beat Toronto Raptors 99-85 on 2024-11-12, a 14-point margin that covered -8.5 (ESPN box score).
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 32.5 points
“I also like Giannis over 32 and a half as well”
Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 23 points vs Toronto on 2024-11-12, under the 32.5 line (ESPN box score / recap). (23 points)
Devin Booker over 29.5 points
“I also played Devin Booker over 29 and a half points.”
Devin Booker scored 31 points in Phoenix's 120-112 win over Utah on 2024-11-12, over the 29.5 line (ESPN box score). (31 points)
Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points
“Also play Anthony Edwards, over 26.5 points”
Anthony Edwards scored 26 points in Minnesota's 122-108 loss at Portland on 2024-11-12, under the 26.5 line (ESPN box score). (26 points)
Dallas Mavericks +2.5
“the Dallas Mavericks plus two and a half against Golden State”
117-120 — Golden State beat Dallas 120-117 on 2024-11-12, a 3-point Mavericks loss which failed to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score).
Dallas Mavericks moneyline (+125)
“also a little bit of Dallas Moneyline plus 125”
117-120 — Dallas Mavericks lost 117-120 to Golden State on 2024-11-12, so the moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Tim Stutzle anytime goal scorer (+260)
“We'll go with Tim Stoltz of the Ottawa Senators, plus 260.”
3-0 — Tim Stutzle scored a second-period goal (assisted by Chabot and Batherson) in Ottawa's 3-0 shutout win over Toronto on 2024-11-12, cashing the anytime goal scorer prop (ESPN box score).
Nico Hischier anytime goal scorer (+210)
“And then also Nico Hershire of the New Jersey Devils, plus 210”
Devils beat Panthers 4-1 on 2024-11-12; Nico Hischier did not score a goal, only recorded one assist on Cotter's third-period goal (ESPN box score). (0 goals (1 assist))
Georgia Bulldogs to win the national championship (+800)
“So I like Georgia at plus 800.”
34-23 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 to win the 2024 CFP National Championship on Jan 20, 2025; Georgia did not win it (ESPN).
Seattle Seahawks +6.5
“the Seattle Seahawks plus the six and a half against the San Francisco 49ers”
20-17 — Seahawks beat 49ers 20-17 on Geno Smith's late go-ahead TD run; Seahawks +6.5 won outright (ESPN).
New York Jets -3
“I like the Jets laying the three.”
28-27 — Colts beat Jets 28-27 on Anthony Richardson's late go-ahead TD run; Jets -3 lost outright (ESPN box score).
Evan Mobley to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1000)
“Evan Mobley, 10 to 1 would be a guy that I would go ahead and bet on.”
Evan Mobley won the 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year award, garnering 35 of 100 first-place votes over runner-up Dyson Daniels (NBA.com).
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5
“I'm going to lay the six and a half at home against the Clippers.”
134-128 — Thunder beat Clippers 134-128 (margin of 6); Thunder -6.5 failed to cover (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5
“I'll also play on the New Orleans Pelicans plus one and a half.”
107-105 — Nets beat Pelicans 107-105; Pelicans lost by 2, failing to cover +1.5 (ESPN box score).
Donovan Mitchell over 24.5 points
“Donovan Mitchell over 24 and a half points.”
Donovan Mitchell scored a season-high 36 points as Cleveland beat Chicago 119-113, clearing the over 24.5 (ESPN box score). (36 points)
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (+125)
“Give me the Golden Knights plus 125 on the money line.”
5-2 — Hurricanes beat Golden Knights 5-2 in Las Vegas, so the Golden Knights moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Jaylen Waddle first touchdown scorer
“Jaylen Waddle, first TD score”
The game's first TD was Malik Washington's rushing TD; Jaylen Waddle did not score the first TD (ESPN box score).
Jonnu Smith first touchdown scorer (+1600)
“Jonnu Smith, 16 to 1”
The game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch; Jonnu Smith did not score, let alone score first (ESPN box score).
Colby Parkinson first touchdown scorer (+2500)
“Colby Parkinson, 25-1.”
The game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch; Colby Parkinson did not score, let alone score first (ESPN box score).
Davis Allen first touchdown scorer (+6000)
“Davis Allen, the backup tight end, 60-1.”
The game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch; Davis Allen did not score, let alone score first (ESPN box score).
Chicago Bears +6.5
“I like the Bears plus six and a half.”
20-19 — Packers beat Bears 20-19 on Nov 17, 2024, a 1-point margin, so Bears +6.5 covered (ESPN box score).
San Francisco 49ers to win the NFC West
“my way of playing this game I think it's to bet the 49ers to win the NFC West at least cover your bases a little bit on all those Rams tickets that we have bet the Niners to win the NFC West”
Rams 10-7, 49ers 6-11 — The Los Angeles Rams won the 2024 NFC West at 10-7, clinching the division on strength-of-victory over the 10-7 Seahawks; the 49ers finished last at 6-11, so the 49ers-to-win-NFC-West bet lost (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings).
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (-135)
“give me the Vegas golden Knights minus one 35 up in my old stomping grounds, the Pacific Northwest”
4-3 — Seattle Kraken beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime on Nov 8, 2024 on Jared McCann's OT winner; the Golden Knights -135 moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
Alex DeBrincat anytime goal scorer (+230)
“I'll go with Alex to bring cat plus two 30 for the red wings”
Alex DeBrincat did not score in the Red Wings' 3-1 loss to Toronto on Nov 8, 2024; his only production was an assist on Dylan Larkin's goal (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Matthew Knies anytime goal scorer (+230)
“Matthew Nyes plus 230 to be a goal scorer.”
Matthew Knies did not score a goal in Toronto's 3-1 win over Detroit on Nov 8, 2024; Toronto's goals came from Mitch Marner and John Tavares (2) (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Mats Zuccarello anytime goal scorer
“I'll go with Mats Zuccarello for the Minnesota Wild.”
In the Minnesota Wild's 5-2 win over Anaheim on Nov 8, 2024 (the Wild's only game that date), Mats Zuccarello did not score, tallying only an assist on Kaprizov's first-period goal (ESPN box score, gameId 401687821). (0 goals)
Mark Stone anytime goal scorer (+210)
“and then finally in that Vegas Golden Knight Seattle cracking game Mark Stone who's been hashtag active around the net all season long he's like top five in points so far in the NHL so plus 210 for him to be a goal scorer”
Kraken beat Golden Knights 4-3 in OT on Nov 8, 2024; Vegas goals were scored by Dorofeyev, Roy, and Pietrangelo — Mark Stone did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
New England Patriots +6
“I'll take the six in that scenario. I'm going to go ahead and back to New England Patriots.”
19-3 — Patriots defeated the Bears 19-3 on Nov 10, 2024, winning outright, so the +6 spread easily covers (ESPN final score, gameId 401671873).
UCLA Bruins +6.5
“So Friday night action with me under the lights, UCLA plus six and a half.”
20-17 — UCLA beat Iowa 20-17 outright, comfortably covering +6.5 (ESPN).
Alabama Crimson Tide -2.5
“I'll lay the two and a half with Alabama.”
42-13 — Alabama beat LSU 42-13, a 29-point margin that covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Georgia Bulldogs -2.5
“biggest bet of the weekend, Georgia laying the two and a half.”
28-10 — Ole Miss beat Georgia 28-10; Georgia lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN).
Under 54
“I'll go under 54 Purdue and Ohio State.”
45-0 — Ohio State beat Purdue 45-0; the combined 45 points is under the 54 total (ESPN). (45 combined points)
Utah Utes +3
“I like them plus 3 against BYU.”
22-21 — BYU beat Utah 22-21 on a last-second field goal; Utah's 1-point loss covers +3 (ESPN).
Detroit Pistons -1
“I like laying the one with Detroit”
122-121 — Pistons beat the Hawks 122-121, a 1-point margin exactly equal to the -1 spread, resulting in a push (ESPN).
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5
“I think this is a good bet Pelicans plus seven and a half on the road against the Orlando Magic”
115-88 — Magic beat Pelicans 115-88 (margin 27); Pelicans +7.5 did not cover (ESPN).
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5
“I'm gonna go ahead and bet the Milwaukee Bucks plus six and a half.”
116-94 — Knicks beat Bucks 116-94 (margin 22); Bucks +6.5 did not cover (ESPN).
Under 222
“So under 222. This has been bet up, by the way, 219.5 to 222.”
126-107 — Thunder beat Rockets 126-107, combined total 233 vs the 222 line; Under lost (ESPN).
Anthony Edwards over 25.5 points
“I'll go over 25.5 points for Anthony Edwards against the Portland Trailblazers”
Anthony Edwards scored 37 points (12-of-22 FG, 9-of-15 3PT) vs Portland; over 25.5 won (ESPN/Washington Post). (37 points)
Texas Longhorns -21.5 · BetMGM
“I know the line right now, 21 and a half over at BetMGM, I would never take it. I'd only lay it with Texas”
49-17 — Texas defeated Florida 49-17 on Nov 9, 2024, a 32-point margin that comfortably covers Texas -21.5 (ESPN).
Minnesota Vikings -14.5
“we're gonna go ahead and play some alt lines with the vikings laying 14 and a half laying 17 and a half”
12-7 — Minnesota Vikings beat Jacksonville Jaguars 12-7 on Nov 10, 2024, a 5-point margin, failing to cover Vikings -14.5 (ESPN).
Minnesota Vikings -17.5
“we're gonna go ahead and play some alt lines with the vikings laying 14 and a half laying 17 and a half”
12-7 — Minnesota Vikings beat Jacksonville Jaguars 12-7 on Nov 10, 2024, a 5-point margin, failing to cover Vikings -17.5 (ESPN).
Minnesota Vikings -13.5 (+185) · BetMGM
“Vikings length 13 and a half plus 185. Give me that. Vikings by two touchdowns on Sunday.”
12-7 — Minnesota Vikings beat Jacksonville Jaguars 12-7 on Nov 10, 2024, a 5-point margin, failing to cover Vikings -13.5 (ESPN).
Kam Jones to win Wooden Award (+3000)
“And I decided to bet Kam Jones at 30 to 1.”
Duke's Cooper Flagg won the 2025 John R. Wooden Award over Auburn's Johni Broome by 178 votes, announced April 5, 2025; Kam Jones (Marquette) did not win (Wooden Award official site).
Vanderbilt Commodores +4.5
“Give me the home dog, Vandy, plus four and a half.”
28-7 — South Carolina beat Vanderbilt 28-7 (margin 21), so Vanderbilt +4.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Mississippi State Bulldogs +23.5
“Mississippi State, Kalanga, Hale State, plus the points, plus 23 and a half.”
14-33 — Tennessee beat Mississippi State 33-14 (margin 19), so Mississippi State +23.5 covered (ESPN box score).
Florida State Seminoles +26
“Let's go Seminoles, Florida State plus 26.”
3-52 — Notre Dame routed Florida State 52-3 (margin 49), so Florida State +26 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Washington Huskies +13.5
“let down spot, back the Washington Huskies, plus the 13.5.”
6-35 — Penn State beat Washington 35-6 (margin 29), so Washington +13.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Virginia Cavaliers +7.5
“And like Nick mentioned, sandwich Virginia tech plus seven and a half.”
24-19 — Virginia beat Pittsburgh outright 24-19 on 2024-11-09, so Virginia Cavaliers +7.5 covered (ESPN box score).
Buddy Hield to win Sixth Man of the Year (+550) · BetMGM
“the safer bet i actually do think there's value on him at plus 550 to go ahead and bet buddy he'll to be the sixth man of the year.”
Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) won the 2024-25 NBA Sixth Man of the Year award, not Buddy Hield (Wikipedia, citing official NBA award records).
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 30.5 points (-105)
“I like Giannis over 30 and a half points. It's minus 105.”
100-123 — Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 31 points as the Bucks beat the Jazz 123-100, clearing the 30.5-point line (ESPN box score). (31 points)
Giannis Antetokounmpo 35+ points (+180)
“I also like playing 35 plus points plus 180”
100-123 — Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 31 points as the Bucks beat the Jazz 123-100, short of the 35+ threshold (ESPN box score). (31 points)
Giannis Antetokounmpo 40+ points (+450)
“40 plus points plus 450. I think Giannis can drop a 40-piece at home against this sad sack Utah Jazz team.”
100-123 — Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 31 points as the Bucks beat the Jazz 123-100, short of the 40+ threshold (ESPN box score). (31 points)
Victor Wembanyama 30+ points (+260)
“30-plus points, plus 260 on Victor Wembanyama against a really, really bad Portland Trailblazers team at home in San Antonio.”
105-118 — Victor Wembanyama scored only 12 points as the Spurs beat the Trail Blazers 118-105, well short of the 30-point line (ESPN box score). (12 points)
Winnipeg Jets moneyline (-140)
“I will just lay Winnipeg minus 140 against the Avalanche tonight.”
0-1 — Winnipeg Jets beat Colorado Avalanche 1-0 (Gabriel Vilardi goal); Jets ML at -140 wins (ESPN).
Nashville Predators moneyline (+185)
“I'm going to go ahead and back the Nashville Predators on the money line. Plus 185.”
2-6 — Florida Panthers beat Nashville Predators 6-2; Predators ML +185 loses (ESPN).
Boston Bruins moneyline (-145)
“I'll play Boston minus 145. This has moved 45 cents today. So I like Boston.”
3-4 — Boston Bruins beat Calgary Flames 4-3 in OT on a Brad Marchand goal; Bruins ML -145 wins (ESPN).
Tim Stutzle anytime goal scorer (+200)
“for the goal scorer bets, Tim Stolzzi for the Ottawa Senators, plus 200.”
2-4 — Islanders beat Senators 4-2; Tim Stutzle recorded 2 assists (on Nick Jensen's and Drake Batherson's goals) but 0 goals (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 2 assists)
JJ Peterka anytime goal scorer (+250)
“J.J. Petrica, Sabres, plus 250.”
1-6 — Sabres beat Rangers 6-1; JJ Peterka recorded 0 goals, 1 assist and did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 1 assist)
Alexis Lafreniere anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Alexis Lafreniere plus 200 for the Rangers.”
1-6 — Sabres beat Rangers 6-1; the Rangers' only goal was scored by Will Cuylle, not Alexis Lafreniere, who finished with 0 goals, 0 assists (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 0 assists)
Matt Duchene anytime goal scorer (+195)
“Matt Duchesne for the Dallas Stars plus 195.”
1-3 — Dallas Stars beat Chicago Blackhawks 3-1; Matt Duchene finished with 0 goals, 0 assists and did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 0 assists)
Nikolaj Ehlers anytime goal scorer (+200)
“And then Nikolaj Ehlers for the Winnipeg Jets plus 200 for the goal scorer props.”
0-1 — Winnipeg Jets beat Colorado Avalanche 1-0; the lone goal was scored by Gabriel Vilardi, not Nikolaj Ehlers (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
Mark Andrews first touchdown scorer (+1000)
“10-1 Mark Andrews, first TD score.”
34-35 — Cincinnati's Chase Brown scored the game's first TD (1-yard run, Q1); Mark Andrews scored a later TD (18-yard pass from Jackson, Q4) but was not the first scorer (ESPN play-by-play, Ravens 35-34 Bengals).
Khalil Herbert first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“40-1, first TD score, Khalil Herbert tonight, for the Cincinnati Bengals.”
34-35 — Khalil Herbert did not record a rushing carry or touchdown (0 carries, 1 fumble) in the game, and Chase Brown scored the first TD anyway (ESPN box score/play-by-play, Ravens 35-34 Bengals).
Lamar Jackson to win MVP (+300)
“I'm betting Lamar Jackson ahead of a marquee showdown tomorrow night at three to one.”
Bills QB Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award (27 first-place votes, 383 points) over runner-up Lamar Jackson, so the futures bet on Lamar Jackson to win MVP lost.
Chris Jones to win Defensive Player of the Year
“I'm invested in Chris Jones from earlier this season.”
Broncos CB Pat Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award (26 first-place votes, 330 points), not Chris Jones, so the futures bet lost.
Dallas Turner to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+6000) · BetMGM
“I'll take a flyer on Dallas Turner at 60-1”
Rams OLB Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award (37 first-place votes, 427 points), not Dallas Turner, so the futures bet lost.
Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
“I like the Bengals. I talked about it earlier in the week. I have 6.5 as my bet in that game.”
34-35 — Ravens beat Bengals 35-34 (margin of 1), so Cincinnati +6.5 covered the spread (ESPN box score).
Jayson Tatum over 30.5 points (-115)
“I think Tatum tries to go off over 30 and a half points, minus 115”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points in the Warriors' 118-112 win over the Celtics, clearing the 30.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
Jayson Tatum 35+ points (+155)
“35 plus points, plus 155”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points in the Warriors' 118-112 win over the Celtics, below the 35+ threshold (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
Jayson Tatum 40+ points (+380)
“40 plus points, plus 380. I think Tatum, 40 ball is in play tonight against the Golden State Warriors.”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points in the Warriors' 118-112 win over the Celtics, below the 40+ threshold (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
Paul George over 20.5 points (-135)
“Paul George? Over 20 and a half points, minus 135, going back to LA to face the Clippers”
98-110 — Paul George scored 18 points (7-9 FG, 7 reb) in the Clippers' 110-98 win over the 76ers, under the 20.5 line (ESPN box score). (George 18 points)
Los Angeles Lakers +4.5
“Anthony Davis not playing. It's now out to four and a half. I'll take Lakers plus four and a half.”
114-131 — Grizzlies beat the Lakers 131-114 (17-point margin), so Lakers +4.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (+145)
“I'm right there with you with the Vegas Golden Knights plus 145 on the money line.”
4-2 — Golden Knights beat the Oilers 4-2 on the road, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Detroit Red Wings moneyline (-110)
“I also like Detroit Red Wings minus 110.”
4-1 — Red Wings beat the Blackhawks 4-1, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Connor McMichael anytime goal scorer
“Goal scorer bets, Connor McMichael for the Capitals.”
2-3 — Connor McMichael scored in the 1st period (4:26) of the Capitals' 3-2 win over Nashville on Nov 6, 2024 (ESPN box score).
Ryan Donato anytime goal scorer (+320)
“Ryan Donato for the Blackhawks. That's plus 320.”
4-1 — Ryan Donato did not score in Chicago's 4-1 loss to Detroit; goals were DeBrincat, Larkin, Veleno, Copp (DET) and Foligno (CHI) (ESPN box score).
Mark Stone anytime goal scorer (+220)
“Mark Stone for the Vegas Golden Knights, plus 220. We're going to go ahead and bet all these”
4-2 — Mark Stone scored an empty-net goal in the 3rd period of the Golden Knights' 4-2 win over Edmonton on Nov 6, 2024 (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints under 5.5 wins (+110)
“I also like the New Orleans win total under. That's sitting at five and a half to under. You can take this one. I like it also. This is my bet also with New Orleans. Yeah. And the NFC plus one 10.”
The New Orleans Saints finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, under the 5.5-win total (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL/Pro-Football-Reference records).
San Francisco 49ers to miss the playoffs (+145)
“I think the 49ers missed the playoffs. That's where I'm at. I have plus 145. I think the Niners missed the playoffs.”
The San Francisco 49ers finished the 2024 regular season 6-11 and missed the playoffs, their first missed postseason since 2020 (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL records).
Kansas City Chiefs to defeat Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIX (+12500) · BetMGM
“Super Bowl exacta, Chiefs over the Rams, 125 to 1. We already have 150 to 1. We had 82 to 1 from before the season starts. I'm in on the Rams, and I don't think anyone's going to beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC playoffs. Chiefs over Rams, 125 to 1 over at the Sportsbook Bourne in Vegas, that being BetMGM.”
22-40 — Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles (Eagles won 40-22); the Chiefs never faced the Rams in the Super Bowl (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL/official records).
Washington Commanders to be NFC No. 1 seed (+550) · BetMGM
“the Commanders are a bet to be the one seed in the NFC playoffs at plus 550”
The Detroit Lions clinched the NFC's No. 1 seed at 15-2 after beating the Vikings 31-9 in Week 18; the Commanders finished 12-5 as the NFC's No. 6 seed, not the No. 1 seed (ESPN).
Pittsburgh Steelers under 9.5 wins (+105)
“And at that point, like, I do think that right now is the time to bet the season win total under on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Like, I like this team. I think that they can make the playoffs. And if you play it out, there's ways that they can make the playoffs at nine and eight. But under nine and a half, it pays out plus 105 at that plus money price.”
10-7 — The Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, going over the 9.5-win total, so the under lost (ESPN final standings).
New Orleans Saints under 5.5 wins (+110)
“under 5.5 plus 110 on the Saints.”
5-12 — The Saints finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, staying under the 5.5-win total (ESPN final standings).
Sam Reinhart to win Hart Trophy (+6600) · BetMGM
“right now over at BetMGM, the sports football board in Vegas, he's 66 to 1.”
Winnipeg's Connor Hellebuyck won the 2024-25 Hart Memorial Trophy, not Sam Reinhart (Wikipedia/NHL awards record).
Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline (-120)
“We bet the Toronto Maple Leafs. They're minus 120.”
4-0 — Maple Leafs shut out the Bruins 4-0 on Nov 5, 2024, cashing the Toronto moneyline (ESPN box score).
Anaheim Ducks moneyline (+210)
“So I'll take him at plus 210, plus 200 or better for Anaheim.”
5-1 — Vancouver Canucks beat Anaheim Ducks 5-1 on 11/5/2024; Ducks moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer
“Tage Thompson, Tyler's guy. The Buffalo Sabres. I like him against the Senators.”
Tage Thompson scored in the 3rd period of Buffalo's 5-1 win over Ottawa on 11/5/2024, assisted by Alex Tuch and JJ Peterka (ESPN box score). (Tage Thompson 1 goal (3rd period))
Jack Roslovic anytime goal scorer (+300)
“Jack Roslevich of the Carolina Hurricanes, et cetera, at 3-1.”
Jack Roslovic scored at 1:47 of the 3rd period in Carolina's 6-4 win over Philadelphia on 11/5/2024, putting the Hurricanes ahead 4-3 (ESPN box score). (Jack Roslovic 1 goal (3rd period))
Matthew Knies anytime goal scorer (+225)
“Matthew Nyes of the Leafs at plus 225.”
Matthew Knies scored a power-play goal at 14:13 of the 3rd period in Toronto's 4-0 win over Boston on 11/5/2024 (ESPN box score). (Matthew Knies 1 goal (PP, 3rd period))
Joel Eriksson Ek anytime goal scorer (+200)
“Joel Eriksson Eck of the Wild, plus 200.”
Joel Eriksson Ek did not score in Minnesota's 5-1 loss to LA on 11/5/2024; ESPN box score shows Zach Bogosian as the Wild's lone goal scorer. (Joel Eriksson Ek 0 goals)
Alex Laferriere anytime goal scorer (+340)
“Alex LaFerrer, the guy I can't quit, plus 340.”
Alex Laferriere did not score in LA's 5-1 win over Minnesota on 11/5/2024; ESPN box score credits Foegele, Fiala, Lewis (x2) and Byfield as Kings goal scorers. (Alex Laferriere 0 goals)
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+190)
“plus 190 on Hagel to score for the Tampa Bay Lightning.”
Brandon Hagel had no goals in Tampa Bay's 3-2 loss to St. Louis on 11/5/2024; ESPN box score shows Perbix and Hedman as the Lightning's only goal scorers. (Brandon Hagel 0 goals)
Jordan Eberle anytime goal scorer (+270)
“and also Jordan Eberle of the Seattle Kraken, plus 270.”
Jordan Eberle did not score in Seattle's 3-6 loss to Colorado on 11/5/2024; ESPN box score lists McCann, Schwartz, and Beniers as Kraken goal scorers. (Jordan Eberle 0 goals)
Houston Texans over 10.5 wins (+100) · BetMGM
“So over 10.5 at even money. I like the Houston Texans win total”
Houston Texans finished the 2024 regular season 10-7 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings), falling short of the 10.5 win total (over needed 11+).
Los Angeles Chargers over 8.5 wins
“I have Chargers from preseason over 8.5.”
Los Angeles Chargers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings), clearing the 8.5 win total.
Los Angeles Chargers over 9.5 wins
“I have Chargers from preseason over 8.5. It's sitting at 9.5.”
Los Angeles Chargers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings), clearing the 9.5 win total.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-110)
“A lot of them are minus one 15s or minus one twenties three minus one 10. I do believe is a bet on Pittsburgh.”
28-27 — Pittsburgh Steelers beat Washington Commanders 28-27 outright on 11/10/24 on a late Russell Wilson touchdown pass to Mike Williams (ESPN box score), so Steelers +3 covered.
Dallas Cowboys +7.5
“I'm in. I took seven and a half this morning.”
34-6 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Dallas Cowboys 34-6 on 11/10/24 (ESPN box score), a 28-point margin that blew well past the 7.5-point spread, so Cowboys +7.5 lost.
Colorado to win the Big 12 (+350)
“Colorado plus 350 to win the Big 12 is the bet to be made ahead of this weekend's games.”
Arizona State beat Iowa State 45-19 in the Big 12 Championship Game (Wikipedia); Colorado did not win the conference.
Houston Texans +4
“Sunday Night Football, and I bet the Houston Texans plus four.”
26-23 — Lions beat Texans 26-23 (Wikipedia game log); Texans +4 covers with a loss margin of only 3.
Milwaukee Bucks +7
“I like the Bucs plus seven. That's unfortunate. I bet that this morning.”
116-114 — Cavaliers beat Bucks 116-114; Milwaukee Bucks +7 covered, losing by only 2 (ESPN).
Anthony Davis over 26.5 points
“I think Davis goes over 26.5 points.”
Anthony Davis scored 37 points in the Lakers' 115-103 loss at Detroit, clearing the 26.5-point line (ESPN). (37 points)
Payton Pritchard over 14.5 points
“I'll also play Payton Pritchard over 14.5.”
Payton Pritchard scored 18 points off the bench in Boston's 123-93 win over Atlanta, clearing the 14.5-point line (ESPN box score). (18 points)
Zaccharie Risacher over 10.5 points
“I'll also play Zachary Reese-Shea as well over 10.5 points”
Zaccharie Risacher scored 15 points for Atlanta in the 123-93 loss to Boston, clearing the 10.5-point line (ESPN box score). (15 points)
Coby White over 19.5 points
“I'll also play Coby White over 19 and a half points”
135-126 — Coby White scored 28 points as the Jazz beat the Bulls 135-126, clearing the 19.5-point line (ESPN). (28 points)
Anthony Edwards over 27.5 points
“I'll also play Ant-Man, Anthony Edwards, over 27 and a half points against Charlotte.”
Anthony Edwards scored 21 points as Minnesota beat Charlotte 114-93, missing the 27.5-point line (ESPN). (21 points)
Anthony Edwards 35+ points (+300)
“I also like 35-plus points, plus 300, and 40-plus points, plus 650.”
Anthony Edwards scored 21 points in Minnesota's 114-93 win over Charlotte, well short of the 35+ threshold (ESPN). (21 points)
Anthony Edwards 40+ points (+650)
“I also like 35-plus points, plus 300, and 40-plus points, plus 650.”
Anthony Edwards scored 21 points in Minnesota's 114-93 win over Charlotte, well short of the 40+ threshold (ESPN). (21 points)
Brandon Ingram over 25.5 points
“Then finally, Brandon Ingram over 25.5 points against Portland.”
118-100 — Brandon Ingram scored 27 points in New Orleans' 118-100 loss to Portland, clearing the 25.5-point line (ESPN). (27 points)
Gustav Nyquist anytime goal scorer (+260)
“I like Gustav Nyquist to score plus 260.”
3-0 — Kings shut out the Predators 3-0 with goals by Kopitar, Fiala, and Kempe; Gustav Nyquist did not score (ESPN box score).
Alex Laferriere anytime goal scorer
“I'd like him to score against Nashville.”
3-0 — Kings shut out the Predators 3-0 with goals by Kopitar, Fiala, and Kempe; Alex Laferriere did not score (ESPN box score).
Nico Hischier anytime goal scorer (+185)
“Then finally, Nico Hirshire for the Devils, plus 185.”
Devils beat Oilers 3-0 on goals by Noesen, Bratt, and Meier; Nico Hischier had an assist on Bratt's goal but did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 1 assist)
Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 / Pittsburgh Steelers +8.5 teaser
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 won
- Pittsburgh Steelers +8.5 won
“my bet in this game will be a Chiefs teaser leg down to two and a half. I'm going to try to tease the Steelers up to eight and a half”
Both teaser legs cashed: Chiefs beat Buccaneers 30-24 in OT, covering -2.5 (ESPN), and Steelers beat Commanders 28-27 outright on Nov 10, 2024, easily covering +8.5 (ESPN).
Trey Palmer first touchdown scorer (+2200)
“I'm going to go Trey Palmer, 22-1 on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
Trey Palmer did not score a touchdown in the Bucs-Chiefs game (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
Noah Gray first touchdown scorer (+2000)
“Noah Gray, 20-1 on Noah Gray for my Chiefs one.”
Noah Gray did not score a touchdown in the Bucs-Chiefs game (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
New Orleans Saints +3.5 · BetMGM
“I think at three and a half, it is a bet. At three, I'd probably just pass the game, but BetMGM does have a three and a half.”
20-17 — Saints beat the Falcons 20-17 outright on Nov 10, 2024, so New Orleans +3.5 covered easily (ESPN final score).
Dallas Cowboys +3 · BetMGM
“At three, I still, still believe that the Cowboys can hang within this number.”
27-21 — Falcons beat Cowboys 27-21 (ESPN box score); Dallas +3 lost by a 6-point margin, failing to cover.
Orlando Magic +7.5
“The Fallen Heroes spot, Orlando plus 7.5.”
120-109 — Cavaliers beat Magic 120-109 (ESPN box score), an 11-point margin exceeding Orlando's +7.5.
Illinois Fighting Illini +3
“So I like the align I getting the field goal.”
25-17 — Illinois lost to Minnesota 25-17 (ESPN gameId 401628533), an 8-point margin exceeding +3.
UCLA Bruins +7
“UCLA plus seven on the road at Nebraska. And when you think, obviously, like when we grew up, when I grew up, when I was a kid, starting to watch college football in the late 80s and early 90s. Nothing screamed Big Ten more than Nebraska and UCLA. Give me UCLA plus the seven.”
27-20 — UCLA beat Nebraska 27-20 outright (Wikipedia game summary), easily covering +7.
Ohio State Buckeyes -3
“Give me the Buckeyes laying the field goal.”
20-13 — Ohio State beat Penn State 20-13 (ESPN gameId 401628539), a 7-point win that covers -3.
Kentucky Wildcats +17.5
“Kentucky getting 17-and-a-half against Tennessee. Another drag-you-into-the-mud Mark Stoops special.”
28-18 — Tennessee beat Kentucky 28-18 (ESPN gameId 401628412), a 10-point margin, so Kentucky +17.5 covers.
South Carolina Gamecocks +3
“Give me the Gamecocks of South Carolina getting a field goal.”
44-20 — South Carolina beat Texas A&M 44-20 outright (ESPN gameId 401628411), covering +3.
Jaylen Brown over 24.5 points (-120)
“I like Jaylen Brown over 24 and a half points last time out Brown brutal shooting that against the Indiana Pacers 11 of 30 I would bet on him to regress positively against the Charlotte defense that's not good he's also gone over this number three out of the five games this season i also like Jaylen Brown 30 plus points as well at plus 240 so over 24 and a half that's like minus 120”
Jaylen Brown scored 25 points in Boston's 124-109 win over Charlotte (ESPN box score, gameId 401704698), clearing the 24.5 line. (25 points)
Jaylen Brown 30+ points 29.5 (+240)
“I also like Jaylen Brown 30 plus points as well at plus 240.”
Jaylen Brown scored 25 points against Charlotte (ESPN box score, gameId 401704698), short of the 30+ (29.5) threshold. (25 points)
Detroit Pistons +7.5
“I like the Pistons at plus 7-and-a-half.”
128-98 — Knicks beat Pistons 128-98 (ESPN gameId 401704700), a 30-point margin, so Detroit +7.5 fails to cover.
Keegan Murray over 2.5 three-pointers made
“I'll go Keegan Murray over 2-and-a-half three-pointers.”
Keegan Murray went 1-for-6 on threes in Sacramento's 123-115 win over Atlanta (ESPN box score, gameId 401704701), under the 2.5 line. (1 three-pointer made)
Zach LaVine over 20.5 points (-125)
“The next one, Zach LaVine, over 20 and a half points. It's minus 125.”
Zach LaVine scored 21 points in Chicago's 120-112 loss to Brooklyn (ESPN box score, gameId 401704702), clearing the 20.5 line. (21 points)
Cam Thomas over 25.5 points (-145)
“Over 25 and a half points, minus 145.”
Cam Thomas scored 32 points in Brooklyn's 120-112 win over Chicago (ESPN box score, gameId 401704702), clearing the 25.5 line. (32 points)
Cam Thomas 35+ points 34.5 (+425)
“I also like him 35 plus points at plus 425 in this game.”
Cam Thomas scored 32 points against Chicago (ESPN box score, gameId 401704702), under the 34.5 (35+) line. (32 points)
Los Angeles Lakers -9
“Also lay the nine with the Los Angeles Lakers.”
131-125 — Lakers beat Raptors 131-125 (ESPN gameId 401704703), winning by only 6 points, failing to cover -9.
Naz Reid over 11.5 points (-110)
“I think this is one of those 15-type performances from Naz Reid, 15-plus points, which I also bet 15-plus, plus 180 for Naz Reid, but also over 11.5 points as well at minus 110.”
Naz Reid scored 16 points for Minnesota in the 119-116 win over Denver (ESPN box score, gameId 401704705), clearing the 11.5 line. (16 points)
Naz Reid 15+ points 14.5 (+180)
“Which I also bet 15-plus, plus 180 for Naz Reid.”
Naz Reid scored 16 points against Denver (ESPN box score, gameId 401704705), clearing the 14.5 (15+) line. (16 points)
New York Islanders moneyline (-105)
“Islanders, money line, minus 105 against the Buffalo Sabres.”
4-3 — New York Islanders beat Buffalo 4-3 (ESPN gameId 401687767), winning outright on the moneyline.
Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline (-105)
“I'll take the Tampa Bay Lightning minus 105.”
5-3 — Tampa Bay Lightning lost to Minnesota Wild 5-3 (ESPN gameId 401687770), losing the moneyline.
Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+220)
“I like Brandon Hagel plus two 20. Anytime goal score.”
Brandon Hagel recorded only an assist (on Brayden Point's 1st-period power-play goal) in Tampa Bay's 5-3 loss to Minnesota (ESPN scoring summary, gameId 401687770); he did not score. (0 goals)
Calgary Flames moneyline (+145)
“And then finally I'll take the Calgary flames plus one 45 against the New Jersey devils.”
3-0 — Calgary Flames beat New Jersey Devils 3-0 (ESPN gameId 401687772), winning outright on the moneyline.
Rasmus Andersson anytime goal scorer (+850)
“Rasmus Andersson plus eight 50, anytime goal score.”
Rasmus Andersson recorded only an assist (on Blake Coleman's opening goal) in Calgary's 3-0 win over New Jersey (ESPN scoring summary, gameId 401687772); he did not score. (0 goals)
SGP: Cowboys ML, Dak Prescott 300+ pass yards and over 1.5 pass TDs, CeeDee Lamb 100+ receiving yards and anytime TD, Jake Ferguson last TD (+10000) · BetMGM
- Dallas Cowboys moneyline
- Dak Prescott 300+ passing yards
- Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- CeeDee Lamb 100+ receiving yards
- CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown
- Jake Ferguson last touchdown scorer
“I like Dak Prescott, 300-plus passing yards. Dak over one-and-a-half passing TDs. CeeDee Lamb over 100-plus receiving yards. CeeDee Lamb anytime TD. And just for the little cherry on top of the sundae, Jake Ferguson last TD paired with Cowboys Moneyline. 100-to-1.”
Falcons beat Cowboys 27-21 (ESPN gameId 401671728); the Cowboys-moneyline leg of the SGP loses, so the full parlay loses regardless of the other legs.
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5
“Chargers a one-and-a-half point road favorite, the total sitting at 42-and-a-half. Joey Bosa will be questionable for every game from now until the end of time. What do you like here with the Chargers and the Browns? I like the chargers at these numbers here. Like I thought that we were going to maybe get a good injury report for the Cleveland Browns. Now we'll have to wait for the weekend on Denzel Ward. He was limited in practice today dealing with that concussion, but I don't know if he's going to clear after my being in Wednesday's practice or Thursday's practice limited today. That feels like an uphill battle to him for him to actually clear that one. So the coin flip game, you're giving me Jim Harbaugh and Justin Herbert against Jameis Winston and Kevin Stefanski. Like Stefanski have a lot of respect for Jameis. You get the up the highs, you get the lows. Like last week was the highs. I think this week might be the lows. Like he's always begging to throw the football to the other team. I think the chargers, we can get them not really in a buy low spot or anything like that. But I just think that a coin flip game, this is probably priced appropriately. I'm going to go ahead and back the better quarterback. That being Justin Herbert, the guy who will take care of the football, or at least I trust to take care of the football. So give me the bolts in this game. As long as it's under a field goal, I'll like the chargers.”
27-10 — Chargers beat Browns 27-10 (ESPN gameId 401671629), a 17-point margin that clears the -1.5 spread.
Under 44
“Under 44 is how I'm going to bet this week.”
27-22 — Commanders beat Giants 27-22 (ESPN gameId 401671711), a 49-point combined total, over the 44 line, so Under 44 loses.
Arizona Cardinals -1
“I do like them on Sunday against the Chicago Bears. I'll lay the one.”
29-9 — Cardinals beat Bears 29-9 (ESPN gameId 401671661), a 20-point margin that clears the -1 spread.
Ole Miss Rebels -7.5
“[11:45] Lay seven in the hook with Kiffin and the boys.”
ARK 31, MISS 63 — Ole Miss routed Arkansas 63-31 on 11/2/2024; Ole Miss's +32 margin covers -7.5 (ESPN final).
Michigan State Spartans +8
“[14:31] Michigan State plus eight.”
MSU 10, IU 47 — Indiana routed Michigan State 47-10 on 11/2/2024; MSU lost by 37, busting +8 (ESPN final).
Under 44.5
“[28:42] By the way, dude, at MGM, we're 44 and a half right now. Yeah. There we go. That's my home to
[28:48] bet the under for Commanders and Giants. That's kind of where I would lean a little bit. But if I”
WSH 27, NYG 22 — Washington beat the Giants 27-22 on 11/3/2024, a combined 49 points, busting the under 44.5 (ESPN final).
Columbus Crew to win MLS Cup
“[27:02] well MLS Cup is like going on right now like I bet Columbus and the LA Galaxy I think”
LA Galaxy, not Columbus Crew, won the 2024 MLS Cup, beating NY Red Bulls 2-1 on 12/7/2024; Columbus did not win the title (mlssoccer.com).
LA Galaxy to win MLS Cup
“[27:02] well MLS Cup is like going on right now like I bet Columbus and the LA Galaxy I think”
LA Galaxy beat NY Red Bulls 2-1 in the 2024 MLS Cup final on 12/7/2024, winning their record 6th MLS Cup title (mlssoccer.com).
Brook Lopez over 1.5 three-pointers made (-110)
“I like him over one and a half three-pointers. That's at minus 110.”
Brook Lopez went 3-of-6 from three (12 pts) for Milwaukee against Memphis on 10/31/2024, clearing the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (3 three-pointers made (3-of-6))
Alperen Sengun over 9.5 rebounds (-120)
“I'll go with Alperin Shangun over nine and a half rebounds. That's minus 120.”
Alperen Sengun grabbed 12 rebounds for Houston against Dallas on 10/31/2024, clearing the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (12 rebounds)
Luka Doncic over 30.5 points (-115)
“Luka Donchich over 30 and a half points. It's calmly square, don't care, pays out minus 115.”
Luka Doncic scored 29 points for Dallas against Houston on 10/31/2024, one point under the 30.5 line (ESPN box score). (29 points)
Norman Powell over 19.5 points
“And then finally, let's go with the, uh, the chucker over at the Los Angeles Clippers. That being Norman Powell over 19 and a half points.”
Norman Powell scored 23 points for the LA Clippers against Phoenix on 10/31/2024, clearing the 19.5 line (ESPN box score). (23 points)
Leon Draisaitl anytime goal scorer (+140)
“I like Dreisaitl to score plus 140.”
Leon Draisaitl scored twice in Edmonton's 5-1 win over Nashville on 10/31/2024 (ESPN box score), so he scored anytime. (2 goals)
Leon Draisaitl 2+ goals 1.5 (+850)
“I like Dreisaitl to score two plus goals plus 850.”
Leon Draisaitl scored exactly 2 goals in Edmonton's 5-1 win over Nashville on 10/31/2024 (ESPN box score), clearing the 1.5-goal line for 2+. (2 goals)
Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline (-180)
“I like Pittsburgh laying minus 180.”
ANA 1, PIT 2 (OT) — Penguins beat Ducks 2-1 in overtime on a Sidney Crosby goal on 10/31/2024, Penguins win outright (ESPN box score).
Boston Bruins moneyline (+160)
“I also like the Bruins on the money line at a plus money price against Carolina. This is fading Carolina coming off of a long road trip first game back home. Sometimes it can be a little bit sleepy first game back after a business trip over the week, so I like the Bruins plus 160 on the money line.”
BOS 2, CAR 8 — Hurricanes routed the Bruins 8-2 on 10/31/2024 (ESPN box score), so the Bruins moneyline lost.
Dalton Schultz first touchdown scorer (+1600) · BetMGM
“Dalton Schultz 16 to one for Houston.”
Houston's only touchdown against the Jets on 10/31/2024 was Joe Mixon's rushing score; Dalton Schultz did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
Davante Adams first touchdown scorer (+700) · BetMGM
“Adams is seven to one. Dalton Schultz, 16 to one. Those are the two first TD score bets.”
The game's first touchdown was Joe Mixon's 2nd-quarter rush for Houston; Davante Adams' TD catch came in the 4th quarter, so Adams was not the first TD scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (1 receiving touchdown (4th quarter, not first))
Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds (+105) · BetMGM
“I'm going to go over on Jalen Brown's rebounds. It's over six and a half rebounds, plus 105 over at BetMGM.”
Jaylen Brown finished with 6 rebounds in the Pacers' 135-132 OT win over the Celtics on 10/30/24, under the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (6 rebounds)
Trae Young over 27.5 points (-120)
“I'm going to play on him to go ahead and regress to the positive. Over 27.5 points. It's minus 120.”
Trae Young scored 35 points in the Wizards' 133-120 win over the Hawks on 10/30/24, clearing the 27.5 line (ESPN box score). (35 points)
Chet Holmgren 20+ points (+100)
“I'm going Chet Holmgren 20 plus points, even money.”
Chet Holmgren scored 19 points in the Thunder's 105-93 win over the Spurs on 10/30/24, under the 20-point line (NBA.com box score). (19 points)
Chet Holmgren 25+ points (+325)
“Chet Holmgren 25 plus points, plus 325.”
Chet Holmgren scored 19 points in the Thunder's 105-93 win over the Spurs on 10/30/24, under the 25-point line (NBA.com box score). (19 points)
New York Knicks moneyline (-120)
“I'll go ahead with the Knicks at minus 120 on the money line.”
116-107 — Knicks beat the Heat 116-107 on 10/30/24, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
Under 229
“I'll also play the Magic and the Bulls under 229.”
99-102 — Bulls beat the Magic 102-99 on 10/30/24; combined 201 points is under the 229 total line (ESPN final).
Portland Trail Blazers first half +4.5
“I'll play the Portland Trailblazers in the first half, grabbing plus four and a half in the first half.”
106-105 — Trail Blazers led the Clippers 54-45 at halftime on 10/30/24 (Portland went on to win 106-105), comfortably covering the first-half +4.5 (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Pelicans moneyline (+120)
“Pelicans, Moneyline, in the game after the Fallen Hero game with the Golden State Warriors, Pelicans plus 120.”
89-104 — Warriors beat the Pelicans 104-89 on 10/30/24; Pelicans lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
Colorado Avalanche moneyline / Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal scorer
- Colorado Avalanche moneyline
- Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal scorer
“I'm going to parlay that with Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal scorer. So McKinnon to score parlayed with the Colorado Avalanche. That is my bet for that game.”
2-5 — Lightning beat the Avalanche 5-2 on 10/30/24 (Avalanche moneyline leg lost) and Nathan MacKinnon recorded only 2 assists with no goal (Colorado's goals came from Cale Makar and Ivan Ivan), so both parlay legs lost (ESPN box score, NHL.com recap). (MacKinnon: 0 goals, 2 assists; Avalanche lost 2-5)
Los Angeles Kings moneyline (+110)
“i'll go ahead and back to los angeles kings at plus 110”
3-6 — Kings beat the Golden Knights 6-3 on 10/30/24, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
Alex Laferriere anytime goal scorer (+310)
“i do think he scores tonight he's like plus 310 anytime goal score”
Alex Laferriere scored a goal (10:11 of the 2nd period) in the Kings' 6-3 win over the Golden Knights on 10/30/24, hitting the anytime goal scorer prop (ESPN box score). (1 goal)
First five innings over 4.5
“nothing on the side, but I do like the first five over four and a half.”
5-5 (through 5 innings; final 7-6 Dodgers) — Through 5 innings of World Series Game 5, the Dodgers led 5-5 with the Yankees (10 combined runs after LAD scored 5 unearned in the 5th to tie a game the Yankees led 5-0 after 3), clearing the 4.5 first-five-innings total (ESPN box score, LAD won the full game 7-6).
Anthony Rizzo over 0.5 total bases (-150)
“I also like Anthony Rizzo over a half a total base at minus 150.”
Anthony Rizzo went 0-for-4 with 0 total bases in World Series Game 5, missing the over 0.5 total bases line (ESPN box score). (0-for-4, 0 total bases)
Juan Soto home run (+400)
“So I think Soto to hit a homer at plus 400.”
Juan Soto went 1-for-2 with a single and 0 home runs in World Series Game 5, so the plus-400 home run prop missed (ESPN box score). (1-for-2, 0 HR)
Dan Quinn to win Coach of the Year (+200) · BetMGM
“I think Dan Quinn at plus 200 over at BetMGM is a bet to win coach of the year”
Vikings HC Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award at NFL Honors, with Commanders HC Dan Quinn finishing fourth in voting (85 points, behind O'Connell, Dan Campbell, and Andy Reid), so the Dan Quinn futures bet lost (NFL.com).
First five innings over 4.5 (-115)
“I like the Yankees-Dodgers' first five over, so over four and a half at minus 115.”
World Series Game 4 (Oct 29, 2024): Dodgers led 2-0 after 1, Yankees led 5-4 after 5 innings (Volpe grand slam in 3rd, Dodgers scored 2 in 5th) for 9 combined runs through five, over the 4.5 first-five total (ESPN box score). (9 combined runs through 5 innings (Dodgers 4, Yankees 5))
Los Angeles Dodgers first five innings moneyline (+130)
“I also like the Dodgers in the first five. That's plus 130.”
4-5 — World Series Game 4: Yankees led 5-4 after 5 innings (Volpe grand slam put NYY ahead in the 3rd, Dodgers scored 2 in the 5th but stayed behind), so the Dodgers first-five-innings moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Dodgers team total over 3.5 runs (-125)
“And I like the Dodgers team total over three and a half. That's minus 125.”
4-11 — Dodgers scored 4 total runs in World Series Game 4 (final Yankees 11, Dodgers 4: 2 in the 1st, 2 in the 5th), over the 3.5 team-total line (ESPN box score). (Dodgers scored 4 team runs)
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs (+115)
“Bengals at plus 115 I think is a good bet to make right now”
Bengals finished the 2024 season 9-8, 3rd in the AFC North, and missed the playoffs — bet on Bengals to make the playoffs lost (Wikipedia 2024 Cincinnati Bengals season recap).
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs (+310) · BetMGM
“if you want just to make the playoffs, plus 310 on the Rams is a good bet.”
Rams went 10-7, won the NFC West, beat the Vikings 27-9 in the Wild Card round, and lost 28-22 to the Eagles in the Divisional round — bet on Rams to make the playoffs won (official Rams team site recap).
Denver Broncos to miss the playoffs (-150)
“minus 150 I think is a good bet on the Broncos to miss the playoffs”
Broncos went 10-7 and made the 2024-25 playoffs as the AFC's #7 wild card, losing the Wild Card round 31-7 to the Bills — bet on Broncos to miss the playoffs lost (NFL.com recap).
Minnesota Vikings to miss the playoffs (+240)
“I think that you grab this price right now, plus $240, Minnesota to miss the playoffs.”
Vikings went 14-3, made the 2024-25 playoffs as the NFC's #5 wild card, and lost the Wild Card round 27-9 to the Rams — bet on Vikings to miss the playoffs lost (NFL.com recap).
Denver Nuggets -4.5 · BetMGM
“i would lay four and a half i would even lay five with denver”
144-139 — Nuggets beat Nets 144-139 in overtime on Oct 29, 2024, a 5-point margin that covers Denver -4.5 (ESPN final score).
Cam Thomas over 26.5 points (-125)
“Hopefully they go in over 26 and a half points, minus 125.”
Cam Thomas scored 26 points (8-22 FG) for the Nets in the Oct 29, 2024 loss to Denver, one point under the 26.5 line (ESPN box score). (26 points)
Klay Thompson over 15.5 points
“his points props at 15 and a half i'm gonna go over that one”
Klay Thompson scored 7 points (2-7 FG) for the Mavericks in the 120-114 win over Minnesota on Oct 29, 2024, well under the 15.5 line (ESPN box score). (7 points (2-7 FG))
Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points
“anthony edwards also over 26 and a half”
Anthony Edwards scored 37 points (12-20 FG, 7-13 3PT), including 24 in the 1st quarter, in Timberwolves' 120-114 loss to Dallas on Oct 29, 2024, clearing over 26.5 (ESPN box score). (37 points (12-20 FG))
De'Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists
“I'll go over 5.5 assists for De'Aaron Fox.”
De'Aaron Fox recorded 6 assists (19 points) in Kings' 113-96 win over the Jazz on Oct 29, 2024, clearing over 5.5 (ESPN box score). (6 assists)
Golden State Warriors moneyline (+105)
“Warriors money line plus 105 for me, Femi, against the Pels.”
124-106 — Warriors beat Pelicans 124-106 outright on Oct 29, 2024 (ESPN final score).
Montreal Canadiens moneyline (+155)
“So Montreal for me, plus 155.”
8-2 — Canadiens lost to the Kraken 8-2 on Oct 29, 2024; the Montreal moneyline bet loses (ESPN final score).
Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline
“I'll go ahead and take that plus money with the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
5-3 — Penguins lost to the Wild 5-3 on Oct 29, 2024; the Pittsburgh moneyline bet loses (ESPN final score).
Sidney Crosby anytime goal scorer (+170)
“Sidney Crosby plus 170 anytime goal score.”
Sidney Crosby did not score a goal (had 3 assists) in Penguins' 5-3 loss to the Wild on Oct 29, 2024; Pittsburgh's goals came from Rakell (x2) and Puustinen (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 3 assists)
Over 46
“[29:21] Over 46.”
MIN 21, IND 13 — Vikings beat Colts 21-13 on Nov 3, 2024, a combined 34 points that falls under the 46 total (ESPN final score).
SMU Mustangs to make the College Football Playoff (+200)
“So I think the Mustangs at plus 200, I actually think that's an interesting bet to make right now.”
SMU (11-2) earned the CFP's final at-large bid and was selected into the 12-team bracket as the No. 11 seed on Selection Sunday, Dec 8, 2024 (Wikipedia, sourced to committee coverage).
Los Angeles Chargers moneyline (-125)
“So I like the Los Angeles Chargers. If they keep getting bet against, I'm going to wait and wait and wait to even get a cheap money line price. The cheapest I saw was like minus $125 before we did the show. But if I get a cheap price, maybe if the Browns even flip to the favorite, I would love it even more. So give me the Los Angeles Chargers to win the game on Sunday.”
27-10 — Chargers beat Browns 27-10, so the Chargers moneyline wins (ESPN final).
Jacksonville Jaguars +7
“So Jags plus seven would be a bet.”
23-28 — Eagles beat Jaguars 28-23 (5-point margin), so Jaguars +7 covered (ESPN final).
Malik Nabers anytime touchdown / Nikola Jokic triple-double / Juan Soto home run / Mikko Rantanen anytime goal (+9500)
- Malik Nabers anytime touchdown
- Nikola Jokic triple-double
- Juan Soto home run
- Mikko Rantanen anytime goal scorer
“So once again, neighbors, anytime TD. Nikola Jokic, triple-double. Juan Soto, home run. Mikko Rantanen, anytime goal scorer. Pays about 95-1 or so.”
4-2 — Juan Soto did not homer in World Series Game 3; the only home runs were Freddie Freeman (1st inning) and Alex Verdugo (9th inning) in the Dodgers' 4-2 win over the Yankees (ESPN box score), so the Soto leg and the parlay lost.
Juan Soto home run
“Juan Soto to leave the yard I also like that as well just like outside of the parlay”
4-2 — Juan Soto did not homer in World Series Game 3; the only home runs were Freddie Freeman (1st) and Alex Verdugo (9th) in the Dodgers' 4-2 win (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
Milwaukee Bucks +9
“Now this one's actually moving right now. It's been moving over the last about half hour, maybe 45 minutes. The nine and a halves are now gone. They're now nines across the board. And look, like this could very easily end up with egg on my face backing a team going up against the Boston Celtics. Like Boston is the best team in the NBA, and it might not even be close. Maybe Oklahoma City has an argument in that case, but Boston is legit. But I do think this was Giannis last night sort of talking to his team through the media. And I'm hoping that he talked to them in the locker room as well. It's like, hey, fellas, let's wake up. We just lost to the Brooklyn Nets. I think you get A-plus performance from this version of the Bucs. Maybe that's not good enough, but I like backing teams when I do believe that you're going to get the best of them, at least right now. So I like Milwaukee with the points.”
119-108 — Celtics beat Bucks 119-108 (an 11-point margin), so Milwaukee +9 did not cover (ESPN box score).
Milwaukee Bucks moneyline
“I also play a little bit on the money line as well.”
119-108 — Celtics beat Bucks 119-108 on 10/28/2024, so the Bucks moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Nikola Jokic triple-double (+225)
“I'll take Jokic to get a triple-double against his bad Toronto roster, plus 225.”
127-125 — Jokic finished with 40 points, 10 rebounds, and 4 assists in the Nuggets' 127-125 OT win over Toronto, only two categories in double digits, so no triple-double (ESPN box score). (40 pts, 10 reb, 4 ast)
Memphis Grizzlies -7
“I'll also lay the points with Memphis tonight against Chicago. Grizzlies laying seven.”
126-123 — Bulls beat Grizzlies 126-123 outright on 10/28/2024, so Memphis -7 failed to cover by a wide margin (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Lakers moneyline (+155)
“They're plus 155 on the money line right now. with what might be a coin flip game when we look back on this maybe two three months down the road so give me the lakers on the money line as well to round out my nba betting card”
109-105 — Suns beat Lakers 109-105 on 10/28/2024, so the Lakers moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Mikko Rantanen anytime goal scorer
“Also have the Mikko Rantan anytime goal scorer bet.”
5-2 — Colorado's goals in the 5-2 loss to Chicago on 10/28/2024 came from Casey Mittelstadt and Nathan MacKinnon; Mikko Rantanen did not score (ESPN box score).
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (-160)
“So give me the Golden Knights on the money line, minus 160 or better on the ice.”
5-0 — Golden Knights shut out the Flames 5-0 on 10/28/2024, so the Vegas moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Malik Nabers anytime touchdown scorer (+190)
“Malik neighbors anytime TD plus 190”
26-18 — Malik Nabers did not score a touchdown; the Steelers' touchdowns went to Calvin Austin III (punt return, receiving) and Tyrone Tracy Jr. (rushing) (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. first touchdown scorer (+1300)
“let's go ahead and hopefully we can hit tonight i'll go first the new york giants the road team how about Tyrone Tracy Jr. 13 to 1”
26-18 — Calvin Austin III scored the game's first touchdown (73-yard punt return, Q3) before Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s Q4 rushing touchdown, so Tracy was not the first touchdown scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (Tracy scored the game's 3rd touchdown, not the 1st)
Daniel Jones first touchdown scorer (+1700)
“So Daniel Jones, 17-1.”
26-18 — Daniel Jones did not score a touchdown in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
Jaylen Warren first touchdown scorer
“On the Pittsburgh side, Jaylen Warren I just wanted to take a Pittsburgh Steelers running back with long odds.”
26-18 — Jaylen Warren did not score a touchdown in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
Pat Freiermuth first touchdown scorer (+1200)
“Let's go with Pat Freiermuth because it would just be fitting if we end the thing with a national tight end weekend. The tight end getting the first seed score on the day. 12 to 1 Friermuth.”
26-18 — Pat Freiermuth did not score a touchdown in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
Over 8.5 runs (-120)
“That's what I bet over 8.5 minus 120.”
4-2 — Dodgers beat Yankees 4-2 in World Series Game 3 (Oct 28, 2024); combined total of 6 runs is under 8.5 (ESPN box score).
Dallas Cowboys moneyline
“cowboys get the dub get them on the money line let's do”
21-27 — Falcons beat Cowboys 27-21 on Nov 3, 2024 (Week 9); Cowboys moneyline lost (ESPN final).
New York Yankees moneyline (+110)
“bet the total since that's kind of been blasted i'll just go ahead and back the bronx bombers the guys in pinstripe although they're not being pinstripe tonight i'll back the new york yankees on the road plus 110 or better i'm also gonna back all rise aaron judge it's time man it's time”
3-6 — Dodgers beat Yankees 6-3 in 10 innings on Freddie Freeman's walk-off grand slam in World Series Game 1 (ESPN box score), so the Yankees moneyline lost.
Aaron Judge home run (+225)
“guys in pinstripe although they're not being pinstripe tonight i'll back the new york yankees on the road plus 110 or better i'm also gonna back all rise aaron judge it's time man it's time to meet the moment read the room leave the yard aaron judge plus 225 to hit a home run tonight”
3-6 — Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with no home runs in World Series Game 1 (ESPN box score), so the home run prop lost. (0 home runs (1-for-5))
Anthony Rizzo World Series MVP (+10000)
“I like Anthony Rizzo as my World Series, but I'm going with Rizzo at 100 to 1.”
Freddie Freeman (Dodgers), not Anthony Rizzo, was named 2024 World Series MVP after the Dodgers beat the Yankees 4 games to 1 (MLB.com).
Juan Soto to lead series in home runs (+700)
“didn't want to bet him to win the World Series MVP because the price is so short I'm just going to bet Juan Soto to lead the series in home runs at plus 700 I guess just a pure narrative bet like”
Freddie Freeman hit a record 4 home runs across the 2024 World Series, the most of any player; Juan Soto did not lead the series in home runs (NPR).
Houston, We Have a Problem same-game parlay (+1100)
- Anthony Richardson over 38.5 rushing yards
- Anthony Richardson anytime touchdown
- CJ Stroud under 241.5 passing yards
- Indianapolis Colts moneyline
“So I like both Richardson, anytime TD, Richardson over 38 and a half rushing yards. And then I also like CJ Stroud under 241 and a half passing yards. That Colts or that Texans passing attack has just been horrendous whenever they have not had Nico Collins. Nico Collins missing his third game on the IR right now. Bobby Slovic, I don't know if he doesn't have answers. I don't know if he's saving plays for the second half of the season. I don't know what he's doing. And I think Texans fans are feeling the same way. What is this guy doing? Why can't our offense create explosive plays? I think under passing yards for CJ Stroud and all those things combined with the cherry on top Colts money line Colts shocked them went out right Houston. We have a problem 11 to 1 SGP.”
20-23 — SGP failed: CJ Stroud threw for 285 passing yards (over the 241.5 under) and the Colts lost 20-23 to the Texans (moneyline leg lost), even though Richardson's 45 rushing yards cleared 38.5 (ESPN box score). (SGP legs: Richardson 45 rush yds (hit), Stroud 285 pass yds (under 241.5 missed), Colts ML lost 20-23)
UNLV Rebels +4
“I also do like UNLV tonight plus four.”
24-29 — UNLV lost 24-29 to Boise State, a 5-point loss that failed to cover the +4 spread (ESPN final).
Michigan Wolverines -4
“I'm going to go ahead and buy low if we're going to take the stock market approach. Spying low on Michigan, laying a little bit more than the field goal. They're laying four right now against Sparty. Get the hell out of here, man. Hey, let's go heads up. One of us will win. I'm laying the four.”
17-24 — Michigan beat Michigan State 24-17, a 7-point win that covered the -4 spread (ESPN final).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -13.5
“And then also Notre Dame, we have to do it. I liked it earlier in the week. Under 14, though. I don't want to lay 14. has to be under 14, lay the 13 and a half with the Fighting Irish.”
51-14 — Notre Dame beat Navy 51-14, a 37-point win that easily covered the -13.5 spread (ESPN final).
Tyrese Haliburton over 8.5 assists (-120)
“He is going to be trolling Knicks fans, and he's going to be smiling, laughing, skipping around the court. Tyrese Haliburton over eight and a half assists. It's now minus 120.”
98-123 — Tyrese Haliburton recorded only 5 assists in the Knicks' 123-98 win over the Pacers, under the 8.5 line (ESPN box score). (5 assists)
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline (-125)
“Vegas Golden Knights at home against the Ottawa Senators. They're getting bet against hard here. The market's moved quite a bit all throughout the day. I'm not sure as to why, but I like Golden Knights laying minus 125 on the money line.”
4-6 — Vegas Golden Knights beat Ottawa Senators 6-4, so VGK ML wins outright (ESPN box score).
Jack Eichel anytime goal (+130)
“I'm not sure as to why, but I like Golden Knights laying minus 125 on the money line. I also like Jack Eichel plus 130 to score as well. He's been active, a lot of assists, a couple goals. I think he gets onto the goal sheet tonight.”
4-6 — Jack Eichel did not score a goal in VGK's 6-4 win over Ottawa (2 assists); anytime-goal prop loses (ESPN box score). (0 goals (2 assists))
Tennessee Titans +11.5
“I like Tennessee to just keep it close. Detroit could win by 10 and you still win this number. So give me the Tennessee Titans getting 11 and a half at a big, big number with a really good defense.”
14-52 — Detroit routed Tennessee 52-14, a 38-point margin far exceeding 11.5, so Titans +11.5 loses (ESPN final).
Under 43.5
“Well, Commanders are a juiced three. Bears are a three-point favorite, but the juice is towards Washington. The total is 43. How are you betting this game right now? Nothing on the side for me, but I'm going to shop around and I'm going to bet the under in this game. Even 43 and a half, I think that's a good enough number to bet it under.”
15-18 — Commanders beat Bears 18-15 (combined 33 points), well under the 43.5 total (ESPN final).
Under 41.5
“And because it's Bryce Young with backup wide receivers, I like the under. I played under 41 and a half. Even at 41, I still like it under.”
14-28 — Broncos beat Panthers 28-14 (combined 42 points), exceeding the 41.5 total, so the under loses (ESPN final).
Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East (+115)
“So I like the Eagles to win the division plus 115”
Eagles clinched the NFC East with a 41-7 win over the Cowboys in Week 17 and finished the 2024 regular season 14-3 (NFL.com).
Los Angeles Rams +3
“But with that said, in terms of betting, I do like the Rams. We're sticking by the Ramily tonight. We talked about this game a little bit earlier throughout the week, and I said plus three or better is the buy point on Los Angeles.”
30-20 — Rams beat Vikings 30-20 on Oct 24, 2024, winning outright and covering Los Angeles +3 (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams moneyline (+135)
“Like plus 135, plus 130, whatever you can find on the money line, I think is an interesting way to attack the game as well. Rams in the field goal and the money line.”
30-20 — Rams beat Vikings 30-20 outright on Oct 24, 2024, so the Los Angeles moneyline bet wins (ESPN box score).
New York Giants +6.5
“that said i like big blues monday night against the pittsburgh steelers like i'm going to take the points with the giants i bet six and a half but even at six i like it i think that this is just”
26-18 — Steelers beat Giants 26-18 on Oct 28, 2024, an 8-point margin that exceeds the +6.5 New York needed to cover (ESPN box score).
Over 44.5
“So I like the over 44.5 in the game between Baltimore and Cleveland.”
29-24 — Browns beat Ravens 29-24 on Oct 27, 2024, a combined 53 points that clears the 44.5 total (ESPN box score).
New York Yankees to win series 4-2 (+550)
“So give me Yankees 4-2 over the Dodgers. Exact the price plus $5.50. I don't know if I need to smoke a cigarette after that or like take a cold shower after hearing Femi's breakdown of the World Series.”
Dodgers beat the Yankees 4 games to 1 to win the 2024 World Series, not the backed Yankees-in-6-games (Yankees 4-2) outcome (MLB.com).
Luke Weaver World Series MVP
“like I like Luke Weaver a lot. I have a bet on him for world series MVP just to have some Yankees coverage.”
Dodgers' Freddie Freeman was named 2024 World Series MVP after hitting .300 with 4 home runs and 12 RBI, not Luke Weaver, and the Yankees lost the series (ESPN).
Boston College Eagles +7.5
“Boston College plus seven and a half.”
31-27 — Louisville beat Boston College 31-27; BC lost by only 4, covering the +7.5 spread (ESPN final).
North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5
“But sandwiched in between those games, this Saturday, a visit from the Tar Heels of North Carolina. I wonder where Tony Bennett's favorite sandwich spot is in Charlottesville. Maybe he'll be around to watch the Carolina football team do what the basketball team rarely does, and that's beat Virginia, North Carolina, plus three and a half.”
41-14 — North Carolina beat Virginia 41-14, winning outright and easily covering +3.5 (ESPN final).
Auburn Tigers +2.5
“Sandwich spot, War Eagle, Auburn plus the two and a half.”
24-10 — Auburn beat Kentucky 24-10, winning outright and covering +2.5 (ESPN final).
Indiana Hoosiers -6.5
“Taven Jackson when Indiana rolls against Washington. Fallen hero and travel spot. Hoosiers lay in the six and a half.”
31-17 — Indiana beat Washington 31-17, a 14-point margin that covers -6.5 (ESPN final).
UCF Knights -2
“Lay the two with the Golden Knights. Nick, we're going oppo taco against UCF and BYU.”
37-24 — BYU beat UCF 37-24 on the road; UCF lost outright, failing to cover -2 (ESPN final).
Arizona Cardinals +4
“Okay, so let's say tomorrow, Phenomenal Football Friday, point spread, Dolphins minus four. Does it make you want to do anything? Ten seconds. I bet Arizona.”
28-27 — Arizona beat Miami 28-27 on a last-play field goal, winning outright and covering +4 (ESPN final).
Payton Pritchard over 9.5 points (+100)
“Payton Pritchard I'm going to bet his points over in this game. It's 9.5 right now over at BetMGM. It's at even money.”
Payton Pritchard was scoreless (0 points, 0-3 FG in 10 minutes) in Boston's 122-102 win over Washington, well under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score, gameId 401704639). (0 points (0-3 FG, 10 min))
Luka Doncic under 29.5 points (+110)
“That being Luka Doncic I actually going to bet his points under in this game It 29 and a half over at MGM plus 110 on the under for Luka I actually buy into a lot of like the kind of projections about the San Antonio Spurs defense this year”
Luka Doncic scored 28 points as the Mavericks beat the Spurs 120-109 on 2024-10-24 (ESPN box score), clearing the under 29.5. (28 points)
Nikola Jokic over 38.5 points plus rebounds
“Give me Denver laying the two and also Jokic over 38.5 points in rebounds. As you say, Femi, I think this game will be a fact-finding mission for me. I want to see how it plays out. I want to bet Oklahoma City, but I want to see how this looks for Denver now.”
Nikola Jokic had 16 points and 12 rebounds (28 combined) as Denver lost to OKC 102-87 on 2024-10-24 (ESPN box score), under the 38.5 points+rebounds line. (16 pts + 12 reb = 28 combined)
Denver Nuggets -2
“And I also like the Denver Nuggets to cover the two-point spread.
I think Denver wins the game.”
102-87 — Oklahoma City beat Denver outright 102-87 on 2024-10-24 (ESPN final), so the Nuggets failed to cover -2.
Jordan Addison first touchdown scorer (+900)
“I like Jordan Addison. I think that we're going to see a big passing game for both of these teams. Addison plus 900. But if you want a long shot on Minnesota,”
In the Rams' 30-20 win over Minnesota on 2024-10-24, the game's first touchdown was Josh Oliver's 10-yard catch in the 1st quarter (ESPN play-by-play); Jordan Addison did not score, so the first-TD-scorer prop lost. (no touchdown (game's first TD scored by Josh Oliver, Q1))
Johnny Mundt first touchdown scorer (+3500)
“But if you want a long shot on Minnesota, how about Johnny month 35 to one over at bed MGM.”
Johnny Mundt did not score a touchdown in the Rams' 30-20 win over Minnesota on 2024-10-24, and the game's first TD went to Josh Oliver's 10-yard catch (ESPN play-by-play), so the first-TD-scorer prop lost. (no touchdown scored)
Cooper Kupp first touchdown scorer
“Let's play into the narrative. Cooper cup. Welcome back. Plus seven 51st score.”
Cooper Kupp caught a 7-yard TD in the 2nd quarter, the 4th touchdown of the game (ESPN play-by-play: Oliver, Williams, Sherfield preceded it), so the first-TD-scorer prop lost even though Kupp scored. (TD scored in Q2 (4th TD of the game, not first))
Demarcus Robinson first touchdown scorer (+2200)
“Marcus Robinson at 22 to one for the Rams.”
Demarcus Robinson scored two TDs (3rd and 4th quarters) in the Rams' win over Minnesota on 2024-10-24, but the game's first TD was Josh Oliver's in the 1st quarter (ESPN play-by-play), so the first-TD-scorer prop lost. (2 TD catches (Q3 & Q4, not first))
Josh Oliver anytime touchdown (+1000)
“Josh Oliver at 10 to one. Anytime touchdown for the Minnesota Vikings. Vikings. I'll also, and again, like Femi said, this is like, these are small money bets. Blake Corum, anytime touchdown for the Rams. He got some work last week. I think he's going to start”
Josh Oliver caught a 10-yard touchdown pass from Sam Darnold in the 1st quarter, the game's opening score (ESPN play-by-play), so the anytime-touchdown prop won. (1 TD catch (10-yd, Q1))
Jim Harbaugh to win Coach of the Year
“[43:44] schedules look like? Jim Harbaugh, 10 to 1, 11 to 1. That is your bet in NFL Coach of the Year
[43:50] right now because I do think there's the upside and he has the cachet to be a guy that everyone
[43:54] will talk about with this award down the stretch. So Harbaugh for me is the bet. I bet it this week.”
Vikings' Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award at NFL Honors, not Jim Harbaugh (NFL.com).
Los Angeles Clippers +5
“[2:59] I think it might be the Clippers.
[3:00] I think I might feel the best about the Los Angeles Clippers
[3:02] getting the five at home in the Intuit Dome.”
116-113 — Suns beat Clippers 116-113 in overtime on 2024-10-23; Clippers lost by only 3, covering the +5 spread (ESPN final score/box score).
Laiatu Latu to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+500)
“[37:14] So, for me, I put a little bit of money on Laiatu Latu at 5-1.
[37:16] Not a big bet, not going too crazy because it's a shorter price,
[37:20] but I just want to get something on this”
Rams LB Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award at the 14th annual NFL Honors, not Laiatu Latu (NFL.com award announcement).
Matvei Michkov anytime goal (+250)
“I'm going to bet the goal scorer. I'm going to go with the rookie of your favorite right now. I believe it's Matt Vey Michkoff. I don't know how to say his name, but plus 250 over at MGM.”
Matvei Michkov scored a third-period power-play goal for the Flyers in the 6-3 loss to the Capitals (ESPN game recap). (1 goal)
Philadelphia 76ers +4
“I'm also going to take the Philadelphia 76ers. I know right now that is at four, but I'm going to go ahead and lean into the news of no Embiid and no Paul George.”
124-109 — Bucks beat 76ers 124-109, a margin of 15, so Philadelphia +4 did not cover (ESPN final score).
Alperen Sengun double-double (-135)
“Also in the Rockets-Hornets game, I'm going to go Alperin-Shingun double-double. He's a double-double machine. That's minus 135.”
Alperen Sengun posted 25 points and 18 rebounds for Houston in the 110-105 loss to Charlotte, a clear double-double (ESPN game recap). (25 points, 18 rebounds)
Zach Edey double-double (+290)
“I'm also going to play the Zach Eadie double-double, plus 290. The Memphis Grizzlies taking on the Utah Jazz.”
Zach Edey finished with 5 points and 5 rebounds before fouling out of his pro debut in Memphis' 126-124 win over Utah, no double-double (ESPN final score/recap). (5 points, 5 rebounds)
Jonathan Kuminga over 17.5 points
“And then my final bet, Jonathan Kuminga over 17.5 points.”
Jonathan Kuminga scored 10 points for Golden State in the 140-104 win over Portland, under the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (10 points)
Boston Celtics -5.5
“[3:43] Boston now out to 6.5.
[3:45] I like the Celtics.
[3:46] I laid 5.5.
[3:47] Unfortunately, that's not the current number right now.”
132-109 — Celtics beat Knicks 132-109 on Oct 22, 2024, covering -5.5 (ESPN box score).
Minnesota Timberwolves -1
“[5:39] Now, I've also bet T-Wolves and the Lakers, because why not? Why not bet both games?
[5:44] I'm laying the points with the Minnesota Timberwolves. You can find a one and a half over at BetMGM.
[5:48] There might still be some ones out there, so shop around as well. I laid one with Minnesota.”
110-103 — Lakers beat Timberwolves 110-103 on Oct 22, 2024, so Minnesota laying -1 lost outright (ESPN box score).
New York Knicks to win the Eastern Conference (+350)
“[4:22] And I think the Knicks have done that, which is why I like the Knicks at plus 350 to win the Eastern Conference.”
The Indiana Pacers won the 2024-25 Eastern Conference, beating the Knicks 4-2 in the ECF to reach the NBA Finals; the Knicks did not win the East (ESPN).
Boston Celtics over 58.5 regular-season wins (+105) · BetMGM
“[8:01] But I do like them to go over their win total of 58.5 over at BetMGM,
[8:05] plus 105 over 58.5 regular season wins.”
The Boston Celtics finished the 2024-25 regular season 61-21, going over the 58.5 win total (ESPN final standings). (Celtics 61-21)
Minnesota Timberwolves to be Western Conference No. 1 seed (+500) · BetMGM
“[9:40] that ascending contender i like minnesota and i like the timberwolves to be the western conference
[9:47] one seed in the postseason this pays out plus 500 at bet mgm you can bet on the team to be the one
[9:53] seed in the postseason i like this bet for minnesota”
The Oklahoma City Thunder were the 2024-25 Western Conference No. 1 seed at 68-14; the Timberwolves finished 6th seed at 49-33, so the bet lost (ESPN final standings). (Thunder 68-14, Timberwolves 49-33)
Los Angeles Lakers to miss the playoffs (-115) · BetMGM
“[12:38] This team is likely going to be in the play-in tournament.
[12:40] I don't think they make the playoffs.
[12:42] That's minus 115 over at BetMGM.
[12:44] Lakers miss the playoffs.”
The Lakers finished the 2024-25 regular season 50-32 as the West's 3-seed and made the playoffs, so 'Lakers miss the playoffs' lost (ESPN final standings). (Lakers 50-32)
Will Howard to win Heisman Trophy (+10000) · BetMGM
“[9:54] have a bet in this market this week you do femi we've been teasing it all show what is your bet
[10:00] and handicap this week in the heisman trophy market yeah i think this is a really interesting
[10:04] week to bet in this market because we do have the potential for a boise state loss with ashton
[10:08] jenty uh taking on the unlv rebels on friday night cam war is not going to lose but i do think that
[10:14] Gentry, if the Boise State Broncos did lose, could open things up.
[10:17] So how I'm attacking it is I'm betting Ohio State quarterback Will Howard at 100-1 over
[10:22] at BetMGM like Nick just read.”
Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy on Dec 14, 2024; Will Howard was not among the four finalists (NCAA.com).
Montreal Canadiens ML (+210)
“[14:09] Yeah, I'm going to have two sides here.
[14:10] I'm going to play against two pretty big market moves.
[14:12] I'm going to go with the Canadians against your Rangers, Nick.
[14:15] I'm sorry.
[14:15] Plus 210 with Montreal.”
7-2 — The New York Rangers beat the Montreal Canadiens 7-2 on Oct 22, 2024, so the Canadiens moneyline lost (ESPN final).
Vegas Golden Knights ML (-120)
“[14:17] And then I'm also going to go with the Vegas Golden Knights at home against the Kings.
[14:21] They're getting bet against.
[14:21] I'm not sure why.
[14:22] I'm sure there's probably a solid reason, but I'm going to play against that reason.
[14:25] Vegas minus 120 against the LA Kings.”
1-6 — The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-1 on Oct 22, 2024, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
Connor McDavid to score a goal (+145)
“[14:28] And then my goal scorer.
[14:29] Let's go to the McJesus.
[14:30] The guy hasn't scored in a while.
[14:32] I know he's usually an assist man, but I think he's down a little bit.
[14:35] the points he's going to get back up so Connor McDavid against the hurricanes plus 145 for my
[14:39] goal scorer in the parlay”
3-2 — Connor McDavid scored twice (a first-period goal and a second-period power-play goal) for Edmonton in its 3-2 OT loss to Carolina on Oct 22, 2024 (ESPN box score). (2 goals)
Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points (-115) · BetMGM
“[10:36] I also like Edwards over on the points, over 26.5 over at BetMGM.
[10:40] It's minus 115.”
Anthony Edwards scored 27 points for Minnesota in the Timberwolves' 110-103 loss to the Lakers on 10/22/24, clearing the 26.5-point line (ESPN box score). (27 points)
LSU Tigers +3
“[1:26:38] For me, it's going to be LSU getting a field goal or more in college station against the Texas A&M Aggies.”
LSU 23, TA&M 38 — Texas A&M beat LSU 38-23 on Oct 26, 2024; LSU's -15 margin fails to cover +3 (ESPN box score).
Buffalo Bills -3
“[1:29:08] going to go to three and a half, just my opinion. Like I bet it. I took a little Buffalo three.”
BUF 31, SEA 10 — Buffalo beat Seattle 31-10 on Oct 27, 2024; Buffalo's 21-point margin covers -3 (ESPN box score).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -12
“[1:31:47] Like at 12, 12 and a half, I'd still bet it.”
NAVY 14, ND 51 — Notre Dame beat Navy 51-14 on Oct 26, 2024; Notre Dame's 37-point margin covers -12 (ESPN box score).
Michigan Wolverines -5
“[1:36:45] I will lay the five with Michigan.”
MSU 17, MICH 24 — Michigan beat Michigan State 24-17 on Oct 26, 2024; Michigan's 7-point margin covers -5 (ESPN box score).
Indianapolis Colts +6.5
“[1:50:26] But I like the Colts getting six and a half.”
HOU 23, IND 20 — Houston beat Indianapolis 23-20 on Oct 27, 2024; Indianapolis's -3 margin covers +6.5 (ESPN box score).
Arizona Cardinals (+130)
“[2:46:46] I have plus three and plus 130 on the money line with the Cardinals.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Arizona beat the Chargers 17-15 on Oct 21, 2024; the Cardinals moneyline (+130) cashes (ESPN box score).
Isaiah Likely first touchdown (+1300)
“[2:48:34] I like Isaiah likely 13 to one in the red zone.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — The first touchdown of Baltimore's 41-31 win over Tampa Bay (Oct 21, 2024) was a Mike Evans 25-yard reception in the 1st quarter; Isaiah Likely did not score at all in this game (ESPN play-by-play). (Isaiah Likely: 0 touchdowns)
Chris Godwin first touchdown (+900)
“[2:48:39] And also Chris Godwin,
[2:48:40] the way Tampa uses them inside,
[2:48:41] outside Godwin at plus 900 for Tampa for the chargers and Cardinals game.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — The first touchdown of Baltimore's 41-31 win over Tampa Bay (Oct 21, 2024) was a Mike Evans reception; Chris Godwin did not score a touchdown at all in this game (ESPN play-by-play). (Chris Godwin: 0 touchdowns)
Marvin Harrison Jr. first touchdown
“[2:48:46] I like Cardinals.
[2:48:47] I'm going to go with Marvin Harrison Jr.,”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Arizona's first touchdown against the Chargers (Oct 21, 2024) was a Kyler Murray-to-Greg Dortch pass; Marvin Harrison Jr. did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play/box score). (Marvin Harrison Jr.: 0 touchdowns)
Will Dissly first touchdown (+1200)
“[2:48:54] let's go.
[2:48:55] Will Disley 12 to one first TV score for the chargers.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Arizona's touchdowns against the Chargers (Oct 21, 2024) came from Greg Dortch and Kyler Murray; Will Dissly did not score a touchdown despite 8 catches for 81 yards (ESPN play-by-play/box score). (Will Dissly: 0 touchdowns)
Over 7.5
“[20:49] play against Jack Flaherty having a really good outing so give me the over over seven and a half”
NYM 12, LAD 6 — Mets beat Dodgers 12-6 in NLCS Game 5 (Oct 18, 2024); combined 18 runs clears the over 7.5 (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs +5
“[30:41] give me the plus five”
TEX 15, UGA 30 — Georgia beat Texas 30-15 on Oct 19, 2024; Georgia's 15-point margin covers +5 (ESPN box score).
Cleveland Browns (+205)
“[36:32] I think Cleveland's going to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.
[36:35] And you can get plus 205 right now in the market.
[36:38] Browns' money line against the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Bengals beat Browns 21-14 on Oct 20, 2024; Cleveland's moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Over 4 (-110)
“[39:49] I like the first five over in this game.
[39:51] The first five total right now is sitting at four.
[39:53] If you want to go over four, it only pays out minus 110.”
NYY 3-2 CLE (through 5 innings) — Yankees led Guardians 3-2 through 5 innings of ALCS Game 4 (Oct 18, 2024); combined 5 runs clears the first-five over 4 (ESPN box score inning line).
Sebastian Aho anytime goal (+155)
“[1:42:39] But I'm going to go with Sebastian Ajo for the Carolina Hurricanes against the Pittsburgh Paywings.
[1:42:43] Plus 155.”
PIT 1, CAR 4 — Carolina beat Pittsburgh 4-1 on Oct 18, 2024; Sebastian Aho recorded an assist but did not score a goal (ESPN box score). (Sebastian Aho: 0 goals)
Purdue Boilermakers +30
“[1:53:08] But to recap the Naritav, I like Purdue getting a massive number tonight.
[1:53:11] They're getting 30.”
PUR 0, ORE 35 — Oregon shut out Purdue 35-0 on Oct 18, 2024; Purdue's -35 margin fails to cover +30 (ESPN box score).
Auburn Tigers +4
“[1:53:18] Also, Mizzou going to be looking ahead.
[1:53:19] Give me the four with Auburn as well.”
MIZ 21, AUB 17 — Missouri beat Auburn 21-17 on Oct 19, 2024; Auburn's -4 margin exactly pushes against +4 (ESPN box score).
Mississippi State Bulldogs +18.5
“[1:53:21] I'll take Mississippi State in the sandwich spot.
[1:53:23] They're now getting 18 and a half.”
MSST 24, TA&M 34 — Texas A&M beat Mississippi State 34-24 on Oct 19, 2024; Mississippi State's -10 margin covers +18.5 (ESPN box score).
Oregon State Beavers +6.5
“[1:53:37] The fact that the market loves it, give me the Beavers plus 6.5.”
ORST 25, UNLV 33 — UNLV beat Oregon State 33-25 on Oct 19, 2024; Oregon State's -8 margin fails to cover +6.5 (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma Sooners +1
“[1:53:40] For the two that I like, outside of Naritav, OU, I'm rocking with Sam on that one.
[1:53:44] Oklahoma plus 1.”
OU 9, SC 35 — South Carolina beat Oklahoma 35-9 on Oct 19, 2024; Oklahoma's -26 margin fails to cover +1 (ESPN box score).
Detroit Lions
“[2:43:17] I like the Lions, and I also like the over in the game.”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Detroit beat Minnesota 31-29 on Oct 20, 2024; the Lions' moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Over 50.5
“[2:43:43] over 50 and a half and i think the lions find a way to win the game”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Detroit beat Minnesota 31-29 on Oct 20, 2024; combined 60 points clears the over 50.5 (ESPN box score).
Under 47
“[2:53:49] So under 47 for me.”
SF 18, KC 28 — Kansas City beat San Francisco 28-18 on Oct 20, 2024; combined 46 points clears the under 47 (ESPN box score).
Purdue Boilermakers +28
“[11:26] Boiler up on Friday night, Purdue plus 28.”
35-0 — Oregon shut out Purdue 35-0 on Oct 18, 2024, a 35-point margin exceeding the 28-point line; Purdue +28 fails (ESPN).
Louisville Cardinals +5
“[12:15] Louisville plus five.”
52-45 — Miami beat Louisville 52-45 on Oct 19, 2024, a 7-point margin exceeding the 5-point line; Louisville +5 fails (ESPN).
Auburn Tigers +4.5
“[12:48] Look ahead spot for Mizzou, Auburn, plus the four and a half Saturday afternoon.”
21-17 — Missouri beat Auburn 21-17 on Oct 19, 2024, a 4-point margin within the 4.5-point line; Auburn +4.5 covers (ESPN).
Mississippi State Bulldogs +16.5
“[13:37] I'm going with Mississippi State plus 16 and a half.”
34-24 — Texas A&M beat Mississippi State 34-24 on Oct 19, 2024, a 10-point margin within the 16.5-point line; Mississippi State +16.5 covers (ESPN).
Arkansas Razorbacks +2.5
“[14:18] like it's a pulled pork sandwich. Woo pig suey, Arkansas, plus two and a half. And then finally,”
34-10 — LSU beat Arkansas 34-10 on Oct 19, 2024, a 24-point margin exceeding the 2.5-point line; Arkansas +2.5 fails (ESPN).
Oregon State Beavers +7
“[14:52] They might look past those pesky Oregon State Beavers, look ahead spot, build the dam, let's go OSU, Oregon State plus seven, upset alert for our friends, the Rebels from UNLV.”
33-25 — UNLV beat Oregon State 33-25 on Oct 19, 2024, an 8-point margin exceeding the 7-point line; Oregon State +7 fails (ESPN).
Kansas City Chiefs
“[26:15] But like, if I'm getting plus something on Mahomes to win, I'll take that bet any day.”
28-18 — Chiefs beat the 49ers 28-18 on Oct 20, 2024; Kansas City wins outright on the moneyline (ESPN).
Over 49
“[28:12] I had to bet over 49.”
41-31 — Ravens beat Buccaneers 41-31 on Oct 21, 2024, a combined 72 points, well over the 49 total line (ESPN).
Indiana Pacers over 46.5 wins
“[39:15] I'm going to go over 46 and a half on the Pacers.”
The Pacers finished the 2024-25 NBA regular season 50-32, clearing the 46.5-win over (ESPN standings). (50-32 regular season record)
Philadelphia 76ers under 50.5 wins
“[44:04] Sixers under 50 and a half,
[44:05] I think is a play for me.”
The 76ers finished the 2024-25 NBA regular season 24-58, well under the 50.5-win line (ESPN standings). (24-58 regular season record)
Brayden Point anytime goal (+125)
“[21:41] Tampa Bay Brayden Point will be on point tonight.
[21:44] Another high pedigree player plus one 25.
[21:47] He's going to find the net tonight.
[21:48] Brayden Point anytime goal score.”
Lightning beat Golden Knights 4-3 on Oct 17, 2024; Brayden Point recorded 0 goals (3 shots on goal), so his anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 0 assists, 3 SOG)
New Orleans Saints +3 (-115) · BetMGM
“[34:52] Plus three, minus 115.
[34:54] That is the bet that I've made on New Orleans.”
33-10 — Broncos beat Saints 33-10 on Oct 17, 2024; the Saints lost by 23, well outside +3 (ESPN box score).
New Orleans Saints (+130)
“[34:56] I also put a little bit on the money line.
[34:57] I was able to find a plus 130 on the money line for New Orleans.”
33-10 — Broncos beat Saints 33-10 on Oct 17, 2024; the Saints moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Bo Nix first touchdown (+1000)
“[38:14] So Bo Nix, 10-1.”
Denver's touchdowns in the 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024 were scored by Javonte Williams (2 rushing TDs), Cody Barton (fumble-return TD), and Cedrick Wilson Jr. (receiving TD); Bo Nix did not score a touchdown (ESPN scoring summary).
Troy Franklin first touchdown (+1800)
“[38:21] Troy Franklin, 18-1, first TD score.”
Denver's touchdowns in the 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024 were scored by Javonte Williams (2 rushing TDs), Cody Barton (fumble-return TD), and Cedrick Wilson Jr. (receiving TD); Troy Franklin did not score (ESPN scoring summary).
Juwan Johnson first touchdown (+1500)
“[38:47] Juwan Johnson, 15-1.”
New Orleans' only touchdown against Denver on Oct 17, 2024 was Cedrick Wilson Jr.'s 12-yard catch from Jake Haener; Juwan Johnson did not score (ESPN scoring summary).
Foster Moreau first touchdown (+2800)
“[38:53] 28 to 1 foster more oh first td score so it's bo nicks troy franklin for the denver broncos”
New Orleans' only touchdown against Denver on Oct 17, 2024 was Cedrick Wilson Jr.'s 12-yard catch from Jake Haener; Foster Moreau did not score (ESPN scoring summary).
New York Yankees (-115) · BetMGM
“[20:36] Give me the Yankees in the game at minus 115.”
7-5 — Cleveland Guardians beat the New York Yankees 7-5 in 10 innings in ALCS Game 3 on Oct 17, 2024, so the Yankees moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
New York Mets
“[22:44] So give me the New York Mets in game four.”
10-2 — Los Angeles Dodgers beat the New York Mets 10-2 in NLCS Game 4 on Oct 17, 2024, so the Mets moneyline lost (ESPN recap).
Green Bay Packers -2.5
“[40:23] So I like laying the two and a half with Green Bay at home against the Houston Texans.”
24-22 — Green Bay Packers beat the Houston Texans 24-22 on Oct 20, 2024 on a Brandon McManus field goal as time expired, a 2-point margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
New York Mets (+100)
“[19:31] So I'm betting the New York Mets.
[19:33] I bet them.
[19:33] I bet them an even money this morning.”
LAD 8-0 NYM — Dodgers beat Mets 8-0 in NLCS Game 3 on 2024-10-16; the Mets moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
Pete Alonso home run (+375) · BetMGM
“[20:07] Pete Alonso plus 375 to hit a home run over at BetMGM.”
LAD 8-0 NYM — The Mets were shut out 8-0 in NLCS Game 3 on 2024-10-16 and hit no home runs (Ohtani, Hernandez, and Muncy homered for the Dodgers); Pete Alonso did not homer (ESPN box score). (Pete Alonso: 0 HR)
Minnesota Lynx +3.5
“[30:45] So give me the Minnesota Lynx plus three and a half”
NY 80-77 MIN — Liberty beat Lynx 80-77 in WNBA Finals Game 3 on 2024-10-16; Minnesota lost by 3, covering +3.5 (ESPN box score).
Miami Dolphins +4
“[1:39:33] First bet I clicked in for week seven, Miami plus the four.”
IND 16-10 MIA — Colts beat Dolphins 16-10 on 2024-10-20; Miami lost by 6, failing to cover +4 (ESPN final score).
Miami Dolphins
“[1:40:28] Give me the points, and I'll take a little bit of money line as well.”
IND 16-10 MIA — Colts beat Dolphins 16-10 on 2024-10-20; Miami lost outright, so the moneyline bet lost (ESPN final score).
Josh Allen to win NFL MVP (+650)
“[1:51:22] Josh Allen is a bet at plus 650. I bet yesterday Josh Allen, when you were talking,”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award at NFL Honors on 2025-02-06, narrowly edging Lamar Jackson 383-362 in the vote, per NFL.com.
Chris Jones to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1000) · BetMGM
“[43:31] player of the year this season. So Chris Jones, 10 to one over at MGM. That is the bet for NFL”
Broncos CB Pat Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors on 2025-02-06 with 330 points, not Chris Jones, per NFL.com.
Dan Quinn to win Coach of the Year (+340) · BetMGM
“[2:07:34] So Dan Quinn,
[2:07:35] the bet right now in coach of the year per Femi Abebefe at a plus three 40
[2:07:39] at BetMGM,”
Vikings HC Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award at NFL Honors on 2025-02-06 with 361 points; Dan Quinn was not among the top finalists, per NFL.com.
Cleveland Browns +6.5
“[1:35:59] I have bet Cleveland as well. Part of my money came in on the Cleveland Browns at six and a half.”
CIN 21-14 CLE — Bengals beat Browns 21-14 on 2024-10-20; Cleveland lost by 7, failing to cover +6.5 (ESPN final score).
David Pastrnak anytime goal (+120)
“[2:57:00] Pasta, David Pastrnak to go ahead and score plus 120.”
BOS 5-3 COL — David Pastrnak scored a second-period power-play goal for Boston in the Bruins' 5-3 win over the Avalanche on 2024-10-16, per ESPN box score. (David Pastrnak: 1 goal)
Arizona Cardinals +3
“[40:30] Two and a half point underdogs.
[40:32] Once again, another team that I like, like I bet plus three yesterday,”
ARI 17-15 LAC — Cardinals beat Chargers 17-15 on 2024-10-21; Arizona won outright, covering +3 (ESPN final score).
Los Angeles Rams to win NFC West (+1500)
“[43:22] was able to find a 15 to 1 but at bet mgm they're a 13 to 1 to win the division i think that's a
[43:27] very, very bettable price. I bet it last night. I bet a little bit more this morning at 15 to one”
The Los Angeles Rams clinched the 2024 NFC West title on 2024-12-29 via a strength-of-victory tiebreaker over Seattle, per NFL.com.
Josh Allen to win MVP (+650)
“[1:12:02] I bet a little bit of Josh Allen while you were giving your monologue to win the MVP.
[1:12:05] We'll have much more awards conversation coming up tomorrow.
[1:12:07] But I couldn't wait.
[1:12:09] Sometimes these things are fluid.
[1:12:10] You got to bet them out there.
[1:12:11] Bet them Jim at plus 650.”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award at NFL Honors on 2025-02-06, narrowly edging Lamar Jackson 383-362 in the vote, per NFL.com.
Over 48.5
“[1:59:35] and we saw the commanders have plenty of chances to try to at least get more points on the board and the Ravens should have scored more in that game as well for that game should have flown over shouldn't even come down that final field goal to get that thing over so I like over 48 and a half Tampa their games have been over machines Thursday night football against Atlanta this past Sunday against New Orleans where they scored 51 points this Bucs offense is really cooking and the Ravens I think that their offense can really find some success in this game as well I like the over 48 and a half.”
BAL 41-31 TB — Ravens beat Buccaneers 41-31 on 2024-10-21; combined 72 points clears the 48.5 total (ESPN final score).
Under 7
“[2:52:20] Under seven right now.”
NYY 6-3 CLE — Yankees beat Guardians 6-3 in ALCS Game 2 on 2024-10-15; combined 9 runs busts the under 7 (ESPN box score).
Jack Eichel anytime goal (+140)
“[2:55:20] So I'm going to go with Jack Eichel.
[2:55:21] He's plus 140.”
WSH 4-2 VGK — Jack Eichel scored for Vegas in the Capitals' 4-2 win over the Golden Knights on 2024-10-15, per ESPN. (Jack Eichel: 1 goal)
Columbus Blue Jackets (+120)
“[2:55:31] then also for a side,
[2:55:32] I do like Columbus tonight,
[2:55:33] plus 120 against the defending Stanley cup champion,
[2:55:36] Florida Panthers,”
FLA 4-3 CBJ — Panthers beat Blue Jackets 4-3 on 2024-10-15; Columbus lost outright, so the moneyline bet lost (ESPN final score).
New York Jets (+120)
“[20:02] so that doesn't really help anybody right now saying I have Jets plus three
[20:05] and plus 120 on the money line.”
BUF 23, NYJ 20 — Bills beat Jets 23-20; Jets moneyline busts (ESPN).
New York Mets (+120) · BetMGM
“[38:28] I'm going to go ahead and back Sean Minaya.
[38:30] It's plus 120 over at BetMGM.”
LAD 3, NYM 7 — Mets beat Dodgers 7-3 in NLCS Game 2 on Francisco Lindor's leadoff homer and Mark Vientos's grand slam; Mets moneyline covers (ESPN).
New York Mets to win NLCS
“[29:57] From a series price standpoint, I would bet Mets plus 250.
[30:00] I'm already invested, so I'm not going to add more.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the New York Mets 4 games to 2 in the 2024 NLCS, so the Mets series future lost (Wikipedia, citing MLB postseason results). (2024 NLCS: Dodgers defeated Mets 4-2)
Seattle Seahawks +3
“[7:04] is a bet that I have placed this morning.
[7:07] And I'm going to go with the Seattle Seahawks,
[7:08] getting a field goal.”
SEA 34, ATL 14 — This was a Week 7 pick; Seahawks beat Falcons 34-14 on Oct 20, 2024. Seahawks +3 covers by 20 (ESPN box score).
Seattle Seahawks (+130)
“[7:08] getting a field goal.
[7:09] Seattle against Atlanta, getting the three,
[7:11] and also a little bit on the money line as well at plus 130.”
SEA 34, ATL 14 — Seahawks beat Falcons 34-14 on Oct 20, 2024, winning outright; moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
Miami Dolphins +3.5
“[11:33] like the Miami Dolphins getting the four. This is down to three and a half. I still like it at
[11:38] three and a half.”
IND 16, MIA 10 — This was a Week 7 pick; Colts beat Dolphins 16-10 on Oct 20, 2024. Dolphins +3.5 lose by 6 (ESPN box score).
Arkansas Razorbacks +3
“[25:02] I would take Arkansas plus the three.”
LSU 34, ARK 10 — LSU beat Arkansas 34-10 on Oct 19, 2024. Arkansas +3 loses by 24 (ESPN box score).
Louisville Cardinals +4
“[28:53] I'm going to take in Louisville plus four and Louisville money line.”
MIA 52, LOU 45 — Miami beat Louisville 52-45 on Oct 19, 2024. Louisville +4 loses by 7 (ESPN box score).
Louisville Cardinals
“[28:53] I'm going to take in Louisville plus four and Louisville money line.”
MIA 52, LOU 45 — Miami beat Louisville 52-45 on Oct 19, 2024, so Louisville's moneyline loses outright (ESPN box score).
Oklahoma Sooners -2.5
“[29:53] So the Sooners, if you can find it two and a half, but even at three, I like Oklahoma against South Carolina.”
SC 35, OU 9 — South Carolina beat Oklahoma 35-9 on Oct 19, 2024. Oklahoma -2.5 loses outright by 26 (ESPN box score).
San Diego Padres (+125)
“[21:35] against the San Diego Padres. So for me, I think San Diego wins plus 125 over at BetMGM.”
LAD 2, SD 0 — Dodgers beat Padres 2-0 in NLDS Game 5 on Oct 11, 2024; Padres moneyline busts (ESPN).
Pittsburgh Panthers -3
“[1:51:28] winners here on you better you bet uh like nick said i like pit laying the three against cal”
PITT 17, CAL 15 — Pittsburgh beat Cal 17-15, winning by only 2; Pittsburgh -3 busts the spread (ESPN).
UCLA Bruins +4
“[1:52:00] I like Kentucky and Big Blue Nation laying the points against Vandy. UCLA, Sammy talked about
[1:52:06] this when we had him on earlier in the last hour. I like the Bruins plus four against Minnesota.”
MINN 21, UCLA 17 — Minnesota beat UCLA 21-17; UCLA lost by exactly 4, pushing against the +4 spread (ESPN).
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +21
“[1:52:56] many points I like Stanford and then I'm going to the late night action on a Saturday night Hawaii
[1:53:00] plus 21”
BOISE 28, HAW 7 — Boise State beat Hawai'i 28-7; Hawai'i lost by exactly 21, pushing against the +21 spread (ESPN).
USC Trojans +3.5
“[1:53:11] now a few bets i did not have in the fleece nari tab usc plus three and a half”
PSU 33, USC 30 — Penn State beat USC 33-30 in overtime; USC lost by only 3, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
Ohio State Buckeyes -3
“[1:53:27] three and a half i'll also lay the three with ohio state”
ORE 32, OSU 31 — Oregon beat Ohio State 32-31; Ohio State -3 lost outright, busting the spread (ESPN).
Detroit Tigers (-120)
“[2:09:26] love to shut that crowd up he's gonna go seven innings i like scoobal i like the tigers i bet it
[2:09:30] minus 120 was my bet”
CLE 7, DET 3 — Guardians beat Tigers 7-3 in ALDS Game 5 on Lane Thomas's grand slam; Tigers moneyline busts (ESPN).
Jacksonville Jaguars
“[2:22:28] The Jaguars have the coaching advantage in this game with Doug Peterson.
[2:22:32] Give me the Jaguars to win on Sunday”
CHI 35, JAX 16 — Bears beat Jaguars 35-16; Jaguars moneyline busts (ESPN).
Houston Texans -6.5 (-115)
“[2:28:50] I like Stroud and the Texans in this game anything under a touchdown. I'm laying it with the Houston Texans
[2:28:55] I have laid it. I still recommend laying it at six and a half minus 115. Give me Houston”
HOU 41, NE 21 — Texans beat Patriots 41-21, winning by 20; Houston -6.5 covers the spread (ESPN).
Over 47.5
“[20:41] and I like the over.
[20:42] I bet over 47 and a half.”
SF 36, SEA 24 — 49ers beat Seahawks 36-24 (combined 60); over 47.5 covers (ESPN).
Oklahoma Sooners +14.5
“[30:47] I like OU, taking the 14 and a half.
[30:50] I bet that this morning.”
TEX 34, OU 3 — Texas beat Oklahoma 34-3; Sooners lost by 31, busting the +14.5 spread (ESPN).
Oklahoma Sooners (+450)
“[31:16] So I bet some OU plus 14 and a half.
[31:18] I also bet a little bit of Moneyline at plus 450”
TEX 34, OU 3 — Oklahoma lost to Texas 34-3; Sooners moneyline busts (ESPN).
New Orleans Saints +3.5
“[41:27] so i like the points with new orleans i'm going to play into the uh the variance
[41:32] a little bit as well like i took plus three and a half”
TB 51, NO 27 — Buccaneers beat Saints 51-27; Saints lost by 24, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
New Orleans Saints (+155)
“[41:32] a little bit as well like i took plus three and a half i also played a little bit of money line
[41:36] for the saints to win the game at plus 155”
TB 51, NO 27 — Saints lost to Buccaneers 51-27; Saints moneyline busts (ESPN).
Los Angeles Chargers -2.5
“[43:05] I like the Chargers to win the game.
[43:07] I laid two and a half against Denver.”
LAC 23, DEN 16 — Chargers beat Broncos 23-16, winning by 7 to cover the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
Pittsburgh Panthers -3.5
“[12:23] This is a double dip spot.
[12:24] We emptied the tank the previous week spot.
[12:26] And with the Golden Bears traveling 2,500 miles to face Pitt, also a travel spot, PJ laid it out in the last segment, laid the three in the hook with the Panthers.”
PITT 17, CAL 15 — Pittsburgh beat Cal 17-15 on Oct 12, 2024; Pitt's 2-point margin fell short of -3.5 (ESPN).
UCLA Bruins +5
“[13:22] Let's back UCLA plus the five.”
MINN 21, UCLA 17 — Minnesota beat UCLA 21-17 on Oct 12, 2024; UCLA's 4-point loss covered +5 (ESPN).
Stanford Cardinal +23.5
“[14:07] I like the fade, the Marcus Freeman has a big favorite spot.
[14:11] Go ahead and give me the Stanford plus 23.5.”
ND 49, STAN 7 — Notre Dame routed Stanford 49-7 on Oct 12, 2024; Stanford's 42-point loss busted +23.5 (ESPN).
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +20.5
“[14:38] Hawaii plus 20 and a half.”
BOIS 28, HAW 7 — Boise State beat Hawaii 28-7 on Oct 12, 2024; Hawaii's 21-point loss busted +20.5 (ESPN).
Over 6.5
“[38:48] I not going to bet the side because baseball sides no not anymore But I actually going to play play a contrarian over i gonna go over six and a half”
CLE 5, DET 4 — Guardians beat Tigers 5-4 in ALDS Game 4 on Oct 10, 2024; combined 9 runs cleared the Over 6.5 total (ESPN).
Riley Greene home run (+725) · BetMGM
“[38:59] you know what i'm gonna bet this one as well i'm gonna go back to my guy Riley Greene like
[39:03] he he has been close he's been close a couple times plus 725 to hit a homer over at bet mgm”
Riley Greene did not homer in ALDS Game 4 (Guardians 5, Tigers 4); Detroit's lone home run was hit by Zach McKinstry (ESPN). (Riley Greene: 0 HR)
Kansas City Royals
“[19:26] Give me the Royals to win the game today.”
NYY 3, KC 1 — Yankees beat Royals 3-1 in ALDS Game 4 on Oct 10, 2024, so the Royals moneyline busts (ESPN).
Jack Hughes anytime goal (+130) · BetMGM
“[24:24] I'm going to go with Jack Hughes as my goal scoring submission to our goal scoring parlay.
[24:30] Jack Hughes pays out plus 135, or sorry, plus 130 over at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas.”
Toronto beat New Jersey 4-2 on Oct 10, 2024; the Devils' goals were scored by Jesper Bratt and Timo Meier, not Jack Hughes (ESPN). (Jack Hughes: 0 goals)
Jauan Jennings first touchdown (+1700)
“[41:49] It's now Jauan Jennings, 17 to one.
[41:51] Jauan Jennings, first TD score.”
Deebo Samuel scored the game's first touchdown, a 76-yard catch from Brock Purdy, in the 49ers' 36-24 win over Seattle on Oct 10, 2024; Jauan Jennings did not score (ESPN). (First touchdown: Deebo Samuel; Jauan Jennings: 0 TD)
Tyler Lockett first touchdown (+2000)
“[42:04] That is Tyler Lockett, 20-1, first TD score for the Seattle Seahawks.”
Deebo Samuel scored the game's first touchdown in the 49ers' 36-24 win over Seattle on Oct 10, 2024; Tyler Lockett scored a later touchdown but not the first (ESPN). (First touchdown: Deebo Samuel; Tyler Lockett: 1 later TD)
Daniel Jones to win Comeback Player of the Year (+2500)
“[14:48] but you know at 25 to 1 with so much season left to go you can make a lot worse bets so this week
[14:54] I bet both of those guys 3 to 1 on Cousins and 25 to 1 on Daniel Jones”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow won the 2024 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year at NFL Honors; Daniel Jones was not a finalist (NFL.com). (2024 AP Comeback Player of the Year: Joe Burrow)
San Diego Padres (-130)
“[42:27] dodgers and padres femi first dylan cease in the pods minus 130 dodgers bullpen game plus 110 total
[42:32] i'll go first i laid the padres duh”
LAD 8, SD 0 — Padres lost to Dodgers 0-8 in NLDS Game 4 on Oct 9, 2024; San Diego moneyline busts (ESPN).
Vegas Golden Knights (-102)
“[43:27] One bet for me on the ice. We're going to the fortress. Not too far from me. Let's go with the
[43:31] Vegas Golden Knights on the money line.
[43:33] Minus 102 is the best price out there against Colorado.”
VGK 8, COL 4 — Golden Knights beat Avalanche 8-4 on Oct 9, 2024; Vegas moneyline covers (ESPN).
Philadelphia Phillies (+105)
“[19:12] But right now for me, I'm going to go down with the ship.
[19:15] Let's burn the boats.
[19:16] Let's go out there.
[19:18] Philadelphia Phillies plus money.
[19:20] I know the market right now is moving away from Philadelphia, which I actually prefer.
[19:24] I don't want people to be on the Philadelphia.
[19:25] I want it to just be me, Tyler, and the city of brotherly love on the Philadelphia Phillies.
[19:29] you can find a plus 105 out there”
NYM 4-1 — New York Mets beat Philadelphia Phillies 4-1 in NLDS Game 4, so the Phillies moneyline at +105 loses (ESPN box score).
Detroit Tigers
“[2:33] seven and a half for the total for me my bet i'm going with the detroit tigers money line”
DET 3-0 — Detroit Tigers beat Cleveland Guardians 3-0 in ALDS Game 3, so the Tigers moneyline pick wins (ESPN box score).
DK Metcalf to win Offensive Player of the Year (+10000)
“[42:49] But right now, the guy that I would bet in this award is actually Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf.
[42:55] DK Metcalf right now is fourth in the league in receiving yards.
[42:59] You can find a 100 to one out there on DK Metcalf.
[43:03] How do I know that?
[43:04] I bet it last night before I went to bed.
[43:06] I have loaded up on DK Metcalf.”
Saquon Barkley (Eagles), not DK Metcalf, won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors, so the Metcalf futures bet loses (NFL.com).
Manny Machado home run (+400)
“[30:13] And also, like, a couple players will go yard.
[30:15] Manny Machado leaving the yard.
[30:17] Jackson Merrill leaving the yard.
[30:18] Machado's 4-1.”
Padres beat Dodgers 6-5 in NLDS Game 3 on Oct 8, 2024; Manny Machado did not hit a home run (HRs were by Betts, Hernandez, and Tatis Jr.) per ESPN box score.
Jackson Merrill home run (+490)
“[30:15] Manny Machado leaving the yard.
[30:17] Jackson Merrill leaving the yard.
[30:18] Machado's 4-1.
[30:19] I was able to find Merrill at plus 490.”
Padres beat Dodgers 6-5 in NLDS Game 3 on Oct 8, 2024; Jackson Merrill did not hit a home run (HRs were by Betts, Hernandez, and Tatis Jr.) per ESPN box score.
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+145) · BetMGM
“[37:07] and game four win this series in four i'm going to go ahead and lay the run line with san diego
[37:12] tonight with Michael King. He's been a rock star
[37:14] on the mound. Bueller, atrocious.
[37:16] So, Padres laying
[37:18] one and a half, plus 145
[37:20] over at BetMGM.”
6-5 — San Diego beat Los Angeles 6-5 in NLDS Game 3, a 1-run margin that fails to cover the Padres -1.5 (ESPN box score).
Boston Bruins (+143)
“[40:20] I like Boston tonight, getting that plus 143.”
6-4 — Florida beat Boston 6-4 to open their Cup defense, so the Bruins moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Over 6 (-120)
“[41:00] over six at minus 120. It's honestly a hunch. I'm not going to bet it big.”
5-2 — Utah beat Chicago 5-2, a combined 7 goals, clearing the over 6 total (ESPN box score).
New York Jets
“[21:30] if they win the market that I like,
[21:31] of course, taking the points with them
[21:33] and a little bit of money line on Monday,”
23-20 — The Jets-Bills matchup this pick refers to (Monday night) was played Oct 14, 2024, and Buffalo won 23-20 at New York, so the Jets moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
New York Jets to win AFC East (+300)
“[21:33] and a little bit of money line on Monday,
[21:34] but also to win the division as well at plus 300”
Buffalo clinched the 2024 AFC East on Dec 1, 2024, beating San Francisco 35-10, eliminating the Jets from the division-winner market (NFL.com). (2024 AFC East champion: Buffalo Bills)
Philadelphia Phillies (-109)
“[40:03] I bet the Phillies.
[40:04] I laid minus 109.”
7-2 — New York beat Philadelphia 7-2 in NLDS Game 3, so the Phillies moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
Detroit Lions -3
“[25:02] I like Detroit in the game.
[25:03] I've laid three.”
47-9 — Lions beat Cowboys 47-9 on Oct 13, 2024; Detroit -3 covers by a 38-point margin (ESPN).
New York Jets +3
“[23:58] But I do think that this Rogers ankle injury now, the market has since moved.
[24:02] But I do believe that it gave us an opportunity to actually bet the New York Jets, as crazy as that sounds.
[24:08] Like, I don't mean to seem like I'm talking out of both sides of my mouth here.
[24:10] Like, the Jets, very, very bad yesterday.
[24:12] Also, plus three, I think a good bet to make with the Jets taking on the Buffalo Bills.
[24:17] Because we've seen now, over the last couple of weeks, Buffalo's offense, I don't want to say has gotten exposed, because I hate that word.
[24:24] But, like, it kind of has.
[24:26] Like, they can't fool people anymore.
[24:28] Like, the scheme and all that stuff, teams have caught up to what they're trying to do.
[24:31] And now with the absence of like a number one alpha wide receiver, it's hard for them to get like an explosive and efficient passing game.
[24:38] So I think this Jets defense who played really well against Minnesota.
[24:42] Like I know like the Jefferson pass interference penalties and Jefferson still had like 90 yards.
[24:46] But for the most part, they bottled him up.
[24:48] And like their secondary is actually really, really good.
[24:50] I think that this is going to be a close lower scoring game.
[24:53] Like the unders getting bet.
[24:54] It was 44 now 41 and a half.
[24:56] But also the Jets got bet.
[24:57] I bet some plus three earlier today.
[24:59] It's now two and a half.
[25:00] That obviously helps nobody.
[25:01] But this could be an interesting teaser leg if you're looking to tease in week six.
[25:05] Because getting the Jets up to eight and a half, I don't see the Bills running them off the field in this game.
[25:10] Not at home.
[25:10] Not in one of those backs against the wall kind of spots.
[25:13] So I like the Jets in the game despite Rodgers coming into this thing with a banged up ankle.
[25:17] Salah says he's good.
[25:18] I'm not sure how much of his word is worth anything since they had the whole cadence thing last week.
[25:22] But I'm assuming Rodgers will be healthy enough to play in this game.
[25:25] So I took the New York Jets.”
Bills 23, Jets 20 — Bills beat Jets 23-20 (ESPN recap), an exact 3-point margin, so Jets +3 pushed.
Kansas City Royals (+136)
“[27:37] who are laying minus 225 now on the royals and yankees uh series i will give out my bet for this
[27:42] one because we're not going to talk about that till a little bit later on during the show with
[27:45] nick um i think it's a great pitching setup for the kansas city royals with cole reagan's on the
[27:50] mound against carlos rodon like i just love love love this pitching matchup for kansas city i think
[27:55] they got screwed Saturday night.
[27:56] Like there was an argument to be made
[27:58] that the Royals should have won game one.
[28:00] I think they'll be definitely a little bit on edge
[28:02] after that game.
[28:03] They're going to be focused.
[28:04] The bats actually woke up in Yankee Stadium.
[28:07] Now, maybe that was Garrett Cole just choking on the mound,
[28:09] but like the bats actually woke up for Kansas City.
[28:11] If they get a similar performance like that tonight,
[28:14] I think the Royals win this one.
[28:15] I think they could actually win this one going away.
[28:18] So I bet the Royals' money line plus 136.
[28:20] I think they even up the series.”
Royals 4, Yankees 2 — Royals beat Yankees 4-2 in ALDS Game 2 (ESPN box score), so the Royals moneyline won.
Detroit Tigers (-125)
“[41:58] Before we get to the gamblers, Jake Hassan and Tyler Morales, I'm going to give out my official bet for Tigers-Guardians that is about to get underway in about 15 minutes.
[42:05] I'm on the Detroit Tigers, minus $125 on the money line.
[42:08] Pretty simple for me.
[42:09] It's Tarek Skubal on the mound.
[42:11] He's been an awesome pitcher so far this season.
[42:13] The eventual AL Cy Young.
[42:14] I'm going to make the Cleveland Guardians have to beat him to beat me.
[42:18] So give me Detroit laying the minus 125 price there on the money line.”
Tigers 3, Guardians 0 — Tigers beat Guardians 3-0 in ALDS Game 2 (ESPN box score), so the Tigers moneyline won.
Salvador Perez to hit a home run (+380)
“[2:35:38] if there any baseball gods the Royals will get their lick back because I do think they kind of got screwed Saturday with the Jazz Chisholm play at second base so I think the Kansas City evens up the series tonight We fading Rodon I also like Salvi Perez to go yard because they brought it up during the broadcast
[2:35:54] He's not looking to walk.
[2:35:55] He's aggressive.
[2:35:56] He's looking to swing the bat.
[2:35:57] Salvi Perez plus 380 going yard tonight.
[2:36:00] So the Royals to win.
[2:36:01] Also Salvador Perez to hit a homer.”
Salvador Perez hit a solo home run off Carlos Rodon in the 4th inning of Royals' 4-2 win over Yankees in ALDS Game 2 (ESPN box score), so the anytime-HR bet won. (Salvador Perez 1 home run (4th inning off Carlos Rodon))
Rashid Shaheed to score first touchdown
“[2:54:18] These are first TD score bets from the Viceroy.
[2:54:21] Not any first TD score bets to go ahead and sweat them out.
[2:54:24] Once again, pizza money.
[2:54:25] Don't go too crazy with this stuff.
[2:54:27] You should be, because we're going to bet a couple of guys for both teams here.
[2:54:30] But for New Orleans on the Saints side, just in case Steve Spagnuolo likes to get a little bit crazy like he always does, sending that blitz.
[2:54:37] And maybe Derek Carr wants to go over the top.
[2:54:39] We're going to put a little bit of pizza money on Rashid Shahid.
[2:54:42] That's at just under 14 to 1.
[2:54:43] I was able to find that here in town locally.
[2:54:45] under 14 to 1, Rashid Shahid,
[2:54:48] first tee score. Then also the one that I really”
The game's first touchdown was scored by Kareem Hunt on a rushing play in the first half (ESPN recap), not Rashid Shaheed.
Juwan Johnson to score first touchdown (+2800)
“[2:54:48] first tee score. Then also the one that I really
[2:54:50] like, this one pays out a pretty big price.
[2:54:51] There's some juicy numbers for tonight's action
[2:54:54] because I'm not really in love with the guys that are near
[2:54:55] the top of the market. Juwan Johnson,
[2:54:58] 28 to 1, the Saints
[2:55:00] tight end to be the first touchdown scorer.
[2:55:01] He and Derek Carr have a great rapport.
[2:55:04] If it's in the red zone, I don't really see
[2:55:05] the Saints with their running attack.
[2:55:07] Kamara's a really good running back, but if it's not Kamara,
[2:55:10] they try to go to the air, maybe a little bit of play-action
[2:55:11] fake. Juwan Johnson,
[2:55:13] not Juwan Jennings, Juwan Johnson at 28-1 to be the first to score.”
The game's first touchdown was scored by Kareem Hunt on a rushing play in the first half (ESPN recap), not Juwan Johnson.
Samaje Perine to score first touchdown (+2100)
“[2:55:17] Then on the Kansas City side, I'm going to go with a couple of backups here,
[2:55:21] RB2 and a tight end to Samaj P. Ryan.
[2:55:25] I talked about it in the last segment.
[2:55:26] Andy Reid, one of the great screen designers in the National Football League.
[2:55:30] Who better than to catch the football out of the backfield screen pass
[2:55:33] than Samaj P. Ryan, 21-1 on Samaj P. Ryan.”
The game's first touchdown was scored by Kareem Hunt on a rushing play in the first half (ESPN recap), not Samaje Perine.
Noah Gray to score first touchdown (+2000)
“[2:55:37] And then Noah Gray. I can't quit him.
[2:55:39] I bet him first TV score in – I'm sorry.
[2:55:42] I bet him any time TD score in the opening night game because of Baltimore Ravens.
[2:55:44] He almost got there, got tackled at the two.
[2:55:46] But let's go first TD score, Noah Gray, 20-1 in tonight's game for the Kansas City Chiefs.
[2:55:51] So, Juwan Johnson, Rashid Shahid for New Orleans.
[2:55:53] Noah Gray, Samaj P. Ryan for Kansas City.”
The game's first touchdown was scored by Kareem Hunt on a rushing play in the first half (ESPN recap), not Noah Gray.
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 games (+140)
“[36:26] go Phillies laying one and a half games pays out plus 140. So Phillies to win in four or Phillies”
Mets beat Phillies 3-1 in the 2024 NLDS, so Philadelphia lost the series outright and failed to cover -1.5 games (ESPN). (NLDS: Mets 3, Phillies 1)
San Diego Padres win series 3-1 (+420)
“[38:14] games i think the games could be very close for sure but i like the padres to win it in four and
[38:20] how i've decided to attack this is i bet the exact series score padres three to one uh that pays out
[38:27] plus 420”
Dodgers beat Padres 3-2 in the 2024 NLDS, so San Diego did not win the series 3-1 as bet (ESPN). (NLDS: Dodgers 3, Padres 2)
Kansas City Royals to win series (+190)
“[41:12] Royals to win the series plus 190. We gave this out earlier in the week, but I love this bet plus”
Yankees beat Royals 3-1 in the 2024 ALDS, so Kansas City lost the series (ESPN). (ALDS: Yankees 3, Royals 1)
Florida State Seminoles +14.5
“[22:11] Also, I'll back Nick there with Florida State Seminoles
[22:14] Probably should upgrade Florida State now that DJ's not playing,
[22:16] to be quite honest, how he's played so far this season.
[22:18] Florida State plus 14 and a half against Clemson.”
CLEM 29, FSU 13 — Clemson beat Florida State 29-13 (margin -16), so Florida State failed to cover +14.5 (ESPN box score, gameId 401635569).
Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5
“[22:36] I'll also take the 8.5 with Minnesota against USC.
[22:39] Trojans looking ahead to their monster matchup with Penn State.
[22:42] Coming up a little bit later next Saturday.”
MINN 24, USC 17 — Minnesota beat USC 24-17 outright, covering the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401628507).
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 games (+140)
“[38:21] Let's get over to the Mets and the Phillies.
[38:23] I like Philadelphia in this series.
[38:25] I know the Mets right now, they got the vibes.
[38:27] Monday was electric.
[38:28] Yesterday, last night was outstanding
[38:30] with Alonzo hitting the home run in the ninth inning.
[38:33] But the Phillies are the best team in baseball.
[38:34] They have been all year.
[38:35] They have the best pitching staff.
[38:36] They have a really good lineup, a really good bullpen.
[38:38] It's their time.
[38:39] They have the scar tissue of past Octobers
[38:42] to finally break through and get over the hump.
[38:44] I like the Phillies to win this series,
[38:46] but I'm not betting the series price.
[38:48] I like the Phillies with the series spread laying one and a half games,
[38:51] plus 140.”
This series-spread bet required Philadelphia to win the 2024 NLDS by more than 1.5 games (i.e. 3-0 or 3-1), but the Mets won the series 3-1 over the Phillies, so Philadelphia lost the series outright and the spread bet loses (ESPN recap, gameId 401701021).
San Diego Padres -1.5 games (+250)
“[39:37] And then finally, the Padres and the Dodgers.
[39:40] I actually think that the Dodgers could win game one.
[39:42] It feels like there's just so much momentum towards San Diego.
[39:44] So I'm going to pass the game.
[39:46] But the way I played this, Padres one and a half series spread plus 250.
[39:50] Padres also to win 3-1 plus 420.
[39:54] So I think they're going to get it done in four.
[39:55] But just in case they sweep, I also want to win money on that one.
[39:58] But I think it's Padres in four.
[40:00] So I went plus 250 on the series spread laying the one and a half games
[40:03] and also plus 420 for Padres to win 3-1.”
This series-spread bet required San Diego to win the 2024 NLDS by more than 1.5 games (i.e. 3-0 or 3-1), but the Dodgers won the series 3-2 over the Padres (clinching Game 5, 2-0, on Oct 11), so San Diego lost the series outright and the spread bet loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401701030).
Cincinnati Bengals (+115)
“[13:50] So give me Cincinnati. That's plus 115 on the money line over at BetMGM. Shop that around.”
BAL 41, CIN 38 — The Ravens beat the Bengals 41-38 in overtime, so the Cincinnati moneyline loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401671626).
Green Bay Packers -3
“[40:46] If I only have to lay a field goal,
[40:49] I'm going to lay that field goal with the Green Bay Packers in this game.
[40:52] As much as it pays me to say it,
[40:54] as somebody who absolutely loves the Ramily,
[40:57] I just don't think that we can do it this week
[40:59] against the Green Bay Packers.”
24-19 — Packers beat Rams 24-19; the 5-point margin covers the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Royals to win series (+190)
“[1:09:44] staff outside of the phillies royals are the best pitching staff in the postseason i already bet this
[1:09:49] i bet plus 190 on the royals to win the series but i do like your angle i was actually looking
[1:09:53] up to see if I can find that bet real quick.”
New York beat Kansas City 3 games to 1 in the 2024 ALDS, clinching with a 3-1 win in Game 4 on Oct 10, so the Royals did not win the series (ESPN box score).
Michigan State Spartans +23.5
“[1:40:55] Give me Michigan State, Jonathan Smith, the former Beaver, to keep things close against the Oregon Ducks.
[1:41:01] Michigan State plus 23 and a half.
[1:41:03] It could be 24, but it's not because the books know Sparty is definitely going to keep this thing competitive.”
31-10 — Oregon beat Michigan State 31-10; the Spartans' 21-point loss covers the +23.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Iowa Hawkeyes +19.5
“[1:41:37] The boys in Columbus are not concerned about the boys from Iowa City.
[1:41:41] Give me the Hawkeyes to go in there and ugly up the game,
[1:41:46] muck it up, plus 19 and a half.
[1:41:48] Iowa to stay close in Columbus.”
35-7 — Ohio State beat Iowa 35-7; the Hawkeyes' 28-point loss fails to cover the +19.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Stanford Cardinal +8.5
“[1:42:40] Vatek racking up the frequent flyer miles,
[1:42:43] heading 2,700 miles to the farm for a conference game against the Cardinal.
[1:42:49] Let down and travel.
[1:42:50] Stanford's live.
[1:42:51] Stanford plus eight and a half.”
31-7 — Virginia Tech beat Stanford 31-7; the Cardinal's 24-point loss fails to cover the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Washington Huskies -2.5
“[1:42:58] Michigan and Washington.
[1:42:59] On paper, Michigan should dominate a bad Washington team
[1:43:03] in Jed Fish's first season in Seattle.
[1:43:05] But let me tell you something.
[1:43:06] The game's not played on paper.
[1:43:08] The betting market has the Huskies favored at home against the 10th ranked Wolverines.
[1:43:13] The books here in Vegas, where I live, are begging you to take the points with the quote-unquote better team.
[1:43:21] But Admiral Ackbar let us know many, many years ago.
[1:43:24] It's a trap.
[1:43:25] Washington laying two and a half against the Wolverines.”
27-17 — Washington beat Michigan 27-17, a 10-point win that covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
California Golden Bears +10.5
“[1:43:28] And then finally, out in all Berkeley, the Miami Hurricanes, the talk of the ACC, Cam Ward, a Heisman contender,
[1:43:35] and the team just won in dramatic fashion last Friday night.
[1:43:38] But when you look under the hood, a.k.a. the schedule,
[1:43:40] you'll notice something really immediately.
[1:43:42] The Miami Hurricanes have yet to leave the state of Florida.
[1:43:46] They played all of their games in Florida.
[1:43:48] Well, this weekend, for the first time, they'll leave the Sunshine State,
[1:43:51] head 3,000 miles to California, the Golden State,
[1:43:55] where they'll find themselves in a travel spot against the Golden Bears.
[1:44:00] Cal plus 10.5.
[1:44:01] Go get them, Justin Wilcox.”
39-38 — Miami beat Cal 39-38; Cal's 1-point loss covers the +10.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Detroit Tigers to win series
“[2:20:06] I'm with you on the Tigers.
[2:20:07] I have not bet this one yet.
[2:20:08] I want to see where this goes because yesterday when the series prize first came out, it was minus 115, minus 105.
[2:20:14] And now you're getting plus money on the Detroit Tigers.
[2:20:16] So are people going to just keep betting Cleveland?
[2:20:18] And Brett Boone, who we had on the last segment, he brought up really good points about the bullpen for Cleveland.
[2:20:23] But that's if they can get to class A.
[2:20:26] Like, if they're losing, guess who's not coming into the game?
[2:20:29] Emmanuel Klaasé.
[2:20:29] Like, can they get there and actually have him close out those games?
[2:20:33] I'm not so sure what the lineup that they do have.
[2:20:36] Scooble, I trust him 100%.
[2:20:37] That guy is lights out every time he steps on the mound.
[2:20:40] The Tigers win.
[2:20:41] Give me Detroit at a plus price.”
Cleveland beat Detroit 3 games to 2 in the 2024 ALDS, clinching with a 7-3 win in Game 5 on Oct 12, so the Tigers did not win the series (ESPN box score).
San Diego Padres to win series (+120)
“[2:21:32] And I've been saying it like all week long.
[2:21:34] Like they have the juice.
[2:21:35] Like they just have the juice.
[2:21:36] Like things work out for them They have a great lineup a great staff really strong bullpen They have a complete team all the makings to make a deep run and win a World Series So I like the Padres I
[2:21:47] like them as much to bet the plus 120 for them to win the series. But I also like the Padres to win
[2:21:52] 3-1. I think they split those first two games up north in LA and they come back home for games three
[2:21:57] and game four and they slam the door shut. LA is not going to win a game in San Diego. Padres in
[2:22:03] four pays out plus 420 petco park is a madhouse and they're going to really see their team go ahead”
Los Angeles beat San Diego 3 games to 2 in the 2024 NLDS, clinching with a 2-0 win in Game 5 on Oct 11, so the Padres did not win the series (ESPN box score).
San Diego Padres to win series 3-1 (+420)
“[2:21:47] like them as much to bet the plus 120 for them to win the series. But I also like the Padres to win
[2:21:52] 3-1. I think they split those first two games up north in LA and they come back home for games three
[2:21:57] and game four and they slam the door shut. LA is not going to win a game in San Diego. Padres in
[2:22:03] four pays out plus 420 petco park is a madhouse and they're going to really see their team go ahead
[2:22:09] and advance to the nlcs all right you better you bet here with costos and femi uh we'll bring jake”
Los Angeles beat San Diego 3 games to 2 in the 2024 NLDS (clinched with a 2-0 win in Game 5 on Oct 11), so the Padres never won the series 3-1 or at all (ESPN box score).
Over 4
“[2:28:21] Yeah, I think I'm going to be a Apo Taco on a couple guys here,
[2:28:23] but I'm going a first five over four.
[2:28:24] I'm not a fan of either Tobias Myers or Jose Quintana.
[2:28:28] I think they're going to get the quick hook.
[2:28:29] We'll see what the bullpen situation is like here,
[2:28:31] but I'm going to go over four in the first five.
[2:28:33] And I also like Lindor to Homer, plus 400.”
Both starters worked scoreless through the first 5 innings of NL Wild Card Game 3 (Mets won 4-2 on a 9th-inning Pete Alonso homer, Brewers' runs came in the 7th), so the first-five total was 0, under 4 (ESPN box score). (F5 total: 0 runs)
Francisco Lindor to hit a home run (+400)
“[2:28:31] but I'm going to go over four in the first five.
[2:28:33] And I also like Lindor to Homer, plus 400.
[2:28:35] Francisco Lindor hasn't really done much.
[2:28:37] He does meet the moment.
[2:28:38] Let's leave the yard tonight at Miller Park.
[2:28:40] We talked about spots with college football.”
Francisco Lindor did not homer in NL Wild Card Game 3; the game's home runs were Bauers and Frelick (Brewers, 7th inning) and Pete Alonso's game-deciding 9th-inning shot (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
Bucky Irving first touchdown scorer (+850)
“[2:55:01] because depends on who gets the first touchdown or whatever first the first uh possession these
[2:55:06] things to get crazy, but of course, take advantage of the second chance promotion for
[2:55:09] BetMGM.
[2:55:10] The first one for Tampa Bay, I'm going to go with Bucky Irving.
[2:55:13] I found a plus 850 Bucky Irving to be the first TD score in the red zone.
[2:55:18] They're leaning on Bucky Irving.
[2:55:20] And I think that the secondary for Atlanta is going to deter them from finding like Mike
[2:55:23] Evans or Chris Godwin in the red zone.
[2:55:25] It's going to have to be running the ball in.
[2:55:27] So I like Bucky Irving at the price.”
Bucky Irving did not score a touchdown in Tampa Bay at Atlanta; the game's first touchdown was Drake London's 18-yard reception from Kirk Cousins (ESPN scoring summary).
Baker Mayfield first touchdown scorer (+4000)
“[2:55:28] And I also like a really big long shot on this one.
[2:55:31] You guys talked about it a little bit earlier.
[2:55:33] Baker Mayfield, 40 to 1.
[2:55:35] First TD score.
[2:55:36] Baker Mayfield, whether it's him scrambling, calling his own number, tush push, give me Baker Mayfield at 40 to one.
[2:55:43] Then for the Atlanta Falcons side, I think that the Falcons will actually get this done to either through the air or on the ground through the air.”
Baker Mayfield threw 3 touchdown passes but did not score a rushing touchdown; the game's first touchdown was Drake London's 18-yard reception from Mayfield's counterpart Kirk Cousins (ESPN scoring summary).
Drake London first touchdown scorer (+950)
“[2:55:43] Then for the Atlanta Falcons side, I think that the Falcons will actually get this done to either through the air or on the ground through the air.
[2:55:49] Drake London plus nine fifty. I love the Drake and then Tyler Algier at 11 to one.
[2:55:53] So not as big prices as Mayfield, but I like London and Algier, the first to be props for the Atlanta Falcons.”
Drake London scored the game's first touchdown, an 18-yard reception from Kirk Cousins in the 1st quarter of Atlanta's 36-30 overtime win over Tampa Bay (ESPN scoring summary).
Tyler Allgeier first touchdown scorer (+1100)
“[2:55:43] Then for the Atlanta Falcons side, I think that the Falcons will actually get this done to either through the air or on the ground through the air.
[2:55:49] Drake London plus nine fifty. I love the Drake and then Tyler Algier at 11 to one.
[2:55:53] So not as big prices as Mayfield, but I like London and Algier, the first to be props for the Atlanta Falcons.
[2:55:59] Those are my prop bets on this Thursday night football.”
Tyler Allgeier did not score a touchdown in Tampa Bay at Atlanta; the game's first touchdown was Drake London's 18-yard reception from Kirk Cousins (ESPN scoring summary).
Yordan Alvarez to hit a home run (+360)
“[12:30] I also have Jordan Alvarez to hit a homer at plus 360.”
Yordan Alvarez did not homer; the only home run in Detroit's 5-2 win over Houston in AL Wild Card Game 2 was Parker Meadows' solo shot in the 6th (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
Over 3.5 (-125)
“[21:43] Now, in this game with Lugo and Eflin,
[21:46] The pitching matchup, pretty solid.
[21:48] Not as electric as yesterday's matchup with Ragans and Burns.
[21:51] I was a big Seth Lugo guy during the season, I should say.
[21:54] Came back down and regressed a little bit.
[21:56] Came back down to earth.
[21:57] But in this spot, I don't know how these pitchers are going to do.
[22:00] So because that's the case, I'm actually going to bet the first five over three and a half minus 125.
[22:07] First five over three and a half minus 125.
[22:09] I think the bats, especially the Royals bats, when they're a little bit looser, they should be good to go.
[22:14] pass Quintino back in the lineup He saw live pitching for the first time yesterday Like these guys should be good to go at least on the Kansas City side feeling a little bit loose Baltimore maybe they a little bit tight but Lugo sometimes like as good as he been this year
[22:27] sometimes he can get those bases loaded up and he gets out of these jams.
[22:31] But if he's not able to get out of the jam, I think this is a good angle to go over three and a half in the first five.
[22:36] So that's my bet in the Royals and Orioles.”
Royals and Orioles combined for just 2 runs through 5 innings (Kansas City's run in the 1st, Baltimore's Cedric Mullins homer in the 5th), under the first-five over 3.5 (ESPN box score). (F5: KC 1, BAL 1 (2 total runs))
Jackson Chourio to hit a home run (+625)
“[23:10] But I do like on the Brewers' side today,
[23:13] just a couple of home run bets.
[23:14] I couldn't really get their side or total.
[23:16] So I went ahead and bet Jackson Chourio.
[23:18] He's a rookie.
[23:19] He hasn't been with his organization that long.
[23:21] So maybe the losing stench doesn't really affect him.
[23:25] Jackson Chourio, superstar rookie,
[23:27] plus 625 to hit a home run.
[23:28] And also I bet William Contreras at plus 520
[23:31] to hit her homer as well.”
Jackson Chourio hit two solo home runs (1st and 8th innings) in Milwaukee's 5-3 win over the Mets in NL Wild Card Game 2 (ESPN box score). (2 HR)
William Contreras to hit a home run (+520)
“[23:25] Jackson Chourio, superstar rookie,
[23:27] plus 625 to hit a home run.
[23:28] And also I bet William Contreras at plus 520
[23:31] to hit her homer as well.
[23:33] So a couple of Brewers to hit home runs.”
William Contreras did not homer in the Brewers' 5-3 win over the Mets in Game 2; the game's only home runs were Jackson Chourio (x2) and Garrett Mitchell (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
Atlanta Braves first five moneyline (-105)
“[24:29] But I do believe early in the game, I sided with the Atlanta Braves and Max Reed.
[24:33] So I'm going to bet minus 105 Braves first five money line.
[24:38] Freed, go out there, get it done.
[24:40] I know Petco Park is riled up and everyone's excited about this team as they should be.
[24:44] But I like Max Freed tonight in this spot to at least keep it close early, if not have the Braves in the lead.”
The Padres led 5-2 after five innings (all 5 runs in the 2nd) of NL Wild Card Game 2, so the Braves' first-five moneyline lost despite Atlanta's later comeback (ESPN box score). (F5: ATL 2, SD 5)
Over 3 (-115)
“[34:05] I just bet these, and I'm sweating the games out.
[34:07] But I feel like you guys should know what we're sweating out here.
[34:09] I'm on the first five over three.
[34:11] We got off to a really good start.
[34:13] We do have runners on first and second,
[34:14] so we can see if maybe somebody from Houston can get somebody across.
[34:17] But it looks like Tarek Scoobal got out of that jam.
[34:19] So we'll try again.
[34:23] We'll see if that goes over.
[34:24] The good thing, though, is that we cannot lose the bet.
[34:27] Once again, first five over three, minus 115.
[34:29] It's 3-0.”
Detroit led Houston 3-0 after five innings in Game 1 of the 2024 AL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, exactly matching the first-five over 3 line for a push (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Detroit 3, Houston 0)
Riley Greene home run (+700)
“[34:30] So we can't lose. That's always good. When you go into something you can't lose. Let's just hope that we can win, though. I want to get one more run across so we can cash that ticket. I also bet Riley Greene to home run today just because the price is big, plus 700. But he's one of those guys that I think this postseason, or at least this series in particular, can kind of be like a breakout performance for him.”
DET 3, HOU 1 — Riley Greene did not homer as Detroit beat Houston 3-1 in Game 1 of the 2024 AL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024; this pick lost (ESPN box score). (Riley Greene: 0 home runs)
Kansas City Royals (+139)
“[37:05] Plus 139 was the bet that I had Over at BetMGM right now the Royals are plus 125 Even at that price I like the bet But as we always say shop around because you can find some Royals plus 130 out there in the market
[37:17] The market continues to bet Kansas City, but you can find better prices.”
KC 1, BAL 0 — Royals beat Orioles 1-0 in Game 1 of the 2024 AL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024; the Royals moneyline pick won (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Royals to win series
“[36:50] And I think they're going to win this series.”
Kansas City swept Baltimore 2-0 in the 2024 AL Wild Card Series; the Royals series-win pick won (ESPN). (AL Wild Card Series: Kansas City 2, Baltimore 0)
Under 37
“[1:19:13] So I'm just going to play the game under 37.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Broncos beat Raiders 34-18 on Oct 6, 2024; combined 52 points exceeded the Under 37 line, so this pick lost (ESPN box score).
Over 47
“[1:19:15] And then in the Buffalo-Houston game,
[1:19:17] I did, in the break, bet over 47 with the total there,
[1:19:21] with no Von Miller now suspended for four games.
[1:19:23] I like it to be a little more high scoring than the market thinks.
[1:19:26] Over 47.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Texans beat Bills 23-20 on Oct 6, 2024; combined 43 points fell short of the Over 47 line, so this pick lost (ESPN game recap).
Pete Alonso home run
“[1:48:20] a couple Mets to hit a home run. I'm with you with the polar bear,
[1:48:22] Pete Alonso I like him to go yard,”
Mets beat Brewers 8-4 in Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, with no home runs hit by either team; Pete Alonso's home run prop lost (ESPN box score). (Pete Alonso: 0 home runs)
Over 4
“[1:47:50] shout out to dina over over at the uh the aria um for me i'm gonna go with the first five over four”
Mets led Brewers 8-4 through five innings of Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, clearing the first-five Over 4 line (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: New York 8, Milwaukee 4)
Mark Vientos home run
“[1:48:38] So Alonzo, Vientos, Homer,”
Mets beat Brewers 8-4 in Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, with no home runs hit by either team; Mark Vientos's home run prop lost (ESPN box score). (Mark Vientos: 0 home runs)
Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals (+5000)
“[2:40:14] Phillies over Royals I have bet it it's at 50 to 1 over at BetMGM I would bet it again”
The 2024 World Series matchup was the Los Angeles Dodgers versus the New York Yankees, not Phillies versus Royals; this exact-matchup pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
Detroit Lions -3.5
“weekend on Saturday, I laid three and a half with Detroit. I would lay four with the Detroit Lions,”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Lions beat Seahawks 42-29 on Sept 30, 2024 (MNF); Detroit covered -3.5 (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Royals to win series (+145)
“starting tomorrow, but I bet the Royals at plus 145 just to win the series.”
Kansas City swept Baltimore 2-0 in the 2024 AL Wild Card Series to advance to the ALDS; the Royals series-win futures pick won (ESPN). (AL Wild Card Series: Kansas City 2, Baltimore 0)
Houston Astros to win series 2-1 (+220)
“and pitch a really strong game in Houston at Minute Maid Park. So I bet some Astros to win the series exactly 2-1 at plus 220.”
Detroit swept Houston 2-0 in the 2024 AL Wild Card Series; the Astros never won the series (nor 2-1), so this pick lost (MLB.com). (AL Wild Card Series: Detroit 2, Houston 0)
Dan Quinn to win NFL Coach of the Year (+3000)
“be a shorter price to win the division to be honest did you ever uh take dan quinn last week coach of the year yep i took a little bit dan quinn i got like 30 to one so koc dan quinn ollie”
Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell, not Dan Quinn, won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; this futures pick lost (NFL.com).
Cleveland Browns +3.5
“jayden daniels and the commanders total here is 44 and i'll tell you like it is kind of like commies at the height of the market browns at the bottom of the market right now yeah and that's my angle in this game it doesn't feel good and i looked at this market last night i looked again before i went to sleep and i made the bet on the cleveland browns plus three and a half now it's simply just trying to sell high on a commander team that i believe in like last week i was like commanders win the division look at this dan quinn coach of the year like i fully believe on the commanders But you go from being a three and a half point dog touchdown underdog to now laying three and a half with that defense It looked real bad for Cleveland But Cleveland defense is still good and it be one of the better defenses that jaden daniels has gone up against in his short nfl career so i think that the commander sorry the cleveland browns can keep this competitive to where i like getting three and a half maybe it's a field goal game either way but give me the plus three and a half if it's out there and get it you are to be fair if you like the browns in this game you are selling the commanders at their highest point right now i”
WAS 34, CLE 13 — Commanders beat Browns 34-13 on Oct 6, 2024; Cleveland lost by 21, so Browns +3.5 lost (ESPN box score).
Washington Commanders to win NFC East (+700)
“[29:12] So at seven to one, I bet it this morning.
[29:15] Give me the Washington commanders.
[29:16] I'm not saying they're going to win the division.
[29:17] I just think at the price, it's a bet that I had to make,
[29:21] just given the upside of the quarterback.”
Philadelphia won the 2024 NFC East at 14-3; Washington finished second at 12-5 as a wild card (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings). (NFC East: Philadelphia 14-3; Washington 12-5)
Pittsburgh Pirates
“[1:28:12] What do you think I was going to bet tonight? Give me the Pirates money line against the Yankees in the Bronx.”
NYY 2, PIT 4 — Pittsburgh beat the Yankees 4-2 on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Colorado Rockies
“[1:28:16] Let's go. Jared Jones and also Rockies. I'm not going to watch the game, but Rockies, please find a way.
[1:28:21] I want to wake up Saturday morning and have more money in my account than I had after I made the bet.
[1:28:25] So, Rocky's Moneyline, the Dodgers, they were partying hard at Chavez Ravine last night after they won the NL West.”
COL 4, LAD 11 — Los Angeles beat Colorado 11-4; the Rockies lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Georgia Bulldogs
“[2:10:32] that i'm betting we've talked about them so just a real quick recap i like georgia at a pick them
[2:10:36] or more i like the under louisville notre dame under 46 and a half i also do like unlv money”
ALA 41, UGA 34 — Alabama beat Georgia 41-34; the Bulldogs lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
Under 46.5
“[2:10:36] or more i like the under louisville notre dame under 46 and a half i also do like unlv money”
ND 31, LOU 24 — Notre Dame beat Louisville 31-24, a combined 55 points, over the 46.5 total (ESPN box score).
Colorado Buffaloes +14
“[2:04:11] So I'm going to go small Colorado plus 14.”
UCF 21, COLO 48 — Colorado routed UCF 48-21, a +27 margin that easily covered the +14 spread (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams +3
“[1:59:16] Bears are going to be. I hope not. I took Rams plus three. We'll get into that a little bit later”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Chicago beat the LA Rams 24-18; the Rams' -6 margin fell short of the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
Over 47
“[2:44:15] I'm betting over 47.”
CAR 24, CIN 34 — Cincinnati beat Carolina 34-24, a combined 58 points, over the 47 total (ESPN box score).
Jacksonville Jaguars +6.5
“[2:50:03] Yeah, I hate myself for making this bet, but I took that plus six and a half, but I like it down to six as well.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Houston beat Jacksonville 24-20; the Jaguars' -4 margin covered the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Chargers +7
“[2:56:17] So I'll take L.A. key number there, plus seven to keep it close.
[2:56:21] Same here.
[2:56:22] And if you like L.A., shop around, please, because there's some seven and a halves out there.
[2:56:27] You might be able to wait and get a seven and a half over at BetMGM.
[2:56:29] But it's Jim Harbaugh.
[2:56:31] It's hurt Justin Herbert, but he's still Justin Herbert getting more than a touchdown.
[2:56:35] Auto bet for me on the Chargers.”
LAC 10, KC 17 — Kansas City beat the LA Chargers 17-10; the Chargers' -7 margin pushes exactly against the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
Baltimore Ravens -2
“[2:57:13] Yeah, I'm rolling with the Baltimore Ravens.
[2:57:15] I laid two, I would lay two and a half.
[2:57:17] This to me seems like it's a sell high spot for Buffalo who've come off really impressive
[2:57:22] performances in prime time.
[2:57:23] They haven't faced a team like Baltimore yet.
[2:57:26] Miami's in shambles.
[2:57:27] Jacksonville might fire their head coach.
[2:57:28] Arizona is Arizona.
[2:57:30] They're not the Baltimore Ravens.
[2:57:31] Give me the Ravens laying anything under a field goal in Sunday night football.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore beat Buffalo 35-10; the Ravens' +25 margin easily covered the -2 spread (ESPN box score).
Fernando Tatis Jr. / J.T. Realmuto / Bryan Reynolds / Wyatt Langford home run parlay (+160000)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. home run
- J.T. Realmuto home run
- Bryan Reynolds home run
- Wyatt Langford home run
“[1:48:12] So we have Fernando Tatis Jr., JT Real Muto, Ryan Reynolds, and then our enemy slash, I guess, frenemy, Wyatt Lankford in the home run parlay.
[1:48:22] That pays out $1,600 to one.”
In the four-player home-run parlay, Bryan Reynolds (2 HR) and Wyatt Langford (1 HR) homered, but Fernando Tatis Jr. and J.T. Realmuto did not, busting the parlay (ESPN box scores). (HR legs: Reynolds yes; Langford yes; Tatis no; Realmuto no)
Under 46
“[1:57:34] Plugged in over there in South Bend, Indiana.
[1:57:36] I don't like the side with this game because the side, I think, is just right.
[1:57:40] Like, this should be around a touchdown.
[1:57:42] I could see it go either way.
[1:57:43] Like, Freeman, when has he ever kind of pooped his pants on the sidelines
[1:57:46] and let a team walk into the building and win the game?
[1:57:48] And also, we've also seen him against Purdue run a team off the field.
[1:57:52] So I think the side is just fine.
[1:57:53] I think that the under is where you want to go with this game.
[1:57:56] Like, see, it opened 47 and a half.
[1:57:58] There's some 46 and a halves out there, but 46 is the main number that's out there.
[1:58:02] Bet MGM has a 45 and a half.
[1:58:04] I think directionally that's correct because I'm concerned about this Notre Dame offensive line.
[1:58:08] And we talked about this during the Femi and Friends Hour, 3 or 4 p.m. Eastern, about how Notre Dame last week against Miami of Ohio and against Northern Illinois, like at least they had the advantage clearly in the trenches.
[1:58:20] And I think they will have the advantage on Saturday.
[1:58:22] But is it going to be as big when you're going up against a group of five versus a power four team?
[1:58:26] And like Louisville, they're not known for being like some like awesome defensive line school or some offensive line school.
[1:58:32] but they at least have power for caliber guys up front in the trenches.
[1:58:35] And if Notre Dame can't dominate that part of the game,
[1:58:39] I don't know if they can win by a possession or multiple possessions.
[1:58:42] So I get concerned of how they're going to score.
[1:58:44] Cause like Tyler mentioned,
[1:58:45] Riley Leonard is terrible at throwing the football.
[1:58:47] He's just a running quarterback.
[1:58:49] He's like Alex or G plus is what Tyler was,
[1:58:52] what a Riley Leonard is essentially.
[1:58:53] So for me,
[1:58:54] I would go under 46 and think that this is gonna be a lower scoring game.
[1:58:58] Cause I do trust Notre Dame's defense in the game.
[1:59:00] So I think we're not going to get that many points.
[1:59:02] And whoever wins the game, I'm guessing it's going to be Notre Dame, but I think it'll be ugly.”
ND 31, LOU 24 — Notre Dame beat Louisville 31-24, a combined 55 points, over the 46 total (ESPN box score).
Daniel Jones over 31.5 rushing yards
“[2:56:40] Femi what is your prop for tonight
[2:56:41] The prop viceroy's prop for Cowboys Giants
[2:56:43] You know how the viceroy does
[2:56:45] Just one prop bet for the evening
[2:56:47] And I'm going to go with your squad
[2:56:49] Big Blue the quarterback QB1 Daniel Jones
[2:56:52] I see his rushing yards prop
[2:56:53] is at 31 and a half.
[2:56:55] Sportsbook born in Vegas
[2:56:56] has a 33 and a half shop around,
[2:56:58] but I do like it
[2:56:59] at over 33 and a half as well.
[2:57:00] But I bet over 31 and a half
[2:57:01] rushing yards for Daniel Jones.
[2:57:03] We saw last week,
[2:57:04] the Cowboys zone read quarterback runs.
[2:57:07] They had no answer for it
[2:57:08] with Lamar Jackson.
[2:57:09] I'm not saying Daniel Jones,
[2:57:10] Lamar Jackson,
[2:57:10] but Daniel Jones is a really good athlete.
[2:57:12] He's like a really good athlete
[2:57:13] and can run the football
[2:57:14] over 31 and a half.
[2:57:16] Also with Michael Parsons
[2:57:17] getting pressure,
[2:57:17] I could see him scrambling
[2:57:18] for like a first down
[2:57:19] and all that stuff.
[2:57:20] So I think Dable
[2:57:21] will have some design runs
[2:57:22] and also Daniel Jones using his leg to extend a couple drives.
[2:57:25] So over 31 and a half rush yards for Danny Dimes tonight in Thursday Night Football.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Daniel Jones rushed for just 3 yards on 4 carries in the Giants' 20-15 loss to Dallas, well under the 31.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Daniel Jones: 3 rushing yards)
UNLV Rebels (-110)
“[24:11] I went ahead and found some minus 110 on the money line.”
UNLV 59, Fresno State 14 — UNLV beat Fresno State 59-14, so the UNLV moneyline won (ESPN box score).
New York Yankees (-120)
“[27:03] Gunnar Henderson having a good time.
[27:05] Brandon Hyde, like the whole organization, like they were having a blast in the locker room.
[27:08] And because of that, we're going to go ahead and back to New York Yankees.
[27:11] I don't think the Baltimore Orioles are going to be in a position to go out there and play a game.
[27:14] And the Yankees also want to have their champagne moment and win the AL East, which I do believe they will tonight.
[27:19] Minus 120 in the market.”
BAL 9, NYY 7 — Orioles beat Yankees 9-7, so the Yankees moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Colton Cowser to win AL Rookie of the Year (+250)
“[35:55] Now, after reading that column, I bet a little bit of Colton Couser at plus 250,”
Luis Gil won the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year award; Colton Cowser did not win. (2024 AL Rookie of the Year: Luis Gil)
Dan Quinn to win NFL Coach of the Year (+3500)
“[2:12:48] the name that I gravitate towards because we talked about this team earlier this week we've
[2:12:53] talked about them all throughout Dan Quinn like if you price shop this you can find like 20 to 1
[2:12:58] still out there there was a 25 to 1 I bet a 35 to 1 on Tuesday I was surprised if that was even in
[2:13:02] the market like I think that Dan Quinn right now would be the bet because the commanders are”
Kevin O'Connell (Vikings) won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Dan Quinn did not win. (2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year: Kevin O'Connell)
Over 4
“[2:26:42] Let's go back to the well in Pittsburgh.
[2:26:43] first five over four Brewers and the Pirates.
[2:26:46] Not a really big fan of Peralta or Ortiz as of late.
[2:26:50] Both those guys,
[2:26:50] not as good as some of their numbers suggest here.
[2:26:52] So I'm going to go over that one.”
Milwaukee and Pittsburgh combined for only 3 runs through five innings (Pirates 2, Brewers 1), below the first-five over 4 line (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Pirates 2, Brewers 1 (3 total))
Washington Nationals first five innings
“[2:26:53] I'm with Jake with the Nats first five money line.”
Washington trailed Kansas City 1-0 through five innings, so the Nationals first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Royals 1, Nationals 0)
Los Angeles Dodgers
“[2:27:25] Dodgers get it done against San Diego.”
LAD 4, SD 3 — Dodgers beat Padres 4-3, so the Dodgers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Paul Goldschmidt home run
“[2:28:47] I'm going to go with the former MVP Paul Goldsmith
[2:28:51] hasn't hit a home run since September 3rd
[2:28:52] has actually been hitting the ball pretty well
[2:28:54] barreling up pretty well
[2:28:55] he goes yard against Austin Gomber that fraud”
Paul Goldschmidt went 0-for-3 with no home runs against Colorado, driving in a run only via sacrifice fly (ESPN box score). (Paul Goldschmidt: 0 HR)
Jalen Milroe to win Heisman Trophy
“[2:12:37] So, Femi, your guys right now, your bets in the Heisman market are Nussmeier and Milrow, correct?
[2:12:42] Yep.
[2:12:42] I think if you like Milrow in Alabama this week, you bet Milrow.
[2:12:45] But for me, Nussmeyer is a bet right now still.”
Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Jalen Milroe did not win. (2024 Heisman Trophy winner: Travis Hunter (Colorado))
Chicago Cubs
“[2:24:10] Yeah, we're going with the Cubbies.”
CHC 10, PHI 4 — Cubs beat Phillies 10-4, so the Cubs moneyline won (ESPN box score).
Over 4.5
“[2:27:37] first five over four and a half brewers and the pirates in this game like this is a fate of tobias”
Milwaukee and Pittsburgh combined for 6 runs through five innings (Brewers 4, Pirates 2), clearing the first-five over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Brewers 4, Pirates 2 (6 total))
Seattle Mariners (+120)
“[2:34:34] I bet the Mariners earlier plus 120.”
HOU 4, SEA 3 — Astros beat Mariners 4-3, so the Mariners moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Under 4
“[2:35:38] least be able to slow down those giants bats but i'm also backing logan webb as well i'm going under
[2:35:43] four first five even money i think it's gonna be a playoff type atmosphere both pitchers are studs”
San Francisco led Arizona 10-0 through five innings, so the first-five under 4 lost (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Giants 10, Diamondbacks 0 (10 total))
San Diego Padres first five innings (+100)
“[2:39:25] Padres' first five, even money.”
San Diego led Los Angeles 4-1 through five innings, so the Padres first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Padres 4, Dodgers 1)
Jacksonville Jaguars +6
“[20:56] And I took the six, and I would still bet it.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Bills beat Jaguars 47-10; Jacksonville's -37 margin busts +6.
Houston Astros first five innings (-130)
“[2:40:01] first five money line minus 130, just like the Mariners.”
Seattle led Houston 1-0 through five innings, so the Astros first-five moneyline lost. (After five innings: Mariners 1, Astros 0)
Aaron Rodgers to win NFL MVP
“[14:02] I said, Nick, I bet Aaron Rodgers 25 and 20 to one to an MVP.”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award, not Aaron Rodgers, so this MVP futures bet lost. (2024 AP NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
Over 4 (-125)
“[1:56:02] I'm with Jake on fading Jose Barrios, one of my sworn enemies in Major League Baseball.
[1:56:06] But I'm going to go with the first five over four in the game, Blue Jays and Rays.
[1:56:09] I wanted to back Tampa, but I just couldn't trust the guy that they have on the mound there.
[1:56:13] So I'm going to go over four, minus 125.”
Toronto and Tampa Bay were scoreless through five innings, staying under 4. (After 5 innings: TOR 0, TB 0)
Over 4.5
“[1:56:17] I'm going to go over four and a half in the first five Braves and the Marlins, minus 120.”
Miami led Atlanta 4-2 through five innings, combining for 6 runs to clear 4.5. (After 5 innings: MIA 4, ATL 2)
Philadelphia Phillies first five innings (-120)
“[1:56:24] Let's go Phillies, first five money line, minus 120 over there at Citi Field.”
Philadelphia led New York 8-2 through five innings, so the Phillies first-five moneyline won. (After 5 innings: PHI 8, NYM 2)
St. Louis Cardinals first five innings (-115)
“[1:56:29] And then I'm going to go ahead and back the Cardinals' first five money line, minus 115.”
Cleveland led St. Louis 3-1 through five innings, so the Cardinals first-five moneyline lost. (After five innings: Guardians 3, Cardinals 1)
Garrett Nussmeier to win Heisman Trophy (+6000)
“[2:04:48] We did a little bit of Nussmeier 60-1 to win the Heisman.
[2:04:51] Not too crazy, but just a little bit of something in case he goes nuclear
[2:04:54] and also has some big games at home in Baton Rouge.”
Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy, not Garrett Nussmeier, so this futures bet lost. (2024 Heisman Trophy winner: Travis Hunter)
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks +28
“[2:04:56] So I'm going to go over 56, and I'm going to go ahead and back Miami of Ohio.
[2:05:01] Let's go Red Hawks.
[2:05:01] We're fading Notre Dame.
[2:05:03] This has been my team of the season.
[2:05:04] I feel like I have a really good read on the Fighting Irish.
[2:05:07] Last week, they responded Freeman had the boys ready after the embarrassing loss.
[2:05:10] Now they're a little bit comfortable.
[2:05:12] So this is usually one lower total, laying 28.
[2:05:14] I'm going to go ahead and take all those points with Miami of Ohio.”
ND 28, M-OH 3 — Notre Dame beat Miami (OH) 28-3; the RedHawks' -25 margin covers +28.
South Florida Bulls +17
“[2:05:20] Give me South Florida plus 17 in this in-state rivalry.”
USF 15, MIA 50 — Miami beat South Florida 50-15; USF's -35 margin busts +17.
Miami Dolphins +6.5
“[2:32:15] I think both Femi and I both have the Dolphins plus six and a half from the open.
[2:32:22] I'm probably going to stick with that bet.
[2:32:24] Honestly, at four and a half, I guess I'd probably still bet Miami.
[2:32:27] So I guess I would be with you.
[2:32:28] I would not lay Seattle.”
SEA 24, MIA 3 — Seahawks beat Dolphins 24-3; Miami's -21 margin busts +6.5.
Los Angeles Rams +7.5
“[2:52:30] yeah it's funny i had ram seven and a half and the market got out to like eight and a half after the cooper cup news came out and then it got down to six and a half now the”
LAR 27, SF 24 — Rams beat 49ers 27-24; Los Angeles's +3 margin covers +7.5.
Detroit Lions -2.5
“[2:54:24] And when it got to 2.5, that's when I had to bet the Detroit Lions.”
ARI 13, DET 20 — Lions beat Cardinals 20-13; Detroit's +7 margin covers -2.5.
Kansas City Chiefs -3
“[2:56:16] i'm betting kansas city it got to three minus 110 and i said if it ever hit that that's a bet for”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Chiefs beat Falcons 22-17; Kansas City's +5 margin covers -3.
Breece Hall under 61.5 rushing yards · BetMGM
“[2:55:42] I talked about maybe looking at some of the Jets rushing unders, because if there's one thing I'm confident in this game is that New England's run defense is really, really stout.
[2:55:49] So I'm actually going to go ahead and take a look at the running back one for the New York Jets, Breece Hall.
[2:55:54] I'm going to go under his rushing yards. It was 62 and a half when we talked about this a few hours ago.
[2:55:58] It's now 61 and a half at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas, BetMGM.
[2:56:02] So I like Breece Hall under rushing yards. The Patriots are really, really good up front.
[2:56:07] I think they'll go ahead and stymie that Jets rushing attack.
[2:56:09] Maybe Hall has some explosives in the passing game, but not the running game.
[2:56:12] Underrushing yards for Breece Hall.”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Breece Hall rushed for 54 yards on 16 carries in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England (ESPN box score), staying under the 61.5 line. (Breece Hall: 54 rushing yards)
Washington Nationals first five innings (+140)
“[2:38:11] Just one bet for me.
[2:38:13] We're going to go with the Nats first five money line against the Cubs.
[2:38:16] Corbin's peripheral numbers show that he should be better.
[2:38:18] Asaj so that he should be worse.
[2:38:20] It's that simple.
[2:38:20] Plus 140.
[2:38:21] Give me the Nats on the first five money line.”
Chicago led Washington 5-3 through five innings (ESPN box score), so the Nationals first-five moneyline busts. (After 5 innings: CHC 5, WSH 3)
Pete Alonso home run
“[2:40:05] Femi, who do you got for tonight in the home run parlay?
[2:40:07] So far, it's the brand name home run parlay.
[2:40:10] Altuve and Harper.
[2:40:11] I can't wait to hear this name.
[2:40:15] Another brand name.
[2:40:16] How about it?
[2:40:16] The home run king himself, Pete Alonso
[2:40:19] He's won it a couple of times.
[2:40:20] I think Alonzo will go yard off of Taiwan Walker.
[2:40:22] Like Walker's atrocious.
[2:40:23] Actually, he knows people that I know, but he's atrocious when he was back at the Mariners.
[2:40:27] He's atrocious with the Philadelphia Phillies.
[2:40:29] I think Alonzo goes yard and gets the crowd riled up there at Citi Field.”
Pete Alonso hit a home run and went 1-for-4 against the Phillies (ESPN box score). (Pete Alonso: 1-for-4, 1 home run)
Over 56
“[2:08:07] A 23 and a half, like easy bet on Femi, your guy.
[2:08:11] Garrett Nussmeyer and LSU in this game.
[2:08:13] What do you like here?
[2:08:14] It's a pretty good setup for Garrett Nussmeyer.
[2:08:16] If you want to go ahead and announce himself as a Heisman Trophy candidate,
[2:08:19] probably not going to be in this game.
[2:08:21] Probably have to be when they actually pick on some SEC teams.
[2:08:23] But for me, it'd actually be the over in this game.
[2:08:25] I think LSU might be able to clear this by themselves, this total right now sitting at 56.
[2:08:31] LSU's defense is not that great.
[2:08:33] Now, UCLA is terrible on offense and defense as well, but LSU's defense will go at blow coverage.
[2:08:37] They'll do those things.
[2:08:38] They're just not a sound defense.
[2:08:40] But I think offensively, I agree with everything that Tyler had to say.
[2:08:42] They're going to be humming along.
[2:08:43] Garrett Nussmeyer is going to pick that defense apart.
[2:08:45] Like I said, LSU might be able to clear this by themselves, this total.
[2:08:49] So I'm going to go over 56.
[2:08:51] 56 and a half might get a little bit tricky because now you need more than eight touchdowns.
[2:08:54] but over 56 for me between UCLA and LSU.”
LSU 34, UCLA 17 — LSU beat UCLA 34-17 (ESPN), a combined 51 points that stays under the 56 total.
Kansas City Royals to win the American League pennant (+2000)
“[2:27:23] But I think that the Royals, like they, to me, give off Diamondbacks vibes of last season, like young lineup, superstar.
[2:27:31] Bobby Witt Jr., really good pitching staff.
[2:27:33] I think they can make the Cinderella run and win the American League pennant.
[2:27:36] I bet them to win the American League pennant at 20-1 earlier this summer.
[2:27:39] I think they represent the AL.”
The New York Yankees, not the Royals, won the 2024 American League pennant, beating Cleveland 4 games to 1 in the ALCS (Wikipedia). (2024 AL pennant winner: New York Yankees)
San Diego Padres first five innings
“[2:27:05] tonight or total yeah i'm gonna take the padres first five of the money i'm gonna back dylan
[2:27:09] cease it's a great match of dylan sees for from bravaldez cease at home though i think he's been
[2:27:13] a little bit better than Valdez Valdez.
[2:27:15] The numbers suggest that he should regress a little bit there
[2:27:17] and Cease has been outstanding.
[2:27:18] So give me the Padres' first five
[2:27:20] and what's been a fun series over there in San Diego.”
Houston and San Diego were scoreless through five innings (ESPN box score); San Diego's runs came later, so the first-five moneyline pushes. (After 5 innings: HOU 0, SD 0)
William Contreras home run
“[2:28:18] Femi, your addition to the home run
[2:28:20] parlay, please. Brewers
[2:28:22] haven't come out with their lineup yet, but it'll be William Contreras.
[2:28:24] Just make sure that he's in the lineup, but I've not seen
[2:28:26] a Brewers lineup, but Nola, I've never really been
[2:28:28] a big fan of him on the road, and Contreras has been hitting
[2:28:30] pretty hard so let's take a shot with him all right tyler who is your guy again i didn't write”
William Contreras went 1-for-3 with no home runs against the Phillies (ESPN box score). (William Contreras: 1-for-3, 0 home runs)
Denver Broncos +7
“[1:35:27] Yeah, this was Tampa 7 on Sunday.
[1:35:29] Betters like myself went ahead and grabbed that 7 back in the Broncos
[1:35:32] while plugging our noses, and now we sit here at 6.5.”
TB 7, DEN 26 — Denver beat Tampa Bay 26-7 (ESPN), so Denver +7 covers easily.
Cleveland Guardians first five moneyline
“[2:27:13] totals in Major League Baseball.
[2:27:15] Yeah, give me the Guardians first five on the money line back in Gavin Williams.
[2:27:18] Didn't work out last time, but I still believe the underlying stuff says he's much better
[2:27:21] than what his surface level numbers suggest.
[2:27:23] I'm also going to plug the nose and back Mitchell Parker on the first five here.”
Cleveland trailed Minnesota 1-2 through five innings, so Guardians first-five moneyline lost. (After 5 innings: Twins 2, Guardians 1)
Washington Nationals first five moneyline (+140)
“[2:27:23] I'm also going to plug the nose and back Mitchell Parker on the first five here.
[2:27:27] Nat's first five plus 140 is another guy where his underlying stuff says he's actually pretty
[2:27:33] solid, but overlying metrics or the surface level stuff says nothing of that sort.
[2:27:37] And then I'm also going to take the Colorado Rockies first five money line as well, plus”
Washington trailed New York 1-6 through five innings, so Nationals first-five moneyline lost. (After 5 innings: Nationals 1, Mets 6)
Colorado Rockies first five moneyline (+115)
“[2:27:37] And then I'm also going to take the Colorado Rockies first five money line as well, plus
[2:27:42] 115.
[2:27:42] I mean, Montgomery can't be this big of a favorite on the road.
[2:27:45] Not in my opinion, even if it is the Colorado Rockies.
[2:27:47] And then Tyler and I go on Apo Taco.”
Colorado led Arizona 3-1 through five innings, so Rockies first-five moneyline won. (After 5 innings: Diamondbacks 1, Rockies 3)
Over 3.5 (-120)
“[2:27:47] And then Tyler and I go on Apo Taco.
[2:27:49] Now, this might just be me wish casting that Luis Hill has a blow-up start.
[2:27:52] But I'm going to go over three and a half.
[2:27:54] First five, minus 120.
[2:27:56] Yankees, Mariners, the M's bats.
[2:27:58] I'm from Seattle.
[2:27:59] Soto Mojo.
[2:28:00] Let's go.
[2:28:01] Blow this dude up.
[2:28:03] And get Austin Wells' offensive rookie of the year.
[2:28:05] AL rookie of the year, for that matter.
[2:28:06] I'm going to wish cast that one.
[2:28:08] Over three and a half.
[2:28:09] First five, Yankees and the Mariners.”
New York and Seattle combined for eight runs through five innings, clearing the first-five over 3.5. (After 5 innings: Yankees 7, Mariners 1 (8 runs))
Connor Norby to hit a home run (+675)
“[2:38:05] Femi, who makes the home run parlay tonight for you?
[2:38:07] Not a bad guy to pivot to.
[2:38:09] I'm with Jake.
[2:38:10] I was praying that Jake wasn't going to take this guy because he's betting the overtotal bases.
[2:38:13] Connor Norby.
[2:38:15] Old Bobby Miller is serving him up.
[2:38:16] I think Norby is going to have a really good outing out there.
[2:38:18] He's been hitting the ball pretty well since the all-star break.
[2:38:20] So give me Connor Norby.
[2:38:22] That's plus 675 if you want to bet individually, but that's my submission to the home run parlay.”
Connor Norby went 2-for-3 with a double against the Dodgers but did not homer. (Connor Norby: 0 home runs)
New York Giants +7
“[1:36:49] I bet plus seven last night, but even at six and a half, I would bet the New York Giants.”
NYG 21-CLE 15 — Giants beat Browns 21-15 outright; New York Giants +7 covers.
Over 4
“[2:40:14] It's the Nats-Mets first five over four.”
Washington led New York 1-0 through five innings, one combined run, below the first-five over 4. (After 5 innings: WSH 1, NYM 0 (1 run))
J.D. Martinez home run
“[2:43:28] Femi, your addition, please, to the home run parlay.
[2:43:31] I'm going to go back to that Nats and Mets game.
[2:43:33] I'm going to go with J.D. Martinez.”
J.D. Martinez did not hit a home run against the Mets on September 16. (J.D. Martinez: 0 home runs)
Jalen Hurts under 227.5 passing yards (-115) · BetMGM
“[2:53:45] because this is a really wild game but what i am betting and this is something that john daigle did
[2:53:50] bring up as well and i brought it up during the femi and friends hour just kind of talking it out
[2:53:53] but I like the Jalen Hurts passing yards under.
[2:53:56] It's 227 and a half over at the Sportsbook Board in Vegas, minus 115.
[2:54:00] I think that Hurts, given the fact that his favorite target is not in this game,
[2:54:04] that being A.J. Brown, maybe he holds on the ball a little bit longer.
[2:54:07] I kind of like the rushing attempts over, but that's a big number.
[2:54:09] It's like 10 and a half for Hurts to have.
[2:54:11] I can see a lot of scrambles.
[2:54:12] I can see him maybe checking it down to someone like Goddard.
[2:54:15] Maybe they're getting Saquon Barkley involved in the passing game,
[2:54:17] and that's not going for down the field numbers.
[2:54:19] It could be more check down swing passes, like some of those routes there.
[2:54:22] So I like the Hurts to not have that great of a game from a passing standpoint.
[2:54:25] I do think that Philadelphia in the run game should have some success.
[2:54:28] So I like the under 227 and a half passing yards for Jalen Hurts.”
ATL 22-PHI 21 — Jalen Hurts threw for 183 passing yards against Atlanta, under the 227.5 line. (Jalen Hurts: 183 passing yards)
Xavier Worthy to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+1000)
“[26:51] brown now being sidelined for like probably the rest of the season to me this sort of made an
[26:56] opportunity in the betting market to at least go ahead and then back xavier worthy to an offensive
[27:01] rookie year and that's something that i did this morning i bet xavier worthy at 10 to 1 to an
[27:06] offensive rookie of the year because my whole premise behind not liking worthy in the beginning
[27:11] of the season and even last week and even earlier this week when we did this exercise about all the
[27:15] NFL awards was there's just going to be so many mouths to feed because I was working under the
[27:20] premise that Hollywood Brown was going to be back either this weekend or the next weekend I thought
[27:24] that it was going to be Hollywood Brown you got Travis Kelsey you got Isaiah Pacheco Xavier
[27:29] all of these guys that have to be Rashid Rice these guys that have to get their touches I felt
[27:34] that it was gonna be tricky for Xavier Worthy to at least acquire the volume needed to win this award
[27:39] but now with Hollywood Brown pretty much out of the equation that problem no longer exists
[27:43] or Xavier Worthy so I think at 10 to 1 given the fact that he is pretty much Andy Reid's 2024
[27:49] version of Deshaun Jackson like when Reid had Jackson with the Eagles big play guy stretch
[27:54] the field guy that's how he's using Xavier Worthy we saw the end around we saw the wide open
[27:58] touchdown that was probably more so of a coverage bust than anything but I think that Xavier Worthy
[28:04] will have a lot of chances in marquee spots the Chiefs play every day this week except for Tuesday
[28:10] They're in a lot of standalone games.
[28:11] They're in the premier afternoon game this Sunday.
[28:13] They're on Sunday Night Football next Sunday.
[28:15] They're going to have a lot of attention on them.
[28:17] And if Xavier Worthy continues to make some of those big plays,
[28:21] I think his name is going to be in the conference station all year long
[28:24] for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
[28:25] So that was my reaction to the news that Hollywood Brown is going to the IR”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Xavier Worthy did not win (Wikipedia, AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year: Jayden Daniels)
CeeDee Lamb to win Offensive Player of the Year (+1200)
“[43:23] So for me, Tyreek Hill likely heading towards a zero.
[43:27] The bet that I've made this morning,
[43:29] give me CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys at 12 to 1
[43:31] because the Cowboys have an updated win total of 10 and a half.
[43:34] And I just think that Lamb,
[43:36] with the Cowboys winning a lot of regular season games,
[43:38] I think you're going to see him get the football quite a bit.
[43:40] If they could ever win that division and beat out the Eagles,
[43:43] He will at least be a finalist for the award, if not win the award.
[43:46] So CeeDee Lamb over at BetMGM, the sportsbook born in Vegas, 12-1 to win Offensive Player of the Year after the shakeup last night.
[43:55] Tyreek Hill still 6-1 in the market.”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; CeeDee Lamb did not win (Wikipedia, AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Saquon Barkley)
Boston Red Sox first five innings (+130)
“[37:34] they've not been like super duper fraudulent but also not as good as their numbers suggest
[37:38] also give me the red socks first five money line that's plus 130 against the bronx bombers i like
[37:43] tanner hauck a lot i know like sometimes he's been a little bit shaky early on he was obviously a lot
[37:47] better when he was i guess in the pseudo conversation for al cy young but not really
[37:52] but i'm gonna go ahead and back hauck on the road in the bronx that'll probably be another
[37:56] low scoring game because it's the yankees and then lineup i just forgot how to hit at least
[37:59] Judge and Soto did. Cubs at Rockies. I'm going to go first five over probably a square play like”
Red Sox 0, Yankees 0 (through 5 innings) — Boston and New York were scoreless (0-0) through five innings, so the two-way Red Sox first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score linescore).
First five innings over 5.5 (-120)
“[37:59] Judge and Soto did. Cubs at Rockies. I'm going to go first five over probably a square play like
[38:04] everybody bets overs in Denver. But I mean, Assad and Gomber, these are just absolute frauds with
[38:10] capital F's in broad daylight where the ball is going to be flying. Maybe we'll have a home run
[38:15] prop in that one as well. But the ball will be flying out of course field. So I like the first
[38:18] five over five and a half minus 120. And I like the first five under four and a half in the Astros”
Cubs 2, Rockies 4 (through 5 innings) — Chicago and Colorado combined for 6 runs through five innings (2-4), clearing 5.5 (ESPN box score linescore).
First five innings under 4.5
“[38:18] five over five and a half minus 120. And I like the first five under four and a half in the Astros
[38:23] Angels game. Kikuchi has been a stud since he's gone over to Houston. I don't know what has
[38:27] happen to him but like he's just been awesome for that uh rotation there that'll be really big for
[38:31] them in the playoffs and also the pitcher for the angels who i cannot pronounce he's also been at
[38:35] least pretty solid as well so i'll go under four and a half in the first five for the astros and
[38:39] the angels and then finally in arizona i'm gonna go with the diamondbacks first five money line”
Astros 4, Angels 3 (through 5 innings) — Houston and Los Angeles combined for 7 runs through five innings (4-3), exceeding the 4.5 under (ESPN box score linescore).
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings (-115)
“[38:39] the angels and then finally in arizona i'm gonna go with the diamondbacks first five money line
[38:43] against the brewers not a fan of peralta on the road in particular and then water rodriguez you
[38:47] know he's been pretty good since coming back from the il so give me the diamondbacks minus 115 first
[38:52] five money line against the brew crew those are my plays for tonight in major league baseball”
Brewers 2, Diamondbacks 1 (through 5 innings) — Arizona trailed Milwaukee 2-1 through five innings, so the Diamondbacks first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score linescore).
Trea Turner to hit a home run (+525)
“[40:17] I'm also going to stay in that same game.
[40:19] You're going with JT Real Muto.
[40:21] I think the Phillies are going to just go yard a lot tonight.
[40:23] Give me Trea Turner, plus 525.
[40:25] Trea Turner to hit a home run tonight.
[40:27] You know, he's been hitting the ball pretty well,
[40:29] just getting a little bit unlucky.
[40:30] I think that he has some success and is able to go yard
[40:34] and will meet the moment and read the room
[40:36] and leave the yard ultimately.
[40:38] And hopefully these three legs, 85 to one,”
Mets 11, Phillies 3 — Trea Turner did not homer; the game's home runs came from Alvarez, Nimmo, Bader, Alonso, and Marsh (ESPN box score). (Trea Turner: 0 home runs)
Over 48
“[2:53:15] bangles in kansas city and the mahomes borough bowl kansas city in between a five and a half
[2:53:20] and a six point favorite six is the number at bed mgm juice towards cincinnati total in the game is
[2:53:25] 48 looking very unlikely that the bangles will have t higgins we know hollywood brown probably
[2:53:30] out the rest of the season for Kansas City.
[2:53:33] Femi, how are you betting the Mahomes
[2:53:34] Burrow Bowl here?
[2:53:37] Also, Marius Mims, the rookie
[2:53:38] tackle, also a sneaky kind of inactive
[2:53:40] for this game. He's doubtful as
[2:53:42] well, but you know, on principle,
[2:53:44] for Cincinnati.
[2:53:46] On principle, this is Joe Burrow getting six points,
[2:53:48] so I have to bet it. I get it, everything
[2:53:50] Kansas City, they're the best team in the league and all that stuff,
[2:53:52] but Joe Burrow, I know he's going to be unafraid.
[2:53:54] It sounds like he's feeling much better in the lead-up of
[2:53:56] this game than he did leading up into the game against
[2:53:58] New England, so it's going to be the Cincinnati
[2:54:00] Bengals getting six and we'll go ahead and see what happens but I at least like the Bengals are
[2:54:04] going to be confident enough in this spot despite being a little bit shorthanded I I think you agree
[2:54:10] with this you don't like the Bengals defense a lot this year right which doesn't mean we don't
[2:54:15] think since you can win a lot of games but you don't like the defense a lot not a ton no okay
[2:54:21] um even without Hollywood Brown tell me how the Chiefs aren't scoring points in this game
[2:54:26] I want to know how that's not happening.
[2:54:31] And then, if you like Cincinnati, I do.
[2:54:35] How does the game not...
[2:54:37] Can Cincinnati...
[2:54:38] I guess they could cover a game that goes under.
[2:54:40] The Chiefs just turned it over a bunch.
[2:54:42] I think what's likely here is that this is a higher-scoring game.
[2:54:46] And I do, even without Tee Higgins, I think Joe Burrow's up to the task here.
[2:54:50] This might be like a Bengals over parlay for me on Sunday.
[2:54:54] So I like the Bengals, and I think this will be a higher-scoring game.
[2:54:57] Six has to be the number, not five and a half.”
Chiefs 26, Bengals 25 — Kansas City beat Cincinnati 26-25 (51 combined points), clearing the 48 over (ESPN box score).
Cleveland Guardians first five innings (-135)
“[2:40:24] I think he was asking for what my baseball bet was for tonight.
[2:40:27] And I'm going to go ahead and back you, Jake.
[2:40:29] I like the Gavin Williams play.
[2:40:30] I know it's really disgusting.
[2:40:32] It doesn't feel as good as betting on Cole Reagan's,
[2:40:34] but I'm going to bet the Guardians' first five money line minus 135.
[2:40:38] I don't think he's as bad as ERA suggests,
[2:40:39] and also get Ryan Pepio out of my face.
[2:40:41] So my one play, Guardians' first five money line minus 135.”
Rays 3, Guardians 2 (through 5 innings) — Tampa Bay led Cleveland 3-2 through five innings, so the Guardians first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score linescore).
Jackson Chourio to hit a home run (+775)
“[2:42:32] Femi, who do you have tonight for the home run
[2:42:35] parlay? I'm going to go with
[2:42:36] the longest odds Milwaukee Brewer, because
[2:42:38] I get Birdsong out of my face as well. I think he's
[2:42:41] going to serve him up tonight. Jackson Chourio,
[2:42:43] plus 775, to hit a home run
[2:42:45] because he's awesome and he's been hitting the ball pretty well.
[2:42:47] Who's, I mean, what's the best bird?”
Jackson Chourio hit a 2-run home run against San Francisco (ESPN box score). (Jackson Chourio: 1 home run)
Under 49.5
“[2:42:57] Okay.
[2:42:57] All right.
[2:42:58] Well, Alabama, Wisconsin, that same game.
[2:43:00] I like to get under in that game.
[2:43:02] I'm going to go under 49 and a half.
[2:43:03] I did need to explain it.
[2:43:04] I did need to say it one more time.
[2:43:05] You did.
[2:43:06] In Tyler's defense, I also thought he was going to give it all three.
[2:43:09] But let's go under 49 and a half in that Alabama, Wisconsin game.
[2:43:12] These Kalen DeBoer games, like sometimes they don't really go out
[2:43:15] and really have that great performance when they're laying big numbers.
[2:43:18] I also have no faith in that Wisconsin defense.
[2:43:20] I like this game to go under 49 and a half.”
ALA 42, WIS 10 — Alabama beat Wisconsin 42-10 (52 combined points); the under 49.5 busts (ESPN box score).
Washington State Cougars +4.5
“[2:43:58] And give me the Cougars.
[2:44:00] Give me the Cougars in the Apple Cup.
[2:44:01] Washington State plus four and a half or better.
[2:44:04] Heated rivalry.
[2:44:05] Obviously some bad blood since Washington defected to the Big Ten
[2:44:07] and left the Cougars without a conference.
[2:44:09] So give me Washington State to try to piss off Washington fans
[2:44:12] and go ahead and cover.”
WSU 24, WASH 19 — Washington State beat Washington 24-19 outright in the Apple Cup, a 5-point margin; WSU +4.5 covers (ESPN box score).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10
“[2:44:42] Bounce back spot in West
[2:44:44] Lafayette. Give me Notre Dame laying 10
[2:44:46] against Purdue. I think they were just flat
[2:44:48] out embarrassed by Northern Illinois. I think they've been
[2:44:50] focused this week. I like the Fighting Irish.”
ND 66, PUR 7 — Notre Dame routed Purdue 66-7, a 59-point margin; Notre Dame -10 covers easily (ESPN box score).
Kansas City Royals first five innings
“[2:49:43] Yeah, give me a couple dogs on the first five there on the money line.
[2:49:46] Kansas City.
[2:49:47] Are you stealing my gimmick, man?
[2:49:50] I'm not stealing your gimmick.
[2:49:51] I just like to back the starting pitchers or fade the starting pitchers,
[2:49:54] which means you probably have to bet them in the first five, right?
[2:49:56] Right.
[2:49:57] Also, the Orioles.
[2:49:58] I have to acknowledge that that's correct.
[2:50:00] You are right.”
Royals led the Yankees 1-0 through five innings (Massey HR in the 4th) in their eventual 11-inning loss; the Royals first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Royals 1, Yankees 0)
Baltimore Orioles first five innings (+132)
“[2:49:57] Also, the Orioles.
[2:49:58] I have to acknowledge that that's correct.
[2:50:00] You are right.
[2:50:01] I'm going to go with the Baltimore Orioles.
[2:50:03] I'm anti-Pavetta for the Boston Red Sox there.
[2:50:05] So give me Baltimore plus 132 first five money line.”
Orioles trailed the Red Sox 1-2 through five innings; the Orioles first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Orioles 1, Red Sox 2)
Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run
“[2:52:14] Femi, who is third in the home run parlay?
[2:52:17] I'm going to go back to the well with Gunnar Henderson.
[2:52:20] He has risen since the calendar turned to September.
[2:52:23] I like him.
[2:52:23] He's back in the leadoff spot, too, where he really does do a lot of damage.
[2:52:26] So Gunnar Henderson tonight is my submission to the home run parlay.”
Gunnar Henderson went 1-for-5 with a double but no home run against Boston (ESPN box score). (Gunnar Henderson: 0 home runs (1-for-5, 1 2B))
Under 36.5
“I think I might end up doing that this weekend, but I'm betting the under 36 and a half.”
PIT 13, DEN 6 — Steelers beat Broncos 13-6 (19 combined points), well under 36.5 (ESPN box score).
First five over 4
“he can always uh someone can leave the yard on him so i like the over four in the first five”
Cubs and Dodgers combined for exactly 4 runs through five innings (Cubs 1, Dodgers 3), an exact push on the whole-number first-five over 4 line (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Cubs 1, Dodgers 3 (4 combined runs))
First five over 4.5
“night we're going to do it again over in the first five four and a half royals and the yankees i'm”
Royals led the Yankees only 3-0 through five innings (3 combined runs) in their eventual 5-0 win; the first-five over 4.5 busts (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Royals 3, Yankees 0 (3 combined runs))
First five over 5
“I like the first five over Orioles and the Red Sox over at Fenway.”
Orioles and Red Sox combined for only 4 runs through five innings (Orioles 3, Red Sox 1), under the first-five over 5 line; busts (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Orioles 3, Red Sox 1 (4 combined runs))
First five under 4.5
“I'm going to go first five under four and a half in Houston.”
Athletics led the Astros 2-0 through five innings (2 combined runs) in Houston; the first-five under 4.5 covers (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Athletics 2, Astros 0 (2 combined runs))
Toronto Blue Jays first-five moneyline (-105)
“So I'm going to back the Blue Jays first five minus 105 in the six, as they used to call it there.”
Blue Jays led the Mets 5-1 through five innings (Toronto scored 1 in the 2nd and 4 in the 3rd); the Blue Jays first-five moneyline wins (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Blue Jays 5, Mets 1)
Seattle Mariners first-five moneyline (-125)
“So give me the Mariners first five minus 125 at home against San Diego.”
Padres led the Mariners 3-2 through five innings; the Mariners first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Padres 3, Mariners 2)
Tyler O’Neill to hit a home run (+375)
“break the the exit velo is at a really good spot so i like tyler o'neill it's plus 375 i also bet”
Tyler O'Neill did not homer in this game; Cedric Mullins hit both Orioles home runs in Baltimore's 5-3 win over Boston (ESPN box score). (Tyler O'Neill: 0 home runs)
Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run
“win the American League MVP. So I bet Bobby Wood Jr. to Homer. I bet Gunnar”
Bobby Witt Jr. went 1-for-5 with an RBI single but no home run; Tommy Pham hit the game's only home run (ESPN box score). (Bobby Witt Jr.: 0 home runs (1-for-5))
Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run (+450)
“So plus 450 Gunnar Henderson.”
Gunnar Henderson did not homer against Boston; Cedric Mullins hit both Orioles home runs (ESPN box score). (Gunnar Henderson: 0 home runs)
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+310)
“Imanaga. That's plus 310. And then”
Shohei Ohtani did not homer in the Dodgers' 6-3 loss to the Cubs; the game's three home runs were hit by Tommy Edman (x2) and Max Muncy (ESPN box score). (Shohei Ohtani: 0 home runs)
Ian Happ to hit a home run (+505)
“coming out of the VIL. So give me Ian Happ plus 505 to go ahead and hit a homer. So Witt,”
Ian Happ did not homer in the Cubs' 6-3 win over the Dodgers on Sept 10, 2024; the game's three home runs were all hit by Dodgers (Tommy Edman x2, Max Muncy). Stored grade of won is incorrect. (Ian Happ: 0 home runs)
Miami Dolphins -2
“[1:33:21] Thursday night football.
[1:33:24] Josh Allen going to play.
[1:33:25] He had the hand injury at the end of the win against Arizona.
[1:33:27] Sean McDermott saying going to practice is going to be fine.
[1:33:30] And we now sit, Femi, Dolphins one and a half on Thursday night at home.
[1:33:33] Miami favored total of 50.
[1:33:35] Do you have a thought on this game early in the week?
[1:33:36] Let's not waste time.
[1:33:37] I like Miami.
[1:33:38] I bet Miami in this game.
[1:33:39] One and a half are out there.
[1:33:41] I laid two.
[1:33:42] I didn't really realize that this was all about the Josh Allen news.
[1:33:44] I was like, hey, like, you know what?
[1:33:45] Things are going to happen.
[1:33:46] We're going to find out his status a little bit later on.
[1:33:48] But clearly the move earlier this morning was about Josh Allen.
[1:33:50] Now that that came back, that he's fine.
[1:33:52] It's now one and a half.
[1:33:53] But I think this is a good spot for the Miami Dolphins at home on a short week.
[1:33:56] I think yesterday's game for Miami was more about Jacksonville.
[1:33:59] And I've talked a lot about this Jacksonville defense.
[1:34:01] I told you in the sports book yesterday, I was like, I've talked of this defense so much.
[1:34:05] And here I am betting the over.
[1:34:06] And that didn't come through, although there was a couple of missed touchdowns in that game that were a little bit tilting for me.
[1:34:10] But I think it was more about that Jags defensive line.
[1:34:13] Buffalo doesn't have that.
[1:34:14] Gregory Rousseau is a really nice player.
[1:34:15] They don't have Trayvon Walker, Joshua Hines Allen.
[1:34:18] Eric Armstead, all these big, long days that are really going to get into his face.
[1:34:22] I think that this is a bad matchup for Buffalo.
[1:34:24] And on the flip side of it, Buffalo's defense was not impressed with what I saw yesterday.
[1:34:29] I know Kyler Murray is a way better athlete than Tua Everdreams could be.
[1:34:32] But still, the weapons in Miami are a lot better than what the Cardinals have.
[1:34:36] I like the Miami Dolphins in this game.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Buffalo beat Miami 31-10 on Thursday night; Dolphins lose outright, busting the -2 spread (ESPN box score).
Cleveland Browns +4
“[1:47:03] All right, let's continue quick picks here, guys.
[1:47:06] Jaguars and the Browns in Jacksonville.
[1:47:08] And I mentioned at the start of the hour, Mike Flory of Pro Football Talk reporting a new lawsuit with similar allegations to the other ones,
[1:47:14] which I'm not trying to minimize just in the interest of time here on a betting show.
[1:47:18] Like, I don't know if that impacts Deshaun Watson for Sunday, impacts him for the rest of the season.
[1:47:23] I don't know if like Jameis Winston's going to play in this game.
[1:47:25] We have incomplete info right now.
[1:47:27] But as it stands here, Jacksonville, a four point favorite against the Browns, 41 and a half the total.
[1:47:32] This is a bet that I've made, and it's with the Cleveland Browns taking the four.
[1:47:35] I've spoke glowingly of the Jacksonville defense.
[1:47:38] I think the Jacksonville defense is going to have a lot of success in this game.
[1:47:40] That's why you've seen the under get bet 44 and a half now down to as low as 41 and a half in this game.
[1:47:45] But I like both of these defenses in this spot.
[1:47:47] I think this is just a little bit too much.
[1:47:49] Like when it's three or less than a field goal, that makes sense in terms of the Jacksonville Jaguars.
[1:47:54] But once you get to like four, that's where it's a little bit too much.
[1:47:57] So I'm going to go ahead and back the Cleveland Browns off of what's probably going to be a tumultuous week with them.
[1:48:01] Everybody saw what happened this past Sunday.
[1:48:03] And of course, the news that's come out today.”
JAX 13, CLE 18 — Cleveland beat Jacksonville 18-13 outright, covering the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
New York Giants
“[1:50:23] I'll talk more about my Giants to start next hour.
[1:50:26] But they will be on the road at the Commanders this week.
[1:50:29] Washington, how bad are the Giants?
[1:50:32] Home underdogs in week one to Sam Darnold.
[1:50:35] How bad are the Giants?
[1:50:36] Almost a full three-point road dog at Jaden Daniels and the Commanders on Sunday.
[1:50:42] Commanders, two and a half minus 15.
[1:50:44] Total in the game, 43 and a half.
[1:50:46] I think this is the situation, and it's going to sound crazy for me to say this out loud.
[1:50:50] This might be one of those WTFs.
[1:50:52] I think this might be wrong.
[1:50:53] I'm telling you, Nick.
[1:50:54] I'm telling you.
[1:50:55] You can bet the Giants, and that's fine.
[1:50:58] The Giants should not be favored.
[1:50:59] I'm telling you.
[1:51:00] What did the commanders show?
[1:51:01] That defense is atrocious.
[1:51:03] But you're saying the Giants should be – see, I strongly – they should not be favored.
[1:51:07] No way.
[1:51:07] You can bet the Giants.
[1:51:09] This is pick at least then.
[1:51:11] This has to be pick.
[1:51:11] I think on a neutral field, the commanders are better.
[1:51:14] I can't go that far.
[1:51:15] The commanders have a functional quarterback and the Giants don't.
[1:51:19] Giants just went up against a really good team yesterday, the Minnesota Vikings.
[1:51:22] That's all they did.
[1:51:23] But I like the Giants in this spot here.
[1:51:25] I'm going to take it on the money line, or if it gets up to three, I'll take the plus three.
[1:51:28] and a little bit on the money line as well.
[1:51:29] I really do think that this should at least be a pick, in my opinion.
[1:51:32] And the Commanders, they have no home field advantage.
[1:51:34] What is there to be excited about?
[1:51:35] That franchise, there might be more Giants fans there than our Commanders fans.
[1:51:38] No, there won't be.
[1:51:40] Do you think Giants fans are excited to make this?
[1:51:41] Do the Commanders have a new quarterback?
[1:51:43] Dan Snyder's out.
[1:51:44] I think they're going to be excited for this game.
[1:51:46] Maybe they will be, but they're not going to be excited after the end of it
[1:51:49] when the Giants win.
[1:51:49] Give me the Giants.”
WSH 21, NYG 18 — Washington beat the Giants 21-18; New York moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Cincinnati Bengals +6
“[1:54:37] Same. You're giving me a quarterback like Joe Burrow with six points.
[1:54:41] You just have to do it.
[1:54:42] And it doesn't feel good after what we saw yesterday,
[1:54:44] but I think that is the bet to make, at least with the news that we know right now.
[1:54:47] So Bengals plus six, making the card at this point in the week for both myself and Femi.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Kansas City beat Cincinnati 26-25; Bengals lose by only 1, covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
Denver Broncos +3.5
“[1:55:21] Denver, with Bo Nix, who I think had 96 pass attempts and threw for like 25 yards, seems impossible.
[1:55:27] Pittsburgh, bet out now to nearly a three-and-a-half point road favorite on the road in Denver.
[1:55:33] So it's three minus 20.
[1:55:34] We're basically there to three-and-a-half for the Steelers.
[1:55:37] Total in the game, Femi, is 37.
[1:55:39] At three and a half, it's a bet on the Denver Broncos.
[1:55:41] And I did bet the Denver Broncos at three and a half earlier today.
[1:55:44] It's an easy call, right?
[1:55:46] And I hate that, but.
[1:55:48] You mentioned how Sunday was a classic Tomlin spot.
[1:55:51] This is also a classic Tomlin flop.
[1:55:53] So we're like on the road, going out west, expected to win.
[1:55:57] At altitude.
[1:55:57] At altitude.
[1:55:58] Second straight road game.
[1:56:00] It's a horrible spot for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
[1:56:02] As bad as Bo Nix looked.
[1:56:04] And he looked.
[1:56:04] Did you hear the Adam Marshall letter call when he said, oh, no.
[1:56:06] Yeah, but literally, like, I don't think Bo Nix had thrown the pass yet.
[1:56:10] That was intercepted, and it went viral on social media.
[1:56:13] Adam Archuleta just goes, oh, no, like two seconds before the pass is picked off.
[1:56:18] Nix was horrible, but this is at home now, different environment.
[1:56:21] Yeah, I mean, yeah, it's a tough spot.
[1:56:23] We expected Nix to be bad yesterday.
[1:56:25] But if Mike McDonald's the defensive Sean McVay, then, like, it actually shouldn't be that surprising.
[1:56:29] It shouldn't be.
[1:56:31] Stroud was horrible week one.
[1:56:32] Two weeks later, he was the offensive rookie of the year favorite.
[1:56:34] I'm not saying that's going to happen with Knicks, but I'm just saying that Mike McDonald does this to young quarterbacks.
[1:56:38] I think this is a big overreaction in the market.
[1:56:40] At 3.5, it's been on the Denver Broncos.
[1:56:42] Let me ask you.
[1:56:42] I agree with you.
[1:56:43] 3.5 is Denver.”
DEN 6, PIT 13 — Pittsburgh beat Denver 13-6, winning by 7, busting the Broncos' +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 4 (-120)
“[2:38:45] Femi, what do you got for us in baseball?
[2:38:46] Also has our seven-day forecast as well.
[2:38:48] I'm going to go the first five over Marlins and the Pirates.
[2:38:51] I hear what Jake's saying with Paul Skeens.
[2:38:52] I do think he's actually going to pitch pretty well.
[2:38:54] But this other cat, Beloso, or whatever this guy is.
[2:38:57] Vincente Beloso.
[2:38:58] Yeah, he's a good Paisan.
[2:38:59] Yeah, it's going to be see you later is what it's going to be.
[2:39:01] I think over four, you've got to pay a little bit minus 120 out there.
[2:39:05] You can go ahead and get that.
[2:39:06] And then I'm also with the guys with Singer.”
Miami and Pittsburgh combined for exactly 4 runs through five innings (Marlins 1, Pirates 3), pushing the first-five over 4 (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Marlins 1, Pirates 3)
First five innings over 4.5
“[2:39:06] And then I'm also with the guys with Singer.
[2:39:08] But I also think Rodon, a little bit shaky as well.
[2:39:11] I think he can come back down to earth a little bit here.
[2:39:13] So I'm going to go over first five between the Royals and the Yankees,
[2:39:16] over four and a half, that one.
[2:39:18] And I have another home run prop, but we'll get to that during the parlay.”
Kansas City and New York combined for 6 runs through five innings (3-3), clearing the first-five over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Royals 3, Yankees 3)
Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run
“[2:41:01] Femi, who are you rolling with in the home run parlay tonight?
[2:41:03] No one with Aaron Judge thus far.
[2:41:05] Nobody with Judge, but I'm going narrative play, the guy that's trying to run down Aaron Judge,
[2:41:09] that being Bobby Witt Jr.
[2:41:11] Rodon be serving him up 10% on the barrel percentage, also 41% hard hit percentage.
[2:41:15] That is also bottom 10 in the American League among qualified pitchers.
[2:41:18] So I think Bobby Wood Jr. is going to rise to the occasion at Yankee Stadium.
[2:41:22] He knows that this is his last chance to make it a conversation.
[2:41:24] He goes yard tonight.”
Bobby Witt Jr. went 1-for-4 with no home runs against the Yankees (ESPN box score). (Bobby Witt Jr.: 0 home runs)
Under 43.5
“[2:52:06] All right, Femi, where do we stand right now, side and total,
[2:52:09] as week one concludes in the Bay Area with San Fran and Gang Green?
[2:52:13] Currently, the side and 49ers four-point favorites.
[2:52:16] The total sitting at 43.
[2:52:18] So there's been a little bit of some Niners interest,
[2:52:20] but every time we get the four-and-a-half, Jets money then comes in.
[2:52:23] But the total's been steadily on the under, on the decline here.
[2:52:26] So 43 and a half are out there, but 43 the consensus number.
[2:52:29] All right, so what do you have for us here with Jets in San Francisco tonight?
[2:52:31] Side total or props?
[2:52:34] I would maybe play like a half unit, a small bet on under 43 and a half if you can find one.
[2:52:40] We gave out under 44 earlier last week and talked about that was the key number in this game.
[2:52:44] But if you just want something in this game, I think both of these defenses are going to be a little bit further ahead of the offenses.
[2:52:49] That's sort of been the theme of week one in the NFL.
[2:52:51] I felt a lot of people have been talking about how the passing yards are down,
[2:52:53] passing touchdowns are down.
[2:52:54] Rodgers hasn't played since week one of last year.
[2:52:57] And also the Niners' key parts, McCaffrey dealing with a calf and an Achilles.
[2:53:01] You just got there a couple weeks ago.
[2:53:02] Williams just got there last week.
[2:53:04] I think their key components, they might not be clicking on all cylinders.
[2:53:07] So I like the under in this game.
[2:53:09] I'm going to play the first half under in the game.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — San Francisco beat the Jets 32-19; combined 51 points sail over the 43.5 total (ESPN box score).
Los Angeles Rams moneyline
“[1:10:14] victory i i'll say this we could be sitting here two weeks from now the rams are just coming off
[1:10:18] win against the 49ers and they're sitting there at two and one and and the ship has sailed so to me
[1:10:23] i didn't even want to chance it to say oh maybe they fall to own two uh bump that i bet them again
[1:10:27] today to go ahead and win we're doubling down okay we are doubling down on the rambley for us”
ARI 41, LAR 10 — Arizona beat the Rams 41-10; Rams moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles first half -0.5 (-105)
“[24:29] But it's time for me to give out my bet for this game because for my bet, I'm going to go with the Eagles first half.
[24:34] Lay in the half, minus 105.
[24:36] I think Philly, they tend to start fast under Nick Sirianni in these regular season openers.
[24:41] He's been the head coach since 2021.
[24:43] Back in 2021 that season, they led 15-6 against the Atlanta Falcons.
[24:47] In 2022, they led 24-14 against the Detroit Lions.
[24:50] last season, a season that wasn't that great for them in terms of the expectations.
[24:54] They led 16 to 14 against the New England Patriots and were up 16-0 after the first quarter.
[25:00] So I think the Eagles are going to start fast in this game because they've had all offseason
[25:03] to get ready.
[25:04] I also think that this offense might catch the Packers off guard a little bit just because
[25:07] we haven't seen Kellen Moore with Jalen Hurts.
[25:09] So I like the Eagles angle.
[25:11] And on the other side, the Packers, it's been hit or miss for them in the first half of some
[25:15] of these regular season openers.
[25:16] In 2019, they led against the Chicago Bears 7-3.
[25:19] 2020 they led 22 to 10 against minnesota but in 2021 they trailed 17 to 3 against new orleans
[25:25] 2022 they trailed 17 nothing against minnesota and then last year they led 10 to 6 against the
[25:31] chicago bears so i like the eagles in the first half i think they start fast as for the full game
[25:36] your bets as good as mine uh i don't know what's going to happen in the full game but eagles first
[25:40] half for me alex give me the next story all right and really quick jaden reed i kept you in the 17th”
17-19 — Green Bay led Philadelphia 19-17 at halftime (Q1 6-0, Q2 13-17 cumulative), so the Eagles first-half -0.5 lost (ESPN box score).
Tennessee Titans +4
“[35:02] as we always see in week ones traditionally we'll see this rookie quarterbacks getting faded in the
[35:09] betting market so this was about as high as five even four and a halves were out there across the
[35:15] board but now we're down to three and a half with the Chicago Bears so interest and money mine
[35:20] included has come in on the Tennessee Titans I took plus four even at three and a half I'm interested
[35:25] in it at that number I think anything more than a field goal is a look for the Tennessee Titans
[35:29] And that's not just because of all the trends that you tend to see with rookie quarterbacks.”
24-17 — Chicago beat Tennessee 24-17, so the Titans' -7 margin missed the +4 line (ESPN box score).
Northern Illinois Huskies +28
“[1:45] that in that route then i also like northern illinois against notre dame notre dame coming
[1:50] off a massive victory maybe the biggest win under marcus freeman definitely on the road at texas a
[1:55] them now they come home play this northern illinois team they're laying four touchdowns
[1:59] give me northern illinois getting up all those points plus 28 you can still find nothing for me”
Northern Illinois 16, Notre Dame 14 — Northern Illinois upset Notre Dame 16-14 on a last-second blocked-FG-return field goal, winning outright and covering +28 (ESPN box score).
Over 55.5
“[2:04] with the colorado nebraska side do like the total though because i think if colorado is going to be
[2:08] competitive it has to go over that defense is terrible what we saw against north dakota state
[2:12] so i think dylan raiola the mini mahomes might have a breakout party against that colorado defense
[2:16] and i think shador and travis hunter are good enough to at least match point for points at
[2:20] at least in the early going over 55 and a half.”
Nebraska 28, Colorado 10 — Nebraska beat Colorado 28-10, combined 38 points, well under the 55.5 total (ESPN box score).
Jaguars-Dolphins over 48.5
“[11:14] Miami, minus 3.25.
[11:15] So again, just like Atlanta, in between
[11:17] 3 and 3.5. Total Femi
[11:19] of 49 I don think we have we do have one significant piece of injury news in this game Jalen Ramsey just got a billion dollars guaranteed I might not play on Sunday He listed as questionable with I believe a hamstring injury
[11:32] Obviously, if he doesn't play, I mean, it makes you feel even better about potentially the over of this game.
[11:35] So anything for you, my friend here with Jacksonville and Miami Dolphins will be without rookie receiver Malik Washington.
[11:41] It's a lean for me on the side.
[11:43] Three minus one.
[11:43] I'm really starting to consider Miami.
[11:45] But this Ramsey injury is a concern for that regard.
[11:48] But because of that Ramsey injury, it's a bet to be over.
[11:51] I bet over 48 and a half.
[11:52] There's still one out there.
[11:53] 49 is a consensus number.
[11:55] I still think you can go over 49.
[11:57] Both of these offenses are going to find some success, especially if Jalen Ramsey is out.
[12:01] Now we're talking about Ramsey and Bradley Chubb.
[12:03] Jalen Phillips likely on some kind of a pitch count coming off of the Achilles injury.
[12:07] I think Trevor Lawrence and that Jags offense that has been criticized for not pushing the ball down the field.
[12:11] Lawrence's yards per attempt is always on the lower end compared to the other quarterbacks in the NFL.
[12:16] I think that changes this year.
[12:17] Brian Thomas Jr., the rookie, he's going to have a big game, I think, as well.
[12:20] And I think that offensive line is better, which will allow him to push the ball down the field.
[12:24] And then I just absolutely love this Miami Dolphins offense.
[12:27] Mike McDaniel will have new wrinkles to a competent quarterback, led the league in passing.
[12:31] I think he picks up right where he left off in the regular season.
[12:34] Tyree kill a big weapon for that team. I think we see a lot of points in South and conflicting views on the Jalen Ramsey injury.
[12:40] I've heard some people say and I've read some read some people tweet that because the Dolphins play on Thursday night in week two against the Bills,
[12:46] that they'll hold Jalen Ramsey out to make sure he's good to go,
[12:49] not just because the Buffalo game's more important,
[12:51] but because increased injury risk playing a couple days later,
[12:54] and other people saying, well, now he signed his contract,
[12:56] so his hamstring's automatically going to be better.
[12:57] So we'll see.
[12:58] Over in the game for me, whether Ramsey plays or not,”
Miami 20, Jacksonville 17 — Miami beat Jacksonville 20-17 on a last-second field goal; combined 37 points missed the 48.5 total (ESPN box score).
Buffalo Bills -6.5
“[22:30] Let's go to Western New York.
[22:31] Bills and the Cardinals in Buffalo.
[22:32] Bills, a six and a half point home favorite against Kyler Murray.
[22:35] Calamity Gannon and the Redbirds total.
[22:38] This is fascinating.
[22:39] Total is 47 and a half and juiced to the under 47.
[22:43] One of the key numbers that we talk about betting totals here and that move in concordance with the favorite.
[22:49] And you said this on the show yesterday.
[22:50] You're right.
[22:51] Normally favorite and overcorporate.
[22:53] In this game, we think favorite and under might be correlated because I don't know what the case is that Arizona wins or covers a game that goes under the total.
[23:00] I'm starting to think that Arizona might be the dead dog walking that everyone seems to be.
[23:04] And Buffalo is just going to say Buffalo's going to say I don't disagree.
[23:07] I think I'm going to lay six and a half in this game.
[23:09] I think I'm going to lay it just because if I think it's right.
[23:13] If Josh Allen is as good as I think he is, I think that Josh Allen is one of three best quarterbacks in the league.
[23:17] How in the world is this defense going to stop?
[23:19] I don't care if he's throwing to Keon Coleman or Derek Coleman and the NBA.
[23:22] Like he's going to go ahead and have a big game.
[23:26] And I think that their defense will be good enough to work.
[23:28] The back door will probably be open and that will be sweaty Sunday afternoon.
[23:31] But I'm going to lay the six and a half of Buffalo.
[23:33] My decision is at 47, how much money do I want to bet on the over if it gets there?”
Buffalo 34, Arizona 28 — Buffalo beat Arizona 34-28, a 6-point margin that fell just short of the Bills' -6.5 (ESPN box score).
Texans-Colts over 48.5
“[23:56] Okay, to the AFC South, Texans and Colts in Indianapolis.
[24:00] Texans minus 2.75.
[24:03] The number is three at BetMGM, juice towards Indianapolis.
[24:06] Femi, the total is 49.
[24:07] And that's where my attention is, is with this total.
[24:09] I'm going to bet this over 48 and a half.
[24:11] 49 at BetMGM, but as always shop around, there's some 48 and a halves out there in the market.
[24:16] I love the matchup of this Houston Texans passing game against the Indianapolis Colts secondary.
[24:20] The Colts secondary is atrocious.
[24:22] C.J. Stroud, with all the weapons that they have, I mean, Robert Woods is his wide receiver for it.
[24:26] This is going to be a really good offense.
[24:27] You love Robert Woods.
[24:28] I think he's a productive player.
[24:30] He's a professional.
[24:31] He's a pro.
[24:31] Yeah, he's a pro.
[24:32] Pro's pro.
[24:32] He's like an 80.
[24:33] Technically, everyone's a pro in the NFL, but he's a pro's pro.
[24:36] And I think that on the other side, Shane Steichen, really good offensive coach.
[24:40] He's going to have some stuff drawn up for Anthony Richardson using his legs.
[24:43] The run game, which is probably the weakness of the Houston Texans defense is defending the run.
[24:47] you're going to get Anthony Richardson, Jonathan Taylor, those guys going downhill.
[24:51] I think this is going to be the most exciting game of the early window.
[24:53] Give me the over 48 and a half.”
Houston 29, Indianapolis 27 — Houston beat Indianapolis 29-27; combined 56 points cleared the 48.5 total (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Eagles — first half -0.5 (-105)
“[26:30] I do have a bet in this game, not for the full side for a first-half bet,
[26:34] but I just think that with the total, a lot of people expecting points.
[26:38] The props are going to be really, really popular.
[26:40] and the Packers appear to be popular as that's now down to two across the board we'll do it again
[26:44] coming up at the end of the show but I you know just to pay off the people that are watching and
[26:47] listening now but what's your first half bet why do you like it for tonight Eagles first half why
[26:51] uh the Eagles they always start fast under Nick Sirianni ever since he's been the coach in 2021
[26:55] they've won all the first halves that they've played in all of them road games minus a half
[26:59] so as long as the Eagles are winning at the end of the first half then we're gonna go if it's tied
[27:03] then we're bleep out of luck but it's laying a half minus 105 for me just because they start fast
[27:09] they've had all offseason kellen more in this offense which i have questions about but i also
[27:13] do think that because we don't know what's gonna what it's gonna look like i think that could also
[27:17] catch the green bay off guard and i know green bay jeff halfley should be more improved than what
[27:21] we saw with joe barry as a dc last year but i think the eagles can come out start fast and
[27:26] matt lafor's teams it's been hit or miss in week ones i mean it's been the saints game down in
[27:31] jacksonville where they got blown off of the field there was the game by the vikings exactly
[27:36] They've had ones where they were successful.
[27:38] Last year they led against Chicago at halftime.
[27:40] But when they play good teams, it can sometimes look a little bit poor.
[27:44] So I wanted to back the Eagles in this one first half.
[27:46] Full game, your guess is as good as mine as to what's going to happen.
[27:49] Maybe I'll look to back.
[27:50] Maybe I'll come back with Green Bay in the second half.
[27:52] That could be the look.
[27:52] But for me, in the first half, it's going to be Philadelphia.
[27:54] So I was thinking this morning, I'm going to bet the over in the game,”
Green Bay led Philadelphia 19-17 at halftime, so the Eagles' first-half -0.5 did not cover (ESPN box score). (Halftime: Green Bay 19, Philadelphia 17)
Washington Nationals — first five innings (-105)
“[39:42] and Brewers. I think both pitchers actually might be a little bit better than what some of their
[39:45] statistics show and i'm gonna back DJ Herz in the first five for the washington nationals i like
[39:49] that minus 105 against the pittsburgh pirates i stay in that series going back to that one and
[39:54] then i like the the diamondbacks first five against the astros plus money plus 150 you might even be”
Washington led Pittsburgh 2-0 after five innings in the Sept 7 doubleheader opener; Nationals first-five moneyline covers (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Nationals 2, Pirates 0)
Arizona Diamondbacks — first five innings (+150)
“[39:54] then i like the the diamondbacks first five against the astros plus money plus 150 you might even be
[39:58] able to get a better price out there i know valdez has been getting bet but i like brandon
[40:01] fought wicked five dude i'm going with them as i was gonna do the decks i had i was gonna do the
[40:06] wicked five also you like that one as well no but we'll be um same side apo taco oh let's go buddy”
Arizona trailed Houston 0-4 after five innings; Diamondbacks first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Diamondbacks 0, Astros 4)
Pittsburgh Pirates — first five innings (-110)
“[2:36:50] or as everyone calls it the MLB.
[2:36:53] In the Major League Baseball, Jake and I are going oppo taco,
[2:36:56] at least in this Pirates-Nats game.
[2:36:58] I'm going to back Bailey Falter, and maybe it will be to my fault,
[2:37:01] but this is a plug-your-nose sort of situation for me.
[2:37:03] I think Jake Irvin, some of his peripheral numbers are not as great
[2:37:07] as what some of the actual numbers have been.
[2:37:09] So I'm going to go first five.
[2:37:10] So let hopefully that the Pirates lead after five and then the Nats can come back and win that one for Jake So maybe we both win and it can be a nice little show win for both of us here But I going with the Pirates first five minus that 110 Oh and then I got a couple more bets”
6-3 — Pittsburgh led Washington 6-3 after five innings (5-run 2nd, 1-run 3rd vs Washington's 3-run 1st), so the Pirates first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score).
First-five over 4.5 (+100)
“[2:37:22] I also like the over and the Rockies and the Braves.
[2:37:25] Both Gomber and Lopez, these are guys who have been living right, beyond right.
[2:37:29] There has to be some sort of regression negatively coming soon.
[2:37:32] So I like the over four and a half now when that's even money.
[2:37:34] And then the plug your nose special.”
1-1 — Rockies and Braves were tied 1-1 after five innings, a combined 2 runs, under the first-five 4.5 total (ESPN box score).
Detroit Tigers — first five innings
“[2:37:32] So I like the over four and a half now when that's even money.
[2:37:34] And then the plug your nose special.
[2:37:35] I'm back in the Detroit Tigers first five with Casey Mize on the mound
[2:37:38] against Martin Perez of the San Diego Padres.
[2:37:41] Rank the following tacos.”
0-3 — San Diego led Detroit 3-0 after five innings, so the Tigers first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Noah Gray anytime touchdown (+700)
“[2:53:39] February in New Orleans uh before we get to that Royal Prop King Femi you have any props you like
[2:53:44] for the game tonight a narrative prop Noah Gray got paid earlier today I think Noah Gray reaches
[2:53:50] the ends of seven to one anytime TD score and I might just for the fun of it because it is the
[2:53:55] first game of the season I might go 45 to one first TD score for Noah Gray seven to one on the
[2:54:00] any time touchdowns and with that MGM second chance promotion if Noah Gray scores the second
[2:54:04] touchdown get my money back get your money back cash back the sports book like a credit card
[2:54:08] yeah kind of the sports book born in Vegas and with that bring bring the dope best be Jake already”
The game's only touchdowns were by Derrick Henry, Xavier Worthy (x2), and Isaiah Likely; Noah Gray did not score against Baltimore (ESPN recap/box score). (Noah Gray: 0 touchdowns)
Chicago Bears to miss the playoffs (-115)
“[27:39] that because people are definitely betting them they're plus 325 to win the division I know a lot
[27:43] of folks have bet them to make the playoffs as I put in that bet that you recommended PJ bears to
[27:47] miss the playoffs minus 115 what I thought was just like I mean as I maybe it was a postponed
[27:53] Labor Day sale or something like that at the sportsbooks but I took advantage of it and then
[27:57] bet that price because I think that with a rookie quarterback 50 50 is what you're pretty much going
[28:01] to give me on the seem to miss the playoffs i'm going to take that with i don't care if it's the
[28:05] next coming and they're a rookie quarterback like i will go ahead and bet against them because it's
[28:09] just so hard for those guys to ultimately make the playoffs but uh yeah hard knocks this year”
The Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, last in the NFC North, and missed the playoffs (ESPN standings). (Bears: 5-12, missed playoffs)
Michigan Wolverines +7.5
“[40:44] Yeah, as somebody who bet Michigan plus seven and a half, that is not music to my ears.
[40:49] That makes me a little concerned, like Tyler mentioned.
[40:51] The more you think about this game and how the two teams are going to match up together, it's a little bit concerning on that side.
[40:57] But yeah, we're in the boat regardless.
[41:00] Whether I feel good or feel bad about it, I already made the bet, so we're going to see how it plays out on Saturday.
[41:04] But I do sort of like your first half angle with the Wolverines.”
TEX 31, MICH 12 — Texas beat Michigan 31-12; Michigan (+7.5) lost by 19, missing the cover (ESPN box score).
Cardinals-Brewers first-five over 4
“[6:51] But for me, like I said, a lot of plays here on my card today in Major League Baseball.
[6:56] And we'll start off with the Cardinals Brewers.
[6:58] I'm going to go over first five over four.
[7:01] Sonny Gray, anytime he steps out of Busch Stadium, he's never good.
[7:05] He's never good.
[7:05] And Miller Park is actually one of the houses that haunts him.
[7:09] It's a house of horrors out there for him.
[7:10] And against Colin Ray, Ray is just a guy, honestly, as a pitcher.
[7:13] So I like the over first four in the first five.
[7:16] I'm with you there on the Diamondbacks.”
Cardinals led Brewers 2-0 through five innings; the 2 combined runs stayed under the over 4 line (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Cardinals 2, Brewers 0)
Arizona Diamondbacks — first five innings (-135)
“[7:16] I'm with you there on the Diamondbacks.
[7:18] I think Gallon, Mr. Every Other, doesn't matter whether he's at home or away.
[7:21] He has one really good start, one bad start, one really good start.
[7:24] His last start, not so good.
[7:25] I think today he's going to be a really good start.
[7:27] So I'm going to go with the Diamondbacks on the first five, not messing with the total.
[7:29] I like the Diamondbacks minus 135 against Hayden Bursong in the first five against the Giants.
[7:34] And let's go to Kansas City, where I think Ben Lively and Seth Lugo,”
Diamondbacks led Giants 3-0 through five innings, winning the first-five moneyline outright (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Diamondbacks 3, Giants 0)
Guardians-Royals first-five over 4.5
“[7:34] And let's go to Kansas City, where I think Ben Lively and Seth Lugo,
[7:38] a couple guys that had just been living right all throughout this season.
[7:41] Seth Lugo, chief among them.
[7:42] I'm going to go over four and a half in the first five between the Guardians and the Royals.
[7:47] Royals just can't figure out this Guardians lineup.
[7:49] And I do think that Kansas City's lineup will finally wake up and do something.
[7:52] So I like the over in the first five in that contest.”
Royals led Guardians 4-1 through five innings; the 5 combined runs cleared the over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Royals 4, Guardians 1)
Over 8.5 (-115)
“[7:55] I'm going to go over full game between the Yankees and the Rangers,
[7:58] over eight and a half, minus 115.
[8:00] Strowman's just begging to get roughed up anytime he steps out on the mound.
[8:03] And Nathan Nivaldi, good pitcher, but I think this Yankees lineup is going to wake up.
[8:08] Judge is going to wake up as well.
[8:10] Spoiler alert for what might to come later on when we do our home run parlay.
[8:13] But I think the Yankees will finally get the bats cooking there down in Texas in Arlington against the Texas Rangers.
[8:19] And I agree with Jake.”
TEX 10, NYY 6 — Rangers beat Yankees 10-6; the combined 16 runs cleared the over 8.5 (ESPN box score).
Astros-Reds first-five under 4.5
“[8:19] And I agree with Jake.
[8:20] I think Spencer Arrigetti is going to have a really good game.
[8:22] So I like the first five under Astros and the Reds.
[8:26] Arrigetti is really good.
[8:27] Martinez sneakily pretty good as well.
[8:29] So I like the under in that first five under four and a half.
[8:32] And then let's go to San Diego for the Tigers and Padres.”
Reds led Astros 12-1 through five innings; the 13 combined runs busted the under 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Reds 12, Astros 1)
Tigers-Padres first-five over 4.5
“[8:32] And then let's go to San Diego for the Tigers and Padres.
[8:35] I'm going to go over four and a half.
[8:37] Welcome back, you Darvish.
[8:38] Whenever these guys come back after long stints on the IL,
[8:41] I look to fade them.
[8:42] And then Cater Montero is just another guy.
[8:45] So I like to go over four and a half, first five,
[8:47] with the Tigers and the Padres.
[8:50] So those are my plays today in Major League Baseball.”
Tigers and Padres were tied 5-5 through five innings; the 10 combined runs cleared the over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Tigers 5, Padres 5)
Lars Nootbaar to hit a home run (+700)
“[17:54] But I also wanted to give out some home run bets
[17:56] because I teased that I had a bunch of home run bets.
[17:58] I'll give those out real quick
[17:59] before we get into our survivor pool strategy discussion here.
[18:02] I like Lars Neutbard tonight at 7-1
[18:05] to go ahead and leave the yard.
[18:07] I'm going back to El Bombi.
[18:08] I think we get a lot of home runs in this Yankees-Rangers game.”
Lars Nootbaar went 1-for-2 with no home run against Milwaukee (ESPN box score). (Lars Nootbaar: 1-for-2, 0 HR)
Adolis García to hit a home run (+400)
“[18:02] I like Lars Neutbard tonight at 7-1
[18:05] to go ahead and leave the yard.
[18:07] I'm going back to El Bombi.
[18:08] I think we get a lot of home runs in this Yankees-Rangers game.
[18:11] He pays out plus 400 Adolis García
[18:14] I'm going to also go Kerry Carpenter to Homer off of you Darvish in his return off the IEL plus 550.”
Adolis Garcia doubled but did not homer against New York (ESPN box score). (Adolis Garcia: 1-for-4, 0 HR)
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run (+550)
“[18:11] He pays out plus 400 Adolis García
[18:14] I'm going to also go Kerry Carpenter to Homer off of you Darvish in his return off the IEL plus 550.
[18:19] And then in that same game, I got to do it.
[18:22] We talked about NL rookie of the year in the last segment, Jackson Merrill plus 575 to hit her Homer off of a cater Montero.”
Kerry Carpenter went 1-for-5 with no home run against San Diego (ESPN box score). (Kerry Carpenter: 1-for-5, 0 HR)
Jackson Merrill to hit a home run (+575)
“[18:19] And then in that same game, I got to do it.
[18:22] We talked about NL rookie of the year in the last segment, Jackson Merrill plus 575 to hit her Homer off of a cater Montero.
[18:29] They're in the Tigers Padres game later on this evening at Petco Park.
[18:32] So those are the home run parlays in addition to Aaron,
[18:34] home run bets, I should say, in addition to Aaron Judge,
[18:38] that I also like as well at plus 290 to lead the yard tonight in Major League Baseball.”
Jackson Merrill hit a three-run home run off Detroit's Keider Montero, going 3-for-5 (ESPN box score). (Jackson Merrill: 3-for-5, 1 HR)
Green Bay Packers +3
“[42:21] environment down there in brazil so i like the packers getting a field goal if you can find it
[42:26] wherever you do your betting the the game that we came back with on the rejoin was the rematch of
[42:31] the rams and the lions wild card game that we saw last year in the playoffs and it looks like we
[42:36] could be heading towards three with the Detroit Lions. There's still three and a half as a
[42:40] consensus number. The total sitting at 51, a lot of points expected. I believe that might be the
[42:45] highest total that we have this week. One, the Dolphins Jaguars game might be the second highest
[42:50] one with the Colts and Texans right behind that. But if we get a field goal, I love the Lions.
[42:55] And this is coming from somebody who's a part of the Ramily. I'm in the Ramily. I love the Rams
[43:00] this year to win the NFC West. I like them as a team to win the NFC and ultimately maybe lose to
[43:04] someone like Kansas City in the Super Bowl. I'm all in on the Rams, but at some point there has to
[43:10] be value on the Detroit Lions, and this is what the Rams having some injuries up front on the
[43:16] offensive line. Larry Jackson, their stud left tackle, he's suspended for this game, not coming
[43:20] back, I believe, until week two or week three. I just love the spot for the Lions. That crowd's
[43:25] going to be absolutely fired up, and when you look at that roster up and down from both sides of the
[43:30] ball on the trenches, the receivers, they've bolstered the secondary. Dan Campbell's an aggressive
[43:34] front-facing head coach.
[43:36] I think the Detroit Lions are going to put up a lot of points.
[43:38] I think they make a statement Sunday night.
[43:40] So if you ever get a three in that one, I think the Lions are the play.
[43:43] And then the game that we've talked about quite a bit over the course of these past two weeks,
[43:48] I'm sure we're going to talk about a little bit more later on in this show,
[43:51] the New York Jets and the San Francisco 49ers.
[43:54] For me, once again, as I said in the last segment, that is a look towards the under.
[43:59] Primetime unders tend to do well early on in the season.
[44:02] but I just am a little bit skeptical of the Jets' offense,”
Eagles 34, Packers 29 — Philadelphia beat Green Bay 34-29 in Sao Paulo on Sept 6, 2024; the Packers lost outright, busting +3 (ESPN box score).
Over 49
“[1:41:52] I like that over.
[1:41:53] It's 49.
[1:41:53] There's 48 and a half out there as well.
[1:41:55] I would like to go over Jacksonville and Dolphins over 49 is what we'll call it.
[1:41:59] I will join you on that over also.
[1:42:01] We've talked about that for a number of weeks here on You Better You Bet,
[1:42:04] like the over in that game.
[1:42:05] Also, give me the Jags with this open like four.
[1:42:09] Just like no way.
[1:42:11] Three and a half, no way.
[1:42:12] Now like a juice three towards Miami or three and a half juice towards the
[1:42:16] Jacksonville Jaguars.
[1:42:18] I'll bet a juice three and a half.
[1:42:20] I bet this game already, just saying for the people that don't have money on it.
[1:42:23] I think the Jaguars are going to win the game.
[1:42:25] And I like the over.
[1:42:26] And I like Brian Thomas Jr. over 41 and a half receiving yards.
[1:42:29] So quick pick number one for Femi.
[1:42:30] Jags Dolphins over for me.
[1:42:32] I like the Jaguars against the Miami Dolphins.
[1:42:34] Femi, quick pick numero dos.
[1:42:37] There's a three and a half in the market right now for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
[1:42:40] It's minus 115, but at that point, I like the Steelers plus three.
[1:42:44] So three and a half against Kirk Cousins, who we've yet to see play since around Halloween
[1:42:48] when he tore his Achilles.”
Dolphins 20, Jaguars 17 — Miami beat Jacksonville 20-17 on Sept 8, 2024; the combined 37 points stay under 49 (ESPN box score).
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
“[1:43:08] Give me the Steelers three and a half on the road in Atlanta.
[1:43:11] A little echo chambery here.
[1:43:14] We've been doing the show for two weeks now.
[1:43:15] Yeah, like duh.
[1:43:16] I like the Steelers also.
[1:43:18] The three and a half.
[1:43:19] Hilarious.
[1:43:20] I'm with Femi.
[1:43:21] Pittsburgh Steelers plus three, plus three and a half on the road in Atlanta.
[1:43:24] And just for any time touchdowns, keep this in mind.
[1:43:26] We know Pat Friermuth is the Steelers' number one tight end in name at least on the depth chart.
[1:43:32] In the preseason, Pittsburgh played all their tight ends basically.
[1:43:36] I think this is going to be statistically probably a down year.
[1:43:39] He's still their best tight end.
[1:43:41] But we know what Arthur Smith wants to do.
[1:43:42] He wants to play a billion tight ends.
[1:43:44] Anytime touchdown-wise here, I think we'll have a Steelers backup tight end that makes the anytime touchdown card coming up for week one.
[1:43:51] So Femi and I in concert.
[1:43:52] Quick pick numero dos.
[1:43:53] Both of us like the Pittsburgh Steelers.
[1:43:55] Femi, quick pick numero tres for you.
[1:43:57] I'm going to go into the over in that game of the AFC South, Texans and the Colts.
[1:44:02] I love both of these offenses, or at least the prospects of both of these offenses.
[1:44:06] I think Shane Steikin is going to have some more stuff cooked up for Anthony Richardson,
[1:44:08] who I'm a little bit uncertain to how it's going to go,”
Steelers 18, Falcons 10 — Pittsburgh beat Atlanta 18-10 on Sept 8, 2024, covering +3.5 (ESPN box score).
Washington Nationals first five innings (+112)
“[2:08:26] So give me Patrick Corbin.
[2:08:27] I'm going though Nats first five.
[2:08:29] I'm not going the full game.
[2:08:30] I'm going first five with the Nats at plus 112.
[2:08:32] I'm backing Chris Bassett at home for the Toronto Blue Jays.
[2:08:35] A little bit hairy against the Phillies.
[2:08:37] But the Phillies lineup, as of recently, just hasn't been really popping.
[2:08:41] I think they're in a little bit of a slump.
[2:08:42] Hopefully they can figure that out by the time they get to October.
[2:08:44] but minus 125 Toronto first five for me.
[2:08:48] And then also I'm going with the first five over four in the Red Sox and
[2:08:52] Mets,
[2:08:52] not a fan of Cutter Crawford and David Peterson.
[2:08:55] Eventually all this regression is going to hit him and it's not going to be
[2:08:58] a good day for the New York Mets when that happens.
[2:09:00] So I like the over four first side between the Mets and the Red Sox in the
[2:09:04] rematch of the 1986 world series,
[2:09:06] which I'm sure Boston fans would like to forget.
[2:09:08] Hashtag bill Buckner,
[2:09:09] hashtag Mookie Wilson.
[2:09:10] My problem with,
[2:09:11] with Patrick Corbett and the Nats,
[2:09:13] I thought about it.
[2:09:14] I don't love the price.
[2:09:16] Like if I'm going to bet Patrick Corbin,”
First five: Nationals 4, Marlins 1 (final: Nationals 6, Marlins 2) — Washington led Miami [Marlins] 4-1 through five innings on Sept 3, 2024, so the Nationals first-five moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
Toronto Blue Jays first five innings (-125)
“[2:08:32] I'm backing Chris Bassett at home for the Toronto Blue Jays.
[2:08:35] A little bit hairy against the Phillies.
[2:08:37] But the Phillies lineup, as of recently, just hasn't been really popping.
[2:08:41] I think they're in a little bit of a slump.
[2:08:42] Hopefully they can figure that out by the time they get to October.
[2:08:44] but minus 125 Toronto first five for me.
[2:08:48] And then also I'm going with the first five over four in the Red Sox and
[2:08:52] Mets,
[2:08:52] not a fan of Cutter Crawford and David Peterson.
[2:08:55] Eventually all this regression is going to hit him and it's not going to be
[2:08:58] a good day for the New York Mets when that happens.
[2:09:00] So I like the over four first side between the Mets and the Red Sox in the
[2:09:04] rematch of the 1986 world series,
[2:09:06] which I'm sure Boston fans would like to forget.
[2:09:08] Hashtag bill Buckner,
[2:09:09] hashtag Mookie Wilson.
[2:09:10] My problem with,
[2:09:11] with Patrick Corbett and the Nats,
[2:09:13] I thought about it.
[2:09:14] I don't love the price.
[2:09:16] Like if I'm going to bet Patrick Corbin,
[2:09:17] I need a little bit better than that price,
[2:09:19] but that would be more I would,
[2:09:21] if I had to bet that game,
[2:09:22] that's what I would do as well.”
First five: Blue Jays 6, Phillies 4 (final: Phillies 10, Blue Jays 9) — Toronto led Philadelphia 6-4 through five innings on Sept 3, 2024, so the Blue Jays first-five moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 4
“[2:08:48] And then also I'm going with the first five over four in the Red Sox and
[2:08:52] Mets,
[2:08:52] not a fan of Cutter Crawford and David Peterson.
[2:08:55] Eventually all this regression is going to hit him and it's not going to be
[2:08:58] a good day for the New York Mets when that happens.
[2:09:00] So I like the over four first side between the Mets and the Red Sox in the
[2:09:04] rematch of the 1986 world series,
[2:09:06] which I'm sure Boston fans would like to forget.
[2:09:08] Hashtag bill Buckner,
[2:09:09] hashtag Mookie Wilson.
[2:09:10] My problem with,
[2:09:11] with Patrick Corbett and the Nats,
[2:09:13] I thought about it.
[2:09:14] I don't love the price.
[2:09:16] Like if I'm going to bet Patrick Corbin,
[2:09:17] I need a little bit better than that price,
[2:09:19] but that would be more I would,
[2:09:21] if I had to bet that game,
[2:09:22] that's what I would do as well.
[2:09:23] And I did think about it.
[2:09:24] I tease for my baseball bets
[2:09:26] that I have a couple of really gross ones.
[2:09:28] Let's get both of them out of the way really quickly.
[2:09:30] How do we feel about White Sox first five tonight
[2:09:32] against a Maury son, Mr. Povich”
First five: Mets 2, Red Sox 1 (final: Mets 7, Red Sox 2) — Boston and New York combined for 3 runs through five innings (Red Sox 1, Mets 2) on Sept 3, 2024, staying under 4 (ESPN box score).
Patrick Mahomes to win NFL MVP
“[2:36:17] Kansas City Chiefs quarterback. It's not sexy. He's the favorite. He's at 5 to 1 or 6 to 1 at
[2:36:21] some spots it's Patrick Mahomes he didn't win it last year so there's no real voter fatigue to drag
[2:36:25] him down and he's a three-time Super Bowl winner three-time Super Bowl MVP he is one of the greatest
[2:36:31] quarterbacks of all time I think the voters will have nothing uh no sort of I guess apprehension
[2:36:36] of giving him another MVP and I think he'll get his third one at the end of the season yeah I I said
[2:36:41] at the beginning of the show I got the script uh my sources out in Vegas are telling me that I have the answer Like Femi right Unfortunately because it boring Patrick Mahomes to win NFL Most Valuable Player Tyler agree or disagree on Mahomes
[2:36:56] I mean, Femi took what I was taking word for word.
[2:36:58] I was going to pick Jared Goff.
[2:36:59] I didn't know the people were actually going to give it to him.
[2:37:01] So let's go Patrick Mahomes.
[2:37:02] I feel this is going to be an easy one here.
[2:37:04] I was hoping Tyler would say Lawrence Butler.
[2:37:06] Jake, please don't make this a clean sweep.
[2:37:07] Give us someone else to an MVP.
[2:37:09] no I was actually going to go with my homes but then I figured this would happen so I intentionally
[2:37:14] went another way because I'm actually terrified of this happening and as such that's why I'm
[2:37:19] convinced it's going to happen I kind of think Jordan Love is going to make another insane leap
[2:37:23] like I don't think the second half of last year was a fluke and as a jaded Bears fan of course the
[2:37:29] Packers are just going to get another guy that torments me for another 20 years of my life
[2:37:32] why wouldn't that happen why should I ever be allowed happiness so I kind of think Jordan Love
[2:37:37] and the Matt LaFleur pairing with him.
[2:37:39] I think the receivers take a leap.
[2:37:40] I'm going to go different, contrarian, Jordan Love.
[2:37:43] Did you guys win the kickball championship on Thursday night?
[2:37:47] Oh, buddy, it was a whole thing.”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award; Patrick Mahomes did not win (Wikipedia NFL MVP Award). (2024 AP NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
Tyreek Hill to win Offensive Player of the Year (+750)
“[2:38:19] i think that tyree kill at plus 750 is a good look here so i think he ultimately wins this award
[2:38:23] because they're gonna put up a lot of numbers down there in south yeah you better you bet you're home
[2:38:27] for chalk uh tyler uh if you say christian mccaffrey we might have to like cancel the show a half an
[2:38:31] hour early. Never. No, no.
[2:38:33] This is actually my favorite future bet, I think, that's available
[2:38:35] on the board next to Jalen Mill Road to win the Heisman.
[2:38:37] I love Amon Ross St.
[2:38:39] Brown this year. I think he's going to put up monster numbers.
[2:38:42] I think the Lions
[2:38:44] are going to be the number one seed, in my
[2:38:45] opinion, in the NFC. I think they have to get
[2:38:47] an award. If they're not going to get Jared Goff, Amon
[2:38:49] Ross St. Brown is set up for a monster year with
[2:38:51] 14 of those 17 games inside a dome.
[2:38:53] I can't stress that enough. 14 of their
[2:38:55] 17 games are going to be in a dome. So I love
[2:38:57] Amon-Ra St. Brown Offensive Player of the Year.
[2:38:59] Jake, tell Tyler why he's right.
[2:39:01] Yeah, all the reasons he said, everything that Tyler just said was basically what I was going to say.
[2:39:06] The inside factor, probably a top two seed in the NFC.
[2:39:09] Not going to give it to Jared Goff.
[2:39:11] Got to reward this team somehow.
[2:39:12] I think it's going to be with Amon-Ra St. Brown
[2:39:14] I will go a little bit off the beaten path here.
[2:39:18] I think that this team has a chance to win a ton of regular season games.”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Tyreek Hill did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL OPOY: Saquon Barkley)
Quinnen Williams to win Defensive Player of the Year
“[2:40:02] I'm going to go with Quinnen Williams to win defensive player of the year.
[2:40:05] Typically, you have to be one of those all pro caliber guys.
[2:40:08] He's been a first team all pro in his career.
[2:40:11] And also the fact that the Jets offense is now competent.
[2:40:13] I think that's going to give him more pass rush opportunities.
[2:40:16] And he's going to take another step forward in that regard.
[2:40:18] He has a double digit sack season already under his belt in his career.
[2:40:22] I think he sees another one this year and he is the defining player on the defining defense this season.
[2:40:27] Quinnen Williams my defensive player of the year defining player on the defining defense like that
[2:40:32] it's like you're channeling your inner joe davis there that was very well done tyler defensive
[2:40:35] player of the year from you here's a chalky pick oh michael parsons career trajectory just feels
[2:40:40] like it's setting up for a uh Offensive Player of the year everyone else up there is one he's
[2:40:44] next michael parsons jake i am also going chalky different way tj watt after he got i mean i know
[2:40:52] he was mad last year whatever the weird tweet so narrative motivated wants it is going to make a
[2:40:57] case to actually just go and get it and make sure nobody else can question it on uh on our video
[2:41:02] screen here we have like his full name instead of i didn't know his name was trent jordan watt i
[2:41:06] think i like tj a lot better i'll go i'll go off the beaten path here also because i think this team
[2:41:12] i don't know if they're going to win their own division but i do think they're going to win a
[2:41:15] lot of regular season games this year starting on Sunday on the road in Miami 17 and a half sacks
[2:41:24] last year the newly minted Naheem's brother Josh Allen Hines for your Jack the real Josh Allen
[2:41:32] Josh Allen Hines by the way did you guys know Josh Allen one sack Josh Allen just uh ask Scott
[2:41:37] Hanson he'd love to tell you Josh Allen 30 to 1 defensive player of the year let's quickly roll
[2:41:43] through the rest of your offensive rookie Femi I'm gonna go with Jayden Daniels I think he is
[2:41:48] gonna have an outstanding season for the Washington Commanders and I think they're gonna make a push
[2:41:51] towards making the playoffs that's gonna give him the nod in this over someone like Caleb Williams”
Patrick Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Quinnen Williams did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL DPOY: Patrick Surtain II)
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“[2:41:43] through the rest of your offensive rookie Femi I'm gonna go with Jayden Daniels I think he is
[2:41:48] gonna have an outstanding season for the Washington Commanders and I think they're gonna make a push
[2:41:51] towards making the playoffs that's gonna give him the nod in this over someone like Caleb Williams
[2:41:55] Tyler Morales we know how I feel about this Caleb Williams I think this is a once in a generation
[2:42:01] guy I think this is a guy that's capable of leading some team to a playoffs in their first
[2:42:04] year I think he's gonna put up monster numbers Caleb Williams is my pick Pat Buchanan just
[2:42:09] kidding jake hasan offensive rookie i tried to not let my bias play into this i went with caleb i
[2:42:14] just mostly trying to manifest that he's awesome all right i guess i'm the one that's going off
[2:42:18] the beaten path here i can't wait to see how it ends up um listen five and a half receptions this
[2:42:24] is number on sunday he's going to go over that in the first 30 minutes of the game the price is still
[2:42:28] crazy it's malik neighbors it's probably not it's actually probably jayden daniels or caleb williams
[2:42:33] maybe bo nicks but uh just for this because i bet this also because i think the number is crazy
[2:42:38] Malik Neighbors, 14-1
[2:42:40] Offensive rookie
[2:42:41] Does anyone want to make the case for someone for defensive rookie of the year?
[2:42:44] Do we want to skip this one because it feels like a total crapshoot?
[2:42:47] Tyler, defensive rookie
[2:42:48] Make a case?
[2:42:49] Yeah, I don't like the defensive ends this year to be honest
[2:42:52] Three corners have won in the last nine years
[2:42:54] So not often
[2:42:55] Vic Fangio said Quinyon Mitchell is going to play every single snap for this defense
[2:42:59] And the way they're hyping this guy
[2:43:01] I've never seen from a rookie on the Eagles
[2:43:03] Which is pretty insane”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award (Wikipedia AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL OROY: Jayden Daniels)
Byron Murphy II to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“[2:43:07] I'm going to go with Byron Murphy II of the Seattle Seahawks.
[2:43:10] A lot of evaluators actually thought he was the best defensive player in this draft.
[2:43:14] And the John Schneider was absolutely giddy that he fell to them in the team.
[2:43:18] So Byron Murphy II is this new centerpiece of Mike McDonald's defense.
[2:43:21] I like him to win D-Roy.
[2:43:23] Let's talk about some nerdy stuff here and some IDP dynasty leagues that I do.
[2:43:29] I have Byron Murphy II in all of them.
[2:43:31] Just like it's really, really, really terrible.
[2:43:34] IDP dynasty.
[2:43:36] Yes, it's really like, yeah, the dynasty with individual defensive players.
[2:43:39] I took Byron Murphy II in like the fourth round.
[2:43:41] I took this other player and a couple also.
[2:43:44] If we don't like the defensive ends, and like maybe Dallas Turner and Latu and Jared Burst could all be really good.
[2:43:48] Also, the prices aren't great at this point now.
[2:43:51] I don't – actually, Chop Robinson's a little interesting with the Dolphins' two top pass rushers coming off injury.
[2:43:56] I'll actually go with the Pittsburgh Steeler linebacker, Payton Wilson at 30-1.
[2:44:01] Like, beer money on this.
[2:44:02] I need to wait to see how these guys look.
[2:44:04] I think this market is the biggest crapshoot every single year,
[2:44:07] defensive rookie of the year Let try and get coach in here Maybe we do comeback on the other side Femi Abebefe coach of the year Skullbaby we going with Kevin O I think the Vikings is my surprise team in the NFC
[2:44:18] Tyler, I think I might get KOC tattooed on his ass by the end of the year.
[2:44:22] We'll pass Tyler, who's doing the skull cheer.
[2:44:25] Jake, coach of the year.
[2:44:26] Matt Eberflus or no?
[2:44:28] Oh, God.”
Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Byron Murphy II did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL DROY: Jared Verse)
Kirk Cousins to win Comeback Player of the Year
“[2:47:37] I'm gonna go Kirk Cousins for my prediction just because I think Burrow and Rogers those guys are
[2:47:42] kind of seen as like above this award and I think Cousins is kind of the feel-good story that voters
[2:47:46] gonna kind of gravitate towards so give me Kirk Cousins even though this award is now boring
[2:47:51] Tyler, 10 seconds, comeback player of the year.
[2:47:54] I took Aaron Rodgers.
[2:47:57] Whatever's going on happening in Bengals, hashtag stink.
[2:47:59] So I don't want any part of that.
[2:48:00] So let's go Aaron Rodgers.
[2:48:02] All right, so Rodgers for Tyler.
[2:48:03] Jake, 10 seconds, comeback player of the year.
[2:48:06] Yeah, I'm also going Rodgers.
[2:48:08] I like Rodgers too.
[2:48:10] I will say if I had to go outside of Rodgers,
[2:48:12] I think it's going to be,
[2:48:13] and I'm curious what Brad thinks about this,
[2:48:15] and I'm sure he'll talk about this all week this week on the show,
[2:48:18] is getting you set for fantasy, prop betting, et cetera.
[2:48:20] I think J.K. Dobbins will emerge as the Chargers' number one running back this year.
[2:48:25] Not Gus Edwards, not the rookie Kamani Vidal.
[2:48:28] Dobbins is 20-1.
[2:48:29] Just saying.
[2:48:30] J.K. Dobbins, 20-1, comeback player of the year.
[2:48:33] But also, give me Aaron Rodgers to win this award.
[2:48:36] Okay.
[2:48:37] Now, we will cross streams.”
Joe Burrow won the 2024 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award; Kirk Cousins did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL CPOY: Joe Burrow)
Chicago Bears under 8.5 wins
“he said, that's the Chicago Bears under. And I believe it's now at 8.5, but earlier you could have found a 9. There's still some 9s out there if you want to play around with the Jews, have to pay a little bit more of a price around that minus 150, minus 160 range.”
The Bears went 5-12 in the 2024 regular season, staying under 8.5 wins (Wikipedia 2024 Chicago Bears season). (Bears 2024 regular-season record: 5-12)
Baltimore Ravens under 10.5 wins
“What else do you like, PJ? So I'm fading my Ravens this year, Femi. I'm going under 10 and a half wins. Probably no surprise to our guy Grant there in Chicago. But I'm down on the Ravens this year. I think it's going to be a tough year for them because of all the change that they have on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they got to replace three of their starting offensive linemen. And their depth at receiver isn't all that great. As much as I love me some Lamar, he has been injured two of the last three seasons. So he's got to prove to me that he can stay healthy for another year. Defensively, I'm a little concerned too, Femi, because they lose one of the best, probably the best defensive coordinator in Mike McDonald. And Zach Orr takes over, who's been in the organization for a number of years as a player and as a coach, but he's only 32 years old. And being the defensive coordinator, they lose guys at all three levels. They lose Clowney, they lose Patrick Queen, they lose Geno Stone in the secondary. And, you know, just the way that the AFC North goes and how tough of a division that this is, you know, it's usually like a changing of the guard consistently. You know, the Ravens won it last year. That's why I like Cleveland a lot this year or think Cincinnati could win the division. So they got a first place schedule on paper. They have one of the top three toughest schedules in football. I think the Ravens are like a 9-10 win team this year. I think they get in as a wild card team in the AFC. Don't hate their price either to miss the playoffs. You want to take a stab there, but I like their under 10 and a half wins. While you were talking about the Ravens, I fully agree with you, so I'm not going to spend much time on that. I was shopping Bears missed the playoff prices. Best I could find in Vegas, minus 115, which I am going to bet, because even at that price, that's incredible. But I 100% agree with you on the Ravens. I actually share that same bet. I bet that earlier this offseason, so we don't have to spend too much time on that. Another one that I do like, and maybe we can talk about this a little bit later in our number two,”
The Ravens went 12-5 in the 2024 regular season, clearing over 10.5 wins, so the under busts (Wikipedia 2024 Baltimore Ravens season). (Ravens 2024 regular-season record: 12-5)
Los Angeles Chargers over 8.5 wins
“I played over eight and a half.”
The Chargers went 11-6 in the 2024 regular season, clearing over 8.5 wins (Wikipedia 2024 Los Angeles Chargers season). (Chargers 2024 regular-season record: 11-6)
Los Angeles Rams to win NFC West (+350)
“love. And it's probably my favorite future bet this upcoming season. And that's the Los Angeles Rams to win the NFC West. I got that at plus 350. I believe BetMGM still has plus 325 on that price. Anything more than three to one, I think is a really, really good bet to make just because I”
The Los Angeles Rams won the NFC West at 10-7 in 2024 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season). (2024 NFC West winner: Los Angeles Rams (10-7))
First five under 4 (-115)
“So for this game in particular, though, I like under four minus 115.”
First five: Athletics 4, Mariners 3 (final: Athletics 5, Mariners 4) — Mariners and Athletics combined for 7 runs through 5 innings (SEA 3, OAK 4), busting the first-five under 4 (ESPN box score).
Ian Happ to hit a home run
“And Jared Jones is serving him up. I like that at Wrigley Field. I think Ian Happ will go ahead and leave the yard. We're going to meet the moment, read the room, leave the yard. Ian Happ will do just that tonight for the Chicago Cubs against Jared Jones. I also like Seah Suzuki as well, plus 575 to Homer. But I'm submitting Ian Happ to the parlay. So Hap will be my parlay submission.”
Ian Happ had a two-run triple but did not hit a home run; Dansby Swanson homered for the Cubs in a 5-3 loss to the Pirates on Sept 2, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Ian Happ: 0 home runs)
Kansas City Chiefs -2.5
“I'll go with the Kansas City Chiefs laying two and a half.”
Chiefs 27, Ravens 20 — Chiefs beat Ravens 27-20 in the Sept 5, 2024 opener at Arrowhead, covering -2.5 with room to spare (ESPN box score).
Over 48.5
“is in this week one, is the over in that Texans-Colts game. We've talked about that a little bit. It's 48-and-a-half. 49 is the consensus number. I still like it at that price going over that number. I think both of these offenses are going to be terrific. If Richardson is as good as everybody says he is, the Colts are going to be able to put up points. I think that the Houston Texans passing game against that Indianapolis secondary secondary might be one of the bigger mismatches in week one like that cold secondary is shaky it's not a lot back there on that back end and gus bradley's not really reinventing the wheel from a schematic standpoint defensively he's still playing that pete carroll seattle three that the entire league is sort of figured out and honestly what got pete carroll fired in seattle so i do like the over in that game that's another one of those like i i like the over because i don't want to lay the two and a half with houston on the road especially with it being a divisional game so i'd rather go ahead and bet the over another one that i i don't i've not bet this game yet pj”
Texans 29, Colts 27 — Texans beat Colts 29-27 on Sept 8, 2024; the combined 56 points clear the over 48.5 (ESPN box score).
Florida State -16
“So Florida State laying 16.”
Boston College 28, Florida State 13 — Boston College upset Florida State 28-13 on Sept 2, 2024; FSU lost outright, busting -16 (ESPN box score).
First five innings under 4.5
“[36:31] I like the Dodgers-Diamondbacks' first five under four and a half.
[36:35] I trust Kershaw and Gallon on the mound.
[36:38] It's going to be a playoff-type atmosphere out there in Arizona.
[36:41] So I like this thing to go under.
[36:43] Both guys, their peripherals have been a little bit better than what they've actually done on the surface.
[36:47] So I like the under in the first five.
[36:48] And then I'm going to go over in the Royals-Astros' first five.
[36:52] That one is set at four minus 115.
[36:54] Lugo and Frambois Valdez.
[36:56] The peripherals, not as good as the actual.
[36:59] Seth Lugo, the dream has been dead.
[37:01] I would have won a boatload of money if you won the Cy Young.
[37:03] He has since regressed post-All-Star break.
[37:06] Frambois has been living not a charmed life, but, you know,
[37:09] he's been getting away with some stuff as well.
[37:10] So I like that to go over four.
[37:12] And then in Minneapolis, I like the under first five, under four
[37:16] between Gossman and Pablo Lopez.
[37:18] Blue Jays, twins, under four for the first five.
[37:21] Then also in Cleveland, I'm going to go over five with Bailey Falter and Ben Lively on the mound between the Pirates and the Guardians.
[37:28] So the first five over between the Buccos and the Guardians for me.
[37:32] Those are my major league baseball.
[37:34] But today, let's get to, though, the home run parlay.
[37:37] Well, we will try to meet the moment, read the room, and leave the yard, as the great Joe Davis once said.
[37:44] Jake, kick us off here with your submission to the home run parlay, buddy.”
Dodgers and Diamondbacks were tied 5-5 through five innings (Dodgers 2-3-0-0-0, Diamondbacks 2-1-2-0-0 by inning), exceeding the 4.5 first-five total (ESPN box score linescore). (First five innings: Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 5)
First five innings over 4 (-115)
“[36:48] And then I'm going to go over in the Royals-Astros' first five.
[36:52] That one is set at four minus 115.
[36:54] Lugo and Frambois Valdez.
[36:56] The peripherals, not as good as the actual.
[36:59] Seth Lugo, the dream has been dead.
[37:01] I would have won a boatload of money if you won the Cy Young.
[37:03] He has since regressed post-All-Star break.
[37:06] Frambois has been living not a charmed life, but, you know,
[37:09] he's been getting away with some stuff as well.
[37:10] So I like that to go over four.
[37:12] And then in Minneapolis, I like the under first five, under four
[37:16] between Gossman and Pablo Lopez.
[37:18] Blue Jays, twins, under four for the first five.
[37:21] Then also in Cleveland, I'm going to go over five with Bailey Falter and Ben Lively on the mound between the Pirates and the Guardians.
[37:28] So the first five over between the Buccos and the Guardians for me.
[37:32] Those are my major league baseball.
[37:34] But today, let's get to, though, the home run parlay.
[37:37] Well, we will try to meet the moment, read the room, and leave the yard, as the great Joe Davis once said.
[37:44] Jake, kick us off here with your submission to the home run parlay, buddy.
[37:49] At some point, we got to catch this damn thing.
[37:52] Eventually.
[37:53] It will be really funny if Nick is not here when we hit this too
[37:56] and we feed families for generations.
[37:58] He'll be so mad, which is why we need to hit it now.
[38:00] I will submit this guy that I play the total basis.”
Astros led Royals 1-0 through five innings (Houston's only run scored in the 3rd), well under the 4-run first-five total (ESPN box score linescore). (First five innings: Astros 1, Royals 0)
First five innings under 4
“[37:12] And then in Minneapolis, I like the under first five, under four
[37:16] between Gossman and Pablo Lopez.
[37:18] Blue Jays, twins, under four for the first five.
[37:21] Then also in Cleveland, I'm going to go over five with Bailey Falter and Ben Lively on the mound between the Pirates and the Guardians.
[37:28] So the first five over between the Buccos and the Guardians for me.
[37:32] Those are my major league baseball.
[37:34] But today, let's get to, though, the home run parlay.
[37:37] Well, we will try to meet the moment, read the room, and leave the yard, as the great Joe Davis once said.
[37:44] Jake, kick us off here with your submission to the home run parlay, buddy.
[37:49] At some point, we got to catch this damn thing.
[37:52] Eventually.
[37:53] It will be really funny if Nick is not here when we hit this too
[37:56] and we feed families for generations.
[37:58] He'll be so mad, which is why we need to hit it now.
[38:00] I will submit this guy that I play the total basis.
[38:04] I'm submitting Dylan Cruz.
[38:05] It's six to one, a great price against Imanaga,
[38:08] who has trouble with home runs.
[38:10] Cruz has been crushing it, especially against lefties.
[38:12] I like him to leave the yard to meet the moment tonight.
[38:15] Tyler, you're up next.
[38:16] What do you like for the home run parlay?
[38:19] Yeah, so this is actually not on the board right now.
[38:21] I'm assuming the Twins just dropped the lineups.
[38:23] I'm going to take Royce Lewis plus 340.”
Twins led Blue Jays 2-0 through five innings, all scoring coming in the 5th, staying under the 4-run first-five total (ESPN box score linescore). (First five innings: Twins 2, Blue Jays 0)
First five innings over 5
“[37:21] Then also in Cleveland, I'm going to go over five with Bailey Falter and Ben Lively on the mound between the Pirates and the Guardians.
[37:28] So the first five over between the Buccos and the Guardians for me.
[37:32] Those are my major league baseball.
[37:34] But today, let's get to, though, the home run parlay.
[37:37] Well, we will try to meet the moment, read the room, and leave the yard, as the great Joe Davis once said.
[37:44] Jake, kick us off here with your submission to the home run parlay, buddy.
[37:49] At some point, we got to catch this damn thing.
[37:52] Eventually.
[37:53] It will be really funny if Nick is not here when we hit this too
[37:56] and we feed families for generations.
[37:58] He'll be so mad, which is why we need to hit it now.
[38:00] I will submit this guy that I play the total basis.
[38:04] I'm submitting Dylan Cruz.
[38:05] It's six to one, a great price against Imanaga,
[38:08] who has trouble with home runs.
[38:10] Cruz has been crushing it, especially against lefties.
[38:12] I like him to leave the yard to meet the moment tonight.
[38:15] Tyler, you're up next.
[38:16] What do you like for the home run parlay?
[38:19] Yeah, so this is actually not on the board right now.
[38:21] I'm assuming the Twins just dropped the lineups.
[38:23] I'm going to take Royce Lewis plus 340.
[38:25] He hasn't hit a homer actually in a little bit, but he took a day off yesterday.
[38:29] I think four at-bats against Kevin Gosman.
[38:31] Two of them have been home runs.”
Pirates and Guardians combined for 14 runs through five innings (Pirates 6, Guardians 8), clearing the 5-run first-five total (ESPN box score linescore). (First five innings: Guardians 8, Pirates 6)
Georgia Bulldogs -12
“[13:39] I'm laying it with Georgia.
[13:40] While everybody was explaining what they were betting,
[13:42] I was firing in Georgia laying 12 against Clemson on a neutral field.
[13:47] Semi-neutral field is how we should put it
[13:48] since it's being played at Athens West in Atlanta.
[13:52] Everybody talks about Dabo Sweeney as an underdog.
[13:55] And yeah, Clemson has been really good.
[13:57] BYOG, bring your own guts as a dog.
[13:59] But you know Kirby Smart is 19-9 against the spread on a neutral site.
[14:03] And in fact, Kirby Smart has lost just two non-conference games
[14:07] since becoming the head coach at Georgia in 2016.
[14:11] Like this team will be rolling from Jump Street.
[14:14] We've seen them absolutely demolish teams in this spot.
[14:17] That Oregon game comes to mind for me.
[14:19] And one thing I love about Georgia, Carson Beck is back.
[14:22] We have that.
[14:23] But they are deep on that offensive line.
[14:24] They return four or five starters up front, and there's going to be some suspensions and all that stuff.
[14:29] But like Tyler mentioned, Georgia's going to put in another five-star running back to go ahead and play for them.
[14:34] So Georgia, I think, rolls Clemson right off the field.
[14:37] Big statement from the Dawgs as they try to march towards a national title this season.
[14:41] Then later on in College Station, this is one that is not yet a bet for me, but I'm closely monitoring right now,
[14:48] is Notre Dame, if they can get to three and a half.
[14:51] Right now it's minus 115 if you wanted to grab that field goal.
[14:54] But if that ever gets to three and a half, I will bet the Fighting Irish.”
UGA 34-CLEM 3 — Georgia beat Clemson 34-3, covering the -12 spread by 31 points (ESPN box score).
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings (-120)
“[30:53] Before we head to break, though, wanted to give out my first five bet in baseball.
[30:58] I'm liking the Diamondbacks on the first five against the New York Mets later today.
[31:02] Ryan Nelson, I'm a big fan of his.
[31:04] And it's mainly more so a fade of Peterson because he's been pitching over his skis a little bit here.
[31:10] I think some regression is in order.
[31:12] So Diamondbacks, first five, minus 120.”
NYM 1, ARI 2 (through 5 innings) — Arizona led the Mets 2-1 through five innings, so the Diamondbacks' first-five moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
Philadelphia Phillies first five innings (-150)
“[2:19:42] Femi, you have one game bet tonight in Major League Baseball.
[2:19:44] What is it in mind?
[2:19:45] Yes, sir.
[2:19:46] I do have one game bet, but I want to acknowledge, of course, Diamondbacks first five for those who tailed during the Femi and Friends hour.
[2:19:53] We got to the window.
[2:19:54] So let's hopefully get to the window with this one.
[2:19:56] Hopefully Jake is right and Bryce Harper has a big game because I like the Phillies first five against the Astros.
[2:20:01] I'm back in Christopher Sanchez at home where he tends to be comfortable.
[2:20:04] And also Charlie Morton.
[2:20:06] People say he's my favorite Morton, but the lie detector test determined that was a lie.
[2:20:09] He's not my favorite Morton.
[2:20:10] I think he gets roughed up in the first five.
[2:20:12] So Phillies first five.
[2:20:14] It's out to like minus 165 now.
[2:20:16] Got to pay a little bit of a price, but I still like it at that number.
[2:20:19] Philly's first five against Houston.
[2:20:20] They bounce back tonight.
[2:20:22] Okay.
[2:20:22] So those are the bets for Femi coming up tonight.
[2:20:25] For yours truly, I just want to make sure that I have this right.
[2:20:28] Hold on here.
[2:20:31] That's Philly's Braves, right?
[2:20:32] You said Philly's.
[2:20:33] I just want to make sure that that's right.
[2:20:34] You said Philly's Braves.
[2:20:36] Sorry, Philly's Braves.
[2:20:37] Yeah, Philly's Braves.
[2:20:38] Got it.
[2:20:38] I'm sorry.
[2:20:38] Because I have a bet on the Astros game, and I was like,
[2:20:40] I'm pretty sure the Astros are playing the Royals.
[2:20:42] Totally okay, Morton used to pitch for Houston.
[2:20:44] I'm just making sure that that's right.
[2:20:45] My brain is, yeah.
[2:20:48] I think there have been some pretty good opportunities this week.
[2:20:55] To be fair, not all of them have hit.
[2:20:56] I loved the Padres yesterday.
[2:20:58] It didn't hit.
[2:20:58] Royals a couple days ago was a good one.
[2:21:00] I think this might be my favorite first five bet this week,
[2:21:04] and it's in this Blue Jays-Red Sox game.
[2:21:07] Jake, are you aware, and I know the answer is yes
[2:21:10] because you're obsessed with baseball,
[2:21:11] aware of what Bowden Francis has been doing for the Toronto Blue Jays.
[2:21:16] I didn't even know who he was until today.
[2:21:18] And then I'm looking at his like what he's done recently in the month of August, 27 and a third innings pitched 13 total base runners, 34 strikeouts.
[2:21:29] Why are like we collectively as a people not talking about Bowden Francis for Toronto?
[2:21:34] Yeah, this also includes a start where he took a no hitter into the ninth inning in his last start against the Angels
[2:21:39] and then blew it on a solo home run to taylor ward so yeah i mean he's been really good but i
[2:21:45] what i like to do especially after a performance like that that he had last saturday i'm gonna
[2:21:50] fade him natural aggression baby it has to happen especially against the red sox team that's seen
[2:21:54] him so i i think the end of the line comes here for boat and francis sorry but see ya great well i We can go mano here I can be wrong Hopefully I right Blue Jays first five plus 105 against that jabroni Cutter Crawford
[2:22:08] We throw some cutters down the middle of the plate and get taken out over the green monster.
[2:22:12] Blue Jays plus 105 first five.
[2:22:14] That is my best bet for tonight.
[2:22:15] Absolutely love.
[2:22:16] A couple others.
[2:22:17] I will go again mano-i-mano against Jake here with Brady Singer, Stevenson.
[2:22:22] Give me Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros tonight.
[2:22:25] First five, minus a half, minus 115.
[2:22:27] Astros first five against the Kansas City Royals.
[2:22:30] And then, like Jake's right, Maury's son, Cade Povich is brutal.
[2:22:35] But Bobby Miller is also brutal.
[2:22:37] So when we have two bad pitchers and two pretty good offenses,
[2:22:41] I'll take a shot on the Orioles' first five and plus money against the Dodgers.
[2:22:45] Or, again, just like both pitchers are bad and give up runs,
[2:22:48] so let me take plus money here with a good offense.
[2:22:53] Orioles first five plus 120.
[2:22:54] Maybe Kate Povich could pitch well.
[2:22:56] We'll get to play a Joe Davis highlight on the show at some point for Kate Povich for the Baltimore Orioles.
[2:23:00] So my three baseball bets, game bets.
[2:23:02] Blue Jays first five.
[2:23:04] Astros first five minus a half minus 15.
[2:23:06] Orioles first five plus 120 on the road at the L.A. Dodgers.
[2:23:10] All right.
[2:23:11] You better you bet Kostos and the Gamblers.
[2:23:12] Those are the baseball bets for tonight.
[2:23:14] Game bets.
[2:23:15] Now let's try and do a little bit better because, honestly, a pathetic effort last night from the crew with the home run parlay.
[2:23:21] Jake the Snake, get us started here with the winner.
[2:23:23] Matt Pisani with the bonus bet will go last.
[2:23:27] Yeah, you mentioned that bum, Cutter Crawford.
[2:23:29] So I'm going with a Toronto Blue Jay tonight.
[2:23:32] I'm going with Vlad Jr.
[2:23:33] The price is insane, 5-1.
[2:23:35] 14 home runs in 96 games in the first half.
[2:23:38] Now has 13 in 37 games in the second half.
[2:23:42] Oh, by the way, hitting 413 in the second half.
[2:23:44] Guy remembered that he's really good and the son of a Hall of Famer.
[2:23:48] so he's also four for nine against Crawford who serves him up so I'll take Vlad Jr. as my home
[2:23:53] run entry into the home run parlay all right so first up Vlad Jr. uh apparently that Femi liked
[2:23:59] him so yeah I still have to scramble heartbreak as I was saying it I'll scramble real quick we'll
[2:24:06] figure it out also I'll filibuster give Femi a little bit of time because Femi typed this in
[2:24:11] the chat and he was correct to do so because it's a missed opportunity by me to lead into the home
[2:24:15] run parlay by saying it's time for us to meet the moment read the room and leave the yard tyler
[2:24:21] morales up next and i think we have fixed tyler's like audio visual problems here tyler who is your
[2:24:25] entrant into the home run parlay following jake's pickup vlad jr yeah vegas is trying to keep me
[2:24:31] down because i'm gonna kill him with this colorado game all right so i have a home run bet in this uh
[2:24:35] in this phillies game this is probably gonna be a popular bet everywhere kyle schwarber has owned
[2:24:40] charlie morton in his career a lot of these phillies actually have owned him in his career
[2:24:43] and I think there could be a home run derby here for the Phillies who desperately need it.
[2:24:48] So let's go Kyle Schwarber plus 390.
[2:24:49] I can't remember the last time his price was that low.
[2:24:52] So let's go Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run off of his boy Charlie Morin.
[2:24:55] So I will not have this player in the home run parlay.
[2:24:59] I have somebody else, but I am betting Trea Turner to homer tonight in that same game.
[2:25:03] So I do have Trea Turner to home run tonight, Tyler with Kyle Schwarber.
[2:25:06] So Vlad Jr.
[2:25:07] So these are the two great names so far.
[2:25:09] Vlad Jr., Kyle Schwarber.
[2:25:12] Femi, do you need a little bit more time?
[2:25:13] I can go and Pisani can go and we can buy you a little more time here.
[2:25:16] Are you ready?
[2:25:17] I'm ready.
[2:25:18] I'm ready.
[2:25:19] I hope I'm not stealing anybody's guy.
[2:25:20] But I joke that this guy has been on a milk carton since the All-Star break.
[2:25:24] But I do think that he's going to go ahead and have a nice night against Bobby Miller.
[2:25:28] Let's go Gunnar Henderson, plus 500, over at BetMGM.
[2:25:32] He's hitting the ball hard.
[2:25:33] He's just not getting the homer.
[2:25:34] So I think Gunnar does it tonight at Dodger Stadium against LA.
[2:25:38] So I would be very happy if that happened.
[2:25:41] A, because I bet the Orioles first five, so that would be really great.
[2:25:45] And B, if I hit also, it would definitely mean, not definitely, but probably will win my bet
[2:25:51] because I also have a Baltimore Oriole Femi in the home run parlay for tonight.
[2:25:55] And I'm going to go to a guy that I bet yesterday who, like, had a couple hits in yesterday's game.
[2:26:00] Give me Ramon Urias.
[2:26:04] Not my Rias.
[2:26:05] Not our Rias.
[2:26:07] But your Rias.
[2:26:09] Ramon Urias to Homer tonight.
[2:26:11] for the Baltimore Orioles.
[2:26:13] So the four of us, and then we'll get the bonus pick from Pisani in a moment.
[2:26:18] Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Kyle Schwarber, Gunnar Henderson, Ramon Urias.
[2:26:23] My bonus pick is Trea Turner.
[2:26:25] I'll be betting Trea Turner separately from the home run parlay.
[2:26:27] And now for the bonus pick.
[2:26:29] One day, after being the only member of the crew to pick a winner with Brent Rooker,
[2:26:34] Matt Pisani steps up to the plate to try to meet the moment.
[2:26:38] Read the room.
[2:26:40] You get it.
[2:26:41] well i was gonna initially go with bryce harper but you being on trey turner and kyle shorbert
[2:26:49] already being in the parlay it makes me a little bit nervous but i'm gonna keep riding with it
[2:26:52] it's plus 550 for one of the best hitters on the planet and he has really good history against
[2:26:57] charlie morton as jake said in his baseball bet so give me bryce harper plus 550 okay so
[2:27:03] pasani worth noting one for one the only little member of the crew who was one for one in his
[2:27:07] last one home run bets given out on you better you bet that's how we do sports betting right
[2:27:11] you win your one for your last one uh vlad jr kyle schwarber Gunnar Henderson ramon urias and
[2:27:17] bryce harper so we have two phillies a blue jay and two orioles uh coming up tonight so hopefully
[2:27:22] those games are all really good um 5546 to one for the five for the five man home run parlay
[2:27:28] generational wealth feeding families forever okay uh those are the bets for tonight uh oh let's do
[2:27:35] our best bets here quickly alex tell us where we stand right now three days into the week
[2:27:39] all right on day three the updated standings are as follows tyler and femi are both sitting at two
[2:27:47] and one jake and nick you guys are one and two all right so we're gonna have to like really i
[2:27:54] really like this gimmick of the best bets there needs to be a tiebreaker at the end of the week
[2:27:59] what is it and we have to figure out some kind of like listener viewer involvement in the power
[2:28:04] hour so let's think about that collectively as a group over the weekend uh yeah maybe tyler we
[2:28:10] tabulate like the longest odds of everyone yeah all the bets that were put in well yeah like let's
[2:28:14] let's figure this out because i think we're on to something here and we can make this really good
[2:28:17] starting as early as next week uh so jake best bet for tonight your one favorite bet is what
[2:28:23] my one favorite bet is going to be bryce harper over one and a half total bases is playing really
[2:28:28] well has great history against charlie moore not going to overthink it tyler morales does not have
[2:28:33] to be baseball. Yeah, we're
[2:28:35] going to go with our guy, Omarion Hampton, over
[2:28:37] whatever number you can find. I'm seeing
[2:28:39] numbers everywhere. So I see
[2:28:41] 98.5. So let's go Omarion Hampton
[2:28:43] over 98.5 rushing yards. He plays for North
[2:28:45] Carolina. Okay, Omarion
[2:28:47] Hampton over 98.5 rushing yards. I'm going
[2:28:49] to bet that during the break. Femi, your one bet
[2:28:51] for tonight is? Best bet?
[2:28:53] Philly's first five against the Braves,
[2:28:55] not the Astros. They're playing the Braves. First five
[2:28:57] minus 150.”
ATL 3, PHI 0 (through 5 innings) — Atlanta led Philadelphia 3-0 through five innings, so the Phillies' first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 5.5 (-120)
“[43:17] Absolutely love that one.
[43:19] I'm right there lockstep with you.
[43:20] I like the first five over in Astros Philly.
[43:23] He's not a fan of Eric Getty.
[43:24] Obviously, you outlined a Tywon Walker.
[43:26] He hasn't been good in forever.
[43:28] I like over 5.5 minus 120 in that game, so we'll have that action.
[43:32] I like Alex Bregman.
[43:33] That'll be my home run bet in that game, plus 450 like Tyler mentioned.
[43:37] Alex Bregman.
[43:38] The barrel percentage isn't really where you want it to be,
[43:40] but that hard hit percentage, it's been up there with, like,”
HOU 6, PHI 0 (through 5 innings) — Houston led 6-0 through five innings against Philadelphia (Houston scored 5 in the 4th), 6 combined runs over the 5.5 first-five total (ESPN box score).
Alex Bregman to hit a home run (+450)
“[43:26] He hasn't been good in forever.
[43:28] I like over 5.5 minus 120 in that game, so we'll have that action.
[43:32] I like Alex Bregman.
[43:33] That'll be my home run bet in that game, plus 450 like Tyler mentioned.
[43:37] Alex Bregman.
[43:38] The barrel percentage isn't really where you want it to be,
[43:40] but that hard hit percentage, it's been up there with, like,
[43:42] the errant judges of the world as of recently.
[43:44] If he gets contact, there's a good chance it's going out of there.
[43:47] hitting conditions are good in Philadelphia. So I really like Alex Bregman to Homer in that game,
[43:52] Jake, real quick. What do you like for the four o'clock games? I also like Bregman. So what could
[43:56] possibly go wrong? Let's all go down on this Titanic together. I like the Astros on the money”
Alex Bregman did not homer as the Astros beat the Phillies 10-0 (ESPN box score). (Alex Bregman: 0 HR)
Junior Caminero to hit a home run (+650)
“[44:01] line as well. And the later game, the Mariners, I like Luis Castillo over six and a half Ks and
[44:05] his ladders against a pitiful race team. Luis Castillo in his ladders. I hope he gives up a
[44:11] homer to Junior Caminero. That's my one bet in that game. Junior Caminero, the young fella to
[44:16] go hit a homer plus 650. I'm a Mariners fan Castillo. It can be up and down. So I'm a little
[44:23] bit concerned with what we've seen recently, but I like Junior Caminero as a nice little fun bet to
[44:27] have over these next few hours with the Rays and the Mariners first pitch for that one coming up
[44:31] in about 15 minutes. But on the other side, our guy Nick Casos joins us at the top of the hour
[44:37] with a take on the NFC North, specifically the Chicago Bears.
[44:42] That's next here.
[44:43] You better you bet rolling along here.
[44:45] Presented by BetMGM on the BetQL Network.
[44:48] We be right back with You Better You Bet presented by BetMGM the sportsbook born in Vegas”
Junior Caminero went 1-for-4 with a triple, no home run, as Seattle beat Tampa Bay 6-2 (ESPN box score). (Junior Caminero: 0 HR)
First five innings over 5
“[2:25:17] Let's get them.
[2:25:19] Let's get these bets in.
[2:25:20] I agree with Jake on Mackenzie Gore.
[2:25:22] I know some of the peripheral numbers and all that stuff says that he's supposed to be better than what he has been,
[2:25:26] but bump that noise.
[2:25:27] I like the first five over in the Yankees Nationals.
[2:25:30] I think Gore gets touched up.
[2:25:31] I also think Rodon sneakily gets touched up as well.
[2:25:34] He's not the same pitcher away from Yankee Stadium.
[2:25:36] Even at Yankee Stadium, he's just like kind of okay.
[2:25:38] Fifth worst among qualified AL pitchers in terms of barrel percentage as well.
[2:25:42] I think that the Nats at least get a few runs on him.”
NYY 2, WSH 5 (through 5 innings) — Washington led the Yankees 5-2 through five innings, 7 combined runs over the 5 first-five total (ESPN box score).
First five innings over 4 (-120)
“[2:25:42] I think that the Nats at least get a few runs on him.
[2:25:44] So I like the over in the first five, over five even money.
[2:25:47] And then I'm going to Miller Park.
[2:25:49] First five over four, minus 120 between the Giants and the Brewers.
[2:25:53] Both pitchers, Freddie Peralta and Kyle Harrison.
[2:25:56] Peripheral numbers, underlying stuff says that they should be better than what they are.
[2:25:59] But funny enough, Peralta, his ERA is a full run higher at Miller Park.
[2:26:03] And then Kyle Harrison, his ERA is a full run higher away from San Francisco.
[2:26:08] So I sneakily like this over four minus 120 between the Giants and the Brewers first five as well.
[2:26:16] Femi, what would Paul Heyman say about the Washington National starting pitcher tonight?
[2:26:24] Oh, my gosh.
[2:26:25] You'd say something.”
SF 0, MIL 5 (through 5 innings) — Milwaukee scored all 5 of its first-five runs in the bottom of the 5th; SF 0, MIL 5 through five innings, over the 4 total (ESPN box score).
Chicago Bears under 9 regular-season wins (+100)
“[49:13] We are in lockstep with the Chicago Bears.
[49:15] I bet this thing under,
[49:16] I found a nine at even money,
[49:18] but even at the current prices of eight and a half,
[49:20] I couldn't believe it.
[49:22] Honestly, I had to like double take.
[49:23] I was like, is this really even money to go under nine
[49:26] to where I only lose if they win 10 games?
[49:28] This is still a rookie quarterback”
Chicago finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, staying under the 9-win total (Wikipedia). (Bears regular season: 5-12)
Minnesota Vikings to make playoffs (+300)
“[56:05] Like the Minnesota Vikings, I bet them you can get three to one on the Minnesota Vikings and make the playoffs.
[56:10] And I went big to go ahead and back Kevin O'Connell in the coach of the year market at 25 to one.
[56:16] Because if they do get to 10 wins and make the postseason and he's able to do that with Sam Donald playing as his quarterback,
[56:22] I think he's going to get all the credit in the world.
[56:25] And that's going to be a very difficult case to beat if Kevin O'Connell can go ahead and accomplish that.
[56:30] So 25 to 1 on O'Connell for coach of the year.
[56:32] Also 3 to 1 on the Vikings to make the playoffs.
[56:34] I didn't even mess around with the win total.
[56:36] Give me all the extreme stuff.”
Minnesota finished 14-3 and made the 2024-25 NFL playoffs as a wild card (Wikipedia). (Vikings: 14-3, made playoffs)
Kevin O'Connell to win Coach of the Year (+2500)
“[56:05] Like the Minnesota Vikings, I bet them you can get three to one on the Minnesota Vikings and make the playoffs.
[56:10] And I went big to go ahead and back Kevin O'Connell in the coach of the year market at 25 to one.
[56:16] Because if they do get to 10 wins and make the postseason and he's able to do that with Sam Donald playing as his quarterback,
[56:22] I think he's going to get all the credit in the world.
[56:25] And that's going to be a very difficult case to beat if Kevin O'Connell can go ahead and accomplish that.
[56:30] So 25 to 1 on O'Connell for coach of the year.
[56:32] Also 3 to 1 on the Vikings to make the playoffs.
[56:34] I didn't even mess around with the win total.
[56:36] Give me all the extreme stuff.”
Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award after leading Minnesota to a 14-3 record (Wikipedia). (2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year: Kevin O'Connell)
Over 64.5
“[36:30] Now it's 64 and a half.
[36:32] I don't know if it's going to keep going up and up and up, but as it stands right now, it's 64 and a half.
[36:37] It would have to be, I think, like 68 for me to look at betting this thing under and not looking at the over.
[36:42] So I think this is going to be one of those last team with the ball wins,
[36:46] and that's why I like the over with USC, LSU.
[36:49] It's going to be a fun night here in Las Vegas on Sunday when those two teams tango total sitting at 64 and a half.
[36:56] Let's bring on our guy Tyler Morales, who is deep diving all of college football.
[36:59] He's going to be betting games on Thursday, small conference games, all that stuff.
[37:04] Tyler, what do you think of this total?
[37:05] USC, LSU sitting at 64 and a half over at BetMGM.
[37:10] Well during our quick pick segment with yesterday show I actually gave out this over too So family we locked Oh there it is Yeah And you said most of what I about to say like Miller Moss
[37:20] and Grant Nussmeyer return.
[37:21] Like this isn't like these guys are coming in from different programs.
[37:23] They've been here for like one to two years.
[37:26] The receivers have been there.”
USC 27, LSU 20 — USC beat LSU 27-20; combined 47 points misses the over 64.5.
Chicago Cubs (-116)
“[2:23:47] his head so i love the joke no it definitely did uh right so i melendez is not my i have him
[2:23:55] written down i have him to hit a home run tonight he's not my home run guy so that's okay uh femi
[2:24:00] what is your baseball bet or bets for tonight uh it will be singular tonight and uh we're going to
[2:24:06] pittsburgh where we're gonna go ahead and continue to fade this paul skeins train and hopefully
[2:24:10] pirates just lose every single game the rest of the way and they shut him down tomorrow but i'm
[2:24:14] to go ahead and back Justin Steele on the road where surprisingly enough, Steele's been
[2:24:17] better away from Wrigley Field than he's been on the road.
[2:24:21] So I like Justin Steele in this spot against Jared Jones coming back from the IL.
[2:24:25] Jared, Jared Jones, Jared Jones, obviously a really good, bright young pitcher, but first
[2:24:31] game back, maybe he's a little bit of rusty and also that Pirates bullpen.
[2:24:34] Get it out of my face.
[2:24:35] They couldn't close the door if they tried.
[2:24:38] So I like the Cubs minus 116 because the Pittsburgh Pirates going to go ahead back Justin Steele
[2:24:43] tonight uh do you know what um jared jones's cell phone number is 281-330-800-4
[2:24:52] hit jared jones up on the low because jared yeah because jared jones is about to do something”
CHC 9, PIT 5 — Cubs beat Pirates 9-5; Chicago moneyline covers.
Jackson Merrill to win NL Rookie of the Year (-170)
“[37:21] one thing you always have to keep in mind is that the oddsmakers are just trying to make their best guess possible of what the voters are going to do Just because Skeens was minus 6 doesn mean that there value now with him at plus 120
[37:32] It just means that now it's probably a little bit closer to right since we're now closer to when the votes are actually due, which is five weeks from now.
[37:39] So I think as it stands, Jacksonville at minus 165, I think that price is off.
[37:45] I've been betting it over the past 12 hours or so.
[37:48] I've bet some Merrill at minus 170.
[37:50] I bet it out to minus 190 at some places.
[37:53] Minus 165 over at BetMGM, I think, is cheap.
[37:56] And Jake Hassan, our board op, he's with us hanging out here.
[37:58] Obviously, you also know Jake from BetSlips and BatFlips.
[38:02] Jake, I mean, correct me if I'm wrong.
[38:03] I think that this price is really short at BetMGM of minus 165 for Jackson Merrill.
[38:08] Like, I think that this is a really, really good look here for him.
[38:11] And in a spot to where, yeah, everyone is just so gravitating towards skeins
[38:14] and how big of a price he was, but they're not really realizing
[38:17] what's happening in reality is that Jackson Merrill has surpassed him and probably should be an even
[38:21] bigger favorite. Yeah. I mean, they're separated by one full win above replacement now at this point.
[38:27] I mean, Jackson Merrill is about to become a four win player in his next game. Skeens,
[38:31] maybe starting tomorrow against the Cubs in the next couple of days, he's starting.”
Paul Skenes won the 2024 NL Rookie of the Year award; Jackson Merrill did not win. (2024 NL Rookie of the Year: Paul Skenes)
Alex Orji to win Heisman Trophy (+11500)
“[1:27:02] Riley Leonard over at Notre Dame, then Drew Aller at Penn State.
[1:27:06] But the guy that also is on this list that I like, Nick,
[1:27:10] is Michigan's Alex Orgy.
[1:27:13] And this is at 115 to 1.
[1:27:16] But it's the menage on bet.
[1:27:19] Alex Orji, we're looking for him to match the freak because he actually did make the freaks list of Bruce Feldman's most athletic players in all of college football.
[1:27:28] Oh, he made the freak list. All right.
[1:27:30] Oh, Alex Orji, he made the freak list. There's no question.
[1:27:33] He 100 percent did. You can't have a list without him.
[1:27:36] But why I like this setup, though, for Alex Orji at Michigan is that he is an unknown commodity.
[1:27:41] And that's what I want to kind of bet in this market before the season starts, because a lot of these guys.
[1:27:46] Quinn Ewers, Milrow, Dart, Gabriel, those prices aren't going to move much in the first few weeks of the season.
[1:27:52] Once they get playing those big conference games, then those prices will move.
[1:27:56] But I'm looking for the guy that the price is like, whoa, we did not expect him to be that good.
[1:28:00] Okay, instead of being 100 to 1, maybe he needs to be like 20 to 1 or 30 to 1.
[1:28:05] I think that can be Alex Orge because he does have a big game in week two as they host the Texas Longhorns against Quinn Ewers,
[1:28:12] who is among the Heisman Trophy favorites.
[1:28:13] So I like this spot for Michigan, just given the fact that Michigan plays a majority of their difficult games in Ann Arbor, whether it's Texas, USC, Oregon, Ohio State, all four of those games will be at home for Michigan.”
Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Alex Orji did not win. (2024 Heisman Trophy winner: Travis Hunter)
Boston Red Sox first five innings (-155)
“[2:25:53] Hashtag in the lab.
[2:25:54] What do you have for us tonight in Major League Baseball?
[2:25:57] We're in the lab.
[2:25:58] we came out with one. We came out with one in the lab though,
[2:26:00] but I like it a lot here because I hate this pitcher and he's going to be
[2:26:03] against a good lineup. That's Jose Barrios of the Toronto blue Jays.
[2:26:06] Anytime he faces a good lineup, it doesn't go well.
[2:26:08] He's had a few good starts, but it was against the athletics, the angels,
[2:26:11] the reds. It's like, all right, whatever. Who cares about that?
[2:26:14] But now that they're going to get this red Sox lineup, that stack,
[2:26:16] it's been hitting the ball really well post all-star break.
[2:26:19] I think that they can go ahead and get burial.
[2:26:21] So I'm going red Sox first five, a little,
[2:26:23] a little Femi's first five here on this Monday,
[2:26:26] but minus 155 is what it pays over at bet MGM.
[2:26:28] Barrios gives up an insane amount of hard hit balls,
[2:26:31] 35.3%.
[2:26:32] That's the fourth worst among qualified pitchers in the American league.”
TOR 5, BOS 1 (through 5 innings) — Toronto led Boston 5-1 through five innings on the way to a 7-3 win; Red Sox first-five moneyline busts.