Host · 3051-3078-89 on settled picks
| League | spread | total | moneyline | prop | parlay | futures | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 78-91-8% | 237-211+0% | 193-182-2% | 19-19-11% | 20-41+16% | 13-18+23% | 9-15-31% | 569-577-1% |
| NBA | 222-203-0% | 162-145+1% | 18-15+9% | 116-83+10% | 8-19-26% | 12-23+5% | 2-1 | 540-489+2% |
| NFL | 184-158+3% | 85-86-6% | 19-10+28% | 122-100+7% | 87-92-10% | 14-20+20% | 2-4-42% | 513-470+1% |
| CBB | 304-333-9% | 84-80-2% | 7-9-20% | 1-1 | 12-22+2% | 6-26+19% | — | 414-471-7% |
| NHL | 41-43+8% | 242-222-3% | 115-103-0% | 3-4-21% | 20-34-6% | 12-18-0% | 5-8-32% | 438-432-2% |
| CFB | 199-174+2% | 76-70-1% | 6-7+1% | 1-0 | 4-11-47% | 10-11+43% | — | 296-273+1% |
| Other | 16-14-0% | 36-30-2% | 24-35-19% | 33-52-16% | 28-67-21% | 38-72+14% | 42-31+12% | 217-301-4% |
| WNBA | 21-20-2% | 24-21+2% | 0-1 | — | 1-0 | 2-1 | — | 48-43+1% |
| World Cup | 2-3-22% | 8-8-8% | 3-5-25% | — | 1-0 | 1-4-63% | 1-2 | 16-22-20% |
“Give me Alabama 25 to 1 to win the national championship. We'll be able to hedge off of it, but that's a ridiculous number for the Crimson Tide at 25 to 1 to win the national championship.”
“And at 35 to one, DraftKings has this number at 35 to one by most people's that's five to $8 higher than most people. I don't know what the liability, where that has structured with the risk team for Oklahoma, but they want Oklahoma money. And I'm going to give it to them at DraftKings for 35 to one on Oklahoma to win the national championship.”
“But we are taking the under for the Arizona Cardinals under four and a half wins at minus 145. Bet as much as you want with that. We'll just officially go 1.45 units.”
“I think to go ahead, it's only minus 125. Yankees under 90 and a half wins. Adjusted win total for the New York Yankees at minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
“We go ahead. Marlins to make the playoffs at plus 200. OK, the Marlins make the playoffs at plus 200. It's a one unit bet.”
“That cashed a plus 145 bet for us, for the Red Sox to make the playoffs. I like it. Red Sox to make the playoffs at plus 145 for one unit, kind of a makeup bet for the fact that they're not going to go over 87 and a half wins this season.”
“Let's take it. White Sox to win the pennant at 25 to one at hard rock bet one unit down on the White Sox to win the pennant So we have the Brewers at 12 to one to win it all and the White Sox at 25 to one to win the AL”
“There, I made the first Major League Baseball future wager of the year by taking the Milwaukee Brewers with a ticket at a kiosk at Hard Rock Bet. 12 to 1, one unit on the Brewers to win the World Series.”
“I do wind up betting more. First bet, Brewers over 84.5 wins.”
“Red Sox, team total. We're going over 87 and a half wins for the Red Sox.”
“I think the Angels are going to be in the 60s. I don't think they win 70 games. I think they might win 60, 65 ballgames. Let's go ahead and bet the under on the Angels. Under 70 and a half for the Angels.”
“So that is, yeah, that should be 72 and a half, under 72 and a half wins for the Miami Marlins here coming up.”
“We're going Valdez to hit a home run at plus 360.”
Esmerlyn Valdez went 1-for-4 without a home run against Cincinnati, so the home-run prop lost. (Esmerlyn Valdez: 0 HR)
“we're going with taylor today against yuri perez on the marlins eight to one is the best number at the moment”
Tyrone Taylor went 0-for-1 without a home run against Miami, so the home-run prop lost. (Tyrone Taylor: 0 HR)
“But Valdez, Taylor, and Murakami to hit a home run today thanks to the new home run tool”
Munetaka Murakami went 1-for-4 without a home run against the Yankees, so the home-run prop lost. (Munetaka Murakami: 0 HR)
“If we do that, I think we're going to be good and we're going to be able to go in and take the under Pirates Diamondbacks under eight and a half at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
PIT 0, ARI 3 — Combined 3; under 8.5 covers.
“I'll take I'll bet the streak here. I'll come in here and take the Yankees against the White Sox to go up three games to none on this series and win the series. Yankees on the money line at minus 140 for one point four units.”
The Yankees lost 6-5 to the White Sox, so the New York moneyline lost. (White Sox 6, Yankees 5)
“I'll come back and take the Rangers with a plus money play at plus 119 for the Rangers with a bullpen game for the Rays. I like the Rangers on the money line at plus 119.”
TB 3, TEX 0 — Texas Rangers lost; moneyline busts.
“Hard rock bet of the day. We're going with the under seven and a half and minus one 14 for the Tigers and the Orioles for one point one four units.”
DET 9, BAL 10 — Combined 19; under 7.5 busts.
“Let's go Philadelphia on a cheap money line price at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
MIA 1, PHI 0 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“You got to get W's. I'm going to back the Yankees back to me yesterday. Let's back them again. Yankees minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
CHW 2, NYY 3 — New York Yankees won; moneyline covers.
“Jordan Walker over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs coming up here for today at minus 136 for 1.36 units.”
0 H + 1 R + 0 RBI = 1; over 1.5 lost. (0 H + 1 R + 0 RBI = 1)
“Let's not pay the juice here and take a shot. Let's go run line Phillies and minus one fourteen for one point one four units.”
Philadelphia Phillies 7, Miami Marlins 8; selected-team margin -1 with -1.5 = -2.5, so the spread lost. (Philadelphia Phillies 7, Miami Marlins 8)
“Let's go ahead and bet the Yankees on the money line at minus 142 to get a W here for the Yankees on the road to two road teams, Phillies and the Yankees here today for us.”
CHW 5, NYY 9 — New York Yankees won; moneyline covers.
“Let's go ahead and take it. Pete Crow Armstrong over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs at minus 159 for 1.59 units.”
0 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 0; over 1.5 lost. (0 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 0)
“So their bats are hot. Let's go ahead and take the over and ride this train here with Braxton Ashcraft of the pirates to go over eight and a half at minus one 22 for 1.22 units.”
PIT 8, CHC 7 — Combined 15; over 8.5 covers.
“And we go Brewers, Dodgers, Moneyline, two-leg parlay at plus 113 for one unit.”
Parlay busts: Milwaukee Brewers — won; Los Angeles Dodgers — lost.
“So I'm going to come in here and I'm going to play the Phillies on the run line at plus 120.”
PHI 11, NYY 4 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So I think it's a short price. It's a cheap price. You can take the Dodgers at 150. We don't get it very often against a bad team in the Mets, a good team in the Dodgers. Let's take the L.A. Dodgers on the money line at minus 150.”
NYM 2, LAD 4 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“So plays for today, White Sox on the money line at minus 129 Dodgers on the money line at minus 150 Brewers Rockies going over eight and a half at minus 120.”
MIL 2, COL 5 — Combined 7; over 8.5 busts.
“But I like Jake Bowers to come in and give us a single, just get a hit over a half total basis at minus 148 for Jake Bowers for 1.48 units.”
1 total bases; over 0.5 won. (1 total bases)
“We are going hard rock better the day for the White Sox on the money line at minus 129 up against the Astros for 1.29 units.”
CHW 5, HOU 9 — Chicago White Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm willing to go ahead and drop it down with the run line here. Even with the home game, I'm going to go with the run line on the Braves at minus 120 for 1.2 units to win one. Coming back, lay the run line one and a half runs with the Braves today.”
ATL 6, SD 5 — Atlanta Braves margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Let's continue it. Let's go with the over eight and a half for the White Sox and the Rangers here for one point one units. And let's continue with the offensive strife here, the offensive explosion going here in this series.”
TEX 2, CHW 4 — Combined 6; over 8.5 busts.
“It is a little expensive, but let's fade Brady Singer here and take the Mariners on the money line at minus 148 for 1.48 units.”
SEA 3, CIN 5 — Seattle Mariners lost; moneyline busts.
“We're taking Byron Buxton over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs at minus 129 for one point two nine units.”
1 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 1; over 1.5 lost. (1 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 1)
“They get a win. Sandy for the hard rock bet of the day. The Miami Marlins on the money line for even money. Let's get the Marlins to snap their losing streak here to get a W Marlins money line for even money for one unit.”
HOU 5, MIA 2 — Miami Marlins lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going to go ahead and back the Phillies here at minus 136 for 1.36 units. That was the same price we backed him yesterday. We're back again against Dodgers Phillies on the money line.”
PHI 1, LAD 2 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“And we're going to go ahead and take the Brewers on the money line here today for Milwaukee.”
MIL 0, NYM 4 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's get the Rays on a short price to get a win today on the road against the Blue Jays. Tampa on the money line at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
TOR 2, TB 12 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to back Christopher Sanchez here today and we're going to take Christopher Sanchez on the money line at minus one thirty six Phillies to beat the Dodgers at one thirty six for one point three six units.”
PHI 10, LAD 7 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“Let's keep the bats hot. I don't mind a Pirates money line play here for today, but let's go with the over for the Pirates and the Yankees over seven and a half at one point two units at seven and a half has to do with the Yankees offense, not the Pirates offense, which is unbelievable. But let's go over seven and a half for the Pirates and the Yankees.”
NYY 8, PIT 5 — Combined 13; over 7.5 covers.
“Because the first bet is to take Spain to win in 90 at plus 130 for one unit.”
Spain and Argentina were tied 0–0 after 90 minutes; Spain did not win in regulation. Spain later won 1–0 after extra time. (After 90 minutes: Spain 0, Argentina 0)
“So how am I betting it? Under two and a half for the hard rock bet of the day with extra time at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time, so the match produced one total goal including extra time and stayed under 2.5. (Spain 1-0 Argentina after extra time; total goals including extra time: 1)
“But game three on Sunday Night Baseball, we're going to go ahead and bet this. We're going to take the small price on the Dodgers, take the Dodgers in the money line at minus 115.”
The receipt specifies series Game 3 on Sunday Night Baseball. The New York Yankees defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in that evening game, so the Dodgers moneyline lost. (Yankees 2, Dodgers 1)
“We're going to come in and take a road price and a short price on the Orioles at minus 110 for 1.1 units today to go and get a W on the road against the Astros.”
HOU 2, BAL 4 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“But I'm going to come in and take the White Sox on the money line today at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
TOR 1, CHW 0 — Chicago White Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“We get plus money on the Pirates at plus 110. We're going Pirates on the money line at plus 110 for one unit to start off the second half of the year with a W on the road against the Guardians here today.”
The scheduled Pirates-Guardians game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific moneyline is terminally ungradeable and void.
“but I think it a good bet to back here with the Padres on the money line at minus 115 for 1 units”
KC 7, SD 6 — San Diego Padres lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the over. Some books have already gone to 12, but Hard Rock Bet's at 11 and a half. And let's go ahead and take it. Hard Rock Bet gives us 11 and a half. It's a bit lower than the market. Let's go Cincinnati and Colorado over 11 and a half at minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
COL 2, CIN 7 — Combined 9; over 11.5 busts.
“I'm going to come in. I'm taking the under hard rock bet of the day. Casey San Diego. We're going under 10 and a half at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
KC 7, SD 6 — Combined 13; under 10.5 busts.
“but I'm going to take the Mets here, sorry, the Phillies here on the money line at minus 135 for 1.35 units to start the second half of the season after the All-Star break, the only game in town, standalone game, a lot of people watching Phillies money line. Let's get Aaron Nola off to a good start here on the second half of the year for the Philadelphia Phillies, Phillies money line at minus 135 for 1.35 five units.”
Philadelphia Phillies 1, New York Mets 4; the Philadelphia Phillies moneyline lost. (Philadelphia Phillies 1, New York Mets 4)
“Three. Total is three. These teams generally don't care. In the third place game, it normally is like an exhibition game. They just go and no one plays defense and just about Mbappe to score and other guys to score. Three. We're going over. England, France, Saturday. We're going over three goals for these two teams over three goals at minus one thirty”
England beat France 6–4; 10 total goals is over 3. (England 6, France 4; total 10)
“But I'm going to go ahead and take England to qualify at minus 120, 1.2 units, in any which way to get there. Penalties, extra time. It doesn't matter. Just England to qualify.”
Argentina beat England 2-1; England did not advance to the final.
“I'm betting on both teams to score for the hard rock bet of the day. Both teams score only minus 120. Let's jump on it. 1.2 units. Both teams to score. Argentina and England. Both teams to score today at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Argentina beat England 2-1; both teams scored.
“I'm taking right now France to qualify to get to the World Cup final at minus 150 for 1.5 units.”
Spain beat France 2-0 in the semifinal; France did not qualify.
“But I think France team total to go over one and a half is a great bet today to have it go at plus money I think France gets two goals here today We going with France team total over one and a half goals at plus 117 for one unit Let's get a two nothing to one win for France and cash.”
France scored 0 goals against Spain; 0 is under the France team total of 1.5. (Spain 2, France 0; France team total 0)
“I think we're in the three to two, five to three type of range. I think last year was a bit of an anomaly. I'm going to play the under tonight in the All-Star game, under eight and minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
NL 0, AL 4 — Combined 4; under 8 covers.
“And we've got skeins on the mound that you can take the Brewers on the money line, but instead I'm taking the over seven and a half at minus 115.”
PIT 14, MIL 5 — Combined 19; over 7.5 covers.
“Call this a feel. Call this a Sunday, you know, dangerous, wonky bet. But I'm going to bet on a guy who's really mad, wanting to go out there and make a statement, improve to everybody that he should have been an all star right away. Philly's on the money line at minus 105 for one point zero five units.”
DET 0, PHI 5 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“I think whenever you get a chance to have a little revenge spot with Becky Hammonds and this aces club with Asia Wilson, I think it's a good play to jump in with and go ahead and take the aces at home laying five and a half today. Vegas minus five and a half for one point one units.”
LV 75, IND 109 — Las Vegas Aces margin -34 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Five star play for Mackenzie Gore. Let's go with the hard rock bet of the day. Mackenzie Gore over four and a half K's at minus one 22 for 1.22 units.”
TEX 6, HOU 5 — MacKenzie Gore: 4 strikeouts vs over 4.5; busts. (MacKenzie Gore: 4 strikeouts)
“best play take McGregor Holloway over two and a half rounds at minus 105. The fight must go halfway through the third round. Okay. That, so in case you're curious, two and a half rounds is not halfway through the second round. Okay. It's halfway through the third round for this fight for McGregor and Holloway at minus 105 here for 1.05 units.”
Max Holloway stopped Conor McGregor at 1:09 of Round 1; the fight did not reach 2:30 of Round 3, so Over 2.5 lost. (Holloway by TKO, Round 1 at 1:09)
“England and Argentina, both to advance in any way. Two leg money line parlay essentially at minus 102. It's 1.02 units for England and Argentina. We're taking them both here to parlay together with England and Argentina to advance both teams to get themselves to the semifinal.”
Parlay cashes: England to Advance — won; Argentina to Advance — won.
“I'm taking a shot here with the Marlins. I bet against the Marlins yesterday, but on the Marlins yesterday with a hard rock bet of the day. It didn't catch. Let's come back today with the Marlins at minus 145 for 1.45 units.”
Miami Marlins 1, Cleveland Guardians 4; the Miami Marlins moneyline lost. (Miami Marlins 1, Cleveland Guardians 4)
“work. 3-2, 5-4, 4-3 over the last three starts. That would be under here today for the Diamondbacks and the Dodgers. I'm going to follow that. I think we have a low scoring game. Dodgers, Diamondbacks, under 8.5 for 1.1 units.”
LAD 3, ARI 9 — Combined 12; under 8.5 busts.
“The Marlins are hot. Alcantara's on the mound. Alcantara's at home. Hard rock bet of the day. Marlins on the money line at minus 119 for 1.19 units for the hard rock bet of the day.”
MIA 2, CLE 3 — Miami Marlins lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to go against the professionals here and I'm going to go ahead and take the over two and a half goals at plus one Oh four here. Let's get offense between these two. Let's get a two one final for France and Morocco. And it very well might need Morocco to score first. And then France winds up having a counter and score two times to get us over, but plus one Oh four for one unit. We're coming in with France and Morocco on the over bet.”
FRA 2, MAR 0 — Combined 2; over 2.5 busts.
“So I do think they'll score today up against Frambo and I think at plus money, I think it's a good look here to fade Frambo Valdez and come in here and take the athletics at plus 115 for one unit to win here today.”
DET 4, ATH 1 — Athletics lost; moneyline busts.
“Take the plus money. Let's go with the Cardinals at plus 113 for one unit.”
STL 4, MIL 8 — St. Louis Cardinals lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going to bet on Kyle Harrison Day, and we're going to bet on the trend here as we roll. Let's go Brewers on the Moneyline at minus 143 for 1.43 units.”
STL 5, MIL 1 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'll fade the bad road pitcher, take the home team here at a price that's not really all that gross and take the Orioles on the money line at minus 131 here for that.”
BAL 7, CHC 9 — Baltimore Orioles lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going our hard rock bet of the day. Matt Olson over one and a half total bases at plus 109.”
2 total bases; over 1.5 won. (2 total bases)
“So let's take over two and a half for Argentina and Egypt today. It's only minus one Oh five, mostly because of that Argentine, the Egypt question as to whether or not they're going to score. But I like Argentina. Potentially they could get three goals themselves. So we're covered there. If that were to happen, if it's three, nothing over two and a half Argentina and Egypt at minus one Oh five for 1.05 units”
ARG 3, EGY 2 — Combined 5; over 2.5 covers.
“This just seems like a misprice to me. I really like the Marlins here at minus 118 for 1.18 units. Marlins to win and get Max Meyer back on the winning train here. Marlins money line for 1.18 units.”
MIA 6, SEA 5 — Miami Marlins won; moneyline covers.
“Give me the Braves. Braves on the money line at plus 144 to keep this train rolling against Paul Skeens and the Pirates.”
PIT 12, ATL 4 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going Team USA over two and a half goals at minus 140 for 1.4 units here. Team USA, Belgium over two and a half goals at minus 140.”
USA 1, BEL 4 — Combined 5; over 2.5 covers.
“I like the Spaniards to win here. I'll take it within 90. So the offense, the price is on a three way. Let's take it down using the draw to get a better price here. I think Spain wins Spain on the three way at minus 110 to knock out Portugal for 1.1 units.”
POR 0, ESP 1 — Spain won; moneyline wins.
“Let's go ahead and lay it. Take the run line at minus 120 for the Phillies. I don't like laying juice on a run line, but I do think the Phillies win big today over the Royals with Christopher Sanchez on the mound in Kansas City. Ball should be flying, but I like Sanchez to keep it down. Maybe a five to one type of win, something like that for Philadelphia today. We'll take the Phillies on the run line.”
KC 15, PHI 1 — Philadelphia Phillies margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.
“We're taking Mexico to advance at plus 105. You can get probably plus 110 outside of where I am. But I got plus 105 of the books that I can get at one unit for Team Mexico to advance in any way possible just to win, whether it be regulation, whether it be in extra time, whether it be with penalty kicks, Mexico to advance for one unit.”
England beat Mexico 3-2; Mexico did not advance.
“I just think we take Tanner Bybee and company to keep winning here at home. Keep winning a win three out of four out of this series and get a W here today I taking the Guardians on the money line at minus 149 for 1 units.”
CLE 6, CHW 7 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“Sox nation, I'm going to play the run line here for Boston on the road. I think the bullpen will be good enough here for the Red Sox as they go for the sweep and they get the W with Ranger Suarez on the mound. Red Sox run line at plus 104 for one unit.”
LAA 5, BOS 7 — Boston Red Sox margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“Let's go with the hard rock bet of the day. Cubs on the money line at minus 146 for 1.46 units.”
CHC 6, STL 4 — Chicago Cubs won; moneyline covers.
“the best play today is to go over two and a half goals for France and Paraguay. It is juicy at minus 160 for 1.6 units. But I think this is just too much offense for France. And I do think Paraguay is going to get at least one goal today. So I think we go over two and a half for France and Paraguay as the best play for 1.6 units.”
PAR 0, FRA 1 — Combined 1; over 2.5 busts.
“instead, I'm just going to come in and take the under Canada and Morocco under two and a half and minus 145 for one point four five units.”
CAN 0, MAR 3 — Combined 3; under 2.5 busts.
“But given it's Mania, given it's Sale, given the 4th of July, given it home, let's get the Braves after winning 5-3 yesterday. Let just do it again with a 5 win to lay the one and a half runs on the run line and take the plus 128 shot with the Atlanta Braves for one unit”
Atlanta Braves 14, New York Mets 3; selected-team margin +11 with -1.5 = +9.5, so the spread won. (Atlanta Braves 14, New York Mets 3)
“It's nine and a half. It's at 10 at certain books. I'm going to pay the juice here. Hard Rock Betts got it at minus 120 over nine and a half. I think we see offense. I think we score. I think we're going over nine and a half. Pirates and the Nats at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
WSH 1, PIT 7 — Combined 8; over 9.5 busts.
“in the best play come in Argentina under three goals today at minus 122 inside of 90 that's not with extra time, obviously, but that's potentially just a one nothing or two nothing win for Argentina. We're going under three goals for 1.22 units.”
ARG 1, CPV 1 (90 min); ARG 3, CPV 2 aet — Combined 2; under 3 covers. Settled on the 90-minute score; ARG 3, CPV 2 after extra time.
“I think it's a chance to jump in and take a bounce back spot here for the Atlanta Braves and take Atlanta on the money line at minus 117 against the New York Mets. We're going Braves money line for 1.17 units.”
ATL 5, NYM 3 — Atlanta Braves won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take Foster Griffin here. I'm going to follow this trend here with the way the team's been playing. We'll take the Nats on the money line for minus 138 for 1.38 units.”
WSH 9, PIT 5 — Washington Nationals won; moneyline covers.
“Hard rock bet of the day. The Brewers on the run line for even money for one unit. Let's take Milwaukee to get a W here for today.”
ARI 4, MIL 7 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“With Evaldi at home, Rangers at home, Tigers on the road, Tigers with Fremble Valdes pitching. Great opportunity to take a short price on the Rangers on the money line at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
TEX 10, DET 4 — Texas Rangers won; moneyline covers.
“I think we go ahead and back Kyle Schwarber and even money to go over one and a half total bases, double, triple home run, two singles. but Kyle Schwarber to have a big day at the plate today for the Phillies on a Thursday before the 4th of July with a really warm temperature day game.”
0 total bases; over 1.5 lost. (0 total bases)
“So we're going team total Phillies over four and a half at minus 142. There are five and a half in the market, but look for four and a half because obviously that's a better number. It is a bit more juicy, but I'm willing to pay the juice in order to win the bet. So I like over four and a half for the Phillies for the team total.”
Philadelphia scored 1 run; 1 is under the Phillies team total of 4.5. (Philadelphia Phillies: 1 run)
“So if it's 0-0, both teams score a goal piece in extra time, we would cash this bet. It's only minus 112 for both teams to score. I do think Team USA scores, but I think Bosnia scores as well. Both teams to score today for Team USA and Bosnia at minus 112 for 1.12 units.”
The United States beat Bosnia 2-0; both teams did not score.
“One, this is again, I bet the streak was better until it falls off here that the pirates don't win games started by Paul Skeens. Philadelphia Phillies on the money line at minus one thirty six for one point three six units.”
PHI 10, PIT 6 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“I'm just going to go ahead and take the over over eight or nine and a half. Open up at eight and a half. Let's bet to nine and a half already. Dodgers A's over nine and a half at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
ATH 7, LAD 1 — Combined 8; over 9.5 busts.
“I like England here on the goal line, England and minus one Oh five and minus one Oh five and minus one and a half goals up against the Congo to win and win really big here today. We've had success here with the hard rock bet on soccer. I think we've Hit three consecutive hard rock bets for soccer. Let's make it four here today with England laying the goal line at minus one and a half up against the Congo for 1.05 units.”
ENG 2, COD 1 — England margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“And I think in Bapang company, come in and get a W. I'm taking France, laying the goal line at minus one and a half for minus 135 for 1.35 units here today to advance to the round of 16 from the World Cup.”
FRA 3, SWE 0 — France margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like the under in the game. Let's go under eight for minus 110.”
PHI 8, PIT 0 — Combined 8; under 8 pushes.
“like this bet even more for the guardians to get a w here with tanner bybee to come in and get a win We're going the Guardians money line at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
CLE 2, TEX 4 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm just going to bet both teams to score. Let's bet Brazil and Japan, both teams to score at plus 106 for one unit.”
Brazil beat Japan 2-1; both teams scored.
“We going over two and a half goals for Germany and Paraguay at minus 134 for 1 units”
GER 1, PAR 1 (90 min); GER 1, PAR 1 aet, decided on penalties — Combined 2; over 2.5 busts. Settled on the 90-minute score; GER 1, PAR 1 after extra time.
“I think the better bet is the over eight and a half. Just go ahead and take the over in this game and take offense because we're going to get all offense here. Phillies and the Pirates over eight and a half at minus 110.”
PHI 7, PIT 11 — Combined 18; over 8.5 covers.
“against South Africa, corners have been set at five and a half. Now it's a little juicy at minus 130, but this is Canada playing in LA at SoFi where they should have a pretty good sizable home field advantage, home crowd advantage. They should be looking to push forward. South Africa can be a little bit inconsistent, but I think Canada will be able to push and get more than five and a half corners for this game. So it was set at four and a half in the last game. It fell seven. It had been nine. They'd had a couple of games where they've been in double digits. I just think Canada is going to keep playing the way they have played. And I think these numbers just are too soft for Canada. Let's just keep betting on Canada to go over their total corners. Canada over five and a corners at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
Canada had four team corners, so Canada Over 5.5 corners lost. (Canada team corners: 4)
“He at home here today on a Sunday and I like the Guardians here to get a W We going Moneyline on the Guardians today against Seattle at minus 110”
CLE 6, SEA 5 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“We've seen a pretty bad performance, pretty bad run here for the Blue Jays on a Sunday. Let's just bet the streak with the Rangers on the money line for one unit at plus 115.”
TOR 2, TEX 3 — Texas Rangers won; moneyline covers.
“hard rock bet of the day we're going under Canada and South Africa under two and a half at minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
RSA 0, CAN 1 — Combined 1; under 2.5 covers.
“I'll bet it like everybody else, Austria and Algeria, draw at plus 115 for one unit.”
ALG 3, AUT 3 — ALG 3, AUT 3; draw hits.
“Let get messy to score multiple goals here today And maybe Jordan adds one late in garbage time Let play the over Argentina and Jordan over three goals at minus 110 for 1 units”
JOR 1, ARG 3 — Combined 4; over 3 covers.
“We're betting on the Brewers and we're taking the shot at plus one thirty. You can just bet money line if you want, but I'm taking the shot on the Brewers on the run line at plus one thirty for one unit.”
Milwaukee Brewers 2, Chicago Cubs 8; selected-team margin -6 with +1.5 = -4.5, so the spread lost. (Milwaukee Brewers 2, Chicago Cubs 8)
“I'm going to take it with the Orioles here. I think Baltimore gets a W. I'm taking the Orioles on the money line at minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
BAL 3, WSH 1 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“but I like Chicago to keep rolling at home and beat up on the Royals here and get a W. I'll lay it minus 135 with the White Sox for 1.35 units.”
CHW 22, KC 1 — Chicago White Sox won; moneyline covers.
“Hard rock play of the day. Let's go over three at minus 107 for 1.07 units for France in Norway.”
NOR 1, FRA 4 — Combined 5; over 3 covers.
“But I just think Team USA is going to win this game because of the environment, because it's a chance to make history and head into the knockout round with a perfect record of three and oh, I'm playing Team USA on the money line and minus one fifteen three way money line here for one point one five units.”
TUR 3, USA 2 — United States lost; moneyline loses.
“This is the Yankees coming to town who are 4-1 against the Red Sox this season. Yankees 4-1. They've won 4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 6-1. Four wins, 4-0 on the run line. We're going Yankees on the run line at plus 110 to beat up the pathetic Red Sox at Fenway Park because they can't fire the whole team, but they should fire the whole team.”
BOS 6, NYY 3 — New York Yankees margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“We come in and go with the run line. We're going run line Phillies and minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
WSH 5, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're taking Brazil on the run line, puck line, goal line, whatever you want to call it. Laying a goal and a half here at plus 118 for one unit.”
SCO 0, BRA 3 — Brazil margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Let get with the Red Sox here to get a W to win the series And again we going with one and a half Let lay it with the Red Sox on the run line at minus 120 for 1 units”
Boston Red Sox 6, Colorado Rockies 8; selected-team margin -2 with -1.5 = -3.5, so the spread lost. (Boston Red Sox 6, Colorado Rockies 8)
“It's a short number here, but I like Atlanta laying one and a half to get the W here today on the road in the W. Let's take the dream laying one and a half for 1.1 units.”
GS 77, ATL 66 — Atlanta Dream margin -11 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So I just think hard rock better the day twins on the run line, catching one and a half runs for only minus one 10 for 1.1 units.”
MIN 3, LAD 4 — Minnesota Twins margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I get plus money. Give me the Astros. Astros money line at plus 123 for one unit taking on the Blue Jays.”
TOR 7, HOU 9 — Houston Astros won; moneyline covers.
“We're playing the over. We're going over 8.5 Giants and the A's over 8.5 at minus 115.”
SF 3, ATH 1 — Combined 4; over 8.5 busts.
“Let's play the under. Let's get zero offense here for McClanahan in Avila for the Royals and the Rays. Again, Royals unders have been very profitable this year. Let's go Royals raise under eight at minus 102 for 1.02 units.”
TB 5, KC 12 — Combined 17; under 8 busts.
“Let's come back and even up this series at one game apiece and we'll keep the Kyle Harrison train rolling. Let's go ahead and jump in and get some plus money here on the Brewers. plus 110 for one unit up against the Braves here and keep our Kyle Harrison train rolling. We like Kyle Harrison. We're going to keep on betting Kyle Harrison. Brewers on the money line for one unit. I am in the state of Florida. We are making these plays at Hard Rock Bet, obviously.”
ATL 4, MIL 3 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the Marlins here to ride Max Meyer, the Marlins to get a W at home to take the first two games of this series up against the San Francisco Giants. We're going Marlins money line and minus 140 at Hard Rock Bet for one point four units.”
MIA 6, SF 3 — Miami Marlins won; moneyline covers.
“It's a short price on Tampa. Let's take the Tampa Bay Rays on the money line at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
TB 3, WSH 4 — Tampa Bay Rays lost; moneyline busts.
“but it's a contrarian play. I'm going against most. I'm going to take the half a goal here for Australia at plus 145 for one unit and take a shot that we wind up seeing not a great performance at a Team USA and fade it because everyone is so into it and everyone is so positive on Team USA.”
The United States beat Australia 2–0; Australia +0.5 did not cover. (USA 2, Australia 0)
“the adrenaline is gone and maybe he just has to work his way back after the injury i think seven and a half is too low let's play the under seven and a half white socks tigers over sorry over So there's an under over seven and a half for the White Sox and the Tigers at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
DET 4, CHW 3 — Combined 7; over 7.5 busts.
“Just take the Pirates on the money line at minus 135 to get the W here. I know Bubba Chandler can be a little bit on the scary on the worry side, but we'll take the Pirates on the money line to win here today.”
COL 4, PIT 3 — Pittsburgh Pirates lost; moneyline busts.
“But let's go ahead with the hard rock bet of the day and go over two and a half goals. Scotland and Morocco at plus 110 to go against the world here for both bets in soccer.”
SCO 0, MAR 1 — Combined 1; over 2.5 busts.
“They lost yesterday. We were on the Marlins yesterday against the Phillies. They won. We're coming back and we're going on the Phillies here to get a W with Aaron Nola on the mound. The Phillies have won, you know, consistently won with Aaron Nola on the mound. And the Mets have consistently lost when they've got Sean Minaya on the mound. Why overthink it? Phillies minus 125 for 1.25 units. We're taking the Phillies on the money line to keep the Aaron Nola train running to get a W for the Philadelphia Phillies here today up against the New York Mets.”
PHI 4, NYM 6 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“Red Sox, their backs are against the wall. There's a lot of anger and frustration at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are 12 and 24 in at home this year, which is crazy. But the Blue Jays are 15 and 20 on the road. That's not, you know, outstanding. With Sonny Gray in the mound, I'll take the Red Sox at a short price. Boston minus 120 for 1.2 units here for today.”
BOS 3, TOR 4 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“The Cleveland Guardians, you know, they've lost the first two games to the Brewers, two to one and nine to four. They are 20 and 18 on the road, but the Brewers are 25 and 24 at home this year. They go for the three-game sweep. And look at first game 2-1, second game 9-4. They go for the sweep here. I think they get it. We're going to go ahead and take the Milwaukee Brewers. It's a little juicy at Hard Rock Bet, but I'll lay it. Brewers money line minus 150 for 1.5 units on the day.”
MIL 2, CLE 4 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm going to come in and I like the Phillies today. Sorry, the Marlins today, rather, to get a win over the Phillies. It's an even money bet. One unit at Hard Rock bet here in Florida. We're going Marlins. Even money for one unit up against Philly on the road to avoid getting swept by the Phillies.”
PHI 4, MIA 12 — Miami Marlins won; moneyline covers.
“The total is nine and a half at Hard Rock Bet. The first two games of this series have gone over. Let's make it three. Over nine and a half. Royals Nats minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
WSH 2, KC 6 — Combined 8; over 9.5 busts.
“I think it's worth coming in and taking Scotty at five to one here as this golf tournament begins on Thursday in New York for Shinnecock Hills. Take the five to one opener at Hard Rock Bet. There are other books out there that have better prices, but I'm taking Scotty to win the U.S. Open at five to one at Hard Rock Bet to kind of put a flag down and then see how everyone else plays throughout this tournament.”
Wyndham Clark, not Scottie Scheffler, won the U.S. Open.
“The price is phenomenal. It's only minus 115 on C.J. Abrams to score a run today. I think we're getting offense. This is a five star play from the prop bet cheat sheet with a 71 percent cover probability. I think CJ Abrams gets rolling. I like CJ Abrams as the hard rock bet of the day to score a run today. CJ Abrams over a half a run at minus 115 for 1.15 units. That bet can be found at hard rock bet.”
0 runs; over 0.5 lost. (0 runs)
“It's not a horrible price to take the Yankees here for today. I like the Yankees to come in and get a W to finally win a game at home with Garrett Cole pitching. Yankees money line at minus 145 for 1.45 units. Again that price is that hard rock bet because I in Florida So they are the only sports book here So I using hard rock lines here for this week for the Daily Juice podcast.”
NYY 12, CHW 2 — New York Yankees won; moneyline covers.
“I think this is a really good play for today to come in and knock down the Orioles on the money line at plus 125. You guys might get a better price. Hard Rock Bet didn't have a great number on this, but there are better prices in the market. We want to take the Orioles at a plus plus 125 on the Orioles to get a win today on the road against Seattle.”
SEA 3, BAL 1 — Baltimore Orioles lost; moneyline busts.
“So three plays for us today. We're going Yankees money line at minus one forty five. The Orioles money line at plus one twenty five and the Nats on the money line at minus one thirty. All those bets are to come back to win one unit.”
WSH 6, KC 4 — Washington Nationals won; moneyline covers.
“The price is pretty good on this to come in and take Belgium in Egypt over two and a half goals Salah could score I don mind a play on that We want to take a prop bet on that game but only minus 110 at Hard Rock for Belgium and Egypt over two and a half goals at minus 110. We're going to jump in with the over between Belgium and Egypt today for 1.1 units.”
BEL 1, EGY 1 — Combined 2; over 2.5 busts.
“I think Iran gets the W today. I think they'll beat New Zealand, and it's a three way play with Iran at minus 115 at Hard Rock Bet. That's for one point one five units. We're going Iran on the money line for the three way up against New Zealand coming up here for today.”
IRN 2, NZL 2 — Iran drew; moneyline loses.
“Zach Wheeler at home this year. You want to talk about game logs as to what he has done. He won six to four against San Diego in his last start, a seven inning performance, just two earned runs against Cleveland, a three nothing victory, both on the run line. He then beat the athletics six to three on the run line. The last three home starts for Zach Wheeler, even though run line bets at home can sometimes be dangerous because the home team doesn't last if they have the lead. You have a 3-0 mark for Zach Wheeler on the run line, and that's how we're going to play it. Phillies on the run line for even money for one unit coming up here for today.”
PHI 7, MIA 0 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're taking Vegas and Carolina over five and a half goals at minus 125. And we're taking Vegas on the money line at minus 102 for 1.02 units.”
VGK 0, CAR 3 — Combined 3; over 5.5 busts.
“We're taking Vegas and Carolina over five and a half goals at minus 125. And we're taking Vegas on the money line at minus 102 for 1.02 units.”
VGK 0, CAR 3 — Vegas Golden Knights lost; moneyline busts.
“So like gone to submit Pereira, I don't think it happens fast, but I do think Pereira is going to have a really hard time stopping gone, taking him down. So that is, I know nobody wants to see a Frenchman beat an American, you know, on the celebration of two 50. You got to know your history a bit though because without France there is no America I know people don like to admit that but that the truth So I mean maybe there some appropriate reaction to all this and how it all going to fly out But I think the best play in that fight is the over gone Pereira over two and a half rounds It's minus 160. I get it. It's juicy, but you only pay the juice when you lose gone Pereira over two and a half rounds for 1.6 units.”
Ciryl Gane stopped Alex Pereira at 1:27 of Round 2; the fight did not reach 2:30 of Round 3, so Over 2.5 lost. (Gane by TKO, Round 2 at 1:27)
“We're going to take Curacao on the hard rock bet of the day. Curacao plus three and a half for one point two units at minus one twenty. So our hard rock bet of the day Curacao at plus three and a half against Germany.”
GER 7, CUW 1 — Curaçao margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.
“But this is a minus 120 bet for 13. Oh, this number just moved. Wow. It just went down to 13 and a half. You get a better number than what I bet. I bet. Oh no, sorry. I bet 13 and a half. Sorry. I was looking at the wrong thing. 14 and a half was the numbers before this. 13 and a half is what I bet. Sorry. Mikkel Bridges points and assists for tonight. We're going over 13 and a half points and assists. I think he gets 15 points or more just on the points and he goes over that. The assist will come along, but I like Mikkel Bridges over 13 and a half points and assists tonight for the Spurs.”
14 PTS + 4 AST = 18; over 13.5 won. (14 PTS + 4 AST = 18)
“So both these guys to go over on the prop bed cheat sheets over 14 and a half I knew there was a 14 and a half in there Julian Jim Penny over 14 and a half points in rebounds Mikkel bridges over 13 and a half I knew there was a 14 and a half in there Julian Champagne over 14 and a half points in rebounds Mikkel Bridges over 13 and a half points and assists for tonight”
14 PTS + 7 REB = 21; over 14.5 won. (14 PTS + 7 REB = 21)
“In fact, I'm going to lay it on the run line, on the goal line. I'm going to lay a goal here and go with Scotland minus a goal here at minus 110, meaning they must win the game by more than one goal. So two nothing or three nothing, the most likely outcome here for Scotland at minus 110.”
HAI 0, SCO 1 — Scotland margin +1 vs line -1; pushes.
“They are projecting France to beat Portugal in the final England and Spain, making the final four as well. But their winner is France to win it all. They've got it right. The last two years, let's trail it. Let's go with France at plus four 50 or plus four 60. I got it at plus four 60. It was plus four 50 at a different sports book. I got it in Vegas last night at plus four 60 France to win the world cup for four for one unit at plus four. 460.”
France did not win the World Cup; Spain eliminated France in the semifinal.
“But I'm going to come in. I'm taking Team USA on the three-way money line, minus 110 for 1.1 units here tonight.”
USA 4, PAR 1 — United States won; moneyline wins.
“So I like Boston here to get a win. They're 10 and 21 at home. They're absolutely awful. At some point, the Red Sox are going to get really hot at Fenway Park. This team is on record, on pace rather, to have the worst home record at Fenway Park in the history of Red Sox baseball. They have just been awful. At some point, this team is going to turn and this team is going to start to win games at home. Maybe it's this homestand. Rangers, Red Sox, we're taking Boston on the money line at minus 126 for 1.26 units.”
BOS 10, TEX 1 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“I'll take the Guardians on a cheap price. 17 and 17 at home, Cleveland. 11 and 24, Detroit on the road. Detroit just beat Minnesota 11-0 yesterday. So let's see if they show up in Cleveland without leaving some of those runs behind here. Cleveland on the money line. We're taking the Guardians at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
CLE 3, DET 2 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“We saw it with Mexico. We're going to see it with USA. I think we're going to see it as well with Canada. We're going hard rock bet Canada minus 126 for 1.26 units.”
CAN 1, BIH 1 — Canada drew; moneyline loses.
“For this one, let's take the plus money. Vegas plus 139 for one unit to win game five to have a chance to come back to Las Vegas up three games to two with a chance to win the cup in game number five.”
CAR 4, VGK 2 — Vegas Golden Knights lost; moneyline busts.
“To avoid the sweep here, we'll take Arizona with a relatively cheap price for the Diamondbacks here, even money to win for one unit.”
MIA 2, ARI 0 — Arizona Diamondbacks lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm not going to get involved with the side. I'm just going to bet the over, I'm going to bet over 216 and a half. I think you can find maybe a 216 somewhere in the market, but I think this game goes over. I think the pace of play, the way the Knicks play, their efficiency on offense, and the fact that I think the Spurs are really confident on the road. They play better on the road than they do at home. And I think their offense is far more efficient on the road than it is at home. We're going to play the over 216 and a half for game four tonight of the NBA finals.”
NY 107, SA 106 — Combined 213; over 216.5 busts.
“So let's go back into it here with De'Aaron Fox over 20 and a half points and assists. He had eight assists in game three, just 12 points. Like I mentioned on that four for 14 shooting, I think he shoots the ball well tonight. The assist will stay up. I'm going to go over 20 and a half. De'Aaron Fox points and assists.”
18 PTS + 7 AST = 25; over 20.5 won. (18 PTS + 7 AST = 25)
“Other plays are the Knicks Spurs over 216 and a half. De'Aaron Fox over 20 and a half points and assists. And the A's and the Brewers over 14 and a half at minus 110 coming up here for today.”
ATH 4, MIL 3 — Combined 7; over 14.5 busts.
“Hard rock bet play of the day. I'm coming in with the Braves money line at minus 142 to ride Chris Sale and the way he has been, how productive he has been. We're going Braves money line at minus 142 for 1.42 units.”
CHW 2, ATL 1 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“All right, let's talk. I told you, look, we're betting the over. Okay. Like straight up over A's Brewers over 11 and a half for tomorrow. I don't need to explain. Okay. We're at 29 runs and counting. This is going to be a, this is a beer softball league. Okay. At the Las Vegas ballpark. It's a small park. It's hot here. The wind's blowing out. Like again, don't care. It's pitching. We're going over. Okay. Until further notice over, over 11 and a half. I don't care who wins, but Brewers, Brewers and the A's. We're going over. Colorado comes in next. This is a six game homestand for the A's here in Vegas to kind of prep the market when the A's move here. But first bet is over 11 and a half. I don't need to go into why.”
ATH 4, MIL 3 — Combined 7; over 11.5 busts.
“I think here for game four, I think we finally get the under game coming up here for tonight. We're going to play the under six at minus 110 for Vegas and Carolina in game four here of the Stanley Cup finals.”
VGK 3, CAR 5 — Combined 8; under 6 busts.
“I'm going to fade it again. We're going to go ahead and fade Paul Skeens and the Pirates at home and take the Dodgers on the money line at minus 103 for 1.03 units.”
PIT 3, LAD 12 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“I like De'Aaron Fox to go over 20 and a half points and assists at minus 105 for 1.05 units here De Fox over 20 and a half points and assists”
12 PTS + 8 AST = 20; over 20.5 lost. (12 PTS + 8 AST = 20)
“I just think it's a matchup nightmare for San Antonio here. Let's go with Cat over 29 and a half points and rebounds at minus 108 for 1.08 units.”
11 PTS + 8 REB = 19; over 29.5 lost. (11 PTS + 8 REB = 19)
“I'm taking the Brewers. Let me Brewers run line at Milwaukee minus 105 for 1.05 units coming up here for today.”
ATH 14, MIL 15 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“OK, it's overnight. It's three and a half. So I'm going to bet over three and a half K's at minus one fifty eight for Griffin Jacks over three and a half K's.”
MIA 4, TB 1 — Griffin Jax: 4 strikeouts vs over 3.5; covers. (Griffin Jax: 4 strikeouts)
“we've seen out of the Dodgers to go ahead and bet the Dodgers on the run line. It is plus money at plus 105. They covered it yesterday. Let's cover it again here at plus 105 for one unit.”
LAD 5, LAA 13 — Los Angeles Dodgers margin -8 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Griffin Jacks over three and a half K's Dodgers on the run line at plus 105 and the Brewers on the run line at minus 120.”
COL 4, MIL 12 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +8 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like the A's here on the hard rock bet of the day. Let's play it with the A's money line at minus 110. Let's see what this kid's got for the Astros and keep the boroughs losing streak going here.”
ATH 14, MIL 15 — Athletics lost; moneyline busts.
“I think Vegas gets the win, but it's not going to be easy. I think it's a 3-2 win for Vegas, but I'll take the money line play here for Vegas at minus 106 for 1.06 units here in game three of the Stanley Cup final.”
VGK 5, CAR 4 — Vegas Golden Knights won; moneyline covers.
“Ranger Suarez has been tremendous, but I'm going to ride the Will Warren streak here. And Boston, unfortunately, this series gets evened up at one game apiece. I'm going to take the Yankees on the money line at minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
The scheduled Red Sox-Yankees game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific moneyline is terminally ungradeable and void.
“in the game started this year by Strider. I'm going to hope that the pitching for the Pirates keeps those bats quiet here and come in and play the under eight and a half for the Pirates and the Braves here from minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
ATL 6, PIT 3 — Combined 9; under 8.5 busts.
“The projection is for 21 points, rebounds, and assists for Mikkel Bridges. It is a five-star play with an expected value of 39%. That is a plus 39%. That is nearly the highest. Plus 40 is the highest percentage you can go into with this. We're going Mikkel Bridges over 17.5 points, rebounds and assists at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
SA 104, NY 105 — Mikal Bridges: 32 pra vs over 17.5; covers. (Mikal Bridges: 32 pra)
“The projection is for 21.8 points and assists. The number is 23 and a half for Stefan Castle. We going to take the under 23 and a half for Stefan Castle at minus 115 for 1 units”
14 PTS + 4 AST = 18; under 23.5 won. (14 PTS + 4 AST = 18)
“We're going to take a road favorite here, and we're going to take the Mariners at minus 120 for 1.2 units to beat the Tigers and Frambois Valdez today to start their series in Detroit.”
DET 7, SEA 3 — Seattle Mariners lost; moneyline busts.
“But I like Sonny Gray and the Red Sox here with plus money to get a W without Aaron Judge in the lineup. Let's take the Red Sox money line at plus 128 for one unit here on a Friday night without Aaron Judge there for the Yankees and the Red Sox best road pitcher on the bump. Red Sox money line for plus 128 for one unit.”
NYY 3, BOS 5 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“So because of that, we have to hedge. And so you got to search around. I got minus 125 last night. Hopefully you can find something in a similar range here for minus 125 And I going to come in pretty heavy on the Knicks I going to bet five units to win four and minus 125 and kick my heels up and just let this thing play out Okay We get involved with player props. We'll get involved with maybe some games later in the series, but we don't need to do much here. Okay. Because we're going to win regardless of what happens, we're going to win. So to do the math for you, the Spurs win. I've got 12 and a half units coming back. I am then going to hedge off those 12 units and put five on the Knicks. So we're going to wind up winning seven and a half units if the Knicks win at all. If the, I'm sorry, the Spurs win at all, excuse me, if the Knicks win it all, we got five units to win four with the one unit on the Spurs.”
New York defeated San Antonio four games to one to win the 2026 NBA championship.
“First period over one and a half goals for Carolina and the Vegas Golden Knights in game two of the Stanley Cup final over one and a half goals at minus 120 for the first period for 1.2 units”
Vegas led Carolina 1–0 after the first period; 1 first-period goal is under 1.5. (First period: Vegas 1, Carolina 0; total 1)
“Let's take the money line. Boston to win over Baltimore at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
BOS 2, BAL 8 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“Every game this season in which Chris Sale and the Braves have won the game, now they've lost games, but every game they have won, they have covered the run line. We're jumping in here with the run line for the Braves at plus 105 for one unit up against a team that we thought it was going to be good this year.”
ATL 2, TOR 7 — Atlanta Braves margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Personally, I'm going first half. I'm going to lay the two and a half points here with San Antonio in the first half to jump on the Knicks, laying two and a half to have a lead here going into halftime. I like the Spurs minus two and a half for one point one units.”
San Antonio led New York 55–48 at halftime; the 7-point lead covered -2.5 (7 - 2.5 = 4.5). (First half: San Antonio 55, New York 48)
“And I don't want to lose a bet like that, knowing that the under nine is probably the best bet. As long as Gallen pitches well in that bullpen does not get annihilated, the Diamondbacks aren't going to score off Otani. Nobody has scored off Otani so far yet here in 2026. And I don't think this D-backs team is going to do it. So I'm going to play the under nine at minus 105 for the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks for 1.05 units.”
ARI 0, LAD 7 — Combined 7; under 9 covers.
“I think it's worth the flyer here. Astros plus one thirty five for one unit Take Houston to beat Pittsburgh coming up here for tonight”
HOU 11, PIT 9 — Houston Astros won; moneyline covers.
“And we're going with the hard rock bet of the day. We've hit seven in a row. Spurs laying four and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
SA 95, NY 105 — San Antonio Spurs margin -10 vs line -4.5; busts.
“But I got plus money on Vegas at plus 135 on the money line in the Stanley Cup finals with the way they've been playing. And Vegas has had some time off to get healthy with Mark Stone and company. Vegas money line. Let's get a W out of Vegas to go up 1-0 for one unit.”
CAR 4, VGK 5 — Vegas Golden Knights won; moneyline covers.
“But with Jack Flaherty being as bad as he is, I'm stunned that we're getting this much of a plus price on the run line. You can bet money line if you want, and I'll probably bet money line too. But the run line is so juicy given what we've seen with Jack Flaherty. As I read off those scores, every single game in the month of May, the Tigers lost on the run line except the first game on the 1st of May. every other game run line won by the opponent. Tampa Bay on the run line today is plus one 45. I'm taking a shot. Okay. Look at, we've been doing well. Let's have some fun here. You can bet money line. If you want to lay the juice, it's not that expensive. It's one 45 or so, but I'm taking a shot on the raise on the run line. Tampa Bay plus one 45 for one unit here today in major league baseball.”
Tampa Bay Rays 0, Detroit Tigers 8; selected-team margin -8 with +1.5 = -6.5, so the spread lost. (Tampa Bay Rays 0, Detroit Tigers 8)
“They're 2-0 to the over on this road trip. Let's make it 3-0 to the over on this road trip for Vegas and LA over 175 and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
LA 69, LV 79 — Combined 148; over 175.5 busts.
“I'm going to take it with the Dodgers here. Dodgers money line minus 142. We might need it against the bullpens here. You might need Otani and company to get hot and hit some bombs or so off this bullpen. I don't think it's going to be a blowout, but I could see it being a three to two or a four to three type of win here for the Dodgers. I'll take the Dodgers in the money line for minus 142 for 1.42 units.”
ARI 4, LAD 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers lost; moneyline busts.
“I love the over in this game I think this game is going to fly over eight and a half Marlins and the Nats over eight and a half at minus 110”
WSH 3, MIA 7 — Combined 10; over 8.5 covers.
“but I'm going to take one team that's won five in a row and six of seven and one team that has lost five in a row and lost six of seven. And we're going to go ahead and take the White Sox on the money line at plus 150.”
MIN 9, CHW 6 — Chicago White Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“It's just first half money line for the Valkyries. Minus 110. Valkyries money line. If they tie, it's a push. Okay? We're not laying anything. I'm not laying any points. just a straight money line. They got to be winning. If we're tied at the break, nobody wins. It's a push. Valkyries money line minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
Golden State trailed Las Vegas 43–41 at halftime, so the Valkyries first-half moneyline lost. (Halftime: Las Vegas 43, Golden State 41)
“But this is the Braves going for a sweep in the Braves offense. We're going to take the Braves on a short price. Braves money line at minus one twenty five for one point two five units.”
CIN 6, ATL 4 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going run line. Mizorovsky on the run line. We're going to go ahead and lay minus 105. I hate laying juice on the run line, but they are on the road. So they will get the full nine innings of action here against the Astros. Like the Brewers on the run line here to win the game. 5-1, 5-2, 5-3, somewhere in that range. Brewers win on the run line, laying one and a half runs at minus 105.”
HOU 0, MIL 2 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“They are not trying. They are punting on this season in a big way. Hard rock bet of the day. Cheap price on the Red Sox with Rangers Suarez going. Boston money line to win the game at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
CLE 4, BOS 9 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“But I do think I do think it's going to be a win and it could be a blowout. I mean, it's really possible that it might not be close. OKC might just take them apart. OKC minus three and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
OKC 103, SA 111 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -8 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Let's get both starters to go six plus innings here. Early start day game in Chicago. Let's go under. Let's play the under eight for starting pitching. Tigers and the White Sox under eight for 1.1 units.”
CHW 7, DET 1 — Combined 8; under 8 pushes.
“I don't mind a play on the under in this game. I think it's very possible this game will wind up going under, but I'm going to avoid that and just take the Orioles at home to get a W here against one of their divisional rivals. And we're getting plus money on it. Orioles at home, money line, plus 110 for one unit.”
BAL 6, TOR 5 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“I like Milwaukee. Let's back them in a National League versus American League matchup. Let's go ahead and take Milwaukee on the money line. Brewers minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
HOU 4, MIL 5 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“I get the team has been tremendous. This game most likely goes under, but I'm going to take the short price. Again, these are heat check bets. We've been really good. Dodgers on the money line. at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
LAD 4, PHI 2 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“But the total is 5.5. I bet over in game four. That was a mistake. I'm not going to make the same mistake twice here. I'm betting the under. In a closeout game, you're going to have a lot of tight nerves. You're going to have a lot of gripping of sticks and not playing loose. Carolina, Montreal, under 5.5 for 1.1 units.”
CAR 6, MTL 1 — Combined 7; under 5.5 busts.
“I did this the last time we played the hard rock bet of the day. We hit five in a row for hard rock bets of the day. It too juicy to bet money line. So we're betting puck line, puck line, Carolina got to win by more than one open net might be needed late. If it's three, two, we're done, but I think four, two is very possible. 3-1 is very possible. It's plus 110. Like I mentioned, these bets are heat check bets. So let's see if we can stay hot. This could very well be a losing day. I understand that. These are somewhat difficult bets that I'm firing here, but let's push it. Let's have some opportunities. Let's see what we can do with the numbers and see if we can push our luck a little bit here with this and go with the puck line for Carolina tonight for them to advance to the Stanley”
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Montreal Canadiens 1; selected-team margin +5 with -1.5 = +3.5, so the spread won. (Carolina Hurricanes 6, Montreal Canadiens 1)
“It doesn't matter who's playing for the Thunder. if Williams is in or not, does it matter to me here in game six? It might for game seven, but it doesn't for game six. I like the Spurs to win and force this thing back to Oklahoma City here. I still think the Thunder win the series. I think they win game seven. Game six tonight, we're going to play it, lay the three and a half with the Spurs.”
San Antonio Spurs 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 91; selected-team margin +27 with -3.5 = +23.5, so the spread won. (San Antonio Spurs 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 91)
“I'm going to back him. I'm going to play his prop of over 27 and a half points for Wemby tonight at minus 110.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — Victor Wembanyama: 28 points vs over 27.5; covers. (Victor Wembanyama: 28 points)
“So I'm staying away from the total and just taking the Braves and laying it with Atlanta, Atlanta money line and minus 132 to win the series here against the Red Sox for 1.32 units.”
Atlanta Braves 10, Boston Red Sox 2; the Atlanta Braves moneyline won. (Atlanta Braves 10, Boston Red Sox 2)
“I think the game goes over. I think we see offense here. First bet on the game. We're going over Carolina, Montreal over five and a half.”
MTL 0, CAR 4 — Combined 4; over 5.5 busts.
“But I think the best way to play this is simply go with the under. Yankees, Royals, under nine for 1.1 units at minus 110.”
KC 0, NYY 7 — Combined 7; under 9 covers.
“ERA of 0.73. I think he continues to be a dominant pitcher here. And given the fact that Dodgers have struggled a little bit offensively over the last couple of games and the injury to Otani's hand, I think the best play here to jump in with this game would be to come in and take the under eight and a half for the Dodgers and the Rockies at minus 110. Then Dodgers under eight and a half with the Rockies. But if Otani does not pitch, do not bet that at the time of taping. Otani is going to pitch.”
LAD 4, COL 1 — Combined 5; under 8.5 covers.
“But for a hard rock bet of the day, I'm going ahead and taking Carolina on the money line. I think they win both games in Montreal. Experience matters. Goaltending matters. Lack of offense for Montreal. I think Carolina gets it done. We'll probably need the open net to get the over, but I think it ices it for Carolina. I like Carolina on the road to take both games in the bell center here. Carolina money line to go up three games to one on the Montreal Canadiens in the Eastern Conference final”
MTL 0, CAR 4 — Carolina Hurricanes won; moneyline covers.
“Vegas on the money line. It's a short price. They're almost home dogs at minus 105 up 3.0. I know the logical thought is they have to go back to Colorado. I don't think they're going to have to. I like Vegas. Give me the Golden Knights on the money line here to win and end the Western Conference finals tonight at home”
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Colorado Avalanche 1; the Vegas Golden Knights moneyline won. (Vegas Golden Knights 2, Colorado Avalanche 1)
“Game six in San Antonio goes to the Spurs. And we're going to a game seven in OKC. I'm going to lay it here with the thunder minus five and a half. OKC gets the win. OKC will cover and move this to game six back in San Antonio.”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +13 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Look it. I think the Braves are the right side, but I think the best play in the game is to just go ahead and take the under eight. Offensively, Boston is so inept. Their pitching is really good, though, with Ranger Swarov on the mound. I think they'll keep the Braves bats quiet. Braves may win. Unders the best play under eight for minus one ten for one point one units.”
BOS 6, ATL 7 — Combined 13; under 8 busts.
“I may be wrong in game four, but I'm going to go ahead and take the Knicks. I'm going to lay the two and a half and follow steam here with the professional money. Knicks laying two and a half against the Cavaliers on the road to close out Cleveland and to extend it and make the NBA finals and a chance to win their first championship since 1973.”
CLE 93, NY 130 — New York Knicks margin +37 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Give me the home dog. Give me Montreal at plus 125 to go ahead and take two games to one lead in the Eastern Conference Finals up against the Carolina Hurricanes. Give me the Habs at home at plus 125.”
MTL 2, CAR 3 — Montreal Canadiens lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the under in this game. I think both offenses are going to struggle. I think both pitching staffs here coming off of long road trips I think both teams are going to be a little bit sleepy here I going to go ahead and take the under eight and a half between the Rangers and the Astros at minus one 10 eight and a half under for Houston and Texas in the battle of Texas.”
TEX 0, HOU 9 — Combined 9; under 8.5 busts.
“But for this game, I'm coming in and I'm taking the Spurs. I'm going to see them even up the series at two games apiece. They're going to take game four. My mind Spurs minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
SA 103, OKC 82 — San Antonio Spurs margin +21 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the road team here. Moneyline, Colorado, minus 145 for 1.45 units.”
VGK 5, COL 3 — Colorado Avalanche lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm fading it with the Orioles at home here. Give me Baltimore to win at home on Sunday up against the Tigers. Baltimore minus 128 for 1.28 units.”
BAL 5, DET 3 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to go with the hard rock bet of the day. the Yankees to finally beat the Tampa Bay Rays at minus 132 for 1.32 units.”
NYY 2, TB 0 — New York Yankees won; moneyline covers.
“Carolina, Montreal under six for minus one fifteen for one point one units.”
CAR 3, MTL 2 — Combined 5; under 6 covers.
“So that's going in the right direction. Nine is the total because of Jake Irvin. Let's go ahead play the under nine for the Braves and the Nationals at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
ATL 0, WSH 2 — Combined 2; under 9 covers.
“So we're going to come in and we're going to take the Cleveland Cavaliers laying two and a half against the Knicks for 1.1 units.”
CLE 108, NY 121 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin -13 vs line -2.5; busts.
“But I'm going to take the points here. Give me OKC plus two and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
SA 108, OKC 123 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +15 vs line +2.5; covers.
“It's only minus 125 from a juice perspective. So I'm taking Vegas and Colorado under six and a half with a lean towards Vegas to win the game outright here in game number two.”
COL 1, VGK 3 — Combined 4; under 6.5 covers.
“But I like the Dodgers here on a very short price. LA on the money line at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
MIL 5, LAD 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going to come in here and take Logan Gilbert and back him on the hard rock bet of the day. Mariners money line against Kansas City for 1.35 units, minus 135 for the Mariners on the money line.”
KC 0, SEA 2 — Seattle Mariners won; moneyline covers.
“I think the Knicks cover. I like the over in the game as well, but officially I'm just going to lay the six and a half points here with the Knicks laying six and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
NY 109, CLE 93 — New York Knicks margin +16 vs line -6.5; covers.
“And we're going to take the under six for Montreal and Carolina at minus 115.”
CAR 2, MTL 6 — Combined 8; under 6 busts.
“I think the play is jumping on the under here. Braves Marlins under seven and a half at minus one oh five for one point zero five units.”
MIA 3, ATL 9 — Combined 12; under 7.5 busts.
“So what are we doing? We're going under. Red Sox Royals under eight at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
KC 3, BOS 4 — Combined 7; under 8 covers.
“And I think we go to the over six at minus 120 for Vegas and Colorado.”
COL 2, VGK 4 — Combined 6; over 6 pushes.
“I'm going to lay the six and a half points here with OKC Thunder minus six and a half at minus 110 to even up their best of seven series at one game apiece.”
OKC 122, SA 113 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +9 vs line -6.5; covers.
“The Hard Rock Bet of the day. We'll take a look at the total of this game and what we've seen from an over perspective, a lot in OKC. We've seen these games go under, but the totals have been 229 and a half, 235 and a half. This is 216 and a half. This is 215 and a half. This is a number that you look at the totals here. OKC 51 and 40 to the over. And when they're rolling, they can score in bunches. And I know the Spurs defense has been tremendous. But like I mentioned, if Wemby isn't going to play big minutes, you're taking off a gigantic and I mean a gigantic weapon defensively off the court for the Spurs. So I just think we see offense here tonight. I don't think the game goes to overtime, but I do think we're going over here. Game one went under or right over by a ton. I bet the under, I'm going to turn around and bet the over here is hopefully the zigzag theory doesn't burn me, but I'm going over to 15 and a half Spurs and the Thunder in game two, the Thunder to bounce back in the game to go over to 15 and a half for minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
OKC 122, SA 113 — Combined 235; over 215.5 covers.
“And I'm going to come in here and I want to take the Guardians on a money line price for a short price. Guardians minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
DET 3, CLE 4 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“Now, I don't think it's going to be a 39 point blowout here tonight, but I am going to take the Knicks laying seven at minus 110 for 1.1 units coming up here for tonight. I think they win. I think they cover coming up against the Cavs.”
NY 115, CLE 104 — New York Knicks margin +11 vs line -7; covers.
“in October and in December the games two 41 and a half it went over to 28 and a half It went over It now two 17 and a half here for tonight And I think we going over here again with offense The Knicks the blowout does worry me a little bit Okay. If it is a complete blowout for the Knicks, that might be of concern, but the next score, 135 points tonight will be good. We'll, we'll go over. So it just comes down to how many points will Cleveland give up team total on the Knicks? Not a bad bet in my mind. That's not a horrible way of approaching this, but I think you can just come in here and take the over for this one over to 17 and a half for the Knicks and the Cavaliers.”
New York Knicks 115, Cleveland Cavaliers 104; 219 total is over 217.5, so Over 217.5 won. (New York Knicks 115, Cleveland Cavaliers 104; total 219)
“I'm going to go ahead and take the Braves on the money line. It's a short price as well. Minus 105 for Atlanta for 1.05 units.”
MIA 12, ATL 0 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's drop it down to a 12 and a half to one price and take the Thunder to win the Western Conference final at minus 245 for to win one unit coming back.”
San Antonio, not Oklahoma City, won the 2026 Western Conference.
“We're taking the Montreal Canadiens here on a hedge to make sure we're not losing any money on this Montreal money line. Even money for one unit to win a unit coming back here for us coming up tonight.”
BUF 2, MTL 3 — Montreal Canadiens won; moneyline covers.
“I'm talking about we might lose today because I am going to bet and take the Cavaliers here at plus four and a half to try to thread the needle. Cavs plus four and a half in game seven on the road up against the Pistons.”
DET 94, CLE 125 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin +31 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I'm going to go against that. I'm going to be on the book side here. I'm going to take the under 207 between the Pistons and the Cavaliers.”
DET 94, CLE 125 — Combined 219; under 207 busts.
“It is Sunday. So weird things do happen on Sunday, but I'm going to take the under eight and a half for the Red Sox and the Braves at 1.1 units for minus one 10 Red Sox Braves. under eight and a half.”
ATL 8, BOS 1 — Combined 9; under 8.5 busts.
“I'm going to trust the Rays here to get the job done up against the Marlins. Tampa Bay on the money line for minus 150 for 1.5 units.”
TB 6, MIA 3 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Braves to win the game but I think the best play is just to come in and take the under Red Sox Braves under eight at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
ATL 2, BOS 3 — Combined 5; under 8 covers.
“I think the best play in the game is just to come in here and take the over six at minus 120 for 1.2 units for Buffalo and Montreal.”
MTL 3, BUF 8 — Combined 11; over 6 covers.
“I just think we take the Yankees here to get a W to continue the misery or the Mets better team, better lineup in a left-handed starting pitching is bad news. Normally for the Mets, let's go and take the Yankees on the money line at minus one 30 for 1.3 units”
NYM 6, NYY 3 — New York Yankees lost; moneyline busts.
“i like the blue jays here to get a win to have the rest advantage and take game one of this series we're going blue jays money line at minus 130 for 1.3 units”
DET 3, TOR 2 — Toronto Blue Jays lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's get Moneyline. Let's go Pistons on the Moneyline. It's plus 150. Great price. Let's take it. Detroit. Moneyline. Plus 150 for one unit.”
CLE 94, DET 115 — Detroit Pistons won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to take the over, 218.5 for the Spurs and the T-Wolves tonight.”
MIN 109, SA 139 — Combined 248; over 218.5 covers.
“let's go and bet the Cavs and the Pistons over 209 and a half for 1.1 units for the hard rock bet of the day”
CLE 94, DET 115 — Combined 209; over 209.5 busts.
“I'll take the Red Sox again. We took him yesterday. We're taking him today. Even money on the Red Sox against the Phillies for one unit on the money line to win the rubber match of their game here today and get Ranger Suarez a win up against his former team.”
BOS 1, PHI 3 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's go and do it again. Same play from yesterday. Same play from the first game. under seven and a half Cubs and the Braves under seven and a half at minus 105 for 1 units”
ATL 0, CHC 2 — Combined 2; under 7.5 covers.
“But in case they don't, I'm taking Montreal on the money line at even money.”
BUF 3, MTL 6 — Montreal Canadiens won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm going to come in and take Montreal on the money line and I'm going to take the over five and a half at minus 125 for the Montreal Canadiens in the Buffalo Sabres.”
BUF 3, MTL 6 — Combined 9; over 5.5 covers.
“We get a game five win in a game five whistle for the Pistons and we'll take the Pistons at minus four and a half to win and cover against the Cavaliers for minus one ten.”
DET 113, CLE 117 — Detroit Pistons margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Red Sox need a win. They got a big advantage here in the pitching department from the starting pitching department Let take the Red Sox on the money line here at minus one twenty nine up against the Phillies for one point two nine units”
BOS 3, PHI 1 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to play the under. Let's go Braves-Cubs under 8.5 for minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
ATL 4, CHC 1 — Combined 5; under 8.5 covers.
“Hard rock play of the day. We're going Cavaliers and the Pistons over to 12 and a half at minus 110.”
DET 113, CLE 117 — Combined 230; over 212.5 covers.
“I'm laying the 10 and a half with the Spurs here for one point zero five units.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — San Antonio Spurs margin +29 vs line -10.5; covers.
“We're going to come in here and we're going to take the over. I like the Sabres at plus money. Better play is the over. Sabres-Canadiens over six for minus 120 at 1.2 units.”
MTL 2, BUF 3 — Combined 5; over 6 busts.
“Milwaukee on the money line to keep it rolling here at minus 122 for 1.22 units.”
MIL 6, SD 4 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to jump in, take the Lakers and the Thunder over to 13 and a half at minus 110 for 1.15 units.”
LAL 110, OKC 115 — Combined 225; over 213.5 covers.
“We're taking Cleveland lane three and a half points here with Cleveland minus three and a half at minus one. 10 for 1.1 units.”
CLE 112, DET 103 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin +9 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Let's give it to them. Abs in the wild under six and a half for minus one eighteen for one point one eight units.”
MIN 2, COL 5 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“I like Buffalo to take back home ice from the Montreal Canadiens tonight. I'm taking the Sabres on the money line at plus 105 for one unit.”
MTL 6, BUF 2 — Buffalo Sabres lost; moneyline busts.
“I think the best play in the game, though, is the over 213 for the Knicks and the Sixers today in game four of their best of seven series for 1.1 units.”
PHI 114, NY 144 — Combined 258; over 213 covers.
“We're going to take the under eight at minus 105 for the Tigers and the Royals on Sunday night baseball for 1.05 units.”
KC 3, DET 6 — Combined 9; under 8 busts.
“and we're going to come in and take it for the hard rock bet of the day. Buffalo and Montreal over five and a half at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
MTL 6, BUF 2 — Combined 8; over 5.5 covers.
“But if you take Chimaev on the money line, the Thunder on the money line and the Hurricanes on the money line, that is a plus one twenty seven parlay for one unit.”
Khamzat Chimaev lost to Sean Strickland; Oklahoma City beat the Lakers 131–108 and Carolina beat Philadelphia 3–2. One losing leg lost the parlay. (Chimaev: lost; Thunder: won; Hurricanes: won)
“it's going to be cloudy 57 a little rainy here not great hitting weather good for us to come in here and take the under seven and a half for the the red sox and the rays that's even money for one unit with the red sox and the rays”
The scheduled Red Sox-Rays game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific total is terminally ungradeable and void.
“I like the under in this game. I do like the Cavaliers as well, laying the four and a half, but I said I going to take the under here for this one go under two 12 and a half for the Pistons and the Cavaliers”
CLE 116, DET 109 — Combined 225; under 212.5 busts.
“So while I like the under 216 and a half in this game, we're going to take the Spurs laying four and a half against the Timberwolves here tonight at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
MIN 108, SA 115 — San Antonio Spurs margin +7 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm taking the Braves money line. Give me the Braves to win the game against the Dodgers. I backing Chris Sale on the road here at plus 105 for one unit”
LAD 3, ATL 1 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm coming back and taking the plus money with the Montreal Canadiens. Montreal at plus 124 here on the money line to even up their series at one game apiece.”
BUF 1, MTL 5 — Montreal Canadiens won; moneyline covers.
“Lay the one and a half points. We are going to go with the hard rock bet of the day. Philadelphia minus one and a half against the Knicks for 1 units”
PHI 94, NY 108 — Philadelphia 76ers margin -14 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So we don't want to get involved with the overall with the win. Who wins the game? The unders, the play at eight and a half here for Tampa Bay and Boston.”
BOS 4, TB 8 — Combined 12; under 8.5 busts.
“Let's go ahead and jump on the under nine. Kansas City, Cleveland, under nine for minus 110.”
KC 5, CLE 8 — Combined 13; under 9 busts.
“I'm laying the three points with the Pistons at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
DET 107, CLE 97 — Detroit Pistons margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“But for game two with New York, I'm just taking the Knicks. Give me six and a half. This is too low. Knicks minus six and a half against Philadelphia for one point one units.”
NY 108, PHI 102 — New York Knicks margin +6 vs line -6.5; busts.
“Obviously, we're betting the under. Tampa Bay and Toronto to keep the under train rolling here for the Rays. under seven and a half at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
TB 3, TOR 0 — Combined 3; under 7.5 covers.
“And I'm taking Moneyline. Took a shot last night with the Wild. Let's take a shot with the Ducks on the money line at plus 140 up against the Golden Knights for one unit.”
Anaheim Ducks 3, Vegas Golden Knights 1; the Anaheim Ducks moneyline won. (Anaheim Ducks 3, Vegas Golden Knights 1)
“I'm going to go ahead and take the under 216 Spurs, Timberwolves under 216 minus 110 for 1.1 units for the hard rock bet of the day.”
SA 133, MIN 95 — Combined 228; under 216 busts.
“It's too good of a price to jump in to avoid it. I'm going to take it. Yankees money line at minus 120 up against the Rangers for 1.2 units.”
NYY 7, TEX 4 — New York Yankees won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to lay it with the Pistons here. Detroit minus three against the Cavs in game one of their best of seven series in the Eastern Conference semifinals for 1.1 units.”
DET 111, CLE 101 — Detroit Pistons margin +10 vs line -3; covers.
“I'll take a shot. It's a flyer, but I'll take it. The wild on the money line at plus 170 up against Colorado.”
Minnesota Wild 2, Colorado Avalanche 5; the Minnesota Wild moneyline lost. (Minnesota Wild 2, Colorado Avalanche 5)
“Spurs, T-Wolves under 217 and a half at minus 110.”
SA 102, MIN 104 — Combined 206; under 217.5 covers.
“we're going under, under five and a half for minus 120 for Carolina and Philadelphia.”
CAR 3, PHI 2 — Combined 5; under 5.5 covers.
“One pitcher's got to break their losing streak and I'll take the Guardians to do it over the Royals. We're going Guardians money line, even money for one unit today in major league baseball.”
KC 6, CLE 2 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“We're taking the Spurs on the money line. Yankees money line, Jedi Vegas Golden Knights and the San Antonio Spurs led by Victor Wembeyama is a plus 171 parlay for one unit here on Star Wars Day.”
Parlay busts: New York Yankees — won; Vegas Golden Knights — won; San Antonio Spurs — lost.
“I'm taking the Nuggets on the money line at minus 110 to even up their best of seven series at one game apiece.”
MIN 112, DEN 96 — Denver Nuggets lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm taking the senators on the money line. It's plus money. It's plus 110 for one unit just to keep themselves away from being swept.”
OTT 2, CAR 4 — Ottawa Senators lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to back the Red Sox here on the money line, Boston money line at plus one Oh five for one unit.”
BAL 1, BOS 17 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“I don't mind a bet on the under in this game, but I think the better play is just to go ahead and lay the five points here with San Antonio Spurs minus five at minus one ten up against the Blazers for one point one units.”
POR 93, SA 114 — San Antonio Spurs margin +21 vs line -5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the seven points with the Boston Celtics at minus 110 in game four against the Philadelphia 76ers. Boston to win and cover.”
PHI 96, BOS 128 — Boston Celtics margin +32 vs line -7; covers.
“and this game goes under 214. I just it's if it's not broke, just keep on betting it. Celtics and the Sixers under 214 for the hard rock bet of the day.”
PHI 96, BOS 128 — Combined 224; under 214 busts.
“I'm taking the Dodgers on the money line at minus 155 up against the Cubs for 1.55 units.”
LAD 4, CHC 6 — Los Angeles Dodgers lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me the Guardians on the money line. It's not expensive. Minus 125 for Cleveland on the road against Toronto for 1.25 units. Take the Guardians to win on the money line.”
TOR 6, CLE 8 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“but I like Boston here on the road. Joe Mazzola to bounce back. I'm going to lay it with the Celtics. I'm going to lay the seven points with Boston. Sixers are a team that if they don't hit threes, they can't hit Boston. And I'm going to fade that they can't do what they did in game two in game three. And that Boston shoots much better in game three than they did in game two. Celtics minus seven for 1.1 units.”
PHI 100, BOS 108 — Boston Celtics margin +8 vs line -7; covers.
“hard rock bet of the day. We're taking the Oilers and the Ducks over seven at plus 105 for one unit.”
ANA 6, EDM 4 — Combined 10; over 7 covers.
“but the Mets are bad. Twins money line laying only minus 115 against the Mets for 1.15 units. We're taking Minnesota.”
NYM 10, MIN 8 — Minnesota Twins lost; moneyline busts.
“I like the Braves on the money line. It's only minus 130 Braves money line for 1.3 units.”
WSH 2, ATL 7 — Atlanta Braves won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to go with the zigzag theory and I'm going to go ahead and take the Buffalo Sabres to win game three of their best of seven for minus one oh six for one point zero six units.”
BOS 1, BUF 3 — Buffalo Sabres won; moneyline covers.
“We are going to go with the under eight and a half for the Rangers and the Pirates at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
TEX 4, PIT 8 — Combined 12; under 8.5 busts.
“I got a dog price on the Orioles I think this is too good to pass up much like we saw last night with the Giants at plus 118 for the Orioles I'm taking the money line. Give me Baltimore to take two out of three against the Royals here on the road.”
KC 6, BAL 8 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to lay the eight and a half points. Pistons minus eight and a half against the Magic.”
DET 98, ORL 83 — Detroit Pistons margin +15 vs line -8.5; covers.
“I took the Wild in game one. I took the Stars in game two. I'm coming back and taking the Wild in game three for the hard rock bet of the day. The Minnesota Wild money line at minus 122 for 1.22 units.”
MIN 3, DAL 4 — Minnesota Wild lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to take a shot at the on the Giants money line Giants plus 162 on the Giants here to get a victory over their arch rivals in the L.A. Dodgers.”
San Francisco Giants 3, Los Angeles Dodgers 1; the San Francisco Giants moneyline won. (San Francisco Giants 3, Los Angeles Dodgers 1)
“rockets win rockets cover I taking Houston laying five you can lay four and a half at certain books right now so I like that number better than my number Let that come down as we seeing money come in on the Lakers That not surprising That's what happens all the time when the Lakers are playing. You see numbers drop down just because the public and large wagers do come in on the L.A. Lakers in the postseason with LeBron James. No Luka in this game, but Kevin Durant expected to be back. I'll take the Rockets minus five to win and cover.”
LAL 101, HOU 94 — Houston Rockets margin -7 vs line -5; busts.
“So instead, I'm going back to the Celtics first half team total over 59 and a half. We bet it in game one.”
Boston scored 54 first-half points; 54 is under the Celtics first-half team total of 59.5. (Boston first half: 54 points)
“red sox tigers we're playing the under eight at minus 110 here for this game. I just don't think we're going to see any offense.”
BOS 8, DET 6 — Combined 14; under 8 busts.
“We're playing the over 11 for the Rockies and the Dodgers here in Colorado at Coors Field.”
COL 3, LAD 12 — Combined 15; over 11 covers.
“Dallas on the money line at minus 135 for 1.35 units, even up that series at one game apiece.”
DAL 4, MIN 2 — Dallas Stars won; moneyline covers.
“So plays for today, puck line for Colorado, the Bruins and the Sabres under six, six and a half at minus 128.”
BUF 4, BOS 3 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“I'm taking the Golden Knights. It's only minus 150. It's not that juicy. We're jumping in with the Vegas Golden Knights at minus 150 for 1.5 units.”
VGK 4, UTA 2 — Vegas Golden Knights won; moneyline covers.
“Boston Celtics first half team total over 59 and a half for minus 104 four for 1.04 units on that.”
Boston scored 64 first-half points; 64 is over the Celtics first-half team total of 59.5. (Boston first half: 64 points)
“I got it for the hard rock bet of the day. Let's go Colorado on the puck line, laying one and a half goals for one for minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
COL 2, LA 1 — Colorado Avalanche margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm taking the points. Give me Atlanta Hawks plus five and a half here for minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
NY 113, ATL 102 — Atlanta Hawks margin -11 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I don't know. I'm going to, I'm going to go the other way. I'm going to play the, I'm playing the under Rockets Lakers under two Oh seven and a half here at LA.”
LAL 107, HOU 98 — Combined 205; under 207.5 covers.
“game one, Minnesota game two for Dallas. Let's go ahead and take Minnesota, the wild to get a W here today on the money line at plus one Oh five to take a one nothing lead over the Dallas stars. Again, I think Dallas wins the series, but I think Minnesota steals game one. Wild Moneyline at plus 105.”
DAL 1, MIN 6 — Minnesota Wild won; moneyline covers.
“I like the money line. Give me the Phillies to beat the Braves here at plus 102. It's basically an even money price. I like Philadelphia to get the win tonight at home up against their arch rival in the Braves for 1.1 units.”
PHI 0, ATL 9 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm taking the Mariners on the money line for minus 123 for 1.23 units for the Mariners on the money line up against the Phillies.”
SEA 0, TEX 5 — Seattle Mariners lost; moneyline busts.
“Hard rock bet of the day. Con can nipple over two and a half made threes at minus 144 for 1.44 units.”
ORL 121, CHA 90 — Kon Knueppel: 1 threes vs over 2.5; busts. (Kon Knueppel: 1 threes)
“I came in and I laid the three points, but I bought it down off of three and a half. I paid the 120 to get it down to three. I'm not getting hooked. I laid the three Orlando. Sorry, Hornets against Orlando on the road. I like Charlotte minus three for 1.2 units here laying the 120.”
ORL 121, CHA 90 — Charlotte Hornets margin -31 vs line -3; busts.
“The number opened up at two and a half. I took it at plus two and a half. I think the Warriors win in the Warriors advance. I don't want to bet. And that's why I took him at five and a half against the Clippers. I'm not fading Curry and I'm not fading Kerr in this winner. Take all one game situation. Champions play like champions, right? Winners win. Warriors run not going to end here tomorrow night on Friday night. I like the Warriors plus two and a half against the Suns. Give me the Warriors at plus two and a half.”
PHX 111, GS 96 — Golden State Warriors margin -15 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I am going to come in and I'm betting on the under eight for the Orioles and the Guardians at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
CLE 4, BAL 2 — Combined 6; under 8 covers.
“But for tonight, I'm going to lay the one and a half points. I like the Sixers laying one and a half at home tonight for 1.1 units.”
PHI 109, ORL 97 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +12 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I think the Clippers win but I like the points I taking Golden State Give me the Warriors at plus five and a half for 1 units”
LAC 121, GS 126 — Golden State Warriors margin +5 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I think the overall pattern of these two teams have been going over so consistently. And now we're getting a nine. I think this number's too high. Once it got to nine, I said, fine, I'm going under. Under minus 120 for the Braves and the Marlins. We're going under nine for 1.2 units.”
ATL 6, MIA 3 — Combined 9; under 9 pushes.
“Steph Curry over three and a half made threes at minus 162 for 1.62 units.”
LAC 121, GS 126 — Stephen Curry: 7 threes vs over 3.5; covers. (Stephen Curry: 7 threes)
“I like Charlotte. I'm laying it with Charlotte. Minus five and a half. Again, a little heavy, but I'm laying it with Charlotte. Minus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
CHA 127, MIA 126 — Charlotte Hornets margin +1 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I like Phoenix here. I don't I'm going to go against the point spread here. The fact that the pros are driving this number down. I'm going to take the better number. I'm going to take the number that I think it might even drop down to two and a half. Might even be two. I'm going to be on the book side for this game and be OK with being on the book side for this game. I'm laying the three Phoenix minus three for 1.1 units at home.”
PHX 110, POR 114 — Phoenix Suns margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“So Tampa Bay is feeling good. They're four and five on the road. You can play an under seven and a half if you would like. But I think the better play is just to come in and take Tampa on the money line at minus 130 to get the W.”
CHW 5, TB 8 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“I think the best bet in the game going on here today is the under eight and a half for the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves at minus 110.”
ATL 4, MIA 10 — Combined 14; under 8.5 busts.
“Again, it's juicy, but Dodgers money line minus 158 for 1.58 units.”
LAD 4, NYM 0 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to go ahead and take the under six at minus 110 for Vegas and for Winnipeg.”
VGK 6, WPG 2 — Combined 8; under 6 busts.
“Under 12 and a half pirates and the Cubs for 1.1 units.”
CHC 7, PIT 6 — Combined 13; under 12.5 busts.
“But I do think the under 219 and a half is a good look here. Under 219 and a half for the Nets and the Raptors coming up here for today.”
TOR 136, BKN 101 — Combined 237; under 219.5 busts.
“I like Justin Rose here under 70 and a half at minus 105 for 1.05 units for the hard rock bet of the day.”
Justin Rose shot 70 in the final round; under 70.5 won.
“Let's just take the Dallas stars on the money. So on the money line in regulation for Dallas at minus one 10. So Dallas to win in 60 Dallas in regulation at minus 110 over the Rangers for 1.1 units.”
Dallas beat the Rangers 2–0 in regulation. (After regulation: Dallas 2, New York Rangers 0)
“Under six and a half at minus 130 for Columbus and Montreal here today for 1.3 units.”
MTL 2, CBJ 5 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“I think the best play in this baseball game is to go ahead and bet the over here for the Dodgers and the Rangers. over eight and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
LAD 6, TEX 3 — Combined 9; over 8.5 covers.
“Let's just take it by the, by money line and take Curtis Blades to win this fight here for our hard rock bet of the day of USA 327 in Miami. Curtis Blades money line over Josh Hokett at minus 118 for 1.18 units.”
Josh Hokit defeated Curtis Blaydes by unanimous decision, so the Blaydes moneyline lost. (Hokit won by unanimous decision)
“I like the Brewers here. We're taking the team total over four and a half for the Brewers at minus 105 for 1 units”
Milwaukee scored 3 runs; 3 is under the Brewers team total of 4.5. (Milwaukee Brewers: 3 runs)
“We're going to go under 223 and a half for 1.1 units.”
CHA 100, DET 118 — Combined 218; under 223.5 covers.
“what I will play, I will play the money line in regulation. Islanders in regulation at minus 145.”
The Islanders beat Toronto 5–3 in regulation. (After regulation: Islanders 5, Toronto 3)
“I'll take the Buffalo Sabres in just for the game money line at minus 121 for 1.21 units to come in and win tonight at home.”
BUF 5, CBJ 0 — Buffalo Sabres won; moneyline covers.
“I like the Vegas Golden Knights to win this game in regulation. It's minus 110.”
Vegas and Seattle were tied 3–3 after regulation; Vegas did not win in regulation. (After regulation: Vegas 3, Seattle 3)
“I'm going to put a half a unit down on Xander Shoffley to win the masters at 18 to one.”
Rory McIlroy, not Xander Schauffele, won the Masters.
“And then I'm going to put a full unit down on Xander Shoffley in the top 10 at plus one 25,”
Xander Schauffele finished T9; top 10 with ties won.
“We're going to take it. Corey Connors top 20 finish at plus 200 for one unit.”
Corey Conners finished T49; top 20 lost.
“we're going to take it 274 and a half we're going over winning score to go over 274 and a half in strokes at minus 138 for 1.38 units”
Rory McIlroy won the Masters with a 72-hole score of 276; 276 is over 274.5. (Winning score: 276 strokes)
“Early start between these two teams under seven and a half for minus 128 for 1.28 units for the hard rock bet of the day.”
CLE 10, KC 2 — Combined 12; under 7.5 busts.
“We going to go ahead and take the under seven minus 115 for the Red Sox and the Brewers coming up here”
BOS 3, MIL 2 — Combined 5; under 7 covers.
“But for this season, first five Padres and the Pirates under three and a half at minus 128 for 1.28 units.”
Pittsburgh led San Diego 2–0 after five innings; 2 first-five runs is under 3.5. (First five innings: Pittsburgh 2, San Diego 0; total 2)
“I'm taking Carolina hurricanes in regulation at minus one 115 for 1.15 units, meaning if it goes to overtime, we lose, but the Hurricanes win it in 60.”
Boston and Carolina were tied 5–5 after regulation; Carolina did not win in regulation. (After regulation: Boston 5, Carolina 5)
“The best play I think is first half under, I think Yukon keeps it close under 68 and a half for minus one 10.”
Michigan led UConn 33–29 at halftime; 62 first-half points is under 68.5. (First half: Michigan 33, UConn 29; total 62)
“I like the price at minus 105. Let's go ahead and come in here and take the Sabres money line at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
BUF 4, TB 2 — Buffalo Sabres won; moneyline covers.
“for today. Taking Oklahoma lane three and a half for minus 110 in the crown number opened up at”
Oklahoma Sooners margin -7 with -3.5; lost. Final: WVU 89, OU 82.
“and the Brewers and the Royals under eight minus 115 for 1.15 units coming up here for that today.”
KC 5, MIL 8 — Combined 13; under 8 busts.
“Six is a good push potential. I'm going to take the under six for minus 110 for the Bruins and”
PHI 2, BOS 1 — Combined 3; under 6 covers.
“I'm taking Creighton plus one and a half for 1.1 units in a game that everyone's going to be”
Creighton Bluejays margin -17 with +1.5; lost. Final: CREI 70, WVU 87.
“see offense and I'm going to go ahead and bet the over 10 for the A's and the Astros at minus 110”
ATH 0, HOU 11 — Combined 11; over 10 covers.
“I'm taking the Pirates on the money line to win the game at plus one ten.”
PIT 5, BAL 4 — Pittsburgh Pirates won; moneyline covers.
“We're going under nine. Red Sox Padres under nine at minus 118 for 1.18 units.”
BOS 5, SD 2 — Combined 7; under 9 covers.
“it's not a daily juice play but i have bet auburn at plus 115 to win the nit”
Auburn defeated Tulsa 92-86 in overtime to win the 2026 NIT.
“but I'm going to lay it Bruins minus 150 for 1.5 units to get a big money line win against a”
FLA 2, BOS 1 — Boston Bruins lost; moneyline busts.
“but let's play only bet in two games today. So let's go and bet the over Calgary and Vegas over five and a half at minus 135 for 1.3 units.”
VGK 6, CGY 3 — Combined 9; over 5.5 covers.
“But rather than taking the two points with UConn plus two, I'm instead going to take the plus 650 on UConn to win the national championship.”
UConn lost the national championship game to Michigan, 69-63.
“Pistons, 30 to one for one unit to win the NBA championship. I'm stunned at that price.”
Detroit did not win the 2026 NBA championship; New York did.
“Give me Oklahoma laying nine tonight in the crown.”
Oklahoma Sooners margin +4 with -9; lost. Final: COLO 86, OU 90.
“Hard rock bet of the day. We're taking the Dodgers on the run line against the Guardians at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
LAD 1, CLE 4 — Los Angeles Dodgers margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Why not? Why not the Buffalo Sabres to win the cup 20 to one, one unit, take it for now. Let's see if we can play off of it. If they get to the Eastern Conference finals, we can start playing off of it and we start betting against it. I like it. Buffalo to win the cup at 20 to one, 19 to one, 18 to one.”
Buffalo did not win the 2026 Stanley Cup; Carolina did.
“Not even close. I think this is a really good number to play with Dallas. And we've been on the stars before. I like Dallas a lot here in this situation. They could win the Stanley Cup and we might not even have to hedge off of it, depending on how it goes, if it is Colorado against Dallas. But I think at 11 to one, they're the second best team in the West, right? That price is that price is too good. Give me the Dallas stars to win the cup at 11 to one for one unit.”
Dallas did not win the 2026 Stanley Cup; Carolina did.
“and Dallas is not fade away all you want. I would, I would fade it, but Bruins money line, even money. Bees are at home, even money. One unit, Boston Bruins here, the only play for today.”
BOS 6, DAL 3 — Boston Bruins won; moneyline covers.
“I'll lay the two points with Philadelphia here. Philly minus two for 1 units”
MIA 119, PHI 109 — Philadelphia 76ers margin -10 vs line -2; busts.
“They're 30 and 42 overall on the puck line. Vegas again has not been great on the puck line, 28 and 46 on the puck line. But I think with Torrell in here, let's get a 5-2 win for the Vegas Golden Knights. Let's ride this dead cat bounce here for Vegas against Vancouver. Vegas laying a goal and a half up against the Vancouver Canucks tonight in the NHL for 1.3 units.”
VGK 4, VAN 2 — Vegas Golden Knights margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“keep the offenses rolling for both these teams. Let's go over seven and a half for minus one, 20 hard rock bet had that price at minus one 20. Others are a little more expensive, but Tampa Bay, Milwaukee over seven and a half at minus one 20.”
MIL 2, TB 3 — Combined 5; over 7.5 busts.
“So if you have bet on the under eight and a half, if you trailed that bet that we made about the final four, add the seeds up under eight and a half, we're going to take Tennessee plus seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
MICH 95, TENN 62 — Tennessee Volunteers margin -33 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Michigan the under team on top of that They very good defensively I don think either team looks to play uptempo and I know Tennessee does not want to get into a track meet with Michigan getting up and down at the United Center There going to be so many Michigan fans there coming up here today I just think we have a low scoring game a grinder of a basketball game. I'm playing the under 146 and a half for Michigan and Tennessee for 1.1 units.”
MICH 95, TENN 62 — Combined 157; under 146.5 busts.
“Duke will win by 50 because I'm taking UConn. I'm backing UConn at plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
DUKE 72, CONN 73 — UConn Huskies margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.
“You know, we got to make up the deficit somewhere. Let's take a shot. Cleveland Moneyline, Hard Rock Bet of the Day. Now with a 21-18-1 record for us on the Hard Rock Bet of the Day, let's go Cleveland Moneyline at plus 135 to get a win here on Sunday Night Baseball up against the Seattle Mariners.”
Cleveland Guardians 0, Seattle Mariners 8; the Cleveland Guardians moneyline lost. (Cleveland Guardians 0, Seattle Mariners 8)
“I think we come in here. I think we go ahead and play the under under eight minus one 20 for the Red Sox at the Reds for one point two units.”
CIN 6, BOS 5 — Combined 11; under 8 busts.
“I think the over is the best play in the fight over three and a half rounds with Israel Adesanya and Joe Pfeiffer going up in the main event of UFC fight night for Seattle. That's at minus 115 for Adesanya's return to the octagon for the first time in a year.”
Joe Pyfer stopped Israel Adesanya at 4:18 of Round 2; the fight did not reach 2:30 of Round 4, so Over 3.5 lost. (Pyfer by TKO, Round 2 at 4:18)
“I'm going to lay it. I'll lay the six points. Arizona minus six up against Purdue here.”
ARIZ 79, PUR 64 — Arizona Wildcats margin +15 vs line -6; covers.
“We're going to go ahead and take the seven points. Iowa plus seven against Illinois.”
ILL 71, IOWA 59 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin -12 vs line +7; busts.
“Get ready for some serious chalk. We are going to lay heavy lumber here in the NBA. And I mean heavy in the NBA. We are going to take the OKC Thunder against the Bulls. They are laying 19 and a half at home. They're coming off of a loss to the Boston Celtics. Moneyline Thunder. Then we're going to take the Denver Nuggets who are laying 17 and a half points at home against the Utah Jazz. Then we're going to take the L.A. Lakers who are laying 16 and a half points at home against the Brooklyn Nets. those five plays all money line. Then we're going to come in and take the Houston Astros, who are the shortest favorite up against the Angels because the Angels aren't that good. Houston's at home with Mike Burroughs going. They are about a 165 favorite at home against the Angels. And we will wrap it up with the LA Dodgers at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks on the money line. They're about a 225 favorite in that game. And all of that shock is a five leg money line. You should never bet this parlay for plus 172. That is our don't bet parlays parlay for Friday. Thunder, Lakers, Nuggets, Dodgers, and the Astros. I don't know why the Dodgers was written twice there by our AI friends, but I apologize for that. Thunder, Lakers, Nuggets, Dodgers once. Astros, Moneyline Parlay is a plus 172 play. We'll play that for one unit.”
Parlay busts: OKC Thunder ML — won; Denver Nuggets ML — won; LA Lakers ML — won; Houston Astros ML — lost; LA Dodgers ML — won.
“Let's take the plus 170 and see if Buffalo can win this game by more than one goal. If they can take apart Detroit here at home on a Friday night. Again, they won four to two in the first meeting at home, five, four in Detroit. I'm going to come in and lay it plus 170 for one unit, plus 172 for one unit. Sabres on the puck line up against the Detroit Red Wings tonight here in the NHL.”
Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 5; selected-team margin -3 with -1.5 = -4.5, so the spread lost. (Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 5)
“Give me the points. I'm taking Nevada plus nine and a half here in the NIT.”
Nevada Wolf Pack margin -6 with +9.5; won. Final: AUB 75, NEV 69.
“going to be right around the number, but I think we get into the 140s. I think both teams can score 70 points here. I think it'd be a 75, 70 type of final. I'm going to bet the over. Well, let's go over 139 here. I don't know if it flies over, but we're going to go over 139 for Dayton and Illinois State here in the NIT.”
Combined 116; over 139 lost. Final: DAY 55, ILST 61.
“Let's go in here and let's jump on the under. Under 7 for this. It could push, could be a four, three final, but play the under for the Yankees and the Giants under seven for at minus one 15 for 1.15 units.”
SF 0, NYY 7 — Combined 7; under 7 pushes.
“Boston was, I don't want to say they punted on the game, the 104-102, but they didn't play Jason Tatum and they didn't play Derek White. Now they've got them both here in this game. Two games last year in January of 25 and March of 25, both won by the Thunder on their way to a championship. 105-92, 118-112. This game was 104-102. I will be on the under 217.5. I will bet the under in this game.”
BOS 119, OKC 109 — Combined 228; under 217.5 busts.
“Give me the Celtics for the hard rock bet of the day. Boston plus three and a half up against OKC.”
BOS 119, OKC 109 — Boston Celtics margin +10 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the 11 and a half points. Give me St. Joe's plus 11 and a half up against New Mexico.”
Saint Joseph's Hawks margin -15 with +11.5; lost. Final: UNM 84, SJU 69.
“I'm going to take the four and a half points here. I like Wichita. Two dogs here in the NIT. Wichita State plus four and a half.”
Wichita State Shockers margin -4 with +4.5; won. Final: TLSA 83, WICH 79.
“There are your plays. Houston to reach the final four. Officially, we're going two units at plus 110. I never do this. We're doing this. I like it that much. Two units on Houston to reach the final four. If they get beat by Illinois, so be it. But plus 110, Houston, we're jumping in there with that.”
Houston did not reach the 2026 Final Four.
“I just think the best play is to go ahead. Arizona reaches the final four at minus 130 at 1.3 units.”
Arizona won its region and reached the 2026 Final Four.
“I like Miami at home. They probably they could win the game, but I'll take the points. Miami plus five and a half against the Spurs for one point one units.”
MIA 111, SA 136 — Miami Heat margin -25 vs line +5.5; busts.
“arizona big lay in the 11 and a half with utah state. Let's just lay into the narrative of these double-digit favorites going ahead and winning. Let's go ahead and do that. Arizona big over Utah State today.”
ARIZ 78, USU 66 — Arizona Wildcats margin +12 vs line -11.5; covers.
“I'm going to go ahead and bet the under here. Under 137 and a half for Virginia and Tennessee.”
UVA 72, TENN 79 — Combined 151; under 137.5 busts.
“Give me Kansas plus three and a half up against St. John's.”
KU 65, SJU 67 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -2 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So Iowa State money line, how do I get it into a workable position? You add Florida and you add Arizona and it's a three leg money line parlay that we go ahead and jump in at. Hard rock better the day now is 2015 and one. Iowa State, Arizona, Florida money line is minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
Parlay busts: Iowa State ML — won; Arizona ML — won; Florida ML — lost.
“Let's go Michigan State money line minus 190 for 1.9 units for Michigan State here up against Louisville to win and advance.”
MSU 77, LOU 69 — Michigan State Spartans won; moneyline covers.
“I like TCU catching the points. TCU plus 12 and a half up against Duke.”
DUKE 81, TCU 58 — TCU Horned Frogs margin -23 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I'll lay the 10 and a half Houston minus 10 and a half against Texas A&M.”
HOU 88, TA&M 57 — Houston Cougars margin +31 vs line -10.5; covers.
“I like VCU catching 11 and a half points. VCU plus 11 and a half up against Illinois.”
ILL 76, VCU 55 — VCU Rams margin -21 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Give me Akron plus nine here, plus eight, rather. Akron plus eight against Texas Tech for 1.1 units.”
TTU 91, AKR 71 — Akron Zips margin -20 vs line +8; busts.
“Let's take Miami of Ohio plus 11 and a half up against Tennessee for 1.1 units.”
TENN 78, M-OH 56 — Miami (OH) RedHawks margin -22 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Let's go ahead and jump in on this. Let's go over Duke and Siena over 135 and a half.”
DUKE 71, SIE 65 — Combined 136; over 135.5 covers.
“But I'm taking the dog here. I get three and a half points. I think this is too heavy of a number. I like three and a half. Texas A&M plus three and a half against St. Mary's.”
SMC 50, TA&M 63 — Texas A&M Aggies margin +13 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Give me VCU at plus two and a half up against North Carolina for 1.1 units.”
UNC 78, VCU 82 — VCU Rams margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Michigan State to win the East bracket is plus 720. Let's put a unit down on that for Michigan State to win the East at plus 720.”
Michigan State lost to UConn in the Sweet 16 and did not win the East Region.
“But I'm just going to keep playing the Celtics at 216.5 and just go, okay, they're going to go under just because of their defense and the fact that the Warriors don't have any offensive firepower. Let's let's see this score 100 points. I'm not sure that they will. I'm going to play the under until this trend completely throws me off.”
BOS 120, GS 99 — Combined 219; under 216.5 busts.
“I'm going to bet the over. There's a real good push potential here between these two teams, four to two final, five to one final. We're going to go ahead and take Dallas and Colorado over six at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
COL 1, DAL 2 — Combined 3; over 6 busts.
“I'm going to come in here, hard rock bed of the day. We're 19 and 14 on the hard rock bet of the day. Miami of Ohio plus seven up against SMU. I would sprinkle money line. I don't hate it, but let's take Miami of Ohio plus seven against SMU tonight here in the play in first round in Dayton, Ohio for the hard rock bet of the day.”
SMU 79, M-OH 89 — Miami (OH) RedHawks margin +10 vs line +7; covers.
“I actually think it's a better play for us to come in here and take the Team USA run line at minus one and a half up against Team Venezuela tonight in the World Baseball Classic.”
Team USA lost 3–2 to Venezuela; USA -1.5 did not cover. (Venezuela 3, USA 2)
“Let's go ahead and play the over. Let's go over one 46 and a half for Yale and UC Wilmington tonight in the NIT for 1.1 units.”
Combined 135; over 146.5 lost. Final: YALE 67, UNCW 68.
“I think the play you make is under eight and a half teams. Some of the final four teams in for their seedings under eight and a half at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
The 2026 Final Four consisted of No. 1 Arizona, No. 1 Michigan, No. 2 UConn, and No. 3 Illinois; their combined seed total was 7, under 8.5. (Final Four seeds: 1 + 1 + 2 + 3 = 7)
“You can get Iowa State right now to win their bracket, to make the final four, to win the Midwest bracket. You can get this at plus 340. This is a great way to play this bracket. Iowa State plus 340 to win the Midwest bracket. FanDuel's got that. Other books have got that. You can go and find that at plus 340. I saw it as low as 250 as well, but I think you can shop around. You might be able to find a better number than I found, but that's the highest number I found with Iowa State. They just need to get to the Midwest final. That is the Elite Eight. Just need them to get there. Get to the Elite Eight, play in that game against Michigan, and we can bet Michigan. or if Michigan gets upset somehow and Iowa State gets there, well, then we've got a plus a 3.4 unit play, much like Arkansas. We could have that play. Maybe we just let it ride or maybe we hedge off of it. But I think Iowa State to be in the Elite Eight is very likely given the draw. And I think Michigan gets there also given the draw. I like the way that plays out. We can play a number here. I'm taking Iowa State a plus 340 for one unit to get to the final four.”
Iowa State lost to Tennessee in the Sweet 16 and did not reach the Final Four.
“I think it's worth a shot on the puck line to go ahead and just fire and take the one and a half goals. Penguins plus one and a half against Colorado at minus 128 for one point two eight units.”
Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Colorado Avalanche 2; selected-team margin +5 with +1.5 = +6.5, so the spread won. (Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Colorado Avalanche 2)
“So officially we're going to take Vandy on the money line minus one 40. We're going to bet 1.85 units to win 1.32 units coming back, which is a hedge off of the Arkansas bet.”
ARK 86, VAN 75 — Vanderbilt Commodores lost; moneyline busts.
“But I think VCU wins the A-10 title at minus three for 1.2 units.”
VCU Rams margin +8 with -3; won. Final: VCU 70, DAY 62.
“I think the best way to play this is Dallas and Cleveland under 235 and a half.”
CLE 120, DAL 130 — Combined 250; under 235.5 busts.
“I'm going to take Arkansas to win the SEC championship at plus 330 here for us for one unit.”
Arkansas defeated Vanderbilt 86-75 to win the SEC Tournament.
“I think St. Louis wins the next two games and St. Louis wins the Atlanta 10 tournament. Again, we don't have much wiggle room there with a one unit play, but slow to win the 810 at plus 135.”
Saint Louis lost in the A-10 semifinal; VCU won the tournament.
“for Alex R going over points, rebounds and assists of 18 and a half. It's minus 120. Let's jump in on it over 18 and a half.”
BOS 111, WSH 100 — Alex Sarr: 9 pra vs over 18.5; busts. (Alex Sarr: 9 pra)
“We're going to take UMass and go over versus Toledo over 158 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Combined 144; over 158.5 lost. Final: TOL 77, MASS 67.
“St. Louis minus five and a half against GW for minus 120.”
Saint Louis Billikens margin +7 with -5.5; won. Final: SLU 88, GW 81.
“Spurs, Thunder, Moneyline is plus 106 for one unit. Forget about point spreads. Let's just do a two leg Moneyline parlay. Take the Spurs and the Thunder both at home to beat the Celtics and the Nuggets.”
Parlay busts: San Antonio Spurs — lost; Oklahoma City Thunder — won.
“I'll take points. Give me the Jays plus three and a half against Seton Hall in the Big East tournament for 1.1 units.”
Creighton Bluejays margin -11 with +3.5; lost. Final: HALL 72, CREI 61.
“I'm taking the seven and a half points. UNLV plus seven and a half against Utah State for 1.1 units.”
UNLV Rebels margin -20 with +7.5; lost. Final: USU 80, UNLV 60.
“I think the best play in this game is go ahead and take the over over 154 for UNLV in Wyoming for 1.1 units.”
Combined 143; over 154 lost. Final: UNLV 73, WYO 70.
“I'm taking the points. Give me Arizona State. I think they keep it close. Arizona State plus 11 and a half up against Iowa State.”
ISU 91, ASU 42 — Arizona State Sun Devils margin -49 vs line +11.5; busts.
“We'll go for our hard rock bet of the day. BYU minus four and a half up against West Virginia.”
BYU Cougars margin +20 with -4.5; won. Final: WVU 48, BYU 68.
“Let's go ahead and take the under Boston, San Antonio under 222 and a half for 1.1 units.”
SA 125, BOS 116 — Combined 241; under 222.5 busts.
“Take the under for Detroit and Brooklyn with a very real possibility for a blowout under 216 and a half for Detroit and Brooklyn for 1.1 units.”
BKN 100, DET 138 — Combined 238; under 216.5 busts.
“We going to jump in on Denver plus seven and a half at OKC for one point one units”
OKC 129, DEN 126 — Denver Nuggets margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm playing the over 226.5 for Cleveland and Philadelphia here in the NBA.”
CLE 115, PHI 101 — Combined 216; over 226.5 busts.
“Team USA money line against Mexico, parlayed with Gonzaga minus 18 and a half. Gonzaga may not cover, but I cannot see Team USA losing. Let's go with a plus 131 parlay for one unit there.”
Team USA beat Mexico 5–3, but Gonzaga beat Oregon State by only 9 and failed to cover -18.5; the parlay lost. (USA ML: won; Gonzaga -18.5: lost)
“We're going to play the under in this game under Boston, Cleveland, 224 and a half for minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
CLE 98, BOS 109 — Combined 207; under 224.5 covers.
“We are going to lay the four and a half Charlotte minus four and a half at Phoenix for 1.1 units.”
PHX 111, CHA 99 — Charlotte Hornets margin -12 vs line -4.5; busts.
“We're not going to fly over, but I think we're going to squeak over between Northern Iowa and University of Illinois, Chicago. We're going over 125 for 1.1 units.”
Combined 153; over 125 won. Final: UIC 69, UNI 84.
“I'm going to go ahead and fire hard rock bet of the day. Buffalo money line sabers to protect home ice and get the win and keep the streak going. Sabers minus one oh five for one point zero five units.”
BUF 8, TB 7 — Buffalo Sabres won; moneyline covers.
“I'll lay the three and a half points. Tennessee minus three and a half at home against Vanderbilt to close out the regular season for Tennessee.”
TENN 82, VAN 86 — Tennessee Volunteers margin -4 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I think the Flames find a way to win the game late but I taking the points Give me Drake Drake at plus six”
Drake Bulldogs margin -21 with +6; lost. Final: UIC 72, DRKE 51.
“I'm coming in and taking the over 176 and a half for Alabama and Auburn for the Iron Bowl basketball wise”
ALA 96, AUB 84 — Combined 180; over 176.5 covers.
“So I like Max Holloway. I'm going to parlay that up with Cody Garbrandt, who's a bit of a, there's a bit of a shot, But it's a plus 250 parlay. I'm taking it for a half a unit. We're having a good week. Let's kind of do a heat check here. Cody Garbrandt, Moneyline parlayed with Holloway. Moneyline at plus 250 for a half a unit.”
Cody Garbrandt beat Xiao Long, but Charles Oliveira beat Max Holloway; the two-leg moneyline parlay lost. (Garbrandt: won; Holloway: lost)
“But I think this is a really good angle to come in and take Drake and Belmont under 76 and a half in the first half at minus 110.”
Drake led Belmont 48–41 at halftime; 89 first-half points is over 76.5, so Under 76.5 lost. (First half: Drake 48, Belmont 41; total 89)
“but I do think this game is going to go over Valpo Bradley Arch Madness over 135”
Combined 174; over 135 won. Final: BRAD 90, VAL 84.
“Team USA in Brazil over 14 and a half runs at minus 125.”
Team USA beat Brazil 15–5; 20 total runs is over 14.5. (USA 15, Brazil 5; total 20)
“Boston, Dallas under 222 and a half for minus 110 for 1.1 units for our hard rock bet of the day.”
BOS 120, DAL 100 — Combined 220; under 222.5 covers.
“we're coming in with Southern Illinois and Drake under 136 and a half here.”
Combined 130; under 136.5 won. Final: SIU 63, DRKE 67.
“we'll go ahead and we'll take Valpo laying two and a half points. They were one in one in the regular season, but I'll take Valpo here in the second game of Arch Madness to cover that two and a half points to beat Indiana state.”
Valparaiso Beacons 63, Indiana State Sycamores 62; selected-team margin +1 with -2.5 = -1.5, so the spread lost. (Valparaiso Beacons 63, Indiana State Sycamores 62)
“Take the five and a half. We're going to go Lakers plus five and a half up against Denver.”
DEN 120, LAL 113 — Los Angeles Lakers margin -7 vs line +5.5; busts.
“I like Arkansas to come in and cover the six and a half point spread.”
ARK 105, TEX 85 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin +20 vs line -6.5; covers.
“And I also like Arkansas and Texas to go over 165 and a half.”
ARK 105, TEX 85 — Combined 190; over 165.5 covers.
“I'm going to go ahead and bet the under, under for Boston and Charlotte at minus at two 15 and a half at minus one 10.”
BOS 89, CHA 118 — Combined 207; under 215.5 covers.
“Knicks minus one and a half at Toronto for 1.1 units.”
TOR 95, NY 111 — New York Knicks margin +16 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'll lay the points. It's a big number, but I'll lay the seven and a half points coming up here with the six, with the Spurs at the Sixers.”
PHI 91, SA 131 — San Antonio Spurs margin +40 vs line -7.5; covers.
“We're going with Duke minus nine and a half at NC State for 1.1 units.”
NCSU 64, DUKE 93 — Duke Blue Devils margin +29 vs line -9.5; covers.
“Arizona, Iowa state under one 47 and a half for 1.1 units.”
ARIZ 73, ISU 57 — Combined 130; under 147.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the over Spurs and the Knicks. We going over 227 and a half for 1 units at minus 110”
NY 114, SA 89 — Combined 203; over 227.5 busts.
“Let lay it Six and a half Ohio State Purdue Take Purdue laying six and a half on the road at Ohio State for 1 units”
OSU 82, PUR 74 — Purdue Boilermakers margin -8 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'm going to lay the two and a half points here with Michigan State. So Michigan State minus two and a half at Indiana.”
IU 64, MSU 77 — Michigan State Spartans margin +13 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But I taking points Give me the points I going KU plus 10 and a half up against Arizona for 1 units”
ARIZ 84, KU 61 — Kansas Jayhawks margin -23 vs line +10.5; busts.
“But to be safe, let's just go ahead and take the points. Alabama plus five and a half. That should be minus one ten, not plus one ten, but minus one ten for one point one units.”
TENN 69, ALA 71 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I mean, play the under and not lay the points under one sixty nine and a half for Arkansas and Florida at minus one ten.”
FLA 111, ARK 77 — Combined 188; under 169.5 busts.
“We're going to go ahead and jump in on the Florida Panthers money line at minus 112 for 1.2 units.”
FLA 2, BUF 3 — Florida Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“We'll lay the one and a half points with Michigan minus one and a half up against Illinois for 1.1 units.”
ILL 70, MICH 84 — Michigan Wolverines margin +14 vs line -1.5; covers.
“And finally, we go to the NBA and the don't bet parlays parlay. Three leg, heavy chalk at plus 109. Money line plays. The Boston Celtics will take on the Brooklyn Nets, the same Brooklyn Net team that lost brutally. 126 to 110 last night at home against the Spurs. Now they're on the road against Boston. Boston money line. Then we take a look at Dallas up against Memphis. Dallas this year, and I know they've been banged up. They're 14 and 17 this year at home. But the Memphis Grizzlies are 2-0 against Dallas. It is time for the Mavericks to get their first win of the season against the Grizzlies. And the Mavericks are six point favorites at home up against the Memphis Grizzlies. We need some of these players to play, even though Cooper Flagg looks like he's not going to play. PJ Washington looks like he's not going to play. We know Kyrie Irving is not going to play. So we just need a win here for Dallas. We don't need a great win. We just need a win. They're at home. They should play hard and they haven't beaten Memphis yet. So let's get a W here over Memphis. Dallas Mavericks money line. And then finally we go and take a look at the OKC Thunder who are at home against Denver and they pretty big favorites against Denver We see who winds up playing for both teams because it looks like SGA is back. It looks like some of the other players are going to be out there. But Aaron Gordon is out. Jamal Murray is a game time decision with an illness. Julian Strother is also a game time decision. So we'll see what happens with the Nuggets, who are 21 and 11 on the road, which is pretty good, but 24 and six. OKC will take the Thunder to win their game outright. That puts us into a three leg money line parlay for the Mavericks, the Celtics and the Thunder at plus 109.”
Parlay busts: Boston Celtics — won; Dallas Mavericks — lost; Oklahoma City Thunder — won.
“Let's go ahead and take the under six for New Jersey and Pittsburgh for minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
PIT 4, NJ 1 — Combined 5; under 6 covers.
“So our three plays for today, Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue over 141 and a half Pittsburgh in New Jersey under six in the NHL for one point two units in San Antonio at Brooklyn. laying the 13 and a half with the Spurs at minus 110.”
BKN 110, SA 126 — San Antonio Spurs margin +16 vs line -13.5; covers.
“I'm going to play the over over 141 and a half here today for Purdue and Michigan.”
PUR 74, MSU 76 — Combined 150; over 141.5 covers.
“i like the dog i think florida wins but i'm going to come in here i'm going to take it with texas at plus six and a half i like texas plus six and a half give me the points for 1.1 units”
TEX 71, FLA 84 — Texas Longhorns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'm going to come in. I'm taking the under. Let's go under. Under 222.5, Houston and Sacramento in the NBA coming up here for tonight.”
HOU 128, SAC 97 — Combined 225; under 222.5 busts.
“Under. Sabres, Devils, under 6.5 for minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
NJ 1, BUF 2 — Combined 3; under 6.5 covers.
“I'm coming in with the under. We're going under five and a half for Canada and Finland for 1.15 units.”
Canada beat Finland 3–2; 5 total goals is under 5.5. (Canada 3, Finland 2; total 5)
“scores here. I'm going to play the over. Let's go over five and a half goals team USA against Slovakia for 1.14 units.”
The United States beat Slovakia 6–2; 8 total goals is over 5.5. (USA 6, Slovakia 2; total 8)
“We're going money line, Michigan, just to win the game. Forget the point spread. Don't want to touch it. Let's just go money line for Michigan at minus 142 for 1.42 units.”
DUKE 68, MICH 63 — Michigan Wolverines lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Max Homa in the top 20 here at plus 240 to come in the top 20 at the Genesis.”
Max Homa finished T37; top 20 lost.
“I think we come right back with a plus 210 bet. Top 10. Patrick can't lay. Comes in top 10 here for plus 210 for one unit.”
Patrick Cantlay finished T37; top 10 lost.
“Plus 340 on Scotty Scheffler to win the Genesis.”
Jacob Bridgeman, not Scottie Scheffler, won the Genesis Invitational.
“I'm taking Team USA and Vegas. I got minus 170. It's expensive, but it's my only bet for Thursday. So I can pay a little bit extra because we're rolling with one unit there, three bets. They're all one unit, no extra juice. So if I normally would bet a minus 130 or 140, I got, you know, three tenths extra that I can put onto this bet here at minus 170. puck line team USA against Canada to win by more than one goal to win the gold medal here today for team USA minus one 70 1.7 units on the play there”
The United States beat Canada 2–1 in overtime; the 1-goal margin did not cover -1.5. (USA 2, Canada 1 (OT))
“So four bets for us here going on a Wednesday. We are going to take Canada minus three and a half goals against the Czech Republic. I think Canada will kill the Czech Republic today. We'll take the plus 114 bet for one unit. Alabama's laying three and a half points at home against Arkansas. Take the favorite, the Crimson Tide for minus 120 for 1.2 units. BYU Arizona over 165 and a half for 1.1 units. And we'll go with Team USA against Sweden under six and a half goals in that game at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
Canada beat Czechia 4–3 in overtime; the 1-goal margin did not cover -3.5. (Canada 4, Czechia 3 (OT))
“So four bets for us here going on a Wednesday. We are going to take Canada minus three and a half goals against the Czech Republic. I think Canada will kill the Czech Republic today. We'll take the plus 114 bet for one unit. Alabama's laying three and a half points at home against Arkansas. Take the favorite, the Crimson Tide for minus 120 for 1.2 units. BYU Arizona over 165 and a half for 1.1 units. And we'll go with Team USA against Sweden under six and a half goals in that game at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
ALA 117, ARK 115 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So four bets for us here going on a Wednesday. We are going to take Canada minus three and a half goals against the Czech Republic. I think Canada will kill the Czech Republic today. We'll take the plus 114 bet for one unit. Alabama's laying three and a half points at home against Arkansas. Take the favorite, the Crimson Tide for minus 120 for 1.2 units. BYU Arizona over 165 and a half for 1.1 units. And we'll go with Team USA against Sweden under six and a half goals in that game at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
ARIZ 75, BYU 68 — Combined 143; over 165.5 busts.
“So four bets for us here going on a Wednesday. We are going to take Canada minus three and a half goals against the Czech Republic. I think Canada will kill the Czech Republic today. We'll take the plus 114 bet for one unit. Alabama's laying three and a half points at home against Arkansas. Take the favorite, the Crimson Tide for minus 120 for 1.2 units. BYU Arizona over 165 and a half for 1.1 units. And we'll go with Team USA against Sweden under six and a half goals in that game at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
The United States beat Sweden 2–1 in overtime; 3 total goals is under 6.5. (USA 2, Sweden 1 (OT); total 3)
“I'll take Nebraska. Give me the Huskers. You can bet money line if you want. I'll just take the one and a half points to be safe. Nebraska plus one and a half at Iowa tonight in the Big Ten.”
IOWA 57, NEB 52 — Nebraska Cornhuskers margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I think the best play in the game, bet the over, over 163 for UMass in Miami of Ohio.”
MASS 77, M-OH 86 — Combined 163; over 163 pushes.
“But for today, just two plays for us. We're going Iowa State and Houston over 134 and Sweden plus four and a half goals on the puck line at plus 130 for one unit.”
ISU 70, HOU 67 — Combined 137; over 134 covers.
“But for today, just two plays for us. We're going Iowa State and Houston over 134 and Sweden plus four and a half goals on the puck line at plus 130 for one unit.”
The United States beat Sweden 5–0; Sweden lost by 5, so +4.5 did not cover (-5 + 4.5 = -0.5). (USA 5, Sweden 0)
“Give me Ford at plus 190. I think it's a good bet. Ford to a Ford driver to win Daytona at plus 190 here for one unit.”
Tyler Reddick won the Daytona 500 in a Toyota; Ford manufacturer lost.
“You can get Colin Murakawa to win this thing at plus 485. I'm going to put a half unit down on that.”
Collin Morikawa won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
“let's go ahead and jump in on it with Sepp Straka to win the AT&T at plus 525 for a half a unit.”
Sepp Straka did not win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
“So let's just lay the two and a half goals for the hard rock bet of the day. USA against Germany minus two and a half here at minus one sixty is a little pricey, but we need to hit one of these hard rock better the days. Team USA minus two and a half goals against Germany at minus 160 for 1.6 units.”
The United States beat Germany 5–1; the 4-goal margin covered -2.5. (USA 5, Germany 1)
“Red Valentine Day parlay St John Arkansas State money line Texas Tech plus nine and a half is a plus 210 parlay for one unit in college basketball coming up here today on Valentine Day”
Parlay lost: St. John's Red Storm — won; Arkansas State Red Wolves — lost; Texas Tech Red Raiders — won.
“I'm in love with the price at plus 480 on Dame Lillard to win the three-point contest. I'll take experience. I'll take the old man. Let's go Dame Lillard, Damian Lillard to win the three-point shootout plus 480 for a half a unit.”
Damian Lillard won the 2026 NBA 3-Point Contest. (Winner: Damian Lillard)
“So we're going to bet the over six and a half for Team USA. Shop around. I got minus 118, but there's better prices. I've seen even money out there on some books I can't bet at, but you can shop around and find a better price. But I got minus 118 for Team USA up against Denmark.”
The United States beat Denmark 6–3; 9 total goals is over 6.5. (USA 6, Denmark 3; total 9)
“Instead I just going to come in here and lay the puck line like I did yesterday with Team Canada laying two and a half goals up against Switzerland for Canada at minus 130 for 1 units”
Canada beat Switzerland 5–1; the 4-goal margin covered -2.5 (4 - 2.5 = 1.5). (Canada 5, Switzerland 1)
“Russell Henley, head to head, second round over Sepp Straka at minus 118.”
Sepp Straka shot 66 in Round 2 while Russell Henley shot 69; the Henley head-to-head lost. (Round 2: Straka 66, Henley 69)
“I'll lay the two and a half goals. Team Canada, minus 120 is what I paid. You can pay less juice, but in DraftKings is not available in Vegas. So, yeah, I paid minus 120 at Circus Sports in Vegas. Canada, minus two and a half goals. That's a puck line and a half. That's an extra goal on the puck line. But Canada to blow out the Czech Republic today, laying two and a half for 1.2 units.”
Canada beat Czechia 5–0; the 5-goal margin covered -2.5 (5 - 2.5 = 2.5). (Canada 5, Czechia 0)
“I'm going to throw a half a unit down on it. I'm not going to get too crazy. Jack Eichel to score at plus one 60 for a half a unit.”
Jack Eichel recorded two assists but did not score against Latvia.
“And Brian Harmon, top 20 at the AT&T at plus 395 for one unit.”
Brian Harman finished T19; top 20 won.
“I'm going to play the under New York in Philadelphia under two twenty two and a half for one point one units.”
PHI 89, NY 138 — Combined 227; under 222.5 busts.
“I'm going to play the under under two thirty eight and a half for Portland and Minnesota for one point one units.”
MIN 133, POR 109 — Combined 242; under 238.5 busts.
“I'll take the points. Give me the home dog. Give me the Warriors at plus six and a half with the Spurs on a back to back.”
GS 113, SA 126 — Golden State Warriors margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“We're going Celtics to win the title at 16 to one and the Spurs to win the title at 15 to one.”
Boston did not win the 2026 NBA championship; New York did.
“We're going Celtics to win the title at 16 to one and the Spurs to win the title at 15 to one.”
San Antonio lost the NBA Finals to New York, four games to one.
“I think the value is on the under, under 147 and a half for Purdue and Nebraska coming up here tonight in the big 10.”
NEB 77, PUR 80 — Combined 157; under 147.5 busts.
“We're playing the over one 56 and a half from North Carolina in Miami.”
MIA 75, UNC 66 — Combined 141; over 156.5 busts.
“I'm taking Charlotte. Give me the points. Charlotte plus three for 1.1 units.”
CHA 104, DET 110 — Charlotte Hornets margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“I think the better place is take the points. Milwaukee plus nine and a half here for tonight in the association.”
ORL 118, MIL 99 — Milwaukee Bucks margin -19 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Given these field goal kickers, given the leg that they have, I think that we're going to see points being scored in the first six and a half minutes. And I do think it's worth the plus money jump. OK, I got that at Circus Sports in Vegas.”
Seattle scored a field goal 3:02 after kickoff, within the first 6:30. (First points: 11:58 remaining in Q1 (3:02 elapsed))
“Patriots plus 10 and a half under 51 and a half at minus 130 for 1.3 units for us for the hard rock bet of the day. Same game teaser.”
New England lost by 16, so +10.5 failed; the 42-point total stayed under 51.5. One losing leg lost the teaser. (Patriots +10.5: lost; Under 51.5: won)
“Let's go Milton Williams to get a sack at plus 210 for one.”
Milton Williams recorded 1 sack. (Milton Williams: 1 sack)
“BYU plus one and a half at home against Houston for minus 110.”
BYU 66, HOU 77 — BYU Cougars margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I take Auburn. I'm going to lay the two and a half points with Auburn here up against Alabama. Tigers lay in two and a half.”
Auburn Tigers margin -4 with -2.5; lost. Final: AUB 92, ALA 96.
“Auburn laying two and a half at home against Alabama and Duke and North Carolina going over 151 and a half for a busy college basketball”
UNC 71, DUKE 68 — Combined 139; over 151.5 busts.
“Give me Drake May over 33 and a half yards for his longest completion at minus 110.”
Drake Maye's longest completion was 35 yards, over 33.5. (Drake Maye longest completion: 35 yards)
“I'm going to go with the Knicks. I'm going to lay one point with the Knicks. New York minus one for 1.1 units.”
DET 118, NY 80 — New York Knicks margin -38 vs line -1; busts.
“I'm going to keep betting unders for Milwaukee. And I think they have a team in Indiana without a lot of firepower. I'm going to join, keep betting it under 223 and a half for Indiana in Milwaukee for 1.1 units.”
MIL 105, IND 99 — Combined 204; under 223.5 covers.
“But our prop bet of the day for today for the Super Bowl Patriots plus three in the first half.”
Seattle led New England 9–0 at halftime; New England +3 first half did not cover (-9 + 3 = -6). (First half: Seattle 9, New England 0)
“We need to get a W. We're going to go ahead and jump in here. OKC San Antonio under 225 and a half for 1.1 units.”
SA 116, OKC 106 — Combined 222; under 225.5 covers.
“This number is too heavy. Give me Boston Celtics plus six. We're going Celtics plus six”
HOU 93, BOS 114 — Boston Celtics margin +21 vs line +6; covers.
“But I think the best play in this game is to come in here and jump on the under 223 and a half for the Pelicans and the Bucs.”
MIL 141, NO 137 — Combined 278; under 223.5 busts.
“I going to come in here and jump on this and take Tampa I going to lay the one and a half goals with Tampa at plus 128 for one unit and come in and jump on that”
TB 6, FLA 1 — Tampa Bay Lightning margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm taking Vegas. Give me Vegas in regulation. Even money. One unit down.”
Vegas beat Los Angeles 4-1 in regulation, so the Vegas regulation moneyline won. (Vegas 4, Los Angeles 1 after 60 minutes)
“Travion Henderson over two and a half receiving yards at minus 116 for 1.16 units.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards vs over 2.5; covers. (TreVeyon Henderson: 26 receiving_yards)
“Sam Darnold to throw a pick at minus 125 in the Super Bowl.”
0 interceptions; interception prop lost. (0 INT)
“We can come in and we're going to jump in here on Denver, sorry, on Philadelphia, plus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
GS 94, PHI 113 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +19 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the points Denver plus four and a half here on the road against Detroit.”
DET 124, DEN 121 — Denver Nuggets margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“I think when we have under seven from a number perspective at home, I think we have to take the thunder. I think they're begging us to do it. I think we've got to take it. Thunder minus six and a half.”
OKC 128, ORL 92 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +36 vs line -6.5; covers.
“We're going to have a goal to go situation and potentially a foul happening in the end zone, putting the football at the one yard line under one and a half yards for the shortest touchdown is minus 130.”
The shortest offensive touchdown was Rhamondre Stevenson's 7-yard reception; 7 yards is over the under-1.5 line. (Shortest offensive touchdown: 7 yards)
“I'm taking the dog. Give me the Pelicans. Pelicans at plus seven and a half for 1.1 units on the road against Charlotte.”
CHA 102, NO 95 — New Orleans Pelicans margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Let's take the points here with KU on the road at Texas Tech. We're taking the four and a half KU plus four and a half on the road against Texas Tech.”
TTU 61, KU 64 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“We're taking the over North Carolina and Syracuse over 156 and a half guys coming up later on today.”
UNC 87, SYR 77 — Combined 164; over 156.5 covers.
“Screw up. There we go. Celtics under 217 and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOS 107, MIL 79 — Combined 186; under 217.5 covers.
“The Thunder at the Nuggets taking the over 227 and a half, sorry, 226 and a half, sorry, 226 and a half for OKC and Denver here for us before hard rock play of the day.”
DEN 111, OKC 121 — Combined 232; over 226.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the points. Give me Alabama plus seven and a half on the road up against Florida.”
FLA 100, ALA 77 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -23 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Let's come in with Jokic over 46.5 points, rebounds, and assists at minus 110 here for the hard rock bet of the day.”
DEN 111, OKC 121 — Nikola Jokic: 31 pra vs over 46.5; busts. (Nikola Jokic: 31 pra)
“I got to come in. I'm taking Volk. Give me Volkanovski by money line. I'm not going to get too aggressive here. There's been money that's come in on Lopez, but I'm taking the favorite. Give me minus 140.”
Alexander Volkanovski defeated Diego Lopes by unanimous decision. (Volkanovski won by unanimous decision)
“But I'm taking the points. You want to give me eight points here for a home dog in a back against the wall type environment? Give me the Jays. Creighton plus eight for 1.1 units.”
CREI 58, CONN 85 — Creighton Bluejays margin -27 vs line +8; busts.
“I'm going to take the points here at plus nine and a half. St. Mary's catching nine and a half points up against Gonzaga. I would expect that number to creep down as the day progresses, but I'm going to come in here and take the dog here again in rivalry games.”
GONZ 73, SMC 65 — Saint Mary's Gaels margin -8 vs line +9.5; covers.
“Over nine and a half points for Jeremiah Fears. Let's hope the guard has a good game here. Hope he comes out on fire and gets a big W here and scores well. But Jeremiah Fears over nine and a half points at minus 125.”
NO 114, MEM 106 — Jeremiah Fears: 6 points vs over 9.5; busts. (Jeremiah Fears: 6 points)
“We're just going to come in here and we're going to go ahead and we're going to jump in on Jeremiah Fears over nine and a half points. Zion Williamson over 33 and a half points, rebounds and assists.”
NO 114, MEM 106 — Zion Williamson: 32 pra vs over 33.5; busts. (Zion Williamson: 32 pra)
“I'm going to come in here. I'll lay the two and a half points. Give me the Pelicans here. Home team laying two and a half points up against the Memphis Grizzlies for one point one units.”
NO 114, MEM 106 — New Orleans Pelicans margin +8 vs line -2.5; covers.
“And again, the Bucks being an under team, we're going to come in here and we're going to ride this with the prop bet cheat sheet. And we're going to take the under. Oh, sorry. That's yesterday's place. Let's get Thursday's place, not Tuesday's place. Hold on. So you go on the road and you miss all the fun stuff. There it is. So we're going to go ahead. Trey Johnson points and assists under 20 and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
8 PTS + 2 AST = 10; under 20.5 won. (8 PTS + 2 AST = 10)
“We're going to come in here and jump it. We're going to do we're going to do and get into it. Sorry. And with Duran Sharp under seven and a half rebounds at minus one seventeen.”
DEN 107, BKN 103 — Day'Ron Sharpe: 9 rebounds vs under 7.5; busts. (Day'Ron Sharpe: 9 rebounds)
“So I think over one and a half goals in the first period is highly likely. If you want to talk about gifts goal in the first 10 minutes The Islanders have the same number They four and six over their last 10 The Rangers are nine and one to a goal in the first 10 minutes If you just want to bet one goal, they're nine and one, same number, even though they've been one of the worst goals in the first 10 minutes teams in the NHL this year, nine of 10 games have had a goal in the first 10 minutes. So just think when you talk about rivalry, you talk about offense, talk about lack of defense, just the way the Rangers are playing, we're going to come in here and we're going to jump in on the first period over for the Rangers and the Islanders at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
The Islanders and Rangers were scoreless in the first period; 0 is under 1.5. (First period: 0 goals)
“I'm going to lay it here with Texas. Give me Texas plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
Texas Longhorns margin -6 with +6.5; won. Final: AUB 88, TEX 82.
“I'm going to come in. I'm going to lay the one and a half points here. For the hard rock bet of the day. We are 13 and 9 overall. For the hard rock bet of the day. I'm coming in and laying the one and a half with Georgia. Georgia minus one and a half. For 1.1 units.”
Georgia Bulldogs margin -1 with -1.5; lost. Final: UGA 85, TENN 86.
“I'm playing the under 221 and a half. I like the Spurs to win the game outright to get some revenge after that collapse that they had in their last game against Houston, but I'm just going to play it safe and play the under under two 21 and a half for the Spurs and the Rockets for 1.1 units.”
HOU 99, SA 111 — Combined 210; under 221.5 covers.
“There we go. There's your slide. Michigan minus 10 and a half for one point one units.”
MICH 75, NEB 72 — Michigan Wolverines margin +3 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I think it's worth the flyer on taking the over here and just seeing we go against the graining, maybe go against the market a little bit here against what our eyes are telling us. The NBA loves doing head fakes. I'm going to go ahead and take the over two 19 and a half from Milwaukee and Philadelphia for 1.1 units.”
PHI 139, MIL 122 — Combined 261; over 219.5 covers.
“I think we're seeing points. I don't think this is going to be a low scoring game. I think we're going to see points. I've already bet it. We're betting it now. Patriots Seahawks over 45 and a half at minus 110.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; over 45.5 busts.
“Arizona's 20-0 until further notice. I'm laying it with Arizona, minus one and a half with Arizona.”
BYU 83, ARIZ 86 — Arizona Wildcats margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Games going under by seven and a half and by four and a half. I'm going to take the under here tonight for the Bulls and the Lakers under 237 and a half.”
CHI 118, LAL 129 — Combined 247; under 237.5 busts.
“Now, Jared Stidham might set the world on fire after halftime, but I like Drake May and the Patriots to have a lead after the first half is over and I'm going to lay the juice. Okay. You can lay two and a half points if you want, but I really don't want to be sweating out a hook and have the Pats be up by two and we wind up losing ATS wise. If the Patriots are going to be leading, chances are they're going to be up by three or more, but why play around with that when we've had a good week? Let's just be safe. Let's lay the juice. You only pay the juice when you lose. Let's lay the Patriots money line in the first half at minus 155 for 1.55 units.”
New England and Denver were tied 7-7 at halftime; because the sportsbook and two-way versus three-way first-half moneyline rule are not stored, the wager is terminally ungradeable and void. (Halftime: New England 7, Denver 7)
“Our hard rock play of the day. We're going to take Kenneth Walker over 108 and a half rushing and receiving yards at minus 115. You can find that at Hard Rock Bet for the Hard Rock Bet of the day.”
Kenneth Walker III recorded 62 rushing yards and 49 receiving yards (111 combined), over 108.5. (Kenneth Walker III: 62 rush + 49 receiving = 111 yards)
“He needs a win. Just get a win. I'm going to play O'Malley on the money line here to go ahead and get a win. But that will be on different bets. I think you have to play by decision. I think you have to go in and take Sean O'Malley by decision just because of the price. It's too expensive not to. O'Malley by decision is plus 117. We're going to take it for a unit. O'Malley by decision for one unit.”
Sean O’Malley defeated Song Yadong by unanimous decision.
“I think this fight goes longer than people think. I'm going to bet the over here. We're going to go over two and a half rounds for Gaethje and Pemlet at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Gaethje–Pimblett went the full five rounds; the fight passed 2:30 of Round 3, so Over 2.5 rounds won. (Gaethje by decision after 5 rounds)
“For me, I went and shopped around. I found plus 205. You can find maybe better, 210, 220 on Justin Gaethje. We're going to take a flyer with the money line and we're going to let Justin Gaethje go out there and throw bombs and see if he can catch Patty and knock him out. He hasn't been in there with a guy like Justin Gaethje, just a straight up brawler, you know, Tony Ferguson, Dustin Poirier, Justin Gaethje, those three together, Max Holloway goes in there too. I mean, these are guys who are just built differently, mentally tough, physically just imposing. They take damage so well and they keep moving forward. Even when you cut them, even when they're bleeding, it doesn't matter to these guys. I just don't know if Patty's ready for this. So I'm going to take a half a unit and I'm going to take a flyer on Justin Gaethje on the money line to win this fight. Okay. Plus 205 take Justin Gaethje flyer half a unit.”
Justin Gaethje defeated Paddy Pimblett by unanimous decision, so the Gaethje moneyline won. (Gaethje won by unanimous decision)
“We're going to look at Arkansas at home up against LSU money line, Alabama at home up against Tennessee, money line, and Texas at home as a two and a half point home favorite against Georgia on the money line. The Texas play definitely is the most concerning. The Texas play is the one that could burn me for sure. Alabama and Arkansas are both big favorites, and Alabama and Arkansas are both very good at home. Texas is playing a Georgia team that is very good on the road. And this is going to be an awesome basketball game in the SEC. I'll take the home teams for a three-leg home team money line parlay that comes in at plus 170. We're going to take a half a unit flyer on this for Arkansas, Alabama, and Texas.”
Parlay busts: Arkansas — won; Alabama — lost; Texas — won.
“Three games in a row have gone under for both these teams, Milwaukee and Denver. Let's bet the streak here and come in with the under 221 and a half for Milwaukee and Denver at minus 110.”
MIL 100, DEN 102 — Combined 202; under 221.5 covers.
“I'm going to lay money line here. But again, you can lay the seven points if you want to make this into a plus 175 bet. But I'm just going to officially I'm going to take Hoka and Butler money line at minus 116 for 1.16 units.”
Josh Hokit beat Denzel Freeman by first-round TKO and Butler beat Marquette 87–76; both moneyline legs won. (Hokit: won; Butler: won)
“So we're going to go Moneyline, Moneyline. Moneyline, Vermont. Moneyline, UMBC here in America East action. and that number comes out to minus 116.”
Parlay cashes: Vermont — won; UMBC — won.
“Charlotte is 19 and 11 to the under against the East. Let's go under 229 and a half for Charlotte and Orlando tonight in the NBA.”
ORL 97, CHA 124 — Combined 221; under 229.5 covers.
“I'm going to go in and I'm going to jump in and bet the over six for Detroit in Minnesota over six goals at minus 115.”
MIN 4, DET 3 — Combined 7; over 6 covers.
“Let's just say the Patriots lose, though. Let's protect ourselves because I have been betting against. I've been telling you guys at the Broncos, we're going to beat the Patriots. So let's protect ourselves. We're going to go money line. Patriots are Broncos money line at plus 210 for one unit.”
DEN 7, NE 10 — Denver Broncos lost; moneyline busts.
“But for me, I'm going with the money line for the Broncos with a hedge and the Rams on a money line with a hedge at plus 135. We want to be wrong on both of those accounts.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.
“Richmond is coming off of a 25-point loss to St. Louis. They were catching 15. They lost by 25. But in the last home game against LaSalle, they were laying eight and they won by 21 points. On the road loss. Come home with a short number. Let's play it out. Again, last night, it was Iowa State and Arkansas that cashed on this. Let's play this here for Rhode Island on the road against Richmond. And let's lay the two and a half points here for Richmond for the hard rock bet of the day.”
Richmond Spiders margin -1 with -2.5; lost. Final: RICH 68, URI 69.
“Kansas beat Iowa State 84 to 63. Central Florida, again at home, but they beat Kansas 81 to 75. I'm taking the points. This seems to be too heavy to me. I'm taking the points. Central Florida a plus 14 for 1.1 units.”
ISU 87, UCF 57 — UCF Knights margin -30 vs line +14; busts.
“I think quick plays well. I think Kemper plays well. I think we're for a low scoring hockey game here. We're going to go with the under under six for the Rangers and the Kings here tonight at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
LA 4, NYR 3 — Combined 7; under 6 busts.
“Wemby's playing. He's in this game. I'm taking the points. Give me the Spurs at plus three and a half.”
HOU 111, SA 106 — San Antonio Spurs margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“We're taking the Hoosiers to win their first ever national championship. I'm going to lay the seven points. I'm going to buy the half a point down. I think it gets there. I think folks are going to buy seven and a half, but I'm just going to take the seven and take it as minus seven. I'm not sure we're going to need it, but it's only minus 120. So shop around to the books, but I'm going to buy that point and drop it down to seven and lay minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -7; busts.
“And on the same level, I'm going to bet the under again. I don't think Miami scores. I don't think they're going to be able to move the football that effectively up against this really tough defense. Both teams play at a very slow pace. It's 47 and a half. It opened at 48 and a half. The first move came down to 47 and a half. I'm playing the under.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Combined 48; under 47.5 busts.
“What a fun game in the NBA tonight. Maybe I'm riding the Patriots high and it's just, you know, a complete sucker bet. But give me the Celtics at plus two and a half on the road against the Pistons.”
DET 104, BOS 103 — Boston Celtics margin -1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“This is a great read by Andrew Erickson. I'm going to tail it. We're going to put it on the hard rock bet of the day. Luther burden over two and a half receptions at minus 157 for 1.57 units.”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Luther Burden III: 3 receptions vs over 2.5; covers. (Luther Burden III: 3 receptions)
“I like R.J. Harvey over 54 and a half rushing yards for R.J. Harvey for one point one units.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — RJ Harvey: 20 rushing_yards vs over 54.5; busts. (RJ Harvey: 20 rushing_yards)
“It is a value play at plus 112 on FanDuel and other books have it as plus as well at over eight and a half. Seven and a half is heavily juiced. So the number is eight. Books assume the number is eight. But let's get one extra one and let's take a shot here on Josh Allen putting the cape on and trying to run the football a ton here today and Josh Allen to go over eight and a half rushing attempts at plus 112 for one unit.”
12 rush attempts; over 8.5 won. (12 rush attempts)
“I'm going to bet the over. Let's go over 162 and a half for Creighton and Providence at the dunk.”
PROV 93, CREI 88 — Combined 181; over 162.5 covers.
“I'm going to play the over and have these teams play and score and run. Let's go over Baylor We're 155 and a half here for Baylor and KU for 1.1 units.”
KU 80, BAY 62 — Combined 142; over 155.5 busts.
“I'm just going to parlay it with Kansas. I think KU wins. It's Friday night at Fog Island. I don't see them losing a game, a conference game on national TV to Baylor. It may be a barn burner. Baylor very well might cover, but I think we can come in and take Moneyline DePaul, Moneyline Kansas minus 108 for 1.08 units.”
Parlay cashes: DePaul Blue Demons ML — won; Kansas Jayhawks ML — won.
“We're going to start to work off of that. OK, so we have 11 units to play with. We're going to bet one or one point one here on the Texans at plus three.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“The weather not going to be a problem but I playing the under in this game I think that the best play We going to hedge with the Texans at plus three Take the Patriots under 41 here for two bets in the first game on Sunday”
New England Patriots 28, Houston Texans 16; 44 total is over 41, so Under 41 lost. (New England Patriots 28, Houston Texans 16; total 44)
“I take the points Give me the Bears plus four for 1 units I think you going to see a lot of public support for the Rams a lot of public money coming in on LA I take the plus four”
CHI 17, LAR 20 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm taking the Broncos money line. 1.1 units Broncos to win Broncos on the money line to knock out the Buffalo Bills.”
Denver Broncos 33, Buffalo Bills 30; the Denver Broncos moneyline won. (Denver Broncos 33, Buffalo Bills 30)
“I'm going to lay it with Seattle. I'm going to lay the seven points here. I don't think this number goes much farther South than seven. I think if it does go to six and a half. I think the professionals are going to hammer the Seahawks at minus seven. I'm going to come in and do Seahawks minus seven for 1.1 units.”
SEA 41, SF 6 — Seattle Seahawks margin +35 vs line -7; covers.
“Road game, Utah under one 60 and a half. That is our hard rock bet of the day. Utah, Texas Tech under one sixteen and a half for one point one units.”
TTU 88, UTAH 74 — Combined 162; under 160.5 busts.
“I'll take the points. Give me the Spurs plus eight for 1.1 units on the road against the Thunder.”
OKC 119, SA 98 — San Antonio Spurs margin -21 vs line +8; busts.
“I'm going to go ahead and back the Cyclones on the road laying three and a half points up against KU Cyclones to stay undefeated Iowa State to win the game and cover three and a half against KU”
KU 84, ISU 63 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -21 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So bets for today, Spurs plus eight on the road against OKC, Iowa State laying three and a half on the road to KU, Pittsburgh and Tampa over one and a half goals and minus 135 in the first period.”
Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay were scoreless in the first period; 0 is under 1.5. (First period: 0 goals)
“Officially, I'm going to come here and take the three points. Steelers plus three minus one ten for one point one units.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“I'll tease it up and go under. Steelers plus nine, under 44 for this game here. Same game teaser at minus 125.”
Pittsburgh lost by 24, so +9 failed; the 36-point total stayed under 44. One losing leg lost the teaser. (Steelers +9: lost; Under 44: won)
“We're going to take it. Pat Friermuth, tight end for the Steelers, under 33.5 yards here tonight at minus 114 for 1.14 units.”
PIT 6, HOU 30 — Pat Freiermuth: 18 receiving_yards vs under 33.5; covers. (Pat Freiermuth: 18 receiving_yards)
“So for the 49ers, we don't know about Lane Johnson, OK? He is a legit game-time decision. So is Ricky Pearsall. He is a straight game-time decision. But Trent Williams is in. He's playing. And once they cleared Trent Williams, I had the six and a half and I'm good to give it to you guys officially. I'm taking the 49ers here at plus six and a half.”
San Francisco 49ers 23, Philadelphia Eagles 19; selected-team margin +4 with +6.5 = +10.5, so the spread won. (San Francisco 49ers 23, Philadelphia Eagles 19)
“I like Parker Washington over four and a half receptions and you get plus money. This number has come down. People are fading this and taking the under three and a half is over minus 180. So I'm not interested in doing that for a prop bet. But I'll take a flyer on Parker Washington to have five receptions here today for the Jaguars offense. and to have him go over this four and a half, five receptions. And we get we get over coming up on this. So Parker Washington over four and a half receptions at plus one twenty”
Parker Washington caught 7 passes; 7 is over 4.5. (Parker Washington: 7 receptions)
“Yes, I know playoff football is different, but for this game, hard rock bet of the day, we're going with the over 51 and a half at minus 110 for the Bills and the Jags.”
Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Buffalo Bills 27; 51 total is under 51.5, so Over 51.5 lost. (Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Buffalo Bills 27; total 51)
“They 9 at home BYU to the over They 9 BYU is 5 to the under but Utah being 9 at home to the over 11 overall for the Utes We going 165 We going to go ahead and play the over here for BYU and Utah over 165. So Carolina and the Rams over 46.5. Packers minus one against the bears and BYU and Utah over one 65 and a half.”
UTAH 84, BYU 89 — Combined 173; over 165.5 covers.
“I still like the magic plus three here at home to protect the home court. I don't mind a moneyline play a plus 120 if you want to just jump in with that. But you got plus three at certain books across the country, plus two and a half at others, but plus threes are in the market. Let's go ahead and take that magic plus three for 1.1 units.”
ORL 91, PHI 103 — Orlando Magic margin -12 vs line +3; busts.
“we're going with the Jacksonville Jaguars. I'm going straight into the money line. I'm taking money line and even money. I like the Jaguars to win this game outright to send the Bills home. Home dog, Jacksonville, money line, even money for one unit.”
Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Buffalo Bills 27; the Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline lost. (Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Buffalo Bills 27)
“I'm going to go ahead and take it. 0-3, Justin Herbert in his career with Ron Tolbert as the referee. Take the Patriots. Lay the three and a half points with New England. Even money.”
New England Patriots 16, Los Angeles Chargers 3; selected-team margin +13 with -3.5 = +9.5, so the spread won. (New England Patriots 16, Los Angeles Chargers 3)
“You can get cute if you want, and you can take the three points. Yes, I will, but I'm taking money line as well. Pittsburgh to win the game outright. The three points is sort of just a conditional, maybe I'm wrong situation because it is an aging Pittsburgh team, but I'll take the plus three for Pittsburgh officially, but I will be betting money line as well for the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Pittsburgh Steelers 6, Houston Texans 30; selected-team margin -24 with +3 = -21, so the spread lost. (Pittsburgh Steelers 6, Houston Texans 30)
“I'm playing the over. Give me the Rams and the Carolina Panthers. Let's go over. We're going over 46 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Carolina Panthers 31, Los Angeles Rams 34; 65 total is over 46.5, so Over 46.5 won. (Carolina Panthers 31, Los Angeles Rams 34; total 65)
“I'm taking the Packers. Give me the Packers minus one against the Bears coming up.”
Green Bay Packers 27, Chicago Bears 31; selected-team margin -4 with -1 = -5, so the spread lost. (Green Bay Packers 27, Chicago Bears 31)
“We're going under one 41 and a half for that number. That's not right. Creighton and Villanova under one 41 and a half. I corrected that.”
Combined 148; under 141.5 lost. Final: VILL 72, CREI 76.
“We're going with the hard rock bet of the day. Vanderbilt in Alabama over one 77 and a half at minus one 10 at hard rock bet.”
VAN 96, ALA 90 — Combined 186; over 177.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the points. Give me three and a half. We're going to go Miami and Ole Miss. I'm taking the dog here. Give me Ole Miss plus three and a half.”
MISS 27, MIA 31 — Ole Miss Rebels margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I'm playing the over dog in the over kind of a different type of correlated play but i'm going to take the dog at plus three and a half for ole miss and i'm going to take the over 51 and a half for ole miss in miami both those bets for 1.1 units”
MISS 27, MIA 31 — Combined 58; over 51.5 covers.
“We're going three and a half for Oregon plus three and a half up against Indiana in the national semifinal.”
IU 56, ORE 22 — Oregon Ducks margin -34 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I lay it with Ohio state Buckeyes minus two and a half at home against Nebraska.”
OSU 69, NEB 72 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“OK, that's my target. My target number is Falcons plus three. That's what I want or better. OK, if that number ever pops during the game, I will take it. Falcons plus three and try like we do with the Panthers. See if we can get in the middle of it. But from an official play perspective, we're going to come in. We're going to take the Saints first half under twenty two and a half here.”
Atlanta led New Orleans 10–7 at halftime; 17 first-half points is under 22.5. (First half: Atlanta 10, New Orleans 7; total 17)
“Instead, we're going to go first half over. Keep the run going for the Cowboys. First half over 24 and a half. It is even money. So it's only a one unit play. But let's get Cowboys Giants over 24 and a half.”
New York led Dallas 16–10 at halftime; 26 first-half points is over 24.5. (First half: New York Giants 16, Dallas 10; total 26)
“17 of the 22 games has had a final margin of seven points or fewer don't know who wins we're teasing it we're going to go ahead and tease it up saints plus nine and a half steelers plus nine and a half at minus 125 for 1.25 units worth of work”
New Orleans lost by 2, covering +9.5, and Pittsburgh won outright 26–24; both teaser legs won. (Saints +9.5: cover; Steelers +9.5: cover)
“four leg money line parlay of Jaguars, Texans, Bills, Patriots. So chalky four leg only minus 125. You can believe that, but we're going to jump in on that with a hard rock bet of the day. Jags, Texans, Bills, Patriots, four leg money line parlay at minus 125.”
Parlay cashes: Jacksonville Jaguars ML — won; Houston Texans ML — won; Buffalo Bills ML — won; New England Patriots ML — won.
“We're going Oregon minus two and a half opposite the Texas Tech Future plus 850 here for today.”
TTU 0, ORE 23 — Oregon Ducks margin +23 vs line -2.5; covers.
“we have to take the Panthers at plus three Panthers plus three to go ahead and hedge on the plus 110 bet here for the Carolina Panthers on the road against Tampa Bay in the NFC South.”
TB 16, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“But knowing that we have that plus one 60 on the 49ers, let's go ahead and bet Seattle on the other side. Again, if Seattle wins by one, that's the one problem with this bet. You know, that would be The one issue with this is that minus one, you can bet it down to one if you want to make sure that you don't get burned on this. It's not a horrible idea, but I think if Seattle wins, Seattle covers. 49ers win. Obviously, 49ers will cover and we'll get the plus 160 on the 49ers. So those are our plays for Thursday, Friday and Saturday. OK, Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Oregon on Thursday, laying two and a half on the Texas Tech future. Panthers plus three on the Bucks future and Seattle Mines one and a half on the 49ers future.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're going to go ahead and we're going to lay the five and a half in the first half for Ohio State. Buckeyes minus five and a half first half against Miami tonight here for them to get a W to get a W for them to be able to get a win here at minus 110.”
Ohio State Buckeyes was outscored by Miami Hurricanes 0-14 in the first half scope; the selection lost. (OSU 0, MIA 14 (first half))
“And I'm going contrarian. I'm playing the over over 40 and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
OSU 14, MIA 24 — Combined 38; over 40.5 busts.
“But for me, I think we take the team total for the Timberwolves over 123 and a half at minus 115.”
Minnesota Timberwolves scored 102 in the full scope; over 123.5 lost. (Minnesota Timberwolves 102 (full))
“I'm taking Seton Hall. Give me the Pirates. Lay in two on the road against Marquette. I don't like road favorites in college basketball all that much, but I think with this defense that Seton Hall has, I'm comfortable going ahead and laying it. Seton Hall minus two for one point one units.”
Seton Hall Pirates margin +6 with -2; won. Final: MARQ 73, HALL 79.
“I'll lay the five points at home in Omaha for Greg McDermott to keep the ball going in the right direction for the Creighton Blue Jays. 3-0 straight up. 3-0 ATS. Let's see them cover the five points. Butler against Butler. Jays minus five for 1.1 units.”
Creighton Bluejays margin +4 with -5; lost. Final: CREI 89, BTLR 85.
“Kawhi Leonard under 34.5 points and assists at minus 125.”
33 PTS + 5 AST = 38; under 34.5 lost. (33 PTS + 5 AST = 38)
“I'm going with the Rams here to get the W. Rams minus 7 at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -7; busts.
“He's gone over this number four straight games for him with the Rams over 49 and a half at minus 115. He said 61, 71, 131 and 81 over the last four games. Three of those four games being on the road against Seattle, Arizona, and Carolina. I keep it rolling here with Blake Corum. The projection is to go over 53.2 rushing and receiving yards. It's a 69% cover probability and a plus 32 expected value. It's a five-star play for the prop bet cheat sheet we're going with blake quorum to go over 49 and a half rushing and receiving yards tonight for the rams on monday night football”
18 rushing+receiving yards; over 49.5 lost. (18 rushing+receiving yards)
“So we're going to roll with this with a prop at Chi Chi. We're going to take the Bucs. Ryan Rollins to go over points, rebounds, and assists. 22 and a half tonight up against Charlotte.”
CHA 113, MIL 123 — Ryan Rollins: 20 pra vs over 22.5; busts. (Ryan Rollins: 20 pra)
“I'm going to go ahead and lay the seven points with Seattle. We're going Seattle minus seven for 1.1 units. Actually, you can change that to even money now. That's Seattle minus. We'll take the better price. That number has moved since I put this together. Seattle minus seven, even money for one unit here coming up on that.”
CAR 10, SEA 27 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -7; covers.
“instead, I'm going to focus on the first half and we're going to go Bengals laying four in the first half to take care of business here today and get a win early.”
Cincinnati Bengals outscored Arizona Cardinals 23-7 in the first half scope; the selection won. (CIN 23, ARI 7 (first half))
“I'm coming in and taking the 49ers. I'll lead a three and a half, even 49ers minus three and a half at minus one 10 for 1.1 units.”
SF 42, CHI 38 — San Francisco 49ers margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I like a Texans money line at plus one 10 for one unit.”
LAC 16, HOU 20 — Houston Texans won; moneyline covers.
“We're coming in with the Packers minus three at minus 115.”
GB 24, BAL 41 — Green Bay Packers margin -17 vs line -3; busts.
“a 35% expected value play, and a five-star play on top of that for Derek Henry to go over 83.5 rushing and receiving yards at minus 115. He has gone over this number four of the last or three of the last four games He gone over actually sorry more than that Sorry He gone over this number one two three four five six seven eight times like I said before But sometimes his number have been set really high Like against Cincinnati it was set at 103 and a half He got 100. Against the Jets, it was 98 and a half. He got 88. The last time Derek Henry didn't get over 83 and a half rushing and receiving was against the Bears during that 30 to 16 win where his number was 95 and a half. He wound up with 71 rushing and receiving yards. That was nine games ago. That was in week eight for this to happen. So it's been a while since Derrick Henry's gone under this. We're going to go ahead and take Derrick Henry over 83 and a half rushing and receiving yards against that Packers defense coming up here for today.”
216 rushing+receiving yards; over 83.5 won. (216 rushing+receiving yards)
“But for me, I think the total over 39 and a half is the best way to look at this to play the over Chargers and the Texans to go over 39 and a half at minus 110.”
LAC 16, HOU 20 — Combined 36; over 39.5 busts.
“We going to come in and bet the under first half Packers and the Ravens at 20 and a half for 1 units”
The first half total was 41; under 20.5 lost. (GB 14, BAL 27; total 41 (first half))
“I'm taking the Jaguars 14 to one Jags 14 to one, one unit to win the Super Bowl out of the AFC.”
Jacksonville did not win Super Bowl LX; Seattle did.
“I'm taking it. San Francisco, 14 to one to win the Super Bowl.”
San Francisco did not win Super Bowl LX; Seattle did.
“I'm taking the points. You're giving me 13 and a half points. I'm taking 13 and a half points. This is going to be a low scoring slobber knocker of a football game. This is going to be all about defense and running the football. Give me Casey plus 13 and a half.”
KC 13, DEN 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -7 vs line +13.5; covers.
“We're going Cowboys commanders first half over 25 points for 1.1 units.”
The first half total was 34; over 25 won. (WSH 10, DAL 24; total 34 (first half))
“So I'm taking the Vikings plus seven and a half on the Vikings here for 1.1 unit.”
MIN 23, DET 10 — Minnesota Vikings margin +13 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So the last five times this number has been set at 40 and a half. It's four and one to the under. I like those odds. We'll go with Donovan Mitchell to the under points, rebounds and assists here.”
NY 126, CLE 124 — Donovan Mitchell: 47 pra vs under 40.5; busts. (Donovan Mitchell: 47 pra)
“Let's go UNLV running rebels minus six and a half here up against Frisco in the Frisco bowl up against Ohio for 1.1 units.”
OHIO 17, UNLV 10 — UNLV Rebels margin -7 vs line -6.5; busts.
“i think the game goes under i think it's the best play in the game to go under 43 and a half for toledo and louisville for 1.1 units”
LOU 27, TOL 22 — Combined 49; under 43.5 busts.
“I'm going to jump on this. I'm going to do the Kings on the second leg of a back-to-back to get a W here against Seattle, LA money line in regulation and minus one 45 for 1.45 units.”
Los Angeles Kings was outscored by Seattle Kraken 2-3 in the regulation scope; the selection lost. (LA 2, SEA 3 (regulation))
“I'm staying away from totals. Colts plus six and minus one 25 by the half a point and go with the Niners on the money line.”
IND 27, SF 48 — Indianapolis Colts margin -21 vs line +6; busts.
“It is a 10 o'clock Eastern time tip. It's only minus 103 to go ahead and take money line Niners and money line Pistons.”
Parlay cashes: San Francisco 49ers ML — won; Detroit Pistons ML — won.
“So we're going to go under 40 and a half for the Saints and the Jets.”
NO 29, NYJ 6 — Combined 35; under 40.5 covers.
“think it's a good teaser option. We're going to go ahead and take it with a low total for the Saints and the Jets and a low total for the Bucks and the Panthers, giving nine points to the Panthers and teasing it down to a half a point to the Saints, I think is good use of the numbers and to pay the extra juice to do that. Teaser for the week is going to be Saints Panthers at minus 125.”
New Orleans and Carolina both won outright. (Saints 29-6; Panthers 23-20)
“I'm just going to go ahead and jump on Jags plus three and a half for one point one units.”
DEN 20, JAX 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm taking it Patriots plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
BAL 24, NE 28 — New England Patriots margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going to jump in with the lions. I'm going to lay the seven points, hard rock bet of the day lions minus seven at minus one 10.”
DET 24, PIT 29 — Detroit Lions margin -5 vs line -7; busts.
“I'm coming in here. Give me the set. Give me the seven commanders plus seven for one point one units.”
WSH 18, PHI 29 — Washington Commanders margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“so I'm just going to bet sides. Commanders plus seven, Bears minus one and a half.”
CHI 22, GB 16 — Chicago Bears margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going to go ahead and take A&M. Give me Texas A&M minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
TA&M 3, MIA 10 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Give me two lane plus 17 and a half.”
MISS 41, TULN 10 — Tulane Green Wave margin -31 vs line +17.5; busts.
“I'm going to go Oregon team total over 33 and a half for minus 110.”
Oregon Ducks scored 51 in the full scope; over 33.5 won. (Oregon Ducks 51 (full))
“I'm going to come in and take Boomer Sooner to advance in the CFP to beat Alabama. Take the plus one just in case like we did last night with the Rams. Take the plus one. I think it's a smart play.”
Oklahoma Sooners was outscored by Alabama Crimson Tide 24-34 in the full scope; the selection lost. (OU 24, ALA 34 (full))
“I'm going to take the 19 to one. It's a one unit play Texas A&M plus 1900, 19 to one for one unit to win the national championship.”
Texas A&M did not win the CFP National Championship; Indiana did.
“So I'm going to be square, look for an easy layup. OKC minus seven and a half. It may burn me, but we're going to jump in on that.”
MIN 112, OKC 107 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -5 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I'm going to come in with Missouri State minus one for one point one units.”
ARST 34, MOST 28 — Missouri State Bears margin -6 vs line -1; busts.
“I'm taking the under, we're going under 42 and a half between the Rams and the Seahawks in particular, because of what has happened with this offense.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Combined 75; under 42.5 busts.
“We're going hard rock bed of the day. Rams plus two for 1.1 units.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Los Angeles Rams margin -1 vs line +2; covers.
“Well, of course, we're betting under. Under play here. Under. So 52 and a half ODU in South Florida for 1.1 units in the Cure Bowl.”
USF 10, ODU 24 — Combined 34; under 52.5 covers.
“Stony Brook minus eight and a half at home up against Albany in America East college basketball action.”
Stony Brook Seawolves margin -16 with -8.5; lost. Final: STBK 55, UALB 71.
“I'm taking the points in the NBA cup Spurs plus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
NY 124, SA 113 — San Antonio Spurs margin -11 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Let's go first period over one and a half goals for Colorado and for Seattle. We're going over one and a half at minus 125.”
The first period total was 1; over 1.5 lost. (SEA 0, COL 1; total 1 (first period))
“I going to take Jacksonville state plus two and a half up against Troy”
JVST 17, TROY 13 — Jacksonville State Gamecocks margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think that's the best play in this game is to come in and take the under at 42 and a half here for Pittsburgh and for Miami on Monday Night Football.”
PIT 28, MIA 15 — Combined 43; under 42.5 busts.
“and you can get up into the face of Tua, you can feel pretty good about picking him off. And the Steelers have 11 interceptions on the season. It's a cheap price of minus one, minus one 10 for two to throw a pick here. I think it happens. I think two is going to throw a pick. I'll take this defense to be really opportunistic. Might be a deflection, might be something wonky, but I'm going to take an interception here to a, to throw a pick. Yes. At minus one 10 for 1.1 units.”
1 interceptions; interception prop won. (1 INT)
“We're going to play first period over Nashville and St. Louis over one and a half goals at minus 125.”
The first period total was 2; over 1.5 won. (STL 1, NSH 1; total 2 (first period))
“I'm going to lay it 13 and a half Seahawks with a big win, much like the last two home games, make it three Seahawks. I'll lay the big number with Seattle against a 44 year old quarterback who hasn't played in the NFL in five years.”
SEA 18, IND 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +2 vs line -13.5; busts.
“I'm going to stay away from totals in this game and I'm just going to lay the five and a half. Dallas minus five and a half on Sunday night football up against the Minnesota Vikings.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line -5.5; busts.
“This game is going to get away from the Raiders, but I'll tease it down just in case. And we'll go ahead and go Jaguars minus seven and a half Eagles minus six for one point two five units.”
Both favorite-teaser legs covered. (Jaguars 48-20; Eagles 31-0)
“Patriots Broncos six point teaser to tease both those teams up Matt LaFleur in December is now 21 and four straight up as a head coach 14 10 and one against the spread which is really impressive if you stop and think about that that LaFleur has only faced two teams on a six or more game winning streak with Green Bay he lost both the games 2024 against the Lions 2024 at the Vikings we're going to go ahead and take the Patriots plus seven and a half and the Broncos plus seven and a half.”
Both dog-teaser legs covered. (Bills 35-31 Patriots; Broncos 34-26)
“We're taking the Lions plus six for the hard rock bet of the day at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
LAR 41, DET 34 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line +6; busts.
“We're going to come in and we're going to bet Navy team total over 21 and a half and minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Navy Midshipmen scored 17 in the full scope; over 21.5 lost. (Navy Midshipmen 17 (full))
“I going to bet the under under 53 and a half for Washington in Boise in the L Bowl for one point one units.”
WASH 38, BOIS 10 — Combined 48; under 53.5 covers.
“I'll take the points. UC Davis plus 13 on the road against Oregon.”
UC Davis Aggies margin -42 with +13; lost. Final: ORE 104, UCD 62.
“We're going to come in and we're going to jump on the over five and a half for Chicago in St. Louis for the game coming up here today.”
STL 3, CHI 2 — Combined 5; over 5.5 busts.
“So we're taking the Hawks plus seven and a half on the road against the Pistons coming up here for today.”
DET 142, ATL 115 — Atlanta Hawks margin -27 vs line +7.5; busts.
“We're going to go under B. John Robinson, four and a half receptions at plus money at plus one twelve.”
8 receptions; under 4.5 lost. (8 receptions)
“I think they win the game outright here tonight. And I'll lay a big number. I don't normally lay eight and a half here, but without Giannis, Milwaukee looking as bad as they did over the last two games. And the way that Boston's been playing with Jalen Brown, I'll lay it. Boston minus eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
MIL 116, BOS 101 — Boston Celtics margin -15 vs line -8.5; busts.
“we'll go ahead and come in with the under under 225 and a half for OKC and Phoenix for 1.1 units.”
OKC 138, PHX 89 — Combined 227; under 225.5 busts.
“I'm taking the over, over 237, 236 and a half. Sorry. I got 236 and a half. Better number 236 and a half for Lakers and the Spurs for 1 units”
LAL 119, SA 132 — Combined 251; over 236.5 covers.
“I'll take LA. I'll lay the five and a half. Lakers minus five and a half.”
LAL 119, SA 132 — Los Angeles Lakers margin -13 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Link, give me four. Tampa Bay minus four at minus 110 for 1.1 units for the hard rock bet of the day for Thursday night football.”
TB 28, ATL 29 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -1 vs line -4; busts.
“Let's go ahead and take the under 235 and a half for Miami and the Orlando Magic in the quarterfinals of the NBA Cup under 235 and a half”
ORL 117, MIA 108 — Combined 225; under 235.5 covers.
“We'll come in and take the Knicks minus four and a half on the road up against Toronto to win and advance to the semifinals here in Vegas for the NBA Cup.”
New York Knicks outscored Toronto Raptors 117-101 in the full scope; the selection won. (NY 117, TOR 101 (full))
“I'm going to hit the Golden Knights here in 60 in regulation at plus 110 for the Vegas Golden Knights for one unit.”
Vegas was tied after regulation, losing the regulation-only selection. (4-4 after regulation)
“Without Lane Johnson, without Jalen Carter, I'm taking, you can take Moneyline Chargers here if you want, but I'm just going to come in here and I'm going to take plus two and a half Chargers plus the points for 1.1 units.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +3 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm going to play the under under 41 and a half for the Chargers and the Eagles tonight on Monday Night Football.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Combined 41; under 41.5 covers.
“It is not a great play from a numbers perspective but I do think if you go and read D bros primer for fancy pros he thinks Jalen hurts is a big game today with the football in his hands both running and passing So you can go over his passing yards too if you would like but I going to take the rushing numbers for Jalen Hurts and go over 29 and a half yards rushing for Jalen Hurts here tonight without Lane Johnson I think he'll be looking to run a bit more and be a more active runner at minus 114 for 1.14 units.”
LAC 22, PHI 19 — Jalen Hurts: 8 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; busts. (Jalen Hurts: 8 rushing_yards)
“Jaguars money line Forget the point and a half Don need it Take the plus 110 We going Jags money line for one unit”
JAX 36, IND 19 — Jacksonville Jaguars won; moneyline covers.
“Give me the Jets. Give me the Jets. We're taking the Jets at plus three. We're jumping in.”
NYJ 10, MIA 34 — New York Jets margin -24 vs line +3; busts.
“This number is six. Give me the dog. I'm taking Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plus six.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +5 vs line +6; covers.
“I'm going to lay it with the Chiefs. Chiefs minus three at home on Sunday night up against the Texans”
KC 10, HOU 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -10 vs line -3; busts.
“We're going to pull it down. We're going to go and jump in on the Bills, laying a half a point and the Packers on the money line, essentially Bill's money line, Packers money line for a minus 125 teaser, six point teaser.”
Buffalo and Green Bay both won. (Bills 39-34; Packers 28-21)
“We're jumping on the under. KC Houston under 41 and a half at minus 110.”
KC 10, HOU 20 — Combined 30; under 41.5 covers.
“I'm going to put 1.5 units down on this. Okay. So if Alabama wins, we're going to wind up getting 1.65 units back from that bet. That is a bet that you can look at to hedge and you can get involved. Remember, we're going to give a unit back, okay? So we have to go a little bit more just to make sure we guarantee profit, okay? We're not going to, if Bama wins, we'll win 0.65 units because we're going to give a unit back for the loss betting on Georgia. On the flip side, if Georgia wins, it's 3.6 units. We're going to give 1.5 units back on Alabama. So that going to cut it down to basically 2 units okay So we want Georgia to win If Georgia wins we win 2 units If you don want to hedge and you just wanna let it ride or you wanna hedge in-game, by all means, do that, okay? You don't have to follow what I am doing. I'm just, I need to bet enough so we make money. I just wanna make a little bit for my time. I don't wanna lose money. I wanna guarantee profit. So I'm gonna guarantee a win here by betting on Alabama at plus 110 for 1.5 units.”
ALA 7, UGA 28 — Alabama Crimson Tide lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to take it. I'm going to lay it three and a half points. Virginia minus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
UVA 20, DUKE 27 — Virginia Cavaliers margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'm taking UNLV. There is a lot of professional money at certain books that have come in and taken UNLV. There's others who have seen big money come in on Boise, and that's why this number has climbed. Once they hit over five, I like UNLV. Give me the Rebels plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOIS 38, UNLV 21 — UNLV Rebels margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“There's threes in the market, but we're taking Tulane plus three at home and we're taking the over 66 and a half between North Texas and Tulane.”
TULN 34, UNT 21 — Tulane Green Wave margin +13 vs line +3; covers.
“There's threes in the market, but we're taking Tulane plus three at home and we're taking the over 66 and a half between North Texas and Tulane.”
TULN 34, UNT 21 — Combined 55; over 66.5 busts.
“We're going team total. Dallas over 25 and a half points for this game.”
Dallas Cowboys scored 30 in the full scope; over 25.5 won. (Dallas Cowboys 30 (full))
“We'll take Jameer Gibbs to go over 117.5, rushing and receiving yards tonight on Thursday night football.”
120 rushing+receiving yards; over 117.5 won. (120 rushing+receiving yards)
“It's Dak Prescott, who is in primetime monster game. I'm taking the three points. I think the Cowboys win the game outright, but I'm going to take the points.”
DET 44, DAL 30 — Dallas Cowboys margin -14 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm taking the points. Give me BYU plus 13 for BYU here up against Texas Tech in the Big 12 title game.”
TTU 34, BYU 7 — BYU Cougars margin -27 vs line +13; busts.
“Your hard rock bet of the day is Washington and San Jose over one and a half goals in the first period at minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
The first period total was 4; over 1.5 won. (SJ 0, WSH 4; total 4 (first period))
“But tonight, Patriots 11 to one, one unit, take the Patriots to win the Super Bowl here at 11 to one.”
New England lost Super Bowl LX to Seattle, 29-13.
“Total is 11 and a half. You can bet the dog if you want. Instead, I'm just going to go ahead and take the over two 21 and a half for the Warriors and the thunder here tonight in the NBA”
GS 112, OKC 124 — Combined 236; over 221.5 covers.
“Let's go ahead and bet the over here for Colorado and Vancouver, over six and a half at minus 110.”
COL 3, VAN 1 — Combined 4; over 6.5 busts.
“I'm going to come in here and play the over for Florida and Duke over one 56 and a half, which is pretty much where Ken Palm has this.”
DUKE 67, FLA 66 — Combined 133; over 156.5 busts.
“But for tonight, officially I'm going to bet the over over 46 and a half between the Giants and the Patriots.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Combined 48; over 46.5 covers.
“Remember, plus 40 is the highest you can get with the prop bet cheat sheet and a five-star play for Travion Henderson to go over 82 and a half rushing and receiving yards here for tonight”
86 rushing+receiving yards; over 82.5 won. (86 rushing+receiving yards)
“We're going to go ahead and play the over 70 and a half rushing and receiving for Tyrone Tracy for us coming up for two days.”
Tyrone Tracy Jr. recorded 36 rushing yards and -3 receiving yards (33 combined), under the over-70.5 line. (Tyrone Tracy Jr.: 36 rush + (-3) receiving = 33 yards)
“Give me the Jets We taking the Jets at plus three here for 1 units”
NYJ 27, ATL 24 — New York Jets margin +3 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me, give me Washington plus six and a half here. Washington plus six and a half.”
WSH 26, DEN 27 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Give me the Raiders plus 10 for 1.1 units.”
LAC 31, LV 14 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -17 vs line +10; busts.
“let's tease it and let's give them 11 and a half Houston plus nine Browns plus 11 and a half minus one 25 teaser.”
Houston covered, but Cleveland failed +11.5. (Texans 20-16; 49ers 26-8 Browns)
“Browns and the San Fran 49ers under 36 at minus 110.”
CLE 8, SF 26 — Combined 34; under 36 covers.
“I'll take Michigan at plus 10 and a half.”
MICH 9, OSU 27 — Michigan Wolverines margin -18 vs line +10.5; busts.
“Let's get a six point win for Alabama and let's cover here for the Crimson Tide, cover the five and a half Alabama minus five and a half here for that.”
AUB 20, ALA 27 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Moses Moody under 19 and a half points and rebounds at minus one 25 for 1.25 units.”
11 PTS + 3 REB = 14; under 19.5 won. (11 PTS + 3 REB = 14)
“I'm going to lay the seven points here with the Eagles. Eagles minus seven for 1.1 units.”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -9 vs line -7; busts.
“I think the best way to play this game is take the team total and go over 35 and a half for Utah up against KU at minus 115.”
Utah Utes scored 31 in the full scope; over 35.5 lost. (Utah Utes 31 (full))
“Texas A&M and Texas over to the two and a half at minus 110. All right. So three plays for us here on the podcast today. Eagles minus seven against the Bears. Utah team total over thirty five and a half. And Texas A&M and Texas over fifty two and a half.”
The full total was 44; over 52.5 lost. (TEX 27, TA&M 17; total 44 (full))
“So instead I'm going to come in here. I'm going to do two and a half with the lions at home, follow the home team trend, follow the, follow the favorite trend lions minus two and a half.”
DET 24, GB 31 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Josh Jacobs over 78 and a half rushing and receiving yards at minus 118.”
91 rushing+receiving yards; over 78.5 won. (91 rushing+receiving yards)
“I'll take the points home dog on Thanksgiving. Yes. Cowboys plus three and a half.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“let's go with it xavier worthy for the chiefs to have more than 45 and a half rushing and receiving”
74 rushing+receiving yards; over 45.5 won. (74 rushing+receiving yards)
“but I like Baltimore to win and cover Baltimore minus seven for 1.1 units.”
BAL 14, CIN 32 — Baltimore Ravens margin -18 vs line -7; busts.
“So I'm going to come in and take a Joe Burrow under 37 and a half passing attempts today at minus 115.”
46 pass attempts; under 37.5 lost. (46 pass attempts)
“the teaser is packers seven point teaser of the Packers plus 10, Cowboys plus 10 and a half, and the Ravens on the money line. It's a plus 120 bet.”
Baltimore lost outright, losing the teaser. (Packers 31-24; Cowboys 31-28; Bengals 32-14 Ravens)
“So officially four leg money line parlay Vanderbilt, big favorites. We're going to jump in with Houston, big favorites. We're going to jump in with Iowa State, big favorites, and then Tennessee is a four and a half point favorite up against Kansas. We're going to have that as become the hinge spot here for our four leg money line parlay at plus 110.”
Parlay busts: Vanderbilt ML — won; Houston ML — won; Iowa State ML — won; Tennessee ML — lost.
“Again, this is a big prop bet cheat sheet play, but we're going to take it with Andrew Nembhardt. Points and rebounds under 18 and a half points and rebounds for him here for today at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
9 PTS + 4 REB = 13; under 18.5 won. (9 PTS + 4 REB = 13)
“Let's go over one and a half goals in the first period for Vegas and Ottawa at minus 115.”
The first period total was 4; over 1.5 won. (VGK 1, OTT 3; total 4 (first period))
“We're going to go with the hard rock bet of the day, the Detroit Pistons, minus two and a half on the road to win their 14th straight game to set the franchise record today to win and cover against the Celtics at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
BOS 117, DET 114 — Detroit Pistons margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm taking the points. Give me the Creighton Blue Jays at home, in Vegas rather. Jays plus nine against Iowa State.”
ISU 78, CREI 60 — Creighton Bluejays margin -18 vs line +9; busts.
“I'm taking the under Houston, Tennessee under one thirty six and a half for one point one units.”
HOU 73, TENN 76 — Combined 149; under 136.5 busts.
“we're going tyrese maxi under 42 and a half rebounds points and assists at minus 112 for 1.2 units.”
PHI 103, ORL 144 — Tyrese Maxey: 25 pra vs under 42.5; covers. (Tyrese Maxey: 25 pra)
“First half, San Francisco laying four in the first half at minus 110”
San Francisco 49ers outscored Carolina Panthers 10-3 in the first half scope; the selection won. (SF 10, CAR 3 (first half))
“I'm going to bet the over, over 49 and a half for 1.1 unit.”
SF 20, CAR 9 — Combined 29; over 49.5 busts.
“no goal in the first 10 minutes for Washington and Columbus at plus 120 that bet for one unit”
Jakob Chychrun scored 6:05 into the first period, so there was a goal in the first 10 minutes. (First goal: 1st period, 6:05 elapsed)
“Today I'm coming in and taking the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half for Dallas.”
DAL 24, PHI 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm just going to tease it up to point it to get a plus eight and a half for the Arizona Cardinals. And then I'm going to do a Baker Mayfield teaser again, just like we did it last week with the bills. We pushed on it because we got 12 and it pushed, but the same thing here, it's Baker Mayfield in prime time as a dog and Baker now gets 13 points. It's now plus seven. It goes to plus 13 on the road against the Rams. It's just betting on Baker, betting on Baker to do Baker things. This defense by Todd Bowles needs to figure out what's going on here. They have not been good. They gave up 44 points last week to the Bills, gave up 28 points to the Patriots the week before. The Bucs have now lost two in a row against the spread and straight up as underdogs losing by double digits in both those games”
Arizona covered, but Tampa failed +13. (Jaguars 27-24; Rams 34-7 Bucs)
“Cleveland and the Raiders under 36 and a half for 1.1 units.”
LV 10, CLE 24 — Combined 34; under 36.5 covers.
“Penn State minus seven for 1.1 units.”
PSU 37, NEB 10 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin +27 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm taking the, I'm taking the points, Florida plus four up against Tennessee for 1.1 units.”
FLA 11, TENN 31 — Florida Gators margin -20 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm going to play the over. Let's go BYU and Cincinnati. Let's go over 55 and a half for BYU and Cincinnati.”
CIN 14, BYU 26 — Combined 40; over 55.5 busts.
“UNLV minus two and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
UNLV 38, HAW 10 — UNLV Rebels margin +28 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We going under 60 for Florida State and NC State at minus 110”
NCSU 21, FSU 11 — Combined 32; under 60 covers.
“we're going money line Cleveland, money line thunder and the over 234 and a half for Houston and Denver as a plus 131 parlay for one unit”
Parlay busts: Cleveland Cavaliers ML — won; Oklahoma City Thunder ML — won; Over 234.5 +234.5 — lost.
“bills pick under 49 and a half same game teaser at minus one 25.”
Buffalo lost outright at pick'em. (Texans 23, Bills 19)
“we're going to go on over one and a half receptions for Christian Kirk at minus 108 for 1.08 units.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — Christian Kirk: 5 receptions vs over 1.5; covers. (Christian Kirk: 5 receptions)
“Dallas and Vancouver over six and minus 120.”
VAN 2, DAL 4 — Combined 6; over 6 pushes.
“I want Kansas City minus three circus sports. If you have circa in your state, you can find three minus 120 for the Chiefs at home against the Colts.”
KC 23, IND 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“Let's go over Central Michigan in Kent State. We're going to play the over here, over 49 for 1.1 units”
KENT 16, CMU 28 — Combined 44; over 49 busts.
“I'm going to take the safer route here and just take the full period over one and a half goals for anaheim in boston at minus 135 for 1.35 units”
The first period total was 3; over 1.5 won. (ANA 2, BOS 1; total 3 (first period))
“I got UConn laying three and a half points here I'm gonna lay it in the first half UConn minus three and a half in the first half up against Arizona here in college basketball for 1.1 units.”
UConn Huskies was outscored by Arizona Wildcats 33-35 in the first half scope; the selection lost. (CONN 33, ARIZ 35 (first half))
“the hard rock bet of the day is the Creighton Blue Jays first half team total over 45 and a half at minus 104.”
Creighton scored 47 first-half points, over 45.5. (Creighton 47)
“plays Toronto, St. Louis over five and a half at minus one 30 and the Pistons laying one up against the Atlanta Hawks here today, Detroit to win their 11th straight game.”
ATL 112, DET 120 — Detroit Pistons margin +8 vs line -1; covers.
“plays Toronto, St. Louis over five and a half at minus one 30 and the Pistons laying one up against the Atlanta Hawks here today, Detroit to win their 11th straight game.”
TOR 3, STL 2 — Combined 5; over 5.5 busts.
“Cowboys minus three, 1.2 units down at minus 120.”
LV 16, DAL 33 — Dallas Cowboys margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
“Florida and Vancouver in the NHL over six at minus 115.”
FLA 8, VAN 5 — Combined 13; over 6 covers.
“Give me Giants plus seven and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
NYG 20, GB 27 — New York Giants margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“Broncos, Chiefs under 45 for 1.1 units.”
DEN 22, KC 19 — Combined 41; under 45 covers.
“Teaser is Bucks plus 12 and the Ravens minus one and a half in their two games at minus 125.”
Baltimore covered but Tampa Bay landed exactly +12; because the sportsbook and its two-team-teaser push rule are not stored, the wager is terminally ungradeable and void. (Ravens leg won; Buccaneers +12 pushed)
“It's only two and a half. I'm laying it with the Vikings. Vikings minus two and a half for 1.1 units for our hard rock bet play of the day.”
MIN 17, CHI 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin -2 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'm taking the points. I think Pitt's got a chance to keep this game close. I think they can do enough. They lose the game, but I'll take Pitt plus 12 and a half here. I think it's too heavy for this game. I'm taking Pitt plus 12 and a half at home with game day present against Notre Dame.”
PITT 15, ND 37 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin -22 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I don't trust this Texas offense. Defense is good, but I'll take Gunnar Stockton and company. I'll lay it with Georgia here. I like six, find it in the marketplace. We're laying six with Georgia for 1.1 units.”
UGA 35, TEX 10 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +25 vs line -6; covers.
“I'm going to lay the big number. I hate doing it. I normally never do it, but I'm going to do it here. A&M minus 17 and a half at home against South Carolina to go ahead and put up a big number and make a big statement against South Carolina.”
TA&M 31, SC 30 — Texas A&M Aggies margin +1 vs line -17.5; busts.
“I just don't think Oklahoma's got the firepower to go to Tuscaloosa, to go into Bryant Denny and really score enough points. And I think Alabama is going to score 24 to 28 points here on this OU defense. I think it's going to be Alabama too much to handle here for the Oklahoma defense. I'll lay the points here with Alabama minus six.”
ALA 21, OU 23 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -2 vs line -6; busts.
“Let get Vancouver going here. Let have them go over six and a half at minus 105 for the hockey bet for us here today. Vancouver Carolina over six and a half.”
CAR 4, VAN 3 — Combined 7; over 6.5 covers.
“I like Clemson. You can bet them on the money line. I think Clemson wins the game, but just to be safe, let's go ahead and take the two and a half points. Clemson plus two and a half for 1.1 units. So those are the two bets for us here with Toronto. Sorry, with Vancouver, rather Vancouver over with Carolina over six and a half at minus one oh five and Clemson on the road plus two and a half at Louisville at minus one ten.”
LOU 19, CLEM 20 — Clemson Tigers margin +1 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I've been ice cold. I'm completely stumped by this game. I don't love this bet by any means, but I'll take the over 43. I bet over 43 for the Patriots and the Jets. This number opened up at 45 and a half. It's been bet down to 43. So a lot of pro money is like in the under. I don't know if this is a head fake and we see a ton of money when the limits open up tomorrow or today on Thursday, we see all overs money, but I'm going to come in and bet the over 43 on the Patriots and the Jets.”
NE 27, NYJ 14 — Combined 41; over 43 busts.
“We're gonna go under 20 and a half for grace and allen points and rebounds here for tonight. grace and allen under 20 and a half points and rebounds for 1.18 units.”
23 PTS + 5 REB = 28; under 20.5 lost. (23 PTS + 5 REB = 28)
“we're gonna jump on it here prop pitch chi chi likes it five-star play duncan robinson under 17 and a half points and rebounds at minus 122 grayson allen under points and rebounds at 20 and a half duncan robinson under 17 and a half points and rebounds.”
23 PTS + 2 REB = 25; under 17.5 lost. (23 PTS + 2 REB = 25)
“We're playing the under for UMass and NIU under 43 and a half at minus 110 in the Mac for Maction.”
MASS 3, NIU 45 — Combined 48; under 43.5 busts.
“First period to the under for the hard rock bet of the day. New Jersey and Chicago first period under one and a half goals is an even money play for one unit.”
The first period had one goal, under 1.5. (Chicago 1-0)
“I'm taking the 12.5 points. I'm going to say that Ken Palm has it right. Creighton plus 12.5 for 1.1 units.”
GONZ 90, CREI 63 — Creighton Bluejays margin -27 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the four and a half points here for Mark Pope team on the road. Can they go get a huge win early in the season. I always back in blue over red. You know, I I just I always back in blue over red Louisville. Sorry guys. I like Kentucky. Give me the cats plus four and a half for 1.1 unit.”
LOU 96, UK 88 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -8 vs line +4.5; busts.
“Anthony Simons over 16 and a half points and rebounds for the Boston Celtics is our prop bet going on here for today.”
17 PTS + 4 REB = 21; over 16.5 won. (17 PTS + 4 REB = 21)
“I'm going to go ahead and take the point. Eagles plus one for 1.1 units.”
GB 7, PHI 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“It's more him running the football for the Packers under 92 and a half rushing and receiving for Josh Jacobs.”
107 rushing+receiving yards; under 92.5 lost. (107 rushing+receiving yards)
“Josh Giddey over 40 and a half points, rebounds and assists at minus one 11 for 1.1 units.”
Josh Giddey did not participate; the player prop is void under the corpus DNP convention. (Josh Giddey: DNP)
“I like the Bucs a lot. I like Baker Mayfield. I have bet the Bucs quite a bit. This is my team. So if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, but I'm laying the two and a half points. Patriots minus two and a half. Sorry, the Bucks. Excuse me. Bucks minus two and a half at home at minus one ten.”
TB 23, NE 28 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.
“It's going to be nasty and the wind's a big deal under 47 and a half. We're playing it under 47 and a half with the bears and the giants.”
CHI 24, NYG 20 — Combined 44; under 47.5 covers.
“I'm not playing around with anything except pull this down from six and a half to a half a point. Seahawks just to win this game, to get a W. OK, Trey McBride's a problem. Seahawks defense is going to get after him. But I just think this is a chance for it could be a higher scoring game than people think. over is not a bad look in this game, but I think Seattle is going to win the game. Okay. Just win the game. Nothing special. Just go out there and win the game. So first leg is Seattle minus half a point. The other is the Rams in the 49er game. And this is really just a play on Shanahan owning Sean McVay because he has owned Sean McVay. McVay is just a three and six straight up and three and six against the spread when he has Matthew Stafford at quarterback against Kyle Shanahan. This is the fifth time McVay is on the road as a favorite against the 49ers in Kyle Shanahan. He's one in three straight up as a road favorite against the 49ers. And this number has been climbing. We're at six now minus six for the Rams on the road when McVay is listed as a favorite against Shanahan. He's just four and seven straight up and one in seven straight up over his last eight games in this spot. One in seven over the last eight games. Teasing it up, giving the 49ers 12 points. Wouldn't shock me if the Niners win the game outright just because it's one of those crazy weird things, but we're taking it. Seahawks minus a half a point teased with the Niners at plus 12 for minus 125 for 1.25 units there.”
Seattle won, but San Francisco failed +12. (Rams 42, 49ers 26)
“However, I'm going to come in here and take the Chargers. Big game for the Chargers at home here. Justin Herbert in primetime. I think that pass defense for the Steelers gets exposed here a little bit with the Chargers passing offense, even without Alt being out there. We're going to come in here and lay the two and a half points for the hard rock bet of the day. Chargers minus two and a half at minus 110.”
LAC 25, PIT 10 — Los Angeles Chargers margin +15 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Simply a money line play on the Bruins to get a W. This game's on Fox, 6 p.m. Pacific time, 9 p.m. Eastern time kick. I'm taking the Bruins, giving the Bruins on the money line here to win and just not allow Nebraska much of a shot here. UCLA pick for 1.1 units.”
UCLA Bruins was outscored by Nebraska Cornhuskers 21-28 in the full scope; the selection lost. (UCLA 21, NEB 28 (full))
“Maybe a tough task, but I'll take the points. Plus six and a half. I'll take Iowa plus six and a half at home up against Oregon.”
IOWA 16, ORE 18 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin -2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I think we got something going with Arkansas. I like John Calipari. I love this backcourt. I think Arkansas finds a way to get it done. Fun basketball game, but I'll take the points. Let's go Arkansas plus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
MSU 69, ARK 66 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Let's make it five Anaheim in Vegas over one and a half goals in the first period at minus one 40.”
The first period had two goals, over 1.5. (1-1)
“And the graphics people tend to like creating graphics and social media content from when I put together parlays. So let's do a theme one for Friday here with a Red Friday three leg Moneyline Parlay for us. And again, round robbing is not a bad idea to go ahead and do a round robin bet. If you don't know what a round robin bet is, look it up, but it's not a horrible play. I'm not going to explain it today, but officially we are going USC money line, rockets, money line, red wings, money line. It's a plus two 65 parlay for one unit.”
Parlay busts: USC Trojans ML — won; Detroit Red Wings ML — lost; Houston Rockets ML — lost.
“I like Memphis. OK, I think they are going to wind up representing the group of five. And this is a game they got to win. I think they take care of business. Tulane at home. I'll lay the three. It's on ESPN. It's a nine o'clock Eastern time kick. Memphis minus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
MEM 32, TULN 38 — Memphis Tigers margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I like Chicago. Give me the Bulls plus four and a half. The Josh Gidde crew makes their way up north to Milwaukee and maybe even gets an outright W. I would sprinkle Moneyline on this, but Bulls plus four and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
MIL 126, CHI 110 — Chicago Bulls margin -16 vs line +4.5; busts.
“The first bet is to take the Raiders at plus nine and a half for one point one units.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -3 vs line +9.5; covers.
“So Raiders plus nine and a half. And then we're coming in with the Broncos and the Lions at minus 125. Broncos minus two and a half. Lions minus two. All of the numbers say that the Broncos will win and cover.”
Denver -2.5 and Detroit -2 both covered. (Broncos 10-7; Lions 44-22)
“We're going to take J.K. Dobbins rushing and receiving yards, And we're going to go over 76 and a half rushing and receiving for J.K. Dobbins of the Broncos at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
84 rushing+receiving yards; over 76.5 won. (84 rushing+receiving yards)
“Let's go Royce O'Neal under 14 and a half points and rebounds coming up here for us on the PropBet Cheat Sheet. So Raiders plus nine and a half. J.K. Dobbins over 76 and a half rushing and receiving. The Broncos tees down to two and a half with the Lions and minus two on Sunday in Royce O'Neal under 40, 14 and a half points and rebounds at minus 124 coming up here for today.”
17 PTS + 4 REB = 21; under 14.5 lost. (17 PTS + 4 REB = 21)
“I think we got to take it. I think it's, I think this number is going to start to come down dramatically. Let's take it. Seattle to win the Superbowl at 14 to one, one unit down Seahawks plus 1400 at one for one unit here shop around and find the best price books are either at 12 to one or 14 to 1 I taking Seattle to win the Super Bowl First play of the year from a future perspective Seahawks 14 to 1 to win the Super Bowl.”
Seattle defeated New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX.
“I'm going to trust the prop at cheat sheet here. It cashed last night with an over for us. Points and assists for Laurie Markkinen. We're going under 27 and a half.”
25 PTS + 0 AST = 25; under 27.5 won. (25 PTS + 0 AST = 25)
“Let's take the Munchie Boys in Indiana. Ball State minus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
BALL 17, KENT 13 — Ball State Cardinals margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I just want to come in here and just take Creighton first half over 79 and a half for both Creighton and South Dakota. Let's go over in the first half at 79 and a half at minus 120. Let's get a 50 to 30 score here in the first half. And I think the Jays can put up 50 points in the first half. I really do. If their threes are falling, I do think they have a massive advantage inside, massive size advantage, massive athletic advantage against South Dakota. But again, South Dakota doesn't turn the ball over. They want to run and they're going to look to score in bunches. Let's go over 79 and a half and minus 120 for 1.2 units. That was the Hard Rock Bet of the day here for us on a Wednesday.”
The first half had 83 points, over 79.5. (Creighton 48, South Dakota 35)
“I'm just going to take the full three periods because when you're running cold, I try not to get too cute. OK, try just to get like I always say, just let's get the ball to go through the rim. Let's hit a free throw. Let's just get a W here. Let's not get too crazy. I'm going to play the over six, over six Detroit and Vegas, 1.1 units over six for the game here in Vegas at T-Mobile arena.”
VGK 1, DET 0 — Combined 1; over 6 busts.
“Don't play around, win it and score over 81 and a half points for UNLV in the debut of Josh Pastner at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
UNLV scored 81, below over 81.5. (UT Martin 86, UNLV 81)
“We're going to go over 36 and a half points, rebounds and assists for Paulo tonight up against the Orlando Magic. Okay. So three plays for us, Vegas against Detroit over six for 1.1 units, UNLV team total against UT Martin over 81 and a half points at minus 105 and Paolo to go points, rebounds and assists over 36 and a half at minus 115.”
Banchero totaled 41 PRA, over 36.5. (22+11+8=41 PRA)
“I'm just going to stay away from this and just bet the Cowboys minus three. to find a way to win the game. Dallas minus three for 1 units”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — Dallas Cowboys margin -10 vs line -3; busts.
“We'll go George Pickens over 64 and a half rushing and receiving yards in case they wind up throwing a sweep in there for George Pickens. I'm not sure why the prop bet cheat sheet likes the extra option of the rush. We don't get very many of them, but Pickens to go just receiving over 64 and a half yards, receiving easily at minus 115.”
DAL 17, ARI 27 — George Pickens: 79 receiving_yards vs over 64.5; covers. (George Pickens: 79 receiving_yards)
“I'll lay the three points here. I think there could be a pretty decent size Gator contingency coming out just because football has gone so sideways after firing Billy Napier that folks in Gainesville can't wait to get talking about basketball and rolling over here. So I think that's big to have the Gators and, you know, a team that fans want to travel and support teams that they want to be backing. I'll come in and lay it. Let's go with a short number here. Florida minus three at here in Vegas up against Arizona for one point one units.”
ARIZ 93, FLA 87 — Florida Gators margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“I'll lay the eight and a half points BYU minus eight and a half in Las Vegas up against a maybe a team in Nova that down the road might be OK in the Big East, but not out of the gate, not against BYU, not with this crowd. This is a showcase BYU minus eight and a half.”
BYU 71, VILL 66 — BYU Cougars margin +5 vs line -8.5; busts.
“It's a minus one 40 parlay. I'm not telling you it's great. Packers, chargers, Rams, lions, money line, minus one 40 at 1.4 units down. I am jumping in here with this.”
Green Bay lost, losing the moneyline parlay. (Panthers 16, Packers 13)
“The Colts minus three on the road against the Steelers at minus 110.”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -7 vs line -3; busts.
“Lions minus two and a half. Patriots plus five, plus a half a point rather. Teasing for our teaser of the week”
Detroit failed -2.5; New England won. (Vikings 27-24 Lions; Patriots 24-23)
“It's time now for the hard rock bet bet of the day. And this is from our guy Andrew Erickson who puts out a tremendous primer every single week for the NFL. If you aren reading it on the betting pros website or the betting pros app you absolutely should do that. It gives you some great stats, give you some great information. And this is one bet that I'm going to trail him on. I like it a lot. It's the Buffalo bills to come in here over 26 and a half team total points tonight for the bills laying one, one, one, my link minus one Oh against the Chiefs. And I think when you look at the offense here for this Buffalo Bills team coming off a bye, they have played really, really well off of a bye. Facing top defenses, Josh Allen has done it, allowing fewer than 20 points per game. 28 times during his career in the regular season, Allen is 23-5 straight up in those games. He's 22-5-1 ATS on those games, and including a 16, four and one ATS mark when his opponents are over 500 straight up on the season. When the spread is four points or less in those 28 games, Allen and the Bills are 15 and one straight up and 15 and one ATS in those games. Coming off a buy, he's averaging 28 points per game and nine and oh off the buy. You want the Bills to win this game? They need to score 27 or more points in my mind because that's my number for the KC Chiefs. I think Casey is going to be able to run the ball, even without some injuries, but check going company having some issues with the running game here. I think we're going to see a lot of offense in this football game. I don't mind the overplay, but I prefer to jump in with the bills and just have the Buffalo bills go ahead and score here. And it's only minus one to eight. So you got good price on that. Get that minus one to eight on the Buffalo bills to go ahead and score over 26 and a half points for our hard rock bet of the day.”
Buffalo Bills scored 28 in the full scope; over 26.5 won. (Buffalo Bills 28 (full))
“So for me, I'm going to take the under in the game and I'm going to drop it down here. I'm actually going to go at FanDuel. It let me go ahead and take it to 47 and a half last night at minus 121. It's 47 at most books right now. DraftKings is at 46 and a half. So I went ahead and just bought a point to 47 and a half with an alternative under and went under with minus 121. You can go and shop around. There are 47 and a halves in the marketplace, but I like Vandy in Texas to go under today.”
TEX 34, VAN 31 — Combined 65; under 47.5 busts.
“But I like the dog here. Give me the seven and a half points. I'm taking Florida plus seven and a half with a chance to win the game outright.”
FLA 20, UGA 24 — Florida Gators margin -4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“First period over one and a half goals. What are we doing today? You know what we're doing today. First period over for the Bruins who have scored 12 goals in the first period. Carolina equally has been good offensively. They've scored nine goals so far in the first period in terms of giving goals up and giving, you know, allowing goals. Bruins have allowed a bunch of goals here. They've allowed 12 goals themselves here with this. So Carolina has been good offensively. And so has Carolina has given, they've scored 14 goals and they've given up 14 goals. So like you go ahead and go back. Actually, sorry. Carolina has given up. Sorry. They've scored 14 goals and give up seven goals. Excuse me. Bruins have given up, I've scored 12 and given up 14 goals so far. So to give you an idea, Bruins are scoring, but also giving up a ton of goals. Carolina's tied for the lead in the NHL for first period goals, and they're giving up seven. So 1-1 after one is very likely. You can bet both teams to score in the first period if you would like. But we're going to jump in here with the Bruins and the Carolina Hurricanes bet the streak here. First period over at minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
The first period was scoreless, below over 1.5. (0-0)
“I like the prop bed cheat sheet. I'm not going to come in here. I don't think this is like an automatic bury in like, oh, my God, this number is so low. we should hammer it. But I do think Scherzer gets hit here in the first or second innings. Dodgers get on him fast. We're going to bet the over one and a half earned runs for Max Scherzer at minus 116 for 1.6 units.”
Max Scherzer allowed 1 earned run, under the over-1.5 line. (Max Scherzer: 4.1 IP, 1 ER)
“we're just going to come in here and we're going to go and we're going to bet on the first period over Vegas and Colorado over one and a half goals in the first period at minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
The first period had one goal, below over 1.5. (Colorado 1-0)
“We're going to lay two and a half down with Syracuse at home up against North Carolina, win the game by three and get a W that they desperately need on Halloween at home on campus.”
SYR 10, UNC 27 — Syracuse Orange margin -17 vs line -2.5; busts.
“We're going with Gaussman over 15 and a half outs for Kevin Gaussman at minus 110.”
18 outs; over 15.5 won. (18 outs)
“Golden Knights, Moneyline, Tigers, Moneyline, Memphis Tigers. And the Raptors plus six and a half is a plus 347 parlay. Let's throw a half a unit down on that here and have some Halloween fun for us coming up on that.”
Parlay busts: Golden Knights ML — lost; Memphis Tigers ML — won; Raptors +6.5 +6.5 — won.
“We're going Baltimore and Miami over 50 and a half at minus 110.”
MIA 6, BAL 28 — Combined 34; over 50.5 busts.
“Devon Echain over 94 and a half rushing and receiving yards tonight at minus 115.”
De'Von Achane recorded 67 rushing yards and 39 receiving yards (106 combined), over 94.5. (De'Von Achane: 67 rush + 39 receiving = 106 yards)
“And Tua under his passing attempts at 32 and a half at minus 115.”
40 pass attempts; under 32.5 lost. (40 pass attempts)
“So for a half a run or for half for a hit RBI in a run for Varsho, I, again, against Blake, against Blake Snell, he hit a home run in game number one. He's liked what he has seen out of him. Let's go ahead and take a look at this and fire on it. Let's go over a half hit run in RBI at minus 147 for 1.47 units.”
Daulton Varsho recorded 1 hit, 1 run, and 0 RBI (2 combined), over 0.5. (Daulton Varsho: 1 H + 1 R + 0 RBI = 2)
“we're going to come in here and bet the under. Under 31.5 points and assists. It's only minus 113. The price is even really good here for us here with Julius Randall of the T-Wolves.”
33 PTS + 6 AST = 39; under 31.5 lost. (33 PTS + 6 AST = 39)
“And Toronto and Columbus over 1.5 in the first period tonight at minus 145.”
The first period had two goals, over 1.5. (Columbus 2-0)
“Otani under 17 and a half outs at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
Shohei Ohtani recorded 18 pitching outs, over the under-17.5 line. (Shohei Ohtani: 6.0 IP = 18 outs)
“We are going to jump on that here for today with the Bruins at home. We're going over one and a half goals in the first period for the Bruins and the Islanders at minus 130.”
The first period had two goals, over 1.5. (Islanders 2-0)
“So three bets for us here today on the show Tampa Bay in Nashville go in the first 10 minutes at minus 140”
The first goal came 10:31 into the first period, after the first 10 minutes. (First goal: 1st period, 10:31 elapsed)
“let's go kareem hunt over five and a half rushing attempts at minus 155”
9 rush attempts; over 5.5 won. (9 rush attempts)
“Hit run RBI over a half for Addison Barger of the Toronto blue Jays playing right field for tonight.”
2 H + 1 R + 0 RBI = 3; over 0.5 won. (2 H + 1 R + 0 RBI = 3)
“Let go with the gift Bruins and the Ottawa senators go in the first 10 minutes. I can only bet this at draft Kings overnight. Hopefully you guys get a better, better price at some point during the day today, because I don't like the price, but I had to bet it at draft Kings because it's the only ones that I had it up at the time of taping Bruin senators gift minus one 40.”
Morgan Geekie scored 3:06 into the first period, within the first 10 minutes. (First goal: 1st period, 3:06 elapsed)
“We're going over. We're taking the over for the first ever hard rock bet of the day, San Francisco and Houston over 41 and a half.”
HOU 26, SF 15 — Combined 41; over 41.5 busts.
“I think the hook comes into play here I taking Dallas Give me Dallas plus three and a half here for 1 units”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -20 vs line +3.5; busts.
“We have the over in San Francisco, in Houston, Pittsburgh plus three.”
PIT 25, GB 35 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -10 vs line +3; busts.
“But Eagles minus one Patriots minus one. There is your teaser for the week here this week.”
Both -1 teaser legs covered. (Patriots 32-13; Eagles 38-20)
“I'm taking the Dodgers. I'm going to go ahead and lay the minus 128 on the money line.”
TOR 1, LAD 5 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“Give me three Missouri plus three for one point one units.”
VAN 17, MIZ 10 — Missouri Tigers margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I will take the points. South Carolina at home, rocking atmosphere. I think they'll have a shot to win the game. But if not, I'll take the points. South Carolina plus 12 for 1.1 units.”
South Carolina Gamecocks was outscored by Alabama Crimson Tide 22-29 in the full scope; the selection won. (SC 22, ALA 29 (full))
“I'm going to follow it. Iowa State minus two and a half for one point one units.”
ISU 27, BYU 41 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -14 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Snell over five and a half Ks. Otani over one and a half total bases. And the Dodgers team total over two and a half is a plus 230 parlay. Let's chuck a unit down on it.”
Snell struck out four, losing the 5.5+ K leg. (Snell 4 K; Ohtani 4 TB; Dodgers 4 runs)
“I'm taking the points. Give me the five and a half points. Boston plus five and a half on the road against the New York Knicks.”
NY 105, BOS 95 — Boston Celtics margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“San Antonio, let's lay the three and a half points with Victor Wembeyama and get a W here on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans.”
NO 116, SA 120 — San Antonio Spurs margin +4 vs line -3.5; covers.
“give me Denver. I'll take Denver a plus two and a half here. And I love the Warriors. I like their team a lot, but I'm getting points on the opener for the Denver Nuggets. Give me Jokic plus two and a half here for Denver.”
GS 137, DEN 131 — Denver Nuggets margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“give me the over chargers vikings over 44 and a half for 1.1 units”
LAC 37, MIN 10 — Combined 47; over 44.5 covers.
“I'm going to lay it down. I'm going to lay the minus 130 for Colorado and Carolina over 5.5.”
COL 4, CAR 5 — Combined 9; over 5.5 covers.
“Boston's going to be more deliberate and I'm going to come in and take the under it's all the way up to two 28 and a half. You guys might get two 29, you might get two 30, you may get a better number, but I think this game goes under. I don't think we see, you know, a one 20 to, you know, to 110 type of basketball game here. Boston's favored. I would lean to Philly a little bit here early in the year for Boston, in particular, if Joel Embiid really goes off. But I think the best play in the game is the under Celtics Sixers under 228 and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOS 116, PHI 117 — Combined 233; under 228.5 busts.
“I'm playing the over over Cleveland in New York over 226 and a half for 1.1 units.”
NY 119, CLE 111 — Combined 230; over 226.5 covers.
“But I'll lay it. Dallas minus two and a half at home against the San Antonio Spurs.”
DAL 92, SA 125 — Dallas Mavericks margin -33 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Let's talk futures here for the NBA. I'm betting the over on the Boston Celtics 41 and a half, not just because I'm wearing a Celtics championship hat, not just because I'm a homer, but because I believe in Joe Mazzula.”
Boston finished 56-26; over 41.5 wins won.
“Give me the under. I'm going under 47 and a half wins for the LA Lakers here going up into the season.”
The Lakers finished 53-29; under 47.5 wins lost.
“I'm betting the over on Orlando. I'm a believer over 50 and a half wins for the Orlando Magic.”
Orlando finished 45-37; over 50.5 wins lost.
“I'll lay it. It's not comfortable. It's not a comfortable lay, but I'll lay it. Seven and a half thunder against the Rockets at minus seven and a half to the late game.”
OKC 125, HOU 124 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +1 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I like the Warriors lay in two points here. It's basically just a money line play to take the Warriors. Give me the Warriors minus two for 1.1 units.”
LAL 109, GS 119 — Golden State Warriors margin +10 vs line -2; covers.
“Give me the over 52 and a half here for the Lions and the Bucs.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Combined 33; over 52.5 busts.
“Same game. Tease it. Let's go bucks plus 12 and the over pull it from 52 and a half down to 46 and a half. And we'll play over for 1.25 units worth of action.”
Bucs +12 and over 46.5 both lost. (Lions 24, Bucs 9)
“I will admit it, but I'm taking Seattle. I'll lay the three points with the Seahawks for 1.1 units.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Seattle Seahawks margin +8 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm going to lay the points. Let's lay the three points here with, oh, sorry. Where's that? We need to go and put that up. Sorry. Hold on. Let's pause, pause, pause, pause, pause. Where's my, there it is. Let's put it up. There it is. Rams minus three for 1.1 units.”
JAX 7, LAR 35 — Los Angeles Rams margin +28 vs line -3; covers.
“Give me the Browns. I'll lay two and a half with the Browns here up against the Miami Dolphins.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Cleveland Browns margin +25 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But give me the Vikings plus two and a half on the Vikings here at home up against the Vikings.”
MIN 22, PHI 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.
“And the teaser is Patriots minus one. Broncos minus one for minus 125.”
Both -1 teaser legs covered. (Patriots 31-13; Broncos 33-32)
“I'm going to come in and jump on the over for Ole Miss and Georgia. We're going to jump on the over 56 and a half for 1.1 units.”
UGA 43, MISS 35 — Combined 78; over 56.5 covers.
“We're going to bet over Rutgers and Oregon. Sorry, sorry, Sorry, Rutgers. That should be Rutgers, not Northwestern. Sorry, Oregon and Rutgers over 61 for 1.1 units.”
RUTG 10, ORE 56 — Combined 66; over 61 covers.
“So I'm taking Purdue plus three and a half for Purdue for 1.1 units.”
NU 19, PUR 0 — Purdue Boilermakers margin -19 vs line +3.5; busts.
“So I'm going to buy it from seven down to six and a half at minus one 20. You can pay all the way up to minus one 30. Okay. I don't mind you. If you got to pay, you're putting on your book, what book you use. If you got to pay a little extra to get under seven, I think it's worth it to take the Huskers at minus six and a half at minus 120 for 1.1 units.”
MINN 24, NEB 6 — Nebraska Cornhuskers margin -18 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I'll take Louisville. Give me the points. Louisville plus 14, buy it up off 13 and a half to 14 at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
MIA 21, LOU 24 — Louisville Cardinals margin +3 vs line +14; covers.
“The Dodgers are inevitable. Dodgers on the run line at plus 110.”
LAD 5, MIL 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Give me the Bengals plus five and a half at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“East Carolina under 54 and a half at minus 110”
ECU 41, TLSA 27 — Combined 68; under 54.5 busts.
“And tonight, give me the Dodgers. I'll lay the one and a half with the Dodgers. We'll take the plus money at plus 110 on the Dodgers on the run line coming in at one unit Dodgers run line.”
LAD 3, MIL 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I really don mind this at all to come in and take the Panthers in regulation You get plus money on this at plus 110 I think the Panthers are just a more experienced team They the better team here Get them off of a loss Get Bobrovsky back in net And again, it could be. We'll see who's in net. But if it's going to be Gibson, I love this play. And we got good plus money because this will not be the number. If it is announced that it's Gibson, we're going to get a really good price on this. We're going to have a nice little CLV closing line value on this. You can bet them just to win the game if you want any which way. minus 140, just a little expensive for a hockey game early in the year, to be quite honest. I'm not really looking to lay 140 if we miss on the plus 110. So, but it's a one unit bet. We're not laying heavy juice. So I'll take the Florida Panthers in regulation at plus 110.”
Florida Panthers was outscored by Detroit Red Wings 1-4 in the regulation scope; the selection lost. (FLA 1, DET 4 (regulation))
“Let's take the Blackhawks at plus one and a half goals. If they get killed, they get killed. It's only minus 130. Not that expensive. Blackhawks on the puck line at plus one and a half goals for minus 130 at 1.3 units.”
STL 3, CHI 8 — Chicago Blackhawks margin +5 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going to bet the over. Give me the over over seven minus one Oh four game three, good push potential here, but I'm taking the over.”
SEA 4, TOR 13 — Combined 17; over 7 covers.
“I'm going to bet against the streak here because I get a better price. I think Vegas wins. I think Vegas beats Calgary And I'm going to do it in 60 because it's even money. It's minus 150 or 160 right now on the money line for Vegas. But let's just go ahead and say that we're not going to have it happen again. We're not going to see these the Vegas Vegas Gold Knights go into extra time and they can do it in three periods and get the win in regulation. Let's go Vegas in regulation, even money for one unit coming up here for tonight.”
Vegas Golden Knights outscored Calgary Flames 4-2 in the regulation scope; the selection won. (VGK 4, CGY 2 (regulation))
“I'm going to play the under here. I think this is going to be a lower scoring game. Let's keep the trend alive here for unders between South Alabama and Arkansas State. under 59 and a half at minus 110.”
USA 14, ARST 15 — Combined 29; under 59.5 covers.
“So let's hope the Brewers get there and let's back them one more time. Brewers money line, even money for one unit. You can get plus money at most places, plus 104, plus 105. Those are all out there in the market. I got even money.”
MIL 1, LAD 5 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“OK I going to say let play a feel here and go with the steam It chasing steam but I think B John Robinson might be the best player on the on the field tonight for the Atlanta Falcons I'll lay the four points Falcons plus four as home dogs tonight at home against the Buffalo bills.”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta Falcons margin +10 vs line +4; covers.
“I'm going to come in and lay the five points. Commanders minus five for 1.1 units.”
WSH 24, CHI 25 — Washington Commanders margin -1 vs line -5; busts.
“OK, but I'm going to take the plus money and take a shot here and say, you know what? Game one, the Brewers might be able to steal game one, given who's starting in Blake. Now, Blake Snell struggles on the road and the fact that this team for the Brewers hammers lefties. it's again a system play i've been making all year it's been very profitable for us we're going to come in here and do it again so for today we're going falcons plus four commanders minus five and brewers on the money line”
Milwaukee Brewers was outscored by Los Angeles Dodgers 1-2 in the full scope; the selection lost. (MIL 1, LAD 2 (full))
“Patriots minus three for 1.2. What did I, what did I lay 1.2? Hold on. Let me see. 1.25 units for the Patriots buying that half a point down Pat's minus three.”
NO 19, NE 25 — New England Patriots margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I like the Bucs. I like Baker Mayfield. I'll lay the minus 120 for 1.2 units on the Bucs minus the three at home here up against the 49ers who continue to be so banged up going across the country.”
TB 30, SF 19 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“I bought the four and a half down to four. It was not expensive to do so at all here. It was minus 115 to get off that Raiders minus four for 1.15 units.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Las Vegas Raiders margin +10 vs line -4; covers.
“I like the Cowboys to win, but I'd rather get involved with the total. and pull the total down to 41 and go over. I like the Colts minus three and the over 41 for Dallas and the Panthers at minus 125 for 1.25 units. So four plays officially for us here, for me going into Sunday, Patriots minus three, Raiders minus four, Bucks minus three, Colts minus three, tees with the Cowboys over 41.”
Colts -3 and Cowboys-Panthers over 41 both won. (Colts 31-27; Panthers 30-27 Cowboys)
“Give me Oklahoma. Oklahoma on the money line here at minus 110.”
TEX 23, OU 6 — Oklahoma Sooners lost; moneyline busts.
“I like, I like UNLV. Give me the rebels minus six and a half at home against Air Force. We're going to lay it.”
UNLV 51, AFA 48 — UNLV Rebels margin +3 vs line -6.5; busts.
“We bet the under 60 and a half between Washington and Rutgers last night. That game almost went over. It would have gone over 56 and a half. Michigan and USC, we're going to go ahead and play the over. I think we see a lot of offense here for both these teams. Not a lot of defense. Michigan, USC over 56 and a half.”
USC 31, MICH 13 — Combined 44; over 56.5 busts.
“And if I can get Auburn plus four, I'm going to take the Tigers. Give me Auburn plus four, War Eagle at home, to go ahead in the oldest rivalry in the South to either get an outright win or to lose the game by three points up against Georgia for today.”
AUB 10, UGA 20 — Auburn Tigers margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“So plays for tonight on Friday and by all means, fade away if you want. Washington Rutgers in the Big Ten under 60 and a half at minus 110.”
WASH 38, RUTG 19 — Combined 57; under 60.5 covers.
“There are five and a halves in the market. I found a six. We're going to go ahead and take the six. Tigers Mariners under six and minus 121 for 1.21 units.”
SEA 3, DET 2 — Combined 5; under 6 covers.
“I don't have a play on the total, just laying the three points. Let's go Vegas three and four years. Let's have another strip party, another parade on the Las Vegas strip for the Las Vegas aces, which will cement their dynasty in the WNBA and Becky Hammond winning three championships in four years with Aja Wilson.”
PHX 86, LV 97 — Las Vegas Aces margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“i do think the dodgers win but we're gonna go dodgers and the fill and the eagles here to win, like I told you, 11-0 in prime time over the last 11 games for the Eagles against the Giants. They have owned the Giants. Plus 135 for one unit. Philly and the Dodgers. Moneyline Parlay and the under 41 for minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Combined 51; under 41 busts.
“i do think the dodgers win but we're gonna go dodgers and the fill and the eagles here to win, like I told you, 11-0 in prime time over the last 11 games for the Eagles against the Giants. They have owned the Giants. Plus 135 for one unit. Philly and the Dodgers. Moneyline Parlay”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Eagles ML — lost; Los Angeles Dodgers ML — won.
“I'll lay the six and a half with Tulane up against East Carolina. So plays for today, Philly and the Giants under 41. Philly Moneyline, Dodgers Moneyline, Two-Leg Moneyline Parlay at plus 135 for one unit and two lane minus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
TULN 26, ECU 19 — Tulane Green Wave margin +7 vs line -6.5; covers.
“I think Seattle wins. We'll go ahead and take the money here. Take the plus money on Seattle. Mariners, money line, plus 104 for one unit to knock out the Detroit Tigers.”
DET 9, SEA 3 — Seattle Mariners lost; moneyline busts.
“We're taking the Brewers money line. Brewers plus 108 plus money on Quinn Priester to knock out the Cubs, to end the series, to sweep out Chicago.”
CHC 4, MIL 3 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm just going to take the safer way out and give my chance, give myself the chance that maybe the Phillies erupt here and score a bunch of runs and take the over Philly and the Dodgers. We're going to play the over seven and a half at minus 115.”
LAD 2, PHI 8 — Combined 10; over 7.5 covers.
“But I'm just going to bet the over here. Toronto and New York over seven and a half for one point one units for us here today.”
NYY 9, TOR 6 — Combined 15; over 7.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the Rangers on the puck line. I just think it's a 4-1, 4-2 type of win here for the Rangers. I think their offense is going to be potent. I think Jari is still going to be a big problem. I don't want to bet the over five and a half and have this fall 4-1, but let's take the plus money and take the Rangers on the puck line. Rangers plus 120 for one unit to win, lay the one and a half goals with the Rangers at home tonight against the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
NYR 0, PIT 3 — New York Rangers margin -3 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So for me I go the over route and take the over five and a half in case I wrong Kings abs over five and a half at minus 120 for 1 units”
LA 1, COL 4 — Combined 5; over 5.5 busts.
“somewhere in the bottom four, but that's over 79 and a half points. I'm betting the Bruins, give me over the Bruins, 79 and a half points at even money, go against the market, go against what everybody says, just because I think the Bruins are an organization that does not take losing easily in particular in a city like Boston”
Boston finished with 100 points; over 79.5 points won.
“I think Vegas can go ahead and win the Pacific Division. and that's a good bet at plus 165. Let's take it. Vegas to win the Pacific division at plus 165.”
Vegas won the 2025-26 Pacific Division.
“And I going to go with the obvious bet It Quinn Priester taking Quinn Priester I'm taking the Brewers simply on the money line. Mine's 115. I get a reduced price in game two. Brewers money line to beat the Cubs today at 1.15 units.”
MIL 7, CHC 3 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“I get plus money. I think we have to come in here and take the Phillies. This is almost just an automatic play for me. Phillies money line at plus 113 to even up their series at one game piece.”
PHI 3, LAD 4 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to lay the three and a half points here. It may take to the second half. It may be a close first half. And then the second half, the chiefs stretch it out and get the victory. But I'll lay the three and a half points with KC tonight at home on Monday Night Football.”
Kansas City Chiefs was outscored by Jacksonville Jaguars 28-31 in the full scope; the selection lost. (KC 28, JAX 31 (full))
“Cowboys, it's essentially a money line bet here. I think the Cowboys are deeper. Their offense is better. I know it's on the road. It's a day game. Dak loves playing in New York under the bright lights. Let's go ahead and lay the points here. Dak Prescott, minus one and a half for 1.1 units to come in and beat the Jets.”
NYJ 22, DAL 37 — Dallas Cowboys margin +15 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like the Pats to keep the game close in the first half and then maybe get tired again in the second half in Buffalo Patriots plus five and a half in the first half on Sunday night football, the teaser.”
New England Patriots outscored Buffalo Bills 6-3 in the first half scope; the selection won. (NE 6, BUF 3 (first half))
“So I think the Titans might keep the game close or they might get killed, but I think the better play is to tease it down from seven to one. So let's tease it down. Let's go one side of that teaser Colts minus one against the Raiders. Other side of the teeters here, Cardinals minus one home teams in the NFL have absolutely dominated. Let's keep that trend going here with the Colts and the Cardinals here at minus one.”
Indianapolis covered, but Arizona lost outright. (Colts 40-6; Titans 22-21 Cardinals)
“Over eight. Over seven and a half. Hit easily. The Blue Jays got over that themselves yesterday. I'm not saying we're going to see the Blue Jays score 10 again, but I mean, Yankees are good for four to five runs pretty easily here with this. So I'll take the over for the Red Sox for the Yankees and the Blue Jays over eight for one point one units.”
TOR 13, NYY 7 — Combined 20; over 8 covers.
“Home dog at plus four and a half. Miami's first road game. Yes, please. Give me Miami. Sorry. Excuse me. Give me Florida State. Plus the points. plus four and a half for FSU here for 1.1 units.”
FSU 22, MIA 28 — Florida State Seminoles margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I think the best play in the game is the over. I think we see points. I think we see offense. I think this is going to be the most fun game of the day. Don't put anything past Diego Pavia. Don't be surprised if they do it again. But Vandy's been upsetting teams at home, not on the road. This is at Bear Bryant Stadium. This is Bryant Denny. This is a rocking 100,000 fan atmosphere. Alabama is looking for payback after what happened last year. And so is Kellen DeBoer. You don't think these guys have their focus on Vanderbilt? They will be ready for the doors coming up here today. I think the best play of the game is bet the over. Forget the side, bet the over. Bama, Vandy, over 56.”
ALA 30, VAN 14 — Combined 44; over 56 busts.
“And I'll lay the five points with Texas. Texas minus five for 1.1 units.”
FLA 29, TEX 21 — Texas Longhorns margin -8 vs line -5; busts.
“While it's a little expensive, it's game one. It's at home. It's a lefty. It's the Brewers. Milwaukee money line at minus 150 for one point.”
MIL 9, CHC 3 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking the over. I think we see runs here. Blue Jays, Yankees over seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
TOR 10, NYY 1 — Combined 11; over 7.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the Mercury. Give me the dog. A plus three and a half up against Vegas. I just don't think there's a lot of good mojo going towards the aces here. I know they're at home, but like this is a game where maybe they exhale a little bit after a really hard fought series against a team in Indiana that should have been a relatively easy series given the injuries that Indiana had. Give me the Mercury in game one. Phoenix plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
LV 89, PHX 86 — Phoenix Mercury margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Lay the 19 points with BYU here to go ahead and take care of business. Again, I don't like laying 19, but West Virginia, we've been against them the last two weeks. Let's been against them again. Keep it rolling. BYU minus 19 for 1.1 units. So just two plays for us here on a Friday. The Mercury plus three and a half for 1.1 units and BYU minus 19 also at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
BYU 38, WVU 24 — BYU Cougars margin +14 vs line -19; busts.
“I got seven. I'm taking the guardians to win this game. I think the bullpen arms, I think they'll do enough, but I think it's like a 3-1 or a 3-2 win for the Cleveland Guardians here today. It's going to be a hard-fought, tight, stress-induced baseball game, but I don't like Jack Flaherty today, and I think the bullpen, even if Ciccone pitches well, I think the bullpen comes in early for the Guardians. I think they get the W here. I'm going money line with the Guardians at minus 105, and the Cleveland and Detroit under seven at minus 110 for 1.1 unit.”
Cleveland Guardians was outscored by Detroit Tigers 3-6 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CLE 3, DET 6 (full))
“I got seven. I'm taking the guardians to win this game. I think the bullpen arms, I think they'll do enough, but I think it's like a 3-1 or a 3-2 win for the Cleveland Guardians here today. It's going to be a hard-fought, tight, stress-induced baseball game, but I don't like Jack Flaherty today, and I think the bullpen, even if Ciccone pitches well, I think the bullpen comes in early for the Guardians. I think they get the W here. I'm going money line with the Guardians at minus 105, and the Cleveland and Detroit under seven at minus 110 for 1.1 unit.”
The full total was 9; under 7 lost. (CLE 3, DET 6; total 9 (full))
“I'll leave the seven and a half Rams minus seven and a half against the 49ers tonight for 1.1 units.”
LAR 23, SF 26 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line -7.5; busts.
“And then I'm going to tease it down. I'm going to pull the Rams down to minus one and a half. Six point teaser. Take the Rams down again. I don't I think they cover seven and a half. I think it's an easy tease in case we get that wrong. They win by seven. We get hooked. At least we pull it down to one and a half and we'll take the Rams there. What's the other side? Well, the other side is the worst team in football, and that's the Titans, who I've been saying this all week. I find it hysterical that Brian Callahan gave up the play calling duties against the Texans. And they went down there and scored a grand total of zero points. Zero points. The Titans are two and 15 against the number in their last 17 games. The Titans over the last 25 games are 4-20-1 against the spread. That's the worst mark for any team in the wildcard era. The Titans have 51 points through four games and three touchdowns. Since 2012, only three teams have had 51 or less points with three touchdowns or less through the first four games of the season in 2020, 2019, and 2013. and they all had first year head coaches that were doing it. Now, Kyler Murray is not great as a favorite. I'll give you this. Kyler Murray, this is the biggest line for him to be a favorite since 2021. He'll be a seven point favorite or higher, seven and a half. As a home favorite, Kyler Murray is nine and 14 against the spread in his career. That's not good, but the Titans stink. So what are we doing? Well, we're teasing it. Seven and a half down to one and a half. the Cardinals. I don't believe we're going to lose this game. I would be shocked if they lose this game. Cardinals should win this game and win this game going away against a really, really bad Titans team. So essentially a straight up play, but we're going to tease it. We're going to go with the Rams on Thursday night and minus one and a half and the Cardinals down to minus one from seven down to one for minus one twenty five.”
The Rams and Cardinals both lost outright. (49ers 26-23 Rams; Titans 22-21 Cardinals)
“I'm going to back Tanner Beebe. I'm going to back the Guardians to at least get more than a run here today. The Guardians to win on the money line here for today at minus 120.”
Cleveland Guardians outscored Detroit Tigers 6-1 in the full scope; the selection won. (CLE 6, DET 1 (full))
“I'm going to take the Cubs to end the series here. Cubs money line at minus one 12.”
Chicago Cubs was outscored by San Diego Padres 0-3 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CHC 0, SD 3 (full))
“But I'm going to lay it with the Dodgers run line Dodgers. So the plays for today on a Wednesday, Cleveland money line minus 120 Cubs money line minus 112 and the Dodgers run line at minus 120 here.”
Los Angeles Dodgers outscored Cincinnati Reds 8-4 in the full scope; the selection won. (LAD 8, CIN 4 (full))
“We're coming in here. Guardians, tigers, first five under three and a half at minus one 30 second game of the day.”
The first five innings total was 2; under 3.5 won. (CLE 1, DET 1; total 2 (first five innings))
“I like Matthew Boyd. I know he's a lefty, but I like Matthew Boyd. I like the Cubs' money line. We're betting the Cubs on the money line. It's basically just a pick. Minus 110, minus 112. Cubs, money line for 1.12 units to win game one.”
Chicago Cubs outscored San Diego Padres 3-1 in the full scope; the selection won. (CHC 3, SD 1 (full))
“we know about crochet we know about his propensity to give up home runs short porch and right field Aaron Judge in the lineup for the Yankees we know the Red Sox mash against left-handed pitching and Max Fried has been good against the Red Sox this year but the Red Sox have hit him pretty well as well two runs two two after five and we're good because the total is three and a half let's bet the over Red Sox Yankees first five over three and a half three to one and we're there as well”
The first five innings total was 1; over 3.5 lost. (NYY 1, BOS 0; total 1 (first five innings))
“Run line Dodgers on the run line. You get plus money on top of that as well. at plus 115.”
Los Angeles Dodgers outscored Cincinnati Reds 10-5 in the full scope; the selection won. (LAD 10, CIN 5 (full))
“I'm going to go over 44, but buy it down at minus 125. Circus Sports, not expensive, minus 125 for me here in Vegas to go ahead and buy it. I bought it down to minus 125 and went over 44.”
MIA 27, NYJ 21 — Combined 48; over 44 covers.
“And that's why the Broncos will win this. Denver's been very good at home. They're eight and one straight up over their last nine games at home. I think they win and they'll cover seven. I'm going to buy it off of seven and a half and buy it down. You don't have to. OK, but this podcast is what I am betting. So I'm going to bet it down to seven. I don't want to lose on a hook. And it's only minus 130 on a money.”
DEN 28, CIN 3 — Denver Broncos margin +25 vs line -7; covers.
“So I'm going to take the Padres to win the national league, just to get to the world series. At most books, it's seven and a half to one. I think this is a very smart strategic play. We have guaranteed ourselves one half of the National League Championship Series. And it's because we're set up so well here with the Cubs and the Brewers from a money standpoint So let go ahead and jump in on that at plus 750 for one unit for the Padres to win the National League”
San Diego did not win the 2025 NL pennant.
“I'll lay the two and a half points. Vikings minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Minnesota Vikings margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I just not interested in going near the spread here It too large for a division game So let talk about the total over 44 and a half at minus 110”
DET 34, CLE 10 — Combined 44; over 44.5 busts.
“I'll lay the three and a half begrudgingly. I'd rather lay three. But I'm not buying points because of what happened yesterday. I'm not interested in laying more juice than I have to. So Rams minus three and a half at even money.”
LAR 27, IND 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.
“Tease it down. Chargers minus half a point. Tease with the Patriots for them catching a half a point for a two leg six six point teaser for us. Patriots Chargers.”
New England won, but the Chargers lost outright. (Patriots 42-13; Giants 21-18 Chargers)
“I'm going to lay the 12 and a half points. I know it's a big number. I don't like laying it, but I'm going to do it anyway. Utah minus 12 and a half for 1.1 units.”
WVU 14, UTAH 48 — Utah Utes margin +34 vs line -12.5; covers.
“I'm not in love with Rocco Becht. I don't love him as a quarterback. I just don't really know how potent this offense is. The wide receivers are okay. The running game is kind of blah. I'm not a huge fan of what's going on with Matt Campbell's team. I think they win the game, but I think the total is too heavy. 48 and a half is a pretty big total here for these teams. I just going to ride it here. Three and oh and three and one to the under for both these two teams. Let's take the under Iowa State, Arizona under 48 and a half for 1.1 units.”
ISU 39, ARIZ 14 — Combined 53; under 48.5 busts.
“But if LSU can get the lead early, use their defense and ride it, I'll take the two points. I also like the two points because of overtime, potentially with two point plays, maybe being the determining factor. LSU plus two from an insurance standpoint. I like it. LSU plus two on the road against Ole Miss.”
MISS 24, LSU 19 — LSU Tigers margin -5 vs line +2; busts.
“I like a shootout here in Athens. We have seen Georgia dominate at home. The Georgia Bulldogs have won every game at home since 2019 when they lost in double overtime to South Carolina. It's been a long time since they lost a game. I think that Alabama will have a shot here, but I like the over. I like over 52 and a half points a lot here in this football game. I think we're seeing offense. Bama, Georgia, over 52 and a half for 1.1 units.”
The full total was 45; over 52.5 lost. (UGA 21, ALA 24; total 45 (full))
“I don't like James Franklin on neutral fields. I don't like James Franklin in the playoffs, but James Franklin at home at night in a whiteout, I'll buy the hook. I'll get off the three and a half and buy it down at minus 130 and I'll pay the juice. Penn State minus three up against Oregon for 1.1 units.”
PSU 24, ORE 30 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -6 vs line -3; busts.
“So the tie refunds don't bet the three-way market, but the two-way market. If a tie of these, if they tie, we get a refund. Oh, Berg Fitzpatrick to lose to Scheffler and Russell Henley. That is a minus one 66 bet. We're betting that for 1.6 units down for Scotty and Henley money line. Win the match. If they tie, we get our money back. They lose, we lose, but 1.66.”
Åberg/Fitzpatrick won the Ryder Cup match 5-and-3. (Europe 5&3)
“I'm going to bet the over. Let's go over 60, Florida State and Virginia.”
UVA 46, FSU 38 — Combined 84; over 60 covers.
“give me the Brewers, give me Quinn Priester, give me the run line. It's just a principal play. You can say, well, Matt, eventually he's going to lose. Sure. Eventually he's going to lose, but right now we're going run line plus one 30 for one unit for Quinn Priester here in the Milwaukee Brewers.”
MIL 1, CIN 3 — Milwaukee Brewers margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So this is a good time here to avoid the Red Sox and the Tigers, but take the Guardians who are trying to win the division here. Money line on the Guardians to get a win here today, minus 139 for 1.39 units.”
CLE 3, TEX 7 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“So our two bets on the game coming up here for today. Seattle minus one for the game. Seahawks minus a half a point for the first half.”
Seattle Seahawks outscored Arizona Cardinals 23-20 in the full scope; the selection won. (SEA 23, ARI 20 (full))
“I'm just going to go ahead and lay the one with Seattle for the game and take the plus 105 at a half a unit. They must be winning by any denomination, but Seattle winning at halftime in the first half at plus money. So our two bets on the game coming up here for today. Seattle minus one for the game. Seahawks minus a half a point for the first half.”
Seattle Seahawks outscored Arizona Cardinals 14-3 in the first half scope; the selection won. (SEA 14, ARI 3 (first half))
“then a top of the 11th run for the pirates and then win the game four to three I just can see the reds losing it again So I don want to lay one 60 So I just take a shot on the run line here Reds on the run line to win the game, lay the one and a half just because I can't see them losing another game. I can't, they may win by one. I lose the bet, but at plus one 34, I think it's too tasty for a red steam. It's the first game of the day. It's really early day game, warm temperatures, Ball is going to fly. I think the Reds score a bunch of runs, the Reds on the run line at plus 134 for one unit.”
Cincinnati Reds outscored Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CIN 2, PIT 1 (full))
“I'm betting the Guardians. Let keep the misery going here for the Detroit Tigers Guardians money line at minus 120”
CLE 5, DET 1 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“Go ahead and bet the under, and that might be the play, but I'm going to bank on an offense here at Toronto, given how much better the Blue Jays are at home over seven and a half and minus 119 for the Red Sox and the Blue Jays.”
TOR 1, BOS 7 — Combined 8; over 7.5 covers.
“The bullpen comes in. Don't trust the bullpen. Give me the Reds in the money line to beat Pittsburgh at minus 111.”
CIN 3, PIT 4 — Cincinnati Reds lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going under under 166 for the Vegas Aces and the Indiana Fever in game two of their best of five series in the semifinals of the WNBA.”
LV 90, IND 68 — Combined 158; under 166 covers.
“We're going to play the under under six and a half at minus one 10. I know that's super low. It could be super sweaty, but I think we're in for an old fashioned baseball pick pitchers duel here to one guardians tiger, somewhere in that range under six and a half.”
CLE 5, DET 2 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“I'll take a shot here. We're going to go under, under 10 and a half A's and the Astros. Again, a playoff game for the Astros. They need to keep pace, but the A's are going to play tooth and nail. I just watched them play the Red Sox 10 and a half. I know it's a home run hitting ballpark, but it's a big number. This isn't course field 10 and a half. Give me the under. under 10 and a half.”
The full total was 6; under 10.5 won. (ATH 5, HOU 1; total 6 (full))
“Look, this is too tasty. Take the Ravens down to plus a half a point. If it goes to six, pull it down to a pick just for the Ravens to win the game. And then same game, tease it, take the total from 53 down to 47 and bet over 53 and a half down to 47 and a half and bet over. I know the game between the Bears and the Cowboys didn go over but it should have gone over Patriots game should have gone over yesterday I think this game is going to be full of offense with the Lions and the Ravens here for today We know that Dan Campbell is really good After when his team starts rolling offensively, I think more offense will come here. The Ravens not great defensively so far to start the year, but their offense has been very, very good. We're going to go Ravens plus half a point crossing zero, but I don't care. Ravens pick them basically and then over 47 for minus 1.23 units.”
Baltimore failed +0.5; the total went over. (Lions 38, Ravens 30)
“That's the Ravens plus half a point tees with the over to 47, teasing it down and go over Ravens team total over 29 and a half at minus 113 and Jared Goff over 260 passing yards at minus 114.”
Baltimore Ravens scored 30 in the full scope; over 29.5 won. (Baltimore Ravens 30 (full))
“We're going to go Jared Goff over 206 and a half passing yards at minus 114.”
BAL 30, DET 38 — Jared Goff: 202 passing_yards vs over 206.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 202 passing_yards)
“Give me the seven points. I think the Jets can keep it close with their defense. I think it's a low scoring game. I think Baker Mayfield may struggle here. I like the Jets at plus seven. Jets plus seven. I bought it up minus 135.”
TB 29, NYJ 27 — New York Jets margin -2 vs line +7; covers.
“I'm going to lay the three points, Washington minus three to beat the Raiders here today.”
WSH 41, LV 24 — Washington Commanders margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
“I'm just going to lay the seven points. I don't think the Saints have anything for it here on the road. I like Seattle. I'll lay the seven Seahawks minus seven for one point one units.”
SEA 44, NO 13 — Seattle Seahawks margin +31 vs line -7; covers.
“I'm back in Oklahoma. Let's lay the six and a half points here with OU at home and this defense. I don't think Auburn has much of a shot offensively here to move the ball. And Oklahoma will do enough with John Mateer throwing the football to cover. Oklahoma minus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
Oklahoma Sooners outscored Auburn Tigers 24-17 in the full scope; the selection won. (OU 24, AUB 17 (full))
“I'm going to lay it. I don't love the number, but I'm going to lay it seven and a half Miami to win this game by 10 points, much like yesterday or last week, rather, you know, a 20 to 10, 24, 10, somewhere in that range for the Miami hurricanes to win and cover a seven and a half point line up against Florida.”
MIA 26, FLA 7 — Miami Hurricanes margin +19 vs line -7.5; covers.
“I think KU gets a W here and I'm going to lay the number. This is a big number. I don't like laying big numbers. I normally don't, but I think KU at home, it's going to be too much for West Virginia, just given what they look like the last time they went on the road. We'll go KU minus 12 for 1.1 units.”
KU 41, WVU 10 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +31 vs line -12; covers.
“The best play is to play the over. Let's go points for Michigan and Nebraska over 47 and a half.”
NEB 27, MICH 30 — Combined 57; over 47.5 covers.
“I'm going to play the under. Let's go under 46. Iowa and Rutgers tonight under 46 in New Jersey for 1.1 units.”
RUTG 28, IOWA 38 — Combined 66; under 46 busts.
“But from a Boston perspective they have to win every game started by Garrett Crochet Like they just simply cannot afford to lose and the price is really too good not to play it Red Sox money line minus 130 for 1 units up against Tampa today”
TB 7, BOS 11 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“Let's ride it here. Let's continue with that. And let's jump in with the under nine for the Orioles and the Yankees today. 1.1 units down on that.”
BAL 4, NYY 2 — Combined 6; under 9 covers.
“But let's take a shot here with the Brewers and the run line. Plus 115 for the Brewers on the run line. One unit down. Have them win by lay the one and a half runs. Have them go ahead, win by two or more here to keep it rolling here.”
Milwaukee Brewers outscored Los Angeles Angels 5-2 in the full scope; the selection won. (MIL 5, LAA 2 (full))
“James Cook to get a ton of usage tonight. James Cook over 15 and a half rushing attempts at plus 106. That's available at Fandle. You can go ahead and jump in on that. That's one play. Bet that to win a half a unit.”
James Cook recorded 19 rushing attempts, over 15.5. (James Cook: 19 rushing attempts)
“Devon A-chain under five and a half receptions at minus 105. It hit in the last game. It didn't hit in the first game. This has been basically 50% hitting for him with the line being five and a half. That number at minus 105 is available at a hard rock bet under five and a half receptions for Devon A-chain. That is also to be bet to win a half a unit.”
Achane caught seven passes, exceeding under 5.5. (7 receptions)
“So bills minus five and a half and the over 43 and a half here for the bills and the dolphins. So bills five and a half over 43 and a half shop around on prices. This is one option at minus one twenty three where you guys can go and take a look at different plays.”
Bills -5.5 and over 43.5 both won. (Bills 31, Dolphins 21; total 52)
“But right now, let's take the 50. Let's jump in on it now before it goes over there. Forty nine and a half Dallas Cowboys and the Chicago Bears over forty nine and a half. Let's have a 50 point. You know, let's go over 50 here. minus 108 at 1.08 units.”
CHI 31, DAL 14 — Combined 45; over 49.5 busts.
“It a six point spread Pull it down to a pick Take the take the Chiefs to cover So we going Green Bay minus one and a half Teased with the Green Bay Packers. Sorry, with the Casey Chiefs down to a pick.”
Green Bay lost its teaser leg; Kansas City won. (Browns 13-10 Packers; Chiefs 22-9 Giants)
“I'm going to go ahead and lay it with the Vegas Aces minus five for minus one ten Vegas for one point one units for Vegas to win game two and cover and send themselves off into the second round of the WNBA playoffs.”
SEA 86, LV 83 — Las Vegas Aces margin -3 vs line -5; busts.
“We'll take the Red Sox on the run line here. Red Sox run line at plus 130 for one unit to win in laying that one and a half runs.”
BOS 1, ATH 2 — Boston Red Sox margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“So there's just a lot of reasons to bet the Dodgers here today up against the Phillies and the price is too good to pass up. Dodgers minus 120. Sorry, minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
LAD 6, PHI 9 — Los Angeles Dodgers lost; moneyline busts.
“So I'm going to follow that. It's only one and a half. First half Texans minus one and a half. it's minus 108 at draft kings not a bad bet to get into hard rock's got it as well you can go and find this at a decent price minus 108 i'm in new hampshire so i don't have access to hard rock at the moment but draft kings i have access to minus 108 draft kings for the first half to kind of follow the game script as to what we've seen over the last couple of months go with that and so we go with a Texans team in the first half at minus one and a half to have the lead at the break”
Houston Texans was outscored by Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-14 in the first half scope; the selection lost. (HOU 10, TB 14 (first half))
“And that's the other side of the teaser. OK, so the other side of the teaser is Bucks plus eight and a half over 40 and a half for the Raiders and the Chargers. I think we do see offense and then we do see scoring here tonight. And this game goes over 40 and a half for the Bucks and sorry for the Chargers and the Raiders.”
Tampa covered, but Raiders-Chargers over 40.5 lost. (Bucs 20-19; Chargers 20-9 Raiders)
“I'm going to take the points. Give me a home dog in the NFL. I'll take the points. Raiders plus three and a half with a shot to win the game late.”
Las Vegas Raiders was outscored by Los Angeles Chargers 9-20 in the full scope; the selection lost. (LV 9, LAC 20 (full))
“Justin Herbert with 10 touchdown tosses to three interceptions in Allegiant Stadium. I think that continues. I think Herbert will throw a lot here. I like Justin Herbert to go over one and a half touchdown tosses at minus 125 for 0.63 units. Bet that to win a half a unit.”
2 passing TD; over 1.5 won. (2 passing TD)
“And it's the same thing. It's going to be a rinse and repeat situation when it comes to Ashton Gentry. I like Ashton Gentry anytime touchdown to have him score here in the red zone. We took it in week one. It cashed. I'm taking it in week two. I think it'll cash. He's the second option. Hampton's the number one option for any time touchdown on the board. Gentry's number two. I think he will get the football either in a screen. He'll get a football and a draw. He'll be the red zone bell cow for this offense. We saw it in week one. I like the over. So I like offense. Ashton Gentry minus 110 to get into the end zone. Bet that to win a half a unit for us here on Monday.”
0 rushing/receiving touchdowns; anytime-TD prop lost. (0 TD)
“I was going to fade the Patriots. OK, I was going to. I was all set, ready to go and fade the Patriots. The moves are all over the place. I like the total being low and giving the Patriots eight and a half points. I think if the Patriots lose, they don't get killed. it's really hard to back a Dolphins team that appears just to be an absolute dumpster fire on every level and while the Patriots are going down there and it's hard to play in September the Patriots should be able to improve upon what happened in week number one and the Cowboys I don't think Mike McDaniel really has a grasp I look at some of the numbers I mean they didn't just lose last week to the Colts they were dominated on every level and yes are coming back home and yes, it's a divisional game. And I don't know if they want to play for Mike McDaniel. I don't. And I can't back. I can't lay points here. Just like what I talked about with the with K-State over the weekend. I was like, I can't you can't lay points with K-State with it. There are dumpster fire and they went and lost to Arizona. I feel the same same way with the Dolphins. You can't lay points with the Dolphins. If this teaser loses because the Dolphins win by 10, so be it. I was wrong and my gut instinct probably was right. And at some point during the game, I'll probably live bet it to get out of the teaser on the Patriots side of things on the Patriots leg. But I'm going to tease Patriots up to eight and a half. I mean, the total is really low. It's 43. So I think it's a really good use of six points that this is probably going to be like a 2417 type football game here on some level and going over a touchdown gives the Patriots, you know, enough here to cover the eight and a half Patriots first leg plus eight and a half. On the flip side, I'm going to go and look, I am fading the Giants. I'm going to fade the Titans. I'm going to fade the Bears. I'm fading bad teams here in week two. I'm going to trust my own research. I'm going to trust my own handicapping as I went into the year. Teams I was going to look to fade the Jaguars, like teams I was going to look to fade this year. I'm going to follow my own thoughts. I have a whole little chart written down and teams I want to fade. and 100% I want to fade the Titans. The Rams haven't had that much of a problem going east under Sean McVay. They're actually 18 and nine against the number on the road in the on the East Coast. And they were six, two and one over the last two years, according to the Action Network. So they've been pretty good going east. McVay is facing a first round pick, number one pick overall, rookie quarterback. And I think with this defense, with the way that they've, excuse me, the way that they've played, I think it's going to be tough. I think it's going to be tough for Cam Ward here. I think he's going to get pressured. I think he'll throw interceptions. I like Sean McVay in this system. I like what the offense liked it enough in the home opener for the Rams. I just don't like the Titans. I just don't like the Titans at all. And I mean, Stafford and McVay have been very good together. and when they're favored, it's kind of crazy. They're 31 and 9 straight up as favorites. When Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay are together, I'm going to tease it down and make it plus a half a point. Number is five and a half. Tease it down. I don't care about crossing zero in this case. It's just a pick them. Rams to win the game. First teaser of the day. We're going Pats plus eight and a half And the Rams a half a point or a pick here for one point two units.”
Both teaser legs won outright. (Patriots 33-27; Rams 33-19)
“played on Monday night. The Bears and Caleb Williams have had this happen three times where they played on short rest They 0 straight up losing by an average margin of over 13 points Give me the Lions Lions minus six here I'll lay less than a touchdown for the Lions. Minus six up against the Bears here today.”
DET 52, CHI 21 — Detroit Lions margin +31 vs line -6; covers.
“They currently sit at three. That's the number we want to go and get. Three. Hard Rock bet. Three for this. Bengals. Burrow. At home. The Bengals haven't been good. in week one, week two. I'll give you that, but I'm going to fade the Jaguars more because it's not a divisional game. And I think the Jaguars are going to be in for it here. Trevor Lawrence has now covered five straight games. Four of those games have been at home. Jaguars on the road, whole different story. Jaguars have been bad when they are on the road under one Mr. Trevor Lawrence. It's Liam Cohen. It's his first road game. And it's the home opener where you've seen a lot of talk from the head coach, Zach Taylor, to the fans to get their butts into seats early for the home opener. He wants it loud early in this game. He wants the fans involved early in this game. I think Cincinnati, they didn't do it last week. I backed him last week. I'm going to back him again for one more week. Maybe I'm an idiot. Maybe I shouldn't do it. Maybe it's going to burn me. But at three, I think this is a good opportunity. I think Chase Brown has a big game running the football. I don't mind the under in this game either, but running the football. And I think you see Joe Burrow and company bust out. I think you're going to see the offense bust out. I think you'll see this defense for the Jaguars get taken apart a little bit here in this game. Home crowd, Joe Burrow. I like this team today. The numbers aren't great, by the way. Burroughs three and eight ATS in the first two games of the regular season. That's not great. Everything else is 43, 22 and one. So it's a bit dangerous. Burroughs, when he's a favorite in the first two games of the year, is oh and six against the spread, failing to cover by almost 11 points. First three games, Burroughs one, seven and one ATS as a favorite. He's a favorite here today. I'm going against all of that because I thought last week was going to be the time. It wasn't. Maybe this time. This time could be the time we're going with Cincinnati minus three at home up against the up against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Cincinnati Bengals outscored Jacksonville Jaguars 31-27 in the full scope; the selection won. (CIN 31, JAX 27 (full))
“I think it's going to be a very low scoring game, a very hard fought game. And I'm going to go ahead and lay the under and take the under under 43 and a half. You know, 44 is a key number. So if you see 44 is in the market, jump on it. But open up at 44 and a half. First move was to the under at 43 and a half. I think that's the right side. We'll go under 43 and a half here for the Broncos and the Colts.”
IND 29, DEN 28 — Combined 57; under 43.5 busts.
“Again, this is hard rock bet, but you've got a three in the marketplace. Go and get it. Vikings minus three here tonight. 1.2 units.”
MIN 6, ATL 22 — Minnesota Vikings margin -16 vs line -3; busts.
“Number two, Red Sox win tonight against the Yankees. It's Max Fried. We're going to fade Fried. Red Sox didn't look great yesterday, the win for the Yankees, but the Red Sox pitching did pretty well. I like Bayou. I like Bayou at home against Max Fried, Red Sox, even up the series at one game apiece here today. So there are your baseball plays.”
BOS 3, NYY 5 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to go against the grain a little bit here, and I'm taking the Gators. Plus seven and a half, Florida, plus seven and a half for 1.1 units up against LSU.”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — Florida Gators margin -10 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Give me the Vols. I'll take Tennessee at home. Tennessee plus four and a half at minus 110.”
TENN 41, UGA 44 — Tennessee Volunteers margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.
“And I think TJ Carr has a big game here. I think the Irish redemption here, they get the W. I like Marcus Freeman at home. It a Saturday night atmosphere in South Bend I don love laying six and a half but I going to do it The Irish minus six and a half for 1 units”
ND 40, TA&M 41 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin -1 vs line -6.5; busts.
“South Carolina probably wins the game, but I want over a field goal. Three and a half are in the market. Go and get it. It won't stun me if Diego Pavia gets a victory here today. And we keep talking about Diego Pavia. Vandy plus three and a half for one point one units.”
SC 7, VAN 31 — Vanderbilt Commodores margin +24 vs line +3.5; covers.
“So there's really only one game in college football tonight that I think is worth looking at and worth betting. And that is Kansas State on the road against Arizona. Now, look, this is not last year's Arizona. There is no Tett McMillan on this team. So I'll give anyone that wants to come back and say, well, wait a minute. This is a different type of Arizona team. This is not last year. But they do have a veteran quarterback. They are 2-0 and they are playing at home. Kansas State has been traveling all over the world, literally. They went to Ireland and looked like crap against Iowa State. They just lost to Army last week. This feels a lot like Chris Kleiman's team spent the summer reading press clippings about how good they were going to be and why K-State was going to win the Big 12 and why K-State was a sleeper to get to the college football playoff and why Avery Johnson was going to be a Heisman Trophy candidate. Because they have played just lackadaisical football. And they have been sloppy and they just haven't looked good. And I don know how in the world you comfortable laying points on the road with Kansas State right now Like I don know what at what point other than like your back is against the wall There's a gun to your head. And so you're like, OK, K-State's going to finally put it all together in case it's going to wind up beating Arizona on the road. I don't see it and I don't think it's going to happen. I mean, the number is one and a half. Some books have already gone to pick. So the money is clearly coming in here on on Arizona. And I love looking at like different predictions from writers just because they've got their finger on the pulse. Even Kansas State writers are taking Arizona to win this game here tonight. Like they don't even believe in what's going on here. And look, I get it. Avery Johnson may have a really big game and he could completely take over. but I get points and I get to fade a K-State team that I'm not so sure that they're motivated. There may be something going on with that team. Maybe Avery Johnson has been a pain in the neck, you know, about being a Heisman Trophy candidate. This is a conference game for Arizona. It's a home game. It's a Friday night game. So another road trip to go on the road. They just lost to Army at home. I don't know how you go. All right. This team in Kansas State loses 24 to 21 to a lackluster Army team at home. And then they go on the road and you go, oh, well, they were overlooking it. They beat North Dakota 38, 35. That's their only win on the year was over North Dakota. And it wasn't like a easy win over North Dakota. They lost to Iowa State. They barely beat North Dakota. They lost to Army. Sorry, I'm not laying points with Kansas State. Something's wrong with Chris Kleiman's team. I'm taking Arizona. Give me the points. Arizona plus one and a half at home tonight. Late night on the West Coast up against Kansas State. I'll take the Wildcats. Arizona plus one and a half for one unit.”
ARIZ 23, KSU 17 — Arizona Wildcats margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“for tonight, we're going to come in here and we're going to bet run line. Brewers run line with Priester. It's too expensive to bet money line, unfortunately. So we got to go and roll the dice here a little bit. But like I said, he was very good in August on the run line and Palente was not. We're going plus 115. That should be one unit. Sorry, not 1.5. That's one unit Brewers run line for one unit here tonight up against the St. Louis Cardinals.”
MIL 8, STL 2 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +6 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I just think the under eight is a better way of looking at this, given the starting pitching, given that it's Rogers, given that it's Bassett, given that it's an important game here for the Blue Jays. I just don't think we see a ton of offense here. We're going to jump in on the under eight and minus 115 for Toronto and Baltimore.”
TOR 6, BAL 1 — Combined 7; under 8 covers.
“I like it at plus 240. Jacory Krosky Merritt, anytime touchdown at plus 240. Let throw a half a unit down on that to see if we can hit anytime touchdown for the breakout star running back that everybody on the fantasy side has been drooling about He did nothing but live up to that hype in week one against the Giants Let get another one here for Kroski Merritt Anytime touchdown at plus 240 for a half a unit”
0 rushing/receiving touchdowns; anytime-TD prop lost. (0 TD)
“But so let's maybe get some play action instead. Jordan Love to throw two touchdowns is plus 105 at Hard Rock Bet. More on them here in just one second. Let's go Jordan Love over one and a half touchdown tosses tonight at plus 105.”
2 passing TD; over 1.5 won. (2 passing TD)
“And we're going to go ahead and get a really good price on this. I actually am kind of stunned at the price, to be quite honest. I thought we would have to pay a lot more on the juice perspective to come in on this. But Strider, I guess because he's at home, I think they pitch is better. Cubs money line minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
ATL 1, CHC 6 — Chicago Cubs won; moneyline covers.
“I expect Boston to win at least two of the games, if not all three, up against the A's to bounce back after the disappointing performance against the Diamondbacks. Red Sox money line is minus 105. Maybe Dustin may pitch as well. Maybe he doesn't need to. Maybe the Red Sox just go ahead and win the game. It could be a high-scoring game, but Red Sox money line at minus 105.”
ATH 0, BOS 6 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“That's the right one. Pirates run line up plus 120. One unit down on the Pirates to win on the run line on the road, which is even better. We got Paul Skeens against the Orioles. Even better. Pirates have been scoring a bunch of runs lately. They've been scoring a bunch of runs for Paul Skeens. I'm not going to overthink it. Let's go ahead and jump in here with today on a Wednesday, Paul Skeens Pirates run line for us for one unit.”
BAL 2, PIT 1 — Pittsburgh Pirates margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But for right now, give me let's lay the points with the Packers here at home. I think Washington is a tough task. This is a tall task on Thursday. We know what Thursday night football oftentimes looks like. You're going on the road to Lambeau. You're going on the road to a Packer team that has not traveled, that has slept in their own beds for quite a while. And you've got to travel after playing a game on Sunday, a divisional game on top of that against the Giants. It's a lot to ask of the commanders. Lay it three and a half Packers at home minus three and a half for one point one units.”
GB 27, WSH 18 — Green Bay Packers margin +9 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I don't get the total coming down, but I'm going to take it and be the beneficiary of it. I think we see a lot of points here. NC State's laying seven and a half points. I think we're going to see an old fashioned ACC barn burner between these two. And I'm actually really excited to watch this game and how this game will be played. Wake Forest at home. I think NC State on the road will score. I think Wake Forest at home means that they're going to score. I don't like NC State's defense. Winston Salem gets a point show here over 51 and a half for NC State and Wake Forest in the ACC will play over on Thursday for 1.1 units.”
WAKE 24, NCSU 34 — Combined 58; over 51.5 covers.
“I'm not going to play around with the points, though. I think it's easier just to bet money line. Vikings on the money line. We're laying that at minus. And you can shop around and find that. But minus 115 is what I grabbed. Vikings money line at minus 115.”
CHI 24, MIN 27 — Minnesota Vikings won; moneyline covers.
“Now for the props, using the prop bet cheat sheet, the one prop bet cheat sheet play that the prop bet cheat sheet likes a lot, five-star play is JJ McCarthy to go under 18 and a half yards rushing. And I think there's a lot of logic to this. This is a 67% cover probability. it's a 26% plus expected value, five-star rated. Why? Well, JJ is not going to look to run all that much. It's his first game playing after the injury. And I don't think the team's going to want him to try to go and pick up first downs with his legs. He can run, he can move, but picking up four or five yards here and there, it's fine. The prop number is set at 18 and a half. The projection is 11 and a half for JJ McCarthy for rush numbers. And I think it's just a logical play to say bet the under. Now, I've been betting full units while I was gone. I bet full units. I'm not going to do that here tonight just because I think we went like two and two. The prop bet cheat sheet needs more information. It needs more data to get really accurate for the bets. So I'm going to go back to just betting it to win a half a unit, but I'm going to follow the prop bet cheat sheet and I'm going to go with JJ McCarthy under 18 and a half yards rushing here. And it's pretty, it's not bad. minus 115 the price not horrible to do that so to bet that to win a half a unit mccarthy under 18 and a half yards rushing”
CHI 24, MIN 27 — J.J. McCarthy: 25 rushing_yards vs under 18.5; busts. (J.J. McCarthy: 25 rushing_yards)
“and on the same level take the half a unit we don't leave half units behind obviously and i think it's worth the shot to go jj mccarthy over one and a half passing touchdowns kevin o'connell is a quarterback whisperer he's got a ridiculous receiving core that he's passing to got a secondary for the bears that's notorious for giving up big plays Why not? It's plus money at plus 109. You might be able to get a better price, better plus price than me on this. Let's take the half unit. Go J.J. McCarthy to throw over one and a half touchdown tosses at plus 109 for a half a unit.”
2 passing TD; over 1.5 won. (2 passing TD)
“Give me this Brewers team with Quintana on the mound against Jacob Latz winning three games in a row. I'm going money line. Let's go money line. Keep rolling with the Brewers. They've been so profitable for us. They've made us so much money. I bet them yesterday. They won yesterday going away against the against the Pirates. They dominated Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh. Let's keep it rolling here with The Brewers on the money line for 1.25 units.”
TEX 5, MIL 0 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I don't get the number coming down to 50 and a half, but I'm going to bet the over. I just think tempo and scoring. I, the team with the ball last wins this game. I think we're going to see a whole lot of offense between these two. I would be surprised if we see a low scoring game. It's just not really what either team does for KU or for Missouri. 31-7 against Fresno in the first game with Kansas State. Sorry, with Kansas rather all over Fresno State. We were on KU in that game. Look, I think KU is going to have a real good shot here. At plus seven or better I would take Kansas Because I do think this is a one game between these two but I like the over even better 50 and a half over 50 and a half for Kansas and Missouri here for 1.1 units.”
The full total was 73; over 50.5 won. (MIZ 42, KU 31; total 73 (full))
“Dog and under in this one. Give me Michigan plus five. Let's see if the defense can turn, cause some turnovers and keep Michigan in this football game here. Maybe even win this football game.”
OU 24, MICH 13 — Michigan Wolverines margin -11 vs line +5; busts.
“39. I'm going under 39 Jets and the Steelers in week number one for 1.1 units.”
NYJ 32, PIT 34 — Combined 66; under 39 busts.
“I'm going to lay the five points with the Bengals who are on the road against the Browns thinking that the Bengals are finally going to do something. The Bengals have the worst opening two week record since 2019 in the NFL. They have just one win. That's a narrative. People will bet. I think Burrow is going to go out there. He's talking about wanting to put on a show against this Browns defense. I think they want to put up big numbers. I'm going to buy Joe cool here. I'm going to buy the Bengals. I'm going to lay the five with Cincinnati on the road here.”
CLE 16, CIN 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +1 vs line -5; busts.
“this badly. I think the Raiders are a dangerous dog here. I'm going to take it pregame at plus three and see if I can get the Patriots in game at some point at like three and a half or four and see if I can create a middle for myself with this. But I think the Raiders are live to win the game. I'm going to take the three points with the Raiders. Give me the Raiders plus three on the road against the Patriots.”
Las Vegas Raiders outscored New England Patriots 20-13 in the full scope; the selection won. (LV 20, NE 13 (full))
“And then finally, Ashton Gentry. I told you guys about Ashton Gentry over seven and a half touchdowns rushing for this season. And I think he gets his first one here. I think they're going to force feed it. I think they're going to want to give it to him in the red zone. He's going to vulture a lot of touches in the red zone because I think they want to run the rock and run him up the middle. The the the offensive line for the Raiders is good enough. Defensive front for the Patriots is good, but it's inexperienced as a unit. It's going to take some time, some seasoning to get together. Ashton Jenty to score a touchdown, anytime touchdown at minus 120 for one point two units.”
1 rushing/receiving touchdowns; anytime-TD prop won. (1 TD)
“All right. Play one Philly from eight down to two, six point. Same game teaser. Philly minus two. And we're taking the total down to forty one and a half down from forty seven and a half down to forty one and a half. And we're going to bet over. I think both teams are going to score. It's minus one twenty at DraftKings. 1 units down Same game teaser Philly minus two over 41 and a half for minus 120 for the first bet of the NFL football season”
Eagles -2 and over 41.5 both won. (Eagles 24, Cowboys 20)
“Devontae Smith, I think, could have a really big year for this Eagles team. reception wise. Devante Smith, it's only four and a half. It's a 56% cover probability. It's a five star rated play by the betting pros app. It's a plus 26 expected value. The projection is for five, which is pretty much what he had six, five or four catches every single game. He gets five, we cash. He gets six, we cash. He gets four, we miss. But against the Cowboys back in week 17, a 41-7 win for the Eagles over the Cowboys. He had six catches for 120 yards and two touchdowns. In a game against Dallas previously, back in week 10 on the road at Dallas, a 34-6 win for the Eagles, he only had two receptions, 14 receiving yards. He wasn't really a big part of the offense, but most games he is. Most games, in particular last year early, he had seven catches in the first three games of the season, he had seven, seven and seven for this Eagles offense. It's a good price here at plus or minus one Oh three minus one Oh four or five, depending on where you're going to look at this. We're going to go with a full unit play on this because, well, we're this far out and I don't want to give you a thousand bets. And I'm going to, I'm going to not do the half unit thing for a little bit. It may burn me. Okay. But prop betting wise, I'm going to bet full units on prop bets for a little bit using the prop bet cheat sheet and the prop bet analyzer and see if we can start the NFL year and what we can do with that. Because we might, it could get hot. It could set us up for a really big year in the NFL. So Devante Smith over four and a half receptions for 1.03 units. So Philly minus two over 41 and a half, same game teaser, Devontae Smith over four and a half receptions at minus 103 for 1.03 units. Those are the bets”
DeVonta Smith caught three passes, below 4.5. (3 receptions)
“First half under 23 and a half for the Chiefs and the Chargers at minus 120.”
The first half total was 19; under 23.5 won. (LAC 13, KC 6; total 19 (first half))
“Instead, I'm going to take the Chargers and go from three to nine. Why? Well, the Chiefs play one score games and they could lose this game to the Chargers. The Chargers could win this game. But the Chiefs always tend to play one score games. That's just what they do now. They play defense. They play low scoring games and they play one score games. I'm not in love with the Chiefs. I'm not in love with their offense. I think there's going to be questions. I think Patrick Mahomes has got some questions about his receivers. I think Travis Kelsey's got his mind somewhere else. The offensive line is good. Not great. The running game is good. Not great. I not that the defense is there So let play with it and go in the under But Chargers keep the game close Plus nine for the Chargers So what are we going to pair that up with Well we going to pair that up with an under But that under is going to be the Rams game. Why? Well, the Rams and the Texans, this is coming straight from our boy Erickson, who's been on this and hammering this and talking about the fact that Matthew Stafford's back. It's questionable. The Houston Texans aren't scoring all that much. The Rams defense is going to be better than people think. But the Rams offense has got a bunch of questions all around it. Houston defense needs to play well. And both these teams offensively did not look great in the preseason under 50. It's currently 44. Let's tease it up to 50 Rams Texans under 50 for minus 120. So that's a Friday Sunday play. OK, Chargers plus nine Rams under 50 for a six point two leg parlay for us.”
Chargers +9 and Rams-Texans under 50 both won. (Chargers 27-21; Rams 14-9 Texans)
“And that's Patrick Mahomes under thirty five and a half passing attempts. prop pit cheat sheet has this as a 67% cover probability, 25% expected value and a five-star play for Mahomes to throw, to attempt under 35 and a half passing attempts. It's early. You look for them to establish the run. You look for them to keep moving the chains. You look for them to figure out a way to keep, and I think just, you know, Herbert and company, we'll see what they look like throwing the ball and we'll see what it looks like running the football as well. But I just think this is going to be a lower scoring game, lower possessions. And I just don't think my home is going to have enough possessions to drop back and throw this thing 30, 36 times. I mean, my homes in week 17 through 38 times at Pittsburgh, he threw 41 times week 16 against Houston. He threw 38 times against Cleveland and week 15. But in the playoffs, Look at some of these games against Buffalo, 26 against Houston in the playoffs, 25. The prop head cheat sheet is projecting this to be at 33 passing attempts for Patrick Mahomes, leaning more heavily on the run game here for Mahomes and company. Again, lower scoring game, game that's out of the country, run the ball more, use the offensive line. Mahomes under 35 and a half passing attempts at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
39 pass attempts; under 35.5 lost. (39 pass attempts)
“Let's go with run line. Red Red Sox on the run line up against the Guardians at minus one 17 for one point one seven units.”
BOS 6, CLE 4 — Boston Red Sox margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“But I like Toronto Moneyline. It's even money. It's a good price. It's like we took with the Cubs yesterday. Sometimes the price just speaks for itself. We're going Moneyline. Toronto, even money for one unit on the road against the Reds.”
CIN 5, TOR 4 — Toronto Blue Jays lost; moneyline busts.
“Anytime you see seven and a half, I'm going to play over. Over seven and a half for the Astros and the Yankees here today. So, plays for today. Red Sox run line at minus 117. Toronto money line at even money. and the Yankees and the Astros over seven and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
HOU 1, NYY 7 — Combined 8; over 7.5 covers.
“Give me the seven and a half. I'm taking the Hokies. they might win the game outright, but give me the seven and a half Vatek plus seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
SC 24, VT 11 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin -13 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I want to lay the two and a half with Notre Dame. Irish minus two and a half on the road at Miami.”
MIA 27, ND 24 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“24, first half under 24 for Notre Dame in Miami.”
Notre Dame-Miami had 21 first-half points, under 24. (Miami 14, Notre Dame 7)
“Let's jump in with the first half under 28 and a half at FanDuel for minus 128. 28, North Carolina and TCU under 28 and a half for 1.28 units.”
TCU-UNC had 27 first-half points, under 28.5. (TCU 20, UNC 7; total 27)
“I think the better play is the under Let jump on the under for eight and a half for the Red Sox and the Guardians under eight and a half at 1 units”
BOS 6, CLE 4 — Combined 10; under 8.5 busts.
“Give me the Cubs. Money line. Cubs here at minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
CHC 7, ATL 6 — Chicago Cubs won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to go Baylor plus two and a half at home against Auburn for 1.1 units.”
BAY 24, AUB 38 — Baylor Bears margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'll lay the four points with Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech minus four for 1.1 units.”
COLO 20, GT 27 — Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“I can start against the Royals Tigers money line. It's even money. I think it's a decent shot, even money on this with the better baseball team.”
Detroit Tigers outscored Kansas City Royals 5-3 in the full scope; the selection won. (DET 5, KC 3 (full))
“But if I'm betting this and I get plus one and a half for Ohio State at home against anyone in college football. I mean, anyone in college football at home, I'm taking the Buckeyes. Ohio State plus one and a half here for us for 1.1 units. I just think the Buckeyes are the side here to jump in with plus money. And then at some point during the game, we're probably going to get Texas plus two, plus three, plus four, somewhere in that range. And hopefully we can come in here and take Texas, have both sides, kick our heels up and watch the football game and hope for a low scoring, you know, tight, tight game. So in game this I think will be smart. But at pre flop, officially taking Ohio State plus one and a half at home. DraftKings had that here and I'm on the East Coast so I can use DraftKings and other books as well.”
OSU 14, TEX 7 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the 14 points here with Alabama. I think that they get a big, big start to the year.”
FSU 31, ALA 17 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -14 vs line -14; busts.
“I'll lay a three and a half Clemson minus three and a half for one point one units.”
CLEM 10, LSU 17 — Clemson Tigers margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'll take the points Cincinnati plus seven. Again, I don't mind the over in this game. You want to bet the over? I don't hate it. Cincinnati plus seven at minus one 30.”
CIN 17, NEB 20 — Cincinnati Bearcats margin -3 vs line +7; covers.
“I'll lay the 14 and a half. Rutgers minus 14 and a half up against Ohio at home for 1.1 units.”
RUTG 34, OHIO 31 — Rutgers Scarlet Knights margin +3 vs line -14.5; busts.
“I'll lay the five and a half points. I think they win the game by seven or more. Boise minus five and a half on the road. Dangerous to lay points on the road. I get it, but it's early in the year. I don't care about the heat of South Florida. I'll take Boise minus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
USF 34, BOIS 7 — Boise State Broncos margin -27 vs line -5.5; busts.
“We're taking Tampa on the money line for the first play of the day for us here today. Tampa Bay is minus 124 on the money line.”
CLE 4, TB 3 — Tampa Bay Rays lost; moneyline busts.
“And for that reason, I'm taking the Red Sox on the money line. It's a pick them. The books don't know what to do. They're just telling the pros. You tell us what to play and what the line should be because we don't know what Kyle Braddish is going to look like. So I got a Red Sox team that's fighting for a playoff berth. I got an Orioles team that's going nowhere. Their fans are furious. They're throwing a guy again who hasn't pitched in 14 months. I'm fading the Orioles. I'm taking the Red Sox.”
BAL 0, BOS 5 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to take a shot at plus 120 on the Yankees laying one and a half runs against the Washington Nationals with Mackenzie Gore and the left handed pitcher going.”
New York Yankees outscored Washington Nationals 5-1 in the full scope; the selection won. (NYY 5, WSH 1 (full))
“i'm gonna go super contrarian and i'm gonna take the guardians here to win this game take the guardians on the money line at minus 115”
CLE 3, TB 0 — Cleveland Guardians won; moneyline covers.
“Nats and the Yankees under nine at minus 110.”
NYY 10, WSH 5 — Combined 15; under 9 busts.
“Take the Mariners to win the first game of this series on the money line at minus 122.”
SEA 9, SD 6 — Seattle Mariners won; moneyline covers.
“It's a price bet. One unit at plus six 50 on the Cowboys to win the division. I've lost a unit on stupor of things. Cowboys to win the division, the NFC East here. They're the third choice at most books, 650 to 550. Take them at 650. Cowboys plus 650 to win the NFC East.”
Dallas finished 7-9-1 and did not win the NFC East.
“Under five and a half wins for the New York Giants. Two plays for us here in the NFC East. Cowboys to win the East at plus 650 for one unit. Giants under five and a half wins at plus 110 for one unit.”
The New York Giants finished 4-13; under 5.5 wins won.
“Let's go with the Broncos over nine and a half wins at even money for one unit.”
Denver finished 14-3; over 9.5 wins won.
“But Gentry is an absolute load. He's a problem over seven and a half touchdowns. I think he'll get the ball a ton. I think he'll score a ton. Ashton Gentry is going to be the primary red zone weapon and for sure down by the goal line for the for the Raiders in this season as long as he stays healthy I think he goes over on this Ashton Gentry over seven and a half touchdowns I think he scores a lot and minus 118 that's 1.18 units down”
Ashton Jeanty scored 10 total touchdowns in the 2025 regular season, over 7.5. (Ashton Jeanty: 5 rushing TD + 5 receiving TD = 10)
“K-State minus three. And we very well might get a push out of it here from Dublin, Ireland, but I'll take Kansas State minus three for one point one units.”
KSU 21, ISU 24 — Kansas State Wildcats margin -3 vs line -3; busts.
“First five is plus 120 for the Yankees Same bet as yesterday but let go the other way I fade my Red Sox for plus money I bet against my team It means I win money I take the Yankees Yankees plus 120. First five money line.”
New York Yankees was outscored by Boston Red Sox 1-5 in the first five innings scope; the selection lost. (NYY 1, BOS 5 (first five innings))
“They've lost two games in a row and they're three and seven over their last 10 straight up Vegas minus seven for one point one units.”
WSH 81, LV 91 — Las Vegas Aces margin +10 vs line -7; covers.
“I think we have to take it. Just take it. Vikings plus four and minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
TEN 23, MIN 13 — Minnesota Vikings margin -10 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm going to chase the steam here. Everyone has been in the over. I'll bet the same thing. Let's go over. Bears Chiefs over 42 for 1.1 units.”
KC 27, CHI 29 — Combined 56; over 42 covers.
“It's plus one thirty four. Red Sox money line first five one unit. And if they're tied after five, we push and it's no harm, no foul.”
Boston Red Sox tied New York Yankees 0-0 in the first five innings scope; the selection push. (BOS 0, NYY 0 (first five innings))
“I think it's safe to say that it's just get in and get out in Carolina under. We're going to play the under here for this between the Carolina Panthers and the Pittsburgh Steelers under 36 for 1.1 units.”
CAR 10, PIT 19 — Combined 29; under 36 covers.
“I'm going to play the over. I think we see offense from both the Patriots and the Giants. Both teams, I think, will score here. I'm going to go ahead and play the over between the Patriots and the Giants over 37 for 1.1 units.”
NYG 42, NE 10 — Combined 52; over 37 covers.
“I think the under is the play in namely because Boston's not scoring. And I think the Yankees may struggle to score against Lucas against Lucas G. Leto. I'm going to play the under eight and a half for the Red Sox and the Yankees here at minus 110.”
NYY 3, BOS 6 — Combined 9; under 8.5 busts.
“We're going to take the Brewers to 2-2 it. Split the series against the Cubs here today. Money line's cheap. They lost the second game 6-4. I think they flipped it around. I think it's probably a 6-4 win for Milwaukee. We'll take the Brewers on the money line here in the first game at minus 107 for 1.07 units.”
Milwaukee Brewers was outscored by Chicago Cubs 3-4 in the full scope; the selection lost. (MIL 3, CHC 4 (full))
“And I'm going to bet the over, over eight between these two teams. We're going over eight and minus 125 for the Tigers and the Astros.”
DET 7, HOU 2 — Combined 9; over 8 covers.
“I'm going to take the Tampa Bay Rays to win game two of this three game series against the New York Yankees at even money.”
TB 4, NYY 6 — Tampa Bay Rays lost; moneyline busts.
“This is a must win game today for the Cubs. Minus 130, 1.3 units down on the Cubs to win game one of their double header up against the Milwaukee Brewers.”
CHC 6, MIL 4 — Chicago Cubs won; moneyline covers.
“I'll take the aces. I'll bet streaks aces are nine and one over the last 10, seven straight wins, big playoff implications here should be a great atmosphere on Tuesday nights. They're doing an Asia Wilson bobblehead night here in town. 7,500 fans at Michelobalter arena will get an Asia Wilson bobblehead. That's going to bring out a lot of fans. It's going to be a loud, loud crowd aces. minus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
LV 74, ATL 72 — Las Vegas Aces margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Game one, we're playing the under for the Brewers and the Cubs. Game one, under eight and a half at minus 110.”
CHC 0, MIL 7 — Combined 7; under 8.5 covers.
“Let's go Bengals minus three for 1.1 units.”
WSH 17, CIN 31 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +14 vs line -3; covers.
“Let's make it 15. It will stop. We may fall on our face. I don't care. Take it. Brewers Moneyline minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
CIN 3, MIL 2 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me the Mariners. Mariners money line. Red Sox money line. It is a plus 156 parlay for the two leg money line parlay.”
Parlay busts: Seattle Mariners — lost; Boston Red Sox — lost.
“Jags laying two and a half on the road to the Saints at minus 110.”
NO 17, JAX 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +0 vs line -2.5; busts.
“And the Bears at home laying two and a half to the Bills as well at minus 110.”
CHI 38, BUF 0 — Chicago Bears margin +38 vs line -2.5; covers.
“It's it opened at three and a half. It's at four and a half at certain books. Let's lay it. Raiders to win it because I think they need to win it. Raiders minus four up against the 49ers here tonight for 1.1 units.”
LV 19, SF 22 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“I bet the trend one and a half lay it road favorite for the Ravens laying one and a half on the road against the Dallas Cowboys”
DAL 13, BAL 31 — Baltimore Ravens margin +18 vs line -1.5; covers.
“The Brewers, 13 wins in a row. Let's make it 14 with Priester on the mound. Money line is too cheap to pass up at minus 131. The books consistently are giving us gifts here. Let's take advantage.”
CIN 5, MIL 6 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“And then over two and a half rounds in the main event for UFC 319 at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
The UFC 319 main event completed five rounds, over 2.5. (Chimaev decision after 5 rounds)
“I think this is a really low scoring boring football game between these two teams I going to go with the under Titans and the Falcons under 38 for 1 units”
ATL 20, TEN 23 — Combined 43; under 38 busts.
“I'm just going to come in here and I'm going to bet this and I'm going to take and lay the three with Seattle up against the Casey chiefs.”
SEA 33, KC 16 — Seattle Seahawks margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
“Titans Falcons under 38 Seahawks minus three and the Rangers and the Toronto Blue Jays to go under seven and a half at minus 115.”
TOR 6, TEX 5 — Combined 11; under 7.5 busts.
“We're not going to bet money line here, but instead we're going to bet the run line. I know it's not great. Could be a 5-4 type win, but I like Scooble. I don't like Bailey Ober. I like the fact that we're getting all nine at bats for the Tigers here. And the price finally is not that bad to jump in with the Tigers on the run line at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
MIN 3, DET 4 — Detroit Tigers margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“And I'm going to come back with the Orioles here on the money line for Baltimore to hit Saguno and Baltimore to get a win here on the money line at plus 115. Their home dogs plus 115 for one unit for the Orioles today.”
BAL 5, SEA 3 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to come in here and take the 49ers to win the NFC West at plus 155 for one unit.”
San Francisco qualified as a wild card and did not win the NFC West.
“So it plays for a Wednesday Brewers on the run line and minus one Oh five”
MIL 12, PIT 5 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're going to go Moneyline Blue Jays on the Moneyline. It's not that expensive to take it at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
TOR 1, CHC 4 — Toronto Blue Jays lost; moneyline busts.
“I'd rather just go with the under it opened at nine. It was bet to eight and a half. It probably comes down even more under eight and a half for the Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles and minus one 10 for 1.1 units.”
BAL 4, SEA 3 — Combined 7; under 8.5 covers.
“I'm going to go and take the over even money over Red Sox and the Astros over seven and a half at even money”
HOU 7, BOS 6 — Combined 13; over 7.5 covers.
“But this is just go ahead and bet the streaks and go ahead and take the even money. I think it's just too good not to come in and take the even money. Even money. Run line. Brewers over the Pirates for 1.1 units.”
MIL 7, PIT 1 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +6 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I don't care that it's Paul Skeens. All that means is we get a better price. Money line. Brewers. Minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
MIL 14, PIT 0 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“And with the Marlins on the road with a plus 125 price tag and junk on the mound, I'm good with it. Let's take a shot with the Marlins. Let's go Marlins on the money line here for one unit to win the game.”
Miami Marlins was outscored by Cleveland Guardians 3-4 in the full scope; the selection lost. (MIA 3, CLE 4 (full))
“So the plays Red Sox Astros under eight and minus one oh five Brewers team total over four and a half runs against the Nationals at minus one eighteen.”
The full total was 10; under 8 lost. (BOS 7, HOU 3; total 10 (full))
“So the plays Red Sox Astros under eight and minus one oh five Brewers team total over four and a half runs against the Nationals at minus one eighteen.”
Milwaukee Brewers scored 8 in the full scope; over 4.5 won. (Milwaukee Brewers 8 (full))
“I think this is a time to jump in here with the run line. I don't normally bet run lines, but we're going to lay the one and a half here because I like the number. I like the opportunity here for the Brewers to win. And we going to jump in on the Brewers laying one and a half here for minus 104 for 1 units”
WSH 9, MIL 16 — Milwaukee Brewers margin +7 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So we take the Reds here at a slightly discounted price at plus 109 Chase Burns to get his first win I think the team will win for the first time in July with Chase Burns on it”
CIN 3, ATL 2 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“Padres Mariners, we're going to do a two leg Moneyline parlay. It's sort of like a little mini one, plus 165. Mariners Padres Moneyline Parlay for one unit”
Parlay cashes: San Diego Padres Moneyline — won; Seattle Mariners Moneyline — won.
“All right. Mariners Padres money line parlay for one unit at plus 165. The Brewers money line at minus 145 for 1.45 units.”
WSH 9, MIL 16 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“and they play Ohio State in the last day the last game of the regular season I'll take the flyer on the nine to one Michigan to win the big 10 at plus 900 here for one unit.”
Indiana, not Michigan, won the 2025 Big Ten Championship.
“Made a nice profit. Four, five, six units, depending on what we're going to do. So 12 to one Michigan to go undefeated in the regular season for one unit.”
Michigan lost to Ohio State in the regular-season finale and was not undefeated.
“And the Cyhawk game, Iowa State-Iowa, minus one and a half for the Cyclones. We're going to lay the one and a half to start here for 1.1 units.”
Iowa State Cyclones margin +3 with -1.5; won. Final: ISU 16, IOWA 13.
“We're coming in and taking the Brewers money line. It's minus 115. It's a great price. Minus 115 on the Brewers to sweep the Cubs.”
MIL 3, CHC 10 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I think they're going to win the third game here and take two of three from the White Sox or take the Phillies on the money line. It's a little expensive at minus 137. for 1.37 units.”
CHW 9, PHI 3 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“Let's get another over here. Vegas and LA, we're going to go over 173 here for tonight between these two in the W.”
LA 74, LV 89 — Combined 163; over 173 busts.
“Let's keep going here with the Rangers on the money line. Rangers to win the game on the money line at plus money at plus 115 for one unit.”
LAA 8, TEX 5 — Texas Rangers lost; moneyline busts.
“Give me the Tampa Bay Bucks to win the division at plus 110 or plus 105. Shop around, get the plus money price on this. I got plus 110, but you should be able to get plus 105 at very worst for Tampa to win the NFC South for one unit.”
Tampa Bay finished 8-9 and did not win the NFC South; Carolina won the division.
“Beezer Armisen over 1,200 yard rushing for minus 110, 1.1 units down on that.”
Bijan Robinson recorded 1,478 rushing yards in the 2025 regular season, exceeding the 1,200-yard over. (2025 regular season: 1,478 rushing yards)
“It's nine and a half, nine and a half minus one ten. I'm going to take the Braves and the Royals to go over. I know it's a bit scary, but on a Monday with Rich Hill and Spencer Strider, over nine and a half for the for the Braves and the Royals.”
KC 7, ATL 10 — Combined 17; over 9.5 covers.
“Let's take a shot on the plus money here with the Miami Marlins on the plus 105 money line price for one unit to come in here today.”
Miami Marlins was outscored by St. Louis Cardinals 1-7 in the full scope; the selection lost. (MIA 1, STL 7 (full))
“If you want to put the Red Sox money line, that's the play I'm going to make today at minus 140. Take Boston to win.”
BOS 4, LAD 2 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“And we come in here, we bet the Red Sox on the money line and the Rangers and the Braves under eight and a half at minus 115.”
TEX 6, ATL 5 — Combined 11; under 8.5 busts.
“Let's start with Antonio Zanzitella. Earn runs under three and a half. Okay. It's a little juicy at minus one 50, but Minnesota three, Boston four, Chicago White Sox three last three starts. OK, three and a half is the number.”
Antonio Senzatela allowed 6 earned runs, over the under-3.5 line. (Antonio Senzatela: 4.0 IP, 6 ER)
“Hunter Brown under seven and a half K's at minus 130.”
HOU 1, ATH 5 — Hunter Brown: 5 strikeouts vs under 7.5; covers. (Hunter Brown: 5 strikeouts)
“Sox might win. Dodgers might win under 10 and a half. Minus 115. Might get beat, sure. But I just think we're not going to see offense. It's a Sunday day game at Fenway Park. It's going to be hot. Ball could travel, sure. But I think Walker Buehler, as long as he doesn't get lit up crazy, the bullpen for the Red Sox has been good. Bullpen for the Dodgers has been decent. Red Sox bats aren't that hot. I would lean towards the Dodgers winning. But the Dodgers win. The Dodgers most likely it goes over. Red Sox win. Most likely it goes under. So we'll see who ends up with the rubber match. But Red Sox need to win a series. They won one of three against the last two opponents on the road. To lose one of three or win one of three against the Dodgers at home here. Not what you're looking for. You want to have more scoring opportunities and more winning opportunities against quality teams. under 10 and a half for the Red Sox here today with the Dodgers.”
BOS 4, LAD 3 — Combined 7; under 10.5 covers.
“I'm taking the Guardians. Give me the Guardians on the money line at plus 116 for one unit. Guardians win plus 116 just on the money line.”
KC 4, CLE 1 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“Under 8.5 for the Royals. and the guardians here tonight for our first play of the day.”
The scheduled Guardians-Royals game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific total is terminally ungradeable and void.
“But I'm just going to play the under. I think it's too many, too many runs under 10 for the Dodgers and the Red Sox here for bet number two and for bet number three for us.”
BOS 2, LAD 5 — Combined 7; under 10 covers.
“Number has been dropping, but I got eight and a half. Let's bet under eight and a half for the Rangers and the Braves here for tonight.”
TEX 8, ATL 3 — Combined 11; under 8.5 busts.
“I'm going to go over. I think 163 and a half is too low of a number here. Take Vegas and Indiana over 163 and a half for 1.1 units.”
IND 80, LV 70 — Combined 150; over 163.5 busts.
“I'm going to go contrarian here. I'm going to jump in here on the Tigers on the money line at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
DET 4, TOR 11 — Detroit Tigers lost; moneyline busts.
“But again, when you run out Justin Verlander, I'm going run line. Give me the Braves on the run line at plus 120 for one unit.”
ATL 3, SF 9 — Atlanta Braves margin -6 vs line +1.5; busts.
“I'd rather just bet the run line, or sorry, the money line rather for the Reds with Nick Lodolo. The team has won the last two starts by Nick Lodolo. He's seven and six with a 3.33 ERA on the road. He has a 2.56 ERA, a four and four record opposing batting average of 200, a 10 and eight, four win and six, nothing win the last two starts for the team to win with Nodolo on the mound, seven innings, two earned six innings, no earned good stuff, real good stuff rolling here with the Mets, uh, with against the Mets and against the Miami Marlins for Nicola Dolo. I'm going to jump in here with the reds on the money line.”
WSH 0, CIN 5 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take a shot at this, okay? This is not very juicy. It's only minus 104, but Boston can hit lefties. Let's just see if Sanchez in his first start since the All-Star break, maybe he's a little rusty early and Boston can get to him out of the gate and score some runs. Red Sox team total over three and a half tonight up against the Phillies for minus 104 for 1.04 units.”
Boston Red Sox scored 1 in the full scope; over 3.5 lost. (Boston Red Sox 1 (full))
“I'll take the Astros at minus 120 on the money line here. Again, starting pitchers matter. So watch this. If the books are somehow off, again, my books are all telling me that it's Frambois Valdez up against Eduardo Rodriguez. If that's not the pitching matchup, don't bet this. But if it is, take the Astros to come in here and get a W.”
ARI 1, HOU 3 — Houston Astros won; moneyline covers.
“I'm just going to ride the trend here and bet the under nine. Rangers A's under nine at minus 125. Rangers under the last three games after the All-Star break. Let's keep embedding the streak here. Rangers and the A's under nine for 1.25 units.”
TEX 7, ATH 2 — Combined 9; under 9 pushes.
“but I'm just going to take them on the money line and not screw around and worry about that. Take the Cardinals on the money line at minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
COL 2, STL 6 — St. Louis Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“It's only minus 135. We'll jump in with it with the Red Sox on the money line here on Sunday to avoid the sweep of the Cubs with Garrett Crochet on the mound at minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
CHC 1, BOS 6 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“I think the best play here is just to bet the under. It's Sunday night baseball. Again, it looks like it's going to be the Rangers going for a sweep of the Tigers. And with Scoobble on the mound, you know that they don't tend to lose. I don't mind taking the Tigers and say, OK, we can take the Tigers to win the game. Scoobble, though, is a little expensive. It's minus 155, minus 150, somewhere in that range for Scoobble to win the game. Not really looking to lay that type of juice here. I'd rather just lay the under and take seven. I know it's a little expensive at minus 125 or minus 135, but I'm going to jump in with it. Under seven for the Tigers and the Rangers here on Sunday night. Baseball for 1.25 units.”
TEX 1, DET 2 — Combined 3; under 7 covers.
“I'm going to bet the streak here. I get plus money on the Red Sox. I get plus 115 on the Red Sox with Giolito on the road. You can bet run line either for this because I mean, I think I think if Boston wins, I think they probably win by more than one run. But it's plus money just on the money line. So why push our luck? Red Sox money line to win their 11th consecutive game and to keep the ball rolling in the right direction for Lucas Diolito with the way he is pitching six and one with a three point three six ERA.”
CHC 4, BOS 1 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to stay off of that and just take money line because it's only minus 130 here for the Blue Jays. Toronto, minus 130 on the money line for 1.3 units.”
TOR 4, SF 0 — Toronto Blue Jays won; moneyline covers.
“I plus 105. I get plus money on the run line. I'm going to take a shot. Padres on the run line to win by more than one run up against the Washington Nationals and Michael Sirocco.”
San Diego Padres outscored Washington Nationals 7-2 in the full scope; the selection won. (SD 7, WSH 2 (full))
“There we go. Just win Dustin Poirier to win this fight at plus 120 for one unit.”
Poirier lost to Holloway by decision. (Holloway unanimous decision)
“But we're going to jump on Keegan Bradley, top 10 and plus 230 for one unit to baseball.”
Keegan Bradley finished T30; top 10 lost.
“Under eight and a half is even money. Under eight and a half for the Tigers and the Rangers here at even money for one unit.”
TEX 4, DET 1 — Combined 5; under 8.5 covers.
“I'll just go ahead and lay the four and a half points here with team Collier laying four and a half up against team Clark. One point one units down there on that for team Collier to cover the minus four and a half for the WNBA All-Star game.”
CLA 131, COL 151 — TEAM COLLIER margin +20 vs line -4.5; covers.
“So again, the plays, Ohio State over 10 and a half wins at plus 120.”
Ohio State completed a 12-0 regular season; over 10.5 wins won.
“But here's the problem. The win total is 10 and a half. The over is plus money. The under 10 and a half is minus 135. And we're going to take it. We're going to take under 10 and a half wins for Penn State.”
Penn State finished the regular season with six wins (7-6 including its bowl); under 10.5 won.
“I'll take the dogs to win the SEC championship. And if it gets there, we hedge off of it. It's plus 360. One unit. Give me Georgia to win the SEC championship, to win the championship game, most likely against Texas, maybe against Alabama.”
Georgia defeated Alabama 28-7 to win the 2025 SEC Championship.
“Justin Rose, Top 20 with ties. DraftKings gives you that option with ties. Plus 250 for one unit. I'm going to take him.”
Justin Rose finished T16; top 20 won.
“We're going to take Sepp Straka top 20 with ties. At plus 150 for one unit.”
Sepp Straka finished T52; top 20 lost.
“We're going to go ahead and back the over 170 for 1.1 units between Vegas and Dallas in the WNBA.”
DAL 86, LV 90 — Combined 176; over 170 covers.
“It's a slight price on the National League. bet it to win a half a unit minus 110. You can find it in the market. I'll take the National League to win the the win the All-Star game coming up here tonight in Atlanta.”
NL 7, AL 6 — National All-Stars won; moneyline covers.
“O'Neal Cruz, over 471.5 feet at minus 110. Bet that to win a half a unit at 0.55 units.”
Oneil Cruz hit the Derby-long 513-foot homer; over 471.5 won.
“I'll take the plus three 30 flyer with O'Neill Cruz to win the home run derby here coming up tonight.”
Cal Raleigh, not Oneil Cruz, won the 2025 Home Run Derby.
“We're going to grab the Brewers to win the World Series. And again, all we need them to do is make the National League Championship Series. That's what we're gunning for. With Houston, make the American League Championship Series or make the World Series. The Brewers to win the World Series. We're going to play off of that. We're going to use that. We don't bet one unit to win 27. Got a good chance here on that. Brewers plus 2,700 here, 27 to 1 for one unit to win the World Series.”
Milwaukee did not win the 2025 World Series.
“We'll keep it rolling here. Red Sox money line is not expensive today. Let just bet the streak with Boston to keep it going to win 10 in a row heading into the break Red Sox money line at minus one 16 for 1 units”
BOS 4, TB 1 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“I think it's okay to jump in on that with that at 0.8 units at minus one 60 for Yuri Perez under two and a half earned runs today for the Marlins up against the Baltimore Orioles.”
Eury Perez allowed 0 earned runs, under 2.5. (Eury Perez: 7.0 IP, 0 ER)
“We're going to follow the prop bet cheat sheet here. Hunter Brown over one and a half earned runs at minus 120 for 0.6 units.”
Hunter Brown allowed 4 earned runs, over 1.5. (Hunter Brown: 5.0 IP, 4 ER)
“I'm going to take a shot with the Astros here going with Framber because he's won so many games. The team has won so many games with him pitching. Let's make him the stopper. Let's go ahead and jump in here with the Astros on the money line at minus 125.”
Houston Astros outscored Texas Rangers 5-4 in the full scope; the selection won. (HOU 5, TEX 4 (full))
“And we go ahead and jump in Seattle and Detroit. First five over three and a half is minus one thirteen. Let's take a shot on that here in the first five.”
The first five innings total was 5; over 3.5 won. (DET 1, SEA 4; total 5 (first five innings))
“I'm going to take Paul Skeens at plus money and take a shot at plus 105 simply because I get Paul Skeens at plus money. Period. Get the best young arm in baseball. Right-handed power pitcher on the road. I don't care. He's plus money. Give me the pirates. plus 105.”
Pittsburgh Pirates was outscored by Minnesota Twins 1-2 in the full scope; the selection lost. (PIT 1, MIN 2 (full))
“I don't know if the game goes over or if the Red Sox win, but we just need the Red Sox to go ahead and score five runs. Over four and a half for the Red Sox here at minus 122 for our first play today.”
Boston Red Sox 4 runs; over 4.5 lost. (Boston Red Sox 4 runs)
“We've been betting streaks this week. Let's bet another one. Let's go over eight and a half for Washington St. Louis at minus 110.”
STL 8, WSH 1 — Combined 9; over 8.5 covers.
“So I like the Brewers to win the game, even money. And I like the Brewers team total over three and a half even more. So the both those plays should be made, but we're only going to count one of them officially team total Brewers over three and a half tonight at minus one 32.”
Milwaukee Brewers 9 runs; over 3.5 won. (Milwaukee Brewers 9 runs)
“But I think it's a safer place to jump in on the Red Sox over nine at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
BOS 10, COL 2 — Combined 12; over 9 covers.
“Bet the streak. Red Sox team total over five and a half at minus 106.”
Boston Red Sox 10 runs; over 5.5 won. (Boston Red Sox 10 runs)
“Astros, you can bet one unit. I always bet more than that for futures, but you can bet what you want. Astros 10 to 1 to win the World Series here for one unit.”
Houston missed the 2025 postseason and did not win the World Series.
“I'm going with the home dog. Give me the Brewers at plus money. Let's go with Milwaukee up against the Dodgers here tonight. So plays for us today. Astros to win the World Series at 10 to 1. The Royals and the Pirates under 8.5 at minus 108. And the Brewers on the Moneyline at plus 127 for one unit.”
KC 9, PIT 3 — Combined 12; under 8.5 busts.
“I'm going with the home dog. Give me the Brewers at plus money. Let's go with Milwaukee up against the Dodgers here tonight. So plays for us today. Astros to win the World Series at 10 to 1. The Royals and the Pirates under 8.5 at minus 108. And the Brewers on the Moneyline at plus 127 for one unit.”
MIL 9, LAD 1 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“I think we keep the overtrain rolling. we're going to go over Cubs and Cardinals over seven and a half at minus one 22 for 1.22 units.”
CHC 11, STL 0 — Combined 11; over 7.5 covers.
“But I think at plus 145, I think we have to come in here and take the Orioles. Orioles money line at plus 145 for one unit to sweep the Braves on the road here today.”
ATL 1, BAL 2 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“Red Sox Nationals over, over nine and a half here today between these two. Red Sox probably win. Red Sox score. I like the team total for the Red Sox over two. I like that. But I'm just going to play the game over because Walker Bueller, I think, gets hit pretty good here today by Nationals. Bats over nine and a half at minus 122.”
The full total was 13; over 9.5 won. (WSH 3, BOS 10; total 13 (full))
“I'm going to bet the Tigers. Give me the Tigers on the money line to beat the Guardians here. And the Tigers are a team that losing back-to-back games to the Nationals, now having an off day yesterday, having a chance to play here today. Oh, I guess, sorry, they're playing right now. Excuse me, they're playing the Guardians right now. It's 2-1 Detroit through 6. So they are playing not off days. They're playing today, but a chance to snap the two game losing streak here up to one on the Guardians. I think they bounce back here with Casey Mize on the mound here. There's Cleveland, by the way, leads the season series three games to one. So the Tigers win tonight currently going on. I think they win tomorrow even up the season series at three at three games apiece between Detroit and Cleveland here Detroit trying to win their 25th game on the road this year Cleveland trying to win their 21st game move over 500 They 20 and 20 at home so far Detroit Cleveland Moneyline Tigers at minus 132.”
CLE 0, DET 1 — Detroit Tigers won; moneyline covers.
“Cubs and Cardinals over nine and a half and minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
CHC 11, STL 3 — Combined 14; over 9.5 covers.
“FanDuel has this to make the playoffs. No. At plus 186, jump on this. Plus 186. No. Tampa Bay to miss the playoffs.”
Tampa Bay finished 77-85 and missed the postseason.
“Let's jump on the Cubs to win the NL pennant at plus $650. Sorry, so it's $650 on that. That's the price that's available right now. BetMGM has got it at plus $650 for one unit to jump in on that.”
Toronto, not Chicago, won the 2025 AL/NL pennant matchup; the Cubs did not win the NL pennant.
“I'm going to take the home team here and I'm going to take the Blue Jays because I like betting streaks. If you're a Yankee fan, you want me to be on the Blue Jays, given where I've been, how streaky I have been. But I get plus 110 on the Blue Jays.”
TOR 8, NYY 5 — Toronto Blue Jays won; moneyline covers.
“Just take the run line plus one thirty five. Paul schemes in the Pirates at home for one unit.”
PIT 1, STL 0 — Pittsburgh Pirates margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Easily could be six nothing, seven nothing, similar type of score here for this. I'll just bet the run line. It's plus money again. It's plus 120 Rangers on the run line at plus 120 to win by one and a half.”
TEX 10, BAL 2 — Texas Rangers margin +8 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Mad. The Yankees are due. I'm just betting streaks. I'm betting the home dog and I'm fading Will Warren. I like the offense a lot for the Yankee for the Blue Jays here against the Yankee pitching against the Yankee bullpen. I look I could be dead wrong here but I'm taking the home dog give me the Blue Jays at home at plus 112 115 depending on wherever you're going to go here get the best price in the Blue Jays money line Toronto against the Yankees at plus 112 for one unit”
TOR 11, NYY 9 — Toronto Blue Jays won; moneyline covers.
“Cardinals, Pirates over eight and a half at minus 115. And the Red Sox on the run line up against the Reds at plus 110 for one unit in 1.15 units.”
PIT 7, STL 0 — Combined 7; over 8.5 busts.
“Cardinals, Pirates over eight and a half at minus 115. And the Red Sox on the run line up against the Reds at plus 110 for one unit in 1.15 units.”
BOS 13, CIN 6 — Boston Red Sox margin +7 vs line +1.5; covers.
“So plays for today. Tigers run line minus 125 for 1.25 units. Red Sox Toronto over nine and a half at minus 120 fade away.”
DET 3, MIN 0 — Detroit Tigers margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“So plays for today. Tigers run line minus 125 for 1.25 units. Red Sox Toronto over nine and a half at minus 120 fade away.”
BOS 3, TOR 5 — Combined 8; over 9.5 busts.
“We're taking it over one and a half rounds at minus one 25 for 1.25 units. Pantoja and Kaikara, France to end inside the distance. Don't care who wins. Just think that fight is not going to be a decision at minus 135 for 1.35 units. And Brandon Royval, even money, money line win for him coming up in his fight up against Joshua Van.”
Royval lost by unanimous decision. (Van unanimous decision)
“We're taking it over one and a half rounds at minus one 25 for 1.25 units. Pantoja and Kaikara, France to end inside the distance. Don't care who wins. Just think that fight is not going to be a decision at minus 135 for 1.35 units. And Brandon Royval, even money, money line win for him coming up in his fight up against Joshua Van.”
Pantoja submitted Kara-France; the fight ended inside the distance.
“I mean, the price is actually sort of amazing that we get minus one 25 on Taboria in over one and a half rounds in Oliveira at 1.25 units. We're taking it over one and a half rounds at minus one 25 for 1.25 units. Pantoja and Kaikara, France to end inside the distance. Don't care who wins. Just think that fight is not going to be a decision at minus 135 for 1.35 units. And Brandon Royval, even money, money line win for him coming up in his fight up against Joshua Van.”
Topuria stopped Oliveira before 1.5 rounds. (KO R1 2:27)
“All right. So our plays for today, raise money line at minus one 20 Texas and Seattle under seven and a half Dodgers and the Royals under nine and a half Astros, Dodgers, Mets, money line parlay for a half a unit at four to one fade away.”
BAL 22, TB 8 — Tampa Bay Rays lost; moneyline busts.
“All right. So our plays for today, raise money line at minus one 20 Texas and Seattle under seven and a half Dodgers and the Royals under nine and a half Astros, Dodgers, Mets, money line parlay for a half a unit at four to one fade away.”
TEX 6, SEA 7 — Combined 13; under 7.5 busts.
“All right. So our plays for today, raise money line at minus one 20 Texas and Seattle under seven and a half Dodgers and the Royals under nine and a half Astros, Dodgers, Mets, money line parlay for a half a unit at four to one fade away.”
KC 4, LAD 5 — Combined 9; under 9.5 covers.
“back the Mets Astros, Dodgers, Mets, money line parlay is plus four Oh two. Let's put a half a unit down coming up on that for us here tonight.”
Parlay busts: Houston Astros — won; Los Angeles Dodgers — won; New York Mets — lost.
“All right. So three plays for us here on a Thursday. The Rays on the money line at minus 120. Go ahead and get a sweep out of them against Kansas City on the road. St. Louis on the money line at plus 122 at home against the Cubs in Imanaga and Seattle plus 104 on the money line on the road for one unit Seattle on the road up against the Minnesota Twins.”
KC 0, TB 4 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“All right. So three plays for us here on a Thursday. The Rays on the money line at minus 120. Go ahead and get a sweep out of them against Kansas City on the road. St. Louis on the money line at plus 122 at home against the Cubs in Imanaga and Seattle plus 104 on the money line on the road for one unit Seattle on the road up against the Minnesota Twins.”
STL 0, CHC 3 — St. Louis Cardinals lost; moneyline busts.
“All right. So three plays for us here on a Thursday. The Rays on the money line at minus 120. Go ahead and get a sweep out of them against Kansas City on the road. St. Louis on the money line at plus 122 at home against the Cubs in Imanaga and Seattle plus 104 on the money line on the road for one unit Seattle on the road up against the Minnesota Twins.”
MIN 10, SEA 1 — Seattle Mariners lost; moneyline busts.
“Tampa Bay money line for minus 120 for 1.2 units. So plays for today, Seattle and Minnesota over eight at minus one Oh five Cubs in St. Louis over eight and a half at minus one 22 and the raise on the money line at minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
MIN 2, SEA 0 — Combined 2; over 8 busts.
“Tampa Bay money line for minus 120 for 1.2 units. So plays for today, Seattle and Minnesota over eight at minus one Oh five Cubs in St. Louis over eight and a half at minus one 22 and the raise on the money line at minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
STL 0, CHC 8 — Combined 8; over 8.5 busts.
“Tampa Bay money line for minus 120 for 1.2 units. So plays for today, Seattle and Minnesota over eight at minus one Oh five Cubs in St. Louis over eight and a half at minus one 22 and the raise on the money line at minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
KC 0, TB 3 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“but I'm not going to bet against this offense for the the the Mariners for scoring more runs the bats are too hot it's only eight and a half let's bet over over eight and a half for twins and the Mariners at minus 105.”
MIN 5, SEA 6 — Combined 11; over 8.5 covers.
“but I think the safest bet is just to back the under under seven and a half for the Tigers and the A's here today at Detroit.”
DET 11, ATH 4 — Combined 15; under 7.5 busts.
“Again, I'm a little surprised at the total here, but we're going to bet the over. over for the Diamondbacks and the White Sox over, excuse me, over nine at minus 105.”
CHW 1, ARI 4 — Combined 5; over 9 busts.
“All right. So a plays for today. Brewers Pirates over eight and a half. Kind of nuts. I know, but take a shot here, given the pitching and the hitting for the Brewers. Currently, we're going to need the Pirates to score three or four runs. Seattle Moneyline. I just think keep the misery going for the Twins at minus 115 and Cubs Cardinals over nine at minus 105.”
Brewers-Pirates totaled nine, over 8.5. (Pirates 5, Brewers 4)
“All right. So a plays for today. Brewers Pirates over eight and a half. Kind of nuts. I know, but take a shot here, given the pitching and the hitting for the Brewers. Currently, we're going to need the Pirates to score three or four runs. Seattle Moneyline. I just think keep the misery going for the Twins at minus 115 and Cubs Cardinals over nine at minus 105.”
Seattle Mariners outscored Minnesota Twins 11-2 in the full scope; the selection won. (SEA 11, MIN 2 (full))
“All right. So a plays for today. Brewers Pirates over eight and a half. Kind of nuts. I know, but take a shot here, given the pitching and the hitting for the Brewers. Currently, we're going to need the Pirates to score three or four runs. Seattle Moneyline. I just think keep the misery going for the Twins at minus 115 and Cubs Cardinals over nine at minus 105.”
Cubs-Cardinals totaled 10, over 9. (Cardinals 8, Cubs 2)
“We're going to play it to win a half a unit. It is plus money at plus 115. Brandon Lau over one and a half bases today up against the Tigers.”
1 total bases; over 1.5 lost. (1 total bases)
“We're going to bet it to win a half a unit, put a half unit down on it to win a half unit and minus 140 for over one and a half bases for a Josh Naylor prop today.”
2 total bases; over 1.5 won. (2 total bases)
“All right. So our plays for today, Brandon Lau over one and a half total basis. Josh Naylor over one and a half total basis in Major League Baseball. Bet those to win a half a unit. Coastal Moneyline game to College World Series for them to even up their best of three against LSU at minus 108 for 1.08 units. Alex Caruso points, rebounds and assists under 15 and a half today for 1.15 units. Antares Halliburton over two and a half made threes at plus 140. That for a unit to wrap up the NBA season for us here today.”
Coastal Carolina lost Game 2. (LSU 5, Coastal 3)
“All right. So our plays for today, Brandon Lau over one and a half total basis. Josh Naylor over one and a half total basis in Major League Baseball. Bet those to win a half a unit. Coastal Moneyline game to College World Series for them to even up their best of three against LSU at minus 108 for 1.08 units. Alex Caruso points, rebounds and assists under 15 and a half today for 1.15 units. Antares Halliburton over two and a half made threes at plus 140. That for a unit to wrap up the NBA season for us here today.”
OKC 103, IND 91 — Alex Caruso: 13 pra vs under 15.5; covers. (Alex Caruso: 13 pra)
“All right. So our plays for today, Brandon Lau over one and a half total basis. Josh Naylor over one and a half total basis in Major League Baseball. Bet those to win a half a unit. Coastal Moneyline game to College World Series for them to even up their best of three against LSU at minus 108 for 1.08 units. Alex Caruso points, rebounds and assists under 15 and a half today for 1.15 units. Antares Halliburton over two and a half made threes at plus 140. That for a unit to wrap up the NBA season for us here today.”
OKC 103, IND 91 — Tyrese Haliburton: 3 threes vs over 2.5; covers. (Tyrese Haliburton: 3 threes)
“All right. So plays for today, Brandon Lau over half of RBI at plus one 65, Brandon Lau over a half a run at plus two 10 for a half a unit race. Tigers over eight and a half for the game at minus one 10 and coastal and LSU under eight and a half at minus 115 in the game one of the college world series.”
TB 8, DET 3 — Combined 11; over 8.5 covers.
“All right. So plays for today, Brandon Lau over half of RBI at plus one 65, Brandon Lau over a half a run at plus two 10 for a half a unit race. Tigers over eight and a half for the game at minus one 10 and coastal and LSU under eight and a half at minus 115 in the game one of the college world series.”
The CWS opener had one run, under 8.5. (LSU 1, Coastal 0)
“Okay, so our three plays for us here today. Atlanta, the dream laying eight at home against the Washington Mystics in the W at minus 110. Pirates team total under two and a half at plus 122. And the Blue Jays team total over four and a half at minus 146.”
Atlanta Dream outscored Washington Mystics 92-91 in the full scope; the selection lost. (ATL 92, WSH 91 (full))
“Okay, so our three plays for us here today. Atlanta, the dream laying eight at home against the Washington Mystics in the W at minus 110. Pirates team total under two and a half at plus 122. And the Blue Jays team total over four and a half at minus 146.”
Pittsburgh Pirates scored 2 in the full scope; under 2.5 won. (Pittsburgh Pirates 2 (full))
“Okay, so our three plays for us here today. Atlanta, the dream laying eight at home against the Washington Mystics in the W at minus 110. Pirates team total under two and a half at plus 122. And the Blue Jays team total over four and a half at minus 146.”
Toronto Blue Jays scored 1 in the full scope; over 4.5 lost. (Toronto Blue Jays 1 (full))
“So Angels, Yankees under nine and a half is minus 121. Tigers, Thunder, money line parlay is minus 119.”
NYY 7, LAA 3 — Combined 10; under 9.5 busts.
“Money line, Thunder parlayed with Tigers. game one money line for a two leg money line parlay for us that we come in with a plot with a minus 119 price tag.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Tigers — won; Oklahoma City Thunder — lost.
“Matherin off the bench to score over ten point five points at minus one twenty.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Bennedict Mathurin: 2 points vs over 10.5; busts. (Bennedict Mathurin: 2 points)
“Prop bed cheat sheet, points, rebounds and assists. Lou Dort over 12 and a half at minus one 25.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Luguentz Dort: 7 pra vs over 12.5; busts. (Luguentz Dort: 7 pra)
“Excuse me. So our plays for today, Angels, Yankees under nine and a half and minus 115. Red Sox Mariners under seven and minus 125. Pirates under team total two and a half runs at minus 138.”
Angels-Yankees totaled five, under 9.5. (Angels 3, Yankees 2)
“Excuse me. So our plays for today, Angels, Yankees under nine and a half and minus 115. Red Sox Mariners under seven and minus 125. Pirates under team total two and a half runs at minus 138.”
Boston-Seattle totaled four, under 7. (Red Sox 3, Mariners 1)
“Excuse me. So our plays for today, Angels, Yankees under nine and a half and minus 115. Red Sox Mariners under seven and minus 125. Pirates under team total two and a half runs at minus 138.”
The scheduled Pirates-Tigers game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific team total is terminally ungradeable and void.
“Plays for today, Florida Moneyline in regulation at minus 110 for 1.1 units. Florida team total over three and a half goals in game six of the cup final at plus 106 and Yankees Angels under nine and a half at minus 122 for 1.22 units.”
Florida Panthers outscored Edmonton Oilers 5-1 in the regulation scope; the selection won. (FLA 5, EDM 1 (regulation))
“Plays for today, Florida Moneyline in regulation at minus 110 for 1.1 units. Florida team total over three and a half goals in game six of the cup final at plus 106 and Yankees Angels under nine and a half at minus 122 for 1.22 units.”
Florida Panthers scored 5 in the full scope; over 3.5 won. (Florida Panthers 5 (full))
“Plays for today, Florida Moneyline in regulation at minus 110 for 1.1 units. Florida team total over three and a half goals in game six of the cup final at plus 106 and Yankees Angels under nine and a half at minus 122 for 1.22 units.”
Angels-Yankees totaled four, under 9.5. (Angels 4, Yankees 0)
“And a five play for Miles Turner to go over four and a half rebounds here tonight The best number on the board is at FanDuel over four and a half rebounds for miles Turner is minus one 32 He has not hit this in the last three games but game one at OKC he flew over and he had nine. When we get late into series, rebounding becomes crucial. Joel. He's only had two, two and four over the last three games. His rebounding props were set at five and a half in all three of those games, and he went under in all of them. I do expect Miles Turner to be more active rebounding and less shooting for Miles Turner. He shot the basketball way too much in game number four. From behind the arc, he was 0 for 6. 0 for 6. I think Myles Turner will play closer to the basket here tonight. I think that's what the prop bet. Chi Chi's projecting as well. And I expect him to be way more active on the glass. Myles Turner over four and a half rebounds at minus one 32 for 1.32 units.”
Myles Turner recorded six rebounds, over 4.5. (6 rebounds)
“So just given the way that Obi Toppin has played, I think this is a good bet. Obi Toppin over 15 and a half points and rebounds here. Tonight for us, that is a minus 120 play.”
12 PTS + 4 REB = 16; over 15.5 won. (12 PTS + 4 REB = 16)
“It's only minus 110. No run in the first inning. Haven't done this bet yet in baseball. We're doing it today. No run in the first inning. Padres and the Dodgers for 1.1 units.”
First inning had 1 runs; NRFI lost. (1 first-inning runs)
“Adam Scott under 72 and a half final round score for him at minus one 15 for Adam Scott circus sports in Las Vegas circus sports across the country.”
Adam Scott shot 79 in the final round; under 72.5 lost.
“Keegan Bradley, even money top 20.”
Keegan Bradley finished T33; top 20 lost.
“Dodgers and the Giants over nine at minus 115 for Sunday night baseball.”
LAD 5, SF 4 — Combined 9; over 9 pushes.
“Bob over 27 and a half saves with overtime and minus 145.”
EDM 2, FLA 5 — Sergei Bobrovsky: 19 saves vs over 27.5; busts. (Sergei Bobrovsky: 19 saves)
“Pickard over 25 and a half saves with overtime at minus 110”
EDM 2, FLA 5 — Calvin Pickard: 14 saves vs over 25.5; busts. (Calvin Pickard: 14 saves)
“and the Red Sox and the Yankees over eight and a half runs at minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
BOS 4, NYY 3 — Combined 7; over 8.5 busts.
“Lou Dort over points, rebounds, and assists over 13 and a half at minus 110. It's not even juiced heavily for Lou Dort.”
IND 104, OKC 111 — Luguentz Dort: 9 pra vs over 13.5; busts. (Luguentz Dort: 9 pra)
“So we're going under 15 and a half for Benedict Matherin points, rebounds and assists.”
IND 104, OKC 111 — Bennedict Mathurin: 10 pra vs under 15.5; covers. (Bennedict Mathurin: 10 pra)
“So plays for today, Lou Dort over 13 and a half points, rebounds and assists. Benedict Matherin under 15 and a half points, rebounds and assists. Parlay of Thunder Moneyline, Royals Moneyline, Braves Runline, three to one for one unit for us here on a Friday.”
Parlay busts: Oklahoma City Thunder — won; Kansas City Royals — lost; Atlanta Braves -1.5 — won.
“I don't want to lay the type of number that we're being asked to lay here for 26 and a half saves for Sergei Bobrovsky over 26 and a half in regulation at minus 112.”
Bobrovsky made 27 regulation saves, over 26.5. (27 regulation saves)
“Giants Tigers is a plus one 24 two leg money line parlay. Giants to complete the sweep Tigers to win on schoolable day plus one 24 for one unit.”
Parlay busts: San Francisco Giants — lost; Detroit Tigers — won.
“But Zander over Rory for plus 105 for one unit in the round one head to head here for today at the U.S. Open.”
Schauffele beat McIlroy in Round 1. (Schauffele 72, McIlroy 74)
“Pacers plus one and a half in the first quarter. It's the only bet I'm making cider total. Just like game one. Only bet I'm making this time taking the home team. It's the Pacers. Game one, home team was the Thunder. Coming in, taking the Pacers here just because I expect a very excited crowd, loud atmosphere, and a better performance in the first quarter for the Pacers here. First quarter, plus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
Indiana trailed Oklahoma City 32-24 after the first quarter and did not cover +1.5. (IND 24, OKC 32 (first quarter))
“OB top and over 10 and a half points and assists here today at minus, ooh, at minus 118.”
8 PTS + 1 AST = 9; over 10.5 lost. (8 PTS + 1 AST = 9)
“I like this Lou Dort over eight and a half at minus one 30. Fandles got this. They're the lowest in the market at the moment. Heaviest juice. I don't really care. I want to win here. I want to get this. I want to get this W Lou Dort over eight and a half points and assist tonight at minus one 30.”
12 PTS + 0 AST = 12; over 8.5 won. (12 PTS + 0 AST = 12)
“But let's take the Giants on the run line against the Rockies at minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
COL 7, SF 10 — San Francisco Giants margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Red Sox raise over four and a half first five that should say first five at minus 125 1.25 units down there”
The first five innings total was 3; over 4.5 lost. (BOS 2, TB 1; total 3 (first five innings))
“So let's grab it at 1.5 minus 160 for the Giants for 1.6 units.”
COL 5, SF 6 — San Francisco Giants margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“pirates money line at minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
PIT 2, MIA 3 — Pittsburgh Pirates lost; moneyline busts.
“Florida money line minus 130 for 1.3 units and Bobrovsky over 25 and a half saves at minus 140 for 1.4 units there”
FLA 6, EDM 1 — Florida Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“Florida money line minus 130 for 1.3 units and Bobrovsky over 25 and a half saves at minus 140 for 1.4 units there”
FLA 6, EDM 1 — Sergei Bobrovsky: 32 saves vs over 25.5; covers. (Sergei Bobrovsky: 32 saves)
“And Red Sox first five over four and a half up against the Tampa Bay Rays for today. We're going to bet that all week to see how that winds up playing out for this homestand for the Red Sox.”
The first five innings total was 4; over 4.5 lost. (BOS 1, TB 3; total 4 (first five innings))
“So for the NBA plays for game two tonight, Pacers plus 11 looking to try to middle that SGA under 47 and a half points, rebounds and assists.”
OKC 123, IND 107 — Indiana Pacers margin -16 vs line +11; busts.
“We're going under 47 and a half for SGA points, rebounds and assists at minus 125.”
OKC 123, IND 107 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 47 pra vs under 47.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 47 pra)
“And the books came right back with a 12 and a half for points, rebounds and assists. We're going to play over points, rebounds and assists for TJ McConnell here at minus 114.”
OKC 123, IND 107 — T.J. McConnell: 20 pra vs over 12.5; covers. (T.J. McConnell: 20 pra)
“Team total Yankees over four and a half for one point two units.”
New York Yankees scored 7 in the full scope; over 4.5 won. (New York Yankees 7 (full))
“So there's your Belmont ticket that I am playing. Four horses that we are jumping in with. The two, the seven, the six, and the one. $36, $3 box.”
Sovereignty (#2) finished first and Journalism (#7) second; the exacta box contained both.
“Harrison money line for the bantamweight title to go to Harrison but we're not laying that we're parlaying that with over four and a half rounds in the main event between Marab and O'Malley at minus 145. We're going to take that for 1.1, 1.45 units.”
Harrison won, but the main event ended in Round 3, losing over 4.5 rounds. (Harrison won; Dvalishvili submission R3)
“money line for O'Malley at plus two 45 for a half a unit.”
O'Malley lost by third-round submission. (Dvalishvili submission R3)
“with Severino going, I'm going to take the Orioles on the money line at minus 120 for one point two units.”
ATH 4, BAL 7 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“So it's a plus three ninety parlay. Phillies run line, Mets run line, Casey money line at plus three ninety. We're going to chuck a half unit down on that.”
Parlay busts: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 — lost; New York Mets -1.5 — won; Kansas City Royals — lost.
“Florida money line is plus money. Give me plus 110 on the Panthers to even up their series at one game apiece.”
EDM 4, FLA 5 — Florida Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to keep on betting it. Bobrovsky over 25 and a half saves at minus 105. Again, watch out for the in regulation. Don't bet that include overtime because this game going OT won't surprise anybody.”
Bobrovsky made 42 saves, over 25.5. (42 saves)
“like Atlanta on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena to go in there and keep on beating up on the worst team in the W that's Connecticut, Atlanta minus nine for 1.1 units.”
CON 84, ATL 76 — Atlanta Dream margin -8 vs line -9; busts.
“but lay the 13 and a half. Some books are already at 14. New York on the road. Again, they won by 18. Let's just bet it again. Liberty minus 13 and a half for 1.1 units.”
WSH 78, NY 86 — New York Liberty margin +8 vs line -13.5; busts.
“So I want a better number. I want an end game, but officially first quarter Thunder minus three for 1.1 units.”
Oklahoma City led Indiana 29-20 after the first quarter and covered -3. (OKC 29, IND 20 (first quarter))
“So I think if this game does get away from Indiana Toppin will be on the floor I think it a good bet Obi Toppin over 11 and a half points and rebounds at minus 120 for 1 units”
17 PTS + 5 REB = 22; over 11.5 won. (17 PTS + 5 REB = 22)
“We're going to bet the under under 11 and a half Aaron Neesmith for points for one point one units.”
OKC 110, IND 111 — Aaron Nesmith: 10 points vs under 11.5; covers. (Aaron Nesmith: 10 points)
“Under seven and a half Giants and the Padres We're going to keep on rolling here under seven and a half and minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
SF 6, SD 5 — Combined 11; under 7.5 busts.
“So I'm going to bet the under here under nine at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
CIN 1, MIL 9 — Combined 10; under 9 busts.
“First five over five. It's plus money at plus 110. Books have it heavily juiced to the under at minus 130. I'm going to bet the same thing we bet yesterday. Over five, Angels, Red Sox at plus 110.”
The first five innings total was 4; over 5 lost. (BOS 1, LAA 3; total 4 (first five innings))
“This total at eight and a half is too low. I'm stunned at this. This should be nine or higher over Phillies, Blue Jays over eight and a half here today for us.”
TOR 3, PHI 8 — Combined 11; over 8.5 covers.
“I'll lay the points 11 and a half. I'll lay it with the links 11 and a half for 1.1 units.”
MIN 88, PHX 65 — Minnesota Lynx margin +23 vs line -11.5; covers.
“Total was five in the first inning. It's a little juicy at minus 125, but push potential. Let's lay it. Red Sox, Angels, first five over five at minus 125.”
The first five innings total was 11; over 5 won. (BOS 5, LAA 6; total 11 (first five innings))
“A's Twins over nine for the game at minus 118.”
ATH 4, MIN 10 — Combined 14; over 9 covers.
“And Tigers, Marlins, Moneyline Parlay at plus 123 for one unit.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Tigers — won; Miami Marlins — lost.
“Best bets the under under eight and a half Braves and the Red Sox for 1.22 units and minus 122.”
ATL 1, BOS 3 — Combined 4; under 8.5 covers.
“So Mets money line parlayed with the Padres money line is a plus 110 parlay As I said I just can quit these two leg money line parlays Plus 110 here Mets fading the Rockies and the Padres fading the Pirates”
Parlay cashes: New York Mets — won; San Diego Padres — won.
“I'm going to lay the one and a half. Vegas goes to Climate Pledge Arena after losing by 20 there last week. And they come away with a win here. I'll lay it. Minus one and a half for Vegas on the road.”
SEA 70, LV 75 — Las Vegas Aces margin +5 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're taking the plus money here, much like the Dodgers on this. You give me plus money on this. Four straight run line losses for the A's. They've lost 15 of 16 overall. Run line A's plus 135 for one unit.”
TOR 8, ATH 7 — Athletics margin -1 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I'm taking Scoobull on the money line, Mets on the money line. two leg money line parlay at minus 110 for 1.1 units. Jumping in on that. So two baseball bets, money line, Mets Tigers for 1.1 units, run line by itself, Blue Jays for plus 135.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Tigers — lost; New York Mets — won.
“points and assists over 23 and a half for Carl Anthony Towns”
22 PTS + 2 AST = 24; over 23.5 won. (22 PTS + 2 AST = 24)
“We're going to jump in on OG over his points and assists at 17 and a half.”
24 PTS + 3 AST = 27; over 17.5 won. (24 PTS + 3 AST = 27)
“We are going to jump in here with the OG rules, three leg run line parlay that's going to come in at a plus 668 record or number. Toronto run line, Mets run line, San Diego run line, half a unit down on that.”
Parlay busts: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (run line) -1.5 — won; New York Mets -1.5 (run line) -1.5 — won; San Diego Padres -1.5 (run line) -1.5 — lost.
“Give me the money line, plus 115. Dodgers to win game one of this series. I'll take LA for one unit.”
LAD 8, NYY 5 — Los Angeles Dodgers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm taking Minnesota on the money line, parlaying that up with the Vegas Aces on the money line for a minus 110 play.”
Parlay cashes: Las Vegas Aces — won; Minnesota Lynx — won.
“Cat over 32 and a half points in rebounds at minus 128.”
24 PTS + 13 REB = 37; over 32.5 won. (24 PTS + 13 REB = 37)
“Tyrese Halliburton over nine and a half assists at minus 125.”
NY 111, IND 94 — Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists vs over 9.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists)
“And Obi Toppin over points in rebounds. Sorry, that number should be 10 and a half. That number is not on the screen. over 10 and a half at minus 112.”
11 PTS + 4 REB = 15; over 10.5 won. (11 PTS + 4 REB = 15)
“Oklahoma city laying eight and a half at home to close out the timber roves at minus 110”
OKC 124, MIN 94 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +30 vs line -8.5; covers.
“pregame for the podcast, officially Carolina hurricanes to stay alive. Plus one Oh five on the money line for one unit.”
CAR 3, FLA 5 — Carolina Hurricanes lost; moneyline busts.
“it's a little pricey at minus 135, but I'm going to take it. Reds team total over three and a half runs at minus 135.”
Cincinnati Reds scored 2 in the full scope; over 3.5 lost. (Cincinnati Reds 2 (full))
“So our plays for today, Diamondbacks, Mets, Cubs, same parlay as yesterday, plus 150 for one unit.”
Parlay busts: New York Mets — won; Chicago Cubs — won; Arizona Diamondbacks — lost.
“But I think today I taking Indiana Lay the two and a half points with the Pacers at minus 110”
IND 130, NY 121 — Indiana Pacers margin +9 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Tyrese Halliburton points, rebounds and assists under 35 and a half at minus 120.”
IND 130, NY 121 — Tyrese Haliburton: 59 pra vs under 35.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 59 pra)
“This is a three-leg money line parlay for us here today in Major League Baseball. Diamondbacks, Mets, Cubs is a plus 176 parlay. We're jumping in for one unit here with those three Moneyline plays here.”
Parlay cashes: Arizona Diamondbacks — won; New York Mets — won; Chicago Cubs — won.
“Panthers Hurricanes over five and a half in the hockey game at minus 105 and Anthony Edwards points, rebounds and assists under 42 and a half.”
FLA 0, CAR 3 — Combined 3; over 5.5 busts.
“He got 45, 42 and a half is the number now at minus one 20. we're going to go with a prop bed cheat sheet and we're going to bet the under here. The prop bed cheat sheet is projecting 37.9 points, rebounds and assists. Brant, the Edwards, that's nearly a difference of five in this total. We're talking about a very good defensive team in OKC who's been burned in back to back games by Anthony Edwards scoring 30 and 32 points, grabbing nine rebounds in both games, having six assists in both games. He's been awesome. Now the T-Wolves lost game two, 118-103, and they won game three, 143-101. You have to think that OKC is going to try to have somebody else beat them than Anthony Edwards. I think that's what the prop bet cheat sheet is projecting. We did very well in the regular season by following point rebounds and assist unders on the prop bet cheat sheet. Let's just roll with this here. And I know overnight numbers, sometimes the numbers move and whatnot. But I like Anthony Edwards to get not shut down here, but not have as big of a game as he's had the last two games for the Thunder. And maybe wind up with 40 or 39, somewhere in that range, which is generally what he has from a points, rebounds, and assists. In game one, it was 38 and a half, and he wound up with 30. He was rather pedestrian. Game one, 18 points, nine rebounds and three assists. It's going to be like he's been in game two, game three. Well, Thunder fans, I mean, T-Wheels fans hope that he is. But Thunder fans are probably going, wait a minute, we got to shut this guy down. I'm going to follow the prop that teach you here. We're going to bet one point two units on the under forty two and a half for Anthony Edwards.”
MIN 126, OKC 128 — Anthony Edwards: 26 pra vs under 42.5; covers. (Anthony Edwards: 26 pra)
“So our plays for today, Pacers, Knicks over 223.”
IND 100, NY 106 — Combined 206; over 223 busts.
“I'll take Dallas on the money line to win game three at plus 140 for one unit.”
EDM 6, DAL 1 — Dallas Stars lost; moneyline busts.
“Royals twins under eight at minus 110.”
MIN 5, KC 4 — Combined 9; under 8 busts.
“the Timberwolves and the Thunder over 218 at minus 110”
MIN 143, OKC 101 — Combined 244; over 218 covers.
“and Carolina and Florida over 5.5 at minus 110 but like I mentioned that number has moved since I bet this this morning so it's now plus money”
FLA 6, CAR 2 — Combined 8; over 5.5 covers.
“Your parlay that we are throwing in the don't bet parlays parlay today. Again, we hit it last week under seven Brewers Pirates under three and a half team total. Make sure your book will let you do that. Some books won't let you do that, but we're going to do that. And then we're playing the under team total for the Royals under three and a half. That is a plus three to 89 parlay for us here with that to do that. It's essentially going to be a same game parlay for some people. But if you want to bet them all three pick parlay plus two eighty nine for that. So not every book should let you do that. So make sure you find a book that will let you do the correlated parlay with the under and the pirates team total under. but plus 289 for one unit.”
The game-total under-7 leg lost with 11 runs. (Pirates 6, Brewers 5)
“Over 225 and a half for the Knicks and the Pacers at minus 110.”
NY 109, IND 114 — Combined 223; over 225.5 busts.
“And over three and a half goals team total for Dallas at plus 124 for 1.24 units.”
Dallas Stars scored 0 in the full scope; over 3.5 lost. (Dallas Stars 0 (full))
“And the Panthers over two and a half goals tonight up against the Carolina Hurricanes at minus 135.”
Florida scored five goals, over 2.5. (Panthers 5 goals)
“Under 214 and a half for Minnesota in Oklahoma City.”
OKC 118, MIN 103 — Combined 221; under 214.5 busts.
“Royals, Giants, Nerfee, no run in the first inning at minus 138 for 1.38 units.”
First inning had 0 runs; NRFI won. (0 first-inning runs)
“The Giants at home this year are now 15-10 to the under, and the last four games of this road trip, or sorry, excuse me, of this homestand have gone under, including the first two games here against the Royals. I'm going to bet the under, under seven and a half and minus 115 for these two teams.”
SF 4, KC 8 — Combined 12; under 7.5 busts.
“Pirates team total against the Reds under three and a half at minus 110.”
Pittsburgh Pirates scored 3 in the full scope; under 3.5 won. (Pittsburgh Pirates 3 (full))
“We're going over 224 for the Knicks and the Pacers tonight in game one of the Eastern Conference finals.”
NY 135, IND 138 — Combined 273; over 224 covers.
“Royals under 3.5 plus 102 for one unit.”
Kansas City Royals scored 2 in the full scope; under 3.5 won. (Kansas City Royals 2 (full))
“Pirates team total under 3.5 at minus 104.”
Pittsburgh Pirates scored 1 in the full scope; under 3.5 won. (Pittsburgh Pirates 1 (full))
“Over five and a half series is minus 135. We're going to put 1.35 units down on that for this series to go to six or seven. Doesn't matter who wins, but four, two or four, three, either T-Wolves or for the Thunder.”
Oklahoma City won the Western Conference Finals 4-1, so the series lasted five games and finished under 5.5 games. (Series length: 5 games (Oklahoma City 4-1 Minnesota))
“We'll take the plus seven and a half tonight. Plus seven and a half Minnesota for 1.1 units.”
OKC 114, MIN 88 — Minnesota Timberwolves margin -26 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Royals team total rinse and repeat bet. Keep it going under three and a half team total for the Royals at minus 115.”
Kansas City Royals scored 3 in the full scope; under 3.5 won. (Kansas City Royals 3 (full))
“Giants money line at minus 118 for 1.18 units.”
SF 1, KC 3 — San Francisco Giants lost; moneyline busts.
“Reds money line at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
PIT 1, CIN 7 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“OK, so to recap the place for today, Royals under three and a half team total up against the Cardinals at plus 122 for one unit.”
Kansas City Royals scored 2 in the full scope; under 3.5 won. (Kansas City Royals 2 (full))
“John Rahm shoots under 70 and a half in the fourth round of the PGA. at minus 115 at 1.15 units,”
Jon Rahm shot 73 in the final round; under 70.5 lost.
“nor in over Vegas in a round for head to head at minus 137 for 1.37 units.”
Noren lost the final-round matchup to Vegas. (Noren 76, Vegas 72)
“Diamondbacks money line Diamondbacks money line The Phillies money line and the Cubs money line is a three leg money line parlay It's kind of gross, to be quite honest. It's only plus one thirty three to give you an idea. It's only it's only plus one thirty three. I mean, come on, that's ridiculous. But Cubs, Phillies, Diamondbacks, three leg money line parlay, Cubs, Phillies, Diamondbacks money line plus one thirty three.”
Parlay busts: Chicago Cubs — won; Philadelphia Phillies — won; Arizona Diamondbacks — lost.
“The total is eight and a half under team total Royals under four and a half at minus one thirty five.”
Kansas City Royals 3 runs; under 4.5 won. (Kansas City Royals 3 runs)
“Puck line. Don't hit the under two, by the way. 3-1-4-1 final here for the Dallas stars don't hate the under five and a half, but I'm going to take the plus one 70 and take a shot here.”
Dallas Stars outscored Winnipeg Jets 2-1 in the full scope; the selection won. (DAL 2, WPG 1 (full))
“Okay, so they don't bet parlay's parlay, four-legger, Cubs money line, Phillies money line, Diamondbacks money line, and the under four and a half for the Royals. It is all fading. Our favorite bets going against the Rockies, Pirates, White Sox, and team total under for the Royals. It's a plus 389 parlay. We'll throw a half a unit down on that.”
All four parlay legs won. (Cubs 13-3; Phillies 8-4; Arizona 8-0; Royals 3 runs)
“Close it out here. Open net opportunities galore here. Puck line is plus 115. We're taking the Florida Panthers on the puck line at plus 115 for one unit.”
FLA 0, TOR 2 — Florida Panthers margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Casey Royals team total. It's a plus three eighty nine parlay for a half a unit. Celtics over fifty two and a half. First half team total at minus one fifteen. I say one thirty. Sorry, minus one fifteen for one point one five units. and the Panthers on the puck line at plus 115 for one unit.”
Boston scored 37 first-half points; over 52.5 lost. (37 first-half points)
“Both hockey games to go under. Hurricanes in the Capitals under five and a half at minus 120.”
WSH 1, CAR 3 — Combined 4; under 5.5 covers.
“Jets in the Stars under five and a half at minus 105.”
WPG 4, DAL 0 — Combined 4; under 5.5 covers.
“But pre-flop, Denver plus five for 1.1 units.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — Denver Nuggets margin +12 vs line +5; covers.
“Rangers money line parlayed with the Mets money line. And that actually, we got to pay a little juice on this. It's minus 103. So 1.03 units down on that.”
Parlay busts: Texas Rangers — won; New York Mets — lost.
“Tigers against the Red Sox. Red Sox are going up against Scooble. And the Red Sox bullpen had a horrific loss yesterday. They're trying to avoid being swept. And they're not going to do it against Scooble. So that's my bad on that. That's a that's Tigers money line. So it's Reds and Tigers money line, not Reds and Cubs. I don't mind the Cubs play. You could throw that in there. I mean, I have different. I haven't. Sorry, I confused myself on that. That's a I have a different bet on that with what I made with the Cubs. I don't mind that. But it's Reds and Tigers money line parlay at plus 110 because the Red Sox. I mean, their bullpen is so bad. Tigers are the best team in the American League right now. And Boston's getting swept like they're going to get swept. Their bullpen is just atrocious at the moment. They gave up two three run home runs to Javier Baez yesterday, including a three run walk off home run in the 11th inning. Just unacceptable on so many levels there on that. So apologies on that. Let's go ahead and reset that. Rangers Mets money line parlay. Reds Tigers money line parlay at plus 108.”
Parlay busts: Cincinnati Reds — lost; Detroit Tigers — won.
“We're going to bet the under. Under six and a half for Vegas and Edmonton at plus money. I got plus 115 on that for one unit.”
VGK 0, EDM 1 — Combined 1; under 6.5 covers.
“And for that reason we going to lay one and a half points in the first quarter like we did in the last game I have hit this in back to back games We going to bet it again Boston laying one and a half It minus one thirty That one point three units But the Celtics to be leading after one quarter by a bucket by two points.”
Boston Celtics was outscored by New York Knicks 30-32 in the first quarter scope; the selection lost. (BOS 30, NY 32 (first quarter))
“Mets money line parlayed with the worst going up against the worst team on the road in major league baseball, the Colorado Rockies, no dead cat bounce for them. They got that when they won on Sunday. So they used up all their good luck. They lost to the Mets last night. I think they'll lose to the Mets again. We'll go, you know, pitchers bullpen doesn't matter. Bad baseball teams, two leg money line parlay, Rangers, Mets, even money for one unit.”
Parlay cashes: New York Mets — won; Texas Rangers — won.
“I'm going to bet puck line. Give me the Dallas stars on the puck line here to win. We might need an open net goal to win four to two. You can bet a money line if you want, but I thought why not have a little fun here and push our luck a touch and go puck line at plus one 70.”
DAL 3, WPG 1 — Dallas Stars margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“We're going to play the over over 220 and a half for Denver and OKC in game number five.”
OKC 112, DEN 105 — Combined 217; over 220.5 busts.
“Boston to be leading after the first quarter. But you can even, you know, wait and see if it drops down to one. But it's one and a half. I bet it. Celtics to be up by a bucket after the first quarter for 1.1 units.”
Boston Celtics outscored New York Knicks 39-28 in the first quarter scope; the selection won. (BOS 39, NY 28 (first quarter))
“So if they shoot again really well in the first quarter, and most likely if they cover the first quarter number. We're going to go over 54 and a half. So it's somewhat correlated between the two Celtics first quarter minus one and a half against the Knicks Celtics first half team total over 54 and a half at minus 120.”
Boston scored 62 first-half points; over 54.5 won. (62 first-half points)
“The hockey bet today is just a rinse and repeat. I'm not doing anything differently. I'm betting under five and a half for Washington and Carolina. we are three, you know, betting it and we're just going to bet it again. At some point, the books are going to hang a five, but it's five and a half. It's a little it's minus one twenty. I'm just going to keep on betting it.”
CAR 5, WSH 2 — Combined 7; under 5.5 busts.
“OK, so plays for us here today. The Celtics minus one and a half in the first quarter against the Knicks for 1.1 units. The Celtics team total in the first half over 54 and a half and minus 120. Washington, Carolina under five and a half and minus 120 and the over one 99 and a half for Golden State in Minnesota at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
The full total was 227; over 199.5 won. (GS 110, MIN 117; total 227 (full))
“but we're going to go Braves money line, And we're going Padres money line for a two leg money line parlay. That is a plus one Oh four parlay for one unit.”
Parlay busts: Atlanta Braves — lost; San Diego Padres — lost.
“So I'm just going to take the money line and take the, you know, who wins this. And I think it's going to be Dallas rocking atmosphere at home. Winnipeg was great on the road this year. They were 26 and 15. I don't want to totally discredit Winnipeg, But we're going to take Dallas with that 28 and 10 and three home record. Dallas Moneyline at minus 140.”
DAL 5, WPG 2 — Dallas Stars won; moneyline covers.
“But I'm taking the points. Denver plus seven for 1.1 units.”
DEN 87, OKC 92 — Denver Nuggets margin -5 vs line +7; covers.
“Yankees money line parlayed with the Padres money line for plus one forty five. You can swap the Yankees out for somebody else if you feel more comfortable not taking the Yankees there. As I said, you can go with other teams like St. Louis, but I'm going to take it officially with the Yankees and the Padres at plus 145.”
Parlay busts: New York Yankees — lost; San Diego Padres — won.
“I don't want to play around with the Red Sox bullpen with Garrett Crochet. I don't want to play around with this. You can bet money line if you want. Sorry, run line, excuse me, if you want. But I'm going to bet run line. So if it's 1-1, 2-2, 0-0, if it's tied after five, it's a push. So someone's got to be leading after five. And the Red Sox price is pretty decent. It's only minus 120.”
Boston Red Sox outscored Kansas City Royals 4-1 in the first five innings scope; the selection won. (BOS 4, KC 1 (first five innings))
“But I got minus one ten of the book that I bet it at. I'm just going to bet the under until we get thrown off here, until we see a high scoring game with lots of penalties under five and a half for Washington and Carolina.”
CAR 4, WSH 0 — Combined 4; under 5.5 covers.
“but two legger tigers money line and the Padres money line. You've got a nice little plus price at a jumping in there on that. That's a plus 118 parlay for one unit.”
Parlay cashes: Detroit Tigers — won; San Diego Padres — won.
“Stars money line. I'm going even money. It's it's an easy shot to take here with Dallas on the money line. Even money for one unit.”
Dallas Stars was outscored by Winnipeg Jets 0-4 in the full scope; the selection lost. (DAL 0, WPG 4 (full))
“We'll bet the over 229 and a half for Indiana and Cleveland for 1.1 units or 1.08 units. Our plays for today on a Friday, Tigers, Padres, Moneyline Parlay at plus 118. Stars, Moneyline and Even Money in the over 229 and a half for Cleveland and Indy at minus 108.”
IND 104, CLE 126 — Combined 230; over 229.5 covers.
“innings worth of work, just 13 hits and four earned runs given up for Chris Bubik. Moneyline Royals, Moneyline Tigers, a little AL Central Moneyline Parlay is plus 115, one unit.”
Parlay cashes: Kansas City Royals — won; Detroit Tigers — won.
“can't blow two goal leads to teams like Edmonton, Vegas, money line to win this game here today at minus 128 for 1.28 units.”
VGK 4, EDM 5 — Vegas Golden Knights lost; moneyline busts.
“So three bets for us here on a Thursday, Vegas Moneyline at minus 128 to beat the Oilers, Royals, and the Tigers game one, Moneyline Parlay at plus 115 for one unit, and the under five and a half for Washington and Carolina in game two at minus 102 for them here in their best of seven series.”
WSH 3, CAR 1 — Combined 4; under 5.5 covers.
“Celtics team total over one or over 57 and a half for 1.1 units at minus 108. Actually, that's minus 1.08 units on this over 57 and a half team total for the Celtics in the first half.”
Boston scored 50 first-half points; over 57.5 lost. (50 first-half points)
“Bet it again. Over seven. Giants and the Cubs.”
CHC 1, SF 3 — Combined 4; over 7 busts.
“I'm going to take the Stars simply because of Connor Hellebuck. Give me Dallas. Money line minus 119.”
WPG 2, DAL 3 — Dallas Stars won; moneyline covers.
“But regardless, I think Boston scores over 56 and a half points in the first half here in game one for one point three units. It's minus one thirty. I got this at 56 and a half. Pay a little juice to get a better number over 56 and a half points in the first half for Boston at home up against the New York Knicks.”
Boston scored 61 first-half points; over 56.5 won. (61 first-half points)
“The total for this game is set at seven and a half. I'm going to bet the over. I know the weather could come into play here a little bit at night, Wrigley Field. It may be a bit on the chillier side, but given these offenses are both Chicago and San Francisco, and given the fact that both starting pitchers, I think could get hit and give up some runs here over seven and a half and minus 115 for the Giants and the Cubs.”
CHC 9, SF 2 — Combined 11; over 7.5 covers.
“Let's take it. Astros, Padres, Moneyline Parlay. That's a plus three, 63 play. Let's put a half a unit down on it. Let's not get too crazy, but let's go half a unit at plus three, 63 for the Padres and the Astros for a Cinco de Mayo two-leg Moneyline Parlay.”
Parlay busts: San Diego Padres — won; Houston Astros — lost.
“Give me the Pacers plus nine for 1.1 units and absolutely look to hedge in game and try to middle it. Cavaliers minus one, Cavs minus two. Don't go over a possession for Cleveland, but get it in game and then see if we can hit a middle here. But I'm taking the nine points for the Pacers at plus nine. We bet them in game one. I bet them in game two here to cover the spread plus nine for Indiana up against the Cleveland Cavaliers.”
CLE 119, IND 120 — Indiana Pacers margin +1 vs line +9; covers.
“But preflop I take the shot on the six to go over six between Edmonton and Vegas here for 1 units”
The full total was 6; over 6 push. (VGK 2, EDM 4; total 6 (full))
“We're going to go over for the A's and the Mariners. All right. So our plays for today, Pacers plus nine for 1.1 units, Vegas and Edmonton over six for 1.1 units and A's Mariners over nine and a half for 1.1 units as well there.”
ATH 3, SEA 5 — Combined 8; over 9.5 busts.
“Giants team that can straight up match the baseball. $3 favorites, the Giants. Parlay Giants and the Red Sox. Moneyline Parlay is minus 115, 1.15 units down on that.”
Parlay busts: San Francisco Giants — won; Boston Red Sox — lost.
“Give me the Pacers plus eight, 1.1 units down on the Pacers, plus eight on the road in game one against Cleveland.”
CLE 112, IND 121 — Indiana Pacers margin +9 vs line +8; covers.
“I really think in a game seven, the over is a really good look here over 203 and a half.”
HOU 89, GS 103 — Combined 192; over 203.5 busts.
“prop bet cheat sheet dylan brooks points and rebounds is 12.5 minus 122. FanDuel has this every game in this series. He has gone over 12 and a half points and rebounds, except for the last game in which he only had four. He was silent, but he's gone over that number 13 and a half in every game of the series. In terms of his props, he's four and one to the over, sorry, four and two to the over here for his props for points and rebounds. 16 and a half, 15 and a half, 15 and a half, 15 and a half, 15 and a half, 16 and a half, 12 and a half in a game seven where Dylan Brooks tends to be just an agitator and wants the basketball and wants the ball in his hands. and wants, excuse me, wants to be a veteran, wants to do what he needs to do. And only he's coming off of his worst game of the series. And we get a deeply depressed number. Propit Cheat Sheet likes this at 18 and a half. Propit Cheat Sheet likes this to go way over 12 and a half, 18.2. That's a difference of 5.7. It's a plus 39% positive EV play, five-star play. And again, Dylan Brooks has gone over this number 80% of the time over his last five games. The only game it didn't go over was the last game. Full unit play. Dylan Brooks over points in rebounds, 12 and a half at minus 122, 1.22 units down on this to come back to win a unit on this with Dylan Brooks.”
Dillon Brooks totaled 10 points plus rebounds, below 12.5. (8+2=10)
“I'm going to roll the dice here a little bit on this, and I'm going to play the under it's plus money at plus one 10 under five for Winnipeg and St. Louis.”
WPG 4, STL 3 — Combined 7; under 5 busts.
“Just have this thing go seven Lakers and Timberwolves over six and a half games is plus 144. We're going to jump in on that over six and a half games.”
Minnesota won the first-round series 4-1, so the series lasted five games and finished under 6.5 games. (Series length: 5 games (Minnesota 4-1 Los Angeles))
“Give me Vegas at home. It's a plus 185 play Vegas to beat the wild in seven in that series. We are picking a winner, so it can't just go seven Vegas must win in seven in a game seven at home at plus 185.”
Vegas won the series in six games, not exactly seven.
“Cleveland to win it all at plus 550 for one unit”
Cleveland did not win the 2025 NBA championship; Oklahoma City did.
“I think he'll be on the court and I think, and I want three, not three and a half, get three here, but I like the Warriors to win and cover here in game number three, to take a two games to one lead up against this Rockets young upstart Rockets team. One game a piece. I think the Warriors win game three. They'll cover the three, lay the three warriors minus three for 1.1 units”
GS 104, HOU 93 — Golden State Warriors margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“The prop bit cheat sheet is projecting this number way down here for tonight In fact four and a half differential between the projection and what the prop is at 32 and a half It a little juicy at minus 120 but we talking about one of the best defensive teams in the entire NBA Really tough to get this for Desmond Bain. He's had one time in this series. I'm going to follow the prop bet cheat sheet here. Desmond Bain under 32 and a half points, rebounds and assists at minus 120.”
MEM 115, OKC 117 — Desmond Bane: 33 pra vs under 32.5; busts. (Desmond Bane: 33 pra)
“So under 22 and a half at minus 120, Aaron Gordon points and rebounds here. Again, bet 0.6 to win a half a unit coming back on that.”
14 PTS + 6 REB = 20; under 22.5 won. (14 PTS + 6 REB = 20)
“So instead of taking them on the money line, I want to come in and take it in 60 in regulation avalanche to win in regulations only minus 115 I think it a better way of playing it I know the last two games have gone to overtime I don think this game goes to overtime It would be surprising to see a third straight game go to overtime”
Colorado Avalanche outscored Dallas Stars 4-0 in the regulation scope; the selection won. (COL 4, DAL 0 (regulation))
“Garrett Crochet at home run line plus money. on Garrett Crochet on the run line or throwing a unit down on the Red Sox run line at plus 125 for one unit.”
BOS 3, SEA 4 — Boston Red Sox margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'll lay the five points. I don't think this game is going to be close. Give me the Clippers minus five for 1.1 units.”
LAC 117, DEN 83 — LA Clippers margin +34 vs line -5; covers.
“But I'm still going to play the under. I still think that you're going to get the best effort out of Orlando. They going to get back to what they have done And the Magic have been an under team at home like we talked about 26 and 16 to the under at home this year against the Eastern conference They went 29 and 26 to the under Boston went 31 and 23 to the under as well against the Eastern conference on the road this year, Boston was 25 and 16 on the road to the under. And like we talked about 16, 26 and 16 at home for the Orlando magic. We're going to come under, under one 98 and a half for Boston in Orlando in game three of their best of seven series.”
ORL 95, BOS 93 — Combined 188; under 198.5 covers.
“And I'm going to lay the three. I don't want three and a half. I want one possession. Okay. I don't want this going. Don't want this going three and a half, four. Don't like it. I want three. Okay. Minnesota minus three up against the Lakers here at home. I think they win.”
MIN 116, LAL 104 — Minnesota Timberwolves margin +12 vs line -3; covers.
“So we're going to play it at six officially because you, but if you have access, wink, nod to that five and a half is a better number. So if you find five and a half, take five and a half, even if it's juicy, take five and a half, because I think four to final is really possible. But a push is fine. And, you know, no harm, no foul here over for over six for the Kings and the Oilers in game three of their best of seven series. All right. So plays on Friday, Boston Orlando under one ninety eight and a half. T-Wolves laying three at home in game three against the Lakers and Edmonton in the LA Kings. We're going over six at minus one Oh five here on a Friday for us for hockey.”
EDM 7, LA 4 — Combined 11; over 6 covers.
“I don't think the heat win, but I do think the heat are going to keep this game close. I'll take the 12 and a half points. Miami plus 12 and a half for 1.1 units.”
CLE 121, MIA 112 — Miami Heat margin -9 vs line +12.5; covers.
“Jalen Green needs to be much better tonight. I think he's going to be. I laid I laid to an F Rockets minus two and a half up against the Warriors to even up their series at one game apiece.”
HOU 109, GS 94 — Houston Rockets margin +15 vs line -2.5; covers.
“But I think the better plays the over. It's five and a half minus 125. Some books have already gone to six. I just don't trust either goaltender Skinner or Darcy Kemper. Six five was the final in the first game. I'm not necessarily betting just because it was six five. I just watched the defense and the lack thereof. I mean, Edmonton is playing wide open. The Kings had so many scoring opportunities. I think this is at least a 4-2 win here for the LA Kings, but could be a 4-3 win for the LA Kings. Oilers play no defense, and I don't care. I mean, either goaltender. If Picard plays, I doubt it, but it's going to be Skinner and Kemper most likely. Kemper could play much better, but he had soft goals. And I'm concerned about him shutting down Edmonton, just given the fact that they allowed McDavid to do what he did and Dreisaitl and whatnot. Danger. Very very danger feel to this game where Edmonton might score a ton of goals here to even up the series at one game apiece So rather than getting in front of Edmonton and saying they can beat L in game two I think the better play is to come in about the over five and a half at minus 125.”
The full total was 8; over 5.5 won. (LA 6, EDM 2; total 8 (full))
“Milwaukee plus four is the official play, but absolutely sprinkle money line on Milwaukee to win this game outright against Indiana to even up their series at one game apiece. I don't think Milwaukee misses all the shots that they missed in game one. They could very well turn around and make those threes. They took 37 of them. The Pacers took 34 of them and they made 13. That was pretty much your margin of victory there with five or four more made threes there for the Indiana Pacers. 117, 98. They shot 51.9% overall for the game. and they shot 26 20 of 26 from the foul line Milwaukee was 35 of 84 That 41 and 19 of 28 from the foul line That 67 So 68% from the free throw line. That's unacceptable in the postseason. I think Milwaukee is much better tonight. Give me the bucks at plus four.”
Milwaukee Bucks was outscored by Indiana Pacers 115-123 in the full scope; the selection lost. (MIL 115, IND 123 (full))
“You parlay them together. It's a minus one Oh two. parlay 1.02 units down on the golden Knights to go up to Oh, also the Carolina hurricanes to go up to Oh, I don't love parlaying and I don't mean to parlay every day, but I just think two leg money line parlays in the NHL playoffs when there's a massive mismatch. I just, I mean, for fun, I actually didn't do this, but if for fun, if you want to put in Oklahoma city, uh, let's see. it turns into a plus one, 12 parlay. If you want to do that, that's not horrible. You want to throw in the thunder that turns it into a plus money. So I didn't do that. I took the hurricanes and the golden Knights, but I just thought of it while I'm taping here to throw in the thunder. So if you want to make it a three leg parlay, throw the thunder in there. Now you got a three leg parlay at plus one, 12, but I mean, I don't know, maybe the Grizzlies shocked the world and beat the thunder. It would be stunning, but you know, zigzag theory, if you will. So not official, but the, The official bill is Hurricanes, Golden Knights, Moneyline Parlay at minus 102.”
Parlay busts: Carolina Hurricanes — won; Vegas Golden Knights — lost.
“I'm going to bet the under on the A's and the Rangers and just hope that the starting pitchers don't go off the rails and give up a ton of runs here early in the game. Bullpens have been okay. Not great. They've been okay. Texas has been eh. A's have been, as we know, up and down. I'm going to take a flyer on this simply because I think the number is too high at 10. And I think the two starting pitchers are actually better than people think. I think both Beto and Corbin, I mean, maybe they both turn back into pumpkins and they both get lit up. But I'll bet the under for now until we're proven otherwise. I'll bet the under on that game for one point one units.”
ATH 5, TEX 8 — Combined 13; under 10 busts.
“I'm betting money line. I'm not going to lay the one and a half points. It's only minus 115. I'm going to lay the money line on the Clippers. Look, you can talk about zigzag theory if you want, but this was a two point win for the Denver Nuggets in game one in overtime in which realistically the game shouldn't have gone to overtime. You had big shots hit by Russell Westbrook. If he keeps on doing that tip of the cap and most likely the Clippers are going to lose the series. But I thought they would split in Denver and I still think they're going to split in Denver. And I think we're going to see a big game out of Kawhi Leonard here today. I think the Clippers will make some pretty big adjustments as to what Denver did. And I think the defense will be stepped up a notch even more so for the L.A. Clippers here against the Nuggets. I don't think they want to go down 2-0. It's not over even if they do go down 2-0, but this is going to be a very big game in this series. I think the Clippers win this. They even up their series at one game apiece. I'm going to lay the money line for 1.15 units down.”
LA Clippers outscored Denver Nuggets 105-102 in the full scope; the selection won. (LAC 105, DEN 102 (full))
“I don't like the dog in this game. I like the favorite. Give me the Kings minus 115 for the Kings at home on the money line.”
LA 6, EDM 5 — Los Angeles Kings won; moneyline covers.
“We're going to go over points, rebounds and assists from Malik Beasley at 19 and a half and parlay that with the Boston Red Sox money line. That is a plus 150 parlay for us here on that.”
Parlay busts: Malik Beasley over 19.5 points+rebounds+assists +19.5 — lost; Boston Red Sox — won.
“It's 13 and a half. I am taking Memphis plus 13 and a half.”
OKC 131, MEM 80 — Memphis Grizzlies margin -51 vs line +13.5; busts.
“13 and a half. Give me the magic plus 13 and a half with the same strategy of when Boston is up minus three and a half minus four come in here.”
BOS 103, ORL 86 — Orlando Magic margin -17 vs line +13.5; busts.
“So to me, take the points. Miami plus 12 and a half.”
CLE 121, MIA 100 — Miami Heat margin -21 vs line +12.5; busts.
“I'm taking Golden State plus one, plus one and a half. I think they win the game outright, but I'll take the point just for the heck of it.”
HOU 85, GS 95 — Golden State Warriors margin +10 vs line +1; covers.
“So we're taking the Nats in game two of the double header at the Rockies for a plus two 17 parlay. Half a unit. Why not? Let's do it. Cavaliers money line, hurricanes money line, Nats money line. It is your Easter parlay for us with fading the heat, fading the devils and betting on the Lord for the Nationals at plus 217 for a half a unit.”
Parlay cashes: Cleveland Cavaliers — won; Carolina Hurricanes — won; Washington Nationals — won.
“I just take the seven points. give me the Pistons plus seven for 1.1 units.”
NY 123, DET 112 — Detroit Pistons margin -11 vs line +7; busts.
“Game one. Give me the points. I'm taking four and a half. Give me the timber ropes plus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
LAL 95, MIN 117 — Minnesota Timberwolves margin +22 vs line +4.5; covers.
“Libertore under four and a half K's at minus 150 for the Cardinals.”
NYM 3, STL 0 — Matthew Liberatore: 6 strikeouts vs under 4.5; busts. (Matthew Liberatore: 6 strikeouts)
“Give me Miami. I'll lay it with one. heat minus one, basically a money line play to go and become the number eight seed in the NBA Eastern Conference. And they will take on the number one seed Cavaliers. And I think they could make it kind of difficult for them. I think they could push them. I think they might make life a little difficult on the Cavaliers. They won't beat them, but I think they'll make life difficult on the Cavaliers. I'll take the Miami heat with Eric Sproostra, just a better coach period here in this in this game Miami minus one for 1.1 units.”
ATL 114, MIA 123 — Miami Heat margin +9 vs line -1; covers.
“This number opened up at six and a half. It's been bet down to six. I'm taking the six here. I'm taking the Dallas Mavericks. The only question is, can they score enough to win this game? That's the question. Because defensively, they played extremely well against Sacramento and they looked engaged. And if Klay Thompson does what he did in the second quarter here where he went crazy. They scored 44 points in the second quarter against Sacramento outscored them 44 to 19. I mean, for me, I think Dallas wins the game. So I would definitely sprinkle money line, but you're going to give me six points on this with a questionable ankle for John Morant. I think this team might be getting blown up at their, after this game, there may be some big changes coming with Memphis with triple J or John Morant in Bain and company. I don't know how much longer these guys stay together. This is been a tough year in Memphis. And I think Dallas, if they don't win the game, Dallas keeps it close. I'll take the six points. Dallas plus six for 1.1 units.”
Dallas Mavericks was outscored by Memphis Grizzlies 106-120 in the full scope; the selection lost. (DAL 106, MEM 120 (full))
“250 years later, a Paul Revere parlay is a plus 125 parlay. Phillies money line, Red Sox money line, half a unit at a plus 125 for Paul Revere. The Paul Revere parlay, two leg Red Sox with Boston and a horse with the Phillies coming in with the two leg money line parlay.”
Parlay cashes: Philadelphia Phillies — won; Boston Red Sox — won.
“Anderson over four and a half K's at minus one 60 at 0.8 units to win a half a unit coming back for us here with one player prop with Tyler Anderson, four, five, six, let's get seven case here against the Giants and go over the prop easily over four and a half and minus 160, four and a half case for Tyler Anderson, the Angels up against the San Francisco Giants.”
LAA 2, SF 0 — Tyler Anderson: 6 strikeouts vs over 4.5; covers. (Tyler Anderson: 6 strikeouts)
“That is a nine to one, a plus 900 bet. I love it. I don't just like it. I love it. The logic is right there. It makes perfect sense. let's chuck a half a unit on it. It's worth the flyer on the Washington commanders at number 29 to take a safety with their first pick.”
Washington selected offensive tackle Josh Conerly Jr. with its first pick, not a safety.
“Plus one 30 on the Bama quarterback, Jalen Milrow to be a first round pick for a half a unit.”
Jalen Milroe was not selected in the first round.
“The weather is going to be cold and misty and wet and nasty under eight A's and the White Sox under eight for one point one unit.”
CHW 0, ATH 8 — Combined 8; under 8 pushes.
“We're going to play the under it's minus 135 for Palente. under four and a half K's up against the Mets, who are the number one team at home, least strikeout team so far for 0.67 units.”
NYM 4, STL 1 — Andre Pallante: 2 strikeouts vs under 4.5; covers. (Andre Pallante: 2 strikeouts)
“But now he's back at home where last year he was a dramatically different pitcher at home again at home a dramatically different pitcher here we're going over 5.5 strikeouts for Christopher Sanchez up against the Giants here today that's a minus 130 play we're putting 0.6 down on that to win a half a unit coming back on that”
PHI 6, SF 4 — Cristopher Sanchez: 12 strikeouts vs over 5.5; covers. (Cristopher Sanchez: 12 strikeouts)
“I'm only laying one, basically a money line bet. Chicago minus one for 1.1 units.”
CHI 90, MIA 109 — Chicago Bulls margin -19 vs line -1; busts.
“Let's go Kings. Kings minus four and a half for one point one units.”
SAC 106, DAL 120 — Sacramento Kings margin -14 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Give me the Padres. I'll lay the minus 113 shop around get the best money line price here but give me the Padres to bounce back it is a 410 eastern time start 110 pacific time start for the Padres and the Cubs I'll take the Padres to take two out of three against the Cubs and beat Matthew Boyd and the Cubs here today Padres on the money line for 1.13 units”
SD 4, CHC 2 — San Diego Padres won; moneyline covers.
“throws coming in this game. Under 217 for the Magic and the Hawks for 1.1 units.”
ORL 120, ATL 95 — Combined 215; under 217 covers.
“I think they win the game, but I'll take the seven points. Memphis plus seven for 1.1 units.”
GS 121, MEM 116 — Memphis Grizzlies margin -5 vs line +7; covers.
“you want something extra you can do that but I'm gonna take the plus here on a team total for the Phillies to go over four and a half runs at plus one 17 or sorry, one 18 for the Phillies.”
Philadelphia Phillies scored 6 in the full scope; over 4.5 won. (Philadelphia Phillies 6 (full))
“plus two and a half games is minus 145. We're taking the Pistons against the Knicks, minus 145, 1.45 units, plus two and a half in their series up against New York.”
New York won the series 4-2; adding 2.5 series games to Detroit's two wins produces 4.5, so Detroit covered the +2.5 series-games spread against New York's four wins. (New York 4 series wins, Detroit 2; Detroit +2.5 = 4.5)
“Clippers to win the series outright at plus 135. I said plus 120, plus 135. Sorry, better number. 135 is what I got. One unit down on that.”
Denver defeated the LA Clippers in the first-round series.
“I think we see some runs here but I just going to take giants on the money line I get plus I getting plus 105 on the Giants money line Give me the Giants money line plus 105 up against the Phillies on the road to keep themselves hot”
PHI 4, SF 10 — San Francisco Giants won; moneyline covers.
“Cardinals money lines, even money. Give me the Cardinals. Even money. We're jumping in home dog. Cardinals. Even money.”
STL 8, HOU 3 — St. Louis Cardinals won; moneyline covers.
“So Bryson DeChambeau plus 250 to win the Masters for one unit, knowing that we're going to try to play off of it as the round unfolds.”
Bryson DeChambeau did not win the 2025 Masters; Rory McIlroy won the tournament.
“So I'm going to take Corey Connors and a head to head up against Shane Lowry at minus 114 for 1.4. units.”
Conners beat Lowry in Round 4. (Conners 75, Lowry 81)
“I think Jackson Dart goes inside the top 20. He might even wind up going inside the top 10 under 21 and a half is minus 125 from a draft from a draft position. There's your first NFL draft bet for the upcoming NFL draft. Jackson Dart under 21 and a half. Caesars has this at minus 125.”
The New York Giants selected Jaxson Dart 25th overall; 25 is over the under-21.5 draft-position line. (Jaxson Dart draft position: 25)
“for Anthony Edwards numbers 29 and a half at minus 120. We're going over points and rebounds for Anthony Edwards in a must win game for the Timberwolves. We're taking that for 1.2 units. We're taking it for a half a unit. So 0.6 to win a half a unit.”
MIN 116, UTAH 105 — Anthony Edwards: 54 pra vs over 29.5; covers. (Anthony Edwards: 54 pra)
“Clippers go to Golden State. Clippers, Moneyline, they get a win. That is a plus 183 Moneyline parlay. We're going to take the other half a unit from the player prop, and we're betting on that. All right. Anthony Edwards, points and rebounds over 29 and a half. Minnesota Denver Clippers Moneyline Parlay is a plus 183 parlay. Half a unit down on that to give us some action here for the Western Conference. All three of those teams need to win two secure playoff berths. We're going to group them together. Moneyline Parlay with Minnesota Denver in the LA Clippers Moneyline at plus 183.”
Parlay cashes: Minnesota Timberwolves — won; Denver Nuggets — won; LA Clippers — won.
“The A's haven't announced their starting pitcher, but it's David Peterson for the Mets. Probably an opener for the A's offense. Nine and a half over Mets and the A's at minus 105 over nine and a half in Major League Baseball.”
ATH 3, NYM 1 — Combined 4; over 9.5 busts.
“Let's take a unit and break it in half. Let's take Patty Pimlet to win on the money line at minus 150. Bet it to win a half a unit. So that's point. I got it at minus 150. That's 0.75 units on Patty Pimlet to win the fight, to win a half a unit and then take”
Pimblett defeated Chandler by third-round TKO. (TKO R3 3:07)
“So that's how I'm going to bet this with Patty Pimlet by decision and or by money line rather and Patty Pimlet, which does cover the knockout by the way, but Patty Pimlet by submission for the other half a unit at plus 235.”
Paddy Pimblett won by TKO, not submission.
“I'm betting on him now and watch it burn me here. But I'll leave the minus 145 for Volganovsky money line here to win and get the belt back here for Volganovsky.”
Volkanovski defeated Lopes by decision. (Volkanovski unanimous decision)
“Third round head to head. Brian Campbell plus one oh six to beat Max Homa in third round scoring here today at the Masters.”
Campbell lost to Homa in Round 3. (Campbell 76, Homa 69)
“I'm going to take Charles Schwartzel head to head round to Charles Schwartzel over Max Homa coming up here today for round number two. We're going to jump in. That is a minus one twenty two. Schwartzel is the favorite for one point two two units.”
Schwartzel lost to Homa in Round 2. (Schwartzel 72, Homa 70)
“We're going to shoot. We're going to bet under 70 and a half for Scotty Scheffler score for round two for Scotty here for one. My 1.15 units.”
Scottie Scheffler shot 71 in Round 2; under 70.5 lost.
“So our bets for today, second round head to head. Schwarzel over Homa at minus 122. Scotty Scheffler under 70 and a half score for round number two. And the A's and the Mets over 10 runs to be scored at minus 112.”
ATH 6, NYM 7 — Combined 13; over 10 covers.
“Top 10 with ties. It's a nice play for us to come in and throw a unit down on it. Russell Henley top 10. Yes. With ties at plus two 90.”
Russell Henley missed the cut; top 10 lost.
“Bubba Watson is plus money at circus sports plus one 15 in a first round head to head.”
Watson beat Homa in Round 1. (Watson 71, Homa 74)
“That is not going to be the weather here today. It's going to be disgusting in Boston under eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOS 4, TOR 3 — Combined 7; under 8.5 covers.
“They're scoring a ton of runs here with this. So over nine and a half for the A's and the Padres for 1.15 units.”
ATH 1, SD 2 — Combined 3; over 9.5 busts.
“We'll jump on that with the Phillies money line at plus money. I think plus 105, right, is what I wound up getting with that. That was plus 105. Yeah, that I got with that. So plus 105 in the Phillies, one unit down on that.”
ATL 3, PHI 4 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“But I got this at Circus Sports in Vegas, okay? Brooks Koepka up against Victor Hovland, who I don't really, Victor Hovland is in the same category as Colin Morikawa with me on these things. Like I don't really trust them. And I do think Brooks is going to play really well this week. I think Koepka is going to be a player to watch. We very well may come in with more Brooks Koepka and jump in with more Brooks in terms of where we'll be with a top 20 leaders. You know, bet him to win the thing. I'm not going to bet him yet. I want to go and see it. But for a four round head to head, Koepka over Hovland is only minus one 30. Too good of a price. Can't pass that up. Brooks over Victor Hovland at minus one 30 for 1 units”
Koepka missed the cut while Hovland completed the Masters. (Koepka MC)
“Dustin Johnson, top 20 on the yes is plus three 60. Sergio Garcia, I believe is the same price. Let me just double check. I know he's what he's plus one 75. Okay. So that's a mistake there. Sergio is plus one 75 Dustin Johnson is plus three 60.”
Sergio Garcia missed the cut; top 20 lost.
“Sergio is plus one 75 Dustin Johnson is plus three 60. So both those prices are wrong. I'll correct that for the official on the official mark, but just FYI, Dustin Johnson, top 20, Sergio Garcia, top 20. Do not play that with dead heat rules.”
Dustin Johnson missed the cut; top 20 lost.
“Let's just rinse and repeat. Same score, same everything tonight. Padres A's over eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
ATH 10, SD 4 — Combined 14; over 8.5 covers.
“Red Sox on the run line. We're going to go ahead and take the plus 120. Boston laying one and a half runs for one unit at plus 120.”
BOS 1, TOR 6 — Boston Red Sox margin -5 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Points, rebounds, and assists under 27 and a half for Julius Randle at minus 125. Bet that to win a half a unit.”
MIL 110, MIN 103 — Julius Randle: 22 pra vs under 27.5; covers. (Julius Randle: 22 pra)
“here today of 18 and a half for Bud Carrington. We've bet him before. We're going to bet him again under points and rebounds for Bud Carrington of 18 and a half.”
13 PTS + 4 REB = 17; under 18.5 won. (13 PTS + 4 REB = 17)
“So two of the three games went over, but offense and giving up runs for the Padres so far after this eight and two start over eight minus one twenty five for the Padres in the A's in Sacramento.”
ATH 4, SD 5 — Combined 9; over 8 covers.
“Under 25 and a half points and assists for Bam Adebayo of the Miami Heat. That will come in for us at a price tag of minus 112.”
Bam Adebayo did not play; consistent with corpus no-participation treatment, the player prop is void. (Bam Adebayo: DNP)
“Sacramento's okay defensively. They're not great. The sort of middle of the pack, but we're going to go over 15 and a half points for Malik Beasley at minus 106 for one point or 0.53 units on this.”
DET 117, SAC 127 — Malik Beasley: 14 points vs over 15.5; busts. (Malik Beasley: 14 points)
“LeBron James under 29.5 points in rebounds to win a half a unit and minus 118.”
19 PTS + 3 REB = 22; under 29.5 won. (19 PTS + 3 REB = 22)
“Jimmy Butler under points and assists at 21 and a half here for today.”
Jimmy Butler recorded 13 points and 3 assists (16 combined), under 21.5. (Jimmy Butler: 13 PTS + 3 AST = 16)
“So that is why I like the under five and a half here for Sandy. I don't think he gets let go very long here. Alcantara under five and a half strikeouts, the prop bet cheat sheet.”
The scheduled Marlins-Braves game was postponed; with no governing sportsbook rescheduling rule stored, the date-specific pitcher prop is terminally ungradeable and void.
“we're going to give his pick his k prop a chance to go over four and a half let's see if we get to five or six or seven or eight k's for kade povich of the orioles up against the royals here over four and a half k's for kade povich on this”
KC 4, BAL 1 — Cade Povich: 4 strikeouts vs over 4.5; busts. (Cade Povich: 4 strikeouts)
“You can get Ovechkin third period goal at plus 350. I'm going to throw a quarter unit on it and just see if he gets it.”
Ovechkin did not score in the third period. (Washington 0 third-period goals)
“I'm going to lay the two and a half Gators minus two and a half, 10 straight wins. Let's make it 11 for the Gators for 1.1 units.”
AUB 73, FLA 79 — Florida Gators margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm taking Houston plus the points plus five and a half.”
DUKE 67, HOU 70 — Houston Cougars margin +3 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the three points with Nova. Nova minus three for 1.1 units.”
Villanova Wildcats margin -6 with -3; lost. Final: VILL 98, UCF 104.
“So we'll jump in with those two. So I was searching and looking around. I'm like, okay, we need a fourth sport. So a four sport, four leg money line parlay, Red Sox, Celtics, capitals. Who's the fourth? UConn. I don't love betting women's basketball, but I'm going to take UConn on the money line against UCLA. They are seven and a half point favorites. I'm going to trust Gino Ariema. It's women's basketball. It's the late game. The second game against UCLA for UConn. They're minus three 60 money line favorites. We're going to jump in and we're going to grab that here for that. So first birthday for sport for leg on a four, four money line parlay is a plus two Oh three Celtics, Red Sox, UConn, Capitals, four leg money line parlay is plus two or three. Let's put a full unit down on that.”
Parlay won: Boston Celtics — won; Boston Red Sox — won; UConn — won; Washington Capitals — won.
“See Yakum under points and rebounds at 28 and a half. Ovechkin a goal. Devers a hit. Bogart's a hit. It's a plus six, one, seven parlay. Do you know what six, one, seven is? 617 is the area code of Boston, Massachusetts. I mean, come on. Of course, we're playing that. Just a quarter unit. We're not going nuts, okay?”
Bogaerts went hitless, losing the four-leg parlay. (Siakam 27 P+R; Ovechkin goal; Devers 2 hits; Bogaerts 0 hits)
“I am jumping in on the Phillies though give me Philadelphia they won 3-1 at home yesterday up against the Rockies they're 3-0 at home they're 5-1 overall gonna fade the Dodgers Time for LA to lose Philadelphia plus one 20 on the money line.”
PHI 3, LAD 2 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“So Nova money line, Irvine money line that if you throw that together for us, you're going to jump in with a plus one twenty six parlay. We'll throw one unit down on that.”
Parlay lost: Villanova — won; UC Irvine — lost.
“Reds money line is even money. We're going to jump on it. Reds over the Brewers here today on a Thursday getaway day. For many teams, we're taking the Reds money line. Excuse me. Up against the Brewers at even money.”
MIL 1, CIN 0 — Cincinnati Reds lost; moneyline busts.
“R.J. Barrett points, rebounds, and assists under 32 and a half. I'm minus 121.6 units to win a half a unit coming back on that.”
TOR 103, POR 112 — RJ Barrett: 27 pra vs under 32.5; covers. (RJ Barrett: 27 pra)
“Avalanche money line parlayed with the Hurricanes money line is a plus 105 bet for a half of unit. So 0.5 units coming in there at plus 105.”
Parlay cashes: Carolina Hurricanes — won; Colorado Avalanche — won.
“Let's go ahead and take a plus 11 and plus 14 and a half parlay together in the NBA for a half a unit. And this is going to come out with a pretty decent price for us on this. When you put them both together, it's a plus 264 parlay on this. Pistons plus 14 and a half. Heat plus 11 for an NBA two leg parlay at plus 264.”
Parlay busts: Detroit Pistons +14.5 +14.5 — lost; Miami Heat +11 +11 — won.
“And when you take Paul Skeens' money line parlayed with the Red Sox money line, that is a plus 230 parlay for a half a unit. Red Sox to win and the Pirates to win.”
Parlay cashes: Boston Red Sox — won; Pittsburgh Pirates — won.
“Let's keep the game close to leg Nebraska money line and take Butler at plus six and a half to leg money to line to leg parlay Nebraska, the money line, And Butler a plus six and a half here for the crown for the quarterfinals of the crown. So plays for today. Butler and Nebraska points with Butler. Nebraska money line is plus 151 for a half a unit.”
Parlay lost: Nebraska — won; Butler +6.5 — lost.
“So I'm going to lay three points with Villanova here. I think they get it done. They win their opening game of the crown. I mean, most people like Villanova to make a run here in the crown totals, one 44 up from one 37 and a half, but the number is either three and a half or three. I got three, take three. Okay. If you can get three, jump in on three for this game.”
Villanova Wildcats margin +21 with -3; won. Final: COLO 64, VILL 85.
“It's only minus 125 in regulation. We're going to jump on the Washington Capitals who are one-and-one against the Bruins this year, but minus 125 for the Boston Bruins. Sorry, for the Washington Capitals in regulation.”
Washington Capitals outscored Boston Bruins 4-3 in the regulation scope; the selection won. (WSH 4, BOS 3 (regulation))
“So our first Major League Baseball bet of the season in the regular season is Anthony Sandander. They're over one and a half bases for him at plus 105.”
0 total bases; over 1.5 lost. (0 total bases)
“They've lost two games in a row and they have minus 24 negative goal differential. We're going to take the avalanche in regulation at minus one fifty five for them here today.”
Colorado was tied after 60 minutes, losing the regulation-only selection. (2-2 after regulation)
“So our plays for today, two NBA player props to come on the betting pros app at sports talk. Matt, go and search me there. Anthony Sondander over one and a half bases at plus one Oh five Boston and Memphis over two 34 and a half at minus one 10 and Colorado and regulation up against the Calgary flames at minus one 55 for 1.55 units.”
The full total was 220; over 234.5 lost. (MEM 103, BOS 117; total 220 (full))
“OK, so we're going to lay minus 160, bet $250, which is the full rollover on Houston.”
HOU 69, TENN 50 — Houston Cougars won; moneyline covers.
“So I'm going to take a shot and bet the over. You can bet the under if you want. It'll be a very popular play to bet the under, but I'm going to bet the over, over 123 and a half for Tennessee and Houston.”
The full total was 119; over 123.5 lost. (HOU 69, TENN 50; total 119 (full))
“Let's take the point. Point plus one and a half for UC Irvine in the semifinals of the NIT. Let's keep writing the anteaters here. Grab onto them for one for one point one units at plus one and a half.”
UC Irvine Anteaters margin +2 with +1.5; won. Final: UCI 69, UNT 67.
“Give me the over. Duke's going to score on Bama. I'm not buying Bama's defense. BYU again, didn't shoot well. They got 88 points. Duke over 90 and a half team total points here up against Alabama for 1.1 units.”
Duke Blue Devils scored 85 in the full scope; over 90.5 lost. (Duke Blue Devils 85 (full))
“So our plays for today. Duke team total over 90 and a half for 1.15 units. The Bulls laying three at home against Dallas at minus 110 and the Kings money line up against a tough Toronto Maple Leafs team for minus 135 for 1.35 units.”
Chicago Bulls was outscored by Dallas Mavericks 119-120 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CHI 119, DAL 120 (full))
“Until further notice, I'm betting on the Kings when they play home games. Minus 135 on the money line for the LA Kings here to get a win over the Rangers.”
LA 1, TOR 3 — Los Angeles Kings lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm taking the points. Ole Miss plus three and a half against Michigan State.”
MSU 73, MISS 70 — Ole Miss Rebels margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Houston Moneyline, there's not much of a handicap here. They've won 15 games in a row. It's the nation's longest active winning streak. Let's go to 16 for Houston Moneyline. Take that $207 and roll it over with Houston Cougars Moneyline. Keep the experiment going with the Cougs.”
HOU 62, PUR 60 — Houston Cougars won; moneyline covers.
“Can Kentucky win the game? Of course. Will they? I don't know, but I'll take the points here at plus four and a half for Kentucky.”
TENN 78, UK 65 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I think the Cardinals are going to get to 80 wins here and go over their projected win total. Cardinals over 76 and a half wins for the 2025 baseball season.”
St. Louis finished 78-84; over 76.5 wins won.
“We made it last year. We lost it by a single win. We're going to do it again. Under 59 and a half for the wins for the Colorado Rockies.”
Colorado finished 43-119; under 59.5 wins won.
“I think we're going to be sitting pretty for this bet to go over for the wins. 85 and a half wins for the Texas Rangers. We're going over 85 and a half right wins for the Texas Rangers.”
Texas finished 81-81; over 85.5 wins lost.
“Let's get another one here. It's a plus one 14 parlay for Loyola, Chicago and the New Jersey devils.”
Parlay won: New Jersey Devils — won; Loyola Chicago — won.
“These are teams. I mean, they scored 96 on Iowa State. They can score 96 on Alabama. Give me the points. Plus five and a half for BYU up against Alabama.”
ALA 113, BYU 88 — BYU Cougars margin -25 vs line +5.5; busts.
“If you don't have a sprinkle on Arkansas to win it all, you're leaving money on the table. Not because they may win it. If they get to the final four, it's the hedge of hedge opportunities. Now they got to win this game, obviously against Texas Tech. Six point loss, according to Ken Palm. I think they win the game outright. Now I'm taking the points, obviously at five and a half, but Texas Tech, I like topping a lot, but I think with extra time to prepare, I mean, I don't know, man.”
TTU 85, ARK 83 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin -2 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Finally, this handicap is not special, but I bet it on Saturday. I'm betting it again on Thursday. Duke money line, Florida money line minus 152 getting kind of expensive. Don't care.”
Parlay cashes: Duke — won; Florida — won.
“It's a five-star play, 33% positive EV. Darius Garland under points, rebounds, and assists at 33 and a half.”
POR 111, CLE 122 — Darius Garland: 40 pra vs under 33.5; busts. (Darius Garland: 40 pra)
“Five-star play, again, a very good positive plus 32 positive EV play. Under, 34.5 points, rebounds, and assists for Evan Mobley.”
POR 111, CLE 122 — Evan Mobley: 37 pra vs under 34.5; busts. (Evan Mobley: 37 pra)
“We're going under Dyson Daniels guard for the Hawks under 14 and a half points for to win a half a unit.”
HOU 121, ATL 114 — Dyson Daniels: 19 points vs under 14.5; busts. (Dyson Daniels: 19 points)
“Prop bet cheat sheet likes it looking for an over. I'm going to give it to you over 23 and a half points, rebounds and assists for Fred Van Fleet.”
HOU 121, ATL 114 — Fred VanVleet: 28 pra vs over 23.5; covers. (Fred VanVleet: 28 pra)
“Just get the Kings at minus 150, but I'd rather put the one unit down and have a chance to get a plus 121 return on it. Kings money line, avalanche money line. Again, if you want to get froggy, throw St. Louis in there. That makes it a plus 267 parlay. You're betting on the streak, right? Bet on teams to win. I don't hate that, but officially we're going to avalanche Kings money line parlay for one unit to win 1.2 units on the comeback for us here today.”
Parlay cashes: Los Angeles Kings — won; Colorado Avalanche — won.
“So three NBA player props and one two leg NHL parlay to recap the wild plus one and a half goals up against the stars on the road parlayed with the Islanders money line at plus one 96 for one unit.”
Parlay busts: Minnesota Wild +1.5 +1.5 — lost; New York Islanders — lost.
“I got two bets on this game. Scotty Barnes points in rebounds over 25 and a half at minus one Oh six.”
13 PTS + 10 REB = 23; over 25.5 lost. (13 PTS + 10 REB = 23)
“but we're going to bet Jordan pool points, rebounds, and assists over 22 and a half for him. The prop bet cheat sheet has this set as a projection for 28 for Jordan pool, five-star play plus 38 positive EV. And again, cause Toronto's on a back to back, not great defensively to good time to jump in on an over here. It's 22 and a half and minus one 12 for, for, for Jordan pool.”
WSH 104, TOR 112 — Jordan Poole: 25 pra vs over 22.5; covers. (Jordan Poole: 25 pra)
“And LeBron went under this number of 30 and a half. The prop bet, Chi Chi, is projecting LeBron to have, you know, not that good of a game. And I know, again, it can be scary to bet unders for LeBron. But I think this is one of those times where you jump in and you look at LeBron and say, OK, the injury minutes. How often is he going to play? The projection is for LeBron to come pretty far under this 25, 26 points rebounds for LeBron. let's fade LeBron James and bet an under with LeBron up against the Orlando magic coming up here for tonight.”
24 PTS + 6 REB = 30; under 30.5 won. (24 PTS + 6 REB = 30)
“We're hedging off with a Colorado state to make the sweet 16 bet with Maryland money line, LA Kings money line up against the Boston Bruins for minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay cashes: Maryland — won; Los Angeles Kings — won.
“So give me the points. I'm taking St. Mary's at plus five and a half. I think St. Mary's always got to win the game, taking St. Mary's.”
ALA 80, SMC 66 — Saint Mary's Gaels margin -14 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So for me, I came in and I'm going to take Ole Miss at five and a half, but I'm going to end game that for sure. So like that's a hedge on the Ole Miss side of things. But I don't love that bet. That bet scares me.”
ISU 78, MISS 91 — Ole Miss Rebels margin +13 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to take the dog more often than not. And I'm taking the dog here, taking UCLA at plus five and a half to keep this game close.”
TENN 67, UCLA 58 — UCLA Bruins margin -9 vs line +5.5; busts.
“Drake was a six and a half point dog to Missouri. They won the game by 10 outright. There are seven point dog to Texas tech. I'm taking the points. I'm not going to get off this Drake Creighton, my two teams. I'm betting on them.”
TTU 77, DRKE 64 — Drake Bulldogs margin -13 vs line +7; busts.
“So could we be in for a chaotic Sunday? I'm hoping so. And hoping we see a lot of dogs bark here. BYU plus one and a half here for tonight.”
WIS 89, BYU 91 — BYU Cougars margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.
“And let's see if we can make up that unit that we lost or close to that unit that we lost So plus 182 for one unit Oregon money line parlayed with Baylor money line”
Parlay cashes: Baylor — won; Oregon — won.
“So that's an important W there for one unit. And then Creighton plus nine and a half on Saturday, the first bet for us on Saturday up against Auburn at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
AUB 82, CREI 70 — Creighton Bluejays margin -12 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'll take the points. Drake plus six and a half for one point one units.”
MIZ 57, DRKE 67 — Drake Bulldogs margin +10 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I don't need them to cover. I just need them to win the game. And I think they're going to win the game. I think they're going to beat Utah state. And again, this is just, I don't need to lay the five and a half points with UCLA. I'm just doing a money line. It's minus one 20 UCLA money line, Clemson money line for 1.2 units.”
Parlay busts: Clemson — lost; UCLA — won.
“I think this is a one possession game, much like the St. Francis play. I'm going to take the dog thinking that it's going to be a tight basketball game. And when it's tight and coming down to one possession, I would rather have the points. Texas plus three. You might want to fade that just FYI. I bet Texas plus three, but I haven't been great with Texas.”
TEX 80, XAV 86 — Texas Longhorns margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Losses to Duke two times in that stretch. Carolina money line minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
MISS 71, UNC 64 — North Carolina Tar Heels lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to lay the four with St. Mary's against Vanderbilt. I don't like Vandy's chances here. I think St. Mary's defense is going to be really difficult to deal with. I think they have the size. They're not going to be afraid of the sec. Give me St. Mary's minus four for 1.1 units.”
SMC 59, VAN 56 — Saint Mary's Gaels margin +3 vs line -4; busts.
“I think they keep the game close. They have a shot to win the game on Friday night late in Raleigh, North Carolina, Oklahoma plus five and a half.”
Oklahoma Sooners was outscored by UConn Huskies 59-67 in the full scope; the selection lost. (OU 59, CONN 67 (full))
“Carolina's offense might be the difference, but I'm far more comfortable riding with the defense and saying I'm taking the dog in defense at plus five. San Diego State plus five for 1.1 units.”
SDSU 68, UNC 95 — San Diego State Aztecs margin -27 vs line +5; busts.
“CSU money line, but I'm going to instead take the four to one on CSU to make the sweet 16 to win two games and play off of it Four to one return on CSU”
Colorado State did not reach the Sweet 16.
“Oilers win money line, two leg money line parlay. As I said, I hit it last night with Toronto and Tampa. We're going Oilers and the stars here tonight for plus one oh one, basically even money for one unit.”
Parlay cashes: Edmonton Oilers — won; Dallas Stars — won.
“I Arkansas can win the game outright. I mean, sprinkle money line on this, but we're taking five and a half Arkansas plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
KU 72, ARK 79 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin +7 vs line +5.5; covers.
“It's a five, 12 game type of situation. Give me the points plus three. It's two now or two and a half. You see Santa, you see San Diego plus three for 1.1 units.”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — UC San Diego Tritons margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.
“This is like a 91 60 type of route where St. John wins by 30, 17 and a half. I laid it last night, minus 17 and a half for St. John's here for 1.1 units.”
SJU 83, OMA 53 — St. John's Red Storm margin +30 vs line -17.5; covers.
“OK, so our three NBA player props here for today are Quinton Grimes points, rebounds and assists under 28 and a half. Nikola Vucevic on over 15 and a half points. You might get 14 and a half. I got 14 and a half, But most bets are at most books are at 15 and a half. And Desmond Bain points and assists under 30 and a half for 1.1 units. The Grimes is also minus one. That's the wrong price, too. It's minus 110 for Quinton Grimes. Sorry about the mistake.”
HOU 144, PHI 137 — Quentin Grimes: 63 pra vs under 28.5; busts. (Quentin Grimes: 63 pra)
“Five-star play, like I said, in his last five, 60% of the time it has hit. So we're going over 15 and a half points for Nikola Vucevic, if I can say it, up against the Bulls.”
UTAH 97, CHI 111 — Nikola Vucevic: 10 points vs over 15.5; busts. (Nikola Vucevic: 10 points)
“Desmond Bain points and assists 30 and a half. We're going to play the under on Bain. This has been sort of an inconsistent number for him. 27 and a half. He had 30 in his last game as Miami went over 25 and a half. He had 15 against Cleveland under 27 and a half was the prop number. We got to 26 against the jazz 30 and a half against the Phoenix Suns. He came in with 13 went over against against the Pelicans and the Dallas Mavericks, but went under against Oklahoma City. So four and three over the last seven games for points and assists for Desmond Bain under 30 and a half at minus 110.”
44 PTS + 4 AST = 48; under 30.5 lost. (44 PTS + 4 AST = 48)
“We have a 10 to one play on Florida. I'm going to lay it with the Gators here. I'm going to lay the four and a half points with Florida for 1.1 units.”
FLA 86, TENN 77 — Florida Gators margin +9 vs line -4.5; covers.
“i like wisconsin minus three and a half here the number is a little scary if i get burned on the hook i get burned on the hook okay that could be but i just watched two finals and the better team won and the better team covered even after playing a bunch of games adrenaline whatever what you want to call it. Wisconsin has the size to handle both seven footers for four for Michigan. I don't think it's gonna be that big of a problem. You've got seven footers and six eleven kids on this team's on bulk for the Badgers and then the guard play. I think the guard play is just going to be really hit the three. If Wisconsin hits her threes, I think Wisconsin is going to wind up winning this year. Wisconsin's offense, they're 79th and three point shooting. Michigan's defense is 76th and three point defense, but number one free throw shooting team in the country is Wisconsin. We're trying to cover numbers with championships on the line, Wisconsin to hit free throws to win this. I'll lay the three and a half with Wisconsin here for that.”
MICH 59, WIS 53 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So we're going to put the Max Christie play on here. Points, rebounds and assists under 20 and a half.”
DAL 125, PHI 130 — Max Christie: 29 pra vs under 20.5; busts. (Max Christie: 29 pra)
“We're going to ride this Evan Mobley under 22 and a half points and assists here for the prop bet. Cheat sheet. This is the number one defense against this prop. A 36 positive EV play in a five star rated play for Evan Mobley under 22 and a half points and assists at minus 129”
Evan Mobley did not appear in the official box score for Orlando at Cleveland; consistent with corpus no-participation treatment, the player prop is void. (Evan Mobley: DNP)
“We're going to play the over for Chet Holmgren points, rebounds, and assists for Chet. Sorry, points and rebounds. Excuse me, just points and rebounds for Chet Holmgren at minus one 10 over 22 and a half for Chet Holmgren.”
16 PTS + 8 REB = 24; over 22.5 won. (16 PTS + 8 REB = 24)
“We'll go with Moses Moody under 14 and a half points and rebounds at minus 110.”
18 PTS + 1 REB = 19; under 14.5 lost. (18 PTS + 1 REB = 19)
“Prop pit cheat sheet likes this to go under. We're going to ride with the prop pit cheat sheet here and their projection of going under 24 and a half. They've got a projection of 22, 34% positive EV and a five-star play again, coming in with the under 24 and a half points and rebounds for Josh Hart. Okay. So our two NBA player props, Moses Moody points and rebounds under 14 and a half. Josh Hart points and rebounds under 24 and a half. Both those are minus one 10 where I played it,”
0 PTS + 7 REB = 7; under 24.5 won. (0 PTS + 7 REB = 7)
“But St. John's minus six. I'm going to lay it here. I don't want to lay more than that. Don't lay six and a half. Buy it down if you have to. Don't lay seven. But St. John's minus six, I mean, it might get away from the Jays.”
SJU 82, CREI 66 — St. John's Red Storm margin +16 vs line -6; covers.
“Maryland parlayed with Houston Moneyline for both here. It is a plus 104 play for Houston Maryland Moneyline”
Parlay busts: Houston Cougars — won; Maryland Terrapins — lost.
“I like Florida. I bought it down to three minus one twenty five, paid a little extra juice on it to lay the three for the Gators up against Alabama.”
FLA 104, ALA 82 — Florida Gators margin +22 vs line -3; covers.
“but I'm taking the points. Give me four points plus four. Creighton Blue Jays, they could win the game outright. Right They absolutely can be They already beat UConn once this year They snapped there at UConn by the way Rubber match phenomenal Just absolutely phenomenal More on the other game here in just one second the other semifinal in the Big East tournament But Creighton plus four.”
Creighton Bluejays margin +9 with +4; won. Final: CREI 71, CONN 62.
“I'm taking the dog. Give me Dana Altman. Give me plus six. Jays plus four. Ducks plus six.”
MSU 74, ORE 64 — Oregon Ducks margin -10 vs line +6; busts.
“Let's put a unit down on Louisville, plus one. Easy, right? You can wait. If you want to do it in-game, do it in-game if you want. But take plus one, take a bigger number, take plus four, plus five, whatever you want, take it. But take Louisville today. If you have the plus 650 on Clemson, take Louisville. So by taking Louisville, then you're going to open up this opportunity for you to potentially be able to hedge. So we have 6.5 units, right? We're playing with. So if Clemson wins, we've given one unit back. So now we're now it's 5.5 and we're going into the final and we get to determine, we'll see where they're playing. They're playing Carolina. Clemson's going to be favored to win that game against Carolina. If it's Duke, it might be a pick. It might be a coin flip. Duke's still very good, even without Cooper flags. Duke still serve. And the ACC is not great, but Clemson's a really good team. I like Clemson a lot. Louisville plus one for 1.1 units.”
LOU 76, CLEM 73 — Louisville Cardinals margin +3 vs line +1; covers.
“They probably kill them, but I'm going to do some Moneyline Parlay and go with UC San Diego and St. John's Moneyline Parlay at minus 128 for 1.28 units.”
Parlay won: UC San Diego Tritons — won; St. John's Red Storm — won.
“You can get minus 120, a little bit of a cheaper bet if you want to call it that, to come in at minus 120 for Cam Thomas over 25 and a half points and rebounds. This is projected at 31, 31. It's 25 and a half. This has been a very consistent bet up against the Chicago Bulls. In fact, it's hit 100% of the time. It's only come in a couple of times over the last five games, but we're going up against a pretty bad defense. This prop is 29th against the Chicago Bulls for cam thomas we're gonna go over points and rebounds for cam thomas over 25 and a half he may get there”
24 PTS + 6 REB = 30; over 25.5 won. (24 PTS + 6 REB = 30)
“this number is 18 and a half at minus 120 we're gonna bet the over malik bz over 18 and a half points rebounds and assists better to win a half a unit”
DET 125, WSH 129 — Malik Beasley: 12 pra vs over 18.5; busts. (Malik Beasley: 12 pra)
“Two leg Moneyline Parlay. Against North Carolina it a five and a half point number I going to jump in here Two leg North Carolina and Kentucky minus 108 for 1”
Parlay won: Kentucky Wildcats — won; North Carolina Tar Heels — won.
“Texas A&M Moneyline. Texas Tech Moneyline. It is a minus 114 parlay, 1.14 units down on that to win one unit coming back.”
Parlay busts: Texas A&M Aggies — lost; Texas Tech Red Raiders — won.
“And Texas, the Oklahoma game went under, but that snapped a streak of one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine straight games that went over. So nine and one. That's what Texas is to the over at the moment. Over 148 and a half. Texas and Vandy to 3.30 Eastern time tip, 2.30 local time in Nashville.”
Combined 151; over 148.5 won. Final: VAN 72, TEX 79.
“think that that's going to happen what george is going to win the game here today against oklahoma and just the way they're playing much better but not wanting to lay the two and a half or three points on this let's just take money line georgia pair it up with north with north carolina money line parlay at plus 102”
Parlay lost: North Carolina Tar Heels — won; Georgia Bulldogs — lost.
“Let's put a flag down on this on Clemson to win the ACC tournament at plus 650, try to make up the money we lost with the St. Mary's play yesterday. Let's see if we can make some money up with it. So Clemson plus 650 for one unit.”
Duke, not Clemson, won the 2025 ACC tournament.
“this bet at this number of 23 and a half hasn't hit since the 13th of february for max christie the books keep on putting this number up at 23 and a half it's only minus 115 this has been an under machine one two three four five six seven eight nine straight unders from a prop at 19 and a half all the way to 23 and a half 24 and a half last time out against san antonio all unders for max christie you guys have been betting it i'm betting it with you we're betting it in minus 115 little over a half a unit on max christie points rebounds and assists under 23 and a half bet number”
SA 126, DAL 116 — Max Christie: 14 pra vs under 23.5; covers. (Max Christie: 14 pra)
“Points, rebounds and assists over 17 and a half. So over 16 and a half, excuse me, over 16 and a half for Drew Holiday at bet three, six, five.”
BOS 112, OKC 118 — Jrue Holiday: 14 pra vs over 16.5; busts. (Jrue Holiday: 14 pra)
“And then finally, Russell Westbrook points, rebounds and assists. 26 and a half for russell westbrook we're going to go ahead and play the under on that again this is a bet 365 number you guys can go and grab fit 25 positive ev play on this five-star play with a projection of 22 and a half for russell westbrook against minnesota”
DEN 95, MIN 115 — Russell Westbrook: 24 pra vs under 26.5; covers. (Russell Westbrook: 24 pra)
“I'm going to play the over, over 123 and a half for Vermont in Maine.”
Combined 99; over 123.5 lost. Final: UVM 42, ME 57.
“but I laid the five and a half Kansas state minus five and a half up against Arizona state.”
KSU 71, ASU 66 — Kansas State Wildcats margin +5 vs line -5.5; busts.
“way too young, way too young, way too low for Damian Lillard over 34 and a half points, rebounds, and assists here up against the Indiana Pacers for the Milwaukee Bucks in Damian Lillard.”
IND 115, MIL 114 — Damian Lillard: 29 pra vs over 34.5; busts. (Damian Lillard: 29 pra)
“but we're going to take the number here and go under for James Harden points, rebounds and assists under 42 and a half for James Harden.”
NO 127, LAC 120 — James Harden: 46 pra vs under 42.5; busts. (James Harden: 46 pra)
“This number is 30 and a half. according to the projections. Trey Murphy is going to go under this number, 27 and a half, 27.9, so 28 for Trey Murphy. Five-star play, like I mentioned, and this has not hit ever against the Clippers over the last two years for Trey Murphy III. We're going under points, rebounds, and assists for Trey Murphy III of the New Orleans Pelicans up against the Clippers.”
NO 127, LAC 120 — Trey Murphy III: 28 pra vs under 30.5; covers. (Trey Murphy III: 28 pra)
“Let's go in 60 minus 115. The Edmonton Oilers winning on the road at the Buffalo Sabres.”
Edmonton Oilers was outscored by Buffalo Sabres 2-3 in the regulation scope; the selection lost. (EDM 2, BUF 3 (regulation))
“But I'm going to bet the under. Under 22.5 points, rebounds, and assist for Carlton Bubb Carrington of the Washington Wizards here today on the road against the Toronto Raptors.”
TOR 119, WSH 104 — Bub Carrington: 14 pra vs under 22.5; covers. (Bub Carrington: 14 pra)
“I played points and assists at minus 125. He has gone way under. The last time he went over 26 and a half points in assists was back on the 25th of February against Milwaukee. He's gone under on his points and assists prop. One, two, three, four, five, six straight games. 17, 17, 14, 22, 26, and 25. So he's been going way under the rebound number is the reason why I get a little worried. He had seven rebounds against the Pelicans in his last game. He's had seven, two, four and six, two and seven during the losing streak. So I get a little concerned with points, rebounds and assists that maybe he grabs a bunch of boards and that's what could cause him to go over his points, rebounds and assists. I'd rather just leave it with points and assists. And we're going to go under for points and assists at 26 and a half for Jalen Green.”
15 PTS + 8 AST = 23; under 26.5 won. (15 PTS + 8 AST = 23)
“I'm going to bet the over on Kevin Durant over 24 and a half points for Kevin Durant here tonight for minus one, what would it be? Minus 125, we paid on that.”
DAL 116, PHX 125 — Kevin Durant: 21 points vs over 24.5; busts. (Kevin Durant: 21 points)
“So plus one twenty two Moneyline Parlay, Nebraska and Drake. Let's stay in the Midwest in two teams. I covered a lot during my career. So it's the parole parlay on Sunday, if you want with Nebraska and Drake at plus one twenty two.”
Parlay lost: Nebraska Cornhuskers — lost; Drake Bulldogs — won.
“We're going to bet it under, under points and rebounds. 29 and a half for DeMar DeRozan of the Kings on the road against the Clippers.”
31 PTS + 7 REB = 38; under 29.5 lost. (31 PTS + 7 REB = 38)
“Bradley Beal over. We jump on the over for him. Points and rebounds, 19 and a half for Bradley Beal with the Suns.”
19 PTS + 3 REB = 22; over 19.5 won. (19 PTS + 3 REB = 22)
“And then finally, we're going to come in with Peyton Watson as Denver's on the road at OKC. His points and rebounds number is seven and a half, which is pretty interesting. Points and rebounds for him. This is low. It's juiced pretty good. Minus 136 to the over. Head to head wise for Peyton Watson. Every time he's played the Thunder, the number is hit. Seven for seven. Over. Seven and a half points and rebounds.”
0 PTS + 0 REB = 0; over 7.5 lost. (0 PTS + 0 REB = 0)
“UC San Diego, this is a big number. I'm not going to lie. 12 and a half. It's a big number. I'm going to lay it. UC San Diego on the road. They're 14-2 this year, ATS. 9-1 over their last 10. And they're 16-3, ATS, in conference play. UC Davis is 10-8-1 in conference play. Need to send a message here. On the road, get a big W. Send a message and do exactly what Irvine just did to UC Davis. They beat them by 29. Similar type of game here for San Diego. Lay the 12 and a half. UC San Diego minus 12 and a half for 1.1 units.”
UC San Diego Tritons margin +11 with -12.5; lost. Final: UCD 57, UCSD 68.
“Irvine again, trying to get style points, trying to show out a little bit. The number is three and a half. I'm going to buy the half a point and I'm going to lay the three with Irvine against Santa Barbara. We're going to go ahead. Irvine, the ant eaters minus three for 1.25 at minus one 25.”
UC Irvine Anteaters margin +9 with -3; won. Final: UCSB 88, UCI 97.
“I'm going to take the three points here. Give me UMass Lowell plus three on the road up against Maine. I'm not going to be surprised at all if UMass Lowell wins this game here outright and wins in the American East tournament in advances here. I think you must little plus three on the road at Maine here today in the America East tournament.”
UMass Lowell River Hawks margin -8 with +3; lost. Final: ME 72, UML 64.
“And that's why the prop bit cheat sheet says, OK, we're finally at a number that's too high. We're going to bet the under on Dyson Daniels under 21 and a half points and rebounds for Dyson Daniels at minus 120.”
10 PTS + 6 REB = 16; under 21.5 won. (10 PTS + 6 REB = 16)
“As long as in the game for over 20 minutes, you got to feel pretty good about the opportunity for Cole Anthony here to come in and go points, rebounds and assists over 16 and a half.”
MIL 109, ORL 111 — Cole Anthony: 35 pra vs over 16.5; covers. (Cole Anthony: 35 pra)
“Illinois State, pick them in arch madness at minus 110. 1.1 units down. Southern Illinois, first half against Drake, plus the points, whatever that is. St. Mary's to win the West Coast Conference at plus 155.”
Illinois State lost to Belmont. (Belmont 76, Illinois State 63)
“That's wrong. FanDuel, I mean, DraftKings is at 140. FanDuel is 155. Give me one unit plus 155 on St. Mary's to win the West Coast Conference Tournament.”
Gonzaga defeated Saint Mary’s in the WCC tournament championship.
“Illinois State, pick them in arch madness at minus 110. 1.1 units down. Southern Illinois, first half against Drake, plus the points, whatever that is. St. Mary's to win the West Coast Conference at plus 155. One unit down on that. That will be played next week. Nick Smith Jr. Points, rebounds and assists under 18 and a half. And De'Aaron Fox points, rebounds and assists over 31 and a half at minus 120.”
Nick Smith Jr. totaled 13 PRA, below 18.5. (9+2+2=13 PRA)
“Illinois State, pick them in arch madness at minus 110. 1.1 units down. Southern Illinois, first half against Drake, plus the points, whatever that is. St. Mary's to win the West Coast Conference at plus 155. One unit down on that. That will be played next week. Nick Smith Jr. Points, rebounds and assists under 18 and a half. And De'Aaron Fox points, rebounds and assists over 31 and a half at minus 120.”
De'Aaron Fox totaled 28 PRA, below over 31.5. (16+4+8=28 PRA)
“We're going to bet the under under 17 and a half points, rebounds and assists for Zachariah Resa Shea.”
Zaccharie Risacher recorded 17 PRA; under 17.5 won. (Zaccharie Risacher: 11 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST = 17 PRA)
“We're going over CJ McCollum over 20 and a half points and rebounds here tonight.”
C.J. McCollum recorded 13 points and 2 rebounds (15 combined), below the over-20.5 line. (C.J. McCollum: 13 PTS + 2 REB = 15)
“Under 22 and a half for Karras Levert here. Points, rebounds, and assists.”
ATL 124, IND 118 — Caris LeVert: 14 pra vs under 22.5; covers. (Caris LeVert: 14 pra)
“Okay. Under Southern Illinois and Indiana state under 157 and a half. I hope that you guys get 158. I hope you get 159. I hope you get, I mean, right up to, my guess is the pros are going to bet this right to Ken Palm's projection. But this building, man, I'm telling you, it's not a, this is not a typical college basketball building. This is a hockey arena where the blues play and sight lines aren't great. They're okay. They're not great. And for these kids who haven't played in it all year, under 157 and a half for Southern and Indiana State for 1.1 units.”
Combined 171; under 157.5 lost. Final: SIU 86, INST 85.
“So I like Illinois state to win Illinois state to cover here, laying the five for Illinois state up against a really bad Missouri state team.”
Illinois State Redbirds margin +16 with -5; won. Final: ILST 70, MOST 54.
“So three NBA player props for you guys here today. Max Christie under 23 and a half at minus 125. Isaiah Hartenstein over 23 and a half at minus 120 and Chet Holmgren over 25 and a half at minus 117.”
MIL 137, DAL 107 — Max Christie: 16 pra vs under 23.5; covers. (Max Christie: 16 pra)
“So three NBA player props for you guys here today. Max Christie under 23 and a half at minus 125. Isaiah Hartenstein over 23 and a half at minus 120 and Chet Holmgren over 25 and a half at minus 117.”
MEM 103, OKC 120 — Isaiah Hartenstein: 27 pra vs over 23.5; covers. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 27 pra)
“So three NBA player props for you guys here today. Max Christie under 23 and a half at minus 125. Isaiah Hartenstein over 23 and a half at minus 120 and Chet Holmgren over 25 and a half at minus 117.”
Chet Holmgren did not participate; the player prop is void under the corpus DNP convention. (Chet Holmgren: DNP)
“So full, full card for us here today, Max Christie points, rebounds, assists under 23 and a half Isaiah Hartenstein points, rebounds and assists over 23 and a half Chet Holmgren points, rebounds and assists over 25 and a half capitals puck line at plus two 20 capitals money line at minus one 10.”
Washington Capitals outscored New York Rangers 3-2 in the full scope; the selection won. (WSH 3, NYR 2 (full))
“So full, full card for us here today, Max Christie points, rebounds, assists under 23 and a half Isaiah Hartenstein points, rebounds and assists over 23 and a half Chet Holmgren points, rebounds and assists over 25 and a half capitals puck line at plus two 20 capitals money line at minus one 10.”
Washington Capitals outscored New York Rangers 3-2 in the full scope; the selection lost. (WSH 3, NYR 2 (full))
“So we're dealing with 26 and a half here at minus one 29 for Zach Collins. Prop bed cheat sheet loves it. It's a five-star play against a great defensive team and against a team that's got size with Mobley and company. I'll follow. Let's get into it. Zach Collins under 26 and a half points, rebounds, and assists.”
CHI 117, CLE 139 — Zach Collins: 34 pra vs under 26.5; busts. (Zach Collins: 34 pra)
“Again, we're going to come in and bet the under, under 34 and a half points, rebounds and assists for Josh Giddey here for the bulls.”
Josh Giddey did not participate; the player prop is void under the corpus DNP convention. (Josh Giddey: DNP)
“So for the props for tonight, Josh Giddey points, rebounds and assists under 34 and a half. Zach Collins points, rebounds and assists under 26 and a half. And Kevin Durant points and rebounds over 29 and a half for that.”
34 PTS + 7 REB = 41; over 29.5 won. (34 PTS + 7 REB = 41)
“They're going to lose this game. Two leg money line parlay is minus one Oh four. So you get a little less juice on this and you have to worry about betting, you know, if you've met money line for the Clippers in Phoenix, you're going to wind at betting a little extra that that's a minus 134 play on that. So you guys like parlaying. Okay, why not? Let's just get involved with the Clippers money line against the Suns and the Timberwolves money line up against the 76ers. Give you a couple of games to watch if you want here and you can throw 1.04 units down on it to win. You know, you have to put 1.3 down now. You can just put 1.04. So you save a little money on the juice. And if we're wrong, it's not that big of a deal on this, but I really would be surprised if we're wrong on the Sixers game. I mean, if the T-Wolves lose, lose that game to the Sixers, you can lay the 12 and a half or 13 points if you want. I'd rather just lay money line. Timberwolves and the Clippers minus 104 for a money line play for us here today on that.”
Parlay busts: LA Clippers — lost; Minnesota Timberwolves — won.
“Points and rebounds. His prop is set at 16 and a half at FanDuel. The projection is for him to just have 11.4. It's a five point differential. One game this year for Moses Moody up against Charlotte and it was an under. He went up with 14 under the current line of 16 and a half Over the last three games, he's gone under this number of 16 and a half against Philadelphia. He had 12 against Orlando. He had 11 and against Charlotte earlier in the month of February, the 25th of February. He had 14. 16 and a half is the number here. Eight of the last 15 games he has gone under. This is a 38 percent positive EV play. It's a five star play. And well, it has not hit yet head to head. So we're going to go ahead and jump in on this with Moses Moody under 16 and a half points and rebounds tonight for to win a half unit at minus 130.”
5 PTS + 5 REB = 10; under 16.5 won. (5 PTS + 5 REB = 10)
“We're going to come in here and bet the over points and assists over 30 and a half for John Morant with points and assists tonight. That's at minus 128 once 125 at FanDuel.”
Ja Morant did not appear in the official box score for Atlanta at Memphis. The episode identifies FanDuel, whose basketball player-performance rule voids wagers when the player takes no part. (Ja Morant: DNP)
“we're going to come in and bet the under for points and rebounds for Dyson Daniels. Now, he went under against Oklahoma City in his last. At 20 and a half, this number, he went under in the last game, way under.”
14 PTS + 3 REB = 17; under 20.5 won. (14 PTS + 3 REB = 17)
“So we're going to go with UCLA in Northwestern and take the dog at plus three and a half for Northwestern. They've won three straight games. They've covered three straight games. Ohio State, Minnesota, Iowa. Big game for Northwestern tonight at home. I like him at home. Catching three and a half points. Northwestern plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
Northwestern Wildcats margin -4 with +3.5; lost. Final: NU 69, UCLA 73.
“raising it and raising it we're at 35 and a half now and we're gonna bet under Josh Giddey for the Bulls up against the Pacers. Josh Giddey under 35 and a half points, rebounds, and assists.”
IND 127, CHI 112 — Josh Giddey: 34 pra vs under 35.5; covers. (Josh Giddey: 34 pra)
“So our three NBA player props for today in the NBA. Grady Dick points, rebounds, assists over 15 and a half. Josh Giddey points, rebounds and assists under 35 and a half. Tyler Hero points, rebounds and assists under 37 and a half. Two unders and one over for you guys here today.”
ORL 102, TOR 104 — Gradey Dick: 3 pra vs over 15.5; busts. (Gradey Dick: 3 pra)
“So our three NBA player props for today in the NBA. Grady Dick points, rebounds, assists over 15 and a half. Josh Giddey points, rebounds and assists under 35 and a half. Tyler Hero points, rebounds and assists under 37 and a half. Two unders and one over for you guys here today.”
MIA 112, NY 116 — Tyler Herro: 33 pra vs under 37.5; covers. (Tyler Herro: 33 pra)
“I'm going to trail the guest on SportsGrid. I like the bet. I'm going to make it myself. Denver and Boston under 235.”
BOS 110, DEN 103 — Combined 213; under 235 covers.
“I think Michigan does it and beats Illinois. I'll lay the three with Michigan minus three for 1.1 units.”
MICH 73, ILL 93 — Michigan Wolverines margin -20 vs line -3; busts.
“Give me the points. I'm taking Kentucky plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
UK 78, AUB 94 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -16 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But I'm taking the points. Give me Georgia. Give me Mike White. Give me this defense. I don't like Texas. They're reeling. Georgia going up. Texas going down. Even after the big win over Auburn, I'm taking Georgia at plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
UGA 83, TEX 67 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +16 vs line +5.5; covers.
“I'm going to go with Ken Palm, five point number there. We'll lay three and a half with Tennessee here for 1.1 units.”
TENN 79, ALA 76 — Tennessee Volunteers margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“We're going to go over 40 and a half rebounds and points for Giannis onto the cupo for, to win to half units.”
29 PTS + 9 REB = 38; over 40.5 lost. (29 PTS + 9 REB = 38)
“And the number at 19 and a half is only minus 102 to bet the under here. So there's been some play on the over already. You may get a better number than what I got here, but I'm going to play Max Christie under 19 and a half points, rebounds and assists.”
DAL 117, MIL 132 — Max Christie: 10 pra vs under 19.5; covers. (Max Christie: 10 pra)
“But over the last 15 games, Trey Young has gone under 39 and a half points, rebounds and assists. Eight of the last 15 games. back-to-back games three games prior all went over and then on the road at Orlando went under given the fact that the prop bet cheat sheet likes this so much given the fact that the defense for the Thunder is legitimate I know Atlanta's at home it's always scary to do that Trey Young in his last five games has been pretty decent except for Miami but we're gonna follow the prop bet cheat sheet here. We're going to go under 39 and a half for Trey Young here at minus one 13 bet.”
ATL 119, OKC 135 — Trae Young: 34 pra vs under 39.5; covers. (Trae Young: 34 pra)
“again so 28 and a half he hasn't gone over this right now for andrew wiggins the projection 3.7 to go under here at 28 and a half for Andrew Wiggins for the heat up against the Indiana Pacers. The heater at home. This is at Indiana. I probably wouldn't like it nearly as much, but we're going to jump in with Andrew Wiggins points, rebounds and assists under 28 and a half.”
Andrew Wiggins did not participate; the player prop is void under the corpus DNP convention. (Andrew Wiggins: DNP)
“Decent push potential with a six. We're going to play the under wild and the avalanche under six goals here tonight for 1.15 units.”
COL 5, MIN 2 — Combined 7; under 6 busts.
“yet this year for Steph Curry. I'm going to bet it under 24 and a half for Steph Curry for points here tonight for the Warriors at on the road up against the Orlando Magic.”
ORL 115, GS 121 — Stephen Curry: 56 points vs under 24.5; busts. (Stephen Curry: 56 points)
“We're going to come in and go over. Giannis Antetokounmpo over 27.5 points for him.”
MIL 121, DEN 112 — Giannis Antetokounmpo: 28 points vs over 27.5; covers. (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 28 points)
“We're going under 18 and a half points and assists here for Jaden McDaniels of the T-Wolves on the road here at the L.A. Lakers.”
15 PTS + 1 AST = 16; under 18.5 won. (15 PTS + 1 AST = 16)
“We'll lay the eight. Vermont minus eight for 1.1 units.”
Vermont Catamounts margin +10 with -8; won. Final: NJIT 61, UVM 71.
“It's going to come down most likely, but FanDuel's got it at 138 right now. We're betting half a unit, so I'm okay with coming in and laying the juice here. For under 12 and a half rebounds and assists for De'Aaron Fox.”
3 REB + 3 AST = 6; under 12.5 won. (3 REB + 3 AST = 6)
“It's minus one 20 to go over 22 and a half for Isaiah Hartenstein. We're going to play it to win a half a unit over 22 and a half points, rebounds as an assist for Isaiah Hartenstein.”
BKN 121, OKC 129 — Isaiah Hartenstein: 18 pra vs over 22.5; busts. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 18 pra)
“DeMar DeRozan over 27 and a half points, rebounds, and assists at minus 115.”
UTAH 101, SAC 118 — DeMar DeRozan: 33 pra vs over 27.5; covers. (DeMar DeRozan: 33 pra)
“But even if everyone doesn't play, I still think Boston scores a ton against the Pistons who do not play much defense. Celtics team total over 113 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Boston Celtics scored 97 in the full scope; over 113.5 lost. (Boston Celtics 97 (full))
“Minus 108 at FanDuel over 10 and a half points for Grady Dick up against the Boston Celtics.”
TOR 101, BOS 111 — Gradey Dick: 12 points vs over 10.5; covers. (Gradey Dick: 12 points)
“Donovan Mitchell under 35 and a half points, rebounds and assists up against the Orlando Magic at minus 117, 4.58 units.”
ORL 82, CLE 122 — Donovan Mitchell: 19 pra vs under 35.5; covers. (Donovan Mitchell: 19 pra)
“Dante Exum over six and a half points at minus 132 at FanDuel.”
LAL 107, DAL 99 — Dante Exum: 8 points vs over 6.5; covers. (Dante Exum: 8 points)
“That's our first bet for today. Drew holiday of the Boston Celtics against the Knicks over eight and a half points.”
BOS 118, NY 105 — Jrue Holiday: 14 points vs over 8.5; covers. (Jrue Holiday: 14 points)
“The prop bet cheat sheet, the prop bet analysis, analyzer, and the trends all point towards Jimmy Butler under 20 and a half points today for the Golden State Warriors up against the Dallas Mavericks.”
GS 126, DAL 102 — Jimmy Butler III: 18 points vs under 20.5; covers. (Jimmy Butler III: 18 points)
“I got a home dog catching three and a half Indiana plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
IU 73, PUR 58 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +15 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I lay the three and a half Rutgers minus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
Rutgers Scarlet Knights margin +10 with -3.5; won. Final: RUTG 95, USC 85.
“we are going Lonzo Ball under 19 and a half points, rebounds, and assists at minus 120. We bet that to win a half a unit.”
PHI 110, CHI 142 — Lonzo Ball: 9 pra vs under 19.5; covers. (Lonzo Ball: 9 pra)
“Walker Kessler under 13 and a half rebounds for the Utah Jazz at minus 115.”
Walker Kessler did not participate; the player prop is void under the corpus DNP convention. (Walker Kessler: DNP)
“I'll lay the one point with Nebraska minus one for 1.1 units.”
NEB 46, MICH 49 — Nebraska Cornhuskers margin -3 vs line -1; busts.
“Give me Florida State plus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
Florida State Seminoles margin -11 with +2.5; lost. Final: FSU 85, UNC 96.
“I'm just going to bet Moneyline. I'm not going to play around with it. It's minus 125. Not that expensive. A&M in a must-win situation. Backs against the wall. Bounce back spot here on the Aggies at home against Tennessee.”
TA&M 69, TENN 77 — Texas A&M Aggies lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm playing the over Alabama, Kentucky over 180 for 1.1 units.”
ALA 96, UK 83 — Combined 179; over 180 busts.
“I'll take the Razorbacks plus two for 1.1 units. All right. So our three plays for today, A&M Moneyline minus 125, Alabama, Kentucky over 180 for 1.1 units and Arkansas plus two at home at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
ARK 92, MIZ 85 — Arkansas Razorbacks margin +7 vs line +2; covers.
“I'll lay the three points. Michigan minus three for 1.1 units.”
MICH 62, MSU 75 — Michigan Wolverines margin -13 vs line -3; busts.
“I'm going to take Marquette at minus 127 on the money line to win this game straight up and win the game over Villanova and get the win.”
VILL 81, MARQ 66 — Marquette Golden Eagles lost; moneyline busts.
“And the Warriors, minus two, 1.1 units down on that. Minus 110 for the Warriors.”
SAC 108, GS 132 — Golden State Warriors margin +24 vs line -2; covers.
“And then we can kick back and we can watch team USA play here up against Canada and pull for the Americans Very much want team USA to win I don know if they going to win but I going to hedge off that plus 170 here and I going to go ahead and take the minus 110 but bet more than that, bet 1.3 units to come back for minus 110 for Team USA.”
USA lost the 4 Nations final in overtime. (Canada 3, USA 2 OT)
“Over two and a half goals for Team USA is minus 130. I'm going to lay the 1.3 units down on that And I'm going to jump in with Team USA team total over two and a half goals here against Jordan Binghamton.”
USA scored two, below team-total over 2.5. (USA 2 goals)
“Give me Missouri 9 p Eastern time on the SEC network for this one Missouri protects their home floor I lay the one with Mizzou at home against Alabama Minus one for Missouri”
MIZ 110, ALA 98 — Missouri Tigers margin +12 vs line -1; covers.
“Minus five and a half. I'm taking Mark Pope's team here up against Vanderbilt. nine point win according to Kempom, but that's without factoring in the injuries. That's why it's five and a half. I'm going for the five and a half with Kentucky, Kentucky at home, laying five and a half to Vandy for 1.1 units.”
UK 82, VAN 61 — Kentucky Wildcats margin +21 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I'll take the points. Give me Illinois, Chicago plus 10 and a half for 1.1 units.”
UIC Flames margin -17 with +10.5; lost. Final: DRKE 74, UIC 57.
“KU on the road in Provo. Give me BYU money line BYU for minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
BYU 91, KU 57 — BYU Cougars won; moneyline covers.
“First ticket for the college basketball national championship. I've told you guys all year. I've been a big fan of Iowa state. I'm going to keep rolling with Iowa state here at 20 and five, 20 and 25 record for Iowa state, 20 to one, one unit of them to win the national championship here for 2025.”
Iowa State did not win the 2025 NCAA championship.
“Ten to one on the Gators one unit down on Florida to win the national championship”
Florida won the 2025 NCAA championship.
“I'm going to take the points. Give me Virginia plus 14 and a half for UVA at home against Duke here tonight, 8 o'clock”
UVA 62, DUKE 80 — Virginia Cavaliers margin -18 vs line +14.5; busts.
“I probably should bet money line here with Baylor, but I'm going to lay one and a half instead. It's minus 125.”
BAY 67, ARIZ 74 — Baylor Bears margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“You can take Moneyline if you want but I take Arizona plus the two for 1 units”
ARIZ 58, HOU 62 — Arizona Wildcats margin -4 vs line +2; busts.
“I'll take the points. Give me plus two and a half. Auburn plus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
ALA 85, AUB 94 — Auburn Tigers margin +9 vs line +2.5; covers.
“But I'm going to take the over 145 and a half for 1.1 units.”
UGA 74, MIZ 87 — Combined 161; over 145.5 covers.
“In New Hampshire, there's one book, and that's DraftKings. So I have to play it with dead heat rules. So unfortunately, I'm going to have to play this Willie Z bet with dead heat rules. By doing that, we do get a better price at top 10 with ties. It's 16 to one.”
Will Zalatoris finished T24; top 10 lost.
“Half a unit Daytona 500 plus 140 for a Chevrolet driver to win the Daytona 500. Throw a half unit down on that right there for that bet at plus 140.”
William Byron won the Daytona 500 in a Chevrolet; Chevrolet manufacturer future won.
“The Creighton Blue Jays at plus six and a half at minus 110 on the road at St. John's here for 1.1 units.”
SJU 79, CREI 73 — Creighton Bluejays margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“So our plays for today on Valentine's Day, Harvard plus six and a half. Sacred Heart plus three and a half. Marist plus two and a half is a plus 554 parlay. Shop around, find prices that are better if you want for a half a unit.”
Parlay busts: Harvard +6.5 — won; Sacred Heart +3.5 — lost; Marist +2.5 — won.
“I really think this is going to be a win for Indiana, but I will take the one and a half points. Hoosiers feeling good about themselves, getting a win at East Lansing and then coming back home to the friendly confines. I'll take the point and a half. Indiana plus one and a half at home against UCLA for 1.1 units.”
IU 68, UCLA 72 — Indiana Hoosiers margin -4 vs line +1.5; busts.
“So we're going to play team USA on the puck line. laying one and a half goals, minus 120. Some books have it in minus 110, but the books here in Vegas are all minus 120. So I got to lay some juice, but minus 120, 1.2 units down on Team USA to win today on the puck line for the tournament in Canada.”
USA beat Finland 6-1 and covered -1.5. (USA 6, Finland 1)
“it's not heavy it's plus 110 half a unit play put it down i think it's a very good bet top 20 plus 110 half a unit is what we normally do with golf at least early in the year patrick can't lay top 20 for all four rounds finishing position patrick can't lay for the uh for the genesis top 20 at plus 110 for a half a unit”
Patrick Cantlay finished T5; top 20 won.
“He actually likes him to go top 10 If you bet top 10 it five to one So let write it Let follow it Let trail it Five to one Sam Stevens top 10 for the Genesis Invitational for a half a unit here for us”
Sam Stevens finished T31; top 10 lost.
“I'm going to lay the two and a half points here. St. John's on the road at Villanova. Again, it's a two point win according to Kempom, but I'll leave the half point negative here and get a win on the road in Pennsylvania, in Philadelphia at Nova St. John's 21 and three, 12 and one in the biggest conference. I think they improved a 13 and one in the biggest conference and get a win over Villanova in the first game at St. John's. It was 80 to 68. The final 12 point win for St. John's over Xavier. I could see a very similar score coming up here tonight. St. John's minus two and a half for one point one units.”
St. John's Red Storm was outscored by Villanova Wildcats 71-73 in the full scope; the selection lost. (SJU 71, VILL 73 (full))
“I'm going to back Drake. I'm going to lay the two and a half road favorite Drake minus two and a half on the road at Illinois State for 1.1 units.”
Drake Bulldogs margin +7 with -2.5; won. Final: ILST 77, DRKE 84.
“Let make it three out of four as well against Davidson at home home crowd short number important game for UMass on a Wednesday night in Amherst Mass Maya LaMatter let go UMass and Frank Martin laying one and a half for 1 units”
Massachusetts Minutemen margin -9 with -1.5; lost. Final: MASS 68, DAV 77.
“I'm taking the home dog. Give me the two and a half points. Kentucky plus two and a half for 1.1 units against Tennessee.”
UK 75, TENN 64 — Kentucky Wildcats margin +11 vs line +2.5; covers.
“Official plays, Kentucky plus two and a half. Florida minus one and a half on the road against Mississippi State.”
MSST 68, FLA 81 — Florida Gators margin +13 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Creighton at home laying three up against UConn.”
CREI 66, CONN 70 — Creighton Bluejays margin -4 vs line -3; busts.
“Give me Clemson. I'll lay the five. Clemson minus five for 1.1 units.”
CLEM 85, UNC 65 — Clemson Tigers margin +20 vs line -5; covers.
“I'll take it with Miami Miami at home home dog at plus five and a half for 1.1 units”
MIA 85, BOS 103 — Miami Heat margin -18 vs line +5.5; busts.
“But I will lay the two and a half points Creighton Blue Jays at home minus two and a half against Marquette for one point one units.”
CREI 77, MARQ 67 — Creighton Bluejays margin +10 vs line -2.5; covers.
“Give me Missouri, minus four for 1.1 units.”
MIZ 64, TA&M 67 — Missouri Tigers margin -3 vs line -4; busts.
“I'm going to bet the over over 138. I believe that's 138 or 138 and a half. What number did I play? 138 and a half for Oklahoma in Texas and Tennessee.”
OU 52, TENN 70 — Combined 122; over 138.5 busts.
“I'm going to lay it with Vanderbilt laying two and a half points. Vandy to keep that Nashville hot streak alive. We're going Vandy minus two and a half for one point one units.”
Vanderbilt Commodores margin +8 with -2.5; won. Final: VAN 86, TEX 78.
“So I'm going plus seven and a half Eagles. under 55. Same game teaser, 1.2 units down, minus 120 on this.”
Philadelphia +7.5 won, but under 55 lost. (Eagles 40, Chiefs 22; total 62)
“The Chiefs to score a rushing touchdown, any chief to score a rushing touchdown is minus 150. I think that's a good bet. It's a little expensive, but to lay 0.75 units down to win a half a unit coming back, that means Hunt. That means Pacheco. That means a trick play to Travis Kelsey. That means a wildcat and that means a run in for QB sneak for Patrick Mahomes. Any chief to have a rush or have a rushing touchdown at minus 150, I think is a good bet.”
Kansas City scored three passing touchdowns and no rushing touchdowns. (Chiefs rushing touchdowns: 0)
“but I'll take Connecticut to send a message here that they're going to be live in dangerous in the month of February and March. UConn minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
UConn Huskies was outscored by St. John's Red Storm 62-68 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CONN 62, SJU 68 (full))
“LA to win the hockey game Kings to beat Dallas minus one 14, a 1.14 unit down play for that here tonight.”
LA 5, DAL 4 — Los Angeles Kings won; moneyline covers.
“I think it's worth the play at plus 110 to throw a half a unit down on Patrick Mahomes to throw an interception in the Super Bowl.”
2 interceptions; interception prop won. (2 INT)
“Our second prop here for the Super Bowl Eagles wide receiver, Devonta Smith, over 50 yards receiving, 50 or more yards receiving at minus 114. You can bet minus 0.57 units on that here today for us on that. FanDuel DraftKings had the bet last night. FanDuel has the bet tonight for those prop bets here today.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — DeVonta Smith: 69 receiving_yards vs over 50; covers. (DeVonta Smith: 69 receiving_yards)
“We're going St. Mary's laying six St. Mary's laying six on the road at San Francisco for 1.1 units.”
Saint Mary's Gaels margin -1 with -6; lost. Final: SF 65, SMC 64.
“The total is six. We're going to bet under, under six pay a little juice on it minus 120 but under six for vegas and the devils”
NJ 1, VGK 3 — Combined 4; under 6 covers.
“Let's go 0-0 again here between Utah and Columbus. Even money, first period, under one and a half goals for Utah and Columbus.”
The first period had one goal, under 1.5. (Columbus 1-0 after first)
“First prop for the Super Bowl here on Wednesday, shortest touchdown under one and a half yards at minus 175.”
The shortest touchdown was Jalen Hurts' 1-yard rushing touchdown; 1 yard is under 1.5. (Shortest touchdown: 1 yard)
“LSU, 142 and a half for 1.1 units. I'll have to go and re-bet and go buy that and get that back. But 142 and a half, the number just moved. I like the under. LSU, Georgia, under for 1.1 units.”
Combined 143; under 142.5 lost. Final: UGA 81, LSU 62.
“We bet Georgia under 142 and a half Creighton Blue Jays minus three and a half for one point one units.”
Creighton Bluejays margin +11 with -3.5; won. Final: PROV 69, CREI 80.
“I'm going to bet over. I'm going to go over 134 for Missouri and Tennessee and expect some offense here, expect some offense from both Missouri and Tennessee to score.”
TENN 85, MIZ 81 — Combined 166; over 134 covers.
“Cavs against the Celtics laying one and a half for 1 units”
CLE 105, BOS 112 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin -7 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going to fade Murray State here. Give me Drake. We haven't bet on him in a while. Drake minus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
Drake Bulldogs margin +10 with -4.5; won. Final: MUR 45, DRKE 55.
“BYU minus one and a half. That should be minus one ten there for one point one units.”
BYU 74, ARIZ 85 — BYU Cougars margin -11 vs line -1.5; busts.
“but give me the over. Over 132 and a half for Virginia and Pitt here for 1.1 units.”
Combined 130; over 132.5 lost. Final: PITT 57, UVA 73.
“I'm just going to continue to fade Kansas. Give me Iowa state plus two and a half.”
KU 69, ISU 52 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I'm taking the points, okay? 13 and a half points. It's just too many points in a rivalry game. Again, Duke could win by 30, but give me 13 and a half points. I'll take North Carolina plus 13 and a half here in a monster game in the ACC.”
DUKE 87, UNC 70 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -17 vs line +13.5; busts.
“Take the points. Arizona State, plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
Arizona State Sun Devils margin -9 with +6.5; lost. Final: ASU 72, ARIZ 81.
“I think they win the game outright, personally, against Villanova, but I'll take the three points. Creighton plus three for 1.1 units.”
Creighton Bluejays margin +2 with +3; won. Final: VILL 60, CREI 62.
“Minus 6.5. I'll lay it with Illinois here. Minus 6.5 for 1.1 units.”
ILL 87, OSU 79 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +8 vs line -6.5; covers.
“Let's adjust it. Let's go under six, minus 125. So we'll adjust it to 1.25 units, but that's what happens on the fly. Numbers move, better number. Okay. I would play under five and a half legitimately. You get plus money if you want to play under five and a half, But why not just play six and potentially get the push potential for Dallas and Columbus We go under under six for one point two five units for Dallas and Columbus here in the NHL”
DAL 5, CBJ 3 — Combined 8; under 6 busts.
“Take the points. Philadelphia plus 11 for 1.1 units.”
PHI 110, BOS 118 — Philadelphia 76ers margin -8 vs line +11; covers.
“Pelicans plus 11 for 1.1 units at home against the Boston Celtics here tonight in the NBA.”
NO 116, BOS 118 — New Orleans Pelicans margin -2 vs line +11; covers.
“Dallas stars, money line, Dallas Mavericks, money line, and Dartmouth plus 10 and a half is a plus four 91 parlay for you guys here to day.”
Parlay busts: Dallas Stars ML — won; Dallas Mavericks ML — lost; Dartmouth +10.5 +10.5 — manual.
“UCLA minus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
UCLA 78, ORE 52 — UCLA Bruins margin +26 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Vegas and Columbus over six to minus one 25 to get to the six.”
VGK 1, CBJ 2 — Combined 3; over 6 busts.
“I'll take the points. Wisconsin on the road, catching five and a half for 1.1 units.”
MD 76, WIS 68 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -8 vs line +5.5; busts.
“give me the plus eight and a half points on the Mountaineers at home, plus eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
WVU 49, HOU 63 — West Virginia Mountaineers margin -14 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I think Iowa State is better than Duke and I will lay the one point. If you want to bet money line, go ahead. It's pretty much the same price, but Iowa State minus one. They have one last two games, by the way, last two bets that burned me were Iowa one by one over Penn State. And we've had games of the Arkansas game came down to the wire. Probably shouldn't have covered that where these numbers have been one. Not a bad idea for you guys to bet money line. I just bet every day and I don't like the juice on it. So I'm just going to lay one minus one 10. If I wind up pushing, I pushing. So be it. But Iowa state minus one.”
ARIZ 86, ISU 75 — Iowa State Cyclones margin -11 vs line -1; busts.
“I'm going to play the under under one fifty seven and a half for Ohio State and Iowa.”
Combined 147; under 157.5 won. Final: OSU 82, IOWA 65.
“Give me the Rockets plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOS 112, HOU 114 — Houston Rockets margin +2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Central Florida plus 13 and a half for 1.1 units.”
KU 91, UCF 87 — UCF Knights margin -4 vs line +13.5; covers.
“but take the points plus seven for a Butler Bulldog team that yes, they're five and seven at home,”
BTLR 69, MARQ 78 — Butler Bulldogs margin -9 vs line +7; busts.
“I'll lay the six points. Eagles minus six for 1.1 units.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +32 vs line -6; covers.
“we're going Eagles minus six and then trying to thread the needle commanders plus 12, same game teaser over 41 and a half for minus one 20.”
Washington failed +12, though over 41.5 won. (Eagles 55, Commanders 23)
“We're going to go Chiefs money line. At minus 125 for 1.25 units.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.
“Then we'll take the two. We'll add six. And we'll go Bills plus eight. We'll tease it up to 54 and a half. And we'll go under.”
Buffalo +8 covered, but under 54.5 lost. (Chiefs 32, Bills 29; total 61)
“I'll take the three points. Ole Miss plus three on the road at Missouri for 1.1 units.”
MIZ 83, MISS 75 — Ole Miss Rebels margin -8 vs line +3; busts.
“I'm laying 10 and a half Florida minus 10 and a half at home against Georgia for 1.1 units.”
FLA 89, UGA 59 — Florida Gators margin +30 vs line -10.5; covers.
“So I have a game I'm watching for Saturday morning that I'll give an extra play on our discord channel chat coming up later on this morning at noon, Eastern time, 9am Pacific. I'll add one more play to our card, but the card officially here for Saturday, Ole Miss plus three on the road, Florida minus 10 and a half at home and Texas minus one and a half at home here against Texas A&M. Those are our three plays. Hopefully, you might get a one. Hopefully, you get a one out of that, but we'll go one and a half with Texas.”
Texas Longhorns outscored Texas A&M Aggies 70-69 in the full scope; the selection lost. (TEX 70, TA&M 69 (full))
“Dallas Moneyline, minus 145. We only pay the juice if we lose. Dallas Moneyline, beating the Golden Knights, who are on a back-to-back at minus 145 for 1.45 units.”
DAL 4, VGK 3 — Dallas Stars won; moneyline covers.
“And then Iowa minus two and a half at home against Penn State. We'll lay the two and a half points minus 110 there for 1.1 units.”
Iowa Hawkeyes margin +1 with -2.5; lost. Final: IOWA 76, PSU 75.
“I'm going to lay the nine points. Grand Canyon minus nine on the road against Southern Utah.”
Grand Canyon Lopes margin +15 with -9; won. Final: SUU 59, GCU 74.
“Vegas minus 140 on the money line for 1.4 units.”
STL 2, VGK 4 — Vegas Golden Knights won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to lay the one and a half points. Arkansas minus one and a half.”
Arkansas Razorbacks margin +3 with -1.5; won. Final: ARK 68, UGA 65.
“I'll take the points. Give me Xavier plus eight for 1.1 units.”
SJU 79, XAV 71 — Xavier Musketeers margin -8 vs line +8; pushes.
“Bet the over 153 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Combined 166; over 153.5 won. Final: ILST 85, INST 81.
“But for tonight, we're going to go under six for 1.1 units here between Dallas and Carolina.”
DAL 1, CAR 2 — Combined 3; under 6 covers.
“We have Buckeye money line at plus 110 and we've got the one and we have a plus eight and a half or higher for the Irish at minus 110.”
ND 23, OSU 34 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin -11 vs line +8.5; busts.
“But I going to bet the under in the first half under 23 and a half”
The first half total was 28; under 23.5 lost. (ND 7, OSU 21; total 28 (first half))
“Give me the points. Rams plus six and a half.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Los Angeles Rams margin -6 vs line +6.5; covers.
“I'm going to come in here and I'm going to lay the one. We're going to go minus one Ravens minus one for 1.1 units.”
BUF 27, BAL 25 — Baltimore Ravens margin -2 vs line -1; busts.
“I've got Ravens plus six and the under 56 and a half”
Baltimore +6 and under 56.5 both won. (Bills 27, Ravens 25; total 52)
“Give me the Texans plus eight and a half.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Houston Texans margin -9 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'm going Texans plus eight and a half, but I'm also going to tease them up to 14 and a half.”
Houston lost by nine and covered +14.5. (Chiefs 23, Texans 14)
“I'll lay the six points. Lions minus six in the first half.”
Detroit Lions was outscored by Washington Commanders 21-31 in the first half scope; the selection lost. (DET 21, WSH 31 (first half))
“Give me Orlando plus 12 and a half for 1.1 units.”
BOS 121, ORL 94 — Orlando Magic margin -27 vs line +12.5; busts.
“We going to ride that streak John Morant over 30 and a half points and assists tonight for minus 125.”
Ja Morant did not appear in the official box score for Memphis at San Antonio; consistent with corpus no-participation treatment, the player prop is void. (Ja Morant: DNP)
“Under 20 and a half for Josh Hart at minus 117 under 20 and a half points and assists for Josh Hart of the Knicks here tonight for the Knicks up against Minnesota at home here for Josh Hart.”
12 PTS + 0 AST = 12; under 20.5 won. (12 PTS + 0 AST = 12)
“I'm not taking the points. I'm going to lay money line. Let's take a shot. We've got some extra dollars. Let's forget about the three points. You can take plus three if you want. I'm going to try to skill shot this. Give me the plus 130. I like Cleveland money line. Cleveland plus 130 for one unit to go to OKC and win the game outright. Forget taking the points.”
Cleveland Cavaliers was outscored by Oklahoma City Thunder 114-134 in the full scope; the selection lost. (CLE 114, OKC 134 (full))
“Let's get a puck line. I'm going to try a skill shot one unit on the puck line. Let's get a win here for Columbus. It's an all Ohio plus money day for the daily juice. We're going Cleveland Moneyline on the road against OKC at plus 130 Columbus Puck Line at plus 150 for one unit.”
Columbus Blue Jackets outscored San Jose Sharks 4-1 in the full scope; the selection won. (CBJ 4, SJ 1 (full))
“really hard. Kempom has this as a six point win. We're going to lay five and a half. Iowa State minus five and a half here at home tonight up against Kansas. Iowa State minus five and a half for 1 units”
ISU 74, KU 57 — Iowa State Cyclones margin +17 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I don't mind Georgia plus the points. I don't mind that. But I think the easier play is just to ride the trend with Georgia. Let's go under under 135 Georgia and Tennessee under 135 for 1.1 units.”
TENN 74, UGA 56 — Combined 130; under 135 covers.
“They're getting a W I don't trust long Cougars team. I'll lay the four and a half Utah state minus four and a half.”
UNLV 65, USU 62 — Utah State Aggies margin -3 vs line -4.5; busts.
“beat Butler laying two and a half. They won by four. But now they're laying nine. The Jays are laying nine. That's too many points. That's too heavy. Give me Providence to keep this game close. Providence plus nine for 1.1 units on the road at Omaha tonight.”
Providence Friars margin -20 with +9; lost. Final: CREI 84, PROV 64.
“I'll take the points here. Too many points. Give me 10 and a half. Ole Miss plus 10 and a half.”
ALA 64, MISS 74 — Ole Miss Rebels margin +10 vs line +10.5; covers.
“I don't hate it to lay money line here on Illinois, but I'll hold my nose and lay the three and a half with Illinois minus three and a half on the road at Indiana.”
IU 69, ILL 94 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +25 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I just again, I can't get away from the fact that all three games went under yesterday and we had totals of 49, 46 and a half and 52. And all three games went under again. Only one game has gone over so far. That was the Steelers and the Ravens. I think this number you tease up to 56, sorry, 54. And we go under 1.2 units Rams plus eight and a half under 54.”
Rams +8.5 and under 54 both won. (Rams 27, Vikings 9; total 36)
“Jordan Addison over 4.5 catches at minus 125.62 units. Bet it to win a half a unit.”
Jordan Addison caught three passes, below 4.5. (3 receptions)
“And Justin Jefferson over 89.5 receiving yards at minus 113 for 0.56 units. Bet that to win a half a unit here on a Monday.”
Justin Jefferson recorded 58 receiving yards, below 89.5. (58 receiving yards)
“I'm going to come in here. I'm going to take the Chargers. I'm going to lay two and a half with the Chargers at minus one ten for one point one units.”
Los Angeles Chargers was outscored by Houston Texans 12-32 in the full scope; the selection lost. (LAC 12, HOU 32 (full))
“I just want a W. Pull the Ravens down from nine and a half, seven point teaser down to two and a half. We're going Texans plus 10, Ravens minus two and a half for one point four units. Chargers minus two and a half. If we're wrong about the Texans plus 10, the Chargers is cover. OK, there's your cover. So we're trying to skill shot to hit them both. Ravens, I think we'll win the game minus two and a half, minus one 40.”
Houston +10 and Baltimore -2.5 both covered. (Texans 32-12; Ravens 28-14)
“Find the three and tease it up. Texans plus 10. Ravens minus two and a half, seven point teaser at minus 140. And then the Ravens money line bills and the Eagles to plus one 13 one unit play on that three leg money line parlay. I'm telling you right now, I'll be betting more than one unit on that bet. Can't see those three teams losing.”
Baltimore, Buffalo, and Philadelphia each won. (Ravens 28-14; Bills 31-7; Eagles 22-10)
“Jalen Hurts, look, Jalen Hurts, I think they cover. I'm going to bet that they cover, but I don't think it's going to be a blowout. I think it's going to be seven, eight points, somewhere in that range. Jalen Hurts is 26, 25, and one ATS as a favorite, but when he plays good teams, he's 14 and seven ATS against teams with a 500 straight up record. When he's taking on bad teams, he's seven, 16, and two with teams under 500. It's pretty good. But that 14-7 mark is the second best behind only Lamar Jackson, who was in the same spot last night where he got the win. Up against a team that had a 500 record, won and covered. Eagles, minus four and a half for 1.1 units. We're going to jump in on that.”
Philadelphia Eagles outscored Green Bay Packers 22-10 in the full scope; the selection won. (PHI 22, GB 10 (full))
“I do think that you're going to see a low scoring game. I'm going to bet the under, I think this game goes under, under 48 bills in the Broncos. I don't think we're going to see an incredibly high scoring game. We saw a lot of offense yesterday in this game. I think it's going to be more of a slugfest under 48 for the Bills and the Broncos.”
Buffalo-Denver totaled 38, under 48. (Bills 31, Broncos 7)
“I expect a low scoring game in Buffalo and commanders plus nine tees with the under in that game to 56. Commanders plus nine under 56 with the Washington commanders on the road at Tampa Bay for 1.2 units.”
Washington +9 and under 56 both won. (Commanders 23, Bucs 20; total 43)
“So our plays for us here today on a Friday, Ohio State's winning the national championship. We got that ticket overarching. So let's play Texas plus six as a hedge off of it at minus 110.”
TEX 14, OSU 28 — Texas Longhorns margin -14 vs line +6; busts.
“I do think we're going to play the under in the first half under 26 and a half. It opened at 27 has been bet down to 27. And I think we're going to play it again. I think nerves come into play here. I know it's Jerry's world. offense should be the name of the game. But in the first half, I just think this game is going to be a lower scoring game early. And then much like last night, it opens up after the nerves. If you want to play first quarter, first quarter under probably is a good play as well. If you want, if you don't want to play the full half, I do think the second half, second quarter, we'll see some offense. So we might be sweating this, you know, it might be, you know, 1410 with a last second drive coming and we're going to pray for a missed field goal or no field goal whatsoever. And maybe it lands on 27. That's what it opened at was 27. The first move was to bet it under. So that was 26 and a half. But I'm going to keep the same bet from last night. I'm going to play the under first half under 26 and a half for Texas and Ohio State.”
The first half produced 21 points, under 26.5. (Ohio State 14-7 Texas at half)
“I think Minnesota has a good shot to keep this game within 13 and a half points. I'll take the points. Gophers plus 13 and a half on the road against Wisconsin.”
Minnesota lost by 21 and failed +13.5. (Wisconsin 80, Minnesota 59)
“Second bet on this game. I think the under's on a bad play. but FanDuel has a number, which I hope you guys can get. Cause I got it here tonight. It's off market. The first half in Vegas is 21 and a half. FanDuel was at 23 and a half tonight. Now it's a little juicy. You got to play a little juicier with this. It's a 23 and a half point at minus one 38 price, but I think it's worth it. One, it's two points off market, but two, I think this is going to be a low scoring first half. Things may low scoring first quarter. I think both teams are going to be nervous. I think both offenses are going to be conservative. I think both defenses will be reared up and ready to go. I just think the offense is going to be difficult to get going here early. Maybe the game goes over in the second half and we see more offense. But in the first half, I think these teams, I mean, how many points are we scoring in the first quarter? Six, seven, 10 at max, right? 10s the most 23 and a half. Maybe we get an opening drive touchdown or opening drive field goal, but I think eventually drives two, three, four. These defenses have a lot to say and really rise up and take away the passing attack. Both teams want to run the ball. Both teams have tremendous run defenses. I think this is going to be a low scoring football game, but a low scoring first half, given the way these teams play and just the intensity and the pressure that will come. with the college football playoff. We're going with under 23 and a half at minus 138. That's 1.38 units down on that for Notre Dame and Penn State in the first half.”
The first half produced 13 points, under 23.5. (Penn State 10-3 Notre Dame at half)
“home. You can bet Moneyline if you want. It's minus 175. I'm just going to go ahead and take the puck line at plus 148. Vegas to stay hot. Let's get a two nothing, three one win for the Golden Knights up against the New York Islanders puck line at plus one 48 for one unit.”
VGK 0, NYI 4 — Vegas Golden Knights margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going to play the under under six for Florida in Utah. I do like Florida to win the game, but I'm a little bit hesitant to bet it just because first game of her homestand. Florida has been very inconsistent. National TV. Utah could win this game. Safer plays the under. Under six with a good push potential for us for 1 units down Minus 115 on Florida and Utah under six here tonight in the NHL”
UTAH 1, FLA 4 — Combined 5; under 6 covers.
“Here is Villanova, first place in the Big East on the line. I'll take the two-time defending champs, UConn, minus one for 1.1 units on the road up against Villanova.”
VILL 68, CONN 66 — UConn Huskies margin -2 vs line -1; busts.
“but cleveland pretty much sam merrill is questionable he's got a right ankle sprain be good to have him but it's not required that they have sam merrill for cleveland i'm gonna lay the two and a half Cleveland minus two and a half up against OKC home court and playing Boston and Cleveland back to back. They held Boston at 12 points in the fourth quarter. Don't think they'll do that with Cleveland here with the way they shoot the rock. Give me Cleveland minus two and a half for one point one units.”
Cleveland Cavaliers outscored Oklahoma City Thunder 129-122 in the full scope; the selection won. (CLE 129, OKC 122 (full))
“I'm going to play the under. I think Denver can win this game. I think Boston might lose this game outright, but they could bounce back after their loss to OKC. Boston may be a little bit ticked off here and want to go out there and prove a point. losing 105 to 92 to Oklahoma city in a game in which SGA said they wanted Boston. They got Boston and they beat up on Boston. Now they go to Denver difficult road trip for the Celtics. This is the last game of the road trip. They go back home to play Sacramento coming up on the 10th of January. So it's a tough game to, to handicap from a side perspective. I'm just going to bet the under two 36 under Boston and Denver in the NBA.”
DEN 106, BOS 118 — Combined 224; under 236 covers.
“West Virginia plus two and a half. If you can get three, I like it even better. But West Virginia plus two and a half at home against Arizona to win the game. You want to take Moneyline? Take the Moneyline. I always take the two and a half points just in case here on that. But let's get a win here in Morgantown. Should be a rocking atmosphere, Tough road game and obviously the loss already this year to West Virginia. They may go 0-2 Arizona against West Virginia this year. This time on the road, tough place to play. Arizona so far this year. The road has not been all that too kind to Arizona this year. They lost at Wisconsin 103-88. They lost and they beat Cincinnati in their last game 72-67. But on the neutral courts, they lost Oklahoma. They lost to West Virginia. That game did go to overtime, but they lost those games. Things at 8-5. Not looking great for Tommy Lloyd's club here with Arizona. West Virginia off to a tremendous start. They're 11-2. Everyone's jumping up and down about D-Rock and his son Tucker DeVries. Give me D-Rock. Give me West Virginia. Plus 2.5 for 1.1 units.”
WVU 56, ARIZ 75 — West Virginia Mountaineers margin -19 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Vegas on the puck line has won. Let's bet the streak. Vegas, even money on the puck line here to win by one and a half, by two goals or more up against these San Jose Sharks.”
SJ 2, VGK 4 — Vegas Golden Knights margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like the number. Give me nine and a half. I'll take Brooklyn. plus nine and a half for 1.1 units. Be contrarian here with this and kind of, you know, on a bounce back after getting killed by Philadelphia to bounce back and play well here at home up against a undermanned Pacers team that has some injuries and frankly just wants to win the game, doesn't need to win the game by double digits, but we'll take the Nets at plus nine and a half for 1.1 units.”
BKN 99, IND 113 — Brooklyn Nets margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm just going to bet the trend here. Wisconsin and Rutgers. We're going to go over 155 and a half for Wisconsin and Rutgers as these two teams battling in the Big Ten offense tempo. You know, we look at Kempom for these for these two teams. it's pretty interesting because Wisconsin's offense is currently 12th in efficiency, 61st in effective field goal percentage, 87th in three-point percentage, and 67th in two-point percentage. They're number one in free throw shooting in the country, 85.3% as a team. But Rutgers on the other side, they're not awful. 70th in efficiency, 135th in effective field goal percentage. They're not great behind the arc, 188th from behind the arc, but 123rd from two-point percentage. Wisconsin's defense is not your typical defense. I mean, they're 80th in efficiency and 82nd effective field goal percentage. And tempo wise, I mean, this is kind of wild. Average possession length for Wisconsin is 183rd. Normally, it's the 200th or 300th for Wisconsin. Rutgers is fast. They play fast. Average possession length is 40th in the country for Rutgers. So Wisconsin defensively, they don't make you work all that much. I mean, 16.9 average possession length for seconds here. It's 81st in the country. Rutgers defensively, they will make you work the 304th on that. But they play fast. They play defense. I think tempo is going to be in our favor here. Fox Sports 1 got this game. Wisconsin Rutgers over 155.5 for 1.1 units.”
Combined 138; over 155.5 lost. Final: RUTG 63, WIS 75.
“this is just a contrarian play here i just looked at this and i was like i saw a bunch of content people all be on ohio state the number opened up at five and a half and certain books are already down to five the pros are on minnesota i be on the pro side of this here Gophers play for their life here tonight trying to find a way to get a win and scratch a W They haven't covered since the 6th of November. Gut play. Minnesota plus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
Minnesota Golden Gophers margin -1 with +5.5; won. Final: MINN 88, OSU 89.
“that's ridiculous we're going to go deandre swift over on his rushing prop here again these are important to shop around too but the number i played was 43 and a half deandre swift over 43 and a half yards rushing for a half a unit to win a half a unit”
GB 22, CHI 24 — D'Andre Swift: 65 rushing_yards vs over 43.5; covers. (D'Andre Swift: 65 rushing_yards)
“Anytime touchdown for Terry McLaurin is just plus 105 We going to come in and jump on that with Terry McLaurin We going to go plus 105 Anytime touchdown for Terry McLaurin is just plus 105 We going to come in and jump on that with Terry McLaurin We going to go plus 105 anytime touchdown for Terry McLaurin”
1 rushing/receiving touchdowns; anytime-TD prop won. (1 TD)
“Sam Darnold. We're going to take a shot here. Okay. Take a little shot here. Sam Darnold needs four passing touchdowns to set the Viking single season passing record. The total for this game is 56 and a half. It's really high. Vikings are three point dogs. If you play Sam Darnold to throw three or more touchdowns, Fandle has this. It is plus 186. I'm going to take a shot here with Sam Darnold to go and throw three or more touchdowns here up against the Lions. Now that's anticipating this game flying over, but the games at Ford Field typically fly over, even though it is Sunday night football. We get three passing touchdowns. It's plus 186 for Sam Darnold. He needs four for the record. He gets three, gets one short and we cash this bet. Three or more. FanDuel has this at plus 186. We're going to play a half a unit down on this. Sam Darnold, three or more passing touchdowns against the Lions here tonight at plus 186 for a half a unit. Take a shot on that.”
0 passing TD; over 2.5 lost. (0 passing TD)
“We're just going to play money line. OK, we're not going to play around with the number. We're just going to play money line. We're going to lay the minus one thirty Bengals to win the game because they need to win the game. Steelers do not. Bengals need to win and then pray for help. If they lose, they're done. They must win this game. I think that they will win this game. Their fifth consecutive win here. I do think they win. Money line coming in for the Bengals.”
PIT 17, CIN 19 — Cincinnati Bengals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take Lamar Jackson over one and a half touchdown tosses to get 40, 41, 42 touchdown tosses here this season. I going to lay the juice on this Win it Bet to win a half a unit We going to bet 0 units to win a half a unit coming back here Whatever juice you got to pay Lamar Jackson over one and a half touchdown tosses today up against a Brown secondary that could get lit up today by Bateman and company by Justice Hill coming out of the backfield by Flowers by Mark Andrews over one and a half touchdown tosses for Lamar Jackson”
2 passing TD; over 1.5 won. (2 passing TD)
“And Indiana State team total over 76.5 points at minus 115 for 1.15 units down on that.”
Indiana State scored 66, below team-total over 76.5. (Indiana State 66)
“I mean, I'll take it right now with Penn State and Notre Dame in the national semifinal. Notre Dame laying one and a half points. I'll take it now before this number starts to climb. And I think this number will climb. I think we'll get to two and a half. I think we might even get to three before it's all said and done as people start to wake up and they watch injuries. I'll take an early play on this. I'll take an early number and I'll jump in here and I'll take Notre Dame. I'm going to lay the one and a half points here with the Irish up against Penn State. Again, I'm not in love with Marcus Freeman, but I think Drew Aller's got a, you know, he's coming back already for a reason. Okay. I don't think Penn State's going to score on that Irish defense. I think they're going to have a really hard time running the football. Georgia sure as heck did. I don't think that they can have a game where Drew Aller is back there throwing the ball 25, 30 times against that secondary for the Irish. I think they're too opportunistic. I think they'll turn the football over. And frankly, Penn State's defense is it can be had. We saw what Oregon did do it. OK, and I felt like there were moments in the game with Penn State in their quarterfinal game that, you know, they could have given up more points than they did. And so I think the Irish will take advantage. I think it's a low scoring game. I'll probably be on the under as well. But I want to wait and see what that number does over the next couple of days. but initially just first blush jumping in early Irish minus one and a half for 1.1 units. I'll take it now simply because I think that the number is going to climb and I don't want it to be higher than two, two and a half, three. I don't want it. I'll take it now. Notre Dame minus one and a half for 1.1 units in the semifinal to beat Penn state and make it to the national championship game.”
PSU 24, ND 27 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“On the other side of the bracket, let's talk about Ohio state. So Ohio state's a big favorite here. OK, and Ohio State being as big of a favorite as they are in their matchup, I take a look at the number at six. Go, man, we might get six and a half. It's minus 225 on the money line rather than play that number. Because I think Ohio State's beating Texas and making the national championship game. We know that if Ohio State plays Notre Dame, they're probably going to be three and a half point favorites or higher. Right. Okay. So this is sort of a play on Ohio state getting a plus one 10. You could say, Matt, what about just like rolling it over, but minus two 25. I don't want to lay the type of juice with Ohio sitting against Texas. I think Ohio state beats Texas, Texas. I think the plus one 10 is too good to pass up. I mean, you got to jump on it. Ohio state to win the national championship is plus one 10 one unit. Take it. It's better money line play in the national championship game. It's a better price that we're going to get. They're going to be big favorites. minus 230, minus 240. I mean, these are numbers that we're going to see here for the Ohio State Buckeyes if they're facing either Penn State or if they play Penn State or they play Notre Dame. They're going to be big favorites over both, probably a bigger favorite than they are over Texas, to be quite honest. So this is just simply if you like Ohio State to beat Texas, why not bet them to win the national championship and don't even play around with either one of these games? Lay the one unit on Ohio State plus 110 money line to win the national championship, to beat Texas and to beat whoever is on the other side of the bracket here. And frankly, we'll be able to hedge off of it if you want. I mean, you can come in and play depending on what the number is. If it's too high, we can take a plus on the dog, take plus six, plus seven, whatever it might wind up being. It may be Ohio State wins, but they don't cover in the national championship game. And we get both bets. So just a way of taking a position early here in the in the semifinal final matchups with Ohio State at plus 110 to win the national championship for one unit.”
Ohio State won the CFP National Championship.
“I think this is ugly. I'll lay the eight and a half points here. Marquette minus eight and a half for 1.1 units to take the Jays and blow the Jays out tonight here on a Friday night.”
MARQ 79, CREI 71 — Marquette Golden Eagles margin +8 vs line -8.5; busts.
“And the first one you already know, it's again, I'm taking Notre Dame plus one and a half. If the number dramatically moves and we start seeing, you know, a bunch of different numbers come in because the game was pushed back. I don't know why it would, but it's plus one and a half. It's one. Notre Dame is favored at certain books now. So we're sitting on a better number with the Irish at plus one and a half. It's a pick at a bunch of books. It's minus one for the Irish. So there was some late money that came in. I think you might see some late Georgia money come in as well. But I'll take the plus one and a half. We're sitting on the six to one with Georgia. And we'll just ride with this and we'll see what ends up happening for this. So if Georgia wins by one, that's great. That's exactly what we want with that. A Georgia win by one would be the best case scenario for us. We keep one bit alive and we've cashed a plus one and a half. So we've got that pet going for us with Notre Dame plus one and a half for minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
UGA 10, ND 23 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +13 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I like Oregon here. I like the ducks at home. I like their offense. The ducks are 24th in efficiency. Their effective field goal percentage is not great, but I think offensively the ducks will be able to, like most teams do, they play better at home. And as long as they're getting to the foul line and hitting their free throws, I think they should be pretty good. They hit it about 75% of the time for a free throw. shooting perspective. The offense for Illinois has been pretty good, but they really don't shoot threes very well. They're 176th in three-point shooting. The Ducks are 24th in three-point defense. They're 25th in effective field goal percentage, and they're 21st in offensive efficiency. Defensively, they've been really strong this year. Offensively is where they really kind of need to work on some things, but at night arena, I think you get the home crowd, you get the ratcheted up and it only a two number I think it good delay it I going to take the Ducks minus two and a half at home up against Illinois for 1 units”
ORE 77, ILL 109 — Oregon Ducks margin -32 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I just think Texas is too good here. I think Texas wins the game by double digits. I'll lay the 12 points because I don't know how many points Arizona State's going to score, frankly. I think they're going to have a real tough time moving the football here, and they have to run the ball well to be effective. And frankly, Texas's rush defense is so damn good. 3.1 yards per rush given up. That's eighth best in the country. If Arizona State can't run the football, uh-oh. And you can't really throw on Texas either. They have the number one opposing yards per pass defense. Their secondary is so good. 5.4 yards per pass play, 157 yards per game given up through the air. That's second best in the country for Texas. I can't touch the over or the under in this game from a total perspective, because I don't think Arizona State scores. I think it's all Texas in the Peach Bowl, Texas minus 12 for 1.1 units.”
ASU 31, TEX 39 — Texas Longhorns margin +8 vs line -12; busts.
“OK, we have a six to one ticket on Georgia to win it all. So we have some wiggle room here with that. And I think we have to do it just to protect ourselves here. OK, it becomes a five to one bet for Georgia. That's still really good. If Stockton plays perfect, it looks awesome. And they're heading off to the national semifinals. I think if it's Penn State, I think Georgia would Stockton if he plays as well and beats Notre Dame. I think they will win. They will win that game. They will beat a Penn State team on the other side to get to the national championship game and then we can talk about hedging and other times if we want or just let it play out and see how the game goes with Georgia with a five to one ticket versus a six to one ticket but that how I going to do it okay I going to I going to take the one and a half points heck if Georgia wins by one we cash both bets potentially I mean so that's that's would be ideal but I'm going to do a little bit of a hedge here and I'm going to go in at plus one and a half for Notre Dame tonight taking on a very feisty Georgia team in the Caesars Superdome, in the Sugar Bowl, in New Orleans.”
UGA 10, ND 23 — Notre Dame Fighting Irish margin +13 vs line +1.5; covers.
“OK, in all four playoff games, I like Penn State a lot. Penn State big Penn State by 14 Penn State team total. But the over 53 is the official play for 1.1 units. I think we go over here for Penn State and Boise State in Arizona in the Fiesta Bowl. Penn State over 53 for 1.1 units.”
Over: The stated-scope total was 45 (14+31); over 53 — lost. (The stated-scope total was 45 (14+31); line 53)
“I think Bama flex is here. I'll lay the 14. Alabama minus 14 for 1.1 units.”
MICH 19, ALA 13 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -6 vs line -14; busts.
“Look, Brock Purdy has been awful dating back to Christmas of last year Purdy's won an eight ATS for teams 500 or better on the year. He's been awful. OK, the Niners have just been bad, period, with all the injuries and everything else that's been going on. Brock Purdy as an underdog, he started two games as a dog. None of them have been at home, by the way. He's a dog here. 0-2 straight up, 0-2 ATS. No, but I don't want to play around with it, thinking the Niners might rise up in the second half. I'll take Jared Goff and the Lions offense to come out hot here and get a W early. We'll go and jump on it. Lions minus 2.5 in the first half for 1.1 units.”
Detroit Lions -2.5 (1st Half): 13–21 in the stated scope; margin -8, adjusted margin -10.5 — lost. (Detroit Lions 13, San Francisco 49ers 21)
“This is a 40 point total. We're playing the over in the Music City Bowl for Iowa and Missouri. Don't care about opt outs. Don't care about who's playing quarterback for Iowa. Don't care about any of that stuff. We're going offense because I think Iowa needs to score.”
MIZ 27, IOWA 24 — Combined 51; over 40 covers.
“But Houston at Hokie State, I'm taking the 12 points. Give me the Cowboys plus 12 for 1.1 units.”
OKST 47, HOU 60 — Oklahoma State Cowboys margin -13 vs line +12; busts.
“Now they're laying nine. They were, you know, this is the biggest spread. This is the biggest number of the year for the Bucs so far. They've been six point six and a half point favorites. That was the biggest line. Six against Denver. That didn't cover six and a half against Carolina. That didn't cover six and a half against Vegas. They did cover, but I just don't trust them. I think they win the game by seven or less. I think Tampa wins, but give me the nine points. We're going to go plus nine for the Panthers for one. 1.1 units.”
TB 48, CAR 14 — Carolina Panthers margin -34 vs line +9; busts.
“I prefer the under, 46 and a half. I just think this is going to be, it's a game that Atlanta needs, that Washington needs. A lot of playoff implications going here into this game. I think both defenses come to play. I think both offenses are going to struggle to score a ton of points here. I'm going to keep with that generalized trend of Sunday night unders, under 46 and a half for Atlanta at Washington here for 1.1 units.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Combined 54; under 46.5 busts.
“So with him being out, the number has dropped down to seven and a half. Went from eight to seven and a half. Let's pull this thing all the way down to one and a half. Why? Because the Giants need a lot, but got to keep losing for the number one pick overall. They got to keep losing. So you pull this down for the Colts minus one and a half here. I like Flacco's chances to get this W for the Colts to keep them in line for a playoff opportunity. They have to win to keep any semblance of a opportunity to win the game alive. And then I going to go to the game of the day Vikings and the Packers love against Darnold I think we have got the Packers in a great spot to tease them over six and a half or over seven and a half with a six point teaser The Packers have covered five straight games They've scored 30 or more in all five of those games. They've not thrown a pick in all five of those games. The Vikings have won eight in a row. It's their second eight game straight up winning streak since 2000. They don't happen all that often. And overall, teams with an eight plus game streak are 38, 60 and two ATS since 2010. That's not great, obviously. Minnesota, if they beat the Packers and then in week 18 in Detroit will be for the division and the potential number one seed overall. They've got to win this football game. However, Matt LaFleur in December has been a wizard and Matt LaFleur in revenge games. Vikings lost to the Packers back in week four, 31, 29. Matt LaFleur is 27 and 11 straight up and 25 and 13 in the revenge game in the game in the second matchup after losing the first matchup. I'm going to tease this up and give the Packers seven and a half points. Packers plus seven and a half here in the game of the day.”
Parlay lost: Indianapolis Colts -1.5: 33–45 in the stated scope; margin -12, adjusted margin -13.5 — lost; Green Bay Packers +7.5: 25–27 in the stated scope; margin -2, adjusted margin 5.5 — won. (Indianapolis Colts 33, New York Giants 45; Green Bay Packers 25, Minnesota Vikings 27)
“Now I bet that's all the way up to 60 Pop-Tart Bowl over Iowa state in Miami over 57 for 1.1 units.”
MIA 41, ISU 42 — Combined 83; over 57 covers.
“I'll take the three and a half points. BYU plus three and a half for 1.1 unit.”
COLO 14, BYU 36 — BYU Cougars margin +22 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I just think this overall Denver defense giving up less than 19 points per game but this Bengals offense is red hot scoring over 28 points per game They giving up over 360 yards of offense I think they run the ball effectively but they throw the ball effectively Jamar Chase has been awesome And I mean has been awesome this season over the last month as well with Joe Burrow. I'll lay the three points. Cincy minus three at home against Denver.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +6 vs line -3; covers.
“I like the Rams laying six and a half points here against a Cardinal team that I think flat out quit. And I don't think that they care at all. Losing to Carolina, losing to Seattle twice, losing to Minnesota. I mean, they've lost four of five. They beat the Patriots by 13 points at home, but that wasn't all that impressive. To be quite honest, it should have been much worse. It was the Patriots for that matter. I don't think Arizona wants to be in this game. Yes, it's a divisional game, but give me the Rams. I'll lay the six and a half points with the Rams here for 1.1 units.”
LAR 13, ARI 9 — Los Angeles Rams margin +4 vs line -6.5; busts.
“I think it's better just to go ahead and say that Seattle comes out of the gate and Seattle has the lead at the half laying two and a half points, 1.1 units. We're going Seattle minus two and a half in the first half up against Chicago for 1.1 units.”
Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (1st Half): 6–3 in the stated scope; margin 3, adjusted margin 0.5 — won. (Seattle Seahawks 6, Chicago Bears 3)
“I just think they run the football here. I think Chicago runs the football here. I think the game gets shortened due to that reason. I'm going to bet under, under 34 and a half passing attempts for Geno Smith here tonight. At minus 120, 4.6 units to win a half a unit coming back.”
Geno Smith attempted 23 passes against Chicago, under 34.5. (Geno Smith: 23 pass attempts)
“Give me the dog. Give me plus six. I'm going to parlay it together. It's a plus one 54 parlay. You can do this at bed MGM. If you want, you got pit minus two 75 and you got Rutgers plus seven for a half a unit at plus one 54 to come in here and jump in.”
Parlay busts: Pitt ML — lost; Rutgers +7 +7 — won.
“I'll lay the two and a half with Oklahoma. OU minus two and a half to win the Armed Forces Bowl just based upon talent. Okay, just based upon want, talent, fight.”
NAVY 21, OU 20 — Oklahoma Sooners margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll take Vanderbilt and the points. Vandy plus three for 1.1 units. And finally, it is a New Year's tradition for me or a bowl season tradition.”
VAN 35, GT 27 — Vanderbilt Commodores margin +8 vs line +3; covers.
“So I don't mind betting on Syracuse team total over against Washington State, but it's the holiday ball offense, offense, offense. We're going over 59 for Washington State and Syracuse in the holiday ball.”
Over: The stated-scope total was 87 (35+52); over 59 — won. (The stated-scope total was 87 (35+52); line 59)
“Ravens team total is twenty six and a half. You can get that at a multitude of books. I want this below twenty seven points. Why? Well, Baltimore's offense is third in the NFL. They average 30.1 points per game. They average 30 points. We're playing over 26 and a half.”
Baltimore scored 31 points against Houston, clearing the 26.5 team total. (Baltimore Ravens: 31 points)
“This is the number one prop bed cheat sheet option for expected value. Mahomes under 37 and a half passing attempts here up against the Steelers for one for my minus 120 for 0.6 units to win a half a unit.”
Patrick Mahomes attempted 38 passes against Pittsburgh, above the under-37.5 line. (Patrick Mahomes: 38 pass attempts)
“This number has gone over eight of 15 times when the line has been set at 17 and a half I think they give the ball a lot to Derek Henry He gone over like I said three of the last four games This is hit with the over rushing attempts for Derrick Henry We going over Derrick Henry over 17 and a half rushing attempts for Derrick Henry for one point for for minus one twenty five, which is point six five units to win a half a unit coming back.”
Derrick Henry recorded 27 rushing attempts against Houston, clearing 17.5. (Derrick Henry: 27 rushing attempts)
“I'm pulling Baltimore. Baltimore should get to six. If it gets to six pull it down to a pick and it doesn really matter This would be a very popular teaser I don really care Okay Pittsburgh plus nine Baltimore plus a half of half a point for 1 units I think it's a good play. I think it's a really good play to be quite honest.”
Parlay lost: Pittsburgh Steelers +9: 10–29 in the stated scope; margin -19, adjusted margin -10 — lost; Baltimore Ravens +0.5: 31–2 in the stated scope; margin 29, adjusted margin 29.5 — won. (Pittsburgh Steelers 10, Kansas City Chiefs 29; Baltimore Ravens 31, Houston Texans 2)
“We going over in the Rose Bowl over 54 for Ohio State in Oregon We have more plays We have more picks But that our first play because that number is simply going to go up Get it now. Ohio State, Oregon for 1.1 units over 54 and a half.”
ORE 21, OSU 41 — Combined 62; over 54.5 covers.
“36 and a half. We're going to go Packers minus eight over 36 and a half for minus 120 for 1.2 units to keep the streak, the prime time two leg teaser alive here for us on a Monday night with the Packers against the New Orleans Saints.”
Parlay lost: Green Bay Packers -8: 34–0 in the stated scope; margin 34, adjusted margin 26 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 34 (34+0); over 36.5 — lost. (Green Bay Packers 34, New Orleans Saints 0; The stated-scope total was 34 (34+0); line 36.5)
“Numbers 29 and a half. We'll take a shot in the under. Under 29 and a half passing attempts for Jordan Love for 1.2 units. We're going to bet 0.6 units to win a half a unit coming back.”
Jordan Love attempted 28 passes against New Orleans, under 29.5. (Jordan Love: 28 pass attempts)
“I think Jacobs gets the football here because I think this game might be a blowout. So this could just be a swing pass, check down, don't risk it, don't have to do much, let Josh Jacobs go to work. and the number is not extremely high for Josh Jacobs. It's 16 and a half yards receiving. We're going to go over Josh Jacobs over 16 and a half yards receiving for him for 0.55 units to win a half unit coming back.”
GB 34, NO 0 — Josh Jacobs: 38 receiving_yards vs over 16.5; covers. (Josh Jacobs: 38 receiving_yards)
“And I do not see that stopping here today in this matchup. I'm not afraid of laying this on the hook. Eagles are nine and five ATS, but seven and one on the road so far this year. Now, Washington is five and two ATS, But they are one in four ATS over their last four games. Didn't cover at home against Dallas. Didn't cover at home against Pittsburgh. They did cover at home against Tennessee. But the Titans are garbage. Again, they do well against garbage teams. Against good teams, they do not. Eagles, minus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.
“So it's been pretty of a wonky year. I'm laying the three Minnesota minus three for one point one units.”
SEA 24, MIN 27 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line -3; pushes.
“I'm going over 42 and a half points for Vikings and Seattle here. Going over 1.1 units over 42 and a half for Minnesota and Seattle.”
SEA 24, MIN 27 — Combined 51; over 42.5 covers.
“The teaser for the week I taking Detroit and I going to pull Detroit down from a six and a half point favorite down to a half a point favorite against Chicago on the road. Detroit is five and one ATS on the road so far this year on the road. They're six and oh, they haven't lost yet. Chicago is three and three straight up at home. I like Detroit to go and win the football game. Don't care about how many points, just go in the football game against the Chicago team that wants to lose. Speaking of wanting to lose, Cleveland is on the road at Cincinnati. They aren't starting Jameis Winston. They're starting DTR. That to me is a symbol, is a sign that they're going to punt. The Bengals have been the bane of my existence. They did win a game at home. They have won one game at home this year. They beat Vegas 41-24. They're one in five straight up at home. But the Browns are one in six straight up on the road against the number. They're two in five on the road. Cincy is one in five against the number, but they've won two games in a row. They beat Tennessee. They beat Dallas. And Cleveland does not want to win. We'll take this number from nine down to three. Bengals minus three. and we'll go with the Lions to just win the football game.”
Parlay won: Detroit Lions -0.5: 34–17 in the stated scope; margin 17, adjusted margin 16.5 — won; Cincinnati Bengals -3: 24–6 in the stated scope; margin 18, adjusted margin 15 — won. (Detroit Lions 34, Chicago Bears 17; Cincinnati Bengals 24, Cleveland Browns 6)
“of a game for Penn state. I think they run the ball. They run the clock. 53 and a half is too many points. We're going under Penn state and SMU under 53 and a half to start the day off noon Eastern time, nine o'clock in the morning Pacific time start for Penn State and SMU under 53 and a half for 1.1 units.”
PSU 38, SMU 10 — Combined 48; under 53.5 covers.
“I'm just going to go ahead and bet the under in this game. I'm going to come in and just 50 and a half. Come and bet the under. I just think this is too many points for Texas.”
TEX 38, CLEM 24 — Combined 62; under 50.5 busts.
“This is same game teaser written all over it. Okay. This is go ahead and let's go and take the Steelers up to 13 and let's go from 46 and from 44 and a half and let's go up to four to 51 and a half and go under. Okay. Just again, I just read off those trends. Let's go Steelers plus 13 and under 51 and a half for 1.2 units. Sorry, that should be 1.2, not 1.1. That's 1.2 units. Same game teaser. Steelers plus 13 under 51 and a half.”
Parlay lost: Pittsburgh Steelers +13: 17–34 in the stated scope; margin -17, adjusted margin -4 — lost; Under: The stated-scope total was 51 (34+17); under 51.5 — won. (Pittsburgh Steelers 17, Baltimore Ravens 34; The stated-scope total was 51 (34+17); line 51.5)
“He claims he's going to hurt him. He claims that he is going to erase everything, everything about this. Fury wanted this fight. He asked for this fight. He pushed for this fight. So let's see what happens. We get knockout and we get on the cards. Moneyline plus 120 Tyson Fury over Alexander Usyk.”
Oleksandr Usyk defeated Tyson Fury by unanimous decision, so the Fury moneyline lost. (Usyk def. Fury, unanimous decision (116–112 on all cards))
“I think both the Irish and Notre Dame, I think the Irish could blow out Indiana. I do. But I actually think Indiana may get off to a fast start here and then the Irish come back. I think Notre Dame wins the game. Indiana plus seven and a half is the bet at 1.2 units.”
ND 27, IU 17 — Indiana Hoosiers margin -10 vs line +7.5; busts.
“I'm going to play the over. Indiana, Notre Dame, over 52. And I know it's a playoff game. I know we're looking at weather here. I don't think it's going to matter to Indiana.”
ND 27, IU 17 — Combined 44; over 52 busts.
“I love the three points here. Give me plus three. Search it out. DraftKings that three Broncos plus three. I think they win the game outright. I really do.”
LAC 34, DEN 27 — Denver Broncos margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“I just think Denver is going to score here. And Denver gives up some points. I mean, they give up 32 points to Cleveland, 19 points to Vegas, 16 points to Kansas City, 41 points to Baltimore. I mean, they can be had. I mean, this Broncos defense is very good. Patrick Sertain Jr. is really good. I mean, they've got some great linebackers. The pick six play last week was incredible for Denver, but they were at home. This is on the road. I'm going to bet the over, over 41 and a half. for 1.1 units.”
LAC 34, DEN 27 — Combined 61; over 41.5 covers.
“But give me the magic. Give me the defense. Give me the team that was resting. And I think there's something to be said for the Vegas flu here with OKC and the post NBA Cup finals flu. OK, Indiana not good last year. I'll take a shot on it. Give me the six and a half points. Orlando plus six and a half for one point one units.”
Orlando Magic +6.5: 99–105 in the stated scope; margin -6, adjusted margin 0.5 — won. (Orlando Magic 99, Oklahoma City Thunder 105)
“I'm going to lay the three points here with the UNLV. You know, the minus three in the bowl game in California, in the L.A. Bowl happening tonight in or at SoFi here up against Cal.”
UNLV 24, CAL 13 — UNLV Rebels margin +11 vs line -3; covers.
“I think Xavier's got a chance to make this a ballgame. And I think Xavier could be in it late. UConn wins. Xavier covers. Give me the 13 and a half points for Xavier at Hartford fading UConn.”
CONN 94, XAV 89 — Xavier Musketeers margin -5 vs line +13.5; covers.
“All right. So three bets for us going here today. We're going UNLV minus three in the L.A. Bowl up against Cal Xavier plus 13 and a half in Hartford at the Excel Center up against a UConn for one point one units and the Creighton Blue Jays on the road road favorites up against Georgetown. Tough place to play for the Jays. Small number, but Creighton wins and covers the three points here for 1.1 units.”
Creighton Bluejays 57, Georgetown Hoyas 81; selected-team margin -24 with -3 = -27, so the spread lost. (Creighton Bluejays 57, Georgetown Hoyas 81)
“I'm not going to overthink this. I'm going to lay the five points with Oklahoma City here. I think they're young, hungry, and they want the NBA Cup. I don't think it's not that Milwaukee doesn't want it, but it's Doc Rivers in a big game. In a one game must win situation. Sorry. Lay the five points. Oklahoma City minus five to win the NBA Cup.”
OKC 81, MIL 97 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -16 vs line -5; busts.
“I think the offense has come to play here. I don't think we'll see much defense. And I know it's a big number, but I'm going to bet over it's under 60. If this was 60, I probably would bet under, but at 58 and a half, I like the over we're going over 58 and a half for Memphis and West Virginia.”
WVU 37, MEM 42 — Combined 79; over 58.5 covers.
“I think Drake wins the game outright. But I'm going to take the one point here. Drake plus one here up against Kansas State.”
Drake Bulldogs 73, Kansas State Wildcats 70; selected-team margin +3 with +1 = +4, so the spread won. (Drake Bulldogs 73, Kansas State Wildcats 70)
“I think Roman Dunsay is going to have a tough time of it here I like under 43 and a half yards receiving for Roman Dunsay that for a half a unit in the Vikings I going to lay the seven points with the Vikings here I think they win going away against the bears Minnesota minus seven.”
MIN 30, CHI 12 — Minnesota Vikings margin +18 vs line -7; covers.
“I think Roman Dunsay is going to have a tough time of it here I like under 43 and a half yards receiving for Roman Dunsay that for a half a unit in the Vikings I going to lay the seven points with the Vikings here I think they win going away against the bears Minnesota minus seven.”
MIN 30, CHI 12 — Rome Odunze: 39 receiving_yards vs under 43.5; covers. (Rome Odunze: 39 receiving_yards)
“I know Vegas is two and eleven. I know they one in four straight up at home I know Atlanta is three and three but they lost four straight games Something has to give here I think Vegas plays it to a field goal loss I'll take the points. Give me the six points. Both teams stink. I'm glad we've got two games watching because I don't know if the Falcons score very much here tonight, but a part of me says they're going to. A part of me says they're going to play and score a lot. I'm going to bet the over, in fact, 44 to 44 and a half. Why? Monday night overs have been consistently hitting. And I think with two bad defenses and a fast track in dome teams playing, give me somewhat of a high scoring game. Give me a 24-21 final here for this thing to go over 45. Raiders plus six, over 44 and a half.”
LV 9, ATL 15 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -6 vs line +6; pushes.
“I know Vegas is two and eleven. I know they one in four straight up at home I know Atlanta is three and three but they lost four straight games Something has to give here I think Vegas plays it to a field goal loss I'll take the points. Give me the six points. Both teams stink. I'm glad we've got two games watching because I don't know if the Falcons score very much here tonight, but a part of me says they're going to. A part of me says they're going to play and score a lot. I'm going to bet the over, in fact, 44 to 44 and a half. Why? Monday night overs have been consistently hitting. And I think with two bad defenses and a fast track in dome teams playing, give me somewhat of a high scoring game. Give me a 24-21 final here for this thing to go over 45. Raiders plus six, over 44 and a half.”
LV 9, ATL 15 — Combined 24; over 44.5 busts.
“Navy can score. Army can score. Let's go with fumbles, turnovers and over points over 39 and a half Army and Navy for 1.1 units.”
ARMY 13, NAVY 31 — Combined 44; over 39.5 covers.
“I think they keep the game close. I think Alabama wins the game, but give me the 11 and a half points. I think this is too many points. I just Jay's losing fine, losing, getting destroyed. If this was six or seven, I would be all over Alabama. 11 and a half just seems to be too heavy. I'll take a shot. It's ugly. It may be risky, but I'm taking a shot. I'm going with the dog here. Creighton Blue Jays plus 11 and a half on the road at Alabama.”
Creighton Bluejays: 75–83 in the stated scope; margin -8, adjusted margin 3.5 — won. (Creighton Bluejays 75, Alabama Crimson Tide 83)
“losses for Arizona, but 75-74 is the projection here. A win against UCLA is the projection for the Wildcats It 149 Total of this game is 147 mostly because well who they playing UCLA a team that wants to slow down the tempo dramatically Arizona offense is sixth in average possession length UCLA is 153rd They want to burn the clock They want to run it down. But three-point shooting has been bad for Arizona. 237th, two-point percent, a little better, 112th. But they get a ton of offensive rebounds. They've been good with offensive efficiency. And as long as they keep the tempo up and push tempo on UCLA, UCLA can score. I mean, they're not outstanding at it, but they're not horrible either. Last game on the road against Oregon, they won 73-71. The game went over by six and a half points at 137 and a half. So this is the first quote unquote, like they had a neutral game against New Mexico, but this is a hostile environment for UCLA. They've not played a true road game yet. We'll watch that and we'll fade UCLA when they do play a true road game. But four games in a row have gone over for Arizona. Three of them on neutral, one at home by 22 and a half, four and a half, seven and a half and nine and a half. They've scored one hundred and two, 76, 77 and 104 in the last four games. And they've given up 71, 82, 83 and 66. I think UCLA can score 70 points here. If they do, this game is going to go over. It's always dangerous to bet overs involving UCLA, but I'm going to do it. I'm going to bet the over on UCLA and Arizona.”
ARIZ 54, UCLA 57 — Combined 111; over 147 busts.
“This is a very interesting leg Well I probably two bets on this game with Baker Mayfield and the Bucs But for this one it plus three Tampa plus three for one point one units”
LAC 17, TB 40 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +23 vs line +3; covers.
“And that was a 55 and a half between those two teams. since 2009 when totals are approaching 55 this is 54 and a half the under is 23 and 10 what am i doing with this game i'm going under i don't this is we may go right up against it i mean we're talking like 24 we're talking about like you know right up the 28 24 type right like right there 52 53 but at 54 and a half this is just basically just a system play the highest total on the board, two teams playing for, you know, they're calling it a preview of the Super Bowl, but who knows? Maybe it is, maybe it isn't. The Bills with Josh Allen have not been great against the number as a dog. In fact, Josh Allen has been not good at all. When the Bills are off of a loss and Josh Allen's a dog, he's five and six straight up and five and six against the number. they're off of a loss and they're a dog here on the road against Detroit back-to-back road games as well not great for Josh Allen he's been great against the NFC but lost to the Rams last week he's never lost consecutive games outright to NFC opponents so the Rams and now here are the Lions we'll see if that continues but he's 17 12 and 1 against the number here against the NFC let's see what they look like here today but I think this number is too high we'll go under under 54 and a half”
DET 42, BUF 48 — Combined 90; under 54.5 busts.
“We go green Bay on the road favored against Gino Smith and the Seattle Seahawks Sunday night unders since 2022, two, two, three, nine and 19 to the under that's nearly 70% of the time to the under the regular season, 36 and 14. That includes a ridiculous mark where you look at these teams, 10 and four to the under this season, 10 and four. We bet it last week with the Niners. We're betting it this week for the Green Bay Packers and the Seattle Seahawks. We're going under. These teams are fighting for position. They're both fighting in their divisions. They're trying to make some nudes and noise. Matt LaFleur is 14 and 11 with extra prep time against the number over the last 20 years. That's the fourth best mark of coaches, 99 of them in the NFL. when the floor is at home. He's not 11 and four, but on the road, just three and seven ATS. That's not great. Three and seven ATS. The NFC North is now 2099 straight up against other division. That's incredible. That's the second best mark for the full season, full season by any division since the 1990s, 1990, the 2013 NFC West were the best in that same timeframe. Packers can win this game, but I think this is a dead under game. I think it's going to be low scoring. I think defense is rule. Geno Smith has not played great straight up at night games, but nine and five ATS with Seattle and the Jets been an underdog a lot in primetime. He's two and 10 straight up as a primetime underdog. That's not great, but keep the game close. Lose by three. He wouldn't cover, but under most likely comes in. We gonna play the under here in this game between these two teams are going under 46”
SEA 13, GB 30 — Combined 43; under 46 covers.
“So it Bucks plus three Buffalo Detroit under 54 and a half green Bay in Seattle under 46 And the teaser I'm taking both dogs in both unders under in dogs, green Bay against the lions tease up to plus eight and a half and Seattle at home tease from two and a half up to eight and a half. We're going to cross three. We're going to cross seven. We're going to create our own Wong teaser here, even though the Buffalo Detroit game does not qualify because the total is 54 and a half. So it doesn't qualify 49 and lower. That's what qualifies for a Wong teaser. But I'm going to pull the bills up because I think that's a back and forth battle. That's a three to four point win for either Buffalo or Detroit. I think either side of a teaser here will come in Seattle. I think they'll stay close. In fact, I think they'll win the game outright against Green Bay. They're desperate. They've got to keep pace. They can't be there. They're in a dogfight. Green Bay most likely is going to win a wild card if not win the division, but Detroit's going to be tough for them to catch. So I think green Bay's got a little less urgency and they're on the road against Seattle in prime time. And that 12th man, I think is a big factor in this game for the Seahawks. So I'm going to go bills plus eight and a half Seattle plus eight and a half for a 1.2 unit teaser.”
Parlay lost: Buffalo Bills: 48–42 in the stated scope; margin 6, adjusted margin 14.5 — won; Seattle Seahawks: 13–30 in the stated scope; margin -17, adjusted margin -8.5 — lost. (Buffalo Bills 48, Detroit Lions 42; Seattle Seahawks 13, Green Bay Packers 30)
“Give me the Sixers. They're eight and seven record against the Eastern Conference. Five straight covers, four and one straight up. Give me Philadelphia starting to play better and things aren't going well at all here. for the Indiana Pacers Philly at home minus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
PHI 107, IND 121 — Philadelphia 76ers margin -14 vs line -6.5; busts.
“half. Four straight road game overs here for the Phoenix Suns. Let's keep it rolling here with the Phoenix Suns. Let's go over 229 and a half for the Suns and the Jazz.”
UTAH 126, PHX 134 — Combined 260; over 229.5 covers.
“I think on a Friday night, I'll lay the four points with Nebraska. I don't love it, but I'll lay it.”
NEB 85, IU 68 — Nebraska Cornhuskers margin +17 vs line -4; covers.
“I'll take the desperate team at home here, laying two and a half points for 1.1 units. Now I'll make two plays on this game. Equally, I'm going to come in on the under. Both these teams are seven and six to the over on the year. Both these teams are two and two and two and one to the over against the division. They're both five and four to the over against the conference. But this is sort of, I don't want to call it like a gut play on this, but this feels like two divisional teams. I like the Niners to win. If the Niners win, it's a low scoring game. So I think it's correlated. It's favorite and under the game goes over. I think the Rams are going to win the game outright. So I'm not going to just make one bet on this. I'm going to make two bets on this. San Francisco minus two and a half and the under 49 for 1.1 units.”
SF 6, LAR 12 — San Francisco 49ers margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“I'll take the desperate team at home here, laying two and a half points for 1.1 units. Now I'll make two plays on this game. Equally, I'm going to come in on the under. Both these teams are seven and six to the over on the year. Both these teams are two and two and two and one to the over against the division. They're both five and four to the over against the conference. But this is sort of, I don't want to call it like a gut play on this, but this feels like two divisional teams. I like the Niners to win. If the Niners win, it's a low scoring game. So I think it's correlated. It's favorite and under the game goes over. I think the Rams are going to win the game outright. So I'm not going to just make one bet on this. I'm going to make two bets on this. San Francisco minus two and a half and the under 49 for 1.1 units.”
SF 6, LAR 12 — Combined 18; under 49 covers.
“I think the Hawkeyes will lose the game, but give me the six and a half points. I think the home dog here catching six and a half Iowa plus six and a half at home against Iowa State.”
IOWA 80, ISU 89 — Iowa Hawkeyes margin -9 vs line +6.5; busts.
“I'll lay the seven points. Knicks minus seven at home up against Atlanta for 1.1 units.”
NY 100, ATL 108 — New York Knicks margin -8 vs line -7; busts.
“Houston minus two for 1.1 units.”
HOU 91, GS 90 — Houston Rockets margin +1 vs line -2; busts.
“Georgia plus 600. to win it all, give ourselves a nice hedge opportunity. Georgia makes the national championship game. They're not going to be plus 600. I'll tell you that right now. They're not going to be plus 600. So one unit on Georgia to win it all.”
Georgia was eliminated by Notre Dame in the CFP quarterfinal and did not win the national championship. (Notre Dame 23, Georgia 10)
“Give me the dog here. Road dog magic plus seven and a half. Defensively, still just a tremendous basketball team in the NBA. We've been betting a lot of these games involving the magic just because defensively how good they've been. They are still the number one team in the NBA. allowing just 103.3 points per game. They are seventh in defensive effective field goal percentage. They seventh in opposing two point percentage They 19th and three point percentage But I mean this is still a very good defensive team Number two in allowing opposing assists per game Number four in opposing points in the paint. Number six in fast break points given up. Number three in total rebounds given up by their opponent. Give me the dog. Give me Orlando plus seven and a half magic plus seven and a half for one 1.1 units”
MIL 114, ORL 109 — Orlando Magic margin -5 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'll take DePaul. Lay the one point. DePaul minus one for 1.1 units.”
DePaul Blue Demons 63, Providence Friars 70; selected-team margin -7 with -1 = -8, so the spread lost. (DePaul Blue Demons 63, Providence Friars 70)
“Xavier, Vatek, TCU. I'll lay the four points here. I thought about betting money line, but it's really expensive. It's minus one 90 neutral site game. This is a four point win. according to Kempom. It's a four point win. And I just think Michigan's got a chance here with their defense. They are 11th in adjusted efficiency defensively. They're eighth in effective field goal percentage defensively. They're eighth in two point defense. They're 46th in three point defense. They're good enough. They're not great hitting free throws, but they're good enough on offense. They're 259th on free throws. That's not good, but they're ninth and two point percentage. They're 101st in three point percentage, really good on offensive rebounds 22nd and effective field goal percent percentage and 43rd in efficiency on offense for Michigan but Arkansas's defense is pretty good Michigan will have to win this game on defense I don't mind it under bet on this that's not a horrible way if you don't want to lay the four points and you want to take it under play both these teams are six and three to the under so far on the year last game against Iowa went over but that snapped a four game streak to the under for Michigan. So I don't hate an under play with that, but at one 46, that's really low on a neutral site. It's a little bit of a tough one delay to say going, all right, I'm gonna take the under. I'll just take Michigan minus four for 1.1 units.”
ARK 89, MICH 87 — Michigan Wolverines margin -2 vs line -4; busts.
“3, and 2. Total is 49 and a half. Offense, offense, offense. Joe Burrow with 30 touchdown passes and five picks through 12 games. The offense is going to go and slice and dice against the Cowboys secondary. That's not good. But the Bengals defense is god-awful, like we know. This season, teams that score 30 or more points are 80-7 straight up. The Bengals have four of those seven losses. Since the 1st of November, they're 28-2. The Bengals have both those losses Why Their defense is god The Cowboys defense is equally god awful over forty nine and a half here for us Jumping on that for one point one units”
DAL 20, CIN 27 — Combined 47; over 49.5 busts.
“Cooper Rush. This is wild. So if I like the over, right, I like the over. That means I like offense. That means I like the ability for this team to score both teams to score Cooper Rush for his his touchdown prop to throw over one and a half touchdowns is plus one forty eight. I don't really understand that number to be quite honest. Like Cooper Rush through two passing touchdowns against Washington. He threw one against the Giants. But at home, you would think he's going to get an opportunity to have at least one. Will he get two against this defense? I think he will. I think it's worth the shot to go with Cooper Rush over one and a half touchdown tosses at plus 148.”
Cooper Rush threw two touchdown passes against Cincinnati, clearing 1.5. (Cooper Rush: 2 passing touchdowns)
“And I'm going to couple that with CeeDee Lamb to have a big night receiving. CeeDee Lamb, I think, could be a real big problem for this secondary for the Bengals, who have given up yards and touchdowns to everyone. CeeDee Lamb's number is 66 and a half for him with that. CeeDee Lamb went over. He had 67 against Washington, 93 against Houston. He's gone over that number in two of his last three games. It's primetime. It's Monday night. You got to think he wants to ball out. He's averaging 11 yards per catch. CeeDee Lamb has a big night tonight. CeeDee Lamb over six, six and a half yards receiving for a 0.55 units.”
DAL 20, CIN 27 — CeeDee Lamb: 93 receiving_yards vs over 66.5; covers. (CeeDee Lamb: 93 receiving_yards)
“I'll lay the 10 points. Indiana, minus 10 up against Minnesota for 1.1 units.”
IU 82, MINN 67 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +15 vs line -10; covers.
“Geno Smith in his career has been pretty good against bad defenses and against good defense rather that push. But he's 29, 27, 19 and one when facing a defense with a below four percent sac rate. But he's nine, 17 and three ATS when he's facing a defense with a four percent or higher sac rate. The Cardinals come in at a four point three percent sac rate on the year. We are laying the two and a half points with the Arizona Cardinals, Arizona minus two and a half up against the Seattle Seahawks.”
ARI 18, SEA 30 — Arizona Cardinals margin -12 vs line -2.5; busts.
“more than decent quarterback against the number. I'm going to take the seven points here. Give me the Raiders plus seven on the road against Baker Mayfield.”
TB 28, LV 13 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -15 vs line +7; busts.
“I love a same-game teaser here in this game, guys. I love a same-game teaser. I love taking the Chargers up to 10 and then taking the total from 43 up to 49 and going under. I will 100% do that. But since I already have one teaser going, I don't like doing more than one teaser officially here. So I'm going to play the under. And the reason is Justin Herbert has been an under machine, like just an under machine in his career. And I don't entirely know why, but the charges are eight and four to the under in full game totals this season. They're 29 to the under since the start of last year. Justin Herbert is now 18 and seven to the under since the start of last season, including an 18 and five record to the under in his last 23 starts. And Sunday night football has been a dead under game this season. Historically dead under under 43 for one point one units for the Chiefs and the Chargers.”
Under: The stated-scope total was 36 (19+17); under 43 — won. (The stated-scope total was 36 (19+17); line 43)
“the teaser is going to be an interesting play for us because i'm looking at the bears and the giants if you're watching this you can see this see this bears plus nine giants plus nine and a half the bears at plus four here comes the dead cat bounce for the bears okay i think the bears cover the four by themselves but i'll tease it up but the dead cat bounce has been a real thing teams There have been 40 teams to fire their coach during the regular season since 2003. Those teams have gone 18 and 22 straight up in 23 and 17 against the spread in the first game following their firing, which is amazingly enough. So you fire a team mid mid season. You get a bounce. The Browns in 2018 fired Hugh Jackson. Amazingly enough, they went five and three isn't often a team fires a head coach mid season after going above 518. ATS in the year. Iberflus, Matt Iberflus became just the fifth head coach since 2003 to do that. And the only one three or three plus games above 500 ATS. Hugh Jackson was five and three ATS in 2018. He got fired. Iberflus was seven, four and one ATS on the year. And he got fired. Dead cat bounce. Bears plus nine. We'll take that from four or from three. Rather, it's three now. That number is, let's see, where's the Bears? It was three this morning. Is it going below three for the Bears? I can't imagine it would, but no, it's three. So take from Bears to three up to nine against the 49ers. And then we'll go to the Giants. And look, you know, anytime you get the Giants, it's scary, but they're at home against the Saints. And look, Derek Carr stinks. He just stinks. And he sinks against bad defenses, too, which is amazing enough. The Giants aren't any good. There are six games. So they're on a seven game ATS losing streak. This is the longest giant streak against the number as a franchise in the Super Bowl era If the Giants don cover on Sunday they would also own a five ATS at home losing streak again the longest as a franchise since 2003 when they lost seven straight games at home against the number. Giants have just absolutely stunk, okay? Brian Dabble is 6-4 in extended prep as the Giants head coach. They played on Thanksgiving. Now they're playing on Sunday. He is over 500 ATS with both Tommy DeVito and Daniel Jones playing an extended rest. But here we are with Drew Locke playing quarterback today for the Giants. Cold weather at MetLife, which is not good for Derek Carr when he's a favorite in conditions below 40 degrees, below 50 degrees. He's one in four ATS, failing to cover by 7.4 points per game. and Derek Carr as a favorite. He's 22, 39 and two ATS as a favorite. That's the worst mark of any quarterback since 2003. As a road favorite, Derek Carr is one 14 and one ATS in 16 spots. The one lone cover he had on the road as a favorite was against the Colts indoors. Tease it up. Giants probably cover it by themselves, but I'm going to tease it up to nine and a half. 1.2 units down. Bears plus nine. Giants plus nine and a half.”
Parlay lost: Chicago Bears: 13–38 in the stated scope; margin -25, adjusted margin -16 — lost; New York Giants: 11–14 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 6.5 — won. (Chicago Bears 13, San Francisco 49ers 38; New York Giants 11, New Orleans Saints 14)
“This isn't a road game, but you know what I mean? This game is being played in Dallas, Texas, Jerry's world. This team is being, this is being played at a neutral, but fast track indoors, perfect condition away from Ames over 50 and a half for Iowa state and Arizona state in the big 12 championship game.”
ASU 45, ISU 19 — Combined 64; over 50.5 covers.
“so I'm taking Georgia give me Kirby smart give me the team that's been there give me the team from Georgia taking on Texas they've already beaten them once this year I don't know by how many points one two three or a thousand I don't care Georgia money line for one unit at plus 125”
TEX 19, UGA 22 — Georgia Bulldogs won; moneyline covers.
“to me This game means way more to Penn state than it does Oregon I don think Oregon cares about it Oregon knows they want to win a national championship They got more football to come after this I think the more passionate the more focused the bigger the game bigger for Penn State I take the three and a half but I think you have to sprinkle Moneyline on Penn State You have to take that plus 150. It's too juicy sitting right there. I would 100% take it, but officially I'm going to come in and I'm going to take plus three and a half.”
ORE 45, PSU 37 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.
“For good measure, we get a four point win as well for Boise State. Vegas catching five plus five. UNLV plus five against Boise State. Absolutely sprinkle money line. Absolutely sprinkle money line. But we're going to take the points here. UNLV plus five. Four and a half is good, too. But we get five here in Vegas. plus five for UNLV against Boise State here tonight for 1.1 units.”
BOIS 21, UNLV 7 — UNLV Rebels margin -14 vs line +5; busts.
“Well, it's not. It's four or three and a half. It's a four point win. 7470. I'll take the home dog. First true road game Friday night in Chicago for Chris Collins team in Northwestern. Give me the points. Plus three and a half. Northwestern plus three and a half.”
NU 70, ILL 66 — Northwestern Wildcats margin +4 vs line +3.5; covers.
“They've been so dominant that I'm going to lay the one and a half points for 1.1 units. Actually, 1.2 units on this. Here's the thing. Here's the thought. OK, this team is tremendous at home. This team is tremendous, period. And Jordan Love hasn't been great. He hasn't been great against the NFC North. He 0 ATS in three starts against the NFC North failing to cover this year in any of the games 5 points per game failing to cover If you look at the schedule here for the Lions they not the Packers rather six and three six and six rather, oh, and three in the division. Four and three at home, two and three on the road. They have covered their last two games, both at home against Miami and San Francisco, but against Chicago on the road, they should have lost. Blocked a field goal at the end to win by one. Against Detroit at home, There were two point dogs lost by 10 in that game against the Vikings. They were laying two and a half at home. They lost by two. Oh, and three flip side. Detroit's two and one in the division, six and two in the conference, four and two at home. ATS eight of their last 10 games. The Lions have covered. Lions come out fast. Lions come out fast. I'm going to lay the one and a half points in the first half for the Lions. 12, two and one is too good of a trend to pass up. I'm jumping on it. Lions first half minus one and a half for 1.2 units.”
Detroit Lions -1.5 (1st Half): 17–7 in the stated scope; margin 10, adjusted margin 8.5 — won. (Detroit Lions 17, Green Bay Packers 7)
“Now, second play. I'm going to try to thread the needle. Matt LaFleur is two and two as a dog against the number this year. But overall, Matt LaFleur is 24 and 12 ATS. That's 67%. He's also 20 and 16 straight up as a dog, as a head coach. Under LaFleur, Green Bay has gone 18 and 5 as an underdog of three points or more, and 14 and 3 ATS as a dog of more than three points. They're currently catching three and a half. That's an unbelievable mark. Unbelievable mark. In fact, Matt LaFleur up against teams, according to the Action Network. He's 28 and 17 ATS against teams above 500 straight up. That's the third best mark of any head coach since his head coaching debut. Here's the problem. He's 0 and 3 against the number in the same spot facing the Lions, Texans and Vikings. OK, however, in December, Matt LaFleur has been crazy. 18 and two straight up in December 11 and nine ATS. But when he's listed as an underdog, the Packers are four and oh straight up and four and oh ATS in the month of December covering by an average of 16 points. That's dumb. I mean, that's just crazy dumb. One more trend to talk about after the Thanksgiving game for the lions, Detroit has won in covered four straight after Thanksgiving. They lost three straight up in ATS prior. But since 2005, the Lions are 6-13 straight up after Thanksgiving. 6-13 straight up. They are 10-9 ATS. However, they've been dogs in a lot of them, but straight up. 6-13. I'm going to try to thread the needle. Lions first half minus one and a half. Packers for the game plus three and a half. For 1.1 units and 1.2 units for tonight.”
Green Bay Packers: 31–34 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 0.5 — won. (Green Bay Packers 31, Detroit Lions 34)
“I'm going to lay the three and a half points. Cleveland minus three and a half for 1.1 units up against the Denver Nuggets here tonight in the NBA.”
CLE 126, DEN 114 — Cleveland Cavaliers margin +12 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'll lay the two points. Duke minus two at home at Cameron Indoor.”
DUKE 84, AUB 78 — Duke Blue Devils margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“I think Carolina gets them here. Carolina minus two for 1.1 units.”
UNC 79, ALA 94 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -15 vs line -2; busts.
“and a half. So the first number, first move came to the under I'll take, I'll lay the five Iowa state minus five up against Marquette.”
ISU 81, MARQ 70 — Iowa State Cyclones margin +11 vs line -5; covers.
“They've played a tougher brand. Give me the points. Villanova plus three and a half here. I would not go below three. Okay. If this gets to two and a half, don't play this, but Villanova plus three and a half. I hope Kyle Neptune does not have a horrible coaching night. He hasn't been great. Not a big fan of his, but I'm taking the points. Villanova plus three and a half at home up against Cincinnati.”
VILL 68, CIN 60 — Villanova Wildcats margin +8 vs line +3.5; covers.
“with West Virginia. But for tonight, Wisconsin minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
WIS 64, MICH 67 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.
“This number is six. Minus one thirty. I'll pay the juice on this over six for Vegas and Edmonton for one point three units.”
VGK 1, EDM 0 — Combined 1; over 6 busts.
“I'm going to give Cleveland 12 points. I don't think they get killed. Yes, they got killed in their last two losses by 21 and by 17, but most of their games are tight. They won by 5 against Pittsburgh, won by 5 against Baltimore, lost by seven against Cincinnati, lost by four against Philadelphia, lost by four against Vegas, lost by six against against the Giants, one by five against Jacksonville. Yes, they've had their blowout losses. Sixteen point loss to Dallas, 17 point loss to the Chargers, 21 point loss to the Washington Commanders, 21 point loss to New Orleans. I get all that, but I think they can keep this close. I think their defense can keep this close. I think Bo Nix won't be able to just put up big numbers here. I'm going plus 12 and I'm going to pull the total down from 42 to 36 and I'm going to go over. Okay. We're going to take it and go Browns plus 12 over 36 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Cleveland Browns: 32–41 in the stated scope; margin -9, adjusted margin 3 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 73 (41+32); over 36 — won. (Cleveland Browns 32, Denver Broncos 41; The stated-scope total was 73 (41+32); line 36)
“Now, second play, our first NBA teaser of the year. Now this is going to be fun. You might go, Matt, what are you doing? The Boston Celtics lost last night to Cleveland. They're now behind Cleveland. They come back home to take on Miami. Take on Miami as 10 and a half point favorites. Miami is not very good this year. ATS, they are eight and 10 against the number, but Boston is eight and 12 against the number. Celtics at home are three and six. ATS, Miami's five and five on the road. This is the first meeting between these two teams. Miami always tends to play Boston tight. Okay. This is a big number, but I do think Boston wins because if you look at what happened this year, when Boston lost to Indiana by three, they beat Charlotte by 15 in the next game. When they lost to Atlanta by one, they beat Brooklyn by 25 in the next game. So, So and when they lost to Golden State by six, they beat Brooklyn the next game by four. Didn't cover there. But following the three losses, I guess it's for one, two, three, four losses now. Following the three previous losses for Boston, they're two and one ATS. But they've won every game. I'm covered, but they've won every game. The three, you know, have not lost back to back games so far this year. the Miami heat have already had a three game losing streak in a four in five and a six in eight losing streak so far this season they've won two of the last three but they have not been great on the road this year straight up they've been pretty average they've been their five and five on the road boston seven and two straight up at home i'm going to tease boston five point teaser five point You can do six point, but you got to pay minus one 30 juice. This is minus one 10 Boston minus five and a half on the other side. The Brooklyn Nets, we've done really well with the Brooklyn Nets this year. And the Brooklyn Nets have been a team that we've been wanting to, you know, wanting to bet and have had success. They're at Chicago catching six points. The Brooklyn Nets on the road are nine, two and one ATS nine, two and one. Brooklyn might cover this six points by themselves and not may not need the teaser, but I'm going to give them 11 and have Brooklyn be plus 11 here on the road against Chicago, who's four and five ATS at home. They are nine and four against the conference. However, though, that's the one fear. Chicago has played very well against the East. Brooklyn six, seven and one against East. Not nearly as good. Brooklyn hasn't covered in their last two games. They lost both to Orlando by eight and by 23. That snapped a three game losing streak again on the road where they won and covered against Phoenix, Golden State and Sacramento. They lost to Philadelphia to start the road trip but they went three and one ATS and three and one straight up on that road trip Now they back on the road again Nine two and one ATS is nine two and one ATS. They're five and seven straight up on the road, but they cover. So let's give Brooklyn 11 points, five point teaser. Let's do a five point NBA teaser for 1.1 units. Celtics plus five, Minus five and a half nets plus 11 for 1.1 units.”
Parlay lost: Boston Celtics: 108–89 in the stated scope; margin 19, adjusted margin 13.5 — won; Brooklyn Nets: 102–128 in the stated scope; margin -26, adjusted margin -15 — lost. (Boston Celtics 108, Miami Heat 89; Brooklyn Nets 102, Chicago Bulls 128)
“Once it got down below a field goal, I'm taking Cincinnati minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
CIN 38, PIT 44 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Give me Sean McVay and the Rams against Derek Carr. This is more of a fade on Carr than anything else. Rams minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
NO 14, LAR 21 — Los Angeles Rams margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“And the teaser of the week, we are going to go and take a look at a couple of dogs. The Falcons are one point dogs at home. Falcons plus one. Chargers lost to the Ravens last week. Harbaugh's teams are 14 and eight straight up after a loss. Okay. They've been, they bounce back. There's no debating it. Chargers are on a short week because they They played a Monday night football. Harbaugh and L.A. have played on a short rest already once this season. 26-8 home win and cover against the Saints. As an NFL head coach, Harbaugh has seven and four straight up, but four and six. And enter the year just three and six on this spot as an NFL head coach. Herbert, Justin Herbert, rather four and six straight up, three and six in the spot that he's in right now. but I think Kirk cousins can do some work here. Falcons are off a buy in his career. Kirk cousins is 14 and 18 straight up and 12 and 20 on extended rest. His 12 and 20 ATS mark is pretty bad. 228 out of 230 quarterbacks in the last 20 years. That's just ahead of Tony Romo and Phillip rivers. However, in the 1 p.m. window, 61, 35 and one straight up as a quarterback in the NFL after 1 p.m., 22 and 40 straight up. Don't need the Falcons to win the game, but I'm teasing them up to plus seven home dog against a Chargers offense. Doesn't really blow anybody out. Falcons plus seven on the other side. Look, I think this game is going to be fascinating. The Bucs are on the road at the Panthers. Baker Mayfield, as a dog, he's tremendous. As a favorite, not great. Baker Mayfield, 31-25 as an underdog in the NFL, but just 17-27-1 against the number as a favorite in his career. When he facing a divisional opponent he nine and eight ATS as a dog five and 12 ATS as a favorite That crazy Baker is two and 10 ATS in his last 12 divisional games as a favorite winning his last two however including one this year being ATS But his first start in 2018, since his first start in 2018, he's the second least profitable quarterback as a favorite against a divisional opponent just ahead of Russell Wilson, who is playing as a dog, but against Cincinnati and we're fading Russell Wilson on the road. Baker is much different. Baker, 12 and three ATS on the road since the start of last year. He's been tremendous. So look, the number was seven. It went to six. The Panthers have covered their last two games. Bryce Young has been OK. Bryce Young in his first and his last two starts against the Bucs, the offense led by Bryce Young has scored just three points in the first half in both those games. They need to get off to a very good start. Watch for that. The Panthers are dogs. They're 11 games away from tying the modern record for consecutive games as an underdog with the 2007 to 10 Rams, who did so in 43 straight games. 32 consecutive games as an underdog, including being an underdog in 41 of the last 42 games. Carolina was favored in week 15 against the Steelers in 2022. That was the last time. They've lost nine straight games, ATS as a favorite, while every other team set at least three covers as a favorite since October 1st of 2021. This is a streak for the Panthers. Three straight games since 2013. Teams with a win streak, sorry, team with a win percentage below 30% on a three-plus game ATS win streak, just 11 18 and one ATS. So here's what I'm going to do. I'm going to give them 12 points, not six, but 12. If the better, the betters in the market think that the Panthers can keep the game within six points or within a touchdown, let's give them 12. Let's tease it up for 1.2 units. Panthers at home plus 12.”
Parlay won: Atlanta Falcons: 13–17 in the stated scope; margin -4, adjusted margin 3 — won; Carolina Panthers: 23–26 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 9 — won. (Atlanta Falcons 13, Los Angeles Chargers 17; Carolina Panthers 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26)
“If you're Alabama, give me Auburn plus the points. Auburn plus 11 and a half for 1.1 units.”
ALA 28, AUB 14 — Auburn Tigers margin -14 vs line +11.5; busts.
“Give me Vanderbilt plus 11 for 1.1 units.”
VAN 23, TENN 36 — Vanderbilt Commodores margin -13 vs line +11; busts.
“Give me the points. night game at College Station. They got the yell practice the night before and the bonfire and everything else that they do going into this game. This is a big boy football game with Texas A&M against Texas A lot of emotion going into this game I taking the five and a half Give me A plus five and a half”
TA&M 7, TEX 17 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -10 vs line +5.5; busts.
“this total being 42 is low. This is a low, low total. I'm going to follow the trend. I'm going to bet the over for the game between Ohio state and Michigan.”
OSU 10, MICH 13 — Combined 23; over 42 busts.
“I like laying the three points with Iowa, but I like the over more at 39 and a half for Iowa and Nebraska for 1.1 units, college football bet.”
IOWA 13, NEB 10 — Combined 23; over 39.5 busts.
“Give me the points. I'll take Georgia Tech. I'm going plus 18 and a half for the rambling wreck against Georgia for 1.1 units.”
UGA 44, GT 42 — Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets margin -2 vs line +18.5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the nine and a half Boston minus nine and a half on the road at Chicago”
CHI 129, BOS 138 — Boston Celtics margin +9 vs line -9.5; busts.
“But I'll take the points. San Diego State plus three and a half here up against Oregon for 1.1 units.”
San Diego State Aztecs 68, Oregon Ducks 78; selected-team margin -10 with +3.5 = -6.5, so the spread lost. (San Diego State Aztecs 68, Oregon Ducks 78)
“I like Golden State plus two and a half for one point one units.”
GS 101, OKC 105 — Golden State Warriors margin -4 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Vegas and Colorado over six and a half goals for 1.1 units.”
COL 2, VGK 1 — Combined 3; over 6.5 busts.
“I think the Bears keep the game within two touchdowns. I really do think that they can keep it close and the game goes under Bears plus 15 and a half tees with the under 54 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Chicago Bears +15.5: 20–23 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 12.5 — won; Under 54: The stated-scope total was 43 (23+20); under 54 — won. (Chicago Bears 20, Detroit Lions 23; The stated-scope total was 43 (23+20); line 54)
“we're playing over on Thanksgiving. We're playing points. We're playing public over 37 for Dallas and the giants here in the first game, sorry, second, the second game.”
Over 37: The stated-scope total was 47 (27+20); over 37 — won. (The stated-scope total was 47 (27+20); line 37)
“Green Bay minus three laying it with the Packers.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Green Bay Packers margin +13 vs line -3; covers.
“San Diego State plus three and a half for one point one units.”
SDSU 71, CREI 53 — San Diego State Aztecs margin +18 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm going with Houston. Lay the three and a half points. Houston minus three and a half for one point one units.”
HOU 80, ALA 85 — Houston Cougars margin -5 vs line -3.5; busts.
“I'll take the points in a big basketball game like this. Give me KU plus three and a half.”
DUKE 72, KU 75 — Kansas Jayhawks margin +3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“don't mind a play on the under at 50 and a half, but I'm gonna lay the two and a half Ravens minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
LAC 23, BAL 30 — Baltimore Ravens margin +7 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the three and a half. Give me Auburn minus three and a half here.”
ISU 81, AUB 83 — Auburn Tigers margin +2 vs line -3.5; busts.
“Give me North Carolina. We're going over one fifty five and a half for Carolina and for Dayton.”
UNC 92, DAY 90 — Combined 182; over 155.5 covers.
“Ole Miss minus 11 and a half on the road at Florida at minus 110.”
FLA 24, MISS 17 — Ole Miss Rebels margin -7 vs line -11.5; busts.
“BYU on the road at Arizona State catching three and a half at minus 110.”
ASU 28, BYU 23 — BYU Cougars margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Stanford won't score. Stanford won't stop Cal. Cal minus 14 will lay it by the extra half a point down to minus 120.”
CAL 24, STAN 21 — California Golden Bears margin +3 vs line -14; busts.
“But I'm taking the Bears at plus three and a half for one point one units.”
CHI 27, MIN 30 — Chicago Bears margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm taking Seattle even with those numbers being a bit scary I'll take Seattle on a pick just to win the game here one one and a half fine but just a pick Seattle to win the game against the Cardinals coming off of a bye”
SEA 16, ARI 6 — Seattle Seahawks won; moneyline covers.
“Give me Philadelphia. I lay the three points on Sunday night like the under two Philadelphia minus three for 1 units”
LAR 20, PHI 37 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +17 vs line -3; covers.
“Take the Dolphins from 7 down to minus 1. And I'm going to pair it up with San Francisco and the Green Bay Packers, who are laying six points at home. The quarterback swap is why this happens. Green Bay is just 2-3 at home ATS. Yes, they haven't covered in four straight games. They did win three of those four games, but I'm just going to pull it down to a money line play for Green Bay here up against San Francisco, who's one in three on the road. Brandon Allen's going to play quarterback for them. Yes, George Kittle's coming back, but this is just too much to ask, in my opinion, of a San Francisco team that's been completely underachieving this year. They very well may cover the number, cover the six here, but Green Bay just to win. I'll pull it down. Green Bay pick Dallas. Sorry, Dolphins minus one for one point two units.”
Parlay won: Miami Dolphins -1: 34–15 in the stated scope; margin 19, adjusted margin 18 — won; Green Bay Packers: 38–10 in the stated scope; margin 28, adjusted margin 28 — won. (Miami Dolphins 34, New England Patriots 15; Green Bay Packers 38, San Francisco 49ers 10)
“But on a Friday night where the Creighton Blue Jays are 33-1 all time on Friday night games being played at the Chai Center. Against their arch rival. Against a team that Creighton Blue Jays fans want to dismantle and destroy. I'm going to lay 10 and a half points, begrudgingly do it. I don't love it.”
CREI 63, NEB 74 — Creighton Bluejays margin -11 vs line -10.5; busts.
“I'll lay the one point here. Arizona at home to ride the home crowd to do enough and not to lose back to back games. Duke, when they lost to Kentucky, they played a game in between and they're able to get all their anger out against Wofford. They won 86 to 35, destroyed them. Now they're on the road for their first true road game. Again, we're fading these first true road game teams. Nebraska first true road game, Oregon first true road game, Duke first true road game. Give me Arizona minus one for 1.1 units and a college football.”
ARIZ 55, DUKE 69 — Arizona Wildcats margin -14 vs line -1; busts.
“1.1 units there and under 60 and a half. UNLV on the road at San Jose State. We're going under 60 and a half for 1.1 units.”
SJSU 16, UNLV 27 — Combined 43; under 60.5 covers.
“I think Cleveland should be able to score here, score enough to get the game to go over 36 and a half points. I'm going to play the over over 36 and a half points, not a same game teaser.”
Over 36.5: The stated-scope total was 43 (24+19); over 36.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 43 (24+19); line 36.5)
“I'm taking the points. Oregon State plus six at home up against Oregon.”
Oregon State Beavers 75, Oregon Ducks 78; selected-team margin -3 with +6 = +3, so the spread won. (Oregon State Beavers 75, Oregon Ducks 78)
“Bet the streak. Buffalo Bulls. Money line. At even money.”
EMU 20, BUFF 37 — Buffalo Bulls won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to go under under one 67 and a half for Illinois and Alabama.”
ALA 100, ILL 87 — Combined 187; under 167.5 busts.
“I'm gonna take a shot on the under. It's a little risky, but I'm gonna put the under under two 37 for Chicago and Milwaukee here in the NBA.”
Under 237: The stated-scope total was 228 (122+106); under 237 — won. (The stated-scope total was 228 (122+106); line 237)
“Purdue at Marquette. Give me the four and a half points. Boilermakers plus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
MARQ 76, PUR 58 — Purdue Boilermakers margin -18 vs line +4.5; busts.
“We're betting the over, over 141 for Penn and Villanova.”
Villanova Wildcats 93, Pennsylvania Quakers 49; 142 total points is over 141, so Over 141 won. (Villanova Wildcats 93, Pennsylvania Quakers 49; total 142)
“So I want a dance partner. Let's do a two leg money line parlay in the NBA. Oklahoma City is laying eight and a half against San Antonio. San Antonio is five and three straight up at home. That makes it a little bit scary. But OKC is four and one straight up on the road. They're eight and three straight up against the West, and they have gone seven and three straight up over their last seven games. And they're coming off of a loss at home against Dallas. So a chance to bounce back here. Two straight losses for San Antonio, one at home against the Lakers and one on the road against Dallas. OKC money line combined with the Celtics money line is minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
Parlay busts: Oklahoma City Thunder ML — lost; Boston Celtics ML — won.
“There really is only one thing to do in my mind, okay? That is to take this number from seven down to one, Houston minus one, and to go and look at the total. Houston is two and three to the, three and two to the under on the road. Dallas, those three and one to the over at home. We're going to pull it down from 41 to 35, and we're going to go over. Same game, six point teaser at minus 120. Texans minus one and the over 35.”
Parlay won: Houston Texans -1: 34–10 in the stated scope; margin 24, adjusted margin 23 — won; Over 35: The stated-scope total was 44 (10+34); over 35 — won. (Houston Texans 34, Dallas Cowboys 10; The stated-scope total was 44 (10+34); line 35)
“Now I'm going to take the dog at home plus 11 and a half for San Diego State up against Gonzaga.”
SDSU 67, GONZ 80 — San Diego State Aztecs margin -13 vs line +11.5; busts.
“And Orlando laying one and a half at minus 110. You can bet money line if you want on that, but I'm just going to lay the short one bucket number at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
PHX 99, ORL 109 — Orlando Magic margin +10 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Give me the points. Three point game one way or the other. Indianapolis plus four for 1.1 units.”
NYJ 27, IND 28 — Indianapolis Colts margin +1 vs line +4; covers.
“Give me the points or lay the points. Denver minus two for 1.1 units.”
DEN 38, ATL 6 — Denver Broncos margin +32 vs line -2; covers.
“Maybe just something says under Pittsburgh and Baltimore under 48 and a half betting under 1.1 units.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Combined 34; under 48.5 covers.
“And the teaser is Steelers up to nine and a half Niners down to minus a half a point, basically money line for the Niners to win and beat Seattle for 1.2 units.”
Parlay lost: Pittsburgh Steelers +9.5: 18–16 in the stated scope; margin 2, adjusted margin 11.5 — won; San Francisco 49ers -0.5: 17–20 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin -3.5 — lost. (Pittsburgh Steelers 18, Baltimore Ravens 16; San Francisco 49ers 17, Seattle Seahawks 20)
“We're going to come in under 57 and a half BYU and Kansas for 1.1 units.”
BYU 13, KU 17 — Combined 30; under 57.5 covers.
“Tennessee plus nine and a half for one point one units.”
UGA 31, TENN 17 — Tennessee Volunteers margin -14 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Now that takes us to the parlay. buckle up it's only a plus 150 parlay and there's four legs to it but we're putting a unit down on it okay a unit why Oregon plays at Wisconsin I don't want to touch the point spread it's 13 and half or 14 scares me okay scares me I'll probably bet the point spread personally but it still scares me don't want to make it official the Creighton Blue Jays are playing the Kansas City ruse at home. They're laying like 25 points. They're going to win the game. John Jones against Stipe Miocic. I don't know how John Jones wins. Just John Jones wins Be stunned if John Jones doesn beat Stipe Miocic Stunned if that doesn happen And then finally I going to take BYU on the money line to shock some people Go against all the steam. Everyone's saying Kansas, Kansas, Kansas. Okay, let's go BYU to stay undefeated at home. That parlay is a plus 150 parlay. Oregon money line. BYU money line. Creighton money line. John Jones money line. Four leg money line parlay at plus 150.”
The four-leg parlay lost: Oregon, Creighton, and Jon Jones won, but BYU lost 17–13 to Kansas. (Oregon W; Creighton W; Jon Jones W; BYU L 13–17)
“plays for tonight we're going with Tyson and Jake Paul over five and a half rounds at minus 110 for 1.1 units”
Jake Paul–Mike Tyson completed all eight scheduled rounds, so Over 5.5 rounds won. (8 completed rounds; Paul won by unanimous decision)
“Purdue plus two and a half at home against Alabama for 1.1 units.”
PUR 87, ALA 78 — Purdue Boilermakers margin +9 vs line +2.5; covers.
“and West Virginia plus seven on the road at Pittsburgh for 1.1 units.”
West Virginia Mountaineers 62, Pittsburgh Panthers 86; selected-team margin -24 with +7 = -17, so the spread lost. (West Virginia Mountaineers 62, Pittsburgh Panthers 86)
“I'm going to come in and lay the three and a half points with the Eagles. Eagles minus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
PHI 26, WSH 18 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +8 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I'm going to lay the seven and a half points. Shockers minus seven and a half tonight at home against Northern Iowa.”
WICH 79, UNI 73 — Wichita State Shockers margin +6 vs line -7.5; busts.
“I'll lay it with UNLV here tonight, laying 16.”
UNLV 80, OMA 69 — UNLV Rebels margin +11 vs line -16; busts.
“I'm coming in here. Give me the Brooklyn Nets at plus nine and a half.”
BKN 114, BOS 139 — Brooklyn Nets margin -25 vs line +9.5; busts.
“Over 225 and a half for Phoenix and Sacramento.”
SAC 127, PHX 104 — Combined 231; over 225.5 covers.
“we're going to go with the under for this game here at one 38 for Houston and Louisiana.”
HOU 91, UL 45 — Combined 136; under 138 covers.
“Dolphins plus 8.5, teased with an over 42.5 at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay lost: Miami Dolphins: 23–15 in the stated scope; margin 8, adjusted margin 16.5 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 38 (15+23); over 42.5 — lost. (Miami Dolphins 23, Los Angeles Rams 15; The stated-scope total was 38 (15+23); line 42.5)
“Iowa State over team total 82.5 at minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
Iowa State Cyclones team total over 82.5: Iowa State Cyclones scored 82; over 82.5 — lost. (Iowa State Cyclones scored 82; line 82.5)
“I'll take a shot under six and a half at minus one 15.”
Under: The stated-scope total was 8 (1+7); under 6.5 — lost. (The stated-scope total was 8 (1+7); line 6.5)
“I'm going to lay the five and a half with Duke here. Duke minus five and a half for one point one units.”
UK 77, DUKE 72 — Duke Blue Devils margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.
“Michigan State plus six and a half for one point one units.”
KU 77, MSU 69 — Michigan State Spartans margin -8 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Instead, I'm just going to jump in here and I'm going to lay the money line minus 135 on the Warriors to win here to keep this Dallas slide going.”
GS 120, DAL 117 — Golden State Warriors won; moneyline covers.
“So I'll tease it up. Steelers plus eight and a half. I'm going to take the total down to 39 and go over in this game for a same game teaser here for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Pittsburgh Steelers: 28–27 in the stated scope; margin 1, adjusted margin 9.5 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 55 (27+28); over 39 — won. (Pittsburgh Steelers 28, Washington Commanders 27; The stated-scope total was 55 (27+28); line 39)
“Chargers minus one, pulling that down from seven. Niners minus a half a point, pulling that down from six and a half for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Los Angeles Chargers: 27–17 in the stated scope; margin 10, adjusted margin 9 — won; San Francisco 49ers: 23–20 in the stated scope; margin 3, adjusted margin 2.5 — won. (Los Angeles Chargers 27, Tennessee Titans 17; San Francisco 49ers 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20)
“Denver plus eight for one point one units.”
KC 16, DEN 14 — Denver Broncos margin -2 vs line +8; covers.
“Northern Iowa minus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
Northern Iowa Panthers 60, UC Irvine Anteaters 80; selected-team margin -20 with -1.5 = -21.5, so the spread lost. (Northern Iowa Panthers 60, UC Irvine Anteaters 80)
“I'll take the points. Golden State plus seven and a half.”
OKC 116, GS 127 — Golden State Warriors margin +11 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I think we going UMass plus 10 on the road at West Virginia I think West Virginia wins but give me UMass”
Massachusetts Minutemen 69, West Virginia Mountaineers 75; selected-team margin -6 with +10 = +4, so the spread won. (Massachusetts Minutemen 69, West Virginia Mountaineers 75)
“North Carolina on the road at Kansas at plus seven and a half for one point one units.”
KU 92, UNC 89 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -3 vs line +7.5; covers.
“We're going under, under for Cal, under 55 for 1.1 units.”
WAKE 36, CAL 46 — Combined 82; under 55 busts.
“I'll lay the 12 points with Penn State minus 12 for 1.1 units.”
PSU 35, WASH 6 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin +29 vs line -12; covers.
“I'll lay the three points with BYU.”
UTAH 21, BYU 22 — BYU Cougars margin +1 vs line -3; busts.
“lay the 23 and a half points with Boise state here today for college football.”
BOIS 28, NEV 21 — Boise State Broncos margin +7 vs line -23.5; busts.
“But officially we're laying the five with Houston here with Kelvin Sampson and this great talented roster”
HOU 69, AUB 74 — Houston Cougars margin -5 vs line -5; busts.
“but we'll tease it up. Bengals plus 12 and under 58 and a half. Six point teaser, same game teaser for 1.2 units.”
Parlay lost: Cincinnati Bengals: 34–35 in the stated scope; margin -1, adjusted margin 11 — won; Under: The stated-scope total was 69 (35+34); under 58.5 — lost. (Cincinnati Bengals 34, Baltimore Ravens 35; The stated-scope total was 69 (35+34); line 58.5)
“Northern Iowa tonight minus six and a half at home against Milwaukee for 1.1 units.”
Northern Iowa Panthers 87, Milwaukee Panthers 68; selected-team margin +19 with -6.5 = +12.5, so the spread won. (Northern Iowa Panthers 87, Milwaukee Panthers 68)
“I'm going to play the under here. We're going to go under 62 and a half for Coastal and Appalachian State for 1.1 units.”
CCU 38, APP 24 — Combined 62; under 62.5 covers.
“but I'll take the points plus nine and a half for the Denver Broncos on the road against the Baltimore Ravens.”
BAL 41, DEN 10 — Denver Broncos margin -31 vs line +9.5; busts.
“My Patriots are catching three and a half points against Tennessee.”
TEN 20, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -3 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I'm a trend better. I'm not bucking this trend. Washington and the Giants under 44.”
NYG 22, WSH 27 — Combined 49; under 44 busts.
“And then finally the teaser for this week, I'm not going to overthink it here. I'm going to take the Buffalo bills who I think are going to have. I think they're going to have their hands full with Miami today. I really do. But Miami is one in six against the number one and two on the road. Buffalo is two and one against the number but they covered the last three games They won and covered over the last three games I just going to pull this number down from six to a pick take Buffalo to win the game just bills to win and beat Miami here straight up And you know two are coming back in that defense, not playing all that well. So we're going to come in and just go with a pick with that. And then we're going to go with the Eagles who have been playing really well. I've had a tough time kind of judging the Eagles, but it is Jacksonville. The number is seven and a half. The Jags are just, well, let's be frank. They're bad, but they're not horrible against number on the road to three and two against number on the road. Philadelphia's oh and two at home. They're great on the road. They're four and one. That's why I don't really like them to cover the seven and a half, but I think they win the game. They beat Cincy on the road. They beat the Giants on the road. They beat Cleveland at home by four. They've won three games in a row. Let's make it for Eagles minus one and a half for 1.2 units there.”
Parlay won: Buffalo Bills: 30–27 in the stated scope; margin 3, adjusted margin 3 — won; Philadelphia Eagles: 28–23 in the stated scope; margin 5, adjusted margin 3.5 — won. (Buffalo Bills 30, Miami Dolphins 27; Philadelphia Eagles 28, Jacksonville Jaguars 23)
“Give me Vanderbilt plus seven and a half for Vandy today for 1.1 units.”
AUB 7, VAN 17 — Vanderbilt Commodores margin +10 vs line +7.5; covers.
“So plays for today, Vanderbilt plus seven and a half, 1.1 units, Iowa over 42 for 1.1 units and Oklahoma state plus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
IOWA 42, WIS 10 — Combined 52; over 42 covers.
“This number is too heavy. Four and a half Oklahoma state plus four and a half at home up against Arizona state for 1.1 units.”
OKST 21, ASU 42 — Oklahoma State Cowboys margin -21 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'll lay a 23 and a half points with Boise state for 1.1 units.”
BOIS 56, SDSU 24 — Boise State Broncos margin +32 vs line -23.5; covers.
“But let's just lay the two points and take it minus two points here for the Nets at one point one units.”
BKN 120, CHI 112 — Brooklyn Nets margin +8 vs line -2; covers.
“Celtics team total over Celtics team total. We're going to drop over 123 and a half at minus 110.”
Boston Celtics team total over 123.5: Boston Celtics scored 124; over 123.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 124; line 123.5)
“1.2 units. We're going with the Texans plus eight and over 36 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay lost: Houston Texans: 13–21 in the stated scope; margin -8, adjusted margin 0 — push; Over: The stated-scope total was 34 (21+13); over 36 — lost. (Houston Texans 13, New York Jets 21; The stated-scope total was 34 (21+13); line 36)
“We're going under Joe Mixon, under 81 and a half yards rushing at minus 110 for 0.55 units on this.”
NYJ 21, HOU 13 — Joe Mixon: 106 rushing_yards vs under 81.5; busts. (Joe Mixon: 106 rushing_yards)
“I just want to lay the points, but I'd rather take Tulane and be safe. Like we do with the Celtics last night Tulane team total over 35 and a half points They averaging 39 get their average and we good Minus one 15 on that 1 units down on that”
Tulane Team Total Over 35.5: Tulane Green Wave scored 34; over 35.5 — lost. (Tulane Green Wave scored 34; line 35.5)
“That's where I'm going to play a half a unit down. It's plus money on it. Plus one 24. Again, a little bit of a scarier bet here on Halloween. No goal in the first 10 minutes for Edmonton and Nashville at plus one 24 for a half of unit.”
Edmonton scored during the opening ten minutes, so the no-goal-in-first-ten-minutes prop lost. (First goal occurred before 10:00 of the first period)
“Give me the hot team on the road here coming in with four straight wins and a three, you know, ATS record in conference Jacksonville state plus two and a half for 1.1 units on that second bet.”
LIB 21, JVST 31 — Jacksonville State Gamecocks margin +10 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I think Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum both have big games after not playing well against Milwaukee. I think they'll have free reign here to score and score at will. Celtics team total over 119 and a half at minus 125.”
Boston Celtics Team Total Over 119.5: Boston Celtics scored 132; over 119.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 132; line 119.5)
“he's played 20 26 27 32 minutes so far here this season he's not going over this number yet under six and a half rebounds for Al Horford is minus 125 we'll lay 0.63 units down on that to win a half a unit coming back on Al Horford under six and a half rebounds tonight up against the Pacers”
IND 135, BOS 132 — Al Horford: 4 rebounds vs under 6.5; covers. (Al Horford: 4 rebounds)
“We'll go Mikkel Bridges again over 15 and a half points at minus 125. Again, laying the 0.63 units down to win a half a unit coming back on this for Mikkel Bridges.”
MIA 107, NY 116 — Mikal Bridges: 17 points vs over 15.5; covers. (Mikal Bridges: 17 points)
“I going to take the points here Home dog I think that could win the game outright but I just take the points here We going to take five and a half with the nets nets plus five and a half against the Denver nuggets going against them on a back to back on the road and having a chance for Denver, uh, rather for Brooklyn to get a win here potentially, but to play hard fresher legs, I'm taking the nut, the nets at plus five and a half up against the nuggets tonight for 1.1 units”
BKN 139, DEN 144 — Brooklyn Nets margin -5 vs line +5.5; covers.
“Bruins and the Bruins are at home on over team and flyers on the road or an over team. Let's go ahead and jump on the over over six at minus one ten for one point one units.”
BOS 0, PHI 2 — Combined 2; over 6 busts.
“But I'll take the points. Give me Louisiana plus four for one point one units.”
TXST 17, UL 23 — Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns margin +6 vs line +4; covers.
“Tease it up. You give the Giants 12 points. You pull a total down to 36 and 36 to 30. And we go over. I'm going to play with it here. Okay. I'm going to say, I'm going to see this. It's a 1.2 unit bet on this Giants plus 12 over 30.”
Parlay won: New York Giants: 18–26 in the stated scope; margin -8, adjusted margin 4 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 44 (26+18); over 30 — won. (New York Giants 18, Pittsburgh Steelers 26; The stated-scope total was 44 (26+18); line 30)
“I'm not going to mess around here with anything but the money line. I'm going to take money line here. Suns to win the game at minus one 40 for 1.4 units.”
PHX 109, LAL 105 — Phoenix Suns won; moneyline covers.
“Yes, you want extra plays, but officially I'm just going to bet the over six on the game. Vegas and Calgary over six at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
VGK 5, CGY 0 — Combined 5; over 6 busts.
“I'm just coming in and taking money line. Falcons money line at minus 126 for 1.26 units.”
TB 26, ATL 31 — Atlanta Falcons won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to lay it here with the Bengals. I know it could be a little expensive, but money line Bengals at minus 140 for one point four units.”
CIN 17, PHI 37 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.
“They may win the game, but give me the points. I'm taking I'm taking the points at four and a half Cowboys plus four and a half for one point one units.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I think LSU goes down there. They win the game outright. I'll take the point just in case. Plus one for LSU for 1.1 units.”
TA&M 38, LSU 23 — LSU Tigers margin -15 vs line +1; busts.
“I like the dog, even the dogs on the road. I like the dog. Michigan State on the road to Owen, this year against the spread. Michigan's one in four at home this year. They're one in six overall. Give me Michigan State plus the four. Don't want a three. I want four. Michigan State plus four for 1.1 units.”
MICH 24, MSU 17 — Michigan State Spartans margin -7 vs line +4; busts.
“I'm going dog Bucky at home at night plus six and a half for one point one unit.”
WIS 13, PSU 28 — Wisconsin Badgers margin -15 vs line +6.5; busts.
“Kuchmaev money line parlayed with Teporia money line is a minus 102 bet. We'll put one unit down on that for UFC 308.”
Both UFC 308 moneyline legs won: Khamzat Chimaev submitted Robert Whittaker and Ilia Topuria knocked out Max Holloway. (Chimaev SUB R1 3:34; Topuria KO R3 1:34)
“I'm taking a three and a half points. I think it's going to be very similar to what happened with Syracuse. This is a three-point game one way or the other. It kind of a coin flip as to who wins But give me the points UNLV plus three and a half You can bet Moneyline if you want I just taking the points because it over three UNLV plus three and a half for 1 units”
UNLV 24, BOIS 29 — UNLV Rebels margin -5 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Four and a half. We just need one touchdown. 37, 30, 31, 34, 34, 31, somewhere in that range. I guess. Yeah. 34, 31 gets us there at 64 and a half going over 64 and a half for 1.1 units.”
UNLV 24, BOIS 29 — Combined 53; over 64.5 busts.
“I'll lay the juice. 1.35 units down. Vegas and Ottawa over one and a half goals in the first period for 1.35 units.”
Vegas Golden Knights/Ottawa Senators 1st Period Over 1.5: The stated-scope total was 5 (2+3); over 1.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 5 (2+3); line 1.5)
“I think Houston winds up losing to the Memphis Grizzlies, but I'll take the two points here. You want to give me two points with this? I'll take Memphis and Ja on the road at plus two for 1.1 units.”
HOU 128, MEM 108 — Memphis Grizzlies margin -20 vs line +2; busts.
“Instead, I'm going to come in and play the team total. Pacers over 118 tonight against the Pistons is minus 120 I going to play that for 0 units here tonight Pacers team total over 118 and a half minus 120”
Indiana Pacers Team Total Over 118.5: Indiana Pacers scored 115; over 118.5 — lost. (Indiana Pacers scored 115; line 118.5)
“Over 46 and a half wins at minus 105. I'm going to put 105 units down. Remember, I bet more than that on my on these for these futures. But officially, I just tell you because I like to tell you guys to bet conservatively. Just put one unit down on this.”
Indiana won 50 regular-season games, clearing the 46.5-win total. (Indiana Pacers: 50 wins)
“The Bucks against the Sixers who are depleted at minus three and a half at minus 110 for 0.55 units.”
PHI 109, MIL 124 — Milwaukee Bucks margin +15 vs line -3.5; covers.
“And then I'm going to go over on 49 and a half wins at even money for the Bucs.”
Milwaukee won 48 regular-season games, below the 49.5-win total. (Milwaukee Bucks: 48 wins)
“bulls over 27 and a half wins it's minus 125 at 1.25 units i think that number is super low i think the bulls can win that i don't think they're gonna be the worst team in basketball”
Chicago won 39 regular-season games, clearing the 27.5-win total. (Chicago Bulls: 39 wins)
“I'm coming in here. I'm taking it on the money line. I'll lay the minus 150. I don't want to play around. I don't play around anything to do with the line. Vikings money line. minus 150, 1.5 units down.”
LAR 30, MIN 20 — Minnesota Vikings lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm taking ODU on the money line. Let's get a W here for ODU. It's minus 120 on ODU. They're one-point favorites here. We're not going to worry about the point spread. Just take the money line here. You can lay the one if you want. You want to avoid the juice and the point 10. Just lay the money line minus one. But if they win by one and they push, I just bet the money line. ODU minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
ODU 47, GASO 19 — Old Dominion Monarchs won; moneyline covers.
“We're taking the thunder at plus money at plus one 15 tonight against the Denver Nuggets.”
DEN 87, OKC 102 — Oklahoma City Thunder won; moneyline covers.
“But for today, we can just lay the five and a half with the Boston Celtics, but I'm not going full unit. We're going to go half a unit. My 0.55 units down to win a half a unit here.”
BOS 132, NY 109 — Boston Celtics margin +23 vs line -5.5; covers.
“Colorado, the Rangers in Vegas, three leg first period over one and a half goals in each of those games is a plus 437 parlay put a half unit down sorry put a quarter unit down on that first like second parlay for you guys”
Parlay lost: Colorado Avalanche 1st Period Over 1.5: The stated-scope total was 1 (0+1); over 1.5 — lost; New York Rangers 1st Period Over 1.5: The stated-scope total was 5 (1+4); over 1.5 — won; Vegas Golden Knights 1st Period Over 1.5: The stated-scope total was 3 (3+0); over 1.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 1 (0+1); line 1.5; The stated-scope total was 5 (1+4); line 1.5; The stated-scope total was 3 (3+0); line 1.5)
“No goal in the first 10 minutes for Dallas and their game here. That means no goal in the first 10 minutes is a gift. Go in the first 10. No on this. So Dallas, they've only had one goal in the first 10 minutes one time so far this year, which is good. Buffalo is a team that's been pretty prolific at this. OK, this might be a little bit of a sweat on Buffalo. They're five and two to the yes for a goal in the first 10 minutes. But let's just hope that color out that Dallas doesn't score and the Buffalo's don't score either. Going to combine that with Edmonton and Carolina. They are two and four and one and three respectively. Italy so only 25 of the time and 33 of the time that they had a goal in the first 10 minutes We going to put those two together And that is a plus three 79 parlay for a quarter unit”
The no-goal-first-10-minutes parlay lost: Dallas–Buffalo was scoreless through 10:00, but Edmonton scored against Carolina inside the opening 10 minutes. (Dallas–Buffalo: no first-10 goal; Carolina–Edmonton: first-10 goal)
“By the way, Bruins are dogs, but you take the Bruins at plus one and a half goals and then parlay that with the Ducks who are at home against San Jose who have two points so far in the year. The Anaheim Ducks, they haven't been outstanding either, but they're two, two and one on the year and they're one in one at home. The Sharks are two in our, the Sharks are oh, two and one on the road. They're oh and four overall in the year, but oh, two and one on the road. If we get a duck win here combined with the Bruins at plus one and a half goals, that parlay comes in at a quarter unit at plus 117.”
Parlay busts: Boston Bruins +1.5 — lost; Anaheim Ducks — won.
“And then finally, in all New York Rangers Devils Moneyline Parlay. Why? The Devils lead the NHL in points with 11 points. The Rangers have nine in their 4-0-1 on the season so far. The Rangers are at home against Tampa Bay, who are on a back-to-back after getting smoked 5-2 against Toronto last night. They have to go play the team with the most points so far in the NHL. That's bad news for Tampa money line for New Jersey. And the Rangers come in here. Like we talked about earlier on the road at Montreal, Montreal is not great. They're two, three, three, and one on the year, two and two at home. Rangers though are three, you know, on the road so far this season, Rangers and the devils money line parlay is a plus one 35 play for a quarter unit.”
Parlay busts: New Jersey Devils — lost; New York Rangers — won.
“Ollie the points here. Baltimore on the road again. My pick to win the Super Bowl. I'm going to keep riding them in big primetime spots here. I think they're both the Ravens will turn the football over enough to get this win and cover. Yes, you can buy the hook if you'd like. I'm not sure you need it. Baltimore minus three and a half for one point one units.”
TB 31, BAL 41 — Baltimore Ravens margin +10 vs line -3.5; covers.
“I don't want to play on the under at 44 and a half. I'm just going to lay the one point here. Chargers minus one for 1.1 units.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -2 vs line -1; busts.
“We're going under. It's minus 110, under six and a half. Tampa Bay and Toronto for 1.1 units.”
TOR 5, TB 2 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“Houston has to go to Green Bay. Give me the three points. Packers minus three for 1.1 units.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Green Bay Packers margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“Why are you starting Anthony Richardson? Why isn't it Joe Flacco? I'm sorry. You make that decision. I'm taking Miami Dolphins plus three for 1.1 units.”
IND 16, MIA 10 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line +3; busts.
“Jets Steelers under 39 Opened at 37 Was bet up to 39 I think it a head fake Under 39 Jets and the Pittsburgh Steelers”
PIT 37, NYJ 15 — Combined 52; under 39 busts.
“So I run a proxy service for the football handicapping contests here in Vegas. The Circa Survivor is down to 217 entries. From 14,266. We represent two people. Two people. That are live. In the contest. Entries worth about $70,000. From buying it for $1,000. So they have 70 times their money. We're going to go with two of their picks. But I'm going to tease the games down. Rams. From 7 down to 1. And the Bills from 9 down to 3. 1.2 units down. those two teams to win their games and to cover those numbers here today. Rams, I think, can do it against the Raiders. I think the Raiders are dead in the wake of Devontae Adams. They may cover it. They don't win. And the Bills against the Titans, Will Levis, is a walking disaster. Will Levis, by the way, of quarterbacks that have played 10 games in the NFL over the last 20 years, he has the worst second-half ETS record in history. So second-half Bills probably is a pretty good bet, given how poorly we'll, we'll have his plays in the second half, but we'll take the bills minus three for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Los Angeles Rams: 20–15 in the stated scope; margin 5, adjusted margin 4 — won; Buffalo Bills: 34–10 in the stated scope; margin 24, adjusted margin 21 — won. (Los Angeles Rams 20, Las Vegas Raiders 15; Buffalo Bills 34, Tennessee Titans 10)
“I'm laying the nine and a half. Give me Cal minus nine and a half at home here to keep this role going for them. They've covered four of the last five games. Let's make it five out of six here for Cal at home, laying nine and a half up against NC State.”
CAL 23, NCSU 24 — California Golden Bears margin -1 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I think it's an underplay. We're going to go against the grain here, go against the obvious. What everyone's going to say is all this game's a dead over. Okay. I'll zig whenever else is zagging here over, sorry, under 59 and a half for 1.1 units.”
ORST 25, UNLV 33 — Combined 58; under 59.5 covers.
“This number was seven and a half at open. It's nine and a half and climbing. It's at 10 at certain books. I took it at nine and a half. I want it below 10, but I think BYU rolls here tonight in Provo, Utah on Friday night. Give me the Cougars at home. Party time in Provo. It's BYU minus nine and a half for 1.1 units.”
BYU 38, OKST 35 — BYU Cougars margin +3 vs line -9.5; busts.
“I'm just going to follow that trend of 60 points or higher, go into the under a ridiculous 83 and 44. I'm going to come in here and take it again. Under 60, Oregon and Purdue for 1.1 units.”
PUR 0, ORE 35 — Combined 35; under 60 covers.
“Instead, I'll play the juice. Penguins team total over two and a half for minus 150. I'll lay the minus one. That's a rarity for me, right? I don't normally lay this much juice, but we hit it two days ago. I'm going to try to hit it again here. Minus 150, 1.5 units down on this. Penguins team total over two and a half goals tonight at home against the Carolina Hurricanes.”
Pittsburgh Penguins Team Total Over 2.5: Pittsburgh Penguins scored 1; over 2.5 — lost. (Pittsburgh Penguins scored 1; line 2.5)
“the number has climbed it was three then three and a half it's now four it's going up to four and a half i want this number before it gets to four over four and a half because 24 20 is pretty much what this number is going to be okay 44 and a half is the total in this game tells me 24 20 is pretty much what the projection is going to be for this for michigan look there's a lot left for michigan to play for here okay i know they're four and two but there's going to be a bunch of teams with two losses, and if they lose at Washington in home to Texas, you can excuse those losses. You can, and you can get in the playoffs with a two loss schedule. Now, clearly that means they're going to beat Ohio state on the road. Can they do that? Probably not. But, but they've got Oregon at home coming up in November. That'll be gigantic. They have Indiana who's still undefeated. By the way, they have Indiana coming in there. Month of November is harsh. Oregon, Indiana, and Ohio state all in the month of November. There's still a lot to play for for Michigan here. I'm going to lay the four points. Michigan minus four for 1.1 units.”
ILL 21, MICH 7 — Michigan Wolverines margin -14 vs line -4; busts.
“And the Trojans may have no air left in their balloon, taking the Maryland Terrapins at plus seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
MD 29, USC 28 — Maryland Terrapins margin +1 vs line +7.5; covers.
“There's only two things I'm making. I'm playing officially here on this game for the Saints and the Broncos. Alvin Kamara, anytime touchdown, even money, half a unit. Why? Who else is scoring for the Saints? They don't really have anybody. I guess maybe a tight end or two, but Kamara to score here is even money. Kamara, half a unit, even money. Alvin Kamara scores for the Saints.”
Alvin Kamara recorded no rushing or receiving touchdown against Denver. (Alvin Kamara: 0 touchdowns)
“And then I'll take a flyer. Bo Nix has been very mobile. In particular, when they get down, he's been very mobile, running a lot. Can't throw that well, but he can run. In the red zone, he can run. Anytime touchdown for Bo Nix, that is plus 200. Shop around. Half a unit on Bo Nix to score a touchdown here tonight. That's it. That's all I'm playing here in this game tonight.”
Bo Nix recorded no rushing or receiving touchdown against New Orleans. (Bo Nix: 0 touchdowns)
“I'm laying the seven. VATEC minus seven for 1.1 units.”
VT 42, BC 21 — Virginia Tech Hokies margin +21 vs line -7; covers.
“Dallas stays hot here. Dallas gets a W. We going with the Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars Dallas Stars money line at minus 142 okay”
WSH 3, DAL 2 — Dallas Stars lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm playing the over, over six with the Penguins at home. We're going over six. It's not expensive. We'll jump in here on the over for the Penguins hosting the Sabres. It's minus 120.”
PIT 6, BUF 5 — Combined 11; over 6 covers.
“So because I'm only making two bets, I am just going to come in and bet an expensive minus 165 team total for the Boston Bruins for them to score three goals over two and a half goals.”
Boston Bruins team total Over 2.5: Boston Bruins scored 5; over 2.5 — won. (Boston Bruins scored 5; line 2.5)
“And the teaser is Jets plus seven and a half in the under 46 and a half at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: New York Jets: 20–23 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 4.5 — won; Under: The stated-scope total was 43 (20+23); under 46.5 — won. (New York Jets 20, Buffalo Bills 23; The stated-scope total was 43 (20+23); line 46.5)
“I'm taking Brees Hall over 25 and a half yards receiving for this because I think they're going to use him a lot.”
NYJ 20, BUF 23 — Breece Hall: 56 receiving_yards vs over 25.5; covers. (Breece Hall: 56 receiving_yards)
“It's only minus 120. I'm going to bet it to win a half a unit. Josh Allen to get picked off here tonight by this Jets defense. We're going to put 0.6 units down on it to win a half a unit.”
Josh Allen threw no interceptions against the Jets, so the interception prop lost. (Josh Allen: 0 interceptions)
“Let's hold Tampa Bay down to 14, 17 points here. And let's get a win here. 20 to 17, something like that here. Out of them for the New Orleans Saints. New Orleans plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
NO 27, TB 51 — New Orleans Saints margin -24 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Plus seven. Give me Washington. Plus seven for 1.1 units.”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Washington Commanders margin -7 vs line +7; pushes.
“I'm going under give me the under for the Raiders and the Steelers under 36 and a half”
LV 13, PIT 32 — Combined 45; under 36.5 busts.
“either quarterback I just don't trust offenses against these defenses we're going under 36 okay”
DEN 16, LAC 23 — Combined 39; under 36 busts.
“I'm laying the three following the number. BYU goes to six and oh straight up and six and oh against the spread. BYU minus three for one point one units.”
BYU 41, ARIZ 19 — BYU Cougars margin +22 vs line -3; covers.
“BYU minus three, Pitt minus three. Both those bets come in at 1.1 units.”
PITT 17, CAL 15 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“I think Colorado scores. I think Kansas State scores. We're going over 55 and a half for Colorado State and Kansas State.”
COLO 28, KSU 31 — Combined 59; over 55.5 covers.
“I played it under 66 and a half. You want some extra. That's an extra play tonight for for for UNLV at Utah State to play the under 66 and a half.”
USU 34, UNLV 50 — Combined 84; under 66.5 busts.
“Give me Utah. I'm going to lay it with Utah minus five and a half for the Utes here.”
ASU 27, UTAH 19 — Utah Utes margin -8 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going to take West Virginia plus three and a half, but sprinkle money line. I think the Mountaineers win the game outright on Saturday to get the job done in Morgantown. Home dog for West Virginia. Give me Morgantown. Give me West Virginia plus three and a half.”
WVU 16, ISU 28 — West Virginia Mountaineers margin -12 vs line +3.5; busts.
“Now I'm firing West Virginia money line.”
WVU 16, ISU 28 — West Virginia Mountaineers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm taking the points. Give me Stanford plus 23.5 points for 1.1 units.”
ND 49, STAN 7 — Stanford Cardinal margin -42 vs line +23.5; busts.
“But for right now, let's just guarantee lock up profit and not to worry about it. Liberty to win the series at even money. 1.1 units down more than a unit. 1.1.”
New York defeated Minnesota 3-2 to win the 2024 WNBA Finals. (Liberty defeated Lynx 3-2)
“I'm going to bet the over as well. JMU minus nine and a half. Also the over 60 and a half in this game here for college football on a Thursday.”
JMU 39, CCU 7 — Combined 46; over 60.5 busts.
“We're going with Seattle plus nine and a half and over 43 and a half at minus 120.”
Parlay lost: Seattle Seahawks: 24–36 in the stated scope; margin -12, adjusted margin -2.5 — lost; Over: The stated-scope total was 60 (24+36); over 43.5 — won. (Seattle Seahawks 24, San Francisco 49ers 36; The stated-scope total was 60 (24+36); line 43.5)
“links to win it all at plus 215. That changed as we're talking. So plus 215 for the links to win it all. One unit down on that.”
New York defeated Minnesota 3-2 in the 2024 WNBA Finals, so the Lynx title pick lost. (Liberty defeated Lynx 3-2)
“I'm going to lay the 9.5. JMU minus 9.5 up against Coastal Carolina on Thursday.”
JMU 39, CCU 7 — James Madison Dukes margin +32 vs line -9.5; covers.
“UNLV on the road on Friday night laying 18 and a half at Utah State for 1.1 units.”
USU 34, UNLV 50 — UNLV Rebels margin +16 vs line -18.5; busts.
“We're going Dallas Stars over 103 and a half points in 2023, 24 at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
Dallas finished the 2024-25 regular season with 106 points, clearing the 103.5-point total. (Dallas Stars: 106 points)
“I'm going under for the Calgary Flames under 81 and a half points for Calgary.”
Calgary finished the 2024-25 regular season with 96 points, above the under-81.5 line. (Calgary Flames: 96 points)
“But Connecticut plus four and a half. Let's go ahead and jump in with them. See if we can double dip with it with the sun at plus four and a half in game five of the Western Conference finals.”
MIN 88, CON 77 — Connecticut Sun margin -11 vs line +4.5; busts.
“I'm taking the points. Give me the Saints plus five and a half for New Orleans.”
KC 26, NO 13 — New Orleans Saints margin -13 vs line +5.5; busts.
“That should be one point minus 120, not minus 110, minus 120 for 1.2 units on the price for that. So a full unit down, 1.1 units down on the Saints plus five and a half. Saints plus 11 and a half and over 37. We're going 1.2 units down on that.”
Parlay lost: New Orleans Saints: 13–26 in the stated scope; margin -13, adjusted margin -1.5 — lost; Over: The stated-scope total was 39 (26+13); over 37 — won. (New Orleans Saints 13, Kansas City Chiefs 26; The stated-scope total was 39 (26+13); line 37)
“Justin Watson over for his receiving 25 and a half points. Sorry, 25 and a half yards receiving for 0.55 to win a half a unit.”
Justin Watson recorded 0 receiving yards; 0 is under 25.5. (Justin Watson: 0 receiving yards)
“Alvin Kamara over 31 and a half yards receiving also for two and a half a unit, 0.55 down on that.”
KC 26, NO 13 — Alvin Kamara: 40 receiving_yards vs over 31.5; covers. (Alvin Kamara: 40 receiving_yards)
“But I like the two and a half Ravens minus two and a half. I know people who like the Bengals plus two and a half plus three. I'm going to do two and a half with the Ravens for one point one units.”
CIN 38, BAL 41 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I think the Las Vegas Raiders will have the ability to move the football here well enough. And I just think the offense is due to turn the football over here. I think Bo Nix could have a really rough game here against the Raiders and that could lead them to a victory here. I think turnovers and penalties and mistakes are what Denver comes up with here in week five. Raiders plus three for one point one units.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -16 vs line +3; busts.
“I don't like either defense to really shut down either of their offense with the quarterback play that we're going to see in this game. I'm thinking the Bills and the Texans. We're going over 47 for 1.1 units.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — Combined 43; over 47 busts.
“Packers and the Rams over forty eight and a half for one point one units.”
LAR 19, GB 24 — Combined 43; over 48.5 busts.
“And the teaser, I'm taking the bills up from, uh, from one and a half up to seven and a half. I'm taking the Cowboys from two and a half up to eight and a half on their Sunday night game up against the Steelers. I don't think Pittsburgh can beat anybody by more than seven points, even the Cowboys, you know, even the Cowboys. I'm taking Cowboys up there to minus 120 to go with the two leg teaser.”
Parlay won: Buffalo Bills: 20–23 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin 4.5 — won; Dallas Cowboys: 20–17 in the stated scope; margin 3, adjusted margin 11.5 — won. (Buffalo Bills 20, Houston Texans 23; Dallas Cowboys 20, Pittsburgh Steelers 17)
“I'm going to lay the 11 and a half points in the first half, Alabama minus one, 10, 1.1 units down at 11 and a half laying 11 and a half in the first half up against Vanderbilt.”
Alabama Crimson Tide (1st Half): 14–23 in the stated scope; margin -9, adjusted margin -20.5 — lost. (Alabama Crimson Tide 14, Vanderbilt Commodores 23)
“I don't hate that play, but let's just say Air Force gets some points here and you have both teams contributing to the over. 37, we're going over. 37 for Navy and Air Force.”
AFA 7, NAVY 34 — Combined 41; over 37 covers.
“I think West Virginia will run the football. I'm going to bet the under here under 64 and a half for the West Virginia, Oklahoma state game.”
OKST 14, WVU 38 — Combined 52; under 64.5 covers.
“I going to go ahead and bet the over here over one 51 and a half for the links and the sun here in the WNBA game three of the Western Conference finals”
CON 81, MIN 90 — Combined 171; over 151.5 covers.
“Arkansas to be up by, sorry, Tennessee to be up by seven. I'm going to lay it. I'm going to ride this trend again, just a crazy number, 28, eight and one in the first half for Tennessee or for Josh Heupel rather on the road at UCF and Tennessee minus seven Vols, not seven and a half. I want seven for the Vols here in the first half up against Arkansas for 1.1 units.”
Tennessee Volunteers (1st Half): 0–3 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin -10 — lost. (Tennessee Volunteers 0, Arkansas Razorbacks 3)
“Kansas is not very good. I'm going to lay the one point Arizona State minus one in the first half”
Arizona State Sun Devils (1st Half): 14–14 in the stated scope; margin 0, adjusted margin -1 — lost. (Arizona State Sun Devils 14, Kansas Jayhawks 14)
“But I'm going to go ahead and just same game tease this because I want to have extra action on this. And I think Tampa plus seven and a half is a decent play in a divisional game in primetime. So plus that and it's one and a half. I can't take the one and a half. It's it's no, it's it's a field goal and they lose. So it lose by three. It's fine. We cover that seven and a half. So same game teaser over 38 and plus seven and a half for Tampa Bay.”
Parlay won: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 30–36 in the stated scope; margin -6, adjusted margin 1.5 — won; Over: The stated-scope total was 66 (36+30); over 38 — won. (Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, Atlanta Falcons 36; The stated-scope total was 66 (36+30); line 38)
“I'll just take Syracuse plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
UNLV 41, SYR 44 — Syracuse Orange margin +3 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Bruins over 97 and a half points. Keep the streak going. Bruins 100 points. They'll get there in my mind this year. We'll go over 97 and a half points for the Boston Bruins.”
Boston finished the 2024-25 regular season with 76 points, below the 97.5-point total. (Boston Bruins: 76 points)
“Atlanta and San Diego under seven at minus 115 for 1.15 units in Major League Baseball”
SD 5, ATL 4 — Combined 9; under 7 busts.
“And the game goes over, over 43 for 1.1 units.”
ATL 36, TB 30 — Combined 66; over 43 covers.
“i'm gonna take the aces and asia wilson plus three and a half okay”
NY 88, LV 84 — Las Vegas Aces margin -4 vs line +3.5; busts.
“I think it's easier to come in and take a plus 132 shot on the Lynx to win the series. Lynx to win the series. It's plus 132.”
Minnesota defeated Connecticut 3-2 in the WNBA semifinals and advanced. (Lynx won series 3-2)
“Astros and the Orioles both to win their series parlaying the American League chalk to advance. That's plus 144 for one unit.”
The advance parlay lost: Detroit swept Houston 2–0 and Kansas City swept Baltimore 2–0, so neither selected team advanced. (Tigers def. Astros 2–0; Royals def. Orioles 2–0)
“And the Padres to win the National League pennant at five to one. That's a one unit play for the Padres.”
San Diego was eliminated by Los Angeles in the NL Division Series and did not win the 2024 National League pennant. (Dodgers defeated Padres 3-2 in NLDS)
“However, I can't do anything but bet the under in this game. Like that's it. Two bad offenses, two defenses. I think we'll be able to contain the other's offense, run the ball, get out of dodge. Whoever wins could have the ball last. I don't think this is going to be a fun football game. This could be a 13-10 type final here. Low scoring. We'll bet the under 37 for the Dolphins and the Titans in the game.”
MIA 12, TEN 31 — Combined 43; under 37 busts.
“I'm going to go ahead and I'm going to jump on the Lions minus four here, sort of exposing the Seahawks a little bit with their three and O record. I mean, the Patriots almost beat them at home on the road. The Lions are a much better football team. Lions are at home. Lions win. Lions will cover. So we're going under 37 for the for the Titans and the Dolphins. Lions minus four.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Detroit Lions margin +13 vs line -4; covers.
“The three other plays are I like the over for the Lions and the Seahawks at over 46 and a half. I think we see offense. I don't think we see a low scoring game. I know it's prime time, but I think we see a high scoring game.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Combined 71; over 46.5 covers.
“Two props here to give you guys. DK Metcalf over 64 and a half yards receiving. Why? He's been on fire, like on fire. Big play after big play, big play. On a mission he the biggest play threat the biggest weapon for this offense for Seattle I think he catches a couple of really big bombs here We go over 64 and a half yards receiving here for DK Metcalf of Seattle And then the other play is I think that Jared Goff throws two touchdowns. We faded last week, or yesterday, we faded a prop bet on Jordan Love. He got three touchdown tosses. I think Jared Goff's going to throw the ball a lot tonight. I like the over, so I like scoring for the Lions. I like Goff to throw touchdown tosses tonight, minus four in the Lions and Seahawks over. I do think Goff gets after it. These are half unit plays, by the way. It's plus money on Jared Goff, plus 105, minus 110 on DK Metcalf.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — DK Metcalf: 104 receiving_yards vs over 64.5; covers. (DK Metcalf: 104 receiving_yards)
“And then the other play is I think that Jared Goff throws two touchdowns. We faded last week, or yesterday, we faded a prop bet on Jordan Love. He got three touchdown tosses. I think Jared Goff's going to throw the ball a lot tonight. I like the over, so I like scoring for the Lions. I like Goff to throw touchdown tosses tonight, minus four in the Lions and Seahawks over. I do think Goff gets after it. These are half unit plays, by the way. It's plus money on Jared Goff, plus 105, minus 110 on DK Metcalf.”
Jared Goff threw two touchdown passes against Seattle, clearing 1.5. (2 passing touchdowns)
“But I got six and a half and I'm taking it. I'm taking Jaguars plus six and a half.”
HOU 24, JAX 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -4 vs line +6.5; covers.
“Give me plus three with New Orleans. I think the Saints team's got a chance to go in there, win the game outright. And I know Derek Carr's nursing a sore groin, but again, I'm not a very big fan of Atlanta. I'll take New Orleans plus the three here today.”
ATL 26, NO 24 — New Orleans Saints margin -2 vs line +3; covers.
“Give me Denver plus eight and a half Bo Nix to keep developing this defense to befuddle Aaron Rodgers turn the football over for Denver be in the game Denver wins the I mean the Jets win the game by four points Denver will have a shot to win the game, but I think the Jets win, but I'm going to go ahead and just take the points here. Eight and a half, Denver plus eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
Denver Broncos +8.5: 10–9 in the stated scope; margin 1, adjusted margin 9.5 — won. (Denver Broncos 10, New York Jets 9)
“Bills plus eight and a half in Philadelphia plus six on that six point teaser from minus 120 Bills and Philly both teased up to eight and a half into six”
Parlay lost: Bills +8.5 (teased): 10–35 in the stated scope; margin -25, adjusted margin -16.5 — lost; Eagles +6 (teased): 16–33 in the stated scope; margin -17, adjusted margin -11 — lost. (Buffalo Bills 10, Baltimore Ravens 35; Philadelphia Eagles 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33)
“I don't get why this number went over seven, but I'm glad that it did. I'm taking Northern Illinois to bounce back here and get a big win. I think they beat NC State. Northern Illinois plus seven and a half on the road at NC State.”
NCSU 24, NIU 17 — Northern Illinois Huskies margin -7 vs line +7.5; covers.
“I'm going to take a team with a better running back in a rivalry game, and I'm going to take the dog and plus the points in a rivalry game. I got three last night for North Carolina Duke at the time of taping.”
DUKE 21, UNC 20 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -1 vs line +3; covers.
“So I'm going to lay the nine and a half points. Miami minus nine and a half at minus 110 for 1.1 units in the first half tonight.”
First half: Miami -9.5: 17–24 in the stated scope; margin -7, adjusted margin -16.5 — lost. (Miami Hurricanes 17, Virginia Tech Hokies 24)
“I like Washington Moneyline 100% sprinkle on Moneyline, but the official play will be Washington plus two here to go on the road here today. I think there's a big opportunity here for Washington to win a Big Ten game on the East Coast and show that maybe they are for real. Maybe this is not going to be a way down year like I thought we were going to see out of Washington. I'm taking the Huskies at plus two for 1.1 units.”
RUTG 21, WASH 18 — Washington Huskies margin -3 vs line +2; busts.
“Cannot wait. I think it's going to close at three. I want three and a half. We're going to take BYU, one of the hottest teams in the country at plus three and a half on the road against Baylor. I want three and a half. I don't want three. I want three and a half. So go and find it. If the number is three, buy it up or don't play it. Okay. That I got it tonight, last night at three and a half minus one 10. That's where I like it at.”
BAY 28, BYU 34 — BYU Cougars margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“Because Dak Prescott is 32, 14 and two ATS in his career against teams whose record is under 500 in the NFL when he plays them. The Giants are one and two. Dallas is minus five. We're playing Dallas minus five.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas Cowboys margin +5 vs line -5; pushes.
“This has worked with the teaser and has not worked with the spread, but I'm going Cowboys minus five and I'm going to tease the Giants up to 11 and a half and go over 39, pull it down from 45 to 39 and go over. So I think we'll see points in this game, but I think the Cowboys, if they win, they win by seven. I think the initial number was right. Cowboys minus seven. I want five, so get five, but then you can try to thread the needle here and the Cowboys win by five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, or 11. And we push or we win. They win by 12, we're dead. Over 39 for 1.2 units. That should be 1.2 units down, not 1.1. I'm sorry with that. It's a typo. So minus 120, Giants in the over, Giants teased up in the over, Cowboys minus five.”
Parlay lost: Giants +11.5 (teased): 15–20 in the stated scope; margin -5, adjusted margin 6.5 — won; Over 39 (teased): The stated-scope total was 35 (15+20); over 39 — lost. (New York Giants 15, Dallas Cowboys 20; The stated-scope total was 35 (15+20); line 39)
“You got like Malik Nabors under in his yards there for the pick six. but you're like Daniel Jones with the over. Yeah. Cause one is a contest play and one is a bet. And for the bet, I like Daniel Jones to go over one 99 and a half yards passing because the Dallas Cowboys secondary is horrible.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Daniel Jones: 281 passing_yards vs over 199.5; covers. (Daniel Jones: 281 passing_yards)
“And Dak Prescott over 256 and a half yards passing and minus 110 for 0.55 units as well here for that to come in and win a half a unit on a Thursday.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dak Prescott: 221 passing_yards vs over 256.5; busts. (Dak Prescott: 221 passing_yards)
“I'm going to back the Rebels here. I'm going to lay the three points with the Rebels and go UNLV minus three at home on Saturday up against Fresno State.”
UNLV 59, FRES 14 — UNLV Rebels margin +45 vs line -3; covers.
“I just think Cincinnati is going to have a chance here to win this game And I going to take the plus on this I going to take Cincinnati plus on the money line here with a good plus price Shop around and find the best one. Plus 132 was the best one that I found. I'm going to take the Reds here at plus 132.”
CLE 5, CIN 2 — Cincinnati Reds lost; moneyline busts.
“It's 17 and a half. So I bought it down. I paid the extra. I got it at minus one 25 last night. Okay. You guys can see which book hopefully it's not too expensive for you, but we're going to buy it from 17 and a half down to 17 because I think this defense for Penn state will shut down the offense for Illinois. I don't think they score very much. And I think this running attack for Penn state will want run the ball well enough. I think Nebraska is not that good. I like Illinois, but I don't think they're on Penn State's level. Penn State at home. I think Penn State puts up a number here. I'm going to lay the 17. You can lay 17 and a half if you want, but I'm not losing on the hook for only a couple of, you know, for juice here. You only pay the juice when you lose Remember that So Penn State minus 17 at home in Happy Valley up against Illinois Big 10 home game Again that magical spread 17 0 and 1 when the spread is 16 to 24 points for Penn State under James Franklin We're going to follow that trend and we're going to lay it with Penn State here. Penn State minus 17 for 1.1 units.”
PSU 21, ILL 7 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin +14 vs line -17; busts.
“I laid the eight and a half points with the Lynx. I just think from a Minnesota standpoint, you know, they got into the playoffs red hot against the number. They didn't cover the last game against LA because they didn't care, but then they didn't cover here against Phoenix. That's back to back games. The Lynx haven't covered. I think they do cover here eight and a half. I laid it with Minnesota minus eight and a half, 1.1 units at home against Phoenix to close out this series.”
MIN 101, PHX 88 — Minnesota Lynx margin +13 vs line -8.5; covers.
“This is against the Padres. Now total is eight minus one 20. We go to the over why I'm simply following trends on this with the Dodgers. You guys know I can't get a baseball bet right to save my life. This game probably will be two to one. So I, you know, if you guys are looking for this as going like Matt, I think this is, might be a chance for an under, but just the Dodgers pitching staff has not been great. They give up a bunch of runs. They can score a ton of runs with Otani and bets and everything else. I mean, no debating it, but I mean, they gave up five runs, six runs in four runs to the Rockies in their series. Not great. Okay. Not great against the Marlin. They scored, you know, They scored nine, eight and 20 runs in those games. I know it's the Padres. I know this has like a playoff type of feel, but Landon Knack hasn't been all that great.”
LAD 2, SD 4 — Combined 6; over 8 busts.
“we have an opportunity to back a team that's desperate, but I'm going to get involved with a little bit of a same game teaser here. I'm going to take the Jaguars up to 11 and I'll go under 51 and a half. Okay. I think the bills win the game. I don't know if they cover the five and a half points, but I do think the Jags keep it within 10 points. And I do think the under just primetime unders have been very profitable here. We're going to jump in a little tease it up, take the under 51 and a half for the Jags and the Bills plus 11. You can hopefully get 11 and a half because I got it at five and I teased up to 11. But hopefully you guys will get 11 and a half here for this. But under 51 and a half when I played it, it was at 11. It's five and a half now. You should be able to go ahead and jump on it. But Jags plus 11 under 51 and a half for 1.2 units.”
Parlay lost: Jaguars +11 (teased): 10–47 in the stated scope; margin -37, adjusted margin -26 — lost; Under 51.5 (teased): The stated-scope total was 57 (47+10); under 51.5 — lost. (Jacksonville Jaguars 10, Buffalo Bills 47; The stated-scope total was 57 (47+10); line 51.5)
“I think this is going to be a tighter game than what the numbers are saying, but I'm just going to come in here and bet the over. I think this is two offenses that can move the football and score. The total I got was 46. It's currently now 47. So I got 46. Let's go over 46 for the Bengals and Washington tonight at 1.1 units.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Combined 71; over 46 covers.
“Some of them are pretty self and pretty you know straightforward here in terms of what I playing Jane Daniels under 46 and a half yards rushing I don think the Bengals are going to allow the legs of Jaden Daniels to beat them.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Jayden Daniels: 39 rushing_yards vs under 46.5; covers. (Jayden Daniels: 39 rushing_yards)
“Brian Robinson for Washington on the other side running the football, getting a big bulk of the carries here for the commanders over 53 and a half yards rushing.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Brian Robinson Jr.: 33 rushing_yards vs over 53.5; busts. (Brian Robinson Jr.: 33 rushing_yards)
“I can't bet this until I see Joe Burrow do it where he throws for two touchdowns in a game. Joe Burrow under one and a half touchdown tosses is plus one 25.”
Joe Burrow threw three touchdown passes against Washington, over 1.5. (3 passing touchdowns)
“I'm taking the points. Give me James Madison. We're going JMU here plus 10 and a half at 1.1 units.”
UNC 50, JMU 70 — James Madison Dukes margin +20 vs line +10.5; covers.
“You can lay four. If you don't want to do team total, you can lay four. But you can find this at FanDuel. It is an even money play. Over 24.5 points for USC.”
USC Team Total Over 24.5: USC Trojans scored 24; over 24.5 — lost. (USC Trojans scored 24; line 24.5)
“Ravens win the game. You can just bet Moneyline if you want, but Ravens minus one. Okay. Maybe they win by one and we push, but Ravens win the game. I think they have to. Their backs are against the wall. Ravens win the game minus one.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Baltimore Ravens margin +3 vs line -1; covers.
“Packers plus three. Okay. Packers plus three minus one 10. Give me the Packers. I'll take, I'll take the dog price here at three.”
TEN 14, GB 30 — Green Bay Packers margin +16 vs line +3; covers.
“I like Philadelphia here plus the nine for the Eagles. 1.2 units down on that. That's a typo. Sorry. I should say 1.2 units, not 1.1 units down. So Ravens minus one Packers plus three teaser with the Vikings plus eight Eagles plus nine for 1.2 units”
Parlay won: Vikings +8 (teased): 34–7 in the stated scope; margin 27, adjusted margin 35 — won; Eagles +9 (teased): 15–12 in the stated scope; margin 3, adjusted margin 12 — won. (Minnesota Vikings 34, Houston Texans 7; Philadelphia Eagles 15, New Orleans Saints 12)
“I'm coming in and I'm taking Stanford plus nine.”
SYR 24, STAN 26 — Stanford Cardinal margin +2 vs line +9; covers.
“I think Purdue keeps it close. I'm going to take the dog plus five and a half for Purdue on the road against Oregon State on Saturday.”
ORST 38, PUR 21 — Purdue Boilermakers margin -17 vs line +5.5; busts.
“So I'm just going to go ahead and lay the three and a half and hopefully it doesn't burn me. Hopefully they have a four point lead or a touchdown lead at the break over Oklahoma. And we just keep rolling with Tennessee in the first half. UT minus three and a half on the road at Oklahoma.”
First half: Tennessee -3.5: 19–3 in the stated scope; margin 16, adjusted margin 12.5 — won. (Tennessee Volunteers 19, Oklahoma Sooners 3)
“Patriots same game teaser Pats plus 12 under 44 and a half at minus 120”
Parlay lost: Patriots +12 (teased): 3–24 in the stated scope; margin -21, adjusted margin -9 — lost; Under 44.5 (teased): The stated-scope total was 27 (24+3); under 44.5 — won. (New England Patriots 3, New York Jets 24; The stated-scope total was 27 (24+3); line 44.5)
“Ramondre Stevenson anytime touchdown for the Patriots even money half a unit on that”
Rhamondre Stevenson did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown against the Jets. (0 touchdowns)
“Give me the dog. Give me Illinois. Big 10 game. Run the ball. Hard nose. Three, four point victory. Last possession. Maybe seven. Maybe it's a seven point win for Nebraska. Eight points. Give me the dog. Illinois plus eight on Friday night in Lincoln, Nebraska at Memorial Stadium.”
NEB 24, ILL 31 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin +7 vs line +8; covers.
“right now right now I want to jump in here and take the Patriots at plus six and a half for Thursday night football because I think it's an important number. I think it's an important number to take a look at. And six and a half, I want over six and a half here for that. So we're going to jump in here with the Patriots at plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — New England Patriots margin -21 vs line +6.5; busts.
“We're taking plus 7 now. Michigan State plus 7 on the road at Boston College for 1.1 units.”
BC 23, MSU 19 — Michigan State Spartans margin -4 vs line +7; covers.
“Both these teams score. The Orioles offense, I think, comes to life. We're going over eight for 1.1 units for the Orioles here at home against the Giants.”
BAL 3, SF 5 — Combined 8; over 8 pushes.
“It's a small number. I'm going to lay it with the links. links minus one and a half for 1.1 units. That takes us to the total of 155.”
CON 76, MIN 78 — Minnesota Lynx margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm going over over 155 here for the Lynx and the Storm for 1.1 units.”
CON 76, MIN 78 — Combined 154; over 155 busts.
“Home dog. I'm going to take it. Seattle Storm plus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
SEA 72, LV 85 — Seattle Storm margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.
“It's a low number at 155. I think if you take a look at this and I may be going against things a little bit here, but I think we got to go ahead and play the over 154 and a half for Atlanta and Chicago.”
ATL 86, CHI 70 — Combined 156; over 154.5 covers.
“OK, so in closing, once again, Falcons plus 11 under 52. Same game teaser minus 120, 1.2 units.”
Parlay won: Falcons +11 (teased): 22–21 in the stated scope; margin 1, adjusted margin 12 — won; Under 52 (teased): The stated-scope total was 43 (21+22); under 52 — won. (Atlanta Falcons 22, Philadelphia Eagles 21; The stated-scope total was 43 (21+22); line 52)
“Now, two player props that I like that I'm going to jump in with that are both going to be half unit plays to win a half unit better to win a half unit. The first is B. John Robinson and have him over 28, 27 and a half yards receiving, not rushing, receiving.”
PHI 21, ATL 22 — Bijan Robinson: 25 receiving_yards vs over 27.5; busts. (Bijan Robinson: 25 receiving_yards)
“And the other prop that I like is that Jalen hurts to go over thirty nine and a half yards rushing. He's still one of the most effective running quarterbacks in the entire NFL. I know we've bet this three straight weeks. I'm going to keep on betting this. I think this number should be somewhere around 50 for Jalen Hurts, given his ability with his legs and what he can do. I think both those players are going to wind up picking up big yards, chunk plays for both Jalen Hurts and B. John Robinson kind of go ahead and bet point five five or bet to win a half a unit, depending on what the odds that you're going to get for Jalen Hurts and B. John Robinson.”
PHI 21, ATL 22 — Jalen Hurts: 85 rushing_yards vs over 39.5; covers. (Jalen Hurts: 85 rushing_yards)
“OK, Tampa Bay is plus seven and a half. Give me the dog here. Tampa Bay plus seven and a half on the road against Detroit. I think the Lions win the game, but I like Baker a lot. I like Baker. I like Mike Evans. I like the offensive line here. I think they'll move the football. The total is up to 51 and a half here. Dog in the over, maybe. but I would say dog in the under in the game is more likely likely Tampa plus seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
DET 16, TB 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin +4 vs line +7.5; covers.
“It's an easy handicap for me. Plus one 10 and one record. You kidding me? Rams plus one up against the Cardinals for one point one units. Look, if it's wrong, it's wrong. OK, I'll suck it up. I'll deal with it. I'll take it. If it's wrong, so be it. It's wrong.”
ARI 41, LAR 10 — Los Angeles Rams margin -31 vs line +1; busts.
“this is a massive overreaction it's still sam darnold guys i know he played great in week one that was the giants this is the 49ers give me san francisco minus four and a half for 1.1 units”
MIN 23, SF 17 — San Francisco 49ers margin -6 vs line -4.5; busts.
“Maybe a heartbreaking loss, but give me the points. plus seven and a half. We're coming in plus seven and a half for Colorado State hosting Colorado.”
CSU 9, COLO 28 — Colorado State Rams margin -19 vs line +7.5; busts.
“this just seems like it's another over it's 38 and a half not a huge handicap here iowa's team total is 31 and a half they're laying 23 and a half i think i was going to run the football all day long on troy just comes down to whether or not troy can score if by chance i'm wrong about the iowa defense and they give up points here or the iowa offense in k mcnamara throws picks or fumbles turns the ball over which could very much happen considering how sloppy iowa was in the second half last week against Iowa State maybe Troy scores 14 maybe the score 17 game goes over over 38 and a half Iowa and Troy”
Over: The stated-scope total was 59 (38+21); over 38.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 59 (38+21); line 38.5)
“I think Washington state is live here to win the game, but I'm going to take the five and a half points here. Washington state plus five and a half on a neutral up against Washington in the Apple cup.”
Washington State Cougars +5.5: 19–24 in the stated scope; margin -5, adjusted margin 0.5 — won. (Washington Huskies 19, Washington State Cougars 24)
“Over eight and a half rounds is minus 115, kind of a coin flip, okay? That means the fight's got to go into the ninth round. Halfway into the ninth round is what we're looking for here with Canelo over. I'm going to bet just a half a unit though. I'm not betting heavy. Half a unit, you know, 0.58 to win a half a unit. Canelo over eight and a half rounds in his boxing match here in Vegas coming up on Saturday night.”
Canelo Álvarez–Edgar Berlanga completed all 12 rounds; the bout went over 8.5 rounds. (12 completed rounds; Álvarez won by unanimous decision)
“O'Malley and Merab inside the distance is minus 115. Again, I'm going to bet a half a unit to win a half a unit here on that.”
Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili went to a unanimous decision, so it did not end inside the distance. (Dvalishvili by unanimous decision)
“I think we're going to be in for a really fun football game. I'm jumping in on Pitt plus one and a half here for them up against West Virginia in the backyard brawl for our first bet here for a Saturday.”
PITT 38, WVU 34 — Pittsburgh Panthers margin +4 vs line +1.5; covers.
“I think it'll play well here tonight. I think the bills are going to have a tough time on a short week after a hard fought game against the Cardinals. I'll lay the two and a half points. I'll take the Miami dolphins minus two and a half for 1.1 units.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Miami Dolphins margin -21 vs line -2.5; busts.
“Teasing the Bills up to eight and a half and taking the under 55 and minus 120.”
Parlay won: Buffalo Bills (teased to +8.5): 31–10 in the stated scope; margin 21, adjusted margin 29.5 — won; Under (teased to 55): The stated-scope total was 41 (10+31); under 55 — won. (Buffalo Bills 31, Miami Dolphins 10; The stated-scope total was 41 (10+31); line 55)
“I think James cook can catch swing passes and can catch screens. And I think James cook picks up pretty easily over 18 and a half yards receiving three catches for him. Average 10.7 yards per catch in a game against Arizona. I think he has a similar type of game here for James cook. I think he's going to have an opportunity to maybe break off a couple of them. I going to go over 18 at receiving yards for James Cook of the Buffalo Bills here for 0 units”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — James Cook III: 17 receiving_yards vs over 18.5; busts. (James Cook III: 17 receiving_yards)
“And I think Tua is going to go under his passing number. And I think it's because of the fact that you don't have that big play Tyreek Hill like he had. I think to his passing number is going to be too high. And I'll ride this trend of really a lot of unders coming in with passing yardage for quarterbacks. I don't think he throws for a ton of yards. I think this is going to be it's 265 and a half. I'm going to go under here. I are 269 and a half. I'm going to go under with this for to a 268 and a half. what I played two 68 and a half for two under.”
MIA 10, BUF 31 — Tua Tagovailoa: 145 passing_yards vs under 268.5; covers. (Tua Tagovailoa: 145 passing_yards)
“I'm going to come in here. I'm going to bet under under 177 and a half here for the Vegas Aces and the Indiana Fever under 77 and a half at minus 110.”
IND 75, LV 86 — Combined 161; under 177.5 covers.
“I'm going to come in with the same bet. Under. Under 164.5 here.”
LA 82, SEA 90 — Combined 172; under 164.5 busts.
“I'm taking the seven and a half. Arizona plus seven and a half on the road Friday night against Kansas State.”
KSU 31, ARIZ 7 — Arizona Wildcats margin -24 vs line +7.5; busts.
“Sparks plus nine and a half. My minus 110 at home against Connecticut.”
LA 66, CON 86 — Los Angeles Sparks margin -20 vs line +9.5; busts.
“I'm going to lay it. Minnesota minus five and a half up against Atlanta for 1.1 units.”
ATL 64, MIN 76 — Minnesota Lynx margin +12 vs line -5.5; covers.
“UNLV plus seven on Friday night. This game is Friday night. 1.1 units minus 110.”
KU 20, UNLV 23 — UNLV Rebels margin +3 vs line +7; covers.
“I just think it's a trend to follow here on Monday night. I think the Jets defense will hold down the Niners and the Niners defense hold down the Jets. We're going 43 and a half under for 1.1 units here for the Giants. Sorry, for the Jets and the 49ers under 43 and a half for minus 110.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — Combined 51; under 43.5 busts.
“Now, second bet, Brees Hall. I think Brees Hall is going to be a big weapon in this offense for the Jets. And I think in the red zone in particular, I think he gets the majority of the carries in the red zone. It's plus 130. I don't know how we don't. You could get it in the screen game. We could see a Brees Hall touchdown in the screen game. I just think he's a huge weapon in the red zone for this offense. I think he gets the rock a lot. I think Brees Hall scores a touchdown anytime at plus 130 here in this game.”
Breece Hall scored a rushing touchdown against San Francisco. (1 rushing touchdown)
“Second prop bet, Brock Purdy over six and a half yards rushing at minus 120. This is a bet just based upon Brock Purdy and the fact that the Jets are going to get after him. This pass rush for the Jets is legitimate. They're linebackers and ends. They're going to get upfield and they're going to pressure Brock Purdy. Brock Purdy is good enough to pick up seven yards running the football, not designed runs, just a scramble on a third and eight to scramble for a first down. I think Brock Purdy is mobile enough, quick enough and nimble enough to get a first down over six and a half yards rushing for Brock Purdy.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — Brock Purdy: 11 rushing_yards vs over 6.5; covers. (Brock Purdy: 11 rushing_yards)
“Prop number three, Aaron Rodgers under 235 and a half yards passing.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — Aaron Rodgers: 167 passing_yards vs under 235.5; covers. (Aaron Rodgers: 167 passing_yards)
“And then finally Debo Samuel under four and a half receptions He missed so much time I don know how much he really be working heavily with Brock Purdy And I just think this defense can take him away And I just think there's a lot of other weapons to throw the football to is I think we're going to go under four and a half receptions for Debo Samuel.”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — Deebo Samuel: 5 receptions vs under 4.5; busts. (Deebo Samuel: 5 receptions)
“the Giants, I think they get it done. Move came. It was minus one. Now minus one, New York. Now it minus one Minnesota I coming in I taking the Vikings here for number one Vikings minus one on the road at the Giants at minus 110”
NYG 6, MIN 28 — Minnesota Vikings margin +22 vs line -1; covers.
“This is as much a number play as it is a bet on the Steelers three and a half. I love the hook here. I absolutely love the hook here with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Do not play this at three. You got to play this at three and a half Steelers plus three and a half for 1.1 units.”
ATL 10, PIT 18 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +8 vs line +3.5; covers.
“but two and a half. It is right there for under 44, under 45. So totals right where it needs to be numbers, right where it needs to be. I'm going to come in. I'm taking the Cowboys at plus two and a half.”
CLE 17, DAL 33 — Dallas Cowboys margin +16 vs line +2.5; covers.
“I'm taking Seattle at six and I'm going to pull them down to a pick. And I think there's a lot of people, if you look at the survivor picks and what we've seen from a survivor standpoint, a lot of people believe that this is going to be a good backing pick to take Seattle. And I think there's people out there that are also wondering a little bit what this Seahawks team might look like, because there are some people that believe that Seattle is a team that could make a lot of noise, that they could be a difficult opponent So when I get the up number I played six So I make sure we playing the right number here It still six So post six down six point teaser Seattle down to a pick to win the game outright Just money line play up against the Denver Broncos. And then we're going to come in on the other side and we're going to get the Sunday night football game and take the Rams from four and a half up to ten and a half.”
Parlay won: Seattle Seahawks (teased to pick'em): 26–20 in the stated scope; margin 6, adjusted margin 6 — won; Los Angeles Rams (teased to +10.5): 20–26 in the stated scope; margin -6, adjusted margin 4.5 — won. (Seattle Seahawks 26, Denver Broncos 20; Los Angeles Rams 20, Detroit Lions 26)
“I don't normally do parlays, but it's a plus 141 parlay that I'm going to do for one unit with Nebraska Moneyline and Iowa Moneyline.”
Parlay busts: Nebraska Cornhuskers ML — won; Iowa Hawkeyes ML — lost.
“Give me Tulane. I'm taking Tulane plus nine for 1.1 units there.”
TULN 27, KSU 34 — Tulane Green Wave margin -7 vs line +9; covers.
“Team total, Oregon, over 40 and a half for 1.1 units.”
Oregon Ducks team total Over: Oregon Ducks scored 37; over 40.5 — lost. (Oregon Ducks scored 37; line 40.5)
“I'll take the two points just in case. 1.1 units Packers plus two here tonight.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Green Bay Packers margin -5 vs line +2; busts.
“You know 240 yards is not a gigantic number for this I going to go over Jalen hurts passing yardage at two 40 and a half and over Jalen hurts rushing at 36 and a half yards.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jalen Hurts: 278 passing_yards vs over 240.5; covers. (Jalen Hurts: 278 passing_yards)
“You know 240 yards is not a gigantic number for this I going to go over Jalen hurts passing yardage at two 40 and a half and over Jalen hurts rushing at 36 and a half yards.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jalen Hurts: 33 rushing_yards vs over 36.5; busts. (Jalen Hurts: 33 rushing_yards)
“Devante Smith, anytime touchdown at plus one 80”
DeVonta Smith did not score a rushing or receiving touchdown against Green Bay. (0 touchdowns)
“It's going to be Christian Watson here. So I'm going to go under that number for him at 37 and a half receiving yards.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Christian Watson: 13 receiving_yards vs under 37.5; covers. (Christian Watson: 13 receiving_yards)
“Minnesota minus two and a half. I'll lay it on the road up against Indiana tonight. Links win links cover here for 1.1 units.”
IND 88, MIN 99 — Minnesota Lynx margin +11 vs line -2.5; covers.
“I'm going to buy it up. I'm going to buy the half a unit. I'm going to make it 10 just to be careful, just to be safe. Minus one 24 Michigan state plus 10 on the road against Maryland.”
MD 24, MSU 27 — Michigan State Spartans margin +3 vs line +10; covers.
“I'm going to play over Washington Phoenix over 165 and a half for 1.1 units. So Ravens plus three, you guys know what the bets are. Ravens plus three, Michigan state plus 10 minus one 24 mystics, Mercury over 165 and a half for minus one 10, 1.1 units, 1.1 units and 1.24 units down on that for us here.”
PHX 77, WSH 90 — Combined 167; over 165.5 covers.
“I think this is a good old fashioned fight to who has the ball last to who scores last Nebraska Colorado over 59 for 1 units I don want that thing at 60 or 61 Okay 59 or lower is where we want that number for Nebraska and Colorado from a total perspective here in week number two, bet.”
NEB 28, COLO 10 — Combined 38; over 59 busts.
“If you don't want to play around with that and maybe the White Sox win the game and snap the losing streak. I doubt it, but maybe they do. Team total over four and a half at minus 142 for the Baltimore Orioles here at home against the Chicago White Sox.”
Baltimore Orioles team total Over: Baltimore Orioles scored 1; over 4.5 — lost. (Baltimore Orioles scored 1; line 4.5)
“I taking the dog Give me the sparks plus 12 and a half on the road against Indiana fever Win the game sparks cover plus 12 and a half for the Indiana for the Los Angeles sparks on the road against the Indiana fever for 1.1 units.”
IND 93, LA 86 — Los Angeles Sparks margin -7 vs line +12.5; covers.
“Give me the five points here. Mystics plus five on the road against Dallas plus five.”
DAL 86, WSH 90 — Washington Mystics margin +4 vs line +5; covers.
“Chiefs might win the game, but I think the three point number is good to take. I'm taking the Ravens. Ravens plus three for 1.1 units and the play for football.”
KC 27, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +3; busts.
“But for right now, the first play is under 36. 1.1 units down for Iowa, Iowa State in the Cyhawk.”
IOWA 19, ISU 20 — Combined 39; under 36 busts.
“I'm going to lay the 16 points here. Florida State minus 16 for 1.1 units.”
FSU 13, BC 28 — Florida State Seminoles margin -15 vs line -16; busts.
“So that's why I'm not betting a total. I'm just going to take the four and a half points USC plus four and a half against LSU for 1.1 units.”
LSU 20, USC 27 — USC Trojans margin +7 vs line +4.5; covers.
“As I said, I like Colin Morikawa over Xander Shoffley at plus one 12 circus sports has this. So if you guys are in Colorado or you're in Kentucky or if you're in Iowa, this bet's available to you guys. Other books will have similar bets. I'm going to put a unit down on it.”
Collin Morikawa shot 66 in the final round, beating Xander Schauffele's 68. (Morikawa 66; Schauffele 68)
“Alt number, another one of these alt numbers, Penn State minus seven for minus 125. So 1.25 units down to win one unit on Penn State minus seven.”
WVU 12, PSU 34 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin +22 vs line -7; covers.
“Let's take Weber state plus 26 against Washington here for 1.1 units.”
WASH 35, WEB 3 — Weber State Wildcats margin -32 vs line +26; busts.
“keep the game close at plus 26 for 1.1 units and UNLV plus three and a half on the road at Houston at minus one 10.”
HOU 7, UNLV 27 — UNLV Rebels margin +20 vs line +3.5; covers.
“I think it's a double digit win for TCU. I'm going to come in here and I'll take TCU, lay the eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
STAN 27, TCU 34 — TCU Horned Frogs margin +7 vs line -8.5; busts.
“FAU plus 14 minus 124, Buy it up off 13 and a half. Get it to 14. Let's not lose on the hook here. 14 FAU on the road at Michigan State plus 14 minus 124.”
MSU 16, FAU 10 — Florida Atlantic Owls margin -6 vs line +14; covers.
“I like Western Michigan plus 24 for 1.1 units.”
WIS 28, WMU 14 — Western Michigan Broncos margin -14 vs line +24; covers.
“Minus one and a half North Carolina minus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
MINN 17, UNC 19 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'm taking the points. Give me the bison, not the Buffalo's North Dakota state plus 10 on the road.”
COLO 31, NDSU 26 — North Dakota State Bison margin -5 vs line +10; covers.
“Give me Jacksonville state minus three for 1.1 units.”
JVST 27, CCU 55 — Jacksonville State Gamecocks margin -28 vs line -3; busts.
“Ober, top five, half a unit at plus 185 to stay right where he is right there and maybe even come close.”
Ludvig Aberg finished 16th on the official TOUR Championship leaderboard, outside the top five. (16th, -12 including starting strokes)
“Shane Lowry, top 10 at plus 225 for a half a unit.”
Shane Lowry finished T9 on the official TOUR Championship leaderboard, inside the top 10. (T9, -16 including starting strokes)
“Adam Scott plus 175 half a unit to come in the top 10 at the tour championship.”
Adam Scott finished T4 on the official TOUR Championship leaderboard, inside the top 10. (T4, -19 including starting strokes)
“I'm going to go under under 51 and a half Penn State in West Virginia for 1.1 units.”
WVU 12, PSU 34 — Combined 46; under 51.5 covers.
“This is not Steve Spurrier's Florida Gators. Give me Miami minus two and a half for 1 units”
FLA 17, MIA 41 — Miami Hurricanes margin +24 vs line -2.5; covers.
“So the better play is White Sox and the Rangers over eight for one point one five units here today.”
CHW 1, TEX 3 — Combined 4; over 8 busts.
“The White Sox today over eight up against the Rangers for 1.15 units and the Diamondbacks money line for minus 110, 1.1 units up against the New York Mets here today to bet on the red hot Arizona Diamondbacks.”
ARI 3, NYM 8 — Arizona Diamondbacks lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to do it. Clemson plus 14 and a half alternative spread at minus 132. It's 1.32 units down.”
UGA 34, CLEM 3 — Clemson Tigers margin -31 vs line +14.5; busts.
“White Sox to lose Detroit laying one and a half runs at plus one Oh five one unit down on the Tigers on the run line on the road against the White Sox here tonight, plus one Oh five for one unit.”
CHW 3, DET 6 — Detroit Tigers margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.
“We're going over, over 163 and a half for Phoenix hosting New York tonight in the W for 1.1 units.”
PHX 70, NY 84 — Combined 154; over 163.5 busts.
“I'm going under 71 and a half even money here for Alex Noren for one unit for round four score here for Alex Noren.”
Alex Noren shot 75 in the BMW Championship final round, over 71.5. (Round 4: 75)
“I think for maybe someone to come off the path off the pace to win this thing but I going to go under 71 and a half for both Alex Noren and Adam Scott both at even money and plus 105 put one unit down on that”
Adam Scott shot 72 in the BMW Championship final round, over 71.5. (Round 4: 72)
“I'm going to take the Patriots and the commanders to not score very much and go under 34 and a half for 1.1 units.”
WSH 20, NE 10 — Combined 30; under 34.5 covers.
“This is my first one. Ravens to win the Super Bowl at 12 to 1 for one unit, actually one unit down on the Ravens.”
Baltimore was eliminated by Buffalo in the divisional round and did not win Super Bowl LIX. (Bills 27, Ravens 25)
“We're going to go over the first college football game of the year, over 55 for 1.1 units in Dublin, Ireland.”
GT 24, FSU 21 — Combined 45; over 55 busts.
“We're going over team total SMU against Nevada over 41 and a half points for SMU up against Nevada here for one minus 108. So I got that. So 1.08 minutes on that.”
SMU team total over 41.5: SMU Mustangs scored 29; over 41.5 — lost. (SMU Mustangs scored 29; line 41.5)
“I'll lay the extra juice. It's minus 120 if you want to take Michael Morales by decision or it's minus 140 for the fight to go all three rounds.”
Michael Morales stopped Neil Magny at 4:39 of Round 1; the fight did not go to the scorecards. (Morales TKO R1 4:39)
“College football over fifty five Florida State and Georgia Tech team total over forty one and a half SMU at Nevada Morales and Magni to go to the cards at minus one 40 and plus seven for the lions at home and minus one 10 up against the Steelers.”
Detroit Lions +7: 24–17 in the stated scope; margin 7, adjusted margin 14 — won. (Detroit Lions 24, Pittsburgh Steelers 17)
“Vegas in San Francisco. We going over over 32 for 1 units”
LV 24, SF 24 — Combined 48; over 32 covers.
“I'm going to bet under, I'm going to go under 38 for Miami and Tampa.”
TB 24, MIA 14 — Combined 38; under 38 pushes.
“I like the dog. I like the under, under one 67 and a half for Vegas in Minnesota.”
MIN 87, LV 74 — Combined 161; under 167.5 covers.
“I think that's okay. Over 34 is a number that I want under 34 and a half Colts in the Bengals for 1.1 units.”
CIN 14, IND 27 — Combined 41; under 34.5 busts.
“32 over bears and the chiefs here over 32 for 1.1 units.”
KC 21, CHI 34 — Combined 55; over 32 covers.
“I'm going over eight and a half Orioles and the Astros for 1.1 units.”
BAL 0, HOU 6 — Combined 6; over 8.5 busts.
“Corey Connors in the top 10 is plus 250 We taking a half a unit We going with Corey Connors here half a unit of Corey Connors to come in the top 10 here because of his ball striking”
Corey Conners finished T22 at the BMW Championship, outside the top 10. (T22, 284 (-4))
“At plus 160, worth the half a unit on Ludwig Eoburg to come in top 10 at plus 160.”
Ludvig Aberg finished T2 at the BMW Championship, inside the top 10. (T2, 277 (-11))
“team in the New York Liberty at home as big 14 point favorites. I think they go off here over 94.5 points for the New York Liberty at minus 120.”
New York Liberty team total over 94.5: New York Liberty scored 94; over 94.5 — lost. (New York Liberty scored 94; line 94.5)
“I'll take the Braves at home on the money line. Braves for plus 115 for one unit.”
ATL 3, PHI 1 — Atlanta Braves won; moneyline covers.
“You know, over 7.5. Minus 115. 1.15 units down. Diamondbacks, Marlins. Over seven and a half, even with an E-Rod going for the Diamondbacks.”
MIA 1, ARI 3 — Combined 4; over 7.5 busts.
“Red Sox second highest team to an over on the road in Major League Baseball over eight minus 110 Red Sox and the Astros here for 1.1 units.”
HOU 5, BOS 4 — Combined 9; over 8 covers.
“I mean, I mean, Canada's not very good over seven and a half minus one 22, 1.22 units down giants and the white socks here.”
SF 5, CHW 3 — Combined 8; over 7.5 covers.
“Given the offenses, given Bayo, given these two teams and their repensity to go over, over nine Red Sox Orioles for 1.1 units.”
BAL 1, BOS 5 — Combined 6; over 9 busts.
“We're going under under 36 and a half for the Bears and the Bengals for one point one units.”
CHI 27, CIN 3 — Combined 30; under 36.5 covers.
“by the bills. I'm not really, I mean, that's a lot of steam 39 and a half. Maybe you guys will get a better number than me, but I'm going under 39 and a half Buffalo and Pittsburgh.”
PIT 3, BUF 9 — Combined 12; under 39.5 covers.
“going to do here against Rosenstreich. Heavyweight fight. Total is set for one and a half rounds. Now you start breaking down stats here between these two 643 average fight time for Tuavasa 836 for Rosenstreich These boys are big These boys are going to hit each other And Rosenstreich is coming off of a win in two of his last three fights. He hasn't fought the who's who, though. Tuivasa has fought Tybura, Volkov, Pavlovich, Kassirio gone. And most of his fights are fast. got choked out against Tybura, got choked out against Volkov, got knocked out against Pavlovich. He got knocked out against Serio Ghosn in the third round late. This dude's going to have the home crowd around him. He wants a shoeie. Don't know what that is. Look up what he's all about. But I'm going to come and I'm going to bet a bet that we made a couple of weeks ago that I like a lot. For the fight to not start the second round, this fight will not see the second round at minus 124. I think it ends in the first round. It's a heavyweight fight. And just looking at what we've seen with Rosenstreich and how he's fought. Yes, his last fight went four rounds,”
Tai Tuivasa and Jairzinho Rozenstruik completed all three rounds, so the under/“will not see Round 2” bet lost. (Rozenstruik def. Tuivasa, split decision after 3 rounds)
“I'm taking Adesanya Moneyline minus 115 for 1.15 units.”
Dricus Du Plessis submitted Israel Adesanya at 3:38 of Round 4, so the Adesanya moneyline lost. (Du Plessis SUB R4 3:38)
“Sam Burns under 68 and a half minus 105 for one unit.”
Sam Burns shot 67 in the final round of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, under 68.5. (Round 4: 67)
“Nick Dunlap under 69 and a half at minus 135.”
Nick Dunlap shot 69 in the final round of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, under 69.5. (Round 4: 69)
“But I'm going to instead bet the over. Over 38 and a half for New Orleans and San Francisco.”
SF 16, NO 10 — Combined 26; over 38.5 busts.
“All six games have gone under under 39 for the Packers and the Broncos here for one point one units.”
DEN 27, GB 2 — Combined 29; under 39 covers.
“For this one, I think we have a decent opportunity to jump in here and grab on a Seattle team that's pretty good and take Seattle laying seven here on the road, 15 and 10 overall. They're 13 and seven as a favorite Seattle minus seven for one point one units.”
ATL 83, SEA 81 — Seattle Storm margin -2 vs line -7; busts.
“I think you get a chance to go and ride the Connecticut unders and just what they've done this season and go under 161 under for Connecticut in Dallas at 161 for 1.1 units.”
DAL 91, CON 109 — Combined 200; under 161 busts.
“I'm surprised on the movement to the over, but I'll take it under 36 for 1.1 units.”
NE 13, PHI 14 — Combined 27; under 36 covers.
“And we are going here with the Raiders under six and a half wins at plus money at plus 112.”
Las Vegas finished the 2024 regular season 4-13, under 6.5 wins. (4 wins)
“Let's go top 10 plus money, plus 350, half a unit on Sam Burns, top 10 at the FedEx.”
Sam Burns finished T5 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, inside the top 10. (T5, 267 (-13))
“Brian Harmon, top 10 plus 375 for a half a unit.”
Brian Harman finished T50 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, outside the top 10. (T50, 279 (-1))
“Circus Sports has this in Vegas at minus 130. We're going to throw a half a unit to win a half a unit down on Brian Harmon for round head to head up against Jordan Spieth.”
Brian Harman's 279 beat Jordan Spieth's 289 in the four-round FedEx St. Jude head-to-head. (Harman 279 (-1); Spieth 289 (+9))
“Jason Day has been tremendous this year. He has completely recovered his game. And at four to one, I think this is a great bet to jump in with Jason Day. Plus 400, top 10 at the FedEx.”
Jason Day finished T22 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, outside the top 10. (T22, 274 (-6))
“FanDuel's got the better price. Minus one twenty two over nine and a half wins for the Miami Dolphins here this season.”
Miami finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, below 9.5 wins. (8 wins)
“I think we're going under six and a half wins on the Tennessee Titans minus one 28 on that”
Tennessee finished the 2024 regular season 3-14, under 6.5 wins. (3 wins)
“to minus 119 parlay, I'm going to bet 1.19 units down. Diamondbacks money line, Yankees money line”
Parlay cashes: Arizona Diamondbacks ML — won; New York Yankees ML — won.
“Diamondbacks run line minus one oh two against the Rockies over eight Dodgers and the Brewers minus one eighteen.”
ARI 5, COL 4 — Arizona Diamondbacks margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Diamondbacks run line minus one oh two against the Rockies over eight Dodgers and the Brewers minus one eighteen.”
MIL 2, LAD 5 — Combined 7; over 8 busts.
“Team USA 1.1 units down to win gold and laying the 16 and a half points.”
USA beat France 98–87, an 11-point margin; USA -16.5 did not cover (11 - 16.5 = -5.5). (USA 98, France 87)
“Cincinnati minus six for one point one units.”
CIN 14, TB 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -6; busts.
“I think it's the right side. Saints minus three for 1.1 units.”
ARI 14, NO 16 — New Orleans Saints margin +2 vs line -3; busts.
“now done at 34 and a half we're gonna be under 34 and a half for Seattle and the Chargers.”
LAC 3, SEA 16 — Combined 19; under 34.5 covers.
“Jackie Young is minus 120, minus 120 on Jackie Young over 11 and a half points to win a half a unit”
Jackie Young scored two points in the gold-medal game against France, below 11.5. (2 points)
“And then for the second bet, I'm going to take a shot here. We're going to go back to a prop that we bet earlier in the tournament, and that's Chelsea Gray, as they call her the point God. FanDuel has her with six or more assists at even money.”
Chelsea Gray recorded four assists in the gold-medal game against France, short of six. (4 assists)
“Colts minus one and a half at home up against Denver Broncos. I'll take the Colts to win the game here with the better quarterback play. for 1.1 units.”
IND 30, DEN 34 — Indianapolis Colts margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Cowboys minus four for 1.1 units.”
LAR 13, DAL 12 — Dallas Cowboys margin -1 vs line -4; busts.
“We're taking Australia plus 17 at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
USA beat Australia 85–64; Australia lost by 21, so +17 did not cover (-21 + 17 = -4). (USA 85, Australia 64)
“Harbaugh plus one and a half Ravens plus one and a half for 1.1 units.”
BAL 13, PHI 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.
“And the Houston Texans on the road as two and a half point favorites laying 1.1 units down at minus 110 as well on that.”
PIT 12, HOU 20 — Houston Texans margin +8 vs line -2.5; covers.
“We going to take the first half team total over 52 and a half at minus 102 Fandles got that number up here tonight”
USA trailed Serbia 54–43 at halftime; USA’s 43 first-half points is under 52.5, so Over 52.5 lost. (Halftime: Serbia 54, USA 43)
“Patriots minus six and a half for 1.1 units.”
NE 17, CAR 3 — New England Patriots margin +14 vs line -6.5; covers.
“This is just going to be kind of a glorified scrimmage here between these two teams under 34 and a half for one point one units.”
NYG 14, DET 3 — Combined 17; under 34.5 covers.
“I'm just going to go Asia Wilson over 10 and a half rebounds at minus one 28 at FanDuel bet that to win a half a unit.”
A'ja Wilson collected 11 rebounds against Nigeria, clearing 10.5. (11 rebounds)
“Jackie Young over nine and a half points. It is an even money play for her on this.”
Jackie Young scored 15 points against Nigeria, clearing 9.5. (15 points)
“I think the A's come in here A's run line minus 102 for 1.02 units. Let's go with Joe Yestes and this A's offense to win by more than one run. Lay the one and a half runs with the Oakland A's here with a pitching matchup”
OAK 3, CHW 2 — Oakland Athletics margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going to take money line. Guardians money line, even money here.”
CLE 3, ARI 7 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going under eight minus 110 for 1.1 units. This is a tricky bet. Not going to lie. You want to fade it, go right ahead. Tricky bet. But I'm going under eight for Miami and Cincinnati here today for 1.1 units.”
MIA 2, CIN 8 — Combined 10; under 8 busts.
“I'm going money line. Red Sox to win the game at plus one 25 for one unit.”
KC 5, BOS 6 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“It's minus 115 at DraftKings, 1.15 units down on Team USA. Team total over 54 and a half for the first half.”
In the Olympic men’s USA–Brazil quarterfinal on August 6, USA led 63–36 at halftime; USA’s 63 first-half points cleared Over 54.5. (Halftime: USA 63, Brazil 36)
“Guardians, money line, plus 112 for one unit in the game of the day.”
CLE 6, ARI 7 — Cleveland Guardians lost; moneyline busts.
“Asia Wilson under 21 and a half points, even money.”
A'ja Wilson scored 14 points against Germany, staying under 21.5. (14 points)
“Germany plus 20 minus 110.”
In Olympic women’s group play, USA beat Germany 87–68; Germany lost by 19, so +20 covered (-19 + 20 = 1). (USA 87, Germany 68)
“Pirates under eight at minus 120 and the Orioles and the guardians over eight at minus 110.”
PIT 5, ARI 6 — Combined 11; under 8 busts.
“Pirates under eight at minus 120 and the Orioles and the guardians over eight at minus 110.”
CLE 5, BAL 9 — Combined 14; over 8 covers.
“But official play is Puerto Rico plus 35.5 for 1.1 units.”
In Olympic men’s group play, USA beat Puerto Rico 104–83; Puerto Rico lost by 21, so +35.5 covered (-21 + 35.5 = 14.5). (USA 104, Puerto Rico 83)
“Official play, Figueredo by decision at plus 110.”
Deiveson Figueiredo defeated Marlon Vera by unanimous decision. (Unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27))
“Official plays under 8.5, minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
PIT 4, ARI 2 — Combined 6; under 8.5 covers.
“USA Morocco over two and a half goals at minus 110.”
Morocco beat USA 4–0; 4 total goals is over 2.5. (Morocco 4, USA 0; total 4)
“France plus four at minus 110.”
Germany beat France 85–71; France lost by 14, so +4 did not cover (-14 + 4 = -10). (Germany 85, France 71)
“Orioles and the Guardians over nine at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
CLE 8, BAL 4 — Combined 12; over 9 covers.
“I'm taking the Texans. Texans minus one for one point one units.”
CHI 21, HOU 17 — Houston Texans margin -4 vs line -1; busts.
“Chelsea Gray over seven and a half assists to win a half a unit. And Asia Wilson over 21 and a half to win a half a unit. Minus 110, minus 110.”
Chelsea Gray recorded three assists against Belgium, below 7.5. (3 AST)
“Chelsea Gray over seven and a half assists to win a half a unit. And Asia Wilson over 21 and a half to win a half a unit. Minus 110, minus 110.”
A'ja Wilson scored 23 points against Belgium, clearing 21.5. (23 points)
“I'm going to take Colin Murakawa in the top five ties included plus one 60 for Colin Murakawa.”
Collin Morikawa finished T24 in the Olympic men's golf competition, outside the top five. (T24, 278 (-6))
“So Tom Kim to come in the top five is plus 400 at DraftKings.”
Tom Kim finished eighth in the Olympic men's golf competition, outside the top five. (8th, 271 (-13))
“Like I always say, I bet more than that. But 1.4 units down on UNLV over seven wins at minus 140.”
UNLV finished its 12-game regular-season schedule with 10 wins, above 7. (Regular season: 10-2)
“The total was nine. I think we get at worst nine minus one, 10 Miami hurricanes over nine wins at minus one, 10.”
Miami finished its 12-game regular-season schedule with 10 wins, above 9. (Regular season: 10-2)
“Iowa over eight and a half wins at plus one 60 at FanDuel for one unit.”
Iowa finished its 12-game regular-season schedule with eight wins, below 8.5. (Regular season: 8-4)
“It's not expensive to jump in on the under here, under 115, minus 115, under 7.5, Pirates and the Astros at minus 115.”
HOU 3, PIT 5 — Combined 8; under 7.5 busts.
“Instead, I think Asia Wilson has a monster breakout first game. I'm betting over 20 and a half points for Asia Wilson at minus 113 to get her to go absolutely crazy here and go off.”
A'ja Wilson scored 24 points against Japan, above 20.5. (24 PTS)
“I like Chelsea Gray over five and a half assists at minus 113.”
Chelsea Gray recorded 13 assists against Japan, above 5.5. (13 AST)
“I'm going Red Sox money line at minus 110, and we're going Red Sox team total over four and a half at minus 105.”
Boston Red Sox: Boston Red Sox 2, New York Yankees 8 in the stated scope — lost. (Boston Red Sox 2, New York Yankees 8)
“I'm going Red Sox money line at minus 110, and we're going Red Sox team total over four and a half at minus 105.”
Boston Red Sox team total over 4.5 runs: Boston Red Sox scored 2; over 4.5 — lost. (Boston Red Sox scored 2; line 4.5)
“Give me the points. Plus 13 and a half. Team USA against Serbia. I like the dog. Team USA plus 13 and a half for one point one units.”
USA beat Serbia 110–84; USA won outright, so +13.5 covered. (USA 110, Serbia 84)
“Red Sox over four and a half, minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
Boston Red Sox team total over 4.5 runs: Boston Red Sox scored 8; over 4.5 — won. (Boston Red Sox scored 8; line 4.5)
“I'm taking Allen by money line, McCann by money line, minus 116 at FanDuel for this 1.16 unit, two leg money line parlay, McCann by money line, Allen money line.”
The parlay lost: Bruna Brasil defeated Molly McCann by unanimous decision, while Arnold Allen won his leg. (McCann lost by unanimous decision; Allen won by unanimous decision)
“I think the fight goes to the cards, but we're going to go over two and a half rounds. Minus 140 for 1.4 units between Bobby Green and Patty Pimlet.”
Paddy Pimblett submitted King Green at 3:22 of Round 1; the fight did not reach 2.5 rounds, so Over 2.5 lost. (Pimblett SUB R1 3:22)
“But I going to say this fight does not see the second round between Curtis Blades and Tom Asperdahl Fandle has this at minus 120 Will the second round start No Minus 120 Doesn matter who wins Doesn matter how it ends”
Tom Aspinall stopped Curtis Blaydes one minute into Round 1, so Round 2 never started. (Aspinall TKO, Round 1 at 1:00)
“I just going to try to play it safe here and go over nine and a half Red Sox Yankees minus one ten one point one units down on the Yankees and the Red Sox with both starting pitchers not being very good at all”
BOS 9, NYY 7 — Combined 16; over 9.5 covers.
“Okay, sorry. I was misreading that. Minus 107. I played minus 110, but we'll go minus 107. Cincinnati, we're taking the Reds here at minus 107 on the money line to win this game up against the Tampa Bay Rays.”
TB 2, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“Most are juiced to the under minus 118, minus 120. I played minus 120. It was initially opened up over over seven and a half. It's been bet under now. minus 120, 1.2 units down. We're going under Mariners, White Sox under seven and a half.”
CHW 0, SEA 10 — Combined 10; under 7.5 busts.
“And that's a push. But I'm going to bet under under eight and minus one ten for Orioles and the Marlins and Braves and the Mets.”
MIA 6, BAL 7 — Combined 13; under 8 busts.
“I'm going to ride Chris Sale here. This is maybe a sucker bet, but I'm going to take Chris Sale over Severino. I'm going to take Chris Sale at minus 120 money line for the Braves to beat the Mets at 1 units”
NYM 3, ATL 2 — Atlanta Braves lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going over eight and a half. Martin Perez is not good at home. Libertore for the Cardinals is just a spot starter. Give him up there. Let him throw. I think that spells disaster here. Over eight and a half for the Cardinals and the Pirates for 1.1 units.”
PIT 5, STL 0 — Combined 5; over 8.5 busts.
“Over eight, Marlins and the Orioles. Same bet as yesterday, minus 112. We're going over eight for the Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins.”
MIA 6, BAL 3 — Combined 9; over 8 covers.
“Just two bets for us here after a one-and-one night last night. Pirates run line at plus 120 and over eight and a half for the Orioles and the Marlins that at minus 110.”
MIA 6, BAL 3 — Combined 9; over 8.5 covers.
“So let's just go team total Red Sox over five and a half runs for minus 130. Let's have a big first inning. Let's have a lot of runs being scored for Boston.”
Boston Red Sox team total over 5.5 runs: Boston Red Sox scored 8; over 5.5 — won. (Boston Red Sox scored 8; line 5.5)
“Oakland hosting Houston over eight. Even money on this one here. Fandles got an even money. Let's play with even money.”
OAK 4, HOU 0 — Combined 4; over 8 busts.
“But I'm just going to take it under 72 and a half. Sam Burns, 1.3 units, minus 130 for Sam Burns. Final round score, under 72 and a half.”
Sam Burns shot 80 in the final round, above 72.5. (Final round: 80)
“I'm going to take it. I'm going to lay the minus 120. Patrick can't lay on a head to head. I got this at minus 125. Sorry. Superbook sports is where I got this. Patrick can't lay minus 125 head to head up against Brooks Koepka for 1.25 units for the third round only.”
Patrick Cantlay shot 75 in Round 3 while Brooks Koepka shot 78. (Cantlay 75; Koepka 78)
“I'm going under under one eighty nine and a half. You can go and find this a bunch of books right now. One eighty nine and a half under Team USA against Team WNBA in the WNBA All-Star game here for Saturday. I just think we're going to see Team USA defense be the difference here. I think Team USA will slow the pace down dramatically. We're going under 189.5 for 1.1 units.”
WNBASTARS 117, USA 109 — Combined 226; under 189.5 busts.
“We're going to lay it. Philly's money line. minus 138. Sorry to my co-host of BVB, Dave Sharapad. He will be at this game watching it from a sweet, no less for the Phillies and the Pirates. He's there for the Pirates, but I'm taking the Phillies. Phillies and Aaron Nola. Money line, minus 138 for 1.38 units.”
PIT 8, PHI 7 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“I think we're going to go ahead and jump on it. Braves money line minus one thirty one point three units down Braves money line, Phillies money line minus one thirty eight and minus one thirty.”
The July 19 Cardinals-Braves game was postponed before it started and rescheduled into a July 20 doubleheader; the original dated moneyline has no action. (July 19 game: postponed (rain))
“I got a plus 120 Red Sox money line. I'm taking the dog Red Sox one unit money line plus 120 here for one unit.”
LAD 4, BOS 1 — Boston Red Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“And the other bet that I want to make is at DraftKings, 101 and a half wins at plus 110. Will any team win more than 101 and a half games? Will any team win 102 games in major league baseball?”
No MLB team reached 102 wins; the Dodgers led the majors with 98. (MLB-best Dodgers: 98 wins)
“Last three times that the Lynx have played against the Dream, Minnesota has won and covered, including the last time out where it was a 9.5-point number. This number 8 They won and they covered on June 19th in Minneapolis where this game is being played here today I bet trends You guys can fade and follow whatever you want to do But I'll take the 12-4 ATS team up against the 5-10 ATS team. Lay the eight. Links minus eight for 1.1 units.”
MIN 86, ATL 79 — Minnesota Lynx margin +7 vs line -8; busts.
“I'm going to take the home dog here. I'm going to take the four and a half points. I'm going to take the wings. I'm going to take a shot here that the wings play well, that there's been some movement at certain books to the dog at home, four point home dogs, maybe Indiana wins, but they win by three, take the four and a half Dallas at home, To continue playing well up against the Indiana Fever, 8-2 straight up. They win the game here. They cover the 4.5 wings plus 4.5 for 1.1 units.”
Dallas Wings +4.5: 101–93 in the stated scope; margin 8, adjusted margin 12.5 — won. (Dallas Wings 101, Indiana Fever 93)
“I mean, Paul schemes is only throwing one inning can throw a hundred and two, a hundred and two, a hundred and two, as much as he wants under seven and a half, 1.1 units, major league baseball, all-star game.”
The American League beat the National League 5–3; 8 total runs is over 7.5, so Under 7.5 lost. (American League 5, National League 3; total 8)
“New York and Connecticut, we're going over 152 for 1.1 units.”
NY 82, CON 74 — Combined 156; over 152 covers.
“We're going Elder and Flowers under two and a half rounds at minus 145.”
Evan Elder submitted Darrius Flowers at 1:46 of Round 2, before the 2.5-round threshold, so Under 2.5 won. (Elder SUB R2 1:46)
“I like the under. I'm going to follow the trend here under the steam minus 163 and a half under New York, Chicago under 163 and a half for 1.1 units.”
CHI 67, NY 81 — Combined 148; under 163.5 covers.
“Philadelphia team total over four and a half runs at minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over: Philadelphia Phillies scored 11; over 4.5 — won. (Philadelphia Phillies scored 11; line 4.5)
“We're going to go under 172 and a half for Vegas and the Washington Mystics.”
WSH 77, LV 89 — Combined 166; under 172.5 covers.
“It's some opportunities to bet unders under 155 and a half for Phoenix and for Connecticut here for 1.1 units.”
CON 96, PHX 69 — Combined 165; under 155.5 busts.
“I'm going to take a shot here with the Reds to keep the streak alive, to go and sweep the Marlins and they win by more than one run here. Reds run line minus one and a half for plus one 14 for one units.”
Cincinnati Reds: 2–3 in the stated scope; margin -1, adjusted margin -2.5 — lost. (Cincinnati Reds 2, Miami Marlins 3)
“It's a cheap price. It's a dog price at plus 110. One unit Orioles money line at home against the New York Yankees.”
BAL 1, NYY 4 — Baltimore Orioles lost; moneyline busts.
“The second and third worst teams to the over in Major League Baseball. Only the Braves are worse at 53, 33 and five under eight Houston and the Rangers here tonight for one point one units.”
HOU 6, TEX 3 — Combined 9; under 8 busts.
“run line taking Cardinals run line plus one Oh two laying the one and a half runs with St. Louis and sunny gray.”
STL 1, CHC 5 — St. Louis Cardinals margin -4 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I going under under nine It even money actually plus one Oh two Now I take the plus one or two one unit under nine Dodgers Phillies I know it Philadelphia I know it dangerous I know Harper's back. I know Swerver's back, but the Dodgers bats have been somewhat cold. Sanchez has been tremendous and Gavin Stone has been great on the road. I expect the pitching a pitcher's duel here under nine plus one or two here for one unit.”
PHI 4, LAD 3 — Combined 7; under 9 covers.
“Road favorite. I'm going to lay it here with the Vegas Aces starting to play better. Vegas minus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
SEA 79, LV 84 — Las Vegas Aces margin +5 vs line -4.5; covers.
“We're going to go over 157 for New York in Connecticut in the WNBA.”
CON 68, NY 71 — Combined 139; over 157 busts.
“I think the under is the best play after all the back-to-back. Under 165.5 for 1.1 units. for Chicago and New York in the WNBA.”
NY 91, CHI 76 — Combined 167; under 165.5 busts.
“Money line. Pirates. minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
MIL 0, PIT 1 — Pittsburgh Pirates won; moneyline covers.
“It's been really good on the road. It's the same bet as last night, under nine and a half for the Dodgers and the Phillies for minus 120, 1.2 units down on that under nine and a half Dodgers and the Phillies”
PHI 5, LAD 1 — Combined 6; under 9.5 covers.
“So I'm going to go ahead and bet the under 156 for 1.1 units. Minnesota, LA, under 156 for 1.1 units.”
LA 67, MIN 82 — Combined 149; under 156 covers.
“And so that may be like you take the Diamondbacks here and say, hey, Arizona's going to win. Chris Sale might be ailing, but I'm going to expect them to be good enough today. We're going to take Chris Sale and the under seven and a half at minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
ARI 2, ATL 6 — Combined 8; under 7.5 busts.
“Coming back after a loss at home for Zach Wheeler, it's not expensive. This is one of the few times we're going to get Zach Wheeler at home because it's the Dodgers. It'll be a short price, minus 135, 1.35 units on the Phillies to win against the Dodgers.”
PHI 10, LAD 1 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“And so I'm just going to back the Pirates here on the money line. It's not expensive. It's minus 112 at DraftKings. Pirates money line to beat the Mets here for 1.12 units.”
PIT 8, NYM 2 — Pittsburgh Pirates won; moneyline covers.
“Shop around a bit. But I got this at minus 109 on the money line for Parker and the Nationals. 1.09 units down. Money line. Nats at home against the Cardinals facing off against Miles Mikulis.”
WSH 0, STL 6 — Washington Nationals lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going under 167.5 for Phoenix in Los Angeles.”
LA 78, PHX 84 — Combined 162; under 167.5 covers.
“So 80 and a half under minus 125 for Vegas, sorry, for the team for the Dallas wings up against Vegas.”
Dallas Wings Team Total Under: Dallas Wings scored 85; under 80.5 — lost. (Dallas Wings scored 85; line 80.5)
“Let's go over 150 and a half. Over $1.50 and a half for Atlanta and Connecticut for 1.1 units.”
CON 80, ATL 67 — Combined 147; over 150.5 busts.
“I'm going to bet the under 171 and a half for New York at Indiana here for 1.1 units.”
IND 83, NY 78 — Combined 161; under 171.5 covers.
“the better starting pitcher, and we get a really decent price. We get minus 110 on Ranger Suarez. I don't think you can really overlook that here with the Phillies on the road. Yes, it is Atlanta. Yes, they're going to win most likely tonight. But you get this cheap of a price on Ranger Suarez and the Phillies, I think you have to take it. 1.1 units down. Phillies money line up against the Braves here on a Saturday evening, Saturday night in Major League Baseball.”
ATL 5, PHI 1 — Philadelphia Phillies lost; moneyline busts.
“Chicago and Seattle were going over 161 for 1.1 units.”
SEA 84, CHI 88 — Combined 172; over 161 covers.
“Skeens and company to lose at home, plus 110, one unit down on the Mets and Luis Severino to beat the Pirates here for one unit.”
PIT 14, NYM 2 — New York Mets lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to take the road dog here plus 16 and a half points on the Washington Mystics up against Las Vegas Aces.”
LV 98, WSH 77 — Washington Mystics margin -21 vs line +16.5; busts.
“Second bet, white. The White Sox are at the Guardians. They are catching one and a half runs. It's only minus 111.”
CLE 8, CHW 4 — Chicago White Sox margin -4 vs line +1.5; busts.
“Blue Jays, money line for them at plus 102.”
TOR 3, HOU 5 — Toronto Blue Jays lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm going to try one more. Over 168.5. Phoenix at Dallas here for 1.1 units.”
DAL 96, PHX 104 — Combined 200; over 168.5 covers.
“I'm going to go under. Under eight. for the Pirates and the Cardinals here for 1.1 units.”
PIT 5, STL 4 — Combined 9; under 8 busts.
“I'm going to come in here and I'm going to take a shot on the Cubs here. Cubs money line at home to beat the Phillies at plus one 10.”
Chicago Cubs: Chicago Cubs 3, Philadelphia Phillies 5 in the stated scope — lost. (Chicago Cubs 3, Philadelphia Phillies 5)
“Run line Braves minus one and a half at plus one 14 at draft picks.”
ATL 3, SF 5 — Atlanta Braves margin -2 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Same thing here. I do lean towards the dog catching five, but I'm going to bet over with New York at home over 164 for New York and Minnesota.”
NY 76, MIN 67 — Combined 143; over 164 busts.
“We're going over 174 and a half, Indiana and Las Vegas.”
LV 88, IND 69 — Combined 157; over 174.5 busts.
“Not really sure why the number is only minus one 15 but I going to jump in here and take the road Mets on the money line at minus 115 here on a Monday Mets 1 units”
WSH 7, NYM 9 — New York Mets won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to play over, over one 69 between Dallas and Seattle.”
SEA 95, DAL 71 — Combined 166; over 169 busts.
“I'm going to bet under here. I'm going to go all under one 60 for Connecticut and Phoenix”
PHX 72, CON 83 — Combined 155; under 160 covers.
“what i can play is the under okay under eight and a half is even money. We're going to go under Phillies under eight and a half for one unit Phillies Marlins under eight and a half with Ranger Suarez and Yanni Torino's going to the mound.”
PHI 7, MIA 6 — Combined 13; under 8.5 busts.
“I'm going to go Moneyline. It's a little expensive. It's minus 148, but Orioles in prime time, defending champs coming to Camden Yards. I don't really care what happens on Saturday, what happened yesterday. I mean, I would prefer a loss, I guess, to have a bounce back spot. But I'm going to take the Orioles on the money line here to win on Sunday Night Baseball to beat Texas. Let's go minus 148 money line, 1.48 units down on the Orioles for a money line.”
BAL 2, TEX 11 — Baltimore Orioles lost; moneyline busts.
“But I got Gary by decision three round fight plus 150 for a half a unit for Ian Gary by”
Ian Machado Garry defeated Michael Page by unanimous decision. (Garry UD: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
“But I think we going to see Alex Paheda knockout Yuri Prohaska plus 110 for a half a unit Knockout Alex Paheda over Yuri Perhaska in the main event”
Alex Pereira stopped Jiri Prochazka by knockout in Round 2. (Pereira KO, Round 2)
“Instead, just take the over for 1.1 units. Vegas on the road at Washington. We're going over 172 here for this one.”
WSH 77, LV 88 — Combined 165; over 172 busts.
“So I'm going to go ahead and just come in and take the under at even money under seven and a half even money here for one unit.”
ATL 2, PIT 1 — Combined 3; under 7.5 covers.
“I'm betting on Otani. I'm taking the, digging the Dodgers, Dodgers money line, minus one 10, 1.1 units down on that.”
SF 5, LAD 3 — Los Angeles Dodgers lost; moneyline busts.
“I think Connecticut wins the game, but I'm going to bet the under under one fifty two and a half for one point one units for Atlanta at Connecticut.”
CON 74, ATL 78 — Combined 152; under 152.5 covers.
“I'm going to take the dog here. Plus ten and a half L.A. Sparks on the road up against the Phoenix Mercury here for one point one units.”
PHX 92, LA 78 — Los Angeles Sparks margin -14 vs line +10.5; busts.
“I'm going to lay the 10 points. Vegas, minus 10 up against the Chicago Sky on the road.”
CHI 83, LV 95 — Las Vegas Aces margin +12 vs line -10; covers.
“I'm going over 162 here for the Minnesota links in Dallas.”
DAL 94, MIN 88 — Combined 182; over 162 covers.
“So for Wednesday, Braves Moneyline, minus 132 in game one.”
STL 2, ATL 6 — Atlanta Braves won; moneyline covers.
“Guardians Runline, plus one and a half runs at minus 130.”
BAL 4, CLE 2 — Cleveland Guardians margin -2 vs line +1.5; busts.
“And for the Rocket Mortgage, we're going with Tom Kim over Cam Young at minus 145.”
Tom Kim missed the cut while Cameron Young completed the tournament tied for sixth, so Kim lost the four-round head-to-head. (Kim CUT at 141 (-3); Young T6 at 273 (-15))
“a ton of runs. I'm going to take a shot at plus one 30 and take them on the run line on the road.”
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (run line): 1–4 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin -4.5 — lost. (Philadelphia Phillies 1, Detroit Tigers 4)
“Dodgers team total over five and a half at minus 115. We're jumping in on that.”
Los Angeles Dodgers team total Over: Los Angeles Dodgers scored 4; over 5.5 — lost. (Los Angeles Dodgers scored 4; line 5.5)
“But I'm going to get the over 162 and a half WNBA Commissioner's Cup final links on the road at the Liberty here tonight.”
NY 89, MIN 94 — Combined 183; over 162.5 covers.
“I took A&M at plus 180 to come back here tonight with potentially winning 0.8 units if they do end up winning the College World Series.”
Texas A&M lost the deciding College World Series game to Tennessee. (Tennessee 6, Texas A&M 5)
“the first official play is under one and a half goals first period for edmonton and florida at minus 142, 1.42 units down.”
First period Under: The stated-scope total was 2 (1+1); under 1.5 — lost. (The stated-scope total was 2 (1+1); line 1.5)
“let's just bet one unit on Tennessee to win the College World Series. And that would be winning the next two games down one game to none at plus 120. OK, one unit Tennessee to win the College World Series at plus 120.”
Tennessee defeated Texas A&M in the deciding game to win the College World Series. (Tennessee won championship series 2-1)
“Phillies on the run line at plus 105. One unit on the Phillies on the run line.”
PHI 4, ARI 1 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I like Justin Thomas. Minus 120, 1.2 units down. Fourth round matchup, Justin Thomas over Cam Young at minus 120 for 1.2 units there.”
Justin Thomas and Cameron Young both shot 66 in the final round, producing a tied head-to-head. (Thomas 66; Young 66)
“It's 156 is the total here. Not 165. I wish it was 165. It's 156. So sorry. So under 156 for Connecticut and Seattle here.”
SEA 72, CON 61 — Combined 133; under 156 covers.
“I'm going over, over one and a half rounds in fight night Saudi Arabia for the UFC, over one and a half rounds at plus 116.”
Alexander Volkov and Sergei Pavlovich completed all three rounds; the fight went beyond 1.5 rounds, so Over 1.5 won. (Volkov def. Pavlovich, unanimous decision after 3 rounds)
“It's more expensive than I ever recommend you guys playing Phillies run line minus one oh five, one point zero five units laying the one and a half runs for Philadelphia.”
PHI 12, ARI 1 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +11 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Red Sox are minus 120 on the money line. Not expensive. Just take Boston and bounce back like the Red Sox minus 120, 1.2 units down on Boston to beat the Reds today.”
CIN 3, BOS 4 — Boston Red Sox won; moneyline covers.
“Three bets for us here officially on a Friday under first period, one and a half goals in the Stanley Cup game six, minus 110.”
First period Under: The stated-scope total was 1 (1+0); under 1.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 1 (1+0); line 1.5)
“Vegas over 163 and a half against Connecticut at minus 110.”
LV 85, CON 74 — Combined 159; over 163.5 busts.
“We're going to bet over red Sox reds over nine minus one 20 for 1.2 units.”
CIN 5, BOS 2 — Combined 7; over 9 busts.
“Liberty minus 14 and a half all over the LA Sparks here tonight in the association in the first game after Cameron Brink goes out for the year with an ACL injury.”
New York Liberty -14.5: 93–80 in the stated scope; margin 13, adjusted margin -1.5 — lost. (New York Liberty 93, Los Angeles Sparks 80)
“So I'm going to go ahead and I'm going to jump in on the Royals on the run line at plus 115 and just bet one unit and hope that the Royals bounce back here.”
OAK 2, KC 3 — Kansas City Royals margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“money line, Yankees minus 140, 1.4 units down on that.”
NYY 5, BAL 17 — New York Yankees lost; moneyline busts.
“Lay the four Indiana minus four for 1.1 units.”
IND 88, WSH 81 — Indiana Fever margin +7 vs line -4; covers.
“We're going over 169 and a half offense for Seattle and Vegas with gray back in the lineup.”
LV 94, SEA 83 — Combined 177; over 169.5 covers.
“Mets money line It only minus 105 Mets money line Let go to eight wins in a row for the New York Mets. 1.05 units down. Mets money line for us here on a Wednesday.”
TEX 5, NYM 3 — New York Mets lost; moneyline busts.
“I like Florida to win and to win the Stanley Cup tonight. Minus 130, 1.3 units down. I'm taking the home favorite. I think the Cup and the NHL season ends tonight. Our last game to bet on hockey. We're going Florida, Moneyline, minus 130 for 1.3 units.”
FLA 3, EDM 5 — Florida Panthers lost; moneyline busts.
“First period under one and a half goals in the game at minus 120.”
First period Under: The stated-scope total was 1 (0+1); under 1.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 1 (0+1); line 1.5)
“But I'll take the Reds. First move was on Cincinnati. I'm taking the Reds here. Minus 125, 1.25 units down on the Reds' money line with Lodolo on the mound here.”
PIT 1, CIN 2 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“Celtics first half team total over 55 and a half for one point one units.”
Boston Celtics team total (1st half) Over: Boston Celtics scored 67; over 55.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 67; line 55.5)
“Let's go over 209, but I don't love it.”
BOS 106, DAL 88 — Combined 194; over 209 busts.
“Boston Celtics minus six and a half. We're going to bet this to win a half a unit.”
BOS 106, DAL 88 — Boston Celtics margin +18 vs line -6.5; covers.
“Under 32 and a half points, Luka Doncic bet to win a half a unit and minus 110. We're going under. Keep the streak alive. Luka under 32 and a half points.”
BOS 106, DAL 88 — Luka Doncic: 28 points vs under 32.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 28 points)
“Sam Hauser over one and a half made threes minus one to eight.”
BOS 106, DAL 88 — Sam Hauser: 2 threes vs over 1.5; covers. (Sam Hauser: 2 threes)
“The total in this game is 12 and a half. It's just minus 115 to the over. We're playing over.”
Florida State beat Virginia 7–3; 10 total runs is under 12.5, so Over 12.5 lost. (Florida State 7, Virginia 3; total 10)
“Let's go offense over 11 and a half for North Carolina and Tennessee.”
Tennessee beat North Carolina 6–1; 7 total runs is under 11.5, so Over 11.5 lost. (Tennessee 6, North Carolina 1; total 7)
“I'm going to take the points here. Road dog, Chicago Sky plus two and a half up against the Indiana Fever for 1.1 units.”
IND 91, CHI 83 — Chicago Sky margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.
“Total is 172. We're going over Vegas and New York. Over. Let's see an offense here.”
LV 82, NY 90 — Combined 172; over 172 pushes.
“Run lines plus 122. I'm going to bet the Cubs on the run line at plus 122 and see if Imanaga can come up with a big win here for Chicago to bounce back after the 3-0 loss to the Cardinals yesterday.”
CHC 5, STL 1 — Chicago Cubs margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“It's pick minus one Oh five. You can take the plus one if you want. I'm going to go ahead and take pick and less juice. It's plus you can lay one 10 and take plus one if you want, or you can go pick a certain books and lay minus minus one Oh five. I'm going to lay minus one Oh five on this and just Boston to win the NBA championship here. Celtics, it makes up for the Mavericks plus one and a half games bet that we have made that we'll lose. So if the Celtics win here, we're good with that bet. First bet is Celtics money line.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Boston Celtics lost; moneyline busts.
“We're gunning for two oh one to go over that. And hopefully the game falls somewhere in between and we can wind up catching both bets. So Celtics money line minus one oh five under two eleven and a half minus one ten.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Combined 206; under 211.5 covers.
“I don't think the Mavericks get it here tonight. I think Boston wins. Moneyline for one unit, minus 105. Boston team total over 105 and a half at minus 110 and under 211 and a half. Also at minus 110.”
Boston Celtics Team Total Over: Boston Celtics scored 84; over 105.5 — lost. (Boston Celtics scored 84; line 105.5)
“Without Porzingis, Sam Hauser over one and a half made threes. That is plus 105. It was plus 124 last time. Now it's plus 105. He hit three in game three. Let's get two in game four. Sam Hauser over, over for Sam Hauser. one and a half made threes”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Sam Hauser: 4 threes vs over 1.5; covers. (Sam Hauser: 4 threes)
“I'm going to take a shot here and going nine or under for Jason Tatum rebounding wise. It's plus one Oh five. It's plus money. I think he's a score or more. I think he's a pass or more. Not sure how much rebounding Jason Tatum is going to do here tonight. Tatum under nine and a half rebounds at plus one Oh five.”
Jayson Tatum had 5 rebounds, below 9.5, so Under 9.5 won. (Jayson Tatum: 5 rebounds)
“Luka Doncic over three and a half made threes He can move but he can shoot I don't think Luka goes quietly. Okay. I don't think Luka goes out like it gets destroyed and it doesn't have a big game of some sort. I expect Luka to try to bounce back from what happened in game three and all the massive amounts of criticism he's taken for the comments, the whining, get fouling out of the game, all of that. I do expect Luka to be pretty good tonight. Luka over three and a half made threes is minus one 22. So bet that to win a half a unit.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Luka Doncic: 0 threes vs over 3.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 0 threes)
“And Kyrie Irving was great in game four. Sorry, game three. I don't think he'll be great in game four. I think Boston will focus on him more. Look to take away his driving ability and make him shoot jump shots where he hit a few jump shots in game three. But overall in the series, he has not been good. And he goes back to that version of Kyrie under 24 and a half points for Kyrie Irving. that also had that minus 105 bet that for a half a unit.”
Kyrie Irving scored 21 points, below 24.5, so Under 24.5 won. (Kyrie Irving: 21 points)
“Shop around. Okay, I got this at minus 135. I'm putting 1.35 units down on it. The aggregate score of all four rounds will be under. Sorry, excuse me, over. Excuse me, over 274 and a half.”
Bryson DeChambeau won the U.S. Open with a 274 aggregate score; 274 is under 274.5, so Over 274.5 lost. (Winning aggregate: 274)
“But I like Colin Murakawa straight up round one head to head to beat Brooks Koepka at minus 140. That's a 1.4 unit play. Murakawa to beat Brooks Koepka round one at the U.S. Open at minus 140 for 1.4 units.”
Collin Morikawa and Brooks Koepka both shot 70 in Round 1, producing a tied head-to-head. (Morikawa 70; Koepka 70)
“this is Aaron Nola on the mound and the Red Sox scored a bunch of runs last night to win eight six over the Phillies turnaround bounce back Don expect Boston to score very much I lean towards Philadelphia winning the game but we going to go under eight and a half at minus one 10 for the Red Sox and the Phillies.”
BOS 9, PHI 3 — Combined 12; under 8.5 busts.
“Bobrovsky has been tremendous. I'm not fading him at all. He's been screaming hot and I think he stays that way, we are going under five and a half for 1.1 units under five and a half in the hockey game between the Oilers and the Panthers for game three of the Stanley Cup finals. Okay. So the bets for today, Colin Morikawa over Brooks Koepka round one minus 140 Red Sox and the Phillies under eight and a half minus 110 and under five and a half Panthers and the Oilers also at minus 110”
EDM 3, FLA 4 — Combined 7; under 5.5 busts.
“I'm going under. Under 213. I think Boston will look to slow Temple down a little bit if Przingis does play. And I think Dallas will play slower at home and try to dictate tempo, dictate control. I don think we have a crazy up game here I going to bet under 213 Boston and Dallas game three of the NBA finals Under 213”
DAL 99, BOS 106 — Combined 205; under 213 covers.
“DraftKings has it at plus 124. I'm going to take a half a unit flyer on this. Sam Hauser over one and a half made threes for the Boston Celtics. It's plus 124. Half a unit. Sam Hauser over one and a half made threes at plus 124.”
DAL 99, BOS 106 — Sam Hauser: 3 threes vs over 1.5; covers. (Sam Hauser: 3 threes)
“We're going to jump on this here. Drew holiday over 13 and a half points. You can shop around trying to find the best price for this. I got it at minus 110. Bet it to win a half a unit. Drew Holiday over 13 and a half points for the Boston Celtics here has been tremendous.”
DAL 99, BOS 106 — Jrue Holiday: 9 points vs over 13.5; busts. (Jrue Holiday: 9 points)
“Will Zella Torres to come in the top 20. remember do not bet golf at books that play with dead heat rules check out your books official house rules for golf betting we don play any golfer who is playing with a house rules that no ties Must be ties OK but Will Zelletoros to come in the top 20 is three to one plus 300 Half a unit down on Will Zelletoros in the top 20.”
Will Zalatoris missed the U.S. Open cut and therefore did not finish in the top 20. (CUT, 148 (+8))
“You can go and try to do it, but I'm just going to do it with the top 10 at plus 550, half a unit on Russell Henley, top 10 ties included plus 550 for a half a unit.”
Russell Henley finished tied for seventh, inside the top 10 with ties. (T7, 279 (-1))
“It's seven and a half across the board over seven and a half. It opened over seven and a half minus one 20. It's been bet to some books to lean to the under over seven and a half, 1.1 units, skeins and meekless pirates and the Cardinals were going over seven and a half for 1.1 units.”
STL 1, PIT 2 — Combined 3; over 7.5 busts.
“Like we know Crawford is not that good of a pitcher for the Red Sox. We're going over four and a half runs. Philadelphia Phillies team total at Fenway and the Red Sox for minus one Oh five for 1.05 units.”
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over: Philadelphia Phillies scored 4; over 4.5 — lost. (Philadelphia Phillies scored 4; line 4.5)
“Florida Moneyline, minus 130. Same bet as game one. Game two, why? Florida's a better hockey team. Florida's at home. And I think they play even better. Bobrovsky was tremendous in game one. I've seen no reason why it can't be tremendous in game number two. We're going Moneyline, Florida Panthers, game two at home in the Stanley Cup finals. We are going Moneyline, Panthers, 1.3 units.”
FLA 4, EDM 1 — Florida Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take a shot with the money line here. Lugo. And the Royals. Money line to beat the Yankees plus 116 for one unit.”
Kansas City Royals: Kansas City Royals 2, New York Yankees 4 in the stated scope — lost. (Kansas City Royals 2, New York Yankees 4)
“We're going over first five over. You can play the whole game over if you want to. I don't mind that, but I'm just gonna take a shorter price at minus one 30. We're going 1.3 units. First five over three and a half runs for the White Sox in the Mariners.”
White Sox/Mariners First 5 Innings Over: The stated-scope total was 0 (0+0); over 3.5 — lost. (The stated-scope total was 0 (0+0); line 3.5)
“Rinse and repeat. Plus 106. Better odds. Better money. They're going to win the game in my mind. One in five. Jose Quintana with a 5.17 ERA in the bullpen for the Mets is not great. This is a wild ballpark. When the ball hits the ground, it literally is a Super Bowl. Like it just jumps off the ground. It's a trampoline. So any pop fly, anything like that in London. Yeah, this is going to be interesting at London Stadium for sure. The Phillies up against the Mets this year have scored five, four, ten, five and seven. So we're like right there. London, the ballpark and the pitcher. We're going over, over five and a half at plus 106 for one unit.”
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over: Philadelphia Phillies scored 5; over 5.5 — lost. (Philadelphia Phillies scored 5; line 5.5)
“Team total over 56 and a half. First half Boston Celtics 66 65 63 Those are the total numbers of points scored by Boston in the first half in the three games this year against the Dallas Mavericks Over 56 and a half. DraftKings has it and minus 115. 1.15 units down. Team total, Boston Celtics, first half over.”
Boston Celtics 1st Half Team Total Over: Boston Celtics scored 54; over 56.5 — lost. (Boston Celtics scored 54; line 56.5)
“Boston's going to play more like the Thunder and limit Kyrie Irving. I'm going to bet the under, under 26 and a half, minus 104 points and rebounds for Kyrie Irving, under 26 and a half.”
Kyrie Irving recorded 16 points and 2 rebounds, totaling 18 points-plus-rebounds. (16 PTS + 2 REB = 18)
“If he shoots 33 percent with 12 threes, he hits four. Over three and a half threes, Luka Doncic minus 155. Bet it to win a half a unit.”
BOS 105, DAL 98 — Luka Doncic: 4 threes vs over 3.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 4 threes)
“It's an even money play. Phillies team total over five and a half against the Mets in the London game here today. One ten Eastern time. Even money over five and a half. Phillies team total against the Mets”
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over: Philadelphia Phillies scored 7; over 5.5 — won. (Philadelphia Phillies scored 7; line 5.5)
“I'm taking the Yankees money line and minus one 18 to even their series at one game apiece.”
NYY 3, LAD 11 — New York Yankees lost; moneyline busts.
“In a game one situation, I'm going to take the Panthers. Money line, Florida, game one at minus 130.”
FLA 3, EDM 0 — Florida Panthers won; moneyline covers.
“I'm just going to lay the eight and a half points here. Vegas minus eight and a half, 1.1 units and Michelob Ultra Arena.”
LV 65, SEA 78 — Las Vegas Aces margin -13 vs line -8.5; busts.
“It may be a battle of the bullpens but I going to take the Reds here The Reds minus 115 1 units on the money line to beat the Cubs”
CIN 3, CHC 2 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“The Liberty, they haven't been great against the number, but I think this is a team where they're just flat out better than I like the Liberty laying six Liberty minus six in the WNBA to get a win here on the road, New York minus six for 1.1 units.”
ATL 61, NY 78 — New York Liberty margin +17 vs line -6; covers.
“Cubs plus one 17 run line. Same bet as last night. It burned me. but I got the plus money. Let's go back into it again. Keep on fading the White Sox. If you know the White Sox score first and you get a better price than the Cubs live bet the Cubs because it's the White Sox and they're historically bad. One unit plus one 17 Cubs on the run line again, up against the White Sox.”
Chicago Cubs -1.5: 7–6 in the stated scope; margin 1, adjusted margin -0.5 — lost. (Chicago Cubs 7, Chicago White Sox 6)
“But if that happens, the over is good over eight minus one 15, 1.15 units down on the over for the Pirates and the Dodgers.”
PIT 10, LAD 6 — Combined 16; over 8 covers.
“they killed the fever so I think when they lose they're mad I'm gonna lay the seven and a half points Vegas minus seven and a half on the road at Dallas here for the Aces to bounce back.”
DAL 81, LV 95 — Las Vegas Aces margin +14 vs line -7.5; covers.
“Total is eight and a half. I'm going to bet under eight and a half. Royals and Cleveland. Let's get this battle for first place in the central underway. Tristan McKenzie and Seth Lugo. I do think the Royals win the game, but I'm not. It's a coin flip. OK, I'm not totally comfortable with it. I think it's easier to bet the under eight and a half for the Royals and the Guardians under eight and a half for one point one units.”
CLE 8, KC 5 — Combined 13; under 8.5 busts.
“But it's been a 4-2, 5-0 win the first two games of this series for Atlanta. 8.5 is the total. We're going under 115. Red Sox and the Braves to keep this under train going for this series. Under eight and a half Red Sox in Atlanta, minus 115.”
BOS 3, ATL 8 — Combined 11; under 8.5 busts.
“i'm gonna bet the cubs on the run line i'll lay the minus 134 circus sports has got this here in vegas the rest of the country will have it in the morning but minus one thirty four Cubs on the run line up against the Chicago White Sox with Imanaga on the mound.”
CHC 7, CHW 6 — Chicago Cubs margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“I'm going to take the plus money here okay i would take a flyer on the rockies at home at plus 110 i think they got a shot to win this game the reds are a team i like they just beat the cubs two out of three but on the road not great but to kind of fade that let's see the rockies get back at home and get a plus money home dog win money line excuse me money line Rockies plus 110 for one unit”
Colorado Rockies: Colorado Rockies 3, Cincinnati Reds 13 in the stated scope — lost. (Colorado Rockies 3, Cincinnati Reds 13)
“I'm going to take the Padres minus 135 San Diego on the road. Money line 1.35 units down here. San Diego to beat the Angels.”
LAA 2, SD 1 — San Diego Padres lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to bet the under. Under 5.5, minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
EDM 2, DAL 1 — Combined 3; under 5.5 covers.
“under five and a half for the Oilers and the Stars under five and a half at minus one ten Liberty minus 14 and a half at minus one ten and under seven and a half for the Reds and the Cubs also at minus one ten.”
NY 104, IND 68 — New York Liberty margin +36 vs line -14.5; covers.
“under five and a half for the Oilers and the Stars under five and a half at minus one ten Liberty minus 14 and a half at minus one ten and under seven and a half for the Reds and the Cubs also at minus one ten.”
CHC 2, CIN 5 — Combined 7; under 7.5 covers.
“We're going under eight for Oakland and the Atlanta Braves. We are paying. Let me see what the what's the price we're paying here. We are paying. I got out of my thing. Hold on. We got to find what the bet was it. We're going under eight minus one oh five. Nice one oh five. Oakland Braves under eight minus one oh five for one point zero five units.”
ATL 9, OAK 11 — Combined 20; under 8 busts.
“But I'm just gonna take the Phillies on the money line. Sonny Gray is going 7-2 with a 2.60 ERA for the Cardinals. He's been very good. We're getting a depressed price on Ranger Suarez. 9-1 with a 1.75 ERA and a .82 whip. Now, we've been on Ranger Suarez. His last start against Colorado, he lost six innings, four earned runs, five earned for five runs overall, nine Ks but four walks. I'm expecting a bounce back here out of Ranger Suarez after losing his first game of the year on the road at home. He has a one point six six ERA five and oh record, just seven earned runs in 38 innings worth of work and opposing batting average of two oh three. He's going to be facing a good pitcher in Sonny Gray. There's no debating that for the Cardinals. He's been good. Seven and two with a two point six zero ERA. Sonny Gray on the road this year, though, has a 4.70 ERA at home. It's 0.93. He is three and one, but an imposing batting average of 258, 23 hits in 23 innings worth of work, 12 earned runs, five home runs given up for Sonny Gray on the road. Phillies money line minus 137 for 1.37 units.”
PHI 6, STL 1 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“I going to take a flyer on the yes Plus 124 Paul Acosta and Sean Strickland go the distance all five rounds at plus 124. We'll throw one unit down on that.”
Sean Strickland and Paulo Costa completed all five rounds before the judges' decision. (Strickland won by split decision after 5 rounds)
“I'm going to be on Dallas tonight, but I think the better play is going to be the under six. Great push potential with the six. Could be a 4-2 final. Two games in Dallas. Both games have gone under. Third game in Dallas. Let's see Ottinger stand on his head. Let's see a good version of Skinner. Not a lot of power plays here. We're into game five. So second half, we're into the back half of the best of seven. Not a lot of power plays. Under six, minus 120 for Dallas and Edmonton tonight in game five of the Western Conference finals.”
Under: The stated-scope total was 4 (1+3); under 6 — won. (The stated-scope total was 4 (1+3); line 6)
“We're going under eight and a half for the Braves and the A's here with J.P. Sears up against Ronaldo Lopez.”
ATL 4, OAK 2 — Combined 6; under 8.5 covers.
“We're going over eight and a half for the Phillies at minus one oh five up against the Cardinals.”
PHI 4, STL 2 — Combined 6; over 8.5 busts.
“I'm taking the Mavericks plus one and a half games at minus 114 for 1.4 units.”
Boston won the NBA Finals 4–1; Dallas +1.5 games adjusted to 2.5 series wins versus Boston’s 4, so the series spread lost. (Celtics won series 4–1; adjusted Dallas series wins 2.5)
“I completely and totally love, love Dallas at six at five. I like them. I don't love them. I have bet it. I'm taking Dallas. Why? So when the games were played game one, game two, Dallas wins the game 108 105 Dallas wins the game 109 108 what is the common thread tight game now Dallas won them both and Dallas may win again tonight but a tight game I think we're in for a tight game I mean I could see a win here for Minnesota but they win on the road in game 4 105 to 100 the line's 5 again two wins for the Mavericks in Minnesota already both by one possession three points in one point could very well be a maverick win here tonight. And the series is over. So you can bet money line if you want, but I'm just gonna take the five points. I'm going to take plus five and maybe Minnesota wins the game. But if they win the game, I don't think they win the game by more than five points. I think it comes down to, you know, one bucket, a three, a two, a free throw, something along those lines, maybe two, two pointers, but I'm taking the points here. Dallas plus five for 1.1 units.”
MIN 103, DAL 124 — Dallas Mavericks margin +21 vs line +5; covers.
“Nas Reid over 10 and a half points I not going to do points rebounds and assists I just going to do Nas Reed to score 11 points or more He been consistently scoring in this series He been very very good for the Timberwolves. And I think he will continue to be good for the Timberwolves here to score. Maybe not rebounds, maybe not assists, but I think he does put the ball in the basket here tonight. I like Nas Reed. If you want to do points, rebounds and assists, you can do that, but I don't think you need to get involved with that. Cause that number is getting a little bit elevated. people have been betting it a lot so he scored 23 points uh let me see here in the series scoring wise he's averaging he averaged 13.5 points per game but in the series 11 15 23 14 and then six in the last game for points scored so 10 and a half or four and one didn't hit last game let's go right back to it nazry to score 11 or more points over 10 and a half and it's cheap minus one Oh five on that. Uh, yeah, sorry. Minus one 13 on that Nas read over 10 and a half points minus one 13 coming up on that.”
MIN 103, DAL 124 — Naz Reid: 5 points vs over 10.5; busts. (Naz Reid: 5 points)
“But over three and a half threes is minus one eleven. I like that. If you want to do points over 30 and a half is only minus one oh four at FanDuel. If you want to do that, I like that. But I don't want to hit him hit four threes and wind up with 30 points and we lose on the hook. So I'm just going to bet over three and a half threes and minus one eleven for Luka Donjic.”
MIN 103, DAL 124 — Luka Doncic: 6 threes vs over 3.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 6 threes)
“I'm going to go under Nationals and the Braves under eight and a half. That is a minus one, oh, minus one, 10 for minus one, oh, eight, I guess. Minus one, oh, eight for Nationals and Braves under eight and a half.”
ATL 1, WSH 3 — Combined 4; under 8.5 covers.
“But today they throw Shota Imanaga 5-0 with a .84 ERA against Bryce Wilson, who's 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA. Total is 7.5. We're going to bet the under. OK, taking the under 7.5 here for these teams. It's even money on the under.”
MIL 10, CHC 6 — Combined 16; under 7.5 busts.
“Somebody has got to explain to me. What am I missing? Why are the Royals dogs? Why are they plus one ten? I don't understand. Is anyone paying attention to Lugo's numbers? eight and one 1.74 0.97 whip 0.75 era on the road five and oh five starts 36 innings three earned runs opposing betting betting average of 145 and their dogs okay one unit royals money line royals plus 110 take it with seth lugo to win the game”
MIN 1, KC 6 — Kansas City Royals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to take a flyer. Second game of the double header over seven and a half is plus money. It's plus one Oh two. Let's take a shot. Pirates score a bunch of runs against whomever the Detroit Tigers throw. The Tigers offense gets to the bullpen late to drive this thing over seven and a half, over seven and a half. Pirates and the Tigers game to the Paul Skeens game going here today.”
Over: The stated-scope total was 8 (8+0); over 7.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 8 (8+0); line 7.5)
“I think the money line's a good shot here. Game four, Timberwolves to win the game. Plus one ten, one unit on Minnesota to avoid being swept and to give us at least one more basketball game before the Eastern Conference finals.”
Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves 105, Dallas Mavericks 100 in the stated scope — won. (Minnesota Timberwolves 105, Dallas Mavericks 100)
“Nas Reed's been great for us. Nas Reed over 18 and a half points, rebounds and assists. We're going right back to that bet for a half a unit in minus one 13 and FanDuel right back into there. It's been very profitable for us. Nas Reed of the Timberwolves over 18 and a half points, rebounds and assists.”
DAL 100, MIN 105 — Naz Reid: 12 pra vs over 18.5; busts. (Naz Reid: 12 pra)
“Rudy Gobert over 11.5 for plus 102. It's plus money. So take a shot at it for half a unit with Rudy Gobert over 11.5 points.”
Rudy Gobert scored 13 points, clearing Over 11.5. (Rudy Gobert: 13 points)
“We're going under eight and a half here at minus 110, under eight and a half for the Braves and the Nationals under eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
ATL 2, WSH 0 — Combined 2; under 8.5 covers.
“But I'm just going to keep betting until I'm wrong. Over 207 and a half for Minnesota and Dallas. It was up to as high as 208 and a half. It's been bet down at 207 and a half. I'm taking the over over 207 and a half.”
DAL 116, MIN 107 — Combined 223; over 207.5 covers.
“And we're going to go right back to Nas Reed, who has been a tremendous player in this series. He led the Timberwolves in scoring in the last game. His points rebounds and assists at DraftKings is over 17 and a half is even money Like even money for Nas Reed Scored 23 points alone in game two He was unguardable. He went over on his points in game number one. Went over points, rebounds and assists and went over on his points in game number two. Just keep on betting it. Over 17 and a half points, rebounds and assists. Even money, half a unit down on Naz Reed to go over 17 and a half points, rebounds and assists in this game here against the Dallas Mavericks.”
DAL 116, MIN 107 — Naz Reid: 19 pra vs over 17.5; covers. (Naz Reid: 19 pra)
“Jaden McDaniels is minus 115 over nine and a half points for Jaden McDaniels. Let's get back into it. Let's see if we can have, you know, a 21, 23, 24 point effort and maybe the Timberwolves win the game and win game three. But Jaden McDaniels over nine and a half points at minus 115.”
DAL 116, MIN 107 — Jaden McDaniels: 15 points vs over 9.5; covers. (Jaden McDaniels: 15 points)
“we can go and it is ranger suarez day it's actually not that expensive some books have already gone to two and a half for the run line for the phillies at the rockies you can bet team total if you want here in this game and i actually don't hate a team total bet at all but we missed on that in game number one of this series it's five and a half at minus 128 which is the same price as the run line. So Ranger Suarez this season, 5-4, 5-2, 5-1, 5-0, 7-0, 5-1, 14-3, 8-2, 10-5, and 5-2. Those are all wins for Ranger Suarez. He has not lost a start. In fact, he's 9-0 with a 1.36 ERA. Yes, the offense might get going here, but every game except the opening game has been won on the run line by Ranger Suarez. Again, a bet if it's not broke, don't fix it it's not expensive it's minus 128 i hate laying juice on the run line unless it's against a team like the rockies where ranger suarez back on the 16th of april went a complete game seven hit shutout against these very rockies it was in philadelphia we turning around and going in colorado He already dominated This team has already dominated many teams here so far in Major League Baseball Rangers for as day run line minus one twenty eight Yeah it laying juice No I don't like it, but we're going to do it because it's the Phillies on the road up against the Rockies and Rangers for as it's been so good last time out. Seven innings, one earned run, five hits, 10 K's in a five to win over Texas. That was late. They had to come back for that, But 10-5 win over the Mets. Went five innings. Gave up four hits. Zero earned runs. A 8-2 win against the Miami Marlins in his last road start. Seven innings. No earned runs. Three hits there and nine Ks for Ranger Suarez. Minus 128 run line. Ranger Suarez and the Phillies laying the one and a half runs on Colorado here for 1.28 units.”
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5: 2–5 in the stated scope; margin -3, adjusted margin -4.5 — lost. (Philadelphia Phillies 2, Colorado Rockies 5)
“We're going over to twenty two and a half with Boston and Indiana. every game has gone over so far here in this series five straight games for uh for indiana sorry for boston have gone over five straight games for indiana have gone over both teams are seven and three over their last 10 to the over i mean i know the game only went over by four and a half points and it was 220 and a half so that put us you know i was at 225 this is 222 and a half it may be one possession but it's a closeout game i mean boston might run away with this and just put up a gigantic number. We'll see how much fight Indiana has in them. And if any of us have fight, this game's going over because Indiana can play slow If they going to win this game they going to win it you know the way that they were winning games up against the New York Knicks like 121 to 91 you know somewhere in that range And you know we going to see like a like a I don know uh one uh one 21 one 31, 21, something like that. Like if, if we're going to see a win for the Indiana Pacers tonight to force the thing back to Boston and it could very well here, you know, we'll, we lose 1.3 units if this winds up losing ending tonight, but I'm going to get over 222 and a half Boston, Indiana for 1.1 units.”
IND 102, BOS 105 — Combined 207; over 222.5 busts.
“Points, rebounds, and assists. That number is set at 26 and a half for Andrew Nembhardt. That number's too high. Okay. I'm pretty surprised at how high that number is. It's minus 112 at DraftKings under 26 and a half for Andrew Nembhardt of the Pacers. Points, rebounds, and assists for him. I don't think he'll have nearly as big of a game. In game one, scored 12 points, had three rebounds and had seven assists. That would put us at 22 points. That would be under 26 and a half. In game two, he scored 16 points, had two rebounds and five assists. That would put us right there, right below 24. So it would put us below, well, less than that, 23. It would put us below the 26 and a half. Okay. He did go over this in game three. Don't think he goes over that in game four. Andrew Nembhardt under 26 and a half points, rebounds and assists for the Indiana Pacers.”
IND 102, BOS 105 — Andrew Nembhard: 40 pra vs under 26.5; busts. (Andrew Nembhard: 40 pra)
“but I am going to bet the over for Obi Toppin. It's plus money now. It's nine and a half. We go to nine and a half. Obi Toppin over nine and a half points. It's plus 110. It's been eight and a half for pretty much the entire time. Obi Toppin has slowed down, but it's still a guy who consistently has gone over here from his point total perspective against the Boston Celtics.”
IND 102, BOS 105 — Obi Toppin: 12 points vs over 9.5; covers. (Obi Toppin: 12 points)
“I'm gonna lay the juice here it's minus 124 Reds money line up against St. Louis to win the game That's it. Reds money line minus one twenty four, given that they're playing still right now. And there may be a lot of tired guys on that roster for St. Louis here against the Reds who have been red hot sweeping the Dodgers.”
CIN 3, STL 1 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“I do not understand the movement to the under on these games. It happened again from 222, sorry, 224 down to 222. I just, I really, really struggle with this. I don't really understand why they were, the pros are betting under, but they are. Four and one over the last five for both Boston and Indianapolis. Indianapolis at home this year was 29 in 18 to the over. Indy against the Eastern Conference was 41 in 25 and one. Indy has gone over four consecutive games, all with totals right around 225. For the Celtics, they also have gone over their last four games, Indiana and for Cleveland. Their numbers have been a little bit lower at 204, 205, but for the most part, Boston is dominating. Boston has scored a lot of easy baskets. Let's go over 222 here. Celtics and Indiana Pacers for one unit. I don't understand what the number is. It just drives me nuts, but it is what it is. Over 222 for one unit. Celtics on the road for game three against Indiana.”
IND 111, BOS 114 — Combined 225; over 222 covers.
“And Peyton Pritchard is the other. I mean, Peyton Pritchard over seven and a half points is minus 110. The guy's going to shoot a bunch of threes tonight. Okay. Like he's going to have the ball in his hands. He's going to be shooting a lot of shots. He's been driving the ball pretty well. It's only seven and a half. Peyton Pritchard over seven and a half for one point. Sorry, for 0.55 units. So to win a half a unit coming back.”
Payton Pritchard scored 2 points, below Over 7.5. (Payton Pritchard: 2 points)
“So to me I just think it time just to jump in here I actually going to bet the under Braves pirates under eight and a half is minus one 15 Why Mitch Keller has been pretty good It been you know a decent starter And we know that Lopez has been tremendous for the Braves so far this year I like the Braves to win the game, but I'm going to go and bet under eight and a half minus one 15 for 1.5 units officially.”
PIT 4, ATL 1 — Combined 5; under 8.5 covers.
“team total Boston Celtics over 60 and a half. It was 59 and a half in game one. They scored 64 points. It's 60 and a half. It is high. I'll give you that even money at DraftKings. This is an even money play. Boston scored 64 points in game one. They could have easily scored 60. I'll give you that. Okay. This very well may miss, but this is just a principal play because I don't think either Indiana or Boston will play slow. The number 225 from a total perspective is coming down. Why? Game went to overtime, but it would have cleared 225 before overtime. So I'm not, are we going to see something totally different? I don't think so. Yeah. Boston Celtics team total over 60 and a half until that gets to 62. I'm going to bet it when Boston plays at home, When it gets to 62 at home, I'll stop. But up till then, even money, one unit Celtics team total over 60 and a half for one unit.”
Boston scored 57 first-half points, below its first-half team total Over 60.5. (Halftime: Boston 57, Indiana 51; Boston first-half team total 57)
“One of the two prop bets, Obi Toppin came in easily in game one over eight and a half points. He scored 15 again, Obi Toppin over eight and a half points. It's minus 125 bet to win one, a half a unit on that lay enough to win a half a unit, whatever number you're going to get, 130, 125. Obi Toppin over eight and a half points. Now, maybe Boston shuts him down. Don't think so. He scored in double figures in every game, all six games against Boston. Obi Toppin has scored 10 or more points. Right back to Obi Toppin. Win a half a unit over eight and a half minus 125 for Obi Toppin.”
BOS 126, IND 110 — Obi Toppin: 11 points vs over 8.5; covers. (Obi Toppin: 11 points)
“And for the other half unit play, Derek White points, rebounds, assists. It's 25 and a half minus 110. Bet to win a half a unit. Look, Derek White's a player that I like a lot. I've liked him for a long time. He hit this number in game number one. Now you'd say, Matt, it was overtime and whatnot. I'll give you that. But Derek White scored 15 points, had nine assists, grabbed six rebounds. That's 30. That's way over 25 and a half.”
BOS 126, IND 110 — Derrick White: 33 pra vs over 25.5; covers. (Derrick White: 33 pra)
“We're going to parlay the money line for the Pittsburgh Pirates to win the game. With Paul Skeen's seven or more strikeouts, that's a plus 104 bet. I did it for five or more strikeouts with the Pirates beating the Cubs. And that was a plus 115 bet. So this is a little bit more, but he struck out 11. So like how many cases are you going to have? Well, on average, the Giants on the road, they strike out nine times a game on the road. On average, that's not a, you know, anomaly. They strike out a lot. They're a strikeout team. They just, you know, they K a lot. Last night, they K 12 times and it wasn't Paul Skeens. They K 12 times. So how many pitches will Paul Skeens be allowed to pitch? It's at home. It's Paul Skeens night on a Friday night. The ballpark is going to be jumping. It's going to be a fun place to be. Parlay. Pirates Moneyline. Paul Skeens. Seven or more strikeouts. It's a plus 104 play. One unit on the Pirates to win. Paul Skeens with seven or more Ks.”
The parlay lost because Pittsburgh fell 7–6 to San Francisco; Paul Skenes also recorded only 3 strikeouts, below the required 7+. (Giants 7, Pirates 6; Paul Skenes 3 strikeouts)
“I just going to take the Dallas stars on the money line at minus one 27 to win game one Look, I think they're the better team that they're deeper team. They've got more talent. I don't like the Oilers all that much here in this series.”
DAL 2, EDM 3 — Dallas Stars lost; moneyline busts.
“For the Timberwolves, they shot 49 threes. That's more than they usually take, But that's because Dallas is giving it to them and they hit 18 of them. So it's not like they're going to go, oh, we won't take that shot anymore. They were 18 of 49. That's 37%. That's pretty good. So I don't think they're going to shy away from shooting those shots. I think they're going to continue to look to shoot those shots when they're given those shots to take. So I mean, Minnesota at home this year, 38.2% from behind the three point line. That was top 10 in the NBA for home three point percentage. I doubt they're going to shy away from shooting the threes. Dallas is going to give it to them over 207 for 1.1 units.”
Over: The stated-scope total was 217 (108+109); over 207 — won. (The stated-scope total was 217 (108+109); line 207)
“Nas Reed went over his point I told you that I like that going into the game I like me made it official though right But Nas Reed 15 points in 24 minutes Nas Reed has gone over double digits in every game this year against Dallas Points, rebounds, and assists is just 16 and a half. So maybe he doesn't get 15 points. Maybe he only scores 10. But five rebounds, two assists in game one. We can do that again here. That would get us 17. That's over here for us with points, rebounds, and assists. His point prop is 10 and a half. So maybe he scores 10 rebounds and assists. We go over 16 and a half minus one, 10 bet to win a half a unit. Nas Reed points, rebounds and assists for 16 and a half over for one point.”
MIN 108, DAL 109 — Naz Reid: 25 pra vs over 16.5; covers. (Naz Reid: 25 pra)
“you can get minus 102 at the super book right now here for the new york rangers i'm taking new york to win this game i can't see them losing both games on the road i can't see them going back to florida down oh two i think you're getting a herculean effort on the rangers here tonight in game number two not a big handicap just a zigzag effect i expect wabrowski to be a little bit weaker and i think you'll see a very very sharp igor under five and a half is a good bet as well, but it's juiced to minus one 25. I'm not really interested in betting that and under at minus one 25 because I thought they over the first game might go over second game might go over. I'm taking the Rangers on the money line, safer play Rangers minus one Oh five minus one Oh two, actually minus one Oh two for the Rangers for 1.02 units to win game two to even up their best of seven series at one game apiece.”
NYR 2, FLA 1 — New York Rangers won; moneyline covers.
“But look, I think I like Dallas. I like the over. Over 207-1⁄2. I just think we're going to see a similar style to what we saw coming up in the regular season. These teams are going to push. They're going to push tempo. 207-1⁄2. If this game starts super fast and we get a lot of points early, you get like a total of 220 in game. Bet the under. Try to middle it. Right. Over 207 and a half under 220 to 13, 12 and a half point middle. It's a good way of playing it. Right. If we get a fast start, we might get a fast start in the first quarter. My play over 207 and a half. Minnesota, Dallas game one of the Western Conference finals. I do lean towards Dallas, get as many points as possible. Four and a half, four. I lean Dallas, but official play is over 207 and a half for Dallas and Minnesota.”
Over: The stated-scope total was 213 (105+108); over 207.5 — won. (The stated-scope total was 213 (105+108); line 207.5)
“He can lose the game four to three. Only minus 108. It's pretty cheap. Let's go over five and a half Rangers and the Panthers in game one of the Eastern Conference finals in the NHL playoffs.”
NYR 0, FLA 3 — Combined 3; over 5.5 busts.
“it's too good not to bet it plus one 30 one unit indiana plus two and a half games in this series for one unit plus one 30 for the pacers plus two and a half games meaning again four two boston wins we cash four three boston wins we cash the only two only two scenarios we don't win is 4-0 and 4-1”
BOS 133, IND 128 — Indiana Pacers margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.
“It's just an automatic fire. It's not, it's just, it's a bet. And Indiana is going to play fast. We know they're going to play fast. Indiana Boston Celtics team total first half over 59 and a half minus 104. FanDuel's got this tonight. 1.04 units down on this.”
Boston scored 64 first-half points, clearing its first-half team total Over 59.5. (Halftime: Boston 64, Indiana 64; Boston first-half team total 64)
“It's minus 111. Under three and a half made threes for Tyrese Halliburton of the Pacers. We're going under three and a half for a half a unit. Bet to win a half a unit at minus 111. FanDuel has this number. Terry Taliburton under three and a half made threes at minus 111. Bet to win a half a unit.”
BOS 133, IND 128 — Tyrese Haliburton: 6 threes vs under 3.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 threes)
“And we're going to go with Obi Toppin with the other half a unit. Obi Toppin over eight and a half points at plus 104. four. You can go to draft Kings and play over seven and a half at minus one 25. But in the five games that Obi Toppin played against the Celtics this year, he was in double figures every game, every game, double figures. So Obi Toppin has been 10, 11, 12 in that range. So I think we can take the plus money and add the extra point onto this and take Obi Toppin over eight and a half points to have him score basically 10 points in this game for the Pacers and go over plus 104 for a half a unit, bet a half a unit to win one, right? What? 5.2 on this plus 104. Obi Toppin over eight and a half points at FanDuel.”
BOS 133, IND 128 — Obi Toppin: 15 points vs over 8.5; covers. (Obi Toppin: 15 points)
“We're taking Edmonton, Vancouver under six for 1.15 units minus 115. Don't care about the goalies. Doesn't matter. Game will go the same. I don't care who's in that. Yes. One team might get killed like last game, 5-1 Edmonton, but that game still stayed on a push for six. Six is a key number in the series. Under six, Edmonton taking on Vancouver tonight in game seven.”
VAN 2, EDM 3 — Combined 5; under 6 covers.
“I'm going to bet over, over eight, Miami and Milwaukee over eight minus 115 in Major League Baseball. Let these bullpens get into it. Let's get some offense here for Milwaukee going. Let's get some more like a 5-4 type of win here for Milwaukee up against the Miami Marlins. We're going over eight minus 115.”
MIA 3, MIL 2 — Combined 5; over 8 busts.
“Atlanta, San Diego, under eight and a half. Game one of the doubleheader, minus 115.”
ATL 5, SD 6 — Combined 11; under 8.5 busts.
“I think Scotty will shoot 66 Scotty Scheffler under 67 and a half minus one 30, 1.3 units down on Scotty Scheffler to go out there, create carefree on a Sunday and just throw a number up.”
Scottie Scheffler shot 65 in the final round, below 67.5. (Final round: 65)
“Justin Thomas is plus money. FanDuel has this plus money. Justin Thomas under 68 and a half final round score for four for the fourth round. It's plus one 15, one unit down on Justin Thomas to shoot lower than a 68 and a half.”
Justin Thomas shot 68 in the final round, below 68.5. (Final round: 68)
“I'm going to take the plus 140, the Moneyline Superbook here in Vegas, plus 140. They're kind of like the market high, to be quite honest, from a Moneyline perspective. Circa's at plus 138. South Point's at plus 125. DraftKings plus 130. Caesars is plus 143. There's a better number out there that I don't have access to at the moment, but you want to take Caesars plus 143? We can go ahead. I'm going to take plus 140 at the Superbook. Pacers, Moneyline.”
NY 109, IND 130 — Indiana Pacers won; moneyline covers.
“But I'm going to lay the four and a half points. Denver, minus four and a half at home. I just think the better team, the Denver's Nuggets, the better team. They're at home defensively. Again, I lean towards the under on this to go and take the under on Denver because I do think Denver is going to play great defense. Denver was a dynamic under team for most of the year. Last three games have gone under, but this total is so darn low. I feel like this is the basement. 196 and a half. I mean, my goodness. Too low. But, you know, I still think about the under. But over, I think, comes into question the further this thing goes down in game. It may be 193, 94, somewhere in that range. You bet over. But I'm going to lay the four and a half with the Denver Nuggets at home for 1.1 units. Denver minus four and a half against the Minnesota Timberwolves in game seven.”
DEN 90, MIN 98 — Denver Nuggets margin -8 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I think the over is the play here over one minus one 20 Walker Bueller Ashcraft Dodgers and the Reds Over eight and a half minus 120 1.2 units down on that.”
LAD 4, CIN 0 — Combined 4; over 8.5 busts.
“But I just I'm going to take the Pirates here. I think it's Paul Skeen's day. I think there's going to be a lot of opportunity here. The Cubs are, you know, they've now not played great. They've lost three of the five starts in which Kyle Hendricks pitched. I was here for the Dodger game in which he went four innings, gave up five earned runs and eight hits, only struck out four. Could be in for another not so great outing here. And with Paul Skeen's on the mound, I think there's going to be a lot of energy in that clubhouse. He only pitched four innings, 6.75 ERA because of that. And he put a 10-9 win for the Pirates when Paul Skeens pitched. I just think I'm going to ride Paul Skeens in the Pirates here. Pirates money line, minus 105. I'm taking the kid. First road start, first time at Wrigley. Pirates money line, minus 105 for 1.05 units.”
CHC 3, PIT 9 — Pittsburgh Pirates won; moneyline covers.
“I'm betting the under. Phillies under seven and a half against the Nationals at minus 115. I think Wheeler and Irvin pitched a gem here on a Friday. I think we're going to see some good pitching, not great offense. Under 7.5, minus 115 for the Phillies and the Nationals.”
PHI 4, WSH 2 — Combined 6; under 7.5 covers.
“Top 10 with ties. Justin Thomas, half a unit plus 430.”
Justin Thomas finished tied for eighth, inside the top 10 with ties. (T8, 271 (-13))
“Rory McIlroy, head to head. Superbook has this four full rounds, head to head. Rory over Xander, minus 130, 1.3 units down.”
Xander Schauffele won the tournament while Rory McIlroy tied for 12th, so Rory lost the full-tournament head-to-head. (Schauffele 263 (-21); McIlroy 272 (-12))
“a PGA championship at Valhalla. You got to bet them to win the thing. Quarter unit, Rory, 750, plus 750, Rory, to win it at a quarter unit.”
Rory McIlroy tied for 12th; Xander Schauffele won the PGA Championship. (McIlroy T12; Schauffele 1st)
“Top 10. It's plus 230. It's Brooks at a major and you get plus money on a top 10 bet with ties. Plus 230. Half a unit. Brooks Koepka.”
Brooks Koepka finished tied for 26th, outside the top 10. (T26, 275 (-9))
“If you're going to bet the PGA, you have to have something with Scotty Scheffler. You have to just – it's plus 450. Just play defense with a quarter unit just in case. Like just in case the guy goes and wins the whole thing you can make a little we can make him scratch back and protect ourselves here on this at plus 450”
Scottie Scheffler tied for eighth; Xander Schauffele won the PGA Championship. (Scheffler T8; Schauffele 1st)
“Up against Cleveland in a knockout setting. So first bet Boston over 55 and a half team total in the first half at minus 118.”
Boston Celtics Over 55.5 (1st Half Team Total): Boston Celtics scored 58; over 55.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 58; line 55.5)
“I'm taking the money line. Brewers, Gasser, money line, minus 137 for 1.37 units.”
MIL 10, PIT 2 — Milwaukee Brewers won; moneyline covers.
“Team total over 3.5. Plus 106 for Dallas tonight.”
Dallas Stars Over 3.5 (Team Total): Dallas Stars scored 3; over 3.5 — lost. (Dallas Stars scored 3; line 3.5)
“I like the under under 206, Minnesota in Denver in game five of their best of seven series”
DEN 112, MIN 97 — Combined 209; under 206 busts.
“I bet streaks over six and a half Vancouver and Edmonton over six and a half at minus one 15.”
EDM 3, VAN 2 — Combined 5; over 6.5 busts.
“Over 8, Dodgers and the Giants at minus 115.”
SF 2, LAD 10 — Combined 12; over 8 covers.
“they're minus 150 at some books on the money line let's just take the under under eight minus 115 for the Cubs and the Braves.”
ATL 2, CHC 0 — Combined 2; under 8 covers.
“Colorado, minus 135, 1.35 units down. money line for the abs to even up their series at two games a piece.”
COL 1, DAL 5 — Colorado Avalanche lost; moneyline busts.
“Thunder plus one and a half in game four to even up this series at two games apiece.”
DAL 96, OKC 100 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +4 vs line +1.5; covers.
“But for today, Minnesota minus two in the first half, 1.1 units.”
Minnesota Timberwolves (1st Half): 49–64 in the stated scope; margin -15, adjusted margin -17 — lost. (Minnesota Timberwolves 49, Denver Nuggets 64)
“Pacers minus five and a half for the full game against the New York Knicks.”
IND 121, NY 89 — Indiana Pacers margin +32 vs line -5.5; covers.
“I'm going to play plus 130. Puck line for the Oilers to win the game by more than one goal. Two or more goals for the victory for the Edmonton Oilers here today.”
EDM 3, VAN 4 — Edmonton Oilers margin -1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“It's only minus 110, but bet over six and a half for Dallas and Edmonton for their big game three here in Colorado.”
COL 1, DAL 4 — Combined 5; over 6.5 busts.
“Celtics minus eight off of a loss on the road against Cleveland for 1.1 units.”
CLE 93, BOS 106 — Boston Celtics margin +13 vs line -8; covers.
“We're going to bet under OKC in Dallas under two 18 and a half.”
DAL 105, OKC 101 — Combined 206; under 218.5 covers.
“But for the Western conference, I'm betting over minus one 15 to the over six over Edmonton in Vancouver.”
VAN 3, EDM 4 — Combined 7; over 6 covers.
“204 and a half. We're going to bet under Denver at Minnesota. We're going under 204 and a half.”
MIN 90, DEN 117 — Combined 207; under 204.5 busts.
“But until I lose this bet, I'm going to bet over every time over 222 New York and Indiana.”
IND 111, NY 106 — Combined 217; over 222 busts.
“The Friday, traditional Friday parlay, baseball. Phillies at the Marlins, money line. Dodgers at the Padres, money line. Texas at the Rockies, money line. Road favorite parlay. Three teams, three bets, three money lines, all on the road. It's a plus 289 parlay. Nearly a three to one return, half a unit. I like it. Gray is going for Texas on the road at Colorado Minus 180 They should win that game Suarez has been dominant I know the Miami Marlins Rodgers hasn been bad but the Phillies have been great on the road against Miami who's horrible. Phillies, money line, minus 176. And the Dodgers are the Dodgers. And my gosh, Glass now against King. Yes, the Padres are live and could blow up the whole parlay. That's possible. If we get to the nightcap and we've hit the first two bets, you can hedge off of it if you want. better unit back on the Padres at plus 142 and you'll have a plus 289 or a plus 142 and you're guaranteed to make money that's the plan okay if you get there with the Dodgers we need the Phillies and the Rangers to win first against the Marlins and the Rockies two horrible teams Dodgers to win over the Padres if you want to throw in the Guardians you can but be careful because Roche is not bad and it's only minus 120 for Carrasco who's been really a roller coaster ride for the Cleveland guardians. They're minus one 20. If you throw them in, it's a four leg money line parlay. If you want to fade all the bad teams in baseball plus six 13, if you want to do that, but I'm not doing that. Just tell you what you can do. If you want, I'm doing three legs, Phillies, Dodgers, Rangers, money line parlay at plus two 89 for a half a unit, nothing serious, just a half a unit sprinkle to give you the parlay on a Friday.”
Parlay lost: Philadelphia Phillies: Philadelphia Phillies 8, Miami Marlins 2 in the stated scope — won; LA Dodgers: Los Angeles Dodgers 1, San Diego Padres 2 in the stated scope — lost; Texas Rangers: Texas Rangers 2, Colorado Rockies 4 in the stated scope — lost. (Philadelphia Phillies 8, Miami Marlins 2; Los Angeles Dodgers 1, San Diego Padres 2; Texas Rangers 2, Colorado Rockies 4)
“I'm laying the points with the Thunder. Thunder to go up 2-0 on the Dallas Mavericks, laying the five with Oklahoma City here for 1.1 units.”
OKC 110, DAL 119 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -9 vs line -5; busts.
“I think the best play in this game is just to keep on betting the streak, which I like to do. 4-3, 4-3. I know changing of venues, but let's go to an over five and a half. Let's get a 4-2 final here. Maybe we need an open net to get there, but it's only minus 110. It's not heavy. Basically a pick-em price. Rangers, Hurricanes over five and a half for 1.1 units.”
CAR 2, NYR 3 — Combined 5; over 5.5 busts.
“But Colorado's plus 110. Dallas is minus 130. Not sure I really love that Dallas is a minus 130 favorite here in this game. But it's six and a half under minus 118 at DraftKings or six over minus 125 at Circa. I laid the over six at minus 125 at Circus Sports because I think it's a great push potential.”
DAL 5, COL 3 — Combined 8; over 6 covers.
“The total now is 222.5. The first game went over by over 22 points. we're betting the over until i see something differently i'm betting the over and i think we're going to see some pretty big numbers here i think this number is going to run again eight and two to the over for both teams over their last 10 games first game the total was 216 and a half it rose all the way up to 216 we played 214 right but 216 and a half went over by 21 and a half points it was 121 to 117 until further notice this is an over series 222 and a half over knicks and the pacers and i expect halliburton to play better and indiana to play better indiana to shoot better game should go over indiana to win over 222 and a half indiana and New York.”
NY 130, IND 121 — Combined 251; over 222.5 covers.
“We want to be like Florida tonight, but I'm just going to bet the under. Under five and a half at minus 115, 1.15 units down under five and a half Boston and Florida.”
FLA 6, BOS 1 — Combined 7; under 5.5 busts.
“I'm going to bet over kind of a free run. Maybe it pushes with a 4-2 final, but minus 110. Edmonton, Vancouver, 4-2 final. We're going over. Skinner give up a bunch. Could be 3-3 at the break. We're going over. 4-3 final. Very possible. Edmonton Vancouver over 6 for minus 110”
VAN 5, EDM 4 — Combined 9; over 6 covers.
“So let's get home first half team total over 56 and a half minus 115 for that. It's just a straight principal play. We're going to fire on it whenever the number is this low. We're going to take Boston at home over 56 and a half team total in the first half for 1.15 units.”
Boston Celtics Over 56.5 (1st Half Team Total): Boston Celtics scored 59; over 56.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 59; line 56.5)
“Over 218 in game number one for Dallas at Oklahoma City.”
OKC 117, DAL 95 — Combined 212; over 218 busts.
“Indiana, New York over 217, 1.1 units.”
NY 121, IND 117 — Combined 238; over 217 covers.
“Denver minus five and a half for 1.1 units.”
DEN 80, MIN 106 — Denver Nuggets margin -26 vs line -5.5; busts.
“I'm going to bet the over, over five and a half at plus 105 for the Bruins and the Panthers.”
FLA 1, BOS 5 — Combined 6; over 5.5 covers.
“We're going to put a flag down after game one. Hurricanes to win the series plus 120. DraftKings has that at plus 120. One unit on Carolina to win the series at plus 120.”
The Rangers eliminated Carolina in six games. (Rangers won series 4-2)
“For a lot of these guys, it would be the first time they're playing in a game seven under 194, 1.1 units for the Mavs. Sorry, for the Magic and the Cavaliers in game seven.”
CLE 106, ORL 94 — Combined 200; under 194 busts.
“I'm going to bet under under five and a half for the Rangers and the Hurricanes in game one of the Eastern Conference semifinals.”
NYR 4, CAR 3 — Combined 7; under 5.5 busts.
“but Vegas Dallas game seven under five and a half for one minus one 25 for 1.25 units.”
DAL 2, VGK 1 — Combined 3; under 5.5 covers.
“but Canelo by decision, minus 105, one unit, 1.05 units down on it, taking Canelo by decision.”
Canelo Alvarez defeated Jaime Munguia by unanimous decision. (Alvarez UD: 117-110, 116-111, 115-112)
“Let's take a flyer. Plus 175, Steve Erceg to upset Pantoja in the main event of UFC 301.”
Alexandre Pantoja defeated Steve Erceg by unanimous decision, so the Erceg moneyline lost. (Pantoja def. Erceg, unanimous decision)
“I told you I'm going to take shots. I'm taking a shot. Three and a half is the rounds. minus 160 at Circus Sports in Vegas for this fight, not to go to the distance.”
Pantoja–Erceg completed all five rounds; the fight went beyond 3.5 rounds, so Under 3.5 lost. (Completed Round 5 (unanimous decision))
“Toronto plays Boston tonight. Look, again, I'm betting the same thing we bet in game six. Okay. If the Bruins win, I'm very happy. It's plus 120 on the money line for Toronto.”
BOS 2, TOR 1 — Toronto Maple Leafs lost; moneyline busts.
“We're going to do it again with Denver here to win game one, to win the series at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
Denver lost Game 1 to Minnesota, so the Game 1-and-series double condition failed immediately. (Timberwolves 106, Nuggets 99)
“So officially, I'm going to play the under one ninety nine for Orlando and Cleveland.”
ORL 103, CLE 96 — Combined 199; under 199 pushes.
“I'm taking the Orioles on the road minus 108. If you want to go run line, it's plus 140 for the Orioles on the run line. But I'm just going to go minus 108 at FanDuel. 1.08 units on the Orioles money line here today up against the Cincinnati Reds.”
CIN 0, BAL 3 — Baltimore Orioles won; moneyline covers.
“We're doing a three-leg Moneyline parlay. The A's have J.P. Sears pitching at home. The A's have been playing really well. They're playing the Marlins. They're only minus 130 on the Moneyline. A's win against the Marlins. Moneyline, Oakland. The Clippers are on the road against the Mavericks. That series, I think, ends. Mavericks are big favorites. Clippers look dead. Mavericks win minus 330 on the money line. And then the Nashville Predators, I think they'll keep their series alive. They will force a game seven. They'll win at home like Toronto did. They'll beat Vancouver, get back to a game seven. That's a minus 132 money line play overall plus 305 half a unit parlay. A's money line Mavericks money line predators money line home team chalk parlay.”
Parlay busts: Oakland Athletics — won; Dallas Mavericks — won; Nashville Predators — lost.
“This feels very similar to last year for the Boston Bruins. Not going to lie. Toronto, Moneyline, 1.1 units, minus 110. Maple Leafs to beat the Bruins.”
TOR 2, BOS 1 — Toronto Maple Leafs won; moneyline covers.
“So you could have gotten two or one a bit under one ninety eight and a half. But under, I think the under is a good play there, but I'll go with the first half or Philly and New York under one oh one and a half for one point one units.”
Knicks/76ers Under 101.5 (1st Half): The stated-scope total was 105 (54+51); under 101.5 — lost. (The stated-scope total was 105 (54+51); line 101.5)
“Cubs money line plus one Oh four for one. unit.”
NYM 7, CHC 6 — Chicago Cubs lost; moneyline busts.
“So 55 and a half. I'm going to play the over. This seems too low. Boston team total in the first half game five at home against the Miami heat. We're going over 55 and a half. First half team total minus one 10 for the Boston Celtics up against the Miami heat tonight.”
Boston Celtics Over 55.5 (1st Half Team Total): Boston Celtics scored 68; over 55.5 — won. (Boston Celtics scored 68; line 55.5)
“And he is at home here. But I like the Royals lineup. I like the Royals pitching. And I get plus money. I get plus 115. I'm jumping on it. Royals money line plus 115 up against the Blue Jays here for one unit.”
TOR 1, KC 6 — Kansas City Royals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to bet the under here. Oilers and the Kings under 6.5 at minus 125. 1.25 units down on that.”
EDM 4, LA 3 — Combined 7; under 6.5 busts.
“Indiana's laying four. I'm taking Indiana. Give me the Pacers. Too much offense. Too much pride. Too little. Too late for the Milwaukee Bucks and the awful hiring of Doc Rivers. put them out of their misery. Milwaukee loses at home. Indiana minus four for 1.1 units.”
MIL 115, IND 92 — Indiana Pacers margin -23 vs line -4; busts.
“Philadelphia money line minus one thirty five for one point three five units. I'll take the Phillies to win this game up against the Angels.”
LAA 5, PHI 7 — Philadelphia Phillies won; moneyline covers.
“All three goaltenders, they are playing well enough to win this game. Canucks, money line, minus 118 for 1.18 units.”
VAN 1, NSH 2 — Vancouver Canucks lost; moneyline busts.
“Okay, so OKC in basketball, in the NBA, up against the Pelicans. We're going to lay the four and a half points at minus 110 for 1.1 units.”
NO 89, OKC 97 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +8 vs line -4.5; covers.
“I'm going to fade Tampa until further notice. Moneyline Brewers, minus 108 for 1.08 units.”
MIL 0, TB 1 — Milwaukee Brewers lost; moneyline busts.
“I'm going to lay this. I'm going to go under six. It's juiced minus 120, but I'm going to jump on it. Vegas and Dallas minus 120 under six.”
VGK 2, DAL 4 — Combined 6; under 6 pushes.
“I'm going to lay the four and a half points here at Philadelphia. I think we see a win in a tying of the series for the Sixers. Philly minus four and a half for 1.1 units.”
PHI 92, NY 97 — Philadelphia 76ers margin -5 vs line -4.5; busts.
“I'm going to lay the two points here. Phoenix gets swept. I don't care that it's at home. T-Wolves continue to roll. Minnesota, minus two for 1.1 units.”
PHX 116, MIN 122 — Minnesota Timberwolves margin +6 vs line -2; covers.
“We just keep on betting the over lay the 1 units over six and a half here for the Oilers and the Kings You can probably find plus money out there but for the books I looking at here it minus 110 over six and a half Kings Oilers.”
LA 0, EDM 1 — Combined 1; over 6.5 busts.
“Number was 211 at open. Down to 208 and a half. Let bet the under OKC in New Orleans at 208 and a half”
NO 85, OKC 106 — Combined 191; under 208.5 covers.
“It's plus 105 under five and a half Dallas and Vegas at plus 105.”
VGK 2, DAL 3 — Combined 5; under 5.5 covers.
“I'm just going to be a bit under eight and a half. Orioles and the A's under eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
BAL 7, OAK 0 — Combined 7; under 8.5 covers.
“It's only minus 118 at FanDuel. I'm taking the Mets. Mets money line minus 118 for 1.8 units here to beat the Cardinals.”
NYM 2, STL 4 — New York Mets lost; moneyline busts.
“But I'm going to bet over five and a half for the Rangers in Washington here tonight and see if we can get that total to come on in and go over five and a half. at minus 110 for the Rangers in the Washington Capitals”
WSH 1, NYR 3 — Combined 4; over 5.5 busts.
“And finally for the parlay okay these are 250 255 and 230 money line bets All right So more than two dollar favorites coming in I taking the raise against the White Sox because the White Sox are the worst team in baseball. They're horrific. They're three and 23. They'll fall to three and 24. It's Eflin going for the for the race. Baltimore's got Corbin Burns on the hill up against the A's. Orioles are at home, minus 255, taking the Orioles on the money line. And then I think the Pacers beat the Bucs tonight. They're minus 230. They're at home game three. They won game two on the road. I don't give Milwaukee much of a shot here to win the game. Maybe they cover the six points, but the money line here, giving Indiana to go up two games to one on Milwaukee is a plus 179 parlay. raise Orioles Pacers money line parlay for the don't bet a parlay don't bet parlays parlay for Friday you guys love these Friday three leg parlays I'm gonna give you another one here okay raise Orioles Pacers chalk chalk chalk money line chalk play for a Friday for a don't bet parlays parlay for you at plus 179”
Parlay lost: Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays 4, Chicago White Sox 9 in the stated scope — lost; Baltimore Orioles: Baltimore Orioles 2, Oakland Athletics 3 in the stated scope — lost; Indiana Pacers: Indiana Pacers 121, Milwaukee Bucks 118 in the stated scope — won. (Tampa Bay Rays 4, Chicago White Sox 9; Baltimore Orioles 2, Oakland Athletics 3; Indiana Pacers 121, Milwaukee Bucks 118)
“Four and a half under four and a half quarterbacks taken in the first round at plus 300.”
Six quarterbacks were selected in Round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft, above 4.5. (Round 1 quarterbacks selected: 6)
“Okay. Referee is going to be all in on Philadelphia. Philly Sixers minus four and a half, 1.1 units”
PHI 125, NY 114 — Philadelphia 76ers margin +11 vs line -4.5; covers.
“Under eight, 1.1 units, Phillies and the Reds.”
CIN 0, PHI 5 — Combined 5; under 8 covers.
“But I'm putting one unit down. Philly, Philly. Phillies, Sixers. Moneyline, plus 149. One unit on that.”
Parlay cashes: Philadelphia 76ers — won; Philadelphia Phillies — won.
“It's minus 115. It's a cheap price. Tampa Bay, money line, minus 115 for 1.5 units.”
TB 3, FLA 5 — Tampa Bay Lightning lost; moneyline busts.
“nine of them went under going to keep that train rolling here under new Orleans and the Thunder under two, 10 and a half for 1.1 units.”
OKC 124, NO 92 — Combined 216; under 210.5 busts.
“I'm playing the over again, much like last night, Kings and the Oilers over six at minus one, 10.”
EDM 4, LA 5 — Combined 9; over 6 covers.
“Let's get another solid performance out of Minaya here for the Mets. And let's take the money line price. Mets plus one 20 here to beat Snell and company, get a, uh, a W to avoid the sweep here of the giants.”
SF 2, NYM 8 — New York Mets won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to lay it with the Timberwolves at home. Another home favorite. Minus three. Minnesota. 1.1 units. NBA play.”
MIN 105, PHX 93 — Minnesota Timberwolves margin +12 vs line -3; covers.
“Under eight and a half, 1.1 units. Red Sox and the Guardians, under eight and a half.”
CLE 4, BOS 1 — Combined 5; under 8.5 covers.
“We're going to bet the over over six for one point two units for Winnipeg and the Avalanche at minus one twenty.”
WPG 2, COL 5 — Combined 7; over 6 covers.
“Even money, one unit. It's a good bet. Yankees, Braves, even money, money line parlay for one unit.”
Parlay busts: New York Yankees — lost; Atlanta Braves — won.
“out of the last 13 games for the Knicks. That's gone over scoring a ton. Knicks, Phillies, Knicks Sixers, excuse me, the Phillies, Knicks Sixers over 209 for 1.1 units.”
NY 104, PHI 101 — Combined 205; over 209 busts.
“Another home team, Dallas money line wins it. Minus one twenty eight one point two eight units down on Dallas to beat Vegas here in game one of their best of seven series.”
DAL 3, VGK 4 — Dallas Stars lost; moneyline busts.
“Winnipeg, money line, minus 107. Jets to win the game outright against Colorado and take game one.”
WPG 7, COL 6 — Winnipeg Jets won; moneyline covers.
“Give me OKC. I'm going to lay the eight and a half. Thunder minus eight and a half for 1.1 units.”
OKC 94, NO 92 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin +2 vs line -8.5; busts.
“That would be Giannis Pacers minus one, 1.1 units. Give me Indiana here.”
MIL 109, IND 94 — Indiana Pacers margin -15 vs line -1; busts.
“another favorite I'm gonna lay it minus two and a half with the Dallas Mavericks here for 1.1 units”
LAC 109, DAL 97 — Dallas Mavericks margin -12 vs line -2.5; busts.
“hurricanes minus one fifty two, one point five two units to win game one and to win the series. Against the New York Islanders.”
Carolina won Game 1 by 3-1 and won the first-round series 4-1. (Game 1: CAR 3-1; series: CAR 4-1)
“I don't think Denver is going to completely roll the Lakers here. But I think they're going to win game one. They're seven point favorites. And to win the series. It's minus 165. To win game one. And to win the series.”
Denver won Game 1 by 114-103 and won the first-round series 4-1. (Game 1: DEN 114-103; series: DEN 4-1)
“Cubs, Phillies, Moneyline Parlay. It's a plus 119 at FanDuel Parlay for one unit.”
Parlay busts: Chicago Cubs — lost; Philadelphia Phillies — won.
“There you go. I'd rather take the plus money opportunity at plus 135, right? Other books have it at plus 110, plus 115. FanDuel has it at plus 135. KO, TKO, Devin Haney tonight up against Ryan Garcia. We're taking one unit going Haney by knockout.”
Devin Haney did not win by knockout or TKO; the bout went the distance and was later officially changed to a no contest. (Went 12 rounds; official result later changed to no contest)
“Miami, lay the one and a half. 1.1 units. Heat, win the game. Cover one and a half here for 1.1 units.”
MIA 112, CHI 91 — Miami Heat margin +21 vs line -1.5; covers.
“here's your same game parlay plus 462 okay number is sacramento minus one opened up with new orleans minus one and a half zion out number flipped went to sacramento total completely crashed we're down to 210 okay down to 210 on this total to 18 and a half at open. It's now 210. All right. I think the home teams win here. First bet is Moneyline, New Orleans. I think they played really hard at home. And in some ways, they've been better against the number without Zion. They know how to play without him. Like he's been out so much. This is not like a shocker. Okay. By any means. I think it's a team win. I think it's going to be a hard fought win. And I think you're going to see a W. I'm not really in love with Sacramento. The Kings, they're down a couple of key components as well here in this game. I'm going to take the home team. Pelicans, W. Win. New Orleans, Moneyline. Combined with the under, 210. And one player prop. Brandon Ingram is hurt. He's not healthy. He was on the bench before Zion got hurt. He was on the bench in crunch time in the last play in game. He's not good. He's not shooting. He's not going to the rim. Good wing defenders for the Sacramento Kings. And the total is 20 and a half shop around. There's 19 and a half out there, but there's also 20 and a half out there for Brandon Ingram points under Brandon Ingram under 20 and a half points. it a plus 462 parlay money line pelicans under 210 under 220 and a half ingrams points here tonight one unit plus 462 parlay on it”
Parlay busts: New Orleans Pelicans — won; Under 210 +210 — won; Brandon Ingram Under 20.5 points +20.5 — lost.
“But Moneyline Moneyline is plus 150 on Phillies Cubs. One unit. Phillies and Cubs Moneyline Parlay at plus 150.”
Parlay cashes: Chicago Cubs — won; Philadelphia Phillies — won.
“The prices right now aren't really all that bad, but minus 150, Cubs money line. 1.5 units down. Cubs to win the game. Okay. Beat the Marlins. First game of the series. Money line.”
The date-specific Marlins-Cubs game was postponed due to weather and rescheduled as part of an April 20 doubleheader. (Postponed; makeup April 20)
“but I'm going to bet the under nine and a half Red Sox guardians under nine and a half minus one 10 for 1.1 units.”
BOS 4, CLE 5 — Combined 9; under 9.5 covers.
“the sharks. It's their last game of the regular season. Let's go ahead and take it. Sharks to lose by more than one goal. Calgary on the puck line. Calgary laying a goal and a half, even money for the Flames up against the San Jose Sharks.”
CGY 5, SJ 1 — Calgary Flames margin +4 vs line -1.5; covers.
“Atlanta, plus 125. Money line for one unit.”
CHI 131, ATL 116 — Atlanta Hawks lost; moneyline busts.
“Miami, plus 170. Money line for one unit.”
PHI 105, MIA 104 — Miami Heat lost; moneyline busts.
“Royals. Run line. minus 120 for 1.2 units up against the White Sox here today for Major League Baseball.”
CHW 2, KC 4 — Kansas City Royals margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers.
“I'll take the point. Lakers plus one. They're three and one on the year against the Pelicans. They whipped him in the play in tournament earlier in the year. Give me LeBron and company. I like the Lakers here to win this game. Lakers plus one up against the Pelicans in the play in one other bet to give you guys.”
NO 106, LAL 110 — Los Angeles Lakers margin +4 vs line +1; covers.
“But I taking the dog plus 115 Washington on the road at the Philadelphia Flyers here for one unit All right”
PHI 1, WSH 2 — Washington Capitals won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to play this for tomorrow. OK, I think the basement's 25 to 25. I think you guys might get a better number than me, but I played it tonight because I think 225 is good enough over Kings and the Golden State Warriors over 225 for tomorrow for Tuesday.”
SAC 118, GS 94 — Combined 212; over 225 busts.
“I'll take the plus money here. Reds money line plus one thirty five outright to beat the Mariners who are just four and six at home. Five of one Reds. Keep it rolling here. Money line Reds plus one thirty five.”
SEA 9, CIN 3 — Cincinnati Reds lost; moneyline busts.
“Phillips Phillies on the run line. Phillies run line minus 120 for 1.2 units.”
PHI 2, COL 1 — Philadelphia Phillies margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Red Wings money line as a minus one twenty three parlay. Oilers money line, Red Wings money line, two leg money line parlay at minus one twenty three Oilers Red Wings here in the NHL.”
Parlay cashes: Edmonton Oilers — won; Detroit Red Wings — won.
“Plus 105 on Lucas Glover against Patrick Reed. I like Lucas Glover to win this head to head. He's been playing very well here in this tournament. Kind of a sleeper. Him and Max Homa. No one's talking about these guys kind of lurking head to head against Patrick Reed. He's the dog. Just like Dustin Johnson was the dog at plus 105. one unit Lucas Glover over Patrick Reed here in the fourth and final round of the Masters”
Patrick Reed shot 72 in the final round, beating Lucas Glover's 75. (Round 4: Glover 75, Reed 72)
“Let's end the year with nine straight overs over two 20 with Houston for 1.1 units.”
LAC 105, HOU 116 — Combined 221; over 220 covers.
“It's only minus 121 at Circa Sports here tonight on the Royals. I don't normally bet baseball on Sundays. In fact, I kind of despise betting baseball on Sundays because it's always really wonky. But the Mets are bad. I mean, let's just, you know, figure this out here. I mean, maybe they turn things around. Maybe they'll get better. But Reagan's has been tremendous. and he's just a guy that I want to, you know, when he's when he's pitching most nights, I want to be on Cole Reagan's and I think he's got a chance to early start. 1040 Pacific 140 Eastern time starts of day baseball and with the Mets who are two and six at home so far this year. Royals are two and three on the road, but the Royals won the game yesterday. Eleven to seven. They lost the first one six to one. So a rubber match here for this totals eight and a half minus one twenty one. I'll take the better pitcher and Cole Reagan's, although Butto in his start, I mean, he hasn't been horrible. 1.5 ERA for him. First start of the year against the Tigers back on the 4th of April. Six innings, one earned run, given up at home and a 2-1 win. But these Royals are raking. I think the Royals win the rubber match here. It's only minus 121 with Cole Reagan's on the mound. Royals money line, minus 121 for 1.21 units.”
NYM 2, KC 1 — Kansas City Royals lost; moneyline busts.
“Reds money line, minus 125, 1.25 units down on the Reds money line.”
CHW 0, CIN 5 — Cincinnati Reds won; moneyline covers.
“Penguins money line. One unit at plus 115 to go and beat the Boston Bruins here today on the money line.”
PIT 4, BOS 6 — Pittsburgh Penguins lost; moneyline busts.
“a plus 450, let's take him top five, half a unit, Cam Davis, half a unit, top five at plus 450.”
Cam Davis finished tied for 12th, outside the top five. (Cam Davis: T12 (+1))
“This is a minus 105 parlay. To not go the distance. All right. Rocket against Prozaka. I'm killing Urias for Prozaka. Prozaka. Yeah, Prozaka. Excuse me. I always kill his name. No, will not go the distance. Pereira Hill. No, will not go the distance. And Brundage Nickel. No. Will not go the distance. That's a three round, three round, five round. Will not go the distance. Finished inside the distance. Minus 105. One unit. The Rocket fight. Won't go the distance. Pereira fight. Main event. Won't go the distance. Bo Nickel up against Brundage. Won't go the distance. At Circus Sports, that's a minus 105 bet.”
All three UFC 300 fights ended inside the distance: Jiří Procházka stopped Aleksandar Rakić in Round 2, Alex Pereira stopped Jamahal Hill in Round 1, and Bo Nickal submitted Cody Brundage in Round 2. (Jiří Procházka TKO Aleksandar Rakić R2 3:17; Alex Pereira KO Jamahal Hill R1 3:14; Bo Nickal SUB Cody Brundage R2 3:38)
“The other bet is a three-leg Moneyline parlay. We are going to take Bo Nickel. Okay. Money line. It's minus 1400. It's come down, but it was minus 2000. Brundage is a durable fighter and he's a great story, but Nickel can't lose to that guy. This is Nickel's chance to keep going and build up himself up to a superstar. Nickel money line. Kayla Harrison is 10 years younger than Holly Holm. She's massive, like massive, massive fighting at a weight class that no one thought you could make weight at And she did Holly Holmes in big trouble I taking Kayla Hedder Harrison money line and the final leg Zerukian This dude a monster I know Dubronks and Charles Oliveira is live and dangerous. Okay. But Zerukian is just stupid. I mean, he's, he's a huge superstar. These are three fighters who are the next wave in the UFC. Harrison for the women, nickel for the grapplers and Zerukian for the all around mauler that he is. Minus one, 10, three leg money line parlay.”
All three UFC 300 moneyline legs won: Bo Nickal, Kayla Harrison, and Arman Tsarukyan each won their bout. (Nickal SUB; Harrison SUB; Tsarukyan split decision)
“I'm gonna bet the over Pacers Cavs over 233 for 1.1 units to baseball, two bets on the”
CLE 129, IND 120 — Combined 249; over 233 covers.
“minus one 12 taking the Toronto blue Jays against the Colorado Rockies minus one and a half runs on the run line minus one 12.”
TOR 4, COL 12 — Toronto Blue Jays margin -8 vs line -1.5; busts.
“Willie Zellatorris, my guy. 45 to one. Half a unit. Win the thing, Willie Z.”
Scottie Scheffler won the Masters; Will Zalatoris finished tied for ninth. (Zalatoris T9 (E); winner Scheffler (-11))
“other half a unit. We're taking it and putting it on John Rahm, 11 to one. The guy's a machine. I know he's a live golfer now, but machine John Rahm does very well at Augusta. John Rahm, 11 to one, half a unit.”
Scottie Scheffler won the Masters; Jon Rahm finished tied for 45th. (Rahm T45 (+9); winner Scheffler (-11))
“Cam Smith, top 10, bet it at a place where it includes ties. Don't get into the dead head, dead heat rules. Okay. Tough. Don't do it unless you're doing a parlay, but don't do it. Half a unit plus three 50 cam Smith top 10.”
Cameron Smith finished tied for sixth, inside the top 10 including ties. (Cameron Smith: T6 (-2))
“this was bed at FanDuel. So dead heat rules do apply, which stinks, but you get a pretty good price because of it. Rory and Brooks, both to come in the top 10 parlayed plus 474 half a unit now dead heat rules if one of them ties for 10th dead heat rules will come into play okay but rory and brooks parlay them together half a unit plus 474 to both come in the top 10”
The top-10 parlay lost: Rory McIlroy finished T22 and Brooks Koepka T45, so neither top-10 leg won. (McIlroy T22; Koepka T45)
“DJ's plus one Oh five. Superbook in Vegas has this odds. Spieth admitted yesterday that his wrist is bothering him. It flares up from time to time Now last year Jordan Spieth shot pretty well in the first round Shot a 69 It pretty good But in the four previous first rounds Jordan Spieth shot 74 71 74 75 He shot 66 in 2018, but shot 75 in 2017. So you go all the way back to 2017. He has two round ones in the 60s, 169 and 166. Dustin Johnson is a pretty consistent golfer. Dustin Johnson's a guy that you can depend upon pretty much for a 70 or a 71 in round number one. His average is 71 and a half for all four rounds. But in round one in 2023, he shot 71 in 2022. He shot 6921. He blew up, didn't make the cut, shot 74, but 65 and 68 in the two previous. In three of the last five rounds, round one at Augusta National for the Masters, Dustin Johnson has shot in the 60s. If you shoot 69 today, even with the weather, Dustin Johnson should beat Jordan Smith. I think Jordan shoots about 70, 71 today. 69 will beat him. Plus 105, Dustin Johnson. Round one over Jordan Smith for one unit. One plus 105. five round one only. Okay. Round one only bet.”
Dustin Johnson shot 78 in the weather-delayed opening round, one stroke better than Jordan Spieth's 79. (Round 1: Johnson 78, Spieth 79)
“numbers to 26 and a half over to 26 and a half. Houston at Utah for one point one units”
UTAH 124, HOU 121 — Combined 245; over 226.5 covers.
“Astros, minus 130. Money line to avoid getting swept by the Royals. 1.3 units down.”
KC 13, HOU 3 — Houston Astros lost; moneyline busts.
“money line raise minus 125 i think they get to the angels here they win the rubber match of this series i'm taking the race to win it minus 125 with littell on the mound here for tampa 1.25 units”
LAA 2, TB 4 — Tampa Bay Rays won; moneyline covers.
“I'm going to play the over 220 Toronto and Brooklyn over 220 for 1.1 units.”
BKN 106, TOR 102 — Combined 208; over 220 busts.