Host · 13-19 on settled picks
| League | spread | moneyline | prop | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 0-1 | 0-7-100% | 1-0 | — | 1-8-79% |
| NBA | 3-5-28% | 1-0 | — | — | 4-5-5% |
| WNBA | 3-1 | — | 2-1 | — | 5-2+36% |
“Indiana Fever in the midst of a five-game road trip. They've already won the first two games at Atlanta Sunday, at Toronto on Tuesday, and now they go from Toronto down to Dallas to take on the struggling Wings, and Indiana laying three and a half here. We're going to take the points of the Dallas Wings,”
DAL 91, IND 85 — Dallas Wings margin +6 vs line +3.5; covers.
“[9:22] But I think Golden State, if they could just break through, get some confidence, [9:25] finally get that first win against Minnesota in nine tries, that'll be big. [9:29] Moving forward, if these teams see each other again in the playoffs, [9:32] let's back the Golden State Valkyries, plus one and a half against Minnesota.”
GS 66, MIN 77 — Golden State Valkyries margin -11 vs line +1.5; busts.
“[7:47] I think the dream will be up for this game tonight after the tough loss in overtime to Indiana on Sunday. [7:53] So let's back the Atlanta dream plus four against the Las Vegas Aces as our WNBA. [7:59] Wrong team favorite.”
LV 82, ATL 97 — Atlanta Dream margin +15 vs line +4; covers.
“[7:09] We're going to look at a player prop with Dallas Wings guard Paige Beckers, [7:13] and we're going to take over 18.5 points with her. [7:15] And a couple numbers to mention with this prop,”
GS 78, DAL 70 — Paige Bueckers: 21 points vs over 18.5; covers. (Paige Bueckers: 21 points)
“[5:28] but the Jets are a six-point favorite against the Buccaneers. We're going to lay the points [5:31] with the Jets tonight.”
NYJ 16, TB 24 — New York Jets margin -8 vs line -6; busts.
“[5:14] But in this situation in Cincinnati, the Bengals laying six and a half to the Lions. [5:19] We're going to take the points with Detroit here. [5:22] Now, the Lions did lose a quarterback this week, Teddy Bridgewater. [5:24] He retired. [5:25] So now he obviously will not be there for Detroit since we won't see Jared Goff. [5:31] But you have Luke Altmyer, the former Illinois quarterback. [5:34] He's going to get time. [5:35] Also, Josh Dobbs, who bounced around a little bit. [5:37] He's been a quarterback in this league. [5:39] He played for Minnesota a few years ago and saw some moderate success when he was in. [5:44] Meanwhile, for the Bengals, just so much pressure on them now. [5:48] And yeah, you're not going to see Joe Burrow, but Joe Flacco, he's there again. [5:54] And we know what kind of career that he has had. [5:57] And the Bengals, yeah, veteran team. [5:59] But this number, though, Lee, since 2022, Zach Taylor, head coach of the Bengals, they're 2-9-1, not ATS, 2-9-1 straight up in their last 12 in the preseason. [6:10] So they don't win these games. [6:12] This isn't even about, oh, they're winning games, not covering. [6:14] They're not even winning them. [6:16] So to lay this amount of points, I just don't trust it. [6:19] Maybe the Bengals do win by three or four. [6:22] But I'm going to take the points with the Lions here against the Bengals. [6:24] I just can't trust Cincinnati here. [6:26] Let's take the Lions as our NFL wrong team favorite.”
CIN 16, DET 14 — Detroit Lions margin -2 vs line +6.5; covers.
“[10:06] that they had back in July. [10:08] So let's take the Pittsburgh Pirates as a short underdog against the Miami Marlins [10:13] as our MLB. [10:14] Wrong team favorite.”
MIA 8, PIT 2 — Pittsburgh Pirates lost; moneyline busts.
“[6:49] of Washington over the weekend. They didn't look good. I think they bounced back tonight. White [6:53] socks off a couple wins over the guardians let's take the reds first five innings against the white [6:57] socks plus 140 at fan duel as our mlb was it wrong team favorite”
1-4 — Chicago led Cincinnati after the first five innings. (First five innings: Cincinnati 1, Chicago 4)
“[9:19] happen and you don't want to get stuck in that so we're going to look at the boston red sox tonight [9:24] First five innings are minus 108 at FanDuel, okay? [9:27] Minus a half run. [9:28] Okay, let me put that out there. [9:30] So you got to win by at least a run to win this bet”
0-1 — Toronto led Boston after the first five innings. (First five innings: Boston 0, Toronto 1)
“[7:28] a bit of a letdown here against Colorado. [7:30] Rockies should be a bit motivated. [7:31] Hunter Goodman, you know, still with the team, didn't get traded. [7:34] So we're going to go with Colorado at St. Louis around plus 128 at FanDuel. [7:40] Let's take the Rockies tonight. [7:41] Wrong team favored against the St. Louis Cardinals.”
STL 3, COL 2 — Colorado Rockies lost; moneyline busts.
“[9:35] He's a guy a long time ago. [9:36] Pretty good pitcher with the Dodgers, but he's bounced around a bit. [9:39] And he'll eat up some innings, but just doesn't deliver the strikeouts like he did a while ago. [9:44] So let's go under three and a half strikeouts for Walker Bueller against the Diamondbacks. [9:48] as our MLB hit and Jim.”
ARI 1, SD 5 — Walker Buehler: 3 strikeouts vs under 3.5; covers. (Walker Buehler: 3 strikeouts)
“[6:20] She had 20 points and four assists in that game, [6:23] and her prop is at 20, [6:26] I'm going with 20 and a half points and assists, okay? [6:29] So she has 21 combined points and assists. [6:31] We're going to go over that.”
Kelsey Plum recorded 19 points and 4 assists for 23 combined, clearing the 20.5 line. (Kelsey Plum 19 points + 4 assists = 23; line 20.5)
“[7:20] She's averaged 22 points a game in her past three outings. [7:23] We're going to look at her over on points and rebounds, 27.5. [7:27] half. So we need 28 points and rebounds or more.”
Angel Reese recorded 14 points and 10 rebounds for 24 combined, below the 27.5 line. (Angel Reese 14 points + 10 rebounds = 24; line 27.5)
“[8:21] So this is the time that they got to attack tonight The White Sox facing Sandoval who has been decent in his few starts coming into the Boston rotation But I think after this trip where they took three or four from the A swept the Dodgers White Sox have revenge on their minds Let go with Chicago as a short dog against Boston tonight as our MLB wrong team favorite”
BOS 14, CHW 2 — Chicago White Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“[11:39] He has pitched well against Arizona. [11:41] Fott has been good. [11:42] I don't think he can keep it up again. [11:44] Basically almost in a pick-em spot. [11:45] Let's take the Padres tonight over the Diamondbacks as our MLB. [11:49] Wrong team favorite.”
ARI 5, SD 1 — San Diego Padres lost; moneyline busts.
“[5:10] We're going to go with the Nationals tonight. [5:12] First five innings, they're laying 118 at FanDuel. [5:15] Foster Griffin takes the mound for Washington.”
1-2 — Washington trailed Atlanta 1-2 after five innings, so the Nationals first-five moneyline lost.
“[7:53] I'm looking at the Cincinnati Reds tonight, Lee. [7:59] They're plus 120 at FanDuel. [8:01] They're at Milwaukee, and this is a revenge spot for the Reds, [8:06] who were swept at home by the Brewers just last week. [8:09] And the Reds, even though they lost to Pittsburgh yesterday in the road, [8:13] they did take the first two in that series, [8:15] and they had won their previous four road games before losing yesterday [8:20] in a high-scoring game. [8:21] and Milwaukee, they dropped their final two to the Cubs at home. [8:25] They came back and won the first game with Jacob Mizorowski on the mound [8:28] and then lost the last two. [8:30] But Nick Lodolo goes tonight. [8:31] And again, Nick Lodolo, it's like playing bingo with him. [8:34] You don't know what number you're picking out when you get him. [8:36] You could have bingo or you could have a loser. [8:38] Like, it's simple as that. [8:39] He could be great or terrible. [8:41] But Lodolo, the last time he faced the Reds in the previous series last week, [8:45] only went four innings but did strike out six and allowed only two hits [8:49] and didn't allow a run. [8:49] So he did pitch well against his Brewers team. [8:52] Also the biggest underdog spot for Lodolo so far on the season. [8:58] I just think that here Cincinnati played better this weekend. [9:02] And you know they'll be focused. [9:03] They have Eli De La Cruz back in the lineup. [9:05] And the Brewers hitting a bit of a rough patch here. [9:08] Scoring just five runs in the last two games. [9:11] And Robert Gasser he getting the ball for the Brewers He pitched well in his last two starts but I think the Reds can trip him up tonight So let take the Reds over the Brewers as our MLB wrong team favorite”
3-5 — Milwaukee beat Cincinnati 5-3 on a Joey Ortiz two-run homer in the 8th; the Reds ML loses (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the Milwaukee Bucks. They're laying two and a half at Washington.”
WSH 109, MIL 99 — Wizards beat Bucks 109-99; Milwaukee lost outright and failed to cover -2.5.
“Creighton is at Xavier, and Creighton has struggled up late. They're getting three and a half points. We're going to take the points with Creighton tonight at Cintas Center against Richard Pitino's Musketeers. Now, Creighton coming off back-to-back losses to Nebraska has been very good this year. And Kansas State, who has not been great, but Kansas State went into Omaha, shot well, held off Creighton. Now, Creighton has not defended the three-pointer very well of late. Last three games, allowing 43% from three-point land. Now, you look at Xavier and Richard Pitino's first year, 8-3, an impressive start, but only 2-3 against top 100 Ken Palm teams. So, they've beaten a lot of bad teams. They also have a win over Cincinnati, but also Cincinnati you saw got blown out by Georgia a few days ago. But not so impressed with the scheduling for Xavier. Now a bit of a step up in class here in Creighton after a couple of poor performances. The last few games, I think that they will get on track here. So let's take the points with the Blue Jays. One word, Blue Jays against Xavier tonight as they have Big East play in Cincinnati this evening as our hidden gem.”
CRE 98, XAV 57 — Creighton beat Xavier 98-57 outright, so Creighton +3.5 covers easily (ESPN box score).
“They're in Charlotte, and they're a 3.5-point favorite against the Hornets, looking to snap a seven-game losing streak. They just lost to the Hornets back on November 28th, 123-116. They were blown out by Golden State in their last game by 32 points. So I got to believe Billy Dee is going to get them back on track. But here's another reason why I like the Bulls. So Charlotte has won three of their past five. They're playing a little better. That's fine. And they lost to Denver back on Sunday, hung around in that game. But I want to give you this, though, Lee. In their six home losses this year, the Hornets, these are the margins they've lost by. 9, 15, 13, 10, 17, and 16. So when they lose, they get blown out at home. Like, they are not losing close games. And I just think that Chicago here, maybe the break here with the weird schedule at the NBA Cup and teams were off for a few days. I think that can only benefit the Bulls being ice cold. Then maybe hit the reset button and you just lost to Charlotte in the last few weeks. I like the Bulls here. I'll lay the points with them on the road against the Hornets as our NBA hit Jim.”
CHI 129, CHA 126 — Bulls beat Hornets 129-126, a 3-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We're going to take Missouri State plus 18 and a half against Xavier as our college basketball hit and jam.”
XAV 75, MSU 57 — Xavier beat Missouri State 75-57, an 18-point margin that stays within Missouri State +18.5 (ESPN box score).
“So we're going to take the Kraken in the first period tonight against the Kings as our hidden gem.”
Kraken 3, Kings 2 (OT) — Kraken and Kings were scoreless (0-0) after the 1st period (Seattle won 3-2 in OT), so Seattle Kraken 1st-period did not win (ESPN scoreboard). (1st period: 0-0 (tie))
“Let's go with the Sabres, go with the Swords tonight against the Flames in Calgary, first period as our NHL hit and gem.”
Flames 7, Sabres 4 — Flames led Sabres 2-0 after the 1st period (Calgary won 7-4), so Buffalo Sabres 1st-period did not win (ESPN scoreboard). (1st period: Flames 2, Sabres 0)
“Harden is still playing well. He's still scoring a bunch. Atlanta's off a tough loss to Detroit on Monday, lost by a point. They played nine to last 12 on the road, Atlanta. So now coming back home, they played Denver coming up after this. I don't know if there's going to be a look ahead for that, especially after beating the Clippers. I just think that this spot here, L.A. has struggled, but the line's three and a half. There's something off there. I felt like there was something off with the Trailblazers-Raptors game last night. So, again, I don't like saying be contrarian, take this, But I just think the spot's a little off here. And the Clippers, after the Chris Paul fiasco, I think they play better tonight. They'll step up, and I won't be surprised they beat the Hawks either. So let's take the points with the Clippers against the Hawks in Atlanta for our second hit and jab.”
ATL 92, LAC 115 — Clippers beat Hawks 115-92, a 23-point margin; LA Clippers +3.5 covered (ESPN recap).
“let's go with the Portland Trailblazers tonight full game taken plus the five as our NBA hit and Jen”
TOR 121, POR 118 — Raptors beat Trail Blazers 121-118; Portland's 3-point loss was within the +5 line, so the spread covered (ESPN box score).
“I am going to take the three-way, which is basically a tie at the end of the first period, a fan duel. It's plus 170.”
Penguins led Flyers 1-0 after the 1st period (Sidney Crosby goal) en route to a 5-1 win; it was not a tie, so the first-period three-way tie bet lost (ESPN box score). (1st period: PIT 1, PHI 0)
“quarter play, Knicks and the Hornets. They meet in Charlotte. I'm going to take the Charlotte Hornets. About one and a half. Got a hidden gem here?”
Knicks led Hornets 37-31 after the 1st quarter, a 6-point margin; Charlotte +1.5 1Q did not cover (ESPN box score). (Q1: NYK 37, CHA 31)
“So we're going to go with the Atlanta Hawks. First quarter, it's plus a half point.”
Q1: ATL 34, SAS 28 — Hawks outscored Spurs 34-28 in the 1st quarter (San Antonio won the full game 135-126), so Atlanta +0.5 1Q covered (ESPN box score).
“tonight the blazers a two-point favorite and we're going to take lee the portland trailblazers i understand a hidden gem would normally be an underdog but in this case because the blazers have not been great of late we're going to lay the points with them now portland is off of a five-game road trip, and they went one and four. They lost the buzzer to Orlando, lost in overtime to Dallas. The only really bad loss was in Houston. They got blown out. Another they beat New Orleans, it was bad. And the Heat, they went back and forth with. But let me tell you this, though, Lee. The Blazers are three and two at home. They've not played a lot of home games so far. The five games they have played, the five teams they have played are all in the top seven in the Western Conference. They lost to Minnesota. They lost to the Lakers with Luka and Austin Reeves out, you know, LeBron's out, but they were heavy favorites in that game. And the Lakers had a, you know, a patchwork roster and they beat the Blazers, but Portland's beaten Golden State. They beat in Denver. And guess what? They've handed Oklahoma city. They're only lost the season. So Portland has had some confidence playing at home. Phoenix had started Oh, and four on the road. They've won their last two on the road, but they beat the Clippers and the Mavs who aren't good. and Phoenix just blew that big lead to Atlanta on Sunday at home. I just think that the Blazers bounce back here, back in their home court. They've had a tough schedule. Let's take the Blazers, laying the points with them against the Suns”
PHX 127, POR 110 — Suns beat Trail Blazers 127-110, a 17-point Phoenix margin, so Portland -2 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“Full disclosure, I'm based in South Florida, so is Lee, and I am not someone who just takes a team because they're here and they're the hometown team, but in this situation, I do like the Miami Heat tonight, getting five and a half against the San Antonio Spurs on the road, only four games in the NBA this evening. Now, as Lee mentioned before, the Heat, offensively, they have been on fire, and they torched Charlotte the other night. They put up over 140 against Memphis. They beat the Knicks already. They had a close loss to the Magic. The San Antonio Spurs with Victor Wemanyama, he's been great. He's averaging 31 points a game. San Antonio trying to move forward now from the Greg Popovich era. Going to get De'Aaron Fox back soon. He's been banged up. But San Antonio has also not beaten a lot of great opponents. The 4-0, they beat Dallas in the opener. They have Cooper Flagg now there, and they're trying to find their way with him. But also, they beat New Orleans in overtime. New Orleans is not good. They beat Brooklyn, who is not good. And they just beat Toronto, who is not a playoff team. So they haven't really been, they haven't really faced any competitive teams yet so far. And the Heat are already beating the Knicks, which was a good win. And even at Memphis is still a good win. But here's the number I want to give you, Lee, that last season, I know we're into this season, but last season, the Heat were 5-0 against the spread as an underdog after a game that they had an offensive rating of 125 or higher this year they had an offensive rating of over 125 against memphis who they play next the knicks they were an underdog they won that game outright against charlotte offensive rating over 125 now they're a dog against the spurs i like them tonight let's take the points with them against san antonio as our wrong team favorite love it um this miami heat team spacing has been great they uh I think they were tinkering with a bunch of different things in preseason, and you could see it. So he wasn't just using preseason. Eric Spolster was just to find out who was going to make the team. So trying to mold this team. So once they get back Tyler Hero, a couple weeks, look out. This team, they might run some teams out of the gym. But right now, like I said, San Antonio a little overrated here. And remember, Bam Adebayo, he loves to go up against these top centers. So one of the best top two, top three defensive centers in the NBA. He can also guard all five positions. Miami, one of the few teams that switches off with every single player, every position. So I think Miami's going to be fired up. And like I said, they should be 4-0. That game that they lost against Orlando opening game, they led almost the entire game just down the stretch. They had a lot of trouble in the fourth quarter last year. But, you know, they don't have to win this game. you know you're getting four and a half five points so i like the heat here plus the points”
SA 107, MIA 101 — San Antonio beat Miami 107-101; the Heat lost by 6, missing the +5.5 line (ESPN box score).
“We're going to go, Lee, with an underdog money line here. And we're going to take the Atlanta Hawks coming up Friday night in Orlando against the Magic. And at FanDuel, they're at plus 180.”
ORL 107, ATL 111 — Atlanta beat Orlando 111-107; Hawks moneyline covers (ESPN).
“We're going to back the L.A. Sparks in the first quarter tonight, laying the one against the Dallas Wings as our blowout special.”
LA 97-DAL 96 — The Sparks outscored the Wings 32-27 in the first quarter, covering the -1 first-quarter spread (ESPN box score). (Q1: LA 32, DAL 27)