“[14:00] But I think there's enough questions there to say, [14:04] at a point spread like this, [14:05] with a quarterback like I've got in Drake May on the other side, [14:10] I'll take the points with the New England Patriots. [14:12] I don't know if I'll be intrepid enough, gutsy enough, ballsy enough to take the Patriots to win outright in Seattle on banner night. [14:25] But to lose by three or less feels to me like Seattle wins this one at the gun. [14:31] Give me the Patriots plus three and a half.”
Nick Kostos
Host · 1005-1519-25 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 2-8 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 448 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | moneyline | prop | futures | total | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 106-123-12% | 41-45-8% | 103-266-30% | 39-98-34% | 28-24+3% | 6-12-36% | 1-2 | 324-570-22% |
| NBA | 102-111-9% | 28-38-19% | 35-36-2% | 19-27-23% | 4-3+9% | 7-13-26% | 0-2 | 195-230-12% |
| MLB | 14-15-7% | 87-98-9% | 5-30-73% | 10-23-39% | 19-13+13% | 4-10-37% | 1-0 | 140-189-17% |
| NHL | 9-14-15% | 54-79-17% | 7-26-60% | 8-12-25% | 21-20-2% | 1-3 | — | 100-154-21% |
| CFB | 78-91-12% | 11-16-23% | 2-0 | 2-18-81% | 2-8-62% | 3-3-6% | — | 98-136-20% |
| CBB | 59-68-11% | 18-24-17% | 2-1 | 4-10-45% | 6-2+43% | 12-10+13% | 1-0 | 102-115-9% |
| Other | 2-2 | 4-10-45% | 1-4-62% | 4-50-86% | 1-0 | 1-16-89% | 2-6-44% | 15-88-72% |
| EPL | 4-2+25% | 7-0+115% | 1-2 | 1-4-67% | 3-3-5% | 0-1 | — | 16-12+16% |
| WNBA | 4-4-5% | — | 3-4-18% | — | — | 1-1 | — | 8-9-10% |
| World Cup | — | 2-2 | — | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | — | 5-9-23% |
| UCL | — | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-1 | — | 0-1 | 2-7-59% |
Picks
2570 total · 19 pending“[19:41] Now look, we get there to Melbourne Australia week one [19:45] and the Niners are the walking wounded, [19:46] I might feel a little differently. [19:48] But as it stands right now, [19:50] I don't even need the points. [19:52] I'll take them, but I don't need them. [19:53] I think the San Francisco 49ers walk into Melbourne as the underdog [19:57] and walk out 1-0, beating the LA Rams.”
“[31:16] Caleb Williams and I think Chicago lays it on Carolina in week one I think a lot of people [31:23] will talk themselves into the Panthers. [31:25] Bears are regression candidate. [31:26] Okay, fine. [31:27] The public's going to back the Bears [31:28] and sometimes the public wins. [31:31] I like the Bears laying the two and a half [31:33] in Carolina.”
“[11:25] Bengals and the Bucs coming over tonight in Cincinnati. [11:29] Cincy, three and a half point favorites total, 51 and a half. [11:36] Baker Mayfield saying yesterday to the news media in Tampa that he believes the Bucs are being underestimated this year. [11:46] And watch out for us. [11:47] And everyone thinks we're going to be a losing team this year. [11:50] I actually don't think that's true. [11:52] Neither does the betting market. [11:53] And our friends at BetMGM, Tampa's the favorite to win the NFC South. [11:58] So can't be that much pessimism about Tampa if that's true. [12:01] But to a degree, I understand where Baker's coming from. [12:05] People like me are looking for reasons to like any other team in the division. [12:11] And Baker's dealing with his contract situation. [12:13] He's on a lame duck year this year. [12:15] And some people will say, well, he'll play with the chip on his shoulder and it's going to be great. [12:19] I think you could just as easily make a case that this is something that could erode the team as the year goes on. [12:25] The Vita Veya situation, we'll see how healthy the offensive line is come week one. [12:30] Is Emekig Buka going to be ready come week one? [12:34] As the summer has rolled on, it's going to be tough for me to not like Tampa in that division. [12:40] I said this last hour, just because of everything else that's going on in the NFC South. [12:44] So if I had to bet this game, I'd take Tampa. [12:47] I'm down on Cincinnati compared to what a lot of people expect. [12:50] A lot of people think the Bengals are just going to show up and dominate this year behind what I think is still a questionable offensive line. [12:57] And I'll believe this defense is good when I see it. [13:00] I understand Dexter Lawrence is there and Joseph Asai is there and we've got some new pieces in the secondary. [13:07] Okay, Al Golden still calling the defense and Zach Taylor is still the head coach. [13:13] I'm not going to like the Bengals. [13:15] And I don't love Tampa. [13:18] You give me more than a field goal? [13:19] I'll take Tampa, fire the cannons, and let's back what our friend Drew Dinsick said yesterday, the whale capper.”
“[13:18] You give me more than a field goal? [13:19] I'll take Tampa, fire the cannons, and let's back what our friend Drew Dinsick said yesterday, the whale capper. [13:25] One of the sharpest minds out there when it comes to handicapping the NFL. [13:28] He likes the under 51.5. [13:30] Good enough for me. [13:31] Under with the Bengals and the Bucs.”
“[32:15] You can't do it. [32:16] I won't do it. [32:17] I won't be a flip-flopper. [32:19] I won't be a fraud. [32:20] Skull, baby. [32:22] Viking clap. [32:24] Give me the Minnesota Vikings to beat the Green Bay Packers in week numero uno.”
“[52:20] so very much looking forward to that uh let wrap the show with our bets for tonight uh please please roy drop the dope ass beat and just a quick betting thoughts on the NFL games we didn get to for Week 1 Colts plus three and a half at home against the Ravens”
“[40:33] I'll say it [40:34] I'm wrong all the time [40:36] I'm fine with being wrong [40:37] I don't think I'm going to be here [40:39] I think they're going to have a bad season [40:41] I think they're clearly the fourth best team in their remodel [40:44] And I like the under on the win total, under 6.5 minus 115 at our show sponsor, BetMGM.”
“[12:08] And I'll keep saying it. [12:10] Dallas to make the playoffs, and BetMGM, our show sponsor, even money, plus 100. [12:16] I like that bet for Dallas to make the playoffs.”
“[1:29] First hour of the show devoted to the National Football League. [1:33] The Minnesota Vikings officially named Kyler Murray their starting quarterback, [1:37] and I officially am picking and betting Minnesota to make the playoffs this season.”
“[13:48] Will you be with me? [13:50] I'm guessing not based on how you talked about it. [13:52] Jets, because you know what's fun, right? [13:54] So like you said, Aaron Glenn is the worst coach in the league. [13:57] Maybe. [13:57] Yes. [13:59] Is it possible that Robert Sala is the worst coach in the league? [14:03] I'm taking the Jets to win week one on the road in Tennessee.”
“[33:24] drake may we thought i thought he was going to be really good i bet the patriots to make the [33:28] playoffs but it was a projection we don't always have the answer after one year we can think we”
“The point spread's 10.5. Am I crazy? Like, how is Cardinals not 10.5 the best bet of Week 1 in L.A. against the Chargers?”
“Are you ready for this bet? at our show sponsor, BetMGM, right now. Now, it's Monday, July 27th. So my suggestion is not bet the mortgage on this or even bet a dollar on this if you don't want to. We barely have any practices. Preseason hasn't started. Players can get hurt. Things can change. But as it stands right now, the Los Angeles Chargers in week one are a 10.5 point home favorite over the Arizona Cardinals and the total of the game is 46 and a half. Think about how we are viewing these two teams entering the year. The Chargers are one of the sexy teams, right? Mike McDaniel is now running the offense. Everyone, including me, this is like, oh, I've said it's like going from a Pinto to a Ferrari. Greg Roman to Mike McDaniel. Rashawn Slater, Joe Walt, one of the best, if not the best tackle tandems in the NFL, are going to be back. Justin Herbert, Jim Harbaugh, lots of positive buzz around the LA Chargers. Okay. The Arizona Cardinals. Favored at BetMGM to have the least wins in the NFL this season. Everyone thinks they're going to be terrible. Settled for Mike LaFleur as the head coach. Jacoby Brissett will be the week one starting quarterback, assuming health for this team. So one team in the Chargers all the way up. and the Arizona Cardinals expected to be at the bottom. Does that interest you already from a betting perspective? It interests me. For me, the Arizona Cardinals are actually not the worst team in the league. They're not. There's legit talent on defense, especially if they stay healthy. The offense, actually, I'm not saying they're good, but they are way better than the Miami Dolphins, for instance. the reason why the Cardinals are favored plus 200 at BetMGM to have the least number of wins in the NFL is because they play in the impossible NFC West. And they're going to lose six games in division, two to the Rams, two to the Seahawks, two to the Niners. And I admit that. And I think it's likely that Jacoby Brissett, Gardner Minshew, and Carson Beck will all start games this year for Arizona at quarterback. They are not going to be good. They could have the first pick in the draft when it's all said and done. But in week one, Jacoby Brissett starting. Everyone loves the Chargers and are making it like the Chargers. This could be they could play in the Super Bowl this year in their home stadium in L.A. Everyone thinks the Cardinals stink. You have a quarterback that's been there and done that. Good skilled position players and some good players on defense. And the defensive coordinator Nick Rallis was retained. Give me the Cardinals. Plus ten and a half on the road at the Bolts.”
“And I think Carolina, plus 300 to win the NFC South. My favorite bet for today.”
“I think the Phillies, JJ, are going to win the World Series. Listen, maybe this is the emotional heartstrings point. I just bet him at 17-1 literally 24 hours ago. I did because the number was really juicy”
“The betting application of this would be, week one, in Minnesota. The total of that game right now is 45 and a half. Packers at Vikings. I love the over in that game. And I understand we're months out. Just like, how are the Packers going to get heat on Kyler Murray? How's it happening? And I have enough faith in Green Bay to be able to score even on a Brian Flores defense with the talent the Packers have on offense. I like the over a lot in that game.”
“in Minnesota. Green Bay at BetMGM, about a one, one and a half point road favorite, total in the game of 45 and a half. Now, we don't know if Micah Parsons is going to be good to go. It feels like the early reporting, things can change, is that he probably won't be ready for week one, but I don't say that with a ton of confidence. And again, that's not an opinion, that's kind of like the reporting that's been out there, is he may not be ready for a couple weeks into the season. So I'm going to assume for right now that Micah Parsons does not play. I'll just keep saying it. Minnesota last year went 9-8 with J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer. A winning record with those three quarterbacks. I know Jonathan Gernard is now in Philly. I get it. But Brian Flores is the best defensive coordinator in the league. With apologies to Vic Fangio, Steve Spagnuolo, and others, I'll take Flores number one. And he's back. I still have a lot of faith in Kevin O'Connell as an offensive mind, and I am willing to say that it's more on J.J. McCarthy, and I can be wrong, that's my opinion, more on McCarthy than a proven head coach and offensive coach in Kevin O'Connell. Enter Kyler Murray. I told you this before the Vikings signed him and after the deal was inked. I said, if the Vikings sign Kyler Murray, this is a playoff team this year in the NFC. They signed Kyler Murray, and I told you, this is a playoff team this year in the NFC. So week one, Vikings Packers in Minnesota. We can do this song and dance as to who's going to win this quarterback competition. There is no competition. Kyler Murray will be the starter if he's healthy. I'll put my money where my mouth is. I'll take the Vikings and Kyler Murray to beat the Packers in Minnesota in week numero uno.”
“If they stay healthy, I think we'll be looking back at this price, 17 to 1 for the Niners, and saying, man, remember that? Remember that. tomorrow on the show, we'll get into more of the teams on the odds board, but wanted to draw the line there. The Niners, my way too early pick, I reserve the right to change my mind, but that's where I am at right now.”
“[53:27] So two bets that I do like. [53:28] I'm going to keep riding the San Diego Padres against the Mets. [53:31] And how about Fernando Tatis Jr.? [53:33] Fernando Tatis getting the job done, [53:35] robbing a Francisco Lindor Grand Slam yesterday, [53:37] hitting a couple homers. [53:39] Give me the Padres, minus 140 against the Mets.”
NYM 4, SD 2 — San Diego Padres lost; moneyline busts.
“[53:41] And I bet Toronto yesterday against the Tampa Bay Rays, [53:44] and Toronto won the game 10-5. [53:46] The Jays, don't be shocked if Toronto is in the AL playoffs [53:50] when it's all said and done as the third wildcard team. [53:53] They are a big dog tonight. [53:54] against the Tampa Bay Rays [53:57] with Max Scherzer on the bump [53:58] against Drew Rasmussen. [53:59] First pitch, 640. [54:01] I'll take Toronto plus 170 [54:02] for the Blue Jays to keep hitting, [54:04] stay hot. [54:05] Give me the Blue Jays plus 170.”
TB 7, TOR 6 — Toronto Blue Jays lost; moneyline busts.
“[41:37] Horrible. [41:38] because if Rodon gets activated, [41:42] and he's going to start tonight against the Orioles. [41:44] Spoiler alert, I think the Orioles are going to beat the Yankees tonight. [41:46] I'm betting Baltimore.”
BAL 1, NYY 3 — Baltimore Orioles lost; moneyline busts.
“[54:03] Okay, some baseball bets to wrap up the show. [54:05] Chicago White Sox. [54:07] White hot right now. [54:08] See what I did there. [54:09] They are pretty big-sized dogs tonight on the road at the Cubs with Luis Castillo pitching. [54:15] Give me the White Sox plus 140. [54:16] Give me the White Sox to beat the Cubs tonight in Wrigley Field.”
CHC 7, CHW 5 — Chicago White Sox lost; moneyline busts.
“[54:20] And look, Mets are playing great baseball since the trade deadline. [54:23] Their offense has been raking. [54:24] I don't care. [54:25] The Padres are hot. [54:26] Give me the Padres at even money to go on the road and beat Nolan McClain and the Mets today with Walker Bueller on the mound. [54:32] So Padres plus 105, White Sox plus 140.”
NYM 2, SD 1 — San Diego Padres lost; moneyline busts.
- Philadelphia Phillies won
- Tampa Bay Rays won
“[54:35] And let's use that parlay boost token we've been promoting during the show on the 2008 Memorial World Series parlay. [54:43] For those that don't remember that World Series, that is the Phillies and the Rays. [54:48] The Phillies, a minus 250 favorite tonight against the Miami Marlins. [54:51] Give me the fills and give me the raise to avoid a four-game sweep at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles. [54:57] That parlay, Tampa and Philly, pays plus 124.”
Parlay cashes: Philadelphia Phillies — won; Tampa Bay Rays — won.
- Milwaukee Brewers won
- New York Yankees lost
“[46:24] if I had to bet the Brewers-Dodgers game, [46:26] I actually think I would bet Milwaukee as a dog. [46:28] Roki Sasaki pitching for the Dodgers. [46:30] Pretty big favorite. [46:31] Brewers have lost a couple in a row. [46:33] I want to chalk that up more to San Diego. [46:35] I might put a couple. [46:36] You know what? [46:37] How about a little, a small bet, [46:39] Brewers-Yankees two-team parlay today [46:41] in Major League Baseball.”
Parlay busts: Milwaukee Brewers — won; New York Yankees — lost.
“[46:48] So Green Bay is a three-point favorite [46:50] on the road against Pittsburgh tonight. [46:52] We're going to see Green Bay starters [46:53] play a little bit in this game, but not Pittsburgh starters. [46:56] Okay, so Tyrod Taylor's going to play for Green Bay, of course, [46:59] who's Jordan Love's backup, but I think you're going to have [47:02] Pittsburgh quarterbacks who are all dying to be on the team [47:04] in Drew Aller, in Mason Rudolph, and in Will Howard. [47:08] Now that the number is a full three, give me the Pittsburgh Steelers [47:11] plus three against the Green Bay Packers.”
PIT 28, GB 9 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +19 vs line +3; covers.
“[47:13] I will play Patriots Moneyline against the Indianapolis Colts [47:19] and bet against Anthony Richardson and bet against Riley Leonard. [47:23] Tommy DeVito. [47:24] It's a Tommy DeVito, baby. [47:27] Going to play a lot. [47:28] And then Bear Morton, who was in college football last year for Texas Tech. [47:32] You know what? [47:33] Let's play the Patriots to win the game. [47:35] I think we get a good Tommy DeVito game. [47:37] Patriots plus 135 on the money line.”
NE 13, IND 13 — New England Patriots tied; moneyline pushes.
“[47:39] We are going to see in this Cardinals-Raiders game. [47:42] The Raiders have the perfect preseason quarterback depth chart. [47:45] Cousins, Mendoza, AOC. [47:47] We just broke up with her fiancé. [47:50] And I don't care where you lean politically. [47:51] AOC's hot. [47:52] Just saying. [47:53] The Raiders have three good quarterbacks. [47:55] The Cardinals have three good quarterbacks for preseason. [47:57] Jacoby Brissett, Gardner Minshew, Carson Beck, over 42.5, Cardinals and Raiders.”
LV 14, ARI 27 — Combined 41; over 42.5 busts.
“[48:02] And then the Tennessee Titans quarterbacks. [48:04] Cam Ward's going to play tonight. [48:06] Mitchell Trubisky, former second overall pick in the draft. [48:09] And Will Levis is the best third quarterback in the NFL, [48:12] going up against maybe a little Mac Jones and then Adrian Martinez for the Niners. [48:16] Big number. [48:17] I'll lay it. [48:17] Tennessee minus six.”
SF 13, TEN 19 — Tennessee Titans margin +6 vs line -6; pushes.
“[52:35] Okay, bets for tonight. [52:38] I'm hot right now. [52:39] So I'm going to extend myself a little bit. [52:41] And I'm just going to be honest. [52:42] This normally doesn't go well. [52:43] So do whatever the hell you want with these bets I'm going to give out. [52:47] The Detroit Tigers are playing great baseball right now and are basically like right up there with the Cleveland Guardians and the standings for the AL wildcard spot. [52:55] Detroit welcomes Cleveland into town to begin a set. [52:58] The guards have been getting bet a little bit from this morning. [53:01] I'll take the discount. [53:02] Give me the Detroit Tigers minus 125 tonight against Tanner Bybee and the Cleveland Guardians.”
DET 6, CLE 4 — Detroit Tigers won; moneyline covers.
- New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays won
- New York Mets lost
“[53:09] This is probably going to go poorly, but this is what I want to do. [53:12] I would like a three-team parlay tonight. [53:15] Insert your laughs here. [53:17] The New York Yankees to beat the Seattle Mariners. [53:20] Yankees minus 135. [53:21] Mariners losers are four in a row. [53:23] Let's take the Toronto Blue Jays minus 145 against the Red Sox. [53:26] Red Sox have lost three straight. [53:28] I would like to bet against the Boston Red Sox. [53:30] And let's keep riding the New York Mets. [53:32] My guy Nolan McClain on the mound tonight in Atlanta against the Braves. [53:35] Mets are playing better baseball. [53:36] Kodai Senga with the save last night. [53:38] Mets plus 110. [53:40] That three-team parlay pays. [53:41] plus 517. [53:44] So three-team parlay again. [53:45] Yankees, Blue Jays, and Mets.”
Parlay busts: New York Yankees — won; Toronto Blue Jays — won; New York Mets — lost.
“[53:48] And then, to finish it out, [53:50] I told you earlier, [53:52] I think the Dodgers are about to go on a big-time role here. [53:55] They host the Kansas City Royals again tonight. [53:57] Michael Waka Waka Waka against Blake Snell. [54:00] I bet it this morning. [54:01] Dodgers on the run line. [54:02] Minus one and a half was minus 118. [54:04] It's up to minus 135.”
LAD 5, KC 4 — Los Angeles Dodgers margin +1 vs line -1.5; busts.
“[47:26] We also don't get to bet against the Mariners. [47:28] They open up a set tomorrow in the Bronx against my Yankees. [47:32] So instead, let's stick with a team that we backed at the end of last week and got the job done for us. [47:41] I would like to ride a sentence that not a lot of people have said this year. [47:47] I would like to ride the New York Metropolitans. [47:53] the Mets quietly and I mean quietly are playing better baseball they swept the Cleveland Guardians [48:01] and then just took two of three on the road in Pittsburgh now tonight they start a set on the [48:06] road in Atlanta against the Braves worth noting the Yankees just took two of three from Atlanta [48:10] and like I told you Mets are playing better baseball right now so I'll take a shot on the [48:15] New York Mets tonight on the road in Atlanta Mets plus 25 in Atlanta also I was going to give out the”
8-5 — The New York Mets defeated the Atlanta Braves.
“[49:15] You make me bet this game, like I'm going to, [49:18] because it's the first football game of the year, [49:19] It will not be, it will not be, will not be a big bet for me. [49:25] Small bet. [49:25] Let's talk beer or pizza money. [49:29] I'll bet Haynes King. [49:31] What a sentence. [49:33] Haynes King. [49:35] Haynes King and the Carolina Panthers minus the one and a half.”
ARI 30, CAR 33 — Carolina Panthers margin +3 vs line -1.5; covers.
- New York Yankees won
- Seattle Mariners lost
“After last night's disaster. Ryan Weathers on the mound. Minus 200 against the Cardinals. With everyone's favorite house elf, Dobbins, starting for the Cardinals, JK's brother. Give me the Yankees, minus 200. And we are going to pair the Yankees with the Seattle Mariners minus 135 against the Detroit Tigers. Have a feeling that the Seattle Mariners are going to start playing better baseball. I think the Mariners will end up winning the American League West. So a Yankees-Mariners two-team parlay at BetMGM, about plus 161.”
NYY 2, STL 0; DET 8, SEA 0 — Yankees beat Cardinals 2-0 (leg won), but Tigers beat Mariners 8-0 (leg lost); parlay busts on the Mariners leg (ESPN box scores).
“So give me the Houston Astros tonight, minus 135, at home against the Toronto Blue Jays.”
TOR 3, HOU 1 — Blue Jays beat Astros 3-1; Astros moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“But the White Sox are going to beat the Yankees today. Ryan Weathers, hashtag toe in the slab. This is a game designed in a laboratory for the Yankees to lose. after what we saw last night, so I will lay the White Sox at a short price, White Sox minus 115 over my Bronx Bombers.”
CHW 2, NYY 1 — White Sox beat Yankees 2-1 in 11 innings; White Sox moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“I don't even need to mess with the Yankees to win the game Let's put the Yankees on the run line Yankees minus one and a half tonight On the road Against the Chicago White Sox”
CHW 6, NYY 5 — White Sox beat Yankees 6-5 in 12 innings; Yankees lost outright, so -1.5 run line busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm betting the Orioles again, fading the Detroit Tigers on Tarek Skubal watch. I expect them to trade Tarek Skubal. I think they're going to lose again today to the Baltimore Orioles.”
DET 14, BAL 0 — Detroit Tigers routed the Baltimore Orioles 14-0 on July 28, 2026; Orioles moneyline busts (ESPN).
“I'm betting the Orioles again today. I'm back on the baseball betting train now, now that we're approaching the deadline and the end of the season. I'm just going to fade the Detroit Tigers, who are favorites today. And I understand they have a pitching advantage here, Melton against Kramer. I will bet the Orioles today on the road in Detroit. I think the Tigers will lose again, my one bet for tonight.”
DET 14, BAL 0 — Detroit Tigers routed the Baltimore Orioles 14-0 on July 28, 2026; Orioles moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Bets for tonight. I'm going to bet against the Tigers. I think they stink, and I think they're on the march towards trading Tariq Skubal. I'll take the Baltimore Orioles tonight. against the Detroit Tigers.”
BAL 8, DET 5 — Baltimore Orioles beat the Detroit Tigers 8-5 on July 27, 2026; Orioles moneyline cashes (ESPN).
“So who wins? Spain are the favorites at BetMGM and a decent sized favorite at BetMGM. A similar-ish market to the France-Spain game where Spain were underdogs, which seems silly in retrospect, right? Spain is minus 165 to lift the trophy. Argentina plus 120. now I was wrong about France and Spain I was wrong about England and Argentina so take this with whatever grain of salt you'd like I think the number is short I would be this is it's a crazy thing to say because they're like the Jeter Yankees and the Brady Patriots so maybe I'll be wrong again and Argentina just wins and they're down at the end and they come back to win, which really, I guess, can't really surprise us at this point, right? Spain are way better. So was England, to be fair. But Spain is not dumb in the way that England's dumb. And Spain are not disorganized in the way that England are disorganized. Spain will take a lead and choke this game out and in the same way they did not allow Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele and Michael Olisse and the French attack to get going, you really think they're going to let Messi just run wild the way England did? There's no way. I'm not saying Argentina can't win. I just think it's going to be difficult, given that Spain is way better than they are. Give me Spain to win on Sunday. And you know, because I said before, Spain-France, winner of that game wins. I'm sticking with Spain. I'll be betting Spain.”
1-0 — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 on Ferran Torres' extra-time goal to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup (ESPN box score).
“It is time for the world's top stars to go head-to-head on the pitch. Grab today's odds boost token from BetMGM, join the excitement, and make your world's game moment. Activate your token for any world's game bet. For me, it's England to advance to the final, minus 125 today, against Argentina. Can't wait to see how it loses after France got stuffed into a locker yesterday by Spain.”
Argentina rallied to beat England 2-1 in the World Cup semifinal on July 15, 2026 and advanced to the final; England to advance loses (ESPN match report).
“All right, let's get to the bets for tonight. Laura, please drop the dope-ass beat. All right, you know I like France. I have France to win the tournament. I will be adding France to win in the 90. If the game goes how I think it's going to go, I think France scores a couple goals. Let's call it 2-1. France beat Spain. And I'm giving Spain a goal out of respect. I think France win, and I think France win in the 90.”
Spain 2, France 0 — Spain beat France 2-0 in the World Cup semifinal on July 14, 2026 (Oyarzabal penalty, Porro goal); France to win in regulation loses (ESPN match report).
“As far as the All-Star game is concerned, I'm a Yankee fan. I'm an American League guy. I'll take the American League for a couple bucks. I don't handicap the All-Star game, but I'd like to have action on it. Bet responsibly, please. A couple bucks for me on the American League plus 110.”
AL 4, NL 0 — American League beat National League 4-0 in the 2026 MLB All-Star Game at Citizens Bank Park; AL moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
- Morocco won
- Brazil won
- South Korea lost
“And here's what I am looking to do in order to make that happen. Now, we are reaching the final games of the group stages, so we'll have a bunch of games being played over the next few days. Here's today's parlay. I contemplated putting Bosnia in the parlay to beat Qatar, and if Bosnia wins, the United States will play Bosnia. So, by the way, American soccer fans, you want a winner in that game, not a draw. You want Bosnia or Qatar to win because then the U.S. gets to play one of those teams in the knockout round. So what we will do, Morocco to beat Haiti, Morocco minus 550, into Brazil with Neymar playing today, minus 325 to beat Scotland. Morocco money line, Haiti money line, and then tonight, South Korea money line against South Africa. That parlay at BetMGM. Brazil, Morocco, South Korea, plus 151 at BetMGM. I have placed that bet with my own money.”
Morocco beat Haiti 4-2 and Brazil beat Scotland 3-0, but South Korea lost 0-1 to South Africa, so that leg loses and the parlay busts (ESPN).
- Portugal won
- England lost
- Croatia won
“Now what I would like to do with today's action, a separate parlay that begins with Portugal. So Portugal, I need to win in both against Uzbekistan. If Portugal can't win this game, God bless. But I think they'll be able to. So this will be Portugal. England to beat Ghana. And I think Ghana's really good. Ghana won its first game. Ghana beat Panama. England's way better. England, I think, is one of the three best countries in this tournament, behind France and Spain. So I love England to win. So give me England to win. And then we will run that into Croatia to beat Panama. Now Croatia's minus 200, not as big a favorite. But this is a must-win game for Croatia. Croatia lost the first game to England. So Croatia, not a must-win game. I guess they could draw and then beat Ghana in the next game. But Croatia would like to win this game, obviously. And Croatia still has Luka Modric and others. So Portugal, money line to win. England, money line. Croatia, money line. Those three legs at BetMGM, plus 102. Portugal, England, Croatia, all to win.”
Portugal beat Uzbekistan 5-0 and Croatia beat Panama 1-0, but England only drew Ghana 0-0, so the England moneyline leg loses and the parlay busts (ESPN).
“As far as the NBA draft goes in betting it, it feels like there hasn't been an edge basically this entire cycle. That's what everybody says. I guess the one thing that I'd like to do, so I have the market here for the fifth overall pick to the Clippers. Heaton Woggler is minus 120. Remember what Jeff Goodman said earlier in the show. He thinks it's going to be Mikel Brown Jr., plus 275. A couple bucks on Mikel Brown Jr. to go fifth overall tonight to the Los Angeles Clippers.”
The Los Angeles Clippers selected Keaton Wagler with the fifth overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, not Mikel Brown Jr. (NBA.com).
- Argentina won
- France won
- Portugal won
“let's close out the show with my bets for tonight in the world of sports can you please drop the dope ass beat all right so i've got a world cup money line parlay cooking that i feel like is of course i think it's going to win i'm going to place the bet so the bet is argentina to beat Austria today, minus 220 at BetMGM. So the Argentines to win against Austria. Then we will run that into France to win against Iraq. And I thought Iraq was pretty decent in its opener, but I think France is the best team. So Argentina, Moneyline, parlayed with Iraq, Moneyline. And we will take that into tomorrow, Portugal to beat Uzbekistan. And if you parlay those three results together to win Argentina, France, and Portugal at BetMGM, that three-leg parlay, minus 111. Now, I have no interest in betting the Norway-Senegal game. I want to watch that game and see what happens. And then Jordan and Algeria, not really sure if I'm being candid. So France, Argentina, Portugal, minus 111 at BetMGM.”
All three legs won: Argentina beat Austria 2-0, France beat Iraq 3-0, and Portugal beat Uzbekistan 5-0, so the moneyline parlay cashes (ESPN).
“The way I am going to make it legendary today with BetMGM is by betting England to beat Croatia. I feel very, very confident in that.”
England 4, Croatia 2 — England beat Croatia 4-2 in group play; England moneyline wins (ESPN).
“I was telling Saruti during the break, I don't love the card today, unfortunately, during the World Cup. For the World Cup. Spain is going to kill Cape Verde. That game starts in six minutes. It could be like 15-0. The total of the game is three and a half. You know what? For bleeps and giggles, I'll place a small bet on the over just for something to cheer for.”
0-0 — Spain and Cape Verde played to a scoreless 0-0 draw, well under the 3.5 total (ESPN box score).
- Belgium lost
- Uruguay lost
“Otherwise, I will money-line parlay Belgium against Egypt and Mo Salah. Belgium to win with Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia. Even though the Saudis did beat Argentina in the World Cup in 2022, my mom was born in Uruguay, so there you go. Belgium and Uruguay both to win. Two-team parlay at BetMGM pays plus 124. That will be my soccer bet for today.”
Belgium 1-1 Egypt; Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay — Parlay busts: Belgium drew 1-1 with Egypt (no moneyline win) and Uruguay drew 1-1 with Saudi Arabia (no moneyline win), per ESPN box scores.
“Brazil-Morocco over two and a half this weekend.”
1-1 — Brazil and Morocco drew 1-1 (2 combined goals), under the 2.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Ivory Coast plus 240 against Ecuador to win.”
1-0 — Ivory Coast beat Ecuador 1-0 on Amad Diallo's 90th-minute winner; moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“And Japan-Netherlands over two and a half this weekend in the World Cup.”
2-2 — Netherlands and Japan drew 2-2 (4 combined goals), over the 2.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Ooh, and the Spurs have been getting bet as predicted. The Knicks are now a one-and-a-half point favorite at BetMGM. I said earlier in the show on my Odyssey Sports Minutes on Beat the Books, which runs on stations nationwide, I thought the Spurs would close a shorter price than they were. It looks like that's going to happen. Great. Let's bet the Knicks at a shorter money line price. Knicks minus 125 on the money line. Won 13 straight games. I'm not trying to catch the falling knife here. And I'm also a Knicks fan. Take it for what it's worth. Give me the Knicks minus 125 money line to win tonight and move within a game of a sweep for an NBA championship.”
115-111 — Spurs beat Knicks 115-111 in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, so New York's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“One bet for me tonight, and it'll be in the Stanley Cup Final. You know I'm betting Vegas. Had Vegas in Game 1. It was awesome. I think the Knights will win the series. The Hurricanes were lackadaisical in Game 1. And even if they come out and they're more with it tonight, and they're not taking breaks during the plays like Gatsas Bear Steady did on the hurdle game-winning goal, I still like Vegas. I think Carter Hart's going to play better tonight than Freddie Anderson. I like the Knights to win, and I was texting with a friend of the show, Ken Barkley, last night about this. In my opinion, not his. I think we will see lower scoring games rest of series. I do think Freddie Anderson will play better in that, and Carolina will be more disciplined, but I trust Vegas more. under 6 Vegas to win let's call it 3-1 Vegas tonight take a 2-0 lead”
Hurricanes 4, Golden Knights 3 — Carolina Hurricanes beat Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in Stanley Cup Final Game 2; Golden Knights moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“BetMGM players will receive an NBA Finals Ons Boost token. To use the token, add a wager made up of NBA playoff bets to your bet slip and activate the token. If you win the wager, you'll receive extra winnings and unrestricted bonus dollars. Download the BetMGM app and visit BetMGM.com today. So look, I'm betting the Knicks on the money line.”
Knicks 105, Spurs 95 — New York Knicks beat San Antonio Spurs 105-95 in NBA Finals Game 1; Knicks moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Another bet that I like for tonight. and we'll finalize the card at the end of the show. I really think if the Knicks are going to win, they will need good offensive games from both OG Ananobi and Mikal Bridges. Ananobi's number is 16.5 at BetMGM, juice towards the under, under 16.5, minus 135. And Mikal Bridges is 14.5, juice slightly to the over, minus 120. If I had to choose one, give me Mikal Bridges over 14.5 points. That will be a bet of mine tonight. Mikal Bridges over 14.5 points along with the New York Knicks on the money line. Perhaps that will be what I use my NBA Finals odds boost token on courtesy of our show sponsor, our friends at BetMGM who want you and yours to make it legendary.”
Mikal Bridges scored 9 points in NBA Finals Game 1 (Knicks 105, Spurs 95), well under his 14.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Mikal Bridges 9 points)
“and I will bet Vegas to win game one tonight on the road in Carolina.”
Golden Knights 5, Hurricanes 4 — Vegas Golden Knights beat Carolina Hurricanes 5-4 in Stanley Cup Final Game 1, winning on the road; moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Carolina is the betting favorite at BetMGM at minus 145. The Vegas Golden Knights at plus 120. I think this series is a coin flip. You could talk me into any outcome and I wouldn't be shocked. so if that's true and any outcomes possible Knights in 7 Canes in 7 Knights in 5 Canes in 5 sweep I wouldn't be shocked if anything happened in this series and if that's true then I want to lean into variance and I'm going to pick the series I have bet the Vegas Golden Knights to win the series and they are my pick, obviously, to win Lord Stanley's Cup. If I think it's a coin flip, then I'm taking plus money. Give me the Vegas Golden Knights to win Lord Stanley's Cup.”
The Carolina Hurricanes, not the Vegas Golden Knights, won the 2026 Stanley Cup, beating Vegas in six games (NHL.com recap).
“Now at BetMGM we have co-favorites. Spain plus 450, France plus 450. I think one of those two teams will win, and I'll give you more on the other teams that I think can potentially win. It's a small pool of teams that can actually win. Those are the two most likely. I think France is better. And I bet Spain a couple of years ago instead of France. France's backups, like their backup starting 11, would probably make the semifinals of the tournament. One last run for coaching great Didier Deschamps, who has won a World Cup, both as a coach and a player. One in 98 for the team that beat Brazil in France to win the championship, and then coached France in 2018. Star players everywhere, and you know Mbappe comes to play for country. Give me France plus 450 to win the World Cup.”
Spain, not France, won the 2026 FIFA World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final (FIFA official site).
“I have one bet that I will give out for tonight. So one Major League Baseball bet for me. And again, like we just went so long on the NBA. We'll do baseball on the show tomorrow. Didn't get to a lot of it today. How about the New York Mets? Winners of four straight games. I don't think they're going to the playoffs, but they're playing better. The Seattle Mariners are now in first place in the American League West. Feels like about time. Pretty big favorites tonight against the Metropolitans who are rolling coming into this game. Give me the Mets at a plus price tonight on the road in Seattle. The Metropolitans plus 120 at BetMGM to beat the Mariners in Seattle.”
SEA 3, NYM 2 — Seattle Mariners beat New York Mets 3-2 in 10 innings; the Mets moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“All right, great job by Bill. Let's get to the bets. Kenny, please drop the dope-ass beat. All right, we want you to be part of the playoff action when you bet with boosted odds. Activate your odds boost token for any bet on the NBA playoffs, and you'll receive a bigger payout if your bet wins. Get ready for tip-off with BetMGM. Download the BetMGM app today. All right, I bet the Rockies last night, and Otani hit a leadoff homer, and then lowered a ZR rate of .82. I did have the Canes on the puck line, which was great at plus money, but I'm staying away from baseball for at least a little bit here. Give me the San Antonio Spurs tonight. I'll lay the 3.5 OKC 0-3 in this era in Game 6s. I think the Spurs win tonight and the Thunder win Game 7 on Saturday night.”
SA 118, OKC 91 — San Antonio Spurs beat Oklahoma City Thunder 118-91 in Game 6 of the Western Conference Final, covering -3.5 (ESPN recap).
“And I'll back our friend Anthony DiBondo. I'll bet Arsenal to lift the cup, so that is a different bet than Arsenal in the 90 minutes. You have to click on BetMGM to get the big menu of bets. To lift the cup adds in extra times and potential penalties. So there's the 90-minute three-way, and then there's to lift the cup, which has everything built into it. Arsenal plus 115 to lift the cup.”
1-1 — Paris Saint-Germain beat Arsenal 4-3 on penalties after a 1-1 draw in the 2026 UEFA Champions League final; Arsenal did not lift the trophy (ESPN match report).
“Under 2.5 for the game, and I'll drink the juice at minus 130.”
1-1 — Arsenal and PSG combined for only 2 goals (Havertz 6', Dembele 65' pen) through the 1-1 draw and scoreless extra time before PSG won on penalties; total match goals of 2 is under the 2.5 line (ESPN match report).
“We want you to be part of the playoff action when you bet with boosted odds. Activate your odds boost token for any bet on the NHL playoffs. You'll receive a bigger payout if your bet wins. Get ready for puck drop with BetMGM. Download the BetMGM app today. So I think I'm just going to do it. I'm going to bet the Canes on the puck line tonight. I think Carolina's got this here. And Carolina will. It'll be a low-scoring game. Carolina will be winning at the end. An empty netter. Small bet on the Canes on the puck line, plus 165.”
CAR 4, MTL 0 — Carolina Hurricanes beat Montreal Canadiens 4-0 in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Final, covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“And I'd like to donate some money to the sportsbooks today. So last night for the Dodgers, Shohei Otani got hit in the hands with a pitch. The pitch. He's pitching tonight. They're minus 425 against the Rockies. Can I interest anyone in a small wager on the Colorado Rockies tonight? Anyone? Probably a donation to the sportsbooks. But I'll take a shot on Colorado. Small bet on Colorado.”
LAD 4, COL 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers beat Colorado Rockies 4-1; the Rockies moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Be part of the playoff action when you bet with boosted odds. Activate your odds boost token for any bet on the NBA playoffs, and you'll receive a bigger payout if your bet wins. Get ready for tip-off with BetMGM. Download the BetMGM app today. All right, let's get to the bets for tonight. Kenny Henderson, please drop the dope-ass beat. now if the san antonio spurs win tonight and i think they're going to i have a small bet on the spurs that's my bet for tonight i'm i'm not betting baseball right now maybe tomorrow when there's no nba and i guess you know you like the knights to win tonight although i'm just gonna hope and pray the avalanche can extend the series at least a little bit if the thunder lose tonight the takes, some of which will be mine, on SGA and Chad Holmgren are going to be electric and will feed families. I don't know what the adjustment is for Mark Dagnalt. There could be something I'm missing. Obviously, that can be the case. I think they're up against it if J-Dub doesn't play and we know AJ Mitchell's out. I think the Spurs win tonight, game five on the road in OKC. Forget about the points. Give me the Spurs on the money line.”
OKC 127, SA 114 — Thunder beat Spurs 127-114 in Western Conference Final Game 5; Spurs lost outright, so the San Antonio moneyline bet lost (ESPN).
- Colorado Avalanche lost
- Oklahoma City Thunder won
“I'm going to go back to the well with the Moneyline Parlay tonight Give me the Colorado Avalanche Parlayed With the Oklahoma City Thunder both to win Plus 113 at BetMGM Abs and Thunder both to win”
Golden Knights 4-2 Avalanche; Thunder 122-113 Spurs — Golden Knights beat Avalanche 4-2 in Western Conference Final Game 1 (Avalanche leg lost), while Thunder beat Spurs 122-113 in Western Conference Final Game 2 (Thunder leg won); the parlay needed both legs and busted (ESPN).
“I've been saying for a little bit now, whoever won this series, Montreal and Buffalo, I was going to bet that team against Carolina. I will bet Lehebaton to win the Eastern Conference here and beat the Carolina Hurricanes.”
The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montreal Canadiens 4-1 in the Eastern Conference Final, clinching with a 6-1 Game 5 win, so Montreal did not win the series (ESPN).
- New York Knicks
- New York Mets
“i don't got a lot going on tonight there's no hockey tonight there's one nba game you know i want the knicks to win i would never bet against the knicks so here's what i'm gonna do i'm gonna parlay knicks money line with the mets to win tonight on the road at the nationals because The Mets are hot right now, so give me a two-team Moneyline Parlay. Small card for me tonight. I'm going to be living and dying with the Knicks. Knicks-Mets, two-team Moneyline Parlay, courtesy of our friends at BetMGM.”
Knicks 115-104 Cavaliers; Nationals 9-6 Mets — Knicks beat Cavaliers 115-104 in OT in ECF Game 1, but Nationals beat Mets 9-6, so the Mets moneyline leg lost and the two-team parlay busted (ESPN).
“I'll take the Thunder in five to win the Western Conference.”
The Spurs beat the Thunder 4-3 in the Western Conference Finals, winning Game 7 111-103, so Oklahoma City did not win the series in 5 games (ESPN recap).
“I've been saying all postseason long, Carolina was my bet to win the cup. I'm not getting shaken off of that.”
The Carolina Hurricanes won the 2026 Stanley Cup, beating the Vegas Golden Knights in the Final, so the Hurricanes futures bet cashed (NHL.com).
“The Dodgers are minus 155. I'm going to put a couple bucks, not a big bet, but I'll put a couple bucks on the Padres at plus 130 tonight. Give me the Padres plus 130 against the Dodgers.”
SD 1, LAD 0 — The San Diego Padres beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 1-0 on May 18, 2026, so the Padres moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
“You know I'm betting the Montreal Canadiens. I have them for the series. I'll double dip. Canadiens, even money tonight to beat the Sabres in Buffalo and advance to the Eastern Conference Final.”
MTL 3, BUF 2 — Montreal Canadiens beat Buffalo 3-2 in overtime in Game 7 of the second round, so the Canadiens moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
“And in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final. Man, I can't wait to come on the air tomorrow and see how wrong I am. I'll lay the 6.5 with Oklahoma City against the Spurs.”
OKC 115, SA 122 — The Spurs beat the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, so Oklahoma City lost outright and failed to cover -6.5 (ESPN box score).
“So no NBA bets because Game 6s are tomorrow. Montreal and Vegas tonight for yours truly in the NHL.”
MTL 6, BUF 3 — Canadiens beat Sabres 6-3 in Game 5 on May 14, 2026, so the Montreal moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“So no NBA bets because Game 6s are tomorrow. Montreal and Vegas tonight for yours truly in the NHL.”
VGK 5, ANA 1 — Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1 in Game 6 on May 14, 2026, so the Golden Knights moneyline won (ESPN recap).
“Give me Montreal to win the series minus 105.”
4-3 — Montreal Canadiens won the Eastern Conference second-round series over Buffalo 4 games to 3, clinching Game 7 in overtime on May 18, 2026, so the series bet on Montreal won (NHL.com).
“But what I do feel comfortable, and I'm not betting Colorado, Minnesota. I have Colorado to win the cup. I'm good on that for right now.”
Carolina Hurricanes won the 2026 Stanley Cup, beating Vegas Golden Knights in the Final; Colorado Avalanche did not win the Cup, so the futures bet lost (NHL.com).
“Give me Cade Cunningham over 26.5 points and Donovan Mitchell over 27.5 points.”
CLE 117, DET 113 — Cade Cunningham scored 39 points as the Cavaliers beat the Pistons 117-113 in overtime in Game 5 on May 13, 2026, covering the over 26.5 (ESPN box score). (Cade Cunningham 39 points)
“Give me Cade Cunningham over 26.5 points and Donovan Mitchell over 27.5 points.”
CLE 117, DET 113 — Donovan Mitchell scored 21 points as the Cavaliers beat the Pistons 117-113 in overtime in Game 5 on May 13, 2026, falling short of the over 27.5 (ESPN box score). (Donovan Mitchell 21 points)
“Give me a small bet on Los Gigantes plus 200 on the road at the Dodgers.”
LAD 4, SF 0 — Dodgers shut out the Giants 4-0 on May 13, 2026, so the Giants moneyline (+200) lost (ESPN box score).
“And at halftime, and you know, I liked the Cavs before the series. I bet them to win the series. I bet them in every game of the series.”
Cavaliers won the East semifinal series over the Pistons in seven games, advancing to the conference finals (Wikipedia).
“Look, you know I'm betting the Wolves. Ten and a half, fine. I'll take it. Give me Minnesota plus the points. With Anthony Edwards looking as good as he did in game four, I know Wemby's playing. I don't care. I'll take the Minnesota Timberwolves at a huge number.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — Spurs beat Timberwolves 126-97 in Game 5; Minnesota lost by 29, missing the +10.5 cover (ESPN box score).
- Montreal Canadiens lost
- Vegas Golden Knights won
“How about a two-team hockey money line parlay? Let's take the Montreal Canadiens to go up 3-1 on the Buffalo Sabres with the Las Vegas Golden Knights to go up 3-2 on the Anaheim Ducks. That Knights-Canadiens two-team Moneyline Parlay pays plus 182 at BetMGM.”
Sabres beat Canadiens in Game 4 while Golden Knights beat Ducks in Game 5 (OT); the Canadiens leg lost, busting the parlay (ESPN scoreboard).
“And one baseball play, the Cincinnati Reds had lost eight straight games to fall into last place in the NL Central. They're still above 500. They're still three games over. They've won a couple games in a row, and I'd like to ride this hot streak. Give me the Reds today. Cincinnati, minus 140.”
WSH 10, CIN 4 — Nationals beat Reds 10-4 on May 12, 2026, so the Reds moneyline lost (ESPN scoreboard).
- Cleveland Cavaliers won
- Oklahoma City Thunder won
“Give me the Cavs tonight to win. Send this back to Detroit tied at two. And I will parlay that. Cavs money line. Just give me Cleveland to win the game. With the Thunder to send the Lakers packing tonight. Cavs Thunder. Two-team money line parlay. Minus 115 at BetMGM.”
Parlay cashes: Cavaliers beat Pistons and Thunder beat Lakers on May 11, 2026, so both moneyline legs won (ESPN box scores).
“Give me the Avs minus 135 to win and take a 3-1 lead back to mile high.”
COL 5, MIN 2 — Avalanche beat Wild 5-2 in Game 4, moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Orioles tonight plus 150 against my Yankees.”
BAL 3, NYY 2 — Orioles beat Yankees 3-2 on May 11, 2026, moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“And I feel the same way about Vegas and Anaheim. Now, I've got Vegas to win the series. I've been saying since before the Stanley Cup playoff started, you know it, because you listen to the show, you watch the show, that the Western Conference Final will be Colorado over Vegas.”
4-2 — The Golden Knights beat the Ducks 4-2 in the second round of the 2026 Stanley Cup playoffs, advancing to the conference finals (ESPN VGK schedule/results).
“Give me the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't feel confident in it. This will be a small bet for me. The Cleveland Cavaliers plus three and a half tonight in game two against the Pistons. I'm a little worried about Donovan Mitchell, but I'm going to stick with what I said before the series. I'm not going to play Moneyline. I'll play the Cavs to keep the game close. Cleveland plus 3.5.”
DET 107, CLE 97 — Pistons beat the Cavaliers 107-97 on May 7, 2026 (Game 2); Cleveland's margin of -10 busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“You know I'm laying it with the Thunder. I think the Thunder will win by 20 tonight. OKC laying 15.5 against the Lakers.”
OKC 125, LAL 107 — Thunder beat the Lakers 125-107 on May 7, 2026 (Game 2); OKC's margin of 18 covers the -15.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“So no bet for me in the NHL, but I will have three baseball bets, and I teased them earlier in the show. Mets on the run line, minus one and a half at the Rockies for them to stay hot.”
COL 6, NYM 2 — Rockies beat the Mets 6-2 on May 7, 2026; New York's margin of -4 busts the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“Phillies on the run line, minus one and a half against the Athletics, Phils to stay hot.”
ATH 12, PHI 1 — Athletics beat the Phillies 12-1 on May 7, 2026; Philadelphia's margin of -11 busts the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“And give me the Red Sox to win four straight games tonight when they play the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park. So Red Sox money line”
TB 8, BOS 4 — Rays beat the Red Sox 8-4 on May 7, 2026; Boston's moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
“They're nine-and-a-half-point dogs tonight in San Antonio. I'm betting the Wolves.”
SA 133, MIN 95 — Spurs routed the Timberwolves 133-95 in Game 2; Minnesota lost by 38, well outside the +9.5 line (ESPN).
“Jay likes Bayern Munich to advance against PSG PSG won the first leg 5-4 Bayern is minus 132 advanced I'll use my Champions League odds boost and I'll take Bayern Munich a little afternoon footy to wet your betting whistle Bayern Munich to advance to play Arsenal in the Champions League final”
1-1 (PSG wins agg 6-5) — Bayern Munich and PSG drew the second leg 1-1 on May 6, 2026, but PSG advanced 6-5 on aggregate, eliminating Bayern Munich (UEFA).
“Phil's minus one and a half on the run line against the Athletics.”
PHI 6, ATH 3 — Phillies beat the Athletics 6-3 on May 6, 2026; Philadelphia's margin of 3 covers the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“Mets minus one and a half on the run line at the Colorado Rockies.”
NYM 10, COL 5 — Mets beat the Rockies 10-5 on May 6, 2026; New York's margin of 5 covers the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“I'll lay the Knicks tonight against the Sixers. I'll lay the seven and a half with the Knicks.”
NY 108, PHI 102 — Knicks beat the 76ers 108-102 on May 6, 2026 (Game 2); New York's margin of 6 falls short of the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“You know I'm betting the Wolves. Wolves plus 9.5 on the road at the Spurs.”
SA 133, MIN 95 — Spurs beat the Timberwolves 133-95 on May 6, 2026 (Game 2); Minnesota's margin of -38 busts the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“And in the NHL, give me the Montreal Canadiens plus 105 to win game one of the Eastern Conference semifinal series on the road in Buffalo.”
BUF 4, MTL 2 — Sabres beat the Canadiens 4-2 on May 6, 2026 (Game 1); Montreal's moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
“I told you earlier in the show that you might think it's disrespectful for LeBron James and the Lakers to be 15.5 point underdogs tonight against the Oklahoma City Thunder. I say the spread should be bigger. I'm laying it with Oklahoma City. I think they win by 20 plus tonight over the Lakers.”
OKC 108, LAL 90 — Thunder beat Lakers 108-90 in Game 1, covering the -15.5 spread by 2.5 points (ESPN).
“The Pistons have been getting bet over the course of the show. Detroit is now a three-and-a-half point home favorite against the Cavs. It gives me a better price on Cavs' money line. I'll play into volatility here. Give me the Cavs on the money line to beat the Detroit Pistons tonight.”
DET 111, CLE 101 — Pistons beat Cavaliers 111-101 in Game 1; Cavaliers moneyline busts (ESPN).
“But I'll take a shot on the wild. It's a huge number tonight. Plus 170 for the wild. They scored six goals in game one. I know they let up nine. Give me Minnesota plus 170 to even that series against Colorado at a game apiece.”
COL 5, MIN 2 — Avalanche beat Wild 5-2 in Game 2, taking a 2-0 series lead; Wild moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Give me the Mets minus one and a half runs at the Colorado Rockies. That number is, let's see, the Mets are, and I'm also going to play the Phillies minus a run and a half against the Athletics. So I think both the Mets and the Phillies will continue winning. Mets one and a half minus 105.”
COL 6, NYM 2 — The Mets-Rockies game was rained out on May 5 and replayed May 7, when the Rockies beat the Mets 6-2; Mets lost outright, busting the -1.5 run line (ESPN).
“and I'm also going to play the Phillies minus a run and a half against the Athletics. So I think both the Mets and the Phillies will continue winning. Mets one and a half minus 105. Phillies one and a half plus 110.”
PHI 9, ATH 1 — Phillies beat the Athletics 9-1, covering the -1.5 run line (ESPN).
“Small bet for me, Wolves plus 12.5, now the number.”
MIN 104, SA 102 — Timberwolves beat Spurs 104-102 outright in Game 1, well within the +12.5 line; cover (ESPN box score).
“And I'll also play the Knights on the puck line. Knights minus a goal and a half at plus 140.”
VGK 3, ANA 1 — Golden Knights beat Ducks 3-1 in Game 1, covering the -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
“A couple bucks on the Philadelphia Flyers to even the series at a game apiece at plus 220 in Carolina against the Hurricanes.”
CAR 3, PHI 2 — Hurricanes beat Flyers 3-2 in overtime in Game 2; Flyers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Angels White Sox under 7.5.”
LAA 0, CHW 6 — White Sox shut out the Angels 6-0; combined total of 6 stays under 7.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet the Yankees on the run line minus a run and a half to complete the sweep of the Baltimore Orioles.”
NYY 12, BAL 1 — Yankees routed the Orioles 12-1, covering the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“We have Game 3 tonight of the Knights and the Mammoth in Utah. And I love Vegas. Minus 110 on the road. I think Vegas wins the series. I think Vegas wins tonight. That's probably my favorite bet tonight. Vegas minus 110.”
UTA 4, VGK 2 — Mammoth beat the Golden Knights 4-2 in Game 3 on April 24, 2026, so Vegas's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I will give you all a very square bet, and perhaps I am wrong, and I don't care. I will lay the Edmonton Oilers tonight minus 135 on the road at the Anaheim Ducks. Oilers minus 135. They keep giving up a million goals, but they've been a good road team throughout this run. Edmonton minus 135 on the road in Anaheim.”
ANA 6, EDM 4 — Ducks beat the Oilers 6-4 in Game 3 on April 24, 2026, so Edmonton's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“In the NBA, Celtics-Sixers tonight, coming off Philly's upset win. The market is settled at Boston as a 7.5-point road favorite. Joel Embiid's doubtful for the game. I think Boston wins this game by 15 tonight. I love the Celtics. I'll lay the 7.5 with Boston.”
BOS 108, PHI 100 — Celtics beat the 76ers 108-100 in Game 3 on April 24, 2026, an 8-point margin that covered Boston's -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to lay the San Antonio Spurs tonight on the road in Portland. I just feel like the market has moved a little bit. So here's what I think is going to happen. The Spurs are 2.5 tonight. I think they'll win in cover. I think the market will adjust. They'll be a bigger favorite in Game 4, and then I want to bet Portland. so I will bet the Spurs tonight to cover on the road at the Blazers.”
SA 120, POR 108 — Spurs beat the Trail Blazers 120-108 in Game 3 on April 24, 2026, a 12-point margin that covered San Antonio's -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“and as far as this weekend is concerned I think the Knicks will win Game 4. I'll probably end up betting them. Maybe a Knicks-Cavs Game 4 Moneyline Parlay and you know I'm betting the Philadelphia Flyers to complete the sweep against the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
PIT 4, PHI 2 — Penguins beat the Flyers 4-2 in Game 4 on April 25, 2026, so Philadelphia's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I would also like to thank because there will be a portion of my trip we see how the rest of the bets go That will be paid for by the Philadelphia Flyers Oh I bet to win the series”
PHI 4, PIT 2 — Flyers won the first-round series 4-2 over the Penguins, clinching in a 1-0 Game 6 overtime win (NHL.com).
“I felt like my Sabres bet tonight was like Admiral Ackbar. It's a trap. He likes Buffalo tonight. Good enough for me. Sabres minus 110 on the road at the Bruins.”
BUF 3, BOS 1 — Sabres beat the Bruins 3-1 in Game 3 on April 23, 2026, so Buffalo's moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I will bet – you know what? I'm going to bet Ottawa tonight. He likes Ottawa. I'll bet Ottawa minus 125.”
CAR 2, OTT 1 — Hurricanes beat the Senators 2-1 in Game 3 on April 23, 2026, so Ottawa's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to end up with a bet on the Timberwolves plus two and a half at home against the Knights. Matt Moore said he bet Timberwolves alts. I'll take the two and a half and be a coward.”
MIN 113, DEN 96 — Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 113-96 in Game 3 on April 23, 2026; Minnesota's +2.5 spread won outright (ESPN box score).
“And I think now that Utah has won the game, it provides us an opportunity to bet Vegas. Now, Vegas is favored in the series. Minus 155 last I checked to bet MGM. So it's not like a plus money price. I'm not encouraging you, the listener or viewer, to bet the mortgage on it. If you don't bet, that's cool. I have bet Vegas again to win the series.”
Vegas Golden Knights eliminated the Utah Mammoth, winning the first-round series 4-2 (NHL.com).
“Give me the Twins plus 135 tonight against the Metropolitans.”
NYM 3, MIN 2 — Mets beat Twins 3-2 on April 22, 2026; Minnesota moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“In the NHL, you know I'm riding the Philadelphia Flyers until the wheels come off. Give me Philly minus 120 to push the Pittsburgh Penguins to the brink of elimination. Flyers minus 120.”
PHI 5, PIT 2 — Flyers beat Penguins 5-2 in Game 3 on April 22, 2026; Philadelphia moneyline covers (ESPN recap).
“My favorite is the Phoenix Suns plus 17.5 in OKC against the Thunder. Do I think the Suns are going to win? No. But do I think like Dylan Brooks and Devin Booker and company are going to let them get blown out like they did in game one? I don't. And they're a little more well-rested now than they were heading into game one. Give me the Suns plus 17.5 in OKC.”
OKC 120, PHX 107 — Thunder beat Suns 120-107 in Game 2 on April 22, 2026; Phoenix lost by 13, covering the +17.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“And I don't even want the points. I'll bet Orlando. Magic on the money line. Give me Orlando to beat. I think Detroit either covers or Orlando wins. I'll play into the volatility. A couple bucks on Magic money line tonight against Phoenix.”
DET 98, ORL 83 — Pistons beat Magic 98-83 in Game 2 on April 22, 2026; Orlando moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Okay, bets for yours truly tonight. I will attempt to do better than last night. Well, first we'll do baseball. I'm going to do a little New York Homer-dom here. Yankees on the road at the Red Sox. Easy. Love betting my Yankees against the Red Sox.”
NYY 4, BOS 0 — Yankees beat Red Sox 4-0 on April 21, 2026; Yankees moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“One bet in the NBA for me tonight. Give me the Sixers. Plus 14.5 on the road in Boston. Philly shot 4 for 23 from downtown in game one. I think you get a better Sixers effort tonight from three. I don't think they'll win, but I think they can cover a monster number in max. He can put up a lot of points. Give me the Sixers plus the points.”
PHI 111, BOS 97 — 76ers beat Celtics 111-97 in Game 2 on April 21, 2026, winning outright, so Philadelphia +14.5 easily covers (ESPN box score).
- Colorado Avalanche moneyline won
- Vegas Golden Knights moneyline lost
“For hockey tonight, give me a Knights-Aves two-team Moneyline parlay. Avs to win game two against the Kings. Knights to win game two against the Mammoth. That pays plus 119 at BetMGM.”
COL 2, LAK 1 (OT); UTA 3, VGK 2 — Parlay busts: Colorado Avalanche beat Los Angeles Kings 2-1 in OT (leg wins), but Utah Mammoth beat Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 (leg loses) on April 21, 2026 (ESPN recaps).
“But I'll lay the Sabres on the puck line tonight against the Bruins. Buffalo minus one and a half goals plus 135.”
BOS 4, BUF 2 — Bruins beat Sabres 4-2 in Game 2 on April 21, 2026; Buffalo lost outright, so Sabres -1.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“And give me the Montreal Canadiens money line to win as a pretty big dog on the road in Tampa tonight. And go back north of the border with a 2-0 series lead.”
TB 3, MTL 2 — Lightning beat Canadiens 3-2 in OT in Game 2 on April 21, 2026; Montreal moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Detroit, a minus 200 favorite now to win the series down a game. Orlando at plus 165. If I'm betting that price right now, I'm betting the Orlando Magic. I'm betting Orlando in the series.”
4-3 — Despite leading 3-1, the Orlando Magic lost the Eastern Conference first-round series to the Detroit Pistons 4-3, with Detroit winning Game 7 93-79 (NBA.com/ESPN).
- New York Knicks moneyline lost
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline won
“Okay, so the Cavs have been bet out to a 9.5 point favorite against the Raptors. Duh. The Knicks have been bet out to a 6.5 point favorite against the Hawks. Also, duh. I don't want to overthink this. I'm not interested in the spreads. I'm Moneyline Parlaying the Knicks and the Cavs tonight. Both take two nothing leads in their series. That's minus 130 at BetMGM. Knicks' money line, Cavs' money line, parlayed together, minus 130 at BetMGM.”
The Hawks stunned the Knicks 107-106 in Game 2 (Knicks moneyline leg loses), while the Cavaliers beat the Raptors 115-105 (Cavs moneyline leg wins); one leg losing busts the parlay (ESPN).
“A couple hockey bets from yours truly tonight. I'm going to keep riding the Flyers. I took them in game one against Pittsburgh. I'll take them again tonight. I don't trust Stuart Skinner in net. I know he's been to a couple Stanley Cup finals in a row. That's with Edmonton. I'll take the Flyers tonight to take a 2-0 series lead back to Philadelphia. Small bet there for me on the Flyers.”
PHI 3, PIT 0 — Philadelphia Flyers shut out the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-0 in Game 2, with Dan Vladar stopping 27 shots; the Flyers moneyline covers (ESPN).
“And I will bet under six with the Hurricanes and the Senators tonight. These two teams play pretty much the same brand of hockey. They don't make a ton of mistakes, both very physical. Freddie Anderson was great in Game 1. Under 6 for me tonight with the Hurricanes and the Sens.”
CAR 3, OTT 2 — Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in double overtime in Game 2, a combined 5 goals; the under 6 covers (ESPN).
“I'm betting Minnesota money line in Dallas, plus 115. I don't trust Jake Ottinger. Small bets for me on the hockey. Give me the Wild to win. I don't trust Ottinger. Minnesota plus 115.”
DAL 4, MIN 2 — Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2 in Game 2, with Wyatt Johnston scoring twice; the Wild moneyline busts (ESPN).
“So I'm going to bet against all three of those teams today. Let's bet the Marlins minus 135 against Governor McGreevy and the Cardinals. So Marlins minus 135.”
MIA 5, STL 3 — Miami Marlins beat the St. Louis Cardinals 5-3, snapping the Cardinals' five-game win streak; the Marlins moneyline covers (ESPN).
“The Rays minus 120 against the Cincinnati Reds, who are in first right now in the NL Central. Rays minus 120.”
CIN 6, TB 1 — Cincinnati Reds beat the Tampa Bay Rays 6-1; the Rays moneyline busts (MLB.com).
“And the Phillies, who are terrible, minus 110 on the road at the Cubs.”
CHC 5, PHI 1 — Chicago Cubs beat the Philadelphia Phillies 5-1 for their sixth straight win; the Phillies moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Okay, one baseball bet for me today. We've been riding the Tampa Bay Rays all week and they have not let us down, so let's go back to it today. To win three straight on the road in Chicago against the White Sox, give me the Rays minus 125.”
TB 5, CHW 3 — Tampa Bay Rays beat the Chicago White Sox 5-3, rallying with two bases-loaded walks in the ninth; the Rays moneyline covers (ESPN).
“Let's talk about some bets for round one of the postseason. Raptors plus 8.5 in game one on the road in Cleveland.”
CLE 126, TOR 113 — Cavaliers beat the Raptors 126-113 in Game 1; Toronto's margin of -13 busts the +8.5 spread (ESPN).
“Knicks minus 5.5 game one against the Hawks. Everyone likes Atlanta. Let me tell you something. We're going to get to the final couple minutes of these games and it's going to be C.J. McCollum against Jalen Brunson. Good luck to Atlanta.”
NY 113, ATL 102 — Knicks beat the Hawks 113-102 in Game 1; New York's margin of +11 covers the -5.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'll go first here. I said it already. Let's keep riding the Tampa Bay Rays train. They've won four straight games, beat the White Sox yesterday. Short price on the road today. Give me the Rays, again, to beat the White Sox.”
8-3 — Rays beat the White Sox 8-3 on April 15, so Tampa Bay Rays moneyline won.
“Three bets for me tonight. One baseball. Let's lay it with the Tampa Bay Rays on the road at the Chicago White Sox. McClanahan, hashtag on the bump, toe in the slab for Tampa. The Rays swept the Yankees over the weekend, and I think they keep the momentum rolling against the White Sox. Rays, minus 140 at Chicago. Give me Tampa over the White Sox.”
8-5 — Rays beat the White Sox 8-5 on April 14, so Tampa Bay Rays moneyline won.
- Los Angeles Angels lost
- Los Angeles Dodgers won
“I will, even though I'm a Yankee fan, I want to bet against these slides continuing for these two teams. How about a two-team LA against New York parlay tonight? Angels and Dodgers both to win against the Yankees and Mets respectively. Pays about plus 320 at BetMGM. A couple shekels on that from yours truly.”
Yankees 11-10 Angels; Dodgers 4-0 Mets — Parlay busts: Yankees beat Angels 11-10 (Angels moneyline lost) while Dodgers beat Mets 4-0 (Dodgers moneyline won), so the two-leg parlay lost.
“I bet the Detroit Tigers today. who have lost the first three of this four-game set in Minnesota against the Twins. I bet them the other night on the run line, and Tarek Skubal in Detroit not only didn't win the game, but lost outright. Not only didn't win by two, but lost the game. So they're looking to avoid the four-game sweep, and they turn to Jack Flaherty today to try and stave off the four-game sweep. Now, Flaherty has not been great this year, has walked a ton of guys. I give him the edge, though, over Abel, Kane's brother, pitching today for Minnesota, and I think Detroit will avoid the four-game sweep. This is a 140 first pitch today, Eastern time. Give me the Tigers, minus now 135. I laid minus 140. Tigers minus 135 in Minnesota against the Twins.”
MIN 3, DET 1 — Twins beat Tigers 3-1 to complete a four-game sweep; the Tigers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'll actually lay the Rockets here. Houston's won seven straight games. I think Houston wants to go into the playoffs with some positive momentum. So I take the Houston Rockets Give me the Rockets here laying the three and a half against the Philadelphia 76ers Give me Houston”
HOU 113, PHI 102 — Rockets beat 76ers 113-102, an 11-point margin that covers Houston's -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“And the other NBA bet for tonight. And I'm going to be a little bit of a homer when I give this out. I think the Knicks are going to beat down the Celtics tonight. At the very least, the Knicks should beat down the Boston Celtics tonight. Four and a half point favorites as it stands right now”
NY 112, BOS 106 — Knicks beat Celtics 112-106, a 6-point margin that covers New York's -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I am laying the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight against the Lakers. Point spreads 9.5. That's the game of the night. Spoiler. You can play the Sounder if you want, Kenny. Thunder Lakers. Everyone's playing should be a great game. I think the Thunder win by double digits.”
OKC 139, LAL 96 — Thunder beat Lakers 139-96, a 43-point margin that easily covers the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the team at plus money. I'll take the Giants plus 105 tonight against the Metropolitan. So those are my bets.”
SF 7, NYM 2 — Giants beat Mets 7-2; the Giants moneyline at +105 wins (ESPN box score).
“The game of the night tonight is the Yankees and the Mariners, right? Two of the best teams in Major League Baseball in the American League. Split the first two of this four-game set. Cam Schlittler and George Kirby tonight. The Yankees have allowed three runs in the first five games of the season. I think the Yankees keep it rolling tonight. I do like my Yanks on the road in Seattle.”
NYY 5, SEA 3 — Yankees beat Mariners 5-3; the Yankees moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Dodgers lost
- Boston Red Sox pending
“And then a two-team Moneyline Parlay for yours truly in baseball. Give me the Dodgers. No DeLauder tonight for the Guardians. Give me the Dodgers to beat the Guardians. And then Garrett Crochet and the Red Sox to get off the Schneid. Dodgers Red Sox two-team Moneyline Parlay at BetMGM plus 127.”
CLE 4, LAD 1; HOU 6, BOS 4 — Both parlay legs lost: Guardians beat Dodgers 4-1, and Astros beat Red Sox 6-4 (ESPN box scores).
“Sixers, a two-and-a-half point road favorite. Total in the game, 246.5. And hell, Miami isn't even playing good basketball. Feels like Bam Adebayo's 83-point game. Like, when was that? When Miami was rolling and the vibes were good with the Miami Heat. The Heat have lost seven of eight games. Not playing great basketball. At the moment. The reason why. Sixers heat. Is the game of the night. Is because the Sixers. Are at full strength. Joel Embiid. Is going to play tonight. After playing in two consecutive games. What a concept. Joel Embiid's back. Paul George is back off the suspension. And is looking pretty good. Vijay Edgecombe is still around. Hasn't gone anywhere recently. And how about over the weekends. Tyrese Maxey. back for the Philadelphia 76ers as they beat the Hornets on Saturday. The Sixers right now, if you take a gander at the NBA standings in the Eastern Conference, Philly is currently the seventh seed. And given how, and look, Miami can win tonight's game, obviously, but Charlotte's lost a couple in a row. The Magic looked like one of the worst teams in the NBA, lost by 50 yesterday to the Toronto Raptors and a 31-0 run given up to Toronto. So it feels like Philly at worst will be the seven and host the play in game against against the eight seed. Right. It looks like that's what's going to happen. Philly is a half game out of the six seed and climbing out of play in range and now getting fully healthy. I feel like my Knicks are going to be the three seed with how this is going to end up. I don't think they're going to catch Boston. We'll see. They can. I don't think they will. And as a Knicks fan, this is my worst nightmare. would be Knicks Sixers in the first round. Now, I think the Knicks would win that series, but it would make you nervous. And I'll tell you what. If you're a Pistons fan, you're a Celtics fan, you're a Cavs fan, you're a Knicks fan, this is the team you don't want to play. This is the team you want to avoid. Because, yeah, it can go poorly. Joel Embiid could wake up this morning and step out of the wrong side of the bed and be out for the season. Who knows how this is going to go with the health of this team. But if they're healthy, George, Embiid, Maxi, Edgecombe, their ceiling is to win at least one series in the NBA playoffs. And I like them tonight to win in Miami and cover against the Heat.”
109-119 — The Heat beat the 76ers 119-109, so Philadelphia's -2.5 spread busts outright (ESPN box score).
“Okay, for me, Duke laying 6.5 against St. John's. I guess everyone thinks St. John's can win this game. I don't see it that way. Maybe I'm wrong. I think Duke wins by double digits.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's by only 5 (80-75), short of the -6.5 spread, so Duke's -6.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Boilers, seven-and-a-half point favorites. It dipped down to six, went back up this morning. About 80% of money is on Purdue to cover. They've covered nine straight games as favorites in the NCAA tournament. Of course, Texas has won three in a row as underdogs, Which trend do you come down on? What side do you think gets the win here in the Sweet 16? Yeah, I think I kind of like, I think Vokitidis is going to ball out tonight for Texas against Purdue. If I had to bet that game, John, I actually think I'd bet Texas to cover the spread. Who am I kidding? I am going to bet the game, and I'm going to take the points with Texas.”
PUR 79, TEX 77 — Purdue edged Texas 79-77 on a buzzer-beating tip-in; Texas +7.5 covered the 2-point margin (ESPN box score).
“They're getting seven and a half right now. It opened eight and a half. The majority of bets and money are coming in on the hog. A lot of people believe in John Calipari. A lot of people believe in Acuff getting the points. I think Arizona wins by double digits. It might be my favorite bet tonight, along with this next one. Oh, I love Arizona.”
ARIZ 109, ARK 88 — Arizona routed Arkansas 109-88 in the Sweet 16, a 21-point margin; Arizona -7.5 covered easily (ESPN box score).
“and tonight yeah Oklahoma City in Boston against the Celtics give me the thunder to win the game in Beantown”
BOS 119, OKC 109 — Celtics rallied to beat the Thunder 119-109 in Boston; Oklahoma City moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I can't imagine the Rockets will lose tonight in Minnesota against the Anthony Edwards-Les Wolves. I guess they could, right? I'll take a shot and lay the short road price with the Rockets in Minnesota. Houston, minus one-and-a-half.”
MIN 110, HOU 108 — Timberwolves beat the Rockets 110-108 in overtime on Julius Randle's go-ahead jumper; Houston -1.5 lost outright (ESPN box score).
“And I'll take the Yankees tonight. Small bet from me. Just, I'm a fan. I don't know if they're going to win, but I want to root for my team. Give me the Yankees minus 120 to beat the San Francisco Giants in the Bay Area.”
NYY 7, SF 0 — Yankees shut out the Giants 7-0 at Oracle Park; New York moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“And Aaron Judge to hit a homer off Logan Webb. As chalky as it gets from yours truly.”
Aaron Judge went 0-for-5 with 4 strikeouts and no home run against the Giants; the home run prop lost (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 0-for-5, 0 HR, 4 K)
“Alright, one bet from yours truly for tonight. So the Los Angeles Lakers are two and a half point road favorites at the Pistons. No Kate Cunningham. Detroit is currently getting bet. The Pistons have not lost since Kate Cunningham was ruled out with a collapsed lung. I don't understand this line. Maybe I'm the idiot. I'm going to lay the Lakers here. I'm laying the Lakers.”
Detroit Pistons 113, Los Angeles Lakers 110 — The Detroit Pistons beat the Los Angeles Lakers 113-110, ending the Lakers' nine-game win streak; the Lakers lost outright and did not cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“Yeah, the total is 169.5. I will take the over on that. Give me 90-80. We'll go over.”
Arkansas 94, High Point 88 — Arkansas beat High Point 94-88, a combined 182 points, clearing the 169.5 total (ESPN).
“The Vols, 11.5-point favorites tomorrow against the Red Hawks. And I'm going to tell you something right now. I'm betting Miami plus the points. I don't know if I'm taking Miami outright. Rick Barnes has an 11.5-point favorite against a team that never loses. I'll take the points with Miami of Ohio coming up tomorrow.”
56-78 — Tennessee beat Miami (OH) 78-56 (ESPN box score); Miami's -22 margin busts the +11.5 line.
“So I do have Michigan State in one of my brackets making the Final Four, and I do have a bet on Michigan State to win the region.”
No. 2 UConn won the East Region, beating Duke 73-72 in the regional final (ESPN box score); Michigan State to win the East Region lost. (UConn beat Duke 73-72 in the East Region final)
“Ohio State 2.5 against TCU, 146.5 the total. I am on the Buckeyes here to cover the spread.”
TCU 66, Ohio State 64 — TCU beat Ohio State 66-64 on Xavier Edmonds' layup with 4.3 seconds left; Ohio State lost outright and did not cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“Nebraska minus 13.5 against Troy 139.5 the total I am on Troy to cover”
Nebraska 76, Troy 47 — Nebraska routed Troy 76-47 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Troy did not cover +13.5 (ESPN).
“and I have a money line bet on Troy as well plus 650”
Nebraska 76, Troy 47 — Nebraska routed Troy 76-47 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Troy's moneyline bet busted (ESPN).
“High Point, Wisconsin. Badgers, a 10.5-point favorite, 162.5 the total. I have High Point plus the points”
High Point 83, Wisconsin 82 — No. 12 seed High Point upset Wisconsin 83-82 on a buzzer-beating layup; High Point covered +10.5 by winning outright (ESPN).
“and a Moneyline wager on High Point as well.”
High Point 83, Wisconsin 82 — No. 12 seed High Point upset Wisconsin 83-82; High Point's moneyline bet won (ESPN).
“Vandy, an 11.5 point favorite against McNeese, 148.5 the total. I think Vandy wins, but I think it might be a little closer. I'm on McNeese plus the points.”
Vanderbilt 78, McNeese 68 — Vanderbilt beat McNeese 78-68 in the NCAA Tournament first round; McNeese covered +11.5 by losing by only 10 (ESPN).
“Carolina, two and a half against VCU, 150 and a half the total. My favorite bet today is North Carolina.”
VCU 82, North Carolina 78 — No. 11 seed VCU erased a 19-point deficit to beat North Carolina 82-78 in overtime; North Carolina lost outright and did not cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“I am taking Texas, plus two and a half against BYU.”
Texas 79, BYU 71 — No. 11 seed Texas upset BYU 79-71 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Texas covered +2.5 by winning outright (ESPN).
“Asia Devants to over 27 and a half points. If I could get up to 40, I would take. I love Asia Devants to this game.”
AJ Dybantsa scored a game-high 35 points for BYU against Texas, clearing the 27.5-point prop line (ESPN). (AJ Dybantsa 35 points)
“Georgia, 2.5 against St.”
Saint Louis 102, Georgia 77 — Saint Louis blew out Georgia 102-77 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Georgia lost outright and did not cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“Zags, 20.5 against Kennesaw.”
Gonzaga 73, Kennesaw State 64 — Gonzaga beat Kennesaw State 73-64 in the NCAA Tournament first round, winning by only 9; Gonzaga did not cover -20.5 (ESPN).
“But I'm backing that son of a bitch up. Give me Miami, Ohio on the money line. Oh, yeah. To beat SMU tonight.”
89-79 — Miami (OH) beat SMU 89-79 in the First Four (ESPN box score); moneyline covers.
“What would you do over under on the total sum of seeds to make the final four? The prop is at eight and a half. Think about that. If a five seed makes it, that blows the whole thing up in terms of an under, unless it's three other one seeds. Would you go under 8.5 for the total sum of seeds to make the final four? Definitely over. Over 8.5. Absolutely.”
The 2026 Final Four seeds were Michigan 1, UConn 2, Arizona 1, and Illinois 3, summing to 7 (ESPN Final Four preview), under the 8.5 line, so Over 8.5 lost. (Final Four seeds: Michigan 1, UConn 2, Arizona 1, Illinois 3 (sum 7))
“Purdue, my boilermakers, Spoiler makers, I have a future on Purdue from way back at the beginning of the year to win the NCAA tournament. I don't think it's going to happen.”
69-63 — Michigan beat UConn 69-63 to win the 2026 NCAA men's basketball national championship, so Purdue's futures bet to win the tournament lost (NCAA.com).
“As it stands right now, Miami of Ohio, with its one loss, is a 7.5 point dog against SMU on Wednesday night. This is, for all intents and purposes, a home game for the Red Hawks, given that it's in Dayton. Kanish thinks SMU is going to annihilate them. I'm betting Miami, Ohio. Does that make me a square? Maybe. But like Huey Lewis in the news famously said in the 1980s, it's hip to be square. I'll ride with Miami, Ohio, plus the points.”
89-79 — Miami (OH) beat SMU 89-79 in the First Four; Miami (OH) covered +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“Tonight's game of the night features the Los Angeles Lakers on the road in Houston against Alperun Shengun and the Rockets. And as it stands right now, the Rockets, two-and-a-half point home favorites against the Lakeshore. Total in the game is 226-and-a-half. Now I am refreshing Basketball Monster, which is a great website that's tabulating constantly who's in and who's out of games. Shen Goon right now is questionable with a lower back injury for the Houston Rockets. And this is a big game, not just because on paper it's a big game, but for standings as well in the Western Conference. I'm going to go against the Lakers here. Everyone is going to love the Los Angeles Lakers. They're in the news. Everyone's pumping them up. Luke can make the big shot for the game winner. LeBron played 40 minutes. Austin Reeves looks good. Awesome. Give me the Houston Rockets.”
100-92 — Lakers beat Rockets 100-92 on the road; Rockets did not cover -2.5 (ESPN recap).
“Give me Italy for a couple bucks, plus 165 against Venezuela to advance to the World Baseball Classic Final tomorrow against the United States of America.”
Venezuela 4-2 Italy — Venezuela beat Italy 4-2 in the World Baseball Classic semifinal, rallying for three runs in the seventh; Italy moneyline (+165) lost (ESPN).
“I bet Kentucky. God bless. Good luck. It's rough out here in these streets. So what was the line on, and look, I understand, because the counter to what I'm about to say or the answer is going to be, because Kentucky's playing their third game in three days. Like, that's the answer. What was the line when these two teams played at Florida over the weekend? Like, nine and a half? Yep. And now it's 11 and a half. I get it. Even though it's, I understand. Like, that's the answer. I get it. I know Kentucky's supposed to be the best team money can buy. I'll take the points with Kentucky. We'll see how it goes. Give me Kentucky plus 11.5 against Florida.”
71-63 — Florida beat Kentucky 71-63; Kentucky covered +11.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Tennessee this morning. I'm in on the Vols already. Give me Tennessee to win against Vandy.”
75-68 — Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 75-68; Tennessee moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“St. John's out to 8.5 against Seton Hall, 133.5 in the Big East. I took the points with Seton Hall.”
78-68 — St. John's beat Seton Hall 78-68; Seton Hall did not cover +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Purdue money line minus 170 If I had to bet the game I would lay the points With Purdue.”
74-58 — Purdue beat Nebraska 74-58; Purdue moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
- Purdue won
- Arizona won
“Arizona and Purdue plus 147. I'm betting this also.”
74-58; 82-80 — Purdue beat Nebraska 74-58 and Arizona beat Iowa State 82-80; both legs won so the Purdue/Arizona moneyline parlay cashes (ESPN box scores).
“I love Arizona today against Iowa State in the Big 12. Arizona's three and a half, 143 and a half the total. Iowa State won its first two Big 12 tournament games by, what, about 500 points. Now taking on Arizona. I think this is setting up for Arizona to win this game by double digits. Give me Arizona.”
82-80 — Arizona beat Iowa State 82-80 on a buzzer-beater; Arizona did not cover -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“Cal plus 150 on the money line I out”
Florida State 95, California 89 — Florida State beat California 95-89 in the ACC Tournament second round; Cal's moneyline bet loses (ESPN).
“Tonight, the Raptors are on the road at the New Orleans Pelicans. Last I checked, the Pelicans stink. Which means this is a spot to bet the Toronto Raptors. Raptors' money line for yours truly tonight in New Orleans.”
New Orleans 122, Toronto 111 — New Orleans beat Toronto 122-111; the Raptors moneyline bet loses (ESPN).
“I will lay the 2.5 with Virginia Tech against Wake in the ACC, and I'll have a small bet on Gonzaga tonight laying 6.5 against Santa Clara to win the West Coast Conference Tournament.”
Wake Forest 95, Virginia Tech 89 — Wake Forest beat Virginia Tech 95-89 in overtime in the ACC Tournament first round; Virginia Tech lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“and I'll have a small bet on Gonzaga tonight laying 6.5 against Santa Clara to win the West Coast Conference Tournament.”
Gonzaga 79, Santa Clara 68 — Gonzaga beat Santa Clara 79-68 to win the WCC Tournament title; Gonzaga won by 11, covering the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the points with the Celtics. Celtics, the number has to be 3.5. Boston plus 3.5 on the road with the Spurs.”
San Antonio 125, Boston 116 — San Antonio beat Boston 125-116; the Celtics lost by 9, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“As far as some conference tournament plays. I can't quit Purdue. I did place a small bet on Purdue to win the Big Ten.”
Purdue 80, Michigan 72 — Purdue beat Michigan 80-72 to win the 2026 Big Ten Tournament (ESPN box score).
“And this one will make you sick. I like Houston to win the Big 12.”
Arizona 79, Houston 74 — Arizona beat Houston 79-74 to win the 2026 Big 12 Tournament; Houston did not win (ESPN box score).
“I think the Oklahoma City Thunder will win the Western Conference”
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 4-3 to win the 2026 Western Conference; the Thunder did not win the West (NBA.com).
“Gonzaga, currently a 19-point favorite against Oregon State. Oregon State fired its coach, and Oregon State is on a run here where it's two wins away from making the NCAA tournament. Do I think Oregon State will win tonight against Gonzaga? No. But do I think Oregon State's going to keep this rolling and keep the game semi-close tonight? I do. Give me Oregon State a little beaver action on a Monday night. Everybody loves that. Oregon State plus the points against Gonzaga.”
Gonzaga 65, Oregon State 56 — Gonzaga beat Oregon State 65-56 in the WCC semifinal; Oregon State lost by 9, covering the +19 spread (ESPN box score).
“And you know my opinion on the Oklahoma City Thunder. And how this is going to go the rest of the season into the playoffs. I believe, and I am financially invested, in them going, as Drake would say, back to back.”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA championship, beating the Spurs in the Finals; Oklahoma City did not repeat, so the Thunder futures pick loses (NBA.com).
“Iowa lost to Penn State over the weekend Michigan's beating everyone Michigan's nine and a half. I took the 9.5 with Iowa. It's 8.5 now. I still like that. Iowa plus the points at home against Michigan.”
MICH 71-68 IOWA — Michigan beat Iowa 71-68; Iowa lost by 3, covering the +9.5 spread (ESPN).
“The Toronto Raptors have had a nice season, but they are good against bad teams and bad against good teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves, a good team. Let's lay the 5.5 with the Wolves against the Raptors.”
MIN 115-107 TOR — Timberwolves beat Raptors 115-107, an 8-point margin that covers the -5.5 spread (ESPN).
“And Piston Spurs tonight, Spurs a 3.5 point home favorite. That totals 228.5. I think this is going to be an ultra-physical playoff-esque game. Give me the under with the Pistons and the Spurs.”
SA 121-106 DET — Spurs beat Pistons 121-106, a combined 227 points that stays under the 228.5 total (ESPN).
“Tonight, we will lay 6.5 with the Arkansas Razorbacks at home against Texas. Texas coming off an upset win against Texas Tech over the weekend. Arkansas coming off tied for the worst loss of John Calipari's head coaching career. 34 points to the Gators on Saturday. bounce back spot for Arkansas. Woo! Big suey. Arkansas minus 6.5 against Texas.”
ARK 105-85 TEX — Arkansas beat Texas 105-85, a 20-point margin that covers the -6.5 spread (ESPN).
“We will also, and the market's moving against me here, and I don't care. I love it. Houston laying 15, 15.5 against Baylor. Houston just beat Colorado by 40. And Houston, much like Stella once upon a time, Houston's got its groove back. I think Houston wins by 20 against Baylor. Arkansas minus 6.5 against Texas. Houston minus 15 against Baylor.”
HOU 77-64 BAY — Houston beat Baylor 77-64, a 13-point margin that busts the -15 spread (ESPN).
“But you know where we're going here. Give me my Knicks plus four and a half against the Oklahoma City Thunder.”
OKC 103-100 NY — Thunder beat Knicks 103-100; New York lost by 3, covering the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
“As for me, I'm going heads up with Brad Evans. Brad likes Nebraska. Give me UCLA to win at home. UCLA Moneyline for yours truly.”
UCLA 72-52 NEB — UCLA beat Nebraska 72-52; UCLA moneyline covers (ESPN).
“and I will tail our friend Matt Moore who gave you Pelicans plus 8.5 at the Lakers tonight in the NBA.”
LAL 110-101 NO — Lakers beat Pelicans 110-101; New Orleans lost by 9, busting the +8.5 spread (ESPN).
“Double cross. Yeah. NC State plus nine and a half. I gave it out this morning on the award-winning bet the books.”
93-64 — Duke beat NC State 93-64; NC State lost by 29, busting the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“But Iowa State plus eight and a half. That number is seven and a half. Now just a little too many points.”
73-57 — Arizona beat Iowa State 73-57; Iowa State lost by 16, busting the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“There are a lot of people who like Sparty in the game because it feels, hashtag feels like too many points. This was 6.5 a little while ago. We are now out to Purdue minus 7.5, almost at minus 8. Last night, I took the points with St. John's. Because I felt like it was hashtag too many points. Final score, UConn 72, St. John's 40. 72-40. Tonight, I will not make that same mistake. tonight to paraphrase Cam Neely Boston Bruins legend as Seabass and Dumb and Dumber we don't need two Boilermakers make it eight because Purdue wins by a minimum of eight points tonight it's not too many points no no no no no no no seven and a half not enough give me Purdue tonight laying the points against Michigan State”
76-74 — Michigan State won 76-74 at Purdue; Purdue lost outright, so Purdue -7.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“For now, I'll stick with my thought on the Knicks winning the East, my prediction, my bet on the Knicks winning the East.”
The Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals, sweeping the Cavaliers, and advanced to the NBA Finals (ESPN).
“Well, I like St. John's plus 5.5. I'm going to love them at 6.5.”
CONN 72, SJU 40 — UConn beat St. John's 72-40, a 32-point margin, well outside St. John's +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“because tonight's game if you don't think I'm betting the Knicks to win the game tonight You're crazy. Forget about the points. I don't care about the points. I'm taking the Knicks to win tonight.”
CLE 109, NY 94 — Cavaliers beat Knicks 109-94; Knicks moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the points with Dayton tonight against St. Louis. Dayton plus five and a half against the Billikens of St. Louis. Dayton riding a three-game winning streak. Dayton has been unbelievable at home, and I don't need Dayton to win the game. I need them to keep the game close. Give me Dayton plus the points against St. Louis.”
DAY 77, SLU 62 — Dayton beat Saint Louis 77-62, a 15-point margin that covers Dayton +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm actually, this doesn't make me feel great, but I looked at the whole college basketball board, and the bet that stood out most to me was UCLA laying six-and-a-half tonight against USC.”
UCLA 81, USC 62 — UCLA beat USC 81-62, a 19-point margin that covers UCLA -6.5 (ESPN box score).
“I love Purdue tonight against Michigan. The number is two and a half. I will be less cavalier than Kenny. I will take the two and a half with Purdue. Purdue plus two and a half against Michigan.”
Michigan 91, Purdue 80 — Michigan beat Purdue 91-80, an 11-point margin that busts Purdue +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I will go against Kenny with Nebraska and Iowa, and I will take Nebraska on the money line to win at Iowa.”
Iowa 57, Nebraska 52 — Iowa beat Nebraska 57-52; Nebraska's moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me Arizona State, Arizona State the home team in that game. I bet 8.5 at 7.5 now. Give me the Sun Devils plus the points.”
Arizona State 72, Texas Tech 67 — Arizona State upset Texas Tech 72-67; Texas Tech's 5-point win margin means Arizona State +8.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“And last one, UCLA lost by a billion to Michigan over the weekend. I'll take UCLA plus 8.5. Just keep it competitive against Michigan State.”
Michigan State 82, UCLA 59 — Michigan State routed UCLA 82-59, a 23-point margin that busts UCLA +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“All right, so for me, I'm taking Houston plus the points. I love Houston tonight in college basketball, where I think Kingston-Fleming makes all the difference for the Cougars. So we are sitting right now, the line of the game is at, let's see, we are at 2.5 right now, 2.5. Give me Houston plus 2.5 at Iowa State.”
Iowa State 70, Houston 67 — Iowa State beat Houston 70-67, a 3-point margin that busted the Houston +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the points with Syracuse against Duke. I'm going to bet Syracuse plus 19.5 at Cameron Indoor.”
Duke 101, Syracuse 64 — Duke beat Syracuse 101-64, a 37-point margin that busted the Syracuse +19.5 spread (ESPN).
“Give me Shaheen Holloway and Seton Hall minus 4.5 against Providence.”
Seton Hall 87, Providence 80 — Seton Hall beat Providence 87-80, a 7-point margin that covered the -4.5 spread (ESPN).
“Florida minus, the number's out to 9.5. Florida will win by 8 and we'll both lose. Florida minus 9.5 against Georgia.”
Florida 86, Georgia 66 — Florida beat Georgia 86-66, a 20-point margin that covered the Florida -9.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'll take the points with Sacramento, and may God have mercy on my soul, the Sacramento Kings plus 6.5.”
Utah 121, Sacramento 93 — Utah beat Sacramento 121-93, a 28-point margin that busted the Kings +6.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm laying the Knicks against the Pacers tonight. Knicks minus 11.5.”
IND 137, NY 134 — Indiana beat the Knicks 137-134 in overtime on Feb. 10, 2026; the Knicks -11.5 busts, losing outright (ESPN box score).
“I love Purdue to win at Nebraska. It's time for Braden Smith and the Boilermakers to really grab this season by the you-know-what. I think Purdue goes into Omaha, into Nebraska, and Purdue gets a big win. Make it three Boilermakers. Give me Purdue to win in Nebraska.”
PUR 80, NEB 77 — Purdue beat Nebraska 80-77 in overtime on Feb. 10, 2026; the Purdue moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I will also ride with Tyler. Give me BYU. BYU minus three and a half on the road at Baylor. I absolutely love that bet.”
BYU 99, BAY 94 — BYU beat Baylor 99-94 on Feb. 10, 2026; BYU -3.5 covers, winning by 5 (ESPN box score).
“I would like to wait until the last possible second and bet the Lakers tonight. LeBron and Austin Reeves both going to play. That will be a small bet for me. The NBA is really wonky right now. I will kind of keep wading back into the NBA waters as the days roll on and football season goes further into the rearview mirror. I need to get a handle on everything in the NBA, candidly, to bet it on a nightly basis. So a small bet for me on the Lakers.”
OKC 119, LAL 110 — Oklahoma City beat the Lakers 119-110 on Feb. 9, 2026; the Lakers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“This morning, Arizona was a two-and-a-half point road favorite. That number now is down to one-and-a-half. If you're like, oh, well, you're just saying that you want to make up a better number. I don't know. I gave in a beat the books this morning like three hours ago, liking Kansas plus two-and-a-half. So I think Kansas is going to win and knock Arizona from the ranks of the unbeaten.”
KU 82, ARIZ 78 — Kansas beat Arizona 82-78 on Feb. 9, 2026 at Allen Fieldhouse; Kansas +2.5 wins outright and covers (ESPN box score).
“And one other bet for me. Oh, man, and this one's moving in the opposite direction. So St. John's is on a roll right now. St. John's beat UConn this weekend. St. John's is feeling good. Xavier's coming to town. Patino v. Patino. Numbers up to 15 and a half. I may regret it. small bet for me on the X-Men on Xavier to keep it within shouting distance tonight against St. John's”
SJU 87, XAV 82 — St. John's beat Xavier 87-82 in overtime on Feb. 9, 2026 at Madison Square Garden; Xavier +15.5 covers, losing by only 5 (ESPN box score).
“So OKC is a one-and-a-half-point road favorite at San Antonio. We don't know if Isaiah Hardenstein is going to play in the game, if Alex Caruso is going to play in the game. This may be a sucker bet. It may be. I do like OKC to win tonight in San Antonio. We know the Spurs beat them three times in 13 days at the end of 2025 in three different cities, including in Vegas and the semifinals of the NBA Cup before my Knicks won the NBA Cup. But OKC beat them the last time they played. I think they got off the schneid. I like OKC tonight as a short road favorite in San Antonio.”
SAS 116-OKC 106 — Spurs beat Thunder 116-106; OKC -1.5 busts, losing outright by 10 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Magic plus three and a half this morning. The number is two and a half now at the Heat. Jamal Mosley's job is being called into question. Orlando said success this year. I think Orlando will have success tonight against the Miami Heat. Give me Orlando plus the points on the road in Miami.”
ORL 133, MIA 124 — Magic beat Heat 133-124; Orlando's +9 margin covers the +3.5 spread.
“Give me BYU to win tonight and end Arizona's unbeaten season. Give me BYU on the money line.”
ARIZ 86, BYU 83 — Arizona beat BYU 86-83; BYU Cougars moneyline busts.
“Iva Jovic against Jasmine Paolini. Yeah, I'm going to bet that while Drew is giving his first answer here. So thank you for the Australian Open bet.”
6-2, 7-6(3) — Iva Jovic beat Jasmine Paolini 6-2, 7-6(3) in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open (WTA).
“I'll take the 6.5 with Charlotte tonight on the road in Orlando against the Magic.”
CHA 124, ORL 97 — Hornets beat Magic 124-97; Charlotte's +27 margin easily covers the +6.5 spread.
“And I did bet the Rockets minus 1.5 earlier this morning. This number out to 2.5 now on the road in Philly against the Sixers. I'm really into the Houston Rockets right now, and I'm looking to play them at a small price to win on the road at the Philadelphia 76ers.”
PHI 128, HOU 122 — 76ers beat Rockets 128-122; Houston's -6 margin fails to cover the -1.5 spread.
“No Jimmy Butler tonight for the Warriors. He's out for the season. Fallen hero spot. Let's lay Golden State minus three and a half against the Toronto Raptors.”
GS 127, TOR 145 — Raptors beat the Warriors 145-127 (Golden State margin -18), short of the -3.5 line; busts (ESPN).
“I'm going to stay away from the spread of the game. I'll have a bet on under 47.5.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 in the CFP national championship, combined 48 points; under 47.5 busts (ESPN).
“I will tail Joey Kiddish on the Charlie Becker over 46.5 receiving yards.”
Charlie Becker had 4 catches for 65 receiving yards in the CFP national championship, over the 46.5 line (ESPN box score). (4 receptions, 65 yards)
“And I have a small bet on Malachi Toney over 61.5 receiving yards.”
Malachi Toney had 10 catches for 122 receiving yards in the CFP national championship, over the 61.5 line (ESPN box score). (10 receptions, 122 yards)
“The Cavs are six and a half point home dogs. Give me Cleveland plus the six and a half. Cavs plus six and a half against the Thunder.”
OKC 136, CLE 104 — Thunder beat the Cavaliers 136-104 (Cleveland margin -32), short of the +6.5 line; busts (ESPN).
“Kawhi is not playing today, and the Clippers are seven and a half point road favorites. Give me the Washington Wizards plus 7.5.”
WSH 106, LAC 110 — Clippers beat the Wizards 110-106 (Washington margin -4), covering the +7.5 line (ESPN).
“Best bet for me of the night. I took 7.5. It's 6.5 now. The New York Knicks plus the points at the Golden State Warriors.”
GS 126, NY 113 — Warriors beat the Knicks 126-113 (NY margin -13), short of the +7.5 line; busts (ESPN).
“And then we have the Celtics, and I bet Boston earlier, minus one and a half on the road at the Heat. Boston now out to a two and a half point road favorite.”
MIA 114, BOS 119 — Celtics beat the Heat 119-114 (Boston margin +5), covering the -1.5 line (ESPN).
“Where I bet MGM, pick them price of the game, total of 46. I'm going to bet the Buffalo Bills.”
33-30 — Broncos beat Bills 33-30 in the AFC Divisional Round, so the Buffalo moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
“Philly's a one-and-a-half point home favorite. I just, I have to be honest, like, I don't trust the Cavs this year, and Bede's going to play. For me, I like Philly better than Cleveland one for one, so you're going to give me, like, a short money line price. I'll lay the Philadelphia 76ers against the Cleveland Cavaliers.”
CLE 133, PHI 107 — Cavaliers beat the 76ers 133-107 on Jan 14, 2026; Philadelphia moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Purdue is a ten-and-a-half point home favorite against Iowa. Now, Iowa's point guard, Bennett Sturtz, if he can control games, then Iowa has a good chance to beat basically anybody. I don't see that happening against Braden Smith and Purdue. I will lay the 10.5 with Purdue against Iowa.”
PUR 79, IOWA 72 — Purdue beat Iowa 79-72 (margin +7), short of the -10.5 line; busts (ESPN).
“I love the Pittsburgh Steelers tonight. I bet them last week plus three and a half.”
30-6 — Texans beat Steelers 30-6; Pittsburgh lost outright and did not cover +3.5 (ESPN final score).
“How about captain's son, Christian Kirk, over 22.5 receiving yards for C.J. Stroud.”
Christian Kirk had 144 receiving yards for Houston, clearing the over 22.5 receiving yards (ESPN box score). (Christian Kirk: 144 receiving yards)
“Anytime touchdowns, Christian Kirk.”
Christian Kirk caught a touchdown for Houston (8 catches, 144 yards, 1 TD), so his anytime touchdown prop won (ESPN box score). (Christian Kirk: 1 receiving touchdown)
“Connor Heyward, who gets the tush-push reps if the Steelers get it down by the goal line.”
Pittsburgh scored no offensive touchdowns in its 6-30 loss (only field goals), and Connor Heyward did not record a touchdown, so his anytime touchdown prop lost (ESPN box score). (Connor Heyward: 0 touchdowns)
“You're going to give me three and a half with the Chargers? With Jim Harbaugh, with Justin Herbert? With the better defense? And Herbert might have time to throw? Yeah. Los Angeles Superchargers. Give me the Chargers plus the points. We'll back it up with a bet on the money line.”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Patriots beat Chargers 16-3 in the AFC Wild Card game; Los Angeles lost by 13, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I laid two and a half with the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Cleveland Cavaliers.”
MIN 131, CLE 122 — Timberwolves beat Cavaliers 131-122; Minnesota won by 9, covering -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I think they might win. I can't wait for it. I have some plus 170 money line in my investment portfolio.”
NE 16, LAC 3 — Patriots beat Chargers 16-3 in the AFC Wild Card game; Los Angeles lost outright, busting the +170 moneyline (ESPN recap).
“So forget about the points. Give me the Steelers on the money line.”
HOU 30, PIT 6 — Texans beat Steelers 30-6 in the AFC Wild Card game; Pittsburgh lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet plus three and a half if I have to with Oregon. I'd love to bet a plus four, give myself a better chance to win my bet or push my bet. But the bet that I'm making is not that Oregon's going to win.”
IU 56, ORE 22 — Indiana beat Oregon 56-22 in the CFP semifinal (Peach Bowl); Oregon lost by 34, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Point spreads three and a half. Give me the Rebels plus the points.”
MIA 31, MISS 27 — Miami beat Ole Miss 31-27 in the CFP semifinal (Fiesta Bowl); Ole Miss lost by 4, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Ten and a half point home favorites against the Bulls. It's not that I don't think the Pistons will win, but I will take the points tonight with the Bulls plus the ten and a half.”
DET 108, CHI 93 — Pistons beat Bulls 108-93; Chicago lost by 15, failing to cover +10.5 (ESPN box score).
“This point spread last night, Eagles and Niners, opened with Philly a juiced two and a half point favorite. And I thought to myself, as I clicked the button, well, that's not right.”
SF 23, PHI 19 — 49ers beat Eagles 23-19 in the NFC Wild Card game; Philadelphia lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I like the Knicks. I think the Knicks are going to own the glass in this game. Knicks minus two and a half.”
DET 121, NY 90 — Pistons beat Knicks 121-90; New York lost by 31, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I love Atlanta plus three and a half in Toronto.”
TOR 118, ATL 100 — Raptors beat Hawks 118-100; Atlanta lost by 18, busting the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet the Rockets against them tonight. I will lay eight with Houston against Phoenix.”
HOU 100, PHX 97 — Rockets beat Suns 100-97; Houston won by only 3, failing to cover the -8 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Houston Rockets and give me the Philadelphia 76ers and beads playing tonight, laying 11 and a half against the walking wounded Denver Nuggets.”
PHI 124, DEN 125 — Nuggets beat 76ers 125-124 in overtime; Philadelphia lost outright, busting the -11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“USC now is an 11.5 point dog in Michigan State. Give me USC plus the points at Sparty.”
MSU 80, USC 51 — Michigan State beat USC 80-51; USC lost by 29, busting the +11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me Trinidad, Chambliss, and Ole Miss to beat Miami and advance to the national championship game.”
MISS 27, MIA 31 — Miami beat Ole Miss 31-27 in the CFP semifinal (Fiesta Bowl) on Jan 8, 2026, so the Ole Miss moneyline pick busts (ESPN box score).
“Because if the point spread closes three, Tampa minus three, in order to win your bet, you need Tampa to win by four or more. And do you think that's going to happen based on what the Bucs have done since October? You know, Halloween, long ass time ago. It's now 2026. 2026. And I'm not here to tell you it can't happen. They're favored in the game. I'm not saying it can't happen. What I am saying is that I wouldn't bet on it. So maybe Tampa wins. Maybe they win by three. Maybe they win by 20. This is a bet for me on the Carolina Panthers.”
TB 16, CAR 14 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 16-14; Carolina lost by 2, covering the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Cavs are 13.5-point favorites. I think the Cavs are going to win by 30 tonight. Give me the Cleveland Cavaliers laying it against the Denver Nuggets.”
CLE 113, DEN 108 — Cavaliers beat Nuggets 113-108; Cleveland won by only 5, failing to cover the -13.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I want to take the points with Stanford. Stanford plus eight and a half against Louisville.”
STAN 80, LOU 76 — Stanford beat Louisville 80-76 outright, easily covering the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to lay Nebraska on the money line against Michigan State. Minus 130.”
NEB 58, MSU 56 — Nebraska beat Michigan State 58-56, winning outright to cash the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Give me Oregon. Quack, quack, MFers. Minus 140 on the money line at BetMGM.”
TTU 0, ORE 23 — Oregon shut out Texas Tech 23-0 in the Orange Bowl on Jan 1, 2026, so the Oregon moneyline pick cashes (ESPN box score).
“I bet Ole Miss seven, seven and a half is what I want to bet with Ole Miss.”
UGA 34, MISS 39 — Ole Miss beat Georgia 39-34 in the Sugar Bowl on Jan 1, 2026, an outright win that covers the Ole Miss +7 spread (ESPN recap).
“even as someone who invested in the Thunder to win the title I don want Jokic to miss the year”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 NBA championship, beating San Antonio 4-1 in the Finals, so the Thunder-to-win-it-all futures pick loses (NBA.com).
“Give me the Pistons on the money line tonight in Los Angeles to spoil LeBron James' 41st birthday.”
LAL 106, DET 128 — Pistons beat the Lakers 128-106 on Dec 30, 2025, so the Detroit moneyline pick cashes (ESPN box score).
“The only team that I've bet to win the national championship this year in college football had them last year, and it was pretty good. Hope it's pretty good again this year.”
Miami 24, Ohio State 14 (Cotton Bowl) — Ohio State was upset by Miami 24-14 in the Cotton Bowl quarterfinal on Dec 31, 2025 and never reached the championship game, which Indiana won 27-21 over Miami on Jan 19, 2026; the Ohio State futures pick loses (ESPN).
“Magic, minus one and a half on the road in Toronto against the Raptors. Anthony Black, 38 points as the Magic beat the Nuggets over the weekend. Give me Orlando to win in Toronto tonight.”
TOR 107, ORL 106 — Raptors beat the Magic 107-106; Orlando lost outright, so the Magic moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I bet Atlanta plus seven and a half. Second straight road game for the Rams.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Falcons beat the Rams 27-24, a 3-point margin that stays within Atlanta +7.5; the pick covers (ESPN box score).
“Pukinokua's yardage prop is 109.5, and it's somehow too low. Pukinokua over receiving yards.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Puka Nacua caught 5 passes for 47 receiving yards against the Falcons, well short of the 109.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Puka Nacua: 47 receiving yards)
“let's play the other tight end that gets targeted by Atlanta, Charlie Woerner. Bjorn's brother. Charlie Woerner, anytime touchdown for the Falcons.”
ATL 27, LAR 24 — Charlie Woerner did not score a touchdown for the Falcons against the Rams (ESPN box score).
“Seattle, minus 105 on the money line, San Francisco, minus 115. I'll take the Seahawks. I'll take Seattle.”
SF 3, SEA 13 — Seahawks beat the 49ers 13-3 on Jan 3, 2026, so Seattle's moneyline pick cashes (ESPN box score).
“This opened on Sunday night, 11.5, and I laughed. And then I bet Denver.”
DEN 20, KC 13 — Broncos beat the Chiefs 20-13, a 7-point margin that falls short of the Broncos -11.5 spread; the pick busts (ESPN box score).
“The Thunder are five and a half point road favorites. I actually just am bringing the market up here. Thunder are, let's see what they're at. Now, they're up to seven and a half. I bet five and a half.”
SA 130, OKC 110 — Spurs beat the Thunder 130-110; Oklahoma City lost outright, so the Thunder -5.5 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Clippers plus 8.5 at home against the Rockets, where the Clippers have been way more competitive as of late.”
LAC 128, HOU 108 — Clippers beat the Rockets 128-108, a 20-point margin that covers Clippers +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“And I like my Knicks as a dog tonight in Minnesota against the Wolves. No Jalen Brunson. Minnesota's a seven and a half point favorite, but I like the vibe of this Knicks team.”
MIN 115, NY 104 — Timberwolves beat the Knicks 115-104, an 11-point margin that exceeds Knicks +7.5; the pick busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Cavs to end New Orleans five game winning streak. I like the Cavs to win and win big tonight at home against the Peli Pels.”
CLE 141, NO 118 — Cavaliers beat the Pelicans 141-118; Cleveland won outright, so the Cavaliers moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“One college basketball bet. I did take two and a half with Villanova. Two and a half with Nova at Seton Hall.”
VILL 64, HALL 56 — Villanova beat Seton Hall 64-56, an 8-point margin that covers Villanova +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“The Raiders are going to win. I love the Raiders on Sunday. One of my favorite bets of the entire season.”
NYG 34, LV 10 — Giants beat the Raiders 34-10 on Dec 28, 2025, so the Raiders moneyline pick loses (ESPN box score).
“I do like the over in the game. Over 46 and a half for yours truly.”
SF 48, IND 27 — 49ers beat the Colts 48-27, a combined 75 points, clearing the 46.5 total; Over 46.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Give me Alec Pierce, over 20 and a half receiving yards.”
SF 48, IND 27 — Alec Pierce caught 4 passes for 86 receiving yards against the 49ers, clearing the 20.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Alec Pierce: 86 receiving yards)
“And anytime touchdowns, small bet on Ameer Abdullah”
SF 48, IND 27 — Ameer Abdullah did not score a touchdown in the 49ers' 48-27 win over the Colts; the 49ers' touchdown scorers were McCaffrey (2), Kittle, Jennings, and DeMarcus Robinson (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, Commanders plus seven. Talked about this earlier in the week when it was six and a half. I said, let's wait. Let's see if we can get a seven. We got it. That's why I bet the Washington Commanders.”
29-18 — Eagles beat Commanders 29-18; Washington +7 lost by 11, missing the cover (ESPN).
“Give me Dallas here laying the two and a half.”
34-17 — Chargers beat Cowboys 34-17; Dallas -2.5 lost outright, busting the spread (ESPN).
“So give me the Kansas City Chiefs laying the two and a half”
26-9 — Titans beat Chiefs 26-9; Kansas City -2.5 lost outright, busting the spread (ESPN).
“The Saints have gotten bet out to six and a half, Femi, against the Jets in New Orleans, 40 and a half the total. I am betting the New York Jets, and I will plug my nose.”
29-6 — Saints beat Jets 29-6; New York +6.5 lost by 23, busting the spread (ESPN).
“I betting Panthers plus three at home against the Bucs”
23-20 — Panthers beat Buccaneers 23-20; Carolina +3 covers on the outright win (ESPN).
“I tailed our friend Rob Bazzola and bet 46 and a half to the over.”
34-20 — Jaguars beat Broncos 34-20; combined 54 points clears the over 46.5 total (ESPN).
“his receiving yards prop this morning when I first gave the bet out on Chicago radio on 670, the score, nine and a half. Then I gave it out a couple more times over the course of the day, including on WFAN in New York. I'm not suggesting I'm the one that moved the market, but now it's 12.5. I think he goes over all these numbers.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Konata Mumpfield finished with 3 catches for 40 receiving yards as the Seahawks beat the Rams 38-37 in OT; 40 clears the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Konata Mumpfield: 40 receiving yards (3 rec))
“I bet Clippers 17 and a half on the road at the Thunder.”
OKC 122, LAC 101 — Oklahoma City beat the Clippers 122-101, a 21-point margin, missing the +17.5 spread (ESPN).
“Although, I did put a small money line bet in on the Clippers to beat the Thunder tonight. It's a huge price. It's like 10 to 1.”
OKC 122, LAC 101 — The Clippers lost outright to the Thunder 122-101, so the moneyline pick lost (ESPN).
“Wizards have been a little frisky. Wizards plus 15 and a half, no money line.”
SA 119, WSH 94 — San Antonio beat Washington 119-94, a 25-point margin, well outside the Wizards' +15.5 (ESPN).
“Rockets, nine and a half.”
NO 133, HOU 128 — New Orleans beat Houston 133-128 in OT; the Rockets lost outright by 5, missing the -9.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm not going to put big bets on it, but I'm going to bet the Rams at the over. Over 42.5.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — Seahawks beat Rams 38-37 in OT, a combined 75 points, clearing the 42.5 total (ESPN).
“I'll take the Rams to win the game. Rams money line right now. Price right now at BetMGM, plus 105.”
SEA 38, LAR 37 — The Rams lost to the Seahawks 38-37 in OT, so the Rams moneyline pick lost (ESPN).
“The Memphis Grizzlies tonight plus, oh yeah, I bet 8.5, 7.5. Memphis plus 7.5 at Minnesota.”
MEM 116, MIN 110 — Grizzlies beat the Timberwolves 116-110, so Memphis +7.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Cavs minus five and a half.”
CHI 127, CLE 111 — Bulls beat the Cavaliers 127-111, so Cleveland -5.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“Bama laying the 13 and a half.”
ALA 104, USF 93 — Alabama beat South Florida 104-93, an 11-point margin that falls short of -13.5 (ESPN box score).
- Xavier Musketeers moneyline
- Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline
“Vandy and Xavier against Creighton. Moneyline Parlay. Minus 111 at BetMGM.”
Xavier lost to Creighton 98-57, busting that parlay leg regardless of Vanderbilt's 77-70 win over Memphis (ESPN box scores). (Xavier 57, Creighton 98; Vanderbilt 77, Memphis 70)
“The Bengals are currently two and a half point road favorites at Miami. The total's 50 and a half. I want you, the listener, you, the viewer, right now, to think about this game. If I told you that Zach Wilson or Quinn Ewers were starting for the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, I think that's what's going to be the case. And they were hosting Cincinnati, even with the Bengals defense being what it is. And Cincinnati was less than a three-point road favorite. What would you want to do? Now, I can't guarantee that two is going to be benched. I can't guarantee that. But I feel good enough about it that I bet Cincinnati. I bet some Bengals.”
CIN 45, MIA 21 — Bengals won 45-21 at Miami, covering -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I will be betting Oklahoma on Friday night to beat Alabama. Obviously cover the spread. Well, one point home dog in the game.”
ALA 34, OU 24 — Alabama beat Oklahoma 34-24, so Oklahoma +1 busts (ESPN box score).
“I think Ole Miss is going to beat Tulane by a million like they did earlier in the season. Oregon probably beats JMU by a million. We can group the two games together. Ole Miss 17.5 against Tulane. Oregon 21.5 against JMU.”
MISS 41, TULN 10 — Ole Miss beat Tulane 41-10, covering -17.5 (ESPN box score).
“I think Ole Miss is going to beat Tulane by a million like they did earlier in the season. Oregon probably beats JMU by a million. We can group the two games together. Ole Miss 17.5 against Tulane. Oregon 21.5 against JMU.”
ORE 51, JMU 34 — Oregon beat James Madison 51-34, a 17-point margin that falls short of -21.5 (ESPN box score).
“Good enough for Whale. Good enough for your boy. I'll lay the two and a half with my Knicks to win the NBA Cup.”
NY 124, SA 113 — Knicks beat the Spurs 124-113 to win the NBA Cup, covering -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like the under in this game, and I just want to see what it is right now to see if it's moved at MGM. We're still at 156.5. I like the under in this game.”
TENN 83, LOU 62 — Tennessee beat Louisville 83-62 (145 combined points), so the under 156.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“The Bills-Rams exacta is not great. It's only $12, but I did bet a little on it just to have it.”
Seahawks 29-13 Patriots — Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; the Bills-Rams exacta never had a chance since neither team reached the Super Bowl.
“i actually think the wrong team's favored so i i like oklahoma at any plus price just to win the game on friday night”
Alabama 34-24 Oklahoma — Alabama rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat Oklahoma 34-24 in the CFP first round; the Oklahoma moneyline busts.
“if the game were in miami at coral gables and miami were three and a half i would bet a&m if the game's a kyle field which it is and a&m's three and a half i'll take miami i just and maybe it's not fair i feel like crystal ball will screw it up and i trust elko more at the end of the game that's why i don't want to bet miami money line i think texas a&m or miami wins a very close game i'll just take the points to miami and be done with it”
Miami 10-3 Texas A&M — Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 in the CFP first round, winning outright and covering the +3.5 spread.
“We'll play Jalen Wright to score a touchdown in the game.”
Jalen Wright had 1 catch for 9 yards and 1 carry for 2 yards and did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score). (Jalen Wright: 0 touchdowns (1 rec for 9 yds, 1 carry for 2 yds))
“But as far as yardage props go, I think it's going to be a Devon A. Chan game. Devon A. Chan over 78 and a half rushing yards.”
28-15 — De'Von Achane rushed for 60 yards on 12 carries in Steelers 28, Dolphins 15; falls short of the 78.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (De'Von Achane: 60 rushing yards (12 carries))
“So I'm laying the four and a half with the Knicks.”
NY 132, ORL 120 — Knicks beat Magic 132-120 in the NBA Cup semifinal; New York's margin of +12 covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“John Morant is back for the Memphis Grizzlies tonight, so let's bet against the Grizz. Utah plus seven and a half.”
UTAH 130, MEM 126 — Utah beat Memphis 130-126 outright; Jazz margin of +4 covers +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“with the wizards so give me washington plus 15 and i i bet 14 and a half i have a worse number”
CLE 130, WSH 126 — Cleveland beat Washington 130-126; Wizards' margin of -4 covers +14.5 (ESPN box score).
“They're seven and a half tonight against the Brooklyn Nets at home. I'll lay it against Brooklyn.”
DAL 119, BKN 111 — Dallas beat Brooklyn 119-111; Mavericks' margin of +8 covers -7.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like the over. Over 49 and a half for me with the Bills. And the Patriots, two totals for me to start.”
BUF 35, NE 31 — Bills beat Patriots 35-31; combined 66 points covers Over 49.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet Washington. I'd love for a three. If not, I'm just going to bet the commanders on the money line.”
WSH 29, NYG 21 — Commanders beat Giants 29-21 outright, so the Washington moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Washington's defense is so bad and the Giants defense is not much better. Over 46 and a half.”
WSH 29, NYG 21 — Commanders beat Giants 29-21; combined 50 points covers Over 46.5 (ESPN box score).
“So Green Bay, I'm supposed to see what the money line price is. Minus 130 on the money line. I like that.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Denver beat Green Bay 34-26 outright, so the Packers moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I like Green Bay minus two and a half. I think the Packers will win. I think the Packers will cover.”
DEN 34, GB 26 — Denver beat Green Bay 34-26; Packers' margin of -8 busts -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Talked about it earlier in the week. I took six with Minnesota.”
MIN 34, DAL 26 — Minnesota beat Dallas 34-26; Vikings' margin of +8 covers +6 (ESPN box score).
“I think the Saints are going to win. So I like New Orleans Femi against Carolina.”
NO 20, CAR 17 — New Orleans beat Carolina 20-17 outright, so the Saints moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“So I bet some Tampa to win the division today at minus 135. Buccaneers to win the NFC South.”
The Carolina Panthers won the 2025 NFC South at 8-9-0 on tiebreakers over Tampa Bay and Atlanta (also 8-9); the Buccaneers did not win the division (Wikipedia).
“I bet Clippers nine and a half.”
115-113 — Rockets beat Clippers 115-113; Los Angeles covers +9.5 (lost by only 2). (ESPN box score)
“I bet Pelicans three and a half.”
143-120 — Pelicans beat Trail Blazers 143-120; New Orleans covers +3.5 easily. (ESPN box score)
“Emeka Egbuka, over 44.5. Receiving yards”
29-28 — Falcons beat Buccaneers 29-28; Emeka Egbuka caught 64 receiving yards, over 44.5 covers. (ESPN box score) (Emeka Egbuka: 64 receiving yards)
“two anytime. Touchdowns, Cade Otten out for the Bucs. Devin Culp for Tampa, one of their backup tight ends.”
Devin Culp caught a 6-yard touchdown pass in the 3rd quarter; anytime TD scorer cashes. (ESPN play-by-play) (Devin Culp: 1 receiving touchdown (6-yard catch))
“And Andre's brother in the receiving core for Atlanta, Dylan Drummond, anytime touchdown.”
Dylan Drummond did not score a touchdown; the game's touchdowns went to Tucker, Pitts (x3), Culp, Godwin, and Robinson. (ESPN play-by-play) (Dylan Drummond: 0 touchdowns)
“the big sports take, and there is a betting application of this also, which is to bet the Knicks to win the East.”
The New York Knicks swept the Cleveland Cavaliers 4-0 to win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals (NBA.com).
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline lost
- Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline won
- Kansas City Chiefs moneyline lost
“Moneyline parlay, Lakers, Thunder, Chiefs, just to win, not to cover, plus 120.”
Parlay busts: Lakers lost to Spurs 119-132 (leg 1, loss); Thunder beat Suns 138-89 (leg 2, win); Chiefs lost to Chargers 13-16 (leg 3, loss) — one losing leg sinks the moneyline parlay (ESPN).
“Over 49.5 is a bet for me. And a lean towards the Patriots to win the game.”
35-31 — Bills beat Patriots 35-31 (66 combined); over 49.5 total covers. (ESPN box score)
“I get a plus money price for a team to beat the team that never wins. Okay. I'll bet Washington.”
WSH 29, NYG 21 — Commanders beat Giants 29-21; Washington moneyline covers (ESPN).
“I'm going to take the points with the Gators. Florida plus three and a half against UConn. It's a small bet.”
UCONN 77, FLA 73 — UConn beat Florida 77-73; Florida +3.5 busts, losing by 4 (ESPN).
“I'll have a small bet on the Eagles, minus two, and I'll bet the over 41 and a half.”
22-19 — The Chargers beat the Eagles 22-19 in OT, a 3-point Eagles loss that busts their -2 spread (ESPN).
“I'll have a small bet on the Eagles, minus two, and I'll bet the over 41 and a half.”
22-19 — The Chargers beat the Eagles 22-19; the 41 combined points fall short of the over 41.5 (ESPN).
“So Prop King is betting Omarion Hampton over 37 and a half rushing yards.”
22-19 — Omarion Hampton rushed for 56 yards on 13 carries, clearing the 37.5 over line (ESPN box score). (Omarion Hampton: 56 rushing yards)
“Tre' Harris, anytime touchdown.”
Tre' Harris caught 1 pass for 18 yards with no touchdown; the anytime-TD bet busts (ESPN box score). (Tre' Harris: 1 reception, 18 yards, 0 TD)
“there's a case to be made that the best bet on the board right now out of teams that are in it that the best bet on the board right now to win the AFC I can't believe I'm saying this and there's a longer broader conversation to be had about that point that I can't believe I'm saying this when we talk about the Packers and Bears we'll do that on the other side it's the Houston Texans”
The New England Patriots beat the Denver Broncos 10-7 to win the AFC Championship on January 25, 2026 and advance to Super Bowl LX; Houston did not win the AFC, so the futures bet loses (Wikipedia).
“I'm on the hunt right now for Kansas City three minus 110.”
HOU 20, KC 10 — Texans beat Chiefs 20-10 on Dec 7, 2025; Kansas City lost outright, well short of covering -3 (ESPN box score).
“Small bet for me on the Lakers laying four and a half.”
PHX 125, LAL 108 — The Suns beat the Lakers 125-108 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); Los Angeles lost outright, missing the -4.5 spread by 17 points.
“I'll lay the Cavs four and a half in Indiana”
CLE 135, IND 119 — The Cavaliers beat the Pacers 135-119 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); Cleveland's +16 margin covers the -4.5 spread.
“I also bet Moneyline at plus 290.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — The Patriots beat the Giants 33-15 on Dec 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); New York's moneyline busts.
“Theo Johnson over 33.5 receiving yards with Jackson Dartback. Absolutely love that. So Theo Johnson over receiving yards”
Theo Johnson had 3 catches for 29 receiving yards against the Patriots, per the ESPN box score; that falls short of the 33.5-yard line. (Theo Johnson: 3 rec, 29 yds)
“So Theo Johnson over receiving yards and one anytime touchdown.”
Theo Johnson finished with 0 touchdowns against the Patriots, per the ESPN box score; the anytime-TD bet does not cash. (Theo Johnson: 0 touchdowns)
“I'll take the points here at the Indiana Pacers. So bet numero uno. The Indiana Pacers plus ten and a half on the road.”
TOR 97, IND 95 — Raptors beat Pacers 97-95; Indiana's -2 margin covers the +10.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me the New Orleans Pelicans plus three and a half as a home dog against the Memphis Grizzlies.”
MEM 133, NO 128 — Grizzlies beat Pelicans 133-128 (OT); New Orleans' -5 margin busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Kings tonight plus the points give me Sacramento plus four and a half”
PHX 112, SAC 100 — Suns beat Kings 112-100; Sacramento's -12 margin busts the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I like Ohio State here laying the 10 on the road at Michigan.”
MICH 9, OSU 27 — Ohio State beat Michigan 27-9; the Buckeyes' +18 margin covers laying -10 (ESPN box score).
“Small bet for me on Pitt. Plus 7.”
PITT 7, MIA 38 — Miami routed Pittsburgh 38-7; Pitt's -31 margin busts the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
“65.5 the total. I think the total might need to be 75.5 with these offenses in this game. Small bet for me on the over”
TENN 24, VAN 45 — Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 45-24; the combined 69 points clears the 65.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Vandy plus the three.”
TENN 24, VAN 45 — Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 45-24; the Commodores' +21 margin covers the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I have a small bet on Bama 5.5 that I talked about earlier in the week at 6.”
AUB 20, ALA 27 — Alabama beat Auburn 27-20 in the Iron Bowl; the Tide's +7 margin covers laying -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I laid two and a half with Detroit. That's the number I like with Detroit. Give me the Lions minus two and a half”
DET 24, GB 31 — Packers beat Lions 31-24 on Thanksgiving; Detroit's -7 margin busts laying -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Over 51.5 receiving yards for Christian Watson”
DET 24, GB 31 — Christian Watson caught 4 passes for 80 yards, including a 51-yard touchdown, clearing the 51.5 receiving-yards line as Green Bay beat Detroit 31-24 (ESPN box score). (Christian Watson: 4 rec, 80 yds, 1 TD)
“Travis Kelsey over 56.5 receiving yards.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Travis Kelce caught 5 passes for 45 yards and a touchdown in Dallas' 31-28 win over Kansas City, falling short of the 56.5 receiving-yards line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 5 rec, 45 yds, 1 TD)
“Mike Gesicki over 36.5 receiving yards.”
CIN 32, BAL 14 — Mike Gesicki caught 2 passes for 19 yards as Cincinnati beat Baltimore 32-14, falling short of the 36.5 receiving-yards line (ESPN box score). (Mike Gesicki: 2 rec, 19 yds, 0 TD)
“Luther Byrd in over 34.5 receiving yards.”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Luther Burden III caught 4 passes for 33 yards as Chicago beat Philadelphia 24-15, falling just short of the 34.5 receiving-yards line (ESPN box score). (Luther Burden III: 4 rec, 33 yds, 0 TD)
“If they all play and they all get targets, let's bet the guy at the longest price. That is Josh Weil.”
DET 24, GB 31 — Josh Whyle was targeted once but had 0 catches and 0 touchdowns as Green Bay beat Detroit 31-24; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Josh Whyle: 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 TD)
“Perhaps you'd like to bet Isaac TeSlaa to score a touchdown.”
DET 24, GB 31 — Isaac TeSlaa scored a 17-yard receiving touchdown for Detroit in the Lions' 31-24 loss to Green Bay; the anytime TD hits (ESPN box score). (Isaac TeSlaa: 1 TD reception (17 yds))
“Small money anytime touchdown bets. Big Bob Tunyon and Jared Wiley. So split bet on those two to score a touchdown.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Robert Tonyan recorded no receptions and no touchdown in Dallas' 31-28 win over Kansas City; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Robert Tonyan: 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 TD)
“Big Bob Tunyon and Jared Wiley.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Jared Wiley caught 1 pass for 4 yards and 0 touchdowns in Dallas' 31-28 win over Kansas City; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Jared Wiley: 1 rec, 4 yds, 0 TD)
“Brashard Smith anytime touchdown.”
DAL 31, KC 28 — Brashard Smith's only touch was a 33-yard kick return with 0 touchdowns in Dallas' 31-28 win over Kansas City; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Brashard Smith: 1 kick return, 33 yds, 0 TD)
“I would bet Likely or Andrews, whoever's the longest price, it'll be Isaiah Likely”
CIN 32, BAL 14 — Isaiah Likely caught 5 passes for 95 yards but 0 touchdowns as Cincinnati beat Baltimore 32-14; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Isaiah Likely: 5 rec, 95 yds, 0 TD)
“and our guy Mitchell Tinsley for the Cincinnati Bengals.”
CIN 32, BAL 14 — Mitchell Tinsley caught 2 passes for 22 yards and 0 touchdowns as Cincinnati beat Baltimore 32-14; the anytime TD does not hit (ESPN box score). (Mitchell Tinsley: 2 rec, 22 yds, 0 TD)
“I'm going to bet Gonzaga tonight against Michigan. And I'm going to bet Gonzaga on the money line. I think Michigan is going to run into problems with this three big like, is their backcourt good enough? Against Gonzaga? I'm not sure it will be. Give me the Zags tonight against Michigan. Lay the two and a half minus 140 on the money line.”
MICH 101, GONZ 61 — Michigan routed Gonzaga 101-61; the Zags lost outright, so the moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I laid 13-and-a-half with Georgia. We're up to 14.”
GT 9, UGA 16 — Georgia beat Georgia Tech 16-9; the Bulldogs' +7 margin busts laying -13.5 (ESPN box score).
“the action number is again 74 and a half what's the call here over under honestly under against the Chiefs”
George Pickens caught 6 passes for 88 receiving yards in the Cowboys' 31-28 win over the Chiefs, busting the under 74.5 (ESPN). (George Pickens 88 receiving yards)
“I like Auburn plus five and a half against Michigan. So I'm riding with Brad on Auburn.”
MICH 102, AUB 72 — Michigan routed Auburn 102-72; the 30-point margin busts Auburn +5.5 (ESPN).
“I'll take Maryland plus 14.5, 15 against Gonzaga. I'll bet that game at the death.”
GONZ 100, MD 61 — Gonzaga beat Maryland 100-61; the 39-point margin busts Maryland +14.5 (ESPN).
“And give me small bet on UNLV. Bama playing second game in two nights, as frenetic as they play. I'll take 14.5 with the run in Rebels against Alabama.”
ALA 115, UNLV 76 — Alabama beat UNLV 115-76; the 39-point margin busts UNLV +14.5 (ESPN).
“I laid three and a half with Orlando a few hours ago.”
ORL 144, PHI 103 — Magic routed the 76ers 144-103 in an NBA Cup game; the 41-point margin covers -3.5 (ESPN).
“So less than an hour from now, Houston plays Tennessee as Feast Week rolls on. Houston's a two and a half point favorite in the game. I think Houston's going to railroad them. And you might hear me say that and go, well, you were just saying that you're worried about Houston and now you like them against Tennessee. I like the price. and I'm telling you I still think Houston's awesome but is this a trend for Houston where maybe they're not as good as we thought or maybe they're kind of still percolating and still marinating still simmering it's just something I have my eye on right now I do like them in this matchup against Tennessee I did lay it with Houston against the Vols”
TENN 76, HOU 73 — Tennessee beat Houston 76-73; Houston lost outright, missing the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
“So I'll bet Georgia in the game, 13.5 minus 15 is the number right now, so I'll drink the juice.”
UGA 16, GT 9 — Georgia beat Georgia Tech 16-9; the 7-point margin falls short of the -13.5 spread (NCAA.com).
“Give me under 36.5 in OU-LSU”
OU 17, LSU 13 — Oklahoma beat LSU 17-13; the combined 30 points covers the under 36.5 (ESPN).
“I'll pay to see it. Not a big bet, but I have Cincinnati plus seven coming up on Thursday night against the Baltimore Ravens.”
CIN 32, BAL 14 — Bengals beat Ravens 32-14 on Thanksgiving; Bengals win outright, comfortably covering +7 (ESPN).
“I think right now if you want to bet this game the get in while the getting is good with the under before this goes down to 44 which is one of the key numbers when we talk about totals I think it's a lower scoring game I like under 44 and a half with the Colts and the Texans”
HOU 20, IND 16 — Texans beat Colts 20-16; the combined 36 points covers the under 44.5 (ESPN).
“I have a small Browns plus 6 bet in tow that I will stick with over the course of the week.”
SF 26, CLE 8 — 49ers beat Browns 26-8; the 18-point margin busts Browns +6 (ESPN).
“oh yeah i bet mississippi state so i have a mississippi state plus seven and a half ticket”
Ole Miss 38, Mississippi State 19 — Ole Miss beat Mississippi State 38-19 (ESPN); Mississippi State lost by 19, busting the +7.5 spread.
“I will lay the four and a half with the Gonzaga against Alabama.”
Gonzaga 95, Alabama 85 — Gonzaga beat Alabama 95-85 (ESPN), a 10-point margin that covers the -4.5 spread.
“Give me the Ducks plus three and a half against Auburn.”
Auburn 84, Oregon 73 — Auburn beat Oregon 84-73 (ESPN); Oregon lost by 11, busting the +3.5 spread.
“I will take the Indiana Pacers. I bet 10.5.”
Detroit 122, Indiana 117 — Detroit beat Indiana 122-117 (ESPN); Pacers lost by only 5, covering the +10.5 spread.
“I will bet the Blazers to win this game tonight, even with Shaden Sharp out of the lineup. Give me the Blazers to win on the road in Milwaukee.”
Portland 115, Milwaukee 103 — Portland beat Milwaukee 115-103 (ESPN); Trail Blazers moneyline covers.
“I took the Pels plus five and a half.”
New Orleans 143, Chicago 130 — New Orleans beat Chicago 143-130 (ESPN), a 13-point margin that covers the +5.5 spread.
“I laid five and a half with the Rockets.”
Houston 114, Phoenix 92 — Houston beat Phoenix 114-92 (ESPN), a 22-point margin that covers the -5.5 spread.
“I took Panthers plus 7.”
San Francisco 20, Carolina 9 — San Francisco beat Carolina 20-9 (ESPN); Panthers lost by 11, busting the +7 spread.
“Why can't Chuba Hubbard get a goal line carry in this game? It's plus 625. Chuba anytime touchdown.”
Chuba Hubbard had 4 receptions for 27 yards and 0 touchdowns (ESPN box score); anytime TD busts. (Chuba Hubbard: 4 receptions, 27 yards, 0 touchdowns)
“And let's play Ness's brother, Mitchell. Mitchell Evans. Brad's cousin. anytime touchdown for the Carolina Panthers.”
Mitchell Evans had 0 receptions and 0 touchdowns (ESPN box score); anytime TD busts. (Mitchell Evans: 0 receptions, 0 touchdowns)
“Side in that game, Patriots, 7.5. And Jackson Dart's probably going to be back. I actually like the Giants to cover the number at that at that price at seven and a half”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Patriots beat Giants 33-15 on Dec 1, 2025; Giants lost by 18, missing the +7.5 cover (ESPN).
- Purdue won
- Boston Celtics lost
“So what I am going to do is take the Boston Celtics money line tonight at home against the Brooklyn Nets, where I think the Nets, as I've talked about many times, are absolutely brutal. And I would like to parlay the Boston Celtics with Purdue on the money line. And right now, that will get you at about minus 125. So Purdue Celtics two-team money line parlay for me tonight.”
Purdue beat Texas Tech 86-56 (ESPN), but Boston Celtics lost 105-113 to Brooklyn Nets (ESPN); parlay needs both legs, busts.
“I think they're up to the task. Small bet for me on Miami laying at 18.5 the number at MGM at Vatek.”
Miami 34, Virginia Tech 17 — Miami won 34-17 (margin +17), short of the -18.5 spread (Virginia Tech Athletics).
“If the number is 10.5 and it is right now for USC at Oregon, give me the Trojans. I think Oregon's overrated. I think Oregon's on upset alert both tomorrow and next week against Washington. him. And I think Lincoln Riley and Jaden Maiava and Makai pulled up in a lemon. Wait a minute. I think they're going to get this going here big time against. Yeah. Yes. Oregon's past defense is good. This this is not like Northwestern they're playing or like Iowa that they're playing here. This is USC with NFL wide receivers. Give me USC plus the points.”
Oregon 42, USC 27 — Oregon beat USC 42-27 (ESPN); USC lost by 15, busting the +10.5 spread.
“give me over 50 in that game my favorite nfl bet of the weekend”
Detroit 34, NY Giants 27 — Detroit beat NY Giants 34-27 in OT (ESPN); combined 61 points covers the over 50.
“I like the Pelicans to cover tonight, plus the four and a half in Dallas.”
Dallas 118, New Orleans 115 — Dallas beat New Orleans 118-115 (ESPN); Pelicans lost by only 3, covering the +4.5 spread.
“Sixers money line, the price can't be this. The Bucs are the worst team in the league if Giannis doesn't play, and he ain't playing. Give me the Philadelphia 76ers.”
MIL 114, PHI 123 — The 76ers beat the Bucks 123-114 in overtime; the Philadelphia moneyline cashes (ESPN).
“Tyrell Shavers over receiving yards. Tyrell Shavers four catches, 90 yards last week. emerging as a weapon here for Josh Allen. Tyrell Shavers receiving yards number right now at MGM, sitting at, with Keon Coleman at, 22 and a half over.”
Tyrell Shavers was active for the Texans game (not on Buffalo's Week 12 inactive list, which named Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, and Curtis Samuel) but recorded zero targets and zero receiving yards, missing the 22.5 line (ESPN box score; Buffalo Bills inactives report). (Tyrell Shavers: 0 receiving yards)
“Seven targets in each of the last two games for Mr. Davis Mills. That's right. Jayden Higgins, over 27 and a half receiving yards.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — Jayden Higgins caught 4 passes for 38 receiving yards in Houston's win over Buffalo, clearing the 27.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Higgins: 38 receiving yards)
“Higgins over receiving yards. Shavers over receiving yards. Higgins anytime touchdown.”
Jayden Higgins caught an 8-yard touchdown pass from Davis Mills late in the 2nd quarter, cashing the anytime touchdown scorer prop (ESPN play-by-play). (Jayden Higgins: 1 receiving TD, 8 yards, Q2 0:05)
“Higgins anytime touchdown. Shavers anytime touchdown.”
Buffalo's only touchdown was James Cook III's 1st-quarter rushing score; Tyrell Shavers, who was active (not on Buffalo's inactive list), did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play; Buffalo Bills inactives report). (Tyrell Shavers: 0 touchdowns)
“And we're going to make this an island collab. I'm headed out to the island with Jayden Higgins first touchdown scorer tonight”
James Cook III scored the game's first touchdown on a 45-yard run in the 1st quarter; Jayden Higgins' touchdown came later, in the 2nd quarter, so he was not the first scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD: James Cook III, 45-yard run, Q1 9:11)
“Oklahoma, no, plus 150. I like that.”
Oklahoma earned an at-large bid as the No. 8 seed in the 12-team 2025-26 College Football Playoff field at 10-2, so the to-miss-the-playoff future lost (Wikipedia CFP field summary). (Oklahoma: No. 8 seed, 10-2, made the CFP field)
“the Purdue Boilermakers are the best team in college basketball. I have bet them to win the natty.”
Michigan beat UConn 69-63 to win the 2026 NCAA men's basketball championship; Purdue was eliminated earlier, by Arizona in the Elite Eight, and did not win the title (ESPN). (Michigan 69, UConn 63 (national championship game))
“I remain steadfast on my position of this game. At minus three, I love Kansas City, and I'm going to have Kansas City as a Moneyline Parlay piece as well”
KC 23, IND 20 — The Chiefs beat the Colts 23-20 in overtime; Kansas City won by exactly 3, pushing the -3 spread (ESPN).
“Buffalo. And I did bet Buffalo five and a half a couple days ago. Number went up to six. If you wanted to bet Houston plus six, I would certainly understand. I never said I wanted to lay six with Buffalo. But now the number I think is back in range to bet the Buffalo Bills.”
HOU 23, BUF 19 — The Texans beat the Bills 23-19; Buffalo lost outright, missing the -5.5 spread (ESPN).
“I've completely come around. I don't even want the points. Give me Vikings on the money line on Sunday in Lambeau. Skull.”
GB 23, MIN 6 — The Packers beat the Vikings 23-6; the Minnesota moneyline busts (ESPN).
“I have bet Illinois minus two and a half at BetMGM.”
Alabama 90, Illinois 86 — Alabama beat Illinois 90-86; Illinois lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I will lay the four and a half with UConn. I love UConn tonight.”
Arizona 71, UConn 67 — Arizona beat UConn 71-67 outright, so UConn failed to cover -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like the Rockets to go into Cleveland and win tonight. I will lay the one and a half with the Houston Rockets.”
Houston 114, Cleveland 104 — Houston beat Cleveland 114-104, covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm laying one and a half with the Charlotte Hornets at the hapless Indiana Pacers.”
Indiana 127, Charlotte 118 — Indiana beat Charlotte 127-118; Hornets lost outright, failing to cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the two and a half with the Sixers as home dogs tonight against the Raptors.”
Toronto 121, Philadelphia 112 — Toronto beat Philadelphia 121-112; the 76ers lost by 9, failing to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score).
- Philadelphia Eagles lost
- Kansas City Chiefs won
“I'll tell you what else I want to do. We will call it the Super Bowl 57 and Super Bowl 59 Memorial Moneyline Parlay. Eagles and Chiefs both to win right now at BetMGM plus 139.”
Dallas 24, Philadelphia 21; Kansas City 23, Indianapolis 20 — Parlay busts: Dallas beat Philadelphia 24-21 (Eagles moneyline lost), and Kansas City beat Indianapolis 23-20 in overtime (Chiefs moneyline won) (ESPN box scores).
“We were talking Ravens, a 14-point home favorite, two-touchdown favorite. So now we're off a 14 at BetMGM, and we're at 13.5. It is juiced towards Baltimore. And I actually think this provides us an avenue to bet on the Baltimore Ravens. I don't think it matters in this matchup that Tyrod's starting. You'd almost rather have fields because the Jets have no receivers. A.D. Mitchell, I love him, but he can't catch. Garrett Wilson's on IR. The Ravens are percolating. And the Ravens' offense might not be great shakes as of late since Lamar came back. The defense is way better. I think 13.5 is a bet on Baltimore. And I think Tyrod's better than Fields in most instances. In this one, like with the state of that receiving core, you'd rather have a guy that can really move at the position, even if he can't throw the ball. So I do like the Ravens at 13.5.”
Baltimore 23, New York Jets 10 — Baltimore beat the Jets 23-10; the Ravens won by 13, one point short of covering -13.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet Kentucky here and feel really good about it. I'm going to lay the three and a half also with the Wildcats family.”
66-83 — Michigan State beat Kentucky 83-66; Kentucky's -3.5 margin of -17 busts.
“Missouri money line on Saturday in Norman against Oklahoma.”
6-17 — Oklahoma beat Missouri 17-6; Missouri's moneyline busts.
“I just went to bet MGM it's his number 74 and a half oh it moved it was seven and a half earlier today it is now moving action on the under yeah wow yeah action on the under uh how about that i still nick what are you gonna do over”
Nico Collins caught 3 passes for 55 receiving yards in Houston's 23-19 win over Buffalo, under the 74.5 line. (Nico Collins: 55 receiving yards)
“the question is not nico collins over the question is jayden higgins over and the answer is is yes yeah and what's the number for jayden higgins because i'm curious 20 i haven't even 26 26 and a half right now at mgm oh you know what that calls for that's a sledgehammer special man i'm with you on that what does our daddy want to do uh daddy want daddy need daddy gotta have it I will bet the over on Jayden Higgins”
Jayden Higgins caught 4 passes for 38 receiving yards in Houston's 23-19 win over Buffalo, over the 26.5 line. (Jayden Higgins: 38 receiving yards)
“So I am going to lay Arkansas tonight against Winthrop. Arkansas, 22-and-a-half point favorite, Coach Cal's team. Arkansas kind of, like, not a great start to the year. Lost to Michigan State, barely beat Samford the other day. Winthrop is like a middling team. Like, Winthrop is not really that good. They're not like a mid-major that you look at them and go like, wow, this is a tournament team potentially. I think Arkansas railroads Winthrop tonight. I'm laying it with the Razorbacks.”
84-83 — Arkansas beat Winthrop 84-83; Arkansas's -22.5 margin of +1 busts.
- Boston Celtics moneyline won
- Portland Trail Blazers moneyline lost
“A two-team Moneyline Parlay. on the Celtics and the Blazers. So Boston to win in Brooklyn and the Blazers to win at home against Phoenix. Even money, plus 100 to bet MGM. I'm in on that.”
Parlay busts: Celtics beat Nets 113-99 (moneyline wins) but Suns beat Trail Blazers 127-110 (Portland moneyline loses).
“Bears laying two and a half. Give me the Chicago Bears,”
31-28 — Bears beat Steelers 31-28; Chicago's -2.5 margin of +3 covers.
“I'm going to bet the Clippers plus 5.5 with Paul George back. Let's see how the acclimation goes of Paul George into this lineup. I'll take the points with the Clippers.”
PHI 110, LAC 108 — Philadelphia beat LA 110-108, a 2-point margin that covers the Clippers' +5.5 (ESPN).
“And a small bet for me on the Hornets plus 8.5 at the Toronto Raptors. Like, I get it. Like, the Raptors have been pretty good. I bet their regular season win total over, so I'm not totally surprised by that. Brandon Miller's not playing in the game. But it feels like way too many points for Toronto to be favored by. I like these youngsters for Charlotte. Not just Knipple, but Kochbrenner and Sion James kind of changing the culture of the Hornets. Give me the Hornets plus the points as well.”
TOR 110, CHA 108 — Toronto beat Charlotte 110-108, a 2-point margin that covers the Hornets' +8.5 (ESPN).
“Honestly, like, should we want to roll with Ryan Flournoy tonight? We should do it, man. How about this? Show bet on Flournoy. Show bet on Flournoy.”
DAL 33, LV 16 — Ryan Flournoy caught a 2-yard touchdown pass in the 3rd quarter (ESPN scoring summary). (Ryan Flournoy: 2-yard TD reception, 3rd quarter)
“And I'm going to bet the Cowboys defense to score tonight as well.”
DAL 33, LV 16 — Dallas' defense scored only a safety (Donovan Ezeiruaku) in the 4th quarter, not a touchdown, so the D/ST touchdown prop busts (ESPN scoring summary).
“Or maybe, maybe, we're going to do this at the end of the show, maybe you've already bet the Raiders for next week at three. Like I did.”
CLE 24, LV 10 — Cleveland beat Las Vegas outright 24-10, so the Raiders' -3 spread busts (ESPN).
“Jim Fossil, chips in the middle of the table, all in, Kansas City to make the playoffs. How about this? Kansas City Indy this weekend? Please. The Ravens are inconsistent. The Steelers are inconsistent. The Bills' defense is terrible. The Patriots don't have experience. The Colts have Daniel Jones. The Broncos have Bo Nix. Am I ready to give up on the 2025 Kansas City Chiefs? In a word, no. And when it comes to this Sunday against Indianapolis, the number's going to be three. KC minus three. Oh, it's Patrick Mahomes. And y'all pay homage to the man. Woo! Yes, by the way, minus 200 at BetMGM.”
Chiefs were eliminated from 2025-26 NFL playoff contention with a Dec. 15, 2025 loss to the Chargers, missing the postseason for the first time since 2014.
“there is a bet that I need to talk about. A bet that I think is almost certainly going to win. The way that it loses is if the Chiefs go nuclear. That's how this bet loses. Is if the Chiefs go nuclear, win out, cruise to the Super Bowl, then I think this bet might lose. Otherwise, the NFC right now at BetMGM is minus 120 to win Super Bowl 60. Minus 120 to win Super Bowl 60.”
29-13 — NFC champion Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX 29-13 over the Patriots on Feb. 8, 2026.
“I did grab some Patriots Super Bowl exactos at huge prices at BetMGM just to cover myself in the event the Patriots make it. Eagles over Patriots, 80-1.”
Seattle 29, New England 13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; the Eagles never reached the game, so the exacta busts (Wikipedia, citing official NFL result).
“Rams over Patriots, 80-1.”
Seattle 29, New England 13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; the Rams never reached the game, so the exacta busts (Wikipedia, citing official NFL result).
- San Francisco 49ers moneyline won
- Kansas City Chiefs moneyline lost
“I want to take San Francisco Moneyline and pair it. We'll call this the Super Bowl 58 and what was the other one they played? That was 2019 Super Bowl 54 and 58, Memorial Moneyline Parlay. Niners, Chiefs, both to win. Pays plus 140 at BetMGM.”
San Francisco 41, Arizona 22; Denver 22, Kansas City 19 — San Francisco beat Arizona 41-22 (leg won), but Denver beat Kansas City 22-19 (leg lost), so the two-leg moneyline parlay busts (ESPN box scores).
“But Bridges over 17.5 points, the number at BetMGM, is my preferred play.”
NY 140, MIA 132 — Mikal Bridges scored 15 points, under his 17.5-point prop (ESPN box score). (Mikal Bridges: 15 points)
“I'll be betting the San Antonio Spurs tonight, laying the two and a half against the Golden State Warriors.”
GSW 109, SAS 108 — San Antonio lost outright 109-108 to Golden State, failing to cover as a 2.5-point favorite (ESPN).
“The Magic are currently 14.5 point home favorites. and the juice right now is towards Brooklyn. And I could see people wanting to bet the Nets in this game, not because you think Brooklyn's going to win or you think Brooklyn's good, but hey, like Paolo's out. Probably Orlando's best player, and I know some people that are really in the weeds with basketball maybe think Franz Wagner's better. Paolo's the best player on the team. And maybe you want to take the Nets for that reason. The thing about Orlando, to me, that's been most impressive on this run that they've been on getting back to .500 from the brutal start to the season, the defense is starting to look like what it was the last couple years. And look no further than the game against the Knicks the other night, right? Where the Knicks on that five-game winning streak were averaging 130 points per game. Paolo plays four minutes. They hold the Knicks to 107. If Cam Thomas and Michael Porter Jr. aren't both scoring 30 points, I don't think the Nets are even within shouting distance tonight. I love the Magic tonight. So just bets for me. Bridges over points. San Antonio Spurs. And I'll lay it with the Orlando Magic at home against the Brooklyn Nets.”
ORL 105, BKN 98 — Orlando beat Brooklyn 105-98, a 7-point margin that falls short of the -14.5 spread (ESPN).
“But I'm going to bet Arizona in this game. And the reason why Jaden Bradley, Arizona's point guard, does not get as much attention. And we're very early in the season, obviously, but think about even like thus far when we talk about Arizona on the show, we're talking about freshman sensation Kona Pete, could be like a top five pick in the NBA draft next year, drop 30 and seven on Florida's front court. But the reigning defending national champions who returned their entire front court, Kona Pete absolutely wrecked them in that game. 30.7 rebounds, Arizona beat Florida 93-87. So I think Kona Pete's going to do what he wants to do against UCLA down low. Now maybe you would want to make the case that Dent and UCLA can control the tempo of the game. Bradley, a really good defender, and I think that he can do what he needs to do against Dent and the UCLA backcourt, and Kona Pete can do what he does down low. So I take out, not a big bet, small bet for me on Arizona, but I lay the one and a half with Arizona against UCLA.”
ARIZ 69, UCLA 65 — Arizona beat UCLA 69-65, a 4-point margin that covers -1.5 (ESPN).
“He likes Clemson tonight and we're gonna ride with him. So Clemson is on the card for tonight. Clemson plus one and a half is the number right now at BetMGM, plus 105 on the money line. I'll bet the plus one and a half with Clemson tonight against Louisville.”
CLEM 20, LOU 19 — Clemson won outright 20-19 at Louisville, covering +1.5 (Clemson Tigers Athletics).
“The Utah Utes, as Joe Pesci would call them. Utah was seven and a half yesterday at Baylor. The number is now eight and a half and climbing. I'm riding with Knish. I bet Utah yesterday right after the segment. I'm guessing that number is still okay. But Utah for me, I'm riding with Joey Knish on the road at Baylor.”
UTAH 55, BAY 28 — Utah routed Baylor 55-28, a 27-point margin that easily covers +7.5 (ESPN).
“Colin Wilson's telling you, George is leaky on the back end. I don't need the points. Give me Texas on the money line tomorrow against Georgia.”
UGA 35, TEX 10 — Georgia beat Texas 35-10, so the Texas moneyline bet lost (ESPN).
“But one bet that I will absolutely make, and I've been making this bet for a number of weeks now, I'll give it out here, I'll give it out on Sunday also, is Jalen Waddell over 74.5 receiving yards.”
MIA 16, WSH 13 (OT) — Jaylen Waddle caught 3 passes for 52 yards, well under his 74.5-yard receiving prop (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Waddle: 52 receiving yards (3 receptions))
“69 and a half receiving yards. Like, I'm betting that over. For sure. Nico Collins over 69 and a half receiving yards. Against the Titans secondary? Come on. Stop it. He had over 100 yards last week against the Jaguars. I just, I don't know how Tennessee's scoring in this game. Maybe Cam Ward comes out and he shows a little something out of the bye week. I'm probably going to pass the game. I'll be on that Nico Collins over receiving yards, though, for sure.”
HOU 16, TEN 13 — Nico Collins caught 9 passes for 92 yards and a touchdown, well over his 69.5-yard receiving prop (ESPN). (Nico Collins: 92 receiving yards (9 receptions))
“Give me the Boilermakers in this game. Bama obviously the athleticism is through the roof and the way that they play with Nate Oates and his awesome sports coats up and down high flying tons of points. I worry about Bama in a spot like this against a backcourt as seasoned and experienced and mature as what Purdue is going to throw out there with Fletcher lawyer and obviously like national player of the year contender Braden Smith. I think that Purdue is not going to be able to slow it. Like, Bama's going to play up-tempo, obviously. But I feel good enough about Purdue being able to control the tempo of the game to a degree. And their ability to score the basketball at three and a half. It's a bet on the Boilermakers.”
87-80 — Purdue beat Alabama 87-80 on the road, a 7-point margin that covered Purdue +3.5 (ESPN game summary).
“And I'll back it up with a Purdue Moneyline wager as well tonight on the road at Alabama.”
87-80 — Purdue won outright at Alabama 87-80; the moneyline bet won (ESPN game summary).
“In the NBA, give me the Raptors plus seven and a half on the road in Cleveland.”
126-113 — Raptors beat the Cavaliers 126-113 outright, a 13-point margin that covered Toronto +7.5 (ESPN game recap).
“We're gonna go over Matt Collins receiving yards tonight 39 and a half was the number at BetMGM So Matt Collins over receiving yards.”
27-14 — Mack Hollins caught 4 passes for 64 receiving yards as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14; over 39.5 won (ESPN box score). (Mack Hollins: 64 receiving yards)
“I love me some A.D. Mitchell. He'll make his Jets debut. He's at a huge price to score. Plus 950. A.D. Mitchell. Anytime touchdown.”
27-14 — A.D. Mitchell caught 1 pass for 10 yards with no touchdown as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14; the anytime TD prop lost (ESPN box score). (A.D. Mitchell: 0 touchdowns)
“Notre Dame, a 12.5 point favorite at BetMGM, total 54.5. And if the Irish win out, like they are in the college football playoff, that is a certitude. If Notre Dame wins out, the Irish will make the college football playoff. And that's pretty incredible because remember, obviously, where we were earlier in the year, Notre Dame loses the opener to Miami, and then the botched play at the end against Texas A&M, and A&M beats them by one. And we're like, is Notre Dame going to miss the playoff? Well, it doesn't look like it. It looks like Notre Dame is going to make it. And the Irish have been their preferred betting side this week, out from minus 10.5, now up to 12.5. and there's a fun subplot in this game and it's Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi who was asked by the local media in Pittsburgh if this is a must win game and he had what I would consider to be one of the great brain dead responses in the history of brain dead responses like almost should be studied in classrooms by children like to know what not to say His response, is this a must-win game, was no, it's not. We could lose 110 to 10, lose by 100, and he'd take it as long as they won their final two games in ACC play. Wow, what a message to send to your players. You could lose by 100 and I don't care. What a message sent to the boosters in the NIL era, to the fan base. Yeah, that's great. We can lose by 100 to Notre Dame. No big deal. And the rotten cherry on top of this horrible Sunday for Narduzzi, the Pitt Panthers, and Pitt fans is, Pitt doesn't even control its own destiny as far as making the ACC title game go. So it's just a really stupid thing to say. now with that being said this is not your father's pit panthers your older brother's pit panthers no no no no no this pit team since the quarterback change penstil throws it all over the yard scored 30 points or more in five straight games and pit has the best rushing defense literally in the country. Now, here's Jeremiah Love and Notre Dame to test that out. And maybe Pitt's defense breaks against Notre Dame. And Notre Dame's run game, it's certainly possible. But we know how Pat Narduzzi, how he goes and what he does, and when you want to bet Pat Narduzzi when you want to bet against him. In a spot like this, big home dog. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. I love Pitt to cover this weekend.”
Notre Dame 37, Pittsburgh 15 — Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh 37-15; Pittsburgh lost outright, so +12.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“The Knicks, a juice 3.5 point favorite. This was 4 earlier in the day. Total 227.5. there's a case to be made and I kind of made it yesterday that the Desmond Bain game winning three on Monday night against Portland could be what this team needs to springboard it to bigger and better things. I would not be surprised if on the second half of a back-to-back the Magic won tonight. It would not surprise me. It could absolutely happen and maybe Orlando's kind of a sleeping giant and you get that great Magic performance tonight where everything clicks offense and defense. I'll pay to see it. I'll lay the points with the New York Knicks tonight against the Orlando Magic.”
124-107 — Magic beat the Knicks 124-107 outright; Knicks -3.5 lost (ESPN box score).
“Betting market for this game was Spurs 4.5. Now it's San Antonio 3.5. And I have the injury stuff up here and I need to refresh this so people, I'm sorry for everyone listening and watching live, but it's the NBA and things change all the time so I just want to make sure I have the best info here. It looks like Kaminga's questionable. It looks like everybody else is playing. Great. Warriors are an old team, second half of a back-to-back. The youngsters and the old guys don't get along. I understand the thought of Draymond calls the team out, now let's bet them. I'm not into it. So I teased at the start of the show, two instances where the market's moving hard on one side, I'm going to go the other way. I'll lay the San Antonio Spurs against the Golden State Warriors”
125-120 — Warriors beat the Spurs 125-120 outright; Spurs -3.5 lost (ESPN recap).
“But the number's now eight and a half. I'll take my chances with the Lakers tonight.”
121-92 — Thunder beat the Lakers 121-92; Lakers +8.5 lost by a 29-point margin (ESPN box score).
“It's got to be, first digit's got to be a seven, and I'll bet the over. I'll say 77 and a half for Rashee Rice I might honestly be too low. I'll say 77. Femi? Ooh, I mean, no Sertan didn't practice again today. So I'm going to say 71.5 actually on Rashee Rice I'm going to say 71.5. Price is right. I think you are. Femi? Ding, ding, ding, ding, ding. And exactly. Bam! Booyah! Femi, you have honors. Where are you going to go? Over or under? We already got Nick's answer.”
22-19 — Broncos beat the Chiefs 22-19; Rashee Rice caught 6 passes for 38 receiving yards, under 71.5 (ESPN box score). (Rashee Rice: 38 receiving yards)
“And as a bonus bet, I took six. It's five and a half now. Even though all those players are out for Cleveland, I think the number got a little too far. Cavs plus six if you can find it on the road. In Miami.”
130-116 — Cavaliers beat the Heat 130-116 outright, a 14-point margin that covered Cleveland +6 (ESPN box score).
“If Michigan wins the rest of their games, at Northwestern this weekend, 11.5 point road favorite, I'm laying it with Michigan in that game.”
24-22 — Michigan won at Northwestern 24-22, a 2-point margin that fell short of the -11.5 spread (ESPN game summary).
“The Knicks are a good team. I think the Knicks are going to run them off the floor tonight. I'll lay the nine and a half with the Knicks. No Mitchell Robinson. I don't care. Give me the Knicks.”
NY 133, MEM 120 — Knicks beat Grizzlies 133-120; margin of victory (+13) covered the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Matt Moore likes the Boston Celtics tonight against the Sixers. I don't. Remember what we were saying last week when Embiid's out? but kind of like when Embiid's in, he kind of slows this thing to a crawl for the Sixers. Jared McCain's playing. No Paul George. I think you get the run and gun Philadelphia 76ers tonight. I'll bet the Sixers plus one and a half at home as a dog against the Dallas Mavericks.”
PHI 102, BOS 100 — 76ers beat Celtics 102-100; margin of victory (+2) covered the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
- Toronto Raptors moneyline won
- Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline won
- Denver Nuggets moneyline won
“Give me a three-team Moneyline parlay tonight, and I'm going to get plus 107 right now at BetMGM. I love betting against the Brooklyn Nets. I'll take the Raptors to beat the Nets outright in Brooklyn. I will take the Thunder to beat the Warriors tonight with Steph Curry back. I don't care. Thunder are going to win the game. And Femi, I know you like this because you said it last segment. The Denver Nuggets to beat the Kings in Sacramento. Nuggets money line, Thunder money line, Raptors money line, plus 107 right now at BetMGM.”
All three legs cashed: Raptors beat Nets 119-109, Thunder beat Warriors 126-102, and Nuggets beat Kings 122-108 (ESPN box scores).
“And then I'm going to throw a player prop at everybody in the Pacers-Jazz game tonight, where with Walker Kessler out, we are seeing the Jazz have difficulty defending big men. And this is a really gross one. Let's go. Aubrey's brother, Jay Huff, over five and a half points. Jay Huff over five and a half points tonight for the Indiana Pacers in Utah against the Jazz.”
UTAH 152, IND 128 — Jay Huff scored 1 point in Jazz 152, Pacers 128; fell short of the over 5.5 points line (ESPN box score). (Jay Huff: 1 point)
“I like Kentucky also, Femi. Six and a half is the number at BetMGM. I'll have a small bet on Kentucky to win the game also against Louisville.”
LOU 96, UK 88 — Louisville beat Kentucky 96-88; Kentucky's moneyline bet lost outright (ESPN box score).
“Okay, so Carolina's hosting Radford tonight. The number's up to 20 and a half now. This game starts in seven minutes. I'm taking the 20 and a half with Radford.”
UNC 89, RAD 74 — North Carolina beat Radford 89-74; Radford's margin (-15) covered the +20.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“So Duke is playing at Army tonight. Coach Mike Krzyzewski will be in attendance for the game. Went to Army, coached at Army. Has extreme reverence for West Point. I don't, Duke's a 33 and a half point favorite. They're going to call the dogs off in this game to show respect to Army, Coach K's alma mater. Give me Army plus 33 and a half against Duke because I don't think Duke's going to want to embarrass Army with Coach K in attendance.”
DUKE 114, ARMY 59 — Duke beat Army 114-59; Army's margin (-55) fell short of the +33.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Eagles are two and a half point home favorites, two and a half, against the Lions on Sunday night. Here's a spoiler for everybody. The Eagles are going to win. They are. They are. They're going to win. And when it comes down to it, and we need to crown an NFC champion in January, guess who it's going to be? It's going to be them. It's going to be the Eagles. Because they have the best players. Period. And they're winners. The end. so we can all get seduced by the Rams and the Seahawks and you can talk yourself back into the Packers or the Bucs and I love Dan Campbell and the Lions and you know that, our listeners and viewers. We don't have to do this. You can just take the team that doesn't lose. Give me the Eagles on Sunday night against the Lions”
PHI 16, DET 9 — Eagles beat Lions 16-9 on Sunday Night Football; margin of victory (+7) covered the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
- Washington Wizards +11.5 won
- Portland Trail Blazers moneyline lost
- Milwaukee Bucks moneyline won
“I'm going to do three things in the NBA tonight. I'm going to fade the Pistons and I'm going to have Wizards plus 11. I'm going to build this right now on the air. Wizards plus 11 and a half. Blazers money line on the road in Orlando. This will be the game Orlando comes together and wins by 30. And Bucks money line on the road in Dallas where Nico Harrison actually might get fired. Plus 547 at BetMGM.”
DET 137, WAS 135 (OT); ORL 115, POR 112; MIL 116, DAL 114 — Parlay busts on one leg: Wizards lost 137-135 in OT but covered +11.5 (won leg); Magic beat Trail Blazers 115-112 (Blazers ML lost leg); Bucks beat Mavericks 116-114 (Bucks ML won leg). One losing leg sinks the parlay.
“When we talked about this game last week, the dogs were going to be barking with the Philadelphia Eagles. I don't trust the Packers. I trust the Eagles. I talked about it earlier in the show. I talked about it at the end of the week last week. Give me the Eagles to win tonight. And I think Philly might win this game by 7 to 10 points. Love the Eagles tonight at Lambeau Fields.”
PHI 10, GB 7 — Eagles beat Packers 10-7 on the road; Philadelphia won outright, covering the moneyline (ESPN).
“The Eagles kept A.J. Brown. They were never going to trade him, and they're going to feature him because they want to win another Super Bowl, and he's going to go over his receiving yards. Prop tonight is 56 and a half. A.J. Brown over 56 and a half receiving yards.”
A.J. Brown caught 2 passes for 13 receiving yards as the Eagles beat the Packers 10-7, well under the 56.5 line (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown 2 rec, 13 yards)
“For Green Bay, Malik Heath with Matthew Golden out.”
The only touchdowns in the Eagles' 10-7 win over the Packers were DeVonta Smith (receiving) and Josh Jacobs (rushing); Malik Heath did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (PHI 10, GB 7; TDs: D.Smith (PHI), Jacobs (GB))
“John Fitzpatrick, not Luke Musgrave, the guy behind Luke Musgrave.”
The only touchdowns in the Eagles' 10-7 win over the Packers were DeVonta Smith (receiving) and Josh Jacobs (rushing); John FitzPatrick did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (PHI 10, GB 7; TDs: D.Smith (PHI), Jacobs (GB))
“It's going to be for Tank Bigsby.”
The only touchdowns in the Eagles' 10-7 win over the Packers were DeVonta Smith (receiving) and Josh Jacobs (rushing); Tank Bigsby did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (PHI 10, GB 7; TDs: D.Smith (PHI), Jacobs (GB))
“Rams, a two and a half point home favorite on Sunday. and the juice is towards the Rams and maybe we go to three. Once upon a time on this show, it's funny that I use that. I didn't really do that purposefully, but once upon a time is how a lot of stories start. How a lot of narratives begin. Once upon a time. And that's fitting. because I'm about to spin a narrative for everybody. Because once upon a time, Sam Darnold gets into these big games and urinates down his leg. Sunday Night Football last year against the Lions with the NFC North and number one seed and home field advantage on the line and plays his worst game of the season. And then, followed it up with another worst game of the season. Wildcard rounds. At Matthew Stafford, Sean McVay, and the Los Angeles Rams. This is very narrative-y. And I get it. But this is where my money's going this week.”
LAR 21, SEA 19 — Rams beat Seahawks 21-19; margin of victory (+2) fell short of the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“So my bet in tonight's game, pick the winner of the game, comes down to trust. Who do I trust more? And who do you, the listener and viewer, who do you trust more? Jalen Hurts or Jordan Love? Here's a crazy one. Nick Sirianni or Matt LaFleur? The Eagles or the Packers? For me, not even close. Fly, Eagles, fly. Win, Eagles, win. Cover, Eagles, cover. On Monday Night Football.”
PHI 10, GB 7 — Eagles beat Packers 10-7 on Monday Night Football; margin of victory (+3) covered the +1 spread (ESPN box score).
“I don't care if Anthony Davis is playing or not for the Dallas Mavericks. They're getting four and a half in Memphis. The Grizzlies look like they don't want to be out there, like they hate their coach like they don understand how to play offense So tonight as sports bettors we like the Dallas Mavericks”
MEM 118, DAL 104 — Grizzlies beat Mavericks 118-104; Dallas lost by 14, well outside the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I'll do a small bet. Rockets minus four.”
SA 121, HOU 110 — Spurs beat Rockets 121-110; Houston lost outright, busting the -4 spread (ESPN).
“I'm going to take 10.5 with LSU.”
ALA 20, LSU 9 — Alabama beat LSU 20-9; LSU lost by 11, missing the +10.5 spread by half a point (ESPN).
“I'll take 10.5 with BYU. It makes me a little nervous because the market's moving against me, but I will take the 10.5 with BYU”
TTU 29, BYU 7 — Texas Tech beat BYU 29-7; BYU lost by 22, well outside the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“I don't like to do this, but I'm going to. I'll take 14.5 with Penn State against Indiana.”
IND 27, PSU 24 — Indiana beat Penn State 27-24; Penn State lost by only 3, covering the +14.5 spread (ESPN).
“Ohio State hasn't beaten anybody. Well, you'll still say that on Monday because they're going to beat Purdue by 1,000 tomorrow, laying the 29.5 with the Buckeyes.”
OSU 34, PUR 10 — Ohio State beat Purdue 34-10; Ohio State won by 24, short of the -29.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'll take the points with Arizona, plus the seven. It's got to be seven, though, on the road in Seattle.”
SEA 44, ARI 22 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 44-22; Arizona lost by 22, well outside the +7 spread (ESPN).
“And Puka Nacua is receiving yards prop, 91 and a half. Let's get to Sunday. Let's make sure he's definitely good to go. I think he clears 100 with ease against this brutal Niners defense on Sunday.”
Puka Nacua caught 5 passes for 64 receiving yards as the Rams beat the 49ers 42-26, falling short of the 91.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nacua 5 rec, 64 yards)
“Troy Franklin over 47.5 receiving yards.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Troy Franklin caught 5 passes for 40 yards and a touchdown in Denver's 10-7 win over Las Vegas, short of the 47.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Troy Franklin: 5 receptions, 40 receiving yards)
“I will back Femi's Island with both first and anytime touchdown for Michael Mayer.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Michael Mayer did not score a touchdown in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders; Denver's only touchdown was a Troy Franklin reception (ESPN box score).
“I will back Femi's Island with both first and anytime touchdown for Michael Mayer.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — The game's first touchdown was a first-quarter Ashton Jeanty rushing score for the Raiders, not Michael Mayer, in Denver's 10-7 win (ESPN box score).
“Bo Nix, anytime touchdown tonight in the Broncos and the Raiders.”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Bo Nix threw a touchdown pass but did not score one himself in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders (ESPN recap).
“I think the Pistons are going to pound them. I'll lay the 9.5 with Detroit against the Utah Jazz.”
114-103 — Pistons beat Jazz 114-103; the 11-point margin covers the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Lakers, money line against the San Antonio Spurs.”
118-116 — Lakers beat Spurs 118-116; moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Bet them to win the title last year. Bet them to win the title before this year.”
Indiana beat Miami to win the 2025-26 CFP national championship; Ohio State was eliminated by Miami in the quarterfinal round and did not win the title (Wikipedia).
“I am also going to bet Nick Schmaltz to score a goal tonight.”
Nick Schmaltz scored in the 3rd period as Utah beat Buffalo 2-1 in OT; anytime goal scorer hits (ESPN box score). (Schmaltz 1 goal (3rd period); final 2-1 OT)
“You watch this team, you know that they're not that good. And I don't like saying that. Because I bet them to win the AFC.”
Jacksonville was eliminated in the AFC Wild Card round by Buffalo; the Patriots won the AFC Championship over the Broncos, not the Jaguars (Wikipedia, 2025-26 NFL playoffs).
“With as bad as Dallas' defense is, you're going to give me three and a half with Arizona? I'm going to take the points with the Cardinals. So Cardinals plus three and a half going to be a bet.”
Arizona 27, Dallas 17 — Arizona beat Dallas 27-17 (ESPN); Cardinals margin +10 covers +3.5.
“tonight the Knicks 12 and a half point home favorites against the Wizard and I'm going to lay it with the Knicks”
NY Knicks 119, Washington 102 — NY Knicks beat Washington 119-102 (ESPN); Knicks margin +17 covers -12.5.
“I bet it earlier Minus 8 I don care”
Minnesota 125, Brooklyn 109 — Minnesota beat Brooklyn 125-109 (ESPN); Timberwolves margin +16 covers -8.
“Marvin Harrison Jr. over 57.5 receiving yards.”
Marvin Harrison Jr. had 7 catches for 96 receiving yards and a TD in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); over 57.5 receiving yards wins. (Marvin Harrison Jr. 7 receptions, 96 receiving yards)
“Hunter, Hurst, Lepke. Going to pedigree everyone en route to a trip to the end zone.”
Hunter Luepke did not score a touchdown in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); anytime TD scorer loses. (Hunter Luepke 0 touchdowns)
“And I do like Brad's bet. I'll have some Bam Knight to score a touchdown as well.”
Bam Knight had 2 catches for 20 yards and no touchdown in Arizona's 27-17 win over Dallas (ESPN box score); anytime TD scorer loses. (Bam Knight 0 touchdowns (2 receptions, 20 yards))
“I'm going to lay Ohio State. 18 and a half out there.”
Ohio State 38, Penn State 14 — Ohio State beat Penn State 38-14 (ESPN); Ohio State margin +24 covers -18.5.
“I'm betting Falcons money line. I'm going to bet the Falcons to win the game. Give me the plus money price.”
New England 24, Atlanta 23 — New England beat Atlanta 24-23 (ESPN); Falcons moneyline loses.
“I like the Broncos to win. WTF wrong team favored on Sunday.”
Denver 18, Houston 15 — Denver beat Houston 18-15 on a walk-off field goal (ESPN); Broncos moneyline wins.
“I'm betting the chiefs. Casey, a two point road favorite at Buffalo.”
Buffalo 28, Kansas City 21 — Buffalo beat Kansas City 28-21 (ESPN); Chiefs margin -7 busts the -2 they were laying.
“And I like Seattle on Sunday night, laying three at Washington.”
Seattle 38, Washington 14 — Seattle beat Washington 38-14 (ESPN); Seahawks margin +24 covers -3.
“I did bet the Dodgers tonight in game six.”
LA Dodgers 3, Toronto 1 — LA Dodgers beat Toronto 3-1 in World Series Game 6 (ESPN); Dodgers moneyline wins.
“I'll lay the two and a half with the Hawks on the road.”
Atlanta 128, Indiana 108 — Atlanta beat Indiana 128-108 (ESPN); Hawks margin +20 covers -2.5.
“Waddle over 65 and a half receiving yards.”
Waddle had 6 receptions for 82 receiving yards, over 65.5; wins. (Jaylen Waddle 82 receiving yards)
“Keaton Mitchell anytime touchdown.”
Mitchell had 11 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards but no touchdown in Baltimore's 28-6 win; anytime TD bet busts.
- Baltimore Ravens -1.5
- Detroit Lions -2.5
“Baltimore minus one and a half and the Lions minus two and a half against the Minnesota Vikings”
Baltimore beat Miami 28-6, covering -1.5, but Detroit lost outright to Minnesota 24-27, failing -2.5; the teaser needs both legs and busts.
“It's crazy to say about a team that starts 1-5, they're the bet right now to win the AFC North.”
Pittsburgh won the AFC North at 10-7 in 2025, not Baltimore; the futures bet busts.
“I'll pick the winner of the game. Easy bet for me on the Denver Broncos. I love Denver on Sunday.”
18-15 — Broncos beat Texans 18-15 on a last-second field goal; moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I will lay the 8.5 with Atlanta on the road in Brooklyn against the Woeful Nets.”
117-112 — Hawks beat Nets 117-112; Atlanta's -8.5 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“I will take 4.5 with the Sacramento Kings, who are terrible at the undefeated Bulls.”
113-126 — Bulls beat Kings 126-113; Sacramento's +4.5 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“And give me the Grizzlies on the money line at Phoenix. Grizz minus 135 to win at a Phoenix team without Jalen Green.”
114-113 — Grizzlies beat Suns 114-113; Memphis moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Two NBA bets for me. Knicks money line at Milwaukee. The price is short.”
111-121 — Bucks beat Knicks 121-111; Knicks moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
- Philadelphia 76ers won
- Miami Heat won
- Oklahoma City Thunder won
“Thunder, Heat, Sixers, money line parlay at BetMGM pays plus 172.”
All three parlay legs won: 76ers beat Wizards 139-134 in OT, Heat beat Hornets 144-117, and Thunder beat Kings 107-101 (ESPN box scores).
“I love Indianapolis laying the three. That's a bet that I've already placed.”
PIT 27, IND 20 — Steelers beat Colts 27-20 (Nov 2, 2025); Indianapolis' -7 margin busts the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“Orlando's a six and a half point favorite in Philly. We knew that Paul George was going to be out. That's not a surprise. Embiid's out as well. Not a surprise. Jalen Suggs is going to play. So I think that without Embiid and without Paul George, Philly's going to run at a breakneck pace. That's how they're playing games when Embiid's not on the court. And I don't think you can get away with that with the team as good defensively as Orlando. I think Orlando's going to shove them in a locker tonight. Like Suggs is going to be on Maxie, and then it's just like shut down Edgecombe. Like how are they going to score? I think Orlando wins by double digits. So I like the Orlando magic. That would be bet number one.”
PHI 136, ORL 124 — 76ers beat Magic 136-124 (Oct 27, 2025); Orlando's -12 margin busts the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Houston Rockets are 15.5 point favorites against the Brooklyn Nets. Both of these teams have not won a game. I think the Rockets might win like 110-78. Cam Thomas just scored 40. Now here's the length of the Houston Rockets to slow you down. I think the Rockets win by 20 plus against the Brooklyn Nets.”
HOU 137, BKN 109 — Rockets beat Nets 137-109 (Oct 27, 2025); Houston's +28 margin covers the -15.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Last NBA bet for tonight. Fallen hero spot. Timberwolves plus six and a half without Anthony Edwards against the Nuggets.”
DEN 127, MIN 114 — Nuggets beat Timberwolves 127-114 (Oct 27, 2025); Minnesota's -13 margin busts the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Also, I do like Shang-Goon triple-double at plus 800.”
Alperen Sengun posted 21 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists in the Rockets' 137-109 win over Brooklyn (Oct 27, 2025) — short of a triple-double, so the prop busts (ESPN box score). (Alperen Sengun: 21 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast)
“So, I like Deebo over 41.5 receiving yards, but let's get a little crazier.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Deebo Samuel caught 3 passes for 11 yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over Washington (Oct 27, 2025); the over 41.5 receiving yards prop busts (ESPN box score). (Deebo Samuel: 3 rec, 11 receiving yards)
“So let's do. Rashard Smith. Over. Seven and a half rushing yards.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Brashard Smith rushed 3 times for 8 yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over Washington (Oct 27, 2025); 8 yards covers the over 7.5 rushing yards prop (ESPN box score). (Brashard Smith: 3 carries, 8 rushing yards)
“So Kansas City a 10-point favorite at home. and I really like the Chiefs. And I'll tell you why at the end of the show and I'll give you some props, but hell yeah, I'll be on the Kansas City Chiefs coming up tonight.”
28-7 — Chiefs beat Commanders 28-7, covering the -10 spread by 14 (ESPN box score).
- Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Texas Longhorns won
“I like an Alabama, Iowa State, Texas money line parlay plus 180 at BetMGM.”
Parlay leg Iowa State moneyline lost (BYU 41, Iowa State 27) even though Alabama (29-22 over South Carolina) and Texas (45-38 over Mississippi State) won, so the 3-team parlay busts (ESPN finals).
“Yeah, Houston Moneyline minus 130 is the price right now. I like that.”
Houston 26, San Francisco 15 — Houston beat San Francisco 26-15, so the Houston Texans moneyline won (ESPN final).
“dallas plus three and a half for me as well”
Denver 44, Dallas 24 — Denver beat Dallas 44-24, a -20 margin for Dallas that busts +3.5 (ESPN final).
“I bet the over I bet 45.”
Green Bay 35, Pittsburgh 25 — Green Bay beat Pittsburgh 35-25, a combined 60 points that covers the over 45 (ESPN final).
“and I'll take the Bucs as a short home dog in Toronto against the Raptors.”
MIL 122, TOR 116 — Bucks beat Raptors 122-116 (Oct 24, 2025); Milwaukee moneyline wins outright (ESPN box score).
“So I will join you on the Nuggets.”
Golden State 137, Denver 131 — Golden State beat Denver 137-131 in overtime, so the Nuggets moneyline lost (ESPN final).
“Chargers 3 I like the Chargers as well with Joe Walt set to play Small bet for me laying the three”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — The Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10, a +27 margin that covers Los Angeles Chargers -3 (ESPN final).
“Give me Chargers rookie receiver, Tre Harris”
Los Angeles Chargers 37, Minnesota 10 — Tre' Harris caught a touchdown as the Chargers beat the Vikings 37-10 (ESPN box score). (Tre' Harris: 1 receiving touchdown)
“I bet seven and a half. I think Rico, they're going to do like what the FBI is going to try and do coming up to a bunch of NBA players and coaches.”
Buffalo 40, Carolina 9 — Buffalo beat Carolina 40-9, a -31 margin for Carolina that busts +7.5 (ESPN final).
“The actual number is 61.5 over under. Over.”
DEN 44, DAL 24 — Courtland Sutton had 4 catches for 67 receiving yards as the Broncos beat the Cowboys 44-24 on Oct 26, 2025; 67 clears the 61.5 line (ESPN box score). (Courtland Sutton: 67 receiving yards)
“I'll lay the four and a half with Minnesota on the road in Portland.”
MIN 118, POR 114 — The Timberwolves beat the Trail Blazers 118-114 on Oct 22, 2025, a 4-point margin that falls short of the -4.5 spread (ESPN).
“45. Way too low. Give me the over on Sunday Night Football.”
GB 35, PIT 25 — The Packers beat the Steelers 35-25 on Oct 26, 2025, a combined 60 points that clears the over 45 total (ESPN).
“I like laying the six and a half in this game that is a bet that I placed about 20 minutes ago”
OKC 125, HOU 124 — Thunder beat Rockets 125-124 in 2OT, winning by only 1, busting the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet Luka over 31.5 points no LeBron, I think, you know, this is the transition time I think Luka is going to take that responsibility seriously and bombs away 30.5 is the number”
GS 119, LAL 109 — Luka Doncic scored 43 points, clearing the 30.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 43 points)
“I will also sprinkle on Luka 40 or more points at plus 400 tonight”
GS 119, LAL 109 — Luka Doncic scored 43 points, clearing the 39.5-point line for 40+ (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 43 points)
“I'll take the six with Tampa. Not a big bet, but I will bet Tampa plus the six tonight against Detroit.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Lions beat Buccaneers 24-9; Tampa Bay lost by 15, busting the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“And in the nightcap, Femi, I'm laying the Seahawks. I don't trust this Texans offensive line. I don't think Houston's very good. I think Seattle is good. I will lay the three. I think at worst, I push with the Seahawks. Bad offensive lines don't travel. I'm going to make Houston pay. I'm going to pay to see Houston go ahead and prove me wrong here. I laid three minus 110.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Seahawks beat Texans 27-19, winning by 8 to cover the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“Mike Evans over 63.5 receiving yards.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Mike Evans was held to 0 receiving yards, well under the 63.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Mike Evans: 0 receiving yards)
“Jaylin Noel He's actually off the board right now at MGM. The number's 11 and a half. I like that. Jaylin Noel over receiving yards.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Jaylin Noel had 77 receiving yards, clearing the 11.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jaylin Noel: 77 receiving yards)
“Anytime touchdowns for the nightcap. Elijah Arroyo.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Elijah Arroyo did not score a touchdown for Seattle in Week 7 against Houston (ESPN box score).
“And Jaylin Noel”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Jaylin Noel did not score a touchdown for Houston against Seattle (ESPN box score).
“Tonight, we will own the libs again by betting on Tesla. Isaac TeSlaa, anytime touchdown tonight for the Detroit Lions.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Isaac TeSlaa did not score a touchdown for Detroit against Tampa Bay (ESPN box score).
“Anytime touchdowns, Tesla, Noel Arroyo, Noel over receiving yards. I like Higgins also, Evans over receiving yards.”
SEA 27, HOU 19 — Jayden Higgins did not score a touchdown for Houston against Seattle (ESPN box score).
“I'll take LSU to beat Vanderbilt. Like, Diego Pavia. Like, it's time to sell insurance, buddy. Enough. LSU Moneyline against Vandy.”
VAN 31, LSU 24 — Vanderbilt beat LSU 31-24; the LSU moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Make it a couple of Boilermakers. Purdue, plus three on the road at Northwestern.”
NU 19, PUR 0 — Northwestern shut out Purdue 19-0; Purdue lost by 19, busting the +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I will lay a number short of 13 with Texas. I'll lay 12.5 with the Longhorns at Kentucky.”
TEX 16, UK 13 — Texas beat Kentucky only 16-13; Texas won by 3, short of the -12.5 spread required, so the Texas bet busts (ESPN box score).
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish won
- Georgia Bulldogs won
“And I will wrap it up with a Moneyline parlay. Give me Notre Dame to beat USC and Georgia to beat Ole Miss. That two-team Moneyline parlay at BetMGM, minus 130.”
Both parlay legs won: Notre Dame beat USC 34-24 and Georgia beat Ole Miss 43-35, so the two-team moneyline parlay cashes (ESPN box scores).
“i thought pozzola had awesome analysis of this game which is that the betting market hasn't realized how bad the raiders are and how good the chiefs are uh i concur i'll lay the 12 with Kansas City.”
KC 31, LV 0 — Chiefs shut out the Raiders 31-0, covering the -12 spread easily (ESPN box score).
“eagles laying two with the vikings total in the game is 44 carson wentz is going to start for the vikings andrew van ginkle out looks like jalen carter is going to play landon dickerson is going to play. Quenyon Mitchell is going to play. I've been saying it all week. I love the Eagles. And everyone loves the Vikings. I think Jalen Hurts is going to beat this blitz. I think Philly wins this game, Femi, by double digits on Sunday. Give me the Eagles.”
PHI 28, MIN 22 — Eagles beat Vikings 28-22, winning by 6 to cover the -2 spread (ESPN box score).
“I have bet the Steelers I have laid five and a half”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Bengals beat the Steelers 33-31 on Oct 16, 2025; Pittsburgh lost outright, missing the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“DK Metcalf over receiving yards. The number right now at BetMGM is 65.5 with 64.5 this morning.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — DK Metcalf caught 3 passes for 50 receiving yards in the Bengals' 33-31 win over the Steelers on Oct 16, 2025; under the 65.5 line, so the over bet lost (ESPN box score). (DK Metcalf: 50 receiving yards)
“Pat Freiermuth. Anytime touchdown.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Pat Freiermuth caught 2 touchdown passes in the Bengals' 33-31 win over the Steelers on Oct 16, 2025; the anytime TD prop won (ESPN box score). (Pat Freiermuth: 2 receiving touchdowns)
“which means let's take a shot on Kaleb Johnson, anytime touchdown tonight.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Pittsburgh's touchdowns came from Aaron Rodgers passing to Jonnu Smith, Pat Freiermuth (x2), and Darnell Washington in the Bengals' 33-31 win over the Steelers on Oct 16, 2025; Kaleb Johnson did not score, so the anytime TD prop lost (ESPN box score).
“Drew Sample. Anytime touchdown. 13 to 1.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Cincinnati's touchdowns came from Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Noah Fant in the Bengals' 33-31 win over the Steelers on Oct 16, 2025; Drew Sample did not score, so the anytime TD prop lost (ESPN box score).
“I actually did bet some Dodgers to sweep. So I'm in on the Dodgers here”
The Dodgers swept the Brewers 4-0 in the 2025 NLCS, clinching with a Game 4 win on Oct 17, 2025; the sweep futures bet won (MLB.com). (Dodgers defeated Brewers 4-0 in the NLCS)
“I will be on the Mariners tonight as well. Betting the Mariners in every game.”
TOR 13, SEA 4 — The Blue Jays beat the Mariners 13-4 in ALCS Game 3 on Oct. 15, 2025, so the Mariners moneyline lost.
“I'm going to stick to my guns. And I'll place my money on the better quarterback in the game. Give me Jaden Daniels and the Washington Commanders to win on Sunday in Dallas.”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Cowboys beat the Commanders 44-22 on Oct 19, 2025; Washington's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“Truly 71 and a half right now. Minus 115 in your direction at BetMGM. So, Femi, you're the winner. You have honors, my friend. Over or under? Slightly into the over. In fact, I'm just going to bet the over. I think there's something to this Flacco-Chase thing. He's going to trust him like Jake Browning did. Browning was more of a Higgins guy. Flacco, he knows where the bread should be buttered. Nick? I don't know. Really? Chase is on the case, man. How about this? DK Metcalf over on Thursday night. Yeah, that feels good. Okay, sure, that feels right. Look, I'll give you my definitive answer on this. I agree with Femi. I'm going to windmill slam dunk Dominique Wilkin style. The over on Ja'Marr Chase and that prop.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Ja'Marr Chase caught 16 passes for 161 receiving yards in the Bengals' 33-31 win over Pittsburgh on Oct 16, 2025, clearing over 71.5 (ESPN box score). (Ja'Marr Chase: 161 receiving yards)
“Total of the game, six and a half, juice towards the under? I'll be drinking that juice. Under six and a half. Penguins and Ducks. Small money bet.”
ANA 4, PIT 3 — Ducks beat Penguins 4-3 on Oct 14, 2025; the combined 7 goals busts the under 6.5 (ESPN).
“I have bet the Miami Dolphins plus three.”
CLE 31, MIA 6 — Browns beat Dolphins 31-6 on Oct 19, 2025; Miami's -25 margin busts the +3 line (ESPN).
“The Commanders are plus 150 to make the playoffs. And when I tell you what the standings are, it's understandable, right? You get it. A lot of teams are ahead of them, and a couple teams they're going to be fighting for position with, jockeying for position, assuming they don't overtake the Eagles to win the NFC East, have better records. And by the way, if the Packers don't win the division, the NFC North, Green Bay's got the head-to-head tiebreaker over Washington as well by smashing them in week two on Thursday Night Football. I don't want to overthink it. I get Jaden Daniels at a pretty decent plus price. It's not like it's plus 300, whatever. I got Jaden Daniels plus to make the playoffs. If I'm wrong, I live with it. If he gets hurt, I live with it. I'm willing to go down with the Jaden Daniels ship. Give me the Washington Commanders to make the playoffs today.”
Washington Commanders finished the 2025 regular season 5-12, 3rd in the NFC East, and missed the playoffs (ESPN final 2025 NFL standings). (Commanders finished 5-12, missed the playoffs)
“And this week, they're at a pick-em-at-home against the suddenly surging Carolina Panthers. God Almighty, give me the Carolina Panthers to win that game.”
CAR 13, NYJ 6 — Carolina beat the Jets 13-6 in Week 7; the Panthers moneyline cashes (ESPN Jets schedule).
“I took a little under 50 earlier.”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Atlanta beat Buffalo 24-14, a combined 38 points that stays under the 50-point total (ESPN).
“Give me the Bears. Bear down plus the five and a half.”
CHI 25, WSH 24 — Chicago beat Washington 25-24, a 1-point Bears win that comfortably covers the Bears +5.5 spread (ESPN).
“Anytime touchdowns, Casey Washington, who will be the fill-in for Darnell Mooney, and a little Ray Davis for the Buffalo Bills”
Casey Washington did not score a touchdown; Buffalo's only TDs came from Dawson Knox and Ray Davis (ESPN box score). (Casey Washington: 0 touchdowns)
“Anytime touchdowns, Casey Washington, who will be the fill-in for Darnell Mooney, and a little Ray Davis for the Buffalo Bills at a longer price than Ty Johnson.”
Ray Davis scored a 16-yard touchdown for Buffalo, cashing the anytime-touchdown prop (ESPN box score). (Ray Davis: 1 touchdown (16-yard reception))
“Jaylin Lane over receiving yards. Over 18 and a half for the commanders.”
Jaylin Lane caught 1 pass for 37 receiving yards, clearing the 18.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jaylin Lane: 37 receiving yards)
“And anytime touchdowns. Luther Burden III and Jaylin Lane”
Luther Burden III caught 4 passes for 51 yards but did not score; Chicago's TDs came from D'Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson (ESPN box score). (Luther Burden III: 0 touchdowns)
“And anytime touchdowns. Luther Burden III and Jaylin Lane”
Jaylin Lane caught 1 pass for 37 yards but did not score; Washington's TDs came from Chris Moore, Zach Ertz, and Luke McCaffrey (ESPN box score). (Jaylin Lane: 0 touchdowns)
“Titans win total adjusted is 3.5. we'll get to the Patriots in one second here's the Titans schedule rest of season home Patriots at Colts home chargers by week the buys lay in three and a half home texans home seahawks home jaguars at browns maybe you get your nurse anderson that game at the niners home chiefs home saints we're like that ain't a gimme at the jaguars in week 18 and mike mccoy's the head coach that's under”
3-14 — Tennessee Titans finished the 2025 regular season 3-14, under the 3.5-win line (ESPN standings).
“They love Ty Johnson tonight, 8-1. So that's what I'm going to do.”
ATL 24, BUF 14 — Falcons beat Bills 24-14 on Oct 13, 2025; Ty Johnson had 1 carry for 5 yards and 1 catch for 11 yards with no touchdown (ESPN box score).
“And with Mariners Blue Jays, for instance, I bet Seattle to win the series.”
TOR 4, SEA 3 (Game 7; series TOR 4-3) — Blue Jays beat Mariners 4-3 in Game 7 on Oct 20, 2025 to win the 2025 ALCS 4 games to 3, so Seattle did not win the AL pennant (ESPN).
“I'll give you my bet for game two of the ALCS right now. I'm betting the Mariners in every single game.”
SEA 10, TOR 3 — Mariners beat Blue Jays 10-3 in ALCS Game 2 on Oct 13, 2025; Seattle moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“And you know I got to roll with our friend Joseph Kanish and lay the 14 with Texas Tech against Kansas. Rock, chalk, losers. Give me the Red Raiders.”
TTU 42, KU 17 — Texas Tech beat Kansas 42-17; margin +25 covers -14 (ESPN).
“Yeah, I bet some Broncos seven on Sunday night.”
DEN 13, NYJ 11 — Broncos beat Jets 13-11; margin +2 busts -7 (ESPN).
“Duval. Give me the Jaguars to win on Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks.”
SEA 20, JAX 12 — Seahawks beat Jaguars 20-12; Jaguars moneyline busts (ESPN).
“now this was six and a half on Sunday night I bet some Tennessee plus six and a half”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Raiders beat Titans 20-10; Titans margin -10 busts +6.5 (ESPN).
“Moneyline, lay the points.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Chiefs beat Lions 30-17; Chiefs moneyline covers (ESPN).
“My preseason NFC champion. I doubled down on Monday, as in five days ago, after the Eagles lost to the Broncos on Sunday and said, I'm sticking with the Philadelphia Eagles as my NFC champion.”
The Seattle Seahawks were the 2025 NFC champion (they beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX); the Philadelphia Eagles did not win the NFC (Wikipedia, citing official NFL results). (Selection was not the NFC champion)
“The Los Angeles Dodgers are going to win another world championship. And we told you yesterday before the show that if you agreed with us that that was going to happen, you had a nice opportunity to grab some good prices on the Dodgers to do so. And we did that yesterday, and we talked about it yesterday.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2025 World Series in 7 games over the Toronto Blue Jays, 4-3 (ESPN Dodgers postseason schedule). (Dodgers defeated Blue Jays 4-3 in the World Series)
“I like the Brewers also. I bet them for the series. I've been betting them every game. Didn't go great yesterday. I think it'll go great tonight.”
CHC 6, MIL 0 — Cubs shut out Brewers 6-0 in NLDS Game 4; the Brewers moneyline lost (ESPN).
“Saquon Barkley over 15.5 receiving yards tonight against my New York football Giants.”
Saquon Barkley had 9 receiving yards against the Eagles, well short of the over 15.5 (ESPN). (Saquon Barkley: 9 receiving yards)
“Kylen Granson anytime touchdown”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Kylen Granson did not score a touchdown (ESPN). (Kylen Granson: 0 TD)
“Cameron Latu for the Eagles, their third tight end I have bet him anytime first and last touchdowns at massive numbers”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Cameron Latu did not score a touchdown (ESPN). (Cameron Latu: 0 TD)
“Cameron Latu for the Eagles, their third tight end I have bet him anytime first and last touchdowns at massive numbers”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Cameron Latu did not score, so he was not the first touchdown scorer (ESPN). (Cameron Latu: 0 TD)
“Cameron Latu for the Eagles, their third tight end I have bet him anytime first and last touchdowns at massive numbers”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Cameron Latu did not score, so he was not the last touchdown scorer (ESPN). (Cameron Latu: 0 TD)
“So let's play Daniel Bellinger, Cody's brother. Daniel Bellinger, anytime touchdown tonight for the Giants.”
Giants beat Eagles 34-17; the game's touchdowns were scored by Cam Skattebo (3), Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and Wan'Dale Robinson — Daniel Bellinger did not score a touchdown (ESPN). (Daniel Bellinger: 0 TD)
“The Dodgers are minus 105 right now to win the National League. If you think they're going to win tonight, and you like them against either the Brewers or the Cubs, how's that bet sound to you the dodgers basically even money to win the national league feels pretty good to yours truly so that's a bet that i have made today because i like the dodgers to win the nl”
Dodgers swept the Brewers 4-0 in the 2025 NLCS to win the National League pennant (Wikipedia). (Dodgers defeated Brewers 4-0 in the NLCS.)
“The point spread is seven and a half. And I really do think that that half point is going to be valuable here. I do like the Giants to cover tonight. I do like the Giants to cover.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Giants beat Eagles 34-17; margin +17 covers +7.5 (ESPN).
“I'll bet the Bruins plus 155 at the Capitals with the thought being we get a Jeremy Swayman and Boston bounce back after that terrible season last year.”
BOS 3, WSH 1 — Boston Bruins beat Washington Capitals 3-1; Bruins moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Calgary plus 180 to beat the Oilers tonight in Edmonton.”
CGY 4, EDM 3 — Calgary Flames beat Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in a shootout; Flames moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“I love the Chiefs. I think this Chiefs offense is back to what it was back in the glory days even like a couple years ago not last year but a couple years ago I think this is bombs away from Mahomes the rest of the season. I don't like, I love the Chiefs to win and cover on Sunday night.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Chiefs beat Lions 30-17; the Chiefs moneyline won (ESPN).
“I bet the Mariners.”
DET 9, SEA 3 — Tigers beat Mariners 9-3 in ALDS Game 4; the Mariners moneyline lost (ESPN).
- New York Yankees lost
- Los Angeles Dodgers lost
“The 2024 World Series Memorial Parlay tonight. Yankees. Dodgers. Let's go.”
TOR 5, NYY 2; PHI 8, LAD 2 — Blue Jays beat Yankees 5-2 in ALDS Game 4 and Phillies beat Dodgers 8-2 in NLDS Game 3 on Oct 8, 2025; both parlay legs lost (ESPN).
“wouldn't it be prudent to take seven and a half with one of those first round quarterbacks at home I do think Oregon will win the game I think Oregon's better than Indiana do I think Fernando Mendoza can keep this game close I'm betting on it”
IU 30, ORE 20 — Indiana beat Oregon 30-20, a 10-point margin that covered the +7.5 line (ESPN).
“I said this summer, I have a bet in an account, North Carolina, to go to the college football playoff.”
North Carolina finished the 2025 season 4-8 and was not selected for the 12-team College Football Playoff field. (North Carolina finished 4-8 and missed the CFP)
“I love Milwaukee tomorrow to sweep. even money”
CHC 4, MIL 3 — Cubs beat Brewers 4-3; the Brewers moneyline loses.
- New York Yankees moneyline won
- Seattle Mariners moneyline won
“I did parlay Seattle and the Yankees to reduce the Yankees price a little bit.”
Yankees beat Blue Jays in ALDS Game 3, and Mariners beat Tigers in ALDS Game 3; both parlay legs win.
“i'm gonna i'm gonna bet the penguins for a little”
PIT 3, NYR 0 — Penguins beat Rangers 3-0; the Penguins moneyline wins.
“I bet Seattle in the game. I am on your Mariners here.”
SEA 8, DET 4 — Mariners beat Tigers 8-4 in ALDS Game 3; Seattle moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
- Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Oregon Ducks lost
- Alabama Crimson Tide won
“I want to take the three teams that are all the best teams in my estimation Ohio State Oregon and Bama Moneyline Parlay this weekend Ohio State at Illinois laying 14 and a half. Oregon now is seven and a half or seven at Indiana and Bama three at Mizzou. Moneyline parlay those three teams plus 152 right now at BetMGM.”
Parlay busts: Ohio State beat Illinois 34-16 (won), Indiana beat Oregon 30-20 (Oregon lost), Alabama beat Missouri 27-24 (won); one leg loses the parlay.
“10-1 to win the Super Bowl.”
Seattle Seahawks defeated New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX (Feb 8, 2026); Chiefs futures lose.
“5-1 to win the AFC.”
New England Patriots beat Denver Broncos 10-7 to win the AFC Championship; Chiefs futures to win the AFC lose.
“Plus 185 to win the AFC West.”
Denver Broncos won the AFC West and the AFC's No. 1 seed in 2025; Chiefs futures to win the AFC West lose.
“i basically have michigan money line already because i have michigan to make the playoff and like that bet basically hinges on michigan winning this game”
Michigan was not selected for the 2025-26 College Football Playoff field; the pick busts.
“Michigan State is a seven and a half point home favorite. I bet them earlier.”
UCLA 38, Michigan State 13 — UCLA won at Michigan State 38-13; the Michigan State spread pick busts.
“Denver minus seven was a bet that I placed.”
DEN 13, NYJ 11 — Broncos beat Jets 13-11; the Broncos spread pick busts.
“I did bet Titans plus six.”
LV 20, TEN 10 — Raiders beat Titans 20-10; the Titans spread pick busts.
“I think Bengals plus 14.5 is a bet at Lambeau.”
GB 27, CIN 18 — Packers beat Bengals 27-18; the Bengals spread pick covers.
“I am on the Brew Crew tonight.”
MIL 7, CHC 3 — Brewers beat Cubs 7-3; the Brewers moneyline wins.
“I have Kansas City just to win the game.”
JAX 31, KC 28 — Jaguars beat Chiefs 31-28; the Chiefs moneyline loses.
“Patrick Mahomes over 256.5 passing yards.”
Patrick Mahomes passed for 318 yards; the over bet won. (Patrick Mahomes: 318 passing yards)
“Xavier Worthy over receiving yards. 58.5 for the Kansas City Chiefs.”
Xavier Worthy had 42 receiving yards; the over bet lost. (Xavier Worthy: 42 receiving yards)
“Travis Hunter cut his hair. We should probably bet him to score a touchdown tonight.”
Travis Hunter did not score a touchdown in the game; the anytime-touchdown bet lost.
“How about Brashard Smith to score two touchdowns tonight?”
Brashard Smith scored 0 touchdowns; the 2+ touchdowns bet lost. (Brashard Smith: 0 touchdowns)
“Long Munt, Brashard Smith, touchdowns tonight.”
Hunter Long did not score a touchdown in the game; the anytime-touchdown bet lost.
“Hunter Long and Johnny Munt, Muntcake, at big prices. Long Munt, Brashard Smith, touchdowns tonight.”
Johnny Mundt did not score a touchdown in the game; the anytime-touchdown bet lost.
“I have bet the Yankees to win the series.”
The Blue Jays defeated the Yankees in the 2025 ALDS; the Yankees-to-win-the-series pick loses.
“I'm going to take the 17.5 with Wisconsin.”
MICH 24, WIS 10 — Michigan beat Wisconsin 24-10; Wisconsin +17.5 covers by 3.5 (ESPN).
“I'll take the 12 and a half with Michigan State against Nebraska.”
NEB 38, MSU 27 — Nebraska beat Michigan State 38-27; Michigan State +12.5 covers by 1.5 (ESPN).
“I'll bet Iowa State to beat Cincinnati,”
CIN 38, ISU 30 — Cincinnati beat Iowa State 38-30; Iowa State moneyline loses (ESPN).
“I bet plus two and a half.”
DAL 37, NYJ 22 — Cowboys beat Jets 37-22, a 15-point margin; Jets +2.5 fails to cover (ESPN).
“I bet money line.”
DAL 37, NYJ 22 — Cowboys beat Jets 37-22; Jets moneyline loses (ESPN).
“So I'm laying the bills, minus eight,”
NE 23, BUF 20 — Patriots beat Bills 23-20, a 3-point margin; Buffalo -8 fails to cover, losing outright (ESPN).
- Buffalo Bills teaser leg
- Arizona Cardinals teaser leg
“Let's call it Bill's Arizona as my teaser leg coming up on Sunday.”
NE 23, BUF 20 — Buffalo lost outright to New England 23-20, so the Bills -2 teaser leg fails and the two-team teaser loses regardless of the Cardinals leg (ESPN).
“I'll take the Brew Crew in game one and in the series against the Cubbies.”
MIL 9, CHC 3 — Milwaukee beat Chicago 9-3 in NLDS Game 1; Brewers moneyline covers (ESPN).
“I'll take the Brew Crew in game one and in the series against the Cubbies.”
Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago Cubs 3-2 in the 2025 NLDS (Wikipedia). (Brewers defeated Cubs 3-2)
“I like the Dodgers. I'm betting the Dodgers.”
Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in the 2025 NLDS (Wikipedia). (Dodgers defeated Phillies 3-1)
“221 and a half is the number. I like that over for Mac Jones.”
Mac Jones passed for 342 yards for the 49ers, over 221.5 (ESPN box score). (Mac Jones: 342 passing yards)
“So we're out on the Rams. That's it. We're done. Let's do it.”
SF 26, LAR 23 — The Rams lost to the 49ers 26-23 in OT, eliminating the Rams survivor entry (ESPN).
“Michigan State plus 11. Love them.”
NEB 38, MSU 27 — Nebraska beat Michigan State 38-27; Michigan State's margin exactly matches the +11 line, resulting in a push (ESPN).
“I bet the Saints on Sunday night when they were dogs in the game.”
NO 26, NYG 14 — Saints beat Giants 26-14; Saints moneyline won (ESPN).
“I'm going to bet the Phillies.”
Dodgers def. Phillies 3-1 — The Dodgers won the 2025 NLDS over the Phillies 3-1; Phillies did not win the series (ESPN).
“Give me the Cubs minus 115 to beat the Padres.”
CHC 3, SD 1 — Cubs beat Padres 3-1 in NL Wild Card Game 3; Cubs moneyline won (ESPN box score data).
“Yankees minus one and a half runs at plus 140.”
NYY 4, BOS 0 — Yankees beat Red Sox 4-0 in AL Wild Card Game 3, comfortably covering as -1.5 favorites (ESPN).
- Los Angeles Rams -2.5
- Buffalo Bills -2
“The Rams down to two and a half and the Bills down to two.”
SF 26, LAR 23; NE 23, BUF 20 — Rams lost to 49ers 23-26 in OT, so the Rams -2.5 teaser leg failed regardless of the Bills -2 leg; the parlay lost (ESPN).
“I'm with you here. I'm liking the Seminoles plus four and a half”
MIA 28, FSU 22 — Miami beat Florida State 28-22 on Oct 4, 2025; FSU lost by 6, missing the +4.5 cover (ESPN).
“Red Sox plus 150 tonight.”
3-4 — Yankees beat Red Sox 4-3 in AL Wild Card Game 2 on Oct 1, 2025; the Red Sox moneyline lost (ESPN).
“I bet the Dodgers to sweep.”
The Dodgers swept the Reds 2-0 in the NL Wild Card Series, winning Game 1 10-5 and Game 2 8-4; the sweep bet won (MLB.com). (NL Wild Card Series: Dodgers def. Reds 2-0 (Games: 10-5, 8-4))
“I managed to get a piece of Steelers plus $225 about maybe like 90 minutes ago.”
The Steelers finished 10-7 and clinched the AFC North title with a Week 18 win over the Ravens; the futures bet won (ESPN).
“I love this under. Love that for the Bengals. Six and a half under? Yeah!”
The Bengals finished the 2025 season 6-11, missing the playoffs; 6 wins is under 6.5, so the futures bet won (ESPN).
“Last night, the Giants were a one and a half point road favorite. And to me, that number was ludicrous. coming for that number one spot. That number was ludicrous. That's a, like, Giants are good and Malik Neighbors is playing number. Like, that number made no sense. That's a WTF number. The Saints need to be favored in the game. And now they are. New Orleans is flipped. It's now a one-point favorite. I did bet a little New Orleans last night”
New Orleans Saints 26, New York Giants 14 — New Orleans Saints beat New York Giants 26-14, a +12 margin that covers Saints +1.5 (ESPN box score).
“So that takes us now to the AFC South Market, where the Colts are minus 105, and the Jaguars or at a plus price to win the division. Everyone knows that I'm Mr. Jacksonville. I love the Jaguars. I've got Jacksonville at a way better number than this to win the division. But if I'm being honest and objective, I think the Colts are the bet.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars won the AFC South at 13-4; the Indianapolis Colts finished 8-9 and did not win the division (NFL.com standings). (Jaguars 13-4, Colts 8-9)
“I took four and a half with Cleveland in the London game against Minnesota.”
Minnesota Vikings 21, Cleveland Browns 17 — Minnesota Vikings beat Cleveland Browns 21-17 in London; the Browns' -4 margin covers Cleveland +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“Bet them to make the playoffs.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers went 10-7 and won the AFC North, qualifying for the 2025 playoffs as the No. 4 seed before losing to Houston in the Wild Card round (ESPN). (Steelers 10-7, AFC North champions, No. 4 seed)
“I like Buffalo this was 8.5 last night it's 7.5 now I do like Buffalo early in the week I placed a small bet on the Bills”
New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20 — New England beat Buffalo 23-20 on a last-second field goal; the Bills lost outright, busting Buffalo -8.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Commanders plus 3”
Washington Commanders 27, Los Angeles Chargers 10 — Washington beat the Chargers 27-10, scoring 27 unanswered points; the +17 margin covers Commanders +3 (ESPN box score).
“I am on Jets. I'll take the points and the Jets on the money line.”
Miami Dolphins 27, New York Jets 21 — Miami beat New York 27-21; the Jets lost outright, busting the Jets moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Garrett Wilson over 65. I bet 62.5, 64.5 I think is still good for Garrett Wilson.”
Garrett Wilson caught 6 passes for 82 yards, clearing the over 62.5 receiving yards line (ESPN box score). (Garrett Wilson 82 receiving yards)
“Arian Smith, 10-1, anytime touchdown for the Jets.”
Arian Smith recorded no offensive stats and did not score a touchdown for the Jets (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
“R.J. Harvey, over 23.5 rushing yards for the Broncos against the Bengals”
RJ Harvey carried 14 times for 58 yards, clearing the over 23.5 rushing yards line (ESPN box score). (RJ Harvey 58 rushing yards)
“I'll take a shot on Tahj Brooks to score a touchdown.”
Tahj Brooks recorded no stats and did not score a touchdown for the Bengals (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
“Plus 425 to win the AFC. What a joke.”
The New England Patriots beat the Denver Broncos 10-7 to win the AFC Championship on January 25, 2026; Kansas City did not win the AFC (Wikipedia Super Bowl LX). (AFC Championship: New England Patriots 10, Denver Broncos 7)
“Oregon's quarterback, Dante Moore, is the Heisman favorite right now at BetMGM, plus 650? That's a bet for me.”
Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, 2025; Dante Moore did not win (NFL.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
“and i'm taking the three and a half with oregon on the road at penn state.”
ORE 30, PSU 24 — Oregon beat Penn State 30-24 in 2OT; Oregon's margin (+6) covered the +3.5 line.
“Give me the Raiders to beat the Chicago Bears.”
CHI 25, LV 24 — The Bears beat the Raiders 25-24; the Las Vegas moneyline busted.
“Minus 130 to make the playoffs. This is a playoff team. I'm in on the Seahawks at this price.”
Seattle finished the 2025 regular season 14-3 and won the NFC West, clinching a playoff berth in Week 16.
“Just the Tip Reiman for the Arizona Cardinals. A bunch of listeners and viewers reached out to me with that bet. And I like it as well.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Tip Reiman did not score a touchdown as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; the only Cardinals touchdown scorers were Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emari Demercado (ESPN box score/recap).
“Eric Saubert, anytime touchdown.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Eric Saubert did not score a touchdown as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; the only Cardinals touchdown scorers were Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emari Demercado (ESPN box score/recap).
“Greg Dorch's price, I think, is ridiculous. Plus 700.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Greg Dortch had 35 receiving yards but did not score a touchdown as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; the only Cardinals touchdown scorers were Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emari Demercado (ESPN box score/recap).
“The answer right now at BetMGM, and it's been getting bets of the under over the course of the last few hours. And I'm just going to bring it up here just to make sure that I've got the exact one as it stands right now. We are at 47 and a half for Marvin Harrison Jr. 47 and a half. And I guess it makes sense if you're looking at it through the lens of Cardinals offense v. Mike McDonald defense in Seattle. In the two games that the Cardinals played Seattle last year, right? Mike McDonald's first year as Seahawks coach, Marvin Harrison's rookie year in the NFL. 47 and 49 yards for Marv. So he didn't go off in either game last year against the Seahawks. If you're out there listening and watching, and you want to bet the Marvin Harrison Jr. over, and I'll be honest, I do, this is like a leap of faith pick.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Marvin Harrison Jr. had 66 receiving yards as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; over 47.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Marvin Harrison Jr.: 66 receiving yards)
“Trey Benson's receiving yards prop tonight, 19 and a half. The Seattle Seahawks defense through three games has allowed the most receiving yards to running backs in the NFL. Now, you have to consider the competition, right? Christian McCaffrey, week one, one of the best receiving running backs in the league. Jalen Warren in week two. We know Aaron Rodgers loves to check down to his running back. Kamara, week three. So, like, they're facing good receiving running backs. They're not facing curtain jerking jabronis that are breaking tackles. But even with that said, this is Trey Benson's specialty. He's good in the passing game. Runs a blazing fast 40-yard dash. I think Benson gets into the 30s tonight as far as receiving yards goes.”
SEA 23, ARI 20 — Trey Benson had 19 receiving yards as Seattle beat Arizona 23-20; over 19.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Trey Benson: 19 receiving yards)
“I'll bet the Tigers plus 130.”
CLE 5, DET 1 — Guardians beat Tigers 5-1; Tigers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I would like to bet the Pittsburgh Pirates to beat the Cincinnati Reds with Paul Skeens on the mound tonight.”
PIT 4, CIN 3 — Pirates beat Reds 4-3 in 11 innings; Pirates moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“I'll end up with the Steelers money line ticket on Sunday.”
PIT 24, MIN 21 — Steelers beat Vikings 24-21 at Croke Park in Dublin; Steelers moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“I bet three and a half with Indianapolis on Sunday night”
LAR 27, IND 20 — Rams beat Colts 27-20; Colts lost outright, so +3.5 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“Chiefs money line on Sunday.”
KC 37, BAL 20 — Chiefs beat Ravens 37-20; Chiefs moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“Aidan Hutchinson for me at nine to one.”
49ers RB Christian McCaffrey won the 2025 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award with 31 first-place votes; Aidan Hutchinson finished second with 9 (NFL.com). (Christian McCaffrey: 31 first-place votes; Aidan Hutchinson: 9 first-place votes)
“Jacksonville's playoff price right now at BetMGM, yes, is minus 125. So they're favored to make the playoffs right now. And I bet it today.”
Jacksonville won the AFC South (13-4) and clinched a playoff berth in 2025-26, so the bet to make the playoffs cashed (ESPN). (Jacksonville Jaguars: 13-4, AFC South champions)
“Titans were plus seven and a half, and I was just like, this number's not going to last.”
HOU 26, TEN 0 — Texans shut out the Titans 26-0; Tennessee lost by 26, well outside the +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I laid three with the Eagles on the road in Tampa.”
PHI 31, TB 25 — Eagles beat the Buccaneers 31-25, a 6-point win that covers -3 (ESPN box score).
“i took seven and a half with Cincy.”
DEN 28, CIN 3 — Broncos beat the Bengals 28-3; Cincinnati lost by 25, outside the +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“i did bet detroit plus four and a half”
DET 38, BAL 30 — Lions beat the Ravens 38-30, an 8-point win that covers +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“i have a small sprinkle on the lions to win the game outright as well.”
DET 38, BAL 30 — Lions beat the Ravens 38-30 outright, so the moneyline pick cashes (ESPN box score).
“We'll go Jameson Williams over 48.5 receiving yards.”
Jameson Williams had 2 receptions for 43 receiving yards, under the 48.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jameson Williams: 43 receiving yards)
“Tylan Wallace touchdown. He's 10-1 at BetMGM.”
Tylan Wallace did not score a touchdown in the Lions-Ravens game (ESPN box score). (Tylan Wallace: 0 TD)
“I have already bet the Patriots for next week against Carolina laying four and a half”
NE 42, CAR 13 — Patriots beat Panthers 42-13, a 29-point margin that easily covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“Best bet on the board to win the Super Bowl. The Philadelphia Eagles.”
Seattle 29, New England 13 — The Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX, beating the New England Patriots 29-13; the Eagles did not win it (ESPN).
“Rutgers on the money line tonight, Friday night against Iowa.”
IOWA 38, RUTG 28 — Iowa beat Rutgers 38-28; Rutgers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
- Utah Utes moneyline lost
- Indiana Hoosiers moneyline won
“A two-team money line parlay of Utah and Indiana pays plus 120.”
Parlay busts: Utah lost to Texas Tech 10-34 (Utah moneyline loses); Indiana beat Illinois 63-10 (Indiana moneyline wins). One losing leg sinks the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I like Auburn. I bet seven earlier today.”
OU 24, AUB 17 — Oklahoma beat Auburn 24-17; Auburn +7 pushes, losing by exactly 7 (ESPN box score).
“Michigan money line minus 125 or whatever the best price is.”
MICH 30, NEB 27 — Michigan beat Nebraska 30-27; Michigan moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“I'll lay the two and a half with Baylor against Arizona State.”
ASU 27, BAY 24 — Arizona State beat Baylor 27-24 on a walk-off field goal; Baylor -2.5 busts, losing by 3 (ESPN box score).
“Miami got bet all the way out to nine and a half earlier this afternoon. And then more buyback on Florida down to seven and a half. So my handicap for this game is simple. I think LSU is better than Miami. People can disagree. I think LSU is better than Miami. DJ Lagway threw five picks last week, and Florida only lost by ten at LSU. The number seven and a half, maybe Lagway throws five picks again. I think it's unlikely. I'll take the points with the Florida Gators this week”
MIA 26, FLA 7 — Miami beat Florida 26-7; Florida +7.5 busts, losing by 19 (ESPN box score).
“It's my favorite bet of the week. At price, Broncos plus three.”
LAC 23, DEN 20 — LA Chargers beat Denver 23-20; Broncos +3 pushes, losing by exactly 3 (ESPN box score).
“I'll go over on both. I'll go Waddle over 46.5 receiving yards and Achan over 38.”
Jaylen Waddle caught 5 passes for 39 receiving yards; over 46.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Waddle: 39 receiving yards)
“If you like the Buffalo Bills in tonight's game, you need to play Ray Davis, last touchdown scorer. You think the Bills win big and this is a laugher? Ray Davis, last touchdown scorer.”
Ray Davis had zero receptions and did not score; the game's last touchdown was Bills WR Khalil Shakir's 15-yard catch in the 4th quarter (ESPN play-by-play). (Last TD: Khalil Shakir (15-yd rec, 4th quarter); Ray Davis: 0 TD)
“Jaylen Wright is active tonight for Miami, making his season debut. He's 14-1 to score a touchdown. Are we sure he's not stepping in as Miami's goal linebacker immediately? I'm not sure that he won't. Jaylen Wright, anytime touchdown.”
Jaylen Wright did not appear in the Dolphins' scoring or rushing/receiving stat lines for this game; he did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Wright: 0 TD)
“We always play the Bills running back at the longest odds to score because all three play, and that usually is Ty Dollae signed at Ty Johnson.”
Ty Johnson had 1 catch for 8 yards and no touchdowns; the seven game touchdowns went to Gordon, Kincaid, Hawes, Waddle, Cook, Hill, and Shakir (ESPN box score). (Ty Johnson: 0 TD)
“And with Darren Waller out once again for the Miami Dolphins, Miami's main tight end, I believe our pals that established the run had that he's running a route on 53% of two of his dropbacks. John's grandson, he'll be back, Tanner Conner. Tanner Conner, Jaylen Wright, Ty Johnson, Ray Davis.”
Tanner Conner had 1 catch for 13 yards and no touchdown; he did not score (ESPN box score). (Tanner Conner: 0 TD)
“And you know, you already know, I'm betting the Jaguars this week. I'm taking Jacksonville.”
JAX 17, HOU 10 — Jaguars beat Texans 17-10; Jaguars moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“They're plus 105 to make the playoffs. I am in on the Atlanta Falcons at that price to make the playoffs as either a wildcard team or the NFC South champions.”
Atlanta Falcons finished the 2025 regular season 8-9, missing the NFL playoffs; the futures bet to make the playoffs loses (ESPN standings). (Atlanta Falcons: 8-9 (missed playoffs))
“that the look ahead for Green Bay at Cleveland was seven, and just like it has to be higher than that. Yep. And like I placed a small bet on it”
13-10 — Browns beat the Packers 13-10 on a last-second field goal; Green Bay lost outright, missing the -7 spread (ESPN).
“my bets in on Houston minus two and a half I'll roll with it I don't know how much I like it I'm being sincere with the audience”
20-19 — Texans lost outright to the Buccaneers 19-20, missing the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
“Higgins' number is 22 and a half. I think he goes over that tonight. Because the Texans are going to need someone opposite Nico Collins. I think it will be Jayden Higgins. Jayden Higgins over 22.5 receiving yards.”
20-19 — Jayden Higgins caught for 28 receiving yards in the Texans' loss, clearing the 22.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Higgins 28 receiving yards)
“56 and a half is the number for omari and hampton over omari and hampton 56 and a half rushing yards”
20-9 — Omarion Hampton rushed 8 times for 24 yards in the Chargers' 20-9 win, well short of the 56.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Omarion Hampton 24 rushing yards)
“two anytime touchdowns for tonight for the chargers we will go with kls keandre lambert smith on a deep ball from justin herbert against a terrible Raiders secondary.”
The Chargers' only two touchdowns in the win over Las Vegas were receptions by Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston; KeAndre Lambert-Smith did not score (ESPN box score). (KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 0 TD)
“Woody Marks is 10. We'll play the longest price. Is that like a Toy Story joke I could tell here for Woody, or no? To Infinity and Beyond, that's Buzz Lightyear, right? Yeah, that's Buzz's thing. Woody was like, you got a friend in me, right? Wasn't that his, Jim? Like, you got a friend in me. Yeah, what a loser. Was that not it? Eddie says I'm wrong. Piss off, Woody. Woody marks any time touchdown for the Houston Texans.”
Woody Marks had one catch for 37 yards and no touchdown for the Texans; Houston's touchdowns went to Nico Collins and Nick Chubb (ESPN box score). (Woody Marks: 0 TD (1 catch, 37 yards))
“The total for Bengals-Vikings is 41.5 and headed down. I love the over. Love the over.”
MIN 48, CIN 10 — Vikings beat Bengals 48-10 (58 combined points); over 41.5 total covers (ESPN box score).
“I bet Arkansas State to cover 21 against Iowa State”
ISU 24, ARST 16 — Iowa State beat Arkansas State 24-16 (ESPN); Arkansas State lost by 8, covering the +21 spread.
“Is 15 to 1.”
29-13 — Super Bowl LX was Seahawks 29, Patriots 13, not Packers-Ravens; the exact-matchup pick busts (ESPN).
“25 to 1.”
29-13 — Super Bowl LX was Seahawks 29, Patriots 13, not Packers-Chiefs; the exact-matchup pick busts (ESPN).
“I'll lay the four with the Georgia Bulldogs”
UGA 44, TENN 41 — Georgia beat Tennessee 44-41 in overtime (ESPN); Georgia's 3-point margin falls short of the -4 spread.
“I'll lay seven with LSU in this game against the Florida Gators.”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — LSU beat Florida 20-10 (ESPN); LSU's 10-point margin covers -7.
“Zach Ertz over 34.5 receiving yards.”
Zach Ertz caught passes for 64 receiving yards, clearing the 34.5-yard line. (Zach Ertz: 64 receiving yards)
“Jaylin Lane, Nathan's son, adopted.”
Jaylin Lane did not score a touchdown in the game. (Jaylin Lane: 0 TD)
“And Chris Moore.”
Chris Moore did not record a reception or touchdown in the box score. (Chris Moore: 0 TD)
“Let's go with the rookie, Savion Williams. Anytime touchdown tonight with the Green Bay Packers.”
Savion Williams did not score a touchdown in the game. (Savion Williams: 0 TD)
“I grabbed some over 47 earlier today.”
PHI 20, KC 17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 20-17 (combined 37); the over 47 total lost.
“I grabbed some Washington plus three and a half earlier today.”
GB 27-18 WSH — Packers beat Commanders 27-18 on Thursday Night Football; Washington +3.5 lost by 9.
“And I feel obviously worse about my Bengals to miss the playoff bets, given their win in that game.”
The Bengals finished 6-11 and did not qualify for the 2025-26 NFL playoffs, so the pick to miss the playoffs won. (Cincinnati Bengals: 6 wins)
“Over 43 and a half.”
MIN 27, CHI 24 — Vikings beat Bears 27-24 (combined 51); over 43.5 covers.
“Manungai's plus 400. I think he's the goal linebacker for Chicago. I think Manungai is worth a bet.”
Kyle Monangai did not score a touchdown in the Vikings' 27-24 win over Chicago. (Kyle Monangai: 0 TD)
“And Adam Thielen's at 29.5 receiving yards. And Kyler Gordon's not playing. I like that as well.”
MIN 27, CHI 24 — Adam Thielen had 0 catches for 0 yards in the Vikings' 27-24 win over Chicago, missing over 29.5 receiving yards. (Adam Thielen: 0 receiving yards)
- Iowa State Cyclones won
- Kansas City Chiefs lost
“an Iowa State-Kansas City Chiefs money line parlay, Chiefs today, Iowa State tomorrow, pays plus 152 at BetMGM.”
Iowa State beat Iowa 16-13 (leg won), but the Chiefs lost 27-21 to the Chargers (leg lost), busting the two-leg moneyline parlay (ESPN final scores).
“I've got Broncos win total over Broncos to make the playoffs.”
The Broncos finished the 2025 regular season 14-3 and clinched the AFC's No. 1 seed, so the pick to make the playoffs won. (Denver Broncos: 14 wins)
“I'll take the Seahawks to win the game, Femi.”
SF 17, SEA 13 — 49ers beat Seahawks 17-13; Seattle moneyline busts.
“Xavier Worthy, over. 59.5.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Xavier Worthy finished with 0 receiving yards after leaving on the third snap in the Chargers' 27-21 win, missing over 59.5. (Xavier Worthy: 0 receiving yards)
“Kelsey over 50 and a half receiving yards.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Travis Kelce had 2 catches for 47 yards (with a 4th-quarter TD) in the Chargers' 27-21 win, missing over 50.5 receiving yards. (Travis Kelce: 47 receiving yards)
“Tyquan Thornton, anytime touchdown.”
Tyquan Thornton did not score a touchdown in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City. (Tyquan Thornton: 0 TD)
“Let's play KeAndre Lambert-Smith, KLS, anytime touchdown.”
KeAndre Lambert-Smith did not score a touchdown in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City. (KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 0 TD)
“let's take a shot on Chiefs rookie running back, Brashard Smith, anytime touchdown at a big price.”
Brashard Smith did not score a touchdown in the Chargers' 27-21 win over Kansas City. (Brashard Smith: 0 TD)
“Miles Sanders is plus 950”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Miles Sanders did not score a touchdown in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Cowboys (ESPN play-by-play scoring summary). (Miles Sanders: 0 TD)
“and Hunter Luepke is 25-1.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Hunter Luepke did not score a touchdown in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Cowboys (ESPN play-by-play scoring summary). (Hunter Luepke: 0 TD)
“Saquon Barkley over rushing yards tonight. 95.5 at BetMGM.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 60 yards in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Cowboys, under his 95.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 60 rushing yards)
“last touchdown scorers. Dillon and Shipley.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Saquon Barkley scored the game's final touchdown on a 10-yard run late in the 2nd quarter of Cowboys-Eagles; A.J. Dillon did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (Last TD: Saquon Barkley)
“last touchdown scorers. Dillon and Shipley.”
PHI 24-DAL 20 — Saquon Barkley scored the game's final touchdown on a 10-yard run late in the 2nd quarter of Cowboys-Eagles; Will Shipley did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (Last TD: Saquon Barkley)
“I love Baltimore to win the game.”
BUF 41-BAL 40 — Bills beat Ravens 41-40 on Sept 7, 2025, rallying with 16 points in the final 4 minutes; the Baltimore moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
“I'll take those two and a half points on Sunday.”
GB 27-DET 13 — Packers beat Lions 27-13 on Sept 7, 2025; Detroit lost by 14, missing the +2.5 spread (ESPN final score).
“I'll be on the side of the Steelers. Laying two and a half.”
PIT 34, NYJ 32 — Steelers beat Jets 34-32, a 2-point margin that fell short of the -2.5 spread; the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Lamar Jackson Femi as my pick to an MVP this season plus 500”
Matthew Stafford won the 2025 AP NFL MVP award; Lamar Jackson did not win (Wikipedia, 2026 NFL Honors). (2025 NFL MVP: Matthew Stafford)
“I'll take Christian McCaffrey and bet Christian McCaffrey 16 to one to an offensive player of the year.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Christian McCaffrey did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Offensive Player of the Year: Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
“I'll take TJ Watt at plus 900, plus 850 on the screen at BetMGM to win Defensive Player of the Year.”
Myles Garrett won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; T.J. Watt did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett)
“I do have a Matthew Golden Offensive Rookie of the Year ticket at 30.”
Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Matthew Golden did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Offensive Rookie of the Year: Tetairoa McMillan)
“I'll take Travis Hunter femi a 10 to 1 offensive rookie of the year”
Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Travis Hunter did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Offensive Rookie of the Year: Tetairoa McMillan)
“I'll take CMC.”
Christian McCaffrey won the 2025 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, matching the pick (Wikipedia). (2025 Comeback Player of the Year: Christian McCaffrey)
“And as a way to reward the Broncos for having the best defense in the league, is it possible Jahdae Barron, the first round pick out of Texas at 20 to one? I like Abdul Carter a lot, obviously, but I'm thinking of this Broncos defense is going to be awesome that I like Barron.”
Carson Schwesinger won the 2025 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Jahdae Barron did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Defensive Rookie of the Year: Carson Schwesinger)
“Give me Liam Coen”
Mike Vrabel won the 2025 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Liam Coen did not win (Wikipedia). (2025 Coach of the Year: Mike Vrabel)
“Falcons plus two and a half. Falcons money line for me. I'll be on the Falcons this weekend against Tampa.”
TB 23, ATL 20 — Buccaneers beat Falcons 23-20, a 3-point Atlanta loss that fell short of the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I would still lay three with the Jaguars, and I do like the over in the game.”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jaguars beat Panthers 26-10, a 16-point margin that easily covered the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'd rather bet 46.5 over than 47.”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jaguars beat Panthers 26-10 (combined 36); the over 46.5 total lost (ESPN box score).
“Jacksonville's team over is 23.5, and you've got to eat some juice too. Slurp some juice. You want to make that bet.”
JAX 26, CAR 10 — Jacksonville scored 26 points, clearing the 23.5 team-total line (ESPN box score).
“Over 43 and a half would be my bet in this game.”
LV 20, NE 13 — Raiders beat Patriots 20-13 (combined 33); the over 43.5 total lost (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet the A's as well.”
STL 5, ATH 1 — Cardinals beat Athletics 5-1; the Athletics moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I was picking betting Ohio State to win the national championship for a second consecutive year.”
IND 27, MIA 21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff National Championship; Ohio State did not win the title, so the futures pick loses (College Football Playoff official recap).
“Give me Baylor to win on the road at SMU.”
BAY 48, SMU 45 — Baylor beat SMU 48-45 in double overtime; Baylor moneyline covers (ESPN final score).
“give me the Raiders under six and a half wins at plus 125”
The Las Vegas Raiders finished the 2025 regular season 3-14; 3 wins settles the under 6.5 wins (ESPN team schedule). (Las Vegas Raiders: 3 wins)
“I like Commanders over 9.5 wins, minus 118 at BetMGM.”
The Washington Commanders finished the 2025 regular season 5-12; 5 wins fails to clear the over 9.5 wins (ESPN team schedule). (Washington Commanders: 5 wins)
“So give me Giants over 5.5 wins, minus 120.”
The New York Giants finished the 2025 regular season 4-13; 4 wins fails to clear the over 5.5 wins (ESPN team schedule). (New York Giants: 4 wins)
“Cowboys under 5.5 plus 200.”
The Dallas Cowboys finished the 2025 regular season 7-9-1; 7 wins clears the under 5.5 wins, so the pick loses (ESPN team schedule). (Dallas Cowboys: 7 wins)
“And I'll also take the Falcons to win on Sunday at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
TB 23, ATL 20 — Buccaneers beat Falcons 23-20; Falcons moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Atlanta plus 225 to win the NFC South.”
The Carolina Panthers won the 2025 NFC South title via tiebreaker; the Falcons did not win the division (Wikipedia, 2025 NFL season). (2025 NFC South champion: Carolina Panthers)
“I'll bet Tampa Bay to miss the playoffs at plus 140.”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 8-9 and missed the 2025 playoffs, so the bet to miss the playoffs won (Wikipedia, 2025 NFL season). (Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-9, missed playoffs)
“I'll take the Cardinals to win the NFC West this year”
The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3; the Cardinals did not win the division (Wikipedia, 2025 NFL season). (2025 NFC West champion: Seattle Seahawks)
“I will go yes on the Washington Commanders to make the playoffs this year. Yes minus 140.”
Commanders finished 5-12 and missed the 2025-26 NFL playoffs, so the bet to make the playoffs lost (Wikipedia: 2025 Washington Commanders season). (Washington Commanders: 5-12)
“I like the Vikings to make the playoffs this year. Yes, at minus 115.”
Vikings finished 9-8 and were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15, so the bet to make the playoffs lost (Wikipedia: 2025 Minnesota Vikings season). (Minnesota Vikings: 9-8)
“I'm going to end up on the Rams, no, at plus 125.”
Rams finished 12-5 and made the 2025-26 NFL playoffs as a wild card, so the bet on Los Angeles to miss the playoffs lost (Wikipedia: 2025 Los Angeles Rams season). (Los Angeles Rams: 12-5)
“I think that's going to be exactly what I'm going to do, is Texans and the under in Week 1 against the Rams.”
LAR 14, HOU 9 — Rams beat Texans 14-9; the Texans moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Packers. We'll be up a taco. Yeah, maybe. Maybe. I'll lay the two and a half all day long.”
GB 27, WSH 18 — Packers beat Commanders 27-18, a 9-point margin that covers -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Chiefs Eagles. Yeah. It's not like in february kansas city a one-point favorite um this this game is literally like gonna make like the entire week of shows i'm just spoiler alert i'm betting the chiefs”
PHI 20, KC 17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 20-17; Kansas City lost outright, so -1 busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet the over in the Panthers-Steelers game tonight. Now, it's come down a little bit. It's 34 and a half. I've got faith in Bryce Perkins to get this home for us. Give me the over in the Panthers-Steelers game.”
PIT 19, CAR 10 — Steelers beat Panthers 19-10; the combined 29 points falls short of over 34.5 (ESPN box score).
“And if I'm going to get a full three, not two and a half, a full three, I'm going to take the three points with Iowa State. So Iowa State plus three will be a bet for me in week zero.”
ISU 24, KSU 21 — Iowa State beat Kansas State 24-21 outright in Dublin, comfortably covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“Stanford's got a quarterback upgrade. Stanford's got better players in the trenches. I'll take the two and a half with Stanford. Stanford plus two and a half. And I think Stanford can win the game. So Stanford plus two and a half.”
HAW 23, STAN 20 — Hawaii beat Stanford 23-20 on a last-second field goal; Stanford's -3 margin fails to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score).
- Las Vegas Aces won
- New York Yankees lost
“Aces Yankees money line parlay for me. I'm putting it in right when the show ends.”
Aces 83, Mercury 61; Red Sox 6, Yankees 3 — Parlay busts: Aces beat Mercury 83-61 — won; Yankees lost to Red Sox 6-3 — lost (ESPN).
“i'll i'll lay three with the steelers minus 110 if i have to”
34-32 — Steelers beat Jets 34-32; Pittsburgh's 2-point margin falls short of the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Chicago Bears right now at BetMGM, plus 165 to make the postseason. Bear down. Let's go. The Chicago Bears will make the playoffs this year.”
The Chicago Bears finished 11-6 and clinched their first playoff berth since 2020 (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Chicago Bears: 11 wins, made playoffs)
“And I'm going to double down on that optimism by betting the Arizona Cardinals to make the playoffs. Plus 125. I'm going to make it legendary at BetMGM.”
The Arizona Cardinals finished 3-14 and missed the 2025 playoffs for a fourth straight season (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (Arizona Cardinals: 3 wins, missed playoffs)
“I'll bet on the New England Patriots, plus 150, to be one of those teams this season.”
The New England Patriots finished 14-3 and made the playoffs as the AFC's No. 2 seed, reaching Super Bowl LX (Wikipedia, citing official standings). (New England Patriots: 14 wins, made playoffs)
“Duval, plus 165 to make the playoffs, and give me the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC South.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars finished 13-4, won the AFC South, and made the playoffs after a two-year absence (NFL.com). (Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 wins, made playoffs)
“Femi, I'll bet the Rays tonight against the Yankees and feel really good about it. It's going to be the Rays against my Yankees.”
Yankees 13, Rays 3 — Yankees routed the Rays 13-3; Tampa Bay moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Braves minus one and a half on the run line at the Mets, plus 185.”
5-13 — The Mets beat the Braves 13-5 on 8/12/25; Atlanta lost by 8, missing the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“So right now I'm looking at their – to miss the playoff price, plus 150. So it's not like a massive price or anything like that. under nine and a half which would definitely cash i'm betting the bamma to miss the playoff under nine and a half plus 105 you bet both but like to miss the playoff i mean they can go nine and i mean like they're essentially the same thing but you're getting the better price on the mr cfp”
Alabama was selected as the No. 9 seed in the 12-team 2025-26 College Football Playoff field announced Dec. 7, 2025, so the 'Alabama to miss the playoff' bet lost (ESPN).
- Indianapolis Colts lost
- Las Vegas Raiders push
“my favorite bet for tonight is a two-team money line parlay uh i'll take the colts and the raiders both to just win Indy and Vegas to win. That two-team Moneyline Parlay at BetMGM minus 106 for tonight in the NFL preseason.”
Ravens 24, Colts 16; Raiders 23, Seahawks 23 (tie) — Indianapolis lost to Baltimore 24-16, and Las Vegas tied Seattle 23-23 (no winner) on August 7, 2025; both legs failed to win outright, so the moneyline parlay lost.
“I'll bet the Diamondbacks is a home underdog tonight. Snakes plus 120 against the Padres.”
Padres 3, Diamondbacks 2 — The Diamondbacks lost to the Padres 3-2 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Diamondbacks moneyline lost.
“Yeah, I'll take the Valkyries plus five-and-a-half.”
Aces 78, Valkyries 72 — The Aces beat the Valkyries 78-72 on Aug 6, 2025 (ESPN box score); Golden State lost by 6, so the +5.5 spread lost.
“I think I like the over here, Femi. We are at 37 and a half, so it's a highish total for the preseason. But I think I like the over here with the Giants and the Bills as it stands right now.”
Giants 34, Bills 25 — The Giants beat the Bills 34-25 (59 combined points) in their Aug 9, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); the over 37.5 total covered.
“But yeah, I'm going to roll with Buffalo. I'm going to go with Buffalo. I think I like the Giants and the over.”
Giants 34, Bills 25 — The Giants beat the Bills 34-25 in their Aug 9, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); the Giants moneyline covered.
“I like the under, Femi. I like under 38 and a half. I do like that.”
Vikings 20, Texans 10 — The Vikings beat the Texans 20-10 (30 combined points) in their Aug 9, 2025 preseason game (ESPN); the under 38.5 total covered.
“The Steelers are going to make the playoffs at a plus price.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers went 10-7 and made the 2025 playoffs as the AFC's No. 4 seed (Wikipedia, 2025 NFL season standings/playoff bracket). (Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7, AFC No. 4 seed)
“And give me an exacta in the AFC North. Ravens 1, Steelers 2.”
Pittsburgh (10-7) finished first and Baltimore (8-9) finished second in the 2025 AFC North, the reverse of the selected Ravens-first, Steelers-second order (Wikipedia, 2025 NFL season standings). (AFC North: Steelers 10-7 (1st), Ravens 8-9 (2nd))
“Corbin Carroll over one and a half though a little bit juicy minus 145. I'm betting it. Corbin Carroll. I don't think I've ever made a her bet. Corbin Carroll over one and a half hits runs and RBI.”
Padres 10, Diamondbacks 5 — Corbin Carroll went 0-for-5 with no hits, runs, or RBI as the Padres beat the Diamondbacks 10-5 in 11 innings on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); the over 1.5 total lost. (Corbin Carroll: 0 H + 0 R + 0 RBI = 0)
“Yankees win tonight. Yankees win. The Yankees win. Tonight on the road in Texas. This Yankees plus 110 at the Rangers.”
Rangers 2, Yankees 0 — The Yankees lost to the Rangers 2-0 on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Yankees moneyline lost.
“Mets Guardians first five over four and a half at Citi Field.”
The Guardians and Mets combined for 4 runs through 5 innings (Guardians 2, Mets 2) on Aug 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); the over 4.5 first-5-innings total lost. (First 5 innings: Guardians 2, Mets 2 (4 combined runs))
“I'll play the Rangers at an underdog price tonight at plus 120.”
5-8 — Texas Rangers beat the New York Yankees 8-5 in 10 innings; the Rangers moneyline won.
“And I'll play the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight. Your guy, Brandon Fatt, is starting to pitch better for Arizona. I don't think J.P. Sears is that good. I'll take the Snakes plus 110 as a home dog tonight, Femi.”
2-6 — Arizona Diamondbacks beat the San Diego Padres 6-2; the Diamondbacks moneyline won.
“small bets for me on the Chargers and the first half over 17 and a half”
21-7 — The Chargers led the Lions 21-7 at halftime of the July 31, 2025 Hall of Fame Game; the combined 28 first-half points clears the 17.5 total.
“Give me the raise plus 120 tonight in my Bronx Bombers.”
NYY 5, TB 4 (11 innings) — New York Yankees beat Tampa Bay 5-4 in 11 innings on a McMahon walk-off single; the Rays moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“The first five. But I want to do first five, which is plus 135. Okay, so this has gotten bad. Yeah, big time. That's why I want to see. It's plus 118 now. It's moved 20 cents. I still like it. Marlins first five was Andy Alcantara against Sonny Gray, who has struggled as of late.”
MIA 3, STL 0 — Sandy Alcantara's shutout innings had Miami up 3-0 through five (Marlins won 5-0 final); the Marlins' first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Watching Max Freed's last start for the Yankees against the Blue Jays, he has a blister. I don't think he's healthy. The Yankees are minus 190 tonight. I'll put a small bet on the Rays plus 160 because I don't think Max Freed's healthy for the Yankees.”
NYY 7, TB 5 — New York Yankees beat Tampa Bay 7-5 behind homers from Bellinger and Volpe; the Rays moneyline lost (ESPN recap).
“So you, the person watching and listening, you can think and bet that this is finally the year for the Buffalo Bills. and you can plunk your hard-earned money down believing that this is the time for Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens to break through and win a championship. Me? I'm sticking with old reliable. The team that went 15-1 before not playing anyone in week 18 is going to be better this season. And you want to bet on someone else? And the betting market wants to make Buffalo and Baltimore a shorter choice than Kansas City? To that I say, good luck. I'll take the Kansas City Chiefs yet again.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 to win Super Bowl LX; the Kansas City Chiefs did not.
“anyway there we go uh where were we oh i like the tigers tonight so you and i will be up but you you like first five i'm gonna bet tigers full game”
ARI 1, DET 5 — Detroit Tigers beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-1; the Tigers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“The Cincinnati Reds are streaking right now. And they host Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. I think the Reds take Yamamoto down. Give me the Reds at a plus price at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers.”
CIN 2, LAD 5 — Los Angeles Dodgers beat Cincinnati Reds 5-2; the Reds moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“And the Mets are playing awesome baseball right now. Dylan Cease is on the mound for the Padres. But Dylan Cease is great, really, in name only. He's struggled this season. Whereas Frankie Montas, get him out of New York, and I think he pitches pretty well. and a cavernous pitcher's park, I'll take the Metropolitans to extend their win streak to seven.”
SD 7, NYM 6 — San Diego Padres beat New York Mets 7-6 on a walk-off single; the Mets moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“So the way I want to approach this, and I kind of gave my NFC North manifesto earlier in the week with I think if everyone's really bunched up, and I want to take shots with Minnesota, and so I have tickets on the Vikings and the Bears to win the NFC North.”
The Chicago Bears won the 2025 NFC North title at 11-6; the Vikings did not win the division (ESPN). (2025 NFC North champion: Chicago Bears (11-6))
“So the way I want to approach this, and I kind of gave my NFC North manifesto earlier in the week with I think if everyone's really bunched up, and I want to take shots with Minnesota, and so I have tickets on the Vikings and the Bears to win the NFC North.”
The Chicago Bears won the 2025 NFC North title at 11-6, matching the selection (ESPN). (2025 NFC North champion: Chicago Bears (11-6))
“So Ragers run line against Atlanta and the Dodgers minus 120 on the road in Boston.”
LAD 5, BOS 2 — Dodgers beat the Red Sox 5-2 at Fenway Park; the Dodgers moneyline won.
“And I'm going to play on the streak for the Texas Rangers. And I'll play the Rangers on the run line tonight. Minus a run and a half and plus money against the Atlanta Braves.”
TEX 8, ATL 3 — Rangers beat the Braves 8-3, a 5-run margin that covers -1.5.
“Give me the San Diego Padres tonight at plus 125 at BetMGM on the road at the Redbirds.”
STL 9, SD 7 — St. Louis beat San Diego 9-7; the Padres moneyline bet lost.
“the blue jays are a flat out better team than the yankees and i don't know how it's gonna happen tonight but i think the blue jays are gonna win blue jays plus 118 for me”
NYY 4, TOR 8 — Toronto Blue Jays beat the Yankees 8-4; the moneyline bet won.
“I'll bet on him. This is a Yankee bounce back bet tonight on the road in Toronto against the Blue Jays. Give me my Yankees on the road in Toronto.”
NYY 5, TOR 4 — Yankees beat Blue Jays 5-4 on July 22, 2025; the Yankees moneyline won.
- Washington Mystics
- Minnesota Lynx
- New York Liberty
- Las Vegas Aces
- Seattle Storm
“So I wasn't planning on doing this, but I will. And I just want to have action and being candid with everybody. So if you make this bet, bet responsibly. I'm going to do a five-team favorite Moneyline Parlay tonight in the WNBA. Oh, hello. Mystics, Lynx, Liberty. I wasn't going to put the Aces in, but I will now. They're minus 115. And the Seattle Storm, that five-leg Moneyline Parlay pays plus 381 at BetMGM.”
On July 22, 2025 the Mystics lost to the Sparks 93-86 and the Storm lost to the Wings 87-63, while Lynx, Liberty, and Aces won; with two legs losing, the five-team moneyline parlay lost. (Sparks 93, Mystics 86; Lynx 91, Sky 68; Liberty 98, Fever 84; Aces 87, Dream 72; Wings 87, Storm 63)
“My tennis bet for the morning, Italy on Italy Crime, Lorenzo Cinego minus 130 against Matteo Arnaldi tomorrow at the City Open in Washington, D.C.”
Arnaldi def. Sonego 7-5, 7-5 — Matteo Arnaldi beat Lorenzo Sonego 7-5, 7-5 in the Washington Citi Open first round on July 23, 2025; the Sonego moneyline lost.
“I'll take Jacksonville to win the AFC South. Hello, let's go. Jacksonville is plus 300, the second choice to win the AFC South.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars won the AFC South in 2025 with a 13-4 record, clinching the division title. (AFC South champion: Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4))
“I'll go under 32.5 for the Chicago Bulls.”
Chicago Bulls finished the 2025-26 regular season 31-51, under the 32.5-win total, so the under bet cashed (Wikipedia 2025-26 Chicago Bulls season).
“Jacksonville is the team that I'm going to be on to win the AFC South.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars clinched the 2025 AFC South division with a 13-4 record, beating Tennessee 41-7 in Week 18, per NFL.com. (Jaguars: 13-4)
“I've actually come around here under nine and a half at bet MGM is even money”
The Bengals finished the 2025 regular season 6-11, well under the 9.5-win total (Wikipedia 2025 Cincinnati Bengals season).
“Okay, Padres, I will join you on the Padres' first five money line.”
0-0 — Padres and Diamondbacks were scoreless 0-0 through 5 innings (Padres won 1-0 on a 7th-inning Arraez homer), so the Padres first-five moneyline pushes on the tie (ESPN box score inning-by-inning).
- Los Angeles Lakers won
- Miami Heat won
“A Lakers Heat money line parlay tonight pays plus 133 at BetMGM. That will be my Summer League play for tonight.”
Both legs won on July 8, 2025: Lakers beat the Spurs 89-88 and Heat beat the Warriors 93-79 in NBA Summer League California Classic play (ESPN box scores).
“I love the nuggets plus 700 right now as the best bet to win the nba finals”
The New York Knicks won the 2025-26 NBA championship, beating the San Antonio Spurs 4-1 (clinching Game 5, 94-90, on June 13, 2026); the Denver Nuggets did not win.
“I think the Knicks are the best bet on the board to win the Eastern Conference.”
The New York Knicks won the 2025-26 Eastern Conference Finals over Cleveland 4-0 and advanced to (and won) the NBA Finals per NBA.com's championship recap.
“53 and a half for the denver okay what do you want to bet there you want to go over or under i think i want to go over”
Denver Nuggets finished the 2025-26 regular season 54-28, over the 53.5 win total, per ESPN standings. (Nuggets: 54-28)
“I actually think I'd go over on them I think they're gonna roll out of bed and win 55 games”
Houston Rockets finished the 2025-26 regular season 52-30, under the 54.5 win total, so the over lost, per ESPN standings. (Rockets: 52-30)
“52 and a half for the Knicks going over.”
New York Knicks finished the 2025-26 regular season 53-29, over the 52.5 win total, per ESPN standings. (Knicks: 53-29)
“One of them, I'm going to be in on Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals this year. A team that statistically was better than its 8-9 record last year. a team whose defense fortified this offseason the signing of josh sweat bring calais campbell back dalvin tomlinson the drafting of will nolan walter nolan in the first round in the middle of the defensive line will johnson the former michigan man a corner love it love it for arizona marvin harrison takes the next step Frey McBride is still a monster. I don't know if Kyler Murray can win a Super Bowl. That's not what we need. I just need them to win nine games, finish above .500. Give me the over on the Arizona Cardinals.”
Arizona Cardinals finished the 2025 NFL regular season 3-14, well under the 8.5 win total, per ESPN's Cardinals 2025 schedule/results. (Cardinals: 3-14)
“I'll take two small road favorites. The Rangers with Jacob DeGrom, minus 135.”
LAA 6, TEX 5 — Per ESPN box score, the Los Angeles Angels beat the Texas Rangers 6-5 on 7/7/25, so the Rangers moneyline lost.
“And the Phillies with Christopher Sanchez, minus 135. On the road at the San Francisco Giants.”
SF 3, PHI 1 — Per ESPN box score, the San Francisco Giants beat the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 on 7/7/25, so the Phillies moneyline lost.
“I will lay the price with the Lance on the road tonight, minus 145.”
2-3 — Braves beat Mets 3-2 on 6/23/25 (ESPN box score), so the Braves moneyline wins.
- Ketel Marte home run
- Trevor Larnach home run
- Wilyer Abreu home run
- Matt Olson home run
“The home run parlay tonight, courtesy of the crew, this pays 385-1 at BetMGM. Gatel Marte of the Arizona Diamond Barks, Trevor Larnak of your Minnesota Twins, Wilyer Abreu of the Boston Red Sox, and my pick for the Atlanta Braves tonight, Matt Olson.”
Two legs failed: Wilyer Abreu (0-for-4 with a single, 0 HR vs the Angels) and Matt Olson (2-for-5, 0 HR vs the Mets) both did not homer on 6/23/25 per ESPN box scores, even though Ketel Marte (D-backs, HR) and Trevor Larnach (Twins, HR) both did, so the 4-leg HR parlay loses.
“I'm laying six and a half with Oklahoma City.”
91-103 — Oklahoma City Thunder beat Indiana Pacers 103-91 in NBA Finals Game 7 on Jun 22, 2025 (ESPN box score); Thunder covered -6.5 by winning by 12.
“I'll take a look at Shea Gildas-Alexander over points tonight at 33.5. Small bet on that for me.”
SGA finished with 29 points in OKC's 103-91 Game 7 win over Indiana (ESPN box score), under the 33.5 line. (29 points)
“I love Oklahoma City in the game. I'm laying the five and a half to five with Oklahoma City.”
91-108 — Pacers beat Thunder 108-91 in Game 6 (ESPN box score); OKC -5.5 loses outright since Thunder lost the game.
“Matherin over 10.5 points for me tonight is my prop.”
Bennedict Mathurin scored 2 points in Game 6 (ESPN box score), well under the 10.5 line. (2 points)
“I'm betting Atlanta.”
1-7 — Braves beat the Mets 7-1 on June 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Braves moneyline wins.
“For my Rams bet. It's not a Rams bet. I'm going to take San Francisco to win the NFC West.”
The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3, not San Francisco, so the 49ers futures bet lost (Wikipedia).
“I am also betting the Cincinnati Reds tonight who have won five straight games.”
4-2 — Cincinnati beat Minnesota 4-2 on June 18, 2025, so the Reds moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I'll go under five minus 115 between Minnesota and Cincinnati.”
4-2 — Through five innings Minnesota had 2 runs and Cincinnati had 4, a combined 6 runs, over the 5-run first-five under (ESPN box score). (MIN 2, CIN 4 through 5 innings)
“Yankees on the run line tonight. Yankees minus one and a half runs against the Angels.”
3-2 (Angels) — The Angels beat the Yankees 3-2 on June 18, 2025, so New York lost outright and the -1.5 run line lost (ESPN scoreboard).
- Atlanta Braves moneyline won
- Cincinnati Reds moneyline won
“Braves is one leg of the two-leg Moneyline Parlay. And we will put Cincinnati and Nick Lodolo in the Moneyline Parlay as well. When I bet it, it paid plus 170.”
ATL 5-0 MET; CIN 4-2 MIN — Both parlay legs won: Atlanta beat the Mets 5-0 and Cincinnati beat Minnesota 4-2 on June 18, 2025 (ESPN).
“I'll ride the Orioles to win tonight's game. Orioles minus 105 against Tampa Bay.”
12-8 — Tampa Bay beat Baltimore 12-8, completing a comeback, so the Orioles moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I'm betting the Braves tonight to beat the Mets.”
5-4 (10 innings) — Atlanta beat the Mets 5-4 in 10 innings on June 17, 2025, so the Braves moneyline won (ESPN scoreboard).
“Small bet for me on under 6.5.”
5-1 — Florida beat Edmonton 5-1 in Game 6, a combined 6 goals, under the 6.5 total (ESPN).
“A small bet for me on Stuart Skinner to pitch a shutout tonight, plus 1,100 at BetMGM.”
Florida scored 5 goals against Stuart Skinner in Game 6, so no shutout (ESPN). (Stuart Skinner allowed 5 goals)
“I will also have a small bet on Florida Panthers under 3.5 goals at minus 125 at BetMGM.”
5-1 — Florida scored 5 goals in Game 6, well over the 3.5 team-total line (ESPN).
“Red Sox first five plus 145 for me tonight.”
8-0 — Seattle led Boston 8-0 through five innings (Colt Raleigh grand slam), so the Red Sox first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (SEA 8, BOS 0 through 5 innings)
“I'm going to bet Edmonton minus one and a half. That is plus 250 at bet MGM.”
5-1 — Florida beat Edmonton 5-1 in Stanley Cup Final Game 6 on June 17, 2025, clinching the Cup, so Edmonton -1.5 lost outright (ESPN).
“Cason Wallace over half a three.”
Cason Wallace hit 3 threes in NBA Finals Game 5, over the 0.5 line (ESPN box score). (Cason Wallace: 3 threes)
“Alex Caruso over one and a half threes.”
Alex Caruso went 0-for-3 on threes in NBA Finals Game 5, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Alex Caruso: 0 threes)
“Chet Holmgren over one and a half threes.”
Chet Holmgren made only 1 three in NBA Finals Game 5, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 1 three)
“J-Dub over one and a half threes.”
Jalen Williams hit 3 threes in NBA Finals Game 5, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams: 3 threes)
“Shea Gilgis-Alexander over one and a half threes.”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander went 0-for-3 on threes in NBA Finals Game 5, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 0 threes)
“And Aaron Wiggins over half a three.”
Aaron Wiggins hit 4 threes in NBA Finals Game 5, over the 0.5 line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Wiggins: 4 threes)
“I'll bet the Yankees' run line tonight, minus one and a half runs at plus 115.”
1-0 (Angels, 11 innings) — The Angels beat the Yankees 1-0 in 11 innings on June 16, 2025, so New York lost outright and the -1.5 run line lost (ESPN box score).
“I will be the sucker that bets Giancarlo Stanton to Homer tonight as well at BetMGM.”
Giancarlo Stanton went 2-for-4 with a double against the Angels on June 16, 2025 but did not homer (ESPN box score). (Giancarlo Stanton: 2-for-4, 1 double, 0 HR)
“I'm betting Connor Brown to score a goal.”
EDM 5, FLA 4 (OT) — Connor Brown did not score a goal in Edmonton's 5-4 overtime win over Florida in Stanley Cup Final Game 4 (NHL.com Oilers game recap).
“I'm betting Jeff Skinner to score a goal.”
EDM 5, FLA 4 (OT) — Jeff Skinner did not score a goal in Edmonton's 5-4 overtime win over Florida in Stanley Cup Final Game 4, despite multiple rush attempts (NHL.com Oilers game recap).
“I'll play under six and a half here and I'll pay the juice to make it happen.”
EDM 5, FLA 4 (OT) — Edmonton beat Florida 5-4 in overtime in Game 4, a combined 9 goals that went over the 6.5-goal total (ESPN recap).
“I'll have Thunder Moneyline and some parlays.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Indiana Pacers beat Oklahoma City Thunder 116-107 in NBA Finals Game 3, so the Thunder moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“give me Chet Holmgren over 14.5 points.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — Chet Holmgren scored 20 points for the Thunder in Game 3, clearing the 14.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 20 points)
“I'm betting the Yanks tonight with Clark Schmidt on the mound.”
KC 3, NYY 6 — New York Yankees beat Kansas City 6-3, so the Yankees moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to put Jordan Spieth first round leader because he is volatile. 50 to 1 in that MGM.”
J.J. Spaun led round 1 of the 2025 U.S. Open with a 4-under 66; Jordan Spieth shot even-par 70 (T11), so Spieth was not the first-round leader (ESPN/NBC Sports round 1 recap). (Spieth even-par 70 (R1); Spaun -4 66 led)
“I'm going to bet Rahm and Bryson to win before the tournament starts.”
Jon Rahm finished T7 at +4 (284) at the 2025 U.S. Open; J.J. Spaun won the title (ESPN leaderboard). (T7, +4 (284))
“I'm going to bet Rahm and Bryson to win before the tournament starts.”
Bryson DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2025 U.S. Open (+2, 150); J.J. Spaun won the title (ESPN leaderboard). (+2 (150), missed cut)
“Small bet for me on Edmonton to back up bets I've already got on the Oilers here. Give me the Oilers to win.”
6-1 — Edmonton Oilers lost to the Panthers 6-1 in Stanley Cup Final Game 3 on June 9, 2025; the Oilers moneyline loses (ESPN recap).
“And Connor McDavid plus 140 any time goal tonight.”
6-1 — Connor McDavid did not score a goal in Stanley Cup Final Game 3 on June 9, 2025 (Panthers won 6-1); the anytime-goal prop loses (ESPN box score/recap). (Connor McDavid 0 goals)
“in addition to laying it with OKC, laying the 9.5, I will also play Pacers team total under 109.5.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Pacers beat the Thunder 111-110 in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025 -- Oklahoma City lost outright, so the -9.5 spread loses (ESPN box score).
“I will also play Pacers team total under 109.5.”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Pacers scored 111 points in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025, over the 109.5 team total (ESPN box score). (111 points)
“Aaron Nesmith under 11.5 points. Is my player prop?”
Pacers 111, Thunder 110 — Aaron Nesmith scored 10 points in NBA Finals Game 1 on June 5, 2025, under the 11.5 line (ESPN box score). (10 points)
“I'm going to be on Edmonton tonight”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3 in overtime in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 4, 2025 (Draisaitl scored twice, including the OT winner), so Edmonton's moneyline wins (ESPN).
“I will also be playing tonight Connor McDavid to score a goal plus 150. Not a huge bet, but Connor McDavid, anytime goal scorer tonight.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Connor McDavid did not score in Oilers' 4-3 OT win over Florida in Game 1 on June 4, 2025 (Draisaitl x2, Arvidsson, Ekholm scored for Edmonton); McDavid had 2 assists but no goal, so the anytime-goal prop loses (ESPN scoring summary). (0 goals)
“I'm going to bet it. Plus 1,000 for Connor McDavid to score the first goal of the game.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 — Leon Draisaitl scored the game's first goal at 1:06 of the first period in Oilers' 4-3 OT win over Florida on June 4, 2025; Connor McDavid did not score at all, so he wasn't the first goal scorer (ESPN scoring summary).
“Give me the Snakes, the Diamondbacks, to win tonight on the road in Atlanta.”
Diamondbacks 2, Braves 1 — Arizona Diamondbacks beat the Atlanta Braves 2-1 on June 4, 2025, so the moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Give me Texas first five even money tonight on the road in Tampa.”
Rays 5, Rangers 4 — Rays led the Rangers 5-3 through 5 innings (TEX 0-0-0-0-3, TB 1-0-4-0-0) en route to a 5-4 win on June 4, 2025, so Texas's first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score). (5-3 through 5 innings)
“earlier today I added Edmonton minus two and a half games at plus 325”
Florida Panthers beat Edmonton Oilers 4 games to 2 in the 2025 Stanley Cup Final (series-clinching Game 6 win June 17), so Edmonton lost the series outright and failed to win by 2.5+ games (ESPN). (Panthers won series 4-2)
“I think the full game over gets home over 8.5 with the Phillies and the Blue Jays.”
Phillies 8, Blue Jays 3 — Phillies beat the Blue Jays 8-3 on June 3, 2025 for 11 combined runs, over the 8.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to play Red Sox first three against Tyler Anderson in the Halos. I'll lay minus 140.”
Angels led Red Sox 6-1 through three innings, so the Red Sox first-three moneyline lost. (F3: Angels 6, Red Sox 1 (final Angels 7, Red Sox 6).)
- Minnesota Twins moneyline
- San Francisco Giants moneyline
“Two-team money line parlay. Joe Ryan does not fall apart in Sacramento. Give me the Twins parlayed with Logan Webb and the San Francisco Giants. That pays plus 155 at BetMGM.”
10-4; 1-0 — Twins beat Athletics 10-4 (leg won), but Giants lost to Padres 0-1 (leg lost), so the two-team moneyline parlay lost.
“I bet OKC minus two and a half games”
Oklahoma City beat Indiana 4-3 in the 2025 NBA Finals (won it in 7 games), a one-game series margin that doesn't cover Thunder -2.5 games (ESPN). (OKC won series 4-3)
“I'm betting Thunder minus two and a half at minus 110.”
Oklahoma City won the 2025 NBA Finals over Indiana 4 games to 3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91), a 1-game series margin that falls short of the -2.5 games handicap. (OKC won series 4-3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91).)
“And I'm actually going to lay minus 250 with Thunder minus one and a half also.”
Oklahoma City won the 2025 NBA Finals over Indiana 4 games to 3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91), a 1-game series margin that falls short of the -1.5 games handicap. (OKC won series 4-3 (Game 7: Thunder 103, Pacers 91).)
“And I'm betting Connor McDavid to score a goal at every game the Oilers play the rest of the playoffs.”
Connor McDavid scored a goal in Edmonton's 6-3 Game 5 win over Dallas on May 29, 2025, clinching the Western Conference Final. (Connor McDavid 1 goal)
“I'm betting Florida tonight to close it out on the road in Carolina”
5-3 — Florida beat Carolina 5-3 in Game 5 on May 28, 2025 to advance to the Stanley Cup Final; Florida's moneyline pick won.
“These are bets that I placed earlier today, teams to make the playoffs in Major League Baseball. The one minus price is Atlanta, is the Braves at minus 130. with Acuna back, Strider. I know that things have not gone great recently for Atlanta since the last time we talked about them, which was a week ago today, I think, right, to win the NL East ahead of Acuna possibly coming back. I'm going to bet on Atlanta figuring it out, on the Braves figuring it out. Minus 130, Braves to make the playoffs.”
Atlanta finished outside the 2025 MLB postseason field (Wikipedia 2025 MLB postseason article lists the 12 qualifiers; Atlanta is not among them). The Braves did not make the playoffs.
“Now three plus money prices to make. The Red Sox at plus 184. Again, I think we're going to see regression in a good way for Boston.”
Boston qualified for the 2025 MLB postseason as an AL Wild Card team (89-73) (Wikipedia 2025 MLB postseason article). The Red Sox made the playoffs.
“the Texas Rangers to make the playoffs, plus 148 or plus 150, somewhere in that range, for Texas”
Texas finished outside the 2025 MLB postseason field (Wikipedia 2025 MLB postseason article lists the 12 qualifiers; Texas is not among them). The Rangers did not make the playoffs.
“and Jay Kassan's Arizona Diamondbacks, where I trust that front office, and I think this lineup is deep, and I think they're going to figure it out. The Diamondbacks to make it plus 138. I like the D-backs ultimately more than the Giants. I like the D-backs ultimately more than the Padres in the NL West.”
Arizona finished outside the 2025 MLB postseason field (Wikipedia 2025 MLB postseason article lists the 12 qualifiers; Arizona is not among them). The Diamondbacks did not make the playoffs.
“Jets under five and a half and plus 130.”
New York finished the 2025 NFL regular season 3-14 (Wikipedia 2025 NFL season article). 3 wins is below 5.5. (New York Jets: 3 wins)
“Patrick Mahomes plus 650 to win NFL MVP.”
Matthew Stafford won the AP 2025 NFL Most Valuable Player award (Wikipedia NFL MVP Award article). Patrick Mahomes did not win MVP.
“Towns over 21 and a half points.”
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 24 points in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score). 24 exceeds 21.5. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 24 points)
“Knicks plus two and a half.”
130-121 — New York lost to Indiana 121-130 in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final), a 9-point loss that did not cover +2.5.
“Knicks money line.”
130-121 — Indiana beat New York 130-121 in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final). New York did not win.
“McDavid to be the first goal scorer of the game at 10-1.”
Leon Draisaitl scored the Oilers' first goal of Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN game recap). Connor McDavid was not the first goal scorer. (First goal: Leon Draisaitl (EDM))
“McDavid plus 135 to score tonight”
Connor McDavid recorded 0 goals and 2 assists in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN box score). McDavid did not score. (Connor McDavid: 0 goals, 2 assists)
“side of the game wolves plus seven and a half i love that bet for minnesota”
Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103 — Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 118-103 in Game 2, a 15-point margin that busts Minnesota +7.5.
“i'll take minnesota to win the game minnesota plus 240”
Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103 — Oklahoma City defeated Minnesota 118-103 in Game 2.
“little bit over the course of this show now 214 and a half i like the over in the game”
Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103 — Oklahoma City and Minnesota combined for 221 points in Game 2, above 214.5.
“i have also bet minnesota to win the series at about plus 475 at BetMGM.”
Oklahoma City defeated Minnesota 4-1 to win the 2025 Western Conference Finals. (Series: Oklahoma City 4, Minnesota 1)
“Love the Knicks tonight laying the four and a half.”
Pacers 138, Knicks 135 — New York lost outright to Indiana 135-138 in overtime, failing to cover -4.5.
“Connor McDavid to score a goal, plus 150 at BetMGM.”
Stars 6, Oilers 3 — Connor McDavid recorded 0 goals (2 assists) in Dallas's 6-3 Game 1 win. (Connor McDavid: 0 goals, 2 assists)
“[59:24] The Braves right now, plus 380 to win the National League East. [59:30] back, it's not even Memorial Day yet. [59:33] I love that. [59:35] I love that for the Atlanta Braves to win the division. [59:38] That's a bet for me.”
Philadelphia won the 2025 NL East at 96-66; Atlanta finished fourth at 76-86. (NL East: Philadelphia 96-66 (1st); Atlanta 76-86 (4th))
“[2:32:24] and it starts tonight. [2:32:28] Give me Juan Soto to Homer tonight [2:32:31] for the New York Mets. [2:32:33] And it is a big price for Soto to Homer tonight [2:32:36] because it hasn't been that great. [2:32:38] Juan Soto to Homer tonight [2:32:39] for the New York Metropolitans, [2:32:40] my bet in the wave of baseball games,”
Red Sox 2, Mets 0 — Juan Soto did not hit a home run as the Mets were shut out 2-0 by Boston. (Juan Soto: 0 HR)
“[2:54:27] But I have Minnesota to win the series. [2:54:29] So I basically have Minnesota money line in every game. [2:54:32] I will take the points tonight with Minnesota. [2:54:34] Minnesota plus the six and a half, plus seven, like get the best number.”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Minnesota lost Game 1 114-88, failing to cover +7.
- Las Vegas Aces moneyline
- Indiana Fever moneyline
- Philadelphia Phillies moneyline
“[2:57:15] So I have a three-team parlay. [2:57:18] Frostsport, Aces and Fever. [2:57:21] So Kaitlin Clark and the Fever and the Las Vegas Aces and the WNBA [2:57:24] with the Philadelphia Phillies tonight against Colorado. [2:57:27] Those three teams' money line, minus 113 at BetMGM.”
Indiana Fever lost 91-90 to Atlanta, busting the parlay, even though Las Vegas (87-62) and Philadelphia (7-4) won their legs. (Legs: Las Vegas won 87-62; Indiana lost 90-91; Philadelphia won 7-4)
“[2:57:32] And how about this? [2:57:34] And, Mike, you can put it on the screen, the two WNBA games tonight. [2:57:37] So I like the two favorites. [2:57:39] And I have a baseball prompt. [2:57:41] Your boy is delving into outs market in Major League Baseball. [2:57:46] Yoshinobu Yamamoto coming off two substandard starts. [2:57:51] Give me Yamamoto under 17 and a half outs to not go a full six innings tonight [2:57:57] against the Arizona Diamondbacks at plus money.”
Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3 — Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitched 7 innings (21 outs) against Arizona, well over the 17.5-outs under line. (Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 7.0 IP, 21 outs)
“I love the Minnesota Timberwolves tomorrow night, plus the seven and a half.”
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88 — Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 114-88 in Game 1, a 26-point margin, so the Timberwolves +7.5 fails to cover (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the polar bear Pete Alonso to go yard for the Mets plus 320.”
Pete Alonso went 1-for-3 with a walk and no home runs as the Mets lost 3-1 (ESPN box score). (Alonso: 0 HR (1-for-3, 1 BB))
“So give me the Dodgers. I think this price is short.”
Diamondbacks 9, Dodgers 5 — Arizona beat Los Angeles 9-5, so the Dodgers moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“About plus 140, the White Sox first five against the Mariners.”
1-0 — Chicago trailed Seattle 1-0 through five innings, so the White Sox first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“Give me the first five under, under four with Chris.”
3-1 — Royals and Giants were scoreless through five innings (final Royals 3, Giants 1), under the 4-run first-five total (ESPN box score).
“Give me Dallas on the money line, plus 135.”
Storm 79, Wings 71 — Seattle beat Dallas 79-71, so the Wings moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[1:51:44] But under five and a half will be a bet for me if and when we get there [1:51:47] tomorrow night. [1:51:48] And that's the number. [1:51:50] And like Florida. [1:51:52] Like Florida's the bet for me in this series. [1:51:53] Florida minus 125.”
Florida defeated Carolina 4 games to 1 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Final, so the Panthers-to-win-series bet cashes (Wikipedia 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs). (Panthers won series 4-1)
“[2:23:37] Give me the Knicks minus 155 to win the series, [2:23:40] Towns plus 1300 to be Eastern Conference final MVP, [2:23:43] and let's parlay that Knicks series price with a lot,”
Indiana defeated New York 4 games to 2 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals, so the Knicks-to-win-series bet loses (ESPN scoreboard note: 'IND wins series 4-2'). (Pacers won series 4-2)
“[2:23:37] Give me the Knicks minus 155 to win the series, [2:23:40] Towns plus 1300 to be Eastern Conference final MVP, [2:23:43] and let's parlay that Knicks series price with a lot,”
Pascal Siakam of the Pacers, not Karl-Anthony Towns, won the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals MVP (Wikipedia: Siakam 'named Eastern Conference finals MVP'). (ECF MVP: Pascal Siakam)
- New York Knicks to win series
- Dallas Wings moneyline
“[57:22] And I'm going to love the Knicks to win if and when we get there. [57:27] Knicks series price. [57:30] I got it parlayed with everything. [57:32] How about Knicks to win the series tonight [57:34] with the Dallas Wings on the money line against Seattle? [57:38] plus 125.”
Both parlay legs lost: Indiana beat New York 4 games to 2 in the Eastern Conference Finals (Knicks did not win the series), and Seattle beat Dallas 79-71 (Wings moneyline lost), busting the parlay (ESPN sources). (Pacers won series 4-2; Storm 79, Wings 71)
“[2:52:07] And we think Bryson's going to win the tournament. [2:52:09] Let's take Bryson DeChambeau as well.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship at 11-under (273); Bryson DeChambeau finished T2 at 6-under (278), so the outright-winner bet loses (ESPN leaderboard). (Scheffler won at -11 (273); DeChambeau T2 (-6, 278))
“[2:51:43] So give me Tony Finau, 100 to 1. [2:51:45] And I'll tell you guys on Viktor Hovland as well. [2:51:47] All right. [2:51:47] So Viktor Hovland is definitely a bet for me in this tournament. [2:51:50] I'd say despite my better judgment, I'll be on Viktor Hovland in this tournament.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Viktor Hovland finished T28 at 1-under (283), not the winner (Wikipedia 2025 PGA Championship results). (Hovland T28 (-1, 283))
“Knicks money line.”
BOS 127, NY 102 — Knicks lost 102-127; the New York moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[2:54:00] O Canada, Toronto plus 118.”
FLA 6, TOR 1 — Panthers beat Maple Leafs 6-1; the Toronto moneyline busts (ESPN).
- New York Knicks moneyline lost
- Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline won
“[2:53:40] You know I'm on Team Minnesota here. [2:53:42] I think Minnesota wins tonight.”
New York Knicks moneyline lost (Celtics won 127-102) and Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline won (Wolves beat Warriors 121-110); with one leg losing, the parlay busts (ESPN box scores).
“[2:54:03] Edmonton plus 105 to close it out for me.”
EDM 1, VGK 0 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 1-0 in overtime on May 14, 2025 to close out the series; the Edmonton moneyline covers (ESPN).
“[2:51:47] All right. [2:51:47] So Viktor Hovland is definitely a bet for me in this tournament. [2:51:50] I'd say despite my better judgment, I'll be on Viktor Hovland in this tournament. [2:51:53] And, you know, I can't let everybody win money on Jordan Spieth and not have a piece of it. [2:51:58] I wasn't going to bet him. [2:52:00] Everyone's betting Spieth. [2:52:01] I will be sick to my stomach if Jordan Spieth wins this tournament. [2:52:04] I don't have money on him. [2:52:05] So Jordan Spieth.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 PGA Championship; Jordan Spieth missed the cut at 2-over (144), not the winner (ESPN leaderboard). (Spieth missed cut, 144 (+2))
“[2:44:12] Washington, a three-point favorite Femi, 48.5 the total. [2:44:16] Lay it, baby.”
MIA 16, WSH 13 — Dolphins beat Commanders 16-13 in overtime on Nov 16, 2025; Washington lost outright as a -3 favorite, busting the spread (ESPN).
“[2:54:40] I played over 16.5 points. [2:54:42] Let's play over 17.5 points.”
IND 114, CLE 105 — Pascal Siakam scored 21 points in the Pacers' 114-105 Game 5 win, clearing the 17.5-point over (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 21 points)
“Under six, minus 120 with Hellebuck and Ottinger.”
DAL 3, WPG 1 — Stars beat Jets 3-1 (4 total goals), under the 6 total (ESPN).
“Give me Winnipeg tonight, and I'll take the under in the game as well.”
DAL 3, WPG 1 — Stars beat Jets 3-1; the Winnipeg moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[2:24:32] Celtics, a five-and-a-half point favorite Saturday afternoon in Game 3. [2:24:36] I'm betting the Knicks.”
BOS 115, NY 93 — Celtics beat Knicks 115-93 in Game 3 on May 10, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Knicks +5.5 spread pick lost by a 22-point margin.
“[2:56:18] Let's give me the caps. [2:56:19] It's a big number now. [2:56:20] Like this was plus 125 a couple nights ago. [2:56:23] Now we're getting plus 150.”
WSH 3, CAR 1 — Capitals beat Hurricanes 3-1 on May 8, 2025 (East 2nd Round Game 2, ESPN); the Capitals moneyline pick won.
“[2:56:32] I'll put plus 150, and I'm also going to lay the number with the Golden Knights. [2:56:35] I'll lay minus 125, I think is the best number in market.”
EDM 5, VGK 4 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 5-4 on May 8, 2025 (West 2nd Round Game 2, ESPN); the Golden Knights moneyline pick lost.
“[1:03:40] Minus 110 at BetMGM, just like the Celtics are, to win. [1:03:43] I feel like I nailed the number. [1:03:46] I think the Knicks are 51% to win the series. [1:03:54] The slightest amount above average to win the series. [1:04:01] Because I would not be surprised at all [1:04:04] if we went back to Boston and the series was tied at two. [1:04:08] And nobody should be surprised if that happens. [1:04:12] Boston is a five and a half point favorite in game three. [1:04:16] Betty Market thinks, [1:04:17] Betty Market thinks like, [1:04:18] we're going back to Boston and this is going to be 2-2. [1:04:22] The Boston will be favored in game four also. [1:04:26] 51%. [1:04:27] So, you know, water gun to my head. [1:04:30] Do the Knicks win the series? [1:04:32] I'll say yes. [1:04:34] By the slightest of margins. [1:04:36] By the absolute slightest of margins. [1:04:39] that makes minus 110 a bet for me and i don't know i'm sure people out there i'll go 51 percent [1:04:44] i don't know i'm not i'm not good at math let someone else do that i'm good at talking i don't [1:04:48] care i minus 110 is a bet for me for the knicks to win the series at this point so i'm in on the [1:04:55] knicks i'm i'm like fully invested now i'm gonna bet them in game three duh i'm gonna let my fandom”
The Knicks beat the Celtics 4-2 in the 2025 Eastern Conference semifinals, advancing to the East finals for the first time in 25 years (Wikipedia, 2025 NBA playoffs); the Knicks-to-win-series pick won.
“[1:08:52] picked the winner of the game. [1:08:53] I'll take Florida. [1:08:54] Betting market, Florida minus 160, [1:08:57] Maple Leafs plus 135. [1:08:59] Okay, I'll take Toronto. [1:09:00] And that takes us now to game three in this series [1:09:02] where Florida, like I understand, [1:09:05] desperate spot for Florida. [1:09:06] I get it. [1:09:07] Can't go down three, nothing. [1:09:09] I totally understand. [1:09:11] Florida's minus 235. [1:09:13] Minus 235. [1:09:14] Again, Toronto's awesome. [1:09:16] Like, we've all watched the games, right? [1:09:19] I can't wait to get Femi's opinion on this also. [1:09:21] Like, we've watched the games. [1:09:24] Are we sure Florida's better than Toronto? [1:09:27] Toronto is up 2-0 in the series. [1:09:29] Isn't it possible just like Toronto's better? [1:09:31] Not a lot better. [1:09:32] Maybe a little better than Florida. [1:09:34] And maybe Florida just guts it out. [1:09:36] I'm not saying Toronto's definitely going to win the series. [1:09:37] But doesn't this price strike people as like a little out there? [1:09:43] That Toronto, like the team that Toronto's awesome. [1:09:49] Florida's minus 235. [1:09:52] Like really? [1:09:53] Anyone lining up to bet Florida? [1:09:56] I'll bet the Leafs in game three and feel awesome about it. [1:10:01] Sign me up for Toronto in game three. [1:10:02] So to be clear, like minus 110. [1:10:06] I'm taking Florida. [1:10:07] But the prices have been nuts in this series. [1:10:11] Betting, give me the Toronto Maple Leafs. [1:10:13] And then, you know, if I'm going to fulfill the O Canada prediction,”
FLA 5, TOR 4 (OT) — Panthers beat Maple Leafs 5-4 in overtime (Brad Marchand game-winner) in Game 3 on May 9, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Maple Leafs moneyline pick lost.
“I'm betting Toronto at the death.”
TOR 4, FLA 3 — Maple Leafs beat Panthers 4-3 in Game 2 of the East 2nd Round on May 7, 2025 (ESPN); the Maple Leafs moneyline pick won.
“I'll take Winnipeg on the money line against Dallas.”
DAL 3, WPG 2 — Stars beat Jets 3-2 in Game 1 of the West 2nd Round on May 7, 2025 (ESPN); the Jets moneyline pick lost.
“[2:37:11] Barcelona to advance to the Champions League final minus 145. [2:37:14] I like that. I'm betting it.”
INT 4, BAR 3 — Inter Milan beat Barcelona 4-3 in the second leg on May 6, 2025 (7-6 on aggregate) to advance to the Champions League final; Barcelona was eliminated (ESPN match page, gameId 733619).
“Give me the Maple Leafs plus 105.”
TOR 5, FLA 4 — Toronto beat Florida 5-4 in Game 1 on May 5, 2025, so the Maple Leafs moneyline cashed (ESPN game page, gameId 401769841).
“[1:05:57] Wolves series against the Golden State Warriors.”
Minnesota beat Golden State 4 games to 1 in the Western Conference semifinals to win the series (Wikipedia 2025 NBA playoffs bracket, corroborated by ESPN game recaps for Games 1-3).
“[1:53:56] I think we get an all Canadian Stanley Cup final also. [1:54:02] I'm going to take the Winnipeg Jets. [1:54:04] I'm going to take Winnipeg over Dallas. [1:54:08] So you have Winnipeg, you have Toronto, and it sounds like you have Edmonton.”
Dallas beat Winnipeg 4 games to 2 in the second round to win the series; the Jets did not win (Wikipedia 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs bracket).
“[1:56:48] Like you gave me minus 110 both ways. [1:56:50] I'll take Florida, [1:56:51] but at a big plus price, [1:56:53] I bet the Maple Leafs. [1:56:55] And yeah, [1:56:56] like Washington's the,”
Florida beat Toronto 4 games to 3 in the second round, clinching with a 6-1 Game 7 win on May 18, 2025; the Maple Leafs did not win the series (ESPN game recap, gameId 401769949).
“Give me the Kings tonight.”
EDM 6, LA 4 — Oilers beat Kings 6-4 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN) to close out the series 4-2; Los Angeles's moneyline busts.
“[2:25:28] Pistons are two-and-a-half point favorites [2:25:30] tomorrow night at home against the Knicks. [2:25:32] Send it to Game 7 at Madison Square Garden. [2:25:36] It ain't getting there. [2:25:38] Knicks win tomorrow night. [2:25:40] Plus two-and-a-half. [2:25:42] Knicks money line. [2:25:43] Great season for Detroit, and I'm not even saying this to be a jerk. [2:25:46] Sincerely, great season. [2:25:47] It comes to an end tomorrow night. [2:25:50] Brunson does enough as long as he stays in the game, [2:25:52] and the Knicks will win. [2:25:53] I am betting the Knicks tomorrow night. [2:25:55] I'm betting my team tomorrow night.”
NY 116, DET 113 — Knicks beat Pistons 116-113 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN) to close out the series; New York's moneyline cashes.
“But I'm betting the Lightning tonight.”
FLA 6, TB 3 — Panthers beat Lightning 6-3 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN), closing out the series 4-1; Tampa Bay's moneyline busts.
“[2:25:28] Pistons are two-and-a-half point favorites [2:25:30] tomorrow night at home against the Knicks. [2:25:32] Send it to Game 7 at Madison Square Garden. [2:25:36] It ain't getting there. [2:25:38] Knicks win tomorrow night. [2:25:40] Plus two-and-a-half.”
NY 116, DET 113 — Knicks beat Pistons 116-113 on May 1, 2025 (Game 6, ESPN); New York's +2.5 spread covers, winning outright by 3.
“Give me the Warriors in game five.”
HOU 131, GS 116 — Rockets beat Warriors 131-116 on Apr 30, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); Golden State's moneyline busts.
“Kings minus 125.”
EDM 3, LA 1 — Oilers beat Kings 3-1 on Apr 29, 2025 (Game 5, ESPN); Los Angeles's moneyline busts.
- Vegas Golden Knights moneyline won
- Carolina Hurricanes moneyline won
“[2:57:18] Golden Knights and Hurricanes at BetMGM. [2:57:21] Minus 111 for those two teams just to win tonight.”
VGK 3-2 MIN (OT); CAR 5-4 NJ (2OT) — Golden Knights beat Wild 3-2 in OT and Hurricanes beat Devils 5-4 in 2OT, both on Apr 29, 2025 (ESPN); both legs win, so the parlay cashes.
“[1:20:02] This was not like a tremendous amount. The Clippers were one and a half minus 110 about an hour ago. Now minus one and a half minus 115. [1:20:11] I bet the Clippers already.”
DEN 131, LAC 115 — Nuggets beat Clippers 131-115 on Apr 29, 2025 (Game 5); Clippers' -1.5 spread busts by a 16-point margin (ESPN).
“[2:57:03] I'll lay Colorado. [2:57:04] Hopefully they're giggles. [2:57:05] I'll lay Colorado on the road. [2:57:07] Minus 140.”
DAL 6, COL 2 — Stars beat Avalanche 6-2 on Apr 28, 2025 (ESPN); Colorado's moneyline busts.
“Give me the eight and a half under on the Miami Dolphins for the season.”
The Miami Dolphins finished the 2025 NFL regular season 7-10, under the 8.5-win line.
“Knicks money line, Sunday in Detroit.”
NY 94, DET 93 — New York beat Detroit 94-93; the Knicks moneyline cashes.
“[2:55:35] I'm just going to have one hockey bet for tonight. [2:55:36] I don't even know what I want to do this weekend. [2:55:38] I'm kind of like – I'm frazzled at the moment right now. [2:55:40] I think I need a quick hockey break. [2:55:41] under six with the Kings and the Oilers tonight. [2:55:45] Let's zag away from the over Kings Oilers under six by one bet in the [2:55:50] national hockey league.”
EDM 7, LA 4 — Edmonton beat Los Angeles 7-4, a combined 11 goals, over the 6-goal total.
“[1:34:08] 33 and a half, maybe it's the most square bet of all time. [1:34:12] I don't really care. [1:34:13] That's an easy one for me. [1:34:14] Giannis over 33 and a half points.”
MIL 117, IND 101 — Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 37 points as the Bucks beat the Pacers 117-101, clearing the 33.5-point line. (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 37 points)
“My one bet tonight in the NBA, Golden State plus the 3.5.”
HOU 109, GS 94 — Houston beat Golden State 109-94, a 15-point Warriors loss that missed covering +3.5.
“[2:55:31] I love the way Sam Montembeau, Montreal's goalie, looked in game one.”
WSH 3, MTL 1 — Washington beat Montreal 3-1; the Canadiens moneyline busts.
“[2:55:17] I have bets on all three games. [2:55:19] I'll roll through them quickly here. [2:55:20] Avalanche puck line. [2:55:21] Abs minus 1.5 plus 135. [2:55:23] I think the Abs win by two goals or more. [2:55:26] Two small bets for me. [2:55:28] Montreal plus 155 against Washington and under six.”
WSH 3, MTL 1 — Washington beat Montreal 3-1, a combined 4 goals, under the 6-goal total.
“[2:55:36] Go, Kings, go. [2:55:38] So LA Kings minus 125 tonight, Femi, against the Edmonton Oilers.”
LA 6, EDM 2 — Los Angeles beat Edmonton 6-2; the Kings moneyline cashes.
“Give me the Lightning, minus 120 tonight against Florida.”
TB 2, FLA 6 — Panthers beat the Lightning 6-2 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Lightning moneyline busts.
“[1:00:23] this again. Me? I'm touching that son of a bitch again. Give me the Knicks in game three against [1:00:31] the Pistons. On the other”
DET 116, NY 118 — Knicks beat the Pistons 118-116 in Game 3 (ESPN box score); Knicks moneyline cashes.
“[1:05:28] How awesome this week is? [1:05:32] NFL draft on Thursday? [1:05:36] Knicks Pistons? [1:05:39] Clippers Nuggets? [1:05:41] Oh my God. [1:05:44] The Clippers are four and a half point favorites. [1:05:48] Yeah. [1:05:49] I'm Moneyline Parley and the Clippers with everything. [1:05:52] With everything! [1:05:54] Clippers ain't losing to Denver in game three. [1:05:56] Now, they lose last night, and I'm officially like 10 out of 10 on the panic scale. [1:06:00] But they won last night. [1:06:01] And they won despite, and he's the best player. [1:06:06] He's the best. [1:06:07] He's not going to win MVP. [1:06:08] SGA's going to win MVP. [1:06:09] But Jokic is the best player. [1:06:11] One of the best players of all time, not taking anything away from him. [1:06:15] You know? [1:06:16] When you watch a guy as big as he is, as Enzo Amore used to say about Big Cass once upon a time in WWE, he's seven feet tall, and you can't teach that. [1:06:31] Seven feet tall. [1:06:34] He a big boy, and he's the best player. [1:06:37] And he's flopping like Neymar. [1:06:42] Pathetic. [1:06:43] James Harden puts his shoulder into Jokic's chest and Jokic looks like in that Sopranos episode when James Gandolfini kills Steve Buscemi with the shotgun. [1:06:55] Sorry for the spoiler 20 years later And Tony Blondetto right his cousin Tony flies in the air when he shoots him with a shotgun That what Jokic looked like last night [1:07:06] Really, Nikola? [1:07:08] Really? [1:07:09] It's embarrassing. [1:07:11] Do you think his Serbian brothers that look like they could fight in UFC, [1:07:16] you think they approve of that? [1:07:18] Like his horses in Serbia? [1:07:20] They're going to look at him funny. [1:07:21] Why are you flopping like that, dude? [1:07:24] It's pathetic. [1:07:25] So I don't want anyone to twist my words. [1:07:27] He's the best player. [1:07:28] Love to have him on my team. [1:07:30] He's way too big and too talented for this. [1:07:32] Like, I actually, like, I expect that from LeBron and Brunson. [1:07:39] And I expect that from basically, like, anybody. [1:07:41] Anybody. [1:07:42] I'm not going to get upset. [1:07:44] Does Jokic, like, Carl Anthony Towns or Rudy Gobert could do it. [1:07:47] I wouldn't even bat it. [1:07:48] Be like, yeah, I understand. [1:07:50] It's in character. [1:07:51] Jokic, really? [1:07:54] Come on. [1:07:56] So lame. [1:07:58] Give me the Clippers in game two. [1:07:59] Money line. [1:08:01] Oh, baby. [1:08:01] Can't wait to run back the Clippers. [1:08:03] Nick's money line parlay coming up on Thursday night. [1:08:05] Oh, man.”
LAC 117, DEN 83 — Clippers beat the Nuggets 117-83 in Game 3 (ESPN); Clippers moneyline cashes.
“[1:14:20] He will play in Game 3 Absinthe Stars He hasn played since he hoisted the Stanley cup in june of 2022 dude like he basically got like the lonzo ball knee injury seriously so he gonna play in game [1:14:35] three in denver the roof's coming off that place i'm not even messing around with abs to win the [1:14:42] game i don't even need it we're gonna lay abs on the puck line in game three plus 140 abs minus [1:14:48] one and a half in game three. [1:14:50] Dallas walking into an absolute buzzsaw in Denver.”
COL 1, DAL 2 — Stars beat the Avalanche 2-1 in overtime in Game 3 (ESPN recap); Avalanche lost outright, failing to cover -1.5.
“[1:15:28] Once again out dueling Jordan Binnington. [1:15:31] I don't want to say it's over because it's Winnipeg. [1:15:34] The Jets are minus 120 in game three. [1:15:37] Oh, hell yeah. [1:15:38] Give me Winnipeg in game three minus 120 to take a 3-0 series lead. [1:15:43] And to close it. [1:15:45] That's pretty upset. [1:15:46] Had the Canadians for a small bet, but I would have liked if they won. [1:15:49] Get the game to overtime and lose 3-2 to the Capitals.”
STL 7, WPG 2 — Blues beat the Jets 7-2 in Game 3 (ESPN box score); Jets moneyline busts.
- New York Knicks moneyline lost
- Los Angeles Clippers moneyline won
“parlaying Knicks money line with Clippers money line.”
Knicks lost Game 1 to the Pistons 100-94 (ESPN box score), busting the Knicks moneyline leg; the parlay is dead even though the Clippers won Game 2 105-102.
- New York Knicks moneyline lost
- Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline pending
- Boston Celtics moneyline pending
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline pending
“parlaying Knicks money line with Oklahoma City, Boston, and Cleveland money lines in game two.”
Knicks lost Game 1 to the Pistons 100-94 (ESPN box score), busting the Knicks moneyline leg; the parlay is dead regardless of the other legs.
- New York Knicks moneyline lost
- Winnipeg Jets moneyline won
“parlaying Knicks money line with the Winnipeg Jets tonight.”
Knicks lost Game 1 to the Pistons 100-94 (ESPN box score), busting the Knicks moneyline leg; the parlay is dead even though the Jets beat the Blues 2-1 that night.
“LA Kings, game one, minus 130 for me.”
LA 6, EDM 5 — Kings beat the Oilers 6-5 in Game 1 (NHL.com recap); Kings moneyline cashes.
“small bet on the Montreal Canadiens tonight”
WSH 3, MTL 2 — Capitals beat the Canadiens 3-2 in overtime in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Canadiens moneyline busts.
“I'm betting the Grizzlies.”
MEM 120, DAL 106 — Grizzlies beat the Mavericks 120-106 (ESPN box score); Grizzlies moneyline cashes.
“I bet Ottawa to win the series as well.”
Maple Leafs beat the Senators 4-2 in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs first round, clinching with a 4-2 win in Game 6 on May 1, 2025 (NHL.com); Senators-to-win-series bet loses.
“Moneyline, minus 110 right now at BetMGM against the Atlanta Hawks,”
ATL 114, MIA 123 — Heat beat the Hawks 123-114 in overtime in the play-in game (ESPN box score); Heat moneyline cashes.
“Clippers plus two and a half”
DEN 112, LAC 110 — Nuggets beat the Clippers 112-110 (ESPN box score); Clippers margin of -2 covers the +2.5.
“Clippers Moneyline, game one”
DEN 112, LAC 110 — Nuggets beat the Clippers 112-110 (ESPN box score); Clippers moneyline busts.
“take the 4.5 with the Minnesota Timberwolves”
LAL 95, MIN 117 — Timberwolves beat the Lakers 117-95 (ESPN box score); Timberwolves margin of +22 covers the +4.5.
“Warriors money line plus 105 at the Rockets”
HOU 85, GS 95 — Warriors beat the Rockets 95-85 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Warriors moneyline cashes.
“Yankees minus 105 on the road in Tampa.”
TB 3, NYY 6 — Yankees beat the Rays 6-3 (ESPN box score); Yankees moneyline cashes.
“Kumar Rocker over four and a half strikeouts.”
TEX 5, LAA 3 — Kumar Rocker struck out a career-best 8 batters over 7 innings for the Rangers in a 5-3 win over the Angels (ESPN), clearing over 4.5 strikeouts. (Kumar Rocker: 8 strikeouts in 7.0 IP)
“[1:23:43] I have Knicks series price from open at minus 350, [1:23:47] parlayed with about 7,000 things. [1:23:49] So I have the Knicks to win the series. [1:23:51] Oh, I'm way in on the Knicks. [1:23:54] And I think, I don't know if we're not going to get any more Lillard reporting.”
Knicks beat the Pistons 4-2 in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 116-113 Game 6 win on May 1, 2025 (ESPN); Knicks-to-win-series futures cashes.
“[1:24:30] I have the Knicks series price parlayed with a bunch, [1:24:33] including a Lakers series price, [1:24:35] and we can talk about that as we move to the Western Conference here. [1:24:38] You better you bet on this Thursday. [1:24:39] And just to play out the rest of the bracket, [1:24:41] I have Boston over Cleveland in the Eastern Conference Final. [1:24:44] I have Indiana beating Milwaukee, so Cleveland over Indiana. [1:24:47] But I will say I would not be shocked if Indiana upset Cleveland. [1:24:52] I think Indiana's got a better shot to beat Cleveland than the Knicks do of beating the Celtics. [1:24:56] And I'm a Knicks fan saying that. [1:24:57] And then Celtics over Cavs. [1:24:59] Celtics in seven, winning game seven on the road in Cleveland to go to the NBA Finals. [1:25:03] West, I'm going to have more going on here. [1:25:06] I think OKC is going to sweep Memphis if and when they play each other. [1:25:09] I bet the Clippers in both the series against Denver. [1:25:12] And I will bet the Clippers money line game one on the road in Denver. [1:25:16] Nuggets a two and a half point favorite. [1:25:17] I have Lakers series price against Minnesota parlayed with a couple different things, [1:25:22] and it pains me to say that. [1:25:24] And I'm not going to bet the Lakers in game one. [1:25:27] I think the Wolves could potentially win game one, [1:25:29] but I do think the Lakers will win the series. [1:25:31] So I do have Lakers series price parlayed with a bunch of things.”
Timberwolves beat the Lakers 4-1 in the 2025 first round, clinching with a 103-96 Game 5 win on Apr 30, 2025 (ESPN); Lakers-to-win-series futures loses.
“i'm gonna bet the marlins first five plus 105 against the diamondbacks”
6-2 — Arizona led Miami 2-1 through five innings on the way to a 6-2 win on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Miami's first-five moneyline loses.
“I will bet the Guardians' first five about even money on the road at the Orioles.”
1-9 — Baltimore led Cleveland 4-1 through five innings (Jackson Holliday's 2nd-inning grand slam) on the way to a 9-1 win on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Cleveland's first-five moneyline loses.
“Only one future needed. Scottie Scheffler to win the RBC.”
Justin Thomas won the 2025 RBC Heritage in a playoff over Andrew Novak; Scottie Scheffler did not win (Wikipedia/PGA Tour).
“I have Dallas plus the points as well. Four and a half is the number at BetMGM.”
120-106 — Dallas beat Sacramento 120-106 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score), a 14-point margin that clears the +4.5 spread.
“I'm going to put a small bet, like a small bet, just something fun to watch on the Bulls tonight against the Miami Heat. Money line minus 130 right now at BetMGM.”
109-90 — Miami beat Chicago 109-90 on 4/16/25 (ESPN box score); the Bulls moneyline loses.
“I'll bet the Giants in the first five tonight”
4-6 — Giants and Phillies were tied 2-2 through five innings (SF scored 2 in the 4th, PHI scored 2 in the 2nd) in Philadelphia's eventual 6-4 win on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score/line score); the Giants first-five moneyline pushes.
- Orlando Magic moneyline won
- Golden State Warriors moneyline won
“Magic Moneyline with Golden State.”
Orlando Magic beat Atlanta 120-95 and Golden State Warriors beat Memphis 121-116 on 4/15/25 (ESPN box scores); both parlay legs win.
“Give me the Flames, minus 115”
5-4 — Calgary beat Vegas 5-4 in a shootout on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score); the Flames moneyline wins.
“Give me the Seattle Kraken, minus 105”
5-6 — Los Angeles beat Seattle 6-5 on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score); the Kraken moneyline loses.
“Mets minus 115.”
3-6 — Minnesota beat New York 6-3 on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score); the Mets moneyline loses.
“Red Sox first five plus 115.”
7-4 — Boston led Tampa Bay 6-2 through five innings (1+2+2+1+0) in the Red Sox' 7-4 win on 4/15/25 (ESPN box score/line score); Boston's first-five moneyline cashes.
“I'll bet the Oilers at a plus price tonight.”
5-0 — Los Angeles Kings shut out Edmonton 5-0 on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score); Edmonton's moneyline loses.
“I'll play Rays' first five minus 125.”
1-16 — Tampa Bay led Boston 15-1 through five innings on the way to a 16-1 win on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score/line score); the Rays' first-five moneyline cashes easily.
“under eight with the Mets and the Twins.”
5-1 — New York Mets beat Minnesota 5-1 on 4/14/25 (ESPN box score), 6 combined runs, under the 8 total.
“5. Timberwolves, I don't want to mess with the”
Minnesota 141, Memphis 125 — Timberwolves beat Grizzlies 141-125; Minnesota moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“Islanders to win tonight”
NY Rangers 9, NY Islanders 2 — Rangers beat Islanders 9-2; the New York Islanders moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet under 7.5.”
Atlanta 4, Philadelphia 2 — Braves beat Phillies 4-2, combined 6 runs, under the 7.5 total (ESPN box score).
“It's not going to stop me from betting Colin in this tournament. So my two guys towards the top of the board, Collin Morikawa, Bryson DeChambeau.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose; Collin Morikawa finished T14 at -3 (285) (ESPN leaderboard). (Morikawa: T14, -3 (285))
“Bryson DeChambeau.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose; Bryson DeChambeau finished T5 at -7 (281) (ESPN leaderboard). (DeChambeau: T5, -7 (281))
“I bet Henley.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose; Russell Henley missed the cut (+3, 147) (ESPN leaderboard). (Henley: missed cut, +3 (147))
“Spieth.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose; Jordan Spieth finished T14 at -3 (285) (ESPN leaderboard). (Spieth: T14, -3 (285))
“Michael Kim. Plus 175. 175 to 1 to win the green jacket.”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters in a playoff over Justin Rose; Michael Kim finished T27 at -1 (287) (ESPN leaderboard). (Kim: T27, -1 (287))
“And I'll bet Jordan Spieth top 20 as well to back up my bet on Jordan Spieth to win at plus 110.”
Jordan Spieth finished T14 at -3 (285) at the 2025 Masters, inside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Spieth: T14, -3 (285))
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won
- Miami Heat moneyline lost
“That two-team money line parlay pays you plus 160.”
LA Lakers 112, Dallas 97; Chicago 119, Miami 111 — Parlay busts: Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won (112-97 over Dallas), but Miami Heat moneyline lost (Bulls 119, Heat 111) (ESPN box scores).
“That's about close to plus 400 at our show sponsor, BetMGM.”
LA Lakers 112, Dallas 97 — Luka Doncic scored 45 points with 8 rebounds, 6 assists and 4 steals in the Lakers' 112-97 win over Dallas — no category besides points reached double digits, so no triple-double occurred (ESPN box score). (Doncic: 45 pts, 8 reb, 6 ast, 4 stl)
“I'll take the Oilers minus 105 to beat the St. Louis Blues tonight.”
Edmonton 4, St. Louis 3 — Oilers beat Blues 4-3; Edmonton moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“over four first five with the Angels and the Rays”
Tampa Bay 5, LA Angels 4 — Angels and Rays combined for 7 runs through five innings (Angels 3, Rays 4), over the 4 first-five total (ESPN box score). (First 5 innings: Angels 3, Rays 4 (7 combined))
“[1:41:22] I will be more surprised if he's not in contention over anybody else in this field [1:41:28] with the exception of Scotty Scheffler. [1:41:31] I absolutely love that answer. [1:41:32] So maybe Morikawa, top five, top ten, the better way to bet him based on Gary's analysis. [1:41:36] That, to me, I have bet Colin, top five and top ten, with all my different parlays, [1:41:43] he is in every one of them, top five, top ten. [1:41:46] I just it just goes noted all my different parlays Gary Williams hashtag one of us Gary in 15 seconds”
Collin Morikawa finished T14 at -3 (285) at the 2025 Masters, missing the top-5 finish (ESPN leaderboard). (Morikawa: T14, -3 (285))
“[1:41:22] I will be more surprised if he's not in contention over anybody else in this field [1:41:28] with the exception of Scotty Scheffler. [1:41:31] I absolutely love that answer. [1:41:32] So maybe Morikawa, top five, top ten, the better way to bet him based on Gary's analysis. [1:41:36] That, to me, I have bet Colin, top five and top ten, with all my different parlays, [1:41:43] he is in every one of them, top five, top ten. [1:41:46] I just it just goes noted all my different parlays Gary Williams hashtag one of us Gary in 15 seconds”
Collin Morikawa finished T14 at -3 (285) at the 2025 Masters, one spot outside the top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Morikawa: T14, -3 (285))
“I'm betting Houston.”
63-65 — Florida beat Houston 65-63 in the April 7, 2025 national championship game, so Houston's moneyline busted (ESPN).
“So I have bet J.B. Bickerstaff because I thought Kenny Atkinson.”
Cavaliers coach Kenny Atkinson won the 2024-25 NBA Coach of the Year award, announced May 5, 2025, beating out finalist J.B. Bickerstaff (NBA.com). (Coach of the Year: Kenny Atkinson)
“I'll take the Texas Rangers tonight, plus 110 with Nasty Nate on the mound.”
Chicago Cubs 7, Texas Rangers 0 — Cubs beat Rangers 7-0; the Texas Rangers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I like the over in the Yankees-Pirates game. Marcus Stroman and Bailey falter. He falters in big spots. Aaron Judge, by the way, is like prime, like roided up Barry Bonds to start the season. He's been awesome. The total's up to nine and a half. I bet nine this morning. Nine is the number I would want to bet over for the Yankees and the Pirates.”
10-4 — Yankees beat Pirates 10-4 on April 5, 2025, a combined 14 runs, well over the 9-run total (ESPN).
- Duke Blue Devils moneyline lost
- UConn Huskies moneyline pending
“I am parlaying the UConn women to win with Duke to win tonight against Houston.”
67-70; 82-59 — Duke lost to Houston 67-70 in the Final Four while UConn beat South Carolina 82-59 in the women's title game the next day; the parlay needed both legs and busted on the Duke loss (ESPN; NCAA.com).
“I have Duke money line in the game. I may end up laying Duke also.”
67-70 — Duke lost to Houston 67-70 in the Final Four, so the Duke moneyline busted (ESPN).
“Tyrese Proctor, my long shot bet for most outstanding player of the tournament, 35-1.”
Florida's Walter Clayton Jr., not Tyrese Proctor, was named the 2025 NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after the championship game (ESPN). (Most Outstanding Player: Walter Clayton Jr.)
- Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline lost
- Boston Celtics moneyline won
- Indiana Pacers moneyline won
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won
“Minus 128 at BetMGM for that 14 Moneyline Parlay in the association.”
HOU 125, OKC 111; BOS 123, PHX 103; IND 140, UTAH 112; LAL 124, NO 108 — Parlay legs on 4/4/25: Thunder lost to the Rockets 111-125 (busts leg 1); Celtics beat Suns 123-103 (won); Pacers beat Jazz 140-112 (won); Lakers beat Pelicans 124-108 (won). One losing leg busts the parlay (ESPN).
“I'll take it a step further. I'll take the Orioles”
KC 8, BAL 2 — The Royals beat the Orioles 8-2 on 4/4/25; Orioles moneyline loses (ESPN).
“I'll take a shot on the Marlins”
ATL 10, MIA 0 — The Braves beat the Marlins 10-0 on 4/4/25; Marlins moneyline loses (ESPN).
- UConn Huskies moneyline pending
- South Carolina Gamecocks moneyline pending
- Duke Blue Devils moneyline lost
“into Duke money line tomorrow, plus 132.”
UCONN 85, UCLA 51; SC 74, TEX 57; HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Parlay legs: UConn beat UCLA 85-51 on 4/4/25 (won); South Carolina beat Texas 74-57 on 4/4/25 (won); Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the 4/5/25 Final Four, so Duke's moneyline lost — the parlay needs every leg to win, so it busts (ESPN).
“[2:26:30] While the Jimmy Butler trade was inspired by Golden State, [2:26:35] it was an inspired trade, right? [2:26:37] And that has rejuvenated the Warriors and Steph Curry, [2:26:40] and Draymond Green could very well win Defensive Player of the Year. [2:26:42] We'll talk about that with Jay Croucher coming up in a little bit. [2:26:45] Need I remind everybody that the Los Angeles Lakers traded for Luka Doncic. [2:26:53] I know it seems unbelievable, and I was actually thinking it last night watching the Maverick. [2:26:58] Anthony Davis was incredible last night for Dallas against Atlanta, [2:27:02] including the game-winning floater with a couple seconds to play. [2:27:05] So I'm watching Anthony Davis hit this floater, and I'm like, oh yeah, that's right. [2:27:08] Anthony Davis is on Dallas, and Luka's on the Lakers. [2:27:10] It still hasn't even sunk in yet fully that Luka's on the Lakers. [2:27:14] It gon' sink in tonight. [2:27:16] Because yeah, Curry's great, Jimmy Butler's great, and maybe Draymond wins defensive player of the year. [2:27:22] But the Lakers have LeBron, the Lakers have, dare I say it, Austin Reeves, and the Lakers have Luka Doncic. [2:27:33] Give me the Lakers tonight, minus the points, minus one and a half money line to take down the Golden State Warriors.”
GS 123, LAL 116 — The Warriors beat the Lakers 123-116 on 4/3/25; Lakers moneyline loses (ESPN).
“That's plus 100. I'll bet the under tonight. Tristan Jari coming off a really good start. Hofer's been awesome for St. Louis. Under 5.5 for the Blues and the Penguins.”
STL 5, PIT 4 (OT) — The Blues beat the Penguins 5-4 in overtime on 4/3/25 for a combined 9 goals; under 5.5 busts (ESPN).
- Edmonton Oilers moneyline won
- Duke Blue Devils moneyline lost
“[2:57:43] And I will take the Edmonton Oilers' money line tonight, [2:57:47] minus 300 on the road in San Jose, [2:57:50] parlayed with Duke's money line on Saturday against Houston, [2:57:53] about minus 120 at BetMGM.”
EDM 3, SJ 2; HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Parlay leg 1: Edmonton Oilers beat San Jose 3-2 on 4/3/25 (won). Leg 2: Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the 4/5/25 Final Four, so Duke's moneyline lost — the parlay needs every leg to win, so it busts (ESPN).
“I'll play the Reds' first five.”
First-5: MIL 1, CIN 0 (Final MIL 1, CIN 0) — Milwaukee led Cincinnati 1-0 through 5 innings en route to a 1-0 shutout on 4/3/25; Reds first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[2:58:36] Corbin Carroll for the Arizona Diamondbacks.”
NYY 9, ARI 7 — Corbin Carroll did not homer in Arizona's 9-7 loss to the Yankees on 4/3/25; the game's home runs were by Judge, Grisham, Chisholm Jr. (NYY) and Perdomo (grand slam, ARI) (ESPN). (Corbin Carroll: 0 HR)
“[2:58:39] Matt McLain for the Cincinnati Reds.”
MIL 1, CIN 0 — Milwaukee shut out Cincinnati 1-0 on 4/3/25; the Reds managed only 2 hits and no home runs, so Matt McLain did not homer (ESPN box score). (Matt McLain: 0 HR)
“[2:27:33] Give me the Lakers tonight, minus the points, minus one and a half money line to take down the Golden State Warriors.”
GS 123, LAL 116 — The Warriors beat the Lakers 123-116 on 4/3/25, a 7-point margin; Lakers -1.5 busts (ESPN).
“I'll bet plus two and a half”
FLA 79, AUB 73 — Florida beat Auburn 79-73 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25, a 6-point margin; Auburn +2.5 busts (ESPN).
“I'll back it up with a Moneyline bet.”
FLA 79, AUB 73 — Florida beat Auburn 79-73 in the 2025 Final Four on 4/5/25; Auburn moneyline loses (ESPN).
“i am gonna bet speed because tyler likes him”
Winner: Brian Harman — Brian Harman won the 2025 Valero Texas Open; Jordan Spieth did not win (ESPN golf leaderboard).
“tommy fleetwood and kevin's younger brother 250 to 1 Brice Garnett oh oh yeah you know what he does”
Winner: Brian Harman — Brian Harman won the 2025 Valero Texas Open; Bud Cauley did not win (ESPN golf leaderboard).
“tommy fleetwood and kevin's younger brother 250 to 1 Brice Garnett oh oh yeah you know what he does”
Winner: Brian Harman — Brian Harman won the 2025 Valero Texas Open; Hideki Matsuyama did not win (ESPN golf leaderboard).
“tommy fleetwood and kevin's younger brother 250 to 1 Brice Garnett oh oh yeah you know what he does”
Winner: Brian Harman — Brian Harman won the 2025 Valero Texas Open; Tommy Fleetwood did not win (ESPN golf leaderboard).
“tommy fleetwood and kevin's younger brother 250 to 1 Brice Garnett oh oh yeah you know what he does”
Winner: Brian Harman — Brian Harman won the 2025 Valero Texas Open; Brice Garnett did not win (ESPN golf leaderboard).
“Knicks plus 10 and a half.”
CLE 124, NY 105 — The Cavaliers beat the Knicks 124-105 on 4/2/25, a 19-point margin; Knicks +10.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to play Toronto minus 110 against Florida”
TOR 3, FLA 2 — The Maple Leafs beat the Panthers 3-2 on 4/2/25 on Mitch Marner's third-period goal; Toronto moneyline covers (ESPN).
“I also like the over in the Yankees-Diamondbacks game. Over 7.5.”
ARI 4, NYY 3 — Arizona beat New York 4-3 on 4/2/25 for a combined 7 runs; over 7.5 busts (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won
- Memphis Grizzlies moneyline lost
“Lakers-Grizzlies two-team Moneyline Parlay.”
LAL 104, HOU 98; BOS 117, MEM 103 — Lakers beat the Rockets 104-98 (moneyline leg wins), but the Celtics beat the Grizzlies 117-103 (Grizzlies moneyline leg loses); the two-leg parlay busts on the Grizzlies leg (ESPN box scores).
“Under six tonight with Colorado and Calgary.”
CGY 3, COL 2 — Flames beat the Avalanche 3-2 in a shootout on 3/31/25; combined 5 goals stays under the 6 total (ESPN box score, gameId 401688779).
“Give me the Braves at almost plus 200”
LAD 6, ATL 1 — Braves lost 6-1 to the Dodgers on 3/31/25; moneyline busts (ESPN box score, gameId 401694970).
“I'll lay the 14 and a half with UConn against USC.”
UCONN 78, USC 64 — UConn beat USC 78-64 (a 14-point margin) in the NCAA women's Elite Eight on 3/31/25, short of the -14.5 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401746068).
- Duke Blue Devils won
- Florida Gators won
“Duke-Florida Moneyline Parlay for yours truly tonight. That's how I'm choosing to play these games.”
Duke 85-65 Alabama; Florida 84-79 Texas Tech — Duke beat Alabama 85-65 and Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 in the March 29, 2025 Elite Eight; both legs of the moneyline parlay won (ESPN box scores).
“two-team Moneyline Parlay with Florida and Duke tomorrow.”
DUKE 85, ALA 65 — Duke beat Alabama 85-65 in the Elite 8 on 3/29/25, so Duke's moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Suns plus seven and a half.”
MIN 124, PHX 109 — The Timberwolves beat the Suns 124-109, a 15-point margin, on 3/28/25 -- more than the +7.5 line -- so Phoenix's spread lost (ESPN box score).
- LSU Tigers moneyline won
- UCLA Bruins moneyline won
“An LSU, UCLA, two-team Moneyline Parlay.”
LSU 80, NC State 73; UCLA 76, Ole Miss 62 — LSU beat NC State 80-73 and UCLA beat Ole Miss 76-62, both in the women's NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 on 3/28/25, so the LSU/UCLA moneyline parlay won (ESPN box scores).
“Ole Miss is going to win the game tonight.”
MSU 73, MISS 70 — Michigan State beat Ole Miss 73-70 in the Sweet 16 on 3/28/25, so Ole Miss's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“So I bet the Rangers with nasty Nate Evaldi because I think they're going to win the American League against Garrett Crochet and the Red Sox.”
BOS 5, TEX 2 — The Red Sox beat the Rangers 5-2 on 3/27/25, so Texas's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I did bet the Mets.”
HOU 3, NYM 1 — The Astros beat the Mets 3-1 on 3/27/25, so New York's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I think it's a show bet.”
CWS 8, LAA 1 — The White Sox led the Angels 3-0 through 5 innings en route to an 8-1 final on 3/27/25, so Chicago's first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: CWS 3, LAA 0)
“Tigers first five plus 115 with Tariq Scoople against the Dodgers.”
LAD 5, DET 4 — The Dodgers led the Tigers 4-2 through 5 innings en route to a 5-4 final on 3/27/25, so Detroit's first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: LAD 4, DET 2)
“Plus 145 on the road in Seattle against Logan Gilbert and the Mariners.”
SEA 4, ATH 2 — The Mariners beat the Athletics 4-2 on 3/27/25, so the Athletics' moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“So I'll have BYU plus the points and BYU on the money line tonight.”
ALA 113, BYU 88 — Alabama beat BYU 113-88 in the Sweet 16 on 3/27/25, so BYU's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Terps. plus seven against Florida.”
FLA 87, MD 71 — Florida beat Maryland 87-71, a 16-point margin, in the Sweet 16 on 3/27/25 -- more than the +7 line -- so Maryland's spread lost (ESPN box score).
“So I'll put a small money line bet on Wu-Pig Sui on Arkansas to beat Texas Tech tonight.”
TTU 85, ARK 83 (OT) — Texas Tech beat Arkansas 85-83 in overtime in the Sweet 16 on 3/27/25, so Arkansas's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Wynton Clark, 33-1.”
Min Woo Lee won the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at -20; Wyndham Clark tied for 5th at -15 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard).
“cashing tickets for us”
Min Woo Lee won the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at -20; Tony Finau tied for 32nd at -8 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard).
“at 50-1”
Min Woo Lee won the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at -20; Sahith Theegala tied for 67th at -1 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard).
“George's brother”
Min Woo Lee won the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at -20; Hayden Springer tied for 15th at -11 and did not win (ESPN leaderboard).
“Suns plus the 6.5 by Bedford tonight in the NBA.”
132-102 — Boston beat Phoenix 132-102, a 30-point margin that busts the Suns' +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I also like the Dallas Stars tonight. Minus 135 on the road at Edmonton.”
4-3 — Dallas beat Edmonton 4-3 on Jason Robertson's second-period hat trick, so the Stars moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Islanders-Canucks, under 5.5 with Thatcher Demko and Ilya Sorokin.”
5-2 — Vancouver beat the Islanders 5-2, a combined 7 goals that busts the under 5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Devils-Blackhawks over 5.5”
5-3 — New Jersey beat Chicago 5-3, a combined 8 goals that clears the over 5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I laid the eight and a half already.”
AUB 78, MICH 65 — Auburn beat Michigan 78-65 in the Sweet 16, a 13-point margin that covers Auburn -8.5 (ESPN).
- Duke Blue Devils to make Final Four won
- Auburn Tigers to make Final Four won
- Houston Cougars to make Final Four won
- Florida Gators to make Final Four won
“I bet all four one-seats to make it, parlayed it a little south of 15-1.”
All four 2025 NCAA 1-seeds (Duke, Auburn, Houston, Florida) reached the Final Four, an occurrence matched only by 2008, so the parlay won (Wikipedia).
“Milwaukee, plus three and a half.”
PHX 108, MIL 106 — Phoenix beat Milwaukee 108-106; the Bucks' -2 margin covers +3.5 (ESPN).
“Islanders minus one and a half, plus 190.”
CBJ 4, NYI 3 — Columbus beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in a shootout; the Islanders' -1 margin misses -1.5 (ESPN).
- USC Trojans moneyline
- West Virginia Mountaineers moneyline
“Minus 134.”
USC 96, Mississippi St 59; North Carolina 58, West Virginia 47 — USC beat Mississippi State 96-59 (USC leg won), but North Carolina beat West Virginia 58-47 (West Virginia leg lost) in the women's NCAA Tournament second round, so the parlay lost (ESPN box scores).
“I'm going to lay the 7.5”
ARK 75, SJU 66 — Arkansas beat St. John's 75-66 in the NCAA Tournament second round; St. John's lost outright, busting the -7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me Arkansas on the money line, plus 240 at BetMGM against the Johnnies.”
ARK 75, SJU 66 — Arkansas beat St. John's 75-66; the moneyline covers (ESPN).
“Duke currently 11 and a half, but this number's on the move towards the blue devils against Baylor one 43 and a half the total. I, I think Cooper flag is going to go, we're going to guard VJ edge comb for people that don't know. It's like an NBA quality player for Baylor. Cooper flag is going to erase him from the game. And Duke's going to win by 30. I love Duke tomorrow against Baylor. Lay it with Duke.”
DUKE 89, BAY 66 — Duke beat Baylor 89-66, a 23-point margin that covers Duke -11.5 (ESPN).
“I'm on the Ducks.”
ARIZ 87, ORE 83 — Arizona beat Oregon 87-83; Oregon's -4 margin covers +4.5 (ESPN).
“I'm on the Ducks. I'll take it plus a four and a half, and I like the overs well, 152 and a half.”
ARIZ 87, ORE 83 — Arizona beat Oregon 87-83 (combined 170), over 152.5 covers (ESPN).
“I have Bryant plus the points, and I got a little Moneyline sprinkle.”
MSU 87, BRY 62 — Michigan State beat Bryant 87-62 in the NCAA Tournament first round; Bryant's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“What’s our bet for Maryland Grand Canyon? First half. Maryland first half. I laid five and a half.”
MD 42, GCU 28 (1st half) — Maryland led Grand Canyon 42-28 at halftime (ESPN box score linescore); a 14-point first-half margin covers Maryland -5.5 1H.
“I'm going to live bet St. Mary's to win the game right now.”
SMC 59, VAN 56 — Saint Mary's beat Vanderbilt 59-56 in the NCAA Tournament first round, winning the live moneyline bet outright (ESPN box score).
“please, first to 15, it’s plus 130 that I bet.”
McNeese 69, Clemson 67 — ESPN play-by-play shows McNeese already led 16-8 at the 9:45 mark of the first half (past 15), while Clemson didn't reach 15 points until 19:14 of the second half (15-31) — McNeese was first to 15, so the bet won.
“So as we currently stand right now, Femi, Tennessee, an 18.5 point favorite against Wofford, right? Yep. 18.5 against Wofford, and the total, 135.5. How are you betting this again? Tip-off coming up in a couple minutes here with Tennessee and Wofford. I am laying the lumber with the Vols. I think they are just athletically the superior team.”
Tennessee 77, Wofford 62 — Tennessee beat Wofford 77-62 (ESPN box score); Tennessee's +15 margin fails to cover -18.5.
“I bet Drake plus 6.5.”
Missouri 57, Drake 67 — Drake beat Missouri 67-57 (ESPN box score); Drake's +10 margin covers +6.5.
- Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline won
- UCLA Bruins moneyline won
“UCLA Moneyline Parlay for me with Arkansas coming up.”
Kansas 72, Arkansas 79; UCLA 72, Utah State 47 — Both parlay legs won: Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 outright, and UCLA beat Utah State 72-47 outright (ESPN box scores).
“I just bet McNeese. You bet him plus seven and a half? Yeah.”
McNeese 69, Clemson 67 — McNeese beat Clemson 69-67 (ESPN box score); McNeese's +2 margin covers +7.5.
“Yes, I bet him. I laid two in the second half.”
BYU 80, VCU 71 (2H: VCU 43, BYU 41) — ESPN's linescore for BYU 80, VCU 71 shows a first half of BYU 39, VCU 28 and therefore a second half of VCU 43, BYU 41 — VCU won the second half by exactly 2, matching the -2 line for a push.
“St. John's now out to a 19 and a half point favorite against Peyton Manning's other alma mater, Omaha. 150 and a half the total. I think St. John's wins this game by 30. It's interesting that the total's gotten bet up a bit. If I had to bet anything with this game, it would actually be the under. I think St. John's defensively, it's like a picture-perfect defense, how they defend. Offensively, it can be challenged at times. So if anything in the game, I would bet the under, but it's not a strong opinion, so I'm a pass. I'm laying it with St. John's.”
St. John's 83, Omaha 53 — St. John's beat Omaha 83-53 (ESPN box score); St. John's +30 margin covers -19.5.
“I bet Xavier on Sunday night, one and a half.”
XAV 86, TEX 80 — Xavier beat Texas 86-80 on 3/19/25, a 6-point margin that covers -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet plus 125”
CSU 78, MEM 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 on 3/21/25, so Memphis's moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Aztecs of San Diego State plus the points. I’d love five. If not, I’ll take the four and a half.”
UNC 95, SDSU 68 — North Carolina beat San Diego State 95-68 on 3/18/25, a 27-point margin that exceeds San Diego State's +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“I am going to be safe and take the points with Memphis here. So I'm going to bet Memphis plus two and a half.”
CSU 78, MEM 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 on 3/21/25, an 8-point margin that exceeds Memphis's +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I don't even need the points. I'll take the points and Moneyline with Arkansas.”
ARK 79, KU 72 — Arkansas beat Kansas 79-72 on 3/20/25, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“I bet VCU last night, plus 3.5, minus 110. It's one of the first bets I made.”
BYU 80, VCU 71 — BYU beat VCU 80-71 on 3/20/25, a 9-point margin that exceeds VCU's +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“i did bet Gonzaga last night at open, open four and a half”
GONZ 89, UGA 68 — Gonzaga beat Georgia 89-68 on 3/20/25, a 21-point margin that covers -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“i think michigan's gonna win i like laying two and a half with the wolverines here i'm on michigan also”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — Michigan beat UC San Diego 68-65 on 3/20/25, a 3-point margin that covers -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“i did bet Gonzaga last night at open, open four and a half money line minus 220. I bet both. So I'm on Gonzaga in this game against Georgia.”
GONZ 89, UGA 68 — Gonzaga beat Georgia 89-68 on 3/20/25, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Even money looks to be the price for Auburn to win the South region and go to the Final Four. So I have at least one one seed in the Final Four, Brad. Give me Auburn to come out of the South region.”
No. 1 seed Auburn beat Michigan State 70-64 on 2025-03-30 in the Elite Eight to win the NCAA South Region (ESPN).
“you know we bet in vcu in that first game plus the points and VCU Moneyline against BYU.”
BYU 80, VCU 71 — BYU beat VCU 80-71 in the first round on 2025-03-20; VCU lost, busting the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“I'm betting on Memphis. Memphis plus three and a half is my favorite bet in the top half, Brad, in the first round of the West region.”
Colorado State 78, Memphis 70 — Colorado State beat Memphis 78-70 in the first round on 2025-03-21; Memphis lost outright by 8, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“Do you have a thought on the total of UConn-Oklahoma? I like the over in that game, 147.5.”
67-59 — UConn beat Oklahoma 67-59 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament on March 21, 2025; combined score fell short of the over 147.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Yeah I took the points with Iowa I took 10 with Iowa”
106-94 — Illinois beat Iowa 106-94 in the Big Ten Tournament second round on March 13, 2025; a 12-point Iowa loss fails to cover +10 (ESPN).
“[2:05:55] See how this Fordham game goes. [2:05:56] We'll see how Fordham looks in the next like half hour here. [2:06:00] Rams hanging around. [2:06:01] I like where we're at here with Minnesota, with the Wolves. [2:06:05] They're going to be like my team besides for the Knicks now because I'm in. [2:06:09] I bet them and I parlayed them with some stuff. [2:06:11] I'll just add. [2:06:12] Did you see – [2:06:13] Timberwolves to win the West parlayed with Duke to win the national championship is pretty, pretty good.”
124-94 — The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 4-1 in the 2025 NBA Western Conference Finals, closing it out 124-94 in Game 5 on May 28, 2025; Minnesota did not win the West (ESPN).
“I'll sprinkle a little OU money line.”
85-84 — Kentucky beat Oklahoma 85-84 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 13, 2025; Oklahoma lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).
- Minnesota Timberwolves to win Western Conference
- Duke Blue Devils to win national championship
“[2:05:55] See how this Fordham game goes. [2:05:56] We'll see how Fordham looks in the next like half hour here. [2:06:00] Rams hanging around. [2:06:01] I like where we're at here with Minnesota, with the Wolves. [2:06:05] They're going to be like my team besides for the Knicks now because I'm in. [2:06:09] I bet them and I parlayed them with some stuff. [2:06:11] I'll just add. [2:06:12] Did you see – [2:06:13] Timberwolves to win the West parlayed with Duke to win the national championship is pretty, pretty good. [2:06:18] Parlayed with Cooper Flagg's ankle to be great next week. [2:06:21] Exact outcome, I bet MGM, Celtics to beat the Timberwolves 125 to 1 if you're interested in that. [2:06:28] I am highly interested.”
124-94; 70-67 — Both parlay legs failed: the Thunder beat Minnesota 124-94 in Game 5 to win the 2025 Western Conference Finals 4-1 (Timberwolves did not win the West), and Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the April 5, 2025 Final Four, so Duke did not win the national championship (ESPN).
“I took the 5.5 with Iowa, tipping off at 6 o’clock Eastern.”
77-70 — Iowa beat Ohio State 77-70 outright in the Big Ten tournament opener on March 12, 2025, easily covering +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet a little bit of McKinnon. The price is palatable at plus $4.75.”
Connor Hellebuyck (Winnipeg Jets) won the 2024-25 NHL Hart Trophy, not Nathan MacKinnon (NHL.com).
“I'm going to play Aaron Wiggins over 13.5 points.”
OKC 118, BOS 112 — Aaron Wiggins scored 0 points in OKC's 118-112 win over Boston on March 12, 2025, well under 13.5 (ESPN box score). (Aaron Wiggins: 0 points)
“Minnesota plus three and Phoenix plus four and a half.”
MIN 115, DEN 95 — Minnesota beat Denver 115-95 on March 12, 2025, a 20-point margin, covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“Minnesota plus three and Phoenix plus four and a half.”
HOU 111, PHX 104 — Houston beat Phoenix 111-104 on March 12, 2025, a 7-point Phoenix loss, outside the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Montreal Canadiens, plus 120 on the road at the Seattle Kraken.”
SEA 5, MTL 4 — Seattle beat Montreal 5-4 in overtime on March 12, 2025, so the Montreal moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“LSU plus nine and a half against Mississippi State.”
91-62 — Mississippi State beat LSU 91-62 in the SEC tournament first round on March 12, 2025, a 29-point LSU loss, nowhere close to covering +9.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Rutgers to beat USC with two NBA players in Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper.”
97-89 — USC defeated Rutgers 97-89 in double overtime in the Big Ten tournament first round on March 12, 2025, so the Rutgers moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Suns plus four is the number I'm looking for. The Suns plus four tonight on the road in Memphis.”
120-118 — Memphis beat Phoenix 120-118 on 2025-03-10, a 2-point Suns loss that covers Phoenix Suns +4 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the over in that game. We will go over six in that game tonight with Detroit and Ottawa.”
2-1 — Ottawa beat Detroit 2-1 on 2025-03-10, a combined 3 goals that falls under the over 6 total (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Leafs, and I will lay the puck line, minus a goal and a half at plus 195 tonight on the road in Utah.”
4-3 — Toronto beat Utah 4-3 in a shootout on 2025-03-10, a 1-goal final margin that falls short of Toronto -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
- Saint Mary's Gaels moneyline won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs moneyline won
- UNC Wilmington Seahawks moneyline won
- Wofford Terriers moneyline won
“I'm going to do a four-team money line tonight in college basketball. Because I'm getting ready for later this week when the big boys are playing. St. Mary's, Gonzaga, UNC Wilmington against College of Charleston, and I'll ride with you on the Terriers with Wofford. That four-leg parlay at BetMGM pays plus 207 tonight.”
Saint Mary's 74, Pepperdine 59; Gonzaga 85, San Francisco 76; UNC Wilmington 68, Charleston 67; Wofford 92, Furman 85 — All four legs won on 2025-03-10: Saint Mary's beat Pepperdine 74-59, Gonzaga beat San Francisco 85-76, UNC Wilmington beat Charleston 68-67, and Wofford beat Furman 92-85, so the 4-team moneyline parlay cashes (ESPN box scores).
“I said last week on the show, after Matthew Stafford came back to the Rams, the Rams are my favorite to win the NFC West. And the betting market's going to have San Francisco as the favorite, and I will register my disagreements in the betting market by betting the Rams to win the division.”
Seahawks 14-3, Rams 12-5 — The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3; the Los Angeles Rams finished second at 12-5 after an overtime loss to Seattle in Week 16, so the Rams' futures bet loses (per the Rams' and Seahawks' 2025 season Wikipedia pages).
“i'm gonna put my money where my mouth is i have betting houston to make the final four like i think houston's going to the final four”
Houston, a No. 1 seed, reached the 2025 Final Four before losing the national championship game to Florida — the Final Four berth itself is what was bet, and it hit (ESPN).
“Like, I bet Georgia 150 to one.”
81-75 — Oklahoma beat Georgia 81-75 in the SEC tournament first round on 2025-03-12, eliminating Georgia before it could win the tournament (ESPN box score).
“Give me the X going. I'll give it to you straight up on the money line at probably plus one 25 to plus one 135 on that line, all diggity day long because his team is playing exceptional offense at the right time. Yeah. Yeah, so I'm on Xavier to win this conference tournament. I'll have the money line against Marquette. I will also bet the money line against St. John's.”
82-66 — St. John's, not Xavier, won the 2025 Big East tournament, beating Creighton 82-66 on 2025-03-15, so Xavier's futures bet loses (St. John's Athletics recap).
“Heat plus 13 and a half on the road at the Cavaliers.”
112-107 — Cleveland beat Miami 112-107 on March 5, 2025, a -5 margin for Miami that covers +13.5 (ESPN final).
“Give me the Rangers to beat the Washington Capitals tonight at Madison Square Garden.”
3-2 — Washington beat NY Rangers 3-2 in OT on March 5, 2025; the Rangers moneyline busts (ESPN final).
“I'll bet Toronto also tonight in the NHL.”
5-2 — Vegas beat Toronto 5-2 on March 5, 2025; the Maple Leafs moneyline busts (ESPN final).
“Florida Moneyline on the road at Alabama. Florida to win the damn game.”
99-94 — Florida beat Alabama 99-94 on March 5, 2025, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
- Xavier Musketeers moneyline pending
- Tennessee Volunteers moneyline lost
“Two-team Moneyline parlay. This pays about plus 170. Xavier on the road at Butler. I'm going to lay one and a half. Now it's three and a half as the day has gone on. Xavier. And I think a lot of people are liking Ole Miss tonight to at least cover the spread. I'm big on Tennessee. I'm going to take Tennessee to win. Forget about the points. Tennessee to win. Tennessee Xavier, two-team money line.”
Xavier 91-78 Butler; Ole Miss 78-76 Tennessee — Parlay busts: Xavier beat Butler 91-78 (moneyline wins), but Ole Miss beat Tennessee 78-76 on March 5, 2025, so the Tennessee moneyline leg loses and the parlay fails (ESPN finals).
“Stanford, money line, on the road at Notre Dame.”
56-54 — Notre Dame beat Stanford 56-54 on March 5, 2025; the Stanford moneyline busts (ESPN final).
“So I'm going to bet the Knicks. It is an emo bet by me.”
114-102 — Golden State beat New York 114-102 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN scoreboard); the Knicks moneyline busts.
“San Jose State plus 15 and a half for 16 on the road at Colorado State.”
83-56 — Colorado State routed San Jose State 83-56 on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); the 27-point margin blew through the +15.5 spread.
“Excited to bet on these games. Knicks Moneyline Thursday night in L.A.”
113-109 — Lakers beat the Knicks 113-109 in overtime on March 6, 2025 (Luka Doncic 32 pts, LeBron James 31 pts), so the Knicks moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“And Real and Atleti, both teams to score. Brad, I'm tailing both of these.”
2-1 — Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 in the Champions League round of 16 on March 4, 2025 (Rodrygo and Brahim Diaz for Madrid, Julian Alvarez for Atletico); both teams scored (ESPN).
“So Bruges draw no bet against Aston Villa.”
1-3 — Aston Villa beat Club Brugge 3-1 in the Champions League round of 16 first leg on March 4, 2025 (ESPN); Club Brugge draw-no-bet loses since Villa won outright.
“The Rams won't be the favorite, so it is a little silly to say it like this, but I'm going to bet the Rams to win the division.”
The Seattle Seahawks won the 2025 NFC West at 14-3; the Rams finished 12-5 and did not win the division (Wikipedia, citing the Rams' 2025 season).
“So earlier today, I bet Portland plus three and a half.”
119-102 — Portland beat Philadelphia 119-102 on March 3, 2025 (ESPN); Portland's outright win covers the +3.5 spread.
“I'm going to bet the Lightning tonight, Femi. And, like, I bet plus 135.”
2-1 — Florida beat Tampa Bay 2-1 on March 3, 2025 (ESPN); Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline busts.
“And I'll do a zigzag here, and I'll play the Islanders minus 110 at the Rangers”
4-0 — NY Rangers beat NY Islanders 4-0 on March 3, 2025 (ESPN); New York Islanders moneyline busts.
- UCLA Bruins won
- Northwestern State Demons won
“Northwestern State, UCLA, two-team money line parlay, along with Kansas for me.”
73-69; 73-57 — Both parlay legs won: UCLA beat Northwestern 73-69 and Northwestern State beat Incarnate Word 73-57, both on March 3, 2025 (ESPN box scores), so the two-team moneyline parlay cashes.
“I'll take the Oilers plus 120 on the road in Florida.”
FLA 4, EDM 3 — Florida beat Edmonton 4-3; the Oilers lost outright, so the moneyline bet fails (ESPN).
“So Flyers minus 110 on the road in Pittsburgh.”
PIT 5, PHI 4 — Pittsburgh beat Philadelphia 5-4 in overtime; the Flyers lost, so the moneyline bet fails (ESPN).
“I'll bet under 5.5, though, if not, give me the under tonight with Utah and Minnesota.”
UTAH 6, MIN 1 — Utah beat Minnesota 6-1, a combined 7 goals, going over the 5.5 total (ESPN).
“I bet 10.5 with Rutgers”
MICH 84, RUTG 82 — Michigan beat Rutgers 84-82 on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer; Rutgers lost by only 2, covering the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“His points prop is nine and a half. Let's go over Kyshawn George for the Wizards. Nine and a half. That is the number right now at BetMGM.”
POR 129, WSH 121 — Kyshawn George scored 7 points as Portland beat Washington 129-121, under his 9.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Kyshawn George: 7 points)
“Celtics minus four and a half on the road in Detroit.”
DET 117, BOS 97 — Detroit beat Boston 117-97 outright; the Celtics lost by 20, missing the -4.5 spread (ESPN).
- Kentucky Wildcats moneyline won
- Texas A&M Aggies moneyline lost
“So Kentucky Moneyline, and I'm going to pair that with the team that lost on Saturday, Texas A&M, who lost to Tennessee. I think A&M gets back on track. A pretty decent-sized favorite tonight against Vandy. If you pair A&M Moneyline with Kentucky Moneyline, that pays plus 108 at BetMGM.”
Kentucky moneyline leg won (Kentucky 83, Oklahoma 82), but Texas A&M lost to Vanderbilt 86-84, so the parlay fails (ESPN).
“Betting movement has been on Ole Miss from 13.5 down to 12.5. Ole Miss plus the points at Auburn.”
AUB 106, MISS 76 — Auburn routed Ole Miss 106-76; Ole Miss lost by 30, far outside the +12.5 spread (ESPN).
“This was 13 and a half. Now it's 12 and a half. Give me rice plus the points on the road at Memphis.”
MEM 84, RICE 72 — Memphis beat Rice 84-72; Rice lost by 12, covering the +12.5 spread by half a point (ESPN).
“[2:06:45] Texas, plus 210 to win the American League West.”
Seattle won the 2025 AL West at 90-72; the Texas Rangers finished 3rd at 81-81, 9 games back (ESPN MLB standings).
“[2:06:49] Minus 120, yes, to make the playoffs.”
The Texas Rangers finished the 2025 regular season 81-81, 9 games back in the AL West, and missed the playoffs (ESPN MLB standings).
“[2:06:52] Over 85.5 wins.”
The Texas Rangers finished the 2025 regular season with 81 wins, under the 85.5-win total (ESPN MLB standings). (81 wins)
“Give me the Flyers laying it at home against the Penguins.”
PHI 6, PIT 1 — Flyers beat the Penguins 6-1 (ESPN box score); moneyline covers.
“And Joey Decord under five and a half tonight with the Blues and the Kraken.”
STL 7, SEA 2 — St. Louis beat Seattle 7-2 (ESPN box score) for a combined 9 goals, over the 5.5 total; busts.
“Give me the Hurricanes, plus 22.5 against Duke.”
DUKE 97, MIA 60 — Duke beat Miami 97-60 (ESPN); Hurricanes +22.5 lost outright by 37, failing to cover.
“I bet Georgia plus 7.5.”
UGA 88, FLA 83 — Georgia beat Florida 88-83 (ESPN); Bulldogs +7.5 covers after a 5-point margin.
“LSU, plus 10.5 against the Vols.”
LSU 59, TENN 65 — Tennessee beat LSU 65-59 (ESPN); Tigers +10.5 covers after a 6-point margin.
“I'm going to take the 8.5 with Mississippi State.”
ALA 111, MSST 73 — Alabama beat Mississippi State 111-73 (ESPN); Bulldogs +8.5 lost outright by 38, failing to cover.
“I will take the 14.5 with the Spiders of Richmond against VCU.”
VCU 78, RICH 60 — VCU beat Richmond 78-60 (ESPN); Spiders +14.5 lost outright by 18, failing to cover.
“I'll take the 10.5 with Iowa on the road to terrible Illini”
ILL 81, IOWA 61 — Illinois beat Iowa 81-61 (ESPN); Hawkeyes +10.5 lost outright by 20, failing to cover.
“My favorite bet of the night in college basketball, Santa Clara plus the six and a half at home against Gonzaga.”
GONZ 95, SCU 76 — Gonzaga beat Santa Clara 95-76 (ESPN); Broncos +6.5 lost outright by 19, failing to cover.
“I laid one and a half. I like the Pistons tonight against the L.A. Clippers.”
DET 106, LAC 97 — Pistons beat the Clippers 106-97 (ESPN box score), covering -1.5 by 7.5 points.
“I'm actually going to take the points with the Pacers here. I bet four and a half.”
DEN 125, IND 116 — Nuggets beat the Pacers 125-116 (ESPN box score); Pacers +4.5 lost outright by 9, failing to cover.
“I'm betting San Jose tonight. Small bet for me on the Sharks.”
WPG 2, SJ 1 — Winnipeg beat San Jose 2-1 in overtime (ESPN box score); Sharks moneyline busts.
“Give me Florida State plus three and a half, and give me Houston to win and cover on the road in Lubbock.”
UNC 96, FSU 85 — North Carolina beat Florida State 96-85 (ESPN); Seminoles +3.5 lost outright by 11, failing to cover.
“It's nine and a half. I'll take the points with the Bucks without Damian Lillard tonight. So give me Milwaukee plus the nine and a half.”
MIL 103-101 MIN — Bucks beat the Timberwolves 103-101 on Feb 12, 2025; Milwaukee Bucks +9.5 covers easily (ESPN).
“So I will lay the points with Oklahoma City, 14.5 against Miami.”
OKC 115-101 MIA — Thunder beat the Heat 115-101 on Feb 12, 2025, a 14-point margin; Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5 fails to cover by half a point (ESPN).
- Ole Miss Rebels moneyline won
- TCU Horned Frogs moneyline won
“And Ole Miss TCU Moneyline Parlay, Plus 117, two teams both just to win. Ole Miss on the road at South Carolina and TCU hosting Oklahoma State. Two-team Moneyline Parlay, plus 117 at BetMGM.”
MISS 72-68 SC; TCU 73-72 OKST — Both legs hit: Ole Miss beat South Carolina 72-68 and TCU beat Oklahoma State 73-72, both on Feb 12, 2025 (ESPN box scores).
“I think the best bet right now in the AFC if you're looking to beat Kansas City is the Houston Texans at 25 to 1.”
The New England Patriots beat the Denver Broncos 10-7 on Jan 25, 2026 to win the AFC Championship and reach Super Bowl LX; the Houston Texans did not win the AFC (ESPN).
“I'll bet the Raptors tonight, plus the 10.5. Brad and I were talking off air, Brad Thomas, that is, that the Sixers don't really blow teams out this season. They blow out teams when they're dogs, not necessarily as favorites. I'll take the 10.5 with the Raptors tonight.”
TOR 106, PHI 103 — Toronto beat Philadelphia 106-103 on Feb 11, 2025; the Raptors won outright, covering the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“Now, this was four and a half a little while ago. Back down to three and a half, and I agree with that line move. UConn is smarting right now. Oh, yeah. More than a possession? Give me Connecticut plus the points on the road at the Blue Jays of Creighton.”
UConn 70, Creighton 66 — UConn beat Creighton 70-66 on Feb 11, 2025; UConn's +4 margin as an outright winner covers the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I like the Bengals at Price also at 18 to 1.”
29-13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on Feb 8, 2026; the Cincinnati Bengals did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN).
“Give me the Packers at 20-1.”
29-13 — The Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on Feb 8, 2026; the Green Bay Packers did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN).
“Jazz plus 12 and a half. They're not going to win, but keep it respectable at L.A. in Luka Doncic's Laker debut.”
LAL 132, UTAH 113 — The Lakers beat the Jazz 132-113 on Feb 10, 2025 (Luka Dončić's Lakers debut); Utah's -19 margin busts the +12.5 spread (ESPN).
“I agree with Femi. I took 5.5 with Carolina.”
CLEM 85, UNC 65 — Clemson beat North Carolina 85-65 on Feb 10, 2025; UNC's -20 margin busts the +5.5 spread (ESPN).
“I bet Kansas City it opened. I've got futures on the Chiefs.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Chiefs lost Super Bowl LIX to the Eagles 22-40, so the Chiefs moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Chris Jones, MVP, 66-1.”
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP, not Chris Jones, so the Chris Jones MVP futures bet lost (NFL.com).
“If that's true, and I think it probably is, five and a half rushing yards, I can't be right for Worthy. I guess it's possible he could have one run and it could get stuffed. Yeah, they'd blow it up or something. I think it's more likely that maybe he has a couple carries in this game. It's juicy. It's like minus 140 right now at MGM. Maybe there are better prices elsewhere. But Worthy over rushing yards, I feel like, is something that I am quite interested in for this game.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Xavier Worthy had zero carries and zero rushing yards in Super Bowl LIX per the ESPN box score (only receiving stats: 8 catches, 157 yards), so over 5.5 rushing yards lost. (Xavier Worthy: 0 rushing yards)
“Saquon Barkley under longest rush, 23.5.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley's longest rush in Super Bowl LIX was 10 yards (25 carries, 57 yards) per the ESPN box score, under the 23.5-yard line. (Saquon Barkley: 10-yard longest rush)
“11.5 receiving yards over.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — DeAndre Hopkins caught 2 passes for 18 yards and a TD in Super Bowl LIX per the ESPN box score, over the 11.5 receiving-yards line. (DeAndre Hopkins: 18 receiving yards)
“and Grant Calcaterra, a good paisan for the Philadelphia Eagles.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Grant Calcaterra did not record a reception or a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX per the ESPN box score, so the first-touchdown-scorer bet lost.
“and Grant Calcaterra, a good paisan for the Philadelphia Eagles.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Grant Calcaterra did not record a reception or a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX per the ESPN box score, so the anytime-touchdown-scorer bet lost.
“So I have Ramegio first touchdown. What's the price? I mean, 30 might be any time. I don't know. It's a big number. So I have it straight.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Super Bowl LIX's first touchdown was Jalen Hurts' 1st-quarter rushing score for the Eagles, not a Nikko Remigio touchdown (ESPN box score).
- Nikko Remigio first touchdown scorer
- Kansas City Chiefs moneyline
“I have Remigio first touchdown parlayed with the Chiefs to win.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat the Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX, so the Chiefs moneyline leg loses and the parlay loses regardless of the Remigio first-TD leg (ESPN box score).
- Nikko Remigio anytime touchdown scorer
- Kansas City Chiefs moneyline
“I have Remigio any time touchdown and Remigio any time touchdown parlayed with the Chiefs to win.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Eagles beat the Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX, so the Chiefs moneyline leg loses and the parlay loses regardless of the Remigio anytime-TD leg (ESPN box score).
- Nikko Remigio first touchdown scorer
- Kansas City Chiefs moneyline
- Duke Blue Devils to win the national championship
“And I think I have Nikko Remigio first touchdown, the Chiefs, and Duke to win the national title as well.”
Eagles beat the Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX and Florida (not Duke) won the 2025 NCAA men's basketball championship, so both the Chiefs-moneyline and Duke-title legs lose regardless of the Remigio TD leg (ESPN box score; Wikipedia 2025 NCAA tournament).
“So Sixers are a four-and-a-half point home favor right now against the Mavericks. Joel Embiid's playing. Give me the Mavericks plus the four-and-a-half. I absolutely love that.”
PHI 118, DAL 116 — 76ers beat the Mavericks 118-116; Dallas lost by only 2, covering the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll actually play the Raptors plus the points for the full game. Raptors plus five and a half. There are sixes available. Get the best number on the Toronto Raptors.”
NY 121, TOR 115 — Knicks beat the Raptors 121-115; Toronto lost by 6, missing the +5.5 cover (ESPN box score).
“give me the New York Islanders on the money line tonight in the NHL”
NYI 2, VGK 1 — New York Islanders beat the Golden Knights 2-1; the moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“So I am going to lay two favorites where you hear these numbers and you're like, there's no way that this can beat the price. Houston is laying 22 against Oklahoma State. Now, I bet Houston this weekend, obviously like that bet went horribly, but Houston laying 22 against Oklahoma State.”
HOU 72, OKST 63 — Houston beat Oklahoma State 72-63, winning by only 9 points — well short of covering -22 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to lay Auburn against Oklahoma. 17 and a half. Again, the number feels too big. Makes you want to take Oklahoma. I zig where others zag. I will lay it with Janai Broom and Auburn.”
AUB 98, OU 70 — Auburn beat Oklahoma 98-70, a 28-point margin that covers -17.5 (ESPN box score).
“The first rushing attempt by Jalen Hurts over under three and a half yards. Oh, see, that's interesting, right? So if it's a designed run, I feel like it'll go under because I feel like all the design runs for him don't work out. But if it's like a broken play, pass play, and he runs, I wouldn't bet that because I would need to know, like, is it going to be design run or is it like he scrambles? If he scrambles, way over three and a half. Design run, I would not bet over on Jalen Hurts. Also, design run means a.k.a. tush push. Like, it's fourth and one. Could be. To where it's like one or two yards. Could be. You're right about that. And then that under cash is there. Thank you. You're right. So basically what you're betting, and I guess, yeah, because there's a number of ways it loses. Tush push it loses, and it organically loses. Exactly. And I guess, and it could potentially lose on a scramble also. It doesn't have to go over. So I guess I'd bet under there. I like the under. What's the juice there? Minus 110 each way.”
Jalen Hurts' first rushing attempt of Super Bowl LIX was a 3rd-and-11 scramble for 9 yards (pushed out of bounds), busting the under 3.5 (ESPN play-by-play). (Jalen Hurts first rush attempt: 9 yards)
“I do like, I want to lay the Nuggets tonight. I'm laying the 10. Zion's back in the lineup. Great. Let some other sap. Bet the New Orleans Pelicans. I will lay the points with the Denver Nuggets.”
Denver 125, New Orleans 113 — Nuggets beat the Pelicans 125-113 (margin +12), covering -10.
“I take the dog on the puck line Predators minus a goal and a half at plus 190 over at BetMGM Preds on the puck line minus a goal and a half at plus 190”
Ottawa 5, Nashville 2 — Ottawa beat Nashville 5-2; Predators lost by 3, failing to cover -1.5 on the puck line.
“at BetMGM Sporting is plus 120, and I have bet it during this interview, Sporting plus 120 to qualify against Dortmund.”
0-0 (2nd leg); 0-3 aggregate — Sporting CP lost the Champions League playoff round to Borussia Dortmund 3-0 on aggregate (0-3 first leg, 0-0 second leg on Feb 19, 2025), so Sporting did not qualify (ESPN match report).
“So if I had to bet one Chief running back over at this point in the process, let's go over six and a half receiving yards for Samaje Perine”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Samaje Perine had 1 catch for 2 receiving yards in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs; under 6.5 receiving yards, over side loses (ESPN box score). (Samaje Perine: 1 rec, 2 receiving yards)
“I'll take the nine and a half with Philly.”
DEN 137, PHI 134 — Nuggets beat the 76ers 137-134; Philadelphia lost by 3, covering the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I will take the Canucks to go on the road to Dallas and beat the Stars. Canucks money line in Dallas.”
Dallas 5, Vancouver 3 — Dallas beat Vancouver 5-3 on Jan 31, 2025; Canucks moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Blues and Canucks both to win tonight as dogs on the road.”
Colorado 5, St. Louis 0 — Colorado shut out St. Louis 5-0 on Jan 31, 2025; Blues moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I like Indiana as well plus the 12 and a half.”
Purdue 81, Indiana 76 — Purdue beat Indiana 81-76 on Jan 31, 2025; Indiana lost by 5, covering the +12.5 spread (ESPN box score).
- Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl LIX
- New York Knicks to win the NBA championship
“and uh also chiefs twin chiefs chiefs nicks parlay duke nicks parlay morikawa masters nicks parlay i'm i'm why not i'm in baby”
40-22 — The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on Feb 9, 2025, killing the Chiefs leg; the New York Knicks also did not win the 2025 NBA title (Oklahoma City Thunder beat Indiana in 7 games), so the parlay lost either way.
- Duke Blue Devils to win the national championship
- New York Knicks to win the NBA championship
“and uh also chiefs twin chiefs chiefs nicks parlay duke nicks parlay morikawa masters nicks parlay i'm i'm why not i'm in baby”
70-67 — Duke lost to Houston 70-67 in the 2025 Final Four on Apr 5, 2025, killing the Duke leg (Florida later beat Houston 65-63 for the title); the New York Knicks also did not win the 2025 NBA title, losing the East finals to Indiana 4-2, so the parlay lost either way.
- Collin Morikawa to win the Masters
- New York Knicks to win the NBA championship
“and uh also chiefs twin chiefs chiefs nicks parlay duke nicks parlay morikawa masters nicks parlay i'm i'm why not i'm in baby”
Rory McIlroy beat Justin Rose in a playoff to win the 2025 Masters on Apr 13, 2025, killing the Morikawa leg; the New York Knicks also did not win the 2025 NBA title, losing the East finals to Indiana 4-2, so the parlay lost either way.
“No, Anthony Davis, no problem. Lakers minus eight and a half at the Wizards.”
WSH 96, LAL 134 — Lakers beat Wizards 134-96, a 38-point margin; Lakers -8.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Minnesota laying the five and a half on the road at Utah.”
UTAH 113, MIN 138 — Timberwolves beat Jazz 138-113, a 25-point margin; Minnesota -5.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“I'm betting the Canadiens minus 145.”
MIN 4, MTL 0 — Canadiens were shut out 0-4 by the Wild; moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet them on the puck line at plus 165 as well, minus a goal and a half.”
MIN 4, MTL 0 — Wild beat Canadiens 4-0, a 4-goal margin; Montreal -1.5 puck line busts (ESPN box score).
“Islanders to win on the road in Philly against the Flyers and under in the game.”
NYI 3, PHI 0 — Islanders beat Flyers 3-0 on the road; moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“So I bet Nebraska earlier. I have four and a half.”
NEB 80, ILL 74 — Nebraska beat Illinois 80-74 in overtime, a 6-point margin; Nebraska +4.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Oregon give me the four and a half with the Oregon Ducks”
UCLA 78, ORE 52 — UCLA beat Oregon 78-52, a 26-point margin; Oregon +4.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“I have three vibes bets for golf this weekend. I'm not betting a lot of money on these because they're vibes bets. They're probably going to lose. But I'm going to have fun. I had fun clicking the button, and I'm going to have fun watching. So long-time listeners and viewers of the show will know that there are two golfers that I like more than any other to bet. Tyler, do you know who they are in the history of the show? Who do I always bet? Hideki Matsuyama is one of them. Yes. And the other one's got to be – is it Sung Jae Im? No, not an Asian Only one Asian on this list This guy is a Masters champion Other one's Jordan Spieth He's back So Matsuyama's 20”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at -21; Hideki Matsuyama finished T48 at -7, not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T48 finish, -7)
“Well there there there x amount of dollars down the drain he 80 to 1 so i i bet spieth apparently it apparently it an awful i said it was vibes i did no research”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at -21; Jordan Spieth finished T69 at even par, not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T69 finish, E)
“Victor Hovland's 50 to 1. Tyler, why is he 50 to 1? Like, what malady is, like, what does he have? Like, the gout?”
Rory McIlroy won the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at -21; Viktor Hovland finished T22 at -10, not the winner (ESPN final leaderboard). (T22 finish, -10)
“We're going to bet them against the Brooklyn Nets tonight. We'll lay the one. Don't get stung. Lay the one and a half with the Hornets against the Brooklyn Nets. My one NBA bet for tonight.”
104-83 — The Hornets lost 104-83 to the Nets on Jan 29, 2025, a -21 margin, failing to cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“We'll go over five and a half tonight. Thatcher Demko has been struggling. UC Soros has been struggling. One play for me tonight on the ice, over five and a half with the Canucks and the Preds.”
3-1 — Canucks beat Predators 3-1 (combined 4 goals) on Jan 29, 2025, well under the 5.5-goal total (ESPN box score).
“I'll take LSU, plus the points against Auburn, plus 12.5.”
87-74 — No. 1 Auburn beat LSU 87-74 on Jan 29, 2025, a 13-point Auburn win, so LSU's +12.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“TCU, in a buy low, sell high spot. TCU, plus 11.5 against Texas Tech.”
71-57 — Texas Tech beat TCU 71-57 on Jan 29, 2025, a 14-point win, so TCU's +11.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“I'll go heads up with Femi on the Alabama game. I will take Mark Sears in Alabama to beat Mississippi State.”
88-84 — Alabama beat Mississippi State 88-84 on Jan 29, 2025, so the Alabama moneyline pick won (ESPN box score).
“Ole Miss, I will lay the six and a half with the Rebels tonight.”
72-69 — Ole Miss beat Texas 72-69 on Jan 29, 2025, only a 3-point margin, short of the -6.5 line (ESPN box score).
“Houston, we've got a problem. And the problem is the Rockets are going to win by 100. Rockets laying the 5.5 on the road in Atlanta against Trey Young and the Hawks.”
Houston 100, Atlanta 96 — Houston beat Atlanta 100-96, a 4-point margin that fails to cover Houston -5.5 (ESPN final).
“Under six with the Bruins and the Sabres. Under six.”
Buffalo 7, Boston 2 — Buffalo beat Boston 7-2, a combined 9 goals over the under 6 total (ESPN final).
“I'm with you on Wake. I took nine and a half. I'll take nine with Wake.”
Louisville 72, Wake Forest 59 — Louisville beat Wake Forest 72-59, a 13-point margin that fails to cover Wake Forest +9.5 (ESPN final).
“Give me the Billikens. St. Louis plus five and a half against VCU as a home dog.”
Saint Louis 78, VCU 69 — Saint Louis beat VCU 78-69 outright, covering Saint Louis +5.5 (ESPN final).
“Travis Kelsey's at a very nice 69.5 receiving yards. Does anyone think he's going under that? I understand that everybody will make this bet. And sometimes, everybody wins. I think we will.”
32-29 — Travis Kelce had 2 receptions for 19 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, well under the over 69.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 19 receiving yards)
“Utah the Utes at a big plus price plus 190 on the road in Winnipeg”
5-2 — Utah Hockey Club lost to the Winnipeg Jets 5-2 on the road (ESPN box score).
“I love the stars in the game. I will lay it with Dallas. It's not a huge price, minus 145. Ottinger in net for Dallas. Give me the stars laying it against the Knights.”
4-3 — The Dallas Stars beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 (ESPN box score).
- Purdue Boilermakers won
- Marquette Golden Eagles won
“I'm going to Moneyline Parlay, the two favorites, in the top 25 games tonight. Purdue and Marquette. Get that about minus 113.”
Both parlay legs won: Purdue beat Michigan 91-64 and Marquette beat Villanova 87-74 (ESPN finals).
“Jamison Crowder. Anytime touchdown.”
55-23 — Jamison Crowder had 1 catch for 4 yards and no touchdown as the Eagles beat the Commanders 55-23 in the NFC Championship (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns (1 catch, 4 yards))
“I love Dallas Goddard over his receiving yards over 40 and a half.”
Dallas Goedert caught 7 passes for 85 receiving yards in the Eagles' 55-23 NFC Championship win over the Commanders, clearing the 40.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Goedert 85 receiving yards)
“I bet 12 and a half. I think 11.5 is still okay. Give me the Mavericks plus the points on the road in OKC against the Thunder”
DAL 121, OKC 115 — Dallas beat Oklahoma City 121-115 on the road, winning outright and easily covering the +12.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take Golden State to win tonight against the Chicago Bulls. Warriors minus 1.5.”
CHI 106, GSW 131 — Golden State beat Chicago 131-106, a 25-point margin that easily covers the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Under five and a half. Flyers and Rangers. The under with the Flyers and the Rangers.”
PHI 1, NYR 6 — The Rangers beat the Flyers 6-1 (combined 7 goals), busting the Under 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
“And I want to go over six with the Canadiens and the Red Wings.”
MTL 2, DET 4 — The Red Wings beat the Canadiens 4-2 (combined 6 goals), landing exactly on the Over 6 total for a push (ESPN box score).
“The Knicks will win, but it's going to be a close game tonight in Brooklyn. Give me the Nets plus the 12.5 against my Knicks.”
NYK 99, BKN 95 — The Knicks beat the Nets 99-95 on Jan 21, 2025; Brooklyn lost by only 4, which covers its +12.5 spread (ESPN).
“I also want to play the Capitals to win the game tonight.”
EDM 2, WSH 3 — The Washington Capitals beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 on Jan 21, 2025, so the Capitals moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Ducks plus $2.20 to win against the Florida Panthers.”
FLA 5, ANA 2 — The Anaheim Ducks lost 5-2 to the Florida Panthers on Jan 21, 2025, so the Ducks moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“And I will go over the total there, over five and a half with the Ducks and the Panthers.”
FLA 5, ANA 2 — Florida beat Anaheim 5-2 on Jan 21, 2025, a combined 7 goals, over the 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I'll lay the 8.5 with Tennessee against Mississippi State.”
TENN 68, MSST 56 — Tennessee beat Mississippi State 68-56 on Jan 21, 2025, a 12-point margin that covers Tennessee's -8.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'm with Brad Evans. I laid 11.5.”
ALA 103, VAN 87 — Alabama beat Vanderbilt 103-87 on Jan 21, 2025, a 16-point margin that covers Alabama's -11.5 spread (ESPN).
“I don't care. I'm going to take the commanders to win the game.”
PHI 55, WSH 23 — Eagles beat Commanders 55-23 in the NFC Championship on Jan 26, 2025 (ESPN); the Washington moneyline busts.
“Yeah, I bet Chiefs money line. I would still bet it.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Chiefs beat Bills 32-29 in the AFC Championship on Jan 26, 2025 (ESPN); the Kansas City moneyline covers.
“I will just play the over in Tampa Bay and Toronto over 6 and a half”
TOR 5, TB 3 — Toronto beat Tampa Bay 5-3 on Jan 20, 2025; combined 8 goals covers the over 6.5 (ESPN box score).
“If we don I take nine and a half with the Commanders”
45-31 — Commanders beat the Lions 45-31 in the NFC divisional round on Jan 18, 2025 (ESPN box score) — a 14-point win, well clear of +9.5.
“But the bet that I really like in this game, and it's in range now, is the total, and I want to go over 43 and a half.”
28-22 — Eagles beat the Rams 28-22 in the NFC divisional round on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN box score) — combined 50 points, over the 43.5 total.
“Patrick Mahomes plus 450 will be my choice.”
Patrick Mahomes threw for just 177 yards vs Houston, well short of divisional-round leader Matthew Stafford's 324 yards vs Philadelphia (ESPN box scores). (Mahomes 177 passing yards; Stafford led the round with 324)
“last weekend which was i think saquon and derrick henry should be priced almost exactly the same and there a difference in pricing right saquon plus 175 Henry plus 275 In the same way that if Henry if you flip the prices I bet Saquon I'll just take the longer odds on Derrick Henry.”
Derrick Henry rushed for 84 yards on 16 carries vs Buffalo on Jan 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), well short of divisional-round leader Saquon Barkley's 205 yards vs the Rams. (Henry 84 rushing yards; Barkley led the round with 205)
“He's going for 100. Climb the ladders. Terry McLaurin, my receiving yards leader.”
Terry McLaurin caught 4 passes for 87 yards vs Detroit on Jan 18, 2025 (ESPN box score), short of divisional-round leader Amon-Ra St. Brown's 137 yards in the same game. (McLaurin 87 receiving yards; St. Brown led the round with 137)
“Anytime touchdowns. I agree with Femi. Let's go to the island on Marquise Hollywood Brown”
23-14 — Chiefs beat Texans 23-14; per ESPN's scoring plays the Chiefs' only TDs were Kareem Hunt (rush, Q2) and Travis Kelce (rec, Q4). Marquise Brown had 0 rec/0 yds/0 TD (ESPN box score) and did not score. (0 TD)
“and also Peyton Heyman. Nice hender shot. Peyton Hendershot. Anytime touchdown.”
23-14 — Chiefs beat Texans 23-14; per ESPN's scoring plays the Chiefs' only TDs were Kareem Hunt (rush, Q2) and Travis Kelce (rec, Q4) — Peyton Hendershot does not appear in the scoring plays and did not score. (0 TD)
“Terry McLaurin. over not just 67.5 receiving yards. McLaurin's going over 100 tomorrow night”
45-31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31; Terry McLaurin finished with 4 receptions for 87 yards and a touchdown (a 58-yard TD catch at Q2 6:23, per ESPN box score/play-by-play), clearing the 67.5-yard line. (87 receiving yards)
“How about a split between Brock Wright and Shane Zylstra, the number two and three tight end. Beer or pizza money on the Anytime Tuddies.”
45-31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31; per ESPN's scoring plays, Detroit's touchdowns were Jahmyr Gibbs (x2, rush), Sam LaPorta (rec), and Jameson Williams (61-yd rush) — Brock Wright does not appear in the scoring plays and did not score. (0 TD)
“How about a split between Brock Wright and Shane Zylstra, the number two and three tight end. Beer or pizza money on the Anytime Tuddies.”
45-31 — Commanders beat Lions 45-31; per ESPN's scoring plays, Detroit's touchdowns were Jahmyr Gibbs (x2, rush), Sam LaPorta (rec), and Jameson Williams (61-yd rush) — Shane Zylstra does not appear in the scoring plays and did not score. (0 TD)
“I love Lamar Jackson over 53.5 rushing yards.”
27-25 — Bills beat Ravens 27-25; Lamar Jackson rushed 6 times for 39 yards (ESPN box score), under the 53.5-yard line. (39 rushing yards (6 carries))
“In the NBA, I think the Nuggets will win on the road in Miami. Nuggets money line.”
DEN 133, MIA 113 — Nuggets beat Heat 133-113 on Jan 17, 2025 (ESPN); the Denver moneyline covers.
“The Vegas Golden Knights, plus 125 on the road at the Carolina Hurricanes”
CAR 3, VGK 2 — Hurricanes beat Golden Knights 3-2 on Jan 17, 2025 (ESPN); the Vegas moneyline busts.
“DeAndre Hopkins over 29.5 receiving yards on Saturday for Patrick Holmes and the Chiefs against the Houston Texans.”
DeAndre Hopkins was targeted once and finished with 0 catches, 0 receiving yards in Kansas City's 23-14 divisional-round win over Houston on Jan 18, 2025, missing the 29.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Hopkins 0 receiving yards)
“red wings are too big of a dog on the road in florida despite the loss to san jose they're playing great hockey red wings plus 220 to win tonight in florida”
5-2 — Detroit beat Florida 5-2 on Jan 16, 2025; the Red Wings' moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“under with the Canadiens and the Stars, under six with the Canadiens and Stars.”
3-1 — Montreal beat Dallas 3-1 on Jan 16, 2025, a combined 4 goals that clears under 6 (ESPN box score/recap).
“Give me the abs to beat the Oilers. Mackenzie Blackwood starting for Colorado. abs to beat the oilers”
4-3 — Colorado lost to Edmonton 4-3 on Jan 16, 2025; the Avalanche moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“and my guy dustin wolf oh and the calgary flames to win on the road in st louis at a plus price”
4-1 — Calgary lost to St. Louis 4-1 on Jan 16, 2025; the Flames moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“So I'm going to end up with a Rams bet in this game. Current market at BetMGM is 6. Total is 44. Maybe it goes up a little bit. Open 6.5 went down to 5.5. I grabbed a little 6.5.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Eagles beat Rams 28-22 in the NFC Divisional Round; Rams lost by 6, covering the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me the over, over six with the Oilers and the Wilds.”
EDM 5, MIN 3 — Edmonton beat Minnesota 5-3 on Jan 15, 2025; the combined 8 goals cleared the over 6 total (ESPN box score).
“I think the Rams win outright tonight against the Minnesota Vikings.”
LAR 27, MIN 9 — Los Angeles Rams beat the Minnesota Vikings 27-9 in the NFC Wild Card game on Jan 13, 2025; the Rams win outright (ESPN box score).
- Baltimore Ravens +7.5 won
- Kansas City Chiefs -2 won
“The bets are in. Not that I won't bet more on it. I have teasers, like Ravens plus seven and a half, yes please, with Kansas City minus two or Detroit minus two.”
BUF 27-BAL 25; KC 23-HOU 14 — Both teased legs covered: Bills beat Ravens 27-25 (Ravens +7.5 teased 6 pts to +13.5 easily covers a 2-pt loss) and Chiefs beat Texans 23-14 (Chiefs -2 teased to +4 covers a 9-pt win), per ESPN box scores.
- Baltimore Ravens +7.5
- Detroit Lions -2
“The bets are in. Not that I won't bet more on it. I have teasers, like Ravens plus seven and a half, yes please, with Kansas City minus two or Detroit minus two.”
BUF 27-BAL 25; WSH 45-DET 31 — Ravens +7.5 leg covered (Bills won 27-25), but Lions -2 leg failed: Commanders beat Lions 45-31, a 14-point Lions loss that busts even teased 6 points to +4, per ESPN box scores.
“This will be my biggest bet of divisional weekend. It's the Ravens just to win this game. I'm in Buffalo.”
27-25 — Baltimore Ravens lost 27-25 to the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round on Jan 19, 2025, so the Ravens moneyline busts, per ESPN.
“Under six, Flyers and Panthers.”
4-3 — Flyers beat Panthers 4-3 (combined 7 goals) on Jan 13, 2025, over the 6-goal total, per ESPN box score.
“Give me the Flames on the puck line, minus a goal and a half at Chicago.”
5-2 — Flames beat Blackhawks 5-2 on Jan 13, 2025, a 3-goal margin that covers Flames -1.5, per ESPN box score.
“Dustin Wolf, oh my guy. I bet him to win the Calder Trophy. I don't know if he's going to win.”
Montreal Canadiens defenseman Lane Hutson won the 2024-25 Calder Memorial Trophy, not Dustin Wolf, per NHL.com.
“Give me the Rams plus the points and the Rams to win tonight against Minnesota.”
27-9 — Los Angeles Rams beat the Minnesota Vikings 27-9 on Jan 13, 2025, so the Rams moneyline covers, per ESPN.
“Kyren Williams over 83 and a half rushing yards. Love Kyren Williams over his rushing yards.”
Kyren Williams rushed 16 times for 76 yards in the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, under the 83.5-yard line, per ESPN box score. (16 carries, 76 rushing yards)
“Beer or pizza money. Josh Oliver and Davis Allen anytime touchdowns.”
Josh Oliver caught a pass but did not score a touchdown in the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025; the Rams' TDs were Kyren Williams, Davis Allen, and Jared Verse (fumble return), per ESPN play-by-play. (0 touchdowns)
“Beer or pizza money. Josh Oliver and Davis Allen anytime touchdowns.”
Davis Allen caught a 13-yard touchdown pass from Matthew Stafford with 0:15 left in the 2nd quarter of the Rams' 27-9 win over the Vikings on Jan 13, 2025, per ESPN play-by-play. (1 touchdown, 13 yards)
“C.J. Stroud is going to ball out. C.J. Stroud of the Turin, over 232 and a half passing yards.”
32-12 — C.J. Stroud passed for 282 yards (22-of-33) in Houston's 32-12 AFC Wild Card win over the Chargers on Jan 11, 2025, clearing the 232.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (282 passing yards)
“Anytime touchdown, we'll go with Russell's grandson, Matt's son, Cade Stover.”
32-12 — Texans beat Chargers 32-12 (Jan 11, 2025 AFC Wild Card); Cade Stover finished with 4 catches for 28 yards and 0 touchdowns (ESPN box score). (0 TD (4 rec, 28 yds))
“Darnell Washington, anytime touchdown for your Pittsburgh Steelers.”
28-14 — Ravens beat Steelers 28-14 (Jan 11, 2025 AFC Wild Card); Darnell Washington had 1 reception for 9 yards and 0 touchdowns (ESPN box score). (0 TD (1 rec, 9 yds))
“So Sunday night for me, Terry McLaurin over 62 and a half receiving yards at BetMGM, Commanders and the Bucs, Sunday night football.”
23-20 — Commanders beat Buccaneers 23-20 (Jan 12, 2025 NFC Wild Card); Terry McLaurin had 7 catches for 89 receiving yards, over the 62.5 line (ESPN box score). (89 receiving yards)
“I think Milwaukee dominates Orlando tonight. Milwaukee minus six and a half, or lay the lumber with Milwaukee at Orlando.”
109-106 — Bucks beat Magic 109-106 (Jan 10, 2025); Milwaukee's 3-point margin fell short of the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take a shot on Jayden Daniels plus 900 over at BetMGM Femi to lead wildcard weekend in passing yards.”
C.J. Stroud led all 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Weekend passers with 282 yards (Texans 32, Chargers 12, Jan 11, 2025); Jayden Daniels threw for 268 yards as the Commanders beat the Buccaneers 23-20 on Jan 12, short of the weekend high (ESPN box scores). (Stroud 282 pass yds (weekend high); Daniels 268 pass yds)
“that will be Terry McLaurin. Scary Terry at about 22-1 to lead wildcard weekend in receiving yards.”
Ladd McConkey led all 2024-25 NFL Wild Card Weekend receivers with 197 yards (Texans 32, Chargers 12, Jan 11, 2025); Terry McLaurin had 89 receiving yards as the Commanders beat the Buccaneers 23-20 on Jan 12, well short of the weekend high (ESPN box scores). (McConkey 197 rec yds (weekend high); McLaurin 89 rec yds)
“I will take the Canadiens at a huge underdog price on the road at the Washington Capitals. The Montreal Canadiens plus 185 on the road at the Caps.”
MTL 3, WSH 2 (OT) — Canadiens beat the Capitals 3-2 in overtime on Jan 10, 2025; the Montreal moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“even though I have their win total over and Kenny Atkinson coach of the year.”
Kenny Atkinson was named 2024-25 NBA Coach of the Year, leading the Cleveland Cavaliers to the East's No. 1 seed, over runners-up J.B. Bickerstaff and Ime Udoka (NBA.com).
“I'm going to get five. Maybe Femi's right. I don't think this goes up to six. It would disappear immediately. No, yeah, it's not. But five, five. This is a bet for me on the Green Bay Packers coming up against the Philadelphia Eagles.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Eagles beat Packers 22-10 in the NFC wild card (Jan 12, 2025); Green Bay lost outright, busting the +5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Portland Trailblazers who are playing really well right now under Chauncey Billups. Plus 7.5 on the road at the Dallas Mavericks coming up tonight.”
117-111 — Dallas beat Portland 117-111 (margin 6) on Jan 9, 2025, so Portland +7.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“And then I'll play the under with the Bruins and the Lightning. Under six with Swayman and Vasilevsky”
4-1 — Tampa Bay beat Boston 4-1 on Jan 9, 2025 (combined 5 goals); the under 6 cashes (ESPN box score).
“who has some bets on the Packers from throughout the season to win the NFC and some long shot exact Super Bowl matchups at the time with the Chiefs, the Bills and the Ravens and others.”
22-10 — Green Bay lost the NFC Wild Card game to Philadelphia 22-10 on Jan 12, 2025 and did not win the NFC (ESPN).
“who has some bets on the Packers from throughout the season to win the NFC and some long shot exact Super Bowl matchups at the time with the Chiefs, the Bills and the Ravens and others.”
40-22 — Packers were eliminated by the Eagles 22-10 in the Wild Card round on Jan 12, 2025; Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Eagles vs Chiefs, Eagles winning 40-22, not Packers vs Chiefs (NFL.com).
“who has some bets on the Packers from throughout the season to win the NFC and some long shot exact Super Bowl matchups at the time with the Chiefs, the Bills and the Ravens and others.”
40-22 — Packers were eliminated by the Eagles 22-10 in the Wild Card round on Jan 12, 2025; Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Eagles vs Chiefs, Eagles winning 40-22, not Packers vs Bills (NFL.com).
“who has some bets on the Packers from throughout the season to win the NFC and some long shot exact Super Bowl matchups at the time with the Chiefs, the Bills and the Ravens and others.”
40-22 — Packers were eliminated by the Eagles 22-10 in the Wild Card round on Jan 12, 2025; Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Eagles vs Chiefs, Eagles winning 40-22, not Packers vs Ravens (NFL.com).
- Ohio State Buckeyes moneyline won
- Buffalo Bills moneyline won
- Baltimore Ravens moneyline won
“You know what I'm doing during this break? Three-team money line parlay. Ohio State, Buffalo, and Baltimore.”
OSU 28-14 TEX; BAL 28-14 PIT; BUF 31-7 DEN — All three legs won outright: Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl CFP semifinal (1/10/25), Baltimore beat Pittsburgh 28-14 in the AFC Wild Card (1/11/25), and Buffalo beat Denver 31-7 in the AFC Wild Card (1/12/25), so the three-team moneyline parlay cashed (ESPN box scores).
“Yeah, I'm with Femi. at 10. It's a bet on the Steelers.”
BAL 28, PIT 14 — Ravens beat Steelers 28-14 on Jan 11, 2025; Pittsburgh's -14 margin busts the +10 spread (ESPN box score).
“Commanders plus the three and a half.”
WSH 23, TB 20 — Commanders beat Buccaneers 23-20 outright on Jan 12, 2025, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet the under as well. When we talked to Sammy P on Friday, and he kind of convinced me on the under when he made his pitch about that. So under 47 is my bet currently”
Notre Dame 27, Penn State 24 — Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 in the Orange Bowl on Jan 9, 2025; combined 51 points busts the under 47 (ESPN box score).
“I have Ohio State in an exacto over Notre Dame.”
Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship on Jan 20, 2025, matching the Ohio State-over-Notre Dame exacta (ESPN box score).
“if Texas wins, I do have a Notre Dame over Texas Xacta.”
Texas never reached the championship game — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the Jan 10, 2025 Cotton Bowl semifinal, eliminating the Notre Dame-over-Texas exacta before the title game was played (ESPN box score).
“Sixers to win tonight at home against the Phoenix Suns.”
PHX 109, PHI 99 — Suns beat 76ers 109-99 on Jan 6, 2025; Philadelphia's moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
- Los Angeles Lakers moneyline won
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline won
“Lakers, Cavs, Moneyline, Paraly.”
Lakers beat Hawks 119-102 and Cavaliers beat Mavericks 134-122, both on Jan 3, 2025 (ESPN box scores), so both legs of the Lakers/Cavaliers moneyline parlay won.
“Zay Flowers over 53.5 receiving yards.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Zay Flowers finished with 1 catch for 12 receiving yards, well under the 53.5-yard line, so the Zay Flowers over 53.5 receiving yards pick lost. (Zay Flowers: 12 receiving yards)
“Michael Woods II and Jamari Thrash, anytime touchdowns.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Michael Woods II recorded no receptions and Cleveland's only touchdown was Bailey Zappe to Jordan Akins, so the Michael Woods II anytime TD scorer pick lost.
“Michael Woods II and Jamari Thrash, anytime touchdowns.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Jamari Thrash finished with 0 catches for 0 yards and Cleveland's only touchdown was Bailey Zappe to Jordan Akins, so the Jamari Thrash anytime TD scorer pick lost.
“Rasheen Ali last touchdown for the Baltimore Ravens not any time last touchdown for the Ravens”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Baltimore's last touchdown was Derrick Henry's 43-yard rushing score in the fourth quarter, not Rasheen Ali (who had 0 receptions on 2 targets), so the Rasheen Ali last TD scorer pick lost.
“Over 65.5 for George Pickens.”
CIN 19, PIT 17 — Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); George Pickens finished with 1 catch for 0 receiving yards, well under the 65.5-yard line, so the George Pickens over 65.5 receiving yards pick lost. (George Pickens: 0 receiving yards)
“Darnell Washington, anytime touchdown for the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
CIN 19, PIT 17 — Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Darnell Washington recorded no catches, and Pittsburgh's only touchdown was Pat Freiermuth's reception, so the Darnell Washington anytime TD scorer pick lost.
“Likely to be a small bet for me on the over as well at 43 and a half”
TB 27, NO 19 — Buccaneers beat Saints 27-19 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); combined 46 points cleared the 43.5 total, so the over 43.5 pick won.
“I like the Texans to win.”
HOU 23, TEN 14 — Texans beat Titans 23-14 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score), so the Houston Texans moneyline pick won.
“I like the Texans to win the first half as well.”
HOU 16, TEN 3 — Texans led Titans 16-3 at halftime on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN play-by-play) en route to a 23-14 final, so the Houston Texans first-half moneyline pick won.
“I will lay the points with Kentucky lay the two and a half”
UK 106, FLA 100 — Kentucky beat Florida 106-100 on Jan 4, 2025 (ESPN box score); Kentucky's +6 margin covers the -2.5 line, so the Kentucky -2.5 pick won.
“San Fran plus four and a half on the road at Arizona.”
ARI 47, SF 24 — Cardinals beat 49ers 47-24 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); San Francisco's -23 margin fails to cover the +4.5 line, so the 49ers +4.5 pick lost.
“Chiefs plus 10 and a half. One of my favorite bets of the week”
DEN 38, KC 0 — Broncos beat Chiefs 38-0 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score); Kansas City's -38 margin fails to cover the +10.5 line, so the Chiefs +10.5 pick lost.
“Give me the Miami Dolphins.”
NYJ 32, MIA 20 — Jets beat Dolphins 32-20 on Jan 5, 2025 (ESPN box score), so the Miami Dolphins moneyline pick lost.
“I like the Pittsburgh Steelers to win tomorrow night.”
CIN 19, PIT 17 — Bengals beat Steelers 19-17 on Jan 4, 2025; Pittsburgh moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“And Vikings team total over, like it's a little juicy right now, over 26.5, about minus 125.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9 on Jan 5, 2025; Minnesota's team total of 9 is well under the 26.5 over line (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I'm in on Browns plus 20.”
BAL 35, CLE 10 — Ravens beat Browns 35-10; Browns lost by 25, well outside the +20 line (ESPN).
“But the bet on Green Bay was placed a few days ago. So Green Bay minus 9.5.”
CHI 24, GB 22 — Bears beat Packers 24-22; Packers lost outright, busting the -9.5 spread (ESPN).
“I like the Jaguars to win the game also.”
IND 26, JAX 23 — Colts beat Jaguars 26-23 in overtime; Jaguars moneyline busts (ESPN).
“I also have Sam Darnold.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow won the 2024 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award, announced at NFL Honors; Sam Darnold did not win (NFL.com).
“I love Boston tonight. So Femi and I agree. Boston minus two and a half at Minnesota.”
118-115 — Celtics beat Timberwolves 118-115 on Jan 2, 2025, a 3-point margin that covers Boston -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like laying the 4.5 with the Nittany Lions. That's one of my favorite bets for the night.”
80-84 — Penn State beat Northwestern 84-80 on Jan 2, 2025, a 4-point margin that falls short of the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll be on under 157.5 here with Harper and Bailey struggling for Rutgers.”
74-84 — Indiana beat Rutgers 84-74 on Jan 2, 2025; the combined 158 points went over the 157.5 total, so the Under 157.5 pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Lions, money line.”
DET 31-9 MIN — Detroit Lions beat Minnesota Vikings 31-9 on Jan 5, 2025, winning outright (ESPN box score).
“Lions, minus two and a half.”
DET 31-9 MIN — Detroit Lions beat Minnesota Vikings 31-9 on Jan 5, 2025, a 22-point margin that covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I don't want Ohio State to win the national championship, but I'm going to win money if they do.”
34-23 — Ohio State defeated Notre Dame 34-23 on Jan 20, 2025 to win the CFP National Championship (ESPN).
“The total's 57. It'd have to start with a six for me to consider the under. I like the over”
31-9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9; combined 40 falls short of the 57 total (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take Minnesota plus a 7.5”
Oklahoma City 113, Minnesota 105 — Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 113-105; the Timberwolves lost by 8, failing to cover +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“I love the over in the game. I'm on over 54 and a half.”
Penn State 31, Boise State 14 — Penn State beat Boise State 31-14 in the Fiesta Bowl; the combined 45 points fell under the 54.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Give me Kirby Smart and Georgia to win tomorrow night against Notre Dame.”
Notre Dame 23, Georgia 10 — Notre Dame beat Georgia 23-10 in the Sugar Bowl CFP quarterfinal (played Jan 2, 2025 after a weather/security delay); the Georgia moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I bet Houston 4, that helps nobody.”
23-14 — Texans beat Titans 23-14 (ESPN final), winning outright and covering Houston +4.
- Cincinnati Bearcats moneyline lost
- Houston Cougars moneyline won
- Iowa State Cyclones moneyline won
“I'm going to parlay them all on the money line and get plus 111 at BetMGM. Cincinnati, Houston, and Iowa State, Femi, all to win tonight.”
KSU 70, CIN 67; HOU 60, OKST 47; ISU 79, COL 69 — Parlay busts on Dec 30, 2024: Kansas State beat Cincinnati 70-67 (Cincinnati moneyline loses); Houston beat Oklahoma State 60-47 (Houston moneyline wins); Iowa State beat Colorado 79-69 (Iowa State moneyline wins) (ESPN box scores).
“I'll go over 50 tonight with Detroit and San Francisco.”
40-34 — Lions beat 49ers 40-34 (ESPN final); the combined 74 points clears the over 50 total.
“I think Jauan Jennings over 65.5 receiving yards.”
40-34 — Per the ESPN box score, Jauan Jennings had 7 catches for 67 receiving yards in the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game, over the 65.5 line. (Jauan Jennings: 67 receiving yards)
“Sione Vocky, anytime touchdown”
Per the ESPN box score, Sione Vaki (Lions) recorded no offensive statistics and no touchdown in the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game.
“and Sione Vocky to score the last touchdown of the game”
Per ESPN play-by-play, the last touchdown of the Dec 30, 2024 Lions-49ers game was Joshua Dobbs' 7-yard scramble for San Francisco with 0:43 left in the fourth quarter, not Sione Vaki, who scored no touchdown.
“I bet this team that make the playoffs last week at 15-1”
8-9 — Dolphins finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, second in the AFC East, and missed the playoffs entirely; the AFC bracket (1-7 seeds: Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Steelers, Broncos) has no Dolphins (ESPN).
“I like the Broncos in this game. I like Denver to win, and I like Denver plus three and a half.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Bengals beat Broncos 30-24 in overtime; Denver lost outright and failed to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I like Dylan Larkin to score a goal, by the way, plus 230 for the Red Wings.”
TOR 5-DET 2 — Toronto beat Detroit 5-2; per the ESPN box score Detroit's goals came from Lucas Raymond and Simon Edvinsson, not Dylan Larkin, so the anytime-goal prop lost.
“Ladd over 71.5 receiving yards.”
LAC 40, NE 7 — Ladd McConkey caught 8 passes for 94 receiving yards as the Chargers beat the Patriots 40-7; clears the 71.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (Ladd McConkey: 94 receiving yards)
“I think we owe it to ourselves to play Hassan Haskins, anytime touchdown and last touchdown scorer.”
LAC 40, NE 7 — Chargers beat Patriots 40-7; Hassan Haskins had 8 carries for 30 yards and 3 catches for 10 yards with no touchdown (ESPN box score).
“I think we owe it to ourselves to play Hassan Haskins, anytime touchdown and last touchdown scorer.”
LAC 40, NE 7 — Chargers beat Patriots 40-7; Hassan Haskins did not score any touchdown, so he could not be the last touchdown scorer (ESPN box score).
“Let's play the guy at the longest odds. That's Michael Burton. Beer or pizza money on Michael Burton. Tim's son. Anytime. Touchdown.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Bengals beat Broncos 30-24 in OT; touchdowns went to Tee Higgins (3), Khalil Herbert, Marvin Mims Jr. (2), and Courtland Sutton, with no touchdown recorded for Michael Burton (ESPN box score).
“to play rookie out of Michigan, Blake Corum, anytime touchdown and last touchdown for the Rams against the Arizona Cardinals.”
LAR 13, ARI 9 — Rams beat Cardinals 13-9; Blake Corum had 3 carries for -4 yards and no touchdown (ESPN box score).
“to play rookie out of Michigan, Blake Corum, anytime touchdown and last touchdown for the Rams against the Arizona Cardinals.”
LAR 13, ARI 9 — Rams beat Cardinals 13-9; Blake Corum did not score any touchdown, so he could not be the last touchdown scorer (ESPN box score).
“Broncos plus the points, and I will back it up with a money line wager.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Bengals beat Broncos 30-24 in overtime, so the Broncos moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I don't know about USC winning the game, but I'll gladly take three points.”
USC 35, TA&M 31 — USC beat Texas A&M 35-31 in the Las Vegas Bowl, a 4-point margin that covers the +3 spread (ESPN).
“UConn Moneyline tomorrow against Carolina.”
CONN 27, UNC 14 — UConn beat North Carolina 27-14 in the Fenway Bowl, so the UConn moneyline wins (ESPN).
“Miami, first half, minus three tomorrow in the Pop-Tart.”
31-28 (1st half); IOWAST 42, MIA 41 (final) — Miami led Iowa State 31-28 at halftime of the Pop-Tarts Bowl (Iowa State won the full game 42-41), a 3-point first-half margin that exactly pushes the -3 line (ESPN recap).
“I'll play Colorado first half minus two and a half.”
20-0 (1st half); BYU 36, COLO 14 (final) — BYU led Colorado 20-0 at halftime of the Alamo Bowl (BYU won the full game 36-14); Colorado lost the first half outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN recap).
“Six is the number we want with the Warriors tonight on the road at the Clippers.”
LAC 102, GS 92 — Clippers beat Warriors 102-92, a 10-point Golden State loss that fails to cover +6 (ESPN box score).
“I love UCLA tomorrow, plus the four and a half also against Gonzaga.”
UCLA 65, GONZ 62 — UCLA beat Gonzaga 65-62, a 3-point margin that covers the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
“I like Atlanta as well plus four. Four is the number I want with the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday night.”
WSH 30, ATL 24 — Commanders beat Falcons 30-24, a 6-point Atlanta loss that fails to cover +4 (ESPN box score).
- Dallas Mavericks moneyline lost
- Denver Nuggets moneyline lost
“Mavericks' money line with Nuggets' money line. Again, at BetMGM, that pays you. This is even moving a little bit right now about plus 147 right now”
MIN 105, DAL 99; PHX 110, DEN 100 — Both parlay legs lost on Christmas Day 2024: Timberwolves beat Mavericks 105-99, and Suns beat Nuggets 110-100 (ESPN box scores).
“LeBron is at 22 and a half. I don't know how you don't like the over there”
LAL 115, GSW 113 — LeBron James scored 31 points in the Lakers' 115-113 win over the Warriors, clearing the 22.5-point line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 31 points)
“I'll take the Lakers plus 3.5.”
LAL 115, GSW 113 — Lakers beat the Warriors 115-113, a 2-point margin, covering the +3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“Love the Buffalo Bills coming up on Sunday, laying the 10 against the New York Jets.”
BUF 40, NYJ 14 — Bills beat Jets 40-14; Buffalo's 26-point margin covers the -10 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet Chiefs two and a half.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Chiefs beat Steelers 29-10, covering the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Jayden Reed, for me, over the middle of the field, over 41.5 receiving yards.”
Jayden Reed caught 3 passes for 76 receiving yards in Green Bay's 34-0 win over New Orleans, over the 41.5 line (ESPN box score). (76 receiving yards)
“Jamaal Williams, anytime.”
Jamaal Williams did not score a touchdown in Green Bay's 34-0 win over New Orleans; Green Bay's TDs went to Wicks, Jacobs, Brooks and Wilson (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
“And then Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson, last touchdown scorers for Green Bay, both at 28-1 at BetMGM.”
Green Bay's last touchdown was Emanuel Wilson's 1-yard run at 2:41 in the 4th quarter; Chris Brooks' touchdown came earlier, at 6:28 in the 2nd quarter, in the 34-0 win over New Orleans (ESPN play-by-play).
“And then Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson, last touchdown scorers for Green Bay, both at 28-1 at BetMGM.”
Emanuel Wilson scored Green Bay's last touchdown, a 1-yard run at 2:41 in the 4th quarter, in the 34-0 win over New Orleans (ESPN play-by-play).
“I think the Kansas City defense scores a touchdown. So Kansas City defense special teams, anytime touchdown.”
All three Kansas City touchdowns in the 29-10 win over Pittsburgh were scored by the offense (Xavier Worthy and Justin Watson receiving TDs, Kareem Hunt rushing TD); no Chiefs defense or special-teams touchdown occurred (ESPN play-by-play).
“Nico Collins over, 90.5 receiving yards”
Nico Collins finished with 3 catches for 59 receiving yards in Houston's 31-2 loss to Baltimore, under the 90.5 line (ESPN box score). (3 receptions, 59 receiving yards)
“Robert Woods, anytime touchdown for the Houston Texans.”
BAL 31, HOU 2 — Houston did not score any touchdown in its 31-2 loss to Baltimore, so Robert Woods did not score (ESPN box score).
“Point spreads four, crazy. Maybe I'm probably the one that's wrong in a spot like this. I think the Chargers should be a decent-sized bigger favorite than this on the road at New England. But maybe I'm missing something and the Patriots kind of like discovered something against Buffalo. For me, that's kind of just like a bad Buffalo game. That's how I'm going to choose to look at it. At this number, this is an easy bet for me on the L.A. Chargers. Hashtag bolt up. Give me the Chargers laying the points on Saturday at the New England Patriots.”
LAC 40, NE 7 — Chargers beat Patriots 40-7, easily covering the -4 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet a little Bills nine and a half last night.”
BUF 40, NYJ 14 — Bills beat Jets 40-14; Buffalo's 26-point margin covers the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Xavier Worthy over 39.5 receiving yards.”
Xavier Worthy had 7 receptions for 65 yards, clearing the 39.5-yard line, in Kansas City's 27-19 win over Houston (ESPN box score). (65 receiving yards)
“Irv Smith Jr., anytime touchdown for the Texans.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Irv Smith Jr. recorded no receptions and did not score a touchdown; Houston's TDs went to Dalton Schultz and Tank Dell in Kansas City's 27-19 win (ESPN play-by-play).
“Samaje Perine, anytime touchdown.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Samaje Perine had 3 receptions for 50 yards but no touchdown; Kansas City's TDs came from Mahomes (rush), Hunt (rush), and Worthy (reception) in the 27-19 win over Houston (ESPN box score).
“Calvin Austin III, over 38.5 receiving yards.”
Calvin Austin III had 65 receiving yards, clearing the 38.5-yard line, in Baltimore's 34-17 win over Pittsburgh (ESPN box score). (65 receiving yards)
“Steelers defense or special teams to score a touchdown at a big price on Saturday.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Pittsburgh's defense/special teams did not score; the lone defensive touchdown of the game was Baltimore's Marlon Humphrey 37-yard interception return, in the Ravens' 34-17 win (ESPN play-by-play).
“I lay the eight and a half and I like the Falcons and teaser legs as well.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — Atlanta beat New York 34-7, a 27-point margin that comfortably covers Falcons -8.5 (ESPN final score).
“Lions minus six and a half. My favorite bet of the weekend this weekend in the National Football League.”
DET 34, CHI 17 — Detroit beat Chicago 34-17, a 17-point margin that covers Lions -6.5 (ESPN final score).
“I bet Rams minus three earlier in the week”
LAR 19, NYJ 9 — LA Rams beat the Jets 19-9, a 10-point margin that covers Rams -3 (ESPN final score).
“Now, I bet the Broncos to cover a plus three.”
Los Angeles Chargers 34, Denver 27 — Chargers beat Broncos 34-27 on Dec 19, 2024, a 7-point margin that fails to cover Denver's +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“Marvin Mims Jr., anytime touchdown tonight. For my Denver Broncos.”
Marvin Mims Jr. had 3 receptions for 62 yards but did not score a touchdown in the Chargers' 34-27 win over the Broncos on Dec 19, 2024; Denver's TDs were Audric Estime's rush and Michael Burton's and Devaughn Vele's TD catches (ESPN box score/scoring summary).
- Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 won
- Atlanta Falcons -2.5 won
“[31:05] First of all, I do like Denver coming up tomorrow on Thursday night, plus eight and a half, up from two and a half. [31:11] But how does this lose? [31:14] Bengals minus one and a half. [31:16] Falcons minus two and a half.”
CIN 24, CLE 6; ATL 34, NYG 7 — Both teaser legs covered: Bengals beat Browns 24-6 on 12/22/2024 (covers -1.5) and Falcons beat Giants 34-7 on 12/22/2024 (covers -2.5), per ESPN box scores.
“We're going over 100 yards this weekend for BTJ, Brad.”
Las Vegas 19, Jacksonville 14 — Raiders beat Jaguars 19-14 on Dec 22, 2024; Brian Thomas Jr. caught 9 passes for 132 receiving yards, over the 100 line (ESPN box score). (Brian Thomas Jr.: 132 receiving yards)
“I'm going to play the Red Wings to win the game. Red Wings minus 115.”
Detroit 6, Philadelphia 4 — Detroit Red Wings beat Philadelphia Flyers 6-4 on Dec 18, 2024, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet the Wild here.”
Florida 6, Minnesota 1 — Florida Panthers beat Minnesota Wild 6-1 on Dec 18, 2024; the Wild lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Boomer! Sooner! I took the four and a half. I like Oklahoma in the game.”
Oklahoma 87, Michigan 86 — Oklahoma beat Michigan 87-86 on Dec 18, 2024, winning outright, which covers Oklahoma's +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet four and a half.”
38-30 — Colts beat Titans 38-30, an 8-point margin that exceeded the Titans +4.5 line, so the bet lost (ESPN final score).
“I bet a little 14 and a half with New England on Sunday.”
24-21 — Bills beat Patriots 24-21, only a 3-point margin, so Patriots +14.5 easily covered (ESPN final score).
“Down to 30 and a half at BetMGM. So I like Giannis to go over his points prop tonight.”
Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 26 points (26p/19r/10a) in Milwaukee's 97-81 NBA Cup championship win over Oklahoma City, under the 30.5 points line (ESPN game recap). (26 points)
“The Green Bay Packers, 7 right now to win the National Football Conference. By far my favorite bet at price to win the NFC.”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Packers lost 22-10 to the Eagles in the NFC Wild Card round on Jan 12, 2025, eliminating them from the playoffs without winning the NFC (ESPN).
“I am going to bet under six tonight.”
6-5 — Panthers beat Oilers 6-5, a combined total of 11 goals, well over the 6 total (ESPN).
“I'll lay the Kings tonight. I'll lay the one and a half tonight against them.”
130-129 — Nuggets beat the Kings 130-129 outright, so Sacramento -1.5 failed to cover (ESPN).
- Minnesota Vikings moneyline won
- Atlanta Falcons moneyline won
“How does a Vikings-Falcons money line parlay, the Kirk Cousins Memorial money line parlay, how does it lose tonight? Answer, it doesn't. So that's what I'll be betting tonight”
MIN 30, CHI 12; ATL 15, LV 9 — Both parlay legs cashed on Dec 16, 2024: Vikings beat Bears 30-12, and Falcons beat Raiders 15-9 (ESPN box scores).
“Darnell Mooney over receiving yards.”
Darnell Mooney finished with 0 receptions for 0 yards on 1 target, missing any positive 'over' entry line regardless of the exact number (ESPN box score). (0 receptions, 0 receiving yards, 1 target)
“Josh Oliver, anytime touchdown.”
The game's only touchdowns were scored by Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones, and Cam Akers (Vikings) and Keenan Allen (Bears); Josh Oliver did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (Josh Oliver: 0 touchdowns)
“Ty Chandler, last touchdown tonight for the Vikings against the Bears.”
Minnesota's touchdowns were scored by Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones, and Cam Akers; Ty Chandler did not score at all in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (Ty Chandler: 0 touchdowns)
“Mayer, anytime. Touchdown.”
15-9 — Falcons beat Raiders 15-9; the game's only two touchdowns were Drake London (Falcons) and Ameer Abdullah (Raiders) — Michael Mayer did not score (ESPN box score). (Michael Mayer: 0 touchdowns)
“Give me the L.A. Rams laying three Sunday, Femi, on the road at the New York Jets.”
19-9 — Rams beat Jets 19-9 (margin +10), covering the -3 spread (ESPN).
“I did grab a little six and a half with the hope that Pickens is going to play.”
34-17 — Ravens beat Steelers 34-17 (margin 17), so Pittsburgh +6.5 did not cover (ESPN).
“It's four. I would lay six with Tampa and we're at four. So this is an easy bet for me on the Buccaneers.”
26-24 — Cowboys beat Buccaneers 26-24; Tampa Bay lost outright, missing the -4 spread (ESPN).
“Eagles three minus 110 is a definite bet for me on Philadelphia.”
36-33 — Commanders beat Eagles 36-33 on a late touchdown; Philadelphia lost outright, missing the -3 spread (ESPN).
“I got two bets for tonight, Femi, and we'll reiterate these when we do Gambling Night in America. No Joel Embiid tonight. No Jared McCain tonight. No problem. Sixers minus three and a half at the Hornets.”
121-108 — 76ers beat Hornets 121-108 (margin +13), covering the -3.5 spread (ESPN).
“At price, at price, the Green Bay Packers at 7-1. My favorite bet right now to win the NFC. Bet, pat, pack, bet. And I like the Packers at 7-1 more than I like the LA Rams, the Ramily at 16-1.”
The Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC, beating the Washington Commanders 55-23 in the NFC Championship on Jan 26, 2025, and reaching Super Bowl LIX; the Green Bay Packers did not win the NFC (per ESPN).
“So give me the Packers minus the 2.5 on Sunday night.”
GB 30, SEA 13 — Packers beat Seahawks 30-13 on Dec 15, 2024; Green Bay's 17-point margin easily covers -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“Give me plus 170 with the Ottawa Senators on the road at the Carolina Hurricanes.”
OTT 3, CAR 0 — Ottawa Senators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3-0 on Dec 13, 2024, so the Senators moneyline wins (ESPN final score, gameId 401688072).
“The Hoosiers plus the 4.5 on the road in Nebraska in college.”
NEB 85, IND 68 — Nebraska beat Indiana 85-68 on Dec 13, 2024; the 17-point margin blows past Indiana's +4.5, so Indiana did not cover (ESPN final score, gameId 401721321).
“I'll take the three-and-a-half with the Jacksonville Jaguars, one of my favorite bets of the week.”
32-25 — Jets beat Jaguars 32-25 (ESPN), a 7-point margin that exceeds Jacksonville's +3.5 — Jaguars did not cover.
“Now, I laid two on Sunday night.”
20-12 — Texans beat Dolphins 20-12 (ESPN), an 8-point margin that clears Houston's -2 — Texans covered.
“I laid seven with Washington early in the week.”
20-19 — Commanders beat Saints 20-19 (ESPN), only a 1-point margin, short of Washington's -7 — Commanders did not cover.
“I'll take the three with the Dallas Cowboys.”
30-14 — Cowboys beat Panthers 30-14 outright (ESPN), easily clearing Dallas's +3 — Cowboys covered.
“It's 39 and a half. I'll be the square. I'll play under.”
Navy beat Army 31-13 (ESPN); combined 44 points is over the 39.5 total, so the under lost. (44 combined points (Navy 31, Army 13))
“The Atlanta Hawks are going to beat the Milwaukee Bucks. Atlanta's going to beat Milwaukee.”
MIL 110-102 ATL — Bucks beat Hawks 110-102 in the Dec 14, 2024 NBA Cup semifinal, so the Atlanta moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I like the Thunder to beat the Rockets.”
OKC 111-96 HOU — Thunder beat Rockets 111-96 in the Dec 14, 2024 NBA Cup semifinal, so the Oklahoma City moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“It's chalky, but OKC plus 120. My pick to win the NBA Cup.”
MIL 97-81 OKC — The Milwaukee Bucks beat Oklahoma City Thunder 97-81 in the 2024 NBA Cup championship game on Dec 17, 2024, so the OKC-to-win-the-Cup future lost (ESPN box score).
“I will also lay the Boston Celtics tonight 11.5 at home against the Pistons.”
BOS 123, DET 99 — Celtics beat Pistons 123-99, a 24-point margin that covers the -11.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Iowa plus five tonight. Give me the Hawkeyes as a home dog tonight against Iowa State.”
ISU 89, IOWA 80 — Iowa lost to Iowa State 80-89, a 9-point margin that fails to cover +5 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet while Femi's doing the first touchdown scores, over 48 and a half.”
LAR 12, SF 6 — Rams beat 49ers 12-6, a combined 18 points, well under the 48.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I think we might see Deebo Samuel more as a running back tonight. His rushing yards prop 14 and a half. I like that over.”
LAR 12, SF 6 — Deebo Samuel Sr. rushed for 3 yards on 2 carries in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, well under the 14.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Deebo Samuel Sr.: 3 rushing yards)
“Hunter Long's at 19-1. Beer repeats the money on this. The Rams literally use and target all three of their tight ends. Tyler Higby probably not back until next week. A couple bucks on Hunter Long at a huge price to score a touchdown in tonight's game.”
LAR 12, SF 6 — No touchdowns were scored by either team in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers, with all points coming from field goals, so Hunter Long did not score an anytime TD (ESPN box score).
“I feel in a Detroit money line bet, Detroit just to win on Sunday against Buffalo.”
48-42 — Detroit Lions lost to the Buffalo Bills 48-42 on Dec 15, 2024; Lions moneyline busted (ESPN box score).
“Now we get to bet North Carolina over six and a half wins at a domestic sports book. Okay, sign me up.”
North Carolina finished the 2025 season 4-8 (2-6 ACC) under first-year head coach Bill Belichick, well under the 6.5-win total (Wikipedia).
“I'm going to have a small ticket on Atlanta to win the game tonight against the Knicks.”
108-100 — Atlanta Hawks beat New York Knicks 108-100 in the Dec 11, 2024 NBA Cup quarterfinal; Hawks moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
“I'll play the Rangers on the puck line tonight. Minus one and a half, plus one seven”
3-2 — Rangers beat Sabres 3-2 on Dec 11, 2024, a one-goal margin that fails to cover the -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
“So over for me, over six and a half wins here for the Dallas Cowboys.”
The Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10 (ESPN), clearing the 6.5 wins line, so the Over won.
“I'll take the Buccaneers plus three on the road at the Chargers”
TB 40, LAC 17 — Buccaneers beat Chargers 40-17 on 12/15/2024; Tampa Bay +3 covers by 23 points (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet over 153 and a half”
ILL 86, WIS 80 — Illinois beat Wisconsin 86-80 on 12/10/2024; combined 166 points clears the 153.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Minus one and a half is even money at BetMGM”
Blackhawks 2, Rangers 1 — Blackhawks beat Rangers 2-1; New York lost by only 1, busting the -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
“Tee Higgins over 73.5 receiving yards”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; Tee Higgins caught 2 passes for 23 receiving yards, well under the 73.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Tee Higgins: 23 receiving yards)
“Luke Schoonmaker, anytime touchdown”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; Dallas's touchdowns went to CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and Ezekiel Elliott — Luke Schoonmaker recorded no touchdown (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
“Bryce Spanford, along with Schoonmaker, anytime touchdowns for the Cowboys”
Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; Dallas's touchdowns went to CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and Ezekiel Elliott — Brevyn Spann-Ford recorded no touchdown (ESPN box score/play-by-play).
“give me the vikings minus the six and a half”
30-12 — Vikings beat Bears 30-12, winning by 18 to cover the -6.5 line (ESPN box score).
“this is an an easy pull on the patriots plus the six and a half for me”
30-17 — Cardinals beat Patriots 30-17; New England lost by 13, outside the +6.5 line (ESPN box score).
“I'll lay the three and a half on the road with the Orlando Magic”
76ers 102, Magic 94 — 76ers beat Magic 102-94 on Dec 6, 2024; Orlando lost by 8, failing to cover -3.5 (ESPN).
“Minnesota minus 115 on the money line”
Timberwolves 107, Warriors 90 — Timberwolves beat Warriors 107-90 on Dec 6, 2024; Minnesota's moneyline cashes (ESPN).
“I'll just take the Leafs to win Minus 145 on the money line at BetMGM So Toronto Maple Leafs to win tonight against the Capitals for me”
Capitals 3, Maple Leafs 1 — Capitals beat Maple Leafs 3-1 on Dec 6, 2024; Toronto's moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I like Arizona also. I do think that if you wanted to do a teaser this weekend, which I don't, teasing Seattle up is not bad, but I think Arizona does win this game by at least three points. So at minus two and a half, let's go Redbirds. Let's go Kyler Murray. Give me the Arizona Cardinals laying it, making the NFC West a lot more interesting. Cardinals to win and cover on Sunday.”
SEA 30, ARI 18 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 30-18 on 12/8/2024 (ESPN box score); Arizona lost outright, so the -2.5 spread lost.
“[15:06] spread's not what it was when i bet it when femi bet it when we took six cincinnati's got four wins”
CIN 27, DAL 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20; Cincinnati's +6 margin (winning outright) covers the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“[44:32] Manchester City minus one at Crystal Palace.”
CRY 2, MNC 2 — Manchester City drew 2-2 at Crystal Palace; City's 0 margin misses the -1 spread (ESPN).
“[44:49] Chelsea minus 130 at Tottenham.”
CHE 4, TOT 3 — Chelsea won 4-3 at Tottenham; Chelsea moneyline wins outright (ESPN).
“[38:19] give me the Golden State Warriors tonight, [38:21] and I will take the three and a half in the Fallen Heroes, plural, spot.”
GS 99, HOU 93 — Golden State beat Houston 99-93; Warriors' +6 margin covers the +3.5 spread (ESPN).
“[39:26] One hockey, I'll bet the over in the Oilers-Blue Jackets game over 6.5.”
EDM 6, CBJ 3 — Edmonton beat Columbus 6-3, a combined 9 goals; over 6.5 covers (ESPN).
“[39:45] I'll lay the 1.5 on the road at the New Orleans Pelicans”
NO 126, PHX 124 — New Orleans beat Phoenix 126-124; Suns' -2 margin misses the -1.5 spread (ESPN).
“[39:49] for the Wizards which means I don think you get a focused effort from the Dallas Mavericks I take the 13 and a half with the Wizards as a home dog against the Dallas Mavericks All right let get to the National Football League sides and totals”
DAL 137, WSH 101 — Dallas beat Washington 137-101; Wizards' -36 margin misses the +13.5 spread (ESPN).
“[43:51] Christian Watson over 49.5 receiving yards.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Christian Watson had 114 receiving yards in Green Bay's loss to Detroit; over 49.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Christian Watson: 114 receiving yards)
“[44:16] Brock Wright, 10-1 at BetMGM, anytime touchdown.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Brock Wright recorded 0 catches, 0 yards, and 0 touchdowns; he did not score anytime (ESPN box score).
“[44:34] So the Prop King will be placing a beer or pizza money bet [44:37] on Woodrow's great-grandson, Emanuel Wilson, [44:41] anytime touchdown tonight for the Green Bay Packers. [44:44] Those are our bets for Green Bay in Detroit”
DET 34, GB 31 — Emanuel Wilson did not score a touchdown per ESPN's play-by-play of the game (final: Lions 34, Packers 31).
“[13:48] There are threes across the board right now. [13:50] That is a bet for me coming up tonight. [13:52] The Lions minus three, and I will live with the result.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Lions beat Packers 34-31 on Dec 5, 2024, winning by exactly 3, so Lions -3 pushed (ESPN box score).
“[14:55] Watson over 48.5 receiving yards.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Christian Watson had 114 receiving yards on 4 catches in the Lions' 34-31 win over the Packers on Dec 5, 2024, clearing the over 48.5 line (ESPN box score). (Christian Watson: 114 receiving yards)
“[15:21] It starts with a three. [15:23] 38 and a half. [15:25] Hard not to like that over coming up tonight. [15:27] for Sam Laporta, and for me at least, I can't speak for everyone,”
DET 34, GB 31 — Sam LaPorta had 54 receiving yards on 5 catches in the Lions' 34-31 win over the Packers on Dec 5, 2024, clearing the over 38.5 line (ESPN box score). (Sam LaPorta: 54 receiving yards)
“[20:44] I love Texas laying the two and a half in this game.”
UGA 22, TEX 19 — Georgia beat Texas 22-19 in overtime in the 2024 SEC Championship on Dec 7, 2024, so Texas -2.5 lost outright and against the spread (ESPN game recap).
“I thought Femi was going to say a sharp sportsbook that now has a 3 on the game, and I was going to be like, oh, yeah, I love 3.5. The opposite. The opposite, 4-103. So let's see what happens. I have not bet this game yet. I agree with Nick on this one. Anything more than a field goal, it's the Jacksonville Jaguars. Will Levis cannot be laying that price, but I'm not also rushing to back Mac Jones. So let's go ahead and wait this one out. Let's see what happens throughout the week, and maybe we get an even bigger number with Mac Jones on the road against the Tennessee Titans. Yeah, I'm in on Jacksonville in this game. It makes me nervous to say that. Actually, you want to hear something real nuts? No. I think I like the over. I think I like the over. 39 and a half. You're telling me we can't get like 24-21 in this game? I understand it's Levis and Mac Jones. Lean for me towards the over. Definite bet on the Jaguars.”
JAX 10, TEN 6 — Jaguars beat Titans 10-6 on Dec 8, 2024; Jacksonville's +3.5 covers by a 4-point margin (ESPN).
“As someone who has a one-barclay MVP”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award at NFL Honors, edging Lamar Jackson; Saquon Barkley finished third, so the Barkley MVP futures bet lost (NFL.com).
“I bet some Mahomes”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award at NFL Honors; Patrick Mahomes did not win, so the Mahomes MVP futures bet lost (NFL.com).
“I have Knicks from before the year I have Bowers I have some Jayden Daniels”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 495 points; Bo Nix finished third with 153 points, so the Nix futures bet lost (NFL.com).
“I have Knicks from before the year I have Bowers I have some Jayden Daniels”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 495 points; Brock Bowers finished second with 214 points, so the Bowers futures bet lost (NFL.com).
“I have Knicks from before the year I have Bowers I have some Jayden Daniels”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 49 of 50 first-place votes and 495 points (NFL.com).
“They're catching five and a half. Now the sixes are gone. I took six. Nick took six. The sixes are now gone.”
CIN 27, DAL 20 — Bengals beat Cowboys 27-20 on Dec 9, 2024; Dallas lost by 7, not covering the +6 line (ESPN).
“Pistons plus 14.5”
BOS 130, DET 120 — Celtics beat Pistons 130-120 on Dec 4, 2024; Detroit's 10-point loss covers the +14.5 line (ESPN).
“the under in the Stars and the Kings, under 5.5”
LA 3, DAL 2 — Kings beat Stars 3-2 on Dec 4, 2024; combined 5 goals is under the 5.5 line (ESPN).
“if you're out there watching and listening and you like Indy a little bit in that game in Week 15 I think you owe it to yourself to bet the Colts now to make the playoffs at plus 220 and bet MGM And I'm a big Anthony Richardson fan I want to when possible lean into the upside of Anthony Richardson It is a bet that I have made”
The Colts (7-9) were eliminated from playoff contention with a 45-33 loss to the Giants in Week 17 on Dec. 29, 2024 (Colts.com); Colts to make the playoffs did not cash.
“Give me the Kings tonight Sacramento laying the one-and-a-half at home against Houston”
SAC 120, HOU 111 — Kings beat Rockets 120-111 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Sacramento won by 9, covering -1.5.
“I'm taking three and a half at the death here with the Wolverines in college”
MICH 67, WIS 64 — Michigan beat Wisconsin 67-64 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Michigan won outright, easily covering +3.5.
“I'll lay the Sixers four and a half on the road in Charlotte against the Hornets”
PHI 110, CHA 104 — 76ers beat Hornets 110-104 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); Philadelphia won by 6, covering -4.5.
“I'll play the under with Connor Hellebuck and the Jets Jim Montgomery the new coach of the Blues playing more sound fundamental hockey Jets Blues under 5.5”
STL 4, WPG 1 — Blues beat Jets 4-1 on Dec. 3, 2024 (ESPN); the combined 5 goals stays under 5.5.
“I'm going to place a bet on Raiders plus seven”
TB 28-13 LV — Buccaneers beat Raiders 28-13; Raiders lost by 15, well outside +7 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Rangers plus 105 on the money line”
NJ 5, NYR 1 — New York Rangers lost to New Jersey 1-5 on Dec 2, 2024; the Rangers moneyline did not cash (ESPN box score).
“Six and a half is a bet for me on the Cleveland Browns tonight”
DEN 41, CLE 32 — Broncos beat Browns 41-32 on Dec 2, 2024; Cleveland's 9-point loss failed to cover the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Elijah Moore over 46.5 receiving yards”
Elijah Moore had 8 catches for 111 receiving yards in Denver's 41-32 win over Cleveland on Dec 2, 2024, clearing the 46.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (8 receptions, 111 receiving yards)
“we're going to bet Marvin Mims to score two touchdowns tonight at 66 to 1”
Marvin Mims Jr. scored only 1 receiving touchdown (a 93-yard catch) in Denver's 41-32 win over Cleveland on Dec 2, 2024, short of the 2+ touchdown line (ESPN box score). (1 receiving touchdown (93-yard TD))
“I'm going to bet Penn State to win the game”
ORE 45, PSU 37 — Penn State lost to Oregon 37-45 in the Big Ten Championship on Dec 7, 2024; the Penn State moneyline did not cash (ESPN).
“give me the Philadelphia Eagles laying the 12 and a half against the Carolina Panthers”
PHI 22, CAR 16 — Eagles beat Panthers 22-16 on Dec 8, 2024; Philadelphia's 6-point margin fell short of the -12.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Rams host the Bills on Sunday afternoon 425 Eastern Point spread is either 4 or 4.5 I think it's too big I've been off the Ramily for a few weeks This week I'm rejoining the ranks I think the Rams might win on Sunday against Buffalo and get right back on this NFC West race after the dramatic win yesterday over the New Orleans Saints At 4 or 4.5 the Rams”
LAR 44, BUF 42 — Rams beat Bills 44-42 on Dec 8, 2024; the Rams' 2-point win covered the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
“The spread was three and a half Now it's four with this McConkie news I just want to say this now Like I'm going to bet Kansas City while Drew's answering this next question”
KC 19, LAC 17 — Chiefs beat Chargers 19-17 on Dec 8, 2024; Kansas City's 2-point win fell short of the -4 spread (ESPN box score).
“Texas, 5.5 now that the number is 5.5. I like Texas against A&M.”
17-7 — Texas beat Texas A&M 17-7 on Nov 30, 2024, a 10-point margin that covers Texas -5.5 (ESPN final).
“I'm going to lay Colorado 16.5 against Oklahoma State.”
52-0 — Colorado routed Oklahoma State 52-0 on Nov 29, 2024, easily covering Colorado -16.5 (ESPN final).
“Give me Bama laying the 11.5 against Auburn.”
28-14 — Alabama beat Auburn 28-14 in the Iron Bowl on Nov 30, 2024, a 14-point margin that covers Alabama -11.5 (ESPN final).
“I'll take the 10.5 with Syracuse against Miami.”
42-38 — Syracuse beat Miami 42-38 outright on Nov 30, 2024, easily covering Syracuse +10.5 (ESPN final).
“Arizona plus the 9 against Arizona State.”
49-7 — Arizona State routed Arizona 49-7 on Nov 30, 2024; Arizona +9 lost outright by 42, well outside the number (ESPN final).
“And LSU laying 6 against Oklahoma.”
37-17 — LSU beat Oklahoma 37-17 on Nov 30, 2024, a 20-point margin that covers LSU -6 (ESPN final).
“Give me the Pittsburgh Steelers plus the three.”
44-38 — Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati 44-38 outright on Dec 1, 2024, so Steelers +3 covered (ESPN final).
“I'll back it up with a money line sprinkle on the Philadelphia Eagles.”
24-19 — Philadelphia beat Baltimore 24-19 on Dec 1, 2024, so the Eagles moneyline won (ESPN final).
“Then I'll take Georgia over Texas in the SEC championship game.”
22-19 — Georgia beat Texas 22-19 in overtime in the 2024 SEC Championship on Dec. 7, 2024, so the Georgia moneyline won (ESPN).
“Duke's going to win the national championship. 10-1? Absolutely love it.”
65-63 — Florida beat Houston 65-63 to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball championship on April 7, 2025; Duke lost to Houston in the national semifinal, so Duke did not win the title (ESPN).
“Colts plus 1,200 to win the AFC South.”
The Houston Texans clinched the 2024 AFC South title (10-7), finishing ahead of the Colts, so Indianapolis Colts +1200 to win the division lost (NFL.com).
“Give me Vegas plus the 13.”
19-17 — Chiefs beat Raiders 19-17 (ESPN), a 2-point margin, so Raiders +13 covered easily.
“I'll just lay the Nuggets. Nuggets minus ten and a half.”
122-103 — Nuggets beat Jazz 122-103 (ESPN), a 19-point margin, so Nuggets -10.5 covered.
“Roma Dunze over 44.5 receiving yards.”
Rome Odunze had 2 catches for 25 receiving yards in the 11/28/2024 Bears-Lions game (ESPN box score), well under the 44.5 over line. (25 receiving yards)
“Let's play Roschon Johnson to score two touchdowns in the game.”
Roschon Johnson left the Bears-Lions Thanksgiving game with a concussion and finished with 0 touchdowns (ESPN/RotoWire), missing the 2+ TD prop. (0 touchdowns)
“Rico, over 67.5 rushing yards.”
Rico Dowdle rushed for 112 yards on 22 carries in the Cowboys' 27-20 Thanksgiving win over the Giants (ESPN box score), clearing the 67.5 over line. (112 rushing yards)
“Jalen Hyatt, anytime touchdown, at a huge price.”
Jalin Hyatt had 2 receptions for 8 yards and 0 touchdowns in the Cowboys' 27-20 win over the Giants (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns (2 receptions, 8 yards))
“Chris Brooks, revenge game. Last touchdown for the Packers against the Dolphins.”
30-17 — Green Bay's touchdowns in its 30-17 win over Miami were two Jayden Reed TD catches and a Josh Jacobs rush; Chris Brooks did not score, so he was not the Packers' last TD scorer (ESPN box score).
“Julian Hill behind John O. Smith at tight end, anytime touchdown, from Miami.”
Julian Hill had 1 reception for 5 yards and did not score in Miami's 30-17 loss to Green Bay (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns (1 reception, 5 yards))
“Travis Kelsey over 52.5 receiving yards.”
Travis Kelce finished with 7 catches for 68 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders (ESPN box score), clearing the 52.5-yard line. (7 receptions, 68 receiving yards)
“Anytime touchdowns, Justin Watson for Kansas City.”
Justin Watson caught a 6-yard touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders (ESPN box score). (1 receiving touchdown (6-yard catch))
“The point spread's Green Bay minus three. People are going to like Miami in this game? good luck and godspeed you know what i say dun dun dun dun dun bet pack bet”
30-17 — Packers beat Dolphins 30-17 on Nov 28, 2024, covering Packers -3 by 10 points (ESPN).
- Duke moneyline
- Houston moneyline
- Auburn moneyline
“I've built it at BetMGM. Plus 260. Duke, Houston, Auburn all to win.”
Kansas 75-72 Duke; Alabama 85-80 Houston; Auburn 85-72 North Carolina — Duke/Houston/Auburn moneyline parlay needed all three to win: Kansas beat Duke 75-72 and Alabama beat Houston 85-80 in overtime, so the Duke and Houston legs both lost even though Auburn beat North Carolina 85-72; the parlay lost (ESPN final scores).
“I like the Bruins at home against the Canucks”
2-0 — Vancouver beat Boston 2-0 on Nov 26, 2024, so the Bruins moneyline lost (ESPN).
“I have a small sprinkle on Swayman's shutout tonight against Vancouver.”
Jeremy Swayman and Boston allowed 2 goals in a 2-0 loss to Vancouver on Nov 26, 2024, so Swayman did not record a shutout (ESPN box score). (2 goals allowed, no shutout)
“I love the Colts. Indy, minus two and a half.”
25-24 — Colts beat Patriots 25-24, a margin of 1, not enough to cover Colts -2.5 (ESPN final).
“I like the commanders. I'm gonna lay the five and a half.”
42-19 — Commanders beat Titans 42-19, covering Commanders -5.5 (ESPN final).
“I bet a little Carolina on Sunday night. This was six and a half.”
26-23 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 26-23 in OT; Panthers lost by 3, covering Panthers +6.5 (ESPN final).
“I'll take the Eagles plus the three.”
24-19 — Eagles won outright 24-19 over Ravens, easily covering Eagles +3 (ESPN final).
“I'll also bet the Clippers plus the 10.5 tonight on the road at the Boston Celtics.”
126-94 — Celtics beat Clippers 126-94 (ESPN); Los Angeles lost by 32, failing to cover +10.5.
“Give me Brooklyn to cover the 13 and a half on the road in Golden State.”
128-120 — Nets beat Warriors 128-120 outright (ESPN), comfortably covering Brooklyn's +13.5 spread.
“Gus Edwards at BetMGM is plus 425.”
Gus Edwards scored a 1-yard rushing touchdown for the Chargers with 45 seconds left in the Nov 25, 2024 loss to the Ravens (ESPN box score/recap). (1-yard rushing TD)
“Over 44.5 receiving yards.”
Will Dissly caught 4-of-4 targets for 47 yards in the Chargers' Nov 25, 2024 loss to the Ravens (ESPN box score), over the 44.5 line. (47 receiving yards (4 catches))
“Tucker Fisk, anytime touchdown.”
30-23 — Chargers TE Tucker Fisk was targeted once with zero receptions and did not score in the Nov 25, 2024 loss to the Ravens (ESPN box score); the Chargers' only touchdowns went to Justin Herbert and Gus Edwards.
“Keaton Mitchell, anytime touchdown as well.”
30-23 — Baltimore's touchdowns in its 30-23 win over the Chargers on Nov 25, 2024 went to Justice Hill, Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, and Lamar Jackson (ESPN box score); Keaton Mitchell did not score.
“I have plus eight in tow”
24-6 — Lions beat Colts 24-6 (ESPN final), an 18-point margin exceeding the 8-point spread, so Colts +8 lost.
“I have a Colts money line ticket in this game.”
24-6 — Lions beat Colts 24-6 (ESPN final), so the Colts moneyline lost.
“Give me the Raiders plus the six.”
29-19 — Broncos beat Raiders 29-19 (ESPN final); Raiders lost by 10, failing to cover Raiders +6.
“give me Duke to win the game tonight.”
69-55 — Duke beat Arizona 69-55 (ESPN final), so the Duke moneyline won.
“So give me Baylor plus the four and a half against Tennessee.”
62-77 — Tennessee beat Baylor 77-62 (ESPN final); Baylor lost by 15, failing to cover Baylor +4.5.
“Give me Seattle to win the game also.”
16-6 — Seahawks beat Cardinals 16-6 (ESPN final), so the Seattle moneyline won.
“I like Jackson Smith and Jigba over 55.5 yards for the Seahawks against the Cardinals on Sunday.”
16-6 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 77 receiving yards in Seattle's 16-6 win over Arizona on Nov 24, 2024 (ESPN box score), clearing 55.5. (77 receiving yards)
“Let's take BC Moneyline against North Carolina.”
41-21 — Boston College beat North Carolina 41-21 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN), so Boston College moneyline wins.
“I'll take the 14 and a half with Army”
49-14 — Notre Dame beat Army 49-14 on Nov 23, 2024 (ESPN); Army failed to cover Army +14.5.
“I laid four and a half with the Sixers earlier.”
113-98 — 76ers beat Nets 113-98 on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN), covering -4.5.
“Give me the Portland Trail Blazers, plus the 12.5 or the 13, depending on where you're shopping.”
116-88 — Rockets beat Trail Blazers 116-88 on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN); Trail Blazers failed to cover +12.5.
“I will take the Pittsburgh Penguins tonight, plus 150, at home against the Winnipeg Jets.”
4-1 — Jets beat Penguins 4-1 on Nov 22, 2024 (ESPN), so the Penguins moneyline lost.
“The Knicks, plus 400. Of course, best bet to beat the Celtics.”
Knicks did not win the East; the Indiana Pacers beat the Knicks 125-108 in Game 6 to win the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals 4-2 (ESPN).
“Give me under six tonight with the Utah Hockey Club and the Boston Bruins.”
1-0 — Bruins beat Utah 1-0, only 1 combined goal, well under the 6.0 total (ESPN box score).
“The total's 150 and a half. Give me the over tonight with Baylor and St. John's.”
99-98 — Baylor beat St. John's 99-98 in double overtime on a Jeremy Roach buzzer-beater; combined 197 points is well over the 150.5 total (ESPN).
“I will take the Utah Jazz plus two and a half.”
126-118 — San Antonio Spurs beat Utah Jazz 126-118, an 8-point Jazz loss that exceeds the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Over six with the Isles and the Red Wings.”
2-1 — Detroit Red Wings beat New York Islanders 2-1 on a late Lucas Raymond goal; only 3 combined goals, under the 6.0 total (ESPN box score).
“George Pickens over 58.5 receiving yards.”
George Pickens finished with 48 receiving yards on 4 catches, under the 58.5 line (ESPN box score). (48 receiving yards)
“Elijah Moore over, 33.5 receiving yards.”
Elijah Moore finished with 21 receiving yards on 3 catches, under the 33.5 line (ESPN box score). (21 receiving yards)
“Darnell Washington 10-1 at BetMGM anytime touchdown scorer”
Darnell Washington did not score a touchdown; the game's TDs went to Jaylen Warren, Nick Chubb (2), Jameis Winston, and Calvin Austin III (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
“Northwestern plus 10.5 at the big house.”
50-6 — Michigan beat Northwestern 50-6, a 44-point margin far exceeding the 10.5-point spread, so Northwestern +10.5 lost (ESPN final).
“Under 46.5 with Texas A&M and Auburn.”
43-41 — Auburn beat Texas A&M 43-41 in four overtimes; combined 84 points sailed over the 46.5 total, so Under 46.5 lost (ESPN final).
“No. Forks up. Arizona State laying the three.”
28-23 — Arizona State beat BYU 28-23, a 5-point win that covers the -3 spread, so Arizona State -3 won (ESPN final).
“I'm laying like 13 and a half with Colorado.”
37-21 — Kansas beat Colorado 37-21; Colorado lost outright by 16, which doesn't clear the -13.5 alternate spread, so Colorado -13.5 lost (ESPN final).
“UNLV laying 7.5 against San Jose State in a deflated spot for San Jose State.”
27-16 — UNLV beat San Jose State 27-16, an 11-point win that covers the -7.5 spread, so UNLV -7.5 won (ESPN final).
“Give me Michigan State laying the 13 and a half sandwich spot for the Boilermakers.”
24-17 — Michigan State beat Purdue 24-17, only a 7-point margin, which falls short of the -13.5 spread, so Michigan State -13.5 lost (ESPN final).
“Man City minus one, minus 125 on Saturday.”
0-4 — Tottenham beat Manchester City 4-0 at the Etihad; City lost outright, so Manchester City -1 lost (ESPN final).
“With not Daniel Jones as the quarterback, give me the Giants all day plus six.”
30-7 — Buccaneers beat Giants 30-7 (ESPN final), a 23-point margin exceeding the 6-point spread, so Giants +6 lost.
“I'll take the 10 and a half with Dallas and I will tip the cap if I lose the bet.”
34-26 — Cowboys beat Commanders 34-26 on 2024-11-24, winning outright and covering Dallas +10.5 (ESPN box score).
“Two and a half is a bet for me with the Eagles. That pops at BetMGM. I'm laying two and a half with Philadelphia on Sunday night.”
37-20 — Eagles beat Rams 37-20 on 2024-11-24 (SNF), a 17-point margin that covered Philadelphia -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“At three, yeah, it's Chargers. It has to be three.”
30-23 — Ravens beat Chargers 30-23 on 2024-11-25 (MNF), a 7-point margin that Chargers +3 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“Give me Purdue plus five and a half.”
76-58 — Marquette beat Purdue 76-58 on 2024-11-19, an 18-point margin, so Purdue +5.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“I'm sprinkling plus 325, and I'm betting the Celtics to win Group C in the Eastern Conference for the NBA Cup.”
Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics both finished 2024 NBA Cup East Group C play 3-1; the Hawks won the group on the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Celtics (group play concluded Dec 3, 2024), so the Celtics-to-win-Group-C futures bet lost (Wikipedia, sourced to official NBA Cup standings).
“Lightning on the puck line, minus a goal and a half, plus 145 on the road in Pittsburgh against the Penguins.”
3-2 — Tampa Bay beat Pittsburgh 3-2 in overtime, a 1-goal margin, so the Lightning -1.5 puck line did not cover (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Panthers plus 105 on the road in Winnipeg against the Jets.”
6-3 — Winnipeg beat Florida 6-3 on 2024-11-19; the Panthers lost outright so the moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to take the 7.5 with the Cowboys now that we're there.”
HOU 34, DAL 10 — Texans beat Cowboys 34-10, a 24-point margin, well beyond the 7.5-point cushion; Cowboys did not cover +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll play over 41.5 with the Cowboys and the Texans.”
HOU 34, DAL 10 — Texans 34, Cowboys 10 = 44 combined points, over the 41.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Nico Collins over 73.5, 74.5, whatever. I think he's going over 100.”
Nico Collins had 4 catches for 54 receiving yards in Houston's 34-10 win over Dallas (ESPN box score), under either candidate line (73.5/74.5) named in the quote. (54 receiving yards)
“Jalen Brooks, plus 750 anytime touchdown from Cooper Rush.”
Jalen Brooks recorded no receptions and no touchdown in the Texans' 34-10 win over the Cowboys; Dallas's only offensive touchdown was KaVontae Turpin's 64-yard TD catch from Cooper Rush (ESPN box score/scoring summary). (no touchdowns)
“Luke Schoonmaker anytime touchdown tonight Pays 25-1 at BetMGM.”
Luke Schoonmaker had 6 receptions for 56 yards but no touchdown in the Texans' 34-10 win over Dallas (ESPN box score). (no touchdowns (6 rec, 56 yds))
“Luke Schoonmaker to score the first touchdown of the game Is a ridiculous 100-1.”
Schoonmaker did not score at all (let alone first) in Houston's 34-10 win over Dallas; the Cowboys' only offensive TD was KaVontae Turpin's 64-yard catch from Cooper Rush (ESPN box score/scoring summary). (no touchdowns)
“[21:13] So I bet Cleveland plus four and a half last night, which helps nobody.”
CLE 24, PIT 19 — Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 24-19, a 5-point margin, covering Browns +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“[25:36] Also bet seven and a half last night.”
MIA 34, NE 15 — Miami beat New England 34-15, a 19-point margin, well beyond the 7.5-point cushion; Patriots did not cover +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“[30:58] Colts, money line, plus 300.”
DET 24, IND 6 — Detroit beat Indianapolis 24-6; Colts lost outright, so the Colts moneyline (+300) busts (ESPN box score).
“[42:01] We'll take the Sixers plus the five and a half.”
MIA 106, PHI 89 — Miami beat Philadelphia 106-89, a 17-point margin, well beyond the 5.5-point cushion; 76ers did not cover +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“[42:12] Okay, so I bet Rockets plus three and a half earlier today.”
MIL 101, HOU 100 — Milwaukee beat Houston 101-100, a 1-point margin, within the 3.5-point cushion; Rockets covered +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“[43:27] Oilers-Canadiens under 6.5 with Calvin Jean-Luc Picard and Sam Montembeau as the goalies.”
MTL 3, EDM 0 — Montreal beat Edmonton 3-0, 3 combined goals, under the 6.5 total (ESPN box score).
“[41:46] but I do like the Dolphins as a teaser like at seven and a half down to one and a half.”
Dolphins 34-19 Raiders — Miami beat Las Vegas 34-19, a 15-point margin that comfortably covers Dolphins -1.5 (ESPN final score).
“[44:12] I just bet that straight.”
Jon Jones defeated Stipe Miocic by TKO (spinning back kick and punches) at 4:29 of round 3 at UFC 309 on 11/16/2024, so a straight moneyline bet on Miocic lost (UFC.com official results).
“Give me Orlando. How many minutes is Paul George going to play? Embiid's not in shape. Orlando minus 2.5 at home against the Philadelphia 76ers.”
Magic 98-86 76ers — Orlando beat Philadelphia 98-86, a 12-point margin that covers Magic -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Nuggets laying the 2.5 at the pathetic New Orleans Pelicans”
Pelicans 101-94 Nuggets — New Orleans beat Denver 101-94 outright (Nuggets played without Nikola Jokic), so Nuggets -2.5 did not cover (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Suns plus eight and a half against the Thunder.”
Thunder 99-83 Suns — Phoenix lost 83-99 to Oklahoma City, a 16-point margin that exceeds the +8.5 cushion (ESPN box score).
“If that is the goalie matchup tonight, and I think it's going to be, then we will play under six with Utah and Vegas. Under six is my bet.”
Golden Knights 4-2 Utah — Vegas beat Utah 4-2, a combined 6 goals, an exact match on the Under 6 line, resulting in a push (ESPN box score).
“I just bet this during the break. There's a sports book in Las Vegas that has plus 550 on Stipe Miocic to win on Saturday.”
Jon Jones defeated Stipe Miocic by TKO (spinning back kick to the body) at 4:29 of Round 3 at UFC 309 on Nov 16, 2024, so Miocic moneyline loses (ESPN).
“give me Clemson minus the 11.5 against Pitt.”
24-20 — Clemson beat Pittsburgh 24-20, a 4-point margin, failing to cover Clemson -11.5 (ESPN box score).
“This week, Notre Dame. Good night. Notre Dame minus 22 and a half.”
35-14 — Notre Dame beat Virginia 35-14, a 21-point margin, failing to cover Notre Dame -22.5 (ESPN box score).
“Advantage Penn State Nittany Lions laying 28 Make it 28 Boilermakers”
49-10 — Penn State beat Purdue 49-10, a 39-point margin, comfortably covering Penn State -28 (ESPN box score).
“Georgia laying 9.5 against Tennessee.”
31-17 — Georgia beat Tennessee 31-17, a 14-point margin, covering Georgia -9.5 (ESPN box score).
“It's Kansas Moneyline against BYU.”
17-13 — Kansas beat BYU 17-13 on Nov 16, 2024, so the Kansas moneyline wins outright (ESPN box score).
“Hughes, plus nine and a half on the road at Cal Femi.”
33-25 — Syracuse beat California outright 33-25 on Nov 16, 2024, easily covering Syracuse +9.5 (ESPN box score).
“Chiefs plus two and a half.”
30-21 — Bills beat Chiefs 30-21 (ESPN final), a 9-point Chiefs loss that exceeds the +2.5 spread, so Kansas City did not cover.
“Georgia, who's not currently in the playoff, plus 800 to win the title”
34-23 — Ohio State defeated Notre Dame 34-23 to win the 2024 season College Football Playoff National Championship on Jan 20, 2025 (ESPN); Georgia did not win the title.
“I'm in on the Colts plus four.”
28-27 — Colts beat Jets 28-27 outright on Anthony Richardson's go-ahead TD (ESPN box score), so Indianapolis +4 covers.
“Give me the Pistons, plus 6.5.”
120-127 — Pistons lost to the Bucks 120-127 in OT (ESPN box score), a 7-point loss that exceeds the +6.5 they needed.
“I'm going to have a little sprinkle on Sixers' money line also”
106-114 — Cavaliers beat the 76ers 114-106 (ESPN box score), so the Philadelphia moneyline loses.
“29.5 over for SGA”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 29 points in OKC's 106-88 win over New Orleans (ESPN box score), just under the 29.5 line. (29 points)
“Under 26.5 points for Franz Wagner.”
Franz Wagner scored 29 points for Orlando in its 94-90 win over Indiana on 11/13/2024 (ESPN box score), over the 26.5 under line. (29 points)
“Towns under 26.5 points tonight for my New York Knicks.”
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 46 points for the Knicks in a 124-123 loss to Chicago on 11/13/2024 (ESPN box score), well over the 26.5 under line. (46 points)
“I'll take the Red Wings plus 120 at the Penguins.”
3-2 — Red Wings beat Pittsburgh 3-2 in OT on Simon Edvinsson's goal (ESPN box score), so the Detroit moneyline wins.
“I'm going to lay the six with the Minnesota Vikings.”
23-13 — Vikings beat Titans 23-13 on 2024-11-17, a 10-point margin that covers Vikings -6 (ESPN box score).
“This is Hunter Dickinson over 17.5 points. Easy for me tonight.”
Hunter Dickinson scored 28 points for Kansas vs Michigan State on 2024-11-12, clearing the 17.5-point over (ESPN box score). (28 points)
“It's also not my bet anymore because I bet 2.5.”
111-99 — New York Knicks beat Philadelphia 111-99 on 2024-11-12, a 12-point margin that covered -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me Terry Rozier, over 14.5 points”
Terry Rozier scored 7 points in Miami's OT loss to Detroit on 2024-11-12, well under the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (7 points)
“I will play Klay over 15.5 points in his return to the Bay.”
Klay Thompson scored 22 points in Golden State's 120-117 win over Dallas on 2024-11-12, over the 15.5 line (ESPN box score). (22 points)
“How about Zachary Risache under 14.5 points tonight”
Zaccharie Risacher scored 8 points in Atlanta's 117-116 upset of Boston on 2024-11-12, under the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (8 points)
“Ottawa, Toronto, under six”
3-0 — Senators beat Maple Leafs 3-0 on 2024-11-12; combined total of 3 goals is under the 6 line (ESPN box score).
“I will play the Devils plus 110 to beat the Panthers in Florida.”
4-1 — New Jersey Devils beat Florida Panthers 4-1 outright on 2024-11-12, so the Devils moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Dougie Hamilton plus 550, one of the Devils defensemen. Anytime goal scorer.”
In Devils' 4-1 win over Panthers on 2024-11-12, Dougie Hamilton did not score a goal; he had two assists, on Hughes' and Cotter's goals (ESPN box score). (0 goals (2 assists))
“I bet some Eagles minus three earlier today.”
26-18 — Eagles beat Commanders 26-18 (margin of 8), with three 4th-quarter TDs; Eagles -3 covered (ESPN box score).
“Thunder minus 6.5.”
134-128 — Thunder beat Clippers 134-128 (margin of 6); Thunder -6.5 failed to cover (ESPN box score).
“So I'm going to bet Bulls plus 8.5.”
119-113 — Cavaliers beat Bulls 119-113; Bulls lost by 6, covering +8.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll have a small sprinkle on the Bulls' money line”
119-113 — Bulls lost 119-113 to the Cavaliers, so the Bulls moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“Zach LaVine, over 19.5 points tonight”
Zach LaVine scored 26 points for Chicago vs Cleveland, clearing the over 19.5 (ESPN box score). (26 points)
“Brandon Ingram, over 24.5 points”
Brandon Ingram led New Orleans with 24 points vs Brooklyn (2 of them on 2nd-half free throws), just under the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (24 points)
“So SGA over 29.5”
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored a career-high 45 points vs the Clippers, clearing the over 29.5 (ESPN box score). (45 points)
“I'm going to go under 6.5 with the Predators and the Avalanche.”
3-2 — Avalanche beat Predators 3-2 in OT on Samuel Girard's breakaway goal; combined 5 goals stayed under 6.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me Tua over 249.5 passing yards.”
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 207 passing yards in the Dolphins' 23-15 win over the Rams, under the 249.5 line (ESPN box score). (207 passing yards)
“I'm also going to bet Tua 300 plus and 350 plus.”
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 207 passing yards, short of the 300+ line (ESPN box score). (207 passing yards)
“I'm also going to bet Tua 300 plus and 350 plus.”
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 207 passing yards, short of the 350+ line (ESPN box score). (207 passing yards)
“Waddle over 41.5 receiving yards.”
Jaylen Waddle caught 3 passes for 57 receiving yards, over the 41.5 line (ESPN box score). (57 receiving yards)
“I do think Odell Beckham Jr. and Demarcus Robinson are good bets to score tonight.”
Odell Beckham Jr. did not score a touchdown; the game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch (ESPN box score).
“I do think Odell Beckham Jr. and Demarcus Robinson are good bets to score tonight.”
Demarcus Robinson did not score a touchdown; the game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch (ESPN box score).
“Jaylen Wright, plus 550 for Miami.”
Jaylen Wright did not score a touchdown; the game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch (ESPN box score).
“Davis Allen, 22-1, anytime touchdown for tonight.”
Davis Allen did not score a touchdown; the game's only TDs were Malik Washington's rush and Tyreek Hill's catch (ESPN box score).
“I love them minus 13 this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars”
52-6 — Lions beat the Jaguars 52-6 on Nov 17, 2024, covering the -13 spread by 33 points (ESPN box score).
“I bet them to win the Super Bowl.”
22-40 — The Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on Feb 9, 2025, so the Chiefs did not win the Super Bowl (ESPN).
“I have Reed to win coach of the year.”
Vikings HC Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award (25 first-place votes, 361 points), not Chiefs HC Andy Reid (NFL.com).
“if the point spread is going to be three, Ravens minus three, I'm laying that price with Baltimore.”
16-18 — Steelers beat Ravens 18-16 on Nov 17, 2024; Ravens lost outright, so Ravens -3 failed to cover (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Detroit Red Wings plus 165 on the road in Toronto.”
3-1 — Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1 on Nov 8, 2024; the Red Wings +165 moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
“And I will bet Dylan Larkin, anytime goal scorer”
Dylan Larkin scored a power-play goal in the 2nd period for Detroit in the Red Wings' 3-1 loss to Toronto on Nov 8, 2024, so the anytime-goal-scorer bet won (ESPN box score). (1 goal)
“38 and a half? Yeah, I'll go over the total here. Give me the over with the Chicago Bears and the New England Patriots.”
19-3 — Patriots beat Bears 19-3 on Nov 10, 2024; the combined score of 22 is well under the 38.5 total (ESPN final score, gameId 401671873).
“I'll take plus four with the Colts here.”
30-20 — Bills beat Colts 30-20 on Nov 10, 2024, a 10-point margin that exceeds the Colts' +4 spread (ESPN final score, gameId 401671863).
“So, Steelers plus three, Steelers teaser like Steelers money line.”
28-27 — Steelers beat Commanders 28-27 on Nov 10, 2024, winning outright, so the +3 spread covers (ESPN box score, gameId 401671641).
“So, Steelers plus three, Steelers teaser like Steelers money line.”
28-27 — Steelers beat Commanders 28-27 outright on Nov 10, 2024, winning the moneyline (ESPN box score, gameId 401671641).
“Quentin Johnston receiving yards prop is 37.5. Love the over for QJ this weekend against Tennessee.”
In the Chargers' 27-17 win over the Titans on Nov 10, 2024, Quentin Johnston had 2 catches for 24 receiving yards, under the 37.5 line (ESPN box score, gameId 401671751). (24 receiving yards)
“LSU plus three against Alabama.”
42-13 — Alabama beat LSU 42-13; LSU lost outright by 29, well beyond the +3 they needed (ESPN).
“Georgia minus the two and a half at Ole Miss.”
28-10 — Ole Miss beat Georgia 28-10; Georgia lost outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN).
“I will lay the 21 and a half with the Longhorns against Florida.”
49-17 — Texas beat Florida 49-17, a 32-point margin that covers the -21.5 spread (ESPN).
“I'll play Portland plus the 12 and a half.”
127-102 — Timberwolves beat Trail Blazers 127-102 (margin 25); Blazers +12.5 did not cover (ESPN).
“BetMGM, it's a juiced two and a half. I like Denver. Give me the nuggets and I'll lay the two and a half.”
135-122 — Nuggets beat Heat 135-122 (margin 13); Nuggets -2.5 covered easily (ESPN).
“I'll take the four and a half with Golden State tonight on the road in Cleveland.”
136-117 — Cavaliers beat Warriors 136-117 (margin 19); Warriors +4.5 did not cover (ESPN).
“Trae Young over 25 and a half points.”
Trae Young scored 35 points with 13 assists in Pistons' 122-121 win over the Hawks; over 25.5 won (ESPN). (35 points)
“Matherin over 17.5 points tonight for the Indiana Pacers.”
Bennedict Mathurin scored 22 points in the Pacers' 103-83 loss to the Hornets; over 17.5 won (ESPN box score). (22 points)
“But I would bet the Jets all the way up to minus 2.5 in this game. 2.5. So like 1.5, I still think there's room for this to go.”
31-6 — Arizona Cardinals beat New York Jets 31-6 on Nov 10, 2024; Jets -1.5 lost outright (ESPN).
“So we're going to play Newcastle draw, no bet. Newcastle draw, no bet. Minus 120.”
1-3 — Newcastle United beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 on 2024-11-10, an outright win, so the Newcastle draw-no-bet cashes as a win (ESPN).
“Washington plus 14 at Penn State is maybe the best narrative play of all time.”
6-35 — Penn State beat Washington 35-6 on 2024-11-09, a 29-point margin, well beyond Washington +14 (ESPN).
“They're not going to cover and they will lose. NC State minus three against Duke.”
29-19 — Duke beat NC State 29-19 on 2024-11-09; NC State -3 lost outright (ESPN).
“I say, rock chalk, Kansas plus three against Iowa State.”
36-45 — Kansas beat Iowa State 45-36 outright on 2024-11-09, easily covering Kansas +3 (ESPN).
“Vatek plus six against Clemson. Clemson's not getting off the mat.”
24-14 — Clemson beat Virginia Tech 24-14 on 2024-11-09, a 10-point margin, failing to cover Virginia Tech +6 (ESPN).
“Anyway, Oklahoma State plus 10 at TCU.”
13-38 — TCU beat Oklahoma State 38-13 on 2024-11-09, a 25-point margin, well beyond Oklahoma State +10 (ESPN).
“This week, Virginia's the meat in the sandwich. Virginia plus seven and a half at Pitt.”
24-19 — Virginia upset Pittsburgh 24-19 outright on 2024-11-09, easily covering Virginia +7.5 (ESPN).
“How can Tennessee win by 25 when they're looking ahead? Mississippi State plus 24 against the Vols.”
14-33 — Tennessee beat Mississippi State 33-14 (margin 19), so Mississippi State +24 covered easily (ESPN box score).
“My one side bet for tonight in the NBA, I'll lay the Timberwolves on the road at the Chicago Bulls. I'll lay the 9.5 with Minnesota”
119-135 — Timberwolves beat Bulls 135-119 (margin +16), covering Minnesota -9.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Ayo Dosunmu under points 14.5 earlier today.”
119-135 — Ayo Dosunmu scored 13 points for the Bulls in the Timberwolves' 135-119 win, under the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (13 points)
“Ja'Marr Chase over 84 and a half receiving yards.”
34-35 — Ja'Marr Chase had 11 catches for 264 yards and 3 TDs, well over the 84.5-yard line (ESPN box score, Ravens 35-34 Bengals). (11 receptions, 264 receiving yards)
“I'll have a couple bucks on the Jermaine Burton over 16 and a half receiving yards prop.”
34-35 — Jermaine Burton caught 1 of 5 targets for 11 receiving yards, under the 16.5 line (CBS Sports box score/recap, Ravens 35-34 Bengals). (1 reception, 11 receiving yards)
“How about Tanner Hudson anytime touchdown for a couple bucks tonight for the Cincinnati Bengals.”
34-35 — Tanner Hudson scored a 3-yard TD reception from Joe Burrow in the 2nd quarter (ESPN play-by-play, Ravens 35-34 Bengals).
“Nelson Aguilar's plus 500. How about Nelson Aguilar anytime touchdown instead of Deontay Johnson?”
34-35 — Nelson Agholor scored a 6-yard TD reception from Lamar Jackson in the 2nd quarter (ESPN play-by-play, Ravens 35-34 Bengals).
“Justice Hill, if he's at a longer price, anytime touchdown for the Baltimore Ravens.”
34-35 — Justice Hill did not score a TD, finishing with 2 carries for -2 yards and 2 receptions for 0 yards (ESPN box score, Ravens 35-34 Bengals). (2 rush attempts for -2 yards, 2 receptions for 0 yards, 0 TD)
“I'm going to be on all those Tatum overs.”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points in the Warriors' 118-112 win over the Celtics, over the 30.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
“I'm going to be on all those Tatum overs.”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points against the Warriors, short of the 35+ threshold (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
“I'm going to be on all those Tatum overs.”
118-112 — Jayson Tatum scored 32 points against the Warriors, short of the 40+ threshold (ESPN box score). (Tatum 32 points)
“Nikola Jokic spot. Nuggets plus seven and a half.”
122-124 — Nuggets beat the Thunder outright 124-122, easily covering Denver +7.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me Grady, Dick, R.J. Barrett, and the Toronto Raptors, plus 11 and a half on the road in Sacramento.”
107-122 — Kings beat the Raptors 122-107 (15-point margin), so Raptors +11.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“You know what happens tonight. Clippers, minus one and a half.”
98-110 — Clippers beat the 76ers 110-98 (12-point margin), covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Zach Eadie over 9.5 points for the Memphis Grizzlies.”
114-131 — Zach Edey scored 8 points (7 reb, 15 min) for the Grizzlies in their 131-114 win over the Lakers, under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Edey 8 points)
“Victor Wembanyama over 40.5 points, rebounds, assists for the Spurs against the Houston Rockets.”
100-127 — Victor Wembanyama totaled 15 points, 6 rebounds, 0 assists (21 PRA) in the Rockets' 127-100 win over the Spurs, well under the 40.5 line (ESPN box score). (Wembanyama 21 points+rebounds+assists (15p/6r/0a))
“Give me the Golden Knights plus 125 on the road in Edmonton.”
4-2 — Golden Knights beat the Oilers 4-2 on the road, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“And Pavel Dorofaev, any time goal for the Vegas Golden Knights tonight?”
4-2 — Golden Knights' 4 goals in the 4-2 win over the Oilers were scored by Jack Eichel, Noah Hanifin (2), and Mark Stone; Pavel Dorofeyev did not score (ESPN box score).
“So it's my preseason pick. I bet it then. It's plus 900 today.”
40-22 — Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs, not Kansas City vs Detroit; Eagles won 40-22 (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL/official records).
“Exact matchup. Can I interest you? 500-1 at BetMGM. Crazy. Maybe. Impossible? I don't think so. Worth a small bet at 500 to 1? You bet your bottom dollar.”
Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs; neither the Chargers nor the Rams reached the Super Bowl (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL/official records).
“I like the commanders also.”
The Detroit Lions clinched the NFC's No. 1 seed at 15-2 after a 31-9 Week 18 win over Minnesota (Jan 5, 2025); Washington did not earn the No. 1 seed (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL records).
“that was my bet also with saints under five and a half”
The New Orleans Saints finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, under the 5.5-win total (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL/Pro-Football-Reference records).
“Packers over 10.5 wins is my look in the NFC North.”
The Green Bay Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, over the 10.5-win total (Wikipedia, sourced to NFL records).
“I'll go oppo taco with Femi here, and I'll bet the Bruins tonight.”
0-4 — Toronto shut out Boston 4-0 on 11/5/2024; Bruins moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Nazem Khadri goal.”
Nazem Kadri did not score in Calgary's 3-2 OT win over Montreal on 11/5/2024; ESPN box score credits Zary and Coronato (x2) as the Flames' goal scorers. (Nazem Kadri 0 goals)
“that makes me like the commanders to win the NFC East. Even more, plus 110 currently the price”
Philadelphia Eagles won the 2024 NFC East at 14-3; Washington Commanders finished second at 12-5 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings), so Commanders did not win the division.
“I bet, I have bets, that it will happen this year.”
40-22 — Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs, won by the Eagles 40-22, not the Detroit Lions (Wikipedia).
“But Tampa's win total right now is eight and a half. The over over eight and a half as plus 100. And, you know, we both played, like, the win-loss game on the schedule. I came up with nine. You came up with ten. Both numbers are obviously more than eight and a half. I think that's the way to play this. Like, I know what you're saying. Like, Atlanta could collapse. Like, the betting market says they're going to be four games back. That's a lot, man. It's a lot. I think the way I'd like to play it would be Tampa over eight and a half wins.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the 8.5 win total (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings).
“I'll have a little sprinkled as well, Femi, on the Bengals' money line.”
34-35 — Baltimore Ravens beat Cincinnati Bengals 35-34 on 11/7/24 (ESPN), so the Bengals moneyline lost.
“Can I sell you on Raiders under four and a half wins? So coming out of the buy... Two wins? Two and seven. Two and seven. So I have to win two or less games the rest of the season. Desmond Ritter is going to start a couple of them. So a bye week. At Miami, loss. Denver at home. Like, Ritter starts that game. Definite loss. At the Chiefs, loss. At the Buccaneers, who you think are like the 2007 Patriots, loss. Home Atlanta, loss. Home Jacksonville, maybe they could win at home against Jacksonville. At New Orleans, Derek Carr revenge game, maybe they could win that game. Home Chargers in Week 18. Chargers may be playing for a playoff spot. You think there's three wins in there for a team with zero talent? Seems like an under to me. And plus 136 to bet MGM?”
Las Vegas Raiders finished the 2024 regular season 4-13 (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season standings), staying under the 4.5 win total.
“Yeah, Dallas plus the points and a little cowboy money line, Sprinkle.”
34-6 — Eagles beat Cowboys 34-6 on 11/10/24 (ESPN box score), so Dallas Cowboys moneyline lost.
“the jet yeah i i love the jets man”
31-6 — Arizona Cardinals beat New York Jets 31-6 on 11/10/24 (ESPN box score), so New York Jets moneyline lost.
“I see six and a half points as an underdog. I'll take Joe Burrow and not even think twice about it.”
35-34 — Ravens beat Bengals 35-34 (Wikipedia game log); Bengals +6.5 covers with a loss margin of only 1.
“I think this point spread's crazy that the Knicks are only one and a half in Houston. I love the Knicks tonight.”
97-109 — Houston beat New York 109-97; New York lost outright, so Knicks -1.5 failed to cover (ESPN).
“I also love Karl-Anthony Towns over 21.5 points.”
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 17 points in the Knicks' 109-97 loss at Houston, missing the 21.5-point line (ESPN). (17 points)
“LeBron over 23.5 points tonight against Detroit.”
LeBron James scored 20 points in the Lakers' 115-103 loss at Detroit, missing the 23.5-point line (ESPN). (20 points)
“I'll play Stephen Curry under 25.5 points tonight.”
Stephen Curry scored 24 points in Golden State's 125-112 win over Washington, staying under the 25.5-point line (ESPN). (24 points)
“Sacramento and Miami over 223.5 was the number that I played.”
111-110 — Kings beat the Heat 111-110 for a combined total of 221, under the 223.5 line (ESPN). (Combined total 221)
“So I'll take the Oilers not just to win the game.”
3-0 — Edmonton lost to New Jersey 0-3, so the Oilers moneyline lost outright (ESPN box score).
“I'll also lay the Oilers on the puck line minus a goal and a half at plus 225”
3-0 — Oilers lost outright 0-3 to the Devils, so Edmonton -1.5 on the puck line did not come close to covering (ESPN box score).
“I am also on the Roman Yossi goal scoring prop tonight.”
3-0 — Kings shut out the Predators 3-0; Roman Josi did not score (ESPN box score).
“I like Tampa team total under 17.5, and I'll eat a little juice to make that bet.”
Tampa Bay scored 24 points in their 30-24 OT loss to Kansas City, well over the 17.5 team-total line (ESPN box score). (24 points)
“Worthy over 38 and a half receiving yards.”
Xavier Worthy did not register any receiving yards in the Bucs-Chiefs game, well under the 38.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (0 receiving yards)
“Sean Tucker, beer, pizza money, anytime touchdown.”
Sean Tucker (3 carries, 11 yards) did not score a touchdown in the Bucs-Chiefs game (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
“Bucs wide receiver Ryan Miller, anytime touchdown, beer or pizza money.”
Ryan Miller caught a touchdown for Tampa Bay in the Bucs-Chiefs game (ESPN box score). (1 touchdown)
“If you can find a Peyton Hendershot price, Peyton Hendershot.”
Peyton Hendershot caught 1 pass for 9 yards with 0 touchdowns in the Buccaneers at Chiefs game, so the anytime-touchdown bet lost (ESPN box score). (Hendershot 1 rec, 9 yds, 0 TD)
“Give me DeBoer and Milrow over Kelly and Nussmeyer on Saturday.”
42-13 — Alabama beat LSU 42-13 on Nov 9, 2024, so the Alabama moneyline cashed (ESPN).
“Give me the Aztecs of San Diego State plus the 24-and-a-half.”
56-24 — Boise State beat San Diego State 56-24 (Wikipedia game summary), a 32-point margin exceeding +24.5.
“The spread has come down to three. We've been saying it all week to bet Penn State. Colin Wilson telling you three's still okay. let's take the points with Penn State and Happy Valley.”
20-13 — Ohio State beat Penn State 20-13 (ESPN gameId 401628539), a 7-point margin exceeding +3.
“Give me Minnesota minus two and a half or minus three.”
25-17 — Minnesota beat Illinois 25-17 (ESPN gameId 401628533), an 8-point margin covering -2.5.
“Give me Florida plus 14.5 against Georgia.”
34-20 — Georgia beat Florida 34-20 (ESPN gameId 401628408), a 14-point margin, so Florida +14.5 covered.
“Give me UCLA plus the seven.”
27-20 — UCLA beat Nebraska 27-20 outright (Wikipedia game summary), covering +7.
“We bet 7.5 this morning. Orlando.”
120-109 — Cavaliers beat Magic 120-109 (ESPN gameId 401704699), an 11-point margin, so Orlando +7.5 did not cover.
“Give me the Wolves, whatever it is at close. This might be four at close. I will lay the Minnesota Timberwolves.”
119-116 — Timberwolves beat Nuggets 119-116 (ESPN gameId 401704705), a 3-point margin, so Minnesota -4 did not cover.
“Brunson over 26 and a half points.”
Jalen Brunson scored 36 points in the Knicks' 128-98 win over Detroit (ESPN gameId 401704700), clearing the 26.5 line. (36 points)
“Minus 110 on the road at the Sabres. Easy bet. Give me the Islanders.”
4-3 — New York Islanders beat Buffalo 4-3 (ESPN gameId 401687767), winning outright on the moneyline.
“Who's leading the team in shots? It's Anders Lee. And he's like plus 310 goal scorer tonight for the Islanders.”
Anders Lee recorded two assists (on goals by Bo Horvat and Jean-Gabriel Pageau) in the Islanders' 4-3 win over Buffalo (ESPN scoring summary, gameId 401687767); he did not score a goal. (0 goals)
“MetLife, Washington, a four-point road favor, total 44-and-a-half. Giants do get, and fantasy owners like me, get a good piece of news today. Tyrone Tracy has cleared Dick's grandson, has cleared concussion protocol. Tyrone Tracy will start for the – I don't know if he'll start. I mean, he's playing all the maps. I'm sure he'll start. but uh he'll he'll be he will play on sunday for the giants brian robinson questionable right now for the washington commanders and that'd be a huge loss if he didn't play i think this number's just right like right now at four now the total is actually a little bit interesting to me i know that the commander's offense is outstanding and they could definitely put up a big number but i still have respect for the giants defense it's the giants offense that i'm worried about in this game and washington's defense with dan quinn like they've been getting better each week now frankie I know he missed a couple practices earlier this week. We'll see if he can play on Sunday. But I do think that this might be a little bit lower scoring than the market thinks, not because of Washington, but because of New York. So I'm actually kind of looking towards the under now that we've hit the key number of 44. I think that's how I'm going to look to play this game. Expect that maybe it's like 27 to 10 or something like that. I could see that being the scenario. And if that's the case, if you lay the four, obviously you'll win your bet. But I like the under a little bit more than I do like the side. So under 44 is how I'm going to bet this week. my advice to you, Femi, would be to bet the Giants team total under in addition to the under in the game. I think Washington wins by double digits. I've said this for a couple weeks now, and I've been wrong, so, I mean, I don't know. I think this is—well, I can't say this anymore, right, because I've been wrong. I do think this is the end for Daniel Jones. I think this is his last game. I think he's at risk for an in-game benching. I think the Commanders win this game by double digits. I think the Giants are an absolute dead team walking. Give me the commanders laying the points.”
27-22 — Commanders beat Giants 27-22 (ESPN gameId 401671711), a 5-point margin that clears the -4 spread.
“I love Denver plus the points, plus nine and a half. Give me the Broncos to cover.”
41-10 — Ravens routed Broncos 41-10 (ESPN gameId 401671623); Denver lost by 31, far more than the 9.5 points needed to cover.
“I like the over in the game, but over 46 and a half.”
21-13 — Vikings beat Colts 21-13 (ESPN gameId 401671647), a 34-point combined total, under the 46.5 total; Over loses.
“Justin Jefferson's receiving yards prop is 85 and a half. Over.”
Justin Jefferson had 137 receiving yards against the Colts (ESPN gameId 401671647), well over the 85.5 line. (137 receiving yards)
“Jefferson 125 or more yards is plus 333. Yeah, I'll be on that on Sunday night.”
Justin Jefferson had 137 receiving yards against the Colts (ESPN gameId 401671647), clearing the 125+ (124.5) threshold. (137 receiving yards)
- Houston Texans +8
- New Orleans Saints moneyline
“I love teasing the Houston Texans here. Tease the Texans up to, like, plus eight. You can pair it with the New Orleans Saints to win on the road in Carolina.”
Jets 21-13 Texans; Panthers 23-22 Saints — In the teaser, the Jets beat the Texans 21-13 (an 8-point margin, pushing the teased Texans +8 leg), and the Panthers beat the Saints 23-22 outright (losing Saints moneyline leg); the outright-losing Saints leg sinks the two-team teaser regardless of the Texans push (ESPN box scores).
“[5:28] USC laying two and a half on the road in Washington.”
WASH 26, USC 21 — Washington beat USC 26-21 on 11/2/2024; USC's -5 margin misses covering -2.5 (ESPN final).
“[6:30] Give me North Carolina laying the two-and-a-half on the road.”
FSU 11, UNC 35 — North Carolina beat Florida State 35-11 on 11/2/2024; UNC's +24 margin easily covers -2.5 (ESPN final).
“[6:50] You mean Northwestern on the money line against Purdue.”
PUR 20, NU 26 — Northwestern beat Purdue 26-20 in overtime on 11/2/2024, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
“[7:19] Arkansas, woo-pig suey, plus the 7.5 against Ole Miss.”
ARK 31, MISS 63 — Ole Miss routed Arkansas 63-31 on 11/2/2024; Arkansas lost by 32, busting +7.5 (ESPN final).
“[8:10] Give me San Diego State plus the 23.5”
BOIS 56, SDSU 24 — Boise State beat San Diego State 56-24 on 11/1/2024; SDSU lost by 32, busting +23.5 (ESPN final).
“[8:35] at the Illini, Minnesota, laying three.”
ILL 17, MINN 25 — Minnesota beat Illinois 25-17 on 11/2/2024; Minnesota's +8 margin covers -3 (ESPN final).
“[9:03] UCLA plus the six and a half.”
NEB 20, UCLA 27 — UCLA beat Nebraska 27-20 on 11/2/2024, an outright win that covers +6.5 (ESPN final).
“[9:38] As Auburn lay in 7.5.”
AUB 7, VAN 17 — Vanderbilt upset Auburn 17-7 on 11/2/2024; Auburn lost outright, busting -7.5 (ESPN final).
“We will bet Bournemouth plus one. That's the number, plus one minus 115.”
Bournemouth 2, Manchester City 1 — Bournemouth beat Manchester City 2-1 at home on 11/2/2024, an outright win that covers +1 (ESPN).
“Man U, draw no bet, minus 115.”
Manchester United 1, Chelsea 1 — Manchester United drew 1-1 with Chelsea on 11/3/2024; draw-no-bet wagers are refunded when the match ends in a draw (ESPN).
“I'll lay the four and a half with the Suns tonight.”
PHX 125, LAC 119 — Suns beat Clippers 125-119 on 10/31/2024, a 6-point margin that covers -4.5 (ESPN final).
“Give me the Grizzlies plus six, plus six and a half.”
MIL 99, MEM 122 — Grizzlies beat Bucks 122-99 outright on 10/31/2024, easily covering +6 (ESPN final).
“Give me Ja Morant, who is at a mostly down season so far. Ja Morant over 20.5 points tonight.”
Ja Morant scored 26 points in the Grizzlies' 122-99 win over the Bucks on 10/31/2024, clearing the 20.5 line (ESPN box score). (26 points)
“Let's bet the Edmonton Oilers tonight, plus 110 on the road at the Predators.”
EDM 5, NSH 1 — Oilers beat Predators 5-1 on the road on 10/31/2024, an outright moneyline win (ESPN box score).
“Jeff Skinner, goal scorer tonight, Femi, for the Edmonton Oilers.”
Edmonton's goals against Nashville on 10/31/2024 came from Arvidsson, Perry, Draisaitl (x2) and Hyman; Jeff Skinner did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
“Cade Stover anytime touchdown.”
Houston's only touchdown against the Jets on 10/31/2024 was Joe Mixon's rushing score; Cade Stover did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
“Beer and pizza money on Malachi Corley, 11-1, anytime touchdown.”
The Jets' three touchdowns against Houston on 10/31/2024 were 2 by Garrett Wilson and 1 by Davante Adams; Malachi Corley did not score a touchdown (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
“Garrett Wilson over 63.5 receiving yards.”
Garrett Wilson caught 9 passes for 90 receiving yards vs. Houston on 10/31/2024, clearing the 63.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (90 receiving yards)
“I will lay 7.5 with New Orleans in this game against Carolina.”
22-23 — Panthers beat Saints 23-22 on 11/3/24; Saints lost outright and failed to cover -7.5 (ESPN box score).
“And I already have money on this guy. I think the Broncos might win on Sunday on the road in Baltimore against the Ravens. I might put a little more on Bo Nix just in case that happens.”
Commanders QB Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Bo Nix finished third behind Daniels and Brock Bowers (NFL.com).
“I will just add that I bet Edron Cooper at 60 to one.”
Rams LB Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Edgerrin Cooper did not win (NFL.com).
“I will add the Knicks to my card. I was thinking about it anyway. You like it. I'll bet the Knicks to win the game also. That price is minus 120 on the road at the Miami Heat.”
116-107 — Knicks beat the Heat 116-107 on 10/30/24, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
“I see 12 and a half or 11 and a half. Yeah. Yeah. I'll lay the Grizzlies against the Nets.”
106-119 — Nets beat Grizzlies 119-106 on 10/30/24; Grizzlies lost outright and did not cover -11.5 (ESPN final).
“This is Pelicans plus three and a half. Pelicans, money line, whatever.”
89-104 — Warriors beat Pelicans 104-89 on 10/30/24, a 15-point margin that exceeds the +3.5 Pelicans needed to cover (ESPN final).
“Pelicans, money line, whatever. We bet the Warriors last night, game one without Curry. Now game two without Curry. We will bet the other side and the New Orleans Pelicans.”
89-104 — Pelicans lost outright to the Warriors 89-104 on 10/30/24 (ESPN final).
“Raptors plus six and a half without Scotty Barnes.”
133-138 — Hornets beat Raptors 138-133 on 10/30/24, a 5-point margin inside the +6.5 Raptors needed to cover (ESPN final).
“Give me Halliburton over 7.5 assists.”
Tyrese Haliburton recorded 12 assists in the Pacers' 135-132 OT win over the Celtics on 10/30/24, over the 7.5 line (ESPN box score). (12 assists)
“How about Vuce over 1.5 three-pointers tonight at plus money?”
Nikola Vucevic went 0-for-3 on three-pointers in the Bulls' 102-99 win over the Magic on 10/30/24, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (0 three-pointers made (0-3))
“Winnipeg minus one and a half on the puck line, plus 150.”
6-2 — Jets beat Red Wings 6-2 on 10/30/24 (ESPN), covering the -1.5 puck line by a 4-goal margin.
“And give me Kyle O'Connor, Sinead's son, to score.”
Kyle Connor scored a goal (15:44 of the 1st period, plus 2 assists) for Winnipeg in the 6-2 win over Detroit on 10/30/24 (ESPN box score). (1 goal, 2 assists)
“Kenny Atkinson, who was my pick for Coach of the Year, my bet for Coach of the Year before the season started.”
Kenny Atkinson (Cleveland Cavaliers) won the 2024-25 NBA Coach of the Year award, beating J.B. Bickerstaff and Ime Udoka after leading the Cavaliers to the East's No. 1 seed (NBA.com).
“I'll play Julian Strother over six and a half points.”
Julian Strawther scored 7 points (3-6 FG) in Nuggets' 144-139 OT win over the Nets on Oct 29, 2024, clearing over 6.5 (ESPN box score). (7 points (3-6 FG))
“Give me the Warriors on the money line”
124-106 — Warriors beat Pelicans 124-106 outright on Oct 29, 2024 (ESPN final score).
“Flyers to win on the road in Boston.”
2-0 — Flyers beat Bruins 2-0 on the road on Oct 29, 2024 (ESPN final score).
“And Travis Konechny to score tonight for the Philadelphia Flyers”
Flyers' only goals in the 2-0 win over Boston on Oct 29, 2024 were scored by Tyson Foerster and Joel Farabee; Travis Konecny did not score (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
“Dodgers money line tonight against my Yankees”
11-4 — Yankees beat Dodgers 11-4 in World Series Game 4 on Oct 29, 2024; the Dodgers moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
“[15:27] Dodgers first five, Dodgers full game, the easiest bets you will ever make.”
5-4 Yankees through 5 innings (final 11-4) — Per the ESPN inning-by-inning line for World Series Game 4, Anthony Volpe's 3rd-inning grand slam and further Yankees runs put New York ahead 5-4 through five innings (Dodgers scored 2 in the top of the 5th to make it 5-4), so the Dodgers first-five moneyline loses; the Yankees went on to win 11-4.
“[15:27] Dodgers first five, Dodgers full game, the easiest bets you will ever make.”
11-4 — Yankees beat Dodgers 11-4 in World Series Game 4 on Oct 29, 2024; the Dodgers full-game moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[21:59] I love the over. [22:00] It's 46.”
MIN 21, IND 13 — Vikings beat Colts 21-13 on Nov 3, 2024, a combined 34 points that falls under the 46 total (ESPN final score).
“If Drew Allar plays, I'm going to bet Penn State money line.”
20-13 — Drew Allar started for Penn State (condition met) but Penn State lost to Ohio State 13-20, so the moneyline bet loses (ESPN final).
“I'll take Browns plus money right now to win.”
27-10 — Browns lost to Chargers 10-27, so the Browns moneyline loses (ESPN final).
“Raiders, Antonio Pierce plus seven and a half.”
24-41 — Bengals beat Raiders 41-24, a 17-point margin that exceeds the +7.5 line, so Raiders +7.5 loses (ESPN final).
“I'm going to bet Denver to win the game.”
10-41 — Ravens defeated Broncos 41-10, so the Broncos moneyline lost (ESPN final).
“So I will have a Denver bet plus the nine,”
10-41 — Ravens beat Broncos 41-10 (31-point margin), so Broncos +9 did not cover (ESPN final).
“Yeah, Suns laying four and a half. I'm going to bet the Lakers. Maybe I'm the idiot. I'll bet the Lakers tonight and take the points.”
105-109 — Suns beat Lakers 109-105 (4-point margin), so Lakers +4.5 covered (ESPN box score).
- New York Giants +6
- New York Knicks -2.5
- Walker Buehler over 3.5 strikeouts
- San Jose Sharks moneyline
“So Giants plus six, Knicks minus two and a half, Bueller over three and a half strikeouts, Sharks plus 220. This SGP on the Equinox day pays 18 to one over at BetMGM.”
26-18; 110-104 — The Steelers beat the Giants 26-18 (an 8-point margin), so Giants +6 failed to cover, and the Cavaliers beat the Knicks 110-104 outright, so Knicks -2.5 also failed to cover (ESPN box scores), sinking the parlay.
“Dodgers first five plus 120.”
3-0 (through 5 innings) — The Dodgers led 3-0 through 5 innings of World Series Game 3 (2 runs in the 1st, 1 in the 3rd, per ESPN box score's inning-by-inning line), winning the first-five-innings moneyline.
“Dodgers full game plus 125.”
4-2 — Dodgers beat Yankees 4-2 in World Series Game 3, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“And I will bet Shohei Otani to homer plus 360.”
4-2 — Shohei Ohtani did not homer in World Series Game 3; only Freeman and Verdugo hit home runs (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
“and I'll bet Shohei Otani to Homer three or more times at 100 to one.”
4-2 — Shohei Ohtani did not homer at all in World Series Game 3, falling well short of 3+ home runs (ESPN box score). (0 HR)
- Orlando Magic moneyline
- Franz Wagner over 1.5 three-pointers made
“Wagner over one and a half threes, along with the Magic to win the game. Plus 120 at BetMGM.”
119-115 — Magic beat Pacers 119-115 (that leg won), but Franz Wagner went 1-of-3 from three-point range (only 1 made) on 10/28/2024, failing the over-1.5-threes leg, so the parlay lost (ESPN box scores). (Wagner: 1-of-3 three-point FG)
“Give me the Knicks laying the two and a half”
110-104 — Cavaliers beat Knicks 110-104 outright on 10/28/2024, so Knicks -2.5 lost (ESPN box score).
“So give me the Pistons here and the updated number, plus eight and a half.”
106-98 — Heat beat Pistons 106-98 (an 8-point margin) on 10/28/2024; Pistons +8.5 covered by half a point (ESPN box score).
“Jarrett Allen under nine and a half rebounds against the Knicks”
110-104 — Jarrett Allen posted 15 rebounds in Cleveland's 110-104 win over New York on 10/28/2024, well over the 9.5-under line (ESPN box score). (15 rebounds)
“Give me the Sharks tonight, plus 220 on the money line.”
5-4 — Sharks beat Utah 5-4 in overtime on 10/28/2024 (Alexander Wennberg's power-play OT winner), so the San Jose moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“And Granlund, anytime goal.”
5-4 — Mikael Granlund scored for San Jose in the Sharks' 5-4 OT win over Utah on 10/28/2024, so the anytime-goal bet won (ESPN box score).
“But give me the Giants to cover the spread. Giants plus six.”
26-18 — Steelers beat Giants 26-18, an 8-point margin; Giants +6 did not cover the spread (ESPN box score).
“George Pickens over 61.5 receiving yards.”
26-18 — George Pickens finished with 74 receiving yards, over the 61.5 line (ESPN box score). (74 receiving yards (4 rec, long of 43))
“Darnell Washington, anytime touchdown”
26-18 — Darnell Washington did not score a touchdown; the Steelers' touchdowns went to Calvin Austin III and Tyrone Tracy Jr. (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
“and Darnell Washington, first touchdown tonight for the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
26-18 — Darnell Washington did not score a touchdown in the game (ESPN play-by-play). (0 touchdowns)
“Not only did I take Cleveland plus the points, I have Cleveland on the money line also to win this game against Baltimore.”
24-29 — Cleveland beat Baltimore 29-24 on a Jameis Winston-to-Cedric Tillman TD with 59 seconds left, so the Browns moneyline won (ESPN final).
“I think that Judy is going to be the guy that gets the ball down the field from Jameis Winston in this Cleveland Browns offense and the spread attack for Ken Dorsey. So prop bet number one in the excellent eight, Jerry Jeudy over 42.5 receiving yards for the Browns at home against the Baltimore Ravens.”
24-29 — Jerry Jeudy caught 5 passes for 79 receiving yards in Cleveland's 29-24 win over Baltimore, clearing the 42.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (5 catches, 79 receiving yards)
“Drake London is the one receiver that I think consistently can win in this Falcons receiving core. So let's go best bet numero dos of the excellent eight props. Drake London over 68 and a half receiving yards.”
31-26 — Drake London caught 4 passes for 34 receiving yards in Atlanta's 31-26 win over Tampa Bay, well under the 68.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (4 catches, 34 receiving yards)
“and i think that's going to leave dalton kincaid open in the middle of the field dalton kincaid over 41.5 receiving yards.”
31-10 — Dalton Kincaid caught 4 passes for 31 receiving yards in Buffalo's 31-10 win over Seattle, under the 41.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (4 catches, 31 receiving yards)
“be a 1 low It be a 2 Way too low for AJ Brown AJ Brown this is as easy as it gets Over 77 Against the Cincinnati Bengals easy easy easy A.J. Brown over 77.5 receiving yards.”
37-17 — AJ Brown caught 5 passes for 84 receiving yards in Philadelphia's 37-17 win over Cincinnati, clearing the 77.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (5 catches, 84 receiving yards)
“BTJ over 56.5 receiving yards and ladders.”
30-27 — Brian Thomas Jr. caught 3 passes for 60 receiving yards in Green Bay's 30-27 win over Jacksonville, clearing the 56.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (3 catches, 60 receiving yards)
“And I think the Colts, they've got to have this game, and I think they lean into that with Anthony Richardson. Anthony Richardson over 38.5 rushing yards.”
20-23 — Anthony Richardson rushed 6 times for 45 yards in Indianapolis's 20-23 loss to Houston, clearing the 38.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (6 carries, 45 rushing yards)
“Brock Bauer is over 58.5 receiving yards, and the last of the excellent eight.”
27-20 — Brock Bowers caught 5 passes for 58 receiving yards in Las Vegas's 20-27 loss to Kansas City, one yard short of the 58.5 line (ESPN box score). (5 catches, 58 receiving yards)
“CeeDee Lamb over 75.5 receiving yards”
24-30 — CeeDee Lamb caught 13 passes for 146 receiving yards in Dallas's 24-30 loss to San Francisco, clearing the 75.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (13 catches, 146 receiving yards)
- USC Trojans moneyline won
- Boise State Broncos moneyline won
“Boise State, USC. Moneyline Parlay tonight, minus 120 at BetMGM.”
Both legs won outright: USC beat Rutgers 42-20 and Boise State beat UNLV 29-24 (both Oct 25, 2024), so the moneyline parlay hit (ESPN finals).
“I will lay 11.5 with the Magic tonight against the Brooklyn Nets.”
101-116 — Magic beat Nets 116-101, a 15-point margin that covers Orlando -11.5 (ESPN box score).
“Cam Thomas under 24.5 points.”
101-116 — Cam Thomas scored 24 points in the Magic's 116-101 win over the Nets, under the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (24 points)
“The Warriors are playing with a 12-man rotation right now. I don't think you can bet any of their overs right now. Let's play Stephen Curry under 26.5 points.”
127-86 — Stephen Curry scored 20 points in the Warriors' 127-86 win over the Jazz, under the 26.5 line (ESPN box score). (20 points)
“Like 20 plus points, 25 plus points on Gradey Dick tonight for the Toronto Raptors.”
107-115 — Gradey Dick scored 8 points in the Raptors' 115-107 win over the 76ers, well under the 20+ points threshold (ESPN box score). (8 points)
“Like 20 plus points, 25 plus points on Gradey Dick tonight for the Toronto Raptors.”
107-115 — Gradey Dick scored 8 points in the same Raptors-76ers game, well under the 25+ points threshold (ESPN box score). (8 points)
“Like I don't know who on the Chicago Bulls is standing in front of Damian Lillard tonight. Damian Lillard over 26 and a half points.”
133-122 — Damian Lillard scored 28 points for the Bucks in Chicago's 133-122 win over Milwaukee, clearing the 26.5 line (ESPN box score). (28 points)
“And let's take a shot on Santi Aldama of the Memphis Grizzlies, who scored 27 in the Grizzlies season opener. No Jaron Jackson Jr. I don't think the books know how to react right now to Santi Aldama. Nine and a half points, and maybe I'm the loser here, and he scores like seven.”
108-128 — Santi Aldama scored just 2 points in the Rockets' 128-108 win over the Grizzlies, far under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (2 points)
“for tonight uh I just have a goal scoring bet for tonight I'm just gonna bet Connor McDavid to score because it's been a slower start to the season for him McDavid plus 115 to score a goal tonight That'll be my one NHL bet with the Oilers at home against the Pittsburgh Penguins.”
0-4 — Connor McDavid was held off the scoresheet (no goals or assists) in the Oilers' 4-0 win over the Penguins, so the anytime-goal prop missed (ESPN box score). (0 goals)
“and I had told you that I took three with the LA Rams, thinking there's no way this closes three. It's going to close two and a half.”
30-20 — Rams beat Vikings 30-20 on Oct 24, 2024, winning outright and covering Los Angeles +3 (ESPN box score).
“I did take a little sprinkle here on the Rams to win the NFC West, like Femi did. plus 950 is the number for the Rams.”
Rams clinched the 2024 NFC West, finishing 10-7 tied with Seattle and winning the division on the strength-of-victory tiebreaker (therams.com).
“quack, quack, let's lay the 21 with Oregon against Illinois.”
38-9 — Oregon beat Illinois 38-9 on Oct 26, 2024, a 29-point margin that covers the -21 spread (ESPN box score).
“Michigan is somehow a five-and-a-half point favorite. The total is 39-and-a-half. Does anyone think Michigan can score enough to cover the spread with Jack Tuttle? You know, Mr. Tuttle from Saved by the Bell, son. Does anyone think Michigan has the coaching advantage in this game, Sharon Moore, against Jonathan Smith? Like, it's Michigan favored by five-and-a-half against anyone. With that prehistoric dinosaur offense, I'll take Sparty plus the points and absolutely love it.”
24-17 — Michigan beat Michigan State 24-17 on Oct 26, 2024, a 7-point margin, so Michigan State +5.5 does not cover (ESPN box score).
“Texas, an 18.5 point road favorite. Texas just got slammed by Georgia. Everyone said last weekend, who the hell is Texas beating? Well, I got an answer for people about who Vandy's beating. Alabama. Also only lost by three to Mizzou. Vandy, Diego Pavia, plus 18.5 to cover against that fraud Steve Sarkeesian.”
27-24 — Texas beat Vanderbilt 27-24 on Oct 26, 2024, only a 3-point margin, so Vanderbilt +18.5 covers easily (ESPN box score).
“I love, love, under five and a half wins for my Giants at plus 145.”
Giants finished the 2024 regular season 3-14, under the 5.5-win total (ESPN standings).
“Aaron Jones rushing yards like an hour ago was 68 and a half. Now Aaron Jones is up to 71 and a half. I actually still like that over on Aaron Jones. Rams get smashed by it.”
Aaron Jones rushed for 58 yards on 19 carries in the Vikings' 30-20 loss to the Rams (ESPN box score), under the 71.5-yard line. (58 rushing yards (19 carries))
“TCU laying the six and a half. And we will reward TCU also by betting them after they took down Utah. The whole cam rising nonsense that we've had to deal with for a decade. Shout out to the Horned Frogs.”
35-34 — TCU beat Texas Tech 35-34, only a 1-point margin, so TCU -6.5 does not cover (ESPN final).
“BC plus seven and a half. That is a bet that will 100% make my final card for this weekend in college football.”
31-27 — Louisville beat Boston College 31-27, a 4-point margin, so Boston College +7.5 covers (ESPN final).
“Florida State's horrible. We're going to lay 21 with Cam Ward and Miami.”
36-14 — Miami beat Florida State 36-14, a 22-point margin that covers the -21 spread (ESPN final).
“Maryland with a huge comeback win against USC. Now they've got to play Minnesota and row the boat. Can you say letdown? Let's lay the four and a half with Minnesota.”
48-23 — Minnesota beat Maryland 48-23, a 25-point margin that covers the -4.5 spread (ESPN final).
“Unfortunately, the Cougars are going to have to jump around when they go to the bounce house in Orlando to take on UCF as an underdog. The sportsbooks are begging you to bet on BYU.”
37-24 — BYU beat UCF 37-24 on the road, winning outright as the moneyline underdog pick (ESPN final).
“like Femi said in the Jacksonville Jaguars. If we're going to go to three and a half here, I'm going to lay Green Bay.”
30-27 — Green Bay beat Jacksonville 30-27, a 3-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread (ESPN final).
“I think Newcastle keep this game close against Chelsea. And let's play the ESAC goal, plus 165 for the Magpies of Newcastle.”
Alexander Isak scored Newcastle's goal in the 32nd minute (assisted by Lewis Hall) of Chelsea's 2-1 win, cashing the anytime-goal prop (ESPN match report). (1 goal (32'))
“minus 115. So again, two soccer bets this weekend. Newcastle plus a half and plus one at Chelsea. Southampton plus two and a half at Manchester”
1-0 — Manchester City beat Southampton 1-0 (Haaland goal); Southampton lost by only 1, covering +2.5 (ESPN final).
“So give me the Payton Pritchard over 9.5 points.”
Payton Pritchard was scoreless (0 points, 0-3 FG in 10 minutes) in Boston's 122-102 win over Washington, well under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score, gameId 401704639). (0 points (0-3 FG, 10 min))
“I'm going to put vending machine money on Jeremy Sohan over 11.5 points just because he's focused on scoring.”
Jeremy Sochan scored 18 points for San Antonio in the 2024-10-24 loss to Dallas (ESPN box score), over the 11.5 line. (18 points)
“I love the Kings this year. I think the Wolves are still trying to figure it out. I'll bet Sacramento to win the game. Give me Sacramento on the money line, minus 110.”
117-115 — Minnesota beat Sacramento 117-115 on 2024-10-24 (ESPN final), so the Kings moneyline lost.
“Release the Kraken. I like Seattle plus 105, and I'll go back to the well with Jared McCann to score a goal.”
8-2 — Seattle beat Montreal 8-2 on 2024-10-29 (the Kraken and Canadiens' only meeting in this stretch; ESPN final), so the Kraken moneyline (+105) won.
“Release the Kraken. I like Seattle plus 105, and I'll go back to the well with Jared McCann to score a goal.”
In Seattle's 8-2 win over Montreal on 2024-10-29 (ESPN box score: goals by Montour x3, Schwartz, Bjorkstrand, Oleksiak, Evans, Tolvanen), Jared McCann had 2 assists but no goal, so the anytime-goal prop lost. (0 goals (2 assists))
“Anytime touchdown for the Minnesota Vikings. Vikings. I'll also, and again, like Femi said, this is like, these are small money bets. Blake Corum, anytime touchdown for the Rams. He got some work last week. I think he's going to start”
Blake Corum had 4 carries for 9 yards and 1 catch for 6 yards with no touchdowns in the Rams' 30-20 win over Minnesota on 2024-10-24 (ESPN box score), so the anytime-touchdown prop lost. (4 carries, 9 yards, 1 reception, 6 yards, 0 TD)
“Corum, anytime touchdown for the Rams. He got some work last week. I think he's going to start getting more work. I was going to play Jordan Whittington. Like we can't play Whittington now with Kup and Puka Nakua both going to play in the game, unfortunately. And Jalen Nailor, barely know her, plus 425 any touchdown. I don't think it's a terrible look for the Minnesota”
Jalen Nailor finished with 2 receptions for 16 yards and 0 touchdowns in the Rams' 30-20 win over the Vikings (ESPN box score). (2 receptions, 16 yards, 0 TD)
“Cooper Cup over 67.5 receiving yards.”
Cooper Kupp had 5 receptions for 51 receiving yards (1 TD) vs. the Vikings, under the 67.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (51 receiving yards (5 receptions))
“[13:53] I took six this morning with the Indianapolis Colts on the road at the Houston.”
23-20 — Texans beat Colts 23-20 on 2024-10-27; Colts lost by only 3, covering the +6 spread (ESPN final score).
“Femi and I like the over in the Femi I don't know if we did this on air or off air but we both bet it anyway Jets are laying seven on the road at the Patriots total is 41”
25-22 — Patriots beat Jets 25-22 on 2024-10-27; combined 47 points clears the Over 41 total (ESPN final score).
“56 and a half, me amigo. Are you going to go over? Yeah. I think so. I think so.”
DJ Moore finished with 2 catches for 27 receiving yards in Chicago's loss to Washington, under the 56.5 line (ESPN box score). (2 rec, 27 yards)
“32 and a half on Roma Dunze overall day. Yeah, over. Honestly, I'd rather bet the over on Roma Dunze than the over on DJ Moore.”
Rome Odunze finished with 3 catches for 41 receiving yards in Chicago's loss to Washington, over the 32.5 line (ESPN box score). (3 rec, 41 yards)
“I also like the Caps laying up one and a half on the puck line against the Flyers.”
6-3 — Capitals beat Flyers 6-3 on 2024-10-23, a 3-goal margin that covers the -1.5 puck line (ESPN final score).
“Brandon Miller over 18 and a half points for the Hornets against the Rockets.”
Brandon Miller scored only 6 points before exiting with a left glute strain in Charlotte's 110-105 win over Houston, well under the 18.5 line (ESPN game recap). (6 points)
- Houston Rockets moneyline
- Cleveland Cavaliers moneyline
“game. Rockets-Cavs money line parlay about minus 120 at BetMGM”
Rockets lost 110-105 to the Hornets while the Cavaliers beat the Raptors 136-106; the moneyline parlay fails on the losing Rockets leg (ESPN final scores).
“Portland when DeAndre Ayton's not in. And that terrible Blazers defense under 221 and a half with the Warriors and the Blazers”
140-104 — Warriors beat Trail Blazers 140-104, a combined 244 points, well over the 221.5 total, so the Under lost (ESPN final score).
“[15:35] It's time. [15:36] Go, New York. [15:37] Go, New York. [15:37] Go. [15:38] nicks and six over the thunder to win yeah of course to win the end and and i bet a lot of [15:43] money on it”
103-91 — The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Indiana Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 to win the 2024-25 NBA championship on June 22, 2025; the Knicks did not win the title (ESPN).
“[9:00] Cam Ward, Miami quarterback. [9:01] I just think he's going to win. [9:04] Like, I bet some Cam Ward. [9:06] I think he's going to win. [9:07] Plus 240.”
Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy on Dec 14, 2024, with Cam Ward finishing fourth among the finalists (NCAA.com).
“[13:30] Well, you guys – you sold me on this. [13:31] I'll bet some Will Howard 100-1. [13:32] In all seriousness, I was skeptical. [13:34] 100-1, man. [13:34] It's an easy add. [13:35] Yeah, it's an easy add at 100-1.”
Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy on Dec 14, 2024; Will Howard was not among the four finalists (NCAA.com).
“[3:26] I'm with Jake on the Seattle Kraken. [3:28] I thought he said it all, so I don't have to, but I love the Kraken. [3:30] It's my favorite bet tonight in the NHL. [3:32] The Seattle Kraken against the Colorado Avalanche,”
3-2 — Colorado Avalanche beat Seattle Kraken 3-2 on 10/22/24, so the Kraken moneyline lost (ESPN).
“[3:49] I think we're getting a good price here on Minnesota [3:52] give me the Wild plus 125 [3:54] at the reigning defending Stanley Cup champion [3:56] Florida Panthers”
5-1 — Minnesota Wild beat Florida Panthers 5-1 on 10/22/24, so the Wild moneyline won (ESPN).
“[3:57] and for my goal scorer [3:58] let's take a player from the Seattle Kraken [4:01] since I like them in the game tonight [4:02] against the Colorado Avalanche [4:03] and we will take Brian's brother [4:06] Jared McCann [4:07] anytime goal scorer”
Jared McCann scored an unassisted goal, his milestone 100th with Seattle, in the Kraken's 3-2 loss to Colorado on 10/22/24 (ESPN). (1 goal)
“[9:27] taco here in this game. I'm obviously betting the Knicks. I'll play. I'll bet the six and a half. [9:31] I'll take the six and a half. I'll eat the juice to do it.”
132-109 — Boston Celtics beat New York Knicks 132-109 on 10/22/24, a 23-point margin that blows past the Knicks +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[9:31] I'll take the six and a half. I'll eat the juice to do it. And I'll have a money line sprinkle on [9:35] the Knicks tonight.”
132-109 — Boston Celtics beat New York Knicks 132-109 on 10/22/24, so the Knicks moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“[11:31] but I do like them tonight, so give me the L.A. Lakers, [11:34] and I'll play the Lakers on the money line. [11:35] Give me the Lakers to win the game, and that is minus 105 right now at BetMGM.”
110-103 — Lakers beat Timberwolves 110-103 on 10/22/24, so the Lakers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[12:00] And tonight, I don't see why anything would be different. [12:03] I'll play Anthony Davis over 24.5 points,”
Anthony Davis scored 36 points for the Lakers in their 110-103 win over Minnesota on 10/22/24, clearing the 24.5-point line (ESPN box score). (36 points)
“[49:10] Before the season, I bet, and talked about on the show, I bet Detroit to win the NFC.”
WAS 45, DET 31 (Divisional Round) — Washington beat Detroit 45-31 in the NFC Divisional Round on Jan 18, 2025, and Philadelphia won the NFC Championship 55-23 over Washington on Jan 26, 2025; Detroit never won the NFC (Wikipedia: 2024-25 NFL playoffs).
“[49:16] Exact Super Bowl matchup versus Kansas City.”
Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs, not Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs; Detroit lost in the Divisional Round and never reached the Super Bowl (Wikipedia: Super Bowl LIX).
“[49:19] Exact result for the Lions to lose to the Kansas City Chiefs.”
PHI 40, KC 22 (Super Bowl LIX) — Detroit lost in the NFC Divisional Round to Washington and never played Kansas City; Super Bowl LIX (Feb 9, 2025) was Philadelphia 40, Kansas City 22, so 'Chiefs beat Lions' could not occur (Wikipedia: Super Bowl LIX).
“[48:07] Now, I told you last week I was in on the Green Bay Packers to win the NFC.”
PHI 22, GB 10 (Wild Card) — Green Bay lost to Philadelphia 22-10 in the Wild Card round on Jan 12, 2025, and did not win the NFC; Philadelphia won the NFC Championship 55-23 over Washington on Jan 26, 2025 (Wikipedia: 2024-25 NFL playoffs).
“[1:16:39] Also, Nick took Carson Beck 30-1 to win the Heisman at BetMGM. [1:16:43] So I bet Carson Beck to win the Heisman.”
Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Carson Beck did not win (Wikipedia: Heisman Trophy).
“[1:30:50] And I like Syracuse plus the six coming up on Thursday night against Pitt.”
SYR 13, PITT 41 — Pittsburgh beat Syracuse 41-13 on Oct 24, 2024; Syracuse's -28 margin fails to cover +6 (ESPN box score).
“[1:30:53] And I will have a little Moneyline Sprinkle on Syracuse to go on the road and beat Pitt, Femi, on Thursday night.”
SYR 13, PITT 41 — Pittsburgh beat Syracuse 41-13 on Oct 24, 2024; Syracuse's moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
- Penn State Nittany Lions won
- Michigan Wolverines won
“[1:35:43] Michigan-Penn State Big Ten parlay, plus 106 at BetMGM, Femi.”
28-13; 24-17 — Both parlay legs won on Oct 26, 2024: Penn State beat Wisconsin 28-13, and Michigan beat Michigan State 24-17 (ESPN box scores).
“[1:45:31] I will lay the short two and a half here, Femi, with the Cincinnati Bengals.”
PHI 37, CIN 17 — Philadelphia beat Cincinnati 37-17 on Oct 27, 2024; Cincinnati's moneyline loses outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:50:09] Raiders plus 10, best bet numero dos for your boy.”
KC 27, LV 20 — Kansas City beat Las Vegas 27-20 on Oct 27, 2024; Las Vegas's -7 margin covers +10 (ESPN box score).
“[1:51:42] I bet a little Houston last night, 5.5, just because I thought the number was wrong.”
HOU 23, IND 20 — Houston beat Indianapolis 23-20 on Oct 27, 2024; Houston's 3-point margin fails to cover -5.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:34] the bears like literally right right now and i'm gonna lay two and a half and i'll eat the juice to”
WAS 18, CHI 15 — Washington beat Chicago 18-15 on Oct 27, 2024; Chicago's moneyline loses outright, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:37:24] the power hour it's only one game I don't think we could do a goal scoring parlay uh I bet Nikita [2:37:29] Kucherov to score tonight he has 22 shots on goal through the first five games uh first four games [2:37:33] excuse me Kucherov plus 130 tonight anyone have any bets in the game they want to give out it only one game tonight no nothing to me go wrong with cooch jake you bet the under yes why uh vasilevsky due for a bounce back spot and the maple leafs”
TOR 5, TB 2 — Toronto beat Tampa Bay 5-2 on Oct 21, 2024; Nikita Kucherov recorded only an assist on Brayden Point's third-period goal and did not score (ESPN box score). (Nikita Kucherov: 0 goals (1 assist))
“[2:46:34] Baltimore team total over 26.5.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — Baltimore scored 41 points in its win over Tampa Bay on Oct 21, 2024, clearing the Ravens team total over 26.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:47:36] I mean, Chargers money lines, [2:47:38] minus 120 at BetMGM. [2:47:39] Love the Chargers in this game tonight.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Los Angeles lost to Arizona 17-15 on Oct 21, 2024; the Chargers moneyline (-120) fails (ESPN box score).
“[2:49:35] Chris Godwin over 72.5 receiving yards.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — Chris Godwin finished with 65 receiving yards for Tampa Bay against Baltimore on Oct 21, 2024, missing over 72.5 (ESPN box score). (Chris Godwin: 65 receiving yards)
“[2:49:48] Michael Wilson over 29.5 receiving yards.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Michael Wilson finished with 1 catch for 15 receiving yards for Arizona against the Chargers on Oct 21, 2024, missing over 29.5 (ESPN box score). (Michael Wilson: 15 receiving yards)
“[2:50:11] Find the Ravens tight end at the longest price to score. [2:50:14] That's likely Charlie Kohler.”
BAL 41, TB 31 — Charlie Kolar had 1 catch for 14 yards and did not score for Baltimore against Tampa Bay on Oct 21, 2024 (ESPN box score/play-by-play). (Charlie Kolar: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:50:28] Trey Benson, anytime touchdown.”
ARI 17, LAC 15 — Arizona's touchdowns against the Chargers on Oct 21, 2024 came from Greg Dortch (reception) and Kyler Murray (rush); Trey Benson did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (Trey Benson: 0 touchdowns)
“[1:33:16] Kyle Pitts over 39.5 receiving yards.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Kyle Pitts caught 7 passes for 65 receiving yards as Seattle beat Atlanta 34-14 on Oct 20, 2024, clearing over 39.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyle Pitts: 65 receiving yards)
“[1:34:07] one of my favorite of the eight I'm giving out here but Shakir over 28 and a half receiving yards”
BUF 34, TEN 10 — Khalil Shakir had 7 catches for 65 receiving yards as Buffalo beat Tennessee 34-10 on Oct 20, 2024, clearing over 28.5 (ESPN box score). (Khalil Shakir: 65 receiving yards)
“[1:35:13] J-Mo over 46.5 receiving yards, beating the Blitz for the Lions against the Minnesota Vikings.”
MIN 29, DET 31 — Jameson Williams had 1 catch for -4 receiving yards as Detroit beat Minnesota 31-29 on Oct 20, 2024, missing over 46.5 (ESPN box score). (Jameson Williams: -4 receiving yards)
“[1:36:21] Joe Mixon's rushing yards prop is 61.5. [1:36:24] Feels low against the Green Bay Packers.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Joe Mixon rushed for 115 yards on 25 carries as Green Bay beat Houston 24-22 on Oct 20, 2024, clearing over 61.5 (ESPN box score). (Joe Mixon: 115 rushing yards)
“[1:36:37] Tank Dell, 59.5 receiving yards.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Tank Dell had 0 catches for 0 receiving yards as Green Bay beat Houston 24-22 on Oct 20, 2024, missing over 59.5 (ESPN box score). (Tank Dell: 0 receiving yards)
“[1:37:13] Neighbors over 71 and a half receiving yards.”
NYG 3, PHI 28 — Malik Nabers had 4 catches for 41 receiving yards as Philadelphia beat the Giants 28-3 on Oct 20, 2024, missing over 71.5 (ESPN box score). (Malik Nabers: 41 receiving yards)
“[1:38:15] Xavier Worthy over 39.5 receiving yards,”
SF 18, KC 28 — Xavier Worthy had 3 catches for 19 receiving yards as Kansas City beat San Francisco 28-18 on Oct 20, 2024, missing over 39.5 (ESPN box score). (Xavier Worthy: 19 receiving yards)
“[1:47:05] Give me the avalanche on the puck line tonight. [1:47:07] Minus a goal and a half.”
COL 4, ANA 3 — Colorado beat Anaheim 4-3 in overtime on Oct 18, 2024; Colorado's 1-goal margin fails to cover -1.5 on the puck line (ESPN box score).
“[1:47:20] Hockey League. Nathan MacKinnon [1:47:22] minus 145. [1:47:24] McKinnon, goal scorer tonight.”
COL 4, ANA 3 — Nathan MacKinnon scored the overtime game-winner (assisted by Rantanen) as Colorado beat Anaheim 4-3 on Oct 18, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Nathan MacKinnon: 1 goal (OT winner))
“[1:48:42] yeah i like the liberty also i'll lay the two and a half with the liberty so i have that straight [1:48:47] bet. Liberty minus two and a half, laid the minus [1:48:49] 115 to do so at BetMGM.”
MIN 82, NY 80 — Minnesota beat New York 82-80 in WNBA Finals Game 4 on Oct 18, 2024; the Liberty's -2 margin fails to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:49:13] the two and a half with the Liberty, I will also play [1:49:15] the exact result [1:49:16] links winning at the end of the first half liberty win the game in the wmba championship [1:49:22] that is plus 550”
MIN 82, NY 80 — Minnesota led 46-45 at halftime and beat New York 82-80 in WNBA Finals Game 4 on Oct 18, 2024; since the Liberty did not win the full game, the Lynx-halftime/Liberty-fulltime combo loses (ESPN box score).
“[1:50:27] 21.5 is a laughable prop tonight for Breanna Stewart [1:50:30] Over 21.5 points for the great Breanna Stewart”
MIN 82, NY 80 — Breanna Stewart scored 11 points (5-of-21 shooting) as Minnesota beat New York 82-80 in WNBA Finals Game 4 on Oct 18, 2024, missing over 21.5 (ESPN box score). (Breanna Stewart: 11 points)
“[1:51:43] Max Muncy had big balls in this series obviously Oh not bad He gets on base every single time he comes up Ball State plus 27 against Vandy”
VAN 24, BALL 14 — Vanderbilt beat Ball State 24-14 on Oct 19, 2024; Ball State's -10 margin covers +27 (ESPN box score).
“[1:51:53] Virginia, I have plus 21.5.”
CLEM 48, UVA 31 — Clemson beat Virginia 48-31 on Oct 19, 2024; Virginia's -17 margin covers +21.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:00] I laid 2.5 with Bama.”
TENN 24, ALA 17 — Tennessee beat Alabama 24-17 on Oct 19, 2024; Alabama's -7 margin fails to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:48] Core Vegas, Oregon State, plus 7 and Moneyline. [1:52:52] Plus 7 and Moneyline against UNLV.”
ORST 25, UNLV 33 — UNLV beat Oregon State 33-25 on Oct 19, 2024; Oregon State's moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:54] And with Cam Rising finally done, Utah, minus 3.5 against TCU.”
UTAH 7, TCU 13 — TCU beat Utah 13-7 on Oct 19, 2024; Utah lost outright by 6, failing to cover -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:13:29] For me, I'm Yankees. [2:13:30] Yankees minus 120.”
CLE 6, NYY 8 — Yankees beat Guardians 8-6 in ALCS Game 4 (Oct 18, 2024); New York's moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:13:31] Yankees over three and a half total runs, minus 130.”
CLE 6, NYY 8 — Yankees scored 8 runs in ALCS Game 4 vs Cleveland (Oct 18, 2024), clearing the Yankees team total over 3.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:13:35] Aaron Judge over one and a half bases at plus money.”
CLE 6, NYY 8 — Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 with a single (1 total base) in ALCS Game 4 (Yankees 8, Guardians 6, Oct 18, 2024), missing over 1.5 total bases (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 1 total base (1-for-4, single))
“[2:23:07] I'll take the Seahawks plus the three points.”
ATL 14, SEA 34 — Seattle beat Atlanta 34-14 on Oct 20, 2024; Seattle's 20-point margin covers +3 (ESPN box score).
“[2:31:34] It got out to 6.5, and I took the 6.5.”
CLE 14, CIN 21 — Bengals beat Browns 21-14 on Oct 20, 2024; Cleveland's -7 margin fails to cover +6.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:41:06] Julius Chestnut anytime touchdown is 8-1. [2:41:10] 100% a bet for me.”
BUF 34, TEN 10 — Buffalo beat Tennessee 34-10 on Oct 20, 2024; Tennessee's only touchdown was a Nick Westbrook-Ikhine reception — Julius Chestnut did not score (ESPN play-by-play). (Julius Chestnut: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:41:15] He's on injured reserve. [2:41:18] How about Nick Westbrook-Akine, 13-1 anytime touchdown.”
BUF 34, TEN 10 — Nick Westbrook-Ikhine caught a 4-yard touchdown pass from Mason Rudolph for Tennessee's only score in the 34-10 loss to Buffalo on Oct 20, 2024 (ESPN play-by-play). (Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 1 touchdown)
“[2:57:05] I like the under in the game. [2:57:07] I know 38 and a half is the consensus number. [2:57:09] There's a 39 out there. [2:57:10] Make sure you shop around. [2:57:11] I'm going to go under 39.”
PIT 37, NYJ 15 — Pittsburgh beat the Jets 37-15 on Oct 20, 2024; combined 52 points misses the under 39 (ESPN box score).
“[4:44] Give me the Utah Utes laying the four and a half.”
13-7 — TCU beat Utah 13-7 on Oct 19, 2024; Utah lost outright, so Utah -4.5 fails to cover (ESPN).
“[7:57] Ball State plus 25.”
24-14 — Vanderbilt beat Ball State 24-14 on Oct 19, 2024, a 10-point margin; Ball State +25 covers easily (ESPN).
“[9:04] Oregon State plus seven.”
33-25 — UNLV beat Oregon State 33-25 on Oct 19, 2024, an 8-point margin; Oregon State +7 fails to cover (ESPN).
“[9:28] Arizona laying the three against Colorado.”
34-7 — Colorado beat Arizona 34-7 on Oct 19, 2024; Arizona lost outright, so Arizona -3 fails (ESPN).
“[9:50] USC bounce back spot laying seven at Maryland.”
29-28 — Maryland beat USC 29-28 on Oct 19, 2024; USC lost outright, so USC -7 fails (ESPN).
“[43:13] I like the Cavs over 48 and a half.”
The Cavaliers finished the 2024-25 NBA regular season 64-18, clearing the 48.5-win over (ESPN standings). (64-18 regular season record)
“[43:33] Bucs under 50 and a half, Emmy.”
The Bucks finished the 2024-25 NBA regular season 48-34, staying under the 50.5-win line (ESPN standings). (48-34 regular season record)
“[25:34] Islanders, minus one and a half on the puck line, plus 165 for the b-b-b-blow out tonight on the road in St. Louis.”
1-0 (OT) — Blues beat Islanders 1-0 in overtime on Oct 17, 2024 (Jake Neighbours OT winner); the Islanders lost outright, so -1.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“[25:49] Bo Horvath, anytime.”
Blues shut out the Islanders 1-0 on Oct 17, 2024; Bo Horvat recorded 0 goals (3 shots on goal), so his anytime-goal prop lost (ESPN box score). (0 goals, 0 assists, 3 SOG)
“[39:23] Audric Estime, over 14.5 rushing yards.”
Audric Estime rushed for 29 yards on 5 carries in Denver's 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024, clearing the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (5 carries, 29 rushing yards)
“[39:40] I like Devon Vele, over 32.5 receiving yards for Bo Nix.”
Devaughn Vele caught 1 pass for 20 receiving yards against New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024, under the 32.5 line (ESPN box score). (1 reception, 20 receiving yards)
“[39:51] And I like Troy Franklin over 20.5 receiving yards as well.”
Troy Franklin caught 5 passes for 50 receiving yards against New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024, over the 20.5 line (ESPN box score). (5 receptions, 50 receiving yards)
“[40:12] I still think there's a little value in Troy Franklin plus 450 beer money on this bet.”
Denver's touchdowns in the 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024 were scored by Javonte Williams (2), Cody Barton, and Cedrick Wilson Jr.; Troy Franklin did not score a touchdown (ESPN scoring summary).
“[40:24] That is Cedrick Wilson, plus 550 at BetMGM.”
Cedrick Wilson Jr. caught a 12-yard touchdown pass from Jake Haener in the 4th quarter of Broncos-Saints on Oct 17, 2024, so his anytime-touchdown prop won (ESPN scoring summary).
“[40:30] Lucas Krull, Knicks brother, is 8-1, ran a bunch of routes, had three targets last week.”
Denver's touchdowns in the 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024 were scored by Javonte Williams (2), Cody Barton, and Cedrick Wilson Jr.; Lucas Krull did not score a touchdown (ESPN scoring summary).
“[40:43] Lucas Krull, first touchdown at a huge price.”
Denver's touchdowns in the 33-10 win over New Orleans on Oct 17, 2024 were scored by Javonte Williams (2), Cody Barton, and Cedrick Wilson Jr.; Lucas Krull did not score any touchdown, first or otherwise (ESPN scoring summary).
“[41:06] 35-1, Audric Estime, last touchdown.”
The last touchdown of Broncos-Saints on Oct 17, 2024 was Cedrick Wilson Jr.'s 12-yard catch with 1:22 remaining in the 4th quarter; Audric Estime did not score in this game (ESPN scoring summary).
“[15:40] Woo, pig, suey, plus three on Saturday against the Tigers.”
34-10 — LSU beat Arkansas 34-10 on Oct 19, 2024, a 24-point margin, so Arkansas +3 did not cover (ESPN final score).
“[35:59] Mets plus 115 tonight with Jose Quintana on the bump.”
10-2 — The Dodgers beat the Mets 10-2 in NLCS Game 4 on Oct 17, 2024, so the Mets moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
“[43:59] I did bet the Yankees in the game.”
7-5 — Cleveland Guardians beat the New York Yankees 7-5 in 10 innings in ALCS Game 3 on Oct 17, 2024, so the Yankees moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“[44:10] I'm going to bet the under in the game, [44:12] under seven with the thought being like,”
7-5 — ALCS Game 3 (Oct 17, 2024) finished Guardians 7, Yankees 5, a combined 12 runs, over the Under 7 total (ESPN box score).
“[44:29] the home run uh for aaron judge tonight i'll hop on with jake and judge over one and a half total [44:34] bases of plus money and bet mgm i really like that angle so the game starts in about 15 minutes”
Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with an 8th-inning home run in ALCS Game 3 on Oct 17, 2024, for 4 total bases, clearing the over 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (4 total bases (1-for-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI))
“[55:25] Give me the Detroit Lions on the money line.”
DET 31-29 MIN — Lions beat Vikings 31-29 on 2024-10-20 on a last-second field goal; the Lions moneyline bet won (ESPN final score).
“[57:08] I'll lay the two and a half, and I'll eat the juice to do it. [57:11] Green Bay minus two and a half minus 120 at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas.”
GB 24-22 HOU — Packers beat Texans 24-22 on 2024-10-20; Green Bay won by only 2, failing to cover -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“[59:36] Patrick Mahomes and plus money. [59:37] give me the Kansas City Chiefs”
KC 28-18 SF — Chiefs beat 49ers 28-18 on 2024-10-20; the Chiefs moneyline bet won (ESPN final score).
“[59:53] that Georgia is now plus five on the road in Texas this weekend. [1:00:02] Plus five on the road in Texas.”
UGA 30-15 TEX — Georgia beat Texas 30-15 on 2024-10-19; Georgia won outright as a +5 underdog, easily covering the spread (ESPN final score).
“[1:40:47] And I laid two with the Broncos and Femi.”
DEN 33-10 NO — Broncos beat Saints 33-10 on 2024-10-17; Denver won by 23, easily covering -2 (ESPN final score).
“[2:00:49] I placed a couple bucks on Edger and Cooper, Green Bay Packers rookie linebacker, 60-1, to win Defensive Rookie of the Year.”
Rams LB Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award, not Packers LB Edgerrin Cooper, per Wikipedia's AP award results (no ESPN/NFL.com page with clean voting detail was found; Verse's win is well corroborated by NFL.com reporting elsewhere).
“[2:34:20] I bet on it happening that the Yankees will make the World Series.”
The Yankees beat the Guardians 4 games to 1 in the 2024 ALCS, clinching the pennant with a 5-2 Game 5 win on 2024-10-19, per ESPN.
“[2:56:10] and I'm going to bet Courtney Williams over 13.5 points.”
NY 80-77 MIN — Courtney Williams scored 12 points in WNBA Finals Game 3 on 2024-10-16 (Liberty won 80-77), under the 13.5 line (ESPN box score). (Courtney Williams: 12 points)
“[2:56:13] I am going to bet Courtney Williams over 5.5 assists,”
NY 80-77 MIN — Courtney Williams recorded 8 assists in WNBA Finals Game 3 on 2024-10-16 (Liberty won 80-77), over the 5.5 line (ESPN box score). (Courtney Williams: 8 assists)
“[2:56:16] and I am going to bet Courtney Williams over 4.5 rebounds.”
NY 80-77 MIN — Courtney Williams grabbed 5 rebounds in WNBA Finals Game 3 on 2024-10-16 (Liberty won 80-77), over the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Courtney Williams: 5 rebounds)
“[2:58:19] I will bet Ramses Dahlin, goal scorer tonight for the Sabres.”
PIT 6-5 BUF — Rasmus Dahlin did not score in Buffalo's 6-5 OT loss to Pittsburgh on 2024-10-16; Sabres goals came from Thompson, Greenway, Peterka (2), and McLeod (ESPN box score). (Rasmus Dahlin: 0 goals)
“[2:58:26] I'll go Apotaka with Jake Sabres, even money on the road in Pittsburgh.”
PIT 6-5 BUF — Buffalo Sabres lost 6-5 in OT to Pittsburgh on 2024-10-16, so the Sabres moneyline bet lost (ESPN box score).
“[2:15:54] talked about Liberty, minus 2.5 in the game yesterday. [2:15:57] That number is now 3.5 at BetMGM.”
NY 80-77 MIN — Liberty beat Lynx 80-77 in WNBA Finals Game 3 on 2024-10-16; New York won by 3, covering -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:57:14] I'll take the Vancouver Canucks tonight plus 115 against the Tampa Bay Lightning.”
TB 4-1 VAN — Lightning beat Canucks 4-1 on 2024-10-15; Vancouver lost outright, so the moneyline bet lost (ESPN final score).
“[42:08] Of course the Mets win today.”
LAD 3, NYM 7 — Mets beat Dodgers 7-3 in NLCS Game 2; Mets moneyline covers (ESPN).
“[6:43] Giants plus three and a half. [6:44] My first quick pick coming up for week seven in the NFL.”
PHI 28, NYG 3 — This was a Week 7 pick; Eagles beat Giants 28-3 on Oct 20, 2024. Giants +3.5 loses by 25 (ESPN box score).
“[9:41] I like the Rams laying five and a half against the Las Vegas Raiders.”
LAR 20, LV 15 — This was a Week 7 pick; Rams beat Raiders 20-15 on Oct 20, 2024. Rams -5.5 wins by only 5, doesn't cover (ESPN box score).
“[28:02] I going to take Femi Virginia plus 21 or plus 21 and a half against Clemson”
CLEM 48, UVA 31 — Clemson beat Virginia 48-31 on Oct 19, 2024. Virginia +21 covers by 4 (ESPN box score).
“[15:31] but in the NFC North, [15:32] give me the Green Bay Packers at plus 500.”
Detroit won the 2024 NFC North at 15-2, sweeping the division; Green Bay finished 11-6 and did not win the division (Wikipedia, sourced from official NFL standings/reporting). (NFC North: Detroit 15-2; Green Bay 11-6)
“[15:32] give me the Green Bay Packers at plus 500. [15:35] And to win the NFC, plus 900.”
Philadelphia won the 2024 NFC Championship, beating Washington 55-23; Green Bay was eliminated by the Eagles 22-10 in the Wild Card round (ESPN/NFL.com reporting; Wikipedia season summary). (2024 NFC champion: Philadelphia Eagles; Packers lost Wild Card 22-10 to Eagles)
“[1:22:07] And while Sam was talking about liking Rutgers in the game, [1:22:10] I laid minus 125 on the money line with Rutgers tomorrow against Wisconsin.”
WIS 42, RUTG 7 — Wisconsin beat Rutgers 42-7; Rutgers moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[1:49:46] Stanford plus 23.5 on the road at Notre Dame.”
ND 49, STAN 7 — Notre Dame beat Stanford 49-7; Stanford +23.5 lost by 42, busting the spread (ESPN).
“[1:50:46] Ohio State minus the three.”
ORE 32, OSU 31 — Oregon beat Ohio State 32-31; Ohio State -3 lost outright, busting the spread (ESPN).
“[2:19:05] I love the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday morning to beat the Chicago Bears.”
CHI 35, JAX 16 — Bears beat Jaguars 35-16; Jaguars moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[2:44:12] With Jaden Daniels? [2:44:14] In this economy? [2:44:16] Give me the commies. [2:44:17] Plus the seven.”
BAL 30, WSH 23 — Ravens beat Commanders 30-23; Washington lost by exactly 7, pushing against the +7 spread (ESPN).
“[1:51] You know, spoiler alert, like I'm betting the Tigers.”
CLE 5, DET 4 — Guardians beat Tigers 5-4 in ALDS Game 4; Tigers moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[10:09] I will take the under in this game. [10:11] Give me under 49 with the Niners and the Seahawks.”
SF 36, SEA 24 — 49ers beat Seahawks 36-24 (combined 60); under 49 busts (ESPN).
“[14:16] but I like Ohio State in the game, [14:18] and I will lay the three and a half.”
ORE 32, OSU 31 — Oregon beat Ohio State 32-31; Buckeyes lost outright, busting the -3.5 spread (ESPN).
“[15:23] Ashton Gentry and Boise State, 20.5 point favorites this weekend at Hawaii. [15:29] You look at it and think, wow, I just need Boise State to win by 21, and I win my bet. [15:36] I think, give me the Rainbow Warriors.”
BOISE 28, HAW 7 — Boise State beat Hawai'i 28-7; Rainbow Warriors lost by 21, busting the +20.5 spread (ESPN).
“[5:53] We lay the three and a half [5:54] with Pat Narduzzi and Pitt against Cal.”
PITT 17, CAL 15 — Pittsburgh beat Cal 17-15 on Oct 12, 2024; Pitt's 2-point margin fell short of -3.5 (ESPN).
“[6:40] Sandwich spot, UMass plus 27.5 against Missouri.”
MIZ 45, MASS 3 — Missouri routed UMass 45-3 on Oct 12, 2024; UMass lost by 42, far outside +27.5 (ESPN).
“[6:58] On Saturday, Georgia, a 33.5-point favorite against Mississippi State. [7:03] And Texas, a 14.5-point favorite against Oklahoma and Red River. [7:08] They're playing next weekend in the game of the year in college football. [7:12] Do you think, like, the kids on Georgia, when they're not, like, speeding dangerously, [7:17] do you think that they're concerned with Mississippi State? [7:21] Or do you think they're looking ahead to Texas? [7:23] And I know Texas and Oklahoma is a huge rivalry. [7:26] Does anyone think that Texas is like not even the kids on Texas [7:29] are not even considering that they're playing Georgia next weekend? [7:33] Two look-ahead spots. [7:34] Mississippi State plus the points against Georgia.”
UGA 41, MSST 31 — Georgia beat Mississippi State 41-31 on Oct 12, 2024; Mississippi State's 10-point loss covered +33.5 (ESPN).
“[7:52] look ahead spot. As Cam Neely said, as Seabass in Dumb and Dumber, make it 22.5 Boilermakers [7:59] and give me the 22.5 with Purdue.”
ILL 50, PUR 49 — Illinois beat Purdue 50-49 in OT on Oct 12, 2024; Purdue's 1-point loss covered +22.5 (ESPN).
“[9:02] Kansas State minus three and a half, line screaming spot, double cross.”
KSU 31, COLO 28 — Kansas State beat Colorado 31-28 on Oct 12, 2024; Kansas State's 3-point win fell short of -3.5 (ESPN).
“[9:19] 14.5 is the spread. [9:22] Gators plus 14.5, and I'm going to sprinkle on the Gators to win the game outright”
TENN 23, FLA 17 — Tennessee beat Florida 23-17 in OT on Oct 12, 2024; Florida's 6-point loss covered +14.5 (ESPN).
“[9:22] Gators plus 14.5, and I'm going to sprinkle on the Gators to win the game outright”
TENN 23, FLA 17 — Florida lost to Tennessee 17-23 in OT on Oct 12, 2024, so the moneyline bet on Florida busts (ESPN).
“[27:07] And I'm gonna bet it. Adam Fantilli [27:09] plus 400.”
Minnesota beat Columbus 3-2 on Oct 10, 2024; Adam Fantilli did not register a goal or assist, Columbus scored via Kent Johnson and Zach Werenski (ESPN). (Adam Fantilli: 0 goals)
“[43:06] DK Metcalf over 63.5 receiving yards.”
DK Metcalf had 3 catches for 48 receiving yards as the 49ers beat Seattle 36-24 on Oct 10, 2024, under the 63.5-yard line (ESPN). (DK Metcalf: 48 receiving yards)
“[43:41] Garendo anytime touchdown.”
Isaac Guerendo rushed 10 times for 99 yards but did not score a touchdown as the 49ers beat Seattle 36-24 on Oct 10, 2024 (ESPN). (Isaac Guerendo: 10 carries, 99 yards, 0 TD)
“[43:51] And Jan's brother, A.J. Barner. [43:53] so Isaac Garendo [43:55] A.J. Barner [43:57] touchdowns”
AJ Barner caught 1 pass for 13 yards and did not score a touchdown as the 49ers beat Seattle 36-24 on Oct 10, 2024 (ESPN). (AJ Barner: 1 reception, 13 yards, 0 TD)
“[41:17] Yankees have gotten bet for me. [41:19] Yankees minus 120, Schmidt.”
NYY 3, KC 2 — Yankees beat Royals 3-2 in ALDS Game 3 on Oct 9, 2024; New York moneyline covers (ESPN).
“[44:10] I'll take plus 170 with the Calgary Flames tonight on the road in Vancouver against the Canucks.”
CGY 6, VAN 5 — Flames beat Canucks 6-5 in overtime on Oct 9, 2024; Calgary moneyline covers (ESPN).
“[3:07] Obviously, I bet the Detroit Tigers, duh, against the Cleveland Guardians.”
DET 3-0 — Detroit Tigers beat Cleveland Guardians 3-0 in ALDS Game 3, so the Tigers moneyline pick wins (ESPN box score).
“[14:15] You can bet your bottom dollar, because I'm betting mine, [14:18] that the New York Mets end the season today of the Philadelphia Phillies. [14:23] I laid the minus 120 with my guy Jose Quintana,”
NYM 4-1 — New York Mets beat Philadelphia Phillies 4-1 in NLDS Game 4, so the Mets moneyline at -120 wins (ESPN box score).
“[39:01] it feels like uh so Femi and Jake and I like the Padres also and I just go like I I gonna have Femi bet I gonna lay one and a half with the San Diego Padres tonight”
6-5 — San Diego beat Los Angeles 6-5 in NLDS Game 3, a 1-run margin that fails to cover the Padres -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“[41:15] So me, you, and Dennis all on the same page here. I bet Bruins [41:20] plus 130.”
6-4 — Florida beat Boston 6-4 to open their Cup defense, so the Bruins moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[41:48] Utah minus one and a half [41:50] plus 145 against the Blackhawks.”
5-2 — Utah Hockey Club beat Chicago 5-2 in their season opener, covering -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“[39:26] I bet MGM minus 110 both ways. [39:28] So Mets have gotten bet a little bit. [39:29] This was Phil's minus 115 yesterday, Mets 105. [39:32] Now we're at Mets minus 110 both ways, [39:34] so five cents of movement towards the Mets. [39:36] Total is seven. [39:37] I think the Mets are the team of destiny. [39:40] Destiny waits for no man. [39:41] Good win for the Phillies in game two. [39:43] Bounce back win for the Mets today. [39:45] And I think the Mets closed them out coming up in game four at City. [39:48] So give me the Mets to win the game.”
7-2 — New York beat Philadelphia 7-2 in NLDS Game 3, so the Mets moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“[1:05:25] I think the series is a wrap. [1:05:27] I think it's over. [1:05:28] I don't think it goes back to Los Angeles. [1:05:30] Tomorrow night's pitching matchup is Walker Bueller and Michael King. [1:05:36] Anyone want to bet the Dodgers in that game? [1:05:39] See ya, Los Angeles. [1:05:41] A long offseason on the way. [1:05:43] You can bet the Dodgers if you want. [1:05:45] I want nothing to do with them. [1:05:46] Give me the Padres tomorrow night and the Padres to win the series.”
Padres 6, Dodgers 5 — Padres beat Dodgers 6-5 in NLDS Game 3 on October 8, 2024 (ESPN), so the Padres moneyline bet won.
“[1:18:40] And I want to start with Red River, Texas, and Oklahoma. [1:18:44] Now in the SEC, which, like, feels really weird that Red River's now an SEC game. [1:18:49] Texas, a 14.5-point favorite against the Sooners, [1:18:53] total in the game sitting at about 49.5. [1:18:58] I think a lot of people will look at this game [1:19:01] and look at what Oklahoma's done this season, [1:19:03] and I think people will remember that a lot of people had Oklahoma [1:19:06] in the game against Tennessee. [1:19:07] Oklahoma lost that game by 10, looked impotent on offense in that game, [1:19:11] and people will remember all the great things that Texas has done this season [1:19:15] and how good Texas has looked and the two quarterbacks and Sark, [1:19:18] the number one team in the country. [1:19:20] Texas has been unbelievable this season. [1:19:23] People might want to lay Texas in this game. [1:19:27] Just want to offer you this public service announcement [1:19:29] next week in college football. [1:19:32] Not this week, but next week. [1:19:35] Texas hosts Georgia. [1:19:41] So this Saturday, not only in Red River [1:19:44] Do we get a rivalry spot with Oklahoma catching more than two touchdowns against Texas? [1:19:52] But it is also, is it possible that this is like the look-ahead spot to end all look-ahead spots for Texas? [1:20:00] First year in the SEC, next week, Georgia, in a game that they are expected not just to win but dominate Oklahoma. [1:20:09] I mean, I don't know if the bet's going to win or not. [1:20:11] This is the easiest bet of all time is to click on Oklahoma to cover the spread against Texas this weekend in Red River.”
Texas 34, Oklahoma 3 — Texas beat Oklahoma 34-3 in the Red River Rivalry (ESPN), a 31-point margin, well beyond the Sooners' +14.5, so Oklahoma +14.5 lost.
“[1:20:47] beat Auburn on the road just saying that maybe Tennessee the past results not as great as uh as [1:20:51] we thought in the moment this weekend Tennessee takes on Florida 15 and a half point favorites [1:20:57] the Vols are in that game Florida coming off an outright win on Saturday night against UCF [1:21:03] chomp chomp give me the Florida Gators this Saturday to cover against Tennessee uh Femi uh”
Tennessee 23, Florida 17 — Tennessee beat Florida 23-17 in overtime (ESPN), a 6-point margin, so Florida +15.5 covered.
“[1:35:43] on the opposite side, I think Seattle's offense is [1:35:45] very alive, and I think Seattle could find a lot of success [1:35:47] against a Niners defense that's a little bit shaky, [1:35:49] so maybe I'm kind of talking to myself and doing a little [1:35:51] bit on the over at 47.5 [1:35:53] over at BetMGM. It's 47.5 other [1:35:55] places in the market as well. I might [1:35:57] bet this over because I think both offenses [1:35:59] should find success Thursday [1:36:01] night. I know it's a short week. Those games get a little bit [1:36:03] weird, but I mean, where are the stops coming [1:36:05] from based on how we've seen both of these defenses play? [1:36:08] Oh, well, I think you and I will be [1:36:09] Apo Taco on this one then, because I like the under in this game. [1:36:12] And I'm actually going to bet it now, because I think we might go down to 47. [1:36:16] It's gone down from 48.5 to 47.5. [1:36:19] A couple of reasons why. [1:36:20] Number one issue number one Seattle offensive line is absolutely horrendous Absolutely horrendous Dexter Lawrence looked like Aaron Donald yesterday and he awesome I don know if he as good as he looked yesterday [1:36:33] That offensive line can't protect Geno Smith. Here's Nick Bosa and the Niners' pass rush. [1:36:37] And on the flip side, dude, there's a problem for the Niners. They can't score touchdowns [1:36:43] in the red zone. And I know Jake Moody leaves the game yesterday with injury. They don't [1:36:47] trust the punter, Wisnowski, to make a longer field goal. He made a short one to end the [1:36:50] first half. I've got issues with this Niners team in the red zone. Can they actually punch it in [1:36:56] and score touchdowns? I'm not so confident. I'm really not. And we'll see if Seattle gets back [1:37:01] defensive reinforcements on the D-line this week. I'm going to take a piece of this now, [1:37:06] see where the injury report goes. But I want to get this while we're still over the number of 47, [1:37:11] under 47 and a half for me, Thursday night football, Niners and the Seahawks. You better”
49ers 36, Seahawks 24 — 49ers beat Seahawks 36-24 (ESPN recap), a combined 60 points, well over the 47.5 total, so the Under lost.
“[2:24:11] I probably should have known this coming into the year. [2:24:13] I didn't. [2:24:14] Did I mention I love the Jets next Monday night against the Buffalo Bills? [2:24:18] Robert Sala sucks, obviously. [2:24:21] You look at him in the sidelines and you wonder. [2:24:23] It's like that scene in Office Space. [2:24:24] He needs to be, his name is Bob, Bob Sala. [2:24:26] He needs to sit across. [2:24:28] We need three Bobs. [2:24:29] Sala, and then I wish I knew the other two's last names off the top of my head. [2:24:33] The Bobs from Office Space. [2:24:34] And they should ask Robert Sala, what would you say it is you do here? [2:24:42] Lose. [2:24:44] What about Nathaniel Hackett? [2:24:45] You know, in today's NFL, you're supposed to run pre-snap motion. [2:24:49] Here are the Jets doing none of it. [2:24:51] Everyone knows what's coming. [2:24:52] Drop the ETT off his name. [2:24:54] He's Coach Hack. [2:24:55] He's awful. [2:24:56] So, again, it's just an absolute circus of insanity and horribleness for the 2024. [2:25:05] Horribleness isn't a word. [2:25:07] For the New York Jets. [2:25:08] Also, I'll take the Jets plus three next Monday night because I'm the true idiot here. [2:25:12] But the New York Jets, definite slaps through the first five weeks of the season.”
Bills 23, Jets 20 — Bills beat Jets 23-20 (ESPN recap), an exact 3-point margin, so Jets +3 pushed.
“[2:56:34] Okay, I actually like two yardage props in the game. [2:56:37] I'm going to add it. [2:56:38] It's going to look crazy today. [2:56:39] Travis Kelsey over 58.5 receiving yards. [2:56:42] Bet square, don't care. [2:56:43] Everyone will be on it. [2:56:44] Sometimes everybody wins. [2:56:46] Kelsey over 58.5 receiving yards.”
Travis Kelce caught 9 passes for 70 receiving yards (ESPN box score) in Chiefs' 26-13 win over Saints, over the 58.5 line. (Travis Kelce 70 receiving yards (9 receptions))
“[2:56:46] Kelsey over 58.5 receiving yards. [2:56:48] Also Rashid Shahid, to Femi's point, over 46.5 receiving yards.”
Rashid Shaheed caught 4 passes for 86 receiving yards including a 43-yard touchdown (ESPN box score) in the Saints-Chiefs game, over the 46.5 line. (Rashid Shaheed 86 receiving yards (4 receptions))
“[2:56:53] And some anytime touchdowns here. [2:56:54] Only one that I really like. [2:56:58] Kansas City can be hurt in the slot. [2:57:01] New Orleans Saints slot receiver. [2:57:04] Undrafted rookie from Yale. [2:57:07] Mason Tipton [2:57:11] Currently plus 850”
Mason Tipton caught 1 pass for 2 yards on 4 targets and did not score a touchdown in Chiefs' 26-13 win over Saints (ESPN box score / CBS Fantasy report), so the anytime-TD prop lost.
“[2:57:14] And you know what? [2:57:16] Maybe I'll try my hand at the prop viceroy here [2:57:19] Mason Tipton [2:57:20] Oh my god [2:57:22] I'm so in love [2:57:25] Mason Tipton [2:57:26] First touchdown tonight [2:57:28] Is 50-1 [2:57:30] I'm in [2:57:32] Let's go [2:57:33] Mason Tipton [2:57:34] We'll see you tomorrow on a terrific Football Tuesday”
Mason Tipton did not score any touchdown in Chiefs' 26-13 win over Saints on Oct 7, 2024 (ESPN box score); the first touchdown was scored by Kareem Hunt.
“[11:14] Give me the New York Metropolitans team of destiny to beat the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLDS”
Mets beat Phillies 3-1 to win the 2024 NLDS (ESPN). (NLDS: Mets 3, Phillies 1)
“[21:43] comeback wins in the span of 96 hours. Unbelievable. Give me the Mets in game one.”
NYM 6, PHI 2 — Mets beat Phillies 6-2 in NLDS Game 1 on Oct 5, 2024 (ESPN).
“[7:02] That is an unbelievable handicap from our friend Colin Wilson for the first half of Arkansas and Tennessee. [7:07] I bet it while Colin was talking, so I'm certainly sold. [7:11] Can't wait to watch at least the first 30 minutes of that game coming up tomorrow.”
ARK 19, TEN 14 — Arkansas led Tennessee 3-0 at halftime (no 2nd-quarter scoring) en route to a 19-14 win, so Arkansas won the first half outright and covered +7 (ESPN box score, gameId 401628379). (Halftime: ARK 3, TEN 0)
“[18:56] Let's start tonight with Syracuse and UNLV. [19:00] the second game theory that we've talked about on the show when ken barkley was on the show now with [19:05] on the show last week haj malik williams we bet unlv they won 59 14 this game two with haj malik [19:14] williams you know what to do syracuse plus six on a friday night against unlv tomorrow”
SYR 44, UNLV 41 — Syracuse beat UNLV 44-41 in overtime, covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401634779).
“[19:20] ucla plus 28 and a half against penn state penn state's getting steamed people watch james franklin [19:26] coach. Also, Penn State look-ahead spot [19:28] with USC on the horizon. [19:30] Also, we'll take Minnesota”
PSU 27, UCLA 11 — Penn State beat UCLA 27-11 (margin -16), so UCLA covered the +28.5 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401628510).
“[19:51] Colin Wilson likes [19:52] A&M to win against Missouri, just on the money line. [19:54] I'll lay the 2.5 with Texas A&M coming up in the noon slate tomorrow Eastern. [19:58] A&M laying it against Mizzou.”
TAMU 41, MIZ 10 — Texas A&M beat Missouri 41-10 (margin +31), covering the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score, gameId 401628383).
“[20:11] Look-ahead spot for Ohio State. [20:13] Give me Iowa plus the 19.5. [20:15] Iowa plus 19.5 at Ohio State.”
OSU 35, IOWA 7 — Ohio State beat Iowa 35-7 (margin -28), so Iowa failed to cover +19.5 (ESPN box score, gameId 401628504).
“[35:15] Yeah, give me the Tigers in the game. [35:18] What is it right now? [35:19] Plus 125? [35:20] Does it move since that was made official? [35:22] I see some plus 130s out there. [35:24] It was even a plus 135 for game one. [35:27] Great. [35:27] So, yeah, you might be able to get a pretty good price on this. [35:30] Great. [35:31] I will get the best price on the Tigers. [35:33] Tigers in game one. [35:34] And love the Tigers in the series also against the Guardians.”
CLE 7, DET 0 — Cleveland shut out Detroit 7-0 in ALDS Game 1, so the Tigers moneyline loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401701057).
“[36:08] But what I do know, Mets game one tomorrow against the Phils, [36:12] Mets series game one against the Phils. [36:15] And when I think destiny, and I think Mets, and I think clutch,”
The Mets beat the Phillies 3 games to 1 in the 2024 NLDS, clinching with a 4-1 win in Game 4 on Oct 9 (ESPN recap, gameId 401701021), so the Mets-to-win-series futures bet wins.
“[36:21] What is the most clutch possible outcome for the New York Mets in this series? [36:26] How about Mets in five? [36:28] Winning game five at Citizens Bank on the road. [36:31] Plus 500, Mets in five at BetMGM.”
The Mets beat the Phillies 3 games to 1 in the 2024 NLDS (clinched with a 4-1 Game 4 win on Oct 9), not the exact Mets-in-5 (3-2) outcome backed (ESPN recap, gameId 401701021).
“[37:09] And then Padres, game one. [37:11] Dylan Cease against Yamamoto. [37:12] I don't like to go against my Japanese, my brethren, Yamamoto. [37:16] But give me Dylan Cease and the Padres in game one. [37:18] Give me the Padres in the series also.”
LAD 7, SD 5 — The Dodgers beat the Padres 7-5 in NLDS Game 1, so the Padres moneyline loses (ESPN box score, gameId 401701023).
“[10:29] Give me the Jets plus 2.5.”
MIN 23, NYJ 17 — The Vikings beat the Jets 23-17 (margin -6), so the Jets failed to cover +2.5 (ESPN box score, gameId 401671804).
“[12:48] But Panthers plus four.”
CHI 36, CAR 10 — The Bears beat the Panthers 36-10 (margin -26), so Carolina failed to cover +4 (ESPN box score, gameId 401671872).
“[26:50] I do agree on over at 47, being at not 47 and a half, 47. [26:56] Bet on the over for the game with the Bills and the Texans.”
HOU 23, BUF 20 — The Texans beat the Bills 23-20, a combined 43 points, under the 47-point total (ESPN box score, gameId 401671859).
“[30:29] Yeah, I like to take the seven and a half here with Arizona.”
ARI 24, SF 23 — The Cardinals beat the 49ers 24-23 outright, easily covering +7.5 (ESPN box score, gameId 401671756).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 won
- Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 won
“[2:52:38] the bet that I'll make on the side of the game will be to [2:52:40] tease the Tampa Bay Buccaneers [2:52:42] to plus 8.5, and I will pair that [2:52:44] with the Cincinnati Bengals also [2:52:46] up to plus 8.5 at home. [2:52:48] against the Baltimore Ravens. [2:52:49] This is not going to be like a huge bet for me. [2:52:51] I just want to have some action on the game, [2:52:52] and I think Cincy's going to win [2:52:54] or at least cover eight and a half on Sunday [2:52:56] against Baltimore. [2:52:57] So I'll tease Tampa and Cincy. [2:52:59] The Ryan Fitzpatrick Memorial Teaser, [2:53:01] one of several, just for some fun tonight.”
Tampa Bay lost 36-30 in overtime to Atlanta (a 6-point loss) and Cincinnati lost 41-38 in overtime to Baltimore (a 3-point loss); both teaser legs cover +8.5, so the two-team teaser wins (ESPN box scores). (TB lost by 6 (30-36); CIN lost by 3 (38-41); both cover +8.5)
“[1:01:40] Look, I'll say this, man, maybe the Mets win tonight. [1:01:42] I'm going to bet the Mets to win tonight. [1:01:44] In order to truly be team of destiny, great end to the regular season, carry that momentum into the postseason,”
4-2 — Mets beat Brewers 4-2 in NL Wild Card Game 3 on Pete Alonso's 9th-inning go-ahead homer, clinching the series; New York's moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[1:05:25] Tigers plus 110 in the series.”
Cleveland beat Detroit 3 games to 2 in the 2024 ALDS, clinching with a 7-3 win in Game 5 on Oct 12, so the Tigers did not win the series (ESPN box score).
“[1:05:26] And I'm going to have a little sprinkle as well on the Tigers to sweep at plus 750 over at BetMGM.”
Cleveland beat Detroit 3 games to 2 in the 2024 ALDS, clinching with a 7-3 win in Game 5 on Oct 12, so the Tigers did not sweep or even win the series (ESPN box score).
“[1:06:13] Everyone's going to bet the Padres, [1:06:15] and we will all be winners when the Padres win this series [1:06:17] against the L.A. Dodgers. [1:06:19] Great. [1:06:19] You roll with Jack Flaherty and Yamamoto and Landon, [1:06:22] knick-knack, paddy-whack, give a dog a bone, [1:06:24] and Walker Bueller. [1:06:25] Bueller. [1:06:26] Does anyone remember when Walker was a good starter? [1:06:29] Bueller. [1:06:30] You take the Dodgers. [1:06:32] I'll take the better team. [1:06:33] And I understand the Dodgers have the best player of all time. [1:06:36] Great. [1:06:36] Baseball's a team sport. [1:06:37] Jackass. [1:06:39] Padres plus 120 to beat the Dodgers in advance to the NLCS.”
Los Angeles beat San Diego 3 games to 2 in the 2024 NLDS, clinching with a 2-0 win in Game 5 on Oct 11, so the Padres did not win the series (ESPN box score).
“[1:38:28] And now you look at the points, Brett, [1:38:29] and you see Florida with Billy Napier, [1:38:31] who's probably not long for the job. [1:38:33] Florida plus two and a half or plus three. [1:38:35] We don't need the points. [1:38:36] Central Florida, dead team walking into the swamp [1:38:40] against another dead team walking, [1:38:41] albeit one with more rest. [1:38:43] The Florida Gators, you can take the points [1:38:45] or you can bet the Gators to win on Saturday [1:38:47] against UCF.”
24-13 — Florida beat UCF 24-13, so the Gators' moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[1:39:16] And now they welcome in Pitt. [1:39:19] Pitt been bet out to a three-point favorite. [1:39:21] Wow, wonder why. [1:39:22] Maybe because Pitt's a lock to win. [1:39:24] Maybe not a lock. [1:39:25] To win and cover the spread. [1:39:26] So the last spot again. [1:39:28] Give up 70 to James Madison and then blow a 17-point lead against your hated rival spot. [1:39:33] Pitt minus the points.”
34-24 — Pittsburgh beat North Carolina 34-24, a 10-point win that covers the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:34:46] This is a big-time bet square. [2:34:49] We're going to bet square and don't care. [2:34:51] Now, if you're out there listening and you're saying, [2:34:52] Nick, you know anything about soccer, this is a really square bet. [2:34:55] You don't want to take it? [2:34:56] God bless you. [2:34:56] No one's holding a gun to your head. [2:34:57] Do whatever the hell you want. [2:34:58] Tottenham Hotspur takes on Brighton. [2:35:01] Again, Brighton let up four goals to Cole Palmer in the first half last week. [2:35:05] Brighton plays that type of style getting up and down the field. [2:35:08] Tottenham, the pressing is crazy with Tottenham Hotspur. [2:35:12] They have the high line. [2:35:13] They are willing to allow chances on one end to score at another. [2:35:18] Let's play over 3.5 minus 110 with Tottenham and Brighton. [2:35:20] Again, if you don't want to play it, don't have to. [2:35:22] It's a square bet. [2:35:23] I admit it. [2:35:23] Square bets don't have to lose. [2:35:25] Over 3.5 with Tottenham and Brighton.”
Brighton beat Tottenham 3-2; the combined 5 goals clears the over 3.5 total (ESPN match report). (5 combined goals)
“[2:56:11] Okay. [2:56:11] The prop king will have two royal yardage plays for thou tonight. [2:56:15] Thoughts about it to start the show. [2:56:17] Both backup running backs tonight. [2:56:19] Bucky Irving overrushing yards, 44.5 I think is the number that I saw last at BetMGM. [2:56:24] Tyler Algier at a lesser number overrushing yards for the Atlanta Falcons. [2:56:28] If you want to bet just one, and to be fair, I'm trying to limit my prop exposure to one yardage proper game. [2:56:34] If I had to choose one, I'd go with Bucky Irving. [2:56:36] Atlanta's down Troy Anderson in their linebacking core. [2:56:39] Bucky Irving's averaging six yards per carry. [2:56:42] He's better than Rashad White. [2:56:43] So if he only played one, I'd play Bucky Irving over rushing yards, but I do like the Algier rushing yards over as well.”
Bucky Irving finished with 44 rushing yards on 9 carries, just short of the 44.5 line (ESPN box score). (9 carries, 44 rushing yards)
“[2:57:24] And the Bucs' normal sixth receiver, now the fourth receiver, wide receiver, is Kameron Johnson with a K. [2:57:32] He dropped a touchdown last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. [2:57:36] It's a huge price for Kameron Johnson, Cameron with a K, anytime touchdown. [2:57:41] I get beer money on the anytime touchdown, Sterling Shepard and Kameron Johnson.”
Kameron Johnson did not score a touchdown in Tampa Bay at Atlanta; the full scoring summary (Evans x2, Shepard, London, Mooney x2, Hodge) does not include him (ESPN scoring summary).
“[2:57:45] And I'll give you, since the prop viceroy gave us a couple first touchdowns, how about a last touchdown scorer in the game? [2:57:52] I think Atlanta is going to win the game. [2:57:54] I think Atlanta may win the game late and win a close game. [2:57:59] I'd love to give you, like, there's a problem with both these teams [2:58:02] is everything is so concentrated around the same group of guys. [2:58:05] I can't really, like, justify a long price at last touchdown. [2:58:08] So let's make it simple. [2:58:10] The guy that scored the game winner in week two [2:58:12] in the waning moments for the Atlanta Falcons, [2:58:15] much like Femi, I also love the Drake. [2:58:17] And if you don't, you're not like us. [2:58:19] Drake London, last touchdown tonight. [2:58:21] Femi laughs at a lot of my jokes. [2:58:23] I love it. [2:58:24] Drake London last touchdown score.”
The game's last touchdown was KhaDarel Hodge's 45-yard catch from Kirk Cousins in overtime, not Drake London (ESPN scoring summary).
“[1:01:54] Duh. [1:01:55] Obviously, we're taking the Kansas City Royals here. [1:01:58] And I heard some people today and read some people today, social media, [1:02:01] you know, making the case for the Orioles, no way this lineup, [1:02:06] as good as it is for Baltimore, can get shut down two consecutive games [1:02:10] like they did in game number one against Cole Reagans, [1:02:13] to which I say, why the hell not? [1:02:17] Why can't they? [1:02:19] The Baltimore Orioles have lost, as a franchise, nine consecutive playoff games, [1:02:25] including the three that they lost last year to eventual World Series champion Texas in the Division Series round. [1:02:31] And you just got the sense after Game 1, like, all the wind was knocked out of them. [1:02:35] They were a deflated team, and it turned out that was the case. [1:02:37] And Texas won the next two. [1:02:39] So, of course, we're going to take the Kansas City Royals in this game. [1:02:42] The Royals are young. [1:02:43] The Royals are hungry. [1:02:45] The Royals haven't been on the big stage to be disappointed on the big stage, to disappoint on the big stage the way the Baltimore Orioles have. [1:02:52] Bobby Witt, Cole Reagans, and today, Mr. Lugo. [1:02:58] Royals money line to close it out against the Baltimore Orioles. [1:03:01] Love this bet. [1:03:02] Love the Kansas City Royals today. [1:03:04] And also to cash our series bets on the Kansas City Royals as well. [1:03:09] Now joined by my friend, the great Femi Abebefe. [1:03:11] Femi, I think that we're betting the Royals. [1:03:15] I'm guessing you're on Kansas City today, my friend. [1:03:17] You can sing if you'd like also. [1:03:20] I'm not going to go ahead and do Lord's song, I guess, a disservice. [1:03:25] But I'm not betting the Royals, actually. [1:03:27] I'm actually betting the total. [1:03:28] The first five over is what I'm betting. [1:03:30] Because I do think that the Royals – the Royals' bats, they're going to be a little bit looser. [1:03:33] You know, they got that postseason kind of vibe, that feel to them in the last game. [1:03:37] A little bit tight, pivotal game. [1:03:38] They won it. [1:03:39] But now they can obviously – if they lose this game, they can still win the series tomorrow. [1:03:42] I'm hoping they win today. [1:03:43] but just a little bit looser than what we'll see from the Baltimore Orioles. [1:03:47] But I do worry a little bit about my guy Seth Lugo. [1:03:51] Lugo, it can be up and down at times, and sometimes it's not the best stuff. [1:03:55] I know he has like the pitch arsenal of like 17 different pitches that he throws out there. [1:03:59] It's really, really intriguing, but also it's not overpowering. [1:04:02] And if the Orioles did kind of get guys on base, I would worry a little bit. [1:04:06] So I'm going to kind of play it safe a little with this one. [1:04:08] I'm going to go over three and a half in the first five is what I'm going to go in this game here, [1:04:13] just because I think that we're going to get a little bit more runs. [1:04:14] Royals, once again, will be a little bit looser at the plate. [1:04:17] I do think that Baltimore might get a couple on my guy, Seth Lugo. [1:04:20] So over three and a half, minus 125 is my play in the first five [1:04:24] for the Royals and Orioles. [1:04:26] But you'll be rooting on our Royals, though. [1:04:29] Oh, hell yes. [1:04:30] Who will you be rooting on? [1:04:34] Royals. [1:04:35] Royals. [1:04:36] Let's find out if Jake and Tyler agree. [1:04:38] Let's get their bets for this game. [1:04:39] Jake the Snake Hassan is up first. [1:04:41] Jake the host of BetSlips. [1:04:43] and bat flips weekdays two o'clock eastern with our friend lucy burge on the betql network [1:04:47] uh jake i'm praying my friend that you will be taking the royals what do you have in this game [1:04:53] royals and orioles buddy i bet the royals last night as soon as the market opened of course [1:04:59] it's always the royals it's the royals again it was always the royals my royals our royals it had [1:05:06] to be i can't believe their dogs again yesterday was a disaster scenario for the orioles corbin [1:05:11] Burns is awesome. He's dominant and you just lose anyway, disaster scenario for the Orioles and Seth [1:05:19] Lugo. Yeah. I know people are going to point to, he has bad history against this lineup with the [1:05:23] Orioles. That was an April. This is not April's Orioles. This Orioles lineup is not remotely the [1:05:30] same as April's. This team has no juice. They have no wind in their sales. I think they're just wanting [1:05:35] to go home to quote. I think you should leave. They don't even want to be here anymore. And Seth [1:05:39] Lugo he was better on the road this year he's also pitched in the postseason before he has [1:05:43] experience in the postseason the moment's not going to be too big for him I really like the [1:05:48] Royals today I think they advanced today all right love it from Jake the Snake love love when all of [1:05:52] us are on the same page here now yesterday our friend Tyler Morales unfortunately for him I think [1:05:57] he liked the Orioles in the series maybe like the Orioles in game one Tyler you have a chance to dig [1:06:01] yourself out of the Baltimore Oriole sized hole will you be doing it here coming up in game number [1:06:06] two, which starts in a little bit. [1:06:08] Yeah, so I didn't bet the series, but I did [1:06:10] say I like the Orioles. I was interested in buying [1:06:12] low. I'm off that. [1:06:13] I have no money in this series, [1:06:16] so I'm going to trust you guys. I'm going to back the Royals [1:06:18] here. I'll take the L. I thought [1:06:20] the Orioles were going to come up. They showed me something in the [1:06:22] last week. Clearly, they didn't do it yesterday, [1:06:24] so I'll back the Royals here. [1:06:26] I'll support you guys. [1:06:27] Who offends you more, Tyler? [1:06:29] The Baltimore Orioles or Deere? [1:06:33] No, Deere. [1:06:34] deer at least like the Orioles when they lose the leave deer just still stand there [1:06:37] I mean to be fair Milwaukee Bucks gonna have a deer in the headlights thing going on also just [1:06:45] staring as the train the Celtics the Sixers the Knicks etc come at them I just as an aside since [1:06:51] Femi mentioned the Milwaukee Bucks I am starting to get very excited for the NBA which starts later this month and we will have NBA content rolling out over the course of the next couple weeks here on the show And we do some hockey coming up next week as the hockey season dropped the puck [1:07:07] Starts on Tuesday. [1:07:09] How the hell did that happen? [1:07:10] So hockey content coming up on the show next week here. [1:07:12] Kostos Femi and the crew here on this wonderful Wednesday. [1:07:16] If you are listeners and viewers, if you'd like to ride with us here on the Kansas City Royals, [1:07:20] Bet MGM plus 125 on the Royals coming up. [1:07:24] 10 minutes first pitch in Baltimore against the Orioles.”
2-1 — Kansas City beat Baltimore 2-1 in AL Wild Card Game 2, sweeping the series (ESPN box score).
“[1:10:25] Lo and behold, the number three wide receiver for Tampa Bay tomorrow, [1:10:29] and like Giants fans will laugh when I say this name, [1:10:32] is former New York Giants and former Oklahoma Sooner, [1:10:37] Boomer Sooner with Baker Mayfield. [1:10:39] Not Sterling Sharp, but Sterling Shepard will be the number three receiver tomorrow for Tampa. [1:10:46] Again, Trey Palmer is priced in the market. [1:10:50] He's not playing. [1:10:51] Sterling Shepard's plus 500 right now. [1:10:53] That will not be his price tomorrow. [1:10:56] Sterling Shepard plus 500 anytime touchdown for your Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
Sterling Shepard caught a 4-yard touchdown pass from Baker Mayfield in Atlanta's 36-30 overtime win over Tampa Bay on Thursday Night Football (ESPN box score). (1 receiving TD (4 yds))
“[2:51:21] Give him 1200 yards, [2:51:22] 10 touchdowns hard to go away from him. [2:51:25] Yeah. [2:51:25] I bet Dobbins at 22 to one before the season. [2:51:27] I do like Dobbins, [2:51:28] but I think if you're betting right now, [2:51:30] I think like you, [2:51:32] you wait for Nick Chubb to come back. [2:51:33] Cause Chubb said a longer price than Dobbins. [2:51:35] Like the time to bet Dobbins was before the season, [2:51:37] make the bet that he'll emerge as the Chargers. [2:51:39] Number one running back. [2:51:40] Not that he can't win. [2:51:41] I mean, [2:51:41] I have a better numbers. [2:51:43] That would be my analysis there.”
Joe Burrow won the 2024 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award; J.K. Dobbins did not win it (Wikipedia, citing the AP awards announcement).
“[2:54:52] First with the Mets and the Brewers. [2:54:53] I think the Mets are the National League. [2:54:55] Hashtag team of destiny. [2:54:57] Love the Mets to wrap it up tonight in Milwaukee. [2:55:00] Frankie Montas. [2:55:01] I'm a Yankee fan telling you this. [2:55:02] Trust me. [2:55:03] Frankie Montas doesn't have it in the big spot. [2:55:05] I think Sean Minaya outduels Montas. [2:55:07] Give me the Mets to win tonight in advance to the National League Division Series. [2:55:11] Femi, Mets and Brewers, what do you got?”
5-3 — Brewers beat Mets 5-3 in NL Wild Card Game 2, so New York's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“[2:56:43] Padres and Braves. [2:56:43] We all like the Mets. [2:56:44] Padres and Braves. [2:56:46] Padres minus 125. [2:56:47] Braves plus 105. [2:56:48] Musgrove and Freed. [2:56:49] The pitching matchup total, six and a half. [2:56:51] Padres win. [2:56:52] They advance to the NLDS to take on the Dodgers. [2:56:54] And I'm going to bet the Padres here to close things out against Max Freed [2:56:58] and the Braves. [2:56:58] Padres minus 120, minus 125 for me. [2:57:01] Femi.”
5-4 — Padres beat Braves 5-4 in NL Wild Card Game 2 to complete the sweep, so San Diego's moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[1:08:03] Femi, I'm way in on the Raiders plus three. They're going to win this.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Broncos beat Raiders 34-18 on Oct 6, 2024; Las Vegas lost by 16, so Raiders +3 lost (ESPN box score).
“[1:08:47] And look, I'm telling you right now, like I do my border spreads video tomorrow for BetMGM. [1:08:51] I'm taking the Raiders as one of my five best bets. [1:08:54] Give me three with the Raiders and no Devontae Adams. [1:08:57] You know what? [1:08:57] Favorite bet of the year. [1:08:59] Raiders on Moneyline on Sunday.”
DEN 34, LV 18 — Broncos beat Raiders 34-18 on Oct 6, 2024; the Raiders moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“[1:27:36] Honestly, I think I would still take five and a half with New Orleans.”
KC 26, NO 13 — Chiefs beat Saints 26-13 on Oct 7, 2024; New Orleans lost by 13, so Saints +5.5 lost (ESPN game recap).
“[1:46:03] I'll give you my bet for the game. [1:46:04] We'll get Femi's bet, and then we'll get Tyler and Jake's bets for the Mets and the Brewers. [1:46:08] The pitching matchup is Luis Severino and Freddy Peralta. [1:46:12] Brew crew minus 145. [1:46:14] Mets plus 120 at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas. [1:46:16] Of course, BetMGM total in the game 7.5 juiced under. [1:46:20] I'm not messing around here. [1:46:22] I'm just taking my Mets. [1:46:23] Hashtag my Mets. [1:46:25] OMG, Grimace, Team of Destiny, at least until they play the Phillies. [1:46:30] Mets plus 120. [1:46:31] Mets to win this game.”
NYM 8, MIL 4 — Mets beat Brewers 8-4 in Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024; the Mets moneyline pick won (ESPN box score).
“[1:46:32] I also bet the Mets to win the series. [1:46:34] And I'll bet two guys to hit home runs. [1:46:36] I want to keep the good times rolling from yesterday with the Mets, [1:46:40] with one of their clutch players who's emerged as one of their vocal leaders, [1:46:43] had the great speech last week at Citi Field prior to the end of the regular season.”
New York beat Milwaukee 2-1 to win the 2024 NL Wild Card Series, clinching in Game 3 on Oct 3; the Mets series-win pick won (ESPN box score). (NL Wild Card Series: New York 2, Milwaukee 1)
“[1:46:48] Brandon Nimmo, plus 525.”
Mets beat Brewers 8-4 in Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, with no home runs hit by either team; Brandon Nimmo's home run prop lost (ESPN box score). (Brandon Nimmo: 0 home runs)
“[1:46:32] I also bet the Mets to win the series. [1:46:34] And I'll bet two guys to hit home runs. [1:46:36] I want to keep the good times rolling from yesterday with the Mets, [1:46:40] with one of their clutch players who's emerged as one of their vocal leaders, [1:46:43] had the great speech last week at Citi Field prior to the end of the regular season. [1:46:48] Brandon Nimmo, plus 525. [1:46:50] at betmgm and let's go with the polar bear also to have like a make make an october splash to [1:46:56] start things off Pete Alonso plus 450 to homer so nimmo plus 525 alonzo plus 450 and give me the”
Mets beat Brewers 8-4 in Game 1 of the 2024 NL Wild Card Series on Oct 1, 2024, with no home runs hit by either team; Pete Alonso's home run prop lost (ESPN box score). (Pete Alonso: 0 home runs)
“[2:09:09] more once more obviously before the Heisman Trophy like it's all still in front of Carson [2:09:13] Beck and Beck was so bad at the beginning of the game against Bama but got it going at the end [2:09:18] obviously in the second half I'm a believer in Carson Beck at price at 30 Carson Beck is a bet [2:09:24] for me for the Heisman Trophy”
Travis Hunter, not Carson Beck, won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; this futures pick lost (Heisman Trophy Trust).
“[2:35:59] Give me the New York Yankees to win the World Series this year And I betting it I betting the Yankees to win the World Series And you know what I think about World Series MVP for the New York Yankees this year”
The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the New York Yankees 4-1 to win the 2024 World Series; the Yankees futures pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
“[2:36:28] jazz chisholm at a huge price world series most valuable player yankees over padres exact result”
Freddie Freeman, not Jazz Chisholm Jr., was named 2024 World Series MVP after driving in 12 RBIs for the champion Dodgers; this futures pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
“[2:37:18] So Yankees to win the World Series over the San Diego Padres.”
The 2024 World Series matchup was the Los Angeles Dodgers versus the New York Yankees, not Yankees versus Padres; this exact-matchup pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
“[2:40:40] Phillies over the Royals. I just want to add, like, I am on the Yankees here, and, like, I have bet the [2:40:46] Yankees. Also, like, have prices on the Royals also getting to the World Series, and that was when, [2:40:50] like, Ken was on the show this summer. We had a segment where we were betting a lot of the stuff. [2:40:54] I have, like, Padres-Royals also exact matchup.”
The 2024 World Series matchup was the Los Angeles Dodgers versus the New York Yankees, not Padres versus Royals; this exact-matchup pick lost (Wikipedia, citing official MLB results).
“did bet the Braves plus 1060 live after the Mets took a 6-3 lead in the top of the eighth.”
NYM 8, ATL 7 — Mets beat Braves 8-7 in the Sept 30, 2024 doubleheader Game 1 on a Lindor walk-off; the Braves live moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Like, yeah, I bet a little bit of plus four or eight for, for the Mets to win the game. I didn't know that sale was scratched. I bet that like 30 seconds prior.”
ATL 3, NYM 0 — Braves beat Mets 3-0 in the Sept 30, 2024 doubleheader Game 2; the Mets moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Seattle, but under 47 will be my one bet in the game tonight with Detroit and Seattle.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Lions beat Seahawks 42-29 on Sept 30, 2024 (MNF); combined 71 points, well over the Under 47 line, so this pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Tony Pollard over 51 and a half rushing yards, one anytime.”
Tony Pollard rushed for 88 yards on 22 carries in the Titans' 31-12 win over Miami on Sept 30, 2024, clearing the 51.5 line; this pick won (ESPN box score). (Tony Pollard: 22 carries, 88 rushing yards)
“Tony Pollard game. Tony Pollard over 51 and a half rushing yards, one anytime. Touchdown,”
Tony Pollard scored a rushing touchdown in the Titans' 31-12 win over Miami on Sept 30, 2024; the anytime-TD pick won (ESPN box score). (Tony Pollard: 1 rushing touchdown)
“Titans tight end at the longest odds they all play. Nick Vinette anytime touchdown for Tennessee.”
TEN 31, MIA 12 — Nick Vannett did not score in the Titans' 31-12 win over Miami on Sept 30, 2024; Tennessee's only touchdowns came from Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears rushing scores, so this pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Amon Ra St. Brown over 73 and a half receiving yards.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 6 passes for 45 yards in Detroit's 42-29 win over Seattle on Sept 30, 2024, well under the 73.5 line, so this pick lost (ESPN box score). (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 6 receptions, 45 receiving yards)
“Tim Patrick, who's starting to take over as the number three receiver. And when they get down by the goal line, a little razzle-dazzle to back up tight end.”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Tim Patrick had 2 catches for 52 yards but did not score a touchdown in Detroit's 42-29 win over Seattle on Sept 30, 2024; this pick lost (ESPN box score). (Tim Patrick: 2 receptions, 52 yards, 0 touchdowns)
“And when they get down by the goal line, a little razzle-dazzle to back up tight end. The next big thing. rock right and those are the bets coming up for tonight from thy royal prop king we'll see you”
DET 42, SEA 29 — Brock Wright had 2 catches for 13 yards but did not score a touchdown in Detroit's 42-29 win over Seattle on Sept 30, 2024; this pick lost (ESPN box score). (Brock Wright: 2 receptions, 13 yards, 0 touchdowns)
“I think my decision right now is do I want to lay two and a half with the Ravens? Also kind of like the over, it's not a good sign when you're getting set to play Baltimore to allow over five yards per carry to Chuba Hubbard and the Carolina Panthers. Like in all seriousness, like if that's happening, like here's Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Like what's going to happen on Sunday? The Ravens are going to run all over them. So I have to decide if I just want to lay the two and a half with the Ravens. what's the money line price right now? I bet it minus 150. I don't know if I want to do that against Joe Burrow.”
BAL 41, CIN 38 — Ravens beat Bengals 41-38 in overtime on Oct 6, 2024; the Ravens moneyline pick won (ESPN box score).
“[57:27] Georgia, about a one-and-a-half point favorite in this game. [57:30] And the more I think about this game, I think a lot of people have brought up this week, [57:36] And in the last few weeks, Georgia very nearly losing to Kentucky a couple weeks ago [57:43] as a reason to maybe like Alabama in the game. [57:45] A point spread is basically a coin flip. [57:47] I understand people that would like Alabama. [57:49] I go back to the season opener where Georgia stuffed Clemson in a locker, [57:56] like a five-star, like a swirly for Clemson in that game from Georgia. [58:02] Fast forward now a couple weeks, end of September, Clemson's kind of the team du jour. [58:06] offense looks unstoppable, [58:08] destroyed NC State last week. [58:11] Georgia made them look silly earlier this season. [58:14] And I know look-aheads are like, whatever, [58:16] you can't bet a lot of money into them, [58:18] but they can be a decent talking point [58:20] for conversation on a sports betting show. [58:22] And just as a frame of reference, [58:24] Georgia was gonna be more than a three-point favorite [58:26] in this game. [58:27] Now we sit Georgia minus one and a half. [58:29] I think Bama can win, obviously, like I said. [58:31] Betting market's a coin flip. [58:33] I think anything below three, [58:35] I'm going to like Georgia in the game. [58:37] Give me Kirby Smart. [58:38] Give me the Georgia Bulldogs. [58:40] And I expect Carson Beck to outplay Jalen Milrow on Saturday. [58:45] I like Georgia against Alabama in the game of the day, [58:48] game of the weekend, and the game of the early season in college football.”
ALA 41, UGA 34 — Alabama beat Georgia 41-34; Georgia's -7 margin fell short of the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[58:55] Notre Dame and Louisville. [58:57] I feel like we've bet on every Notre Dame game this season. [59:00] Mostly has gone well. [59:01] I bet A&M in week one. [59:03] That was a disaster. [59:04] I think Femi might be like the king of Notre Dame betting. [59:08] Curious what he likes in this game. [59:10] I look at this game. [59:11] Irish is 6.5 point favorite, 45.5 the total. [59:14] Unfortunately, Notre Dame is not laying like 30 and we can bet Louisville. [59:18] The fade Marcus Freeman as a big favorite. [59:19] Obviously, that would never be a spread. [59:21] People understand what I'm saying. [59:23] I think I love the Irish in this game. [59:26] I look at Louisville's win last week against Georgia Tech. [59:29] And if you actually look at the box score of this game, [59:31] Georgia Tech outplayed Louisville in the game. [59:34] The critical play of the game, a special teams touchdown by Louisville off a blocked kick. [59:38] I think we're getting the Irish slightly undervalued here under a touchdown. [59:42] I'm looking forward to betting on Marcus Freeman. [59:45] Not as a huge favorite. [59:46] I just need Notre Dame to win by seven. [59:48] Give me the Notre Dame fighting Irish laying the six and a half against Louisville.”
ND 31, LOU 24 — Notre Dame beat Louisville 31-24, a +7 margin that covered the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:00:04] Jake won't like this. [1:00:06] Penn State against Illinois. [1:00:07] Now, you know, I don't think P.J. Glasser is not on the show today, [1:00:10] but, man, you want to talk about narrative spots, [1:00:12] like Feliz Naritav in the past on the show? [1:00:15] Penn State's hosting Illinois. [1:00:17] We have two ranked teams. [1:00:18] Penn State's a 17-and-a-half-point favorite. [1:00:20] The sportsbooks, you know what they're doing? [1:00:23] they're begging you on their knees begging and pleading you to take the points lose by 17 you [1:00:31] still win right with illinois who beat nebraska last friday night in a game that seemingly [1:00:37] everyone watched you know what to do drew aller and penn state absolutely roll on that ass penn [1:00:44] state laying it against illinois and the last one when femi speaks your boy listens i was listening”
PSU 21, ILL 7 — Penn State beat Illinois 21-7, a +14 margin that fell short of the -17.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:00:52] a few days ago when we were talking [1:00:54] about LSU's defense. [1:00:56] I was listening a few days ago [1:00:58] when we were talking about [1:00:59] LSU's offense and Garrett [1:01:02] Nussmeyer. South Alabama's [1:01:04] offense, the South Alabama Jaguars [1:01:06] more potent than [1:01:08] the Jacksonville Jaguars. [1:01:09] Over 65 and a half with LSU [1:01:12] and South Alabama. [1:01:14] Just getting started here on a tremendous football”
LSU 42, USA 10 — LSU beat South Alabama 42-10, a combined 52 points, under the 65.5 total (ESPN box score).
“[2:21:34] Okay, Steelers and the Colts, no play for me on this game side or total. [2:21:38] If I had to bet the game, I actually think I would play the plus money on the money line with Indianapolis [2:21:43] and hope I get a better game from Anthony Richardson. [2:21:45] I think this is a fact-finding mission for me. [2:21:48] Is Anthony Richardson capable of playing well this season? [2:21:51] I don't know the answer, so I have to pass the game. [2:21:53] But I will say I'll give at least one prop out now for Sunday. [2:21:58] George Pickens yardage prop is 49 and a half. [2:22:00] At least it was. [2:22:01] I did like nine radio interviews and talked about this and all of them. [2:22:03] Maybe it's moved. [2:22:04] Alex, please look at that for me. [2:22:05] George Pickens receiving yards. [2:22:08] No way is this right for George Pickens. [2:22:11] He's awesome. [2:22:12] The Colts boundary cornerbacks are absolutely terrible. [2:22:15] DJ Moore and Roma Dunze both lit that ass up this weekend. [2:22:18] Love George Pickens. [2:22:20] Love George Pickens over 49 and a half receiving yards So that Steelers and Colts Broncos and Jets Jets a 7 point home favorite 39 No play here for me”
IND 27, PIT 24 — George Pickens caught 7 passes for 113 yards in the Steelers' 27-24 loss at the Colts, clearing the 49.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (George Pickens: 7 rec, 113 yards)
“[2:22:37] Eagles and the Bucs in Tampa. [2:22:39] Philly, a juiced 1.5. [2:22:41] Total here is 43. [2:22:43] Femi and I did a lot on this game yesterday. [2:22:44] We're on the same side. [2:22:46] Hashtag 3-2-1, touchdown, Tampa Bay. [2:22:48] Fire the cannons. [2:22:49] we like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers here. [2:22:51] No A.J. Brown, no Devontae Smith at Thursday's practice. [2:22:54] I think Tampa wins this game. [2:22:55] I think the game is set up for Tampa to win. [2:22:57] Bucs on the money line. [2:22:58] You currently get that at plus 110.”
TB 33, PHI 16 — Tampa Bay beat Philadelphia 33-16 on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:23:54] Commanders and the Cardinals. [2:23:56] Arizona, three and a half juiced way towards Washington. [2:23:59] Total 50 and a half. [2:24:00] I'll echo Drew Dinsic's sentiments from earlier this week [2:24:03] when he came on the show and talked about Washington being valuable at plus three and a half. [2:24:07] You have to lay some juice to bet Washington plus three and a half right now, [2:24:10] and you can do that if you want. [2:24:12] I'd prefer to lean into variance if we think the Commanders can win this game. [2:24:15] Just bet the Commanders on the money line. [2:24:17] plus 145, was plus 155 now, plus 145.”
ARI 14, WSH 42 — Washington beat Arizona 42-14 on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:24:21] Pats and the Niners, Patriots currently plus 10.5. [2:24:25] That's a bet for me. [2:24:26] New England more than 10. [2:24:28] And honestly, like, we can wait. [2:24:30] Kittle and Debo both practice again on Friday. [2:24:32] Maybe this goes to a full 10.5, maybe goes up to 11. [2:24:35] Not that, like, 11 matters, whatever. [2:24:37] But I'm in on the Patriots here off the mini-buy [2:24:39] to keep this game within shouting distance from San Francisco.”
SF 30, NE 13 — San Francisco beat New England 30-13; New England's -17 margin fell short of the +10.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:25:07] Bills and the Ravens Sunday night football. [2:25:09] Bills on the money line. [2:25:10] Femi and I will go oppo taco on this one. [2:25:12] I think Femi is the fake sharp here. [2:25:14] Sorry, buddy. [2:25:16] We'll see you Sunday. [2:25:18] Well, now we have to see you Sunday, jerk. [2:25:20] Now's the time to buy low on Baltimore. [2:25:22] Is it? [2:25:23] Maybe. [2:25:24] Bills plus 110 on the money line. [2:25:26] Yeah, for all the stock market stuff. [2:25:29] Bills for me on the money line plus 110.”
BAL 35, BUF 10 — Baltimore beat Buffalo 35-10; the Bills lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:29:26] And then on Tuesday, when we did the soccer takeaways from the weekend, [2:29:30] I told you that Rodri, Manchester City's best player, maybe the best player in the world, holding midfielder, torn ACL done for the season. [2:29:38] Manchester City also expected to be without Kevin De Bruyne tomorrow against Newcastle. [2:29:45] Newcastle, like not one of the like original big six teams in the Premier League. [2:29:50] Newcastle's really good. [2:29:51] They're going to finish in the top half of the table for maybe even finish top. [2:29:55] Top five, top five. [2:29:56] Newcastle here in this game, plus one, minus 115, [2:30:00] against the Rodri-less and possibly Kevin De Bruyne-less, [2:30:05] Citizens, Pep Guardiola and company at Manchester City. [2:30:09] And those are all my bets for this weekend in football and in football.”
NEW 1, MNC 1 — Manchester City and Newcastle drew 1-1; Newcastle's 0 goal margin plus the +1 spread covers (ESPN match report).
“Let's call it Cowboys 5. Dallas minus 5. Total in the game is 45. Are you betting this game at all, side and total? [2:54:47] I'm not betting side and total. The Viceroy will be back out there for a Thursday night football game, but side and total, I think we're actually just dead on right. [2:54:54] Like, when I thought about this game, I thought this should be in no man's land, and that's where we sit right now with the Cowboys as a five-point favorite.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas beat the Giants 20-15; New York's -5 margin pushes exactly against the +5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:55:26] fan. I think this is an opportunity for the Giants to take a step forward as a franchise [2:55:29] year three here under Brian Dable and Joe Shane. Giants plus the points, and I back that up with [2:55:35] a bet on the Giants to win this game on the money line. And to be fair, for as bullish as I might be [2:55:40] on the Giants tonight, the bet is more about being bearish on the Dallas Cowboys and not liking the [2:55:45] Cowboys. People will say, well, what if Dallas front runs gets a lead? I don't think Dallas is [2:55:49] good enough to do that. Just my personal opinion. So Giants plus the points, Giants to win the game. [2:55:55] And with that, the Prop Vicer is here, the Prop King is here.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas beat the Giants 20-15; the Giants lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:58:00] The number 70.5 receiving yards for the great Malik Nabers”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Malik Nabers caught 12 passes for 115 yards in the Giants' 20-15 loss to Dallas, clearing the 70.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Malik Nabers: 12 rec, 115 yards)
“[2:57:48] Tyrone Tracy Jr.. [2:57:49] More snaps every week. [2:57:53] Dallas hemorrhaging yards on the ground. [2:57:55] Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 11.5 rushing yards to go along with Malik Nabers”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for only 2 yards on 4 carries in the Giants' 20-15 loss to Dallas, under the 11.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Tyrone Tracy Jr.: 2 rushing yards)
“[2:58:06] Anytime touchdowns. [2:58:07] Hunter Hurst-Lepke, the game, plus 800 for the Dallas Cowboys. [2:58:11] Beer or pizza money. [2:58:12] Dallas is passing downs back last week. [2:58:15] Five, caught a wheel route from Dak Prescott. [2:58:17] Hunter Luepke, plus 800 anytime. [2:58:19] touchdowns and then a couple Giants at long odds. Let's play Tyrone Tracy Jr. at plus 550. And let's”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Dallas's only touchdowns in the 20-15 win over the Giants were two Dak Prescott passing scores; Hunter Luepke did not score (ESPN box score).
“Let's play Tyrone Tracy Jr. at plus 550.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — The Giants scored all 15 points via five Greg Joseph field goals in their 20-15 loss to Dallas; Tyrone Tracy Jr. did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score).
“And let's [2:58:26] also play tight end Theo Johnson plus 675.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — The Giants scored all 15 points via five Greg Joseph field goals in their 20-15 loss to Dallas; Theo Johnson did not score a touchdown (ESPN box score).
“[2:27:51] Like, bad news for the Yankees going into October, but Yankees on the money line.”
BAL 9, NYY 7 — Orioles beat Yankees 9-7, so the Yankees moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“[2:28:05] Giants first five plus 185 at BetMGM.”
San Francisco trailed Arizona 5-1 through five innings, so the Giants first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Diamondbacks 5, Giants 1)
“[2:28:12] Give me the Rays' first five, even money at Detroit with Chuck's brother,”
Tampa Bay trailed Detroit 3-1 through five innings, so the Rays first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Tigers 3, Rays 1)
“[2:28:58] I'm with Jake on this Padres Dodgers game tonight [2:29:02] we need champagne when you've got destiny [2:29:05] And you know who serves up home runs? [2:29:06] And when he serves them up, he serves them up in bunches. [2:29:09] That fraud, Jack Flaherty. [2:29:11] Two home runs served up in his last start. [2:29:14] Tonight, you know who's drinking some champagne last night? [2:29:16] You know who's ready to go today? [2:29:18] Fernando Tatis Jr.”
Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a solo home run off Jack Flaherty in the 5th inning against Los Angeles (ESPN box score). (Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1 HR)
“[2:40:45] Give me the Rams plus three and feel really good about it.”
CHI 24, LAR 18 — Bears beat Rams 24-18, so the Rams +3 spread lost outright (ESPN box score).
“[1:00:12] Commanders over 7.5 wins.”
Washington finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, clearing the over 7.5 wins line (NFL.com standings). (Commanders 2024 regular-season record: 12-5)
“[2:29:15] I'll take the Orioles' first five plus 120.”
Baltimore led New York 2-1 through five innings, so the Orioles first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Orioles 2, Yankees 1)
“[2:32:13] Braves, and I'll lay minus 145”
ATL 5, NYM 1 — Braves beat Mets 5-1, so the Braves moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[2:36:04] Love a good Fott sometimes. [2:36:06] Yeah, yeah. [2:36:08] Both of these pitchers have not been good. [2:36:10] Recent form has been bad. [2:36:11] Great playoff atmosphere. [2:36:13] Also, they stink. [2:36:14] First five over four with the Snakes. [2:36:16] It's the truth. [2:36:17] Numbers say it. [2:36:18] Fangraph says it. [2:36:19] First five over four with the D-backs and the Giants.”
San Francisco led Arizona 10-0 through five innings, clearing the first-five over 4 (ESPN box score). (After 5 innings: Giants 10, Diamondbacks 0 (10 total))
“[2:39:51] that padres price to win the nl west okay here's how you know like okay i like i bet the padres also”
SD 4, LAD 2 — Padres beat Dodgers 4-2, so the Padres moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[2:31:37] But right now, I have a futures bet for people in the English Premier League [2:31:42] in this edition, guys, of Nicky Football. [2:31:45] Are you ready? [2:31:47] Nick travels around the world to find you a soccer winner. [2:31:50] It's time for Nicky Football Soccer Bets here on You Better You Bet. [2:31:55] Goal! [2:31:59] Oh, yeah. [2:32:01] You know, the vibes of the song are really good. [2:32:03] The bets, unfortunately, this weekend, not so great. [2:32:05] Chelsea did win. [2:32:07] Tough luck loser on the under in Tottenham and Brentford. [2:32:11] And then no real chance on the under in Arsenal City. [2:32:14] But still, we can groove. [2:32:33] Femi loves him a good futures bet. [2:32:34] Ready for this one, buddy? [2:32:37] Oh, yeah. [2:32:37] Feel pretty good about this. [2:32:38] So Manchester City, and in case you missed this, I see why am I? [2:32:43] You probably did because, you know, NFL games were about to start. [2:32:46] Manchester City and Arsenal played yesterday at the Etihad, which is where Man City play. [2:32:49] Man City have won the Premier League the last, like, 19 seasons, exaggerating by a little bit. [2:32:54] Arsenal have finished second the last two seasons. [2:32:56] So this is a huge early season game. [2:32:59] City are trailing 2-1. [2:33:01] Arsenal get a red card before right at the stroke of halftime. [2:33:05] Have to play the entire second half of man down. [2:33:07] Defend like hell the entire second half. [2:33:10] And Man City in the 98th minute, like the 90th minute plus eight minutes of extra time, [2:33:15] John Stones equalizes final score City 2, Arsenal 2. [2:33:19] So you might come out of that and think, wow, like City really pulled it out of the fire. [2:33:23] They're the title favorites. [2:33:24] You got to feel good about them. [2:33:27] Maybe not. [2:33:27] Rodri [2:33:29] who people don't know [2:33:31] because Erling Haaland's on Man City [2:33:32] and he's the guy that scores all the goals [2:33:34] Rodri is actually probably right now [2:33:36] the best soccer player in the world [2:33:38] one of the favorites to win the Ballon d'Or [2:33:40] he won player of the tournament [2:33:42] in Euro 2024 for Spain [2:33:44] he is the best holding midfielder in the world [2:33:46] and the stats all bear this out [2:33:48] Rodri is a tremendous player [2:33:49] got hurt yesterday during the game [2:33:51] all the reports that came out prior to the show [2:33:54] hitting the air today [2:33:55] torn ACL for Rodri [2:33:57] could obviously miss an extended period of time. [2:34:00] Since Rodri joined Manchester City, [2:34:02] they have lost one-third of their league games [2:34:05] in the Premier League without him, [2:34:06] which is a lot when you consider, like, [2:34:08] Man City has been the best team in the Premier League for a long time. [2:34:11] Now, he didn't play in the first three games this season. [2:34:14] Two of those games were against Minnows, [2:34:16] and one was against Chelsea in the opener. [2:34:18] Chelsea's a good team, but I watched that game. [2:34:20] I'm a Chelsea fan, I'm telling you. [2:34:21] I'm not saying Chelsea should have won. [2:34:22] They should have scored multiple times in that game, [2:34:25] like, could not finish in front of the net. [2:34:27] and we now have one Arsenal-City game in the books, [2:34:31] and these are the two best teams, [2:34:32] and they drew at Man City. [2:34:35] So they'll play again at the Emirates, [2:34:37] where Arsenal play, [2:34:39] and Arsenal are going to have the advantage here. [2:34:41] They are both right now plus 138 [2:34:44] to win the Premier League, [2:34:45] identical price for both Manchester City and Arsenal. [2:34:49] I think Arsenal's the best team. [2:34:51] I would bet Arsenal way before I bet Man City. [2:34:53] Man City's without its best player now in Rodri, [2:34:56] and Arsenal get City at home later this season. [2:34:59] I think this is the year where Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta, [2:35:03] who played at Arsenal but then coached under Pep Guardiola at Manchester City, [2:35:07] I think this is the year that the student finally bests the teacher, [2:35:11] bests the master, and the Gunners win the Premier League for the first time [2:35:15] since Arsene Wenger was in charge a long, long time ago.”
Liverpool clinched the 2024-25 Premier League title, not Arsenal, so this futures bet lost. (2024-25 Premier League champion: Liverpool)
“[2:53:20] So Jaguars plus four, and give me the Jaguars on the money line also.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Bills beat Jaguars 47-10; Jacksonville's -37 margin busts +4.
“[2:53:20] So Jaguars plus four, and give me the Jaguars on the money line also.”
BUF 47, JAX 10 — Bills beat Jaguars 47-10; Jacksonville's moneyline busts.
“[2:56:59] I think he hits 60 Terry McLaurin over 50.5 receiving yards for the Washington Commanders.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Terry McLaurin caught passes for 100 receiving yards against Cincinnati, clearing over 50.5. (Terry McLaurin: 100 receiving yards)
“[2:57:16] Tank Bigsby anytime touchdown for the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Tank Bigsby did not score a touchdown against Buffalo. (Tank Bigsby: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:57:20] Ty Johnson anytime touchdown for the Buffalo Bills.”
Ty Johnson caught a touchdown pass against Jacksonville. (Ty Johnson: 1 receiving touchdown)
“[2:57:33] Erick All to score a touchdown tonight for the Cincinnati Bengals with Tanner Hudson out for the Bengals.”
Erick All Jr. recorded 22 receiving yards but did not score a touchdown against Washington. (Erick All Jr.: 0 touchdowns)
- Atlanta Braves lost
- Philadelphia Phillies won
“[1:57:41] know if you agree with me on this if you would want to pair these two together but the Braves [1:57:45] tonight are a huge favorite on the road at the Marlins now if you wanted to like the Mets misery [1:57:49] parlay you would parlay the Braves along with the Phillies and I think that that's what I'd like to [1:57:54] do tonight because we're really going to lean into fading the Mets here I think we have to bet the [1:57:58] Braves also even with my fellow paisan Vincente Palazzo on the mound for the fish I will two team [1:58:05] parlay the Braves and the Marlins tonight in Major League Baseball my side bet in MLB okay”
MIA 4, ATL 3; NYM 2, PHI 12 — Braves lost 4-3 to Miami while Phillies beat the Mets 12-2, so this Braves/Phillies moneyline parlay busts on the Braves leg.
“[2:08:12] The fade Mario Cristobal spot. [2:08:14] Miami stock so high. [2:08:15] Cam Ward's the Heisman Trophy favorite. [2:08:17] It feels like even if Miami doesn't lose the game, [2:08:20] I feel like USF can keep this game a little close. [2:08:22] USF plus the 17, and then I will steal a Tyler Morales take from earlier this week,”
USF 15, MIA 50 — Miami beat South Florida 50-15; USF's -35 margin busts +17.
“[2:08:27] but I like it as well. [2:08:28] Totals come way down. [2:08:29] I still like the under. [2:08:31] Colorado and Baylor under the number, which I believe is about 51.5 right now. [2:08:35] So under with Colorado, Baylor. [2:08:38] All right. [2:08:38] You better you bet on this Friday. [2:08:40] In the bettacular college football bets for this weekend,”
COLO 38, BAY 31 — Colorado beat Baylor 38-31 in OT; the combined 69 points busts under 51.5.
“[2:24:05] So give me the six and a half with New York in this spot against the Cleveland Browns.”
CLE 15, NYG 21 — Giants beat Browns 21-15; New York's +6 margin covers +6.5.
“[2:29:04] But give me C.J. Stroud and the Texans to win a close one coming up on the road in Minnesota this Sunday. [2:29:09] Okay, we'll take a quick break.”
MIN 34, HOU 7 — Vikings beat Texans 34-7; Houston's moneyline busts.
“[2:30:28] I do have a bet on the Ravens in this game.”
DAL 25, BAL 28 — Ravens beat Cowboys 28-25; Baltimore's moneyline covers.
“[59:42] I don't know if they're going to dominate the game, but USC, five and a half, [59:46] if that's the number. [59:47] Listen, everyone loves a good orgy, but not Alex this Saturday in the big house. [59:51] I think he's terrible, and so is Davis Warren. [59:54] Give me USC.”
MICH 27, USC 24 — Michigan beat USC 27-24 (ESPN), a 3-point margin that covers USC +5.5.
“[2:54:19] Patriots plus the six points.”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — The Jets beat the Patriots 24-3 (ESPN), a 21-point margin that busts New England +6.
“[2:57:28] Mike Williams anytime touchdown.”
Mike Williams caught 3 passes for 34 yards with no touchdown against the Jets (ESPN box score). (Mike Williams: 0 touchdowns (3 receptions, 34 yards))
“[2:57:30] Hunter Hearst Henry, the game, plus 450 anytime touchdown.”
Hunter Henry caught 2 passes for 9 yards with no touchdown against the Jets (ESPN box score). (Hunter Henry: 0 touchdowns (2 receptions, 9 yards))
“[2:57:47] K.J. Osborn, anytime touchdown.”
K.J. Osborn did not record a catch or a touchdown against the Jets (ESPN box score). (K.J. Osborn: 0 touchdowns (no receptions recorded))
“[2:57:49] And let's run it back. [2:57:50] If, like Femi does, if you're out there listening, watching the show, [2:57:54] and you think the Jets win this game and win it by margin, [2:57:57] I think we will see Braelon Allen, the rookie out of Wisconsin, [2:58:00] like he did last week at 20-1. [2:58:01] The books have gotten smart. [2:58:03] Braelon Allen, 11-1, last touchdown of the game, [2:58:06] if you like the Jets in this game tonight, to win and win by margin.”
Garrett Wilson, not Braelon Allen, scored the game's final touchdown in the Jets' 24-3 win (ESPN box score). (Final touchdown scorer: Garrett Wilson (Jets))
“[2:25:14] I will be betting the Phillies in tonight's game even with Tywon Walker on the mound [2:25:18] for Philadelphia I like Femi's look it's a bet I'm in on the Mets to miss the playoffs and the”
NYM 10, PHI 6 — The Mets beat the Phillies 10-6 (ESPN), so the Philadelphia moneyline busts.
“[2:41:13] Schwarbomb, Kyle Schwarber Homer for tonight.”
Kyle Schwarber went 1-for-5 with no home runs against the Phillies (ESPN box score). (Kyle Schwarber: 1-for-5, 0 home runs)
“[2:44:35] Give me Chelsea to win on the road at West Ham,”
WHU 0, CHE 3 — Chelsea beat West Ham 3-0 on the road (ESPN), so the Chelsea moneyline wins.
“[2:45:01] under 2.5 with City and Arsenal.”
MNC 2, ARS 2 — Manchester City drew Arsenal 2-2 (ESPN), a combined 4 goals that busts the under 2.5 total.
“[2:45:17] But let's play under three with Tottenham and Brentford.”
TOT 3, BRE 1 — Tottenham beat Brentford 3-1 (ESPN), a combined 4 goals that busts the under 3 total.
“[1:14:04] Sammy, I talked about this earlier in the week. [1:14:06] I took the three and a half with Atlanta. [1:14:07] I just have concerns right now that Kansas City's offense might look like it did last year, [1:14:14] where they struggle at least now to win games by margin. [1:14:19] I do agree with you. [1:14:20] No way in hell would I take three with the Falcons. [1:14:23] That would have to be three and a half I think if you out there agree with me and you want to bet the Atlanta Falcons And last one for now we touched Monday Night Football the first of the doubleheader with the Bills and the Jaguars”
ATL 17, KC 22 — Kansas City beat Atlanta 22-17 (ESPN), a 5-point margin that busts Atlanta +3.5.
“[1:15:55] And look, like I said earlier in the week, I like the Commanders plus seven and a half in this game. [1:16:00] It's kind of similar to the Atlanta, Kansas City game where I'm getting movement doesn't mean I'm going to win. [1:16:06] Getting some movement in my it's Thursday. [1:16:07] Who the hell knows what's going to happen? [1:16:09] Getting some movement in my favor. [1:16:11] If you agree with me and you like the dogs in those games, Atlanta and Washington, get three and a half and get seven and a half. [1:16:18] Like not three and seven.”
CIN 33, WSH 38 — Washington beat Cincinnati 38-33 (ESPN), a 5-point margin that covers Washington +7.5.
“[2:08:04] Foster, Australian for adding money to your bank account when you bet against him. [2:08:07] A 23 and a half, like easy bet on Femi, your guy. [2:08:11] Garrett Nussmeyer and LSU in this game.”
LSU 34, UCLA 17 — LSU beat UCLA 34-17 (ESPN), a 17-point margin that busts LSU -23.5.
“[2:13:40] And, of course, you have brains, which we do. [2:13:43] We'll be taking 28 points against Marcus Freeman, Miami, Ohio. [2:13:47] 100%.”
ND 28, M-OH 3 — Notre Dame beat Miami (Ohio) 28-3 (ESPN), a 25-point margin that covers Miami (Ohio) +28.
“[2:24:59] And the Mets at plus 225 to miss is an interesting look, [2:25:02] given the fact that they're going to go up against a couple of studs on the pitching on the mound. [2:25:06] And then also the schedule just in general is really difficult. [2:25:08] and uh and by the way Mets start a series tonight at Citi Field against the Philadelphia Phillies [2:25:14] I will be betting the Phillies in tonight's game even with Tywon Walker on the mound [2:25:18] for Philadelphia I like Femi's look it's a bet I'm in on the Mets to miss the playoffs and the [2:25:23] Atlanta Braves conversely to make the playoffs uh hashtag that's so Mets hashtag OMG okay uh Tyler”
The Mets qualified for the 2024 postseason as the NL's sixth seed at 89-73 (Wikipedia), so the bet on them to miss the playoffs busts. (New York Mets: 2024 NL Wild Card qualifier (89-73))
“[2:24:56] Like, I think Atlanta actually gets into the postseason.”
The Braves qualified for the 2024 postseason as the NL's fifth seed at 89-73 (Wikipedia). (Atlanta Braves: 2024 NL Wild Card qualifier (89-73))
“[2:26:50] run line i will quickly give my bet just side and total bet for tonight i'll bet blue jays first five [2:26:55] with my guy bowden francis starting on the road at the rangers this will dovetail in with my home [2:26:59] run bet blue jays first five minus 115 on the road at texas femi any side bets for you in baseball”
Toronto and Texas were scoreless through five innings (ESPN box score); Texas's runs came in the 6th, so the first-five moneyline pushes. (After 5 innings: TOR 0, TEX 0)
“[2:29:14] Captain Kirk to home run tonight”
Alejandro Kirk went 1-for-4 with no home runs against the Rangers (ESPN box score). (Alejandro Kirk: 1-for-4, 0 home runs)
“[52:12] Pick the winner of the game. [52:15] I don't think we need to make it any more complicated than that. [52:18] Give me Shane Steichen and the Indianapolis Colts to win and cover Sunday coming up against the Chicago Bears.”
IND 21, CHI 16 — Indianapolis beat Chicago 21-16 (ESPN), so the Colts moneyline wins.
“[55:10] pick the winner of the game. [55:12] You get Justin Fields. [55:14] I get Justin Herbert. [55:18] You get Justin Fields. [55:20] I get Justin Herbert. [55:23] I mean, is this even a question for people? [55:26] Is this even a question? [55:27] Give me the Bolts, the Chargers.”
PIT 20, LAC 10 — Pittsburgh beat the Chargers 20-10 (ESPN), so the Los Angeles moneyline busts.
“[2:22:36] Since they've done it multiple games in a row and he's getting asked about it. [2:22:40] So the bet for tomorrow, we'll make this an exotic. [2:22:43] Manchester City, first half, even money plus 100. [2:22:48] So at the end of the first half, Manchester City to be winning the game against Inter Milan plus 100. [2:22:53] I tried to do like Inter Milan under goals in the first half, but you have to lay like minus like 9 million to do it. [2:22:58] So, Man City, plus 100 to be winning at the end of the first half tomorrow against Inter Milan. [2:23:04] And that'll be Nicky Football's soccer play for Wednesday on the pitch.”
Manchester City and Inter Milan finished 0-0, so Manchester City was not winning at halftime. (Final: Manchester City 0, Inter Milan 0)
“[2:35:38] We can move on. [2:35:38] I'll give my baseball bets for tonight. [2:35:40] Now, then we'll do the home run parlay. [2:35:42] Obviously, Yankees Mariners first five under. [2:35:44] Duh. [2:35:44] We're feeding generations of Kostos kids with the Yankees first five unders. [2:35:49] A couple of their first five bets, all totals tonight. [2:35:53] What like in like the first Austin Powers movie with Basil What like his line to Like something Basil yeah I don know what it is Anyway whenever I see Shane Baz name written down that what I think [2:36:05] It's like, it's Basil from Austin Powers. [2:36:08] So give me, because Baz, Basil has been good. [2:36:11] And Nick Pavetta, great first name. [2:36:13] Has also been on a tear for the Boston Red Sox. [2:36:16] First five under four with the Red Sox in the race. [2:36:19] First five under four. [2:36:20] And then give me, and I think Femi, you like the Guardians tonight”
Boston and Tampa Bay combined for seven runs through five innings, over the first-five under 4. (After 5 innings: Red Sox 2, Rays 5 (7 runs))
“[2:36:20] And then give me, and I think Femi, you like the Guardians tonight [2:36:23] against the twins with Zebi starting from Minnesota. [2:36:28] Gavin Williams has also like not been great. [2:36:30] Basil Exposition was his name. [2:36:32] It's my premise. [2:36:33] I saw that movie for the first time, not in theaters, but at home, [2:36:36] and laughed so hard. [2:36:38] I actually remember like being on the carpet on the grounds [2:36:41] in like the living room, our old house on Long Island, [2:36:43] like dying laughing watching that movie. [2:36:45] The first one was really great. [2:36:47] Give me first five over four and a half [2:36:50] because I think the guards can hit Zebi. [2:36:52] And Gavin Williams is not exactly like the second coming of Charles Nagy for the Cleveland Guardians. [2:36:58] So first five over four and a half, Twins guards. [2:37:01] First five under four, Red Sox raise.”
Minnesota and Cleveland combined for three runs through five innings, staying under the first-five over 4.5. (After 5 innings: Twins 2, Guardians 1 (3 runs))
“[2:38:55] Christian Walker, Kyle Schwarberg, Connor Norby. [2:38:59] And how about Lane Thomas? [2:39:03] In the stuffing out of the baseball. [2:39:06] Rob's brother. [2:39:09] Zebby. [2:39:10] Serving him up. [2:39:12] Big time for Lane Thomas. [2:39:15] What's like a Rob Thomas song? [2:39:18] To the one with Santana? [2:39:19] I'm entering him in Santana, dude. [2:39:21] Come on. [2:39:21] So, Jake, so what's the song for Lane Thomas tonight? [2:39:25] I mean, it has to be a hot one. [2:39:27] You've got the kind of homer that could be so smooth, yeah. [2:39:30] Hit the ball out of the park and then we cast this bet, yeah. [2:39:34] Okay. [2:39:35] Christian Walker, Kyle Schwarber, Connor Norby Williamson, and Rob Thomas, [2:39:40] a.k.a. Lane Thomas. [2:39:42] The home run parlay for tonight, 755 to 1.”
Lane Thomas hit a 4th-inning solo home run against Minnesota. (Lane Thomas: 1 home run)
“[2:40:51] And I like the Pirates' first five, minus a half, minus 105 at the Cardinals.”
Pittsburgh trailed St. Louis 0-1 through five innings, so Pirates -0.5 first five lost. (After 5 innings: STL 1, PIT 0)
“[2:12:53] By the way, I bet Seiya Suzuki to hit home run tonight,”
Seiya Suzuki went 3-for-5 with three singles and no home runs against Oakland. (Seiya Suzuki: 3-for-5, 0 home runs)
“[1:28:43] They're seven and a half on the road at Brent Venables in Oklahoma in Oklahoma's first ever game in the SEC. [1:28:51] Seven and a half. [1:28:53] I feel like we have hashtag gone too far. [1:28:57] We've gone too far with Nico in Tennessee. [1:28:59] I'm not saying Oklahoma's going to win the game, but you give Brent Venables a week to prepare here. [1:29:04] I just lose by a touchdown and I win my bet. [1:29:06] Boomer sooner. [1:29:07] Give me Oklahoma plus. [1:29:09] Seven and a half against Nico in Tennessee coming up on Saturday in Norman.”
TENN 25-OU 15 — Tennessee beat Oklahoma 25-15 outright; Oklahoma Sooners +7.5 (losing by 10) busts.
“[1:54:32] I did like Femi, and our audience, you, should be, unless you're really new, welcome, [1:54:37] should be trained at this point that you see that news go out there [1:54:39] and take seven with Carolina. [1:54:40] I was able to do that.”
CAR 36-LV 22 — Panthers beat Raiders 36-22; Carolina Panthers +7 (winning outright) covers.
“[1:56:19] Yeah, maybe, I don't know. [1:56:20] I would say we've been doing the show for too long, [1:56:21] that, like, we have the same opinions, but that's not even true. [1:56:24] I agree. [1:56:25] I thought six and a half was a wild number in this game, took it with Miami. [1:56:28] I kind of alluded to that, by the way, on Friday.”
SEA 24-MIA 3 — Seahawks beat Dolphins 24-3; Miami Dolphins +6.5 (losing by 21) busts.
“[2:34:24] So let's play tomorrow under 2.5. [2:34:27] Under 2.5 with Juve and PSV in the Champions League.”
JUV 3-PSV 1 — Juventus beat PSV 3-1, four combined goals, over the under 2.5 total.
“[2:56:58] Let's do a bet square, don't care. [2:57:01] After what we saw the Eagles' run defense look like last week, [2:57:03] B. John's awesome. [2:57:04] Tyler Algier might be more involved. [2:57:06] You can play Tyler Algier anytime touchdown if you want. [2:57:08] B. John Robinson, I'll stand with my guy, big ticket show. [2:57:11] B. John, over 64.5 rushing yards and one touchdown prop.”
ATL 22-PHI 21 — Bijan Robinson rushed for 97 yards against Philadelphia, clearing the 64.5 line. (Bijan Robinson: 97 rushing yards)
“[2:57:16] If the Eagles are going to win by margin tonight, [2:57:18] if the Eagles are going to win by margin tonight, [2:57:21] we are going to see either Kenny Gainwell or Will Shipley be the running back [2:57:25] at the end of the game, not Saquon Barkley. [2:57:29] This Will Shipley last touchdown price looking pretty, pretty juicy. [2:57:32] So heat check for the prop king after hitting with Braylon Allen yesterday. [2:57:36] If you like the Eagles in the game, Will Shipley to score the last touchdown. [2:57:42] Will Shipley to score the last touchdown.”
Drake London caught the game's final touchdown, a 7-yard score with 34 seconds left, not Will Shipley. (Final touchdown scorer: Drake London (7-yard TD catch))
“[2:15:30] For me, I'm going to keep riding this train here on these Yankees' first five unders. [2:15:34] Clark Schmidt and Tanner Hawk tonight. [2:15:36] Yankees and Red Sox' first five under four and a half is, I'll tell you, [2:15:39] Baseball has been very, very good to me. [2:15:41] It's been awesome. [2:15:42] And for my home run prop for tonight, I promise this is the last time I'm taking this. [2:15:46] He's so due at this point. [2:15:48] Like, they're just going to schedule him for a C-section. [2:15:51] We're way late at this point for an Aaron Judge home run. [2:15:54] It's been like 20 straight games or something, only exaggerating by a little. [2:15:58] Tonight is the night that Aaron Judge goes yard. [2:16:00] Now, you might be saying, how's Aaron Judge going to go yard and the first five is going to go under? [2:16:04] Because I don't have faith in the rest of the Yankees lineup. [2:16:06] And I don't have faith in the Red Sox lineup either. [2:16:08] And they're going to play tight games the rest of the season. [2:16:10] Judge Homer, first five under, four and a half.”
Red Sox 0, Yankees 0 (through 5 innings) — Boston and New York were scoreless through five innings (0-0), staying under 4.5 (ESPN box score linescore).
“[2:15:42] And for my home run prop for tonight, I promise this is the last time I'm taking this. [2:15:46] He's so due at this point. [2:15:48] Like, they're just going to schedule him for a C-section. [2:15:51] We're way late at this point for an Aaron Judge home run. [2:15:54] It's been like 20 straight games or something, only exaggerating by a little. [2:15:58] Tonight is the night that Aaron Judge goes yard. [2:16:00] Now, you might be saying, how's Aaron Judge going to go yard and the first five is going to go under? [2:16:04] Because I don't have faith in the rest of the Yankees lineup. [2:16:06] And I don't have faith in the Red Sox lineup either. [2:16:08] And they're going to play tight games the rest of the season. [2:16:10] Judge Homer, first five under, four and a half. [2:16:13] My baseball bets for tonight to go along with Femi and friends.”
Yankees 5, Red Sox 4 — Aaron Judge hit a 7th-inning grand slam against Boston (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 1 home run)
“[2:09:40] But would you believe me if I told you that before Sam Paniatovic talked about Indiana and Tyler talked about Indiana, [2:09:46] I had identified Indiana as a bet for this weekend. [2:09:50] You shouldn't believe it. [2:09:51] I'm lying. [2:09:51] But I think the handicap makes a ton of sense. [2:09:53] I will also lay the three with the Hoosiers at UCLA. [2:09:57] I will take four with Florida.”
Indiana 42, UCLA 13 — Indiana beat UCLA 42-13; the Hoosiers (-3) won by 29, covering the spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:09:57] I will take four with Florida. [2:09:59] Everyone's down on Florida. [2:10:00] Now the time's by. [2:10:02] Mike Elko, terrible for Texas A&M. [2:10:04] Florida plus four home dog against Texas A&M. [2:10:07] I took BC earlier in the week at 17, 14 and a half.”
Texas A&M 33, Florida 20 — Texas A&M beat Florida 33-20; the Gators (+4) lost by 13, missing the cover (ESPN box score).
“[1:45:54] I think it's going to create [1:45:55] and I'm just going to see [1:45:56] what we have right now here [1:45:57] we'll bring Sam on the show [1:45:58] in a second [1:45:59] just in the anytime [1:46:00] touchdown market [1:46:01] for the Niners [1:46:02] and the Vikings [1:46:03] I think this is going to be [1:46:03] a great market [1:46:04] with San Francisco [1:46:05] running backs here [1:46:05] moving forward [1:46:06] yeah the market's down [1:46:08] but I think [1:46:09] I'll just tell everyone [1:46:10] right now [1:46:10] we'll have Garendo [1:46:11] and Patrick Taylor Jr. [1:46:12] anytime touchdowns [1:46:13] for San Francisco [1:46:14] on Sunday [1:46:14] on the road [1:46:15] in Minnesota”
Vikings 23, 49ers 17 — Isaac Guerendo did not score a touchdown; San Francisco's touchdowns went to George Kittle and Jordan Mason (ESPN box score). (Isaac Guerendo: 0 touchdowns)
“[1:45:54] I think it's going to create [1:45:55] and I'm just going to see [1:45:56] what we have right now here [1:45:57] we'll bring Sam on the show [1:45:58] in a second [1:45:59] just in the anytime [1:46:00] touchdown market [1:46:01] for the Niners [1:46:02] and the Vikings [1:46:03] I think this is going to be [1:46:03] a great market [1:46:04] with San Francisco [1:46:05] running backs here [1:46:05] moving forward [1:46:06] yeah the market's down [1:46:08] but I think [1:46:09] I'll just tell everyone [1:46:10] right now [1:46:10] we'll have Garendo [1:46:11] and Patrick Taylor Jr. [1:46:12] anytime touchdowns [1:46:13] for San Francisco [1:46:14] on Sunday [1:46:14] on the road [1:46:15] in Minnesota”
Vikings 23, 49ers 17 — Patrick Taylor Jr. did not record a touchdown; San Francisco's touchdowns went to George Kittle and Jordan Mason (ESPN box score). (Patrick Taylor Jr.: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:18:23] Tyler, you in on the Lions? [2:18:26] Yeah, I mean, why risk it with the Giants? [2:18:28] Like, we're getting cute in like in week two. [2:18:30] I feel like we got cute last week, and we happened to win easy. [2:18:33] So let's take the Lions. [2:18:34] You know what? [2:18:36] Yeah, I'm not going to say what I'm going to say. [2:18:37] Let's take the Lions. [2:18:37] I don't want to jinx anything. [2:18:38] All right, so we will restore the roar, and hopefully we fired the cannons last week, [2:18:42] and hopefully we sink the battleship. [2:18:44] We sink the pirate ship with Detroit this week. [2:18:46] Detroit, the official You Better You Bet survivor play for week number two at home [2:18:50] against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”
Buccaneers 20, Lions 16 — Tampa Bay beat Detroit 20-16, so the Lions survivor pick lost (ESPN box score).
“[2:27:18] Yeah, I I'll lay five and a half with the Chargers. [2:27:20] If we get I'll see where the line goes. [2:27:22] I don't want to lay six, but there's no number where I bet Carolina in this game. [2:27:26] I think the Chargers offensive line is going to dominate Carolina. [2:27:30] I think the Chargers defensive line is going to dominate Carolina. [2:27:34] I'll be the square here. [2:27:35] I think Carolina, and I was on Carolina last week. [2:27:39] Last week, Carolina was like the fake sharp side. [2:27:41] I got got by Carolina. [2:27:44] This week, I will not get got. [2:27:46] I'm doing the gotting. [2:27:47] Does that make sense? [2:27:48] Give me the Chargers here. [2:27:49] I will lay the points with the Chargers on the road in Carolina.”
Chargers 26, Panthers 3 — Los Angeles beat Carolina 26-3; the Chargers (-5.5) won by 23, covering the spread (ESPN box score).
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
“[2:35:13] I'll give you a bad mathematical teaser that I like for this week. [2:35:18] I would absolutely, absolutely tease this game. [2:35:22] Tease Detroit down to one and a half, and I would pair them with the Texans to win. [2:35:27] Texans minus a half on Sunday Night Football. [2:35:29] Again, not a great mathematical teaser, but that's a teaser that I'll probably replace. [2:35:32] Lions and Texans, oh my, coming up this weekend.”
Detroit lost 20-16 to Tampa Bay, so the Lions -1.5 teased leg lost and the two-team teaser lost (Houston did cover its -0.5 teased leg, beating Chicago 19-13, but both legs are required) (ESPN box scores). (Buccaneers 20, Lions 16; Texans 19, Bears 13)
“[2:37:07] All right. [2:37:07] So you don't know who's going to win. [2:37:09] I do. [2:37:10] The team that doesn't have Malik Willis playing for them. [2:37:13] I think where I've done playing this game is I'm going to bet the cheapest Colts money line. [2:37:19] And I'll be the huge square with a Colts money line ticket, like a big Colts money line ticket. [2:37:23] I think the Colts win this game. [2:37:25] Um, yeah, like, listen, you can be as square as you want. [2:37:28] Also, like, I'd like to win money, and I'd like to bet against Malik Willis to win a football game to do that. [2:37:32] With a well-coached team on the—it's not like Shane Steichen's a dummy. [2:37:37] Colts are going to win the game, and if this goes down to, like, two and a half or two, minus 110, [2:37:42] I'll back up my money line bet, and I'll lay the Colts also.”
Packers 16, Colts 10 — Green Bay beat Indianapolis 16-10, so the Colts moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“[2:43:21] I going to have like a little like off the wall play Not an off the wall play but it something you probably not expecting I was reading about the Patriots and their game plan against Cincinnati earlier this week and just like a bunch of NFL content [2:43:32] And it seems like the purveying thought after one week of NFL football [2:43:36] this season is that maybe we've reached a point where defenses [2:43:42] have caught up to offenses, and where like the real innovation now [2:43:47] with coaching in the NFL is on the defensive side of the ball, [2:43:50] and that for the first time in 20 years, [2:43:53] since Bill Belichick was the coach, [2:43:54] is not a knock on Belichick. [2:43:55] Greatest coach ever, greatest DC ever. [2:43:57] The Patriots are running different stuff on defense [2:43:59] and they took a couple concepts from Mike McDonald [2:44:03] that he used last year with the Baltimore Ravens. [2:44:07] It's Mike McDonald against Jacoby Brissett [2:44:10] and there's a chance that like that Gerard Mayo [2:44:13] is an awesome defensive coach [2:44:15] against a Seahawks offense, [2:44:18] probably without Kenneth Walker [2:44:21] that failed to get JSN going last week [2:44:24] against the Denver Broncos. [2:44:27] Christian Gonzalez can stick on DK Metcalf. [2:44:30] I'm going to play the under in this game. [2:44:32] It's really low. [2:44:33] Maybe not low enough. [2:44:35] Give me the under coming up [2:44:36] with the Patriots and the Seahawks [2:44:37] under 38 and a half. [2:44:39] And I'm just checking the weather here.”
Patriots 20, Seahawks 23 — Seattle beat New England 23-20 in overtime (43 combined points), exceeding the 38.5 under (ESPN box score).
“[2:49:11] Colby Parkinson is plus 350.”
Cardinals 41, Rams 10 — Colby Parkinson did not score a touchdown; the Rams' only touchdown went to Kyren Williams (ESPN box score). (Colby Parkinson: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:49:31] Whittington got an end around down by the goal line, honestly.”
Cardinals 41, Rams 10 — Jordan Whittington did not score a touchdown; the Rams' only touchdown went to Kyren Williams (ESPN box score). (Jordan Whittington: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:49:17] Sean McVay has said that the reason [2:49:18] why Kyron Williams played so much [2:49:20] is because the offensive lineman went out [2:49:21] and he trusted Kyron. [2:49:23] Wants to get Blake Corum more involved. [2:49:25] Ronnie Rivers is plus 650. [2:49:27] And where is Coram even listed here? [2:49:30] And Coram is plus 850. [2:49:31] Whittington got an end around down by the goal line, honestly. [2:49:35] I was going to say. [2:49:36] Yeah, the Rams. [2:49:38] So Parkinson, Whittington, Rivers, Corum. [2:49:42] I like all as touchdown bets for beer or pizza money for the Rams this weekend.”
Cardinals 41, Rams 10 — Ronnie Rivers did not score a touchdown; the Rams' only touchdown went to Kyren Williams (ESPN box score). (Ronnie Rivers: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:49:23] Wants to get Blake Corum more involved. [2:49:25] Ronnie Rivers is plus 650. [2:49:27] And where is Coram even listed here? [2:49:30] And Coram is plus 850. [2:49:31] Whittington got an end around down by the goal line, honestly. [2:49:35] I was going to say. [2:49:36] Yeah, the Rams. [2:49:38] So Parkinson, Whittington, Rivers, Corum. [2:49:42] I like all as touchdown bets for beer or pizza money for the Rams this weekend.”
Cardinals 41, Rams 10 — Blake Corum did not score a touchdown; the Rams' only touchdown went to Kyren Williams (ESPN box score). (Blake Corum: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:32:14] So bet number one comes from the Chelsea Bournemouth game this weekend. [2:32:17] So Chelsea, a bit of an up and down start to the season. [2:32:19] Drew Crystal Palace before the international break won one. [2:32:23] And now taking on a Bournemouth team. [2:32:24] The last time we saw Bournemouth, in case people missed this, you probably did. [2:32:27] They played Everton before the international break. [2:32:29] We're down 2-0 in like the 89th minute and came back to win the game. [2:32:32] It was like the most the team's ever been down that late in the game in the history of the Premier League that came back to win. [2:32:38] So Bournemouth feeling good about itself heading into the international break. [2:32:41] But they're taking on a Chelsea team that is well rested. [2:32:44] And I think because I watched all three of their games from start to finish, they've got issues finishing in front of the net. [2:32:50] They've got issues in defense. [2:32:52] But they are always, always, always in attack. [2:32:55] And I think that Bournemouth is going to give up goals in bunches here. [2:32:58] So bet number one, we need to make sure just very quickly, we think Cole Palmer, [2:33:02] Cole Palmer, we think Cole Palmer is going to play in this game. [2:33:05] Let's make sure on Saturday morning, like when we get to starting 11, [2:33:09] that Cole Palmer is going to play. [2:33:10] If and when he's in the lineup, I'm expecting it. [2:33:12] Green light go, blue light go on Chelsea, the Blues, [2:33:17] plus 105 currently the price on Chelsea to win this game. [2:33:20] We might see Jadon Sancho make his debut at some point in this game”
Bournemouth 0, Chelsea 1 — Chelsea beat Bournemouth 1-0, so the Chelsea moneyline won (ESPN match report).
“[2:33:27] Best bet numero dos for Nicky Football this weekend in the Prem. [2:33:30] Let's go to the North London Derby with Arsenal and Tottenham. [2:33:33] DeBundo talked about this in the last segment. [2:33:35] Now, Anthony likes Tottenham a little bit. [2:33:36] I think it makes sense. [2:33:37] Arsenal dealing with injuries and suspensions. [2:33:39] They're amazing midfield. [2:33:41] Odegaard and Declan Rice are both going to be out for this game. [2:33:44] Gabriel Jesus out for this game for Arsenal. [2:33:47] And as a result, Mikel Arteta, the excellent Arsenal manager, [2:33:50] is going to have to shuffle his players, maybe play Kai Havertz, [2:33:53] normally the number nine, play Havertz in midfield, [2:33:56] which has a lot of people liking Tottenham in the game. [2:33:58] And I'm not here to tell you that I want to bet on Arsenal. [2:34:01] That's not what I'm saying. [2:34:02] But what I think we will see from a really smart tactical coach in Mikel Arteta, [2:34:06] knowing that he's not going to be able to put the usual firepower out there on the pitch against Tottenham, [2:34:11] Tottenham can get up and down and score some goals, [2:34:13] I think we're going to see Arsenal try and slow this game down, muddy the game up. [2:34:17] Under 3, Arsenal and Tottenham. [2:34:20] Under 3, minus 15, Arsenal and Tottenham. [2:34:23] And for best bet numero tres this weekend in soccer,”
Tottenham 0, Arsenal 1 — Arsenal beat Tottenham 1-0; the 1-goal total stayed under 3 (ESPN match report).
“[2:34:23] And for best bet numero tres this weekend in soccer, [2:34:26] Let's go with what DiBundo said about the Liverpool-Forest game. [2:34:29] He's right, by the way. [2:34:30] Arna Slott, since he came over as the Liverpool manager, replacing Jurgen Klopp. [2:34:33] Totals for Liverpool. [2:34:35] They still have the great attackers up front, led by Mo Salah, Diaz, and others. [2:34:38] That Liverpool totals look like they did when Klopp was the manager. [2:34:42] They're playing a different style now. [2:34:44] Haven't allowed, haven't conceded yet this season. [2:34:46] Have not allowed a goal in three games. [2:34:48] Let's go under three, three and a half with Liverpool and Forest. [2:34:51] So again, Chelsea to win against Bournemouth. [2:34:53] Under three, Arsenal and Tottenham. [2:34:55] and the under with Liverpool and Nottingham Forest. [2:34:57] Three bets to start the Premier League campaign from your boy, Nicky Football.”
Liverpool 0, Nottingham Forest 1 — Nottingham Forest beat Liverpool 1-0; the 1-goal total stayed under 3.5 (ESPN match report).
“[2:41:01] They played tonight. [2:41:03] I will play Yankees, Red Sox, first five, under five. [2:41:06] I think the Yankees are going to play a specific type of game [2:41:09] for the rest of the season where it's all going to come down to the wire. [2:41:13] I don't see the offense playing really well here. [2:41:16] And I think Nestor Cortez is going to come to pitch tonight. [2:41:18] And he's taken a lot of heat here locally in New York for his comments when he's pulled out of the rotation. [2:41:22] I think we get a good game from Nestor Cortez tonight. [2:41:25] I think this game is tight going into the later innings. [2:41:27] Who's going to win? I'm not sure. [2:41:28] But I don't think it's going to be a high-scoring game, especially not early. [2:41:32] So Yankees-Red Sox, first five, under five for me tonight in Major League Baseball.”
Red Sox 1, Yankees 1 (through 5 innings) — Boston and New York combined for 2 runs through five innings (1-1), staying under 5 (ESPN box score linescore).
“[2:43:51] All right? [2:43:51] Definitely. [2:43:52] uh, [2:43:53] something like his daddy. [2:43:53] Uh, [2:43:54] I'll go with, [2:43:54] uh, [2:43:54] with big, [2:43:55] uh, [2:43:56] for me tonight for the, [2:43:57] for the home run parlay, [2:43:58] it's been 15 games. [2:44:00] Someone slammed down the gavel. [2:44:02] It's time. [2:44:03] It's time. [2:44:04] And honestly, [2:44:05] I had way too much going on today. [2:44:06] There'd be a hashtag in the lab working on the home run parlay. [2:44:09] So let's go with the low hanging fruit. [2:44:10] The judge, [2:44:12] the future AL MVP, [2:44:14] Aaron judge. [2:44:14] Okay. [2:44:15] Matt Chapman, [2:44:16] Rafi Devers, [2:44:17] Jackson Chourio, [2:44:18] and Aaron judge, [2:44:19] the home run parlay for tonight,”
Aaron Judge did not homer; the game's home runs were hit by Gleyber Torres and Danny Jansen of the Yankees (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 0 home runs)
“[2:55:58] So Femi will bet on the Miami Dolphins. [2:56:00] I don't think we're going to see a three. [2:56:01] So I'll bet the bills plus 120 is currently the price on the money line. [2:56:05] Give me the bills to win the game tonight. [2:56:06] Talked about it to start the show. [2:56:08] Give me Buffalo.”
Bills 31, Dolphins 10 — Buffalo beat Miami 31-10, so the Bills moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[2:57:01] One yardage prop for the prop king tonight. [2:57:03] I think the Bills are going to run all over Miami's defense. [2:57:06] We saw Jacksonville run all over Miami's defense this past Sunday. [2:57:09] James Cook over 61.5 rushing yards. [2:57:13] James Cook over 61.5 rushing yards. [2:57:15] And let's take a couple long shot prices for anytime touchdowns like we did on Monday.”
James Cook rushed for 78 yards against Miami, clearing 61.5 (ESPN box score). (James Cook: 78 rushing yards)
“[2:57:20] Both hit. [2:57:21] So Ty Johnson is Buffalo's number two running back right now. [2:57:24] Ray Davis eventually will be. [2:57:26] But Ty Johnson is actually the number two. [2:57:28] Davis is priced like he's the two. [2:57:30] He's not. [2:57:31] So beer money on Ty Johnson. [2:57:32] Ty Dolla $1, 11 to 1, anytime touchdown. [2:57:35] And the Dolphins have a three tight end rotation.”
Ty Johnson did not score a touchdown against Miami (ESPN box score). (Ty Johnson: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:57:35] And the Dolphins have a three tight end rotation. [2:57:37] Julian Hill plays the most snaps. [2:57:39] Beer money on Julian Hill anytime touchdown. [2:57:42] Not big bets. [2:57:43] Ty Johnson, Julian Hill at huge prices. [2:57:45] James Cook over rushing yards.”
Julian Hill recorded no receptions and did not score a touchdown against Buffalo (ESPN box score). (Julian Hill: 0 touchdowns)
“[52:10] with a bet in each of them, courtesy of your boy, Nick Costos. [52:16] And let's start with my favorite team, the awful, the hideous New York football giants, [52:24] who currently are a one-and-a-half-point dog or one-point dog on the road at the Washington Commanders. [52:30] That's basically like pick the winner of the game, right? [52:32] Total of the game is 44. [52:34] And, you know, I killed the Giants on Monday. [52:36] They deserve to be killed, embarrassed by Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings this past Sunday. [52:40] Daniel Jones looked like he was splunking, like trying to skip a rock off a lake [52:44] with all the passes skipping at the feet of receivers. [52:47] Absolutely brutal. [52:48] Brian Dable was awful. [52:49] Hashtag Nozempic. [52:51] As the play caller, Giants is embarrassing as it gets in the opening of hashtag Giants 100. [52:57] But something that we have to consider here, for as bad as Daniel Jones was, and I am not a Daniel Jones apologist, I think he's terrible. [53:04] I think he needed to be replaced a while ago as Giants quarterback. [53:07] I do not think Daniel Jones is good. [53:10] I don't think he should continue as Giants starting quarterback. [53:12] But with that being said, there has to be a point in time where you have to consider betting on any quarterback in any team based on the price. [53:21] And Femi and I talked about this on Sunday night and the show on Monday. [53:25] Are we sure, for as bad as the Giants are, they're bad. [53:29] For as bad as Daniel Jones is, he's worse. [53:32] That the Giants should be underdogs on the road at the Washington Commanders. [53:38] I love me some Jaden Daniels. [53:41] I think Jaden Daniels is absolutely spectacular. [53:44] I think he's going to be a great NFL quarterback. [53:46] He's 50 times better than Daniel Jones. [53:48] But once you get past Jaden Daniels, this Washington Commanders roster, let's call it 2 through 53 once you get past 1, the quarterback position, leaves a lot to be desired. [54:00] And I actually think the Giants roster, 1 through 53, might be a lot better than Washington's. [54:07] And I don't think the Giants are very good. [54:09] The Commanders offensive line is one of the worst in the NFL. [54:13] The Commanders secondary on Sunday made Baker Mayfield look like Joe Montana. [54:18] And I like Baker Mayfield. [54:19] We had the Bucs in Survivor. [54:20] It was awesome. [54:21] But Baker Mayfield, how many games this season is Shake and Bake going 24 of 30 for 289, [54:26] four touchdowns and no picks? [54:28] I think some of that has to do, we would agree, right, with the horrendous Washington Commanders [54:32] secondary. [54:33] So what's going to happen on Sunday when Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeau and Sexy Dexy line [54:38] up across this Washington offensive line? [54:41] How's it going to go? [54:42] What's going to happen on Sunday when Cliff Kingsbury, handsome but oatmeal for brains, [54:46] leaves Terry McLaurin, like the only viable receiver on this team. [54:50] He never moves the entire game. [54:52] He stays in one spot, easy to remove from the game plan. [54:55] Is anyone concerned about Luke McCaffrey in the slot? [55:00] Not Christian McCaffrey. [55:02] Not even Ed McCaffrey. [55:05] Luke McCaffrey. [55:07] Is anyone concerned about Zach Ertz, who I think can now file for Social Security? [55:13] Is anyone concerned about Zach Ertz or Austin Eckler? [55:17] I mean, give me a break here. [55:19] Malik Neighbors is going to run circles around the secondary, [55:21] and Daniel Jones, I think, will actually stay upright [55:24] and be able to get him the ball. [55:25] Like, again, I think the Giants are awful. [55:28] I think Daniel Jones is awful, [55:30] but I think the Commanders might be worse. [55:32] I like the Giants to win the game on Sunday in our nation's capital. [55:36] And by the way, I love Jaden Daniels, like I said.”
WSH 21, NYG 18 — Commanders beat the Giants 21-18; Giants moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[58:18] Betters on Sunday wanted to go their own way, you know, [58:22] because he was absolutely terrible. [58:23] He can't throw the ball anywhere. [58:25] But when it comes to this Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers, [58:29] I can't stop thinking about the Sunday. [58:33] Do you know why? [58:34] I bet Pittsburgh on Sunday against Atlanta. [58:37] They won. [58:39] It was great. [58:40] Had confidence in Justin Fields. [58:42] There is, however, a huge difference, a seismic difference between taking four points on the road with Justin Fields [58:53] and laying three points on the road at altitude with Justin Fields. [59:00] Justin Fields has started 21 games in his NFL career on the road, [59:05] has never been favored in any of them. [59:09] And people want to line up to lay it with the Steelers in this spot. [59:13] And again, I understand that Bo Nix couldn't throw the ball [59:16] more than like 10 yards down the field. [59:17] I understand. [59:19] Also, like they covered the spread at the closing number [59:21] against the Seattle Seas. [59:22] It wasn't all terrible for the Denver Broncos. [59:24] So like I get why people might be pessimistic with Denver. [59:28] just again think about it. [59:30] this. Justin Fields, Justin Fields on the road laying three. Justin Fields on the road at altitude [59:41] laying three. You really interested in that? Not saying it can't happen, just saying I wouldn't [59:49] bet on it. And for what it's worth, like TJ Watt and the Steelers defense is five million times [59:53] better than Bo Nix. Sean Payton's going to devise a game plan to get the ball out of Bo Nix hand, [59:57] get Bo Nix moving. [59:58] Kirk Cousins an absolute sitting duck last week. [1:00:01] Bo Nix at least has some wheels and can move. [1:00:04] So bet numero trace, bad quarterback numero trace. [1:00:07] The Broncos at three or better at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
PIT 13, DEN 6 — Steelers beat the Broncos 13-6; Denver lost outright, well shy of covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:41] so I agree thoughts about it in the open of the show I'll also add Malik neighbors yardage prop [1:52:48] for this weekend is 62 and a half. [1:52:51] He's going over that in the first half. [1:52:54] You better, you bet.”
Malik Nabers caught 10 passes for 127 receiving yards against Washington, clearing 62.5 (ESPN box score). (Malik Nabers: 10 receptions, 127 receiving yards)
“[2:43:23] I'm with Tyler. [2:43:24] I'll lay it with Alabama here. [2:43:25] Like Bama sneakily like despite the final score could have lost last week to South Florida Big bounce spot for a Bama team that getting its offensive line healthy And look Tyler Van Dyke at Wisconsin I rather have Dick Van Dyke running the air raid [2:43:37] And by the way, last time we saw Luke Fickle go against Alabama, we know how that ended. [2:43:41] Give me the Crimson Tide laying the 16.”
ALA 42, WIS 10 — Alabama beat Wisconsin 42-10, a 32-point margin; Alabama -16 covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:44:14] My second bet. [2:44:15] This is just a bet on the head coach here. [2:44:16] I'll take BC plus 17 on the road at Mizzou. [2:44:19] I'll bet on Bill O'Brien being a good enough coach to figure this out [2:44:22] and keep the game close. [2:44:23] BC plus 17. Tyler, your”
MIZ 27, BC 21 — Missouri beat Boston College 27-21, a 6-point margin; BC +17 covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:50:16] One baseball bet for me tonight. [2:50:18] I'll actually go oppo taco with Jake here a little bit. [2:50:21] I think this is what I think is going to happen with the Yankees coming up now. [2:50:24] I think this is going to be a tight game tonight. [2:50:26] I think they're going to lose at the end. [2:50:27] I think it's going to be a low-scoring game. [2:50:28] So give me the first five under tonight with Luis Gil, [2:50:31] an important start for AL Rookie of the Year. [2:50:32] We'll talk about that market and more baseball on the show tomorrow, [2:50:36] a more open edition of the show tomorrow. [2:50:37] I was off yesterday, crammed a lot of football in today, got the chance to do some more stuff tomorrow. [2:50:42] Heal and Cole Reagans, who's been amazing recently. [2:50:45] Give me first five under four and a half with the Yankees and the Kansas City Royals.”
Royals and Yankees combined for just 1 run through five innings, comfortably under the first-five under 4.5 (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Royals 1, Yankees 0 (1 run))
“[2:53:22] Tonight going up against the Houston Astros. [2:53:24] Does anyone have any freaking interest [2:53:26] in betting Jordan Alvarez to hit one to Mars tonight? [2:53:29] Because I do. [2:53:31] I might bet every single player [2:53:33] in the Houston Astros [2:53:34] that hit a home run tonight. [2:53:35] But Jordan is the best call, I think. [2:53:37] Joey Estes has allowed at least one home run [2:53:41] in his last two, three, four, five, six, seven. [2:53:44] in his last seven, and nine of his last ten starts. [2:53:49] At least one homer. [2:53:50] Jordan Alvarez tonight to wrap up the home run parlay.”
Yordan Alvarez went 2-for-4 with no home run against Oakland; Kyle McCann hit the game's only home run (ESPN box score). (Yordan Alvarez: 0 home runs (2-for-4))
“[1:11:08] Okay, let's get into the NFC South. [1:11:11] I ended last segment, and I feel pretty strongly about this, and I think you disagree, [1:11:15] that Tampa right now, [1:11:17] also it's very funny, [1:11:19] like BetMGM, [1:11:20] and I haven't looked at other domestics, [1:11:22] also BetMGM sponsors us. [1:11:24] King of sports. [1:11:25] Yeah, the sports were born in Vegas. [1:11:28] Carolina, you cannot bet the Panthers [1:11:30] to win the NFC South. [1:11:32] BetMGM is like, you know what? [1:11:34] We're going to do you, the better, a service. [1:11:36] We are not going to allow you [1:11:37] to light your money on fire [1:11:38] to bet on this, [1:11:39] maybe one of the worst teams [1:11:40] we've ever seen when it's all said and done. [1:11:43] So you can't bet Carolina. [1:11:45] Tampa is the third choice on the board right now. [1:11:48] I don't know. [1:11:48] After one game, Tampa looks like the best to me. [1:11:51] And out of the three teams, three semi-decent teams in the NFC South, [1:11:57] Atlanta on the road in Philly on Monday Night Football, loss, right? [1:12:01] Yeah. [1:12:01] Most likely, loss. [1:12:02] New Orleans on the road at Dallas, loss. [1:12:04] Most likely, loss. [1:12:05] Tampa on the road at Detroit. [1:12:07] I think Tampa, and they're all big dogs, [1:12:09] I think Tampa definitely has the best chance to win out of those three teams this week. [1:12:13] I think Tampa's the best of these three teams, and at the longest price, I bet the Bucs today to win the NFC South.”
Tampa Bay finished the 2024 regular season 10-7 and won the NFC South division (ESPN standings). (2024 NFC South champion: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7))
“[1:35:17] Ravens coming off their loss last Thursday against the Chiefs. [1:35:19] Lamar Jackson not at practice today for Baltimore, [1:35:22] but feel like he'll be good for Sunday. [1:35:23] Betty Market says he will be. [1:35:25] Ravens a nine-and-a-half point home favorite against Gardner Minshew. [1:35:28] The clueless Antonio Pierce in the Las Vegas Raiders. [1:35:31] Total Femi, 41-and-a-half. [1:35:33] Can you believe he punted in that situation? [1:35:35] Just unbelievable. [1:35:36] But for this game, I think a coach that's going to play it super conventional like that [1:35:40] is actually a benefit. [1:35:41] He's not going to go for it or do anything crazy to get behind late in the game [1:35:45] or anything like that. [1:35:45] I think this is going to be a closer game than what the market thinks just because the matchup of that Raiders defensive line against the Baltimore Ravens offensive line. [1:35:53] And now who knows what happens with this Lamar Jackson situation? [1:35:56] John Harbaugh is saying that injury report comes out on Wednesday. [1:35:58] Lamar not at practice today. [1:36:00] Hopefully he's doing OK and it's all good. [1:36:03] My guess is that maybe it's another illness, but we'll find out a little bit later on on Wednesday. [1:36:06] But if you see a 10 in this game, which they have been a couple that have popped up. [1:36:10] But if you see another 10, I think that's a buy point on the Las Vegas Raiders just to try to keep this game a little bit closer to what the market thinks with an assumption that the Ravens, they can never fall to 0-2. [1:36:19] They'll bounce back. [1:36:21] I think you can play against that in this particular spot. [1:36:22] And generally, like news will hit the betting markets. [1:36:25] And we've talked about this on the show. [1:36:27] News will hit the betting markets sometimes way before, like the NFL insiders will tweet it out. [1:36:31] So if you see the Raiders start to get pounded, it may be like Josh Johnson might start. [1:36:37] I'd love a 10 also [1:36:39] If we're going to sit in this range though [1:36:41] I'll take the points with the Raiders [1:36:43] I do not think this Ravens offensive line [1:36:46] Can come close to blocking [1:36:47] Max Crosby and the Raiders pass rush [1:36:49] And I think that will be very problematic [1:36:51] For Baltimore coming up on Sunday [1:36:53] Raiders are nothing for me in that game Wow Chargers and Panthers in Carolina I looking at the board right now What a game So yeah like this open Chargers four and a half like no way like way wrong”
BAL 23, LV 26 — Las Vegas beat Baltimore 26-23 outright, easily covering the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:39:45] But Cowboys, almost a seven-point favorite at home against New Orleans. [1:39:49] Six and a half, 15, the number at MGM. [1:39:51] Total, 45 and a half. [1:39:53] As long as the number's under seven, I bet Dallas. [1:39:56] I love the Cowboys. [1:39:58] Like, Derek Carr is going to get annihilated in this game by Micah Parsons and the Cowboys' pass rush. [1:40:03] And I think that's the handicap for you as well. [1:40:05] I have not bet this game, but it has to be from the defense turning over Carr into those teams. [1:40:09] Because I do wonder a little bit about Dak Prescott against these really good defensive minds. [1:40:13] We saw it a little bit yesterday. [1:40:15] Now, of course, Dak didn't play in the preseason. [1:40:17] It could have been him just kind of shaking off the rust. [1:40:18] But you mentioned it as well in your opening monologue. [1:40:21] Like, they averaged about four yards per play. [1:40:22] The offense for the Cowboys wasn't that great. [1:40:24] And, in fact, after the midway point of the second quarter, they honestly stopped playing offense. [1:40:28] They just were doing whatever and just said, Cleveland's not going to beat us. [1:40:30] Let's just kind of play a conservative mindset. [1:40:32] I think it will be different in this game. [1:40:33] But Dak Prescott against Dennis Allen could be a little bit interesting. [1:40:37] But I think that the Dallas defense against that Saints offense is the big mismatch in this game. [1:40:41] I think they're going to really get after Derek Carr. [1:40:43] Mike Zimmer, so far, he has passed with flying colors for the Cowboys. [1:40:46] Do you know what you just said? [1:40:48] Do you know what that screams to me? [1:40:49] What does that scream to me? [1:40:50] Why don't we just bet the under? [1:40:53] The over did get bet a little bit. [1:40:54] Yeah, 45. [1:40:56] Yeah, because the Saints scored 47 and Dallas scored 33. [1:40:59] Dallas, 4.4 yards per play. [1:41:01] New Orleans got to play Carolina. [1:41:04] I don't know. [1:41:04] I don't think this is going to be a high scoring game. [1:41:07] I don't think it's going to be high scoring at all either. [1:41:08] Could be an under. [1:41:09] Yeah, 46 is the highest one in the market. [1:41:11] Maybe we get a 47. [1:41:13] Maybe, wow, 40 cents a smash underplay. [1:41:16] So we'll see how this develops throughout the course of the week. [1:41:18] I think we're looking at like Dallas 23-10, something like that in that range. [1:41:22] I could see that. [1:41:22] So I like the Cowboys and I like the under.”
NO 44, DAL 19 — New Orleans beat Dallas 44-19; Cowboys lose by 25, busting the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:39:45] But Cowboys, almost a seven-point favorite at home against New Orleans. [1:39:49] Six and a half, 15, the number at MGM. [1:39:51] Total, 45 and a half. [1:39:53] As long as the number's under seven, I bet Dallas. [1:39:56] I love the Cowboys. [1:39:58] Like, Derek Carr is going to get annihilated in this game by Micah Parsons and the Cowboys' pass rush. [1:40:03] And I think that's the handicap for you as well. [1:40:05] I have not bet this game, but it has to be from the defense turning over Carr into those teams. [1:40:09] Because I do wonder a little bit about Dak Prescott against these really good defensive minds. [1:40:13] We saw it a little bit yesterday. [1:40:15] Now, of course, Dak didn't play in the preseason. [1:40:17] It could have been him just kind of shaking off the rust. [1:40:18] But you mentioned it as well in your opening monologue. [1:40:21] Like, they averaged about four yards per play. [1:40:22] The offense for the Cowboys wasn't that great. [1:40:24] And, in fact, after the midway point of the second quarter, they honestly stopped playing offense. [1:40:28] They just were doing whatever and just said, Cleveland's not going to beat us. [1:40:30] Let's just kind of play a conservative mindset. [1:40:32] I think it will be different in this game. [1:40:33] But Dak Prescott against Dennis Allen could be a little bit interesting. [1:40:37] But I think that the Dallas defense against that Saints offense is the big mismatch in this game. [1:40:41] I think they're going to really get after Derek Carr. [1:40:43] Mike Zimmer, so far, he has passed with flying colors for the Cowboys. [1:40:46] Do you know what you just said? [1:40:48] Do you know what that screams to me? [1:40:49] What does that scream to me? [1:40:50] Why don't we just bet the under? [1:40:53] The over did get bet a little bit. [1:40:54] Yeah, 45. [1:40:56] Yeah, because the Saints scored 47 and Dallas scored 33. [1:40:59] Dallas, 4.4 yards per play. [1:41:01] New Orleans got to play Carolina. [1:41:04] I don't know. [1:41:04] I don't think this is going to be a high scoring game. [1:41:07] I don't think it's going to be high scoring at all either. [1:41:08] Could be an under. [1:41:09] Yeah, 46 is the highest one in the market. [1:41:11] Maybe we get a 47. [1:41:13] Maybe, wow, 40 cents a smash underplay. [1:41:16] So we'll see how this develops throughout the course of the week. [1:41:18] I think we're looking at like Dallas 23-10, something like that in that range. [1:41:22] I could see that. [1:41:22] So I like the Cowboys and I like the under.”
NO 44, DAL 19 — New Orleans beat Dallas 44-19; the combined 63 points sail well over the 45.5 total (ESPN box score).
“[1:48:04] I agree completely. [1:48:05] At four, I hate Deshaun Watson, both as a player and a person. [1:48:08] Yep. [1:48:09] I don't like him. [1:48:10] He's terrible. [1:48:11] Like, no one likes him. [1:48:12] I hate that he's so rich, but whatever. [1:48:15] The Jaguars, like, this Jaguars team to win by margin against this defense. [1:48:19] And I know, like, the home road splits, whatever, also had those home road splits go yesterday. [1:48:23] Like, letting up 30-plus points. [1:48:25] A special teams touchdown also, still. [1:48:28] There's only one way to look here. [1:48:29] Unfortunately, I think it's to take the four points with the Cleveland Browns.”
JAX 13, CLE 18 — Cleveland beat Jacksonville 18-13 outright, covering the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:49:04] Yep. [1:49:04] Okay. [1:49:04] Seahawks, Patriots, Super Bowl 49 rematch. [1:49:06] The number at BetMGM, Seattle off the win against Denver. [1:49:10] Didn't cover the spread, the closing number. [1:49:11] Seattle laying three and a half at the 1-0 Patriots with Gerard Mayo. [1:49:15] Shout out to them for knocking the Bengals out of Survivor. [1:49:17] Total is 38. [1:49:18] Yeah, this is a game that I'm going to stay very, very far away from [1:49:22] because I think in this spot at three and a half, [1:49:25] there were some three and a half earlier out there in the market. [1:49:27] Very, very tempting to back New England. [1:49:29] I just always struggle early in the season backing teams [1:49:32] that come off these massive upsets when everybody going into year [1:49:35] thinks they're going to be one of the more terrible teams, [1:49:36] and that's the New England Patriots. [1:49:38] So I didn't want to back them in that spot, [1:49:39] but also the Seattle side of it, [1:49:41] that offensive line looks rough with what they're doing up front. [1:49:44] And if they can't protect, maybe this Gerard Mayo defense, [1:49:46] which is not devoid of talent. [1:49:48] Like, the defense was good last year. [1:49:49] It was good the year before that. [1:49:51] If they can get pressure on Geno Smith, [1:49:52] maybe it's a lower-scoring game. [1:49:53] I agree with the move to the under, [1:49:55] but nothing for me, side or total at this point. [1:49:56] What do you think this game closes at? [1:49:59] I think we hang out here at three. [1:50:00] Three and a half or three? [1:50:01] Three. [1:50:03] So what I have done, you can do it also, dear listener and dear viewer. [1:50:07] At BetMGM, MGM is currently hanging Seahawks 3.5, Patriots plus 3.5, minus 110. [1:50:13] I placed a bet on the Patriots with the expectation I will beat the market. [1:50:17] So I think this will close three also. [1:50:19] So I think the 3.5 could prove valuable at this point in the week.”
NE 20, SEA 23 — Seattle beat New England 23-20 in overtime; Patriots lose by only 3, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:53:55] I think we'll be on the same side of this next game. [1:53:58] The Chiefs, I don't think this number is going to exist for that much longer. [1:54:01] Kansas City is minus six at home against the Bengals. [1:54:04] Bengals obviously off like the pathetic loss to New England. [1:54:07] Chiefs won the season opener and have like a mini bye. [1:54:09] It's like more rest for Kansas City. [1:54:11] Total is 48 and a half. [1:54:13] For me, this is as easy as I get six with Joe Burrow. [1:54:17] You know Burrow's coming to play in this game. [1:54:19] We'll see about T. Higgins over the course of the week, [1:54:21] but I think Chase will be full go. [1:54:23] I don't think the number's going to last, [1:54:25] so I grabbed a little of six with Cincinnati. [1:54:27] While acknowledging, like, if Higgins doesn't play [1:54:30] and Chase is really acrimonious, [1:54:32] like, maybe we can reconsider at the end of the week, [1:54:34] I just felt like this is a good number to grab on Cincinnati right now. [1:54:37] Same. You're giving me a quarterback like Joe Burrow with six points. [1:54:41] You just have to do it. [1:54:42] And it doesn't feel good after what we saw yesterday, [1:54:44] but I think that is the bet to make, at least with the news that we know right now. [1:54:47] So Bengals plus six, making the card at this point in the week for both myself and Femi.”
KC 26, CIN 25 — Kansas City beat Cincinnati 26-25; Bengals lose by only 1, covering the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:39:20] All right, so a couple of first five bets for Nicky, [2:39:22] first five tonight in Major League Baseball. [2:39:24] The lie detector test has come through, [2:39:26] And the lie detector determines that Brian Bellow is a lie. [2:39:30] Cade Povich tonight, Maury's son, starting for the Baltimore Orioles, [2:39:33] coming off a seven-inning, ten-strikeout start. [2:39:36] And I think starting to percolate at the right time. [2:39:38] While Brian Bellow serving him up, putting tons of guys on base with hits and walks. [2:39:42] Give me the Orioles' first five tonight against the Red Sox. [2:39:45] Orioles' first five, even money, plus 100 at BetMGM. [2:39:48] And then I like Jake's thought on Festa tonight, Fiesta, Fiesta, the Minnesota Twins.”
Baltimore trailed Boston 2-4 after five innings; the Orioles first-five moneyline loses (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Orioles 2, Red Sox 4)
“[2:39:48] And then I like Jake's thought on Festa tonight, Fiesta, Fiesta, the Minnesota Twins. [2:39:53] Also, Reid Detmers is coming off a really nice start for the Angels. [2:39:56] I'll play first five under four. [2:39:59] So I like Jake's thought on Festa. [2:40:00] I think he'll pitch well. [2:40:01] And Reid Detmers also, Coy and Ty's brother. [2:40:04] So first five under four with the Angels and the Twins, [2:40:07] and the Orioles' first five at even money.”
The Angels and Twins combined for 6 runs through five innings (4-2), exceeding the first-five under 4 (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Angels 4, Twins 2)
“[2:42:03] Should we, I think, you know, during this whole stretch where Judge hasn't homered, [2:42:07] his hard hit rate is still like top five in Major League Baseball. [2:42:10] I mean, he's ridiculous. [2:42:11] He's going to homer tonight. [2:42:13] I hope you're right. [2:42:13] So, look, for people out there, you do whatever you want with this. [2:42:17] I'm betting Aaron Judge to hit a homer. [2:42:19] If you want, you can have it be a five-person homerun parlay. [2:42:23] So Aaron Judge will be my bonus pick for tonight. [2:42:26] He's going to homer tonight. [2:42:28] Hard hit rate through the roof. [2:42:29] Hasn't homered in 12 games. [2:42:32] It's Tuesday on a Monday. [2:42:33] So Aaron Judge to homer. [2:42:34] But the guy I'm really excited about for tonight at an absolute monster, monster price.”
Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with no home runs against Kansas City (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 0 home runs)
“[2:42:34] But the guy I'm really excited about for tonight at an absolute monster, monster price. [2:42:42] Do you know who's starting tonight for the Cleveland Guardians? [2:42:46] I do not. [2:42:47] It is my next door neighbor in Staten Island. [2:42:50] Actually, he grew up across the street from Valente Beloso. [2:42:53] And it is Joey Cantillo. [2:42:55] I'm pretty sure runs a pizza place a couple blocks away from me. [2:42:58] Joey Cantillo is starting tonight for the Guardians. [2:43:01] Poor Joey is terrible at baseball. [2:43:05] He hashtag serves up taters to the opposition. [2:43:09] He is brutal. [2:43:11] Now, he's not brutal enough that I would bet the White Sox in the game, [2:43:14] the White Sox's opponent tonight. [2:43:15] But perhaps we can get a White Sox dinger or two. [2:43:20] Tonight, Sammy Sun, along with John, Lenyn Sosa. [2:43:31] Lenyn Sosa. [2:43:34] How does Imagine by John Lennon go? [2:43:38] Imagine all the people. [2:43:42] I don't know why I thought you said John Lennon. [2:43:43] I was like, John Legend? [2:43:44] Imagine all the homers. [2:43:48] Lenyn Sosa could hit. [2:43:52] And then he'll maybe look like an entirely different person tomorrow, [2:43:56] like his dad Sammy. [2:43:58] Lenyn Sosa tonight. [2:44:01] I mean there a lot of places to take this Lenyn Sosa tonight Sammy is what Dominican I believe so So Russian and Dominican descent this guy a powerhouse [2:44:12] Lenyn Sosa tonight, plus 800 off of Joseph Cantillo. [2:44:18] So the home run parlay, Dansby Swanson, Mookie Betts, Bobby Witt Jr.,”
Lenyn Sosa went 1-for-3 with no home runs against Cleveland (ESPN box score). (Lenyn Sosa: 0 home runs)
“[2:53:09] I'm going to play the first half under in the game. [2:53:11] With the thought being that Aaron Rodgers coming off the Achilles didn't play in the preseason. [2:53:15] I don't think this is going to be a Kirk Cousins situation where like Cousins can't move. [2:53:19] Rodgers also had like an extra two months on him in terms of rehab time. [2:53:22] So I think at the very least, Rodgers will start slow. [2:53:25] And I like the Jets defense against the San Francisco offense. [2:53:28] I like the Jets defensive line, even without Hassan Redick, [2:53:32] a lot against the San Francisco 49ers offensive line. [2:53:35] I think they'll be able to get pressure on Purdy. [2:53:37] I think I'm not going to bet the Jets in the game, [2:53:41] but I think I would bet the Jets if I had to bet the game. [2:53:43] I'd want to see it live first to see what Rodgers looks like [2:53:45] before I got involved with the Jets. [2:53:46] I think that's a fair point. [2:53:47] First half under 21 for me. [2:53:50] That's my bet for side or total.”
San Francisco led the Jets 16-7 at halftime; the combined 23 first-half points exceed the under 21 (ESPN box score). (Halftime: 49ers 16, Jets 7)
“[2:56:24] It is. [2:56:24] And let's just look at BetMGM right now. [2:56:26] Like we don't have to do the Prop King music because we don't have time. [2:56:29] If you have BetMGM, I'm on BetMGM right now. [2:56:32] They have all the touchdown markets up. [2:56:34] In the anytime touchdown market, Jordan Mason's plus 650. [2:56:37] Wrong. [2:56:37] Like McCaffrey is still posted. [2:56:39] Jordan Mason, anytime touchdown, he will be San Francisco's lead running back tonight. [2:56:43] If you also want to have a split bet here, San Francisco's backup running back behind Jordan Mason is rookie Isaac Guerendo.”
Jordan Mason scored a rushing touchdown against the Jets on Monday Night Football (ESPN box score). (Jordan Mason: 1 rushing touchdown)
“[2:56:43] If you also want to have a split bet here, San Francisco's backup running back behind Jordan Mason is rookie Isaac Guerendo. [2:56:50] So you might not know who these guys are. [2:56:52] I do. [2:56:52] I'm telling you. [2:56:54] Jordan Mason and Isaac Guerendo will be San Francisco's top two running backs tonight in the absence of Christian McCaffrey. [2:56:59] So Mason and Guarendo. [2:57:01] Let's see if Jordan Mason has a rushing yards posted here. [2:57:04] I know. [2:57:04] This is the point where we're just firing into our apps to figure stuff out. [2:57:07] So Mason, so the Caffrey's pulled down now with yardage props. [2:57:10] Mason is up. [2:57:11] It is 11 and a half for Jordan Mason. [2:57:14] He will be San Francisco's lead running back tonight. [2:57:16] I will bet this Jordan Mason over rushing yards is a must. [2:57:19] You can get this now before like it gets, [2:57:22] everything gets pulled down and goes haywire. [2:57:23] The McCaffrey touchdown numbers are still up right now. [2:57:26] Jordan Mason is still plus 650 and Guarendo, [2:57:29] Guarendo is plus 750 anytime touchdown. [2:57:32] So a couple bucks on Guarendo and a couple bucks on Jordan Mason for sure.”
Isaac Guerendo carried once for -1 yard and did not score against the Jets (ESPN box score). (Isaac Guerendo: 0 touchdowns)
“[2:57:01] Let's see if Jordan Mason has a rushing yards posted here. [2:57:04] I know. [2:57:04] This is the point where we're just firing into our apps to figure stuff out. [2:57:07] So Mason, so the Caffrey's pulled down now with yardage props. [2:57:10] Mason is up. [2:57:11] It is 11 and a half for Jordan Mason. [2:57:14] He will be San Francisco's lead running back tonight. [2:57:16] I will bet this Jordan Mason over rushing yards is a must. [2:57:19] You can get this now before like it gets,”
SF 32, NYJ 19 — Jordan Mason rushed for 147 yards on 28 carries against the Jets, clearing the 11.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Mason: 147 rushing yards)
“[2:58:18] Allen Lazard, anytime touchdown for the Jets. [2:58:20] Big Mike Williams going to be eased in slowly coming off the ACL. [2:58:23] Lazard going to be the number two wideout. [2:58:25] Lazard plus 700s. [2:58:27] Hopefully we're able to cover that for everybody.”
Allen Lazard caught two touchdown passes against San Francisco (ESPN box score). (Allen Lazard: 2 receiving touchdowns)
“[1:09:24] but the Cardinals I mean what do they have JJ Watt again like they don't have that many pass rushers [1:09:28] it could get shaky again and I'm sure he's going to send the blitz but okay here's Matthew Stafford [1:09:32] hitting you over the top if you're going to go ahead and blitz him like I think that the Rams [1:09:35] love the Rams on Sunday I don't love them I think they win the game it is a coin flip game [1:09:39] but if let's say if it gets out to one and a half two in favor of Arizona I think it's one right now [1:09:43] in some places if it continues to go that way I might bet the Rams and just so people know Rams [1:09:47] were one and a half at that MGM Rams favored by one and a half on the road Pukunikua news breaks [1:09:52] he's weak to weak with that knee injury and we see arizona like again not a huge flip from like [1:09:56] one and a half to one but just providing some context yeah and arizona to me that's the team [1:10:00] that you want to bet when they're catching a lot of points like they were yesterday when they're [1:10:03] catching six and a half or seven or something like that and kyler can come to the back door [1:10:06] and that offense can do his thing now that they have to win with that defense against what the [1:10:09] rams did going into hostile environment against detroit and almost coming out of there with the [1:10:14] victory i i'll say this we could be sitting here two weeks from now the rams are just coming off [1:10:18] win against the 49ers and they're sitting there at two and one and and the ship has sailed so to me [1:10:23] i didn't even want to chance it to say oh maybe they fall to own two uh bump that i bet them again [1:10:27] today to go ahead and win we're doubling down okay we are doubling down on the rambley for us [1:10:32] what are we we was it was a re-a-ram-a-ly i got all my sisters with me oh yeah hey hey also uh also [1:10:42] give me the arizona card bills on sunday as we break honestly this family's getting broken up”
ARI 41, LAR 10 — Arizona beat the Rams 41-10, winning by 31 and covering the -1 spread (ESPN box score).
“[13:17] Sam Darnold obviously starts for Minnesota. [13:19] Danny Dimes back for a big blue. [13:20] The Vikings, one-and-a-half-point road favorites, total of 41. [13:23] There's not a single result in this game that will surprise me. [13:26] Sam Darnold as the new man on the Minnesota Vikings, [13:28] he could turn the ball over, he could look great, [13:30] and fulfill the top three pick expectations that he had [13:34] entering his career in this league. [13:36] Because I think that this is a game that is just so confusing to me. [13:39] I don't know what the Giants are going to look like. [13:40] I'm sure Millie Neighbors is going to get a lot of targets in that game [13:43] to kick off his O'Roy campaign. [13:44] but I have no read on this game, [13:46] whether the side or the total. [13:48] It's a hard pass for me, [13:49] but I'll be watching you watch this game [13:50] and I'll get to experience Nick [13:52] taking in a Giants game for the first time. [13:53] You would have been more fun like 15 years ago. [13:56] Not as fun now. [13:57] Now you hate watching. [13:58] I'll bet the, [13:59] I'll be on the over in this game for a couple bucks. [14:02] The total's really low. [14:04] I think Justin Jefferson will destroy this Giants secondary. [14:08] And I think Malik Nabors is going to destroy [14:09] this Vikings secondary. [14:11] So not one of my like favorite bets of the week, [14:13] because there's confidence ranking, [14:14] but I'd like to have money on the game that my team is playing in. [14:17] And I should have said this to start. [14:19] All the props will be given out on Sunday, [14:21] but I can give these out right now. [14:22] Justin Jefferson over receiving yards. [14:24] Malik neighbors over receiving yards. [14:26] Malik neighbors over receptions. [14:27] Don't have to belabor that point. [14:29] So over 41 for me, Giants and Vikings.”
Minnesota 28, New York Giants 6 — Minnesota beat the Giants 28-6; combined 34 points missed the over 41 total (ESPN box score).
“[14:32] Panthers and the Saints from New Orleans. [14:34] New Orleans, a four-point home favorite. [14:35] Total in the game is up to 41.5 now. [14:38] I just want to see the injury stuff here. [14:40] Anything that is noteworthy. [14:43] No, not really. [14:44] I'll bet the Panthers plus the points in this game. [14:46] I just like Saints to win by margin with Derek Allen. [14:49] No, thanks. [14:50] Give me the Carolina Panthers.”
New Orleans 47, Carolina 10 — New Orleans routed Carolina 47-10, a 37-point margin that blew through the Panthers' +4 (ESPN box score).
“[28:51] This might be a light four o'clock slate, [28:53] but I have bets on the next two games. [28:55] So let's get to it here. [28:57] I think people know what we like in the Bucks-Commanders game [28:58] if you listen to Survivor. [28:59] So right now, BetMGM right now is your home. [29:02] It's about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [29:04] 3.25 is the number. [29:06] It's 3.5 for Tampa, juiced towards the commies. [29:09] The total here is 42.5. [29:10] So Tampa Bay and Washington. [29:12] I just want to see if we got any injury stuff here. [29:14] Alex, who's Washington's backup quarterback in this game? [29:17] That's a good question. [29:19] If Mariota's out, who's their third stringer? [29:21] I'm going to look this up. [29:23] Yeah. [29:24] I should know this off the top of my head, and I don't. [29:26] I'm pulling it up right now on the depth chart website here. [29:29] Driscoll. They better hope Jaden Daniels doesn't get hurt because that is problematic if he does. [29:35] Mariota is out for this game for Tampa. We're going to want Kalijah Kansi to play. [29:39] Limited practice today on Friday, but if it's practice on Friday, generally you're good to go on Sunday. [29:43] Kansi, good defensive, young defensive lineman for Tampa. [29:46] Are you laying the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this game? I think I would like to. [29:50] I will not lay the points with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [29:52] We're going to have our survivor entry on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [29:55] That's how I'll be sweating this game out. [29:57] The total, nothing really interesting for me at 42 and a half. [30:02] I think that's just right where it should be. [30:04] I like the totals in the early windows a lot better than the ones in the afternoon ones. [30:07] So it's a pass for me. [30:08] We'll just be rooting for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [30:10] Fire the cannons. [30:10] I will. [30:12] I'm going to find a way to play Tampa. [30:14] I guess like we did already, right? [30:16] In a big way. [30:17] Yes. [30:17] So I think we did already. [30:19] I will bet the over in this game with Tampa and Washington because here's what we know. [30:24] So like Cliff Kingsbury, very handsome oatmeal for brains clown. [30:28] But they're going to run really, really, really, really uptempo. [30:32] It's his MO. [30:32] They're going to run a million plays. [30:34] That helps scoring. [30:35] And like Sam Panayatovich comes on the show and he's right. [30:38] And like a lot of people think this, not just Sam, but Sam is right. [30:42] The secondary is hurt. [30:43] Like the Washington defense is brutal. [30:45] Like remember when they had Montez Sweat and Chase Young and they're not there anymore. [30:48] No. [30:48] Like the secondary is horrendous. [30:51] so mike evans chris godwin jalen mcmillan i think tampa's gonna score and washington's gonna run a [30:57] million plays in this game with an electric young quarterback i like the over so give me the over [31:02] and we got tampa in uh in survivor and let's do one more here let's and we'll do sunday night”
Tampa Bay 37, Washington 20 — Tampa Bay beat Washington 37-20; combined 57 points cleared the 42.5 total (ESPN box score).
“[31:23] It's the best TV show on TV. What do you want to do with your team? Brown's a two and a half [31:27] point favorite against your Cowboys. Total in the game is sitting at 41. And let me just see [31:32] what we got injury wise here. Jedrick Willis is out as expected. Jack Conklin questionable. [31:37] So is Brown's offensive line not in full health? Nothing happening with Dallas. [31:40] I want to stuff my team in a locker is what I want to do. But I also think that the under [31:44] is starting to look appealing, even though it's been bet into oblivion. It went from 44 and a [31:48] have now sitting at 41. [31:49] The under with both of these offenses, [31:51] Dak did not play in the preseason. [31:52] Deshaun Watson, he hasn't played in a long time. [31:55] I think both defenses are going to find some success in this game. [31:57] It'll be a lower scoring game. [31:58] I'd like to get three with Dallas, but if I don't, [32:02] if I don't, give me the team with the quarterback you can trust. [32:07] The quarterback that can massage a win on Sunday. [32:11] That team, Dallas. [32:13] That quarterback, Dak Prescott.”
Dallas 33, Cleveland 17 — Dallas beat Cleveland 33-17, a 16-point margin that comfortably covered the Cowboys' +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“[36:32] Rams and the Lions in Detroit, Sunday Night Football on NBC. [36:36] But Alan, Chris, or Mike and Chris are the best on TV. [36:40] They certainly are the best on TV. [36:42] Detroit bet out to a four-and-a-half point favorite in this game. [36:45] Total is 52-and-a-half. [36:46] Now, Larrick Jackson is suspended for the Rams [36:48] when they're starting offensive lineman. [36:49] Rob Habenstein is questionable, [36:51] and that's pretty much it from an injury perspective. [36:55] You know, the more I've thought about this game, [36:57] and directionally, the side is definitely right. [36:58] We talked about how if this ever got to three, [37:01] we would be pushing people over to try to bet Detroit laying the three. [37:04] It did not get the three. [37:05] It went all the way out to four-and-a-half. [37:06] that there are some in some spots and four is a consensus number but for me i actually kind of [37:10] like the under a little bit in this game and and here's the reason why like with the rams having [37:15] those injuries on the offensive line and now the suspension to a larry jackson detroit can get out [37:20] in front and control this game and if it has to be stafford dropping back similar to what we saw [37:24] in the playoffs where the rams were moving the football down the field but in the red zone they [37:27] started to struggle because if there's one thing that's strong about the detroit defense even last [37:31] year it was their run defense and that's how the rams are going to try to move the football in that [37:35] run game but the old line is a little bit compromised with the suspension and haven't [37:38] seen being a little bit questionable for this game so i think it could be detroit perhaps covering [37:42] that number of four four and a half but if detroit does control this game i think it actually goes [37:47] under the only way this goes over in my estimation is that the rams are out in front and detroit has [37:51] to really push the pedal to the metal but if detroit's in control i kind of like this under [37:55] yeah i uh i'm probably gonna try and work detroit money line in with some stuff here i do not think [37:59] the lions will lose the game maybe i'll do like detroit money as part of like a favorite money [38:03] line parlay or something. I think four and a half [38:05] is right. I think we talked about this earlier in the [38:07] week. The time to bet Detroit was like [38:09] a juice three, which was insane. [38:12] Yeah, I [38:13] like the over in theory. Also, [38:15] one red zone interception and [38:17] you lose. [38:19] You're out of there. And you lose. So yeah, [38:21] Lions money line for me. Ken Barkley”
Detroit 26, Los Angeles Rams 20 — Detroit beat the LA Rams 26-20 in overtime, winning the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“[39:13] just give us some your analysis of the game bets you've got side in total uh tonight in brazil [39:17] eagles lay in two against the packers total 49 and a half i think this is a really really fun [39:22] game just from a reality standpoint of just watching it all bets aside both of these teams [39:27] contenders in the nfc i can't wait to watch it i think it's an abnormal game given the fact that [39:31] it's the first ever nfl game in south america how are both of these teams going to sort of react to [39:36] all of the things that go along with that the green bay packers allegedly might have a two-hour [39:40] ride from the hotel to the stadium i think that's a little bit outrageous but hey you know money's [39:44] out there to be made for me because of that not a lot of bets in this game in fact i only have one [39:49] bet in this game and i'm going to go to the first half with the philadelphia eagles laying a half [39:52] minus 105 Philadelphia traditionally starts fast in these openers especially in that first half They led ever since Nick Sirianni was the head coach in 2021 They led in all of the openers at halftime in those games whether it was against the Falcons against the Lions and even last year against the New England Patriots in a [40:08] game that was a little bit strange out there in a rainy day in New England. [40:11] So for me, first half, Philadelphia Eagles, maybe at the halftime, I might come back and [40:16] bet the Green Bay Packers try to shoot for a middle or to do something from an in-game [40:19] standpoint. [40:20] But pre-flop, it's going to be the Philadelphia Eagles laying a half point in the first half. [40:24] Your guess is as good as mine as to who's going to actually win the football game outright. [40:28] But if you had to, what would you do and why? [40:30] If I had to, it would be the Philadelphia Eagles. [40:32] Just honestly, I think this is a coin flip. [40:35] And I think both of these teams are really close together. [40:37] But Philadelphia, just off of the bases that their run game could give the Packers problems. [40:42] That's the big question mark for Green Bay last year, which probably got Joe Barry fired. [40:45] They couldn't stop the run. [40:46] Saquon Barkley now behind a really good offensive line. [40:48] Maybe Philly's run game allows them to control this game. [40:51] But I do worry about their secondary against Jordan Love and those pass catchers. [40:53] I've been saying it all week. [40:54] If I'm, look, I'm jacked to watch this game. [40:57] We'll learn a lot. [40:58] It's the two favorites in the NFC. [41:00] It's a fact-finding mission. [41:00] Yeah, well, it's an FFM. [41:03] Fact-finding mission. [41:04] Fact-finding mission. [41:06] If this game were at 1 o'clock on Sunday, I don't think I would bet it, [41:09] but it's Friday night, and it's the only game on Friday night, [41:11] so I will bet it. [41:12] I'll bet the over in the game 49 and a half. [41:14] Lean towards the Eagles, but over will be my bet in the game. [41:17] Over 49 and a half for bleeps and giggles with the Eagles and the Packers,”
Philadelphia 34, Green Bay 29 — Philadelphia beat Green Bay 34-29 in Sao Paulo; combined 63 points cleared the 49.5 total (ESPN box score).
“[42:58] AJ Brown tonight is listed at 70 and a half. [43:02] DeVonta Smith is at 58 and a half. [43:05] I'm curious now, in this FFM, this fact-finding, but I'll actually put my money on. [43:10] If the disparity between these two stud-wide receivers for the Eagles, [43:13] now with Kellen Moore as the coordinator, should be as high as it's been in the past. [43:18] It is my theory. [43:19] Look, AJ Brown's the alpha on the team. [43:20] He's their number one. [43:21] He's better than DeVonta Smith. [43:23] I think the gap is pretty small between the two. [43:26] I think DeVonta Smith is awesome as well. [43:27] And with Kellen Moore, I think we'll see DeVonta Smith moved around a little bit more. [43:31] The Eagles don't have a true slot receiver. [43:34] Maybe it's Jahan Dotson. [43:35] I don't know if he's caught up to speed yet. [43:36] I think we'll see from DeVonta Smith over the middle of the field, [43:39] which is, I think, where you can hammer this Green Bay Packers defense. [43:42] DeVonta Smith over 58.5 receiving yards. [43:46] DeVonta Smith over 58.5 receiving yards.”
DeVonta Smith caught 7 passes for 84 receiving yards against Green Bay, clearing the 58.5 line (ESPN box score). (DeVonta Smith 84 receiving yards)
“[43:49] Now, oh, this was funny because this guy's gone up four yards, and he should have. [43:53] So the Packers wide receivers, we'll talk about this all season in the anytime touchdown market, [43:58] but as far as yards are concerned, Jaden Reed, 42.5, Christian Watson, 40. [44:02] What happened to the 90-second count, guys? [44:04] You're screwing me here. [44:05] Dontavian Wicks, 28.5, and who am I missing here? [44:09] Romeo Dobbs, 40.5. [44:10] Christian Watson didn't miss one practice during training camp. [44:14] Apparently, he's worked things out with his hamstring. [44:16] Let's bet on Christian Watson tonight. [44:18] Christian Watson over 41 and a half. [44:20] This was 37 and a half this morning, but 41 and a half receiving yards.”
Christian Watson caught 3 passes for 13 receiving yards against Philadelphia, well under the 41.5 line (ESPN box score). (Christian Watson 13 receiving yards)
“[44:24] Anytime touchdowns. [44:25] Packers wide receiver out of the top four at the longest odds. [44:28] That is Dontayvion Wicks [44:30] Beer or pizza money, Dontayvion Wicks [44:32] Anytime touchdown. [44:33] Dontayvion Wicks [44:34] Anytime touchdown is plus 350.”
Dontayvion Wicks did not score a touchdown in the Packers-Eagles game (ESPN box score). (Dontayvion Wicks 0 touchdowns)
“[44:36] Also, again, it's Josh Jacobs and then Emanuel Wilson [44:39] Beer or pizza money on Emanuel Wilson [44:41] Anytime touchdown. [44:42] Plus 400.”
Emanuel Wilson did not score a touchdown in the Packers-Eagles game (ESPN box score). (Emanuel Wilson 0 touchdowns)
“[30:09] So, Tyler, fire the cannons. [30:13] I'm ready to fire. [30:15] I'm good with it. [30:16] Tampa Bay was one of my – my original three. [30:18] Am I ready to fire? [30:19] I'm ready to fire. [30:20] Want to cross some streams? [30:21] we're gonna do that a little bit later um okay i uh oh man how does it feel [30:29] it so so it's a complicated answer i'll ask you at four o'clock it's actually like it's a [30:36] complicated answer because like it it simultaneously fills me with incredible nerves yes and but but [30:43] also monumental overwhelming excitement welcome to survivor i mean i gotta say like [30:51] it's going to be the most important thing that happens on Sunday is who wins that game. [30:54] That's what I'm telling you. [30:55] We'll have all of our bets, of course. [30:57] And Survivor, if the Bucs win, we don't win any money. [30:59] We can't win any money until the end. [31:00] And we're going to win money and lose money on this other stuff. [31:02] But I will be so locked in on Commanders and Bucs. [31:07] It's going to be insanity. [31:08] So the official You Better You Bet Week 1 Survivor play is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. [31:13] Let's do it. [31:14] Fire the cannons!”
TB 37, WSH 20 — Tampa Bay beat Washington 37-20 in Week 1; Bucs win outright (ESPN box score).
“[40:34] I don't know ball. [40:35] Maybe that. [40:36] Listen, Jake knows Jake has probably forgotten more about baseball than I know. [40:39] Here's what I do know. [40:40] Brandon Fad is terrible. [40:41] Friend for Valdez is not Astros. [40:43] first five run line minus a half minus 115 and bet mgms we'll go oppo taco on that one home run [40:49] parlay now uh jake the snake who is first not jackson churio someone else it's going to be”
Houston led Arizona 4-0 after five innings, covering the first-five -0.5 run line (ESPN box score). (After five innings: Astros 4, Diamondbacks 0)
“[51:30] My thought and my bet side on tonight's game. [51:34] And it should surprise no one, no one, that heard Tuesday's edition of the show where I'm at coming up for tonight. [51:42] So let's not wait. [51:44] Give me the Kansas City Chiefs tonight against Baltimore. [51:48] Would love to lay two and a half. [51:49] I will pay minus 120 to do it if I have to. [51:52] But if it comes down to it and the only number that I can lay is three, I will do it with the Kansas City Chiefs. [51:59] I hate this expression in sports betting content, but I will use it here because it is apropos. [52:05] Tonight, a lay it or don't play it in the NFL season opener. [52:10] And man, I get so excited thinking about the Kansas City Chiefs this season.”
27-20 — Chiefs beat Ravens 27-20 in the season opener, covering Chiefs -2.5 by 7 (ESPN box score).
“[52:38] About 44 and a half is the yardage prop tonight for Xavier Worthy. [52:41] You can go over that with one reception. [52:43] And I can't wait tonight to watch Taylor's boyfriend, at least for now. [52:49] There's a lot of rumors out there about that. [52:50] Travis Kelsey's yardage prop tonight. [52:52] Are people awake? [52:55] Is everyone paying attention? [52:57] Travis Kelsey's yardage prop tonight at the Sportsbook Born in Vegas. [53:01] 57 and a half for Travis Kelsey. [53:04] I'm willing to lose making that bet on the over for Travis Kelsey. [53:07] Again, full prop list coming up at the end,”
Travis Kelce had 3 catches for 34 receiving yards against Baltimore, under the 57.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 3 receptions, 34 receiving yards)
“[58:05] How much more do you ask? [58:06] Enough to lay two and a half or three coming up tonight at Arrowhead in the season opener. [58:11] So, yeah, like this is an under win total play on Baltimore with the number sitting ten and a half at even money at our show sponsor, the sportsbook born in Vegas, BetMGM. [58:22] And besides for the win total, which again, like I like the under 10 and a half on the Ravens, the Ravens have the third best odds of any team at BetMGM to win the Super Bowl. [58:35] I think about that for a second.”
Baltimore finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, well over the 10.5 win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (Ravens 2024 regular-season record: 12-5)
“[1:55:17] And Wink versus Sark, I think, is a great tactical matchup. [1:55:20] And there's a low total in this game. [1:55:22] And if Orgy's going to play more [1:55:23] and Colston Loveland's going to be involved, [1:55:25] he's awesome. [1:55:25] He'll be a first-round pick in the NFL draft next year. [1:55:27] I think Michigan can keep this game close. [1:55:30] I will take the seven and a half. [1:55:31] and Tyler telling me that this is down to seven, great. [1:55:35] Seven and a half, seven, a bet for me coming up in the big house this weekend [1:55:38] on the Michigan Wolverines. [1:55:40] Next game to hit, Oregon and Boise State.”
31-12 — Texas beat Michigan 31-12, so Michigan's -19 margin missed the +7.5 line (ESPN box score).
“[1:57:17] Tyler, do me a favor, Femi, if you have this up. [1:57:19] Where do we, because I know this has been on the move, was 20 and a half earlier today. [1:57:22] Like anything 20 and a half, it's 21, I would lay the 21 with Oregon. [1:57:27] Quack, quack, give me the Ducks here. [1:57:29] And I think you should get this sooner rather than later, because I think people are thinking the way I am here. [1:57:33] Big bounce back coming up for the Oregon Ducks. [1:57:36] How about, revenge spot, Colorado and Nebraska.”
37-34 — Oregon beat Boise State 37-34 on a last-second field goal, covering only +3, well short of the -21 line (ESPN box score).
“[1:57:36] How about, revenge spot, Colorado and Nebraska. [1:57:41] Nebraska, seven and a half point favorite in this game against Shooter Sanders, [1:57:46] Travis Hunter, Deion Sanders, and the Buffalo Joes. [1:57:49] The Buffaloes. [1:57:50] The Buffaloes. [1:57:51] The Joes all like to back them. [1:57:52] So do we. [1:57:53] Total in the game, 58 and a half. [1:57:54] I find that curious that the total in this game does not start with a six. [1:57:58] Starts with a five. [1:57:59] Now, last year, while we were out in Vegas for week one in the NFL, [1:58:02] week two of college football, we bet Colorado against Nebraska. [1:58:06] And Colorado annihilated Nebraska in that game. [1:58:09] Jeff Sims put forth one of the worst quarterback performance. [1:58:11] Like, you would have rather had, like, 60-year-old Phil Sims [1:58:13] than 20-year-old Jeff Sims as the quarterback for Nebraska. [1:58:17] But now Nebraska's kind of got it rolling a little bit early in the season. [1:58:20] Matt Rules maybe got this bad boy figured out. [1:58:23] Dylan Rayola, a five-star freshman, looked amazing last week [1:58:26] and should be able to have some success against this Colorado defense. [1:58:30] You know, Colorado did win last week against North Dakota State, [1:58:33] but, like, almost collapsed at the end of the game. [1:58:35] Like, if the Hail Mary is converted at the end for a touchdown, [1:58:37] like, Colorado loses. [1:58:39] And that's a big-time egg-on-the-face situation for the Buffaloes. [1:58:42] And it needs to be said, like, objectively, whether you like Colorado or not, Nebraska's defensive line should eat up this Colorado offensive line. [1:58:51] But the bottom line for me, so I get why I like P.J. and some others, but I like Nebraska. [1:58:56] But bottom line here, Colorado still has Shadur Sanders. [1:59:02] Colorado still has Travis Hunter. [1:59:04] Two guys towards the top of the Heisman Trophy voting. [1:59:07] Like, two guys who are going to go in the top half of the NFL draft in the first round. [1:59:11] Shadur Sanders is going to go in the top 10. [1:59:13] Travis Hunter is probably going to go in the top 16, [1:59:15] probably going to go in the top half of the first. [1:59:16] Both are going to be first round picks. [1:59:18] And I know that this is not a great way to handicap games. [1:59:21] I understand. [1:59:22] But I do think it factors in here as part of the handicap, right? [1:59:25] Like you should never bet an underdog, like being like, oh, well, [1:59:28] when they're down by 14 at the end of the game, [1:59:30] like they should be able to score a touchdown. [1:59:32] So down by 14 at the end of the game, you probably don't want to bet them. [1:59:34] But in the event that they are, you got Shadur Sanders, [1:59:39] is Travis Hunter and company to stroll on through that back door. [1:59:44] And I don't think Colorado is going to have to stroll on through the back door [1:59:47] because I have faith in this Colorado offense. [1:59:50] That may be Dylan Rayola and company in the Nebraska. [1:59:52] Ask offense, lay it on them a little bit. [1:59:54] Part of the reason why, I like the over in this game. [1:59:56] And also, give me the Colorado Buffaloes, a.k.a. the Colorado Buffa Joes. [2:00:02] Tyler, what's the slogan that you had on, like the unfortunate slogan on the t-shirt that you wore last week? [2:00:07] We coming. [2:00:10] Damn right we are. [2:00:11] And listen, and if Colorado wins and covers, you know, game goes over. [2:00:15] Just saying. [2:00:16] Give me Colorado and give me the over coming up against Nebraska.”
28-10 — Nebraska beat Colorado 28-10, so Colorado's -18 margin missed the +7.5 line (Nebraska Athletics official box score).
“[1:57:41] Nebraska, seven and a half point favorite in this game against Shooter Sanders, [1:57:46] Travis Hunter, Deion Sanders, and the Buffalo Joes. [1:57:49] The Buffaloes. [1:57:50] The Buffaloes. [1:57:51] The Joes all like to back them. [1:57:52] So do we. [1:57:53] Total in the game, 58 and a half. [1:57:54] I find that curious that the total in this game does not start with a six. [1:57:58] Starts with a five. [1:57:59] Now, last year, while we were out in Vegas for week one in the NFL, [1:58:02] week two of college football, we bet Colorado against Nebraska. [1:58:06] And Colorado annihilated Nebraska in that game. [1:58:09] Jeff Sims put forth one of the worst quarterback performance. [1:58:11] Like, you would have rather had, like, 60-year-old Phil Sims [1:58:13] than 20-year-old Jeff Sims as the quarterback for Nebraska. [1:58:17] But now Nebraska's kind of got it rolling a little bit early in the season. [1:58:20] Matt Rules maybe got this bad boy figured out. [1:58:23] Dylan Rayola, a five-star freshman, looked amazing last week [1:58:26] and should be able to have some success against this Colorado defense. [1:58:30] You know, Colorado did win last week against North Dakota State, [1:58:33] but, like, almost collapsed at the end of the game. [1:58:35] Like, if the Hail Mary is converted at the end for a touchdown, [1:58:37] like, Colorado loses. [1:58:39] And that's a big-time egg-on-the-face situation for the Buffaloes. [1:58:42] And it needs to be said, like, objectively, whether you like Colorado or not, Nebraska's defensive line should eat up this Colorado offensive line. [1:58:51] But the bottom line for me, so I get why I like P.J. and some others, but I like Nebraska. [1:58:56] But bottom line here, Colorado still has Shadur Sanders. [1:59:02] Colorado still has Travis Hunter. [1:59:04] Two guys towards the top of the Heisman Trophy voting. [1:59:07] Like, two guys who are going to go in the top half of the NFL draft in the first round. [1:59:11] Shadur Sanders is going to go in the top 10. [1:59:13] Travis Hunter is probably going to go in the top 16, [1:59:15] probably going to go in the top half of the first. [1:59:16] Both are going to be first round picks. [1:59:18] And I know that this is not a great way to handicap games. [1:59:21] I understand. [1:59:22] But I do think it factors in here as part of the handicap, right? [1:59:25] Like you should never bet an underdog, like being like, oh, well, [1:59:28] when they're down by 14 at the end of the game, [1:59:30] like they should be able to score a touchdown. [1:59:32] So down by 14 at the end of the game, you probably don't want to bet them. [1:59:34] But in the event that they are, you got Shadur Sanders, [1:59:39] is Travis Hunter and company to stroll on through that back door. [1:59:44] And I don't think Colorado is going to have to stroll on through the back door [1:59:47] because I have faith in this Colorado offense. [1:59:50] That may be Dylan Rayola and company in the Nebraska. [1:59:52] Ask offense, lay it on them a little bit. [1:59:54] Part of the reason why, I like the over in this game. [1:59:56] And also, give me the Colorado Buffaloes, a.k.a. the Colorado Buffa Joes. [2:00:02] Tyler, what's the slogan that you had on, like the unfortunate slogan on the t-shirt that you wore last week? [2:00:07] We coming. [2:00:10] Damn right we are. [2:00:11] And listen, and if Colorado wins and covers, you know, game goes over. [2:00:15] Just saying. [2:00:16] Give me Colorado and give me the over coming up against Nebraska.”
28-10 — Nebraska beat Colorado 28-10, a combined 38 points, under the 58.5 total (Nebraska Athletics official box score).
“[2:00:53] Now sitting, last I checked during the interview with PJ, Tennessee, a juiced 10 on the road, [2:00:59] like kind of like a quasi neutral site game, not a full neutral site game against NC State. [2:01:04] Like 10 minus 15 was the last I saw. [2:01:07] I feel like that's kind of gone too far also. [2:01:10] And maybe like we just wait to see like how far it goes. [2:01:12] A 10 and a half with NC State. [2:01:13] NC State's a really good team. [2:01:15] I'm not saying they're going to win against Tennessee, [2:01:17] and maybe Nico throws for eight touchdowns, [2:01:20] and the Heisman campaign kicks into overdrive, [2:01:21] and it's video game stats for Tennessee. [2:01:24] But as it stands right now, I'm going to end up taking those points [2:01:27] with the Wolfpack. [2:01:28] Famously, don't turn your back on them. [2:01:31] You might end up in a body bag. [2:01:33] Oh! [2:01:34] So NC State plus the points, Colorado and the over, [2:01:37] laying it with Oregon, taking it with Michigan.”
51-10 — Tennessee routed NC State 51-10, so NC State's -41 margin missed the +10.5 line by a wide margin (ESPN box score).
“[2:38:08] All right, there you have it. [2:38:08] One baseball bet for me tonight. [2:38:11] I'll lay minus 130. [2:38:12] Rangers minus, so the first five money line. [2:38:15] Rangers have to be winning at the end of five against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, [2:38:19] of North America, of Planet Earth, of the Milky Way Galaxy. [2:38:22] Their starting pitcher, Cody Bradford, is actually like really, really, really good. [2:38:26] I'm not going to try and pronounce the Angels pitcher's name. [2:38:28] He's not as good. [2:38:29] Give me the Rangers tonight. [2:38:30] First five minus a half, minus 130. [2:38:32] The Texas Rangers, first five. [2:38:34] My one baseball bet for tonight.”
3-1 — Texas led Los Angeles 3-1 after five innings, so the Rangers first-five -0.5 (win outright) covered (ESPN box score).
“[2:57:58] some tutties here. [2:57:59] You are the magnet [2:58:00] and I am the steal. [2:58:04] Beer, just like [2:58:05] limited amounts of money. Beer or pizza money. [2:58:08] The Chiefs get the ball down [2:58:09] by the goal line. You know they like to run [2:58:12] trick plays. You know who I think [2:58:13] might get a trick play tonight? Their [2:58:15] preseason sensation who runs [2:58:18] 4-7 in the 40-yard dash. [2:58:20] Carson Steele. [2:58:21] Beer or pizza money? Not a big bet, [2:58:24] please, on Carson Steele. [2:58:26] Now, Rasheed Ali is doubtful in this game [2:58:28] for the Ravens, which means behind Derrick Henry [2:58:30] it's probably going to be a lot of Justice Hill. [2:58:32] I think if you want to, Justice Hill, [2:58:34] Rashad Bateman, and Nelson Aguilar [2:58:36] at price. Everyone else [2:58:38] is like in the ones, plus one something. [2:58:40] Bateman, Aguilar, Justice Hill [2:58:42] if you want to sprinkle a little bit of pizza money [2:58:44] on each. And Carson, [2:58:45] You are the magnet. [2:58:47] I am the steal. [2:58:49] Plus 700. [2:58:50] Anytime. [2:58:51] Touchdown. [2:58:51] That does it for this edition of the show.”
The game's only touchdowns were by Derrick Henry, Xavier Worthy (x2), and Isaiah Likely; Carson Steele did not score against Baltimore — his only Arrowhead TD came in the August 22, 2024 preseason finale vs Chicago, not this game (ESPN recap/box score). (Carson Steele: 0 touchdowns)
“[1:42:18] I'll bet a juice three and a half. [1:42:20] I bet this game already, just saying for the people that don't have money on it. [1:42:23] I think the Jaguars are going to win the game. [1:42:25] And I like the over. [1:42:26] And I like Brian Thomas Jr. over 41 and a half receiving yards. [1:42:29] So quick pick number one for Femi. [1:42:30] Jags Dolphins over for me. [1:42:32] I like the Jaguars against the Miami Dolphins. [1:42:34] Femi, quick pick numero dos. [1:42:37] There's a three and a half in the market right now for the Pittsburgh Steelers. [1:42:40] It's minus 115, but at that point, I like the Steelers plus three. [1:42:44] So three and a half against Kirk Cousins, who we've yet to see play since around Halloween [1:42:48] when he tore his Achilles. [1:42:50] I don't care that Russell Wilson looks like the game manager of all game managers. [1:42:53] As long as he doesn't turn the football over, this will be a close game because the best [1:42:57] unit in this game is the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. [1:43:00] So I'm going to ride that defense. [1:43:02] Mike Tallman in these underdog spots. [1:43:03] It's the rah-rah. [1:43:04] He's going to get them going. [1:43:06] I think this is one of the closer games of week one. [1:43:08] Give me the Steelers three and a half on the road in Atlanta. [1:43:11] A little echo chambery here. [1:43:14] We've been doing the show for two weeks now. [1:43:15] Yeah, like duh.”
Dolphins 20, Jaguars 17 — Miami beat Jacksonville 20-17 on Sept 8, 2024; the Jaguars' 3-point loss covers +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:42:26] And I like Brian Thomas Jr. over 41 and a half receiving yards. [1:42:29] So quick pick number one for Femi. [1:42:30] Jags Dolphins over for me. [1:42:32] I like the Jaguars against the Miami Dolphins. [1:42:34] Femi, quick pick numero dos. [1:42:37] There's a three and a half in the market right now for the Pittsburgh Steelers. [1:42:40] It's minus 115, but at that point, I like the Steelers plus three. [1:42:44] So three and a half against Kirk Cousins, who we've yet to see play since around Halloween [1:42:48] when he tore his Achilles. [1:42:50] I don't care that Russell Wilson looks like the game manager of all game managers. [1:42:53] As long as he doesn't turn the football over, this will be a close game because the best [1:42:57] unit in this game is the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. [1:43:00] So I'm going to ride that defense. [1:43:02] Mike Tallman in these underdog spots. [1:43:03] It's the rah-rah. [1:43:04] He's going to get them going. [1:43:06] I think this is one of the closer games of week one. [1:43:08] Give me the Steelers three and a half on the road in Atlanta. [1:43:11] A little echo chambery here. [1:43:14] We've been doing the show for two weeks now. [1:43:15] Yeah, like duh. [1:43:16] I like the Steelers also. [1:43:18] The three and a half. [1:43:19] Hilarious. [1:43:20] I'm with Femi.”
Brian Thomas Jr. topped 41.5 receiving yards for Jacksonville against Miami on Sept 8, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Brian Thomas Jr.: 47 receiving yards)
“[1:43:16] I like the Steelers also. [1:43:18] The three and a half. [1:43:19] Hilarious. [1:43:20] I'm with Femi. [1:43:21] Pittsburgh Steelers plus three, plus three and a half on the road in Atlanta. [1:43:24] And just for any time touchdowns, keep this in mind. [1:43:26] We know Pat Friermuth is the Steelers' number one tight end in name at least on the depth chart. [1:43:32] In the preseason, Pittsburgh played all their tight ends basically. [1:43:36] I think this is going to be statistically probably a down year. [1:43:39] He's still their best tight end. [1:43:41] But we know what Arthur Smith wants to do. [1:43:42] He wants to play a billion tight ends. [1:43:44] Anytime touchdown-wise here, I think we'll have a Steelers backup tight end that makes the anytime touchdown card coming up for week one. [1:43:51] So Femi and I in concert. [1:43:52] Quick pick numero dos. [1:43:53] Both of us like the Pittsburgh Steelers. [1:43:55] Femi, quick pick numero tres for you. [1:43:57] I'm going to go into the over in that game of the AFC South, Texans and the Colts. [1:44:02] I love both of these offenses, or at least the prospects of both of these offenses. [1:44:06] I think Shane Steikin is going to have some more stuff cooked up for Anthony Richardson, [1:44:08] who I'm a little bit uncertain to how it's going to go, [1:44:11] but I think that uncertainty might play to the positive early in the season [1:44:14] when teams are still on their heels. [1:44:15] And I think the biggest mismatch of week one is the Texans passing game [1:44:19] against the Colts secondary.”
Steelers 18, Falcons 10 — Pittsburgh beat Atlanta 18-10 on Sept 8, 2024, covering +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:44:46] I'm sitting on Titans plus four and a half. [1:44:49] I'd bet three and a half also. [1:44:50] You know why? [1:44:51] Because the Titans are just going to go into Chicago [1:44:53] and win the game. [1:44:54] Like, what have the Bears done to show [1:44:55] that they deserve to be more than a field goal favorite against Tennessee? [1:44:59] The answer, nothing. [1:45:03] Quick pick number three for me. [1:45:05] Give me the Tennessee Titans on the road in Chicago against the Bears. [1:45:08] Quick break, and coming up next, Adam Chernoff's best bets for week one in the NFL. [1:45:15] We'll be right back with You Better You Bet, presented by BetMGM, [1:45:20] the sportsbook born in Vegas. [1:45:25] You're tuned in to You Better You Bet with Nick Costos and the Gamblers, presented by BetMGM. [1:45:36] Love the quick pick segments and last segment on the show. [1:45:41] And, you know, in the last break, Femi telling me that we've got some line movement coming up on some of these games. [1:45:46] Also, some of the games that we just discussed in the last segment. [1:45:48] So, the board lighting up here as we approach week one in the NFL. [1:45:52] 20 minutes from now, we'll give you all our baseball bets for tonight, including the home run parlay. [1:45:56] We look forward to that. [1:45:57] Danny Cannell and Brad Evans will join us in the Power Hour. [1:46:00] And in the Power Hour also, we'll give you all of our award predictions and bets coming up this NFL season. [1:46:06] But joining us right now, our first guest of football season here, year six of NFL season on You Better You Bet, [1:46:13] the 2024 National Football League campaign, is a guy that's been joining us literally since the beginning. [1:46:20] since the 2019 season.”
Bears 24, Titans 17 — Chicago beat Tennessee 24-17 on Sept 8, 2024; the Titans' 7-point loss busts +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“[2:09:51] maury povich's son is terrible i know the white socks stink also first five plus 210 plus 210 [2:09:58] white socks first five if that makes you sick wait till you hear this uh let's fade chris sale [2:10:04] with kyle freeland and the colorado rocky so when kyle freeland is out of course field [2:10:09] he's actually not terrible like look at his stats in the month of august he's actually [2:10:13] pitching decently, whereas Chris Sale is putting on his whip is more than one. [2:10:17] And I'm getting plus 250 in the first five. [2:10:20] So I just want to hit one of these. [2:10:21] Rockies and White Sox. [2:10:23] Both teams are terrible. [2:10:24] White Sox and Rockies. [2:10:25] First five for your boy tonight. [2:10:26] I will join Femi and fade my guy Phillips in the Philadelphia Phillies. [2:10:30] And I will bet on Chris Bassett. [2:10:31] Give me the Blue Jays plus 125 against the Philadelphia Phillies in a rematch, Femi, [2:10:35] of the 1993 World Series. [2:10:37] Hashtag Joe Carter. [2:10:38] Hashtag Mitch Williams. [2:10:40] I will go against Jake. [2:10:41] Give me the guards, the Cleveland Guardians, against the Kansas City Royals. [2:10:44] I think Brady Singer's absolutely terrible. [2:10:46] He'll be singing a tune tonight. [2:10:48] It'll be a loser's tune as the Guardians win the game and the first five, [2:10:51] and we will lose our Royals AL Central bets collectively, unfortunately. [2:10:55] I am with Jake, though. [2:10:56] Brewer's first five run line, minus a half, minus 125 in the first five.”
First five: Orioles 9, White Sox 0 (final: Orioles 9, White Sox 0) — Baltimore led Chicago 9-0 through five innings on Sept 3, 2024, so the White Sox first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:10:17] And I'm getting plus 250 in the first five. [2:10:20] So I just want to hit one of these. [2:10:21] Rockies and White Sox. [2:10:23] Both teams are terrible. [2:10:24] White Sox and Rockies. [2:10:25] First five for your boy tonight. [2:10:26] I will join Femi and fade my guy Phillips in the Philadelphia Phillies. [2:10:30] And I will bet on Chris Bassett. [2:10:31] Give me the Blue Jays plus 125 against the Philadelphia Phillies in a rematch, Femi, [2:10:35] of the 1993 World Series. [2:10:37] Hashtag Joe Carter. [2:10:38] Hashtag Mitch Williams. [2:10:40] I will go against Jake. [2:10:41] Give me the guards, the Cleveland Guardians, against the Kansas City Royals. [2:10:44] I think Brady Singer's absolutely terrible. [2:10:46] He'll be singing a tune tonight. [2:10:48] It'll be a loser's tune as the Guardians win the game and the first five, [2:10:51] and we will lose our Royals AL Central bets collectively, unfortunately. [2:10:55] I am with Jake, though. [2:10:56] Brewer's first five run line, minus a half, minus 125 in the first five. [2:11:00] A strict fade of Steven Matz, who was brutal before he was injured. [2:11:04] I'm not expecting a lot from him coming back, and we will bet on. [2:11:07] Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale. [2:11:11] So five first five bets tonight for Nicky first five, which takes us now to the home run parlay. [2:11:16] Jake, start us off here, please.”
Braves 3, Rockies 0 — Colorado trailed Atlanta 0-3 through five innings on Sept 3, 2024 (Braves won 3-0), so the Rockies first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:10:31] Give me the Blue Jays plus 125 against the Philadelphia Phillies in a rematch, Femi, [2:10:35] of the 1993 World Series. [2:10:37] Hashtag Joe Carter. [2:10:38] Hashtag Mitch Williams. [2:10:40] I will go against Jake. [2:10:41] Give me the guards, the Cleveland Guardians, against the Kansas City Royals. [2:10:44] I think Brady Singer's absolutely terrible. [2:10:46] He'll be singing a tune tonight. [2:10:48] It'll be a loser's tune as the Guardians win the game and the first five, [2:10:51] and we will lose our Royals AL Central bets collectively, unfortunately. [2:10:55] I am with Jake, though. [2:10:56] Brewer's first five run line, minus a half, minus 125 in the first five. [2:11:00] A strict fade of Steven Matz, who was brutal before he was injured. [2:11:04] I'm not expecting a lot from him coming back, and we will bet on. [2:11:07] Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale. [2:11:11] So five first five bets tonight for Nicky first five, which takes us now to the home run parlay. [2:11:16] Jake, start us off here, please. [2:11:19] First one is going to be Connor Joe, Cottonide's cousin, because he has great history against Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:25] He hit one last week when he saw Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:28] He's in the lineup tonight, a 937 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances. [2:11:32] I love the spot for him. [2:11:34] Jake, a question for you. [2:11:35] Where did you come from? [2:11:36] Where did you go? [2:11:37] why can't i think the next time what is the next line why am i blanking on that right now”
Phillies 10, Blue Jays 9 — Philadelphia beat Toronto 10-9 on Sept 3, 2024; the Blue Jays lost outright, busting +125 moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:10:41] Give me the guards, the Cleveland Guardians, against the Kansas City Royals. [2:10:44] I think Brady Singer's absolutely terrible. [2:10:46] He'll be singing a tune tonight. [2:10:48] It'll be a loser's tune as the Guardians win the game and the first five, [2:10:51] and we will lose our Royals AL Central bets collectively, unfortunately. [2:10:55] I am with Jake, though. [2:10:56] Brewer's first five run line, minus a half, minus 125 in the first five. [2:11:00] A strict fade of Steven Matz, who was brutal before he was injured. [2:11:04] I'm not expecting a lot from him coming back, and we will bet on. [2:11:07] Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale. [2:11:11] So five first five bets tonight for Nicky first five, which takes us now to the home run parlay. [2:11:16] Jake, start us off here, please. [2:11:19] First one is going to be Connor Joe, Cottonide's cousin, because he has great history against Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:25] He hit one last week when he saw Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:28] He's in the lineup tonight, a 937 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances. [2:11:32] I love the spot for him. [2:11:34] Jake, a question for you. [2:11:35] Where did you come from? [2:11:36] Where did you go? [2:11:37] why can't i think the next time what is the next line why am i blanking on that right now [2:11:44] where did you come from connor joe in this instance yeah connor joe [2:11:49] Tyler Morales uh home run parlay tonight connor connor joe i can't wait for this one to lose [2:11:57] connor joe number one tyler who do you got all right we'll bet we'll get we'll feed off this [2:12:02] one showy otani i teased it plus 250 to hit a home run i mean he's he's got to hit one eventually [2:12:07] is going against the Angels, and the weather is prime.”
Guardians 7, Royals 1 — Cleveland beat Kansas City 7-1 on Sept 3, 2024; the Guardians won outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“[2:10:56] Brewer's first five run line, minus a half, minus 125 in the first five. [2:11:00] A strict fade of Steven Matz, who was brutal before he was injured. [2:11:04] I'm not expecting a lot from him coming back, and we will bet on. [2:11:07] Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale, Sivale. [2:11:11] So five first five bets tonight for Nicky first five, which takes us now to the home run parlay. [2:11:16] Jake, start us off here, please. [2:11:19] First one is going to be Connor Joe, Cottonide's cousin, because he has great history against Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:25] He hit one last week when he saw Kyle Hendricks. [2:11:28] He's in the lineup tonight, a 937 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances. [2:11:32] I love the spot for him. [2:11:34] Jake, a question for you. [2:11:35] Where did you come from? [2:11:36] Where did you go? [2:11:37] why can't i think the next time what is the next line why am i blanking on that right now [2:11:44] where did you come from connor joe in this instance yeah connor joe [2:11:49] Tyler Morales uh home run parlay tonight connor connor joe i can't wait for this one to lose [2:11:57] connor joe number one tyler who do you got all right we'll bet we'll get we'll feed off this [2:12:02] one showy otani i teased it plus 250 to hit a home run i mean he's he's got to hit one eventually [2:12:07] is going against the Angels, and the weather is prime. [2:12:09] So show it with Tani. [2:12:10] Yeah, against Ty and Coy's younger brother, Reed. [2:12:14] Femi, who's in the home run parlay for you tonight? [2:12:17] Wasn't there another Detmer out there for the Philadelphia Eagles? [2:12:20] It was Ty and Coy. [2:12:21] I don't know.”
First five: Brewers 3, Cardinals 3 (final, 12 innings: Cardinals 7, Brewers 4) — Milwaukee and St. Louis were tied 3-3 through five innings on Sept 3, 2024, so the Brewers did not win by the required half-run and the first-five -0.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:36:41] at the beginning of the show I got the script uh my sources out in Vegas are telling me that I have the answer Like Femi right Unfortunately because it boring Patrick Mahomes to win NFL Most Valuable Player Tyler agree or disagree on Mahomes [2:36:56] I mean, Femi took what I was taking word for word. [2:36:58] I was going to pick Jared Goff. [2:36:59] I didn't know the people were actually going to give it to him. [2:37:01] So let's go Patrick Mahomes. [2:37:02] I feel this is going to be an easy one here. [2:37:04] I was hoping Tyler would say Lawrence Butler. [2:37:06] Jake, please don't make this a clean sweep. [2:37:07] Give us someone else to an MVP. [2:37:09] no I was actually going to go with my homes but then I figured this would happen so I intentionally [2:37:14] went another way because I'm actually terrified of this happening and as such that's why I'm [2:37:19] convinced it's going to happen I kind of think Jordan Love is going to make another insane leap [2:37:23] like I don't think the second half of last year was a fluke and as a jaded Bears fan of course the [2:37:29] Packers are just going to get another guy that torments me for another 20 years of my life [2:37:32] why wouldn't that happen why should I ever be allowed happiness so I kind of think Jordan Love [2:37:37] and the Matt LaFleur pairing with him. [2:37:39] I think the receivers take a leap. [2:37:40] I'm going to go different, contrarian, Jordan Love. [2:37:43] Did you guys win the kickball championship on Thursday night? [2:37:47] Oh, buddy, it was a whole thing. [2:37:49] No, nope, lost in extra innings, got walked off on one to nothing. [2:37:54] Thanks for that. [2:37:54] Appreciate it. [2:37:55] Yeah, I saw that on his Instagram, but he said denied happiness. [2:37:59] I was like, you know what, let's bring this up.”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award; Patrick Mahomes did not win (Wikipedia NFL MVP Award). (2024 AP NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
“[2:39:35] Give me Garrett Wilson of the New York Jets at 30 to 1. [2:39:38] Catching a ton of passes all season long from Aaron Rodgers. [2:39:42] Garrett Wilson at 30 to 1. [2:39:44] Let's quickly do defensive player of the year, which is like probably one of the top three pass rushers on the board. [2:39:48] I guess you could go somewhere else if you wanted to. [2:39:50] Femi, you want to go somewhere else or you're going to go with one of the top three? [2:39:53] I'll be going somewhere else after being a chalk eater for MVP and offensive player of the year. [2:39:57] I'm actually going to go right back to the team that you like, Nick, and that's gang green, the New York Jets. [2:40:02] I'm going to go with Quinnen Williams to win defensive player of the year. [2:40:05] Typically, you have to be one of those all pro caliber guys. [2:40:08] He's been a first team all pro in his career. [2:40:11] And also the fact that the Jets offense is now competent. [2:40:13] I think that's going to give him more pass rush opportunities. [2:40:16] And he's going to take another step forward in that regard. [2:40:18] He has a double digit sack season already under his belt in his career. [2:40:22] I think he sees another one this year and he is the defining player on the defining defense this season. [2:40:27] Quinnen Williams my defensive player of the year defining player on the defining defense like that [2:40:32] it's like you're channeling your inner joe davis there that was very well done tyler defensive [2:40:35] player of the year from you here's a chalky pick oh michael parsons career trajectory just feels [2:40:40] like it's setting up for a uh Offensive Player of the year everyone else up there is one he's [2:40:44] next michael parsons jake i am also going chalky different way tj watt after he got i mean i know [2:40:52] he was mad last year whatever the weird tweet so narrative motivated wants it is going to make a [2:40:57] case to actually just go and get it and make sure nobody else can question it on uh on our video [2:41:02] screen here we have like his full name instead of i didn't know his name was trent jordan watt i [2:41:06] think i like tj a lot better i'll go i'll go off the beaten path here also because i think this team”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; Garrett Wilson did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL OPOY: Saquon Barkley)
“[2:41:32] Josh Allen Hines by the way did you guys know Josh Allen one sack Josh Allen just uh ask Scott [2:41:37] Hanson he'd love to tell you Josh Allen 30 to 1 defensive player of the year let's quickly roll [2:41:43] through the rest of your offensive rookie Femi I'm gonna go with Jayden Daniels I think he is [2:41:48] gonna have an outstanding season for the Washington Commanders and I think they're gonna make a push [2:41:51] towards making the playoffs that's gonna give him the nod in this over someone like Caleb Williams [2:41:55] Tyler Morales we know how I feel about this Caleb Williams I think this is a once in a generation [2:42:01] guy I think this is a guy that's capable of leading some team to a playoffs in their first [2:42:04] year I think he's gonna put up monster numbers Caleb Williams is my pick Pat Buchanan just [2:42:09] kidding jake hasan offensive rookie i tried to not let my bias play into this i went with caleb i [2:42:14] just mostly trying to manifest that he's awesome all right i guess i'm the one that's going off [2:42:18] the beaten path here i can't wait to see how it ends up um listen five and a half receptions this [2:42:24] is number on sunday he's going to go over that in the first 30 minutes of the game the price is still [2:42:28] crazy it's malik neighbors it's probably not it's actually probably jayden daniels or caleb williams [2:42:33] maybe bo nicks but uh just for this because i bet this also because i think the number is crazy [2:42:38] Malik Neighbors, 14-1 [2:42:40] Offensive rookie [2:42:41] Does anyone want to make the case for someone for defensive rookie of the year? [2:42:44] Do we want to skip this one because it feels like a total crapshoot? [2:42:47] Tyler, defensive rookie [2:42:48] Make a case? [2:42:49] Yeah, I don't like the defensive ends this year to be honest [2:42:52] Three corners have won in the last nine years [2:42:54] So not often [2:42:55] Vic Fangio said Quinyon Mitchell is going to play every single snap for this defense [2:42:59] And the way they're hyping this guy”
Patrick Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Josh Hines-Allen did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL DPOY: Patrick Surtain II)
“[2:42:33] maybe bo nicks but uh just for this because i bet this also because i think the number is crazy [2:42:38] Malik Neighbors, 14-1 [2:42:40] Offensive rookie [2:42:41] Does anyone want to make the case for someone for defensive rookie of the year? [2:42:44] Do we want to skip this one because it feels like a total crapshoot? [2:42:47] Tyler, defensive rookie [2:42:48] Make a case? [2:42:49] Yeah, I don't like the defensive ends this year to be honest [2:42:52] Three corners have won in the last nine years [2:42:54] So not often [2:42:55] Vic Fangio said Quinyon Mitchell is going to play every single snap for this defense [2:42:59] And the way they're hyping this guy [2:43:01] I've never seen from a rookie on the Eagles [2:43:03] Which is pretty insane [2:43:04] So Quinyon Mitchell is my pick [2:43:05] Femi? [2:43:07] I'm going to go with Byron Murphy II of the Seattle Seahawks. [2:43:10] A lot of evaluators actually thought he was the best defensive player in this draft. [2:43:14] And the John Schneider was absolutely giddy that he fell to them in the team. [2:43:18] So Byron Murphy II is this new centerpiece of Mike McDonald's defense. [2:43:21] I like him to win D-Roy. [2:43:23] Let's talk about some nerdy stuff here and some IDP dynasty leagues that I do. [2:43:29] I have Byron Murphy II in all of them. [2:43:31] Just like it's really, really, really terrible. [2:43:34] IDP dynasty.”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Malik Nabers did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL OROY: Jayden Daniels)
“[2:43:56] I'll actually go with the Pittsburgh Steeler linebacker, Payton Wilson at 30-1. [2:44:01] Like, beer money on this. [2:44:02] I need to wait to see how these guys look. [2:44:04] I think this market is the biggest crapshoot every single year, [2:44:07] defensive rookie of the year Let try and get coach in here Maybe we do comeback on the other side Femi Abebefe coach of the year Skullbaby we going with Kevin O I think the Vikings is my surprise team in the NFC [2:44:18] Tyler, I think I might get KOC tattooed on his ass by the end of the year. [2:44:22] We'll pass Tyler, who's doing the skull cheer. [2:44:25] Jake, coach of the year. [2:44:26] Matt Eberflus or no? [2:44:28] Oh, God. [2:44:29] Not even with your grandmother's money. [2:44:31] I'm going the other way. [2:44:32] I'm going O'Connell. [2:44:33] Me, Tyler, and Femi, if O'Connell wins us at the home run parlays, [2:44:36] we're retiring to an island. [2:44:37] my grandma's dead you jerk i just so so no money to give to mattie [2:44:42] so that's correct so that's so there's no money also no money on mattie [2:44:47] i'll take here brian callahan of your tennessee titans and ken always said [2:44:55] this and he's right the thought should be you say who's going to win coach of [2:44:58] the year and you're you should think wow like that team's going to be terrible [2:45:01] exactly i think the titans have the upside to win like nine games this year if will levis is good [2:45:08] and i think will levis is going to be good which does not mean that i think tennessee is definitely [2:45:12] going to win nine games just that at price right now the increase that i think they can make in [2:45:16] terms of wins and losses like mike the seahawks won nine games last year how many does mike [2:45:20] mcdonald have to win to win coach of the year i don't hate the kevin o'connell thought but i do”
Jared Verse won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Payton Wilson did not win (Wikipedia AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Award). (2024 AP NFL DROY: Jared Verse)
“[2:21:45] what i like to do especially after a performance like that that he had last saturday i'm gonna [2:21:50] fade him natural aggression baby it has to happen especially against the red sox team that's seen [2:21:54] him so i i think the end of the line comes here for boat and francis sorry but see ya great well i We can go mano here I can be wrong Hopefully I right Blue Jays first five plus 105 against that jabroni Cutter Crawford [2:22:08] We throw some cutters down the middle of the plate and get taken out over the green monster. [2:22:12] Blue Jays plus 105 first five. [2:22:14] That is my best bet for tonight.”
TOR 1, BOS 0 (through 5 innings) — Toronto led Boston 1-0 through five innings, so the Blue Jays' first-five moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:22:16] A couple others. [2:22:17] I will go again mano-i-mano against Jake here with Brady Singer, Stevenson. [2:22:22] Give me Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros tonight. [2:22:25] First five, minus a half, minus 115.”
KC 0, HOU 2 (through 5 innings) — Houston led Kansas City 2-0 through five innings, so the Astros' first-five -0.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:22:37] So when we have two bad pitchers and two pretty good offenses, [2:22:41] I'll take a shot on the Orioles' first five and plus money against the Dodgers. [2:22:45] Or, again, just like both pitchers are bad and give up runs, [2:22:48] so let me take plus money here with a good offense. [2:22:53] Orioles first five plus 120. [2:22:54] Maybe Kate Povich could pitch well. [2:22:56] We'll get to play a Joe Davis highlight on the show at some point for Kate Povich for the Baltimore Orioles. [2:23:00] So my three baseball bets, game bets.”
BAL 3, LAD 5 (through 5 innings) — The Dodgers led Baltimore 5-3 through five innings, so the Orioles' first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:24:55] So I will not have this player in the home run parlay. [2:24:59] I have somebody else, but I am betting Trea Turner to homer tonight in that same game. [2:25:03] So I do have Trea Turner to home run tonight, Tyler with Kyle Schwarber.”
Trea Turner did not homer as Atlanta beat Philadelphia 5-4 (ESPN box score). (Trea Turner: 0 HR)
“[2:33:31] My college football bets for this weekend. [2:33:34] I bet North Carolina nine and a half. [2:33:35] Excuse me. [2:33:36] Now I'm stumbling. [2:33:37] I bet Colorado nine and a half. [2:33:39] Helps nobody but me. [2:33:40] Shout out to me on the CLV. [2:33:41] Hopefully I win. [2:33:42] So I'm on Colorado for tonight with Tyler.”
Colorado 31, North Dakota State 26 — Colorado beat North Dakota State 31-26; the Buffaloes' +5 margin busts the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:33:46] I'll wait for a 10 tomorrow night with Stanford and TCU. [2:33:52] If not, I'll just take the 9.5 with the tree. [2:33:55] That was Joey Kanisha's bet yesterday that he really loved. [2:33:57] Give me Stanford plus the 9.5.”
TCU 34, Stanford 27 — TCU defeated Stanford 34-27; Stanford's -7 margin covers the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:34:34] I get it also. [2:34:36] When everyone's out, I think I'd like to be in. [2:34:39] 21 is the number I'd like to lay or less. [2:34:41] Not 21-and-a-half, 21-20-and-a-half, three touchdowns or less with Michigan with Sharon Moore in his first game as the full-time head coach against Fresno State.”
Michigan 30, Fresno State 10 — Michigan defeated Fresno State 30-10; the Wolverines' +20 margin busts the -21 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:35:52] So UCLA is playing Hawaii this year. [2:35:54] Is Timmy Chang the coach of Hawaii? [2:35:56] I don't know who the coach is. [2:35:57] I can't name one player on the team. [2:35:59] I don't care at all. [2:36:00] I'm betting against Deshaun Foster. [2:36:01] Foster, Australian for losers. [2:36:03] Hawaii plus 14 against UCLA.”
UCLA 16, Hawaii 13 — UCLA defeated Hawai'i 16-13; the Rainbow Warriors' -3 margin covers the +14 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:36:29] And the point spread's only four and a half against an LSU team that produced last year's Heisman Trophy winner. [2:36:34] Two first-round picks at the receiver position. [2:36:36] So look, this is like a Feliz Naritava-Nikki narrative bet. [2:36:39] I'll take the four and a half with USC and feel really good about it.”
USC 27, LSU 20 — USC defeated LSU 27-20; USC's +7 margin covers the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[2:34:51] I will go against Femi. [2:34:53] I will go against Sammy P. [2:34:54] I'm going to find the cheapest money line I can find on A&M, and my sense is, after what Sam said earlier in the line update that Femi gave on this game, [2:35:02] I think we're going to see this game come off three and maybe close A&M less than a three-point favorite, which means the money line will get a little cheaper. [2:35:08] I'll be looking for a cheap money line priced on Saturday with Connor Wegman and Texas A&M against Riley Leonard and Notre Dame.”
Notre Dame 23, Texas A&M 13 — Texas A&M lost to Notre Dame 23-13, moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:27:21] or goring him through a table [2:27:22] like Ryan O used to do back in the day. [2:27:23] So this may be one that I regret when it's like Yankees 6, [2:27:27] national 6 after 5. [2:27:29] But I'll play Yankees first 5 minus a half, [2:27:33] and I'll lay minus 140 to do it. [2:27:35] And then the Yankees will touch up Gore. [2:27:37] And I – do I have enough faith in Rodonnaman, I guess, [2:27:39] so I already bet it, so I'm in on it. [2:27:41] Yankees first 5 minus a half minus 140, [2:27:44] a bet against Mackenzie Gore, a bet on the Yankees offense. [2:27:47] Give me the Blue Jays at plus money,”
NYY 2, WSH 5 (through 5 innings) — Washington led the Yankees 5-2 through five innings, so New York's first-five -0.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:27:41] Yankees first 5 minus a half minus 140, [2:27:44] a bet against Mackenzie Gore, a bet on the Yankees offense. [2:27:47] Give me the Blue Jays at plus money, [2:27:49] first 5 on the road in Boston against the Red Sox. [2:27:52] Chris Bassett starting to pitch better. [2:27:55] Brian Bellow gives up runs in bunches. [2:27:57] Blue Jays plus 110, first five on the road at the Red Sox. [2:28:02] How about Jake giving out my guy, Fiesta Fiesta. [2:28:06] Oh, it's a party whenever David Festa takes the mound. [2:28:10] I'm going to play on Festa and play against Chris Sale, [2:28:15] who quietly is giving up tons of base hits in the month of August. [2:28:21] Not been a good month of August for Chris Sale.”
TOR 0, BOS 1 (through 5 innings) — Boston led Toronto 1-0 through five innings, so the Blue Jays' first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:28:24] He's putting a lot of guys on base. [2:28:26] Festa striking a lot of guys out. [2:28:28] Give me, in this 1991 World Series rematch, the team that won the 1991 World Series in seven. [2:28:33] Shout out to the late great Kirby Bucket. [2:28:35] Shout out to Jack Morris. [2:28:37] Ken Herbeck and company. [2:28:38] Give me the Minnesota Twins first five plus 120 against Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves. [2:28:44] Two more for you. [2:28:45] Joe Musgrove pitching really well for the Padres. [2:28:48] I love the Padres right now. [2:28:49] I think they're going to be all over the Redbirds tonight. [2:28:51] I don't like Palante pitching for St. Louis.”
ATL 1, MIN 0 (through 5 innings) — Atlanta led Minnesota 1-0 through five innings, so the Twins' first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:28:38] Give me the Minnesota Twins first five plus 120 against Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves. [2:28:44] Two more for you. [2:28:45] Joe Musgrove pitching really well for the Padres. [2:28:48] I love the Padres right now. [2:28:49] I think they're going to be all over the Redbirds tonight. [2:28:51] I don't like Palante pitching for St. Louis. [2:28:54] Give me the San Diego Padres minus 125 in the first five against the Redbirds. [2:28:59] And last one. [2:29:00] So Jake talked about, yes, like Walker Bueller's bad, I understand. [2:29:03] Are people paying attention to Corbin Burns' recent run of form? [2:29:08] He's been like kind of not, he's worse, like sales been better. [2:29:13] Neither guy has pitched well.”
SD 2, STL 3 (through 5 innings) — St. Louis led San Diego 3-2 through five innings, so the Padres' first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:29:13] Neither guy has pitched well. [2:29:15] Burns is putting tons of guys on base. [2:29:17] So I can see why the Orioles are appealing. I'm not saying they can't win, just that I'm not really confident backing Corbin Burns. Instead, what I will do is play the first five over four and a half. First five over four and a half with the Orioles and the Dodgers tonight, not just to play against Bueller. Bueller. But get Smithers on the phone. We'll also bet against Mr. Burns. [2:29:40] First five over four and a half with the Orioles and the Dodgers. [2:29:43] So Yankees first five minus a half. [2:29:44] Blue Jays first five against the Red Sox. [2:29:46] Twins first five against the Braves. [2:29:47] Padres first five against the Cardinals. [2:29:49] And first five over four and a half in L.A. with the Orioles and the Dodgers. [2:29:53] On the other side, our best bets and tonight's home run parlay [2:29:58] to give you and your family generational wealth. [2:30:04] We'll be right back with You Better You Bet, presented by BetMGM.”
BAL 4, LAD 6 (through 5 innings) — Baltimore and the Dodgers combined for 10 runs through five innings (BAL 4, LAD 6), over the 4.5 first-five total (ESPN box score).
“[2:35:35] Okay. [2:35:36] I would actually like to – I shouldn't do this because I'm the winner here and you guys are the losers based on the recent results. [2:35:42] I have three. [2:35:44] I have three home runs. [2:35:45] So I'm going to bet all three of these guys. [2:35:47] So here's what I'm thinking for the home run parlay. [2:35:50] Like Tyler, I like Tigers against Griffin Canning. [2:35:55] The Tiger that I chose. [2:35:57] Colt. [2:35:58] Keith. [2:36:00] Does he wear number 45? [2:36:01] He should.”
Colt Keith did not homer as Detroit beat the Angels 3-2; Spencer Torkelson hit the Tigers' only home run (ESPN box score). (Colt Keith: 0 HR)
“[2:36:02] Colt. [2:36:03] Keith. [2:36:04] How about if Walker Bueller is going to serve him up? [2:36:08] Ramon Urías [2:36:09] Plus 900. [2:36:10] Hitting the ball hard for the Baltimore Orioles. [2:36:13] Or, you know what we could do? [2:36:15] we could just bet on the game in Coors Field [2:36:19] against the pitcher that serves up home runs every start. [2:36:22] That would be Max Meyer for the Miami Marlins. [2:36:26] I'm gazing into the crystal ball. [2:36:28] I'm feeling something like a prophet.”
Ramón Urías did not homer as the Dodgers beat Baltimore 6-4 (ESPN box score). (Ramón Urías: 0 HR)
“[2:26:58] It's really excellent. [2:26:59] Anyway, more positive things. [2:27:01] Let's try and win some bets on Herder for the Tigers. [2:27:04] In lieu of laying the big first five price, [2:27:06] I'll lay the Tigers minus a half. [2:27:09] First, I have to be winning. [2:27:10] The tide, I lose, not push. [2:27:12] Tigers minus a half, first five minus 120. [2:27:15] Herder against Johnny Cueto. [2:27:18] Femi, me and you riding together. [2:27:23] I'm Justin Steele. [2:27:25] Let's go. [2:27:26] Yeah, hell yeah. [2:27:27] You are the magnet, and I am the steal. [2:27:31] With Justin Steele against Jared Jones.”
DET 3, LAA 2 (through 5 innings) — Detroit led the Angels 3-2 through five innings en route to a 6-2 win, covering the first-five Tigers -0.5.
“[2:27:15] Herder against Johnny Cueto. [2:27:18] Femi, me and you riding together. [2:27:23] I'm Justin Steele. [2:27:25] Let's go. [2:27:26] Yeah, hell yeah. [2:27:27] You are the magnet, and I am the steal. [2:27:31] With Justin Steele against Jared Jones. [2:27:33] We did the bit already. [2:27:34] Cubs first five, all A minus 135. [2:27:37] Steele's been great, especially on the road, as Femi told you, [2:27:39] and we don't trust Jared Jones. [2:27:42] Coming off an injury. [2:27:43] I'm with Jake on the Royals here, and Michael Lorenzen, [2:27:46] since he came over, Jake's saying he's pitched well. [2:27:47] He's pitched really well recently, starting to find his form with his new team.”
CHC 9, PIT 2 (through 5 innings) — Cubs led Pittsburgh 9-2 through five innings en route to a 9-5 win; Cubs first-five moneyline covers.
“[2:27:39] and we don't trust Jared Jones. [2:27:42] Coming off an injury. [2:27:43] I'm with Jake on the Royals here, and Michael Lorenzen, [2:27:46] since he came over, Jake's saying he's pitched well. [2:27:47] He's pitched really well recently, starting to find his form with his new team. [2:27:51] Give me the Royals first five. [2:27:52] Plus 130 is an insane number here. [2:27:55] The Royals, I think, should be favored. [2:27:56] WTF, wrong team favorite. [2:27:58] Give me the Kansas City Royals on the first five. [2:28:00] Plus 130. [2:28:01] And then, one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, your Toronto Blue Jays. [2:28:10] Mason or Red Sox Criswell. [2:28:12] What a brutal name. [2:28:14] Serving them up.”
KC 2, CLE 1 (through 5 innings) — Kansas City led Cleveland 2-1 through five innings en route to a 6-1 win; Royals first-five moneyline covers.
“[2:28:22] Who cares? [2:28:22] I mean, he pitched really well recently. [2:28:25] I'm putting my own money on this. [2:28:27] Blue Jays first five plus they should be favored. [2:28:29] Yariel, whatever. [2:28:31] Jays first five, they should be favored plus 115. [2:28:34] So my game bets, Tigers first five minus a half minus 120. [2:28:39] Cubs first five minus 135. [2:28:41] Royals first five plus 130. [2:28:43] Jays first five plus 115. [2:28:48] On the other side, the slackers on the crew will try to keep pace with me. [2:28:55] the Billy Walters of the modern era. [2:28:58] The home run part. [2:29:00] Coming up next, one day after I gave you Vincent Kennedy Ryan McMahon. [2:29:09] We'll be right back with You Better You Bet, presented by BetMGM, the sportsbook born in Vegas.”
BOS 6, TOR 1 (through 5 innings) — Boston led Toronto 6-1 through five innings en route to a 6-3 win; Blue Jays first-five moneyline busts.
“[2:33:29] is my entrant into the home run parlay. [2:33:31] And I swear to God this is true. [2:33:34] I had the third Melendez brother. [2:33:38] I had MJ written down as well. [2:33:39] I am betting MJ Melendez to hit home run tonight. [2:33:41] That is the truth. [2:33:42] So the home run parlay for tonight. [2:33:44] Tovar, Torkelson, Olsen, and Garcia. [2:33:47] 825 to 1. [2:33:49] That's it. [2:33:50] So let's get some generational wealth and hashtag feed families with the home run parlay for tonight. [2:33:56] Okay. [2:33:57] Here's what I want to do now. [2:33:58] Tyler, we can save some of the stuff that you've got, Tyler, [2:34:02] because I want Jake to talk about his next-door neighbor”
KC 6, CLE 1 — MJ Melendez doubled but did not homer in Kansas City's 6-1 win over Cleveland. (MJ Melendez: 0 HR)
“[2:28:27] First five bet numero uno. [2:28:29] All of these, of course, can be found over at BetMGM. [2:28:31] Give me the Buccos. [2:28:33] Give me the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. [2:28:34] First five minus 115 against the Chicago Cubs. [2:28:37] Mitch Keller coming off a really good start against the Texas Rangers. [2:28:40] And I trust him more than I trust Jamison Tayo, the former Yankee, and others. [2:28:45] So give me the Pirates' first five against the Chicago Cubs. [2:28:48] Give me the first five under, under four, [2:28:51] with the Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins [2:28:53] in the hotly anticipated 1991 World Series rematch [2:28:56] that the world has been waiting for. [2:28:59] Max Fried is coming off a really good start. [2:29:01] I trust him. [2:29:01] And Bailey Ober has been awesome. [2:29:03] Give me first five under four with the Braves and the Twins. [2:29:06] Jack Morris not walking through that door. [2:29:08] First five under four with the Braves and the Twins.”
CHC 3, PIT 2 (through 5 innings) — Cubs led Pittsburgh 3-2 through five innings en route to an 18-8 win; Pirates first-five moneyline busts.
“[2:28:40] And I trust him more than I trust Jamison Tayo, the former Yankee, and others. [2:28:45] So give me the Pirates' first five against the Chicago Cubs. [2:28:48] Give me the first five under, under four, [2:28:51] with the Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins [2:28:53] in the hotly anticipated 1991 World Series rematch [2:28:56] that the world has been waiting for. [2:28:59] Max Fried is coming off a really good start. [2:29:01] I trust him. [2:29:01] And Bailey Ober has been awesome. [2:29:03] Give me first five under four with the Braves and the Twins. [2:29:06] Jack Morris not walking through that door. [2:29:08] First five under four with the Braves and the Twins. [2:29:11] A late add to me. [2:29:13] This did not make my original card, and then I thought more about it. [2:29:16] I'll play the Padres' first five with Randy Vasquez, minus 105, at the St. Louis Cardinals. [2:29:21] This won a strict fade of Kyle Gibson. [2:29:23] So give me the Padres' offense. [2:29:24] I think they'll bludgeon Kyle Gibson, Padres' first five against the Cardinals.”
ATL 9, MIN 3 (through 5 innings) — Atlanta and Minnesota combined for 12 runs through five innings (Atlanta 9, Minnesota 3), over the first-five 4 total.
“[2:29:06] Jack Morris not walking through that door. [2:29:08] First five under four with the Braves and the Twins. [2:29:11] A late add to me. [2:29:13] This did not make my original card, and then I thought more about it. [2:29:16] I'll play the Padres' first five with Randy Vasquez, minus 105, at the St. Louis Cardinals. [2:29:21] This won a strict fade of Kyle Gibson. [2:29:23] So give me the Padres' offense. [2:29:24] I think they'll bludgeon Kyle Gibson, Padres' first five against the Cardinals. [2:29:28] And then I'll go to that Rays-Mariners game that Jake talked about, [2:29:32] and I'll play the first five under three and a half. [2:29:34] Bryce Miller's been awesome, agreed there, and the Rays lineup has been pretty impotent. [2:29:39] But Ryan Pepio has been really good also, starting games for Tampa, [2:29:42] and it's not like Seattle's lineup is the 24th. [2:29:45] Yankees. So it's a low number. It should be a low number. First five under three and a half with the [2:29:49] Rays and the Mariners. So those are the game bets for tonight in Major League Baseball. On the other [2:29:54] side, we will debut the new look, home run parlay, courtesy of the crew. And we'll talk more about [2:30:00] the new contest that we'll have here every day in the Power Hour on You Better You Bet, and how you, [2:30:04] our listeners and viewers, can start getting involved. We'll also get some divisional futures”
SD 7, STL 2 (through 5 innings) — San Diego led St. Louis 7-2 through five innings en route to a 7-4 win; Padres first-five moneyline covers.
“[2:29:23] So give me the Padres' offense. [2:29:24] I think they'll bludgeon Kyle Gibson, Padres' first five against the Cardinals. [2:29:28] And then I'll go to that Rays-Mariners game that Jake talked about, [2:29:32] and I'll play the first five under three and a half. [2:29:34] Bryce Miller's been awesome, agreed there, and the Rays lineup has been pretty impotent. [2:29:39] But Ryan Pepio has been really good also, starting games for Tampa, [2:29:42] and it's not like Seattle's lineup is the 24th. [2:29:45] Yankees. So it's a low number. It should be a low number. First five under three and a half with the [2:29:49] Rays and the Mariners. So those are the game bets for tonight in Major League Baseball. On the other [2:29:54] side, we will debut the new look, home run parlay, courtesy of the crew. And we'll talk more about [2:30:00] the new contest that we'll have here every day in the Power Hour on You Better You Bet, and how you, [2:30:04] our listeners and viewers, can start getting involved. We'll also get some divisional futures [2:30:08] in Major League Baseball from Jake on the AL Central and the NL West. It's all coming up next. [2:30:15] We'll be right back with You Better You Bet, presented by BetMGM, the sportsbook born in Vegas. [2:30:34] This is You Better You Bet, presented by BetMGM. [2:30:38] All right. Keep sending in those submissions on social media, on Twitter, YouTube, and Twitch. [2:30:46] Your favorite bet to make the college football playoff. [2:30:48] We will talk about them coming up next segment here to end the show on this magnificent Football Monday.”
SEA 5, TB 1 (through 5 innings) — Tampa Bay and Seattle combined for 6 runs through five innings (Seattle 5, Tampa Bay 1), over the first-five 3.5 total.
“[2:44:11] So those will be my two. [2:44:12] It'll be Padres Cardinals and Nats Yankees. [2:44:15] I'd like to add by the way that I'll bet Jackson Merrill to hit a home run [2:44:18] tonight since I'm on the Padres first five anyway and fading Kyle Gibson. [2:44:21] We don't have to have him. [2:44:22] Brian McBrien Kennedy McMahon can stay in the home run parlay, [2:44:26] but I'll have a bet on Jackson Merrill for tonight. [2:44:28] And the only thing that I've always said this, [2:44:30] the only thing better than three streams for So that really let get the quad stream cross here and I add my stream to the mix In addition to the games that I betting which I be watching I am a New York Yankees fan [2:44:48] and I live in mortal fear of my team getting bounced in October because it happens constantly. [2:44:53] I'll be watching tonight nasty Nestor Cortez and my New York Yankees, hoping that they get, [2:45:00] So this is the setup. [2:45:01] It'll be one TV, Yankees, other TV flipping back and forth between games, [2:45:05] stat tracker on my phone while I'm doing like fantasy football drafts [2:45:08] because we are in the heart of fantasy football draft season. [2:45:11] But my big stream crossing tonight, because I am a Yankees fan, [2:45:14] well, even if I'm not betting the game, [2:45:16] we'll have my New York Yankees on the big TV.”
SD 7, STL 4 — Jackson Merrill went 2-for-5 with two singles (no home run) in San Diego's 7-4 win over St. Louis. (Jackson Merrill: 0 HR)
“[53:10] Yeah, like White Sox first five and full game, please. [53:15] Easiest bet on the board tonight in baseball.”
4-1 — Yankees led 3-0 through five innings and won 4-1; White Sox first-five moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[53:10] Yeah, like White Sox first five and full game, please. [53:15] Easiest bet on the board tonight in baseball.”
4-1 — Yankees beat White Sox 4-1 on August 13, 2024; White Sox full-game moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:17:14] Minus 140. [2:17:15] Reds first five minus a half.”
CIN 3, MIA 4 (through 5 innings) — The Marlins led the Reds 4-3 through five innings (Reds scored 2-0-1-0-0, Marlins 1-0-0-3-0), so Cincinnati did not win the first five innings outright, missing the -0.5 line (ESPN box score).
“[2:28:31] Dallas, Miami, Vegas at three, Packers plus at more than three,”
MIN 24, LV 23 — The Vikings beat the Raiders 24-23 on a last-second field goal, so Las Vegas lost outright and did not cover -3 (ESPN game recap).
“[2:28:37] Tampa at six, Saints, Cardinals under for me.”
TB 17, CIN 14 — Tampa Bay beat Cincinnati 17-14, winning outright by 3 and easily covering the +6 line (ESPN game recap).
“[2:28:45] It's really just Patriots money line for a little bit with this other stuff.”
NE 17, CAR 3 — New England beat Carolina 17-3, so the Patriots moneyline pick wins (ESPN box score).
“[8:28] Padres, minus a half, first five, minus 120, [8:31] with Michael King, my nephew, against Marco Gonzalez.”
SD 5, PIT 4 (through 5 innings) — The Padres led the Pirates 5-4 through five innings on the way to a 9-8 win, covering the -0.5 first-five spread (ESPN box score).
“[9:00] Giants minus a half, first five, minus 105, bet on Blake Snell.”
SF 5, WAS 3 (through 5 innings) — The Giants led the Nationals 5-3 through five innings on the way to a 7-4 win, covering the -0.5 first-five spread (ESPN box score).
“[20:59] I like the Niners' win total under 11.5, even if they keep Brandon Ayuk this season,”
The 49ers finished the 2024 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5-win total (ESPN). (San Francisco 49ers 2024: 6-11)
“[15:33] I bet the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.”
40-22 — Philadelphia defeated Kansas City 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on Feb 9, 2025; the Chiefs did not win the championship (ESPN box score).
“[1:52:40] Russ minus 290, Fields plus 215 to be the week one starter. [1:52:45] You definitely can't bet a lot of money into that market. [1:52:47] I bet Fields at that price.”
Justin Fields started at quarterback for Pittsburgh in its Week 1, 2024 game at Atlanta, a Steelers win (Atlanta Falcons official recap). (Steelers Week 1 starting QB: Justin Fields (Steelers 18, Falcons 10))
“[2:50:53] started i bet giants first five minus a half and i laid minus 135 to do it okay well they're up one”
San Francisco 4, Washington 0 (through 5 innings) — San Francisco led Washington 4-0 through five innings, covering the -0.5 first-five spread (ESPN box score/linescore).
“[2:51:13] Give me David Fiesta, a.k.a. Festa, and the Minnesota Twins. [2:51:16] Twins, first five. [2:51:18] Just Twins, first five money line on the road at the Cubs.”
Minnesota 2, Chicago Cubs 0 (through 5 innings) — Minnesota led the Cubs 2-0 through five innings, winning the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score/linescore).
“[2:38:20] Should we do Tovar or Bryant? [2:38:24] You have to pick Bryant after you did the opening segment. [2:38:26] You can't pick Tovar. [2:38:27] Okay, so I will bet Tovar also. [2:38:31] Yeah. [2:38:31] So Chris Bryant's been playing every day. [2:38:34] at some point he's going to catch one and it's going to happen tonight”
COL 2, LAA 1 — Kris Bryant went 1-for-3 with an RBI single and no home runs as Colorado beat the Angels 2-1 (ESPN box score). (Kris Bryant: 3 AB, 1 H, 0 HR, 1 RBI)
“[2:38:20] Should we do Tovar or Bryant? [2:38:24] You have to pick Bryant after you did the opening segment. [2:38:26] You can't pick Tovar. [2:38:27] Okay, so I will bet Tovar also.”
COL 2, LAA 1 — Ezequiel Tovar went 1-for-4 with no home runs as Colorado beat the Angels 2-1 (ESPN box score). (Ezequiel Tovar: 4 AB, 1 H, 0 HR)
“[2:39:33] Padres' first five, Cease against Kershaw. [2:39:35] Padres' minus 145, first five against Clayton Kershaw.”
SD 8, LAD 1 — San Diego led Los Angeles 7-1 through five innings (4 runs in the 2nd, 3 in the 4th) en route to an 8-1 win, so the Padres first-five moneyline cashed (ESPN box score). (First five: Padres 7, Dodgers 1)
“[2:39:38] Rockies' first five is we will fade Daniels, [2:39:41] and I'll bet on Kyle Freeland, who's better peripherals than Daniels. [2:39:44] Rockies' first five, plus 110”
COL 2, LAA 1 — Colorado and the Angels were tied 1-1 through five innings before the Rockies won 2-1 on Brenton Doyle's 8th-inning homer, so the Rockies first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (First five: Rockies 1, Angels 1)
“[2:39:48] So Padres' first five, Rockies' first five, [2:39:51] and then I want to fade Logan Webb. [2:39:52] Ken was talking about some A's that could potentially hit home runs tonight. [2:39:55] I'll take the A's, plus 155, first five.”
SF 1, OAK 0 — Oakland trailed San Francisco 0-1 through five innings of Logan Webb's shutout, so the Athletics first-five moneyline busted (ESPN box score). (First five: Giants 1, Athletics 0)
“[2:44:23] I think you get a great effort from Jack Flaherty tonight, plus money with the Detroit Tigers, plus 115 first five. [2:44:28] I'll ride that with Jake.”
Detroit and Cleveland were tied 1-1 through five innings on July 24, 2024, pushing the Tigers first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Detroit 1, Cleveland 1)
“[2:48:20] First five under four and a half Mets and Yankees.”
The Mets and Yankees combined for 7 runs through five innings (5-2) on July 24, 2024, going over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Mets 5, Yankees 2 (total 7))
- Texas Rangers moneyline won
- Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline won
“[2:49:00] So two-team money-line parlay tonight. [2:49:03] Give me the Texas Rangers and the Arizona Diamondbacks, [2:49:05] a.k.a. the 2023 World Series Memorial two-team parlay”
Both parlay legs won on July 24, 2024: the Rangers beat the White Sox 10-2, and the Diamondbacks beat the Royals 8-6 (ESPN box scores). (Rangers 10, White Sox 2; Diamondbacks 8, Royals 6)
“[2:49:26] So I will lay the run line here. [2:49:28] Dodgers minus one and a half runs at plus 110.”
LAD 3, SF 8 — The Giants beat the Dodgers 8-3 on July 24, 2024; Los Angeles's margin of -5 busts -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“[1:56:02] Buzelas is going to get a ton of run. [1:56:04] And as Tyler said, he's played with professionals before. [1:56:07] I think he's the best bet on the board right now. [1:56:11] I think Bozellas is the best bet on the board right now at plus 900. [1:56:14] We'll roll through some other guys, but Bozellas, I think, [1:56:16] would be my choice as my favorite bet for rookie of the year in the NBA.”
Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 Kia NBA Rookie of the Year award; Matas Buzelis was not the winner (NBA.com). (NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“[2:54:13] I'll lay the price on the Dodgers. [2:54:14] They've actually gone up to minus 155. [2:54:16] The Dodgers pitcher has got a knack for winning games, [2:54:19] and I think he's going to make it happen tonight. [2:54:20] Dodgers minus 150. [2:54:21] It's minus 155 now. [2:54:23] I like the Dodgers tonight to win against the San Francisco Giants”
LAD 5, SF 2 — The Dodgers beat the Giants 5-2 on July 23, 2024; the Dodgers moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“[2:54:41] Yeah, first five, under 4.5 with Heal and Quintana. [2:54:45] First five under four and a half, minus 105.”
The Mets and Yankees combined for 2 runs through five innings (1-1), staying under 4.5 (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Mets 1, Yankees 1 (total 2))
“[2:55:07] And Armstrong, I'm going to put the Armstrong curse on Toronto. [2:55:10] Give me the Rays first five plus 115 on the road in Toronto.”
Tampa Bay led Toronto 3-0 through five innings on July 23, 2024, covering the Rays first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Tampa Bay 3, Toronto 0)
“[2:55:19] Took the Reds last night in the first five. [2:55:22] Going to come back and play the Reds again tonight in the first five. [2:55:24] In a fade of Chris Sale, who I think is a little overvalued here. [2:55:28] Reds first five at a huge price with Martinez on the mound.”
The Reds-Braves game on July 23, 2024 was postponed due to rain and rescheduled, voiding the first-five moneyline (ESPN). (Game status: postponed (rain))
“[2:55:40] With Woods Richardson, who's been really good. [2:55:42] Kind of like quietly here for the Minnesota Twins. [2:55:45] I will fade Zack Wheeler. [2:55:47] Twins first five plus 120.”
Minnesota and Philadelphia were scoreless (0-0) through five innings on July 23, 2024, pushing the first-five moneyline (ESPN box score). (First five innings: Minnesota 0, Philadelphia 0)
“Green Bay, the second choice in the market right now to win the NFC North behind my pick to win the division. and the team that I actually think might be the best team in football this year, the Detroit Lions.”
Detroit finished 15-2 and won the 2024 NFC North (ESPN standings). (2024 NFC North champion: Detroit Lions (15-2))
“Green Bay to finish second in the NFC North, where I think the Packers are clearly the second best team. Definitely better than the Bears, definitely better than the Vikings. plus 185 for the Packers to finish in second in the division. I like that.”
Minnesota finished second in the NFC North at 14-3; Green Bay finished third at 11-6 (ESPN standings). (2024 NFC North: Detroit 15-2, Minnesota 14-3, Green Bay 11-6, Chicago 5-12)
“American League Rookie of the Year, where I win like a boatload of money. If Wyatt Lankford wins, I'd really like that to happen.”
Luis Gil won the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year Award; Wyatt Langford did not (Wikipedia). (2024 AL Rookie of the Year: Luis Gil)
“Am I betting Reagan Cy Young before this game? Yes, right? Yes. Okay. So that's my bet on the game.”
Tarik Skubal won the 2024 AL Cy Young Award; Cole Ragans did not (Wikipedia). (2024 AL Cy Young: Tarik Skubal)
“Give me the buckos here. Minus 135 first five.”
Pittsburgh and St. Louis were tied 1-1 through five innings (ESPN box score). (First five: Pittsburgh 1, St. Louis 1)
“Give me a first five under four. First five under four, and I'll pay the minus 125 for it at BetMGM.”
DET 8, CLE 2 — Detroit and Cleveland combined for 5 runs through five innings, above the under-4 line (ESPN box score). (First five: Detroit 4, Cleveland 1; total 5)
“Give me the Reds in the first five here. I love this bet. Reds first five plus 115.”
Cincinnati led Atlanta 4-0 through five innings (ESPN box score). (First five: Cincinnati 4, Atlanta 0)
“Twins first five minus 110 with Ober against Ranger Suarez.”
Minnesota led Philadelphia 3-2 through five innings (ESPN box score). (First five: Minnesota 3, Philadelphia 2)
“take the rockies at a plus money price tonight first five about plus 140 give me the rocks plus 140 first five”
Colorado and Boston were tied 4-4 through five innings (ESPN box score). (First five: Colorado 4, Boston 4)
“by the way i do like a tyler O'Neal home run tonight for the Red Sox”
Tyler O'Neill went 3-for-5 with a double but no home run against Colorado (ESPN box score). (Tyler O'Neill: 3-for-5, 0 HR)
“50 and a half the win total. Luka Doncic, an MVP favorite. What do you think for the Dallas Mavericks, Ken, this season? Yeah, it's interesting, right? Because their season last year was in two just such completely different parts. And if you go by the first part, this number is insane. But obviously, we're going by the second part because Lively takes a step forward. Gafford, P.J. Washington, like that's the team that we remember. and this number is a little bit more in line with that because you would hope that they could keep defending at the level that they defended with after they got all those players that was like the big thing that changed the rim protection the overall defensive mindset now derrick jones jr not on the team anymore so clay comes in derrick jones jr not on the team and it's you know to a certain extent oh who cares it's derrick jones jr like clay thompson a sexier name but to another extent like he was one of the pieces that allowed all of this to fit together the right way that allowed the defense to be that good so you know with clay you gain a lot obviously he's like still one of probably one of the best five three-point shooters in the league and like one of the best of all time and that's not going to go anywhere that's skill but you do lose something when you do that they are are they going to be good on defense and if it's that they're like a top five offense but they're kind of just bleh on defense and like like more than 50 is tough with uh when that's like what you're going into the season it doesn't doesn't have to go that way uh there are there are still reasons for optimism clay can be completely different when luca is like completely pulling the strings and orchestrating everything and you just sit on the wing and you shoot wide open three pointers and you're clay thompson that's going to go really well sometimes and kyrie is drawing attention also that's going to go really well i mean remember like you in your mind's eye you can picture probably all the times in the nba finals derrick jones jr was wide open from three and missed it's like cool well now that's clay thompson how's that going to go not that the defense will play the same way but they kind of have to because of the other two guys so then lively can take a step forward in year two there's reason to be excited but just like this is it's either the right number or too big and i can't figure out which one it is yeah but i i think that we're simpatico on this that if the mavericks going to win a ton of games this season they're going to do it by outscoring teams and they're going to be a ton of fun to watch and just having clay spacing the floor right and there are jones jr is a nice player but It's not Klay Thompson, at least in terms of what Klay does, right? Spacing the floor. I mean, how is this not going to be just like Lob City again with like Lively and Gafford? And if Lively takes a step forward here. Now, I think you need, if you like Dallas this year and you're bullish on the Mavericks, it is worth noting, and there's nothing tangible. There's no way to predict this, right, to handicap it. Kyrie Irving was really on his best behavior last year. Didn't do anything crazy. Like, didn't say anything crazy. and i think the conventional wisdom now is just that's going to be him moving forward like why why can't he just like go nuts again and if he like goes nuts or says something insane again like in all seriousness is a really funny way to say that yeah that's like it's just what if he just goes nuts again well like fire off his take on like who the democrats should replace joe biden with like run for president like these are all things that are in the range of outcomes here i I think things can go awry. Now, it is a high number. I'm so bullish on this offense. I'm so bullish on this team with the addition of Thompson. And not that Quinton Grimes is great, but I like Quinton Grimes. I actually think I would lean towards the over on the Mavericks. And how is this not going to be just another insane statistical season for Luka Doncic? Yeah, sure. How many assists is he going to average per game? Plus the points, plus the boards. And I don't know if you have a thought on Luka for MVP this year, Ken, if they can win enough games to get him there. But I love Luka this year, and I like the Mavericks. I like the Mavericks a lot. I think I'd only bet the over.”
Dallas finished the 2024-25 regular season 39-43, below the 50.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Dallas Mavericks 39-43)
“Denver's win total this year sitting at 52.5. Denver, obviously, you know, and something that was not great for us, flaming out against Minnesota, really annoying. 52.5 the win total for the Denver Nuggets. Denver's offseason has not been a great one. Their first-round pick, out for the season, Deron Holmes. They lose Contavious Caldwell Pope, KCP signs with the Orlando Magic, and I think kind of can have taken a PR hit as well where everyone is saying now that Nuggets ownership does not want to spend enough money because it moves them into the second apron. Now, if you haven't heard these phrases, I'm not even claiming that I understand what this is. Basically, it's with the way the new NBA CBA is trying to create a lot more parity in the league where you're going to get hit with like a massive luxury tax if you spend a ton of money. So from one perspective, Denver's like, we don't want to go into the second apron to have to pay this massive luxury tax. But the counter to that would be you have one of the best players of all time in Nikola Jokic. Your window is open. Go for it, guys. Try and win the championship. Are they really trying to do that? It felt like they could have re-signed KCP. Christian Brown's going to replace KCP in the starting lineup. Now, we did get some news before the show today. Russell Westbrook going to get traded to the Utah Jazz bought out by Utah got a sign with the Denver Nuggets and Russell will be the sixth man off the bench for Denver this season um you said with some of these teams they're going to lose more than the market expects mathematically they have to uh I think that could be Denver this year even if Jokic is just as good I would only bet the under on the Denver Nuggets heading into the season where are you at here with Nikola Jokic in”
Denver finished the 2024-25 regular season 50-32, below the 52.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Denver Nuggets 50-32)
“Lakers' win total this year, Ken, as we continue on in the Western Conference, 44-and-a-half after the Lakers struck out on Klay Thompson and struck out on DeMar DeRozan. drafting Dalton Connect, who presumably will play a pretty big role on the team this season. J.J. Redick, the new head coach of the L.A. Lakers. And I'm sure this will be something we discuss. Guests have said it this week. We said it last season throughout the year on the show. The Lakers got great health last year from LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Will they get it again this year? 44.5, Ken, for the Lakers. Yeah, I really like the under. when they first when when the win totals first came out you were off and the first thing I just said is I don't really understand why this is 44 and a half it just relies on too many things that seem unreliable in order to even come close to hitting a number like this it's not that they got even good health last year and it wasn't even just those two players LeBron started 71 games last year which for somebody who's basically 40 at this point is crazy and cannot be relied on uh anthony davis somehow played more than that despite being like even more of an injury risk he started 76 games last year anthony davis that's that's crazy austin reeves played in every game these are the three best players on the team that's that's the best injury luck of all time and they basically from a net rating standpoint played like exactly this team 45 wins that's what with getting all of that that's what they played like maybe darvin ham was so bad and reddick so good and that's the missing piece to all of this and why it's going to go better there just isn't even if you go to the year before when lebron and ad were not playing as often there's not a lot of evidence that the two of them together at this age are worth more than like a 44 45 win team and they're frequently going to be less than that like that's their their ceiling seems like a 45 win team when everything goes great and as much as a coach can matter and darvin ham could be bad and reddick could be good i don't like lebron james is still the coach of the team just like he is in all the other teams so i just reddick's maybe reddick's awesome i don't even know if it matters for like a long regular season where you just need these guys to play so um i don't know if it's my favorite bet in the conference but i do think it's a bet worth making uh just you're you're depending again if if lebron plays a ton of games and by the way still plays at as high of a level as he played last year if both those things are true and davis plays in basically every game of the season and austin reeves plays in every game of the season which is more reliable understood but like all these things happen is good and like connect is good right and like you know Hachimura gives you a lot and D'Angelo Russell played in like 76 games last year too by the way if we're talking about last year everybody plays in the max and LeBron and Davis play as well as they played last year this is the number you get when that happens not better than this this is the number you get when that happens that's crazy that's that's nuts to me like I just it's okay yeah it's gonna be 45 sometimes and it's gonna be 40 a lot and 41 a lot and 42 a lot and 43 a lot and 45 is one of the numbers, but that's the everything goes great number. Redick's not drawn up some magical play in a timeout that makes it different than that, at least in my opinion. And it doesn't even matter to me how good he is if those are kind of the facts of the case about player availability. I like the under more than the things we've talked about so far. Doesn't it feel like they know, like the Lakers know, that they're not going to be a championship contender this year? Like they could want to be one. I'm sure they'd love to win the NBA championship. Doesn't it feel like they know with the language that's been used around the rhetoric hire that it's not just for LeBron. It's to bring the young players. Right. And tutor the young players. Basically get to the next generation of what the Lakers are going to be post LeBron James. It feels to me like they know. And if they know, they're probably right because it's them. And they're not going to be very good this season. Like you said, like 45 is possible. But I just like I'd love to have someone make an intelligent case for the over and have it not be what Ken said, which is all these things have to go right. And just think about the other teams that we've talked about, whether it's the Mavericks and the Nuggets and the Rockets and the teams we haven't even gotten to yet. Memphis and Minnesota, the Pelicans, I think, are a team that has a lot of variance one way or another. Oklahoma City, we haven't talked about the Suns yet. I like Sacramento this year. There aren't that many wins to go around. So I'm with you here. I like a couple of things better in the West than Lakers under, but I I you can catch me dead betting and over on the LA Lakers this season just no way no way”
The Lakers finished the 2024-25 regular season 50-32, above the 44.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Los Angeles Lakers 50-32)
“Next team is Oklahoma City, 55 and a half. Alex Caruso comes in. Isaiah Hartenstein comes in, which hurts me as a Knicks fan, but how can you say anything other than it's a really great move by the Thunder? I think they're going to win 60 games. I love this over for Oklahoma City, which sounds crazy because it's so high. They're awesome. Over.”
Oklahoma City finished the 2024-25 regular season 68-14, above the 55.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Oklahoma City Thunder 68-14)
“21.5 is the win total. Chauncey Billups returns as head coach. They did draft Donovan Klingon, who we both really like. Or Donovan Klingon, as some of our guests have called him Klingon. All right, already, we'll all Klingon. Scoot Henderson, Jaden Sharp, Simons. Pretty interesting backcourt for Portland. I guess the question that I ask when I think about the Blazers, and I asked this to myself earlier, how are they going to win 22 games? how's it happening like what's the series of events that unfolds like scoots got to be so much better than he was right sharps got to reach his potential like what had clingan's got to be amazing immediately i guess it's possible uh i'd only bet an under here on the blazers uh just a properly rated awful team they won 21 games last year i mean it's just you know it's 21”
Portland finished the 2024-25 regular season 36-46, above the 21.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Portland Trail Blazers 36-46)
“I think my favorite win total in the West this year, Kings over 46 and a half.”
Sacramento finished the 2024-25 regular season 40-42, below the 46.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Sacramento Kings 40-42)
“at 33 to one right now atkinson is at bet mgm and out of all the teams in the eastern conference um this is the win total that i feel the most strong about right now would be the Cavs to go over where they won 47 last year and all their best players missed a lot of times It's like if they get a little better health this year with ostensibly a better coach in Kenny Atkinson, I definitely think the Cavs could win 50-plus games this coming season. So it's the win total I feel strongest about right now would be the Cavs over 46.5 wins.”
Cleveland finished the 2024-25 regular season 64-18, above the 46.5-win line (ESPN standings). (Cleveland Cavaliers 64-18)
“of bets here my i love khan morikawa love cam young the most and there's a ton there so there you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll scheffler into a couple things just to have like a little i like i like having a little exposure on him in every major uh i like obear to win this tournament and i like sung jay to win this tournament and then i agree with tyler totally this is all him i'm with him uh but i totally”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Tom Kim missed the cut (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Tom Kim missed cut)
“of bets here my i love khan morikawa love cam young the most and there's a ton there so there you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll scheffler into a couple things just to have like a little i like i like having a little exposure on him in every major uh i like obear to win this tournament and i like sung jay to win this tournament and then i agree with tyler totally this is all him i'm with him uh but i totally”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Sungjae Im finished T7 at -1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Im T7 (-1))
“of bets here my i love khan morikawa love cam young the most and there's a ton there so there you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll scheffler into a couple things just to have like a little i like i like having a little exposure on him in every major uh i like obear to win this tournament and i like sung jay to win this tournament and then i agree with tyler totally this is all him i'm with him uh but i totally”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Hideki Matsuyama finished T66 at +12 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Matsuyama T66 (+12))
“of bets here my i love khan morikawa love cam young the most and there's a ton there so there you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll scheffler into a couple things just to have like a little i like i like having a little exposure on him in every major uh i like obear to win this tournament and i like sung jay to win this tournament and then i agree with tyler totally this is all him i'm with him uh but i totally”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Collin Morikawa finished T16 at +2 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Morikawa T16 (+2))
“of bets here my i love khan morikawa love cam young the most and there's a ton there so there you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll scheffler into a couple things just to have like a little i like i like having a little exposure on him in every major uh i like obear to win this tournament and i like sung jay to win this tournament and then i agree with tyler totally this is all him i'm with him uh but i totally”
Xander Schauffele won the 2024 Open Championship at -9; Ludvig Aberg missed the cut at +9 (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Aberg missed cut (+9))
- Scottie Scheffler to win the Open Championship
- Oklahoma City Thunder to win the NBA championship
“you go those are my open bets um while tyler was talking um i bet all the asians that we talked about tom kim sung jim matsuyama and mollin morikawa i also parlayed uh scheffler with the thunder and i also parlayed the over in the fc austin dallas mls game tonight with the thunder to win the nba title uh so there you go uh scheffler with the thunder love that scheffler with a couple teams to win the super bowl whoever you like love that yeah just like trying to roll”
Scottie Scheffler finished T7 (-1) at the 2024 Open, not winning it, so the Scheffler/Thunder parlay lost on the golf leg regardless of the NBA leg (ESPN leaderboard). (Open champion: Xander Schauffele (-9); Scheffler T7 (-1))
“something later at a big number how about uh out of the pan and into the fire david fry from the guardians 100 to one i love it yeah fire it up fire up the grill fire up the oven great great i'm gonna put i'm gonna put like 50 bucks on at 100 to one and we'll see how it goes uh that does it for the show we'll talk to you guys tomorrow until then nick costos wishing you minimal sweats”
Boston's Jarren Duran won 2024 MLB All-Star Game MVP; David Fry did not win. (All-Star Game MVP: Jarren Duran)
“We'll also give you our bets for the NBA draft coming up tonight for night one where I will cross my fingers and praise Stephon Castle goes number one. I have a great number there. Hopefully it happens. We'll see, but we'll give you our bets for the NBA draft at the end of the show.”
The Spurs selected Stephon Castle No. 4 overall in the 2024 NBA Draft, not No. 1. (Stephon Castle: No. 4)
“Ken, your NBA draft betting strategy. I mean, I just think the only thing I can offer people, I don't have good information like we do on the NFL draft. I've heard a couple things. Nick and I both heard, like Terrence Shannon, top 20 or earlier than people think is something that we heard if people are interested. Jay Bellis came on. He says Zach Eadie kind of under 15 and a half, thinks his range is less than that. You can go listen to Matt's interview, Jay's interview, if you want their stuff that's why we had so many guests on today like here here's the people who know right um my only theory here is especially like after one and two so basically three four five six seven eight nine ten i think are open in a lot of places um what are reasonably logical players just from a talent standpoint who could not rumored to the team ignore all that logic like logical players to go in some of those spots who were like 20 30 40 to 1 and in each case like it's going to be a different set of players try to gather up as many of those as possible and my guess is you would have a good chance of hitting like a couple which means you would win money for the night just because i think with trades and with the like lack of difference between player quality i i don't think it's possible to predict necessarily who's going to go in what order into what team and the market is kind of like indicating oh no it's going to be that guy it's going to be that guy it's going to be that guy i think that's all total guesswork and you could play against it i don't think it's like dump a bunch of money in but i think that that's how i'd play it tonight if i wanted to bet the draft i put a couple bucks on the devon carter under and the Zach Edey under based on what our guest said today and i i think i've talked about a lot i have stefan castle to go number one like and a preposterous number and i'm gonna lose the bet it's gonna be awesome”
The Grizzlies selected Zach Edey No. 9 overall in the 2024 NBA Draft, under the 15.5 line. (Zach Edey: No. 9)
“is the key like if i said hey belgium's four to one to beat france yeah like give me like a an england slovakia market here yeah i might i mean i might bet what's france in the 90 uh for minus 110 and that's that's not bad right we haven't we haven't remotely seen the best of france yet in the tournament because of mbappe not playing so much um total is two and a half juiced way under like belgium can't score yeah you like the over i thought you were i thought you i thought that's why you're saying you did juiced way under i thought you were gonna say over sorry well i I mean, look, Belgium gets chances every game, and then it's the same thing every tournament with this team. Every single tournament. Good chances, and none of them go away. France has been—I was going to say France has been pretty impotent. They played—Austria might be good, and then played the Netherlands without Mbappe, and then Mbappe first came back with the mask. They did score against Poland. Right, and they had a ton of other chances. Yeah, I like the idea that France, their best performances are ahead of them. but look I mean Francis conceded one goal in the entire tournament and it was on kind of a weirdo penalty where was it Chua Maney stepped on a guy and he like kind of wasn't supposed to or one of the center backs and and kind of drew a penalty on a on a it was not going to result in a high like like a likely scoring chance and they get a penalty out of it and then the goalie comes off his line early he had to retake the penalty that how they score That the one goal in four and a half hours That the one goal France has allowed so far I don't know, like, what Lewandowski, like, hey, you're Robert Lewandowski, you don't need to do, like, the Andrea Pirillo, like, wind up before the shot. Just shoot him. Stutter steps 75 times. And then the best part is on the second one, he did it again, and I actually thought it was going to get saved again because he did the exact same thing, and he shot in the exact same spot. And Maniel almost saved it. It was a great penalty. Yeah, but he was probably so in his head about not coming off the line again. He probably just – that's why he missed it. I mean, I – Let's start. I kind of like France. Yeah. I don't like France. I love France. Love France against – but I hate Belgium. Okay. Okay.”
1-0 — France beat Belgium 1-0 in regulation in their Euro 2024 round of 16 match.
“Oh, by the way, I'm messaging with Dabundo right now. He likes the Austrian guy that I bet, Arnautovic, to win Golden Boot. I don't know if I did that on the air. Did you do that on the air? I didn't. No, it was off air. Oh, okay. Nick likes Arnautovic to be the Golden Boot. Arnautovic has, like, no one in the tournament has scored any goals. The leader is the guy from Georgia who's going to lose to Spain. Austria beat the Netherlands already. Arnautovic has a goal, and he takes penalties for them. He's 110 to 1. I'm just saying, like, I've made worse bets, whether I win or lose.”
Marko Arnautović scored only one goal at Euro 2024; the shared Golden Boot required three goals, so he did not win it. (Marko Arnautović: 1 goal)
“baseball bet dodgers white socks first five under four and a half with gavin stone and fendi wop uh jake baseball bets here please in like 30 seconds”
The Dodgers led the White Sox 4-0 through five innings on June 26, 2024, staying under 4.5. (After 5: Dodgers 4, White Sox 0)
- Romania vs Slovakia draw
- Belgium vs Ukraine over 2/1.5 goals (split Asian total)
“For Euros tomorrow, I will play Romania and Slovakia draw coupled with Belgium and Ukraine over 2-1.5. So parlay just for action. Probably going to lose. But whatever. I want to have bets on the game.”
Romania and Slovakia drew 1-1 (leg won), but Belgium and Ukraine finished 0-0, well under the 1.75-goal line (leg lost), so the parlay lost. (Romania 1-1 Slovakia; Belgium 0-0 Ukraine)
“So parlay just for action. Probably going to lose. But whatever. I want to have bets on the game. I'll also play under 2 in Romania and Slovakia. I'll lay minus 130 to do so. Three baseball bets for tonight.”
1-1 — Romania and Slovakia drew 1-1, landing exactly on the two-goal total.
“Rangers minus 120 in the first five at the Brewers. I trust Andrew Heaney's been awesome recently for the Rangers. I trust him a lot more than Wilson for the Brewers. So Rangers minus 120 in the first five.”
The Brewers led the Rangers 2-1 through five innings on June 25, 2024, so the Rangers first-five moneyline lost. (After 5: Rangers 1, Brewers 2)
“And give me the Twins minus 125 in the first five at Arizona. With Joe Ryan against Jake's guy, Fad. Ryan's been great. Fad is not. Wicked Fad. So give me the Twins.”
The Diamondbacks led the Twins 4-1 through five innings on June 25, 2024, so the Twins first-five moneyline lost. (After 5: Twins 1, Diamondbacks 4)
“on the air at three o'clock eastern tomorrow so i'll listen i i feel like i've missed the boat on on the france unders uh i'll play under three in france i don't think poland's gonna score I'll play under three with France and Poland tomorrow, and I'll lay minus 120 to do it. So under Poland and France, under three. And I will, I'm going to do it.”
1-1 — France and Poland drew 1-1 on penalties from Mbappe and Lewandowski, producing two total goals, so the under 3 bet won.
“And I will, I'm going to do it. I will play England to win to nil against Slovenia. I don't think Slovenia's scoring against England's defense, which, by the way, is, like, freaking awesome. England's defense is sick. Like, they can't score, and that gets the headlines. They also, like, don't really concede. Denmark had, like, the one, like, screamer goal against England. England to win to nil. You can play the under if you want also. but England to win to nil, 1-0, 2-0, minus 110 against the Slovenians.”
0-0 — England and Slovenia played to a scoreless 0-0 draw, so England did not win to nil and the bet lost.
“So three first five bets for me in Major League Baseball. I'll play the Reds' first five against the Pirates, about minus 120. I think Falter will do just what his name says for the Pirates. And very quietly here, Spears, we need like Paul Heyman to yell it. Spears has been really good recently this month for the Cincinnati Reds. So Reds first five against the Pirates. Exactly.”
7-3 — Cincinnati led Pittsburgh 7-3 through five innings (final 11-5 Reds), so the Reds first-five moneyline won.
“I'll take the Braves. I missed that. That's a layup I missed. Braves first five with Howard Schnellenberger's nephew, Stuart. I don't know. S Schnellenberger. We're fading. We're fading Lance Lynn here. Braves first five minus 110 against Jake's St. Louis Cardinals. and how about first five under four with the Dodgers and the White Sox and Garrett Crochet.”
4-1 — St. Louis led Atlanta 4-1 through five innings, all four Cardinals runs coming in the 3rd, so the Braves first-five moneyline lost.
“and how about first five under four with the Dodgers and the White Sox and Garrett Crochet. He's actually he's auditioning to be a Dodger. Garrett Crochet for the White Sox and James Paxton. I know this sounds crazy is pitching well under four first five Dodgers and White Sox. Jake, I know I didn't leave you a lot of time.”
0-0 — Los Angeles and Chicago were scoreless through five innings (Dodgers won 3-0 late), so the first-five under 4 won.
“Stephon Castle, who I bet at 75-1 last week, is now 40-1 for whatever that's worth. That's the first pick market.”
The Atlanta Hawks selected Zaccharie Risacher first overall in the 2024 NBA Draft; Stephon Castle went 4th to San Antonio, so the first-overall bet lost. (No. 1 overall: Zaccharie Risacher; Castle No. 4)
- Colombia to win in regulation
- Brazil to win in regulation
“a bet here and we'll bring drew on um i did a really square uh copa america money line parlay only giving this out because the colombia match starts in 15 minutes uh it i think it came out like minus 115 colombia and brazil both to win in the 90 uh colombia plays at six brazil plays at nine eastern nice joining us right now though is the whale capper drew dinsick from nbc sports”
Colombia 2-1 Paraguay; Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica — Colombia beat Paraguay 2-1 in regulation, but Brazil was held 0-0 by Costa Rica, so the parlay lost on the Brazil leg.
“baseball game i think i actually did oh i have a couple are we betting the sparks yeah that's like the one thing that we had to talk about you know you see it's up to 15 right i was yeah because liberty got bet out i i bet 15 and a half earlier because i wanted and i laid 15 to do it minus minus 115 so there's our wnb for tonight got that extra half points yeah it's gonna make all the difference let me tell you what what would cold play say about our bet tonight uh oh is it like”
93-80 — New York beat Los Angeles 93-80, a 13-point margin, so the Sparks covered +15.5 (ESPN box score).
“over first i i mean i listen it's anecdotal in a couple days um i'm the greatest first five total better of all time based on just the last like the smallest sample size imaginable uh brewers Padres first five over four and a half because Wilson and Mazur are both absolutely terrible but a billion base runner they like whips are like two both of them four and a half first five over in the Brewers Padres game tonight okay love that uh that's the first game of that series right”
7-6 — Padres beat Brewers 7-6; through five innings it was 5-3 (8 combined runs), over 4.5 (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: Padres 5, Brewers 3)
“that we are being offered um a cash out on the matthew kachuk bets which we which we will not be taking just just wanted just to what's that what x what x are you being offered i need i need to ask him because he's like we gotta offer to cash like for every for every dollar oh you're that yeah like i yes you're you you you've politely never yes no no no i actually i no no no i decline with malice well no because you want them to keep taking your bets in the future so you pull you pull it you pull it decline but but behind closed doors you can you can curse under your”
Connor McDavid won the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy with 16 of 17 first-place votes; Matthew Tkachuk did not win (ESPN). (2024 Conn Smythe Trophy winner: Connor McDavid (16/17 first-place votes))
“conspithe so we were laying out all the possibilities right um and and why we think like mcdavid's extremely likely to win the award we both agree on that i i think his price is short still even now i also have a much better number whatever um i just think the price is short so what are the avenues then first a non-connor mcdavid play so it's no one on edmonton so i”
Connor McDavid won the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy with 16 of 17 first-place votes (ESPN). (2024 Conn Smythe Trophy winner: Connor McDavid (16/17 first-place votes))
“Very confident Morikawa wins before everyone goes on breaks.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Travelers Championship in a playoff over Tom Kim at -22; Collin Morikawa finished T13 at -16 (ESPN). (Winner: Scheffler -22 (playoff); Morikawa T13 (-16))
“Very confident Morikawa wins before everyone goes on breaks. I'll say Colin. So Morikawa, Burns, and Akshay Batia are like the three main outrights. I'll bet all three of them. I'll bet Akshay Batia basically every week.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Travelers Championship in a playoff over Tom Kim at -22; Sam Burns finished T55 at -4 (ESPN). (Winner: Scheffler -22 (playoff); Burns T55 (-4))
“I'll bet Akshay Batia basically every week.”
Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Travelers Championship in a playoff over Tom Kim at -22; Akshay Bhatia finished T5 at -18 (ESPN). (Winner: Scheffler -22 (playoff); Bhatia T5 (-18))
“the 90 for me to win this bet and uh and i will make that bet i'm in on england also love the rationale behind it i think it makes a ton of sense i'll lay minus 145 with england just to win the game law absolutely love that and final game game of the day tomorrow in euro 2024 uh”
1-1 — England and Denmark drew 1-1 at Euro 2024, so the England moneyline lost (ESPN).
“time i am definitely in on the angels so i at the death to bet the angels uh i'm gonna make a”
2-0 — Brewers beat Angels 2-0, so the Angels moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“i'm curious if jake likes this also but i'm gonna make a bet that like is really square and i also don't care hunter brown has been on a roll here in the month of june for the astros garrett crochet is the best part of the Chicago White Sox, and he's actually really good. I'll play first five under three and a half with Hunter Brown and Garrett Crochet, and look, maybe that's a really square, stupid bet, and it goes way over. I'll play the first five under with the White Sox and the Astros, and I'll play another first five under,”
4-1 — Astros beat White Sox 4-1; through five innings the score was 2-1 (3 combined runs), under 3.5 (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: Astros 2, White Sox 1)
“and I'll play another first five under, and that'll be in the Rays-Twins game, where Joe Ryan has been really good recently. He's had a nice season. Very quietly, though, for the Rays, Taj Bradley has been awesome also. I'll play first five under four, so Angels, Moneyline, White Sox, White Sox Astros first five under three and a half and raise twins. First five under four for me tonight in major league baseball.”
3-2 — Rays beat Twins 3-2 in 10 innings; through five innings it was 1-1 (2 combined runs), under 4 (ESPN box score). (Through 5 innings: Rays 1, Twins 1)
“Ken's got North Carolina.”
9-5 — Florida State defeated North Carolina 9-5 on June 18, 2024 at the College World Series (ESPN).
“twice in a row. Tennessee needs to win one to advance to the final. There is a market open. There's no total open or like a like a minus runs or whatever run like correct. Thank you. That was what I was looking for. Tennessee minus 200 FSU plus 150. I'm going to bet Florida State. Okay. I mean, I don't I haven't bet Tennessee in the individual games. I have a lot of futures on them to win the tournament. They've won every game so far. I would not bet the opposite side in any of their games. Jake. i would only bet florida state in the first game but there's no way they beat tennessee twice all right so are you in on florida state game one yes assuming they throw jamie arnold too yeah you know what they say to him hey all right let's drop the dope sbj i can get to”
7-2 — Tennessee defeated Florida State 7-2 on June 19, 2024, eliminating FSU from the College World Series (ESPN).
“Ken and I both have Florida. So I don't think we're going to bet the game. I will say I would only bet Edmonton if I showed up just like, hey, here I am. One bet that I will make like a narrative. He play Vladimir Tarasenko has Stanley Cup winning experience here. i'll bet him 22 to 1 to score the first goal of tonight's game yeah i think uh a lot of people”
Oilers forward Connor Brown scored the first goal of Game 5 on a shorthanded breakaway, not Vladimir Tarasenko, as Edmonton won 5-3 (ESPN recap). (Connor Brown scored first goal; Oilers won 5-3)
“the dodgers tonight uh i'll have a couple baseball bets for tonight i'm gonna play the rangers minus It was minus 135. Now it's minus 140. Mets have won five straight. Hashtag grimace. David Peterson had two nice starts at the beginning of his campaign. Got Sheldon his last start. John Gray's been pretty good. Give me the Rangers to end the Mets winning streak. The Mets are bad. Give me John Gray and the Rangers to end the Mets winning streak. I'll lay it with the Rangers.”
14-2 — Mets routed the Rangers 14-2, so the Rangers moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“And I'll play, moving on the other team in this game with the Brewers, I'll play on Joel Soriano for the Angels who's been pitching well, and I'll play the Angels at even money to beat the Milwaukee Brewers tonight.”
5-3 — Angels beat Brewers 5-3, so the Angels moneyline (even money) cashed (ESPN box score).
“anything else on the nba game like kairi 23 and a half points i kind of like the drew holiday over 13 and a half points uh if it if it hits seven and a half i don't even know some of the sevens have gotten bet already and we're like back to six and a half and so i don't i think this is false alarm i think this is like nothing going on here i think this is whatever i might i might bet tatum's over just to have a couple bucks on so i just kind of feel like he's going to score a lot of points this is a terrible reason to make a bet i don't i just there's nothing going on here for me i'd rather bet the dodgers i think i'd rather bet texas a&m uh just on a hunch i'll bet drew holiday over 13 and a half points tonight okay uh and if i had to bet the game if i don't know about that and if i had to bet the game i'd actually i'd take the points with the mavericks all right that does it for today's show we'll see you tomorrow on a tuesday until then i'm”
Jrue Holiday scored 15 points in the Celtics' 106-88 Game 5 win over the Mavericks, clearing the 13.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Jrue Holiday 15 points)
“I think Scotland's absolutely brutal. I have Scotland finishing last in the group. And by the way, you can bet Scotland to finish last in the group. Minus 110 for the Scots to finish last in Group A. Group B is the group of death with Spain, Croatia, Italy, and Albania.”
Scotland finished last in Group A with 1 point, behind Germany, Switzerland, and Hungary (Wikipedia).
“I don't. I think Croatia comes in second in the group. I do think Spain tops the group. I like Spain minus 130 to win this group. I think Spain actually is like far superior to both Italy and Croatia and Albania. So Spain to win Group B, I'll lay minus 130. And I will play the double result here.”
Spain won Group B with 9 points from 3 wins, finishing above Italy, Croatia, and Albania (Wikipedia).
“And I will play the double result here. Spain first, Croatia second at plus 450. I do like Italy for what it's worth to finish third and to advance to the knockout stage as one of the four third place teams. Group C?”
Spain finished first in Group B, but Italy (not Croatia) finished second; Croatia finished third (Wikipedia).
“and do have good players in attack. Cody Gakpo from Liverpool also. So I don't like the Dutch midfield and I don't like Ronald Koeman, their manager. So I will stop short of picking the Dutch to make a big tournament run. Group E, Belgium fronts this group. Now, Belgium is a team that I think people will be down on because everyone has loved the Belgians for years. And they always flame out of these tournaments. No longer the golden generation, but still have Kevin De Bruyne, still have Romelu Lukaku, among others. And I don't think this group is that strong with Ukraine, Slovakia, and Romania. I think Ukraine clearly the second best team in this group. They've got my guy, Mykhailo Mudryk, who plays for Chelsea. So I think we'll see Belgium 1, Ukraine 2, no value there. And I don't think we see a third-place team out of this group into the knockouts. And then in Group F, I do think Portugal is clearly the class of this group. Roberto Martinez, who, by the way, is represented by my agent. We have the same agent, which is pretty funny when Roberto Martinez did media. He's going to play an attacking style here with Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes, among others. And look, Portugal, a wealth of attacking talent. I think they're going to play really entertaining games, and I think their talent is just going to be too much for the Czech Republic, for Turkey, and for Georgia, although I do expect Carson Beck to have at least one big game here in the group stage. Now, Patrick Schick, who is Czech's star striker, who also was on Bayern Leverkusen, who won the Bundesliga this year, I think the Czech Republic will come in second in this group. So Portugal, the Czech Republic, Turkey, and Georgia, and I think Turkey is out. I don't think Turkey will make it to the knockout stage. So now we get to the knockout stage. I have the matches as follows. We'll start at the top of the bracket. Spain and Switzerland. I'll take Spain. And I think the thing that will separate Spain in this tournament from what they've been in past tournaments, they have two excellent young wingers, Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, who are both really speedy. And I think this is going to be less of like the ticky-tock of Spain, pass a billion times, like have empty possession but no real attacking chances. That is what I think is going to separate this version of Spain from the last couple versions of Spain. So Spain over Switzerland. Give me Germany then over Slovenia. So Spain and Germany in one quarter. We'll move down. Portugal against Denmark. I think the Portuguese will outclass Denmark. Portugal to the quarters. Netherlands against Ukraine. I think Ukraine can scare the Netherlands, but Netherlands more talented. Netherlands over Ukraine. Belgium over Italy. Next. France over the Czech Republic. in that pod. And then at the bottom, England over Austria, and a game that I think will probably be too close to comfort for people that like England to win this tournament, and Croatia over Hungary. So now we move to the quarters. I have Spain over Germany, and what will likely be like a controversial pick, Spain over Germany, even though the tournament is in Germany. I like Spain to get past the Germans here. I think that Germany is going to be too leaky in defense. I don't like Manuel Neuer. Give me Spain over Germany. I have Portugal over the Netherlands. I have more faith in Martinez than I do Ronald Koeman and more faith in Portugal's attacking talent than I do the Dutch attacking talent. So Spain and Portugal in one semi. France over Belgium on the bottom. And I'll take Croatia to beat England in that quarterfinal where I just think like that'll be England 1-0. Croatia will equalize late. It'll end up going to penalties and England will lose because that's what always happens. So if you want to bet Croatia to make the semis, Croatia plus 600 to make the semifinal. So Spain over Portugal in one semi, France over Croatia in the other in a rematch of the 2018 World Cup title game when France slammed Croatia. I think France will beat Croatia again, and then give me Spain over France in the final as La Roja win their first European championship since 2012 when they won the World Cup in 2010 and then won the European championship in 2012. So Spain to win. Other bets coming up, and I'll give my specific game bets for the weekends in the Power Hour.”
Jamal Musiala led Germany with 3 goals at Euro 2024 (tied for the Golden Boot), outscoring Florian Wirtz (ESPN).
“and do have good players in attack. Cody Gakpo from Liverpool also. So I don't like the Dutch midfield and I don't like Ronald Koeman, their manager. So I will stop short of picking the Dutch to make a big tournament run. Group E, Belgium fronts this group. Now, Belgium is a team that I think people will be down on because everyone has loved the Belgians for years. And they always flame out of these tournaments. No longer the golden generation, but still have Kevin De Bruyne, still have Romelu Lukaku, among others. And I don't think this group is that strong with Ukraine, Slovakia, and Romania. I think Ukraine clearly the second best team in this group. They've got my guy, Mykhailo Mudryk, who plays for Chelsea. So I think we'll see Belgium 1, Ukraine 2, no value there. And I don't think we see a third-place team out of this group into the knockouts. And then in Group F, I do think Portugal is clearly the class of this group. Roberto Martinez, who, by the way, is represented by my agent. We have the same agent, which is pretty funny when Roberto Martinez did media. He's going to play an attacking style here with Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes, among others. And look, Portugal, a wealth of attacking talent. I think they're going to play really entertaining games, and I think their talent is just going to be too much for the Czech Republic, for Turkey, and for Georgia, although I do expect Carson Beck to have at least one big game here in the group stage. Now, Patrick Schick, who is Czech's star striker, who also was on Bayern Leverkusen, who won the Bundesliga this year, I think the Czech Republic will come in second in this group. So Portugal, the Czech Republic, Turkey, and Georgia, and I think Turkey is out. I don't think Turkey will make it to the knockout stage. So now we get to the knockout stage. I have the matches as follows. We'll start at the top of the bracket. Spain and Switzerland. I'll take Spain. And I think the thing that will separate Spain in this tournament from what they've been in past tournaments, they have two excellent young wingers, Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, who are both really speedy. And I think this is going to be less of like the ticky-tock of Spain, pass a billion times, like have empty possession but no real attacking chances. That is what I think is going to separate this version of Spain from the last couple versions of Spain. So Spain over Switzerland. Give me Germany then over Slovenia. So Spain and Germany in one quarter. We'll move down. Portugal against Denmark. I think the Portuguese will outclass Denmark. Portugal to the quarters. Netherlands against Ukraine. I think Ukraine can scare the Netherlands, but Netherlands more talented. Netherlands over Ukraine. Belgium over Italy. Next. France over the Czech Republic. in that pod. And then at the bottom, England over Austria, and a game that I think will probably be too close to comfort for people that like England to win this tournament, and Croatia over Hungary. So now we move to the quarters. I have Spain over Germany, and what will likely be like a controversial pick, Spain over Germany, even though the tournament is in Germany. I like Spain to get past the Germans here. I think that Germany is going to be too leaky in defense. I don't like Manuel Neuer. Give me Spain over Germany. I have Portugal over the Netherlands. I have more faith in Martinez than I do Ronald Koeman and more faith in Portugal's attacking talent than I do the Dutch attacking talent. So Spain and Portugal in one semi. France over Belgium on the bottom. And I'll take Croatia to beat England in that quarterfinal where I just think like that'll be England 1-0. Croatia will equalize late. It'll end up going to penalties and England will lose because that's what always happens. So if you want to bet Croatia to make the semis, Croatia plus 600 to make the semifinal. So Spain over Portugal in one semi, France over Croatia in the other in a rematch of the 2018 World Cup title game when France slammed Croatia. I think France will beat Croatia again, and then give me Spain over France in the final as La Roja win their first European championship since 2012 when they won the World Cup in 2010 and then won the European championship in 2012. So Spain to win. Other bets coming up, and I'll give my specific game bets for the weekends in the Power Hour.”
Ukraine scored only 2 goals in the whole tournament, both against Slovakia by Mykola Shaparenko and Roman Yaremchuk; Mudryk did not score (Wikipedia).
“and do have good players in attack. Cody Gakpo from Liverpool also. So I don't like the Dutch midfield and I don't like Ronald Koeman, their manager. So I will stop short of picking the Dutch to make a big tournament run. Group E, Belgium fronts this group. Now, Belgium is a team that I think people will be down on because everyone has loved the Belgians for years. And they always flame out of these tournaments. No longer the golden generation, but still have Kevin De Bruyne, still have Romelu Lukaku, among others. And I don't think this group is that strong with Ukraine, Slovakia, and Romania. I think Ukraine clearly the second best team in this group. They've got my guy, Mykhailo Mudryk, who plays for Chelsea. So I think we'll see Belgium 1, Ukraine 2, no value there. And I don't think we see a third-place team out of this group into the knockouts. And then in Group F, I do think Portugal is clearly the class of this group. Roberto Martinez, who, by the way, is represented by my agent. We have the same agent, which is pretty funny when Roberto Martinez did media. He's going to play an attacking style here with Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes, among others. And look, Portugal, a wealth of attacking talent. I think they're going to play really entertaining games, and I think their talent is just going to be too much for the Czech Republic, for Turkey, and for Georgia, although I do expect Carson Beck to have at least one big game here in the group stage. Now, Patrick Schick, who is Czech's star striker, who also was on Bayern Leverkusen, who won the Bundesliga this year, I think the Czech Republic will come in second in this group. So Portugal, the Czech Republic, Turkey, and Georgia, and I think Turkey is out. I don't think Turkey will make it to the knockout stage. So now we get to the knockout stage. I have the matches as follows. We'll start at the top of the bracket. Spain and Switzerland. I'll take Spain. And I think the thing that will separate Spain in this tournament from what they've been in past tournaments, they have two excellent young wingers, Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, who are both really speedy. And I think this is going to be less of like the ticky-tock of Spain, pass a billion times, like have empty possession but no real attacking chances. That is what I think is going to separate this version of Spain from the last couple versions of Spain. So Spain over Switzerland. Give me Germany then over Slovenia. So Spain and Germany in one quarter. We'll move down. Portugal against Denmark. I think the Portuguese will outclass Denmark. Portugal to the quarters. Netherlands against Ukraine. I think Ukraine can scare the Netherlands, but Netherlands more talented. Netherlands over Ukraine. Belgium over Italy. Next. France over the Czech Republic. in that pod. And then at the bottom, England over Austria, and a game that I think will probably be too close to comfort for people that like England to win this tournament, and Croatia over Hungary. So now we move to the quarters. I have Spain over Germany, and what will likely be like a controversial pick, Spain over Germany, even though the tournament is in Germany. I like Spain to get past the Germans here. I think that Germany is going to be too leaky in defense. I don't like Manuel Neuer. Give me Spain over Germany. I have Portugal over the Netherlands. I have more faith in Martinez than I do Ronald Koeman and more faith in Portugal's attacking talent than I do the Dutch attacking talent. So Spain and Portugal in one semi. France over Belgium on the bottom. And I'll take Croatia to beat England in that quarterfinal where I just think like that'll be England 1-0. Croatia will equalize late. It'll end up going to penalties and England will lose because that's what always happens. So if you want to bet Croatia to make the semis, Croatia plus 600 to make the semifinal. So Spain over Portugal in one semi, France over Croatia in the other in a rematch of the 2018 World Cup title game when France slammed Croatia. I think France will beat Croatia again, and then give me Spain over France in the final as La Roja win their first European championship since 2012 when they won the World Cup in 2010 and then won the European championship in 2012. So Spain to win. Other bets coming up, and I'll give my specific game bets for the weekends in the Power Hour.”
Alvaro Morata scored only 1 goal at Euro 2024 (vs. Croatia); fellow La Liga-based player Nico Williams (Athletic Bilbao) scored 2, so Morata did not finish with the most goals among La Liga players.
“and do have good players in attack. Cody Gakpo from Liverpool also. So I don't like the Dutch midfield and I don't like Ronald Koeman, their manager. So I will stop short of picking the Dutch to make a big tournament run. Group E, Belgium fronts this group. Now, Belgium is a team that I think people will be down on because everyone has loved the Belgians for years. And they always flame out of these tournaments. No longer the golden generation, but still have Kevin De Bruyne, still have Romelu Lukaku, among others. And I don't think this group is that strong with Ukraine, Slovakia, and Romania. I think Ukraine clearly the second best team in this group. They've got my guy, Mykhailo Mudryk, who plays for Chelsea. So I think we'll see Belgium 1, Ukraine 2, no value there. And I don't think we see a third-place team out of this group into the knockouts. And then in Group F, I do think Portugal is clearly the class of this group. Roberto Martinez, who, by the way, is represented by my agent. We have the same agent, which is pretty funny when Roberto Martinez did media. He's going to play an attacking style here with Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes, among others. And look, Portugal, a wealth of attacking talent. I think they're going to play really entertaining games, and I think their talent is just going to be too much for the Czech Republic, for Turkey, and for Georgia, although I do expect Carson Beck to have at least one big game here in the group stage. Now, Patrick Schick, who is Czech's star striker, who also was on Bayern Leverkusen, who won the Bundesliga this year, I think the Czech Republic will come in second in this group. So Portugal, the Czech Republic, Turkey, and Georgia, and I think Turkey is out. I don't think Turkey will make it to the knockout stage. So now we get to the knockout stage. I have the matches as follows. We'll start at the top of the bracket. Spain and Switzerland. I'll take Spain. And I think the thing that will separate Spain in this tournament from what they've been in past tournaments, they have two excellent young wingers, Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, who are both really speedy. And I think this is going to be less of like the ticky-tock of Spain, pass a billion times, like have empty possession but no real attacking chances. That is what I think is going to separate this version of Spain from the last couple versions of Spain. So Spain over Switzerland. Give me Germany then over Slovenia. So Spain and Germany in one quarter. We'll move down. Portugal against Denmark. I think the Portuguese will outclass Denmark. Portugal to the quarters. Netherlands against Ukraine. I think Ukraine can scare the Netherlands, but Netherlands more talented. Netherlands over Ukraine. Belgium over Italy. Next. France over the Czech Republic. in that pod. And then at the bottom, England over Austria, and a game that I think will probably be too close to comfort for people that like England to win this tournament, and Croatia over Hungary. So now we move to the quarters. I have Spain over Germany, and what will likely be like a controversial pick, Spain over Germany, even though the tournament is in Germany. I like Spain to get past the Germans here. I think that Germany is going to be too leaky in defense. I don't like Manuel Neuer. Give me Spain over Germany. I have Portugal over the Netherlands. I have more faith in Martinez than I do Ronald Koeman and more faith in Portugal's attacking talent than I do the Dutch attacking talent. So Spain and Portugal in one semi. France over Belgium on the bottom. And I'll take Croatia to beat England in that quarterfinal where I just think like that'll be England 1-0. Croatia will equalize late. It'll end up going to penalties and England will lose because that's what always happens. So if you want to bet Croatia to make the semis, Croatia plus 600 to make the semifinal. So Spain over Portugal in one semi, France over Croatia in the other in a rematch of the 2018 World Cup title game when France slammed Croatia. I think France will beat Croatia again, and then give me Spain over France in the final as La Roja win their first European championship since 2012 when they won the World Cup in 2010 and then won the European championship in 2012. So Spain to win. Other bets coming up, and I'll give my specific game bets for the weekends in the Power Hour.”
Alvaro Morata scored only 1 goal at Euro 2024 (vs Croatia) and was not among the six Golden Boot co-winners at 3 goals each (ESPN).
“No longer the golden generation, but still have Kevin De Bruyne, still have Romelu Lukaku, among others.”
Romelu Lukaku was not among the six Euro 2024 Golden Boot co-winners, who were tied at 3 goals each (ESPN).
“what always happens. So if you want to bet Croatia to make the semis, Croatia plus 600 to make the semifinal. So Spain over Portugal in one semi, France over Croatia in the other in a rematch of the 2018 World Cup title game when France slammed Croatia. I think France will beat Croatia again,”
Croatia finished third in Group B and was eliminated in the group stage, never reaching the semifinals (Wikipedia).
“So Spain to win. Other bets coming up, and I'll give my specific game bets for the weekends in the Power Hour. So I said Scotland, last in Group A. Spain to win Group B. Spain-Croatia, double result in Group B. Slovenia to qualify for the knockout stage, plus 160. Croatia to the semis, plus 600.”
Slovenia qualified for the round of 16 at Euro 2024 as one of the best third-placed teams (Wikipedia).
“I'm just going to bet the Panthers to win. I don't think I can bet Barkov, Conn Smythe, because if the Panthers win, then I think Bobrovsky is just going to remain. Unless Edmonton, they win 7-6. I don't think that's going to happen. I'll just bet the Panthers to win.”
FLA 4, EDM 3 — Florida beat Edmonton 4-3 in Game 3; the Panthers moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“and he's plus 500 right now for Conn Smythe. I like the Celtics on the money line tomorrow night. We talked about that. I have no baseball bets for tonight. I handicapped the entire card, and, like, I really didn't like anything, unfortunately. And I've been betting baseball every day for a while now. I just didn't like anything tonight. PJ, any baseball bets for you?”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Dallas beat Boston 122-84 in Game 4; the Celtics moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Let me just see. I want to see Kaitlyn Clark's points prop for tonight. She is at 17.5. I'll bet over Caitlin Clark 17.5 points. Justin from 19.5 in the last game. She only scored 10. I don't think she's going to get benched for the second half like she did in the last game. I'll play Caitlin Clark over 17.5 points. I need to put that in after the show.”
IND 91, ATL 84 — Caitlin Clark scored 7 points on June 13, well under the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Caitlin Clark: 7 points)
“So tomorrow, Germany is playing Scotland only one game tomorrow.”
Germany 5, Scotland 1 — Germany beat Scotland 5-1, allowing a goal, so "Germany win to nil" busts (ESPN).
“And then I'll quickly give some Euro bets. This will be Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So obviously it won't be on the show to give these out tomorrow. So tomorrow, Germany is playing Scotland only one game tomorrow. The host country always hosts the one game on the opening day. Germany to win to nil so Germany to win in Scotland not to score that's minus 110 at bet MGM Germany to win to nil against Scotland also in group a Hungary and Switzerland will be the two teams fighting out for second place in that group I think that's going to be a cagey game and I think both teams like will not like are will be afraid of losing because they go you ain't going to advance if you lose this game I think Hungary and Switzerland will draw I like that at plus 220 I think Spain's going to win the tournament and if that's the case I'm going to like them at a small price against Croatia. Spain minus 110 to beat Croatia. Now remember, no extra time in these games. These are just 90-minute games in the group stage. So if it's 1-1, like we ain't going to extra time. The bet would lose. Spain minus 110 against Croatia. And then give me Slovenia on the Asian handicap, plus a half a goal and plus one against Denmark, minus 120 with Jan Oblak and Nett. And I don't like Denmark's attacking prowess. PJ, great job on the show today.”
Switzerland 3, Hungary 1 — Switzerland beat Hungary 3-1; the draw does not hit (ESPN).
“And then I'll quickly give some Euro bets. This will be Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So obviously it won't be on the show to give these out tomorrow. So tomorrow, Germany is playing Scotland only one game tomorrow. The host country always hosts the one game on the opening day. Germany to win to nil so Germany to win in Scotland not to score that's minus 110 at bet MGM Germany to win to nil against Scotland also in group a Hungary and Switzerland will be the two teams fighting out for second place in that group I think that's going to be a cagey game and I think both teams like will not like are will be afraid of losing because they go you ain't going to advance if you lose this game I think Hungary and Switzerland will draw I like that at plus 220 I think Spain's going to win the tournament and if that's the case I'm going to like them at a small price against Croatia. Spain minus 110 to beat Croatia. Now remember, no extra time in these games. These are just 90-minute games in the group stage. So if it's 1-1, like we ain't going to extra time. The bet would lose. Spain minus 110 against Croatia. And then give me Slovenia on the Asian handicap, plus a half a goal and plus one against Denmark, minus 120 with Jan Oblak and Nett. And I don't like Denmark's attacking prowess. PJ, great job on the show today.”
Spain 3, Croatia 0 — Spain beat Croatia 3-0 in the group stage; the Spain moneyline covers (Wikipedia).
“Vamos la roja. That means go Spain. I'll be betting on Spain to win the championship. Golf bets coming up for the U.S. Open.”
Spain 2, England 1 — Spain beat England 2-1 in the Euro 2024 final to win the title.
“like if it's a close game like you probably like Dallas at the end of the game right yeah I don't I'm not I'm not saying like Celt yeah I mean like you could you could take the three points like whatever that way they can that way luca can make the game winner and you still uh you still win your bet yeah whatever you want to do i think boston's a bit of i'm a little more risk averse uh i'll i'll wait till the last second and take the points with the celtics we talked about this two days ago i like the over in the game so i'll be on the celtics i'll be on the over i'll join you on the tatum over because i like to bet i'll bet that and i'm also on kairi over 23 and a half points been talking about that all week so four bets for me in tonight's game celtics at the last possible second plus the points over in the game tatum over points 26 and a half kyrie irving over 23 and a half points for me tonight game three of the nba fun i give you a ridiculous bet for like”
DAL 99, BOS 106 — Boston beat Dallas 106-99 in Game 3, a margin of +7 vs. the +3 spread; Celtics cover.
“uh i'll i'll wait till the last second and take the points with the celtics we talked about this two days ago i like the over in the game so i'll be on the celtics i'll be on the over i'll join you on the tatum over because i like to bet i'll bet that and i'm also on kairi over 23 and a half points been talking about that all week so four bets for me in tonight's game celtics at the last possible second plus the points over in the game tatum over points 26 and a half kyrie irving over 23 and a half points for me tonight game three of the nba fun i give you a ridiculous bet for like”
DAL 99, BOS 106 — Jayson Tatum scored 31 points in Game 3, over the 26.5-point line. (Jayson Tatum: 31 points)
“I'm going to bet the, and Jake, do you like any of these? I'm going to bet the Rangers tonight with John Gray going up against Walker Bueller. And the Rangers have gotten bet a little bit. I bet plus 150. They're plus 145. So Bueller, like the Dodgers won Bueller's last start against the Pirates. I bet the Pirates in that game because the Dodgers bludgeoned Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh starting pitcher with Felter. He's starting tonight also. But Walker Bueller was terrible in that game as well. And John Gray, not terrible in his last outing. I'll bet the Rangers after they got bulldozed last night by the Dodgers. Give me Texas plus money tonight against the Dodgers. And then two pitchers that have both been pitching well recently,”
LAD 2, TEX 3 — Texas beat the Dodgers 3-2 on Corey Seager's go-ahead homer; the Rangers moneyline cashes.
“And then two pitchers that have both been pitching well recently, Carlos Sanchez for the Phillies and Nick Pavetta for the Boston Red Sox. This is definitely a square bet. I'll bet the first five under, under four, first five under four with the Phillies and the Red Sox tonight, minus 110. Jake, baseball bets for you, please.”
PHI 4, BOS 6 (through 5) — Philadelphia and Boston combined for 10 runs through five innings (4-6), over the first-five under-4 line.
“honestly uh chicago plus seven and a half okay like should i should i take that because i feel like my my wmba i feel like i'm i'm even steven on wmba this year well if you're even steven i have no opinion on the game you got money to play with yeah yeah okay yeah i'll bet this guy with you why not okay listen this looks like to bet like to have like a lot of things going on i can't believe”
CHI 75, CON 83 — Connecticut beat Chicago 83-75, a margin of -8 vs. the +7.5 line; Sky bust.
“described in the opening segments of the show a couple uh zigzag spots in the wmba for yours truly tonight i will lay the storm at home against the la sparks i'll lay 11 and a half with the storm against cameron brink and the sparks seattle minus 11 and a half and i'll lay the six and a half and Maybe I'm the sucker with these. And I'll wait and see if I can get a six. I'll end up laying it with the Aces tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. So Aces laying it and laying it with the Seattle Storm. Two Major League Baseball bets for me tonight.”
SEA 95, LA 79 — Seattle beat LA 95-79, a margin of +16 vs. the -11.5 line; Storm cover.
“I'll end up laying it with the Aces tonight against the Minnesota Lynx.”
LV 86, MIN 100 — Minnesota beat Las Vegas 100-86; the Aces lost outright, busting the -6.5 spread.
“But for a game that hasn't started yet, I'm going to play. I've been playing on the Reds a lot recently. I'll play the Reds here first five against Cleveland. A play against Tristan McKenzie, and I like this Reds offense a lot. First five, even money. Cincinnati, my one baseball bet for a game that hasn't started yet.”
CLE 3, CIN 1 (through 5) — Cleveland led 3-1 after five innings (final 5-3); the Reds first-five moneyline loses.
“The point total remains the same, so we're not getting a discount on the price for Kyrie Irving, 23.5. And look, I could be way wrong here, and you could get another 16-point performance from Kyrie. I would be surprised if that happened. My guess is he'll come out and be pretty aggressive. I'll play the over, and maybe I'm the sucker here. I'm not trying to paint this as the lock of the millennium or close to it. I think we'll get a good Kyrie. I think we'll get at least one good Kyrie game in this series. My bet, Ken, is that it will be game three. You can disagree with that, obviously. But what do”
Boston 106, Dallas 99 — Kyrie Irving scored 35 points (13-28 FG) as Boston beat Dallas 106-99 in NBA Finals Game 3, clearing his over 23.5 points prop (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 35 points)
“We're now sitting Florida minus 125, Edmonton plus 105. And Ken said, you know, Edmonton's getting bet. This is plus 125. Now we're sitting at plus 105. And I've been watching playoff hockey basically my entire life. I just turned 41 last week. If Bobrovsky's going to be that, Florida, the price is crazy for Florida tonight playing at home. I'll have a bet on the Panthers to win tonight's game at a short price. I think it's a short price if Bobrovsky's going to be that. So I'll bet the Panthers tonight.”
Florida 4, Edmonton 1 — Florida beat Edmonton 4-1 in Stanley Cup Final Game 2, winning outright as moneyline favorites (ESPN box score).
“that you referenced uh and san diego keeps getting bet and you can understand why because Dylan Cease is starting and the A's are absolutely brutal. Is it Johnny or Joey Estes? It's Johnny Estes, right? Joey. Sean's son? Joey. Joey Estes. Yeah. Who's actually been, like, frickin' awesome. Been really good. I'll take a shot on Oakland at a huge price on the road in San Diego, playing in front of actual people. Maybe it'll help the athletics tonight. So, big number here. I'll play the A's at plus 200 on the road at the Padres. And I'm going to bet my team tonight.”
San Diego 6, Oakland 1 — San Diego beat Oakland 6-1, so the Athletics moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“And I'm going to bet my team tonight. I'm going to bet the Yankees with Carlos Rodon on the road at Seth Lugo and the Royals. Lugo, been an awesome season for Lugo. Last couple starts have not been as good, whereas Carlos Rodon is getting better, which each successive start coming off a six-inning, nine-strikeout start. Nice for the New York Yankees. Give me the Bronx Bombers with Juan Soto back in the lineup tonight. Yankees on the road at the Royals, so give me the Yankees and the Oakland Athletics in Major League Baseball.”
New York 4, Kansas City 2 — New York beat Kansas City 4-2, so the Yankees moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“to bet Kyrie's under a 23 and a half but I I think Luca gets 35 plus and I and I do like the Celtics to win the series I just think Luca's going to be a monster we'll go mano y mano I'll bet Luca over 31 and a half points. I'm on the first quarter over as well, over the 55 and a half in the first quarter and kind of want to see how the game plays out, see what Porzingis looks like. And maybe we'll be looking to enter the other live market at some point. But first quarter over, Luka over points, my place tonight, game one of the NBA finals.”
107-89 — Boston and Dallas combined for 57 first-quarter points (Boston 37, Dallas 20), over the 55.5 line, in Boston's 107-89 Game 1 win (ESPN box score). (Q1: Boston 37, Dallas 20 (57 total))
“for instance on Thursday night is 31 and a half a little juice to the under I'm gonna bet the over on like Luka points like every game in the series I think he's going 35 plus in every game I guess if you're Boston like why wouldn't you just say okay like Luka's going to do what Luka does like it's going to happen like we can't stop it he's the best player why don't you just like stop Kyrie Irving and I'm not even insinuating like Kyrie's gonna score eight points per game like stop Kyrie Irving probably means he scores like 16 points a game 20 points a game instead of like 28 why don't you just like stop Kyrie Irving and just like win the series and if PJ Washington beats you like so be it like so be it if that happens so I guess where I'm at here Ken and obviously like what's preventing me from betting Boston just to win the series is the health of Porzingis you said that also what's he gonna look like um i i do like boston in the series i like luka to go over his points prop and i guess corresponding i i might bet the under on kyrie irving points coming up 23 and a half right now at bet mgm coming up in game one and i won't bet that now i'll maybe wait till”
107-89 — Luka Doncic scored 30 points in NBA Finals Game 1 (Celtics 107, Mavericks 89), under the 31.5 line (ESPN box score). (Doncic: 30 points)
“bets and i'll give a banger a french open bet uh i'm gonna take the mets first five against the nationals the mets have been playing murderers row recently with the marlin sandwiched in there also played the nl champion diamondbacks the dodgers the giants the guardians the phillies and the Braves. Now they get the Washington Nationals. Tyler McGill is pitching. He was awesome in his last start against the Dodgers. I'll take the Mets first five at even money against the Washington Nationals. I'll go against Jake here with Kevin Gausman pitching well in his last two starts. Grayson Rodriguez putting tons of men on base. Give me the Blue Jays against the Baltimore Orioles. I'll also go against Jake and I'll play the Cincinnati Reds with Andrew Abbott pitching who's inducing a ton of ground balls. I like that at Coors Field. Andrew Abbott in the Reds at the Rockies. And French Open play Alcaraz to win 3-1 tomorrow against Stefano Sisipas over at Roland Garros. We'll talk to you tomorrow.”
After 5: NYM 7, WSH 5 (Final NYM 8, WSH 7) — The Mets led the Nationals 7-5 through five innings on June 3, 2024, en route to an 8-7 final (ESPN box score).
“against Stefano Sisipas over at Roland Garros. We'll talk to you tomorrow. Nick and Ken on You Better You Bet. Until then, I'm Nick Costos wishing you minimal sweats, winning bets, the absolute very best of luck. Woo! Thanks for listening to You Better You Bet. Up next, it's BetMGM Tonight on the BetQL Network, presented by BetMGM.”
BAL 7, TOR 2 — Toronto lost to Baltimore 7-2 on June 3, 2024 (ESPN box score).
“against Stefano Sisipas over at Roland Garros. We'll talk to you tomorrow. Nick and Ken on You Better You Bet. Until then, I'm Nick Costos wishing you minimal sweats, winning bets, the absolute very best of luck. Woo! Thanks for listening to You Better You Bet. Up next, it's BetMGM Tonight on the BetQL Network, presented by BetMGM.”
CIN 13, COL 3 — Cincinnati beat Colorado 13-3 on June 3, 2024 (ESPN box score).
“against Stefano Sisipas over at Roland Garros. We'll talk to you tomorrow. Nick and Ken on You Better You Bet. Until then, I'm Nick Costos wishing you minimal sweats, winning bets, the absolute very best of luck. Woo! Thanks for listening to You Better You Bet. Up next, it's BetMGM Tonight on the BetQL Network, presented by BetMGM.”
Carlos Alcaraz beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets (6-3, 6-4, 6-2) at the 2024 French Open, not the 3-1 (four-set) result picked (Wikipedia, 2024 French Open Men's Singles). (Alcaraz d. Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 (3-0))
“don't think they have a chance to at least win the game and uh a lot of people bet dogs sometimes thinking like well the other team's gonna win but i like the dog it's like well that's pretty narrow band of outcomes i think the heat can actually win this game so i'll take the heat and i'll bet the money line a big money line price at bet mgm right now plus 675 if you wanted to bet the miami heat to win this game and send it back to south beach for game six so both ken and i will be on the heat plus the points, small bet on the money line as well.”
118-84 — Celtics beat Heat 118-84 in Game 5 on May 1, 2024, with Boston winning the series 4-1; Miami moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Right. I do like Dallas. I like Dallas more than the Clippers here, and I understand, like, they are better without this version of Kawhi Leonard. I like Dallas. I think you'll see James Harden have, like, more typical James Harden playoff game, is my sense, tonight. I'll take the Dallas Mavericks. I'll lay the two and a half. That's the number. I bet I'm Jim. The juice towards Dallas. Three elsewhere, I'm sure. Give me Dallas laying the two and a half tonight on the road at the LA Clippers.”
Mavericks 123, Clippers 93 — Mavericks beat Clippers 123-93 in Game 5, a 30-point margin, so Dallas -2.5 covered (ESPN box score).
“they're out to five and a half uh hope cleveland wins would not bet into this market i kind of like the under now that it's 203 but i you know we've been betting unders a lot in this series under for a couple bucks pray for a calves win and not bet on it a couple bucks for me on the magic just to cover the spread not on the money line but just to cover We're expecting a close game. I don't think this will be like road team gets blown out five games in a row, although it's possible. I'll take the magic for a small bet.”
Cavaliers 104, Magic 103 — Magic lost 104-103 to the Cavaliers, a 1-point margin, so Magic +5.5 covered (ESPN box score).
“i will bet vancouver to close out”
Predators 2, Canucks 1 — Predators beat Canucks 2-1 in Game 5; Canucks moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“i'm gonna put like 20 bucks on it why not joey laprofito to hit a home run”
Loperfido went 1-for-5 with a single and 2 RBIs in his MLB debut, no home run, in the Astros' 10-9 win over the Guardians (ESPN box score). (Loperfido: 5 AB, 1 H, 0 HR, 2 RBI)
“it's juiced way over we could even call this do you want to do stealers eight do you want to do so it's okay uh mike tomlin mike tomlin russell i've said it so it's so i know i know what it is because i bet it mike tomlin russell wilson slash justin fields eight this makes sense i think you have to say fields is a part of it in order for me to say like no it needs to be more just because like if you said wilson i guess i could be like but even the top one part of this i'm just like no it's too low more it's too low like i i think we're i think where we're gonna end up here and i i have long thought this and i don't know if this is it's exactly where i'm gonna be but it's gonna be close it's gonna be over brown steelers under ravens and i don't know if i can play under on cincinnati i may just not play them but like i just i like where your heads i don't like needing borough to i don't like needing borough to lose lots of regular season games i don't like that but i like the ravens 11 and 6 i win and under i like that a lot uh seattle”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the over 8 wins total (ESPN). (Steelers: 10 regular-season wins)
“six and a half the total juiced under a panther's a big favorite ken need them to win have them a billion different ways in the series think they do uh i've been betting sam reinhardt every which way and props and to win the con smith and all this stuff and the market just seems to like not care at all that he's the second leading scorer in the nhl and has three goals already uh i could see this going to overtime which panthers games do sometimes but reinhardt to score play well panthers to win don't bet the puck line which is not the way these two teams have played a lot”
Sam Reinhart recorded 0 goals (2 assists) in Florida's 6-1 win over Tampa Bay on April 29, so the goalscorer prop busts (ESPN box score). (Reinhart: 0 goals)
“My one betting angle here would be like, I don't want to bet the Capitals. Maybe they can take a game here. I don't want anything to do with betting Washington. I also don't really feel like laying the Rangers. I guess the Rangers puck line would be where I, if I had to do something. My one thought would be, the total here is five and a half. We saw five goals scored in games. So the Rangers have scored four goals in each of the first two games of the series. The Capitals got three past Jesterkin. It's an all-in game for the Capitals. Ovechkin got called out by Spencer Carberry. Like, any thoughts are over five? Like, I kind of think the total in this game should be six, not five and a half. I know that's kind of a crazy thing to say. It's only a half goal difference. But I actually think, like, this should be adjusted up a little bit here, given everything that I said. So I think I'm going to bet the Ovechkin. That's how I'm going to bet this game. I'm going to put a couple bucks on over five and a half. Sure.”
NYR 3, WSH 1 — Rangers beat Capitals 3-1 (combined 4), the over 5.5 total busts (ESPN box score).
“you're getting some big discount here yeah but i'll but i'll tell you why because you did a great job of detailing why like vancouver might not score a lot also like nashville puts their bodies on the line the quote the other night they're committed to pain the canucks keep like the like the the drumbeat out of vancouver has basically been like they are going they know that they have been outworked by nashville and i think they're going to put it on the line tonight also i think this is like the game then right i think this is going to be a ridiculously grindy game yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna play the under overtime in every game i said that yesterday though that that that That's my... It certainly has all the familiar symptoms of a game that would go to overtime at 1 How about this Here my prediction I think we get No it won because DeSmith playing I was going to say it going to go to like triple overtime but it won Maybe one overtime, though. It would have to be a lot different. I mean, even one overtime is a little. I just, they just, when it's not Demko, they just suck. They're just not very good. That's all it is. And there's a chance. Will it go to six? No, right? Only because I only ask that because the overs, five and a half is juice big time. Under five and a half is even money. I like that. reds in the under some exact scores with overtime yeah something like that i like nashville um but i i hear your point on the under and and maybe maybe you get a vancouver response that i'm”
VAN 2, NSH 1 — Canucks beat Predators 2-1 (combined 3), the under 5.5 total covers (ESPN box score).
“when demco doesn't play i just don't think it's there uh jets and abs i i said earlier in the show So look, Winnipeg's even gotten bet a little bit. This was 175 earlier. Avs minus 175. Best home team in the league this season. So Winnipeg's plus 140. Total in the game is 6.5. I kind of want to take the under, but also... I'm going to play Winnipeg just because I think the price is crazy. And I could be way wrong. They could get bulldozed. I don't think Colorado should be minus 165 in any game against Winnipeg, no matter where the game is played. so i'll bet winnipeg here in this game and and you know what then maybe the chips will fall”
COL 6, WPG 2 — Avalanche beat Jets 6-2 in Game 3, so the Winnipeg moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Oilers and Kings tonight from Los Angeles. I'll go first here. Six and a half the total, and we've seen 20 goals scored in the first two games of the series. I'll actually try and catch the falling knife here, and I'll play the under. I thought what Pete Blackburn said yesterday was really smart about this, and I did some reading on this also. It seems like Edmonton is going to play a little bit less of a wide-open game here with L.A. Scoring four goals in the first game, Edmonton scored seven, and then the Kings beat them playing their game in Game 2. I think Edmonton's like an F-around-and-find-out territory, and they may lose the series. I'll play under 6.5, though, coming up tonight with the Kings and the Oilers.”
EDM 6, LAK 1 — Oilers beat Kings 6-1 (combined 7), the under 6.5 total busts (ESPN box score).
“uh do you want to bet the panthers tomorrow again to say the bay lightning i'm not even close yeah right yes yes yeah now i like john cooper goes yes yes and you only if you don't believe we can come back and win stay home also like people want to get paid so everyone's showing up and everyone absolutely smashed five on five the whole series so what's going to happen here and what's fun and like their spirit's broken because after every game there's always a stretch in all three games so far where the lightning will outplay florida and and it ends with like scoring yeah yeah like kucherov like i mean just like they got the top end guys it everybody else and florida They relentless Yeah Florida relentless in these games They done and they know it and cooper can say whatever he wants it high noon for cooper i don know how many people get that reference give me the panthers tomorrow we throw rats onto the ice in tampa”
TB 6, FLA 3 — Lightning beat Panthers 6-3 on April 27, so the Florida moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“uh calves magic tomorrow game four magic minus two and a half two oh one and a half the total i'll keep the simple under yeah i'll be on the under for the fourth straight game the end uh”
ORL 112, CLE 89 — Magic beat Cavaliers 112-89 on April 27 (combined 201), under 201.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“the pelicans a little bit maybe it's just first half but it's it's probably the game too uh celtics heat boston a nine and a half point road favorite two oh one and a half the total give me miami no bets on the game uh if i had to bet the game i'd bet the nuggets three and a half uh closeout game at the lakers 218 and a half i'm betting denver”
BOS 104, MIA 84 — Celtics beat Heat 104-84 on April 27; Miami did not cover the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“never the lakers and uh nicks sixers on sunday uh i'm gonna take the points with the nicks plus four and a half and i think the nicks are very live to win the game why don't you give your thought on the total there i don't have a lot in this game you had a thought on the total also right”
NYK 97, PHI 92 — Knicks beat 76ers 97-92 on April 28, covering the +4.5 spread for New York (ESPN box score).
“I'll have separate bets here. A bigger bet on the Cavs to win the game. Cleveland just wins. And I'll have a smaller bet on the under, just because I don't think Orlando is going to be able to score. But the Cavs is my preferred play tonight. Just like you, Ken, because I did the show that Monday with Brinson. You were still on vacation. I said the same thing, that I think the Cavs are going to win the series, like 4-1 or sweep them. I like Cleveland also tonight. Maybe Orlando gets game four, or maybe they don't, and the Cavs just sweep them here. I think we're going to get the brooms out. I think it's going to be a sweep. Give me the Cavs to win the game tonight on the road in Orlando and a smaller bet on the under.”
ORL 121, CLE 83 — Orlando beat Cleveland 121-83 in Game 3 on April 25, 2024, so the Cavaliers moneyline lost.
“740s Nick Sixers uh Lakers Nuggets Lakers a one and a half point favorite uh I'm betting the Nuggets to win yeah I I like Denver also but I will say a lot of the Laker role players that have been absolutely miserable so far or haven't shot a lot I just the flip to playing at home I think is going to be really big for some of these guys. Hachimura, excuse me, Hachimura would be the one that stands out the most, who's been like a zero, basically, for the first part of this series. I think he has a pretty low points prop tonight. Over on him, maybe over on Reeves, those kind of guys, I think I would play overs on. But you like the Nuggets or no? I like the Nuggets to win. I'm just saying how the Lakers are.”
DEN 112, LAL 105 — Denver beat the Lakers 112-105 in Game 3 on April 25, 2024, so the Nuggets moneyline cashed.
“thinking about that okay all right uh now now here's some hockey bets uh panthers and lightning uh starting in a half an hour in tampa uh give me give me the panthers and basically until until the the hockey playoffs are over or all of us die i'll take the panthers tonight i do like the price they're just much better uh they got the a plus plus vasilevsky game they still lost yeah i think the panthers might sweep this team i really do um i hope they do because way more rest going into the next round and then hopefully they win that you're gonna bet the”
FLA 5, TB 3 — Florida beat Tampa Bay 5-3 in Game 3 on April 25, 2024, so the Panthers moneyline cashed.
“Just to finalize the NHL plays for tonight, Islanders. Islanders to win for me. That's it.”
CAR 3, NYI 2 — Carolina beat the Islanders 3-2 in regulation in Game 3 on April 25, 2024, so the Islanders moneyline lost.
“if i like gave you 100 bucks right now and said you have to bet one way or another on nicks and pennix what would you bet i'll give you the prices as they're updated right now nicks 32 and a half over plus 110 under minus 140 so basically will he be a first round pick yes on bonix plus 110 or sorry yes minus 140 yes is a favorite that he will be picked in the first round no plus 110 pennix will he be drafted in the first round yes minus 330 now i can believe this is where we are no plus 248 if i gave you 100 bucks he said you have to bet both what would you bet i think pennix is going in the first i would i would say pennix goes in the first and i wouldn't bet into that market i guess i'd lay yes and uh and nicks i would say does not go in the first round and i will defer to people that i think are really smart and have told me the entire time that pennix is much more likely to go in the first round that Bo Nix is not a day one prospect so that's what I'll base it on and I'm willing to be wrong as I'm also I'm gonna make money but yeah I'm gonna make it right I'm gonna make a small bet right when we get off the air hoping that Nix keeps getting bet like this and I'll take a chance because I think it's just Denver and that's it and maybe Denver picks them maybe they don't maybe they trade back in maybe they don't I'll bet I'll bet like maybe it's a flip of the coin maybe it's not I'll bet the plus that that he doesn't get picked panics i don't know if i feel confident betting that price even that he”
Denver selected Bo Nix with the 12th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, so the over-32.5 bet lost. (Nix: pick 12)
“falls like slides and he keeps on falling i was given a tip by somebody about 10 minutes ago i don't know how valid this is but i trusted this enough to bet a bet some money on it how do i pronounce this guy's name Quinyon Mitchell Quinyon Mitchell he's a corner from toledo uh was told going to go earlier than people expect highly likely to be first corner which hasn't been bet as much as as in other places by me and under on draft position second hand info take that for what it's worth that's the last thing that i got all right uh we'll talk to”
Philadelphia selected Quinyon Mitchell 22nd overall, the first cornerback taken in the 2024 NFL Draft. (Mitchell: first CB drafted, pick 22)
“book for jj mccarthy five and a half still juiced a lot because i think this is like this is why you and i bet this i think too where it's like well if it's still possible it's three and it's four and five in a trade than I still like under five and a half, whether he goes third or not under five and a half minus two 16. this particular one.”
Minnesota selected J.J. McCarthy with the 10th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, above the 5.5 line. (McCarthy: pick 10)
“give me boston tonight perhaps against my better judgment ken i'll take the bruins to win tonight in toronto in game three”
BOS 4, TOR 2 — Boston beat Toronto 4-2 in Game 3 on April 24, 2024, so the Bruins moneyline cashed.
“And that's it. I don't think I talked about this on the air. Jake, I bet the Royals, I don't know what the price is now. So I'm like following nine, nine million other sports. I have the Royals to win the AL Central, like eight to one. I think that's the price that I have. Like, we still like that or? Oh, I still, yeah. Love it.”
The Cleveland Guardians won the 2024 AL Central with a 92-69 record; Kansas City did not win the division. (AL Central winner: Cleveland Guardians (92-69))
“maybe that is how florida gets there maybe they get to play the hurricane who do you like and that's boston boston beats florida who do you like boston beats florida and they play rangers carolina yes if boston's if boston's able to beat the panthers then they are showing us something light years different than what they are right now and then i would like them but that's i we haven't seen it yet would you ever bet any boston players to win con smith it's gonna be i i bet mcavoy like 120 when the playoff started but i wouldn't bet it's it's posture knock like a ton of the time. And they're swapping the goalies. You can't put the goalies either unless they”
Connor McDavid won the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP, not Charlie McAvoy (ESPN). (2024 Conn Smythe Trophy winner: Connor McDavid)
“Phoenix to win tonight on the road in Minnesota.”
MIN 105, PHX 93 — Phoenix lost to Minnesota 105-93 on the road (ESPN box score).
“i said before game one like i like phoenix to win the series but i was gonna play whoever lost game one in game two was gonna zigzag here at the first couple games in minnesota so if like phoenix had won game one i would have bet minnesota in game two minnesota won game one ergo give me the phoenix suns just to win tonight i'll bet the suns on the money line to win tonight on the road in minnesota um and i'll give devin booker's points prop tonight my sense is that booker will have a better game like hard for him to play worse like and normally a pretty good playoff performer booker's points prop tonight juiced over it's literally getting bet as i talk right now it's the screen is flashing booker 23 and a half over minus 125 at bet mgm i think you get a big devin Booker game tonight as the Suns even the series at two. So I like the Devin Booker over 23 and a half points and then give me the Suns on the money line.”
Devin Booker scored 20 points, below the 23.5 line (ESPN box score/recap). (Devin Booker: 20 points)
“anybody or two days from now i i agree with you i definitely agree um i'm looking for haliburton's what's the 19 and a half yeah tough he's not healthy i'll i'll that'll be my bet for the game i'll ride with you on Tyrese Haliburton under 19 and a half points final nba game for”
Tyrese Haliburton scored 12 points, under the 19.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 12 points)
“I can't figure out if I want to play Mavs for the game or Mavs early. It's one of those two things. I think it's Mavs for the full game. We talked about this yesterday. I was going to love Dallas in this game. And, like, Luka and Kyrie both played well in game one. No one else on Dallas did anything. I think it's unlikely that you get that again in game number two. And you also got like A plus James Harden game, A plus Zubat's game in game one. I think it's unlikely, again, that you get that in game number two. Now, maybe Kawhi scores 35. We don't know what it's going to look like. I'll play the Mavericks tonight. Give me Dallas against the LA Clippers. And, Ken, in the time remaining, let's talk some hockey.”
DAL 96, LAC 93 — Dallas defeated the LA Clippers 96-93 (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to lay the nuggets and feel really good about it, like laying UConn, like laying the Chiefs. I'll lay Denver. Give me Denver minus a 6.5 against the Lakers. Ken, we've got news tonight in the Bruins-Maple Leafs game.”
DEN 101, LAL 99 — Denver beat the Lakers 101-99, a 2-point margin, short of Denver's -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I don't know what I'm missing here. I love the – I guess, like, I'd like for Caruso to play, so maybe I'll, like, wait to make sure that Caruso's playing to feel a little better about it. Who's handling the ball for the Heat? Like, who's going to, like, dribble the basketball? Like Tyler Hero and Duncan Robinson? Great. Give me the Bulls. i like the bulls to win also how are they getting a shot off with less with more than three seconds on the shot clock when those guys are running the off i mean i just what is this gonna be so maybe i'm like way off here and like the heat just do their voodoo thing and spolster is obviously a great coach give me your chicago bulls i'll take the bulls to win tomorrow night against the miami heat on the other side bets for the kings of ellie bell”
MIA 112, CHI 91 — Miami beat Chicago 112-91 in the April 19, 2024 play-in game; the Bulls moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“obvious also like the heater getting bet i i don't know i i like the bulls in the first game and i also like sacramento in the second game so give me the bulls to be the eight and get slaughtered by the Celtics and then I'll take the Kings.”
NOP 105, SAC 98 — New Orleans beat Sacramento 105-98 in the April 19, 2024 play-in game; the Kings moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“score i'm gonna uh pass this game although i can't hard to disagree with your thought on the under without like without these two teams want to play and like how this is probably going to go i love the calves in the series i talked about that on monday and then ken and i talked about it yesterday but you know that doesn't mean that the calves win by margin in this game number one maybe like my theory on how this is going to go is i think at the end of the game in what will probably be rock fights i trust donovan mitchell more than i trust anyone on orlando including paulo banqueiro it's like create shots and like make make good shots and like get good shots off so i think the calves will win maybe they cover i'm gonna pass the game but i've also bet the calves in the series and i think the calves will win this one in short order against orlando 330 on saturday the timberwolves one and a half point favorites against the suns total here ken is 214 and a half”
Cleveland beat Orlando 106-94 in Game 7 on May 5, 2024 to win the East First Round series 4-3 (ESPN game recap). (Cavaliers won series 4-3)
“The Knicks, a juice 2.5 at BetMGM, total 2.08.5.”
NYK 111, PHI 104 — New York beat Philadelphia 111-104 in Game 1 on April 20, 2024, covering Knicks -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Huge game for Jalen Brunson. I think it will be 30-plus for Brunson. Embiid's not fully healthy. Crowd's going to be going insane. Give me the Knicks to win this game by, like, let's call it, like 6 to 10 points on Saturday. Love the Knicks in game one, and I like the Knicks in the series as well. Yeah, tough not to the way Embiid looked.”
New York beat Philadelphia 118-115 in Game 6 on May 2, 2024 to win the East First Round series 4-2 (ESPN game recap). (Knicks won series 4-2)
“gonna happen barring like an injury of some kind uh a couple bucks for me on the lakers i'll also and i agree with mike and like how could you not like d'angelo russell's been really good and if the lakers are gonna like have this type of series ken that you think they're capable of having and like make this pretty competitive, win a couple games, maybe extend that a little bit. Like Russell's going to have to play well. And especially we don't always see LeBron, like, go nuclear stat-wise in game ones. D'Angelo Russell's points prop here is 15 and a half. I'll put a couple bucks on D'Angelo Russell's points prop over as well. Game number one on Saturday night with the Lakers and the Nuggets. Nick and Ken, you better you bet on a Thursday,”
D'Angelo Russell scored 13 points in Game 1 on April 20, 2024, below the 15.5 line (ESPN box score / reporting). (Russell: 13 points)
“So, pass the game? Like, the game itself, though? yeah i'll probably play some westbrook stuff for a couple bucks maybe some big prices on him to have like monster stats in some categories and that's about it and i've come around on this just for like you know i was actually thinking about it today am i really gonna like click the button to bet milwaukee in game one without yannis against indiana and the answer i came to is no in fact like i'd like to win on the other side because because i think indiana is gonna win the game i'll lay i'll uh i'll lay the one and a half of the pacers on the road against milwaukee in game one ken i don't uh i don't have anything i want to do here i i don't i don't want to bet the bucks i'm not going to bet the bucks i think at any point i may bet the pacers at some point in some”
MIL 109, IND 94 — Milwaukee beat Indiana 109-94 in Game 1 on April 21, 2024, a 15-point margin that the Pacers did not cover at -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“so a couple bucks for me on the bruins a couple bucks for me on the islanders on saturday”
CAR 3, NYI 1 — Carolina beat New York 3-1 in Game 1 on April 20, 2024; the Islanders moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“plus games small bet on the money line for them to win the series i hope it goes six hope it goes seven i'll have a bet on the islanders to win this game i also think that this game could be higher scoring than expected. Now it's five and a half juiced way under. If it ever goes to five, I'm going to bet the over. Three of the four matchups between the teams this year were very high scoring, like seven or eight goals. My prediction is we'll see Ilya Sorokin at some point in this series. So I'll have a small bet on the over and I'll have a small bet on the Islanders. And I agree with Ken Islanders chance to win this series and extend it very deep. Saturday night, Bruins and the Leafs in Beantown, Boston minus 120.”
CAR 3, NYI 1 — Carolina beat New York 3-1 in Game 1 on April 20, 2024, four combined goals, under the 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
“money on the bruins to win the stanley cup uh with the idea that their first two opponents are likely to be teams that they played very well against listen i'm i i just want some action this weekend i'm gonna have a small bet on the brew i bet the bruins to win the series as we talked about yesterday and today on the show uh i'll have a small bet on the bruins here in game one just my thought on how the goalie situation will play out for boston um swayman's been electric this year against toronto if he falters in like any game i think they're gonna pull the plug pretty quickly and go to lena solmark and we'll see if that happens over the course of the series so a couple bucks for me on the bruins a couple bucks for me on the islanders on saturday to Sunday, Ken, Panthers minus 165 in game one against Tampa. Total in the game is six juiced”
BOS 5, TOR 1 — Boston beat Toronto 5-1 in Game 1 on April 20, 2024; the Bruins moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“to Sunday, Ken, Panthers minus 165 in game one against Tampa. Total in the game is six juiced under. I like Boston a lot as a potential Stanley Cup champion. I ran all my final stuff last night. These games today won't change anything. Florida is the most likely team to me by far now to win the Stanley Cup. Boston and Vancouver exist in a second group behind them. The Bruins price is better, which is why I talked about that yesterday. The Bruins also went 4-0 against the Panthers, who they're going to play in the second round. I think the winner of Panthers-Bruins actually wins the stanley cup a lot that's how i'm approaching the bracket and we can talk about the west you know next week or whatever uh i bet a couple panthers in the con smith market the obvious choices kachuk reinhardt bobrofsky i think are pretty good just price shop them um i like the panthers in this series also i think the lightning are the most overrated team in the tournament probably versus how people feel about them i love how we would get like a 2011 stanley cup final rematch hopefully no riots this time on the streets of vancouver if things don't go well for the canucks if indeed we get that match up uh tim thomas would drop the puck at uh at center ice if we got the Bruins and the Canucks, along with Roberto Luongo. No bet for me in game number one, like the Panthers in the series against Tampa, and we will close the hockey portion of this segment with the Rangers and the Caps on Sunday. Rangers minus 250, Caps plus 200, total in the game five and a half juiced under.”
Florida beat Tampa Bay 6-1 on April 29, 2024 to win the East First Round series 4-1 (ESPN game recap). (Panthers won series 4-1)
“last week on the show i said i would like colorado did like a little more like work and research on that series and just like to keep it as surface level as possible just for right now like the the goal tending advantage that winnipeg has in that series is absolutely massive like georgiev save percentage starts with an eight winnipeg has the vesino winner like the future vesino winner here in Connor Hallibuck. I'll be with you on the Winnipeg Jets. Winnipeg also swept them in the regular season series, so I'll be on Winnipeg with you.”
Colorado beat Winnipeg 4 games to 1 in the 2024 first-round series after dropping Game 1 (NHL.com). (Avalanche won series 4-1)
“i would only if i had to bet the total i would only play under yeah uh i will join you on atlanta plus three and a half just because i want more action i was just going to play the under but i like your thought on atlanta so i'll take the hawks and i will take the i'll take miami plus the five and a half tonight and god have mercy on my soul if i'm wrong but give me the miami heat plus five and a half anything else for you ken in uh nhl or major league baseball i've got nothing”
CHI 131, ATL 116 — Chicago beat Atlanta 131-116, a 15-point margin, so the Hawks did not cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“plus three and a half just because i want more action i was just going to play the under but i like your thought on atlanta so i'll take the hawks and i will take the i'll take miami plus the five and a half tonight and god have mercy on my soul if i'm wrong but give me the miami heat plus five and a half anything else for you ken in uh nhl or major league baseball i've got nothing for tonight no only i mean there's only two baseball games that haven't started right and”
PHI 105, MIA 104 — Philadelphia beat Miami 105-104, a 1-point margin, so the Heat covered +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“And, I mean, yeah. And you understand why. I guess Anthony Edwards could, like, take the leap and really get to the next level. But it feels like Phoenix is probably the play there. I will definitely be betting the Suns. Trista, we appreciate it.”
Minnesota swept Phoenix 4-0 in the first round, closing it out 122-116 in Game 4; Phoenix did not win the series (ESPN). (Timberwolves won series 4-0)
“I like Orlando a lot, and in the right matchup, I think I might have liked Orlando. I guess my issue is, and Will, you know, I think if you're going to be right here with the Magic, Donovan Mitchell has not looked great. And I think, obviously, if you like the Cavaliers and you want to have a lot of confidence in them, you'd like to know that Donovan Mitchell is going to be really healthy. I guess, you know, Orlando really wants to get down and dirty and make it a really, really physical game. Like, they're not beating any team by winning, like, 125-122. Because where is the scoring coming from? Like, Bancaro is not – he has games where he can be really brilliant. I don't have confidence he can do that over the balance of, like, an entire series. Like, Suggs is good. Wagner's good. I don't know if any of these guys are good enough to, like, put up the type of scoring numbers that can win you a high-scoring game. So Orlando's kind of like this grindy team, and I kind of think the same thing is true of Cleveland, except Cleveland has Donovan Mitchell, a guy that can score 40 in a big game if he's right. I like the Cavs here in this series. I think the way I want to play it as opposed to laying the 190, I want to play the Cavs minus a point and a half, plus 110, where they win 4-2, 4-1 or sweep, and I win with my Cleveland Cavaliers bet, leaning towards laying the points with the Cavs in game number one on Saturday. I have a couple days to make that decision, but I like the Cavs coming up in the series against Orlando, and again, me and Ken Barkley back on Wednesday.”
Cleveland beat Orlando 4-3, a one-game series margin that did not cover Cavaliers -1.5 games (ESPN). (Cavaliers won series 4-3)
“I will definitely be fading Joe Musgrove as well. Jason's brother was a great line. I will fade Joe Musgrove. And I'll also play the Mets against the Pirates tonight. Jake was saying that he thinks the Mets bats have a good lineup, have a good matchup against Martin Perez. For me, Pittsburgh off to a great start this season. Mets not so great. And I think the Mets are a little better than they've looked. And the Pirates obviously not as good as they've looked. what 11 and five thus far this season so give me the mets and i will also take the milwaukee brewers tonight we'll all close with hockey picks in a second any um baseball for you tonight”
SD 7, MIL 3 — San Diego defeated Milwaukee 7-3; the Brewers moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“And I'll also play the Mets against the Pirates tonight. Jake was saying that he thinks the Mets bats have a good lineup, have a good matchup against Martin Perez. For me, Pittsburgh off to a great start this season. Mets not so great. And I think the Mets are a little better than they've looked.”
NYM 6, PIT 3 — New York defeated Pittsburgh 6-3; the Mets moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“And the betting market does also. The price has moved. Big time in favor of the Predators. I still like Nashville tonight on the road in Pittsburgh against the Penguins. Penguins with a tough loss in their last game. Pittsburgh's been on this huge run trying to make the second wildcard spot on the Eastern Conference. Alex Njelkovic has started basically every game for the Penguins on this stretch. Gave up a bunch of goals in his last game. Got pulled for Tristan Jari back in the lineup tonight. I feel like they're out of gas big time here. Nashville trying to hold on to the first wildcard spot. Hold off Vegas for that spot. Saros in net tonight for the Predators. I think the Predators are just better than the Penguins. And again, I think Pittsburgh's out of gas. I'll take the Preds minus 105 on the road at Pittsburgh. And then with the Rangers and the Senators tonight,”
PIT 4, NSH 2 — Pittsburgh defeated Nashville 4-2; the Predators moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“And then with the Rangers and the Senators tonight, Rangers win this game and they clinch the President's Trophy for most points in the NHL this season. I'll play the Rangers on the puck line tonight. I think they'll score a lot on Corpus Allo. Shesterkin in net, he had been bad recently, but played really well against the Islanders on Saturday. So Rangers on the puck line tonight against the Senators. Will, I appreciate it, buddy.”
NYR 4, OTT 0 — New York shut out Ottawa 4-0 to clinch the Presidents' Trophy, covering Rangers -1.5 on the puck line (ESPN box score).
“Brian Callahan is my favorite long shot bet right now for coach of the year”
Kevin O'Connell of the Minnesota Vikings was named the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year at NFL Honors; Brian Callahan did not win (NFL.com). (2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year: Kevin O'Connell (Minnesota Vikings))
“Sitting minus 130 now on the road at Boston tonight. I'm with Jake. Give me the Baltimore Orioles”
BOS 4, BAL 9 — The Baltimore Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox 9-4 on April 11, 2024, so the Orioles moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Pirates for the full game”
PHI 5, PIT 1 — The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-1 on April 11, 2024, so the Pirates full-game moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Pels to win the game at even money”
SAC 123, NO 135 — The New Orleans Pelicans beat the Sacramento Kings 135-123 on April 11, 2024, so the Pelicans moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“Tampa, minus a goal and a half at home against Ottawa”
TB 2, OTT 3 — The Ottawa Senators beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 on April 11, 2024, so the Lightning lost outright and could not cover -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Pittsburgh Penguins, and I will lay the number here. Minus 155 against the Red Wings”
PIT 6, DET 5 — The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-5 on April 11, 2024, so the Penguins moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“Give me Winnipeg at a big underdog price on the road in Dallas”
DAL 0, WPG 3 — The Winnipeg Jets shut out the Dallas Stars 3-0 on April 11, 2024, so the Jets moneyline covered (ESPN box score).
“you know I'm betting Hideki Matsuyama, obviously, to win the Masters”
Hideki Matsuyama did not win the 2024 Masters; he finished T38 at +7 (295) (ESPN final leaderboard). (Matsuyama: T38, +7 (295))
“Give me Jordan Spieth at 22 to 1”
Jordan Spieth did not win the 2024 Masters; he missed the cut with a 36-hole total of 153, +9 (ESPN final leaderboard). (Spieth: missed cut, 153 (+9))
“I'll also bet Sahith Thigala to win the Masters”
Sahith Theegala did not win the 2024 Masters; he finished T45 at +9 (297) (ESPN final leaderboard). (Theegala: T45, +9 (297))
“Give me Max Homa”
Max Homa and Collin Morikawa tied at the 2024 Masters, both finishing T3 at -4 (284), a dead-heat head-to-head (ESPN final leaderboard). (Homa: T3, -4 (284); Morikawa: T3, -4 (284))
“Give me Wyndham Clark in head-to-head matchups against Collin Morikawa”
Wyndham Clark missed the cut at the 2024 Masters (151, 36-hole total) while Collin Morikawa made the cut and finished T3 at -4 (284), so Morikawa wins the head-to-head (ESPN final leaderboard). (Clark: missed cut, 151; Morikawa: T3, -4 (284))
“I'm going to bet Tiger Woods to miss the cut”
Tiger Woods did not miss the cut at the 2024 Masters; he made the cut and finished T60 at +16 (304) (ESPN final leaderboard). (Woods: T60, +16 (304), made the cut)
“I'm going to bet the Orioles tonight against the Red Sox”
7-5 — The Orioles beat the Red Sox 7-5 on 2024-04-10, so the Orioles moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Padres on the run line against the Chicago Cubs”
10-2 — The Padres beat the Cubs 10-2 on 2024-04-10, an 8-run margin that covers the -1.5 run line (ESPN box score).
“under for both of us with the Blues and the Blackhawks, under 5.5”
5-2 — The Blues beat the Blackhawks 5-2 on 2024-04-10, a combined 7 goals, over the under 5.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Bucs are going to win”
117-99 — The Bucks beat the Magic 117-99 on 2024-04-10, so the Bucks moneyline won (ESPN box score).
- Denver Nuggets moneyline won
- Phoenix Suns moneyline won
“I'll play a Nuggets-Suns money line parlay also in the NBA”
116-107; 124-108 — Both legs hit on 2024-04-10: the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves 116-107, and the Suns beat the Clippers 124-108 (ESPN box scores).
“With my first pick, I will take the Chicago bears under eight and a half”
The Chicago Bears finished the 2024 NFL regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 wins line (ESPN final standings). (Bears 2024 regular season: 5-12)
“I'm going to bet Tiger Woods to make the cut”
Tiger Woods made the cut at the 2024 Masters and finished 60th at +16 (304 total) (ESPN final leaderboard). (made cut, T60, +16 (304))
“i'll bet the cubs tonight it's now like plus 115 plus 120 on the road at the San Diego Padres”
SD 1, CHC 5 — Cubs beat the Padres 5-1, covering the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Rangers minus a run and a half against Oakland”
TEX 3, OAK 4 — Athletics beat the Rangers 4-3; Texas lost outright, so the -1.5 run line busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Rangers at minus 120”
NYI 4, NYR 2 — Islanders beat the Rangers 4-2; New York Rangers moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the Winnipeg Jets minus 110 on the road at Nashville”
WPG 4, NSH 3 — Jets beat the Predators 4-3 in overtime on Kyle Connor's OT winner; Winnipeg moneyline covers (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Bs minus 105 at home against Carolina”
CAR 4, BOS 1 — Hurricanes beat the Bruins 4-1; Boston moneyline busts (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Sacramento Kings plus the 5.5 on the road at OKC”
OKC 112, SAC 105 — Thunder beat the Kings 112-105 (margin of 7), so Sacramento's +5.5 spread busts (ESPN final score).
“9.8, I win betting under 9.5. With my first pick, give me the under on Kirk Cousins, Rob, and the Atlanta Falcons”
Atlanta Falcons finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5-win line (Wikipedia, citing team/league records). (8-9)
“So I win on 9-8. The bet is 500 for the Browns. With this roster, easy over for me”
3-14 — Cleveland Browns finished the 2024 NFL regular season 3-14, well under 8.5 wins (ESPN).
“nine and a half is the number for Aaron Rodgers and the Jets juiced a little bit towards the under about minus 115 to the under minus 105 for the over I'll play over on the New York Jets”
5-12 — New York Jets finished the 2024 NFL regular season 5-12, well under 9.5 wins (ESPN).
“I've got like 17 parlays tied into Inter-Miami winning the MLS Cup”
2-1 — Inter Miami was eliminated in the first round of the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs by Atlanta United; LA Galaxy went on to win the 2024 MLS Cup, defeating New York Red Bulls 2-1 on December 7, 2024 (MLSsoccer.com).
“I think it's a pretty easy bet, and you live with the consequences. Vegas even money to win on the road in Vancouver”
Vancouver 4, Vegas 3 — Vancouver Canucks beat Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 on April 8, 2024, so the Golden Knights moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“give me under 6.5”
Toronto 3, Pittsburgh 2 — Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime on April 8, 2024; combined 5 goals is under the 6.5-goal total (ESPN box score).
“i'll bet the mariners and even money on the road in toronto”
Toronto 5, Seattle 2 — Toronto Blue Jays beat Seattle Mariners 5-2 on April 8, 2024, so the Mariners moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“i'll join you ken even with james paxton starting with the dodgers at minus 135”
Los Angeles 4, Minnesota 2 — Los Angeles Dodgers beat Minnesota Twins 4-2 on April 8, 2024, so the Dodgers moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I'll play minus 105 with the Phils and Myles Michaelis and the Cardinals”
Philadelphia 5, St. Louis 3 — Philadelphia Phillies beat St. Louis Cardinals 5-3 in 10 innings on April 8, 2024, so the Phillies moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Blue Jays team total over three and a half”
TOR 3, NYY 0 — Blue Jays beat Yankees 3-0 on 4/5/2024; Toronto's 3 runs fell short of the 3.5 team-total over (ESPN box score).
“Both are minus 120. So basically, like, pick the winner here. I like Gunther here”
Sami Zayn defeated Gunther at WrestleMania 40 Night 1 on 4/6/2024, ending Gunther's Intercontinental title reign, so Gunther's moneyline lost (Yahoo Sports).
“i'll bet the reds also”
NYM 3, CIN 2 — Mets beat Reds 3-2 on 4/5/2024, so Cincinnati's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“i'm taking the five here give me arlington plus”
STL 27, ARL 24 — St. Louis beat Arlington 27-24 on a last-second field goal on 4/6/2024; the Renegades' 3-point loss was within the +5 spread (FOX Sports box score).
“I'll play UConn UConn plus the three and a half against Iowa”
IOWA 71, UCONN 69 — Iowa beat UConn 71-69 (a 2-point margin) in the 2024 Women's Final Four on 4/5/2024, so UConn's +3.5 spread covered (ESPN box score).
“i'll play the rangers at home against the houston astros uh texas plus 110”
TEX 10, HOU 2 — Rangers beat Astros 10-2 on 4/5/2024 behind Adolis Garcia's four RBI, so Texas's moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to play the Ducks at a plus price against the Kraken”
SEA 3, ANA 1 — Kraken beat Ducks 3-1 on 4/5/2024, so Anaheim's moneyline lost (ESPN recap).
“Give me the Magic minus the 11 and a half”
CHA 124, ORL 115 — Hornets beat Magic 124-115 on 4/5/2024, an 9-point margin, so Orlando's -11.5 spread lost (ESPN box score).
“i'm gonna play golden state to win the game with luca now”
DAL 108, GS 106 — Mavericks beat Warriors 108-106 on 4/5/2024 on P.J. Washington's game-winning layup, so Golden State's moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“So I have UConn to win the tournament for like not an insignificant sum of money.”
75-60 — UConn beat Purdue 75-60 on 4/8/2024 to win the 2024 NCAA men's basketball national championship (ESPN).
“Yeah, I'll bet the Guardians also.”
4-2 — Cleveland Guardians beat Minnesota Twins 4-2 on 4/4/2024 at Target Field (ESPN box score), so the Guardians moneyline won.
“we were going to advise people to bet the Nationals because we did”
7-4 — Pirates beat Nationals 7-4 on April 4, 2024; Nationals moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I think I unfortunately, I don't want to do it, I think I have to be with you here on the White Sox.”
10-1 — Royals beat White Sox 10-1 on April 4, 2024; White Sox moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I'll play against that, and I'll bet the Capitals.”
4-1 — Penguins beat Capitals 4-1 on April 4, 2024; Capitals moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to bet the Lightning can on the puck line on the road at Montreal.”
7-4 — Lightning beat Canadiens 7-4 on April 4, 2024; Tampa Bay's +3 margin covers the -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet the Panthers puck line had plus money on the road at the Senators.”
6-0 — Panthers beat Senators 6-0 on April 4, 2024; Florida's +6 margin covers the -1.5 puck line (ESPN box score).
- Iowa Hawkeyes moneyline won
- UConn Huskies moneyline won
“How about a two-team Moneyline parlay to go to the Final Four? Iowa, minus 135 to beat LSU in Kaitlyn Clark's revenge. And give me Connecticut, minus 165 on the Moneyline to beat Juju Watkins and USC.”
Both legs hit: Iowa beat LSU 94-87 and UConn beat USC 80-73 in the April 1, 2024 women's Elite Eight games, per ESPN box scores.
“Paige Bueckers over 26.5 points player prop also”
UCONN 80, USC 73 — Paige Bueckers scored 28 points as UConn beat USC 80-73 on April 1, 2024, covering the over 26.5 (ESPN box score). (Paige Bueckers: 28 points)
“sure i'll lay minus 130 with the Bulls to win the game tonight.”
ATL 113, CHI 101 — The Bulls lost to the Hawks 113-101 on April 1, 2024, so the Bulls moneyline busted (ESPN box score).
“I like the over. Over five and a half.”
NYI 4, PHI 3 — The Islanders beat the Flyers 4-3 in OT on April 1, 2024, a combined 7 goals, covering the over 5.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll play Winnipeg, and I'll lay the minus 120 can against the LA Kings.”
WPG 4, LA 3 — The Jets beat the Kings 4-3 on April 1, 2024, covering the Winnipeg moneyline (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Mets minus 135.”
DET 5, NYM 0 — The Mets lost to the Tigers 5-0 on April 1, 2024, so the New York moneyline busted (ESPN box score).
“Give me Giants' first five at a huge price tonight.”
LAD 8, SF 3 — The Dodgers led the Giants 3-0 through 5 innings en route to an 8-3 final on April 1, 2024, so the Giants first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“give me no run in the first inning between the uh phillies and the braves”
Braves 12, Phillies 4 — Ozzie Albies homered off Aaron Nola for 2 runs in the top of the first, and the Phillies scored in the bottom of the first to lead 3-2; a run scored in the first inning, so the under busts (Braves won 12-4) (ESPN box score).
“I like the Padres today against the Giants with Dylan Cease.”
Giants 9, Padres 6 — Giants beat Padres 9-6 on March 30, 2024, so the Padres moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I like the Mets against the Milwaukee Brewers.”
Brewers 7, Mets 6 — Brewers beat Mets 7-6 on March 30, 2024, so the Mets moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“so so show bets will be arlington plus three and a half san antonio plus six and a half.”
27-14 — Birmingham beat Arlington 27-14 in the UFL's inaugural game on Mar 30, 2024; Arlington lost by 13, failing to cover +3.5 (TheUFL.com).
“I want to do this tonight, and my bet is Vlad Guerrero Jr., who starts in six minutes.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with no home run in Toronto's 8-2 loss to Tampa Bay on Mar 29, 2024 (ESPN box score). (2-for-3, 0 home runs)
“I'll join you on Cleveland.”
6-4 — Cleveland beat Oakland 6-4 on Mar 29, 2024; the Guardians won the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“I'll bet the Giants on the road against the Padres.”
8-3 — San Francisco beat San Diego 8-3 on Mar 29, 2024; the Giants won the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“I'm gonna bet the Devils tonight.”
5-2 — Buffalo beat New Jersey 5-2 on Mar 29, 2024; the Devils lost the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“So give me the Rangers minus 120.”
4-3 — Texas Rangers beat the Chicago Cubs 4-3 in 10 innings on Opening Day, March 28, 2024 (ESPN box score); Rangers moneyline covers.
“I'll play the Red Sox for a couple bucks, plus money on the road in Seattle.”
6-4 — Boston Red Sox beat the Seattle Mariners 6-4 on Opening Day, March 28, 2024 (ESPN recap); Red Sox moneyline covers.
“I think I might be wrong, but I'll lay the one and a half with Milwaukee on the road to New Orleans.”
100-107 — New Orleans beat Milwaukee 107-100 on March 28, 2024 (ESPN box score); Bucks lost outright, margin -7 vs the -1.5 line busts.
“I like the Stars.”
3-1 — Dallas Stars beat Vancouver 3-1 on March 28, 2024 (ESPN box score); Stars moneyline covers.
“I like the Predators. I got 160 against the Coyotes.”
8-4 — Arizona Coyotes beat Nashville 8-4 on March 28, 2024 (ESPN box score); Predators moneyline busts.
“I'll put a couple bucks on the Capitals.”
1-5 — Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington 5-1 on March 28, 2024 (ESPN box score); Capitals moneyline busts.
“i bet the yankees because they're my favorite team they could lose um i'm betting them because i like them”
5-4 — Yankees beat Astros 5-4 on Opening Day Mar 28, 2024; Yankees moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
- Blue Jays-Rays over (entry total unstated) pending
- Cole Ragans strikeouts over (entry line unstated) pending
- San Francisco Giants moneyline lost
“so i um while jake was was giving his analysis i parlayed a couple of his bets um and one of yours ken i took the okay i took i i parlayed the i have the over in the blue jays game i don't know if the blue jays will win but like i seven and a half seems like a little what the hell do i know to be making declarative statements like this like wow that number's crazy well also i make uconn three tonight against san diego yeah i do I think that wrong team's favorite. Underdogs, three-point underdogs. I parlayed the over in that game with Bilbo and the Giants and Logan Webb.”
6-4 — The parlay's Giants moneyline leg lost as the Padres beat the Giants 6-4 on March 28, 2024, busting the parlay regardless of the other legs (ESPN box score).
“You know I love Denver to win the title also. I think both of us have been on this. We were on it before the season started. We picked the Nuggets, been on the Nuggets throughout. I've got the Nuggets and a bunch of bets also to win the championship.”
The Boston Celtics beat the Dallas Mavericks 4-1 to win the 2024 NBA championship; the Denver Nuggets did not win the title (ESPN). (2024 NBA champion: Boston Celtics (series 4-1))
“I'm going to take Illinois against Iowa State.”
Illinois 72, Iowa State 69 — Illinois beat Iowa State 72-69 in the Sweet 16 on March 28, 2024, so the Illinois moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
“i'll have a small bet on texas on the money line”
62-58 — Tennessee beat Texas 62-58 in the NCAA Tournament second round; Texas moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I'll also have a small bet on Colgate to win the game.”
92-67 — Baylor beat Colgate 92-67, so Colgate's moneyline bet lost (ESPN).
“I did bet the over during the break off of that piece of intel from Greg Campy on our show. So over 146 and a half is in the accounts.”
79-73 — NC State beat Oakland 79-73 in overtime, a combined 152 points, clearing the 146.5 over (ESPN).
“Give me Oakland on the money line to beat NC State.”
79-73 — NC State beat Oakland 79-73 in overtime in the NCAA Tournament second round; Oakland moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“I ended up taking Sanford when this news came out a couple days ago at eight and a half.”
KU 93, SAM 89 — Kansas beat Samford 93-89 in the NCAA tournament first round, a margin of -4 for Samford; Samford +8.5 covers (ESPN).
“Give me Drake to beat Washington State.”
WSU 66, DRKE 61 — Washington State beat Drake 66-61 in the NCAA tournament first round; Drake moneyline busts (ESPN).
“I'll bet Toronto also.”
4-3 — Flyers beat Maple Leafs 4-3 on 3/19/24; Toronto lost on the moneyline (ESPN final score).
“I get plus 180 at home with St. Louis. I like the Blues. I'll play the Blues at a big price than I can. Give me St. Louis plus 180 at home against Colorado.”
4-3 — Avalanche beat Blues 4-3 on 3/19/24; St. Louis lost on the moneyline (ESPN final score).
“I like Philly minus 145 on the money line as well”
98-91 — 76ers beat Heat 98-91 on March 18, 2024; Philadelphia moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I like the Jazz plus five and a half.”
114-104 — Timberwolves beat Jazz 114-104 on March 18, 2024, a 10-point Minnesota margin; Utah +5.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“I'll play Buffalo at even money.”
6-2 — Sabres beat Kraken 6-2 on March 18, 2024; Buffalo moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I'll play under six, Ken, with the Capitals and the Flames.”
5-2 — Capitals beat Flames 5-2 on March 18, 2024, a combined 7 goals; under 6 busts (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, 9.5, I think 110.”
UConn 95, St. John's 90 — UConn beat St. John's 95-90 in the Big East tournament semifinal; St. John's lost by 5, covering +9.5 (ESPN box score).
“So I laid Kentucky against A&M and I did not think I was going to do that. But then like thinking about the game, doing some work on it this morning, I laid five and a half with Kentucky.”
Texas A&M 97, Kentucky 87 — Texas A&M upset Kentucky 97-87 in the SEC tournament quarterfinal; Kentucky lost outright, busting the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I have Baylor plus one.”
Iowa State 76, Baylor 62 — Iowa State beat Baylor 76-62 in the Big 12 tournament semifinal; Baylor lost by 14, busting the +1 spread (ESPN box score).
- Marquette Golden Eagles moneyline
- Virginia Cavaliers moneyline
“I money line parlayed Marquette and Virginia”
79-68; 73-65 — Marquette beat Providence 79-68 in the Big East semifinal, but NC State beat Virginia 73-65 in overtime in the ACC quarterfinal, both on March 15, 2024, busting the two-leg moneyline parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I'll put a couple bucks on Anaheim plus 340 money line on the road to Winnipeg.”
Winnipeg 6, Anaheim 0 — Winnipeg shut out Anaheim 6-0; the Ducks moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“one of the reasons why I made a couple of those bets, Denver to win their division, Denver to be the one seed”
The Oklahoma City Thunder finished atop the 2023-24 Northwest Division and Western Conference (57-25, No. 1 seed); the Denver Nuggets finished 2nd in the division (ESPN standings). (2023-24 Northwest Division winner: Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25))
“one of the reasons why I made a couple of those bets, Denver to win their division, Denver to be the one seed”
The Oklahoma City Thunder clinched the 2023-24 Western Conference No. 1 seed at 57-25; the Denver Nuggets finished 2nd in the West (ESPN standings). (2023-24 Western Conference No. 1 seed: Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25))
“yeah i'll bet san jose how could you not whatever and if they lose you they lose whatever i think it's about worth making 285 is the best price on them yeah plus 285 against this team great”
PIT 6, SJ 3 — Pittsburgh Penguins beat San Jose Sharks 6-3 on 3/14/24 (ESPN box score); the Sharks moneyline lost.
“I took Seton Hall plus four, and they keep going on.”
91-72 — St. John's beat Seton Hall 91-72 in the Big East tournament quarterfinal at Madison Square Garden on March 14, 2024, a 19-point margin, well outside Seton Hall +4 (ESPN box score).
- Baylor moneyline won
- South Carolina moneyline won
“I have Baylor in a Moneyline parlay with South Carolina so I just need Baylor to win and I win that parlay”
68-56; 80-66 — Baylor beat Cincinnati 68-56 in the Big 12 tournament quarterfinal and South Carolina beat Arkansas 80-66 in the SEC tournament, both on March 14, 2024; both moneyline legs won so the parlay cashes (ESPN).
“Okay. I'll take New Mexico also.”
76-66 — New Mexico beat Boise State 76-66 in the 2024 Mountain West tournament quarterfinal on March 14, 2024, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN).
“I will play the Blue Jackets also, plus 105 at home against the Senators.”
3-2 — Ottawa Senators beat Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 on March 14, 2024, so the Blue Jackets moneyline loses (ESPN).
- UCLA Bruins moneyline won
- Georgia Bulldogs moneyline won
“I have UCLA in a Moneyline Parlay with Georgia.”
UCLA 67-57 Oregon St; Georgia 64-59 Missouri — Both legs won: UCLA beat Oregon State 67-57 in the Pac-12 Tournament first round on 3/13/24, and Georgia beat Missouri 64-59 in the SEC Tournament first round on 3/13/24 (ESPN box scores) — both moneylines hit.
“I like them on the Canucks as well”
COL 4, VAN 3 — Colorado Avalanche beat Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime on 3/13/24 (ESPN box score); the Canucks moneyline lost.
“We went to the break, and I said that I do like betting Baylor at the price they're at right now, anywhere from like 8 to 9 to 1. I think I saw BetMGM had a 9. I mean, Mike Brown has on the screen another bet. MGM has an eight anywhere in that range. I do like Baylor at that price to win the big 12 tournament.”
Iowa State won the 2024 Big 12 men's basketball tournament (its 6th title), defeating BYU in the final; Baylor did not win (ESPN Big 12 tournament winners list).
“I'm going to put a couple bucks on Florida just to have it.”
Auburn 86-67 Florida — Auburn beat Florida 86-67 in the 2024 SEC men's basketball tournament championship game; Florida did not win the SEC tournament.
“I think Dallas railroads them tonight so I'll lay one three and a half can with the Mavericks”
DAL 127-92 CHI — The Mavericks beat the Bulls 127-92; Dallas's 35-point margin easily covered the -3.5 spread.
“I do want to bet the Hornets. It's five now everywhere, by the way. Great. Yeah. I like Charlotte.”
DET 114-97 CHA — The Pistons beat the Hornets 114-97; Charlotte's 17-point loss did not cover the +5 spread.
“I'll bet the Islanders also.”
LA 3-0 NYI — The Kings shut out the Islanders 3-0; the Islanders moneyline bet lost.
“I will bet the Capitals also. Hellebook and Winnipeg got shelled yesterday by Vancouver, now return home. Capitals have won two straight games. I'll play the Capitals at a plus price on the road at the Winnipeg Jets”
WPG 3-0 WSH — The Jets shut out the Capitals 3-0; the Capitals moneyline bet lost.
- Gonzaga moneyline won
- Saint Mary's moneyline won
“I'll do a two-team college basketball Moneyline Parlay for a couple bucks. Gonzaga and St. Mary's both to win their games, just to win, to advance to the West Coast Conference Tournament Final.”
Gonzaga 89-77 San Francisco; Saint Mary's 79-65 Santa Clara — In the 2024 WCC tournament semifinals on 3/11/24, Gonzaga beat San Francisco 89-77 and Saint Mary's beat Santa Clara 79-65 — both legs of the moneyline parlay won (ESPN box scores).
“Flames it is. Flame on.”
CGY 6, TB 3 — Flames beat Lightning 6-3; Calgary moneyline covers (ESPN box score).
“I think Kentucky's going to win at Tennessee on Saturday.”
85-81 — Kentucky beat Tennessee 85-81 on March 9, 2024, so the Kentucky moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“They're at Alabama. I'm going to bet Arkansas. They'll be a huge underdog. Alabama plays no defense. 17 is the number in that game. Yeah, I'll take Arkansas.”
ALA 92, ARK 88 — Alabama beat Arkansas 92-88 in OT; Arkansas lost by 4, covering the +17 spread (ESPN box score).
“They're at Auburn on Saturday. I'm going to bet Georgia to cover. Maybe not win, but I'm going to bet Georgia to cover at Auburn on Saturday. 17. Probably going to be your opener in that game or close.”
AUB 92, UGA 78 — Auburn beat Georgia 92-78; Georgia lost by 14, covering the +17 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to play the Pistons plus two and a half at home against the Nets.”
DET 118, BKN 112 — Pistons beat Nets 118-112 outright, easily covering Detroit's +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm playing the Blues tonight against the New Jersey Devils.”
NJ 4, STL 1 — New Jersey Devils beat St. Louis Blues 4-1 (Timo Meier hat trick), so the Blues moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
“Harrison's a big favorite to be the first non-quarterback selected, minus 650, Neighbors plus 650. Joe Ault might not even be the first offensive lineman selected. I actually think it's only Harrison and Neighbors right now. I think almost, obviously you're not laying 650 with Harrison. Like neighbors is the bet in this market.”
Arizona took Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. with the No. 4 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, making him the first non-quarterback selected; Malik Nabers went later, so the Nabers pick lost (NFL.com draft coverage).
“I'll take the Sabres at a big price on the road to Toronto. It feels like, again, the Toronto's begging to lose. Sabres plus 150 for me at the Toronto Maple Leafs.”
2-1 — The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime on March 6, 2024, so the Sabres moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“So the rest of the other NBA bets that I'll definitely be placing tonight. I'm going to play the Bulls on the road at the Jazz. They're starting to get bet now. I laid 3.5-10.”
119-117 — The Bulls beat the Jazz 119-117 on March 6, 2024, a 2-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I think Houston's way too good. They're scoring way too many points. I think they bulldoze UCF tonight. I'll lay the 8.5 with Houston on the road at UCF.”
67-59 — Houston beat UCF 67-59 on March 6, 2024, an 8-point margin that falls short of the -8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I think he goes over 30 tonight. I'll lay the lumber with Tennessee tonight. Tennessee minus 5.5 at South Carolina.”
66-59 — Tennessee beat South Carolina 66-59 on March 6, 2024, a 7-point margin that covers the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“They've gotten bet out a little bit against LSU, who's won a couple games in a row. I don't care. I'll lay the 4.5 with Arkansas against LSU.”
94-83 — Arkansas beat LSU 94-83 on March 6, 2024, an 11-point margin that covers the -4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm laying 2.5 with A&M against Mississippi State.”
75-69 — Texas A&M beat Mississippi State 75-69 on March 6, 2024, a 6-point margin that covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“But I'll take five and a half with the Hoosiers on the road at the Gophers tonight. Give me Indiana plus five and a half coming off a 50 point rousing second half comeback in their last game.”
70-58 — Indiana beat Minnesota 70-58 outright on March 6, 2024, comfortably covering the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“But something I find probably a little more interesting and more relevant to betting, although I did bet Shen Goon to win most improved player today because he did toss up 45-16 last night against – so Alpi got the best of Wemby last night for people keeping score at home.”
Tyrese Maxey won the 2023-24 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award; Alperen Sengun finished third in voting (NBA.com award announcement). (NBA Most Improved Player: Tyrese Maxey)
“Give me the LA Rams to win the game in Indy.”
Los Angeles Rams 29, Indianapolis Colts 23 — The Rams beat the Colts 29-23 in overtime, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).
“I would like to bet 3, but Saints minus 3 on Sunday.”
Tampa Bay 26, New Orleans 9 — The Buccaneers beat the Saints 26-9; New Orleans lost outright, failing to cover the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“Listen, Churn will join Miami Dolphins plus three. Maybe he won't, but I like to think that he will.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Bills beat Dolphins 48-20; Miami lost by 28, well short of covering +3 (ESPN box score).
“Are they going to win by 17 when all they're thinking about is their big rival coming up next week? In a word, no. In two other words, rock, chalk, Kansas covers against Texas.”
TEX 40, KU 14 — Texas beat Kansas 40-14 (margin 26), well beyond the +17 Kansas needed to cover; Kansas busts.
“And how about Oklahoma and Iowa State Oklahoma favored by 20 The sportsbooks Las Vegas the shadowy cabal. It's Andy Garcia's character from Ocean's Eleven, Terry Benedict, like leading the charge at the table. They are begging you, begging you to lay it with Oklahoma. But we still got Matt Campbell on the other side. We'll see for how much longer. And we have the RRLS. How's Oklahoma going to win this game by 21 when all they're thinking about, Texas. Iowa State covers.”
OU 50, ISU 20 — Oklahoma beat Iowa State 50-20 (margin 30), well beyond the +20 Iowa State needed to cover; Iowa State busts.
“USC wins by a million USC laying the 21 and a half narrative bet”
USC 48, COLO 41 — USC beat Colorado 48-41, a margin of only 7, short of the -21.5 USC needed to lay; USC busts.
“Florida in the double cross. Actually, the ranked team should be favored. The Florida Gators to take down Kentucky.”
UK 33, FLA 14 — Kentucky beat Florida 33-14; Florida moneyline busts.
“Notre Dame back on track. The Golden Domers laying the five and a half against the Dukies.”
ND 21, Duke 14 — Notre Dame beat Duke 21-14, a margin of 7, covering the -5.5 Notre Dame laid.
- Green Bay Packers +8.5
- Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
“Packers, Eagles is a teaser that I've got. Packers, Eagles, Green Bay up to 8.5. Philly down to 2.5 is a bet that I've got.”
DET 34-20 GB; PHI 34-31 WAS — Teaser leg Green Bay Packers +8.5 failed: Detroit beat Green Bay 34-20, a 14-point margin exceeding the teased 8.5 line, so the two-leg teaser loses even though Philadelphia covered -2.5 by beating Washington 34-31 in overtime (ESPN box scores).
“I think we can feel pretty good about Jameer Gibbs over 18 and a half receiving yards.”
34-20 — Jahmyr Gibbs had 4 receptions for 11 receiving yards in the Lions' 34-20 win over the Packers on 9/28/2023, under the 18.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (4 receptions, 11 receiving yards)
“So Josh Reynolds over 35.5 receiving yards”
34-20 — Josh Reynolds had 3 receptions for 69 receiving yards in the Lions' 34-20 win over the Packers on 9/28/2023, clearing the 35.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (3 receptions, 69 receiving yards)
“A beer pizza money bet split between anytime touchdown and first touchdown for Kalif Raymond tonight for your Detroit Lions.”
34-20 — Kalif Raymond did not score a touchdown in the Lions' 34-20 win over the Packers on 9/28/2023, finishing with 1 reception for -2 yards (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
“A beer pizza money bet split between anytime touchdown and first touchdown for Kalif Raymond tonight for your Detroit Lions.”
34-20 — Kalif Raymond did not score any touchdown (1 reception, -2 yards) in the Lions' 34-20 win over the Packers on 9/28/2023, so he was not the first touchdown scorer (ESPN box score). (0 touchdowns)
“I said on the show yesterday, I bet 46 and a half.”
24-3 — Seahawks beat Giants 24-3, a combined 27 points, under the 46.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I laid three with the Jaguars.”
23-7 — Jaguars beat Falcons 23-7 (ESPN box score); Jacksonville covered -3.
“Total, I bet the over, over 43 and a half.”
23-7 — Jaguars beat Falcons 23-7 (ESPN box score), a combined 30 points, under the 43.5 total.
“I have bet Cincinnati. I laid two and a half with the Bengals.”
27-3 — Titans beat Bengals 27-3 (ESPN box score); Cincinnati lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread.
“after the show yesterday, I bet a little on 49ers minus 14.”
35-16 — 49ers beat Cardinals 35-16 (ESPN box score); San Francisco covered -14.
“i laid two and a half last night”
31-28 — Broncos beat Bears 31-28, margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers (ESPN).
“So I did take the seven with the Patriots”
DAL 38, NE 3 — Cowboys routed the Patriots 38-3; New England lost by 35, well outside the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
“Mike Evans over 55.5 receiving yards.”
Mike Evans caught 5 passes for 60 receiving yards and a TD in the Buccaneers' 25-11 loss to the Eagles on Sep 25, 2023, clearing the 55.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (60 receiving yards)
“Ja'Marr Chase over 77.5 receiving yards.”
Ja'Marr Chase had 12 receptions for 141 receiving yards in the Bengals' 19-16 win over the Rams on Sep 25, 2023, clearing the 77.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (141 receiving yards)
“2-2 over 54.5 receiving yards.”
Tutu Atwell caught 4 of 9 targets for 50 receiving yards (with a 1-yard TD) in the Rams' 19-16 loss to the Bengals on Sep 25, 2023, falling short of the 54.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (50 receiving yards)
“Beer or pizza money on Rolls-Royce Freeman anytime touchdown for the L.A. Rams.”
Royce Freeman recorded no touchdown in the Rams' 19-16 loss to the Bengals on Sep 25, 2023; the game's only receiving/rushing TDs went to Joe Mixon and Tutu Atwell (ESPN box score). (no touchdown (did not score))
“I have that Lions 3. So I'm in on Detroit in this game.”
DET 20, ATL 6 — Lions beat Falcons 20-6, a 14-point margin, covering -3 (ESPN box score).
“And I gave out a first touchdown score in this game earlier in the show or any time touchdown score. Sonovan Bam Knight.”
Lions beat Falcons 20-6; Zonovan Knight does not appear in the Lions' rushing or receiving stats and recorded no touchdown (ESPN box score). (no touchdown (did not appear in box score))
“love washington in the game we talked about it a couple days ago like ken i bet plus seven”
BUF 37, WSH 3 — Bills beat Commanders 37-3, a 34-point margin; Washington +7 busts (ESPN box score).
“My projected spread in this game was seven and a half. So I took 10 with Houston”
HOU 37, JAX 17 — Texans beat Jaguars 37-17, a 20-point margin, covering +10 (ESPN box score).
“So I have Denver plus six and a half.”
MIA 70, DEN 20 — Dolphins routed the Broncos 70-20 on Sep 24, 2023; Denver lost by 50, well outside the +6.5 line (ESPN final score).
“We're going to take the points with Jim Moore and UConn. This one's a lock. UConn plus 21.5 against Duke.”
Duke 41-7 UConn — Duke beat UConn 41-7 on 9/23/2023; UConn's +21.5 spread failed by a wide margin (ESPN box score).
“Bama laying the seven, easy. Alabama laying it against Ole Miss.”
Alabama 24-10 Ole Miss — Alabama beat Ole Miss 24-10 on 9/23/2023; Alabama's -7 spread covered by 7 (ESPN box score).
“We're going to lay it with Penn State. Penn State minus 15.”
Penn State 31-0 Iowa — Penn State shut out Iowa 31-0 on 9/23/2023; Penn State's -15 spread covered by 16 (ESPN box score).
“California plus 20 and a half, the final narrative bet in college football.”
Washington 59-32 California — Washington beat California 59-32 on 9/23/2023; California's +20.5 spread failed by 6.5 (ESPN box score).
“Darius Slayton over 33 and a half receiving yards.”
Darius Slayton finished with 3 catches for 32 receiving yards in the 49ers' 30-12 win over the Giants on 9/21/2023, under his 33.5-yard line (ESPN box score, gameId 401547426). (Slayton 3 rec, 32 yds)
“Ronnie, let's ring the bell anytime touchdown, and Ronnie Bell first touchdown to bet MGM at huge prices.”
Ronnie Bell caught a 9-yard touchdown pass from Brock Purdy in the 49ers' 30-12 win over the Giants on 9/21/2023, finishing with 2 catches for 24 yards and 1 TD (ESPN box score/play-by-play, gameId 401547426). (Bell 1 TD, 2 rec, 24 yds)
“Ronnie, let's ring the bell anytime touchdown, and Ronnie Bell first touchdown to bet MGM at huge prices.”
ESPN's play-by-play for the 49ers' 30-12 win over the Giants on 9/21/2023 shows Ronnie Bell's 9-yard TD catch (2Q, 7:49) was the first touchdown of the game, ahead of McCaffrey (2Q, 1:40), Breida (3Q), and Deebo Samuel (4Q) (ESPN play-by-play, gameId 401547426). (Bell first TD, 2Q 7:49)
“I think Hyatt is worth playing for a couple bucks anytime touchdown, and Eric Gray.”
Jalin Hyatt recorded zero receptions and no touchdown in the Giants' 30-12 loss at San Francisco on 9/21/2023; he does not appear in the game's receiving or rushing stat lines (ESPN box score, gameId 401547426). (Hyatt 0 catches, 0 TD)
“I think Hyatt is worth playing for a couple bucks anytime touchdown, and Eric Gray.”
Eric Gray had no offensive touches and no touchdown in the Giants' 30-12 loss at San Francisco on 9/21/2023, appearing only as a kick returner (1 for 16 yards) and punt returner (1 for 3 yards) (ESPN box score, gameId 401547426). (Gray 0 offensive touches, 0 TD (1 KR, 1 PR))
“So I bet five and a half with Seattle. I laid the five and a half for people out there.”
SEA 37, CAR 27 — Seahawks beat Panthers 37-27; Seattle's +10 margin covers the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“what about six and a half would you ever bet six and a half yeah uh my point spread in the game is miami by six so uh so so right now the point spread at mgm oh it's actually like the sixes six and a half might be gone soon uh at mgm this is now 6.25 for miami uh six and a half minus 105 for the dolphins dolphins denver plus six and a half minus 15 total in the game is 48 my projected spread is miami minus six i i bet against denver the first two weeks i took the raiders in week one i took the commanders yesterday um expecting denver to win by margin is entirely different than needing like denver with sean payton as the coach to not get blown out in a game especially as slow as they play uh i i think the broncos can keep that they'll i think they'll lose but i because i think russ is the worst what what what a confident answer i mean i think they're gonna lose don't get me wrong i do think they're gonna lose but like i yeah i think peyton's a good enough coach i i love the broncos here at this number okay i love i love the broncos so i'm in on denver again”
MIA 70, DEN 20 — Dolphins routed Broncos 70-20 on 9/24/2023; Denver +6.5 lost by 50 (ESPN box score).
“But if this is going to be what the point spread is, like literally just pick the winner of the game, I'm sorry. The Chargers are just so much better than the Vikings. And you know how this is going to go. It's going to be like Staley's going to screw something up and the Vikings are going to win at the end. Like O'Connell's going to make the right calls and Staley's going to screw up. And it's going to be great content if and when that happens. So we'll win. I'll win at least, at least in a different way. If the bet loses. It's just, I actually think it's a button that has to be clicked. And you live with however it goes on the field on Sunday.”
LAC 28, MIN 24 — Chargers beat Vikings 28-24 on 9/24/2023, winning outright to cover the pick'em line (ESPN box score).
“I already said what I'm betting here. So I'll say it again. I bet Commanders plus seven.”
BUF 37, WSH 3 — Bills routed Washington 37-3; Commanders lost by 34, failing to cover +7 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Houston plus 10. My point spread in the game is Jacksonville in between 7 and 7.5.”
HOU 37, JAX 17 — Texans beat Jaguars 37-17; Houston won outright and covered +10 by 20 points (ESPN box score).
“Not only did I not bet the Bears, I laid 12 and a half with Kansas City. And I would only lay 13 with the Chiefs.”
KC 41, CHI 10 — Chiefs beat Bears 41-10; Kansas City covered -12.5 by winning by 31 (ESPN box score).
“I already bet Tampa in this game against Philly. I did not get a seven. I bet six and a half.”
PHI 25, TB 11 — Eagles beat Buccaneers 25-11; Tampa Bay lost by 14, failing to cover +6.5 (ESPN box score).
“burrow re-injured his calf and the line for this game opened monday night football super bowl rematch from a couple years ago in cincinnati the bangles six and a half point home favorites i looked at that line last night and did two things one laugh two bet los angeles”
CIN 19, LAR 16 — Bengals beat Rams 19-16; Los Angeles lost by only 3, covering the +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Prop King bet 58 and a half Number 60 and a half Still like it Jamaal Williams over 60 and a half yards rushing for the New Orleans Saints”
20-17 — Jamaal Williams rushed 9 times for 29 yards vs the Saints-Panthers game (Saints won 20-17); under 58.5 (ESPN box score). (Jamaal Williams: 29 rushing yards (9 att))
“What about Terrace Marshall Jr. anytime touchdown at a big price?”
20-17 — Saints beat Panthers 20-17; the only touchdowns were Tony Jones Jr. (2 rush TDs) and Adam Thielen (1 rec TD) — Terrace Marshall Jr. did not score (ESPN box score).
“Let's play the Saints tight end at the longest price. How about Foster Moreau anytime touchdowns?”
20-17 — Saints beat Panthers 20-17; the only touchdowns were Tony Jones Jr. (2 rush TDs) and Adam Thielen (1 rec TD) — Foster Moreau did not score (ESPN box score).
“One, it'll be for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Stone Cold Calvin Austin III, who's going to be the one-for-one fill-in for Deontay Johnson, a wide receiver. Stone cold Calvin Austin III. Anytime touchdown tonight for the Steelers.”
26-22 — Steelers beat Browns 26-22; touchdowns were Kenny Pickett to George Pickens, Jerome Ford (rec), and Alex Highsmith (INT return) — Calvin Austin III finished with 1 catch for 0 yards and no touchdown (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to, I'm betting the Rams plus seven and a half now, and maybe I'll get to middle seven. Come on, come Sunday. I'm going to bet the Rams here because I trust Sean McVay.”
SF 30, LAR 23 — 49ers beat Rams 30-23, a 7-point margin that is inside the +7.5 line, so Rams +7.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“South Florida plus 32. narrative at number one this weekend in college football.”
ALA 17-3 USF — Alabama beat South Florida 17-3 on Sept 16, 2023; USF +32 margin was -14, covers (ESPN).
“Wyoming, plus 30 against Texas.”
TEX 31-10 WYO — Texas beat Wyoming 31-10 on Sept 16, 2023; Wyoming +30 margin was -21, covers (ESPN).
“Sandwich spot. Easy. Central Michigan plus the points. Order me a sandwich. I'll take a hoagie. Central Michigan plus 34 and a half.”
ND 41-17 CMU — Notre Dame beat Central Michigan 41-17 on Sept 16, 2023; Central Michigan +34.5 margin was -24, covers (ESPN).
“western kentucky plus 29 and a half”
OSU 63-10 WKU — Ohio State beat Western Kentucky 63-10 on Sept 16, 2023; WKU +29.5 margin was -53, does not cover (ESPN).
“Iowa. 28.5 point favorite against Western Michigan. This is another instance. This is a Voltron spot. That's what we're going to call it. When two separate spots come together to form one big spot. And if that happens, you should probably see your doctor. We've got the win off of Iowa State last week. letdown spot. We have Penn State next week. Look ahead spot. And now this game becomes a sandwich spot. Three spots, a.k.a. take the points against Iowa.”
IOWA 41-10 WMU — Iowa beat Western Michigan 41-10 on Sept 16, 2023; WMU +28.5 margin was -31, does not cover (ESPN).
“I will lay these six points, though, with the Eagles coming up tonight on Thursday night.”
34-28 — Eagles beat Vikings 34-28; Philadelphia's 6-point margin exactly matches the -6 spread (ESPN box score).
“So we'll toss a couple bucks down on A.J. Brown over 71 and a half receiving yards.”
34-28 — A.J. Brown had 4 receptions for 29 receiving yards on 6 targets, well under his 71.5 line (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown: 29 receiving yards)
“And then how about T.J. Hawkinson over 48 and a half receiving yards for the Vikings”
34-28 — T.J. Hockenson had 7 receptions for 66 receiving yards on 8 targets, clearing his 48.5 line (ESPN box score). (T.J. Hockenson: 66 receiving yards)
“And then a pair of anytime touchdowns. You've been listening to the show long enough. You know how we bet Philadelphia Eagles running backs, the running back that's active at the longest price tonight. That will be Boston Scott over DeAndre Swift and Rashad Penny.”
34-28 — Boston Scott had 5 carries for 40 yards and did not score a touchdown in Philadelphia's 34-28 win (ESPN box score / touchdown log). (Boston Scott: no TD (5 car, 40 yds))
“And let's play Alexander Madison's backup running back, Ty Chandler. Ty Chandler, anytime touchdown tonight for the Minnesota Vikings.”
34-28 — Ty Chandler had 1 carry for 0 yards and did not score a touchdown in Minnesota's 28-34 loss (ESPN box score / touchdown log). (Ty Chandler: no TD (1 car, 0 yds))
“I bet some Washington plus three and a half today”
WSH 35, DEN 33 — Commanders beat Broncos 35-33 on a walk-off touchdown; Washington +3.5 covers as an outright winner (ESPN box score).
“I did bet the Jets Cowboys under yesterday, just because there was a 41 that I saw.”
DAL 30, NYJ 10 — Cowboys beat Jets 30-10; combined 40 points is under the 41 total (ESPN box score).
“I laid three with the Saints.”
NO 20, CAR 17 — Saints beat Panthers 20-17; New Orleans won by exactly 3, pushing against the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet this game already. I laid 3 with the Chargers while it still existed.”
TEN 27, LAC 24 — Titans beat Chargers 27-24 in overtime; Los Angeles lost outright, busting the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet five and a half”
SEA 37, DET 31 — Seahawks beat Lions 37-31 in overtime; Detroit lost outright, busting the -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Randall Cobb numbers getting bet up up It don matter Roger going to be under duress and he going to throw it to his binky Randall Cobb, over 19 and a half receiving yards.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Randall Cobb had 0 receptions for 0 receiving yards on 1 target in the Jets' 22-16 OT win over Buffalo, well under 19.5 (ESPN box score). (Randall Cobb: 0 receiving yards (1 target))
“Dawson Knox. Dawson Knox over 18 and a half receiving yards.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Dawson Knox had 3 catches for 25 receiving yards in the Bills' 22-16 OT loss to the Jets, covering over 18.5 (ESPN box score). (Dawson Knox: 25 receiving yards (3 rec))
“But the Prop King is jumping right back into the pool after yesterday's disaster, The pool of props with Khalil Shakir under eight and a half receiving yards.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Khalil Shakir recorded no receiving stats (0 targets, 0 catches, 0 yards) in the Bills' 22-16 OT loss to the Jets, comfortably under 8.5 (ESPN box score). (Khalil Shakir: 0 receiving yards)
“We'll play the former Deontay Harris, now known as Deonte Harty. Deonte Harty, anytime touchdown for Buffalo. I don't want to play his yardage prop. But beer or pizza money, these went great yesterday on Hardy, anytime touchdown.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Deonte Harty had 3 catches for 9 yards and a punt return, but no touchdown, in the Bills' 22-16 OT loss to the Jets (ESPN box score). (Deonte Harty: 3 rec, 9 yds, 0 TD)
“But as Adam Chernoff, and Chernoff's right about this, came on the show last week, Carter used heavily in the passing game. As Brees Hall gets eased back in, I think we could see Michael Carter play a little bit, catching passes from Aaron Rodgers. So again, this is a beer or pizza money bet. It's not a big bet. Michael Carter, anytime touchdowns.”
NYJ 22, BUF 16 — Michael Carter had 2 catches for 12 yards and a 6-yard rush, but no touchdown, in the Jets' 22-16 OT win over Buffalo (ESPN box score). (Michael Carter: 2 rec, 12 yds, 0 TD)
“To take the points with Southern Miss plus 31 against Florida State.”
FSU 66, USM 13 — Florida State routed Southern Miss 66-13; Southern Miss's -53 margin busted the +31 spread (ESPN).
“You're going to lay it. Dig them with Texas A&M minus the four and a half.”
MIA 48, TA&M 33 — Miami beat Texas A&M 48-33; the Aggies' -15 margin busted the -4.5 spread (ESPN).
“Started from the bottom. Now we're here. Drake Maye, Carolina laying the 18.”
UNC 40, APP 34 — North Carolina beat Appalachian State 40-34 in double overtime; UNC's +6 margin fell short of the -18 spread (ESPN).
“NC State plus seven and a half to round out the narrative.”
ND 45, NCSU 24 — Notre Dame beat NC State 45-24; the Wolfpack's -21 margin busted the +7.5 spread (ESPN).
- Buffalo Bills-New York Jets under 58 teaser total won
- Jacksonville Jaguars-Indianapolis Colts over 33 teaser total won
- Arizona Cardinals-Washington Commanders under 51.5 teaser total won
- Houston Texans-Baltimore Ravens under 56.5 teaser total won
“Okay, so right now I have written down Jets Bills under 58. All right. Colts Jags over 33. Yep. Cardinals, Commanders, under 51.5. Yeah. Ravens, Texans, under 56.5. Feels really good.”
Jets 22-Bills 16; Jaguars 31-Colts 21; Commanders 20-Cardinals 16; Ravens 25-Texans 9 — All four Week 1 teaser legs won: Jets 22-Bills 16 (38, under 58 wins), Jaguars 31-Colts 21 (52, over 33 wins), Commanders 20-Cardinals 16 (36, under 51.5 wins), Ravens 25-Texans 9 (34, under 56.5 wins) — per ESPN final scores. (Combined totals: 38 under 58; 52 over 33; 36 under 51.5; 34 under 56.5)
“Kadarius Toney over 26 1⁄2 receiving yards.”
Lions 21-Chiefs 20 — Kadarius Toney finished with 0 receptions and 0 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 21-20 loss to the Lions (ESPN box score), well under his 26.5 receiving yards line. (Kadarius Toney: 0 receptions, 0 receiving yards)
“Over six and a half receptions for Amon Ra St. Brown.”
Lions 21-Chiefs 20 — Amon-Ra St. Brown had 6 receptions in the Lions' 21-20 win over the Chiefs (ESPN box score), one short of the 6.5 receptions line. (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 6 receptions)
“Justin Watson, Anytime Touchdown.”
Lions 21-Chiefs 20 — Justin Watson caught 2 passes for 45 yards but scored no touchdown in the Lions' 21-20 win over the Chiefs; the game's five touchdowns went to St. Brown, Rice, Bell, Branch (interception return), and Montgomery (ESPN play-by-play). (Justin Watson: 2 receptions, 45 yards, 0 touchdowns)
“Kalif Raymond, Anytime Touchdown for the Detroit Lions.”
Lions 21-Chiefs 20 — Kalif Raymond scored no touchdown in the Lions' 21-20 win over the Chiefs; the game's five touchdowns went to St. Brown, Rice, Bell, Branch (interception return), and Montgomery (ESPN play-by-play). (Kalif Raymond: 0 touchdowns)
“Where are the six and a half that I can bet before this gets pulled?”
DET 21, KC 20 — Lions beat Chiefs 21-20; Detroit +6.5 covers easily as outright winners (ESPN box score).
“Can I get money down on the under at 54 and a half before this gets pulled?”
DET 21, KC 20 — Lions beat Chiefs 21-20, combined 41 points, under 54.5 wins (ESPN box score).
“this is my favorite total bet of the week i think i said it a couple times off air today also yeah that's dangerous yeah but like am i i don't i mean it could be three nothing final score i really like it right now as of now at 45 i like this over a lot”
JAX 31, IND 21 — Jaguars beat Colts 31-21 (combined 52 points), well over the 45 total (ESPN box score).
“three would be a bet so like it's if you're betting three like this is a bet ken would approve of or would make himself”
MIA 36, LAC 34 — Dolphins beat Chargers 36-34 outright, so Miami +3 covers easily (ESPN box score).
“which I did last week. I laid five and a half with Seattle with the expectation it'll go up.”
LAR 30, SEA 13 — Rams beat Seahawks 30-13, a 17-point Seattle loss that busts the Seahawks -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Narrative bet numero uno. Connecticut plus 14 and a half against NC State.”
NC State 24, UConn 14 — NC State beat UConn 24-14; UConn's -10 margin against the +14.5 line means the Huskies cover (ESPN box score).
“Narrative bet numero dos. The Golden Gophers row that goddamn boat to a cover against Nebraska. Minnesota minus seven. against the Cornhuskers.”
Minnesota 13, Nebraska 10 — Minnesota beat Nebraska 13-10 on a walk-off field goal; a +3 margin falls short of the -7 spread, so the Gophers don't cover (ESPN box score).
“And it's Colorado plus 20 and a half. The sportsbooks, they're trying to get you to do something. In this instance, we will not fall into the trap, and we will fade. We will fade the pros, and we will bet Colorado plus 20.5, double cross on the Colorado Buffaloes.”
Colorado 45, TCU 42 — Colorado upset TCU 45-42 in Deion Sanders' debut, winning outright and easily covering the +20.5 line (ESPN box score).
“When they only win by 38 against Nevada, I can't name one player on Nevada. Is a Colin Kaepernick's brother playing for Nevada now for the Wolfpack? I have no idea. It doesn't make a difference. Nevada, plus 38 and a half.”
USC 66, Nevada 14 — USC routed Nevada 66-14; the Wolf Pack's -52 margin blows through the +38.5 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“Exactly. Ohio State laying the lumber. Buckeyes minus 30-and-a-half on the road at Indiana.”
Ohio State 23, Indiana 3 — Ohio State beat Indiana 23-3; a +20 margin falls short of the -30.5 spread, so the Buckeyes don't cover (ESPN box score).
“The question is, is Texas going to win by 36? The answer, no. Woo! Rice, plus 35.5 against Texas.”
Texas 37, Rice 10 — Texas beat Rice 37-10; Rice's -27 margin covers the +35.5 line comfortably (ESPN box score).
“You will not do it. South Carolina money line. South Carolina money line against North Carolina.”
North Carolina 31, South Carolina 17 — North Carolina beat South Carolina 31-17 in Charlotte; the Gamecocks lost outright, so the moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“Biggest game of the weekend demands the biggest tool that we have in our arsenal as sports bettors as we seek to avoid the sportsbook traps. double cross LSU minus two and a half as the final narrative bet of the weekend for week one in college football”
Florida State 45, LSU 24 — Florida State beat LSU 45-24 in Orlando; LSU's -21 margin busts the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Ken, I think it would actually be Nick Sariani. he's 22 to one to win coach of the year I think the Eagles would actually be my pick there”
Kevin Stefanski (Browns) won the 2023 AP NFL Coach of the Year award, edging DeMeco Ryans on a tiebreaker; Nick Sirianni did not win (NFL.com). (2023 AP Coach of the Year: Kevin Stefanski)
“I'll go back to the guy we've been talking about since February. and it's the Packers and it's Matt LaFleur in a winnable division. Jordan Love has acquitted himself really well in the preseason. I know it's just preseason, but he has looked good and the talents there on the roster. LaFleur would be Connick and the horse that I would want to ride here at 16 to 1.”
Kevin Stefanski won the 2023 AP NFL Coach of the Year award (via tiebreaker over DeMeco Ryans); Matt LaFleur did not win (nfl.com). (2023 AP Coach of the Year: Kevin Stefanski)
“who do you like here How do we both not like McDaniels? Of course we do.”
The Raiders fired head coach Josh McDaniels (and GM Dave Ziegler) on October 31, 2023 after a Week 8 loss to the Lions, making him the first NFL head coach fired during the 2023 season (NFL.com). (Josh McDaniels fired: October 31, 2023)
“I think the Raiders have the better quarterback in the game right now I take Garoppolo I don't even think it's close I'm getting four and a half I don't know man I pride and poise baby give me the Raiders”
LV 17, DEN 16 — Raiders beat Broncos 17-16 on Sep 10, 2023, winning outright and covering +4.5 (ESPN box score).
- Pittsburgh Steelers won
- Indianapolis Colts won
“I can tell you it's one-to-one because I just I just made the bet”
PIT 24-0 ATL; IND 27-13 PHI — Both legs won: Steelers beat Falcons 24-0 in a preseason game, and Colts beat Eagles 27-13 in a preseason game (ESPN box scores); the moneyline parlay cashes.
“I like Gibbs in the offensive rookie of the year market, plus 750 right now at BetMGM.”
Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award (246 points), so Jahmyr Gibbs did not win (NFL.com). (2023 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud)
“Jayden Reed, 50-1, by the way. I have him.”
C.J. Stroud of the Texans won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Jayden Reed did not win. (2023 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud)
“And Messi to score a goal in the game, I'm going to bet this. Minus 125.”
3-3 — Messi did not score in regulation or extra time as Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati drew 3-3 before Miami won on penalties; Messi set up both Campana goals for 2 assists (ESPN match report). (0 goals, 2 assists)
“Packers money line.”
38-20 — Packers beat Bears 38-20 on Sep 10, 2023; Green Bay moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
“So Bears plus three and a half in the old hashtag account.”
Colts 24, Bears 17 — Colts beat Bears 24-17 in the Aug 19, 2023 preseason game; Chicago lost by 7, more than the +3.5 line, so the spread bet lost (ESPN box score).
“Plus 5 minus 120 is what I see, and I'm betting that right now.”
Gauff def. Noskova 6-4, 6-0 — Coco Gauff beat Linda Nosková 6-4, 6-0 (12 games to 4) in their Round of 16 match at the 2023 Western & Southern Open, an 8-game margin that exceeds the +5-games line, so the bet busts (WTA official match record).
“I bet this game I laid 16 and a half. That might be another condition better. Maybe it was you. One of our guests or you said, like, Miami under 17, and I bet it against us. I have the Hurricanes already in this game.”
MIA 38, M-OH 3 — Miami Hurricanes beat Miami (OH) 38-3, a 35-point margin that easily covered -16.5 (ESPN box score).
“I'll lay Philly in the first half, Philly minus two.”
CLE 8, PHI 3 (1st half) — Browns led Eagles 8-3 at halftime of the Aug 17, 2023 preseason game, so Philadelphia first half -2 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to lay 105 with Brighton here. Brighton minus 105 on the road to Wolves.”
4-1 — Brighton & Hove Albion won 4-1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers; moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“you can bet over three like minus 115 I think you push this at worst so if that's the only bet you can make over three I would make it”
2-0 — Tottenham beat Manchester United 2-0; combined goals of 2 fall short of the Over 3 total (ESPN box score).
- Arsenal moneyline won
- Chelsea moneyline lost
- Aston Villa moneyline won
“Three-team money line parlay. Give me Arsenal, Chelsea against West Ham. Absolutely love it. Chelsea look great against Liverpool. And Aston Villa against Everton. Arsenal, Chelsea, Villa pays about plus 400”
Palace 0-1 Arsenal; West Ham 3-1 Chelsea; Aston Villa 4-0 Everton — Arsenal won 1-0 at Crystal Palace and Aston Villa beat Everton 4-0, but West Ham beat Chelsea 3-1, busting the three-team moneyline parlay (ESPN box scores).
“i might just lay two and a half with levis and and blake willis”
24-16 — Titans beat Vikings 24-16 in the Aug 19, 2023 preseason game; Tennessee -2.5 covers by winning outright (ESPN box score).
“I am gonna bet Spieth in this tournament because I like to bet Jordan Spieth.”
Viktor Hovland won the 2023 BMW Championship; Jordan Spieth finished tied for 34th at +1 (ESPN leaderboard). (Jordan Spieth: T34 (+1))
“Brighton now only minus 110 against Wolves, who I think are going to be relegated. I think that's a bet.”
Brighton 4, Wolves 1 — Brighton beat Wolves 4-1 away at Molineux, winning outright to cash the moneyline (ESPN match report).
“Raiders plus four and a half I think it might be one of my favorite bets of the week”
17-16 — Raiders beat Broncos 17-16 on September 10, 2023 (ESPN box score); Las Vegas won outright, covering the +4.5 spread.
“I really like Florida State under their number, nine and a half, there's 110 out there.”
Florida State closed the 2023 regular season undefeated at 12-0 after beating Florida on Nov 25, so the under 9.5 lost. (Florida State 2023 regular season: 12-0)
“I also kind of like the over on Miami and I don't think anyone else likes it. And it's seven and a half.”
Miami closed the 2023 regular season 7-5 after beating Boston College on Nov 24, falling short of the 7.5-win over. (Miami 2023 regular season: 7-5)
“sorry i uh i i i bet plus two i didn lay two and a half to be fair”
19-3 — Falcons beat Dolphins 19-3 in the preseason opener; Miami lost by 16, so Dolphins +2 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“I'm going to play Arsenal clean sheet here, minus 120.”
2-1 — Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 but conceded a goal, so the Arsenal clean sheet prop loses (ESPN).
“we will play Brighton minus one and a half against Luton Town”
4-1 — Brighton & Hove Albion beat Luton Town 4-1, a +3 margin that clears the -1.5 spread (ESPN).
“Give me the draw plus 260 with Chelsea and Liverpool.”
1-1 — Chelsea and Liverpool drew 1-1, so the draw moneyline pick at +260 wins (ESPN).
“Thoughts here, Texans and Pats? Yeah, I mean, nothing has changed that much in terms of what we talked about a week ago. And now the market has changed a little bit. Houston got bad a little bit. They would still be the side I like in the game. It actually seems like kind of a, I think the price for them to win this game should be larger than it is. 165 is the money line for Houston at MGM. A trend that I'm going to look up in the next couple of days, because I remember this being a thing the last couple of years, first year head coaches in preseason openers, the idea being like they coach the preseason opener like the super bowl because they want culture of winning get off to a really good start etc etc so they kind of go for it in the week one game and i mean you're playing a team that's like not going to play your starting quarterback and in the second half of the game houston's quarterbacks will have a big advantage so i might literally just lay it on houston to win the game i don't know if i want the three and a half in a preseason game but would only be houston for me in the game to win i kind of really like that thought on texans money line i like the over in the game as well i'm gonna lay the money line price also. Take some of that Jets winnings for last week, Jets first half, and lay it on the Texans' money line. And I'm going to be on the over as well for a smaller bet, Texans and Patriots.”
HOU 20, NE 9 — Houston beat New England 20-9 in the Aug 10, 2023 preseason opener at Gillette Stadium, so the Texans moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“Total 36-and-a-half.”
HOU 20, NE 9 — Houston beat New England 20-9 on Aug 10, 2023; the combined 29 points falls under the 36.5 total, so the over loses (ESPN box score).
“I would lay the minus 150 with Manchester City.”
Manchester City won the 2023-24 Premier League title with 91 points, finishing 1st (ESPN standings). (Premier League champion: Manchester City, 91 points)
“Wolves to be relegated, plus 225.”
Wolverhampton Wanderers finished 14th with 46 points in the 2023-24 Premier League, safely avoiding relegation (ESPN standings). (Wolverhampton Wanderers: 14th, 46 points)
“Chelsea at plus 138 to finish in the top four.”
Chelsea finished 6th with 63 points in the 2023-24 Premier League, outside the top four (ESPN standings). (Chelsea: 6th, 63 points)
“Bukayo Saka for Arsenal, plus 1,200 most assists.”
Ollie Watkins won the 2023-24 Premier League Playmaker of the Season award with 13 assists; Bukayo Saka did not lead the league in assists (premierleague.com). (Playmaker award: Ollie Watkins, 13 assists)
“Madison, 10 or more assists at minus 130.”
James Maddison recorded 9 assists in the 2023-24 Premier League season, short of the 10+ line. (James Maddison: 9 assists)
“All right, so Rom, Cam Young, and Hideki for me”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship at -15; Jon Rahm finished T37 at -5, so the futures bet on Rahm loses (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Jon Rahm T37 (-5))
“All right, so Rom, Cam Young, and Hideki for me”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship at -15; Cameron Young finished T31 at -6, so the futures bet on Young loses (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Cameron Young T31 (-6))
“All right, so Rom, Cam Young, and Hideki for me”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship at -15; Hideki Matsuyama finished T16 at -9, so the futures bet on Matsuyama loses (ESPN leaderboard). (Lucas Glover 1st (-15); Hideki Matsuyama T16 (-9))
“So Hideki and JT for me, for sure.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Hideki Matsuyama missed the cut, so Matsuyama did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Hideki Matsuyama missed the cut (145))
“So Hideki and JT for me, for sure.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Justin Thomas tied for 12th at -11, so Thomas did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Justin Thomas T12 (-11))
“i'm gonna take both svensson and gim”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Adam Svensson tied for 7th at -12, so Svensson did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Adam Svensson T7 (-12))
“i'm gonna take both svensson and gim”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20; Doug Ghim tied for 51st at -3, so Ghim did not win. (Lucas Glover 1st (-20); Doug Ghim T51 (-3))
“Gims, Fenson, and Lucas Glover for your boy here. Those are our golf bets.”
Lucas Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at -20 (260), his fifth PGA Tour title. (Lucas Glover: 1st (-20))
“I actually did, at one of my sportsbooks of choice, took the Florida Gators over five and a half wins.”
5-7 — Florida finished the 2023 regular season 5-7 (3-5 SEC) under Billy Napier, missing bowl eligibility and falling short of the 5.5-win total (ESPN schedule/results).
“Navy's playing Notre Dame on Saturday, August 26th. Yeah. I'm going to go back to the old tried and true from last year. Marcus Freeman favored by 19 and a half. Give me Navy.”
42-3 — No. 13 Notre Dame routed Navy 42-3 in Dublin; Navy's margin of -39 busted the +19.5 (ESPN box score).
“I have a small bet on Tampa plus seven, like a rogue seven that existed way earlier in the offseason.”
20-17 — Buccaneers beat Vikings 20-17 in Week 1 2023; TB won outright, easily covering +7 (ESPN box score).
“I bet a little chargers minus two and a half in the break.”
MIA 36, LAC 34 — The Miami Dolphins beat the Los Angeles Chargers 36-34 on September 10, 2023; the Chargers lost outright and failed to cover -2.5 (ESPN box score).