PJ Glasser

“going back to that Rams team total over. I like a lot. 27 and a half.”

LAR 17, BAL 3 — Rams beat Ravens 17-3; Los Angeles' team total of 17 fell short of the over 27.5 (ESPN).

“I like Air Force this week, you guys, against UNLV. I'll take Air Force plus the six and a half. I'll take them on the money line as well.”

UNLV 51, AFA 48 — UNLV beat Air Force 51-48; the Air Force moneyline lost (ESPN).

“So what I did was I bet them plus 650 to win the SEC.”

GA 28, AL 7 — Georgia beat Alabama 28-7 in the 2025 SEC Championship Game; Alabama did not win the SEC, so the futures pick loses (ESPN).

“I like the under in that game 52 and a half”

MISS 30, UK 23 — Ole Miss beat Kentucky 30-23; combined 53 points clears the under 52.5 (ESPN final score).

“So I like Florida, 17.5 in that game.”

USF 18, FLA 16 — South Florida beat Florida 18-16 on a last-second field goal; Florida's margin of -2 fails to cover -17.5 (ESPN final score).

“I'll take Virginia Tech on the money line, minus 115 against Vanderbilt.”

VAN 44, VT 20 — Vanderbilt beat Virginia Tech 44-20; Virginia Tech moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“One of my favorite win totals is Michigan under 8.5 at BetMGM, especially because of the plus money at plus 145 that you're getting.”

Michigan finished the 2025 regular season 9-3, clearing the under-8.5-wins futures line (Wikipedia, citing the season's final regular-season record). (9 regular-season wins)

“CJ Carr is about 186 and a half”

MIA 27, ND 24 — Miami beat Notre Dame 27-24; CJ Carr passed for 221 yards on 19/30, busting the under 186.5 line (ESPN box score). (CJ Carr: 221 passing yards (19/30))

“Give me the D-backs, plus 150 on the money line.”

MIL 9, ARI 8 — Brewers beat Diamondbacks 9-8; Arizona's moneyline pick loses (ESPN final score).

• Kansas City Chiefs lost
• Cincinnati Bengals won

“I'm going to parlay Bengals, Chiefs, money line together. Bet MGM, get plus 110 on that.”

Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil (Chiefs leg lost) while Bengals beat Browns 17-16 (Bengals leg won); the two-leg parlay busts on the Chiefs leg (ESPN).

“I will also be taking some Saints money line.”

ARI 20, NO 13 — Cardinals beat Saints 20-13 in New Orleans' season opener; the New Orleans moneyline pick busts (ESPN).

“Reds are plus 120. Give me Cincinnati on the money line as well.”

LAD 7, CIN 0 — Dodgers shut out the Reds 7-0; the Cincinnati moneyline pick busts (ESPN).

“Clemson the favorite at plus 110. If you need a price, I can give it to you. Best bet to win the ACC, 20 to 30 seconds. Yeah, it's Clemson. They have the most talented team in that conference, and it's really not even close. Their schedule's a little tricky, but getting plus money on them is a great bet. I like Clemson.”

Duke beat Virginia 27-20 in overtime to win the 2025 ACC Championship; Clemson did not win the ACC. (2025 ACC champion: Duke (27-20 OT over Virginia))

“I like Baylor because I'm really high on their quarterback, Sawyer Robertson. They had a great offseason, a lot of good things in the transfer portal. I think they're going to have the best offense in the Big 12. I'll go with Baylor.”

Texas Tech beat BYU 34-7 to win the 2025 Big 12 Championship; Baylor did not win the Big 12. (2025 Big 12 champion: Texas Tech (34-7 over BYU))

“but my winner, it's going to be Penn State this year. They're going to win the Big Ten.”

Indiana beat Ohio State 13-10 to win the 2025 Big Ten Championship; Penn State did not win the Big Ten. (2025 Big Ten champion: Indiana (13-10 over Ohio State))

“I gonna go Ole Miss at 14 to 1. They have the second easiest schedule in the conference. I think by season's end they might have one of the three best quarterbacks in the conference as well. I like the value on Ole Miss, so I'll go with them at 14-1.”

GA 28, ALA 7 — Georgia beat Alabama 28-7 to win the 2025 SEC Championship; Ole Miss did not win the SEC. (2025 SEC champion: Georgia (28-7 over Alabama))

“You sold me on Rahm this week, boys.”

Scheffler 267 (-17) — Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship at 17-under; Jon Rahm missed the cut and did not win.

“Also, Russell Henley's been my guy.”

Scheffler 267 (-17); Henley 275 (-9), T10 — Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship at 17-under; Russell Henley finished T10 at 9-under and did not win.

“And then give me Brooks Koepka, who's now at 80-1.”

Scheffler 267 (-17); Koepka missed cut at 149 (+7) — Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Open Championship at 17-under; Brooks Koepka missed the cut and did not win.

“Matteo Montessaro is number one on the PGA Tour in scrambling. The Italian, I like him at 170 to 1 first round leader.”

The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Matteo Manassero shot 73 (+2) and did not share the lead. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Manassero 73 (+2))

“I also like him to be the top Italian against Guido Migliosi and Frankie Molinari.”

At the 2025 Open Championship, Francesco Molinari made the cut and finished T63 at 4-over, while Matteo Manassero missed the cut at 2-over (144); Molinari finished as the top Italian, not Manassero. (Molinari 288 (+4), T63, made cut; Manassero 144 (+2), missed cut)

“And then Rom Fleetwood, top 10.”

Jon Rahm missed the cut at the 2025 Open Championship and finished outside the top 10. (Rahm missed cut, finished T34 (-3) overall; not top 10)

“And then Rom Fleetwood, top 10.”

Fleetwood 277 (-7), T16 — Tommy Fleetwood finished T16 at 7-under at the 2025 Open Championship, outside the top 10 (T10 was 9-under).

“Henley, Justin Thomas, Brooks, top 20.”

Thomas 281 (-3), T34 — Justin Thomas finished T34 at 3-under at the 2025 Open Championship, outside the top 20.

“Henley, Justin Thomas, Brooks, top 20.”

Brooks Koepka missed the cut at the 2025 Open Championship, finishing outside the top 20. (Koepka missed cut, 149 (+7) after 36 holes)

“And then matchups I like through the tournament. Adam Scott over Keegan Bradley, Cam Young over Goddorup, and Matt Fitz over Patrick Cantlay. Three tournament matchups that I like for tomorrow at Royal Portrush.”

At the 2025 Open Championship, Keegan Bradley made the cut and finished T30 at 4-under, while Adam Scott missed the cut at 9-over (151); Bradley finished ahead of Scott. (Bradley 280 (-4), T30, made cut; Scott 151 (+9) after 36 holes, missed cut)

“it's the monday night game vikings and bears i like the under 44 and a half in that game”

MIN 27, CHI 24 — Vikings beat Bears 27-24 on Monday Night Football September 8, 2025; combined 51 points, under 44.5 lost.

“plus 100, Freddie Freeman to get a base hit. Let's hope Scooble goes 1-2-3 in the first so he doesn't have to face him. But that was my bet that I liked was Freddie to get a base hit tonight.”

Freddie Freeman went 0-for-1 in the 2025 MLB All-Star Game and did not record a hit (ESPN box score). (Freeman: 0-for-1)

“I'll do you even one better, Jared. Maybe entice some people even more to join me on some Freddie MVP at 23-1.”

Kyle Schwarber was named MVP of the 2025 MLB All-Star Game after hitting 3 home runs in the tiebreak swing-off; Freddie Freeman did not win MVP (ESPN). (ASG MVP: Kyle Schwarber)

“I like the Chiefs to win this division too, man, at minus 120.”

The Denver Broncos clinched the 2025 AFC West title at 13-3, ending the Chiefs' division reign; Kansas City did not win the division (Denver Broncos official site). (2025 AFC West champion: Denver Broncos (13-3))

“I'm going with James Wood though, Jared.”

Cal Raleigh won the 2025 Home Run Derby, beating Junior Caminero 18-15 in the final; James Wood hit 16 homers and was eliminated in the first round, so the pick lost. (Wood: 16 first-round HR; Raleigh def. Caminero 18-15 in the final)

“The first one, I actually did bet Alabama to win the national championship at 15-1.”

Indiana 27, Miami 21 — Indiana defeated Miami 27-21 to win the 2025-26 CFP National Championship on Jan 19, 2026; Alabama did not win (ESPN box score).

“which is why I also bet Ty Simpson to win the Heisman Trophy at 66-1”

Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on Dec 13, 2025; Ty Simpson did not win (NFL.com/Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)

“O'Neil Cruz plus 150 to make the finals. I got that.”

Oneil Cruz reached the semifinals of the 2025 Home Run Derby but was eliminated by Cal Raleigh 19-13, so he did not reach the final (ESPN). (Semifinal: Raleigh 19, Cruz 13)

“Matt Olson and James Wood to combine in the first round for 55 home runs or more is 13-1.”

Matt Olson (15) and James Wood (16) combined for 31 first-round home runs in the 2025 Derby, below the 54.5 line (ESPN). (Olson 15 + Wood 16 = 31 HR)

“The Caminero one, as you mentioned, him to hit the longest homer at 14-1. I got that as well.”

Oneil Cruz hit the 2025 Derby's longest home run at 513 feet; Junior Caminero did not hit the longest (ESPN). (Longest HR of Derby: Cruz, 513 feet)

“Give me Wood and Caminero to be the final at 30-1.”

Caminero reached the Derby final but James Wood was eliminated in Round 1 with 16 HR, so the pair did not both reach the final (ESPN). (Caminero reached final; Wood eliminated Round 1 with 16 HR)

“I like Alcaraz to win the match at minus 130 at MGM.”

3-1 — Jannik Sinner beat Carlos Alcaraz 3 sets to 1 (4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4) in the Wimbledon men's final; the Alcaraz moneyline lost (ESPN).

“I'm going with Alcaraz to win the match, and then I also like total games at 42.5”

The Wimbledon final between Alcaraz and Sinner ran 40 total games (4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4), under the 42.5 total; the over bet lost (ESPN). (40 games)

“I'm going over two and a half earned runs for Dean.”

Dean Kremer threw 7 scoreless innings for Baltimore against Miami, finishing with 0 earned runs, well under the 2.5 line; the over lost (ESPN box score). (Dean Kremer: 7 IP, 0 ER)

“So give me the Dodgers plus 105 tonight against San Francisco.”

SF 8, LAD 7 — San Francisco beat Los Angeles 8-7; the Dodgers moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

“We're laying the 7.5 with the Wizards tonight because when are we ever going to get to lay 7.5 with the Wizards? Not anytime soon in a regular season game. So give me the Wizards.”

PHX 103, WAS 84 — Phoenix beat Washington 103-84 in NBA Summer League; Wizards -7.5 lost outright (ESPN box score).

“Eric, I did a thing the other day, man, that I don't think is going to be very popular, but I took Penn State to win the national title.”

Indiana beat Miami 27-21 to win the 2025-26 CFP National Championship on January 19, 2026; Penn State did not reach the title game, so the pick lost. (Indiana 27, Miami 21 (CFP National Championship))

“I did bet Knipple at plus 700.”

Kon Knueppel was selected 4th overall by the Charlotte Hornets in the 2025 NBA Draft, not 3rd overall, so the bet loses (NBA.com).

“I think the value on Bama is really good at 15-1.”

27-21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 to win the 2025-26 College Football Playoff national championship; Alabama did not win the title (Wikipedia).

“I'm over seven and a half wins with the Cornhuskers.”

Nebraska finished the 2025 regular season 7-5 (before its bowl game), only 7 wins, short of the 7.5 win total (Wikipedia). (Nebraska 7-5 regular season)

“If I like Bama to win the title, I got to take Ty Simpson. I think his price is the best available, Femi. 66 to 1 on an Alabama quarterback.”

Fernando Mendoza of Indiana won the 2025 Heisman Trophy; Ty Simpson did not win (Wikipedia).

“Also, give me Austin Simmons, the quarterback of Ole Miss at 40-1.”

Fernando Mendoza of Indiana won the 2025 Heisman Trophy; Austin Simmons did not win (Wikipedia).

“Garrett Nussmeier plus 850”

Fernando Mendoza of Indiana won the 2025 Heisman Trophy; Garrett Nussmeier did not win (Wikipedia).

“if i had a free bet i think i'd take minnesota at plus 900”

The San Antonio Spurs won the 2025-26 Western Conference championship; Minnesota did not win the conference (Wikipedia).

“All right, so the guy that I like the best this week is Justin Thomas.”

Keegan Bradley won the 2025 Travelers Championship at -15; Justin Thomas did not win, so the outright bet lost (ESPN golf leaderboard).

“And then I'm taking Sam Burns.”

Keegan Bradley won the 2025 Travelers Championship; Sam Burns did not win, so the outright bet lost (ESPN golf leaderboard).

“So I'll go over 7.5 with Vasquez and Weathers tonight in San Diego.”

3-4 — Miami and San Diego combined for 7 total runs (3-4, 11 innings) on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 7 is below 7.5.

“So I'll go SGA over 31 and a half points, the two rebounding props. And then I like the under, as you were talking about, under 219 and a half. I think that's a good look. And I'll take OKC Moneyline. This is a team that went 68-14 the regular season.”

128-126 — Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 128-126 in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN final; combined score 254). 254 exceeds 219.5, so the under lost.

“There's going to be a lot of people in American Airlines Arena tonight, fellas, for the Dallas Stars and the Edmonton Oilers as they get game two going for that series. Dallas is a minus 115 favorite. The total is six and a half in that game. Jared, I took the over in Stars and Oilers tonight. You know, these teams combined for eight goals in game one. Oilers' overs have been the way to go so far this postseason. They're down 0-1 in the series. They're going to be super aggressive, obviously, to try and score tonight, make some things happen. Their goaltending has been shaky at best here as of late. So I like over 6.5. I didn't pick a side. If I had to, I'd probably go with Edmonton, but I'll go with the over 6.5.”

3-0 — Edmonton Oilers beat Dallas Stars 3-0 in Game 2 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN final). 3 combined goals is below 6.5.

“I'm going to take the Nats and Mackenzie Gore tonight, minus 118.”

4-0 — San Francisco beat Washington 4-0 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN box score). Washington did not win.

“give me over five and a half assists with Josh Hart.”

Josh Hart recorded 1 assist in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 1 is below 5.5. (Josh Hart: 1 assist)

“Minus six and a half.”

114-109 — Indiana beat New York 114-109 in Game 2 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN final). New York lost outright, so it did not cover -6.5.

“Minus four and a half, and then I like him full game.”

52-49 — New York led Indiana 52-49 at halftime of Game 2 (ESPN quarter scores). A 3-point lead did not cover -4.5.

“I'll take the A's plus 165 against the Phillies.”

4-3 — Philadelphia beat the Athletics 4-3 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN box score). The Athletics did not win.

“Maybe some Addison Key stock at 40-1. I just made the bet right now.”

Coco Gauff, not Madison Keys, won the 2025 French Open women's singles title, defeating Aryna Sabalenka in the final. (2025 French Open women's champion: Coco Gauff)

“And then I also like the game to go to overtime.”

Both goals in Toronto's 2-0 win came in the 3rd period (Matthews 6:20, Pacioretty 14:17); the game did not reach overtime (ESPN game summary). (TOR 2, FLA 0, no overtime)

“Give me Celtics money line plus 125.”

Knicks 119, Celtics 81 — New York routed Boston 119-81 in Game 6, so the Celtics moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“Give me Jamal Murray over 21.5 points.”

Jamal Murray scored 13 points in Game 7, under the 21.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jamal Murray: 13 points)

“and give me the Nuggets plus 7.5.”

Thunder 125, Nuggets 93 — Oklahoma City routed Denver 125-93 in Game 7, a 32-point margin, so the Nuggets +7.5 fails to cover (ESPN box score).

“[42:16] Taking the under nine in Pirates and Phillies. [42:19] A couple of lefties, Rangers four as Andrew Haney, who's been good for the Pirates this year. [42:23] I think nine's too many runs, so I'll go under there.”

Phillies 8, Pirates 4 — Philadelphia beat Pittsburgh 8-4, a combined 12 runs, over the 9-run total (ESPN box score).

“[39:55] Also give me Payton Pritchard over 14.5 points. [39:58] He's at 15.5 points now. [40:00] I'd still take the over.”

Payton Pritchard scored 11 points in Game 6, under the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (Payton Pritchard: 11 points)

“we're taking the rangers on the run line at minus one and a half”

TEX 2, COL 1 — Rangers beat Rockies 2-1 (margin +1), short of the -1.5 run line; busts (ESPN).

“I got him at plus six and a half”

MEM 120, DAL 106 — Grizzlies beat the Mavericks 120-106 (ESPN box score); Mavericks margin of -14 fails to cover +6.5.

“[50:29] And then I took under rebounds for Jaren Jackson Jr. as well. [50:33] It's at 5.5. [50:34] He's gone under that in four of his last six games. [50:37] He's had a couple games where he's had only like one rebound. [50:40] And again, the matchup. [50:41] Like you're going against a Dallas team who's good on defense, [50:43] and they have a bunch of size on the floor. [50:45] It's Davis.”

MEM 120, DAL 106 — Jaren Jackson Jr. grabbed 7 rebounds for the Grizzlies (ESPN box score), busting the under 5.5. (Jaren Jackson Jr.: 7 rebounds)

“I like Okonwu under 11 and a half rebounds”

ATL 114, MIA 123 — Onyeka Okongwu grabbed 12 rebounds for the Hawks (ESPN box score), busting the under 11.5. (Onyeka Okongwu: 12 rebounds)

“I like the Nuggets minus two and a half.”

DEN 112, LAC 110 — Nuggets beat the Clippers 112-110 (ESPN box score); Nuggets margin of +2 fails to cover -2.5.

“Yeah, I'm going to take the Rockets on the money line.”

HOU 85, GS 95 — Warriors beat the Rockets 95-85 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Rockets moneyline busts.

“give me the stars on the money line.”

COL 5, DAL 1 — Avalanche beat the Stars 5-1 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Stars moneyline busts.

“Give me the Sens plus 135.”

TOR 6, OTT 2 — Maple Leafs beat the Senators 6-2 in Game 1 (ESPN box score); Senators moneyline busts.

“Nico Hoerner over one and a half total bases at plus 200.”

Chicago Cubs 10, Texas 6 — Nico Hoerner's only hit was a single (1 total base) in the Cubs' 10-6 win over Texas, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Hoerner: 1-for-4, 1 single, 2 RBI = 1 total base)

“D-backs team total over four and a half.”

Arizona 4, Baltimore 3 — Arizona scored 4 runs in their 4-3 win over Baltimore, under the 4.5 team-total line (ESPN box score). (Arizona by inning: 1-0-1-0-2-0-0-0 = 4)

“I also want you to give us a little bit on Tahaad Pettiford 13.5 is his points prop for tonight. Are those both overs for you, or do you think does Game State dictate whether one or both of them go over? I'm guessing you like Clayton. What about Pettiford? Yeah, I mean, I like both guys to go over, especially in a game like this when the ball's going to be in their hands so much late in the second half. Those would be the two guys that I would look at making shots. You know, Pearl and Todd Golden are going to be running plays for those guys in the final four or five minutes. I've said all year, Walter Clayton Jr., they've been putting his point prop under 20 in all of these big games. It was under 20 in the SEC tournament. He went over 20 in every single game. It's been under 20 so far in every NCAA tournament game. He's gone over it in every game, but the one against Maryland when they beat him by 20. So if the game's close and Florida plays well and they're scoring a lot of points, Clayton's going to be a big part of that. It's just the way it is. So, yeah, I would go over 20 and a half for Clayton. I like Pettiford's over as well.”

79-73 — Tahaad Pettiford scored 7 points for Auburn in the Final Four loss to Florida, well under his 13.5-point prop line (ESPN box score). (Tahaad Pettiford: 7 points)

“I like Duke. I laid the five and a half with them.”

67-70 — Houston beat Duke 70-67 in the Final Four, so Duke lost outright and its -5.5 spread busted (ESPN).

“I like Tyrese Proctor over 12 and a half points”

HOU 70, DUKE 67 — Tyrese Proctor scored 7 points for Duke in Houston's 70-67 Final Four win on 4/5/25, well under the 12.5-point line (ESPN box score, gameId 401746080). (Tyrese Proctor 7 points)

“So I'll take Tennessee uh over five and a half wins that was the first one that jumped out to me”

The Titans finished the 2025 NFL regular season 3-14, well under the 5.5 win total (ESPN schedule/standings).

“I also like the Nats at plus 140. I just think getting plus 140 against Jose Barrios is too good not to take. I like Washington tonight at the plus 140.”

Toronto 5, Washington 3 — Toronto beat Washington 5-3 on April 1, 2025 on Bo Bichette's tiebreaking 8th-inning RBI single; the Nationals moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“Give me Houston plus 118 against the Giants.”

SF 3, Houston 1 — San Francisco beat Houston 3-1 on April 1, 2025 behind Logan Webb's seven strong innings; the Astros moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“and then the Braves plus 110 against the Dodgers. I'll be the brave soul, pun intended, to take Atlanta tonight with Chris Sale on the mound at plus 110 against the Dodgers.”

LA Dodgers 3, Atlanta 1 — Los Angeles beat Atlanta 3-1 on April 1, 2025 on Mookie Betts' go-ahead homer; the Braves moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“I'm betting Bama in the first half plus 3.5 against Duke.”

DUKE 46, ALA 37 (1st half) — Duke led Alabama 46-37 at halftime of their 3/29/25 Elite Eight game, a 9-point margin that exceeds the +3.5 line (ESPN box score linescore).

“I like Florida minus 7.5.”

FLA 84, TTU 79 — Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 (a 5-point margin) in the Elite Eight on 3/29/25, falling short of the -7.5 line (ESPN box score).

“I like the under. I think 157.5 is too high.”

FLA 84, TTU 79 — Florida beat Texas Tech 84-79 for a combined 163 points in the Elite Eight on 3/29/25, exceeding the 157.5 total, so the under busts (ESPN box score).

“I'm going to bet that, though, Femi. I've talked myself into it. Plus 775. I like the value. Why not?”

112-86 — Miami's Alec Burks scored the game's first field goal, a 25-foot three at 11:16 in the 1st quarter (assisted by Tyler Herro); Jimmy Butler's first basket came later in the quarter on a driving floater, so he was not the first field-goal scorer as the Heat beat the Warriors 112-86 (ESPN play-by-play).

“I'm riding with my Caps tonight. Plus 125”

3-2 — Nikolaj Ehlers scored 1:28 into overtime as Winnipeg beat Washington 3-2, so the Capitals moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

• Baltimore Orioles moneyline won
• Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline won
• Maryland Terrapins moneyline lost

“I've already got the PGA Parlay fired away for Thursday, Femi. Orioles, Bama, Maryland, Moneyline Parlay, probably going to go 0 for 3, but I can't wait to bet it.”

Orioles 12-2, Alabama 113-88, Florida 87-71 — Baltimore beat Toronto 12-2 (Orioles leg won) and Alabama beat BYU 113-88 (Alabama leg won), but Florida beat Maryland 87-71 (Maryland leg lost), busting the 3-team moneyline parlay (ESPN).

“yeah I like Duke I uh I laid the nine and a half with them”

100-93 — Duke beat Arizona 100-93, a 7-point margin that falls short of the -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“Yeah, I like the under a lot here too. Under 11 and a half.”

Big Ten's 8 tournament teams (Michigan 2 wins, Michigan State 3, Purdue 2, Maryland 2, Wisconsin 1, Illinois 1, Oregon 1, UCLA 1) combined for 13 tournament wins, per ESPN box scores through the Elite Eight, exceeding the 11.5 under line.

“the ACC market family weren't talking about this yesterday because that was at six and a half and I love that one I bet that”

ACC's 4 tournament teams combined for only 5 wins per ESPN box scores: Duke 4 (won through the Elite Eight before losing the Final Four to Houston 67-70), North Carolina 1 (First Four win, then lost Round 1 to Ole Miss), Louisville 0 (lost Round 1 to Creighton 75-89), Clemson 0 (lost Round 1 to McNeese 67-69) — short of the 6.5 over line.

“So I took A and M at 16 to one, I took them to win the region.”

Auburn 70, Michigan State 64 — Auburn won the South Region, beating Michigan State 70-64 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-30 (ESPN); Texas A&M, eliminated earlier in the region, did not win the South Region.

“And then after UNC won yesterday against San Diego State, I also bet them at 20-1.”

Auburn 70, Michigan State 64 — Auburn won the South Region, beating Michigan State 70-64 in the Elite Eight on 2025-03-30 (ESPN); North Carolina, eliminated in the Round of 64 by Ole Miss, did not win the South Region.

“The only other thing I bet, Femi, was St. Mary's to go to the Sweet 16 at 3-1.”

Alabama 80, Saint Mary's 66 — 7-seed Saint Mary's was eliminated in the second round, losing to 2-seed Alabama 80-66 on 2025-03-23 (ESPN), never reaching the Sweet 16.

“But Memphis is like 80-1, and I think that's an absurd price. I took a little crack on Memphis.”

Colorado State 78, Memphis 70 — 5-seed Memphis was upset in the first round by 12-seed Colorado State 78-70 on 2025-03-21 (ESPN), eliminated well before the West Region final.

“So I think I'm just going to take American on the money line at minus 150.”

American 72, Mount St. Mary's 83 — Mount St. Mary's beat American 83-72 (ESPN box score); American's moneyline bet lost.

“I like Purdue team total over 80 and a half against High Point.”

High Point 63, Purdue 75 — Purdue beat High Point 75-63 (ESPN box score); Purdue's team total of 75 falls under the 80.5 line.

“Yeah, I bet North Carolina immediately when it opened at minus 113.”

Ole Miss 71, North Carolina 64 — Ole Miss beat North Carolina 71-64 outright (ESPN box score); the North Carolina moneyline bet lost.

“I would take the under 19.5 wins at the plus 110.”

SEC teams reached 20 combined 2025 NCAA tournament wins with Florida's Elite Eight win over Texas Tech on 2025-03-29 (SI.com), already exceeding the 19.5 under line before the Final Four even began; the SEC finished with 22 wins.

“Yeah, I got 10 1⁄2.”

83-72 — Tennessee beat Texas 83-72 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; an 11-point Texas loss fails to cover +10.5 (ESPN).

“I took 10, and I also took some Moneyline at plus 425 there to sprinkle a little bit.”

83-72 — Tennessee beat Texas 83-72 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; Texas lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).

“I actually took them this morning plus 430 to win the Big East tournament.”

82-66 — St. John's beat Creighton 82-66 to win the 2025 Big East men's basketball tournament on March 15, 2025; Marquette did not win the title (St. John's official athletics site).

“So I’ll go Marquette”

79-63 — St. John's beat Marquette 79-63 in the Big East Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; Marquette lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).

“we're laying in with Duke tonight. Fallen hero spot, minus 7.5.”

74-71 — Duke beat North Carolina 74-71 in the ACC Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; a 3-point Duke win fails to cover -7.5 (ESPN).

“Con Caniple over 18.5 points in that game.”

74-71 — Duke beat North Carolina 74-71 in the ACC Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; Kon Knueppel scored 17 points, falling short of the 18.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Kon Knueppel: 17 points)

“I like Walter Clayton Jr. over 18.5 points for Florida.”

95-81 — Florida beat Missouri 95-81 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals on March 14, 2025; Walter Clayton Jr. scored 18 points, falling short of the 18.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Walter Clayton Jr.: 18 points)

“favorite bet clemson on the money line tonight against louisville”

73-76 — Louisville beat Clemson 76-73 in the ACC Tournament semifinals on March 14, 2025; Clemson lost outright, busting the moneyline (ESPN).

“the long shot that i fired on this week i took some nick taylor”

276 (McIlroy, -12) — Nick Taylor missed the cut (+2, 146) at the 2025 Players Championship; Rory McIlroy won at -12 (276) in a playoff over J.J. Spaun (ESPN leaderboard).

“i also took doug gimm”

276 (McIlroy, -12) — Doug Ghim missed the cut (Even, 148) at the 2025 Players Championship; Rory McIlroy won at -12 (276) in a playoff over J.J. Spaun (ESPN leaderboard).

“So I took some A&M 30-1, Jared, to win the SEC.”

86-77 — Texas A&M did not win the 2025 SEC tournament; Florida beat Tennessee 86-77 in the championship game on March 16, 2025 (ESPN box score).

“I took a flyer on Oregon.”

59-53 — Oregon did not win the 2025 Big Ten tournament; Michigan won, beating Wisconsin 59-53 in the championship game on March 16, 2025 (ESPN box score).

“I bet in plus nine and a half, I'd take some plus three 40 on the money line as well.”

76-72 — Delaware lost the CAA championship game to UNC Wilmington 72-76, so the +340 moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

• Gonzaga Bulldogs moneyline
• Florida State Seminoles moneyline

“And then a Moneyline parlay that I really like tonight. Gonzaga to take down St. Mary's. And then Florida State to beat Syracuse tonight. Leonard Hamilton in his final season as Seminoles head coach. I don't think Florida State's going to win the ACC championship, but I do think they send out Leonard Hamilton with at least a win tonight against the Cues. That's plus 150, Florida State, Gonzaga, Moneyline Parlay.”

Gonzaga beat Saint Mary's 58-51 in the WCC final (leg won), but Florida State lost to Syracuse 62-66 in the ACC first round (leg lost), so the moneyline parlay loses (ESPN box scores).

“Horizonly, we talked about earlier in the show, I like Youngstown State at 4-1.”

89-78 — Robert Morris beat Youngstown State 89-78 to win the 2025 Horizon League championship on 2025-03-11, so Youngstown State's futures bet loses (ESPN box score).

“And then the other one that I took that you can give your thoughts on both of these, I like Arkansas State out of the Sun Belt.”

94-81 — Troy beat Arkansas State 94-81 to win the 2025 Sun Belt Conference championship on 2025-03-10, so Arkansas State's futures bet loses (Sun Belt Conference official recap).

“So I like Mizzou at home. I think Moneyline Parlay is a good piece.”

91-83 — Kentucky beat Missouri 91-83 on 2025-03-08, so the Missouri moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

“But I do like Mississippi State in the game.”

93-92 — Arkansas beat Mississippi State 93-92 on 2025-03-08, so the Mississippi State moneyline loses (ESPN box score).

• Missouri Tigers moneyline lost
• Iowa State Cyclones moneyline won
• Kansas Jayhawks moneyline won

“I mean, there's your money line parlay. We just gave it to you for tomorrow, guys. Kansas, Iowa, State, and Mizzou.”

Kentucky 91, Missouri 83; Iowa State 73, Kansas State 57; Kansas 83, Arizona 76 — Parlay busts: Kentucky beat Missouri 91-83 (Missouri moneyline loses); Iowa State beat Kansas State 73-57 (Iowa State moneyline wins); Kansas beat Arizona 83-76 (Kansas moneyline wins) — one losing leg sinks the 3-team moneyline parlay (ESPN box scores).

“So I'll go with the Boilermakers plus 4.5.”

88-80 — Illinois beat Purdue 88-80 on 2025-03-07, an 8-point loss for Purdue that busts Purdue +4.5 (ESPN box score).

“Instead, it's 5-1⁄2. So just to have some action sweated out during the show, you taking a little Illinois State money line, I'll go with Missouri State plus the points.”

70-54 — Illinois State beat Missouri State 70-54 in the Missouri Valley tournament opening round on March 6, 2025, a 16-point Missouri State loss that busts +5.5 (ESPN final).

“But I'm going to the team at plus 400, Jared. I'm going with the Samford Bulldogs at 4-1.”

92-85 — Wofford beat Furman 92-85 on March 10, 2025 to win the 2025 Southern Conference championship; Samford did not win (ESPN recap).

“The team that I like, Jared, is the fourth seed in the tournament. And they're going to start in the quarterfinal round. and that's Arkansas State at plus 185”

94-81 — Troy beat Arkansas State 94-81 on March 10, 2025 in the Sun Belt championship game; Arkansas State was runner-up, not champion (ESPN final).

“Yeah, I would take six and a half with Jacksonville.”

78-63 — North Alabama beat Jacksonville 78-63 in the ASUN semifinal on March 6, 2025, a 15-point Jacksonville loss that busts +6.5 (ESPN final).

“Also, give me Abilene Christian tonight plus three and a half against Utah Valley.”

73-60 — Utah Valley beat Abilene Christian 73-60 on March 6, 2025, a 13-point Abilene Christian loss that busts +3.5 (ESPN final).

“Give me Iowa plus 6.5, and give me Iowa on the money line as well.”

91-84 — Michigan State beat Iowa 91-84 on March 6, 2025, a -7 margin for Iowa that busts +6.5 (ESPN final).

“Taking the Iowa Hawkeyes, plus the points, and we're taking some money line as well, plus 225 against Michigan State.”

91-84 — Michigan State beat Iowa 91-84 on March 6, 2025; the Iowa moneyline busts (ESPN final).

“I'll take Northern Kentucky plus 4.5 tonight against Cleveland State”

68-63 — Cleveland State beat Northern Kentucky 68-63 in the Horizon League quarterfinal on March 6, 2025, a 5-point Northern Kentucky loss that busts +4.5 (ESPN final).

“I took Henley, so I'll be sweating him out with you guys.”

Joe Highsmith won the 2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National, two strokes clear of Jacob Bridgeman and J.J. Spaun; Russell Henley did not win (PGATOUR.com final results).

“Then I took Chris Kirk this week.”

Joe Highsmith won the 2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National, two strokes clear of Jacob Bridgeman and J.J. Spaun; Chris Kirk did not win (PGATOUR.com final results).

“And then I took Christian Bazaiden, who was at five under as well.”

Joe Highsmith won the 2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National, two strokes clear of Jacob Bridgeman and J.J. Spaun; Christiaan Bezuidenhout did not win (PGATOUR.com final results).

“I'll go ahead and take the four and a half with Iowa.”

68-57 — Northwestern beat Iowa 68-57 on February 28, 2025 (ESPN box score), an 11-point margin that busts Iowa's +4.5 spread.

“Femi, I'm betting overtime in Marquette and Villanova, 16 to 1.”

Villanova 81, Marquette 66 — Villanova beat Marquette 81-66 in regulation on Feb 21, 2025; the game did not go to overtime (ESPN box score).

“And then I'll take Michigan at home minus 2.5.”

Michigan State 75, Michigan 62 — Michigan State beat Michigan outright 75-62 on Feb 21, 2025, so Michigan -2.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).

“I really like Kansas tonight, plus three and a half.”

91-57 — BYU beat Kansas 91-57 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Kansas lost by 34, well outside the +3.5 spread, so the bet lost.

“But what I did was, and I know I talked about this with you, but the doubles leader, it went from 120-1 down to 20-1. I bet that at 120-1.”

Bobby Witt Jr. led MLB with 47 doubles in the 2025 regular season (ESPN stats); Alex Bregman did not lead, so the futures bet lost. (Witt Jr. 47 doubles)

“I like Purdue plus 3.5 against Michigan State. Took it money line.”

Michigan State 75, Purdue 66 — Michigan State beat Purdue 75-66 on 2025-02-18 (ESPN); a 9-point Purdue loss exceeds the +3.5 spread, so the bet lost.

“But I just fired away on some Alejandro Tosti at 100-1.”

Brian Campbell won the 2025 Mexico Open at VidantaWorld in a playoff; Alejandro Tosti tied for 10th (ESPN leaderboard), so he did not win.

“I'm going LeBron to record 10 or more rebounds at plus 350.”

119-131 — LeBron James had 6 rebounds in the Jazz's 131-119 win over the Lakers on Feb 12, 2025, well under the 9.5/10+ line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 6 rebounds)

“And then give me the Bulls at plus six and a half tonight against the Pistons.”

DET 128-110 CHI — Pistons beat the Bulls 128-110 on Feb 12, 2025, an 18-point Detroit margin; Chicago Bulls +6.5 fails to cover (ESPN).

“Yeah, I'm going with LSU plus the 9.5 against Arkansas.”

ARK 70-58 LSU — Arkansas beat LSU 70-58 on Feb 12, 2025; LSU lost by 12, failing to cover +9.5 (ESPN).

“The total is also only 125-and-a-half, which is like what Houston and Tony Bennett Virginia game should be. I like the under because somebody knows something, but that should be a good game tonight. I'll go under Drake, Illinois State.”

DRKE 84-77 ILST — Drake beat Illinois State 84-77 on Feb 12, 2025, a combined 161 points, well over the 125.5 total (ESPN).

“I think currently right now, the best bet on the board for a national championship future is Texas A&M at 40-1.”

Florida beat Houston 65-63 on April 7, 2025, to win the 2025 NCAA men's basketball championship; Texas A&M did not win (ESPN).

“I'm going with Rory. This course is just tailor-made for him. His length off the tee, the course history that he has here, the form that he's in. I think Rory's 7-1. I think he's going to win.”

Ludvig Aberg won the 2025 Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines by one shot over Maverick McNealy; Rory McIlroy did not win (PGA Tour).

“A couple other guys that I like, Russell Henley at 45-1.”

Ludvig Aberg won the 2025 Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines by one shot over Maverick McNealy; Russell Henley did not win (PGA Tour).

“Give me Adam Scott at 66 to one.”

Ludvig Aberg won the 2025 Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines by one shot over Maverick McNealy; Adam Scott did not win (PGA Tour).

“And then I'll take a shot with Harris English at 50-1.”

Ludvig Aberg won the 2025 Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines by one shot over Maverick McNealy; Harris English did not win (PGA Tour).

“I think Auburn first half minus four-and-a-half is a good look.”

34-32 (1H); AUB 80, VAN 68 (final) — Auburn led Vanderbilt only 34-32 at halftime on Feb 11, 2025 (Auburn won the full game 80-68); Auburn's +2 first-half margin does not cover -4.5 (ESPN box score).

“Kind of like the over in the game too, 157 and a half.”

AUB 80, VAN 68 — Auburn beat Vanderbilt 80-68 on Feb 11, 2025; the combined 148 points fall short of the over 157.5 total (ESPN).

“I like the Illini, minus 6.5.”

ILL 83, UCLA 78 — Illinois beat UCLA 83-78 on Feb 11, 2025; Illinois' +5 margin falls short of the -6.5 spread (ESPN).

“Oh, man, do I like Texas tonight at plus four and a half. This is my favorite bet of the night.”

ALA 103, TEX 80 — Alabama beat Texas 103-80 on Feb 11, 2025; Texas' -23 margin busts the +4.5 spread (ESPN).

“I take some money line against Bama”

ALA 103, TEX 80 — Alabama beat Texas 103-80 on Feb 11, 2025; the Texas moneyline busts (ESPN).

“I going to take Mark Sears over 20 points tonight for Bama guys So Nate Oates Alabama head coach bent Sears in the second half of the LSU game on Saturday He said the last two days of practice have been Sears' best practices all season. So I think tonight on the road against Mississippi State, Sears, one of the better players in the country, is going to have a great game. So I'm going over 20.5 points for Mark Sears.”

88-84 — Mark Sears finished with 17 points (6-of-11 shooting) in No. 4 Alabama's 88-84 road win over No. 14 Mississippi State on Jan 29, 2025, under the 20.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Mark Sears: 17 points)

“I'm actually taking the over, 141.5.”

TAMU 63, MISS 62 — Texas A&M beat Ole Miss 63-62 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); the combined total of 125 is under the 141.5 line, so the over busts.

“Give me the under in Indiana Northwestern, under 139.5.”

NW 79, IND 70 — Northwestern beat Indiana 79-70 on Jan 22, 2025 (ESPN); the combined total of 149 is well over the 139.5 line, so the under loses.

“I lean Philly minus the six, but I actually think the play that I like the best is that Rams team total under. So I agree with you at 19 and a half. I kind of think that's the play, right?”

PHI 28, LAR 22 — Rams scored 22 points in their 28-22 NFC Divisional Round loss to Philadelphia, over the 19.5 team-total under (ESPN final).

“I like Packers plus four and a half.”

PHI 22, GB 10 — Eagles beat Packers 22-10; Green Bay +4.5 lost by 12 (ESPN box score).

“i like tampa minus three femi”

WSH 23, TB 20 — Commanders beat Buccaneers 23-20 on a last-second field goal; Tampa Bay -3 lost outright (ESPN box score).

“Going with the Kansas City Chiefs at plus 350.”

Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; Chiefs did not win (ESPN box score).

“so i'll go with detroit plus 275 my next pick”

Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Lions did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).

“I will go with the Buffalo Bills at plus 600”

Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Bills did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).

“Give me the Tampa Bay Bucs at 30-1 as my next team in the Super Bowl Futures draft.”

Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Buccaneers did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).

“so I'll go with Washington. I'll take them 35-1.”

Eagles 40, Chiefs 22 — Philadelphia Eagles beat Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX on 2/9/25; the Commanders did not reach or win the Super Bowl (ESPN box score).

“before the playoffs started, I took an exacto with Texas over Notre Dame.”

Ohio State 28, Texas 14 — Texas lost the Cotton Bowl semifinal 28-14 to Ohio State and never faced Notre Dame in the national championship; Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the actual title game (ESPN box scores).

“Give me Walter Clayton Jr. over 17 and a half points against Tennessee.”

73-43 — Florida beat Tennessee 73-43 on Jan 7, 2025; Walter Clayton Jr. scored 7 points, under 17.5 busts the over (ESPN box score). (Walter Clayton Jr.: 7 points)

“I took Kelsey first touchdown today.”

The first touchdown of the 11/29/2024 Raiders-Chiefs game was a 6-yard Mahomes-to-Justin Watson pass in the 2nd quarter (ESPN play-by-play); Travis Kelce did not score, so the first-touchdown-scorer bet lost.

“So we did get our six and a half. We were talking about that. If it got under the seven, I doubled down. So I got that with the Chiefs”

19-17 — Chiefs beat the Raiders 19-17 on 11/29/2024 (ESPN box score), a 2-point margin that falls short of covering the -6.5 spread.

“I took some money line as well, Jared.”

23-22 — Cardinals lost outright to the Vikings 23-22 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN final).

“I'm going with the under 42.”

26-21 — Seahawks beat Jets 26-21 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); combined 47 points went over the 42 total.

“And then I took the Niners at plus seven.”

35-10 — Bills beat 49ers 35-10 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); San Francisco lost by 25, failing to cover the +7 spread.

“So I'll take New Orleans tonight, plus 14.5.”

100-128 — Cavaliers beat Pelicans 128-100, a 28-point margin, so New Orleans did not cover +14.5 (ESPN final score).

“So I'll take the Giants plus six.”

30-7 — Buccaneers beat Giants 30-7, a 23-point margin, so New York did not cover +6 (ESPN final score).

“Femi, I think my favorite play is taking Chicago's team total under though it's 17 and a half at minus 120”

30-27 — Bears scored 27 points in their 30-27 OT loss to the Vikings, over the 17.5 Chicago team-total under (ESPN final score). (Bears scored 27 points)

“I mean, this is one of my favorite bets of the week. I love San Francisco. I really do. I think they're going to play one of their best games this season.”

10-38 — Packers beat 49ers 38-10, so San Francisco moneyline lost (ESPN final score).

“For my money, though, I think Jonathan Gannon will be worth a bet because I do like Arizona to win that division, and I think they're peaking at the right time, Femi. They got their bye week, and I think they're going to continue to win. So I like Gannon at plus 650.”

Kevin O'Connell (Vikings), not Jonathan Gannon, won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award (nfl.com).

“[38:03] So I think Denver is worth the bet on the money line as well.”

BAL 41, DEN 10 — Ravens beat Broncos 41-10 on Nov 3, 2024; the Denver moneyline bet loses (ESPN final score).

“[35:27] It's down to 4.5. [35:28] I'd take Moneyline.”

PSU 33, USC 30 — USC lost to Penn State 33-30 in overtime; Trojans moneyline busts (ESPN).

“[37:56] Yeah, I like West Virginia plus three.”

ISU 28, WVU 16 — Iowa State beat West Virginia 28-16; Mountaineers lost by 12, busting the +3 spread (ESPN).

“[37:56] Yeah, I like West Virginia plus three. [37:59] I like them outright in this game.”

ISU 28, WVU 16 — West Virginia lost to Iowa State 28-16; Mountaineers moneyline busts (ESPN).

“[40:06] I just think it's way too many. [40:07] So I like Carolina plus six.”

ATL 38, CAR 20 — Falcons beat Panthers 38-20; Panthers lost by 18, busting the +6 spread (ESPN).

“[40:07] So I like Carolina plus six. [40:09] I'd take a shot with them outright as well. [40:11] Plus 220.”

ATL 38, CAR 20 — Panthers lost to Falcons 38-20; Panthers moneyline busts (ESPN).

“[42:25] I think the total is the bet, though, in this game. [42:28] I really like the under, actually, at 51.5.”

BAL 30, WSH 23 — Ravens beat Commanders 30-23 (combined 53); under 51.5 busts (ESPN).

“[1:22:40] What about the Titans and the Packers in Tennessee [1:22:42] where the Packers say Jordan Love might play? [1:22:45] PJ, the betting market says otherwise. [1:22:47] Yeah, I'll go with Tennessee on the money line. [1:22:51] You know, this is a team that definitely should be at least one and one. [1:22:54] I mean, they should have won that Bears game. [1:22:55] They could be 2-0. [1:22:56] They were right there with the Jets in the fourth quarter. [1:22:59] I think a lot of people are just kind of shying away from Tennessee. [1:23:02] Like, they don't want to bet them because of Will Levis and the mistakes that he's made in the first two weeks. [1:23:07] The Packers, like, last week was the game for Green Bay. [1:23:11] I think they kind of looked at this sample size with Jordan Love, [1:23:14] thinking if we can just win one of these next two or three games with Willis, [1:23:19] then that'll kind of be okay for us, and we can steal another one. [1:23:22] Great. [1:23:22] But they had their win against Indy. [1:23:24] They ran the ball great in the first half. [1:23:26] I don't think they'll be able to do that against that Tennessee defense. [1:23:29] And Titans, another team, 0-2, backs against the wall, need a win. [1:23:34] I like Tennessee in this spot at the short price. [1:23:37] I think they win. [1:23:38] You better, you better, on a Thursday.”

GB 30, TEN 14 — Green Bay beat Tennessee 30-14 (ESPN), so the Titans moneyline busts.

“[1:25:05] what do you want to do with the Bills laying five and a half against the Jaguars on Monday Night Football? [1:25:09] Then we'll get to college. [1:25:10] Yeah, this is my favorite bet of the week. [1:25:12] I like the Jags plus the points, guys. [1:25:14] I think they're going to win it outright. [1:25:15] Much like when I was talking about that Eagles and Saints game, [1:25:18] the Jags fit in that same description of a team that was favored last week [1:25:22] against Cleveland, lost outright, and now we get them on the road. [1:25:26] And a team that really could definitely should be one and one. [1:25:30] If ETN doesn't fumble against Miami, they win that game. [1:25:32] Last week against Cleveland, Browns only converted two third downs. [1:25:36] They had 13 penalties, and they weren't able to win that game. [1:25:39] So a lot of people are high on Buffalo right now after what they did against Miami. [1:25:43] I think it's a good sell-high spot on the Bills. [1:25:46] It feels like this game will be closer to four, three and a half. [1:25:49] So I'll take the five and a half with the Jags.”

BUF 47, JAX 10 — Buffalo beat Jacksonville 47-10 (ESPN), a 37-point margin that busts Jacksonville +5.5.

“[1:25:05] what do you want to do with the Bills laying five and a half against the Jaguars on Monday Night Football? [1:25:09] Then we'll get to college. [1:25:10] Yeah, this is my favorite bet of the week. [1:25:12] I like the Jags plus the points, guys. [1:25:14] I think they're going to win it outright. [1:25:15] Much like when I was talking about that Eagles and Saints game, [1:25:18] the Jags fit in that same description of a team that was favored last week [1:25:22] against Cleveland, lost outright, and now we get them on the road. [1:25:26] And a team that really could definitely should be one and one. [1:25:30] If ETN doesn't fumble against Miami, they win that game. [1:25:32] Last week against Cleveland, Browns only converted two third downs. [1:25:36] They had 13 penalties, and they weren't able to win that game. [1:25:39] So a lot of people are high on Buffalo right now after what they did against Miami. [1:25:43] I think it's a good sell-high spot on the Bills. [1:25:46] It feels like this game will be closer to four, three and a half. [1:25:49] So I'll take the five and a half with the Jags. [1:25:51] I'd take the money line as well.”

BUF 47, JAX 10 — Buffalo beat Jacksonville 47-10 (ESPN), so the Jaguars moneyline busts.

“[1:25:55] Let's transition over to college football. [1:25:57] This Utah-Oklahoma State game, and it's been the talk of the betting circles with the way the market has been moving. [1:26:03] Will he or won't he play Cam Rising? [1:26:05] It's another day that ends in Y. [1:26:06] We're all wondering if he's going to play due to injury or not. [1:26:08] But right now, the Cowboys, two and a half point favorites, total 52 and a half here. [1:26:12] How do you see this playing out with or without Cam Rising on the field come Saturday? [1:26:17] Yeah, Femi, I like Oak State. [1:26:19] I mean, regardless of whether or not Rising plays or he doesn't play, Mike Gundy in these [1:26:23] spots is really, really good. [1:26:26] The last 10 years where his team's either been favored by a field goal or they're an [1:26:30] underdog of a field goal, he's 16 and six against the spread. [1:26:33] So these coin flip toss-up type games, he's normally really, really good. [1:26:38] Oklahoma State is an extremely experienced team. [1:26:42] They're used to these kind of big games. [1:26:44] They got a great whole field advantage. [1:26:46] Watching Utah too, guys, the last couple weeks, it's just not quite the same team, [1:26:50] especially up front and in the trenches. [1:26:52] So I think Oklahoma State's going to exploit that. [1:26:56] Even if rising plays, I'm comfortable taking Oklahoma State. [1:26:59] I'd lay the two and a half. [1:27:00] what type of a spot is this for Mike Gundy and Oklahoma state?”

UTAH 22, OKST 19 — Utah beat Oklahoma State 22-19 outright (ESPN), so Oklahoma State -2.5 busts.

“[1:27:58] I also like Middle Tennessee State guys against Duke, plus the points, plus 14.5. [1:28:03] Anytime we get any of those group of five teams at home against a Power 4 team, [1:28:08] I'll always take the dog in those spots. [1:28:11] So give me Navy and give me Middle Tennessee State this week in college football.”

DUKE 45, MTSU 17 — Duke beat Middle Tennessee 45-17 (ESPN), a 28-point margin that busts Middle Tennessee +14.5.

“[1:51:03] I like the under now that the line has come down more so than I like Utah State plus the points, but I would still lean towards the Aggies. [1:51:12] I'm sprinkling some money line as well, plus 800. [1:51:15] We obviously saw a big upset with Northern Illinois last week. [1:51:19] If there's a big upset on the slate this week, I think this might be the game. [1:51:24] So yeah I like Utah State PJ calling a shot here with a big pull there potentially on Utah State for the upset Costos and the Gamblers here you better even on the Beck UL Network The”

Utah 38, Utah State 21 — Utah beat Utah State 38-21, so the Utah State moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

“[1:51:39] South Florida against Southern Miss with [1:51:41] USF about an 11.5 point favorite? [1:51:43] Guys, this might be one of the [1:51:45] best sandwich spots we see all season [1:51:47] is with South Florida. [1:51:49] I love a good sandwich spot [1:51:50] and this is a great one. [1:51:52] So South Florida last week was in Tuscaloosa playing against Alabama, right? [1:51:57] And that game was close. [1:51:58] It was a seven-point game in the fourth quarter. [1:52:00] And now next week, South Florida hosts Miami, another top-ten team, [1:52:06] another team that's probably going to make the college football playoff. [1:52:09] And all they got to do this week is travel to Hattiesburg, Mississippi, [1:52:14] and play against Southern Miss. [1:52:16] How do you get up for this game? [1:52:18] When you had Bama on the ropes and you have Miami upcoming next week [1:52:22] and you had a chance to upset the Tide [1:52:24] and you're feeling good about your team [1:52:26] and you're looking forward to the Miami game, [1:52:28] again, this is another game I could see an outright upset. [1:52:32] So I just think it's the perfect sandwich spot right here [1:52:35] for Southern Miss to pull the upset, [1:52:37] but certainly I'll take all the points with them, [1:52:39] plus 11.5.”

South Florida 49, Southern Miss 24 — South Florida beat Southern Miss 49-24; Southern Miss (+11.5) lost by 25, missing the cover (ESPN box score).

“[1:58:40] Yeah, 30 seconds here. [1:58:41] Any other NFL games that you like on Sunday? [1:58:44] Yeah, I also like the Giants, plus 105 against the Commanders. [1:58:48] I just think you're getting a Giants team that they're feeling the heat, right? [1:58:51] The quarterback, the coaching staff, the whole team. [1:58:54] The Giants, even though they're not very good, [1:58:56] They're in win now mode. [1:58:57] Washington's in more of a rebuild mode. [1:59:00] Dan Quinn came out and said that he doesn't want Jaden Daniels running as much. [1:59:03] He wants him to sit back in the pocket and find his receivers. [1:59:06] I don't know if that's a good thing for Washington. [1:59:09] Like, Jaden Daniels, for them to move the ball, [1:59:11] he probably should be running a little bit. [1:59:13] And Daniel Jones, 5-1-1 straight up in his career against the Commanders. [1:59:17] If there's one team he plays well against, it's Washington. [1:59:20] I like the Giants.”

Commanders 21, Giants 18 — Washington beat the Giants 21-18, so the Giants moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

“but I do like Marcelo Zuna over one and a half total bases at plus 105.”

Marcell Ozuna went 1-for-2 with a single (1 total base, plus a walk) against Washington, under the 1.5 total-bases line; busts (ESPN box score). (Marcell Ozuna: 1 total base (1-for-2, 1 BB, 0 HR))

“We'll take him on the money line against the Jays.”

TOR 6, NYM 2 — Mets lost 2-6 to Toronto; Mets moneyline busts (ESPN box score).

“Minus 120 against the Padres.”

SD 7, SEA 3 — Mariners lost to the Padres 7-3; Mariners moneyline busts (ESPN box score).

“I'll take him in a home run as well, plus 340.”

Marcell Ozuna did not homer against Washington; he reached base on a single and a walk (ESPN box score). (Marcell Ozuna: 0 home runs)

“[1:33:10] what's going to happen tonight with the Ravens and the Chiefs? [1:33:14] Man, for the side, I really don't know. [1:33:17] Obviously, the fandom in me wants the Ravens to win. [1:33:20] What I've been saying all along is I would just bet this game live, right? [1:33:23] The Chiefs minus two and a half minus three is the perfect line. [1:33:26] I could make a case for both sides. [1:33:29] The way I look at it is if the Ravens get the ball first [1:33:31] and they go right down the field and go up 7-0, [1:33:34] you'll get the Chiefs at a pick-em or maybe plus money. [1:33:36] And vice versa, if the Chiefs get the ball first, [1:33:38] go down the field, go up seven, nothing. You get the Ravens a plus six. So why try and bet against [1:33:43] like what feels like a really good number and just wait to see how this game plays out and try to get [1:33:48] a great number live. I love the under 47, 46 and a half on bet MGM. I think that's the play. I feel [1:33:55] like it's a 2017, 24, 21 because of the two quarterbacks, everybody's going to want to bet [1:34:01] the over, but this is going to be an under kind of game. Primetime unders. I mean, everybody knows [1:34:06] Those are profitable, and I think we're going to start the season with the lower scoring game. [1:34:10] So the under for me is the play, and then if I had to make a bet, [1:34:15] I do think the Ravens got a really good shot. [1:34:17] It's tough to bet against Mahomes, though, at home and see him losing back-to-back season openers. [1:34:23] But I'm going to bet this game live. [1:34:24] The under, though, is my play.”

27-20 — Chiefs beat Ravens 27-20, a combined 47 points, over the 46.5 total (ESPN box score).

“[1:36:39] Yeah, I mean, you guys just mentioned the line movement that we saw in Texas, Michigan. [1:36:42] We're starting to see it here in Oregon, and I think the line's moving the right way. [1:36:46] On my show, Send It In, I gave out this play at 18, 18 and a half on Monday. [1:36:51] Send it in 1 to 1, 30 p.m. Eastern time right here on Beck UL. [1:36:56] And every Monday, we talk, we have a segment, Bet Now. [1:37:00] I look at the slates in both NFL and college, [1:37:02] lines that I think are going to move. [1:37:04] And this Oregon game, I said to bet it at 18, 18 and a half [1:37:07] because it was only going to go up. [1:37:09] And I said, anything under three touchdowns, I would bet the Ducks. [1:37:12] So at 21 and a half, I don't love it as much. [1:37:15] But now at 21, I would still play Oregon. [1:37:18] I just think too much of an overreaction on both sides after week one The Ducks played Idaho They only won by 10 points Dylan Gabriel played pretty well though He was 41 for 49 [1:37:29] He threw for nearly 400 yards. [1:37:31] Boise State's got one of the best running backs in America in Ashton Gentry. [1:37:34] He rushed for 270 and six touchdowns against Georgia Southern in week one. [1:37:40] Oregon's going to take him away. [1:37:42] They're going to force Boise to throw the football, [1:37:44] and that's when I think Boise's going to get into trouble. [1:37:46] Their defense in that week one game against Georgia Southern gave up nearly 500 yards of total offense. [1:37:53] So everyone wants to overreact to Oregon only beating Idaho, [1:37:56] but we're not talking about the fact that Boise gave up nearly 500 yards to Georgia Southern, [1:38:01] and now they've got to travel and take on Oregon after a bad performance. [1:38:05] I think Oregon rolls on Saturday, so I really like the Ducks. [1:38:09] Minus 21. [1:38:10] PJ, never apologize for your fandom as you're rocking this Lamar Jackson jersey.”

37-34 — Oregon beat Boise State 37-34 on a last-second field goal, covering only +3, well short of the -21 line (ESPN box score).

“[1:43:25] I thought all week Oregon was going to be my favorite bet. [1:43:29] And now that we've gotten to 10 with NC State, [1:43:31] I think this might turn out to be my favorite bet with the Wolfpack. [1:43:34] Nobody wants to bet NC State. [1:43:36] It's nothing but Tennessee love. [1:43:38] Nico's making his third career start in college football. [1:43:41] I think we all agree that the kid's going to be pretty good. [1:43:43] But should he be a 10-point favorite in a neutral site game [1:43:46] against an NC State team that did nothing against Western Carolina? [1:43:51] Their entire offseason was prepping for this game. [1:43:55] So they were looking ahead to this matchup against the Vols. [1:43:58] It's just all Nico love. [1:43:59] Guys, this line in the summer was five. [1:44:01] On Monday morning, this line dropped at six and a half. [1:44:04] It's all the way up to 10. [1:44:05] This is just crazy. [1:44:07] We're getting a key number with the Wolf Pack. [1:44:09] So I think they keep it closer than that. [1:44:11] I love NC State now with this number plus 10. [1:44:14] Can you howl like a wolf for us in honor of NC State?”

51-10 — Tennessee routed NC State 51-10, so NC State's -41 margin missed the +10 line by a wide margin (ESPN box score).

“[34:55] And, you know, I just think that early on in this game, [34:58] Michigan with their defense and leaning on their home crowd at the big house [35:01] in an early kick, they're going to keep this thing ugly. [35:04] They're going to keep it low scoring. [35:06] So you look at some of the marquee games we had in week one, right? [35:08] That Georgia Clemson game, Notre Dame and A&M, they were lower scoring. [35:12] It was 6-0, 6-6, halftime, both of those games. [35:15] I think this is going to be like a 10-7 game at half. [35:19] Michigan's offense, obviously, though, is still a work in progress. [35:21] And I don't know if they're going to be able to manufacture enough points over four quarters to hang with Texas. [35:27] So that's why I like Michigan first half plus the four and a half.”

Texas led Michigan 24-3 at halftime, so Michigan's first-half spread of +4.5 missed by a wide margin (ESPN box score linescore). (Halftime: Texas 24, Michigan 3)

“[33:31] Real quick, PJ, do you have any first TD score bets that you're eyeing [33:34] for tomorrow night's game between the Ravens and the Chiefs? [33:37] Absolutely. [33:39] Lamar Jackson is 14-1 tomorrow to score the first touchdown. [33:43] And I kind of love it, Femi. [33:44] Not going to lie to you. [33:46] I think that's a really good price. [33:47] I like Lamar anytime touchdown to it, plus 200. [33:50] But that first touchdown, 14 to 1, really like that one. [33:54] Love that.”

Derrick Henry scored the game's first touchdown, a 5-yard rush at 8:14 of the first quarter; Lamar Jackson was not the first scorer (ESPN play-by-play). (First TD scorer: Derrick Henry (5-yard rush))

“[33:31] Real quick, PJ, do you have any first TD score bets that you're eyeing [33:34] for tomorrow night's game between the Ravens and the Chiefs? [33:37] Absolutely. [33:39] Lamar Jackson is 14-1 tomorrow to score the first touchdown. [33:43] And I kind of love it, Femi. [33:44] Not going to lie to you. [33:46] I think that's a really good price. [33:47] I like Lamar anytime touchdown to it, plus 200. [33:50] But that first touchdown, 14 to 1, really like that one. [33:54] Love that.”

Lamar Jackson threw a touchdown but had zero rushing and zero receiving touchdowns himself against the Chiefs (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 0 rushing TD, 0 receiving TD (1 passing TD thrown))

“[37:17] Femi, on Sunday, I'm going to be doing inside the betting lines with Nick Ashu here on the BetQL Network. [37:23] We're going to be at beautiful National Harbor in Washington, D.C. [37:26] And while everyone's probably going to be wanting Colt Texans in the 1 p.m. slot, [37:30] I want Panthers and Saints on the big screen because I'm going to have way too much money. [37:36] I'm a true sicko. [37:38] I'm going to have way too much money on the Panthers plus four in this game, [37:41] and I'm also going to be rooting like crazy for a Derek Carr interception at minus 110.”

NO 47, CAR 10 — Saints beat Panthers 47-10; Carolina (+4) lost by 37, missing the cover (ESPN box score).

“[37:36] I'm a true sicko. [37:38] I'm going to have way too much money on the Panthers plus four in this game, [37:41] and I'm also going to be rooting like crazy for a Derek Carr interception at minus 110. [37:47] So as bad as Derek Carr was last season, [37:49] He actually did a decent job of not throwing as many interceptions as you would think. [37:54] He only had eight of them, but he threw two of them against Carolina, [37:58] one in each of the two meetings against the Panthers last season. [38:01] And rule of thumb, Femi, usually if you like an underdog, [38:04] I usually like fading the other team's quarterback, right? [38:07] Because if the underdog I think is going to cover, if I think they have a chance to win, [38:11] then the favorite's probably going to be trailing, which means more pass attempts for Derek Carr. [38:16] And I think Derek Carr is throwing us an interception. [38:19] Panthers defense gets a little bit slept on. [38:21] It's not really terrible. [38:23] And I think Carr is throwing us a pick in game number one. [38:26] So, again, the price only being minus 110, I think it's really, really good. [38:32] My second prop that I like is Derek Carr to throw a pick minus 110.”

Derek Carr went 19-of-23 for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns with zero interceptions against Carolina (ESPN box score). (Derek Carr: 0 interceptions)

“[42:12] The other one from the Raiders Chargers game at SoFi Stadium in L.A. [42:17] I mean, it's time to get on the Gus bus because we're going with Gus Edwards over 45 and a half rushing yards. [42:23] Gus last year with the Ravens in 17 games went over this in 11 of his 17. [42:29] He's got his old offensive coordinator back in Greg Roman. [42:32] He's got a head coach, Jim Harbaugh, that wants to punch you in the mouth and run the ball. [42:35] J.K. Dobbins is coming off a number of years with serious leg injuries, [42:39] so they're probably going to ease him into things. [42:41] We know the Chargers trade away their receivers in the offseason. [42:44] They drafted Joe Alt. [42:45] They're going to run the football. [42:47] You want to slow down that pass rush with Wilkins and Crosby. [42:50] You want to lean on your ground game. [42:52] So I think Gus is going to get probably 15 to 20 carries in this game. [42:56] I think he goes over 45.5 rushing yards, so I like that one. [43:00] And then the last one, we're going under passing yards for Bo Nix, 203.5.”

LAC 22, LV 10 — Gus Edwards ran 11 times for 26 yards in the Chargers' 22-10 win over Las Vegas, well under the 45.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Gus Edwards: 26 rushing yards)

“[14:49] So if people are out there like me who are on Cincinnati this whole summer, like the Bengals and Survivor Pool, like them to cover this game, all this stuff that's going on with Jamar, whether he plays, whether he doesn't, I'd still lay the eight with Cincinnati. [15:03] There's so much unknown with New England, and I think there's a lot much worse that can go bad in game one that can go right. [15:11] So I like the Bengals. [15:13] Yeah, I'm with you. [15:14] I was kind of hoping he wouldn't play either because Nick asked me, he said, what do you think is the bottom in this mark? [15:20] And I thought seven and a half if Chase did not play. [15:22] And if we ever did see a seven, I would definitely lay it with Cincinnati. [15:25] At these current prices, I might just try to find other ways to fade New England. [15:30] But yeah, I think this is at this point, I think it's maybe look in the prop markets, maybe look to the total because Cincinnati traditionally starts slow and New England, I think, might be an absolute disaster this upcoming season. [15:41] All right. On the other side, we will get our AFC North thoughts here as we're just getting warmed up here on You Better, You Better. [15:51] Cold plunting, part wellness ritual, part adrenaline rush. [15:55] Three minutes that push your limits and reset your system. [15:58] Busy parents, weekend warriors, and anyone feeling tired are hopping in and leveling up. [16:03] Inflammation handled. [16:04] Brain fog gone. [16:06] Energy through the roof. [16:08] Cold plunging actually works. [16:09] So, ready to wake up your body and your life? [16:12] Find your cold plunge at one of Mainly Tub's seven New England showrooms. [16:15] Or visit MainlyTubs.com today. [16:19] We'll be right back with You Better You Bet. [16:22] Presented by BetMGM. [16:25] The sportsbook born in Vegas. [16:28] this is you better you bet presented by bet mgm [16:36] welcome back this is you better you bet presented by bet mgm here on the bet ql network femi at”

NE 16, CIN 10 — Patriots won 16-10 outright over Cincinnati; Bengals -8 lose emphatically (ESPN box score).

“[22:50] Yeah, I mean, a lot of people like the Bengals this year. [22:53] I think they're going to have a good season. [22:55] I think they'll probably win double-digit games. [22:57] For me, though, the bet at the current price, Femi, [22:59] is going to be the Cleveland Browns at plus 500. [23:02] A lot of it just has to do with the price. [23:05] I think talent-wise, just pure talent on the roster, [23:09] I don't think there's much of a gap between Cleveland and Baltimore and Cincinnati. [23:14] Obviously, the area where the Ravens and Bengals really overshadow [23:19] Cleveland is the quarterback position. [23:20] Talking about two of the top five quarterbacks with Lamar and Burrow and [23:24] Deshaun Watson's one of the big question marks heading into the season. [23:27] We know Cleveland's defense is really good. [23:29] They picked up Jerry Judy to go along with the Mari Cooper. [23:32] Najoku's a solid tight end. [23:34] When healthy, they have one of the top offensive lines in football. [23:37] Nick Chubb's working his way back, but when he's healthy, [23:41] he's one of the best pure running backs in football. [23:43] And Stefanski's won coach of the year a couple times. [23:45] He's a really good coach. [23:46] So the Browns for so long were the punching bag for the Ravens and the Steelers in this division. [23:53] But they're starting to play both of those teams really tough and they're starting to win those games. [23:58] And Femi, the team that's really give Joe Burrow a ton of trouble since he's entered the league is the Cleveland Browns. [24:04] The Browns are the team that he cannot beat. [24:06] So already off the bat, one of the teams ahead of you are the Bengals who you normally do really well against.”

Baltimore Ravens won the 2024 AFC North (12-5), clinching by beating last-place Cleveland; the Browns finished 3-14 (ESPN). (2024 AFC North champion: Baltimore Ravens (12-5); Cleveland Browns finished 3-14)

“[44:32] Yeah, last one for you here. [44:34] The Bucs plus 300, that comes to us from the Wizard of Raz on Twitch. [44:41] How about that, PJ? Bucs fire the cannons. Can they repeat as division champs? [44:46] No, I do not like the Bucs this year at all. I mean, not only do I not like the Bucs, I actually took them 30 to one to finish with the league's worst record. [44:54] Losing some key pieces on defense. I think Baker Mayfield regresses big time this year. Their schedule is brutal to start the year. So I'm out on Tampa. [45:04] Well, you're as out as anybody could be as you pick them to have the worst record in the National Football League.”

Tampa Bay finished the 2024 regular season 10-7 and won the NFC South, nowhere near the league's worst record (ESPN). (Buccaneers 2024 regular-season record: 10-7 (NFC South champions))

“I'm going under 10 and a half wins.”

The Ravens went 12-5 in the 2024 regular season, clearing over 10.5 wins, so the under busts (Wikipedia 2024 Baltimore Ravens season). (Ravens 2024 regular-season record: 12-5)

“I actually took a 30-1 ticket on the Bucs to finish with the worst record in the NFL.”

The worst 2024 regular-season record belonged to the Giants and Titans at 3-14; the Buccaneers went 10-7 and won the NFC South, so Tampa Bay did not finish with the league's worst record (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season). (2024 NFL worst records: Giants 3-14, Titans 3-14; Buccaneers 10-7)

“So give me the Panthers 12 to 1.”

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the 2024 NFC South at 10-7; the Panthers went 5-12 and did not win the division (Wikipedia 2024 NFL season). (2024 NFC South winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7); Panthers 5-12)

“So I'll just lay the minus 140 with the Browns on the money line,”

33-17 — Dallas beat Cleveland 33-17 on Sept 8, 2024; the Browns lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).

“So I'll take Green Bay at the plus three.”

Eagles 34, Packers 29 — Philadelphia beat Green Bay 34-29 in Sao Paulo on Sept 6, 2024; the Packers lost outright, busting +3 (ESPN box score).

“Yeah, I'm laying the 15 and a half with Florida State tonight, Femi.”

Boston College 28, Florida State 13 — Boston College upset Florida State 28-13 on Sept 2, 2024; FSU lost outright, busting -15.5 (ESPN box score).

“[1:59] So I've placed one bet so far, Femi, in the NFL because I had a feeling that this line would move in my favor. [2:07] The other games, you know, I thought about pulling the trigger, but I usually don't bet kind of games too early on in the season. [2:14] But as soon as this line came out, I think I was doing the game with Ken. [2:17] And then I was on a couple weeks ago, maybe a month ago with Nick, [2:21] and we were talking about this game. [2:23] I love the Cleveland Browns against your Cowboys, Femi. [2:25] I'm so sorry. [2:26] I got them at a pick-em. [2:28] I mean, you know as well as anybody. [2:30] Like, we're getting Dallas outdoors on natural grass against an elite defense. [2:35] Like, it's nightmare fuel. [2:37] Cleveland's defense was so good last year at home. [2:41] I don't care if it's Deshaun Watson or it's Jameis, whoever it is, [2:45] playing quarterback. [2:46] Like, I'm good. [2:47] I think the Browns will be fine. [2:49] This was a team that made the playoffs last season with 26% of their salary on injured reserve. [2:56] They were decimated by injury last season. [2:59] As we know, Flacco takes over. [3:01] They go on a magical ride. [3:02] But they got a ton of talent. [3:04] Jerry Judy comes over, help out Amari Cooper. [3:06] He's still got Njoku there. [3:08] Chubb's going to miss the first four games of the season, but the O-line is going to be healthier. [3:12] He gets some guys back.”

DAL 33-CLE 17 — Cowboys beat Browns 33-17; Cleveland lost outright at a pick-em line (ESPN box score).

“[6:24] So when we're talking Survivor Femi, and I'm glad you brought that up like I love Cleveland, as I told you, they're my favorite bet. [6:30] But it is really enough in the season where I am keeping them till week three. [6:34] I'm just taking Cincinnati because usually, [6:38] and one thing you'll know about me is I'm usually not a guy that takes a lot of [6:42] favorites that are close to double digits or double digits in the NFL, [6:45] but I think it's a smash spot for the Bengals in week one against New England. [6:49] So I like a minus nine and a half. [6:51] They're my pick and survivor. [6:52] To me, [6:53] this game reminds me a lot of when the Texans played the Ravens in week one [6:56] last year and it was an ASC North team at home. [7:00] You got Jacoby Brissett's going to start in week one, [7:02] but you got a rookie head coach, D'Amico Ryan's last year, [7:06] Gerard Mayo this season, and a team that's not expected to do a whole lot. [7:10] Now, obviously, Houston surprised us a ton. [7:13] But if C.J. Stroud and company, and that team made the playoffs, [7:17] couldn't cover against the Ravens, lost that game by 16, 17 points, [7:20] the Patriots, I don't know how they're going to score enough. [7:24] And the case for New England would be that the Bengals are notorious [7:28] for slow starts, and, you know, they usually get off to like one [7:31] and three starts to a season but i actually think it's really going to motivate them and femi they [7:36] do have kansas city lurking on deck in week two at arrowhead so if they drop that game they could [7:43] very easily be oh and two and then they could get off to another slow start uh in the season so i [7:50] think they start hot i think they cover that spread so i'm not over thinking it i'm riding [7:54] with the biggest favorite on the board i like the bangles in survivor week one playing it safe pj”

NE 16-CIN 10 — Patriots beat Bengals 16-10; Cincinnati lost outright (ESPN box score).

“[6:49] So I like a minus nine and a half. [6:51] They're my pick and survivor. [6:52] To me, [6:53] this game reminds me a lot of when the Texans played the Ravens in week one [6:56] last year and it was an ASC North team at home. [7:00] You got Jacoby Brissett's going to start in week one, [7:02] but you got a rookie head coach, D'Amico Ryan's last year, [7:06] Gerard Mayo this season, and a team that's not expected to do a whole lot. [7:10] Now, obviously, Houston surprised us a ton. [7:13] But if C.J. Stroud and company, and that team made the playoffs, [7:17] couldn't cover against the Ravens, lost that game by 16, 17 points, [7:20] the Patriots, I don't know how they're going to score enough. [7:24] And the case for New England would be that the Bengals are notorious [7:28] for slow starts, and, you know, they usually get off to like one [7:31] and three starts to a season but i actually think it's really going to motivate them and femi they [7:36] do have kansas city lurking on deck in week two at arrowhead so if they drop that game they could [7:43] very easily be oh and two and then they could get off to another slow start uh in the season so i [7:50] think they start hot i think they cover that spread so i'm not over thinking it i'm riding [7:54] with the biggest favorite on the board i like the bangles in survivor week one playing it safe pj [8:01] That's what he's doing here. [8:03] Playing to save with the biggest favorite on the board. [8:05] This is You Better You Bet. [8:06] Femi and Ben Faye, PJ Glass, [8:07] are here on a Friday before Labor Day weekend. [8:10] I get it.”

NE 16-CIN 10 — Patriots beat Bengals 16-10; Cincinnati lost outright, well short of covering -9.5 (ESPN box score).

“[35:22] I'm going to continue to fade the Orioles I'm actually on the Rockies tonight on the money line [35:26] I got it plus 130 I think that line's coming down one of my favorite systems in baseball Femi [35:31] is when a team doesn't have an off day and has to travel to Coors Field, right? [35:36] Because of the altitude difference, you got to get acclimated a little bit. [35:40] The Orioles are also playing like their JV squad tonight. [35:42] There's no Adley Rutschman. [35:44] A bunch of other guys are sitting for them. [35:46] No Mountcastle, no O'Hearn. [35:49] They're going with a bunch of guys a lot of people are going to look like in their lineup [35:52] and be like, who are these guys? [35:53] So they're mixing it up a little bit. [35:56] They're trying to get out of their offensive funk. [35:57] And Albert Suarez is on like a Jeremy Lin, Linsanity run this season for the Orioles. [36:02] He's been absolutely insane. [36:04] He's had seven starts where he hasn't given up a run, which like leads baseball. [36:09] He's been ridiculous. [36:10] So there's some regression coming. [36:13] And even though he's going up against the Rockies, like obviously Coors Field is the ultimate hitter's park. [36:17] So I think the O's lose another one tonight. [36:20] I'll take the Rockies plus money. [36:22] All right. [36:23] I'm going to go with four bets tonight. [36:25] I usually only give out one or two. [36:26] We got four tonight on a Friday, and they're all in the first five category here. [36:30] I'll go quick with them, though.”

BAL 5-COL 3 — Orioles beat Rockies 5-3; Colorado lost outright on the moneyline (ESPN box score).

“[10:56] UMass is better. [10:57] I think they win the game. [10:58] I would lay the two-and-a-half with UMass. [11:00] Favorite bet of the weekend, Femi, is going to be Syracuse, [11:03] minus 17-and-a-half against Ohio. [11:06] This is the perfect blend of an Ohio team that got absolutely depleted in the transfer portal losing so much of their production against a Syracuse team that gained a ton in the transfer portal Their new head coach Fran Brown comes over from Georgia where he was the secondary coach [11:22] So guess what? He brought some Georgia guys with him, which definitely we like. [11:25] He also got Kyle McCord from Ohio State to be the quarterback. [11:30] I like Syracuse quite a bit in this game against Ohio. [11:32] I think they roll. I'd take a minus 17.5. [11:34] upset that I like on Saturday. [11:37] Give me Miami of Ohio plus three and a half against Northwestern. [11:41] Big credit to David Braun and the staff for Northwestern last year. [11:45] After everything that happened with Pat Fitzgerald in the offseason, [11:48] we all thought Northwestern would be complete garbage. [11:50] They made a bowl game. [11:51] They surprised everybody. [11:53] I think the regression is hitting this year, [11:55] and they're going to get some Miami of Ohio. [11:57] People might remember the name Blaine Gabbert, [11:59] top 10 pick out of Missouri in the NFL draft. [12:02] His younger brother, Brett, is in his seventh year of college football because of the COVID and because of injuries. [12:09] So he's got a ton of experience. [12:10] He's a good player when he's healthy. [12:12] Miami of Ohio is a good team.”

EMU 28-MASS 14 — Eastern Michigan beat UMass 28-14; the Minutemen lost outright, failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites (ESPN box score).

“[11:00] Favorite bet of the weekend, Femi, is going to be Syracuse, [11:03] minus 17-and-a-half against Ohio. [11:06] This is the perfect blend of an Ohio team that got absolutely depleted in the transfer portal losing so much of their production against a Syracuse team that gained a ton in the transfer portal Their new head coach Fran Brown comes over from Georgia where he was the secondary coach [11:22] So guess what? He brought some Georgia guys with him, which definitely we like. [11:25] He also got Kyle McCord from Ohio State to be the quarterback. [11:30] I like Syracuse quite a bit in this game against Ohio. [11:32] I think they roll. I'd take a minus 17.5. [11:34] upset that I like on Saturday. [11:37] Give me Miami of Ohio plus three and a half against Northwestern. [11:41] Big credit to David Braun and the staff for Northwestern last year. [11:45] After everything that happened with Pat Fitzgerald in the offseason, [11:48] we all thought Northwestern would be complete garbage. [11:50] They made a bowl game. [11:51] They surprised everybody. [11:53] I think the regression is hitting this year, [11:55] and they're going to get some Miami of Ohio. [11:57] People might remember the name Blaine Gabbert, [11:59] top 10 pick out of Missouri in the NFL draft. [12:02] His younger brother, Brett, is in his seventh year of college football because of the COVID and because of injuries. [12:09] So he's got a ton of experience. [12:10] He's a good player when he's healthy. [12:12] Miami of Ohio is a good team. [12:13] Chuck Martin, their head coach, been there a long time. [12:16] The talent gap in that game is not going to be very wide. [12:19] I like Miami of Ohio to keep that game close, and I like them to win it outright as well.”

SYR 38-OHIO 22 — Syracuse beat Ohio 38-22, covering only by 16 points, short of the -17.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“[11:34] upset that I like on Saturday. [11:37] Give me Miami of Ohio plus three and a half against Northwestern. [11:41] Big credit to David Braun and the staff for Northwestern last year. [11:45] After everything that happened with Pat Fitzgerald in the offseason, [11:48] we all thought Northwestern would be complete garbage. [11:50] They made a bowl game. [11:51] They surprised everybody. [11:53] I think the regression is hitting this year, [11:55] and they're going to get some Miami of Ohio. [11:57] People might remember the name Blaine Gabbert, [11:59] top 10 pick out of Missouri in the NFL draft. [12:02] His younger brother, Brett, is in his seventh year of college football because of the COVID and because of injuries. [12:09] So he's got a ton of experience. [12:10] He's a good player when he's healthy. [12:12] Miami of Ohio is a good team. [12:13] Chuck Martin, their head coach, been there a long time. [12:16] The talent gap in that game is not going to be very wide. [12:19] I like Miami of Ohio to keep that game close, and I like them to win it outright as well. [12:25] And then LSU-USC. [12:27] That's my final bet of the card Sunday night. [12:31] I think USC wins it outright. [12:32] I'm big on USC this year, Femi, because I like buying in on a coach like Lincoln Riley, [12:38] who every season it's championship or bust. [12:41] He's got a Heisman Trophy frontrunner. [12:43] They're always favored to win their conference, and it's none of that this year for USC.”

NW 13-MOH 6 — Northwestern beat Miami (OH) 13-6; the RedHawks lost outright by 7, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).

“[12:19] I like Miami of Ohio to keep that game close, and I like them to win it outright as well. [12:25] And then LSU-USC. [12:27] That's my final bet of the card Sunday night. [12:31] I think USC wins it outright. [12:32] I'm big on USC this year, Femi, because I like buying in on a coach like Lincoln Riley, [12:38] who every season it's championship or bust. [12:41] He's got a Heisman Trophy frontrunner. [12:43] They're always favored to win their conference, and it's none of that this year for USC. [12:47] They're flying under the radar, and I think they're looking forward to that. [12:50] And thank God he finally got rid of Alex Grinch. [12:53] It took him long enough. [12:54] So I know the defense is still a work in progress. [12:56] It's going to take him a little bit, but already off the bat, [12:59] it's going to be way better than it was if Grinch was coaching the defense. [13:02] So LSU's lost four straight season openers. [13:05] I think it's going to be five straight. [13:06] I like USC plus the points and on the money line as well. [13:10] Phenomenal performance. [13:11] Once again, [13:11] Brian, [13:11] I got PJ Glasser highlighting the Grinch who could not coordinate defense. [13:16] I covered Alex Grinch actually when he was at Washington state, [13:18] everybody kept raving about him. [13:19] I'm like, [13:20] this guy,”

NW 13-MOH 6 — Northwestern beat Miami (OH) 13-6 outright; the RedHawks lost on the moneyline (ESPN box score).

“[38:32] State's bringing back some guys on defense. So I like Michigan State to win this game by two plus [38:36] scores. I laid 13 and a half with them. I also took Western Michigan plus 23 and a half against [38:42] Wisconsin. Western Michigan is a team out of the MAC that does return a lot of guys at key [38:47] positions their quarterback is back running back return some guys on the o-line and this is also [38:52] just the fate of like wisconsin and tyler van dyke who transferred from miami to madison and it's [38:57] like i'm more than good i've watched tyler van dyke play enough football to like i don't really [39:02] think he can cover 24 points so i'll take western michigan plus the 23 and a half and then we've [39:07] been talking about it all show stanford plus the points against tcu i think they win the game [39:12] outright. [39:13] The thing I really like about this bet Femi is Stanford offense is really fun It complicated If you haven watched him play people will really like Troy Taylor system Ashton Daniels is a good young quarterback But what I like about it is that TCU is bringing in a new defensive coordinator [39:29] Andy Avalos was the coach at Boise State. [39:32] He takes over in year one as the TCU defensive coordinator. [39:36] So when you're changing scheme in game one, going up against an offense like that on the road, [39:42] I just think that's tough for TCU to deal with. [39:44] So the reason I like them quite a bit on the money line, [39:47] I just think Sonny Dykes and TCU are a one-hit wonder. [39:51] You know, it just was one of those magical seasons where everything went right. [39:54] Like, Sonny Dykes is a 7-5 football coach. [39:57] That's what he is. [39:57] He's not 13-0 national championship bound, you know. [40:00] So I think TCU is going to kind of have another, like, midseason, [40:04] and I think they're absolutely on upset alert tonight. [40:07] There you go. [40:08] Upset alert on the farm for a little bit of ACC after dark. [40:12] Still sounds weird to say that Stanford's in the ACC, but that's college football in 2024.”

MSU 16-FAU 10 — Michigan State beat Florida Atlantic 16-10, covering only by 6 points, short of the -13.5 spread (ESPN box score).

“[1:08:25] I think the Tampa Bay Bucs have a shot at being the worst team in football. [1:08:28] I would take a flyer on them at 30 to 1 to have the worst record”

Tampa Bay went 10-7 and won the NFC South; the NFL's worst record (3-14) belonged to Cleveland, Tennessee, and the Giants, not Tampa Bay.

“[1:28:13] yeah the only game i bet so far is the browns on the money line i got them at even money against [1:28:20] dallas”

DAL 33, CLE 17 — Cowboys beat Browns 33-17; Browns moneyline busts.

“[2:48:41] For me, four plays in Major League Baseball tonight. [2:48:45] First one's going to be the Royals and the Reds. [2:48:47] We're taking the over 10 in that game.”

KC 7, CIN 1 — Royals beat Reds 7-1; combined 8 runs falls under the total of 10, so the over busts.

“[2:49:12] Also like the over in Phillies and Nats. [2:49:14] That game just got going. [2:49:15] I like the over nine.”

PHI 3, WSH 2 — Phillies beat Nationals 3-2; combined 5 runs falls under the total of 9, so the over busts.

“[2:49:38] So I'll take a shot with the fish at plus 200. [2:49:41] They've been a little pesky team ever since the trade deadline, [2:49:44] getting a nice two to one price on them. [2:49:46] Give me the Marlins on the money line against the Mets.”

NYM 7, MIA 3 — Mets beat Marlins 7-3; Marlins moneyline busts.

“[1:38:44] Like my bet on the Padres can I got the Padres at 45 to 1 to win the World Series before they [1:38:49] went on this tear.”

The Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2024 World Series; San Diego lost the NLDS to Los Angeles 3 games to 2, so the Padres futures bet loses.

“[2:15:42] We will start in the Cubs and the Guardians game. [2:15:45] I like Imanaga and the Cubs, minus 120 tonight.”

9-8 — Cleveland beat Chicago 9-8, so the Cubs moneyline busts (ESPN recap).

“[2:15:59] I also like the first five under in Astros and Rays under four.”

6-1 — Houston led Tampa Bay 6-1 through five innings, seven combined runs, busting the first-five under 4 (ESPN box score).

“[2:16:25] I also like the White Sox, believe it or not, in the first five tonight. [2:16:28] under four and a half runs with the Yankees.”

12-2 — The White Sox led the Yankees 5-2 through five innings (7 combined runs) en route to a 12-2 win, busting the first-five under 4.5 (ESPN box score). (White Sox 5, Yankees 2 through 5 innings)

“[11:54] If that happens at plus 650, I think Iowa's got a shot at getting to the playoffs, so I like them.”

Iowa was not among the 12 teams selected for the 2024 College Football Playoff (field: Oregon, Georgia, Boise State, Arizona State, Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Tennessee, Indiana, SMU, Clemson).

“[1:55:16] Plus 150 for over eight and a half wins for Iowa this year. [1:55:19] I took over that and I took a shot at them to win the Big Ten as well at 40 to one.”

Iowa finished the 2024 regular season 8-4 (before its bowl game), falling short of the over 8.5 wins line (Wikipedia season page, sourced to official game logs). (Iowa 2024 regular season: 8-4)

“[1:58:22] on them. I'll go under on Penn state too. I mean, under 10 wins on Penn state that we do this with so many teams every”

Penn State finished the 2024 regular season 11-1, well over the under-10-wins line (Wikipedia season page listing the full regular-season schedule). (Penn State 2024 regular season: 11-1)

“[2:32:38] but I do actually like him and the Angels in the spot tonight at plus 120.”

New York Mets 5, Los Angeles Angels 1 — The Angels lost to the Mets 5-1, busting the Los Angeles moneyline (ESPN box score).

“[1:45:15] Definitely. [1:45:15] So I like Ohio State. [1:45:18] I would bet a long shot on Iowa, like I said, [1:45:20] but I'd honestly take Ohio State because if they make it to the Big Ten title game, [1:45:25] they're not going to be plus 150 on a neutral site. [1:45:27] They're going to be minus money against anybody that they play. [1:45:30] So I think there's some value there on the Buckeyes,”

Oregon beat Penn State 45-37 to win the 2024 Big Ten Championship; Ohio State did not win the conference. (2024 Big Ten champion: Oregon, 45-37 over Penn State)

“[2:12:31] I'm taking the O's on the run line. [2:12:33] I think it's a great smash spot for them. [2:12:35] They were struggling in the last couple games against the Rangers [2:12:38] and then early in that Marlins series. [2:12:40] They nearly collapsed yesterday, blowing a 6-0 lead in the sixth inning, [2:12:44] but they wanted in extras. [2:12:45] I think this is a good spot for him tonight, Jeremy. [2:12:47] I laid the run line with the O's, minus 1.5, plus 100.”

6-4 — Baltimore lost to San Diego 6-4, so the Orioles -1.5 run line lost.

“[2:53:35] it at seven yeah minus 115 on the under seven and a half at that mgm”

10-8 — Washington beat St. Louis 10-8 in 10 innings, a combined 18 runs, well over the under 7.5 total.

“[30:15] No, I actually like the other side. [30:16] I would lay it with Cincinnati, minus 9.5.”

CIN 10, NE 16 — The Patriots beat the Bengals 16-10 in Week 1, 2024; Cincinnati's margin of -6 falls short of -9.5 (ESPN box score).

“[1:35:04] So I'll go over eight wins for Iowa at minus 120. [1:35:08] I'd take a little stab with them to win the Big Ten as well at 40-1.”

Oregon beat Penn State 45-37 to win the 2024 Big Ten Championship; Iowa did not win the conference (ESPN). (2024 Big Ten champion: Oregon)

“[1:41:33] They recruited pretty well in the offseason. [1:41:35] So I'll go over six and a half wins on Maryland.”

Maryland finished the 2024 regular season 4-8, well below the 6.5 win total (ESPN). (Maryland regular season: 4-8)

“[1:43:19] Oklahoma State win total at 8.5 this year, [1:43:22] and it's juiced to the over at plus 125.”

Oklahoma State finished the 2024 regular season 3-9, well below the 8.5 win total (ESPN). (Oklahoma State regular season: 3-9)

“[1:44:11] Oklahoma State would be my pick to win the Big 12 I think they the best team I think they get the job done I like the Cowboys quite a bit this year”

Arizona State beat Iowa State 45-19 to win the 2024 Big 12 Championship; Oklahoma State did not win the conference (ESPN). (2024 Big 12 champion: Arizona State)

“[1:45:56] Nick, we're saving the best one for last. [1:45:58] I really like USC over 7.5 wins this year.”

USC finished the 2024 regular season 6-6, below the 7.5 win total (ESPN). (USC regular season: 6-6)

“[1:50:06] So week one, as you mentioned, I like West Virginia in this spot, plus the 10.5. [1:50:11] I would grab it now because I like getting the hook in this spot.”

WVU 12, PSU 34 — Penn State beat West Virginia 34-12 on August 31, 2024; West Virginia's margin of -22 busts +10.5 (ESPN box score).

“[1:58:43] I think Milrow's prime for a big year, so I like him at 10-1.”

Travis Hunter (Colorado) won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Jalen Milroe did not win (Heisman.com). (2024 Heisman winner: Travis Hunter)

“[2:00:14] If his team has a big season, 100 to 1 is a really good price. [2:00:18] So I like Kyron Drones, quarterback for Virginia Tech, as my long shot this season.”

Travis Hunter (Colorado) won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Kyron Drones did not win (Heisman.com). (2024 Heisman winner: Travis Hunter)

“[2:41:04] So I think Clanton's a good option this week. [2:41:06] I like him at 25 to 1.”

Jhonattan Vegas won the 2024 3M Open with a closing birdie; Luke Clanton did not win (PGA Tour). (2024 3M Open winner: Jhonattan Vegas)

“[2:41:08] And then Emiliano Grillo's another guy that I really like. [2:41:10] Very accurate off the tee. [2:41:12] Tyler mentioned there's a lot of water on this course. [2:41:14] Like 13 of the 18 holes have water hazards. [2:41:17] So you got to avoid that if you want to have any success. [2:41:20] Grillo's played here four times, three top 10 finishes for him. [2:41:24] So he's got excellent course history. [2:41:26] He's 50 to 1 this week.”

Jhonattan Vegas won the 2024 3M Open with a closing birdie; Emiliano Grillo did not win (PGA Tour). (2024 3M Open winner: Jhonattan Vegas)

“I think Minnesota's worth a shot here at plus 200 to win this division.”

Cleveland won the 2024 AL Central; Minnesota did not (ESPN). (2024 AL Central champion: Cleveland Guardians)

“I like Aaron Nola over six and a half strikeouts tonight at plus 105.”

PIT 8, PHI 7 — Aaron Nola struck out 4 batters in 5 innings against the Pirates, below the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Nola: 4 strikeouts)

“I do like the over in Rays and Yankees tonight of over seven and a half.”

NYY 6, TB 1 — New York Yankees beat Tampa Bay Rays 6-1, combined 7 runs, over 7.5 busts (ESPN).

“I like the first five under four in that Orioles and Rangers game as well.”

BAL 9, TEX 1 — Baltimore scored 6 runs and Texas 1 through five innings (7 combined), above the first-five under 4 (ESPN box score). (First five: Baltimore 6, Texas 1; total 7)

“I like Kyle Harrison under four and a half strikeouts tonight.”

COL 7, SF 3 — Kyle Harrison struck out 6 over five innings against the Rockies, above the under-4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Kyle Harrison: 6 strikeouts)

“I like your Reed Shepard look. I think he's the best shooter in the draft. I think Houston's a really good fit for him as well. I also like Dalton Connect going to the Lakers at plus 900. I think everybody would agree. That was a really good fit. That was a really good pick for the Lakers. Obviously a team in win-now mode, and they're getting a guy. So many teams nowadays in the NBA want to take these 18-, 19-year-olds, project long-term, and hope they strike goal with something. Kinect's obviously a guy who's more mature. He's more grown up. He's more years of college under his belt. And he's an elite-level scorer. He could score at the rim, mid-range, three-point shot. So I think Dalt Kinect's another guy at plus 900 that I really like as well.”

Spurs guard Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award, not Dalton Knecht (ESPN). (Winner: Stephon Castle (Spurs))

“Again, I kind of like the Guardians tonight, Jeremy. I just think it's a tough spot for Tampa coming off that big emotional win last night, the Yankees, the way that that game ended with the over-the-shoulder catch and it coming down to the final out. Cleveland's coming in. Again, Vegas is kind of expecting a lower scoring game. It's 7.5. If that's the case, I'm going to lean on that Cleveland bullpen to get us to the finish line. So I'll take the Guardians plus 110 against the Rays.”

2-0 — Rays beat Guardians 2-0 on July 12, 2024 (ESPN box score); Cleveland lost outright.

“you on that under in Houston and Texas what about NL Central battle Cubs and the Cardinals I really like St. Louis tonight Jeremy minus one and a half I just think getting a Cubs team off of a huge sweep in Baltimore first time the O's have gotten swept at home since 2021 I think the Cubs it's a lot like what we saw with the Reds, right? Reds went into New York feeling good about themselves. They swept in, then they come back home and they get swept by the Tigers. Well, now here are the Cubs. They go to Baltimore, get swept. Now they go on the road to the Cardinals with a lot of momentum, maybe feeling a little too good about themselves. I'll take St. Louis on the run line tonight with Sonny Gray on the mound, plus 100. I like your call there, but I'm going to go with the over.”

5-1 — Cubs beat Cardinals 5-1 on July 12, 2024 (ESPN box score); St. Louis lost outright and did not cover -1.5.

“Hopefully Ludwig O'Bear can get us a win at the Scottish Open. And, again, Alcaraz continues to climb his line against Djokovic as he continues to be a larger and larger favorite. Minus 145 against Novak, who is plus 120. I'll take the oversets on that match if it's anything 39.5 or below. Give me the over there. And England to win the Euro 2024.”

Carlos Alcaraz beat Novak Djokovic 6-2, 6-2, 7-6(4) in the 2024 Wimbledon men's final -- 29 total games, under the 39.5 line, so the over lost (ATP Tour). (6-2, 6-2, 7-6(4); 29 total games)

“But I did take England and then I took the draw as well. I mean, it's just like England is just the perfect draw team, whether it's nil nil one one, whatever it may be. I feel like we're getting extra time in this game. So I took that plus 180. But England, England to advance. That was my favorite bet. I really like them today.”

England 2-1 Netherlands — England beat Netherlands 2-1 in regulation in the Euro 2024 semifinal, so the draw-after-regulation bet lost (ESPN).

“to be the right number uh spain 140 england england 120 oh yeah i'm gonna bet england england plus 120 it's coming it's coming home it's coming home it certainly is god spain is so good i just texted one of my good buddies he's uh he's getting married in october and i said And, Scotty, England's going to – I mean, the year of your wedding, they're going to get it done for you. So I'm rocking with England. Ken, I mean, you know I'm a March Madness guy. They are survive and advance to the end. It's just what they're doing, man. What I think makes it such a good final is Spain has the look of a champion, but England's just got – they just got the vibes of a champion. They're just doing all the – I thought you were about to say the heart of a champion. I thought you were about to say they have the look of a champion and England has the heart of a champion. I swear I thought that's what you were going to say. The look and the heart. No. That would have been pretty good of me. But no. They got the vibes. So we'll see what happens. I'm going to rock with England in the final.”

Spain 2-1 England — Spain beat England 2-1 (Williams, Oyarzabal 87') in the Euro 2024 final, so England did not win the tournament (ESPN).

“I'm betting to draw.”

Spain 2-1 England — Spain beat England 2-1 in regulation in the Euro 2024 final, so the draw-after-regulation bet lost (ESPN).

“and and remembers all this stuff it just makes it so much more fun i just i all so england they never won the euros before and like they are famous for like breaking the hearts of their fans so many times Absolutely And honestly I think I going to bet England to win in penalty kicks because it just so poetic for them to win the European Championship for the first time and do it in PKs All right, whatever you say. I'm just letting you know. That's what I'm doing. I'm betting them to lift the cup. I'm betting to draw. and I'm betting them to win in PKs as well.”

Spain 2-1 England — Spain beat England 2-1 in regulation in the Euro 2024 final; the match ended in regulation with no penalty shootout (ESPN).

“went first yesterday uh peach the your entrant into the you better you bet wednesday home run parlay is who it's going to be william contraris for the milwaukee brewers uh it's plus 525 at that mgm he's going to be my guy though i love any time i'm getting a right-handed hitter against a left-handed pitcher three for five against perez in his career ken the reason i love it though and the reason i like the brewers tonight perez faced the brewers about two months ago he pitched five innings gave up 11 hits nine earned runs and five homers so gave up a ton of long balls to the brewers when he faced them uh last so i like milwaukee i like contraris that's my that's my entrant into the home run william william contraris that's pj's entry uh tyler you were the only one”

William Contreras went 1-for-5 with a double, no home run, as Brewers beat Pirates 9-0 (ESPN box score). (MIL 9, PIT 0; Contreras 1-for-5, no HR)

“but I like the Yanks tonight and I'm going right back to that athletics and Red Sox over. They scored a billion runs yesterday that over cashed in like the second inning it's 10 again today balls flying out of fenway socks bats are hot i'll i'll take the over 10 as well i love it i love that stuff um all right so we have a couple things we have to do”

OAK 5, BOS 2 — Athletics beat Red Sox 5-2, combined 7 runs, under the total of 10 (ESPN box score).

“All right, very nice. I'm also with Tyler. I like Ludwig quite a bit. This week, he was my first bet, you know, looking at this course and doing the research. Tyler's right. You want guys who are long off the tee that can make putts, but you also want guys that are accurate. Anytime you're dealing with any of these courses out in Scotland, like it's tough to handicap because in the past, the winning score at this event has been 22 under par. And then another year it was seven under par. And the great defense is always going to be the win. So you just never know what the forecast is going to look like. I always want a guy that I know will be able to drive the ball and that kind of stuff. That's a good iron player. And obviously Ludwig being from Sweden grew up in this stuff. He knows how to play Lynx golf. So I think he's a good bet this week. I'm with Tyler. I like him 16 to one.”

Robert MacIntyre won the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open at -18; Ludvig Åberg tied 4th at -14, did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Robert MacIntyre -18; Åberg T4 -14)

“Tommy Fleetwood's another guy that I'll never bet Tommy to win, but I certainly like him top 20, top 10 as well. He's played here three of the last four. He has finished second, 26th, fourth, and sixth in three of his four trips. He's had three top six finishes. So very good course history. Tommy's usually a guy that plays Lynx golf very, very well. I'm on him.”

Tommy Fleetwood tied for 34th at -9 in the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open, outside the top 20 (ESPN leaderboard). (Fleetwood T34 -9)

“Tommy Fleetwood's another guy that I'll never bet Tommy to win, but I certainly like him top 20, top 10 as well. He's played here three of the last four. He has finished second, 26th, fourth, and sixth in three of his four trips. He's had three top six finishes. So very good course history. Tommy's usually a guy that plays Lynx golf very, very well. I'm on him.”

Tommy Fleetwood tied for 34th at -9 in the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open, outside the top 10 (ESPN leaderboard). (Fleetwood T34 -9)

“Then my long shot that I like is Matthieu Pavon is a guy that I would look at. Great iron player with a good short game as well. And I'm also, Ken, looking at this week, obviously since it's Lynx golf, you need guys that are good lag putters, guys that are also can putt on kind of slower conditions if the wind is picking up kind of thing. Pavone is good in both of those areas. And just looking at his season and, like, some of the big events this year that we've had when we've had, like, been excellent in majors, right? And also, not only that, he's been good on coastline courses as well. He won at Torrey Pines. He was third at Pebble Beach. And as you mentioned, tied for 12th at the Masters, fifth at the U.S. Open. His last event, he was tied for 16th at the Travelers. So he's been good at events, majors, coastline courses. He's checked off a lot of boxes for me, 80-1 to win this week. So I like him this week.”

Robert MacIntyre won the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open at -18; Matthieu Pavon missed the cut, did not win (ESPN leaderboard). (Winner: Robert MacIntyre -18; Pavon missed cut (144))

“thought process, Rob. I did just take the Yankees live at plus three and a half when they were down five nothing. So I like them at plus three and a half and they're trailing five two. Again, for everything that you were just talking about, it's tough to get swept. I know the Yankees are struggling right now, But, you know, I don't know if they're going to come back and win the game, but I was certainly willing to take a chance that they would make this thing close. This is what they have done in the last, like, two games in this series, both games against Cincinnati. The Reds have gotten off to a start. Yankees make a comeback in, like, the last three or four innings, and they lose by a run. So same thing might happen again tonight. We will see what happens.”

Reds 8, Yankees 4 — Cincinnati beat New York 8-4 on July 4, 2024 to complete a sweep; Yankees lost by 4, so live +3.5 did not cover (ESPN box score).

“You bring up the Cleveland Browns. That's the next team I was going to bring up with you. Because, Rob, I do think they're going to win that division. I like Cleveland quite a bit. And I'm by no means like a Deshaun Watson guy. I think he's going to do a complete 180 this season and be like what he was in Houston. Cleveland last year, though, they managed to make the postseason when 26% of their payroll was on IR. So a bunch of their team was hurt. And now they're going to be back relatively healthy. We'll see what Nick Chubb looks like off of that gruesome leg injury. Their offensive line is going to be great. Defensively, I know the home road splits were a little bit scary, but they were so good at home. If they can just manage some of that and then be half as good as that on the road, they're going to be fine. Stefanski's a really good coach. I just think there's a lot to like with Cleveland with that defense. And if Watson can just be somewhat capable with them, you bring over Judy to go along with Amari Cooper. So I like the Browns this year. I just like the value with the Browns at plus 550. They're not going to have to play as difficult to schedule as Baltimore will. So I do like the Browns in that division, Rob. I think they would be my bet to win the AFC North at the price at plus 550.”

The Baltimore Ravens won the 2024 AFC North at 12-5; Cleveland finished last at 3-14 (ESPN final standings). (Ravens 12-5; Browns 3-14)

“And then also give me Argentina to win to nil tonight against Ecuador and get that close to equal even money. I think Argentina wins. I don't think they can see it any goals. They have looked like the best team so far, and I expect a pretty solid performance tonight. against Ecuador.”

Argentina 1, Ecuador 1 (Argentina won penalties 4-2) — Argentina and Ecuador drew 1-1 through regulation on July 4, 2024, with Argentina advancing 4-2 on penalties, so Argentina did not win to nil (ESPN match report).

“Look, I can't go back to the well with the Cubs one more time. Rob, this is one of the hardest things to do in betting is when there's a stinky line. You go with one team. They let you down. I just can't go back to the well. So I'm staying away from that game. I do have a play in Orioles, Marin. that I do like. I'm going Dean Kremer over two and a half walks at plus 140. I do think he's going to struggle a little bit with command. He's been on the IL for close to two months. Coming back, I just think he's going to be a little bit rusty, potentially, so I like the price, plus 140. I can see him issuing about three or four walks tonight, so I do like that.”

Dean Kremer walked 2 batters over 5.0 innings against Seattle, below the 2.5 line. (Dean Kremer: 5.0 IP, 2 BB)

“I think the Rangers are getting ready to go on a little bit of a roll. Wyatt Lankford's heating up. Their offense is starting to hit just a bit. Talked about it with Danny. They're hoping that they can just hang on here so that maybe they can get to Grom in the second half. I'll take the Rangers minus one and a half at plus 135 tonight against the Padres.”

6-4 — Texas lost to San Diego 6-4, so the Rangers -1.5 spread did not cover.

“And then in golf, Rob Brown, my card this week. Nick Dunlap's a guy that I like at 33 to 1. Patton Kazire at 100-1 as well. Dunlap's a guy that really does well on birdie fest type courses. And he's already won this year on the PGA Tour. I think there's a chance he could do it again. And Patton Kazire at 100-1.”

Davis Thompson won the 2024 John Deere Classic; Nick Dunlap missed the cut at -3. (Nick Dunlap: missed cut (139, -3))

“Nick Dunlap's a guy that I like at 33 to 1. Patton Kazire at 100-1 as well. Dunlap's a guy that really does well on birdie fest type courses. And he's already won this year on the PGA Tour. I think there's a chance he could do it again. And Patton Kazire at 100-1. Very accurate iron player. That's what I'm looking for this week. Wide fairways, going to be a ton of birdies. Give me the guy who's going to give himself the best birdie looks. I'll go with Kazire at 100-1.”

Davis Thompson won the 2024 John Deere Classic; Patton Kizzire missed the cut at -1. (Patton Kizzire: missed cut (141, -1))

“And Patton Kazire at 100-1. Very accurate iron player. That's what I'm looking for this week. Wide fairways, going to be a ton of birdies. Give me the guy who's going to give himself the best birdie looks. I'll go with Kazire at 100-1. He's plus 350 to finish in the top 20. I agree with Tyler on Maverick McNealy”

Patton Kizzire missed the cut at the John Deere Classic and did not finish in the top 20. (Patton Kizzire: missed cut (141, -1))

“He's plus 350 to finish in the top 20. I agree with Tyler on Maverick McNealy I also like Denny McCarthy this week, top 20 and top 10 for both of those guys. Excellent putters, and that's what I'm looking for. If you're not an accurate iron player, you better be a really good putter so you can make a ton of birdies, and those are the guys that tend to do well at the John Deere Classic. So that is what I am looking at this week.”

Maverick McNealy missed the cut at the John Deere Classic and did not finish in the top 20. (Maverick McNealy: missed cut (142, +2))

“He's plus 350 to finish in the top 20. I agree with Tyler on Maverick McNealy I also like Denny McCarthy this week, top 20 and top 10 for both of those guys. Excellent putters, and that's what I'm looking for. If you're not an accurate iron player, you better be a really good putter so you can make a ton of birdies, and those are the guys that tend to do well at the John Deere Classic. So that is what I am looking at this week.”

Maverick McNealy missed the cut at the John Deere Classic and did not finish in the top 10. (Maverick McNealy: missed cut (142, +2))

“So Kansas is very intriguing to me. And then Kansas State, Rob, one of my picks for Heisman Trophy this year is Avery Johnson, the quarterback there in the Little Apple in Manhattan. That dude, you talk about dual threat, man. He's got a cannon, and he is a speedster. He played in their bowl game. And, again, Chris Kleiman, you know, when he was at North Dakota State, he had a guy by the name of Trey Lance, And I'm not saying Avery Johnson is Trey Lance because Trey Lance went very high in the NFL draft. But in terms of just arm talent and speed, like Avery Johnson is the kind of quarterback that can lead Kansas State to the college football playoff. That can win them the Big 12. That can win the Heisman Trophy. Like he's that talented. There's a reason why he's 25 to 1. So both schools in the state of Kansas, man, have some really electrifying quarterbacks.”

Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy, so Avery Johnson did not win (Heisman Trust official). (2024 Heisman winner: Travis Hunter)

“As for me in this game, one thing to jump out would be for the game to be tied at halftime. I think it could be 0-0. I know you like both teams to score. I do think Argentina is going to score in the second half. Maybe Ecuador can get you a goal as well. But, look, we know Ecuador's gameplay. And they're going to come in here and they're going to park the bus. And they want this thing to go to extra time. And they want this thing to go to penalties. Argentina's got way more world-class talent than they do. The great equalizer would just bring these things to PKs where anything could happen. And Rob, I'm looking at the Euros. And I'm looking at all these big favorites. And I'm looking at what England did against Slovakia. And what Portugal did against Slovenia. And how these heavy underdogs were able to hang around. Now Argentina's looked better than those two teams did. but I do think Ecuador can keep this thing close for the first 45. So I'll take the tie at the intermission at plus 110.”

1-0 — Argentina led Ecuador 1-0 at halftime of their Copa America 2024 quarterfinal, so the tied-at-halftime bet lost (ESPN match report).

“Yeah, I mean, you are getting plus 160 on Venezuela. I'm just going to lay the juice and take them at minus 125 to qualify, you know, so that if Canada does make this thing interesting, then I'm getting Venezuela at a good price to advance. So I agree with you. I do think they move on. But I think Canada could potentially keep it close.”

1-1 (Canada won 4-3 on penalties) — Canada beat Venezuela 4-3 on penalties after a 1-1 regulation draw in the Copa America 2024 quarterfinal, so Venezuela did not qualify (ESPN match report).

“I kind of want to bet Brazil just to qualify and for them to advance at minus 120 because I do think this is going to be a low game I think it either 0 I think it going to be 1 going into extra time I think Brazil's been a little underwhelming, and I think people look at Uruguay and they perceive them to be better than they actually are. And look, I won't pretend like I'm an expert on their soccer team. I've only watched a couple matches. I watched their entire match against the U.S. But I'm going to be honest, Rob, didn't really impress me all that much. I know they weren't playing like some of their full guys. They're going with their starters. Like Nunez is a really good player. But Brazil's been underwhelming this tournament. I still think, though, they're good enough to get past Uruguay, and I think you're getting them at a good price as well. So I think the upset is going to be very trendy in this game. I think a lot of people are going to like Uruguay. I'm not one of them. I'll take Brazil to qualify and make it to the next round.”

0-0 (Uruguay won 4-2 on penalties) — Uruguay beat Brazil 4-2 on penalties after a scoreless regulation draw in the Copa America 2024 quarterfinal, so Brazil did not qualify (ESPN match report).

“this is it. It's going to get ugly. Rob, this is my, this is my Turkey and Austria game right here, baby. We're going with Panama and Columbia to tie. I'm not calling the outright upset. I think there's a chance, but we're going to go with the draw in 90 minutes at plus 400 for a couple reasons. One, you and I know everybody is going to be betting an Argentina-Colombia money line parlay in regulation at those prices, right? Two heavy favorites, put them together, get yourself something close to plus money. But the handicap is very similar to Austria and Turkey. When you're a country like Colombia, it's not one of the big dogs historically, and you're not used to laying big prices like this in a knockout type round, that's when I start getting nervous. Now, Colombia's been very impressive. They obviously, the U.S., made Brazil very tough the other day. But I think Panama could keep it close. I think maybe Colombia pulls it out, potentially an extra time or PKs, but give me the draw, plus 400 for Panama.”

5-0 — Colombia routed Panama 5-0 in their Copa America 2024 quarterfinal, so the draw-in-regulation bet lost (ESPN box score).

“Like right now, Spain's plus three 50 Germany's plus four 50. I just bet both. And then whoever wins that game, I think that's, who's going to win the tournament. So we'll see what happens.”

Germany was eliminated by Spain in the Euro 2024 quarterfinal on July 5, 2024 and did not win the tournament.

“Rob, I did just bet some Slovenia during the break at plus 150, my friend. If they're out here saving penalty kicks on Ronaldo like this, I think this is how it ends. I told you before we came on air, we're going to penalty kicks. It's going to come down to the foot of Ronaldo once more, and I think he's going to miss again. And that is how his international career is going to end So I all in right now baby on Slovenia They doing it for Luca By the way Woj just reported that it is officially official that Clay Thompson is a Dallas Maverick. So you know what? Luke is having himself a Monday, July 1st, Rob Brown. It's all coming home. I'm on Slovenia. Will you ride with me or are you staying away?”

0-0 (Portugal won 3-0 on penalties) — Portugal and Slovenia finished 0-0 after extra time; Portugal won 3-0 on penalties to advance, eliminating Slovenia.

“I like him at plus 145.”

0-1 — The United States lost to Uruguay 1-0 in regulation on July 1, 2024.

“I'm taking him at plus 250.”

0-1 — Christian Pulisic did not score as Uruguay beat the United States 1-0; the only goal was scored by Mathias Olivera. (Christian Pulisic: 0 goals)

“Rob, you're scared because you know exactly how this goes. You know exactly how this goes. There are a ton of American soccer fans that are in the same headspace that you are tonight going into this game where you want U.S. to lose baseball. You want Berhalter gone. So you know exactly how this is going to go. They're going to play inspired. They're going to look great. They're probably going to end up winning this game. That's just how it goes. Just how it goes. So I'm fully expecting the U.S. to win this game. I like him at plus 145. I also like Christian Pulisic, Captain America, to score a goal. I'm taking him at plus 250. But, Rob Brad, I think there's going to be some entertainment tonight. I think we're going to get some goals. so I like the U.S. and Uruguay both to score at minus 115 and I like the over 2.5 at plus 115 as well as seeing a lot of stuff in the chat.”

0-1 — Only Uruguay scored in its 1-0 win over the United States, so both teams to score lost.

“I think we're going to get some goals.”

0-1 — The United States and Uruguay combined for just 1 goal (Uruguay 1, United States 0), under the 2.5 total.

“the Reed Sheppard play I absolutely love I mean as soon as he plays an NBA game he's already going to be one of the better shooters in the NBA he was that good at Kentucky shot like 50 percent from three for them so he's a knockdown shooter in the NBA game where it's much more spread out and obviously the era that we live in with teams shooting so many threes you doke as a great offensive coach I I think Shepard's a great play so I totally agree with you there at 11-1 Connect, I think, is a good look.”

Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award (92 of 100 first-place votes), so the Reed Sheppard futures bet lost. (2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)

“I like the Red Sox tonight. On my show earlier today, send it in right here on the Beck UL Network, 1 to 1, 30 p.m. Eastern time. I had Peter Appel on my show. Does a really good job handicapping baseball. And the Red Sox first five on the money line was his favorite play of the day. So I think I'll tell Peter on the Sox tonight to get off to a hot start.”

SD 9, BOS 1 (through 5 innings) — The Padres scored 9 runs in the top of the 5th to lead 9-1 through five innings on their way to a 9-2 win, so the Red Sox first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score).

“but I think it's a great game for a same-game parlay over. I took Steven Kwan over 2.5 hits, runs, and RBIs as well. Being a leadoff guy, I think he gets a couple hits, scores a run, maybe gets us an RBI or two as well. So I'm on that, but I'm with you, Jeremy.”

Steven Kwan went 0-for-2 with 0 runs and 0 RBIs in the Guardians-Royals game, finishing at 0 combined hits+runs+RBIs, well under 2.5 (ESPN box score). (Steven Kwan: 0 H, 0 R, 0 RBI)

“In Twins and D-backs, Jeremy, I'm actually going to go with the Yurfi. Anytime we got a guy making their major league debut, I always tend to like that. Just because, like, put yourself in their shoes, right? I mean, they dream their whole life of getting to the bigs. It's a long process. You go through the minor leagues, you finally get there, and you're just going to be over-amped, right? I mean, we all talk about how much pitchers tend to struggle a lot of times in that first inning. So you can only imagine for a guy making his MLB debut, how amped he must be, how anxious he must be to get out there. And, you know, he's facing some pretty good hitters, too, in the D-backs order going against Marte and Carroll. So anytime I usually see that, Jeremy, I tend to always like a Yerfee. So I'll ride with that today. Kind of also want to take Minnesota. I think it is a little bit interesting that they are a pick-em today with a guy making his MLB debut going up against Jordan Montgomery. I know the D backs are beat up and I know the twins are playing better right now But I just feel like D back should probably be favorite at home today So the fact that's a pick them would probably leave Minnesota But the your fee in that game is the play that I like this”

Twins and Diamondbacks both scored 0 in the 1st inning of their June 27, 2024 game, so the run-in-1st-inning bet lost (ESPN box score). (1st inning: Twins 0, Diamondbacks 0)

“I think I like the under in the U.S. game tonight. If there's one thing that stood out to me about both tournaments, it's that a lot of the big brand name countries have really struggled early on in this tournament. Argentina, you know, won their first game 2-0, then their last game 1-0. Brazil tied Costa Rica 0-0. U.S. scored a goal in like the third minute and then only scored one the rest of the game against Bolivia, who's like the worst team in Copa. Then on the Euro side, like England hasn't been good. France hasn't been good. Portugal lost outright the other day. So a lot of these big countries have struggled so far. Uruguay as well. They only won 1-0 against Panama in their first game. Blind betting these unders, Jeremy, have usually been the way to go. So if I see really a 2.5 in any of these games and I'm getting a decent price, probably going to lean that way. So minus 110 for the under 2.5 USA Panama today. I think that is where I'm going.”

Panama 2, United States 1 — Panama beat the United States 2-1 in Copa America group play (3 combined goals); under 2.5 busted (ESPN match report).

“cubs as that game is tied at three and then possibly a big upset brewing with the white socks up one nothing right now on the braves i just took a little bit of the braves plus 160 on the money line against the White Sox. I couldn't resist giving me nine outs to work with against the White Sox. I'll gladly take it in a 1-0.”

White Sox 1, Braves 0 — The White Sox beat the Braves 1-0 on Luis Robert Jr.'s homer, so the Braves +160 live moneyline lost.

• Atlanta Braves moneyline — live bet
• United States vs Panama draw
• Uruguay moneyline

“So yeah, Jeremy, I took Atlanta live plus the 160, and then I took a parlay with them. And then U.S. and Panama is getting ready to start in 13 minutes in the Copa. America's one of two games today, U.S., Panama, and then Uruguay, Bolivia. I took Braves' money line plus 160. I took the draw between U.S. and Panama at plus 380, and then I took Uruguay on the money line as well at minus 550. Jeremy, you know everybody's betting that Uruguay-U.S. money line parlay. Somebody's messing it up, and I think it's going to be the United States because Panama played Uruguay pretty close the other night. It was a 1-0 game. Bolivia's like the worst team in the tournament. U.S. scored a goal in the first three minutes. After that, they only got one more goal. I think this could be like a 0-0, 0-0 game tonight, 1-1. So I think Panama with the draw with U.S. plus 380, pretty decent value. So took a little stab with that.”

The Braves lost 1-0 to the White Sox, Panama beat the U.S. 2-1 rather than drawing, and Uruguay beat Bolivia 5-0; the Braves and USA legs lost, busting the three-leg parlay. (White Sox 1, Braves 0; Panama 2, United States 1; Uruguay 5, Bolivia 0)

“Another bet I like making in these soccer games with these big favorites on the money line to win is for the team to win to nil. So the U.S. to win and to shut out Panama in this game is plus 100. So if the U.S. win 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, whatever it is, you win your bet. I can't see Panama scoring. Maybe they score one goal, but I'm really banking on like a nil-nil draw tonight. I think Uruguay against Bolivia, that's another good way to bet it as well.”

Panama 2, United States 1 — Panama beat the United States 2-1 on a late Jose Fajardo goal, so the U.S. did not win to nil.

“I gave out the lively prop that I like. I also like Sam Hauser over a half assist tonight at minus 110. He's had one assist in two of the three games so far this series. But why I like it, Jeremy, is because coming off of game three, he had three three-pointers. And anytime Hauser's on the floor, the defense is going to know that. They're going to know to shade towards him. All he's going to want to do is shoot threes. But he wasn't hitting the first couple games of this series. Now that he's starting to get confidence, I think they could try and run him off the line a little bit. That could create some opportunities to throw some passes to his teammates. So I'll go over a half assist. Just need one tonight from Sam Hauser at minus 110.”

DAL 122, BOS 84 — Sam Hauser recorded 0 assists in Game 4, missing the over 0.5 line (ESPN box score). (Sam Hauser: 0 assists)

“I think the Rockies are in a great spot, so I'm definitely going to ride with that one. Yeah, I'm on the Rockies with you. Just if I see a team like the Rockies in a pick-em, when we did the show last week, Jeremy, we had the White Sox in a pick-em, and we're like, now, how are the White Sox, It's a team that have lost 14 in a row. How are they a pickup? Well, what do they do? They went and beat the Red Sox.”

PIT 5, COL 2 — Pittsburgh beat Colorado 5-2; the Rockies moneyline busts (ESPN box score).

“I also like the Blue Jays tonight, minus 145 against the Guardians and Logan Allen. Look, the Guardians are having a great season. They're 20 games over 500, and yet here they are as a dog against the Blue Jays, so I'll take them, minus 145. Give me Manny Machado props against Sean Minaya tonight,”