Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year
“I gotta go with Bosa even at 12”
Myles Garrett won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors, beating T.J. Watt 165-140 in voting points; Nick Bosa did not win (ESPN). (AP Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett (165 pts) over T.J. Watt (140 pts))
Tua Tagovailoa to win MVP
“But I have to go too, especially at 18.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award with 49 of 50 first-place votes; Tua Tagovailoa did not win (ESPN). (AP Most Valuable Player: Lamar Jackson, 49 of 50 first-place votes)
Anthony Richardson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“but I have to go I have to go Richardson just because I think there's an electric element to his game”
C.J. Stroud won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 48 of 50 first-place votes (246 points) over Puka Nacua (154 points); Anthony Richardson did not win (ESPN). (AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud, 246 pts (48 first-place votes) over Puka Nacua, 154 pts)
Saquon Barkley to lead the NFL in rushing
“Like, the Giants, I'm going to go with Saquon because I can see the Giants' plan”
Christian McCaffrey led the NFL with 1,459 rushing yards in the 2023 regular season; Saquon Barkley did not lead the league (NFL.com official stats). (2023 rushing leader: Christian McCaffrey, 1,459 yards)
Dallas Cowboys to win Super Bowl LVIII
“I guess I have to go with Dallas.”
25-22 — The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 in overtime in Super Bowl LVIII on Feb 11, 2024; the Dallas Cowboys were not in the game and did not win the title (ESPN).
USC Trojans to win the national championship
“i've talked a lot about usc to this point yeah uh in our in our previous shows and i still think they're worth a bet”
34-13 — Michigan defeated Washington 34-13 to win the 2023-24 CFP National Championship on 2024-01-08; USC did not win the title.
Georgia Bulldogs to win the national championship
“but really hard not to go with georgia”
34-13 — Michigan defeated Washington 34-13 to win the 2023-24 CFP National Championship on 2024-01-08; Georgia did not win the title.
Seattle Mariners to win the AL West (+275)
“I mean, yes, Seattle at 275. It's not like it's huge odds, but when you look at the standings, there's absolutely no reason that basically, like these three teams should all be plus 110 in my mind.”
The Houston Astros, not the Mariners, won the 2023 AL West on the final day of the regular season via a season-series tiebreaker over Texas after both finished 90-72; Seattle did not win the division.
Over 6.5
“I had the over seven. Now you can get it at six and a half. I still like that.”
NYY 6, TB 2 — Yankees beat Rays 6-2 (combined 8 runs) on 2023-08-25, clearing the over 6.5 total (ESPN box score).
New York Yankees moneyline (+115)
“And I like the Yankees on the money line. Plus 115, they were 110 earlier.”
NYY 6, TB 2 — New York Yankees beat Tampa Bay Rays 6-2 on 2023-08-25, so the Yankees moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
Texas Rangers moneyline
“We have the Rangers on the money line. I just see them at even money at Minnesota. I realize they're on the road, not the best pitching matchup, but the Rangers are just a better team. I'll take them at even money.”
MIN 12, TEX 2 — Minnesota Twins beat Texas Rangers 12-2 on 2023-08-25, so the Rangers moneyline busted (ESPN box score).
Nick Castellanos home run (+375)
“And then in the Phillies game tonight against those St Louis Cardinals Nick Castellanos home run at plus 375”
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a double (0 HR) in the Phillies' 7-2 win over the Cardinals on 2023-08-25, so the home run prop missed (ESPN box score). (0 HR (1-for-4, one double))
Bryce Harper over 1.5 total bases
“And Bryce Harper, over one and a half total bases.”
Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a triple (4 total bases) in the Phillies' 7-2 win over the Cardinals on 2023-08-25, clearing the over 1.5 total bases line (ESPN box score). (4 total bases (2-for-4, one triple))
Baltimore Ravens moneyline
“I'm getting on that, speaking of Baltimore, getting on that Ravens train with you, man. They get it again. They start the new streak up.”
TB 26, BAL 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Baltimore Ravens 26-20 in their 2023 preseason finale on 2023-08-26, so the Ravens moneyline busted (ESPN).
Washington Commanders moneyline
“I'm also going to take the Washington Commanders to get another dog, to get another win.”
WSH 21, CIN 19 — Washington Commanders beat the Cincinnati Bengals 21-19 in their 2023 preseason finale on 2023-08-26, so the Commanders moneyline cashed (ESPN).
Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LVIII (+800)
“I am happy at pick two to be taking the Philadelphia Eagles at eight to one.”
25-22 — Kansas City defeated San Francisco 25-22 in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII; the Philadelphia Eagles did not reach the game (ESPN box score).
Trevor Lawrence to win NFL MVP (+1600)
“I am going to go with the NFL MVP award here And I am going to go on the track record of a head coach His second year weak division Give me Trevor Lawrence, AP NFL MVP. Doug Peterson did it once with Carson Wentz. Now Carson got hurt and didn't actually win the MVP, but there's an argument to be made he still could have. And I just see a team that's going to have the big gaudy record. You know, you look at every other division in the AFC. We talked about what a gauntlet the AFC is. The MVP usually goes to the number one seat. I think there's a really good chance that's Jacksonville because they have like six automatic wins on their schedule. And you go from there. Trevor Lawrence, we saw the step he took year one under Doug Peterson after what was essentially a redshirt year. That rookie year was fake. We all saw what happened in Jacksonville. I think now year three, yeah, we could see him take another huge step. And the Jags as a team take a huge step, and that could lead to him being the MVP. That's 16 to 1.”
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson won the AP 2023 NFL Most Valuable Player award, receiving 49 of 50 first-place votes; Trevor Lawrence did not win (NFL.com award announcement). (NFL MVP: Lamar Jackson)
Quinnen Williams to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year (+2500)
“I am going to stay on the defensive side of the ball. And this is something I think maybe we talked about a bit last week. But if you believe in the Jets while Aaron Rodgers and their young playmakers are huge, it starts with that defense, man. And I think we could have, potentially, the new Aaron Donald on the block in Quentin Williams. And I like him as D player of the year at 25-1.”
Myles Garrett (Browns) won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award, beating out T.J. Watt; Quinnen Williams did not win. (2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett)
Christian McCaffrey to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year (+1600)
“You have the ultimate weapon, basically. It's 16 to 1. I'm taking Christian McCaffrey, Offensive Player of the Year.”
Christian McCaffrey (49ers) won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, beating out Tyreek Hill. (2023 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Christian McCaffrey)
Justin Jefferson to lead NFL in regular-season receptions (+650)
“any other future that that that interests you, whether it's most regular season pass touchdowns, most receiving touchdowns, any other thing that you're just looking at before we go on this break that you would definitely better. Yeah, we touched on this a bit last season. Justin Jefferson is not the fit or last week. Justin Jefferson is not the favorite for most regular season receptions at plus 650. He ran away with that and targets last year, chasing Cupper ahead of him. I like feeling and cook out of the offense. I don't know how Justin Jefferson doesn't have the most catches.”
CeeDee Lamb led the NFL with 135 receptions in the 2023 regular season, not Justin Jefferson (Pro-Football-Reference/ESPN player stats). (2023 NFL receptions leader: CeeDee Lamb, 135)