lost
Detroit Lions
“I kind of like the Lions to go up into Green Bay and win.”
GB 27, DET 13 — Packers beat Lions 27-13; the Lions moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
Brian Baldinger
Guest · 5-3 on settled picks
Record
5-3
Cash %
62.5%
Net units
+1.55u
ROI
+19.3%
CLV evidence: 7 of 8 supported standalone picks have a pregame quote
2 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 0 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 1 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.
Quote timing: 6 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 1 older than 60 minutes · 0 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.
Bankroll
Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 3 settled daysPicks
8 total lost
Baltimore Ravens
“And so I like Baltimore in this game.”
BUF 41, BAL 40 — Bills beat Ravens 41-40; the Ravens moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
won
Atlanta Falcons -8.5 pregame -9.5 · CLV +1 · >60 min
“[37:47] I like the eight and a half points. The giants are just dreadful.”
ATL 34, NYG 7 — Falcons beat Giants 34-7 on 12/22/2024, margin +27 covers the -8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
won
Kansas City Chiefs -3 closed -3 · CLV 0 · ≤15 min
“[38:59] Kansas City's a three-point home favorite against the Texans. [39:02] Who do you like, Chiefs or Texans? [39:04] I like the Chiefs.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Chiefs beat Texans 27-19 on 12/21/2024, margin +8 covers the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
won
Baltimore Ravens -6
“[41:31] I kind of like Baltimore in his game. [41:35] Baltimore, a six-point favorite.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Ravens beat Steelers 34-17 on 12/21/2024, margin +17 covers the -6 spread (ESPN box score).
won
Detroit Lions moneyline
“right now, I kind of like Detroit just because of just the way they're executing on both sides of the ball overall right now.”
DET 34, GB 20 — Lions beat the Packers 34-20 on Thursday Night Football, so the Detroit Lions moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).
lost
Miami Dolphins moneyline
“I have a feeling like Miami is going to be ready for that. And I think that's going to be the difference in a game.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Bills routed the Dolphins 48-20, so the Miami Dolphins moneyline lost (ESPN box score).
won
Denver Broncos moneyline
“I like Denver to win the game, guys.”
DEN 31, CHI 28 — Broncos beat the Bears 31-28 on a late Wil Lutz field goal, so the Denver Broncos moneyline cashed (ESPN box score).