Colby Marcio

Guest / Betting Analyst · 3-9 on settled picks

Record
3-9
Cash %
25.0%
Net units
-6.27u
ROI
-52.3%
CLV evidence: 1 of 5 supported standalone picks have a pregame quote

0 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 0 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 0 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.

Quote timing: 0 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 1 older than 60 minutes · 0 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.

Picks

12 total
Status
Sport
Market
MLB prop
won
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings team total over 1.5 runs
Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[48:05] The Diamondbacks' first five team total over is set at one and a half. [48:09] I don't understand why. [48:11] two units on that”

F5 ARI 2-1 MIA (final: ARI 3, MIA 1) — Arizona led Miami 2-1 through five innings on Aug 20, 2024 (final ARI 3, MIA 1), covering the first-five over 1.5 team runs (ESPN box score).

MLB prop
lost
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings team total over 2.5 runs
Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[48:11] two units on that and i also laddered it to two and a half”

F5 ARI 2-1 MIA (final: ARI 3, MIA 1) — Arizona scored 2 runs through five innings on Aug 20, 2024 (final ARI 3, MIA 1), missing the first-five over 2.5 team runs (ESPN box score).

MLB spread
won
Arizona Diamondbacks first five innings -0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[48:50] i'm willing to take it 10 times out of 10 also diamondbacks minus a half in the first five at [48:55] plus money”

F5 ARI 2-1 MIA (final: ARI 3, MIA 1) — Arizona led Miami 2-1 through five innings on Aug 20, 2024 (final ARI 3, MIA 1), covering the first-five -0.5 spread (ESPN box score).

MLB prop
lost
Austin Gomber under 3.5 strikeouts
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[50:49] okay all right so yeah gombar under three and a half k's”

COL 3, WSH 1 — Austin Gomber recorded 5 strikeouts over 7.0 innings as Colorado beat Washington 3-1 on Aug 20, 2024, missing the under 3.5 strikeouts line (ESPN box score). (Austin Gomber: 5 strikeouts)

MLB prop
lost
Brent Rooker over 1.5 total bases
Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[51:23] about but i was on brent rooker yesterday he had a great rating yesterday has another great rating [51:27] today running it back went oh for four last night we're going to do a little bit of the day after [51:31] theory that's not the joke uh cap here let me get to it i'll get to in a second fifth best rating on [51:37] batters-box.com surpasses one and a half total bases and 57 percent of his elite ratings”

TB 1, OAK 0 — Brent Rooker went 0-for-3 with 0 total bases as Tampa Bay beat Oakland 1-0 on Aug 20, 2024, missing the over 1.5 total bases (ESPN box score). (Brent Rooker: 0 total bases, 0 home runs)

MLB prop
lost
Brent Rooker to hit a home run
Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[51:37] batters-box.com surpasses one and a half total bases and 57 percent of his elite ratings goes [51:44] yard. I'm taking his home run today too.”

TB 1, OAK 0 — Brent Rooker went 0-for-3 with 0 home runs as Tampa Bay beat Oakland 1-0 on Aug 20, 2024 (ESPN box score). (Brent Rooker: 0 total bases, 0 home runs)

WNBA spread
lost
Connecticut Sun -12.5
Los Angeles Sparks at Connecticut Sun · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[52:50] But the Sparks, 13 and a half, or excuse me, 12 and a half point dogs [52:55] to the Sun tonight.”

CT 69, LA 61 — Connecticut beat Los Angeles 69-61 on Aug 20, 2024, an 8-point margin that missed the -12.5 spread (ESPN).

WNBA moneyline
lost
Phoenix Mercury moneyline
Phoenix Mercury at Atlanta Dream · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[53:18] Mercury, Monday line tomorrow, just because the Dream are coming back down to Earth tomorrow.”

ATL 72, PHX 63 — Atlanta beat Phoenix 72-63 on Aug 21, 2024; Mercury moneyline busts (ESPN).

WNBA futures
lost
Connecticut Sun to win the WNBA Finals
2024 WNBA Finals · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[53:31] I think they just need a little bit of time to get back into the swing of things. [53:34] They're still a top four team in the league. [53:36] I have the future on them to win the WNBA finals, them and the Lynx.”

New York beat Minnesota to win the 2024 WNBA Finals; Connecticut did not reach the Finals (ESPN).

WNBA futures
lost
Minnesota Lynx to win the WNBA Finals
2024 WNBA Finals · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[53:31] I think they just need a little bit of time to get back into the swing of things. [53:34] They're still a top four team in the league. [53:36] I have the future on them to win the WNBA finals, them and the Lynx.”

New York beat Minnesota 3 games to 2 to win the 2024 WNBA Finals; the Lynx did not win the title (ESPN).

CFB spread
lost
Florida State -11.5
Florida State vs Georgia Tech · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[54:38] This spread, by the way, has come down almost a full two points here since it opened up at 13. [54:42] It's 11 and a half. [54:44] The over-unders come down to 55 and a half. [54:46] You still think Florida State's got no problem going across the pond in a weird environment and taking care of business, though? [54:54] yeah i i do think the number is a tad fishy because florida state should and hopefully does [55:02] blow them out like they have a lot to prove they want to be all mad about last year how they didn't [55:07] get in the playoffs well well they'll prove it now this new season new time to shine it's still [55:12] going to be a relatively good team they have four returning starters on both offensive defensive end [55:16] uh it really just to me it comes down to dju is he going to really be their guy this year is he [55:22] going to be what we wanted him to be since he was at Clemson. I believe in him. I think he's in a [55:27] good situation. The defense is going to be good. It's really just, is DJU going to be him? And I [55:34] think Georgia Tech's still mediocre. I don't think they're going to be able to keep up. [55:39] I will stick to the fishy line just because it's week zero. Other than it was week seven, [55:45] I'd be like, maybe I'll go Georgia Tech. But no, we're going Seminoles.”

GT 24, FSU 21 — Georgia Tech beat Florida State 24-21 in Dublin on Aug 24, 2024; FSU lost outright, missing the -11.5 spread (ESPN).

NFL futures
won
Ezekiel Elliott under 600 rushing yards
Ezekiel Elliott 2024 regular-season rushing yards · You Better You Bet, 2024-08-20 · ·

“[58:39] to new england and doing much damage this year are you no i the number it's it's different on a [58:47] bunch of books but i got it at 600 i took it i took the under on that”

Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 226 yards in the 2024 regular season, well under the 600-yard line (NFL.com). (Ezekiel Elliott: 226 rushing yards)

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