lost
Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline
“I actually do have Arkansas on the money line on this one right here.”
90-77 — Illinois beat Arkansas 90-77 on 11/28/24; Arkansas lost outright, so the Arkansas moneyline bet loses.
Corey Parson
Guest · 4-7 on settled picks
Record
4-7
Cash %
36.4%
Net units
-3.36u
ROI
-30.6%
CLV evidence: 5 of 10 supported standalone picks have a pregame quote
4 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 1 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 1 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.
Quote timing: 2 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 3 older than 60 minutes · 0 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.
Picks
11 total lost
BYU Cougars moneyline
“I'm on BYU on the money line and this one right there.”
96-85 — Ole Miss beat BYU 96-85 in overtime on 11/28/24; BYU lost outright, so the BYU moneyline bet loses.
lost
UNLV Rebels +8.5 pregame +9 · CLV -0.5 · >60 min
“I'll take the eight and a half with UNLV”
80-58 — Mississippi State beat UNLV 80-58 on 11/28/24; UNLV lost by 22 points, well outside the +8.5 spread, so the bet loses.
lost
Mario Anderson under 81.5 rushing yards
“Mario Anderson, under 81-and-a-half rushing yards.”
34-24 — Mario Anderson Jr. rushed for 177 yards on 24 carries for Memphis in a 34-24 win over Tulane on 11/28/24, well over the 81.5 line, so the under loses. (177 rushing yards on 24 carries)
won
Jahmyr Gibbs over 74.5 rushing and receiving yards
“I was on Jameer Gibbs over 96 and a half rushing and receiving yard. I mean, excuse me, over 74 and a half.”
23-20 — Jahmyr Gibbs had 87 rushing yards (9 carries) plus 17 receiving yards (2 receptions) for 104 total yards vs the Bears on 11/28/24, over the 74.5 line. (104 rush+rec yards (87 rushing + 17 receiving))
lost
Jameson Williams over 49.5 receiving yards
“I had him over 49 and a half receiving yards”
23-20 — Jameson Williams had 5 receptions for 28 yards vs the Bears on 11/28/24, under the 49.5 line. (28 receiving yards (5 rec))
won
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 pregame +3 · CLV 0 · >60 min
“So you're giving me three points with Mike Tomlin in the divisional game? Yeah. This is a no-winner. It's an easy bet for me to make.”
44-38 — Steelers beat Bengals 44-38 outright on 12/1/24, easily covering +3 (ESPN box score).
won
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 closed +3 · CLV +1.5 · ≤15 min
“I'm taking the Jaguars with the four and a half points.”
23-20 — Texans beat Jaguars 23-20 on 12/1/24; Jaguars lost by 3, covering +4.5 (ESPN box score).
lost
Miami Dolphins +3.5 closed +3.5 · CLV 0 · ≤15 min
“I'll take three and a half with Miami.”
30-17 — Packers beat Dolphins 30-17 on 11/28/24 Thanksgiving; Dolphins lost by 13, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
lost
De'Von Achane under 4.5 receptions
“Devon a chain under four and a half receptions was something that I believe that I saw that's going to make my ticket. It has already made my card tonight.”
De'Von Achane caught 8 passes for 56 yards vs Green Bay on 11/28/24, well over the 4.5-reception line, so the under lost (ESPN box score). (8 receptions)
won
Emanuel Wilson over 16.5 rushing yards
“Emanuel Wilson, over 16 and a half rushing yards are two props I have on my card for tonight's game.”
Packers RB Emanuel Wilson rushed for 20 yards on 2 carries vs Miami on 11/28/24, clearing the 16.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (20 rushing yards)