Saruja vs Kevin Borjas Under 2.5 rounds
“here's my best bet, uh, putting all that, that previous talk aside. I like Saruja Borjas fight. So I did tease a prop because the prop was, uh, what was a sub sprinkle. I, you know, I found a better line than most that being said, I sprinkled on it, but the bet here, the best bet here in that fight is the under, the under 2.5 rounds in the Saruja and Borjas fight.”
The transcript's 'Saruja' opponent is the UFC-recorded Rei Tsuruya; Tsuruya submitted Kevin Borjas at 4:14 of Round 1, before 2.5 rounds. (Rei Tsuruya def. Kevin Borjas, submission (Round 1, 4:14))
Ian Machado Garry (+285)
“[10:51] Absolutely.
[10:51] I already have exposure on the Ian Gary money line at plus 285.
[10:55] I like to think I could get better than that, but I did fire a little bit on that.”
Islam Makhachev defeated Ian Machado Garry by unanimous decision. (Islam Makhachev def. Ian Machado Garry via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47))
Islam Makhachev by kimura or Americana (+4000) · BetMGM
“[10:59] I will say just to give some Makachev side of it and something I am playing as well,
[11:03] so it's not me just saying it, but I do like exact method submission props,
[11:07] even though I agree with Billy's analysis and so does the betting market as far as where overs go.
[11:11] As far as Gary, even if he loses, he's going to be harder to finish.
[11:14] Makachev does like a certain select submissions, and against those tall guys,
[11:18] we've seen certain ones.
[11:19] For example, I'm a big fan of Kimora, Billy, because as you know, places like BetMGM and other places, they'll pair the Kimora and the Americana as the same submission.
[11:29] So for those of us ball knowers, you know you get two subs for the price of one.
[11:32] Now, the Americana is not going to be live unless we're talking about low-level heavyweights usually, but that's nice.
[11:37] What's also nice is even when it's like a submission on their records, you could easily deduce it as one of the maybe lower-priced subs.
[11:44] For whatever reason, they never not price it, you know, 4,000 to one plus 4,000 there on that one.”
Islam Makhachev won by decision rather than kimura or Americana. (Islam Makhachev def. Ian Machado Garry via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47))
Mackenzie Dern by armbar
“[18:19] 200 my mckenzie dirt and around robin good enough and i do like the arm bar here um i believe it's
[18:25] like plus 500 it's nothing crazy they're pricing it similar to like an rnc as far as probabilities
[18:30] of those markets go.
[18:32] I do like a little sprinkle on there.”
Mackenzie Dern won by decision rather than armbar. (Mackenzie Dern def. Gillian Robertson via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47))
Myktybek Orolbai to win in rounds 1 or 2 (-130)
“[29:29] And I think that oral by rounds one or two at minus 130 is the bet I feel best about.”
Myktybek Orolbai lost in the final round rather than winning in either early round. (Jeremiah Wells def. Myktybek Orolbai via submission, R3 1:24)
Ramiz Brahimaj to win in round 1 (+275)
“[41:05] uh you know sarcasm slightly aside i love ramiz brahi my ear in round one and plus 275 is a good
[41:12] enough to like take a small stab on”
Neil Magny stopped Ramiz Brahimaj after the opening round. (Neil Magny def. Ramiz Brahimaj via TKO, R2 3:20)
Ramiz Brahimaj (-140)
“[44:11] or if i have it it going to be at a bad line um but i see brahi my lowest at minus 140 and honestly i feel like that worth a straight up play and i about to get in on that and then i just have my round one as a bonus for my round robin sort of a deal But yeah I like Brock I like Brock
[44:26] He might here, man.”
Neil Magny defeated Ramiz Brahimaj by technical knockout. (Neil Magny def. Ramiz Brahimaj via TKO, R2 3:20)