Lucas Almeida ML
“[11:08] Yeah, I like Almeida here. I think Sabatini's standup, I don't think is really improving and
[11:16] his durability, I think is going to be a concern. And I think against a guy like Almeida,
[11:21] who looked great last time out.
[11:24] I think he's going to be the better striking.
[11:26] I think he's more than competent on the ground,
[11:28] and I think he'll probably want to keep this standing.
[11:31] I know he's had a series of canceled bouts,”
Pat Sabatini submitted Lucas Almeida in Round 2, so the Almeida moneyline lost as stored (UFC official results).
Nicholas Dalby by decision
“So taking Dalby by decision, he's already plus money, just on the money line.
[16:47] you can bump that from plus 160 to about plus 260 if you take him via decision.
[16:51] I think that's his most likely path to victory.”
Nicolas Dalby beat Muslim Salikhov by unanimous decision, so the Dalby-by-decision prop won as stored (UFC official results).
Alessandro Costa to win inside the distance
“[21:11] I'm going to take Alessandro Costa to win inside the distance.
[21:16] Part of this is I was kind of leaning Costa anyway.
[21:20] I do a lot of my betting, kind of seeing what smart folks are also on.
[21:24] And I know a lot of folks that I really respect are, are on this fight.
[21:29] I think what it comes down to is his opponent Jimmy Flick I think there too much value being put in his submission ability in this fight And I think it kind of tainting the line a bit I think Flick does have a submission threat
[21:43] I don't think it's as big as people are making it out to be.
[21:46] Kosta is very competent on the ground.”
Alessandro Costa stopped Jimmy Flick in Round 2, so the inside-distance prop won as stored (UFC official results).
Belal Muhammad to win in round 4/5 or by decision (+170)
“early, and I think Burns is going to use a lot of energy on that. I know Billy kind of liked Burns in rounds four or five or decision I actually like the flip side of that I like Muhammad to kind of start to wear down Burns early kind of with the takedown defense maybe pepper him with some shots and eventually start to take over So I like him in four or five around four or five and decision. And I wish it was plus 200 like Billy's bet. But at plus 170, I'm really happy with that bet.”
Belal Muhammad beat Gilbert Burns by unanimous decision, confirming the stored win-method prop (UFC).
Drew Dober by KO
“[20:51] they have very limited interest in grappling they just want to stand throw heavy punches
[20:55] is see who falls first but drew dober much to my amazement when i broke down this fight at the
[21:01] action network has never been knocked out in the ufc i thought for sure at some point somebody”
Matt Frevola stopped Drew Dober, so the duplicate Dober-by-KO pick lost as stored (UFC).