Guest · 6-2 on settled picks
“when you look at the market, four and a half quarterbacks, historically the under has been the sharp play there. And I think this year it's the sharp play as well”
A record-tying six quarterbacks (Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Michael Penix Jr., J.J. McCarthy, Bo Nix) were taken in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, exceeding the 4.5 under line (ESPN draft coverage).
“I still think it's May. I still believe the markets”
Drake Maye was drafted 3rd overall by the New England Patriots and J.J. McCarthy was drafted 10th overall by the Minnesota Vikings in the 2024 NFL Draft, so Maye went before McCarthy (ESPN draft coverage).
“I think laying three with Jacksonville is the only option.”
JAX 23, ATL 7 — Jacksonville beat Atlanta 23-7 in London, a +16 margin; Jaguars -3 covers.
“If anything, I think it's Buffalo minus two and a half. Three is probably too many, as everybody knows, but minus two and a half. If you can get that flat, I think that's a pretty good play on Buffalo.”
BUF 48, MIA 20 — Buffalo beat Miami 48-20, a +28 margin; Bills -2.5 covers.
“I would still lay the no price on Tua.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award (49 of 50 votes), so Tua Tagovailoa did not win MVP. (AP MVP: Lamar Jackson, 49 of 50 votes)
“Seattle should be probably minus 130 in the game Monday night against the Giants.”
SEA 24, NYG 3 — Seattle beat the New York Giants 24-3 on Monday Night Football; Seahawks moneyline wins.
“I think at this point, it's a bye for me at minus three for the Lions”
20-6 — Lions beat Falcons 20-6 on 9/24/2023; Detroit's 14-point margin covered the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“and then minus two or so for the Packers.”
18-17 — Packers beat Saints 18-17 on 9/24/2023; Green Bay's 1-point margin fell short of the -2 spread (ESPN box score).