Grant Neifer

“So that's why I'm on JSN plus 550”

Independent verification agrees: Kenneth Walker III won Super Bowl MVP, not Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

“Yeah, so on the Saints side of things, I mean, the only guy really left around is Juwan Johnson. And so I'm picking him for a touchdown. You can find him out around plus 200.”

Independent verification agrees: Juwan Johnson had 3 catches for 61 yards but did not score in the Saints' 19-17 loss to Atlanta.

“so I just kind of went with the best one in that offense which is Michael Pittman in my opinion so plus 500 on him”

Independent verification agrees: Michael Pittman caught 8 passes but did not score in the Colts' 38-30 loss to Houston.

“Let's now move to Chargers-Broncos, where Justin Herbert has been announced that he is going to sit, or at least Jim Harbaugh announced it. So, Grant, you're up. What are we looking at for touchdown props in this game, knowing that Justin Herbert isn't going to play? Yeah, so on the Chargers side of things, there's not really many odds out there. We have no idea which position players are going to even be playing, which defensive players are going to be playing. Chargers really have no reason to risk injury on any of them. But Lance is going to get the start, and that's who I'm rolling with because you can find his odds around 430. And Trey Lance, we haven't seen much of him in his career, but in the games he does end up starting, dude's running a lot. I mean, going all the way back from when he was on San Francisco back in 2022, his only full game. He ran for 54 yards. First season, he had 89 yards rushing in the game. He didn't get into the end zone much, but that's a lot of just variance. He's probably going to be running the ball, especially if he doesn't have a ton of guys to throw to. Obviously, going up against Denver, it's a tough defense, so he's probably going to be forced to scramble because he's going to be on the run a lot. So all these kind of point towards the most likely scenario is Lance going to be the main guy to get into the end zone, depending on who else is playing. So I'm rolling with him at plus 430.”

Independent verification agrees: Trey Lance had no rushing TD (69 rush yards, 1 INT); the Chargers were held to a single field goal in the 19-3 loss.

“So Sutton plus 200 is my pick over there”

Independent verification agrees: Courtland Sutton did not score; Denver's only TD was an interception return in the 19-3 win over the Chargers.

“And then over on the Washington side of things, I mean, we've got a 39-year-old Josh Johnson on his 27th different team in his career playing. And last week when he played, he was targeting Scary Terry a decent amount. You can get his odds around plus 310 plus 320 depending on where you look. And that's just a bit too high. I mean, he's obviously a very talented receiver. We may see several guys on the defensive end of the Eagles not playing in this spot So the matchup should be a bit easier here Odds are good and that what I rolling with there All right Terry McLaurin plus 310”

Independent verification agrees: Terry McLaurin had 4 receptions for 57 yards and no touchdown in Washington's 24-17 win over the Eagles.

“And then on the Miami side of things, Waddle is currently questionable, but if he plays plus 330, it just kind of seems silly. silly. I mean, New England's been bad versus wide receiver ones this year. They've been, I think, nearly bottom of the league. Waddle is obviously a very talented wide receiver. They're going to probably be passing a lot because they're big dogs in the spot. So getting him at plus 330 is just ridiculous. So he doesn't end up playing. And I mean, A-chan currently is questionable at the moment. Waller just got put on IR, so he's not playing this week. And a lot of their weapons are not in there, so they're probably going to have to rely on Waddle even more if A-chan doesn't play if waddle doesn't end up playing hn doesn't end up playing i think you can look at ollie gordon who's currently at plus 400 but who knows what the odds will be there but as of right now that waddle plus 330 is just screaming at me so that's what i'm rolling it well waddle to me and again”

Independent verification agrees: Jaylen Waddle did not score in the Dolphins' 38-10 loss to the Patriots.

“I'm going with a backup running back, Keaton Mitchell. [52:56] You can get him at plus 650, which seems a little bit high.”

Independent verification agrees: Keaton Mitchell rushed twice for 2 yards and did not score in the Ravens' 26-24 loss to the Steelers.

“I think I'm going with AJ Brown's over, but four and a half reception, I think it like one minus one 60 at four and a half I took the over five and a half It plus one 25 over bet 365 And a lot of people might look at his game log and think this is probably not a great bet but he getting a”

The NFL gamebook records A.J. Brown with three receptions, so over 5.5 lost. (A.J. Brown: 3 receptions)

“We're going with Kareem Hunt to get a touchdown.”

The NFL gamebook records Kareem Hunt with zero touchdowns in the Eagles' 40-22 win. (Kareem Hunt: 0 TD)

“it plays into your first pick give us your second one yeah i'm rolling with rice over 65 67 i think over at mgm at 65 and a half receiving yards”

ESPN's box score lists Rice below the unstated receiving-yard threshold, so the over lost as stored.

“But Rashee Rice, over 60 and a half yards, is just a little bit low.”

ESPN's box score lists Rice below the receiving-yard over, so the prop lost as stored.

“Strangely enough, mine's a Detroit under, and it's Jared Goff, under 260 and a half passing yards.”

ESPN's box score lists Goff above the passing-yard under, so the prop lost as stored.

“I'm actually rolling with Devin Singletary, [4:44] over 58.5 rushing yards.”

ESPN's box score lists Singletary below the rushing-yard over, so the prop lost as stored.

“So I'm rolling with Dalton Kincaid over 28 and a half receiving yards and get the same work from 28 and a half to 31 and a half.”

Dalton Kincaid recorded 21 receiving yards, staying Under 28.5 (ESPN Week 16 scoreboard). (Dalton Kincaid 21 receiving yards)

“I'm going with Will Levis under 217.5 passing yards.”

ESPN's box score lists Levis above the stated passing-yard under, so the prop lost as stored.

“I get that the total is kind of low at 42.5, but I still don't think it's low enough, especially for a primetime game. I'm not sure it would be low enough for a normal game. I'm betting the trend here. I am betting the trend that primetime games go under and that Kansas City, their offense,”

ESPN's final score exceeded the stated total, so the under lost as stored.

“Miles Sanders over 26 and a half rushing yards.”

ESPN's box score lists Sanders below the stated rushing line, so the over lost as stored.

“So my first pick is going to be Cleveland Indy. I'm [10:19] taking the under of 41.”

39-38 — Cleveland beat Indianapolis 39-38; the 77-point total went over 41.

“I'm going with Keenan Allen over 78 and a half receiving yards.”

31-17 — Kansas City beat the Chargers 31-17 and Keenan Allen had 55 receiving yards. (Keenan Allen 55 receiving yards)

“It's Justin Herbert under 282 and a half passing yards.”

Los Angeles' box score records Justin Herbert with 305 passing yards, above the stated under (ESPN Week 2 scoreboard). (Justin Herbert 305 passing yards)

“Grant, your second one, you're going back to the quarterback position, player prop angle. Yep. Yeah, this is one that I got at 244.5. I think it's up to 251.5. I still like that. I think it should be at 265, 260 at least in this spot. And it's Trevor Lawrence. I don't know if they're not incorporating any. It just seems like a neutral game line to me. He's going up against the Chiefs, though. Chiefs obviously going to be a high-scoring affair. Should be a close game with a 3.5-point spread. Should be high-scoring with 51.5-point total here. I don't see why they wouldn't let him air the ball out in this spot going up against the Chiefs. They're a below average pass defense. Lawrence, now another year under Doug Peterson, another year of experience. He should only be better. He didn't hit the over in the first game of the season, but it was a weird match going up against the Colts with Richardson's first start. And just the strange overall at this spot, I'm almost certain it's going to be a barn burner here. I see Lawrence having a big game, and we haven't even taken into account the fact that he has Calvin Ridley in the offense now. Ridley was solid in week one. He's one of the better pass catchers in the league, and people forget that because of his suspension. So Lawrence, positive matchup, high-scoring game, better receiving court than last year, another year of experience, and we're getting the line that he basically hit a 50% clip last year. So none of this really makes sense to me, so I really, really like the over in this spot.”

Jacksonville's box score records Trevor Lawrence with 216 passing yards, below the stated over (ESPN Week 2 scoreboard). (Trevor Lawrence 216 passing yards)