Sports Betting Analyst / Fill-in Host · 118-129-1 on settled picks
| League | prop | spread | futures | total | moneyline | other | parlay | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18-14+9% | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7-5+11% | 5-6-11% | 0-1 | 32-31-2% |
| NBA | 12-20-28% | 2-2 | 4-8-20% | 2-1 | 3-0 | — | 0-3 | 23-34-19% |
| CBB | 1-0 | 10-10-5% | 2-9-69% | 3-2+15% | 2-0 | — | — | 18-21-13% |
| NFL | 3-1 | 9-5+23% | 3-5-28% | 3-3-5% | — | — | 1-0 | 19-14+10% |
| CFB | — | 1-2 | 8-6+20% | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | — | 10-10+3% |
| WNBA | 0-2 | 7-5+11% | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | — | — | 9-10-10% |
| Other | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-5-68% | — | 5-7-16% |
“with a total of 39 i think chiefs plus four is a bet for me and we can middle this thing right seattle can win by a field goal and i would feel very comfortable”
SEA 33, KC 16 — Seahawks beat the Chiefs 33-16 in preseason, a 17-point Chiefs loss that busts the +4 spread (ESPN box score).
“So I know in the 40s, the preseason trend is totals 40 or higher tend to stay under at about 60 percent but I'll make an exception for Cincinnati Washington I bet over 41 earlier in the week it's probably gonna close around 43 I would still bet over if you can find a 42 and a half”
CIN 31, WSH 17 — Bengals beat the Commanders 31-17 in preseason; the combined 48 points cleared the 41 total (ESPN box score).
“Buffalo and Chicago. Bill Zimmer maybe can chime in on how he thinks about the Bears backups this year. We've seen this total climb from 36.5 now up to 41. We have not seen the ceiling yet because I haven't seen any buyback yet. This thing was 36 very early in the process, bet over 36, I think 36.5. You're feeling primo. I got in at 39.5. So I got a little bit of wiggle room to the over there.”
CHI 38, BUF 0 — Bears shut out the Bills 38-0 in preseason; the combined 38 points fell short of the 39.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I got the Toledo Rockets locked in for over eight and a half wins this year. That's gonna be a fun game week one against Kentucky.”
Toledo finished the 2025 regular season 8-4 (before its Boca Raton Bowl loss to Louisville), under the 8.5-win line (Wikipedia). (Toledo: 8 regular-season wins)
“Last one for me, last minute here. I took some Lenore Sellers at 25 to one to win the Heisman. I feel like that ceiling also is incredibly high.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, 2025; LaNorris Sellers did not win (Heisman.com). (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
“seven and a half is where I seeing Washington at right now In fact I saw some plus money to the over on that I think that a fantastic bet this year for Washington.”
Washington finished the 2025 regular season 8-4 (before beating Boise State 38-10 in the LA Bowl), over the 7.5-win line (Wikipedia). (Washington: 8 regular-season wins)
“to that end we're also going to bet the jets plus three and a half tomorrow”
NYG 31, NYJ 12 — The Giants beat the Jets 31-12 in preseason Week 2 on August 16, 2025, an 19-point margin the Jets' +3.5 spread did not cover (ESPN recap).
“over seven and a half wins for usc is a stone cold bet for me”
USC finished the 2025 regular season 9-3 (before an Alamo Bowl overtime loss to TCU), over the 7.5-win line (Wikipedia). (USC: 9 regular-season wins)
“Miami feels like a stone cold bet especially if you can get an eight and a half”
Miami finished the 2025 regular season 10-2 (before its CFP/bowl run), over the 8.5-win line (Wikipedia). (Miami: 10 regular-season wins)
“good reason to bet uh plus money to the under eight and a half wins”
SMU finished the 2025 regular season 8-4 (before beating Arizona 24-19 in the Holiday Bowl), under the 8.5-win line (Wikipedia). (SMU: 8 regular-season wins)
“I think gets over 15 and a half outs.”
Sean Manaea pitched 5.0 innings (15 outs) against Seattle, under the 15.5-outs line (ESPN box score). (Sean Manaea: 5.0 IP (15 outs))
“I'll give you that Mariners, Mets, Nerfie”
Seattle scored in the top of the first and Francisco Lindor answered with a solo homer in the bottom of the first, so the NRFI lost (ESPN box score). (First inning: Seattle Mariners 1, New York Mets 1)
“I got to do Nerfee, go Nerfee in that Rangers-Blue Jays game.”
Both Texas and Toronto were scoreless in the first inning, so the NRFI won (ESPN box score). (First inning: Texas Rangers 0, Toronto Blue Jays 0)
“We'll go Nerfie, Twins, Guardians.”
Guardians scored in the first inning (Ramirez singled home Kwan), so the Twins-Guardians NRFI lost. (1st inning: Minnesota Twins 0, Cleveland Guardians 1)
“Over four and a half hits allowed. Very reasonably priced, minus 135.”
Jack Leiter allowed 3 hits over 4.1 innings against the Mariners; over 4.5 hits allowed lost. (Jack Leiter: 4.1 IP, 3 H allowed)
“Tyler Anderson under four and a half strikeouts.”
Tyler Anderson struck out 5 batters for the Angels against the White Sox; under 4.5 strikeouts lost. (Tyler Anderson: 6.0 IP, 5 SO)
“So I'll lay it with the fever. I got minus four earlier today.”
88-78 — Fever beat the Wings 88-78, a 10-point margin that covers the Fever's -4 spread.
“Aaliyah Boston over 15 and a half points.”
88-78 — Aaliyah Boston scored 12 points for the Fever against the Wings; over 15.5 lost. (Aaliyah Boston: 12 points)
“I've got them projected for 5.9 wins, and their win total is 7.5. And again, a lot of that is the quarterbacks.”
Indianapolis Colts finished the 2025 regular season 8-9; the under 7.5 wins lost. (Indianapolis Colts: 8 wins)
“I've got him projected for 10 and a half wins. Their number is 11 and a half. So I'll go under on Philly.”
Philadelphia Eagles finished the 2025 regular season 11-6; the under 11.5 wins won. (Philadelphia Eagles: 11 wins)
“So I'll quickly go through the other ones that I'm on the under that I think are mispriced giants under five and a half wolf bears under eight and a half.”
New York Giants finished the 2025 regular season 4-13; the under 5.5 wins won. (New York Giants: 4 wins)
“So I'll quickly go through the other ones that I'm on the under that I think are mispriced giants under five and a half wolf bears under eight and a half.”
Chicago Bears finished the 2025 regular season 11-6; the under 8.5 wins lost. (Chicago Bears: 11 wins)
“And New England. I think now that we're at eight and a half, I think that number's moved too much. I'll go under eight and a half on the Patriots.”
New England Patriots finished the 2025 regular season 14-3; the under 8.5 wins lost. (New England Patriots: 14 wins)
“Jon Rahm, 5-1. Russell Henley, 8-1. Justin Rose, 9-1. Decky, 11-1. Jason Day, 14-1. These are top five first round bets.”
The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Jon Rahm shot 70 (-1) and finished well outside the top five after round one. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Rahm 70 (-1))
“Russell Henley, 8-1.”
The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Russell Henley shot 72 (+1) and was outside the top five after round one. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Henley 72 (+1))
“Justin Rose, 9-1.”
The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Justin Rose shot 69 (-2), outside the top five after round one. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Rose 69 (-2))
“Decky, 11-1.”
The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Hideki Matsuyama shot 74 (+3), well outside the top five after round one. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Matsuyama 74 (+3))
“Jason Day, 14-1.”
The 2025 Open Championship first-round lead was a five-way tie at 4-under 67; Jason Day shot 73 (+2), outside the top five after round one. (R1 leaders 67 (-4); Day 73 (+2))
“Two props. Deki to be the top Japanese player, plus money at BetMGM. Love that.”
Hideki Matsuyama (T16, 7-under) was the top Japanese finisher at the 2025 Open Championship, ahead of fellow Japanese players Takumi Kanaya (T40, -2), Riki Kawamoto (T63, +4), and cut players Rikuya Hoshino, Shugo Imahira and Mikiya Akutsu. (Matsuyama 277 (-7), T16; next-best Japanese player Kanaya T40 (-2))
“I don't think I'm going to watch any of it tonight. I think I'm going to pray to the golfing gods before I go to bed that Jason Day has a good round because I did bet my biggest position in the first round is him to go under 71 and a half strokes.”
Jason Day shot a first-round 73 at the 2025 Open Championship, above the 71.5 line; the under lost. (Jason Day R1: 73)
“So I like the Lagway-Heisman bet.”
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on December 13, 2025; DJ Lagway did not win. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
“Bengals-Browns under 46.5.”
CIN 17, CLE 16 — Bengals beat Browns 17-16 on September 7, 2025; combined 33 points, under 46.5 won.
“I already bet Minnesota plus one and a half in that game.”
MIN 27, CHI 24 — Minnesota Vikings beat Chicago Bears 27-24; Vikings +1.5 covers as an outright win (ESPN recap).
“But we're getting even odds, coin flip odds, on under 3.5 for teams to win 10 or more regular season games in the SEC. That feels like a bet to me.”
Five SEC teams finished the 2025 regular season (through Nov 29) with 10 or more wins -- Ole Miss 11-1, Texas A&M 11-1, Alabama 11-2, Georgia 10-1, and Vanderbilt 10-2 -- exceeding the 3.5 line, so the under lost. (Ole Miss 11-1; Texas A&M 11-1; Alabama 11-2; Georgia 10-1; Vanderbilt 10-2 (regular season))
“Our pal Jay Kassan made a great case for Javi Baez. I'll have a little bit of a small piece of him.”
Kyle Schwarber won 2025 MLB All-Star Game MVP after hitting three home runs in the swing-off; Javier Baez did not win MVP. (MVP: Kyle Schwarber)
“I love it 150 to win MVP tonight”
Kyle Schwarber won 2025 MLB All-Star Game MVP; Jazz Chisholm Jr. did not win MVP. (MVP: Kyle Schwarber)
“Plus 240. I think that's a bet. I think that's a bet.”
Texas A&M was selected as the No. 7 seed in the 12-team 2025-26 College Football Playoff field announced Dec 7, 2025 (CollegeFootballPlayoff.com). (Texas A&M selected as CFP No. 7 seed)
“I make the game two. So obviously at three, it's a bet on the Jets.”
Steelers 34, Jets 32 — Steelers beat Jets 34-32 in Week 1 on Sept 7, 2025; Jets lost by 2, covering the +3 spread (ESPN recap).
“Junior Caminero. I bet him over. I think I got 17 and a half. No, actually, I got 16 and a half for his number.”
Junior Caminero hit 21 first-round home runs in the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby, clearing the 16.5 line (ESPN). (Caminero: 21 first-round HR)
“Link Sky, under 162.”
Lynx 91, Sky 78 — Lynx beat Sky 91-78 on July 14, 2025, a combined 169 points, over the 162 total line (ESPN box score).
“And so I'll come back on the Mercury tonight at plus 2.5.”
Mercury 78, Valkyries 77 — Mercury beat Valkyries 78-77 on July 14, 2025; Phoenix won outright, covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I got 16 and a half.”
Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit 3 first-round home runs in the 2025 Derby, under the 16.5 line (ESPN). (Chisholm: 3 first-round HR)
“I got 17 and a half.”
Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit 3 first-round home runs in the 2025 Derby, under the 17.5 line (ESPN). (Chisholm: 3 first-round HR)
“Jazz Chisholm, not to advance to the semis. I got minus 195.”
Jazz Chisholm Jr. was eliminated in Round 1 of the 2025 Derby with 3 home runs and did not advance to the semifinals (ESPN). (Chisholm: 3 first-round HR, eliminated)
“A couple of overs, Wood over 19.5 in the first round.”
James Wood hit 16 first-round home runs in the 2025 Derby, below the 19.5 line (ESPN). (Wood: 16 first-round HR)
“Caminero over 16.5 in the first round. Love both of those.”
Junior Caminero hit 21 first-round home runs in the 2025 Derby, clearing the 16.5 line (ESPN). (Caminero: 21 first-round HR)
“And then Caminero, yes to advance to the semis, is plus 150.”
Junior Caminero advanced from the first round (21 HR) and beat Byron Buxton 8-7 in the semifinals of the 2025 Derby (ESPN). (Semifinal: Caminero 8, Buxton 7)
“So Cruz to have the longest home run, plus 140.”
Oneil Cruz hit the 2025 Derby's longest home run at 513 feet (ESPN). (Longest HR of Derby: Cruz, 513 feet)
“I bet T-Wolves 10-1. I'm with you with Minnesota. I bet him 10-1 to win the summer league.”
83-78 — Charlotte Hornets won the 2025 NBA Summer League championship, beating the Sacramento Kings 83-78 in the title game; the Timberwolves did not win the tournament.
“I took six and a half. Let's go, Pels.”
98-91 — ESPN box score: Timberwolves beat Pelicans 98-91 in NBA Summer League on 7/10/25 in Las Vegas; Pelicans lost by 7, which exceeds the +6.5 points they needed to cover.
“Nathaniel Lowe over one and a half. It's runs in RBIs. I like the matchup, right lefty against the righty Miles Michaelis. He's about 60% over this against right-handed pitchers this year. And he's in the middle of this Nats lineup. How about this? Don't look now. So last two weeks, best batting average in Major League Baseball, Washington Nationals. They're swinging the hot stick right now. So again, hits, runs, RBIs, that encompasses everything.”
8-1 — Nathaniel Lowe went 1-for-4 with 0 runs and 0 RBI (ESPN) as the Cardinals beat the Nationals 8-1 on 7/10/25, a total of 1 hit+run+RBI, under the 1.5 line. (Nathaniel Lowe: 1 hit, 0 runs, 0 RBI)
“I get Wu for five innings and you get Stroman. I like that for the Mariners.”
2-0 — ESPN box score shows the Mariners led the Yankees 2-0 through 5 complete innings on 7/10/25 (Bryan Woo carried a no-hit bid into the 8th before New York's extra-inning comeback won it 6-5), so the Mariners first-five moneyline won.
“I'll go D-backs, first five against the Padres.”
2-4 — ESPN box score shows the Padres led the Diamondbacks 4-2 through 5 complete innings on 7/10/25 (Padres won 4-3 final), so the Diamondbacks first-five moneyline lost.
“I'm going to lay the three with the Lakers here”
87-85 — Dallas Mavericks beat the Lakers 87-85 in NBA Summer League on 7/10/25 (ESPN box score), so Lakers -3 failed to cover (lost outright).
“So I laid 16 and a half last night with Seattle.”
79-65 — Seattle Storm beat Connecticut Sun 79-65 on 7/11/25 (ESPN box score), a 14-point margin that falls short of the -16.5 spread.
“I bet Brandon Walter over four and a half strikeouts.”
Rockies 7, Astros 6 — Brandon Walter struck out 3 over 5 IP in Colorado's 7-6 win over Houston on July 3, 2025, below the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Walter: 3 strikeouts)
“And I bet the Rockies on the first five plus one and a half parlayed SGP style with Brandon Walter over three and a half strikeouts. That's plus 150.”
Colorado led Houston 5-3 through five innings, covering the Rockies first-five +1.5 leg, but Brandon Walter's 3 strikeouts fell short of the 3.5 K leg, so the parlay lost (ESPN box score). (First five: Astros 3, Rockies 5 (Rockies leg won); Walter: 3 strikeouts (leg lost))
“I bet the Aces tonight minus four and a half at the Fever.”
Fever 81, Aces 54 — Indiana beat Las Vegas 81-54 on July 3, 2025 (Aces lost outright by 27), busting -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“The other receivers that I think are intriguing here that were drafted in the first round that have a little bit of a longer price, Egbuka at 40-1.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year at NFL Honors, beating out Emeka Egbuka (NFL.com). (Winner: Tetairoa McMillan)
“And Matthew Golden at 30-1. I think he's got a chance with a good situation there in Green Bay with Jordan Love to make an impact very early on.”
Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan won the 2025 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year at NFL Honors, beating out Matthew Golden (NFL.com). (Winner: Tetairoa McMillan)
“I think 22 to one for the Toledo Rockets to make the college football playoff is a bet I would consider.”
Toledo was not among the 12 teams selected for the 2025-26 College Football Playoff (Indiana, Ohio State, Georgia, Texas Tech, Oregon, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Alabama, Miami, Tulane, James Madison). (Toledo: not selected (12-team field named above))
“Over eight and a half wins, obviously. That's a bet I would make, but at minus 130, not that juicy.”
Toledo finished the 2025 regular season 8-4 (before its Boca Raton Bowl loss to Louisville), below the 8.5-win line. (Toledo: 8-4 regular season)
“I am tailing Rob Brown on the Giants bet. I love this bet a lot. I got it at minus 115 this morning.”
Giants 7, Diamondbacks 2 — The Giants beat the Diamondbacks 7-2 on July 3, 2025; the Giants moneyline covers.
“I got to give you a Nerfie because it's not a day that ends in Y unless I bet a Nerfie. Royals Mariners,”
The Royals and Mariners were scoreless in the first inning (0-0) on July 3, 2025, per ESPN play-by-play. (First inning: 0-0)
“I'm going to put out a ticket on them to win the East.”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference, not Atlanta (Wikipedia). (2026 Eastern Conference champion: Knicks)
“I'm also going to put one on Orlando and Detroit”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference, not Orlando (Wikipedia). (2026 Eastern Conference champion: Knicks)
“I'm also going to put one on Orlando and Detroit”
The New York Knicks won the 2026 Eastern Conference, not Detroit (Wikipedia). (2026 Eastern Conference champion: Knicks)
“I think that would be the team I'm willing to bet today”
The San Antonio Spurs, not Denver, won the 2026 Western Conference, defeating Oklahoma City in the Conference Finals (Wikipedia). (2026 Western Conference champion: Spurs)
“Under three and a half teams to have 10 or more wins in the SEC this year at even odds.”
Six SEC teams finished the 2025 regular season with 10 or more wins (Georgia 12-1, Ole Miss 11-1, Texas A&M 11-1, Alabama 10-3, Oklahoma 10-2, Vanderbilt 10-2), so under 3.5 lost (ESPN standings). (SEC teams with 10+ wins: 6)
“I would bet Oregon over 10.5 wins.”
Oregon went 11-1 through the end of the 2025 regular season (Nov 29), clearing the 10.5 wins total (ESPN schedule). (Oregon: 11 regular-season wins)
“Hunter Brown over 6.5Ks”
Astros 5, Rockies 3 — Hunter Brown struck out 8 over 6 IP in Houston's 5-3 win over Colorado on July 2, 2025, clearing 6.5 (ESPN box score). (Hunter Brown: 8 strikeouts)
“I bet the Mystics plus 12.5 at the Lynx tomorrow night.”
Lynx 92, Mystics 75 — Minnesota beat Washington 92-75 on July 3, 2025 (margin 17), busting the Mystics' +12.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Sparks plus 12.5 at the Liberty.”
Liberty 89, Sparks 79 — New York beat Los Angeles 89-79 on July 3, 2025 (margin 10), so the Sparks covered +12.5 (ESPN box score).
“And I bet the under 162.5 in the Storm and the Dream.”
Storm 80, Dream 79 — Seattle beat Atlanta 80-79 on July 3, 2025 (combined 159), so under 162.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“I've already bet under seven and a half wins for UNC this year.”
North Carolina finished the 2025 regular season 4-8, well under the 7.5-win line (Wikipedia 2025 North Carolina Tar Heels football team page). (North Carolina: 4-8)
“I bet TCU week one too, as a pick on that UNC.”
TCU 48, UNC 14 — TCU beat North Carolina 48-14 in their Week 1 matchup on September 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); the TCU moneyline cashes.
“I took the twins on the first five.”
Miami led Minnesota 1-0 through 5 innings on a Kyle Stowers 2nd-inning homer, en route to a 2-0 win on July 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Twins did not win the first five innings. (First five: Marlins 1, Twins 0)
“So Roman Anthony over one and a half. HRR hits, runs, RBIs. I laid 45 cents over at BetMGM.”
Roman Anthony went 1-for-4 with a double, 1 run, and 1 RBI in Boston's 5-3 win over Cincinnati on July 1, 2025 (ESPN box score); his 3 combined hits+runs+RBIs clears the 1.5 line. (1 hit + 1 run + 1 RBI = 3)
“I had the Nerfee in this Pirates-Cardinals game.”
Pittsburgh and St. Louis were scoreless in the first inning of their July 1, 2025 game, with Pittsburgh's only run coming on an eighth-inning sac fly (ESPN box score); the 'no run' bet cashes. (First inning: 0-0)
“So I bet the first five uh the red socks on the first five this morning”
Boston led Cincinnati 8-4 through 5 innings (7 runs in the 1st, 1 in the 5th) en route to a 13-6 win on June 30, 2025 (ESPN box score); the Red Sox first-five moneyline cashes. (First five: Red Sox 8, Reds 4)
“i did however bet jacob lopez over five and a half strikeouts”
Jacob Lopez struck out 1 batter in 3.1 innings for Oakland against Tampa Bay on June 30, 2025 (ESPN box score); under the 5.5 line. (Lopez: 1 strikeout)
“I will give you Kansas City, Seattle.”
Kansas City and Seattle were scoreless in the first inning of their June 30, 2025 game (ESPN box score); the 'no run' bet cashes. (First inning: 0-0)
“I've got to take three at home”
PIT 34, NYJ 32 — The Steelers beat the Jets 34-32 in Week 1 on September 7, 2025; New York's 2-point loss covers the +3 spread (ESPN).
“I would just bet the money line.”
IND 94, DAL 86 — Indiana beat Dallas 94-86 on June 27, 2025; the Wings' moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“So we'll go St. Louis, Cleveland, Nerfee.”
St. Louis and Cleveland were both scoreless in the first inning on June 27, 2025 (Cardinals won 5-0), so the no-run-first-inning bet cashes (ESPN box score). (First inning: STL 0, CLE 0)
“Also, Will Warren, over six and a half strikeouts.”
NYY 3, ATH 0 — Will Warren struck out 7 over five scoreless innings as the Yankees beat the Athletics 3-0 on June 27, 2025, clearing his 6.5 strikeout line (ESPN box score). (Will Warren: 7 strikeouts)
“Yeah, I'll take the Liberty.”
PHX 106, NY 91 — Phoenix beat New York 106-91 on June 27, 2025; the Liberty's moneyline bet busts (ESPN box score).
“I think Stewie over 20 and a half points, not a bad bet either.”
PHX 106, NY 91 — Breanna Stewart scored 17 points as Phoenix beat New York 106-91 on June 27, 2025, under her 20.5 point line (ESPN box score). (Breanna Stewart: 17 points)
“And I also like the Valkyrie Sky over 157 and a half.”
GS 83, CHI 78 — Golden State beat Chicago 83-78 on June 27, 2025; the combined 161 points clear the 157.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Ronald Acuna Jr. over her hits, runs, and RBIs to take a page out of her. Well, Brad Evans' book right there. Two and a half is plus money. I think I got plus 125.”
NYM 4, ATL 0 — Ronald Acuna Jr. went 0-for-4 with 0 runs and 0 RBI in Atlanta's 4-0 loss to the Mets on June 26, 2025, well under his 2.5 combined hits+runs+RBIs line (ESPN box score). (Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0 hits, 0 runs, 0 RBI)
“I still would bet it at six, five and a half.”
LA 85, IND 75 — The Sparks beat the Fever 85-75 on June 26, 2025, an outright win that covers the +5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I got eight earlier today down to seven and a half. I still would play it there.”
WSH 94, LV 83 — Washington beat Las Vegas 94-83 on June 26, 2025, an outright win that covers the Mystics' +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I got the Mets on the first five.”
NYM 7, ATL 3 — The Mets led the Braves 6-1 through 5 innings (final 7-3 Mets) on 6/25/25, so the Mets first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (NYM 6, ATL 1 through 5 innings)
“I got the Phillies on the first five as well.”
HOU 2, PHI 0 — The Astros led the Phillies 1-0 through 5 innings (final 2-0 Astros) on 6/25/25, so the Phillies first-five moneyline lost (ESPN box score). (HOU 1, PHI 0 through 5 innings)
“I'll take the Twins on the first five.”
MIN 2, SEA 0 — The Twins and Mariners were tied 0-0 through 5 innings (Twins won 2-0 on runs in the 6th/7th) on 6/25/25, so the Twins first-five moneyline pushed (ESPN box score). (MIN 0, SEA 0 through 5 innings)
“I'll take the Cubbies on the first five, too.”
CHC 8, STL 0 — The Cubs led the Cardinals 8-0 through 5 innings (final 8-0) on 6/25/25, so the Cubs first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (CHC 8, STL 0 through 5 innings)
“And one Nerfie tonight. Royals, Rays, Nerfie.”
TB 3, KC 0 — Neither the Rays nor Royals scored in the first inning on 6/25/25; Tampa Bay's 3 runs all came in the 2nd inning of its 3-0 win (ESPN box score). (TB 0, KC 0 in the 1st inning)
“I think Ryan Kochbrenner to be a first-round pick. I saw minus 180 last night. It's looking like the minus 200 range now. I'm not a draft better, but I think his length and his versatility makes me believe he's a first-round pick. And again, I'm not this sharp in the NBA draft, but I feel like that's a winning bet.”
Ryan Kalkbrenner was selected 34th overall by the Charlotte Hornets in the second round of the 2025 NBA Draft, not the first round (CBS Sports).
“One of them Jalen Williams to record five or more assists and the Thunder to win”
Thunder beat Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 (moneyline leg won), but Jalen Williams recorded only 4 assists per the ESPN box score, short of the 5+ leg, so the parlay lost. (4 assists; Thunder won 103-91)
“The other one SGA to score 30 points and the Thunder to win That minus 135”
Thunder beat Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 (moneyline leg won), but SGA scored 29 points per the ESPN box score, one short of the 30+ leg, so the parlay lost. (29 points; Thunder won 103-91)
“I got minus 115 on that price.”
The Rays scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 1st inning against Detroit on 6/20/25 (ESPN box score; final Rays 14, Tigers 8), so the no-run-first-inning bet loses. (4 runs scored in 1st inning)
“So I like that one. I laid 30 cents on that Nerfie.”
Brewers-Twins (Jun 20, 2025): both teams scored 0 runs in the 1st inning per the ESPN box score (Brewers won 17-6), so the no-run-first-inning bet wins. (0 runs in 1st inning)
“So I'll go Nerfie in that game too.”
Red Sox-Giants (Jun 20, 2025): the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the 1st on a fielding error per the ESPN box score, so a run WAS scored in the first inning and the no-run bet loses. (1 run scored in 1st inning)
“I lay four and a half with Dallas on the road tonight.”
86-83 — Dallas Wings beat Connecticut Sun 86-83 on Jun 20, 2025 (ESPN box score); Wings won by only 3, short of the -4.5 spread.
“I didn't get to it on the show earlier this week when I was on with Femi, but I wanted to get to it now because speaking of negative press in the offseason, has there been a worse situation brewing than what's happening in Chapel Hill right now with North Carolina? So I bet they're under seven and a half wins earlier this week.”
North Carolina finished the 2025 regular season 4-8, well under the 7.5 wins line (Wikipedia). (4-8 record (4 wins))
“I also bet TCU in week one as a pick them at UNC. And it's not that I love you, TCU. It's not, you know, I know that I like their quarterback a little bit, but it's not like my love affair with TCU.”
48-14 — TCU beat North Carolina 48-14 in the September 1, 2025 season opener, covering the pick'em line easily (Wikipedia UNC season page).
“Jalen Williams, five or more assists, OKC Moneyline. That's plus 130 at BetMGM”
111-104 — OKC won Game 4 111-104 (leg 1 won) but Jalen Williams had only 3 assists, under the 4.5 line (leg 2 lost), so the parlay lost (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams: 3 assists)
“Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, under 1.5 turnovers. Neesmith is juiced, highly juiced. I got it at minus 180.”
Aaron Nesmith had exactly 1 turnover in NBA Finals Game 4, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Nesmith: 1 turnover)
“Siakam, under 1.5 turnovers, plus 120.”
Pascal Siakam had exactly 1 turnover in NBA Finals Game 4, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 1 turnover)
“I'm going to go Chet Holmgren over 15 and a half points.”
Chet Holmgren scored 14 points in NBA Finals Game 4, under the 15.5 line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 14 points)
“I'm on Arizona first five money line”
5-1 — Arizona led San Diego 5-1 through five innings (final score also 5-1), so Arizona first-five moneyline won (ESPN box score). (ARI 5, SD 1 through 5 innings)
“I'll take Atlanta. I got them at a much better price at minus 9.5.”
88-70 — Atlanta beat Chicago 88-70, an 18-point margin that comfortably covers -9.5 (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Nerfee in Cleveland, Cincinnati.”
CIN 1, CLE 0 — Reds beat Guardians 1-0; neither team scored in the first inning, per the ESPN box score. (0 runs, 1st inning (both teams))
“I bet the under in Sandy Alcantara's strikeout prop tonight. Alcantara's been brutal since coming back from his surgery this year, and he just hasn't found whatever he had when he won the Cy Young and had that great run. He hasn't regained that form. And I thought four and a half for Pittsburgh, they're kind of an average strikeout team, but I thought four and a half was a little bit too heavy of a number for Alcantara. He might not even make it past three innings in this game if he continues to kind of spiral downward. So under four and a half K's for Mr. Alcantara.”
Sandy Alcantara struck out 6 over 6 shutout innings against Pittsburgh, clearing the 4.5-strikeout line (ESPN box score). (6 strikeouts (6.0 IP))
“That game with the Dream, a five and a half point favorite. And then the game tonight on ESPN, National TV, New York Liberty, the other unbeaten team as additional to the Minnesota Lynx. Liberty, 17 and a half point favorites against Chicago Sky. What do you like tonight in the W, Jared? Got to lay it with New York.”
NY 85, CHI 66 — New York Liberty beat Chicago Sky 85-66, a 19-point margin that covered the -17.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take five and a half with the Fever.”
ATL 77, IND 58 — Atlanta Dream beat Indiana Fever 77-58, a 19-point margin that blew past the Fever's +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“kind of go in between the goalposts there. Personally, I have a bigger bankroll to deal with. I just, I just laid it with the thunder. I got $3 right when the line dropped last night. It's moved about 50 cents since I just, I just took, and I already had thunder minus one 70 from like two rounds ago. Like I've had a couple, I've bought, I've bought the thunder at a couple different points because again, I I've, I've built up a bankroll enough or over time where I don't think about locking up my money for long periods. I make bets that I think are mispriced, and I don't think about it. It's robotic. Thunder at $3 to win the series. They're going to be favored in,”
Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Indiana Pacers 103-91 in Game 7 on June 22, 2025 to win the 2025 NBA Finals 4 games to 3 (ESPN Game 7 recap). (Thunder won series 4-3)
“Yeah, I'll take, I think Edmonton minus 120 would be the bet.”
4-2 — The Florida Panthers won the 2025 Stanley Cup Final over the Edmonton Oilers 4 games to 2, clinching on June 17, 2025; Edmonton did not win the series.
“I like the over in this game. You get eight and a half. I think that's a great bet.”
8-5 — Dodgers beat Yankees 8-5; combined total was 13 runs, over the 8.5 line.
“I bet the Nerfee in St. Louis, Texas”
Rangers scored 1 run in the bottom of the 1st inning (final: Rangers 11, Cardinals 1), so the Cardinals-Rangers NRFI bet lost. (Rangers scored 1 run in the 1st inning; final Rangers 11, Cardinals 1.)
“I also bet the Nerfee in Houston and Tampa Bay.”
Rays scored 1 run in the top of the 1st inning on a solo homer (final: Astros 2, Rays 1), so the Rays-Astros NRFI bet lost. (Rays scored 1 run in the 1st inning; final Astros 2, Rays 1.)
“that lines out the six and a half i think it's steamed a little too much. I'll take Phoenix plus the points at home.”
74-71 — Lynx beat Mercury 74-71; Phoenix lost by 3, covering the +6.5.
“I love the over in Atlanta, Seattle, 157 and a half.”
94-87 — Dream beat Storm 94-87; combined total was 181, over the 157.5 line.
“We'll go under 166 and a half.”
96-81 — Aces beat Sparks 96-81; combined total was 177, over the 166.5 line, so Under lost.
“Well, the easiest one to make is the one that's hit in all prior five games of the series, which is the Knicks to have more than 12 and a half turnovers. Again, that can be a tough number to find. But I think that is, to me, an easy bet to the over.”
The Knicks committed 17 turnovers in Game 6, over the 12.5 line. (Knicks 17 turnovers.)
“But really, the best bet of the series, I think, or at least in Game 6, is a Pacers all-spread because I think Indiana's going to win. And what have we seen in the NBA playoffs? When you eliminate a team, it tends to be a wide margin. So minus four and a half for Indiana, you're getting plus money.”
125-108 — Pacers beat Knicks 125-108 in Game 6, a 17-point margin that covers -4.5.
“You want to take it a step further. Minus nine and a half, you're getting two to one. I think either of those bets, their game for you tomorrow night.”
125-108 — Pacers beat Knicks 125-108 in Game 6, a 17-point margin that covers -9.5.
“Any plays for you in Cardinals and O's today? Yeah, I mean, I think we've got to get involved in the Charlie Morton fade train. I feel like that's been a theme of the entire regular season so far. Plus money on a year fee today, if you can find it. I think that's a pretty decent bet. Let me actually see what the model actually has. I didn't look at the model for this year fee. Yeah, it looks like 58%. So you're getting plus money on a year fee that is projected at 58%, which is about minus 140. In exact science, obviously, with the year fee, but I do feel like that's a pretty decent bet. It's been actually a pretty good start for the year fee. So early run in Milwaukee. Chorio took a crochet deep on the first pitch. You had an early run in the Cubs game. Cubs game. I think the Cubs scored an early run against Palmquist. So your fees are, I think two or two and one to start the day. So we'll go early run in this Orioles Cardinals game.”
Baltimore scored a run in the bottom of the first inning against St. Louis on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore: Orioles 1-0-1-3 through four innings, first-inning run in the 1st). A first-inning run occurred, so the bet won. (Orioles scored 1 run in the 1st inning)
“And I bet some Edwards overs tonight, three-point makes. And then actually I bet an under in Edwards rebounds and assists tonight. So I think Randall over rebounds, Conley over assists, Edwards over threes, Edwards under 13 and a half rebounds and assists. Those are the props that I have locked in in this game.”
Anthony Edwards recorded 4 rebounds and 6 assists (10 combined) in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 10 is below 13.5. (Anthony Edwards: 4 reb, 6 ast)
“Yeah, I think Texas first five was a bet I saw. it catch a little steam today. I laid 50 cents for it. It's probably going to be a little bit higher now. I saw a couple of sharp groups were on it. Yeah, it's up to 55 cents. I would bet that. I bet Texas Moneyline first five. So I think the Nerf is a little juiced at minus 155.”
2-1 — Toronto led Texas 2-1 through five innings on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore). Texas did not win the first-five moneyline.
“I bet a Conley assist prop. I've been betting Conley assist props pretty much the entire postseason. You're getting a better number now than you were in game three, and I thought he probably should have gotten a four. It's three and a half plus money to the over.”
Mike Conley recorded 3 assists in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 3 is below 3.5. (Mike Conley: 3 assists)
“I took a flyer first five Arizona. I mean, I laying some juice there”
5-0 — Arizona led Pittsburgh 5-0 through five innings on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore). Arizona won the first-five moneyline.
“I took a half a run in the first five for Miami against San Diego.”
3-2 — Miami led San Diego 3-2 through five innings on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore). Miami covered first-five +0.5.
“I also went under two and a half in the first three innings.”
3-0 — Miami and San Diego combined for 3 runs through three innings on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score linescore). 3 exceeds 2.5, so the under lost.
“I'm going Randall over 6.5 rebounds. I got that at minus 128.”
Julius Randle recorded 7 rebounds in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 7 exceeds 6.5. (Julius Randle: 7 rebounds)
“I'm going to go over 8 rebounds, so 8 plus, which was plus 146.”
Julius Randle recorded 7 rebounds in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 7 is below 8. (Julius Randle: 7 rebounds)
“10 plus rebounds, plus 350, and a sprinkle.”
Julius Randle recorded 7 rebounds in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 7 is below 10. (Julius Randle: 7 rebounds)
“Full unit on the triple-double tonight. We're going hard on the triple-double. I think it's going to be a big night for Julius Randle. 55-1 on the trip-dub for Jay Randle.”
Julius Randle recorded 5 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score) — no category reached 10, so no triple-double. (Julius Randle: 5 pts, 7 reb, 3 ast)
“Also going to go Edwards over three and a half made threes. That's plus 120.”
Anthony Edwards made 1 three-pointer in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 1 is below 3.5. (Anthony Edwards: 1 three-pointer made)
“I went over eight and a half rebounds on Chet as well.”
Chet Holmgren recorded 7 rebounds in Game 4 on May 26, 2025 (ESPN box score). 7 is below 8.5. (Chet Holmgren: 7 rebounds)
“Yeah, I bet under 221-and-a-half before the show today.”
130-121 — Indiana beat New York 130-121 in Game 4 on May 27, 2025 (ESPN final; combined score 251). 251 exceeds 221.5, so the under lost.
“I went first quarter money line first half money line. Again, those are juicy around minus 180 for the first quarter, about minus 210 for the first half.”
52-49 — New York led Indiana 52-49 at halftime of Game 2 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN quarter scores: Q1 IND 24-26, Q2 IND 25-26). New York won the first-half moneyline.
“I went first quarter money line first half money line. Again, those are juicy around minus 180 for the first quarter, about minus 210 for the first half.”
26-24 — New York won the first quarter of Game 2 26-24 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN quarter scores). New York won the first-quarter moneyline.
“Here are the props that I bet. Cat, over 36.5 PRA.”
Karl-Anthony Towns recorded 20 points, 7 rebounds, and 0 assists (27 PRA) in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 27 is below 36.5. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 pts, 7 reb, 0 ast (27 PRA))
“I also bet over 12.5 rebounds and assists for Karl-Anthony Towns”
Karl-Anthony Towns recorded 7 rebounds and 0 assists (7 combined) in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 7 is below 12.5. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 7 reb, 0 ast)
“I also love this. I gave this out the first hour of the show. I'm going to give it out to you guys again now. Indiana over five and a half turnovers in the game.”
Indiana committed 10 team turnovers in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 10 exceeds 5.5. (Indiana Pacers: 10 turnovers)
“McConnell, I bet over 12 and a half PRA.”
T.J. McConnell recorded 10 points, 2 rebounds, and 4 assists (16 PRA) in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 16 exceeds 12.5. (T.J. McConnell: 10 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast (16 PRA))
“Obi Toppin over seven and a half points”
Obi Toppin scored 4 points in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 4 is below 7.5. (Obi Toppin: 4 points)
“Eight plus rebounds is plus money.”
Mitchell Robinson recorded 9 rebounds in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 9 meets the 8+ line. (Mitchell Robinson: 9 rebounds)
“Over six and a half rebounds is minus money.”
Mitchell Robinson recorded 9 rebounds in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 9 exceeds 6.5. (Mitchell Robinson: 9 rebounds)
“We have another game two tonight between the Dallas Stars and the Edmonton Oilers. Dallas a minus 115 favorite at home. Total is six at BetMGM, but is juiced heavily to the over, minus 135. Jared, what do we think here in game two? Does Edmonton bounce back on the road? I mean, the market's kind of telling you they are. I mean, they were a plus money underdog in game one, and they got trapped. I mean, they were up in the third period, and then the third period started, and it was an avalanche, not a Colorado avalanche. It was a Dallas avalanche of goals in that third period. It was five goals, I think, Dallas scored in that third period. The fact that the market has moved towards Edmonton after that, I think is pretty telling. And if you're getting a flat six, over feels like a pretty decent bet, right? I like that. I like the over. That's my favorite play in the game.”
3-0 — Edmonton Oilers beat Dallas Stars 3-0 in Game 2 on May 23, 2025 (ESPN final). 3 combined goals is below 6.
“I actually am liking Edmonton the more and more that we get towards puck drop, and I'm going to be on the Oilers.”
3-0 — Edmonton Oilers beat Dallas Stars 3-0 in Game 2 of the 2025 West Final on May 23, 2025 (ESPN final; NHL.com Oilers recap confirms the shutout, evening the series 1-1). Edmonton Oilers moneyline won.
“Yeah, I bet the under for Clayton Kershaw strikeouts tonight at three and a half.”
Clayton Kershaw struck out 1 batter over 2 innings against the Mets on May 23, 2025 (ESPN box score). 1 is below 3.5. (Clayton Kershaw: 1 strikeout)
“I went Conley to have a steal.”
Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103 — Mike Conley recorded 0 steals in Oklahoma City's 118-103 Game 2 win over Minnesota. (Mike Conley: 0 steals)
“I put it on OKC to win the title.”
Oklahoma City defeated Indiana 4-3 in the 2025 NBA Finals to win the championship. (2025 NBA champion: Oklahoma City Thunder)
“I think Randle's been just an absolute rock star. So I went over 6.5 rebounds, minus 140, and then I played a bit of a ladder. I went eight rebounds, plus 132, nine rebounds, plus 185. And then the double-double is about a three-to-one shot over at BetMGM.”
Julius Randle recorded 5 rebounds for Minnesota in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 5 is below 8. (Julius Randle: 5 rebounds)
“I think Randle's been just an absolute rock star. So I went over 6.5 rebounds, minus 140, and then I played a bit of a ladder. I went eight rebounds, plus 132, nine rebounds, plus 185. And then the double-double is about a three-to-one shot over at BetMGM.”
Julius Randle recorded 5 rebounds for Minnesota in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 5 is below 9. (Julius Randle: 5 rebounds)
“I think Randle's been just an absolute rock star. So I went over 6.5 rebounds, minus 140, and then I played a bit of a ladder. I went eight rebounds, plus 132, nine rebounds, plus 185. And then the double-double is about a three-to-one shot over at BetMGM.”
Julius Randle recorded 6 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists in Game 2 (ESPN box score) — no category reached 10, so no double-double. (Julius Randle: 6 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast)
“And 10 is plus 250.”
Isaiah Hartenstein recorded 8 rebounds for OKC in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 8 is below 10. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 8 rebounds)
“Eight is plus 108.”
Isaiah Hartenstein recorded 8 rebounds for OKC in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 8 meets the 8+ line. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 8 rebounds)
“Nine is plus 185.”
Isaiah Hartenstein recorded 8 rebounds for OKC in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 8 is below 9. (Isaiah Hartenstein: 8 rebounds)
“[37:36] And then one under on my card today, Cason Wallace. [37:38] He had a couple of decent games in this series. [37:41] But they're boosting up his PRA a little bit too high. [37:44] So I went under 14 and a half PRA for Kaysawal.”
Cason Wallace recorded 8 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists (15 PRA) for OKC in Game 2 (ESPN box score). 15 exceeds 14.5, so the under lost. (Cason Wallace: 8 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast (15 PRA))
“[13:01] Five plus assists per pods plus 200. [13:04] Seven plus assists plus 875. [13:07] Drink it. [13:07] seven's gonna be tough but five feels like a really solid bet like i like that would be like [13:13] a full unit for me at five and then maybe just i think there's some other shops that have six [13:18] um because i know on mgm they go on the odd numbers right the three five seven like when [13:24] it comes to an assist prop or a three-point prop or like a steals prop or like one really matters”
MIN 102, GS 97 — Brandin Podziemski recorded 2 assists in the Warriors' 102-97 Game 3 loss to the Timberwolves on May 10, 2025 (ESPN box score); the over 5+ assists prop lost. (Brandin Podziemski: 2 assists)
“[28:37] Yeah, actually, that's what I'll do right there. [28:39] The series to go seven at plus 150.”
Pacers beat Cavaliers 4-1 in the East semifinals; the series ended in five games, so it never reached Game 7 (ESPN). (Pacers won series 4-1.)
“[29:39] the indiana pacers i think the pacers win the series so i'm gonna go pacers series spread laying [29:44] the one and a half minus 120.”
Pacers beat Cavaliers 4-1 in the East semifinals, covering a -1.5-game series spread (ESPN). (Pacers won series 4-1.)
“[37:44] to the bench. 228.5 total in game one, down to 226 in game two. Obviously, the injury is having [37:50] a factor there. Now we're up to 232. Yeah, I don't think the adjustment was supposed to be that [37:56] severe. So I'll say under.”
126-104 — Cavaliers beat Pacers 126-104 (230 combined points), under the 232 total (ESPN box score).
“[38:01] lot of overs in this series so far, but the total is rising. 229, then 230. Now we're up to 232. I [38:08] think at some point you're going to see a regression of unders in both NBA games tonight.”
113-104 — Nuggets beat Thunder 113-104 (217 combined points), under the 232 total (ESPN box score).
“My favorite Nerfy of the day is Reds Astros.”
Astros beat Reds 3-0; the linescore shows no runs by either team in the 1st inning (ESPN box score). (1st inning: Reds 0, Astros 0.)
“We'll go Arizona on the money line tonight.”
14-11 — Dodgers beat Diamondbacks 14-11, so Arizona's moneyline lost (MLB.com box score).
“[8:26] in the series yeah i i it's i could see celtics in six which i bet him yeah i'm four to one celtics [8:33] and six pay that because like there's gonna be a game where the knicks just organically win it”
The Knicks eliminated the Celtics in the Eastern Conference semifinals 4 games to 2, clinching with a 119-81 Game 6 win on May 16, 2025; Boston did not win the series (ESPN game recap, gameId 401769751).
“I'm going Stephen Curry over 10 and a half rebounds and assists.”
Curry finished Houston's 115-107 Game 6 win over Golden State on May 2, 2025 with 7 rebounds and 2 assists (9 combined), under the 10.5 line (ESPN box score, gameId 401767913). (9 rebounds+assists (7 reb, 2 ast))
“[43:18] Waka and Kramer, Kansas City, Baltimore. [43:21] That's my Yurfi today. [43:23] I got it at minus 125.”
BAL 3, KC 0 — Baltimore shut out Kansas City 3-0 on May 2, 2025; the game was scoreless through the first six innings (all three Orioles runs scored in the 7th on a Ryan O'Hearn homer), so no run scored in the 1st inning (ESPN box score, gameId 401695380).
“But the first five over, five runs, I feel really strongly about.”
BAL 3, KC 0 — Same Royals-Orioles game (May 2, 2025, Baltimore won 3-0): the score was still 0-0 after five innings, well under the 5-run first-five total (ESPN box score, gameId 401695380).
“I'll go Nerfee-Tigers-Angels.”
DET 9, LAA 1 — Angels' Zach Neto homered on the first pitch of the game off Tarik Skubal, so a run scored in the 1st inning of Detroit's 9-1 win over Los Angeles on May 2, 2025 (ESPN game recap, gameId 401695392).
“[36:05] So I really like sovereignty. [36:07] I think that's my pick to win. [36:09] I think that's going to be my biggest bet. [36:11] Sovereignty to win. [36:12] Put that in its own separate bucket. [36:14] I think my exacta box is going to be sovereignty, journalism, Luxor Cafe, and Baeza.”
Sovereignty won the 151st Kentucky Derby on May 3, 2025, defeating Journalism and Baeza on a sloppy track (KentuckyDerby.com official race page).
“Cavs on the money line minus 105 are my two NBA bets tonight.”
108-102 — Cavaliers beat Knicks 108-102, rallying from 23 down (ESPN box score); Cleveland moneyline wins.
“I also bet Austin Reaves over four and a half assists”
Austin Reaves recorded 6 assists in the Lakers' 140-109 win over the Rockets on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score), clearing the 4.5 over. (Austin Reaves: 6 assists)
“first five under three and a half in that game.”
3-5 — Seattle led Texas 3-1 through five innings (ESPN box score/line score) in Seattle's eventual 5-3 win, 4 combined runs through five, over the 3.5 first-five under.
“Nats, Marlins”
7-4 — ESPN box score shows both Washington and Miami were scoreless through the first four innings on 4/11/25 (Miami's first run came in the 5th) in Washington's eventual 7-4 comeback win; no first-inning run occurred.
“Giants, Yankees.”
9-1 — The Giants scored 5 runs in the top of the 1st inning (Jung Hoo Lee 3-run HR, LaMonte Wade Jr. 2-run double) of their 9-1 win over the Yankees on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score).
“Pirates, Reds, another Yerfee”
3-5 — The Reds scored 3 runs in the bottom of the 1st inning (Candelario 2-run HR plus a groundout RBI) of their 5-3 win over Pittsburgh on 4/11/25 (ESPN box score line score).
“Rockies, Padres.”
0-8 — ESPN box score line score shows 0-0 after the 1st inning of San Diego's 8-0 win over Colorado on 4/11/25 (Padres scored 6 in the 5th); no first-inning run occurred.
“Cubs, Dodgers.”
0-3 — ESPN box score shows Yamamoto and Boyd dueled through five scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 3-0 win over the Cubs on 4/11/25 (LA scored all 3 in the 6th); no first-inning run occurred.
“I like Florida a little bit more than Bama so I willing to get to the window on the Gators”
86-77 — Florida Gators won the 2025 SEC men's basketball tournament, beating Tennessee 86-77 in the championship game on March 16, 2025 (ESPN box score).
“I'm betting 200-1. I found a 200-1 on Georgia. I got to go 200-1 on Georgia.”
81-75 — Georgia (11-seed) was eliminated in the SEC tournament first round, losing 81-75 to 14-seed Oklahoma on March 12, 2025, so Georgia did not win the tournament (ESPN box score).
“I took 8.5 earlier tonight.”
76-72 — UNC Wilmington beat Delaware 76-72 in the CAA championship game on March 11, 2025, a 4-point margin, so Delaware +8.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“We're taking Maine plus four and a half.”
57-42 — Maine beat Vermont 57-42 outright in the America East semifinal on March 11, 2025, easily covering +4.5 (ESPN box score).
“I took three and a half earlier today.”
79-65 — UTEP beat Sam Houston 79-65 in the Conference USA tournament opener on March 11, 2025; Sam Houston lost by 14, failing to cover +3.5 (ESPN box score).
“I laid over $2 with them in the NEC. I am highly confident that they are so much better than the rest of their conference that when we get to a final, I'll feel very strongly that I'm on the right side of that.”
46-43 — Central Connecticut, the No. 1 seed, lost the 2025 NEC tournament championship 43-46 to Saint Francis (PA) on March 11, 2025, which won the conference's automatic NCAA bid (Wikipedia).
“I did take a small piece of Clemson 7-1.”
73-62 — Duke won the 2025 ACC men's basketball tournament, beating Louisville 73-62 in the final on March 15, 2025; Clemson did not win, so the +700 futures loses (ESPN box score).
“I got over 158. I think you're going to see someone's getting a 90 tonight.”
88-80 — Illinois beat Purdue 88-80 on 2025-03-07, a combined 168 points that clears the over 158 total (ESPN box score).
“We're going to bet SEMO on the money line today”
78-59 — Southeast Missouri State beat Little Rock 78-59 in the 2025 OVC tournament semifinal on 2025-03-07, so the SEMO moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I like USF plus 12.5 at Memphis.”
84-68 — Memphis beat South Florida 84-68 on 2025-03-07, a 16-point win that busts South Florida +12.5 (ESPN box score).
“And I like Bradley. I laid 4.5 earlier today.”
70-62 — Bradley beat Murray State 70-62 in the MVC quarterfinal on 2025-03-07, an 8-point win that covers Bradley -4.5 (ESPN box score).
“I would say St. John's. I think Brad mentioned it. He didn't get to it during our segment, but Brad said the Johnnies, I think they're plus two, plus two and a half.”
86-84 — St. John's beat Marquette 86-84 in overtime on 2025-03-08, a 2-point win that covers St. John's +2 (ESPN box score).
“I'm on App State, but I got a big price, so we'll see what happens.”
94-81 — Troy, not Appalachian State, won the 2025 Sun Belt Conference championship, beating Arkansas State 94-81 on 2025-03-10, so Appalachian State's futures bet loses (Sun Belt Conference official recap).
“I'm on the money line three ways, so if it draws, I'll lose. But it's plus 150, so it was just a little something to wet my whistle.”
2-1 — AS Roma beat Athletic Bilbao 2-1 on March 6, 2025 in the Europa League round of 16 first leg, winning outright on the three-way moneyline (ESPN final).
“So I took minus five-and-a-half. I laid it with the Lions tonight”
78-63 — North Alabama beat Jacksonville 78-63 in the ASUN semifinal on March 6, 2025, a -15 margin for North Alabama that covers -5.5 (ESPN final).
“I bet Lipscomb, I think it was minus 190 to win the A-Sun”
76-65 — Lipscomb beat North Alabama 76-65 on March 9, 2025 to win the 2025 ASUN men's basketball championship (ESPN final).
“Hey, I went UMass Lowell. I got him at 16-1.”
79-59 — Bryant beat Maine 79-59 on March 15, 2025 to win the 2025 America East men's basketball championship; UMass Lowell did not win (ESPN final).
“So I think Northern Kentucky, I got 25 to one at BetMGM yesterday”
89-78 — Robert Morris beat Youngstown State 89-78 on March 11, 2025 to win the 2025 Horizon League championship; Northern Kentucky did not win (ESPN final).
“So I think that would be my bet here. I'll take Little Rock 5-1.”
69-48 — SIU Edwardsville beat Southeast Missouri State 69-48 on March 8, 2025 to win the 2025 Ohio Valley Conference championship; Little Rock did not win (ESPN final).
“I took App State”
Old Dominion 61, App State 56 — Troy won the 2025 Sun Belt tournament; Appalachian State was eliminated in the fourth round on March 7, 2025, losing to Old Dominion 61-56 (ESPN final).
“I think the best bet on the NBA card today is the great barrier thief, as Jay Croucher dubbed him. Dyson Daniels to win most improved player. Love that look. I think you just carry that sucker home. I saw three to one at BetMGM. Great price.”
Dyson Daniels won the 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player award, announced April 30, 2025 (NBA.com).
“I'm going with Karl-Anthony Towns over 22 and a half points tonight against the Lakers.”
113-109 — The Lakers beat the Knicks 113-109 in OT on March 6, 2025; Karl-Anthony Towns scored 12 points, under his 22.5 line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 12 points)
“Yeah, I'll go Riverside plus one and a half.”
94-79 — UC Riverside beat Cal State Northridge 94-79 outright on March 6, 2025, easily covering +1.5 (ESPN final).
“I'll take Wright State plus 6.5.”
83-62 — Robert Morris beat Wright State 83-62 in the Horizon League quarterfinal on March 6, 2025, a 21-point Wright State loss that busts +6.5 (ESPN final).
“No, but I definitely just took some Jacksonville plus seven”
78-63 — North Alabama beat Jacksonville 78-63 in the ASUN semifinal on March 6, 2025, a 15-point Jacksonville loss that busts +7 (ESPN final).
“I've got Illinois State early. I've got North Alabama later tonight.”
70-54 — Illinois State beat Missouri State 70-54 in the Missouri Valley tournament opening round on March 6, 2025, winning outright on the moneyline (ESPN final).
“If you're going to give me seven points with a team that I think is the best team in the A-Sun, I don't care if they're at home and they're on the road.”
Lipscomb 75, North Alabama 63 — Lipscomb beat North Alabama 75-63 on Feb 20, 2025, a 12-point margin, so North Alabama +7 did not cover (ESPN box score).
“Campbell's laying five. I don't have a problem laying more than that because NCAA and T is down to like six players.”
53-50 — North Carolina A&T beat Campbell outright 53-50 on Feb 20, 2025 (ESPN box score), so Campbell -5 did not cover.
“I'm fading Team USA. Give me the Maple Leafs of Canada.”
Canada 3, United States 2 (OT) — Canada beat the United States 3-2 in overtime to win the 4 Nations Face-Off final on Feb 20, 2025, so Canada moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“I took some Providence plus three earlier this morning before that news kind of became a little bit more widely known.”
93-72 — Georgetown beat Providence 93-72 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Providence lost by 21, well outside the +3 spread, so the bet lost.
“I think Mizzou is the play. I bet it at one earlier today.”
110-98 — Missouri beat Alabama 110-98 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Missouri's 12-point margin covers the -1 spread.
“And I like Miles Bridges over 20.5 points, minus 105.”
100-97 — Miles Bridges scored 29 points as the Hornets beat the Lakers 100-97 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); 29 points covers the over 20.5 line. (Miles Bridges 29 points)
“I'd take Notre Dame. I bet them as a dog earlier today. They're now a slight favorite. I think that means Boopy Miller, the best player on SMU, isn't going to play. Difference between plus one and a half and minus one and a half.”
97-73 — SMU beat Notre Dame 97-73 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score); Notre Dame lost by 24, well outside the +1.5 spread, so the bet lost.
“I'm betting the over 152.5.”
80-72 — Furman beat Samford 80-72 on Feb 19, 2025 (ESPN box score), a combined 152 points, one point under the 152.5 total, so the over bet lost. (152 combined points)
“Reed, let's stay in the big 10. I took 12 with Minnesota tonight.”
64-61 — Minnesota beat UCLA 64-61 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Minnesota +12 covers easily with the outright win.
“And then you made a good case for Illinois. So I added the Illini catch in the four”
95-74 — Wisconsin beat Illinois 95-74 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Illinois lost by 21, well outside the +4 spread, so the bet lost.
“I'm on A&M plus the three tonight down in Stark Vegas.”
70-54 — Mississippi State beat Texas A&M 70-54 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Texas A&M lost by 16, well outside the +3 spread, so the bet lost.
“Give me North Alabama. Not Alabama, not South Alabama, North Alabama, minus 15.5 against West Jordan.”
80-62 — North Alabama beat West Georgia 80-62 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); North Alabama's 18-point margin covers the -15.5 spread.
“I'll take Air Force plus nine at Wyoming.”
69-62 — Wyoming beat Air Force 69-62 on Feb 18, 2025 (ESPN box score); Air Force's 7-point loss covers the +9 spread.
“So I would say under 136.5, a safe bet tonight with Merrimack and Manhattan.”
Manhattan 79, Merrimack 75 — Manhattan beat Merrimack 79-75 on 2025-02-14 (ESPN); combined 154 points is over the 136.5 total, so the under busts.
“But the over 147 and a half, that is a stone cold wager for me.”
Wisconsin 94, Purdue 84 — Wisconsin beat Purdue 94-84 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); combined 178 points clears the 147.5 total, so the over cashed.
“It is the Green Bay Phoenix, and we are going to take the team total under 67 and a half.”
Green Bay scored 60 points in a 73-60 loss to Northern Kentucky on 2025-02-14 (ESPN), under the 67.5 team-total line. (Green Bay 60 points)
“I'm going to take the over one 47 and a half.”
Wisconsin 94, Purdue 84 — Wisconsin beat Purdue 94-84 on 2025-02-15 (ESPN); combined 178 points clears the 147.5 total, so the over cashed.
“I'm also going to take the longest odds of the 20 to one odds you're giving me.”
Purdue was seeded No. 4 in the Midwest Region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament (Wikipedia bracket record), not a No. 1 seed, so the futures bet lost.
“I laid 13 with Texas this morning.”
Texas 39, Arizona State 31 — Texas beat Arizona State 39-31 in 2OT in the Peach Bowl; Texas won by only 8, failing to cover -13 (ESPN box score).
“I did bet the under 49.”
TOL 48, PITT 46 — Toledo beat Pittsburgh 48-46 in six overtimes at the GameAbove Sports Bowl, a combined 94 points, busting the under 49 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Kansas State minus six and a half last night”
KSU 44, RUTG 41 — Kansas State beat Rutgers 44-41 in the Rate Bowl, a 3-point margin, falling short of the -6.5 line (ESPN recap).
“DeAndre Swift under 59 and a half rushing yards.”
SEA 6, CHI 3 — D'Andre Swift rushed for 53 yards in Chicago's 6-3 loss to Seattle, staying under the 59.5 line (ESPN box score). (D'Andre Swift: 53 rushing yards)
“I bet a Xavier Worthy over. I think I got 32 and a half.”
Xavier Worthy caught 5 passes for 54 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders on 11/29/2024, clearing the 32.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (54 receiving yards)
“And I also bet Mahomes is over 248 and a half.”
Patrick Mahomes threw for 306 yards (26-of-46) in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders on 11/29/2024, clearing the 248.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (306 passing yards)
“so I bet – I took three with Pittsburgh.”
44-38 — Steelers beat Bengals 44-38 outright on 12/1/2024 (ESPN), easily covering the +3 spread.
“Yeah, so I paired it with Denver, which is the Monday night game.”
Both parlay legs won on 12/1-12/2/2024: Commanders beat Titans 42-19 (ESPN) and Broncos beat Browns 41-32 (ESPN).
“I did bet New England plus three earlier this week.”
25-24 — Colts beat Patriots 25-24 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); New England lost by 1 point, covering the +3 spread.
“I've got under five wins for New England.”
Patriots finished the 2024 regular season 4-13 (ESPN schedule/results), under the 5-win line. (Patriots finished 4-13)
“I took three and a half with Arizona.”
23-22 — Vikings beat Cardinals 23-22 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); Arizona lost by 1 point, covering the +3.5 spread.
“I went Carolina plus six.”
26-23 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 26-23 in overtime on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); Carolina lost by 3, covering the +6 spread.
“I like the over, too, 46.”
26-23 — Buccaneers beat Panthers 26-23 in overtime on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); combined 49 points went over the 46 total.
“I took three with New Orleans.”
21-14 — Rams beat Saints 21-14 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); New Orleans lost by 7, failing to cover the +3 spread.
“I went over 51 in that Ravens-Eagles game.”
24-19 — Eagles beat Ravens 24-19 on 12/1/2024 (ESPN); combined 43 points stayed under the 51 total.
“I took a small nibble of Detroit minus 9.5.”
23-20 — Lions beat Bears 23-20 on Thanksgiving 2024; Detroit won by only 3 points, failing to cover -9.5.
“Caleb Williams over 21 and a half completions.”
23-20 — Caleb Williams went 20-of-39 passing vs the Lions on 11/28/24, under the 21.5 completions line. (20 completions (20/39))
“I am absolutely betting Giants plus four and a half.”
27-20 — Cowboys beat Giants 27-20 on Thanksgiving 2024; Giants lost outright by 7, failing to cover +4.5.
“So I bet the over in this game early in the week at 47.”
17-13 — Chargers beat Falcons 17-13 on 12/1/24; combined score of 30 is well under the 47 total, so the over lost (ESPN box score).
“I grabbed four with the Jags earlier this week.”
23-20 — Texans beat Jaguars 23-20 on 12/1/24; Jaguars lost by 3, covering +4 (ESPN box score).
“I bet Seattle minus one.”
26-21 — Seahawks beat Jets 26-21 on 12/1/24, covering -1 (ESPN box score).