Mo Donegal to win Belmont Stakes
“We look at the odds. We,
the people is the favorite coming in at two to one Skippy long stocking,
20 to one nest eight to one moving right along red strike who took home the
Derby, 7-2.
Jeremy, who can realistically win this thing?
Who can realistically take it home?
You look at odds and all factors.
I'm tossing two horses right out of the gate.
I'm tossing Skippy Longstocking and Golden Glider.
I don't like Skippy Longstocking in this race in general.
And Golden Glider...
They're finished, I believe, 10 lengths behind We the People and the Peter Pan, which for me was a glorified allowance race.
There was nothing in that race.
I mean, let's be honest.
There's no stars in that race.
If We the People gets to the front, obviously he's a player because he's alone speed in the race.
If nobody contests him in the first quarter, he gets alone, starts loping along, goes 24 in the first quarter, 48 and change in the second.
He could run away with it.
I see that scenario as the only scenario he wins, to be honest, because I don't think this horse likes to get dirt kicked in his face.
You go back to the Arkansas Derby, broke from the nine post and nobody goes outside.
There's only nine horses in the race.
Nobody to his right.
Could not get clear.
Brat couldn't get him clear of the three horses to his left.
Dropped him back in behind him.
And that horse did nothing in the Arkansas Derby.
He did not fire.
I believe he finished seven.
Wasn't even in contention the entire race.
That horse has to get to the lead.
He has to or else I don't believe he wins the race.
Mo Donegal is the horse for me right now.
I hope his odds drift.
I believe he's five to two right now.”
Official race results confirm the recorded settlement.
Early Voting across the board (win/place/show)
“I'm going to keep it simple as well.
I'm just going to flip it.
I'm going to go with early voting.
I just think that Chad Brown angle, skipping the derby,
coming in with a fresher horse who can get this distance.
I'm a bigger Jose Ortiz fan.
And I just think at some point, this horse epicenter, he will bounce.
Maybe it won't be this race.
I'm going to use him in my exotics.
I like simplification, early voting, epicenter, and secret oath in an exact box.
I think you can put them all together in a big number.
You're probably going to have that combination.
But I'm going to go with early voting across the board as my top pick.
You're just getting better value.
If he finishes top three, if he finishes second, I'm going to get money for second and third.
I'm going to get my money back, basically.
I'm going to make a little bit of a profit.
If he wins, then we're in a better position.
But I'm going to stick with early voting and hope he can pull off the win.”
NYRA's official Preakness results name Early Voting winner, confirming the win-place-show wager settled won as recorded.
Exacta box: Simplification, Early Voting, Epicenter, Secret Oath
“And I just think at some point, this horse epicenter, he will bounce.”
NYRA's official Preakness results place Early Voting and Epicenter first and second, confirming the exacta box settled won as recorded.
Rock Your World to win Kentucky Derby
“this so um I've been going back and forth on my pick and I've been stuck on the same one since I
watched it since I watched him win his derby prep and that was rock your world that was the horse I
had um a lot of elements similar to Barbaro I love that horse former Kentucky Derby winner um
obviously who broke down in the Preakness um but very similar in the approach that Barbaro
started off as a turf horse and not a lot of people know that and he was successful on turf
and they said let's switch him because he had the pedigree to run both switch him over to dirt
and obviously the rest was history same thing with rocky world first two starts of his career”
Churchill Downs' 2021 Kentucky Derby report identifies Medina Spirit as the winner; Rock Your World did not win.
Known Agenda / Rock Your World over Mandaloun, Hot Rod Charlie, Dynamic One, Essential Quality, Highly Motivated (exacta key)
“with this race um i'm gonna key in the other ones we just spoke about i'm gonna box but this one i'm just gonna key on top um you know known agenda and rocky world then underneath i'm gonna wind up using uh number seven mandaloon who is 15 to one number nine hot rod charlie your louisiana derby winner uh nine to two um dynamic one number 11 who is 20 to one morning line and then i'll have essential quality who's your two to one two to one favorite we'll probably go off as two to one um as well as number seven highly motivated”
Churchill Downs' 2021 Kentucky Derby report identifies Medina Spirit as winner, so the Keyed Known Agenda/Rock Your World exacta did not hit.