“I'll give you the one that not only would I back, I actually have backed with my own USD here. The only national championship bat I have put in preseason is on the Oregon Ducks.”
Joey Knish
Guest · 55-84-1 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 4-6 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 37 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | spread | moneyline | futures | total | prop | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | 19-26-19% | 3-9-52% | 5-10-36% | 3-1 | 0-2 | 30-48-27% |
| NFL | 5-8-27% | 8-2+53% | 0-5-100% | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14-18-17% |
| CBB | 4-2+27% | 0-1 | — | 1-0 | — | 5-3+19% |
| Other | 1-0 | 3-4-18% | — | — | — | 4-4-6% |
| WNBA | 1-3 | — | 0-1 | 0-2 | — | 1-6-73% |
Picks
144 total · 4 pending“For me, I took some Michigan State over four and a half. There's some decent good plus money out there on over four and a half.”
“If I'm making a bet, I'm going with that price-wise as opposed to going to the top of the board. Because I think that defense is real deal. And John McKeer, hopefully he was, you know, I think he was banged up for a lot of last year and his performance declined. You can get the offense going a little bit, and I think that defense is as good as it gets right now. So Oklahoma around 10-1 for me to win the SEC, I've sprinkled a bit.”
“I just think Texas Tech is far and away the best team in the Big 12. And I'd play, anything with a plus sign on them to win the Big 12 has been a bet for me.”
“I got them against the spread versus Louisville, money line, and I think they would be very, very live against the Michigan State team that I really, really do not think is up for the challenge this March.”
83-79 — Louisville beat South Florida 83-79 in the NCAA Tournament first round; South Florida moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“We're going, and this will make it, it's not even officially a round one because it's the first four. Prairie View, Lehigh, under, 143.5. There's some 144.5 out there. Going to be an ugly one on the old Prairie. Prairie View, Lehigh, under, on Wednesday to start us off.”
67-55 — Prairie View A&M beat Lehigh 67-55 in the First Four (122 combined); under 143.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“But Super Bowl, I'll have a little sprinkle on the money line, but a real bet on the four and a half.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Seahawks beat Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; New England's -16 margin fails to cover the +4.5 spread.
“But Super Bowl, I'll have a little sprinkle on the money line, but a real bet on the four and a half.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Seahawks beat Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; New England Patriots moneyline busts.
“Drake Maye under 5.5 first quarter rushing yards. So we got that one. I think first off, they're not going to get him. I think you'll see as the game goes on, maybe he gets more in the scramble, but I don't think he'll have any of those design runs early. Maybe they're looking to protect the shoulder. It's a very little bit of a defensive coach. I think they'll try and establish the run a little bit on the early side. Let's go May 1st quarter under five and a half yards.”
Drake Maye's only first-quarter rush went for 11 yards (scramble to SEA 44) in Super Bowl LX, well over the under 5.5 first-quarter rushing yards line. (Drake Maye: 11 first-quarter rushing yards)
“Give me Chicago to step up, get the win at home.”
CHI 31, GB 27 — Bears beat Packers 31-27 in the NFC Wild Card game, so Chicago moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“I'm with you. Boomer sooner. Think Oklahoma gets it done.”
ALA 34, OU 24 — Alabama beat Oklahoma 34-24 in the CFP first round after trailing by 17, so the Oklahoma moneyline pick lost (ESPN).
“Give me the Red Wolves Tonight In the bowl game Basically minus one Right now There's some pick out there Minus one and a half Best number you can get Arkansas State Tonight”
ARST 34, MOST 28 — Arkansas State beat Missouri State 34-28 in the Frisco-hosted bowl game (officially the Xbox Bowl); the Red Wolves' 6-point margin covers -1.5 (ESPN).
“And you're getting seven now? I laid it with a little bit of Ole Miss.”
MSST 19, MISS 38 — Ole Miss beat Mississippi State 38-19 in the Egg Bowl; the Rebels' +19 margin covers laying -7 (ESPN box score).
“Black Friday night, A&M in Texas. A&M, a two-and-a-half-point road favorite, 52-and-a-half the total. I'd like to bet A&M, Kanish, but I am deathly afraid of the Arch-Manning game. How are you betting A&M in Texas? You know what? I got no fear, baby. No fear. Give me A&M. Give me the oil money. Give me the eggs. I think this Texas team has been fraudulent all year. They've had a few good efforts here at home against weaker opponents. This is not that. This is the best rendition of Texas A&M in a long time, and I think they handle business.”
TEX 27, TA&M 17 — Texas beat Texas A&M 27-17; the Aggies' -10 margin busts laying -2.5 (ESPN box score).
“Black Friday night, A&M in Texas. A&M, a two-and-a-half-point road favorite, 52-and-a-half the total. I'd like to bet A&M, Kanish, but I am deathly afraid of the Arch-Manning game. How are you betting A&M in Texas? You know what? I got no fear, baby. No fear. Give me A&M. Give me the oil money. Give me the eggs. I think this Texas team has been fraudulent all year. They've had a few good efforts here at home against weaker opponents. This is not that. This is the best rendition of Texas A&M in a long time, and I think they handle business. I think they got the better quarterback in this game and a better team overall. They go on the road. They handle it. I laid it with A&M. Even some cheap money line out there, minus 120-ish. I like that. I like that quite a bit. Over here, too, for me. I think it's a little back and forth, but overall think A&M's too much.”
TEX 27, TA&M 17 — Texas beat Texas A&M 27-17; the combined 44 points falls short of the 52.5 total, so the over busts (ESPN box score).
“The big game. Ohio State, 10 at your Michigan Wolverines, 44 and a half the total. You know I think Ohio State's gonna kill them. What do you think? Ohio State and Michigan, and be honest with us. I you know what I was with you and maybe you don't maybe don't take this one to the bank but I'll say for the last month the last six weeks I said you know what it's over the streak is over the streak is dead it's up and then last week no Carnell Tate no Jeremiah Smith Bryce Underwood couple of great weeks and behind him I don't know if Jeremiah Smith is going to play in this game I do know if he plays, he's not going to be 100%. And the Buckeyes haven't been, I heard it in the prelim, they haven't been tested. They haven't gotten that sweat rag. They haven't had that Mike Tyson. The season's going well until you get punched in the mouth. And it's windy. It's cold here. The snow's going to be out. All the trimmings for another game weather. And if you think that Ryan Day, after all those L's in a row, when it's tight in the fourth quarter, he's going to be shivering like a leaf, like a bleep off the Buckeye on that weekend. Give me Michigan with five in a row, baby.”
MICH 9, OSU 27 — Ohio State beat Michigan 27-9; Michigan's -18 margin busts the +10 spread (ESPN box score).
“I played a little Washington. Numbers come down, though, under seven. It had to be seven or better for me.”
WASH 14, ORE 26 — Oregon beat Washington 26-14; Washington's -12 margin busts the +7 spread (ESPN box score).
“Vandy, I like it. I think they're winning outright. I think Pavia ends the story career, and I think they go big. It looked great last week against the Tennessee team. I don't believe in their defense whatsoever. Give me Vandy.”
TENN 24, VAN 45 — Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 45-24 outright; the moneyline bet covers (ESPN box score).
“Give me 10 seconds on the Iron Bowl. Bama laying six at Auburn. I can't lay that number with. I can't lay that. I know Auburn's a couple of cute quarterbacks. Going to be a defensive grinder. I think Auburn can step up here. I took the points. Not one of my favorites, but give me Auburn in a close one.”
AUB 20, ALA 27 — Alabama beat Auburn 27-20 in the Iron Bowl; Auburn's -7 margin busts the +6 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'm in on 10. 10 was my buy price. I'm in on 10. I actually took some 10 and a half early in the week. I still like it at 10.”
ORE 42, USC 27 — Oregon beat USC 42-27; the Trojans lost by 15, outside the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“Over a touchdown, I love it, and I agree with you. I would not be shocked if this is a Missouri upset. Don't get me wrong. No matter what, I don't love the quarterback play, but every other facet of Missouri's team, Defense, running game, has been very solid week after week in SEC play. Give me the 7.5. Give me the 8. Give me that.”
OU 17, MIZ 6 — Oklahoma beat Missouri 17-6; the Tigers lost by 11, outside the +8 spread (ESPN).
“And you know what? A little bit of sprinkle there. I like that because I think Missouri is live in this one.”
OU 17, MIZ 6 — Missouri lost 17-6 to Oklahoma; the moneyline busts (ESPN).
“A lot of the market-leading books are about to go 14.5. This is one, especially at that number, get 14, 14 across there. I'm with you. Let's take a ride for an ugly game in College Park”
MICH 45, MD 20 — Michigan beat Maryland 45-20; the Terrapins lost by 25, outside the +14 spread (ESPN).
“Give me Cincy. They've been down a few weeks. Come up big. Cincy outright at home. I think they get BYU here.”
BYU 26, CIN 14 — Cincinnati lost 26-14 to BYU at home; the moneyline busts (ESPN).
“And I'll give you a little bonus one. James Madison, lay it. The 13 and a half. Wazoo, season's over, traveling across the country. James Madison needs style points. They put 50 on App State last week. They're going to absolutely take Wazoo and put him in the blender this week. I laid it. I think they beat him large.”
JMU 24, WSU 20 — James Madison beat Washington State 24-20, winning by only 4, short of the -13.5 spread (ESPN).
“I got tonight WNCAA women's college baby Evansville, the lady. I don't even know where Evansville, Evansville, the lady Evans. That's not that. It's something else. But the lady Evans plus eight and a half tonight.”
Evansville 75, IU Indy 58 — Evansville beat IU Indianapolis 75-58 outright on November 20, 2025, easily covering the +8.5 spread (ESPN team schedule).
“Guarantee. Lock outright of the week. Oklahoma Sooners take down the Crimson Tide. Clip it up in the back room, baby, and have it ready for next week when I'm tap dancing on Nicky K's Greek grave and throwing some feta all over. Sooners outright.”
Oklahoma 23, Alabama 21 — Oklahoma beat Alabama 23-21 outright, so the Sooners moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Ole Miss, 14-and-a-half at home, 53-and-a-half the total. Any desire to take the points with the Gators? You know what? One of my guys that I work with took some Florida earlier, and I think you're paying a huge premium on this number for the Florida performance last week, for some of the potential, you know, quote-unquote quit factor that might be there. It would be Florida or nothing for me. I know people, and a few of these spots where Lane has come out almost throughout the year and said, take the over, take the point. He really hasn't been getting the job. And even last week, first, the Citadel, they don't cover the number. It would be Florida for me. It's going to be light, though.”
Ole Miss 34, Florida 24 — Ole Miss beat Florida 34-24; Florida lost by 10, covering +14.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the 20 and a half. Penn State keeps it close.”
38-14 — Ohio State beat Penn State 38-14; Penn State lost by 24, outside +20.5, so the spread bet busts.
“So I bought a lot this week. Personally, Joey K Investment. But I'm in on Mendoza.”
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) won the 2025 Heisman Trophy. (2025 Heisman winner: Fernando Mendoza)
“I bet a little Michigan State at 14 and a half”
Michigan 31, Michigan State 20 — Michigan beat Michigan State 31-20, a -11 margin for Michigan State that covers +14.5 (ESPN final).
“Give me the gophers to go into Iowa City plus nine”
Iowa 41, Minnesota 3 — Iowa beat Minnesota 41-3, a -38 margin for Minnesota that busts +9 (ESPN final).
“We're going to row the boat all the way to the money line, baby.”
Iowa 41, Minnesota 3 — Iowa beat Minnesota 41-3, so Minnesota's moneyline bet lost (ESPN final).
“Give me the Boilers plus three this weekend. Not going to need the points.”
NU 19, PUR 0 — Northwestern shut out Purdue 19-0 on Oct 18, 2025; Purdue lost by 19, well outside the +3 spread, so the bet lost (ESPN box score).
“Would you, ahead of this game where they're, like, pretty big favorites, obviously, against USC, would you bet Notre Dame now, Kanish? Is that a bet that you've placed? Notre Dame 17-1 to win the Natty at BetMGM. Yep, I've been in on it.”
Indiana defeated Miami 27-21 to win the 2025-26 College Football Playoff National Championship in January 2026; Notre Dame did not win it, so the futures bet lost (NCAA.com). (Indiana defeated Miami 27-21 in the CFP National Championship)
“I took the Bucs again. Give me the plus five and a half.”
DET 24, TB 9 — Lions beat the Buccaneers 24-9 on Oct 20, 2025; Tampa Bay lost by 15, well outside the +5.5 spread, so the bet lost (ESPN box score).
“But, yeah, give me the Tigers tomorrow. And going to the championship series, well, we'll get, you know, blasted out of the country by Toronto. But, hey, I like the Tigers tomorrow to take it on Friday.”
SEA 3, DET 2 — Mariners beat Tigers 3-2 in 15 innings in ALDS Game 5; Tigers moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Laid the 13-and-a-half, laid the 14. I just think Texas Tech runs them out.”
TTU 42, KU 17 — Texas Tech beat Kansas 42-17; margin +25 covers -13.5 (ESPN).
“Laid the 13-and-a-half, laid the 14. I just think Texas Tech runs them out.”
TTU 42, KU 17 — Texas Tech beat Kansas 42-17; margin +25 covers -14 (ESPN).
“Give me the Chiefs this weekend. Give me that. You know I love the Lions. You know I love Dan Campbell. You know that I'm Detroit through and through. No left tackle, no cornerback. Am I your Joey Kay? They called me out to the practice field today to see if I can play cornerback. Bad spot, bad schedule spot going into the bye. Kansas City offense rolling. I just think this is kind of a schedule slash injury loss, and the Lions get it. I'm not going to say put on him here, but give me Casey.”
KC 30, DET 17 — Chiefs beat Lions 30-17; Chiefs moneyline covers (ESPN).
“11 and a half on the market at Nebraska.”
NEB 38, MSU 27 — Nebraska beat Michigan State 38-27; Michigan State covers as +11.5 underdogs (ESPN).
“And this will be in the old money line around Robbins this weekend.”
NEB 38, MSU 27 — Michigan State lost to Nebraska 38-27; Michigan State moneyline lost (ESPN).
“We're going with a little, little early. The Blue Hens of Delaware, baby, against Western Kentucky. Two and a half out there.”
WKU 27, DEL 24 — Western Kentucky beat Delaware 27-24; Delaware fails to cover as +2.5 underdogs (ESPN).
“There's still a number of two and a half out there. Give me the LAC,”
WSH 27, LAC 10 — Commanders beat Chargers 27-10; Chargers lost outright, busting the -2.5 spread (ESPN).
“Give me the Phoenix.”
Aces def. Mercury 4-0 — The Las Vegas Aces swept the Phoenix Mercury 4-0 to win the 2025 WNBA Finals; Phoenix Mercury did not win (ESPN).
“At now flat three, it's a Utah play for me. Was hoping to get the three. Even I see a couple of juice two-and-a-halves around in the market there. But three was the one that it was going to be a Utah play for me. If it could get there, it's there. That's the way I'm playing it.”
TTU 34, UTAH 10 — Texas Tech beat Utah 34-10; Utah -3 busts (ESPN box score).
“It's Florida for me. It's the seven and a half out there.”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — LSU beat Florida 20-10 (ESPN); Florida lost by 10, missing the +7.5 spread.
“Now that this got down around three, hey, numbers more than teams, baby. Give me the buy. Give me the Tigers. I'll buy low here on a Clemson team”
GT 24, CLEM 21 — Georgia Tech beat Clemson 24-21 on a walk-off field goal (ESPN); Clemson lost outright, missing the -3 spread.
“Give me the five and a half. I'm going with the Lions.”
DET 52, CHI 21 — Detroit routed Chicago 52-21 (ESPN box score); the Lions' 31-point margin easily covers -5.5.
“Boxing Canelo Crawford. Give me Bud Crawford as the dog this weekend in the fight of the century.”
Terence Crawford defeated Canelo Alvarez by unanimous decision (116-112, 115-113, 115-113) on Sept 13, 2025 at Allegiant Stadium (UFC.com official results), winning the undisputed super middleweight title as the moneyline underdog.
“Michigan to cover, Michigan to win.”
OU 24-MICH 13 — Oklahoma beat Michigan 24-13 on Sept 6, 2025; the Michigan moneyline lost (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Hawkeyes. Take the points. The three and a half.”
ISU 16-IOWA 13 — Iowa State beat Iowa 16-13 on Sept 6, 2025; Iowa lost by only 3, covering the +3.5 spread (ESPN final score).
“Give me the two-and-a-half.”
GB 27-DET 13 — Packers beat Lions 27-13 on Sept 7, 2025; Detroit lost by 14, missing the +2.5 spread (ESPN final score).
“Give me the Chargers plus three.”
LAC 27-KC 21 — Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21 in São Paulo on Sept 5, 2025; Los Angeles won outright, easily covering +3 (ESPN final score).
“Outright. You don't even need the point.”
LAC 27-KC 21 — Chargers beat Chiefs 27-21 in São Paulo on Sept 5, 2025; the Chargers moneyline won (ESPN final score).
“We're going Seattle. Minus one, minus one and a half around.”
NYL 84-SEA 76 — New York Liberty beat Seattle Storm 84-76 on Sept 5, 2025; Seattle lost outright, missing the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Under, good to 159.”
NYL 84-SEA 76 — New York Liberty beat Seattle Storm 84-76 on Sept 5, 2025; the combined 160 points went over the 159 total, so the under lost (ESPN box score).
“Took some plus two, took some plus one and a half, sprinkled a little bit of money line.”
34-7 — The Chargers beat the Lions 34-7 on July 31, 2025; Los Angeles won outright, so Chargers +2 covers.
“Took some plus two, took some plus one and a half, sprinkled a little bit of money line.”
34-7 — The Chargers beat the Lions 34-7 on July 31, 2025; Los Angeles won outright, so Chargers +1.5 covers.
“Took some plus two, took some plus one and a half, sprinkled a little bit of money line.”
34-7 — The Chargers beat the Lions 34-7 on July 31, 2025; the Los Angeles moneyline cashes.
“That would be the one team preseason national championship market that I played a little bit on.”
Indiana beat Miami 27-21 on Jan 19, 2026 to win the CFP national championship; Alabama did not win the title, so the futures bet lost. (2025-26 CFP National Championship: Indiana 27, Miami 21)
“Valkyries, Mystics over 154. Random in the dub, Valkyries, Mystics over in the dub tonight. I'm going to bet it right now.”
68-67 — The Valkyries beat the Mystics 68-67 on July 31, 2025; the combined 135 points is under the 154 total.
“Gunnolad, I'm taking the Lions at a pick here.”
27-13 — Green Bay beat Detroit 27-13 in the 2025 NFL Week 1 opener on September 7, 2025; Detroit's moneyline pick lost.
“I mean, have I sprinkled both kickers at 500-1? Yes. Yes, I have.”
40-22 — Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP after Philadelphia's 40-22 win over Kansas City — per NFL.com. Harrison Butker did not win MVP.
“I mean, have I sprinkled both kickers at 500-1? Yes. Yes, I have.”
40-22 — Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP after Philadelphia's 40-22 win over Kansas City — per NFL.com. Jake Elliott did not win MVP.
“I don't hate it, 100-1 Dallas Goddard. I don't think there's a ton of value in the MVP market. Both kickers, just a little pocket change, and got her to 101. Those would be the ones I've sprinkled a little bit on.”
40-22 — Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP after Philadelphia's 40-22 win over Kansas City — per NFL.com. Dallas Goedert did not win MVP.
“Give me Mahomes under 4.5. I think that totals a little crazy anyway for a fourth quarter. I've got to be honest with you. Under 4.5, minus 120 at that MGM on the Mahomes rushing yardage.”
ESPN's Super Bowl LIX play-by-play shows Patrick Mahomes had zero rush attempts in the first quarter (his first scramble, for 3 yards, came with 1:58 left in the third quarter), so his first-quarter rushing yards (0) stayed under 4.5. (0 rushing yards for Patrick Mahomes in the first quarter)
“Spurs to make the playoffs. A little bit of a fun sprinkle there.”
San Antonio Spurs finished the 2024-25 regular season 34-48, 13th in the Western Conference, missing the playoffs and play-in tournament entirely — per Wikipedia's 2024-25 NBA season standings.
“WNCAA tonight. You know that's right. You know I'm not leaving without an NCAA play. WNCAA Wolfpack, the Lady Pack tonight, plus three and a half at home versus the Lady Blue Devils.”
89-83 — NC State beat Duke 89-83 in women's basketball on Feb 3, 2025, behind Aziaha James' career-high 36 points — NC State won outright, covering +3.5 — per ESPN box score.
“I mean, they said get in on the natty, got some natty futures on them, purchasing the playoffs. And listen, I'm not sitting there just, you know, twiddling my fingers with the natty futures.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — Ohio State defeated Notre Dame 34-23 in the CFP National Championship on Jan 20, 2025, winning the national title (ESPN).
“Yeah, no, I'll go. You know what we talked about? Final score, 38-7 Ohio State. Put in the exacto 38 Again I do I think it I think even like the old even though it was a few years ago the college football the sport itself has kind of the playing field been leveled a bit So I don know if you see the 65 in a national championship game again But I do think there's quite a separation between these teams. And we'll go 38-7, throw a little bit of pocket change on the Xacta, because that's what it's landed, baby.”
OSU 34, ND 23 — The actual CFP National Championship final was Ohio State 34, Notre Dame 23 on Jan 20, 2025, not the predicted 38-7 exact score (ESPN).
“The Oklahoma Lady Sooners. I don't know who they're playing, but it's minus 17 and a half, and I bet it for my guy in a minute.”
OU 80, MIZ 63 — Oklahoma beat Missouri 80-63 in women's basketball on Jan 16, 2025, a 17-point margin that falls short of covering Oklahoma -17.5 (ESPN box score).
“give me the Bucs. If you got fined a seven, I like the seven.”
Ohio State 42, Tennessee 17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17 in the CFP first round on Dec 21, 2024, a 25-point margin that covers Ohio State's -7 spread (ESPN box score).
“Also played over in this one. Totals come down a bit now, 46 and a half.”
Ohio State 42, Tennessee 17 — Ohio State beat Tennessee 42-17 in the CFP first round on Dec 21, 2024; the combined 59 points is over the 46.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I'm laying the nine and a half. I'm laying under 10.”
23-20 — Detroit beat Chicago 23-20 on Thanksgiving (Nov 28, 2024), only a 3-point margin, so Lions -9.5 did not cover (ESPN final).
“Give me the 26, 27, anything like that.”
26-14 — Ole Miss beat Mississippi State 26-14 in the Egg Bowl on Nov 29, 2024, a 12-point margin, so Mississippi State +26 covered easily (ESPN final).
“Sprinkle a little bit on that money line for the egg bags this weekend.”
26-14 — Mississippi State lost the Egg Bowl to Ole Miss 14-26 on Nov 29, 2024, so the Mississippi State moneyline bet lost (ESPN final).
“USC, minus 16.5, good to 18. Anywhere out there, if you can find it, USC, baby, lay it tonight.”
84-51 — USC women's basketball beat Seton Hall 84-51 on Nov 27, 2024 at the Acrisure Holiday Invitational, a 33-point margin that easily covers USC -16.5 (ESPN final).
“Georgia, Democrats, I think there is around two to one. It is one that I actually, you know, place some money on.”
Donald Trump won Georgia in the 2024 presidential election with 50.73% to Kamala Harris's 48.53% (2,663,117 to 2,548,017 votes), so the Democratic Party did not win the state.
“[1:34:04] And let's start with the NC State Wolfpack off of getting trucked by Clemson this week. [1:34:10] And this is just like how funny college football is. [1:34:12] Remember when Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame? [1:34:15] Now they're almost a touchdown dog on the road at NC State. [1:34:18] NC State a Juke six and a half. [1:34:19] Total 46 and a half. [1:34:21] What do we like here? [1:34:21] NC State and Northern Illinois. [1:34:24] Yo, I'm going, I'm going, oh, oh, oh, don't turn your back on the Wolfpack, baby. [1:34:31] I'm going NC State. [1:34:33] Listen, they made a quarterback change. [1:34:35] Grayson McCall was terrible. [1:34:37] I like this new kid, CJ Bailey, a lot. [1:34:39] Even against Clemson, when they're outmanned, getting beat a while, they still had the juice [1:34:45] at the end. [1:34:46] They're running up and down the sideline. [1:34:47] He's bringing them back a little bit. [1:34:49] to end up scoring four touchdowns and kind of, you know, not a great performance, especially [1:34:55] defensively, but now you step so far down in class to a Northern Illinois team that had [1:35:01] all the headlines beating Notre Dame and then lost to Buffalo last week. [1:35:06] I mean, I mean, really just a tragic performance a few weeks ago by the Irish that I think [1:35:11] overvalued this Northern Illinois team. [1:35:13] Now they have to go to an NC State team that I think upgraded a quarterback. [1:35:17] Northern Illinois, no offense to speak of whatsoever. [1:35:21] Like the Wolfpack here, laying anything less than a touchdown. [1:35:24] Kanisha, what happens in lore if you turn your back on the Wolfpack?”
NCSU 24, NIU 17 — NC State beat Northern Illinois 24-17, a +7 margin that covered the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:36:06] I hope we're on the same side of this one. [1:36:08] I talked about in the open of the show [1:36:10] that I like Penn State to lay it on Jake Salini this weekend. [1:36:14] And Drew Aller and the Nittany Lions, 17.5-point favorites against Illinois. [1:36:18] We all saw Illinois last Friday beat Dylan Rayola and Nebraska, 47.5 total. [1:36:23] Kanish, what about Penn State and Illinois? [1:36:26] Oh, I'm with you, baby. [1:36:27] Hashtag we are. [1:36:29] Listen, a couple weeks ago, Illinois beat Kansas in the flukiest effort. [1:36:33] Three turnovers for Kansas. [1:36:35] A bad Kansas team, three turnovers. [1:36:37] Illinois somehow able to pull it out. [1:36:39] Last week against, you know, the next Mahomes, Dylan Rayola, [1:36:43] They're losing significantly. [1:36:44] They get a couple of fortunate bounces. [1:36:46] Raiola misses a wide-open TD to win the game there. [1:36:50] They get another overtime victory. [1:36:53] This week, the champagne runs dry, if you know what I'm saying. [1:36:57] They go into Happy Valley, a Penn State team that I think is not only live [1:37:02] to smash them this week, live to beat Ohio State, live to win the Big Ten. [1:37:08] They're going to get buried. [1:37:09] If you wonder why Kansas' offense also isn't good anymore, [1:37:13] It's because their O.C. is now the O.C. at Penn State and has them rolling. [1:37:19] Think Penn State absolutely destroys Illinois I feel bad for Jake I don feel bad for Jake I just want to make money Let cash it here with Penn State to put it on Illinois here by at least three touchdowns”
PSU 21, ILL 7 — Penn State beat Illinois 21-7, a +14 margin that fell short of the -17.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:37:49] game on the young season uh georgia visiting alabama i should i should have had like a joke [1:37:53] prepared there like middle tennis check charlotte and rice uh georgia and bama georgia currently a [1:37:58] one and a half point favorite 49 and a half the total i'm gonna bet georgia in this game [1:38:04] what are you betting if anything with georgia and bama no i'm with you uh it'll take a little [1:38:11] time i mean this is one that you know been open for throughout the summer it's kind of gone back [1:38:15] and forth between minus one and minus two and a half. You have people that like a, you know, [1:38:20] Bama closer to three, like Georgia closer to pick. I'm with you. I lean Georgia, you know, [1:38:25] coming out of, if you can get, you know, minus one and a half, minus two, depending on where you [1:38:29] shop. I think you're getting the more physical team, the team that has a little bit more talent. [1:38:35] And again, this is, it's not your, I can't, Kalen DeBoer, the greatest ATS coach in the history of [1:38:42] college football, like what he's doing, [1:38:44] think he gets Bama back to the pinnacle, [1:38:46] but for this year, this [1:38:47] game, I just don't think [1:38:50] that Bama's going to be able to have enough. [1:38:52] I think old school [1:38:53] Georgia football, you know, they're kind of able [1:38:55] to overwhelm Bama a little bit in the trenches [1:38:57] where I think they're light. Give me the [1:39:00] dogs here. Think Georgia. [1:39:01] This might be the last year of Kirby's run [1:39:04] here until DeBoer gets [1:39:06] Bama back on track, but I think [1:39:07] this year, just don't have enough [1:39:10] all around to beat Georgia.”
ALA 41, UGA 34 — Alabama beat Georgia 41-34; Georgia's -7 margin fell short of the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“[1:44:29] Any random bets in the account? [1:44:33] Listen, we're going away to the far east, baby, in Tokyo. [1:44:38] this week for a little bit of the old tennis ball. [1:44:43] Let's say get your fills ready on this one with Arthur Fils, [1:44:49] Moneyline versus Berethini tomorrow at the Araki Coliseum I don know what it is but it the Japan Open in Tokyo My man fill it up Arthur Phil money line over Berrettini or something [1:45:06] Let's just say our pockets will be filled after this one, [1:45:10] if you know what I mean, baby.”
Arthur Fils defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3, ret. in the first round of the 2024 Japan Open in Tokyo (Wikipedia draw sourced from the tournament).
“[1:33:30] Lions, about a three-point road favorite. [1:33:32] Your boy Pozzolla likes the Lions. [1:33:34] I like the Cardinals. [1:33:35] What do you think the Lions end up doing this Sunday? [1:33:37] And then we will transition to college football. [1:33:39] I tell you, you know what? [1:33:42] I mean, the last week, the ultimate teaser killer, the survivor killer. [1:33:47] The season, I mean, the NFC North, gee, looks a little bit liver now than we thought it would. [1:33:53] So that one hurt. [1:33:54] Bounce back week, I will say. [1:33:57] I do. [1:33:58] I mean, those Cardinals, they look a little frisky. [1:34:01] I'm not going to lie. [1:34:02] I like me some Cardinals this year. [1:34:04] But not this week. [1:34:06] Not on the return of Joey Kay. [1:34:08] Not after Dan Campbell with a little extra dough in his pocket. [1:34:13] He's selling his house, and he's buying some rent in Kyler Murray's head [1:34:17] after he takes him down this weekend. [1:34:19] Give me the Leos. [1:34:21] Fully healthy, baby. [1:34:22] We're ready to go. [1:34:23] Bounce back Lions week. [1:34:25] All right, so Kanisha on the Lions in the state of Michigan.”
ARI 13, DET 20 — Detroit beat Arizona 20-13 (ESPN), so the Lions moneyline wins.
“[1:36:23] You know why? [1:36:24] Because not only do we get games like USC at Michigan, [1:36:27] but we get Tennessee at Oklahoma, right, with Niko Iamalov and the Vols. [1:36:31] I can't wait, by the way, for the Giants to be like the worst team in two years [1:36:34] and pass on Nico to take a running back. [1:36:35] It's going to be awesome. [1:36:37] Vols, about a touchdown favorite, 7-7.5 on the road at Brent Venables [1:36:41] and the Sooners here, Oklahoma's SEC debut total in the high 50s. [1:36:45] Kanish how are you betting the Vols and the Sooners You know this is one that you know if you just look at on paper right you thinking Tennessee absolutely rolling They smashing teams [1:36:56] Oklahoma, a little bit of, you know, [1:36:58] a couple of pretty in the efforts to start the season. [1:37:03] I will say, though, I think sneakily, [1:37:07] Oklahoma modified the offense a little bit last week [1:37:09] to run a lot more Jackson Arnold mobility. [1:37:13] and I think their defense is very good. [1:37:16] Getting over a touchdown here. [1:37:18] For me, it was one that I didn't expect to be involved on [1:37:20] until it got through the seven. [1:37:22] I think the seven and a half with Oklahoma at home [1:37:25] and them working out the kinks. [1:37:27] I think Jackson Arnold, not going to be the guy to throw it 50 times a game [1:37:32] and throw it all over the pitch. [1:37:33] They really adjusted that offense last week. [1:37:36] I think a really good midseason tweak not being totally accounted for. [1:37:40] I think that works. [1:37:41] I like Oklahoma here getting over a TD. [1:37:43] think we got a close game. Don't know if they're pulling out, [1:37:45] not throwing them in the money line round [1:37:47] Robin, but I like getting over the touchdown. [1:37:49] Give me the Sooners, baby, to keep it close at”
TENN 25, OU 15 — Tennessee beat Oklahoma 25-15 (ESPN), a 10-point margin that busts Oklahoma +7.5.
“Gators, though, [1:38:09] a six-point favorite in Starkville at Mississippi State.”
FLA 45, MSST 28 — Florida beat Mississippi State 45-28 (ESPN), a 17-point margin that busts Mississippi State +6.
“[1:38:04] I think Florida's going to tell Billy Napier at some [1:38:07] point to hit the bricks. Gators, though, [1:38:09] a six-point favorite in Starkville at Mississippi State. [1:38:11] 58.5 the total. Knish, how [1:38:12] are you betting Florida and Mississippi State? I mean, this one is, this is a throw the numbers out [1:38:18] type of play here, where if you want to tell me, I'm not going to make any type of case that says, [1:38:24] you know, Mississippi State, you might be, might be one of the worst SEC, non-Vandy SEC teams in a [1:38:30] long time. However, this is just a straight, looks like Florida has quit, looks like Napier might [1:38:38] have been on the, I mean, I think people thought he was getting fired for a minute after last game. [1:38:43] The team's given up on him. The stretch of games that they've already had to play to start the year [1:38:49] going up against the Mississippi State team, going into Starkville. This is the ultimate, [1:38:54] like if you do like high variance, Moneyline, Ron Robin type of thing, you got to throw Mississippi [1:38:59] State in here. And I took them on the points. I sprinkled a little Moneyline too. You could get [1:39:04] So many different outcomes in this game that wouldn't surprise me. [1:39:08] But give me the dog. [1:39:09] Give me the points here.”
FLA 45, MSST 28 — Florida beat Mississippi State 45-28 (ESPN), so the Mississippi State moneyline busts.
“[1:39:34] Kanish, one more college game [1:39:36] that you love for this week, [1:39:37] and then we'd love to talk [1:39:37] some Heisman with you. [1:39:38] What do you have for us here? [1:39:40] The game that the nation's waiting for. [1:39:42] Virginia Tech, [1:39:43] a three and a half point favorite [1:39:44] against Rutgers. [1:39:46] I mean, yeah, [1:39:47] throw out the record books, baby. [1:39:50] A little extra non-con. [1:39:52] I gotta tell you, [1:39:53] I think the Scarlet Knights, [1:39:55] this is the best team that Shiano's had. [1:39:57] This is the best Rutgers team [1:39:58] in a long time. [1:40:00] I don't love what they did at quarterback, [1:40:01] but he's been much more, [1:40:03] Calick Maness has been much more functional than I thought. [1:40:05] And the rest of the team is really primed [1:40:09] to have the best Rutgers season in quite a while. [1:40:11] On the opposite side, [1:40:13] I was high on Virginia Tech coming into the season. [1:40:16] And I think they've been quite disappointing. [1:40:18] And if you look at these two teams, [1:40:20] I think we're getting the better team here [1:40:22] at over a field goal, three in the hook. [1:40:24] Another team that I think is live to win outright. [1:40:26] I just think player to player for so far this season, [1:40:29] living up to expectations that Rutgers, [1:40:31] is exceeding it. I think they're better. I think that especially defensively, [1:40:36] they're a better team than Virginia Tech. Give me Rutgers here. Like it at three and a half. [1:40:40] Anything better than three. Scarlet Knights, baby. Very live this weekend.”
RUTG 26, VT 23 — Rutgers beat Virginia Tech 26-23 outright (ESPN), which covers Rutgers +3.5.
“[1:44:23] Oh, I was ready for you, baby. [1:44:25] We're going into the tournament in Zhengzhou, China. [1:44:33] And it's Mr. Mattia Bellucci, not Jim Bellucci. [1:44:37] Mattia, our Italian brother in Bellucci, against ZZ Zhang. [1:44:42] on his own turf. [1:44:44] Zhang going down in China [1:44:46] in the Hangzhou Open ATP. [1:44:49] Bellucci, the [1:44:50] Paisan, he's around minus 110 [1:44:52] around that. Jimmy Mattia, [1:44:54] Bellucci. Oh, baby, [1:44:56] all the way we can go. That's right. [1:44:58] That's right. He's a lock, baby. [1:45:00] Italian brethren, Bellucci.”
Zhizhen Zhang defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-3, 6-0 at the Hangzhou Open (ESPN). (Zhizhen Zhang def. Mattia Bellucci 6-3, 6-0)
“[1:35:51] That's what I got on AlphaTop, but we'll keep it going. [1:35:54] But, hey, listen, I actually threw – I was out in Vegas a few weeks ago [1:36:02] and actually threw a little seed out there on an orgy at 150-1. [1:36:09] I think he'll win the job. [1:36:10] They're playing up this QB competition. [1:36:12] I think he'll win the job. [1:36:13] It fits all of the standard Heisman criteria, winning program, [1:36:19] program a team that's going to win you know nine ten plus games um you know a major type of name so [1:36:26] if he had listen if they if he has and i'll tell you the other thing i don't love the cream of the [1:36:33] crop in the heisman but like the top end of the heisman this seems as wide open as it's been in [1:36:39] maybe three four five years where i think you could get a guy at those long shot odds that that [1:36:45] has a chance. So quarterback premium program at that kind of price, I don't begrudge anybody at,”
Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Alex Orji did not win (Wikipedia). (2024 Heisman Trophy winner: Travis Hunter)
“[1:37:08] taking on TCU Kanish what are we like in this game This barn burner on Friday night Nothing screams ACC Classic like some you know Stanford week one baby But I and this is one that the opportunity for me just presented itself [1:37:24] We talked about, you know what, I'd hit the books, little cross-pomero there. [1:37:28] Hit the book show Monday. [1:37:29] If it got back to 10, 10 and a half, this would be a play for me. [1:37:33] I think Stanford had anything 10 or better. [1:37:36] It's one I played in the summer a long time ago when it was sitting out there. [1:37:39] It had been trading under 10 for the last, you know, I would, [1:37:43] I'll call it two months. It got back there. [1:37:46] And to me that that was, that was the fire number. I'm way down on TCU. [1:37:51] I don't like it. You know, [1:37:52] I think you saw kind of what the program's trending back towards after their [1:37:57] magical year, a couple of years ago,”
TCU 34, Stanford 27 — TCU defeated Stanford 34-27 on Aug 30, 2024; Stanford's -7 margin covers the +10 spread (ESPN).
“[1:41:13] LSU and USC on Sunday from Vegas. [1:41:16] LSU, four and a half, 64 and a half the total. [1:41:20] Trojans live, baby. [1:41:23] This was the legitimate one of my, in the big games, [1:41:26] this was probably the favorite play. [1:41:27] I still like it at four and a half. [1:41:31] You can find four and a half. [1:41:32] It was mostly moving to four. [1:41:33] I always do an underdog money line round robin. [1:41:38] USC was on my first leg when I was building it. [1:41:41] Think they're live. [1:41:42] Think they win this game outright.”
USC 27, LSU 20 — USC defeated LSU 27-20 in Las Vegas on Sept 1, 2024; USC's +7 margin covers the +4.5 spread (ESPN).
“[1:41:31] You can find four and a half. [1:41:32] It was mostly moving to four. [1:41:33] I always do an underdog money line round robin. [1:41:38] USC was on my first leg when I was building it. [1:41:41] Think they're live. [1:41:42] Think they win this game outright. [1:41:44] Think USC, very underrated to start the season. [1:41:47] And also a little Miller-Moth-Heisman sprinkle for me in this one. [1:41:51] Think USC, it's a big-time bounce-back year, [1:41:53] and they win this game versus LSU. [1:41:56] Hashtag Miller time. [1:41:57] Kanish, doing the show a little differently now in the post-Ken Barkley era,”
USC 27, LSU 20 — USC defeated LSU 27-20 outright in Las Vegas (ESPN).
“[1:41:41] Think they're live. [1:41:42] Think they win this game outright. [1:41:44] Think USC, very underrated to start the season. [1:41:47] And also a little Miller-Moth-Heisman sprinkle for me in this one. [1:41:51] Think USC, it's a big-time bounce-back year, [1:41:53] and they win this game versus LSU. [1:41:56] Hashtag Miller time. [1:41:57] Kanish, doing the show a little differently now in the post-Ken Barkley era, [1:42:01] your friend Tyler Morales would like to ask you a question. [1:42:04] Tyler, go ahead. [1:42:06] Yeah, Kanish, it's your boy Morales here. [1:42:08] Are we bringing the Louie luggage on Thursday”
Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy; Miller Moss did not win (Wikipedia). (2024 Heisman Trophy winner: Travis Hunter)
“[1:44:05] I've got U.S. Open. [1:44:07] I had it ready for you, babe. [1:44:09] U.S. Open, our man, School Kate. [1:44:13] He's going to school him. [1:44:14] I don't know what his first name is, [1:44:16] but School Kate plus six and a half games. [1:44:20] So school is literally a school case, plus six and a half, good up to minus 130. [1:44:28] Let's just say, you know, school will be in session in New York, if you know what I mean. [1:44:33] I'm not talking to Costos and Queens, just 20 years ago. [1:44:36] School case on the game line, plus six and a half. [1:44:40] Oh man that is awesome I going to go bet that during the break I love it He doesn know who the guy is but it good up to six but it good up to minus 130 It just incredible He the best And sincerely very much appreciate Kanisha support of me the show etc [1:44:55] Thank you very much, my friend.”
Schoolkate 27 games, Menšík 28 games (Menšík won match in 5 sets) — Jakub Menšík beat Tristan Schoolkate in five sets 6-7(4), 2-6, 6-2, 7-6(7), 7-6(10) at the 2024 US Open first round; Schoolkate won 27 games to Menšík's 28, covering the +6.5-game line (Wikipedia draw table).
“yeah I tell you Texas I'm in line you know two two of the all-time great Saban and Joey K aligned on that uh in terms of Texas being being as a Texas is a fade for me this year I took some under 10 and a half. Still think there's some 10 and a half out there, a little more juice, you know, minus 150 in terms of the regular season win total. They lost a lot, you know, a lot of guys off. And again, they've recruited very well. They've obviously spent money. Number one, they lost some guys who I really think will be mad, especially in the trenches this year where I don't think they'll be as good. And I wouldn't be surprised if at some point there was a little bit of a quarterback controversy down there in Austin because I don't think Quinn Ewers has been the player that he might have been recruited as coming in. And you saw some flashes of Arch Manning in that spring game. And then is he going to sit a full two years? You know, again, I think Michigan's live in that game early versus Texas. They've got another game. They've got Georgia on the schedule. They've got more losable games than I think that, you know, the schedule or the current odds on their regular season win total would say. So I like Texas under 10.5.”
Texas went 11-1 in the 2024 regular season (before the SEC Championship Game and CFP), exceeding the 10.5 win total. (Regular season: 11-1)
“Have you put any thought into betting someone to win the Heisman Trophy here in like 90 seconds? You know what? A few wagers here. I mean, I'd say at the top of the board, I know, and this was released from a couple guys, I know that Dillon Gabriel was kind of the early of the guys that are in that top five, six, seven. he would be the only one that I'd still have interest in on a wager. I will say, though, I think this year, in terms of how wide open it could be, lends itself to – and I haven't built up a massive portfolio. I think a lot of the guys I was targeting were a supporter. But this is one of the markets, as we get into the season, that I'll be more interested in adding. this and to make the college football playoff are ones that I think you'll have some positive equity in as this. season goes along. So not one that I'm going to build a huge portfolio in preseason. Took a little Gabriel like that as a starter piece. And then going to kind of wait and marinate here. And I think you'll see some drastic movement early on first few weeks, since you don't have that like heavy chalk as you've had in the past, the past couple of years, where you think of, you know, Caleb Williams, Jalen Miller, just guys that you knew were Bryce young were going to be at the top of the board for the most of the year. When you don't have that, I think it lends itself to some variants that you can take advantage of throughout the year. So to me, if that's the way to attack it, add a little Gabriel early, then be looking for players first couple of weeks of the season.”
Colorado's Travis Hunter won the 2024 Heisman Trophy over finalists Dillon Gabriel, Ashton Jeanty, and Cam Ward. (Winner: Travis Hunter)
“Well, the beacon that's in the glass, all the way in the glass is Bama tomorrow. Minus two and a half.”
89-82 — Alabama beat Clemson 89-82 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Mar 30, 2024, covering the -2.5 spread by a 7-point margin (ESPN box score).
“Nothing crazy, but a little Zag five and a half. In Detroit. In Detroit, baby. Who's got the hand on the pulse for the game at Ford Field? Or the guy that's like five minutes away? It's Joey Kay, baby. Give me the Zags tonight in the city of dreams, Detroit, Michigan.”
80-68 — Purdue beat Gonzaga 80-68 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 on Mar 29, 2024; Gonzaga lost by 12, failing to cover +5.5 (ESPN box score).
“Whoever that guy is, I bet him to win MVP 100 to 1.”
Shohei Ohtani won the 2024 NL MVP unanimously, announced Nov 21, 2024; O'Neil Cruz did not win (MLB.com).
“we're going to the diamond baby and i'm not talking mlb i'm talking the diamond where i can actually win best college bases big suey tonight hashtag wps arkansas on the diamond the right around plus 100 give me some sec and a bonus wazoo in the lake game it's like it's like how Hawaii college basketball, the Wazoo, it's the Wazoo, I don't even, the Pullman late game, Washington State, money line as well. Arkansas, Washington State, money line on the diamond tonight.”
4-3 — Arkansas beat LSU 4-3 in 10 innings on Mar 29, 2024 at Baum-Walker Stadium, winning the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“we're going to the diamond baby and i'm not talking mlb i'm talking the diamond where i can actually win best college bases big suey tonight hashtag wps arkansas on the diamond the right around plus 100 give me some sec and a bonus wazoo in the lake game it's like it's like how Hawaii college basketball, the Wazoo, it's the Wazoo, I don't even, the Pullman late game, Washington State, money line as well. Arkansas, Washington State, money line on the diamond tonight.”
5-14 — Washington beat Washington State 14-5 at Husky Ballpark on Mar 29, 2024 in the Boeing Apple Cup series opener; Washington State lost the moneyline outright (NCAA.com game summary).
“I played a little when it was announced.”
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the 2024 NFC South title; the Atlanta Falcons finished second in the division and missed the playoffs (ESPN).
“I laid minus 135, minus 145, minus 165, minus 195”
Tyrese Maxey of the Philadelphia 76ers won the 2023-24 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award (NBA.com). (2023-24 NBA Most Improved Player: Tyrese Maxey)
“I have Kaminga at some prices.”
Tyrese Maxey won the 2023-24 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award; Jonathan Kuminga was not a finalist and did not win (NBA.com). (2023-24 NBA Most Improved Player: Tyrese Maxey)
“I've got Coby White at a few prices.”
Tyrese Maxey won the 2023-24 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award, narrowly beating runner-up Coby White, who did not win (NBA.com). (2023-24 NBA Most Improved Player: Tyrese Maxey)
“i like houston plus the points here plus eight and a half is kind of out there”
TTU 49, HOU 28 — Texas Tech beat Houston 49-28; Houston lost by 21, well outside the +8.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“sprinkle a little money line”
TTU 49, HOU 28 — Houston lost outright to Texas Tech 49-28, so the Houston moneyline bet loses (ESPN box score).
“Lions, my, my, my, my, my money line, baby. Anytime. Listen, there's some cheap coke. Get yourself a minus 130 or something out there. Lions, money.”
DET 34, GB 20 — Detroit beat Green Bay 34-20 at Lambeau Field, so the Lions moneyline bet wins (ESPN box score).
“you're not even going to need the points because Joe Burrow's resurgent MVP case ends Sunday. He's back out of the mix after he loses to the Titans.”
TEN 27, CIN 3 — Tennessee routed Cincinnati 27-3, so the Titans moneyline bet wins (ESPN box score).
“But lay the minus six, Aces all the way.”
LV 64, DAL 61 — Las Vegas beat Dallas 64-61; Aces won by only 3, short of the -6 spread they were laid at (ESPN box score).
“I like the Lions this week now that it's come down. Not as strong as maybe we have been in the past few weeks, but still a play for me to field goal.”
DET 20, ATL 6 — Lions beat Falcons 20-6, covering the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“getting a field goal at home. give me i'm going with a church take me to church baby touchdown jesus took the points here”
OSU 17, ND 14 — Ohio State beat Notre Dame 17-14 on a last-second touchdown, so Notre Dame lost by exactly 3, pushing the +3 spread (ESPN).
“WNBA, lay it with the liberty. What's that game? Sunday afternoon. You won't be watching Red Zone. You'll be watching the Libs versus the Suns. Minus six and a half. Give me the Libs.”
CON 78, NY 63 — Connecticut Sun beat New York Liberty 78-63 in WNBA Semifinal Game 1; the Liberty lost outright, busting the -6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I bet Lions five and a half. I'm saying, oh, no. Every time I look at the odds board.”
37-31 — Seahawks beat Lions 37-31 in overtime; Detroit lost outright, busting the Lions -5.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I played some Bears at three.”
27-17 — Buccaneers beat Bears 27-17; Chicago lost by 10, busting the Bears +3 spread (ESPN box score).
“This is one that I surprised is even still sticking at this number 18 on the Jackets. Give me that baby. That is my favorite play of the board. That's a current number right now.”
48-23 — Ole Miss beat Georgia Tech 48-23, a 25-point margin that busts the Georgia Tech +18 spread (ESPN box score).
“I took some Colorado State 24. I've got Colorado State in a few places.”
43-35 — Colorado beat Colorado State 43-35 in double overtime, an 8-point margin that covers the Colorado State +24 spread (ESPN game recap).
“laid it with the liberty hashtag joey live tonight wmba laid it with the lips not minus nine minus nine and a half baby joey live new york baby could have crushed him tonight”
90-75 — Liberty beat Mystics 90-75 in Game 1 of the 2023 WNBA playoffs, a 15-point margin that covers the Liberty -9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Lions outright tonight. You heard it here first.”
DET 21, KC 20 — Detroit Lions beat Kansas City Chiefs 21-20 in the 2023 NFL season opener; Lions moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“if you can find some Kalif Raymond props, one and a half reception,”
Kalif Raymond had 1 reception in the Lions-Chiefs opener, under his 1.5-reception line; prop busts (ESPN box score). (Kalif Raymond: 1 reception)
“if you can still find seven and a half or better, I still like it quite a bit.”
TEX 34, ALA 24 — Texas beat Alabama 34-24 on the road; Longhorns +7.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“If you can find a three, I played some three.”
COLO 36, NEB 14 — Colorado beat Nebraska 36-14; Nebraska +3 busts (ESPN box score).
“Under, I like at current a bit more. I know the threes got bought up in some places today, 59 and a half, 60.”
COLO 36, NEB 14 — Colorado beat Nebraska 36-14, a combined 50 points; under 59.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Oklahoma State minus three at one of the current numbers, either that or you can find a cheaper money line, minus 145, minus 150.”
OKST 27, ASU 15 — Oklahoma State beat Arizona State 27-15; Cowboys -3 covers (ESPN box score).
“east carolina team total over six and a half team total over six and here's the fact michigan i think they got a number of guys i think both starting safeties are going to be out per sources”
Michigan beat East Carolina 30-3; East Carolina's team total of 3 points finishes under the 6.5 line (ESPN box score). (East Carolina 3 points)
“when it hit the three, I bought up some South Carolina three.”
31-17 — North Carolina beat South Carolina 31-17, a 14-point margin that fails to cover South Carolina +3 (ESPN).
“I'm on Duke here. I like it, Eckhart. I like it, 13, 13-and-a-half.”
28-7 — Duke beat Clemson 28-7 outright, comfortably covering Duke +13 (ESPN).
“Minus 17, give me Georgia State tonight in one of the extra games.”
42-35 — Georgia State beat Rhode Island 42-35, a 7-point margin that fails to cover Georgia State -17 (ESPN).
“I think there's still some two and a half out there on Ohio, San Diego State. That's one we've talked about on the show over the summer. I think it's going to keep going down. I think we might close pick. I think Ohio is live in that game and wins the favorite.”
20-13 — San Diego State beat Ohio 20-13 on Aug 26, 2023, so Ohio +2.5 lost outright by 7 and did not cover (ESPN box score).
“McCarthy, it took a little last year. Listen, they stopped throwing the ball. I would take a little position on just for that.”
Jayden Daniels won the 2023 Heisman Trophy (503 first-place votes, 2,029 points); J.J. McCarthy finished 10th in the voting (ESPN). (Heisman winner: Jayden Daniels; J.J. McCarthy: 10th)
“I mean, it mostly painted seven. I think you got anything seven or better. The position is just to take a position on Florida.”
UTAH 24, FLA 11 — Utah beat Florida 24-11 on August 31, 2023; Florida's margin (-13) fell well short of the +7 line, so the Gators spread bet busts (ESPN box score).
“are we really going to give Teddy Bridge and the Lions four points here at all? This team with the depth of their numbers and things? I'm not going to say it's a certified banger. But I have some little indicators. I don't know if Jacksonville will play as much as starting. Peterson's kind of got this trend where after group practices, he doesn't play the starters as much. I think they'll want to see, and if we get a bunch of Nate Sudfeld, it could be a little sunk here before, you know, we zip. But I think you'll see Teddy Bridgewater get more reps in this game, which I like a lot better than, you know, Adrian Martinez or Nate Sudfeld. So for me, I like those. There's some fours now. I'm not going to – listen, am I going to call this a certified banger? No, but I think you'll see Jacksonville probably play a little less of the regulars, and the Lions give Bridgewater some extended time. So you know what? I like the Lions.”
JAX 25, DET 7 — Jacksonville beat Detroit 25-7 in the August 19, 2023 preseason game; the Lions' margin (-18) fell well short of the +4 line, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“don't put cocoa in your cereal today because we're going with Linda on the tour at 3-1, baby. Worth a little sprinkle to upset cocoa golf.”
Gauff def. Noskova 6-4, 6-0 — Coco Gauff and Linda Nosková did play in the Round of 16 at the 2023 Western & Southern Open (Cincinnati); Gauff won 6-4, 6-0, so Nosková's moneyline bet lost (WTA official match record).
“Full game under, especially if you see a 37. I'll be playing that, but I'll play 36 or better before it came.”
DET 21, NYG 16 — Detroit beat New York 21-16 in the Aug 11, 2023 preseason opener; the combined 37 points busted the under 36.
“There was some 11-1 out there. I took some 11-1.”
C.J. Stroud won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 48 of 50 first-place votes; Jahmyr Gibbs did not win. (AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud (48/50 first-place votes))
“Total got a little low down there. It was straight in and around the 42 range. I think there's still a couple of, you know, 43-and-a-half, 44 out there. A little bit of an overplay. I think this one came down a bit too far, and you'll see that. So played some over there.”
UMass 41, New Mexico State 30 — UMass beat New Mexico State 41-30 on Aug 26, 2023; the combined 71 points covered the over 42.
“Miami, Florida, minus 17 week one.”
Miami 38, Miami (OH) 3 — Miami (FL) beat Miami (OH) 38-3 on Sept 1, 2023; the 35-point margin covered the -17 spread.
“Like, is this just a, hey, it's funny that Ken bet Graham Mertz over five and a half or his team over five and a half? Or like, do you like Florida's under? Like, is this actually a bet where you're against me, which is totally possible? Like, how do you actually feel about the team putting aside how much you want to troll me? Oh, I mean, Lockeye, the wonderful thing when the universal line does, it's all of the above. I mean, this is a guy. One, I can't believe he's still playing in college. I thought after last year I'd be like, oh, we're going to have to go, you know, maybe like Hillsdale College will get to have to see Graham Moore. He's the starting quarterback for Florida. This is unbelievable content. I say legit, like they tried to go out in the portal and pay some guys other than merch to dry. Nobody took the money, and now it's like, oh, well, it looks like we're going with, you know, Graham Cracker over here. I did early on. Now, I will say this. Would I bet the five and a half? No. I did take some under six very, very early.”
Florida finished the 2023 regular season 5-7, cashing the under 6 wins (ESPN schedule/results). (Florida Gators regular season: 5-7)
“We're going to modernize Wisconsin, whether it be you can find an under nine juiced.”
Wisconsin finished the 2023 regular season 7-5, cashing the under 9 wins (ESPN schedule/results). (Wisconsin Badgers regular season: 7-5)
“I love, I played some eight and a half as well.”
Wisconsin finished the 2023 regular season 7-5, cashing the under 8.5 wins (ESPN schedule/results). (Wisconsin Badgers regular season: 7-5)
“and there is some 8-1 out there. They're not a sponsor of the show, so I won't mention the book. But there are some 8-1 divisions out there on Illinois that I like quite a bit.”
Iowa clinched the 2023 Big Ten West with a win over Illinois on Nov 18, 2023; Illinois did not win the division (Big Ten). (2023 Big Ten West champion: Iowa)
“Kanish, who's the best bet to win the Heisman Trophy and why? Oh, baby, a little Heisman talk. You know, one that I'm – and they've been running this, like, hashtag Texas is back for, you know, I don't know, going on like eight years, and they never actually come back. But I tell you what, it's a Texas – and I heard the Nikki, whatever the opposite of Loch Ness is, talking about Bama, Texas and that one. But I'll say this. there's some Quinn years, you know, 20, 25, that's the early game. And I'm not saying they're going to, I did play some of the, you know, the seven, seven and a half, and I'm giving that. But if there's a bet to make early, if Texas wins that game at Alabama, I'm telling you, he's going to come out of that 250 to one, three to one. Genuinely, if he wins that game and they can get it. And I think Texas, they're loaded with talent. They have always let down, but, you know, maybe this is the one that comes together, the hype train and the – and this is like if we want to go, you know, you're like this running merch joke where it was like Lockie saying 80-1. If they won the Penn State game, it would come down. I'm not saying he's going to win. I'm not saying he was going to win. I'm saying if they win that game, all the buying opportunity is gone, and he will be the absolute strong chalk. So, to me, I took some of them 25-1.”
LSU QB Jayden Daniels won the 2023 Heisman Trophy on Dec 9, 2023; Quinn Ewers did not win (ESPN). (2023 Heisman Trophy winner: Jayden Daniels (LSU))
“We haven't really asked you, like, who's going to win the national championship ever. And I know, obviously, you probably own a lot of Michigan stock, living in Detroit, huge Michigan fan, Harbaugh projecting they're going to break the record for number of players drafted in the NFL after this year, which is a really dangerous thing to say on the cusp of college football season. Maybe it's Michigan. Maybe that's your answer. Is it a really chalky national champion this year? Georgia's going for three in a row. How do you think this plays out? Do you really like Michigan? Do you like somebody else? I mean, huge cop out here, but like there, there was some three to one on Georgia in the off season took that.”
Michigan 34, Washington 13 — Michigan beat Washington 34-13 to win the 2023-24 CFP National Championship on Jan 8, 2024; Georgia did not win (ESPN box score).