Guest / Betting Analyst · 9-20 on settled picks
| League | futures | moneyline | prop | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 1-11+283% | 0-2 | — | 1-0 | 2-13+219% |
| Other | 0-3 | 3-3+3% | 3-0 | 0-1 | 6-7-9% |
“Yeah, so my play of the day was Oregon State Beavers against Virginia.”
Oregon State 7, Virginia 2 — Oregon State beat Virginia 7-2 in college baseball on Feb 21, 2025, so Oregon State moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“[1:35:42] But, you know, my preseason bet was Baltimore to win the World Series [1:35:46] or at least make it from the AL side of things.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2024 World Series over the New York Yankees, clinching in Game 5 on Oct 30, 2024; Baltimore was eliminated in the ALDS and did not reach the World Series (ESPN).
“[1:36:18] You know I think this is going to be a signature ace moment for Burns where off a terrible outing at home he going to settle the storm even against Houston And I really like Baltimore tonight even at the minus 150 little juice latte there there but this seems like a Baltimore bounce spot even against a great team in Houston”
HOU 6, BAL 0 — Astros beat Orioles 6-0 on Aug 22, 2024; Baltimore moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[1:44:43] Because I think Tampa Bay, quite frankly, is a better bet, not just for the money, [1:44:48] but overall to win their division.”
Tampa Bay won the NFC South in 2024 with a 10-7 record, their fourth straight division title (Wikipedia, citing NFL results).
“[1:13:21] They have enough pitching. [1:13:22] I think the Twins, you know, with the pedigree they've had throughout the years, [1:13:26] that would be the team that I take a flyer on to win this division.”
The Cleveland Guardians won the 2024 AL Central, clinching with a 7.5-game lead over Kansas City; Minnesota did not win the division.
“[1:13:57] Johnny we got about 90 seconds What do you like tonight You know I wrote this up for my guys over at Roto I taking a shot here with the San Francisco Giants at home”
1-0 — Atlanta beat San Francisco 1-0 in 10 innings on a d'Arnaud sac fly, so the Giants moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:04:40] Paul Schien's the guy I watched every single start last year. [2:04:43] You know, I bet him a 45 to 1 to win rookie of the year coming into the season.”
Paul Skenes won the 2024 National League Rookie of the Year award. (2024 NL Rookie of the Year: Paul Skenes)
“[2:05:58] coming off a 35 to 1 price right before he skyrocketed. [2:06:02] I grabbed it, gave it out to everybody at the 35 to 1 and, you know, now sitting at under 2 to 1.”
Luis Gil won the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year award; Wyatt Langford did not win. (2024 AL Rookie of the Year: Luis Gil)
“You know, I think I like the under eight here. I mean, you've got the Atlanta Braves that are just complete hit or miss on an offense. And I think Logan Webb can do a good enough job to silence that Atlanta offense to three or less runs. And then we're looking over on the Giants side. Also, you know, I would probably spare on the more pedestrian side on average. But, you know, I think Charlie Morton is going to be able to do enough to hold them down. I think eight runs is just a touch high. I think we could see a total here finish around six or seven. So under eight sounds like a fair price to me.”
Giants 4, Braves 2 — San Francisco beat Atlanta 4-2 on July 4, 2024; combined 6 runs, under 8 covers (ESPN box score).
“I boarded the ship preseason. I'm going to go down with the ship. I had the NL Central Reds locking it up. I had them going to the World Series, winning the World Series. It was a bold prediction. But, you know, I was a little surprised that they've been stuttering this early on.”
Milwaukee won the 2024 NL Central at 93-69; Cincinnati finished fourth at 77-85 (ESPN final standings). (Brewers 93-69; Reds 77-85)
“I had them going to the World Series, winning the World Series.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the New York Yankees 4 games to 1 to win the 2024 World Series; Cincinnati did not reach the postseason (Wikipedia). (Dodgers defeated Yankees 4-1)
“I mean, I have Baltimore preseason, so there's no point of me, you know, changing my opinion right now. I felt like Baltimore with the lineup, the youth, the depth that they've had was going to be enough to carry. But then when they go out and they get Corb Daddy, I mean, it's just that was the pin in the pudding, baby. I thought that the Baltimore Orioles were going to have enough juice in order to get this division. They were going to march all their way on from the AL to the World Series. And I think honestly, you know what, we talked about this last week or two weeks ago. If they go out and they get one more good pitcher, I'm thinking Garrett Crochet like everybody else is, and they got a legitimate one-two punch for the postseason for the end of the season, I I think, you know, this is the Baltimore Orioles show. You know, they've suffered a long time. I know the O's fans have been waiting a while for them to be good. It's been almost 10 years, but I think this is their time. I think Baltimore is going to finish this thing off.”
The New York Yankees won the 2024 AL East at 94-68; Baltimore finished second at 91-71 (ESPN final standings). (Yankees 94-68; Orioles 91-71)
“Johnny, you mentioned Paul Skeens right now. He's the favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year, and then AL Rookie of the Year. A little bit more interesting. Luis Heal's had a couple of rough starts, so now he's come back to the pack a little bit. He's plus money. Will Abreu's right there. Mason Miller with Oakland. But I have a feeling you like your guy Wyatt Lankford to maybe make a run at this thing for Texas. Bro, you know what the Hawk Dua said? There's only one guy out there for me. I'm saying the same thing for the AL Rookie. There's only one guy out there for me. That's Wyatt Lankford. He's like my son. I know he's 22, so I physically slash can't legally adopt him, but I would. That's my guy. He's a big incubator guy for me. I've known about him and been following him since the beginning of 2022. You know, so you know how much I love Wyatt Langford. I think he's just getting started. It was a little bit of a rough start for him. But, you know, you look at Colton Couser, Raphael, Abreu, those guys are just white noise. They're good, but nobody separates themselves. Luis Gill got off to a good start, but he's getting lit up lately. And I think now with Garrett Cole coming back, there's different options of what the Yankees might do for him as they want to gear up and get ready for that elusive playoff run. And then Mason Miller's a reliever. He's not going to win. And we might even see this guy get chipped off to the NL. So I think Wyatt Lankford is the rightful winner of this AL Rookie of the Year. It's going to take a little bit more time, but he's going to get hot in the second half of the year. And let's be honest, you missed the boat on this. He was 35-1 when I gave him out again a couple weeks ago. He's down a 6-1 right now. I don't know where you think you're going, but I hope you listen to me when I talk about him.”
Luis Gil of the Yankees won the 2024 AL Rookie of the Year award over Colton Cowser and Austin Wells; Wyatt Langford did not win, so the future lost.
“Do you see an Arizona this year in the National League, or do you think it's going to end up being one of those three teams, the Dodgers, the Phillies, or the Braves? Dude, I'm going to be honest with you. I mean, listen, I really like the Phillies. I bet them the last two years, and I didn't bet them this year. So watch the same thing from what the Tennessee Volunteers did the Phillies are going to do this year, and they're going to win when I don't bet on them. But the Cincinnati Reds are my preseason World Series winner. I thought they were going to make the jump this year. They've been slumping a little bit. I realized it was a bold take to take the Reds, but there's a long season left. I think, you know, if they clean up some of the stupid mistakes, it's so obvious that their talent's there. I know guys like Encarnacion Strand, now he's done for the year. That's kind of a problem. But, you know, it's a very loaded farm system that they can call guys up and maybe they can fill in and do their thing. But, you know, it's just all about consistency with the Reds. They have the ceiling, and it's if they're key guys like Hunter Green, Lodolo, Abbott, Ellie, India, who's been playing really well, can all kind of hit their ceiling at the same time. This is a team that can make the run. This is a team that if they got into the playoffs and went up against the Dodgers, say, in a five-game series, they can beat the Dodgers. They have the pitching. They have the superstar bats. And I think they just kind of got to play towards their own strength and not for nothing but they got the second overall pick So imagine if they took a guy like Jack Caglione for that little playoff call and let him swing away playing over at first base I feel like the Reds is a long shot It's pretty good.”
The Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2024 World Series, beating the Yankees in five games; the Cincinnati Reds did not win, so the future lost.
“This is going to be 2 o'clock coming up tomorrow, an ACC matchup with North Carolina and Virginia, with Carolina as a pretty small favor about minus 140, Virginia plus 105 at BetMGM. What about that game one on Friday, North Carolina and Virginia? And for people that are listening to this on like Thursday night or Friday morning again, this is slated to be like an early Friday afternoon start on the East Coast. Yeah, I think North Carolina has the edge here. They're throwing Chase Sprague. It didn't really matter to me whether it was Sprague or Jason DeCaro. Two solid pitchers that can pitch well enough to keep their team in the game. The bullpen for UNC is a big advantage with Pence and Mateus and a couple other guys they have. And the lineup is very comfortable. But if we're looking at it, there's the star player that UNC has, and that's Vance Honeycutt, this generation Trey Turner, maybe Julio Rodriguez. This guy is on fire right now when he's playing the way he is. He can carry an entire team. You're getting a good price. And by the way, guys, Vance Honeycutt is red hot right now. He's got a lot of home runs, and he's the best fielder in the game, which should serve well in a big ballpark in Omaha. I think UNC has the advantage, and it's a good enough price. Johnny, what about Tennessee and Florida State?”
North Carolina 3, Virginia 2 — North Carolina beat Virginia 3-2 in the June 14 CWS opener; the North Carolina moneyline covers (Wikipedia).
“Johnny, what about Tennessee and Florida State? The Vols are minus 160. Number one overall seed. We know only one number one overall seed has won in the last 25 years. going up against FSU, who is plus 125 on the money line. I have a feeling that we both might like the dog here in this game one. PJ, we've been talking all year, so you know where I'm going to go. It's Florida State. The fact is the line when it opened up yesterday, it was Florida State plus 200. And I was like, I know for a fact that Jamie Arnold is heavily being considered. And I have a feeling he's going to go because Jamie Arnold is the best pitcher left in the tournament. He is the next Chris Sale. He's going to be the number one pitcher off the board next summer, top 10, maybe top five. And you're giving me two to one with Florida State. Quickly evaporated. You're still getting FSU plus 130. The thing is, Tennessee has not seen a pitcher like Jamie Arnold this year. And he's a lefty, which they can have trouble with if they're good enough. And the thing is, Tennessee's offense is awesome, but they've been playing in that little Bambox Park. Now you're going into a huge park in Omaha with the weather, the wind especially, that is playing real tricks and hard to hit home runs there. So you have to earn it. And I think, you know, the pitching for Tennessee hasn't been that great, and FSU is going to find a way. This is way too big of a number with one of the best pitchers in the country, and I think FSU is going to have a real case to win it all this year. Give me like 30 seconds here on this.”
Tennessee 12, Florida State 11 — Tennessee beat Florida State 12-11 in the June 14 CWS opener; the Florida State moneyline busts (Wikipedia).
“What about NC State and Kentucky, Johnny? We all loved Oregon State against Kentucky. Their offense was a no-show. Now they go up against NC State. Plus 110, the Wolfpack on Saturday. Kentucky minus 145. your thoughts on that game. I faded Kentucky all year. I'm going to continue to do it. Credit to them, but I think NC State here is the better team. They have better high-powered players. They have a lineup that can score. They have pitching. While it's not been great on paper, it's still pretty good. It can perform at the right time, and let's call it what it is. 2021, the NC State Wolfpack was one game away from going to the College World Series finals, and they got jacked with a COVID thing, and that ended up letting Vanderbilt get in. So NC State is ready to right a big time wrong. And while Kentucky is solid, I just don't think they have the star power. Eventually not having the star is going to come back to bite them. I like NC State with the plus money.”
Kentucky 5, NC State 4 — Kentucky beat NC State 5-4 in 10 innings on June 15; the NC State moneyline busts (Wikipedia).
“We talked about Tennessee, who's the betting favorite in the tournament. You like FSU in that Game 1. A&M is the second betting favorite. And A&M, like a pretty big favorite here against Florida in Game 1. Florida with the longest odds to win the College World Series, but went to the final last year bowing out against Paul Skeen's Dylan Cruz in LSU. A&M minus 190 in Game 1. Florida plus 145. Do you like an upset here also with the Gators or is it the Aggies? No, I like the upset. I'll spare you the little backstory about my Florida opinion throughout the postseason. But basically what you need to know is this. The Gators are trending in the right direction. The Aggies are trending in the wrong direction. They lose their top five overall prospect in Brayden Montgomery. The Aggies do. It's taken the air out of this A&M lineup. Not to mention, while Ryan Prager is their ace and he's nails, he's been stuttering a little bit over the last few weeks. And the fact is, I just don't know if A&M's got the depth in pitching. And now without Montgomery, I think their offense has some cracks in the armor. And I think Florida is going to have an opportunity with some red-hot pitchers like Liam Peterson, Brandon Neely, and the best player in college baseball, a.k.a. Jack Caglione, the Italian stallion from Tampa, is going to be able to find a way at plus money to get this home. And I think Florida is going to be very dangerous here, guys. Johnny, right now on BetMGM, we don't have any totals available.”
Texas A&M 3, Florida 2 — Texas A&M beat Florida 3-2 on June 15; the Florida moneyline busts (Wikipedia).
“Johnny V, who wins the College World Series? It's going to be the Florida State Seminoles over the Florida Gators. I think Florida falls short for the second year in a row in the finals. But I do believe ultimately FSU, if they can get out to a hot start and play from the winner's bracket, they're going to be able to do it just because of the star power they have. They have two guys going inside the top 15 of this summer's draft with Cam Smith and ACC Player of the Year James Tibbs. And then they're going to have Jamie Arnold, who's going to be the number one pitcher off the board next year, maybe a top five pick. Just a lot of horsepower here, and I like the way the Seminoles are playing the game under head coach Link Jarrett If you agree with Johnny V and you think that going to be the final FSU over Florida 49 to 1 is the price for FSU over the Gators”
Tennessee won the 2024 College World Series, beating Texas A&M in the best-of-three final; Florida State did not win it all (Wikipedia).
“I have a ticket on them to win the ACC regular season.”
North Carolina won the 2024 ACC baseball regular-season championship with a 22-8 conference record (official ACC standings); Florida State did not win the regular-season title.
“I did put a little sprinkle on them toward it all.”
Tennessee won the 2024 Men's College World Series, beating Texas A&M 2 games to 1 in the best-of-three finals (NCAA.com); Florida State did not win the national championship.
“I think it's the Baltimore Orioles. You're getting two to one in some spots.”
The New York Yankees won the 2024 AL East with a 94-68 record (MLB.com official standings); the Baltimore Orioles finished second and did not win the division.
“The first team to win 10 games is 8-1. and you mentioned how easy that schedule is on paper, I think that's a good bet because Baltimore could realistically win their first 10 games.”
The New York Yankees were the first MLB team to reach 10 wins in 2024, doing so on April 10 (MLB's official account; Yankees reached 10 wins per Baseball-Reference/Wikipedia game log); Baltimore was not first. (Yankees reached 10 wins April 10, 2024 (first team to 10 wins))
“They're actually having them winning the AL over Texas.”
The New York Yankees won the 2024 American League pennant, beating the Cleveland Guardians 4 games to 1 in the ALCS (MLB.com); Baltimore was eliminated in the Wild Card round and did not win the AL.
“And I like him to ladder up at eight, nine and ten against Xavier, who is prone to striking out.”
Luke Holman struck out 10 over six no-hit innings in LSU's 4-0 win over Xavier on March 8, 2024, clearing the 8+ strikeout line (LSU Athletics recap). (Luke Holman 10 strikeouts)
“And I like him to ladder up at eight, nine and ten against Xavier, who is prone to striking out.”
Luke Holman struck out 10 over six no-hit innings in LSU's 4-0 win over Xavier on March 8, 2024, clearing the 9+ strikeout line (LSU Athletics recap). (Luke Holman 10 strikeouts)
“And I like him to ladder up at eight, nine and ten against Xavier, who is prone to striking out.”
Luke Holman struck out exactly 10 over six no-hit innings in LSU's 4-0 win over Xavier on March 8, 2024, meeting the 10+ strikeout line (LSU Athletics recap). (Luke Holman 10 strikeouts)
“Yeah, Duke is definitely my favorite. They were plus 154 to open up, and I just couldn't believe it. This should be closer to a coin flip. And I grabbed it”
DUKE 8, WAKE 5 — Duke beat No. 1 Wake Forest 8-5 in the ACC opener on March 8, 2024, cashing the Duke moneyline (Duke Athletics recap).
“The under opened at or the total I should say opened at 12 across most books That a huge mistake. Now that's down to nine and a half. That's a two unit play under 12 for me.”
DUKE 8, WAKE 5 — Duke beat No. 1 Wake Forest 8-5 on March 8, 2024, for 13 combined runs, going over the 12-run total (Duke Athletics recap).