Xander Schauffele over Ludvig Åberg (-132)
“But bottom line, my model projects this matchup at minus 153. You can find it minus 132 out there So for me that where the play comes down to here for Xander”
Åberg finished ahead of Schauffele in the 72-hole TOUR Championship standings. (Xander Schauffele: T14, 271 (-9); Ludvig Åberg: T4, 269 (-11))
Xander Schauffele to win Tour Championship
“To be honest, the more I look at it and the more I hear you talk about it, and I just looked and I see almost a 12.5 to 1 out there, I will also be adding Xander to my card, especially at that number. I didn't see that one earlier. Maybe it moved a little bit, or maybe I just missed that book out there, but that's a number that I like as well. Like I mentioned, Xander's top three in my model this week. Scottie is hogging a lot of win equity, so that's going to do some damage there. But for me, I thought it was difficult. I mean, obviously, I'm going to talk about two guys in this price range, but I thought it was even difficult to feel great about certain guys in price ranges from like the 20 to 30 range just because for me, I do have Scotty, like I said, taking up a lot of that win equity and then just a natural perspective of having only 30 guys in the field. The market is shifting towards kind of buttoning that range up as well So at 12 to one I like Xander at 12 to one or 12 and a half to one almost Probably more than both of the guys that I about to give out So I adding Xander to the card as well Make it official for me.”
Scottie Scheffler won the TOUR Championship; Schauffele did not. (Xander Schauffele: T14, 271 (-9); Scottie Scheffler: 1st, 264 (-16))
Chris Gotterup to win Tour Championship
“My next pick, though, is going to be Chris Goddorup. He's about 25, 26 and a half to one out there.”
Scottie Scheffler won the TOUR Championship; Gotterup did not. (Chris Gotterup: T4, 269 (-11); Scottie Scheffler: 1st, 264 (-16))
Hideki Matsuyama to win Tour Championship
“I'm going to go back to Hideki Matsuyama. Obviously bet him a couple of weeks ago. didn't come through, but he played well at the St. Jude. I mean, last week at the BMW, he didn't play all that great, but again, he does what Hideki can do at times, struggled with the short game, struggled putting, but still struck it well, gained on approach and off the tee. Outside of last week with that T28 at the BMW, T7, T7, T5, T3, and then back-to-back T14 finishes. So, I mean, that's probably baked into the price a little bit as well, but also you just can understand that Hideki is obviously in good form right now. So I like Hideki once again this week. He's at about 31 to 1 or 30 to 1. So I like that number there for Hideki.”
Scottie Scheffler won the TOUR Championship; Matsuyama did not. (Hideki Matsuyama: T21, 275 (-5); Scottie Scheffler: 1st, 264 (-16))
Xander Schauffele top-5 finish · DraftKings
“For me, I'm going to exit with... I didn't come with Xander Shoffley as an official bet for me, but I'm going to walk out with it. Obviously, I already talked about him in the outright, but I like him for my favorite DraftKings bet of the week. top five finish for Xander. Obviously only 30 guys in the field. I think he can beat 25 of them. So I like Xander this week. I'll take him for top five finish.”
Xander Schauffele finished outside the top five at the 2026 TOUR Championship. (Xander Schauffele: T14, 271 (-9))
Jalen Suggs Over 14.5 Points (+100)
“Guys, we're going with Jalen Suggs over 14.5 points, plus 100.”
Gonzaga's official box score records Jalen Suggs at 16 points against UCLA, over 14.5. (Jalen Suggs 16 points)
Houston -6 pregame -6.5 · CLV +0.5 · 15–60 min
“we're going with Houston minus six Jim Boeheim's reign of terror is over Houston can and wants to shoot the basketball from the three-point line Syracuse's 2-3 zone has no chance”
HOU 62, SYR 46 — NCAA Tournament results show Houston beat Syracuse 62-46, so Houston covered -6.
UNC to win ACC Tournament (+425) · BetMGM
“All right, my first pick for conference tournament futures.
We're going to the ACC with UNC.
The Tar Heels are plus 425 currently to win the ACC championship.
They just have a good path here, a preferable path compared to the other teams”
2021 conference-tournament records show Georgia Tech won the ACC tournament, not North Carolina.
Illinois to win Big Ten Tournament (+375) · BetMGM
“My second pick is Illinois plus 375 in the Big Ten Shouldn have an issue getting out of their side of the bracket especially with Iowa to some new back in the lineup They get to avoid Ohio State and Michigan Biggest test for them will be Iowa”
2021 conference-tournament records show Illinois won the Big Ten tournament.
Memphis to win AAC Tournament (+550) · BetMGM
“My third pick is Memphis, plus 550 in the American.”
2021 conference-tournament records show Houston won the AAC tournament, not Memphis.
Michigan to win 2021 CBB National Championship (+800)
“This is the last time we're doing the futures portfolio.
So I thought I'm not going to go get a long shot.
I'm not going to get somebody who's on the bubble
and I'm not going to get somebody
that I'm going to worry about being an eight, nine seed
and ending up with Gonzaga or Baylor.
Well, what's the best way for me to avoid Gonzaga or Baylor?
Take the number one seed that's currently slotted in at three,
who's hot and that's Michigan.
And the best price you can find out there is eight to one.”
NCAA records show Baylor, not Michigan, won the 2021 men's national championship.
Cincinnati -6
“It's Cincinnati minus six for me”
CIN 91, TULN 71 — Cincinnati's official recap records its 91-71 win over Tulane, so Cincinnati -6 covered.
Detroit -9
“let's go with detroit detroit minus nine hosting robert morris”
DET 85, RMU 74 — Detroit Mercy's 2020-21 schedule records its 85-74 win over Robert Morris, covering -9.
New Mexico State -6 pregame -8 · CLV +2 · timing unverified
“we going to New Mexico State minus 6 This team is dripping with talent and starting to hit their stride Get ahead of the curve and get on the Aggies”
SEA 83, NMSU 72 — New Mexico State Athletics records Seattle's 83-72 win, so New Mexico State -6 lost.
North Dakota State -2 pregame +3.5 · CLV -5.5 · timing unverified
“We're going North Dakota State. Minus two, minus two and a half. Heck, I take it up to four.”
North Dakota State beat UMKC 71-67, covering -2.
Wright State -11
“Start off with Wright State the Raiders minus 11 against IUPUI in the Horizon League”
Wright State beat IUPUI 95-65, covering -11.
Little Rock -5.5
“Let's go with Little Rock. The Trojans in a Sunbelt matchup with Texas State. Little Rock opening up at minus five and a half.”
Texas State beat Little Rock 83-60, so Little Rock -5.5 lost.